Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Week 6 Slides
1
Introduction to Bond
2
Learning objectives
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What is a Bond?
• A bond is the long-term debt instrument sold to raise
money
4
LTA Sells S$1.4b Bond, Its
Second Mega Deal in 2019
THE Land Transport Authority of Singapore has sold a S$1.4 billion 35-year bond, its second massive
deal this year. The latest issue carries a 3.30 per cent coupon, said DBS Bank, one of the joint bookrunners
for the deal on Wednesday. The other bookrunners were HSBC, OCBC Bank and United Overseas
Bank....The latest LTA issue was well received, with broad based participation and a growing number of
investors, said Clifford Lee, DBS Bank head of fixed income.
"It has been exciting for us because the LTA is very progressive in approaching both book building and
distribution," said Mr Lee. It is critical to have broad based participation as this will ensure secondary trading,
which is important for creating a benchmark for subsequent issuances, he said. ...LTA ...are a highly sought
after issuer and much is bought by long term hold investors."
Typical investors of long-term bonds include insurers and various types of asset or fund managers.
Geographically, Singapore-based investors have dominated the deal, he said.
In the past, government-linked entities focused on the price so the deals would be done on a bidding basis
with the bonds ending up in the hands of just a handful of banks.
"But LTA is more progressive, it wants to broaden the investor base, attract new investors and deepen the
Singapore dollar market further so that it can accommodate longer term financing for infrastructure
investments," said Mr Lee. "This bodes well for Singapore's ambition to become an infrastructure financing
hub," he said.
...Market volatility has meant that investors are turning back to bonds as a defensive strategy, said Mr
Lee.
5
– Business Times, May 22, 2019
Bond Terminologies
• Par Value: The face value of a bond (i.e., its principal amount)
assigned by the issuer; this amount will be repaid at the end of the
term. It is generally $1,000, unless otherwise stated (e.g. par value
could also be $100).
• Coupon rate: The stated annual coupon interest rate of the bond. It is
equal to the annual coupon payment divided by the par value of the
bond. Stated Annual Coupon rate * Par Value
Coupon Payment =
Number of Coupon Payments per year
7
Bond Maturity
Unlike stocks, bonds have finite lifetimes. The issuers of
bonds determine the bonds’ lifetime before they sell the
bonds to investors. The date on which a bond comes due
is called the maturity date.
– Some people use the word “maturity” to refer to the
lifetime itself. For example, they may say that a
particular bond has a ten-year maturity
– The time remaining until the repayment date is known
as the term of the bond
8
Putting the Main Bond Characteristics Together
If you buy a bond, the issuer (i.e., the borrower) promises
to pay you back
1. The “par value” (assume $1000) on a particular
day – the "maturity date" – and
2. The periodic “coupons” at a predetermined rate of
interest based on the stated "coupon rate" and the
number of coupon payments per year.
As a creditor/lender, your cash flows to be received will be
the par value and the periodic coupon payments.
9
Example 1
You Buy a GE Bond With a $1,000 Face Value, a 5% Coupon
Paid Annually and a 10-year Maturity
– GE guarantees to pay back your principal ($1000
value) plus periodic annual interest of $50. If you hold
it to maturity, unless GE goes bankrupt you know
exactly how much cash inflow you will receive and
when you will receive it.
“fixed-income” investments – i.e., you are assured a
steady payout or yearly income.
– This regular income is what makes bond returns
inherently less volatile than stock returns
10
Example 2:
A Bond with a $1,000 Face Value, a 5% Coupon Paid
Semi-Annually
14
Sinking Fund
• A pool of money set aside by a corporation to help repay a bond
issue. To lessen its risk of being short on cash at the time of
bond maturity, the company agrees to create a sinking fund.
Sinking fund provisions usually allow the company to
repurchase its bonds periodically and at a specified sinking fund
price (usually the bonds’ par value) or the prevailing current
market price.
• Thus a sinking fund is essentially a provision to pay off a loan
over its life rather than all at maturity. Similar to amortization on
a term loan.
• Reduces credit risk to creditor. Shortens average maturity.
• The account is managed by the bond trustee for the purpose of
repaying the bonds. 15
The Bond Indenture
It is the contract between the company and the
bondholders and includes:
– The basic terms of the bonds: the principal, coupon rate,
maturity date, and the rights and duties of the buyers
– The total amount of bonds issued
– A description of property used as security (i.e., collateral),
if applicable
– Sinking fund provisions
– Call provisions
– Details of protective covenants
16
Summary
• Bond:
– Long-term debt instrument
– Fixed-income instrument
• Bond buyers are lenders. The bond issuers (i.e.,
borrowers) promise their bond holders:
– Payment of the par value at the specified
maturity date
– Periodic coupon payments at the stated coupon
rate
17
Bond Valuation
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Learning objectives
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Valuation Generally
Recall in our first lecture, finance was described as a
discipline concerned with determining values and making
optimal decisions based on those values.
0 1 2 n
rd ...
Present Coupon PMT Coupon PMT Coupon PMT
Value
Bond Face
Value 22
The Bond-Pricing Equation
For Coupons Paid Annually
1
1 - (1 + r ) N Face Value
Bond Value = Coupon d
+ N
rd (1 + rd )
PV Annuity Factor
(From Lecture 3) PV of the Coupons PV of Par Value
Note that rd may not equal the annual coupon rate on the bond, in which case
the bond value will not equal the face value of the bond
23
Returns on Bond
• If you hold a bond to maturity, you won’t lose your principal as long as
the borrower doesn’t default.
• If you buy and sell bonds before they mature, you can make or lose
money on the bonds themselves. How much more or less you are
going to get depends on the exact maturity date of the bond, where
interest rates have moved, and the transaction costs involved.
Bond Price Change
Example:
• Annual Coupon = $80
• Beg. Price = $863.73, End Price = $870.10
• Price Change = $870.10 – $863.73 =$6.37
⇒Rate of Return = ($80 + $6.37) / $863.73 = 10% 24
Yield to Maturity (YTM)
1. The rate earned if a bond is held to maturity.
2. The rate which discounts all future bond cash flows to
their current value (price).
3. The ‘market’ rate for the bond in question, rd is the
interest rate required in the market on the bond.
4. YTM is sometimes called the bond’s yield for short.
25
Valuation of a bond example
A bond has a $1,000 par value due at t = 10, annual
$100 coupon payments, and a discount rate of 13%,
Solution with timeline:
0 1 2 10
If the coupon rate equals to discount rate (rate of return on the bond), the price of
bond equals its face value.
27
Example: Increasing Inflation, ↑ rd
Suppose inflation rises by 3%, causing rd to
approximately equal 13%. When rd rises above the
coupon rate, the bond’s value falls below par, and sells
at a discount. Recall the coupon rate
determines the PMT
If the coupon rate is smaller than the discount rate (rate of return on the bond), the
price of bond is smaller than its face value discount bond 28
Example: Decreasing Inflation, ↓ rd
Suppose inflation falls by 3%, causing rd to
approximately equal 7%. When rd falls below the
coupon rate, the bond’s value rises above par, and
sells at a premium.
If the coupon rate is larger than the discount rate (rate of return on the bond), the
price of bond is higher than its face value premium bond.
29
Semi-Annual Coupons
Suppose you are looking at a bond that has an APR or stated coupon rate of 16%,
paid semi-annually, and a face value of $1000. There are 20 years to maturity and
the semi-annual yield to maturity* is 10%.
How many coupon payments are there?
Number of years = 20 years, so 20 * 2 = 40
What is the semiannual coupon payment?
APR = 16% ⇒ semi-annual coupon rate = 16%/2 = 8%
Semi-annual coupon = 16% / 2 * $1000 = 8% * $1000 = $80
INPUTS 40 10 80 1,000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -804.42
* Note: Most bonds make semi-annual coupon payments and the “semi-annual yield to maturity” is
generally referred to as just “yield” 30
Quick Review Question
On July 1, 2015, Ford Motor Company issues a ten-year
$1000 bond. The coupon rate is 8% paid semi-annually.
You buy the bond at par.
a. What occurred on July 1, 2015?
b. On what dates will the interest be paid?
c. What is the amount of each interest payment?
d. How many interest payments will be made?
e. How much total interest will be paid over the life of the bond?
f. What is the face value of the bond?
g. What is the maturity date of the bond?
31
Solution
a. On July 1, 2015, you buy the bond from Ford Motor Company for
$1000.
b. Interest is paid semi-annually, or every 6 months. Six months from the
issue date of July 1 is December 31. Six months from December 31 is
June 30. So interest is paid on December 31, 2015 and June 30,
2016. Interest is paid on those dates every year until the final payment
is made on June 30, 2025.
c. The amount of each interest payment is (1/2)X $80 = $40.
d. There will be 10X2 =20 interest payments.
e. The total interest paid over the life of the bond is $40 X 20 = $800.
f. The face value of the bond is $1000.
g. The maturity date of the bond is June 30, 2025.
32
Summary
Bond valuation:
– Present value of future cash flows: periodic coupon
payments & par value
– The coupon rate generally depends on the risk
characteristics of the bond when issued
What happens to the price of the bond when:
– rd = coupon rate
– rd > coupon rate
– rd < coupon rate
Yield to Maturity
of a Bond
34
Learning objectives
• Understand what a Yield to Maturity (YTM) of a
bond is and how to compute it
35
Current Yield
(Not as relevant as YTM)
• Current Yield is the annual interest paid by a bond, expressed as a
percentage of its current market price.
– Note that it’s actual use is limited
– For example, a $1,000 bond selling for $850 and paying an 8%
coupon rate (or $80 per year) has a current yield of 9.41% (the
quotient of $80 divided by $850).
• The weakness of current yield as a bond description is that it does not
take into account any capital gain or loss associated with the principal to
be paid at maturity.
• Because you can buy a bond above or below par value, YTM includes
not only the interest payments you will receive all the way to maturity,
but it also takes into account any difference between the par value of the
bond and the actual trading price of the bond at that time.
36
Finding Bond Yields
• The yield-to-maturity (YTM) is that yield which
equates the present value of all the cash flows from
a bond to the price of a bond.
• This key piece of information is used for
comparisons with other potential investments of the
same risk level.
• Why not just look at the coupon rate to determine
the bond’s yield?
37
Relationship of YTM & Bond Prices
• As interest rates increase the bonds’ PVs decrease, and vice
versa
– As YTM increases, bond prices decrease and vice versa
Convex-shaped
39
Example: Yield vs. Coupon Rate
(Time = 0)
• Say you bought a $1,000 bond maturing in 10 years,
with a 10% coupon rate paid annually.
• In this case,
YTM = Current Yield = Coupon Rate
40
Example: Yield vs. Coupon Rate
(7 years later)
• Newly issued bonds of the same risk as our bond
issued 7 years later have a 5% YTM at issuance and
thus would promise only a $50 annual coupon
payment, not $100 as our bond.
• Thus you would actually be able to sell your bond at a
premium (i.e., more than the $1,000 par value)
– Because an investor would be willing to pay more
for a bond of the same risk that paid 10%, rather
than the market required yield of 5%
41
Example: Yield vs. Coupon Rate
(7 years later)
So how much can I sell the bond for?
Based on 5% = YTM in an efficient market:
Current Bond Price = $1136.16
‒ How did we get this?
Current Yield = 100/1136.16 = 8.8%
Note:
5% < 8.8% < 10%
YTM < Current Yield < Coupon Rate
44
YTM with Annual Coupons
Consider a bond with a 10% coupon rate paid
annually, 15 years to maturity and a par value of
$1,000. The current price is $928.09.
Will the yield be more or less than 10%?
N = 15; PV = -928.09; PMT = 100; FV = 1,000
⇒ <CPT> <I/Y> = 11%
50 50 …. 50
PV
PV 1000
PV
PV
We already know the 6 month yield has to be less
PV = 1,197.93 than 5% because the bond is selling at a premium
Summary
• Current Yield is the annual interest paid by a bond,
expressed as a percentage of its current market
price.
• The yield-to-maturity (YTM) is that yield which
equates the present value of all the cash flows from a
bond to the price of a bond.
49
Learning objectives
• Understand the bond pricing theorems
• Understand the effect of time on bond prices
• Understand bond ratings and what they mean
• Understand the different types of bond
• Understand the term structure of interest rates and
the determinants of bond yields
50
Bond Pricing Theorems
• Bonds of similar risk (and maturity) will be priced to
yield about the same return (the same YTM),
regardless of the coupon rate.
• If you know the price of one bond, you can
estimate its YTM and use that to find the price of
the second bond.
• This is a useful concept that can be transferred to
valuing assets other than bonds.
51
The Effect of Time on Bond Prices
Four 30-year maturity bonds are issued by the same issuer at different
coupon rates at time 0. The interest rate at issuance is 5%. The graph
shows what happens to the price of each of the bonds until maturity 30
years later, if the interest rate stay at 5%.
52
Speculative Investment Grade
Bond Ratings
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Factors Affecting Default Risk &
Bond Ratings
• Financial performance (for example):
– Debt ratio
– TIE ratio
– Current ratio
55
Government Bond vs.Taxable Bond
A taxable bond has a yield of 8% and a non-taxable
municipal government bond has a yield of 6%
– If you are in a 20% tax bracket, which bond do you prefer?
• 8% (1 - 0.2) = 6.4%
• The after-tax return on the corporate bond is 6.4%,
compared to a 6% return on the municipal
– At what tax rate would you be indifferent between the two
bonds?
• 8% (1 – T) = 6%
• T = 25%
56
Floating Rate Bonds (Floaters)
• Here the coupon rate floats depending on some index
value
– Examples: adjustable rate mortgages and inflation-linked
Treasuries
58
Example: ‘Pandemic bonds’ are latest idea to beat disease
World Bank raises debt whose payments can be diverted from investors in emergency
The World Bank launched the first-ever pandemic bond on
Wednesday, raising $322m in two separate three-year issues.
It is the first instance of the World Bank using its financial
capacity to combat infectious diseases.
The bonds will pay investors a regular coupon, in exchange for
which they lose some income or capital if a catastrophic
infectious disease takes hold. The funds will be channelled to developing countries facing a
pandemic, and to charities and rescue organisations working in those countries, in a bid to
tackle what the Bank regards as one of the greatest systemic risks facing the world.
One of the new bonds, priced at 6.5 percent over six-month US Libor, will cover pandemic
influenza and coronaviruses such as SARS, while the other, priced at 11.1 per cent over US
Libor, will cover filoviruses such as Ebola, and several types of fever. Insurance triggers will
include the size of the outbreak, measured using World Health Organization statistics on the
number of cases and deaths, and whether the disease is growing at an exponential rate, as
well as its geographical spread, with the payout value depending on the number of countries
impacted.
The launch of the bonds is the latest innovation from the Bank which has also issued $1.6bn-
worth of catastrophe bonds to raise finance to tackle natural disasters, as well as sustainable
development bonds to promote ethical investing and green bonds to pay for environmentally
friendly projects. - Financial Times, Jun 2017
59
Example: Pandemic bonds (cont.)
Source: https://www.euromoney.com/article/b1ld7jd2y7w2rd/poorest-countries-
finally-set-to-get-world-bank-pandemic-bond-funds
60
Example: “Women’s livelihood bond” to list on
SGX
A new bond of its kind, designed
to foster social sustainability,
called the "women's livelihood
bond", will soon debut on the
Singapore Exchange (SGX).
The US$8 million (S$11 million) bond offers loans to social enterprises
and microfinance institutions which, in turn, aim to help more than
385,000 women in Cambodia, the Philippines and Vietnam, said DBS
Bank yesterday.
66
The Term Structure of Interest Rates
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Example: Singapore Government Yield Curve
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Example: US Government Bond Yield Curve
69
Factors That Affect Bond Yields
1. Real rate of interest
2. Expected future inflation
3. Interest rate risk
4. Default risk
5. Taxability
6. Lack of liquidity
70
Summary
• Bonds of similar risk and maturity will be priced to yield
about the same return, regardless of the coupon rate
– Bond prices are pulled to par