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AngelTopPicks January2021
AngelTopPicks January2021
Top Picks Indian markets received second month of record FII flows in December – Indian
Company CMP (`) TP (`) equities closed in the green for third month in a row up by 7.8% to 13,982 post an
Healthcare & Pharma 11% rally in November on the back of positive news flow on the vaccine front. The
Metropolis Healthcare 2,049 2,593 rally was driven by continued strong FII inflows in December which stood at a
Narayana Hrudayalaya 445 500 record ` 62,016 crore on the back of `60,358 crore inflows in November 2020.
IT Continued improvement in underlying economic conditions coupled a global risk
Persistent System 1,520 1,677 on environment post the US elections has led to record flows into Indian equities.
Auto
Ashok Leyland 104 122 India’s economic recovery has been quicker than expected - High frequency
NRB Bearings 99 118 indicators like PMI numbers, power demand etc. continues to point to a quicker
Swaraj Engines 1,450 1,891 than expected recovery in the economy. Indian manufacturing PMI for December
Banking
came in at 56.4 as compared to 56.3 in November and marks the fifth continuous
month of expansion. Moreover auto companies also continued to report better
IDFC First Bank 39 44
than expected monthly sales numbers for the month of December 2020.
Bandhan Bank 397 525
Chemicals
Government stimulus and RBI’s easy monetary policy to support recovery - The
Atul 6,456 7,339
Government has announced various rounds of stimulus measures including the
Galaxy Surfact. 2,134 2,569
most recent `2.65 lakh Cr. Atmanirbhar Bharat 3.0. The RBI in its latest MPC
Consumer Durables
meeting has guided that they will maintain their accommodative stance well into
Hawkins Cooker 6,111 6,776
FY2022 despite high inflation. The various fiscal and monetary measures
Whirlpool India 2,596 3,032
announced by the Government and the RBI will support the economic recovery.
Others
Gujarat Gas 378 450 Vaccination and US stimulus package leading to risk-on environment globally -
JK Lakshmi Cement 345 422 After months of delay the US Government has successfully passed the second US
Source: Company, Angel Research stimulus package of USD 900bn which is a positive development for the markets.
Note: Closing price as on 4st January, 2021 Moreover various countries like the US and UK have started their vaccination
program which gives us hope that the Covid situation should improve significantly
by the second half of 2021. Positive developments on the vaccine front along with
continued fiscal and monetary support from Governments and central banks is
leading to a risk on rally despite a surge in Covid-19 cases globally.
We expect the broad based rally to continue for now - The rally in the past few
months has become broader with more sectors participating in the rally. We expect
the rally in cyclical sectors will continue for now given the risk-on environment
globally and expect sectors like auto, BFSI, consumer durables and cement will
continue to outperform. While we expect cyclical sectors will continue to do well we
also continue to remain positive on chemicals, IT and Pharma given strong
revenue visibility in these sectors.
Top Picks
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
Sector Engines Going forward, we expect recovery in tractor industry (due to robust Rabi crop
Market Cap (` cr) 1,759
production, hike in MSP & the forecast of a normal monsoon) will benefit
player like Swaraj Engines
Beta 0.5
52 Week High / Low 1,708 /807 The company has healthy balance sheet along with free cash flow and higher
profitability. The company is trading at reasonably lower valuations.
3 year-Chart
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
3 year-Chart Going forward, we expect healthy profitability on back of strong brand, wide
3,000
2,500 distribution network, capacity expansion & strengthen product portfolio.
2,500
2,000
2,000
1,500
1,500
1,000 Key Financials:
1,000
500
Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/Sales
500
March (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x)
--
FY2021E 5607 9.6 337 26.6 18.4 97.7 14.3 5.5
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Metropolis Healthcare
Stock Info
CMP 2,049
Metropolis is a leading Pathology centre in India. Company has an asset light
TP 2,593
model with a strong balance sheet having cash and cash equivalents to the
tune of ₹325cr as on 30st September, 2020.
Upside 26.5%
Currently, the diagnostic industry is dominated by standalone centers (~48%)
Sector Healthcare
followed by hospital based labs (~37%) and diagnostic chains (~15%)
Market Cap (` cr) 10,473
Covid revenue is making up for the losses in non-covid revenue. We expect
Beta 0.8 non-covid business to be almost back to normal by the end of Q4FY21
52 Week High / Low 2,321 /993 onwards.
We are positive on the long term prospects of the company given expected
3 year-Chart long term growth rates of ~15% CAGR, stable margins profile and
2,500 moderating competitive intensity.
2,000
500 March (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (x) (%) (%) (x)
FY2021E 990 27.0 173 34.1 26.3 60.0 15.8 10.2
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
Market Cap (` cr) 9,103 Better than expected recovery in revenue post Covid hit in Q1FY21. In
Beta 0.4 September revenue was at 90% of pre Covid levels, Cayman island hospital at
52 Week High / Low 457 /210 highest every sales due to Covid related benefit. We expect strong recovery in
Q3FY21 and growth momentum to start in Q4FY21.
3 year-Chart Company having capacity of 6656 beds out of which 5920 beds are
500
operational only, company not looking for any major green field expansion.
400
Northern region contribution to revenue increase further as hospitals moving
300
to mature hospitals. We expect further margin expansion and benefit of
200
operating leverage.
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
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1,000
Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/Sales
500 March (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x)
- FY2021E 2,797 15.8 272 76.8 0.2 27.7 5.9 2.7
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
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Key Financials
Source: Company, Angel Research Y/E NII NIM PAT EPS ABV ROA ROE P/E P/ABV
March (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (`) (%) (%) (x) (x)
FY2021E 7,138 4.9 76 0.1 29 0.0 0.5 233 1.1
FY2022E 9,139 5.7 1,793 3.2 32 1.0 9.8 10 1.0
Source: Company, Angel Research
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
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3 year-Chart While demand for the LCV segment has been growing smartly post the
180 pandemic, demand for the MHCV segment has also started to recover over
160 the past few months. However demand for buses is expected to remain muted
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120 due to greater preference for personal transportation.
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60 Key Financials
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
Changes in Recommendation
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
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Angel Top Picks | January 2021
DISCLAIMER
Angel Broking Limited (hereinafter referred to as “Angel”) is a registered Member of National Stock Exchange of India Limited, Bombay
Stock Exchange Limited, Metropolitan Stock Exchange Limited, Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd and National Commodity &
Derivatives Exchange Ltd It is also registered as a Depository Participant with CDSL and Portfolio Manager and Investment Adviser with
SEBI. It also has registration with AMFI as a Mutual Fund Distributor. Angel Broking Limited is a registered entity with SEBI for Research
Analyst in terms of SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 vide registration number INH000000164. Angel or its associates has not
been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority for accessing /dealing in securities Market. Angel or its
associates/analyst has not received any compensation / managed or co-managed public offering of securities of the company covered
by Analyst during the past twelve months.
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should
make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the
companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine
the merits and risks of such an investment.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals. Investors are advised to refer the Fundamental and Technical Research Reports available on our website to evaluate the
contrary view, if any
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sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
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Ratings (Based on Expected Returns: Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Over 12 months investment period) Reduce (-5% to -15%) Sell (< -15%)
Hold (Fresh purchase not recommended)
January 5, 2021 12