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MARKET RECAP at 4 pm ET

The S&P 500 closed above the 5,000


mark and the Nasdaq surpassed
Coming Up - On Monday
16,000, boosted by megacap stocks Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis companies use its products to design
including Nvidia, while investors President Neel Kashkari is expected chips.
cheered modest revisions to inflation to participate in a conversation hosted
figures. Gold slipped, pressured by by the Economic Club of Minnesota in Deere's Wirtgen America will try to
mostly higher Treasury yields, while Golden Valley, Minnesota. convince a federal jury at a week-long
the dollar edged lower. Oil rose on trial in Delaware that Caterpillar's road
tensions in the Middle East and The U.S. Treasury Department is -milling machines, used to remove road
tightness in refined products markets. scheduled to report the federal budget surfaces before repaving them, infringe
data for January. its patents.
STOCKS Close Chng % Chng Yr-high Yr-low

DJIA 38,671.69 -54.64 -0.14 38,783.62 31,429.82 Cadence's fourth-quarter revenue is


Nasdaq 15,990.66 196.95 1.25 15,813.27 14,477.57
expected to jump 18% as more
S&P 500 5,026.61 28.70 0.57 5,000.40 4,682.11
Toronto 21,009.60 89.96 0.43 21,250.90 18,692.06
FTSE 7,572.58 -22.90 -0.30 7,764.37 7,404.08 KEY ECONOMIC EVENTS
Eurofirst 1,920.13 -1.59 -0.08 1,930.97 1,839.45
Events ET Poll Prior
Nikkei 36,897.42 34.14 0.09 36,984.51 32,693.18
Hang Seng 15,746.58 -131.49 -0.83 17,135.12 14,794.16 Federal budget for Jan 1400 -- -$129.00 bln

TREASURIES Yield Price

10-year
2-year
5-year
4.1754
4.4799
4.1385
-2 /32
-1 /32
-2 /32
Coming Up - Week Ahead
30-year 4.3741 3 /32 Coca-Cola is expected to post a rise in comments on the demand outlook for
fourth-quarter revenue on Tuesday, fiscal 2024 and management's plans to
FOREX Last % Chng
benefiting from strong demand for its drive growth in a challenging year.
Euro/Dollar 1.0784 0.07 Coke and Sprite as the company
Dollar/Yen 149.28 -0.02 undertook fewer price hikes than rival On the economic front, the U.S.
Sterling/Dollar 1.2631 0.12 PepsiCo. Investors will look out for inflation report from the Labor
Dollar/CAD 1.3458 0.02 comments on volume growth, pricing Department on Tuesday is likely to
USD/CNH (Offshore) 7.2192 0.06 actions, disruptions to business due to show consumer price index rose
the conflict in the Middle East and 0.2% in January, after a similar gain in
COMMODITIES ($) Price Chng % Chng
annual forecasts. December. In the 12 months through
January, the CPI is expected to climb
Front Month Crude /barrel 76.51 0.29 0.38 Lyft is expected to post a 4% rise in 3.0%, following a 3.4% climb in the
Spot gold (NY/oz) 2025.09 -8.09 -0.40
quarterly revenue on Tuesday as previous month. Excluding the
Copper U.S. (front month/lb) 3.69 -0.0160 -0.43
CRB Index Total Return 315.35 0.93 0.30
demand for ride-hailing remains strong. volatile food and energy
Investors and analysts expect the components, the CPI is expected to
S&P 500 Price $ Chng % Chng company to provide guidance on rise 0.3% in January after a similar rise
pricing and profitability for 2024. in the prior month. The so-called core
GAINERS
CPI will likely gain 3.8% on a year-on-
Applied Materials Inc 185.84 11.95 6.87
First Solar Inc 151.50 8.33 5.82
Hasbro on Tuesday is expected to year basis in January. On Thursday,
Lam Research Corp 911.58 47.22 5.46
post a slump in fourth-quarter revenue the Commerce Department is expected
LOSERS
as the toymaker battles dwindling to report retail sales likely rose 0.1% in
Expedia Group Inc 131.11 -28.36 -17.78 demand for its toys and table-top January, after a 0.6% gain in
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc 154.91 -14.69 -8.66 games, with consumers spending December. Excluding automobiles,
Moderna Inc 87.41 -6.25 -6.67 cautiously. Investors will look for our retail sales likely advanced 0.3% in
January, following a 0.4% climb in the expected to be 78.8% in January. to expand in non-restaurant categories
previous month. The following day, the Furthermore, on Thursday, the and the 2024 forecast that the food
Labor Department is scheduled to business inventories are expected to delivery firm gives.
report the producer price index (PPI) rise 0.4% in January after falling 0.1%
for final demand, which likely rose in the previous month. Separately on Marriot is expected to report financial
0.1% in January after falling 0.1% in the same day, the National results for its fourth quarter on
December. In the 12 months through Association of Homebuilders/Wells Tuesday. The company is expected to
December, the PPI is expected to Fargo index of builder confidence is see a rise in revenue on strong growth
increase by 0.7%. Excluding the expected to rise to 46 in February from in Asia-Pacific properties. Investors will
volatile food and energy a reading of 44 in the previous month. look for comments on travel demand
components, PPI likely edged up On Friday, a report from the Commerce and business in China.
0.1% in January after remaining flat the Department is expected to show
month before. On a year-on-year basis, overall building permits probably On the same day, Restaurant Brands
the so-called core PPI is expected to rose to 1.515 million units in January International is expected to post a rise
rise 1.6% in January, following a rise of from 1.493 million units in the prior in quarterly same-store sales, as a
1.8% in the previous month. month. Meanwhile, housing starts turnaround plan at its Burger King
Separately, a report from the Labor numbers are likely to jump to 1.470 division fuels sales at the brand, while
Department on Thursday is expected to million units in January from 1.460 the Tim Hortons chain also sees steady
show initial claims for state million units in December. On the same demand. The company's comments on
unemployment benefits likely rose to day, a University of Michigan survey consumer demand, promotions,
220,000 in the week ended Feb 10, is set to show the preliminary reading margins and any updates on its Burger
compared to 218,000 claims in the of the U.S. consumer sentiment King turnaround plan will be on top of
prior week. In a separate report, the Index at 80.0 in February. investors' minds.
Labor Department is expected to report
import prices likely fell 0.1% in American International Group is On Thursday, Albemarle, the world's
January after remaining unexpectedly expected to report its fourth-quarter largest lithium producer, is set to report
unchanged in the previous month. earnings on Tuesday when the quarterly results amid a weak pricing
Export prices are also set for release. insurer's premiums are expected to environment for the battery metal that
On the same day, a report from the drive a surge in profit. forced the company to slash costs and
Federal Reserve is expected to show cut staff.
industrial production likely rose 0.3% DoorDash, on Thursday, is anticipated
in January after adding 0.1% in to post an increase in fourth-quarter Deere will report first-quarter 2024
December. Manufacturing output for revenue boosted by an uptick in results on Thursday. The company is
December is also scheduled for delivery orders for food, convenience expected to see a fall in profit as
release. Meanwhile, capacity items and groceries. Investors will eye farmers cut spending due to high
utilization for the industrial sector is for comments on demand trends, plan borrowing costs. Investors will be
looking out for comments on equipment
demand and inventory.

Biogen will report its fourth-quarter


earnings on Tuesday. Investors will
focus on the company's full-year profit
outlook as it cuts costs to soften the hit
from slowing growth for some older
drugs and launches the Alzheimer's
disease drug, Leqembi, developed with
partner Eisai.

Kraft Heinz is expected to post a


decline in fourth-quarter revenue on
Wednesday, hurt by volume pressure
as pricing benefits roll-off, particularly
in North America. Investors will look for
comments on promotional levels,
demand outlook, and sales forecast.

Airbnb will report its fourth-quarter


financial results on Tuesday. The
company is expected to report higher
revenue and stable occupancy levels.
Investors will be looking for comments
A file photo shows a Doordash delivery bag in Brooklyn, New York City, May 9, 2022. REUTERS/ on Average Daily Rates (ADR) and
Andrew Kelly property pricing.

2
U.S. oil and gas producer Occidental
Petroleum, on Wednesday, is
expected to report a fall in quarterly
profit hurt by weaker commodity prices.
Investors would be looking forward to
its forecasts on production and any
updates on its deal with CrownRock.

Robinhood Markets is expected to


post a rise in quarterly revenue on
Tuesday, helped by a higher interest
income from loans.

On Thursday, Applied Materials is


expected to report a 3.4% drop in
revenue as chipmakers rein in
spending on equipment used to make
semiconductor components.

Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase


Global, on Thursday, is scheduled to
report its fourth-quarter earnings. The A smartphone with displayed Coinbase logo and representation of cryptocurrencies are placed on
company is expected to profit for the a keyboard in this illustration taken, June 8, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic
first time in two years.

Ratings agency Moody's is expected and-answer session before the Council has hurt demand for contract research
to post a rise in its fourth-quarter profit on Foreign Relations in New York. On services.
on Tuesday, helped by strong demand the next day, Federal Reserve Bank of
for its research and analytics products. Atlanta President Raphael Bostic Labcorp will report fourth-quarter
speaks on the economic outlook and results before markets open on
On Tuesday, Instacart, formally known monetary policy before the Money Thursday. Investors will focus on
as Maplebear, is expected to post an Marketeers of New York University, in performance across its diagnostics
increase in fourth-quarter revenues, New York. unit. They will also look for updates on
helped by higher advertisement and the 2024 outlook and comments on
transaction fees it charges. Investors Molson Coors is expected to post a biotech funding at its contract research
are eyeing updates on demand trends fall in fourth-quarter revenue on unit.
and order growth, comments on Tuesday, as demand slumped for its
increasing competition and the 2024 beers like Miller Lite and Coors Light in Boeing CFO Brian West will speak at
forecast that the grocery delivery firm the face of price hikes. Investors will the Cowen Aerospace and Defense
provides. watch out for comments on demand Conference on Tuesday. Investors will
trends in North America, gross margin look for comments on the company's
Cisco, on Wednesday, is expected to recovery and any updates on the latest quality issues. Separately, RTX
post a 7% drop in quarterly revenue as forecast. CFO Neil Mitchell will also be speaking
businesses rein in spending on at the same conference on Tuesday.
networking equipment. CME Group is expected to post a jump Investors will look for comments on
in fourth-quarter profit on Wednesday, defense demand and updates on the
MGM Resorts will be reporting helped by higher clearing and Pratt and Whitney engine issues. On
financial results for its fourth quarter on transaction fees. the following day, Lockheed CFO Jay
Tuesday. The company is expected to Malave is scheduled to speak.
post a rise in fourth-quarter revenue, On Wednesday, Fertilizer maker C.F. Investors will look for comments on
helped by a steady post-pandemic Industries is expected to show a fall in defense demand and F-35 production
travel rebound in its key markets. quarterly profits as demand for its rates.
products fell. Investors will await
On Friday, Federal Reserve Vice Chair commentary on the fertilizer market On Wednesday, electric utility
for Supervision Michael Barr speaks and outlook for 2024. Dominion Energy is expected to
on "Bank Supervision" before the report a fall in quarterly profits due to
Columbia Law School Banking Charles River is expected to report its lower demand during a milder-than-
Conference in New York. On fourth-quarter results before markets expected winter. Investors will look for
Wednesday, Federal Reserve Bank of open on Wednesday. The focus will be updates on its offshore wind operations
Chicago President Austan Goolsbee on its annual revenue forecast at a time and load growth forecasts. Separately,
participates in a moderated question- when cautious spending by biotechs Eversource Energy is expected to

3
report a rise in quarterly profit on From the Canadian economic tap, the capitalize on social commerce and e-
Tuesday. seasonally adjusted annualized rate of commerce trends.
housing starts for January is
IQVIA is expected to announce its scheduled for release on Thursday. Canadian miner Barrick Gold is
fourth-quarter results on Wednesday. Separately on the same day, Statistics expected to report higher revenue for
Investors will focus on the company's Canada is expected to report that the fourth quarter, based on higher
2024 profit forecast and the impact of Canadian factory sales likely fell 0.6% gold prices and production. Investors
the biotech funding crunch on its sales. in December, following a rise of 1.2% will look for updates on its operations at
in November. The country's wholesale the Porgera Gold Mine in Papua New
Ford Motor CEO and CFO will discuss trade data is set to be released on Guinea and its Nevada Gold Mines,
the company's Ford+ plan to improve Friday. amongst others.
growth, margins and capital efficiency
at Thursday's Wolfe Research Global Canadian oil and gas pipeline company Air Canada is expected to report a
Auto Conference. At the same T.C. Energy is expected to report more minor loss in its fourth quarter
conference, senior executives of profits in-line with last year on when it reports results on Friday.
General Motors will also be speaking. continued strong demand for crude Investors will be looking for comments
Investors will be looking out for amid tight global supplies. Investors will on travel demand and the airline's
comments on Cruise and EV strategy. watch for updates on its pilots' contract.
CoastalGaslink pipeline and other
On Tuesday, U.S. Securities and divestment plans.
Exchange Commission Chair Gary Manulife Financial is expected to
Gensler participates in a Q&A at Yale Shopify is expected to post a rise in report its fourth-quarter earnings on
Law School to discuss artificial fourth-quarter revenue on Tuesday as Wednesday. The insurer's profit will
intelligence. more merchants join its platform to likely fall due to lower premiums and
higher expenses.

Cenovus Energy is expected to report


a fall in quarterly profit, hurt by weaker
commodity prices. Investors will be
looking forward to its forecasts for 2024
or any changes to the higher
production it earlier said it expected
from its U.S. refineries this year.

Fairfax Financial is set to report its


quarterly earnings report on Thursday.
Investors will be keenly scrutinizing
details about the company's financial
health, especially after it came under
fire from short seller Muddy Waters.

On the LATAM front, inflation in


Brazil, as measured by the IGP-10
price index for February, is expected to
be released on Friday. Separately, the
IBC-Br index, a key predictor of Brazil's
gross domestic product (GDP), is set
for release on Thursday. Meanwhile,
on Wednesday, Argentina's monthly
inflation rate is likely to hit 20.5% in
A file photo shows the logo of Shopify outside its headquarters in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada,
January after touching 25.5% in the
September 28, 2018. REUTERS/Chris Wattie previous month. The country's annual
inflation rate sped past 211% in
December.

4
Market Monitor
The S&P 500 vaulted past the 5,000
milestone for a second day and the
Nasdaq surpassed 16,000, with boosts
from megacap stocks and chip
companies, including Nvidia as
investors bet on artificial intelligence
technology and eyed strong earnings
data. Nvidia climbed 3.58%
after Reuters reported the company
was building a new business unit
focused on designing bespoke chips
for cloud computing firms and others,
including advanced artificial intelligence
processors. Data showed U.S. monthly
consumer prices rose less than initially
estimated in December, but underlying
inflation remained a tad warm - a mixed
picture that clouded expectations on
the timing of interest-rate cuts from the
Fed this year. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average lost 0.14% to
38,671.69, the S&P 500 was up 0.57% A file photo of traders working on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York City,
at 5,026.61, and the Nasdaq February 6. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
Composite rose 1.25% to 15,990.66.
For the week, S&P 500 gained 1.37%,
Nasdaq rose 2.31%, and Dow edged consumer prices that rose less than 0.32% to $81.89 a barrel, while U.S.
up 0.04%. initially estimated in December. "The West Texas Intermediate crude
revisions aren't going to make the Fed futures rose 0.37% to $76.50 a barrel.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury cut rates," said Steven Ricchiuto, U.S.
rose ahead of next week’s key inflation chief economist at Mizuho Securities Gold slipped pressured by elevated
data, after revisions to inflation data USA LLC in New York. "The market's Treasury yields, while investors
from late last year were relatively in a rush, (but) the Fed is sitting there awaited next week's U.S. inflation data
modest. “You’re not really seeing as saying we're not in a rush. Actually, for more clues on the timing of the
much of a change to inflationary trends things are really pretty good from their Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
on a month-to-month basis as we did perspective," he said. The dollar index Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury
last year. It does seem like the fell 0.10% to 104.06. Against the yields rose to a two-week high, and two
revisions were a little bit more modest Japanese yen, the dollar fell 0.01% to -year yields hit an almost two-month
this time around,” said Gennadiy 149.29 yen. high, making non-yielding bullion less
Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy attractive for investors. The Fed will
at TD Securities in New York. Oil prices advanced as worries about likely keep rates higher for longer,
Benchmark 10-year notes fell 2/32, supply from the Middle East mounted which means most central banks will
yielding 4.1754%. Two-year notes lost and as reining outages tightened probably follow suit, Everett Millman,
1/32, to yield 4.4799%. 30-year bonds refined products markets. "With the chief market analyst at Gainesville
rose 3/32, yielding 4.3751%. words that, 'no part of the Gaza Strip Coins, said. "I think that things are
would be immune from Israel's trending lower for the gold price; there
The dollar edged lower as traders offensive', it was not hard for oil is a pretty strong floor support at about
reduced their bets on how quickly the participants to conclude that without $1,960 that I don't expect to see gold
Bank of Japan might raise interest even a passing regard for peace, there go below," he added. Spot gold was
rates and how soon the Federal was not enough conflict-premium down 0.40% at $2,024.95 per ounce,
Reserve will cut them. Traders priced in," said John Evans, an analyst while U.S. gold futures lost 0.42% to
shrugged off revised U.S. monthly at PVM. Brent crude futures gained $2,039.20 an ounce.

5
Top News
Nvidia pursues $30 billion custom from the levels seen in fiscal 2023, algorithm to benefit third-party sellers
chip opportunity with new unit - Chief Financial Officer Jamie Caulfield that participate in its Fulfillment By
sources said. It also announced a 7% increase Amazon program and pay "hefty fees"
Nvidia is building a new business unit to its annual dividend. In the fourth for inventory storage, packing and
focused on designing bespoke chips quarter, core gross margin expanded shipping, returns and other services,
for cloud computing firms and others, 97 basis points as average prices the lawsuit said.
including advanced artificial intelligence jumped 9%. Organic volume slipped
processors, nine sources familiar with 4%. Conoco emerges as surprise bidder
its plans told Reuters. The company in historic Citgo share auction
aims to capture a portion of an Amazon steers consumers to higher A U.S. court auction weighing the fate
exploding market for custom AI chips -priced items, lawsuit claims of Venezuela-owned oil refiner Citgo
and shield itself from the growing Amazon.com was sued in a proposed Petroleum has received bids using
number of companies pursuing U.S. class action accusing the online claims in lieu of cash, according to
alternatives to its products. Nvidia is retailer of violating a consumer people familiar with the process and
now attempting to play a role in helping protection law by steering hundreds of documents, part of a historic case to
its customers develop custom AI chips millions of shoppers to higher-priced settle Venezuelan debts. Oil producer
that have flowed to rival firms such as items in order to earn extra fees. ConocoPhillips, the largest creditor in
Broadcom and Marvell Technology, According to a complaint filed on the case after presenting the court with
said the sources. Nvidia officials have Thursday in federal court in Seattle, some $12 billion from asset
met with representatives from Amazon's algorithm for choosing what expropriations in Venezuela, last month
Amazon.com, Meta, Microsoft, Google to display in its "Buy Box" when submitted a credit bid using its claims,
and OpenAI to discuss making custom shoppers search for products often the people said. Other bidders also
chips for them, two sources familiar obscures lower-priced options with have tried to apply their claims against
with the meetings said. Nvidia is in faster delivery times. Citing the recent Venezuela in bids, a Delaware court
talks with telecom infrastructure builder antitrust case against Amazon by the officer overseeing the auction has said,
Ericsson for a wireless chip that U.S. Federal Trade Commission and which could leave less cash to be
includes the chip designer's graphics 17 states, the complaint said shoppers distributed among the remaining
processing unit technology, two go with Amazon's choices nearly 98% creditors. In addition to Conoco, energy
sources familiar with the discussions of the time by clicking its "Buy Now" or companies Chevron, Reliance
said. It also plans to target the "Add to Cart" buttons, often falsely Industries, Koch Industries and Valero
automotive and video game markets, believing Amazon had found the best Energy, and at least one activist
according to sources and public social prices. Amazon allegedly created the investor have expressed interest in the
media postings.

PepsiCo signals demand hit from


price hikes with rare sales decline
PepsiCo reported a surprise drop in
quarterly sales and forecast a sharp
slowdown in organic revenue growth
for 2024 as multiple price hikes weigh
on demand for its beverages and chips.
PepsiCo's fourth-quarter revenue fell
0.5% to $27.85 billion, the first drop in
14 quarters. Analysts had expected a
1.4% rise to $28.40 billion, according to
LSEG data. The company forecast
annual organic revenue growth of at
least 4%, compared to the 9.5% growth
reported for fiscal 2023. However, it
expects fiscal 2024 core earnings per
share of $8.15, compared with
expectations of $8.14. PepsiCo A file photo shows the logo of Amazon at the company's logistics centre in Boves, France, October
expects raw material costs to moderate 6, 2021. REUTERS/Pascal Rossignol

6
sales process, the people said. Dozens Disney harnesses AI to drive Duke Energy to remove Chinese
of bidders began due diligence, streaming ad technology battery giant CATL from Marine
seeking information for the non-binding Walt Disney is harnessing artificial Corps Base
first round, the people said. intelligence to power a new advertising Under pressure from Congress, U.S.
tool that will help brands tailor their utility company Duke Energy plans to
Cisco to cut thousands of jobs as it commercials to fit the mood of specific decommission energy-storage batteries
seeks to focus on high growth areas scenes within a movie or television produced by Chinese battery maker
-sources series. Dubbed "Disney's Magic CATL at one of the nation's largest
Cisco is planning to restructure its Words," this tool introduces a new form Marine Corps bases and will phase out
business which will include laying off of contextual advertising for the CATL products at its civilian projects,
thousands of employees, as it seeks to Disney+ and Hulu streaming services. the company confirmed to Reuters.
focus on high-growth areas, according It uses a combination of AI and Duke Energy's change of course on the
to three sources familiar with the machine learning to analyze and tag batteries could have supply chain
matter. The company has a total scenes across its library, identifying the implications for the utility and have a
employee count of 84,900 as of fiscal contents, brands, images and mood. chilling effect on an energy storage
2023, according to its website. The Brands can use these descriptive tags, market dominated by Chinese
company is still deciding on the total known as metadata, to identify a manufacturers. Duke Energy had
number of employees to be affected by specific scene or mood and then sought to assuage concerns in
the layoffs, one person said. An personalize messaging to match. Congress over possible network
announcement could come as early as Omnicom, Dentsu, GroupM, Horizon vulnerabilities arising from the
next week, as the company prepares Media, IPG Mediabrands and Publicis batteries, sending at least five
for its earnings call on Feb. 14. In Media are the six global advertising executives, including its chief security
November 2022, Cisco announced companies taking part in an early beta and information officer to meet with
during an earnings call a restructuring test of this advertising product, Disney staff of the House of Representatives'
that impacted roughly 5% of its told Reuters. select committee on China in the first
workforce which lead to $600 million in week of January, according to two
severance and other charges. Cisco Authors suing OpenAI ask California sources familiar with the discussions.
had cut its full-year revenue and profit court to block competing NY cases While the Duke Energy executives told
forecasts in its previous earnings call, A group of authors suing OpenAI for the staff that they were confident in the
in a sign that demand for its networking copyright infringement including security of the batteries, they also
equipment was slowing. Michael Chabon, Ta-Nehisi Coates and expressed a desire to address
comedian Sarah Silverman have asked congressional concerns, the sources
Catalent sales edge past estimates a California court to shut down related said.
as focus shifts to Novo deal high-profile lawsuits brought by the
Catalent inched past Wall Street New York Times, John Grisham and Moderna shares slide on concerns
estimates for second-quarter revenue, others in New York. They said in a over drop in RSV vaccine efficacy
days after it agreed to a $16.5-billion court filing that allowing the "copycat" Moderna fell after Wall Street analysts
buyout offer from Novo Nordisk's lawsuits — including the Times' case raised concerns over faster declines in
parent firm. The company is the main and an earlier one brought by the the efficacy of its experimental
supplier of fill-finish work - involving Authors Guild on behalf of Grisham, respiratory syncytial virus vaccine
filling and packaging syringes and Jonathan Franzen, George R.R. Martin when compared with rival shots from
injection pens in sterile conditions - for and other writers — would cause GSK and Pfizer. Data posted on
Novo's popular weight-loss drug, "inconsistent rulings in overlapping Thursday showed an efficacy of about
Wegovy. After the deal closes, Novo class actions" and waste the courts' 63% after 8.6 months in preventing
Holdings will sell Catalent's key fill- time. The California plaintiffs, RSV-related respiratory disease, down
finish sites in Anagni, Italy, Brussels, represented by a legal team including from 84% at 3.3 months. Brokerages
Belgium and Bloomington, Indiana, to attorney Joseph Saveri, also argued TD Cowen and UBS said the data
Novo Nordisk for $11 billion. Quarterly that the New York cases allow OpenAI raised questions that the vaccine could
revenue was $1.03 billion, just ahead to engage in "forum shopping" and show a steeper decline at another long
of analysts' expectations of $1.01 "procedural gamesmanship." term follow-up of 14 months, giving
billion, according to LSEG data. It took Separately, OpenAI hit the $2 billion competitors an edge. Despite the
a one-time charge of $9 million due to revenue milestone in December, the differences, TD Cowen analyst Tyler
a fire at one of its facilities. The Financial Times reported, citing two Van Buren said in a note it raises
company reported a quarterly loss per people with knowledge of the concerns over the competitive profile of
share of 24 cents, compared to company’s finances. To read more, Moderna's shot if confirmed with more
estimates of a loss of 2 cents. click here data. The shares of the company
ended 6.67% lower at $87.41.

7
U.S. President Joe Biden gestures as he delivers remarks at the White House in Washington, February 8. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

Insight and Analysis


Boeing strikes conciliatory tone with SoftBank sees new-found caution as As S&P 500 breaches 5,000, its
suppliers amid 737 MAX crisis secret weapon in AI arms race valuation hits lofty levels as well
Boeing executives extended an olive For years, SoftBank Group splashed As the S&P 500 continues to hit fresh
branch to the company's strained out billions on startups at near-peak milestones with a first-ever break
supply chain this week to help them valuations without batting an eye. Now above the 5,000 level, its valuation is
deal with the fallout of the latest 737 founder Masayoshi Son's tech reaching new heights as well. The S&P
MAX crisis, but those firms are taking a powerhouse is relying on a new 500's forward price-to-earnings ratio
wait-and-see attitude after years of weapon as it searches for the next big this week rose to 20.4 times, a level
dealing with the planemaker's hard-line thing in AI: caution. The strategy marks last reached in February 2022,
approach. The aerospace giant's shift a vast turnaround for a company that according to LSEG Datastream. That
in tone was underlined by a speech on completely transformed the world of puts it far above the index’s historic
Wednesday by Ihssane Mounir, tech investing with its high-conviction average of 15.7. It isn’t unusual for
Boeing's vice president of supply chain bets on startups at an unheard of valuations to climb along with stock
and fabrication, at an aerospace scale. It also highlights the lingering prices, and equities can stay expensive
conference outside Seattle. "We build effect of SoftBank's "defence mode", a for a long time before returning to more
the airplane together. There's no you strategy it adopted after being hit by moderate levels. Still, some investors
and us. It's just us," he said. plummeting valuations in the aftermath believe the index’s growing multiple
of the pandemic, when higher interest has made buying into the broad market
rates eroded investor appetite for risk. a less enticing proposition.

8
CANADA
Market Monitor TSE's S&P/TSX composite Price C$ Chng % Chng

Canada's main stock index ended TSX composite index was 0.43% GAINERS
higher as investors assessed a strong higher at 21,009.60. Bombardier Inc 48.22 3.77 8.48
Trisura Group Ltd 38.98 2.19 5.95
jobs report at home and revised lower
NovaGold Resources Inc 3.31 0.14 4.42
inflation numbers from the United The U.S. dollar edged up 0.01%
LOSERS
States. against its Canadian counterpart to Magna International Inc 73.58 -5.32 -6.74
C$1.3456. Lightspeed Commerce Inc 18.94 -0.96 -4.82
The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/ Kinross Gold Corp 6.95 -0.22 -3.07

Top News
Canada's job growth beats below estimates, weighed by cooling
expectations in January as wage demand for electric vehicles (EV) and
growth slows inflationary pressures. The company
Canada's economy added 37,300 jobs expects full-year profit in the range of
in January, more than double the $1.60 billion to $1.80 billion, compared
expectation of economists in a Reuters with analysts' average expectations of
poll, while wage growth slowed slightly, $1.90 billion, according to LSEG data.
data showed on Friday, figures that are On an adjusted basis, the company
likely to keep the Bank of Canada in a earned a profit of $1.33 per share for
holding pattern despite pressure to REUTERS/Chris Helgren the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31,
start cutting interest rates. The missing analysts' expectations of
unemployment rate edged down to rationed on the Enbridge Inc Mainline $1.48.
5.7% from 5.8% in December, posting pipeline system even once the Trans
its first decline in 13 months, Statistics Mountain Expansion project is Pot producer Canopy Growth's loss
Canada said, in part because fewer operating, an Enbridge executive said. narrows on lower costs, uptick in
people were seeking jobs. The Enbridge shipped a record 3.2 million Canada business
participation rate fell to 65.3% from barrels per day (bpd) of crude on the Pot producer Canopy Growth, opens
65.5% in December. Analysts polled by Mainline in the fourth quarter of 2023, new tab reported a smaller third-
Reuters had forecast a gain of 15,000 helping it report quarterly profits of quarter loss, helped by cost cuts and
jobs and a rise in the unemployment C$1.73 billion, compared to a loss of an increase in revenue from its Canada
rate to 5.9%. The average hourly wage C$1.07 billion a year earlier. Enbridge business. Canopy Growth said its
growth for permanent employees reported a quarterly adjusted core profit Canadian business-to-business net
slowed to 5.3% in the month from 5.7% of C$833 million from its U.S. gas revenue rose 9%, while medical
in December. "The job market still transmission unit, compared with revenue climbed 11%. The company's
seems resilient," said Derek Holt, vice C$844 million a year earlier. On an gross margin for Canada cannabis
president of capital markets economics adjusted basis, the company earned 64 segment improved to 28%. The
at Scotiabank. "We saw wage growth Canadian cents per share, compared company said it reduced overall debt
cool in the latest month, but overall the with analysts' estimates of 68 by C$69 million during the reported
trend is relatively hot." Canadian cents per share, according to quarter. Net loss attributable to the
LSEG data. company fell to C$216.8 million for the
Enbridge says Canada oil pipeline quarter ended Dec. 31, compared with
congestion may continue even once Magna forecasts 2024 profit below a loss of C$259.5 million a year earlier.
TMX starts estimates on weak EV demand
Growing Canadian oil production Canadian auto parts supplier Magna
means shipper volumes may still be International forecast its 2024 profit

9
WEALTH NEWS
ECONOMIC INDICATOR
Mixed US consumer price revisions leave
slowing inflation trend intact
U.S. monthly consumer prices rose less than
initially estimated in December, but underlying
inflation remained a bit warm, a mixed picture that
did not shift expectations on the timing of an
anticipated interest rate cut from the Federal
Reserve this year. The annual revisions published
by the Labor Department also showed the
consumer price index increasing slightly more
than previously reported in October and
November. The consumer price index rose 0.2%
in December instead of 0.3% as reported last
month, the revisions of the CPI data published by
the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics
(BLS) showed. But data for November was
revised up to show the CPI increasing 0.2% rather
than 0.1% as previously estimated.

INTEREST RATE PATH


Fed's Logan: risks more balanced, no urgency on rate cuts
Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lorie Logan said she is in no rush to cut interest rates, and while there has been
"tremendous progress" on bringing down inflation, she wants more data to confirm the progress is durable.

COLUMN
Parallel universes? 'Magnificent 7' prone to China risks :Mike Dolan
The jarring contrast of China's market bust and soaring U.S. stocks may cloud the vulnerability of the latter to events in Beijing,
and some fear Wall Street's narrow focus heightens that risk.

RESEARCH PROGRAM
White House touts $11 billion US semiconductor R&D program
The White House on Friday touted the U.S. government's plan to spend $11 billion on semiconductor-related research and
development and said it was launching the $5 billion National Semiconductor Technology Center.

CRYPTO SUIT
NY attorney general expands crypto lawsuit, sees $3 billion fraud
New York Attorney General Letitia James on Friday expanded her lawsuit against Digital Currency Group and other
cryptocurrency defendants, tripling the size of their alleged fraud scheme to more than $3 billion.

GRAPHIC
Take Five: Rain check on those rate-cut bets?
As China's troubled markets take time out for the Lunar New Year holiday, U.S. inflation numbers, key UK data, Russia's
central bank meeting and an election in the world's third-largest democracy vie for the spotlight.

COMPANIES PENALIZED
US SEC hits more Wall Street firms with fines over record-keeping
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said 16 firms will pay more than $81 million to settle charges for widespread
recordkeeping failures.
ON THE RADAR
Events ET Poll Prior
Tue: NFIB Business Optimism Index for Jan 0600 -- 91.90
Core CPI mm, SA for Jan 0830 0.3% 0.3%
Core CPI yy, NSA for Jan 0830 3.8% 3.9%
CPI Index, NSA for Jan 0830 307.986 306.746
Core CPI Index, SA for Jan 0830 -- 313.22
CPI mm, SA for Jan 0830 0.2% 0.3%
CPI yy, NSA for Jan 0830 3.0% 3.4%
Real weekly earnings mm for Jan 0830 -- -0.2%
CPI mm NSA for Jan 0830 -- -0.100%
CPI Index SA for Jan 0830 -- 308.850
CPI Wage Earner for Jan 0830 -- 300.728
Cleveland Fed CPI for Jan 1100 -- 0.4%

Wed: LSEG IPSOS PCSI for Feb 1000 -- 52.90

Thu: NY Fed Manufacturing for Feb 0830 -15.00 -43.70


Import prices mm for Jan 0830 -0.1% 0.0%
Export prices mm for Jan 0830 -0.1% -0.9%
Import prices yy for Jan 0830 -- -1.6%
Initial jobless claims 0830 220,000 218,000
Jobless claims 4-week average 0830 -- 212,250
Continued jobless claims 0830 1.878 mln 1.871 mln
Philly Fed Business Index for Feb 0830 -8.0 -10.6
Philly Fed 6M Index for Feb 0830 -- -4.00
Philly Fed Capex Index for Feb 0830 -- 7.50
Philly Fed Employment for Feb 0830 -- -1.80
Philly Fed Prices Paid for Feb 0830 -- 11.30
Philly Fed New Orders for Feb 0830 -- -17.90
Retail sales mm for Jan 0830 -0.1% 0.6%
Retail sales ex-autos mm for Jan 0830 0.3% 0.4%
Retail ex-gas/autos for Jan 0830 -- 0.6%
Retail control for Jan 0830 0.4% 0.8%
Retail sales yy for Jan 0830 -- 5.59%
Industrial production mm for Jan 0915 0.3% 0.1%
Capacity utilization SA for Jan 0915 78.8% 78.6%
Manufacturing output mm for Jan 0915 0.0 0.1%
Industrial production yy for Jan 0915 -- 0.98%
Business inventories mm for Dec 1000 0.4% -0.1%
Retail inventories ex-auto rev for Dec 1000 -- 0.6%
NAHB Housing Market Index for Feb 1000 46 44

Fri: Building permits: number for Jan 0830 1.515 mln 1.493 mln
Building permits: change mm for Jan 0830 -- 1.8%
Housing starts: number for Jan 0830 1.470 mln 1.460 mln
Housing starts: change mm for Jan 0830 -- -4.3%
PPI Machine Manufacturing for Jan 0830 -- 180.5
PPI final demand yy for Jan 0830 0.7% 1.0%
PPI final demand mm for Jan 0830 0.1% -0.1%
PPI ex-food/energy yy for Jan 0830 1.6% 1.8%
Events ET Poll Prior
PPI ex-food/energy mm for Jan 0830 0.1% 0.0%
PPI ex-food/energy/Trade yy for Jan 0830 -- 2.5%
PPI ex-food/energy/Trade mm for Jan 0830 -- 0.2%
U Mich Sentiment preliminary for Feb 1000 80.0 79.0
U Mich Conditions preliminary for Feb 1000 -- 81.9
U Mich Expectations preliminary for Feb 1000 -- 77.1
U Mich 1-Yr inflation preliminary for Feb 1000 -- 2.9%
U Mich 5-Yr inflation preliminary for Feb 1000 -- 2.9%

KEY RESULTS - ON MONDAY


Company Name* Quarter ET Smart Estimates EPS Estimates** Year Ago Rev Estimates (mln)

Arista Networks Q4 AMC $1.71 $1.70 $1.41 $1,532.24


Cadence Design Systems Q4 AMC $1.34 $1.33 $0.96 $1,061.00
Federal Realty Investment Trust Q4 AMC $0.67 $0.66 $1.40 $292.19
Principal Financial Group Q4 AMC $1.70 $1.68 $1.70 $3,597.35
Trimble Q4 BMO $0.59 $0.59 $0.60 $909.53
Waste Management Q4 AMC $1.54 $1.53 $1.30 $5,193.94

*Includes companies on S&P 500 index. **Estimates may be updated or revised; release times based on company guidance or past practice.

All analysts' estimates are according to LSEG IBES data.

The Day Ahead - North America is compiled by Archak Sengupta and Haritha K P in Bengaluru.

For questions or comments about this report, email us at: TheDay.Ahead@thomsonreuters.com.

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