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10-year 4.0904 19 /32 A screen shows the logo and a ticker symbol for The Walt Disney Company on the floor of the
2-year 4.4036 4 /32 New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, December 14, 2017. REUTERS/Brendan
5-year 4.0383 12 /32 McDermid
30-year 4.2908 31 /32
GAINERS
Ceridian HCM Holding Inc NULL NULL NULL KEY ECONOMIC EVENTS
GE Healthcare Technologies Inc 81.96 8.55 11.65
Dupont De Nemours Inc 65.70 4.49 7.34 Events ET Poll Prior
LOSERS
International trade for Dec 0830 -$62.2 bln -$63.2 bln
FMC Corp 53.44 -6.98 -11.55
Charter Communications Inc 290.28 -13.37 -4.40 Goods trade balance (R) for Dec 0830 -- -$88.46 bln
Adobe Inc 607.14 -23.36 -3.71 Consumer credit for Dec 1500 $16.00 bln $23.75 bln
Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, will watch out for comments on its driven by a surge in digital
Philadelphia, San Francisco, and St. American Girl and Fisher-Price subscriptions at business information
Louis, in Washington. Additionally, segments as well as demand trends in unit Dow Jones.
Richmond Fed President Thomas the broader toy industry.
Barkin is expected to participate in a Globe Life is expected to post a rise in
conversation before the Economic Club Global crop trader and processor its fourth-quarter profit on higher
of Washington D.C., in Washington. Bunge is expected to report a fall in insurance underwriting and investment
fourth-quarter revenue, as income.
From the U.S. economic tap, a report improvement in supply had lowered
from the Commerce Department is crop prices in the quarter. Investors Business payments firm Fleetcor
expected to show that international and analysts will look out for comments Technologies is expected to post a
trade likely contracted to a deficit of on demand and crush margins. rise in its fourth-quarter profit helped by
$62.2 billion in December from a deficit strong performance in its fleet
of $63.2 billion in November. Roblox is expected to post an increase segment.
Separately, the U.S. Federal Reserve's in net bookings in the fourth quarter as
data on consumer credit is expected the holiday quarter pulled more users In the Latin American economic
to come in at $16 billion in December. to its gaming platform. calendar, Brazil's central bank is likely
to show the country's trade balance
Uber is expected to report a rise in Yum Brands is expected to post a rise contracted to $7.35 billion in January,
revenue and profit in the fourth quarter. in its fourth-quarter sales, aided by from $9.36 billion in December.
Investors will look for changes to steady demand at its KFC and Taco Additionally, the country is also
margins and gross bookings given Bell chains, helping offset lackluster expected to report its primary budget
Uber's strong driver supply and efforts demand at Pizza Hut. The company's balance and nominal budget balance
to improve platform efficiency. expectations for 2024, its comments on for December. Separately, the
promotions and discounts, margin country's retail sales are expected to
PayPal is expected to report a rise in recovery and consumer health will be fall 0.2% in December, after gaining
its fourth-quarter profit with analysts keenly watched for. 0.1% in November. In the 12 months
and investors closely watching for through December, retail sales possibly
updates on the payments firms' plans Fox Corp is expected to report a drop advanced 2.9%. Meanwhile, Mexico's
to expand its margins and reignite in their second-quarter revenue as consumer confidence data for
growth in non-transaction-related advertisers cut spending on its January is due for release. Lastly, the
segments. The payments company is television networks due to an uncertain world's top copper producer, Chile, is
also expected to provide its outlook for economy. Alongside, media expected to post a trade surplus of
2024 profit and revenue growth with all conglomerate News Corp is expected $1.8 billion in the month of January.
eyes on spending trends in an to post higher second-quarter revenue,
uncertain economy.
2
Market Monitor
The S&P 500 closed slightly higher, as
investors scrutinized a mixed bag of
earnings at big U.S. companies and
digested comments from Federal
Reserve policy makers for clues about
its first planned interest-rate cut. "The
big macro news today is a couple of
Fed governors confirming what Powell
said over the weekend. It's putting a
little damper on markets today. It's a
little follow through from yesterday,"
said Peter Tuz, president of Chase
Investment Counsel in Charlottesville,
Virginia. The KBW Regional Banking
index ended 1.41% down at 96.63 as
New York Community Bancorp
plummeted 22.31%, stretching a selloff
since the lender's surprise quarterly
loss last week. The materials index
gained 1.70% to 519.5, as DuPont de
Nemours jumped 7.34%. The Dow
Jones Industrial Average rose 0.36%
to 38,520.70, the S&P 500 advanced Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S.,
January 31. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
0.23% to 4,954.23 and the Nasdaq
Composite gained 0.07% to 15,609.
The dollar slid against major Energy Outlook, the Energy
Treasury yields dipped as investors Department said U.S. crude oil
currencies, a day after it rose to its
awaited fresh signals on when the production will rise by 170,000 bpd this
highest level in almost three months,
Federal Reserve is likely to begin year; down from the previous
as strong economic data and a
cutting interest rates, while the forecasted rise of 290,000 bpd. Brent
hawkish stance on interest rates by
Treasury saw solid demand for an crude futures were up 0.9% at $78.69
Federal Reserve officials bolster the
auction of new three-year notes. a barrel, while U.S. West Texas
U.S. currency. The dominant storyline
Tuesday’s move is “maybe just a little Intermediate crude futures rose
for FX traders is a return to the U.S.
bit of exhaustion of the repricing that 0.96% to $73.48 a barrel.
economic exceptionalism trade from
we’ve seen over the past week,” said
the third quarter of 2023, said Matthew
Zachary Griffiths, senior investment Gold firmed after a pullback in the U.S.
Weller, global head of research at
grade strategist at CreditSights in dollar and Treasury yields, while
FOREX.com. "Now traders are
Charlotte, North Carolina. “That CPI traders positioned for remarks from
wondering if instead of whether we'll
print next week will really set the tone several Federal Reserve officials this
get a soft landing or recession, whether
of if we’re going higher and higher in week to gauge the likely pace of
we could have no landing or re-
yields, or if we’re going to move back to interest rate cuts this year. "We're
acceleration this year," he said. "To me
the middle of the recent range and May expecting gold prices to firm on the
it is a lot about the U.S. dollar, the Fed
is on the table," Griffiths said. The horizon with next week's CPI data
and the economic data that we're
Treasury Department sold $54 billion in release potentially being the catalyst.
seeing out of the U.S." The dollar
3-year notes, at a high yield of 4.169%. We expect a soft print on inflation and
index fell 0.29% to 104.15.
The bid-to-cover ratio was 2.58. gold to respond quite positively," he
Benchmark 10-year notes gained added. Spot gold rose 0.54% to
Oil futures climbed after the U.S.
19/32 to yield 4.0904%. Two-year $2,035.53 per ounce. U.S. gold
Energy Department said crude oil
notes were up 4/32, yielding 4.4036%. futures were 0.46% higher at $2052.3
production would not grow as fast as
30-year bonds rose 30/32, with a yield an ounce.
previously forecast. In its Short-Term
of 4.2926%.
3
Top News
Bolts appeared to be missing from earnings of $12.20 to $12.70, putting A220 program, which Shanahan said
plug door that flew off Boeing jet – the midpoint ahead of analysts' could conclude as early as this month.
agency estimates of $12.43 per share, While full scale robotics are
A door panel that flew off a Boeing 737 according to LSEG data. Fourth- "impractical" in Spirit's Wichita,
MAX 9 jet mid-flight on Jan. 5 quarter profit of $2.49 per share on an Shanahan said the company is looking
appeared to be missing four key bolts, adjusted basis, beat Wall Street to accelerate technology that can make
according to a preliminary report from expectations by 27 cents. it easier for mechanics to build the front
U.S. investigators that provided the first and rear portions of the 737 fuselage.
official look into how the frightening Spirit to ramp up robotics to reduce Spirit reported free cash flow of $42
mishap took shape. Photo evidence 737 fuselage problems million for the quarter due to $100
released shows bolts were missing Spirit AeroSystems will invest in million funding received from Boeing,
from the door plug, which had been autonomous technology to limit any but that fell short of analyst
removed to fix rivets that were defects in its production of Boeing 737 expectations of $122.35 million. The
damaged in the production process, fuselages, its CEO said after a series company had said it expects to
according to the independent U.S. of manufacturing problems and last generate free cash in 2024 after years
National Transportation Safety Board month's mid-air blowout on a 737 MAX of cash burn on cost overruns and
report. "The investigation continues to 9. Interim CEO Patrick Shanahan said supply jams.
determine what manufacturing that Spirit expects to have a repair plan
documents were used to authorize the identified within 72 hours. Spirit did not Palantir shares soar as Wall Street
opening and closing" of the plug during give a forecast for 2024, citing cheers revenue boost from AI push
the rivet rework," the report said. uncertainty on the timing of 737 MAX Palantir Technologies shares surged,
Separately, the head of the U.S. production increases and ongoing price as the data analytics software maker's
Federal Aviation Administration said on negotiations with Airbus focused on the strong fourth-quarter revenue growth
Tuesday the agency would post
inspectors at Boeing, following a 737
MAX 9 mid-air emergency, saying "the
current system is not working." To read
the full story, click here.
4
led by increased demand for its AI Millerchip. Galanti, who was CFO for while Leah Solivan could help with
offerings enthused investors. Revenue more than three decades, will remain shifting consumer behavior due to her
from Palantir's commercial segment with the membership-only retailer familiarity with AR/VR trends, the letter
rose 32% year-over-year to $284 through January 2025 in an advisory said.
million in the reported quarter, helping role to assist Gary during the transition.
the company post $608 million in The company topped market Centene quarterly revenue beats
overall revenue which beat LSEG expectations for quarterly revenue and estimates driven by higher
estimates. The surge in demand for the profit in December and saw a nearly premiums
company's AI platform helped offset 7.6% rise in total paid household Centene beat Wall Street estimates for
concern about slowdown at its largest members. fourth-quarter revenue, on the back of
segment that serves the U.S. higher premiums in its commercial
government due to uncertainty over DuPont sets $1 billion stock insurance business. The insurer
timing of contracts. Jefferies upgraded buyback target, hikes dividend after earned $7.41 billion in revenue from its
Palantir's shares to "hold" from Q4 profit beat commercial business offering private
"underperform," reversing its rating in DuPont de Nemours announced a new health insurance plans to individuals
just a month saying "we are impressed $1 billion stock repurchase program and families, up 68% year-over-year.
with AI Platform (AIP) ramping faster and a 6% rise in its quarterly dividend Commercial unit memberships jumped
than our initial expectation." Palantir after it beat Wall Street estimates for nearly 72% to 4.3 million, as of Dec.
also introduced an adjusted free cash fourth-quarter profit. For the fourth 31. Betting on continued growth in the
flow forecast, targeting between $800 quarter ended Dec. 31, the company commercial unit, Centene raised its full-
million and $1 billion in 2024, which reported an adjusted profit of 87 cents year 2024 premium and service
Jefferies called the "highlight" of the per share, above LSEG estimates of 85 revenue outlook to $134.5 billion-
report. The shares of the company cents, helped by reduced costs. The $137.5 billion, an increase of more than
ended 30.74% higher at $21.86. company forecast annual sales $2.5 billion at the mid-point from its
between $11.9 billion and $12.3 billion, previous forecast. Centene posted
WeWork founder Adam Neumann compared with analysts' average quarterly revenue of $39.46 billion,
trying to buy back company estimate of $12.3 billion. above analysts' estimates of $36.14
WeWork founder Adam Neumann is billion.
trying to buy back the flexible Blackwells recommends its Disney
workspace provider that filed for board nominees, suggests potential Spotify's user growth beats
bankruptcy in November, sources company split estimates, forecasts upbeat year
familiar with the matter said. Activist investor Blackwells Capital has Spotify reported fourth-quarter monthly
Neumann's new real estate company, urged Walt Disney shareholders to active users and subscribers ahead of
Flow Global, has sought to buy elect its three board candidates, expectations as it grew in all regions,
WeWork or its assets, as well as arguing they would help drive growth, and said revenue and profitability
provide bankruptcy financing to keep it review real estate holdings and bring trends looked favourable this year. The
afloat, the sources said. DealBook first tech expertise. Its nominees could help number of monthly active users rose by
reported the development, saying Disney "explore all strategic 23% to 602 million in the fourth quarter,
Neumann's lawyers sent a letter to possibilities with cold eyes" including a beating Spotify's guidance and
WeWork on Monday, claiming Daniel potential separation of the company analysts' forecasts of 601.33 million.
Loeb's hedge fund Third Point would into three entities that could eventually Premium subscribers, who account for
help finance the transaction. Third become standalone public companies, most of the company's revenue, rose
Point told Reuters it has held "only it also said in a letter to shareholders by 15% to 236 million, topping
preliminary conversations" with seen by Reuters. In the letter, estimates of 235.1 million, according to
Neumann and his property company Blackwells said it supports Disney CEO IBES data from LSEG. However,
Flow and has not made any financial Bob Iger and the changes he is making quarterly revenue, which rose 16% to
commitments. WeWork said it routinely but that even Iger "requires oversight 3.67 billion euros, missed estimates of
receives "expressions of interest" and and accountability". It said that Jessica 3.72 billion as it took a hit from foreign
reviews them to align with the best Schell, a former general manager of exchange losses. Its first-quarter
interests of the company." Warner Bros Home Entertainment, revenue is also expected to fall below
could help Disney reach "Netflix like expectations. The company expects
Costco veteran CFO to exit, Kroger's growth rate on subscribers and pricing current-quarter premium subscribers to
Millerchip to take over for Disney+." Craig Hatkoff, who has reach 239 million, above estimates of
Costco Wholesale said its longtime real estate and capital markets 238.3 million. However, the first-quarter
finance chief Richard Galanti will step experience, could help the company forecast was below Wall Street
down on March 15 and be succeeded think about utilising a hotel and expectations for total users and
by his counterpart at Kroger's Gary hospitality real estate investment trust, revenue.
5
A girl looks, as divers perform a dragon dance ahead of the Lunar New Year celebration at the Sea Life Bangkok Ocean World aquarium in Bangkok,
Thailand, February 6. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha
6
CANADA
Market Monitor COMING UP
GAINERS
Healthcare stocks, which includes Focus will now shift to minutes of BoC's Tilray Brands Inc 2.64 0.16 6.45
Lithium Americas Corp 5.48 0.30 5.79
pharmaceuticals and biotech firms, last policy meeting, due on
Precision Drilling Corp 84.07 4.20 5.26
advanced 2.81% to 23.43. Wednesday, where the bank left its key LOSERS
overnight rate unchanged. International Petroleum Corp 13.57 -0.79 -5.50
Energy stocks gained 0.65% to Park Lawn Corp 19.19 -0.58 -2.93
235.14 tracking higher oil prices. Energy Fuels Inc 9.84 -0.27 -2.67
Top News
Bank of Canada says more time is population growth through immigration in January from December to
needed to bring down inflation "means housing prices have declined C$1,062,111. "There will be more
Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff only modestly" despite the high interest competition between buyers in 2024 as
Macklem said more time was needed rates. demand picks up and the supply of
for monetary policy to ease price listings remains constrained. The end
pressures while he warned that the Toronto home sales outpace new result will be upward pressure on
biggest driver of prices - shelter costs - listings in January as market selling prices over the next two years,"
cannot be tamed by borrowing costs. tightens Mercer said.
"We can see monetary policy is Greater Toronto area home sales
working to bring down inflation... and jumped in January while new listings Canada's Ivey PMI rises to 9-month
we need to give monetary policy more increased more slowly, in a tightening high in January
time to ease the remaining price of market conditions that could lead to Canadian economic activity expanded
pressures," he said during a speech at a resurgence in house prices in the at its fastest pace in nine months in
the Montreal Council of Foreign coming months, data showed. Sales January, Ivey Purchasing Managers
Relations. Canada's acute housing surged 37% on an annual basis as Index (PMI) data showed. The
shortfall has pushed up the costs of some home buyers started to benefit seasonally adjusted index edged up to
buying or renting a property in Canada, from lower borrowing costs associated 56.5 in January from 56.3 in
and Macklem said shelter costs were with fixed-rate mortgages, while new December, posting its highest level
now the biggest contributor to above- listings increased 6.1% from January since April. The Ivey PMI measures the
target inflation. "Housing affordability is 2023, according to Toronto Regional month to month variation in economic
a significant problem in Canada - but Real Estate Board (TRREB) data. On a activity as indicated by a panel of
not one that can be fixed by raising or seasonally adjusted basis, sales rose purchasing managers from across
lowering interest rates," he said. In 9.6% month-on-month in January, the Canada. A reading above 50 indicates
testimony to the House of Commons second consecutive increase after a an increase in activity. The gauge of
last week, Macklem urged all levels of 19.5% growth in December. Seasonally employment dipped to an adjusted 57.2
government to resolve a "chronic adjusted new listings increased 4.6% in from 57.9 in December, while the
structural shortage" in housing supply. January after a 12.7% decline in the prices paid index was at 62.2, easing
On Tuesday, he said that years of previous month. The seasonally from 64.5. The unadjusted PMI rose to
supply shortages and a recent surge in adjusted average home price fell 6.5% 54.4 from 43.7.
7
WEALTH NEWS
FED POLICY
Fed's Mester open to rate cuts if clear inflation is easing
further
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester
said if the U.S. economy performs as she expects it could
open the door to rate cuts, but she’s not ready yet to offer any
timing for easier policy amid ongoing inflation uncertainty.
“Monetary policy is in a good place from which to assess and
respond” to risks to the outlook, Mester said in the text of a
speech to be delivered before a gathering of the Ohio Bankers
League in Columbus, Ohio. “The current strength in labor
market conditions and the strong spending data give us the
opportunity to keep the nominal funds rate at its current level
while we gather more evidence that inflation truly is on a
sustainable and timely path back to 2%,” she said. And when it
comes to the prospect of lowering the Fed’s short-term rate
target, Mester said if the economy moves forward as expected, A file photo shows Loretta J. Mester, president and CEO of the Federal
Fed officials will gain confidence price pressures are easing Reserve Bank of Cleveland, looks on at Teton National Park where
financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole
and “then we can begin moving rates down. My base case is
Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, August 26, 2022.
that we will do so at a gradual pace so that we can continue to REUTERS/Jim Urquhart
manage the risks to both sides of our mandate.”
TRADER SURVEY
Inflation, US election to drive 2024 markets - JPMorgan trader survey
Inflation and the U.S. presidential election will be the biggest drivers of global markets this year, while liquidity challenges are a
growing focus, according to traders surveyed by JPMorgan.
YELLEN TESTIMONY
Yellen concerned about US commercial real estate but says stresses manageable
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she is concerned about looming commercial real estate stresses on banks and
property owners, but believes the situation is manageable with assistance from bank regulators.
STOCK BUYBACKS
US stock buyback plans picking up in earnings season, EPFR says
U.S. stock buybacks are picking up, with corporate announcements this earnings season trending above the prior two quarters
and above the average of the past 12 earnings periods, according to EPFR.
BANK EXPANSION
JPMorgan to open more than 500 new bank branches over next three years
JPMorgan Chase said it was embarking on one of its most aggressive bank branch expansions in recent years, with plans to
add more than 500 new U.S. locations by 2027 to broaden its footprint in areas where it is under-represented.
8
KEY RESULTS
Company Name* Quarter ET Smart Estimates EPS Estimates** Year Ago Rev Estimates (mln)
*Includes companies on S&P 500 index. **Estimates may be updated or revised; release times based on company guidance or past practice.
The Day Ahead - North America is compiled by Nachiket Tekawade and Haritha K P in Bengaluru.