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probability in solving problems

related to different fields of


endeavour.
I. LEARNING
OBJECTIVES
At the end of the one-hour
period (60-minute period), the
students should be able to:
Knowledge 1. define
probability
Skills 2. find the probability
of simple events
Attitude 3. express appreciation
on the importance of probability
in
real-lif
I. LEARNING
OBJECTIVES
At the end of the one-hour
period (60-minute period), the
students should be able to:
Knowledge 1. define
probability
Skills 2. find the probability
of simple events
Attitude 3. express appreciation
on the importance of probability
in
real-lif
EARNING OBJECTIVES
At the end of the one-hour
period (60-minute period), the
students should be able to:
Knowledge 1. define
probability
Skills 2. find the probability
of simple events
Attitude 3. express appreciation
on the importance of probability
in
real-life
TEACHER’S ACTIVITIES STUDENT’S ACTIVITIES

A. Preparation (5 minutes) (Prayer)


May I request everyone to stand
up and start our day with a
prayer. (Greetings) Good
morning class
Before you take your seat, please
arrange your chair.
Let me remind you our classroom
rules.
1. Raise your hand if you want to
answer.
2. No using of cellphones.
3. Respect each other

(Checking of attendance)

Who can recall our topic Our topic yesterday ma’am is about
yesterday? Theoretical and Experimental Probability

B. Presentation
(40 minutes)
a. Activity (5 minutes)
Before we proceed to our proper discussion,
let’s have first an activity. Who wants to have
an activity class?
We will discuss today the probability of simple
events. Please listen carefully because at the
end of our discussion, you are expected to
define probability, find the probability of
simple events and express appreciation on
the importance of probability in real-life
.
Discussion Proper (20 minutes)
Let us first define probability and simple
events.
What comes into your mind when you hear
the word probability?

Probability is the measure of how likely an


event is to occur. The more likely an event is
to occur, the higher its probability. The less
likely an event is to occur, the lower its
probability
Simple event – it is an event which has a
single outcome.
Example: In rolling a die, what is the
probability of getting 4?
How many favorable outcomes do we have?
You’re correct, Jessa How many possible
outcomes? 7 possible outcomes?
Are you sure? Look at this die and count the
possible outcomes.
Now how many possible outcomes do we
have in rolling a die? Very good. So, there is 1
favorable outcome and 6 possible outcomes,
therefore P(4) = 1 ¿ 6

Based on the example, how are you going to


compute for the probability of simple events?
Again, the probability of getting 4 is 1/6 ,
where 1 is the favorable outcome and 6 is the
number of all possible outcomes.

You’re right! The probability of simple event is


the ratio that compares the number of
favorable outcomes to the number of possible
outcomes.
In our activity earlier, solve the probability of
winning the game and losing the game. So,
the probability of winning is 1/2 and losing
the game is ½
Let me show you the probability line (show
the probability line)
.

There are 4 probability rules 1. The probability


of any event is a number (either a fraction, a
decimal, or a percent)
Example: The weather forecast shows 70%
rain. P(rain) = 70% or .7 or 7 /10
2. If an event will never happen, then its
probability is 0.
Example: When a single die is rolled, find the
probability of getting an 8.
Since the sample space consists of 1, 2,3,4,5
and 6. It is impossible to get an 8. Hence, P(8)
= 0/6 = 0
Do you have any question class before we
proceed to the 3rd rule?
From the probability formula P(Event)=
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟
𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠 P(8) = 0/6 = 0
3. If an event is sure to happen, then the
probability is 1.
Example: When a single die is rolled, what is
the probability of getting a number less than
7.
Solve for the probability getting a number less
than 7.
How many possible outcomes?
Good, there are 6 possible outcomes.
What are those outcomes?
Correct! Now, what is the number of
favorable outcomes? Are you sure it’s 1?
All the outcomes are 1,2,3,4,5, and 6 right?
What is the event?
Then all outcomes are less than 7?
Again, what is the number of the favorable
outcomes?
Very good!
You can now solve the probability of getting a
number less than 7 because you have already
identified the number of favorable outcomes
and all possible outcomes
4. The sum of the probabilities of all outcomes
in the sample space is 1.
Example: If a fair coin is flipped,
P(T) = 1 /2 and P(H) = 1/ 2
P(T) + P(H) = 1 /2 + 1 /2 = 1
Do you have any question about the
probability rules class?
One and only reminder class, your answer
should be on the simplified form. Okay?
For example, 13/ 52 ,what is the simplified
form of this?

d. Application (5 minutes)

(Group activity) Now let’s apply your


understanding about the probability of simple
events.
I will divide the group into 4, under your
chairs, there are strips of papers with number.
The number will indicate what group you
belong.
I will flash on the screen the situation and
your task is in this piece of paper.
Then I will provide the materials needed and
you will write your answer here in the manila
paper. I’ll give you 3 minutes and after that
choose a representative to present your work.
Go now to your groups. Move silently. Don’t
make any noise.
You may now start.
(the teacher flash on the screen the situation)
Situation: Pick and Carry is having an IPOD
giveaway. They put all the IPOD shuffles in a
bag. Customers may choose an IPOD without
looking at the color. Inside the bag, there are
4 orange, 5 blue, 6 green and 5 pink IPODS.
Group 1. If Maria chooses one IPOD at
random, what is the probability that she will
choose an orange IPOD?
Group 2. If Maria chooses one IPOD at
random, what is the probability that she will
choose a blue IPOD? Group 3. If Maria
chooses one IPOD at random, what is the
probability that she will choose a green IPOD?
Group 4. If Maria chooses one IPOD at
random, what is the probability that she will
choose a pink IPOD? Okay time’s up. Please
arrange now your chairs. In presenting your
work no need to come here in front just stand
in your place and show your work to your
classmates.
Group 1 start.
Group 2
Group 3 Group 4
e. Generalization (5 minutes)
A while ago we discuss about probability of
simple events and probability rules.
As a recap, what is probability? The
probability rules state that: 1. The probability
of any event is a number either a ____, a ____
and a ____

2. If an event will never happen, then its


probability is __.
3. If an event is sure to happen, then the
probability is __.
4. The sum of the probabilities of all outcomes
in the sample space is __
(The teacher gives the instruction and
administers the exam.)
Instruction: Answer directly in a ¼ sheet of
paper.
A. Define probability (3pts each)
B. Find the probability of the following: (2pts
each)
1. If a letter is chosen at the random from the
word PERSEVERANCE, what is the probability
that the letter chosen is E?
2. What is the probability of getting an 8 from
a deck of 52 cards?
3. Earl Darenz is asked to choose a day from a
week. What is the probability of choosing a
day which starts with S
V. Assignment (2 minutes)
A. List down at least three situations from
your experiences, wherein you wondered for
a probability of a certain event.
B. Study in advance about Measures of
Central Tendencies.

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