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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
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(Dr.Paul Baguley)
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2
MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
Executive Summary
This Case Study Report for Risk Management and Mitigation in FIFA World Cup Projects summarized
that, projects have to face several threats from different sources and it is not sure incident
and it is the main reason that both planning and measuring are the vital elements in risk
management. The vital source of risk is derived from project procurement and it should be
managed in a professional routine. Because the project risk can happen as threats or
opportunities, therefore analysis and measuring project risks is vital, because a threat
impact on project goals and the opportunities become a loss.
Based on the FIFA World Cup 2014 mega event case study and project and procurement risk
analysis recognized that world cup 2014 Brazil has made failures in big event projects and
made project loss by lacking opportunities, under this circumstances overall risk and project
management has to measure and manage with appropriate tools and follows a professional
approach for risk management and its mitigation. Therefore recommended to focus on the
unmanaged area of the project:-
1. The lack of sufficient communication networks impacted the mega event, due to that
telecasting and data transfer disrupted, therefore focus on strengthening networks
connectivity in big events projects in hosting countries.
2. Domestic transportations like domestic air, road transportation and lack of rail
connectivity and poor road condition impact the mega event severely, therefore
strongly recommended developing infrastructure facilities for different mode of
transportation prior to big event projects in hosting country.
3. Accommodation facilities were greatly in short supply during the big event in hosting
country, therefore accommodation infrastructure to be confirmed prior to big events
in hosting countries.
3
MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
Table of Contents
TABLE OF CONTENTS..................................................................................................................................... 4
LIST OF FIGURES........................................................................................................................................... 4
LIST OF TABLES............................................................................................................................................. 5
1. INTRODUCTION......................................................................................................................................... 5
2. RISK AND PROJECT MANAGEMENT CONCEPTS.......................................................................................... 7
2.1 CONCEPTS IN RISK MANAGEMENT.........................................................................................................................7
2.2 THEORIES AND DEFINITIONS..................................................................................................................................8
2.3 RISK ATTITUDES AND ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOUR.................................................................................................8
3. RISK IDENTIFICATION AND MEASURING.................................................................................................... 9
3.1 BUILD UP THE CONTEXT.......................................................................................................................................9
3.2 IDENTIFY PROJECT RISK......................................................................................................................................10
3.2.1 What to Identify...................................................................................................................................11
3.2.3 Tools and techniques to Identify Risk...................................................................................................13
3.3 EVALUATE AND ASSESS THE RISK..........................................................................................................................16
3.4 PROJECT PROCUREMENT RISK.............................................................................................................................17
3.5 OPTIONS FOR RISK RESPONSE PLAN.....................................................................................................................19
3.6 CONTROL PROJECT RISK.....................................................................................................................................19
4. PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY................................................................................................. 19
4.1 CONSTRUCTION OF RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY................................................................................................20
4.2 RISK MANAGEMENT ROLES, RESPONSIBILITIES AND COMMUNICATION.......................................................................20
CONCLUSION.............................................................................................................................................. 21
RECOMMENDATIONS.................................................................................................................................. 21
REFERENCES............................................................................................................................................... 22
APPENDIX................................................................................................................................................... 25
List of Figures
Figure 1Four Types of Risk Mitigation---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5
Figure 2Risk Management Activities------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7
Figure 3 Risk Attitude & Behaviour Classification--------------------------------------------------------------------8
Figure 4 Overall Risk Assessment Templates for FIFA Tournaments------------------------------------------10
Figure 5 Overview of Operational Risk-------------------------------------------------------------------------------11
Figure 6 Risk Identification & Risk Management-------------------------------------------------------------------12
Figure 7. Risk Matrix Template----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 13
Figure 8 Risk Analysis and Management---------------------------------------------------------------------------13
Figure 9Fish Bone Cause Effect Template----------------------------------------------------------------------------15
Figure 10 RBS- Risk Breakdown Structure---------------------------------------------------------------------------15
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
List of Tables
Table 1Project Risk Identification........................................................................................................12
Table 2 Cause - Risk Effect Analysis.....................................................................................................14
Table 3Probability and Impact Metrics................................................................................................16
Table 4Procurement Risk Part 1/2.......................................................................................................17
Table 5Procurement Risk Part 2/2.......................................................................................................18
Table 6Procurement Risk - Example....................................................................................................19
Table 7Risk Management Responsibilities...........................................................................................20
Table 8 Risk Management Responsibilities..........................................................................................21
1. Introduction
Refers to the FIFA report[ CITATION Jac14 \l 16393 ] in Brazil there is disparities in infrastructure due
the geographical specialities and poor conditions. The 70% of the bidding process come to those
already have the infrastructure or others have to demonstrate the plans that ensure the criteria will
be met.
South Africa spent $4 billion for preparation of world cup, Brazil spent $15 billion, Russia spent $ 14
billion on infrastructure beyond stadiums and Qatar spent $220 billion and they are started from
scratch, therefore it is not a typo. Therefore it is vital that these mega projects or events required
investments for infrastructure and managing big events required project management efficiency.
Risk is the unintended or likelihood likewise danger, failure. Loss and its management are
the recognizing and measuring the risks in order to respond to it and the risk concept wide-
ranging to the uncertainty concept. The risk handling or risk mitigation (Fig.1) is the process
that has some functions likewise identifies, evaluates, select and implement options to set
the risks acceptable levels that with the constraints and objectives, besides that it includes
the essentials on what ought to be done, when it should be accomplished and who is
responsible. In addition, the related cost and schedule and most appropriate and relevant
strategy should selected from the mitigation option for risk avoidance, risk controlling, risk
transfer or sharing and risk assumption to achieve targeted goals.
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
6
MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
The risk management of a project has sequential stages [CITATION Fra05 \l 16393 ], likewise,
building up the context of risk, identifying the project risk, measuring the risk or evaluate and assess
the risk, plan of responses of risk besides monitoring and controlling the risk. (Fig.2)
Figure 2Risk Management Activities
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
As and above there is in risk management stages required a well maintained communication system
among the stake holder, such as communicating risk of project beginning to end of the project cycle
is highly vital. [ CITATION Car04 \l 16393 ]
Concerning with project management, the risk management is the practicing of recognizing
and evaluating risks for mitigating to achieve the potential to impact on targeted results and
project managers are responsible to supervising the risk management process during the
project life. The effective management of risk required a clear understanding of the
objectives and it let to identify the possible barriers that impact the result. [ CITATION Sco20 \l
16393 ]
““Risk management is really about looking at your project objectives and figuring out what the
threats to those objectives are, and what you can do to address them from the beginning,”
[ CITATION Con21 \l 16393 ], besides that [ CITATION Con21 \l 16393 ]defines project risk as, “…a
future event that may or may not happen which, if it does happen, will have some impact on the
objectives of the project. It could be positive—an opportunity, or negative—a threat.””
Risk and risk management theories enriched with many definitions from scholars, but it is used the
word Risk in common life use likewise, physically risk, psychological risk, economical risk,
investments risk and social risk. Refers to [ CITATION Ave12 \l 16393 ], in eighteenth century the
concept of risk was an unfavourable event that unmeasurable and it at in early (1940) twentieth
century specifically in USA it defined as measurable uncertainty. Refers to [ CITATION ISO21 \l
16393 ], risk is the, ““effect of uncertainty on objectives and an effect is a positive or negative
deviation from what is expected”.
How beneficial the risk is, Van Scoy argues that, [CITATION Van92 \l 16393 ] , if the risk is
negative something can learn from it for the future, but other definitions and literature
deals it opposite direction likewise, [ CITATION Ave12 \l 16393 ], the risk management leads
one to design some actions for implementation, if there is hazards and it reduces the
consequences, therefore these concepts or definitions shows a common factor there, such
as “”think about the future”” for minimizing threats and maximising opportunities.
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
In the framework of organizational decision makers, there are factors directly or indirectly
influence the decision makers such as the organizations culture and style, such as in big
events private sector and public sector involvements are vital, therefore identifying and
assessing the risks depends the attitude of organizational behaviour. Therefore risk attitude
defined as, ““a chosen state of mind concerning those uncertainties that could have a
positive or negative effect on objectives. Risk Attitudes are generally implemented
subconsciously and without mindful validation. However, like any other attitude, risk
attitudes are a choice for an individual or group.”” [ CITATION Mat20 \l 16393 ].
Refers to [ CITATION Hil07 \l 16393 ] risk attitude define as, “what is the chosen response
/mentality of acting regarding the uncertain events that may cause an impact”. Therefore
the risk attitude and behaviour classified into four categories (Fig.3), Risk- averse, Risk-
tolerance, Risk-natural and Risk seeking.
Risk-averse type means, not welcoming the ambiguity and uncertainty and they search for a security
of facts and practical analysis[ CITATION Car05 \l 16393 ], but in case of risk-tolerance they accepting
most of uncertainty and seeks the risk as a daily event [ CITATION Ros93 \l 16393 ], but in Risk-
natural are ready to accept the risk if it is worthy and guaranteed benefits and ready to make
strategies and tactics prior to go for risks.[ CITATION Car05 \l 16393 ]. Risk-seeking always welcome
the challenges and capacity to adapt according to the situation and requirements and in recognizing
risk process they identify only less risk.
Refers to [ CITATION ISO21 \l 16393 ], “Risk identification is a process that involves finding,
recognizing, and describing the risks that could influence the achievement of objectives”.
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
It identifies the possible sources of risks for events and circumstances those impact the
attainments of objectives, besides it includes the possible causes and probable
consequences. In an organization to find the risk can use historical data, theoretical analysis,
informed opinions, expert advice and stakeholder input to recognize.
Refers to [ CITATION Jey02 \l 16393 ], outsourcing the risk identification process to external
specialist is not better and it has to be involved by the teams of organization and it can
breakdown to physical, people, management categories and studying the characteristics of
the project, organizations process assets and culture.
Figure 4 Overall Risk Assessment Templates for FIFA Tournaments
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
11
MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
Refers to (Hall, 2008) and [ CITATION Fra07 \l 16393 ], both were argued for set a guide line
for what should be identify from the project point of view, such as analyse the root cause of
the risk that affect project objectives like natural phenomena, human made or
psychological. etc., and for instance, natural phenomena like natural calamities, human
made is like terrorist activities, psychological is like uncomfortable work environment.
If analyse the risk triggers, such as if mix of work groups from the different cultural
backgrounds to the project chances to raise problems due to lack of cultural fitness of
workers. Besides that assess for the potential damages and it may harm the project and
organizing body, such as if the organizing stage of the project and if it on critical and if not
having expert to do the technical work or it done lately or wrongly will cost the project
severely.
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
13
MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
There are several tools exist for risk analysis and it independent to the project
characteristics[ CITATION Hal08 \l 16393 ] , have provided analysis tools and those are broadly
using in the complex projects, likewise:-
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
Refers to [ CITATION Goo21 \l 16393 ], assess means; ““ascertain the size, amount, or degree of
(something) by using an instrument or device marked in standard units.””
The projects has many levels of risk and it related to various factors like cost, quality, time,
procurement and all of these have not the same degree of impact. Therefore different tools
and techniques are required to measure different variables and it helps to point out the
various levels of risk based on the urgency as well as priority of the risk. [ CITATION FuS12 \l
16393 ], [ CITATION She10 \l 16393 ]
There are theories and techniques to assess and measure the risk, such as, gap analysis, scenario
analysis, derivative risk measures, risk’s probability and impact (Table 3)
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
18
MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
19
MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
20
MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
Avoid threats
Utilise opportunities
Transfer the threats
Share the opportunities
Accept the plan due to lack of further resources to spent
Every risk has a particular and specific risk owner and if act, the risk is to be true or the trigger will be
achieved the desired target.
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
22
MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
Conclusion
To recapitulate, if there is a failure in managing the project risk caused a project failure, due
to that, organizations should have to identify risk level or type of risk that involved in the
activities. The project risk can happen as threats or opportunities, therefore analysis and
measuring project risks is vital, because a threat impact on project goals and the
opportunities become a loss.
The projects have to face several threats from different sources and it is not sure incident
and it is the main reason that both planning and measuring are the vital elements in risk
management. The vital source of risk is derived from project procurement and it is should
be managed in a professional routine.
The project and its risk management includes an organized process and it connected
together and efficient managing of project risk to have select the suitable tools and
techniques, besides that decide the responsibilities and allocate to the right responsible
person to ensure the project is under supervision during the life cycle.
Recommendations
Based on the FIFA World Cup 2014 mega event case study and project and procurement risk
analysis recognized that world cup 2014 Brazil has made failures in big event projects and
made project loss by lacking opportunities, under this circumstances overall risk and project
management has to measure and manage with appropriate tools and follows a professional
approach for risk management and its mitigation. Therefore recommended to focus on the
unmanaged area of the project:-
4. The lack of sufficient communication networks impacted the mega event, due to that
telecasting and data transfer disrupted, therefore focus on strengthening networks
connectivity in big events projects in hosting countries.
5. Domestic transportations like domestic air, road transportation and lack of rail
connectivity and poor road condition impact the mega event severely, therefore
strongly recommended developing infrastructure facilities for different mode of
transportation prior to big event projects in hosting country.
6. Accommodation facilities were greatly in short supply during the big event in hosting
country, therefore accommodation infrastructure to be confirmed prior to big events
in hosting countries.
References
1. Anderson.et, a., 2001. Credit Risk Optimization with Conditional Value-at-risk Criterion.
Mathematical Pragramming, 2(89), pp. 273-291.
2. Antonio B, B. G., 2013. Risk Management How to Assess, Transfer and Communicate Critical
Risks. DOI: 10.1007/978-88-470-2531-8 ed. s.l.:s.n.
3. Aven, T., 2012. The Risk Concept - historical and reecent development trends.. Reliability
Engineering & System Safety, Volume 93, pp. 33-44.
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
4. Carbone T.A, T. D., 2004. Project Risk Management using the project risk FMEA.. Engineering
Management Journal, 16(4), pp. 28-35.
14. Fraser & Cooper, B., 2005. Risk Management :developing a framework for a water authority.
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Biomedical Engineering, Volume 9, pp. 375-394.
16. Gaudenzi B, 2006. New Theories of Risk Management Approaches in the Integration of
Enterprises Management. NY: USA: s.n.
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
17. Hall M, 2008. The effect of Comprehensive Performance Measurement Systems on Role
Clarity. Accounting Organizations and Society, 2(33), pp. 141-163.
18. Hillson D, e., 2007. Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude. In: Understanding and
Managing Risk Attitude. s.l.:Gower Publishing LTD.
19. Hillson, D. D., 2004. Assessing Risk Prabability, Aleternative Approaches . In: Hall.M, ed.
Assessing Risk Prabability, Aleternative Approaches . Prague, Czech Republic: Gower
Publisher, pp. 1-5.
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
%20of%20a%20given%20project.
[Accessed 25 April 2021].
31. Roszkowski, e., 1993. Risk Tolerence and Risk Aversion. The Tools & Technics of Financial
Planning, Volume 4, pp. 213-225.
32. Shedden P, S. W. A. A., 2010. Information Security Risk Assessment: towards a business
practice perspective,. In the proceeding of the 8th Australian Information Security
Management Conference,, pp. 110-130.
34. Van Scoy, R., 1992. Software Development Risk: Opportunity, not problems. CMU/SE192-TR-
30 ed. Mellon: Carnegie - Mellon UNIV PITTSBURGH PA SOFTWARE ENGINEERING INST.
Appendix
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7
Risk & Procurement Management –Unit Code –BSS054-6 Assessment-1 University of Bedfordshire
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MSc Project Management, Level- 7