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Time Value of Money and Interest Rates
Time Value of Money and Interest Rates
TIME VALUE OF MONEY AND INTEREST RATES that you have a friend who needs P5 today and
promises to pay you P10 next month. In your analysis,
In this topic, we look at the technical details of how interest rates affect you would think: “If I use my P5 today, I’ll get three
the value of financial securities by reviewing time value of money candies. But, if I let my friend borrow this P5 that I
concepts. For example, interest rates have a direct and immediate have, I’ll get P10 next month and by then I would get
effect on the value of virtually all financial securities—that is, interest 4 candies kay because of inflation P5:2candies and
rates affect the price or value the seller of a security receives and the since ni earn man ka og interest na P5, then I can buy
buyer of a security pays in organized financial markets. 4. Or, if you would but 3 candies now, you get to
spend around P7.50, mas mahal kaysa sa P5 last
Time Value of Money month but since you earned interest, you’re still P2.50
richer.)
▪ Time value of money is the basic notion that a dollar received ▪ So you get to ask, in the perspective of your
today is worth more than a dollar received at some future date. friend, why would he be willing to pay P10
This is because a dollar received today can be invested and its next month in exchange of P5 today? There
value enhanced by an interest rate or return such that the are a lot of factors. It could be that he has an
investor receives more than a dollar in the future. emergency (see the danger of not setting
Also with the concept of inflation, people normally choose to aside emergency fund so as early as now, start
spend now rather than in the future. (Example, with the P5 that saving na mo for rainy days) or he has a
we have today, we can buy 3 candies. Let’s say that there is a positive problem where he can invest the P5
hyperinflation and we project that our P5 next month can buy and earn more. Example mag business siya
2 candies only. Normally, we choose to buy today because our which gives him a return of P20 next month.
P5 is worth 3 candies rather than the value of 2 candies next
month. Review concept of inflation please. If you do not buy The time value of money concept specifically assumes that
the candies now, alkansi ka og 1 candy by next month diba. any interest or other return earned on a dollar invested over
So this concept forces you to spend now rather than in the any given period of time (e.g., two, three, four, . . . years) is
future because you’re 1 candy richer.) immediately reinvested—that is, the interest return is
o But what if you do not really need the candies now? compounded. This is in contrast to the concept of simple
To compensate you for delaying consumption (i.e., interest, which assumes that interest returns earned are not
saving), you are paid a rate of interest by those who reinvested over any given time period.
wish to consume more today than their current o compound interest-interest earned on an investment is
resources permit (users of funds). (So since you do reinvested.
not really wish nor need to spend, you would rather o simple interest-interest earned on an investment is not
invest your money at an interest rate more than reinvested.
enough to cover inflation para dili ka alkansi (refer to
previous notes in nominal interest rate, inflation and
real interest rate). In a layman’s perspective, let us say
LECTURE NOTES | TIME VALUE OF MONEY | GRC
Example 2–5 Calculation of Simple and Compounded CALCULATION OF COMPOUNDED INTEREST RETURN
Interest Returns If, instead, the annual interest earned is reinvested immediately after
it is received at 12 percent (i.e., interest is compounded), the value of
CALCULATION OF SIMPLE INTEREST RETURN the investment at the end of the first
Suppose you have $1,000 to invest for a period of two years. year is:
Currently, default risk-free one-year securities (such as those issued
by the U.S. Treasury) are paying a 12 percent interest rate per year, on
the last day of each of the two years over your investment horizon.
Notice that after the first year of the two-year investment horizon, you
If you earn simple annual interest on this investment, or you do not have $1,120 whether the investment earns simple or compounded
reinvest the annual (12 percent) interest earned, the value of your interest. With compounded interest, however, the $120 in interest
investment at the end of the first year is: earned in year 1 is reinvested in year 2. Thus, the whole $1,120 is
carried forward and earns interest in year 2. In this case, the value of
the investment at the end of the two-year investment horizon is:
The above illustrates the value of the investment over the two-year
investment horizon using compounded interest. By compounding
interest using time value of money principles, an investor increases his
or her return compared to the simple interest return. In the example
above using a two-year investment horizon, a 12 percent annual
interest rate, and an initial investment of $1,000, the investment is
worth $1,254.40 at the end of two years under compounded returns
rather than $1,240 using simple interest to calculate returns.
The time value of money concept can be used to convert cash flows
earned over an investment horizon into a value at the end of the
investment horizon. This is called the investment’s future value (FV)
and is the same as that in the compounded return example above.
LECTURE NOTES | TIME VALUE OF MONEY | GRC
This is done by discounting future cash flows back to the present using
the current market interest rate. The present value of an investment is
the intrinsic value or price of the investment.
LECTURE NOTES | TIME VALUE OF MONEY | GRC
Calculation of Present Value of a Lump Sum rates is one of the most fundamental relationships in finance and is
You have been offered a security investment such as a bond that will evident in the swings that occur in financial asset prices whenever
pay you $10,000 at the end of six years in exchange for a fixed major changes in interest rates arise.
payment today. If the appropriate annual interest rate on the
investment is 8 percent compounded annually, the present value of this Note also that as interest rates increase, the present values of the
investment is computed as follows: investment decrease at a decreasing rate. The fall in present value is
greater when interest rates rise by 4 percent, from 8 percent to 12
percent, compared to when they rise from 12 percent to 16 percent—
the inverse relationship between interest rates and the present value of
security investments is neither linear nor proportional.
If the annual interest rate on the investment rises to 12 percent, the
present value of this investment becomes: Finally, from this example notice that the greater the number of
compounding periods per year (i.e., semiannually versus annually),
the smaller the present value of a future amount.
Notice from the previous examples that the present values of the
security investment decrease as interest rates increase. This is because
as interest rates increase, fewer funds need to be invested at the
beginning of an investment horizon to receive a stated amount at the
end of the investment horizon. This inverse relationship between the
value of a financial instrument—for example, a bond—and interest
LECTURE NOTES | TIME VALUE OF MONEY | GRC
ANNUITY DUE In the first calculation example above, the EAR on the 16 percent
If the annuity is paid on the first day of each quarter, an extra interest simple return compounded semiannually (i.e., r =16%/2 =8% and c=
payment would be earned on each $10,000 investment. Thus, the time 2) is computed as:
value of money equation for the future value of an annuity becomes: