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Opportunities:
1. Positive outlook of the asset management industry
2. Growth of retail savings and investments in Asia pacific
3. High opportunity to expand into developing countries like India through acquisitions
Threats:
1. Uncertainty in the current Asian and world financial markets will affect the business
2.Increasing competition from European and American banks will affect the bank
3. Liquidity regulations can affect the bank
Recommendation:
It is of the view that the bank will maintain its strong market position, its sound capital and earning
capability, as well as its adequate risk management in the coming 18 months to 24 months. DBS
Bank can likely face increasing downward pressures on its financial profile due to the turning of the
credit cycle in Asia. The lender's loan growth is expected remain at low-single-digit levels over the
next 24 months, but its capital position is expected to remain adequate.
With net profit yoy growth of more than 40% it is expected that the bank's earnings to recover this
year after DBS stepped up provisions in 2020.
With NPL at 1.5% as on 31 March 2020 with provision coverage ratio at 88%, the bank has adopted
a focused strategy to manage stressed assets, and NPAs in the challenging macroeconomic
environment and pandemic aftereffects.
The Group achieved a strong first-quarter as total income rose 13% or $475 million from a year ago
to cross $4 billion for the first time. Net interest income, fee income and other non-interest income
all recorded increases year-on-year, growing by 7%, 14% and 39% respectively. Net interest
margin was stable on quarter at 1.86%. Expenses were well-managed, declining by 3% from the
previous quarter. Cost-to-income ratio improved to 39%. Operating profit before allowances rose
20% from a year ago to a new high of $2.5 billion, which allowed us to pre-emptively set aside $700
million of general allowances to fortify our balance sheet against risks arising from the ongoing
Covid-19 pandemic. The charge increased the amount of general provision reserves by 29% to
$3.23 billion, or 1.08% of assets under regulatory definition. With the build-up of general
provisions, first quarter net profit declined 29% to $1.17 billion. The NPL rate rose to 1.6% from
1.5% the previous quarter. Allowance coverage of NPL was at 92%, and allowance coverage of
unsecured NPL was at 173%.
Liquidity is healthy. Deposits recorded their highest quarterly increase of $30 billion, rising 7%.
The loan-deposit ratio declined from 89% in the previous quarter to 83%. Both the liquidity
coverage ratio of 133% and the net stable funding ratio of 112% were well above regulatory
requirements. The Common Equity Tier-1 ratio of 13.9% was above the group’s target operating
range of 12.5% to 13.5%, and well above regulatory requirements of 9.1%
The Group has ensured that its LCR remains above the specified regulatory minimum requirements
which is achieved by:
(i) Establishing internal early warning triggers and thresholds based on observed movements
in LCR over time.
(ii) Monitoring and managing the LCR closely to ensure it stays within established boundaries;
and
(iii) Strategically managing the liquidity risk arising from the balance sheet structure.
The Group maintains a healthy liquidity position by keeping a stable balance sheet structure that is
supported by a diversified funding base.
The DBS Group strives to develop a diversified funding base with access to funding sources across
retail and wholesale channels. The Group's funding strategy is anchored on strengthening the core
deposit franchise as the foundation of its long-term funding advantage.
With DBS having strong free cash flows that provide resources in the hand of the company to
expand into new projects. DBS has built expertise at entering new markets and making success of
them. The expansion has helped the organization to build new revenue stream and diversify the
economic cycle risk in the markets it operates in.
With 25%-50% of small and midsize enterprise portfolio still being under moratorium, it is also
likely that credit costs and nonperforming loans to remain elevated this year before recovering in
2022. DBS reported an NPL ratio of 1.6% in the fourth quarter, unchanged over the previous three
months and higher than 1.5% in the fourth quarter of the previous year.
With the purchase of India's Lakshmi Vilas Bank Ltd. in November 2020 it will also help it grow in
the key South Asian market, though the acquisition dragged on the company's result via elevated
impairment provisions as Lakshmi Vilas Bank's impairments were absorbed by DBS, adding S$212
million in nonperforming assets.
While the effects of the COVID-19 credit downturn may persist for another six months to a year, it
can be believed DBS has enough financial resilience supported by the bank's leadership in
Singapore, diversified regional presence, sound capital buffer and risk profile, as well as strong
deposit funding base