Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Think About AI
Mark Whittle
Webinar
December 3rd 2019
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may not be reproduced or distributed in any form without Gartner’s prior written permission. It consists of the opinions of Gartner’s research
organization, which should not be construed as statements of fact. While the information contained in this publication has been obtained from
sources believed to be reliable, Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although
Gartner research may address legal and financial issues, Gartner does not provide legal or investment advice and its research should not be
construed or used as such. Your access and use of this publication are governed by Gartner’s Usage Policy. Gartner prides itself on its reputation
for independence and objectivity. Its research is produced independently by its research organization without input or influence from any third party.
For further information, see “Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity.”
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Most CIOs Plan to Invest in AI Soon
Percentage of CIOs
No interest 9%
n = 2,882 CIOs
Source: 2019 Gartner CIO Survey
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CHROs Are Interested, Too
n = 209 CHROs
Source: 2019 Gartner AI in HR Survey
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Talk of AI Can Evoke Fear
Source: You Will Lose Your Job to a Robot—and Sooner Than You Think, Mother Jones.
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Talk of AI Can Evoke Fear
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AI Is Unknown for Most Employees
8% Don’t Know
28% Yes
n = 5,219 employees
Source: 2019 Gartner Employee Experience Panel Survey
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Our First Question
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Employees Have a Fairly Positive Outlook on AI
n = 5,219 employees
Source: 2019 Gartner Employee Experience Panel Survey
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They Don’t Think AI Is an Immediate Threat
25% Agree
n = 5,219 employees
Source: 2019 Gartner Employee Experience Panel Survey
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And, They Feel They’ll Be Taken Care Of
Q: If a new technology emerged that could replace your job and save the
organization money, how do you think your organization would respond?
Percentage of employees
n = 5,219 employees
Source: 2019 Gartner Employee Experience Panel Survey
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But, Automation Is on the Horizon
Q: What Percentage of Tasks Conducted Within Your Organization
Are Conducted by Artificial Intelligence?
Average Percentage Reported by CEOs
30%
17%
CEOs Benchmark
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Few Organizations Are Prepared
n = 44
Source: 2019 Gartner HR Future Effectiveness Survey
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On-the-Job Training Is Top Learning Method
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Why On The Job Learning Works
Proficiency
On The Job Learning is
Best for Tasks With:
• Regular Repetition
• Rapid Feedback
AI is Best at Automating
Tasks With:
• Regular Repetition
Repetition • Rapid Feedback
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AI Eliminates On-the-Job Learning Opportunities
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Nearly half of
learning opportunities
will disappear
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How do we
How do we develop all
develop new
skills as AI eliminates
digital skills in
learning
our employees?
opportunities?
HR Must: AI-Proof Your Development Strategy
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Investment in Manager Training Not Paying Off
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How do we How is technology
develop our changing what
managers for the
future of work?
it means to be
a manager?
The Manager Role Is About to Change
Monday
9AM Coaching Ana
12 PM LUNCH BREAK
1 PM Project StatusMeeting
2 PM Mei’sReview
4 PM Approve Expenses
n = 4,821 Managers
Source: 2017 CEB Manager Effectiveness Survey
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The Manager Role Is About to Change
Monday
12 PM LUNCH BREAK
2 PM Mei’s Review
4 PM Approve Expenses
Expense Management System
n = 4,821 Managers
Source: 2017 CEB Manager Effectiveness Survey
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The Manager Role Is About to Change
Monday
12 PM LUNCH BREAK
1 PM Project StatusMeeting
Automated Project Status Dashboard
2 PM Mei’sReview
Algorithmic Management Platform
4 PM Approve Expenses
Expense Management System
n = 4,821 Managers
Source: 2017 CEB Manager Effectiveness Survey
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The Manager Role Is About to Change
Monday
12 PM LUNCH BREAK
1 PM Project StatusMeeting
Automated Project Status Dashboard
2 PM Mei’sReview
Algorithmic Management Platform
4 PM Approve Expenses
Expense Management System
n = 4,821 Managers
Source: 2017 CEB Manager Effectiveness Survey
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The Manager Role Is About to Change
Monday
12 PM LUNCH BREAK
1 PM Project StatusMeeting
Automated Project Status Dashboard
2 PM Mei’sReview
Algorithmic Management Platform
4 PM Approve Expenses
Expense Management System
n = 4,821 Managers
Source: 2017 CEB Manager Effectiveness Survey
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69% of what a manager
currently does will be
automated by 2024.
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HR Must: Overhaul the Manager Role
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Our Second Question
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Temptation to Focus on Telling Positive Stories
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Employees Have to Get It, Not Like It
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Help Employees Understand AI
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Three Strategies to Boost Understanding of AI
1 2 3
Show employees what AI Build opportunities Involve employees in
is and how it’s already for dialogue decisions around future
affecting their lives. aroundAI. AI investments.
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Three Strategies to Boost Understanding of AI
1 2 3
Show employees what AI Build opportunities Involve employees in
is and how it’s already for dialogue decisions around future
affecting their lives. aroundAI. AI investments.
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What is AI?
Simulating intelligent
behavior in computers
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No way, you big cheat.
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AI: What It Can and Cannot Do
It Can It Cannot
• Automate some tasks • Strategize
(substitute): • Empathize
o Apply decision rules,
• Improvise
search data, identify
patterns • Be creative
• Facilitate the performance • Have an aesthetic
of other tasks
(complement)
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And Show Them How Much They Already Use AI
n = 4,019 respondents
Q01. Have you ever used or interacted with AI? Q03.
In the past 12 months have you …?
Source: 2018 Gartner Consumer AI Perceptions Survey
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It’s Far More Often Than They Recognize
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Source: FaceApp
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IBM artificial intelligence can predict with 95% accuracy which
workers are about to quit their jobs
Rometty would not explain “the secret sauce” that allowed the AI to work so
effectively in identifying workers about to jump. Rometty would only say that its
success comes through analyzing many data points.
“It took time to convince company management it was accurate,” IBM’s CEO
Ginni Rometty said, but the AI has so far saved IBM nearly $300 million in
retention costs, she claimed.
Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/03/ibm-ai-can-predict-with-95-percent-accuracy-which-employees-will-quit.html
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HCL Technologies uses predictive modeling to identify
employees likely to leave the company
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Three Strategies to Boost Understanding of AI
1 2 3
Show employees what AI Build opportunities Involve employees in
is and how it’s already for dialogue decisions around future
affecting their lives. aroundAI. AI investments.
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Build Opportunities for Dialogue Around AI
10
+8 Percentage
Points
Probability of
Success
5
+3 Percentage
Change in
Points
0
Top-Down Tell Open-Source Talk
Communication Communication
40% 70%
20% 35%
0% 0%
Top-Down Tell Open-Source Talk Top-Down Tell Open-Source Talk
Communication Communication Communication Communication
n = 6,686.
Source: Gartner 2016 Workforce Change Survey
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Liberty Mutual’s Change Reactions Workshop
Employee Change Reactions Workshop
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Sample AI Discussion Questions
• In what ways do you think about AI at work and AI in your personal life
differently?
• In what ways can you see AI having a positive impact on your work?
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AI Represents a Career Risk Trigger
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Connect Strategy to Career Implications
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Connect Strategy to Career Implications
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Three Strategies to Boost Understanding of AI
1 2 3
Show employees what AI Build opportunities Involve employees in
is and how it’s already for dialogue decisions around future
affecting their lives. aroundAI. AI investments.
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Involve Employees in AI Investment Decisions
Impact of change management strategy-setting
approaches on probability of change success
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Red Hat’s Open Decision Making Framework
Source: Rebecca Fernandez, “Open Decision Framework,” Red Hat, http://redhat.slides.com/rfernand/deck-1-3-3-4-6#/ , Accessed May 2016; Jim
Whitehurst, The Open Organization: Igniting Passion and Performance (Boston: Harvard Business Review Press, 2015); Gartner analysis.
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Red Hat’s Open Decision Making Framework
Whom Should I Include?
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Recommendations for HR Leaders
Create space for dialogue about AI and its implications for your
employees and the organization.
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Action Plan for HR Leaders
MondayMorning:
• Forward the article “Understanding AI in HR: What AI Is, and What It’s Not,”
(G00709446), to your team.
• Ensure your team has a common understanding ofAI.
Next 90 Days:
• Meet with your peers in IT to understand your organization’s AI investmentplan.
• Identify non-IT employees who should be involved in AI decisionmaking.
Next 12 Months:
• Host a series of conversations about AI with your employees.
• Collect ongoing data on how employees at your organization feel aboutAI.
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What better questions do you
need to be asking?
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