General Register Office

for
SCOTLAND
information about Scotland’s people

Highland Council Area - Demographic Factsheet

Last updated: 21/12/2010

Population Next update due: April 2011

The 2009 population for Highland is 220,490; an increase of 0.5 per cent from 219,400 in 2008. The population of Highland accounts for 4.2 per cent of the total population of Scotland.

In Highland, 14.7 per cent of the population are aged 16 to 29 years. This is smaller than Scotland where 18.6 per cent are aged 16 to 29 years. Persons aged 60 and over make up 25.7 per cent of Highland. This is
larger than Scotland where 22.9 per cent are aged 60 and over.

Since 1983, Highland's total population has risen overall. Scotland's population has also risen over this period.

Estimated population of Highland and Scotland, by age group, 2009

Female pop. Total pop. of % of total pop. of Male pop. Female pop. Total pop. of % of total pop.
Age group Male pop. Highland Age group
Highland Highland Highland Scotland Scotland Scotland of Scotland

0-15 20,225 18,895 39,120 17.7% 0-15 467,017 445,323 912,340 17.6%
16-29 17,008 15,395 32,403 14.7% 16-29 491,879 473,353 965,232 18.6%
30-44 20,303 21,733 42,036 19.1% 30-44 508,559 539,985 1,048,544 20.2%
45-59 24,780 25,538 50,318 22.8% 45-59 523,593 555,587 1,079,180 20.8%
60-74 18,548 19,682 38,230 17.3% 60-74 373,278 416,905 790,183 15.2%
75+ 7,302 11,081 18,383 8.3% 75+ 150,962 247,559 398,521 7.7%
All ages 108,166 112,324 220,490 100.0% All ages 2,515,288 2,678,712 5,194,000 100.0%

Estimated population of Highland by age and sex, 30 June 2009 Estimated population of Highland and Scotland, 1983-2009

250 6,000
30,000

200 5,000
25,000
Persons ('000s)

Persons ('000s)
Council area
4,000
20,000

Scotland
Population

150
3,000
15,000
100
10,000 2,000
50 1,000
5,000

0 0 0
1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009
0-15 16-29 30-44 45-59 60-74 75+
Age group
Male Female Highland Scotland

General Register Office for Scotland, © Crown copyright 2010

 Births (calendar year)

Between 2008 and 2009 Highland experienced a 4.4 per cent decrease in the number of births, dropping from 2,482 in 2008, to 2,374 in 2009. The number of births in Scotland fell by 1.7 per cent.

The most popular name given to boys born in Highland in 2010 was Jack and the most popular name given to girls was Sophie.

Fertility in Highland decreased from 64.0 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to 44 in 2008, to 61.7 in 2009. For Scotland as a whole, the general feritlity rate decreased from 57.2 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to 44
in 2008, to 56.6 in 2009.

Births in Highland and Scotland, 2008 and 2009

Births 2008 Births 2009 % change in total no. of births
2008-2009
Male Female Male Female

Highland 1,286 1,196 1,250 1,124 -4.4%

Scotland 30,570 29,471 30,165 28,881 -1.7%

General Fertility Rate* (GFR) in Highland and Scotland, 2004-2009 Live births by sex, Highland, 1999-2009

70 1,400

60 1,200

50 1,000

No. of births
40 800
GFR

30 600

20 400

10 200

0 0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Highland Scotland Male Female

* Live births per 1,000 women aged 15 - 44

General Register Office for Scotland, © Crown copyright 2010

 Deaths (calendar year)

The number of deaths in Highland decreased from 2,314 in 2008 to 2,254 in 2009. Over the period 2007 to 2009 the overall death rate was lower for males than for females.

Compared to Scotland over the period 2007 to 2009, Highland had a lower death rate. The main cause of death in Highland was circulatory disease, followed by cancer.

Deaths and age specific death rates by age group, the combined years 2007-2009
Age specific death rate per 1,000 people, Highland Age specific death rate per 1,000 people, Scotland
Age group Deaths in Highland Deaths in Scotland
Male Female All Persons Male Female All Persons
0 22 760 2.9 3.2 3.1 4.8 3.8 4.3
1-14 17 321 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
15-29 88 2,044 1.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.7
30-44 188 5,249 2.0 1.0 1.5 2.2 1.1 1.6
45-64 1,105 25,588 7.2 4.1 5.6 7.6 4.8 6.2
65+ 5,567 131,580 47.8 45.6 46.6 53.8 49.3 51.2
All ages 6,987 165,542 10.5 10.7 10.6 10.6 10.8 10.7

Cause of death in males, Highland, 2009* Cause of death in females, Highland, 2009*
16%
22%
Cancer 27% Cancer
29%
7% Circulatory Diseases Circulatory Diseases

Respiratory Diseases 3% Respiratory Diseases

5%
Digestive Diseases 4% Digestive Diseases

13% External Causes External Causes

10%
Other Other
30% 34%

* Due to rounding these figures may differ slightly from those published in Vital Events Reference Tables. See 'Data sources' for link to this data.

General Register Office for Scotland, © Crown copyright 2010

 Migration

Migration, in, out, and net, Highland, annual average 2007-09*

4,000 On average in 2007-09 there was a net inflow of 1,780 people into Highland per year, meaning that more
people entered Highland (9,036 per year) than left (7,256 per year). The 16 to 29 year olds age group
3,000
accounted for the largest group of in-migrants into Highland. The largest group of out-migrants was also the
2,000 16 to 29 year olds.
1,000
Persons

0 Average migration in and out of Highland,

-1,000 2007-09*
-2,000 Age group In Out Net

-3,000 0-15 1,450 1,074 376

-4,000 16-29 2,881 2,848 33
0-15 16-29 30-44 45-64 65+ 30-44 2,295 1,637 658
Age group 45-64 1,862 1,242 620

IN-Migration OUT-Migration NET-Migration 65+ 548 455 93

All ages 9,036 7,256 1,780

*Migration figures are based on a 3-year average and include migration within Scotland, between Scotland and the rest of the UK, and between Scotland and overseas. They also include asylum seekers and armed forces movements.

Life Expectancy

In 2007-2009, life expectancy at birth for Highland was 78.8 years, an increase of 3.5 per cent when compared to 1997-1999.

Female life expectancy at birth (81.2 years) is greater than male life expectancy (76.3 years), and both were greater than the Scottish average. Male life expectancy at birth in Highland is improving more rapidly than
female life expectancy.

Life expectancy at age 65 in Highland based on the period 2007-2009 was 18.7 years, 0.8 years more than for Scotland as a whole. In Highland female life expectancy at age 65 (19.8 years) is greater than male life
expectancy at age 65 (17.4 years).

Life Expectancy for Highland and Scotland, 1997-1999 and 2007-2009 Life expectancy at birth in Highland and Scotland, 2007-2009
Highland
85
Life expectancy at birth Life expectancy at 65
All persons Male Female All persons Male Female 80
2007-2009 78.8 76.3 81.2 18.7 17.4 19.8
1997-1999 76.0 73.0 79.1 - - - 75
% Change
between 1997- 70

Years
3.5% 4.6% 2.7% - - -
1999 and 2007-
2009 65
Scotland
Life expectancy at birth Life expectancy at 65 60
All persons Male Female All persons Male Female
2007-2009 77.8 75.4 80.1 17.9 16.5 19.1 55
1997-1999 75.5 72.7 78.2 - - -
% Change 50
between 1997- Highland Scotland
3.1% 3.7% 2.5% - - -
1999 and 2007- Male Female
2009

General Register Office for Scotland, © Crown copyright 2010

 Marriages & Civil Partnerships

There were 1,594 marriages in Highland in 2009, which is a decrease of 3.0 per cent from 1,644 in 2008.

In Highland 45.9 per cent of people marrying in 2009 were aged 25-34. In Scotland as a whole 47.9 per cent were in this age group.

Since 1999 the number of marriages in Highland has risen by 15.5 per cent.

Number of people marrying in Highland and Scotland by 10-year age group, 2009 Number of marriages in Highland and Scotland, 1999-2009

No. of people No. of people % of people % of people 2,000 35,000

Age group marrying in marrying in marrying in marrying in 1,800
Highland Scotland Highland Scotland 30,000
1,600
16-24 261 5,272 8.2% 9.6% 1,400 25,000

Council Area
25-34 1,464 26,373 45.9% 47.9% 1,200

Scotland
20,000
35-44 863 13,750 27.1% 25.0% 1,000
45+ 600 9,653 18.8% 17.5%
800 15,000
All ages 3,188 55,048 100.0% 100.0%
600 10,000
400
5,000
200
0 0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Highland Scotland

Civil partnerships in Highland have increased in 2009 compared with 2008.

Scotland has seen a decrease during the same period of time.

Civil Partnerships in Highland and Scotland by sex, 2008 and 2009

2008 2009
Male Female Male Female

Highland 8 6 9 14

Scotland 245 280 219 279

General Register Office for Scotland, © Crown copyright 2010

 Population Projections

By 2033 the population of Highland is projected to be 257,965, an increase of 17.6 per cent compared to the population in 2008. The population of Scotland is projected to increase by 7.3 per cent between 2008 and
2033.

Over the 25 year period, the age group that is projected to increase the most in size in Highland is the 75+ age group. This is the same as for Scotland as a whole.

The population aged under 16 in Highland is projected to increase by 7.6 per cent over the 25 year period.

Projected population, by age group, in Highland, 2008-2033

Ba Base year Projected years
Age group
2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033
0-15 39,114 39,206 40,250 41,351 41,707 42,075
16-29 32,143 34,315 34,181 33,155 33,496 34,696
30-49 60,271 57,515 55,042 55,716 57,979 58,713
50-64 48,009 50,885 53,636 53,916 50,680 47,448
65-74 21,887 25,880 29,251 30,745 32,846 35,051
75+ 17,976 20,666 24,397 29,865 35,245 39,982
All ages 219,400 228,467 236,757 244,748 251,953 257,965

Percentage change in population in Highland and Scotland, 2008-2033 (2008-based Components of projected population change for Highland and Scotland, 2008-2033
projections) (2008-based projections)

140% 25%
120%
20%
Percentage change

Percentage change
100%
80% 15%

60% 10%
40%
5%
20%
0% 0%
-20% -5%
0-15 16-29 30-49 50-64 65-74 75+ Highland Scotland
Age group
Natural Change* Net Migration Total Change
Highland Scotland

* Natural change equals births minus deaths

General Register Office for Scotland, © Crown copyright 2010

 Households & Dwellings

The 2009 estimate of the number of households in Highland is 100,906. This is a 1.2 per cent increase in the 2008 figure of 99,721, compared to a 0.6 per cent increase in Scotland as a whole. The proportion of
these households receiving a single adult Council Tax discount is 34 per cent. For Scotland, this figure is 38 per cent.
With regards to the dwellings in Highland, 93 per cent are occupied, 3 per cent are vacant and 4 per cent are second homes. The proportions of dwellings in Scotland which are vacant and second homes are 2.9 per
cent and 1.4 per cent, respectively.
The 2009 estimate of the number of dwellings in Highland is 109,617. This is an increase of 1.1 per cent from 2008 and compares to a 0.6 per cent increase across Scotland as a whole.

Household estimates for Highland and Scotland, 2001-2009

Year % change % change
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2008-2009 2004-2009
Highland 89,637 90,673 91,904 93,211 94,941 96,327 98,048 99,721 100,906 1.2% 8.3%
Scotland 2,195,033 2,211,025 2,229,535 2,249,160 2,271,353 2,291,415 2,313,778 2,331,250 2,344,436 0.6% 4.2%

Number of dwellings in Highland and Scotland, June 2001-2009

Year % change % change
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2008-2009 2004-2009
Highland 98,398 99,712 101,017 102,481 103,940 105,049 106,918 108,438 109,617 1.1% 7.0%
Scotland 2,320,642 2,338,324 2,356,176 2,376,915 2,396,782 2,416,071 2,440,596 2,460,883 2,476,157 0.6% 4.2%

Number of households in Highland and Scotland, 2001-2009 Number of dwellings in Highland and Scotland, 2001-2009

120 3,000 120 3,000

Number of households ('000s)

Number of households ('000s)

Number of dwellings ('000s)

Number of dwellings ('000s)
100 2,500 100 2,500

Council area
80 2,000
Council area

80 2,000

Scotland
Scotland
60 1,500 60 1,500

40 1,000 40 1,000

20 500 20 500

0 0 0 0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year Year
Highland Scotland Highland Scotland

Types of dwelling in Highland, 2009 Proportions of dwellings by Council Tax band in Highland, 2009

4% 13% 11%
Flat
A-C
Terraced
18%
41% Detached D-E
31%
Semi-detached 58%
F-H
Unknown
24%

General Register Office for Scotland, © Crown copyright 2010

 Household Projections

The total number of households in Highland is projected to change from 99,720 in 2008 to 129,790 in 2033, which is an increase of 30 per cent. In Scotland as a whole, the projected number of households is set to
increase by 21 per cent over the same 25 year period.

In Scotland, the number of lone adult households is projected to increase by 49 per cent over the 25 year period. In Highland, the number of lone adult households is projected to increase by 64 per cent, and the
number of larger households in Highland is projected to fall, with the number of households of 2 or more adults with children decreasing by 29 per cent over the 25 year period. The average household size is
projected to decrease from 2.16 in 2008 to 1.94 in 2033.

In Highland, households headed by 60-74 year olds are projected to increase in number by 35 per cent, and those headed by the 75+ age group are projected to increase in number by 126 per cent between the
years 2008 and 2033.

Projected number of households in Highland and Scotland, Projected percentage change in household, by household type, in Highland and
2008-2033 Scotland, 2008-2033
140 3,000 80%

Number of households ('000s)

Number of households ('000s)

120 2,500 60%

Percentage change
100 40%
2,000
Council area

Scotland
80
1,500 20%
60
0%
1,000
40
-20%
20 500
-40%
0 0
1 adult 1 adult with 1 or 2 or more adults 2 or more adults
2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033
more children with 1 or more
Year children
Highland Scotland Highland Scotland

Base-year Projected number of households % change in

% change in Highland
Household type Scotland
2008-2033
2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033 2008-2033
1 adult 34,280 38,780 43,440 47,910 52,110 56,330 64% 49%
1 adult with 1 or more children 5,560 6,150 6,750 7,430 8,180 8,900 60% 46%
2 or more adults 40,850 43,890 46,700 48,720 50,040 51,050 25% 12%
2 or more adults with 1 or more children 19,030 17,500 15,980 14,850 14,100 13,510 -29% -27%
Total households - Highland 99,720 106,320 112,870 118,920 124,430 129,790 30%
Total households - Scotland 2,331,250 2,440,440 2,549,930 2,645,300 2,731,760 2,812,520 21%

Base-year Projected number of households % change in

% change in Highland
Household by age of head of household Scotland
2008-2033
2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033 2008-2033
16-29 years 8,460 9,640 10,320 10,130 10,150 10,940 29% 17%
30-44 years 24,600 23,040 23,180 25,460 27,210 27,730 13% 8%
45-59 years 29,970 32,180 32,870 31,230 29,540 29,840 0% 2%
60-74 years 23,690 26,480 28,770 30,330 31,790 31,940 35% 27%
75+ years 13,010 14,980 17,730 21,760 25,740 29,330 126% 82%
Total households - Highland 99,720 106,320 112,870 118,920 124,430 129,790 30%
Total households - Scotland 2,331,250 2,440,440 2,549,930 2,645,300 2,731,760 2,812,520 21%
8

General Register Office for Scotland, © Crown copyright 2010

Data Sources - 17/12/2010

Population Update the 'Total population' and 'latest MYE' worksheets

Next update
Data Source due Link
Current population estimates Mid-year Population Estimates Scotland: Table 1 Apr-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/population/estimates/mid-year
Time series population estimates Population Estimates Time Series Data (first table in the list) Apr-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/population/estimates/mid-year/time-series.html

Births Update the 'Fertility', 'Popular names', and 'Births' worksheets

Next update
Data Source due Link
Fertility rates Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 3.8 Aug-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/vital-events/general/ref-tables
Popular names Vital Events Popular Forenames: Table 3 Dec-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/vital-events/births/popular-names
Births Births Time Series Data: Table 'Births by Council Area, by sex, 1997 to…..' Aug-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/vital-events/births/time-series.html

Deaths death' and 'VE ref table - 6.3 (cause)' worksheets

Next update
Data Source due Link
Deaths Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 5.2 Aug-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/vital-events/general/ref-tables
Death rates Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 5.2 Aug-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/vital-events/general/ref-tables
Mid-year Population Estimates Scotland: Table 2 Apr-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/population/estimates/mid-year
Cause of death Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 6.3 Aug-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/vital-events/general/ref-tables

Migration Update the 'Migration2', 'Migration 3', and 'total migration' worksheets
Next update
Data Source due Link
Total Net Migration by Council Area by Single Year of Age and Sex, 2007-2009
Total migration average Jul-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/migration/mig-stats/total.html

Life Expectancy update the 'LE' worksheet

Next update
Data Source due Link
Life exp. at birth Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland: Tables 1, 2, 3, 7 Sep-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/life-expectancy/admin-area
Life exp. at age 65 Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland: Table 8 Sep-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/life-expectancy/admin-area

Marriages & Civil Partnerships

Next update
Data Source due Link
Civil Partnerships Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 1.3 Aug-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/vital-events/general/ref-tables
Total Marriages Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 1.3 Aug-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/vital-events/general/ref-tables
Marriages by 10yr age groups Request from Vital Events branch NA email: customer@gro-scotland.gsi.gov.uk

Pop Projections change' worksheet

Next update
Data Source due Link
Population projections Population Projections for Scottish Areas: Table 2 Feb-12 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/population/projections/sub-national
Components of change Population Projections for Scottish Areas: Table A Feb-12 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/population/projections/sub-national

Household & Dwellings Dwellings' and 'Characteristics of Dwellings' worksheets

Data
Household estimates
Dwellings estimates
Dwelling types
Dwellings by Council Tax band
Next update
Source due Link
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 1 May-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/households/estimates
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 2 May-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/households/estimates
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 9 May-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/households/estimates
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 5 May-11 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/households/estimates

Household Projections
Data
Projected number of households
Head of household data
Projected household size
% change in household size
'Household Proj by age of head' and 'Projected Average household Size'
Next update
Source due Link
Household Projections for Scotland: Tables 7, 8, 9, 10 May-12 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/households/projections
Household Projections for Scotland: Tables 12, 13, 14, 15, 16 May-12 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/households/projections
Household Projections for Scotland: Table 17 May-12 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/households/projections
Household Projections for Scotland: Table 5 May-12 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/households/projections

General Register Office for Scotland, © Crown copyright 2010