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GLÞBAL POLITICS
Richard Langhorne
Hodder Arnold
A MEMBER OF THE HODDER HEADLINE GROUP
First published in Great Britain in 2006 by Hodder Education, a member of the Hodder Headline
Group, 338 Euston Road, London NW1 3BH
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Contents
Acknowledgements vii
Foreword viii
Introduction xi
PART A: General Context: Globalisation and its Consequences 1
PART B: The Theatre: Given Conditions 11
1: Context 13
2: Maps 14
3: Lists and tables 24
PART C: The Cast: Users of Power 69
1: Context 71
2: Associations of states 79
3: Global capitalism and markets 105
4: Global civil society 112
5: States 123
6: Transnational corporations 138
PART D: The Play: Sources of Crisis and Conflict 151
1: Context 153
2: Access to and management of the Internet 158
3: Transnational organised crime and the drug industry 164
4: Economic inequality and welfare 176
5: Environmental degradation and climate change 188
6: Politics and instability in the global markets 200
7: Religion 212
PART E: The Performance: The Machinery of Interaction 223
1: Context 225
2: Communications systems 233
vi
3: Diplomacy 244
4: Foreign aid and debt relief 257
5: Humanitarian action 271
6: Media 287
7: International migration and diasporas 298
8: Trade and investment 318
9: War and conflict 334
10: Terrorism 346
Appendix: Timelines 355
1: Humanitarian action 355
2: Politics and instability in global markets 357
3: Transnational organised crime and the drug industry 359
4: Terrorism 361
5: Foreign aid and debt relief 362
6: World trade and investment 363
7: Diplomacy 364
8: Environment 365
Index 367
vii
This book is for my friends and colleagues, Yale Ferguson and Harvey Feder,
to mark a decade of close collaboration
Acknowledgements
This book could not have been produced without the generous support of the Carnegie Corporation
of New York to whom the author expresses most grateful thanks.
Grateful thanks are also due to Deborah Edwards of Hodder Arnold for her most sympathetic and
helpful editing during the preparation of this book.
Foreword
Every now and then a book comes along which is a ‘must’ read for anyone interested in its subject
matter. This is one such book. It is a tour de force of everything and anything the layman might wish
to know about the political economy of globalisation – and more besides! It embraces a medley of
perspectives on the burgeoning cross-border interconnectivity of people and organisations, and its
impact on economic prosperity, political autonomy, traditional cultures and treasured traditions. It
pulls no punches as it describes some of the downsides (or possible downsides) of globalisation, as
carefully and critically as it identifies its benefits. Above all, this is an eminently readable book.
Professor Langhorne has an enviable and elegant writing style, which should appeal to even the most
discerning purist.
Let me walk the reader through some of the book’s main contents; and do so by using the allegory
which the author himself uses, viz. viewing the story of globalisation as a drama played out on the
world’s stage of events. I liked this analogy. It nicely narrates how, over the last two centuries, the
interest and actions of the peoples, organisations and institutions of this planet have become more
closely entwined and integrated; and how communication advances, changing values, political
priorities and social mores have affected this growing interdependence. If there is a plot to the play
it is how these events have shaped the desires and aspirations of men and women, particularly in
respect of increasing their economic wellbeing, while protecting their human dignity and social
traditions. The play sometimes takes on the form of a mystery, of ‘who has done what to whom and
why!’ Sometimes, however, it borders on a romance as the achievement and sustenance of
responsible global capitalism demands an intricate network of constructive and empathetic partner-
ships both among and between the wealth creating entities.
After setting his figurative framework, Professor Langhorne then goes on to describe the scenery
for his play. In Part B of his volume he constructs a powerful edifice of facts and figures, not only
about the economics of globalisation, but of many of its political, social and cultural aspects. The
scenery he uses – in the form of maps, charts, drawings and tables – are also viewer friendly. They
depict data ranging from those on foreign trade and global competitiveness, to the identification of
some of the leading environmental and human rights non-government organisations, and the
military and defence expenditures of various countries.
The next part of the book describes the roles played by the main actors (or users of power as
Professor Langhorne prefers to call them) in the evolving drama of global politics. Essentially these
are markets (made up of buyers and sellers of goods and services traded across national borders),
states (or national governments), civil society (mainly NGOs) and supranational entities (which
Foreword ix
include a range of associations of states). The role of each of these performers, or constituents of
contemporary global capitalism, has varied a great deal over time. Thus in the last fifty or more years
that of large international companies – better known as multinational enterprises (MNEs) or
transnational corporations (TNCs) – has become increasingly powerful in fashioning both the
extent, content and geography of globalisation, and its effects on the lives of the world’s citizens. So,
indeed, have the advocacy and actions of a wide variety of special interest groups in influencing the
values and attitudes of the other main actors – particularly those of national governments. On the
other hand, the role played by national governments in affecting or being affected by the advent of
globalisation has probably become relatively less important as several of their traditional tasks and
responsibilities have been assumed by other actors. At the same time, I believe, those that remain –
and their ability to affect the institutions and competitive environment underpinning the creation of
wealth – are critically affecting the ‘national’ story line of globalisation, and how it is played out.
In his description of the role of the actors, it seems clear that at any given moment of time, most
take on the role of either ‘villains’ and ‘heroes’. In the 1970s, the TNCs were cast as the villains, and
governments the heroes of the international economic and political scenario. In the 1980s and 1990s
the reverse seemed to be the case. In the 2000s it is clear that each of the actors in the drama of
global politics can (and do) perform dual (or multiple) roles. But, as Professor Langhorne is at pains
to point out, there are genuine villains of our contemporary global village which threaten its peace,
wellbeing, stability and security. These are the villains of international terrorism, organised crime,
corporate malfeasance and social dysfunction – not to mention the presence of abject poverty and
blatant social injustice.
In Part D of the book, Professor Langhorne identifies the sources of crisis and conflict arising
from, or associated with, twenty-first-century globalisation. This, perhaps, is the most original and
insightful part of the monograph. While the author is fully aware of the economic benefits of cross-
border interconnectivity, the focus of his attention is directed to the interaction between these and
some of its possible social and environmental downsides; of how these affect the various constituents
of globalisation; and of how these can be mitigated or reconciled. This indeed is the sheer drama of
the Langhorne play. Above all, the twenty-first century is an age of paradox and of anxiety. Inter alia
these characteristics comprise the volatility, complexity and uncertainty endemic in globalisation and
rapid technological change, and the response of the economic and political actors to them. It is here
the greatest challenges to the cast of actors arise. What part can TNCs play in coping with climatic
change or international drug trafficking? What is the role of supranational agencies in helping to
make more stable global financial markets? What part might religious belief play in promoting a
more moral and socially just global society? Is indeed religion the problem or the solution to advanc-
ing such a goal? In what ways may the advocacy and action of civil society affect the attitude of gov-
ernments and supranational agencies to reducing environmental pollution? How might individual
consumers, workers and investors use their collective power to help make poverty history?
These are all inputs into the drama of global politics. What about the actual performance of the
actors? Here in Part E of his volume, Professor Langhorne focuses on the dynamic and changing
dialogue between the cast, and the various mechanisms by which they might affect the contents and
outcomes of their performance. Such mechanisms revolve around the institutions affecting the
motivation and belief systems of individuals and organisations, and how these are translated into
courses of action. Professor Langhorne describes how the media provide the tools by which both
diplomacy and direct action, for example debt relief and humanitarian action, may be exercised and
implemented. Issues to do with the larger economic picture viz. trade, technology and capital flows,
and people movement are then discussed. Here, once again, the drama turns on the need for
concord and cooperation, along with healthy entrepreneurship and competition, if global capitalism
is to produce economically efficient, socially acceptable results. It also underlines the importance of
strong governance and clear rules of the game and enforcement mechanisms, if the players are to
do the jobs asked of them.
So what of the ending of the play? I sense that Professor Langhorne’s message is that the drama is
continually unfolding; and that next year’s ending might not be that of today. And that is one of the
fascinating things about contemporary globalisation. We live in a dynamic, volatile and complex
world; its scenery, people and events are changing all the time. The task of the director of the play,
x Foreword
– Professor Langhorne’s proxy for the governors of globalisation – is surely to capture the key themes
and ensure that the actors interpret these in the way it best pleases the audience – in this case the
peoples of the world.
In this volume, and within the allegory he sets his thoughts, Professor Langhorne gives his readers
a brisk run through a wide range of issues. Though inevitably, at times, he only briefly touches upon
important topics, this is more than compensated by his presentation of a holistic and integrated view
of globalisation. In describing his drama, the reader is not only given a glimpse of the plot, and how
it is being played out, but on how the actions of the players fit together and indeed how the
performance of each is enhanced by that of the others. As I said at the beginning of the foreword,
this is a ‘must’ read.
John H. Dunning
Reading and Rutgers Universities
May 2006
xi
Introduction
This book is intended to provide a straightforward account of the principal components of contem-
porary global politics. It runs the risk of over simplifying a highly complicated subject, and particu-
larly avoids theorising about it. At the end of each chapter is a list of further work that would be
useful for thickening the texture of discussion and adding more information where the reader needs
it. The benchmark reader is taken to be an intelligent and curious person who would like to be able
to make sense of the daily diet of news and commentary but who needs a source which will provide
the basic context within which to place and comprehend the natural flow of events as well as the mass
of rapid-fire and insistent information which these events evoke. It is useful and sometimes essential
for people in many kinds of employment, as well as for students studying many different subjects, to
have a background of this kind.
The material in this book attempts to mirror actuality. Many people have a pre-developed sense of
how the world is arranged which has been derived from accumulated attitudes and experiences
inherited from the recent history and sometimes the deeper past of different countries, societies and
regions across the world. This is inevitable and cannot be abolished; nor are all its effects damaging.
But confusion and unreality can also result in damaging mis-assessments of both events and policies
and, in a rapidly globalising world, it is worth trying to reduce that effect.
The organisation of the book is simple. First comes some essential information, expressed as far as
possible in cartographic form. This information forms the theatre within which global society per-
forms. Next come descriptions of the different characters who exercise power and influence and play
a role in the ebb and flow of global politics. In the contemporary world, for example, this means that
it is as important to note the newly powerful role of global civil society as it is to describe familiar enti-
ties like nation-states. If the given conditions create a theatre, then these are the actors. The following
section describes the subject matter of the play they are performing: these are the sources of the
world’s daily business, its arguments and conflicts. In this section, the contemporary world situation
indicates, for example, that global economic inequality requires more attention than the traditional
anxiety concerning disputes between states. The techniques the actors have available to create their
performance – the means of communication they use to connect with each other and between them-
selves and the global population – are then set out in Part E. Here, for example, it is clearly as impor-
tant to explain the function of the Internet as it is to discuss the more traditional role of diplomacy,
and both are there. Finally, at the end there are time-lines of significant global events since 1945.
At the start of each section there is a general introductory discussion of its main themes. The
reader who needs to establish a general context or just wants a more rapid account of global politics
xii Introduction
can read through these essays as if they were a continuous account, turning to the more detailed
chapters when convenient or necessary.
The current crises in global politics are not dealt with as separate entities because they spring from
the deeper factors discussed in this book and because like all crises they are essentially temporary
and will be replaced by others. The preoccupations with the Middle East, civil conflict in Africa and
elsewhere, nuclear proliferation in Iran and North Korea are likely to be displaced by crises over the
global water supplies, the consequences of climate change, particularly for food supply and the phys-
ical viability of some states, and the dispute between China and Taiwan. Over both the present and
the future hangs the greatest political question facing the global community: how are the irreversible
consequences of the process of globalisation to be made broadly beneficial and accepted as fair, and
how are such measures to be carried out with the consent of the global population? At present, the
problem is coming to be understood, but there are no plausible answers to the governance question
in sight. The chief beneficiary of the confusion and anger that result is terrorism. Terrorists’ meth-
ods are not new in principle and their existence is age old. But the modern world has delivered them
the means to magnify their effect just because it is so completely interconnected that it risks rapid
economic destabilisation, and because its reliance on easily disrupted technologies provides obvious
targets to attack.
Part A
General Context:
Globalisation and its
Consequences
Contemporary global politics are haunted by an ever-present ghost at the feast. The apparition is
inescapable yet evanescent. It can inspire wonder, fear and loathing: it is the phenomenon widely
called globalisation. Its elements are not new, but its magnitude and pace give it a special importance
in the early twenty-first century. Its universal significance means that in one sense it is impossible to
exaggerate its role; yet it is not a replacement for the international politics of an earlier era but has
joined them in a highly pluralistic and complicated world. Failing to remember this, it can be all too
easy to give globalisation an exaggerated interpretation. Care is needed; old maps once placed
warnings at the outer edges of a known world with the words: ‘Here be Dragons.’
Why should a special effort be made to understand globalisation? There are two important rea-
sons. The process and the results of globalisation are changing the way we live our lives on a personal
basis and they are changing the institutions which we collectively use to give form and predictability
to our economic, social and political relationships. The second reason is that the word has become
so widely used that it has taken on all sorts of levels of meaning which confuse rather than enlighten,
and constrain logical thinking about the exceedingly difficult problems that globalisation has
brought. To give an example: views about globalisation have moved within a few years from seeing it
as an irresistible lava flow, to assessing it as only one among many features of the contemporary
world, to dismissing it as ‘globaloney’, yet still being capable of fearing it as ‘globaphobia’. Plainly
some straightening out is required, or we shall begin to feel like Russell Mearns’ nonsense poem:
Technology advances
To begin at the beginning: what is globalisation and why has it happened? Globalisation is the latest
stage in a long accumulation of technological advance which has given human beings the ability to
conduct their affairs across the world without reference to nationality, government authority, time of
day or physical environment. These activities may be commercial, financial, religious, cultural, social
or political; nothing is barred. Technological advances in global communications have made global-
isation possible, while the fact of globalisation itself is to be seen in the contemporary surge in
human activities conducted globally. The effects of these activities on the whole range of humanity’s
expectations, systems and structures have been and are a heady mixture: they have come and keep
coming at different paces in different places; sometimes they create entirely new significant activities,
sometimes they share them with older systems and structures; sometimes they induce adaptation but
sometimes they erode and destroy. They represent both opportunities and threats.
Globalisation has happened because technological advances have broken down many physical bar-
riers to worldwide communication which used to limit how much connected or cooperative activity
of any kind could happen over long distances. Think what has happened to a book, which, in its
printed form, was the product of a previous cutting-edge technology. In addition to being a collec-
tion of atoms, a physical object usable only by individuals possessing copies, it can now become a col-
lection of bytes, having no physical existence but usable by everyone connected to cyberspace. The
limitations of the past show how much has changed. American Indian smoke signals, Inca relay run-
ners, French semaphores, English hilltop beacons and slow sailing ships in general all tell their sto-
ries of labourious and cumbrous communications over distance. Compare that with the almost
instant effect of contemporary faxes, e-mail and the Internet. This communications revolution is the
cause of globalisation. The result of these technological advances has been a huge increase in human
activities carried on without hindrance across the world; and these consequences are also often
described as globalisation, very obviously when politicians wish to find a useful explanation for action
or inaction at particular moments.
Thus globalisation has come to mean both an ongoing process and a contemporary condition, the
result of that process. Plainly the two things are intertwined, but it can be important to remember
that the word has these two meanings. It particularly helps to understand this when objections to
globalisation lead to public protests and demands that globalisation be stopped. At such times there
has usually been confusion about the difference between process and effect. The process of globali-
sation is not optional and certainly cannot be stopped. But the protests arise because the necessary
political and economic mechanisms for mediating the effects of globalisation have not yet evolved.
The incomplete state of this evolution provides the context for many of the sources of conflict in the
contemporary world and is discussed in Part E. Here the processes of globalisation will come first.
Developments
Technological advances in communications have accelerated steadily since the early nineteenth cen-
tury. There were earlier and important improvements such as the invention and development of the
printing press in Western Europe – the Chinese made the same discovery, but did not develop it –
which enabled a far faster dissemination of ideas and information and had a crucial effect during the
Renaissance and Reformation periods. And there were improvements to sailing ships and the tech-
niques of navigation which enabled long-distance, but epically slow, sea journeys to begin. So tech-
nological improvements have always been important. However, the age of continuous and rapid
development in communications did not start until the industrial revolution had accomplished its
first stage in Great Britain and the age of steam had truly begun. Thereafter, three stages of devel-
opment followed. The first was the longest and flowed from the combined effects of applying the
steam engine to land and sea transport and the invention and installation worldwide of the electric
telegraph. The second, which began during the Second World War, was also a combination. The per-
fecting of rocket propulsion led to the ability to launch orbiting satellites. This, when there were
enough of them and when combined with the previous invention of the telephone, gave a global and
reliable communications coverage. The telephone, hitherto somewhat restricted to short- or at best
medium-distance use, was thus transformed into the major communications channel. The third
Technology advances 3
stage, following rapidly in the 1970s, applied the computer, itself transformed in speed, volume and
efficiency by the evolution of the microchip, as both manager and transmitter of the system. The
Internet was the result.
The first stage began with the application of the steam engine to land transport. The first attempts
to fit it into a road-running machine failed, often explosively. But in the 1820s, Robert Stephenson
succeeded in fitting an engine into a vehicle that ran on rails. The notion that railways made moving
heavy goods easier, whether by human energy as used in mines, or horse power as applied to lines
between mines and wharves, had already become familiar, so the marriage of steam with rail was not
in principle difficult to arrange. It was instantly effective, raising the speed of transport by a factor of
five even in its earliest development and spreading rapidly in Europe, North America and India. It
began to have revolutionary effects at once.
There were three principal consequences. The first was industrial. The railway created an infra-
structure industry of its own and it greatly accelerated and expanded the scope of other industrial
activities. Second, the railway hugely increased the amount, the speed and the conceivable geo-
graphical range of transporting goods and people. Third, the railway carried news, technical infor-
mation, questions and replies far faster than had hitherto been imaginable. At around the same time,
another technological breakthrough accelerated written communication even more dramatically
than the railway had done: the electric telegraph. Pretty primitive short-distance telegraphing by
means of flags was already in use, particularly for military signalling and messages of the simplest
kind – ‘danger’, for example, was alerted through the use of bonfires on top of lighthouses placed
strategically along the coast. Transmitting electrically by wire and using symbols for encoding and
decoding the message divorced the technique from any relationship to the speed of land transport.
At its most dramatic, it could, provided it worked well and was not interrupted by ignorant handling
or civil strife en route, cut the time it took to send a message from London to Peking from three
months to three minutes. The combination was potent. At its most blatant, the possession of both
railways and the telegraph enabled government to learn quickly what was happening at the edges of
its territory, and put into its hands the ability to despatch by train troops and/or officials in response
to that information. They could then be told what to do by telegraph when they reached their desti-
nation, a command which could be adjusted in the light of the latest news both from the distant
point and at the administrative centre.
Communications
The kind of society over which newly empowered governments presided was also changed by
speeded-up internal communications. The railway, the telegraph, eventually the car and the tele-
phone created both national markets satisfied by national suppliers and nationally shared news pro-
vided by national newspapers. This had the effect of ‘branding’ a society both informally and
formally with shared cultural and commercial symbols which marked it clearly and distinguished it
from others. The coming of the railways even required the imposition of an agreed national time, or
time zones, depending on size, a fact which explains why British national time was for a long time
called ‘railway time’. The development of much larger areas of coherent social and political polities
which the railways made possible was a primary cause of the emergence of fully national politics in
the later nineteenth century, accompanied by the emergence of mass political parties, using the
national press to promote a highly simplified and sloganised form of political debate. The result was
to promote even further the sense of national differences. The vertical divisions between state struc-
tures were emphasised and created an alignment between what technology had enabled govern-
ments to do and what their peoples therefore wished from them, thus further cementing the political
bond between government and governed.
The most striking, and eventually violently destructive, effect of these developments was that they
increased the potential size of a state in a dramatic way. Since the seventeenth century, a pattern had
developed which showed that the power and authority of rulers and governments were steadily
increasing. This was first driven by the fact that governments which ruled as efficiently as the con-
temporary situation made possible were more secure both internally and externally. During the eigh-
teenth century in Europe, the connection between reasonable efficiency and the power of a state
settled into an observable optimum size and what determined that size was the ease with which the
4 Technology advances
total territory of a ruler could be coherently governed. That ease was in turn related to a contempo-
rary speed of communication which linked the centre to the periphery in not more than about five
days’ travel. States that were bigger could not be efficiently ruled and those that were smaller suffered
from insufficient basic resources. The contemporary optimum thus arrived at turned out to be
roughly the size of France. Over time, as the speed of communications increased, what was optimum
also increased. Much of international politics and warfare was fundamentally the result of changes
in this condition from the late seventeenth century until the last part of the nineteenth.
So also was much of the domestic political turmoil of the period, though here the question was
related but different. Basically the more significant the activity of government became, the more sig-
nificant a role those who conducted it played in the lives of those they ruled. Populations under-
standably began to want to be sure that so much power and influence was subject to perceptible
controls, sufficient to check potential abuses. This meant that intense struggles, both philosophical
and real, developed about how to arrive at an acceptable framework for government, which on the
one hand allowed that it had to exist in an effective way but on the other set limits to its power. The
outcome of these internal struggles will be assessed later.
The expansion of the territorial area over which government and administration could be effec-
tive benefited two states in particular: the United States and the Russian Empire, subsequently the
Soviet Union. They already possessed great land mass and once they had installed the new mecha-
nisms of communication could expect to enjoy the advantages in resources, demography and strat-
egy that great size conferred. The United States moved much more rapidly than Russia, but both
were visibly becoming actually or potentially globally dominant by the turn of the twentieth century.
In the case of Imperial Russia, even facing the 1905 revolution, it was the potentiality that mattered:
Germany for example was not lulled into any sense of security by Russian internal instability and
never took her eyes off Russia’s industrial and armaments capacity.
For states overtaken by these changes, new problems of security, both economic and strategic,
began to intrude. Two states, Germany in Europe and Japan in Asia, which had benefited from late
and therefore relatively advanced industrial revolutions, became very powerful in their regions, but
could not advance further unless they added to their restricted land mass. Plainly the temptation to
capitalise on short-term regional predominance to make sufficient territorial gains to even up the
balance with the USA and Russia would be very strong – and in fact it proved irresistible. From the
late nineteenth century onwards this factor began to overtake in importance the more familiar pat-
terns of inter-state competition, which Lenin had identified as capitalism and imperialism. For
almost 100 years, from 1895 to 1990, the optimum size which contemporary communications systems
had imposed dominated the direction world politics took. Attempts by Japan and Germany to
expand their territory were successfully resisted by the USA and Russia until, after 1955, the year of
the Geneva Conference which both President Eisenhower and General Secretary Krushchev
attended, the two great land mass states achieved a kind of balance between them which expressed
itself in the sterile stability of the Cold War years.
production and use of a rocket weapon – the V2 – by Germany towards the end of the war, furthered
the pace and distance of travel by people and goods, and the refinement of the computer in the
second half of the twentieth century sharply advanced communications efficiency. In the 1970s a
conjunction of the two was to occur.
When the USA and the USSR began their military competition after the defeat of Germany and
Japan, they picked up the developments achieved during the Second World War and refined them.
They were soon able to improve the delivery of nuclear weapons by using rockets, and by doing so
greatly improved the power and range of missiles until they had created the Intercontinental Ballistic
Missile. The technological advances thus gained became available for launching satellites and orbit-
ing them within the earth’s immediate inner space. Soviet Man orbited the earth, American Man
went to the moon and both types of men learnt how to inspect and spy on each other by using satel-
lites of ever-increasing sophistication. The communications that could be made from and to satellites
turned out to have even more significance than their intelligence capabilities, and ended, among
other things, by transforming the role of the telephone.
The telephone
The telephone was invented by Alexander Graham Bell in 1876 and much improved by Thomas
Edison in the 1890s. It solved some of the problems of carrying voice messages which the telegraph
had not been able to do. It remained, however, linked to a land line for nearly 100 years and no effec-
tive under-sea cable relay telephone link – for example, between the USA and Europe – was installed
until the 1950s. The result was that the telephone remained an essentially local convenience, partic-
ularly in urban areas. Long-distance or international calling remained rare, with connections often
difficult to establish, and then it could be hard to hear the other caller distinctly or reliably. What
rapidly increased the usefulness of the telephone was the divorce from land or under-sea lines, which
radio had not been able to achieve satisfactorily, but which the combination of the computer and the
orbiting satellite made possible.
Once there were enough satellites continuously orbiting the earth, a global telephone relay serv-
ice could be created. The first such service began in 1969 and, using microwaves rather than radio
waves, provided the opportunity for the development of global communications using telephone
conversations, TV programmes, high-speed digital data and facsimile pictures. At the same time, the
old limitations on the quantity of traffic which land lines had imposed were almost dissolved.
The line of evolution which led from the jet engine to the launching of satellites met and joined
up with another line of technological advance. This, too, owed much for its rapid development to
the strategic imperatives of the Cold War. There were two major considerations. Developing com-
puters, particularly through the introduction of the microchip and the ending of the use and stor-
age of inefficient and cumbrous tapes, was an important adjunct to the management and control of
technologically advanced weapons and equipment. Second was the need to develop a means of main-
taining information stores and communications systems in the event and aftermath of a nuclear war.
Having been given accelerated development under these pressures, the commercial and administra-
tive application of the modern computer was naturally rapid and, like the steam engine, its effect
both on manufacturing industry generally and in creating a whole new industry in itself has had
profound consequences. Nor has its effect been confined to industry. It has also revolutionised the
conduct of financial and investment business as well as ordinary daily domestic life.
Going digital
From the point of view of global communications, the development of digital information transfers
was the technological advance that mattered most. This emerged from the need to safeguard infor-
mation and systems in the event of nuclear attack and followed from the realisation that in order to
send data, which are more sensitive to circuitry distortion than the human voice, transmission should
be digital if it is to be both quick and reliable. It also became clear that whereas in the early days of
computer involvement its principal use was as a tool to keep increasingly complicated systems up and
running, the future required that the computer should act as the actual transmitting device itself. In
1962, at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the first steps were taken to bring together these
developments and the idea of sending data digitally in packets was born. In 1966, at the Defence
6 The next phase
Advanced Research Projects Agency, the mechanism for putting this principle to work on computer
networks was designed, and the first form of the contemporary Internet, ARPANET (Advanced
Research Projects Agency Network), was planned and published in 1967. While this was going on,
the Rand Corporation had been working on something very similar for military purposes, while in
the UK the National Physical Laboratory had also come up with and named the idea of ‘packets’.
All three originators contributed to the actual construction of ARPANET. The new network was a
combination of computer hardware and software used to compress messages into packets and send
them over the telephone line. To make the system more broadly available, further simplifications had
to be made, but with the worldwide web and the emergence of search engines, the Internet as we
know it became possible. It represented the completion of the junction between the telephone facil-
ities offered by the orbiting satellite, as well as existing ground-based networks, and the computer
networked system developed by ARPANET.
The intersection of these paths, which was so significant for the development of a totally globalised
telecommunications system, came in the 1970s and the result was the heady mixture available to us
today: faxes, e-mail and the full panoply of Internet activity involving the provision and exchange of
information and views, electronic commercial transactions and entertainment. There can be no
doubt that this was a revolution, but it was still a revolution with limitations – not of scale but of quan-
tity. The telephone/satellite link was not adequate to carry the traffic that developed: put in more
contemporary terms there was not enough band width. The solution to this problem has come in
very recent times with the invention and installation of the fibre optic cable: it is being laid under
the world’s oceans and will soon be available to every household in highly developed societies. There
is as yet no sign where its limits may be and the traffic it can carry will ensure the continuation of the
modern communications revolution into the foreseeable future.
Communications revolution
These systems have produced a communications revolution at least the equal of that yielded by the
train/telegraph combination and with equally momentous consequences. The first phase, playing
out during the nineteenth century, altered the scope of human economic and political activity and
created a global distribution of power among states: in doing so, it significantly increased the power
and security of the USA and Russia and eventually relatively reduced the power of others. It did not,
however, change the name of the game: the scope of government of every size and description was
increased and governments maintained supervision or control over all the instruments of commu-
nication. This remained true during the essentially military-driven second phase, serving the needs
of the Cold War. The third and most recent phase, however, dominated by modern computer tech-
nology, has put the instruments of communication above and beyond the control of governments
since the system was, after all, designed to withstand a nuclear war which governments themselves
were deemed unlikely to do, and created a network which serves individual human beings and their
activities rather than specific societies and their authorities. In a nutshell, activities rather than tra-
ditional governmental authorities have been the beneficiaries. Many previously important, even for-
merly vital, systems of administration – political, economic and social – have been rendered
increasingly redundant as a result. It may well also turn out that future historians will attribute the
end of the Cold War, at least in part, to the emergence of a self-propelling and universal communi-
cations system.
All governments, whether large or small, have been to some extent bypassed by these events, and
the international consequences have also been momentous. The advantages that the first phase gave
to the great land mass states have been withdrawn but this time there have been no successors. The
second phase has not transferred power and security to a different optimum size of state so much as
moved them away from existing states of any sort. It may lead to the complete reconstruction of the
institutions of human society. If it does so, then the likely pattern will be one of large-scale, global
activities, generating their own styles of management and authority, accompanied by small-scale,
geographically described local mechanisms, as small or smaller than existing provincial structures,
designed to accomplish the basic minimum of local government.
These are the circumstances which importantly help to explain both the collapse of the Soviet
Union and the puzzling inconsistencies which seem to affect the USA in its lonely role as only
The next phase 7
remaining superpower. What had once propelled their rise to global dominance and then sustained
them both no longer does so: the USSR, which was inherently more divided, internally fell to pieces;
the USA, which was essentially a unitary structure, survived but sits uncomfortably in such a changed
environment, uncertain how to behave or how others will react. This is chiefly because such pre-
dominance arrived suddenly and unexpectedly, after a period of considerable self-doubt and, even
more difficult to interpret, because predominance itself has lost a clear meaning: predominant over
what, exactly, or whom? The attack on the World Trade Center in New York City in 2001 and its var-
ious aftermaths clearly demonstrate the difficulty of dealing with a globalised enemy that feels no
need to negotiate and does not share the ambitions or fears of traditional states and governments.
Such an enemy is thus not subject to the pressures of reciprocity which have usually set limits to vio-
lent behaviour and created an agreed framework for the conduct of business. Its presence changes
the meaning of global power and renders the highly developed rule book for exercising such power
largely irrelevant.
Structure
The best way of thinking about these changes is to imagine the organisational structures of the past,
whether commercial and economic or political, as functioning vertically. They operated up and
down and narrowed at the top like a pyramid. They related to each other from the top and regarded
each other as separate systems, having individual characteristics, particularly for example in eco-
nomic policies and political organisation, and generally expected that their relationships would be
competitive and adversarial, sinking from time to time into actual conflict. Advantages were some-
times anticipated to flow from cooperative arrangements, particularly where convenience for all
would come from generally accepted administrative norms; for example, in matters of disease con-
trol or the regulation of international commercial traffic. This led to the appearance of inter-gov-
ernment organisations, which gave a more complicated texture to their relationships from the end
of the nineteenth century. But however much the texture was complicated either by international
organisations or by the emergence of multinational companies, there was a complete expectation
that, at the end of the day, final authority lay with governments and the decisions that they took at
the apex of their particular structure.
This vertically structured and territorially arranged system of government has been pushed over by
the advent of the most recent communications revolution. Some of the most important human activ-
ities and exchanges now cross these vertical divisions with complete ease. They do not achieve this
by some kind of victorious push but by using technological changes in communications systems to
ignore them. They are thus happening across the globe on a horizontal basis, without reference to
territorial location, time of day or local political and legal authority. They are able to do so because
the use of the fax, e-mail and the Internet takes place without either the permission of governments
or the need to pay dues to them. Relationships can be global or local in scope entirely at will: ques-
tion, answer, information and command can pass instantly across the globe. Financial exchanges and
stock market trading have become continuous activities operating like a global horizontal plate,
interacting with other plates similarly arranged – for example, industrial and manufacturing busi-
nesses. These now locate themselves where it is most advantageous to undertake any particular part
of their operation and create alliances with other firms as is most appropriate.
This process, which has many other ramifications, has fundamentally impaired the ability of gov-
ernments to run independent macro-economic policies and reduced most of them to micro-man-
agement designed to ensure that they create the optimum conditions for attracting global
investment to their own area. This is not sovereignty in any recognisable sense, it is a form of ser-
vanthood – serving the needs of one of the most important horizontal plates of global activity but,
nonetheless, it also represents a new and significant role for the state to play. These effects will be
examined further in the next section.
Cultural consequences
The effects are not confined to political, economic and commercial operations. There have been
notable cultural consequences as well. In this field, as in others, the communications revolution has
worked at both the broadest and the narrowest level, tending to squeeze the familiar middle. The
8 The next phase
ubiquity of the Internet has the effect of confirming and extending an existing tendency towards the
spread of the English language in its North American form and with it the culture of the United
States and to a much lesser extent of the United Kingdom, the latter derived to some extent from
the extraordinary global use that is made of the radio and now television services of the BBC. What
had been spread as the language of two successive economic and political hegemonies has become
the language of global communication operating horizontally and independently of the views and
intentions of its progenitors. This is one reason why attempts by both the French and the Chinese to
limit its spread have failed and will continue to fail. The predominance of English is not a political
projection, but a matter of convenience. It is extremely fortunate that the language itself is so wel-
coming to neologism and grammatically plastic and that its literary tradition is so rich and powerful.
Nonetheless, other cultural features of the English-speaking world have not proved to be univer-
sally welcome. Its association with moral degradation, as liberal attitudes may seem to some, with
Christianity in various forms and with the propagation of the ideas associated with democracy are all
offensive in some degree and in different places. The combination of rapid change accompanied by
a comprehensible sense of unfamiliarity, rootlessness and dismay, emphasised by the decline of tra-
ditional political structures, with a sense of aggressive and implacable ‘westernisation’ at the hands
of a dominant global culture, contributes to the rise of religious fundamentalisms and other forms
of suspicious backlash, sometimes terrorist in form. Conspiracies of every kind, religious oddities,
many predicting the end of the world, and various versions of violently extreme political views all
populate the Internet and gain global exposure thereby. And the fundamentalist response seems par-
ticularly ungrateful and even dangerous to those who deeply believe that they are only purveying
things that are good in an equally fundamental sense.
Away from the global stresses of an unfolding convergent culture, the contemporary communica-
tions network encourages the pursuit of highly local and particularist activities. The steady improve-
ment in the ability of the Internet to accommodate additional languages and alphabets encourages
this. Small societies can propagate their individual approaches to all cultural media and thus provide
reliable focuses for daily life. Sometimes these represent a revival of older provincial feelings, sub-
merged in the process of forming larger states. Particular skills and activities, always a focus for loy-
alty and association on a small geographical scale, can now achieve a wider participation, and
enthusiasms of every sort have received a kind of shot in the arm from the ease of global contact with
the like minded. So have less satisfactory activities: transnational crime has become a growth indus-
try, particularly in the field of financial fraud and money laundering, as has the provision of unde-
sirable information – on pornographic networks, for example, and how to make terrorist weapons,
including chemical and biological ones. In all, we have to note the fact that the Internet has empow-
ered smaller groups following sometimes micro-enthusiasms and skills as much as it has furthered a
macro-predominance of English and English-based culture on a global basis, but that both these
effects weaken rather than enhance the older forms of loyalties and expectation based on medium-
sized societies organised in the more traditional state form.
It is gradually becoming possible to discern through the mist what this is leading to as well as what
it is caused by. The shift to horizontally arranged areas of activity rather than vertically constructed
centres of power is evoking a response in much the same way as the emergence of states did two-and-
a-half centuries ago. States, their internal structure and their external associations, have been the
principal losers and human activities of every sort – good and bad – have been the beneficiaries.
Long before the processes underlying globalisation made it a reality, Shakespeare put a striking
description of the condition into Hamlet’s mouth: ‘O God! I could be bounded in a nutshell, and
count myself a king of infinite space…’ (Hamlet, II, ii, 263). In some of these activities, pressure can
be detected in rising anxieties about management and control – even demands for it – without yet
having yielded any hard consequences: the easy availability of potentially damaging information and
techniques via the Internet is an example of this. Some organisations, generally not connected with
or originating from national governments, have also been beneficiaries. Global companies, quickly
modifying themselves to take advantage of new opportunities, are one example. The emergence of
globally operating private humanitarian organisations is another. Here, the consequences of their
vastly enhanced role in international crises caused by the collapse of states – such as Bosnia or
Rwanda – are already taking administrative and representative form such that they exist side by side
Conclusion 9
with the older forms of state-based entities, for example, the United Nations. The result of this is a
steadily unfolding shift of emphasis in the most traditional stronghold of state-centred relationships
– the sole ownership and use of the machinery of international diplomacy by governments or bodies
certified by governments.
Conclusion
Some conclusions at least are very clear. Human global society is having to develop a new way of
accommodating both upright and flattened mechanisms of economic and political management. At
the same time both the global and the local dimensions of human activities and loyalties have to be
meshed into a balanced set of interconnected responsibilities. The two together have to be helped
to generate acceptable means by which human beings can give their consent to power being exer-
cised in new ways and arrive at a common understanding in broad terms of what the moral basis is
from which economic, administrative and political decisions will have their starting point.
Perhaps there is a useful analogy in the fate of the great rail stations of the United States. The
grand union stations constructed in many cities at the apex of the economic and political power of
10 Conclusion
the big railroads were a representation of their status as much as they were a convenience for trav-
ellers. Time passed and so did the railroad passengers. In most cases, though not all, as the destruc-
tion of the old Pennsylvania Station in New York City demonstrated, the structures remained unused
and semi-ruined. But their old single use has now been supplanted by a wholly different multi-use.
Restored to grandeur, the rail operation either abandoned or confined to a small role, they have
become flagship malls, monuments to global consumerism. They demonstrate that it is possible to
adapt structures, to put new wine into old bottles, and that they need not be broken. A similar
process has turned the great Christian cathedrals of Western Europe into religious museums, tem-
ples for the modern global tourist. None of this adjustment is going to be easy. It was a prolonged,
difficult and occasionally violent process when the last great evolution produced sovereign states and
the states system.
Thus there can be no immediately reassuring things to say about the general situation that we have
been exploring. Attempts by politicians to develop them are one of the reasons why electorates
believe them less and less. The contemporary world confronts not just the onset but the secondary
stages of a general change of direction, equal to and perhaps even more compelling than those that
accompanied the fall of the Roman Empire, successive collapses of Chinese dynasties or the
Renaissance and Reformation periods in Europe. It is certain that new accommodations to new cir-
cumstances will be arrived at; they always are. It is at least likely that these accommodations will arise
in an evolutionary way in response to needs and events and that attempts either to redirect the flow
of events or to resist them are likely to fail, and fail in violent circumstances. There are already signs
– welcome signs – that new areas of power and activity are beginning to self-generate initial systems
of management and control. However, there are no signs yet that these new structures are inheriting
traditional methods of ensuring that their operations have democratic consent or are acquiring new
constitutional arrangements of their own.
This gap is likely to be the stuff of political conflict and dispute in the immediate future and it con-
tains within it a serious risk of mounting violence. It is quite certainly the most urgent item on the
global political agenda.
Part B
The Theatre:
Given Conditions
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13
CHAPTER 1: Context
This section contains maps and other sources of information which indicate the basic facts and
materials lying behind the conduct of global politics. They form the building in which the actors
perform the play. First comes the fundamental global political geography, followed by other maps
showing religions, language groups and connectivity.
After the maps come tables, organized in groups, including directions to other sources of
information, particularly tables and maps. Lists of global organisations both private and public and
a comparative table of military expenditure by governments follow.
14
CHAPTER 2: Maps
GREENLAND
CANADA
USA
THE BAHAMAS
MEXICO
CUBA
DOMINICAN
JAMAICA HAITI REP.
BELIZE ANTIGUA & BARBUDA
PUERTO
HONDURAS RICO DOMINICA
GUATEMALA
ST LUCIA BARBADOS
EL SALVADOR NICARAGUA
TRINIDAD
COSTA RICA & TOBAGO
PANAMA
E
VENEZUELA
AM
RIN
GUYANA FRENCH GUIANA
SU
COLOMBIA
ECUADOR
BRAZIL
PERU
BOLIVIA
PA
RA
GU
AY
CHILE
URUGUAY
ARGENTINA
NORWAY
RUSSIAN FEDERATION
ESTONIA
DENMARK LATVIA
LITHUANIA
RUSSIA
REPUBLIC UNITED
KINGDOM BELARUS
OF
IRELAND NETHERLANDS POLAND
GERMANY
BELGIUM
CZECH
LUX. UKRAINE
REPUBLIC
SLOVAKIA
BOSNIA
SERBIA
ITALY MONTENEGRO BULGARIA
GEORGIA
MACEDONIA
ALBANIA ARMENIA AZERBAIJAN
SPAIN
PORTUGAL GREECE TURKEY
CYPRUS
SYRIA
TUNISIA LEBANON
MOROCCO IRAQ IRAN
ISRAEL
JORDAN
KUWAIT
ALGERIA
LIBYA
EGYPT QATAR
WESTERN
SAHARA SAUDI
ARABIA U.A.E.
OMAN
MAURITANIA
MALI
NIGER CHAD
ERITREA
SENEGAL YEMEN
THE SUDAN
GAMBIA
BURKINA DJIBOUTI
GUINEA- GUINEA
BENIN
BISSAU
TOGO
NIGERIA
GHANA
LEONE COAST
AFRICAN
RO
LIBERIA REPUBLIC
ME
SOMALIA
CA
GABON
RWANDA
CO
ZAIRE BURUNDI
CABINDA
TANZANIA
MAL
ANGOLA
AWI
ZAMBIA
UE
Q
BI
M
ZA
ZIMBABWE
O
MADAGASCAR
M
NAMIBIA
BOTSWANA
SWAZILAND
REPUBLIC
LESOTHO
OF
SOUTH
AFRICA
Figure 2.1d Global political geography: Africa and the Middle East
18
Global political geography
RUSSIAN FEDERATION
KAZAKHSTAN
MONGOLIA
UZ
BE
KI
ST KYRGYZSTAN
AN N. KOREA
TURKMENISTAN TAJIKISTAN
JAPAN
S. KOREA
CHINA
AFGHANISTAN
N
TA NE
K IS PA BHUTAN
PA L
MYANMAR
INDIA Taiwan
LA
O
BANGLADESH
S
THAILAND VIETNAM
CAMBODIA PHILIPPINES
BRUNEI
SRI LANKA
MALAYSIA
SINGAPORE
INDONESIA
MALAYSIA
KIRIBATI
PAPUA SOLOMON
INDONESIA NEW ISLANDS
GUINEA
SAMOA
VANUATU
Northern FIJI
Territory TONGA
Queensland
Western AUSTRALIA
Australia
South
Australia
New South
Victoria
NEW
ZEALAND
TASMANIA
19
20
Geographical spread of some major religions
Christianity
Islam
Hinduism
Chinese religions
Judaism
French
Arabic
Chinese
Turkic
Other
Figure 2.3 The geographical spread of some major languages and language families
21
22 Global connectivity
Internet
No connectivity
Internet
No connectivity
Further Reading
For further data on religious populations, see:
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-top-ten-countries-with-largest-buddhist-populations-
map.html
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-top-ten-countries-with-largest-hindu-populations-
map.html
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-top-ten-countries-with-largest-muslim-populations-
map.html
For further data on computer and Internet use, see:
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-top-ten-internet-using-countries-map.html
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-top-ten-personal-computers-users-map.html
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/countries-with-highest-proportion-of-computer-users.html
24
(Millions) (Millions)
1 China 1304.2 24 Myanmar 49.5
2 India 1065.5 25 Ukraine 48.5
3 United States 294.0 26 South Korea 47.7
4 Indonesia 219.9 27 South Africa 45.0
5 Brazil 178.5 28 Colombia 44.2
6 Pakistan 153.6 29 Spain 41.1
7 Bangladesh 146.7 30 Poland 38.6
8 Russia 143.2 31 Argentina 38.4
9 Japan 127.7 32 Tanzania 37.0
10 Nigeria 124.0 33 Sudan 33.6
11 Mexico 103.5 34 Kenya 32.0
12 Germany 82.5 35 Algeria 31.8
13 Vietnam 81.4 36 Canada 31.5
14 Philippines 80.0 37 Morocco 30.6
15 Egypt 71.9 38 Peru 27.2
16 Turkey 71.3 39 Uzbekistan 26.1
17 Ethiopia 70.7 40 Uganda 25.8
18 Iran 68.9 41 Venezuela 25.7
19 Thailand 62.8 42 Iraq 25.2
20 France 60.1 Nepal 25.2
21 United Kingdom 59.3 44 Malaysia 24.4
22 Italy 57.4 45 Saudi Arabia 24.2
23 Congo 52.8 46 Afghanistan 23.9
(continued)
Population 25
(Millions) (Millions)
47 North Korea 22.7 57 Côte d’Ivoire 16.6
48 Taiwan 22.6 58 Netherlands 16.1
49 Romania 22.3 59 Cameroon 16.0
50 Ghana 20.9 60 Chile 15.8
51 Yemen 20.0 61 Kazakhstan 15.4
52 Australia 19.7 62 Cambodia 14.1
53 Sri Lanka 19.1 63 Angola 13.6
54 Mozambique 18.9 64 Burkina Faso 13.0
55 Syria 17.8 Ecuador 13.0
56 Madagascar 17.4 Mali 13.0
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
Further Reading top-ten-most-populated-countries-map.html
For size, rate of growth, labour force and unem- www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
ployment, death and disease, life expectancy, top-ten-least-populated-countries-map.html
education expenditure, see:
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/highest-
The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition per-school-leavers-in-fur-edu-map.html
(Profile Books, 2005) www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
For age structure, see: top-ten-countries-with-largest-urban-population-
map.html
The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2005 edition www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
(Profile Books, 2004) top-ten-countries-by-spending-on-healthcare-
See also: map.html
World economy
Biggest economies by purchasing power
(continued)
26 World economy
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
$ $
1 Luxembourg 52,990 17 Belgium 29,170
2 Norway 49,080 18 Germany 29,130
3 Switzerland 44,460 19 Qatarb 27,990
4 Denmark 39,330 20 Canada 27,190
5 Ireland 38,430 21 Australia 26,520
6 United States 37,240 22 Italy 25,580
7 Iceland 36,960 23 United Arab Emiratesb 23,650
8 Bermuda 35,940 24 Hong Kong 22,380
9 Sweden 33,890 25 Virgin Islands 22,320
10 Japan 33,680 26 Faroe Islandsac 21,600
11 Netherlands 31,770 27 Singapore 21,490
12 Austria 31,410 28 New Zealand 20,400
13 Finland 31,070 Spain 20,400
14 Cayman Islandsab 30,950 30 Guamad 19,750
15 United Kingdom 30,280 31 Greenlandac 19,640
16 France 29,240 32 Arubab 18,940
(continued)
World economy 27
$ $
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
Biggest exporters
% of total world exports (visible and invisible) % of total world exports (visible and invisible)
1 Euro area 17.48 10 Netherlands 3.54
2 United States 12.72 11 Belgium 2.77
3 Germany 9.55 12 Spain 2.53
4 United Kingdom 6.42 13 South Korea 2.30
5 Japan 6.02 14 Switzerland 2.07
6 France 5.32 15 Mexico 1.75
7 China 4.85 16 Taiwan 1.74
8 Italy 4.04 17 Russia 1.58
9 Canada 3.67 18 Ireland 1.55
(continued)
28 World economy
% of total world exports (visible and invisible) % of total world exports (visible and invisible)
19 Sweden 1.51 32 Poland 0.72
20 Austria 1.44 33 Turkey 0.70
21 Singapore 1.19 34 Finland 0.68
22 Malaysia 1.18 35 Indonesia 0.67
23 Hong Kong 1.06 36 United Arab Emirates 0.64
24 Denmark 1.04 37 Czech Republic 0.57
25 Saudi Arabia 0.99 38 Hungary 0.51
26 Australia 0.98 39 Portugal 0.49
Norway 0.98 40 South Africa 0.46
28 Thailand 0.94 41 Philippines 0.45
29 Luxembourg 0.85 42 Israel 0.43
30 Brazil 0.84 43 Greece 0.37
31 India 0.80 Iran 0.37
The figures are drawn from balance of payment statistics and, therefore, differing technical definitions from trade
statistics taken from customs or similar sources. The invisible trade figures do not show some countries due to
unavailable data. For Hong Kong and Singapore, domestic exports and retained imports only are used.
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
Global competitiveness
(continued)
World economy 29
Rankings reflect assessments for the ability of a country to achieve sustained high rates of GDP growth per head.
Column 1 is based on 259 criteria covering: the openness of an economy; the role of the government; the development
of financial markets; the quality of infrastructure; technology; business management; judicial and political institutions;
and labour-market flexibility. Column 2 looks at the extent to which government policies are conducive to
competitiveness. Column 3 is based on the extent to which a country is integrated into regional trade blocks.
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
30 World economy
a 2000
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
World economy 31
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
See also:
Further Reading
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
For purchasing power; human development; top-ten-fastest-growing-economies-map.html
economic growth rates; traders; businesses and
banks; innovation; information and communica- www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
tions technology; research and development; top-ten-fastest-growing-economies-map.html
largest industrial output; highest and lowest
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
growth in industrial output; largest manufactur-
top-ten-biggest-exporters.html
ing output; largest services output; and agricul-
tural and commodity production, see: www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
top-ten-countries-by-competitiveness-map.html
The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition
(Profile Books, 2005)
32 Foreign aid
Energy
Largest producers of energy
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
(continued)
Environment 33
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
See also:
Further Reading
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
For energy consumption per head, net energy top-ten-oil-reserves-countries-map.html
importers and energy efficiency see The
Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/countries-
with-most-reliance-on-nuclear-power.html
Environment
Environmental sustainability index
Highest Highest
1 Finland 75.0 11 Gabon 61.7
2 Norway 73.4 12 Australia 61.0
3 Uruguay 71.8 13 New Zealand 60.9
4 Sweden 71.7 14 Latvia 60.4
5 Iceland 70.8 Peru 60.4
6 Canada 64.4 16 Paraguay 59.7
7 Switzerland 63.7 17 Costa Rica 59.6
8 Argentina 62.7 18 Bolivia 59.5
Austria 62.7 Croatia 59.5
10 Brazil 62.2 20 Ireland 59.2
(continued)
34 Environment
Highest Highest
21 Colombia 58.9 27 Slovenia 57.5
Lithuania 58.9 28 Japan 57.3
23 Albania 58.8 29 Germany 56.9
24 Central African Rep 58.7 30 Namibia 56.7
25 Denmark 58.2 31 Russia 56.1
Estonia 58.2 32 Botswana 55.9
Lowest Lowest
1 North Korea 29.2 17 Lebanon 40.5
2 Taiwan 32.7 18 Zimbabwe 41.2
3 Turkmenistan 33.1 19 Libya 42.3
4 Iraq 33.6 Philippines 42.3
5 Uzbekistan 34.4 Vietnam 42.3
6 Haiti 34.8 22 Mauritania 42.6
7 Sudan 35.9 23 Angola 42.9
8 Trinidad & Tobago 36.3 24 South Korea 43.0
9 Kuwait 36.6 25 Liberia 43.4
10 Yemen 37.3 Sierra Leone 43.4
11 Saudi Arabia 37.8 27 Dominican Republic 43.7
12 Ethiopia 37.9 28 El Salvador 43.8
13 China 38.6 Syria 43.8
Tajikistan 38.6 30 Belgium 44.0
15 Iran 39.8 Egypt 44.0
16 Burundi 40.0 Guatemala 44.0
Based on 20 key indicators, including: environmental systems and stresses; human vulnerability to environmental risks;
institutional capacities on environmental issues; shared resources.
Source: The Economist, Pocket World in Figures, 2006 edition (Profile Books, 2005)
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
Further Reading top-ten-environmental-treaties-map.html
See also: www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/world-
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/countries- top-ten-fresh-water-supply-map.html
with-highest-deforestation-map.html
www.mapsofworld.com/world-top-ten/countries-
with-most-largest-area-of-forest.html
Private organisations (non-governmental organisations) 35
(continued)
36 Private organisations (non-governmental organisations)
(continued)
Private organisations (non-governmental organisations) 37
(continued)
38 Private organisations (non-governmental organisations)
(continued)
Private organisations (non-governmental organisations) 39
Source: docs.lib.duke.edu/igo/guides/ngo/
(continued)
40 Private organisations (non-governmental organisations)
(continued)
Private organisations (non-governmental organisations) 41
Source: docs.lib.duke.edu/igo/guides/ngo/
42 Private organisations (non-governmental organisations)
(continued)
Private organisations (non-governmental organisations) 43
(continued)
44 Private organisations (non-governmental organisations)
(continued)
Private organisations (non-governmental organisations) 45
Source: docs.lib.duke.edu/igo/guides/ngo/
Development NGOs
(continued)
46 Private organisations (non-governmental organisations)
(continued)
Private organisations (non-governmental organisations) 47
(continued)
48 Private organisations (non-governmental organisations)
(continued)
Prominent inter-governmental organisations (IGOs) 49
Source: docs.lib.duke.edu/igo/guides/ngo/
capitals) which meets several times a year in the ing high-risk sectors and countries.
Geneva headquarters. The General Council also The Multilateral Investment Guarantee
meets as the Trade Policy Review Body and the Agency (MIGA) provides political risk insurance
Dispute Settlement Body. (guarantees) to investors in and lenders to
At the next level, the Goods Council, Services developing countries. The International Centre
Council and Intellectual Property (TRIPS) for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID)
Council report to the General Council. settles investment disputes between foreign
Numerous specialised committees, working investors and their host countries.
groups and working parties deal with the
individual agreements and other areas such as International Monetary Fund (IMF)
the environment, development, membership
applications and regional trade agreements. Origin
The Fund was conceived at a United Nations
Functions conference convened in Bretton Woods, New
The WRO functions can be summarised as: Hampshire, in July 1944. The 44 governments
represented at that conference sought to build a
■ Administering WTO trade agreements
framework for economic cooperation that would
■ Forum for trade negotiations
avoid a repetition of the disastrous economic
■ Handling trade disputes
policies that had contributed to the Great
■ Monitoring national trade policies
Depression of the 1930s.
■ Technical assistance and training for devel-
oping countries Organisation
■ Cooperation with other international
Headquarters: Washington, DC, USA
organisations
Membership: 184 countries.
Managing Director: Rodrigo Rato (from Spain).
World Bank The IMF is accountable to the governments
of its member countries. At the apex of its
Origin
organisational structure is its board of gover-
The World Bank was established on 1 July 1944 nors, which consists of one governor from each
by a conference of 44 governments in Bretton of the IMF’s 184 member countries. All gover-
Woods, New Hampshire. nors meet once each year at the IMF-World
Bank Annual Meetings; 24 of the governors sit
Organisation on the International Monetary and Finance
Headquarters: Washington, DC, USA and more Committee (IMFC) and meet twice each year.
than 100 country offices. The day-to-day work of the IMF is conducted at
Membership: 184 countries. its Washington DC headquarters by its 24-
President: James D. Wolfensohn (ninth president member executive board; this work is guided by
of the World Bank Group since 1 June 1995). the IMFC and supported by the IMF’s profes-
sional staff. The managing director is head of
Functions IMF staff and chairman of the executive board,
The World Bank is the name that has come to be and is assisted by three deputy managing
used for the International Bank for directors.
Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and The IMF’s resources are provided by its mem-
the International Development Association ber countries, primarily through payment of
(IDA). Together these organisations provide quotas, which broadly reflect each country’s
low-interest loans, interest-free credit and grants economic size. The total amount of quotas is the
to developing countries. They also sponsor or most important factor determining the IMF’s
coordinate several projects ranging from lending capacity. The annual expenses of run-
anti-corruption initiatives to infrastructure ning the Fund are met mainly by the difference
development. between interest receipts (on outstanding
In addition to IBRD and IDA, three other loans) and interest payments (on quota
organisations make up the World Bank Group. ‘deposits’).
The International Finance Corporation (IFC)
promotes private-sector investment by support-
Prominent inter-governmental organisations (IGOs) 51
Secretary General: Ong Keng Yong from Singapore Liberia, Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali,
(since January 2003). Mauritania, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia,
The highest decision-making organ of ASEAN Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, Sahrawi Republic, Sao
is the Meeting of the ASEAN Heads of State and Tome and Principe, Senegal, Seychelles, Sierra
Government. The ASEAN Summit is convened Leone, Somalia, South Africa, Sudan, Swaziland,
every year. The ASEAN Ministerial Meeting Tanzania, Togo, Tunisia, Uganda, Zambia and
(Foreign Ministers) is held on an annual basis. Zimbabwe.
Ministerial meetings on several other sectors are Chairperson: Olusegun Obasanjo, President of
also held: agriculture and forestry, economics, Nigeria.
energy, environment, finance, information,
investment, labour, law, regional haze, rural Functions
development and poverty alleviation, science and The main objectives of the OAU were to rid the
technology, social welfare, transnational crime, continent of the remaining vestiges of colonisa-
transportation, tourism, youth, the AIA Council tion and apartheid; to promote unity and soli-
and the AFTA Council. Supporting these minis- darity among African states; to coordinate and
terial bodies are 29 committees of senior officials intensify cooperation for development; to safe-
and 122 technical working groups. guard the sovereignty and territorial integrity of
Member States and to promote international
Functions cooperation within the framework of the United
The ASEAN Declaration states that the aims and Nations.
purposes of the Association are: (i) to accelerate As a continental organisation the OAU pro-
the economic growth, social progress and cul- vided a forum that enabled all Member States
tural development in the region through joint to adopt coordinated positions on matters of
endeavours in the spirit of equality and partner- common concern to the continent in interna-
ship in order to strengthen the foundation for tional fora and defend the interests of Africa
a prosperous and peaceful community of effectively.
South-East Asian nations, and (ii) to promote
regional peace and stability through abiding Caribbean Community (CARICOM)
respect for justice and the rule of law in the Origins
relationship among countries in the region and
adherence to the principles of the United The establishment of the Caribbean Community
Nations Charter. and Common Market (CARICOM)1 was the
result of a 15-year effort to fulfil the hope of
African Union (formerly Organisation of African regional integration which was born with the
Unity) establishment of the British West Indies
Federation in 1958. The West Indies Federation
Origin came to an end in 1962. The end of the
In 1999, the heads of state and government of Federation meant the beginning of more serious
the Organisation of African Unity issued a efforts on the part of the political leaders in the
Declaration (the Sirte Declaration) calling for Caribbean to strengthen the ties between the
the establishment of an African Union, with the islands and mainland by providing for the con-
goal of accelerating the process of integration in tinuance and strengthening of the areas of coop-
the continent. eration that existed during the Federation.
Organisation Organisation
Headquarters: Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Headquarters: Georgetown, Guyana
Membership: 53 Member States: Algeria, Angola, Membership: Antigua and Barbuda, The Bahamas,
Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Barbados, Belize, Dominica, Grenada, Guyana,
Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Haiti, Jamaica, Montserrat, Saint Lucia, St Kitts
Republic, Chad, Cameron, Congo, Côte and Nevis, St Vincent and the Grenadines,
d’Ivoire, Democratic Republic of Congo, Suriname, and Trinidad and Tobago.
Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Equatorial Secretary-General: Edwin Carrington.
Guinea, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea,
Guinea Bissau, Republic of Kenya, Lesotho, 1. The Caribbean Court of Justice is part of CARICOM.
54 Prominent inter-governmental organisations (IGOs)
Exchanges between OECD governments flow Malcolm D Knight and the Deputy General
from information and analysis provided by a Manager is André Icard.
Secretariat in Paris. Parts of the Secretariat collect The BIS currently has 55 member central
data, monitor trends, analyse and forecast banks, all of which are entitled to be represented
economic developments, while others research and vote in the General Meetings. Voting power
social changes or evolving patterns in trade, envi- is proportionate to the number of BIS shares
ronment, agriculture, technology, taxation and issued in the country of each member repre-
more. sented at the meeting.
South America. Mercosur was significantly weak- to develop joint projects in energy, especially in
ened by the collapse of the Argentine economy relation to natural gas and transmission lines, as
in 2002. well as in transport and telecommunications.
Mercosur is one of South America’s two main Following the trend set by the European Union,
trade blocs (the other one being the Andean Mercosur’s role is not restricted to trade. It has
Community, of Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru also a mandate to facilitate the cooperation in
and Venezuela). Mercosur and the Andean many cultural and political aspects. Another role
Community began negotiations in 1999 towards of Mercosur is to help member countries to
a merger of the two groupings, with the poten- overcome their internal problems such as those
tial of creating a South American Free Trade linked with public administration and the
Area (SAFTA). At the Third South American control of inflation.
Summit on 8 December 2004 presidents or rep-
resentatives from twelve S. American states Organisation for Security and Cooperation in
signed the Cuzco Declaration, a two-page state- Europe (OSCE)
ment of intent, announcing the foundation and
the merger of the two trading blocs of the South Origin
American states. It will be a continent-wide free The OSCE was established as the Conference on
trade zone that will unite two existing free trade Security and Cooperation in Europe (CSCE) in
organisations. Complete integration between 1973, during the cold war, to promote East-West
these two trade blocs is expected by 2007. cooperation. The CSCE’s 1975 meeting in
Leaders announced their intention to model the Helsinki, Finland, ratified the acts commonly
new community after the European Union known as the Helsinki Accords, which were
including a common currency, parliament, and signed by every European nation (except
passport. Albania, which did so later) and the United
States and Canada. The OSCE is responsible for
Organisation reviewing the implementation of those accords.
Headquarters: Montevideo, Uruguay. Since the end of the cold war, it has also aimed
Membership: Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and to foster peace, prosperity, and justice in
Uruguay. Europe.
Management: The presidency, or chair, of
MERCOSUR rotates every six months among Organisation
the member countries. The Presidents of the Membership: Albania, Germany, Andorra,
member countries have a great impact on Armenia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Belarus,
the direction of the organisation. Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Canada,
Cyprus, Croatia, Denmark, Spain, Estonia, USA,
■ Council of the Common Market (CMC): This
Finland, France, Georgia, Hungary, Ireland,
is the highest body, responsible for the polit-
Iceland, Italy, Kazakstan, Latvia, Liechtenstein,
ical aspects of the integration process.
Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macedonia, Malta,
Composed of the foreign and economic
Moldavia, Monaco, Norway, Uzbekistan,
ministers of the members, the CMC is a
Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Czech Republic,
decision-making body
Romania, United Kingdom, Russia, Saint
■ Common Market Group (GMC): the execu-
Marin, Holy See, Slovakia, Slovenia, Sweden,
tive body of MERCOSUR, and is coordinated
Switzerland, Tajikistan, Turkey, Ukraine,
by the Ministries of Foreign Affairs of the
Yugoslavia.
Member States.
Headquarters: Vienna, Austria.
■ Administrative Secretariat of MERCOSUR:
Management: The Secretary General acts as
The Secretariat is responsible for providing
the OSCE Chief Administrative Officer.
services to the various MERCOSUR institu-
Ambassador Ján Kubis, of Slovakia, is the
tions, such as keeping an official archive of
present Secretary General of the OSCE. The
documents and adopted decisions.
Secretariat encompasses the following struc-
tures: Office of the Secretary General,
Functions Conflict Prevention Centre, Strategic Police
Mercosur also has the role of helping each mem- Matters Unit, Department of Management
ber country to attract foreign investors as well as and Finance, Department of Human Resources,
60 Prominent inter-governmental organisations (IGOs)
Coordinator of OSCE Economic and Its bodies are the Authority of Heads of State
Environmental Activities, Prague Office and Government; the Council of Ministers; the
of the Secretariat, Anti-Trafficking Assistance Community Parliament (120 seats); the
Unit. Economic and Social Council; the Community
Name of Current Head: Dr Dimitrij Rupel, Minister Court of Justice; the Executive Secretariat; the
of Foreign Affairs of Slovenia Mediation and Security Council [established by
Slovenia holds the OSCE Chairmanship in the Mechanism] and the fund for Cooperation,
2005.The Chairmanship rotates annually, and Compensation and Development.
the post of the Chairman-in-Office (CiO) is held
by the Foreign Minister of an OSCE participat- Functions
ing State. ECOWAS was established to promote coopera-
tion and integration in order to create an eco-
Functions nomic and monetary union for promoting
OSCE is the largest regional security organ- economic growth and development in West
isation in the world with 55 participating Africa. Although originally formed as a regional
states from Europe, Central Asia and North trade bloc, its functions are primarily security,
America. It is active in early warning, conflict having intervened mainly in Liberia and Côte
prevention, crisis management and post-conflict d’Ivoire.
rehabilitation.
The OSCE approach to security is League of Arab Nations
comprehensive and cooperative: comprehensive
in dealing with a wide range of security- Origin
related issues including arms control, preventive The Arab League was founded in Cairo in 1945
diplomacy, confidence- and security-building by Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Syria,
measures, human rights, democratisation, Transjordan (Jordan, as of 1950), and Yemen.
election monitoring and economic and en- Countries that later joined are: Algeria (1962),
vironmental security; cooperative in the Bahrain (1971), Comoros (1993), Djibouti
sense that all OSCE participating States have (1977), Kuwait (1961), Libya (1953),
equal status, and decisions are based on Mauritania (1973), Morocco (1958), Oman
consensus. (1971), Qatar (1971), Somalia (1974), Southern
Yemen (1967), Sudan (1956), Tunisia (1958),
Economic Community of West African States and the United Arab Emirates (1971). The
(ECOWAS) Palestine Liberation Organisation was admitted
in 1976. Egypt’s membership was suspended in
Origin
1979 after it signed a peace treaty with Israel;
The Economic Community of West African the league’s headquarters was moved from
States (ECOWAS) was created on May 28, Cairo, Egypt, to Tunis, Tunisia. In 1987 Arab
1975 in Lagos, Nigeria. At the Abuja Summit leaders decided to renew diplomatic ties with
in 1999, the ECOWAS Mechanism for Egypt. Egypt was readmitted to the league in
Conflict Prevention, Management, Resolution 1989 and the league’s headquarters was moved
and Security was signed, and it significantly back to Cairo.
organized the peace-keeping capabilities of
ECOWAS. Organisation
Membership: Jordan, United Arab Emirates,
Organisation Bahrain, Tunisia, Algeria, Djibouti, Saudi
Membership: Benin, Burkina Faso, Cape Verde, Arabia, Sudan, Syria, Somalia, Iraq, Oman,
Côte d’Ivoire, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea- Palestine, Qatar, Comoros, Kuwait, Lebanon,
Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Libya, Egypt, Morocco.
Sierra Leone, and Togo. Management: The Egyptian Amre M. Moussa is
Headquarters: Lome, Republic of Togo. The the Secretary-General. The Council of the Arab
Secretariat is in Abuja, Nigeria. League is the supreme authority within the
Management: President Mamadou Tandja of League system.
Niger is the current ECOWAS Chairman. Headquarters: Cairo, Egypt.
Prominent inter-governmental organisations (IGOs) 61
in Uganda and the Democratic Republic of strengthening ties between their peoples, for-
Congo. mulating similar regulations in various fields
such as economy, finance, trade, customs,
Organisation tourism, legislation, administration, as well as
Headquarters: The Hague, Netherlands. fostering scientific and technical progress in
Membership: Currently the Rome Statute of the industry, mining, agriculture, water and animal
ICC has 139 signatories and 97 ratifications. resources, establishing scientific research cen-
Management: Argentinean Luis Moreno Ocampo tres, setting up joint ventures, and encouraging
is the first Chief Prosecutor. cooperation of the private sector.
The Court is composed of the following
organs: the Presidency; the Chambers Common Market for Eastern and Southern
(Appeals Chamber, Trial Chamber, Pre-Trial Africa (COMESA)
Chamber); the Office of the Prosecutor; the
Registry. Origin
The history of COMESA began in December
Functions 1994 when it was formed to replace the former
The ICC is the first permanent international tri- Preferential Trade Area (PTA) which had
bunal with jurisdiction over individuals accused existed from the earlier days of 1981. COMESA
of committing genocide, crimes against human- (as defined by its Treaty) was established ‘as an
ity or massive war crimes. An investigation can organisation of free independent sovereign
be initiated by the chief prosecutor, the United states which have agreed to co-operate in devel-
Nations Security Council, or any Member State oping their natural and human resources for the
as long as the accused is a national of that coun- good of all their people’ and as such it has a
try or has committed the crime in the country’s wide-ranging series of objectives which necessar-
territory. ily include in its priorities the promotion of
peace and security in the region. However, due
Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the to COMESA’s economic history and background
Persian Gulf (formerly Persian Gulf Cooperation its main focus is on the formation of a large eco-
Council, GCC) nomic and trading unit that is capable of over-
coming some of the barriers that are faced by
Origin individual states.
Created on 25 May 1981 in Abu Dhabi, Kuwait,
with the general purpose of addressing eco- Organisation
nomic and security challenges in the area and Membership: 21 countries. Angola, Burundi,
promote Arab regional unity. Comoros, Democratic Republic of Congo,
Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya,
Organisation Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Namibia,
Membership: Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Rwanda, Seychelles, Sudan, Swaziland, Uganda,
Bahrain, United Arab Emirates. Zambia, Zimbabwe.
Headquarters: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Headquarters: The Secretariat is located in
Management: The Supreme Council is the high- Lusaka, Zambia.
est authority of the GCC, and it is formed by the Several institutions have been created to pro-
Heads of Member States. Its presidency rotates mote sub-regional cooperation and develop-
according to the Arabic alphabetical order of ment. These include:
the names of Member States. Resolutions on
■ The COMESA Trade and Development Bank
substantive matters are issued by unanimous
in Nairobi, Kenya
approval of the members present, while a major-
■ The COMESA Clearing House in Harare,
ity is enough to approve those of procedural
Zimbabwe
nature.
■ The COMESA Association of Commercial
Functions Banks in Harare, Zimbabwe
■ The COMESA Leather Institute in Ethiopia
The GCC Charter states that the basic objectives
■ The COMESA Re-Insurance Company
are to effect coordination, integration and inter-
(ZEP-RE) in Nairobi, Kenya.
connection between Member States in all fields,
Prominent inter-governmental organisations (IGOs) 63
In addition a Court of Justice was also estab- Development – Geneva, Switzerland [UNC-
lished under the COMESA Treaty and became TAD-UNDP]
formally operational in 1998. ■ High Level Comittee on Management
Management: COMESA has evolved a compre- (HLCM) – Geneva, Switzerland
hensive decision making structure at the top of ■ High Level Comittee on Programmes
which are the heads of state of the 21 member (HLCP) – Geneva, Switzerland
countries. There is then a Council of Ministers ■ Integrated Regional Information Networks
responsible for policy making, 12 technical com- (IRIN) – Nairobi, Kenya [OCHA]
mittees and a series of other advisory bodies ■ Inter-Agency Meeting on Sustainable
(including specific relations with partner coun- Development (IAMSD) (former IACSD) –
tries and the business community). New York, USA
Currently, the Secretary General is Erastus J. ■ Inter-Agency Network on Women and
O. Mwencha, and the Chairperson of Authority Gender Equality (IANWGE) (former
of Heads of State and Government is Ugandan IACWGE) – New York, USA
Yoweri Museveni. ■ Inter-Agency Procurement Services Office
(IAPSO) – Copenhagen, Denmark
Functions ■ Inter-Agency Working Group on Evaluation
COMESA’s stated goals are the implementation (IAWG) – New York, USA
of a free trade through removal of all internal ■ International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
trade tariffs and barriers; introduction of a com- – Vienna, Austria
mon external tariff structure to deal with all ■ International Bank for Reconstruction and
third party trade; trade promotion through Development (IBRD) – Washington, USA
trade liberalization, customs cooperation, har- [World Bank Group]
monization of macro-economic and monetary ■ International Bureau of Education (IBE) –
policies throughout the region. Geneva, Switzerland [UNESCO]
■ International Centre for Genetic
Engineering and Biotechnology (ICGEB) –
The United Nations System of Organisations (in
Trieste, Italy [UNIDO]
alphabetical order)
■ International Centre for Science and High
■ United Nations System Chief Executives Board Technology (ICS) – Trieste, Italy [UNIDO]
for Coordination (CEB) – New York, USA. ■ International Centre for Settlement of
■ Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Investment Disputes (ICSID) – Washington,
Organisation (CTBTO) (Preparatory USA [World Bank Group]
Commission) – Vienna, Austria. ■ Abdus Salam International Centre for
■ United Nations CyberSchoolBus – New York, Theoretical Physics (ICTP) – Trieste, Italy
USA. [UNESCO/IAEA]
■ Administrative Committee on Coordination ■ International Civil Aviation Organisation
(ACC) (now CEB) and its former (ICAO) – Montreal, Canada
Subcommittees ■ International Civil Service Commission
■ Economic Commission for Africa (ECA) – (ICSC) – New York, USA
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia ■ International Computing Centre (ICC) –
■ Economic Commission for Europe (ECE) – Geneva, Switzerland
Geneva, Switzerland ■ International Court of Justice (ICJ) – The
■ Economic Commission for Latin America and Hague, The Netherlands
the Caribbean (ECLAC) – Santiago, Chile ■ International Criminal Tribunal for the
■ Economic and Social Commission for Asia Former Yugoslavia (ICTY) – The Hague, The
and the Pacific (ESCAP) – Bangkok, Netherlands
Thailand ■ International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda
■ Economic and Social Commission for (ICTR) – Arusha, Tanzania
Western Asia (ESCWA) – Beirut, Lebanon ■ International Fund for Agricultural
■ Food and Agriculture Organisation of the Development (IFAD) – Rome, Italy
United Nations (FAO) – Rome, Italy ■ International Institute for Educational
■ Global Programme on Globalization, Planning (IIEP) – Paris, France [UNESCO]
Liberalization and Sustainable Human ■ International Institute on Ageing (INIA) –
64 Prominent inter-governmental organisations (IGOs)
(continued)
International comparisons of defence expenditure and military manpower, 2001–2003 67
(continued)
68 International comparisons of defence expenditure and military manpower, 2001–2003
Source: International Institute for Strategic Studies, The Military Balance: 2004–2005,
Oxford University Press, pp. 353–358
Part C
CHAPTER 1: Context
The physical and geographical make-up of the world, its climates, its peoples, its resources, its pro-
duction, create the theatre in which the great drama of global politics is played out. Inside the the-
atre, as with any play, the programme contains a list of the characters; these characters speak from a
script which relates them to the topics of the play and there is a production which determines how
they interact. This section introduces the characters chiefly involved in conducting global politics.
The order of the following chapters is alphabetical and thus makes no attempt to list the cast in
an order of relative importance. This is chiefly because that order has sharply changed in recent
times and because it is always on the move to some degree. However, we will begin now with states,
the most difficult of contemporary characters to assess. They were once, not long ago, effectively the
only characters on stage and had been for the 350 years since they chased all others away in early sev-
enteenth-century Europe. This has given time for deeply ingrained attitudes to develop about them.
The very different backgrounds of the world’s populations produce naturally different underlying
assumptions about the likely nature of the conduct of politics. They exhibit this characteristic more
in their own territory and in relationship to the government and administration of their own state
than in considering the politics of the globe. This is partly because considering the politics of the
world as such is a relatively new activity which followed soon after the emergence of global politics as
we know them. It is also because global politics are the successors of international politics and inter-
national politics had been a part of everyone’s world for a substantial slice of history – long enough
to have acquired techniques, assumptions, machinery, staff and, above all, ingrained expectations
and attitudes which were so deep-seated that they might not always be expressed. Moreover, inter-
national politics had also become part of academic studies, giving rise to a filigree of theoretical argu-
ment, creating a minor publishing industry and some vested interests in maintaining the subject
beyond its natural shelf life. The result of this is that the attitudes derived from the conduct of inter-
national politics still form the natural reference point when most people consider global politics,
however aware they may be that something has happened in recent years that has put intolerable
stresses on traditional assumptions and mechanisms. Hence the continuing predominance of the
assumption that states remain the principal participants in global politics.
States
Where and how did a world of states emerge? The answer is in Europe about 350 years ago. The
refinement of its development was accompanied by the steady spread of European power across the
globe and thus the institution spread with it until, by the early twentieth century, the state form had
become the global norm. The most complex forms of political relationship and commercial and cul-
tural exchange so far seen have developed over the past 300 years and have been the product of an
era when most societies turned themselves into or aspired to become nation-states. Such evolution-
ary changes usually produced episodes of conflict and warfare. The study of these relationships, and
particularly their occasional descent into violence, has become an intellectual discipline, rising to
greater and greater sophistication as it has sought to understand more about the shifting sands of
inter-state activities, economic, political and strategic. It is useful to remember this pattern because
it lasted for so long that it came to be regarded as a given condition, an unchanging basis for dis-
cussion, an inalienable template by which to explain the affairs of states and their external relations.
This in turn helps to throw light on why much muddle and anxiety has developed in the face of
72 States
recent fundamental evolutionary shifts which have invalidated the template: these are the shifts in
both power and the distribution of power which have come to be called globalisation.
Both the machinery of international relations and the fixed assumptions which societies have
come to make about the likely consequences of their own or their government’s actions have been
shaped by the effects which technological change has had on the nature and distribution of power –
economic and political. On the whole, the period from the middle of the nineteenth century to the
later part of the twentieth can be seen as a single evolution, itself emerging from earlier and more
geographically restricted versions of a similar structure, first in Northern Italy in the fifteenth cen-
tury and then in Europe as a whole. In both these situations the principal propelling agent in the
equations of power was the unfolding development of the state, both internally and externally. After
about 300 years of continuous, expansionary activity, it is not surprising that the central role of the
state itself, never mind what whirligigs of changing fortune might occur between them, became a
fixed expectation, a given condition of the political life of humanity.
State functions
During the twentieth century, in addition to retaining its role as the only broadly accepted idea about
how human societies should be organised, the state acquired the full panoply of administrative and
political powers. Technological advances, particularly in communications, following the industrial
revolution gave governments the ability to intervene effectively in the generation and implementa-
tion of social policy and populations the desire that they should do so. The degree and the manner
of these interventions became the stuff of political dispute, both directly and indirectly, in the sense
that state intervention is expensive and carries a second argument about levels and incidence of tax-
ation. These developments led to an increase in popular participation in politics, fuelled in part by
growing literacy and a burgeoning if sensationalist press. Suffrage was made largely universal and its
significance was such that when non-democratic regimes developed in the 1920s and 1930s, they felt
obliged to rig elections rather than forbid them. Their emergence was a response to the intensity of
the problems inherent in governing industrialised societies, made worse by the consequences and
experience of the 1914 war. So also was the extreme stress that came to the surface in liberal democ-
racies at the time of the Great Depression and led to governments of national unity and the policies
of The New Deal.
The rapid evolution of the functions of the state whether in the Soviet Union or elsewhere was fur-
ther advanced by the extreme emergency of the Second World War. At its end, various questions that
had troubled the first half of the century had been answered. It was clear that fascism had proved an
unviable way of handling either the internal or external operations of a state and that communism
and liberal democracy were left to fight it out. The result of the match emerged with dramatic sud-
denness in the 1990s, when communism withdrew from the ring. The competition was more than
ideological because the war had also answered a question about the distribution of global power and
the future management of international politics. The USA and the USSR had defeated any potential
competitors for equal power within what had become a global system, and faced each other in an
uncomfortable but stable stalemate for 50 years. Maintaining the viability of this arrangement
became the focus of national security policies, the object of vast expenditure, the goal of immense
quantities of scientific research and the basis of political rhetoric and electoral campaigning.
The result was the most complete dominance of the state form and, at the same time, the begin-
ning of its end, as has been discussed in Part A. There was another consequence too: although there
were gaps, quite large ones, between the size and efficiency of different states, the gaps were less sig-
nificant than the similarities. This was only possible because until the 1960s and 1970s, the parts of
the world which could not have joined the club of developed states were being administered by colo-
nial or other proprietors. As empires were being dissolved into independent states, it did not occur
to the successful leaders of independence movements that they would not create states of their own.
The result, as has become clear in the last quarter century, was a contrast between spread and depth.
The idea of the state in a variety of forms was universal, but its roots varied greatly in their depth
and stability. Under the stresses of the contemporary world, examples of states which tottered and
sometimes collapsed have accumulated. A perceptible and growing weakness in the power and
authority of states, ranging in degree from discomfort to failure, is not, however, the only significant
Associations of states 73
fact affecting the relative roles of the actors in global politics. Equally important is the ending of the
fact and expectation that states and their creations were the only actors on the stage. For reasons that
will be further discussed, the stage now hosts other actors, different in style, appearance and experi-
ence. States may remain the most completely organised and familiar purveyors of administration and
channels for the exercise of political power, but they now have to share authority in a plural global
political and economic system.
The new or newer arrivals fall into three groups: associations of states or inter-governmental organ-
isations (IGOs) – this group has the longest history and several sub-groups of which one, global eco-
nomic organisations, is undergoing such significant contemporary evolution that it is becoming a
separate group; global civil society, which consists of private entities often called non-governmental
organisations (NGOs), though simply to name them for what they are not seems perverse given their
importance; and transnational corporations.
Associations of states
The first associations of states were military alliances and they continue to exist, but not in the num-
bers or significance that they had up to and including the Cold War years. This is an unsurprising
consequence of the decline in actual or anticipated inter-state war. One survivor has been the North
Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO). Its original purpose of containing the Soviet Union has dis-
appeared, leaving it with the strategic attitudes, the equipment and the structure to fight the kind of
inter-alliance, high-tech war that is no longer going to happen. The alliance has scrambled to add to
its membership and change its primary objectives so that they match the very different needs of Euro-
Atlantic security in the age of collapsing states and the rising threat of terrorist attacks. It may or may
not succeed, but its survival through the intense disagreements among its members about the 2004
war in Iraq suggests that it may.
Two other kinds of inter-governmental association developed during the nineteenth century: one
attempted to manage what were then international politics so as to prevent war, and its contempo-
rary manifestation is the United Nations (UN) and its accompanying system. These associations
asserted the continuation of the full sovereign rights of member states because without doing so
there would have been no members. But the inherent contradiction between maintaining those
rights and the effectiveness of the organisation has remained a continuous difficulty and it affects the
UN today. In the case of the UN, the situation is complicated by the increasingly plural nature of the
global system. The UN strictly represents states and because of that represents only a part of the cast
of global actors. It may represent the actors with leading roles, because states remain the most sig-
nificant element in the system, but it does suffer from the twin disadvantages of being constitution-
ally bound to deal only with governments, even when they have become too weak to function, and
of having few formal ways of including other, newer members of the troupe. It has made great efforts
to improve the latter aspect and while its role in high politics has atrophied, as the events of 2003
and 2004 in Iraq showed, its relationship with NGOs has become more productive. There is no doubt
that the UN in early 2005 was facing a fully acknowledged crisis over its future design and role, but
it is equally clear that there are no obvious or agreed ways in which to remodel it.
The second type of inter-governmental arrangement which emerged during the nineteenth cen-
tury dealt with shared administrative responsibilities on the part of governments whose interven-
tionist role was increasing. To give an example: attempts to limit diseases, both human and animal,
began to increase quite sharply, but, particularly in states with land borders, such efforts had to be
backed by cooperative agreements with neighbours in order to be effective. The spread of railways
had the same effect, as did the establishment of telegraphic communications. They all needed inter-
national regulation and they got it. These kinds of arrangements have increased over the years and
form an unsung but essential backdrop to the world’s daily business. Some have been incorporated
into the UN system. There have been times when the relative ease with which these agreements have
been made and maintained has led to the idea that they could and should be extended from the
administrative to the political sphere, but universally without success.
74 Global economic organisations
Regional organisations
The second half of the twentieth century spawned many regional inter-governmental organisations,
usually primarily economic in motivation. Not all, particularly in Africa, have been long lived. Some,
however, have become well established. The Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN), Asia
Pacific Eonomic Cooperation group (APEC), the North American Free Trade Association (NAFTA),
Mercosur in South America, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and the
African Union (AU) are all examples. The range of activity and scope among them is quite wide, but
none has developed in the way that the European Union (EU) has. There have been occasional
examples in Africa and the Middle East – the United Arab Republic – where attempts to create new
and larger federal states have been made and failed. In the case of the EU the attempt is still being
made and has reached a point where it seems inevitable that, even if a fully constructed federation
does not occur in the end, a highly complex political and economic structure will remain.
The EU began as a response to the conditions in Europe immediately after the Second World War.
It was an economic association first and foremost, based on the European Coal and Steel Commu-
nity which was expanded first to become the Common Market and then the European Economic
Community. Because it had been originally intended to bind the old foes Germany and France into
a single unbreakable economic system, its first members were those two states and their immediate
neighbours, or at least those of them which were willing to pool a significant degree of economic sov-
ereignty. In the 1970s it expanded, though solely within Western Europe, and then again after the
demise of the Soviet bloc when it gradually expanded further to include states on the Baltic coast and
in central Europe. The eventual accession of Turkey, which would take the EU into Asia, was in 2005
under active discussion.
This expansion has emphasised the fact that the EU has always had a dual intention, set out in
treaties, beginning with the first, the Treaty of Rome of 1957. The first intention was to create a large
and prosperous free trade area within Europe. The second was to proceed more slowly and build a
new federal European state on the foundation of the steadily deepening economic and administra-
tive integration. This ambition was reaffirmed particularly in the Treaty of Amsterdam in 1998. The
Global civil society 75
first objective has been remarkably successful, although the crowning achievement of creating a sin-
gle currency for all the members has not yet happened and may never do so. The second objective
may, however, turn out to be anachronistic. In the later 1950s it was reasonable to suppose that polit-
ical and economic well-being was likely to spring from belonging to a state or federation of substan-
tial size. All the immediate evidence suggested that this was so. To seek to replicate that condition
in Europe, an area with a common cultural heritage and a very large quantity of shared historical
experience, mainly unpleasant, seemed to be a reasonable ambition – difficult to bring off, but
reasonable.
By the early twenty-first century, not only was the EU much bigger and more diverse than was ini-
tially anticipated, but the general premise was also in question. The surrounding world was no longer
the sole preserve of states, nor was it more or less solely affected by the balance of power between
them. It was a much more complex assemblage of entities exercising different kinds of power at dif-
ferent levels within the global system. Nor was it clear that any serious advantage was derived from
sheer size. Indeed, the sole remaining superpower seemed to indicate that apart from economic
weight – and even that has become problematic – being a superpower no longer had the conse-
quences, still less the rewards, that once it did. Thus not only has it become more difficult for the EU
to implement the treaty obligations calling for ever-deepening integration, the motive for doing so
has become much less clear.
In 2005, this formerly rather shadowy sense of things acquired a gritty political reality when refer-
enda in both France and the Netherlands rejected a draft European constitution. The reasons were
not solely to do with the text of the constitution or the principle of having one at all, but they were
primarily so and strongly suggested that popular opinion would not support any further attempts to
create a new European state. It is most probable that the EU is in fact going to settle into a kind of
midway position between being a state and being an association of states. If so, it will contribute to
the contemporary fact that the meaning of being a state has changed substantially and at the same
time will contribute to a new definition of it.
This has occurred, too, in an even more striking way over crises involving humanitarian and
human rights issues, and the major question that arises is, where the internal administration of a state
to all intents and purposes disappears, who will provide it, either while reconstruction proceeds or
while something completely different evolves? Plainly one answer often supplied to these questions
is: the UN system. It has, however, become perfectly evident that the system is not capable of dealing
with these problems. The reasons are not entirely straightforward, and emotional rhetoric sometimes
serves to conceal natural limitations on what can be done by referring only to the need for rooting
out corruption and adopting administrative reforms. Achieving either of these will not change the
fact that the UN is an association of states and, as such, shares in the disadvantages that the contem-
porary world has dealt out to its members. This makes many expectations of what could be achieved
wildly over optimistic, and returns us to the questions asked above.
The answer, as events have unfolded, has been that the only practical source of help – however
woefully inadequate the circumstances often make it – has come from private organisations, most
often from the great charities such as Oxfam and Médécins Sans Frontières (Doctors Without Bor-
ders), both of which have graduated from local to global status, and also from a wide variety of other
private actors, specific in origin by country and by activity, and large in numbers. The reasons go
beyond the nature of the problems on the ground. State collapse renders the traditional way in
which other states have responded irrelevant: a bilateral approach and the consequent use of bilat-
eral diplomatic and other machinery become useless. The same, even more awkwardly, applies to the
UN. Dealing with the government of a state is the only proper manner for the UN to operate and if
there is no government in effective existence, the mechanisms of the UN run into formal difficulties.
The most likely solution can be to put the UN into a coordinating role, with all the weaknesses that
that implies, so that it can arrange to operate through deliberately established or pre-existing local
and international private actors.
For governments, there is another motive over and beyond evading the problems caused by the
failure of bilateral relationships. In a post-collectivist atmosphere, the direct use of tax revenue to
relieve external humanitarian disasters can be politically infeasible: the ‘privatisation’ of humanitar-
ian efforts relieves this problem. The free market in humanitarian feeling – and the contributions
which flow from it – allows private charitable actors to multiply. They then become available to
governments as the recipients of funds delivered in a competitive environment and influencing their
activities thus makes it possible to evade the objections that an even partly effective domestic
government would have raised. For both intervening governments and the UN, this is particularly
true of human rights issues but is not confined to them.
The result has been an impressive shift in the route by which resources reach crisis areas, as pri-
vate actors have increased their share of the financial action. In 1970, 1.5 per cent of the income of
private actors was derived from public grants; in 1996, it was probably over 40 per cent. In 1992, some
13 per cent of overseas development assistance from the industrialised world was being channelled
through private actors and the amount has risen since. Such flows have inevitably caused a change
in expectations as to how much private actors must contribute from their own resources before being
entitled to matching funds. In some cases, deliberately created organisations are being 100 per cent
funded from public sources. Such inflows give influence to the donors, and particularly where the
intention is to find substitutes for direct intervention, the donors expect performance and behaviour
consistent with developed models. This contributes to the tendency of private organisations not
only to supply the administrative functions of dead states but to conform their own organisational
structures to the patterns of ‘Western’ state institutions.
Problems of provision
At a basic level, organisations founded and funded on the basis of a transcendent, sometimes essen-
tially religious, desire to give aid and comfort to individual human beings in distress find themselves
involved in something almost infinitely more complicated. The simple river of both intention and
intended actions runs out into a complex delta of slow-moving muddy channels, difficult both to
map and to navigate. The principal problem is deciding how to apply the practical help to individ-
ual sufferers when no infrastructure – even a primitive one – exists any longer. Thus it has to be
decided to what extent it is the proper function of private actors to provide the prior conditions in
Global capitalism and markets 77
which help can be effectively given. There is always then a further problem in a seemingly never-
ending chain of difficulties: providing anything other than direct assistance to individuals carries a
political message of some kind or another to one group – usually armed – or another, and therefore
creates the risk that the best of intentions may be being used for less good purposes either acciden-
tally or deliberately. And this complication may go further than the local political and administrative
morass. It may involve the wishes and policies of state governments, most likely neighbours, but also
possibly others hoping to have influence from further afield. In such circumstances, the private
actors concerned may find themselves divorced from the kind of neutral status maintained by the
Red Cross, whether justly or not, and thus put themselves and their staff at risk of attack and assassi-
nation. People who have volunteered to serve in such circumstances have always accepted a degree
of risk, but becoming potential participants in warfare has not generally been seen as that kind of
risk.
The thickening texture of communication between private actors and the pre-existing machinery
of the international system is a mark of the breaking down of the hierarchy of international signifi-
cance. The role of private actors is more nearly equal with that of states and institutional groupings
of states, like the UN. The role of their staff has followed suit. The importance of the private organ-
isation’s perspective in political forums has been demonstrated by its increasing relevance in official
delegations or in the emergence of humanitarian units attached to government departments. Revolv-
ing-door assignments are widespread between private-sector and UN positions, particularly in oper-
ational programmes such as those of UNHCR, UNICEF and the World Food Programme (WFP),
where there is a tradition of picking talent from private organisations. In many ways these links
between non-governmental and governmental spheres of activity are a novel feature of the UN scene,
impossible to imagine a decade ago.
There can be no doubt that all this represents the development of a new layer in the global polit-
ical system, evolving from major changes in the machinery of global politics. It is more than a quan-
titative change. However easy it may be to point to the presence of private actors with influence on
international politics in the past, their role in the present has altered in a qualitative way, both in its
frequency and in its direction. The balance of power among the entities involved has shifted – away
from state governments and associations of states and towards private actors. To set against this, it is
to be remembered that some of this change has occurred because the new entrants are acting as sur-
rogates for governments. They do so in circumstances where traditional bilateral relationships can-
not survive a state collapse or the objections of domestic public opinion to interventionist policies.
over centuries in the context of government conducted through and by the state. The sole mitigat-
ing factor is the sanction that can be exercised by shareholders in transnational firms whose interest
is not necessarily that of the general good, but who may become conscious of their company’s grow-
ing undesirable and economically damaging unpopularity among the global public and demand
changes of policy.
There are two particular points of friction between societies and the markets: the first is that free-
dom to locate manufacturing where labour is cheapest, or at least cheap and effective, draws employ-
ment away from the richer economies. The second is that the effects of inward investment on poorer
economies, though they can be dramatically enriching, can put unbearable strains on local facilities
and local environments. Moreover, the greater ability of highly developed states to influence the flow
of trade by protective mechanisms can produce, particularly over agriculture, a very strong sense that
the global economy is an unfair economy.
The combination of a globalising economy powered by global markets and transnational firms
with a growing weakness in the authority and scope of state government has tended to break the
familiar connection between relative public security and effective local administration and achieving
successful economic performance. To achieve the optimum workforce or physical conditions or
propinquity to raw materials, firms may go to places where the political and the physical environment
may be a great deal less than optimum. When this happens, the firm may well begin to supply on its
own behalf what is lacking locally. Security is the clearest example and leads to the once unimagin-
able spectacle of a company providing security for largely foreign staff by employing mercenary
forces to protect the immediate area of the company’s operation – but doing so in somebody else’s
country. It is this kind of evolution in both states and the global economy that makes it necessary to
include both the markets and transnational firms as actors in global politics. Global policies cannot
be disentangled from national policies, global interests from national interests, and national inter-
ests may indeed have become impossible to define any more. Global activity will have local conse-
quences and local consequences will in turn influence the next stage of global activity.
79
from happening, or if they did from causing small permanent staff and a well-defined consti-
wars, could therefore become a primary and uni- tution, the Covenant of the League. The organi-
versally agreed objective. The third condition sation would thus never have to be called into
was that the course of the war in its latter stages existence when a crisis arose – it would always be
had required the development of a diplomatic there and someone would always be in the office
means for keeping together the alliance against when the League’s attention was required. The
Napoleon and in so doing had created the idea Covenant was also equipped with various alter-
of holding conferences of the great powers and native ways of resolving disputes, particularly
refined it to the point where it could be added imposing moratoria and providing for in-depth
to the permanent stock of diplomatic tech- reporting on difficult issues and events.
niques. In fact it became the piece of machinery Having given the League broad duties and its
by which it was expected that crises would be members serious obligations, the makers also
resolved, and flourished through much of the tried to give it some coercive power. The state of
period between 1815 and 1914. public opinion after 1918 would not have
Compared with the League of Nations and the allowed the League to be given any military
UN, this system, which became known as the force, indeed general disarmament had been
Concert of Europe (because governments con- supposed to follow the war. But the intercon-
certed together), lacked definition. Its constitu- nected nature of the world economy brought
tion was extremely brief, it had no geographical about the belief that the right to impose eco-
base and thus no physical structure or perma- nomic sanctions – exclusion from the world
nent staff. But its fundamental purpose – to reg- economy – would give the League adequate
ulate international affairs and to do so by teeth to make certain that its decisions were
consensual agreements achieved at conferences obeyed. Economic sanctions have subsequently
or by rapid telegraphic exchanges after 1850 – turned out to be an uncertain weapon by their
was basically the same as that of its successors. It very nature, but in the case of the League, such
lasted longer and had greater success than sanctions shared with all the other provisions in
either of them, despite their much greater the Covenant the absolute need that the mem-
elaboration. This suggests that the success or bers of the organisation should be agreed about
failure of international organisations depends what should be done and then actually do what
on contemporary conditions and the conse- they had agreed upon. There was no executive
quent behaviour of their members rather than power to speak of and no majority voting.
the contents of their constitutions. Even in stable international conditions, com-
plete success for the League would have been a
The League of Nations 1920–1945 tall order. In the conditions that existed after
The immediate predecessor of the UN was the 1920, where acute instability rapidly led to inter-
League of Nations, created in 1919 and estab- national disorder, its failure was rapid and cer-
lished in 1920. Its makers were, like the dele- tain, made the more so by the refusal of the
gates of 1815, powerfully moved by the horrors United States to join and the initial absence of
of the preceding war, in this case the deeply both Russia, which was in the process of becom-
shocking First World War (1914–18). Unlike the ing the USSR, and Germany, which was
situation of 1815, however, they had a previous excluded until proved to be of good behaviour.
system to think about and they came to the con- The League was wound up on the formation of
clusion that it had been too weak and unstruc- the UN in 1945, but had been moribund for
tured to prevent war in 1914. They particularly some years. Famously, its last Secretary com-
thought that the Concert’s reliance on voluntary plained that when the war in Europe began in
attendance at conferences had allowed the Ger- 1939, nobody bothered even to inform the
man government to refuse one in late July of League of Nations.
1914 and that this refusal had been a major
immediate cause of the war. They were thus The United Nations
interested in finding ways of making the League The Charter of the United Nations reflects the
stronger than the Concert and to make it impos- same mixture of intentions as emerged in both
sible to evade a discussion about a crisis. 1815 and 1919. The new organisation was
Their chosen method was to give the League a designed to prevent what contemporaries
physical existence – at Geneva in Switzerland – a believed caused wars and to do so by improving
Global organisations 83
the machinery which had failed to prevent the state acts of aggression has seemed relevant only
previous conflict. What the makers of the UN had in the circumstance of the invasion of Kuwait by
come to fear was not so much diplomatic failure, Iraq which, chiefly using the forces of the USA,
aided by secrecy, or disputes and crises slipping the Security Council was able to reverse.
out of control, and certainly not revolutions as Despite much talk of reform, usually meaning
such, but episodes of naked aggression. They rooting out corruption, real evolutionary devel-
therefore did not share the belief that the very opment at the UN has arisen out of its unfolding
existence of a permanent international council or relationships with private organisations which
techniques such as cooling-off periods and the help to deal with the crises that evolve from
provision of opportunities for the legal resolution internal conflicts. These have become the most
of disputes were adequate to control warfare. common contemporary type, but because in the-
So they designed something that would ory the UN is prevented from acting directly in
respond immediately to any aggression and they such cases, it has had to develop indirect, coop-
intended it to have military force at its disposal, erative methods in order to become involved.
something deliberately denied to the League. Events in former Yugoslavia, and perhaps partic-
They believed the League to have been in gen- ularly in Iraq in 2003–2004, make it seem likely
eral too weak, not just in its lack of force but also that the more state-centred and straightfor-
in the powers assigned to the Council of the wardly political role that the UN is supposed to
League. They also wished, however, to maintain play will continue to atrophy, despite the end of
the principle of the sovereign equality of mem- the bi-polar stasis, while future internal conflicts
ber states. This circle had to be squared and the and state failures will continue to swell the sig-
device used was to put the five great powers of nificance and relevance of its participation in
the period in charge of the sanctions available to humanitarian, human rights and environmental
the UN Security Council, but to release them, issues.
alone among member states, from the obliga-
tion of obedience to them. This was done by giv- Institutions of the United Nations
ing them permanent membership and a unique The institutions of the United Nations Organisa-
veto. Only on such terms could Marshal Stalin tion can be divided into three categories: the
and the US Congress be persuaded to accept the central institution, the specialised agencies and
proposed constitution. the residual category of other related organisa-
It cannot be known whether the Charter tions established under the ‘aegis’ of the UN. As
would have been an improvement on the for the central organisation, the United Nations,
Covenant of the League, because the Cold War its Charter established six principal organs: the
developed rapidly after 1945 and a consequen- General Assembly, the Security Council, the Sec-
tial stalemate kept the Security Council in a veg- retariat, the International Court of Justice, the
etative state. The UN began to evolve other uses, Economic and Social Council and the Trustee-
chiefly on behalf of newer and less economically ship Council.
advanced states and particularly after the later Of these six, the Security Council is the most
1960s; but the exigencies of the bi-polar period important. It is the only organ whose decisions
(1955–1985) had the paradoxical effect of allow- are binding on all UN members. The Council
ing the UN to continue to exist and carry a huge consists of fifteen members, five of which are
burden of propaganda, but forbade it from play- permanent (Britain, China, France, Russia and
ing the central role that had been designed for the United States) and ten which are elected to
it in the international system. The disastrous fate two-year terms by the General Assembly. Because
of a briefly possible intervention in the former the five permanent members all maintain veto
Belgian Congo in the early 1960s confirmed this power over any Security Council decision, their
general situation. approval is needed before the UN can pursue a
The end of bi-polarity in the later 1980s ini- given course of action. The remaining UN
tially seemed to give new opportunities for the organs all lack the power to issue binding deci-
UN to come into its own. However, the causes of sions and are dependent on the willingness of
conflict at the beginning of the twenty-first cen- member state governments to comply with their
tury have changed markedly from those directives.
expected by those who framed the Charter, and UN specialised agencies are inter-governmen-
a constitution designed to prevent sudden inter- tal institutions separate from the main organs of
84 Global organisations
the UN. Each has an autonomous existence and sight, it might seem that the list is narrow. How-
operates in conjunction with the UN by special ever, there are many ‘sub-crimes’ that could be
agreements. The most important specialised justly termed crimes against humanity, such as
agencies, some of which pre-date the establish- systematically committed rape, forced prostitu-
ment of the UN, include the World Bank, the tion and so on. Furthermore, the inclusion of
International Monetary Fund, United Nations aggression is an important step in preventing
Scientific and Cultural Organisation future conflicts. Although aggression is yet to be
(UNESCO), the International Atomic Energy defined, there is an agreement that the defini-
Agency (IAEA), the International Labour tion would be consistent with the UN Charter.
Organisation (ILO), the Food and Agricultural The Court’s involvement with a criminal
Organisation (FAO) and the World Health matter can be initiated in three ways. First, the
Organisation (WHO). For a complete list of the United Nations Security Council is given the
UN system, see Part B, Chapter 3. authority to refer cases to the ICC. Second, as
stated in the Statute, any State Party to the ICC
The International Criminal Court may bring a case to the Court. And finally, the
One of the newest inter-governmental organisa- independent prosecutor has the power,
tions is the International Criminal Court (ICC). although subject to certain conditions and limi-
It is specifically designed to deal with the most tations, to initiate an investigation into events to
serious crimes, particularly war crimes. Although which the prosecutor believes national authori-
the idea of creating a permanent international ties have not paid adequate attention.
criminal court had been mooted for a long time, As one of the most recently established inter-
it has only quite recently become a reality. The governmental organisations, the ICC has the
delay was due particularly to concerns over the potential to influence global politics deeply.
sovereign rights of the states, which made them However, at the same time, its creation triggered
reluctant to discuss the issue until 1998. In July a major controversy between the EU and the
of that year, at a conference in Rome held to United States, which, if not eventually resolved,
establish an International Criminal Court, the may cause the court to have less impact and to
Rome Statute establishing such a Court was be used less than was first expected.
adopted and opened for signature. The ICC can be seen as a ‘small’ revolution in
The treaty provided that it would enter into international law and global politics. Traditionally,
force after 60 ratifications had been reached. international law has created responsibilities for
The Court was thus not automatically created by states only. However, with the creation of the
the conference. Although the vast majority of ICC, individuals become responsible in interna-
the participant states at the conference signed tional law. Although there was individual crimi-
the treaty, showing their willingness and com- nal responsibility before the creation of the ICC,
mitment to abide by the treaty content, the num- it was either temporary, or the individual con-
ber of states that have signed the treaty but are cerned, while being responsible under the prin-
not party to the ICC is ‘significant’. There are ciples and rules of international law, was brought
now 139 signatories, of which 97 have ratified to justice by the state authorities.
the treaty. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that International legal arrangements dealing with
the threshold for the treaty coming into force piracy, and the Genocide Convention and the
was reached in an impressively short time. After Geneva Conventions dealing with war crimes,
the required number of ratifications had been recognise individual responsibility. However,
reached, the Rome Statute, along with the ICC, none of them specifies an international author-
officially entered into force in July 2002. Its seat ity to punish the individuals. That is to say,
is at The Hague in the Netherlands, sometimes national authorities are expected to proceed
thought of as the ‘capital of international law’. against those who have committed the crimes
Although the Court has not yet decided any covered by the above. However, there is no
case, first referrals by Uganda and the Congo clearly and solidly defined sanction against a
Democratic Republic have officially involved it state that shows reluctance to deal with the mat-
in international criminal matters. ter concerned.
The Court will be dealing with the gravest The Rome Statute, at least to some extent,
crimes, that is, genocide, crimes against human- replaces the national authorities with the ICC in
ity, war crimes and crimes of aggression. At first the matter of proceeding against individuals
Global economic institutions 85
accused of the relevant crimes. The States Par- Congress then adopted the American Service-
ties have vested in the ICC the power to formally members’ Protection Act (ASPA), which gives
ask for a criminal suspect to be handed over to the US President extensive authority to deal with
the Court. The Court is thus expected to act as if the ICC. Under ASPA, the President is autho-
it is a national court, where the national court rised to take ‘any’ measure to free US personnel
concerned has failed to handle the matter from the ICC’s jurisdiction. Since the Act con-
properly. tains a hypothetical military intervention option,
It is also worth noting that the ad hoc Tribunals it caused serious anger in Europe and came to be
established to deal with the crimes in Rwanda known as ‘The Hague Invasion Act’.
and former Yugoslavia are temporary and
responsible to the UN Security Council. Their
predecessors, the Nuremberg and Tokyo Tri-
Global economic institutions
bunals, were established by a few states and A particular importance attaches to the organi-
might be seen as the tools of the victorious pow- sations which emerged from the Bretton Woods
ers after the Second World War. Moreover, all conference in 1944, where 44 states met at a
had limited power in terms of both time and hotel in New Hampshire, USA to establish the
scope. post-Second World War economic system. A
However, unlike these early examples, the ICC major goal was an open international trading
has a permanent seat and a much more com- system based on the argument that protectionist
prehensive authority. But most importantly, it is trade blocks had crippled the global economy in
not controlled by the UN Security Council, the 1930s, leading to the rise of dictatorships
where major powers have the right to veto. and world war.
Although the Security Council is given promi- The United States was the dominant state in
nent roles in the functioning of the ICC, it is the the talks due to its economic and military might.
Assembly of States Parties to which the ICC is The size of the US economy allowed it to provide
responsible. aid in the form of loans, grants and trade to help
Although seriously and eagerly involved in the rebuild Western Europe. Its military power
preparatory work for establishing an interna- offered protection from the Soviet Union, which
tional criminal court, the USA hesitated to sign gave it considerable leverage over the form of
the Rome Statute at the conference, being one the post-war economic system. However, the
of the seven participant but non-signatory states, United States offered benefits in return for
instead insisting on retaining the state’s discre- states following its lead, offering, for example, to
tion over criminal matters. In addition, it wanted reduce its tariff barriers on a reciprocal basis.
the Court to act under the control and authority The United States’ liberal view of an interna-
of the Security Council. However, other partici- tional trade system was the basis for the post-war,
pants rejected some of the US proposals, while a free trade system. Non-discrimination was
compromise was reached on others. For exam- another aspect of the post-war system, although
ple, it was agreed that the Court would be ‘com- the USA, and other states, used selective trade
plementary’ to the national authorities and act discrimination for foreign policy purposes.
only if the state party concerned could not deal
with the matter. The Bretton Woods system
Under the Clinton administration the USA The Bretton Woods conference led to the estab-
signed the Rome Statute on 31 December 2000, lishment, in December 1945, of the Interna-
the virtual deadline for signing as, under the tional Monetary Fund. The IMF was designed to
Statute, a state willing to accede the ICC after stabilise exchange rates and alleviate balance of
that date would also have to ratify it. However, payments problems by supplying credit
the treaty was never introduced in the Senate for resources, while imposing corrective practices
ratification. Indeed, the Bush administration and policies on borrowers.
launched a campaign against the ICC. First, send- The Bretton Woods conference also led to the
ing a letter to the UN Secretary-General, the USA creation of the World Bank. It started operations
formally withdrew the undertakings and commit- in June 1946 and, at first, provided assistance to
ments which originated from its signature. This states rebuilding after the war, although its focus
came to be known as ‘unsigning’, a popular term, shifted to the third world in the 1950s. An
which may or may not have a legal effect. The US attempt to establish an International Trade
86 Global economic institutions
Organisation (ITO), which was designed to be sion of such economic policies into the former
the counterpart of the IMF in the area of trade, communist bloc after the collapse of the Soviet
was stillborn when the US Congress failed to rat- Union introduced new problems into the man-
ify the charter and other states were unwilling to agement of the global economy. The globalising
join without the United States. The ITO charter, effects of the communications revolution of the
however, later formed the basis of the General last quarter of the twentieth century, combined
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and at the end with weakening individual government control
of the twentieth century the GATT was given a over economic policies generally, produced a
new form and greater responsibilities as the succession of major crises caused by currency
World Trade Organisation. speculation, particularly the Mexican peso crisis
(1995), the Russian rouble crisis (1996) and the
Collapse of the Bretton Woods system even broader crisis in Asia in the later 1990s
In the late 1960s and early 1970s the Bretton which began in Indonesia.
Woods system collapsed, largely due to trends in
the US economy. So long as the United States After Bretton Woods: the IMF and the World
was economically dominant, the dollar served as Bank
an international currency and was accepted all Such crises put great pressure on the IMF in par-
over the world. Technically, the dollar was on the ticular but also on the World Bank. These insti-
gold standard and could be exchanged for gold. tutions had been established to deal with a very
With confidence in the US economy very high, different set of economic conditions and were
Americans could spend freely. US military and primarily designed to reflect the views of their
economic aid, military bases and the war in Viet- members on what contemporary policies of
nam were financed, in part, by the strength of development and relief should be. The late
the dollar. Other states accepted dollars because twentieth-century situation seemed to call for
they could use them to purchase goods and more directly global initiatives.
services anywhere. The advent of a more globalised economy,
However, by the late 1960s the costs of the with serious problems of stability and clear
Vietnam War and a growing US budget deficit needs for development, led to powerful feelings
had eroded the strength of the dollar. In a sense, of increasing global economic injustice, partly
the United States was exporting inflation. It also because the beneficial effects of globalisation
faced a growing trade deficit from 1971. US gov- were generally strong and thus the sense of
ernments considered devaluing the dollar to unfairness became very marked in areas where
reverse the unfavourable trade deficits. How- they did not occur, or operated only feebly. To
ever, devaluation would also reduce the value of add to the difficulties of the global economic
dollars held overseas. Therefore, foreign gov- institutions, there came to be a public belief –
ernments and bankers put pressure on the sometimes violently expressed – that their poli-
United States to remedy its economic problems cies were adding to a global environmental crisis
without devaluing the dollar, but to no avail. In as well as prolonging social injustices. During
1971 President Richard Nixon announced that the currency crisis in Asia, the IMF’s attempt to
the dollar would no longer be convertible into help Indonesia through the application of tradi-
gold and let the dollar float against other cur- tional belt-tightening remedies created large-
rencies, effectively ending the Bretton Woods scale unemployment and imposed a serious
system. This act led to the devaluation of the dol- burden of debt which in turn caused the col-
lar in December 1971 and again in February lapse of the government and thus removed the
1973. only authority capable of maintaining the IMF’s
The demise of the Bretton Woods system left a prescriptions. These effects coincided with an
hole in the non-communist sector of the global environmental crisis throughout the region
economy. Regional groups tried to stabilise their caused by huge forest fires, the result of uncon-
exchange rates and economic policies, most sig- trolled logging and a consequence of attempts
nificantly the EU, first with the European Mone- to make quick economic gains at a time of acute
tary System and subsequently with the economic distress.
introduction of a European currency. The The IMF response was perhaps somewhat
spread of deregulated liberalised economies in slow, but nonetheless striking. Its efforts to
the 1980s and 1990s and the subsequent exten- reduce the likelihood that its attempts to restore
Global economic institutions 87
the international credibility of a crisis-struck Initiative and in 1997 introduced the Strategic
country would, at least temporarily, yield inter- Compact to encourage fundamental reform and
nal impoverishment can be seen in a series of reduce poverty. Then 1998 saw the beginning of
decisions taken since 1996. Against a back- the Human Resources Reform and the Com-
ground of much greater openness in its discus- prehensive Development Framework.
sion of policies and in reporting the results, the By 2000, the World Bank’s new-found political
series began with its September 1996 decision to significance led to the President, James Wolfen-
establish the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries sohn, being invited to address the UN Security
Initiative (HIPC). In December 1997 a new Sup- Council. However, it also led to a highly critical
plemental Reserve Facility was introduced to report of its activities being given to the US Con-
deal with sudden losses of market confidence gress, and to criticism of a different kind
and was immediately applied to South Korea. expressed in riots in Washington, DC during the
In October 1998, the Fund announced five April meeting of the Bank’s Development Com-
tenets which it believed should lie behind the mittee. During the summer of 2001, the World
construction of a new global financial architec- Bank took new initiatives in environmental and
ture. Their general effect was to allow a more poverty issues, both of which represented
gradual approach to the solution of political and sources of great public hostility.
structural problems in countries going through Like the IMF, there was no question that by
an economic crisis. A September 1999 decision the end of the twentieth century the World Bank
of the Fund established the International Mone- had been propelled into high-profile political
tary and Financial Committee and gave it an engagement with the developmental problems
explicit provision to hold preparatory meetings emphasised by the onset of globalisation, among
with representatives and agreed to a sale of gold other things, and which brought about serious
in order to fund its share of the HIPC Initiative. change in the structure and attitudes of the insti-
In December 1999 off-market gold sales were tution. Both of them had moved away from act-
used to assist Mexico and Brazil and to obtain ing as the guardians of the interests and general
further funding for debt relief and financial sup- political stance of their members and begun to
port for the poorest countries. During 2001, the act as global authorities in their own right – a
IMF agreed both to monitor the international change of striking importance.
capital markets more closely and to reconsider Through the Cold War years and until the
the conditions attached to the use of IMF early twenty-first century, these IGOs acted in
resources. accord with the wishes of their members and
Although in the first years of the twenty-first tended not to be any more than the sum of their
century the IMF remained an object of some sus- parts. But associations of governments dealing
picion, particularly as a device for maintaining only with governments, particularly in the case
the economic superiority of only one part of the of the IMF, came to seem inadequate when gov-
global economy, it had undergone great changes ernments under review or in need of assistance,
of attitude, operation and policy, as it had also to or both, might quite easily collapse when
make the transition from being a broadly non- expected to implement decisions from outside.
political international agency to becoming a Moreover, the importance of non-state actors,
global institution in a highly charged political both commercial and private, began to increase
atmosphere. to the point where they needed to be drawn into
A remarkably similar progression can be seen the process of global economic management –
at the World Bank, though with more concen- as evidenced by the mixture of state, private and
tration on issues of development, particularly business representatives at the Davos meetings
education, than on economic management and of the World Economic Forum (WEF).
currency. After almost 50 years, the World Bank The result has been a change in the role of all
began to respond to new conditions and criti- three institutions by which they have begun to
cisms and in 1993, following allegations of cor- act in the interests of a stable global community
ruption and inefficiency, established a panel to and not necessarily in accordance with the pref-
check that the implementation of its develop- erences of their members. This gradual sea
ment projects was following the Bank’s own poli- change makes them independent actors on the
cies and procedures. In 1996, the World Bank world stage for at least some of the time, and it
decided to play an enthusiastic role in the HIPC seems likely to continue. The extent of the
88 Global economic institutions
change can be sensed from the public interest for oil purchases. This was beneficial to the oil-
and protests that have accompanied meetings producing states of the Middle East in particular,
compared with the lack of public knowledge or whose production costs could not be matched by
concern that characterised their proceedings other producers. Furthermore, there was a sig-
until just a decade ago. nificant change in the structure of the interna-
tional oil industry. The number of oil firms had
Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries been expanding in the 1950s and 1960s; as new
The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting independent firms sought to develop access to
Countries (OPEC) was created in Baghdad on their own supplies of crude oil, the major firms
14 September 1960 by Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi began to lose control of the oligopolistic interna-
Arabia and Venezuela. These were later joined tional oil market that they had long dominated.
by Qatar in 1961, Indonesia and Libya in 1962,
Abu Dhabi (now part of the United Arab Emi- Libya’s oil
rates) in 1967, Algeria in 1969 and Ecuador and The event that finally served as a catalyst to
Gabon in 1973. This oil-producer cartel was ini- OPEC’s assertion of control over pricing and
tially formed to counter oil-price cuts by US and production of oil, however, was the attempt by
European oil companies, but during the 1970s it Libya’s Mu’ammar al-Qadhafi to renegotiate
actively pursued rate increases in the price of oil. terms regarding Libya’s oil concessions. Libyan
In the post-Second World War period until oil was attractive to buyers because it had a very
1970 there was an oil surplus on the world mar- low sulphur content and was more economical
ket relative to demand, which resulted in the low to deliver to the United States and Europe than
posted price of oil. The firms which dominated oil from the Persian Gulf. In addition, because
the international oil market – Exxon, Texaco, the independent oil firms did not have other
Mobil, Standard, Gulf, Shell and British Petro- sources, they had to acquiesce in Qadhafi’s
leum – determined both the level of production demands. The major firms were forced to raise
and the price of crude oil in virtually all oil-pro- their prices as well. These factors allowed Qad-
ducing states. In 1959 they imposed a reduction hafi to demand higher prices for Libyan oil.
of 10 per cent in the posted price of oil. In 1960, Libya’s success triggered similar attempts by
as a result of US import control legislation which the Middle East oil-producing states to demand
reduced demand, prices dropped even further. higher prices. Although in 1971 an agreement
In response to this plummeting of prices, the was reached at Teheran and Algiers to establish
primary oil-producing states formed OPEC and a price structure for oil that was mutually accept-
adopted resolutions to prevent price fluctua- able to the oil-producing states, global demand
tions and to unify petroleum policies. The OPEC continued to push the actual market prices
members vowed to oppose any future attempts higher than the posted price negotiated in
to lower the posted price of oil. In order to 1971 of $1.80 to $2.50 a gallon, with 2.5 per cent
oppose the major oil companies, however, OPEC increases each year through to 1975. In addi-
members had to form an oil-producing cartel; tion, the devaluation of the dollar in 1971 and
joint action was a prerequisite to success. 1973, and the Arab-Israeli war in October 1973,
During the 1960s the oil-producing states continued to drive prices upwards, such that by
were in a weak position vis à vis the oil com- the end of the year the price of oil had reached
panies; because of the glut of oil on the world $11.67 a barrel. The rest of the decade was a suc-
market, OPEC’s activities were of little conse- cess for OPEC. It exploited its position and
quence. In the 1970s, however, several factors Japanese and US dependence on oil from the
led to increased demand for oil and to the rise Middle East and North Africa by raising the
in OPEC’s power. Industrialised states were oper- price of oil fifteen fold between 1973 and 1980.
ating at the peak of their business cycles and By 1982 OPEC states had accumulated $339
were enjoying economic prosperity. This billion in current account surpluses.
extraordinary level of aggregate economic activ-
ity placed immense pressure on existing global Decline
oil production, resulting in a tight international By 1984, however, OPEC’s oil revenues were less
oil market. During this period US consumption than half those of 1980 and by 1985 oil produc-
of oil also began to exceed domestic production tion had dropped to less than 17 million barrels a
and the United States entered the world market day in comparison with the 31 million barrels a
Regional organisations 89
day produced in 1979. The decline in OPEC’s nificant impact on US foreign policy. In particu-
production, revenues and power was the result of lar it led President Nixon to seek closer ties with
several events in the 1980s: a global recession that the Shah of Iran, culminating in a virtual
led to decreased demand, conservation efforts in alliance between the United States and Iran.
industrialised states and increased production of Nixon promised arms shipments in exchange
non-OPEC oil encouraged by the price hikes of for oil. Finally, the oil crisis was also partially
the 1970s. These led to an increased supply of oil responsible for undermining detente. The
relative to demand that resulted in lower world United States believed that, in the spirit of
market prices and created competition and rifts detente, the Soviet Union should have warned
between the members of OPEC. OPEC’s cohe- them of the Egyptian attack on Israel in 1973.
sion as a price setter eventually broke down. Uni- During the 1980s, a dramatic decline in oil
fied action had been key to OPEC’s success, but prices followed high levels in the early years of
the individual incentive to each of the member the decade. Collective action by OPEC averted a
states during the latter 1980s was to negotiate crisis at the beginning of the 1990s on the out-
price unilaterally. Furthermore, the production break of hostilities in the Middle East and
quotas that OPEC had established broke down as helped the recovery from the collapse that
members increased production to sustain earn- accompanied the economic downturn in South-
ings in the face of falling prices. OPEC’s power East Asia in 1998. Ecuador and Gabon withdrew
had withered by the mid 1980s. their membership in 1992 and 1995 respectively,
OPEC’s worldwide political and economic and Iraq has not been a part of OPEC quota
impact, however, was significant. Its gains were agreements since 1998. Lately, Indonesia has
realised at a tremendous economic cost to the been reconsidering its membership, having
rest of the world, it introduced severe strains become a net importer and being unable to
among the Western allies over energy policies meet its production quota.
and diplomacy in the Middle East, and it Due to skyrocketing barrel prices in 2004,
sparked third world demands and hopes for a OPEC’s 11 members received $338 billion in
New International Economic Order (NIEO). revenue from oil exports, a 42 per cent increase
OPEC’s economic success led it to initiate eco- from the previous year, and a more significant
nomic assistance programmes for less developed amount when compared with the $23 billion
countries and encouraged citizens of its member they received in 1972. However, OPEC has been
states to place their money in Western banks and communicating lately that its members have lit-
make investments. Much of the money was tle excess pumping capacity, indicating that the
loaned by the banks for industrialisation pro- cartel is losing influence over crude oil prices,
grammes to developing nations, some of which thereby undermining its capacity to have an
were oil producers themselves (Venezuela). With effect on the world economy and global politics.
the slowing of the world economy in the latter
1970s and early 1980s, together with the failure of
many of the industrialisation programmes, the Regional organisations
borrowers of OPEC money found themselves The other important area occupied by associa-
unable to pay their debts. OPEC, therefore, had a tions of states is that of regional organisations.
direct connection to the debt crisis of the 1980s. They are generally economic in their purposes
The oil crisis also served to prove to the and vary greatly in size and complexity. Small
United States and other developed states that groups of Pacific island states create cooperative
they were vulnerable, that they needed to organisations. Africa has generated a steady flow
explore alternative energy sources and of generally economic regional institutions,
strengthen conservation efforts, and that the although in recent years these have sometimes
Persian Gulf could be a significant security con- been security based. Their survival rate has been
cern. The crisis sparked by OPEC led the West- poor as they have become the victims of the con-
ern states, with the exception of France, to tinent’s political instabilities, but the African
create the International Energy Agency in order Union, which succeeded the Organisation of
to coordinate their response to OPEC’s actions. African States, has become a long-running fea-
The oil embargo imposed by the Arab oil-pro- ture of African politics. Asia has generated both
ducing states on the United States for its support ASEAN and APEC and they have become impor-
of Israel during the Arab–Israeli war had a sig- tant elements in Asian economic cooperation, so
90 Regional organisations
much so that membership in them carries with it Both purposes and their associated character-
political significance. istics have been rendered more difficult by the
steady enlargement of the EU which has taken
The Commonwealth place since 1972. It is currently facing its greatest
Two rather different organisations have resulted challenge so far with the entry of 10 new mem-
from the end of particular empires. The Com- bers from central and eastern Europe, raising the
monwealth has a membership which is global number of members to 25. Apart from the inher-
rather than regional and consists of states which ent difficulty of an enterprise which includes so
were formerly British overseas territories, plus oth- many divergent levels of development, adminis-
ers which joined later on. The role of the Com- trative traditions and languages, the fundamen-
monwealth is particularly difficult to define, tal problem is of a different order. The economic
chiefly because the attitudes and ambitions of the objectives of the EU have been generally in tune
independent dominions – Canada, Australia and with the contemporary economic policy consen-
New Zealand, together with the UK itself – fre- sus and have proved to be malleable. By contrast,
quently differ greatly from those of the African the project to create a close European political
members, and the South Asian members as fre- union has been overtaken by events. It had its ori-
quently find themselves holding a middle ground. gins in the international situation of the 1940s
Without a security function or any very deliberate and 1950s when it seemed entirely rational to try
economic purpose, the Commonwealth nonethe- to base European security on the creation of a
less seems to be valuable enough to its members as great state, since all contemporary evidence sug-
a source of some shared traditions buttressed by gested that economic and political security was
substantial educational programmes. most clearly present in large-scale, land-mass
The Commonwealth of Independent States states – the USA, the USSR. Moreover, the expe-
brings together former republics of the USSR rience of the two wars of 1914 and 1939 strongly
and is designed to serve a residual security pur- suggested that combining Germany and France
pose, though it, too, principally runs on much in a single entity would be the best guarantee of
the same basis as the (formerly British) Com- future peace.
monwealth. There are many others and, The unfolding of the processes of globalisation
expectably, the more functional they are, the have removed the premise: it is no longer true
more securely they exist, and the more purely that large size conveys such benefits and the
political, such as the Arab League, the more spirit of the times celebrates individual activities
their membership tends to be divided and their and beliefs rather than political authorities and
effective influence curtailed. prefers smaller, sometimes very small, focuses of
loyalty to the grandeurs of the traditional state. It
The European Union is not surprising therefore that the second objec-
Of all the regional organisations, the most com- tive of the EU has consistently run into difficul-
plicated is the European Union. The reason is ties and that further progress in the direction of
that the EU, successor to the European Commu- a federal state seems uncertain. Certainly the
nity and before that the Common Market, has original idea that the consequences of creating a
always had two purposes: one to bring about a European economic entity would lead via a sin-
European free trade area with its own rules, gle currency inexorably to a unitary state is
practices and controls and the other to create a plainly no longer sustainable. Nonetheless, there
European con-federal, perhaps eventually fed- is no doubt that the EU is a giant among regional
eral, state, the first being the chosen route by IGOs and, more than any other, plays a role as a
which to reach the second. The result of these serious independent actor on the global stage.
hybrid intentions has been to create an entity Details of other significant regional associa-
which is partly an economic association of states tions of states follow and basic information and
and partly an incipient federal government. This a longer list of them can be found in Part B,
has produced an institution with some of the tra- Chapter 3.
ditional characteristics of an international
organisation run by a council of member gov- ASEAN
ernments and at the same time some of The Association of South East Asian Nations was
the familiar administrative and, more recently, founded on 8 August 1967. The foreign ministers
political characteristics of a single state. of five nations (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore,
Regional organisations 91
Thailand and the Philippines) represented their that might be classified as newly industrialising
governments at the founding meeting. and the Philippines has made economic cooper-
ASEAN was born at a time when the fear of ation difficult at some levels.
North Vietnam and China’s regional political
and military ambitions was a primary concern to North American Free Trade Agreement
the five member states. They were motivated by In 1989 Canada and the United States con-
both a search for collective regional security and cluded the Canada–US Free Trade Agreement
a mutual need for reducing the threat of domes- (FTA). Each is the other’s largest single trading
tic guerilla movements. Initially the contain- partner and both expected to benefit from the
ment of Vietnam was a major focus, but with the agreement. The agreement provided for a
end of the Cold War, and in the new interna- much-needed dispute resolution mechanism,
tional environment, Vietnam was admitted as a and in 1992 Canada’s exports to the United
member in 1995. In 1999 Cambodia also joined States reached Can. $122.3 billion, a 13.6 per
ASEAN, which now comprised all South East cent increase over 1991. Eighty per cent of Cana-
Asian states. dian exports are destined for the United States
ASEAN members had a number of initial pri- and the United States provides 65 per cent of
mary goals. They were deeply concerned in the foreign direct investment in Canada. The FTA
late 1960s with the need to accelerate economic laid the groundwork for NAFTA. Expanding the
growth in their countries and to create mecha- trade agreement to include Mexico was a logical
nisms of cooperation between their economies. step, opening up a hitherto protected market
Growth was one avenue to reducing the per- for goods and services of 85 million people to
ceived danger of domestic communist insurgen- US and Canadian exports and investment.
cies. Plans for ASEAN activities included such The tripartite negotiations began in June
collaborative areas as transportation, communi- 1991. In 1992 Canada’s merchandise trade with
cation and agriculture. the United States had a value of Can. $125.5 bil-
ASEAN possesses a permanent secretariat, lion, and with Mexico Can. $771 million. Mex-
based in Jakarta, and is governed by a Standing ico’s merchandise trade with Canada stood at
Committee that acts between the annual confer- Can. $2.8 billion and with the United States at
ence of foreign ministers. The Standing Com- Can. $42.6 billion. The value of US merchandise
mittee oversees nine programme committees trade with Canada was Can. $96.6 billion and
that act in such areas as grain reserves, tariffs with Mexico Can. $48.6 billion. In 1993 the flow
and the ASEAN Petroleum Sharing Plan. While of trade and investment between the three coun-
these committees have achieved some successes, tries had reached around Can. $500 billion.
the individual nations of ASEAN have gone their NAFTA came into effect on 1 January 1994
own ways in terms of economic development and created the world’s largest free trade area. It
and growth. One difficulty for implementing the removed the majority of tariffs and import
association’s cooperative programmes has come licences on all manufactured goods (immedi-
from the growing economic differences between ately or over a ten-year phase-in period), pro-
member states. While all the ASEAN members vided greater market access for service
would have been considered ‘developing’ when industries, permitted greater mobility for profes-
the organisation was founded, their economic sional and business travellers, and generally
success has been highly mixed. allowed freer entry into an integrated North
The countries within the ASEAN community American market of 360 million consumers.
have enjoyed significant economic growth, with More precise North American rules of origin, to
the notable exception of the Philippines. Com- determine which products qualified for duty-
pared with the late 1960s, countries such as free treatment in North America, were estab-
Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand have made lished. Government procurement contracts were
enormous strides in terms of economic develop- opened up to foreign bidders; equal access to
ment and the creation of significant internal bid processes was to be made available in several
industries. Singapore has advanced even more sectors. Trade dispute resolution procedures
rapidly as an international finance, trade and were created. Each signatory, however, contin-
processing centre. Brunei, which joined in 1984, ued to protect key domestic industries, culture
is an exceptionally wealthy oil-exporting coun- (film, publishing, recording and broadcasting),
try. The increasing gap between those countries education, water, health care, labour standards
92 Regional organisations
and social services, natural resources, the envi- competition policies and common trade reme-
ronment and telecommunications. dies against disruptive imports.
NAFTA was not without its critics, who were Internally, Mercosur also has a broad agenda,
concerned, for example, about the environmen- which extends beyond economic and trade
tal impact, loss of US jobs to Mexico, trade issues. In its institutional structure, there are sev-
imbalances, investment diversion rather than eral working groups dealing with the so-called
growth and the political and economic stability ‘social dimension’, which covers areas such as
of Mexico. Despite that, political leaders in all education, labour, culture, environment, justice
three countries continued to speak optimisti- and consumer protection. Mercosur has
cally of NAFTA’s long-term beneficial effects and adopted a flexible approach, whereby every
look to expand its relations with, and even advance is made in incremental steps, after con-
extend membership to, countries in Central and solidation of previous developments. For exam-
South America. ple, even though the Treaty of Asunción, which
established Mercosur, foresaw that the Common
Mercosur Market would be implemented by the end of
As a key piece in a sweeping effort towards trade 1994, member states decided to revise the
liberalisation in a previously protectionism- timetable and concentrate on the completion of
prone Latin America region, Mercosur emerged a customs union in the light of the complexities
in 1991 as a commercial treaty, establishing a faced during the course of negotiations. Merco-
common market among Argentina, Brazil, sur does not have quantitative restrictions
Uruguay and Paraguay. As an economic entity, between its members, with the exception of the
Mercosur ranks fourth with the world’s largest, automotive sector, where Brazil has about 60 per
after the European Union, the United States cent share of the Argentine auto market, while
and Japan. It has more than 200 million con- Argentina commands less than 3 per cent of the
sumers and boasts a combined gross domestic Brazilian market. Other non-tariff barriers are
product (GDP) of more than US$1 trillion. The being gradually eliminated.
four countries’ intra-regional trade grew by 300 However, Mercosur endured tough times with
per cent between 1990 and 1998, up to approxi- the Argentine crisis of 2001 which spilled over to
mately $21 billion. Despite the impressive intra- Uruguay, which also had to reschedule its for-
regional figures, trade with non-member eign debt in 2003 – a successful negotiation that
countries has also risen considerably since the has not, however, freed the country from debt
treaty’s implementation. From 1990 to 1996, for sustainability concerns. Also, trade relations
example, Mercosur imports from the European between Brazil and Argentina have proved prob-
Union and the United States increased by 246 lematic since Brazil devalued its currency con-
per cent and 195 per cent, respectively. siderably in January 1999, while Argentina
The intent of those who are part of Mercosur pursued what is now known to have been an
is that it should play an increasingly prominent inherently unsustainable policy of exchange rate
role at the international level, with a dynamic parity with the dollar. The trade deficit
external agenda covering processes of negotia- Argentina developed with Brazil, and the Argen-
tion and consultation across and beyond the tine decrease in competitiveness, are two of
Western hemisphere. As of 1 January 1995, Mer- many factors at the root of the Argentine col-
cosur became both a free trade area and a cus- lapse of 2001. The dispute between Brazil and
toms union at the same time. A customs union Argentina that erupted in July 2004 concerned
represents a deeper stage in integration com- the production of ‘white goods’, such as refrig-
pared with a free trade area. In other words, a erators and other electrical appliances. At that
customs union is a free trade area which adopts time, Argentina withdrew automatic licensing
a common trade policy in relation to other for imports of large household appliances from
countries. The basic element of a customs union Brazil and started to charge a 21 per cent tax on
is the Common External Tariff (CET), which television sets made in the Brazilian duty-free
establishes the level of tariff protection imposed zone of Manaus in the state of Amazonas. The
on produce from other countries when entering dispute became known as ‘the refrigerator war’.
the integrated market. Aside from the CET, Later in 2004, the problem was slightly
there are other elements of common trade pol- smoothed over when the two countries agreed
icy, such as unified rules of origin, common on a system of quotas for some of the Brazilian
Regional organisations 93
goods. But Brazilian manufacturers remain dis- European Communities participates in the
satisfied with the remaining restrictions, which council meetings. There are 14 OECD standing
they say should not exist under the framework of committees of varying degrees of importance.
Mercosur. Yet Argentina maintains that the The Economic Policy Committee played a sig-
measures are included under a series of ‘safe- nificant role in reforming the international
guard’ mechanisms permitted under Mercosur monetary system in the 1960s and 1970s and is
rules. represented at the IMF and in other economic
Nevertheless, despite sectoral disagreements, bodies. The Development Assistance Commit-
with the remarkable turnaround of the Argen- tee, established in 1960, manages $50 billion in
tine economy – which grew by 8 per cent aid and reviews member contributions to various
between 2001 and 2003 – there might be reason aid programmes, encouraging each member to
for optimism regarding trade relations between contribute 0.7 per cent of its gross national
these two key partners. This may be helped by product (GNP) to aid. The Trade, Financial and
the fact that there remains some room for Fiscal Affairs Committee considers trade and
manoeuvre to help local industries struggling to commerce between members and with non-
remain productive, particularly in Argentina. industrialised regions. The Economic Develop-
ment and Review Committee evaluates each
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and country’s economic situation and at the end of
Development each year publishes a report on economic con-
On 30 September 1961, the Organisation for ditions, employment and the environment in
Economic Cooperation and Development member states. The objectivity of these reports
(OECD) was founded to coordinate the eco- has been called into question, particularly since
nomic and social policies of Western industri- each government must approve the report on its
alised countries. The OECD became the own country. Nevertheless, the reports shape the
successor to the Organisation for European Eco- discussion at annual OECD conferences where
nomic Cooperation (OEEC), an organisation economic ministers consider current and pro-
created by participants of the Marshall Plan. The jected trends and the progress of economic
OECD included the United States and Canada talks, such as those held by the General Agree-
in an Atlantic alliance that was originally viewed ment on Tariffs and Trade.
by supporters as an economic counterpart to In the late 1970s the OECD attempted to
NATO. One of its key creators, Jean Monnet, make recommendations to the Group of Seven
hoped to link Europe and the Atlantic powers (G7) industrial nations regarding the drastic
and thereby permanently ensure US support for altering of monetary and fiscal policy as the only
the European Economic Community . way to stem inflation and reduce unemployment
The OECD was guided by broad mandates to spurred by the OPEC oil price increases. Presi-
contribute to overall economic growth and dent Carter and other Western nations rejected
employment in its member countries, and to what they called an attempt by the OECD to dic-
coordinate economic policies, trade and aid to tate policy to its members. Subsequently, the
lesser developed nations. Today, in addition to OECD refrained from overtly trying to influence
these functions, it facilitates discussion and mon- international economic policy.
itors international monetary policy, and sets The OECD boasts that it does not conceal dis-
guidelines for multinational corporations and agreements but encourages participants to learn
development aid. The organisation’s resolutions from a so-called confrontational approach not
are voluntary and designed to establish agree- typically welcomed in international politics, but
ment on global economic matters. Probably the which the organisation claims to have inherited
OECD’s greatest service has been that of an from the OEEC. Thus it argues that US–German
international forum. differences in the 1970s and early 1980s over
The organisation has its headquarters in Paris Germany’s tight monetary policy were an exam-
and includes an appointed secretary-general, a ple of the system at work. Again in the early
council and chairman, and an executive com- 1990s confrontation appeared rampant, with
mittee (with Canada, France, Germany, Italy, the United States questioning Japanese trade
Japan, the United Kingdom and the United surpluses and Japan in turn protesting the US
States as permanent members and with seven demand for so-called ‘managed trade’.
other rotating seats). The Commission of the What effect, if any, the OECD has on global
94 Regional organisations
economic advancement is unclear. It does not states were invariably different. The overriding
consider or enforce concrete regulations like aim of the Soviet Union and its Warsaw Pact
the GATT. In fact, it was with the intention of allies was to gain recognition of and legitimacy
keeping the GATT as the leading economic for the geo-political post-Second World War set-
institution that the Eisenhower administration tlement, especially a Western commitment to
refused to grant the OECD much freedom. The territorial changes that had taken place. A sec-
OECD has also been criticised as a form of eco- ondary aim was to try to bring about closer eco-
nomic collaboration against the lesser devel- nomic cooperation, including improved trade
oped nations and the newly independent East access to the West and more significant technol-
European and Eurasian states. While several ogy transfers to the East. The link between secu-
individual agencies may serve a valuable purpose rity and detente was recognised by the West and
for member nations, the organisation as a whole was developed beyond a mere code for safer
lacks strong leadership and is pushed and pulled inter-state behaviour to encompass a means of
along by competing national interests. bringing about a wider reduction of risk in
Europe. It also included not only state-to-state
Organisation for Security and Cooperation in relations but much more complex linkages
Europe between states and individual human rights and
The OSCE was previously the Conference on fundamental freedoms. To European neutrals
Security and Cooperation in Europe (CSCE), and non-aligned countries, the CSCE offered
which began on 3 July 1973 and lasted until the the opportunity of going beyond bloc-to-bloc
signing of the Helsinki Final Act on 1 August confrontation to develop a new security rela-
1975. While the CSCE began and ended in tionship in Europe. Overall, the conference not
Helsinki, the majority of the meetings took place only reflected a relaxation of tension but aimed
in Geneva. It was attended by all 33 European to make a further contribution to the process of
countries (with the sole exception of Albania), detente between East and West.
the United States and Canada. The result of two years of negotiation, the
The idea of a security conference goes back to Helsinki Final Act, was signed on 1 August 1975,
the 1950s, stimulated by both the absence of a thus making the CSCE a permanent institution.
peace treaty ending the Second World War and The Act included four ‘baskets’ or categories.
the tensions and temporary respites of the Cold The first three baskets linked security issues,
War. The initiative was taken up by Poland and economic cooperation and humanitarian coop-
other Warsaw Pact members in 1964 but was not eration in a variety of general principles
received enthusiastically by governments in the designed to guide behaviour combined with spe-
West, particularly after the Soviet invasion of cific commitments that each participating state
Czechoslovakia in 1968. The West also insisted undertook to carry out. Since the Act was not a
that there could be no possibility of a confer- treaty and no legal enforcement was possible,
ence until the issue of Germany’s borders and the fourth basket included the provision of fol-
status had been settled. West Germany’s policy low-up meetings at which implementation could
of Ostpolitik thereby created the basis for a con- be discussed along with ways of improving
ference, since the policy had resulted in agree- East–West relations.
ments with the Soviet Union and Poland, the The first follow-up meeting took place in Bel-
Basic Agreement with East Germany, and grade between October 1977 and March 1978.
allowed for the Quadripartite Rights Agreement However, it was dominated by the deterioration
on Berlin between the United States, Britain, in relations between the United States and the
France and the Soviet Union. At the same time, Soviet Union. The United States was concerned
a general relaxation of tension, or detente, with the plight of many human rights activists in
became apparent with the US–Soviet dialogue the East and saw the meeting as a tribunal in
on strategic arms (SALT I and II) and agreement which to arraign the Soviet Union and its allies.
to begin negotiations on mutual and balanced The Soviet Union, for its part, tended to regard
force reductions in Europe. Detente, particu- the CSCE and the Final Act as achievement
larly the policies of President Richard Nixon, enough in securing recognition of Soviet domi-
laid the foundation for the CSCE and the CSCE, nation of Eastern Europe, although Soviet
in turn, came to embody the spirit of detente. leader Leonid Brezhnev had suggested a num-
However, the aims of the 35 participating ber of pan-European conferences on energy,
Regional organisations 95
transport and the environment. The 1977–1978 and security-building measures. But the reform-
meeting ended with no substantive results ing ideas of glasnost and perestroika introduced by
beyond a reaffirmation of commitments already Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev profoundly
entered into and agreement to meet again. The changed the debate on human rights and other
next meeting included three additional expert humanitarian issues, not least by allowing for the
discussions – on the peaceful settlement of dis- recognition of the legitimacy of international
putes, the Mediterranean and a scientific forum discussion and by recognising the right of indi-
–presaging the wider development of the CSCE viduals and groups to monitor implementation.
or Helsinki process. Other elements in the concluding document
The second follow-up meeting took place covered religious freedom, the rule of law and
between November 1980 and September 1983 at freedom, and of movement for individuals both
a time of particularly tense East–West relations within their own countries and outside them.
caused by the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, the Moreover, in addition to the security negotia-
deployment of new Soviet missiles in Eastern tions agreed to at Vienna, further meetings were
Europe and increasingly repressive measures scheduled on information (in London), human
against human rights groups in the East. The rights (in Paris, Copenhagen and Moscow, the
imposition of martial law in Poland in December last in autumn 1991), the environment (Sofia),
1981 and the suppression of the Polish trade economic cooperation (Bonn), the Mediter-
union movement, Solidarity, caused the meeting ranean (Majorca) and culture (Cracow).
to be suspended for seven months. Despite these A summit meeting to be held in Paris in
problems, there was enough of a consensus, led November 1990 was also arranged to mark the
by West Germany and France together with the fifteenth anniversary of the Final Act and to dis-
neutrals and nonaligned, to press for a substan- cuss the profundity of the changes in Eastern
tive concluding document that sought to build Europe. This itself broke new ground through
on the Helsinki Final Act. the establishment of permanent bodies: a small
While there were limited advances against secretariat in Prague, a Conflict Prevention Cen-
Soviet and East European intransigence on the tre in Vienna, and an Office for Free Elections in
human rights side, a mandate for a Conference Warsaw. In addition, foreign ministers were to
on Confidence and Security-Building Measures meet at least annually. The meeting in effect
and Disarmament (CDE) was agreed to, despite marked the end of the Cold War and sought in
US reluctance. The CDE opened in Stockholm very broad terms to set the framework for a new
in September 1983. In addition, further expert security system in Europe. It was decided to insti-
meetings on human rights issues were arranged tutionalise the work of the CSCE as an organisa-
in Ottawa and Bern, a second meeting on the tion and as a result it was renamed the OSCE
peaceful settlement of disputes in Athens, a cul- (effective from 1 January 1995), with a small sec-
tural forum in Budapest and a seminar on the retariat in Prague. The OSCE currently consists
Mediterranean in Venice. of 55 members – the European and Central
The third follow-up meeting in Vienna Asian states plus the United States and Canada.
between November 1986 and January 1989 Its current remit covers a wide range of security-
occurred against a backdrop of increasing related issues including arms control, preventive
change in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. diplomacy, confidence- and security-building
The meeting therefore provided a useful forum measures, human rights, election monitoring
for discussions on those changes as well as offer- and economic and environmental security.
ing the opportunity of harnessing those changes
to new international commitments. The earlier Organisation of American States
trade-off between the West’s desire for an Founded in 1948 at a conference in Bogota, the
improvement in human rights and the East’s OAS includes most of the states of the Western
emphasis on military security became much Hemisphere, with Canada the principal excep-
more complicated. Among the issues covered in tion. The Bogota conference followed a series of
the concluding document and related state- pan-American conferences.
ments was the opening of negotiations on Con- The OAS holds regular ministerial meetings
ventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE) within and, via the 1947 Rio Pact, which is also called
the CSCE process, which were to take place the Pact of Petropolis, all of the OAS member
alongside further negotiations on confidence states are obligated to provide mutual aid if any
96 Regional organisations
of them is attacked. The OAS is dominated by second (1964) meeting, supporting rebels
the United States, which used the organisation against Moise Tshombe’s pro-European regime
to condemn communism, most notably at the during the Congo crisis. The states favouring less
1954 Caracas Conference, and to ostracise Fidel drastic action protested by forming the short-
Castro’s Cuba, especially at the Punta del Este lived African Madagascar Organisation. More-
Conference in 1961. It facilitates debate and an over, the OAU’s inability to settle the Congo
exchange of views, but lacks influence and crisis represented its first failure and thus began
authority. the disillusionment with the OAU.
The AU comprises all 70 African states with
African Union the exception of Morocco (which initially chose
Formerly the Organisation of African Unity not to join because of territorial claims to Mau-
(OAU), the African Union is the most influen- ritania, then withdrew in 1984 to protest the
tial pan-African regional organisation. Ethiopian membership of Western Sahara over which it
Emperor Haile Selassie called African leaders to claimed sovereignty), South Africa (until the
a conference in Addis Ababa (now the organisa- Mandela regime officially brought an end to
tion’s home) on 25 May 1963 to found the OAU. apartheid) and Namibia (while under South
The new organisation pledged to work towards African rule until 1990). The OAU agreed to iso-
improving political and economic cooperation late South Africa economically and diplomati-
in Africa. The OAU generally preferred the cally in a resolution of 1970 and did not
moderate Monrovia or Brazzaville group (led by surrender its opposition to apartheid until the
Julius Nyerere of Tanzania) plan to gradually 1994 elections brought Nelson Mandela to
increase such ties rather than follow the power.
Casablanca group’s (led by Kwame Nkrumah of
Ghana) call for Africans to take revolutionary Objectives
steps towards total political unification. The The original OAU Charter stated its objectives as
OAU did not ignore the issue of unification, but the promotion of unity, cooperation with the
success has been limited to support for regional United Nations, economic improvement, the
attempts such as the Joint African Madagascar elimination of colonialism and support for self-
Association, the East African Common Market, determination. In 1964 the Cairo resolution
the West African Economic Union and the Cen- added a respect for the boundaries of members’
tral African Economic Union, all formed states and suggested that changes should be
between 1965 and 1970. Attention to African brought about only by peaceful means. This stip-
unity was renewed with the 1980 Lagos Plan of ulation was justified by the general feeling that
action that led to the establishment of an to open up colonial boundaries for negotiation
African Economic Community in June 1991, but would bring chaos to the continent. Somalia in
so far only a few states have agreed to adhere to particular has emphasised the contradictory
the treaty. nature of these principles.
A secretary-general oversees the AU secre- The OAU has been criticised for shying away
tariat and its specialised socio-economic com- from internal political disputes. It watched on
missions. Each year a different chairman hosts the sidelines in the late 1960s as civil war tore
the AU Heads of State meeting and opens the apart Nigeria and a five-year crisis raged in the
AU Assembly. A Council of Ministers meets semi- Congo, and witnessed repression in Uganda
annually. The lack of a clear division of respon- under Idi Amin and the Central African Repub-
sibilities between the chairman and the lic under Jean Bedel Bokassa. Continued con-
secretary-general has led to some leadership flict between Libya and Chad (where the OAU’s
confusion. While the secretary-general was origi- peacekeeping expedition attempt failed),
nally intended to oversee administrative duties, Ethiopia and Somalia, Ethiopia and the Eritrean
he took on a political role, especially regarding Liberation Movement, the Biafra secessionist
the settlement of disputes. The OAU founders movement from Nigeria, and the civil wars in
also created an Arbitration Commission, which Angola and Mozambique were met with little
can rule on petitions regarding human rights action by the OAU.
abuses, and a Liberation Committee to work for The organisation, however, is involved in find-
the independence of all African states. The dec- ing a settlement to roughly one third of the
laration of liberation led to extreme action at its inter-state African disputes in which it is
Regional organisations 97
involved. It successively helped end, for exam- extended and developed the Treaty of Eco-
ple, disputes between Algeria and Morocco, nomic, Social and Cultural Collaboration and
Congo and Nigeria, Uganda and Tanzania, Collective Self-Defence signed in Brussels on 17
Rwanda and Burundi, and Guinea and Ivory March 1948. The signatories of the Brussels
Coast. The OAU has paid particular attention to Treaty were Belgium, France, Luxembourg, the
the problem of refugees and in 1967 established Netherlands and Great Britain; the signatories
a commission to assist refugees. Its creation in of the protocols on 23 October 1954 included,
1986 of a council of ‘wise men’ recognised polit- in addition to these, the Federal Republic of
ical means and a case-by-case approach as the Germany and Italy. Spain and Portugal became
best way to ameliorate the plight of refugees. members of the Western European Union
OAU activism increased in the early 1990s with (WEU) in November 1988.
attempts to find peace for the Horn of Africa, The 1954 protocols established a council
negotiate between the Sudanese government made up of the member governments and a con-
and the southern-based liberation movement, sultative assembly comprised of national parlia-
and its oversight of elections in South Africa. mentarians who were representatives to the
The OAU remains limited to facilitating nego- consultative assembly of the Council of Europe.
tiations since it has no peacekeeping force at its The headquarters of the WEU are in London
disposal. Although currently studying the and in Paris; however, there have been discus-
prospects of such a force, limited resources have sions about moving them to a single location,
prevented much headway. The OAU is more Brussels.
likely to continue its close cooperation with the The aim of the WEU was to allow for the rear-
United Nations. The staggering crises across mament of West Germany and the entry of Ger-
Africa continuously present the OAU with for- many and Italy into NATO. There was a certain
midable tasks. It struggles with its momentous irony in the use of the Brussels Treaty to bring
debt problem as unpaid bills each year equal this about since that treaty had originally been
total annual expenditure. However, internal dif- designed to safeguard France and the Benelux
ferences over the best solutions and spending countries from a resurgent, aggressive and remil-
practices have delayed financial reform. The itarised Germany. However, it became clear with
OAU’s problems go beyond the financial, how- the communist coup in Czechoslovakia, pressure
ever, to include ethnic differences, ideology, over Berlin and other threats from the Soviet
population pressures, development and differ- Union that Germany was no longer the primary
ent regional affiliations. enemy and that it needed to take part both in its
In 2002 the OAU reformed itself as the own and in the West’s defence against commu-
African Union (AU) and has tried, though nism. Efforts to bring this about began in 1950
much handicapped by the inherent problems in with the proposals from French Premier René
the continent, to play a greater role in matters of Pleven for a European Defence Community.
good governance and the resolution of long- This followed closely on the heels of proposals
standing feuds. The global recognition of the from his foreign minister, Robert Schuman, in
crisis and possible genocide taking place in the May 1950 for a common European Coal and
Dharfur region of southern Sudan in 2004 has Steel Community. For the defence community,
drawn the AU into a small military intervention the general aim was to develop the idea of a
and given it a highly exposed role to play. In supra-national authority which would command
early 2006, however, the AU announced that it a European army containing German troops
had run out of funds to continue the operation along with those from France and the Benelux
in Sudan. countries. The plan was signed in 1952 but, after
considerable debate in France, was defeated in
Western European Union the French National Assembly in August 1954.
Western European Union was a term often used It was in these circumstances that Sir Anthony
during the 1940s and 1950s to denote the grow- Eden, the British Foreign Secretary, took up the
ing number of links among Western European idea of modifying the Brussels Treaty which had
governments. It took on a formal definition in largely been overtaken by the North Atlantic
May 1955 with the ratification of protocols Treaty that brought the United States and
agreed to in London in September and signed Canada into a European defensive alliance
in Paris in October 1954. These protocols against the communist threat. The advantages of
98 Regional organisations
a modified Brussels Treaty stemmed from the coordinate ideas on security and to coordinate
fact that it did not create a new supra-national force policies (particularly out of the NATO area
authority but retained a more traditional inter- and especially in the Middle East), but not by all
governmental structure. It allowed German members in every crisis. Moreover, there have
troops to become a part of NATO forces and, been doubts about the precise relationship
therefore, an unlikely threat to security within between WEU activities and those of NATO and
Western Europe. It also provided for the station- the impact of WEU discussions and actions on
ing of British troops in Germany to safeguard relations with the United States.
further against any German breach of its obliga- With the end of the Cold War the role of the
tions (an important factor in that it was the first WEU once again evolved. The European Union
time that Britain had stationed forces on the (EU), led by France and Germany, began to
continent of Europe in peacetime). Germany attempt the development of a Common Foreign
also undertook not to manufacture nuclear, bio- and Security Policy (CFSP). In 1992 the WEU
logical or chemical weapons, to abide by the defined its operational role in the ‘Petersburg
Charter of the United Nations and not to seek Tasks’ (named after the place near Bonn where
the reunification of Germany, or any changes in they were agreed) as humanitarian and rescue
its boundaries, by force. An agency for the con- tasks, peacekeeping tasks and tasks of combat
trol of armaments in Europe was set up in Paris. forces in crisis management, including peace-
In a separate protocol, France, Britain and the making. The 1997 EU Amsterdam Treaty incor-
United States agreed to end the occupation porated the Petersburg Tasks. In 1994 NATO
regime in Germany. leaders lent their support to a European Security
The immediate importance of the WEU lay in and Defence Identity (ESDI) and agreed to pro-
allowing Germany and Italy to become members vide NATO support for WEU operations. As the
of NATO, to which the military responsibilities EU sought to establish a security capacity
of the WEU were immediately transferred. Dur- autonomous of NATO, the possibility of in effect
ing the 1960s, the WEU was generally ignored. It absorbing the WEU’s functions as the EU’s
proved useful in allowing Britain to remain in ‘third pillar’ finally occurred at the turn of the
touch with the six members of the European twentieth century. Currently the WEU consists of
Community, especially after the two vetoes on EU states that are also NATO members.
British membership in the Community by
French President Charles de Gaulle, but was Council of Europe
used for little else. The Statute of the Council of Europe was signed
in London on 5 May 1949 by Belgium, Denmark,
Revival France, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Nether-
During the 1980s, however, there was increasing lands, Norway, Sweden and the United King-
talk about reviving the WEU as an organisation dom. Other countries have since acceded,
expressing the defence and security identity of beginning with Greece and Turkey in 1949. With
the European Community (EC). This came the end of the Cold War the former Soviet-dom-
about largely as a result of efforts within Euro- inated states began to seek membership after the
pean Political Cooperation (EPC) to establish a revolutionary changes of 1989. Czechoslovakia
greater security identity. These efforts, however, became the 25th member of the Council in
were quashed, largely through the opposition of February 1991. Russia has associate status.
Denmark, Greece and Ireland. Closer coopera- Membership is open to any European state
tion between France and Germany, which led to which accepts ‘the principles of the rule of law
the establishment of a joint brigade and a and of the enjoyment by all persons within its
defence council, was seen as potentially divisive jurisdiction of human rights and fundamental
by other European members of NATO and also freedoms...’ (Article 3). The Statute provides for
contributed to increased talk of reviving the both withdrawal and suspension, the threat of
WEU. Since the WEU included France and Ger- the latter leading Greece and Turkey to with-
many but excluded those reluctant to move draw during their periods of military dictator-
further towards a European security system, it ship. The aim of the Council is ‘to achieve a
became the logical organisation to develop. greater unity between its Members for the pur-
That development, however, has been far from pose of safeguarding and realising the ideals and
smooth. Increased efforts have been made to principles which are their common heritage and
Regional organisations 99
facilitating their economic and social progress’ the more extensive cooperation envisioned by
(Article 1). The official languages of the Council the rest of the Council.
are English and French. Its headquarters are in
Strasbourg, France. Conventions
The Council consists of two main bodies, the Despite the British and Scandinavian reserva-
Consultative or Parliamentary Assembly, com- tions, the Council has agreed on a considerable
posed of 170 representatives, and the Commit- number of conventions concerning social issues,
tee of Ministers. Under the Statute, the culture, patents, broadcasting and television,
Committee of (Foreign) Ministers was set up to public health, travel, youth and human rights.
represent each member state. The committee Advances on the last issue have been most
meets twice a year to make decisions, on the significant, both for individuals seeking redress
basis of unanimity, regarding a wide range of and for governments in gaining international
issues excluding national defence. recognition of their democratic systems.
The Consultative Assembly can make recom- The European Convention on Human Rights
mendations on any matter which falls within the and Fundamental Freedoms was signed in
aim and scope of the Council. The Assembly has November 1950. It set up two institutions, the
determined that, unlike the Committee of Min- Commission and the Court of Human Rights, to
isters, it can discuss defence matters. A joint or examine and adjudicate on possible breaches of
liaison committee was set up in 1950 to try to human rights. One of its most important provi-
harmonise the views of the two bodies, but it has sions is the right, once all domestic procedures
not always proven successful. The Assembly usu- have been exhausted, of individuals to appeal to
ally meets three times a year for approximately a the Commission and the Court against the
week. Since 1951 its membership has been actions of their own governments. Signatories to
determined by national parliaments. Much of the Convention have pledged to accept the deci-
the work of the Assembly is carried out in parlia- sions of the Court. Thus, although the Council
mentary committees. The output of the Council, was designed to be an inter-governmental body
meanwhile, is generally the result of discussions with only a consultative assembly, it has intro-
within Council-sponsored conferences, such as duced, at least in terms of respect for human
those of local and regional authorities, ministers rights, an element of supra-nationality to its
of education and justice ministers. proceedings.
The idea of bringing European states together Since 1989, Europe has sustained both inte-
into some form of union was far from new, but grating trends of cooperation and fragmenting
the Second World War created a strong body of shifts of conflict and division. Member states now
opinion in most countries of Western Europe number 46 and at the time of writing there is one
that extreme nationalism had been the cause of pending application from Belarus. The United
war and, therefore, a new regional structure was States, Canada, Japan and Mexico hold Observer
necessary. Winston Churchill, in a speech at Status from outside the region. The organisa-
Zurich University in 1946, called for such a struc- tion’s role is now more complex as the Council of
ture, suggesting the possibility of some form of a Europe’s members straddle more geography.
‘United States of Europe’. Many others were also The first Council Summit held in Vienna in 1993
inspired by the idea of a federal Europe which reassessed its political goals for the organisation,
would ensure peace between traditional ene- focusing on ‘democratic security’ via human
mies, especially France and Germany. A variety rights, democracy and the rule of law.
of groups to pursue European unity was formed. To accomplish its ambitions, the Council is
A meeting of federalists from 16 European adapting in many ways. In 2000, the Committee
democracies in the Congress of Europe at The of Ministers realised the need to make addi-
Hague in May 1948 provided further stimulus tional reforms within the organisation in order
for governmental action. Many looked to Britain to manage its institutions more efficiently. The
for leadership. Although the British government Council continues to assist integration with new
was drawn into the study of a European Assem- member states of the European Union. In 1990,
bly, and the statute establishing the Council was the Council initiated the Cooperation and Assis-
signed in London, Britain, together with the tance Programmes with Central and Eastern
Scandinavian countries, favoured only limited European Countries which organise expert mis-
inter-governmental cooperation as opposed to sions, training, workshops, dissemination of
100 Regional organisations
information and legal assistance. During its own their policies and legal systems with those treaties.
transition, the Council has maintained itself as a Commissions are usually established to assist
forum for transnational dialogue in the region states in reviewing their internal policies to make
as well as providing an international legal certain that treaty provisions are implemented
resource. from the regional level all the way to the local
The Council is also increasing its standard-set- level. The Council’s activities in the monitoring
ting role. It has concluded almost 200 legally sphere include issuing opinions and recommen-
binding treaties or conventions within Europe dations, collecting information, discussing mat-
and is an asset to the European Union in this ters with the Assembly and any other activities
regard. Membership of the Council is also an that fall within its realm of given power.
unofficial precedent for EU membership as all
25 members first acceded to the Council before New focus
becoming party to the EU. It provides advisory In recent years the Council is continuing to
opinions to states on policies and has elaborated develop the strategy of a participatory democ-
human rights charters extensively, including the racy through cooperating with and supporting
European Convention on Human Rights, result- civil society. This strategy has resulted in
ing in longer-term initiatives. In 1998, the increased coordination with local entities. In
European Court of Human Rights became a 1994, the Congress of Local and Regional
permanent court, the only judiciary body on Authorities of the Council of Europe was estab-
human rights in Europe, replacing the tempo- lished as a consultative body to give a larger
rary court system that had been in place since voice to local entities in policymaking and pro-
the establishment of the organisation. In 1999, vide a forum for dialogue on shared problems
the institution of a Commissioner for Human and experiences crossing multi-levels.
Rights was established to advance human rights The new focus on civil society also resulted in
awareness and education as well as to promote a resolution of the Council on the status of part-
effective human rights compliance among the nership between the Council and national
Council’s member states. NGOs (NNGOs), which indicates a deepening
Most state members assume a strong political partnership between NNGOs and international
will to absorb the Council’s conventions into NGOs (INGOs), particularly those that focus on
their national legislation. This has given the the Council’s aim of democratic reform. Since
Council more influence to help with this 2000, four interrelated civil society programmes
process, enforce its standards, settle disputes have been put into place in which INGO activity
and provide other requested services. This is a major part: Civil Society Initiatives, the
aspect of the Council’s work is expanding as Democratic Leadership Programme, the
membership increases. The European Conven- Schools of Political Studies, and Confidence-
tion on Human Rights, the European Social building Measures in Civil Society. However,
Charter and the European Convention for I/NNGOs are now being accessed across the
the Prevention of Torture and Inhumane or entire spectrum of Council activities. In 2003, all
Degrading Treatment or Punishment are some INGOs that had previously achieved consultative
of the important ways in which Council activities status with the Council and some NNGOs were
are setting standards on human rights across elevated to Participatory Status (374 organisa-
Europe (signing the Convention on Human tions as of January 2005) and given greater
Rights is now a requisite for Council member- responsibility and sometimes full-scale coopera-
ship). The Council has also drafted frameworks tion with individual projects carried out in the
for the protection of minorities within nation- various states. Consultative NNGOs are now
states, trans-border migration issues such as being grouped by themes and continue
trafficking in persons and guidelines on the increased dialogue with the Council. The Coun-
fight against terrorism. cil also helps in defining the legal personality of
The monitoring aspect of the Council has been NGOs, which is beneficial to other intergovern-
increasing due to the expanded number of mem- mental organisations such as the United Nations,
bers. States that sign treaties or conventions vol- in this period of burgeoning NGOs and the
untarily accept the responsibility to report to the importance of creating consistent standards for
Council (in the first year and then at three-year establishing credible, legitimate and legal NGOs
intervals) on measures they have taken to align to be recognised on an international scale.
Regional organisations 101
Finally, the Council has most recently taken ment, Resolution and Security was signed, and
the initiative to increase collaboration with other it significantly organised the peacekeeping
inter-governmental organisations, having begun capabilities of ECOWAS. Along with ECOMOG,
to see the benefits of combining resources and the Security Council, a Defence and Security
efforts with other entities. For instance, new Commission and the Early Warning and Moni-
cooperative trends have emerged between the toring System were officially launched and in
European Union and the Council. Both the EU operation by May 2000. The Security Council
and the Council have realised opportunities to has the authority to make final decisions on the
network for shared goals based on the same val- appropriate measures to be taken with regard to
ues of democracy, human rights and the rule of situations under consideration. It can authorise
law. Since 1993, their joint programmes have all forms of intervention, including the decision
been initiated mostly in newly acceded states to to deploy military missions. The Defence Com-
complement country-specific multi-lateral the- mission’s role is to examine all technical and
matic activities such as training, workshops and administrative issues and assess logistical
seminars that support legal and institutional requirements for peacekeeping operations. It
reform. However, this is only the beginning. The examines reports from the Observation and
Council pledged, on 18 February 2005, along- Monitoring Centres and makes recommenda-
side the OSCE and the UN, to work together to tions to the Security Council. The Observation
promote the rule of law as a means of promoting and Monitoring Centre is the hub of the
and sustaining peace, democracy and develop- ECOWAS Early Warning System that has four
ment. They look to the future as partners in observation and monitoring zones within the
working towards those principles in post-conflict sub-region.
societies, societies affected by natural disasters, During May 2001 ECOWAS signed a head-
and building a common framework for dealing quarters agreement with Benin to establish an
with terrorism, racism, xenophobia, intolerance observation zone in Cotonou whose role would
and all forms of discrimination. be to signal the potential of conflicts in Benin,
Nigeria and Togo, collecting data on potential
Economic Community of West African States disputes for transmission to the central
ECOWAS was created on 28 May 1975 in Lagos, ECOWAS observatory in Abuja. This would
Nigeria to promote cooperation and integration be the fourth zone. The others are in Banjul
in order to create an economic and monetary (The Gambia), Monrovia (Liberia) and
union for encouraging economic growth and Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso).
development in West Africa. ECOWAS has ECOWAS was originally formed as a regional
encountered many problems in the process of trade bloc but its functions are primarily con-
regionally integrating West Africa, including cerned with security. ECOWAS Monitoring
political instability and lack of good governance Group operations started in Liberia to prevent
that has plagued many member countries; the the overthrow of the unpopular government of
insufficient diversification of national President Samuel Doe by the National Patriotic
economies; the absence of reliable infrastruc- Front of Liberia (NPFL) led by Charles Taylor.
ture; and the multiplicity of organisations for The intervention force that landed in Liberia on
regional integration with the same objectives. 24 August 1990 consisted of troops contributed
ECOWAS leaders adopted two important by Nigeria, Ghana, Guinea, Sierra Leone and
defence protocols in 1978 and 1981. These pro- The Gambia. Successive fighting, looting and
visions have facilitated regional conflict resolu- killing were temporarily halted by a number of
tion efforts initiated by ECOWAS. The ECOWAS short-lived peace accords until the fourteenth
Monitoring Group (ECOMOG) was established peace accord was signed in Abuja in August
initially on an ad hoc basis as a multinational 1996. ECOMOG oversaw the subsequent elec-
peacekeeping/peace enforcement force and was tions on 19 July 1997 and was principally respon-
the first such group to be established by a sible for the restoration of peace in Liberia in
regional body. ECOMOG teams are normally that year. Renewed crisis in Liberia during 2003
comprised of military units or technical experts led to ECOWAS deploying a second peacekeep-
from ECOWAS member states. ing operation in the region, after a Comprehen-
At the Abuja Summit in 1999, the ECOWAS sive Peace Agreement was reached on 18 August
Mechanism for Conflict Prevention, Manage- 2003. The ECOWAS Mission in Liberia
102 Regional organisations
(ECOMIL) began deploying outside Monrovia ally and in concert with the other Parties, such
from 9 September 2003, with 3,563 troops from action as it deems necessary, including the use of
Nigeria, Mali and Senegal. The UNSC approved armed force, to restore and maintain security in
conversion of ECOMIL into a UN International the North Atlantic area’, as stated in keystone
Stabilisation Force from 1 October 2003. Article 5 of the Treaty.
Since September 2002, a military rebellion in In the early years of NATO, its efforts were
Ivory Coast has drawn ECOWAS into peacekeep- mainly focused on developing its military forces
ing duties in that country. The ECOWAS Secu- and establishing a presence in the region. New
rity Council met on 26 October and agreed to parties signed up to the Treaty, including
the deployment of West African troops to moni- Greece, Turkey, the Federal Republic of
tor a ceasefire signed on 17 October. The Germany and finally Spain in 1982. The Soviet
ECOWAS Mission in Côte d’Ivoire (ECOMICI) Union countered with the Warsaw Pact soon
deployed approximately 1,400 troops from after West Germany joined NATO. It aligned
Ghana, Togo, Benin, Niger and Senegal. On 28 itself with the German Democratic Republic,
February 2004, the UN Security Council voted in Poland, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Romania,
favour of integrating these West African peace- Bulgaria and Albania.
keepers into a UN Operation in Côte d’Ivoire NATO’s ground troops brought in nuclear
(UNOCI), from 4 April 2004 for an initial weapons in 1957 via the USA to counter strong
period of 12 months. On 21 February 2005 the ground forces of the Warsaw Pact allies. The
chairman of ECOWAS, President Mamadou Cold War now posed a more massive threat of
Tandja of Niger, announced a number of sanc- total destruction but for that reason may have
tions against the new government in Togo maintained a stalemate for 40 years until the col-
headed by Faure Gnassingbe, who had suc- lapse of the Berlin Wall and the dissolution of
ceeded his father without an election. He the Soviet Union. When the threat disintegrated
subsequently resigned. along with the Warsaw Pact allies, NATO’s
agenda needed to be reassessed. The changes
NATO brought about by the end of the Cold War,
After the Second World War, Western European including increased globalisation processes and
states were left economically and militarily inter-state interactions, also brought increased
exhausted. The Soviet Union was showing signs intra-state security challenges due to ethnic and
of strengthening its military and was perceived minority conflicts. NATO’s members, meeting at
as a threat among Western European countries. the Rome Summit in 1991, seemed to under-
The United Kingdom, France, the Netherlands stand that the very nature of security was in flux
and Belgium struck a military alliance through and outlined a mission of security in a larger
the Brussels Treaty in 1948. However, without sense than was traditionally viewed.
assistance from allies abroad, the Treaty was not New collaborations were initiated, including
seen as capable of withstanding an aggressive the establishment of the North Atlantic Cooper-
force such as the Soviet Union. Therefore, the ation Council (NACC, now currently the
United States and Canada were brought into the Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council or EAPC).
negotiations. These two countries entered into a The role of the NACC was to assist with Central
new treaty alongside the Brussels Treaty signato- and Eastern European states in their transition
ries as well as Denmark, Iceland, Italy, Luxem- towards reform in predominantly political
bourg, Norway and Portugal as a sound means of and military matters. The EAPC has become a
providing collective security for all parties. forum for cooperation and dialogue between
Hence, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, NATO and non-member countries. At the
an intergovernmental organisation, was estab- Brussels Summit in 1994, NATO began another
lished in 1949. programme to bring stability to Europe called
The transatlantic alliance of NATO became a Partnership for Peace (PfP). PfP was designed
foothold for defence against the Soviet Union to encourage states from NACC to enlist in a
particularly, but declared that the possibility of variety of cooperative activities of their own
any armed attack against any party was an attack choosing to deepen relations with NATO and
on all parties of the Treaty. The commitment of to prepare states to undertake multilateral
each state was specifically to ‘assist the Party or peacekeeping and rescue activities in the
Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individu- region.
Regional organisations 103
the organisation. There was a large expansion- great stress. Yet it has survived and may become
ary step with the accession of seven states (fully a unique example of an alliance that remains
acceded as of March 2004) and an intensive call valuable to its members after the original reason
for reform has been the focus of NATO’s new for its creation has disappeared.
agenda. NATO’s capacities, however, do not
exist within a vacuum and the trend for
increased collaboration with other IGOs, includ- Further Reading
ing the EU and the European security defence
organisation or WEU, has been instituted to Bennett, A. LeRoy and Oliver, James K. (2002)
consolidate resources and make feasible plans International Organisations: principles and issues,
for a stable European region. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall.
Whether NATO can continue to adapt and
Karns, Margaret P. and Mingst, Karen A. (2004)
make progress in its large, multi-layered
International Organisations: the politics and processes
approach to security is seen as a challenge that
of global governance, Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner
its members are willing to embrace. Nonethe-
Publishers.
less, there has been an air of desperation about
the vigorous efforts NATO has made to redefine Taylor, Paul (2003) International Organisation in
its role in the post-Cold War world and the the Age of Globalisation, New York, London:
strong disagreements among its members over Continuum.
the 2004 Iraq war put the organisation under
105
elements in the global economic system than 21.4 per cent in 1996. The value of cross-border
before. mergers and acquisitions rose dramatically from
The result of this has been to complete the $25 billion in 1980 to $350 billion in 1996. The
emergence of a global economy. In addition to annual average per centage growth of world
the empowerment of individuals, the spatial trade rose by 4 per cent between 1853 and 1913
change is significant and different from the fully and by 6 per cent between 1950 and 1985 and
interdependent global economy which became then by 7.5 per cent between 1985 and 1996.
familiar in the twentieth century. The compari- After dipping in the early 2000s, world trade
son is interesting. At the end of the twentieth rose by 6.8 per cent in 2004 alone and was
century, both the similarities and differences in expected to repeat that performance in 2005.
circumstances were striking compared with Trade between firms rose from 10 per cent to 40
those experienced 100 years previously. Both per cent between 1960 and 1996. Foreign port-
periods show common characteristics: wide- folio investment rose 14 times between 1970 and
spread and dramatic technological change; a 1996.
new generation of telecommunications advances In earlier conditions, different economic units
shrinking the boundaries of economic activity; a or blocs or states could not completely evade the
state of flux in the organisational structures and effects of what was going on in the others and
managerial strategies of firms; a realignment of were inextricably linked in a financial system
the geography of economic and political power. based on the ‘single currency’ of the gold stan-
Then, as now, the jurisdiction of nation-states dard. During the Great Depression of the 1930s,
was entering a new era and civic responsibilities it was discovered that attempting a controlled
were being redefined and new relationships economic isolation failed to work and during
were being forged between, and within, private the post-war period the capitalist world moved
and public institutions and among different gradually but with increasing speed towards the
religious and ethnic groups. general deregulation of the 1980s. The implo-
sion of the communist bloc after 1989 globalised
Differences the pursuit of basically capitalist economic pol-
Nonetheless, the differences are more marked icy, though causing some parallel economic col-
than these similarities. Most obvious is that while lapses while doing so: in Ukraine, for example.
the globalising economic tendencies of the early The effect has been called the triumph of global
twentieth century were taking place within a capitalism.
well-established and widely accepted social, eco- The triumph of global capitalism has not,
nomic and political order, today’s revolution however, been solely the result of the collapse of
challenges long-established ideologies and val- communism, nor, looking at it from another
ues and, indeed, the very institutional fabric of angle, was the collapse of communism solely
society, more as the creation of great manufac- caused by the advance of global capitalism. Fully
turing conurbations did during the industrial global capitalism has also needed the effects of
revolution. And there is no clear guide to the the contemporary communications revolution
pattern of future developments. Contemporary to come into existence.
developments may divide individuals and insti-
tutions as much as unify them and the hierar-
chical capitalism which created wealth for 100 Global markets
years looks vulnerable. This can clearly be seen in the emergence of the
Transnational flows of capital, goods, services, global markets – in stocks, in currencies, in
technology and information have now acquired banking – and in the changing structures of
a speed, intensity, comprehensive and self-rein- multinational entities. Stock markets, as the
forcing relevance and fully global reach that events of 1929–1930 showed vividly enough,
make them qualitatively different from their pre- have been both interconnected and only unreli-
cursors of even recent decades. Figures for for- ably amenable to government policies or deci-
eign direct investment, foreign trade and sions for some time. But at that time, they
foreign portfolio investment make the point per- remained territorial and separate, vertical struc-
fectly clear. Foreign direct investment, as a pro- tures communicating with each other across
portion of world gross product, rose from 7.8 global space with reasonable but not perfect
per cent in 1967 to 14 per cent in 1988 and to ease. The number of individuals involved in
Global markets 107
their operations both as investors and operators societies and individuals can be either cata-
was comparatively small. strophic or enriching, but the circumstances are
The de-territorialised global stock market cre- equally volatile.
ated by total global communications is a differ- The global flows of capital moving round the
ent beast. The number of individuals involved, world at more than $1 trillion a day are routed
particularly as investors, has risen sharply and through the global banking system. Here, too, a
neither the time of day nor the physical location formerly cooperative and understood set of
of an investor matters much at all. Access to arrangements between effective banks operating
cyberspace from anywhere on the globe will vertically in relation both to each other and to
allow personal and instantaneous participation particular economic areas has been undermined
in the global stock market. The fate of single- by the emergence of a global economy. The size
state economies is affected by the movements of of the world banking market as a per centage of
the markets, but the fate of individual investors world gross output rose from 1.2 per cent in
can be affected even more. And that in turn de- 1964 to 45 per cent in 1994. This quantity of cap-
territorialises the influence of stock holders on ital flooding round the globe looking for the
companies, their policies, investment decisions most advantageous temporary destination has
and ultimate fate. In short, the market in which become a frequently quixotic economic activity,
companies generate capital has become global – an end in itself, not necessarily the servant of
that does not mean that all parts of the globe physically located real economic action
take part, but it does mean that all parts of the expressed as factories, goods and services lead-
globe are potential sources of investment. It also ing to employment and commerce.
means that all parts of the globe are potential
objects of investment – a development which we Volatility
will return to shortly. The single most important Global banking operates increasingly as a single
short-term effect of this is that the global stock unit, not as an interdependent system. It thus
market has become highly volatile; the umbili- functions without familiar landmarks and
cal cord that connected it to ‘real’ economic includes areas without any tradition of free
activity has been broken and the extent that gov- domestic, let alone international, banking, and
ernments could, either by domestic policy meas- the result has been chaotic mixtures of some-
ures or by combined action, attempt to control times little understood and recently installed
it has been reduced to almost nothing. The domestic arrangements coming under pressure
global stock market now presents itself as a from a global system, itself at sea in uncharted
leviathan, yet an unexpectedly capricious and waters. The result is further volatility, to match
nimble one. that arising in the stock markets and the cur-
Capriciousness is also a compelling character- rency markets. So serious has this problem
istic of another important global marketplace. become that in 1999 the first proper efforts to
Currency speculation has long been a difficult gain control began to emerge from within the
area for governments. They have from time to market through a mechanism derived from the
time been able to bring off temporary, but Bank of International Settlements. It will be
always welcome, victories against attacks upon interesting to see how this interacts with the
particular currencies. But they have generally market on the one hand and with national
lacked success and their failure has been largely governments on the other.
to do with the fact that currency speculation was It seems unlikely that the emergence of this
related to some basic changes in the real eco- situation is a temporary phenomenon, to be
nomic situation in the currency area in ques- endured before we all return to normal condi-
tion. What has now emerged is a ‘virtual’ market tions. Normal has now become global and while,
unamenable to government activity – coopera- as we have seen, the development of the new is
tive or singular – and to a large degree unre- proving hard, the adjustments required of the
lated to real economic conditions. There is no old are perhaps even harder. Even in the older
doubting the size of the shift. Since 1979, the economically interdependent world, familiar
turnover in the foreign exchange markets has since the end of the nineteenth century, it was a
risen to $1.9 trillion each day, up by 36 per cent reasonable expectation that governments would
since April 2001, 12 times the level of 1979 and and could fulfil an obligation to manage both
over 50 times that of world trade. The effects on the macro- and micro-economic policies of their
108 Global markets
financial systems and inefficient domestic The global company has subsumed the multi-
administration. The cumulative effect of this national both in its style and operationally
and concomitant often endemic corruption can because of the arrival of fully global markets,
lead to crises, as recently observed in Asia. For the availability of a global labour force, the
more developed societies, these factors may not emergence of global electronic commerce and,
apply, but the short-term effect, chiefly on with some commodities, the existence of a
employment, can be more damaging. global culture creating global fashions. These
can work both positively and negatively: Coca-
Cola is an example of the first and the late 1990s
Global private companies decline in the fashion for Levis jeans is an exam-
If the consequences of globalisation for markets ple of the second. Yet there is no longer any
and for national governments are volatility as need for a solidly hierarchical structure of
the first and deeply puzzling for the second, the administration, since links are best created hor-
same is true for organisations, whether commer- izontally rather than vertically, which tends to
cial or public. A tendency, paralleling that occur- flatten out the systems and greatly reduce the
ring in the experience of national governments, size of the central offices of major corporations.
has developed for formerly vertically arranged Similarly, there is a conjunction between the
business structures to be flattened into more development of regionalism and the desire of
horizontal shapes. This has arisen partly out of global companies to base manufacture in the
the need to respond to the global/local paradox most advantageous place – anywhere in the
that we have already noted. world.
The telecommunications revolution has
removed the need for multinational firms to Flexibilities
have a single international presence and thus to Flexibility of communication and administration
see each other as ranged against, or at least dif- now means that it is better to create global coali-
ferent from, other firms – almost as if they were tions of regionally based firms, whose local exis-
commercial versions of states. Nor do they need tence is socially desirable and politically
to support their core activity, whatever it might acceptable and can be the object of locally
be, by running a variety of other related activi- decided advantages – for example in tax breaks
ties so as to keep the whole operation ‘in or favourable variations in zoning regulations.
house’. Being a globally functioning entity has Here it is possible to make a marriage between
become even more desirable than being a the needs of the global company and the rising
multinational corporation once was. The multi- significance of regional and local activities, cul-
national company was generally a nationally tural, economic and political. The ability to
based concern, having distinctively national ‘think global and act local’ also affects what is
characteristics but a multinational operation. produced as well as where and how it is pro-
They walked upright in the economic landscape duced. The emergence of a global culture is bal-
and dealt with each other and national govern- anced by a reaction to it, and to global economic
ments from that posture. A change of posture is and political power, which emphasises local par-
now very evident: look, for example, at the ten- ticularities: of tradition, of taste, of expectation.
dency for formerly national airlines to go global The flexibilities of the contemporary global firm
in their cooperative partnerships and to com- allow it to produce goods and services that are
pete by putting emphasis on the global reach tailored to local preferences, and gain competi-
which those associations give them. Even their tive advantage thereby, while also serving global
symbols tend to drop the resonance with a markets with other products. It is another
national tradition and substitute motifs which example of the contemporary economic para-
are either global in significance or have none at doxes at work.
all. The late 1990s redesign of the tailplanes on Yet another is that one effect of this has been
British Airways aircraft is a particularly good to create a renaissance of the small to medium-
illustration of this: the distinctively British sized firm, in a world that also sees a procession
national marking gave way to a wide range of of major global mergers, by which the giant
colourful but entirely abstract designs, and even becomes even more dominant in the market
a 1999 modification left the national motif for high technology and branded goods and
somewhat vague. services.
110 Global private companies
Nor does the process stop here. The emer- companies, which, via their own internal policies
gence of the new-style global firm, with its con- and behaviour and by remarkable displays of
centration on core activities, has changed the cooperative solidarity in individual countries,
essentially adversarial nature of the previous have gone some way towards taking over the
competition between international companies. functions of the state in this respect and in these
One result has been the emergence of inter-firm places.
alliances. The increase has been startlingly brisk Moreover, they have done so in other ways as
and the intention is to improve penetration of well. The tendency for governments to collapse
new markets, share costs and speed up the where either they have been subject to great
process of innovation. The same feature is to be pressures or where the institutions of the mod-
seen in research and development. At a time of ern state were never deeply rooted in any case,
vastly accelerated technological obsolescence, has created administrative crises of a kind so
leading to closer interdependence between cut- serious that they make economic activity impos-
ting-edge technologies and more immediate sible. They also lead to political disruption and
effects of research and development on manu- bitter conflict which has the same effect except
facturing processes, both the importance and for those who trade in armies and armaments.
the costs of the exercise have risen. The result We shall later see that private organisations of
has been hitherto unimaginable cooperation in many kinds, rather than other states or their
the field of research and development between associations, are tending to supply the deficien-
firms, despite the fact that their ultimate fate is cies in governance that inevitably occur, but it is
to be commercial rivals. Of course, these also worth noting that in some cases, private
developments pose difficult problems, not least companies are doing so, too.
when to cooperate and when to compete, but It is a practice well known in history. Both the
the contemporary plasticity in these notions is Dutch and the British created East India Com-
creating a new kind of alliance capitalism in panies which preceded their own direct rule in
which there is no mutual exclusivity between Indonesia and India respectively and there were
them but a synergy of competition and coopera- also examples in the Ottoman Empire. But the
tion. In this respect the adjustments which multi- practice had largely ceased and what was
national firms are making to new global expected was the indirect influence rather than
conditions are more sensitive and successful the direct involvement of public companies with
than the more stumbling responses from foreign governments. At the beginning of the
national governments. twenty-first century, it is notable that what is ‘for-
A good example of this tendency arises out of eign’, certainly in economic terms, can be quite
the problem of corruption. Some degree of cor- obscure; and that direct involvement in and
ruption has been endemic in both government assistance to administrative infrastructures by
and commerce throughout history. The more commercial enterprises is now part of the
economically and politically developed societies extraordinarily complex weave of the global
became, the more damaging and inconvenient political economy. Examples of this kind of
extensive and pervasive corruption appeared to behaviour are most common in Africa, particu-
be, and it became a part of the modern state’s larly in the eastern Congo and in the relation-
duty to legislate against it and enforce that legis- ship between a whole district of Nigeria and the
lation. Traditional and deep-seated corruption Chevron oil company. A newer and rather dif-
continues in less developed areas where, as glob- ferent version of the same idea is emerging in
alisation brings rapid development opportuni- discussions in developed countries where it is
ties, it becomes less and less acceptable and a being suggested that the best interests of com-
perceptible hindrance both to a genuine free panies will be served, when times are hard and
market and to the rule of law in a Western sense, specifically when employment moves out of an
which itself is a crucial contribution to the con- area, by the introduction of company-run and
text for successful economic development. For financed schemes of social welfare.
the national governments concerned, weakened It can no longer be assumed that governments
by other aspects of globalisation which we will can or will undertake the burden of avoiding the
discuss further on, the reform of corruption has social dislocation that unrelieved downsizing will
proved too difficult to achieve in any full enough cause, or subsequently will control the public
sense. Into the gap have moved multinational disorder that may follow.
Global private companies 111
and dissenting voices of citizens, civil society is but neither can it be understood without them.
the necessary condition for the informed and While transnational networks took hold in the
dynamic political participation central to nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, there
democracy. The state-level institutions of civil was little institutionalisation into organisations
society include all manner of organisations, with status recognisable by states or early inter-
from Rotary clubs to church and volunteer governmental bodies. What we today call NGOs
groups, professional associations, unions, animal – incorporated not-for-profit organisations for-
rights, abstinence, anti-genetically modified mally independent from government – num-
food, pro-gun rights and any of a host of causes bered a few hundred by the beginning of the last
organised into a group with a name, address and century, and grew to a modest presence only by
presence in the public realm. the 1970s. It was during the 1980s – the decade
The competing voices of civil society ideally when globalisation became ensconced in our
keep in check the cold logic of the market on vernacular – that NGOs experienced exponen-
the one hand, and the bureaucratic and totalis- tial growth, expanding from several hundred to
ing tendencies of government on the other. tens of thousands or even, depending on how
Without civic organisations of various stripes strict one’s criteria are, hundreds of thousands.
that exist outside of formal government control Today NGOs are engaged, directly or at the
there would be little institutionalised room for margins, in the transformation of national, inter-
influencing policy outside the formal mecha- national and transnational political space. In
nisms of elections and individual action. Civil their engagement they appear in various, often
society also implies the rule of law, since after all conflicting, guises: as building blocks for a
the word ‘civil’ signifies a measure of good faith global civic culture, incubators for new interna-
and respect for the law, even among the most tional institutions, barefoot revolutionaries car-
passionate proponents of a cause. Extremist rying out globalisation from below, or new
organisations that seek extra-legal means such as missionaries imposing Western ideals from
violence or fraud to pursue their agenda are above. They are lauded as pioneers in forging a
beyond the pale. global civil society, disparaged as tools of the rul-
At the global level, civil society organisations ing class, and championed as the vanguard for
(CSOs) have emerged ranging from workers’ globalisation from below. Regardless of ideolog-
societies such as the International Metalworkers’ ical perspective, however, there is no doubt that
Federation and the International Conference of NGOs are fundamentally altering patterns of
Trade Unions to environmental organisations international interaction.
such as Greenpeace to religious organisations Today’s international NGOs often began as
such as Catholic Relief Services. Two of the most organisations based squarely in a home country
famous civil society organisations today are with a humanitarian mandate. Coming into
Médécins Sans Frontières (Doctors Without Bor- their own mainly in the mid twentieth century,
ders) and the International Campaign to Ban NGOs tended to be Western in origin, focused
Landmines, both of which have won the Nobel on welfare issues such as homelessness or
Peace Prize. Like at the national level, global poverty, service provision to under-served popu-
civil society organisations do not fall under one lations, or advocacy in support of under-repre-
definition and include social movements, reli- sented groups. Others identified with social
gious and labour groups, and associations and movements such as pro-ecology or anti-nuclear
societies of all sorts. Of all the organisations that weapons. To increase their influence many
make up global civil society, however, the most NGOs developed professional staffs and sought
common and increasingly most important type long-term funding from philanthropists or,
is non-governmental organisations. increasingly, from the government itself. As
NGOs extended their services such as famine
relief or medical assistance to other countries,
The NGO phenomenon their operations grew and they entered into
In an increasingly globalised world non-govern- alliances with other NGOs or set up branch
mental organisations have become the standard offices or chapters overseas. Many NGOs ulti-
bearers of global civil society, analogous to civic mately evolved into global organisations such as
organisations within domestic civil society. Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch,
Global civil society cannot be reduced to NGOs, CARE, Oxfam and Médécins Sans Frontières.
114 The NGO phenomenon
this process, to channel funds, and to train a new was often mutual). By the 1990s, however, the
generation of democratic citizens. neoliberal (in economic terms) regimes of Mar-
Yet if the end of the Cold War unleashed dem- garet Thatcher and Ronald Reagan created an
ocratic impulses around the globe, it also ush- environment where markets replaced govern-
ered in an era of much turmoil and catastrophe, ments as the motors of growth, and develop-
from the Balkans to the killing fields of Rwanda, ment aid began to be more donor- rather than
from political vacuums caused by collapsing government-driven. NGOs began an unprece-
regimes to humanitarian crises caused by war dented cooperation with official aid agencies
and chaos. The most common covering term for such as the United States Agency for Interna-
the disasters that beset our world today is ‘com- tional Development (USAID), the UK Depart-
plex humanitarian emergencies’ – situations ment for International Development (DFID)
caused by war or natural disaster where a civilian and the World Bank.
population is displaced, thrown into precarious There is an irony in this development, since
living conditions and faces disease and death. many of the problems that NGOs were called
Today there are more than 14 million refugees upon to address by aid agencies were exacer-
in the world and 15–20 million internally dis- bated directly by neoliberal policies of structural
placed persons, the majority in Africa. This is a adjustment and privatisation. As developing
refugee crisis of unprecedented proportions, nations were forced to reduce budgets from san-
exacerbated by the AIDS/HIV pandemic, con- itation to education and to cut social services in
tinued political instability across much of the the name of deficit reduction, NGOs were mov-
developing world, and equally unprecedented ing in to help countries pick up the pieces, often
movement of people from rural areas to cities with the support and money of the very same
with the attendant problems of adequate and governments back home that were pushing for
safe water, food, housing and employment. the socially disastrous policies.
The system of sovereign nation-states has
never been efficient or elegant in its response to
humanitarian crises. With the rise of complex NGO partnerships
humanitarian emergencies, NGOs have become NGOs are changing their form and function as their
increasingly the vehicle of choice for addressing role increases in humanitarian response, poverty
urgent and delicate tasks, from reconstruction
alleviation and socio-economic development. The
of villages to providing food aid and medicine to
most significant changes are taking place through
refugees. Trained in community issues, non-par-
tisan, privately funded, NGOs quickly moved to partnerships:
the front of most major crises in the world. ■ NGO–NGO partnerships, especially North–
NGOs also increased their presence behind the South and South–South partnerships
scenes, staying on after others had left for more ■ NGO–private sector partnerships
urgent problems, engaging in community devel- ■ NGO–international organisation partnerships
opment, seeking reconciliation and justice, ■ NGO–government partnerships.
training civil servants, educators and care givers, These forms of collaboration are both opportunities
monitoring human rights situations, helping and challenges, as NGOs must navigate a delicate
build infrastructure, providing medical services,
terrain between the dangers of co-optation and
micro-credit financing, disaster relief, and func-
manipulation and the goals of genuine collaboration
tioning as the eyes and ears of the international
community. and systemic transformation.
Economics, ideology and volunteerism This irony, however, fits well with the overall
It was not lost on governments that NGOs were neoliberal emphasis on privatisation as the cure
not only politically more palatable than official for society’s ills. Distributing aid money through
missions in certain circumstances but could be private organisations such as development
convenient and potentially efficient conduits for NGOs became an increasingly standard method;
government aid. In the 1980s most foreign by the first year of the new millennium, the
development aid was given government to gov- World Bank was estimating that over 15 per cent
ernment, and NGOs were at best tolerated and of total overseas development aid was being
at worst viewed as antagonists (and the feeling channelled through NGOs. NGOs began to
116 The NGO phenomenon
form partnerships with governments and finan- like the ‘Baghdad Blogger’ or the hundreds of
cial institutions, out of necessity, frustration or pictures streaming out of South Asia during the
convenience. Parallel to this trend was a rise in tsunami disaster in December 2004, provide
volunteerism. While often a response to the uncensored real-time information that is often
shrinking of government services, this trend was used as a source by mainstream media outlets.
also supported by conservative Western govern- Activism in political blogging ranges from simply
ments, whose ideology sought to reduce the role amplifying certain news stories to expressing dis-
of government, emphasise the logic of the mar- sent and advocating specific policies. It is an easy
ket, and rely on volunteerism rather than gov- way to become published, with the most popular
ernment policies to address ills within society. rising to the top and becoming widely read and
Concepts such as social entrepreneurship influential. From creating a buzz around certain
became popular along with ‘faith-based initia- news, issues and events to providing information
tives’ and a significant increase in philanthropic from remote or repressed areas of the world,
activity. One major result of all of this was an blogging places important power at the finger-
increase in careers in non-profit management, tips of civil society (Drezner and Farrell, 2004).
the professionalisation of NGOs, and NGO–gov- Of course only those organisations with com-
ernment and NGO–business partnerships. puters and Internet access can take full advan-
Social and business ventures began to be com- tage of these changes, but many NGOs have
bined, separating revenue generation from the emerged to help others – both in less developed
NGOs’ social mission and evaluating it accord- countries and in the West – acquire the equip-
ing to business standards. Some NGOs turned to ment, training and funding to get online, and
income generation alternatives that mimic com- tens of thousands of NGOs are actively repre-
mercial enterprises, with side products, large sented on the Internet.
staffs and public relations teams. For all this expansion of its role, the Internet
is only part of the way information technology
Information technology profoundly affects the forces of global civil soci-
Besides the geopolitical factors following the ety, such as NGOs, grassroots campaigns and
end of the Cold War and the impact of neolib- protest movements. Mobile telephones were
eral economics and the rise in volunteerism, central to anti-globalisation demonstrators who
NGOs and CSOs in general would not have used them to transmit information and coordi-
gained such global prominence without the nate tactics during protests. Digital cameras pro-
advent of information technology. The Internet, vide instant images of protests, documents and
email and the worldwide web suddenly made it human rights violations. With the right equip-
possible for many NGOs to radically increase ment, sensitive documents and pictures can be
their capacities at relatively low cost. Suddenly uploaded via satellite and need not be kept by
the basic tasks of getting information to con- local offices or individuals who might be subject
stituents changed immeasurably: web pages and to persecution for their human rights activities.
electronic attachments replaced the printing By the same token information campaigns can
and distributing of newsletters and announce- alert people, governments and news organisa-
ments; phone lists became email lists; member- tions to issues within hours.
ship and contributions were solicited online; The organisation Witness is an excellent
archives and resources were suddenly available example of the convergence of information
to constituents around the world; communica- technology and new forms of NGOs. It is the
tion between offices could happen in real time. brainchild of the artist Peter Gabriel, the legal
The very tasks of the NGO – mobilising, organ- advocacy group Human Rights First (formerly
ising, collecting and disseminating information known as the Lawyers’ Committee for Human
– all changed with the advent of the Internet. Rights) and the philanthropic arm of a major
One emerging powerful use of the Internet is corporation, Reebok. In its own words, the non-
‘blogging’ (short for ‘weblogs’), where millions profit, non-governmental Witness ‘unleashes an
of online diarists around the world share and arsenal of computers, imaging and editing soft-
advocate views. While most ‘bloggers’ engage in ware, satellite phones and email in the struggle
exaggerated comments about trivial events in for justice’, mostly through giving local activists
daily life, many have emerged as agenda-setters video cameras and training so they can docu-
who influence local and global politics. Some, ment conditions and abuses around the world.
Changing roles for global civil society 117
By working in partnership with a network of 150 entrenched commercial interests rarely welcome
NGOs in 50 countries, Witness not only provides criticism, yet it is also true that civil society
video technology and training but helps the organisations increasingly achieve change by
videos of otherwise unreported human rights partnerships with government and the private
violations to become part of court records, tri- sector. The tension at the heart of global civil
bunals, UN documentation, classrooms and the society is the simultaneous legitimation and
global news media such as the BBC, CNN, CBS, challenge of the international system. This ten-
ABC, PBS, Canal +, Telemundo and Worldlink sion is driven by a broad array of amicable and
Satellite Television. Its website (www.witness.org) hostile forces to which civil society organisations
receives over 1.5 million hits per month. respond and to which they are accountable.
In Witness we see the development of a true
global civil society organisation: embedded in a Protest
network of partner NGOs, influencing policies The most time-honoured expression of citizens’
and legal proceedings, giving a voice to sweat- voices is the protest, and as the millennium
shop workers, displaced persons, abused approached the world saw an upsurge of protest
women and victims of torture and degradation, against international organisations that few
using information technology to accomplish its laypersons had ever bothered to notice before.
mission, distributing equipment and training Since the late 1990s nearly every major meeting
local activists to be technically proficient, media of international note, especially those of inter-
savvy and connected to the international com- national financial institutions such as the WTO,
munity. IMF and World Bank, and the summits of the
Thus, well into the first decade of the twenty- leading industrial nations known as the G8, has
first century, not only are more NGOs more been accompanied by protests.
active around the world in more areas than ever The most well known perhaps was the protest
before, but they are more intricately connected against the WTO’s meeting in Seattle from 27
to government and business than ever before, November to 3 December 1999 when 50,000
more essential for the implementation of gov- protestors, representing nearly every conceiv-
ernment policies at home and abroad, and more able interest, from trade unions to animal rights
an important part of any global governance activists, briefly united against the forces of the
mechanism. This development is far too com- global economy and the lack of transparency of
plex to be seen as intrinsically positive or nega- global governance organisations. Anarchists in
tive – it is, as this book argues, part of the new the group vandalised storefronts and engaged in
playing field of global politics with which we all skirmishes with the police, and the protests
have to contend. effectively prevented the meeting from carrying
on business as usual. It was a wake-up call that
citizens around the world were now taking note
Changing roles for global civil of how global economic policy was being made
society and wanting a voice in it. As one activist put it:
‘Anti-globalisation activists understand that sym-
The organisations of global civil society are par- pathetic and mutually beneficial global ties are
adoxical creatures. On the one hand, by working good. But we want social and global ties to
closely together with governments and interna- advance universal equity, solidarity, diversity, and
tional institutions, they legitimise official prac- self-management, not to subjugate ever-wider
tices and policies. On the other hand, they populations to an elite minority. We want to
challenge these very same practices, policies and globalise equity not poverty, solidarity not anti-
partners. Global civil society is part of the sociality, diversity not conformity, democracy not
democratisation of global politics, and like subordination, and ecological balance not suici-
democracy itself it is an inherently messy busi- dal rapaciousness’ (Albert, 2001).
ness. Global civil society organisations are The ‘battle in Seattle’ was followed by massive
rooted in a normative commitment to trans- protests against the World Bank, the IMF and
forming the international system to make it the G8 in Prague, Washington and Genoa, the
more responsive to the diverse and changing latter resulting in pitched battles with police
needs of citizens of all countries. It is no secret leaving 600 injured and one protestor dead.
that the bureaucratic machinery of the state and While the violence of Genoa was sobering and
118 Changing roles for global civil society
the patience of most participants with the vio- showcased. In short a new creature was born: the
lent anarchist contingent was wearing thin, a idea of ‘parallel summitry’.
new alliance had been forged among groups In short order after the Rio conference, paral-
that had never previously shared a common lel summits became the standard operating pro-
agenda. The idea was indeed radical: major cedure for civil society organisations, themselves
trade agreements and international summits growing in number and strength. Expanding
were no longer to be the exclusive provenance from the Rio environmental conference to meet-
of states (and business interests) but must also ings on human rights, population, social devel-
include the voices of people represented in ways opment and women, the culmination of this
other than through formal diplomatic and trend was the World Social Forum held for the
ministerial channels. first time in 2001 in Porto Alegre, Brazil under
the slogan ‘A different world is possible’. The
World Social Forum was civil society’s answer to
Recent major globalisation protests the famous World Economic Forum in Davos,
Seattle 1999 (World Trade Organisation) where heads of state rubbed shoulders with busi-
Washington DC 2000 and 2002 (IMF and World ness executives and policy elite. In Porto Alegre,
Bank) 20,000 representatives of landless peasant
Prague 2000 (IMF and World Bank) groups mixed with trade unions and human
rights activists with various demands such as a
Genoa 2001 (G8 Summit)
tax on international currency transactions.
New York 2002 (World Economic Forum)
Cancun 2003 (World Trade Organisation)
Protests have also taken place in Argentina, Brazil, World Social Forum
Ecuador, India, Indonesia, South Korea and dozens Since 2001, thousands of social movement organi-
of other countries. While colloquially labelled ‘anti- sations, NGOs and individuals have gathered in
globalisation’, most protestors seek a more response to the annual meeting of world business
humane globalisation less dominated by corporate and political leaders at the World Economic Forum
interests. in Davos, Switzerland. The World Social Forum,
which began in Porto Alegre, Brazil, is ‘an open
The results of this first wave of anti-elitist glob- meeting place where social movements, networks,
alisation were striking and are only now becom- NGOs and other civil society organisations opposed
ing clear. While recent protests have shifted to neoliberalism and a world dominated by capital or
their focus to issues of war and peace, the legacy by any form of imperialism come together to pursue
of the watershed demonstrations of 1999–2001 their thinking, to debate ideas democratically, to for-
can be seen in two developments: the creation of mulate proposals, share their experiences freely and
a parallel machinery of civil society summits network for effective action’ (www.forumsocial
alongside the established meetings of heads of
mundial.org.br).
state and international institutions, and the
While the World Social Forum is a process and
acceleration of civil society inclusion into inter-
national decision making, especially at the UN not an institution, it serves as a catalyst and inspi-
level. ration for networking and empowerment of local
civil society groups around the world. Regional and
Global civil society summits thematic forums have emerged in nearly every part
In 1992 the United Nations Conference on Envi- of the world.
ronment and Development held in Rio de
Janeiro ushered in a new era in civil society–
government interaction. Civil society groups Parallel summits seek to propose alternative
held an ‘NGO forum’ alongside the UN meet- policies, to enable networking and coalition
ings with substantial impact on the policies building among diverse civil society organisa-
emerging from the conference. New networks tions, to lobby official conference representa-
among NGOs were cemented, media visibility tives, and to raise public awareness and pursue
was heightened, expertise sought and confronta- political confrontation. They allow for NGOs to
tions between civil society and government contribute procedurally or substantively to issues
Changing roles for global civil society 119
before the respective international institution. strategies between UNEP and civil society are
While at first such summits were always in tan- necessary as civil society plays a direct role in the
dem with formally organised international meet- formation of policy, and as an advocate for poli-
ings, the success of the World Social Forum has cies and strategies in the global environment’
led to autonomous global civil society events. (http://www.unep.org/dpdl/cso/global_csf/ab
These meetings are gathering steam, with more out.html). The United Nations General Assem-
than 30 per cent of the 108 recorded parallel bly Special Session on HIV/AIDS (UNGASS)
summits since 1981 taking place in 2002 and regards partnerships between NGOs and gov-
early 2003. Even more interestingly, over 55 per ernments as critical for developing effective
cent of these recent events had more than national HIV/AIDS responses and strategies,
10,000 participants, and the majority of the and the list goes on. ‘Whether through formal
meetings take place in the South. contracts, standing agreements, or ad hoc
Parallel and independent summits began as arrangements, UN organisations collaborate
ways to harness the potential of civil society, cre- with and often rely on NGOs and NGO networks
ate ever-wider networks and channel the energy to deliver services, test new ideas, and foster pop-
of protests into productive, legitimate settings. ular participation. By belonging to an NGO net-
In a way these summits have become the global work that has systematic relations with UN
equivalents of the legendary coffee houses of organs, an NGO has a certain additional legiti-
nineteenth-century civil society, where writers, macy and also has the opportunity to join in the
revolutionaries, visionaries and ordinary folk collective exercise of responsibility and to influ-
gathered to discuss, debate and plan for a better ence the decision making of that UN body’
future. Parallel and independent summits also (Ritchie, 2002). In fact, a recent high-level panel
point to something even more striking: the set up by the UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan
diplomatic machinery of the nation-state is noted the changing reality of global governance
being supplemented by new fora that promise by stating that ‘global policy networks’ com-
levels of representation, efficiency and respon- posed of governments, civil society, business and
siveness that transcend the constraints of the other interested actors are essential to address
state. The growing number of summits indicates future global problems. The panel recom-
an increasing desire and ability for global civil mended that the UN system take greater
society groups to identify as such and to articu- account of the potential of civil society actors by
late their respective roles vis à vis each other and incorporating civil society not only in imple-
the state in the management of global issues. menting programmes but also in policy-making
deliberations such as in the General Assembly
Impact on multilateral organisations (United Nations, 2004).
If global civil society is asserting itself through International financial institutions such as the
summits and protests, its organisations have World Bank have also found NGOs to be not
increasingly become part of the workings of only gadflies but also valued partners. In the
multilateral organisations. One of the key com- quest for sustainable development, the World
plaints during the protests at the WTO meeting Bank has cooperated formally with civil society
in Seattle in 1999 was the short shrift given to organisations since 1981, but it has been only
NGOs and other civil society organisations in the since the late 1990s that interaction and cooper-
deliberations. Today NGOs are laying claim to a ation have increased markedly. The World Bank
central role in the decision-making process of lists NGOs, trade unions, faith-based organisa-
supranational institutions, though many in the tions, community-based organisations and foun-
field say there is still a long way to go before they dations as partners to improve the effectiveness
are given their due. and sustainability of its programmes, and the
While frustrations abound, the enhanced role Bank has set up civil society specialists in more
of civil society has never been clearer. The than 70 developing countries and created a
United Nations Environment Programme ‘civil society thematic team’ at its Washington
(UNEP) puts it clearly: ‘Decisions that take into headquarters.
account civil society views early in the policy- Not all civil society organisations are con-
making process will have stronger and broader vinced by the motives of the World Bank or even
recognition and support by the public when the UN. The World Bank is often criticised for
being implemented. In addition, common co-opting small NGOs to boost its own legiti-
120 Changing roles for global civil society
macy, and critics point out that civil society dia- and Guinea, and persuaded them to meet Presi-
logues do not allow for any direct role for NGOs dent Charles Taylor of Liberia in order to nor-
in the Bank’s main mission or decision making. malise relations in the Mano River Union (West
Other critics emphasise that large international Africa). Also it was reported locally that some of
NGOs are often the main beneficiaries of World these and other Liberian refugee women later
Bank partnerships, leaving local actors out of the surrounded Charles Taylor in Accra in June
loop. Despite all their progress, civil society 2003, refusing to allow him to leave without con-
actors still feel marginalised when it comes to cluding negotiations to bring peace to and his
real decision making by governments or the UN own departure from Liberia.
and note how the rhetoric of civil society partic- Groups such as these have been involved in
ipation is rarely translated into action, with the peacemaking for hundreds of years – with the
private sector given privileged access over civil Quakers recording their history of peacemaking
society. Accreditation of NGOs and access to back 300 years. However, the local nature of
information remains heavily politicised and most civil society activities often means these sto-
bureaucratic, and NGOs are wary of calls for ries go unnoticed and unpublicised. Neverthe-
increased accountability if they think this means less, civil society organisations continue to
new ways of disciplining or controlling them. contribute to making and building peace with
and sometimes in spite of governments. A future
Impact on peacemaking peace settlement in the Israeli–Palestinian con-
Though much of the role of civil society in coop- flict may indeed draw upon ideas in the civil soci-
erating with governments and multilateral ety generated Geneva Initiative/Accord of 2003.
organisations involves complementing their
roles in implementation of programmes, some
civil society actors have ventured into areas nor- Challenges for non-governmental
mally thought of as under the strict competence organisations
of governments – namely diplomacy for peace-
making. Typically called Track II (for unofficial) While civil society organisations are seen in the
diplomacy, some civil society organisations have first instance as improving democracy, accounta-
made peace between parties in situations gov- bility and transparency, it is also true that civil
ernment third parties have found intractable. society organisations are rarely democratic,
For example, the non-governmental organisa- accountable or transparent themselves. The lack
tion Moral Re-Armament (now called Initiatives of standards and governance of NGOs has
of Change) assisted the peaceful transition of allowed the field to burgeon uncontrollably to
power from white-rule Rhodesia to black-rule the point where anyone can begin an NGO, as
Zimbabwe in 1979–1980. England, the United the previous anecdote of the man from Central
States, Zambia and Tanzania found themselves Asia shows. The UN, certain international organ-
unable to pressure or negotiate a political stand- isations and some governments, like the Aus-
off between the white rule of Ian Smith and the tralian government, have accreditation
extremist black coalition led by Robert Mugabe. processes for NGOs that assist their bureaucra-
In an attempt to prevent the impending bloody cies in deciphering the meaningful NGOs in the
conflict, members of Moral Re-Armament bro- midst of the millions out there. Despite these
kered secret meetings between Smith and efforts, often there is no way to ensure the com-
Mugabe that led to the peaceful transition of petency (expertise), capacity (resources to carry
power. Similarly, in 1992 the religious Commu- out programmes) and credibility (accountability
nity of Sant’Egidio successfully eased a peace and trustworthiness) of NGOs beyond the per-
process in Mozambique into existence. sonal experience of having worked together.
More commonly, civil society organisations Some have suggested that the NGO field should
contribute to peacemaking through activities govern itself by creating codes of conduct. The
such as encouraging parties to meet with coun- humanitarian assistance community adopted
terparts, facilitating or training parties in negoti- such a code in the mid-1990s called the Interna-
ation or rallying the public to pressure the tional Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement
protagonists to reach agreement. For example, and NGOs in Disaster Relief Code.
in 2002 the Mano River Women Peace Network Civil society organisations are often torn
met the heads of state of Liberia, Sierra Leone between the demands of donors, members and
A thickening network: the future of global civil society 121
the constituencies they serve. They must balance unprecedented numbers. As a recent study
business-like concerns about efficiency and showed, the average number of links among civil
increasingly meet reporting and accounting society actors has increased by 110 per cent in
requirements while also remaining true to their the decade between 1990 and 2000 (Anheier et
principles and values. How to manage these dif- al., 2003, p. 14). In sheer numbers, recent
ferent forms of accountability while maintaining decades have shown a steady increase in the
independence and flexibility is a difficult task number and type of organisations and their
indeed. donors, members, volunteers, summits, protests,
Consider the problem of NGOs that have consultations, partnerships and media visibility.
become involved with monitoring labour stan- Such increasing density suggests that global
dards. The principle is straightforward: corpora- civil society will play an increasingly important
tions must be held accountable for their role as the modern state system undergoes ever-
treatment of workers, from wages and hours greater challenges. New waves of complex emer-
worked to safety. But as NGOs assume the gencies, increasing global inequality and future
responsibility for monitoring such activity they wars will continue to expose the limits of
must also bear the costs of training and con- national governments and international institu-
ducting inspections. More problematically, tions to respond in a timely and effective fash-
NGOs have to avoid being used by companies as ion. Global civil society organisations cannot
effective public relations ploys, giving a ‘politi- replace these governments or institutions, but
cally correct’ seal of approval to corporations they can provide the much-needed expertise,
engaged in questionable practices. Perhaps flexibility and indignation necessary for change.
more troubling is the prospect that NGOs might Global civil society is not a unitary actor, or
end up doing what governments should prop- even an actor at all – it is the societal precondi-
erly do, thereby letting them off the hook and tion for democratic global governance. As such
undermining the development of local laws and it will always be contentious, uneven and
unions and ultimately hurting rather than help- dynamic. Perhaps it is best to think of global civil
ing the regulatory process. society organisations as the spaces where global
This fear of states devolving core functions citizens are forged. With no prospect of an illu-
onto civil society actors is a double-edged sword. sory world government, and faced with the need
On the one hand, it can only be regarded as a for more accountable and more effective global
positive indication of the power of civil society governance, citizens around the world are trans-
when a government, such as that of the Czech forming existing institutions through consulta-
Republic, adopts laws for the systematic and tion, confrontation and compromise. While the
transparent distribution of a substantial portion nation-state system might not be disappearing
of the state budget (0.3 per cent, or about any time soon, the forces of global civil society
US$53 million in 2001) to civil organisations are an important part of the shifting ecology of
(Pajas, 2001). On the other hand, when civil global politics that is producing deep changes in
society becomes dependent on government the way nations and citizens interact. The key to
funds for its operation it raises questions not managing and understanding this change is to
only about their motivations but also about the be open to the transformation of the main
risks of dependency on the state for putatively actors and to keep a sharp eye out for the emer-
independent organisations. gence of new ones.
Nongovernmental Organisations Since 1875, Palo Pajas, Petr (2001) ‘The Czech government and
Alto, CA: Stanford University Press. NGOs in 2001’, International Journal of Not-for-
Profit Law, vol. 3 issue 3, March.
Diamond, Louise and McDonald, John W.
(1996) Multi-Track Diplomacy: A Systems Approach Ritchie, Cyril (2002) ‘NGO Cooperation and
to Peace, Hartford, CT: Kumarian Press. Networking’, Centre International de Con-
férence de Genève (CCIG), Geneva.
Drezner, Daniel W. and Farrell, Henry (2004)
‘Web of influence’, Foreign Policy, United Nations (2004) ‘We the peoples: civil
November/December. society, the United Nations and global gover-
nance’, UN Document A/58/817, 11 June.
Edwards, Michael (2004) Civil Society, Cam-
bridge: Polity Press. Weiss, Thomas G. and Gordenker, Leon (eds)
(1996) NGOs, the UN & Global Governance, Boul-
Fisher, Julie (1998) Nongovernments: NGOs and
der, CO: Lynne Rienner.
the Political Development of the Third World, Hart-
ford, CT: Kumarian Press.
Keck, Margaret and Sikkink, Kathryn (1998)
Activists Beyond Borders, Ithaca and London: Cor-
nell University Press.
123
CHAPTER 5: States
One of the most significant and certainly one of Russia or Germany are not sovereign entities
the oldest performers in the theatre of global and do not exercise complete power over the
politics is the state, often since the nineteenth governance of their populations.
century called the national state. The idea of the Not all these characteristics have been
state both in the past and the present has acquired by states at any one time. They repre-
encompassed many different versions or edi- sent an historical accretion and appeared at
tions of the basic object. This was particularly somewhat different times in different places. It is
true at the time states first evolved and wide vari- particularly true that the idea that a state ought
ations are also a marked feature of contempo- to coincide physically with a single or very dom-
rary global politics. In between the variations inant nationality – the national state – is rela-
have tended to be less and the convergence in tively new, as has been the evolution of a heavy
institutions, style and expectations rather more. weight of domestic administration and regula-
The common denominator has been and is the tion. The first followed from the French revolu-
notion that the state represents the most effec- tionary period at the turn of the nineteenth
tive means by which human societies can make century – around 1800 – and the second arose
the necessary activity of government acceptable out of the enormous increase in government
to the population. authority that followed from the technological
The fully developed state has certain expected advances released by the industrial revolution.
characteristics: it will exercise administrative Many of these made significant social improve-
power within and conduct external relations ments possible, ranging from the provision of
outside a defined territorial area. It will have effective sewage systems to the transport revolu-
advanced institutions for central and local tion created by the building of railways. Both
administration. It will be the sole proprietor of these examples had important effects on mod-
military and police forces. It will have a regime ern societies, the one dramatically cutting the
or type of government through which it will gov- incidence of disease and the other making sub-
ern, usually by consent, using democratic sys- urbs possible together with the social revolution
tems, or by force, as happens under a military inherent in suburban living. The net effect was
dictatorship. The state has also expected to be to increase the weight of the basic bargain: the
something more than the supplier of tolerated obligations of the state steadily expanded and
governance by acting as the focus of the popula- the duties of the citizen followed suit. The com-
tion’s loyalty. Backed up by a shared social and bination then in turn put comprehensible pres-
political history, love of a characteristic set of sure on the provision and defence of citizens’
landscapes, often a dominant language and lit- rights, to which the onset of globalisation has
erature, provision and control of education and given added emphasis.
equipped with symbolic architecture in a capital The state and the various forms of govern-
city suitably arranged for parades, anthems and ment that it has evolved over time have been the
flying flags on state occasions, the state has been mechanism by which most human societies –
able to call on the devotion of its people to the though not all – have resolved, as far they have
point of dying for it in battle. The complete cen- been able to, the essential contradiction
tralisation of power within a physical area is what between achieving the best conditions of life for
is meant by describing a state as sovereign. the majority and what each person might want
Provinces, regions and states which are members for themselves. The most acceptable routes for
of a federation as in the United States, India, arriving at the compromises which thus have to
124 States
be made have been tested and re-tested, written elsewhere, until by the end of the nineteenth
down as constitutions and precedents, and century it had ceased to be possible for people
enshrined in law. The shorter-term adjustments to imagine an alternative: it might be differently
and modifications which are always required are represented, it might be the object of revolu-
the stuff of daily political life and inform the ide- tionary attempts to change its immediate politi-
ologies of regimes, sometimes leading to tough cal character, but the institution itself had
dictatorships, more frequently to brands of become a given condition – so much so that one
democracies. Resistance movements in the first of the last great efforts to generalise its functions
case and the urgent vigour of political parties in in a particular way, as proposed by Karl Marx,
the second have been the chosen engines for thought of itself as supplanting and abolishing
propelling that political life. all other forms.
activities of deeply integrated multinational This will be very hard. The weight of tradition
enterprises, together with the cross-border inter- is against it and the traditional state can come to
firm alliances that they engender, have become be seen as a defence against those aspects of eco-
the principal form of international transactions. nomic globalisation which are not popular. Yet
Banking and stock market activity has gone in what it needs to do for the benefit of its people
the same direction and has little or no geo- in the global economy can only be tough and
graphical location left: it exists where there are unpopular. Meanwhile, some of its authority
terrestrial monitors connected to cyber space. trickles away in the face of the instinctive as well
The picture that emerges is of a global economic as practical realisation on the part of electorates
system of great complexity. Significant partici- that many of its functions have been eroded by
pants in the preceding interdependent global global change. Thus a paradox remains for reso-
economy, governments, groups of governments, lution: there is a job for the state to do, but it is
territorially based markets and banks, and multi- hard to do, and the same events that have pro-
national companies, dealt with each other as sin- duced that job have also reduced the political
gular, temporally and physically located entities. legitimacy of the state to the point where public
They thus acted in ways that were analogous support for tough measures is much less easy to
with, if not sharing their mechanisms, the kind assemble and maintain. And if the state tries to
of essentially vertical relationship which states resist globalisation, it will be equally if not more
had established with each other since the seven- difficult and will require privations on the part
teenth century. These vertical relationships of the people, which they may not be willing to
remain in the new situation, but their roles are accept from a weakened system of government.
different and generally reduced and their physi- The best outcome will be uncomfortable evo-
cal shapes, formerly pyramidal, have tended to lutionary change, the worst – of which there are
flatten and spread. Global markets, global man- already clear warnings – will be public disorder
ufacturers and purveyors of knowledge, and leading to the collapse of the existing institu-
global consumers, already either horizontal in tions of government and the probability of more
shape or lacking any physical shape at all, have general disturbances.
arrived as new participants, stirring like a rising
mist on a summer’s morning round the soaring
trunks of the trees in an old wood. They move
Politically legitimate governance
inexorably across global space and time without of states
respect for physical geography, political frontiers
or night and day. There is another side to this coin which compli-
cates the problem further. Because the exercise
The traditional state of public domestic authority came to be associ-
These economic effects have been joined by ated almost completely with states, the devices
others. News, comment and information of all which have been developed to make that author-
kinds have taken on an independent life of their ity acceptable to populations have also been
own, divorced from the control of governments. linked to the machinery of states. These devices
Defence and the conduct of war have been consist of constitutional limitations and other
affected similarly and occupy a transitional posi- conditions that are imposed on the exercise of
tion in which national defence mechanisms and power. They are part of the expected, necessary
attitudes survive but often have to be expressed structure of the national state and it is their
through cooperative peacemaking or peace- governments and rulers who have, willingly or
keeping operations. All this vigorous life, intel- unwillingly, to accept them.
lectual, technological and commercial, is being Democratic systems of government provide
conducted horizontally, cutting across the old further means of mediating power. Both consti-
vertical divisions typical of the traditional state. tutional limitations and democratic systems,
What are the consequences for the state? Can it when in full working order, supply political legit-
be remoulded to fit contemporary require- imacy and therefore public consent for the exer-
ments? If so, it can only be by reducing expecta- cise of power. When power and authority begin
tions as to what functions it can best perform to seep away from national governments, they
and fitting it into a much more pluralistic global also escape from the controls which have
system of governance. evolved in association with states and from their
126 Politically legitimate governance of states
democratic systems, wherever they exist. Newer to be accommodated within a single system. This
sources of globalised power and authority are is clearly such a serious matter that it is worth
being exercised without any of the familiar and taking a much closer look at it. The fundamen-
expected restraints, thus destroying the link tal problem – making the existence and exercise
between public acceptance that power must be of power acceptable to individuals – has not
exercised and the maintenance of some controls changed, but its practical expression has; and as
over it. This produces in global circumstances the evolution of states has yielded at least one
what in the regional conditions of the European highly significant historical experience of solv-
Union has been described as a democratic ing it, it would not be sensible to think about the
deficit. In that case, the exercise of power, sub- contemporary situation without knowing some-
tracted from member states, by administrative thing about how the existing arrangements
organs in Brussels has not yet been subjected to came about.
the ultimate control of the European Parliament The most complex forms of political relation-
and the actions of individual European Com- ship and commercial and cultural exchange
missioners have only very recently been the have developed over the last 300 years and have
object of its scrutiny. Pressure for greater been the product of an era when most societies
accountability is mounting and some changes turned themselves into or aspired to become
are evolving but, like the Parliament’s defective nation-states. Such evolutionary changes usually
control over the European budget, there is a produced episodes of conflict and warfare. The
long road to walk yet. study of these relationships, and particularly
All this raises the issue of the vertical, wherein their occasional descent into violence, has
lies existing legitimacy, and the horizontal, become an intellectual discipline, rising to
wherein lies power, in an acute form. For there greater and greater sophistication as it has
is a direct clash of interest between the evolution sought to understand more about the shifting
of horizontal limitations on the exercise of hori- sands of inter-state activities, economic, political
zontal power and the vertically arranged struc- and strategic. It is useful to remember this pat-
tures and controls with which we are familiar, if tern because it lasted for so long that it came to
increasingly disenchanted. In the past, an be regarded as a given condition, an unchang-
acceptable exercise of power was achieved ing basis for discussion, an inalienable template
through violence as much as or more than by which to explain the affairs of states and their
through evolutionary change, and the fact is at external relations. This in turn helps to throw
least a warning if not a prediction. There is an light on why much muddle and anxiety has
urgent and growing need therefore to begin developed in the face of recent fundamental
developing new systems, global in scope, in evolutionary shifts which have invalidated the
order to reproduce the controlling effects on template: these are the shifts in both power and
horizontally exercised power which were long the distribution of power which have come to be
ago developed within states to restrain the abuse called globalisation.
of vertically exercised authority. These will not
necessarily be echoes of those devised in the
light of the evolution of the state. It is more Role of communications
likely that the shape of successful alternative val-
idations of global sources of power will turn out technology
to be very different if they are to guard against In order to assess further the contemporary
violent rejections of irreversibly established internal impacts of globalisation on states, the
global authorities when people discover how consequences of the successive technological
uncontrolled they actually are. revolutions in communications need to be
This problem amounts to a contemporary included. Their influence on both internal polit-
crisis of governance and political legitimacy. It ical stability and external relationships since the
requires that the traditional means of protecting early nineteenth century has been profound.
citizens from over-mighty rulership be reduced Both the machinery of international relations
and redirected while at the same time allowing and the fixed assumptions which societies have
globally focused controls to evolve, shaped to come to make about the likely consequences of
match the sources of power they are intended to their own or their government’s actions have
restrain. The vertical and the horizontal have been shaped by the effects which technological
Role of communications technology 127
change has had on the nature and distribution stances like these, the advantages lay with
of power – economic and political. seaborne traffic, for commerce, information and
On the whole, the period from the middle of strategy. Coasts tended to enjoy higher civilisa-
the nineteenth century to the later part of the tion and greater wealth, but also to be a focus for
twentieth can be seen as a single evolution, itself conflict. Political entities which enjoyed effective
emerging from an earlier and more geographi- water communication tended to be more sophis-
cally restricted version of a similar structure. In ticated administratively and any technological
both these situations, as we shall see, the princi- improvement in ships extended their commer-
pal propelling agent in the equations of power cial and naval reach.
was the unfolding development of the state, By the sixteenth century, the Chinese had
both internally and externally. After about 300 already visited East Africa, though they did not
years of continuous, expansionary activity, it is follow up on their seagoing expertise, and in
not surprising that the central role of the state Europe, the Portuguese, the Venetians, the
itself, never mind what whirligigs of changing Genoese, the Spanish, the English and the
fortune might affect it, became a fixed expecta- Dutch were demonstrating the importance of
tion, a given condition of the political life of waterborne communications and naval power.
humanity. Nor is it surprising that the world Those who did not have such access were either
steadily acquired the mechanisms that matched restrained – for example the Russians locked
the realities on the ground. into the Eurasian land mass behind ice-bound
Understanding how and why this situation ports – or showed signs of failing development,
developed is an essential precondition for appre- as the largely landlocked Holy Roman Empire
ciating why the contemporary environment can did in Germany and Central Europe.
seem so alarmingly strange, where familiar, pre- At much the same time, other factors, particu-
viously reliable, points of reference no longer larly the consequences of the emergence of fully
provide base lines, as if the lighthouses that monetarised economies and the secularising
make sense of difficult coasts had been switched effects of the Reformation, caused the gradual
off. The contemporary world is seeing change evolution of fully independent states in Europe.
on a greater scale and at a deeper level than any- The decline of formerly pan-European, Roman-
thing that has happened since the sovereign originated forms of authority both religious and
state began to evolve in Europe towards the end political allowed individual rulers to assert their
of the sixteenth century: the lighthouses really own untrammelled legal and political jurisdic-
have been turned out and it is crucial to com- tion which they were able to establish over the
prehend where the coastline actually is if we are rights of local lords within their territories as
to make sense of the inevitable, and potentially well as excluding former external suzerains. The
violent, transitions which must occur. result was a downsizing of the most effective
The overwhelming difficulties of land trans- political unit and the further result was that enti-
port before the machine age affected almost ties emerged which were small enough to be
every aspect of human life. Internally it meant able to ignore the serious problems of commu-
that all forms of centralised government were nication over long distances. The improved pos-
bound to be weak at best or merely amoebic at sibilities for their internal administration which
worst and therefore it was highly localised units followed further reinforced the authority of
which most affected everyday life, even if they sovereign or nearly sovereign rulers.
were formally part of and subject to a loosely The consequence was a maelstrom of internal
structured larger entity. The difficulty also and external conflict in Europe, lasting for a
affected external relationships. During the century. The movement of power flowed away
Roman Empire, for example, ordinary diplo- from highly traditional authorities, to some
matic exchanges were rendered almost impossi- degree still legitimised by the Roman inheri-
ble by the length of time it might take for an tance, and away from highly localised barons
embassy to find the Emperor, whose court – and and princes whose position was based upon
therefore the government – had a strong ten- ancient rights by which they could command
dency to be peripatetic. In such an immense services and goods in kind. Authority now
space, it was easy to miss and difficult to catch up flowed towards the rulers of states who based
with the constantly moving target that the impe- their claim to internal and external sovereignty
rial entourage represented. In general circum- on their ability to provide coherent and
128 Role of communications technology
functional administration, essentially paid for there were obvious practical reasons why local
out of monetary wealth obtained from taxation, lords would be more effectively served by driving
borrowing or seizure. These new-style regimes on a comfortable rein rather than using the
were providing a stability which populations whip. Their presence was highly personal and
regarded as necessary in an age when their num- their reward was goods and services. The con-
bers were rising, recovering after the trauma of trast with the incoming system was important.
the Black Death, and at a time of quickening The domestic power of sovereign rulers was sig-
economic and commercial activity. But they were nificantly greater and their rule more tightly
also the beneficiary of another development. organised, if nowhere near the expectation that
a late-twentieth-century citizen might have.
Distribution of power Societies, understandably, turned out to want
Changes in the nature of power did not just a substitute for the natural restrictions on the
affect new users. The fact that there were new use and abuse of power that would be effective
users also meant that there were consequential in the new situation and they particularly wanted
changes in the distribution of power, away from it in respect of taxation. At different paces and
the centres of the past, which created one kind in different places, the combination of the argu-
of conflict, and into new hands, among whom ments of political philosophers and the often
the pecking order was as yet uncertain, which violent objections of populations began to force
created another. The wars which wracked an entirely new set of restrictions on the power
Europe from the beginning of the sixteenth cen- of rulers. The growing authority of the English
tury were the consequence. Their climax came parliament, followed by the military defence of
in the period 1618 to 1648, but they did not its role within the English system of government,
finally abate until 1713. They began as struggles including as it did the execution of the king, is
to defend or reject the older dispensations, reli- the classic example of a process where the acqui-
gious wars and wars surrounding the position of sition of great power was quickly followed by the
the Holy Roman Empire and its Hapsburg evolution of important restraints upon the use of
rulers. After 1648, the new had essentially tri- that power. Failure to observe those restraints
umphed over the old and turned to the business led to the withdrawal of the consent of the gov-
of settling a new distribution of power among erned and the collapse of political legitimacy.
the beneficiaries. This chiefly turned on the Gradually a vastly complicated rule book of
question of whether the French, who came to acceptable ways of achieving a stable political
full statehood first among European societies, society developed, malleable but essential in all
would be able to transform their advantage into advanced states. Maintaining this balance
a European hegemony. The answer was that they between wielding effective power and preserving
could not and that answer was to have significant the rights of citizens has been part of the evolu-
effects on contemporary international politics. tion of states.
An additional effect of so much conflict over so Over time, rulers became equally conscious
long a period was to create a basis of loyalty that going to war had destructive effects on the
within societies whose citizens had suffered so domestic sinews of power and compromised the
much together. They came to see themselves as effort to reform and improve domestic manage-
ranged together against others, as communities, ment. Moreover, by the eighteenth century, an
political and economic, as well as units of age which was apt to produce rationalist rather
sovereign government. than religious arguments, the divine right of
In one sense this smoothed the path of the rulers had ceased to have the force it once did
sovereign ruler. In another, it created intense and even inheritance seemed less compelling
problems. The supplanting of loose, traditional than competence. The notion that rulers might
forms of authority may have been supported by rule for as long as they patently attempted to do
secularisation and by the need for unity in the so in the interests of their populations was likely
face of external conflict, but these alone did not to put a premium on avoiding war and to
supply legitimacy and thus a secure and well- increase the level of stress that would be
based regime. There had been substantial required before rulers would resort to it. Thus
restrictions on the practical operation of tradi- achieving a delicate balance, in an era of more
tional political and legal controls. The source sophisticated state structures, between the
was likely to be distant and where it was local, demands of the business of government and
The collectivist state 129
populations. The result was a huge expansion of consequences are very much still to be seen. It is
activity. New forms of construction, for example, somehow easier to comprehend the full weight
for railway lines, new forms of physical plant, such of the state and its governmental system when
as sewage treatment plants, electricity- and gas- we remember to look at its physical expressions
generating facilities, and their vast delivery net- as just that, rather than the familiar architectural
works, either fell directly into the scope of clothing of capital cities and regional centres.
government or provoked the establishment of reg- It is not surprising that there was a temporal
ulatory systems. The result was an unprecedented connection between the opening of the greatest
expansion in the scope and size of the machinery period of state authority and the rebuilding of
of government – an administrative revolution. capital cities. The habit started in the eighteenth
The effect rapidly became circular: new roles century with St Petersburg, followed by Wash-
required new monies, new monies required new ington. Both sought to give an air of perma-
taxation, both required additional state employ- nence to a state which was in fact under
ees whose salaries required further new monies. construction. Older state forms had almost acci-
Thus taxation also inevitably grew and the sig- dentally acquired administrative or royal court
nificance of the machinery of the state in the centres, usually located in places already impor-
daily lives of ordinary people became more com- tant for strategic or commercial reasons. Until
pelling. The spread of literacy across far wider the second half of the nineteenth century, how-
sections of populations which followed from ever, they remained jumbled and chaotic masses:
improved educational systems created a basis for a mix of official buildings and palaces and slums.
the growth of a popular press, which, anxious to The needs of an expanding central government
increase its readership and profits, did not hesi- machine, together with the feelings of an emo-
tate to cast political and even social life in highly tionally nationalist society, evoked major
dramatic, and often deeply inaccurate, terms. rebuilding schemes: vast administrative depart-
Moreover, governments, finding it ever harder mental buildings appeared, specifically devoted
to obtain and then to keep the support of fickle to named government activities arranged on
electorates, jumped onto the bandwagon and great avenues, themselves laid out to accommo-
began to resort to simplified sloganeering inter- date the processions by which the national state
nally and to describe foreign policy either in the and/or empire gave expression to their
rhetoric of aggressive nationalism or by emitting grandeur and individuality. Just how far contem-
loud cries of foul play and a consequent need to porary activities and needs have changed may be
defend the fatherland. judged from the fact that in the late twentieth
The awkwardnesses of this situation led to the century, the Treasury building of the British gov-
emergence of two alternative, though in many ernment, grandly located in Whitehall, the tra-
ways similar, modes of political justification for ditional seat of government, was deemed
an intensively active role for government in inappropriate for duties which have become
industrialised societies: communism and fas- principally computerised and can be substan-
cism. After the catastrophe of the 1914 war, tially contracted out. For a time it was actually
which itself put the organs of states under made available for conversion, most probably as
intense pressure and greatly expanded their an hotel, though in the end the change of use
authority, both joined the more traditional lib- never happened.
eral, if increasingly collectivist, state not just as This would have been, of course, an extreme
theoretical models but as practical examples. example. But, particularly in developed coun-
Notwithstanding the Marxist belief in the even- tries, the property markets have been full of
tual withering away of the state, both in practice former state civil and military buildings and
greatly contributed to the sense of vertical complexes for sale, not necessarily or even usu-
division between them. This division now took ally very grand, but indicative of a slimming diet
not only political, economic and ethnic forms in national government machines. It is equally
but ideological ones as well. instructive to observe the contemporary ten-
dency to regard great national cities as museums
Consequences in themselves and to treat them as such. In the
The ideological consequences have worked or past, they were assumed to be the proper place
are still working themselves out in the early to locate the great national collections of art and
twenty-first century. The physical architectural artefacts, themselves often the result of past
The relative decline of the state 131
competitive theft from the place of origin, and eties to communicate with each other, though of
sometimes now the object of increasingly suc- course it does that, but a network of communi-
cessful demands for their return. The converse cations which exists in its own global environ-
also exists. There has developed a perceptible ment. The effects have become famous, even
global similarity in the construction of extremely notorious, and they have begun to reverse the
grand international airports and in their appear- persistent rise in the role of states and rulers
ance and management. A sleepy traveller might which has been so marked since the seventeenth
have considerable initial difficulty in deciding century.
where he or she had actually landed and, if the This shift is most clearly visible in two areas: an
final destination was a commercial or industrial absolute reduction in the authority of govern-
concern, an equal problem in identifying exactly ments and an increase in the relative differences
in which country or continent the building or between states. The first affects the willingness of
plant was located. Little in the furniture or gen- well-established governments to act decisively
eral design culture, nothing in the computerised and by extension affects the authority of organi-
systems, and probably not a lot in the language sations set up by states – often called inter-gov-
in use would be very helpful, and even climatic ernmental organisations – in a similar way. A
difference would be controlled into the back- second consequence of this factor has more seri-
ground. Of course, there are still many places ous effects. Since 1945, there has been a sharp
where that is not true, but there is no doubt of increase in the number of states in the world.
the tendency or of how far it has already gone. They have appeared in three waves. The first
came in the late 1940s and occurred in Asia with
the establishment of the modern Chinese state
The relative decline of the state in 1949, the independence of India, Pakistan
The swan song of the system of national states and Ceylon (Sri Lanka) in 1947, Indonesia in
came after l945. The superpowers were to be the 1948 and the Philippines in 1946. The second
last of their kind, stately dinosaurs accompanied wave started in the late 1950s and continued
by their families awaiting the onslaught of the through the 1960s and chiefly involved the
impacting meteorite. In this case, the analogy establishment of independent states in Africa,
with an impact catastrophe will not hold. What the Caribbean and some Pacific islands. The
was coming had been more like a lesion in the third phase followed the end of the Cold War
earth’s crust, invisible at first, then the source of and resulted from the break-up of Czechoslova-
visible cracks and finally quite suddenly the kia, Yugoslavia and the Soviet Union.
cause of collapse. It has been a tribute to the extraordinary
As we now know, the agent of this change was power of the idea of the state as essentially the
the most recent stage in the global communica- only conceivable way of organising human soci-
tions revolution which had been brewing since eties. This primacy has meant that wherever
the invention of the railway and the electric tele- separation into smaller units has taken place, for
graph. These had remained within the control example as a result of de-colonisation or the col-
or, if privately owned, the regulation of states lapse of the Soviet Union, the name and, at least
and had enhanced their authority, as well as at the outset, the institutions of a state have been
their potential size. The addition of the oceanic applied to the resulting new entities, whether
cables in the very early twentieth century glob- they exhibited the underlying characteristics of a
alised international relations in ways which at state or not. It has turned out that the ability to
first emphasised the individual sovereignty of understand and operate a state has not been as
states as well as increasing the potential geo- general as was assumed. Some states have failed,
graphical scope of their activities. The arrival of some have become weak simulacra of the origi-
the telephone had more of a cementing effect nal notion, some have adopted it more or less
within individual societies and only a limited successfully. This wide range of performance is
role in inter-state communications until the later matched by an extraordinarily wide range of
twentieth century. The most recent stage has, power and influence. It is as possible for a tiny
however, brought a genuine revolution with it. and insecure island in, say, Oceania to be called
The combination of the microchip computer a state and given legal recognition as it is for the
and the orbiting satellite has created not so United States or India. What it takes to be a
much an improved means for states and soci- plausible state has now been reduced to a very
132 The relative decline of the state
short list of attributes, if, indeed, it is still possi- governments for global resources and markets
ble to draw up such a list at all. The result has has grown and they have to take account of and
brought confusion to the global system whose try to improve the way in which their domestic
effects are discussed in the section on sources of resources are performing relative to those of
conflict in the chapter on associations of states other countries so as to benefit the performance
and in the section on interactions in global of nationally based firms. This is because global-
politics. isation has produced serious competitive pres-
The result has begun to reverse some if not all sure on productivity levels which have to be
of the effects of the verticalisation which the cre- constantly improved or governments will find
ation of states had involved. Human activities are domestic living standards falling as economic
in a sense reverting to horizontal patterns, iden- activity takes itself to more advantageous sites
tifiable by topic rather than geography, by sub- elsewhere.
ject rather than ethnicity, but this time they are All of these factors imply that the role of gov-
fully global in their scope and they portend a ernment is changing in two major directions.
major reorganisation of the way in which human First, the opportunity of delivering social bene-
beings order their daily lives. These develop- fits to their populations, formerly an internal
ments are having noticeable effects in two main decision, is now crucially dependent on achiev-
areas: on the internal government of states ing an effective macro-economic global strategy
because of the erosion of political legitimacy and operating in a horizontal relationship with other
because of structural changes required in the entities, whether countries, organisations or
machinery of government, and on the external firms. If such a strategy is either misconceived or
relations between states because they are no mishandled and thus fails in its cooperative
longer the sole players on the global stage and, aspect, the domestic results are likely to be har-
by extension, on inter-state entities, because of rowing. In these circumstances, decisions
the weakened position of their sponsoring become much more difficult to arrive at because
bodies and because they, too, have to live in a decision makers have a both internal and exter-
more pluralistic world. nal constituency to satisfy, but will probably have
to describe their activities in the largely internal
terms that electorates can easily comprehend.
Contemporary political legitimacy Second, achieving this requires not just chang-
We will discuss first the contemporary problems ing attitudes but changing the functions of
associated with the idea of political legitimacy. government itself, as firms have already done.
The problem starts with economic changes: Increasingly, the functions required to maximise
manufacturing and commercial activity which the investment advantages and jobs to be har-
was formerly confined to Western Europe, vested from the global economy are becoming
America and Japan can now take place anywhere interdependent and administratively inter-
and is doing so in Asia, Central Europe and woven, yet the actual structures have been slow
China. The result is the emergence of new to follow suit. The old physical administrative
sources of market outlets and of competition, a extrusions of the sovereign state arranged in ver-
growing convergence of living standards among tical boxes of responsibilities cannot cope with a
advanced countries and a better appreciation in world where competition policy, environment
both developing and developed countries of the policy, tax policy, innovation policy and educa-
part which international business activities can tion policy must be managed as a coherent
play in improving national competitiveness. whole, undivided by the vested interests of
These changes have necessarily complex fac- administrative systems located in clearly labelled
tors underlying them: wealth-creating assets, ministries or departments of state.
chiefly people, money and knowledge, move Decisions about environmental issues are a
freely across national boundaries; natural good example of the problem. The level at
resources have declined in relative significance which an environmental question needs to be
while physical capital and human knowledge decided can vary sharply. It may be very local,
have increased. The kinds of products now but equally, as in the case of arguments over the
being produced require new forms of economic disposal of toxic waste, it may be both local,
organisation, notably cooperative networks and emotionally powerful and yet external because
ventures between firms. Competition between the point of departure or destination of the
Russia, the United States and the European Union 133
waste can easily be far away. It may arise from these protective attributes were expected of a
government action or inaction, or from private state and states, in various manifestations, were
action or inaction. It refuses to be boxed even at the object of most forms of loyalty and were gen-
that level. It may, however, involve decisions erally able to deliver. The fate of the last Tsar of
which affect or threaten global climatic change, Imperial Russia or the demise of Reichskanzler
in which case there is likely to be a muddled Hitler indicated what might happen when they
combination of national economic interests, pri- did not. These two particular events were made
vate and/or public, the particular interests of stark by the conditions of overwhelming conflict.
other countries or regions and the need to pro- What is happening now is the result of further
tect the global climatic system as a whole. In this evolution rather than current conflict, though
kind of situation, an internal decision made by the technological advance which underlies it is
allowing the trading-off of interests negotiated the result of preparation for war and the picture
by government departments between them- is perhaps fortunately less stark. The Tsar and,
selves, as if they were playing on a level field, is eventually, Adolf Hitler were replaced by new
unlikely to lead to an acceptable outcome; still versions of what had failed and no one supposed
less will it do so when the matter is at the least it should be otherwise. But the replacement for
international but most probably global in scope. the Tsar, the Soviet Union, collapsed, and the
To make matters more complex still, environ- replacement for the Nazi regime in reunited
mental issues are an area where the Internet has Germany has obvious structural and emotional
created a highly vocal and effective global con- problems, as has the EU of which it is a principal
stituency. The pressure comes not so much from member. What is going on?
organised national groups, or from business
interests, against which it is often directed, but
from individuals. The most obvious example of Russia, the United States and the
this kind of pressure can be found in the USA
and seen at the Internet website Scorecard. It European Union
contains large quantities of accurate informa- We can best get a picture by considering some
tion about industrial pollution and polluters examples, one of which comes from a state in
which can be directly accessed by individuals continuing crisis: Russia.
who are thus freed from having to rely on the The initial collapse of the Soviet Union was
highly nuanced information generally supplied itself instructive. The presence of political legiti-
by both government and business. Scorecard macy in any state is and has always been the
can supply information on a localised basis as product of a domestic coalition of interests
well as draft letters of complaint to be faxed based on the belief that the abandonment of
directly to the polluter concerned and a copy to some particular desires, traditions and loyalties
be e-mailed to the Environmental Protection by each very local interest was worth it for the
Agency in Washington DC. This kind of sake of the advantages conferred by belonging
approach can produce puzzling and delicate sit- to the larger group. It was the collapse of this
uations for lobbyists who may find their favourite kind of coalition rather than the failure of Marx-
legislators bombarded with e-mails taking an ist ideology which ended the Soviet Union.
entirely contradictory line to that proffered by Mikhail Gorbachev plainly recognised that the
their corporate clients. domestic system of the Soviet Union had ceased
So what are the political consequences of all to deliver the social, economic and security ben-
this for states? The political loyalty of populations efits which justified its existence in the face of a
is generally given to individuals and institutions multitude of particularisms – cultural, ethnic
that are deemed to be effective agencies in con- and religious – spilt all across the land from
trolling and moderating the effects of a basically Eastern Europe to East Asia. He tried to reform
hostile environment. This hostility might take it so as to deliver those benefits before their
the form of a natural disaster such as a major absence brought on disaster, but the system was
flood; or an economic collapse, threatening pros- too inflexible and too corrupt to reform fast
perity and jobs; foreign affairs, in the form of enough and he failed. What followed has partly
invasion or attack; social or political dislocation been the result of particular conditions and
and unrest, requiring immediate protective reac- traditions within the Russian Federation, which
tions. By the twentieth century all and more of in the face of faltering rule has had an historic
134 Russia, the United States and the European Union
tendency to go into a state of suspended political hostility to big government is easier to accom-
and administrative animation until heaved out modate in the United States than almost any-
of it by some overwhelming event or ruler. where else in the world. Nonetheless, the United
What is also interesting, however, is that it has States is not above the consequences of globali-
seemed natural to an important group within sation. Its position as the only remaining ‘super-
Russia, and almost universally outside it, to power’ is complicated rather than triumphant
replace the communist structure with economic and, even more significantly, is not the object of
and political versions of what had served the cap- popular approval so much as popular puzzle-
italist world well as a result of three centuries of ment. The destruction of the World Trade Cen-
development. It may be at least as significant in ter on 11 September 2001 in New York City and
accounting for the fragility of democratic the subsequent responses, both internal and
machinery in Russia, and even more the evident external, have only confirmed that confusion.
instability of the free market economy, that both The constant pressure to be economically suc-
notions arise from highly traditional ideas about cessful in the global environment is felt no less.
what a state structure ought to be like. But if In common with other societies, particularly the
those notions are themselves now quite unreli- UK, there is anxiety about the quality of educa-
able guides, they may be as outmoded as tion because of an increasing sense of compara-
communism was. tive failure in equipping students with the
The combination of some unhelpful Russian necessary intellectual tools of survival in the con-
traditions which, among other things, elevate temporary world. There is an almost morbid fas-
the role of corruption and degrade the rule of cination with educational statistics expressed in
law, with the effective imposition of structurally terms of global comparisons. This is essentially
inappropriate mechanisms, has had devastating because the degree of technological education
effects on both Russians and their creditors present in a society has now become part of its
alike. It is possible that Russia, more than other ability to attract its share of the loose capital
states, may demonstrate with frightening clarity washing about the global markets. The result is a
what is a general dilemma: how to adjust the tension between the increasing poverty of gov-
institutions of the state so as to fit contemporary ernments whose tax base has been eroding and
circumstances and swim successfully with the their certainty that more resources need to be
tide, when to do so could easily involve the effec- put into education at every level.
tive dissolution of the national government as it The responsibilities here have increased
exists and the evolution of an entirely new kind because of two major changes. The provision of
of entity, or whether to resist the tide, thus court- education used to be based on the notion that
ing public disorder and violent responses to it. there was a finite quantity required for individu-
The United States, too, presents an interesting als to function effectively in particular life roles.
picture. Unlike the former Soviet Union, it is High school and college education, give or take
neither an existing empire nor the consequence some relatively small special skill – an extra lan-
of having been an empire in the past – that is to guage, for example – would enable the newly
say, it is not an agglomeration of historically dis- minted adult to perform in almost any mode of
tinguishable ethnicities and societies, presided employment. Education was over and life began.
over or forcibly held together by a ‘master race’. No longer: this is impossible now in a world
It has perfectly obvious social and ethnic divi- where the progress of knowledge is already rapid
sions, but they were not created in the same way and getting faster. The rate of obsolescence in
as those within the Russian Empire, and its pro- the high-tech information industry – to name
found geographical variations have not so far just the most obvious example – requires a con-
stimulated serious regional focuses of loyalty to tinuous process of re-education. Meeting this
match those of Europe or India. It is politically a need necessitates major revolutions in attitudes,
genuine federation, already capable of devolu- to some degree already under way, and major
tion at any level required, determinable by expenditures.
constitutional practice.
This last factor is already in use. Recent years Education
have seen a reduction in federal power and a What makes it a particularly difficult business
resumption of formerly yielded powers by indi- arises from a second difference we should note.
vidual state governments. The general notion of The educational systems of the developed world
Russia, the United States and the European Union 135
naturally reflect the practices and expectations of one else, however, the USA has, because of its
the past. In the past, education was seen to be great size and traditional wealth, got much fur-
part of a cultural training. It existed within a par- ther to go in the essentially political task of cre-
ticular cultural tradition – French education was ating public understanding and acceptance of
different from British, which was different from what is happening and of the growing limita-
Russian and different again from American. The tions on what the government, any government,
process acknowledged a local cultural past and can do. At the same time, the USA has acquired
contributed to a particular way of thinking about a crucial interest in the progress of the global
the present. Like states themselves, it was organ- economy generally. An Asian currency crisis, for
ised within and not above a society. To an impor- example, and the consequential risk of an eco-
tant degree, it taught you who you were in an nomic depression, is a US crisis too, as was the
individual cultural environment, and as scientific Mexico crisis; likewise, in 1998, the potential for
education steadily increased in importance dur- market meltdown implicit in the Brazilian finan-
ing the twentieth century, serious efforts were cial debacle. Both supporting the global institu-
put into making sure that the scientists did not tions involved and taking specific US action have
entirely miss out on this part of their education. become crucial political activities, perhaps more
Plainly, this aspect of education has to change. important, in such circumstances, than any
What the global economic system now requires internal economic policy regulation could be –
is knowledge and expertise above and beyond and matter as much to the prosperity of individ-
the acquisition of intellectual skills and admis- ual Americans. None of the responses to terror-
sion into the traditions and modes of thought of ist threats has altered this fundamental situation.
a single culture. Like communications, employ- The case of the European Union is particu-
ment, banking and commerce, education has larly interesting because it, too, depends upon a
become de-territorialised. The special skills functioning coalition of interests, but, like the
required to create the kind of global economic USA, though in a different way, and unlike the
asset which it represents have no basis in any one Soviet Union, it delivers a great deal of what is
traditional culture and may be actually damag- required: but is it enough? Here is an area of
ing to some of them, particularly in Asia. But no high-level economic activity of great significance
one who travels or has to deal with the rest of the within the world’s markets, the source of much
world on a routine basis can escape understand- technological invention, the origin of one of the
ing how far this development has already gone most vigorous cultural systems the world has
or that it will become ever more pervasive in the ever known and in general the provider of high
future. living standards to its people. It has, with the
Anxiety about employment has also been high exception of the UK, recently suffered from
and will resume when the present economic severe structural unemployment, endures
cycle moves on, and it springs from the loss of almost unbearable pressure on the future of its
lower paid jobs to the developing world and social welfare systems from falling population
from a period of downsizing at corporate level. figures and has found it impossible to resolve
The USA is certainly not immune to the deeply problems arising from any attempt to imple-
difficult problems inherent in the falling price ment a genuine common foreign and security
of labour worldwide; indeed, its internally high policy. It is also encountering a particularly diffi-
wage levels make it a potentially serious victim. cult internal problem arising from a mismatch
Nor would a protectionist tax and duty system do between the demands of the treaties which pro-
more than postpone the inevitable lowering of vide the basis for the further integration of
the US average wage. The traditionally autarkic the EU and the dwindling degree of popular
structure of the US economy has been super- support for them.
seded by events and is beyond recovery, and its This aspect is of particular interest for this dis-
global trading imbalance makes it crucial that cussion. The provisions of the European Treaties
the USA remains an irresistible object of inward from Rome (l957) to Maastricht (1992) and
investment. Amsterdam (1997) are based on a very impor-
These facts mean that the United States, like tant assumption, derived from the international
everyone else, has lost independent control of its circumstances of the first phase of the Cold War,
economy. NAFTA, for example, is not a cause viz. that political and economic security were to
but a consequence of that change. Unlike every- be found, as they evidently had been for the past
136 Russia, the United States and the European Union
75 years and actually were at the time, from cre- in the global environment. In this, their refusal
ating a super large state. Europe was therefore to support the further integration of the EU mir-
gradually, or not so gradually, to become such an rors the refusal of the old coalition of interests to
entity. Such a logic, particularly in good eco- support the continued existence of the former
nomic times, enjoyed popular support, and Soviet Union. It is also clear that within national
where it did not do so explicitly, perceived eco- states, there is a growing suspicion that the ero-
nomic advantages provided alternative or start- sion of sovereign economic management within
up grounds for consent. The last expression of states, which we discussed earlier, has made for-
such an evolution is to be found in the Amster- merly highly significant areas of their activities
dam Treaty: here is the single currency, the Cen- increasingly irrelevant. The voting figures at elec-
tral Bank, the Defence Ministry in the form of tions steadily fall, complaints that the quality of
the incorporation of the Western European both politicians and civil servants is in decline are
Union, which would supply the common sharper than they generally have been and there
defence policy and the Foreign Ministry which is a growing atmosphere of contempt for the
would emerge from European Political Cooper- institutions and sometimes formerly revered tra-
ation to run the common foreign policy, both of ditions of the state itself. This represents a
which are required under the treaty. decline in political legitimacy and it has been
These are the appurtenances of a sovereign, if leading to an increasing provincialisation.
federal, state and the effort to make them hap- The focus of relevant activity, and sometimes a
pen is visibly running into severe difficulties. consequently revived focus of very old loyalties
The common currency is not inclusive and the indeed, long submerged in the larger state for
stability pact which went with it does not enjoy the sake of the advantages conferred by size, can
general obedience; the common foreign and often seem to lie in smaller units, sub-states,
security policy does not exist and such success as maybe, proposing significantly less sovereignty
EPC had enjoyed was dissipated in Bosnia and for themselves but actually doing things that
only recovered in part as a result of the war over matter. This is not just a question of the revival
Kosovo in 1999. The onset of a general crisis of ancient loyalties – Scotland, Provence, Flan-
over terrorism and the war in Iraq in 2004 cre- ders, Catalonia, Bavaria would be cases of this –
ated angry and frustrated confusion in the EU. because in some cases functional regionalism
All these things might be so because they are has crossed boundaries hitherto divided by his-
inherently difficult, and they are. But they are torical prejudice – at the head of the Adriatic
also in trouble because governments are and in the Tyrol, for example.
encountering public objections, not just in soci- What looks to be required is something loose
eties agnostic about European integration such at the centre, having no pretensions to becoming
as the UK and Denmark, but also in the former a United States of Europe, which will draw up to
core states such as Germany and France, where a itself just sufficient of the functions of the old
sense of loss of control coupled with persistently state as will permit smaller entities to operate at
high unemployment rates has led to episodes of the lower temperature that globalisation has ren-
public disorder. In 2005, referenda in the dered appropriate. This would mean the end of
Netherlands and France clearly rejected a draft the European state as it has been known for 300
constitution which would have crystallised the years, and getting there involves reversing the
original sense and intentions of the EU’s cre- vertical patterns of political legitimacy which
ators. For the first time this has given a formal evolved over that period and replacing them with
negative public response to the assumptions of broader bands of horizontal activities and super-
the European ‘old guard’. vising authorities. This cannot be done without
This development, coupled with the difficul- creating or enduring a crisis of political legiti-
ties surrounding the process of enlarging the macy; nor can such a crisis be evaded by ignoring
Union, which is also enjoined by treaty, might be the tendency of public opinion and making a
interpreted as the result of the surviving strength dash for full integration before it is too late.
of states and their persisting political legitimacy.
A closer look does not suggest so. It is clear that Choices
publics do not see enough benefit emerging It is particularly tough that this crisis is boiling
from sinking individual identities into a larger up just at the moment when European govern-
whole because larger entities are not doing well ments – like all governments, but more obviously
Russia, the United States and the European Union 137
than some – have to find persuasive solutions to immigration and even the emergence of reli-
the more immediate problems provoked by gious or quasi-religious sects, born of the aban-
globalisation, most seriously those involved in donment of other kinds of hope and thus having
the dismantling of the collectivist state in the a tendency to commit mass suicide. These are
face of the demands of the free market global major and disturbing dislocations and they are
economy, which will not invest where the condi- evoking from politicians and other commenta-
tions are too much restrained or made capri- tors exhortations to the resumption of former
cious by local state political decisions and loyalties couched in the language of the past
policies. This means that the most unpopular which sound ever more irrelevant.
and difficult choices have to be arrived at and The biggest structural realignment of power
implemented by governments which are already in the world since the fall of Rome cannot be
suffering the effects of a creeping loss of legiti- countered by supporting an increase of volun-
macy. Just at the moment that they need to be teerism in the USA or by exemplary shootings of
able to command the kind of loyalty that will regional tax collectors in China, or by success-
absorb the shocks of highly damaging political fully – in the short term – striking to retain an
decisions, generally available only in wartime unsustainable social contract in France. It is
conditions, they are losing authority. Here it hard to tell governments that they must conduct
makes little difference whether tough decisions research into the best methods of accomplishing
are required to keep the traditional show on the their own retreat from the structures and atti-
road, as in France to enable the single currency tudes of full sovereignty; but that is what needs
to happen, or to respond to the globalised econ- to be done.
omy, as most obviously in Russia, Germany, India
and China. These cases reveal clearly the gap
that exists between what governments need Further Reading
to be able to do and what they now have the Ferguson, Yale H. and Mansbach, Richard W.
political legitimacy to bring about. (2004) Remapping Global Politics: History’s Revenge
In using the example of the EU, we have and Future Shock, Cambridge: Cambridge Univer-
something that is obviously very particular to sity Press.
Europe and it might be thought that the cir-
cumstances therefore offer no useful opportu- Krasner, Steven D. (1999) Sovereignty: Organised
nity for generalising. There are, however, Hypocrisy, Princeton: Princeton University Press.
enough signs of similar fissiparous tendencies Sassen, Saskia (2002) ‘The State and Globalisa-
elsewhere to give ground for believing that tion’ in Rodney Bruce Hall and Thomas J. Bier-
Europe is not in fact different but merely show- steker (eds) The Emergence of Private Authority in
ing more advanced symptoms of the disease. Global Governance, Cambridge: Cambridge Uni-
The Russian Federation, India, Indonesia and versity Press.
China all present examples of the growing diffi-
culties of managing large and, to a greater or Sorensen, Georg (2001) Changes in Statehood: The
lesser degree, ethnically complex agglomera- Transformation of International Relations, London:
tions of territory and any of them could have Palgrave.
been used as evidence in this discussion.
Weiss, Linda (1998) The Myth of the Powerless State,
The dangers in all this are patent: the break-
Ithaca: Cornell University Press.
down of public order, examples already exist;
the growth of extremist groups with a tendency Weiss, Linda (ed.) (2003) States in the Global Econ-
to violent and terrorist activity, again examples omy: Bringing Domestic Institutions Back In, Cam-
already exist; the resort to aggressive nationalist bridge: Cambridge University Press.
rhetoric in foreign affairs or over questions of
138
in order to protect existing markets previously quickly give the investor control over the firm’s
serviced through exports or to exploit new mar- assets and allow the gradual spread of invest-
kets. Additionally, market seekers may be ments. The main disadvantages are that the
encouraged to engage in this kind of activity investor also assumes all liabilities of the
for four main reasons: (i) to follow their acquired entity and large sums are usually spent
clients and/or suppliers who have set up oper- up-front.
ations overseas; (ii) to adapt the company’s
products to local tastes and requirements; (iii) Strategic alliances
to cut transaction costs; and (iv) to establish a
physical presence in leading markets served by Business arrangements whereby two or more firms
competitors. cooperate for their mutual benefit can take many
forms, including cross-licensing of proprietary
Transaction costs information, production sharing, joint research and
development, and marketing of each other’s prod-
Defined by Oliver Williamson as the ‘comparative
ucts using existing distribution channels. Strategic
costs of planning, adapting, and monitoring
alliances differ from other modes of foreign market
task completion under alternative governance
entry in that they involve cooperation between firms
structures’.
who may in fact be competitors.
For example, the production of goods that have
high transportation costs and can be produced in
small quantities, tends to be located near main con- The joint venture (a type of strategic alliance)
sumption centres while products that have low is an arrangement whereby a new, legally
autonomous firm is created through two or
transportation costs and high production costs
more firms working together to achieve a com-
tend to be located near resources or in the home
mon goal. Joint ventures have formal organisa-
country of the company. tional structures and can be short-term or
long-term arrangements. Since such forms of
The efficiency-seeking TNCs try to concen- multinational activity represent an effective
trate their production in a limited number of means of competing in international markets,
locations to supply multiple markets through their number has been rapidly growing since the
the production of fairly standardised goods. 1980s.
Finally, the strategic-asset seekers engage in From the host country point of view, green-
foreign direct investment in order to sustain or field projects are generally regarded as having
advance their international competitiveness. positive spillover effects since these create new
This is done through diversification of the com- businesses and jobs, and increase competition
pany’s assets and capabilities. Nowadays, many of in the host markets, thus leading to improved
the larger TNCs are pursuing mixed objectives efficiency. Acquisitions, on the other hand, are
and engage in activities that combine features of seen as less desirable because the new owners
each of the above categories. of an acquired, fully operational firm may
TNCs establish their operations using differ- decide not to continue with the same business
ent modes, which are commonly classified as model, possibly lay off employees or switch to
greenfield investment, acquisitions (brownfield other suppliers. However, acquisitions are
investment) and joint ventures. A greenfield more likely to lead to research and develop-
strategy involves buying or leasing and con- ment activities based on inherited operations.
structing new facilities, expatriating or hiring Additionally, there is empirical evidence that
local managers and employees, and establishing selling local firms to foreign investors in the
an operation from scratch. This strategy is attrac- context of privatisation in the transition
tive because the TNC can choose the proper site economies of Central and Eastern Europe has
and get to know the new national and business had short-term beneficial effect on the prof-
culture at its own pace. The trade-offs include itability and productivity of these enterprises,
a longer time-frame, recruiting and training a although evidence about the long-term effects
local workforce, and possibly unfavourable is still lacking. According to the World Invest-
regulations and treatment. ment Report 2004, compiled by the United
Next, acquisitions are popular because they Nations Conference on Trade and Develop-
Nature, activities and motivation of multinationals 141
Table 6.1: Top 10 non-financial TNCs ranked by their transnationality index, 2002
ment (UNCTAD), greenfield investment is pre- ence) and spatial organisation of management
dicted to dominate FDI in developing coun- perspective. Hence, given this possible range of
tries while cross-border mergers and measures, it is clear that a variety of indicators is
acquisitions are predicted to do so in the devel- required to determine how transnational a TNC
oped economies. is and what its power is in the world economy.
An important feature of TNCs is that large One example: since 1993, UNCTAD has been
firms (in terms of foreign assets) are predomi- calculating and publishing the transnationality
nant. The size of the largest TNCs has been com- index (TNI), which is a weighted average of
pared to other economic entities, including three indicators: foreign sales as a per centage
whole countries, and, depending on the meas- of total sales, foreign assets as a per centage of
urement methods, the following facts emerged: total assets, and foreign employment as a per
the greater part of the 100 largest economies centage of total employment. Therefore, this
comprises TNCs, the smaller represents coun- index is constructed from the operations per-
tries. General Electric’s 2001 revenues are spective. Table 6.1 shows the 10 most trans-
claimed to surpass the combined national national TNCs classified according to their TNI
incomes of sub-Saharan African countries for 2002.
(except South Africa); Philip Morris is said to be The TNI classification shows that the score is
larger than New Zealand, Wal-Mart to be bigger the highest for TNCs from small countries such
than 160 countries (including Israel, Poland and as Belgium, Ireland and Switzerland, although
Greece), Mitsubishi to be bigger than Indonesia, the latter might also be chosen by TNCs because
General Motors than Denmark, and Toyota than of its regulatory regime. The mean TNI score in
Norway. Moreover, the combined sales of the 1993 was 51.6, in 1999, 52.6, and in 2002 it was
world’s top 200 corporations are greater than a 57. This indicates that the more significant
quarter of the world’s economic activity, and increase in transnationality of the top 100 TNCs
surpass the combined economies of 182 coun- has occurred in the last five years or so. Addi-
tries. However, it has also been estimated that tionally, the fact that the mean TNI score for
these 200 largest TNCs employ less than 19 mil- this group is slightly above 50, suggests that
lion people. these TNCs have about half of their operations
The degree of transnationality of TNCs can overseas. About 58 of the top 100 had a TNI
be assessed from several perspectives, as stated greater than 50; in 1999, this number was 57.
in UNCTAD’s World Investment Report 2004: Thus the majority of the world’s leading TNCs
operations (for example, geographical spread), still operate predominantly in their home
stakeholders (composition, nationality, experi- countries.
142 Some historical facts
Table 6.2: Top 10 non-financial TNCs ranked by foreign assets as percentage of total, 1971
Source: ‘Multinational Corporations in World Development’, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 1973
and to the decision of some governments to changed the global economic environment.
expropriate the assets of many foreign sub- Additionally, governments changed their atti-
sidiaries out of frustration with the latter’s tudes towards FDI, adopting liberalised open-
impact, behaviour and interaction with local door policies.
societies. Many TNCs tried to overcome this by According to UNCTAD’s World Investment
establishing partnerships and joint ventures with Reports, by the 1970s there were some 7000
local firms. The last decade of the post-war multinational corporations of which about 300
period saw some striking developments. The had assets of $1 billion or more; by 1990 the
emergence of Japan as a leading industrial econ- number of multinationals had risen to 24,000,
omy, the change in the economic ideology and and slightly more than a decade later there were
political regimes in Eastern Europe and China, about 61,000 multinationals, with more than
and the growth of several Asian countries all 900,000 foreign subsidiaries, accounting for
Table 6.3: Top 10 non-financial TNCs ranked by foreign assets as percentage of total, 1990
Table 6.4: Top 10 non-financial TNCs ranked by foreign assets as percentage of total, 2002
some two thirds of world trade and employing the positive side, however, TNCs advance
more than 50 million workers. In 2002, the national competitiveness and economic growth.
world’s top 100 TNCs accounted for 14 per cent It is well documented that in some areas, such as
of sales by foreign subsidiaries worldwide, 12 per South East Asia, the activities of TNCs have been
cent of their assets and 13 per cent of the beneficial for the economic development of the
employment. countries or regions in which they operate.
Tables 6.2, 6.3 and 6.4 show the ten largest However, it may well be true that this positive
TNCs in the years 1971, 1990 and 2002, ranked influence occurs only for certain countries at
by their foreign assets. certain times, and with certain TNCs for that
matter. The most commonly discussed positive
and negative influences of TNC activity are sum-
TNCs and nation-states: pros and marised in the box on page 145.
cons of multinational activity TNCs are feared for their power, particularly
power that spans national borders, and this fear
Transnational corporations possess a great deal has become even more obvious after various
of power in the contemporary global economy. incidents involving multinational firms. For
Through mergers and acquisitions they have example, when Wal-Mart built a new supermar-
been growing rapidly and making profits that ket in Mexico, concerns were raised about the
exceed the gross domestic products of some low viability of local businesses which had set them-
and medium-income countries. Such economic selves up round an ancient Maya site. Local
power inevitably poses questions. How can these entrepreneurs may also be threatened if the
firms be regulated? How do they use their investing TNC is large and borrows on domestic
power? How do they influence the countries in financial markets; this may cause domestic inter-
which they operate? What is their role in est rates to rise, thus reducing the viability of
national, regional and global economic policies? investment projects for small and medium-size
Environmental, humanitarian, labour, con- domestic firms without access to international
sumer and other civil groups around the world capital markets. Local bankers may have a
have long been raising similar issues, issuing greater interest in lending to larger firms than to
public warnings about all sorts of negative effects the numerous small local firms.
arising from TNC activity. TNCs have become Concerns about the environment were voiced
the ‘favourite monsters’ of anti-globalists and by the residents of Ecuador’s eastern rainforest
other civil activists, whenever conflicts arise who condemned ChevronTexaco for allegedly
between national and corporate interests. On causing health problems and enormous envi-
TNCs and nation-states: pros and cons of multinational activity 145
ronmental damage as a result of the company’s resources will be depleted much more quickly.
oil extraction methods in the region in the Developing countries are being turned into
1970s and 1980s. Companies extracting oil and dumping grounds for hazardous materials, and
minerals, and chemical and pharmaceutical their governments are apt to compromise and
companies, are particularly criticised for such reduce environmental standards in order to
behaviour. attract FDI, thus triggering the so-called ‘race to
Environmentalists are worried that due to the bottom’. For example, the Australian mining
multinational activity, the world’s pool of natural transnational corporation BHP (once known as
146 TNCs and nation-states: pros and cons of multinational activity
the ‘Big Australian) was revealed in 1995 to have ing the early stages of industrialisation in West-
cooperated with the government of Papua New ern Europe and North America, it was common
Guinea to draft a law which provided for poor to encounter poor working conditions and child
compensation to landowners whose property labour: some assert that sweatshops are a neces-
was being polluted by the company’s gold mine. sary step of economic development. It can be
The Maquiladora factories located in the free argued, however, that if this was a normal situa-
trade zone in Mexico along the US border have tion two centuries ago when the Western world
also been the target of environmentalists, who was developing its industrial power, it is not nec-
claim that these factories allow US firms to essary to repeat it now during the development
escape environmental laws in their own country. of Third World countries. Alternatives can be
For these and other similar reasons, environ- found through the work of non-governmental
mental groups are lobbying for increased trade organisations, supra-national entities and civil
barriers and legal enforcement of environmen- groups.
tal regulations. The World Trade Organisation Recent examples of human rights violations
responded to these issues by establishing a Com- on the part of multinational firms involve TNC
mittee on Trade and Environment to assess the activities in Colombia, Burma, Nigeria and
environmental impact of world trade and to sug- Sudan. More than a thousand people were killed
gest guidelines for the WTO to adopt. Propo- in the Niger Delta in 2003 due to violent conflict
nents of globalisation and TNC activity, however, in response to the activities of some oil TNCs,
assert that the lack of (or weak) environmental and the failure of the Nigerian government to
regulation does not necessarily mean that cor- provide proper human rights protection in the
porations will rush to profit and dispose of their region and to ensure that TNCs operated in
waste into the air and water. Damage to their accordance with Nigerian law.
reputations occurs far too swiftly and surely
because of contemporary global communica- Transfer pricing: An internal accounting technique
tions networks. whereby TNCs set prices for transfers of goods,
services, technology and loans between their world-
Pollution halo effect: Refers to the transfer of mod- wide subsidiaries which differ considerably from the
ern, environmentally friendly technologies and pro- prices which unrelated firms would have to pay.
duction practices by TNCs, which improve the Through their accounting systems TNCs can trans-
standards in the host country. fer these prices among their affiliates, shifting funds
around the world to avoid taxation. Governments,
Pollution haven effect: Refers to the choice of TNCs which have no way to control TNCs’ transfer pricing,
to transfer outdated technology to locations with are therefore under pressure to lower taxes as a
less stringent environmental regulation. means of attracting investment or keeping a com-
pany’s operation in their country. Tax revenue which
might be used for social programmes or other
TNCs can also harm the host countries
domestic needs is thus lost.
through the use of unfair accounting practices
that allow the international firms to repatriate
big shares (sometimes up to 100 per cent) of the A notorious example of the practice of politi-
profits earned in the host country, thus depriv- cal meddling by corporations is the case of the
ing the latter of needed revenue that could be ITT Corporation of the US. In the 1970s,
used to provide public services such as educa- Chilean president Salvador Allende accused it of
tion and healthcare. meddling in the political affairs of his country by
A major concern is the use of child labour in offering the US Central Intelligence Agency $1
overseas facilities of some TNCs. For instance, million to finance a campaign against Allende’s
cottonseed farms in Southern India are claimed election. Although this offer was refused, after
to employ more than 12,000 children who work the Chilean government nationalised some US
in unsafe conditions. The produce of these assets, the US government reacted with action
farms is said to be supplied to multinational based to a great extent on the recommendations
companies. Many more children are allegedly and lobbying of ITT. This case was a turning
used on farms in other parts of the country. Dur- point in the attitudes of the world towards TNCs
TNCs and nation-states: pros and cons of multinational activity 147
and has caused international organisations such things, from the belief that outward FDI substi-
as the UN and the OECD to address the issue of tuted for domestic investment, and that jobs
TNCs’ behaviour, accountability and social were being exported overseas by TNCs, particu-
responsibility. larly to developing countries.
Examples of corporate malpractice, such as A major shift in policy occurred from the
those above, can often lead to exaggeration and 1980s when governments realised that the com-
generalisation, and result in the TNCs being plex sets of regulations directed to specifically
seen as a vehicle of new imperialism and influence the behaviour of TNCs were not work-
monopolisation. On the other side, there is also ing as expected, and national policies went into
a danger of assuming that all TNCs possess the reverse and began to welcome FDI. Factors
same level of ethical and social commitment. It influencing this change of heart include: (i)
is true that governments still have some bar- renaissance of the market system; (ii) increased
gaining power and control over the operations mobility of wealth-creating assets; (iii) moves
of multinational firms, but where economies are towards regional economic integration; (iv)
weak with poor legislative framework and technological advances (and particularly in the
enforcement mechanisms (as is the case with production and dissemination of knowledge);
most developing countries), there is always a (v) convergence of economic structures among
risk that TNCs will take advantage of the developed countries and some newly industri-
situation. alised nations; and (vi) changing criteria by
It is very often assumed that, because of their which countries evaluate FDI, that is from the
size, TNCs are becoming more powerful than direct contribution of foreign subsidiaries to
nation-states and thus are able to shape the world economic development to its wider impact on
economy as they please. However, the interaction the upgrading of the competitiveness of host
between TNCs and states is not so straightfor- countries’ indigenous capabilities and the
ward and unidirectional. TNCs are affected by promotion of their dynamic comparative
the actions of nation-states – for example, fre- advantage.
quent change of government policies, possible
nationalisation or expropriation of TNCs’ assets National competitiveness: Refers to a country’s
without adequate compensation, political tur- ability to produce and distribute goods and services
moil and war, and the introduction of trade sanc-
that are competitive on international markets and
tions. Governments, on their side, have changed
thus to improve the welfare of its citizens by provid-
their attitudes throughout the years and gener-
ally have demonstrated mixed feelings towards ing high standards of living. The analysis of national
TNCs and multinational activity. competitiveness nowadays has shifted from com-
Prior to the Second World War, the multina- parative advantage (based on the possession of
tional firm was used as an instrument of territo- natural resources) to competitive advantage (based
rial extension of the political and economic on created assets – tangible (financial or physical)
power of developed countries, and for supplying and intangible (intellectual property, culture)). The
the home country with materials and foodstuffs. logic behind this is that when capital, labour and raw
Therefore, these firms were well supported by materials freely cross national boundaries, endowed
their governments. Furthermore, other, less
resources alone cannot completely determine a
developed countries viewed multinationals as a
nation’s competitiveness.
source of advanced technology and manage-
ment practices and hence provided land and tax
incentives, while restricting their direct imports The current attitude of governments towards
of finished goods. TNCs no longer translates into measures directly
For three decades after the war, multinational aimed at the firms, but rather into policies
firms were simply expected to adapt to the eco- intended to affect the environment in which
nomic environments of the host countries and TNCs function. However, elements of protec-
to abide by various regulations and require- tionism still exist, although now they can be
ments imposed on foreign activity. The 1970s observed more on an (inter)regional level, for
and early 1980s marked a period of criticism and example, between the European Union and US
hostility towards foreign investment and multi- or between the US and Japan and South East
nationals, criticism that stemmed, among other Asia.
148 Attempts to regulate TNC activities globally
an initiative that involves nine principles based Second, it is observed that many corporate codes
on the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, do not have reference to labour standards and
the Rio Declaration on Environment and human rights, even if some refer to the
Development and the Fundamental Principles Declaration of Human Rights or the provisions
and Rights at Work established by the of the ILO. Third, corporate codes alleviate the
International Labour Organisation (ILO). pressure on governments of host countries
Firms who join the compact are expected to whose primary task is to secure the well-being of
make three commitments: to publicly advocate their citizens; if companies regulate themselves,
the principles and the Global Compact; to post governments may neglect to keep TNCs
on their website specific steps they have taken to accountable in case of malpractice. Finally, many
satisfy the nine principles in their own corpo- corporate voluntary codes have been adopted
rate practices; and to cooperate in partnership after proven abuses by TNCs in foreign coun-
projects of benefit to developing countries. The tries and consequent pressures and negative
aim of the compact is to ‘discuss how new part- publicity. This means that voluntary codes are
nerships can benefit corporations by providing most commonly adopted in industries that are
access to emerging markets while helping the particularly vulnerable to such pressure (for
UN in its drive to eradicate poverty’ or, in brief, example, oil extraction and textiles/apparel
to create ‘a human face for the global econ- manufacturing) and are less common in other
omy’. The compact, although welcomed by crucial sectors such as finance and accounting
NGOs and similar groups, has been criticised, services. There is also a real perception that
and there has been scepticism about its ability to these codes may be used just as a public relations
ensure more ethical behaviour from TNCs and image-improving tool by corporations.
because there is no monitoring and enforce- An example of a code that is perceived to
ment mechanism to guarantee compliance with work, mainly because of its narrow focus on a
the principles. particular issue, is the International Code of
In recent years many TNCs have been seeking Marketing for Breast Milk Substitutes, estab-
to become ‘good corporate citizens’ and, towards lished by the WHO in 1981. This code was the
that end, have been establishing their own vol- result of a campaign by the non-governmental
untary guidelines and principles of conduct. organisation INFACT against Nestlé. The Swiss
Companies such as IKEA, Nike, Kmart, Levi TNC was urged to stop marketing powdered
Strauss, Philips and Shell have adopted corpo- breast milk substitute formula in poor countries
rate codes of conduct – fundamental principles and persuading mothers there to give up breast
according to which the companies intend to feeding their babies. The mothers were mixing
operate in foreign markets. Shell was one of the the powder with local contaminated water and
first to adopt a corporate code, maintaining its this resulted in many infant deaths. The INFACT
‘Statement of General Business Principles’ since boycott started in 1977 and spread to ten coun-
1976. This practice of social corporate responsi- tries, in the most famous corporate accountabil-
bility has recently gained more popularity among ity campaign.
TNCs which view self-regulation as an alternative
to international legislative control in terms of
cost-saving, innovation and liberalisation. Conclusion
In 1996, US President Clinton launched the During the 1960s and 1970s, few economists and
Apparel Industry partnership which resulted in a analysts paid attention to the existence of TNCs.
code the following year. This event also gave Since then, however, these entities have become
impetus to the adoption of industry and cor- so important that they are now considered a
porate voluntary codes in the US. major player in the globalisation process. Along
Although voluntary regulation of TNCs can with the excitement of observing the establish-
help companies improve their behaviour and ment of the new world order, however, came
activities in the markets where they operate, concern about the side effects of TNC activity
these codes also have weaknesses. First, as is the and their control. Because of their unique char-
case with the international endeavours discussed acteristics, TNCs may respond differently to
above, the corporate codes are voluntary and government policies and regulations designed
non-binding, with no monitoring and enforce- to govern the activities of national firms.
ment mechanism and no complaint procedures. There is evidence that through their
150 Conclusion
CHAPTER 1: Context
This section discusses the sources of crises and conflicts which the cast of global actors sometimes
causes and sometimes endures, but in all cases must in some way or another contend with. In earlier
times there would not have been much discussion about what the sources were: they would have been
perceived to be the disputes and tensions between states as managed by their rulers and govern-
ments. Shifts in the distribution of power between states were a very common cause of tension and
often eventual warfare. That, for example, is how the origins of the First and Second World Wars
have come to be seen, and the Cold War was also understood as an all-consuming rivalry between the
two superpowers of the day, the Soviet Union and the United States and their supporters.
Since then, the gale of globalisation has begun to blow and blows still. It has had the effect that
great gales and hurricanes do. They destroy the weak, diseased and older trees and they batter the
strong and well-rooted, but leave them standing – leaning maybe a little, but standing nonetheless.
It is nature’s way of testing the strong, emptying the hospitals and clearing the ground for new
growth. All the factors which have been set out earlier both in describing globalisation and assess-
ing the current health of the state will have already indicated that in recent years many new states
have been created, that very large differences of power and style have occurred among them and
that the global domination of the state form has been diluted. This has been partly a cause of glob-
alisation but chiefly it is the result of it. It is not surprising therefore that the winds of globalisation
have tested strong and well-established states like the European states and the USA and left them
swaying and sometimes bent. Less well-established states, economically and structurally weak states
and very small states have been severely damaged and in some cases collapsed completely. A large
proportion of the chapters that follow have this common thread: the causes of conflict they lay out
either flow from the contemporary changes in the status and character of the state or contribute to
them.
This has a particular significance since some current global problems require the existence and
stability of global actors, for example, in response to global environmental crises and global warm-
ing just at the moment when states are losing authority and newer non-state entities have not yet
acquired sufficient confidence and support from the global population to act decisively and make
their actions stick. A dangerous loop develops: the problems chase solutions but the potential
deliverers of solutions are equally damaged by the causes of the problems and cannot provide them,
thus making the situation worse.
ambitions were therefore inextricably tied to creating new states out of the colonies. The fact that
these states were not, as European states were, the result of a long period of organic growth, and did
not relate well to local physical realities, gave them a difficult starting point. Such shallow roots did
not augur well if a great gale should come and in the 1990s it did. The conjunction of the end of sup-
port from Cold War rivals, whose broader strategic necessities caused them to ignore the obvious
weaknesses developing in their clients, together with the onset of globalisation, brought on the chain
of state collapses that marked the 1990s. Why was globalisation a cause of this?
The first part of the answer is that globalisation was an important reason why the USSR collapsed
and took the Cold War with it. A frigid but stable international security system then came to an end
leaving a vacuum which the predominance of the USA has not filled. A second consequence was that
a long period in which the superpowers went to considerable lengths to maintain their friends in the
less-developed world came to an end; and a third result was the division of the former USSR into a
shoal of smaller and, with the exception of the Baltic states, inexperienced independent countries
These were serious but secondary consequences. The primary effect of globalisation lies at a deeper
level.
A stable system of state governance depends on the governed perceiving that their social, eco-
nomic and security needs can be met and are being met by their chosen or inherited regime. The
emergence of globalised areas of economic power and equally globalised systems for diffusing knowl-
edge and information has removed from all states important elements of their ability to cope inde-
pendently with the needs of their societies. The result is that the governed no longer have the same
confidence in the ability of their own regime to provide for them as it once could, and worse than
that, to protect them, if necessary against the activities of the wielders of global power. Moreover,
while globalisation has subtracted authority from states, it has not established alternative and
accountable new centres of power, so that managing the effects on individual people is in any case
impossible to achieve.
Migration
Into the gaps left by this process have come other developments – migration, drugs manufacture and
distribution, organised crime and a new importance attaching to religion. Contemporary migration
is both a means of interaction in global politics and a source of tension. The pace of movement by
human beings across the face of the globe has been mounting. It is an ancient activity. Its current
manifestations are driven chiefly by two pressures: political maltreatment, particularly persecution
and incipient or actual genocide, and economic desperation. The two motives naturally determine
the preferred destinations of migrants, and the plethora of means of global travel makes their jour-
neys at least feasible though sometimes tragically fatal. The scale of it has changed the asylum-seek-
ing refugee from a kind of hero, as in escaping from the Soviet bloc when it existed, to a suspected
scrounger or potential terrorist.
State governments have been driven by domestic popular disapproval of increased immigration
to try to restrain it. They have not succeeded very well and in even trying to do so may well be acting
against their best interests. Whether the migrants are economic or political refugees, they
usually represent a formidable advantage to the economies of their destinations. They will do the
jobs that locals will not, they bring cultural and intellectual energy, and to societies with a falling
birthrate and the threat of collapsing pension and welfare systems, they bring some relief. But
they bring tensions – tensions derived from the loss of labour and capacity from their departure
point and the sense of threat mainly arising from cultural and religious difference where they
settle. This may take the form of ghettoisation or, its reverse, cultural diffusion: both give rise to a
corrosive fear. Disorder follows and a further dent is made in the authority and legitimacy of the
state.
156 Drugs and organised crime
Religion
The growth of legitimate secular ways of regulating human behaviour which the triumph of the sov-
ereign state inaugurated in the mid-seventeenth century in Europe became part of the basic idea of
the state and was extended with it across the globe during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries.
The communist version of the state sought to suppress religion, others sought to use it. Religion had
not always been so far relegated to the area of private belief and practice. All three of the Abrahamic
religions had the textural justification for and the historical experience of a far more immediate role
at times when the notion of the state was either unknown or under-developed. It is thus not surpris-
ing that as faith in the permanence and power of the state form has declined and general intellec-
tual and social uncertainties have increased, faith in various religions has become once again a
potent force in the world.
The ability of the global communication systems to advance the knowledge and role of individu-
als, and to enable them to combine in ways that owe nothing to local loyalties or physical propinquity,
has helped the spread of religious fundamentalism. But the real cause of it is the sense of lost bear-
ings in which national political affiliations mean less than they did, and global pressures can be felt
but not grappled with successfully: nationalist or provincialist backlashes demonstrate one possible
response, but the growth or regrowth of religious loyalties and a wish to obey the dictates of religious
scriptures, sometimes unquestioningly, represent another. The connecting point between this evolu-
tion and the sources of conflict in the world emerges with frightening clarity and force in the encour-
agement and justification religion can give to global terrorism. In Chechnya, in Kashmir, in Georgia
and across other parts of the Caucasus, in Palestine, in Ireland, in Sri Lanka, in New York City, in Iraq
and in Afghanistan, the consequences have been or are both clear and highly intractable.
There remain latent inter-state disputes in Latin America and in Africa. The war against Saddam
Hussein’s Iraq in 2004 did not begin for traditional reasons and rapidly became a mixture of resist-
ance movement and civil war. The disputes over potential or actual nuclear weapons manufacture in
Iran and North Korea are unlike familiar inter-state disputes of the past and are expressed through
the activities of an international organisation, the International Atomic Energy Authority of the UN.
With the possible exception of a confrontation between a newly powerful China and Japan, it
appears likely that inter-state disputes will remain very low on the list of potential causes of conflict
for the foreseeable future.
Environmental issues
The same cannot be said of the role of environmental issues. These are a very clear example of a type
of problem that used to be contained within a state, for example when natural disasters occurred or
when there were – as there still are – internal arguments and protests caused by domestic policy
towards, say, national parks or endangered species. The onset of a general conviction that an era of
global warming and climate change has arrived has globalised the issue, both in that its effects are
not confined to any one state or area but apply globally and that responses to it must be developed
on a global basis. No one government can improve the situation or respond to the consequences of
global warming on its own. The stresses that this produces between governments and between gov-
ernments and international organisations both public and private are serious. Nor does it stop there.
The general public in many societies have become involved and the Internet creates a global con-
stituency for both dissemination and organisation, thus contributing to the general lowering of
the authority of the state which can neither control climate change nor protect its people from the
consequences.
Within states, an unstable physical and climatic environment creates stresses on a spectrum run-
ning from total destruction at the hands of inundation to agricultural breakdown caused by deserti-
fication. In between, declining but less disastrous conditions still cause tensions, and where weaker
societies are affected, their ability to respond may be as limited as their ability to benefit from the
good effects of economic globalisation. In addition, worsening conditions can cause the difficult
combination of spreading diseases and pests accompanying increased migration which in turn is
encouraged by greater global mobility. Amid the clamour of civil wars and genocide, the risks of
nuclear proliferation and the threat of terrorism, it is worth remembering that the most potent
source of crisis and conflict arises and will arise yet more from the effects of rapid global environ-
mental change. This set of problems, together with the problems associated with making the exis-
tence and exercise of global power acceptable and beneficial to individual human beings, are the two
most certain sources of fundamental crises in the future. They are of course linked: no solution to
the global crisis caused by climate change, either in trying to restrain it or in dealing with the con-
sequences of what it is now too late to restrain, will be found without evolving means of using global
power effectively: no one society or government can cope by itself or be expected to put the general
interest above its own particular interest on a routine basis.
158
the American company Yahoo! and the govern- which are inaccessible to web users in those
ment of France. In 2000, Yahoo!, a multi-pur- countries.
pose Internet portal providing communications, The People’s Republic of China is often cited
file storage and information services, came as a major censor of Internet content. China,
under fire when it was accused of violating which now has more Internet users than any
French law by selling Nazi memorabilia through country except the United States, has deployed
its auction site. The company was sued in a blocking software to prevent the population
French court by the Union of Jewish Students accessing sites on religious sects such as the
and the International League against Racism Falun Gong, issues relating to Taiwan, and
and Anti-Semitism for selling items which ‘embarrassing’ news items such as the Sars out-
incited racism. The items were sold to customers break. In 2004, China was actively blocking
in France via the company’s US-based auction access to about 200,000 websites. This massive
site. Yahoo!, which was not selling the items via effort to keep the ‘bad’ aspects of the Internet
its French subsidiary www.yahoo.fr, claimed free out and let the ‘good’ in generated the Western
speech as its defence as interpreted under quip, ‘The Great Fire Wall of China’. A fire wall
American law. The French court ultimately is a combination of hardware and software that
decided in favour of the plaintiffs, although an is deployed to protect a local area network (such
American federal court decision shielded as that found in a corporation or a university)
Yahoo! from having to pay the daily fine of FFr from viruses, hackers and other external threats.
100,000 for its continued auctioning of such Another popular mechanism of policing is to
items. A year later, Germany’s interior minister restrict access through state control of Internet
identified some 800 neo-Nazi websites hosted in infrastructure and prohibitive pricing. Cuba, for
the United States and accessible to German citi- example, allows two forms of access: state-sub-
zens. A subsequent court ruling in Germany sidised Intranet use which restricts users from
held the owners of the servers which hosted such accessing the global Internet and prohibitively
sites, in violation of German law banning hate high-priced, private Internet access paid only in
speech, to be responsible. These decisions hard currency, in effect US dollars. This two-
clearly exposed the relevance of national bor- tiered approach is a common form of control
ders in cyberspace, but simultaneously demon- employed throughout the developing world.
strated how far time/space barriers have Wealthy elites are granted the freedom to view
collapsed in the postmodern world. what they like on the web while the vast majority
The most common measures used to regulate of society sees its access restricted or denied. In
Internet access, however, have come from states. most of these cases, private access is technically
A host of measures has been deployed by coun- illegal and is capriciously shut down by the gov-
tries around the world, from the US to ernment when deemed necessary to state secu-
Afghanistan, to intimidate and watch users, filter rity. Other states that similarly restrict access
content and restrict access. Blocking software – through state control include Belarus,
technology that prevents Internet users from Tajikistan, Libya, North Korea, Sudan, Syria and
accessing sites based on keywords found in the Vietnam.
content – is frequently used by countries seeking Intimidation also plays a major role in polic-
to limit their citizens’ use of the Internet. ing Internet use. Burma, rather than focusing
Blocking technologies (which are used by on controlling the Internet backbone, made it
libraries, corporations and concerned parents in illegal to possess any computer, modem or fax
the developed world) are a favourite of authori- machine not registered with the government.
tarian governments or religiously conservative Punishment for such violations is up to 15 years
polities. Saudi Arabia, although it allows private in jail. China has some 60 laws relating to proper
companies to act as Internet service providers, use of the Internet and requires Internet service
vets all traffic through a centralised bank of providers to adhere to the Public Pledge on Self-
servers that censors content deemed ‘contrary to Discipline for the Chinese Internet Industry to
Islamic values’. This micromanagement of web regulate Internet use at the commercial level.
access allows the Saudis to restrict access to polit- Chinese police frequently arrest so-called
ical, pornographic and religious web pages. Like ‘Internet dissidents’ caught distributing cen-
Saudi Arabia, Yemen and the United Arab sored information over the web. The harsh sen-
Emirates keep a blacklist of prohibited sites tences handed down to such transgressors have
160 Policing the web: attempts at establishing authority in cyberspace
third world to get on the information super- monies collected to support Internet develop-
highway. Access to the Internet requires a per- ment initiatives in the global south. Such calls
sonal computer, for instance, electricity, for action are controversial, but many analysts
telephone, cable or satellite service, and an suggest that this is a wise long-term strategy for
Internet service provider – all of which are out of success. An information society’s value grows
the reach of most of the developing world’s with each new node of data transmission. Thus,
population. Poor communications networks, the tolerating the fact that huge sections of the
unreliability of the power supply, corruption and globe are not connected to the information
governmental barriers all complicate Internet superhighway – the African continent is a glar-
access at the national level. In addition, many ing example – prevents even the most net-
governments in the third world view the Internet worked societies from taking full advantage of
as the latest tool of Western hegemony intended ICT and the knowledge exchange it develops.
to export culture and ideology. The Internet is also perceived as reinforcing
divisions within societies in both the developed
The New Economy: This term refers to emerging and developing worlds. Even in wealthy, indus-
sectors of the economy that are based on informa- trialised countries, Internet access – though per-
tion and knowledge-workers. The set of industries vasive – has not reached everyone. Policy makers
and social reformers alike criticise the increasing
which composes the New Economy (telecommuni-
divide between white and black, rich and poor
cations, information technology, etc.) are primarily
and suburban and rural/inner city when it
dependent on highly-skilled, technologically-savvy comes to Internet access. In the United States,
human capital. In many parts of the world, infor- Australia and elsewhere in the first world, the
mation has become the central driver in economic concept of ‘digital ghettos’ is used to describe
activity, thus signalling a fundamental shift from those areas where citizens are challenged by
the Industrial Age to an ‘Information Age’. At the technical, social or economic barriers to
root of the New Economy is the assumption that Internet use. In many places, local governments
technology enables and promotes a creative have been instrumental in reversing the digital
revolution for humanity including increased pro- divide. Small towns and rural communities have
invested funds to create powerful ‘wireless local
ductivity, shorter business cycles, more efficient
areas networks’ (WLANs) that provide free
information exchange and faster acquisition of skill
Internet access to anyone with a laptop com-
sets. Globalisation and the compression of time puter and a $40 wireless network card. Typically,
and space through new communications technolo- the network will be placed in a convenient down-
gies are vital to this phenomenon. town area where shoppers or diners congregate.
In inner-city and impoverished urban areas,
At the international level, inequities in trade local libraries, state-supported telecentres and
and commerce ensure that countries in the schools have become the central point of access
global south pay more for the same goods and for people who are unable or unwilling to pay a
services than their wealthier counterparts in the monthly fee for Internet access.
north. The reluctance of governments and firms In the developing world, the Internet is com-
in wealthy countries to engage in large-scale monly seen as just another barrier between the
technology transfers to the industrialising world elite and the masses. Critics point to the emer-
is a frequent complaint of poorer countries. If gence of an international digerati or Internet-
this trend continues, it is likely first to reinforce enabled Brahmin class that consumes
and then increase the socio-economic disparities conspicuously, speaks English, travels widely and
between the developed and developing worlds. spends a great deal of time in cyberspace or on
The UN has advocated that universal access mobile phones. Technical skills combined with
should become a goal for the global community. English proficiency can guarantee a stable
Many have suggested introducing a small sub- income and the promise of upward mobility for
scriber charge on every Internet user in the those lucky enough to live near one of the myr-
industrialised countries, with the object of using iad nodes of globalisation (Bangalore, Kuala
the funds raised to subsidise Internet use in the Lumpur, Manila, etc.). The preponderance of
developing world. Other options include ending Internet access in the cities of the developing
tax-free e-commerce and using a portion of the world is also furthering the socio-economic
A global digital divide: problems of Internet access around the world 163
Types of transnational organised for this same purpose. Colombian drug cartels
use various methods of transporting the illegal
crime drugs to receiving countries, occasionally
employing body carriers, but more often mak-
The illegal drug industry ing use of aircraft, boats and land vehicles
The production, distribution and consumption that are equipped with technologically
of illicit drugs are persistent and growing phe- advanced radar, communications equipment
nomena in the contemporary world. The traf- and weapons. The use of commercial transport
ficking of illicit drugs is one of the most pressing has also flourished, allowing for larger ship-
organised crime problems facing the interna- ments of drugs to be transported in a single
tional community and generates one of the delivery. Furthermore, the Colombian drug car-
largest sources of income for organised crime tels have developed sophisticated methods of
groups. It will therefore be discussed first, and encryption and state-of-the-art communication
most extensively. networks in order to lessen the threat of
electronic surveillance.
Production: coca and cocaine The majority of cocaine seizures occur in the
The production of different kinds of drugs Americas, with over half in South America (55
occurs in many regions of the world. Colombia, per cent) and a third in North America. There
Peru and Bolivia remain the top cultivators and has been an increase in recent years in
producers of cocaine. While Peru was the top European seizures, perhaps reflecting a slight
producer in the 1990s, it has been surpassed by shift in trafficking patterns to potentially less
Colombia, which remains the largest producer risky markets. Fluctuations in the numbers of
of both coca leaf and the cocaine that is refined seizures in North America and Western Europe
from it. It is important to note, though, that by may be attributed to growing eradication efforts,
2003 it had also experienced its third straight as well as more diligent enforcement in source
year of decline, in part due to the eradication countries, such as Colombia. Colombia’s geo-
efforts being employed in the region. Similarly, graphic location, bordering on Peru and Bolivia
coca cultivation in these three countries com- and relatively close to the United States, with
bined has declined 30 per cent since its peak in coastlines on both the Pacific Ocean and the
1999. The UN estimates that these three coun- Caribbean Sea, makes it a strategic and logical
tries cultivated almost 154,000 hectares of coca hub for the trafficking of illicit drugs, with smug-
bush in 2003, which has the potential to produce gling routes readily available.
almost 236,000 metric tons of dry coca leaf and The drug cartels share many characteristics
in turn enables the manufacture of approxi- with traditional organised crime groups, includ-
mately 655 metric tons of cocaine. Refinement ing their ability to control the prices of the
of the coca leaves into cocaine often takes place drugs, to eliminate competition, to avoid prose-
in Colombia. cution through the use of corruption and vio-
lence, and their routine use of legitimate
Cocaine production and distribution business enterprises to disguise and launder
their impressive drug profits. However, it is their
Coca leaves are usually made into paste in close
vast influence and complexity that place the
proximity to where they are grown, and then
Colombian drug cartels in a class by themselves.
processed into cocaine base in Peru and Bolivia. For while traditional organised crime groups
The cocaine paste is then refined into hydrochlo- tend to corrupt law enforcement officers and
ride or powder in Colombia. The result is an odour- members of the judiciary, international drug car-
less, white crystalline powder that has a bitter, tels corrupt entire institutions of government.
numbing taste. Given that Colombia is among the world’s drug
smuggling capitals, corruption is widespread; it
Colombian drug trafficking groups harvest is the rule, not the exception. The judicial-polit-
hundreds of tons of coca or cocaine base, con- ical system in Colombia has been so completely
vert it into cocaine hydrochloride at their drug permeated by the illicit narcotics industry that
laboratories and then export the illegal finished the two are becoming progressively more
product to other countries. Large amounts of difficult to distinguish and identify as separate
coca are also imported from Peru and Bolivia entities.
166 Types of transnational organised crime
unobserved; physical connectivity to Central Western and Eastern Europe, the former Soviet
America provides land routes through Mexico to Union, West and Central Africa and Asia.
many traffickers; and isolated bays along the Europol (the European Law Enforcement
Californian West Coast which house countless Organisation) has estimated that this industry is
pleasure boats allow for the undetected impor- now worth several billion dollars per year.
tation of cocaine by commercial vessels.
Four factors that contribute to the persistence of the
Trafficking in persons human-trafficking industry:
■ Demand – so long as there is a demand for
Trafficking in persons is a transnational crime
that has reached such epidemic proportions that cheap labour, people who ‘purchase’ sex, either
it is now a significant human rights issue. It can with adults or children, and others who are will-
involve several dimensions, including the trans- ing to act as ‘middlemen’, there will be a market
port of illegal immigrants, the transport of for human trafficking.
women and children, and the transport of ■ Poverty – people in poor regions of the world are
labourers, resulting in either some sort of forced forced to rely on the money they receive from
service, such as working under inhumane condi- selling women and children. In addition to the
tions, prostitution/sexual slavery, illegal adop- profit, selling children also reduces the size of
tions and/or illegal employment. Victims of
the family, thus lessening the financial burden.
human trafficking are often highly vulnerable,
■ Attitudes – in many societies, women and chil-
coming from developing countries and condi-
tions from which people want to escape and will dren are treated as second-class citizens.
do virtually anything to do so. Women may be viewed as inferior and are not
The scope of the human trafficking problem afforded the same rights as male members of
is difficult to accurately depict, since it often society. Attitudes towards the institution of mar-
involves criminal organisations, victims may go riage and legalised prostitution also play a role.
unreported, and if the victims do return home It is these attitudes that translate into women
there is a significant degree of shame involved in and young girls being sold by family as ‘prop-
reporting what has occurred. Women and chil- erty’ and then sold by criminals for sex.
dren are increasingly vulnerable. The demand
■ Political stability and unrest – where state con-
for children, particularly in the sex trade indus-
trol is lacking, governments are less able to pro-
try, is growing, due, in part, to the increasing
prevalence of AIDS. Customers will increasingly vide protection for vulnerable populations.
pay more for young children who are virgins, on Conflicts result in the loss of property and liveli-
the premise that they are less likely to contract hood, leading to displacement and increasing
the HIV virus. vulnerability.
Criminal organisations take advantage of
these vulnerabilities and arrange illegal cross-
ings of national borders for profit. The prospect
of an attractive and well-paying job as a domestic
Trafficking in arms
servant or waitress is often falsely advertised, lur- The illicit trafficking in firearms is a covert activ-
ing vulnerable women and children into a life of ity involving the unauthorised movement of
exploitation and dependence upon the traffick- firearms across borders for illegal purposes.
ers for food, shelter and other essentials for These firearms may include, but are not limited
survival. Stories of education, profitable employ- to, sub-machine guns, semiautomatic rifles, pis-
ment or success are often used to attract victims. tols, shotguns and AK-47s, which may be trans-
At other times, traffickers employ force, coer- ported by land, sea or air. Porous and
cion, fraud or deceit. In the end, the victim is unguarded borders make for difficulties in mon-
forced into prostitution, child labour or even itoring and controlling the illicit movement of
slavery. Prices are often placed on women and firearms and consequently form ideal conditions
children who are sold to brothels in other coun- for arms traffickers. Such is the case in Nigeria,
tries, sometimes by unsuspecting parents who India, Malaysia and Pakistan.
believe their children will be well taken care of. Once the illegally trafficked firearms are sold,
Regions affected by human trafficking include the money received is laundered. The firearms
Money laundering 169
can also be used as currency in exchange for ventures. Once again, globalisation allows
drugs. All of these transactions result in large money to be moved around the world with con-
profits for criminal organisations and have far- siderable speed and ease. Millions of dollars can
reaching effects. Illegally trafficked arms often be instantaneously transferred with the click of a
support already existing ethnic and political button. Left unchecked, money laundering can
conflicts or further the agendas of organisations cause not just a nation’s economy to become
such as terrorist groups, thus posing a security unstable but the global economy as well, given
threat at both national and international levels. the interdependence of countries around the
Several incidents occurring over the last ten world, and is thus a serious national and inter-
years have suggested that illegal arms trafficking national security threat.
has come to involve the movement of nuclear
material, raising much concern from the global Example of simple money laundering scheme:
community. There have been several seizures of terrorist activities
small amounts of nuclear material and suspects The convergence of transnational organised
in several cases have been identified as Czech, crime and terrorist activities is becoming more
Polish and Russian nationals. prominent. Despite their differences in goals
Arms trafficking has made small arms readily and objectives (profit for organised crime
available in many parts of the world and thus groups and political goals for terrorist organisa-
changed the face of violent conflicts, particularly tions), with each making use of the other’s type
in developing countries. Conflicts which were of activities, these groups are becoming progres-
once fought with less sophisticated and less effi- sively more intertwined. Organised criminal
cient weapons (such as spears or bows and groups increasingly use terror tactics as a means
arrows) are now waged with automatic weapons, to eliminate threatening officials, coerce judges,
much to the detriment of surrounding commu- upset investigations and create a climate of fear
nities. The proliferation of weapons is destroy- which furthers additional criminal activity.
ing communities by prolonging existing Moreover, terrorist groups find profit in engag-
conflicts, kindling new ones and hindering ing in criminal activities such as illegal arms traf-
social and economic development. ficking; both the profits and the arms advance
the pursuit of their political objectives. Activities
Money laundering
Transnational criminal organisations aim to gen- Terrorist activities and financing
erate profit. Many of their activities including The attacks of 11 September 2001 have forced gov-
drug and arms trafficking, sexual slavery, fraud ernments to acknowledge that the issue of terrorist
and embezzlement, make huge sums of money. financing needs to be looked at in a holistic manner.
The problem for these organisations, however, is
Terrorists act across borders with connections
how to disguise the illegal origins of these funds.
around the world. Terrorist organisations are very
Using ‘dirty money’ raises suspicions among law
enforcement and may allow the money to be adaptable and adjust their methods of transferring
traced to illegal activities. Money laundering is and laundering money as prevention and detection
the process by which illegal profits (or ‘dirty efforts improve. The money they obtain is used to
money’) are made to seem legal or legitimate so recruit and train terrorists, as well as to pay the fam-
that they can be spent or invested without con- ily members of terrorists and suicide bombers.
juring up suspicion. Illegally acquired funds must Raising money may also involve income obtained
be controlled without attracting attention, there- from legitimate sources, such as charities or other
fore the criminal organisations disguise their non-profit organisations, as well as individual
sources, change the form or move the funds to a
donors and businesses. The moving and transfer-
place where they are less likely to do so.
ring of money around the world may be done
The most common money laundering
method is to transfer funds out of the country, through formal means such as banks, wire transfer
either physically or through electronic wire systems and charities/non-profit organisations, or
transfers, while ensuring that the source of the through informal transfer systems such as individ-
funds is untraceable. Once laundered, the ual couriers and the black market.
money can be more easily used in legitimate
170 Money laundering
such as trafficking illegal arms enables terrorists hiding places. Examples of this geography can be
to acquire power and train and equip recruits. found on the Indonesian coast and in the
Other illegal money raising activities may Philippine Islands. Political chaos and economic
include drug trafficking, robbery, extortion, kid- instability also provide excellent grounds for
napping and blackmail. It is important to note piracy, as found in Somalia, Sri Lanka and the
that terrorists do not necessarily require large African west coast. These areas are characterised
sums of money to carry out an attack. Intricate by civil war and internal political struggles, as well
terrorist plots may be executed just as success- as having little or no maritime law enforcement.
fully with small amounts of money as with larger The South China Sea and the Malacca Strait
amounts. are home to the highest concentration of piracy.
Bioterrorism is of increasing concern, given South America is also vulnerable, particularly
that biological weapons have the potential to along the coasts of Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador
claim thousands of victims. Biological agents and Nicaragua-Costa-Rica, as are West and East
may be bacterial, viral, or toxin agents and can Africa. Many incidents are related to drug traf-
be produced at relatively little expense and with ficking. For the period between 30 June 2004
basic biological science skills. Some of the most and the end of September 2004, there were
threatening biological agents are those that 3,653 incidents of piracy and armed robbery
cause diseases such as anthrax, tularemia and against ships reported to the International
smallpox. Biological agents require an incuba- Maritime Organisation.
tion period before any effects are manifested
and can therefore be difficult to contain. For
example, a biological agent released on a transit
The societal effects of
bus, or trans-Atlantic flight, may not make itself transnational crime and the drug
known to victims for many hours or days. Once
symptoms do appear, victims are dispersed industry
across geographical regions, making detection The effects of transnational organised crime and
and response even more difficult. Whether the the drug industry on countries around the world
disease is contagious or not, the implications are are many. In particular, these phenomena are a
many. threat to security and state sovereignty, reinforc-
Biological terrorism knows no geographical ing the porous nature of national borders. They
boundaries, and may thus be construed as both contribute to a breakdown in the authority of
a national and a global threat. the state. Governments become corrupt, advanc-
ing rather than restricting criminal activity.
Sea piracy Corruption of the government facilitates vio-
Another area of organised crime is sea piracy. lence by encouraging officials to overlook much
Acts of sea piracy may include the hijacking of of the violence that is taking place, and in some
ships such as oil tankers and cargo ships, attack- instances the monetary benefits they receive
ing fishermen and stealing their catch, kidnap- from illegal activity may outweigh the desire to
ping and wounding yacht passengers, murder take measures to reduce or contain any violence.
and robbery. These acts are difficult to predict Activities such as money laundering allow for
and control, given that pirates can choose to organised crime groups to further extend their
operate near the coasts of countries which lack operations and turn economic power over to the
the resources to control and respond to these criminals rather than the government.
crimes. Acts of piracy may occur in international The loss of government legitimacy and effi-
waters, territorial waters or ports and have a dis- cacy and the perpetual erosion of government
tinct spatial pattern, with some coastal areas authority in the face of organised crime leads to
being affected more than others. a general increase in violence and criminal activ-
Many piracy incidents occur in the third world ity. An inefficient state and a dysfunctional judi-
and developing countries, which often exhibit cial system, which lacks the trust of its people,
the conditions favouring maritime criminality. loses control over violence and its ability to
Piracy is easier in coastal areas which have long, enforce the rules of law and protect its property.
narrow navigational channels or many small Authorities then have serious difficulties investi-
islands. These physical characteristics are ideal gating and punishing any criminal activities and
for slowing maritime traffic and provide strategic this allows levels of violence that otherwise
The societal effects of transnational crime and the drug industry 171
would have been tempered by government con- bounty for the head of each Colombian police-
trol. Government officials have been known to man, which led to countless assassinations.
fall victim to the violence firsthand should they The effects of the drug industry, in particular,
refuse to cooperate or accept bribes. Private can be seen in the violence that has taken over
citizens, journalists, police, soldiers, judges and Colombia in the past two decades. In a country
government officials at all levels who prove to be with a history of armed conflict, Colombian cul-
uncooperative may all be murdered. ture has developed a high tolerance for the use
This violence came to a peak in the late 1980s of violence. While the drug cartels directly con-
and early 1990s when the Colombian govern- tribute to the heightened violence through their
ment intensified its ‘war on drugs’, implement- own activities, they also contribute indirectly by
ing the extradition treaty with the United States. creating and reinforcing a culture that favours
Large bombs and death threats were prevalent, easy money and the violent resolution of con-
kidnappings occurred daily and were frequently flicts rather than resorting to more traditional
used to eliminate possible informants and create conflict-solving methods. Human lives are given
mass chaos. At the centre of this violence was the a monetary value in an industry where money is
Medellin cartel, which was headed by Pablo the primary objective and murder becomes a
Escobar until his death in December 1993. Pablo lucrative endeavour.
Escobar is sometimes referred to as the most vio- The desire for economic gain and the huge
lent criminal in history, known to have offered a demand for illegal narcotics in receiving coun-
tries, such as the United States and Europe, have
greatly escalated the competition between drug
Some of the violent attacks in Colombia cartels. With an increasingly large market, and
carried out by the drug cartels: the improved speed and ease of international
■ 1987–89: More than 100 political candidates transport, the opportunities for profit also grow.
across Colombia were assassinated. Mass The sheer volume of drugs that can be trans-
killing of peasants, labour organisers and ported and the profits that result fuel an
reformers. Over 300 are killed. enhanced desire among the drug cartels for
domination over the drug trafficking industry.
■ May 1989: Car bomb attack on Major General
The money gained from drug trafficking is then
Marquez, director of the National Police Agency.
reinvested in violence-related commodities such
Four were killed, 50 wounded. as guns, bombs and electronic equipment.
■ August-December 1989: Full-scale narco-ter- In what some may consider a strange twist,
rorism. Series of dynamite attacks on political Colombia’s drug control laws also contribute to
party headquarters, banks and newspapers. the heightened state of violence in the country.
Eleven killed, 132 wounded. Specifically, in the late 1980s and early 1990s,
■ An Avianca airliner was bombed as it was Pablo Escobar ran a campaign of terror when
believed to be carrying rival Cali cartel mem- the Colombian government agreed to an extra-
bers. 107 people killed. Car bomb at HAS head- dition treaty with the United States to stop the
flow of drugs between the two countries. Levels
quarters killed 63 and wounded 600.
of violence escalated as the cartel members
■ January 1990: Pablo Escobar, head of the
fought to avoid extradition to the United States.
Medellin cartel, increased violence against the The drug industry also has a large effect on
State and continued the kidnappings of elite the economy. Naturally, cultivating large
family members. amounts of illegal drugs, such as opium poppy
■ April–August 1990: Car bombings and narco- or coca leaf, is economically beneficial to many
terror were expanded to encompass shopping countries. For example, the United Nations sug-
centres and the mass public. gests that in Peru, the gross potential value of
■ December 1992-May 1993: Car bombings con- the coca leaf cultivated in 2003 equalled US$112
tinued (44 killed, 326 wounded), in particular million. There are approximately 50,000 house-
holds that produce coca in Peru. Therefore,
against the police (167 killed).
overlooking the costs of maintaining the coca
■ 1993: Virtual civil war broke out between Pablo
farms, the net income per household resulting
Escobar and los pepes, a rival drug cartel. from the sale of coca leaf is around $1,344 for
one year.
172 The societal effects of transnational crime and the drug industry
Nationally, aiming to develop a social and analyse data on international illicit crop produc-
cultural consensus against organised crime and tion. This programme helps countries to pro-
raising awareness about the costs of organised duce internationally comparable data and
crime to society may help in creating a climate reference maps on crop production and to use
where it can no longer flourish to the same these data to extract global trends.
extent. Further, effective monitoring and regula- The monitoring of crop cultivation takes a
tion policies may go a long way in curbing multi-method approach, incorporating field
money laundering, a staple activity for criminal research involving interviews and field measure-
organisations. ment, aerial surveillance, on-the-ground assess-
ment and satellite sensing. The monitoring
programme aims at a methodology based on
Controlling illicit drugs satellite remote sensing, the design and use of a
geographic database and Geographic
The United Nations Global Monitoring Information System. The GIS, linked to a Global
Programme of Illicit Crops Positioning System (GPS), will incorporate
The United Nations has implemented the mapping and the collection and analysis of
Global Monitoring Programme of Illicit Crops in socio-economic data.
an attempt to reduce the cultivation of illegal As part of the Global Monitoring Programme,
drugs in Asia and Latin America and to develop the Annual Opium Poppy Survey conducted in
an ‘early warning system’ of the potential Laos amasses large amounts of data examining
amounts of illicit drugs bound for illegal retail the distribution of opium poppy throughout the
markets throughout the world. In 1998, it was region. Data are collected about the locations of
recognised that there was no widespread and all- illicit poppy fields by district, as well as their rela-
inclusive international mechanism to collect and tionship to major roadways. The substantial
China
r
nma
Mya
Laos
Thailand
Vietnam
Phongsali Cambodia
Louangnamtha
ng
i
xa
ba
om
Bokeo Houaphan
ra
ud
ph
O
ng
ua
Lo
1–200 Xaignabouri
ouri
2001–400
S. R.
nab
ne
401–600 Xaisomboun
tia
Xaig
Borikhamxai
n
601–800
Vie
No survey Khammouan
0 100 200 km
Figure 3.1 Choropleth map of opium poppy cultivation fields by district in Laos, 2001
Source: Global Monitoring Programme of Illicit Crops, 2001. United Nations International Drug Control
Programme, United Nations Office for Drug Control and Crime Prevention, Vienna
174 Controlling illicit drugs
Country boundary
Major roads
Growing villages
Non-growing villages
0 100 200 km
Figure 3.2 Pin map of the relationship between opium poppy fields and major roads
Source: Annual Opium Poppy Survey, 2001. United Nations International Drug Control
Programme, United Nations Office for Drug Control and Crime Prevention, Vienna
number of opium poppy fields translates into The identification of crop-growing areas also
large quantities of data from which any patterns aids in the recognition of regions that will be
are difficult to extract. The use of GIS and map- targeted for alternative development projects.
ping technology allows this data to be more The aim of these programmes is to provide the
readily interpretable, providing visual displays of international community with detailed, reliable
the spatial components of the opium poppy information on which to base eradication
business (Figure 3.1). For example, when con- efforts, as well as with additional insight on how
verted to a pin map, the data obtained of the dis- to restrict the transport of drugs from region to
tance between poppy fields and major roadways region, and will offer a base on which to assess
(Figure 3.2) show that opium poppy growing is the effectiveness of these efforts in developing
more likely the further away one gets from major alternative means of survival.
roads. With attempts to eradicate illicit drug produc-
These mapping systems, which are also being tion, however, come economic crises for the
implemented in countries such as Peru, farmers who have been dependent on their drug
Colombia, Bolivia, Myanmar and Afghanistan, production for many years as a way of survival.
will be able to locate and quantify illicit coca and For example, there are strong efforts to imple-
opium cultivations and in the process aid in the ment eradication programmes in Myanmar and
effective elimination of these crops. Furthermore, Laos, which have been in effect for several years.
it is hoped that these programmes will monitor These programmes have seen a vast reduction in
any displacement of illegal crops that may occur the areas under cultivation since 1996. If this
when efforts to eliminate them force growers to trend continues, over the next few years this area
move to other regions of each country. will become virtually inconsequential in the
Controlling illicit drugs 175
global opium production arena. However, there Demko, George J. (2000) ‘Modern Maritime
is evidence that in the eastern portion of Piracy,’ pp. 149–152 in Turnbull, Linda S.,
Myanmar, many are facing severe humanitarian Hallisey Hendrix, Elaine and Dent, Borden D.
crises now that a major source of capital has (eds) Atlas of Crime: Mapping the Criminal
been taken away. Many who live in the remote Landscape, Phoenix: Oryx Press.
opium cultivating areas live at standards that are
Florez, Carol P. and Boyce, Bernadette (1990)
even below that of the general population in a
‘Colombian Organised Crime’, Police Studies, 13:
country that ranks 131st out of 175 countries on
8188, no. 2.
the Human Development Index.
The drug trafficking industry in Colombia is a Kenney, D. and Finckenauer, J. (1995) Organised
major underpinning of the country’s economy, Crime in America, Belmont, CA: Wadsworth.
pushing billions of dollars into the economy and
Rabasa, Angel and Chalk, Peter (2001)
providing employment to millions of people.
Colombian Labyrinth: The Synergy of Drugs and
Thus, gaining control of the drug trafficking
Insurgency and Its Implications for Regional Stability,
industry in areas such as Colombia raises an
Santa Monica: Rand.
important issue: if the industry is dismantled, a
major setback to the economy may ensue, con- Rocha, Ricardo (2000) ‘The Colombian
tributing to an extreme economic downturn. Economy after 25 Years of Drug Trafficking’,
One must question whether the governments Vienna: United Nations Office for Drug Control
are prepared to eradicate all forms of drug traf- and Crime Prevention.
ficking and production throughout the coun-
tries regardless of any economic decline that Thoumi, Francisco E. (1999) ‘The Impact of the
may follow. The violence brought about by the Illegal Drug Industry on Colombia’, pp. 311 in
drug trafficking industry will always be weighed Farer, T. (ed) Transnational Crime in the Americas,
against the consequences of eradication. New York: Routledge.
Most importantly, it should be recognised that Turnbull, Linda S., Hallisey Hendrix, Elaine and
illicit drug trafficking and other transnational Dent, Borden D. (eds) Atlas of Crime: Mapping the
organised crimes are transnational problems Criminal Landscape. Phoenix: Oryx Press.
requiring a global solution. As long as the
demand for these products and services contin- United Nations International Drug Control
ues to grow in receiving countries, the criminal Programme (2001a) ‘Annual Opium Poppy
organisations have increasing motivation to con- Survey 2001’, Vienna: United Nations.
tinue their illegal businesses at an ever-expand- –– (2001b) ‘Global Monitoring Programme of
ing capacity. The emergence of transnational Illicit Crops’, Vienna: United Nations Office for
organised crime as a multi-billion-dollar industry Drug Control and Crime Prevention.
provides great incentive to gain monopoly and
continue to expand illicit operations. Nationally, United Nations Office for Drug Control and
detection and prevention methods are necessary Crime Prevention. (2004) World Drug Report,
in order to lessen the detrimental effects of 2004, Vienna: United Nations.
these crimes, but it should be recognised that
–– (2000) ‘Mapping Opium Poppy,’ Vienna:
global cooperation will be essential over the long
United Nations.
term to eradicate these problems.
Williams, Phil (ed) (1997) ‘Illegal Immigration
and Commercial Sex: The New Slave Trade’,
Further Reading
Special Issue, Transnational Organised Crime,
Adler, F. G., Mueller, G. and Laufer, W. (2001) 3(4).
Criminology, 4th edn. New York: McGraw Hill.
Williams, Phil and Savona, Ernesto U.
Clark, Michele Anne (2003) ‘Trafficking in (eds) (1995) ‘The United Nations and
persons: An issue of human security’, Journal of Transnational Organised Crime’, Special
Human Development, 4(2): 247–263. Issue. Transnational Organised Crime, 1(3).
176
have little (if any) material wealth and even less source of unmatched opportunities for develop-
in terms of prospective employment or a stable ment claim that inequality decreases in coun-
future (Friedman, 2000; Wade, 1999). tries that have managed to introduce reforms
that allow for more liberalisation of markets,
thus taking advantage of this process of global
The challenge of estimating integration as much as possible. To them, it is
less and not more globalisation that leads to
income inequality inequality.
In 1955, Kuznets famously expounded the idea Rather than try to settle the debate, it is
that higher levels of growth would in time lead important to acknowledge some of the elements
to less income inequality. However, today it is that need to be clear when using these different
clear that inequality is far more persistent than studies, as well as some of the evidence that
expected, even in high-income countries. Thus seems most plausible in explaining the difficult
the links between income inequality and eco- reality of inequality.
nomic growth are not automatically correlated
but are mediated by a series of variables, such as What is being measured and how: ambiguities
voting patterns, market failures (especially in and controversy
capital markets) and uncertain property rights. First, it is crucial to understand that ‘poverty’,
In this sense, the discussion becomes wider: not ‘inequality’ and even ‘welfare’ are vague con-
only does it matter to understand how growth cepts, subject to different interpretations. While
can produce inequality but also how inequality for microeconomic theory ‘welfare’ refers to
inhibits the chances of economic growth. utility and satisfaction, other interpretations of
Much controversy underlies the debate on the word take into account elements of ‘quality
income inequality. Although recent estimates of life’ rooted in a philosophical understanding
have been developed by technically consistent of the human condition and human needs (see,
studies, albeit using different measures, variables, for example, Sen and Nussbaum, 1993;
data sets and interpretations of the concepts Strengmann-Kuhn, 2000). Inequality also may
studied, they have sometimes produced very dif- point to a different picture if taken in ‘relative’
ferent conclusions as to a recent rise or fall in or ‘absolute’ terms. Economists typically use ‘rel-
inequality, especially among countries or in total ative inequality’ as referring to the ratio of indi-
world inequality. On the one hand, there are vidual income as compared with a mean of
those who believe that the proportion of people overall income. If all incomes grow at the same
living in extreme poverty in developing countries rate, relative inequality remains unchanged.
declined in the 1990s. On the other hand, there When it comes to analysing the effects of trade
are studies that point to modest gains by the poor openness, which is an important component of
in the same period. Yet there are many NGOs globalisation, on income distribution, a com-
which claim that the last decade has led to mon finding is that greater trade openness has
greater poverty. Even more convincing, and now about the same impact on the growth rate of
receiving increased international attention, is a income at different levels of income. That is not
study (possibly the first in a series) that chal- a definitive piece of evidence, but when talking
lenges the methodology used by the World Bank about relative inequality, discrepancies are not
and claims that inequality has been grossly so outstanding (Ravallion, 2003).
underestimated by conventional analyses. However, ‘absolute inequality’ refers to the
Inevitably, different answers to the question of absolute differences in incomes. So when
whether or not inequality has been rising can incomes grow by the same ratio but starting
feed diverse political and ideological positions. from an unequal base, inequality in absolute
The street protests organised by international terms inevitably also rises. Thus when they say
social movements/networks in world capitals that inequality has been rising considerably in
during World Bank, IMF and G-8 meetings are the recent years, it is absolute inequality that
derived from the belief that globalisation leads they usually mean. As Ravallion claims, no one
to rich people getting richer and the poor concept is more correct than the other; they
increasingly becoming poorer. The political reflect judgement calls about what really
impact of this perception is unquestionably sub- constitutes ‘inequality’.
stantial. Yet those who see globalisation as a In the same sense, ‘poverty’ is also an impre-
178 The challenge of estimating income inequality
cise concept by its very nature. As stated before, end of the nineteenth century to at least 60:1 in
determining levels of poverty depends on how 1999. This means that the average family in the
incomes fall in relation to a ‘poverty line’. This United States is 60 times richer than the average
will vary considerably according to which of family in Ethiopia. In addition, since 1950, while
many views of what ‘poverty’ really means has the population of poor countries increased 250
been adopted. Most recently, an engaging per cent, that of rich countries grew by less than
debate has developed, which is gaining notoriety 50 per cent.
in academic circles as well as in the media, Latin America and the Caribbean are the
regarding the methodology used by interna- regions with the highest levels of income
tional institutions, such as the World Bank, for inequality. In 13 of the 20 countries with data for
measuring levels of inequality. Normally, the the 1990s, the poorest 10 per cent of the popu-
standard parity purchase power (PPP) frame- lation had less than one-twentieth of the income
work is favoured. PPP is a method of arriving at of the richest 10 per cent, according to UNDP in
an accurate exchange rate for foreign curren- 2001. This severe inequality means that millions
cies. It tries to come up with average price levels of people are living in extreme poverty. In Brazil,
for all commodities, weighted by their share in for example, the ratio of income of the top 20
international expenditure, so as to make it pos- per cent of earners to the bottom is about 25:1,
sible to compare not simply income levels but making the country probably the world’s most
what people can actually purchase with the unequal (compared with about 10:1 in the
money they make. United States and about 5:1 in Western Europe).
Sanjay Reddy and Thomas Pogge have Although Peru, Colombia and Mexico regis-
claimed that the PPP framework leads to a mis- tered the greatest wage increases in the region,
taken assessment of real poverty levels. They the gap between the skilled and the unskilled
argue that in order to evaluate accurately rose in the 1990s by more than 30 per cent in
whether a household is poor, consumption and Peru, 20 per cent in Colombia and nearly 25 per
income must be related not to the local price cent in Mexico. The most populous countries in
level of commodities in general but to the local the world, China and India, have enjoyed faster
cost of a basket of basic necessities, generically income growth than the rich countries.
described to allow for variations in how the poor However, it would take them almost a century of
in different locations meet their nutritional and constant growth at rates higher than those in
other basic needs. In order to avoid the arbi- today’s industrialised countries just to reach
trariness of the $1/day standard suggested by current US income level.
PPP calculations, a basket based on specific In sub-Saharan Africa poverty is widespread,
needs and local realities must be specified. This spreading a number of epidemic diseases, con-
avoids the obvious lack of real comparability if, demning a huge number of adults in their prime
for example, the cost of rice is included in both to death. In 16 of the 22 countries in sub-
India and Iceland. Both this effort and the effort Saharan Africa with data for the 1990s, the poor-
of actually measuring inequality using this new est 10 per cent of the population earned less
methodology are yet to be developed. However, than one-tenth of the income of the richest 10
Reddy and Pogge do anticipate that the results per cent. Conclusions as to the causes and pat-
to be revealed would prove that World Bank esti- terns of such a problem, however, are still lack-
mates (as well as those of analysts who rely heav- ing due to limited available data. Eastern Europe
ily on the Bank’s data) severely underestimate has relatively low inequality, though Russia and
income inequality levels in the world today. Lithuania have registered increases in the recent
decade.
Inequality among and within countries/regions Among OECD countries, while inequality is
In addition to measurement discrepancies and low, there is diversity in the levels of inequality
ambiguities, another source of confusion in between countries. The United Kingdom and
determining inequality is whether it is inequality the United States have high levels of inequality
between countries or within countries that is in their group. Birdsall points out that income
being referred to. inequality in the latter grew in recent years not
According to Birdsall, the ratio of average only because profits were sometimes unusually
income of the richest country in the world to high (especially in the financial sector) but
that of the poorest rose from about 9:1 at the because there were losses of income for the
Globalisation and the end of the embedded liberalism compromise: new challenges ahead 179
bottom income level of the population. She liberalisation while the other required the provi-
claims that the average wage of white male high- sion of domestic social safety nets to relieve the
school graduates fell 15 per cent from 1973 to dislocations of those who lost out from height-
1993, and the number of men aged 25 to 54 ened international competition in local markets.
years earning less than $10,000 a year grew. Thus, from the start, international liberalisation
Possibly for the first time in US history, educa- was coupled with a domestic social compact in
tional gains may be reinforcing rather than off- which ‘governments asked their public to
setting income inequality: higher education has embrace the change and dislocation that comes
become a prerequisite for economic success, but with liberalisation in return for the promise of
because access to it depends on family income, help in containing and socialising the adjust-
the poor are at a disadvantage. ment costs’ (Ruggie, 1994, p. 4). Hence, as Pauly
In conclusion, although there is controversy summarises, the compromise combined the
about global inequality trends, there seems to be ideal of liberal international markets with the
evidence that inequality is rising within many practical reality of national economic regulation
countries. However, rising inequality is not cor- (Pauly, 1997).
related with growth rates. Ravallion explains that In fact, empirical evidence confirms that there
even among growing economies, ‘inequality is a strong positive correlation between open-
tends to fall about as often as it rises’ (Ravallion, ness to trade and the growth of government
2003, p. 7). activity in many countries since the 1960s.
Societies (rich and poor alike) have demanded
The welfare state and the notion and received a larger government role as the
price of exposing themselves to greater amounts
of ‘embedded liberalism’: a brief of external risks. This finding leads to an impor-
tant conclusion: the social welfare state is the flip
background side of the open economy since wherever exter-
In The Great Transformation, Polanyi explored the nal risk is perceived to increase when liberalisa-
socially disruptive and polarising tendencies in tion occurs, the importance of government
the world economy driven by what he called the intervention in the shape of the provision of
self-regulating market. Those tendencies were social insurance is accentuated significantly.
characterised by a ‘double movement’, within
which an unprecedented expansion of the mar-
ket coexisted with massive social disruption and
Globalisation and the end of the
a sharp political reaction in the form of public embedded liberalism compromise:
demands on the state to counteract the deleteri-
ous effects of such market-driven capitalism. new challenges ahead
Indeed, for Polanyi, this double movement ulti- However, the internationalisation and integra-
mately generated the political context of the tion of production, investment and trade – eco-
1930s and produced a breakdown in liberal eco- nomic globalisation – plays a challenging role in
nomic structures, leading to the phenomena of this scenario and threatens the basic bargain of
depression, fascism, unemployment and nation- ‘embedded liberalism’. On one side, public
alism, which combined to push the world opinion polls show that, despite the perception
towards war after 1937 (Polanyi, 1944). of a backlash against expansionary fiscal policies,
However, after the Second World War, the due to the spread of neoliberal practices world-
international economic order assumed a new wide with their emphasis on the economic perils
and very distinct feature. Unlike the economic of interventionism, the principles behind the
nationalism of the 1930s or the laissez-faire liber- welfare state remain highly popular among
alism of the gold standard and free trade years, broad segments of society. On the other side, it
the new multilateralism that emerged was based is possible to attest that confidence in govern-
on domestic governmental intervention. This ment spending has diminished considerably in
was a kind of political bargain and it shaped the most advanced countries.
post-war economic order: it has been termed by The combination of these two facts leads to
John Ruggie ‘the compromise of embedded lib- what Rodrik considers to be the dilemma
eralism’. One side of the bargain involved the brought about by globalisation: it results in
recognition of the advantages of international increased demands on the state to provide social
180 Globalisation and the end of the embedded liberalism compromise: new challenges ahead
insurance while reducing its ability to perform reduction in tax revenues in many countries.
that role effectively. Indeed, there is a visible ten- Consequently, as the resource base in devel-
sion between the consequences of globalisation oping countries shrinks, the demand for public
and the requirements for maintaining the social resources increases, but in the face of reduced
legitimacy of free trade and other pieces of eco- revenues, states are reducing spending. Public
nomic liberalisation that inevitably impose wide spending on health and education in countries
domestic social costs, along (at times) with gains with low human development declined from 2
that tend, however, to remain concentrated, per cent of GDP in 1986–1990 to 1.8 per cent in
sometimes by policy on one societal group. 1991–1996 (UNDP, 1999).
According to Ruggie there are two sources of
‘disembeddedness’ of the state. One has to do
with the success of the post-war trade regime in The place of the state in the
liberalising the economy. As barriers to the flow
of economic transactions were eliminated and context of globalisation
cross-border market forces were encouraged, Given these facts about both developed and
some of the standard policy tools the government developing countries, it is important to place
had in its power to manage the consequences of this analysis within the context of the vast litera-
this liberalisation were lost. The result of this ture on globalisation. To acknowledge an
process was the denationalisation of capital, or increasing and wide trend in the reduction of
put in other words, the increasing separation of public social spending is not to say that the state
national ownership from the physical location of has grown ‘powerless’ in the face of globalisation
production. The second source of disembedded- because its capacity to dictate fiscal and mone-
ness is related to the weakening of domestic social tary policies is subject to the restless moods of
safety nets throughout the capitalist world. global capital. But equally this approach does
Ruggie blames this outcome on the decline in not deny the fact that important changes are
productivity and competition from low-labour- indeed happening in the real power of the state
cost countries in the context of closer integration due to globalisation.
in international production networks, as well as Even those who do not accept the argument
on the weight of the welfare state itself on of the ‘powerlessness of the state’ admit that
national budgets. Budget deficits and tax-weary there are significant constraints on government
publics compelled governments to shrink the capacity to make and implement policy. In fact,
traditional web of social policies significantly. the general slide towards more fiscally conserva-
In addition, at the same time as fiscal austerity tive policies, both on the left and on the right,
was being pursued, added pressure from global entailing tax reforms as well as a significant
capital for reduced taxes and labour costs has reduction in social spending, is a reality for
driven many governments to cut back welfare states; and this is so at a time when social dispar-
programmes. In an effort to boost global com- ities remain high and are likely to become even
petitiveness, ‘governments across the planet more a source of political stress in the context of
have, since 1980, rolled back social democracy a global recession.
and dismantled state socialism’, each following Because of this, it is important to identify the
very similar macroeconomic programmes based new features of the state in the context of glob-
on neoliberal premises (Scholte, 1997, p. 448). alisation. In other words, what kind of state are
According to the UNDP Human Development we talking about? It is not a ‘powerless state’; nei-
Report of 1999, in developing countries as well, ther is it a Keynesian, welfare-producing, inter-
the fiscal resource base is being squeezed. That ventionist state. It is best described as a
can be perceived in four ways. The first happens ‘negotiator state’. This view is explored by
through trade liberalisation and the reduction Sassen as she explains that the role of the state in
in trade taxes that follows it. The second has to today’s global economy, unlike in earlier times,
do with the fact that transnational operations has been to negotiate the intersection between
are difficult to tax. Third, countries compete in national law and foreign actors – whether firms,
lowering their corporate and capital gains taxes, markets or supra-national organisations. This
reducing tax receipts – a pattern inaugurated by condition makes the current phase distinctive.
developed countries. Finally, the growth of the The existence of an enormously elaborate body
informal economy is translated into a substantial of law that secures the exclusive territoriality of
Developed country workers and trade liberalisation 181
national states to an extent not seen in earlier international trade was based on an unequal
centuries has now to be seen cohabiting with a exchange between rich and poor countries.
considerable institutionalising of the ‘rights’ of Those less industrialised countries especially
non-national firms, cross-border transactions reliant on exports of raw materials faced unequal
and supra-national organisations. This illustrates terms of trade with industrialised countries
the unavoidable engagement by national states whose export prices used to rise disproportion-
in the process of globalisation and confirms its ately more than the prices of the raw materials
cooptation with global capital. they imported. This theoretical understanding of
Thus, globalisation is not just a matter of the realities of underdevelopment became
crossing geographic borders, as is captured by known as ‘dependency theory’ and was at the
measuring international investment and trade. root of a strategy of industrialisation via import
It also has to do with the relocation of national substitution that developing countries, especially
public governance functions to transnational in Latin America, followed in the 1960s and
private arenas and with the development inside 1970s. This strategy followed the logic that
national states – through legislation, court rul- protecting the national market was necessary to
ings, executive orders – of the mechanisms nec- stimulate the evolution of national industries.
essary to accommodate the rights of the global Although it is now understood that import sub-
capital in what are still national territories under stitution had merits in fostering industrialisation
the exclusive control of their states. in developing countries, it failed to produce sus-
In the light of these facts, a final question tainable improvements via increased employ-
needs to be asked: can the bargain of ‘embedded ment and the fostering of international
liberalism’ be sustained – i.e., the combination of competitiveness in Latin America. By contrast, in
economic liberalisation internationally with the East Asia where an export-oriented economy
provision of social insurance domestically via took shape, the 1980s was a time of growth and
interventionist public policies? For Rodrik, that is not the ‘lost decade’ that it became for protec-
unlikely to happen if governments lose their tionist economies. In the late 1980s and espe-
autonomy in generating tax revenues and shap- cially in the 1990s, the interventionist ideas that
ing social policies. Again, global capital increas- had motivated ‘dependency theorists’ were vig-
ingly demands both austerity and the orously exchanged for the neoliberal approach
continuation of the agenda of liberalisation in of international institutions and applied by local
the places it will invest, allowing governments in technocrats. This emphasised international ‘free’
rich and poor countries only limited room for trade – or the significant reduction in trade
manoeuvre in policymaking – and in poor coun- barriers worldwide – as a key to ‘development’.
tries significantly less, if any. In fact, the slow-
down in the 1990s followed a period of inflation,
deficit spending and increasing government debt Developed country workers and
levels around the industrialised world. Hence, in
order to stabilise their budgets, states adopted trade liberalisation
stringent monetary fiscal policies, which were the An interesting twist in this story – seldom related
ones deemed sustainable or credible by financial to it – was the intense debate in the 1990s about
markets because they favoured financial stability the damaging effects of trade liberalisation to
over employment. This became known as the workers in developed countries. Trade unions and
‘politics of financial credibility’ and created a NGOs (most notably) were vocal in claiming
crucial pressure, forcing cuts in social spending that ‘globalisation’ led to a ‘race to the bottom’
at a time when the geopolitical scenario had led phenomenon. That is to say, they believed (and
to higher than ever expenditures on security in some still do) that because of international com-
some developed countries. petition and the fact that developing countries
are abundant in low-skilled labour, the wages of
this labour were lower than the pay of low-skilled
From ‘unequal terms of trade’ to labour in developed countries. As markets are
already interconnected and international trade
a ‘race to the bottom’? becomes more open, firms have the option of
In the 1960s a theory of development emanating buying low-skilled labour in developing
from developing countries emphasised that countries (especially by building plants in these
182 Developed country workers and trade liberalisation
countries). So, there is pressure – it is argued – wages of low-skilled workers in developed coun-
for the reduction of the wages of low-skilled tries, but it does not account for all of it. As
labour in developed countries. This would Freeman concludes, the debate over the causes
characterise the infamous race to the bottom, for the ‘immiseration’ of less-skilled workers has
which fuels contentious ‘anti-globalisation’ an element of a judgement call about it.
movements. Increased trade with developing countries is not
The USA of the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s regis- the sole culprit. Freeman concludes that ‘tech-
tered greater earnings differentials between nological changes that occur independent of
older and younger workers, and greater differ- trade, unexpected political developments, such
entials between high-skilled and low-skilled as German reunification, policies to educate and
occupations. Also, the economic position of low- train workers, union activities, the compensation
skilled men has fallen by staggering amounts policies of firms, and welfare state and related
(Freeman, 2000). In Europe, the problem was social policies’ have historically played a crucial
less one of income differentials and more of the role in determining workers’ well-being and will
availability of jobs, chiefly because wages are less remain crucial determinants of wages and
flexible there than in the USA. Whether it is employment in the future (Freeman, 2000,
earning inequalities or joblessness that is the p. 352).
major concern, the question remains for both This debate is certainly not likely to become
the USA and Europe as to what has caused this less salient, however. Global recession and the
decline in the relative supply for low-skilled deepening of trade integration (most notably via
labour. Is there indeed a race to the bottom? the consolidation of the Free Trade Area of the
It is a fact that trade between the USA and Americas) are likely to fuel strong political reac-
Europe and developing countries has increased tions among different interest groups. The
significantly in the last two decades. This was the inability of modern states to compensate the los-
result of several developments, especially the sig- ers from globalisation is likely to make matters
nificant reduction in trade barriers which fol- even more serious.
lowed from international trade agreements and
trade reforms in developing countries, and the
vigorous ‘support’ of the IMF and the World Sovereign debt and the challenges
Bank for export-oriented strategies as a source
of growth and capital for debt repayment in it poses for economic welfare
developing countries. As more international Debt has always been a difficult part of the real-
trade is still intrafirm trade, the increase in over- ity of developing countries. Defaults on debt
all trade among rich and poor countries is inti- payments have existed for as long as credit itself.
mately linked also to the expansion of Indeed, the problems of debt servicing pre-
multinational firms which outsource production ceded Mexico’s first foreign loan after inde-
to places where labour is cheaper. pendence in 1827. However, debt has become a
Despite these facts, there is insufficient evi- particularly prominent issue in international
dence to see trade with developing countries as debates on economic development in recent
the culprit for the decrease in demand for low- decades.
skilled labour in developed countries. Freeman Much of that has to do with the strong
explains that the race to the bottom argument is activism emerging from transnational social net-
not consistent with evidence in the USA, where works and campaigns which have not only
wage differences among states and localities brought the issue to the forefront of economic
have persisted for decades despite free trade, discussions but have stressed the link between
migration and capital flows. Also, ‘among coun- debt and human rights. Thus, the reasons for
tries, wage differences between workers with the current salience of debt in the global econ-
seemingly similar skills have also persisted for omy are intimately linked to the emergence and
decades, albeit exaggerated by the divergences recognition of movements such as the Jubilee
between purchasing power parities and 2000 Coalition (now the Jubilee Research) and
exchange rates, and by differences in skills that the recent technological advances that have per-
are hard to measure’ (Freeman, 2000, p. 348). mitted the proliferation of information via the
Increased trade with developing countries Internet. Using this last is a core piece of these
may have produced some of the reduction in activists’ technique.
Sovereign debt and the challenges it poses for economic welfare 183
outstanding and delay a possibility of develop- Hunger is not only a product of inefficient or
ment for the poorest countries in the world, they corrupt governance but of serious ecological
are usually referred to as ‘odious debts’ and are conditions, such as droughts and low productiv-
inevitably the object of international scrutiny, ity of the land in some tropical areas. The vast
both at the level of increasingly engaged inter- spread of diseases such as malaria, hookworm,
national advocacy by civil society-based groups sleeping sickness and schistosomiasis (whose
and at the level of official creditors involved in transmission often depends on a warm climate)
the HIPC initiative. is not only a result of inadequate health policies
Cases of ‘odious debts’ reveal an essential fea- but a sign that scientific breakthroughs are con-
ture of the debt debate, especially when it comes fined to rich countries, even if they are some-
to making efforts towards achieving significant times achieved by scientists who came from a
relief. They point to the fact that not all debts poor country. In the case of malaria, for exam-
acquired by sovereigns – especially in the cases ple, tropical conditions allow the infection to
of the poorest countries with illegitimate spread. Mosquito control is expensive and not
regimes – are to be subjected to the obligation of always effective. If more resources were invested
repayment. In other words, the argument in this in the search for a vaccine, things could be dif-
case is that loans received by corrupt govern- ferent. Yet research and development of this
ments – not used to serve the population they kind demands a market. The biggest vaccine
ruled in any welfare-increasing aspect – cannot producers believe there is no market in malaria
be expected to be repaid by the legitimate and international subsidies that could provide
governments that took office later. the large labs with incentives to produce the
It is also important to notice that odious debt needed vaccines to cure tropical diseases are not
cases are not all confined to the group of coun- available.
tries which qualifies for debt relief under the The emphasis of development economists on
HIPC initiative. Notably, South Africa and the role of institutions seems to neglect the fact
Croatia are not candidates for HIPC-granted that the countries which have prospered the
debt relief. In these cases, perhaps, the argu- most in the current context of globalisation are
ment of odious debt itself – and not simply the not only places where institutions are efficiently
claim for cancellation of debts based on assess- managed and were well developed, but places
ments of economic sustainability – seems to hold where geographical conditions were favourable
strength as an argument for writing off such to their closer integration into global produc-
debts. tion systems, thus allowing them to benefit from
the inflow of international capital. This is the
case in a number of developing countries
The ‘digital’ and ‘ecological’ and/or regions experiencing some level of eco-
nomic growth, such as the coastal regions of east
divides Asia, coastal China, Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong
Income inequality is a consequence and a pro- SAR, Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia and
ducer of other kinds of inequalities. In some Indonesia. Impoverished regions with
sense, it is a consequence, according to Sachs, of unfavourable geographical conditions were
an ‘ecological divide’ – although this is by no excluded from possibly benefiting from globali-
means the only cause of inequality and extreme sation and are ‘trapped in poverty’. These are
poverty. By ‘ecological divide’ is meant the pro- countries in most of sub-Saharan Africa, central
found effect that the geographical circumstance Asia, large parts of the Andean region and the
can have, whether as an encouragement to their highlands of Central America.
development or as a crucial obstacle to growth. Moreover, income inequality also produces a
The poorest countries in the world are not ‘digital divide’ in that there is a sharply uneven
merely an ‘underdeveloped’ version of rich diffusion of information and communications
countries. If that were true, the alleviation of technology among different regions of the world
poverty would be an easier task. However, as and also within countries. Not only is new tech-
Sachs emphasises, ‘the poor live in different eco- nology largely produced in OECD countries
logical zones, face different health conditions (even if through using foreign labour from
and must overcome agronomic limitations that developing countries), but the use of this tech-
are very different from those of rich countries’. nology is also highly uneven. OECD countries,
186 The ‘digital’ and ‘ecological’ divides
with only 14 per cent of the world’s population, Birdsall, Nancy and Williamson, John (2002)
accounted for 86 per cent of patent applications Delivering on Debt Relief: From IMG Gold to a New
filed in 1998 and 85 per cent of scientific and Aid Architecture, Washington, DC: Centre for
technical journal articles published worldwide. Global Development and Institute for
Not surprisingly, these are also the countries that International Economics.
invest the most in research and development:
Chen, Shaohua and Ravallion, Martin (2001)
2.4 per cent compared with 0.6 per cent in
‘How Did the World’s Poorest Fare in the
South Asia. Because innovation also means own-
1990s?’, Review of Income and Wealth, 47,
ership, which produces profits in the form of
pp. 283–300.
royalties and licences, economic inequality is
also a part of this picture. Of worldwide royalty Cheru, Fantu (2001) ‘The HIPC Initiative: A
and licence fees in 1999, 54 per cent went to the Human Rights Assessment of Poverty Reduction
United States and 12 per cent to Japan (UNDP, Strategy Papers’, UN Commission on Human
2001). Rights, New York, 18 January.
Technology use is uneven within countries.
Dollar, David (2001) ‘Globalisation, Inequality,
Internet use in urban regions is greater than in
and Poverty since 1980’, November, World Bank,
rural ones; it is concentrated among the better
mimeo.
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China, the 15 least connected provinces, with the Wealth’, Foreign Affairs, January/February.
600 million people, have only 4 million Internet
users, while Shanghai and Beijing (with 27 mil- Easterly, William (1999) ‘How Did Highly
lion people) have 5 million users. In the Indebted Poor Countries Become Highly
Dominican Republic, 80 per cent of Internet Indebted?: Reviewing Two Decades of Debt
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five states – Delhi, Karnatake, Maharashtra, David A. (eds) International Political Economy, 4th
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cent and 70 per cent, respectively. Men make up Olive Tree, New York: Anchor Books.
86 per cent of users in Ethiopia, 83 per cent in
International Monetary Fund and World Bank
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(1999) ‘Heavily Indebted Poor Countries
France and 62 per cent in Latin America
(HIPC) Initiative – Perspectives on Current
(UNDP, 2001).
Framework and Options for Change’, 2 April,
www.imf.org/external/np/hipc/options/optio
Further Reading ns.pdf
Bhagwati, Jagdish N. (2002) ‘Coping with Anti- Kapstein, Ethan B. (1996) ‘Workers and the
Globalisation: A Trilogy of Discontents’, Foreign World Economy’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 75, no. 3,
Affairs, January/February. May/June, pp. 16–37.
Bhalla, Sunjit (2002) Imagine There’s No Country: Kremer, Michael and Jayachandran, Seema
Poverty, Inequality and Growth in the Era of (2002) ‘Odious Debt’, Finance and Development,
Globalisation, Washington, DC: Institute for vol. 39, no. 2, Washington, DC: IMF.
International Economics.
Krugman, Paul (1993) ‘The Uncomfortable
Birdsall, Nancy (1998) ‘Life is Unfair: Inequality Truth about NAFTA’, Foreign Affairs,
in The World’, Foreign Policy, no. 111, Summer. November/December.
–– (2002) ‘Policy Selectivity Foregone: Debt and Milanovic, Branko (2002) ‘The Two Faces of
Donor Behaviour in Africa’, Centre for Global Globalisation: Against Globalisation as We Know
Development, Working Paper 17, October. It’, May, World Bank, mimeo.
The ‘digital’ and ‘ecological’ divides 187
–– (1996) ‘Globalisation and the Embedded Wade, Robert and Wolf, Martin (2002) ‘Robert
Liberalism Compromise: The End of an Era?’, Wade and Martin Wolf, 3-Round Letter
MPIfG Lecture Series on Economic Exchange on World Poverty and Inequality for
Globalisation and National Democracy, Prospect Magazine, UK’, Centre for the Study
Cologne. for Globalisation and Regionalisation, University
of Warwick, www.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/CSGR/
Sachs, Jeffrey (1999) ‘Implementing Debt Relief PWade.pdf
for HIPCS’, manuscript, Harvard University.
Wolf, Martin (2001) ‘Growth Makes the Poor
–– (2002) ‘Resolving the Debt Crisis of Low Richer’, Financial Times, 23 January.
188
However, though few observers realised it at ference in which China participated), most of
the time, by the late 1970s this line of attack their energy during the preparatory sessions was
began to reach some foreseeable limits. The devoted to denouncing Western imperialism.
economic recession of the decade and rising Developing countries were initially reticent to
energy prices began to sap political enthusiasm commit themselves to the goals of the confer-
for following through on earlier commitments ence and dismissed environmental concerns as
to improve environmental quality. At the same unaffordable and impractical amenities.
time, industrial groups became adroit at deflect- However, the prospect of securing additional
ing calls for more stringent performance stan- development assistance and technology transfers
dards by threatening to downsize or relocate. eventually lured them to participate. The United
States, for its part, sought to derail the entire
enterprise at several critical junctures by assert-
Important environmental NGOs:
ing its sovereignty and challenging any efforts
■ Friends of the Earth that could curb economic growth.
■ Greenpeace Despite this acrimony, in June 1972 these dis-
■ International Chamber of Commerce putes faded into the background as Stockholm
■ World Business Council on Sustainable began to prepare itself for the United Nations
Development Conference on the Human Environment, the
first international gathering of political repre-
sentatives to discuss the planet’s ecological
Marching to Stockholm future. Despite notable absences from the Soviet
bloc, delegates from more than 100 nations
The problem of acidification and forest degra- appeared in the Swedish capital.
dation became a Swedish obsession during the The most serious immediate result of the
late 1960s and the government, in collaboration event revolved around its final communiqué, the
with the United Nations, sought to play a lead- Stockholm Declaration. Acknowledging the con-
ing role in addressing the problem. The imme- ference’s dominant political fissure – namely the
diate dilemma the Swedes faced was that there north-south divide – this was an all-encompass-
was no global forum to which they could bring ing document outlining 29 principles ranging
their grievances. The first task therefore was to from the standard array of environmental con-
create an appropriate institution to deal with cerns to admonitions to ban nuclear weapons, to
international-scale environmental concerns. bring an end to apartheid and to stamp out
In 1968, the UN General Assembly voted on a racism.
resolution to stage a conference on environ- In addition, the Stockholm conference gave
mental issues that would be hosted by Sweden. A rise to an extensive non-binding action plan that
decision to convene the event, however, was enumerated more than 100 initiatives to
stalled for two years as regional and interna- upgrade environmental quality, to improve nat-
tional rivalries complicated the task of develop- ural resource management and to enhance envi-
ing the terms of reference for the event. ronmental education. Many of these initiatives
Eventually, the various controversies were settled became the basis for subsequent cross-national
and the conference secretariat, under the direc- collaboration in the ensuing years. Yet the con-
tion of Canadian Maurice Strong, embarked on ference’s most enduring accomplishment was
a frenetic year of preparations. Aside from the the decision to establish a ‘small secretariat’ that
customary logistical considerations, the pending would evolve within the following year into the
conference brought another round of political United Nations Environment Programme
impasses. After it became evident that UN (UNEP). With its primary offices in Nairobi,
protocol would prevent East Germany from UNEP would be the first (and thus far only) UN
sending a delegation, the Soviet Union and its agency headquartered in Africa.
Eastern European allies decided to boycott the However promising some of its proclamations
proceedings. may have been, the Stockholm conference was
China proved to be an ambivalent participant. in the end little more than a first step towards
While many analysts of international politics the creation of a credible and effective institu-
were heartened by Beijing’s decision to despatch tional structure to manage global environmental
its diplomats (Stockholm was the first UN con- affairs. Perhaps not surprisingly, the heady
Environmental jamboree at Rio 191
euphoria that the event generated ultimately dis- potential held out the prospect of multifold
sipated quickly as the political realities of a Cold increases in skin cancers and other health
War-dominated world reasserted themselves and disorders.
established patterns once more took hold. In 1987, to its considerable credit, UNEP man-
Twenty years were to pass before the interna- aged to secure an international agreement – the
tional community would reassemble to take up Montreal Protocol – to establish a schedule for
the challenges first promulgated in Stockholm. the gradual elimination of ozone-depleting sub-
stances. Subsequent scientific research, however,
indicated that the so-called ozone hole was grow-
Important environmental IGOs:
ing more rapidly than had prompted the signa-
■ World Bank
tories to formulate the Copenhagen and
■ International Panel on Climate Change London Amendments to strengthen the terms
■ World Meteorological Organisation of the original accord.
■ UNEP Paralleling international efforts to address the
■ Global Environmental Fund (GEF) ozone problem was growing criticism of domi-
nant modes of economic development. A loose
confederation of NGOs began to argue that
Environmental jamboree at Rio development throughout much of the world,
especially in terms of projects sponsored by the
The preceding assessment should not be taken World Bank and other large lending agencies,
to mean that progress advancing a global view of often compounded the impoverishment of local
the environment came to a halt following the people. Developing countries were being
Stockholm conference. UNEP began the diffi- encouraged to assume large debt burdens to
cult job of establishing itself within the UN sys- build infrastructure that in the end failed to gen-
tem, which particularly meant securing a stable erate meaningful social benefits. At the same
and sufficient source of funding and retaining time, this critique continued, the rapacious rates
capable personnel. In these respects, the UN’s of resource extraction required to satisfy the
sensitive decision to site the new programme on appetites of consumers in developed countries
the African continent became a mixed blessing, were responsible for widespread global environ-
as this location placed its staff outside the main mental devastation.
circuits of diplomatic activity. Nonetheless, The Stockholm conference established much
under the leadership first of Maurice Strong and of the groundwork for this evaluation, but two
then of Egyptian Mostafa Tolba, UNEP played notable publications during the 1980s gave it
an instrumental and important role in setting up added relevance. First, UNEP, with partial fund-
an extensive global environmental monitoring ing from the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), com-
network and in forging several regional environ- missioned the International Union for the
mental agreements such as the Mediterranean Conservation of Nature (IUCN) to prepare the
action plan. World Conservation Strategy. This document set
Throughout much of the 1980s, UNEP played forth a global strategy for managing natural
a crucial role trying to formulate a negotiated resources and biodiversity and sought to
solution to the vexing problem of stratospheric advance the view that economic development
ozone depletion. Pioneering scientific research and environmental quality were mutually
by Ian Rowland and Mario Molina a decade ear- dependent objectives. Then, in 1987, the
lier had drawn attention to the adverse effects World Commission on Environment and
on the protective ozone layer of essentially inert Development (WCED), a UN-sanctioned panel
chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), a family of ubiqui- headed up by Norwegian Prime Minister Gro
tous chemicals widely used as propellants and Harlem Brundtland, produced Our Common
refrigerants. Subsequent investigations carried Future and put the ideal of sustainable
out by the British Antarctic Survey demonstrated development on the international agenda. The
that indeed the ozone over the southern hemi- WCED famously defined sustainable develop-
spheric pole showed measurable dissipation. ment as ‘development that meets the needs
This finding was significant because ozone in the of the present without compromising the
upper atmosphere filters out dangerous ultravi- ability of future generations to meet their own
olet B radiation and reductions in its shielding needs’.
192 Environmental jamboree at Rio
signed at the Earth Summit sought only to international economy rebounded during the
achieve voluntary reduction targets. The United second half of the decade and production
States in particular argued strenuously for a non- expanded, greenhouse gas emissions likewise
binding accord because of concerns that more began to mount. In just a few short years, pro-
stringent requirements would choke off domes- ponents of the UNFCCC had come to realise
tic economic growth and bring about an that the politically agreeable decision to rely on
international recession. goodwill gestures to ameliorate climate change
Prior to the Rio conference, a spirited and had been a regrettable miscalculation.
amply funded anti-climate change coalition had This new awareness, combined with the per-
begun to mobilise in the United States and to sistence of record-setting heat waves, typhoons,
enlist a core group of dissenting ‘scientific scep- hurricanes and snowstorms around the world,
tics’ to refute the emergent expert consensus. led several European governments to begin
Comprised of several dozen large corporations – pressing for a binding international accord on
mainly from the oil, coal, electricity and auto- greenhouse gas emissions. Momentum to take
mobile industries – this alliance sought to invali- more substantive action came to a head at a
date research linking fossil fuels to climate negotiating session during the summer of 1996.
change and to thwart any concessions the White During this time-frame, international attention
House might make that could compromise their continued to focus on the domestic politics of
financial interests. Indeed, the whole of the climate change in the United States as the par-
Earth Summit became transfixed by a rancorous ticipation of the world’s largest emitter of green-
public controversy between the first President house gases would obviously be central to a
Bush and William O’Reilly, the administration’s more concerted effort to address the problem.
top environmental official. In July, Timothy Wirth, the US Undersecretary
Despite serious reservations in many quarters of State for International Environmental Affairs,
about its likely effectiveness, national legislatures announced that the Clinton administration
around the world dutifully began to ratify the would support an agreement to establish manda-
UNFCCC. Many scientists, NGO representatives tory targets. However, within weeks of this deci-
and environmentalists were disconsolate about sion, the Senate convened to express its view on
the mixed outcome, but resigned to the fact that the matter in the form of the Byrd-Hagel resolu-
the agreement, while problematic, was a step in tion. This declaration, which passed by a vote of
the right direction. Moreover, they continued to 95-0, stated that the Senate would not endorse
maintain that the portentous consequences of an international climate change treaty that did
climate change would in the end induce not impose meaningful restrictions on the
national governments to take appropriate pre- greenhouse gas emissions of developing coun-
cautionary action and, if necessary, stand up to tries or harmed the US economy. Further, the
powerful corporate lobbyists. resolution stated that any accord sent to the
Senate for ratification needed to include a
detailed explanation of the domestic regulations
Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol required to meet the commitment, as well as an
In retrospect, the sanguine optimism that accounting of their associated financial impacts.
accompanied the UNFCCC was entirely unwar- After several months of indeterminate discus-
ranted. The global economic downturn of the sion prior to the Kyoto conference, and several
early 1990s prompted national governments to weeks of intense wrangling in the ancient
focus their attention solely on promoting eco- Japanese city, the delegates settled on the broad
nomic growth, fostering employment and outlines of a more rigorous climate change
spurring investment. Virtually all elected offi- accord calling for mandatory reductions.
cials were utterly unenthusiastic about launch- Because of the inextricable connections
ing ambitious initiatives that could have adverse between carbon dioxide and fossil fuel-based
effects on domestic competitiveness. Decisions energy production, the resultant Kyoto Protocol
to do otherwise were viewed as foolhardy – tan- was, and remains, perhaps the most complex
tamount to a unilateral surrender in the name of environmental treaty ever negotiated. The coun-
an unsubstantiated problem fabricated by radi- tries that are parties to the agreement fall into
cal environmentalists intent on shutting down three broad political categories: the Europeans
the engines of prosperity. Accordingly, as the and a majority of the former Soviet satellite
194 Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol
°C °F
14.4 57.92
14.3 57.74
14.2 57.56
14.1 57.38
14.0 57.20
13.9 57.02
13.8 56.84
13.7 56.66
13.6 56.48
13.5 56.30
1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Figure 5.1 Global average temperatures Source: NOAA/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)
nations, the developing countries (including then intended to use this token action by the
China and India) and the umbrella group Chinese and Indian governments to meet at
(Japan, United States, Canada, Australia, New least one of the stipulations on ratification
Zealand, Iceland, Norway, Russia and Ukraine). imposed by the United States Senate.
The Kyoto Protocol seeks to reduce roughly 5 For the Europeans the Kyoto Protocol pro-
per cent of the industrialised world’s green- vided an opportunity to work on specific uni-
house gas emissions from a 1990 baseline by the form policies that would require national
end of the current decade (2008–2012). Each of legislative changes. These measures, by and
the so-called Annex I countries negotiated their large, reflect a traditional command-and-control
own per centage target, though in some cases approach to environmental policymaking and
cross-country aggregation was permissible. For seek to achieve a predetermined reduction tar-
instance, the European Union decided to utilise get. The main disadvantage to this approach is
this provision and to propose an 8 per cent over- that it discourages technological innovation by
all target. The United States negotiated a rela- subjecting companies to time-consuming and
tively ambitious 7 per cent reduction and Japan expensive regulatory review for all equipment
agreed to a 6 per cent cut. changes and upgrades, including pollution-con-
The relatively bold US target was the result of trol equipment. As a result, corporations face
a failed attempt at diplomatic brinkmanship by powerful disincentives to alter their production
the Clinton administration. The United States processes and thus to avoid installing new, more
announced that it would pursue a stringent tar- efficient equipment.
get as a gesture to entice China and India into a Under the Kyoto Protocol, Japan agreed to
deal. This gambit was designed to encourage pursue what will ultimately be a very expensive
these large developing countries to drop their national target. The high cost associated with
opposition to substantive participation and to the country’s proposed 6 per cent cutback arises
take on nominal obligations. President Clinton from the fact that Japanese industry had already
Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol 195
implemented during the 1970s most of the less implementation (JI) programme, the clean
prohibitive energy efficiency improvements that development mechanism (CDM) programme
are now being considered in the United States and the ‘cap-and-trade’ emission trading pro-
and elsewhere. Indeed, Japan has informally gramme. These three elements of the agree-
stated that it intended its target to serve as a sig- ment were designed to enhance flexibility by
nal of intent rather than a binding commitment. allowing countries to pursue reductions in the
Under the new climate accord, the former most cost-effective manner. They were derived
Soviet states retained emission levels that were from concepts developed from a series of inno-
equivalent to their production volumes prior to vative domestic initiatives in the United States
the 1992 economic collapse. Because of steep and they proved to be the heart of the interna-
declines in industrial production during the tional agreement.
decade, this arrangement meant that they had JI stems from a pilot programme that was
no substantive obligations. Further, many of the part of the UNFCCC known as Activities
eastern European countries that were once part Implemented Jointly (AIJ). This initiative
of the Soviet bloc have recently joined (or are encouraged member nations of NATO to make
due to join) the European Union. A condition infrastructure investments in developing coun-
of membership is that industry in these coun- tries that improved the quality of the global envi-
tries will meet substantially higher performance ronment while simultaneously stabilising local
standards. economies. Sponsoring governments imple-
From the admittedly narrow standpoint of mented these projects either to generate politi-
negotiating prowess, the developing countries cal goodwill or to influence the design of the AIJ
secured a very attractive deal for themselves as programme. Ultimately, it was decided as part of
the Kyoto Protocol, at least as in its current form, the Kyoto proceedings that credits from these
does not require a single one of them to reduce projects could not be carried forward into
its domestic greenhouse gas emissions. This the first commitment period (2008–2012).
exemption creates severe problems over the Accordingly, these credits essentially have no
longer term, especially with respect to India and value; nonetheless, they did spur 150 projects
China, because these two nations are presently accounting for reductions of 277 million metric
experiencing rapid economic growth. Current tons of carbon dioxide equivalents.
projections anticipate that they will both surpass AIJ was eventually split into two tracks. The
the United States as the world’s largest aggregate first – Joint Implementation – is for projects in
producers of greenhouse gases within the next the former Soviet bloc countries with paper
decade. Moreover, the developing countries as a commitments, but that have, due to economic
group have received funding to formulate adap- contraction during the 1990s, actual emissions
tation and mitigation programmes, to finance that are lower than their respective targets. The
the transfer of environmental technologies crediting period for these projects begins in
developed in the north, and to offset costs 2008. The second track, CDM, is roughly equiva-
associated with the paperwork mandated by the lent to JI though it is specifically intended for
accord. Additionally, members of OPEC developing countries. The negotiators decided
retained a phrase in the agreement that suggests in 2000 that the CDM should have a ‘prompt
they will be financially compensated for any rev- start’, thus beginning in 2000 projects imple-
enue losses attributable to the treaty. However, mented under this proviso are eligible to accrue
the Kyoto Protocol’s most striking provision is credits for the 2008–2012 period.
perhaps the one that Brazil secured at the last
minute allowing developing countries that Controversy
reduce their greenhouse gas emissions to sell The last mechanism, the cap-and-trade’ emis-
their quotas to the wealthy nations. sion trading programme, is the most controver-
It is unarguable that the United States left sial section of the Kyoto Protocol. This provision
Kyoto with a larger obligation than it would have allows production facilities that do not exceed
liked. This ambitious target was not only neces- their allocated obligations to sell unused emis-
sary because the Clinton administration had to sion credits to firms that are otherwise unable to
try to ease its political problems with the Senate meet their targets. Negotiators in Japan agreed
but was essential to secure compromises on to include this element, but made no decisions
three other provisions in the accord – the joint regarding the size, scope or fungibility of credits.
196 Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol
At the same time, environmental NGOs have The Kyoto Protocol’s inherent ambiguity
strongly opposed it because of allegations that it quickly became apparent and further discus-
confers upon industrial firms a tradable ‘right to sions were initiated to sharpen it up. The next
pollute’. Furthermore, it was uncertain how this four international climate change meetings were
mechanism would work in practice because organised around the difficult task of identifying
negotiators wrote no rules about whether these and resolving these outstanding issues. The
credits could be transferred to other parts of the fourth Conference of the Parties (COP) was
Kyoto Protocol, most notably CDM and JI. held in Argentina in 1998 and participants
drafted the Buenos Aires Plan of Action. The
plan established a 2000 deadline for clarifying a
Immediate Kyoto aftermath total of 153 outstanding items. This session also
Despite its awkward eleventh-hour compromises, brought a commitment from the host nation
the agreement in Kyoto gave the UNFCCC that it would adopt a voluntary reduction target
process a tangible goal towards which to work. as if it were an Annex I country. By announcing
Most significantly, a new set of binding commit- such a decision, Argentina satisfied one of the
ments and deadlines had replaced the voluntary stipulations of the Byrd-Hagel resolution,
approach to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. namely that developing countries should com-
The trading of carbon credits had also survived mit to a reduction target, even if that goal did
at the insistence of the United States. not constitute a fixed number. The obligation
Soon after departing Japan, European nations was not hard, but rather represented a flexible
and developing countries promptly launched an limit directly tied to the country’s economic out-
aggressive series of programmes to gain national put. This Argentine gesture was highly contro-
ratifications of the accord and to bring it into versial among developing countries because
force. In the United States, fossil fuel industries many of them remained strongly opposed to lim-
and car manufacturers began an equally vigor- its of any kind, regardless of how discretionary
ous campaign to derail the whole enterprise. they might be.
President Clinton was hemmed in, on one side, During this period, significant differences
by the Byrd-Hagel resolution proclaiming the emerged with respect to the Kyoto mechanisms.
Senate’s intent to vote down the treaty and, on Europeans, who have generally displayed greater
the other side, by the personal involvement of scepticism about the effectiveness of market-
Vice-President Al Gore whose presence in Kyoto based mechanisms, favoured a limit on the num-
unquestionably enabled the negotiations to con- ber of credits that countries could earn. Credits
tinue. Caught on the horns of an irreconcilable would have to be additional to all other require-
dilemma, Clinton signed the accord but refused ments, including financial constraints. In other
to send it to the Senate for ratification. words, for a project to be creditable under the
Meanwhile, much of the rest of the interna- Kyoto Protocol, its financing would have to
tional community quickly took up the challenge hinge upon the sale of the carbon credits.
of detailing a work plan to refine the Kyoto
Protocol. Unfortunately, the document pro- Framework for the future
duced in Kyoto did not address many of the The next COP, held in Bonn in 1999, was, by
issues that environmental proponents had advo- most measures, a lacklustre event. This confer-
cated and a long list of carried-over issues ence did not resolve any substantive issues, but
remained to be settled. Negotiators had aban- instead focused on narrowing negotiating posi-
doned these unresolved details – many of which tions to set a framework for future compromise.
were essential if the agreement was to promote The session’s main accomplishment was that it
meaningful environmental protection – in order maintained momentum for a follow-up meeting
to reach a consensus. For NGOs, this work scheduled for the next year in The Hague. More
revolved around pilot schemes and demonstra- importantly, the emphasis on policies had
tion projects intended to show, depending on changed. The European Union had shifted its
perspective, either the versatility or the futility of focus away from unified policies and measures
the policies embedded within the agreement. to promoting and ensuring the environmental
These activities took on a multitude of forms integrity of the three Kyoto mechanisms – JI,
because no one person or group seemed CDM and emission trading.
entirely certain what the treaty actually meant. The Netherlands meeting (COP 6) in
Immediate Kyoto aftermath 197
November 2000 was supposed to be the culmi- The sixth COP reconvened in Bonn during
nation of the Buenos Aires Plan of Action; how- the summer of 2001 and negotiators made some
ever, this was not to be. The president of the headway by reaching several conditional deci-
session, Dutchman Jan Pronk, circulated a docu- sions pertaining to the Buenos Aires Plan of
ment that became the basis for high-level minis- Action. However, the Bush administration’s deci-
terial deliberation. This paper covered four sion to withdraw the United States from the
broad issue areas – compliance, mechanisms, treaty effectively neutralised any meaningful
land use change and forestry (which is inextrica- implementation of the accord’s provisions.
bly linked to both the Kyoto mechanisms and
the size of each nation’s target) and developing Liberal interpretations
countries. A series of compromises on these Later the same year, negotiators gathered for the
issues was rejected the morning after the confer- seventh COP in Marrakech and this event was
ence was scheduled to close and the COP was notable because the EU assumed a position of
adjourned without reaching any substantive international leadership in Morocco on the issue
decisions. of climate change. In a barbed jab at the United
The confusion that ensued following the 2000 States, it was resolved that a country must be in
presidential election in the United States con- compliance with the entire agreement to be able
tributed to this inconclusive outcome. The wide- to access the Kyoto mechanisms and that coun-
spread belief at the time was that Gore had tries were allowed to bank some of the emission
indeed secured victory and that a more stringent reductions they achieved under the CDM. In
package would be possible under his presidency general, these decisions resulted in the granting
than was the case with President Clinton. of more credits for forestry and carbon seques-
However, this anticipated result did not come to tration projects than had been previously envi-
pass and George W. Bush prevailed. Within sev- sioned. These liberal interpretations of the
eral weeks of assuming office he announced that mechanisms were necessary to ensure that those
the United States would no longer participate in countries within the umbrella group (Canada,
the Kyoto Protocol (although the country Australia and New Zealand) that had not ratified
continues to be a party to the UNFCCC). the accord would do so. Such action would, in
The formal approval process for the agree- turn, further isolate the United States and
ment entailed some complicated calculus based increase international pressure from Europe
on both the number of ratifying countries and and the developing countries that had already
the percentage of overall carbon dioxide emis- ratified the treaty for US re-engagement.
sions. With the United States on the sidelines, it With the achievements of Marrakech as a
was necessary for Germany, Japan and Russia springboard, COP 8 held in New Delhi in 2002
(along with 52 other countries) to endorse the began the transition from negotiating the
treaty to bring it into force. Germany (as part of treaty’s organisational details to implementing
a collective EU process) ratified the Kyoto its provisions. Notably, the Delhi Declaration
Protocol at the end of May 2002 and the focuses on the gap between developed and
Japanese gave their formal backing one week developing countries, while refraining from any
later. These approvals left the future of the discussion of commitments. This round of nego-
agreement in Russian hands. Recognising his tiations focused on the needs of those develop-
pivotal position, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin ing countries that evince the greatest
embarked upon a shrewd diplomatic move in vulnerability to climate change and whose popu-
which he sought to play the EU and the United lations will require unprecedented amounts of
States off one another, so as to extract maximum financial and technological assistance to be able
benefit from any eventual decision. After a two- to adapt effectively.
year period of indecision, when it seemed all but As this volume goes to press, the most recent
certain that Russia would abstain from taking assembly of the parties to the climate change
action, government officials announced in May accord was COP 9 in Milan in 2003. This session
2004 that the climate accord would be submitted focused largely on forestry issues and immedi-
for ratification. This deal hinged on the EU’s ately earned the moniker the ‘Forest COP’ as it
quid pro quo to support Russia’s bid to join the sought to resolve disputes over terminological
World Trade Organisation. In late 2004, Russia definitions and to set out the conditions under
ultimately ratified the convention. which forestry credits would be granted under
198 Immediate Kyoto aftermath
CDM. This conference also marked negotiators’ exploit for their own purposes – frustrate efforts
formal recognition of the research and inde- to foster a truly meaningful campaign of
pendent NGO community. Negotiators could no international solidarity and cooperation.
longer ignore the fact that their proceedings Moreover, and continually lurking in the back-
were often stalled by endless squabbling, while ground, is the fact that the global biogeochemi-
the NGO-sponsored events – comprising envi- cal system is not geared to the slow pace at which
ronmental groups, business interests and aca- political negotiations proceed. Climate scientists
demic associations – were much livelier and contend that the middling targets advanced by
animated. As a result, expectations began to the Kyoto Protocol are woefully short of the mas-
develop that it will be these organisations, and sive reductions – in the order of 70–80 per cent
not the formal dealings among governments, – that would be required to stabilise the current
that will eventually determine the success or fail- atmospheric imbalance of greenhouse gases. It
ure of efforts to address the problem of climate is entirely conceivable that global climate
change. change will ultimately outstrip the capacity of
current institutions to respond in a prompt
enough manner. Of course, this will not be the
Conclusion first time that human foibles have prevented
It is apparent that over the past decade and effective, concerted action in the face of
longer an enormous amount of diplomatic impending catastrophe. In the past, though, the
attention has been devoted to the potent and consequences of these failures have tended to be
divisive issue of global climate change. For irre- localised, with few consequences on a larger geo-
pressible optimists, considerable progress has graphic scale. The outcomes of human interfer-
been achieved. The need to limit greenhouse ence with the planetary meteorological system
gas emissions has been put firmly on the global could hold surprises for which we are wholly
agenda and a group of core countries has unprepared.
accepted binding reductions on their release. It is therefore important to consider a future
This cast of mind contends that in the face of in which a political solution to the dilemma of
pronounced political antagonisms, unques- global climate change becomes widely recog-
tioned obsequiousness to economic growth and nised as permanently elusive. The evolving pro-
challenging scientific uncertainties, the achieve- gramme to allow nations and their companies to
ments that have been secured are highly signifi- exchange greenhouse gas emission credits will
cant. The current effort to move from a come into effect, but it is improbable that this
non-binding framework to a mandatory protocol trading scheme will ameliorate the core problem
is held up as a signal accomplishment and that a of excessive releases – certainly not at the levels
system of global environmental governance is that current scientific understanding deems nec-
beginning to take shape around the issue. Thus, essary. As the costs of an increasingly capricious
while modest at present, there exists today a climate continue to mount, the impetus for a
platform on which future agreements can be solution will move from the political to the
built and step by incremental step an adequate technoscientific arena. Indeed, there are already
institutional means of addressing climate indications that this shift is beginning to take
change will evolve. place.
A more measured assessment, however, must Global-scale interventions to manage ocean
acknowledge that the purported successes to currents actively as well as other meteorological
date offer little relief in a world that is likely over drivers, once deemed to be overly ambitious and
the next several decades to experience increas- excessively costly, are beginning to attract new
ingly variable and unprecedented weather con- interest. A growing cadre of so-called earth sys-
ditions: more and worse natural disasters, more tems engineers advocates fertilising the oceans
costly and damaging coastal deterioration, more with iron to stimulate photosynthesis by plank-
extinction of flora and fauna, and more political ton as a workable means to soak up excessive car-
instability. For adherents of this arguably more bon dioxide. Other options being subjected to
realistic perspective, it is clear that competing scientific scrutiny include the use of deep geo-
economic and political agendas – a collision that logical formations to sequester greenhouse gases
the fossil fuel industries and major oil- and coal- and the construction of immense diversion proj-
producing countries are only too willing to ects to bring water to newly drought-stricken
Conclusion 199
regions. Proponents for these imaginative we move deeper into the twenty-first century,
schemes point out that humanity – oftentimes these nascent public-private partnerships could
without conscious intent – is already managing well become the future of global governance.
global environmental systems and there is a
moral imperative to develop the expertise nec-
essary to execute this responsibility effectively. Websites
While it seems inevitable that future efforts to
tackle climate change will depend on emergent Climate Change Secretariat – www.unfccc.int
modes of scientific and technological knowledge, International Institute for Sustainable
it does not necessarily follow that political insti- Development – www.iisd.org
tutions will be made redundant. In many
respects, a planetary system that requires care-
fully calibrated, active decision making is likely to Further Reading
be more, rather than less, reliant on resilient
institutions of global governance. This is not to Grubb, Michael (1999) The Kyoto Protocol: A
say that this political system will be predicated Guide and Assessment, London: RIIA.
upon readily recognisable arrangements –
Victor, David (2004) Climate Change: Debate on
national governments, multilateral organisations
America’s Policy Options, Washington DC:
and international laws. As the climate change
Brookings.
negotiations and other parallel activities demon-
strate, far-sighted corporations and NGOs are Vig, Norman and Axelrod, Regina (2004) (eds)
finding novel ways in which to address the cur- The Global Environment: Institutions, Law and
rent generation of environmental challenges. As Policy, Washington DC: CQ Press.
200
American thinking manifest in the role played tional monetary system based on fixed rates,
by the USA in the creation of (the) Bretton which was the most important product of the
Woods (system) embodying the belief that a Bretton Woods meetings. The system had to pro-
rule-based international economy and interna- vide sufficient amounts of monetary reserves to
tional institutions to manage the rules were nec- allow member governments to maintain the
essary’ (Gilpin, 2000, p. 55). This was in sharp exchange rates for their currencies at predeter-
contrast to the market approach of the pre- mined values. All currencies of member states
Second World War years, when state interven- were then tied to the dollar, which was, in turn,
tionism was significantly low. tied to gold.
The goal of the Bretton Woods system was to From 1946 until the 1970s the system proved
create an international monetary constitution remarkably successful. A comparative study
based on a stable exchange rate regime, able to analysing the Bretton Woods system in relation
promote full employment and cooperation. to earlier monetary regimes concluded that it
‘Both Keynes and White planned an adjustable exhibited the best macro performance of any
peg system to be coordinated by an international economic regime, especially for the period
monetary agency’ (Bordo, 1993, p. 81). The between 1959 and 1970. However, many chal-
rules set up by the new system were based on a lenges to the Bretton Woods system developed
commitment to trade liberalisation incorporat- and they eventually led to its demise. As Bordo
ing the principle of non-discrimination and also explained, ‘the problems of the interwar system
to the reduction of controls on current account that Bretton Woods was designed to avoid re-
transactions, although capital controls were to emerged with a vengeance’. This time the con-
be allowed. There was also agreement that sequences, however, were different: in 1931 the
because exchange rates were to be fixed or collapse of the exchange system had led to
pegged, any change in exchange policy in one severe recession; in the 1970s the Bretton Woods
country would be possible only after consulta- system exploded into inflation (Bordo, 1993,
tions with the IMF. The Bretton Woods funda- p. 74).
mentals ensured the relative liberalisation of the The troubles of the new monetary system
world economy and thus created a need for arose from the fact that it was based on the US
some domestic protection from the conse- dollar. Hence, problems faced by the US econ-
quences of international competition. This led omy would inevitably feed through into the
to what became known as ‘the embedded liber- international system, unless corrective measures
alism compromise’. While the Bretton Woods were put in place. The 1960s presented no
rules tied exchange rate policies to a regime of scarcity of challenges to the US economy and by
fixed rates and underlined significant steps the time of the Vietnam War, the USA had
towards international openness, they allowed become lax in its price stability policy. To cover
individual governments to pursue economic sta- the great fiscal costs of the Vietnam War, auster-
bilisation and social welfare policies. That is to ity policies were called for. But given the always
say, ‘within permissible limits’, individual politically charged nature of introducing them,
nations would be free to pursue economic the US government opted instead to follow poli-
growth and full employment (Gilpin, 2000, cies of increasing both taxation and welfare
p. 57). In this sense, the Bretton Woods system spending. The second taken together with the
was, in fact, a compromise between the rigid spending on the war had a significantly infla-
gold standard of the nineteenth century, when tionary effect.
governments had limited ability to manage their Indeed, the Nixon administration
own economies, and the chaotic 1930s, when (1969–1974) compounded the problem of infla-
governments surrendered to competitive devalu- tion, which the Federal Reserve Bank (the US
ations and other damaging policies. It was ‘central bank’) also neglected to deal with effec-
designed to combine a move towards interna- tively, perhaps in an effort to smooth the way for
tional cooperation and liberalisation with a per- Nixon’s re-election in 1972 (Gilpin, 2000, p. 68).
missive approach within the realm of domestic Rising inflation in the USA led to a drop in inter-
policy, especially on the social security front. national confidence in the overvalued dollar,
The mechanisms through which these ambi- thus fuelling speculation. This, together with the
tious goals were to be achieved were marked by expanding US trade deficit, led ultimately to the
a well-coordinated effort towards an interna- devaluation of the dollar in August 1971.
From Keynesian consensus to ‘Washington consensus’ 203
The Bretton Woods system began to collapse resulting from the expansionary policies of the
and soon after the 1973 oil crisis introduced a Vietnam days and two oil price rises, increased
new set of problems to the world economy. interest rates. Dramatic effects on payments
Retaliating against the results of the Yom Kippur then followed in respect of existing loans that
war, the Arab members of OPEC boycotted the had been signed at floating rates. Developing
supply of oil, leading to a substantial increase in countries which had borrowed massive amounts
the price per barrel, which generated the rare of money were severely hurt by these interest
conjunction of both deflating economic activity rate increases as well as by the fact that the reces-
and strong price inflation. Given that oil is such sion had spread to other developed countries,
an important raw material, the severe increase constraining their exports. In addition, capital
in price led to a cascade of price increases flight from many developing countries made the
through transportation cost increases that were crisis worse. In Mexico, these outflows increased
eventually transferred to the prices of almost all from US$2.2. billion in 1980 to US$4.7 billion in
goods in the world economy. At the same time, 1982 and increased further to US$9.3 billion in
because much more money had to be spent on 1983. Argentina saw a similar pattern, with out-
the purchase of oil, a substantial withdrawal of flows increasing from US$3.5 billion in 1980 to
purchase power from the world economy led to US$7.6 billion in 1982.
recession. The combination of inflation with By August 1982 Mexico neared complete
low economic growth and unemployment, default and as banks ceased the provision of
known as stagflation, surfaced in the USA and credit, Brazil, Argentina and other major
in Europe. debtors found themselves in a similar position.
Meanwhile, in developing countries, the The outcome was certainly dramatic. By 1983,
dynamics produced by the oil crisis led to dra- over 25 countries were in arrears, initiating
matic events of a different nature. The profits more than a decade of debt restructuring
incurred by oil producers – the petrodollars – effort. Rescheduling these debts then required
were deposited in increasingly fat accounts in the IMF, pushed by the US government, to
Western banks, which were eager to multiply provide ‘jumbo loans’ to Brazil, Mexico and
their gains by providing easy credit to develop- other debtors, in exchange for promises to
ing countries, especially in Latin America. Those implement austerity policies under the
governments were, in turn, more than happy to umbrella of the comprehensive IMF market
receive the loans they needed to pay for the reform programmes, known as Structural
macroeconomic instability that marked the last Adjustment Programmes and explained in
years of military dictatorships in most of the detail below.
region (especially in Brazil and Argentina) and This was the turning point at which the
the decline of the hegemonic party system of demise of the Bretton Woods system, along with
Mexico. The spiral of new borrowing and lend- the crises of the 1970s and 1980s (for developing
ing was, in turn, accelerated by an incentive sys- countries especially), led the way to an era of
tem created through the loan syndication economic policy where interventionism
process. This meant that although banks contin- decreased significantly, at least in theory, and
ued to lend on their own account, they could where market-oriented reforms would take cen-
reap larger fees with less risk by arranging loans tre stage in policymaking in developed and,
involving a large group of banks. In fact, ‘these especially, in developing countries. The age of
so-called lead banks, with regional and smaller predominant neoliberalism had arrived. The
banks in tow, searched far and wide for lending discussions of its evolution are legion; here,
opportunities’ (Aggarwal, 1996, p. 38). Latin some main points are briefly summarised.
American debt grew from US$74.5 billion in
1975 to nearly $315 billion by the end of 1982.
By 1983, foreign debt had reached 325 per cent
From Keynesian consensus to
of the region’s exports of goods and services as ‘Washington consensus’:
compared with 166 per cent in 1975.
economic theory and global reality
Crisis point After the Great Depression the Western world
This situation became unsustainable by 1981. embraced Keynesianism and its primary idea
The USA, faced with inflationary pressures that state intervention was essential to promote
204 From Keynesian consensus to ‘Washington consensus’
growth and avoid apparently unending high In this scenario, developing countries sought
unemployment. This view was in sharp opposi- to build up industrial potential by mobilising
tion to the classical theoretical assumption that foreign and state investment, finding the rev-
an economy always functioned in full employ- enue they needed for state investment through
ment and that in a recession, labour prices the sale of traditional exports – a strategy that
would simply drop, causing employers to hire became known as import substitution industrial-
more workers and thereby avoid unemploy- isation, or ISI. Such strategy was marked by the
ment. For Keynes, state intervention in the deep degree of protection imposed on external
form of expansive fiscal policies (i.e. increased goods, thus allowing local producers, who could
government spending) would be the only way not normally compete with foreign suppliers, to
to overcome recession. Once good times find themselves in a market suddenly favourable
returned, government intervention would also to their products.
be essential to prevent the economy from over- Nonetheless, at the same time as ISI repre-
heating by drawing money back out of it. In sented a direct attempt on the part of develop-
short, the Keynesian prescription was for gov- ing countries’ governments to promote
ernments to save in good times and spend in physical-capital formation, it neglected to foster
bad times. competitiveness, innovation, technological capa-
The 1940s were exemplified by the emer- bility and other important features of enhanced
gence of the ‘Keynesian consensus’ as Western productivity. With its focus on savings and invest-
governments nationalised declining or impor- ment, ‘ISI proved to be very effective in building
tant private companies, regulated their econ- factories and infrastructure. In other regards, it
omy, adopted public spending policies and was failing’ (Rapley, 1996, p. 39). Since local pro-
other means. They thus involved themselves far ducers still had to rely on the import of capital
more deeply in the management of their goods, and since the costs of imported inputs
economies than ever before. At the same time, actually outweighed the savings generated by the
Keynesianism began to find its way into the work local production of capital goods, ISI in fact
of development theorists. Allied with the new worsened the national balance of trade. The
ideas that emerged from the success of Soviet inefficiencies of ISI were thus added to the
industry at a time of Western decay, Keynesian chaotic scenario of international indebtedness
theory also gave strong support to an expanded and high inflation that marked the late 1970s
role for the state in the economy in developing and the 1980s. Developing countries struggled
countries. to emerge from crisis and find new policy solu-
tions to what seemed to have become endemic
Origins, rationale and content of problems.
As the debt crisis of the 1980s significantly
structural adjustment constrained credit to developing countries –
especially those Latin American economies
programmes which had suspended debt payments – the IMF
Through the 1950s, the 1960s and especially became the only source of funding available. In
the 1970s, the basic premise of much develop- exchange for future loans, however, the Fund
ment thinking was that the structure of inter- required that countries pursued a package of
national economic relations was biased against policies that became known as structural adjust-
countries in the developing world. The struc- ment programmes (SAPS), part of a set of condi-
ture of the international economic system, tionalities attached to international credit. SAPs
rather than characteristics internal to develop- sought ‘to permit renewed, or accelerated devel-
ing countries, was identified as the principal opment by correcting “structural” disequilib-
cause of under-development. Development was rium in the foreign and public balances’
thus viewed as qualitatively different in the (Ahmed and Lipton, 1997). Such measures are
north and south, particularly in that the laws of often required as conditions for receiving World
neo-classical economics were assumed not to Bank and IMF loans and are often called ‘condi-
apply equally in the developing world. These tionalities’. The key objectives of the reform pro-
views were derived from structuralist and grammes were a reduction or elimination of
dependency theories, which predominantly balance-of-payments and public-sector deficits,
influenced policymaking. the resumption of higher rates of economic
Origins, rationale and content of structural adjustment programmes 205
growth, and the achievement of structural over the Western world. Conservative govern-
change to prevent future payments and stabilisa- ments emphasised the rolling back of the state
tion problems (such as the debt crisis of the and the freeing of the market.
1980s). A central aspect of SAPs was their A reassertion of the neo-classical tradition in
emphasis on increased specialisation in the pro- economics had found expression in the works of
duction of ‘tradable’ commodities not only by Adam Smith and, in modern times, Milton
the public sector but especially via private invest- Friedman, who were strong advocates of the idea
ment – a clear consequence of the failure of the that free markets had the exceptional capacity to
ISI programme. stabilise economies without the need for govern-
mental intervention. The Washington political
Shift to the right and economic environment embraced these
The market orientation embraced by the IMF ideas and translated them into a set of policies
was a reflection of an international move in this that later became known as the ‘Washington
direction. The electoral victory of Margaret consensus’. This neoliberal reforming ‘package’
Thatcher in the UK and of Ronald Reagan in the strongly advocated fiscal austerity, market-
USA marked a pronounced shift to the right all determined exchange and interest rates,
206 Origins, rationale and content of structural adjustment programmes
financial and trade liberalisation, privatisation, to the south (from Washington to Buenos Aires)
and deregulation of domestic labour markets and from the west to the east (from London to
and businesses. Moscow), so did criticism of the ‘Washington
Consensus’ whose prescription, embraced by the
International Monetary Fund, started to show
Conditionalities are the requirements imposed by mixed results by the end of the 1990s, with
the IMF and World Bank on borrowing countries to records of inequality alarmingly worse than the
qualify for a loan, typically including a long list of expectations of market reform advocates.
budgetary and policy changes comprising a ‘struc- The impact of neoliberal reforms was being
tural adjustment programme’. studied closely as the 1990s came to an end. In
Structured adjustment programmes (SAPs), in an analysis of nine countries in Latin America
turn, are typically a set of policies designed to (Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Argentina, Costa Rica,
achieve economic liberalisation and monetary sta- Mexico, Colombia, Jamaica and Peru), it was
found that ‘growth has been modest, employ-
bility. On the liberalisation front they include:
ment has grown slowly and with problems in job
reducing barriers to trade and capital flows, cur-
quality, and inequality has not improved and
rency devaluation to make exports more competi- may even have gotten worse’ (Stallings and
tive, and privatising state enterprises. On the Peres, 2000). In addition, increased growth of
monetary stability front, SAPs include: reducing exports (in volume as well as in value) has not
budget deficits, reducing domestic credit expan- led to a comparable growth of output. Despite a
sion, and freeing controlled prices and interest rapid growth of exports, imports have grown
rates. SAPs have become known for being the even faster, leading to widening trade deficits.
policy arm of neoliberal reforms. Moreover, winners and losers from the
reforms enacted made up distinguishable
groups, according to Pieper and Taylor (1998).
However, a note of caution should be exer- Winners were those who formed the political
cised when it tends to be assumed that the coalitions most likely to support market reforms.
spread and consolidation of neoliberalism in Domestically, they were exporters, who bene-
Latin America (in particular) was simply the fited from trade liberalisation, financial groups,
consequence of the impositions of international which profited from market deregulation, and
financial institutions. As Biersteker points out, the top 10–20 per cent of earners, who gained
‘ideas can have an independent political effect, consumption access to myriad new imported
but they also need an enabling environment in goods and financial services. The losers were
which to take root and flourish’ (Biersteker, people in the bottom 80 per cent of the distri-
1995, p. 175). In a chaotic context of hyperinfla- bution (i.e., lower and middle classes), some
tion, debt and slow growth, and after many industrialists and old political elites. The first
failed attempts to achieve economic stabilisation group, however, because of increased fiscal
by means that had only further increased infla- restraint, found itself in a more desperate posi-
tion, not only technocrats, mostly graduates of tion since there were no longer strong social
US universities, but also the populations of most welfare systems to fall back on.
Latin American countries, especially those of From the point of view of political economy,
Brazil, Mexico and Argentina, the largest and the disturbing social consequences of economic
most highly indebted economies in the region, liberalisation should come as no surprise. After
were eager to try a bit of strong but apparently all, almost 60 years before what is now called
healing medicine. Chile, after successfully being ‘globalisation’ took the world by storm, Polanyi
able to stabilise its economy and achieve sub- had warned the world of the likely national
stantial growth by adopting neoliberal reforms, impact of international integration. In The Great
became an example to be followed by all coun- Transformation (1957), he explored the socially
tries in the region. At the same time, the East disruptive and polarising tendencies in the
Asian ‘exceptionalism’ was in contrast to the world economy driven by what he called the self-
poor performance of Latin America in the ‘lost regulating market. Those tendencies charac-
decade’ of the 1980s, which further faulted the terised a ‘double movement’, within which an
lack of openness of the Latin economy. unprecedented expansion of the market coex-
As neoliberal reforms spread from the north isted with a massive social disruption. This in
The fragmentation of governance 207
turn caused a sharp political reaction in the hyperbolic, that allows no other interpretation
form of public demands that the state counter- than occasional irrational markets and destabilis-
act the deleterious effects of such market-driven ing speculation’ (Kindleberger, 2000, p. 24).
capitalism. Indeed, for Polanyi, this double Indeed, the 1990s saw no scarcity of news con-
effect ultimately generated the conditions of the taining words such as ‘manias’, ‘insane land spec-
1930s and produced – out of a breakdown in lib- ulation’, ‘financial orgies’, ‘frenzies’, ‘feverish
eral economic structures – the phenomena of speculation’, ‘intoxicated investors’, ‘craze’,
depression, fascism, unemployment and nation- ‘toxic waste investments’, ‘contagion’, ‘panic’,
alism, which combined had led the world to war. ‘turbulence’.
After the Second World War, the lessons Countries, whether rich or poor, which
learned from this experience produced a new embraced liberalisation have grown more vul-
multinationalism and ‘the compromise of nerable to the wild moods of global capital. The
embedded liberalism’ which combined eco- famous case of George Soros’ audacious (but
nomic liberalisation with domestic social protec- successful) speculative attack against the British
tion. Today, however, the strict policies of fiscal pound in 1992 was an event with obviously
austerity that are the mantra of neoliberal important consequences and, if anything, a clear
reformers inhibit the possibility of sustaining, sign that audacity in financial circles found no
still less creating, the social safety nets needed to boundaries even in taking on powerful domestic
cushion the negative effects on marginalised economic structures. Even more disturbing were
social groups of a global trend towards the the severe financial crises of the decade: the
liberalisation of economies. Mexican peso crisis in 1994, the Asian crisis in
Critics of neoliberal reforms, who range from 1997 and the Russian crisis in 1998.
critics of capitalism per se to more moderate The increase in vulnerability that economies
rejections of the specific form liberalisation has face as they join the global capitalist game, how-
taken in the last decade, blame neoliberalism for ever, is not as original a process as the emer-
not being able to achieve real improvements in gence of new legal regimes to govern
living conditions. It is thus important to acknowl- cross-border economic transactions. These new
edge that the emphasis on growth via the attrac- legal regimes are particular to the latest stage of
tion of international investments, which in economic globalisation. Also, private debt secu-
developing countries are likely to be volatile and rity or bond rating agencies (such as Moody’s
short term, cannot substitute for a domestic devel- and Standard & Poor’s), which operated prima-
opment strategy. Such a strategy needs to pro- rily in the USA, have in the last ten years built
duce sustained growth over the medium to long branches in several other countries, strongly
term, not only by maintaining some degree of influencing international investors, especially
control over inflation but also by targeting the those who are most attracted to the high returns
disturbing issue of inequality. Its persistence is in offered by the so-called ‘emerging markets’, that
itself the single most vivid threat to the political is to say, certain developing countries that show
endurance of the neoliberal model as an accept- promising economic figures, political stability of
able policy path. (See Part D, Chapter 4.) sorts and a ‘tolerable’ degree of social instability.
This conclusion becomes even clearer from Another example of transnational legal
an examination of the global financial system in regimes that influence local practices is the
further detail. development of the main global accountancy
and auditing norms currently in use by the
The fragmentation of International Accounting Standards Committee
and the International Federation of
governance: the case of the Accountants. All these cases are examples of
activities that take the form of what has been
international financial system termed ‘governance without government’. That
Markets are not always rational: ‘The a priori is to say, as some of the authority of the formerly
assumption of rational markets and consequently sovereign state has been relocated in trans-
the impossibility of destabilising speculation are national collectivities, some of the functions of
difficult to sustain with any extensive reading of governance are now being performed in ways
economic history. The pages of history are strewn that do not originate within governments.
with language, admittedly imprecise and possibly So as the state has embraced liberalisation –
208 The fragmentation of governance
particularly financial – it has also subjected itself tional financial markets. Financial crises were
to new transnational regulations that are restric- severe in the 1990s, adversely affecting interna-
tive, if not intentionally, in the very fact that they tional trade and capital flows, domestic credit and
are not subject to formal control by individual ultimately output. And, expectably, crises did not
states. And although it can be claimed that remain confined to their epicentre; financial prob-
financial transactions were never fully under the lems have often resulted in severe output contrac-
control of states, they have, particularly in the tions, leading to worsened trade balances of major
last decade, developed an overwhelming level of trading partners and doubts over the repayment of
speed and sophistication (based on technologi- international loans (Weeler, 2001, p. 99).
cal innovation mainly) that produces sudden A simplified version of how financial crises
results and contagious effects as soon as a crisis unfold includes the following set of dynamics.
hits any given economy. First, international capital markets perceive
While official sector capital investments into there to be new financial opportunities. Credit
developing countries rose only from $30 billion expansion follows as investors, moved by the
to $80 billion over the last 20 years, private-sec- pursuit of high profits, allocate resources in the
tor investment rocketed from $45 billion to peak sector where gains can be expected. This is a
at $300 billion during the same period. Clearly, stage known as the ‘speculative boom’, which
developing nations are fertile ground for private leads to a rise in the price of the sought-after
investors. Nowadays, private-sector debt is four assets, suggesting even more new profit oppor-
times higher than multilateral and official debt tunities and, in turn, draws more investors into
in middle-income countries and many loans fre- the market in a self-reinforcing cycle. This
quently have to be rescheduled or refinanced. causes profits to rise rapidly and is also referred
These developments are to a great extent a to as the ‘euphoria stage’ when speculation on
consequence of the aggressive financial liberali- price increases becomes yet another important
sation reforms developing countries have factor driving up the market.
engaged in during the last 15 years. The logic for ‘While the “speculative bubble” or the “mania”
it came out of a technocratic consensus devel- is expanding, many gains are derived from the
oped in Washington, according to which ‘finan- process. The word “mania” emphasises the irra-
cial systems should ensure that capital will move tionality (of the market); “bubble” foreshadows
from economies with surplus savings to those the bursting’ (Kindleberger, 2000, p. 15).
where investment opportunities exceed local However, at some point some investors will per-
savings, and that capital should be free to move ceive that the market has reached its peak and
toward those places and activities where it would will start to convert their inflated assets into
be used most efficiently; thus, the efficient utili- money or ‘quality’ investments. Because the mar-
sation of the world’s scarce capital resources ket works more through ‘herd behaviour’ than
would be achieved. To this end, markets and not rational actions from ‘rational actors’, more peo-
governments or international organisations ple begin to sell their assets, prices fall and bank-
would govern the international financial system’ ruptcy cases increase (Gilpin, 2000). Soon, the
(Pauly, 1997, p. 135). speculative bubble bursts, causing prices to col-
In fact, global financial liberalisation was insti- lapse and spreading panic to investors who try to
gated by the USA as part of a strategy that has save what they can, causing a possible ‘credit
recognised – since the Reagan administration – crush’ and, ultimately, severe recession where the
that US financial interests would greatly benefit investments had collapsed (see Figure 6.1).
from freedom of capital movements since it con- This sequence was in play during the crises
stantly needs to tap into the world’s savings in that plagued Mexico in 1994, Asia in 1997 and
order to make up for its limited savings capabili- Russia in 1998. There was also a disturbing ele-
ties. Today this logic is more valid than ever ment of contagion in these episodes; for exam-
given the immense US budget deficit. ple, as the Russian crisis unfolded, the Brazilian
However, instead of inaugurating an interna- economy felt an almost immediate hit which cul-
tional financial regime where liberalisation of minated in a severe devaluation of the Brazilian
financial markets would correct savings and con- real in January 1999. Overtrading, another way
sumption imbalances worldwide in a neat non- to describe the speculative boom, has historically
interventionist system, as neoliberal logic would tended to spread from one country to another
have it, disturbances have prevailed in interna- through many different conduits, which range
Governance and the regulation of ‘deregulation’ 209
autumn of 1986, London experienced the bold- tions and state actors per se to a combination of
est of both: the abolition of restrictive practices privatised governance and loose, networked
by the Stock Exchange and the inauguration of public/private interfaces’ (Cerny, 2000, p. 74).
a new, more extensive and intrusive system of The networks and hierarchies that transcend
regulation. On 27 October, in what is referred to a neat domestic–international divide make up a
simply as the “Big Bang”, the London Stock third element in the structure of financial gov-
Exchange abandoned fixed commissions on ernance and this makes the reregulation of
stock transactions; eliminated the system of sin- financial activity (especially) an example of the
gle capacity, whereby financial service firms complex overlapping ‘spheres of authority’.
could serve as market markers or brokers but Understanding the politics embedded in this
not both; and opened membership to banks and process is a tough exercise involving the dissec-
foreign financial institutions. On 7 November, tion of the conflict of interest of the many play-
Parliament passed the Financial Services Act ers involved and linking the outcomes of the
(FSA), which resulted in a new private regula- ‘widening and deepening of private financial
tory agency, five self-regulatory organisations infrastructure’ to the possible erosion of truly
(SROs), (and) dozens of compliance depart- democratic governance (Cerny, 2000, p.78).
ments’ (Vogel, 1996, p. 93).
A more contemporary example of reregula-
tion within a liberalised industry that has Further Reading
changed life for companies in the USA is the
Aggarwal, Vinod (1996) Debt Games: Strategic
Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 which was designed
Interaction in International Debt Rescheduling,
to respond to the many corporate scandals aris-
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
ing from financial and accounting fraud. ‘The
Act’ or ‘the New Law’ was signed by President Ahmed, Ismail and Lipton, Michael (1997)
Bush on 30 July 2002 and was the most signifi- ‘Impact of Structural Adjustment on Sustainable
cant and comprehensive statutory revision of the Rural Livelihoods: A Review of the Literature’,
US federal securities laws in over 60 years. The IDS Working Paper 62, Sussex: Institute of
Act resulted in broad corporate and accounting Development Studies and Poverty Research
reform for public companies and the accounting Unit.
firms that audit them, enforced by the US
Biersteker, Thomas J. (1995) ‘The Triumph of
Securities and Exchange Commission.
Liberal Economic Ideas in the Developing
However, confining reregulation to formal
World’ in Stallings, Barbara (ed) Global Change,
governmental action does not tell the full story.
Regional Response: The New International Context of
The role of governments in this sphere of shap-
Development, Cambridge: Cambridge University
ing financial market reform can be one of the
Press.
‘mere prudential supervisor – the guardian of
safety and soundness, but not the major deter- Bordo, Michael (1993) ‘The Bretton Woods
miner of the distributional or redistributional International Monetary System: A Historical
impact of market outcomes’ (Cerny, 2000, p. 77). Overview’ in Bordo, Michael and Eichengreen,
Governance in the case of the most footloose of Barry (eds) A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods
economic activities – namely, that embraced by System: Lesson for International Monetary Reform,
the financial sector – is to be seen not simply Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.
through the emergence of distinct, competing Cerny, Philip (2005) ‘Power, Markets and
forms of authority (private versus public, or Accountability: The Development of Multi-Level
domestic versus international) but ‘actually as Governance in International Finance’ in Baker,
convergence of both domestic and international Andrew, Hudson, David and Woodward, Richard
governance structures around a neoliberal (eds) Money, Finance and Multi-Level Governance,
model’ (Cerny, 2000, p. 67). Moreover, the impli- Oxford: Routledge.
cation of change in authority structures for finan-
cial reregulation is that ‘the development of –– (2002) ‘Webs of Governance and the
embryonic transnational governance processes Privatisation of Transnational Regulation’ in
and structures (regulating security markets) rep- Andrews, David, Henning, C. Randall and Pauly
resents a shift of focus of transnational financial Louis (eds) Governing the World’s Money, Ithaca
market regulation away from formal state institu- and London: Cornell University Press.
Governance and the regulation of ‘deregulation’ 211
CHAPTER 7: Religion
In February 1989 UNESCO, the cultural arm of trate on the ways in which religion contributes to
the United Nations, convened a symposium in destabilising and hostile actions in the global
Paris with the theme ‘No World Peace Without scene. Religion may, of course, be a constructive
Religious Peace’. That an essentially secular organ- force, but there is ample warrant for treating
isation should have taken this as the focus for its religion as a problem in the contemporary
deliberations may be very significant. Viewed from world. Its impact on current affairs has become
one angle this rubric implies that religion plays a more and more apparent and increasingly dis-
special role in human affairs and is necessary for turbing in recent years, especially in its relation-
those affairs to be so conducted as to serve the well- ship with the spread of terrorism. In contrast to
being of humankind. But viewed from another prevailing political and social scientific ways of
angle it implies that religions are sources of divi- looking at the world, a more global perspective
siveness and conflict and that unless those features on religious violence is needed. In 2001, over
of their behaviour are overcome, all efforts at half of the 34 serious conflicts around the world
seeking a peaceful world are likely to be futile. had a religious dimension to them. A rise in reli-
giously related conflict or terrorism by new reli-
gious non-state actors has taken place over the
Ambiguity last 20 years; they do not rely on the support of
The two possible meanings of the same phrase sovereign states (which is what distinguishes
point to a profound and persistent ambiguity global terrorism from international terrorism),
that marks the place that religious belief and nor do they seem to set any constraints on the
practice plays in global affairs. On the one hand limits of their violence (Thomas, Palgrave
there are inspiring teachings in most religious Macmillan, 2005, 9).
traditions about the need for peace and the Oliver McTernan utilises three paradigms to
moral obligations to sustain community between indicate the reasons why violence erupts in cer-
and benevolence towards peoples of every land tain places and under certain conditions. These
and culture. On the other hand, religion is often are creed, grievance and greed. Each of these terms
either the source of, or the sanction for, exclu- is a shorthand way of pointing to a particular way
sionary divisiveness and tribal insularity. of understanding the outlooks that give rise to
There is a sense in which religion exhibits conflicts. They differ to a large extent in the
both the best and the worst of the attitudes and degree to which they consider religion to be the
behaviour which affect global affairs. Those who pivotal factor in explaining conflict.
see the worst often suggest that nations and The term ‘creed’ refers to the religious
groups will come together only by excluding reli- thought patterns that give rise to disagreements
gion from the social process. In contrast, those – thought patterns of the type to which Samuel
who see the best believe that only as the teach- Huntington has directed attention in speaking
ings of religion that extol the virtues of peace, about the clash of civilisations (Simon and
justice and worldwide community are brought to Schuster, 1996). The claim is that differences in
bear on political affairs will any peaceful condi- fundamental beliefs are increasingly at the root
tions between nations and peoples prevail. of global conflicts. In commenting on this,
McTernan suggests that Huntington has possibly
Making an impact been overly prone to see religions as consisting
This section focuses on sources of crises and of belief structures with monolithic features,
conflict. What follows, therefore, will concen- though he does acknowledge that Huntington
Religion in the service of causes 213
may be right in judging many contemporary that tend to discount it. We can learn from these
conflicts to be outgrowths of differences paradigms that while religion is somehow
between clearly identifiable world views. But involved in the cause of conflict, it may be easy
McTernan’s own term, ‘creed’, may have its own to overplay, underplay or misplay that role and
reductionist limitations for describing the that scholars differ in how they understand the
thought patterns of a religion. extent to which religion is at the root of con-
What is at stake is not merely a formal set of temporary conflicts. If political and social scien-
doctrines – which is what is usually meant by the tists whose thinking is dominated by secular
term creed – but a broader spread of beliefs and premises underplay that role, then a corrective is
practices that characterises a religious tradition called for. McTernan offers his own version of
in its entirety. There is certainly no doubt that such a corrective in a chapter entitled ‘Religion
there are deep and persistent contrasts between matters’. Others have made a similar point; for
various religions, particularly when those reli- instance, Max L. Stackhouse writes (2002, p. 11):
gions are embraced as the one and only proper
way to understand reality. Mark Juergensmeyer The moral and apolitical architecture of every
(2001) is another scholar whose work empha- civilisation is grounded, more than any other
sises the causal role of religious factors in the factor, in religious commitments that point to
rise of conflict. His study of the role of religion a source of normative meaning beyond the
in the rise of terrorism is particularly insightful political, economic, and cultural structures
in this. themselves. Neither these spheres of life nor the
The third term in McTernan’s trilogy is dynamics of the modern professions and the
‘greed’: this paradigm puts much less emphasis transnational, transeconomic, and
on matters of belief and commitment and points transcultural movements for, say, ecology or
instead to economic conditions that give rise to racial justice can be understood without
conflicts. According to this paradigm for under- grasping the religious dimensions of moral
standing global conflict, advanced by Paul convictions and social history
Collier of the World Bank among others, con-
flicts develop in low-income countries when the The foregoing materials are typical of a grow-
poor prospects of obtaining a greater share in ing awareness that religion plays a very impor-
wealth become apparent to the economically tant role in world affairs. But beyond making
downtrodden. This can happen only when such that point it is important to recognise the nature
groups find the means to finance military opera- of the role played by religion in global politics to
tions, either by appropriating resources from understand how religion functions. For this task
within or by financing them from outside. If alternative approaches may be more useful. One
they do find such resources, they challenge the way to do this is to sort out causes that frequently
injustice of the existing order. gain religious support and then to examine how
That quasi-economic explanation for the rise religion serves to motivate people in pursuing
of conflict is closely related to the last of the those causes.
terms suggested by McTernan, ‘grievance’. This
explanation draws attention to the manner in
which being deprived of the resources of a cul- Religion in the service of causes
ture breeds resentments. This paradigm is Religion often contributes to conflict by provid-
utilised by Ted Robert Gurr (2000), who chal- ing the cause or the rationale for which violence
lenges the assumption that religious outlooks is considered necessary. This happens in a vari-
are the main source of conflicts and suggests ety of ways. In one way, which may have been
that conflict arises from governments’ failure to more evident in the past than it is in the present,
acknowledge the claims of small groups – groups religion uses coercive means to extend a partic-
that are often but not necessarily religious in ular faith system. For instance, when
character. Such treatment breeds what Constantine reversed his policy of opposition to
McTernan calls grievance. Christianity and made it the official religion of
This approach does bring into contrast a num- the Roman Empire, he proceeded to employ the
ber of ways to deal with the sources of conflict, sword as an instrument of evangelism.
but it tends to draw distinctions between views Wars undertaken to combat infidelity or
that stress the centrality of religion and those paganism and to establish true faith in their
214 Religion in the service of causes
place are usually called ‘religious wars’ or ‘wars described in this context, but it can be illus-
of religion’. Such efforts are best described as trated and obvious and disturbing patterns
crusades and are driven by a zealous conviction examined. No religious tradition – Eastern or
that the spread of faith is warranted for the well- Western, theistic or otherwise, traditional or
being of others or (negatively put) that the innovative – has managed to escape some sort of
destruction of a false system of belief and prac- involvement in conflict as protagonist for some
tice is necessary to protect the truth. Crusades cause. There may be small pockets within the
may be less evident in the contemporary world major traditions that are exceptions, but none of
than they may have been in the past or they may these has the wherewithal to be a major player
be transformed into political agendas that on the global stage.
obscure their quasi-religious impulses, but true
and fervent beliefs frequently harbour an incipi-
ent tendency to consider such convictions to be
How religion serves causes
an obligation that may be imposed upon others, It is possible to think about the kinds of causes
even by force. which religions support by using three terms,
The effort to spread a particular faith by the each beginning with an ‘r’. This is a way of high-
use of force is not the only way in which religion lighting significant differences with terms that
backs causes. Religion also contributes to con- have not lost their uniqueness through overuse.
flict by supporting one side in a conflict that has The terms residency, recognition and rectitude can
arisen in some other part of society. Religions be used to point to different ways religion
often give holy meaning to essentially secular becomes involved with causes. Under the rubric
agendas. When religious motivations become residency we mean concerns about geographical
entangled with such conflicts, prudential under- locations, land, other earthly dependencies;
takings often acquire an urgency they would not under the term recognition we mean concerns for
otherwise have. Ordinary concerns become status and standing and for participation in (or
matters of transcendent importance. control of) the social process; and under the
Many social causes that religion embraces term rectitude we mean efforts to advance partic-
have no direct relationship to the creeds and ular moral values and cultural mores that a given
doctrines by which religions define their central religious group deems crucial for societal
identity. Religion often engenders support for well-being.
cultural mores that are peripheral to its main Concern for any of these matters – which sel-
belief structure but which often are held with dom occur in pure form and are often found in
the same (perhaps even greater) tenacity as the combinations – can lead to conflicts, as certain
central doctrines. Such mores are then advo- consequences become highly sought after or as
cated as a social policy that is binding upon all efforts to prevent the achievement of certain
persons, not merely on those who adhere to a consequences result in rigorous forms of
particular faith. For instance, those who would resistance.
oppose abortion in any and all forms believe
that it is entirely appropriate to make such oppo- Residency
sition into strict civil laws that outlaw the prac- No effort to understand the conflict in the
tice, but most of the same people would oppose Middle East, for example, will get to the root of
a state-imposed requirement to believe in the the difficulty if it does not take into account the
Christian Trinity. Similarly, those who believe in symbolic and practical significance attached by
biblical creationism are willing to use civil both sides to the conflict over the ownership of
authority to require it be taught as having equal land. Perhaps as much or more than is the case
standing with evolution. Few of these groups, with any other modern conflict, the struggle in
however, would ever consider making a civil law the Holy Land is between two groups that
to require belief in the divinity of Jesus or some- believe possession of certain territory is reli-
thing like the doctrine of predestination. giously important. The conflict between
These general considerations are the back- Palestinians and Israelis is not marked by efforts
ground for looking at the role of religion in of either side to convert the other side to some
some specific contemporary conflicts. That role theological affirmations; ‘residency’ plays the
is extensive and seems to be increasing sharply. pivotal role in this conflict.
It cannot be fully, perhaps not even adequately, On the Israeli side this dynamic is especially
How religion serves causes 215
strong in Zionist groups such as those that earthly habitation. Yet even in such traditions
opposed the ‘land for peace’ approach of the shrines are respected and seldom abandoned.
Oslo Accords. Not only is the establishment of But while the concern about land has pro-
the state of Israel as a territorial reality central to found implications for the religions in which it is
their outlook as to the nature of religious fulfil- important, it can be the source of problems,
ment, but securing territory becomes in effect most particularly when claims to land come into
an exercise in piety. Oliver McTernan reports dispute and residency requires the dislocation of
that in visiting Beth-El, a Jewish settlement that others in order for the appointed group to enjoy
overlooks Ramallah, it was very apparent to him a divinely manifested destiny. The USA, created
that in understanding the cause of the conflict by the displacement of a migrant population, is
‘both security and water were important factors, not without some similarities with Israel and
but more important to them was the belief that therefore tends to resonate with the experience
God wanted them to be there’ (McTernan, 2003, of a modern society that was created in much the
p. 116). same way as it was. But if the native peoples of
On the Palestinian side Article 5 of the Hamas North America had been stronger, the USA
Charter reads ‘The land of Palestine is an might be facing the same turmoil that marks life
Islamic Waaf (holy possession) consecrated for in the contemporary Middle East. Were native
future Muslims until Judgment Day. No one can Americans to propose to retake land from con-
renounce it or any part of it, or abandon it or temporary owners on the premise that such land
any part of it’. was divinely appointed to be theirs, it is hard to
Such views prompt their adherents not only to imagine their action would be considered
resist negotiations with the other side that might entirely legitimate and acceded to without ran-
give up the possession of territory, but even to cour. Suggestions that Americans might fulfil
condemn those within their own faith commu- their manifest destiny by moving as pilgrims to
nities who would consider such negotiation to other geographical locations would hardly be
be a legitimate way to achieve peace. To relin- met with robust approval.
quish or qualify the possession of certain
territory in any way is a form of apostasy. Recognition
Concern about sacred places rather than There are differences within Israel itself over the
about broader territory is a variation of concern extent to which the state should make the par-
about residency, but can lead to a similar ticularities of Jewish laws and practice manda-
dynamic. Even though the space in question is tory. Those who would insist on doing so, while
more limited in size and is the locus of specifi- possibly a minority, are concerned about more
cally religious activity rather than residency in than land and resources. The rubric recognition is
general, location is the central factor. Many reli- useful for pointing to the desire of religious
gions have sites that they regard as having sacred groups to practise their faith without fear or
meaning and needing to be preserved from restraint – that is, to be recognised – and may
profanation or elimination. When other groups even point to the impulse to impose certain
either lay claim to such places or treat them with practices upon all those with whom they are in
insufficient respect, religious groups can proximity or correspondence.
become agitated to an extent that leads to con- There is bound to be an element of such con-
flict. In some traditions only pilgrims whose cern in every area in which religiously identifi-
fidelity is vouched for are permitted to visit able groups are located, but the degree to which
sacred places. that concern leads to conflict will vary greatly.
The concern about residency has important The desire to be recognised in ways that favour
meaning in many traditions. Central to biblical the exercise of a particular religion can be very
faith is a concern for material well-being and for strong and may even escalate into a desire to be
the possession of land as essential to that well- the dominant tradition. When that happens, the
being. Peoplehood is dependent upon resi- consequences can be marked by hostility and
dency; spiritual identity closely connected to may result in violence.
location in time and space. Such an understand- However, just as religious factors that lead to
ing is not as important to many other religious residency as a cause for conflict are seldom, if
traditions, which often view fulfilment (or salva- ever, the sole and sufficient explanation for the
tion) as involving severance from the confines of rise of violence in a particular situation, so those
216 How religion serves causes
factors that come under the rubric recognition are in so far as it indicates that the religious factors
seldom if ever the only ones that operate in par- are more sociological than theological in char-
ticular instances. But this does not mean the cat- acter. Although that may have been the case for
egory is insignificant, especially for analytical much of the past, there is reason to hold that it
purposes in pointing to one of the relationships is becoming less true in light of recent develop-
that is often evident between religious belief and ments, in which clergy have become involved in
political conflict. political action and fundamentalism has devel-
The desire for recognition, that is, to enjoy oped in ways that undergird political partisan-
the standing to embrace a particular faith and to ship with doctrinal opposition to diversity and
practise it without illegitimate interference, can compromise.
be a powerful one and whenever it is either cur- McTernan also points out that the causes
tailed or denied, resentment follows. The facts involved include some of the same religious
of history make it clear that desires for recogni- stances as are typical of behaviour described
tion are probably thwarted as much or possibly under the rubric residency. For instance, the Scots
more than they are accommodated, especially in who were forebears considered themselves a
situations where two or more traditions seek to chosen people (not quite the chosen people)
achieve pre-eminence. The struggle for recogni- and were deeply attached to the land. The cur-
tion can be seen in conflicts dispersed as to loca- rent followers of the Reverend Ian Paisley are
tion and diverse in their cultural setting. This particularly strident Protestants who hold that
may be the most prominent of the causes that compromise is a form of religious apostasy
generate conflicts. These conflicts may happen (McTernan, p. 90).
for any number of other reasons, but when they Even though the setting and the religious tra-
are overlaid with religious commitments the hos- ditions are different – eastern rather than west-
tility can become intense and almost intractable. ern – the conflict between the Sinhala majority
This is especially the case when two groups, each and the Tamil minority in Sri Lanka stems from
with its own religious identity, come into some of the very same causes as the conflicts
conflict. between Protestants and Catholics in Ireland. In
One illustration of this is the struggle between this South-East Asian country, efforts to achieve
Protestants and Catholics in Northern Ireland, a a peaceful rapport between the contending fac-
persistent and bloody altercation that has long tions (largely Muslims, Buddhists and Hindus)
thwarted efforts at resolution. There are many are stymied by longstanding antagonisms and
theories about the origins of the ‘Troubles’ in contemporary suspicions. The violence has been
Northern Ireland, and factors other than reli- motivated by feelings among the Tamil group
gion are significant for understanding the origin that their language and entitlement to the land
of the unfortunate hostility between the local are deeply rooted in a religious tradition –
adherents of these two religious groups. But it is making the idea of pluralism anathema.
difficult for any such explanations to be credible Some scholars contend that it is the discrimi-
apart from the recognition factor. Strictly speak- nation that the Tamil have experienced which
ing, this may not be an international matter accounts for their propensity to violence more
because there are many places in the world than does their adherence to particular religious
where Protestants and Catholics live harmo- ideas. The state constitution provides for free-
niously with each other. Scott M. Thomas (2005) dom of religion, but the practice has been to
does not deal with it in his discussion of the give preferential treatment to the Buddhist
global resurgence of religion, but it does have majority. Despite formal teaching to the con-
implications for other nations, such as Britain. trary, Buddhists (and particularly the monks)
The tensions and suspicions that mark the have embraced violence as a means of further-
relationships between these two groups were ing the Sinhala cause. In a statement all too
perpetuated by the prevailing separatism in typical of religious people from any number of
housing and education that developed over traditions, one monk said: ‘I know that as a
many years. Oliver McTernan, who lived under monk it is wrong for me to think in this way, but
those conditions during his early years, calls this I believe that the five precepts of Buddhism not
‘sectarianism’. Although the importance of the to kill, steal, misbehave sexually, lie or drink
religious factor is discounted by some scholars of alcohol work in normal circumstances; the situa-
these events, that judgement is warranted only tion in Sri Lanka is abnormal and therefore one
Religion as the motivation for conflict 217
has to suspend some of the principles’ Fyodor Dostoevsky showed so brilliantly in the
(McTernan, 2003, p. 99). When that line of rea- ‘Grand Inquisitor’ section of The Brothers
soning is employed by religious people, the Karamazov, the fear of freedom can be great and
result is the sanctification of violence as a last the impulse to rectify untraditional behaviour
resort and even its escalation into terrorism. can lead to oppressive tactics. What is so baffling
and disturbing about this phenomenon is the
Rectification realisation that moral earnestness rather than
A third reason for which religion embraces con- malfeasance can be a source of conflict and that
flict is to advance a particular moral agenda or religious zeal for the defence of righteousness
set of behavioural mores. The main difference can be as much a source of conflict as malicious
between recognition and rectification is that one grasps for power.
seeks to ensure the right of a particular group to The impulse to seek the rectification of the
pursue its own identity and practices whereas behaviour of others is likely to be strongest in
the other indicates a desire in a religious group periods of social change and transformation.
to bring the behaviour of others into conformity Religions that are afraid of diversity are particu-
with its idea of what is right. larly prone to be suspicious of social changes.
The term ‘purify’ is sometimes used to indi- They may seek to preserve, even to recapture,
cate the need for change in conditions that are old ways and to strike out against any and all out-
contrary to those which a religion approves. In looks that stand in their way. This may help to
domestic life the most blatant instance of this explain why the massive world changes that are
drive to suppress or destroy something consid- generally described as globalisation may well be
ered evil is the willingness of a few zealots on the the very things that breed reactive religious
right to use violence against abortion clinics. In behaviour, including terrorism. The more that
global affairs, disapproval of cultural develop- changes seem irresistible, the greater the ten-
ments that threaten cherished values often dency to resist them with great fury.
impels people to drastic actions, even to terror-
ism. They act against what they regard as cultural
decadence, aiming to rectify the unacceptable Religion as the motivation for
behaviour of others or the prevailing trends of
modern culture. Such efforts can easily go conflict
beyond the boundaries of civility and are espe- There are, too, other ways of describing attitudes
cially resistant to being altered by negotiation stemming from the religious impulses that have
and compromise. a tendency to create additional fury. The differ-
Those who are devoted to freedom often find ence between these two considerations is not dis-
it difficult to understand why others find free- tinct and complete, but each way of looking at
dom threatening, particularly those who are specific contemporary conflicts offers some
staunchly devoted to moral order or to some ver- understanding that is not found in the other.
sion of religiously delineated purity. Except in In contrast to backing a particular cause or
rare circumstances, free societies are societies in combination of causes, religion may function to
which both creativity and destructiveness occur provide motivation for conflict. Terrorism high-
simultaneously and in which communities fre- lights the enormous extremes to which religious
quently witness harmony and divisiveness pres- motivation can be carried. Suicidal bombings
ent at the same time. Moral licence can run its make sense only in religious terms. Their fury
course along with devotion to the good. Free and manic destructiveness are inextricably
societies require that risks must be taken in the dependent upon the embrace of commitment
realm of security and morals in order to be safe- that is beyond the reach of rational legitimation.
guarded from the exercise of arbitrary authority. Such behaviour may or may not be undertaken
Many religions do not understand the impor- to further a specifically religious objective, but it
tance of taking such risks, often being more con- is likely to have a special fury for whatever
cerned with cultivating and preserving what is agenda it seeks to advance.
right and proper. Indeed, there are adherents of However, terrorism is not the only way in
every religion who find it difficult to understand which religion sanctifies conflict. Ordinary war-
the interconnectedness of freedom and risk, of fare – that which uses violence in controlled and
liberty and cultural diversity. As the writer officially sanctioned ways – is often religiously
218 Religion as the motivation for conflict
motivated and is more intense for that reason. a religious idea is profoundly moving and that it
For instance, in the First World War, churches sheds light in fruitful ways upon the relationship
became recruiting stations and ‘preachers pre- between the divine and the human; it is another
sented arms’. Sacred heroics are more appealing to hold that a particular assertion is a proposi-
than secular risk taking, doing God’s will more tion with immutable validity and factual correct-
of a reason for sacrifice than merely protecting ness. The first way of understanding truth in
self-interest. Warfare might very well take place religion is attended by modesty and flexibility in
without invoking divine legitimation, but with thought and sophistication in commitment; the
less zeal than would be associated with ordinary second is alluring because it removes doubt but
disagreements. Moreover, conflicts that rage is destructive because it fosters arrogance. It
without the benefit of religious sanction may be regards all deviation from strict acceptance of its
brought to a close more readily than those that views as dangerous infidelity.
have become sacred causes. Compromise is
more possible on pragmatic concerns than it is
on matters that are considered to embody ulti-
Fundamentalism
mate commitments. Negotiation is more feasible Fundamentalism in religion – which occurs in a
as a matter of prudence than when it is viewed as great many traditions – consists of holding reli-
a transgression of sacred trust. gious truth as absolutes, propositional in nature
The difference for global politics between reli- and essentially factual in substance. It often
gion in the service of causes and religion as a appeals, curiously enough, to a number of peo-
source of motivation may not at first seem to be ple who work with modern knowledge systems,
very great. Neither results in any desirable sce- such as scientific thinking, whose practitioners
nario and both are likely to be of concern to can sometimes assume that all knowing must
those who care for the welfare of the interna- have the same decisiveness as they believe sci-
tional community. The difference is not a matter ence does. In the modern world, fundamentalist
of polar opposition that consists of thesis and ways of understanding religion raise problems
antithesis in sharp contrast, but rather a not only of intellectual integrity but also of
nuanced comparison consisting of variations in behavioural rigidity. According to Kimball
emphasis and orientation. In the case of serving (2003, p. 44):
causes, the quality of religious belief may not be
a major factor in what is happening; in the case When zealous and devout adherents elevate
of motivation, it can be the decisive variable. the teachings and beliefs of their tradition to
What participation in conflict does to religion is the level of absolute truth claims, they open
just as important as what religious involvement the door to the possibility that their religious
does to conflicts. will become evil . . . people armed with
Charles Kimball has focused attention on fea- absolute truth claims are closely linked to
tures in religion that indicate a propensity violent extremism, charismatic leaders, and
towards belligerence. When these features various justifications for acts otherwise
appear the outlook is grim. The attitudes that understood to be unacceptable.
Kimball identifies are not necessarily a part of
religion under normal conditions, but arise To hold that one’s specific way of formulating
when a destructive relationship develops religious truth represents the only possible way
between religion and political affairs. No study of understanding the divine implies that all
of the relationship of religion to conflict can be other formulations must be treated as false and
adequate without taking into account the behav- those who hold them as apostate. That is a
ioural patterns that Kimball has delineated. recipe for making evangelisation confronta-
What follows utilises Kimball’s categories but tional and triumphalistic, which not infre-
makes certain emendations of them. quently has been the source of intolerant
The first of the signals that religion has behaviour. This approach to other faiths is often
become, or is becoming, evil can be seen in the associated with literalism concerning sacred
manner in which beliefs are embraced. All reli- texts, or as Kimball indicates, ‘manipulative
gions make truth claims, but such claims can be exploitation of sacred texts can lead to violent
advanced in very different ways and set forth in zealotry’ (2003, p. 53). And ‘when missionary
very different spirits. It is one thing to affirm that zeal is informed by absolute truth claims
Fundamentalism 219
defining who is “saved” and what is acceptable, A third dynamic propelling religions to fur-
the propagation of religion frequently includes ther conflict is more difficult to describe and
sinister dimensions’ (p. 62). more difficult to understand than the preceding
This way of holding to religious convictions is, two. On its surface it often appears to be an
ironically, often a response to challenges of earnest effort to take the requirements of faith
those convictions, either by friendly critics seriously. Kimball describes it with the phrase
within a tradition or by hostile critics from out- ‘establishing the “ideal” time’. He discusses what
side. It arises, therefore, not as much in times of happens when adherents of a religion seek to
confident belief but more in times of scepticism; control temporal affairs and coerce those affairs
less in times when there is a general consensus to conform to their assumptions about what is
about religious matters and more in times when morally required and behaviourally correct. This
the diversity of religious beliefs around the may be less a matter of merely providing motiva-
world becomes undeniable. When such condi- tions and zeal than of embracing an agenda
tions are responded to with efforts to overcome with special urgency – an urgency that differs
them by asserting beliefs with vigour and intran- decisively from ordinary thrusts for power.
sigence, conflict is likely to result. This explains The behaviour that results from religious
why religious fundamentalism, despite its claim efforts to play a commanding role in the social
to be the truest embodiment of traditional process is often brittle, aggressive and truculent.
fidelity, is modern in its appearance and often This is not because religion admires such atti-
akin to the very mode of thinking against which tudes as a normal matter, but arises because
it is a reaction. adherents of a faith system believe that once
The second indication that religious faith is they achieve mastery of temporal affairs, the
leading to evil consequences is ‘blind obedi- ambiguities and tussles that currently charac-
ence’. Kimball examines this by citing the behav- terise political life will cease for ever. The prom-
iour of groups that have prompted their ise of utopia then warrants extreme measures to
adherents to engage in bizarre and destructive bring it about. This has the effect of excluding
activities. Such behaviour may be directed the procedures and flexibility that make political
against others, as in the case of the Aum life tolerable under ordinary circumstances.
Shinrkyo sect that released poison gas in the sub- That is what ‘establishing the “ideal” time’
ways of Tokyo, or it can result in bizarre behav- means. The expectation of a utopian outcome
iour within the group itself, as happened in the becomes the basis on which extreme measures
case of Jonestown and the Branch Davidians. It can be employed to bring it about. Not infre-
is obvious from these events that charismatic quently this outlook is associated with a futuris-
leaders can elicit unquestioning obedience tic eschatology that sees the transition occurring
when certain conditions are met, such as a belief through some sudden and cataclysmic explosion
that their leader is divine or enjoys a special of anger and violence by means of which all
access to what God expects. Sometimes blind those standing in the way of attaining that fulfil-
obedience develops when people feel that fol- ment must be vanquished. As Kimball notes
lowers’ fortunes are entirely in the hands of the (2002, p.105): ‘When the hoped for ideal is tied
leaders. to a particular religious worldview and those
The groups that Kimball cites are generally who wish to implement their vision become con-
sectarian in nature – that is, they tend to with- vinced that they know what God wants for them
draw from the world in order to pursue a special and everyone else, you have a prescription for
kind of holiness. In general such groups do not disaster.’
seek social change or use violence as an instru- Kimball indicates how this dynamic works out
ment of public policy. But blind obedience in efforts to establish an ideal Islamic state, an
could appear in other groups, those that partici- Israel that enjoys its land unthreatened by any
pate in global affairs. In some respects this is one other groups, and the hope of the religious
possible factor in the rise of terrorism. It is not right for a Christian America in which the gov-
clear, however, that terrorists resort to destruc- ernment coercively enforces moral norms and
tive actions merely out of blind allegiance to a cultural practices that it considers obligatory.
leader. In many instances they are committed to Religions that are motivated by such hopes look
a cause and are willing to undertake destructive upon diversity as a form of disloyalty and com-
actions to further that cause. promise as a failure of fidelity. Fanaticism is
220 Fundamentalism
bred less from deliberate malice than from There are basically three ways in which reli-
excessive zeal. gion legitimises conflict. The first of these is out-
In the case of the first three signs that point to right approval and zealous support, which
the misuse of religion the potential for evil stems expresses itself in the phenomenon of the holy
from the misuse or corruption of an otherwise war – or the crusade. The second is critical
acceptable aspect of what it means to be faithful. assessment of the legitimacy of a particular rea-
Making absolute truth claims is a corruption of son to use armed force together with concern to
legitimate concern to hold religious faith with restrain that use by certain moral limitations.
serious tenacity; blind obedience is an excessive That is the stance of just war thinking. The third
version of due respect for leadership; and chilias- is to accept the need for war as a tragic necessity,
tic excess is a miscarriage of efforts to bring about involving admittedly unfortunate actions
constructive social change. With Kimball’s fourth accompanied by humble regret that no con-
warning sign we come to practices that are more structive possibility for achieving such a result
easily recognised to be inherently dangerous and seems to be available. That is the stance of
destructive. This warning sign appears in behav- agonised participation or conscientious partici-
iour that removes all restraints on actions in order pation and was the ground on which many
to achieve a particular consequence, what is com- Christians entered the Second World War
monly described as the end justifying the means. (Long, 1968).
‘The most obvious sign of this corruption is visible Many people wonder how religion becomes
when compassionate and constructive relation- the motivation for conflict to the extent repre-
ships with others are discarded’ (2002, p. 129). sented by the crusade or holy war. To engage in
Kimball finds this pattern evident in conflicts holy warfare seems to exhibit arrogance and
where religion uses excessive violence to protect hostility that stand in stark contrast to the teach-
sacred places, in the use of religion to manipu- ing about peace and reconciliation that holds a
late political affairs, where adherents of one central place in many religions. Support for holy
faith treat those of other faiths, or members of warfare uses selective aspects of a religious tradi-
other cultures, with contemptuous disregard or tion that are dormant in times of tranquility but
even hostility, and when religion is used to sub- can readily appear when they seem to be useful
jugate particular groups (often women) to the for legitimating a struggle.
will of a dominant majority. The use of the Bible in both Judaism and
Perhaps the most blatant and obvious instance Christianity is a case in point. The Old
of using the end to justify the means can be Testament contains many accounts of battles
observed in the attempts of authority figures to fought with the approval of God. God is some-
use cruel and immoral strategies to protect reli- times portrayed as a warrior who gives cosmic
gious institutions, as did the Inquisition. Anyone backing to earthly struggles. Successful use of
who has visited the museums in southern France violence is often considered to be a precondi-
that document the horrors visited on the tion for becoming a leader. There is no denying
Waldenses and Cathari will not easily ignore the the fact that much biblical material, especially
extent to which religion can be demonic when it that in the so-called historical writings, can be
feels the needs to defend itself by coercion. read as giving sanction for violence done in
God’s name. The Song of Deborah in the fifth
chapter of Judges vividly indicates the extent to
Holy war which violence has sometimes been evident
The fifth sign is the declaration of holy war. To within the tradition.
understand this sign requires a careful look at Although those who act tend to be cosmic
various ways in which religion has legitimised rather than historical figures, the last book of
the use of armed conflict as an exception to the the New Testament is replete with the imagery of
more prevailing concern for peace that is typical warfare.
of many traditions. There are ways in which reli- A similar contrast exists between two strands
gion legitimises violence that raise serious moral of thinking in Islam. The concept of jihad is cen-
problems, but there are other ways in which reli- tral, but it is understood in different ways. One
gion legitimises the use of force that are expres- view understands the term to cover all efforts to
sions of a moral concern – at least in the eyes of live a holy life, something that requires diligence
their advocates. and discipline. But another view understands
Holy war 221
jihad to signify more violent struggle, that is, period since the theory was first articulated as an
holy warfare. In this view the use of violence is alternative to pacifism.
considered to be an instrument of service to But there is a current debate going on about
God. Muslims, like Christians, disagree as to just war thinking that may have considerable
whether that shift is legitimate, but there is little moral significance for the future. On the one
doubt that is has sometimes been very evident. hand, many pacifists continue to regard the just
When that is the case, then, in Campbell’s war approach as a bankrupt way of thinking that
phrase, ‘religion becomes evil’. serves only to keep religious adherents from
Analogously, a similar tendency to embrace remaining faithful to the peace teaching core of
violence as an expression of fidelity appears as their heritage. They feel that unless violence is
counterpoint to the main orientation of the tra- entirely repudiated as a means of dealing with
dition. In Hinduism for instance, the Bhagavad global matters, no peace will ever come. On the
Gita focuses attention on the duty of the other hand, many people have come to realise
Kshatriyas, or warrior caste, to fight battles with- that just war thinking can actually provide crite-
out qualms or reservations. When its chief char- ria for opposing a particular conflict, a trend
acter expresses reservations about doing so, the that became evident initially during the military
admonition comes with startling emphasis: action in Vietnam and has been articulated far
‘Heedless of issue, fight.’ Only by following the more explicitly as a basis for condemning the
duty of the warrior caste will its members assure military action in Iraq by the United States. Just
themselves of salvation. war thinking may also be utilised to restrain
Religious legitimation for the use of violence intentional actions that harm noncombatants
becomes evil when it serves to exclude moral and to mount a strong case against the use of
restraints and to endorse the use of the maxi- torture as an instrument of intelligence gather-
mum violence. It also becomes evil when vio- ing. If it is used to achieve those objectives, there
lence is used as an instrument of retribution. are reasons to think that its consequences could
That is what happens when the crusade model be seen as helpful, even by pacifists.
(as in the case of Christianity) or a harsh version The foregoing discussion has focused on how
of the jihad model (as in the case of Islam) gov- religion functions in relation to global affairs
erns. Contempt for the enemy takes over and and on the ways in which it is a contributing
replaces the political concerns that call for cause of conflict. In most case the two different
restraining action; a search to obtain abject sur- dynamics interact. It may not be particularly
render replaces a willingness to settle if the important whether religion embraces causes
other side agrees to modify its behaviour; and a that are in search of a mood or whether religion
dualistic contrast is drawn between the complete creates a mood that is in search of a cause. The
virtue of one side and the demonic status of the outcome is likely to be unfortunate. Hopefully
other. All of these are warning signs that religion there are ways religion can help in efforts to
is playing a dysfunctional role in the global advance the cause of harmony and justice in
scene. world affairs. One scholar has expressed that
hope as follows:
Aspects of war
Special attention should be given to the differ- In each of the major religious traditions of the
ent ways of thinking about holy war and just war. world, prophets, theologians, sages, scholars,
There have been times when the actual conse- and simple believers, exalted by the holy lives
quences of these two different ways of embrac- they led, refined and deepened the tradition’s
ing armed conflict made little difference. At spiritual practices and theological teachings
such moments, the idea of the just war was used in support of peacemaking rather than war,
almost entirely as a way of legitimising conflict reconciliation rather than retaliation. To be
and its possible usefulness for providing critical traditional, then, is to take seriously those
judgement as to when conflict is necessary as a developments that achieved authoritative
last resort and for restraining excessive destruc- status because they probed, clarified, and
tiveness within conflict (as, for instance, pro- developed the insights and teachings
hibiting attacks on noncombatants) loses contained in the foundational sources.
significance. There is no denying that this has
(Appleby, 2000, pp. 16–17)
been the predominant pattern for most of the
222 Holy war
The hope implied in this passage that religion Huntington, Samuel P. (1996) The Clash of
can be a source of peace and reconciliation Civilisations and the Remaking of World Order, New
should not be allowed to die, but keeping it alive York: Simon and Schuster.
will for ever be a major challenge. A sober and
Juergensmeyer, Mark (ed) (2003) Global
realistic appraisal of how religion influences the
Religions: An Introduction, New York: Oxford
political world requires taking into account the
University Press.
probability that religious voices will be attended
to more readily when they support the agendas –– (2001) Terror in the Mind of God: The Global Rise
of state actors than when they criticise those of Religious Violence, Berkeley: University of
actions. Religious leaders who support kings, California Press.
princes and presidents are more likely to be
Kimball, Charles (2002) When Religion Becomes
invited to audiences, prayer breakfasts and
Evil: Five Warning Signs, San Francisco: Harper.
policy deliberations than prophetic types who
oppose such leaders. Long, Edward LeRoy, Jr (2004) Facing
But this does not mean religion can never Terrorism: Responding as Christians, Louisville:
serve as a guide for the policies of leaders. Its wit- Westminster/John Knox Press.
ness and advocacy against violence and conflict
can have slow, quiet and long-range conse- –– (1968) War and Conscience in America,
quences for which it may not receive public Philadelphia: Westminster Press.
accolades. Unless that happens, the prospects of McTernan, Oliver (2003) Violence in God’s Name:
a better world are dismal and religiously inspired Religion in an Age of Conflict, Maryknoll: Orbis
social witness a fidelity that may come to fruition Books.
only in another world.
Selengut, Charles (2003) Sacred Fury: Under-
standing Religious Violence, Walnut Creek:
Further Reading AltaMira Press.
Appleby, R. Scott. (2000) The Ambivalence of the Shenk, David W. (1999) Global Gods: Exploring the
Sacred: Religion, Violence, and Reconciliation, Role of Religions in Modern Societies, Scottdale:
Lanham: Rowman and Littlefield. Herald Press.
Carlson, John D. and Owens, Erik C. (eds) Stackhouse, Max L. and Obenchain, Diane
(2003) The Sacred and the Sovereign: Religion B. (eds) (2002) Christ and the Dominions
and International Politics, Washington DC: of Civilisation, Harrisburg: Trinity Press
Georgetown University Press. International.
Gopin, Marc (2000) Between Eden and Thomas, Scott M. (2005) The Global Resurgence of
Armageddon: The Future of World Religions, Violence Religion and the Transformation of International
and Peacemaking, New York: Oxford University Relations: The Struggle for the Soul of the Twenty-first
Press. Century, New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Gurr, Ted Robert (2000) People Versus States:
Minorities at Risk in the New Country, United States
Institute of Peace Press.
Part E
The Performance:
The Machinery of Interaction
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225
CHAPTER 1: Context
The style and character, perhaps even success or failure, of any stage performances depend crucially
on the interactions between the actors. The most familiar forms of interaction between the players
first on the international and now on the global stage have been diplomacy and war. Traditionally
opposites, war followed when diplomacy could function no longer amid acute tensions and stresses.
By contrast, there were times when the disruptive consequences of war seemed unbearable and the
use of diplomacy intensified. Clausewitz famously thought that they were two versions of the same
thing. The two opposites remain highly significant forms of interaction in the contemporary global
situation, though both are undergoing striking changes. More than that, however, other forms of
interaction have achieved higher profiles. The media, particularly the Internet, migration, invest-
ment, trade and aid are now important forms of contemporary interaction. All are discussed further
in the chapters that follow.
Diplomacy
Nobody can know when diplomacy began. The need to arrange for effective message delivery must
have followed from the development of the first human speech and still more from the first more or
less organised societies. Certainly diplomacy began earlier than was once thought. However, diplo-
macy is more than just the delivery of messages and receiving replies to them. It involves the manner
in which messages and subsequent discussions are handled so as to achieve the best result for the par-
ties and it has accumulated rules, conventions and immunities so that business can be successfully
and safely conducted – at least until very recent times. The first attribute has given rise to the adjec-
tive ‘diplomatic’ to mean a careful friendliness and the sympathetic understanding of another
position; sometimes, less agreeably, to imply deviousness.
The second development goes back to the very beginnings. If it has been decided that it would be
better to listen to a messenger, to hear his message, than eat him, then it becomes essential to have
a clear understanding about who is an official messenger and who is not. It is quite clear from
Ancient Greek sources and even from earlier evidence still that in order to make certain that official
messengers remained safe from attack, they were given a special status, protected by whatever pan-
theon was locally in place, and that retribution for harming or plotting to harm a recognised mes-
senger would be certain and swift, possibly arranged by the gods themselves or by human agency
acting on their behalf. In fact, as became generally acknowledged in later times, the real justification
for the special security afforded to diplomats was that of reciprocity. It was obvious that any ruler or
other political system would want security for his messengers and to be confident that his messages
would be both delivered and responded to. In exchange he had to guarantee equal treatment for the
messengers of others. The additional privileges that diplomats acquired – to be well fed and housed,
to be free from local taxation and customs dues, to have a secure residence and to hold religious and
political views which might be banned in the place where he was performing his duties – also had an
element of reciprocity about them. These, however, had the further justification that they enabled
the diplomat to do his job in an untrammelled way.
Reluctance to go to war has generally encouraged the development of more complex diplomatic sys-
tems. Diplomacy can seem to be the obvious alternative to war in two circumstances. The first is where
a group of states roughly equal in power, such as those of Ancient Greece, of the Warring States period
in China, of northern Italy during the Renaissance and in Europe generally during the eighteenth
226 Diplomacy
century, does not become dominated by the growth of any one power and is not subject to invasion
from outside its area. Such conditions make external warfare unlikely and regional warfare indecisive.
When experience shows that the latter condition is reliable, war gives way to intensive diplomacy in the
hope that the deadlock which cannot be broken militarily might be shaken by some great diplomatic
coup, such as secretly arranging an overwhelmingly powerful coalition. The second occurs where a mis-
match develops between the security obligations of a state and its ability to meet them from its own
resources. Straightforward decline and/or a change in surrounding circumstances are the usual causes
and this condition is particularly well exemplified by the case of the Byzantine Empire.
Episodes of more intense diplomacy with corresponding modifications in diplomatic machinery
occurred only patchily until the Renaissance period in Europe. Advances were made and aban-
doned, blind alleys explored and no continuous historical development began. With the gradual
establishment of the Venetian diplomatic service from the thirteenth century, itself a debtor in a mild
way to the accumulated experience of dealing with the Byzantines, a continuous line of development
began. The techniques and assumptions which emerged in northern Italy during the renaissance
period spread to most of the rest of Europe in the sixteenth century as the newly sovereign rulers of
an age of acute conflict found the use of complex diplomacy essential to their statecraft. During the
seventeenth century, the European margins, such as Russia, were drawn in and the expansion of
Europe which followed the explorations and commercial vigour of the Portuguese, the Spanish, the
Dutch, the English and the French increased the range and scope of diplomatic activity. The eigh-
teenth century saw a particularly vigorous resort to diplomacy. By the second half of the nineteenth
century, the sharply increased direct influence of Europe, the addition of independent Latin
America and the rising, if reluctant, participation of the USA in the diplomatic system made it a
global network, and even the initial refusal of the Chinese, Japanese, Koreans and Ottoman Turks to
become part of it fell away, either because of the obvious disadvantages of refusing to join or because
of the application of force from outside. This was a universal system of diplomacy used by states;
indeed, from the seventeenth century, any other entity, with the exception of the Roman Church,
was denied the legal right to represent itself and thus excluded from the system.
The state form had triumphed completely and had commandeered diplomacy as its own property.
How much so can be seen from the way in which the newer states of the twentieth century unhesi-
tatingly embraced the diplomatic system almost as a badge of their new minted sovereignty and the
tendency of revolutionary governments to conform to it after a relatively short time is further evi-
dence of this. The Cold War period produced new stresses, though not, as it turned out, fatal ones
and in some ways the rivalry of the superpowers both contrasted with the more immediate past and
yet led them to make substantial use of the existing diplomatic system. In particular, the sharply
increased significance of summit conferences was an example of this. The technique was an old one
but acquired a new importance as the Cold War raised the stakes in foreign policy management,
increased its electoral and general political importance and thus emphasised the role of heads of
states and governments in its conduct.
New agencies
This situation began to change in the last quarter of the twentieth century and to change in a rather
different way. The flow of development since the fifteenth century had given greater opportunities
to the rulers and governments of rapidly developing states and seen the gradual disappearance of
any other sources of diplomatic representation. The changing needs of states had largely dictated the
parallel evolution of diplomacy and the process of change at the interface between the existing stock
of diplomatic practice and the demands of governments provides a continuous thread of explana-
tion as to what was occurring. The onset of globalisation, the changing and relatively lessening role
of the state, the rising importance of nonstate entities and major additions to the likely topics of
diplomatic exchange have produced a new area of diplomatic activity, largely separated from the
rules, privileges and procedures of the state-based system, but necessarily engaged in dialogue with
it. This produces a familiar need for modification on the part of state diplomacy; but it is also pro-
ducing an unfamiliar need for the admission of new agencies into the diplomatic system and it is
unclear whether this can be done by a really substantial remaking of the old arrangement or whether
a fundamentally new diplomatic machine is going to emerge.
Diplomacy 227
There is a parallel here with the sixteenth-century situation when states were first coming to dom-
inate the landscape but still had to share it with entities and ideas left over from a deeper past. The
result is now uncomfortable, and was then, and produces serious disconnections. In the contempo-
rary context, one of the most serious is that the principle of reciprocity has broken down. Nonstate
groups which use violence as their chief weapon and cannot accept anything less than 100 per cent
of their demands are not in the business of representing themselves to others. They are not part of
the system and perceive no advantages in raison de système and therefore do not share the formerly
universal acceptance of the rules ensuring the physical safety and well-being of diplomats. For the
first time since the Reformation period, diplomats are routinely being murdered in the course of
their duties and the inviolability of embassies is equally routinely being flouted. Even the officials of
the Red Cross, the only humanitarian organisation to have been given full diplomatic protection by
treaty, are being regularly attacked. Less unpleasantly, but awkwardly nonetheless, the formerly very
clear rules which determined the status of diplomats – that they were genuine diplomats and what
position they held within the system – have broken down in the face of swarms of representatives
from civil society organisations who may, for example, attend an international conference on envi-
ronmental issues. What further complicates this problem is that on some of the major questions of
the moment, governments have sought expertise from outside the ranks of their own servants and
then appointed these advisers to national delegations.
The construction of the internal and external machinery of diplomacy – the foreign ministry and
the resident embassy – was complete by the mid-eighteenth century. Later refinements were naturally
made as experience and technological improvement in communications suggested and foreign serv-
ices generally became more integrated into the civil service structures of states, but these were
changes of degree, not substance. Even the extraordinarily accelerating effects of the telegraph and
cable systems introduced during the middle and later nineteenth century produced quantitative
rather than qualitative changes.
By 1814 states had developed an additional requirement. The construction of the basic moving
parts of the diplomatic system had been related to the growth of sovereignty and the need to repre-
sent that sovereignty on behalf of rulers. The notion that the international system might also acquire
a responsibility for representing itself, a kind of institutionalisation of raison de système, had been
unknown. Its emergence arose from the novel desire of rulers to find a way of supervising the flow
of international affairs on a continuous basis and to be willing to put that wish above the demands
of untrammelled sovereignty. The result was the creation of the first, if ill-defined, international
organisation. It lasted for 100 years and became known as the Concert of Europe. The scale of the
wars against Napoleon and his failure to shake the condition of rough equality among the European
great powers provided both the motive for change and the practical possibility of creating a new tech-
nique. The contemporary belief that the wars had been caused by revolutionary ideology and the use
that Napoleon made of it rather than by any intrinsic power of France put the major threat above
and beyond the risks emanating from a potential hegemon and produced more general agreement
than the business of organising the restraint of a rogue power would have commanded.
The Concert of Europe, which was built on the experience during the end of the war and the mak-
ing of the Vienna Settlement in 1814/15, was thus the first deliberate effort by the most powerful
states of the period to manage international affairs on a continuous basis with the object of prevent-
ing warfare. The principal technique upon which it was based has remained the foundation of all
subsequent attempts to achieve the same objective. In their original form, congresses and confer-
ences were held uniquely to discuss the terms on which a war would be brought to an end. The
device took on a new and highly significant role, however, at the beginning of the nineteenth cen-
tury. It did so in response to the need for a new piece of diplomatic machinery which would allow
state governments to manage international relations cooperatively rather than simply to endure the
disorderly consequences of reciprocally adversarial behaviour.
Formal progress
From the Congress of Vienna, there grew up a continuous development of the conference technique
through the period of the Concert of Europe, 1815–1914, leading to the attempt to institutionalise it
in the form of the League of Nations from 1920 to 1945 and thence to a second attempt, the United
228 Diplomacy
Nations Organisation, which has existed since 1945. Each phase has shown more formal institutionali-
sation than its predecessor. Perhaps because of this, many conferences after 1920 have been and are
held outside the auspices of either the League or the UN. The proliferation of regional entities since
the Second World War has led to a related expansion of conference meetings, both standing and occa-
sional, and in very recent years a major evolution has occurred in which conferences on major global
issues such as climate change have been attended not just by the heads and representatives of state gov-
ernments but also by private organisations usually having a particular expertise in the matter under dis-
cussion. The long-running crisis in Central Africa at the turn of the twentieth century produced the
logical extension of this development when private organisations, which had become centrally
involved, began to hold conferences of their own in which there was no participation by governments.
A description of the means of interaction in the familiar international system of the past could
have stopped short at discussing war and diplomacy. It is true that the machinery of diplomacy is
changing to accommodate the realities of a global political and economic system and remains the
foremost means of interaction, particularly as the technique of first resort. War, too, if interpreted as
including civil conflict, terrorism and unfocused violence, remains a highly significant form of inter-
action. Diplomacy, however, is available only to entities which can represent themselves. The arrival
of a globalised communications system which is primarily based on the wish and need of individual
human beings to relate to each other both immediately and privately has introduced a form of inter-
action which can be used by entities in representing themselves, but this characteristic is not essen-
tial. In some ways the Internet particularly is providing to private organisations the kind of individual
input which electorates and elections provide to democratic states – an interaction at a stage before
any act of representation begins.
The media
The influence of the press on international affairs existed but was secondary until the development
of general literacy in developed countries led to the appearance of popular newspapers – the ‘yel-
low’ press – towards the end of the nineteenth century. These acquired a perceived importance in
creating and maintaining support for governments, particularly in democratic or quasi-democratic
systems which delivered power to their proprietors and opportunities to politicians. One of these
opportunities was to raise a foreign scare – ‘the motherland in danger’ – as a way of distracting atten-
tion from unpopular domestic policies or conditions. Resort to nationalist rhetoric and its magnifi-
cation in the press did not greatly disturb a reasonably stable international system, but could have
corrosive effects if, for example, changes in the distribution of power among states had created secu-
rity anxieties and consequential tension. The press wars that developed between Britain and
Germany and Germany and Russia just before the 1914 crisis exploded into the First World War were
cases in point: they did not cause the war, but they helped to make it more likely by solidifying
public support when it came.
The arrival of the radio in the 1920s offered new opportunities for communication, as in Franklin
Roosevelt’s ‘fireside chats’, intense propaganda as organised by Joseph Goebbels in Nazi Germany,
or highly charged efforts to maintain national determination in wartime, as Winston Churchill’s
radio addresses to the British people showed. The proliferation of propaganda radio stations such as
Voice of America and Radio Free Europe during the Cold War continued a process begun in the
1930s. Quite recent events in Rwanda have demonstrated that the power of radio has not been
eliminated by television, when the chief propulsion towards genocidal massacre turned out to be a
radio station called Radio Milles Collines.
Nonetheless, television has come to play a more significant role than radio ever did or does. This
is obviously partly because of the greater intensity and presence of the medium itself and the way it
has inserted itself into the daily lives of human beings, but also because of the technological advances
that have allowed it to report on events across the globe in real time and disseminate comment on
them immediately. This in itself has changed the relationship between ordinary citizens and the flow
of global affairs and thus the public opinion with which governments, civil society and commercial
firms must deal. More than this, however, the immediacy of both the reporting and the urgent desire
for on-the-spot reactions from officials and politicians has made television an additional route by
Migration 229
which leading figures may try to or sometimes almost be forced to communicate with each other. The
more difficult or shocking the event, the more this is likely to happen and the more risky it can be
to fail to leave time for consultation and consideration, and take to the airwaves for immediate reac-
tion and counter-reaction. The US Secretary of State George Schultz once referred to this kind of
exchange, backed as his example was by the vocabulary of the Cold War, as ‘megaphone diplomacy’.
Acts of terrorism instantly broadcast and insistently discussed on TV have increased this effect.
One of the results has been that where particularly sensitive negotiations may be taking place,
extraordinary efforts are made to keep them secret. The path to the Oslo negotiations between the
Israelis and the Palestinians was an example of this. The power of television can be seen also where
governments feel the need to maintain strict controls over it and also where they have decided not
to. The emergence of the Arabic TV station Al-Jazeera, based in Qatar on the Persian Gulf, has
acquired enormous significance across the Arab world because it is perceived to be independent at
least within the region and while it is probable that the government of Qatar is happy to host the gen-
eral line the station adopts, it frequently broadcasts material which individual Arab governments
would certainly prefer their citizens not to see.
The globalisation of news and commentary which technology has made possible is increasingly in the
hands of immensely large private companies – News International, CNN. Governments also take part,
but where they have established global presences, they have mainly been careful to be neutral about
what is reported. China has not done so, but the German TV station Deutsche Welle, which broadcasts
also in English, and the BBC, though not strictly a government organisation, are examples of this. The
French, Italians and Russians have stations which lie somewhere in the middle of this spectrum. The
overall effect has been to speed up the processes of global politics, quite possibly to their disadvantage,
and to take away the initiative from governments, their heads and their foreign services in setting the
priorities about what the most important business of the world should be. It has become those things
which the TV stations think will grab audience attention: showy conflicts and disasters will overwhelm
discussion of the problems of increasing global warming or lack of economic development. Put another
way, what determines the inclusion of a news report is no longer its importance as much as its interest.
Major sources of news and information disseminated through the press and TV are in private own-
ership, many others are not. The newest recruit in this category, however, is entirely in private and
quite often individual control: the Internet. The Internet was not intended or expected to become a
major news medium. But it has become so. It can provide the means of disseminating news in an
uncontrolled environment, filtered through neither journalistic experience nor any canons of taste.
The result is a wide range of available material rife with rumour and conspiracies at one quite sub-
stantial extreme to deeply serious discussion at the other. The effect has been dramatic both on the
users and the familiar providers, who have discovered a nimble and highly effective rival. During the
2004 Iraq war and its aftermath, Internet websites provided an important platform for insurgent
groups to reach a global public, important enough to be used to reveal episodes of extreme violence
designed to induce a general sense of overwhelming threat and danger. In the same year, the United
States presidential election was conducted in important ways on the Internet, a fact which may have
contributed both to the enormous quantities of money raised and to the greatly increased number
of people who went to the polls.
The principal significance of the Internet as a news medium is its independence from either gov-
ernments or media barons such as Rupert Murdoch. It is an example of the levers of many kinds of
contemporary power passing into the hands of ordinary citizens, and the kinds of issues that are dis-
cussed are frequently very different from those adopted by the commercial and state-run media. Its
existence serves to increase the sense that greater distance is now being put between citizens and the
traditional sources of information and control. It makes it less surprising that across the world there
is a kind of diffusion of authority which is at once exciting and alarming.
Migration
There is a further interaction related to both considerations of economic opportunity and to
political oppression: human migration. There have been episodes of migration right from the
beginning of human societies. The earlier examples tended to take the form of violent invasions, as
230 Migration
exemplified by the Mongols during the European middle ages. The development of more sophisti-
cated transportation systems both on land and sea, particularly as a result of the application of the
steam engine to transport, made possible the emigrations from Europe which established new soci-
eties in the Americas, South Africa, Australia and New Zealand. Chinese emigration over a long
period has established significant Chinese communities not only in South-East Asia but also in the
USA and the UK. Tamil emigration from India in the last 100 years or so has created Tamil commu-
nities in Indonesia and Malaysia. Former colonial powers host immigrant populations from their erst-
while territories and the descendants of African slaves may be found wherever their forced
emigration took them, chiefly in the Americas but also in parts of the Arab world.
In more recent years, a somewhat different pattern of migration has emerged where the flow has
been into and not out of more developed societies. The United States, Canada and the European
Union are particularly the object of immigration. The cause is chiefly the promise that they hold of
jobs and better conditions, which are plainly attractive to people from fractured societies and col-
lapsed or poorly functioning economies. Where the source of migration sends out a flow of the tech-
nologically educated, as in the flow of South-East Asians to the United States, it may be encouraged.
Attitudes may be different where the flow is unskilled and possibly destitute. Such a labour force may
in fact be advantageous to a developed economy, but that fact may not be obvious to the existing
inhabitants. The problems arise internally, where the chief difficulties lie in knowing how many to
accept, how to eject unwanted immigrants and what to do with and for those arriving. But there is
also the fact that hostile public opinion can impact on the external reactions and policies of gov-
ernments. Externally, the growth of migration has become an issue involving private humanitarian
and human rights organisations, intergovernmental organisations such as the UN and states of ori-
gin, passage and destination. The present situation is partly the consequence of past failure to grap-
ple with the issue but is chiefly the result of the apparent impossibility of controlling the flows or
even, in the case of immigration into the USA from the south, documenting them.
Fear of terrorist infiltration via immigration has lent urgency to finding solutions but not with any
obviously successful results. Migration has therefore come to play a role among global interactions
at many levels, from the highest of politics to the functioning of the global economy and ultimately
to the very conception that individual societies maintain of themselves.
The interaction takes several forms: between governments and markets, between governments and
transnational firms and between governments and their people; side by side go the interactions
between firms and markets and between firms and the people living in the places they invest in. At
another level are the global interactions between both governments and transnational firms and the
major global institutions – the World Bank, the IMF and the WTO. The effect is much like a garden
fertiliser too randomly applied. Sudden but insufficiently rooted growth, eventual soil exhaustion,
clear marks of differential growth rates and burn marks in vegetation killed by too large a shot of the
chosen chemical can as easily be the consequences as well-sustained and profitable improvement over
time.
War
Among the most remarkable shifts of gear of recent decades has been in the nature of warfare. The
change can be simply put: whereas from the late eighteenth century in Europe to the end of the Cold
War in the late twentieth century, war almost exclusively meant formal war between states or alliances
of states, civil conflict within states has now almost completely overtaken inter-state war as the most
likely form of warfare. The reason is chiefly connected with the increasing weakness in the stability
and effectiveness of many states, particularly those which are poor, small or environmentally chal-
lenged. This is the consequence partly of economic globalisation and partly of the emergence of a
large number of new states, often with poorly rooted political and administrative structures. In addi-
tion, the withdrawal of support offered to some regimes by the superpowers during the Cold War
period increased the likelihood of state failures, whether complete or partial. In a very short time,
the assumption that the risk of war was the risk of a global superpower collision, fought between
highly organised alliances using high-tech weaponry, gave way to the certainty that most conflict
would be disorganised, low-tech and conducted amidst the chaotic political, economic and adminis-
trative conditions accompanying the collapse of government in a state.
This effect has been seen, and still is seen, in Africa from Sierra Leone in the west to Somalia in
the east and perhaps in its starkest form in central Africa, and particularly in the genocide that
occurred in Rwanda. It marked the breakup of Yugoslavia in Europe, has been common in the
Caucasus region from Chechnya to Nagorno-Karabakh, has threatened Pakistan, Indonesia and the
Philippines, and is endemic across Oceania. Dealing with it is peculiarly difficult since the existing
political and legal norms give great significance to the sovereign rights of states and put barriers in
the way of intervention. The UN particularly finds it hard to resolve the contradiction that its
charter specifically protects the rights of each member while at the same time giving the organisa-
tion the obligation to protect global security. Only when the protection of human rights has been
tacitly allowed to trump the preservation of sovereign rights, as occurred in Yugoslavia and was
eventually brought in as justification of the Iraq war of 2004, does some logical basis begin to appear,
since it is inevitably human rights which suffer under a brutal dictatorship or in the event of civil
conflict.
One result of this development has been a surge of mercenaries, either fighting in their own
groups for one side or another in a civil war or, in a form of privatisation of security, being employed
to buttress existing forces. The chaos which these conflicts cause has also occasioned commercial
firms to employ private security companies to supply locally secure conditions where they do busi-
ness or manufacture. In either case, the use of mercenaries employed in private armies both indi-
cates the degree to which a state may have collapsed and contributes to its further fall. Of all the
functions expected of a state, being the sole provider of internal and external security for its people
has always been primary.
The interaction which contemporary conflict represents has steadily slipped away from the quite
tightly controlled framework which the Geneva Conventions provided and thus far has not gained a
new kind of limitation derived from the existence of and likely prosecution of war criminals at the
International Criminal Court. Its existence, formally completed in 2005, marks the beginning of a
new era and is undoubtedly a consequence of the contemporary style of warfare. Meanwhile, the
prevalence of notably cruel intra-state conflicts seems to be deeply ingrained and intractable. The
machinery of the former international system was not designed to deal with it and is in any case as
232 War
subject as any other area of state activity to the reduction in the authority of governments, which
show little sign of developing new responses individually or constructing new institutional ways of
coping.
Terrorism
Into the gap have come terrorist groups, sometimes fuelled by the dislocation in familiar political
and cultural environments caused by globalisation, sometimes in support of far older causes,
national, religious, sometimes both. Terrorism has always existed in some form or another, often at
the edges of more formal warfare, and has frequently had a close relationship with the vulnerability
that people have when they move about. Piracy at sea, extortion on rivers in mediaeval times, explo-
sions on trains and at stations, car bombs and now the hijacking and deliberate destruction of air-
craft all share this characteristic. Terrorism flourishes in the contemporary uncertainty about the
origin and control of conflict, but it also owes its present prominence to another factor. The global
pressures – particularly economic pressures, which individuals now feel are difficult to react to, at
least with any hope of getting results – are constantly growing. The familiar routes for expressing anx-
iety and discontent which are available through the political structures of states no longer serve that
purpose adequately. The institutions of states have developed over centuries in a way that makes
them amenable – though sometimes only after some time has elapsed – to the pressure of domestic
public opinion, most usually through the results of elections. Populations thus have a kind of stake
in them and have expectations of them that include the idea that they will be able to protect them
from the worst vagaries of changes in the economy and in territorial security. This link has been bro-
ken where the pressures have become global in scope and the institutions of a state can no longer
react in any sufficient way to them and thus satisfy the basic covenant with the population. It is this
situation that pushes individuals to adopt tactics that are derived from despair and helplessness. The
sense of irresolvable grievance which results increases the possibility that people will take to far less
focused but instantly reportable action against soft targets in the expectation that general outrage
will eventually garner the results that the ordinary political process no longer delivers.
The principal characteristic of the patterns of interaction in global politics is their plurality. The
number of levels at which interactions take place has increased, the number of entities between
which interactions take place has also increased and the types of entity have become much more
various, particularly with the presence of significant private actors on a stage once the unique pre-
serve of states and associations of states. The result is raucous, hard edged and sometimes chaotically
ineffective. But this is because the circumstances are new and conventions have not yet developed to
regulate the way in which global politics are conducted. It was so when states first appeared in
sixteenth-century Europe and it took them 100 years to settle into a workable system. So it is
unsurprising that the world is having a rocky ride now. The uncertainties and failures have to be
balanced against the vigour and excitement and particularly perhaps the empowerment of
individual human beings that the Internet has already brought and will surely expand further.
233
1964, recorded portions of the Tokyo Olympics of US cable television networks into space with
were broadcast via satellite to television viewers Home Box Office (HBO), Ted Turner’s TBS and
around the world in a major step towards creat- televangelist Pat Robertson’s CBN all making the
ing what Marshall McLuhan called the ‘global jump into space. Originally, the media conglom-
village’. Satellite networks, originally built for erates assumed that only cable systems operators
transmitting voice and data, soon became mech- would receive the signals transmitted from
anisms for the global distribution of television. space. Individual technology enthusiasts, how-
The first live broadcast via satellite showed US ever, soon developed their own hardware capa-
astronaut Neil Armstrong walking on the moon ble of receiving the signals being relayed to the
and was a deeply poignant use of the technology. cable networks, thus turning satellite TV into a
In 1964, Intelsat, an international consortium consumer technology: with this shift, the age of
of 11 Western-aligned nations including the the giant backyard satellite was born. The
United States, Canada, Japan, Australia and sev- response of the media companies was hostile as
eral Western European countries, deployed a they sought to persuade governments to legislate
network of geo-synchronous communications against such ‘piracy’.
satellites. The conjunction was an important A larger-scale satellite TV revolution began
step forward in internationalising satellite tech- with the introduction of a digital broadcast satel-
nology and represented the first attempt to cre- lite (DBS) or mini-dish system in the United
ate a truly global communications network. The Kingdom by Sky Television. Regional systems fol-
communist bloc soon followed suit with the cre- lowed around the world with Hughes DirecTV
ation of Intersputnik, a mirror project with dif- (USA), Astra and Eutelsat (Europe), Hispasat
ferent ideological concerns. Satellites soon (Latin America and Spain), ArabSat (Middle
became ever more numerous as thousands of East), SkyPerfect (Japan) and Multichoice
media and communications companies scram- (southern Africa) among others. The interna-
bled to gain a wider footprint and/or provide tionalisation of sport has been a major side
more material content to subscribers. Other cor- effect of this process, with the Olympics, cricket,
porations such as the international money wire football and other championships being
service Western Union saw clear benefits in the watched by a sizable (and increasing) portion of
use of satellite technology for conducting global the globe’s population each year.
transactions. The proliferation of smaller and thus less
Television first gained a global audience in the conspicuous satellites has had a keen impact on
period after the conclusion of the Second World societies in authoritarian states. In China, DBS
War. Americans, the pioneers of the medium, satellites are often called ‘little ears’ in reference
still watch more television than any other nation, to their role in piercing the communist govern-
spending 4 out every 24 hours in front of a tele- ment’s monopoly on media. The Iranian dias-
vision set. However, the obsession with TV has pora community in southern California provides
spread far and wide. Recent research shows that large amounts of Farsi-language content for
massive consumption of televised media is not broadcast into Iran via satellite TV, despite the
just a US pastime. Turks and Japanese watch fact that private satellite dishes are illegal in
about 3.5 hours per day; Argentines and Iran.
Venezuelans average just over 3 hours per day; Critics of globalisation are apt to point out
and most Europeans watch at least 2 hours of that satellite television has become a global plat-
programming a day. This global fascination with form for the delivery of a comparatively small
televised media has been made possible in amount of media to a very large audience. In
large part by the use of satellites both as relay homes, businesses, hotels and government
instruments and for direct broadcasts. offices around the world, CNN, the BBC, MTV,
RAI, TV5, Deutsche Welle and various manifes-
Age of the satellite tations of Rupert Murdoch’s global media
In 1965, the Soviet Union deployed its Ekran empire, News Corporation, are watched by hun-
satellite network to deliver television to its dreds of millions. New pan-Arab stations such Al-
domestic market, guaranteeing that almost every Arabiya and Al-Jazeera have recently joined the
Soviet citizen – whether in Kamchatka or the ranks of English, French and German language
Kola Peninsula – would have access to state mainstays in the global satellite TV market.
broadcasts. The 1970s saw a massive penetration Although critics of media globalisation assert
Talking to the world 235
that the USA dominates what the world watches competing US companies, XM Radio and Sirius,
on TV, the situation is a good deal more launched their services in 2001 and 2002 respec-
nuanced. tively to go after the much more lucrative North
US- and Japanese-owned movie studios do American market. Each offers in excess of 100
account for the vast majority of motion pictures channels of music, news and entertainment pro-
consumed by the global market and certain US gramming beamed to cars, boats and homes in
television shows such as Baywatch, ER and The the continental USA, northern Mexico, south-
Simpsons are popular outside the USA, but other ern Canada and parts of the Caribbean,
television products have also pushed well although the companies are limited to market-
beyond their countries of origin. Italian game ing their services in the USA. Media sharing
shows, Brazilian soap operas, Japanese anima- between XM and WorldSpace of some radio sta-
tion, British news programmes and German tions now ensures that more than half of the
music video networks are all examples of non- world’s population has the ability to listen to the
US media that have gained massive global audi- same music at the same time. All the systems
ences which are due to satellite distribution carry the predictable panoply of news providers
networks. Cable and traditional over-the-air as well, thereby strengthening the hold of CNN,
broadcasts continue to be dominated by domes- the BBC and other global media over what infor-
tic media in most countries, but the seemingly mation and opinions the world’s population
unceasing growth of DBS portends a future receives.
dominated by global rather than state-controlled Satellites have also been a critical tool in the
or vetted media products. development of the Global Positioning System
The high cost associated with satellite tech- (GPS). The system, owned and operated by the
nology has led to more than a few companies US Department of Defense, gives highly accu-
going bankrupt due to overreaching themselves. rate readings of location anywhere on the globe.
Iridium, one of the most oft-mentioned bursts of The system is available for use free of charge.
the late 1990s technology bubble, launched hun- The US government does not, however, grant
dreds of low-earth orbiting (LEO) satellites in most users access to the extremely precise read-
order to build a private global mobile phone ings that it uses for military applications such as
network. Iridium’s goal was to build a consumer- cruise missile targeting. France, the most vocal
oriented telecommunications company with cov- supporter of technological independence from
erage that blanketed every square inch of the the USA, united with other European govern-
Earth, its oceans and the skies. It proved to be ments in 2003 to build an alternative system in
impractical and cost-prohibitive, causing the order to gain access to the most precise meas-
company to file for bankruptcy. Today, Iridium’s urements. The new system, known as Galileo, is
network, salvaged out of bankruptcy, provides expected to cost €3 billion and be completed in
services to international industrial customers, 2008. The People’s Republic of China, under-
the US Department of Defense and other com- standably uncomfortable with US domination of
munications companies. the only functioning platform, has promised to
Another recent innovation in satellite use is contribute €230 million to the project.
the advent of several satellite radio companies
that have continental footprints. The first com-
pany, WorldSpace, began as an effort to stop the Talking to the world: telephony
spread of AIDS in Africa through satellite-deliv-
ered education efforts. Over time the company breaks out of the box
grew into a media provider for Africa and much The world’s telecommunications structures have
of Western Europe, broadcasting news and historically been state-specific concerns. Some
music in French, Arabic and English to relatively interoperability was of course required to trans-
inexpensive satellite radio receivers. WorldSpace mit calls internationally, but networks were
followed the 1998 launch of its AfriStar satellite established with a strong if not overriding
service with AsiaStar, which provides audio and emphasis on borders (often at the sub-national
data services to Asia and the Middle East. The level, as in the case of the regional networks that
company plans to offer similar services to Latin characterise the USA and some other physically
America in the near future. large countries). However, a wave of telecommu-
Building on the WorldSpace model, two nications deregulation swept through the
236 Talking to the world
tional nongovernmental organisations linked soon to become a leader in global cellular tech-
virtually through ICT demonstrate an undeni- nology, gained a regional network in 1981. It was
able sea change in the ways human beings make two more years before the first network was acti-
investments, form groups and endeavour to vated in the United States, but once the process
regulate their personal environments. started Americans began adopting cell phones at
The advent of the Internet and the digitisa- high speed.
tion of voice traffic caused a precipitous drop in The United States, a fast follower in the
the cost of voice calls, especially for international mobile phone technology industry, steadfastly
traffic. IP telephony, i.e. telephony transmission adhered to its own Code-Division Multiple
that uses Internet protocols (IP), has proved Access (CDMA) standard for using spectrum to
extremely popular in much of the developing transmit calls. GSM (originally Groupe Spéciale
world where voice quality is somewhat lower Mobile, now Global System for Mobile
than in North America and Western Europe. IP Communications) is, however, the preferred
telephony transmits voice calls using packet protocol for European networks and the two are
switching and can run over the same lines used not compatible. This lack of interoperability has
for Internet traffic, thus cutting down on cost of led to a global contest in the developing world
per-minute calls and the infrastructure necessary for the establishment of new networks which has
to carry such calls. A call from London to generally resulted in a victory for the European
Bombay now costs a fraction of what it did standard. GSM was a phenomenal success for
even ten years ago due to competition and new believers in the European experiment as 26 gov-
networks. ernments came together and successfully imple-
The initial quality of IP traffic was somewhat mented a technology standard without any
lower than traditional analog calls made in the guidance from the USA, or the Soviet Union for
developed world and hence dampened adop- that matter.
tion levels there in the first few years of deploy- Mobile phone service has emerged as a criti-
ment. A number of governments, especially in cal tool for modernisation in much of the devel-
West Africa, have outlawed the practice and vig- oping world. Cambodia and a handful of other
orously punish service providers which attempt nations in the developing world have recently
to circumvent closely guarded national monop- seen the penetration of mobile phones surpass
olies over the provision of telephone services. that of landline phones. Poor infrastructure,
The attempt to staunch competition supported decades of civil strife and endemic poverty make
by the forces of economic globalisation of the decision to leapfrog landline systems in
markets is a losing battle, however, as most favour of wireless deployment a simple one for
governments have learned. many telecoms companies in the developing
world. Ironically, the same phenomenon is
Mobile telephony occurring in the wealthiest portions of the
Nikola Tesla, a Serbian immigrant to the United world as well. Finland, home of the world’s
States, invented the precursor of the mobile largest cell phone manufacturer Nokia, saw
phone in the late nineteenth century – the radio mobile phones surpass the number of standard
phone, which enjoyed some small success during phones in 1998 and other countries across
the 1940s. But widespread commercial deploy- Europe are also seeing wireless penetration
ment of the technology was rather slow in com- trump landline phones. This is generally due to
ing due to government regulation relating to use cultural preferences, greater amounts of leisure
of the finite amount of radio wave spectrum time and competitive pricing vis-à-vis traditional
available for such transmissions. Mobile tele- phones.
phones send and receive messages using electro- Short message service (SMS), one of the main
magnetic energy in the 800–900 megahertz drivers in the mobile revolution, has taken much
(MHz) or 1850–1990 MHz portion of the of the world by storm. A large percentage of the
radiofrequency (RF) spectrum, i.e. the contin- world’s 1.4 billion mobile phone users employ
uum of electromagnetic energy arranged the service which allows subscribers to send and
according to frequency and wavelength. receive brief messages (usually 150 characters or
In 1978, Bahrain was the site of the first com- less) via their cellular phones, although the phe-
mercially deployed cellular telephone network. nomenon has failed to take off in the United
Japan followed suit a year later. Scandinavia, States where real-time communication is seen as
238 Talking to the world
nuclear exchange has been made possible only own networks capable of transmitting data to
with its more recent global distribution – some- and receiving information from countless exter-
thing that was most likely never in its inventors’ nal networks. The result of this innovation was a
minds. complementary ecosystem of data exchange,
In 1972, Roberts introduced the project to the also known as cyberspace. Instructions on how
public. Also during that year, the first ‘killer to employ these protocols were made available
application’ for the network was introduced – free of charge to the public, often called ‘open
electronic mail or e-mail. While building the source’.
infrastructure for ARPANET, technicians devel-
oped the digital messaging system to assist Open source
them in the coordination of their activities. The
ability of users to selectively read, file, forward Any programme whose source code is published on
and respond to messages made it one of the the Internet for anyone to access free of charge.
fastest-growing applications of the late twentieth Interested parties may also make suggestions,
century. The following year saw the internation- improvements and updates to the code which may
alisation of ARPANET with connections to or may not be implemented by the original author(s)
University College, London and the Royal Radar of the code. The most successful open source pro-
Establishment (Norway). gramme is the Linux operating system (OS) which
In the late 1970s, the world witnessed the
competes with the Microsoft Windows OS. Invented
growth of a large number of wide area networks
by Linus Torvalds in 1991 at the University of
using satellite, radio and other technologies.
The most important of these new networks was Helsinki, the Linux operating system is today used
Usenet, which is still in use today. Usenet (also by thousands, perhaps millions, of people around
known as the ‘poor man’s ARPANET’) became the world. Linux recently overtook Apple’s OS to
popular due in large part to restrictions on free become the second most popular operating system
speech imposed by DARPA on ARPANET. in the world. Its popularity, especially with the
Usenet became a place where individuals could hacker community, is partly due to worldwide rejec-
communicate about anything and everything tion of Microsoft’s often ham-handed domination of
from illicit drugs to government conspiracies. the global operating system market.
The Usenet ethos deeply affected the Internet
and still shapes its nature as a media platform
today. Unlike television and other forms of mass The first successful attempt at Internetworking
media, the content posted on Usenet was con- was made in 1977, but it was not until 1982 that
trolled by its audience rather than by an elite an efficient system could be universally deployed.
group of producers. Access to Usenet, unlike This system would eventually be known as
ARPANET, was egalitarian and technology the Transmission Control Protocol/Internet
enthusiasts soon flocked to the new network – a Protocol (TCP/IP). The process gave the mod-
phenomenon that was aided by the growing use ern Internet certain benefits, such as global
of the personal computer. In 1981, Usenet and addressing, that ensured its growth well beyond
ARPANET were linked, thus significantly widen- the confines of the US academic and military
ing the access of grassroots groups to portions of communities where it had been born. From this
cyberspace which had hitherto been restricted point forward, the Internet can be seen as global
to only a few DARPA-vetted researchers. Over rather than national technology as grassroots
the next decade, ARPANET became obsolete as network creators began to tie their networks
the US government opted instead for propri- to larger networks with little regard for space,
etary networks and other users moved on to distance or political boundaries.
what was to become the Internet. The structure of the Internet lent itself to the
As alternative networks proliferated, the chal- creation of both narrow and broad epistemic
lenge to interoperability grew. The concept of communities from its early days. One-to-one and
an inter-network or ‘Internet’, i.e. a network of one-to-many communication pathways were
networks, became the solution for this problem. established through the first e-mails and elec-
By using open-architecture protocols that would tronic mailing lists (Listservs). Although initially
enable separate computer networks to talk to confined to industrial, academic and security
one another, engineers could now create their communities, the commercial sector became
240 From a MIT pet project to a global medium
infrastructure has opened the door to a host of tiveness of security forces in totalitarian states.
dangers, including hacking, computer viruses High-profile examples of hactivism have been
and cyberterrorism. Modern hacking, i.e. ille- recorded against the Mexican government over
gally accessing and tampering with computer its policies in Chiapas, the People’s Republic of
networks, traces its history back to 1972 when a China for its treatment of dissidents, and the
hacker known as Captain Crunch used a toy White House for ordering air strikes on Iraq.
whistle from a cereal box to mimic successfully Hactivism has also been employed by separatists
the tones used by US telecoms giant AT&T. By (often based outside the country in question)
blowing the whistle into a pay telephone, the such as the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka, Basques
hacker was able to recreate the tone that signi- seeking an independent homeland and
fied that the caller had paid for the call, thus Albanians in Kosovo. The Internet is a globally
allowing him to make unlimited long-distance orientated technology that allows hactivists a
calls free of charge. In 1983, the motion picture great deal of anonymity and the ability to con-
Wargames, itself a depiction of hacking, became a duct attacks from almost anywhere in the world.
worldwide inspiration to a new generation of In many ways, cyberspace has become a second
hackers experimenting with increasingly avail- front for many types of conflict in the age of
able home computers. globalisation.
By the mid-1990s, Russian hackers were able By the late 1990s, hacking’s most nefarious off-
to break into Citibank’s computer system and spring, the virus – an insidious programme that
illegally transferred $10 million out of one of the travels from computer to computer via the
world’s largest banks. As the decade came to a Internet, disrupting service and destroying data
close, hackers, operating alone or sometimes in along the way – became the fear of everyone
groups, began attacking and defacing corporate from the global IT manager down to the basic
and government websites, giving birth to the Internet user. In May 2000, a young Filipino pro-
new term ‘hactivism’. grammer created a self-propagating e-mail virus
called ILOVEYOU, which wreaked global havoc,
Hactivism made international headlines and cost busi-
nesses and consumers around the world millions
A combination of ‘hacker’ and ‘activism’ that refers in downtime, lost data and repairs. Nearly 80 per
to the phenomenon of unauthorised programmers cent of all US corporations were affected and
manipulating computer systems to effect political 100,000 servers in Europe were hit by the virus,
change. The most extreme form of hactivism – which went global after making its way to the
cyberterrorism – has yet to be realised on a large communications hub of the Pacific Rim – Hong
scale. However, national governments are growing Kong, where it was first detected.
more fearful that supra- or subnational terrorist Lastly, the Internet has become a tool for glob-
groups will strike at vital systems related to public ally orientated terrorist organisations. Even
before the terrorist attacks of September 11
safety, the banking system or food and water
2001, national governments had been directing
supplies.
increasing attention to the role of the Internet
in the recruitment, training and coordination of
Hackers steadfastly differentiate themselves terrorist groups such as Al Qaeda. Transnational
from ‘crackers’ who use their knowledge of com- terrorist organisations employ chat rooms,
puter systems for theft or senseless vandalism. ephemeral websites and Internet-based encryp-
True hackers are driven more by varied political tion technologies to disguise their activities and
goals rather than the desire to accumulate wealth communicate clandestinely. The National
or cause wanton destruction. Hactivism can be Security Agency, the US government agency in
seen as a form of ‘virtual’ activism – often by using charge of analysing communication networks
civil disobedience at the global level. Hactivists for possible threats, along with other security
have been known to publish classified govern- organisations has redoubled its efforts to thwart
ment information on the web, counteract moni- terrorist activity on the web through innovative
toring and blocking software of authoritarian detection efforts, while the USA and some other
governments that attempt to restrict Internet countries prohibit the sale of certain encryption
access within their countries, conduct virtual sit- technologies to individuals in states which have
ins on government websites and disrupt the effec- a record of supporting terror.
From a MIT pet project to a global medium 243
CHAPTER 3: Diplomacy
Not so very long ago, diplomacy and war would diplomats evolved out of – sometimes bitter –
have been regarded as the principal, perhaps experience and were intended to make it possi-
the only, means by which different entities occu- ble for diplomacy to proceed in as untram-
pying the global, continental or regional stage melled a fashion as possible. The effect was to
would interact with each other; and, more than make of diplomats a special kind of interna-
that, as Clausewitz famously suggested, repre- tional person, protected and privileged for as
sented alternatives to each other. Even trade long as his or her diplomatic status was accepted.
would have been seen as subordinate to these That is why the rules which determine this status
two. Today, as other chapters make clear, the bal- have until recently been so clear and broadly
ance of significance has changed and both war acknowledged across ideologies and political
and diplomacy have to take their place among systems.
other equally important interactions. Both, how- There are essentially two parts to the tradi-
ever, continue to exist and both have been mod- tional diplomatic system: one is based in the for-
ified in similar ways. Having for long been the eign ministry and, in the contemporary context,
sole servants of states, their rulers and govern- in the offices of heads of governments. It gives
ments, diplomacy and war now serve various advice about the formulation and management
masters. of whatever foreign policy governments have
Diplomacy was not always a highly specialised decided to pursue. The second part is external
activity, restricted both legally and in practice to representation. Embassies, missions of any sort,
the purposes of states. Before the emergence of ambassadors and their staffs exist to promote
the fully secular and sovereign state in seven- the interests and policies of their governments
teenth-century Europe, many very different abroad, to negotiate as required with their host
authorities employed diplomats and expected to regime and to report on the general situation of
practise diplomacy: the Church, powerful indi- the country to which they have been sent. Before
viduals, economic associations as well as rulers, the information revolution this last function
some very small time, did so. Some of these used to be much more important than it now is;
diplomats represented entities that cut across and the negotiating role has been reduced also.
the physical territories of rulers whether large or As the US former presidential candidate Ross
small, like the Holy Roman Empire or the Perot once said about that activity: ‘Just send a
Church; some represented individuals or rulers fax.’ Experience very strongly suggests, however,
who had a small territorial base, some much that those who doubt the role of human knowl-
larger fry. But the idea of highly organised cen- edge and sensitivity in specific situations are
tres of authority was not really known and the dangerously underestimating the importance of
extraordinary variety of both representative human contact.
and represented made the development of a The traditional diplomatic system is being
homogeneous diplomatic system impossible. challenged by the many contemporary changes,
The corralling of diplomacy solely for their discussed elsewhere in this book, most of which
purposes by states from the seventeenth century arise in one way or another from the effects of
began the process of creating a diplomatic struc- the communications revolution. These are often
ture that was complex, highly respected, profes- grouped together and conjointly labelled glob-
sional and essential to the conduct of relations alisation. One effect on diplomacy has been to
between them. All sorts of rules and conventions reduce the primacy of state diplomacy and the
about the rights, privileges and obligations of resources assigned to it, while another has been
Diplomacy of states 245
of admired and powerful bureaucracies, difficult required in the relationship between individual
to enter, well paid and secure, carrying out pub- governments and the central administration at
lic administration with lesser or greater degrees Brussels. While the most striking evidence of the
of political management are being dismantled. trend was to be found in Europe, other pres-
The general demise of the collectivist state is one sures appeared more widely. The operation of
reason for this, but the increasing inability of the IMF, the World Bank and the GATT (even-
governments to impose a high tax regime and tually the WTO) as well as other economic and
remain in power is another. To apply deregula- development matters, sometimes handled
tion and competition to the administrative through the UN system, provoked similar
organs of the state has seemed an obvious path changes across many countries, as did the highly
to take both on principle and to save money. complex negotiations, requiring a very particu-
Of all areas of government activity, the most lar kind of expertise, which were necessarily
susceptible to this kind of argument have been involved in attempts to control the nuclear arms
the foreign and diplomatic services. It is perhaps race.
instructive that these were and have traditionally The foreign services of states were not only
been felt to be the senior and central activities of the victims of structural changes, they had also
the fully sovereign state; and it is they which have been the victims of a precipitous decline in rep-
been the first and primary casualties of contem- utation after the 1914 war, when people suffer-
porary developments. Diplomacy had become ing from the catastrophic effects of the war felt
the sole preserve of foreign ministries and for- that they had been betrayed by diplomacy’s fail-
eign services by the early eighteenth century, ure to prevent it. There was some recovery dur-
with the exception of China, which resisted the ing the Cold War but their perceived role
notion for a further 100 years. Events in the declined again thereafter, at least in the field of
international system and the behaviour of gov- ‘high politics’. An atmosphere of exclusivity, of
ernments confirmed that concentration until foppish luxury and increasing irrelevance clung
the war of 1914. After the war, the cumulative to them, however unjustified. The reasons are
effects of expansion of government roles and not hard to find. In a world where the impera-
activities, which had begun before the war but tives of global politics seemed to be almost
were greatly emphasised during its course, entirely economic and commercial, what part
began to break down the monopoly of foreign could a cultured generalist play? In a world
ministry control. where nuclear catastrophe might be prevented
The profound significance of economic policy by arms control agreements, it seemed that only
for governments, and its use, in the form of eco- expert negotiators could possibly make them.
nomic sanctions, as a weapon intended to But most damaging of all, in a world where the
achieve international coercion gave to financial acquisition of information and the exchanging
and economic departments of governments a of messages had become both easy and gener-
newly independent role in managing interna- alised, the traditional duty of foreign services to
tional negotiations and transactions, particularly put their government’s view in the most effective
in the field of tariffs, reparations payments and way and to send back up-to-date information
loan repayments. from their mission seemed to have been
This tendency continued without any great scooped by the new communications system.
acceleration until the l960s when two factors In a deeper sense, the duty to guard the basic
began to produce rapid and dramatic change. security of their country as a sovereign entity was
The first of these occurred in Europe where the eroded as the world situation was itself trans-
progressive establishment of the institutions and formed by globalisation, changing at the same
functioning of the EEC/EC/EU began to estab- time the meaning of the concept of national
lish new patterns of inter-state activity among the security. All these factors reduced public and
members. This activity was derived from a rela- political willingness to continue to support the
tionship that was still international but also traditional diplomatic services.
incipiently federal, and the latter element cre- Moreover, as the number of issues on which
ated a need to have direct relations between governments and non-governments needed to
individual departments of state, defined not by speak to each other both expanded hugely and
nationality but by topic. Strengthening the became more technical, the range of adminis-
process, the same effect was simultaneously trative services across which they were spread
Diplomacy of states 247
also vastly increased. There is a similarity They are no longer hierarchically arranged
between the way in which governments have extrusions of the foreign ministry but have
found the need to talk to each other at levels become a house of ‘many mansions’ in which
other than just the top and not confined to the widely varying national operations, groups and
use of a single point of entry and exit – the for- organisations can find an office from which to
eign ministry – and the way in which govern- conduct business. The huge increase in travel
ment departments within a country have also and migration in recent years has been impor-
found that the issues they have to process tant in this because of the way distressed nation-
demand cross-ministry treatment at almost any als have extruded some aspects of the remaining
and every level. It is a lesser example of the same welfare state onto the diplomatic and consular
horizontalising tendency so obvious in the world fields. The ambassador becomes a kind of chair-
at large. Within the EU, of course, the tendency man of a multiply sectored company or, as has
is compounded by the necessity for each min- been suggested, a version of the senior partner
istry to deal directly with Brussels, thus subtract- in a law firm. Such reforms are useful as well for
ing a major part of the political role of embassies image-altering purposes. In fact, the latter pur-
of member states within member states, never pose has been helped, perhaps unexpectedly, by
mind their respective foreign ministries. the all too real dangers and privations caused by
Consistent attempts to prune and reduce expen- highly unstable conditions in many parts of the
diture on what was increasingly regarded as a world. Respect for diplomatic immunity and the
perhaps unnecessary and certainly unnecessarily ancient taboo on harming accredited diplomatic
luxurious foreign service have scarcely been messengers do not survive where most sending
surprising. governments no longer have or would wish to
use the long arm of forcible retribution and
New role where the perpetrators of atrocities need have
In common to some degree with the defence little fear of the doctrine of reciprocity.
services – and to be seen, too, perhaps in doubts A second part of reversing past negative
about the future role of NATO – the response images involves becoming much more open
has been a remarkable effort to escape from the about the formulation and management of pol-
atmosphere of luxurious secrecy and exclusivity icy with legislatures and the media, both of
and to find a new role for foreign ministries and which have often felt excluded, as well as with
diplomatic services, sufficient to give them rele- the public at large and more precisely with
vance in the context of globalisation and the groups interested in external affairs for histori-
effects of the communications revolution. cal, economic or intellectual reasons. These
The first gives rise to great efforts to broaden groups can be offered an entry into the process
the basis of recruitment, to embrace fully all the through advisory committees and academics are
technologically advanced systems available for being much more extensively consulted in their
both communicating and publicising the work areas of expertise. In addition, there is a growing
of the service and to insist that all officers, how- tendency to introduce ‘revolving door’ schemes
ever senior, must acquire such skills. There is whereby secondments can be arranged from
also a tendency to reduce staff wherever possi- and to private civil organisations, chiefly in the
ble, to abandon, where it existed, the idea that fields of the environment, human rights and
representation should be almost universal and humanitarian aid. Thus a general sense is spread
that where it does occur it should not be too that external policy is at least to some degree a
comfortable in terms of either accommodation cooperative enterprise, based on inclusivity and
or allowances. Economising in this respect accessibility.
would be imposed because of the general reduc- The process goes further than trying to erase
tion in public finances and major efforts to the negative perceptions of the past. Finding
achieve savings through better use of technolog- positive roles to play is even more important.
ically advanced equipment; making imaginative Strict attention to what a country’s interests and
arrangements for the leasing of embassy build- needs actually are and focusing on them to the
ings and the sharing of compounds can be exclusion of any more general ambitions has
found in many foreign services. So, too, can been a feature of the process. The result is usu-
multi-accreditations. ally that overseas services are to be concentrated
Embassies are affected in other ways as well. on areas of actual or potential economic interest,
248 Diplomacy of states
the neighbours, the major global institutions propaganda by another name; but it is not prop-
and wherever there might be a national dias- aganda put about in the interests of control and
pora. In these areas, diplomatic activity, though it very definitely does not have the field to itself.
accomplished with highly advanced communica- If it was not basically correct, the global infor-
tion techniques, is of a recognisably traditional mation system would provide a quick means of
kind, basically bilateral except where institutions being found out and discredited; and in any case
are concerned. it has to compete with the pervasive orchestra of
In addition to this trimmed role, there is the attention-seeking noise to be found on the
newer importance attached to public diplomacy. Internet which again puts a premium on being
Public diplomacy, particularly in its cultural both accurate and useful.
form, has long been seen as an adjunct to the The development of public diplomacy
diplomatic exercise, but generally inferior in sig- emphasises another feature of the contemporary
nificance to the high dramas of inter-state polit- foreign service. As in so many areas of activity,
ical rivalries, and its practitioners regarded as both government and non-government, the
less than ‘real’ diplomats. This is changing in pyramid of authority is being flattened by the
contemporary conditions and particularly in the nature of the work to be done. To achieve good
light of the all-pervasive influence of the media, negotiating positions on particular issues, to
including discussion on the Internet. Sometimes relate successfully to issue-based global organisa-
it can feel as though there are two quite separate tions and meetings as well as to formulate suc-
worlds involved – the real one and a contrived cessful public diplomacy, there has to be a wide
virtual version created for the media by the range of connectivity: within the service – across
actors involved. Skill in achieving this has added departments in the ministry and between
a new whiff to the very old odour of mendacity embassies and the ministries and very possibly
which has always hung about what the represen- other ministries – and outside the service – there
tatives of governments may say. have to be connections with politicians and
interested groups, often national and global civil
Public diplomacy organisations, other friendly governments and,
Public diplomacy means paying close attention crucially, business and finance. Plainly priorities
to creating and maintaining good opinions held of this kind have implications for initial training
about one’s country by the public of another. and subsequent staff development.
The hope is that the government of that country It remains up for discussion to what extent
will be responsive to the fact that its public gen- this development responds to a real need and is
erally supports the aims and general stances of effective in doing so and to what extent it is a
the government diffusing such public diplomacy self-preserving invention. For some countries
so that in a crisis or prolonged negotiations, which carry a heavy load of historically impor-
friendly attitudes will prevail. Thus all kinds of tant remembered activity but which have been
contact, ranging from sporting fixtures to cul- just as affected by the erosion of state roles and
tural tours to newspaper articles or radio and TV the global diffusion of power as everybody else,
coverage, are potentially of significant promo- the construction of public diplomacy is both an
tional value. A broadly favourable view of a coun- attempt at shedding the load and a device for
try B, for example, that it is honest, efficient, tracking the extent to which it is reducing.
compassionate may also affect the likelihood of Forming policy for public diplomatic purposes
global business locating itself in one country in the inclusive way generally suggested and
rather than another. increasingly implemented can also be seen as in
Depending on the degree of development of itself a way of recreating a national identity in a
a country, public diplomacy may also involve new image for domestic purposes as much as for-
forms of aid – direct or indirect; for example, eign. It is almost as if the role of a state has
medical or educational respectively. shrunk so much domestically that it is to be
Humanitarian disasters of one kind or another defined by the external perception it induces
also provide opportunities for public diplomacy and that the very activity may be crucial to its
at many levels and occasionally a form of public survival.
diplomacy in itself, by cooperating, amidst fan- As to the effectiveness of public diplomacy in
fares, with a humanitarian civil organisation. creating a global basis of support for the general
Public diplomacy is open to the charge that it is mores and specific points of view of a country,
Diplomacy of states 249
the jury will be out until time has provided more security, security from terrorism, security from
experience. environmental degradation and, in some areas,
One reason why this is so is that in the rush of security from complete administrative and polit-
information and communications overload and ical breakdown and the consequent humanitar-
in coping with the unstable nature and move- ian crisis: these are the real threats. Here the
ment of power across the globe and, not least, mongrel nature of contemporary foreign policy
the sheer pace of technological and political becomes obvious. Few if any of these categories
change, it is hard to think logically about what are specifically foreign, each is in fact a mixture
foreign, global or external policy is actually for. of domestic and foreign, involving some aspects
States originally had foreign policy in order to that are globally common to all states and
counter threats before they led to invasion or domestically cross the traditional frontiers of
some other war and to find and maintain administrative responsibility.
alliances both for that purpose and to support One consequence of this is the appearance of
the waging of war if that proved necessary. They the argument that the main function of a foreign
came to limit their relationships to the outside ministry is to act as the coordinating element in
world to those conducted officially through the the generation of national policy responses to
one point of entry or exit, the foreign ministry, regional or global activities. Such coordination
or through commerce. They did so in a con- will go beyond government and include other
scious effort to identify and defend themselves national groups or interests and may even also
against credible threats occurring in a society of involve coordination with outside bodies. Thus
states arranged in a vertical relationship to each far, though certainly some signs of this appear,
other, just as they maintained internal adminis- coordination seems to be moving towards
trative machines arranged similarly. presidential and prime ministerial offices, as the
In a period of transition such as is occurring complications involved require such political
now, elements of that situation survive, chiefly authority for their resolution that only the most
among less developed states and societies, but senior political centre can provide it. The end
also in certain parts of the world – North-East result of this process may be the concentration of
Asia, for example, and the Middle East, includ- the remaining high politics function of foreign
ing the Gulf. But these are not typical. What con- relations at the apex of the system while leaving
stitutes a threat has to be completely differently large-quantity, lower-level coordination to for-
considered in the context of horizontalised eign ministries which may come to suffer from
activities. In one sense, these activities are them- indigestion as a consequence.
selves extremely serious in their damaging All of these considerations suggest that, in
effects on the structure and role of states; but developed states at least, any doubts that may be
this is not seen as a threat, except in some eco- felt about how to answer the questions ‘what is
nomic and financial matters, because the effects foreign policy for?’ and ‘for what should foreign
of globalisation on the whole have been benefi- service officials and diplomats be trained and
cial to individuals in economic terms and partic- retrained?’ are not signs of intellectual or politi-
ularly to individuals in terms of personal cal weakness, but accurately reflect the acute dif-
empowerment. The individual as beneficiary of ficulties of operating in a transitional situation.
the information revolution is not inclined to The key to understanding the problem lies not
want to defend a homeland against it, until iso- so much in a process of constant reduction,
lationist protectionism seems a plausible reform and ‘rebranding’, which cannot be ends
defence against uncomfortable economic in themselves, but in watching for the moment
restructuring, at which point the disadvantages when the new global centres of power either
of doing so may seem as clear as or clearer than acknowledge and improve their representative
the advantages. systems or, if they lack them, generate them.
The real threats are not those traditionally When that happens, dialogue between the pos-
seen as arising from abroad and aimed at states sessors of power will again be possible and will
security as such, but to personal security. They become the most immediately practical way to
arise from horizontal areas of power often thus deal with potential and actual threats to citizens.
far at least uncontrolled or restrained by a State governments may be downsized, but
human agency. Job security, security from elec- they will not go away; they may find themselves
tronic or other transnational crime, cultural in a far larger company of entities than they ever
250 Diplomacy of states
supposed possible, but they will still be there. Foundation as WHO’s special ambassador of its
They, like their new interlocutors, need to talk Global Alliance for the Elimination of Hansen’s
and they will need structures and staff – diplo- Disease (also known as leprosy), as well as other
mats – to do it for them. Their already growing inter-governmental organisations on the
willingness to face global problems with an inter- regional level.
disciplinary range of skills and people is a neces- In recent years there has been an increase in
sary start. More tangible results will await the regional associations of states, whether estab-
arrival of other parties with which to engage, but lished for economic or security purposes or, as
it is for this that they must prepare. often, both. In Africa particularly, their shelf life
has not been long. But the African Union has
survived and others currently exist – ASEAN and
Associations of states APEC in Asia, NAFTA, MERCOSUR and the
Associations of states have formed a part of the OAS in the Americas and there are others in
international, now global, system for a long time. Oceania. All this contributes to the web of global
Their significance as diplomatic or quasi-diplo- diplomatic activity.
matic entities was largely confined to alliances, The European Union, however, is a special
such as NATO, or, even more significantly, organ- example of an association of states. Unlike other
isations created to manage international politics regional organisations, such as ASEAN, it has
and prevent wars – the League of Nations and characteristics of a proto-federal state as well as
subsequently the UN. In more recent years, as we an inter-governmental organisation. As the for-
discuss later in this chapter, the major economic mer the European Union is trying to develop
associations of states – the World Bank, the WTO more conventional mechanisms of representa-
and the IMF – have begun to develop new roles tion as compared with other inter-governmental
which have made them something more than an organisations. The role of the European
association of states and pushed them into acting Commission has been steadily broadened from
as global authorities of their own. This shift has its primary function of regulating and managing
increased the importance and quantity of their the European common market to encompass
diplomatic activity among their memberships executive ‘powers’ in political and foreign
and in their relationships with both states and affairs. The EU demonstrates acute difficulties in
non-state entities. finding the political will to make a reality of com-
The UN has had a long enough history to mon policies, and never more so than during
show some discernible evolution, partly in the the successive crises over Iraq in 2003–2004. But
way it has established a formal relationship with forms of overseas representation have developed
the increasingly important humanitarian organ- through the EU delegations overseas and a
isations. The UN has also evolved due to the fre- quasi-foreign ministry for the EU has been insti-
quency and scope of the interventions it has tuted in the last few years, with Chris Patten and
undertaken. Among the practices that have Javier Solana acting as the EU’s foreign policy
been developed, the most visible is the Special ministers. A European foreign service is also
Representative of the Secretary-General (SRSG). envisioned. All this indicates that the EU may be
The despatching of an SRSG to a conflict zone starting to move down a similar path to that
was at first rather rare and largely ad hoc. But which states took earlier rather than developing
almost any type of intervention by the UN now ‘new’ forms of representation.
involves the assignment of a special representa- Yet the EU’s progress to the federal goal
tive or envoy to represent the organisation to enjoined upon it by successive treaties is proving
any and all other actors involved in the situation. slow and tough. The substantial enlargement of
So there are not only SRSGs for specific conflicts 2004 brought both a longer list of problems and
like Kosovo or East Timor, but also ‘thematic’ an administrative and constitutional crisis. If the
special representatives, such as the Special creation of a state stalls, it may therefore turn out
Representative of the Secretary-General for to be the effect on member states’ diplomatic
Children and Armed Conflict. activity in relationship to the organisation which
This practice is now being replicated by other is more significant than the EU’s relationship
organisations in the UN system, such as the with the rest of the global system. Here it is clear
World Health Organisation which, for example, that the independent political relationships
recently appointed the president of the Nippon between members have been cut down and the
Multilateral economic institutions and diplomacy 251
significance of their bilateral embassies reduced, United Nations, such as the UN Council on
though not to the point of abandonment. Trade and Development (UNCTAD), the UN
Relationships with Brussels have steadily Development Programme (UNDP) and the
increased in importance and volume of traffic, UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural
but it is business which is largely conducted Organisation (UNESCO), were focused on par-
directly between the domestic ministries con- ticular, usually development-related, economic
cerned and the relevant departments in Brussels. objectives. These agencies developed their own
It tends to be more administration than diplo- politics, institutional character and sense of mis-
macy, but in either case it is not being conducted sion and they extruded mechanisms of decision
through traditional diplomatic channels. The making and created diplomatic channels.
end result is that significant quantities of what Because they operated more on the principle of
would have been diplomatic business between members voting equally, in contrast to the
member states have ceased to flow through for- Bretton Woods method of weighted voting
eign ministries and diplomatic services and have power according to capital contribution, they
migrated to other places, chiefly other domestic acquired a wider legitimacy.
departments and in the case of the high politics Another type of NSEE is represented by the
of the EU, to heads of government. OECD, which is knowledge generating and con-
sultative, though it might have developed more
direct functions had its proposed Multi-lateral
Multilateral economic institutions Agreement on Investment been agreed in 1998.
The World Economic Forum (Davos 1971) has
and diplomacy become a good example of the knowledge-gen-
After the Second World War the governments of erating, consultative NSEE, particularly since it
the victorious powers established what was meant broadened its invitation list following public
to have been a trio of multilateral economic insti- protests made in the belief that it helped to per-
tutions (MEIs) to manage key aspects of what petuate global economic unfairness. In this case,
had become an increasingly global economy, though, it is entirely non-governmental in its
whose mismanagement in the 1930s was held to procedures and funding.
have been partly responsible for the rise of fas- The International Chamber of Commerce was
cism. In the case of the so-called Bretton Woods founded in 1919 and is a further important
twins, the International Monetary Fund was to example. It promotes the free flow of trade and
handle monetary relations and the World capital and it has taken up issues as different as
Bank Group, comprising a family of MEIs, was scheduling the payment of war debts and repa-
to encourage development. The intended rations and curbing protectionism. The ICC pro-
International Trade Organisation would have vides a range of services to members, including
supervised international trade. The latter did not panels of experts on areas such as intellectual
finally emerge until the GATT became the World property rights, taxation and competition law. In
Trade Organisation in the mid-1990s. These 1923 it established an International Court of
three institutions together have dominated the Arbitration to help member businesses resolve
field, generally known as non-state economic commercial disputes. In the 1980s the ICC
entity (NSEE) activity, and involve the largest introduced mechanisms to combat international
number of member governments. They have the commercial crime and in the 1990s it produced
lion’s share of NSEE–government diplomacy and standards of practice for sustainable develop-
power within them has been weighted in favour ment that have been widely endorsed.
of the largest state contributors. These institutions require regularised working
Other, more specialised institutions were also relationships with member-country govern-
created. Regional development banks such as ments. The professional staffs of the MEIs in par-
the Asian Development Bank, the Inter- ticular were often drawn from the foreign
American Development Bank and the European services of member states or else from finance
Bank for Reconstruction and Development par- ministries or other appropriate agencies. But
alleled the focus of the World Bank for their NSEEs from the outset took seriously the need
respective regions but with power distributed to construct their own professional, and hence
more substantially towards the recipient govern- diplomatic, identities by, among other things,
ments. The specialised economic agencies of the establishing rigid nationality quota systems for
252 Multilateral economic institutions and diplomacy
employment and setting higher employment In the case of the GATT/WTO, diplomacy
standards than member governments in areas between nation-states over international trade
such as linguistic ability. In doing so they created issues has been institutionalised in a particular
a cosmopolitan staff which came to have a way by the political process that led to its cre-
stronger sense of itself and its worth than of its ation and early development, particularly
former links with the government civil services because the ad hoc GATT secretariat was per-
from which many of its members had come. ceived as weak relative to nation-state govern-
Although NSEEs are fundamentally different ments. However, a structural change in the
from nation-states in their character, organisa- global economy, induced by the GATT-led
tion and purpose, the evolving complexities of process of trade liberalisation, has changed the
inter-governmental diplomacy have affected perceived identities and interests of GATT mem-
NSEE representation to governments equally. ber governments, particularly in the form of a
Most NSEEs have small, relatively centralised shift among major developing countries towards
professional staffs and tend to represent them- more pro-trade liberalisation positions. This in
selves as and where the need arises. In many turn has led to a transformation of the institu-
organisations, the great majority of the profes- tion and its processes. This has been because the
sional staffs function as diplomats, either for- creation of the WTO gave it a strengthened sec-
mally or informally, at least in information retariat and a ‘one country one vote’ system of
gathering and communication. decision making which brought about a real
In terms of the institutional organisation of redistribution of political power.
representation, among the diverse range of The globalisation of manufacture, of com-
NSEEs the MEIs are the most likely to represent merce, of finance and of information is open to
themselves to governments through permanent widely varied interpretations of its significance,
or ongoing missions. MEI missions to develop- as is the exact degree to which governments are
ing countries which represent their usual con- losing out to global forces they cannot control.
stituency develop the greatest similarity to the Put at its minimum, however, what has occurred
permanent diplomatic missions of governments. is highly significant – significant enough to have
At a different level, the annual general meetings engaged both public anxiety and supplied indi-
of the World Bank, IMF and regional develop- vidual opportunities. It suggests at least two para-
ment banks, WTO ministerial conferences, WEF doxes: the possibility of narrowing the economic
Davos summits and the ICC World Council all gap between developed and less developed soci-
look similar to inter-governmental ‘summits’. eties, yet the plain risk that it may in fact be fur-
ther widened; that changes in public policy have
Interaction been induced yet the effect of those changes is
The emergence of communications networks severely limited. These paradoxes arise out of
built around the Internet has made it much eas- the parallel existence of older sources of author-
ier for all sorts of other non-state entities, rang- ity and areas of economic and financial activity
ing from global firms to NGOs, to interact with which are not new in themselves but are newly
NSEEs directly, bypassing the state institutions arranged across the globe in layers. The result
that would previously have represented civil soci- has been that familiar – yet always difficult –
ety interests at NSEEs. Intensive lobbying, pub- methods of making the ebbs and flows of such
licity campaigns and protest activities have economic activity as controlled as possible have
forced MEIs to reconsider policies and change become not just difficult but ineffective.
actual diplomatic procedures – for example, the The annual global World Economic Forum
location and timing of meetings, arranging for (Davos) economic summit discussions, both in
adequate security, etc. The protests against the their very existence and in what topics they
WTO at its 1999 Seattle conference not only review, are further evidence of the need for new
forced delays and changes to the proposed mul- developments but do not add up to any viable
tilateral trade round but also brought about systemic response. The World Economic Forum
changes in the way that the WTO and other was conceived in 1971 as an annual ‘summit’
NSEEs publicise themselves and their activities. between global business leaders and political
The WEF has reacted similarly. leaders at Davos, in Switzerland, at which prob-
MEI representation to governments has also lems could be discussed, ideas could be gener-
changed as particular MEIs have been reformed. ated and, not coincidentally, deals could be
Diplomacy of humanitarian organisations 253
done. Founded as an organisation made up of MSF staff in Chechnya, a small group of four
global firms, whose annual dues pay its costs, the people was drafted from line management posi-
WEF expanded to include regional summits as tions and acted for four months as a negotiating
well as the annual Davos event and enlarged the agency with local power brokers in order to
range of participants invited to include the secure the hostages’ release.
media, academics, cultural figures and other The combination of attempting to avoid serious
representatives of civil society. misuses of their assistance by benefiting parties
However, by the late 1990s, the WEF had been and the frequent need to provide administrative
sufficiently effective at publicising and promoting and infrastructural services as the major part of
its mission that it began to be the object of com- humanitarian assistance also results in the need
plaint from a broader range of representatives of for complicated diplomacy in a very obvious way.
global civil society. They challenged the elite sta- Warring groups must be negotiated with, both as
tus of its venues and the lack of public accounta- to their own behaviour and their willingness to
bility for political and business decisions taken in tolerate the presence of the private actor and,
private under WEF auspices. The WEF equally important, as to their relationship with
responded, with partial success, by broadening its other groups and other sources of authority – the
range of participants further to include civil soci- remains of a state, for example. In order to make
ety organisations with more diverse socio- administrative and infrastructural assistance
economic objectives than most of the WEF’s effective, decisions have to be agreed with at least
membership or many of its political interlocutors. five potential other participants (it can be more):
the existing structure, to the degree that it
remains, warring factions seeking power at the
Diplomacy of humanitarian centre, or secession from it, other private organ-
isations, often many in number, several neigh-
organisations bouring states and multiple organs of the UN
Among the most significant newcomers to diplo- system. The need for negotiation is further com-
matic activity have been humanitarian organisa- plicated by the rising number of participants.
tions. Private actors have taken on new roles in The levels of activity also represent a thicken-
current humanitarian crises, acquiring a differ- ing weave. The level might be medical (both
ent relationship both to the crises themselves staff and supplies), food provision, environmen-
and to all the other parties also involved. These tal (essential services such as water supply), mili-
are generally four: the remaining sources of tary (which brings with it the whole issue of
authority in the state concerned, other states, achieving and maintaining a minimum degree
public organisations and other private organisa- of security) or the need for urgent administra-
tions. States have no problem being represented tive action, with all the attendant questions of
at the scene; public organisations, particularly relevant political authority. All these characteris-
pieces of the UN, have also little problem with tics are producing changed requirements for the
representing themselves. officers of the private actors involved. A new
For private actors, however, there is a prob- emphasis on obtaining staff with professional
lem. Little in their traditional activities has pre- and political skills is emerging, coupled with the
pared them for the need to represent themselves provision of training. Comprehensibly, the
or to become involved in coordinative negotia- familiar short-term use of essentially amateur
tions; but both are having to be done on a daily officers is giving way to longer-term contracts for
basis. MSF field directors and coordinators, for professionally qualified personnel.
example, can find themselves functioning both Through the mists of these changes, acceler-
medically and politically, particularly in respect ating as they have in recent years, can be seen
of relations with the media. So crucial can this the emergence of staff members who, having
aspect become that staff can be seconded to joined a private humanitarian organisation on
almost purely political activities, as has hap- the basis of enthusiasm and the possession of
pened in respect of the MSF Nairobi coordina- one basic skill (in a branch of medicine, for
tor since 1992, with responsibilities for example), find themselves turned by experi-
relationships with local actors both in the Horn ence, and sometimes by actual formal training
of Africa and in Rwanda and Burundi. When the into perhaps unwilling but nonetheless de facto
going gets really rough, as with the abduction of diplomats and administrators.
254 Diplomacy of humanitarian organisations
expressing the opinions and requirements of an economies into the global economy. As the
organisation, however morally right it might process of industry consolidation continues, it
seem. Taking the time to discover all that can be further concentrates resources and assets of
found out about another party’s situation and whole industries into fewer firms. The power
thus knowing what the political practicalities are and reach of transnational corporations and the
takes the representative activity rather further, global strategic alliances they are building now
but can be extremely valuable. Should ‘liaison’ rival that of states.
officers be two-way channels of information The prominence of corporations and their
using it with some discretion, or are they expanding interests within the global political
messengers only? economy have catapulted many corporate exec-
In many ways, the internal organisational tra- utives onto the global political stage and into
vails, the messy external associations and the some unconventional situations. An indication
multiplicity of very different and differentially of the changing relationship between the private
powerful entities in the system, with concomi- and public sectors is the treatment accorded
tant confusion about status and role, are extraor- CEOs of the largest transnational corporations
dinarily reminiscent of the early phases of the by governments and IGOs. During the heyday of
states system. It is not surprising to discover that the economic boom of the 1990s, it was common
the security of the universal ban on mistreating for CEOs like Microsoft founder Bill Gates to be
ambassadors has been disturbed. Dealing with given ‘head of state’ treatment by governments
the crises that occur within states means dealing of countries they visited. Ostensibly, meetings
with people who have little or no reason to between private-sector leaders and public offi-
accept the reciprocal obligations which under- cials at the highest level are not out of the ordi-
pinned the immunities of diplomats in an inter- nary and have been going on for many years, but
national system. The same sad effect can be seen today the practice is different in that such meet-
in the attacks that have occurred on all types of ings are not strictly confined to discussions
aid workers and most notably on the Red Cross. about business ventures and investment. Indeed,
The significance here is that the Red Cross, the conversation between business and govern-
because of its origins, has behind it the sanction ments is much more far reaching and involves
of an international treaty and its staff therefore issues of social and political development.
acquired a specially protected position within Similarly, global commercial enterprises have
the international system; but that position is not started to develop more elaborate collective
acknowledged by those who have no stake in a instruments, such as the World Business Council
system which is not designed to deal with inter- for Sustainable Development and the Intellectual
nal crises. Property Committee, to represent their common
The Pope and the Holy Roman Emperor interests within inter-governmental deliberations
would have sympathised with the plight of the and to be more effective when interacting or
Secretary-General of the United Nations, the engaging states and transnational social move-
King of Spain with the President of the United ment organisations, particularly on environmen-
States and Cardinal Richelieu with the chairman tal, economic and social policy questions.
of MSF International; as would so many harassed Companies have had to build an organisa-
toilers in the field of humanitarian intervention tional capacity to represent themselves effec-
with the dangers and indignities of representing tively to organisations and communities that
anything or anybody during the worst of the were not among the company’s traditional stake-
Thirty Years War in early seventeenth-century holders. The normal mechanisms of large
Europe. transnational corporations – namely, corporate
communications, marketing or advertising
departments – were not equipped to be an
The diplomacy of global business in-house ‘foreign ministry’ and this function
Global businesses such as Microsoft, BPAmoco, could not be outsourced to a public relations
Philips, Sony, Mitsubishi and General Motors agency. Increasingly corporations are hiring
have increasingly found themselves intervening retired diplomats to advise the CEO and senior
in a variety of crises around the world, either to management or to lead an international affairs
protect their investments or to buttress the division as a way to manage the increasingly com-
integration of emerging and transitioning plex relations of the company with other firms
256 The diplomacy of global business
Table 4.1 US foreign aid for 2000 (in millions created a constituency for aid well beyond the
of dollars): Official Development Assistance: immediate post-conflict needs. Changes were
A Chronological View not confined to the destination of aid but
extended to the forms in which the aid was
Type of aid deployed. Although in the 1950s former colonial
powers gave budget support to ex-colonies, in
Bilateral the 1960s their preference switched to project
Development assistance 2008 aid managed by the new bilateral donors
(Hjertholm and White, 1998). In the 1970s, the
Economic support fund 2792 policy focus of aid shifted to poverty alleviation
Food aid 800 as a result of the oil price shocks and the falling
of commodity prices. The World Bank, under
Eastern Europe and Soviet Union 1369 President Robert McNamara, bilateral donors
Debt relief 123 and the US International Development and
Food Assistance Act of 1975 stipulated that
InterAmerican Foundation and African 75 per cent of aid provided under the US
Development Foundation 19 Agricultural Trade Development and Assistance
Peace Corps 245 Act of 1954 should go to countries with a per
capita income of less than $300. In fact, during
State Department Refugee Programme 623 the 1970s and the 1980s, foreign aid from OECD
Multilateral countries rose steadily. However, the focus
shifted again in the 1980s, from poverty to debt
World Bank 811 relief, largely due to the debt crisis that marked
Inter-American Development Bank and the beginning of the decade. The new focus on
Investment Corporation 43 macroeconomic policy – particularly concerning
solving balance-of-payments problems – gave the
Asian Development Bank and Fund 91 IMF and especially the World Bank ‘a pre-emi-
African Development Bank and Fund 131 nence they had never enjoyed before’
(Hjertholm and White, 1998, p. 13).
European Bank for Reconstruction and However, from the debt-adjustment efforts
Development 36 emerged what became known as the
International organisations and programmes 283 ‘Washington consensus’ or a prescription-like
plan for economic development based on classi-
TOTAL 9374 cal economics premises that marked the almost
universalising emergence of neoliberalism in the
Source: Transforming Foreign Aid: United States
mid-1980s and throughout the 1990s. The
Assistance in the 21st Century (paper) by Lancaster,
reforms suggested by ‘Washington’ (broadly
Carol. © 2000 by Inst. for Intl Economics. Reproduced
defined as the World Bank, the IMF, the
with permission of Inst. for Intl Economics via Copyright
Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve
Clearance Center
Bank, especially) emphasised privatisations, fis-
for loans and grants for infrastructure which cal austerity (as a means of inflationary control)
aimed at obtaining surpluses for British manufac- and trade and financial liberalisation.
turing, in the same fashion as in 1896 the USA Nonetheless, by the late 1980s the emphasis
used food surpluses for market development on macroeconomic adjustment came under
(Hjertholm and White, 1998). It was in the 1940s, severe criticism, as it became evident that eco-
however, that the most significant steps were nomic stability was not necessarily a guarantee of
taken in the direction of stabilising a solid frame- growth and increased well-being; on the con-
work for giving aid. The formation of the United trary, much inequality was perceived as a conse-
Nations in 1946, the Bretton Woods conference quence of ‘neoliberal reforms’ (as they became
and the subsequent formation of Oxfam and known). Indeed, the phrase ‘adjustment with a
CARE in 1944, and the launching of the Marshall human face’ became representative of critical
Plan in 1947, were all significant in this respect. studies to the mainstream Washington-sponsored
A decade after the Second World War, the development thinking of prevalence during the
main period of de-colonisation began and 1980s and 1990s (Jolly, Stewart and Cornia,
What is foreign aid? 259
1992). These studies suggested that the social them’ (UNDP, 1999). Even the proponents of
policy component present in the 1950s’ embed- the Washington consensus soon restated the
ded liberalism compromise – when economic goals embedded in this set of policies by adding
opening was coupled with governmental com- that social concerns with income distribution are
pensation of those in society who were the losers of central importance; not only is it to matter
from the process – needed to be added into the how an economy’s growth rate is increased, but
picture of global macroeconomic reform. A particularly who gets the increase in income
schematic summary of the main developments (Williamson, 2004, p. 13).
in the history of aid can be found in Table 4.2. As it concerns aid volumes, the upward trend
Indeed, ‘globalisation with a human face’ initiated in the 1970s peaked in 1992 and has
became the new challenge, as it became clear been decreasing ever since due to fiscal prob-
that ‘fiscal squeezes are constraining the provi- lems in OECD countries, the end of the Cold
sion of social services. A time squeeze is reduc- War and the dramatic growth in private capital
ing the supply and quality of caring labour. And flows to some developing countries. In 1997, aid
an incentive squeeze is harming the environ- stood at only $47.9 billion, a decrease of 23.7 per
ment. Globalisation is also increasing human cent compared with the $62.7 billion disbursed
insecurity as the spread of global crime, disease in 1992 (Hjertholm and White, 1998). The
and financial volatility outpaces actions to tackle decline in aid was especially sharp in the USA.
260 What is foreign aid?
Table 4.2 A summary of the main developments in the history of foreign aid
1950s United States, with Anti-communism, Community development Food aid and projects
the Soviet Union but with role for movement (CDM)
gaining importance the state
from 1956
1970s Expansion of Continued support Poverty and basic needs Fall in food aid and
multilaterals for state activities in (emphasis on the start of import support
(especially the productive activities agricultural and social
World Bank, IMF and meeting basic sectors)
and Arab-funded needs
agencies)
1990s Eastern Europe and Practice and Poverty and then Move towards sector
and former Soviet Union revaluation of the governance (environment support at the end of
2000s become recipients Washington and gender passed more the decade. The launch
rather than donors, Consensus. quickly). of the Highly Indebted
emergence of Move back to the Concerns with Poor Countries (HIPC)
corresponding state towards end democracy strengthening Initiative for debt relief
institutions of the decade. and security/geostrategic
Effort to bring social concerns regain
determinants back prominence as well
to development as concerns with
strategies epidemics such as
HIV/Aids
By 1995, the US contribution had slipped to lar was justified as a central instrument for pro-
about one-eighth of the world total, or $7.3 bil- tecting the country’s security, helping to contain
lion out of $59 billion. If considered in terms of the expansion of communist influence. Indeed,
its gross domestic product, the USA has been the ‘this motivation was most evident in aid to
least generous official provider of aid within the Greece and Turkey, and the Marshall Plan in the
OECD. In 1995, it disbursed only 0.10 per cent late 1940s and early 1950s; South Korea and
of its GDP in aid, while all OECD countries other countries in the periphery of China, and
together reached an average of 0.27 per cent – the Soviet Union in the 1950s; the Alliance for
meaning that on average, excluding the USA, Progress in Latin America in the 1960s;
other OECD donors provided 0.35 per cent of Indochina in the 1960s and early 1970s; the
their GDP or half of the UN-set official goal of Horn of Africa and Southern Africa in the 1970s
0.7 per cent (O’Hanlon and Graham, 1997). In and early 1980s; and Central American countries
contrast, Japan is an important donor, providing in the mid-to-late 1980s’. Hence, it was always
roughly one-quarter of the global total in 1995. the case that ‘the security rationale provided
Also, the Nordic countries have been tradition- general and often compelling justification for
ally perhaps the most generous, giving almost 1 US foreign aid as a whole because aid for devel-
per cent of GNP in aid. Collectively, OECD opment and others purposes, it was argued, also
countries disbursed 0.22 per cent of their GNP promoted US security’ (Lancaster, 2000, p. 18).
in 1997 (World Bank, 1998). A white paper published by the US Agency for
The downward trends in foreign aid, however, International Development reports that the
were paralleled by a sharp increase in private 2002 National Security Strategy assigns develop-
flows to developing countries; since 1993, these ment a new prominence in US national security,
flows have become the most important source of along with diplomacy and defence. Indeed, US
financing for developing countries as a whole foreign assistance, the report goes on to
(Hjertholm and White, 1998). While in the describe, must be understood as addressing ‘five
1970s and 1980s official finance – i.e. money core operational goals’: ‘(1) promoting ‘trans-
from bilateral donors and multilateral institu- formational development, (2) strengthening
tions – represented about half of all finance fragile states, (3) providing humanitarian relief,
going from developed to developing countries, (4) supporting US geostrategic interests, and (5)
in 1996 official finance was only a quarter of all mitigating global and transnational ills’ (US
finance available to developing countries (World Agency for International Development, 2004).
Bank, 1998). Private flows in the form of dona- Those goals are to be achieved in a context
tions from foundations, private voluntary associ- where the effectiveness of foreign aid is being
ations, corporations, universities, religious intensively debated.
groups and individuals’ remittances to family It is significant that in this report a new term
members abroad – by rough estimates – may has been added to the development lexicon,
have amounted to $35 billion in 2000, or three- namely ‘transformational development’. By that,
and-a-half times the amount of official develop- the US agency means ‘development that does
ment assistance given that year by the US more than raise living standards and reduce
government (Adelman, 2004). Such significant poverty. It also transforms countries, through far
predominance of private flows to developing reaching fundamental change in institutions of
countries is good news in the context of official governance, human capacity, and economic
confusion as to the effectiveness of aid disbursed structure that enable a country to sustain further
on the part of governments, and newly challeng- economic and social progress without depend-
ing geopolitical concerns. ing on foreign aid’. In this context, progress is
determined by ‘political will and commitment to
rule justly, promote economic freedom, and
Foreign aid in the early 2000s: make sound investments in people’. It remains
to be seen what this interesting set of goals
strategies and challenges would indeed accomplish in a world where pre-
cise particularities have revealed themselves as
Security much more informative than general trends,
The linking of aid with the promotion of secu- which provided the lessons from development-
rity is not a new development. US aid in particu- oriented experiences in the past.
262 Foreign aid in the early 2000s
1977–1979 1981
The 1977–1979 UNCTAD meetings led to official The 1981 Africa report by the World Bank (also
creditors writing off $6 billion in debt to 45 poor known as the Berg Report) noted that Liberia, Sierra
countries. Leone, Sudan, Zaire and Zambia had already
experienced ‘severe debt-servicing difficulties’ in the
1970s and ‘are likely to continue to do so in the
1980s’. In the report, there was a hint of debt relief
in the acknowledgement that ‘longer term solutions
for debt crises should be sought’ and the ‘present
practice (by donors) of separating aid and debt
decisions may be counterproductive’ (cited in
Easterly, 1999).
1984 1986
The 1984 World Bank Africa Report claimed that The wording of the World Bank report got stronger
‘multiyear debt relief and longer grace periods should be and the proposition for additional bilateral aid and
part of the package of financial support to the debt relief was mentioned.
programme’ (cited in Easterly, 1999).
1987 1988
The June 1987 G-7 summit in Venice called for interest The wording of the World Bank report got stronger
rate relief on debt of low-income countries. In December, and the proposition for additional bilateral aid and
the World Bank initiated a Special Programme of debt relief was mentioned.
Assistance (SPA) to low-income Africa, which was
The June 1988 G-7 summit in Toronto agreed on a
complemented by the IMF’s setting up of its Enhanced
menu of options, including partial forgiveness, longer
Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF). The aim of both
maturities and lower interest rates (which became
programmes was to ‘provide substantially increased,
known as the ‘Toronto terms’). The level of reduction
quick-disbursing, highly concessional assistance to
for debts was a uniform 33.3 per cent.
adjusting countries’ (cited in Easterly, 1999).
(continued)
264 Foreign aid in the early 2000s
1990 1991
The 1990 Houston G-7 summit considered more The 1991 London G-7 summit agreed on the need for
concessional rescheduling for indebted poor countries. additional debt relief measures, going well beyond the
The UK and the Netherlands proposed an increase in the Toronto Terms (‘enhanced Toronto’). Debt service was
grant element of debt reduction to 67 per cent from 20 to be reduced 50 per cent on nonconcessional bilateral
per cent under the ‘Toronto Terms’. debt (12-year grace period, 30-year maturity).
1994 1996
Through November 1993, the Paris Club applied In September 1996, the IMF and the World Bank
Enhanced Toronto Terms that were even more announced the HIPC Initiative, which was to allow the
concessional. In December 1994, it announced the poor countries to ‘exit, once and for all, from the
‘Naples Terms’, under which eligible countries would rescheduling process’ and to resume ‘normal
receive yet more debt relief. Under those terms, debt relations with the international financial community,
service was to be further reduced by 67 per cent on characterised by spontaneous financial flows and the
nonconcessional bilateral debt. full honouring of commitments’ (cited in Easterly,
1999). That meant that for the first time the
multilateral lenders would ‘take action to reduce the
burden of their claims on a given country’ (cited in
Easterly, 1999), granted that ‘good policies’ were
followed in the recipient countries. At the same time,
the Paris Club agreed on the Naples Terms and
produced an 80 per cent debt reduction in the net
present value terms (the ‘Lyon Terms’).
1999
By September 1999, debt relief packages had been agreed for seven poor countries, totalling more than $3.4 billion in
present value terms. Renewed calls for expansion of the programme were made.
The Enhanced HIPC Initiative was established (HIPC II). It increased stock reductions to bring debt of HIPCs to below
150 per cent of the debt-export ratio. The relief was conditional on the completion of comprehensive Poverty Reduction
Strategy Papers.
In November 1999, the Paris Club creditor countries, in the framework of the initiative for HIPC and in the aftermath of
the Cologne Summit, agreed to raise the level of cancellation for the poorest countries up to 90 per cent or more if
necessary in the framework of the HIPC Initiative. Forty-one countries were set as potentially eligible for the HIPC
Initiative and to benefit from the ‘Cologne Terms’. According to these terms non-ODA credits were to cancel up to
90 per cent or more as necessary in the context of the HIPC Initiative. ODA credits were to be rescheduled at an
interest rate at least as favourable as the original concessional interest rate applying to these loans.
At the time of writing, 23 countries have benefited from the Cologne Terms.
Sources: Easterly, 1999; Birdsall and Williamson, 2002; Cheru, 2001; Sachs, 1999
initiatives have been developed incrementally The HIPC Initiative, as it was called, was
since 1977, the main official effort to deal with notable for two principal reasons. First, it not
the issue in consistent ways was launched by the only advanced debt reduction but ‘it keyed the
World Bank and the IMF in September 1996, as extent of debt-stock reduction to what would be
described in the box below. This programme needed in a particular country to achieve “debt
revealed that for the first time multilateral cred- sustainability”. This was a step further since pre-
itors recognised the unsustainability of the debt vious Paris Club relief packages were written in
of the poorest countries and acted to reverse a terms that were implemented uniformly for all
cycle of indebtedness and negative growth. countries that qualified’ (Birdsall and
Foreign aid in the early 2000s 265
Williamson, 2002, p. 25). Second, for the first credit was recognised by debtors and all other
time debt relief would mean a reduction of debt creditors as senior to all other debt: i.e. they
owed to multilateral institutions (the IMF, World have to be paid first and in full if other debt can-
Bank and the regional and sub-regional devel- not be serviced. Failing to repay multilaterals
opment banks), which had always been treated (unless under the HIPC Initiative) means a
as ‘preferred creditors’ in the sense that their debtor will be liable to be cut off from all other
266 Foreign aid in the early 2000s
debt financing, including short-term trade cred- International Country Risk Guide as not free
its. In fact, ‘in the official donor community, and corrupt. Although some of these loans were
defaulting to the multilaterals is seen as virtually never delivered, the fact remains that creditors
tantamount to withdrawal from the interna- have funded illegitimate governments (Birdsall
tional community of nations’ (Birdsall and and Williamson, 2002, p. 123–124). Because
Williamson, 2002, p. 25). these debts incurred under such singular cir-
Although, in 1996, the World Bank and the IMF cumstances are outstanding and delaying devel-
predicted that 20 of 40 countries then eligible opment for some of the poorest countries in the
would eventually reach the completion point of world, they are referred to as ‘odious debts’ and
debt relief, and that the HIPC Initiative would are inevitably the objects of international scrutiny
provide a total debt reduction of approximately both at the level of increasingly engaged inter-
$8.2 billion (about 20 per cent of these countries’ national advocacy by civil society-based groups
outstanding debts), by February 2002 only four and at the level of official creditors involved in
countries had reached completion point the HIPC Initiative. The following box contains
(Uganda, Bolivia, Mozambique and Tanzania) examples in which the process of indebtedness
and 20 had reached decision point (Benin, corresponds to cases of odious debts. It is also
Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Chad, Ethiopia, The important to notice that odious debt cases are
Gambia, Guinea, Guyana, Honduras, Madagascar, not all confined to the group of countries which
Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Nicaragua, Niger, qualify for debt relief under the HIPC Initiative.
Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal and Notably, South Africa and Croatia are not candi-
Zambia) (Jubilee Network USA, 2002). The pre- dates for HIPC-granted debt relief.
ceding box details how the HIPC Initiative works. However, as it stands, countries must repay
The main critiques of the HIPC Initiative rep- odious debts or otherwise capital inflows in the
resent different ways of accounting for the fail- future will dry up.
ure of development assistance programmes in In the light of much pressure for review of the
the poorest countries. On the part of some offi- HIPC Initiative, the IMF and World Bank posted
cial creditors there prevails a notion that debt a questionnaire on their websites asking the pub-
relief has been substantial and relatively easy to lic for suggestions. Both institutions have had to
get, yet wasteful and corrupt governments in accommodate themselves to the strong demands
recipient countries have manipulated these of civil society, which is particularly well organ-
funds for private personal gain. Even in cases ised and vocal on this issue of debt relief. Debtor
where governments did not appropriate these countries too have presented their many con-
resources so brutally, the money received was cerns regarding the time-consuming nature of
used to relieve budget constraint and did noth- the process, its complexity and its reliance on
ing to encourage or ensure the pursuit of sound IMF conditionalities.As with the original HIPC
development policies. At the other extreme of Initiative, the Enhanced HIPC Initiative also was
the debate over the HIPC are those who support severely criticised and remains so. Donors wor-
the ‘poverty trap argument’, according to which ried about the way foreign money was ‘wasted’
debt relief is still too limited and the attached by government corruption, claiming that the
conditionalities are socially too costly. To the Enhanced Initiative, by deepening and speeding
charges of corrupt governments mismanaging the delivery process of debt relief, makes such
resources, those on this side of the debate agree waste easier and possibly more frequent.
about the pervasiveness of the fact, but acknowl- But the changes incorporated in the second
edge that poverty and underdevelopment were HIPC Initiative were aimed at responding more
not so much a cause as an outcome of it. directly to concerns about the delivery of aid
Moreover, issues of illegitimacy of African and relief ‘as too little too late’. With its
debt are also part of the criticism of the HIPC enhanced version, the process of debt relief has
Initiative originating from supporters of the been made faster, as countries can reach com-
‘debt trap argument’. Of the nearly $140 billion pletion point within months instead of waiting
of loans committed to HIPCs between 1972 and for perhaps as long as nine years. Also, it
1999, about 60 per cent went to countries con- ‘reframes’ conditionality by incorporating the
sidered not free in the year they received the element of popular participation in formulating
funds. Between 1982 and 1995, 33 per cent of poverty-reduction programmes before debt-
these loans went to countries ranked by the stock reduction is finalised (Birdsall and
Foreign aid in the early 2000s 267
Williamson, 2002). However, despite these per- who bear considerable responsibility for creat-
ceived improvements, the Initiative is still seen as ing the problem in the first place’ (Birdsall and
producing too few changes, as still being too Williamson, 2002, p.36).
costly for poor countries and as ‘leaving too In June 2005, the Group of Eight (formed by
much control in the hands of official creditors, the world’s wealthiest nations) agreed to cancel
268 Foreign aid in the early 2000s
more than $40 billion in debts owed by some of of the lending agencies. The British preferred
the world’s poorest nations to international the idea that rich countries would assume the
lenders. It was concluded – as supporters of debt burden of making the debt payments them-
cancellation had long advocated – that full debt selves, as they were concerned about whether
forgiveness is necessary to allow these debtor the relevant multilateral institutions had ade-
countries to fight hunger, disease and economic quate intrinsic strength. The deal announced in
stagnation. This has been characterised as ‘the June 2005 struck middle ground. The real-dollar
most significant debt relief scheme yet’ since it cost of wiping out that debt – estimated at $17
cancels the debts that the eligible countries owe billion – will be borne by the G8 partners, which
to the World Bank, the International Monetary have pledged to make contributions to the
Fund, the African Development Bank and other World Bank and African Development Bank to
multilateral lenders. ensure their financial strength is not under-
mined. The debt-relief costs to the IMF will be
The G-8 absorbed within the institution’s existing
resources. In addition, the accord stipulates that
The G-8 is composed of the leaders of Canada,
the payments to the World Bank and African
France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Russia, the United Bank will be spread out over three decades or
Kingdom and the United States. In addition, the more. By 2015, officials estimate about $8 billion
European Union participates and is represented by in payments will have been made by the G8 pow-
the president of the European Council and the ers. The US share of that cost, ranging from
President of the European Commission. $1.28 billion to $1.75 billion, is the largest
In 1975, with six countries participating (France, amount to be disbursed by any of the eight coun-
Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the USA), the tries in the group. The UK, Japan, Canada,
first summit took place in Rambouillet, France, France, Germany and Italy are all contributing
to the programme, but Russia is not.
because of concerns over the economic problems
It is also worth mentioning two other impor-
that the world faced in the 1970s. Since then, the
tant recent world developments which have
group has grown to eight countries and the process prompted creditor nations to provide debt relief
has evolved from a forum dealing essentially with or cancellation to especially needy nations.
macroeconomic issues to an annual meeting with a Those are the war in Iraq, which led to a US
broad-based agenda that addresses a wide range of write-off of Iraqi debt, and the Asian tsunami of
international economic, political and social issues. 26 December 2004.
The chair of the G-8 rotates on a calendar-year In November 2004, the group of rich creditor
basis among seven members in the following nations’ members of the Paris Club met with
order: France, the United States, the United Iraqi representatives. After a series of meetings,
creditors announced that ‘aware of the excep-
Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada.
tional situation of the Republic of Iraq and of its
Although the European Union participates in dis-
limited repayment capacity over the coming
cussions, it is not part of this rotation. In 2006, years, (creditors) agreed on a debt treatment to
Russia will host a G-8 summit for the first time. ensure its long term debt sustainability’. Such
‘treatment’ included an immediate cancellation
Groups of aid activists, and especially the of part of the late interest representing 30 per
Jubilee Network, a group that has focused on cent of the debt stock as of 1 January 2005 – a
debt relief efforts, see the new Initiative as ‘an cancellation that resulted in the write-off of
important first step’ that nonetheless ‘needs to $11.6 billion on the total debt owed to the Paris
be expanded to include all impoverished Club, $38.9 billion. When a standard IMF pro-
nations’, such as Indonesia and Nigeria, for gramme is in place, a further reduction of 30per
example, which had not been included. cent of the debt stock is to be delivered. As for
(Washington Post, 11 June 2005). the remaining debt stock, that will be resched-
The new debt accord ended more than a year uled over a period of 23 years, including a grace
of tense negotiations. The USA and the UK had period of 6 years. This entails a debt stock reduc-
been divided in their views as to how the debt tion by another $11.6 billion, increasing the rate
forgiveness would be financed. The USA had of cancellation to 60 per cent. Finally, after three
wanted the money to come out of the resources years of implementation of standard IMF
Foreign aid in the early 2000s 269
programmes, official creditors will grant an addi- ensure continuous sources of credit – a focus
tional debt reduction representing 20 per cent that must be in tune with the economic ‘logic’ of
of the initial debt stock. All in all, according to markets – from the need to guarantee that
the Paris Club, this debt treatment plan will debtors can be allowed some room for manoeu-
reduce total Iraqi debt stock from $38.9 billion vre when they find themselves entrapped in a
to $7.8 billion. cycle of debt service that has proved unsustain-
In December 2004, a magnitude 9.3 earth- able. In this sense, debt relief or forgiveness is
quake ripped apart the seafloor off the coast of not a substitute for aid but a necessary comple-
north-west Sumatra, travelling thousands of ment in a broader aid architecture that faces a
miles across the Indian Ocean. This phenome- plethora of geopolitical challenges or needed
non became known as the Asian tsunami and recipients.
killed approximately 300,000 people in coun-
tries as far apart as Indonesia, the Maldives, Sri
Lanka and Somalia. In January 2005, the Paris Further Reading
Club of rich creditor nations offered to freeze
Adelman, Carol (2004) ‘The Privatisation of
debts owed to them by tsunami-hit countries.
Foreign Aid: Reassessing National Largesse’,
The offer was immediate and without condi-
Foreign Affairs, November/December, pp. 9–14.
tions. Indonesia, Sri Lanka and the Seychelles
signalled that they were taking it up. Later on, BBC News (2003) ‘US Gets Iraq Debt Relief’, 16
however, Indonesia decided to go back on its December, available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/
decision and declined the debt freeze on $48 bil- 1/hi/business/3322073.stm
lion the country owes the Paris Club. Thailand
and India also declined the offer, with Thailand Birdsall, Nancy (2002) ‘Policy Selectivity
preferring to keep up with its payments while Foregone: Debt and Donor Behaviour in Africa’,
India said it would prefer to rely on its own Centre for Global Development, Working Paper
resources rather than on international aid. 17, October.
This refusal to accept the debt freeze is a Birdsall, Nancy and Williamson, John (2002)
product of the countries’ concern that such an Delivering on Debt Relief: From IMF Gold to a New
initiative would produce a decline in their Aid Architecture, Washington, DC: Centre for
credit ratings, thereby making it harder and/or Global Development and Institute for
more costly for these debtors’ countries to have International Economics.
access to private capital inflows. This, in effect,
means that to take on new loans granted by pri- Cheru, Fantu (2001) ‘The HIPC Initiative: A
vate creditors, the countries above would have to Human Rights Assessment of Poverty Reduction
compensate these investors by offering them Strategy Papers’, UN Commission on Human
higher interest rates (or higher return) since, Rights, 18 January.
with damaged credit ratings, lending to the Cornia, Giovanni, Jolly, Richard and Stewart,
tsunami-affected countries could be perceived Frances (eds) (1989) Adjustment with a Human
as a risky investment. Finally, it is important to Face: Protecting the Vulnerable and Promoting
add that the offer by creditor countries was a Growth, New York: Oxford University Press.
freeze in debt payments, not debt cancellation –
even though the $5 billion which was owed in Easterly, William (1999) ‘How Did Highly
2005 would be, in purely financial terms, Indebted Poor Countries Become Highly
insignificant for the rich creditor nations. How Indebted?: Reviewing Two Decades of Debt
effective the aid disbursed was, and how far the Relief’, Washington, DC: World Bank, manu-
debt freeze will go in giving real help to the script.
tsunami-affected countries in achieving mean-
Hjertholm, Peter and White, Howard (1998)
ingful long-term development, is still history in
‘Survey of Foreign Aid: History, Trends and
the making.
Allocation’, Discussion Paper 00–04, Institute of
In conclusion, for low-income countries, the
Economics, University of Copenhagen.
ways in which debt relief was delivered until
2005 were still an insufficient effort. Ultimately, International Monetary Fund (2001) World
discussions on a just treatment of debt are Economic Outlook: Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic
located on a thin line that divides the need to Stability, Washington, DC: IMF.
270 Foreign aid in the early 2000s
–– (2002a) ‘Sovereign Debt Restructuring and Nyang’oro, Julius E. (1999) ‘Hemmed in? The
the Domestic Economic Experience in Four State in Africa and Global Liberalisation’ in
Recent Cases’, 21 February. Smith, David A., Solinger, Dorothy J. and Topik,
Steven (eds) States and Sovereignty in the Global
–– 2002b. IMF Survey, vol. 31, no. 15, 5 August.
Economy, London: Routledge.
–– (2002c) ‘Guidelines on Conditionality’, 25
O’Hanlon, Michael and Graham, Carol (1997) A
September.
Half a Penny on the Federal Dollar: The Future of
–– (2002d) ‘Board Discusses Possible Features of Development Aid, Washington, DC: Brookings
a Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanism’, Institution Press.
Public Information Notice, no. 03/06, 7 January.
Sachs, Jeffrey (1999) ‘Implementing Debt Relief
–– (2002e) ‘Debt Relief Under the Heavily for HIPCs’, Harvard University, manuscript.
Indebted Poor Countries: A Factsheet’, August,
–– (2002) ‘Resolving the Debt Crisis of Low
www.imfg.org/external/np/exr/facts/hipc.htm
Income Countries’, Brookings Papers on
International Monetary Fund and World Bank Economic Activity, 1, pp. 257–286.
(1999) ‘Heavily Indebted Poor Countries
The Economist (2002) ‘The Challenge of World
(HIPC) Initiative – Perspectives on Current
Poverty’, 22 April.
Framework and Options for Change’, 2April,
www.imf.org/external/np/hipc/options/optio UNAIDS (2002) Fact Sheet: Sub-Saharan Africa,
ns.pdf available at www.unaids.org/worldaidsday/
2002/press/factsheets/FSAfrica_en.doc
Jubilee Network USA (2002) ‘Debt Update
Chart’, February, www.jubileeusa.org United Nations Development Programme
(1999) Human Development Report 1999:
Knack, Stephen (2004) ‘Does Foreign Aid
Globalisation With a Human Face, New York:
Promote Democracy?’, International Studies
UNDP.
Quarterly, 48:1, pp. 251–266.
US Agency for International Development
Kremer, Michael and Jayachandran, Seema
(2004) ‘US Foreign Aid: Meeting the Challenges
(2002) ‘Odious Debt’, Finance and Development,
of the Twenty-first Century’, Washington, DC:
vol. 39, no. 2, Washington, DC: IMF.
USAID.
Kunz, Diane (1997) ‘The Marshall Plan
Williamson, John (2004) ‘The Washington
Reconsidered: A Complex of Motives’, Foreign
Consensus as Policy Prescription for
Affairs, May/June, available at www.foreignaf-
Development’, lecture delivered at the World
fairs.org/popup/popup.asp?zonename=ROS+P
Bank on 13 January, mimeo.
opup
World Bank (1998) Assessing Aid: What Works,
Lancaster, Carol (2000) Transforming Foreign Aid:
What Doesn’t, and Why, Oxford: Oxford
United States Assistance in the 21st Century,
University Press.
Washington, DC: Institute for International
Economics.
271
but a vast number do not advocate religion in cidal pogroms, clash head-on. All levels of actors
their work. Many just enter the field based on – governments, non-governmental organisations,
religious and philosophical convictions. The rebels, refugees, etc. – interact to make the envi-
end of the twentieth century saw a proliferation ronment both thickly textured and highly
of organisations committed to humanitarian intense. What is this intense interaction called
action based upon secular values. ‘humanitarian action’ and why is it an ‘essential’
The charitable impulse can also be present in aspect of global politics and governance?
the foreign policy of countries. Naturally, it is To put it simply, humanitarian action is a spec-
more difficult to discern the humanitarian ideal trum of activities that provides relief, protection
from the political interest where competition for and recovery to populations affected by natural
power and wealth is the norm. However, when disasters and human conflicts.2 However, such a
Turkey suffered a devastating earthquake in simple statement belies the complexity of the
August 1999, the Greek government (and field and the dynamic debates about the appro-
people) put aside their long-standing disputes to priate scope of activities that should fall under
begin delivery of relief supplies within 12 hours ‘humanitarian action’. These debates have to do
of the quake. In other instances where countries mainly with regard to assistance in conflicts and
reach out together through international institu- are not about providing assistance in natural dis-
tions to help the victims of conflicts and natural asters. Therefore, it is the role of humanitarian
disasters, they are perhaps showing at least as action in conflicts that this chapter particularly
true a colour as in the conduct of realpolitik. addresses.
When their contributions to the budgets of In conflicts, at the most restricted end of the
organisations like the World Food Programme spectrum lies the provision of emergency relief
are largely out of the public eye or garner little to meet short-term fundamental needs.
prestige, it can be asked whether policymakers Priorities normally include clean water, food and
contribute out of compassion. In the December prevention of health threats such as dysentery,
2004 tsunami that struck South and South-East malaria and tuberculosis. Further along the
Asia, governments seemed to engage in ‘compet- spectrum lies the protection of vulnerable popu-
itive compassion’ in attempting to outdo each lations such as civilians and refugees and resist-
other’s contribution of aid. There is no doubt ing further harm to them by means of advocacy
that concerns of reputation and prestige were on and emphasising human rights. At the most
the minds of some governments, but few would expansive end of the spectrum is assistance for
also deny that governments donated based also long-term recovery through political, social and
on compassion for the enormous loss of life and economic reconstruction (e.g. legal institutions,
suffering of the people of southern Asia. reconciliation and reconstruction of water-treat-
The next four sections survey humanitarian ment facilities). Somewhere between protection
action. The first defines humanitarian action, and development, or perhaps outside this spec-
highlights why it is needed and details the actors trum, lie ‘humanitarian interventions’. This is
and interactions in providing humanitarian aid. the use of force to intervene in a country for
The second provides an overview of the evolu- humanitarian purposes (the degree to which the
tion of humanitarian action by noting specific motives must be solely humanitarian is
trends in the field. It is followed by a more debated). The evolution and tensions in the dif-
detailed discussion about some of the significant ferent aspects of this spectrum will be discussed
developments and debates that have an impact later.
on how humanitarian action is conducted. The Why is humanitarian action necessary?
conclusion reflects on the future course of
humanitarian action in the context of the chang-
ing nature of conflicts. 2 The term ‘humanitarian action’ is used by the
Humanitarianism and War Project to include assistance and
protection. It is also actively used by the ICRC, but with no
official definition or parameters. In the absence of any ‘official’
The actors and interactions of definitions within the field, ‘humanitarian action’ here is used
to include all facets of humanitarianism: relief, aid, assistance,
humanitarian action protection and development related to humanitarian activities.
Definitions of the these terms are implied by using them in
During humanitarian crises, the best of human- conjunction with certain scopes of humanitarian activities in
ity, compassion, and the worst in humanity, geno- the section titled ‘The Evolution of Humanitarian Action.’
The actors and interactions of humanitarian action 273
Between 1999 and 2003, 303 million people action. NGOs complement UN programmes
were affected by natural disasters such as floods, (such as helping distribute food), fill the gap
droughts, famine, windstorms and heat waves – where the UN or governments are not present
295,000 of them died. In 2003, there were 36 and perform politically sensitive roles that the
armed conflicts in progress, 11.9 million UN cannot take on, such as bearing witness and
refugees and asylum seekers and 3 million newly publicising human rights violations. The
internally displaced persons which led to a International Committee of the Red Cross
global total of 24.6 million people in these cate- (ICRC) and the International Federation of Red
gories. Not all of these people receive assistance Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) work
from outside their country, and victims of armed to provide assistance in crises and facilitate dis-
conflict normally get more publicity. However, aster preparedness. The ICRC is unique in that
without the assistance and interaction of outside it is a non-governmental body borne of an inter-
actors, especially from wealthier, predominantly governmental convention (the 1864 Geneva
‘Western’ countries, many of these people would Convention) that is mandated to oversee the
be left helpless and hopeless in the face of implementation of international humanitarian
catastrophes. laws in conflicts.
The tsunami that struck Southern Asia in
December 2004 claimed over 200,000 lives and Resources
displaced more than 5 million people in 12 A significant characteristic of these actors is that
countries. Countries in the region could not they all come with money – approximately $10
respond or recover from the unprecedented billion worth, not including money spent on
scale of the disaster without assistance from all military operations in humanitarian interven-
over the world. tions. Exact figures are difficult to calculate
Four major international actors perform
humanitarian actions. They are governments, UN agencies involved in humanitarian activities in the
United Nations agencies and other inter-govern- field:
mental organisations, NGOs, and members of
■ Office for the Co-ordination of Humanitarian
the International Red Cross and Red Crescent
Affairs (OCHA)
societies. Governments (alone or multilaterally)
provide food aid, airlifts and logistics for distri- ■ UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)
bution of supplies, manpower for recovering ■ UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF)
from natural disasters, etc. They also negotiate ■ World Food Programme (WFP)
access to vulnerable populations and conduct ■ Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO)
humanitarian military interventions. The UN ■ International Organisation for Migration (IOM)
and its agencies coordinate and carry out many ■ World Health Organisation (WHO)
of the humanitarian programmes in the field, ■ UN Development Programme (UNDP)
from providing food to refugees to beginning ■ UN Relief and Works Agency for Palestine
the reconstruction of societies.
Refugees in the Near East
Afghanistan
Palestine adm. areas
FRY – Serbia and Montenegro
Ethiopia
Congo (Dem. Rep.)
Iraq
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Sudan
Sierra Leone
Jordan
India
Mozambique
Angola
Somalia
Lebanon
Tanzania
Pakistan
Guinea
El Salvador
Indonesia
US$ millions
Figure 5.2 Top 20 recipients of aid from DAC donors 2001 Source: Global Humanitarian Assistance 2003
‘Tactical’ interactions 275
Economic Education that money comes power. Money means the power
Co-ordination Family Shelter
Recovery and 3%
and Support and Non-food to determine who will be assisted, when they will
Infrastructure
Services 5% items 2%
2% be assisted and how they will be assisted. The
Agriculture 4% power in humanitarian aid is exponentially
Protection/ greater than in other ODA because it represents
Human an enormous percentage of resources available
Food
Rights/Rule
of Law 1%
53% during conflicts, especially when local law and
order have broken down and economic activity
Water & has largely ceased. For example, assisting one
Sanitation group of refugees over another determines life
1%
and death in some situations. Aid can also influ-
ence the dynamics of conflict by impacting which
Multi-Sector
22% rebel group benefits or loses from having their
population ‘taken care of’. Even the location
Mine Action
1% Health Security where post-conflict development projects are pro-
6% 0% moted may shift the power dynamics between eth-
nic groups within the country, thus laying the
Figure 5.3 Pie chart of sectoral allocation 2002
groundwork for what is intended to be peace but
Source: Global Humanitarian Assistance 2003 may in fact be the seeds of future conflict. In
short, the significance of the interaction in fund-
‘Tactical’ interactions ing is a highly significant determinant of how a
society recovers and rebuilds.
Interaction can be broken down into two types: The media have become ever more important
‘tactical’ and ‘strategic’. ‘Tactical’ refers to inter- actors in humanitarian crises with the onset of
action directly related to the conflict; ‘strategic’ 24-hour news channels, instant global communi-
refers to interactions at the global and concep- cations provided by satellites and the ubiquity of
tual levels. ‘Tactical interactions’ refer to inter- the Internet. The pictures of Ethiopian children
actions within the area of conflict. Two types are starving during the 1984 famine stirred the
relevant: political interaction at the regional and world into responding. Similarly, the reluctant
local levels and second, the coordination Clinton administration was shaken into action in
between actors working in the midst of the crisis. Kosovo after the New York Times published a
All conflicts have a regional dimension even if front-page colour picture of the Gornje Obrinje
the actual fighting is contained within a political massacre. Richard Holbrooke recalls, ‘…people
boundary or a region. They involve neighbour- were horrified. It was at the top of the front page
ing countries and impact the politics, economics and it sat there like a mute witness at the NSC
and societies of neighbouring populations. [National Security Council] meeting in the
Some countries act as hosts for humanitarian Situation Room. There was an enormous debate,
activities by providing facilities such as sea ports and it broke out with the picture stirring people.
to receive aid, offices for UN agencies and There was a decision then to press ahead for
NGOs, or act as hosts for large refugee popula- NATO action, to try and sidestep the British,
tions that often destabilise their societies. Other French, German and Russian view that you
countries act as transit points for weapons or needed a Security Council mandate’ (Judah,
resources, such as diamonds, that sustain the 2000, pp. 181–182). There is, too, the ‘CNN
conflict. Others are actively involved militarily in effect’. It can motivate the public to pressure
the conflict. These neighbours have an interest their governments to act but may also work in
in the conduct and outcome of the conflict. reverse. Fearing a public backlash after the pub-
Therefore, peacemakers and humanitarian lic saw the video of Somalis dragging a dead
actors must engage these other actors in the American soldier through the streets of
region when trying to provide humanitarian Mogadishu in 1993, President Clinton’s adminis-
action or negotiating an end to the conflict. tration decided to retreat. However, it may be
Another important interaction involves finance. that the public is not as risk averse to casualties
Large sums of money flow from funders to recipi- as politicians assume. Whether trying to pressure
ents (even allowing for the fact that humanitarian policymakers to act or bring forgotten crises into
aid represents only 10 per cent of ODA) and with the limelight, humanitarian organisations have
276 ‘Tactical’ interactions
to work with the media. The presence of the of the independent nature of humanitarian
media can also serve as a tool in protecting actors. Sometimes donors specify certain loca-
vulnerable populations by acting as a watchful tions or activities their money must be used for,
eye on belligerents and thereby pressuring them leaving other needs and areas without aid.
to observe humanitarian laws. Organisations also have different beliefs and
The military has also become an important policies about who or what they want to give to.
actor in humanitarian crises. Sometimes human- Another problem is that if NGOs receive money
itarian action involves military interventions. At from governments or are seen to coordinate
such times, humanitarian workers need to coor- their activities with governments, they can lose
dinate with military officials so that they are not their status as independent actors in the eyes of
accidentally targeted, as has happened all too belligerents who may then impede their access
often. More significantly, sometimes the military to vulnerable populations. The desire to have
provides security and creates the space for the media spotlight for funding purposes is yet
humanitarian operations (as in Somalia 1993), another factor that prevents NGOs from coordi-
although this may not be beneficial all the time nating their activities with other NGOs. Finally,
(as in Iraq 2003). However, an increasingly coordination will always be inherently difficult
important interaction is the confusion created because of the changing and unpredictable
when military forces engage in distributing conditions of any emergency.
humanitarian aid (such as air-dropping food). Despite such issues, the desire for independ-
This transportation role inevitably associates ence is balanced with the need for some coordi-
neutral and impartial humanitarian organisa- nation. Apart from leaving organisations to
tions with the military. The implications of this coordinate themselves in an ad hoc manner in a
are addressed later. crisis, coordination can come in a weak or strong
form. The weak form brings together organisa-
Tactical interactions: coordination tions in meetings to share information on their
In addition to resources, a second key concern activities and agree to undertake responsibilities
for humanitarian actors is coordination. for performing certain humanitarian activities.
Humanitarian actors interact in highly intense This was largely the condition inside Rwanda in
operational environments in which they must 1994. The strong form can involve a UN agency
coordinate activities in order to increase the playing the role of a ‘lead agency’, by controlling
effectiveness of their own organisation’s pres- access and delegating responsibilities, for
ence and the humanitarian action as a whole. instance. The UNHCR played such a role with
Coordination is about who needs what, where regards to the Rwandan refugees in Tanzania.
and when. Coordination also ensures that well- The Tanzanian government signed an agree-
meaning organisations do not end up working at ment and gave power to the UNHCR to limit the
cross purposes and actually making conditions number of NGOs which were able to obtain visas
worse. For example, while emergency aid often to come to Tanzania to work in and near the
arrives quickly, the distribution of it can become refugee camps.
bogged down because organisations quickly buy Other methods of coordination have evolved
up equipment (trucks and drivers) to fulfil their recently. The UN’s Consolidated Appeal Process
own priorities, thus making it impossible to coordinates and simplifies funding requests
deliver aid to even more urgent situations. This for humanitarian crises. Memoranda of
was the reason that the UN disbanded the Understandings (MOUs), that detail the rights
Department of Humanitarian Affairs to create and methods of providing assistance, are some-
the Office of Coordination of Humanitarian times signed by UN agencies or NGOs and local
Affairs (OCHA) in 1997. OCHA not only government. Websites such as OCHA’s
attempts to coordinate the different activities of Integrated Regional Information Network
UN agencies in a crisis area but also is in con- (www.irinnews.org) and www.reliefweb.int facili-
stant consultation with NGOs and the ICRC and tate communication and make it possible to
IFRC throughout the year through the UN’s share lessons learned and best practices.
Inter-Agency Standing Committee. Whatever form coordination may come in, it
However, despite these compelling reasons for remains absolutely essential for balancing the
coordination, certain problems make increasing independence of humanitarian actors and
cooperation and coordination difficult because achieving effective humanitarian action.
The evolution of humanitarian action 277
aid, humanitarian protection, assistance and ing nature of conflicts has reduced the possibil-
now humanitarian action. All these characterisa- ity of using these instruments as rules of war or
tions are still current. The different terms deterrence.
denote the scope of practical activities depend- Intra-state conflicts involve groups (such as
ing on a particular belief as to what should be militias) that are either unaware of these laws or
the appropriate degree of involvement by officially not subject to them since these are
outside actors in crises. agreements between the national governments
Some debates between the different perspec- of states. Moreover, some groups are just unwill-
tive will be taken up in the next section. This ing to be constrained by these laws. The interna-
section explores the evolution of the concept tional community has attempted to subject
over time. non-state actors to IHL, but so far it has been
done in an ad hoc manner through notices and
Laws of humanitarianism warnings that put pressure on them to adhere to
Three sources of laws are relevant for humani- international laws. The lack of consistency in
tarian action – international humanitarian law enforcement has led to impunity in many cases,
(IHL), refugee law and human rights law. The such as in the Bunia region of the Democratic
three complement each other. Whereas IHL and Republic of Congo (2003–2004). But govern-
refugee law seek to protect people specifically ments have also seemingly flouted the Geneva
during conflicts by limiting the impact on non- Conventions. Faced with the unconventional
combatants, human rights law protects in war threat of terrorists, the United States largely dis-
and peace and seeks to further the development counted the Geneva Conventions in interning
of people through a rights framework. The combatants at its Guantanamo Bay naval base in
Geneva Convention of 1864 codified rules in war Cuba. IHL calls for the release of prisoners at
(jus in bello) and created a right for voluntary the end of hostilities but the USA was concerned
medical personnel to treat the wounded. The that suspected terrorists would return to terror-
Geneva Conventions of 1949 and their 1977 ism if released.
Additional Protocols identify certain vulnerable
groups as ‘protected persons’: civilians, prison-
Sources of humanitarian, refugee and human
ers of war, wounded combatants, refugees,
humanitarian workers, medics, religious person- rights laws
nel and journalists. 1864 Geneva Convention
The 1955 Convention on Refugees and the 1948 Convention on the Crime of Genocide
1967 Protocol provided rights for refugees to 1948 Universal Declaration of Human Rights
seek asylum in other countries. In addition, with 1949 Geneva Conventions (and 1977 Additional
the increasing number of internally displaced
Protocols)
person or IDPs (persons displaced by conflict
1955 Convention on the Status of Refugees (and
inside the borders of their countries), guiding
principles were drafted in 1998 that gave them 1967 Protocol)
protection under the law. 1966 Covenant on Civil and Political Rights
Human rights law recognises certain funda- 1966 Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural
mental rights for all. These include right to life, Rights
right to juridical personality and due process of 1979 Convention on the Elimination of All Forms
law, prohibition of torture and slavery, and the of Discrimination Against Women
right to freedom of religion, thought and con- 1984 Convention Against Torture
science. These laws set parameters for waging 1989 Convention on the Rights of the Child
conflict and create a space for humanitarian
1998 Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement
action. However, they lacked a permanent
1998 Statute of the International Criminal Court
enforcement mechanism until the establishment
of the International Criminal Court in 1998.
Prior to that, ad hoc international tribunals were International law that legally protects and pro-
created to deal with violation of the Laws of vides immunity from the threats of war for
Armed Conflict (as IHL was previously known) humanitarian workers, refugees and IDPs has
and war crimes. Though governments have paid also suffered. Non-state belligerents have tar-
some heed to them in their conduct, the chang- geted these protected persons partly because
The evolution of humanitarian action 279
they are thought to be giving aid to an enemy in and NGOs increasingly accepted these funds and
the local conflict and partly because they are per- thus became pawns of governments. Governments
ceived by some belligerents to be associated with restricted the provision of aid to allies and friendly
governments, militaries or other external author- groups, to the exclusion of others in need.
ities. This loss of neutrality, impartiality and inde- Government officials and NGOs came to believe
pendence in the eyes of belligerents leaves them that any aid supporting the defence against or
vulnerable to violence. Additionally, since the overthrow of communism was ‘humanitarian’. In
increase in intra-state conflicts, civilian popula- Vietnam, 90 per cent of the aid from Western
tions are not viewed by belligerents as separate Europe and the USA went to anti-communist rev-
from the fighting but rather as the object of the olutionary forces. A large number of currently
fighting. This makes civilians deliberate targets well-known humanitarian NGOs assisted the US
for atrocities, ethnic cleansing and genocide. military in attempting to ‘win the hearts and
Though human rights law is still as relevant as minds’ of the Vietnamese and others around the
ever, IHL must adapt to reflect the changing world. The neutrality and independence that
nature of conflicts if it is to remain meaningful characterised Dunant’s approach to humanitarian
in determining the conduct of war and creating action were largely lost.
space for humanitarian action. Not all NGOs succumbed to the temptation of
acquiring easy resources from governments or to
Growth of aid and the Cold War the fight against communism. When President
Prior to the twentieth century, religious organisa- Reagan’s administration refused to allow
tions rather than governments provided human- humanitarian food aid to Ethiopia in the famine
itarian aid. Many of these church organisations of 1984 because the government was commu-
were evangelical, trading free food, clothing and nist, aid groups unrelentingly pressured the
medicine for conversion. This practice contin- administration to change its mind by noting that
ued to the end of the twentieth century. ‘a hungry child knows no politics’ (Minear,
The United States government’s extensive 2002, p.37). Other NGOs which had worked
involvement in providing humanitarian aid with governments learned bitter lessons. By the
began with the support of the counterrevolu- end of the 1980s, the tone in the non-govern-
tionary white army in Russia (1921), anti-com- mental community began to change. Neutrality,
munists in China (1920s and 1930s) and impartiality and independence became more
Republicans in the Spanish Civil War (1930s). important as NGOs and Western governments
Humanitarian aid served to support political sought to redefine their roles in the absence of
allies. This practice continued throughout the the Cold War rivalry. The wealthy Western
Cold War. Humanitarian aid followed the flag of European governments infused humanitarian-
the USA and the USSR. ism into their foreign policies, releasing millions
During the Cold War, much of Western of dollars to promote humanitarian aid and
‘humanitarian’ aid went not to those in need but development assistance around the world. They
to those who were in need and anti-communist. did so based on the growing belief that globali-
Clear examples of politically motivated humani- sation and increasing integration connected the
tarian aid were the Marshall Plan and the Berlin world’s entire population so that strife anywhere
Airlift. The Marshall Plan provided Western impacted the lives of people everywhere.
Europe with aid to rebuild and stand fast against
communist influences and any expansion of the A decade of humanitarian interventions
USSR. The success of the Berlin Airlift The end of the Cold War and proclamation of a
(1948–1949) allowed the USA and the West to ‘new world order’ gave hope that humanitarian
confirm that where the war stopped had become assistance (emergency relief and protection)
the front line in containing the USSR. Similarly, could be available to all whatever their political
the USSR provided humanitarian aid to Cuba, allegiance. Without the constraints and preoccu-
Egypt, Angola and others to help them confront pations of the Cold War, the UN and the
the Western capitalist threat. European Union were now able to contemplate
NGOs played a crucial part in the politics of engaging in peacemaking and peacebuilding.
humanitarian aid during the Cold War. NATO sought a new role in humanitarian affairs
Governments increasingly began to fund and use as it redefined its reason for existing.
NGOs and church organisations to deliver aid; Recognising that the tide was changing, even the
280 The evolution of humanitarian action
Humanitarian interventions, and the subse- of their activities. Although they were able to
quent UN peacekeeping missions that often fol- deliver emergency relief and aid to civilians
lowed them, met with scepticism early in the caught up in conflicts by strictly maintaining
decade. Though President Clinton came into neutrality and impartiality, their activities felt
office with the intention of making UN peace- meaningless in the face of a return to persecu-
keeping more robust, the death of US soldiers in tion and impoverishment over the long term.
Mogadishu, Somalia in October 1993 left the For example, international action during the
USA reluctant to let UN peacekeeping rapidly Ethiopian famine of 1984 provided tons of food
expand as it began to do after the end of the aid to help alleviate the suffering of starving
Cold War. Taking a ‘tough love’ approach, the civilians. However, after the international com-
Clinton administration attempted to curb what munity left, Ethiopians still needed to confront
it felt was a UN that was extended beyond its poor economic and social policies and the
capabilities. Unfortunately, the genocide in oppression of President Mengistu Haile Meriam
Rwanda began just six months after the debacle – policies that had caused much of the famine in
in Somalia. The international community largely the first place. To avoid this ‘well-fed dead’ sce-
stood by and watched approximately 800,000 nario, humanitarian actors began to understand
Rwandans, mostly Tutsis, die before it acted disasters as ‘complex political emergencies’ that
towards the end of the genocide. required them to expand their activities to make
The general problem is the lack of resources a deeper impact and leave behind a more per-
and political will. Member states, which supply manent improvement. This required not only
military forces for peacekeeping missions, do immediate relief but also advocacy for protec-
not want to put their soldiers in harm’s way, tion and advancement of human rights and
become embroiled in a quagmire or risk back- recovery through development assistance.
lash with voters at home. Critics also note the Advocacy for protection comes in two forms:
‘selectivity’ problem: the inconsistency of deci- specific and general. In specific terms, it involves
sions to intervene and the self-interest of gov- physically protecting vulnerable populations
ernments, such as choosing intervention with (such as by creating ‘safe areas’), monitoring,
consideration for proximity or historical associa- reporting and publicising actions of parties in
tion as a former colony. But even with interna- conflicts, seeking the adherence of all parties to
tional engagement with crises, resources are humanitarian law, and arguing for specific
scarce. While the crisis in Darfur, Sudan actions to be undertaken by official actors (such
engaged the USA and Europe, the poorly as the UN Security Council or governments). A
equipped African Union has had difficulty doing growing number of NGOs have used the media
the practical work on the ground. to focus pressure on belligerents by monitoring
Some solutions may be on the horizon, how- and publicising human rights violations. During
ever. President George W. Bush proposed a the crisis in Darfur, NGOs sounded the alarm
Global Peace Operations Initiative (GPOI) and about the atrocities with regular, often daily,
received support from the G8 countries at their reports from the region. They also pressured the
summit in June 2004. GPOI (once it is funded) UN Security Council to act, while the Security
will train and equip 75,000 peacekeepers world- Council in turn pressured the Sudanese govern-
wide by 2010. Similarly, the African Union is ment to observe international humanitarian law
actively training, equipping and deploying sub- and provide access to internally displaced per-
regional standby forces through Africa that can sons – not altogether successfully.
be used for interventions. The coming years and General advocacy involves the promotion of
decades will demonstrate whether these forces norms, practices and structures that advance
will do something to relieve the tension between humanitarianism (the adherence to humanitar-
humanitarian concerns and political interests. ian values and practices) outside the context of
the specific conflicts. The establishment of the
From relief to protection and development International Criminal Court as a permanent
The hope of the 1990s also produced a signifi- court for bringing perpetrators of war crimes to
cant expansion of humanitarian assistance. justice is a good example. Another is the
During the 1980s, humanitarian actors, espe- International Campaign to Ban Landmines
cially NGOs, became increasingly distraught and (ICBL). A coalition of NGOs and governments
dissatisfied with the short-term relief orientation that won the 1997 Noble Peace Price, ICBL
282 The evolution of humanitarian action
sought the banning of landmines and its cam- sations view compassion as better served by
paign led to the Ottawa Treaty (Convention On emphasising solidarity and justice. Organisations
The Prohibition Of The Use, Stockpiling, such as Catholic Relief Services (CRS) attempt
Production And Transfer of Anti-Personnel to empower victims by supporting their rights.
Mines And On Their Destruction) (1999). They do not explicitly take political positions but
General advocacy also includes the champi- engage in activism to address the root causes of
oning of International Criminal Tribunals (e.g. conflicts. Importantly, they are not averse to
for Yugoslavia, Rwanda, Sierra Leone and publicising human rights violations.
Cambodia) or Truth and Reconciliation The third position emphasises solidarity and
Commissions (such as for South Africa, Sierra justice by embracing explicit political agendas
Leone and Peru). on behalf of victims of poverty and oppression.
Advocacy also includes the changing beliefs The Mennonites, religious groups with a long
about what humanitarian action involves. With history of grassroots peacebuilding, often fight
the rise of complex political emergencies, for the justice of the disenfranchised. These
humanitarian actors began to see the need to groups make full use of the media to expose the
link humanitarian action to development assis- activities of belligerents.
tance. Some of the concerns of humanitarian All types of humanitarian organisations must
activities, such as food security and healthcare, be keenly aware of the political context in which
are also what development activities engage in, they work, often by being in constant dialogue
but seen from a longer-term perspective. with the parties in conflict. However, the funda-
Frameworks, such as a ‘continuum model’ and mental difference in the scope of activities is
the ‘gaps and linkages model’, proposed this their implication for securing access to people in
continuity by linking conflict, relief, rehabilita- need – refugees and IDPs, the wounded and
tion, reconstruction and development. prisoners. In addition to resources and coordi-
Fundamentally important in this is building and nation as previously discussed, access is a third
strengthening local capacities, even during the key concern for humanitarian actors.
humanitarian phase, to carry on development There is a fear that advocacy, especially by
work in the longer term. publicising human rights violations, will cause
But advocacy of this kind soon joins the world belligerents to restrict access to vulnerable pop-
of high politics and inevitable tensions develop. ulations. Humanitarian workers also witness war
The next section examines these important first-hand and the knowledge they acquire is
tensions and their implications for the future of politically sensitive. Belligerents may fear that
humanitarian action. humanitarian workers will publicise this infor-
mation and expose their conduct. Advocacy and
public pronouncements by headquarters can
The politics of humanitarian action also put humanitarian workers in the field in
danger, as they are the ones who deal with bel-
Aid, advocacy and access ligerents on a daily basis. This can adversely
The evolution from traditional emergency relief impact an organisation’s work in other conflicts
to providing vulnerable populations with protec- where neutrality and impartiality may be
tion and development involves a shift in values required.
that has consequences for the practice of The ICRC reports that new types of conflicts
humanitarian action. There are three significant (intra-state) and new types of belligerents (non-
categories of values and scope of activities. The state actors) have made gaining access more dif-
first is the traditional position of assistance ficult. With non-state actors unaware or
rooted in neutrality and impartiality. The ICRC uncaring of international legal obligations to
still exemplifies this position. Describing its allow access to protected persons, humanitarian
activities as ‘charity’, it does not explicitly deal organisations have to negotiate new agreements
with the root causes of humanitarian disasters. each time. Muting criticism is needed to retain
In addition, in order to ensure access to people credibility as neutral and impartial organisa-
in need, the ICRC avoids publicising its work or tions. However, if access is not forthcoming and
pressuring parties through public statements. the situation is better served by publicising atroc-
The second position is described as ‘non- ities, even the ICRC is willing to make public
partisanship’. An increasing number of organi- pronouncements to pressure belligerents and
The politics of humanitarian action 283
the international community to protect vulnera- tatorial governments in order to gain access
ble populations. sometimes acts to legitimise these actors as legal
Organisations that embrace solidarity and jus- authorities. Aid can be used as a commodity to
tice over charity claim that the fear of losing access control the population, as it was in Somalia in
may be overstated. In 1986, the South African 1993 where warlords highjacked aid to feed and
apartheid government expelled the ICRC in retal- pay their militias. Worse, aid can fuel the war by
iation for being expelled from a Red Cross inter- alleviating the burden of leaders to feed and
national conference. However, the South African care for their populations as this duty is replaced
government quickly rescinded the order because by humanitarian agencies. Humanitarian
the ICRC was instrumental in helping return actions and development assistance have also
South African military prisoners in Angola. been criticised for undermining the ability of
Nevertheless, the ICRC feels that neutrality and local populations to recover. Mary B. Anderson,
impartiality should still be a priority to ensure its in the influential book Do No Harm: How Aid Can
credibility with belligerents so that it can main- Support Peace – Or War (1999), draws attention to
tain dialogue with all the parties in the conflict. the potential negative impacts of aid and
The presence of different values and practices encouraged greater care in evaluating efforts.
may help diversify the field and thus engage dif- Equally importantly, she places an emphasis
ferent needs in humanitarian action, but it also on empowering local capacities in an effort to
causes confusion in the field and leads to prevent dependency on aid.
tragedy. Though the ICRC maintains strict neu-
trality and impartiality, 40 of its staff were killed Aid and development
between 1994 and 2004. The UN lost 200 staff Approximately 40 per cent of post-conflict coun-
and nearly 300 civilians and peacekeepers were tries return to fighting. The lack of effectiveness
taken hostage during the same period. Some of of assistance and the recurrent nature of con-
those casualties were due to workers caught in flicts can be disheartening to humanitarian
the crossfire, but there is an increasing trend of workers. As noted above, this has led to a desire
deliberately targeting humanitarian workers. to emphasise the values of solidarity and justice
Despite the particular reasons for humanitarian with victims by linking humanitarian action to
workers being targeted in each situation, the longer-term development projects. But this is
general confusion caused by the political easier said than done.
activism and advocacy of some NGOs and the Fundamental structural problems prevent link-
attempts to retain neutrality by others muddy ing humanitarian activities and development
the waters. Combatants may not take the time to activities, which historically have been separate,
distinguish between who is there to help and so much so that the bureaucratic structures for
who is there to criticise. funding them remain separate in most govern-
ments and international institutions. For
Aid as a problem example, whereas the European Community
Humanitarian action is increasingly fraught with Humanitarian Office (ECHO) now funds long-
new complexities in which humanitarian aid is term projects that exceed a year or two in length,
implicated in exacerbating conflicts. The UN’s its budgeting process still funds only in six-month
Operation Lifeline Sudan (1989) faced this increments, as normally done for humanitarian
problem continually throughout its efforts to activities. Similarly, UN development agencies
deliver aid. In its early days when it brokered are structured by sector (finance, infrastructure
ceasefires between the Sudanese government development, etc.) and emphasise technical
and rebels in the south, the rebels used the issues, leaving them little capacity to analyse the
ceasefires to rearm and rebuild their forces. humanitarian needs in conflicts. Coordination
Periodically, the Sudanese government halted between humanitarian and development actors
delivery of aid to certain areas for apparently is also hampered by pre-existing organisational
strategic military reasons. cultures. Humanitarian organisations are geared
Many other such problems exist. Refugee towards the rapid delivery of supplies and work-
camps and safe areas are used as sanctuaries ing within the politics of conflict situations.
from which militias launch attacks, as did the Development organisations, meanwhile, plan for
Hutus in Rwanda (1994) and the Muslims in the long term and are resistant to having their
Bosnia (1995). Dealing with rebel leaders or dic- mandates expanded to include conflict issues.
284 The politics of humanitarian action
Another impediment to closer coordination is and resources by specific ethnic, racial or reli-
that humanitarian action is guided by the princi- gious groups becomes the defining character of
ple of humanity – serving all according to need. war that leads to gross atrocities, ethnic cleans-
Much of humanitarian action in a crisis needs to ing and genocide. Belligerents care about a pop-
be apolitical to ensure access to vulnerable pop- ulation’s character and loyalty more now than in
ulations. But development assistance tends to be the recent past. Civilians are no longer viewed as
more politically selective. Development organisa- non-combatants and are deliberately targeted.
tions often need to work closely with donor agen- The international community is slow to
cies and local governments to encourage local respond to this new challenge and create new
ownership and sustainable programmes. A closer spaces for humanitarian action. Governments
combination of the two can lead to humanitarian are finding it difficult to bring non-state bel-
action based on ‘selective humanity’, where aid ligerents into the scope of international human-
does not follow need (DeGnbol-Martinussen and itarian law. As mentioned before, actively
Engberg-Pedersen, 2003, Chapter 10). The two negotiating with non-state belligerents can legit-
approaches may be incompatible in many situa- imise them as legal authorities and violate the
tions. Additionally, both sides lack the resources sovereignty of the national government, but not
to build capacity to expand the scope of their dealing with them can prevent the protection of
work. Declining aid resources forced the World vulnerable populations.
Bank and UNHCR to return to their ‘core’ activ- Similarly, a new form of terrorism seeks the
ities, of development for the World Bank and expulsion or annihilation of a people and cul-
refugee protection for UNHCR. ture in addition to whatever political objectives
Nevertheless, humanitarian and development lie at the root. Jihad often aims indiscriminately
organisations will always be likely to explore ways to kill civilians espousing any form of ‘Western’
to bridge the gap because both have a common culture. Terrorists certainly do not heed any
interest in helping the people they serve. In the international or national laws and may have
short term, humanitarian organisations can agendas that cannot be expressed in any con-
learn to have greater sensitivity about their aid ventional terms and thus cannot be the subject
and ensure that their actions ‘do no harm’. of negotiation. Stemming the tide of terrorism is
Similarly, development organisations can a long-term effort with no clear international
become conflict-sensitive by incorporating consensus on how to proceed militarily or
conflict analysis into their programming. through more peaceful means.
The focus on terrorism as the challenge of the
era has given rise to concerns that it will displace
Conclusion: humanitarian action the emphasis on humanitarianism that charac-
terised the 1990s. Though the focus may have
in a changing world shifted to terrorism for the time being, the ideas
The previous sections mentioned certain new of humanitarianism (such as the right to life, pro-
characteristics and dynamics of contemporary hibition on torture and due process of the law)
conflicts in which humanitarian action func- and political, social and economic rights have
tions. These require some further final reflec- spread over much of the world and wait to be re-
tions because they have the potential to emphasised. Proceeding from international char-
determine how humanitarian action should and ters, such as the Universal Declaration of Human
will be carried out in the coming years. Two Rights and the other international Covenants,
types of conflict are on the rise in this new mil- these ideas are now imbedded in regional char-
lennium: intra-state conflicts and terrorism. And ters such as the Helsinki Final Act (Europe),
two types of non-state belligerents are more for- Banjul Charter (sub-Saharan Africa), Cairo
midable than ever before: warlords (and their Declaration (Islamic nations) and the American
militias) and terrorists. Convention on Human Rights (the Americas).
Intra-state conflicts involving governments (or The ‘Responsibility to Protect’ report went so far
extremist groups within governments) and war- as to call for a change from the use of the term
lords increasingly use identity issues such as eth- ‘humanitarian intervention’ to a ‘responsibility
nicity or religion to polarise populations and to protect’ in order to indicate the responsibility
create lines of division across which wars are (and perhaps an obligation and duty) of the
fought. In such cases, the control of territory international community to assist governments
Conclusion: humanitarian action in a changing world 285
and people when they cannot assist themselves. But without extensive hierarchy, coordination
Whether these ideas will translate into prac- or unity in the humanitarian arena, the best
tice is another story and will be a matter of the advice may be to choose a role, whether as a neu-
specific politics of events. The fear is also that tral actor or advocate, and stick to it. Knowledge
governments will expend greater resources on and predictability may ease confusion in the
physical security and a military ‘war on terror- long run.
ism’ than on non-peaceful solutions such as Humanitarian action has changed over time.
development and good governance initiatives. Whether it returns to the roots that Henri
This situation is too new for us to definitively Dunant planted or whether it expands in new
note a trend. directions in the face of fresh challenges will be
The specific implications of terrorism for the result of a dynamic and evolving process.
humanitarian action include not only the poten- Keys issues today are those of resources, coordi-
tial decline in overall resources and interest but nation and access. For the future, two things are
also its effect on operations in the field. An inte- certain. One, the need for such action will be
gral aspect of the military war on terrorism present into the foreseeable future. Two, some
includes ‘winning the hearts and minds’ of pop- form of humanitarian action will always exist to
ulations, much as was attempted in Vietnam but meet this need because there will always be
to a greater degree. Civilians can support terror- people with compassion.
ists by harbouring them, providing resources The following comment by the UN Under-
(money, food, etc.) and refusing to cooperate Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs and
with military operations against terrorists. The Emergency Relief Coordinator, Jan Egeland,
Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRTs) of conveys the need and compassion:
allied forces in Afghanistan provide humanitar-
ian aid and small-scale development projects in The conflict in Northern Uganda is
order to pacify civilians or win their support in characterised by a level of cruelty seldom seen
the fight against the remnants of the Taliban elsewhere. It pits not just adults but also
and Al Qaeda. However, this has negatively children against one another, and excludes
affected the work of independent humanitarian vast swathes of the population from
organisations like the ICRC. Humanitarian participation in any semblance of
workers are targeted for being agents or collab- development. No one knows how many people
orators of foreign militaries. Their neutrality, have died as a result of the conflict, but every
impartiality and independence have disap- day schools, homes, villages and families are
peared in the eyes of terrorists and many civil- destroyed, yet more people are abducted,
ians. Humanitarian organisations feel that enslaved, beaten, raped, and made to fight for
militaries should end the use of humanitarian the rebels. Most of these abductees are
aid as a military tactic to avert further deaths and children…Look into the eyes of a child who
preserve the humanitarian nature of aid. has been repeatedly brutalised, tortured or
Non-governmental humanitarian organisa- raped, as I did when I visited Northern
tions, like governments, are also only slowly and Uganda, and you will never forget what you
informally beginning to accept the new dynamic find there. This abuse of children is one of the
of contemporary conflicts and the implication most serious in the world. It calls for urgent
for humanitarian action. With more independ- and concerted action.
ent humanitarian organisations in existence,
Jan Egeland, from the Foreword to ‘When the sun
their different preferences and principles have
muddied the waters. With some emphasising sets, we start to worry . . . ’ (OCHA, 2004)
neutrality and others solidarity and justice, bel-
ligerents and recipients of assistance do not have
a clear understanding of whom they are working
with and what they can assume about the confi- Further Reading
dentiality of their interaction with humanitarian
Aid Information. www.aidinfo.org
workers. The confusion may lead to an increase
in the rejection of humanitarian action by bel- Anderson, Mary B. (1999) Do No Harm: How Aid
ligerents, with life-threatening consequences for Can Support Peace – Or War, Boulder: Lynne
vulnerable populations. Rienner Publishers.
286 Conclusion: humanitarian action in a changing world
ICRC (International Committee of the Red Muggah, Robert (2004) ‘In the Line of Fire:
Cross) (2004) A Memory of Solferino, 16 Surveying the impact of small arms on civilians
November, www.icrc.org and relief workers’, Humanitarian Practice
Network, 15 November, www.odihpn.org
IDRC (International Development Research
Centre) (2001) The Responsibility to Protect, OCHA (UN Office of Coordination of
Canada, www.idrc.ca Humanitarian Affairs) (2004) 17 November,
http://ochaonline.un.org
IFRC (International Federation of Red Cross
and Red Crescent Societies) (2004) World Project Plougshares (2004) 29 November,
Disaster Report 2004, 16 November, www.ifrc.org www.ploughshares.ca
CHAPTER 6: Media
Mass media come of age authoritative source of news’ while simultane-
ously ‘present(ing) the policies of the United
The Second World War was a boom period for States clearly and effectively’.
the mass media. Patriotic newsreels, running sto- The radio network began its existence with
ries of heroism in the daily papers, radiobroad- propaganda programmes aimed at German-
casts from the front, propaganda films and occupied Europe and North Africa. The first
glossy exposés in weekly magazines became as VOA broadcast occurred on 24 February 1942.
much US war efforts as guns, tanks and air- Speaking in German, announcer William
planes. State governments and private actors Harlan Hale told his listeners: ‘Here speaks a
working on behalf of their countries used vari- voice from America. Every day at this time we
ous forms of mass media including newspapers, will bring you the news of the war. The news may
motion pictures, radio and the nascent platform be good. The news may be bad. We shall tell you
of television to assure the loyalty of their popu- the truth.’
lations, spread disinformation among their ene- After victory in Europe, the Voice of America
mies and influence neutral parties. Propaganda was re-engineered and became a tool in the fight
and the reporting of events became almost indis- against communism. Broadcasts into the Soviet
tinguishable. Union began on 17 February 1947. During the
In Nazi Germany, a calculated strategy of Cold War, VOA was placed under the US
deploying inexpensive radios (Volksempfänger or Information Agency and expanded its focus
‘people’s receiver’) in homes and workplaces within the USSR and Eastern Europe. Most of
allowed the government to reach nearly every the content was related to news and events; how-
citizen on a daily basis, providing a carefully con- ever, a good deal of cultural fare was included as
structed view of the events going on in Festung well. Willis Conover, one of the network’s better
Europa – Hitler’s seemingly impenetrable known personalities, became a bit of a celebrity
‘European Fortress’. In the United States, Life behind the Iron Curtain and influenced a gen-
magazine became a mouthpiece for US policy, eration of aspiring musicians in Poland and
while famed director Frank Capra – a serving other parts of the communist bloc with his jazz
officer in the US military – directed a series of programme Music USA in the 1950s. During the
propaganda films for consumption by the US Cold War, Eastern Europeans frequently turned
Army and the greater American public. During to VOA to gain information about events which
the siege of Stalingrad, Red Army journalist Igor were forbidden from being reported on official
Danilov turned the exploits of a Siberian sniper, state radio. The white-washed content also
Vasily Zaitsev, into a patriotic action serial which served to promote a rather inflated version of
riveted Soviet citizens and inspired a generation. the US and Americans which was reconciled
Almost from the beginning of the global con- with reality in the late 1980s when the region’s
flict, US propagandists realised the potential for communist dictatorships collapsed.
expanding their media efforts beyond their In the 1980s, VOA added a television service
national boundaries. The most important mani- to the already existing Radio Marti. It was a new
festation of the transborder media efforts was network also dedicated to the overthrow of the
the establishment of the Voice of America Castro regime in Cuba. Under United States law,
(VOA) under the Office of Wartime the Voice of America is forbidden from broad-
Information. The VOA charter calls for the net- casting directly to US citizens, thus avoiding the
work to provide a ‘consistently reliable and stigma of overt homeland propaganda. The
288 Mass media come of age
advent of the Internet, however, has made VOA were able to demonise their enemies and mar-
available to all Americans who wish to listen. ginalise their socialist allies in the period prior
Radio Sawa, part of the VOA system, uses its pro- to communist party takeovers. In Asia, pro-com-
gramming to influence youths in the Arab-speak- munist radio broadcasts were beamed into
ing world. The network has become an Tibet, Laos and other countries, paving the way
increasingly important tool in US efforts at pub- for communist takeover and/or mobilising sup-
lic diplomacy in the Middle East and Islamic port for insurgencies.
world – an effort that attracted millions of dol- Although the media served as an important
lars after the September 11 attacks. The Voice of propaganda tool during the Cold War, their pri-
America, which broadcasts in 50 languages, mary function was the delivery of news and
commands a listening audience of roughly 91 events free of government meddling. As tech-
million today. nology advanced, the news reporting grew
A sister project to Voice of America, Radio increasing global in scope. Enabled by commu-
Free Europe (RFE), was originally a US govern- nications technologies that provided nearly
ment project dedicated to promoting ‘demo- instantaneous reporting from around the world,
cratic values and institutions by disseminating newspapers, radio announcers and television
factual information and ideas’. Unlike the VOA reporters were no longer limited by time and
which aimed to deliver news and spread under- space. The advent of news agencies/wire serv-
standing of the US way of life, Radio Free ices greatly homogenised the information being
Europe was specifically intended to bring down reported globally, while simultaneously increas-
communist regimes. Established in 1949, RFE ing the number of events that could be covered.
made its first broadcast to Czechoslovakia on 4 Initially, the telegraph was the lifeblood of such
July 1950. The organisation was funded and organisations, but today the Internet is the driv-
managed by the US foreign intelligence service ing force behind this distribution of content.
(CIA) until 1971 as part of a larger psychological News agencies report on and provide articles
warfare programme intended to promote civil that can be used by other news organisations
strife and dissent in Soviet-dominated Eastern with almost no modification. Large news agen-
Europe. Today, the radio network is a non-profit cies typically have dozens if not hundreds of full-
organisation and targets countries in Europe, time reporters stationed in locations around the
Asia and the Middle East, broadcasting more globe.
than 1,000 hours per week in 32 languages via There are three forms of news agencies: pri-
short-wave, AM and FM radio and the Internet. vate corporations which provide their content
Although the demise of one-party systems in for a fee to other news organisations; coopera-
Eastern Europe and the collapse of the Soviet tives which share news articles across numerous
Union reduced RFE’s budget, its operation con- newspapers; and state-run concerns which typi-
tinued. New services focus on the Middle East, cally deliver the official government position of
especially regimes hostile to US/Western ideals one-party states. Reuters, based in the United
such as Iraq and Iran. In 2001, the Czech Kingdom, is the best example of the first model,
Republic expelled an Iraqi diplomat for plotting while the American Associated Press, a coopera-
to attack the headquarters of Radio Free Europe tive of approximately 1,500 daily newspapers, is
in Prague. The offices remain heavily guarded the paragon of the second model. The Xinhua
since the September 11 attacks on the USA. News Agency of the People’s Republic of China
To be sure, the utility of transborder mass (PRC) is the largest state-dominated news
media broadcasts was not lost on communist agency in the world today. Xinhua reports
forces in the post-Second World War era. Stalin directly to the Chinese Communist Party’s prop-
directed communist parties in Eastern Europe aganda department and provides significant
to participate in so-called ‘popular front’ gov- amounts of content to the PRC’s daily newspa-
ernments with other anti-fascist political parties pers, as well as to foreign media outlets in
from 1945 to 1947. In each and every case, the English, French, Russian, Spanish, Arabic and
Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU) other languages.
directed its Eastern European counterparts to Itar-Tass, the Russian Federation’s official wire
secure the Ministry of the Interior as soon as service, is a strange hybrid of all three models.
possible, thus giving them control over the air- The 100-year-old agency was established under
waves. Through the mass media, the communists the Tsars, nationalised by the Bolsheviks (TASS
Media convergence 289
is the acronym of the Telegraph Agency of the generated by different actors. A telling sign of
Soviet Union) and survived the break-up of the the similarity of news broadcasts in the United
USSR. Today, the wire service – like Russia itself States is the recent move by many public (gov-
– is seeking to adapt to the demands of globali- ernment-supported) television stations to air a
sation and international capitalism, while hang- segment of BBC World in the evening to offer
ing on to some of the old structures that made it viewers an alternative view of the day’s events
great. Other major international news agencies from that which they might get from the US
include Agence France-Presse (France), mainstream private broadcasters ABC, NBC and
Deutsche Presse Agentur (Germany) and CBS News.
United Press International (USA).
Henry Luce, activist and capitalist
Media convergence: towards In free societies, the primary determiner of media
global media or a shrinking content has generally been profit-related, although a
chorus? few exceptions exist. Henry Luce, long-time editor-
in-chief of the US news magazine Time, is a promi-
The current era of globalisation has provoked a nent example. Luce, born to a Presbyterian
shift in the way in which media have been deliv-
missionary family in China, used his control of one
ered across national boundaries. Although
of the USA’s most read media outlets to sway voters
Washington, Beijing, Moscow and other govern-
ments continue to employ mass media as tools of and influence political elites on US foreign policy,
propaganda and diplomacy, private media giants especially in East Asia. His dogged pursuit of politi-
are increasingly more important in relation to cal agendas was frequently at odds with media
state actors. The weakening of state boundaries, market dynamics.
technological advances and burgeoning middle
class across the developing world have created
an environment where media moguls have Furthering the reduction of voices wrought by
sought to create transnational information the expansion of news agencies, the world’s
empires operating globally. These media groups (non-Internet) news and entertainment media
provide news, entertainment and sports to audi- content is controlled by an ever shrinking num-
ences around the world, and as their scope ber of producers. The concentration of owner-
increases, so does their influence. Corporate ship and privatisation of mass media that has
giants like Rupert Murdoch of News occurred since the 1980s has changed the face
Corporation, an Australia-based media conglom- of global news reporting. Media giants are typi-
erate which owns satellite TV networks on five cally characterised by a decidedly corporatist
continents and newspapers in the USA, UK and esprit that is politically conservative, pro-
Australia, easily command more power than Western and pro-capitalist. This world view per-
most heads of state. meates the reporting of events around the
Despite the wealth and resources of media world. At the root of every decision is how to
conglomerates, cost-cutting efforts and profit- bring about profits. The commercialist model is
making have negatively impacted newsgathering quite distinct from earlier media models initi-
efforts in recent years. The phenomenon of ated by the state which were more focused on
‘parachute reporting’ has become especially educating and arming viewers with information
popular among most private news organisations. rather than urging them to buy products. Due to
Rather than maintaining semi-permanent increasing deregulation in the industrialised
reporters in overseas bureaus who are constantly world, barriers to vertical integration and cor-
making contacts and building intelligence on porate mergers have weakened significantly,
local conditions, the big media companies drop thus furthering this trend.
in a team of reporters with satellite phones and Today, most of the world’s media products are
translators to survey a ‘hot spot’, interview a few generated by fewer than ten large corporations:
‘experts’, file a story and return home. Since in the USA, Time Warner (formerly AOL Time
multiple news organisations are all employing Warner), Viacom Inc., NBC Universal and the
the same methods and tools, the news that is Walt Disney Company; the Australian media
reported is amazingly similar despite the fact it is giant News Corporation; Germany’s Bertelsman
290 Media convergence
allies and other third parties is over. The wide- goes far beyond that which diplomats and poli-
spread and instantaneous distribution of nearly cymakers would ever seek. In the United States,
all the relevant information creates an environ- the most common approach is to construct the
ment where everyone (especially opposition American foes as would-be Hitlers replete with
members in Congress, Parliament or the political cartoons that distort their features to
‘street’) can formulate alternative courses of resemble the Führer’s; Saddam Hussein and
action or react harshly to executive inaction. Slobodan Milosevic are the two most recent vic-
Such an environment of snap judgements has tims of this approach. Ubiquitous analogies to
incontestably led to more than a few ill-advised the Second World War atrocities (especially
policy decisions over the past two decades. This related to the Jewish Holocaust) are another
is in part due to a reduced number of inputs into common feature of media coverage of US ene-
the decision-making process and the perceived mies’ actions. It becomes unnecessary to disas-
need to act ‘decisively’ and ‘promptly’, often at semble the factors which have led to inter-state
the cost of acting prudently. Political analysts conflicts once the enemy has been reduced to
who study the impact of the CNN effect fre- the simple image of a maniacal, bloodthirsty
quently evoke the Cuban Missile Crisis, arguing sadist.
that had the events of 1963 taken place today, Western news networks choose at will to cover
the outcome would most certainly have been dif- certain issues while ignoring others. This is per-
ferent. A presidential advisor in the Clinton haps the most salient way in which these actors
White House remarked that her boss would have are emerging as independent agencies in for-
had 30 minutes at most to respond to the crisis eign policy. A case in point is British, US and
rather than the 13 days that President John F. German coverage of the events during the wars
Kennedy took to craft a plan of action. of Yugoslavian secession (1991–1999). The most
‘Media diplomacy’ has become an increas-
ingly integral part of statecraft in the twenty-first
Mass media/mass murder in the heart of Africa
century. It is said that CNN is being watched in
every embassy in every country in the world 24 The absence of international media coverage of the
hours a day. International news media outlets genocide in Rwanda contrasts starkly with local
have thus emerged as a fast and direct commu- media’s efforts to promote the massacres. Radio-
nications platform for world leaders (especially Télévision Libre des Mille Collines (RTLMC), a pri-
between those heads of state who lack normal vately owned Rwandan media outlet affiliated with
diplomatic relations). The now infamous ‘Axis the family of the country’s long-time dictator whose
of Evil’ speech (January 2002) in which US
suspicious death sparked the genocide, created a cli-
President George W. Bush identified three states
mate of mass hatred on one side and mass fear on
(Iraq, Iran and North Korea) which pose a
threat to world peace demonstrated the extent the other. The radio station broadcast a daily stream
to which globally televised speeches by heads of of anti-Tutsi vitriol encouraging Hutus to take up
state impact foreign policy and international arms against Tutsis who were deemed ‘cockroaches
relations. Overnight, the imperatives of national and snakes which should be stamped out’.
governments (especially in the Middle East and Once the genocide began on 6 April 1994, the sta-
East Asia) were cast in a new light by a single tion regularly broadcast lists of people to be killed as
speech ostensibly intended for the US domestic well as churches and mosques that should be
audience. Likewise, international news networks destroyed. The radio station’s owners recognised the
provide an instantaneous and ubiquitous con-
importance of global perceptions – its French broad-
duit for important non-state actors like Al Qaeda
casts were ethnonationalist but lacked the calls for
to send messages to their constituencies and
enemies alike. the extermination of the Tutsi population that
News networks such as the BBC, Al-Jazeera characterised the native-language broadcasts.
and CNN are also emerging as important players Western journalists resident in Rwanda during
in the shaping of the national interest. As the genocide that claimed nearly 1 million lives
arbiters of public opinion, the most watched argue the holocaust was a direct outcome of RTLMC
networks are in a position to sway unsure popu- broadcasts which were heard in nearly every school,
laces on relevant policy issues. Media organisa- tavern and meeting place.
tions’ harsh portrayal of foreign enemies often
292 The ‘CNN effect’
and London in the lead-up to the war in the that caters to their tastes and political sensibili-
Middle East. Despite the glaring lack of proof ties, while the rest of the world (and Americans
and seemingly unlikely pairing of a secular, travelling abroad) enjoy a markedly different
nationalist dictator with a fundamentalist product – CNN International. The latter net-
Islamist terrorist group bent on recreating the work’s programming is decidedly less nationalis-
caliphate, many media corporations unquestion- tic than the former and provides a host of
ingly accepted and reported the connection programmes intended for consumption by the
between Saddam Hussein and Osama bin global traveller and transnational business per-
Laden. At the start of the war in March 2003, son. Sources for news stories come from a wide
nearly two-thirds of the American public variety of reporters based in all corners of the
believed there was a connection and that globe; business reports tally the day’s events in
Saddam Hussein had had a role in the events of Tokyo, London and New York stock exchanges;
9/11 – a direct result of reporting practices that and weather reports give just as much airtime to
supported such assumptions. Such beliefs were a Kinshasa and Kolkata as Milan and Miami.
tiny minority in other Western countries where The world traveller can expect to find a rather
media coverage was more rigorous and reflected predictable offering of media when checking
popular discontent with the aims of the US
administration in Iraq.
The BBC, apparently in an effort to demon-
The Arab street goes global
strate its independence from the aims of the Al-Jazeera, which translates as ‘peninsula’, is the
state it is associated with (the United Kingdom), only truly independent media voice in the Arab
landed in hot water over charges that the British Middle East. Partially supported by the Qatari emi-
government had ‘sexed up’ the dossier concern- rate where it is based, the station is increasingly
ing Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction (WMD) successful as a private concern generating a large
prior to the conflict. Official inquiries ultimately
portion of its revenue from advertisements. As a
implicated the BBC in untoward actions, some
transnational network catering to Arab speakers
of which may have contributed to the suicide of
British Ministry of Defence scientist David Kelly. worldwide, the network has become a bellwether of
The resulting fallout led to the resignation of a Arab opinion as well as a shaper of it.
number of the corporation’s executives. The Al-Jazeera, once lauded by US policymakers for
incident further exacerbated tensions between breaking the traditional mould of Arabic media, is
the media organisation and the British govern- now the bête noire of Washington. Its decision to
ment. In 2004, the British newspaper the Daily run uncensored video and audio tapes of Osama bin
Mirror likewise generated a great deal of contro- Laden and graphic depictions of civilian casualties
versy when it published photographs which in the 2003 Iraq war has created an increasingly
allegedly showed British soldiers torturing cap-
hostile relationship with US decision makers and the
tured Iraqis. The media outlet later admitted
US military. American forces attacked the offices of
that it had been ‘hoaxed’ but used the retraction
as a platform to condemn the policies of the the agency in both the Iraq and Afghanistan con-
British Prime Minister, Tony Blair, and the US flicts and Al-Jazeera has been saddled with onerous
administration of George W. Bush whom it restrictions in US-occupied areas. It is also banned
claimed obdurately refuse to ‘acknowledge’ from reporting from the premier US stock
their own mistakes in Iraq. exchanges for ‘security reasons’.
In 2004, the US administration chose not to
include Qatar in its negotiations regarding the
Global TV: predictable and American-led ‘Greater Middle East Initiative’ – a plan
ubiquitous to encourage democratic reform in the Arab and
Muslim worlds. Ironically, the reason for the slight
In today’s global media marketplace, the audi-
ence is often divorced from any specific territo- was the emirate’s continued press freedom and its
rial affiliation. Time Warner’s CNN cable news support of Al-Jazeera, which the Bush administra-
network provides a clear example of this phe- tion accuses of ‘false reporting’ and ‘encouraging
nomenon. Viewers who watch the network within terrorism’.
the United States receive a version of the news
294 Global TV
into a hotel whether it is in Western Europe, work positions itself as the only independent
Central Asia or the Pacific Rim. The channel voice in the Arabic media space and has reaped
line-up will most certainly include BBC World. enormous rewards for its willingness to publish
The fiercely independent broadcaster offers up extremely controversial items including voice
a global perspective on world events with a and video tapes of Osama bin Laden, bloody
British accent. Germany’s international broad- civilian casualties in Afghanistan and Iraq, and
caster Deutsche Welle’s DW-TV (often in interviews with US and Israeli politicians.
English) is a common selection as well. Deutsche Some of the major international broadcasters
Welle is perceived by many international viewers do make an attempt at glocalisation (a process
as a less biased broadcaster and commands a whereby global social processes are selectively
higher percentage of English-language viewers redefined and adapted to suit local cultural exi-
in countries like Russia than CNN or the BBC, gencies); however, most tend to regard their
which are both seen to be purveyors of the market as being a transnational straw man based
Anglo-American cultural dominance that has on a small set of assumed traits: affluence, mobil-
existed since the end of the Second World ity, knowledge of the West and its values, etc.
War. France’s TV-5 typically represents La Other international versions of national net-
Francophonie with a mixture of news program- works are intentionally crafted for the country’s
ming and French-language entertainment (a émigrés as well as its business travellers. RAI
good deal of it being dubbed American films). International states that its programming is
Rai International, commonly included in large ‘made for Italians who live abroad and for all
hotels and on cable and satellite networks those who have a family link with our country or
around the world, offers up a colourful array of want to know more about Italy’, thus drawing a
original programmes including the infamous direct connection between Italy’s diaspora and
Italian game shows. global media. NHK World, Japan’s premiere
The staid (if not bland) fare aired by most international broadcaster, also states explicitly
international broadcasters has been sexed up by that its primary audience is Japanese nationals
the growing power of News Corporation. By cre- living overseas.
ating or acquiring satellite networks in Asia, the The United States, along with other major
United Kingdom, Italy and the United States, receiving countries for immigration, has seen a
Rupert Murdoch, News Corporation’s flamboy- veritable explosion of satellite and cable con-
ant major shareholder and managing director, sumption among its immigrant population. US
has been able to expand the presence of several cable TV companies and direct broadcast satel-
channels to the point of giving them a global lite providers DirecTV and the DISH Network
footprint. Today, Fox News, Sky News and Star provide customers with a plethora of options
TV are becoming part of the international including Spanish-language networks from
repertoire of media offerings. Spain (Canal Sur), Mexico (Canal 22) and
As the international business elite has grown Columbia (Caracol TV Internacional). The
more diverse over the past several decades, so media for the immigrant community are also
has the selection of international media avail- increasingly produced in the country of resi-
able across the globe. Chinese-language broad- dence. Germany, for example, has a number of
casters (and thus the views of Beijing) now Turkish-language cable channels catering to the
command a spot on the dial. CCTV large Turkish gastarbeiter community and its
International has expanded its reach to a global descendants. The media in France, the United
audience with the expressed desire to provide ‘a Kingdom, the Netherlands and other Western
more balanced picture of the world’, of course countries similarly are increasingly global in
with a Chinese perspective. NHK World provides character, combining imported programming
news and other content for the Japanese-speak- (from North Africa, South Asia, Latin America,
ing global traveller. Perhaps the most stunning etc.) with homegrown immigrant
success among the non-European media outlets programming.
is that of Al-Jazeera. The Arabic network based The emergence of transnational television
in the Gulf State of Qatar has revolutionised the networks like Zee TV, which bills itself as the first
media in the Arab world, challenged Western truly global South Asian TV channel offering
media dominance and become a newsworthy serials, Bollywood films, superstar interviews,
subject in its own right. The satellite news net- cricket, regional programmes and coverage of
The Internet as medium 295
news and events relevant to the subcontinent, is messages were crafted by a small elite and broad-
an important symbol of the increasing irrele- cast to the masses who could not provide any
vance of geographic borders in the media. Zee form of meaningful feedback.
TV – the flagship channel of India’s largest The unique attributes of cyberspace (deterri-
media and entertainment company – employs its torialised, anonymous, nearly infinite) com-
‘understanding of Indian culture and beliefs bined with benefits of modern communications
which are depicted in its programming’ to technologies (speed, ubiquity, variety of for-
capture market share across four continents. mats) have enabled a brave new world of media.
For existing media outlets, the Internet has been
a godsend, enabling them to reach a whole new
The Internet as medium: a new audience. A web user in Russia’s far eastern city
of Vladivostok (once notorious for its distance
arrival or more of the same? from the core of the country) can now get access
The advent of the Internet as a mass medium to Moscow dailies, The Guardian or The New York
has truly revolutionised the reporting of news Times with a few clicks of the mouse. Immigrants
around the world. The Internet combines the in Bristol, Antwerp and Miami can now log on to
attributes of the agora, newspaper, radio and tel- the web and get access to their local newspaper
evision while providing the user with the ability back home, whether home is Dhaka, Manila or
to search all data that have ever been posted on Caracas. Using online technology to generate
the web. The collective amnesia that has pro- offline profits is also common. Foreign newspa-
pers like Le Monde, Frankfurter Allgemeine and
Corriere Della Sera are now printed in small num-
The revolution will be broadcast
bers and distributed almost immediately to cus-
The Soviet Union, like the USA, sought to influence tomers wherever they are. Likewise, the Internet
foreign audiences through the powerful medium of is a major cost-saver for news media, instantly
radio during the Cold War. Radio Moscow and connecting far-flung journalists with the home
other stations were beamed around the world pro- office, providing countless research tools and
viding news, commentary and entertainment. At limiting the need for proprietary technologies.
their peak, Soviet radio stations broadcast 2,000 The Internet has a darker side as well.
Conspiracy theories thrive in cyberspace along-
hours per week in 80 languages around the globe.
side doctored photos, falsified remarks and
In sub-Saharan Africa alone, the Kremlin provided
other travesties. Alternative and counter-hege-
content in 15 languages including Hausa and monic discourses are born and nurtured on the
Swahili (not to mention the colonial tongues, Internet due to its egalitarian structure, lack of
French and English). censorship and anonymity. Consider for a
After the Sino-Soviet split in the late 1950s, the moment the structure of the Internet: the offi-
Russians and the Chinese emerged as competitors cial site of the Israeli state (www.info.gov.il) is
in third world media spaces, spending much of roughly equal in terms of bytes and ease of use
their time vilifying one another while concurrently to find and navigate as any given site dedicated
attacking the capitalist West. to the ‘international Jewish conspiracy’. Such a
level playing field allows for abuse of all types;
however, the Internet is especially useful for
tected governments, potentates and generals in those groups which feel they have no other out-
the past is now confined to the dustbin of his- lets for expression.
tory. Every dark deed, verbal blunder and impro- For Muslims, and especially Arabs, living in
priety is waiting to be recalled at a moment’s societies where the government has long kept a
notice. Furthermore, the Internet is a deterrito- stranglehold on the media, the Internet repre-
rialised, decentralised medium that collapses sents a welcome outlet for views and ideas which
both time and space. Communication across the would never see the light of day in the ‘official
platform through e-mail, instant messaging and media’. In much of the Muslim world, there is a
other forms of data transmission is nearly instan- strong tendency towards conspiracy theories
taneous and typically anonymous. Consumers which travel via word of mouth. Such a phe-
can also be producers, thus breaking the para- nomenon can be partially attributed to the his-
digm of older forms of mass media where torical legacy of centuries of oppressive foreign
296 The Internet as medium
rule (Turkish, British, etc.) and the more recent The web has also become a platform for the
impact of repressive governmental structures deployment of horrific images that are not usu-
that stifle free speech in public forums. Despotic ally shown on major news networks. The publi-
governments have frequently manipulated con- cation of photos showing US abuse of Iraqi
spiracy theories to their advantage by deflecting detainees at Iraq’s Abu Ghraib prison in 2004
blame to external forces (the West, Israel, etc.) became a cause célèbre in cyberspace where the
that would otherwise be directed at their own photos could be downloaded and manipulated
shortcomings. Political culture does not change with remarkable ease. The gruesome behead-
overnight. Whether the party in power is a mili- ings of Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl
tary junta (Pakistan), leftist, nationalist strong- and Nicholas Berg, an American civilian looking
men (Syria), a nepotistic personal dictatorship for work in Iraq, first appeared on the Internet.
(Uzbekistan), an ultraconservative monarchy Pearl’s execution appeared in 2002 on a Saudi
(Saudi Arabia) or a theocracy (Iran), the out- website entitled ‘The Slaughter of the Spy-
comes are surprisingly similar: repression of Journalist, the Jew Daniel Pearl’, while Berg’s
political activism and extensive media censor- beheading appeared in 2004 on ‘Muntada al-
ship. In such milieux, the Internet becomes a Ansar Islamist’, an Al Qaeda-affiliated website.
place where conspiracies are created and con- Pearl’s captors had utilised a free and hard-to-
firmed in the space of a day. On the web (as in trace e-mail account to make demands on US
private discourse) domestic enemies (the ruling policymakers prior to the execution, while con-
elite) and foreign agents (the CIA, the Mossad, spiracy theories flourished that Berg’s murder
resurgent British imperialists, multinational had been conducted by CIA agents posing as
corporations, etc.) are easily conflated and non- Islamic extremists in an attempt to deflect criti-
sensical theories are supported by ‘facts’. cism and attention from the US administration
Cyberspace’s unique ability to serve as reservoir over its activities in occupied Iraq.
for truth as well as fiction allows for a truly The Internet, due to its unique nature, is
limitless combination of the two. increasingly seen as the best place to distribute
A poignant example of this phenomenon information that faces censorship by main-
occurred in the spring of 2004 when the Arabic stream media outlets – whether mundane or
press began demonstrating a photo of an ghastly.
American soldier with two Iraqi youths. One of
the Iraqi boys was holding up a hand-written
sign that read ‘Lcpl Boudreaux killed my dad
Conclusion
th(en) he knocked up my sister!’ The wide- The emergence of truly transnational media –
spread publication of the photo throughout the wire services, satellite TV and the Internet – has
Arab world led to popular displays of anti- been the major cause of the shrinking of the
American outrage. The sign had originally read world since 1945. In 1962, Marshall McLuhan
‘Lcpl Boudreaux saved my dad th(en) he res- imagined a ‘global village’ in which humans
cued my sister!,’ but the wide and rapid distri- interacted across oceans and continents without
bution of the fake in the Middle East led to a regard for time and space. In the twenty-first
deepening of the resentment already felt by the century, his prediction does seem to be partly
vast majority of the Arab world towards the occu- realised. Live events a world away flicker on mil-
pying US and British forces. The reports of the lions of television screens simultaneously while
hoax generated so much interest in the West Internet users ramble through cyberspace
that a series of websites was created by Internet accessing information uploaded from all points
entrepreneurs that allowed users to write their on the globe.
own messages on the sign and then print or save The global media are, however, increasingly
the picture. The versions generated by the joke- created and managed by a few producers
sters were just as authentic looking as the one obsessed with profits rather than public service.
distributed throughout the Arab press a few This has led to the increasing prevalence of
weeks before. The ease of such fabrications ‘infotainment’ – that is, a focus on crime,
poses new and deeply troubling challenges to celebrity, entertainment and human melodrama
the media community as it balances the benefits – often at the expense of hard news reporting.
of using content generated from the web with The free-for-all information space which exists
the dangers of falsification. on the Internet is a powerful foil for the striking
Conclusion 297
homogeneity of the global television media. But Borjesson, Kristina (2004) Into the Buzzsaw:
the time and effort required to access news in Leading Journalists Expose the Myth of a Free Media,
cyberspace is significantly greater than that Amherst: Prometheus Books.
required to watch passively 22 minutes of CNN
Drezner, Daniel W. and Farrell, Henry (2004)
Headline news or a similar service offering ‘soft
‘Web of Influence’, Foreign Policy, November/
journalism’. The contemporary media environ-
December.
ment hosts more voices than ever before, but
only a select few – Rupert Murdoch, for example Huntington, Samuel (1993) Foreign Policy.
– dictate a potentially dangerously large portion
Nacos, Brigitte L. (2002) Mass-Mediated Terrorism:
of the content.
The Central Role of the Media in Terrorism and
Counterterrorism, Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield
Publishers.
Further Reading
Seib, Philip (2002) The Global Journalist: News and
Bennet, Lance (2004) News: The Politics of
Conscience in a World of Conflict, Lanham:
Illusion, 6th edn, New York: Longman.
Rowman & Littlefield Publishers.
298
submit an application for asylum but whose case the immigrant population has increased on aver-
is not yet approved, refused or fully processed, or age by 4–6 per cent each year in Southern
those whose claims are approved for review. In Europe, the UK, Ireland, Finland, the USA and
the latter case the asylum seeker is entitled to cer- Japan. Yet the two countries that experienced
tain rights and allowances that are denied to a the most dramatic growth in their foreign
simple asylum applicant whose case gets rejected population between 1996 and 2001 were Spain
out of hand before having been reviewed. and Korea with an average annual growth of 15
per cent and 9 per cent respectively (SOPEMI,
2004, pp. 42–44). Table 7.1 displays the number
The size of international migration of legal immigrants in selected OECD countries.
The number of international migrants is not only As the table shows, settlement countries have
increasing but also diversifying in most parts of 11–23 per cent of their resident population as
the world. Their number varies across countries, first-generation migrants or foreign-born resi-
depending first on the role of immigration in the dents. These high figures are due to their rela-
country considered, second on recent migration tively liberal immigration policies, which stem
inflows and outflows (net migration rate), third from the importance they have attached to the
on the fertility rate of the immigrant population, admission of foreigners throughout their histo-
and last but not least on the naturalisation rate. ries. By contrast, European countries, Japan and
Due to the lack of standardised international Korea traditionally consider themselves to be
migration statistics for the entire world, this emigration countries. It is a quite recent phe-
chapter focuses on migration trends and most nomenon that they have slowly changed to
important migration challenges of the main des- immigration countries. It is only since the early
tination countries of international migrants, 1970s that considerably more people have been
which are the OECD countries.1 Although the entering these countries than leaving them. The
focus of this chapter is to outline in greater detail new balance of positive net immigration inflow
the main migration dilemmas of industrialised has given rise to new demographic, labour-
countries, the experiences of less developed related and socio-cultural challenges, which can
countries’ migration will also be referred to from threaten fundamental political institutions and
time to time, in specific contexts. put both the nation-state and the welfare state
Since the mid-1990s, according to OECD data, into a completely new context.
Tables 7.2a and 7.2b show that the origin of the
1 OECD member states are Australia, Austria, Belgium, foreign or foreign-born population residing in
Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, OECD countries is diverse. In settlement coun-
Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea,
Luxembourg, Mexico, New Zealand, the Netherlands, Norway,
tries the largest share (38 per cent) of foreign-
Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, born residents comes from Latin America. This
the United Kingdom, the United States. high representation is due mainly to the large
Table 7.1 Stock of foreign-born and foreign population in selected OECD countries, in thousands and as
percentage of total population, 2001
Mexican presence in the USA. The second largest per cent) or from North America (3 per cent).
group contains people of Asian-Pacific origin. The distribution of foreigners in European
They make up 24 per cent of the foreign-born OECD countries and in Japan and Korea exhibits
population of settlement countries. EU nationals a different picture. The largest group, 27 per cent
reach 16 per cent and non-EU member European of the total foreign population in these non-settler
nationals another 5 per cent of the foreign-born countries, is from non-EU member European
population in Australia, Canada, New Zealand countries. This group most probably contains
and the USA. The rest of the immigrants are either workers from poor East European countries
either of African and Middle Eastern origin (3 employed in the EU or refugees mainly from the
former Yugoslav republics seeking shelter in the
Table 7.2a Foreign-born population by region of EU. In the European context, just as in the case of
birth in Australia, Canada, New Zealand and the settlement countries, in which Latin Americans are
USA in 2001 the biggest immigrant group, the majority of
immigrants come from territories that are geo-
South & Central America 37.7% graphically close to the destination countries.
Another 26 per cent of immigrants, which is almost
Asia, Oceania 23.7% as sizable as the share of East Europeans, consists of
EU 15.8% EU nationals. The ‘free movement of labour’ pol-
icy of the EU-15, which encourages the movement
Unknown origin 11.5% of the nationals of 15 member states by offering
Non-EU Europe 5.3% unhindered access to each other’s labour market,
accounts primarily for this high figure. Asians rep-
Africa and Middle East 3.1% resent 12 per cent of the foreign population in
North America 3.2% non-settler OECD countries, Africans and Middle
Easterners another 11 per cent, while people from
Source: SOPEMI, 2004 (see Table 7.1) the Americas an additional 5 per cent.
302 The size of international migration
Table 7.2b Foreigners in European OECD most important ‘push’ factors are typically related
countries, Japan and Korea by region of origin in to the sending country’s economic situation or to
2001 its political and social conditions. Predominantly
people move to a country other than the one of
Non-EU Europe 27.4% their birth because they either have already found
a job there or they hope to find one that is better
EU 25.9% than the one they can get at home.
Unknown origin 18.7% Not only can the lack of adequate jobs, low
wages or high unemployment trigger emigration
Asia and Oceania 12.3% from certain regions, but political instability or
Africa and Middle East 10.6% looming violent conflicts may also force people
to flee from their homes. In addition to eco-
South & Central America 2.8% nomic and political problems leading to emigra-
North America 2.3% tion from various parts of the world, developing
countries tend to experience rapid population
Source: SOPEMI, 2004 (see Table 7.1) growth and all the problems attached to it,
which may function as an additional ‘push’ fac-
Both settler and non-settler countries have a tor for the emigration of their nationals. The
considerable number of foreigners with unknown world population is growing by 83 million a year,
origins (11 per cent and 19 per cent respectively). of which 82 million are born in developing
One possible explanation for this may involve the countries (IOM, 2004). Social tensions originat-
relatively large number of asylum seekers among ing from overpopulation can also be effectively
immigrants, especially in EU countries. Many asy- reduced by outward migration.
lum seekers try to increase their chances of being The ‘pull’ factors can typically be found in the
granted refugee status by keeping their country of attractive environment of the destination coun-
origin undisclosed. The advantage of the try. The two most important ones are the huge
unknown origin is that the person cannot be wage and productivity differences between the
immediately readmitted or returned to his or her host and the origin countries and the presence of
country of origin. While the nationality of the family members in the host country with whom
applicant is being established, he or she gains the migrant wishes to reunite. The destination
time and may also hope to receive more country’s political stability and likely respect for
favourable treatment as a ‘stateless’ person. human rights may also function as magnets for
These two tables on the distribution of immi- non-labour migration. In sum, higher wages, bet-
grants by regions of origin confirm that interna- ter professional job opportunities, settled and
tional migration is not just a simple unidirectional successful family members, social safety measures
flow of people from southern/eastern developing or democratic political mechanisms are all pow-
countries to the northern/western industrialised erful driving forces for both the highly skilled
states. Besides the considerable flow from the and the low-skilled worker, for the family
developing to the developed world, which the member left at home or for the asylum seeker to
International Organization for Migration (IOM) look for a new life in wealthy industrialised coun-
estimates to be about 2.3 million on yearly average tries. Moreover, developed countries tend to put
in the last decade, the flow of people among fel- into place further ‘pull’ incentives to admit
low OECD countries is also considerable (IOM, highly skilled foreign labour and low-skilled
2004). In fact, in most European countries, seasonal guest workers in their efforts to meet
Australia and New Zealand, more than half of the labour shortages in their economies.
migrants comes from another OECD country. But international labour migration, particu-
Even in the USA, due to the large Mexican pres- larly of the highly skilled, in reverse direction
ence, 47 per cent of foreign-born residents are from developed to developing countries, is also
from fellow OECD countries. not uncommon. The ‘pull’ factors are usually
created by private enterprises when, for exam-
Why do people migrate? ple, a multinational sets up a sufficiently attrac-
What brings migrants to the decision to leave tive scheme for intra-company transferees to
their country? There are various ‘push’ and ‘pull’ move from the north-west to the emerging mar-
factors that propel international migration. The kets of South-East Asia, Middle East, Latin
The size of international migration 303
Table 7.3 Inflows of foreign population in selected OECD countries: annual average in thousands
1. Excluding visitors, transit migrants and students and including accompanying dependents.
2. Including short-term movements.
3. 2000 data instead of 2001. Seasonal workers are excluded.
4. Austria, Greece, Italy and Spain are not included. Inflows include significant number of short-term movements.
5. 1992–1995 data instead of 1991–1995.
6. 1995 data.
7. 1998 data.
8. 1994–1995 data.
9. 1998–2000 data.
Source: Trends in International Migration: SOPEMI – 2003 edition, © OECD 2004, and National Statistical Offices,
reproduced in Trends in International Migration: SOPEMI – 2000 edition, © OECD 2000
America or Eastern Europe in order to supervise the rapid increase of people movement and
the expansion of the company into new markets. turns the dream of many potential migrants into
Some recent features of globalisation have cre- reality is the considerable decrease in the price
ated additional incentives for people to move, of communication and transportation technol-
especially to developed countries. For example, ogy in the last few decades. Affordable trans-
the availability of imported Western consumer portation makes both long-term and short-term
goods (jeans, Coke, movies, music) all over the circulatory movements available for an ever
globe or the global media-generated desire for larger group of people.
north-western lifestyle all turn the north-west Table 7.3 shows that industrialised countries
into a popular destination for migrants from continued to admit foreigners in record num-
around the world. But what ultimately facilitates bers in 2001 despite the marked deterioration in
304 The size of international migration
the global economic climate since the end of the search for employment opportunities and when
1990s. Some countries, such as the USA, selecting their preferred destination. Looking
Australia, Canada, Japan, the UK, New Zealand, more closely, a strong concentration of particular
France and Austria, saw significant increases in nationalities in certain host countries can be
their foreign inflows and admitted immigrants in identified. Table 7.4 shows that a few origin coun-
record numbers. It is the high growth rate of tries predominate in the foreign population of
immigration into Japan which is the most sur- many OECD destination countries. Among the
prising in the light of the country’s long eco- three most important factors that determine who
nomic stagnation and increasing unemployment moves where are, first, the geographical proxim-
rate. Immigration has been on the rise in all the ity of the source country to the destination coun-
OECD countries in the last decade except for try; second, cultural, historical or linguistic ties
Germany, Norway and Sweden. In Germany, between the two countries; and third, the pres-
however, although the number of admissions is ence of family members or compatriot networks.
dropping and remains below the record high Because of the proximity of the host and the
levels of the early 1990s which followed the open- sending countries, North Africans tend to go to
ing of the eastern borders, immigration remains France, Chinese to Japan, Poles to Germany,
considerable, with 685,000 intakes in 2001. Albanians to Italy and Mexicans to the USA.
It is likely that migration inflows will continue Historical or linguistic ties explain why nationals
to increase because demand for labour in indus- from the Commonwealth countries mostly enter
trialised countries is not expected to vanish sud- the UK. Brazil and Cape Verde nationals go to
denly in the future and the settlement of recent Portugal and Scandinavians to Sweden. The
migrants will attract additional family members. large presence of fellow nationals, primarily as
refugees or asylum seekers, accounts for the
Where do people migrate? arrivals of former Yugoslavs in Austria,
Migrants do not just move randomly around the Switzerland and Germany, Chinese in Canada or
world – they follow certain patterns during their Iraqis in Sweden.
Table 7.4 Stock of foreign population in thousands in selected countries as of 2000 and the relative
(%) importance of the top 5 origin countries in the total stock of foreigners1
1. Stock of foreign-born population for Australia, Canada and the United States.
(continued)
Economic impact of international migration 305
Economic impact of international of welfare benefits the host country offers to its res-
idents. As Table 7.5 shows, in some countries like
migration: inflow of foreign labour Austria, Australia, Canada, Germany, Switzerland
and the USA, foreign immigrants make up a con-
The effect of international migration on the host siderable portion of the labour force. OECD coun-
or on the sending state is rather complex and tries seem to have a renewed interest in admitting
involves a mixture of economic, demographic, foreign workers by following selective labour-
political, cultural and safety issues. In order to related immigration policies.
sort out the complicated and overlapping impacts There is probably little dispute about the
international migration creates on both the host desirability of importing highly skilled foreign
and the sending countries, the economic impact labour because it is regarded as being well con-
of migration on the receiving country will come trolled, able to meet valuable skill shortages and
first, followed by that on the origin country. In the able to enhance the host country’s productivity
subsequent two sections the demographic impact instead of depleting public resources. Most of
of migration will be examined and then the polit- the rich industrialised countries have long-estab-
ical and cultural effects of their arrival. lished recruitment policies or ‘green card’ pro-
Most of the debates on the economic conse- grammes to attract the world’s ‘best and
quences of international migration concern the brightest’ qualified foreign workers. The admis-
economic impact foreign workers exert on the sion of highly qualified labour grew noticeably
receiving country’s economic performance and in the areas of new information and communi-
labour market. Is the presence of foreign labour cation technologies and in the health and
unfavourable for the host country? Will foreign education sectors.
workers increase unemployment and decrease To illustrate the strong demand for highly
wages? Or, on the contrary, will foreign labour skilled workers in industrialised countries, it is
boost the destination country’s prosperity by meet- enough to take a look at how the United States’
ing skill shortages and making the labour market annual quota of ‘specialty occupation: H-1B visa’
more flexible? Conventional economic theories which was extended from 65,000 in 1999 to
may support both views depending on the type 115,000 in 2000 and then to 195,000 in
and size of the foreign labour inflow and the level 2001–2003 (SOPEMI, 2004, p. 29). H-1B visas are
306 Economic impact of international migration
Table 7.5 Stock of foreign and foreign-born labour force in thousands and percentages
the prime means of entry for ICT professionals cheap foreign labour, which is probably even
from around the world, in particular from India. more willing to enter into low-wage competition
In fact, in 2001 more than 200,000 new H-1B visas with the natives. Besides causing rising unem-
were issued in addition to 130,000 renewals. But ployment, cheap foreign labour tends to gain
the increase in the admission of skilled workers more from public resources than it contributes
ended in 2002 due to the worsening economic to it. As poor earners, the taxes and social secu-
conditions affecting mostly the information tech- rity contributions the low-skilled pay (if any) usu-
nology and communications sectors. H-1B visa ally do not cover the cost of infrastructure and
issues dropped to 79,000 in 2002 and the quota public transportation they use or benefit from.
was expected to return to 65,000 in 2004. On the other hand, it can be argued that the
Although H-1B visas, which offer a temporary jobs low-skilled foreign labour tends to take up
working permit to holders, have been granted in (construction, agriculture, catering, retailing,
decreasing numbers since 2001, the number of household services, taking care of the young and
permanently admitted workers, most of whom are elderly) are the jobs natives would not take any
also highly skilled, is on the rise, reaching more more because these are badly paid jobs. The
than 179,000 in 2001, which represents a 67 per much-needed foreign labour merely fills the
cent growth over the previous year. labour market niche that was created by the
The USA is not the only country seeking skilled state’s introduction of minimum wages and wel-
labour. Other industrialised countries are compet- fare benefits: thus it is not the foreigners who
ing for the world’s elite workers as well. Japan cause unemployment. Instead, cheap foreign
issued 142,000 highly skilled work permits in 2001 labour may be helping to keep production costs
and almost 130,000 in 2000. The United Kingdom low, which, in turn, prevents inflation and
and Germany acted similarly. They both relaxed enhances local employers’ profits. If these
the condition for the entry of highly skilled for- profits are reinvested locally, creating new or
eign labour in less dramatic but still visible ways. better jobs, natives may enjoy the benefits of
For example, the latter established a green card more and higher-skilled job options.
programme for computer specialists in 2000 and It is therefore not surprising that labour-
the former introduced the ‘Highly Skilled importing countries themselves are ambivalent
Migrant Programme’ in 2001 to attract medical on the issue of admitting unskilled labour. They
practitioners and education professionals. are all hesitant about opening sizable entry
It is mostly the impact of semi- or unskilled channels for low-skilled workers. The only excep-
labour imports that is subject to serious dispute tion is Germany, which granted a record number
among academic communities, policymakers of temporary admissions to almost 278,000 sea-
and society in general. On the one hand, one sonal workers in 2001. Most of them came from
can argue that unskilled or undocumented Poland (260,000) and worked in agriculture (95
labour migration may have serious negative side per cent). By and large, industrialised countries
effects by raising unemployment and being a tend to recruit low-skilled foreign labour only in
drain on the social security system. The argu- small numbers and only on a temporary or sea-
ment goes as follows: European welfare states sonal basis, as Table 7.6 illustrates. Although the
have stimulated a strong additional demand for USA is another example of granting ‘seasonal
foreign cheap labour by fixing minimum wages agricultural worker: H-2A visas’ in small and
above market clearing levels and by providing decreasing quantities (27,700 in 2001), it is worth
extensive health and unemployment benefits to adding that it also issued more than 72,000 H-2B
native workers. Native low-skilled workers prefer visas to temporary unskilled labour in the non-
to sit back at home and receive welfare cheques agricultural sector in 2001.
instead of entering into low-wage competition Yet a cheap labour force is key for the
with foreign labour and thus employers start economies of industrialised countries. The
recruiting cheap foreign labour to fill the low- unmatched demand for cheap (native or legal
wage job vacancies. The result is that locals are foreign) unskilled labour may be one of the
crowded out of the lowest segment of the labour most important explanations for the presence of
market and unless they are able to move sizable undocumented foreign low-skilled
upwards to skilled jobs, local unemployment fig- labour working clandestinely in wealthy coun-
ures start to rise. This cycle is further empha- tries. Take southern Europe as an example
sised by the additional influx of undocumented (SOPEMI, 2004, 30). Italy introduced a regular-
308 Economic impact of international migration
Table 7.6 Inflows of seasonal workers in selected Scientific research on the desirability of
OECD countries in thousands labour migration seems to confirm the co-exis-
tence of both the anti- and the pro-labour migra-
1998 1999 2000 2001 tion arguments, as may be seen from reports in
the London Times (1 March 2003) discussing the
Australia 55.6 62.6 71.5 76.6 results of three studies that were carried out in
France 7.5 7.6 7.9 10.8 the UK, in Germany and in the USA, examining
the effect of labour immigration on wages and
Germany 201.6 223.4 219.0 277.9 unemployment (Browne, 2003). On the one
Italy 16.5 20.4 30.9 30.3 hand, econometric studies commissioned in the
UK and Germany find that higher immigration
Norway 7.5 8.6 9.9 11.9 is associated with higher wages in both countries.
Switzerland 39.6 45.3 49.3 54.9 On the other, evidence that migration causes
unemployment is also found, though it is very
United Kingdom 9.4 9.8 10.1 15.2 weak and statistically significant for only the
United States 27.3 32.4 33.3 27.7 semi-skilled labour group. Meanwhile, the USA
study argues that half of the decline in unskilled
Source: Trends in International Migration: SOPEMI, workers’ wages is due to the large influx of low-
2004 edition, © OECD 2005 skilled legal and illegal workers into the country.
In sum, the studies point out that as long as
isation programme for illegal workers in 2002 labour immigration is complementary to the
and received 700,000 applications, half of which local workforce, it is reasonable to expect an
were submitted by domestic workers. Spain overall positive impact on the economy because
received more than 340,000 applications on immigrants fill posts locals cannot or do not take.
launching its 2001 amnesty programme: 30 per This gives space to dynamic internal economic
cent came from domestic workers, 20 per cent growth and is likely to boost wages. But if immi-
from construction workers and 13 per cent from grant labour is substituting for the native work-
agricultural workers. Portugal introduced its force, its effect on the host country’s economy is
amnesty for undocumented workers between probably mixed. The oversupply of labour may
January 2001 and May 2003 and issued more lead to falling wages or growing unemployment,
than 179,000 residence and work permits, but it may also help to fuel profits of local entre-
mostly to Ukrainians and Brazilians. Greece also preneurs and hinder inflation. The picture that
undertook several regularisation operations. emerges on the impact of importing foreign
The biggest was in 1998 when the Greek govern- labour on the receiving country’s economy and
ment received 371,000 applications, of which 65 labour market is certainly not simple or clear cut.
per cent were submitted by Albanian nationals. Though the overall benefits of admitting foreign
But it is still the USA which is the single most labour may well outweigh its economic and social
outstanding example of a huge number of illegals costs, these benefits and burdens are not shared
residing and working in the country. The US equally or felt the same way across various groups
Census Bureau estimated that approximately 8.5 in society. Some groups encounter and enjoy
million people were living clandestinely in the only the fruits of upward mobility, low costs or
country in 2000. Although they are certainly not higher productivity, while others feel only the
all low-skilled workers, the actual stock of unreg- stronger competition for their jobs and declining
istered foreigners working in the service and agri- wages in their professions. These conflicting
cultural sectors far outweighs the number of interests make it certain that the debate on
documented low-skilled workers represented by labour immigration is not likely to be settled in
H-2A or B visa issue figures. In the future, given the near or medium term.
the ageing population in OECD countries (see
the next section) and the low-paid conditions in
certain sectors, the need for cheap foreign labour Economic impact of international
is likely to rise further. This, in turn, invokes the
necessity for OECD countries to adjust their migration: outflow of labour
recruitment policies for foreign low-skilled work- To get a full picture of the economic impact of
ers to the needs of their economies and societies. international labour migration, the effects of
Economic impact of international migration 309
labour emigration on the source country need Table 7.7 Top 10 country sources of remittance
to be considered as well. The outflow of labour payments, 2001
causes negative and positive effects and the bal-
ance between them largely depends on the size Country $ Country $
and type of labour outflow. Billion Billion
Emigrant workers can be turned into
extremely valuable assets for their home coun- United States 28.4 France 3.9
tries when they send money back home. Saudi Arabia 15.1 Luxembourg 3.1
According to the World Bank, in 2002 a total of
$80 billion of worker remittances were sent from Germany 8.2 Israel 3.0
developed countries to developing countries, Belgium 8.1 Italy 2.6
which was an 11 per cent growth on the previous
year (Ratha, 2004, p. 160). However, this sum Switzerland 8.1 Japan 2.3
captured only those remittance flows transmitted
Source: Ratha, 2004, © The International Bank for
through official banking channels or transmis-
Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank
sion firms. Given that the average cost of wire
transfer or money order may easily reach 20 per
cent of the remitted sum, if the monies are sent many developing countries because they expand
to Central and South America for example, there the recipient countries’ foreign exchange
is a large share of remittance payments that goes reserves. Not only are they more stable than
through informal channels, such as mail and private capital flows, but they are sizable sums as
individually carried funds or in the form of food, well. In 2001, for example, remittances to the
clothing and medical supplies or gifts.2 less developed world reached an average level
Therefore a more realistic estimate of the total that surpassed official development assistance
remittance payments in the world suggests that it given to these countries and equalled 42 per
reached $100 billion in 2001 (Ratha, 2004, 172). cent of total foreign direct investment flows
Table 7.7 reveals the top ten remittance pouring into their economies (Ratha, 2004,
source countries. Not surprisingly, the USA is p. 164). Table 7.9 illustrates the importance of
the most important source country because of
the large numbers of Latin American workers. Table 7.8 Top 20 developing country recipients of
The Inter-American Development Bank’s workers’ remittances, 2001
Multilateral Investment Fund estimates that
around 10 million of the 16.7 million Latin- Country $ Country $
American-born adults living in the USA send Billion Billion
remittances back to their families at home on a
regular basis (IDB, 2004). It estimated that in India 10.0 El Salvador 1.9
2004 the sum would be $30 billion. Table 7.8 Mexico 9.9 Colombia 1.8
shows the sums remitted via official banking
channels to the top 20 developing countries. Philippines 6.4 Yemen Republic 1.5
As private capital inflows to developing Morocco 3.3 Pakistan 1.5
nations have declined due to an economic
downturn in industrialised countries, foreign Egypt 2.9 Brazil 1.5
direct investments have also dried up. Thus Turkey 2.8 Ecuador 1.4
workers’ remittances are becoming an increas-
ingly important source of external funding for Lebanon 2.3 Federal Republic
of Yugoslavia 1.4
2 The use of informal channels is caused not only by the
widespread use of hidden charges, long delays in cheque
Bangladesh 2.1 Thailand 1.3
clearance or exchange losses, but also by the fact that many of
Jordan 2.0 China 1.2
the remitted monies are sent to low class recipients by
clandestine labour neither of whom have bank accounts. To Dominican Sri Lanka 1.1
remedy the latter problem, at least partly, the Mexican
consulates in the US issue simple identity cards to any legal or
Republic 2.0
illegal Mexicans living in the US. These ID card are being
increasingly accepted in the country as a proof of identity by Source: Ratha, 2004, © The International Bank for
major banks when opening a bank account. Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank
310 Economic impact of international migration
remittances to some of the developing countries is not necessarily beneficial. The phenomenon
by displaying the rate of remittances compared of ‘brain drain’ is the most commonly men-
with the country’s GDP. tioned argument against labour outflow. The
Research on remittances shows that they tend impact of the emigration of skilled labour
to generate a positive multiplier effect on the depends on the specific labour market circum-
receiving country’s economy. One part of them stances of the sending country.
is typically spent on housing, food and clothing. On the one hand, the international mobility
The other part is reinvested in property and real of Filipino nurses or Indian IT professionals is
estate or in local small enterprises. In many widely regarded as favourable to the economic
development of the countries concerned
Table 7.9 Top 20 developing country recipients of because it tends to translate into financial remit-
workers’ remittances as per centage of their GDP, tances to the Philippines and India. Moreover,
2001 the skills these workers acquire during their edu-
cational training might be unmatched by local
Country % of Country % of labour market demands, which makes their emi-
GDP GDP gration all the more beneficial for the local com-
munity. On the other hand, the case of South
Tonga 37.3 Jamaica 13.5 African health professionals’ emigration (gen-
Lesotho 26.5 Federal Republic eral practitioners, specialists and nurses) to
of Yugoslavia 12.8 English-speaking OECD countries is a counter
example. In 2001 alone, 23,407 registered
Jordan 22.8 Morocco 9.7 health professionals (10 per cent of the total)
Albania 17.0 Dominican left the country. Their outflow proves to be an
Republic 9.3 important factor in preventing the country’s
health system from performing better (SOPEMI,
Nicaragua 16.2 Vanuatu 8.9 2004, Part III). The problem of the chronically
Yemen Republic 16.1 Philippines 8.9 understaffed health sector has propelled the
South African government to introduce changes
Moldova 15.0 Honduras 8.5 in the curriculum of health training to make it
Lebanon 13.8 Uganda 8.5 more South Africa specific and less easily trans-
ferable into another setting, to prescribe one-
El Salvador 13.8 Ecuador 7.9 year compulsory community service for medical
Cape Verde 13.6 Sri Lanka 7.0 school graduates, to improve the working condi-
tions of physicians and nurses and to cooperate
Source: Ratha, 2004, © The International Bank for with foreign recruiting agencies to end their
Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank activities in the country.
The emigration of labour, just like the immi-
gration of labour, is a complex, multifaceted
countries, remittance revenues tend to offset the issue. Both require particular attention from
costs resulting from the loss of human capital policymakers to make careful assessments and to
and lost tax revenues. The case of India illus- analyse them in order to turn both the inflow
trates this point. It is estimated that the fiscal loss and the outflow of workers into benefits for both
related to Indian labour outflow to the USA rep- the sending and the host states.
resented 0.24–0.58 per cent of the Indian GDP Emigrant populations usually maintain vary-
in 2001, whereas remittances reached 2.1 per ing degrees of emotional, social and cultural
cent of the GDP the same year (Ratha, 2004, p. links with their countries of origin, while also
164). Or every remitted dollar sent to Mexico owing allegiance to the country where they have
translates into a $2.69–3.17 increase of the settled. The policy of organising diaspora, con-
Mexican GNP (Ratha, 2004, p. 164). sisting of fellow nationals within the destination
While the emigration of unskilled workers country, is usually an additional effort emigra-
proves to be almost always a net gain for the tion countries carry out with the intention of
developing country because the costs associated encouraging their expatriates to participate in
with both unemployment and human education the economic development of their former
can be saved, the outflow of highly skilled labour home. Some origin countries have long recog-
Demographic impact of international migration 311
be declining in the majority of OECD countries, Table 7.10 Net migration (for 1000 inhabitants):
but the actual numbers of people admitted annual average
under this category are not decreasing.
Moreover, in the medium term, the recently 1991–1995 1996–2000 2001
increased labour inflow is expected to give rise
to additional or secondary family-related migra- Canada 6.2 5.2 6.7
tion in the near future. Given the magnitude of Australia 4.0 5.0 5.7
family-related inflows, it is worth examining it in
the context of the population demographics of United States 3.5 3.0 3.1
industrialised countries. European
Examination of the OECD countries with Economic
demographic considerations in mind reveals Area 2.7 1.9 3.0
alarming trends. According to UN projections,
both the EU and Japanese populations are Japan –0.11 0.1 0.3
expected to fall by 15 per cent by 2050 and by 50
Source: Trends in International Migration: SOPEMI,
per cent by 2150, while the natural population
2004 edition, © OECD 2005
increase of the USA will be accompanied by a
rise in the dependency ratio (SOPEMI, 2004, p.
49). In most non-settlement OECD states native settlement countries. In Australia, Canada, New
women’s fertility rate is below the replacement Zealand and the USA (see Table 7.10), although
level (2.1 births from one woman). Large positive net migration rates contribute to the
influxes of foreigners are needed to balance growth of their population, it is the higher natu-
shrinking native populations and prevent the ral fertility rates of residents which mainly
decline of the resident population. account for their population growth rates being
Unfortunately, population decrease goes hand consistently higher than those in the EU.
in hand with population ageing. Together, the However, demographers and policymakers
two demographic characteristics of developed have to bear in mind that it might be problem-
countries create a double demand for immi- atic to counterbalance the negative effects of a
grant labour and immigrant residents in order shrinking and ageing population with increased
to keep the workers–pensioners balance from immigration. First of all, it would require unre-
deteriorating. The inflow of foreigners con- alistic increases in foreign inflows. Second, it
tributes in two ways to maintaining population seems to be impossible to control immigration
growth. It is not only the positive net migration and emigration by age. Third, there is an appar-
rate of a country that immediately expands the ent tendency for the fertility of immigrant
population and labour force, but the higher fer- women to fall the longer they reside in the
tility rate of foreign women also contributes to receiving country and thus converge with that of
the natural increase of a national population. native women. And finally, it needs to be consid-
Thus, it is only sizable inflows of foreigners that ered that the foreign population also ages and
can offset the negative consequences of the tends to live as long as natives, which may fur-
decreasing and ageing populations of modern ther worsen the dependency ratio in the future.
industrialised countries.
In Europe, the size of the resident population
would have fallen in Germany since 1986, in
Social and cultural impact of
Italy since 1993, in Sweden since 1997 without international migration: asylum
the inflow of new immigrants (SOPEMI, 2004, p.
46). In Germany, 10 per cent of babies are born seekers
to immigrant parents. In fact, the only two The UNHCR was established to help and protect
exceptions are France and Ireland. Both have all uprooted people. It is mandated to lead
higher population growing rates than net immi- and coordinate international action to assist
gration rates. In other words, in France and refugees, asylum seekers and internally dis-
Ireland, natural population increase is due to placed persons fleeing their homes because of
positive net immigration inflows to a lesser violent conflict. They are protected by interna-
extent and to the higher fertility rates of native tional law and they have a right to find safe
women to a greater extent. The case is similar in refuge. They are also eligible to receive interna-
Social and cultural impact of international migration 313
tional aid, to return home or be resettled in repatriation. As Tables 7.13 and 7.14 show, more
another country and to rebuild their lives. The than 60 per cent of the refugee population is
agency tries to safeguard their rights and ensure hosted in Africa or in the Middle East, North
their well-being. Africa and central and south Asia. More specifi-
As Tables 7.11 and 7.12 show, the number of cally, it is Pakistan and Iran which host the
people under UNHCR care is significant. They largest number of displaced persons, most of
tend to concentrate in the war-torn parts of the them being Afghans. In fact, among the top ten
world (Asia and Africa) and in Europe, which on main refugee-receiving countries, seven are
the one hand provides safe shelter for many developing states and only three are developed
asylum seekers and on the other has its own nations. This confirms that the vast majority of
civil conflicts on its south-east border. refugees find rescue in neighbouring states – in
To limit the discussion to refugees only, by the the first safe haven closest to home. They prefer
end of 2003 UNHCR registered approximately to return as soon as circumstances permit them
9.7 million refugees. About half of them receive to do so, generally when conflicts end and sta-
bility is restored. Only a small fraction of the
Table 7.11 Persons of concern to UNHCR in refugees actually find their way to industrialised
thousands countries or choose to be repatriated in another
country.
2001 2002 2003
Table 7.13 Refugee population (in thousands) by
Refugees 12,050 10,400 9670 region 2002–2003
Asylum seekers 940 1 010 995
Region 2002 2003
Returned and
resettled Africa 3088 2863
refugees 420 2450 1130
Middle East, North Africa,
Internally displaced South West Asia and
persons, stateless Central Asia 3363 2915
and war-affected
Europe 2594 2453
population 6330 6700 5300
Asia and Pacific 902 816
Total 19,800 20,600 17,100
Americas 656 623
Source: UNHCR, 2003
Total 10,604 9671
Table 7.12 Persons of concern to the UNHCR
hosted by regions Source: UNHCR, 2004b 2
Table 7.14 Top ten refugee hosting and sending Table 7.15 Asylum seekers in OECD countries:
countries (in thousands) 2002–2003 annual average in thousands
Table 7.16 Inflows of asylum seekers into selected OECD countries (in thousands)
Country 1990 1991 1992 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2002 2003
Australia 3.8 17.0 4.1 4.9 7.8 11.1 8.4 13.1 5.7 4.3
Austria 22.8 27.3 16.2 4.7 5.9 6.7 20.1 30.1 37.1 32.3
Belgium 13.0 15.4 17.6 26.4 11.6 11.8 35.8 24.5 18.8 16.9
Canada 36.7 32.3 37.7 21.1 25.0 23.9 30.0 41.6 33.4 31.8
Czech Rep. 1.8 2.0 0.9 2.2 1.4 2.1 7.2 18.1 8.5 11.4
Denmark 5.3 4.6 13.9 16.5 10.1 5.6 7.1 10.3 6.1 4.5
France 54.8 47.4 28.9 27.6 20.4 21.4 30.9 47.3 51.1 51.4
Germany 193.1 256.1 438.2 322.6 127.9 104.4 95.1 88.4 71.1 50.5
Greece 4.1 2.7 2.0 0.8 1.4 4.4 1.5 5.5 5.7 8.1
Hungary 0.7 0.6 1.1 11.5 9.6 6.4 2.4
Ireland 0.1 0.1 0.4 3.9 7.7 10.3 11.6 7.9
Italy 4.7 31.7 2.6 1.3 1.7 19 33.4 13.3 7.3 na
Japan 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3
Netherlands 21.2 21.6 20.3 35.4 29.3 34.4 42.7 32.6 18.7 13.4
New Zealand 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.0 0.8
Norway 12.9 1.5 2.3 10.2 14.8 17.5 15.9
Poland 0.8 0.8 3.5 3.1 4.5 5.2 6.9
Portugal 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Slovak Rep. 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 8.2 9.7 10.3
Spain 8.6 8.1 11.7 12.6 5.7 5.0 8.4 9.5 6.2 5.7
Sweden 29.4 27.4 84.0 37.6 9.0 9.6 11.2 23.5 33.0 31.3
Switzerland 35.8 41.6 18.0 24.7 17.0 24.0 46.1 20.6 26.2 21.0
UK 38.2 73.4 32.3 28.0 55.0 41.0 91.2 92.0 110.7 61.6
US 73.6 56.3 104.0 144.2 154.5 95.9 42.2 63.2 63.4 60.7
1. Includes the 15 EU member states and Norway and Switzerland, but excludes Lichtenstein and Iceland.
2. Includes Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia.
3.Bulgaria, Finland, Luxembourg, Romania, Turkey and the above countries only.
Source: SOPEMI, 2000, p. 305 and SOPEMI, 2004, p. 19
cal institutions, national identity or traditional considerable ground since the mid-1990s. From
culture and values are being threatened. In addi- the electoral success of Jörg Haider in Austria to
tion, increasing numbers of people believe that Jean-Marie Le Pen’s second place during the last
the majority of asylum claimants are not genuine presidential race in France, the emergence of
refugees but are economic migrants, illegal extreme-right anti-immigrant political parties
workers, criminals or terrorists, who abuse the has become widespread in many EU countries.
welfare system and pose a threat to the host The challenge of integrating foreigners cre-
country’s social stability and national security. ates a complex task for mainstream Western
The xenophobic backlash in politics has gained European governments and has prompted them
316 Social and cultural impact of international migration
Table 7.17 Origin and size (in thousands) of asylum applicants in OECD countries1 2002–2003
to take threefold policy measures. First, they try Nobody foresaw that 50 years later there would
to find ways to bring immigrants into the work- be asylum applications from tens of thousands of
force and lower their above-average unemploy- people, who would turn up claiming persecution
ment. Second, they seek to ease the clashes of in their countries of origin or fleeing from civil
cultures and values by opening dialogues among conflict and poverty, having destroyed their
different social and racial groups in order to identities in many cases and having been smug-
break down barriers, to isolate far-right parties gled in by traffickers for large sums of monies.
and to pursue secular public policies against seg- These have overwhelmed and paralysed asylum
regation. Third, they have tightened border con- procedures in destination countries. Although
trols, expanded the number of countries subject experts agree that the current international
to visa requirements, harmonised their asylum asylum system is in crisis, how to remedy the
policies to avoid ‘asylum shopping’ and started situation remains in sharp dispute.
to crack down and deport illegal migrants. They
have also rejected asylum applicants in order to
regain control over immigration inflows. Conclusion
Despite these efforts social anxieties about Since immigration is the most effective way to
refugees have not disappeared and neither have ease labour shortages, relieve other demographic
governments been able to disentangle humani- problems and encourage economic growth, it is
tarian concerns for refugees from finding the highly unlikely that forward-looking industri-
best way of implementing tough immigration alised countries will decrease the number of
controls. The latest ideas concerning the treat- admissions in the long run. It seems obvious that
ment of refugees, emerging in wealthy industri- a long-term immigration policy needs to be
alised countries, range from the administrative much better controlled and needs to be able to
separation of certain islands for immigration respond to multiple challenges in various
purposes, as Australia intended to do, to the set- domains of public policy. So far it is still unclear
ting up of special asylum camps at the outer how to target effectively the economic and demo-
perimeter of the EU to host applicants while graphic needs of the host country while address-
they wait for the processing of their claims (The ing successfully the socio-cultural concerns of the
Economist, 2003a, 2003b) and most recently general public as well. Ideally, immigration poli-
(2004) creating immigrant holding centres in cies will come to be a result of cooperation
North Africa. between the sending and the receiving countries.
The Geneva Refugee Convention, which is the To date, no country claims to be able to come
basis of the international asylum system, was up with even one comfortable solution to the
drafted shortly after the Second World War, increasingly complex problem of migration, a
when the memories of the shameful treatment solution which will be capable of smoothing out
of refugees from Nazi Germany were still fresh. all the conflicting interests attached to the inflow
Conclusion 317
and outflow of people. In practice, labour- World Migration Report, Geneva: International
importing countries follow selective immigration Organisation of Migration.
policies. On the one hand they tend to allow the
entry of highly skilled and specialised labour and Ratha, Dilip (2004) ‘Workers’ Remittances:
abide by family reunification rules as one of the An Important and Stable Source of Ex-
basic human rights. On the other, they try to ternal Development Finance’ in Global
keep their borders shut against the influx of Development Finance. Striving for Stability in
unskilled labour or people from poor countries Development Finance: Annual Report 2003,
and crack down on traffickers in humans. Washington, DC: The World Bank, Chapter 7,
Besides this kind of ‘fine tuning’ of the per- pp.157–175, www.worldbank.org/prospects/
meability of their borders, they also tend to focus gdf2003 – accessed 20 September 2004.
on the legalisation of clandestine labour in order SOPEMI (2000) Trends in International Migration,
to transform these workers into tax-paying resi- Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
dents eligible for certain welfare benefits and Development (OECD), Continuing Reporting
carry out proactive assimilation policies by offer- System on Migration (SOPEMI), Paris.
ing language courses and subsidised retraining
programmes. In many cases the integration of –– (2004) Trends in International Migration,
foreigners into the majority society has been OECD, SOPEMI. Paris.
unproblematic and has contributed to the cul-
tural diversity of the receiving country, but in The Economist (2003a) ‘A Strange Sort of
other cases, some of the cultural, social and racial Sanctuary’, vol. 366, Issue 8315, p. 50.
issues have been exploited in election cam- –– (2003b) ‘Unwanted: Australia,’ vol. 369, Issue
paigns. It is also very important that the receiving 8351, p. 75.
country cooperates with the sending country on
managing human flows. Special programmes UNHCR (2003) Refugees by Numbers: 2003 Edition,
could be set up to reduce the incentives to leave Geneva: Media Relations and Public Service,
by improving economic, political and human United Nations High Commissioner for
rights conditions in the origin countries. Refugees.
Although many small steps have been taken to
administer the flows of people to the satisfaction UNHCR (2004a) Asylum Levels and Trends: Europe
of both the host and the sending countries, an and Non-European Industrialised Countries, 2003.
all-encompassing good solution to international Geneva: Population Data Unit, Division of
migration seems very far away. Operational Support, United Nations High
Commissioner for Refugees. www.unhcr.ch/
cgi-bin/texis/vtx/home/opendoc.pdf?tbl=
STATITSTICS&id=403b1d7e4&page=statistics –
Further Reading accessed 20 September 2004.
Browne, Anthony (2003) ‘Cost of the Migration
UNHCR (2004b) Global Refugee Trends: Overview
Revolution’, The Times, 1 March, p. 52.
of Refugee Population, New Arrivals, Durable
Ellerman, David (2003) ‘Policy Research on Solutions, Asylum Seekers and Other Persons of
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http://www.unhcr.ch/cgi-bin/texis/vtx/home/
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318
evidence for huge gains from free market poli- mind that the benefits of trade in terms of
cies is, at best, fuzzy’ (Krugman, 1995, p. 32). improving domestic welfare are not an auto-
Indeed, Krugman challenged the notion that matic consequence of ‘free trade’. A fair ques-
free trade necessarily leads to growth. He sug- tion to be asked is, then, if trade agreements that
gested that the ‘widespread belief that moving to allow for the intensification of commercial rela-
free trade and free markets will produce a dra- tions are not necessarily welfare improving for
matic acceleration in a developing country’s countries which abide by them, what makes for
growth represents a leap of faith, rather than a cooperation on this front?
conclusion based on hard evidence’ (Krugman, Although a detailed analysis of the issue is
1995, p. 33). beyond the scope of this chapter, it seems of
Empirical studies began to confirm this idea. interest to point to the work of Gruber on the
Many studies linking trade reform to long-run ‘shifting status quo’ dilemma. As this scholar
growth turned out to be surprisingly fragile. In suggests, the fact that ‘membership in a cooper-
developing countries, evidence was found of ative arrangement is voluntary does not mean
only a small impact of trade reform on employ- that that arrangement necessarily works to every-
ment. In fact, most countries suffered recession one’s advantage’ (Gruber, 2000, p. xiii). Even
after structural adjustment, which led to though some countries may not become better
increased unemployment. In Mexico, for exam- off from cooperating in international arrange-
ple, inequality rose after the market reform, a ments, they will voluntarily try to engage in them
truly puzzling outcome considering that Mexico because they will certainly be worse off should
has a comparative advantage in producing low they not. According to this logic, Mexico’s
skill-intensive goods. engagement with NAFTA was not prompted by
Recently, an even more striking finding has unequivocal evidence of the gains to be enjoyed
been revealed. A newly released report pub- from the deal but the acknowledgement that
lished by the Carnegie Endowment for Mexico would be worse off if the USA main-
International Peace concludes that NAFTA has tained preferential commercial relations with
not helped the Mexican economy keep pace Canada alone under the US-Canada Free Trade
with the growing demand on jobs. Furthermore, Agreement of 1989 (Gruber, 2000).
‘unprecedented productivity, and a surge in However, it is important to emphasise that
both portfolio and foreign direct investment even though the evidence that trade openness is
have led to an increase of 50,000 jobs in manu- translated into reduced inequality is unimpres-
facturing from 1994 to 2002’. However, ‘the agri- sive, it is hard to believe that economies that had
cultural sector, where almost a fifth of Mexicans maintained their strict trade restrictions would
still work, has lost 1.3 million jobs since 1994’ have fared better in fostering employment,
(Audley et al., 2003, p. 5). attracting investments and enhancing domestic
As for real wages, most Mexicans saw them welfare. History tells us that such chances would
shrink from the levels in the period that pre- have been slim, if they existed at all.
ceded NAFTA. Hence, productivity growth was
not translated into wage gains. And although
economic theory would have predicted a con- The institutional framework of
verging trend between Mexican and US wages,
that is not empirically proven in this case. The global trade
report thus shows that ‘while NAFTA’s overall At the institutional level, global trade has relied
impact may be muddled, for Mexico’s rural on a framework for the governance of commer-
households the picture is clear – and bleak’. cial interactions that was built from the General
NAFTA was the basis for the liberalisation of the Agreement on Tariffs and Trade – a product of
Mexican economy, yet it failed to ‘create the the 1946 Bretton Woods meetings and created as
conditions that would have allowed public and the organisation overseeing the multilateral
private sectors to adapt to the great challenge of trading system. The agreement was designed to
becoming a preferential trade partner of “two of provide an international forum that encouraged
the largest economies in the world”’ (Audley et free trade between member states by regulating
al., 2003, p. 5). and reducing tariffs on traded goods and by pro-
Hence, despite the euphoria surrounding viding a common mechanism for resolving trade
trade liberalisation, it is important to keep in disputes.
322 The institutional framework of global trade
Table 8.1 WTO’s 148 members (as of January 2005) with dates of membership
(continued)
The institutional framework of global trade 323
(continued)
324 The institutional framework of global trade
Source: www.wto.org
Source: www.wto.org
The steel dispute: trade theory, policy and reality 325
Table 8.3 From the Uruguay Round to the WTO – key dates
Source: www.wto.org
of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPs). Since all as cars, steel and semiconductors, as was the case
these agreements function under the WTO in several Japan–USA negotiations.
umbrella, they are subject to the same, consoli- The WTO Safeguards Agreement broke new
dated dispute settlement. ground in prohibiting such ‘grey area’ measures
With this essential reform, the WTO remedied (as they are called) and setting a time limit
flaws in its predecessor. With the new dispute set- (‘sunset clause’) on all safeguard actions. That
tlement, long delays in starting and completing means that although the system allows for pro-
panel proceedings are avoided, the ability of dis- tectionist measures in extreme cases, these have
putants to block the consensus needed to to be well justified, short term and – from the
approve panel findings and authorise retaliation point of view of the tariff-imposing country –
is constrained, and the difficulty in securing com- politically worth the economic troubles that
pliance with panel ruling is reduced. Indeed, retaliatory action may induce. These issues are
‘WTO procedures now operate under strict time clear in the case of the now abandoned 2003 US
limits; countries cannot veto judgments against tariffs on steel, for example.
them; panel findings are subject to review by a
new Appellate Body; and procedures are in place
to promote timely compliance, to monitor com- The steel dispute: trade theory,
pliance actions, and to allow retaliation in the
event of non-compliance’ (Schott, 1996, p. 4). policy and reality
Since its inception, the WTO’s dispute settle- In the case of the steel dispute, the 30 per cent tar-
ment mechanism has been greatly used, allow- iff increase imposed by the US government on
ing for trade disputes to be monitored under a imported steel sparked a wave of muscular retalia-
homogenising legal framework that is at the tion on the part of US trade partners all over the
heart of today’s global trading system. When it globe. The tariffs were imposed by the Bush
comes to the issue of trade safeguards men- administration in March 2002. On 2 December
tioned briefly above, these measures for the tem- 2003, the European Union drew up a list of US
porary protection of a particular domestic exports worth $2.2 billion annually for potential
industry suffering substantial losses from com- countermeasures designed to maximise ‘the polit-
peting imports were always available under the ical pain’ for the US government (clearly seeking
GATT (Article XIX), albeit infrequently used. re-election in 2004). Also, Japan notified the WTO
Governments preferred to protect their indus- in late November about a list of ‘rebalancing’ tar-
tries through measures such as ‘voluntary’ iffs of up to 30 per cent it would be willing to
export restraint arrangements on products such impose on US products – not only steel products
326 The steel dispute: trade theory, policy and reality
but also plastics and coal. At the same time, restrictions. In a time of globalisation, fresh
Norway announced that it would join the EU in opportunities are available for investments
imposing sanctions and that ‘30 per cent would be which also acquire new forms, especially in
levied on US goods ranging from iron and steel sophisticated financial markets where the num-
products to clothes, wine, apples, and hunting and ber of financial instruments has diversified con-
target shooting rifles’. More mildly, China joined siderably in the last 20 years. In this section,
the chorus, as did Brazil, South Korea and New investment is deconstructed and defined in its
Zealand (Financial Times, 28 November 2003). several forms. Then, changes in cycles of foreign
These pressures produced a significant reac- direct and portfolio investments are described
tion. On 4 December 2003, the US trade repre- and their repercussions mentioned, especially
sentative announced that the government was when it comes to developing countries whose
dropping its tariffs on steel. Arguing that the reliance on foreign (mostly private) capital grew
measure had generated the intended results in considerably in the 1990s, hence increasing
reinvigorating the steel industry, the US govern- their exposure to external, recurrent crises, as
ment decided to prevent major retaliation from discussed in Part C, Chapter 3.
abroad which might have produced economi- Foreign investment can be of a number of
cally detrimental results that would (in time) types, from investment that implies a long-term
have impacted on the government’s electoral relationship with the host country (such as in the
ambitions. case of the acquisition of a domestic company by
The example of the steel tariffs – one among a foreign firm) to investment that is short term
many of the kind – reveals interesting insights. It and highly volatile, as in the case of the purchase
shows clearly that economic and political incen- of bonds of sovereign debt from a developing or
tives are often running on different tracks and developed country by a foreign investor who will
that trade policy unequivocally challenges poli- sell the instrument when its returns start to
cymakers to position themselves on a tenuous decrease or when there is an expectation that
line. On one side lie domestic, mostly electoral, such a fall will happen. The following box
interests and on the other economic and, in this describes the types of foreign investment most
case, international diplomatic coherence. commonly referred to in the literature of global
Although it is clear that trade is anything but politics and political economy.
truly free today, the existence of a framework Table 8.4 shows net private capital flows to
that allows for dispute settlements – the moni- emerging markets in the turbulent period from
toring and eventual punishment of violations to 1997 to 2000, which was plagued by the Asian
homogenising rules, applying to all members of crisis of 1997 and the Russian crisis of 1998.
the WTO – enables some checks and balances to Table 8.4 also gives us a clear idea about how
curtail ‘raw short-sighted politics’ from under- devastating the late 1990s’ crises were for devel-
mining crucial international order in economic oping countries in terms of severe drops in cap-
affairs (Krugman, 2002). ital inflows – a piece of evidence which adds
much to the picture described in the section on
the global financial crisis. There was a sharp
Investment in the global economy decrease in bank loans to emerging markets,
Booms and busts in the world economy are fol- especially in comparison to recuperating portfo-
lowed by cycles of increased lending or credit lio investment inflows and consistent level of FDI
Table 8.4 Net private capital flows to emerging markets, 1997–2000 (in billion US dollars)
■ Equity capital is the foreign direct investor’s purchase of shares of an enterprise in a country other than its
own.
■ Reinvested earnings comprise the direct investor’s share (in proportion to direct equity participation) of
earnings not distributed as dividends by affiliates or earnings not remitted to the direct investor. Such
retained profits by affiliates are reinvested.
■ Intra-company loans or intra-company debt transactions refer to short- or long-term borrowing and
lending of funds between direct investors (parent enterprises) and affiliate enterprises.
FDI stock is the value of the share of their capital and reserves (including retained profits) attributable to
the parent enterprise, plus the net indebtedness of affiliates to the parent enterprise.
Portfolio investment (PI)
PI is the supply of capital from a lender (for example, a bank) to a borrower (for example, a manufacturing
company or railway company) in an agreement which requires borrowers to pay back the ‘loan’ plus interest
(the rate of return to the lender) over a number of years.
Source: UNCTAD, http://r0.unctad.org/en/subsites/dite/
fdistats_files/sources_definitions.htm
inflows. Indeed, after the Latin American debt returns to capital decrease as more machinery is
crisis of the early 1980s, when many countries installed and new structures are built (…), in
defaulted or ‘quasi-defaulted’ on their debts to practice this is not always or even generally true’
creditors which were chiefly commercial banks, (Mishra, Mody and Murshid, 2001, p. 2).
credit to developing countries – when finally In fact, capital does not necessarily flow from
resumed in the late 1980s – came in the form of rich to poor countries more than it flows within
the purchase of bonds (by domestic and private rich countries since new investment is more pro-
investors) of sovereign debt. ductive in places with a skilled workforce and
Although there is no conclusive evidence indi- well-developed physical infrastructure (Lucas,
cating that capital flows promote economic 1990 – cited in Mishra et al., 2001). Hence,
growth, capital flows can enforce the growth increases in capital flows need to be analysed with
process in an economy. The liberalisation of cap- these ideas in mind, as liberalisation of flows does
ital flows – however restricted in some cases – not necessarily lead to their equal distribution. So
which took place in most of the world in the late far, capital liberalisation has been more evidently
1980s and 1990s followed the theoretical prem- linked to systemic financial crises than to sub-
ise that capital moved from countries where it is stantial economic benefits on a global scale.
abundant to countries where it is limited, since Since different dynamics determine flows of
the returns on new investment opportunities are foreign direct investment and portfolio invest-
higher where capital is more scarce. Although ment, they are described separately in further
economic theory would go on to assert that ‘the detail below.
328 Foreign direct investment (FDI)
Foreign direct investment (FDI) was in services, with about two-thirds of this in
finance and trade-related activities. By 1999,
Significant changes in FDI are intimately linked over 60 per cent of the $4.1 trillion stock of FDI
to periods of boom and bust in the world econ- was in services (Sassen, 2001, p. 37).
omy. Table 8.5 shows the correlation between
significant FDI inflows downturn and the corre-
sponding world recessionary business cycle. Mergers and acquisitions
In the 1980s, FDI became ever more oriented Moreover, an especially important pattern in
to developed countries. Although up to 1979 the FDI flows in the late 1990s was the growth in
USA was the leading exporter of FDI, by 1981 it cross-border mergers and acquisitions, which
had become the leading recipient and had been now play a predominant role in foreign invest-
replaced by the UK as the leading exporter of ment totals. Table 8.6 shows that in the two years
this type of investment. from 1995 to 1997, M&A deals with values above
In fact, FDI stock in the USA increased from $1 billion almost doubled from 36 to 64. In 2000
$83 billion in 1980 to $328 billion in 1988. This this number peaked to 175 deals, only to fall in
trend further increased in 1997 when FDI stock 2001 by 48 per cent, and it decreased further –
in the USA reached a peak of $1.8 trillion, with by 38 per cent – in 2002. However, this down-
the EU and Japan as top investors. Indeed, Japan
became a leading exporter of FDI by 1985 with a Why do mergers and acquisitions take place?
gross outflow of $12.2 billion, which tripled to
According to the economic theory of asset pricing,
reach the $33 billion registered in 1987.
Moreover, during the 1990s two predominant the price of a share is supposed to be the same as
trends were noticed regarding FDIs – namely, the present value of future cash flows. This is to say,
the predominance of investment in the service if a potential owner of a firm sees the future cash
sector and the proliferation of mergers and flows of that firm or the rate at which those flows
acquisitions (M&As) by multinational firms. can be discounted as higher than the present own-
The composition of FDI flows has changed ers, and then makes an offer above the net present
over time. From the 1950s FDI from developed value the current owners would obtain if they kept
to developing countries was largely concentrated ownership, a merger or acquisition takes place.
in raw materials, other primary products and
Hence, ownership changes happen ‘when the new
resource-based manufacturing. Since the 1980s,
owners of a firm feel they can extract larger net
however, FDI in technology-intensive manufac-
turing and especially in services has become the present value than the current ones can’.
fastest-growing component of overall FDI flows, The difference is due to ‘superior technology,
or about 40 per cent of the world’s total FDI management systems or market access that can
stock of $700 billion, compared with about 25 make one owner capable of extracting more value
per cent in the early 1970s and less than 20 per out of a firm than its current owner extracts’
cent in the early 1950s. This trend only intensi- (Hausmann, 2000, p. 20).
fied in the 1990s, when more than half of all FDI
Table 8.5 The four major downturns in FDI inflows since 1970 and their correlation to bust periods in
the world economy
Table 8.6 Cross-border M&As with values of over the 1990s FDI flows to developing countries rose
$1 billion, 1987–2002 sharply and now account for 34 per cent of the
total net inflow (compared with 9 per cent in the
Year # of % of Value % of latter half of the 1970s and 18 per cent in the
deals total (US$ billion) total 1980s). Factors behind this expansion include the
acquisition of privatised assets, especially in Latin
1987 14 1.6 30.0 40.3 America in the early 1990s, the growth of the
1988 22 1.5 49.6 42.9 newly industrialised economies of South-East Asia,
and the opening up of the Chinese economy.
1989 26 1.2 59.5 42.4 Indeed, China accounted for about one-third of
1990 33 1.3 60.9 40.4 all FDI in developing countries in the 1990s and
about two-thirds of the total going to East Asia.
1991 7 0.2 20.4 25.2 This reflects a more general pattern of highly con-
1992 10 0.4 21.3 26.8 centrated FDI flows in just a few countries.
Indeed, three-quarters of the inflows in the 1990s
1993 14 0.5 23.5 28.3 went to just ten emerging market economies;
1994 24 0.7 50.9 40.1 China, Brazil and Mexico together took nearly
half. Other developing regions – sub-Saharan
1995 36 0.8 80.4 43.1 Africa, South Asia, North Africa and the Middle
1996 43 0.9 94.0 41.4 East – have marginal shares in the total of FDI and
in the case of sub-Saharan Africa a sharply falling
1997 64 1.3 129.2 42.4 one. The 49 least developed countries remain
1998 86 1.5 329.7 62.0 marginal recipients of FDI, receiving only 2 per
cent of all FDI directed to developing countries or
1999 114 1.6 522.0 68.1 0.5 per cent of the global total (UNCTAD, 2002).
2000 175 2.2 866.2 75.7 Furthermore, Table 8.7 shows that the early
2000s were a time when FDI inflows registered
2001 113 1.9 378.1 63.7 negative growth rates, marking the most signifi-
2002 81 1.8 213.9 58.1 cant downturn in the last three decades.
According to the World Investment Report of
Source: World Investment Report, 2003 2003, such a downturn is a product of weak eco-
nomic growth, tumbling stock markets, which
ward trend seems to be finally over. Although contributed to a decrease in the previously vig-
still low at $297 billion in 2003, M&A increased orous trend of cross-border mergers and acqui-
3 per cent in the first six months of 2004 over sitions, and institutional factors such as the
the same period in 2003. concluding episodes of privatisation in many
In terms of its geographical distribution, during countries. In fact, mergers and acquisitions fell
by 48 per cent in 2001 and decreased further – However, after the debt crisis started in
by 38 per cent – in 2002. Inflows of FDI fell Mexico in 1982, capital inflows to developing
in developed countries by 22 per cent and in economies were severely constrained in some
developing ones by 23 per cent. cases and virtually disappeared in most. Latin
However, among developing countries, Africa American, Eastern European and African coun-
experienced a reduction in FDI growth of a sig- tries were powerfully affected. In the period
nificant 41 per cent, Latin America and the from 1983 to 1989, FDI was the only channel for
Caribbean experienced a reduction of 33 per net capital flows into countries in the Western
cent, while Asia and the Pacific saw little reduc- Hemisphere. FDI increased in other developing
tion thanks to the higher flows into China. It is countries as well, particularly in Asia, where the
interesting to note that Central and Eastern local economies continued to be attractive to the
Europe did not suffer such reduction in FDI international banks, especially to Japanese ones.
flows. On the contrary, the region saw FDI flows
increase by 15 per cent on average (even if some Capitalisation
reductions can be seen for different countries)
(UNCTAD, 2003). The market price of an entire company, calculated by
The downturn in FDI was uneven not only multiplying the number of shares outstanding by the
geographically but also sectorally. FDI flows fell price per share (from www.investorwords.com).
both to manufacturing and service sectors, but
increased to the primary sector. Finance, trans- The downturn in capital flows to developing
port, storage and communications were severely countries outside Asia was reversed only in
affected by the downturn, while in other indus- 1989–1990 as the industrialised countries shifted
tries (such as health and social services) FDI into recession, and particularly as US interest
flows remained unchanged or rose in the case of rates fell. By 1993, the aggregate net inflow to
mining and petroleum, for example. According developing countries was 2 per cent of world sav-
to UNCTAD estimates, the recent increases in ing, up from 0.8 per cent in 1990. In the late
M&As combined with higher economic growth 1980s, portfolio flows to Latin America averaged
in the main home and host countries, improved $3 billion annually; by 1993 they had increased
corporate profitability as well as higher stock val- to $56 billion (more than 17 times the amount
uations pointed to a recovery of overall FDI in in the 1980s), although they fell in 1994. In the
2004. Indeed, as a result of higher profits, rein- same period, portfolio flows to Asia grew from
vested earnings of multinational corporations, $1 billion in the late 1980s to $25 billion in 1993
one of the components of FDI, resumed growth (more than 20 times the amount in the 1980s),
in 2003 and reached a record high in that year. although they fell in 1994 but recovered soon
after. In addition, by 1994, stock market capitali-
sation in Chile, Hong Kong, Malaysia and
Portfolio investment (PI) Singapore was comparable to that of the United
Through the 1980s, the growing role of foreign States and the United Kingdom in relation to
portfolio investment as a channel for interna- GDP, while market capitalisation in relation to
tional capital flows to developing countries has GDP in Mexico and Korea was larger than in
been perhaps the most crucial event in interna- Germany and France.
tional financial markets. However, far from an
unprecedented development, this shift in chan-
nels or in volumes of capital to these countries Cross-border investments
has occurred before – notably in the 1970s when As the assets of institutional investors in devel-
commercial bank lending to middle-income oped countries doubled from 1980 to 1992 –
countries (especially in Latin America) soared. especially – their diversification strategies
Multilateral lending from US sources was also increasingly resulted in an expansion of cross-
significant where bank lending was not available border investments. Cross-border transactions in
in low-income Asian countries and in Africa. At bonds and equities among developed countries
the time, FDI flows were far more pronounced (excluding the UK) rose from 35 per cent of
than PI, which was confined to bond issues in GDP in 1985 to 140 per cent in 1995. As devel-
the Euromarkets by a few of the ‘more credit- oped and developing countries removed capital
worthy’ developing countries. controls, a shift in predominance from FDI to PI
The political economy of PI 331
flows became clear in some developing coun- Indeed, total bonds issues in emerging mar-
tries. These were now labelled as attractive kets increased from $13.9 billion in 1991 (0.3
investment sites, the ‘emerging markets’. As the per cent of developing country GNP) to $127.9
debt crisis of the 1980s was finally resolved via billion in 1997 (or 2 per cent of developing
the restructuring of defaulted debts into Brady country GNP). Even more impressively, total
bonds (or sovereign bond instruments to be emerging market debt instrument trading grew
traded in international financial markets), credit from $734 million in 1992 to $5.9 billion in
returned in high volumes to hitherto excluded 1997, before falling in 1998 and 1999 due to the
regions. Not only was credit from developed to Asian and Russian crises and their repercussions
developing countries now concentrated in throughout the world.
bonds and equities (PI) rather than traditional In fact, a slowdown in capital flows was regis-
bank loans from commercial banks, but the tered in the first years of the 2000s. The slow-
creditors in this market were largely a few insti- down in growth and collapse of technology
tutional investors (mutual, pension and hedge prices also reduced capital market flows by
funds, for example) which dominated a devel- decreasing the demand for speculative assets in
oping nation’s asset market, and coordinated general. Since about two-thirds of developing
their behaviour among themselves. country sovereign borrowers and a much larger
share of private borrowers are ‘speculative
grade’ (i.e. their likelihood to default on their
A mutual fund is an open-ended fund operated by debts is higher), this implied a general decline
an investment company which raises money from in flows to developing countries. Among other
shareholders and invests in a group of assets, in reasons, the reduced demand for speculative
accordance with a stated set of objectives. Mutual assets reflects increased uncertainty about eco-
funds raise money by selling shares of the fund to nomic prospects, which in turn tends to cause
the public, much like any other type of company risk-averse investors to reduce the share of high-
can sell stock in itself to the public. Mutual funds risk assets in their portfolios. The collapse of
then take the money they receive from the sale of technology stocks and the industrial countries’
plunge from 3.4 per cent growth in 2000 to 1 per
their shares (along with any money made from pre-
cent in 2001 may have increased the range of
vious investments) and use it to purchase various
outcomes that investors feel they should
investment vehicles, such as stocks, bonds and consider.
money market instruments. Mutual funds offer However, a brighter picture can now be seen
choice and liquidity but charge fees and often as PI reached an 11-year high of almost $36 bil-
require a minimum investment. lion in 2004, with emerging Asian countries con-
A hedge fund is a fund, usually used by wealthy tinuing to attract the bulk of these flows (about
individuals and institutions, which is allowed to use 90 per cent) and Latin American economies
aggressive strategies that are unavailable to mutual experiencing net outflows.
funds, including selling short, leverage, pro-
gramme trading, swaps, arbitrage and derivatives. The political economy of PI
Hedge funds are exempt from many of the rules
What is the political economy of portfolio invest-
and regulations governing other mutual funds, ments? Or, in other words, what are the political
which allows them to accomplish aggressive consequences of the increase reliance on port-
investing goals. They are restricted by law to no folio investment on the part of developing coun-
more than 100 investors per fund and as a result tries especially? Reliance on portfolio inflows
most hedge funds set extremely high minimum compromises policy autonomy in these coun-
investment amounts, ranging anywhere from tries. That is to say, ‘unlike foreign direct invest-
$250,000 to over $1 million. As with traditional ment, the high degree of liquidity of portfolio
mutual funds, investors in hedge funds pay a man- investment makes the threat of exit particularly
credible’ (Grabel, 1996, p. 1767). Hence, if
agement fee; however, hedge funds also collect a
investors perceive that governments are pursu-
percentage of the profits (usually 20 per cent).
ing policies that are economically destabilising
(From www.investorwords.com) (such as policies that produce inflation and/or
increase the volumes of public debt – which, by
332 The political economy of PI
definition, may make defaults more likely), they specific dynamics of added vulnerabilities, of
will pull out money from such economies and tighter institutional ties among economies and
look for ‘safer’ investment harbours. of a restricted assortment of policies available to
How investors calculate such risks is a product governments to adopt. Also, it becomes clear
of coordinated behaviour, of ‘herd-like’ behav- that power is a result of a series of interactions
iour (where the herd follows a few leaders in the that go beyond governmental relations to
market in buying or selling certain instruments) include a set of diverse players in which interna-
and/or of the reliance on information provided tional private capital plays a particularly striking
by credit rating agencies. These agencies rate role, especially in terms of the issues covered
the risk level (i.e. likelihood of default) of bonds here.
traded in the international and domestic mar- Yet political pressures at the domestic level
kets. Credit ratings have become an even more still constrain governments to cater to the
powerful business after sovereigns resumed the demand of constituencies increasingly in dis-
issuance of debt bonds, as explained earlier. agreement with a global agenda of economic
Investors in the market for sovereign debt bonds integration. The dilemma of politics today is
rely on sovereign credit ratings – as they are made clear in this chapter, as elsewhere in the
called – in choosing when and where to allocate book: how to cater to domestic voters or to the
(or pull out) their resources. groups among those which are most vocal, and
Knowing that, governments are also directly well organised, pressuring for protection from
influenced by ratings and take them into their external economic competition and/or integra-
calculations for policymaking purposes, aiming tion and still engage in a global project of eco-
at attracting foreign capital through positive rat- nomic interdependence for mutual gains,
ings for their bonds (i.e. technically reducing maintaining a degree of policy autonomy. This is
their ‘sovereign risk’ rating). For example, anti- an historical puzzle, perhaps more prominent
inflationary reforms in many countries have today than ever, whose resolution is anything but
counted on a positive evaluation from interna- an easy task for governments and governance
tional investors as well as positive credit ratings. agents.
Positive ratings are attractive to foreign investors
who see the purchase of debt bonds as less risky,
whereas downgrades in ratings makes bonds Further Reading
riskier and potentially less attractive to investors.
Because governments seek good ratings, they Audley, John, Polanski, Sandra, Papademetriou,
may choose policies that aim at pleasing foreign Demetrios G. and Vaughan, Scott (2003)
investors first and foremost but that are dubious ‘NAFTA’s Promise and Reality: Lessons from
in terms of economic sustainability. This is the Mexico for the Hemisphere’, Washington, DC:
clear way in which policymaking becomes Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
severely constrained by the preferences and Barro, Robert (1999) ‘Inequality, Growth and
actions of private actors who exercise a ‘quasi- Investment’, Working Paper, Washington:
veto’ power on policymaking decisions, influ- National Bureau of Economic Research.
encing investment decisions and consequently
policy choices in developing countries. This is a Calvo, Guillermo, Leiderman, Leonardo and
dangerous trend when the policies favoured by Reinhart, Carmen (1994) ‘Inflows of Capital to
government to attract foreign investment, albeit Developing Countries in the 1990s: Causes and
managing to generate temporary economic Effects’, Inter-American Development Bank,
exuberance, lead to economic collapse soon Office of the Chief Economist, Working Paper
after – as the example of the Argentine crisis of 302, available at www.iadb.org/res/publications/
2001 makes clear. pubfiles/pubWP-302.pdf
Datz, Giselle (2004) ‘Reframing Development
Conclusion and Accountability: The Impact of Sovereign
Credit Ratings on Policy Marking in Developing
By analysing the underlying logic and main
Countries’, Third World Quarterly, vol. 25 (2),
trends involving trade policy and investment
pp. 303–318.
especially in the last two decades, the picture of
a global economy becomes clearer. There are Financial Times, several issues.
Conclusion 333
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World: The Contradictions of Portfolio NAFTA’, Foreign Affairs, November/December.
Investment in the Global Economy’, World
Lehmann, Alexander (2002) ‘Foreign Direct
Development, 24:11, pp. 1761–1776.
Investment in Emerging Markets: Income,
Griffith-Jones, Stephany (1995) ‘Regulatory Repatriations and Financial Vulnerabilities’, IMF
Changes for Sources of Surges in Capital Flows’, Working Paper/02/47, March.
available at www.southcentre.org/papers/
Mishra, Deepak, Mody, Ashoka and Murshid,
finance/jones/toc1.htm#TopOfPage
Antu Pnini (2001) ‘Private Capital Flows and
Gruber, Lloyd (2000) Ruling the World: Power Growth’, Finance and Development 38:2,
Politics and the Rise of Supra-national Institutions, Washington, DC: IMF.
Princeton: University of Princeton Press.
Mosley, Layna (2003) Global Capital and National
Haggard, S. (1990) Pathways from the Periphery: the Governments, Cambridge: Cambridge University
politics of growth in newly industrialising countries, Press.
Ithaca: Cornell University Press.
OECD (2003) ‘Trends and Recent Developments
Haley, Mary Ann (1999) ‘Emerging Market in Foreign Direct Investment’, available at
Makers: The Power of Institutional Investors’ in www.oecd.org/dataoecd/52/11/2958722.pdf
Armijo, Leslie (ed) Financial Globalisation and
Sassen, Saskia (2001) The Global City, 2nd edn,
Democracy in Emerging Markets, New York: St
Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Martin’s Press.
Schott, Jeffrey J. (1996) ‘Challenges Facing the
Harrison, Ann and Hanson, Gordon (1999)
World Trade Organisation’ in Jeffrey Schott (ed)
‘Who Gains from Trade Reform? Some
The World Trading System: Challenges Ahead,
Remaining Puzzles’, Working Paper 6915,
Washington, DC: Institute for International
Washington, DC: National Bureau of Economic
Economics.
Research.
Suranovic, Steven (1997) ‘The Theory
Hausmann, Ricardo and Fernandez-Arias,
of Comparative Advantage’, available at
Eduardo (2000) ‘Foreign Direct Investment:
http://internationalecon.com/v1.0/ch40/40c0
Good Cholesterol?’, paper presented at the
00.htm
Annual Meeting of the Board of Governors,
Inter-American Development Bank and Inter- The Economist (2004) ‘Mergers and Acquisitions:
American Investment Corporation, mimeo. When Battles Commence’, 19 February.
Institute of International Finance (2005) The Institute of International Finance (2004)
‘Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies’, ‘Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies’,
Washington, DC: IIF. report of 15 January 2004, available at
www.iif.com/verify/data/report_docs/cf_0104.
Jackson, John H. (1996) ‘The WTO Dispute
pdf
Settlement Procedure: A Preliminary Appraisal’
in Jeffrey Schott (ed) The World Trading System: UNCTAD (2002) ‘FDI in Least Developed
Challenges Ahead, Washington, DC: Institute for Countries at a Glance: 2002’, Geneva: UNCTAD.
International Economics.
–– (2003) World Investment Report, Geneva:
Kozul-Wright, Richard and Rayment, Paul UNCTAD.
(2004) ‘Globalisation Reloaded: An UNCTAD
Perspective’, UNCTAD Discussion Paper No. –– (2004) World Investment Report, Geneva:
167, January. UNCTAD.
Krugman, Paul (2002) ‘America the Scofflaw’, World Bank (2002) Global Development Finance
New York Times, 24 May. 2002: Financing the Poorest Countries, Washington,
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Nonsense in an Age of Diminished Expectations, New
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334
coincident emergence of the tabloid press, able were. And that meant that at least for the time
to speak to a public newly literate as a result of being, armour, though it had to be the best
educational improvements and compelled to do available, was still no substitute for infantry.
so by reason of competition in the most lurid The reverse occurred at sea. Fitting a steam
and simplistic fashion. engine into a ship increased rather than
The power inherent in political office went up decreased its range and manoeuvrability. By
sharply just as, simultaneously, the security of placing the most advanced guns on ships pow-
incumbent governments declined in the face of ered by the most advanced engines, an almost
the fact that both achieving power by winning perfect weapon was produced. As insecurity
elections and then staying in power were more developed and the arms race hotted up in the
difficult than they had ever been. The combina- early twentieth century, naval competition
tion produced government by propaganda – ceased to be measured in terms of numbers of
though in differing degrees – in all advanced ships but more in terms of technological
societies, whether fully democratic or less so. advance and future capacity. Planning and pro-
And nationalist propaganda was often a success- curement based on assessments of the building
ful distraction from domestic criticism, which capacity of potential enemies was a new develop-
might not matter too much if the external world ment, which had devastating consequences for
was stable, but which became highly dangerous arms expenditure and could seriously skew, as it
and risky if it was not. did in Imperial Germany, the formulation and
By the 1890s, the international system of the management of economic policy. It also made
previous century had effectively broken down. general staffs extremely reluctant to risk their
Technological improvements had created a new high-tech babies in actual battle.
and global basis for assessing and using power The First World War was almost devoid of
and changed both the field of activity and the naval engagements and the one serious battle –
names of some of the players of the game, which Jutland – was inconclusive in its result. The
was uncomfortable enough in itself. uncertainties inherent in the naval situation
It had also had a predictably improving effect greatly embittered Anglo-German relations, led
on the destructiveness of weapons. The machine to the Anglo-French naval sharing agreement
gun – the Maxim gun, particularly – had pro- of 1912, which meant that Britain could no
duced a category improvement during the sec- longer be neutral in a European war,
ond part of the century. Improvements in the whatever weasel words might be used to cover up
technique of rifling were by 1900 producing can- the fact, and generally contributed to public
non capable of delivering destruction over many anxiety. Few matters were so much the object of
miles. The German Big Bertha was the apotheo- inter-state press abuse during the period
sis of all such guns: it was possible for the 1901–1914.
Germans to bombard Dover docks in England On land the effect of the technological situa-
from bases in Northern France during the 1914 tion was to be disastrous. The railways could not
war. Nor was transporting weapons of this kind provide the manoeuvrability for the most
difficult in principle. Big Bertha was arranged on advanced armour that ships could and there
a special train and could be sent anywhere a train would remain a tactical gap until the invention
could go. Therein, however, lay a highly signifi- of the petrol engine made enough progress to
cant restriction. All militarily sensitive areas in be applied to the transport of big guns. There
Europe were served by strategic railways; indeed, was thus a pause until in 1917 the first tanks
one of the bases of the Franco-Russian alliance of came onto the field – to remain there until our
1894 was that French capital would build strate- own day. What was significant about 1914, how-
gic railways in western Russia to help defend the ever, was their absence, not their presence,
Czar’s empire against any German threat. Those because it was their absence which immobilised
lines were mainly built in what is now Poland and the war tactically and killed millions and mil-
later came to be a welcome resource of the Soviet lions of combatants in the trenches. In the face
Union, whose attitude to France was rather dif- of a tactical stalemate, the only recourse was to
ferent. The restriction was, of course, that no outperform the enemy in size and numbers. To
amount of military planning, however obsessively win required more men, more weapons, more
engaged in as it was, could ensure that a war ammunition, more barbed wire, maybe more
would actually take place where the railways allies, than the enemy. To win also required
336 The First World War: causes and consequences
more economic organisation, more domestic tion of being gassed, it was his utter rejection of
planning and, most important of all, more polit- the idea that it is meet and proper to die for
ical stability than the enemy and more than any- one’s country (which is the meaning of the Latin
one had ever had before. phrase at the end of the poem) which was so
The tactical and strategic failure and the con- important and so dangerous for governments.
sequent losses were staggering. Harold First, the Charge of the Light Brigade:
Macmillan, Prime Minister of Britain from 1957
to 1963, a decorated officer who survived the Half a league, half a league
1914 war, once broke down and wept during a TV Half a league onward,
interview while trying to explain that only the ter- All in the valley of Death
rible slaughter of cleverer and better men than Rode the six hundred
he had allowed him to become prime minister. ‘Forward the Light Brigade!
The scale of the conflict was different from all Charge for the guns!’ he said:
its predecessors and it produced the justification Into the valley of Death
for Marx’s observation that wars do not change Rode the six hundred.
things, they merely make things happen faster. ‘Forward the Light Brigade!’
State machines that had already expanded Was there a man dismay’d?
hugely during the second half of the nineteenth Not tho’ the soldier knew
century had to become almost totally invasive in Someone had blunder’d;
order to conduct the war. Economic organisa- Their’s not to make reply,
tion, the rationing of food supplies, the man- Their’s not to reason why,
agement of transport systems, almost total Their’s but to do and die:
control of labour were all required. Into the valley of Death
Although serious bombing of civilian popula- Rode the six hundred.
tions was to be more of a feature of the next war, Cannon to the right of them
there was no branch of civilian life into which the Cannon to the left of them
effects of the 1914 war did not penetrate. Of Cannon in front of them
them all, the most serious was the necessity of Volley’d and thunder’d;
persuading and then compelling the able-bodied Storm’d at with shot and shell,
male population to go to the trenches to be Boldly they rode and well,
killed. This task required not only organisation, Into the jaws of Death
threats and penalties, but also a justifying motive. Into the mouth of Hell
The propaganda machines went into action on a Rode the six hundred.
scale never seen before and never forgotten
since. It was urged that the cause was just, the Flash’d all their sabres bare,
country and the Empire must be defended, the Flashed as they turn’d in air
enemy was wicked, as demonstrated by atrocities Sabr’ing the gunners there,
committed. But these did not work in the face of Charging an army, while
continuously worsening slaughter. All the world wonder’d:
There are few people left in Western Europe Plunged in the battery-smoke
or the USA who went through it. For others, the Right through the line they broke;
experience of subsequent wars, though unpleas- Cossack and Russian
ant enough, simply cannot equal the enormities Reeled from the sabre-stroke
of what happened in France in 1916 and 1917. Shatter’d and sunder’d.
Then they rode back, but not,
The experience of the First World War Not the six hundred.
To make the point in a different way here are
two different poems to compare: both justifiably Cannon to right of them,
famous. The first is by Alfred Lord Tennyson Cannon to left of them,
and it describes the Charge of the Light Brigade Cannon behind them
during the Crimean War (1854–1856). The Volley’d and thunder’d;
charge itself was a pointless error committed by Stormed at with shot and shell,
an incompetent general. The second poem is by While horse and hero fell,
Wilfred Owen and apart from the vivid descrip- They that had fought so well
The First World War: causes and consequences 337
Came through the jaws of Death, By late 1916, none of the traditional justifica-
Back from the mouth of Hell, tions for the privations and casualties of war
All that was left of them, would suffice any longer. The only mantra
Left of six hundred. which still had some force was the idea that
this war had to be won in order to end all
When can their glory fade? wars and, less directly described, that those who
O the wild charge they made! had been involved were entitled to and would
All the world wonder’d. obtain a new social and economic order at its
Honour the charge they made! end.
Honour the Light Brigade,
Noble six hundred! The effects of the First World War
There was no doubt that there were two contra-
And now the Owen: dictory effects arising from the experience of
the 1914–1918 war. The first was that the tradi-
Bent double, like old beggars under sacks, tional liberal state had been nearly bankrupted,
Knock-kneed, coughing like hags, we cursed both literally and figuratively, by the experience.
through sludge, In Russia, it was supplanted by another way of
Till on the flares we turned our backs attempting to manage an industrial, or in this
And towards our distant rest began to trudge. case industrialising, society which overtly and
Men marched asleep. Many had lost their deliberately accepted the absolute superiority of
boots the state machine and relied upon the
But limped on, blood-shod. All went lame; all Communist Party to make it work equitably. A
blind; little later, fascist movements developed, first
Drunk with fatigue; deaf even to the hoots in Italy – perhaps significantly in the hands
Of tired, outstripped Five-Nines that dropped of a former Marxist – which also accepted and
behind. glorified the machinery of the state and relied
upon a mixture of corporatism, patriotism
Gas! Gas! Quick, boys! An ecstasy of and economic success to make it work to the
fumbling, advantage of a particular society. Both found
Fitting the clumsy helmets just in time; to a greater or lesser degree that maintaining
But someone still was yelling out and full control of the machinery of state was
stumbling essential but tricky and required the use of
And floundr’ing like a man in fire or lime. . . . major propaganda weapons and ultimately
Dim, through the misty panes and thick green terror.
light, As under a green sea, I saw him In the United States, Great Britain and
drowning. France, but not in Japan, the liberal state
survived, but in the case of the European
In all my dreams before my helpless sight, states, only just, and in all cases by increasing
He plunges at me, guttering choking, the role of government to almost wartime
drowning. proportions.
If in some smothering dreams you too could The second effect was that war as an instru-
pace ment of policy either as threat or fact became,
Behind the wagon that we flung him in understandably, totally unacceptable to public
And watch the white eyes writhing in his face, opinion in all major countries and much
His hanging face, like a devil’s sick of sin; reliance was initially placed on the League of
If you could hear, at every jolt, the blood Nations to make the maintenance of peace a
Come gargling from the froth-corrupted lungs reality. This meant that when the first effect of
Obscene as cancer, bitter as the cud the war produced fascist regimes which began to
Of vile, incurable sores on ancient tongues, lose their reluctance to go to war in a miasma of
My friend, you would not tell with such high national propaganda derived from stereotyped
zest memories of ancient Rome or the glories of
To children ardent for some desperate glory, Valhalla, there was no stomach to resist, no will-
The old lie: Dulce et decorum est ingness to rearm, little attempt to plan for the
Pro patria mori. unthinkable.
338 The Second World War
The Second World War early 1930s a catch phrase developed in defence
circles which read ‘the bomber will always get
Moreover, the unthinkable had now become, if through’ – meaning that however many fighters
possible, worse. The 1914 war had produced the were sent up to intercept fleets of bombers,
first serious use of air power in war, but it had enough would survive to flatten the major cities.
not really included bombers or bombing. The This belief, which was only wrong in that it over-
British then advanced the technique rapidly by estimated the scale of destruction, at least until
using bombing with outstanding success against the bombing of Dresden in 1945, helps to
rebel Kurds in what was then the mandate of explain both the reluctance to abandon any
Mesopotamia, now Iraq. Military planning could chance of negotiated settlements that seemed to
no longer ignore the significance of air power. be on offer and the policy of arranging for the
Ironically, it was a clever young French staff instant evacuation of children from major cities
officer called Charles de Gaulle who in the 1920s into the countryside on the outbreak of war.
produced the first description of what, taken The fear of total bombardment also included
over by the Germans, was to become known as the idea that civilian morale would not survive it,
Blitzkrieg: that is to say, rapid movement of light again an overestimation. In neither the British
armour on the ground accompanied by punish- nor the German case did that prove to be true.
ing and coordinated raids from the sky. The Indeed, it tended to have a reverse effect, which
vivid film footage of the Japanese attacks in was later to be seen also in Vietnam. The delib-
China, the German invasion of Poland on 1 erate attempt to break the nerve of an enemy
September 1939 and the attack across northern population, rather than just defeat its military
Europe in 1940 all attest to the force of the tech- forces or undermine its economy, was the hall-
nique. This aspect of air power reinforced the mark of the 1939 war and it ushered in the
fact that, unlike the previous conflict, the 1939 period of ‘total war’. The phrase predates the
war was to be mobile as far as the battlefield was invention of nuclear weapons, though of course
concerned. they made it even more true, and it completed
The other side of air power, however, which the process begun between 1914 and 1918
had, if possible, made the unthinkable worse, whereby the combination of state power and
concerned the civilian population. The civilian advanced weapons technology created wars
population had suffered both by privation and which had to be fought on every front – military,
through the death of family members and it had civilian, economic, social, ideological and tech-
certainly been profoundly affected by the 1914 nological. Nothing that mankind could invent
war; it had only rarely been directly attacked. or process was not grist to the mills of war.
That immunity was shattered in the summer of
1940 when the Germans opened an undeclared
war against neutral Holland by destroying the The Cold War and after
city of Rotterdam in a sequence of bombing The Cold War offered a curious juxtaposition.
raids. It was not, however, unexpected. From the The threat of war had become nuclear and
250
Number of conflicts
200
150
100
50
1945 1949 1953 1957 1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001
Year
Figure 9.1 Total conflicts 1945–2003 Source: Heidelberg Institute Conflict Barometer 2004
The Cold War and after 339
50
45
40
35
Number of conflicts
30
25
20
15
10
0
1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002
Year
intrastate conflict
interstate conflict
Figure 9.2 Interstate vs intrastate conflict 1945–2003 Source: Heidelberg Institute Conflict Barometer 2004
therefore total in the most complete sense possi- possible, and to prevent one being stolen. With
ble, but barring accidents or insanity it also ren- the onset of the bi-polar era, it became crucial
dered great power war less likely to occur. And, that each side should know as precisely as possi-
more than that, it made small conflicts less likely ble what were the forces and equipment avail-
to escalate, though it increased the fear that they able to its opponent and a pretty clear idea of
might. Even after the production of so-called the use to which they would be put in the event
tactical nuclear weapons, the threat of war did of war. Intelligence was there to defend develop-
not increase, as it became clear that the weapons ments in train, but allow them to be known
concerned were regarded as more nuclear than about as soon as they were ready for use. If the
tactical. stand-off did anything directly, it served to make
It is possible to argue that nuclear weapons in it less likely that the two great powers would
fact made little difference to the fundamental intervene very much outside their groupings to
distribution of power in the world, since their initiate or profit from events affecting smaller
emergence coincided with the final conclusion states.
of the great struggle for global power and influ- This became particularly obvious in successive
ence on the part of the truly global powers. phases of the Arab–Israeli conflicts, particularly
Once they had reached a de facto accommoda- 1956 and 1973, Indo-Pakistani and Sino-Indian
tion, which they did at the Geneva Conference wars and after de-colonisation produced other
of 1955, the armaments situation, though dizzy- broad areas of instability, for example the Congo
ingly dangerous in itself, was a confirmatory in the mid-1960s. Minimum intervention was
factor rather than a fundamental one. applied in order to maintain the status quo as far
A subtle change in the function of the intelli- as possible and to that extent the existence of
gence industry reflects this. From the early twen- organised blocs of allied powers had a generally
tieth century onwards, intelligence was used to restraining effect on the conduct of interna-
try to discover war plans and technological tional politics. Since 1945, there has been a
improvements in weaponry: to steal a march, if steady rise in overall state conflict. This includes
340 The Cold War and after
conflict issues over territory, decolonisation, which unleashed appalling atrocities, first in
system/ideology, regional predominance, inter- Croatia, then in Bosnia-Herzogovina and finally
national power, resources and other items. in Kosovo. In Kosovo the basic cause of the
It now begins to look, however, as if the chief descent into civil war was the Serbs’ fear that the
effect of the period of bi-polarity was to restrain province of Kosovo would seek and obtain inde-
the outbreak of domestic disorder within states. pendence, since its population was in large
Neither during the Cold War nor since 1989 has majority Albanian. The Serb government first
there been any great tendency for inter-state or revoked the autonomy of Kosovo in 1988 and
inter-alliance warfare to develop, or for the then ten years later, having been defeated in the
extraordinarily high-tech weapons systems that long crises over Croatia and Bosnia, sought to
have been generated to become actors in them- avoid a third humiliation by violently enforcing
selves, in a ‘man as a prisoner of the machine’ Serb control over the Albanian population, who
syndrome. But there has been an almost cata- had by now acquired their own resistance move-
strophic decline in the domestic security of ment in the form of the Kosovo Liberation
many states and some have disappeared into Army. The civil conflict grew steadily worse and
maelstroms of civil war. both parties committed atrocities, but because
The effect of this factor on the conduct and the Albanians were the majority ethnic group
incidence of war is clear. The incidence of war is with 90 per cent of the total and had enjoyed
greater now than it has been since the seven- autonomy in the past, the brutal nature of the
teenth century, but the level at which it is being Serb attempt to defeat the Kosovo Liberation
conducted is lower than anything seen in the Army (KLA) and restore order and its effective
twentieth century. We now observe the extraor- sovereignty in the province, apparently by forc-
dinary paradox that the world possesses at least ing the Albanian population to flee, strikingly
the remains of the most sophisticated means of offended external opinion.
fighting a war, both in weaponry and communi- Great efforts were made to negotiate a cease-
cations, that has ever been known, yet the pur- fire and an acceptable return of autonomous sta-
pose for which it was all so expensively put tus for the province and in early 1999 it seemed
together has disappeared, leaving the weapons that the Rambouillet Conference, held near
stocks, the control systems and the alliances Paris, had achieved that aim. At the last
strategically and emotionally directionless. The moment, however, the Serb government
objectives of those who wish to fight or support rejected the draft agreement and the NATO
fighting have become localised and low-tech alliance began to use massive air bombardment
weapons generally more than suffice. on non-civilian targets in Serbia in order to force
Disorganised groups, more perhaps like brig- Serbian compliance with at least a version of the
ands than armies, have roamed mediaevally Rambouillet agreement. After a much longer
through the forests and mountains of parts of period of bombing than had initially been antic-
central Europe and the Caucasus, glad to ipated and, significantly, only after serious
acquire a rifle, willing to launch grenades from preparations for a ground war were put in hand,
hill tops into marketplaces below. Still more the Serbs gave way. But even in apparent victory,
familiar from early modern Europe is the rapidly in the summer of 1999 the situation remained
mounting list of accompanying atrocities and unclear in many aspects, most particularly about
there is plenty of evidence that it is getting ever the future status of the province, the longer-
more difficult to shock ordinary people with term role of military forces and the stance, both
accounts of recently perpetrated violence. present and future, of Russia.
Burning at the stake was once, too, considered Here was a test case of several contemporary
perfectly normal. assertions: that NATO could have a more gener-
The extraordinary crisis which came to a head alised role as both a peace enforcer and then
in the Kosovo province of Yugoslavia in 1998/99 peacekeeper in post-Soviet Europe – and per-
exemplified these factors. The crisis was essen- haps further afield; that using force in these cir-
tially caused by a state collapse, that of the for- cumstances could be antiseptically achieved
mer Yugoslavia after the death of Tito and the from the air, thus both avoiding widespread civil-
demise of the Soviet Union. The creation of ian casualties and casualties to the enforcers;
newly independent states out of its ruins also cre- that the doctrines and equipment which NATO
ated new minorities and non-negotiable disputes had retained from its former role as the deter-
The Cold War and after 341
rent alliance of the West would be as effective ited targets. This gave the Serb government time
against a mountain civil war as against the to step up its efforts to expel the Albanian major-
Warsaw Pact; and, on a rather different plane, ity, who fled to neighbouring countries, thus cre-
that the rights inherent in national sovereignty ating a humanitarian refugee crisis of huge
now took a secondary position to the human proportions, for which governments both local
rights of a population; that, therefore, a legal and distant were plainly unprepared.
war, at least in a customary sense, could be It thus seems as if the changing pattern of con-
fought and supported by public opinion to flict is not amenable to the tactics believed in
defend those rights where national interests in a and military assets possessed by NATO and that,
traditional sense were not involved. therefore, if its role is to be changed, its nature
Moreover, the role of the UN was called into and equipment will have to be adapted to
question in that it would not authorise a military match. It also looks very much as if the use of
defence of the Albanians, since some members force remains just that, even if its application has
of the Security Council were clear that to do so not been dictated by traditional national inter-
would have been beyond the authority of the ests. The idea that it was both possible and right
Charter, but it also refused to declare such a that war should be undertaken in a different and
defence illegal, once it was under way (see Table less involved way if it was being fought in the
9.1). It became clear that the hopes attached to interests of human rights seems not to be sus-
antiseptic air attacks were unfounded in that tainable. The only way to achieve the return of
they did not produce any quick change of policy the Albanian population to their homes in
on the part of Serbia, indeed rather the reverse. Kosovo has turned out to be escorting them
This was due both to the emotional effect on the home under military protection on the ground,
population and to the limitations imposed on its not just in the air, and, if necessary, expelling the
effectiveness by the felt need only to attack lim- Serb forces as this is done. Furthermore, the
342 The Cold War and after
90
80 74 77
71
70 66
Number of conflicts
60 54
51
50
40
33
30
23
20
13
10
3
0
War Latent conflict Manifest conflict Crisis Severe crisis
Figure 9.3 Global conflict intensities 2003 compared with 2004 Source: Heidelberg Institute Conflict Barometer 2004
returned Albanians will require external sup- Iraq and the removal of the threat it had posed
port, physical protection and public administra- swiftly changed into resistance to the US inter-
tion for a long time to come. They will have to vention and presence. A network of linked
form some kind of international protectorate, threats appeared, partly fuelled by religion, itself
neither a state nor a province, but a new kind of partly a civil war, partly by ethnic differences and
geo-political animal. partly resentment at what felt like occupation
The situation remained unchanged in 2005 and not liberation on the part of people who
and in Bosnia-Herzogovina the EU was still exer- were felt to be fundamentally anti-Arab and
cising a supervisory role. The role of the UN has unwilling to try to resolve the Palestinian issue.
expanded, particularly in its governance respon- The familiar contemporary asymmetrical shape
sibilities in the later twentieth century and early of conflict appeared and seemed unquenchable.
twenty-first century. There has been an increase The line between terrorism and war became very
in the number of UN peacekeeping efforts, with muddied. Similar results emerged in
three more than in 2003, and having a particular Afghanistan, though there they owed as much to
emphasis on Africa. In total there are seven local tradition as to anything else.
concurrent operations in Africa. Table 9.1 If all this continues, it will begin to look as if
highlights these phenomena. the clock is being turned back. The long
It might have seemed that the tendency for parabola which began to unite the practice and
conflicts to be internal and low tech was going to incidence of war with contemporary combina-
be reversed when the United States decided to tions of state power and improving technology
respond to the terrorist attack on the World had the effect of gradually reducing the inci-
Trade Center in New York, not just by going after dence of war while steadily increasing its reach
terrorists using the largely collapsed state of when it did happen until the whole of a society
Afghanistan to operate from but also by remov- was inextricably involved. Wars became fewer
ing the government of Iraq under Saddam but harsher and more destructive. Now it may be
Hussein. The antecedents of the invasion and that we have arrived at the end of that parabola.
subsequent war, with all the eventual ineffectual The connection between ever more organised
involvement of the United Nations, had some of state power and war is becoming looser again,
the atmosphere of previous inter-state wars. But opening the way for a much more fluid, more or
it soon turned out that the defeat of the Iraqi less ever present skein of violence, usually within
forces was not, as in earlier times it would have individual societies, which it is often possible to
been, the end of the matter. At a lower level of ignore even when quite close at hand.
conflict and a higher level of emotional involve- Standards of human behaviour are declining,
ment, what was anticipated to be a liberation of not least because the treaties created to control
The Cold War and after 343
the worst excesses of warfare and captivity sion from outside. A distinct phase of the French
depended for compliance on reciprocity Revolution, for example, more or less invented
between state governments rather than legal ret- the word ‘terror’ to describe a political activity
ribution, to the extent that they do work or have and fascist regimes employed the technique
done so. That reciprocity does not exist to the also. The clearest example of internal state ter-
same degree between fighting groups not rorism in modern times was to be found in the
located in a state structure or in any case Soviet Union under Stalin’s rule. Sometimes the
engaged in genocide. responses of governments attacked by terrorists
Such groups sit at the junction between for- have been similarly structured and merely
mal warfare and terrorism. Terrorism has always confirm the blurred nature of the line between
existed and how prominent it is at any given terrorism and conflict of any kind.
time is affected by at least three major factors. During the nineteenth century in Europe,
The first concerns the ability of the principal there were occasional acts of terrorism commit-
actors in any system to keep its affairs under ted in the interests of anarchism and religious
overall control. If either the power relationship disputes across centuries have had a high ten-
between them becomes unbalanced or their dency to use terror, particularly because of the
internal stability becomes uncertain, the result- ability of some major religions to promise salva-
ing chaos leads to conflict and in such conflicts tion to the perpetrators and sometimes to the
episodes of terrorism will occur. Examples of the victims. During the European reformation the
first can easily be found in the actions of both public execution of heretics could be thought to
German and Russian forces during the Second save them from hell. The use of terror in order
World War. to advance an ideological position is therefore
The second, however, is more likely to lead to not exactly new. It has nonetheless been uncom-
acts of terrorism, because internal instability may mon until very recent times. In addition to out-
descend into civil war. Civil wars are seldom as breaks of terrorism for familiar reasons, as, for
well organised as formal inter-state wars have example, followed the United States’ invasion of
been and the groups involved may vary sharply Iraq in 2004, the world now sees terrorism used
in their relative strength. Resort to acts of ter- in the interests of animal rights, preventing
rorism is an almost inevitable consequence and abortion, occasionally over environmental issues
represents an additional or alternative way of try- and, very significantly, a return to terrorism sup-
ing to gain control of a state government. The ported by religion – Christians in Ireland,
conflict in Sri Lanka is a case in point. Many con- Muslims in the Caucasus, the Middle East, South
flicts in Africa straddle the line between terror- Asia, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines,
ism and more formal war. The crisis in Hindus in India and Sri Lanka.
south-western Sudan which developed in Apart from its general tendency to sway in and
2003/2004 was an exemplar of this, as have been out of the conduct of warfare, terrorism demon-
many episodes in the Great Lakes area of strates a particular characteristic which helps to
Central Africa. Until comparatively recently, ter- explain its prevalence in the early twenty-first
rorists were generally to be found trying to force century. Terrorism chiefly relies on attacking so-
the creation of new or more independent states. called soft targets, usually the ordinary public
Anti-colonial movements such as the Mau Mau and usually focusing its attacks on forms of trans-
in Kenya and particularly the Palestine port. Airliners have had a particular attraction
Liberation Organisation showed how to use ter- because of their helplessness once airborne, the
rorism to try to expel intruders, whether colo- virtual certainty that everyone on board will be
nial administrators or Jewish settlers. The killed and the latent fear of flying which many
conflict in Chechnya is plainly a continuation of people in any case share. The attack on the
such an objective, as is the conflict in Kashmir. World Trade Center in New York in 2001 man-
This characteristic is what has led to the com- aged to combine the horror of seizing and
mon observation that one person’s terrorist is destroying planes with a physical attack on a
another’s freedom fighter. place symbolic of the USA and global economy.
Terrorism is not solely the province of the dis- Trains and buses and the stations that they use
possessed or excluded, however. It can be used are places where crowds gather of necessity, as
by governments under pressure either from are places of entertainment. The attack on a
internal dissent or, less often, the threat of inva- Moscow theatre in 2004 by Chechen terrorists
344 The Cold War and after
1
34
35 33 31 21 19
30 27 20
32
22 18
17 36 26
8 3 25
7 11 28 29
15 9
16 5 13
14 6 10 12 23 24
2 4
Severe crisis
War
Number Name of conflict and most important conflict item Number Name of conflict and most important conflict item
Figure 9.4 Violent conflicts of high intensity 2004 Source: Heidelberg Institute Conflict Barometer 2004
The Cold War and after 345
was an example of using the last category. The policy on the part of a government will relieve it
increasing number of hostages captured during because that kind of power has escaped from
the Iraq war and the frequency with which they state hands. Thus far there has been no, or cer-
have been publicly and brutally killed is another tainly no adequate, evolution of available alterna-
and extreme example of a resort to soft targets. tives and in the vacuum a kind of desperation has
Similarly, attacks on the London Underground set in and frustration has begun to express itself
system in July 2005 had the same characteristic by resorting to unorthodox methods. Unless and
and emphasised the significance of suicide until global institutions acquire plausible roles
bombers as the means of delivery. and equivalent legitimacy, a sense of hopelessness
This happens because of the lack of symmetry and lack of representation will feed into an
in power between the sources of authority which increase in violent responses.
terrorists wish to attack and their own. It is very The face of global conflict is changing.
unlikely that terrorist groups would be able to Elements of the past continue. Governments
‘win’ a conflict in any conventional sense because seek to have effective forces available armed with
the forces arrayed against them can usually pre- advanced equipment; some have, but do not say
vent that. Terrorists can gain little publicity by so, nuclear weapons, others seek to acquire
being involved in a running battle with organised them. Inter-state wars or the threat of them have
troops or even by blowing up official buildings. It sharply reduced and military alliances have
is easy to imagine the TV reports of such events become uncommon. Armed groups alienated
and how quickly they will be forgotten. Terrorists from governments, and sometimes even from
have to try to shock the general public into territory, proliferate and tend not to have
demanding that what they want should be taken advanced equipment, though they may acquire
seriously – and doing that requires the maximum it at moments of extreme disorder, as during the
exposure in the media. The result among other Iraq war in 2004.
things is unprovoked attacks on ordinary citizens The causes of conflict and terrorism have
and videos of hostages being beheaded. become more complex and correspondingly
There is a developing further problem. It is harder to handle. The institutions traditionally
becoming more difficult sometimes to deter- charged with doing so, states and the United
mine what it is that terrorists want. Demands in Nations, have become weaker, but no credible
the past have often been essentially territorial successors in their roles have yet emerged. A
and easy to express. Sometimes they still are. But global network of sporadic low-level violence,
there is also a growing sense that some groups fed by frustration and financed in part by organ-
resort to terrorist or near-terrorist activities with- ised crime, looks likely to continue and very pos-
out an immediate objective except to express sibly grow until its root causes are addressed and
their general disgust at the way things are, or to asymmetric conflict rendered anachronistic.
protest against very broad trends, for example
the belief that there is increasing global eco-
nomic inequality. Here we are dealing with Further Reading
something new and it arises from the same prob-
lem that affects other aspects of global political Bond, B. (1984) War and Society in Europe,
and institutional life. 1870–1945, London: Macmillan.
While it is clear that states are not about to dis- Keegan, John (1983) The Face of Battle, London:
appear, indeed that in some areas their obliga- Penguin.
tions have actually increased, there is no doubt
that in other ways they are undergoing a loss of McNeil, W. H. (1984) The Pursuit of Power: War,
authority. This has the consequence that their Technology and Society from 1000 AD, Chicago:
governments can no longer play the role of sole Chicago University Press.
guardian of their people’s interests and more seri-
Townshend, Charles (1997) The Oxford Illustrated
ously in this context, they cannot act as the cen-
History of Modern War, Oxford: Oxford University
tral point to which people go to obtain redress of
Press.
grievances. This was most easily done by electoral
processes, and dictatorships can be influenced in Van Creveld, Martin (1991) Technology and
other ways. If, for example, a grievance is macro- Warfare from 2000 BC to the Present Day, New York:
economic in scope, it is unlikely that a change of Touchstone.
346
sive war, which is the most egregious violation of ‘war on terror’. The administration asserted that
international law under the UN Charter. Some Iraq had reconstituted its nuclear weapons pro-
commentators go on to argue that the USA has gramme and had strong ties to Al Qaeda, imply-
been undermining the very foundations of inter- ing that Saddam Hussein might someday
national law by placing itself above the law. provide Osama bin Laden with nuclear weapons
Under the Bush Doctrine, the central strate- for use against the USA. These claims have not
gic focus of US foreign and security policy has been borne out by the facts, yet they served their
been redefined in terms of waging a ‘global war purpose. During the build-up to the invasion
on terror’. On a certain level, this is mere rheto- and in its aftermath, polls showed that a major-
ric. After all, how can a state wage war against an ity of US voters believed that the Iraqi govern-
abstract noun? More substantively, terrorism is ment played a direct role in the September 11
essentially a tactic, a set of practices involving the attacks and that most of the hijackers that day
use of violence to create fear in order to achieve were Iraqi nationals. Yet even the earliest news
some political end. As discussed below, such accounts made clear that most of the hijackers
practices have a long history, traceable back to hailed from Saudi Arabia, an increasingly awk-
the ancient world. They have been employed in ward ally of the United States, and none was
almost all of the world’s major cultural regions. Iraqi. And no independent investigation has
It seems unlikely at best that any kind of war found any evidence of Iraqi involvement in the
could put an end to terrorist practices every- 9/11 or any other Al Qaeda attacks.
where and for all time. But again, the ‘war on
terror’ is mainly rhetorical, a metaphor akin to
the long-standing, indecisive ‘war on drugs’.
What is terrorism?
The violent struggle that escalated so dramat- To understand the place of terrorism in today’s
ically on September 11 2001 is between the global politics though, we must step back from
United States and Al Qaeda, the loose global these immediate concerns to examine the vex-
network founded by Saudi dissident Osama bin ing question of what terrorism is and how it
Laden. For a variety of reasons, the US adminis- developed historically. The seemingly straight-
tration chose to couch its efforts in broader forward question ‘What is terrorism?’ is compli-
terms. In part, the heated, militarised rhetoric of cated by the politically loaded nature of the
the ‘war on terror’ helped to deflect attention word. As the saying has it, ‘one man’s terrorist is
from the failure to deal adequately with the Al another man’s freedom fighter’.
Qaeda threat prior to 9/11. But framing foreign There is no generally agreed definition of ‘ter-
policy objectives in grand, abstract terms consti- rorism’. Yet one can say a good deal about what
tutes a powerful tradition in US political culture: the term has denoted historically and what it has
Roosevelt’s ‘Four Freedoms’, Wilson’s ‘War to come to mean by the beginning of the twenty-
Make the World Safe for Democracy’ or the first century. Its significance for international
nineteenth-century ideology of Manifest Destiny relations and diplomacy in the contemporary
are all examples. The ‘War on Terror’ rubric world has long been beyond dispute. Events of
served two prime political purposes, one tactical, the 1990s and early 2000s have shown it to be
the other strategic. Tactically, President Bush one of the major problems confronting the
and his advisors wanted to avoid the overt international system in a period of deep and far-
appearance of waging war against Islam, particu- reaching transformation. Whether or not it is
larly after Bush’s use of the word ‘crusade’ in helpful to describe the present period as the
one major speech soon after the 2001 attacks. ‘age of terrorism’, terrorism is clearly a central
The ‘war on terror’ implied that the USA would aspect of today’s world scene.
employ its military might against terrorist groups If there is no universally accepted definition
that had nothing to do with Islam. Strategically, of terrorism, what does the term refer to?
this more general framing of the conflict Terrorism is a form of political violence. It is,
allowed the USA to single out so-called rogue more specifically, violence directed against civil-
states which sponsored terrorist activities or ians for political purposes. Some authorities,
provided safe haven to terrorist groups. including the United States government and
Beyond its initial military response of attack- most other major powers, define it as political
ing Afghanistan, the United States justified its violence against civilians committed by non-state
2003 invasion of Iraq as a crucial front in this or sub-state actors. Others insist that political
348 What is terrorism?
violence against civilians by states must also be of the Reign of Terror saw ‘terrorism’ as a way of
considered a form of terrorism. In ancient his- defending the revolution’s values of liberty,
tory, acts of terror against civilian populations equality and brotherhood. As Robespierre him-
were first employed by states in the context of self put it, ‘Terror is nothing but justice, prompt,
warfare. The sacking of cities, such as Carthage severe and inflexible; it is therefore an emana-
by Rome, may be seen as early examples of geno- tion of virtue.’ Not surprisingly, the term quickly
cide; they may also be seen as early examples of became associated with state repression, symbol-
terrorism intended to cow other populations ised most famously by the guillotine. Rather
into submission. In the twentieth century, the than an instrument for defending liberty, terror-
aerial bombardment of cities, most notably in ism was the means by which the revolutionary
the Second World War, may also be seen as a government kept people subservient by keeping
form of state terrorism. them in fear, at least until Robespierre and
Critics of Israel argue that Israeli violence his colleagues ended up under the guillotine
against Palestinian civilians, including the themselves.
destruction of homes, amounts to a policy of Many of the most brutal regimes of the twen-
state terrorism. Viewing Israeli policy as terror- tieth century employed terrorism in similar ways,
ism alters our perspective on the entire including Nazi Germany, the Soviet Union,
Palestinian conflict. Instead of seeing Israel’s use Cambodia under the Khmer Rouge, and Iraq
of force as self-defence against Palestinian ter- under Saddam Hussein.
rorism, one can see Palestinian violence as self- During the nineteenth century, however, the
defence against the essentially violent nature of term came to be applied to violence committed
Israeli occupation. This example makes clear against civilians by non-state actors. Following
both the challenge and the importance of for- the American Civil War, former Confederates
mulating a consensus definition of terrorism created the Ku Klux Klan for the purpose of
within the international community and under restoring white supremacy by terrorising the for-
international law. Long-standing efforts to estab- mer slaves and their allies into submission. In
lish an international legal convention (or treaty) the late nineteenth and early twentieth cen-
against terrorism have been repeatedly frus- turies, within the growing movements for social
trated by the failure to achieve a consensus and political reform in Russia some anarchists
definition. In the wake of 9/11, the need to and other radicals embraced political violence;
resolve this impasse seems imperative. the young Lenin was among those who opposed
Since the latter part of the twentieth century, such tactics. Anarchist groups employed terror-
terrorism has been viewed most often as a tool of ist violence, including bombings and assassina-
non-state actors, including national liberation tions, in Western and Eastern Europe and in the
movements, right-wing and left-wing radicals, United States, with the aim of destabilising the
and pan-Islamic jihadists. While operating inde- social and political order. Prominent examples
pendently from any government’s control, such in the USA include the Haymarket bombings of
terrorist organisations have frequently been 1886 and the assassination of President William
aided or ‘sponsored’ by ‘rogue states’ which McKinley in 1901.
flout the rules of the international community. If In the same period, nationalist and anti-colo-
war is politics by other means, terrorism in this nialist groups also began to use violence against
sense is war by other means. As a tool of non- civilians, again including bombings and assassi-
state actors, it has generally been a method nations, as a means of bringing attention to their
employed by the weak against the strong: when causes. Certain elements of the Irish nationalist
fighting strong states with organised military movement began to use political violence in this
forces, groups lacking state power have fre- manner in the late nineteenth century, though
quently resorted to attacks on civilians to as elsewhere the movement was sharply divided
advance their political objectives. over this approach. Bulgar and Armenian oppo-
While the behaviour extends back to ancient sition to the Ottoman Empire were among the
times, the term ‘terrorism’ itself dates to the age earliest examples of this sort of ‘nationalist ter-
of the French Revolution. During the Reign of rorism’, which became the predominant form of
Terror (1793–1794), the revolutionary state used terrorism through most of the twentieth century.
‘terrorism’ in an attempt to eliminate ‘traitors’ Historically, both anarchist and nationalist
to the revolution. Robespierre and other leaders terrorism held fairly clear political objectives
Terrorism and the Middle East 349
related to the state. They aimed to topple one substantial way to terrorism in the name of
form of government and replace it with a radical national liberation. Today, as noted earlier, crit-
alternative, to eliminate the state itself as an ics of Israel argue that its use of force against
inherently oppressive structure, or to establish a Palestinian civilians, along with its use of politi-
new state in the name of national liberation. cal assassinations, constitutes nothing more than
In the late twentieth and early twenty-first cen- a policy of state terrorism.
turies, the major change under way is the emer- In the 1967 Six Day War, Israel swiftly defeated
gence of terrorist activity divorced from these forces from Egypt, Jordan and Syria, stunning
kinds of state-related objectives. On the one the Arab world. In its victory, Israel took control
hand, we now have political violence driven by of new territories previously held by those three
narrow, issue-specific concerns, such as animal states: Sinai and the Gaza Strip from Egypt, East
liberation, environmental protection or opposi- Jerusalem and the West Bank from Jordan and
tion to abortion. On the other hand, we have the the Golan Heights from Syria. Soon afterwards,
new global terrorism of groups like Al Quaeda. al-Fatah, the political faction led by Yasser
Not coincidentally, these new forms of terrorist Arafat, gained control of the Palestinian
activity tend to be driven by religious or spiritual Liberation Organisation (PLO), which had been
values as well as political objectives. Reflecting formed in 1964. By the late 1960s and early
our global age, these values are not contained by 1970s, the PLO turned increasingly to terrorist
the boundaries of any nation-state. Abortion tactics to draw attention to the cause of
opponents in the United States, for example, Palestinian statehood. These tactics included
may focus their energies on stopping abortion in several hijackings of commercial airliners and,
their own country, but they condemn the prac- most spectacularly, the capture and murder of
tice globally. More tellingly, radical ecologists, Israeli athletes at the 1972 Olympics in Munich,
including the small number who condone the West Germany. Such attacks did get the world’s
use of violence, are motivated by an ideology attention. The Munich tragedy was in fact broad-
that is both explicitly and avowedly globalist – cast live on television around the world. But
the very fate of the planet is their concern. Al this publicity did not appear to generate much
Qaeda is similarly driven by a globalist ideology, sympathy.
though arguably one with more clearly delim- Various organisations linked to the Palestinian
ited political objectives. cause certainly popularised some modern inno-
vations in terrorist tactics, including hijacking
commercial aircraft and later, and even more
Terrorism and the Middle East notoriously, suicide bombings. But groups such
Since the last third of the twentieth century, ter- as the Lebanese-based Hezbollah, Hamas,
rorism has been associated most commonly with al-Fatah and others within and outside the
the Middle East and with Arab and Muslim PLO focused their efforts on concrete, state-
groups in particular – especially those commit- centred political demands relating to the
ted to Palestinian statehood. But the region’s Palestinian–Israeli conflict and the creation of a
recent history nicely illuminates the saying that Palestinian state. Bin Laden and other Islamists
‘one person’s terrorist is another person’s free- also emphasise the plight of the Palestinians but
dom fighter’, a phrase often invoked in explana- in a different, more global and more ideological
tions as to why the international community has context. For the ideologists of global jihad, the
consistently failed to develop a legally binding oppression of the Palestinians is a dramatic
consensus definition of ‘terrorism’. example of the anti-Islamic animus of the West
In the 1940s, Zionist groups (including the and its allies, including not only Israel but those
Stern Gang, which counted among its members corrupt governments in the Arab and Muslim
the future Israeli Prime Minister Menachem worlds which have aligned themselves with the
Begin) employed terrorist violence in their West.
efforts to create a Jewish state in Palestine. With Even in recent history, terrorism has hardly
the successful establishment of Israel in 1948, been limited to the Middle East or to Arab and
that kind of political violence by non-state Jewish Muslim groups. In the last third of the twentieth
groups dissipated. Only later, with the expansion century, it was also employed by nationalist
of Israeli power and the failure of previous two- groups in other regions (including the Irish
state proposals, did the Palestinians turn in a Republican Army, the Basque separatists in
350 Terrorism and the Middle East
Spain and the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka) and, in But genocide, like the Roman sacking of
the 1970s and 1980s, by left-wing militants in Carthage, may be viewed as a form of terrorism.
Europe (the Baader Meinhof group in Germany The crime of genocide is defined by the intent
and Italy’s Red Brigades), Asia (the Japanese to destroy an ethnic, national or religious group,
Red Army), Latin America (the Shining Path but not necessarily by killing each and every
in Peru) and even, to a lesser extent, the individual. Massacres, mass rapes and other
United States (the Weathermen or Weather atrocities are often used to terrorise those who
Underground in the 1970s). remain alive into fleeing the area, abandoning
Right-wing militants have also employed ter- the group identity or otherwise weakening the
rorism in Western Europe and the USA (most group’s prospects for survival. That was very
notably the bombing of the Oklahoma City fed- much the case in the Bosnian war of the 1990s,
eral office building in 1995). In Latin America, when the Yugoslav government under Slobodan
right-wing paramilitary groups, usually linked to Milosevic pursued a policy of ‘ethnic cleansing’
right-wing governments, military and otherwise, against Bosnian Muslims. Viewed in this light,
have committed massacres, assassinations and genocide is very much based on the same prin-
other violent acts of intimidation. Many of the ciple as terrorism, though it is associated more
groups engaged in political violence between with states than with non-state groups. Unlike
the 1970s and the 1990s have either gone out terrorism, genocide is codified as a crime under
of the terrorism business (such as the IRA) or international law. Terrorist acts are also criminal
gone out of business altogether (i.e. the acts: even without a binding international treaty
Weathermen). Others have faded from the against terrorism as such, terrorist violence can
scene significantly (as with the Japanese Red clearly be treated as a crime against humanity
Army and the Shining Path in Peru) or reduced under the statute of the International Criminal
their overt participation in political violence (as Court and otherwise.
with the Basque separatists). The Tamil Tigers Terroristic practices carried out by govern-
continue their activities in Sri Lanka, engaging ments raise an obvious question: Is political vio-
in at least occasional acts of political violence lence against civilians, aimed at achieving a
even while engaged in ongoing negotiations political objective or advancing a political pur-
with the government to end their decades-long pose, any less an act of terrorism if it is carried
conflict. In July 2004, a suicide bombing in Sri out by (or on behalf of) a government than if it
Lanka was attributed to the Tigers. were carried out by non-state actors alone? The
distinction seems an empty one. At some point,
if the community of nations is to strengthen the
State terrorism role of law in the struggle against terrorism, it
Throughout the twentieth century and into the must reach a consensus definition of the term
twenty-first, despite the tendency to associate ter- ‘terrorism’ itself. As many experts agree, the key
rorism exclusively with non-state groups, oppres- to that step will be to remove any question about
sive governments around the world have used the nature of the actor involved and to focus
violence to terrorise civilian populations. Fascist solely on the behaviour and intentions involved
and communist states have hardly had a monop- in terrorism as a specific crime. Thus the world’s
oly on such practices. Throughout the Cold War nations would be persuaded to accept the
era, for example, military-controlled govern- notion that terrorism consists of the use of vio-
ments in Latin America engaged in widespread lence against civilians to advance some political
campaigns of ‘disappearances’ and paramilitary purpose. Historically, however, many states, most
violence against their own citizenry. Often, these emphatically including the United States in its
practices were made possible by aid and training role as the globe’s dominant power, have sought
received from the United States in exchange for to protect themselves against such an open
commitments to ensure stability and fight com- definition of the crime.
munism. In 2005, the government of the Sudan
was using paramilitary forces to uproot or even
destroy the black African population of its Terrorism and globalisation
Dharfur region. The atrocities in Dharfur are In the era of globalisation which most visibly
more often labelled genocide rather than came into its own in the 1990s, the landscape of
terrorism. terrorism changed in significant ways. First and
Al Qaeda 351
foremost, as suggested above, is the rise of ter- observers use the term ‘apocalyptic terrorism’ to
rorist activity divorced from state-related politi- describe this new phenomenon. That may apply
cal objectives and essentially local political to cults like Aum Shinrikyo, but not to politically
concerns. Terrorism had previously been an oriented groups like Al Qaeda which wants to
essentially local phenomenon, particularly in change the world according to its own model,
terms of the objectives it claimed to advance. not to hasten the apocalypse. Other analysts use
Since the 1970s at least, terrorists had sought to the more useful term ‘megaterrorism’ to capture
use the emerging global media to publicise their the qualitatively larger scale on which these
causes and often carried out terrorist acts inter- groups seek to operate.
nationally, far from their own locales.
(Palestinian hijackings provide a good example
in illustrating both these trends, as well as their
Al Qaeda
symbiotic relationship.) But in these early forms More than any other organisation, Al Qaeda
of ‘international terrorism’ the causes them- provides the paradigmatic example of the new
selves remained more or less local and state global terrorism. Operating in more than 60
related. We now see political violence of varying countries, Al Qaeda is a worldwide pan-Islamic
degrees being used on the part of anti-abortion network led by the wealthy Saudi dissident
activists, animal rights activists, anti-globalisation Osama bin Laden. As the group’s founder and
activists and religious activists (including cults, leader, bin Laden’s greatest significance lies in
such as the Japanese group Aum Shinrikyo, and promoting a radical, pan-Islamic ideology which
pro-Hindu as well as pro-Muslim terrorists like has found widespread appeal throughout the
bin Laden and his followers). Islamic world. Within bin Laden’s ideological
This new kind of terrorism is clearly associated framework, Islam has been under attack by the
with collapsing loyalty patterns in a world of United States and its allies since the USA
weakening state structures and growing global asserted itself as a power in the Middle East
integration. Terrorist groups can now operate in the aftermath of the Second World War.
horizontally across the globe, so terrorist threats Bin Laden’s personal mission, and his call to
are made against global institutions and against all Muslims, is to defend Islam against this
the world’s dominant power, the United States, perceived Western assault.
as well as against local states. This new global ter- As Bin Laden has made clear in many state-
rorism arises from a new sense of desperation ments since the 1990s, his jihad and that of his
and the apparent impossibility of influencing it followers has two main objectives: first, to end
via any of the traditional methods of injecting the Western and especially the US presence in
some element of popular participation in the the Muslim world; second, to overthrow all cor-
exercise of power. The USA is the symbolic rupt, pro-Western governments in Arab and
leviathan and thus gets the bulk of the protest Muslim countries in order to strengthen and
and the Israeli–Palestinian dispute gives both a purify Islam itself. Strategically, Al Qaeda’s self-
geographical expression and a religious form to declared war against the United States is a
a more general phenomenon. means of attacking pro-US governments
In addition, at least some terrorist groups throughout the Muslim world, such as Saudi
have begun to use larger-scale, far deadlier Arabia, Egypt, Pakistan and Indonesia. In attack-
attacks than before. The goal is no longer to ing the United States, bin Laden seeks to end US
publicise the cause but to kill as many of the support for those governments as well as for
enemy as possible, even if the enemy are civil- Israel. Far from hating the USA because it values
ians. September 11 can be seen as simply the lat- freedom, as President Bush proclaims, Al Qaeda
est, largest event in this trend. Aum Shinrikyo’s members and their many sympathisers hate the
use of sarin gas in the Tokyo subways in 1995 was the country because of specific policies which
intended to kill as many people as possible. The they see as a threat to their religion.
Oklahoma City bombing in the same year was on Al Qaeda is organised more or less horizon-
a scale unprecedented in the United States. The tally as a loose network of cells operating glob-
Hezbollah bombing of Khobar Towers in Saudi ally in scores of countries. Unlike, say, the
Arabia killed hundreds. Communist International, it never had a very
In the late 1990s Al Qaeda’s assaults increas- strong hierarchical structure; it is vertically very
ingly grew in scale and deadliness. Some thin but horizontally it stretches widely, with
352 Al Qaeda
cells in 60–70 countries throughout the Muslim the Internet and related technologies by global
world, Europe and North America (including terrorist groups like Al Qaeda – uses not unlike
the United States). In this manner it is repre- those of many other global or multinational
sentative of the new type of global citizens’ organisations. More than a potential target of
organisations made possible by the electronic attack, the Internet is the essential infrastructure
communications technologies of our time, that allows Al Qaeda to operate the way it does.
including mobile phones but especially e-mail One might say that the Internet is the medium
and the Internet. Typical examples of global that makes Al Qaeda possible.
citizens’ groups that have made fruitful use of One reason the Bush administration
the Internet include the Campaign to Ban responded to 9/11 by focusing so much atten-
Landmines and the Coalition for an tion on rogue states is that administration offi-
International Criminal Court. cials had difficulty understanding that attacks of
In certain ways Al Qaeda may be viewed as that scale and sophistication could be coordi-
their dark, malignant cousin. Like these more nated by a non-state group without support from
benign groups, Al Qaeda is also a loose coalition some government. But Al Qaeda has become
of local and regional groups as well as a network something quite new: via the Internet and its
of individuals. Long before September 11, some long-established and expanding network of com-
terrorism experts viewed Al Qaeda and other mitted individuals, it can operate transnationally
global terrorist networks as hydra-headed mon- in a way a more traditional ‘state-sponsored’ ter-
sters – a danger that is particularly difficult to rorist organisation could scarcely imagine. Its
stop because you cannot simply kill it by cutting relationship with the Taliban regime in
off its head (or eliminating its central com- Afghanistan was also novel. The Taliban pro-
mand). This helps to explain Al Qaeda’s appar- vided a safe haven for bin Laden’s operations
ent resilience (and widespread attacks outside but not state sponsorship for his activities.
the United States) in the period after the US Instead, bin Laden offered the Taliban financial
military crushed the safe haven it had enjoyed in as well as military assistance. Some observers
Afghanistan. With the US-led assault on its lead- have quipped that the Taliban regime was a ter-
ership structure since September 11, Al Qaeda rorist-sponsored state, though that overstates Al
has become even more hydra-like – a fact that Qaeda’s role.
may make it more dangerous than ever. Many Al Qaeda uses the Internet for a range of pur-
analysts assert that bin Laden is no longer able poses and does so perhaps as effectively as any
to direct or coordinate operations around the other global organisation. To avoid detection, its
globe but that his ideological appeal continues members tend to use e-mail via public-access
to spread, Al Qaeda membership continues to computers, particularly in Internet cafes. By
grow and cells continue to operate. using multiple, web-based (and free) e-mail
As a terrorist operation, Al Qaeda has pio- accounts, often just for a single communication
neered the sophisticated use of global electronic before abandoning one address and opening up
information technologies, such as mobile another, Al Qaeda operatives are still able to
phones, laptop computers and the Internet communicate with each other and with leader-
(including, now, public Internet access through ship instantly despite intense scrutiny from the
the many ‘cyber cafes’ found in towns and cities intelligence communities of the USA and its
in Europe, North America and elsewhere, allies. Perhaps more important than e-mail com-
including the Middle East). Security experts and munication is Al Qaeda’s use of websites to
other commentators have issued dire warnings achieve some of its key organisational needs and
about the threat of cyber-terrorism to a global objectives, including publicity and propaganda,
economy increasingly predicated on the smooth recruitment, distribution of training materials,
functioning of its computer networks. Terrorist fund-raising and finance. Its strong presence on
‘cyber-attacks’ on the computerised infrastruc- the web has helped Al Qaeda survive and even
ture of the twenty-first-century world do pose a expand despite the loss of its safe haven in
deep source of concern. Such attacks could con- Afghanistan. Indeed, through its web postings,
ceivably wreak havoc on an unprecedented scale Al Qaeda’s ideology has spread far beyond its
without resort to violence in any ordinary sense formal membership and seems destined to have
of the word. a life-span beyond that of its founders.
But to date what is more striking is the uses of The audacious, devastating attacks on the
Al Qaeda 353
United States on September 11 2001, especially first to be a strategic fiasco. Yet subsequent
the televised destruction of the World Trade events have shown Al Qaeda to be a resilient as
Center and its Twin Towers, quickly turned ‘Al well as dangerous foe. Considered globally, the
Qaeda’ and ‘Osama bin Laden’ into household two years after September 11 saw more terrorist
words around the world. Bin Laden’s image attacks than the two years prior to it. Even in
became a global icon, albeit one imbued with Afghanistan, despite its success in crushing the
vastly divergent meanings by different audi- Taliban and installing a friendly government in
ences. Today virtually everyone in the world Kabul, the USA did not capture or kill bin
knows who bin Laden is and has at least some Laden. Nor did it destroy his leadership cohort,
idea of what Al Qaeda is. Before September 11, despite the capture and killing of some key indi-
they were known only by the most attentive. viduals. Al Qaeda members continue to fight
Al Qaeda’s origins can be traced back to the alongside the Taliban in an ongoing insurgency
1980s, when bin Laden and thousands of other against the US-backed government of Hamid
Arabs went to Afghanistan to join the fight Karzai. And bin Laden and his aides continue to
against Soviet occupation. Bin Laden organised operate somewhere in Afghanistan or neigh-
training camps for these fighters and kept a list bouring Pakistan, as does the Taliban leader,
of those who passed through them. That list Mullah Omar. Some experts predict it is only a
became the basis for the network known as Al matter of time before the Taliban returns to
Qaeda (Arabic for ‘the list’). Bin Laden declared power, with Al Qaeda still closely at its side.
war against the United States in 1998 and Al Beyond Afghanistan, Al Qaeda has not been
Qaeda was responsible for several earlier assaults able to carry out any further attacks within the
on US targets. These tended to be larger scale United States, but it has successfully executed
and far deadlier than typical terrorist attacks in deadly bombings in wide-ranging locales, includ-
the past. In 1998, the coordinated, simultaneous ing the Bali nightclub bombing in Indonesia,
bombings of the United States embassies in the attack on a secured Western compound in
Kenya and Tanzania killed hundreds of people Saudi Arabia, the Madrid subway bombings and
(mainly Africans) while wounding thousands the attacks on the London Underground in July
more. The scale and sophistication of the 2005. Many analysts believe Al Qaeda member-
embassy bombings gave a clear indication of Al ship has grown substantially since September 11,
Qaeda’s capabilities. By the end of the 1990s, perhaps to 18,000 or more. Most agree that the
members of the Clinton administration, includ- Bush administration’s ‘war on terror’ strategy
ing President Clinton himself, saw Al Qaeda as has only made bin Laden’s message more
the greatest security threat facing the United attractive to Muslims.
States. Though President Clinton did order lim- The US invasion and occupation of Iraq, in
ited cruise missile strikes against targets in particular, has substantially increased the appeal
Afghanistan and Sudan (where bin Laden had of Al Qaeda’s ideology, even among Muslims
been based earlier in the decade), specifically in who deplored the September 11 attacks. Many
response to the embassy bombings, he failed to Muslims viewed this as an unprovoked attack on
take any decisive action against this grave and a Muslim country with no involvement in 9/11.
growing threat. For a substantial number, it has provided dra-
Clinton’s political will for taking such action matic, conclusive evidence for the claim that the
was limited in part by the impeachment pro- USA is at war with Islam. In presenting its Iraq
ceedings against him. Perhaps more significantly, policies as part of a global war on terror, the
Clinton and his advisors believed that military Bush administration argues that by fighting ter-
action would not be effective and that the US rorists in Iraq it is preventing them from attack-
public had little tolerance for putting troops on ing the United States. It is true that Iraq has
the ground in hostile territory. The attacks on become a magnet for Al Qaeda loyalists and
the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, of other terrorists, though that by itself does not
course, swiftly changed that public mood. prevent an attack on the USA or elsewhere, espe-
The September 11 attacks were as tactically cially if the number of terrorists is growing. The
brilliant as they were terrifying, but their strate- greater danger is that Iraq will descend into civil
gic success remains an open question. Because war and state collapse when and if US troops
they prompted such a massive and militarised depart, making it a new haven for Al Qaeda and
response from the United States, they seemed at Al Qaeda-inspired terrorists.
354 The future
The future will not put an end to terrorism, but it will limit
the number of people taking up this abhorrent
In conclusion, terrorism will remain a central practice.
issue in global politics for the foreseeable future.
The past decade or so has witnessed two major
changes in the nature of terrorism. First, it has Further Reading
become globalised, in terms of both objectives
Falk, Richard (2002) The Great Terror War, New
transcending local concerns and worldwide net-
York: Interlink.
works linked principally via the new information
technologies. Second, while the number of A useful, provocative analysis of the conflict
groups using terrorist tactics seems to be on the between Al Qaeda and the United States, by a
decline, today’s terrorists, and tomorrow’s, seem leading international law scholar and progres-
willing and able to kill large numbers of civilians sive critic of US policy.
to advance their goals. The great danger facing
the world is the prospect of terrorist organisa- Hoffman, Bruce (1999) Inside Terrorism, New
tions like Al Qaeda acquiring nuclear weapons. York: Columbia University Press.
Unlike states, Al Qaeda wants nuclear weapons Clear and comprehensive survey of terrorism as
in order to use them against its enemies, not to it stood in the mid-1990s, by one of the most
deter an enemy attack. Unlike states, a nuclear- widely cited terrorism experts. In a well-
armed Al Qaeda could not be deterred by researched book published three years before
threats of a reciprocal attack. A terrorist bomb, 9/11, it is startling to note that neither Bin
should it come, will not have a return address. Laden nor Al Qaeda are even listed in the index.
Preventing this possibility must be a priority not
just of the United States and its allies but of the Laqueur, Walter (2003) No End to War: Terrorism
entire international community. To date, in the Twenty-first Century, London: Continuum.
though, it is not clear that the ‘war on terror’ is A comprehensive, pessimistic view, from a con-
the best way to prevent nuclear terrorism or to servative scholar deeply informed by a sense of
combat and constrain the new global terrorism history. The author is an authority in the field
more generally. Military force can play a role, and has written many books on terrorism and its
but the international community needs to history.
develop an alternative, multilateral approach to
halting terrorist violence and other crimes Scheuer, Michael (2004) Imperial Hubris,
against humanity. Washington, DC: Potomac Books.
The challenge of the new global terrorism
Originally published anonymously by a senior,
requires not so much a ‘new kind of war’ as a
long-term CIA analyst long responsible for the
fundamental, long-term commitment by the
agency’s Bin Laden watch (until his recent resig-
‘community of nations’ to enhance forms of
nation in protest, which has allowed him to
multilateral cooperation (in areas such as intelli-
speak publicly). Combines a scathing critique of
gence sharing and law enforcement), to
US policy with a brilliant explication of the Al
strengthen international law forbidding the use
Qaeda world view. See also Through Our Enemies’
of organised violence against civilians and to
Eyes: Osama Bin Laden, Radical Islam, and the
develop global institutions better able to uphold
Future of America (2003), by the same author,
that law. No government can put ‘an end to evil’
Potomac Books.
(to quote the title of a book by two former US
administration figures), nor can a global war put See also the website of the Council on Foreign
an end to terrorist practices for all time. Relations – www.cfr.org – which links to the
The key to minimising terrorist violence in the Council’s dedicated website on terrorism. This
future is to build up the normative structures site is easy to navigate, well edited and lucidly
against political violence of all forms. As political written. It is arranged topically, something like
violence becomes increasingly unacceptable (as an online encyclopedia of terrorism, and
slavery did during the nineteenth century) ter- includes bibliographic information for further
rorist acts will fail to attract support for or ideo- reading. It also provides links to other quality
logical conversion to the terrorists’ cause. That websites on the subject.
355
APPENDIX: Timelines
1: HUMANITARIAN ACTION
1945 Cooperative for American Remittances to of the Wounded and Sick in Armed Forces in the
Europe (CARE) was founded to provide relief to Field; Convention II for the Amelioration of the
survivors of the Second World War Condition of the Wounded, Sick and Shipwrecked
1945 November – 1946 October Twenty-one Members of Armed Forces at Sea; Convention III
Nazi leaders were prosecuted in Nuremberg for relative to the Treatment of Prisoners of War; and
crimes of aggression, war crimes and crimes Convention IV relative to the Protection of Civilian
against humanity. Eleven were sentenced to death, Persons in time of War
three were acquitted and the rest were imprisoned 1947–1954 In Indochina, ICRC struggled to carry
1946 October In the wake of the precedent set out independent humanitarian action during the
by Nuremberg, an international congress was war for independence from France
convened in Paris calling for the adoption of an 1956 During the Suez Crisis, the ICRC assisted
international criminal code prohibiting crimes prisoners of war, the wounded and sick and
against humanity and the prompt establishment of civilians
an International Criminal Court (ICC) 1956 October At the Hungarian uprising, the
1946 December UN General Assembly affirmed ICRC set up an emergency operation to help
the Principles of International Law recognised by people caught up in the violence that had broken
the Charter of the Nuremberg Tribunal out in the Hungarian capital, Budapest, dealing
1946 December UN International Children’s with relief supplies, prisoners, separated families
Emergency Fund (UNICEF) established 1962 December Red Cross began collecting
1946 April – 1948 November The medicines and food for Cuba in exchange for
International Military Tribunal for the Far East release of Bay of Pigs POWs
prosecuted Japanese soldiers for war crimes, 1964 March Red Cross aided victims of massive
crimes against peace and crimes against earthquake at Anchorage in Alaska
humanity. Seven were sentenced to death 1965 October Red Cross Movement adopted its
1948 UN Universal Declaration of Human Rights Seven Fundamental Principles: Humanity,
1948 April World Health Organisation (WHO) Impartiality, Neutrality, Independence, Voluntary
established by the UN Service, Unity, and Universality
1948 December UN General Assembly adopted 1965 UN Development Fund established
the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment 1968 Biafran war: disagreement within the Red
of the Crime of Genocide Cross about how to deal with gross human rights
1948 December 10 The UN General Assembly abuses caused a split that resulted in a group of
adopted the Universal Declaration of Human doctors forming Médécins Sans Frontières
Rights detailing human rights and fundamental (Doctors Without Borders)
freedoms 1968 May An International Conference adopted a
1949 August Geneva Conventions established: Resolution on the Human Rights in Armed
Convention I for the Amelioration of the Condition Conflicts at Teheran in Iran
356 1: Humanitarian Action
1968 November The UN General Assembly caused a famine, the United States government
decided there was no statute of limitations to war initially provided more than $8 million in general
crimes and crimes against humanity humanitarian aid
1975 April Red Cross began a four-month 1995 April Red Cross aided victims of bombing
Operation New Life for Vietnam refugees brought of Federal Building in Oklahoma City
to the USA 1997 May The UN Tribunal for Yugoslavia
1975 The Helsinki Accords were the Final Act of handed down its first conviction, sentencing a
the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Bosnian Serb concentration camp guard to 20
Europe held in Helsinki years in prison for crimes against humanity and
1977 June Additional Protocols of the Geneva violations of the laws and customs of war
Conventions were adopted: I, relating to the 1997 UN disbanded the Department of
Protection of Victims of International Armed Humanitarian Affairs to create the Office of
Conflicts; and II, relating to the Protection of Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)
Victims of Non-International Armed Conflicts 1997 UNICEF reported that more than 1.2 million
1980 October A UN Conference in Geneva people, including 750,000 children below the age
established Prohibitions on the Use of Certain of five, had died because of the scarcity of food
Conventional Weapons Which May be Deemed to and medicine
be Excessively Injurious or to Have Indiscriminate 1997 International Campaign to Ban Landmines
Effects (ICBL) won the Nobel Peace Prize
1983 January United States blood banking 1998 Director of the UN Oil-for-Food Programme,
groups issued their first warning about AIDS Denis Halliday, resigned in protest over the
1984 December UN General Assembly adopted programme’s inadequacy
the Convention Against Torture and Other Cruel, 1998 A World Health Organization (WHO) report
Inhuman or Degrading Treatment or Punishment stated that each month, between 5,000 and 6,000
1986 South African government expelled ICRC Iraqi children died because of sanctions
from the country in retaliation for not being 1998 June Rome Statute establishing the
invited to an ICRC conference. South Africa International Criminal Court was finalised and
shortly after rescinded the expulsion adopted
1989 June Trinidad and Tobago resurrected the 1998 September The UN Tribunal for Rwanda
proposal for an International Criminal Court and handed down its first conviction, finding a
the UN General Assembly asked the International Rwandan Hutu leader guilty of genocide
Law Commission to prepare draft statutes 1998 October British authorities arrested former
1989 October Red Cross aided 14,000 families Chilean dictator Augusto Pinochet on an
affected by an earthquake in Northern California. extradition request from a Spanish judge who
Hurricane Andrew hit Florida and led to multi-year brought charges of genocide, torture and other
Red Cross aid crimes during his rule in the 1970s–1980s
1991 Iraq: UN Safe Haven and No Fly Zones in 1999 March Red Cross initiated Nucleic Acid
Iraq for Kurds and Shia Testing (NAT) which provides early detection of
1992 US military operation with the support of HIV and Hepatitis C in blood
the United Nations went to Somalia to deliver 2000 The second director of the Oil-for-Food
humanitarian aid and restore order; led eventually Programme, Hans von Sponeck, resigned in
to the Battle of Mogadishu in 1993 protest, objecting to the impact of sanctions on
1993 May The UN Security Council established the Iraqi civilian population
an International Criminal Tribunal to prosecute 2000 Oxfam International founded
war crimes in the former Yugoslavia 2000 August UN Security Council called for the
1994 November The UN General Assembly establishment of a ‘Special Court’ to prosecute
established a second International Criminal war crimes in Sierra Leone
Tribunal to prosecute war crimes in Rwanda 2001 January Cambodian National assembly
1995 Responding to a flood in North Korea that passed legislation to establish a tribunal in
2: Politics and instability in global markets 357
conjunction with the United Nations to prosecute become targets of the postwar violence, pulled
‘senior leaders’ of the Khmer Rouge for atrocities out of the country, leaving essential relief work to
from 1975 to 1979 their Iraqi colleagues and slowing the
2001 February Red Cross joined other groups reconstruction effort
to launch Measles Initiative, a five-year plan to 2004 October Margaret Hassan, head of CARE
eradicate the disease in sub-Saharan Africa by International in Baghdad, was taken hostage and
immunising children subsequently murdered. Consequently, CARE
2003 March The war against Iraq began when International closed all operations in Iraq
the USA launched Operation Iraqi Freedom 2004 December Magnitude 9.0 earthquake off
2003 October The Madrid Conference, an west coast of Indonesia triggered massive
international donors’ conference of 80 nations to tsunami that brought death and destruction to 12
raise funds for the reconstruction of Iraq, yielded countries. American Red Cross joined
$13 billion in addition to the $20 billion already international relief effort
pledged by the United States. This amount fell 2005 August ICRC delegates had access to
short of the overall target of $56 billion, the figure Algerian detainees from 1955 onwards and noted
the World Bank and the UN estimated that Iraq the occurrence of torture. They were not allowed
needed over the next four years to talk about it but Le Monde published a
2004 September/October A great majority of summary of the report – press article published in
foreign aid workers in Iraq, fearing they had Le Temps (Switzerland)
1978 In the United Kingdom the ‘Winter of 1991 Indian Prime Minister Narasimha Rao
Discontent’ marked the nadir of Keynesian confronted payments crisis and began major
economic policies reform of what had been known as the ‘Permit
1979 Election of Margaret Thatcher started Raj’
‘Thatcher revolution’ in Britain 1991 USSR disintegrated: a Russian Federation
1979 Iranian Revolution turned against was the main successor state
Westernisation, offered Islamic alternative; 1992 Price controls ended; privatisation of
sparked second oil shock Russia’s state industries began
1979 In the United States inflation reached 13.3 1992 In the United States the NAFTA treaty
per cent; Paul Volcker took over Federal Reserve; passed over labour, environmental objections,
tight money policy triggered recession launched decade of free-trade activism
1980 Polish Solidarity movement began in 1994 Apartheid was phased out in South Africa,
shipyards to become the main force in toppling ending closed economy; Mandela’s socialist ANC
communism launched market reforms
1981 New French President Mitterrand’s election 1994 After health reform failed, President Clinton
brought an experiment with nationalisation and refocused on a centrist ‘New Democrat’ economic
socialist economic policy programme, welfare reform and globalisation
1981 President Reagan introduced supply-side issues
economics and deregulated markets 1994 The US Treasury intervention staved off the
1982 Mexican default on international loans Mexican Peso Crisis and prevented default on
sparked global debt crisis and ‘lost decade’ for international debt
developing nations 1996 United States President Clinton balanced the
1983 French nationalisation experiment ended, budget, proclaimed ‘big government is over’
setting the tone for a new type of European social 1997 Tony Blair completed centrist repositioning
democracy of the British Labour Party with a resounding
1984 First major privatisation of a state-owned election victory; the party was re-elected in 2001
industry: British Telecom and 2005
1984 In Britain, Thatcher broke the miners’ union 1997 Chinese Communist Party Congress
and closed money-losing mines, putting endorsed ‘Deng Xiaoping Theory’, dismantling the
thousands out of work state-owned industrial sector
1985 In Bolivia rampant hyperinflation was cured 1997 Speculative boom triggered run on the Thai
with radical market liberalisation and reform, currency; ensuing collapse signalled the end of
pioneering ‘shock therapy’ method the ‘Asian miracle’
1986 After becoming the USSR leader in 1985, 1997 In Indonesia the spreading Asian crisis took
Gorbachev began glasnost and perestroika social and political toll in the region’s largest,
1987 European Single Market Act approved; next poorest country; Suharto was deposed
step toward the European Economic Union 1997 The IMF and the USA were forced to
1988 Japan ‘miracle’ peaks as Tokyo Stock organise the rescue of South Korean banks to
Exchange capitalization matches NYSE prevent further spread of Asian ‘contagion’
1989 Berlin Wall came down; ‘Iron Curtain’ fell; 1998 International financial instability spread to
Cold War ended Russia, which defaulted on international loans;
1990 Reunification of Germany: West must rouble was devalued
assimilate socialist East 1999 Financial contagion reached Wall Street:
1990 ‘Shock therapy’ used in Bolivia was repeated Long-Term Capital Management hedge fund failed,
successfully in Poland; Lech Walesa became endangering the banking system
president 1999 In the United States, the Seattle WTO
1990 Japanese market bubble was deflated but summit crystallised potent global opposition to
inertia prevented reform of the banking system institutions and the politics of global integration
and subsidised domestic sector 2001 Terrorist airliner attack destroyed the World
3: Transnational organised crime and the drug industry 359
Trade Center in New York City and rocked global course, created new agencies, reintroduced
financial markets Keynesian stance in economic policy
2001 WTO met in the Gulf State of Qatar to 2002 AIDS pandemic threatened economic future
initiate a new round of global trade talks of most nations in sub-Saharan Africa
2002 Euro replaced national currencies of 2002 In the wake of a series of corporate financial
Germany, France and ten other European nations scandals, including Enron, Tyco International and
2002 Deep interest-rate cuts failed to revive the WorldCom, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act was signed
Japanese economy; value of yen sank to a new into law to review the existing legislative audit
low against other key currencies requirements. It has been considered the most
2002 Argentina defaulted on billions in debt; significant change to United States securities laws
social and political unrest led to the resignation of since the New Deal in the 1930s
two presidents in two weeks 2003 Iraq was invaded by US and British forces
2002 After WTC attacks, President Bush reversed to depose Saddam Hussein’s regime
money laundering and racketeering, and the Twentieth Special Session of the United
sentenced to 40 years in federal prison Nations General Assembly.
1993 Aleksei Tikhomirov and Oleg Baranov were A declaration on ‘Combating Drugs and
sentenced to three-and-a-half years in prison after International Crime’ was issued at the G8 Summit
stealing 4.5 kg of low-grade uranium from in Birmingham in England
Russia’s Sevmorput naval shipyard 2000 The United Nations Convention against
1993 Colombian drug lord Pablo Escobar killed by Transnational Organised Crime and the three
the Colombian police related Protocols was the first universal
1994 During a German police raid on the convention to stipulate a comprehensive
house of Adolf Jaekle, a businessman under framework to combat transnational organised
investigation for counterfeiting, 6.15 grams of crime and represented a legal foundation for global
nearly pure plutonium were discovered measures in the future. The Convention contained,
1994 The Clinton Administration ordered a shift in among others, provisions on criminalisation of
policy away from the anti-drug campaigns of money laundering, corruption and obstruction of
previous administrations. Instead the focus justice, and those on international cooperation, in
included ‘institution building’ with the hope that particular, extradition and mutual legal assistance
by ‘strengthening democratic governments 2000 Japan hosted the Asia-Pacific Symposium
abroad, [it] will foster law-abiding behavior and on Trafficking in Persons
promote legitimate economic opportunity’ 2000 First high-level meeting between
1994 Germans Gustav Illich and Vaclav Havlik government and industry on Safety and
were arrested for selling stolen nuclear materials Confidence in Cyberspace was held in Paris
to an undercover agent. Only a small amount of among G8 member governments and industry
their 800 mg of highly enriched uranium was 2000 In Kyoto, the ‘International Payment Card
recovered, making this the first case with hard Crime Initiative Draft Framework Document’ was
evidence that more bomb-grade material was adopted
hidden somewhere 2000 President Clinton sent $1.3 billion in aid to
1994 German Justiniano Torres Benitez and help Colombia combat drug traffickers
Spaniards Julio Oroz and Javier Bengoechea 2001 China executed 57 people on anti-drug day.
Arratibel were arrested at the Munich airport after Thousands of spectators attended a rally at a
carrying 560 g of mixed-oxide reactor fuel from stadium where 20 were sentenced to death to
Moscow. The fuel contained 363 g of weapons- mark a UN anti-drug day
grade plutonium 2002 A naval patrol vessel seized 4 tons of
1994 Russian trader Alexander Scherbinin, cocaine worth $120 million on the Pacific coast of
Prague physicist Dr Vagner and Belorussian Colombia
Kunicky were arrested for possession of 2.7 kg of 2003 Drugs crackdown in Thailand left 2,274
weapon-grade uranium. The nuclear material was dead: the prime minister defended his
identical to the uranium that Germans Gustav controversial war, trumpeting the successful
Illich and Vaclav Havlik were arrested for earlier in conclusion of a three-month campaign
the year 2003 UN Convention Against Corruption
1995 The Golden Triangle region of South-East 2003 UN Convention Against Illicit Drugs
Asia became the leader in opium production 2005 In Colombia, authorities seized $300 million
1998 United Nations Political Declaration and of cocaine in what was claimed to be the single
Action Plan against Money Laundering adopted at largest drugs haul ever
4: Terrorism 361
4: TERRORISM
1959 Basque Fatherland and Liberty (ETA) 1996 US military barracks in Dhahran, Saudi
founded Arabia, were bombed by Islamists opposed to a
1963 Southern racists, including Ku Klux Klan US presence
members, reacted violently to the civil rights 1998 Real IRA detonated a car bomb in the town
movement in Birmingham, Alabama, carrying out marketplace at Omagh in Northern Ireland, killing
a bombing campaign that earned the city the 29 bystanders
nickname ‘Bombingham’. There a KKK bomb 1999–2000 UN and other aid workers were
killed four young girls attending Sunday school at targeted by various armed groups fighting a civil
the 16th Street Baptist Church war in Sierra Leone
1972 In a tragedy played out on worldwide 2001 Al Qaeda used hijacked airliners in a highly
television, members of a Palestinian terror group coordinated attack on US government and civilian
killed two and seized nine Israeli athletes at the targets in Washington and New York
Munich Olympics. German police failed in 2002 A car bomb exploded at Lima in Peru, a few
attempts to free the hostages and all nine were days before a visit by US President George W.
murdered. Israeli commandos later tracked down Bush
and killed most of the surviving hostage takers 2002 A series of blasts ripped through nightclubs
1982 Hezbollah formed after Israeli invasion in popular with foreign tourists on Bali in Indonesia,
Lebanon killing 202 people and injuring hundreds more
1983 Sixty-three people died in an attack by the 2003 Civil strife in Colombia erupted in a series of
Lebanese group Hezbollah on the US Embassy in nightclub bombings in Bogotá that killed dozens
Beirut – the first time a suicide attack caused of people
mass casualties in the Arab-Israeli conflict. Later 2000s A Palestinian uprising against Israeli
that year, more than 240 US Marines died in military occupation included bombing and
another suicide bombing. President Reagan shooting in Israel and the occupied territories.
reacted by withdrawing US troops Civilians on both sides were frequently killed
1980s Al Qaeda founded by Osama Bin Laden 2004 Four commuter trains in Madrid, Spain,
1995 The USA was focused more on foreign were bombed by a group linked to al Qaeda,
terrorism than domestic – until an attack on killing 191 people
Oklahoma City’s federal building killed 168 people, 2004 Chechen rebels took over a school in
including 19 children. The attack drew attention to Beslan, Russia. Hundreds of hostages died in the
radical antigovernment rightists standoff, including many children
1995 Japanese religious cult Aum Shinrikyo 2004 As coalition troops engaged with insurgents
released the deadly nerve gas sarin into the Tokyo in Iraq, terrorists bombed and kidnapped Iraqi
subway system at rush hour. The attack, which officials and foreigners
killed 12 people and sickened thousands, 2004 Series of videoed beheadings of hostages in
demonstrated the vulnerability of modern Iraq
transportation systems
362 5: Foreign aid and debt relief
7: DIPLOMACY
17th century In Europe, diplomacy became 1945 After the Second World War, the League of
continuous rather than occasional and was Nations was replaced by the United Nations. At the
concentrated so as to become the sole preserve same time, the number of international bodies such
of states and rulers as the International Monetary Fund increased, thus
1815 The first organised system for coordinating increasing the scope of diplomacy. This process
diplomacy, called the Concert of Europe, emerged developed further in the 1960s and 1970s
at the Congress held in Vienna (1814–1815) in 1961 A UN conference in Vienna produced a
Austria. International rules about the conduct of definitive international treaty defining and
diplomacy began to be made in Vienna and at the regulating the practice of diplomacy – the Vienna
Congress of Aix-la-Chapelle (Aachen) in Germany Convention on Diplomatic Relations. In the
in 1818 decade following, further treaties expanded and
1860s The introduction of the electric telegraph refined the process
increased the pace and scope of diplomacy across 1990s and after The emergence of a fully global
the world political and economic system ended the sole
1919/1920 The post-First World War peace right of states to conduct diplomacy and
conference in Paris debated ways of making significant private organizations, particularly in the
diplomacy into a permanent and non-optional areas of humanitarian relief, human rights and
institution, resulting in the establishment of the environmental issues, began to enter the field of
League of Nations in 1920 diplomacy
8: Environment 365
8: ENVIRONMENT
1948 International Union for the Protection of 1974 United Nations convened the first World
Nature (became International Union for Conference on Population in Bucharest
Conservation of Nature in 1956) was founded 1974 Cocoyoc Declaration was issued linking the
near Paris global maldistribution of resources with
1949 United Nations Scientific Conference on the environmental degradation
Conservation and Utilisation of Resources was 1974 United Nations convened the World Food
held in Lake Success, New York Conference in Rome, leading to the creation of the
1956 First person died of Minimata Disease World Food Council and the World Food
(mercury poisoning) in Japan Programme
1958 First United Nations Conference on the Law 1974 Global population reached 4 billion
of the Sea was held in Geneva 1975 Dag Hammarskjöld Foundation issued What
1960 Global human population reached 3 billion Now: Another Development calling for economic
1961 World Wildlife Fund (became World Wide and social development premised upon self-
Fund for Nature) was founded in Switzerland reliance and basic needs
1962 Rachel Carson’s Silent Spring was published 1976 United Nations convened the United Nations
1966 First pictures of the Earth as seen from Conference on Human Settlements in Vancouver,
outer space leading to the creation of the Habitat Programme
1967 Oil tanker Torrey Canyon was wrecked off 1977 United Nations convened the United Nations
Land’s End, England, spilling 118,000 tons of Conference on Desertification in Nairobi to
crude oil highlight the spread of desert-like conditions in
1968 Swedish government moved to discuss ‘the several parts of the world
human environment’ at the United Nations 1977 United Nations convened the United Nations
Economic and Social Council Water Conference in Mar del Plata (Argentina),
1968 International Conference of Experts on the establishing the goal of providing all people in the
Scientific Basis for Rational Use and Conservation world with clean water and adequate sanitation
of the Resources of the Biosphere was held in 1979 World Meteorological Organisation
Paris announced that the ‘greenhouse effect’ resulting
1970 First Earth Day (April 21) was celebrated in from the accumulation of carbon dioxide required
the United States urgent international action
1971 United Nations Economic and Social Council 1980 The Independent Commission on
established its Man and the Biosphere Programme International Development Issues (chaired by
1972 The Ecologist published Blueprint for West German Chancellor Willy Brandt) published
Survival calling for the establishment of a North-South: A Program for Survival
‘steady-state society’ recommending large-scale increases in
1972 Club of Rome published Limits to Growth development assistance and the preparation of
(written by Donella and Dennis Meadows) environmental impact assessments
contending that growing human population and 1980 The International Union for the Conservation
resource consumption would encounter several of Nature, the United Nations Environment
notable limits over the next 100 years Programme and the World Wildlife Fund issued
1972 United Nations Conference on the Human World Conservation Strategy calling for ‘global
Environment was held in Stockholm, leading to coordinated efforts for sustainable development’
the creation of the United Nations Environment 1980 United States government issued The Global
Programme 2000 Report to the president calling for renewed
1974 United Nations Convention on International attention in addressing severe global
Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and environmental problems
Flora (CITES) was opened for signature in 1982 United Nations General Assembly endorsed
Washington the report World Charter for Nature produced by
366 8: Environment
the International Union for the Conservation of 1992 United Nations Conference on Environment
Nature and Development (Earth Summit) was held in Rio
1984 A chemical plant in Bhopal, India operated de Janeiro to launch international agreements on
by Union Carbide exploded, releasing methyl climate change, biodiversity, forest management
isocyanate gas, killing an estimated 2,800 people and sustainable development
and injuring tens of thousands of others 1992 United Nations General Assembly
1985 British scientists discovered a ‘hole’ in the established the Commission on Sustainable
stratosphere over Antarctica caused by the Development to coordinate international activities
atmospheric accumulation of chlorofluorocarbons pertaining to sustainable development
1986 The Chernobyl nuclear power station in 1994 The United Nations convened the
Ukraine experienced a major accident that International Conference on Population and
released radioactive material across the Development in Cairo to advance the political and
surrounding region and northern Europe reproductive rights of women
1987 The World Commission on Environment and 1996 The United Nations convened the Second
Development, chaired by Norwegian Prime United Nations Conference on Human Settlements
Minister Gro Harlem Brundtland, released its (Habitat II) in Istanbul
report, Our Common Future, placing sustainable 1997 The Conference of the Parties to the United
development on the international policy agenda Nations Climate Change Convention agreed to
1987 Under the aegis of the United Nations establish a mandatory system to reduce
Environment Programme, negotiations were emissions of greenhouse gases
concluded on the Montreal Protocol to reduce the 1999 Global population reached 6 billion
release of ozone-damaging chlorofluorocarbons 2002 The United Nations convened the World
1987 Global population reached 5 billion Summit on Sustainable Development in
1991 The International Union for the Conservation Johannesburg to review progress over the
of Nature, the United Nations Environment previous decade integrating international
Programme and the World Wildlife Fund issued environmental and developmental objectives
Caring for the Earth: A Strategy for Sustainable
Living
367
Index
Afghanistan 166, 353 Bosnia 280, 291–92, 350
Africa Brazil 92–93
debt 183, 184, 262, 263, 266 Bretton Woods system 85–86, 200–201, 203, 321
map 17 Brezhnev, Leonid 94
poverty 178 British East India Company 143
African Union 53, 74, 86, 89, 96–97 Brussels Treaty (1948) 97–98, 102
AIDS/HIV pandemic 115, 119, 168, 184 Bush, George W. 197, 262, 281, 290, 291, 293
Al Qaeda
Internet, use of 352 Canada-US Free Trade Agreement (FTA) 91,
nuclear weapons 353 321
objectives of 351 capitalism, global 77–78, 105–6
organisation of 351 see also financial system, international; markets,
US invasion of Iraq 292–93, 353 global
and ‘war on terror’ 347, 353, 354 CARE International 258, 259
see also September 11 attacks Caribbean Community (CARICOM) 53–54
American Civil War 334 Central America map 14
American War of Independence 129 China, People’s Republic of 159–61, 190, 288,
Annan, Kofi 119, 148 294
Argentina 92–93 chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) 191
arms trafficking 168–69 civil society
Asia map 18 Council of Europe programmes 100
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) 52, definition of 112–13, 150
74, 89, 250 democracy 114–15
Asian currency crisis 1990s 86–87, 135 global organisations 113
Asian tsunami 269, 272, 273 historical trajectory of 111–12
Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) multilateral organisations, impact on 119–20
52–53, 74, 89, 90–91, 250 private humanitarian organisations 75–76,
associations of states 75–77
cooperative agreements 73 protests, anti-globalisation 117–18, 177, 252
diplomacy 249–51 rule of law 113
first international organisations 80 state-level 112–13
global economic institutions 85–89 summits 118–19
global organisations 81–85 see also non-governmental organisations
international regulation 79, 81 (NGOs)
military alliances 73 Clinton, Bill 85, 149, 193, 194, 195, 197, 262,
regional organisations 89–104 275, 281, 290, 291, 353
asylum seekers 299–300, 302 Cold War 4, 5, 6, 73, 83, 87, 102, 114, 153–54,
asylum applicants, origin and size of 314, 316 226, 231, 277, 295, 334, 338–40, 350
foreigners, integration of 315–16 Columbia 165, 167, 171, 175
in OECD countries 313–15 Common External Tariff (CET) 92
refugees 313–16 Common Market (Europe) 90
UN assistance 312–13 Common Market for Eastern and Southern
Australasia map 19 Africa (COMESA) 62–63
Commonwealth 90
Bank of International Settlements (BIS) 57, 75, communications revolution
107 cultural consequences 7–9
Bell, Alexander Graham 5 political outcomes 3–4, 7–9
bin Laden, Osama 292–93, 351 communism 72, 130, 288, 337
see also Al Qaeda computers 3, 5–6
Bolivia 165 Concert of Europe 81–82, 227
368 Index
free movement of labour policy 301 Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative
Kyoto Protocol 197 (HIPC) 87, 264–66
regional organisations 54, 74–75, 90 HIV see AIDS/HIV
state concept 135–37 human rights
and WEU 98 human trafficking 168
law 278–79
fascism 72, 130, 337 multinationals, and violation of 146
Federal Reserve Bank (US) 202 NGOs 39–41
financial system, international sovereignty 277
financial crises 1990s 208–9 Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UN)
market vulnerability 207 149, 277
reregulation 209–10 humanitarian action
transnational legal regimes 207–8 compassion 271–72
Washington consensus 208 contemporary conflicts 272, 275–76, 284–85
First World War 82, 334–37 definition of 272
Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO) 84 expansion of 281–82
foreign aid interventions 1990s 272, 279–81
bilateral and multilateral agencies 257, 258t, laws 278–79
260 major international actors 273, 276, 282
de-colonisation 258 natural disasters 272–73
democracy 262 politics of 282–84
developing countries 261, 283–84 private humanitarian organisations 75–76,
embedded liberalism 259 75–77
historical development of 257–58, 259, 260 religious values 271–72, 279, 282
official development assistance 257 resources 273, 274–75
oil crisis 1970s 258 Hussein, Saddam 293
and security 261–62
statistics 32 industrial revolution 2, 79, 129–30
Washington consensus 258–59 intellectual property rights 324–25
see also debt, and debt relief Inter-American Development Bank (IADB)
foreign direct investment (FDI) 326–27 55–56
capitalisation 330 inter-governmental organisations (IGOs)
developing countries 328–29 prominent 49–65
downturn 328, 329–30 regional 74–75
global competition for 230 war, prevention of 73
hedge funds 331 internally displaced persons (IDPs) 278
indicators, and international production 329 International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) 84
mergers and acquisitions 328–30 International Campaign to Ban Landmines 113,
multinationals 139 114, 281–82
mutual fund 331 International Chamber of Commerce 251
foreign services International Committee of Voluntary
public diplomacy 248–50 Associations (ICVA) 254
relevance of 246–47 International Criminal Court (ICC) 61–62,
French Revolution (1789) 129, 348 84–85, 231, 278, 281, 350
international humanitarian law (IHL) 278
G7 summits 93, 263, 264 International Labour Organisation (ILO) 84,
General Agreement on Tariffs and Trades 148, 149
(GATT) 74, 81, 94, 201, 252, 321, 324–25 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 50–51, 74,
see also World Trade Organisation 81, 84, 85, 155, 183, 204–5, 246, 251, 262–66
General Agreement on Trade and Services International Trade Organisation (ITO) 86, 251
(GATS) 324 Internet
Geneva Convention 231, 271, 278 access inequalities 22, 161–63, 185–86
Geneva Refugee Convention 316 commercial applications 239–40
genocide 231, 291–92, 350 communications revolution 2, 3
Germany 4, 97, 98 development of 5–6, 238–39
see also First World War; Second World War environmental issues 133
Global Compact (UN) 148–49 hactivism 242
Global Peace Operations Initiative (GPOI) 281 imperialism 160–61
Global Positioning System (GPS) 173, 235 independence of 229
global warming 192–93, 194t local and particularist activities 8
globalisation 1, 2 as mass medium 295–96
Gorbachev, Mikhail 95, 133 online communities 240–41, 352
Gore, Al 197 regulation of 158–61
Great Depression 72, 80, 200 search engines 241
370 Index