TRUONG DAI HOC BACH KHOA. BK TP.HCM BAO CAO BAI TAP LON SO 1 XAC SUAT THONG KE sole GVHD: Nguyén Kiéu Dung Thyc Hign: Nhém 05, Lép L17 sTT HO VATEN Mssv vd ") NGANH 1 Huynh Tan Anh 1910784 | LITA Co Bién TH 2 Huynh Tan Chuong 1910884 | LITA Co Khi 3 De Ngoc Thanh Danh 1912838 | LITA Co Dién TH 4 Lé Van Duy 1912888 | LITA Co Bién TH 5 Bui Van Du 1912972 | LITA Co Bién TH 6 [Pham Hong Hiép 1911183 | LI7A | Co Dién Te 7__[Nguyén Ngoc Trring Son__| 1911980 [ LITA Co Khi 8 Tran Van Ha 1913264 | LI7B Co Bién TH 9 | Nguyén Ba Toan 1915547 | Li7c | Co Dién TeLOIMO DAU Trong qué trinh hoc dai hoc néi chung va tham gia Iép hoc “Xac suat thong ké” n6i riéng, bai bao céo vé hoc phan nay sé gitip chting ta phan nao ap dung nhimng céng thite vao thuc tién tiy dé dua ra nhfing két luan khdch qua thong qua nhiing con sé biét néi. Cu thé hon é tai ma nhém chung em mudn tim hiéu, nghién ctu nhan manh 6 day 1a” Khéo sét thoi gian danh sw quan tam dén gia dinh va ngwoi than cia sinh vién” Nhom chting em lam ¢@ tai nay mong muén dwa ra céi nhin tng quat nhat vé van dé su quan tam cita sinh vién dén gia dinh khi bude vao cénh céng dai hoc thong qua nhétng sé liéu thuc té ma nhém thu thap duoc be cc ban sinh vién Trvong Dai Hoc Bach Khoa TPHCM. Voi nhing If do khéc nhau hién dién nhw li do sinh vién hay goi vé nha: tam Ly, tién bac , tinh hinh hoe tap... cfing ahw tan suat ic ban sinh vign goi vé gia dinh trong tuan. Nhom nhan thay day 1a mot dé tai v6 cing thd vi khéng chi gitip cdc thanh vién cia nhom hiéu hon vé ly thuyét thong ké cé da day trén Idp ma con cé nhifng cai nhin thiét thuc, phan anh mét phan nao dé cuéc song cfing nh nguyén vong cia nhéng ban sinh vién. Bai bio cdo nay duoc xy dung trén co sé sdch gido trinh “Xac suat va thong ke” cia Truong Dai Hoc Bach Khoa TPHCM, kién thitc da tiép thu duoc tir cdc bai gidng cfing nhw sw chi dan tan tinh ciia c6 Nguyén Kiéu Dung. Dé liéu st dung trong bai béo cdo doc nhém thu thap thong qua khao sat véi sinh vién cia trréng Dai hoc Bach Khoa, nhém xin chan thanh cam on sw dong g6p cia cdc ban trong dé tai lan nay. Mac di nhém chting em da cé gang hoan thanh bai bao céo tot nhat nhung cing khong trénh khdi sai s6t, mong nhan doc sw nhan xét, dénh gid cfing nhw hudng dan cia c6 dé nhém 6 thé diéu chinh va hoan thién hon,MUC LUC Dé ligu sir dung: Bai toan: .. Co si ly thuyét Loi gidi tinh tay:... Loi gidi str dung Excel: ‘Dé lieu si dung Bai toan: .. Co si ly thuyét: tinh tay: sit dung Excel: Dé ligu sir dung: Bai toan: .. Co si ly thuyét: Loi gidi tinh tay:... Loi gidi str dung Excel: Dé ligu sir dung: Bai toan:..... Co si ly thuyét: Loi gidi tinh tay:... Loi gidi str dung Excel: Cau 5: Dé ligu sir dung: Bai toan: .. Co si ly thuyét: tinh tay: sit dung Excel: Dé ligu sir dung: Bai toan: .. Co si ly thuyét Loi gidi tinh tay:... mone pPmonazeePmonweerPmoneePmoneepP mons pe Loi gidi str dung Excel:Cau 1: A. Dit ligu six dung: Thi gian ro truyén ti dé ligu thu thap dwoc tir file dit liéu excel “A37_Dulieu.xlsx” dinh kém, gém 317 dé liéu vé théi gian. 3 26 30 30. 30 10 20 30 10 5 20 12 60 6 2 50. 5 5 8 45 B. Bai toan: Tim cac dac trung tir mau dit liéu 2. Tim cc khong tin cay cho gid tri trung binh va phwong sai cita tong thé 3. Trong mét cudc khao sat su quan tam dén gia dinh ciia sinh vién, ta thay c6 186 ban trén tang sé 317 ding hinh thite goi video vé cho gia dinh. Hay tim khoang ude lwong cho ti 1é goi video véi d6 tin cay 98% trén co sé dé C. Co sé ly thuyét: “> Tim khoang tin cay cho trung binh téng thé: Cho miu cé kich thuée n, trung binh mau X, phuong sai mau hiéu chinh s?. Tim khoang wéc lvong ciia trung binh tong thé a véi dé tin cay la l-a - Truong hop n>30 Taeé: P([¥-a| Tim khoang tin cay cho phwong sai tong thé: Cho miu cé kich thuéc n, phuong sai m4u hiéu chinh s’. Tim khoang wéc wong cia phuong sai tong thé o* voi dé tin cay I- a. - Phwong phap gidi trong trréng hop tang thé co phan phéi chuan: (a=) Voi 0 +a, = ar, ta cd: Tir dé voi mét mAu cu thé ta c6 khoang wéc long cha o” (es our} Ka HM ng, (2-1) Dé thuan tién cho viéc tra bang trong cdc bai todn tim khoang wéc wong cla o* ta on xét vé @ ludn xét véi a, = oF, Khi dé khoang uéc hrong cha O° 1a (n=1)s* | (n=1)s? XK (=) Feln1) . Lai giai tinh tay: 1. Dac treng mau- Trung binh: x= = 23,70031546 - Trung vi: x,,, = 20 (vi kich thudc mau 12, sap xép mau theo thé ty tang dan). - Yéu vi (mode! : mode =30 (vi xuat hién thwong xuyén nhat) 12 1! oa oo Dai -F =o a 317 - Phuong sai miu: 474,3739116 - Dé léch mau: 5 21,78012653 - Phuong sai mau hiéu chinh: 475,875095 Dé Itch mau hitu ctinh : $= 5 18146. ._Khoang tin cay cho gid tri trung binh va phuong sai cia téng thé * Khodng tin cay cho gid tri trung binh: - Dé léch mau hiéu chinh 1a s = 21,81456153 (phuit) - Détincay 1-@=95% - Tacd &Z,)=0,475=>Z, =1,96 1,96.21,8145615: = 2.4014 Vay khoang tin cay cho gid tri tung binh Ia (x— e:x-+ 2) = (21,2989:26,1017) Khodng tin cay cho phwong sai tang thé: - Phuong sai mau hiéu chinh la s* = 475,875095 (phuit) - Détincay 1-a@=95% - Ue lwong khoang cho phuong sai la (n-1).s* | (n-1).s (317-1).s (317-1).s* wa(n-1) 7 (n=1) | Boas (317-1) 7 (317-1) Yaos B17 =1) = CHISQ.INV.RT(0.025,316) = 367,1388461053171) = CHISQ.INV.RT (0,975,316) = 2686480377 Vay khoang tin cay cho phwong sai la (409,59035;559,75294) Khoang wéc rong cho ti 1é goi video véi dé tin cay 98%: = Goip lati lé sinh vién ding hinh thitc goi thoai ting thé. Khoang UL (d6i xing) cho p co dang: (f - ¢:f +) Tinh cac dac trung mu: n = 317; f = 186/317 - Déotincay — a= 98% > &(Z,) = (1- a)/2=0,49 > Z, = 2,33 Tim ngvéng sai sé (hay 1a d6 chinh xc) cha UL: 186( 186 317317 Vay khoang wéc hrong cho p: (f-e:f +2) 0,0644 (0,5224:0,6512) E. Loi giai sir dung Excel: 1, Dac trung cia mau dé liéu thoi gian trd chuyén trung binh cia sinh vién (phiit) - Chon Data/ Data Analysis/ Descriptive Statistics Date Analysis 2 Analysis Tools [anowe: Single Factor 'Anove: Two-Factor With Replication Cancel ‘anova: Two-Factor Without Replication [Correttion \Covarianc Exponential Smoothing F-Test Two-Sample for Variances Fourier anaysis Histogram y = Nhap cdc muc + Input Range: chon tat ca cdc 6 chita dé liéu + Grouped By: dit ligu duoc sip xép theo cét chon Columns + Labels in first row: 6 dau tién chira tén mau + Output Range: Chon 6 chita dau ra 4+ Summary statistics: xuat ra cdc dac trung cita di Lid + Confidence for Means: dé tin cay cho trung binh (95%) Descriptive Statistics x Input OK Input Range: sastsassis [ER Grouped By: © columns cael O Rows Help Output options © Output Range: ScSt O New Worksheet Bly: O New Workbook summary statisties confidence Level forMean: 95 |% (kth Largest: 1 Oikth smatest: 1 - Kat qua thu dee: [Trung tink 23,70031646| [Sai s8 mda [Standard Ever 225227022 [Trung v [Median 20] IMode (Mode 70] [D6 lech mu hig chiah [Standard Devation PARE) [Phuong sai mdu higu elinh [Sample Variance 475,0750940] [50 nhon cia aah IKunosis "14 2887697 [Bo-nghing [Skewness 3,08304646| IKhoang bién thin Range 79] [roi mnigu (Minimum 1 [Toi aa [Maximum a0] [Ting ‘Sum 7313] [sé lwong mau [Count 377] [Bo-tn cay [Confidence Levels 0%) ZAOBIETEG| 2. Khong tin cay cho gid tri trung binh va phuong sai cia ting thé = Khoang tin cay cho théi gian trd chuyén trung binh téng thé: Khoang tin cay = (Trung binh - D6 chinh xc, Trung binh + D6 chinh xc) Trong Excel, Z, = NORMSINV (— «/ 2). Véi 46 tin cay 95% nén = 5%‘Khodng tin cy cia thoi gian tro chuyén [Trung binh (Mean) 23 7003 1546| [Z_alpha 1,959963985 Epxilon (@) 2.407402443 [Can dw6i 21.29891301 [can trén 26.1017179 = Khoang tin cay cho phwong sai thi gian tro chuyén tang thé: Ding ham CHISQ.INV.RT(probability, deg_freedom) dé tinh chi binh phuong (probability < 1, deg_freedom > 1) + Yhos(317- 1) = CHISQ.INV.RT(0.025,316) = 367,1388461 0s (317-1) = CHISQ.INV RT (0.975,316) = 268,648037 Woe liwong phwong sai cho thoi gian tro chuySn tong thé [Phuong sai mau hiéu chinh 4758750948 |CHI_SQUARE (0,025:316) 3671388461 |CHI_SQUARE (0,975:316) 268.6480377| |Can duo 409.5903541 [can trén 59.7629429| 3. Khoang wéc lwong cho ti 1é goi video véi dé tin cay 98%: - Goi p lati Ié sinh vién ding hinh thitc goi video ting thé. - Khoang wéc lvong (460i xttng) cho p c6 dang: (f 6; f +2) 186/317 586751 - Tinh cac dc treng mau: n - BE - Tatinh Z, trén Excel bing ham NORMSINV (1-0.02/ 2) n cay: 1- = 98% => a= 2% 6 (hay 1a d6 chinh xic) cba wée hong: Vfd-f) vn - Tim ngwéng s317] 186] 0.686750789| 72.326347874] Nawéng sai sé e: 0.06433953 Khoang woe lwong: [Can duci 0.522411259 [Can trén 0.651090319| Vay, khoang wéc lwong cho p: ( f — €:,f + €) = (0,522411;0,65109) Cau 2: A. Dé ligu sie dung: ‘Thoi gian wo truyén tt dé ligu thu thap doc ti? file dé liéu excel “A37_Dulieu.xlsx” dinh kém, gdm 317 di liéu nam va ni. B. Bai toan: Khdo st thdi gian (phiit) mi é thdi gian. Dé liéu da duoc phan ra 2 nhém gi Thoi gian tro chuyén HeormeihoarSsBssysssse BSSSershsS+-SsSnsrsRrB véi gia dinh. Véi mic y nghia 5%, c6 thé cho ring thdi gian trd chuyén cia sinh vién nam Ién hon théi gian trochuyén cda sinh vién né& hay khéng, biét thdi gian tro chuyén c6 phan phéi chuan va cé phwong sai bang nhau. C. Co sé ly thuyét: Gia si téng thé X c6 trung binh a,, tng thé X> c6 trung binh a, . Tir tng thé X) co mau kich thuée n,, trung binh mau X, , phwong sai m4u hiéu chinh S? . Te tong thé X2 c6é mau kich thude n,, trung binh mau X,, phuong sai m4u hiéu chinh S?. Hay Tiéu chuan kiém dinh a (M +n,- | uf (n, +n, -2)] ~T(n,+n,-2) ai a2 “Thdi gian td chuyén trung binh véi gia dinh cita nhom nam Ién hon ahém ni" 21,2147; n,=177; 472,6013739; 26.8429 140 465,6298047 Wz = (t,.(, +2, a7 Ds? +040. 177+140-2 Sp Tacé T,, =—2,2965 € W,, = (1,645;+00) Vay, ta tam thoi chap nhan gia thiét Ho “thai gian tro chuyén véi gia dink cia sinh vién nam va né 1a nhu nhau”. E, Loi giai sit dung Excel: Day 1a bai toan t-test véi gia thiét 2 phwong sai tong thé nhu nhau. Goi a, a2 1a théi gian trd chuyén trung binh cia sinh vién nam va nie - Gia thiét kiém dinh: a2 “Thi gian tro chuyén véi gia dinh cia nhom nam va nhém né 1a bang nhau” ~ Gia thiét bac bé: Hi: as > a2 “Thoi gian to chuyén véi gia dinh cia nh6m nam lén hon ahém nit" ‘Trén thanh cng cu chon: Data/ Data Analysis/ t-Test: Two- Sample Assuming Equal Variences Nhap cac muc: + Variable 1 Range: Chon dé liéu cho cot Nam + Variable 2 Range: Chon dé liéu cho cot N& + Labels: © dau tién méi day 1a ten muc + Alpha: mién ¥ nghia 0.05 (5%) + Output Range: Chon 6 dau ra:‘Test: Two Sample Azzumning Equal Variances 2x Input Varable 1 Range: SAS25A5319 2 x Variable 2 Range: SES2:58S319 t Cancel Help ‘Hypothesized Mean Difference: Zsbets Alpha: 0.05 ‘output options © Gurput Ranoe! sDs3T 2 ONew Worksheet Ply: ONew workbook - Ket qua: Nam No Trung binh mau Mean 21.21468927 26.8428571 Phuong sai Variance 472.6013738 465.629805 Sé quan sat Observations 177 140 Phuong sai g6p Pooled Variance 489.5250307 Hypothesized Mean Difference oO df 315, Tiéu chudn kiém dinh t Stat -2,296458058 ac sudt 1 pia P(T<+t) one-tail 0.011152851 Phan vi 1 phia t Critical one-tail 1,649705334 Xéc suat 2 phi P(T=5 ngay) 2 [Goi video| 30 10 60 4 30 0 30 5 10 45 30 6 30 30 T 7 10 60 10 8 20 5 30 9 60 16 16 10 60 30 30 11 5 30 30 2 5 30 20 8 6 45 18 14 10 10 30 18 90 20 15 16 15 10 5 7 30 15 10 18 1 20 30 19 8 5 10 20 30 20 60 21 20 30 60 2 30 20 3 B 10 10 5 24 40 a 60 25 5 30 10 26 T 20 16 2r 5 20 30 B. Bai toa Phan tich sw anh hwéng cia hinh thiéc trd chuyén va sé lan tro chuyén cia sinh vin (ngay/tuan) dén thdi gian sinh vién danh cho 1 cudc tro chu C. Co sé ly thuyét: Dé tang tinh chinh xac khi két ludn vé anh hwéng cia 2 yéu t6 nguyén nhan dén yéu t6 két qua cia mau cho mét tong thé, ta tang cé mau quan sat trong diéu kién cho phép. Goi L 1a sé quan sat trong mét 6, ta cso dang tng qua céa L quan sat trong mat 6 ahw sau Khoi Nhém (groups) (Blocks) I 2 K WSgn n2- Sea Buée 1: Tinh ‘Trung binh méu ting nhém — group (cét): ee HXxL ~ Trung binh mau teng khoi- block (dong): Zl, KxL = Trung binh miu ting 6: - Trung binh chung ciia toan bé mau quan KxHXL Ta cd bang sau day ghi cac két qua tinh toan trén . Nh6m (groups) Trung Khéi ‘Broup: binh (Blocks) |} 2 K | dong Aj 1 xu | Xa Xe x 2 Xn XK ™ 12Buse 2: H au | Xan XKa XH Trung bink cot} | XS ae x Be inh tong céc chénh léch binh phyong 1. Téng cdc chénh léch binh phuong toan bé: SST = SSG-+ SSB+ SSI + SSE ) ‘Téng cae chénh léch binh phuong gifta céc nhém: sr=P DP (x,-% np ssa=nt3(xi-3) SSG phan 4nh phan bién thién cia yéu to dinh lwong két qua dang nghién citu do 4nh huéng ciia yéu t6 nguyén nhan thé nat, yéu t6 ding dé phan nhom 6 cét. 3. Téng céc chénh léch binh phwong gifta cdc khéi: SSB= KL x)- x} ‘SSB phan Anh phan bién thién cia yéu t6 dinh Ivong két qua dang nghién ctu do anh huéng ciia yéu t6 nguyén nhan thé 2, yéu té ding dé phan nhom é dong. 4. Tong cae chénh léch binh phuong gitra cdc 6 (giao nhau gitta cdc nhém va khéi Sst = LD (3-3-3) +3) SSI phan anh phan bién thién do tac dong quan lai gifta hai yéu to dang nghién céu. 5. Téng cdc chénh léch binh phuong phan du: 13SSE=S)1D)(x,, -v) = SST-SSG-SSB- SSI Buée 3: Tinh cae phuong sai 1. Phuong sai gitta cde nhém: MSG = x SSB A-1 np Phuong sai gitta cdc khéi: MSB S! (7-1) 3. Phuong sai gifta cdc 6: MSI = SSE 4. Phuong sai du: MSE=—""—_ KH(L-1) Buée 4: Kiém dinh gid thuyét vé anh hwéng cia yéu t6 nguyén nhan thé nhat (C61), yi cae ti so F: (6 nguyén nhan thit 2 (déng), twong tac gitta hai yéu t6 dén yéu t6 két qua bing _ MSG MSB MSI MSE F, : MSE MSE Buse 5: Nguyén tac quyét dinh trong ANOVA hai yéu té: 1. Déivei F, é mic y nghia a, gid thuyét H, cho rang trung binh cita k tong thé theo yéu to nguyén nhan tht nhat (c6t) bang nhau bi bac bé khi: F.>F, eauKM (iva Déi vei F, émbcy nghia q, gia thuyét H, cho ring trung binh ciia k tong thé theo yéu to nguyén nhan tht hai (dong) bang nhau bi bac bé khi: Fe > Fy scnnucya 3. Doi voi F, é mic y nghia or, gid thuyét H, cho ring khong cé tac dong qua lai gifta yéu t6 thir nhat (cét) va yéu t6 tht hai (dong) bi bac bé khi: F, > Fx yu-aanione Trong 46 14°F, k-LkH (Lye 1 gid tn tra bang phan phoi F voi K — 1 bac ty do 6 ti so va KH(L - 1) bac ty do 6 mau so. © Fyceuu-ye #8 gid tri tra bang phan phéi F voi H— 1 bac tu do 6 tt so va KH(L - 1) bac ty do & mau so. °F Ja gid tri tra bang phan phoi F voi (K — 1)(H — 1) bac tr do & (uaa aL th so va KH(L — 1) bac tw do & mau so. D. Lai giai tinh tay: Buée 1: Tinh céc trung binh: ‘Trung binh mau ting nh6m (it — thinh thoang — thudng xuyén) WL LD%« xe HXxL ‘Thdi gian trung binh cia nh6m trd chuyén f © _ 304+30+104....+27,2787 _ ue 803 7 ‘Théi gian trung binh cia nhém td chuyén thinh thoang: xi — 104104 45+...+21,9020 0593 = 20,2768 80x3 ‘Théi gian trung binh ca nh6m trd chuyén thyong xuyén: xe 3 223,82 x 004304304 43 _ 95 300 80%3 Diém trung binh téng khéi (goi video — goi thoai — true tiép) ‘Thei gian trung binh cho nh6m trd chuyén bang goi video: <1 _30+10+60+...+27,2789 +21,902+ 23,8243 Xi = 24,335 3x80 ‘Théi gian trung binh cho nh6m trd chuyén bang goi thoai: Fyz1,995 = 3.00839: ta c6 thé bac bé gia thuyét tht nhat (hang). Vay hinh thie tr chuyén c6 anh hwéng dén thoi gian trd chuyén trung binh cia sinh vién. 7,677284762 > Fy1,99s = 3.00839: ta o6 thé bac bé gid thuyét thir 2 (cét). hw vay tn suat tro chuyén c6 anh hwéng téi thoi gian to chuyén .7455 10936 > Fi.z110.9s = 2.384459: bac bé gid thiét this 3. Vay, tong tac gitta tan suat va hinh théc tro chuyén anh héng heéng dén thoi gian danh cho gia dinh cia sinh vien, E, Loi giai sit dung Excel: Dat gid thuyét Ho: ‘Thei gian trd chuyén trung binh cia sinh vién sir dung hinh thie tr chuyén khéc nhau déu bang nhau, ‘Théi gian trd chuyén trung binh cia sinh vién c6 tan suat trd chuyén trong tuan khéc nhau déu bang nhau, Khéng c6 sw trong tac gitta tan suat trd chuyén va hinh thitc trd chuyén véi gia dink, cia sinh vién, Cfch lam: ‘Trén thanh céng cu chon: 18,Data/ Data Analysis! Anova: Two- Factor With Replication Data Analysie nd Analysis Tools Analy OK (anova: Single Factor Gnel ‘anova: Two-Factor Without Replication Correlation Covariance Help Descriptive Statistics Exponental Smoothing F Test Two-Sample for Variances Fourier Analysis, Histogram y - Nhép dét liéu vao bang: + Input Range: Chon tat c& cdc 6 chita dit ligu + Rows per sample: sé quan sat trén mét mau (80 quan sat) + Alpha: mién ¥ nghita 0.05 (5%) + Output Range: 6 chia dif liéu ra, Anova: Two-Factor ith Replication 2 x Input = OK Input Range: ‘sazapsa2 Cnet ows per sample: 20 Alpha: (0.05 poe output options © ouput Range scs2 Fe ONew worksheet Ply: ONew Workbook - Ket qua: 19Anova: Two-Factor With Replication i 3 Thinh thoang Thudng xuyén SUMMARY _it (1-2 ngay) (3-4 ngay) aS ngéy) Total Goi video ‘Count 80 80 80) 240 ‘sum 2182,295082 1752.156863 __-1905.945946 5840.397891 Average 27.27868852 21,90196078 _—23.82432432_24.33499121 Variance 412.8134468 1722089849 265.9078002 286.2391215 Goi thoat ‘Count 80 80 80) 240 ‘sum 1242.857143 1600 1680 4522.857143 Average 15.5357 1428 20 21 18.8452381 Variance 30,69575045 23.46835443 —*18.96202532_29.83815074 Truc tiép ‘Count 80 80 80 240 ‘sum 1868,090808 1514.285714 2488.205128 5871.581752 Average 2336363636 18.92857143 311025641 2446492396 Variance 234,5638665 48.21428571 624.7289841 325,3843004 Total ‘Count 240 240 240 ‘sum 5294.243134 4866.442577 6074.151074 Average 22.05934639 20.27684407 —25.30896281 Variance 248.0661526 82.13505131 318.850528 ANOVA ‘Source of Variation SS a MS FE Pevalue Fert ‘Sample 4938,611285 2 2469.405643 1213425077 6 57S15E-06 3.00839 ‘Columns 3124 76323 2 1862381615 7677284762 _0.000802678 3.00839 Interaction 549103627 4 1872769088 6748510098 «2. 48555605 238448, Within 1ade9a 5164 711 203.5070554 Total 188248.1272 718 Ta thay = Fy =12,13425077 > F115 = 3.00839 : ta c6 thé bac bé gid thuyét thé nhat (hang). Vay hinh thie tr chuyén c6 anh hwéng dén thoi gian trd chuyén trung binh cia sinh vién. 207,677284762 > Fys,09s = 3.00839: ta c6 thé bac bé gid thuyét thi 2 (c6t). Nhv vay tan suat tr chuyén c6 anh hwéng t6i théi gian td chuyén ~ F, =6,745510936 > F,),99s = 2.384459: bac bé gid thiét thé 3. Vay, tong tac gitta tan suat va hinh théc tr chuyén anh huéng héng dén thoi gian danh cho gia dinh ciia sinh vien Ta tinh cc gid ti F tren EXCEL bang ham: FANV(probability, deg_freedom1,deg_freedom2) Cau 4: A. Dit ligu six dung: Si dung di ligu vé s6 ngwoi tham gia cudc td chuyén trong file excel “A37_Duliew.xlsx” dinh kém. Dét liéu d& doc phan ra 2 nh6m gidi tinh nam va ni dé phuc vu bai toan bén dui. B. Bai toan: 21Voi mirc y nghia 5%, so sinh sw phan tan vé s6 ngwoi tham gia trd chuyén cia sinh nam va sinh vién ni. Co s@ ly thuyét: Cho 2 téng thé c6 phan phéi chuan, mau cé kich thuéc ln luet 1a m, va 7, phuong sai méau hiéu chinh s? va s} phuong sai of va OF . Hay kiém dinh gia thiét H,, voi mite ¥ nghia Phuong phép gidi : ‘Si dung tiéu chun kiém dinh: F, - Néu F,, >I thi sir dung gia thiét doi, ©} va lay mién bac bé bén phai W, =(f,(n,- kn, -1);-+0) n bac bé bén t 2 <0} va lay mi - Néu F,, W, = (0;:0,769210249) - Vi F= 0,81831¢W, (0;0,769210249) nén chua bac bé gia thiét Ho, Vay tam thai chp nhan gia thiét sw chénh léch vé s6 ngwoi tham gia tro truyén & hai nhém nam va né 1a nhu nhau 0,769210249 E, Loi giai siz dung Excel: Dy la bai toan kiém dinh so sanh phuong sai 2 tong thé. Céch lam: F-test trong excel Goi oo; 1a phuong sai cia sé ngwoi tham gia cuéc trd chuyén é sinh vién nam va ni Gia thiét kiém dinh: Hy :a; wy chénh léch vé s6 ngwoi tham gia trd truyén hai nhém nam va ni 1 nhy nhau” Gia thiét bic bd: Hy: 0; 73 thi bic bé H D. Lai giai tinh tay: 25- Gia thiét kiém dinh Ho: “Khdng cé méi lién hé gifta gidi tinh va ngwdi ma sinh vign muén trao di chuyén quan trong”. - Gia thiét bac bd Hi: “C6 méi lién hé gitta gidi tinh va ngwdi ma sinh vién muon trao déi chuyén quan trong”. = #AU(h- (kD) = 7353) = 7.81 (tra bang Chi binh pheong) = Mién bac b3: W, = (7.8140) 2 SM 7)P nm, wD h 7 M%o = 0,0872 Nhan thay: 73 = 0.0872 ¢ W, (9,487729;+00) . Vi vay ta chwa thé bac bé gia thiét Ho. Vay ta tam thdi chap nhan khong c6 sw lin quan gitta gidi tinh va ngwoi \h vién muén néi chuyén quan trong. Lai giai si dung Excel: Dat gia thuyét: - Ho: Khéng cé méi lién hé gifta gidi tinh va ngwéi ma sinh vién muén trao déi chuyén quan trong. = Hy: Co méi lién hé gitta gidi tinh va ngwdi ma sinh vién muén trao déi chuyén quan trong. Ding ham CHISQINV RT (probability, deg_freedom) dé tim mién bac bé CHISQ.INV.RT(0.05, (4-1)*(2-1)) = 7.814727903 Mién bac bé: W, = (7.814727903;+00) Ta ding ham CHITEST dé kiém tra tinh déc lap: [ECHITEST(S4:F5,B12:F13) Ta duoc : 26BANG TAN SO THYC TE Nguoi ma sinh vién mudn néi chuyén quan trong Ba Me ‘Anh, chi,em Ban than Khéng — Téng hang Nam 35 105 a 6 10 177 No 13 96 19 7 5 140 Téng cét 48 201 40 13 15 317 Tan sé ly thuyét = (Téng hang x Téng cét)/(Téng céng) BANG TAN S6 LY THUYET Ba Me ‘Anh, chi, em Ban than Khéng Nam 26.8013 112.23 22.3343849 7.25868 8.37539 No 21.1987 88.7697 176656151 5.74132 6.62461 CHI-TEST 0.08721 Tra bang (@=5%) 7.81473 Nhan thay: 0,087212 ¢ W, (7.814727903;+0). Vay, ta chwa thé bic bé gid thiét Ho, tam thoi chap nhan khong c6 sw lién quan gitta gidi tinh va ngwdi ma sinh vién muén noi chuyén quan trong. Cau 6: A. Dit ligu six dung: Si dung di ligu vé thoi gian goi thoai va sé van dé duoc néi dén trong file excel “A37_Duliew.xlsx” dinh kém. Dit ligu da doc tao bang phii hop dé dap ting yéu cau bai toan. 278 1 |Sé van dé noi dén [X)| Thoi gian goi thoai 2 1 3 3 4 4] i 2 5 3 B 6 1 5 7 i 7 8 1 3 9 z 2 10 3 70 1] 1 a 2 a 23 3 Hl 30 14 4 30 5 2 70 16 i 30 1 4 20 8 7 2 191 z 16 20 é 20 21 i 6 2 4 6 Bl a 2 24 4 7 25 5 2 26 4 19 ar] a 0 B. Bai toa Phén tich méi lién hé gitta thoi gian tro chuyén qua hinh thitc goi thoai va s6 van dé duoc néi dén trong cudc goi do. C. Co sé ly thuyét: % Céc dac treng mau: ‘ ty xn a 28n~ sy ‘ Do,-yim, = n- LE Sno nae Hes . ay-xy “HG s6 tong quan mau: ry = SySy +Néu ry > O thi X,¥ teong quan thuan +Néu ry <0 thi X,¥ teong quan nghich +Néu ry =0 thi X,Y khong twong quan + Néu | yy [=1 thi X,Y c6 quan hé ham bac abat + Neu [ry 1 thi X, ¥ cé trong quan chat (trong quan manh) + Néu |ryy [70 thi X, ¥ c6 twong quan khéng chat (twong quan yéu) * Kiém dinh xem méi quan hé fa X va Y cé phai 1a méi quan hé tuyén tinh hay khéng: Gia thiét Ho: X, Y khong cé trong quan tuyén tinh. Ube luong duéng héi quy tuyén tinh Y theo X : + Phwong trinh héi quy tuyén tinh ay-xy A+Bx:B + Kiém dinh hé s6 A, B Gia thiét Ho : Hé s6 hdi quy khong cé ¥ nghia (=0) Hi: He s6 hai quy c6 y nghia (40) Tréc nghiém ¢ a nén ta loai bé hé s6 nay khéi phwong trinh héi quy vi hé s6 nay khéng cé nghia + Voi hé sé g6c: P-value < a nén ta chap nhan hé s6 nay, - Tai mue Significance F: ta thay F, < 0,05 nén ta bac bé gia thuyét Ho. Phong trinh nay cé y nghfa hdi quy.