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About this Basic Economics

The Basic Economics Module has been produced by National Institute of Public Administration
(NIPA). All modules produced by the Institute are structured in the same way, as outlined below.

How this Basic Economics Module is structured

The Module overview


The module overview gives you a general introduction to the module. Information contained in the
module overview will help you determine:
 What you expect from the course.
 How much time you will need to invest to complete the course.

The overview also provides guidance on:


 Study skills.
 Where to get help.
 Assignments and assessments
 Activity icons
 Units.

We strongly recommend that you read the overview carefully before starting your study.

The Module content


The Module is broken down into ten (10) units. Each unit comprises of:
 An introduction to the unit content.
 Unit outcomes.
 New terminology.
 Core content of the unit with a variety of learning activities.
 A unit summary.
 Assignments and/or assessments, as applicable.

For those interested in learning more on this subject, we provide you with a list of additional resources
at the end of this Basic Economics; these may be books, articles or web sites.

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Your comments
After completing this Basic Economics Module, we would appreciate it if you would take a few
moments to give us your feedback on any aspect of this course. Your feedback might include
comments on:
 Content and structure.
 Reading materials and resources.
 Assignments and Assessments.
 Duration.
 Support (assigned tutors, technical help, etc.)

Your constructive feedback will help us to improve and enhance this course.

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Welcome to Basic economics Module
This Basic Economics Module gives an in-depth knowledge of the use of economics to equip trainees
with knowledge skills and attitudes that are essential for understanding economic issues.

Module learning outcomes


Upon completion of this Module, you will be able to:

 Apply economic concepts in dealing with economic issues


 Analyse demand and supply conditions
 Determine national income
 Analyse inflation
 Analyse different economic systems
 Analyse market structures
 Analyse production theory
 Examine International Trade
 Apply money and banking concepts
 Analyse economic situation in Zambia
 Calculate and interpret elasticity concepts

Time Frame
Expected duration of this Module is 6 months

Formal study time required is 4 weeks before the beginning of the semester

Self-study time recommended is 4 hours per week

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Study skills As an adult learner your approach to learning will be different to that from your
school days: you will choose what you want to study, you will have professional
and/or personal motivation for doing so and you will most likely be fitting your study
activities around other professional or domestic responsibilities.
Essentially you will be taking control of your learning environment. As a
consequence, you will need to consider performance issues related to time
management, goal setting, stress management, etc. Perhaps you will also need to
reacquaint yourself in areas such as essay planning, coping with exams and using the
web as a learning resource.
Your most significant considerations will be time and space i.e. the time you dedicate
to your learning and the environment in which you engage in that learning.
We recommend that you take time now—before starting your self-study—to
familiarize yourself with these issues. There are a number of excellent resources on
the web. A few suggested links are:

 http://www.how-to-study.com/
The “How to study” web site is dedicated to study skills resources. You will find
links to study preparation (a list of nine essentials for a good study place), taking
notes, strategies for reading text books, using reference sources, test anxiety.

 http://www.ucc.vt.edu/stdysk/stdyhlp.html
This is the web site of the Virginia Tech, Division of Student Affairs. You will
find links to time scheduling (including a “where does time go?” link), a study
skill checklist, basic concentration techniques, control of the study environment,
note taking, how to read essays for analysis, memory skills (“remembering”).

 http://www.howtostudy.org/resources.php
Another “How to study” web site with useful links to time management, efficient
reading, questioning/listening/observing skills, getting the most out of doing
(“hands-on” learning), memory building, tips for staying motivated, developing a
learning plan.

The above links are our suggestions to start you on your way. At the time of writing
these web links were active. If you want to look for more go to www.google.com and
type “self-study basics”, “self-study tips”, “self-study skills” or similar.

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Need Help? In case you need help, you can contact NIPA at the following website, phone number
or you can email.

www.nipa.ac.zm
NIPA-Main Campus – Outreach Programmes Division
Phone Numbers:+260-211-222480
Fax:
e-mail address:opd@nipa.ac.zm
The teaching assistant for routine enquiries can be located from the Outreach Division
from 08:00 to 17:00 or can be contacted on the numbers and email address indicated
above.
Library
There is a library located at the main campus along Dunshabe Road. The library
opens Monday to Friday from 08:00 to 17:00.

Assignments There shall be two assignments given for this module.


The assignments should be sent by post or emailed to the provided email addressed
to the Outreach Programmes Division – Nigeria Hall.
Assignments should be submitted to Outreach Programmes Division Registry.

Assessments There shall be a minimum of two (02) assessments given to the students undertaking
this subject
These assessments shall be teacher marked assessments.
The assessments shall be determined and given by the course tutors after you have
covered a number of topics
The teacher/tutor shall ensure that the assessments are marked and dispatched to the
student.

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Getting around the Basic economics Module
Margin icons
While working through this Basic economics module, you will notice the frequent use of margin
icons. These icons serve to “signpost” a particular piece of text, a new task or change in activity;
they have been included to help you to find your way around this Basic Economics module.

A complete icon set is shown below. We suggest that you familiarize yourself with the icons and
their meaning before starting your study.

Activity Assessment Assignment Case study

Discussion Group Help Note it!


activity

Outcomes Reading Reflection Study skills

Summary Terminology Time frame Tip

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Learning tips
You may not have studied by distance education before. Here are some guidelines to help you.

How long will it take?


It will probably take you a minimum of 90 hours to work through this study guide. The time should be
spent on studying the module and the readings, doing the activities and self-help questions and
completing the assessment tasks.

Note that units are not all the same length, so make sure you plan and pace your work to give yourself
time to complete all of them.

About the study guide


This study guide gives you a unit-by-unit guide to the module you are studying. Each unit includes
information, activities, self-help questions and readings for you to complete. These are all designed to
help you achieve the learning outcomes that are stated at the beginning of the module.

Activities, self-help questions and assessments


The activities, self-help questions and assessments are part of a planned distance education
programme. They will help you make your learning more active and effective, as you process and
apply what you read. They will help you to engage with ideas and check your own understanding. It is
vital that you take the time to complete them in the order that they occur in the study guide. Make sure
you write full answers to the activities, or take notes of any discussion.

We recommend you write your answers in your learning journal and keep it with your study materials
as a record of your work. You can refer to it whenever you need to remind yourself of what you have
done.

Unit summary
At the end of each unit there is a list of the main points. Use it to help you review your learning. Go
back if you think you have not covered something properly.

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Studying at a distance
There are many advantages to studying by distance education – a full set of learning materials as
provided, and you study close to home in your own community. You can also plan some of your study
time to fit in with other commitments like work or family.

However, there are also challenges. Learning at a distance from your learning institution requires
discipline and motivation. Here are some tips for studying at a distance.

1. Plan – Give priority to study sessions with your tutor and make sure you allow enough travel
time to your meeting place. Make a study schedule and try to stick to it. Set specific days and
times each week for study and keep them free of other activities. Make a note of the dates that
your assessment pieces are due and plan for extra study time around those dates.

2. Manage your time – Set aside a reasonable amount of time each week for your study
programme – but don’t be too ambitious or you won’t be able to keep up the pace. Work in
productive blocks of time and include regular rests.

3. Be organised – Have your study materials organized in one place and keep your notes clearly
labeled and sorted. Work through the topics in your study guide systematically and seek help
for difficulties straight away. Never leave this until later.

4. Find a good place to study – Most people need order and quiet to study effectively, so try to
find a suitable place to do your work – preferably somewhere where you can leave your study
materials ready until next time.

5. Ask for help if you need it – This is the most vital part of studying at a distance. No matter
what the difficulty is, seek help from your tutor or fellow students straight away.

6. Don’t give up – If you miss deadlines for assessments, speak to your tutor – together you can
work out what to do. Talking to other students can also make a difference to your study
progress. Seeking help when you need it is a key way of making sure you complete your
studies – so don’t give up.

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Economics A study of how society allocates scarce resources that are intended
to satisfy unlimited human needs.

Microeconomics A study of individual units or sections of the economy works.

Macroeconomics It is a study of how the whole economy works. It is aggregative


economics. It deals with total parameters of the economy such as
total output, total employment, inflation rate , national income. It
examines how the whole economy works.

Scarcity Limited in supply and ability to command a price.

Choice Ranking various alternatives and allocation of scarce resources to


the best alternative.

Opportunity cost The Value of the second best alternative foregone. In simple
language it is the opportunity lost or foregone. If the Government
has K10 billion to build a school or clinic and it decides to build a
clinic ,then building a school has become an opportunity cost.

Production A curve which shows the maximum capacity available to produce


possibilities curve a combination of two products. It is a simplified model which can
be used to explain the problems of scarcity ,choice and opportunity
cost. Any input which can be combined with other inputs in order
to produce a service or good.

Managerial It is applied economics. It applies economic theory and other


economics decision making sciences such as mathematics and statistics in
solving economic problems faced by the organizations.

Short-run It is a period within which accompany can only change variable


factors of production such as labour and raw materials

Long-run A period which is long enough for the company to change all
factors of production.

Accounting profit The difference between receipted income and receipted costs.

Economic profit The difference between accounting profit and implicit costs
(opportunity costs)

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Unit 1 – Applying Economic Concepts in dealing with Economic Issues
.
1.1 Unit learning outcomes

After studying this unit, the learner will be able to:

 Define economic terms


 Draw the production possibility frontier from the set of data
 Analyse production possibilities
 Analyse different economic systems
 Differentiate between accounting profit and economic profit

1.1 WHAT IS ECONOMICS?

Economics is a social science that analyses the production, distribution and consumption of goods
and services. The term economics comes from the Ancient Greek, Oikonomia (management of a
household, administration) from aikos (house) plus nomos (custom or law) hence “rules of the
household”. Political economy was the earlier term used for Economics. The term was later
changed to remove the political connotation.

Economics aims to explain how economies work and how economic agents interact. Economic
analysis is applied throughout society in business, finance and government but also in crime,
education the family, health, law, politics, religion, social institutions, war and science.

Economics is defined in many ways by different economists. In essence economics maybe defined
as “social science concerned with the proper uses and allocation of scarce resources that have
alternative uses for the achievement and maintenance of economic of economic growth and
stability intended to enhance the wellbeing of society at the minimum cost”.

Economics describes and analyses the nature and behaviour of the economy.

Economics can also be said to be the study of wealth. Thus, its creation and distribution. Society
must be decided on how to allocate its resources between the state, individuals, organisations and
future generations.

1.2 THE SCOPE OF ECONOMICS


The study of economics is divided into two parts: Thus, microeconomics and macroeconomics.
An economic system may be looked at a whole (microeconomics), or in terms of its
innumerable decision making units (microeconomics)

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(a) Microeconomics

Microeconomics theory studies the behaviour of individual decision-making units such as


consumers, resource owners and business’ firms.

It explains how through market mechanism:

(i) goods and services produced in the community are distributed;

(ii) relative prices of the various products are determined;

(iii) conditions of efficiency both in consumption and production are determined.

(b) Microeconomics
Macroeconomics is concerned with aggregates and averages of the entire economy such as
National Income, aggregate output, total consumption, total employment, general level of
prices in the economy (inflation) etc.

1.3 THE METHODOLOGY/APPROACH ECONOMICS


The approach to economics can either be normative or positive.

(a) Positive economics


This attempts to understand the behaviour and operation of economic systems without
making judgments about whether the economic outcomes are good or bad. It strives to
describe or explain what is economics and how economics works.

Positive economics is often divided into descriptive economics and economic theory.

(i) Descriptive economics is simply the compilation of data that describes phenomenon and
facts of census data that are compiled and kept by Central Statistic Office in Zambia.

(ii) Economic theory attempts to generalise about data. It is a statement or set of related
statements about causes and effect, action and reaction.

(b) Normative
This is an approach to economics that analyses outcomes of economic behaviour, evaluates
them as good or bad and may prescribe courses of action. Normative economics may also be
called economic policy

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1.4 ECONOMIC POLICY
An economic policy is arrived at by adding an objective to the economic theory which is
implementable, monitored and evaluated as to whether the economic outcome is good or bad. It
is the economic policy which is implementable that has an influence on the quality of life of
human beings and not economic theory.

Four criteria that are frequently applied in making economic policy outcome judgements are:
(i) Efficiency
(ii) Equity
(iii) Economic growth
(iv) Economic stability

(a) Efficiency
In economics, efficiency may mean allocative efficiency and technical efficiency, both of
which should be realised in any production process.

(i) Allocative efficiency


This refers to the allocation of scarce resources that have alternative uses in order to meet
as many of one’s needs as possible at the minimum cost.

(ii) Technical efficiency


This refers to the use of relatively few inputs of resources in order to produce more output
in terms of goods and services at the minimum cost.

Note: An efficient economy is one that produces what people want at the least possible cost
Also the resources must be used to the intended purpose or budget

(b) Equity
Equity or fairness lies in the eyes of the beholder. To many fairness in economics implies
more equal distribution of income and wealth, There has been controversy among economists
in the manner fairness is interpreted in the distribution of wealth in society among economic
agents.

Despite the difficulties of defining equity or fairness universally among economists, public
policy makers judge the fairness of the economic outcomes all the time.

(c) Economic growth


An economic growth refers to an increase in total output of an economy in terms of goods and
services due to increase in resources.

Note: Some economic policies discourage economic growth and others encourage it.

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(c) Economic stability
Economic stability refers to the condition in which National output is growing steadily with
low inflation and full employment of resources is being utilised.

1.5 MODELS AND THEORIES


An economic model is a representation of a real life economic situation. A model is a formal
statement of an economic theory. It is usually a mathematical statement of a presumed
relationship between two or more variables

Models and theories can be expressed in many ways. The most common ways are in words, in
graphs and in equations.

1.6 WHY STUDY ECONOMICS


The main reasons of studying economics by non-economists are:

(a) To learn the way economists think, define economic terms, use economic tools in planning
and execute their work, so that as we work as a team, we can champion economic
development better

(b) To understand the way different societies produce and distribute goods and services to
enhance their standard of living, so that as we integrate in these societies, we become
valuable members of society

(c) To understand global affairs


All countries are part of the world economy, and understanding international relations begins
with a basic knowledge of economic links among countries.

Part of the latest version of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) which
came into being in 1948 with the aim of promoting free trade among countries was the
establishment of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) which started operating on 1st
January, 1995. The main role of WTO is to harmonise the trading relations among member
countries.

(d) To be an informed voter


Most of the manifestos during political campaigns for presidential and other elections in most
democratic countries are centred on economic development. Hence, a knowledge of
economics is essential to be an informed voter

1.7 SCIENTIFIC METHODS OF ECONOMICS

One of the grounds on which economics has been recognised to be a science is that, like other
sciences it too, uses scientific methods like Deductive methods and Inductive method.

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(a) Deductive methods
Economists, known as the classical school, tried to build up the science of economics from a
few simple generalisations. The method that they used is called the Deductive Analytical,
Abstract or Apriori method.

The advocates of this method started with a few indisputable facts about human nature and
drawing inferences about concrete individual cases.

Thus, in Deductive Method we come down from “generals to particulars”.

(b) Inductive method


The Historical School represents a reaction against the dogmatic attitude of the followers of
deductive method.

These economists advocated a method which has come to be known as Historical, inductive
or realistic method.

This method insists on the examination of facts and then laying down general principles. Thus
we go up “from Particulars to generals”.

1.8 THE RELATIONSHIP OF ECONOMICS AND OTHER DISCIPLINES

Economists tends to have common content with other disciplines such as political science,
mathematics, statistics, sociology, psychology, public policy and so on.

1.9 FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC CONCEPTS

The theories developed in economics depend s on a number of fundamental economic concepts


and the main ones are discussed below:

(a) Assumptions –ceteris paribus


An assumption is something taken for granted or the condition prevailing when making
certain analysis or conclusions.

In economics, one of the important assumption is called ceteris paribus.

Ceteris Paribus or caeteris Paribus is a Latin phrase, literally translated as “with other things
the same“, or “all other things being equal or held constant”. A prediction, or a statement
about causal or logical connections between two states of affairs, ks qualified by ceteris
paribus in order to acknowledge, and to rule out the possibility of other factors that could
override the relationship between the antecendent and the consequent.

A ceteris paribus assumption is necessary to rule out factors which may interfere with
examining a specific causal relationships between variables. The ceteris paribus assumption is
realised when a scientist controls for all of the independent variables other than the one under
study, so that the effect of a single independent variable can be isolated. By holding all the
other relevant factors constant, a scientists is able to focus on the unique effects of a given
factor in a complex causal situation
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In summary ceteris paribus states that all other variables except the ones under investigation
remain constant.

(b) Scarcity and choice


Economics is concerned with choosing what to do with our scarce resources and we need to
convince other people that our choices are right.

The term “scarcity” is used here in the relative sense. Hence, “scarcity” has come to mean the
following:

(i) That demand of a particular product is greater than its supply (that resources are not
encouraged to go around for everybody in need).

(ii) that as human beings we have unlimited wants, but the resources to satisfy these unlimited
wants are limited.

(iii) that if you allocate or use a scarce resource fully which has alternative uses in one area,
you cannot use that same resource in another area.

(c) Rationality
We assume that economic experts such as the government, individuals (consumers) and
organisations (or firms) are capable of making decisions and implementing such decisions in
their best interest.

We assume that companies want to maximise their profits; individuals, or consumers want to
maximise their utility (or satisfaction) in the consumption of goods and services; and that
governments want to maximise the welfare of its citizens.

(d) Choice and opportunity cost


Since human wants are unlimited but resources are scarce, choices have to be made.

If it is not possible to have a school, hospital and housing estate all on the same piece of land,
the choice of any one of these involves sacrificing the others.

Suppose the community’s priorities for these three options are hospital, housing estate and
then school respectively. If it chooses to build the hospital, it sacrifices the opportunity for
having its next most favoured option – the housing estate.

It is logical, therefore, to say that the housing estate is the opportunity cost of using the land
for a hospital.

Thus, the opportunity cost of using a resource in a particular way is the benefit forgone by not
using that resource in its next best-alternative use.

Opportunity cost concept is relevant to almost every decision that the human being has to
make. Awareness of opportunity cost forces us to take account of what we are sacrificing
when we use our available scarce resources for any one particular purpose. This awareness
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helps us to make the best use of these scarce resources by guiding us to choose those
activities, goods and services which we perceive as providing the greatest benefits compared
with the opportunities we are sacrificing in using the resources in one area.

(e) Welfare economics


Welfare economies assesses how efficiently resources are being used and how equitably,
wealth is being distributed. Wealth economics is a branch of economics which is concerned
not with how an economy operates, but with an assessment of how successfully it is working

It is concerned with how we can best achieve an allocation of resources to maximise the
welfare of the population.

Economic growth does not guarantee that resources are actually being used efficiently, or that
everyone in society is benefitting equally from that growth.

The measurement of how successfully the economy is working to maximise welfare is


through efficiency and equity.

1.10 PRODUCTION POSSIBILITY FRONTIER (PPF)

(a) Definition
The PPF is a useful theoretical device devised by economists to illustrate the problems of
scarcity, choice and the opportunity cost of society’s decisions.

The PPF shows the maximum capacity available to produce a combination of two products.
Operating along the PPF leads to pareto efficiency. Pareto efficiency is achieved when you
cannot increase the output of one good without reducing the output of the other product.

The PPF is a graph that shows all the combinations of goods and services that can be
produced if all of society’s resources are used efficiently.

The frontier (curve) represents the limit of what can be produced by a country from its
available resources under full employment and at its current level of production technology.

The figure below illustrate the PPF for a hypothetical economy through a simple two
dimensional graphs and we assume just to produce two classes of goods. For simplicity, we
can call them “consumer goods” and “capital goods”.

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(b) Illustration of PPF
PPF Graph

A
Capital T B
goods
G

K C

Q D

E X
0 L M N
Consumer goods

 The resources (land, labour, capital and Enterprise) are not shown in the PPF. What is
shown in the PPF is the output in terms of goods and services.

 Along the PPF ABCD and E, the resources are being used efficiently (at 100%).

 At A, all the resources are being used to produce capital goods.

 At E, all the resources are being used to produce consumer goods.

 At any point between A and E, say at B, C and D, the resources are being used to produce
a combination of capital goods and consumer goods.

 The opportunity cost of producing consumer goods from O to L is the benefit forgone of
not using the resources to produce capital goods from A to T.

 The opportunity cost of producing consumer goods from O to M is the benefit forgone of
not using the resources to produce capital goods from A to K.

 The opportunity cost of producing consumer goods from L to M is the benefit forgone of
not using the resources to produce capital goods from T to K. (Not if T = 300 and K =
200, the opportunity cost will be T – K = 300-200 = 100).

 At any point inside the PPF, say at F, it is possible to produce at that level. However, the
resources are being underutilised or being used inefficiently.

 At any point outside the PPF, say at G, it is not possible to produce at that level
(unattainable) as the current resources cannot allow.

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 The PPF is concave in shape as it illustrates an increase in opportunity cost. When the
opportunity cost is constant, the PPF is a straight line.

(c) Graphing the PPF

Given the following data, where X and Y are outputs:

X Y
0 0
1 10
2 20
3 30

Plot the PPF using the data above.

If you plot 0 --0, 0 ---10 etc, you will produce a straight line which is not required.
Therefore to plot the PPF, you re-arrange the above data as follows:

X Y
0 0
1 10
2 20
3 30

Which is the same as arranging the data as follows:

X Y
0 30
1 20
2 10
3 0

Now if you plot tha data in the order indicated above as 0--30, 1--20, etc, you will plot
the required PPF as long as you use the correct scales.

(c) Economic growth


Economic growth is defined as an increase in the productive capacity of an economy in
terms of producing goods and services due to increase in resources. Economic growth can
be illustrated by means of a PPF as shown in the diagram below:

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D

AC
E
B

C F X

 An outward shift in the PPF from PPF ABC to PPF DEF indicates economic growth.

 An inward shift in the PPF from PPF DEF to PPF ABC indicates economic decline.

 If all sectors of the economy are growing in the same proportion, then this is referred to as
balanced or even economic growth.

 If sectors of the economy are growing in different proportions, then this is referred to as
unbalanced or biased economic growth.

 When there is more economic growth in the production of capital goods, this is known as
biased economic growth towards capital goods.

 Similarly we can also have consumer biased economic growth when there is greater
economic growth in capital goods than consumer goods. Unbalanced or biased economic
growth can be illustrated with a help of a PPF in different ways and some of the examples
are shown below:

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Y Y
Capital Capital
goods goods

0 X 0 X
Consumer goods Consumer goods

In (a) there is no growth in capital goods, In (b there is growth in consumer goods


but there is growth in consumert goods. than capital goods,

(e) Sources of economic growth or factors which encourage economic growth

(i) Capital investment.


(ii) Technological progress
(iii) Research and development
(iv) An educated , health and flexible workforce
(v) Investment in the infrastructure development of the economy such as roads, buildings,
telecommunications etc.
(vi) Availability of finance at reasonable cost to both producers and consumers
(vii) political stability within the economy and the freedom to travel and communicate
(viii) Safe and comfortable working environment to assist productivity of workers
(ix) The discovery of new resources.
(x) Good governance etc.

The greater the number of these factors can be present at the same time, the more likely it
will be that economic growth can be achieved.

(f) Arguments against economic growth


Although economic growth is the objective of every nation, it has disadvantages to be
considered as follows:

(i) depletion of natural resources.


(ii) Pollution of the environment and deformation of landscape
(iii) Increase in insecurity due to increase in unemployment and catalysed by increase in
urbanisation.

(iv) An increase in stress and stress related illness as workers travel to find work and
become cut-off from family and social support systems.

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Although the major arguments for economic growth is to raise economic welfare, it is
possible to argue that resource depletion, environment pollution and the b pressure of the
“rat race” or away of life in which people are caught-up in a fiercely competitive struggle
for wealth or power”, actually result in reduction of welllbeing which outweighs the
benefits of greater levels of production.

Despite the negative effects of economic growth, the desire to produce more in terms of
goods and services is unlikely to diminish.

Activity 1.11

Zambia produces two consumer goods, beef and pork. Only labour is required to
produce both goods, and the economy’s labour force is fixed at 100workers. The
table below indicates the quantity of beef and pork that can be produced daily
with various quantities of labour.

No. Of workers Production of beef No. Of workers Production of pork


0 0 0 0
20 10.0 20 150
40 20.0 40 250
60 25.0 60 325
80 27.5 80 375
100 30 100 400

(a) By graghing beef on the X-axis and Pork on the Y-axis, draw the production possibility
frontier (PPF) for Zambia, assuming that labour is fully employed. (4 marks)

(b) i. What is the opportunity cost of producing the first 10 units of beef?

ii. What is the opportunity cost of producing the next 10 units of beef?

iii. What happens to the opportunity cost of beef as more is produced? (4 marks)

(c) Suppose the actual production for a given period was 20 units of beef, Is it possible to
produce this combination? Explain. What conclusion can you make from (4 marks)

(d) Suppose that a central planner in this economy calls for an output combination of beef =
30 and pork = 150. Is this attainable? Explain. (4 marks)

(e) New technology is developed to produce beef so that each worker can now produce
double the daily amount of beef indicated in the table above. What happens to the PPF?
Graph the new curve of PPF on the initial PPF. (4 marks)

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The economic loss is the result of opportunity cost being greater than the accounting profit

Note: It is supernormal profit which provides an incentive to people to accept the risks and
uncertainities of running their own businesses.

Summary
Accounting profit = Revenue – Expenses
Economic Profit = revenue – Expenses – Opportunity Costs

1.12 RESOURCES (OR FACTORS OF PRODUCTION)

(a) Resources
By “resources”, economists mean the factors of production (land, capital, labour and
enterprises). “Resources” are primarily used to produce goods and services mainly for
human consumption.

(b) Types of Resources


(i) Land (or natural resources)
Land consists of gifts of nature such as mineral deposits, water, farmland, natural forests,
anima life and sunshine

Natural resources are fixed in supply and subject to “law of diminishing marginal
returns.”

Most natural resources are non-renewable or exhaustible assets.

(ii) Labour
The quantity of labour available depends on the size and proportion of the population
which are willing and able to work.

Labour refers to the human mental and physical effort used in the production process.

Labour can only be hired, but it cannot be owned.

Labour is subject to moral and legal obligations.

(iii) Capital
Capital includes “man-made” assets such as tools, machinery, factories or buildings,
roads, computers etc used in the production process.

(iv) Enterpreneur
This is a person who upon identifying a viable business opportunity, uses innovation
and undertake calculated risk initiative either to start a new business or to develop an
existing one.

(c) Factors of production and their rewards


As factors of production are used in the process of wealth creation, this results in a flow of
income, payments to the providers of these factors of production.
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The factors of production and their corresponding rewards are summarised below:

Factor Rewards
Land Rent
Labour Wages/Salaries
Capital Interest
Enterprise Profit

(d) Enterpreneurship
The reward for entrepreneurship is profit. The term “profit” means different to an
Accountant and an Economist. To illustrate this difference, the following example will
assist:

Business 1 Business 2 Business 3


K’M K’M K’M K’M K’M K’M
Annual Salaries 500 250 235
Annual Costs (350) (200) (190)

Accounting profit 150 50 45

Less opportunity costs:


 Current Salary
forfeited 25 25 25
 Interest on Capital
tied up in business 15 15 15
 Rental value of
premises used 4 50 4 4
 Risk premium 6 6 6
100 50 50

Economic Profit 0 (5)

To an Accountant, all the three business have made profits

To an economist, one is not sure before considering opportunity costs. After considering
opportunity costs, the situation is as analysed below:

(i) Business 1 has made supernormal profit of K100 million and it is worth undertaking.
Supernormal profit is the accounting profit in excess of the opportunity cost.

(ii) Business 2 has made normal profit of K50 million and it is worth undertaking in the
short-run. Normal profit is the minimum profit needed to induce an entrepreneur to
remain in business. It is the opportunity cost of the services of the entrepreneur.

(iii) Business 3 has made supernormal profit of K5 million and it is not worth undertaking.
Supernormal profit is the accounting profit in excess of the opportunity cost.

The economic loss is the result of opportunity cost being greater than the accounting profit.

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Note: It is supernormal profit which provides an incentive to people to accept the risks and
uncertainties of running their own businesses.

Summary

Accounting Profit = Revenue – Expenses

Economic Profit = Revenue – expenses – Opportunity cost

1.13 ECONOMIC SYSTEMS


All economies are faced with the same fundamental problems of scarcity, choice and
opportunity cost. These three fundamental problems give rise to three fundamental questions of
what to produce? How to produce and for whom? The answers to these fundamental questions
are provided by an economic system. An economic system is a mechanism, which helps
society to resolve the problems of what to produce? How to produce and for whom?

An economic system is composed of two features:

(i) a mechanism for allocating resources

(ii) a mode of resource ownership

All over the world, there are three types of modern economic systems characterised by division
of labour. These are: capitalist, Socialist and mixed economic systems.

(a) Capitalist of Free economic or Free Enterprise economy or laissez-faire economy


In the free market economy the means of production are owned by private individuals and
decisions of what to produce, how to produce and for whom, are made mainly by the private
sector. The role of government in the free market economy is mainly that of creating an
enabling environment or that of a facilitator.

(i) Characteristics of a Free market economy


 Private property
Individuals are free to own property and they also have a right is mainly owned by the
private sector.

 Freedom of Enterprise
Individuals are free to buy and hire economic resources to produce and provide goods
and services. Individuals that are able to do this are known as entrepreneurs.

 Competition
This refers to rivalry among firms in the same market, i.e. companies are competing or
are fighting for market share. Companies may compete based on price, production,
quality, customer care, etc. In short there is more competition in the capitalist economy.

 Self-interest (or private profit motive)


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Here organisations attempt to do what they feel is best for themselves. In which case
they will invest in those areas of the economy that will give them maximum return on
their investments.

 Decontrol of prices in thus economy


Prices in this economy are determined through the free interaction of demand and
supply.

(ii) Advantages of a Free market Economy


 There is no wastage of economy resources since products and services are produced
according to consumers preferences, i.e. consumers’ wants determine what is
provided by producers. This power consumers possess to influence the way in which
resources are used is known as consumer sovereignty.

 Any surplus or shortages which occur will eventually automatically disappear through
the price system

 Competition between firms in the market economy creates a number of important


benefits for society. Firms will be encouraged to:

1. be more efficient and find cheaper ways of producing


2. charge lower prices to consumers
3. Produce better and higher quality goods to out do their competitors

 The principle of private ownership leads to a climate of incentive and hard work
because individuals are free to make profits in business for themselves.

(iii) Disadvantages of a Free market Economy


 Great inequalities of wealth can occur. Thus, there is likely to a big gap between the
rich and the poor.

 Luxury goods are produced at the expense of basic necessities of life such as health,
education, security, etc. Thus, merit and public goods may not be produced
adequately.

 The free market economy does not take care of costs associated with pollution that
arise or emanates from the activities of private firms.

 Competition may give way to monopoly and potential exploitation of the consumer.

 Producers seeking to make profits may not consider the external costs of their actions.

 If profits are inadequate, then producers may cease to trade, shift location to other
countries or search for new technologies that cut costs, often at the expense of
employment,

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(b) The planned economics systems or Socialistic economic system or commandist economic
system
The problems of the free market economy are largely responsible for the evolution of the
Socialist economic system.

In this kind of system the state assumes ownership and control of economic resources and
makes decisions about their use on behalf of the population.

(i) Characteristics of Socialist Economic systems


 Most of the means of production is owned by the government. Thus, there is
collective ownership of property.

 Pursuit of collective goals – socialists believe that any profits accruing to production
should be collectively owned.

 There is control of prices in the economy by the government.

 Planned economies – The government determines what should be produced and the
manner in which products should be distributed. This is done by the local and central
government or through state owned enterprises.

 There is less competition in the economy since most of the means of production is
owned by the state.

(ii) Advantages of the Socialist Economy


 The state involvement in production ensure that all resources are fully/near fully
employed.

 Necessities for everyday life will be produced in advance of luxury goods.

 Goods and services are distributed according to the need rather than consumers’
income, i.e. their ability to buy.

 Social costs such as pollution are incorporated into decision making process.

 The gap between the rich and the poor is narrowed.

 The economic system is able to provide merit goods and public goods adequately.
Merit foods are goods (or services) which are meritorious in that their consumption
confers benefits not only upon the consumer, but also upon the rest of society such as
health and education. Public goods (or services) are goods which must be provided
communally because their consumption is non-excludable and non-rivalrous such as
street lighting. defence, roads and bridges, security, pavements etc.

 State control of prices reduces the problem of inflation and can be used to ensure
affordable basic goods for poorer members of society.

 Private monopolies which can exploit consumers do not exist.


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(iii) Disadvantages of the Socialist Economy
 Surplus and shortages in the economy is likely to occur since government and state
enterprises produce goods and services which consumers may not be demanding.

 Production of goods and services may fail to respond effectively to the wants of the
population due to bureaucratic nature of the state and state owned enterprises
involved in the production.

 Since private ownership of business does not exist, there may be less incentive for
individuals to work hard.

 The consumer is “relatively” powerless in determining what is produced. The lack of


a competitive mechanism will inevitably lead to reduced choice and possibly lower
quality goods and services.

 It is highly probable that black markets develop due to shortages of goods (or
services) and exploit consumers because of high prices.

 It is difficult to coordinate a number of different units throughout the country.

(c) Mixed economy


In the real world, there is no such a thing as a pure market economy or pure command
economy. In every economy the government of the state and the private sector co-exist.
However, the size of each of these sectors will differ from one country to another.

In a country where both the private sector and government sector coexist is known as a
mixed-economy. In the country where the private sector is larger than the government
sector is known as a pro-capitalist economy. This is the current situation in Zambia. Where
the government sector is greater than the private sector, the economy system is known as
the pro-socialist-economic system.

The role of the government in a mixed economy is:

(i) To provide merit goods and public goods ,particularly to the less priveledged people in
society.

(ii) To inact and enforce laws in the country, in which the private sector also operates

(iii) To provide an enabling environment in which the private sector flourish such as giving
incentives to certain sections of the private sector where the government has interest/

(iv) It provides uneconomic goods which would not be productive in a pure market economy
such as maize marketing, anti-corruption campaigns, etc.

(v) It may make certain goods illegal such as drugs or may simply discourage their
consumption by levying high taxes on them in order to increase their prices which may

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be unaffordable to many people. Such goods are known demerit goods. These are goods
which may have negative repurcursions for both the individual and society.

(d) Feudalism
This type of economic system existed before capitalism economy and after the slave
owning society.

The struggle between slaves and slave owners led to slave uprising due to exploitation.

The collapse of slave society mode of production led to feudalism.

Under feudalism two classes existed, the landlord (previously slave owners) and tenants of
land (previous slaves) who partially owned labour power known as a peasant farmer

 feudalism led to a high degree of freedom initially since peasants owned simple tools
and labour power. Hence, there was an incentive to work

 But as large scale feudal property and dependence of peasants on feudal lords
continued, massive exploitation in terms of rent payable to the landlords became
prohibitive, it led to uprising by peasants against landlords, which ultimately made
feudalism to collapse. This was catalysed by the upcoming of capitalists who fought
for the liberalisation of peasants for reasons of free market and free labour.

Thus after feudalism economic system, came capitalist economic system.

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UNIT 2:

Learning Outcomes:

After studying this unit, the learner will be able to:

Introduction

Terminology.
 Demand: quantity bought at a given price ,within a given period, at a particular
place.
 Supply: actual quantity delivered on the market at a given price within a given
period at a particular place.
 Demand/Supply schedule; a table showing a period, price and the quantity
demanded or supplied.
 Equilibrium market price: the price at which supply and demand are equal.
 Apply elasticity of demand.
 Calculate elasticity of demand coefficients.
 Analyse the relationships between demand functions and price elasticity of
demand

Definition and Law of Demand.


In economics, demand means a desire backed by ability and willingness to pay. Demand for a
commodity means the quantity of a commodity purchased from a particular place, at a given price and
over a given period of time. A statement regarding the demand for a commodity, therefore, should
contain the following information:

1. The actual quantity purchased.


2. The price of the commodity.
3. The period of demand.
4. The place of demand.

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The law of demand explains the relationship between price and the quantity demanded and it states
that when the price of a commodity increases, the quantity demanded declines and when its price falls,
the quantity demanded increases ,other factors remaining constant. Therefore, there is an inverse
relationship between price and the quantity demanded. When price is falling, demand is increasing and
when price is increasing, demand is falling.

FACTORS AFFECTING DEMAND

The following factors affect demand:


1. The Price of the commodity.
2. Prices of substitute goods. Two commodities are substitutes if they satisfy a human need
equally.
3. Prices of complementary goods. Commodities are complimentary if they are jointly consumed
E.G Bread and Tea, Car and Vehicle etc.
4. Incomes of consumers. When it comes to income and demand analysis goods and services are
divided into three categories namely essential goods/ luxury goods and inferior goods. For
essential goods ,such as health care and food, the higher the income, the higher the demand.
For inferior goods, the higher the income, the lower the demand. Inferior goods vary from
individual to individual. Demand for Luxury goods begins when income reaches a certain
level of income. Luxury goods also vary from person to person
5. Tastes and preferences. Changes in consumers’ tastes leads to changes in demand. Eg the
switch from Black and white television to colour television, from land phone to cell phone.
6. Advertising costs. High costs of advertising are expected to lead to increased sales.
7. Population size. The higher the population size the higher the demand for essential goods.
8. Income distribution. If national income is fairly distributed demand for essential goods
increases.
9. Weather conditions. The demand for some commodities such as soft drinks depend on weather
conditions.

3.5 THE DEMAND SCHEDULE AND DEMAND CURVE


A demand curve is a curve which is plotted or sketched from a demand schedule. A demand
schedule is a table which has three columns. The period columns, the price column and the
quantity columns like the one given below.

DEMAND SCHEDULE FOR POTATOES.

PERIOD (MONTHS) PRICE/CASE QUANTITY DEMANDED


1 50,000 50
2 40,000 80
3 30,000 130
4 20,000 190
5 10,000 300

To plot a demanded curve from a demand schedule, we follow the following steps:

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1. Draw the Y-axis (Vertical line) and the X-axis (Horizontal line).
2. Divide each axis into a number of sections by using an appropriate scale (Eg.5,10,15,20 or
10,20,30,40 or 50,100,150 and so on depending on the size of values involved on each axis.
3. Plot the points using the corresponding quantity and price coordinates.
4. Join the points by drawing a line from one point to another. The result is a demand curve.
5. Label the graph.

EXAMPLE
From the demand schedule of potatoes given above plot a demand curve.

Price

K,000
50

40

30

20

10

0
50 100 150 200 250 300 quantity
The graph shows that as price increases demand decreases and vice versa

DEMAND FUNCTIONS
A demand function is an algebraic equation that expresses the relationship between the quantity
demanded and the variables that affect demand as shown in the equation below.

Qd = f (P, Ps ,Pc , Y , T , A)
Where : f - means is a function of or depends on
P = price
P s = prices of substitute goods
Pc = prices of complementary goods
Y = consumers’ income
T = Tastes and preferences
A = Advertising

If all the factors are held constant except price, the demand function can be expressed as follows;
Qd = a-bp

Where: a and b are constant numbers.


P=Price of the commodity.

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If the values of a, b and p are known , the value of Qd can be calculated

SUPPLY ANALYSIS

Definition and Law of Supply.


Supply means the actual amount of a product brought to a market at a given price and within a given
period. The law of supply states that move will be supplied at a higher price than at lower price, other
factors remaining constant.

3.7.1 THE SUPPLY SCHEDULE AND SUPPLY CURVE


The supply curve has a positive slope. That is it slopes upwards from left to right as shown in the
figure below:

Price

P4

P3

P2

p1

0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 quantity

The figure shows that as price increases the quantity supplied also increases and vice versa.
Like demand curves, supply curves are derived or plotted from their respective supply schedules. To
sketch or draw a supply curve we follow the same steps for sketching a demand curve.

EXAMPLE.
A farmer supplied potatoes to the market over a period of five years as follows;-
YEARS PRICE QTY (TONNES)
1 1,000 ---- 10
2 2,000 ---- 20
3 3,000 ---- 30
4 4,000 ---- 40
5 5,000 ---- 50

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Sketch the supply curve for the potatoes.
Price

K,000
5

3
Supply curve
2

0 10 20 30 40 50 Quantity

The graph shows that as price increases supply also increases. An increase in price encourages
existing producers to expand their production capacity. It also attracts new investments.

3.8 FACTORS THAT AFFECT SUPPLY.

1. The price of the commodity. The higher the price the higher the supply and vice versa.

2. Prices of other commodities. In a free enterprise system ,resources flow where they can get the
highest possible rewards. Resources ,therefore, move from products with depressed prices to
products with high prices.

3. Weather conditions. The supply of some commodities such as agricultural products crops
depend on weather conditions.
4. Levels of technology applied. Application of advanced technology can lead to high output and
supply.

5. Prices of factors of production. An increase in the prices of inputs increase production costs
which leads to low output and supply.

6. Taxation and subsidies. Taxes are levies imposed by the government on companies and
individuals. Taxes ,therefore ,have the effect of increasing costs of production and lowering
output and supply. A producer subsidy is an amount of money which the Government pays to a
company in order to lower production costs. A producer subsidy, therefore , has the effect of
lowering production costs and increasing output and supply.

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3.9 THE EQUILIBRIUM MARKET PRICE.
An equilibrium price or simply a market price is that price at which demand and supply are
equal. It is that price at which consumers are willing to buy exactly the amount the suppliers are
willing to supply the market. The market price is also referred to as the clearing price. On a
graph it is the point where demand and supply curves intersect each other as shown in the graph
below:

price

Supply curve

Equilibrium

Demand curve

quantity
We can obtain the market equilibrium price by plotting the demand and supply curves on a single
diagram as demonstrated in the example below.

EXAMPLE
The table below gives a combined supply and demand schedule for potatoes.
Price per kg QTY Demanded (units) QTY Supplied (units)
(ZMK)
30,000 10 100
20,000 30 80
10,000 60 60
5,000 80 20

Plot the Demand curve and supply curve on one diagram and determine the market price.

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SOLUTION

K,000
price
demand curve
Supply curve
30

20
A
Equilibrium point
10
b

0
20 40 60 80 100 Quantity

A = the triangle represents a surplus.

B = the triangle represents shortages .

From the schedule and the graph it can be noted that K10,000 is the market price while the equilibrium
quantity is 60 units. Any price below K10,000 demanded will be greater than supply. Above K10,000
supply will be greater than demand as shown in the figure above.

SHIFTS IN DEMAND CURVE AND HOW THEY AFFECT THE EQUILIBRIUM POSITION.
There are many factors that affect demand. A change in any of these factors other than price, the
demand curve will shift either downwards to the left or upwards to the right depending on the impact
of that change.

If the impact of the change is positive, that is it leads to an increase in demand the demand curve will
shift upwards to the right. On the other hand, if the impact is negative, that is, if it leads to a decrease
in demand the demand curve will shift downwards to the left. The shifts of the demand curve are
shown in the figure below;-

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S0
price

P1

D1
P0
D0

Q0 Q1 QTY

In this situation the supply conditions have remained constant at so that the supply curve does not
change. Price P0 and Quantity Q0 are the original equilibrium price and quantity respectively. If there is
a change in a factor that affects demand, other than price, and that change leads to an increase in
demand, the demand curve will shift upwards to point E 2. This changes the equilibrium price from P 0
to P2. The equilibrium quantity also change from Q1 to Q2.

If there is a change in a factor that affects demand, other than price and that change leads to a decrease
in demand, the demand curve will shift downwards to point E 1. This changes the equilibrium price
from P0 to P1. The equilibrium quantity also changes from Q0 to Q1.

SHIFTS IN SUPPLY CURVE AND HOW THEY AFFECT THE EQUILIBRIUM POSITION.
There are several factors that affect supply. A change in any of these factors other than price, the
supply curve will shift either to the left or to the right depending on the impact of that change. If the
change leads to an increase in supply, the supply curve will shift to the left as shown in the figure
below;

So

E0
P2 S1

P1 E!

D0

Q0 Q1 QTY

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In this situation, the demand conditions have remained the same or constant at D0, while supply
conditions have changed. Price P0 and quantity Qo are the original equilibrium price and quantity
respectively. If there is a change in a factor that affects demand, other than price and that change leads
to an increase in supply, the supply curve will shift downwards to point E1. This changes the
equilibrium price from P0 to P2. The equilibrium quantity also change from Q0 to Q2.

If there is a change in a factor that affects supply, other than price , and that change leads to a decrease
in supply, the supply curve will shift upwards to the left. The equilibrium quantity also changes from
Q0 to Q1.

Shifts in supply and demand curves therefore lead to new equilibrium position

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UNIT 3: ELASTICITY

Learning Outcomes:

After studying this unit, the learner will be able to:

 Define Price elasticity of demand


 Calculate Price elasticity of demand
 Interpret elasticities of demand

3.0 Introduction:

The Law of demand states that an increase in Price, ceteris Paribus, reduces the quantity
demanded and vice-versa. Thus, Price and Quantity demanded more in the opposite direction.
But Price and quantity demanded are important in the determination of venue. R = PQ.

Since Price and quantity demanded more in the opposite direction, at what level will Price and
quantity be combined in order to maximize Total Revenue, so that if other variables are held
constant, Profit will be maximized?

The answer to the above question can only be answered by using the concept of elasticity.

3.1 Elasticity

Elasticity refers to a change in one variable (say quantity) over the change in another variable
(say Price).

3.2 Calculating Price Elasticity of demand

 One of the most important influence on demand is the Price.


 Price elasticity of demand (OED) is the degree of sensitivity of demand for a good to
changes in Price of that good.

PED = % change in quantity demanded


% change in Price

PED = % ∆ in Qtydded = ∆ in Qtydded


%∆ in P ∆ in P

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3.3 Formulae for Price elasticity of demand

There are basically two formulae for PED. These are:

(i) Point Price Elasticity of demand


Point PED = Q2 – Q1 ÷ P2 – P1
Q1 P1

The above formula is used when your are calculating PED at a particular mentioned point
and denoted as (P1, Q1). The first step is to select any other point on a straight line
demand curve to act as a reference point and usually denoted as (P2,Q2). Note that any
point selected as reference point on a Straight Line demand curve would give the same
PED.

(ii) Arc Price elasticity of demand

It is possible to calculate the elasticity over a range or Arc. This involves referring to
the average value over the range rather than to a point on the range. Thus, if the
extreme values of the arc are (P1,Q1) and (P2, Q2), the Arc elasticity will be:

Arc PED = Q2 – Q1 ÷ P2 – P1
(Q2 + Q1)/2 (P2 + P1)/2

(iii) Notes on PED

PED for most goods is Negative. Therefore in calculating the final value of PED,
ignore the Negative sign.

3.4 Using Price elasticity of demand descriptively

3.4.1 PED at different points on a Straight Line demand curve

 PED is different at different points on demand curve.

(i) Along the top half of the demand curve, PED > 1. We say PED is elastic, meaning
the % change in quantity demanded is greater than the % change in Price.

 When PED is elastic, Total Revenue is increased by reducing the Price and vice-versa.

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Price

PED = 00 (Infinite)
PED > (Elastic)

PED =I(Unitary) at midpoint

PED < I (Enelastic)

PED = 0
0 Qty

(ii) At the mid-point of the demand curve, PED = 1. We say PED is unitary, meaning
the % change in quantity demanded is the same as the % change in Price. When
PED is unitary, Total Revenue remains the same or is not affected by changes in
Price.

(iii) Along the bottom half of the demand curve, PED < 1. We say PED is inelastic.
When PED is inelastic, it means the % change in Price is greater than the % change
in quantity demanded. Thus, Total Revenue is increased by increasing the Price.

Note: When PED > 1, we say demand is very responsive to price changes.

3.4.2 Examples:

From the following demand schedule:

Price Demand

12 600
10 700
8 800

(i) Calculate the Price Elasticity of Demand (PED) at (i) Price 12, (2) Price 8.
(ii) Calculate the price elasticity of demand as the Price reduces from 10 to 8.
(iii) Is the Price elasticity of demand you have calculated in (i) and (ii) unitary, inelasticity
or elastic?

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Solutions:

(i) (i) PED at Price 12 = Q2 – Q1 ÷ P2 – P1. At price 12, use (P1, Q1) and the reference
point in this case price 10, use (P2, Q2).

PED at 12 = 700 – 600 ÷ 10 – 12


600 12
= 100 ÷ - 2
600 12

= 1 x - 6
6 1
= -1

PED = 1 which is unitary

(i) (2) PED at Price 8 = Q2 – Q1 ÷ P2 – P1. At Price 10, use (P1, Q1) and
the reference
Q1 P1
point in this case price 12, use (P2, Q2).

PED at 10 = 600 – 800 ÷ 12 – 8


800 8
= 200 4
800 8
= 1 x 2 = 1 = - 0.5
4 1 2

PED = 1 = 0.5 which is inelastic


2

(ii) PED as Price reduces from 10 to 8 = Q2 – Q1 ÷ P 2 – P1


(Q2 + Q1)/2 (P2 + P1)/2

From Price 10 use (P1,Q1) to Price 8 use (P2, Q2).

PED = 800 – 700 ÷ 8 – 10


(800 + 700)/2 (8 + 10)/2
= 100 ÷ 2
750 9
= 2 x -9
15 2
= - 3 = - 0.6
5

PED = 3 = 0.6 which is inelastic


5

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Activity 3.1

(a) Trade Kings expects to have revenue of K20,000,000 when it sells its
Maheu for K5,000 per 500ml. A fall in cost of Production results in a New
Price of K4,000 per 500ml of Maheu. Trade Kings total revenue is Now
K30,000,000.

Calculate the Price elasticity of demand over this price range.

(b) Suppose that a further reduction in price to K3,000 brings revenue to


K33,000,000.

(i) What is the price elasticity of demand over this price range?
(ii) What conclusions an you draw from the answers you have given?

(c ) If the revenue had not altered after the price change from K4,000 to
K3,000, what then would be the price elasticity of demand?

3.5 Unusual demand curves

3.5.1 Zero elasticity or Perfectly Inelastic

A Zero price elasticity implies that P D


quantity demanded is completely in
affected by changes in price.

The same quantity will be demanded


regardless of the price change P2

P1

0 Q1 Q

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3.5.2 Infinite elasticity or perfectly elastic

At Price P1, once an demand any


quantity of goods and services. P

A miniscale rise in price will result in


quantity demanded falling to zero; P1 D
while a miniscale fall in price will
cause quantity demanded to rise to
infinity.
0 Q

3.6 Factors affecting Price Elasticity of Demand

(i) The price of the product in relation to total spending

If the price of the product is low in comparison total spending, then the PED of that
product will be inelastic and vice-versa.

(ii) The availability of substitutes


If the product has no or very few substitutes, then the PED of that product will be
Inelastic and vice-versa.

(iii) The relative importance of Price in relation to other influences on demand

If other influences on demand such as taste, income, market size and so on are exerting
a strong pressure on demand than the Price, then the PED of that Product will be
inelastic and vice-versa.

(iv) Habitual Consumption

Goods or services which are habit-forming such as cigarettes, beer, drugs and so on,
tend to have a PED which is inelastic, as there are no real substitutes.

(iv) Time: Demand tend to be elastic in the long-run and inelastic in the short-run.

3.7 Price Elasticity of Supply (PES)

Price elasticity of supply is similar to Price elasticity of demand. It measures the


responsiveness of supply to changes in Price.

PES = % change in quantity supplied


% change in Price

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Note: The same formulae applicable to PED apply to PES.

 There is a direct relationship between Price and quantity supplied. Hence, PES is
Positive.

3.7.1 Categories of Price Elasticity of Supply

(i) Perfectly or Completely Inelastic of Supply

A change in Price has no effect at all P S


on the quantity supplied to the
market. The same quantity is
supplied regardless of a price change
from P1 to P2 and vice-versa. P2

P1

0 Qs Q

(ii) Inelastic Supply

PES is Inelastic when it first passes P S


through the X-axis.

PES is Inelastic when a big change in


Price results in a small change in P2
quantity supplied.

P1

0 Q1 Q2 Q

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(iii) Elastic Supply

Generally, the supply curve is elastic when P


the supply curve first passes through the Y-
axis. S

PES is elastic when a small change in price P2


results in a big change in quantity supplied.
P1
S

0 Q1 Q2 Q

(v) Perfectly or Completely Elastic

The supply curve is horizontal to the X-axis, P


meaning that the supplier can supply any
quantity at the give price. Thus, PES is
infinite.
S
A small reduction in Price would cause P1
supply to reduce to zero. A small increase
in Price would cause supply to increase to
infinite.
0 Q1 Q2 Q

(vi) Unitary Elasticity of Supply

The supply curve is unitary when it passes P


through the origin. Thus, the percentage
change in Price is equal to the percentage S
change in quantity supplied.
P2

P1

S
0 Q1 Q2 Q

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3.7.2 Factors affecting Price elasticity of supply

The actual speed and degree with which supply can respond to price changes depends on the
nature of the production process.

The most important factors are listed below:

(i) The existence of surplus capacity:

o If surplus capacity exists, suppliers can more easily react to price rises and
supply will be more elastic.

(ii) The length of the production process


o The longer the period required to produce the commodity, the less responsive to
price changes it will be. Thus, PES is inelastic and vice-versa.

(ii) Ease of entry into the market

o If firms can easily enter the market, holding other things constant, then PES will
be elastic and vice-versa.

(iii) Alternative uses and availability of factors

o If there are few alternative employment opportunities, firms may decide to


continue to produce goods and services, and PES will be elastic and vice-versa.

o If factors of production are difficult to obtain such as skilled labour, specialized


equipment etc, then PES is inelastic and vice-versa.

(iv) Time

The responsiveness of supply to a change in price depends on the length of time that has
passed since the alteration in price. It is possible to distinguish three stages: immediate
effect, short-run and long-run

(a) The immediate effect of a change in demand

Producers are unable to make an immediate increase in supply, which is at this


stage is completely inelastic. Thus, an increase in demand will cause the price to
increase.

(b) The short-run situation following a change in demand

In the short-run there is a partial adjustment in supply due to increase in the


factors of production. Thus, the supply curve will tilt clockwise but still
inelastic. There will be an increase in supply and Price will reduce.

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( c) The long-run situation foll0wing a change in demand

In the long-run, it can be expected that the whole supply position will change
and the supply curve is elastic. The supply will further increase and Price will
reduce.

3.8 PED and Taxes or Subsidy

An indirect tax is a tax on expenditure. Such taxes reduce output and may be harmful to the
domestic industry.

The significance of elasticity is in determining how the burden of the Tax is to be shared
between the Producer and the Consumer.

(i) Unitary Elasticity

Following the imposition of a tax,


the supply curve shifts to the left, the P D
tax burden is shared equally between S1
the Produce and the Consumer. The S
Consumer will have the tax burden P1
from P to P1 and the producer from P
to P2. The quantity produced will
reduce from Q to Q1. P
P2
D
0 Q1 Q Q

(ii) Inelastic Demand

If the demand for a good is inelastic,


such as that of addictive products P D
like beer, cigarettes can afford to S1
pass the major burden of the tax on S
to consumers from P to P 1. P1
Producers bear a small portion of the
tax burden from P to P2.
P
P2
D
0 Q1 Q Q

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(iii) Elastic Demand

If the demand for a good is elastic,


the burden of the tax is mainly borne P S1
by producers from P to P2 and D S
consumers take a small burden from P1
P to P1. The quantity supplied P
reduces more from Q to Q1.
. P2 S1
D
S

0 Q1 Q D

3.8.1 When a subsidy is given

A subsidy is a payment to the supplier of a


good by the government, mainly to P S
encourage production. D
P
When a subsidy is given, the supply curve S S1
shifts to the right from S to S1. The price P1
paid by Consumers reduces to P 1 from P P2
and this is a benefit to them. There is an D
increase to output from Q to Q1.

0 Q Q1 D

3.9 Other Elasticity Measures

(a) Income Elasticity of demand (YED)

The Income Elasticity of demand is similar to that of Price elasticity of demand, but
price (P) is replaced by income (Y).

The YED measures the sensitivity of demand to changes in the Income.


Goods for which YED is positive are called Normal goods, inferior goods have a
Negative YED.

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YED = % change in Quantity demanded
% change in Income

YED = Q2 – Q1 ÷ Y2 – Y1 or

Q1 Y1
YED = Q2 – Q1 ÷ Y2 – Y1 or
(Q2 + Q1)/2 (Y 2 = Y1)/2

(b) Zero Income Elasticity

A change in Income may have no effect on the quantity demanded, demand remains the
same ie. YED = 0.

Consumers purchase only what they require, this applies to Giffen goods “Necessities”
like maize, Mealie Meal etc.

(c ) Practical uses of Income Elasticity of Demand

Producers use YED in their production plans. When Incomes are rising, firms need to
produce more Normal goods than Inferior goods because these are the goods that will
be in high demand. On the other hand, when Incomes are reducing, firms need to
produce more Inferior goods than Normal goods since these are the goods that will be in
high demand.

Similarly, the government must be able to predict its revenue from taxes. Thus, the tax
take from products with different income elasticities of demand will respond differently
to rises and falls in National Income.

3.10 Cross Elasticity of Demand

Cross elasticity of demand measures the sensitivity of demand for one good to changes in
price of another good.

 XED = % change in quantity demanded of Good A


% change in Price of Good B

 XED = QA2 – QA1 ÷ PB2 – PB1 where


QA1 PB1

Suffix A represent Good A and


Suffix B represent Good B.

 The XED of subsitutes is positive, while that for complements is negative.

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Zero Cross Elasticity of Demand

This applies to unrelated goods. A change in the Price of one good has no effect on the
quantity demanded of the other good.

Activity 3.2

Zambezi Company Limited sold its Two products as follows:

Product Sales revenue Price elasticity of demand

A K10,000,000 4.0
B K4,000,000 0.5

(a) Describe the price elasticity of demand for the two products. (6 marks)

The company plans to Increase its sales revenue by either increasing the quantity
sold or by increasing the price. Which of these two options would be the best
one for the two products? Give reasons for your answer. (7 marks)

A firm sells two products: A and B. Product A has an income elasticity of


demand of +1.3 and product B has an income elasticity of -1.4. Advise this firm
on how it might plan its production in the coming year if real consumer incomes
are set to rise by 12%. (7 marks)

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UNIT 4: PRODUCTION THEORY

Learning Outcomes:

After studying this unit, the learner will be able to:

 Calculate the different elements of costs.


 Calculate the different elements of revenue.
 Find profit maximizing elements.

4.0 Production

Production is the process of converting inputs into outputs.

Production can be expressed in a production functions as Q = F (K, L, N, E, T) where Q =


output,; f = function; k = capital; L = Land; N = Labour; E = Entrepreneur and T = Technology.

One example of a production function is Cobb – Douglas Production function. This is non –
linear function written as:

Qx = AKaLb where:

Qx = output; A = Coefficient;
K = Capital usage; L = Labour usage
a = Exponent that indicate returns to scale for capital
b = Exponent that indicate returns to scale for labour.

Production is carried out by firms using the factors of production which must be paid or
rewarded for their use as detailed below:

Factor of Production Its Cost

Land Rent
Labour Wages
Capital Interest
Enterprise Normal Profit

Normal Profit is viewed as a cost. Normal profit is the amount of profit necessary to keep an
entrepreneur in present activity of business. Thus, normal profit is the opportunity cost of
preventing the entrepreneur investing elsewhere.

Any profit earned in excess of normal profit is known as supernormal, abnormal or excess profit.

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4.1 Economist’s and Accountant’s Concept of Cost

 Economic costs represent the opportunity costs of the factors of production that are used.

 An economist cost includes an amount for normal profit which is the opportunity cost of
entrepreneurship.

 Economic profit = Revenue – Expenses. (explicitly costs) – opportunity costs (implicitly costs).

 Accounting profit = Revenue – Expenses.

 It is a well established principle in accounting and economics that relevant costs for decision
making purposes are future costs incurred as a consequence of the decision.

 Past or sunk costs may not be much relevant to our decisions now, because we cannot change
them, they have already been incurred. Relevant future costs are the opportunity costs of the
input resources to be used.

4.2 Short-run costs and long-run costs

 The short-run is the period during which at least one factor of production remains fixed. Short-
run costs tend to be subject to “the law of diminishing marginal returns” The law of
diminishing marginal returns says that if one or more factors of production are fixed, but the
input of another is increased, the extra output generated by each extra unit of input will
eventually begin to fall.

 Long-run is the period during which all factors of production can be varied.

4.3 Fixed costs and variable costs

(a) Fixed Costs: These are costs that do not vary in direct proportion to the volume of output such
as monthly rentals and salaries.

Costs

Total fixed assets


C1

0 Q

Fixed costs tend to be constant irrespective of changes in output (Q).

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(b) Variable Costs: These are costs that change indirect proportion to the volume of output such as
raw-materials.

Costs

Total fixed assets


C1

0 Q

As output increases from zero, variable costs increase from zero also.

 In the short-run, certain costs are fixed because the availability of factors of production
is restricted.

 In the long-run, most costs are variable because the supply of skilled labour, machinery,
buildings and so on can all be increased or decreased. Decisions in the long-run are
therefore subjected to fewer restrictions about resource availability.

4.4 Short-run costs and Revenues

(a) Total, Average and Marginal Costs

(i) Total Cost (TC) is the cost of all the resources needed to product a given level of output.
Total cost comprises total fixed cost (TFC) and total variable cost (TVC) i.e.

TC = TFC + TVC.

(ii) Average Fixed Cost per Unit (AFC). This is total fixed costs divided by the number of
units. AFC will get smaller as the number of units produced (Q) increases. This is because
TFC is the same amount regardless of the volume of output, so as Q gets bigger, AFC must
get smaller. i.e. AFC= TFC
Q

AFC

AFC

0 Q

(iii) Average Variable Cost per Unit (AVC).


This is total variable costs divided by the number of units. AVC will also change as output
volume increases, but may rise as well as fall. i.e. AVC = TVC
Q
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(iv) Average Total Cost per Unit (ATC or AC).
Average cost (ATC or AC) is found by dividing the total cost by the number of units
produced. i.e. ATC = TC = AFC + AVC
Q

AC ATC

0 Q

The Average Cost is “U” shaped because as output increases, the Average fixed costs
represent a high proportion of Average total cost (ATC), as average variable cost is very
low. But as output increases to high level, the average variable costs represent a high
proportion, while the average fixed costs decrease. Hence the “U” shape.

(v) Marginal Cost (MC). This is the extra cost (incremental cost) of producing one more unit
of output.
Marginal Cost (MC) = Change in total cost = ∆TC
Change in output ∆Q

The Marginal Costs fall at first and then rise. The fall is a result of increased efficiency,
caused by specialization as output is increased. The rise is caused by the rise in unit variable
costs caused by diminishing marginal returns

(b) Relationship of average cost (AC) Average Variable Cost (AVC) and Marginal Cost (MC)

The Marginal Cost (MC) cuts the average cost curve (ATC and Average Variable Cost (AVC)
from below at the Latters’ lowest Points.

MC ATC
Costs AVC

0 Q

 When the average cost curve is rising, the marginal cost Q will always be higher than the
average cost curve.

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 When the average cost curve is falling, marginal cost lies below it.

(c ) Revenue

(i) Total Revenue (TR) = Price (P) x Quantity (Q). i.e. TR = P x Q


Total Revenue is important in the calculation of profit.

Profit (T) = TR – TC

(ii) Average Revenue (AR)

Average revenue is the total revenue divided by the number of units of the products that
are sold. i.e. AR = TR = P
Q
The average revenue (AR) is the Price (P) .

Note: Q = TR
P

(iii) Marginal Revenue (MR)

When calculating Marginal Revenue (or Marginal cost), always begin form the output of
zero (0).

Marginal Revenue (MR) is the increase in total revenue which results form the sale of one
more unit of output.. i.e MR = Change in Total Revenue = TR
Change in Output Sold Q

(iv) Examples: Total, Average and Marginal Revenue

Quantity Price Total Average Marginal


Demanded (Q) (P) Revenue (TR) Revenue (AR) Revenue (MR)

1 12 12 12 12
2 11 22 11 10
3 10 30 10 8
4 9 36 9 6
5 8 40 8 4
6 7 42 7 2
7 6 42 6 0
8 5 40 5 -2
9 4 36 4 -4
10 3 30 3 -6
11 2 22 2 -8
12 1 12 1 -10

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 As output increases, marginal revenue is positive, so that total revenue increases.
 Total revenue is maximized t a level where MR = 0
 When MR is Negative, Total Revenue decreases.

(v) Relationship between AR and MR

MR and AR start from the same point. As output increases, the MR slopes twice as steeply as
the AR curve such that the MR will cut half way from 0 where the AR cuts ie. OT = TW.

AR/
MR

AR=D

MR

0 T W

(vi) Profit Maximising Condition

Profit is maximized at a point where MC = MR. Marginal Cost cuts Marginal revenue from
below

AR/
MR MC

P1

AR

MR

0 Q1

In the diagram, the profit maximizing firm will produce Q1 and charge price P1. If the firm
produces below Q1, the MR is higher than MC. Therefore, it would pay the firm to produce
more. If the firm produces more than Q1, the MC is more than MR and profit would be reduced.
Hence, it would pay the firm to reduce output to Q1.

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In conclusion, the profit maximizing condition is MC = MR.

(vi) Example 2:

From the following data of a firm:

Output (Q) Total Cost (TC) Price (P)


0 40 9
10 70 8
20 100 7
30 140 6
40 180 5
50 200 4

(a) Calculate at each level of output (create columns for each)

(i) The firm’s total revenue ( 3 marks)


(ii) The firm’s average revenue and marginal revenue (3 marks)
(iii)The firm’s fixed costs (1 mark)
(iv) The firm’s marginal cost (3marks)
(v) The firm’s average cost (3marks)
(vi) The firm’s profit levels (3 marks)

(b) Find the profit maximizing output, price and profit earned (4 marks)

(vii) Solution to example 2:

Q P TR AR MR TC AC MC Profit
0 9 0 0 - 40 - - (40)
10 8 80 8 8 70 7 3 10
20 7 140 7 6 100 5 3 40
30 6 180 6 4 140 4.7 4 40
40 5 200 5 2 180 4.5 4 20
50 4 200 4 0 200 4 2 0

(iii) The firm’s fixed cost = 40 as it is equal to TC at output = 0.

(b) Profit is maximized where MC = MR = 4. Hence Q = 30, P = 6 and T = 40.

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Activity 4.1

Given the following Table:

Q P TR TVC TFC TC T MC MR
Output Price Total Total Total Total Profit Marginal Marginal
Q K’000 Revenue Variable Fixed Cost K’000 Cost Revenue
K’000 Cost Cost K’000 K’000 K’000
K’000 K’000
1 240 200 50
2 230 350 50
3 220 490 50
4 210 640 50
5 200 800 50
6 190 970 50
7 180 1260 50
8 170 1600 50

(i) Complete the table above (10 marks)


(ii) What is the profit maximizing condition? (4 marks)
(iii) State the profit maximizing output, price and profit earned (6 marks)

4.5 Long-run Production Costs

(a) Introduction
Long –run is the period when all factors of production can be changed or varied. In the
short-run , at least one factor of production is fixed.

On the day-to-day basis, firms operate in the short-run, but plan in the long-run.

(b) From short-run to long-run


In the short-run, the short-run average Total Cost (SRATC) is Minimum at one point
only (say at Q1 in the diagram). If the firm produces more or less than Q1 units, its
ATC cost per unit will rise. In the short-run, there is nothing the firm can do about this,
except to accept the rise in ATC. However it can plan to avoid this rise n the long-run.

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Cost (K’000)
ATC

C1

0 Q1 Q

Figure 1. SRATC

(c ) Long-run Average Total Cost (LRATC) with Constant Cost


In the long-run, firs can select the combination of factors of production that results in
the Minimum ATC for their required level of production.

Cost (K’000)

LRATC
C1

0 Q1 Q

Figure 2. LRATC

So the LRATC is actually a straight line as shown in figure 2 above. Note that the
LRATC initially slopes downwards, reflecting the presence of fixed costs
(indivisibilities). This suggests that at low levels of production the ATC will fall
sharply due to high presence of AFC. Then the LRATC will reach its minimum level
known as MES, thereafter it will be constant regardless of the quantity produced.

(d) Minimum Efficiency Scale (MES)


The MES is the level of output on the LRATC curve at which ATC first reaches its
minimum point in the long-run.

The MES is important because it represents one of the natural barriers to entry in certain
industries.

If the MES is high relative to the size of the total market demand, this will tend to limit
then number of firms that can enter and exist in that market.
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If the MES is high in absolute terms, this may indicate a high level of capital investment
required to invest in that industry.

Note: The LRATC may eventually rise beyond a certain level of output due to
diseconomies of scale.

(e) Economies of Scale


Economies of Scale are reductions in LRATC achieved when the whole scale of
production is expanded in the long-run. Economies of scale can occur only in the long-
run, as they are associated with the alteration of some or all of the firm’s fixed factors of
production.

The LRATC curves are typically “U” shaped as shown below:

Cost (K’000)

LRATC

LRATC
C1
Constant returns to return

0 Output (Q)

Economies of scale Diseconomies of scale

The behaviour of LRATC can be summarized as :

 Economies of scale (decrease in LRATC at low levels of output).

 Constant returns to scale (constant LRATC) at intermediate levels of output

 Diseconomies of scale (increasing LRATC) at high levels of output.

(f) Categories of economies of scale

(i) Internal economies of scale:

These are benefits that accrue to the individual firm, with no effect on other
firms. Such economies of scale cause the LRATC curve to slop downwards.
They include:

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 Financial Economies: When raising finance large firms can easily borrow
money form commercial banks and negotiate for lower interest rates and
hence lowering the LRATC.

 Technical Economies: Division of labour and specialization can be achieved


as organizations grow in size and output increases. This increase efficiency
and reduces costs per unit. The organization can also buy specialized
sophisticated machinery and produce more efficiently, whereby lowering the
LRATC.

 Managerial Economies: A large organization can hire specialist in different


fields, which is an efficient use of Labour resources and lower LRATC.

 Commercial or Trading Economies: Favourable terms are granted to a large


organization since it buys in bulk and may get large trade discounts and lower
the LRATC. It can also afford to employ specialist buyers who can assist in
lowering LRATC.

 Welfare: Large firms can increase production by improving the conditions of


service of its employees and other recreation facilities and consequently
lower the LRATC through high productivity.

(g) External Economies: These are reductions in the LRATC enjoyed by all the firms in the
same industry or in the same area as a result of expanded output.

 External economies, occur often when an industry is heavily concentrated in one area
and the local economy evolves around the industry such as the mining industry on the
Copperbelt in Zambia. The external economies of scale can come through the
following:

 Area having good transport network


 Area having an excellent reputation for producing a particular good
 Firms in the industry may share their research and development facilities to lower
the overhead costs

(h) Diseconomies of Scale

 Diseconomies of scale refers to the increase in the LRATC.


 Dieseconomies of scale can be categorized into internal and external diseconomies
of scale.

(i) Internal diseconomies of scale arise mainly due to growth within the organization.
Hence this results into the following:

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 Managerial diseconomies as a result of difficulties in managing the organization
in managing the organization in relation to effective control and coordination.
Thus increasing bureaucracy as the firm becomes too large and loss of control as
management becomes distanced from the shop floor.

 Labour relations affected and workers’ moral and motivation fall.

 Decisions are not taken quickly.

 As the firm increases in size, management may become complacent since it is


less vulnerable to competition from other firms. This complacency leads to
inefficiency termed “X” Inefficiency.

The organization can attempt to avoid some of the problems caused by growth by
dividing its operations not smaller units (e.g branches or subsidiaries). Also
employees in decision making process.

(ii) External diseconomies of Scale:

This is an increase in the LRATC affecting the whole industry. This arises due
to :

 Scarcity of qualified workers and organizations are forced to compete by


offering higher salaries and conditions of service.
 Scarcity of raw materials, resulting in competing of such at high prices.
 Lack of markets for the firm’s output.

(i) Integration or Amalgamation of Firms

This may be horizontal, vertical or lateral aimed at promoting economies of scale.


The stages of production are primary, secondary and tertiary.

Horizontal integration occurs when firms producing the same type of product or are at
the same stage of production come together.
Vertical integration occurs if firms join together but operating at different stages of
production as outlined below.

This is backward vertical integration. Primary This is forward vertical


It is aimed at having easy, cheap integration and it is aimed
access to raw materials. Secondary at having easy access to the
market.
Tertiary

The other reason of vertical integration is to eliminate the transaction costs of middlemen.

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Lateral Integration occurs when two firms in different types of industry come together. The main
reason for this is diversification.

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UNIT 5: MARKET STRUCTUTES

Learning Outcomes:

After studying this unit, the learner will be able to:


 Graph different types of Market Structures
 Analyse different types of Market Structures

5.0 Introduction

The main forms of Market Structures can be summarized as a spectrum of competition.

Perfect competition - Large number of very small


producers

Degree of competition
Decreases Monopolistic competition – Fairly large number of
Firms, each with own brand

Oligopoly – A few large producers

Monopoly – One producer only

The degree of competition decreases as you move down wards from perfect competition to Monopoly
where there is no competition at all.

Economic theorists have noted that actual market structures, very rarely correspond with the extreme
cases of perfect competition and monopoly, which are viewed not to be realistic by nature of their
characteristics.

MARKET STRUCTURES

5.1 Perfect Competition Market Structure

(a) Introduction: This market structure is unrealistic in the real world as there is no market
structure in the world that is like a perfect competitive market structure. However, it is
important to think about such type of market structure so that in an effort to realize such type of
market structure, as a society we can improve our lives.

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(b) Characteristics of Perfect Competitive Market Structure

(i) There are many “small” buyers and seller in this market structure. The word “small” is
used in the relative sense. This word “small” means that the firms in a perfect
competitive market structure do not have the power to influence the market price.
(ii) The producers and buyers in this market are price takers.
(iii) The goods being marketed in this market structure are homogeneous (identical).
(iv) Perfect information exists. This means that market information is available to every
one instantaneously at no cost. This information is complete to every market
participant.
(v) There are no entry barriers in this market.
(vi) There are not transport costs.

(c ) The demand curve of the individual firm

In this market structure the demand curve


is horizontal, which is equal to Average Price
Revenue and Marginal Revenue.

P1 D=AR=MR

0 Qty

(d) Overview of Analysis of demand and supply

The analysis of how the firm behaves in the short-run can be considered in three stages as
follows:

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Stage one: Market price is higher than Average Total cost (ATC)

The Marginal Cost cuts the ATC and AVC at Price


their Minimum point. ATC
Supernormal MC AVC
The firm aims at profit maximization as it profit
produces at a level where MC=MR. Hence the P1 D=AR=MR
firm produces at output Q1 and charges the
price P1. C
The firm makes super Normal profit as the
price (P1) is above ATC ( c).

This short-run super normal profit is likely to 0


attract new firms to the industry s there are not Q1 Q
entry barriers. Thus, increasing supply and
lowering the price, leading to stage 2.

Stage two. Market price is lower than ATC but higher than AVC

The firm makes a loss as the price (P 1) is below Price


the ATC ( c). Despite the loss, the firm may ATC
continue to operate as it is able to meet the MC AVC
AVC. Loss
C D=AR=MR
The firm aims at profit maximization as it
produces at a level where MC=MR. Thus P1
producing Q1 and charging P1.

0
Q1 Q

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Stage three: Market price is lower than AVC

The firm is still aiming at profit maximization as Price


it produces at a level where MC=MR. ATC
The firm makes a loss as ATC (C ) is above MC AVC
price (P1).
The firm reaches the shut down position as it is C D=AR=MR
not able to meet the AVC, since the price is
below the AVC. P1

As most firms leave the industry, the supply will


decrease, leading eventually to the increase in
prices and attracting new firms in the industry.
0
Note: stage one, stage two and stage three are Q1 Q
unstable short-run positions as outlined
above. Hence the stability in this market
only come in the long-run.

(e) The Long-run Equilibrium

The firm aims at profit maximization as it


produces at a level where MC-MR. However, p ATC
the firm make Normal profit since price (P1) = MC AVC
ATC. The ATC is just tangent to the demand
curve. Therefore in this market structure in the
long-run P=MC=ATC=D=AR=MR. D=AR=MR
P1

0
Q1 Q

(f) The supply curve of the firm in perfect competition market structure in the short-run

The supply curve of the firm in perfect competition is that part of the marginal cost curve
which is above minimum AVC.

The market is short-run supply curve is just the sum of all the individual firm’s supply curves.

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(g) The effect of changing demand on the market in the long-run

The firm’s demand curve is horizontal because each firm is small relative to the market. The
demand curve in the market is down-ward sloping because if all the firms in the market try to
sell more without any change in price, the customers may simply not buy the extra output.

(h) The long run supply curve of a perfectly competitive market is a horizontal line.

Price

Pe LRS

0 Q

Efficiency of a perfect market


The price acts as a signaling mechanism that enables firms to respond to fluctuation in demand,
supplying society at the minimum possible price, given existing technology and resource availability.
There is technical efficiency, since firms operate at the minimum point of ATC. There is no wastage
and resources are used as efficiently as possible.

There is also allocative efficiency as resources are allocated to production to meet demand at as low a
price as possible.

Disadvantages of a perfect market

A perfect competitive market operates purely on price signals, so those who have insufficient income
are simply ignored. Society may feel that it is morally bound to assist financially the poor people.

MONOPOLY

(a) Main Characteristic or Assumptions

(i) Only one supplier of the good exists


(ii) There are barriers preventing other firms form entering the industry

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b) Diagram of a Monopoly

Price
Supernormal profit ATC

MC
P1

P1
C

MR
0
Q1 Qty

(i) The firm aims at profit maximization as it produces at a level where MC = MR.

(ii) The firm makes super normal profit since the Price P1 is greater than ATC (C ).

(iii) The firm is accused of restricting output with a view of charging a higher price. Thus producing
output Q1 and charging Price P1.

(iv) The firm produces at a level where ATC is still falling. Hence the firm is labeled to be
technically inefficient.

(c ) Advantages

(i) The monopolist is able to use the super normal profit in research and development and
come up with new products that have never existed before for the benefit of consumers.

(ii) Size allows the monopolist to benefit from economies of scale. It is probable that the
monopolist will have lower costs and charge the consumers a lower price than a firm
under perfect market structure.

(iii) The monopolist is able to practice price discrimination for the benefit of both the
monopolist and the consumers.

(d) Disadvantages

(i) The monopolist is accused of restricting output with a view of charging a higher price.

(ii) The monopolist may also be technically inefficient by operating at above the minimum
average cost (ATC).

(iii) The monopolist operates with spare capacity by operating at above ATC.
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(e)
(i) Price discrimination is a practice of charging different prices to different markets of
what is essentially the same product.

(ii) Condition under which price discrimination can exist

(1) Separate markets with different demand curves and different elasticities must
exist and be identifiable. The higher price will be charged to the market where
the demand is more inelastic and the lower price to the elastic market.

(2) The markets must be segregated in some way, say geographically.

(3) There must be no possibility of resale by one consumer being charged a lower
price to sell to another consumer being charged a higher price.

5.3 Monopolistc Competition

(a) Introduction: This is a more realistic market than perfect competition and monopoly.

(b) Characteristics of Monopolistic Competition

(i) it contains many suppliers, though not as many as in perfect competition

(ii) Goods are not homogenous. Each supplier supplies a good which is slightly different to
that produced by the competitors. This phenomenon is called “product differentiation”
and can appear in many different ways, e.g. by advertising, packaging etc.

(iii) Although there are barriers to entry in the short-run, such as brand names and customer
loyalty, these are insufficient to prevent other firms form entering the industry in the
long-run.

(iv) The goods and services in the market are not homogeneous.
(v) The firms in the market have a degree of market power.

( c) The firm in the short-run

In the short-run, each firm acts as a little monopolist. Its product is sufficiently different from
others in the market to enable it to have power in its own segment of the overall market.
Thus, in the short-run, the monopolistic competition market structure firm, has most of the
characteristics like a monopoly.

(d) The firm in the long-run

It is in the long-run that the difference between monopolistic competition and monopoly
becomes important.

Monopolistic competition barriers to entry will not prevent other firms form entering the
industry in the long-run.
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In the long-run, firms outside the market will see the super normal profits of firms inside the
market and will move in.

The effect on the individual firm will be to reduce demand for its product. The demand curve,
with the associated marginal revenue curve, will shift to the left producing diagram (b) form (a)
as shown below.

(a) (b)

ATC ATC
MC MC
P12 P2

C1

AR 1=D1 AR 2=D2

MR1 MR 2
0 0
Q1 Q Q2 Q
Short-run Long-run

Panel (a) is the monopolistic competitor in the short-run before entry of the new firms in the
market. Panel (b) is the monopolistic competitor in the long-run after entry of the new firms in
the market.

The entry of new firms shift is the demand curve of the established firms to the left from D 1 to
D2.

In the short-run the firms make super normal profit since the ATC (C 1) is below the prince (P1).
In the long-run, the firms make normal profit since the Price (P2) = ATC.

In the long-run the firs still operate at above minimum average total cost. Therefore, they are:

Technically inefficient and wasteful of resources.


Unable to achieve socially efficient output level where price = MC, and allocative efficiency is
achieved.

It is also probably true that waste does occur in the large amount of advertising that takes place,
which society ultimately bears.

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5.4 OLIGOPOLY:

(a) Introduction

This is a market structure where there are few large firms with similar cost and market
structures. If the industry as a whole should succeed in making super normal profits, then they
can not afford to engage in price competition.

(b) Features of oligopoly market structure

(i) A market structure where a few large suppliers dominate the market.

(ii) The size of the existing firms in an oligopoly is likely to act as a barrier to entry to
potential new entrants, and can allow oligopolists to sustain abnormal profits in the
long-run.

(iii) An oligopoly will exhibit both price and non-price competition between firms.

(iv) Oligopolists may produce a homogeneous product (e.g. oil) or there may be product
differentiation (e.g. cigarettes and cars).

(v) Firms’ production decisions are interdependent. An oligopolist’s pricing and output
decisions will usually depend on what assumptions they make about their competitor’s
behaviour.

(vi) An oligopoly might adopt to co-operate with other firms, and such a strategy will give
rise to a cartel. A cartel is effectively a little Monopolist.

( c) The Kinked demand curve


Elastic
P2 Kinkin Demand
Pe MR MC

Enelastic

P1 AR=D
MR

0 Q2 Qe Q1 Output

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Each firm’s pricing and output decisions in an oligopoly market is influential by what its rivals
might do.

When demand conditions are stable, the major problem confronting an oligopolist in fixing the
price and output is judging the response of the competitors to the price set by the oligopolist.

An oligopolist is faced with a down-ward sloping demand curve, but the nature of the demand
curve is dependant on the reactions of the rivals. Any change in price will invite a competitive
response. This situation is described by the Kinked demand curve. The Kinked demand
curved is used to explain how an oligopolist might have to accept price stability in the market.

Let us assume that the oligopolist is currently charging price Pe and producing output Qe,
meaning the oligopolist is producing at the Kink on the demand curve.

(i) If one oligopolist were to raise the price from Pe to say P2, other firms may not follow with
a view of capturing the market share say form Pe to Q2 which the price raiser has left.

(ii) If one oligopolist were to reduce the price from Pe say to P 1, other firms will follow with a
fear of losing the market share.

This process will form a kinked demand curve.

The Marginal Revenue (MR) curve is discontinous vertical positioned, at the output level
where there is the kink in the demand curve. In this vertical discontinous portion of the MR,
the price levels in the is market are assumed to be stable. Hence the reason why MC passes
through this portion.

Above the Pe, the AR is elastic and below the Pe the AR = D is inelastic. The price Pe is
formed at the Kink.

A firm maximizes its profit at the point where MR = MC. However, the discontinuity vertical
portion in the MR curve means there will be a number of points where MR = MC (represented
by the range XY). There is thus a wide range of possible positions for the MC curve that
produce the same price and output profit maximizing level. Thus, there will be price and
output stability.

In oligopoly markets there is a tendency for one firm to set the general industry level price,
with the other firms following suit. This is called Price Leadership.

CARTEL
Firms in oligopoly market structure, usually form cartels. A cartel is an agreement on the Quantity
to be produced (known as Quota) and the Price to be charged. The aim of a Cartel is to create a
shortage of goods and services with a view of charging a higher price. Hene the diagrammatic
representation of a cartel is shown below:

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The cartel will produce Q1* which is Price S
less than the equilibrium output Qe D
and charge price P1* which is higher
than the equilibrium price.
p 1*

pe

S
D

0 Q1* Qe Q2 Output

One well known cartel in the world is OPEC (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries).

Conditions under which a cartel may be frustrated

(i) Some member countries or firms exceeding their quota.


(ii) Some member countries or firms selling below the cartel’s agreed price.
(iii) Laws in most countries do not allow cartels.
(iv) If one or more members do not join the cartel or withdraw from the cartel membership.
(v) If the product (s) have close substitutes.
(vi) When the price elasticity of demand for the product is not inelastic
(vii) If members within the cartel have not agreed on individual shares of the total restricted
supply to the market

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5.5 Summary of characteristics between different types of market structures

Perfect Monopolistic
competition competition Obligopoly Monopoly

i Very many small supplies Mainly slightly Few large One supplier only
larger suppliers suppliers

ii One market price Price competition No price Price set by one


competition firm.

Possibility of
price
discrimination

iii No barriers to entry Barriers to entry Barriers to entry Barriers to entry


in the short-run.

No barriers to
entry in the long-
run

iv Homogeneous products. Differentiated Normally One type of


Products are a perfect products. differentiated product only.
substitute for one another. products.
Products are close Substitutes
substitutes Degree of available
substitution
between products
is variable

v Demand curve of the Demand curve of Demand curve of Demand curve of


individual firm is the individual firm the individual firm the firm and
horizontal. is downward is probably kinked industry is
sloping downward sloping
Demand curve of the
market is downward
sloping

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UNIT 6 NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING

Learning Outcomes:

After studying this unit, the learner will be able to:

 Explain the methods of calculating National Income


 Evaluate the usefulness of National Income Statistics
 Identify other sources of data on Macroeconomic activity

6.0 Measuring National Economic Activity

In order to understand macroeconomics, it is essential to know how measuring economic


activity is done.

Measuring National Income can indicate how an economy is performing, as it shows the total
value of the goods and services produced by an economy’s resources, and the total incomes
residents in an economy earn.

6.1 Uses of National Income Accounting Measures

 To assess the state of the economy, as a basis of economic planning


 To monitor the impact of government economic policies
o Basis of National comparisons. It is desirable to be able to relate trends and progress in
one country with developments in other countries.

 Use in international co-operation:


o International economic planning through organizations such as the United Nations
African Union, COMESA etc. Use National Income Statistics as a basis on which to
base agreements relating to benefits and contributions.

 To establish the material standard of living in an economy.


o It makes it possible to measure the improvement (or deterioration) in National wealth
and the standard of living.

6.2 Calculation of National Income in Zambia


The Zambian National Income Accounts are compiled by the National Accounts Branch of the
Economic Statistics Division of the Central Statistics Office (CSO) under the Ministry of
Finance and National Planning. The National Accounts Branch is responsible for:

 Preparation of preliminary and revised estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

 Development of Methodologies and procedures for estimating National accounts


aggregates in conformity with Internationally accepted guidelines and recommendations,
e.g. the UN’s.

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 Conducting the National Income Inquiry.
The primary sources of data for the compilation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of
Zambia include (From CSO):

 Census of Agriculture
 Census of Industrial production
 Census of Construction
 National Income Inquiry covering the services sector
 The Government Accounts for community, social and personal services and government
final consumption expenditure.
 The Household Budget Survey (HBS) for estimating household final consumption
expenditure and the informal sector
 Imports and exports from the External Trade Statistics and transactions with the rest of the
World from Balance of Payments Statistics.

Other sources of economic data:


 Census of production
 Family expenditure surveys
 Trade figures.

6.3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP)


National Income is defied as the total value of the goods and services produced by a country’s
resources over a year.

One measure of National Income is GDP. GDP is the Nation’s total output of goods and
services in an economy of a period of time , usually a year. If it is high, then it is assumed that
people in that economy are enjoying a high standard of living.

The word gross is used to denote that GDP is calculated before allowing for depreciation
charges.

The word domestic is used because only that output produced in the country is considered, as
Government can influence only the domestic part of output.

GDP – depreciation = Net Domestic Product

GDP ÷ population = GDP per capita

6.4 Assumptions in Measuring GDP of a closed Economy:

 No International Trade
 No government taxation
 Two economic agents of households and firms
 Firms produce and households consume
 All factors of production are owned by households which are rented by firms
 Firms product all the goods and services which are all consumed by households

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 The firms pay the households the factors of production rewards for using the households’
factors of production.
 All incomes is spent by households on consumption and investment.

6.5 The Circular Flow of National Income

 By using the above assumptions, the circular flow of National Income can be constructed.

 The circular flow of National Income refers to the movement of money resulting form
economic transactions between different groups of people in an economy.

 The circular flow of National Income shows how real resources and financial payments
flow between firms and households.

 As simplified two-sector economy of firms and households model can be shown as


follows:

Households Firms

 National Income (GDP) can be measured in three ways:

(i) Product Method / Output Method:


This is calculated by totalling the final values of the goods and services produced by
the various industries, public authorities etc during the year.

(ii) Income Method:


This is found by totaling the various factors of production payment rewards such as
Rent, Wages, Interest and Profit.

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(iii) Expenditure Method:
This is calculated by totaling the amount spent on final goods and services for
consumption and investment purposes during the year.

It must be emphasized that the money values of output/product, income and expenditure
methods are identical by definition as they simply measure the National Income in different
ways. Ie. Production Method = Income Method = Expenditure Method.

 In practice, the three methods may not produce identical results due to omissions and
errors in calculation.

 The three methods are usually balanced by introducing the balancing item.
 In practice, it is not necessary to use all the three methods. One method is sufficient.

6.6 Gross National Product (GDP)

 This is the total value of final goods and services produced in a year by a country’s
National (including profits form capital held abroad).

 Thus GNP= GDP + Income of National from asses held abroad – income of Non-Nationals
from assets held in the Nation.

 GDP is a better measure of the state of production in the short-term.


 GNP is a better measure when analyzing sources and used of Income.

6.7 The relationship between GDP, GNP and National Income

 Deduction for depreciation is known as Capital Consumption.


 The value of GNP less capital consumption is known as National Income ( or Net National
Product).

 Gross Capital Formation illustrates new investment. The difference between gross capital
formation and capital consumption is Net Investment.

 The level of Net Investment in an economy is an indication of the productive potential of an


economy.

 We would expect an economy with high Net Investment to have higher potential
productivity going forward than on with low Net Investment.

 The relationship between GDP, GNP and National Income is therefore this:

GDP
Plus Net property income from abroad
Equals GNP
Minus Capital Consumption
Equals Net National Income or Net National Product
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National Income is GNP minus an allowance for depreciation of the Nation’s Capital.

6.8 Adjustments to GDP at Market Prices

It is important to note that GDP, GNP and National Income as defined above are expressed at
Market Prices.

Since the prices of many goods and services are distorted by indirect taxes and some are
distorted by subsidies we often with to view the situation without these distortions and convert
GDP at market prices to gross value added at basic prices (which used to be known as GDP at
factor cost).

Thus Gross value added (GVA) at basic prices = GDP at Market Prices – Indirect taxes +
subsidies.

Note: GVA at basic prices and GDP at factor cost are the same measure, although GVA at
basic prices is now the official term.

6.9 Summary of National Income Accounts

+ Net - Capital
Income form GNI Consumption
Abroad at
Indirect Taxes – GDP @ Market Price National Income @
Subsidies Market Market Prices
GVA @ Basic Prices
Prices (GDP at
Factor Cost)

6.10 Disposable Income: This is defined as income available to individuals after payment of
personal taxes. It may be consumed or saved.

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6.11 The three Approaches to National Income Accounting

6.11.1 The expenditure approach

Total domestic expenditure plus


 Household expenditure exports less imports =

adjustment
Balance of
on Finished goods Gross domestic product at
Market Price

trade
 Firms’ investment in
premises, equipment
and inventory Total Domestic
Expenditure
 Government consumption Gross domestic Product at

Factor cost
adjustment
expenditure Market Prices Less Indirect
Taxes plus subsidies = Gross
Domestic Product at factor cost

Note: Transfer Payments (such as income support or state pensions) need to be excluded from
government expenditure, because the government is effectively only transferring these
payments from tax payers to the recipients.

6.11.2 The Income Approach

 Income from employment before PAYE and including employers’ National


Insurance contributions.
 Income from self-employment
 Pre-tax profits of companies
 Pre-tax profits of public corporations
 Pre-tax “surplus” of other government enterprises.

 Interest earned by individuals and companies on any investments they hold is


included in the first two figures.

 These income components do not include two elements:


Income from government pension or social security payments which are transfer
payments

 Any value for work done by individuals for no monetary reward such as house
wives, since they are not economic activities.

6.11.3 The output / product method

This method seeks to measure value of final products or value added method to avoid
double counting.

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Features of output approach

 Accounts broken down by industrial sector

 Useful in showing trends in contribution to National Income from different


sectors of the economy

 No statistical discrepancy adjustment

 May understate the real output of the economy because it will exclude output
which is not sold for at Market Price.

 The value of some goods and services (e.g education, health) have to be
estimated because they do not have a Market Price).

Value added method

Sells wheat for Sells wheat for Sells bread for Sells part buffet
K100,000 K200,000 K300,000 for K450,000

Final
Farmer Miller Baker Caterer expenditure
which is
equal to total
Value added Value added Value added Value added value added
K100,000 K200,000 – K300,000 – K450,000 – of K450,000
K100,000 = K200,000 = K300,000 =
K100,000 K100,000 K150,000

Note: In measuring GDP by expenditure method, you can use either final value or
added a value method as they give the same result.

6.11.4 Nominal and Real GDP


Nominal National Income measures the value of output during the year using the prices
prevailing without adjusting for inflation rate. On the other hand a real GDP measures
the value of output using the prevailing prices after adjusting for the inflation rate.

 It is the real GDP that measures the standard of living.


 Real GDP now = Nominal GDP now x GDPdbase
 Where GDPdnow

GDPdbase = GDP deflator in the base year (=100)

GDP dnow = GDP deflator for current year.

Note that the GDP deflator is nto the same as the Consumer Price Index (CPI). E.g
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Nominal GDP = K6,000 bn, the GDP

Deflator for the year is 130 (base = 100).

What is real GDP?

 Real GDP = K6,000 x 100 = K4,615bn


130 =======

6.11.5 Problems using GDP as a Measure of Standard of Living

(a) Non Market Production:


Work done where no charge is made like that of house wife, is
not included in GDP.

(b) The underground economy (Black Market Economy)

Transactions in the underground economy are not reported, typically for tax
evasion, or other illegal purposes, understating GDP.

( c) Leisure and human costs: Increased Leisure time and improved safety
conditions at work, are not reflected in GDP.

(d) Quality variation and New good: improvement in the quality of goods and new
goods not previously available are not taken into account.

(e) Economic “bads” Harmful effects, such as pollusion, are ignored in GDP.

(f) Environmental factors: Good effects in environmental factors are ignored in


GDP.

(g) Culture: Good effects of culture are not captured in GDP.

(h) Economic welfare: GDP does not measure economic welfare, which is an
indicator of good standard of living, but rather measures the value of goods and
services produced in the year.

6.12 National Income Determination

6.12.1 The Keynesian Approach

(a) Aggregate demand and aggregate supply

John Maynard Keynes (1883 – 1946) argued that demand and supply analysis could be
applied to Macroeconomic activity as well as Microeconomic activity.

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Aggregate Supply (AS) which means the total supply of goods and services in the
economy, depends on physical production conditions – the availability and cost of
factors of production and technical know-how. The aggregate supply curve will be
upward sloping. This states that higher level of National Income and output can only be
achieved at the expense of higher price levels. The main reason for this is a scarcity of
factors of production causing prices in factor markets to rise.

Aggregate Demand (AD): This is total planned demand in the economy for goods and
services.

Aggregate demand is a concept of fundamental importance in Keynesian economic


analysis. Keynes believed that National economy could be “managed” by taking
measures to influence demand up or down particularly by the government known as
“demand management”

The equilibrium National Income can be defined as the level of income at which
aggregate planned expenditure (aggregate demand) is equal to aggregate income and
output. Keynes argued that a National economy will thus reach equilibrium where the
aggregate demand curve and aggregate supply curve intersect.

When the level of aggregate demand is lower than the level needed to generate that
level of output that will employ all resources in the economy, there is deflationary gap
in the economy. So the remedy is to increase Aggregate demand through fiscal Policy.

When aggregate demand rises to a level greater than that which will bring about the
output level at which all resources are employed, we have inflationary gap.

(b) The government and the circular flow of income

The government has several functions within the National economy, and so plays several
different roles in the circular flow of income.

(i) It acts as the producer of certain goods and services instead of privately owned
firms.

(ii) It acts as the purchaser of final goods and services.

(iii) It invests by purchasing capital goods, e.g building roads, schools, hospitals etc.

(iv) it makes transfer payments from one section of economy to another, for example
by taxing, paying pensions and other social security benefits.

(c ) Withdrawals and infections into the circular flow of Income

The simplified diagram of the circular flow of income needs to be amended to allow for
two things:
 Withdrawals (W) from the circular flow of income

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 Injections (J) into the circular flow of income

Government expenditure Exports Investments

Households Firms

Taxation Imports Savings

 Injections refer to movements of income into the circular flow of income.

 Withdrawals refer to movements of income out of the circular flow of income

 Savings refer to income not spent


 Investments usually refer to the acquisition of assets (fixed assets)

The economy is said to be in equilibrium when injections (J) equal withdrawals


(W).
i.e I +G+ X = S, + T + M

(investments) (Government Expenditure) (Exports) (Savings) (Taxation)


(Import)

 If injections are greater than withdrawals, the level of National Income will rise.
 If withdrawals are greater than injections, then the level of National Income will
fall.
 In short, National Income rises by increasing injections and reducing withdrawals.

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(d) The Open Economy

This takes into account withdrawals and injections. This is an open economy, since it
participates in foreign trade.

Income (Y)
Households Firms
Consumption (C)

Total Expenditure (E)

Savings (S) Financial Sector Investment Spending (I)

T axation (T) Government Government Spending (G)


Sector

Import demand (M) Foreign Sector Export Demand (X)

(e) Aggregate demand and National Income

AD = E = C + I + G + (X - M) = Y
Where E = Total National Expenditure
C = Total Domestic Consumption
I = Total Industrial Investment by Public and Private Sectors

Demand Management policies involve the manipulation of total National expenditure (E) by
influencing C, I, G or Net Exports ( X – M).

(f) Aggregate Demand Analysis:

Consumption, Savings and Investment

If we ignore G, T, X and M, households divide all their income between two uses:
consumption and saving.

Provided that National Income is in equilibrium, we have:

Y = C + S where Y = National Income,


C = Consumption and S = Saving

Income (Y) can only be either spent © or saved (S) in a closed economy.
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(i) Savings:
Income that is not spent will be saved and income that is saved will eventually
be invested (people who put money into interest bearing savings are not making
any investment but the institutions such as banks use deposits to lend to
investors).

(ii) Influences on Savings


(1) How much income they are getting, and how much of this they want to
spend on consumption.

(2) How much income they want to save for precautionary reasons.

(3) Interest rates. If the interest rates go up, we expect people to consume less
and vice-versa.

 In conditions of equilibrium for National income: Y = C + S and, y = C + I, and so, I = S.


In the short run, however, savings and investment might not be equal and so there might
be equilibrium.

(iii) The propensities to Consume and Save

When a household has zero income, it will still spend. This spending can be
financed by either savings or from welfare receipts. There is thus a constant, basic
level of consumption which does not vary with the level of income. This is called
autonomous Consumption.

Along side with this level of autonomous consumption, there is also Non-
autonomous consumption, in which the amount spent will vary according to the
income earned. When the household receives an income, some will be spend and
some will be saved.

The proportion of the income which is spent on Non-autonomous Consumption


depends on the Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) while the proportion
which is saved is determined by the marginal propensity to save (MPS).

 MPC = Change in Consumption = C


 Change in Income ∆ Y

 MPS = Change in Savings = S


Change in Income ∆Y

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e.g. A household’s disposable income has increased from $200 to $250 per week, and
consumption has increased from $180 to $220. What is MPC?

 MPC = C = 40 = 0.8
∆ Y 50 ===

 MPC + MPS = 1

 Taking autonomous and non-autonomous consumption combine to give total


consumption. The gradient of the consumption function © reflects the MPC.

Dis saving
Consumption
C Y=C
Saving

C=a+bY

C1
Autonomous consumption

450 a
0 Income
Y1 Y

Figure

National economy as a whole will spend a fixed amount “a” plus a constant
percentage (b% = MPC) of National Income Y.

The Consumption function by Keynes is C = a + bY, where C = Consumption,

a = autonomous consumption ( or Y – intercept)


b = Marginal Propensity to consume (MPC), and
Y – National Income (or disposable income)

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(g) Factors that influence the amount of consumption

(i) Changes in disposable income, and the marginal propensity to consume

(ii) Changes in the distribution of National Income

(ii) Government Policy. Government can influence consumption levels through


taxation and/or public spending.

(iii) The development of major New Products, may create a significant increase in
spending by consumers.

(iv) Changes in interest rates will influence the amount of income that households
decide to save and spend.

(vii) Price Expectations. Expectations of price increases may increase current


consumption and vice-versa.

(h) Factors that influence the amount of saving

(i) The level of income


(ii) Changes in interest rates
(iii) Cost and availability of credit
(iv) The level of inflation

(i) Marginal Propensity to withdraw (MPW)

The MPW is the proportion of National Income that is withdrawal from the circular flow
of income.

MPW = MPS = MPT + MPM

(j) Factors that influence Investment

(i) The rate of interest on capital


(ii) The marginal efficiency of scale (MEC) invested. MEC calculates the exact rate of
return which a project is expected to achieve i.e. the rate at which NPV = 0

(iii) Expectations about the future and business confidence


(iv) The strength of consumer demand for goods
(v) Opportunity cost of investment

(k) The Multiplier and the Accelerator

The Multiplier describes the process of circulation of income in the National economy,
whereby an injection of a certain size, leads to a much larger increase in National
Income.

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 The ratio of the total increase in National income to an initial injection is called
the Multiplier.

Multiplier = Total Increase in National Income


Initial Increase in National Income

Multiplier = 1 or 1
1 – MPC MPS

e.g. If the Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) = 80%, and


the MPS = 20%.

Multiplier = 1 = 1 = 5
1 - .8 .2

 If initial investment = K20 billion

New National Income = Multiplier x Initial Investment


= 5 x K20 billion = K100 billion
=========

 The importance of the multiplier is that an increase in one of the components


of aggregate demand will increase National Income by more than the initial
increase itself.

 For an open economy:

Multiplier = 1 where
S + M + T

S = Marginal Propensity to Save


T = Marginal Propensity to tax
M = Marginal Propensity to import

The multiplier as defined in this way may still be represented as below:

Multiplier = 1 , but this is now


1 – MPC
the same as 1 (reflecting the Impact of withdrawals as a whole)
MPW

For example, if in a country the marginal propensity to save is 10% the marginal
propensity to import is 45%, and the marginal propensity to tax is 25%, the size of the
multiplier would be:

M = 1 = 1 = 1.25
0.1 + 0.45 + 0.25 0.80

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 Note: The higher the MPC, the higher the multiplier.

 Limitations of the multiplier are:

(i) it is relevant to a demand-deficient economy with high unemployment of


resources

(ii) The leakages from the circular flow of income might make the value of the
multiplier very low

(iii) There may be a long period of adjustment before the benefits of the multiplier
are felt.

(iv) If consumption is unpredictable, measures to influence National Income through


the multiplier will be impossible to predict too.

The Accelerator Principle assumes that it there is a small change in the output of
consumer goods, there will be a much greater change in the output of capital
equipment required to make those consume goods. This change in the
production of capital equipment (investment spending) speeds up the rate of
economic growth, or slump.

The acceleration implies that investment, and hence National Income, remain
high only as long as consumption is rising. The accelerator comes into effect as
a consequence of changes in the rate of consumer demand.

(l) The Paradox of Thrift:


Thrift means saving, which is considered to be a virtue or good in economic
development. Hence, the concept that saving is a leakage in the circular flow of
National Income contradicts the common knowledge that saving is good for economic
growth.

(M) The Business Cycle


Business cycles or trade cycles are the continual sequence of rapid growth in National
Income, followed by a slow-down in growth and then a fall in National Income
(recession). After this recession comes growth again, and when this has reached a peak,
the cycle turns into recession once more.

Four main phases of the business cycle can be distinguished.

 Recession: Consumer demand falls and many investment projects already


undertaken begin to look unprofitable.

 Depression: Recession can begin relatively quickly because of the speed with
which the effects of declining demand will be felt by business suffering a loss in
sales revenue. The general price level will begin of all. Businesses and consumer

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confidence are diminished and investment remains low. Eventually, in the absence
of any stimulus to aggregate demand, a period of depression sets in.

 Recovery: Government will try to Limit the decline by boosting aggregate demand
through Fiscal Policy reducing Taxation, lowering interest rates, or by raising
Public expenditure. Recovery is when confidence returns. Output, employment
and income will all begin to rise. Rising production, sales and profit levels will
lead to optimistic business expectations, and new investment will be more readily
undertaken.

 Boom: As recovery proceeds, the output level climbs above its trend path, reaching
the boom phase. During the boom, capacity and labour will be fully utilsed. This
may cause bottlenecks in some industries which are unable to meet increases in
demand. Inflation may creep in and this may lead the economy to recession of not
well managed.

6.13 Fiscal Policy


Fiscal Policy refers to the manipulation of government expenditure and taxation in the
Management of the economy.

6.13.1 Government Expenditure

Government expenditure may mean capital expenditure or revenue expenditure

Government capital expenditure refers to government spending on investment goods.


This means spending on assets that last more than one year. This may include
investment in hospitals, schools, equipment, roads etc.

Government current expenditure refers to government day to day spending on recurring


items such as salaries, fuel, stationery etc, known as consumables and other everyday
items that get used up as the good or service is provided.

The government as an instrument of economic policy uses fiscal policy, also known as
budgetary policy, through the balance between government expenditure and revenue.

In order to reduce high levels of unemployment, or to stimulate recovery from a


recession, the government, aims for a budget deficit or an expansionary fiscal policy.

An expansionary (or reflationary) fiscal policy could mean:

 Cutting levels of direct or indirect tax


 Increasing government expenditure

Reducing taxes causes government revenue to be lower than government expenditure,


which results in a budget deficit, government borrowing covers the difference. The
government needs to borrow money to finance its activities. This borrowing is referred

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to as the Public Sector Net Cash requirement (PSNCR). The PSNCR is the amount of
money the government needs to borrow to meet the spending plans. The PSNCR is the
amount that government spending exceeds the Tax revenue.

 Therefore, an increase in the PSNCR is a sign that the government is following an


expansionary Fiscal policy in order to boost the economy.

 A prudent government, should ensure that the rate at which its PSNCR is increasing
annually should not exceed the rate at which its GNP is growing.

 Budgetary policy can also be used to check for increase in inflation levels or an
adverse balance of payment by aiming for a budget surplus or a contractionary fiscal
policy.

 A contractionary (or deflationary) fiscal policy could mean:

 Increasing taxation
 Cutting government expenditure

 Reducing government expenditure while increasing taxes is what leads to a


government surplus. The difference is the public sector net cash surplus.

 Note that a reduction in both government and consumption expenditure reduces the
level of demand in the economy and help to reduce inflation.

 To focus on avoiding excessive fiscal deficits and debt by reducing government


borrowing which in turn, contributes to a decline in interest rates, besides the
reduced external debt servicing, may allow for an expansion of credit to the private
sector, no crowding out effect.

 All in all, budget execution need to be improved, financial accountability and


expenditure monitoring systems need strengthening, as well as strengthening the
revenue base for a Nation to achieve sound sustainable economic management.

6.13.2 Taxation

Government revenue comes form taxation. Other reasons for taxation are:

To control the consumption of demerit goods like beer and cigarettes.

To protect infant, strategic and declining industries by introducing indirect taxes like
customs duty.

To put into effect the “automatic” economic stabilizers particularly during economic
recessions and booms.

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To equitably distribute income and wealth in the economy.

(a) Principles of Taxation


The creation of tax system required an underlying set of principles to guide the types of taxes
levied and the methods used to collect them.

Adam Smith described the four “canons” or principles of taxation. They are:

(i) Equity: Taxes should be levied according to the ability of pay of the tax payer.

(ii) Certainty: The tax should be unavoidable. Thus, the tax payer should know when the
tax should be paid, how much should be paid and know which transactions rise to a tax
liability.

(iii) Convenience: The tax should be convenient to pay, not involving the tax payer in time
consuming activities.

(iv) Economical: The tax should be cheap to collect, such that the revenue collected should
be far greater than the cost of collecting it.

(b) Classification of Taxes

(i) Progressive Tax: This is a tax that takes an increasing proportion of income as income
rises. Most direct taxes are progressive.

(ii) Regressive Tax: This takes a higher proportion of a poorer person’s income. Most
indirect taxes are regressive.

(iii) Proportional Tax: This is when the tax is the same proportion on all incomes, whether
large or small. It simply taxes the same proportion of one’s income. For example 10%
of one’s income.

(c) Direct and Indirect Taxation

A direct tax is a tax on income, profit or wealth. It is paid direct to the revenue authorities by
the tax payer. Examples of direct taxes are:

 Income tax (PAYE)


 Corporation tax
 Capital tax
 Inheritance tax
 Other taxes to the local government – like personal levy, motor vehicle duties

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Advantages of direct taxes:

(i) The taxes are equitable


(ii) Have an elastic and high yield increasing government revenue
(iii) The taxes are certain
(iv) Lead to equal distribution of income and wealth
(v) They are “automatic economic stabilizers.”
(vi) Not inflationary like indirect taxes

Disadvantages of direct taxes

(i) High rates acts as a disincentive to efficiency, effort and enterprise.


(ii) High rate might also encourage migration of skilled man power to “tax havens.”
(iii) High rates encourage tax avoidance and evasion, especially in the informal
sector.

An Indirect tax is a tax on expenditure. Examples of indirect taxes are:

 Customs or import duties


 Excise duties, this is a tax on some locally produced products
 Value Added Tax.

The advantages of indirect taxes

(i) Revenue yield from indirect taxes help to avoid high direct taxes
(ii) Payment is certain since they are difficult to avoid and to evade.

(iii) Convenient to the tax payer since they are paid in small amounts and when un
individual is in a position to buy the product.

(iv) Economical in collection as enterprises collect on behalf of the government.

(v) It is not harmful to effort and initiative like direct taxes. It is less painful since it
is hidden in the price of a commodity or service.

(vi) Indirect taxes are flexible instruments of policy as they can be easily adjusted to
specific objectives of economic policy.

The disadvantages of indirect taxes:

(i) They are regressive ( a specific tax as a fixed unit or an advalorem tax as a fixed
percentage without regard the income levels)
(ii) They are not equitable.
(iii) May evade indirect taxes like customs duty.
(iv) May encourage inflation.
(v) Possibly harmful to industry especially for goods with elastic demand.

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6.13.3 Laffer Curve

Government revenue is mostly from taxes. A laffer curve named after professor Art Laffer
shows how tax revenue and tax rate are related.

If the tax rate is 0%, then government revenue would be zero.

If the tax rate is 100%, again there would not be any government revenue as no one would be
willing to work.

Laffer curve shows that the government can achieve very high tax revenue at two rates, 25%
and 75%.

Given that a high tax rate discourages hard work and enterprise, the best option is a Tax rate of
25%.

Thus, lowering tax rates increases production and supply. This in turn increases the National
Income.

Tax revenue

0 T* Tax rate (%)

T* represents the optimum tax rate where the maximum amount of tax revenue can be
collected.

Unit Summary

Public Finance deals with finances of the Government, which is reflected in terms of
expenditure and revenue.

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UNIT 7: ANALYSING MONEY, BANKING AND MONEY MARKETS

7.1 Introduction

Learning Outcomes
Upon completion of this unit the trainee should be able to:

 Analyse the barter system.


 Analyse the functions and characteristics of money.
 Analyse functions of commercial banks.
 Analyse money markets.

7.2 Terminology.

 Barter system: exchange of goods and services for goods and services.
 Money : anything which is generally acceptable for exchange.
 Quantity theory of money: a theory that explains the movements in the value
of money over time.
 Reserve ratio: minimum amount kept by banks to meet depositors’ needs.

It is not easy for one to give a satisfactory and concise definition of money but its importance is quite
obvious. In our present day world, money is considered to be the life blood of all economic
activities. The efficient operation of the modern economy would not be possible without the use of
money in one form or other. The current banking system, the domestic and international trade,
various government operations and indeed any other economic activity would be difficult to handle
without the use of money as a measure of value and medium of exchange. The use of money made it
possible to do away with the Barter system which involved the exchange of goods for other goods.

Barter System: Before the use of money as we know it today, various communities in the world
used to exchange goods for goods and this systems was known as Barter. However, with the growth
and expansion in economic activities the barter system was found to be cumbersome and unsuitable
due to the following disadvantages.

a) It was difficult to determine the values of goods that were being exchanged. For instance when
changing salt with say chickens, it was not easy to arrive at a value needed to exchange the two
items. There was therefore a lot of haggling before the exchange could take place.

b) A problem also arose when exchanging goods of varying sizes and quality. For instance if one
had a cow but needed a loaf of bread.

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c) The exchange was dependent on what is called “double coincidence of wants”, meaning that
the exchange of goods could only take place if the parties involved in the exchange transaction
had identical requirements in terms of items needed and offered. For example if one had rice
but needed meat, for exchange to take place he had to find someone with meat who was in need
of rice but if this was not so then the transaction would not be done.

7.3 Origins of Money

As economic activities and trade increased, it became inevitable and necessary to find an
alternative medium of exchange. Initially various commodities were used (in different
communities) such as cattle, salt, beads and metals like copper, iron, silver and gold but
eventually the use of silver and gold became more acceptable and widespread because they
were precious and durable. Normally silver and gold were produced in form of bars (ingots)
but were later cut into smaller pieces to facilitate exchange of goods of varying sizes and this
lead to the development of coins. On the other hand, paper money (bank notes) originated
from receipts of gold or silver which they had kept on behalf of their clients. Since these
receipts presented the value of these metals they had a promise to pay the value of the metal on
demand. Later these receipts began to circulate and were used as instruments of exchange and
eventually led to the development of paper money.

7.4 Functions of Money

Basically money performs four main functions as follows:

i) A medium of exchange – this was the earliest function of money. It facilitates the
exchange of goods and services meaning it makes it possible and easy to buy and sell goods
and services.

ii) Measure of value and unit of account – It serves as a stand for measuring value – it
provides a means of determining the relative values of different goods and services in a
uniform way. This means determining a rate of exchange between different kinds of goods.
This makes it possible to price goods and services and provide the basis of making
calculations and the preparation of financial records like profit and loss, balance sheet, etc.

iii) A standard of deferred payments – This simply means that money makes it possible to
enter into contractual or credit arrangements and pay later. It means making payments
to be deferred from the present to some future date. In other words it makes borrowing
and lending activities easy to do.

iv) A store of value – Money is used as an alternative way of keeping wealth in form of
cash or investment accounts. It is the most convenient way of keeping any income
which is surplus to immediate needs. Money is a liquid asset that can instantaneously
be converted to goods and services without any inconvenience.

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Characteristics of Money

For a commodity to serve as an effective medium of exchange (as money) it must have the
following characteristics or attributes.

i) It must be accepted as a legal tender in the community it is used.


ii) Should easily be recognized
iii) Should be uniform in appearance for it to be easily recognized
iv) Must be fairly durable in quality and value
v) Capable of being divided into small units or denominations without affecting its value
vi) Should be light and easy to carry
vii) Must be scarce – must not be too plentiful

7.5 Types of Money

i) Coins
ii) Bank notes (paper money
iii) Bank deposits

When coins and bank notes are authorized by the Government they are known as legal tender.

If the coins and banks notes have their value based fully on the value of gold or silver such
money is known as convertible currency. But money not backed by gold or silver but by
government authority is known as fiduciary issue ( inconvertible money). However all the
currencies in the world are fiduciary as none of then are backed by gold or silver.

The Value of Money

Generally the value of money is expressed in form of prices for goods and services. When
prices go up it means the value of money has gone down and when prices reduce it means the
value of money is rising. Trends over many years indicate that the value of money like any
commodity is not constant but changes upwards or downwards.

The changes in prices have their own implications. When prices go up it hurts consumers but it
means more revenue and profits for suppliers and this may help create job opportunities. On
the other hand if prices go down consumers rejoice but suppliers suffer reductions in revenues
and profits and in the process jobs may be lost.

7.6 The Quantity Theory of Money

This theory was introduced by classical economists in the 17 th Century to explain the
movements in the value of money. They noticed that they was a link between quantity of
money and its value (or general level of prices). From this they concluded that changes in the
value of money was caused by changes in its quantity or supply. This meant that if money
supply was increased by say 20%, the value of money would go down by the same margin and
vice versa.

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However, this theory was criticized as being unrealistic because it had not taken into account
other factors that influence changes in prices of goods such as fashion, weather conditions,
seasonal variations, technological changes and their impact, demand for money, etc. But the
theory created awareness that the supply of money needed to be managed carefully to avoid
negative impact on the value of money.

i) Equation of Exchange

This theory which was proclaimed in the 20th Century went further than the quantity theory by
stating that the value of money was influenced not only by the quantity of money but also by
the rate at which money circulates or is spent (velocity) and the output of goods and services.
It was expressed in form of an equation of exchange, thus : MV = PT.

M stands for quanity of money, V for velocity, P for price levels and T for goods and services
during a given period.

From that equation, P = MV/T showing that price levels were affected by 3 factors, namely,
quantity of money, velocity and output of goods and services. This theory too was not fully
accepted.

Demand for Money

Demand for money refers to the situation where there is desire to hold or keep money instead
of investing it. The opportunity cost of holding money over a period is the interest income that
is forgone. The question is why do people desire to hold money? People hold money because
they get some benefits from doing so. In deciding how much to hold, people consider both the
benefits and costs of holding money.

According to the famous economist, Lord Maynard Keynes of the United Kingdom, there are
three motives for holding money, namely, the transaction motive, the precautionary motive and
the speculative motive.

The Transactions Motive: People whether consumers or businessmen, keep a certain amount
of money to carry out certain transactions associated with day to day requirements. These
include the purchases of food, fuel, transport needs debt payments etc. In other words money
is needed in order to acquire various items as and when needed.

The Precautionary Motive: People keep money aside in order to meet the unforseen and
unplanned activities such as funerals, illness, accidents, loss of property through thefts or fires,,
etc.

The Speculative Motive: This is where money is kept in anticipationof making more money.
Some people may expect interest rates or value of stocks or shares to rise in the future and
therefore they keep money to take advantage of such trends to make more money in the future.
Others keep money to participate in gambling with a view of making more money.

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The Money Demdn Curve

Interest rate

Money demand

Quantity of Money demanded

The above curve shows that the quantity of money demanded increases as interest rates decline.
The interest rate is the opportunity cost of holding money. The money demand curve shows a
relationship between the level of interest rates in the economy and the stock of money demanded at
a given point in time. The higher the level of interest rates the greater the opportunity cost of
holding money and the lower the quantity demanded.

THE SUPPLY OF MONEY

The money supply is the stock of money existing at any particular time. It is basically made up of
coins and bank notes in circulation as well as bank deposits. Money supply is measured either
narrowly or broadly, with a very thin dividing line between the two.

NARROW MONEY: It comprises mostly notes and coins in circulation plus bank deposits. This
is money that is available to finance current spending, money that is held for transaction purposes,
thus highlighting the function of money as a medium of exchange.

Broad Money: This is narrow money plus savings. It also includes liquid assets. This it involves
the function of money as a medium of exchange as well as a store of value.

Definition: Money is anything that is generally accepted as payment in exchange for goods
and services and for settling debt.

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7.7 CONCEPTS OF BANKING
The banking system being discussed here is made up of commercial banks and the Central
Bank.

Origin of Banking: The banking system in Zambia is based on the British System. In England
banking originated from the London goldsmiths, who, because of the nature of their business,
had facilities or warehouses for storing valuables such as gold, silver and others. These
goldsmiths accepted deposits of valuables from merchants who had no safe place in which to
keep their valuables and charged them for looking after their valuables. Receipts were issued
by goldsmiths to acknowledge the valuables they kept on behalf of their customers. Later these
receipts began to circulate and were used as means of payments by merchants. These receipts
eventually evolved into paper money or bank notes.

Functions of Commercial Banks


The following are some of the functions carried out by Commercial Banks:
i) Accepting Deposits: Banks provide depository services to their clients and keep money
in form of current accounts, savings, and fixed or time deposit accounts.

Current accounts enable customers to keep their money in a bank and they are charged
fees for keeping their money in the bank. The funds kept in a current account are also
known as Demand Deposits because funds can be withdrawn anytime as needed.
Cheque books are normally issued to the account holders and withdraws are made
through the use of cheques or ATM cards.

Savings Accounts - This is where customers are paid interest by Banks on the deposits
kepts in the savings accounts. Normally banks prescribe minimum amounts that have
to be maintained in these accounts.

Time Deposits: Here clients keep relatively large amounts of money in a Bank for a
specified period which can be 30 days, 60 days, 3 months, 6 months, 2 years or any
period that a client may opt to have. Interest rates paid here are normally higher than in
savings accounts.

ii) Providing Credit Facilities: Banks make their money by lending out funds to clients
on which they charge interest. Generally Banks provide credit facilities in form of
overdrafts and loans. One has to be a client in order to quality for a credit facility. To
access a facility a customer has to apply indicating the amount needed and the purpose
of the facility. Each request is subject to evaluation to determine is viability. A
successful applicant is required to provide security for the facility given.

Overdraft: One must have a current account to qualify for this facility. It is also
known as ‘advances’. An overdraft is a facility where a current account holder is
allowed by the Bank to overdraw the account up to an authorized limit. If one is given a
facility of say K20 million, it means that the account can be overdrawn up to this
amount. Balances under this facility fluctuate when withdraws are made and funds are
deposited from time to time. Interest is charged only on negative balances. The facility
is normally valid for one year but subject to renewal as required.

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Loans: A loan is given and paid within a specified period. One can borrow for 3
months, 6 months, 2 years, etc. Loan repayments are normally made in installments
and the loan balances reduce as payments are made. Interest is charged on outstanding
loan balances. For example if one gets a loan of K12 million payable in 3 monthly
installments the situation will be as follows:
Installment Loan Balance
1 st payment 4,000,000 8,000,000
nd
2 payment 4,000,000 4,000,000
3rd payment 4,000,000 NIL

Loans like overdrafts require security as may be specified by the bank.


iii) Agents of payments – Banks make various payments on behalf of their
customers. For instance they pay bills on behalf of their customers if instructed
to do so. They can also remit funds from one to another on behalf of their
clients.

iv) Foreign Exchange - Banks are involved in the buying and selling of foreign
exchange. The buy rate is one at which banks buys foreign exchange from
clients and sell rate is one at which they sell to clients in need of foreign
currency.

v) Trade Financing – Banks also provide resources and facilities for handling trade
and business transactions.

vi) Advisory Services – customers obtain advice if required on how to conduct and
run business activities.

vii) Valuables – Banks provide facilities where customers can keep their valuables.

viii) Brokerage – Banks act as agents or brokers in the buying and selling of shares
on the stock exchange.

FACTORS THAT CONTRIBUTE TO BANK GROWTH


The size of the Bank can be expressed in form of deposit levels or total assets. Banks differ in terms
of size and the rate at which they expand their operations. This is due to the following factors:
1. Initial Capital – The amount of capital which the Bank uses to start its operations can have a
bearing on its growth. The larger the amount the more likely that a bank can grow faster than
one that begins its operations with limited capital amount.

2. Location – If a bank is located in an area where business potential is high its growth is likely to
be high. Poor choice of location can have adverse impact on the growth of a bank.

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3. Number of customers – The more customers the banks is able to attract the more chances it has
in experiencing growth in its business operations.

4. Quality of Customers – A bank may have fewer customers but if such clients are able to
generate large volumes of business then it may grow faster than a bank with large numbers of
customers that have limited business capacities.

5. Quality of Management – A bank with experienced and highly competent management staff
can influence growth through proper planning and good marketing strategies. Poor
management can reduce a bank’s capacity to grow as expected.

6. Reputation of a bank – the reputation of stakeholders , directors and management can help in
attracting customers to a bank and vice versa. There is no way a bank can grow its business if
it fails to attract sufficient number of customers.

7. Economy – A buoyant and well managed economy tends to contribute to growth of banks
where as a sick economy beset by corruption is likely to adversely affect the growth prospects.

FACTORS AFFECTING LENDING CAPACITY OF BANKS


The profitability of any bank is determined by the size and quality of its loan portfolio. A profitable
bank is one that experiences low default rates by its clients and has manageable provisions for
substandard loans.
The following are some of the factors that affect the lending activities of banks either positively or
negatively.
1. Deposits: The main sources of funds which Banks use for lending money to the public are
deposits. Therefore the banks capacity to lend is determined by the amount of deposits at its
disposal. A bank with total deposits of K500 billion has the capacity to lend out more in loans
and overdrafts than a bank with K10 billion in deposits. This therefore means that the lending
capacities of banks is determined by the size of their deposits.

2. Interest Rates: Customers that borrow money from banks are charged interest. Interest rate is
the cost of borrowing. High interest rate tend to discourage people from borrowing because
credit facilities become very expensive. A reduction in interest rates would make borrowing
cheaper and will in turn encourage more people to borrow from banks.

On the other hand banks prefer high interest rates because they are able to generate more
revenue and maximize their profits.
3. Security Requirements – Generally banks demand appropriate security to cover overdrafts and
loans so that if borrowers fail to pay back the money borrowed then they can use the security to
clear the debts in question. The point here is that if banks demand stringent security which

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many borrowers are not able to provide then this will reduce the number of eligible or potential
borrowers. This will negatively affect their lending portfolios.

4. Quality of Proposals – Banks normally finance well prepared applications or proposals. If


most of the potential borrowers do not have the ability to prepare viable proposals then banks
will not be able to obtain enough customers.

5. Default Rates –If Banks experience high default rates (failure to pay back loans) in a
community they are likely to be reluctant to lend more. This will inevitably lead to reduced
lending.

6. Central Bank Regulations: There are a number of regulations put in place by the Central Bank
that tend to affect the way banks handle their lending portfolios. For instance banks are
required to place part of their deposits with the central bank. These are known as statutory
reserves. If the statutory reserve ratio is say 10%, this means that 10% of the bank’s total
deposits must be kept with the Central Bank. For example if a bank has K100 billion in
deposits, 10% which is K10 billion is kept at the Central, leaving K90 billion with the bank.
This means that the bank can utilize only K90 billion for lending purposes. An increase in the
reserve rate reduces the amount of money the bank can use and similarly a reduction in the rate
increases the amount of loanable deposits.

The Central bank can also influence interest rates used by Commercial Banks. The rates may
either increase or decrease and in the process affect the lending capacity of banks.

7.8 The Role of the Central Bank

The Central Bank is the principal financial Institution in any country. It regulates and supervises
the entire banking sector. In Zambia the Central Bank is known as the Bank of Zambia and is
owned by the State. It does not deal directly with the general public but through the Banking
sector.

Some of the main functions performed by the Central Bank are follows:

1. It regulates and supervises the Banking and Financial sectors in the country. It ensures that
the financial sector operates smoothly and effectively for the well being of the entire
economy. It has in place rules and regulations which it uses to manage the entire system
and has a monitoring system to ensure compliance by all the players in the financial sector.
The bank has also been given powers under an Act of Parliament which allows it to deal
with any offenders that disregard its rules and regulations.

2. It is the only institution allowed to issue the country’s currency in form of coins and bank
notes.
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3. It is responsible for managing and maintaining the internal and external value of the
currency.

4. Acts as the Bank to the Government. This means that it provides all the Banking Services
needed by the Government in the same way that the public is serviced by the Commercial
Banks.

5. It is a Bank to Commercial Banks. These Banks have various accounts in the Central Bank.

6. It acts as a lender of last resort to banks when in need of financial assistance from the
Central Bank.

7. It manages on behalf of the Government its internal and external debts.

8. It manages the country’s foreign reserves.

9. It facilitates the clearing of cheques issued by the Banking system.

10. The Central bank maintains close contact with other Centrals banks and monetary
institutions in other countries with the aim of achieving greater international monetary
stability.

11. It is largely responsible for the country’s monetary policy which involves decision and
actions of the government regarding management of money supply. An increase in money
supply leads to a lot of spending and borrowing. With too much money in circulation
inflation is likely to rise. To reduce money supply the central bank normally moves in to
reduce borrowing by limiting the capacity of commercial banks to lend.

The instruments that the Central Bank can use to control money supply include the use of the
Bank Rate and Open Market Operations. The bank rate is the interest charged by the Central
Bank. To check the money supply, the Bank rate is raised to make credit expensive and as
such discourages people form borrowing.

In open market operations, the Central Bank can influence directly the banks level of deposits
by buying or selling government securities like treasury bills and bonds and also by varying
statutory reserves as required. For instance if the Central Bank wants to reduce money supply
and ultimately the rate of inflation, it can do so by selling treasury bills which will lead to
reduction in money supply.

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7.9 MONEY MARKETS
The money market, or sometimes known as the financial market was originally divided into
segments as follows:
i) Money Market
ii) Discount Market
iii) Securities or Stock Exchange Market
iv) Capital Market

These markets evolved over time and had unique money products to handle with different players
being involved. Nowadays the first two segments constitute the money market while the other
two the capital market.

Products
Each of the Markets indicated above specialized in handling specific products.

i) Money Market – The product traded or handled in this market is short term funds in form of
short term loans of up to 3 months duration and money at call. The last named product has no
specific repayment period but payable on call.

ii) Discount Market - The products here included treasury bills, Bonds, Bills of Exchange and
Promissory notes. Treasury bills are short term government debts whose maturity could
range from 3 months to 12 months or more. The Government borrows on short term basis by
issuing treasury bills through the Central Bank and the debts are paid from Government
Revenue. Bonds are normally medium to long term debts of two years or more.

iii) Stock Exchange Market – Stocks or shares are the products traded in this market. This is the
only market where trading is carried out in a building.

iv) Capital Market – the product is in form of long term debts or debentures

Major Players (Buyers and Sellers)


In the money market, like in other markets, one finds the suppliers (sellers) and buyers of the
products traded.
i) Money Market – The providers of funds (sellers) in the money market are Commercial Banks
with excess liquidity or fund. When they have excess money which they have not been able to
lend out, Banks take advantage of this market to offload the excess money which they lend at
lower interest rates than they lend to the general public. The borrowers (or buyers) or these
funds are financial institutions known as Discount Houses. These institutions borrow money
from this market to use it for transactions in the Discount Market. Sometimes other Banks
borrow from this market when they run out of funds. Hence it is sometimes referred to as the
Inter-Bank Market.

ii) Discount Market – The discount houses use funds borrowed from the money market to
discount or purchase bills that are traded in this market.

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What happens is that people and institutions invest money in treasury bills and bonds for
specified periods. However, a bill holder may want to sell the bill before it matures for
whatever reason. The discount houses take advantage of the situation to buy such bills at a
discount. For example if a person had invested K100 million in treasury bills for 12 months.
But after 6 months he may experience some financial problems and then decides to sell the
treasury bill in order to get cash now rather than wait until the maturity of the bill. The
discount House may offer to purchase the bill at say 10% discount, meaning that the owner of
the bill will get 90% of the bill and the Deposit House will keep the bill until it matures and
collects K100 million. A profit of K10 million is made by the Discount House by its
involvement in the discount business. Therefore in this market the buyers are discount houses
and the sellers are bill owners.

iii) Stock Exchange Market – This is where stocks or shares are bought and sold. Shares are
normally sold by companies that need funds to finance their operations. Buyers are individuals
and various institutions that want to become shareholders. When one buys shares in a
company he or she is entitled to getting dividends from the company. Shares appreciate in
value (can also depreciate) and when this occurs the shareholders make a profit from such a
transaction. For example if one buys shares at K100 per share now and then in 2 years time the
value of shares increases to K500 per share, it means that if this shareholder decides to sell his
shares he will do so at a profit of K400 per share. The amount he gets will depend on how
many shares he has.

iv) Capital Market – The product here is long term funds and it is mainly investors that seek such
funds to finance big projects that take long before operations start. Example are mining
companies, energy developers, real estate businesses, etc. So the buyers here are investors.
The providers of funds (sellers) are financial institutions that generate long term kind of money
such as Insurance companies, Pension funds and merchant banks.

Benefits of Money Markets

 They provide avenues where banks with excess liquidity can invest their excess funds.
 Source of long term capital through long term loans in the capital market and shares in the
stock exchange
 Provide lucrative investments opportunities in securities such as bonds and shares.

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UNIT 8 ANALYSING INFLATION

8.1 Introduction.
The purpose of this unit is to equip trainees with skills and knowledge about inflation. The unit
discusses types of inflation, causes of inflation, measurements of inflation and effects of inflation.

Unit learning outcomes

Upon completion of this unit the trainee will be able to:


 Explain types of inflation.
 Analyse causes and effects of inflation.

 Inflation: a generalize and persistent price rise.

8.3 Measuring Inflation:


Basically inflation is the rate at which the general price level increases for goods and services
produced in a country. In other words it is a sustained rise in the general price level of goods and
services.

Annual rates of inflation are measured by the percentage change in a price index from one year to
the other. One common index used is that of Consumer Price Index (CPI). This index is based on a
standard market basket of goods and services purchased by a typical average family. A price index
is a number used to measure the price level. The list of items included in the CPI is compiled by
the statistical office and normally comprises various goods and services which are commonly used
in the community. Such items may include various food stuffs, clothing, housing, fuel, and many
others (Luxuries are excluded from the list). This list is what is referred to as a basket of goods and
services.
Once the list is compiled the prices of the items are indicated for a given period and the average
prices for all the items are calculated. A similar exercise is done for another period and the
information is compared in order to monitor the movements in prices of various commodities in the
basket.

For example if one was comparing the CPI in 1990 to that of 1991, the rate of inflation between
1990 and 1991 would be calculated as:
CPI in 1991 – CPI in 1990 x 100%
CPI in 1990

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If the average prices in 1990 were at 100.00 and 110.00 in 1991. The rate of inflation using the
formula above would be:
110 – 100 x 100% = 10%
100

TYPES OF INFLATION
Generally speaking there are two types of inflation namely, demand pull inflation and cost push
inflation.

Demand Pull Inflation – This kind of inflation is a result of demand for goods and services being
persistently higher than supply of goods and services. This means that there is shortage in the system
which suppliers of goods take advantage is to increase prices. In other words price changes respond to
the market forces of supply and demand.

Cost-Push Inflation – This inflation is caused by an increase in the costs of production. An increase in
wages and salaries, raw materials, fuel etc, may lead to the increase in the cost of producing goods and
services. When this happens the producers of goods and series adjust prices upwards in order to cover
the increase in the costs of production. This inevitably leads to an increase in prices and ultimately to
inflation.

The rate at which inflation occurs depends on the speed at which prices change. When there are small
price increases this is known as creeping inflation but when prices change rapidly and involve large
price increases it becomes hyper inflation.

8.4 CAUSES OF INFLATION


1. Money supply: any increase in the quantity of money leads to an increase in inflation. The
classical economists through the quantity theory of money established a link between the
quantity of money and the general level of prices. This situation remains true even today
because if the supply of money is not properly managed it leads to increase in prices of goods
and services.

2. Excessive Wage Demands: If hefty salary awards are given which do not take into account
productivity and production levels of goods and services this can lead to increase in inflation.
When salaries and wages are increased they affect the cost of production and at the same time
the demand is boosted. This situation contributes to both cost-push and demand pull inflation.

3. Taxes – When the Government increases taxes such as excise duties, customs tariffs and value
added tax (VAT this makes the cost of production to go up and prices are increased to cover
the costs arising from taxes. This leads to inflation as prices are adjusted upwards.

4. Government Spending – When government embarks on large investments in infrastructure


development such as roads, schools, health facilities, etc a lot of money is pumped into the
economy and leads to high demand resulting into demand pull inflation.

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5. Imported Inflation – This occurs when prices of imported goods are increased in the country of
origin, forcing the importing country to increase the prices of such goods. These adjustments
in prices lead to inflation.

6. Exchange Rate Variation – When a currency of a country is devalued or depreciates in value it


automatically makes all imported goods and services to be more expensive thus leading to
upward adjustments of prices. Again leading to inflation.

8.5 Effects of Inflation


a) Cost of Living – As prices increase the cost of goods goes up and in the process the standard of
living is adversely affected. The unemployed people as well as pensioners and fixed income
earners find the cost of living unbearable and unaffordable. In many cases a lot of social
problems arise.

b) Money Value – When inflation exists, the purchasing power of a nation’s currency declines
overtime. The money buys fewer goods and services as a result of increases in the price level.
This means that the value of money declines when prices go up.

c) Savings – Low real interest rates resulting from inflation discourage savings and encourage
spending. The real rate of interest is the money rate of interest after making an allowance of
inflation. If savers are discouraged from saving because the interest rates are perceived to be
low, this can have a long term effect on investment because savings are considered to be an
important source of investment.

d) Nominal Income – When The rate of inflation exceeds the growth rate of nominal income, real
income declines. Nominal income is the money value of income earned while real income is
the purchasing power of nominal income measured by the quantity of goods and services that
can be purchased with that money. Inflation therefore reduces the value of nominal income.

e) Inflation distorts consumer behavior. Anticipated increase in prices forces people to purchase
more goods hoping to beat inflation and in the process create shortages which suppliers in turn
use to hike prices further.

f) High prices make a country’s products to be very expensive and uncompetitive in international
trade. Consumers are likely to prefer cheaper imports to locally produced goods. This could
affect the country’s balance of trade.

g) Inflation has an effect on debtors and creditors. It causes borrowers to gain at the expense of
lenders in that time passes money loses its value so what lenders get from repayments is less in
value.

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h) Inflations causes uncertainty in planning and forecasting. This affects both the Government
and business entities

i) Inflation also distorts the values contained in various financial statements. For instance the
values of current and other assets reflected in the Balance Sheet may not be reliable as the
relative values of items being compared keep on changing in monetary terms.

8.6 Dealing with Inflation


1. Money Supply – The most important thing is to ensure that the supply of money is prudently
managed by the Government through the Central Bank. However when a country is faced with
a problem of excessive money supply there are measures that can be taken to address the
situation. Some of the measures include the use of open market operations, varying of
statutory reserves and use of interest rates.

2. Excessive Demand: If a country is faced with excessive demand (that creates demand pull
inflation) as a result of increased government spending or massive salary awards then taxes
imposed on income will be necessary to control excessive demand and its effects. Related to
this would be the introduction of measures aimed at increasing the supply of goods and
services in order to narrow the gap between supply and demand.

3. Taxes – Taxes imposed on items that affect the cost of production tend to fuel inflation. What
is needed is to reduce the rate of tax relating to excise duty, customs tariffs and value added
tax. Such an action will result in reduced cost of production which will lead to a drop in price
levels. However reducing such taxes is not easy because they are a good source of revenue for
the Government.

4. Govt. Expenditure – Any reduction in Government expenditure can help in reducing inflation.
But since Govt. spending is key to economic development and creation of jobs as well as
poverty reduction, it is always difficult to take this route.

5. Price Controls – This is another measure that can be used in dealing with inflation. This means
that the government gets involved in determining and controlling prices of goods and services
considered to be essential to the well being of the people. Items such as food stuffs, fuel,
energy, rentals, etc would fall under the essential categories.

6. Competition: This involves opening up local markets to international competition where


imports would be allowed to compete with local products. Since most imported items tend to
be cheaper than local goods the prices of local products may be forced to drop and the process
lower price levels or inflation.

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7. Economy: The way the economy as a whole is managed with regard to prudent handling of
monetary and fiscal policy may have a bearing on inflation. If such policies are not properly
handled chances are that controlling inflation may prove problematic.

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UNIT 9: ANALYSIG INTERNATIONAL TRADE ISSUES.

9.1 Introduction
The purpose of this unit is to equip trainees with skills and knowledge about international trade.
The unit discusses factors that contributed to the development of international trade advantages
and disadvantages of international trade, theories of absolute and comparative advantage ,balance
of payments, exchange rates and regional trade groupings

Learning Outcomes
Upon completion of this unit you will be able to:

 Explain factors that contributed to the development of international trade


 Anlyse advantages and disadvantages of international trade.
 Analyse theories of absolute and comparative advantage
 Discuss balance of payments
 Solve problems relate to exchange rates
 Analyse regional economic groupings.

9.2 Terminology.
 International trade: voluntary exchange of goods and services across
international boundaries.
 Protectionism: an act of introducing measures that restrict imports of goods and
services.
 Absolute advantage: a situation where a country produces a product cheaper
than other countries.
 Comparative advantage: a situation where a product is produced at a lower
opportunity cost compared to other products.
 Balance of payments: a record of financial and economic transactions between
one country and the rest of the world.
 Terms of trade: the rare at which a nation’s goods and services exchange against
those of other countries.
 Balance of trade: the difference between the value of total physical exports and
physical imports.
 Exchange rate: the price of buying or selling a unit of foreign currency.

The basis for international trade stems from differences among nations in endowments of resources,
skills and technical know-how. It offers citizens in a country the opportunity to specialize in the
production of certain goods and exchange them for other goods produced in foreign countries.

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9.3 Factors that contributed to initial development of International Trade
a) Uneven distribution of natural resources – Because countries possessed different resources and
had needs which could only be satisfied by other countries, this situation compelled countries
to buy from others and in the process international trade developed.

b) Climatic Conditions – Countries had different climatic conditions which meant that they did
not produce same products and because of this trading between countries became inevitable.

c) Migration – Movements of people from one region to another resulted in the creation of
demand in the new areas whose requirements could only be met through international trading.

d) Special skills – The development of certain skills in some countries led to the production of
high quality and special goods which attracted demand from other countries and in the process
trading between countries developed. Examples of such goods were champagne, whisky,
swiss, watches, Mercedez Benz vehicles, etc.

Benefits or advantages of International Trade

1. Exploitation of resources attracted investments from other countries which acted as catalysts
of economic development. The establishment of mining projects and infrastructure like roads
and railway lines are clear examples.

2. It enables countries to consume goods and services from other countries. Consumers have
access to a variety of goods which their countries do not produce.

3. It allow access to foreign markets and in the process benefit from economies of sale.

4. Enables specialization on the basis of comparative advantage.

5. Governments earn a lot of revenue through tariffs on internationally trade goods. The
revenue is used for economic development and financing government programme.

6. Imported goods tend to influence positively the quality and prices of local goods and services
through competition.

7. Countries benefit greatly through transfer and exchanges of skills and technology.

8. It enables countries earn foreign exchange which makes it possible to buy from outside raw
materials spares, and other supplies that help to enhance economic development.

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9. It promotes beneficial political links and close cooperation between trading countries.

Disadvantages of International Trade


Inspite of various benefits that are derived from International Trade, there are arguments against
free trade meaning that there are also disadvantages that are associated with international trade.
Some of these are;

a) Free competition can lead to the destruction of existing and infant industries which in turn will
result in increased unemployment in the country.

b) A country may become a dumping ground for goods produced in other countries. Dumping is
the sale of goods at prices below their cost of production and this promotes unfair competition.

c) It may lead to the importation of undesirable and harmful products.

d) Increased levels of imports can result in deficits in the balance of trade and balance of
payments.

e) Sometimes friction and misunderstandings are created among trading partners due to disputes
over trading issues like unfair trading practices.

f) National Security – Many people believe that self sufficiency is necessary for reasons of
national security. Accordingly relatively inefficient domestic industries producing strategically
important candidates should not be allowed to go out of business because of foreign
competition.

9.4 FINANCING OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE


There are different ways which are used to finance or procure goods and services under
International Trade. Some of these are:
i) Use of cash – this is where cash in whatever form is used to acquire goods and services. The
cash can be in form of cheques or draft transfers or in cash itself. For example one can carry
cash and buy goods in a foreign country or can transfer funds to another country for the
purpose of acquiring goods and services. However risks such as thefts and losses tend to limit
the use of cash in international trade. Furthermore, cash would not be ideal for transactions
requiring huge sums of money.

ii) Credit arrangements – under this scenario suppliers provide goods and services whereby
actual payments will be made at an agreed future date. However the use of this method is
limited to parties that know and trust each other well. A clear example is that of a subsidiary
and parent company operating in different countries. For example Shoprite Zambia can easily
obtain goods on credit from its parent company, Shoprite of South Africa.

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iii) Barter – This is where countries can exchange goods for goods with one another. For
example if Zambia has excess maize but short of wheat, while Zimbabwe has plenty of
wheat but short of maize. In such a situation the two countries can exchange maize for
wheat and wheat for maize.

iv) Donations – Goods and services can be acquired though donations where some countries
donate certain goods to other countries, either freely or on request by those in need.

v) Borrowing – This is when countries borrow funds from other countries or international
financing institutions like World Bank or International Monetary Fund (IMF) and use such
funds to buy goods from other countries.

vi) Consignment basis – Under this arrangement, a supplier in one country identifies a
company in another country to sell its products on commission basis.

vii) Letters of Credit – Most of the International trade activities are financed through the use of
letters of credit. A letter of credit is defined as “an undertaking by a Commerical Bank to
pay the supplier (known as beneficiary) on behalf of the buyer a sum certain provided the
supplier meets the conditions in the letter of credit as stipulated by the buyer.”

Normally it is the buyer that applies for letter of credit in favour of the supplier for
financing the goods being purchased.

THEORY OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE

The Principle behind this theory introduced by Economists was the realization that benefits from
International Trade would be maximized if trading was guided by comparative advantage. The law or
theory of comparative advantage basically states that for international trade to develop and be
beneficial, a country should specialize in producing goods in which it has the ability or capacity to
perform better than other countries. This therefore means that a nation or country has a comparative
advantage over a trading partner in the production of an item if it produces that item at lower
opportunity cost per unit than its partner does.

Below is a simple illustration on how the theory can be applied. Suppose you have two countries A
and B both involved in the production of maize and wheat and assuming that both use the same
amount of labour and capital in producing these items:

Country Wheat Maize (Output Perha)


A 40 60
B 50 40
Looking at the above figures one can see that country A produces more maize than Country B while B
produces more wheat than A. Using the theory of comparative advantage country A should
concentrate on producing maize in which its production is higher than B and country B should
concentrate on producing wheat. This therefore means that A will stop producing wheat and buy it
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from B and B should also stop producing maize and buy if from A. Both countries will gain from
expanded markets and enjoy economies of scale which will ultimately make the products cheaper in
both countries.

Absolute Advantage:
A country has an absolute advantage over other countries in the production of an item if it can produce
more of that item over a period with a given amount of resources than the other countries can. Using
the table above, country A has an absolute advantage in the production of maize over country B
because with the same resources A can produce more maize by specializing in maize production than
can country B. Similarly country B has absolute advantage in the production of wheat because with
the same resources as are available in A it can produce more wheat than can country A. In general,
when a country has an absolute advantage, it can produce the specific item with fewer inputs per unit
than other countries. Thus international trade opens up the possibility of gains in world efficiency
from resources by allowing additional mutual gains that would not be possible if each country
attempted to remain self sufficient.

Protectionism
While the theory of comparative advantage advocates free trade and full competition, there are
arguments in favour of trade restrictions or protectionism. Some of these are;
i) Protecting infant industries – protection of newly established or infant industry from
foreign competition allows the new industry to grow and expand its operations.

ii) Protecting jobs by ensuring that existing local industries are protected against unfair
competition.

iii) National security – Many people believe that self sufficiency in many areas is necessary for
reasons of national security and pride. According to this argument, relatively inefficient
local industries producing strategically important materials and goods should not be
allowed to go out of business because of foreign competition. Heavy dependence on
foreign goods such as food, energy, etc can be dangerous.

iv) Governments raise of a lot of revenue through protection measures such as customs tariffs
and doing away with this could affect adversely the development programmes of a country.

v) Unfair competition especially dumping of undesirable products can be avoided.

vi) Can assist in reducing or eliminating balance of payments deficits.

vii) It can help to conserve limited foreign exchange resources.

Measures or Instruments of Protectionism


These are also referred to as barriers to international trade. They include:
a) Customs duties or tariffs: These are taxes imposed on imported products making them very
expensive.
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b) Use of Quotas – these limit the quantities of specific goods which can be allowed into the
country.

c) Trade Embargoes – this involves banning of certain good from entering the country.

d) Exchange controls – these limit the amount of foreign exchange available for imports.

e) Regulations – a country can introduce standards and quality regulations to limit imports.

f) Import Permits – a country can introduce difficult procedures for obtaining import permits.

g) Subsidies – a country can either subsidize production or consumption in order to make locally
produced goods cheaper than imports.

Protectionism can lead to improvements in the balance of payments because it reduces the volume of
imports. The following measures can also help to improve the balance of payments for a country:

1. EXPORT PROMOTION

Exports may be encouraged by giving tax incentives and by allowing exporters to retain
foreign exchange. Exports can also be promoted by entering trade agreements with other
countries to facilitate trade e.g. the COMESA and SADEC trade agreements.

2. SUPPLY SIDE POLICIES.

Supply side policies can improve the competitiveness of domestic industry internationally.
Supply policies are policies which put emphasis on improving production and quality of
production by reducing costs of production and government interference. An increased output
and improvements in quality of locally produced products can lead to increased exports and
reduced imports.

3. USE OF INTEREST RATES.

The government can use monetary policy to influence the current balance. Higher interest rates
lead to lower aggregate demand. Some items like cars and other big items are purchased from
loans. If the cost of borrowing is high demand for loans will go down, and in turn the demand
for imported goods declines. This improves the current account.

4. DEFLATION

An alternative approach to curing a current account deficit is deflation. This is an expenditure


reducing policy. If the government reduces aggregate demand in the economy for instance by
raising interest rates or increases taxes, people will have less money to spend. Consequently,
they will reduce their consumption of locally produced goods are imported goods. Imports

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therefore, will decline while exports will rise. Deflation therefore, can improve the current
account deficit.

5. DEVALUATION OF THE LOCAL CURRENCY.

One possible way of addressing a current account deficit is for the government to devalue the
local currency. That is, lowering the value of the local currency against other currencies.
Devaluation makes imports expensive, and exports cheaper.

Arguments Against Protectionism

Some of the arguments that have been used to oppose protectionism are;
1. Protecting local industries against foreign competition is opposed in certain quarters. It is
argued that in the long run protection results in a loss of efficiency and when eventually put to
the test such industries will not have the capacity to withstand competition and thus lead to
closures and loss of employment.

2. The costs of protection are normally borne by consumers who are forced to pay higher prices
for poor quality goods and face limited choice of goods and services.

Balance of Trade
The Balance of Trade (BOT) measures the difference between the value of total exports and the
value of total imports of goods or merchandise.

These transactions are recorded in the Current Account and that part of the current account where
imports and exports of physical goods are recorded is known as the Balance of Trade Account or
the visible balance. A trade surplus occurs when exports are greater than imports while a trade
deficit is hen imports are higher than exports. Thus a favourable balance of trade refers0 to a
surplus and it becomes unfavourable when there is a deficit

Balance of Payments (BOP)


The balance of payments is a record of all transactions of a country and the rest of the world. It
includes imports and exports of services also known as invisibles. The activities here are also
reflected in the current account.
Thus the Balance of payments is the difference between the value of total exports of goods and
services and the value of total imports of goods and services. In 1992 and 1993 the values of total
receipts (exports) and payments (imports) for invisibles were as follows:
($ Million)
1992 1993
d) Receipts from Invisibles (exports) 606.0 356
e) Payments for Invisibles (imports) 534.0 424
f) Net (d – e) 72.0 -68.0
g) Balance of payments (f + c) -155.0 -97.0

Invisible items include things like diplomatic services, earnings from tourism, shipping and
transport services. foreign insurance services, foreign health and education services, travels abroad,
profits and dividends, management fees, expatriate remunerations, etc.

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The deficits incurred in 1992 and 1993 show that Zambia’s performance in international trade was
unfavourable to the country because we ended up paying more to the rest of the world than we got
from them. Normally all countries aim at having positive BOP balances.

9.5 Exchange Rates


An exchange rate is the price at which one currency is used to buy another currency. In other
words it expresses the value of a currency when compared to another currency.

The gold standard: In the past, when all the currencies were convertible meaning that their
values were fully backed by gold, the gold standard was used to determine the exchange rates for
different currencies that were used in international trade. Therefore gold was used as a measure of
value to determine the relative exchange rates. The use of the gold standard was disrupted during
the first world war and then abandoned after the second world war.

Types of Exchange Rates


i) Fixed Exchange Rates – under this scenario the local currency exchange rate against other
foreign currencies is fixed by the Government through the Central Bank. However, the rate can
be adjusted as and when necessary.

Advantages: Having a fixed exchange rate regime has the following advantages:

 There is stability in handling international trade due to certainty of the exchange rate
 Importers and exporters can determine prices for future deliveries without having to worry
about potential losses through exchange rate movements.
 It makes it possible for investors and traders to plan ahead with confidence.

Disadvantages:
 It tends to ignore the impact of demand and supply of foreign exchange in the market

 A fixed rate can lead to capital flight or outflows of capital if rates in other countries are more
favourable.

ii) Floating Exchange Rates – This is a system where exchange rates are not fixed by the
Government but are allowed to fluctuate or change in line with supply and demand forces. This
means that the exchange rates are determine by the market forces of supply and demand.

Advantages
 The exchange rates in use take into account the availability of foreign exchange and demand
for it.

 The rate determined by market forces is more reliable as it reflects the true situation in the
economy.

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 The exchange rate adjusts automatically in the market to correct any imbalance in the system.

Disadvantages
 Floating exchange rates lead to uncertainty in international trade
 They encourage speculation which leads to more volatility of the exchange rates
 There is potential losses associated with frequent changes in the rates
 Planning becomes more difficult due to uncertainty over long periods.

iii) Managed Floating Rates – In many countries the system that exists in practice is a
compromise between fixed and floating rates. Although the market forces play a role in
determining the exchange rates, the authorities often intervene to neutralize any pressure on the
rates.

9.6 REGIONAL TRADE GROUPINGS


As far as Zambia is concerned the two trade groupings that affect its trade operations are the
Southern African Development Community (SADC) and the Common Market for Eastern and
Southern Africa (COMESA).

SADC was formed in 1980 and has it headquarters in Botswana. It was largely to help countries
in the Southern African Region to lesson dependence on South Africa. The member states include
Angola, Botswana, Dr Congo, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa,
Swaziland, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe.

COMESA was established in 1993 replacing the Preferential Trade Area (PTA) that was set up in
1981. Its headquarters are in Lusaka, Zambia. The member states are Angola, Burundi, Comoros,
Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique,
Namibia, Rwanda, Sudan, Swaziland, Tanzania, Uganda, Congo DR, Zambia and Zimbabwe. It
has a combined population of about 400 million people.

Objectives
The common objectives of both SADC and COMESA include:
a) To achieve sustainable economic and social development in all member countries
b) To promote economic cooperation among member states
c) Promotion of peace, security ad common political values and beliefs (SADC)
d) To remove all tariff and non-tariff barriers (COMESA)
e) To create a Customs Union (COMESA)
f) To provide free movement of capital and investment (COMESA)
g) To establish and maintain a free Trade area (COMESA)
h) Promotion of self-sustaining development (SADC)

Challenges
 Use of different currencies in member states hampers free trade
 Resistance to elimination of tariffs and non-tariff barriers
 Over dependence on donor funding
 Undeveloped infrastructure such as road and telecommunications networks in some countries

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 Instability in some of the countries like Congo and Sudan

Advantages
Some of the advantages for belonging to the regional trade groupings include:
1. Access to a huge market for products produced in member countries
2. Offers opportunities for specialization on the basis of comparative advantage
3. Ability to attract large investments into the region
4. Cooperation in the development of infrastructure, energy and communication networks.
5. Provides a bigger voice for effective dealings with other trading groups like EU, etc.

9.7 MULITLATERAL ORGANISATIONS


1. World Trade Organisations (WT0)

WTO was established in 1995 to replace the General Agreement on Trade ad Tariffs (GATT)
which was set up in 1948. It is based in Geneva and has a membership of over 150 countries.

Objectives

 To promote free trade by encouraging nations to abolish various trade barriers


 To organize trade negotiations and settle trade disputes between member countries
 To oversee free trade agreements

2. The International Monetary Fund (IMF)

It was formed in 1944 by the Bretton Woods agreement together with the World Bank. It is
based in Washington, USA.

Objectives:
 To help manage and regulate the exchange rates following the abandonment of the gold
standard after
the second world war.
 To make available foreign exchange needed to finance international trade by its
members
 To promote international monetary cooperation and payments
 To promote exchange rate stability and remove foreign exchange restriction
 To provide advisory services to member states
 To encourage international trade among member states

3. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (World Bank)

The World Bank has it headquarters in Washington, USA.

Objectives:

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 To provide long term loans and grants to developing countries
 To help fight poverty and improve living standards of people in the developing world
 To provide technical assistance to developing countries on issues of economic
development.

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UNIT 10 ECONOMICS OF ZAMBIA

10.1 Introduction

Learning Outcomes
Upon completion of this unit the learner will be able to:

 Explain the economic policies of Zambia.


 Explain the role of Zambia’s ministry of Finance and National Planning.

10.1 Macroeconomic policy objectives.

(a) To achieve economic growth in terms of national income per head of the population in real
terms.
(b) To control price inflation preferably to low one digit figure, as well as ensuring price
stability.
(c) To achieve full employment in the use of resources.
(d) To maintain a satisfactory balance of payments by achieving a balance between exports and
imports.
(e) To achieve equitable income distribution through fiscal policies.

10.2 Economic overview


Zambia has a mixed economic system. This means that the economy of Zambia combines the
features of capitalism and those of socialism. Before 1991, the Zambian economy was pro-
socialist and from 1991 to date the Zambian economy is pro-capitalist. In Zambian the formal
sector is much smaller than the informal sector.

The source of revenue for Zambia is from both tax revenue and development aid.

10.3 Development aid


Development aid refers to foreign exchange flows from one country to another or from one
foreign institution to a foreign government given free of interest or given below market interest
rates. When given free of interest charges, aid is called a grant

10.3.1 Effects of development aid on Zambia

(a) Positive effects of aid


 Filling resource gap
 Filling foreign currency gap

 Economic stability – Zambia has used the foreign exchange acquired through
donors to influence the value and stability of the Zambian currency.

 Meeting emergencies such as drought and floods.


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(b) Negative effects of development aid
 Debt crisis
 Loss of political and economic freedom
 Proliferation of projects – A number of these projects are a duplication.
 Complacency such that the country neglects development plans of its own, e.g.
the country develops dependency syndrome.

Note: Economic development refers to the creation of economic wealth for all citizens
within the diverse layers of society so that all people have access to potential
increased quality of life.

10.4 Nationalisation and privatisation


Zambia has undertaken both nationalization and privatization economic reforms since
independence.

10.4.1 Nationalisation
In the first republic, Zambia nationalized most of the private owned enterprises, most of
which were privatized after 1991.

10.4.2 Privatisation
Privatisation occurs when the production of goods in the public sector moves to the
private sector.

10.4.3 Arguments in favour of privatisation

(a) It leads to efficiency through increased competition.


(b) Consumers have a wider choice of goods and services

(c) It helps the funding of government expenditure as privatized companies will not be
receiving will not be receiving government funding.

(d) Costs and inefficiency decrease as bureaucracy is reduced.


(e) The trade unions become less powerful as industries are more fragmented and
difficult to organize.

(f) Wider share ownership is a move towards greater democracy.

10.4.4 Arguments in against of privatisation

(a) Public corporations that become privatized have no public responsibility, so


consumers may suffer

(b) Efficiency is not guaranteed as a result of privatization

(c) Waste is likely in the duplication of services


(d) Less-making services will not be provided by the private sector
(e) Privatisation does not mean that competition is automatically enhanced
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10.4.5 Arguments in favour of nationalisation

(a) Nationalisation can lead to reduced costs through economies of scale


(b) There is provision of uneconomic services for consumers
(c) National interest to operate strategic industries
(d) A fairer distribution of wealth
(e) Nationalised industries have sufficient capital for investment.

10.5 The role of Zambia’s Ministry of Finance and National Planning (MOFNP)

MOFNP seeks to strike a balance between two responsibilities:

(a) Stabilisation: This is essential in order to keep the economy afloat

(b) Planning for economic development


This is designed to take the country forward through structural re-organisation such as
programmes of nationalisation, privatisation investment in utilities and infrastructure (roads,
housing, education, medical care) and targeted public investment to develop new industries.

The mission statement for the Ministry of Finance and National Planning is : ”To effectively
and efficiently coordinate National Planning and economic management, mobilise and
manage public financial and economic resources in a transparent and accountable manner
for sustainable national development and the well being of the people of Zambia.’’

Goal statement
In support of the mission and to give MOFNP a specific focus and direction, the ministry
aims at meeting the following goal:

“Facilitating and ensuring the transformation of the national economy into an efficient and
wealth creating economy in order to improve the quality of life of the people of Zambia”

Through this goal, MOFNP will transform the economy and create wealth in order to reduce
the high levels of poverty among the people of Zambia

(Source: Ministry of Finance and National Planning Website, January 2011).

10.5.1 Fifth National Development Plan (FNDP)


Governments accepts the Keynesian Theory that active Government involvement in the
economy is necessary for macroeconomic stabilization. In a mixed economic system,
the party in power can change the shape of the economy

The Zambian government has a major economic role and responsibility, it has
articulated its long-term development objectives in the national Vision 2030, and the
FNDP is an important step towards the realization of this vision.

The theme of the FNDP is “broad based wealth and job creation through citizenly
participation and technological advancement.’’

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The broad macroeconomic objectives for the FNDP are as follows:
 To accelerate pro-poor economic growth
 To achieve and sustain single digit inflation
 To sustain a viable current-account position
 To reduce the domestic debt to sustainable levels

An additional objective which is included in the FNDP theme of job creation, is


attainment of full employment.

The macroeconomic objectives are interdependent, at the same time, simultaneous


success is impossible (Phillips curve)

10.5.2 National Vision 2030


Under Vision 2030, Zambia has instructed the MOFNP to develop the Zambian
economy to a “prosperous middle Income country” by 2030.

This economic aspects of the vision will be implemented by a series of five (5) – year
economic plans of which FNDP is part of it.

The Approach is that the 5-year plans will be developed y widespread consultation with
stakeholders (population, International agencies, donor organizations and so on). Then
their annual budgets of government departments will be used on achieving their
contributions to the goals in the present 5-year plan.

10.5.3 The Public Financial Management System (PFM)


Proper control of an economy by government requires proper control over public
finances. In 2006 the World Bank funded and advised on the development of Zambia’s
public financial management system (PFM) as part of the broader Public Sector
Management Programme Ssupport Project.

The benefits of (PFM) are:


 Better creation of government department budgets in terms of their needs.
 Improved control of departmental expenditures
 Improved image with lenders and donors: being seen to be responsible with public
money will encourage lenders and donors to be partners in development.

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Recommended Readings
Main Text
ZICA Economics Manual
CIMA Economics Manual
NIPA Managerial Economics Distance Module by D. Mauzu

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