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World Development 138 (2021) 105151

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World Development
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/worlddev

Regular Research Article

Production fragmentation and upgrading opportunities for exporters: An


empirical assessment of the case of Brazil
Caio Torres Mazzi a,⇑, Neil Foster-McGregor a, Glaucia Estefânia de Sousa Ferreira b
a
UNU-MERIT/Maastricht Graduate School of Governance and Maastricht University, Maastricht, the Netherlands
b
IPEA - Institute of Applied Economic Research, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: This paper studies how production fragmentation has affected the performance of Brazilian exporters in
Accepted 18 August 2020 the manufacturing sector. We begin by combining existing classifications of internationally traded prod-
ucts to identify four different categories of goods, of which one (‘customized intermediates’) we associate
more closely with suppliers connected to fragmented trade. We then proceed to compare the productiv-
JEL Codes: ity premium of international traders for these different categories. Our results confirm that exporting
F14 customized intermediates is associated with a superior performance in comparison to other intermedi-
F12
ates; although there is a strong influence of sector specificities. We also investigate the existence of
Keywords: learning-by-exporting effects and, unlike previous evidence for Brazil, we find limited evidence of
Exports learning-by-exporting for overall exporters; and no such evidence is found for firms that export exclu-
Productivity sively customized intermediates. Instead, we observe that exporting customized products in general –
Production fragmentation i.e. both final and intermediate goods – relates to continuous and significant ex-post gains in terms of per-
Global Value Chains formance; and that these trends are explained by firms that sell final goods. These facts indicate that frag-
mentation, by promoting trade in customized intermediates, can benefit developing countries and their
firms by providing them with opportunities to export a range of industrial goods associated with higher
productivity levels, but that performance gains after entry are not necessarily facilitated by this process.
Our can findings therefore provide relevant insights regarding the actual benefits and the challenges of
promoting GVC participation for developing countries.
Ó 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction The use of trade data to compute international flows of ‘parts


and components’ or intermediary products – a method pioneered
One prominent aspect of globalization has been the emergence by Yeats (1999) and later followed and improved by others
of Global Value Chains (GVCs). The term and its variations1 refer to (Jones, Kierzkowski, & Lurong, 2005; Lall, Albaladejo, & Zhang,
the remarkable increase in the fragmentation of production chains 2004; Ng & Yeats, 1999; Sturgeon & Memedovic, 2010; among
across international borders in recent times. Baldwin (2012) refers others) – was likely the first approach attempting to quantify
to this process as the second ‘unbundling’ of globalization, in which GVCs. The picture that emerges from these studies points to impor-
production stages previously performed in close proximity or within tant changes in the nature of cross border flows of goods and ser-
the same facility are being dispersed across international borders. vices. Trade in ‘parts and components’, a subset of intermediates
This phenomenon has received considerable attention in several mainly associated with machinery products, are found to represent
fields of academic discussion and in the business community but a growing share of international trade (Jones et al., 2005; Yeats,
measuring its exact size and importance has proven challenging 1998), with electronics being responsible for most of this growth.
for scholars. The increasing role of developing countries in overall trade is also
shown to be driven to a large extent by ‘parts and components’ and
⇑ Corresponding author. ‘customized’ intermediary products – a group of more complex
E-mail addresses: torres@merit.unu.edu (C. Torres Mazzi), foster@merit.unu.edu intermediates that characterize supplier–buyer relationships in
(N. Foster-McGregor). GVCs (Sturgeon & Memedovic, 2010).
1
‘‘Global production networks”, ‘‘fragmentation”, and ‘‘vertical specialization”, The objective of this paper is to study the effect of these trends
among others, have been used to refer to the same or closely related phenomena
on the performance of exporters in the context of developing coun-
(Hummels et al., 2001).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105151
0305-750X/Ó 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

tries, and the particular context of Brazil. Our contribution is con- such evidence found for firms that exclusively export customized
nected to two streams of literature that we see as closely related intermediates. Instead, we observe that exporting customized
and complementary, but that have developed largely indepen- products more broadly – i.e. both final and intermediate goods –
dently. Our approach expands the firm-level international trade lit- is associated with continuous, significant ex-post gains in terms
erature in a novel way by identifying heterogeneous effects of of firm performance, with these gains being limited to firms that
trade on the performance of firms according to the specific charac- sell final goods.
teristics of the products they export and their association with the The higher productivity premium found for exporters of cus-
process of production fragmentation. The literature on trade and tomized intermediates compared to producers of other intermedi-
firm-level performance has grown dramatically since the pioneer- ates lends support to evidence showing that GVC participation is
ing work of Bernard and Jensen (1999), establishing several empir- associated with a smaller performance disadvantage of suppliers
ical regularities regarding the performance of exporters and relative to producers of final goods. (Agostino et al., 2015, 2019;
importers. Studies almost unanimously find that international tra- Brancati, Brancati, & Maresca, 2017a; Giuliani et al., 2005). Indeed,
ders – either exporters or importers – outperform firms that are the productivity premia for exporters of customized intermediates
restricted to local markets. While a recent strand of this literature and final goods we find tend to be quite similar. However, the lim-
has begun to explore the importance of heterogeneity in the way ited evidence in favor of learning indicates that while fragmenta-
that firms engage in trade – for example, by considering the impor- tion, by promoting trade in customized intermediates, can
tance of the extensive and intensive margins of trade, the number provide relevant opportunities for firms in developing countries
of traded products, export destinations and import origins, and the to export a new range of industrial goods with higher productivity
role of distance, amongst other factors (see Wagner, 2016, for a levels, upgrading is not necessarily facilitated after firms become
review of this evidence) – our approach focusses on trade in the part of GVCs. These results are compatible with previous findings
context of fragmented trade. Although our empirical approach in the GVC literature, mostly from highly detailed case studies,
does not adopt a strict causal framework, we do consider how indicating that additional factors, such as the governance structure
the productivity premia for exporters of complex intermediate of the value chain, firm capabilities and the local innovation sys-
goods differs from that for exporters of other product types such tem will influence successful upgrading by suppliers, although
as final goods, further examining whether any effects and any dif- these are hypotheses our dataset does not allow us to test here
ferences are driven by the self-selection of more productive firms (Morrison, Pietrobelli, & Rabellotti, 2008; Pietrobelli, Rabellotti, &
into GVCs or through a higher rate of learning-by-exporting within Pietrobelli, 2011).
GVCs. We organize the remainder of this paper in the following way:
We further contribute to emerging firm-level empirical studies Section 2 discusses related literature as a means of elucidating our
affiliated to the GVC approach (Brancati, Brancati, & Maresca, main hypotheses; Section 3 discusses our methodology for obtain-
2017b; Gereffi, Humphrey, & Sturgeon, 2005; Giuliani, Pietrobelli, ing estimates of the export premia and distinguishing between the
& Rabellotti, 2005; Giunta, Nifo, & Scalera, 2012; Humphrey & self-selection and learning-by-exporting hypotheses; Section 4
Schmitz, 2002). This literature highlights the impact of participa- describes our dataset and discusses the construction of the differ-
tion, governance and positioning within GVCs on firm perfor- ent product categories; Section 5 reports results; and Section 6
mance, but had traditionally relied on case studies until a recent concludes.
wave of micro econometric studies. Our approach follows the pio-
neers of this literature and concentrates on ‘customized’ interme-
diates and ‘parts and components’ as the product types that most 2. Related literature
closely indicate participation in fragmented trade for the firms that
export them. This allows us to compare the productivity of firms The firm-level international trade literature has expanded dra-
that trade these products with firms that trade other types of prod- matically since the pioneering work of Bernard and Jensen
ucts as well as with firms that do not trade at all. Our main hypoth- (1999). Its most significant result continues to be that exporters
esis is that participating in GVC-related trade is associated with a almost always perform better than non-exporters in terms of
significant performance premium for suppliers (i.e. exporters) of productivity (as well as other performance indicators). Two non-
customized intermediates and parts and components, both before mutually exclusive arguments are usually proposed for such a pos-
and after entry in export markets, due to the existence of more itive relationship. The first is that productivity differences arise due
stringent entry requirements for these firms and to increased to self-selection, with only the most productive firms able to enter
opportunities for learning after entry. We therefore provide new foreign markets. Melitz (2003) demonstrated in a general equilib-
evidence from a large developing country relating the influence rium framework how higher fixed costs of entry into foreign mar-
of GVCs on firm performance both before and after entry in foreign kets creates a hierarchy among heterogeneous firms, with only the
markets, dimensions that are frequently overlooked in the GVC most productive firms exporting. The second is that firm perfor-
literature. mance improves after entry in to exporting through a process of
In our empirical analysis we consider manufacturing firms in learning-by-exporting, with firms benefiting from their foreign
Brazil, a large and diversified developing economy. The rapid buyer’s technological or managerial expertise for example. The
expansion of GVCs has impacted upon Brazil largely by increasing majority of existing empirical studies find support for the self-
demand for primary products and resource-based manufactures in selection hypothesis, with much less support for the learning-by-
which the country has historically enjoyed comparative advantage. exporting hypothesis. The evidence for learning-by-exporting
However, exports of industrial products have also expanded vigor- tends to be dependent upon the econometric methods employed
ously, with a large number of manufacturing sectors and firms con- and the characteristics of the countries and firms under analysis.
tinuing to thrive in international markets. Our results confirm that Wagner (2007, 2012, 2013, 2016) provide extensive overviews of
Brazilian exporters perform significantly better than non-exporters the main branches and results of this literature. In general, confir-
before and after entering in export markets, and that exporting matory evidence appears to be more frequent for developing coun-
customized intermediates is associated with higher performance tries, whose firms tend to be farther away from the technological
levels compared to exporters of other types of intermediates. Dif- frontier or use older vintages of capital goods, and that can thus
ferent to other firm-level studies for Brazil, we find limited evi- benefit more from knowledge transfers from more advanced
dence of learning-by-exporting for overall exporters, with no economies (Foster-McGregor, Isaksson, & Kaulich, 2014b). In the
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C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

case of Brazil, there exist a number of recent studies suggesting the the costs of entry that firms face when entering international
presence of learning-by-exporting, especially for firms that are markets.
able to maintain their export status (Araújo, 2016; De Araújo & The data that we have available does not allow us to study in
Hiratuka, 2006; Kannebley, Porto, & Pazello, 2005; Kannebley, depth some of the relevant dimensions in the context of the GVC
2011). literature – e.g. governance and firms’ innovation efforts – which
A parallel microlevel research agenda in international trade is an important limitation and prevents us from providing a more
focuses on the importance of governance and positioning within fine-grained analysis of the determinants of firm performance and
GVCs (Gereffi et al., 2005; Giuliani et al., 2005; Humphrey & learning in GVCs. Nevertheless, by distinguishing between the
Schmitz, 2002). Following the transaction costs literature (Coase, types of products that a firm’s export when estimating the export
1937; Williamson, 1985), these authors recognize that transac- premia and learning-by-exporting effects, the paper establishes a
tional complexity increases costs and tends to make value chain fruitful connection between the international trade literature and
leaders – usually large mutinational companies (MNCs) – vertically the GVC approach. In that way, we demonstrate the existence of
integrate production tasks, moving away from arms-length market heterogeneous performance and learning trajectories for interna-
relationships. However, their main insight is in recognizing that tional traders related to their participation and position in GVC-
these costs can also be managed through intermediate governance related trade.
structures when local suppliers are capable enough or the informa-
tion required for the transaction is sufficiently codifiable. 3. Empirical methodology
Although still scarce, available studies appear to point to a pos-
itive correlation between participation in GVCs and firm-level per- The starting point for our empirical analysis is the methodology
formance. In general, there is a presumption that GVC participation developed by Bernard and Jensen (1999) and later adaptations
favors learning because the firms that lead value chains promote – used to estimate the export premia for different categories of firms
explicitly or tacitly – knowledge transfers and upgrading opportu- classified according to their export destinations (Pisu, 2008; Serti,
nities for their suppliers, especially in ‘relational’ value chains 2009). The main departure from this existing literature is the
where coordination is stronger, and both engagement by leaders extension to consider exports of different product types rather
and supplier capability are higher (Agostino et al., 2015, 2019; than export destinations.
Brancati, Brancati, & Maresca, 2017a; Giuliani et al., 2005). These We follow much of the existing firm-level literature by adopting
ideas are also present in the mainstream international trade liter- the following semi-logarithmic regression equation:
ature, with Blalock and Gertler (2004) advocating for the existence
of learning-by-exporting in the case of firms in developing coun- LnTFPit ¼ a0 þ bX it þ UZ it þ at þ eit ð1Þ
tries involved in supply relationships with high degrees of cus- where TFPit indicates total factor productivity (which in some spec-
tomization or ‘extended coordination’. ifications is replaced by the ratio of value-added to employment),
The literature on value chain participation has also shown that a X it designates a vector of variables capturing export participation
firm’s positioning within a value chain is an important determinant of firm i in time t, Z it indicates a vector of controls and at are year
of the relationship between value chain participation and firm fixed effects. In our analysis, X it designates a vector of five dummies
level performance, with upstream suppliers usually suffering a indicating if firm i exports one of the four product categories or the
productivity penalty relative to producers of final goods residual unclassified group2 at time t. We define these categories
(Accetturo and Giunta, 2018; Agostino et al., 2016, 2019; Giunta and the explain our methodology to obtain them in Section 4.2.
et al., 2012; Kimura, 2002). These general results hide an important The productivity premium is defined as the difference in pro-
distinction between firms in a value chain that supply other ductivity between firms that export a positive value of a given type
domestic firms and those that supply firms in foreign markets, of product and those that do not export that same product type,
with upstream suppliers integrating into foreign markets benefit- conditional on firm-level controls that include variables capturing
ting to a greater extent from value chain integration than firms whether firms export other types of products. Different trade
serving domestic suppliers only. While in some cases the perfor- behaviors are not mutually exclusive: firms can – and frequently
mance disadvantage is reduced for suppliers involved in GVCs, in do – export more than one product category (see Section 4.2. and
others it can completely disappear, especially amongst more cap- Appendix A). Coefficients on the dummy variable capturing the
able firms that are able to both innovate and export (Agostino, presence of exports of a particular export type are thus conditioned
Giunta, Nugent, Scalera, & Trivieri, 2015; Agostino, Brancati, upon the export of other product types. The fact that firms can
Giunta, Scalera, & Trivieri, 2019). export different product types with different intensities can create
Despite emphasizing the potential of GVCs as conduits for an important source of heterogeneity, for which the dummy vari-
learning, these studies have not paid much attention to disentan- able approach cannot control. As a robustness test therefore, we
gling learning and self-selection effects. Nonetheless, there are also estimated models that control for the intensive margin of
good reasons to assume that learning is not the only relevant factor exports by export categories and for total exports – i.e. the ratio
in the context of fragmented trade. First, trade in GVCs is charac- of the export revenue to total firm revenue. These exercises, how-
terized by higher transactional complexity, which entails higher ever, did not alter our results significantly. We include the latter in
relationship-specific investments, for example, in the development the results section, while estimates including the margins for each
and adaptation of products and production plants to the specific export category are not depicted but available upon request.
needs of buyers (Antràs & Chor, 2013). Second, because these rela- Depending on the specification, the controls include 3-digit sec-
tionships involve higher quality standards and specification tor (CNAE - National Classification of Economic Activities) and
requirements, international buyers will tend to ‘cherry pick’ the state dummies, size (log number of employees), firm age, firm
most capable suppliers to avoid production line delays and quality age squared, human capital (years of study of employees), a vector
debasements caused by problems in the supply base. Third, some of dummies for import categories, and the intensive margin of
studies indicate that transactional frictions related to distance – exports (defined as the ratio of total export revenue to firm rev-
such as transportation and communication costs, trade barriers,
language and cultural differences – can be more intense for trade 2
We maintain the residual group in the regressions for control. For simplicity,
in intermediates, parts and components (Jones et al., 2005; however, these are omitted in the depiction of results, although naturally available
Kimura, Takahashi, & Hayakawa, 2007), which directly relates to upon request.

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C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

enue). Besides these more standard controls, we also control for happen in different years. We drop all firms that start exporting in
the import status of firms, following various studies indicating that their first two years in the sample to avoid capturing export star-
importing is also associated with a productivity premium. In the ters with intermittent behaviors. We also choose to drop all firms
context of fragmented trade, importing intermediates can also be that appear less than five consecutive years in the sample to
crucial as a ‘‘ticket” to participate in global value chains, as well increase the probability of observing exporters both before and
as being a source of input variety, quality and technology that after entry in export markets.
impacts upon firms productivity (Bas & Strauss-Kahn, 2014; We recognize that dropping firms that stay less than five con-
Pierola, Fernandes, & Farole, 2018). For robustness, we also esti- secutive years in the sample, as well as those that start exporting
mate export premia excluding these and other covariables that in their first two years in the sample, although helpful for our pur-
may correlate with both exporting and performance, and which poses, is arbitrary and might be a too stringent selection criteria,
may lead to an underestimation of the association between export- possibly creating bias in our results. Indeed, we lose more than half
ing and productivity. We will see that in most cases our results of the initial sample by adopting this approach. Because of this, in
remain qualitatively unchanged, although the magnitude of the Appendix C we present results when eliminating only firms that
coefficients can change substantially. stay for more than two consecutive years out of the sample, which
Finally, in some specifications we further include firm fixed allows us to keep a much higher percentage of the complete sam-
effects. While the inclusion of firm fixed effects allows us to control ple (71%)4. Despite this considerable difference in sample size, our
for unobserved firm characteristics, their inclusion has the draw- main results are not affected by the use of this different criteria
back of subsuming all time invariant firm characteristics, including and we make reference to these additional results in the results
the presence in export markets of firms that always export during section.
the sample period. Nonetheless, we perform fixed effects estima-
tions and depict the main results below.
The above specification allows us to test for the presence of an 4. Data
export premium and to examine whether the premium differs by
the type of products exported. It does not allow us to shed any light 4.1. Firm-level data sources
on the question of whether any differences are due to self-selection
or learning-by-exporting effects, however, or whether the extent of Data for this paper comes from three sources: (i) the Brazilian
these two effects differs by product type exported. To address Annual Industrial Survey (PIA); (ii) the Annual Registry of Social
these questions, we adopt existing methodologies to examine Information (RAIS); and (iii) the registry of foreign trade of the Sec-
pre-entry differences in productivity between export starters and retary of Foreign Trade (Secex). PIA annually collects detailed busi-
non-exporters (i.e. to test the self-selection hypothesis) and post- ness information (revenues, expenses, personnel, wages,
entry differences between export starters and non-exporters (i.e. investments, etc.) on Brazilian firms in manufacturing and extrac-
to test the learning-by-exporting hypothesis) (see Wagner (1997) tive industries. All firms with more than 29 employees or revenues
for a description of these existing approaches). In particular, we above R$ 13.6 million in the previous year are surveyed, while
adopt a leads-and-lags approach to evaluate the export premia of firms below these thresholds are sampled. These smaller firms
firms in our sample. The approach involves estimating a model of usually appear in the sample for only one period and are excluded
the following form: from our sample since our analysis is focused on firms that are
observed for at least five consecutive years5. While the exclusion
X
8 of the smaller firms from our sample implies that we are not consid-
LnTFPit ¼ a0 þ bs X i;ts þ UZ it þ at þ eit ð2Þ ering a large share of firms in the Brazilian manufacturing sector, our
s¼8
sample does account for the vast majority of employment, sales, pro-
The regression model is very similar to that above except that duction and value-added in the Brazilian economy. Table 1, for
the exporter variable for a particular product type, X it , now takes example, reports the shares in key manufacturing indicators of firms
the value one in the year that the firm begins to export only (i.e. with more than 29 employees for three years (1997, 2001, and
it captures export starters only), with up to eight leads and lags 2007). The table reveals this stratum covers around 80% of employ-
of this variable also included in the regression model3. Coefficients ment in Brazilian manufacturing and more than 90% of sales, produc-
on these leads and lags will provide evidence of whether there are tion and value-added. While we should be careful in extending the
productivity differences between export starters and non-exporters implications of our results to small firms in Brazil, we can be confi-
prior to entry into exporting and whether any differences in produc- dent that our sample reflects a broad share of the Brazilian manufac-
tivity performance at the time of exporting persist or become stron- turing sector.
ger. In the results section, we concentrate on the eleven-year period Data from the PIA is merged with information on firm age, the
before and after entry [b-5, b-4, . . ., b5] because the number of obser- number of employees and their average years of schooling taken
vations for starters reduces as we move away from the year of entry, from RAIS, which collects employment information from all active
rendering estimates increasingly imprecise. The vector Z it again Brazilian firms. Finally, the resulting sample is merged with the
includes controls for 3-digit sector and state dummies, size (log of registry of foreign trade (Secex), which contains information for
number of employees), firm age, firm age squared, human capital all exporting and importing firms (value, product, quantity and
(years of study of employees) and importer variables. destination). We concentrate on the eleven-year period between
This method is designed to explore two main aspects in the rel- 1997 and 2007, which results in an unbalanced panel containing
atively long (eleven-year) panel available. Firstly, it permits us to 61,879 firms in total that are responsible for approximately 77%
estimate a long-term ‘‘learning curve” for firms, tracking their pro- of Brazilian accumulated exports during the period. All data were
ductivity premium trajectory many years before and after entry,
which provides a picture of longer run trends. Secondly, it maxi- 4
Nevertheless, it is inevitable to impose some selection criteria in the sample
mizes the number of comparable observations for export entries because we need be able to determine, for example, if firms are indeed starting to
in each export category due to the fact we can analyze entries that export for the first time or if they continued to export after starting in some cases. The
alternative selection criteria we use assumes only that firms export behavior in the
year they left the sample is the same as in the (observable) preceding year.
3 5
Eight years is the maximum number of years firms can export after entry in an We also exclude firms from extractive industries to concentrate on
eleven-year sample in which we only allow valid entries from the third year. manufacturing.

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Table 1
Contribution of Medium and Large Firms to Key Aggregate Manufacturing Outcomes (%).

Year Total firms Employees Net sales Gross production value Value added
1997 22.1 82 93.5 93.5 93.7
2001 20.5 79 93.1 93.1 93.2
2007 20.8 81 94.3 94.2 93.9

Source: PIA - Annual Industrial Survey. Notes: the table reports the share of key manufacturing outcomes accounted for by firms with more than 30 employees. The key
outcomes considered are: (i) number of firms; (ii) number of employees; (iii) net sales; (iv) production value; and (v) value-added.

accessed at the Brazilian Statistical Office (IBGE) safe room and way to observe this type of trade directly in the data. Our approach
confidentiality procedures were followed. is to create classifications based on ad hoc taxonomies of interna-
Our main performance measure is the log of total factor produc- tionally traded goods, dividing intermediates into (GVC-related)
tivity (Ln TFP-LP) estimated according to Levinsohn and Petrin customized and non-customized products.
(2003). This method, as well as other semiparametric approaches We employ the conservative version of the Rauch (1999)
that have become widespread in the literature (Ackerberg, Caves, classification of differentiated products, which has become quite
& Frazer, 2006; Olley & Pakes, 1996), corrects for the bias caused popular in the literature as a measure of complexity or ‘contract-
by the endogeneity between variable inputs and unobserved firm intensity’ of products (Andersson & Weiss, 2012; Antràs & Chor,
productivity. When constructing this measure of TFP, we deflate 2013). His methodology consists of dividing products in three cat-
revenues by 3-digit sector level price indexes (IPA-OG) and the cost egories: (i) traded in organized exchanges; (ii) reference priced in
of industrial operations by the intermediate products price index trade publications; and (iii) all others. The first two categories indi-
(IPA-EP). Production functions for firm value-added are then esti- cate homogeneous products traded in dense markets, while the
mated separately for each 2-digit sector. As alternatives, we also residual identifies differentiated products more likely to be traded
use an alternative simple TFP estimate that includes firm fixed on the basis of networks.
effects, but that doesn’t correct for for endogeneity (TFP-FE), as A second classification we use is the recently published 5th ver-
well as value added per worker (VAE). Both of the TFP measures sion of the UN COMTRADE Broad Economic Categories (BEC5), the
that we use were also employed in Araújo (2016) and Messa main novelty of which is to include, besides the traditional end-use
(2014). categories widely used in trade analysis, a taxonomy of ‘‘generic”
To provide an initial indication as to the differences in charac- and ‘‘specific” intermediates, the later explicitly meant to identify
teristics between non-exporters and exporters (and the different GVC-related trade. The biggest disadvantage of BEC5 is that it
types of exporters), Table 2 reports the mean and median value was produced for the most recent Harmonized System (HS) edi-
of TFP, the number of employees (Personnel), the age of the firm, tions, whereas our firm-level data is mostly classified using the
and the average education level of employees for these different 1996 and 2002 versions, which causes us to lose quite a few obser-
groups of firms, using data for all firm-year observations. As vations after the correspondence procedures. As such, we focus on
expected, exporters have higher average levels of TFP, as well as the Rauch classification for the firm-level analysis, using the BEC5
being larger, older and having higher levels of human capital in classification for robustness.
their workforce. The descriptive statistics for exporters of final Nevertheless, both taxonomies result in four categories of prod-
goods and customized intermediates are very similar. Interest- ucts plus a small residual group of not-classified products7: (i) cus-
ingly, exporters of non-customized and primary goods show signif- tomized industrial intermediates; (ii) non-customized industrial
icantly higher values of TFP than exporters of final goods and intermediates; (iii) primary intermediates (foods and beverages,
customized intermediates, also tending to be larger and older, fuels and primary industrial supplies); and (iv) final products (capi-
and to possess more human capital In the following sections we tal and consumption goods). This subdivision is applied to Brazil’s
will see that this picture changes once we control for firm-level exports and imports and we call the list derived from Rauch
characteristics in the regression analysis6. (1999) the ‘RCON’ classification henceforth.
The Brazilian trade registry is stored in different HS editions
4.2. Product classification depending on the year, so we use correspondence tables to adapt
our taxonomy and classify products in different editions. In the
To undertake our empirical analysis we need to split up the HS 2002 edition, which is the most used in our sample, the RCON
products in which firms export into different product types that classification results in 1549 customized intermediates out of a
allow us to distinguish between GVC and non-GVC exports, also total of 5222 listed products, while BEC5 has 1600 products of
capturing to an extent their position within GVCs. Our first step the same class out of a total of 4883 listed products, though only
in doing this is to divide products into three categories according 858 products are considered customized in both lists. In Appendix
to their end-use using the United Nations Broad Economic Cate- A we compare the taxonomies, observing that there are significant
gories classification (BEC), namely: (i) industrial intermediates; differences in the classification of products, particularly in the case
(ii) primary intermediates (foods and beverages, fuels and primary of customized and non-customized intermediates, and emphasiz-
industrial supplies); and (iii) final products (capital and consump- ing the need to consider more than one classification in our analy-
tion goods). Industrial intermediates, however, will still not reflect sis. We also show how developing countries have been increasing
fragmented trade because the group is too aggregated and includes their share in world trade of customized intermediates faster than
standardized products traded through arms-length relationships. in other product categories.
We are interested in complex intermediates that are either part
of intrafirm trade or exchanged in networks, involving higher
degrees of customization and coordination between firms, since
these are the relationships that characterize GVCs. There is no easy
7
The residual represents<1% of products and a little more than 1% in traded value.
6
Additional descriptive evidence on the prevalence of exporting in Brazilian We ignore it throughout this work, although we maintain controls for these products
manufacturing over time is provided in Appendix I. in all regressions.

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Table 2
Summary statistics by type of exported product (Means and Medians).

Category Freq TFP-LP Personnel Age Schooling


Non-exporters 213,983 12.70 (12.59) 56 (48) 13.18 (11.00) 7.72 (7.78)
Exporters 78,435 14.51 (14.27) 164 (1 3 0) 26.65 (25.19) 8.65 (8.60)
Finals 45,296 14.11 (14.02) 162 (1 3 3) 25.55 (24.17) 8.56 (8.50)
Cust. Inter 51,306 14.11 (14.05) 153 (1 2 8) 25.96 (24.99) 8.56 (8.59)
Non-Cust. Inter. 23,705 14.86 (14.83) 226 (1 9 2) 28.40 (27.74) 8.82 (8.93)
Primary Inter. 8,485 15.41 (15.37) 321 (2 7 9) 30.27 (29.99) 8.47 (8.53)

Notes: Means and medians (between parentheses). TFP estimated according to the Levinsohn and Petrin (2003) methodology. Export categories are non-exclusive, therefore
the sum for categories of exporters is higher than the total number of exporters. Values are calculated over the total number of observations between 1997 and 2007.

5. Results the foreign value-added embodied in the exports of Brazil (as a


share of Brazil’s overall exports) and is used as a measure of down-
Our analysis proceeds in three steps. In the first sub-section we stream involvement in GVCs (i.e. as a recipient of intermediates
report information on trends in the export performance of the from other countries). Conversely, DVX captures the domestic
Brazilian economy, both in general terms but also with respect to value-added that is embodied in the exports of third countries
the positioning within GVCs. The second and third sub-sections (again as a share of Brazil’s overall exports). This variable is used
then report results from our firm-level productivity regressions as an indicator of upstream participation in GVCs (i.e. as a supplier
using the methodology discussed above, the second sub-section of intermediates to third countries). Data for these indicators is
focusing on the export premia and the third discussing the evi- taken from the 2016 version of WIOD (www.wiod.org), with the
dence on learning-by-exporting. figure also reporting the average values of FVA and DVX for the full
sample of 44 WIOD countries. The figure reveals that Brazil is inte-
5.1. Brazil’s export and GVC performance grated into GVCs largely as a supplier. This is true when consider-
ing the relative size of the FVA and DVX variables for Brazil, as well
This sub-section presents information at the aggregate level on as when comparing the DVX values for Brazil with the averages for
Brazil’s performance in terms of exports and GVC participation. The the full WIOD sample, particularly in the latter period. Conversely,
analysis confirms the statements in the introduction suggesting values for FVA are relatively small, both in comparison to the val-
that Brazil has to a large extent been engaged in exporting and ues for DVX and to the average for all WIOD countries. There is lit-
GVCs through primary and resource-based manufacturing activi- tle evidence of a positive trend in the FVA variable for Brazil,
ties. We begin the discussion in Fig. 1, which reports the value of further suggesting that Brazil has not been able to move towards
Brazilian exports for the period 1996–2018 using CEPII’s BACI data- more downstream activities within GVCs10.
base. Using a correspondence between the BEC5 classification and The conclusion from these aggregate descriptive variables is
the HS96 classification we further report the split of exports into that Brazil’s participation in GVCs has been increasingly oriented
different product categories. In terms of export values, the figure upstream, reflecting the country’s growing participation in exports
shows a pattern for Brazil that is similar to that for world trade – of primary goods. This is in direct contrast with the trends
i.e. a rapidly rising trend in export values up to the financial crisis observed for developing countries overall, which have increasingly
followed by stagnation. Considering the decomposition of exports enjoyed opportunities to participate in GVCs as suppliers of cus-
into categories, we observe that the share of primary products in tomized intermediates. In the following sub-section, we examine
total export values has increased significantly over time, with the whether the Brazilian firms that have been able to enter GVCs as
shares of all other categories declining as a result8. customized intermediate suppliers have performed relatively well
Moving beyond export values to consider the specialization of in comparison to exporters of other product types.
Brazil, Fig. 2 reports information on the number products in which
Brazil has a Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA). The figure
shows that in the late 1990s, Brazil had around 800 products in 5.2. Econometric analysis: Export premia
which it had a comparative advantage (out of around 5000 six-
digit products in the HS96 classification), with that number drop- Table 3 presents initial results from estimating Eq. (1) for Ln
ping to around 550 by 2018. Over time there has been a relative TFP-LP. Tables B.1 and B.2 in Appendix B present versions of this
decline in the share of products with RCA for customized interme- table for the alternative measures of performance, Ln TFP-FE and
diates (from around 30% to around 22%), with a corresponding rise Ln VAE respectively. Column (1) is the most parsimonious formu-
in the share of final products and relative stability for other lation and includes only the export categories alongside sector,
categories9. state and time fixed effects. All export premia are positive and sig-
Finally, Fig. 3 provides an indication of Brazil’s involvement in nificant, as expected. Exporting customized intermediates is asso-
GVCs at the aggregate level. The figure reports indicators of ciated with the highest export premium, followed by exports of
upstream and downstream participation in GVCs. FVA captures final goods, although the difference between the two is not statis-
tically significant. Exporting primary intermediates is associated
8
with the lowest premium relative to non-exporters, although the
At the sectoral level we observe that sectors such as Food, Machinery, Metals and
to a lesser extent Minerals and Vegetables were the dominant export sectors in 1996.
10
These sectors continue to account for a large share of exports in 2018 – particularly Considering indicators of upstream and downstream GVC participation at the
Minerals and Vegetables, with the Transport and Animals sectors also growing rapidly sectoral level, we observe that Brazil is heavily engaged in upstream GVC activity in a
from a smaller initial level. number of manufacturing sectors including Textiles, Wood, Paper, Rubber, Fabricated
9
Considering, again, developments by sector we observe that Brazil’s comparative metals, Other manufacturing and most notably Printing. Such results are consistent
advantages tend to lie in Chemicals, Metals and to a lesser extent Machinery and with the patterns reported for the aggregate in Figure 3. The sectoral results further
Textiles. It is also these sectors – with the exception of Machinery – that have seen the reveal, however, that there are manufacturing sectors in which Brazil is more
biggest drop in the number of products with RCA over time, however. Indeed, there integrated into GVCs downstream rather than upstream. Sectors including Electron-
are very few sectors in which new comparative advantages have been developed over ics, Electrical equipment, Machinery, Motor vehicles, Other transport, and Coke &
time. petroleum are sectors where Brazil is a relatively downstream participant in GVCs.

6
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Fig. 1. Brazilian Export Values and Decomposition into Export Categories Note: The figure reports the value of Brazil’s using data from CEPII’s BACI database, along with the
split of exports into the different BEC5 categories.

100% 900

90% 800
80%
700
70%
600
60%
500
50%
400
40%
300
30%

20% 200

10% 100

0% 0
96 97 98 99 01 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Cust. Int. Finals Non-C ust. Int. Primary Total (right axis)
Fig. 2. Number of RCAs by BEC5 Categories Note: The figure reports the total number of products with Revealed Comparative Advantages in Brazil using data from CEPII’s
BACI database (right-hand axis), along with the split of these RCAs into the different BEC5 categories.

productivity difference with regard to non-exporters remains large tomized intermediates and final goods have the highest coefficients,
and highly significant (about 74%)11. In Column (2) we add a num- followed by non-customized intermediates, with exporters of pri-
ber of controls that are more standard in the literature. The signifi- mary intermediates having the lowest premium. Wald tests (not
cant coefficients on firm age and its squared term indicate slightly depicted) indicate that the differences in coefficients are significant
decreasing returns to firm age. Coefficients on the remaining control at the 5% level at least, except between final goods and customized
variables take positive and significant values, consistent with results intermediates where the difference in coefficients is not significant.
found in the literature. The productivity hierarchy with regards to While the pattern of results in columns (1) and (2) are largely simi-
different types of exporters also does not change: exporters of cus- lar, the size of the coefficients in Column (2) are substantially lower,
suggesting that some of the effect of exporting appears through
11
We transform estimates in column (1) using 100  ðeb  1Þ to arrive at this
some of our control variables. Exporting customized intermediate
number. goods is associated with a 41% productivity premium, exporting final

7
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Fig. 3. GVC Participation of Brazil Notes: The figure uses global input–output tables from WIOD (www.wiod.org) to construct indicators of upstream (DVX) and downstream
(FVA) participation for Brazil. The figure also reports information on the average values of FVA and DVX for the full sample of WIOD countries.

Table 3
Export premia for TFP-LP with different combinations of covariables, RCON classification (Full Sample).

Dependent Variable: Ln TFP-LP


(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Export Cust. Inter. 0.724 0.346 0.178 0.176 0.121 0.084
(0.012)*** (0.010)*** (0.009)*** (0.010)*** (0.0066)*** (0.006)***
Export Non-Cust. Inter. 0.686 0.283 0.148 0.147 0.091 0.061
(0.017)*** (0.013)*** (0.012)*** (0.012)*** (0.008)*** (0.007)***
Export Finals 0.706 0.332 0.229 0.227 0.129 0.092
(0.012)*** (0.009)*** (0.009)*** (0.009)*** (0.007)*** (0.006)***
Export Primary Inter. 0.555 0.216 0.156 0.154 0.091 0.057
(0.030)*** (0.022)*** (0.021)*** (0.021)*** (0.0137)*** (0.013)***
Ln Personnel 0.514 0.427 0.427 0.318
(0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.007)***
Schooling 0.142 0.112 0.112 0.033
(0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)***
Age 0.029 0.027 0.027 0.008
(0.001)*** (0.001)*** (0.001)*** (0.001)***
Age^2 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.0001
(0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)***
Import Cust. Inter. 0.322 0.322
(0.009)*** (0.009)***
Import Non-Cust. Inter. 0.265 0.264
(0.010)*** (0.010)***
Import Finals 0.257 0.258
(0.008)*** (0.008)***
Import Primary Inter. 0.183 0.183
(0.015)*** (0.015)***
Exp Intensity 0.0201
(0.029)
Observations 292,418 292,418 292,418 2,92,418 292,418 292,418
R-squared 0.53 0.65 0.67 0.67 0.02 0.07
F-Statistic 2351 3693 3870 3846 30.35 24
State FE YES YES YES YES NO NO
Year FE YES YES YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES NO NO
Firm FE NO NO NO NO YES YES

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Export/import residual category omitted.

goods correlates with a 39% productivity increase, while the pre- reported in the literature on an overall export dummy – for example,
mium from exporting non-customized intermediates is around 33% the premia of 36% found for a sample of African countries by Foster-
and that from exporting primary intermediates is estimated at McGregor, Isaksson, and Kaulich (2014a) – and somewhat larger
24%. These estimated coefficients are in line with other results than many of the estimates found for developed countries and sum-

8
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

marized in table A1 of Wagner (2007). In Column (3) we add impor- The results in Tables 3 and 4 support previous evidence of the
ter dummies for the same categories. Exporting final goods now has GVC literature indicating that exporting intermediates related to
the highest impact, while non-customized and primary intermediate GVCs is associated with a better performance compared to suppli-
goods have the lowest impact. The pattern of coefficients on the ers of other types of intermediates. Regarding the hierarchy with
importer variables show a somewhat different pattern, with respect to producers of final goods, we find evidence that exporting
customized intermediates having the highest coefficient, non- GVC-related products (i.e. customized intermediates) indeed
customized intermediates and final goods having similar coeffi- allows producers of intermediates to reduce or completely close
cients, and primary intermediates having the smallest coefficient. the performance gap relative to downstream firms (i.e. final goods
All coefficients for imports are larger in size than their counterparts suppliers), although this result depends heavily on sector specifici-
for exports, which is compatible with the previous results in the lit- ties. On the import side, we see that the coefficient of customized
erature showing that importing is usually associated with higher intermediates is larger than those on other categories of imports
premia (Foster-McGregor, Isaksson, & Kaulich, 2014a) for the GVC-related sectors, confirming known results from the
The remaining columns of Table 3 estimate other variations of international trade literature that indicate higher quality inputs
the same model. In Column (4), we add controls for the overall have a stronger effect on firms’ performance (Bas & Strauss-Kahn,
intensity of exports (i.e. the ratio of export value to firm turnover), 2014; Bas, 2012; Feng, Li, & Swenson, 2016).
which is not significant and does not alter the previous results. In In Tables B.1 and B.2 of Appendix B we show results from sim-
columns (5) and (6) we include firm fixed effects. The magnitude of ilar specifications to those in Table 3, but for the other two perfor-
effects naturally changes greatly compared to columns (1) and (2), mance measures (Ln TFP-FE and Ln VAE). The results for Ln TFP-FE
but the hierarchy remains mostly unchanged, showing coefficients are very similar to those in Table 3, whereas in regressions for Ln
for customized intermediates and final goods that are significantly VAE we often observe lower coefficients for exporters of final
larger than those for non-customized and primary intermediates, goods in regressions without firm fixed-effects. In all cases, export-
but that are not significantly different between each other. ing customized intermediates is associated with a performance
In addition to considering the overall relationship between TFP advantage compared to exporting other types of intermediates.
and the different categories of exporter we are further interested in We also confirm these results by employing the BEC5 classification
examining whether these results are homogenous throughout all recently published by UN COMTRADE. Table B.3 of Appendix B
sectors or whether they are conditional on the dynamics of each reports a set of results using this taxonomy with Ln TFP-LP and
industry. In particular, we are interested in whether the relation- Ln VAE as the performance variables. We observe that differences
ships observed for the full sample in Table 3 are also present when between exporters of customized and non-customized products
focusing on the main sectors of early GVC development, namely are largely reduced in the latter taxonomy, but results remain con-
apparel, textiles, footwear and machinery products, sectors on sistent despite the extensive differences between the two classifi-
which the impact of fragmentation is more pronounced. MNCs cations. It appears that there is a core of products in the
have been especially active as value chains leaders in these sectors, intersection of both classifications driving productivity advantages
and there is anecdotal evidence indicating they might provide for firms that produce them.
higher possibilities of learning for Brazilian firms (Navas-Alemán,
2011; Pietrobelli et al., 2011). 5.3. Econometric analysis: learning-by-exporting
We have an expectation, therefore, that exporters of customized
intermediates are likely to perform especially well in these sectors. We begin our analysis of productivity trajectories by discussing
To examine this, we subdivide the sample into three groups of sec- results for exporters without differentiating product types. Fig. 4
tors according to firms CNAE classification: (i) apparel/textile/ depicts results from the estimation of Eq. (2) when including a sin-
footwear (sectors 17–19); (ii) machinery (sectors 29–35); and gle exporter dummy (and leads and lags). The different lines in the
(iii) other manufacturing (sectors 15–16, 20–28, 36–37)12. Results figure depict results for all firms that start exporting at s = 0
are reported in Table 4. We observe significant sectoral hetero- together with estimates for those that export continuously until
geneities that qualify the results from Table 3. First, only in the case years s = 1, s = 2 and s = 3, respectively. For example, curve T = 0
of apparel/textiles/footwear do we see the export premia being lar- contains all starters, curve T = 1 excludes from the starter group
gest for exporters of final goods, followed by customized intermedi- all firms that stop exporting one year after entry (in s = 1), curve
ates, non-customized intermediates and primary intermediates. In T = 2 is more restrictive and excludes from the starter group all
the case of machinery and other sectors the estimated coefficients firms that stopped exporting in s = 1 or s = 2, and curve T = 3
tend to be smaller in magnitude and the ranking of the coefficients excludes from the starter group all firms that stopped exporting
is different, with the premium for customized intermediates being in s = 1 or s = 2 or s = 3. The curves are estimated separately keeping
consistently above that for all other exports. Second, although expor- the same group of non-exporters as the baseline in each regression.
ters of customized intermediates always perform better than expor- The vertical line marks the last year before entry in exports. All
ters of both non-customized and primary intermediates, a direct coefficients are significant at the 5% level or better, with the com-
comparison of the coefficients indicates that the difference is larger plete results reported in Appendix C.
in GVC-related sectors (columns 1–4) compared to less GVC inten- The figure reveals several insights into the long-term perfor-
sive sectors (columns 5–6), which provides some evidence in favor mance trajectory of exporters. First, they confirm that exporters
of our initial expectations regarding the impact of GVCs for exporters are significantly more productive long before entering export mar-
of customized intermediates.13 kets, offering strong support to the idea of self-selection: five years
before entering foreign markets, future exporters are about 40%
more productive than similar non-exporting firms. Second, the
productivity differential of exporters increases almost continu-
12
These sectors comprise machinery and equipment (29), office machinery (30), ously along their trajectory towards entering foreign markets,
electric machinery (31), electronic and telecommunication machinery (32), medical, which offers support to the idea of conscious self-selection: in
precision and optical machinery (33), vehicles (34) and transport equipment (35).
13
the year before entry (s = 1), future exporters are already 48%-
We consider only positive values of each variable to obtain the median because
the majority of firms does not export. The medians are 0.0035 and 0.0033, which
56% percent more productive than non-exporters. Third, the prob-
results in estimates of 0.00350.711=0.0025 and 0.00330.547=0.0018 for non- ability of continuing to export after entry is correlated with pro-
customized and primary intermediates, respectively. ductivity levels immediately before entry and with productivity
9
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Table 4
Export premia for Ln TFP-LP with different combinations of covariables, RCON classification (Divided sample).

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)


Dependent Variable: Ln TFP-LP
A/T/F Machinery Others
Export Cust. Inter. 0.560 0.306 0.407 0.214 0.356 0.218
(0.015)*** (0.014)*** (0.010)*** (0.010)*** (0.006)*** (0.006)***
Export Non-Cust. Inter. 0.240 0.051 0.219 0.126 0.322 0.173
(0.019)*** (0.018)*** (0.013)*** (0.013)*** (0.008)*** (0.008)***
Export Finals 0.685 0.558 0.228 0.132 0.239 0.132
(0.011)*** (0.010)*** (0.010)*** (0.010)*** (0.007)*** (0.007)***
Export Primary Inter. 0.208 0.185 0.116 0.055 0.225 0.148
(0.041)*** (0.039)*** (0.023)*** (0.024)*** (0.013)*** (0.012)***
Import Cust. Inter. 0.420 0.333 0.265
(0.013)*** (0.011)*** (0.007)***
Import Non-Cust. Inter. 0.343 0.207 0.272
(0.013)*** (0.011)*** (0.007)***
Import Finals 0.308 0.269 0.251
(0.013)*** (0.011)*** (0.007)***
Import Primary Inter. 0.003 0.134 0.236
(0.020)*** (0.016)*** (0.009)***
Ln Personnel 0.406 0.319 0.340 0.273 0.577 0.507
(0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.003)*** (0.003)***
Schooling 0.098 0.083 0.173 0.119 0.145 0.115
(0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.003)*** (0.003)*** (0.001)*** (0.001)***
Age 0.050 0.046 0.015 0.012 0.016 0.015
(0.001)*** (0.000)*** (0.001)*** (0.001)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)***
Age^2 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)***
Observations 65,278 65,279 47,353 47,353 179,787 179,787
R-squared 0.52 0.55 0.63 0.66 0.65 0.67
F-Statistic 1570 1768 1011 1124 4111 4385
State FE YES YES YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES YES YES

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.1. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Export/import residual category omitted. A/T/F is the Apparel/
Textiles/Footwear subdivision.

Fig. 4. Productivity premia (%) for starters compared to non-exporters. Notes: Coefficients (b) estimated according to Eq. (2) using controls for the log of personnel, schooling,
age, age squares, an import dummy, state, year and sector fixed effects. Coefficients are transformed using the equation 100  ðeb  1Þ. Each line indicates results for all firms
that start exporting at s = 0 together with those that export continuously until s = 0, s = 1, s = 2, s = 3. For example, at s = 2, all exporters included in curves T = 2 and T = 3 are
still exporting (continuers), while firms in curves T = 0 and T = 1 include continuers and droppers. The curves are estimated separately keeping the same group of non-
exporters as baseline in each regression. All coefficients are significant at 5% or less. Full results reported in Table C.1.

growth in the period before entry, as shown by the higher position to exporting. All groups depart from the same productivity premia
of lines T = 3 and T = 2 (i.e. the sub-samples of exporters that five years before entry (in period s = 5) and progressively start to
remain as exporters for longer periods of time) in the year prior diverge, gaining productivity at different rates. This performance

10
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

heterogeneity among export starters is persistent and continues to degree of permanence in export markets, in a similar manner to
affect their productivity trajectory long after entry in foreign markets. that we did for all exporters in Fig. 4. The category of customized
Finally, there are significant productivity gains in the year of products includes exporters of both customized intermediates
entry and one year after entry for the curves that include firms that and the vast majority of final goods, which were the categories pre-
export continuously for at least two and three year after entry (i.e. senting the best productivity performance after entry in the anal-
T = 2 and T = 3). In all curves the Wald tests confirm that b1 , b2 and ysis above. This is relevant because in practice exporters of
b3 are significantly higher compared to b1 at the 5% level (10% customized intermediates will often also export final goods and
level in one case). This provides some evidence in favor of the vice-versa14; and a shortcoming of the previous approach is that
learning-by-export hypothesis, evidence consistent with previous we do not allow firms to move from one category to another which
work for Brazil (Araújo, 2016; Kannebley, Esteves, da Silva, & could be another way of upgrading their product portfolio. The
Araújo, 2009). Nonetheless, the long-term approach that we follow results are considerably different in this case, as we observe that
allows us to observe that there is no indication that productivity the learning curves of firms continue to grow after entry until
gains continue after entry – i.e. they are restricted to the year of s = 2 or s = 3, especially for curves containing only export continuers,
entry and to the following year for the group of two and three- before stabilizing or falling as more droppers are included. Wald
year continuers, after which there is relative stability compared tests confirm that b3 , b2 and b1 are significantly higher than b1 at
to non-exporters even for firms that continue to export for four the 1% significance level in almost all cases15. After period s = 4 these
consecutive years. Becoming an exporter does not appear to be gains are reduced but not completely lost in relation to pre-entry
related to continuous learning opportunities for firms, although it levels. These results are not observed for firms that export non-
clearly relates to permanently higher performance levels. This customized products.
result is confirmed also for the alternative sample depicted in Therefore, in the category of customized products we find the
Table C.2 of Appendix C. strongest evidence of learning-by-exporting, especially for export
We now turn to the behavior of exporters split according to the continuers. The reasoning developed in this section indicates that
product types we defined previously. We would like to know if exporters of final goods – which together with exporters of cus-
exporters of customized intermediates benefit from learning-by- tomized intermediates comprise almost all customized products
exporting and if the effect is different from exporters of other pro- – should be responsible for the learning effects we observe in
duct types. We exclude firms that export more than one product Fig. 7, as this is the only category in which we find an indication
type to avoid ‘second’ (or more) starts in the case of firms that start of permanent productivity gains after entry. The most direct way
exporting in one category but that already exported in another – to verify this hypothesis is dividing the sample of exporters of cus-
which would likely be less costly due to complementarities and tomized products into exporters of final goods and exporters of
economies of scope, for example, in transportation, distribution (customized) intermediate goods but allowing firms to diversify
and marketing networks in foreign markets. However, results are between product categories, which we did not do previously. This
very similar even without this restriction (and are available upon is a potentially important group, since improving the variety and
request). quality of their products is one of the ways by which firms upgrade
Figs. 5 and 6 show learning curves for starters in each category, their portfolio.
imposing zero and three year continuity periods, respectively. We The results are depicted in Fig. 8, where we also include the
multiply the effect for primary intermediates by 0.5 to avoid dis- curve for overall exporters of customized products. The latter stays
torting the graphs, which does not impair the observation of in between the two other trajectories, although its exact position
trends. Although the sample is large, entry is a relatively rare phe- oscillates due to exit, which causes the number of firms of each
nomenon, which creates some noise in the estimations for separate type in the sample to vary. Nevertheless, it is possible to observe
groups. We therefore depict results for two-year moving averages that the learning curve of final goods drives the growth trend for
to make trends more easily recognizable in the graphs. Full results customized products overall, whereas customized intermediates
are reported in Tables C.3 and C.5, as well as results for the alter- follow a less steep productivity trajectory that exerts a negative
native sample selection in Tables C.3 and C.6. effect upon the trend for customized goods overall. Wald tests con-
Overall, all categories are more productive than non-exporters firm that b2 and b3 are significantly higher than b1 at the 5% level
long before entry and – except for exporters of primary intermedi- for exporters of final goods and, also importantly, the growth trend
ates, whose performance peaks two years before entry – present a is consistent throughout the trajectory after entry.
more or less strong growth trend before entry and on the year of Therefore, there is evidence of learning-by-exporting for cus-
entry. After entry, trends are less clear. Exporters of final goods tomized products, and this pattern is mostly due to exporters of
appear to follow an upward trend at least until s = 3, exporters final goods. Although we observe an overall growth trend in the
of customized intermediates appear quite stable, exporters of latter category in all regressions, the most robust evidence of pro-
non-customized intermediates either have diminished perfor- ductivity increases is observed for firms that diversify their export
mance or remain stable, whereas exporters of primary intermedi- portfolio to different product categories, especially other cus-
ates appear to lose productivity. Wald tests indicate that b3 and tomized products. No such trend is found for exporters in any other
b2 are always higher than b1 for exporters of final goods at the product category, including customized intermediates.
10% level, while coefficients are either not significantly different
or smaller than b1 for exporters of non-customized and primary 6. Conclusion
intermediates. In the case of customized intermediates, b3 , and
b2 are significantly larger than b1 only in the regression of This paper was primarily motivated by the growth of fragmen-
Fig. 6, for three-year export continuers. Results for the fixed- tation in international industrial organization that has taken place
effects TFP version (TFP-FE) and for one-years and two-years con- in recent decades. This process, according to part of the interna-
tinuers, although not depicted, confirm this picture: the evidence tional trade literature, has the potential to create learning avenues
of performance gains for separate subgroups after entry is not
robust, although for exporters of final goods we find more consis- 14
50% of exporters of customized intermediates also export final goods, while 56%
tent productivity increases, notably for export continuers. of exporters of final goods also export customized intermediates in the wider sample.
In Fig. 7 we explore these results further and depict learning 15
Only in one case is the p-value somewhat higher (1.1%), slightly missing the 1%
curves for exporters of customized products according to their threshold.

11
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Fig. 5. Productivity premia (%) for starters in each product category (T = 0). Notes: Coefficients (b) estimated according to Eq. (2) using the same control variables as in Table 3,
Column (3) and transformed using the equation 100  ðeb  1Þ. We take two-year moving averages to reduce short-term noise. Each line indicates results for firms that start
exporting at s = 0. All coefficients are significant at 5% or less. Full results reported in Table C.3.

Fig. 6. Productivity premia (%) for starters in each product category (T = 3). Notes: Coefficients (b) estimated according to Eq. (2) using the same control variables as in Table 3,
Column (3) and transformed using the equation 100  ðeb  1Þ. We take two-year moving averages to reduce short-term noise. Each line indicates results for firms a category
that start exporting at s = 0 and continue to do so for at least two more years (T = 3). Full results reported in Table C.5.

for firms in developing countries. Trends in international trade exporters or suppliers of other types of intermediates. In general,
over the past twenty years suggest that the participation of devel- we confirm evidence from the GVC literature showing that the per-
oping countries in global trade has been growing and that much of formance discount associated with producing intermediates is
this growth has occurred through trade in customized intermedi- reduced in the context of GVCs, i.e. exporters of GVC-related inter-
ates, an outcome associated with production fragmentation. Brazil, mediates tend to reduce or completely close their performance gap
however, has been a laggard in that regard and appears to increas- with regard to firms supplying final products in value chains,
ingly rely in exports of primary intermediates to take part in inter- although this result depends on sectoral specificities.
national trade. Regarding the traditional ‘‘learning” versus ‘‘self-selection” dis-
In this paper, we examined whether firms in Brazil that have cussion of the international trade literature, we observe significant
been able to enter export markets in customized intermediates and growing productivity premia long before entry in foreign mar-
have performed better than non-exporters, but also other types kets, at least five years prior to start, which we interpret as a clear
of exporters, notably exporters of non-customized and primary indication of self-selection of more productive firms into foreign
intermediates, and exporters of final goods (which indicate down- markets. Indeed, the fact that exporters’ productivity premia
stream participation in trade). Our results partially confirm previ- increases steadily in the years before entry can offer support to
ous evidence indicating that exporting intermediates related to the idea of ‘‘conscious self-selection” by exporters. There is some
GVCs is associated with a better performance compared to non- indication of productivity gains after entry for overall exporters,

12
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Fig. 7. Productivity premia (%) for exporter starters of customized products (finals and intermediates). Notes: coefficients estimated according to Eq. (2) and transformed
according to equation 100  ðeb  1Þ, using the same control variables as in Table 3, Column (3). We take two-year moving averages to reduce short-term noise. Each line
indicates results for all firms that start exporting at s = 0 and for those that export continuously until s = 0, s = 1, s = 2, s = 3. All coefficients are significant at 5% or less. Full
results are reported in Table C.7.

Fig. 8. Productivity premia (%) for exporters of customized products; total exporters, subgroups of finals and intermediates. Notes: coefficients estimated according to Eq. (2)
and transformed according to equation 100  ðeb  1Þ, using the same control variables as in Table 3, Column (3). We take two-year moving averages to reduce short-term
noise. Each line indicates results for firms that start exporting at s = 0. The curves are estimated separately only for exporters of customized products. Full results are reported
in Table C.8.

but they are mostly limited to the year of entry or immediately finals or intermediates – present the strongest evidence of learn-
after, which suggests that participating in foreign markets by itself ing, and this trend is entirely explained by firms that start in for-
is not a continuous source of learning for firms. eign markets as exporters of final goods.
This story, however, becomes more nuanced once we look at These findings might be helpful to fine-tune national policies
the subgroups of exporters by product type. For exporters of cus- and expectations regarding GVCs. Brazilian policy makers, like
tomized intermediates, our results do not indicate learning-by- those in many other developing countries that missed out on
exporting in Brazil, although there is evidence that they perform the growing trends of fragmented trade for manufacturing, fre-
better than exporters of other classes of intermediates in terms quently express the ambition to increase the country’s participa-
of their capacity to sustain productivity gains after entering foreign tion in GVCs in manufacturing. The fact that exporters of
markets. Exporters of non-customized and primary intermediates, customized intermediates present an overall superior perfor-
however, build their performance advantage entirely before entry mance suggests that indeed important productivity gains can
and do not find extra benefits from exporting after starting to be obtained from such strategies. However, taking part in frag-
export. Conversely, exporters of customized goods in general – mented trade did not propel Brazilian suppliers to higher perfor-
13
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

mance levels after entry. The fact that exporters of final goods category the ‘RCON’ classification. Rauch (1999) list of cus-
outperformed other firms after entry in foreign markets suggests tomized products was originally created using the second revi-
a downstream position in the value chain might offer more sion of the SITC system. We use correspondence tables to
opportunities for upgrading. This observation is compatible with directly convert this classification to all HS versions, thereby
findings of the GVC approach indicating that in most production allowing us to obtain our RCON list. As mentioned in the main
chains – although not in all – the best hierarchical positions will text, in addition to the Rauch classification, we further use the
tend to be found downstream, where firms will tend to control recent BEC5 classification, which introduces a split between
higher value-added activities such as R&D, design, marketing ‘‘generic” and ‘‘specific” intermediates, the later explicitly meant
and distribution. At the same time, previous findings of this lit- to identify GVC-related trade. We use this split in BEC5 as our
erature indicate that not only the governance structure of the distinction between customized (i.e. specific) and non-
value chain (Pietrobelli et al., 2011) but also firms’ internal inno- customized (i.e. generic) intermediates.
vation efforts and capabilities will influence successful upgrading In Table A.1 we show the intersection between the list con-
by suppliers (Morrison et al., 2008). In that sense, it is possible structed using the Rauch classification (RCON) and BEC5. The table
that significant heterogeneity in performance exists among indicates that while the lists for Finals and Primary Intermediates
exporters of customized intermediates that we are unable to are highly compatible, there is a considerable reshuffle between
capture with our data. Exploring these aspects further remains customized and non-customized intermediates between the two
both an important agenda for future research in this field and classifications.
an area of great interest for economic policy. In Table A.2, we begin to look at how these classifications are
reflected in our sample of firms. The table shows the division of
observations for each product type (RCON classification). The first
CRediT authorship contribution statement
line depicts the overall percentage of observations in the total sam-
ple exporting each type of product, while the second line shows,
Caio Torres Mazzi: Conceptualization, Methodology, Investiga-
within this group, the share of those exporters exporting exclu-
tion, Formal analysis. Neil Foster-McGregor: Methodology, Formal
sively that product type. The other cells depict intersections
analysis, Supervision. Glaucia Estefânia de Sousa Ferreira: Formal
between product categories as percentages of total exporters of
analysis.
the product in the column. For instance, Column 1 indicates that
18% of all observations had positive exports of customized
Acknowledgments
intermediates. Within those 18%, 37% exported only customized
intermediates, while 50%, 32% and 9% also exported finals, non-
We are especially grateful to Carlo Pietrobelli for his constant
customized intermediates and primary goods, respectively. The
advice and helpful discussions. We are also thankful to the Insti-
total is above 100% because firms can export more than one
tute of Applied Economic Research (IPEA) and their staff, espe-
product type.
cially Eric Jardim, João Alberto De Negri and Fernanda De
Table A.3 depicts the percentage of firms in our sample selling
Negri, whose help was indispensable for the successful comple-
each product category across the timespan of our dataset. The
tion of this work. We also thank the Brazilian Institute of Geog-
numbers fluctuate without a clearly defined trend throughout
raphy and Statistics (IBGE) for making the databases available
the period, although the hierarchy in terms of participation is
for this work and the Brazilian Innovation Agency (Finep) for
mostly unaffected. This is compatible with the overall trends for
supporting and funding one of the authors. The usual disclaimer
Brazil depicted in the main text.
applies.
Finally, in Fig. A.1 we look at world trade in these different
categories and display the share of non-OECD countries’ in the
Appendix A different product categories16. The figure confirms results from
the literature describing the growing importance of international
Our first step in constructing our product classes is to classify trade in customized intermediates for developing countries: devel-
products as final, industrial intermediates or primary intermedi- oping countries have gained export share in all product categories,
ates. We consider fuels and lubricants as primary intermediates, but this gain has been greatest in customized intermediates. In
separating them from the overall industrial sector. We use the 1996, developing countries accounted for 21% of international
Fourth Revision of the United Nations Broad Economic Categories exports in customized intermediates, their lowest share among
(BEC) classification and adopt the following criteria: the four categories. This share grows steadily reaching 46% in
2016, getting close to the highest share in the graph. Indeed,
 Codes for final goods (capital and consumption): 41, 51, 521, throughout the total period this is the category of products where
112, 122, 522, 61, 62, 63 non-OECD countries present the highest average annual growth
 Codes for industrial intermediates: 22, 42, 53 rate (9.23%) and OECD countries present the lowest (3.29%).17
 Codes for primary intermediates: 21, 111, 121, 31, 322, 321

The BEC classification is mostly precise, however we correct


75 products classified as finals that are mostly intermediates
based on the assessments of Athukorala (2010) and Sturgeon
and Memedovic (2010). The next step is to produce the subdivi-
sion of customized and non-customized industrial intermediates,
which we initially do using the Rauch (1999) classification. This
classification of differentiated products divides products in three 16
OECD countries are the early participants of the organization (Australia, Austria,
categories: (i) traded in organized exchanges; (ii) reference Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy,
Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden,
priced in trade publications; and (iii) all others. The first two
Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom and United States) plus South Korea.
categories indicate homogeneous products traded in dense mar- 17
This trend is most extreme for China and Southeast Asia, but when these
kets, while the residual identifies differentiated products more countries are excluded from the sample of non-OECD countries, we continue to
likely to be traded on the basis of networks. We call this latter observe that gains are largest for this group.

14
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Table A.1
Intersections between RCON and BEC5 classification for the HS 2002 edition.

RCON Class
BEC 5 Class Finals Cust. Int. Non-Cust. Int. Prim. Int. Total
Finals 1,596 102 0 5 1,713
Cust. Int. 22 858 695 18 1,600
Non-Cust. Int. 29 489 500 123 1,141
Other Int. 11 1 2 319 333
Total 1,743 1,457 1,197 466 4,883

Note: This table reports the numbers of products classifed as final goods, and customised, non-customited and primary intermediates according to the the classifications,
RCON (columns) and BEC5 (rows). The table shows the intersection between the two classifications, providing details on the similarity of the two classifications.

Table A.2
Intersections between exports of different product categories (%).

Categories
Categories Cust Finals Non-Cust Primary
Total Exports 0.18 0.15 0.08 0.03
Exclusive 0.37 0.38 0.22 0.15
Non-exclusive
Cust - 0.57 0.68 0.57
Finals 0.50 – 0.49 0.59
Non-Cust 0.32 0.26 – 0.51
Primary 0.09 0.11 0.18 –

Note: the percentages represent averages for the entire sample. The first line depicts the overall percentage of observations in the total sample exporting each type of product.
The second line shows, within this group, the share of those exporters exporting exclusively that product type. The other cells depict intersections between product categories
as percentages of total exporters of the product in the column.

Table A.3
Percentages of firms exporting each product type by year (%).

Categories 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Finals 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15
Cust. Inter 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18
Non-Cust. Inter. 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08
Primary Inter. 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Note: This table shows the percentage of Brazilian firms in our sample that export each product type for each year in our dataset. Firms may simultaneously export more than
one product type.

Fig. A.1. Share of non-OECD in total exports in current values and by product category. Notes: own elaboration from COMTRADE export data. Export flows are in current
values. The series exclude countries whose data is not fully available for the entire period in the Harmonized System. Products divided according to the RCON classification.

15
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Appendix B

Table B.1
Export premia for the Fixed Effects TFP estimation (Ln TFP-FE) with different combinations of covariables, RCON classification (Full Sample).

Dependent Variable: Ln TFP-FE


(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Export Cust. Inter. 0.745 0.389 0.217 0.215 0.118 0.087
(0.012)*** (0.010)*** (0.009)*** (0.010)*** (0.006)*** (0.006)***
Export Non-Cust. Inter. 0.660 0.280 0.144 0.143 0.08 0.055
(0.016)*** (0.013)*** (0.012)*** (0.013)*** (0.007)*** (0.007)***
Export Finals 0.675 0.329 0.224 0.222 0.1222 0.091
(0.012)*** (0.010)*** (0.009)*** (0.009)*** (0.006)*** (0.006)***
Export Primary Inter. 0.446 0.142 0.090 0.088 0.074 0.046
(0.028)*** (0.022)*** (0.021)*** (0.022)*** (0.013)*** (0.013)***
Ln Personnel 0.445 0.358 0.357 0.445
(0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.004)***
Schooling 0.146 0.115 0.115 0.146
(0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)***
Age 0.036 0.034 0.034 0.036
(0.001)*** (0.001)*** (0.001)*** (0.001)***
Age^2 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.0006
(0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)***
Import Cust. Inter. 0.327 0.327
(0.009)*** (0.009)***
Import Non-Cust. Inter. 0.280 0.279
(0.010)*** (0.010)***
Import Finals 0.264 0.264
(0.008)*** (0.008)***
Import Primary Inter. 0.144 0.144
(0.015)*** (0.015)***
Exp Intensity 0.0177
(0.027)
Observations 292,418 292,418 292,418 292,418 292,418 292,418
R-squared 0.47 0.59 0.61 0.61 0.017 0.05
F-Statistic 1839 2852 3017 2998 274.1 232.8
State FE YES YES YES YES NO NO
Year FE YES YES YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES NO NO
Firm FE NO NO NO NO YES YES

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Export/import residual category omitted. All estimations with RCON

Table B.2
Export premia for log of value added per employee (Ln VAE) with different combinations of covariables, RCON classification (Full Sample).

Dependent Variable: Ln VAE


(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Export Cust. Inter. 0.485 0.314 0.169 0.159 0.054 0.052
(0.010)*** (0.009)*** (0.009)*** (0.010)*** (0.008)*** (0.008)***
Export Non-Cust. Inter. 0.402 0.232 0.121 0.115 0.015 0.020
(0.014)*** (0.012)*** (0.012)*** (0.012)*** (0.009) (0.001)**
Export Finals 0.328 0.178 0.085 0.078 0.06 0.060
(0.009)*** (0.009)*** (0.008)*** (0.009)*** (0.008)*** (0.008)***
Export Primary Inter. 0.250 0.135 0.090 0.081 0.006 0.008
(0.022)*** (0.019)*** (0.018)*** (0.019)*** (0.014) (0.014)
Ln Personnel 0.112 0.035 0.034 0.023
(0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.008)***
Schooling 0.123 0.097 0.097 0.022
(0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)***
Age 0.032 0.030 0.030 0.010
(0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.001)***
Age^2 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
(0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)***
Import Cust. Inter. 0.268 0.267
(0.008)*** (0.008)***
Import Non-Cust. Inter. 0.202 0.201
(0.009)*** (0.009)***
Import Finals 0.276 0.277
(0.008)*** (0.008)***
Import Primary Inter. 0.124 0.124
(0.014)*** (0.014)***

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C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Table B.2 (continued)

Dependent Variable: Ln VAE


(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Exp Intensity 0.124
(0.057)**
Observations 278,161 278,161 278,161 278,160 278,161 278,161
R-squared 0.36 0.40 0.42 0.42 0.01 0.01
F-Statistic 1090 1267 1335 1328 125.4 131.2
State FE YES YES YES YES NO NO
Year FE YES YES YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES NO NO
Firm FE NO NO NO NO YES YES

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Export/import residual category omitted. All estimations with RCON
classification, and for the log value added per employee (Ln VAE).

Table B.3
Export premia for BEC5 classification, different productivity measures (Full Sample).

Dependent Variable: Ln TFP-LP Ln TFP-LP Ln TFP-LP Ln VAE Ln VAE Ln VAE


(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Export Cust. Inter. 0.688 0.306 0.138 0.445 0.270 0.120
(0.014)*** (0.011)*** (0.010)*** (0.011)*** (0.010)*** (0.010)***
Export Non-Cust. Inter. 0.595 0.281 0.117 0.389 0.252 0.091
(0.014)*** (0.011)*** (0.010)*** (0.012)*** (0.011)*** (0.010)***
Export Finals 0.672 0.337 0.224 0.310 0.174 0.058
(0.013)*** (0.010)*** (0.009)*** (0.009)*** (0.009)*** (0.009)***
Export Primary Inter. 0.538 0.171 0.093 0.231 0.107 0.027
(0.032)*** (0.024)*** (0.023)*** (0.023)*** (0.021)*** (0.020205)
Ln Personnel 0.521 0.433 0.116 0.035
(0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.004)***
Schooling 0.142 0.113 0.123 0.097
(0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)***
Age 0.029 0.027 0.032 0.030
(0.001)*** (0.001)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)***
Age^2 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.0005
(0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)*** (0.000)***
Import Cust. Inter. 0.237 0.204
(0.010)*** (0.009)***
Import Non-Cust. Inter. 0.310 0.199
(0.010)*** (0.009)***
Import Finals 0.265 0.271
(0.008)*** (0.008)***
Import Primary Inter. 0.159 0.127
(0.015)*** (0.014)***
Exp Intensity 0.3032 0.4283
(0.025)*** (0.024)***
Observations 292,418 292,418 291,158 278,161 278,161 276,971
R-squared 0.53 0.65 0.67 0.36 0.40 0.42
F-Statistic 2318 3672 3830 1084 1262 1335
State FE YES YES YES YES NO YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES NO YES
Firm FE NO NO NO NO YES NO

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Export/import residual category omitted. All estimations with BEC5
classification, for Ln TFP and Ln VAE.

Appendix C

Table C.1
Corresponds to Figure 4 in the main text Productivity premia for starters compared to non-exporters, main sample.

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
T=0 T=1 T=2 T=3
b(8) 0.3199 0.2544 0.1833
(0.0375)*** (0.0588)*** (0.0984)*
b(7) 0.3122 0.3017 0.3026 0.4049
(0.0302)*** (0.0427)*** (0.0604)*** (0.0856)***

(continued on next page)

17
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Table C.1 (continued)

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
T=0 T=1 T=2 T=3
b(6) 0.3204 0.3082 0.3003 0.3158
(0.0234)*** (0.0325)*** (0.0433)*** (0.0521)***
b(5) 0.3399 0.3435 0.3292 0.3388
(0.0209)*** (0.0287)*** (0.0369)*** (0.0451)***
b(4) 0.3382 0.3763 0.3667 0.3735
(0.0175)*** (0.0231)*** (0.0301)*** (0.0339)***
b(3) 0.3693 0.4110 0.4204 0.4233
(0.0152)*** (0.0194)*** (0.0244)*** (0.0282)***
b(2) 0.3841 0.4069 0.4308 0.4227
(0.0135)*** (0.0176)*** (0.0212)*** (0.0247)***
b(1) 0.3905 0.4087 0.4443 0.4354
(0.0136)*** (0.0179)*** (0.0225)*** (0.0250)***
b(0) 0.4317 0.4486 0.4779 0.4746
(0.0140)*** (0.0179)*** (0.0219)*** (0.0250)***
b(+1) 0.4255 0.4509 0.5106 0.5073
(0.0149)*** (0.0189)*** (0.0233)*** (0.0271)***
b(+2) 0.4371 0.4588 0.5013 0.5049
(0.0161)*** (0.0201)*** (0.0232)*** (0.0268)***
b(+3) 0.4275 0.4533 0.4854 0.5067
(0.0173)*** (0.0219)*** (0.0251)*** (0.0271)***
b(+4) 0.4381 0.4526 0.4681 0.4743
(0.0188)*** (0.0241)*** (0.0282)*** (0.0304)***
b(+5) 0.4360 0.4318 0.4549 0.4530
(0.0222)*** (0.0285)*** (0.0330)*** (0.0366)***
b(+6) 0.3994 0.4001 0.4093 0.4329
(0.0253)*** (0.0337)*** (0.0396)*** (0.0428)***
b(+7) 0.3730 0.3419 0.3702 0.3646
(0.0307)*** (0.0394)*** (0.0467)*** (0.0526)***
b(+8) 0.3588 0.3438 0.3558 0.3285
(0.0409)*** (0.0495)*** (0.0577)*** (0.0665)***
Observations 135,665 122,613 116,818 113,631
R-squared 0.65 0.64 0.63 0.63
F-Statistic 1771 1539 1436 1363
State FE YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES
b-1 = b3 4.0% 3.6% 8.5% 0.2%
b-1 = b2 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1%
b-1 = b1 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Control variables are the log of personnel, schooling, age, age squares,
an import dummy, state, year and sector fixed effects.

Table C.2
Productivity premia for starters compared to non-exporters, alternative sample selection criteria.

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
T=0 T=1 T=2 T=3
b(8) 0.3600 0.3093 0.2253 –
(0.0375)*** (0.0592)*** (0.1011)**
b(7) 0.3327 0.3214 0.3095 0.4235
(0.0306)*** (0.0431)*** (0.0620)*** (0.0868)***
b(6) 0.3324 0.3286 0.3254 0.3493
(0.0244)*** (0.0336)*** (0.0445)*** (0.0531)***
b(5) 0.3579 0.3704 0.3517 0.3742
(0.0220)*** (0.0302)*** (0.0382)*** (0.0462)***
b(4) 0.3608 0.3981 0.3865 0.3952
(0.0187)*** (0.0243)*** (0.0306)*** (0.0341)***
b(3) 0.3900 0.4212 0.4253 0.4403
(0.0162)*** (0.0207)*** (0.0255)*** (0.0291)***
b(2) 0.4073 0.4310 0.4373 0.4314
(0.0146)*** (0.0190)*** (0.0229)*** (0.0258)***
b(1) 0.4223 0.4443 0.4613 0.4615
(0.0133)*** (0.0171)*** (0.0209)*** (0.0232)***
b(0) 0.4687 0.4855 0.5071 0.5124
(0.0131)*** (0.0168)*** (0.0201)*** (0.0224)***
b(+1) 0.4616 0.4945 0.5389 0.5507
(0.0141)*** (0.0173)*** (0.0206)*** (0.0235)***
b(+2) 0.4583 0.4880 0.5315 0.5452
(0.0153)*** (0.0187)*** (0.0209)*** (0.0234)***
b(+3) 0.4407 0.4699 0.4967 0.5258
(0.0165)*** (0.0202)*** (0.0225)*** (0.0243)***

18
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Table C.2 (continued)

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
T=0 T=1 T=2 T=3
b(+4) 0.4695 0.4926 0.5145 0.5309
(0.0178)*** (0.0219)*** (0.0246)*** (0.0267)***
b(+5) 0.4580 0.4827 0.5053 0.5218
(0.0201)*** (0.0248)*** (0.0279)*** (0.0306)***
b(+6) 0.4513 0.4780 0.4891 0.5241
(0.0217)*** (0.0272)*** (0.0306)*** (0.0331)***
b(+7) 0.4388 0.4368 0.4498 0.4798
(0.0246)*** (0.0305)*** (0.0343)*** (0.0378)***
b(+8) 0.3971 0.3996 0.3974 0.4066
(0.0294)*** (0.0340)*** (0.0384)*** (0.0417)***
Observations 208,874 190,493 182,694 178,377
R-squared 0.6 0.59 0.58 0.57
F-Statistic 509.4 442.5 415.3 391.6
State FE YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES
b-1 = b3 0.5% 16.0% 8.0% 0.2%
b-1 = b2 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
b-1 = b1 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Control variables are the log of personnel, schooling, age, age squares, an
import dummy, state, year and sector fixed effects. Firms that leave the sample for more than 1 year are excluded, as well as firms that start exporting on their first year in the
sample.

Table C.3
Corresponds to Fig. 5 in the main text Productivity premia for starters in each product category (T = 0), main sample.

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
Finals Cust. Int. Non-Cust. Primary
b(8) 0.2896 0.3388 0.5864 0.2994
(0.0631)*** (0.0665)*** (0.1024)*** (0.1683)*
b(7) 0.2485 0.2738 0.3966 0.4546
(0.0531)*** (0.0610)*** (0.1277)*** (0.1317)***
b(6) 0.2686 0.2986 0.3450 0.3018
(0.0415)*** (0.0461)*** (0.0993)*** (0.1599)*
b(5) 0.3370 0.2785 0.4098 0.3663
(0.0384)*** (0.0423)*** (0.0910)*** (0.1049)***
b(4) 0.3212 0.2677 0.4268 0.3026
(0.0307)*** (0.0354)*** (0.0752)*** (0.1278)**
b(3) 0.3569 0.2991 0.5175 0.6543
(0.0270)*** (0.0326)*** (0.0681)*** (0.1195)***
b(2) 0.3803 0.3116 0.4348 0.6325
(0.0246)*** (0.0292)*** (0.0695)*** (0.1126)***
b(1) 0.4008 0.2851 0.4698 0.5713
(0.0263)*** (0.0287)*** (0.0578)*** (0.1070)***
b(0) 0.4533 0.3344 0.5381 0.4544
(0.0261)*** (0.0293)*** (0.0665)*** (0.1323)***
b(+1) 0.4430 0.3276 0.3769 0.5542
(0.0281)*** (0.0317)*** (0.0662)*** (0.1411)***
b(+2) 0.4577 0.3258 0.3274 0.5570
(0.0308)*** (0.0368)*** (0.0672)*** (0.1551)***
b(+3) 0.4589 0.2906 0.3550 0.5493
(0.0336)*** (0.0376)*** (0.0826)*** (0.1534)***
b(+4) 0.4485 0.3008 0.4551 0.4863
(0.0361)*** (0.0434)*** (0.0974)*** (0.1609)***
b(+5) 0.4776 0.3049 0.3323 0.3268
(0.0447)*** (0.0554)*** (0.1147)*** (0.1707)*
b(+6) 0.4864 0.2522 0.4185 0.4111
(0.0544)*** (0.0556)*** (0.0952)*** (0.1577)***
b(+7) 0.4171 0.2714 0.3646 0.4066
(0.0632)*** (0.0667)*** (0.1178)*** (0.2691)
b(+8) 0.3319 0.2333 0.2383 0.5341
(0.1005)*** (0.0814)*** (0.1250)* (0.4681)
Observations 123,175 123,175 123,175 123,175
R-squared 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62
F-Statistic 895.3 895.3 895.3 895.3
State FE YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES
b-1 = b3 6.4% 87.4% 11.7% 82.0%
b-1 = b2 3.6% 17.9% 1.4% 87.6%
b-1 = b1 6.0% 7.4% 7.0% 83.0%

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Control variables are omitted but are the same as in Table 3, Column (3).
RCON classification.
19
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Table C.4
Productivity premia for starters in each product category (T = 0), alternative sample selection.

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
Finals Cust. Int. Non-Cust. Primary
b(8) 0.3175 0.3527 0.6374 0.3776
(0.0621)*** (0.0638)*** (0.0971)*** (0.1709)**
b(7) 0.2756 0.2775 0.4341 0.5344
(0.0511)*** (0.0591)*** (0.1246)*** (0.1289)***
b(6) 0.2781 0.2970 0.3773 0.3696
(0.0409)*** (0.0450)*** (0.0973)*** (0.1611)**
b(5) 0.3637 0.2866 0.4378 0.4332
(0.0379)*** (0.0406)*** (0.0867)*** (0.1013)***
b(4) 0.3534 0.2722 0.4646 0.3809
(0.0301)*** (0.0357)*** (0.0700)*** (0.1297)***
b(3) 0.3907 0.3183 0.5126 0.6781
(0.0262)*** (0.0315)*** (0.0646)*** (0.1166)***
b(2) 0.4075 0.3250 0.4866 0.6947
(0.0231)*** (0.0284)*** (0.0649)*** (0.1080)***
b(1) 0.4156 0.3501 0.4566 0.5792
(0.0223)*** (0.0253)*** (0.0540)*** (0.0948)***
b(0) 0.4858 0.3556 0.5508 0.4474
(0.0217)*** (0.0241)*** (0.0521)*** (0.1084)***
b(+1) 0.4817 0.3384 0.4521 0.4584
(0.0239)*** (0.0262)*** (0.0540)*** (0.1155)***
b(+2) 0.4592 0.3423 0.3884 0.5286
(0.0271)*** (0.0308)*** (0.0608)*** (0.1412)***
b(+3) 0.4526 0.3169 0.3814 0.4932
(0.0291)*** (0.0328)*** (0.0697)*** (0.1420)***
b(+4) 0.4739 0.3456 0.4748 0.4071
(0.0310)*** (0.0391)*** (0.0778)*** (0.1367)***
b(+5) 0.4799 0.3416 0.3900 0.4003
(0.0385)*** (0.0439)*** (0.0914)*** (0.1539)***
b(+6) 0.4748 0.3067 0.5039 0.4732
(0.0457)*** (0.0445)*** (0.1017)*** (0.1884)**
b(+7) 0.4504 0.2793 0.4835 0.5227
(0.0525)*** (0.0529)*** (0.1128)*** (0.1857)***
b(+8) 0.3436 0.1759 0.3243 0.4188
(0.0823)*** (0.0569)*** (0.1139)*** (0.3621)
Observations 190,166 190,166 190,166 190,166
R-squared 0.5685 0.5685 0.5685 0.5685
F-Statistic 1052 1052 1052 1052
State FE YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES
b-1 = b3 13.8% 81.9% 21.7% 40.7%
b-1 = b2 5.7% 59.8% 19.6% 62.8%
b-1 = b1 0.1% 63.5% 92.5% 9.9%

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Control variables are omitted but are the same as in Table 3, Column (3).
Firms that leave the sample for more than 1 year are excluded, as well as firms that start exporting on their first year in the sample.

Table C.5
Corresponds to Fig. 6 in the main text Productivity premia for starters in each product category (T = 3), main sample selection.

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
Finals Cust. Int. Non-Cust. Primary
b(7) 0.2562 0.2349 0.3661 0.1791
(0.1998) (0.1966) (0.5944) (0.1572)
b(6) 0.3456 0.2156 0.1501 0.3835
(0.1067)*** (0.1036)** (0.2200) (0.2851)
b(5) 0.4272 0.1409 0.1399 0.2038
(0.0917)*** (0.0949) (0.1831) (0.2775)
b(4) 0.4422 0.2111 0.1764 0.2940
(0.0761)*** (0.0878)** (0.1720) (0.2517)
b(3) 0.5087 0.2173 0.0657 0.9296
(0.0621)*** (0.0714)*** (0.2011) (0.4193)**
b(2) 0.5132 0.2735 0.1956 0.7491
(0.0601)*** (0.0637)*** (0.1212) (0.3653)**
b(1) 0.5306 0.2278 0.3615 0.7970
(0.0604)*** (0.0653)*** (0.1200)*** (0.3818)**
b(0) 0.5652 0.2983 0.3431 0.8330
(0.0602)*** (0.0585)*** (0.1573)** (0.4041)**

20
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Table C.5 (continued)

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
Finals Cust. Int. Non-Cust. Primary
b(+1) 0.5859 0.3389 0.3153 0.8504
(0.0668)*** (0.0609)*** (0.1646)* (0.4384)*
b(+2) 0.6324 0.3353 0.2930 0.7036
(0.0690)*** (0.0627)*** (0.1542)* (0.4299)
b(+3) 0.6384 0.3525 0.3318 0.7194
(0.0670)*** (0.0689)*** (0.1614)** (0.4139)*
b(+4) 0.5589 0.3381 0.3754 0.5459
(0.0692)*** (0.0811)*** (0.1862)** (0.4355)
b(+5) 0.5638 0.2962 0.0362 0.2297
(0.0866)*** (0.0978)*** (0.2699) (0.5084)
b(+6) 0.5736 0.2453 0.7338 0.6408
(0.0990)*** (0.1130)** (0.2036)*** (0.0921)***
b(+7) 0.5537 0.2203 0.5755 0.2985
(0.1041)*** (0.1355) (0.2014)*** (0.0919)***
b(+8) 0.3397 0.2536 0.1769
(0.1712)** (0.1427) (0.1794)
Observations 108,110 108,110 108,110 108,110
R-squared 0.6076 0.6076 0.6076 0.6076
F-Statistic 807.1 807.1 807.1 807.1
State FE YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES
b-1 = b3 3.7% 4.2% 76.5% 37.8%
b-1 = b2 4.3% 5.0% 47.0% 22.6%
b-1 = b1 20.7% 3.7% 61.1% 64.8%

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Control variables are omitted but are the same as in Table 3, Column (3).
RCON classification.

Table C.6
Productivity premia for starters in each product category (T = 3), alternative sample selection.

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
Finals Cust. Int. Non-Cust. Primary
b(7) 0.2944 0.2209 0.2776 0.3296
(0.1936) (0.1787) (0.5961) (0.1460)**
b(6) 0.4051 0.2008 0.2161 0.5444
(0.0993)*** (0.0983)** (0.2106) (0.2704)**
b(5) 0.4519 0.1887 0.1901 0.3034
(0.0897)*** (0.0879)** (0.1795) (0.2620)
b(4) 0.4582 0.2191 0.2901 0.4069
(0.0741)*** (0.0829)*** (0.1718)* (0.2363)*
b(3) 0.5218 0.2371 0.1030 1.0047
(0.0610)*** (0.0699)*** (0.2000) (0.3750)***
b(2) 0.5357 0.2627 0.2253 0.8405
(0.0618)*** (0.0614)*** (0.1213)* (0.3374)**
b(1) 0.5542 0.3281 0.2960 0.8224
(0.0531)*** (0.0601)*** (0.1568)* (0.2861)***
b(0) 0.6313 0.3660 0.4677 0.8651
(0.0542)*** (0.0543)*** (0.1299)*** (0.2947)***
b(+1) 0.6494 0.4151 0.4630 0.8392
(0.0553)*** (0.0554)*** (0.1232)*** (0.3290)**
b(+2) 0.6693 0.4358 0.4458 0.7352
(0.0550)*** (0.0551)*** (0.1274)*** (0.3170)**
b(+3) 0.6321 0.4270 0.3671 0.7665
(0.0553)*** (0.0587)*** (0.1311)*** (0.3019)**
b(+4) 0.6100 0.4578 0.4097 0.5405
(0.0612)*** (0.0683)*** (0.1341)*** (0.3293)
b(+5) 0.6407 0.4374 0.2527 0.4159
(0.0808)*** (0.0799)*** (0.1881) (0.4222)
b(+6) 0.6263 0.3797 0.8098 0.9289
(0.0887)*** (0.0869)*** (0.1638)*** (0.1609)***
b(+7) 0.5501 0.3295 0.5528 0.6719
(0.0903)*** (0.1028)*** (0.1832)*** (0.2221)***
b(+8) 0.4809 0.2153 0.3524 1.0315
(0.1225)*** (0.0569)*** (0.1423)** (0.0488)***
Observations 170,000 170,000 170,000 170,000
R-squared 0.5473 0.5473 0.5473 0.5473
F 963.6 963.6 963.6 963.6

(continued on next page)

21
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Table C.6 (continued)

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
Finals Cust. Int. Non-Cust. Primary
State FE YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES
b-1 = b3 9.5% 6.1% 49.7% 52.0%
b-1 = b2 1.0% 2.0% 19.4% 20.4%
b-1 = b1 2.7% 4.2% 16.6% 88.4%

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Control variables are omitted but are the same as in Table 3, Column (3).
Firms that leave the sample for more than 1 year are excluded, as well as firms that start exporting on their first year in the sample.

Table C.7
Corresponds to Figure 7 in the main text Productivity premia for exporter starters of customized products (finals and intermediates), main sample selection.

(1) (2) (3) (4)


Dependent Variable TFP-LP
T=0 T=1 T=2 T=3
b(8) 0.2868 0.2251 0.1149
(0.0445)*** (0.0754)*** (0.1315)
b(7) 0.2587 0.2471 0.1761 0.1674
(0.0360)*** (0.0529)*** (0.0741)** (0.1101)
b(6) 0.2862 0.2987 0.2517 0.2488
(0.0360)*** (0.0360)*** (0.0360)*** (0.0360)***
b(5) 0.2930 0.3045 0.2862 0.2589
(0.0249)*** (0.0361)*** (0.0490)*** (0.0644)***
b(4) 0.2825 0.3315 0.2955 0.3094
(0.0206)*** (0.0285)*** (0.0387)*** (0.0473)***
b(3) 0.3122 0.3544 0.3566 0.3663
(0.0178)*** (0.0238)*** (0.0312)*** (0.0363)***
b(2) 0.3384 0.3515 0.3748 0.3832
(0.0160)*** (0.0225)*** (0.0279)*** (0.0344)***
b(1) 0.3380 0.3508 0.3805 0.3850
(0.0163)*** (0.0229)*** (0.0306)*** (0.0345)***
b(0) 0.3848 0.4011 0.4218 0.4293
(0.0168)*** (0.0228)*** (0.0289)*** (0.0346)***
b(+1) 0.3795 0.4042 0.4621 0.4705
(0.0178)*** (0.0237)*** (0.0305)*** (0.0370)***
b(+2) 0.4031 0.4320 0.4765 0.4835
(0.0199)*** (0.0261)*** (0.0317)*** (0.0378)***
b(+3) 0.4015 0.4403 0.4658 0.4983
(0.0213)*** (0.0283)*** (0.0344)*** (0.0383)***
b(+4) 0.3878 0.4111 0.4229 0.4458
(0.0232)*** (0.0316)*** (0.0383)*** (0.0422)***
b(+5) 0.3992 0.4033 0.4286 0.4298
(0.0279)*** (0.0369)*** (0.0434)*** (0.0488)***
b(+6) 0.3677 0.3693 0.3720 0.3978
(0.0307)*** (0.0423)*** (0.0509)*** (0.0590)***
b(+7) 0.3314 0.3009 0.3186 0.3289
(0.0370)*** (0.0493)*** (0.0604)*** (0.0715)***
b(+8) 0.3291 0.3221 0.3179 0.2614
(0.0517)*** (0.0606)*** (0.0759)*** (0.0937)***
Observations 125,688 115,769 111,617 109,569
R-squared 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
F 1204 1096 1063 1052
State FE YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Sector FE YES YES YES YES
b-1 = b3 0.4% 0.1% 1.1% 0.1%
b-1 = b2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
b-1 = b1 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3%

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0. Notes: standard errors clustered at the firm level between parentheses. Control variables are the log of personnel, schooling, age, age squares,
an import dummy, state, year and sector fixed effects. RCON classification.

22
C. Torres Mazzi et al. World Development 138 (2021) 105151

Table C.8 Agostino, M., Giunta, A., Scalera, D., & Trivieri, F. (2016). Italian firms in global value
Corresponds to Figure 8 in the main text Productivity premia for exporters of chains: Updating our knowledge. Rivista Di Politica Economica, 7, 155–186.
customized products, subgroups of finals and intermediates (T = 0), main sample Andersson, M., & Weiss, J. F. (2012). External Trade and Internal Geography: Local
selection Export Spillovers by Industry Characteristics and Firm Size. Spatial Economic
Analysis, 7(July 2013), 421–446. https://doi.org/10.1080/
(1) (2) (3) 17421772.2012.722664
Dependent Variable TFP-LP Antràs, P., & Chor, D. (2013). Organizing the global value chain. Econometrica, 81(6),
Finals Cust. Int. All Customized 2127–2204. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA10813.
Araújo, B. C. (2016). Efeitos de aprendizado de axportação: Diferenças quanto à
b(8) 0.305 0.281 0.2868 permanência, destinos de exportação, tamanho e intensidade tecnológica. In F.
(0.0366)*** (0.0360)*** (0.0445)*** De Negri & L. R. Cavalcante (Eds.), Produtividade no Brasil Volume 2 -
b(7) 0.273 0.267 0.2587 Determinantes (1st ed., pp. 153–171). Brasilia: Ipea.
(0.0361)*** (0.03602)*** (0.0360)*** Araújo, R. D. De, & Hiratuka, C. (2006). Exportações Das Firmas Domésticas E
b(6) 0.301 0.294 0.2862 Influência Das Firmas Transnacionais. In As Empresas Brasileiras e o Comércio
(0.0252)*** (0.0227)*** (0.0360)*** Internacional (pp. 317–339). Retrieved from https://www.en.ipea.gov.br/
b(5) 0.326 0.278 0.2930 agencia/images/stories/PDFs/livros/Cap11_Exportacoesfirmas.pdf.
(0.0209)*** (0.0204)*** (0.0249)*** Baldwin, R. (2012). Trade and Industrialization after Globalization’s 2nd
b(4) 0.315 0.273 0.2825 Unbundling: How Building and Joining a Supply Chain Are Different and Why
It Matters. In R. Feenstra & A. Taylor (Eds.), Globalization in an Age of Crisis:
(0.0180)*** (0.0182)*** (0.0206)***
Multilateral Economic Cooperation in the Twenty-First Century (pp. 165–215).
b(3) 0.325 0.291 0.3122
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13398-014-0173-7.2.
(0.0163)*** (0.0159)*** (0.0178)***
Bas, M. (2012). Input-trade liberalization and firm export decisions: Evidence from
b(2) 0.352 0.305 0.3384 Argentina. Journal of Development Economics, 97(2), 481–493. https://doi.org/
(0.0163)*** (0.0161)*** (0.0160)*** 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2011.05.010.
b(1) 0.361 0.298 0.3380 Bas, M., & Strauss-Kahn, V. (2014). Does importing more inputs raise exports? Firm-
(0.0168)*** (0.0160)*** (0.0163)*** level evidence from France. Review of World Economics, 150(2), 241–275.
b(0) 0.394 0.332 0.3848 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10290-013-0175-0.
(0.0173)*** (0.0171)*** (0.0168)*** Bernard, A. B., & Jensen, J. B. (1999). Exceptional exporter performance: Cause,
b(+1) 0.379 0.328 0.3795 effect, or both?. Journal of International Economics, 47(1), 1–25. https://doi.org/
(0.0121)*** (0.0191)*** (0.0178)*** 10.1016/S0022-1996(98)00027-0.
b(+2) 0.413 0.341 0.4031 Blalock, G., & Gertler, P. J. (2004). Learning from exporting revisited in a less
(0.0213)*** (0.0223)*** (0.0199)*** developed setting. Journal of Development Economics, 75(2 SPEC. ISS.), 397–416.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2004.06.004.
b(+3) 0.418 0.318 0.4015
Brancati, E., Brancati, R., & Maresca, A. (2017a). Global value chains, innovation, and
(0.0238)*** (0.0221)*** (0.0213)***
performance: Firm-level evidence from the great recession. Journal of Economic
b(+4) 0.405 0.323 0.3878
Geography, 17(3), 1–35. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbx003.
(0.0280)*** (0.0265)*** (0.0232)*** Brancati, E., Brancati, R., & Maresca, A. (2017b). Global value chains, innovation and
b(+5) 0.425 0.314 0.3992 performance: Firm-level evidence from the Great Recession. Journal of Economic
(0.0321)*** (0.0298)*** (0.0279)*** Geography, 17(5), 1039–1073. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbx003.
b(+6) 0.382 0.299 0.3677 Coase, R. H. (1937). The Nature of the Firm. Economica, 4(16), 386–405. https://doi.
(0.0369)*** (0.0365)*** (0.0307)*** org/10.2307/2626876.
b(+7) 0.357 0.271 0.3314 Feng, L., Li, Z., & Swenson, D. L. (2016). The connection between imported
(0.0522)*** (0.0498)*** (0.0370)*** intermediate inputs and exports: Evidence from Chinese firms. Journal of
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