Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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Survey.
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Michael Morfit
Conclusion
It is impossible now to determine to what extent P4 has succeeded
in achieving the objectives set by the government. At the end of 1980,
Pancasila courses have in general moved from the central government
level in Jakarta to provincial level government offices and universities.
The process can be expected to continue for about another year, es-
pecially if sections of the population outside the civil service either or-
ganize Pancasila courses or are required to join P4. Even in the short
run, therefore, it is too early to come to firm conclusions about the suc-
cess or failure of the New Order government's efforts to establish Pan-
casila as the accepted basis of political order and the justification for
development plans.
The above discussion suggests, however, that there are fundamental
problems in the formulation of Pancasila by the present regime, and
with the way it seeks to propagate its views through P4. While there is
little doubt that the regime will prevail through the forthcoming na-
tional elections, only time will tell if elements of social change and his-
torical dynamics are infused into its presently static ideology.
What is perhaps most disappointing about P4 is that it reveals the
extent to which the New Order regime has failed to project a future
that is clearly defined and likely to be realized. Over the past two years
there has been discussion of the apparent loss of elan within the gov-
ernment and a growing sense that it has somehow lost both its way and
its confidence in its own capabilities. This assessment of the govern-
ment's concern and uncertainty has been confirmed by its handling of
a variety of events from the June 1980 Petition of Fifty, to anti-Chinese
riots in central Java in November of that year, to the April 1981 hijack-
ing of a Garuda airliner. The decision to pursue a nationwide program
of political indoctrination may be viewed in this light as a symptom of
growing insecurity on the part of the present regime and of an attempt
to rekindle a sense of its own purpose. If so, the above discussion sug-
gests that this is an effort that must ultimately fail. The failure, if it
occurs, may be one of imagination because the New Order government
has been unable to develop within the doctrine of Pancasila develop-
ment strategies capable of addressing the inevitability of profound so-
cial change or of generating a new, ideological vision for Indonesia.