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UNIT 2
DEMAND AND SUPPLY ANALYSIS-
LECTURE 6
DEMAND-TYPES OF DEMAND
MEANING OF DEMAND1
It refers to the quantity of a good or service that consumers are willing and able to
purchase at various prices during a given period of time.
Desire of a commodity
Ability to pay for it
Willing to pay for it
At the given price
At a given time
DEMAND SCHEDULE2
Types of Demand3
In simple language, market demand is the aggregate of individual demands of all the
consumers of a product over a period of time at a specific price, while other factors
are constant. on behalf of example, there are four consumers of oil (having a certain
price). There are four consumers consume 30 liters, 40 liters, 50 liters, and 60 liters
of oil respectively in a month. Hence, the market demand for oil is 180 liters in a
month.
The demand for the product of an organization at given price above a point of time
is known as organization demand. On behalf of example, the demand for Toyota cars
is organization demand. The total of demand for products of all organizations in a
particular industry is known as industry demand.
For example, the demand for cars of various brands, like Toyota, Maruti Suzuki, Tata,
and Hyundai, in India constitutes the industry’ demand.
The demand of a product that is not associate with the demand of other products is
known as autonomous or direct demand. The autonomous demand arises due to the
natural desire of an individual to consume the product.
On behalf of example, the demand for food, shelter, clothes, and vehicles is
autonomous as it increases due to biological, physical, and other personal needs of
consumers. On the other hand, derived demand refers to the demand for a product
that increases due to the demand for other products.
On behalf of example, the demand for petrol, diesel, and other lubricants depends
on the demand of vehicles.
The goods are separated into two categories, perishable goods and durable goods.
Perishable or non-durable goods ask the products that have one use. For example,
cement, coal, fuel, and eatables. On the opposite hand, durables ask goods which
will be used repeatedly.
On behalf of example, clothes, shoes, machines, and buildings. Perishable goods
satisfy this demand of people . However, durables satisfy both present also as future
demand of people . Therefore, consumers purchase durable items by considering its
durability.
v. Short-term and Long-term Demand:
Short-term demand means to the demand for products that are used for a shorter
duration of time or for current period. This demand depends on the present tastes
and preferences of consumers.
On behalf of example, demand for umbrellas, raincoats, sweaters, long boots is short
term and seasonal in nature. On the opposite hand, long-term demand refers to the
demand for products over a extended period of your time.
Generally, durable goods have long-term demand. The long-term demand of a
product depends on variety of things , like change in technology, sort of competition,
promotional activities, and availability of substitutes. The short-term and long-term
concepts of demand are essential for an business to design a new product.
References:-
1. https://www.chegg.com/learn/economics/introductiontoeconomics/
demandschedule
2. https://www.economicsdiscussion.net/demand/5typesofdemandexp
lained/3355
3. Brickley. Managerial Economics & Organizational Architecture. Tata
McGraw-Hill.
LECTURE 7
DETERMINANTS OF DEMAND
Determinants of Demand1
A determinant of Demand means factor’s that effects the demand.
Demand for a commodity or service is decided by variety of things. All such factors
are called as demand determinants. Price of the given commodity, prices of other
substitutes and/or complements, future expected trend in prices etc.
i. Price of the commodity
Inferior goods
v. Consumer’s expectation
Composition of population
Thus, several factors are responsible for bringing changes in the demand for a
product in the market. A corporate executive should have the knowledge and
knowledge about of these factors and forces so as to finalize his own production
marketing and other business strategies.
People use price as a parameter to form decisions if all other factors remain
constant or equal. consistent with the law of demand, this suggests a rise in demand
follows a discount in price and a decrease in demand follows a rise within
the price of comparable goods.
The demand curve and the demand schedule help determine the demand quantity
at a price level. An elastic demand implies a robust change quantity accompanied by
a change in price. Similarly, an inelastic demand implies that volume doesn't change
much even when there's a change in price.
4] Consumer Expectations
The number of buyer has a major outcome on the total or net demand. As the number
increases, the demand rises. Besides, this is true irrespective of changes in the price of
commodities.
Taste and preference also affect demand of a commodity. Favorable taste results
in increase in demand and unfavorable taste results in decrease in demand.
7] Government policy
Government policy also affect demand of a commodity. If government imposes tax
then price of a product will increase and as a result demand will decrease.
And if government provide rebate then price of a product will decrease and demand
of a product will increase.
8] Distribution of income
If there is equal distribution of income then there will be more demand for a product
And if there's unequal distribution of income ,then there'll be less demand for a
product.
References:-
1. http://saurabhjaitly.weebly.com/uploads/1/0/1/9/10195001/maneg
erial_economics_for_quick_revision.doc
2. https://www.scribd.com/document/425841371/ManagerialEconomi
cspdf
3. Brickley. Managerial Economics & Organizational Architecture. Tata
McGraw-Hill.
LECTURE -8
DEMAND FUNCTION & ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
Demand function1
A function is a symbolic statement of a relationship between the dependent and
independent variables.
Demand function -It states the relationship between the demand of a product
(the dependent variable) and it’s determinants (the independent variable)
Dx= Quantity demanded of product X
Px= Price of the commodity
M= Money income of the consumer
Ps= Price of it’s substitutes
Pc= Price of it’s Complementary goods
T= Consumer tastes & preferences
A= Advertisement expenditure
The term elasticity is borrowed from physics. It shows the response of one variable
with value to a change in other variables on which it is dependent. Elasticity is an
index of reaction.
In economics the term elasticity refers to a percentage of the relative changes in two
quantities. It measures the reaction of one variable to the changes in another
variable.
Where,
ΔQ= Q1 –Q0
ΔP = P1 – P0
Q1= New quantity
Q2= Original quantity
P1 = New price
P0 = Original price
In this case, whatever may be the vary in price, quantity demanded will
remain perfectly stable. The demand curve is a vertical straight line and
parallel to OY axis. Quantity demanded would be 10 units, irrespective
of price changes from Rs. 10.00 to Rs. 2.00. Hence, the numerical co-
efficient of perfectly inelastic demand is zero. ED = 0
In this case, a large change in price, say 8 % fall price, leads to less than in
proportion change in demand, state 4 % rise in demand. One can observe
here that change in demand is less than that of change in price. This can be
represent by a steeper demand curve. Hence, elasticity is less than one.
Ex. Original demand = 400 units Original Income = 4000-00 New demand = 700 units
New Income = 6000-00
Ey is positive. This is for the reason that there is a direct relationship between
income and demand, i.e. higher the revenue; higher would be the demand and vice-
versa. On the basis of the mathematical value of the co-efficient, Ey is classified as
greater than one, less than one, equal to one, equal to zero, and negative. The
concept of Ey helps us in classifying commodities into different categories.
If the growth rate of the economy and income growth of the people is
logically forecasted, in that case it is possible to forecast expected increase in
the sales of a firm and vice-versa.
The rate of growth in incomes of the people also helps in housing program in
a Country. Thus, it helps a lot in managerial decisions of a firm.
It is to be noted that-
Knowledge of cross elasticity would help the industry to know whether an industry
has any substitutes or complementariness in the market. This helps in formulating
various substitute business strategies to support different items in the market.
References:-
1. https://gurujionlinestudy.com/elasticitydemandstudymaterialnotes
mcomisemester/
2. https://businessjargons.com/elasticityofdemand.Html
BY: RAJESH KUMAR (ASSISTANT PROFESSOR) 42
MBA DEPT. MITRC, ALWAR
UNIT 2 B.Tech 3 SEM MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS AND FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING (MEFA)
LECTURE 9
DEMAND FORECASTING – PURPOSE, DETERMINANTS AND
METHODS
Demand Forecasting refers to the process of predict the future demand for the
firm’s product. In other words, demand forecasting is comprised of a series of steps
that involves the anticipation of demand for a product in future under both
controllable and non-controllable factors.
1. Short-term Objectives:
Helps in covering the gap between the demand and provide supply of the
product. The demand forecasting helps in estimate the requirement of raw
material in future, so that the normal supply of raw material can be
maintained. It further helps in maximum utilization of resources as operations
are planned consistent with forecasts. Similarly, human resource
requirements are easily met with the assistance of demand forecasting.
c. Controlling sales:
Helps in setting sales targets, which act as a basis for evaluating sales
performance. An organization make demand forecasts for various regions and
join sales targets for every region accordingly.
d. Arranging finance:
Implies that the financial requirements of the enterprise are estimated with
the help of demand forecasting. This helps in ensuring proper liquidity within
the organization.
2. Long-term Objectives:
Implies that demand forecasting helps in planning for long term. For example,
if the forecasted demand for the organization’s products is high, it's going
to decide to invest in various increase and development projects within the
future.
The Delphi technique was developed at RAND Corporation in the 1950s. Delphi
method is a group (members) process and aims at achieving a `single opinion of the
members on the subject. Herein experts in the field of marketing research
and demand forecasting are engaged in
This technique assumes that whatever past years demand pattern will be continued
in the future also. Basing on the historical data that means previous year’s data is
used to predict the demand for the future. In this trend projection method, previous
year’s data is presented on the graph and future demand is estimated.
Regression Analysis3
Past data is used to establish a functional relationship between two variables. For
Example, demand for consumer goods has a relationship with income of Individuals
and family; demand for tractors is linked to the agriculture income and demand for
cement, bricks etc. are dependent upon value of construction contracts at any time.
Forecasters collect data and build relationship through co-relation and regression
analysis of variables.
Econometric Models
Econometric models are more complex and comprehensive as this model uses
mathematical and statistical tools to forecast demand. This model takes various
factors which affect the demand. For example, demand for passenger transport is
not only dependent upon the population of the city, geographical area, industrial
units, their location etc.
It is not easy to locate one single economic indicator for determining the demand
forecast of a product. Invariably, a multi-factor situation applies Econometric
Models, although complex, are being increasingly used for market analysis and
demand forecasts.
Among the quantitative techniques for demand analysis, simple Average Method is
the first one that comes to one's mind. Herein, we take simple average of all past
periods - simple monthly average of all consumption figures collected every month
for the last twelve months or simple quarterly average of consumption figures
collected for several quarters in the immediate past. Thus,
References:-
1. https://gurujionlinestudy.com/elasticitydemandstudymaterialnotes
mcomisemester/
2. https://businessjargons.com/elasticityofdemand.Html
3. Brickley. Managerial Economics & Organizational Architecture. Tata
McGraw-Hill.
LECTURE 10
SUPPLY-DETERMINANTS OF SUPPLY
MEANING AND LAW OF SUPPLY1
Supply is also different from stock. Stock is that the total volume of a
commodity which may be brought into the marketplace for sale at a brief notice and
provide means the number which is really brought in the market. For perishable
commodities, like fish and fruits, supply and stock are an equivalent because they
can't be stored. The commodities which are not perishable can be held back, if prices
are not favorable and released in large quantities when prices are favorable. In
short, stock is potential supply.
Supply schedule
Supply schedule may be a tabular representation of various quantities of a
commodity supplied at varying prices. It represents the functional relationship
between quantity supplied and price. It is strictly prepared with regard to the worth.
The following imaginary supply schedule shows that as price rises, supply extends
and as price falls, supply contracts. Supply schedule is never absolute. It varies with
different prices and at different times. 0.75 paisa is that the minimum price to be
charged per unit because it equals cost of production. No producer would really
like to charge cost price to customers. Hence, supply is zero at this price. It is called
as reserve price.
Law of Supply
It states that “Other things remaining constant, the quantity supplied varies directly
with the price i.e. when the worth falls, supply will contract and when price rises,
BY: RAJESH KUMAR (ASSISTANT PROFESSOR) 53
MBA DEPT. MITRC, ALWAR
UNIT 2 B.Tech 3 SEM MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS AND FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING (MEFA)
supply will extend“. According to S.E.Thomas, “a rise in price tends to extend supply
and a fall in price tends to reduce it.” there's a functional relationship between
supply and price.
Mathematically S= F (P). The law of supply is based on a number of assumptions
Number of firms, the scale of production and the speed of production.
Availability of other inputs.
Techniques of production.
Cost of production.
Market prices of other related goods.
Climate and weather conditions.
2
Exceptions To The Law Of Supply
Generally supply expands with the increase in price and contract with the autumn in
price. But under certain exceptional circumstances, in spite of rise in price
supply might not expand or at a lower rate more quantity could also be sold. This
will happen under exceptional situation. In this case supply curve will slope
downward. Following are some of the exception of law of supply.
1. If the seller is badly in need of money, he will sell more even at lower prices.
2. If the seller wants to get rid of his products, then also he will sell more at
reduced rates.
3. When further heavy fall in price is anticipated the seller may become
panicky and sell more at a current lower price.
4. In case of auction, the auctioneer is not interested in maximizing profits by
selling more units at a higher price. Here, the price is determined by the
bidder while selling an item in an auction, the auctioner may have some other
motives to sell the product. Thus, an auction sale is an exception to the law of
supply.
supply means, more quantity is supplied at a better price and contraction in supply
means, less quantity is supplied at a lower cost .
This tendency are often represented through one supply curve. In this case, the
vendor are going to be moving either within the upward or downward
direction along side an equivalent supply curve.
Rising costs
If costs rise, less can be produced at any given price, and the supply curve will
shift to the left.
Falling costs
If costs fall, more can be produced, and the supply curve will shift to the right.
DETERMINANTS OF SUPPLY3
Apart from price, many factors bring about changes in supply. Among
them the important factors are .
Natural factors Favorable natural factors like good climatic conditions, timely,
adequate, well distributed rainfall results is higher production and expansion
in supply. On the other hand, adverse factors like bad weather conditions,
earthquakes, droughts, untimely, ill-distributed, inadequate rainfall, pests
etc., may cause decline in production and contraction techniques of
production An improvement in techniques of production and use of modern
highly sophisticated machines and equipments will go a long way in raising
the output and expansion in supply. On the contrary, primitive techniques are
responsible for lower output and hence lower supply.
Cost of production given the market price of a product, if the cost of
production rises due to higher wages, interest and price of inputs, supply
decreases. If the cost of production falls, on account of lower wages, interest
and price of inputs, supply rises.
Prices of related goods If prices of related goods fall, the seller of a given
commodity offer more units in the market even though, the price of his
product has not gone up. Opposite will be the case when the price of related
goods rise.
Government policy When the government follows a positive policy, it
encourages production in the private sector. Consequently, supply expands.
For example granting of subsidies, development rebates, tax concession,
etc,. On the other hand, output and supply cripples when the government
adopts a negative policy. For example withdrawal of all concessions and
incentives, imposition of high taxes, introduction of controls and quota
system etc.
References:-
1. https://gurujionlinestudy.com/elasticitydemandstudymaterialnotes
mcomisemester/
2. https://businessjargons.com/elasticityofdemand.Html
3. Brickley. Managerial Economics & Organizational Architecture. Tata
McGraw-Hill.
LECTURE 11
SUPPLY FUNCTION, ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY
SUPPLY FUNCTION1
The law of supply and provide schedule explains only the direct relationship
between price and provide . Mathematically S = f (P). Both analyses the impact of
change in price on quantity supplied. Supply of a product, apart from price change
also depend upon many factors. When we analyze the influence of these factors on
supply, supply schedule will be converted into supply function.
Supply function may be a comprehensive one because it analyses the causes for
changes in supply during a detailed manner. Mathematically a supply function can
be represented in the following manners.
Sx = f (Pf, T, Cp,Gp,N………etc)
Where ,
T = Technology
Cp = cost of production
Gp = Government policy
ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY2
5. Kinds and nature of markets -If the vendor is selling his product in
several markets, supply tends to be elastic in anybody of the market because, a
fall within the price in one market will induce him to sell in another market. Again,
if he's producing several sorts of goods and may switch easily from one to a
different , then each of his products are going to be elastic in supply.
7. Number of sellers: Supply tends to become more elastic if there are more
sellers freely selling their products.
8. Prices of related goods: A firm can charge a better price for its products, if
prices of other products are higher.
9. Goals of the firm: If the vendor is proud of small output, supply tends to be
inelastic and vice-versa.
3
Types of elasticity of supply
Perfectly elastic supply
Supply is claimed to be perfectly elastic when a small change in price results
in immeasurable Changes in supply. Hence supply curve would be a
horizontal or parallel line to OX axis.
References:-
1. https://gurujionlinestudy.com/elasticitydemandstudymaterialnotes
mcomisemester/
2. https://businessjargons.com/elasticityofdemand.Html
3. Brickley. Managerial Economics & Organizational Architecture. Tata
McGraw-Hill.