Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Firmly based on data from international social surveys, this volume provides a
varied and fascinating overview of European environmental perceptions, attitudes
and actions. In applying insightful interpretations on a rich collection of avail-
able data, it fills a major gap in our understanding of how Europeans think and
act about environment. Moreover, the contributions to the book represent a truly
European-wide set of analytical angles to the social dimensions of environment.
Highly recommended, both as an indispensable resource for further scholarly
research, and as a source of inspiration in grasping the complex dynamics of citi-
zen environmental concern.
Dr. C.S.A. (Kris) van Koppen, Associate Professor
Environmental Policy at Wageningen University and
former Chair of the Environment & Society Research
Network of the European Sociological Association
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The empirical comparative nature of the contributions is enabled by data from the
International Social Survey Programme (ISSP).
List of figures ix
List of tables xii
Notes on contributors xiv
Foreword: a brief history of sociological research on
environmental concern xix
RILEY E. DUNLAP
PART I
Reconsidering environmental threats and risks 11
PART II
Personal activist profiles in Europe 89
PART III
Exploring European green mindsets and behaviours 155
Index 243
Figures
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Branko Ančić holds bachelor and doctoral degrees from the University of Zagreb.
He is a post-doctoral fellow at the Institute for Social Research in Zagreb,
Centre for Research in Social Inequalities and Sustainability. He has been a
member of the national team implementing the International Social Survey
Programme (ISSP) in Croatia. His scientific and research interests include
sociology of religion, sociology of health and sociology of sustainable devel-
opment. His publications include an analysis of atheism and non-religiosity
in Europe (Oxford Handbook of Atheism, Oxford University Press, 2014), an
exploration of connection between religion and health (Sociologija i prostor,
2011), religion in south-east Europe (in Hannapi, H. South-East Europe in
Evolution, Routledge, 2014) and interpretation of degrowth attitudes in Europe
(Teorija in praksa, 2015).
Aistė Balžekienė is Associate Professor and Sociology Research Group
Coordinator at the Institute of Public Policy and Administration, Kaunas
University of Technology, Lithuania. Her research interests include compara-
tive research on risk perception and risk discourse, social aspects of technolog-
ical and environmental risks, the social impact of technologies, environmental
sociology and social research methodology. She is involved in various scien-
tific projects researching risk and security governance, environmental compen-
sation. She is a member of the national team implementing International Social
Survey Programme (ISSP) in Lithuania.
Iosif Botetzagias is an Assistant Professor of Environmental Politics and Policy
at the Department of the Environment, University of the Aegean, Greece.
His research interests include pro-environmental behaviours, environmental
non-governmental organizations, Green parties and environmental policy
and management, on which he has published several book chapters and arti-
cles in scientific journals such as Environmental Politics, Environment &
Behaviour, Global Environmental Politics and the Journal of Environmental
Policy & Management.
Jean-Paul Bozonnet is Associate Researcher in Sociology at PACTE-CNRS
(Politiques publiques, ACtion politique, TErritoires; National Center for
Notes on contributors xv
First, a debate over whether or not Heberlein’s results suggested the emer-
gence of a ‘land ethic’, as he claimed (Dunlap and Van Liere 1977; Heberlein
1977), clarified the distinction between human and environmental conse-
quences of environmental behaviours – a distinction credited with stimulating
the search for ‘biospheric’ along with more traditional ‘egoistic’ and ‘altruis-
tic’ values (Stern, Dietz and Kalof 1993; Stern and Dietz 1994). This tripartite
distinction has now become well-established and widely employed in efforts
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generated (Lowe and Rüdig 1986). However, results of the HOP directly chal-
lenged the PM values thesis, as on many dimensions of environmental concern
citizens of poor nations were found to be more concerned than their wealthy
counterparts (Dunlap, Gallup and Gallup 1993; Brechin and Kempton 1994;
Dunlap and Mertig 1995), leading to a major debate (with six contributions)
over the role of PM values in generating international environmental concern in
a March 1977 ‘Forum’ in Social Science Quarterly. Related debates continued
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References
Best, Henning and Jochen Mayerl. 2013. ‘Values, Beliefs, Attitudes: An Empirical Study
on the Structure of Environmental Concern and Recycling Participation.’ Social Science
Quarterly 94:691–714.
Brand, Karl-Werner. 1997. ‘Environmental Consciousness and Behaviour: The Greening
of Lifestyles.’ In M. Redclift and G. Woodgate (eds.), The International Handbook of
Environmental Sociology. pp. 204–217. Cheltenham, UK: Edgar Elgar.
Brechin, Steven R. 1999. ‘Objective Problems, Subjective Values, and Global Environmen
talism: Evaluating the Postmaterialist Argument and Challenging a New Explanation.’
Social Science Quarterly 80:793–809.
xxiv Riley E. Dunlap
deGroot, Judith I. M. and Linda Steg. 2008. ‘Value Orientations to Explain Beliefs Related
to Environmental Significant Behavior: How to Measure Egoistic, Altruistic, and
Biospheric Value Orientations.’ Environment and Behavior 40:330–354.
Diekmann, A. and P. Schmidt. 1998. ‘Special Section: Testing Rational Choice Models of
Behavior Involving Environmental Issues.’ Rationality and Society 10:77–78.
Dietz, Thomas, Paul C. Stern and Gregory A. Guagnano. 1998. ‘Social Structural and
Social Psychological Bases of Environmental Concern.’ Environment and Behavior
30:450–471.
Dunlap, Riley E. 2008. ‘The NEP Scale: From Marginality to Worldwide Use.’ Journal of
Environmental Education 40:3–18.
Dunlap, Riley E. and Richard P. Gale. 1972. ‘Politics and Ecology: A Political Profile of
Student Eco-Activists.’ Youth and Society 3:379–397.
Dunlap, Riley E., George H. Gallup, Jr. and Alec M. Gallup. 1993. ‘Of Global Concern:
Results of the Health of the Planet Survey.’ Environment 35 (November):7–15, 33–39.
Dunlap, Riley E. and Robert Emmet Jones. 2002. ‘Environmental Concern: Conceptual
and Measurement Issues.’ In R.E. Dunlap and W. Michelson (eds.), Handbook of
Environmental Sociology. pp. 482–524. Westport, CT: Greenwood Press.
Dunlap, Riley E. and Angela G. Mertig. 1995. ‘Global Concern for the Environment: Is
Affluence a Prerequisite?’ Journal of Social Issues 51:121–137.
Dunlap, Riley E. and Rik Scarce. 1991. ‘The Polls – Poll Trends: Environmental Problems
and Protection.’ Public Opinion Quarterly 55:713–734.
Dunlap, Riley E. and Kent D. Van Liere. 1977. ‘Land Ethic or Golden Rule.’ Journal of
Social Issues 33:200–207.
Dunlap, Riley E. and Richard York. 2008. ‘The Globalization of Environmental Concern
and the Limits of the Post-Materialist Explanation: Evidence from Four Cross-National
Surveys.’ Sociological Quarterly 49:529–563.
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Evidence across Nations and Time.’ European Sociological Review 29:910–922.
Franzen, Axel. 2003. ‘Environmental Attitudes in International Comparison: An Analysis
of the ISSP Surveys 1993 and 2000.’ Social Science Quarterly 84:297–308.
Franzen, Axel and Retro Meyer. 2010. ‘Environmental Attitudes in Cross-National
Perspective: A Multilevel Analysis of the ISSP 1993 and 2000.’ European Sociological
Review 26:219–234.
Givens, Jennifer E. and Andrew K. Jorgenson. 2013. ‘Individual Environmental Concern
in the World Polity: A Multilevel Analysis.’ Social Science Research 42:418–431.
Foreword: A brief history of research xxv
Hadler, Markus and Max Haller. 2011. ‘Global Activism and Nationally Driven Recycling:
The Influence of World Society and National Contexts on Public and Private
Environmental Behavior.’ International Sociology 26:315–345.
Hamilton, Lawrence C. and Kei Saito. 2015. ‘A Four-Party View of US Environmental
Concern.’ Environmental Politics 24:212–227.
Heberlein, Thomas A. 1972. ‘The Land Ethic Realized: Some Social Psychological
Explanations for Changing Environmental Attitudes.’ Journal of Social Issues 28:79–87.
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Murch, Arvin W. 1971. ‘Public Concern for Environmental Pollution.’ Public Opinion
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Nationally: Values, the Theory of Planned Behavior, and Value-Belief-Norm Theory.’
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This book is the result of close cooperation with the activities of the European
Sociological Association (ESA) research network RN 12, ‘Environment and
Society’.
The co-authors of the book thank the national teams implementing the Inter
national Social Survey Programme (ISSP) in their countries, for their scientific
rigour and methodological accuracy. In addition, we would like to thank the draft-
ing teams of the ISSP Environment modules, implemented in 1993, 2000 and
2010, for crafting the tools for measuring environmental commitment.
Introduction
How green are Green Europeans?
Matthias Gross and Audronė Telešienė
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it also seeks to bridge the gap (still considerable, especially in Europe) between
forms of methodologically driven empiricism on the one hand, and rather data-
free theory development on the other. Rather like the 1970s and 1980s in North
America, we still have different research communities spread throughout Europe
addressing public environmental attitudes without drawing in any significant way
on current sociological theory (cf. Buttel and Gijswijt 2004).
The questions addressed by the contributing authors to this volume include the
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following:
The focus is on attitudes and behaviours that are found among the general (non-
scientific) public, and on the differences that are rooted in diverse cultures and
national societies. One important overall issue addressed is that while many
European countries are widely considered to be ‘green’, or to have an advanced
level of environmental awareness, the question yet to be answered is, ‘Exactly
how green are Green Europeans?’ The book presents a variety of unique data-
driven comparative studies and is divided into three sections (see below). The
empirical comparative nature of the texts is enabled crucially by data from the
ISSP. The ISSP is an academic-led and globally coordinated attempt to conduct
comparative research on relevant topics. Environmental attitudes and behaviours
have been addressed by ISSP questionnaires three times: in 1993, 2000 and 2010.
A more detailed description of the programme can be found at www.issp.org.
the NEP. But in terms of developmental theory, this is a narrow, uni-linear under-
standing of social change, which assumes that all the different European societies
will somehow follow the same developmental trajectory. Some European soci-
eties have never exhibited the human exemptionalist state of mind. Indeed, it
might well be that some societies are only now beginning to display something
akin to the HEP. This being so, we need to look for social change models other
than HEP–NEP; ones that are grounded instead in empirical data and interpreta-
tions rooted in European cultural contexts. The task of identifying the multiple
faces of European environmentalism is dogged by a lack of comparative studies
based on reliable empirical data. The task is made even more difficult given that
environmental sociology has developed in very different ways in the different
regions of Europe.
Much sociological research on the environment conducted in Europe since the
1970s has focused on conceptualizing the environmental movement as part of
new social movements, coupled with new forms of environmental awareness, as
well as new behaviour and new environmental policy (Brand 2010). This has
often been followed up – especially in the UK, the Netherlands, Scandinavia and
German-speaking countries – by efforts to study lifestyles and consumption pat-
terns. Later, in the 1990s, ecological modernization (originally a label for a policy
strategy in Germany; cf. Huber 1982) was developed by some sociologists as a
new theory of industrial greening (Mol et al. 2009).
As Hellmuth Lange (2011) has argued, France not only has the longest European
tradition in sociology (from Auguste Comte to Emile Durkheim, of course) but
also – thanks to the influence of its Jacobin traditions – a relatively specific politi-
cal culture: on the one hand, individualistic, republican and egalitarian; and on the
other, centralized and elitist. It is in this context that the sociological debate about
the relationship between nature and society started in the late 1960s, among intel-
lectuals such as Serge Moscovici, Henri Lefebvre, Alain Touraine, Edgar Morin
und André Gortz (Lange 2011: 28). Ecological issues, however, were discussed
mainly in response to efforts by the French government of the time to ‘modernize’
French agriculture, which was considered to be too ‘small-scale’. Not surprisingly,
the main input into this debate came from rural sociology (sociologie rurale). The
rather conservative outlook of rural (environmental) sociology in France, how-
ever, did not foster any comparative research on a European scale. The situation in
Germany was not much better (cf. Lange 2002).
In Central and Eastern-European countries (CEEs), where the sociological
imagination developed behind the Iron Curtain of socialist states, voices in the
4 Matthias Gross and Audronė Telešienė
field of environmental sociology long remained silent. Then, in the late 1980s,
processes of national renaissance and perestroika in CEEs became hot topics
for the international sociological community. The environmental legacies of
communist-state-planned economies, combined with surprisingly high levels
of environmental public awareness, as well as growing numbers of members of
environmental movements, became a focus for environmental sociologists, not
only within CEEs but also in Western and Northern Europe and the USA (e.g.
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Waller and Millard, 1992; Taylor, 1995). As Dunlap (2011) notes, these develop-
ments contributed at that time to the revitalization of the field of environmental
sociology. Since the 1990s a range of topics have been elaborated within envi-
ronmental sociology in the CEE region, including research on environmental
movements, environmental behaviours and environmental awareness (e.g. Lang-
Pickvance et al. 1997, Rinkevicius 2000, Glinski 2001, Jehlicka 2001), green
parties and green voting behaviour (e.g. Yanitsky 2001, Podoba 1998), risk per-
ception and acceptability (e.g. Balžekienė 2009) and sustainable development
(e.g. Tysiachniouk 2000). Such studies, along with more recent developments in
environmental sociology in CEEs, are generally based on empirical research, but
there is a lack of comparative approaches (apart from a few exceptions, such as
Domazet and Jerolimov 2014).
Similarly, environmental sociology in Germany in the 1980s was lacking in
contributions to cross-cultural and comparative research, at least in comparison to
North-American approaches. Nevertheless, in 1986 two influential works appeared:
Niklas Luhmann’s Ecological Communication, and Ulrich Beck’s Risk Society.
Luhmann’s systems theoretical approach derived from the sociology of the 1950s
and 1960s, and was based largely on the work of Talcott Parsons (1901–1979).
Parsons (1951, 1977) is very clear in arguing that human action is bounded not just
by cultural constraints and norms, but also by its physical environment. Parsons’s
ideal type model (generally known as the AGIL model) depicts the social system
and its subsystems as a fourfold table consisting of: (1) adaptive function; (2) goal
attainment; (3) integrative function; and (4) latency. The adaptive function is con-
cerned with society’s subsistence production and hence with people’s relationship
to their physical environment, including natural resources and climatic conditions.
In Parsons’s ‘Theory of Action’, human action is unquestionably bounded by the
natural environment, as well as by cultural constraints of other (human) members
of society. Societies continually respond to the limits set by their natural environ-
ment, evolving in complexity and capacity so as to transcend these limits.
Parsons’s model has been criticized on different levels. In particular, it has
been argued that his theory is not able to explain radical changes in social life, and
that its empirical potential is severely limited owing to a high level of abstraction.
However, since the 1970s there has been a revival of interest in Parsonian sociol-
ogy, especially in Germany, and linked generally to the figure of Niklas Luhmann
(1927–1998). Unlike Parsons, Luhmann’s notion of ecological communication
leads us yet further away from actual nature; in fact, it can be said that Luhmann’s
approach is located more within the sociology of environmental communication
Introduction: how green are Green Europeans? 5
than in the field of environmental sociology. Luhmann proceeds from the notion
of society being differentiated according to functional systems: religion, the
economy, the arts, law, and science – but, interestingly enough, not the physical
world. ‘It should be noted,’ Luhmann writes, ‘that [ecological communication]
is a phenomenon that is exclusively internal to society’ (Luhmann 1989: 28). In
his theory, actions are valued in terms of their meaning for the sender and the
receiver. Hence it is systemic communications and their specific codes that are
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These reflect some of the key dimensions of environmentalism, including the major
sets of analytic concepts.
show that European populations are not homogeneous with regard to an aware-
ness of environmental threats, environmental efficacy and the willingness to pay
for environmental goods. They thus cast doubts on any such notion of a uniform
‘green’ European identity.
The second part of the book opens with Jean Paul Bozonnet’s look at envi-
ronmental activism in different European cultures. The author views activism
through the lens of national culture and introduces a theory of the ‘cultural hys-
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teresis effect’. He shows how cultural and social structures carried over from
the past might influence the current ‘faces’ of environmentalism in Europe.
The chapter also includes a discussion of the relationship between religion and
environmental activism. Eglė Butkevičienė and Vaidas Morkevičius further the
discussion by providing a cross-national comparative and fuzzy-set qualitative
comparative analysis of public involvement in pro-environmental groups in
European countries. They demonstrate that the affluence of a country and high
levels of environmentally friendly behaviour are uniformly frequent features of
environmental group membership in Europe. Iosif Botetzagias, Nikoleta Jones
and Chrysovalantis Malesios analyse the profiles of Europeans who engage in
either one of the three distinct public-sphere pro-environmental behaviours: sign-
ing a petition, contributing money and demonstrating for the environment. They
provide an empirically grounded description of a typical European petitioner,
contributor or protester, and also examine temporal variations between the three
pro-environmental behaviours.
In Chapter 7, which opens section three of the book, Mladen Domazet and
Branko Ančić explore the extent to which environmentally motivated degrowth
potential exists among European populations. The reader will find some support
here for a green European identity. The authors argue convincingly that what
they call ‘prosperity environmentalism’ is a characteristic European phenom-
enon. Yet the reader will also find that regional differences within Europe are
considerable, with Central and Eastern-European populations being less prepared
to make personal sacrifices for the sake of the environment. Jochen Mayerl then
extends the analysis of environmental concern to look at European populations
in a comparative global perspective. In doing so, he also presents testing results
of measurement equivalence, and includes a thorough discussion and validation
of cross-cultural comparisons of environmental concern measures as taken from
ISSP 2010. The chapter will be of huge value to those interested in the correct-
ness and validity of comparative research. Leena Haanpää in Chapter 9 takes a
youth-oriented approach, presenting a cross-national study on environmental con-
cern and behaviours among young people in Europe. The author employs theories
of planned behaviour and post-materialism. In Chapter 10 João Guerra, Luísa
Schmidt and Susana Valente discuss the impact of economic crisis on sustainabil-
ity attitudes. They discuss how competing narratives – those of unlimited growth
and sustainable development – are reflected in the attitudes of Europeans (as well
as other populations around the world) under the pressure of economic scarcity.
This chapter is valuable in its comparative data on different regions of the world:
Introduction: how green are Green Europeans? 9
North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe and Southern
Europe. Special attention is paid to the example of Portugal.
By exploring forms of environmental behaviour and attitudes in a comparative
perspective and, along the way, raising the question of how ‘green’ Europeans
really are in comparison to other parts of the word – and what ‘green’ may mean
in the first place – these chapters constitute an invitation and an encouragement
to join in the long tradition of research on pro-environmental behaviour and prac-
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tices, this time with a clear European focus. With Europe undergoing massive
political, cultural, and economic transformation, the ecological aspects of these
changes deserve to be addressed more pivotally by sociologists.
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nuomonės tyrimo metodologinės prielaidos [Risk perception: sociological concep-
tualization and methodological approaches to public opinion research]. FilosoFija.
sociologija 20 (4): 217–226.
Beck, Ulrich (1992 [1986]): Risk Society: Towards a New Modernity. London: Sage.
Beck, Ulrich (2006): Living in the World Risk Society. Economy and Society 35 (3): 329–345.
Brand, Karl-Werner (2010): German Environmentalism: Still Feeding on Its Romantic,
Anti-Modern Heritage? Nature + Culture 5 (2): 209–226.
Buttel, Frederick and August Gijswijt (2004): Emerging Trends in Environmental
Sociology. In: Blau, Judith R., ed., The Blackwell Companion to Sociology. New York:
Blackwell, 43–57.
Domazet, Mladen and Dinka Marinović Jerolimov, eds. (2014): Sustainability Perspectives
from the European Semi-periphery. Zagreb: Institute for Social Research in Zagreb.
Dunlap, Riley E. (2011): Aktuelle Entwicklungen in der nordamerikanischen
Umweltsoziologie [Current Developments in North American Environmental Socio
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Dunlap, Riley E. and Kent D. van Liere (1978): The ‘New Environmental Paradigm’: A
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Part I
Introduction
The German sociologist Ulrich Beck (1986: 48) posited that some environmental
threats are distributed rather equally within societies and independent of clas-
sic social inequalities such as income and class. What Beck had in mind were
new environmental threats such as nuclear power and air pollution that cannot be
stopped by borders, social inequalities or privileges. His view was corroborated
by the nuclear incident in Chernobyl, which happened shortly after his book was
published. Henceforward, the discussion of the democratization of environmental
risks dominated over approaches focusing on environmental justice, pointing out
that there is a clear connection between the social position and exposure to certain
environmental hazards and threats (Kraemer 2008).
The presence of different environmental hazards and threats can differ
geographically, both within societies and between societies, with some being
related to the natural distribution of environmental qualities and others to social
factors, such as economic development, type of industries and political meas-
ures (see Kraemer 2014; Lutzenhiser & Hackett 1993). At the country level,
for example, we can see that the impact on the environment is usually greater
in more developed countries (York, Eugene & Dietz 2003). However, we also
need to take into account that not all threats increase in the same way with
economic development, and that societies can implement different measures to
offset environmental impacts (Kraemer 2011). Thus, even within countries, we
can observe the presence of different threats, depending on the area of residency
such as suburbs, industrial zones, etc., and more generally between urban and
rural areas (Grant et al. 2010; Lichter & Brown 2011).
In addition, we also need to ask which threats are actually perceived.
Many environmental hazards only influence an individual’s life very indi-
rectly, through complex social and ecological distribution mechanisms that are
far removed from everyday experiences (Kraemer 2008). And even when a
particular threat is assessed, research focusing on the perception of risks has
shown that the perception of the same risk varies between social groups and
experts (Keller et al. 2012; Slimak & Dietz 2006; Slovic 1987). In addition,
14 Markus Hadler and Klaus Kraemer
are perceived as a threat for the respondents’ life, or as a threat for their family.
Environmentally damaging behaviours of our respondents that are often referred
to as ‘environmental risks’ are not addressed.
This introduction is followed by a brief discussion of natural and social aspects
of the distribution of environmental good and bad. Consequently, we discuss the
individual-level determinants of the perception of environmental threats. The
data and methods section introduces the 2010 ISSP data, our dependent and inde-
pendent variables, as well as the analysis strategy. The results section starts with
an overview of threat perception at the country level. This is followed by an
analysis of country-level and individual determinants of environmental-threat
perception. The discussion and conclusion section summarizes our main find-
ings, and concludes that the threat perception depends on both contextual and
individual characteristics.
in everyday activities such as cooking, for example, has a major impact on low
household air quality, whereas this form of pollution is of little importance in
more developed societies (Yale University 2014).
The fourth dimension refers to political interventions and the different ways
environmental hazards are addressed. Proponents of ecological modernization
have suggested that increasing development can be used to address environmen-
tal threats and implement more environmentally sustainable means of production
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in institutions. For example, individuals are less likely to perceive a threat if they
have a strong attachment to the area where they live, if they think that they are
able to handle a threat, and when they trust the agencies that are responsible for
dealing with the environmental hazard (see Bickerstaff 2004).
In contrast to their focus on psychological determinants of risk perceptions,
approaches such as that of the sociologist Ulrick Beck (1986) and the anthropolo-
gist Mary Douglas (Douglas 1992) focus rather on the impact of environmental
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determinants of the threat perception. Here, our expectation is that the per-
ception of different threats is influenced by environmental efficacy, as well as
different socio-demographic characteristics.
Social Survey Programme (ISSP Research Group 2012). This ISSP Environment
module includes 60 questions on environmental attitudes and behaviours, plus
a comprehensive set of background variables. The data was collected in a total
of 36 countries and is representative of the adult population of each country. A
first cumulative dataset including 32 countries was published by the German
data archive GESIS in 2012. We also added data from Australia, Iceland, the
Netherlands and Portugal – countries where the data was collected or submit-
ted after the official census date of ISSP. These additional four datasets were
published in 2014 and are available at GESIS (Arnalds & Sigurbjörns-Öldudóttir
2014; Evans 2014; Ganzeboom 2014; Vala & Ramos 2014).
Our dependent variable is the response to the following statement: ‘Here is
a list of some different environmental problems. Which problem, if any, affects
you and your family the most? 1) Air pollution, 2) Chemicals and pesticides,
3) Water shortage, 4) Water pollution, 5) Nuclear waste, 6) Domestic waste dis-
posal, 7) Climate change, 8) Genetically modified foods, 9) Using up our natural
resources, 10) None of these.’ Respondents had to choose a single item.
The results section starts with an overview of the perception of these problems
in different countries, based on the unweighted data. Subsequently, the results of a
correspondence analysis of the different responses to these threats in our countries
are presented. These results indicate four distinct patterns of threat perception: a
pattern around ‘water issues’, such as water shortage; a pattern around ‘everyday
problems’, such as domestic waste disposal; a pattern of ‘high risks’, such as
nuclear power; and a distinct pole of ‘None’ of the mentioned threats considered
important. Using these patterns as a guide, the initial list of different threats was
recoded into these four different patterns and used as a dependent variable in the
subsequent analyses.
These analyses start firstly at the county level and consider the correlations
among threat perceptions, societal affluence and EU membership, in order to
test our hypotheses on the association of wealth, political interventions and risk
perceptions. Social affluence is measured by GDP in current USD, (data source:
World Bank 2015), and EU membership is defined as being a member country at
the time of the survey (see Table 1.1).
Secondly, multinomial regressions are used to test our hypotheses on the
influence of environmental efficacy as well as different socio-demographic charac-
teristics. Dependent variables are the four different patterns of threat perceptions.
Independent variables are: gender (female = 1); age (in years), education (years in
school); subjective social position (low to high, on a 10-point scale); marital status
18 Markus Hadler and Klaus Kraemer
‘Many of the claims about environmental threats are exaggerated’; ‘I find it hard to
know whether the way I live is helpful or harmful to the environment’. The mean
value across these five items was calculated for each respondent, based on their
responses to the 5-point scales, ranging from strongly agree to strongly disagree.
Air Chemicals Water Water Nuclear Domestic Climate Genetically Using up None of N
pollution and shortage pollution waste waste change modified our natural these
pesticides disposal foods resources
Argentina AR 16.7% 7.4% 11.2% 25.6% 2.1% 14.1% 9.6% 4.0% 7.4% 2.0% 1,063
Australia AU 9.8% 12.7% 16.7% 4.6% 1.3% 9.9% 11.6% 11.6% 9.6% 12.0% 1,764
Austria* AT 16.4% 7.7% 1.4% 6.5% 2.7% 12.1% 20.7% 15.3% 5.6% 11.6% 967
Belgium* BE 36.9% 10.3% 2.7% 7.5% 1.6% 14.6% 9.0% 2.4% 6.5% 8.5% 1,030
Bulgaria* BG 24.3% 10.3% 8.1% 12.5% 2.3% 15.6% 8.1% 10.6% 2.8% 5.3% 941
Canada CA 17.5% 17.6% 2.6% 11.1% 1.6% 10.9% 12.7% 9.3% 9.1% 7.5% 910
Chile CL 27.8% 9.3% 10.0% 10.2% 7.1% 13.1% 8.3% 4.2% 5.7% 4.4% 1,416
Croatia HR 13.4% 11.7% 6.0% 15.3% 4.5% 12.5% 11.2% 12.9% 8.9% 3.7% 1,167
Czech Republic* CZ 29.4% 8.8% 2.9% 5.7% 3.3% 14.3% 10.1% 3.7% 5.8% 16.0% 1,324
Denmark* DK 16.7% 22.8% 2.1% 7.3% 1.0% 8.0% 19.1% 10.4% 8.6% 4.1% 1,049
France* FR 14.3% 24.4% 4.4% 11.1% 5.1% 11.5% 7.4% 9.4% 10.1% 2.4% 2,060
Finland* FI 15.4% 12.9% 3.6% 16.8% 2.6% 13.5% 12.8% 5.8% 7.5% 9.0% 1,069
Germany* DE 15.4% 9.1% 1.6% 3.1% 6.5% 5.1% 20.3% 13.3% 10.8% 14.7% 1,245
Iceland IS 19.4% 8.1% 3.2% 4.2% .6% 13.4% 7.1% 11.9% 8.6% 23.7% 666
Israel IL 24.9% 5.9% 20.7% 10.5% 2.2% 9.9% 5.5% 7.4% 6.2% 6.8% 1,176
Japan JP 12.7% 14.1% 4.1% 6.1% 2.2% 15.9% 28.0% 5.4% 7.7% 3.8% 1,201
South Korea KR 20.8% 12.3% 5.2% 13.2% .8% 21.6% 10.5% 12.3% 3.4% .1% 1,489
Latvia* LV 15.1% 11.8% 2.0% 14.6% 4.4% 9.5% 6.6% 22.4% 5.2% 8.3% 905
Lithuania* LT 20.0% 13.9% 0.4% 10.7% 3.5% 10.2% 7.3% 28.8% 2.2% 3.0% 935
Mexico MX 17.9% 7.5% 19.0% 20.8% 5.0% 11.5% 12.0% 2.8% 2.3% 1.2% 1,596
Netherlands* NL 30.4% 12.2% 2.5% 4.6% 2.4% 7.9% 10.0% 8.7% 10.1% 11.3% 1,259
(continued)
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Air Chemicals Water Water Nuclear Domestic Climate Genetically Using up None of N
pollution and shortage pollution waste waste change modified our natural these
pesticides disposal foods resources
New Zealand NZ 8.0% 16.2% 6.2% 12.9% .6% 17.4% 9.0% 7.8% 7.2% 14.8% 1,068
Norway NO 23.3% 6.3% 4.8% 5.0% 2.2% 11.1% 14.7% 5.4% 8.3% 18.8% 1,216
Philippines PH 17.3% 5.8% 13.8% 8.8% 4.0% 13.8% 20.2% 3.8% 8.2% 4.4% 1,163
Portugal* PT 28.7% 10.1% 7.0% 12.5% 1.8% 8.4% 7.3% 8.1% 5.5% 10.6% 978
Russia RU 18.0% 7.0% 5.2% 20.3% 6.3% 10.3% 10.9% 11.4% 8.0% 2.6% 1,532
Slovak Rep.* SK 21.1% 11.7% 3.2% 8.3% 3.1% 19.6% 8.4% 3.5% 4.2% 16.8% 1,090
Slovenia* SI 18.6% 15.3% 2.7% 14.6% 2.4% 15.0% 7.8% 12.6% 2.6% 8.3% 1,036
South-Africa ZA 17.0% 3.4% 25.0% 17.3% 2.1% 11.4% 8.6% 2.5% 2.8% 9.9% 2,965
Spain* ES 19.2% 8.5% 10.8% 9.7% 5.5% 8.4% 15.4% 9.0% 9.6% 4.0% 2,437
Sweden* SE 22.7% 9.8% 2.1% 12.5% 2.7% 7.0% 13.0% 13.3% 7.3% 9.7% 1,011
Switzerland CH 22.7% 7.5% 2.9% 4.8% 12.5% 2.8% 14.6% 6.5% 10.2% 15.3% 1,161
Taiwan TW 23.4% 16.2% 5.6% 19.2% .2% 8.7% 11.0% 4.9% 5.4% 5.5% 2,197
Turkey TR 14.9% 8.7% 7.0% 10.9% 4.3% 6.1% 8.7% 22.3% 12.1% 4.9% 1,566
United Kingdom* GB 14.0% 4.9% 4.5% 2.7% 1.9% 26.9% 11.0% 5.5% 13.0% 15.6% 783
United States US 24.5% 13.0% 5.8% 10.1% 1.2% 5.3% 6.9% 10.8% 12.3% 10.0% 1,224
*2010 EU members 20.9% 12.4% 4.1% 9.4% 3.4% 11.7% 11.6% 10.3% 7.3% 8.8% 20,119
All countries 19.5% 10.9% 7.7% 11.4% 3.3% 11.5% 11.5% 9.0% 7.2% 8.0% 46,659
Perception of environmental threats 21
University (2014), air quality is indeed excellent in Australia and New Zealand,
and rather poor in the Netherlands and Belgium compared to other European
countries. At the same time, however, the poor air quality in South Korea and the
good air quality in Norway are not mirrored in the threat perception of the general
public in these two countries.
To further scrutinize the relationship between the mentioning of different
threats in different countries, we conducted a correspondence analysis using
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the data in Table 1.1. This analysis resulted in three distinct dimensions (see
Figures 1.1 and 1.2 for details). Dimension 1 can be described as ‘water issues
versus all other problems’. Dimension 2 distinguishes between respondents who
said that none of the threats affects them or their families and respondents who
mentioned a threat. Dimension 3 differs between high risks such as nuclear
waste, genetically modified food, using up of resources and climate change and
2.0
1.5
Other problems vs. None of these (Dimension 2)
None of these
IS NO
1.0
CZ GB
CH
SK
DE
0.5 NL BE
AT AU ZA
Climate change Air pollution PT PH IL Water shortage
CL
Using up our natural US NZ
0.0 Nuclear waste
SE CA JP FI ES Domestic waste dispo
BG
DK SI MX
TW
AR
−0.5 Chemicals and pestic TR RU
HR
Genetically modified LV FR KR Water pollution
LT
−1.0
−1.5
−1.5 −1.0 −0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
Other problems vs. Water issues (Dimension 1)
2.0
1.5
Everyday problems vs. High risks (Dimension 3)
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1.0 TR
CH Nuclear waste
DE AU
Genetically modified Water shortage
0.5 ES
LT Using up our natural
LV Climate change PH IL
ZA
AT
SE US
HR RU MX
IS
0.0 None of these
CL
DK NL FR NO
JP GB PT Water pollution
CA BG
AR
Chemicals and pestic
Air pollution
NZ FI
−0.5 SI
CZ Domestic waste dispo
SK
KR
TW
BE
−1.0
−1.0 −0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
Other problems vs. Water issues (Dimension 1)
everyday problems such as air pollution, chemicals and pesticides, and domestic
waste disposal.
The first dimension – water issues versus all other threats – resonates well with
our initial distinction between the natural and social distribution of environmental
good and bad, given that water issues are often related to natural circumstances
such as climate zones, whereas threats such as waste disposal and nuclear
power are more related to human interventions and are thus socially produced.
Furthermore, Dimension 3 distinguishes between different socially produced
problems: everyday problems such as waste disposal versus high risks. Using the
dimensions of Slovic et al.’s (1981) psychometric studies, high risks are the risks
that are unknown, dreadful and potentially affect the entire population, whereas
problems such as domestic waste disposal reflect the opposite pole.
Perception of environmental threats 23
issues’; 2) air pollution, chemicals and pesticides and domestic waste disposal
become ‘everyday problems’; 3) nuclear waste, climate change, genetically modi-
fied food, and use of natural resources become ‘high risks’; and 4) respondents
who answered ‘none of these problems’ become the residual group.
Table 1.2 presents the correlations among the country-level prevalence of the
substantive threat categories water issues, everyday problems and high risks and
the societal characteristics, affluence and EU membership. It shows that water
issues are perceived less often in more affluent societies and in EU member
countries. Everyday problems are named more often in EU countries, but are
not associated significantly with affluence, whereas the opposite applies to high
risks. It is interesting to see that high risks, such as genetically modified food and
climate change, are perceived more in more affluent societies, whereas EU mem-
ber countries tend to select everyday problems. This is in line with the idea that
EU has stronger regulation regarding many of these high-risk topics than other
equally affluent countries, and this therefore underscores the idea of the influence
of policymakers.
Table 1.3 shows the results of several multinomial regressions that estimate
the effects of various individual-level characteristics on the selection of the four
different threat categories. The model ‘All countries’ covers the entire, pooled
dataset. We then show the results for three countries that present extreme cases
for each dimension of the correspondence analysis: South Africa as the country
that lies next to the water issues pole; Germany as a country close to the high-
risks pole; and Belgium as a country that is close to the endpoint of the everyday
Education 0.04 0.46 1.04 0.10 0.02 1.11 0.04 0.36 1.04
Subj. position 0.02 0.86 1.02 -0.11 0.18 0.89 -0.17 0.08 0.84
Partner 0.15 0.68 1.16 -0.16 0.57 0.85 -0.19 0.55 0.83
Children 0.09 0.81 1.10 0.41 0.15 1.51 0.10 0.76 1.10
Residency -0.16 0.26 0.85 -0.09 0.44 0.92 -0.21 0.09 0.81
Env. efficacy 0.22 0.33 1.25 0.52 0.00 1.68 0.57 0.01 1.77
South Intercept 1.65 0.00 0.82 0.09 -1.15 0.04
Africa Female 0.16 0.26 1.17 -0.07 0.61 0.93 -0.17 0.29 0.85
Age -0.01 0.21 0.99 -0.01 0.24 0.99 -0.01 0.03 0.99
Education 0.03 0.10 1.03 0.04 0.06 1.04 0.05 0.04 1.05
Subj. position -0.11 0.00 0.89 -0.03 0.47 0.97 -0.01 0.79 0.99
Partner 0.18 0.21 1.20 0.28 0.06 1.33 0.40 0.02 1.49
Children -0.11 0.45 0.90 -0.17 0.25 0.84 -0.15 0.36 0.86
Residency -0.23 0.00 0.79 0.02 0.72 1.02 0.16 0.01 1.17
Env. efficacy 0.31 0.00 1.37 0.11 0.26 1.12 0.39 0.00 1.48
*Multinomial logistic regression with ‘none of these problems’ as reference category. Also included in ‘All countries’ model are fixed effects for each country.
Valid cases: 41,122 in all countries; 1,140 in Germany; 1,013 in Belgium; 2,847 in South Africa.
Source: ISSP 2010.
26 Markus Hadler and Klaus Kraemer
problems. Respondents who answered that none these problems affects them or
their family are used as a reference dimension.
In the entire sample ‘All countries’ water issues are mentioned more often
by women, by individuals who see themselves in lower social positions, and
by individuals with a partner and with a strong environmental self-efficacy.
Everyday problems are named by women, older individuals, better educated
respondents, individuals who classify themselves as socially lower, respond-
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ents with a partner and children, as well as urban dwellers and individuals
with a strong self-efficacy. High risks, finally, are perceived more often by
women and respondents who are better educated, see themselves in lower
social positions, have a partner, live in a city and have a strong environmental
self-efficacy. All of these effects need to be interpreted with regard to the ref-
erence dimension of ‘no risk selected’. Therefore, we can summarize that it is
women, respondents with a partner, in subjective lower social positions, and
older individuals that tend to mention a threat. In addition, we observe further
differences as urban dwellers and educated individuals tend to select the two
socially produced issues, while less well educated respondents and rural dwell-
ers choose the water problems.
Consider the effects in our three selected countries. In Germany, water
issues are named by women, while everyday problems, as well as high risks, are
selected by individuals with a strong environmental self-efficacy. In Belgium,
water issues are selected by older respondents; everyday problems are chosen
by older respondents, as well as better educated individuals and those with a
strong self-efficacy; and high risks are named by older respondents and indi-
viduals with a strong self-efficacy. In South Africa, water issues are mentioned
by individuals in (subjectively) lower social positions, rural dwellers and
respondents with a strong self-efficacy; everyday problems are selected evenly
by all respondents; and high risks by respondents who are younger and better
educated, live in urban areas, have a partner and are characterized by a strong
environmental self-efficacy.
Overall, the largest number of significant effects can be found in South Africa,
with the fewest effects in Germany. Only the effects of environmental self-efficacy
regarding the perception of high risks are consistent across all countries, which
points towards the importance of agency. As for the social-demographic vari-
ables, only a few had an impact in the European countries, Germany and Belgium.
This homogeneity suggests that the distribution of environmental good and bad
is more similar in these two European countries than in South Africa, possibly as
a result of better monetary resources and regulations to address environmental
problems. However, considering the explanatory power of these four different
regressions (explained variance, measured by the pseudo R-square Nagelkerke, is
15.3% for the entire sample; 4.3% for Germany; 6.5% for Belgium; and 9.4% for
South Africa), we were able to explain a higher percentage of the variation in the
total sample; a finding that indicates that national characteristics are of substantial
importance in the perception of different threats.
Perception of environmental threats 27
first hypothesis is clearly supported at the country level, as far as natural and geo-
graphic differences are concerned. A correspondence analysis of perceived threats
in 36 countries identified a ‘water issues’ dimension that is related to geographi-
cal characteristics, such as climate zone and water availability, with South Africa
being the country in which this threat is perceived the most often.
Our results were more ambiguous regarding the differences in the presence of
threats owing to the social organization of production and societies in general,
as well as differences in the way such threats are addressed. Climate change, for
example, was perceived very differently across countries, despite being a global
threat. As far as everyday issues such as air pollution are concerned, we saw a
match between the presence of pollutants and individual views in some coun-
tries. The association between the objective levels of pollution and the perceived
threats, however, was far from perfect. A possible explanation for this discrep-
ancy is related to the way the threat question was asked in the ISSP module.
Respondents had to name the most important threat for themselves and their fam-
ily, and thus did not assess the severity of each threat. Consequently, if there is a
particularly pressing issue – such as water shortage, for example – other threats
become less salient and may not be mentioned, even if the objective level of
threat is high.
Despite these limitations, we were able to find an association between the three
categories of threat – ‘water issues’, ‘everyday problems’ and ‘high risks’ – and
the societal characteristics, affluence and membership of the EU. Water issues
were selected less often in wealthier societies and by EU members, which res-
onates with the ecological modernization idea that a certain level of wealth is
necessary to address basic environmental threats. Furthermore, societal affluence
and EU membership had different effects on everyday issues and high risks, with
the former being mentioned more often by EU members and the latter by affluent
societies. This second difference suggests that common environmental and other
regulations may also have an impact on the distribution of environmental threats
and their perception.
As for the individual determinants of the perceptions of these threats, agency
measured as environmental self-efficacy turned out to be particularly important.
First, it is decisive with regard to who perceives threats at all, as it had posi-
tive effects on all three threat categories in almost all countries, and thus clearly
separates respondents, who recognize, from respondents who do not perceive any
threats. Within the different threats, efficacy was important for the perception of
socially induced threats, particularly for high risks, which include nuclear power
28 Markus Hadler and Klaus Kraemer
Notes
1 We are limiting our general hypotheses to the aspects that can be grasped with the ISSP
data. Bickerstaff (2004), for example, names place attachment, agency and trust in insti-
tutions as potential determinants of risk perceptions. Only agency and, partially, trust in
institutions are captured in ISSP items on environmental efficacy.
2 Based on Table 1.1, the standard deviations for all ten threats were calculated for EU
countries and non-EU countries, and then the average of all standard deviations was
calculated (4.8 for non-EU, and 4.3 for EU countries).
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30 Markus Hadler and Klaus Kraemer
Introduction
The classical definition provided by Paul Slovic in the journal Science in 1987
states that ‘risk perception is intuitive risk judgement’ (Slovic, 1987:p.236).
This definition was extended by him and his colleagues in 2004 (Slovic et al.,
2004), referring to risk in three fundamental ways: risk as feelings; risk as
analysis; and risk as politics. These dimensions of risk perception are espe-
cially relevant when talking about environmental and technological risks, and
responses to them. Individuals tend to evaluate risks based on intuitive feel-
ings; experts provide analytical knowledge about risks based on statistics, and
the decision-making process about technological development refers to risk
as politics. The term ‘risk perception’ is defined as a ‘process of collecting,
selecting and interpreting signals about uncertain impacts of events, activities,
or technologies’ (Wachinger et al., 2012:p.1049).
Risk-perception empirical research has benefited largely from the international
comparative surveys that provide the possibility to analyse reliable data across
nations. One such survey is the International Social Survey (ISSP), which has
already implemented three waves of the module ‘Environment’ (1993, 2000 and
2010), providing the opportunity to track the changes in the attitudes, perceptions,
values and behaviours at the individual level and across nations. ISSP Environment
data of 1993 and 2000 was explored extensively in academic literature by applying
various theoretical concepts and searching for complex explanatory models. Most
of these models focus on environmental attitudes (e.g., Frizzell & Pammett, 1997;
Franzen, 2003; Franzen & Meyer, 2010); environmental concern (e.g., Olofsson &
Öhman, 2006; Marquart-Pyatt, 2007) or environmental behaviours (e.g., Engel &
Pötschke, 1998; Hayes, 2001; Hunter et al., 2004; Hadler & Haller, 2011). Risk
perception as a focus for investigation based on ISSP data has been analysed less
frequently (Lima et al., 2005; Adeola, 2004).
In recent decades, there have been many efforts in sociological literature to
search for the theoretical models to explain environmental and technological
risks. Wachinger et al. (2012) reviewed the literature on risk perception and con-
cluded that risk perceptions differ depending on the type of risk, the risk context,
32 Aistė Balžekienė and Audronė Telešienė
the personality of the individual and the social context. This chapter aims to
explore these dimensions of environmental and technological risk perception in
Europe based on ISSP data. We examine the risk perception of different environ-
mental and technological issues, then we explore risk perception at the individual
level. We also examine structural and cognitive factors, and the influence of trust
and environmental concern on risk perception. Social context in our research is
defined by a country-level analysis, revealing the differences in risk perception
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Individual-level factors
This analysis starts by defining socio-demographic characteristics such as age,
gender, place of living and self-social-class placement. We call these variables
‘structural determinants.’ As Henwood et al. state:
Social identity positions associated with categories such as age and gender
are key contributors to the ways in which people conceptualize and give
Environmental and technological risk perception 33
meaning to human problems and their solutions. This is certainly the case in
relation to issues of science, technology and risk.
(Henwood et al., 2008:p.662f)
always tend to express lower levels of concern than women with regard to the envi-
ronment or technology (ibid.)
Lima et al. (2005) conceptualize environmental awareness as a mediator of
the relationships between risk perception and technological diffusion. They argue
that a lower level of environmental awareness is associated with social sensitiv-
ity towards risks. Awareness is closely related to knowledge levels. Keller et al.
(2012) note that, for many environmental hazards, people may lack sufficient
knowledge to make an informed decision about risks, or may simply be unaware
of the issues before forming an opinion.
Therefore, we include cognitive factors of risk perception in our explanatory
model, based mainly on the level of subjective knowledge about environmental
issues. Urban and Hoban (1997) report the significant effect of cognitive-level
factors (education and information) on the perception of risks of biotechnologies.
They use a cognitive causal model for the explanation of risk perception. Some
researchers see knowledge as one of the main factors that can influence risk per-
ception (Kim et al., 2014).
Beck (1992) argues that decreasing trust in science is one of the fundamental
features of a risk society, and allows individuals to cope with the uncertainties
of technological development, increasing the reflexivity of society, especially
towards the possible impacts of new technologies. Many studies show (e.g.,
Gupta et al, 2011; Siegrist and Cvetkovich, 2000) that trust is a very powerful fac-
tor determining environmental and technological risk perceptions. The distrust in
science leads to negative evaluations of technologies and a possible overestima-
tion of risk. Gupta et al. (2011) examined the socio-psychological determinants
of public acceptance of technologies and showed that trust and knowledge are
among the most widely used determinants.
In our operational model to be tested using ISSP data, we include structural var-
iables of risk perception, trust, subjective knowledge (as a cognitive dimension)
and environmental concern.
that began in Europe in late 2008, and lasted through 2010 and 2011 when the
surveys were conducted, there is a sound logic to analyse the relation between the
economic indicators of a country and the average environmental and technological
risk perception. Gross domestic product is more related to the general economic
situation or the affluence characteristic of the country, and the economic growth
rate is related to the experienced crisis at the time of the conducted surveys.
The socio-political contexts of the countries are defined by the Democracy
Index, as determined by the Economist Intelligence Unit, and the Human
Development Index (HDI), measured by the United Nations. The HDI is a sum-
mary measure of average country achievement in key dimensions of human
development: a long and healthy life, being knowledgeable, and having a decent
standard of living (UNDP, 2014). HDI is composed of educational, societal-health
and economic indicators. In order to avoid overlap with the gross domestic prod-
uct indicator described above, the value of non-income HDI is used. Non-income
HDI is computed without economic indicators, from only educational and health
indicators. The Democracy Index provides a snapshot of the state of democracy
in a country. The Economist Intelligence Unit’s Index of Democracy is based
on five categories: electoral process and pluralism; civil liberties; the function-
ing of the government; political participation; and political culture (Economist
Intelligence Unit, 2010).
Another indicator potentially influencing risk perceptions on a macro-to-
microlevel is the pace of societal transformation. This is related to the scope and
speed of social change in a given society. This factor is rarely used in environmen-
tal sociology and thus needs more justification.
Appelbaum (1970) and Smelser (1968), in their classic works, propose that
social change is one of the most powerful factors, having a specific influence
on the collective consciousness of societies. It should be emphasized that the
pace of change is different in contemporary societies compared to earlier types
of societies. Furthermore, rapid change, or the fast pace of change, creates cul-
tural lags between infrastructures and processes in an objective culture on one
side (see Simmel, 1968), while in the subjective culture, the value systems and
norms that have been formed within individual psyches throughout lifetime
experiences create cultural lags on the other side. This individual experience
is essentially a historically embedded experience of previous stages of societal
development; i.e. structures and processes before the occurrence of a specific
instance of change. The thesis of cultural lag comes from equilibrium theory and
describes a situation where one part of a social system is changing faster than
Environmental and technological risk perception 35
others (Brinkman and Brinkman, 1997). Then, a gap or a so-called cultural lag
occurs; e.g. legislature is changing faster than social norms. Rapid social trans-
formations create cultural lags that, in turn, create dissonance between personal
value and norm systems and external cultural realities, thus creating stress and
raising sensitivity to any kind of risk (risk perceptions tend to be higher).
The Marxist notion of social transformations argues that the structures and
relations of production are faster to change than the ideological structures in a
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the individual level (using the total sample); and (2) explore the significance of
macrolevel variables at the national level (using countries as a unit of analysis).
The dependent variable for both models is risk perception, drawn from the ISSP
data. For the individual-level analysis, independent variables are also drawn from
ISSP data, and for the macrolevel analysis, we use country-level data taken from
different sources that are presented in more detail later in this section.
In the ISSP questionnaire, risk perception items are coded as follows: 1. ‘extremely
dangerous for the environment’ . . . 5. ‘not dangerous at all for the environment’.
We think that the results of the data analysis are more comprehensible if higher
Environmental and technological risk perception 37
values equate to a higher level of risk. Therefore, we take all risk perception
items in a reversed manner and recode them where ‘1’ means not dangerous at
all for the environment and ‘5’ means extremely dangerous for the environment.
From the reverse-coded risk-perception items, we calculate the risk-perception
index (a mean score of the seven risk-perception items), where ‘1’ also means
‘not dangerous at all for the environment’ and ‘5’ means ‘extremely dangerous
for the environment’.
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•• Gender.
•• Age: for regression models we use the original age variable, and for the com-
parison of risk perception, we calculate age groups.
•• Education (Q: ‘How many full years of schooling or education have you had?’).
•• Self-social class placement (Q: ‘In our society there are groups which tend
to be towards the top and groups which tend to be towards the bottom. Below
is a scale that runs from the top to bottom. Where would you put yourself on
this scale?’ 1. Lowest . . . 10. Highest).
•• Living place (Q: ‘Would you describe the place where you live as . . . 1.A big
city . . . 5. A farm or home in the country?’).
All these variables form a description of the social structure that defines the indi-
vidual and that is more or less constant or stable. We include these structural
variables in regression model 1.
Other items for the analysis describe aspects that are more dynamic and that
can change or be shaped over time. They include trust items, environmental
concern and cognitive aspects, such as knowledge level. The influence of these
variables upon risk perception is tested in regression model 2.
Trust in our analysis is measured by three items:
•• Trust in science (Q: ‘Modern science will solve our environmental problems
with little change to our way of life’. Values from 1. ‘strongly agree’ to 5.
‘strongly disagree’).
•• Social trust (Q: ‘Would you say that most people can be trusted, or that you
can’t be too careful in dealing with people?’ Values from 1. ‘ strongly agree’
to 5. ‘strongly disagree’).
•• Political trust (Q: ‘Most of the time we can trust people in government to do
what is right.’ Values from 1. ‘ strongly agree’ to 5. ‘strongly disagree’ ).
38 Aistė Balžekienė and Audronė Telešienė
•• Causes of sorts of environmental problems (Q: ‘How much do you feel you
know about the causes of these sorts of environmental problems?’ Values
from 1. ‘know nothing at all’ to 5. ‘know a great deal’).
•• Solutions to environmental problems (Q: ‘How much do you feel you know
about solutions to these sorts of environmental problems?’ Values from 1.
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Further, we present results that are structured according to the research ques-
tions, starting with the risk-perception pattern across European countries. We then
discuss the perception of different types of risks, followed by an analysis of risk-
perception determinants at the individual level, and macrolevel determinants at
the country level.
Results
Risk perception in European countries
There were significant differences in environmental and technological risk per-
ception across countries in Europe (Figure 2.1). The results suggested that
risk-perception patterns were dependent on cultural and national contexts, spe-
cific to certain regions in Europe, and not so much on objective conditions in
the physical environment. The general tendency was that, in all countries that
participated in the survey, the risks to the environment from various issues were
considered moderately high. In two countries (Russia and Croatia), the average
of the risk-perception index was above four, which showed that most people
regarded environmental and technological issues as very dangerous or extremely
dangerous for the environment.
Results indicated that there were some regional tendencies, and people in
Eastern and Central Europe were more concerned with environmental and
40 Aistė Balžekienė and Audronė Telešienė
RU-Russia 4.14
HR-Croatia 4.03
BG-Bulgaria 3.94
ES-Spain 3.91
LT-Lithuania 3.90
DE-Germany
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3.86
AT-Austria 3.85
SK-Slovak Republic 3.84
SI-Slovenia 3.84
FR-France 3.74
CH -Switzerland 3.63
LV-Latvia 3.61
CZ-Czech Republic 3.58
SE-Sweden 3.48
DK-Denmark 3.47
FI-Finland 3.43
BE-Belgium 3.42 Total mean = 3.72
GB-Great Britain 3.35
NO-Norway 3.35
Figure 2.1 Perception of risk across the European countries’ means of risk index, where 1
is ‘not at all dangerous’ and 5 is ‘extremely dangerous’ (ISSP 2010, N = 25,133).
t echnological risks than people from the rest of Europe. Later in this chapter,
we will explore in more detail the influence of economic development and other
socio-political indicators upon risk-perception differences across countries.
In addition, considering the analysis of risk perception of different environ-
mental and technological issues (Figure 2.2), there were significant differences
comparing the perceptions of different environmental issues and technologies
(F test. p<0.00).
The risks from air pollution from industry and pesticides were perceived as the
highest, and risks from pollution from cars and risks from the genetically modi-
fied crops were perceived as the lowest. Urban and Hoban (1997) indicated that
individuals had higher risk perceptions if they thought risks were involuntary.
This explanation was consistent with our results, as pollution from industry and
chemicals in farming were involuntary risks, and genetically modified organisms
(GMOs) were a voluntary risk (one could choose to buy GMOs, but could not
choose to avoid the polluted air from industry).
A surprising finding was that the level of nuclear power and GMO risk percep-
tion was lower compared to all other risks (except car pollution). Many studies
on risk perception reported that nuclear-power risks were usually regarded as
Environmental and technological risk perception 41
3.00
3.87
2.00
Chemicals and
Climate change
pesticides in farming 3.67
3.69
3.83
Pollution of rivers, Nuclear power
lakes and steams stations
Figure 2.2 Perceptions of different types of risk at individual level. Mean scores (ISSP 2010;
N = 25,133), where 1 is ‘not at all dangerous’ and 5 is ‘extremely dangerous’.
high compared to other types of risks. In the classic book, The Perception of Risk
Slovic (2000) applied the psychometric paradigm and reported that the risk per-
ception of nuclear power was the highest among many unwanted environmental
features, considering such risk factors as fatality, threat for future generations or
catastrophic potential.
Our research results showed that well-known, empirically observable and
(in terms of the psychometric paradigm) ‘old’ risks (pollution from industry,
water pollution) were perceived as more dangerous to the environment as those
that were uncertain or not directly perceivable (e.g., GMO, nuclear power or
climate change). These results, in a way, contradicted the ideas of Slovic (1987,
2000), who stated that risks that had catastrophic potential and were uncontrol-
lable or not observable usually received higher scores of risk perception. To
explain these results, we considered the macrolevel indicators, measuring, for
example, the real levels of air and water pollution, and analysing if these objec-
tive indicators correlated with risk perceptions at the country level. Obviously, if
individuals were heavily exposed to low-quality living environments, this would
capture their attention.
Later in this chapter, we focus on the environmental and technological risk
perception in general, using the risk-perception index, which was derived from
seven risk-perception items.
15–24 3.70
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25–39 3.78
Age
40–54 3.75
55+ 3.67
The tests for the differences in means (Mann-Whitney U test for risk percep-
tion means by gender, and Kruskal–Wallis test for risk perception means by age
groups, self-social class placement and living place) were all significant at the
0.01 level. Women, individuals who positioned themselves in the lowest social
class, individuals aged from 25 to 39 and those who lived in big cities showed
higher (than average) levels of risk perception. Therefore, it seemed that risk
perception was closely related to personal vulnerability. Those in vulnerable situ-
ations, owing to either gender-specific roles, work status, social-class placement
or living environment, had higher levels of risk perception.
The lowest social-class members are the most vulnerable with regard to
environmental risks (everyday experiences, water shortage, and living close to
industry). People in big cities are also most vulnerable regarding, for example, air
or water quality. Those in a more secure social status expressed a lower level of
risk perception. A more secure social status is related to working age and higher
social-class placement.
A multiple linear regression analysis was conducted to predict risk perception
from structural factors. For this analysis, the derivative risk-perception index was
used as a dependent variable. Independent variables in this model were gender,
Environmental and technological risk perception 43
power. The model factors only explained 4.2% of risk perception variation. There
fore, the set of explanatory variables should be extended.
Table 2.3 Multiple linear regression analysis of cognitive factors, trust and environmental
concern as determinants of risk perception.
not directly related to the attitudes towards the environment. However, people
that trusted others probably were more often actively involved in environmental
activities, thus having common goals (for example, environmental protection).
Possibly, collective action and collective awareness would be more characteris-
tic of those with higher levels of social trust.
Cognitive determinants that were included in the explanatory model had sig-
nificant, but very low correlations with risk perception. The risk-perception index
correlated both with knowledge about the causes of environmental problems
(Spearman rho = 0.03, p = 0.00) and knowledge about the solutions to environ-
mental problems (Spearman rho = 0.018, p = 0.00). However, this relation could
be of secondary importance in explaining risk perception. In general, Europeans
did not know a lot about solutions to various environmental problems. Only 21.6%
indicated that they knew a lot or a great deal about these solutions.
Comparing regression models 1 and 2, it appeared that risk perception was
better explained by trust, environmental concern and cognitive indicators than by
structural determinants.
Finally, we combined all variables from the first and second models into one
regression to see how they explained risk perception at the individual level and
which of the variables had the strongest influence (see Table 2.4).
All sets of indicators in the regression model accounted for 14% of the total
risk-perception variance, which was low. From the joint regression model, gen-
der, self-social-class placement and environmental concern were the strongest
predictors of risk perception. The influence of other indicators on risk perception
was very weak. Cognitive determinants in the aggregated model appeared to be
insignificant.
The analysis of individual-level determinants of risk perception suggested a
constructivist nature of risk perception. It was very weakly determined purely by
social structures, but rather, was an outcome of world views or dynamic aspects
(e.g., living place) that create different risk contexts.
The differences of risk perception at the country level (presented in Figure 2.1)
indicated the need for contextual macrolevel factors that could explain these
variations.
Table 2.4 Multiple linear regression analysis for all predictors of risk perception at
individual level.
national average – is presented in this section of the chapter. Table 2.5 provides
the macro level data used in the analysis.
The correlation matrix shown in Table 2.6 provides arguments to exclude
three variables from the explanatory model: GDP growth, EPI and Ecosystem
Vitality. These variables did not have statistically significant correlations with
environmental risk-perception national averages. There was a strong posi-
tive relationship between the risk-perception index and HDI annual average
growth. There was also a strong but negative relationship between the risk-
perception index and GDP per capita, non-income HDI, Democracy Index and
Environmental Health Index.
The five significant context determinants of risk perception are different in
nature. GDP per capita, non-income HDI and the Democracy Index relate to the
socio-economic and political situations of a country. These might be a result of
rapid or gradual changes within a society. Instead, HDI annual average growth
shows the dynamics; i.e. the average speed of changes in recent decades.
Moreover, the environmental health determinant relates to the quality of a living
environment.
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Table 2.5 Macrolevel data and risk-perception index values (mean score) for European countries.
Country Risk GDP per GDP Non-income Democracy HDI EPI7 ENV ECO
perception1 capita2 growth3 HDI4 index5 growth6 HEALTH8 SYSTEM9
Russia (RU) 4.136 10,709.77 4.50 0.729 4.26 0.82 61.2 68.59 53.83
Croatia (HR) 4.025 13,500.85 -1.70 0.798 6.81 0.63 68.7 82.47 54.83
Bulgaria (BG) 3.935 6,580.81 2.50 0.795 6.84 0.69 62.5 73.21 51.85
Spain (ES) 3.914 30,736.00 0.01 0.897 8.16 0.42 70.6 88.71 52.52
Lithuania (LT) 3.901 11,852.17 1.33 0.832 7.24 0.71 68.3 74.34 62.32
Germany (DE) 3.857 41,723.37 4.09 0.915 8.38 0.43 73.2 90.75 55.70
Austria (AT) 3.85 46,444.18 1.88 0.859 8.49 0.3 78.1 89.47 66.80
Slovakia (SK) 3.837 16,509.90 4.83 0.854 7.35 0.69 74.5 84.50 64.41
Slovenia (SI) 3.835 23,417.64 1.22 0.853 7.69 0.59 65 84.98 44.93
France (FR) 3.744 40,706.08 1.97 0.898 7.77 0.45 78.2 90.75 65.69
Switzerland (CH) 3.634 74,276.72 2.95 0.889 9.09 0.18 89.1 92.29 85.90
Latvia (LV) 3.608 11,446.51 -0.34 0.822 7.05 0.81 72.5 90.18 54.90
Czech Republic (CZ) 3.579 19,764.02 2.30 0.886 8.19 0.5 71.6 86.87 56.37
Sweden (SE) 3.478 52,076.26 5.99 0.911 9.5 -0.04 86 92.77 79.32
Denmark (DK) 3.473 57,647.93 1.63 0.883 9.52 0.27 69.2 89.82 48.49
Finland (FI) 3.434 46,202.42 2.99 0.897 9.19 0.54 74.7 90.75 58.74
Belgium (BE) 3.42 44358.26 2.50 0.888 8.05 0.05 58.1 89.05 27.09
Great Britain (GB) 3.35 38,363.44 1.91 0.86 8.16 0.31 74.2 89.82 58.66
Norway (NO) 3.346 86,096.14 0.48 0.954 9.8 0.34 81.1 90.75 71.52
1 Risk-perception index (aggregate index from risk perception items means, from 1. ‘not dangerous at all’ to 5. ‘extremely dangerous’)
2 GDP per capita (current US$) in mid-2010
3 GDP annual growth (%) in 2010 compared to 2009
4 Non-income human development index value for 2010
5 Democracy index 2010
6 Environmental performance index (EPI) scores for 2010
7 EPI: Environmental Health scores for 2010
8 EPI: Ecosystem Vitality scores for 2010
48 Aistė Balžekienė and Audronė Telešienė
Risk-perception
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index
GDP per capita -0.649
GDP growth — —
Non-income HDI -0.669 0.766 —
Democracy index -0.740 0.805 — 0.903
HDI growth 0.615 -0.757 — -0.679 -0.731
EPI — 0.637 — — 0.622 —
EPI: Environmental -0.690 0.688 — 0.827 0.818 -0.670
Health
EPI: Ecosystem — — — — — —
Vitality
Note: Table only includes correlations where p<0.01
GDP: Gross Domestic Product; HDI: Human Development Index; EPI: Environmental Performance
Index
Before analysing further the influence of the five context factors on environ-
mental risk perception, we tested if there were significant differences among
countries in national averages for risk perception. We ran an ANOVA test for dif-
ferences across the 19 European countries chosen for the analysis. Results showed
significant differences: F = 198.585, p = 0.000<0.01. To explain the differences,
we examined the effects of multiple contextual predictors on environmental risk
perception using simple linear regression and scatter-plotting aggregate data. The
scatter plots are presented in Figures 2.4–2.8.
First, we examined the effect of the economic affluence indicator (i.e., GDP per
capita, 2010, US$) on the risk-perception index at the national level via the scat-
ter-plotting of aggregated data. As seen from the regression line in Figure 2.4, the
higher the GDP per capita, the lower the level of risk perception. Second, Figure 2.5
revealed that the higher the developmental level of a country, the lower the level of
environmental risk perception. Thirdly, the regression line in Figure 2.6 showed that
a higher democracy index decreased environmental risk perception.
The linear regression results of free determinants describing the socio-
economic and political state of a country implied that, with high living standards,
welfare and democracy, the risk perception tended to be lower. In other words,
socio-economic stability and comfort were related to an increased sense of secu-
rity, and democratic conditions were related to a sense of possibility to influence
and control the risks.
Then, the impact of pace of societal changes, as measured by the average
annual HDI growth (%) from 2000–2010, was analysed. The regression line in
Environmental and technological risk perception 49
$100,000
$90,000 y = −60,380x + 258,972
NO R2 = 0.4216
$80,000
CH
$70,000
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$60,000
DK
$50,000 FI SE
AT
BE DE
$40,000 FR
GB
$30,000 ES
SI
$20,000 CZ
SK
$10,000 LV LT RU
HR
BG
$0
3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4
0.95 NO
FI SE DE
0.9 CZ FR ES
DK CH
BE AT
GB
0.85 SK
SI LT
LV
0.8 BG HR
y = −0.1442x + 1.3982
0.75 R2 = 0.4478
RU
0.7
3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2
Figure 2.5 Impact of human development level on risk perception: x-axis: average aggregate
risk-perception index (2010, N = 24,927); y-axis: non-income Human Development
Index 2010.
Figure 2.7 showed that the higher pace of changes was related to higher levels
of risk perception. This might be explained through the notion of cultural lag.
Cultural lags often occur in cases of rapid transformation and are related to the dis-
continuity of social structures, and social and political trust relationships. These,
50 Aistė Balžekienė and Audronė Telešienė
12
10 SE
NO
DK
FI CH AT
FR DE
8 GB BE CZ ES
SI
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LT
LV SK HR
BG
6
4 RU
y = −3.9343x + 22.544
R2 = 0.5469
2
0
3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2
0.9
y = 0.6134x − 1.8121 RU
0.8 LV
R2 = 0.3817 LT
0.7 SK BG
HR
0.6 SI
FI
0.5 CZ
DE
FR
0.4 ES
NO
0.3 GB AT
DK
0.2 CH
0.1
BE SE
0
3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2
in turn, c reate a sense of insecurity and vulnerability, thus raising sensitivity and
awareness of various risks. As seen from the figure, there was some regional
specificity. Post-socialist countries, like Russia, Croatia, Bulgaria, Lithuania,
Slovakia and Slovenia, showed high levels of environmental risk perception and
a high pace of developmental change. Western and Northern welfare societies,
Environmental and technological risk perception 51
100.00
95.00
FI SE CH
NO DE
90.00 LV FR
DK AT ES
GB
BE CZ
85.00 SI
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SK
HR
80.00
75.00 LT
BG
70.00
y = −19.846x + 159.81 RU
65.00 R2 = 0.4756
60.00
3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2
Still, gender and self-social-class placement are not the strongest predictors
when we take into account a wider explanatory model. Trust, environmental
concern and cognitive dimensions have a higher explanatory power of risk per-
ceptions than structural factors. Environmental concern is the strongest predictor
of risk perception at the individual level. Environmental concern is of a dynamic
nature, as it can quickly change over time as a function of changing environmental
conditions or other contexts.
Regarding macrolevel variables, GDP per capita, non-income HDI and the
Democracy Index have a significant negative impact on environmental risk per-
ception. The pace of societal development has a significant positive influence on
environmental risk perception. This indicates that environmental risk perception,
as analysed at a macrolevel (national level), is sensitive to the general socio-
economic-political system’s stability or dynamics. The Environmental Health
Index is significantly negatively related to risk perception. This indicates that
objective negative situations in the surrounding natural environment transform
into higher levels of environmental risk perception.
Generally, a more secure individual social status and living environment, and
more stable socio-economic contexts lead to lower levels of environmental risk
perception, and vice versa.
It is a significant finding that national-level context variables have a consid-
erable influence on average environmental risk perceptions. This implies that
changes in risk perception are largely dependent on general societal transforma-
tion rather than solely on individual factors.
The country-level analysis supports the idea that risk perception is a collective
phenomenon and is socioculturally determined by national and regional contexts.
Countries fall into groups regarding risk-perception patterns based not on physi-
cal environments (neighbouring countries could have significantly different risk
perception means), but rather on socio-political contexts.
It is also possible to indicate two dimensions that are common for individ-
ual- and macrolevel risk perception: vulnerability and dynamics. Vulnerability,
defined both by biographical situations and by national socio-political situations,
leads to a higher feeling of insecurity, resulting in higher levels of risk percep-
tion. In addition, dynamics experienced in the form of rapid societal change or
individual value change lead to higher sensitivity towards the surrounding envi-
ronment. Trust is also a dynamic concept, as it can be built or lost (Slovic, 1993,
as cited by Keller et al., 2012:p.242). Our data show a significant influence of trust
on risk perception.
Environmental and technological risk perception 53
Coming back to the question raised in the title of this chapter – ‘Vulnerable
and insecure?’ – it seems that vulnerabilities at personal and national levels lead
to higher levels of risk perception, or the feeling of insecurity, in many European
countries.
Acknowledgements
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This chapter was prepared with the support of the research project ‘International
social survey programme: citizenship, work orientations and social welfare in
Lithuania (ISSP LT-CIWO)’, funded by a grant (No. MIP-082/2014) from the
Research Council of Lithuania. Period of implementation 2014–2016, coor-
dinated by Kaunas University of Technology, Institute of Public Policy and
Administration.
Notes
1 World Development Indicators database. Gross domestic product (GDP) per capita
(current US$) in mid-2010. Available from: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/
NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
2 World Development Indicators database. GDP annual growth (%) in 2010 compared
to 2009. Available from: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG/
countries
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Chapter 3
and interests
André Schaffrin and Alexander Schmidt-Catran
Introduction
A number of recent insightful studies in environmental sociology have provided
a more thorough understanding of environmental values, beliefs, attitudes and
behaviours (see Dunlap and Jones, 2002; Gifford and Nilsson, 2014; Schaffrin,
2011a for a review). Theories from the early 1990s seeking to understand cross-
national variation in environmental concern argue that economic wealth leads
to wider support for environmental protection in the highly developed, affluent
nations, either via post-materialist values or as a consequence of an increasing
demand for environmental goods (Fairbrother, 2013; Franzen, 2003; Franzen and
Meyer, 2010; Franzen and Vogl, 2013a; Givens and Jorgenson, 2011; Knight and
Messer, 2012; Pampel, 2014). Another group of scholars argues that economic
development is seen as only one explanation as opposed to environmental deg-
radation which substantially alters environmental concern at the individual and
national level (Adeola, 2004; Brechin and Kempton, 1994; Marquart-Pyatt, 2012;
Uyeki and Holland, 2000). Empirical results from this early wave of compara-
tive environmental sociology used cross-sectional data and mainly correlative
measures (Diekmann and Franzen, 1999; Franzen, 2003; Inglehart, 1995; Kidd
and Lee, 1997). In a second wave of studies, the improved quality of interna-
tional surveys, the availability of repeated cross-sectional data, and the statistical
methods used simultaneously to account for national- as well as individual-level
determinants of environmental concern stimulated a number of additional stud-
ies on post-materialism, affluence, and exposure to environmental degradation
(Franzen and Meyer, 2010; Franzen and Vogl, 2013a, 2013b; Gelissen, 2007;
Kemmelmeier et al., 2002).
However, results from both waves of research are inconclusive. For example,
a number of studies which argue for the importance of environmental degradation
report no or even a negative effect of affluence on measures of environmen-
tal concern (Brechin, 1999; Dunlap and Mertig, 1997; Dunlap and York, 2008;
Escobar, 2006; Fairbrother, 2013; Givens and Jorgenson, 2011; Israel, 2004;
Knight and Messer, 2012; Pampel, 2014; Sarigoellue, 2009). Findings from
Changing concern about threats and risks 57
Brechin et al. (2005), Dunlap and York (2008), and Yuchtman-Ya’ar (2002)
also challenge the affluence approach by revealing that global measures together
with local ones, as well as individual post-materialist values, are strong even in
less developed countries. In contrast, proponents of the affluence approach and
the post-materialism thesis report only insignificant effects of indicators of envi-
ronmental degradation (Franzen and Meyer, 2010; Franzen and Vogl, 2013a,
2013b; Gelissen, 2007).
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influence the level of concern (Gifford, 2011; Marshall et al., 2005; Schaffrin,
2011b; Whitmarsh, 2009); and (3) to demonstrate that determinants affect com-
ponents of environmental concern across countries differently (Diekmann and
Franzen, 1999; Dunlap and York, 2008; Marquart-Pyatt, 2012; Schaffrin, 2011b).
In doing so, we seek to move the debate from theoretical competition towards
integrating the most commonly applied approaches of post-materialism, affluence
and environmental degradation.
This research uses data from the Environment modules of the International
Social Survey Programme (ISSP Research Group, 2012, 2003, 1995), which
were surveyed in 1993, 2000 and 2010. Combining these datasets allows for a
multilevel, comparative analysis considering national variation over time. The
paper begins by reviewing cross-national research by discussing in detail the three
dimensions of environmental concern: the local versus global; the values ver-
sus interest; and the intra-attitudinal. Throughout the theory section, the paper
expresses the importance of considering multilevel approaches, by using a range
of values and interest factors, and investigates the effects of these determinants
on different components and measures. The ISSP datasets are used to examine a
multilevel model, including individual-level and country-level variables to pre-
dict three distinct dimensions of environmental concerns: individual awareness
of environmental threats; environmental efficacy; and willingness to pay. A series
of macrolevel explanatory factors describing positive and negative interests are
included, alongside post-materialist values and affluence measures. The results
demonstrate the assumed variation in these determinants across the three compo-
nents of environmental concern, and stress the importance of dimensionality for
future cross-national scholarship.
(Fairbrother, 2013; Franzen, 2003; Franzen and Meyer, 2010; Franzen and Vogl,
2013a; Givens and Jorgenson, 2011; Knight and Messer, 2012; Pampel, 2014).
The mechanisms linking economic wealth and environmental concern are based
on either more general value-based explanations or economic theory. Literature
on the value-based explanation identified post-materialist values as a higher
order need, which is a crucial determinant of the level of concern (Franzen and
Meyer, 2010; Inglehart, 1995; Inglehart and Abramson, 1999). Whether people
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hold (post)materialist values depends upon their current economic situations and
levels of social security, but even more upon their economic situations during
their socialization. Abramson and Inglehart (1999) define materialism as a state
where individual concerns are basically oriented towards daily survival, which
implies the avoidance of material scarcity and the pursuit of economic and social
security. Post-materialists, in contrast, strive for a higher quality of life and self-
actualization, including concern for environmental issues which are beyond direct
relevance to their own material situation (Inglehart, 2008, 2006, 2002).
Scholars advancing the affluence approach argue that in developed nations it is
not necessarily post-materialist values which increase concern but the demand for
environmental goods (Fairbrother, 2013; Franzen and Meyer, 2010). Environmental
quality is seen as an amenity or public good which can be more easily accessed.
Hence, demand rises with increasing levels of wealth independently of value
orientations (Diekmann and Franzen, 1999; Diekmann and Preisendorfer, 2003;
Franzen, 2003; Franzen and Meyer, 2010; Kemmelmeier et al., 2002; Meyer and
Liebe, 2010). In this line of argument, developing economies have to pass a point
where the impact of economic growth on the environment reaches a high level,
in order to gain sufficient resources and cognition for environmental protection
(Grossman and Krueger, 1995; Spaargarden and Mol, 1992; Zahran et al., 2007,
see also Jorgenson and Clark, 2012). Here, development and modernization are
‘creating opportunities for both reduced environmental harm and increased envi-
ronmental concern’ (Givens and Jorgenson, 2013, p. 421).
Both the post-materialism hypothesis and the affluence approach have
stimulated a large amount of research on this topic. Most debate is stimulated
by the macrolevel assumption of a linear (or curvilinear) relationship between
economic development and environmental concern. Early studies showed post-
materialism had a positive effect on environmental concern (Inglehart, 1995;
Kidd and Lee, 1997). Support for the affluence approach comes from a num-
ber of contributions reporting a positional effect of economic factors operating
independently from post-materialist values (Best, 2009; Best and Mayerl, 2013a;
Diekmann and Franzen, 1999; Franzen, 2003; Franzen and Meyer, 2010; Franzen
and Vogl, 2013a, 2013b; Gelissen, 2007; Kemmelmeier et al., 2002). Franzen
and Vogler (2013a), for example, found that taking national variations of acqui-
escence into account would reveal a positive effect of economic wealth on the
willingness to protect the environment, at both the individual as well as the coun-
try levels. However, a number of studies reveal a negative or insignificant effect
contingent upon socio-economic status or economic wealth (Escobar, 2006;
60 André Schaffrin and Alexander Schmidt-Catran
Sarigoellue, 2009; Givens and Jorgenson, 2011; Fairbrother, 2013; Knight and
Messer, 2012; Pampel, 2014). One prominent critique reporting that economic
wealth has a negative effect comes from Dunlap and colleagues (Brechin, 1999;
Dunlap and Mertig, 1997; Dunlap and York, 2008). These scholars argue that the
globalization of environmental concern in developing and highly industrialized
countries alike means that economic affluence and post-materialism do not pro-
vide a consistent explanation (Dunlap and Mertig, 1997; Dunlap and York, 2008;
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(1988), which claims that values influence behaviour indirectly through attitudes.
This general assumption about the determining role of values on attitudes and
behaviour has also received wide empirical support (Best and Mayerl, 2013b;
Milfont et al., 2010a).
Scholars distinguish between three basic environmental values: egoistic, altru-
istic and biospheric (Dietz et al., 2005; Milfont et al., 2006; Schultz and Zelezny,
1998). Biospheric values constitute a general understanding that nature is sacred
and worthy of protection, and as such is independent of the implicit dangers for
humankind. The altruistic value orientation sees environmental protection as
a means to preserve nature for individual good (e.g. health) or the survival of
humankind (e.g. in the context of natural resources and climate change). Egoistic
value orientation, in contrast, motivates individuals to look after their own inter-
ests in order to avoid perils, and to be able to afford environmental goods (Soyez
et al., 2009).
What can these values tell us about the multidimensional structure of envi-
ronmental concern? First, value orientations focus strongly on geographical and
spatial issues. Egoistic values should promote a local and short-term perspective
on environmental concern, whereas altruistic and biospheric values might stim-
ulate more concern about global environmental problems on a long-term scale
(Groot and Steg, 2007; Milfont et al., 2010b). Second, analyses of environmen-
tal psychology (Milfont and Duckitt, 2004; Milfont and Gouveia, 2006) reveal
a second-order structure of environmental concern with two dominant, slightly
negatively correlated factors: a dimension of environmental preservation, derived
from a general biospheric or altruistic value orientation; and an environmental uti-
lization dimension which reflects personal interests supported by egoistic values
(Hansla et al., 2013; Kaiser and Scheuthle, 2003; Milfont et al., 2006; Milfont
and Duckitt, 2010; Milfont and Gouveia, 2006; Wiseman and Bogner, 2003). The
dimension of preservation describes individuals who argue for environmental
protection not only on a local scale, but who also support concrete actions for
global environmental threats, even if the consequences of fighting them impose
personal costs. On the dimension of utilization, individuals are concerned about
either their own vulnerability in the face of environmental degradation or the ben-
efits to be derived from environmental quality (Dietz et al., 2005; Hansla et al.,
2013; Milfont and Gouveia, 2006).
This basic distinction is linked strongly to the discussion of local problems and
global values. It seems that scholars of post-materialism address only the dimen-
sion of environmental preservation, whereas explanations of national affluence or
62 André Schaffrin and Alexander Schmidt-Catran
degradation and affluence describe two special cases along the dimension of envi-
ronmental utilization, where short-term and highly localized personal interests
are addressed: vulnerability towards negative exposures to environmental threats;
and positive opportunities to gain individual benefits from environmental goods.
Vulnerability and opportunities both arise from contextual factors in the respec-
tive countries and the personal environment of the respondents. Therefore, we
will discuss personal interests supporting environmental utilization which arise
from the specific contexts discussed in the following.
Individual interests for environmental preservation arise where either being
vulnerable because of environmental degradation or finding opportunities to gain
personal benefit out of environmental protection are dominant (e.g., Marshall
et al., 2005). In other words, there are a number of positive and negative con-
ditions influencing individual interests for environmental preservation. This
understanding allows us to take a more general perspective on environmental
interest than just considering exposure to environmental degradation in the Global
South, and the demand for environmental goods in the Global North, as proposed
by the OPSV approach. We argue that studies of environmental concern should
include a wider range of positive and negative interest factors across countries
and (within societies) between social groups.
In highly developed countries, positive conditions can be rather straightforward.
In line with the affluence approach, individuals might display environmental behav-
iour such as cycling, insulating or recycling simply because they benefit directly
from these in terms of better health or increasing financial returns (Gifford, 2011;
Whitmarsh, 2009). In the more recent developments in combating climate change,
a number of additional positive interests arise where domestic climate policies,
for instance, subsidize privately owned renewable energy installations and thus
create a direct benefit for specific socio-economic groups (Faiers et al., 2007;
Sardianou, 2007; Schelly, 2010; Walker, 2008; Welsch and Kuehling, 2009).
What has hardly been considered by the affluence approach is that the same
policies also produce negative conditions for certain socio-economic groups. For
example, sectoral changes towards low-carbon economies create new risks in
the job market for employees in the industrial sector (Bowen and Fankhauser,
2011; Carfi and Schiliro, 2012; Jaenicke, 2012; Kikuchi, 2011). As O’Connor
et al. show, ‘Economic circumstances and anxieties are not important predictors,
but the belief that environmental protection efforts do not threaten jobs for peo-
ple like the respondent, limit personal freedoms, and hurt the economy’ (2002,
p. 1). The debate about energy poverty further indicates that support for renewable
Changing concern about threats and risks 63
energy in developed countries most often increases energy prices for households,
and might cause an existential threat to vulnerable low-income groups of soci-
ety (e.g., Schaffrin, 2014; Schaffrin and Reibling, 2015). Several studies also
demonstrate that location and direct environmental threats, such as rising sea
levels via climate change, hurricane activity, or other potential environmental
hazards, influence environmental concern in the highly developed countries
(Drori and Yuchtman-Ya’ar, 2002; Gifford and Nilsson, 2014; Marshall et al.,
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2005; Peacock et al., 2005; Stedman, 2003). For example, using Geographic
Information Systems, Brody et al. (2008) show that proximity to the coastline,
or cheap dwellings at lower elevations and other areas at high risk of sea-level
rise explains concern about climate change. Potential direct threats to individual
health in the developed world also arise from new technologies such as fracking
or nuclear power. In fact, one of the main triggers of the local protest movements
against nuclear power in Germany has been the local fear of direct exposure near
nuclear waste-disposal sites, particularly after the Chernobyl disaster in 1986
(see also Marshall et al., 2005 for the development of the environmental move-
ments in the USA during the 1960s).
In developing countries, negative attitudes arise from the need to avoid poten-
tially harmful situations. As stated by proponents of the OPSV approach, aware-
ness of local environmental problems grows out of an interest in minimizing health
risks or even death. What has rarely been considered is that positive conditions
exist independently of higher levels of affluence in developing countries. One pos-
itive factor is the proportion of natural habitats on the total land available. Nature
conservation sites exist not only in highly industrialized countries but more so in
the developing world. Conservation most often goes hand in hand with tourism in
developing countries, as a major benefit for local jobs and as a source of income
for the country. Furthermore, in developing countries, a higher percentage of the
population is employed in the agricultural sector. Farmers are more directly inter-
ested in keeping natural resources intact for their own benefit and see themselves
as increasingly vulnerable to industrial development (Pampel, 2014). The high
number of employees in the agricultural sector is not necessarily a direct influence
on environmental concern but increases the chances for an individual to build
social ties with someone in that business. As Macias and Nelson point out, ‘place
of residence is less significant in explaining utilitarian attitudes towards the envi-
ronment than familial or other social ties one has to farming’ (2011, p. 563; see
also Sharp and Smith, 2003; Wachenheim and Rathge, 2002). In other words, we
might find a stronger exposure to environmental knowledge and concern through
social ties and social capital in the agricultural sector in the developing countries
than in the developed world.
Given these arguments we conclude that environmental concern depends
strongly on where individuals live, and is independent of ad-hoc distinctions
between more or less affluent countries. This perspective stresses the impor-
tance of considering the relative position of the respondents or communities
within a society, or their relative exposure to environmental degradation rather
64 André Schaffrin and Alexander Schmidt-Catran
than economic development per se (Knight and Messer, 2012; Marshall et al.,
2005; Martínez-Alier, 2002; Pellow and Brulle, 2005). In other words, poten-
tial environmental threats to personal health caused by radioactive waste-disposal
sites might be as concerning for individuals in Western societies as real exposure
to intensive air or water pollution for citizens of developing countries. Higher
income allows individuals or groups to avoid extensive exposure to potential or
real environmental degradation and to gain benefits from positive conditions, in
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economically poor and rich countries alike. Their subjective concern about envi-
ronmental conditions and opportunities thus depends on their relative position in
their respective societies.
Another relative issue is when the individual context changes over time
(Conroy and Emerson, 2014; Fairbrother, 2013; Givens and Jorgenson, 2011;
Israel, 2004; Knight and Messer, 2012). As discussed above, changes in job
opportunities and personal incomes might prove as threatening to individuals
as increasing environmental pollution. What is important is that the change in
personal conditions relative to others in the society produces a stronger impact
on environmental concern than differences in the actual level between these
groups. This is indicated by a number of studies which find that economic
growth has a stronger influence on concern for the environment rather than the
absolute level of national income (e.g., Conroy and Emerson, 2014; Givens and
Jorgenson, 2011).
apply multilevel techniques (Franzen, 2003; Franzen and Meyer, 2010; Franzen
and Vogl, 2013a, 2013b; Kemmelmeier et al., 2002; Marquart-Pyatt, 2012, 2007;
Mostafa, 2013), analyses of potential changes over time at both the individual and
the national level are rare (see Fairbrother, 2013 as one exception from the rule).
Most of the earlier results, however, lack this multilevel time-change perspective
(see Knight and Messer, 2012 for a discussion). Secondly, as discussed above,
studies should include individual values and factors describing personal interests
(e.g., Milfont and Duckitt, 2004). Here, the more general value basis of environ-
mental concern should be considered. Thirdly, interest factors include positive as
well as negative conditions in both developing and developed countries. Fourthly,
values and interests might affect certain intra-attitudinal dimensions of environ-
mental concern differently, and thus should be analysed separately, as suggested
by Marquardt-Pyatt (2012).
To address these gaps in the literature, we apply techniques which simulta-
neously consider changes over time at the individual and national levels. We
investigate the effect of post-materialist values, as well as factors describing per-
sonal interests at both levels. Here, we consider negative context conditions in the
highly developed countries, as well as positive effects of natural environments
in the developing societies. Furthermore, this research examines whether levels
of three different dimensions – awareness of environmental threats, environmen-
tal efficacy and willingness to pay – are affected by post-materialism, economic
wealth and positive and negative context conditions, according to the assumptions
proposed above.
efficacy by Marquart-Pyatt (2012) have not been considered in all waves (‘There
are more important things in life than to protect the environment’ and ‘There is no
point in doing what I can for the environment unless others do the same’; neither
item was asked in 1993) and were therefore excluded from our list of items. On
the other hand, we added an item into the factor analysis that has been used by
Franzen and Vogel (2013b) and Nawrotzki and Pampel (2013) but ignored by
Marquatt-Pyatt (2012): ‘In order to protect the environment [COUNTRY] needs
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2.4 It is just too difficult for someone like me to do 0.71 *** 0.70 *** 0.69 ***
much about the environment
2.5 Modern science will solve our environmental 0.54 *** 0.64 *** 0.53 ***
problems with little change to our way of life
[Agree strongly/Agree/Neither agree nor disagree/
Disagree/Disagree strongly]
Willingness How willing would you be to . . . ?
3.1 . . . pay much higher prices . . . 1.00 fixed 1.00 fixed 1.00 fixed
3.2 . . . pay much higher taxes . . . 1.15 *** 1.03 *** 0.99 ***
3.3 . . . accept cuts in your standard of living . . . 0.97 *** 0.82 *** 0.80 ***
. . . in order to protect the environment? [Very willing
/fairly willing/neither willing nor unwilling/fairly
unwilling/very unwilling]
How much do you agree or disagree with each of these
statements?
3.4 I do what is right for the environment whether it 0.00 dropped 0.00 dropped 0.00 dropped
costs more money or takes more time . . .
[Agree strongly/Agree/Neither agree nor disagree/
Disagree/Disagree strongly]
Notes: *** p<.001; error correlations between items 1.1 and 1.2; 1.3 and 1.4 (2010 and 2000 only). Model fit statistics: 2010: RMSEA = 0.04, CFI = 0.97, TLI = 0.96,
SRMR = 0.03, CD = 0.99; 2000: RMSEA = 0.04, CFI = 0.97, TLI = 0.96, SRMR = 0.03, CD = 0.99; 1993: RMSEA = 0.04, CFI = 0.97, TLI = 0.96, SRMR = 0.03, CD = 0.99.
70 André Schaffrin and Alexander Schmidt-Catran
1 The percentage of protected terrestrial and marine areas (of the total ter-
ritorial area) (source: Millennium Development Goals Data Base, United
Nations); we expect this variable to have a positive effect in terms of envi-
ronmental quality and tourism.
2 The percentage of agricultural land use (of all land area) (source: World
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Development Indicators, World Bank) and also expect this variable to have a
positive effect.
3 The percentage of renewable energy use of all energy consumption and we
expect a positive effect of this variable as well (source: authors’ calculations
from the Energy Use Data Base, United Nations).
As a control variable we include GDP per capita (at current prices) in US$1,000
in our model. We also tested for GDP growth as an additional control variable but
excluded it as it was not significant.
We derived our final dataset by list-wise deletion. Table 3.2 shows the coun-
tries, years and number of individuals included in the multilevel analysis, which
we present in the next section. In total we have data from 35 countries, 59 country
years and 54,086 individual respondents. Owing to a lack of information on many
country-level indicators for 1993, our sample contains only very few countries in
this first wave. However, a sufficiently large number of countries is included in
both 2000 and 2010 to allow not only for a cross-sectional but also a longitudinal
analysis, which investigates how changes over time affect the dependent variables
(see Methods).
Methods
Our data have a three-level structure with individuals at level 1, nested in coun-
try years (samples) at level 2, which in turn are nested in countries at level 3
(Schmidt-Catran and Fairbrother, 2016). This data structure constitutes a quasi-
panel at the level of countries and allows estimating multilevel models which
break down the effects of country-level variables into their cross-sectional and
longitudinal components. As individuals are not observed repeatedly, individ-
ual-level effects can only be estimated cross-sectionally. Malcolm Fairbrother
proposed the modelling approach that we use here (see Fairbrother, 2014 for a
detailed treatment of our approach) and also used it for the analysis of environ-
mental attitudes (2013).
As our dependent variables are factor scores, we treat them as continuous and
normally distributed variables and therefore use linear hierarchical regression
modelling. Basically, our model is a simple three-level model (with the structure
described above). However, it breaks down the effects of time-varying country-
level variables into cross-sectional (between) and longitudinal (within) effects
by means of a variable transformation. For each time-varying country-level
variable, the model contains two variables: one being the average value across
Changing concern about threats and risks 71
Table 3.2 Number of respondents per country–year used in statistical analysis (after
list-wise deletion).
Respondents
Hungary 1,122
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Netherlands 1,480
Portugal 971
Argentina 671
Australia 1,419
Austria 941 612
Belgium 749
Bulgaria 1,033 849 511
Canada 882 532
Chile 1,451 736
Croatia 530
Czech Republic 1,112 693
Denmark 841
Finland 1,207 577
France 1,186
Germany 1,442 786
Israel 495
Japan 970 615
Korea (South) 1,200
Latvia 881 356
Lithuania 452
Mexico 1,166 456
New Zealand 956 704
Norway 1,257 851
Philippines 1,163 996
Russia 1,735 1,580 808
Slovak Republic 719
Slovenia 864 992 377
South Africa 1,606
Spain 705 1,284
Sweden 907 711
Switzerland 581 767
Turkey 1,019
United Kingdom 816 517
United States 1,339 1,033 875
Source: ISSP 1993, 2000, 2010.
within effects should provide better estimates of causal effects because they are
based only on the variation that is observed within units over time. Note that the
described transformation to derive within components is equivalent to the fixed
effects transformation used in panel-data analysis (Andress et al., 2013, p. 126ff).
Therefore, within effects cannot be biased by unobserved heterogeneity between
the countries.
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Results
Decription
Table 3.3 presents four regression models for each of three dependent variables.
We also estimated empty models which break down the total variances into their
components at each of the three levels. For dependent variable awareness we
observe about 11% of the variance at the level of countries and about 2% at
the level of country years. For dependent variable efficacy the values are very
similar; namely, about 12% and 2%, respectively. Thus in both cases there is
indeed a reasonable amount of between-country variance that can potentially
be explained. The variance observed at the level of country years is rather small
but still significant, which indicates that the models also have the potential to
explain changes over time. The variable ‘willingness to pay’ shows slightly dif-
ferent values. We find about 5% of the variance between countries and about 3%
between country years. Thus, compared with the other two dependent variables,
enduring differences between countries are rather small, while there are stronger
changes over time.
In the first set of models (M1), we include only a time trend but no individual-
or country-level variables. These models have a rather descriptive purpose and
reveal that there is no significant trend over time with regard to the awareness
of environmental threats and willingness to pay. Environmental efficacy, on the
other hand, shows a significant positive trend.1 In the second set of models (M2),
we included all individual-level variables. As we have standardized all dependent
variables, the effect size of each independent variable can be compared across
the three dependent variables. Education has a highly significant positive impact
on awareness, efficacy and willingness to pay but the effect appears to be much
stronger on the latter two. Age has a negative and significant effect on awareness
and efficacy, but a positive one on willingness to pay. The positive effect of age,
however, is relatively weak and disappears in the later models.
The relative income position within a country has no effect on awareness of
environmental threats but a significant positive effect on efficacy and willingness
to pay, with the latter effect being almost twice as strong as the former. Women
show significantly higher awareness and efficacy, but no significant difference
with men regarding willingness to pay. Respondents living in urban areas show
higher levels of awareness and also willingness to pay, but no significant difference
from residents in non-urban areas when it comes to efficacy. Employment status
affects perceived efficacy and willingness to pay. With regard to the latter, we find
Changing concern about threats and risks 73
that unemployed respondents are less willing to pay compared with respondents
who are employed or who are not in the labour force. On the other hand, employed
respondents show higher perceived efficacy compared with unemployed and non-
working respondents. Finally, post-materialism has a positive effect on all three
dependent variables. The effect is strongest on the willingness to pay and weakest
on awareness.
The individual-level variables included in the model M2 have quite good
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explanatory power with regard to efficacy and willingness to pay. Of the variance
in efficacy, compared with the M1 models, the M2 models reduce the unexplained
variance (the variance components) by about 8% of the individual level, about
28% of the country level and about 3% of the country-year level. With regard to
willingness to pay they explain about 5%, 12% and 19%, respectively, while the
figures for awareness are about 2%, 1% and 0%.
In the M3 models, we add GDP/C (in US$1,000). Note that our modelling
approach yields two estimates for each variable, a (longitudinal) within effect
(WE) and a (cross-sectional) between effect (BE). Economic wealth has a sig-
nificant positive effect on the awareness of environmental threats. We are able to
identify this effect cross-sectionally (-0.0145***) and longitudinally (-0.0064*),
which we see as a good indicator of the actual presence of this effect. Efficacy is
positively influenced by economic wealth but this effect can only be identified
cross-sectionally (0.0167***) and not longitudinally.
With regard to the willingness to pay we find a positive effect of economic
wealth, which again can be identified cross-sectionally (0.0086***) and longi-
tudinally (0.0059*). The amount of explained variance at the country level is
about 41% for awareness (increase compared with M1: 46%); 73%, for effi-
cacy (increase compared with M1: 44%); and about 35% for willingness to pay
(increase compared with M1: 23%). At the country-year level the explained vari-
ances are 2% for awareness (increase compared with M1: 0.5%), 10% for efficacy
(increase compared with M1: 7%) and 30% for willingness-to-pay (increase com-
pared with M1: 11%).
In the last set of models (M4) we enter the independent country-level variables
of interest. In general, we find only a very limited number of significant effects.
Threat awareness increases with a rise in renewable energy use. This effect can
be found only within countries (1.65*) but not between them. Thus, within a
given country, awareness increases when the percentage of renewable energy use
increases but this does not pertain between countries. Between countries we find a
significant negative effect of pesticide regulation on efficacy (-0.009*). We find a
positive effect of access to improved drinking water, which can be identified cross-
sectionally (0.0415**) and longitudinally (0.0347*). Finally, we find a significant
positive effect of within-country changes in protected terrestrial and marine areas
(0.005*). As for willingness to pay, we find a significant positive longitudinal
effect of pesticide regulations. In this last set of models, the explained variance
between countries does not increase by much but the variance explained at the
level of country years does: 10 percentage points for awareness; 16 for efficacy;
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Table 3.3 Multilevel models of awareness, efficacy and willingness with breakdown of cross-sectional and longitudinal effects.
M1 M2 M3 M4
Aware Efficacy Willingness Aware Efficacy Willingness Aware Efficacy Willingness Aware Efficacy Willingness
Individual-level
variables
Years of 0.0123*** 0.0500*** 0.0453*** 0.0123*** 0.0499*** 0.0451*** 0.0123*** 0.0498*** 0.0451***
schooling
Age -0.0022*** -0.0037*** 0.0005* -0.0022*** -0.0037*** 0.0004 -0.0022*** -0.0038*** 0.0005
Household -0.0092 0.0453*** 0.0785*** -0.0089 0.0458*** 0.0784*** -0.0090 0.0464*** 0.0782***
Income
(relative)
Gender 0.1550*** 0.0947*** 0.0044 0.1549*** 0.0947*** 0.0044 0.1550*** 0.0946*** 0.0044
(women = 1)
Residency (big 0.1052*** -0.0081 0.0326*** 0.1048*** -0.0078 0.0333*** 0.1047*** -0.0073 0.0334***
city = 1)
Employment
status
Not in labor Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref.
force
Employed -0.0019 0.0658*** 0.0118 -0.0019 0.0656*** 0.0117 -0.0019 0.0653*** 0.0116
Unemployed -0.0014 -0.0157 -0.0401* -0.0018 -0.0156 -0.0399* -0.0021 -0.0156 -0.0402*
Post- 0.0686*** 0.1646*** 0.1931*** 0.0689*** 0.1645*** 0.1928*** 0.0689*** 0.1646*** 0.1928***
materialism
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Year
1993 Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref.
2000 0.0554 0.1114* -0.1103 0.0438 0.1194* -0.1137 0.0718 0.0938* -0.1278* 0.0789 0.0546 -0.1839**
2010 -0.0279 0.2467 *** -0.0213 -0.0163 0.1418** -0.1787* 0.1117 0.1592** -0.2785*** 0.0696 0.0460 -0.3128***
Country-level
variables
GDP/C (in -0.0145*** 0.0167*** 0.0086*** -0.0129** 0.0143*** 0.0109**
US$1,000)
[BE]
GDP/C (in -0.0064* -0.0032 0.0059* -0.0061* -0.0021 0.0050*
US$1,000)
[WE]
Pesticide -0.0085 -0.0090* -0.0057
regulation
[BE]
Pesticide 0.0015 0.0085 0.0258**
regulation
[WE]
Improved -0.0150 0.0415** -0.0086
drinking
water [BE]
Improved 0.0120 0.0347* -0.0039
drinking
water [WE]
(continued)
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Table 3.3 (continued)
M1 M2 M3 M4
Aware Efficacy Willingness Aware Efficacy Willingness Aware Efficacy Willingness Aware Efficacy Willingness
Variance
components
Var(Country) 0.1144*** 0.1286*** 0.0622*** 0.1205*** 0.0923*** 0.0549*** 0.0671*** 0.0351*** 0.0402*** 0.0656*** 0.0263*** 0.0456***
Var(Year) 0.0186*** 0.0091*** 0.0213*** 0.0183*** 0.0088*** 0.0173*** 0.0182*** 0.0082*** 0.0149*** 0.0148*** 0.0049*** 0.0096***
Var(Individual) 0.8656*** 0.8450*** 0.9322*** 0.8508*** 0.7798*** 0.8823*** 0.8508*** 0.7798*** 0.8823*** 0.8508*** 0.7798*** 0.8823***
Statistics
N (Country) 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35
N (Country- 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59
year)
N(Individual) 54,086 54,086 54,086 54,086 54,086 54,086 54,086 54,086 54,086 5,4086 54,086 54,086
AIC 145,950.42 144,635.33 14,9942.14 145,034.74 140,299.88 146,974.33 145,020.74 140,271.92 146,965.14 145,034.53 140,270.06 146,976.72
BIC 1460,03.81 144,688.72 149,995.53 145,159.32 140,424.45 147,098.91 145,163.11 140,414.3 147,107.52 145,265.88 140,501.41 147,208.08
Notes: * p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p<.001 (one-sided tests). [BE] = between-country effect, [WE] = within-country effect
Source: ISSP 1993, 2000, 2010.
78 André Schaffrin and Alexander Schmidt-Catran
and 25 for willingness to pay. Although we do not find many significant effects,
this result might indicate that the contextual-level effect on environmental attitudes
might be better explained and investigated by means of longitudinal analysis within
countries rather than by cross-sectional comparisons among them. One reason
might be that the unobserved heterogeneity between countries is simply too large.
Longitudinal analyses within countries, on the other hand, provide effects that hold
any time-constant country-level characteristics constant.
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Discussion
The results allow an interpretation of individual determinants of environmental
concern and national indicators of positive and negative context conditions at the
country level. First, as suggested by Inglehart (2008, 2002, 1971), post-materialists
consistently show more concern for the environment than respondents who are
more materially oriented, net of individual and national affluence and other condi-
tions. This finding underlines the argument for a strong value basis of individual
environmental concern, which is significantly independent of economic changes
and interest factors. Not in line with our assumptions is the finding that the effect
of post-materialism is stronger for efficacy and the willingness-to-pay measure
than for individual awareness of environmental threats. One possible explanation
for this is that awareness depends much more on external factors such as the actual
physical threat or media coverage of environmental issues. Post-materialists play
a positive role in the awareness of these issues, but they are even more relevant
when it comes to decisions on behaviour intentions.
Figure 3.1 supports this idea when looking at the national level. With respect
to awareness, it seems that non-Western countries from South America, Oceania
or Asia have the highest levels of awareness but low post-materialist values.
In fact, these are the regions with the greatest vulnerability to environmental
threats and massive environmental changes, such as the depletion of rainforests
(South America), air pollution (Asia) or risk of flooding (Oceania). However,
high population means of post-materialism play a positive role for environmental
efficacy and willingness to pay, whereas Eastern Europe clearly sticks out from
the European pattern (all filled symbols). This finding very much supports the
idea of a strong influence of personal values developed over generations in the
wealthier countries, whereas Eastern Europe has only had very recent centuries
to follow that path.
Second, our results support the hypothesis that positive and negative con-
text conditions influence environmental concern at the individual level. Higher
education equips a person with the knowledge about how to avoid exposure to
environmental threats, or how to discover opportunities for financial investment
returns from renewable energy. Also, in line with the interest approach, is the find-
ing that younger respondents are more aware of environmental issues and engage
more with environmental efficacy. Nowadays, more and more information is
provided via new media and so younger cohorts have a major advantage in being
able to exercise individual control about what concerns their environment and the
Changing concern about threats and risks 79
0.4
0.2
Awareness
0
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−0.2
−0.4
0 South America
Oceania
−0.2 Asia
South Africa
−0.4 Israel
Turkey
0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
Fitted values
0.5
Willingness to pay
−0.5
means to do something about it. Negative interests arise out of individual exposure
to environmental threats and risks induced by environmental policies in the labour
market. In line with our assumptions, respondents living in urban areas with higher
population densities, lower air quality and increasingly high noise levels are more
80 André Schaffrin and Alexander Schmidt-Catran
aware of environmental problems, and are willing to pay more than rural residents.
On the dimension of efficacy, the motivation of urban people to be informed and
become active in changing their personal situation might rate equally with citizens’
knowledge and attachment to nature in rural areas. Furthermore, awareness is
equally high independent of the respondents’ employment status, but unemployed
citizens are more concerned about potential risks to the labour market induced by
environmental policies, and this shows up in lower levels of efficacy and willing-
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ingness to pay and efficacy (e.g., Conroy and Emerson, 2014; Fairbrother, 2013;
Franzen and Vogl, 2013b; Kemmelmeier et al., 2002; Nawrotzki and Pampel,
2013). Proponents of this approach generally argue that willingness to pay is
the most reliable measure of environmental concern since it takes account of the
intra-personal conflict between environmental behavioural intentions and per-
sonal resources (Gelissen, 2007; Kidd and Lee, 1997; Meyer and Liebe, 2010).
However, this argument seems especially suitable for higher-income respondents
and accords with the economic idea of an increasing demand for environmental
goods, as proposed by the affluence approach. Yet scholars stressing the impor-
tance of environmental degradation as a trigger for environmental concern argue
that awareness better reflects the environmental concerns of disadvantaged groups
and nations (Arbuthnott et al., 2012; Brechin, 1999). The importance of consider-
ing the tripartite conceptualization of environmental concern is also underlined by
the finding that post-materialist values show no consistent effects across the three
measures and that, even more commonly, studies of demographic variables such
as gender or age (see Gifford and Nilsson, 2014 for a review) reveal no significant
influence on the personal willingness to pay for environmental goods.
Conclusion
This article contributes to the literature on environmental sociology by providing
a discussion and empirical analyses of different dimensions of environmental con-
cern. It addresses the need: (1) to develop a more thorough understanding of the
variation in environmental concern cross-nationally and within societies, using
more general value approaches (Dietz et al., 2005; Milfont et al., 2006; Schultz
and Zelezny, 1998) and more recent findings from environmental psychology
(Hansla et al., 2013; Kaiser and Scheuthle, 2003; Milfont et al., 2006; Milfont
and Duckitt, 2010; Milfont and Gouveia, 2006; Wiseman and Bogner, 2003);
(2) to identify and discuss the context of positive and negative context conditions
as sources of personal interests and vulnerabilities influencing environmental con-
cern (Gifford, 2011; Marshall et al., 2005; Schaffrin, 2011b; Whitmarsh, 2009);
and (3) to demonstrate that the determinants have different effects on different
components of environmental concern across countries (Diekmann and Franzen,
1999; Dunlap and York, 2008; Marquart-Pyatt, 2012; Schaffrin, 2011b).
This research examined environmental concern using the ISSP Environment
(1993, 2000 and 2003) datasets for a multilevel, comparative analysis consider-
ing national variations over time. The results confirm the basic assumptions of
82 André Schaffrin and Alexander Schmidt-Catran
Note
1 Please note that our sample is only of limited value for the estimation of a general time
trend because the set of countries included is both selective and different for each wave.
Changing concern about threats and risks 83
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Part II
in Europe
Personal activist profiles
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Explaining environmental
activism by national cultures
The hypothesis of hysteresis
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Jean-Paul Bozonnet
Common sense and literature tell a story where some nations in Europe are green
and virtuous and others are not. The eternal ‘spirit of the people’ would lead some
countries to environmental commitment and others to artificial worlds; to a delib-
erate and even joyful destruction of nature. Such are the differences described
between Protestants and Catholics: the French artificial alignment of Versailles
pitted against the blurred natural British gardens; or the Mediterranean taste for
vibrant city crowds contrasted with the romantic German solitude of the forest;
not to mention the Slavic soul and its infinite nostalgia for nature. This tradi-
tional literature probably encourages the current commonplaces about the green
German and Nordic models, as opposed to the environmental laxness imagined in
Mediterranean countries.
This chapter deals with the different levels of environmental activism in
European countries. The objective is to answer the question: What has this envi-
ronmental commitment to do with national cultures in Europe? Specifically, after
describing how activism is spread over the continent, we will identify the factors
that explain this distribution. Could these factors be a product of various forms of
a universal rational choice, or do they reflect specific elements of each country?
In short, is the concept of national culture relevant when analysing environmental
mobilization or is it a purely imaginary construct?
of the value system. Culture is wider than artistic activity, because it also affects
politics, education, economy, technology etc. It cannot be reduced to ideology
since it also includes physical activity and the things themselves through their
design. This definition coincides with that of most ethnologists since the nine-
teenth century (Tylor, 1871).
But this definition of culture is not completely adequate for our purposes. In
fact, it includes both instrumental rational goals, which are universal, and value-
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rational goals, which are related to specific groups or societies (Weber, 1965).
We will put aside the goals related to rational choice and only retain those guided
by those values that characterize national cultures studied here. Two additional
features need to be added to the definition. First, cultures are transmitted through
socialization, and whatever their origins, acquired values quickly become super-
personal and anonymous (Kroeber, 1952). They are printed in cultural patterns
and applied to entities of different sizes, from large civilizations or nations to
small groups that can be analysed as subcultures. Thus, cultural anthropology
argues that, although inherited from known historical circumstances, cultures
remain largely unconscious for individuals. Second, every culture is specific to
a collective entity, and the operational criteria to identify it are the significant
differences between these entities. Conversely, what is universal is deemed to be
outside of cultures (Lévi-Strauss, 2003).
Our definition has at least two consequences. First, it is quite far from that
set out by Mary Douglas, Shalom Schwartz and Ronald Inglehart, who insist
much more on the psychological aspect and universality of cultural values
(Milfont, 2012), while here we focus on the specificity of a society. Second,
it is based on socialization, and this will lead us to the concept of hysteresis
(Bourdieu, 1979; 2002). This helps us understand more precisely the function-
ing of the socialization that is at the root of national cultures, which foster or
hamper environmental activism.
In addition, this conception of cultures clarifies the meaning of several other
concepts: political culture, national culture and environmental culture.
As far as culture is concerned, the concept applies to very different objects. It
can be considered from the perspective of the political choices made by a soci-
ety or a social group, which then represent a political culture. Cultural values
permeate societies in their relationships to the State: they leave their mark not
just on the political aims, but also on the means used to achieve them; namely,
on the political regimes, public policies and various forms of participation. For
example, choosing the repertoire of the demonstration or the association reflects
a different political culture than waiting for the State to take action. Scholars have
shown that political cultures vary greatly according to social class or religion
(Bréchon, 2004).
Culture may be regarded from the nation’s point of view. We then distinguish
different national cultures, in that they propose specific goals and means, which
characterize the relationship to the State, business, religion, and all kinds of beliefs
and customs specific to a country.
Explaining environmental activism by culture 93
At last we can apply the concept of culture to different areas of social life. So,
environmentalism is part of the culture of a country, since it lays down the pro-
tection of nature and the environment as goals and values for its citizens. Thus,
environmental cultures are found in attitudes and opinions, as well as in different
behaviours that reflect environmental commitment, such as petition, demonstra-
tion, organization membership or donation.
Environmental activism is a less controversial concept than culture. Two
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the respective parts of an explanation via universal rational choice, and via the
national cultures specific to each country.
The data come from the 2010 ISSP.1 The environmental activism indicator
is a cumulative index constructed on the basis of four questions with respect to:
protesting, environmental group membership, petitioning on environmental issues
and contributing to environmental organizations in last five years. This index is
reduced to a binary variable with two values: ‘at least one action; or ‘no action’.
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The construction of the indicators for the independent variables and their value
labels:
All the European countries in the ISSP-2010 survey were selected here up to a
total of 20. We also included Russia and Turkey because it is justifiable here,
even though the question of whether they belong to Europe is sometimes debated:
the high rate of Orthodox Christians and Muslims in these countries provides
meaningful data for these religions; a key variable of our hypothesis. The list
of these countries can be seen in Table 4.1. Moreover, in order to introduce the
national dimension in the logistic regression, we constructed a new variable –
‘European areas’ – with a reduced number of only 10 modalities. The grouping
was constructed on the basis of three criteria: country size, geographic proximity
and comparable percentages of environmental activism. Where the latter criterion
was absent we kept the country separate; for example, Switzerland.
Regarding weighting in the tables, we used the national weight for each coun-
try considered separately. In addition, the totals in the tables and the European
areas are weighted by the population size of each country.
Results
After presenting the large variations in environmental activism in European coun-
tries, we will review the main factors by giving the percentages and results of the
logistic regression.
Explaining environmental activism by culture 95
the continent. Switzerland is still the leader when it comes to giving donations
(33.8%), closely followed by Finland (25.9%), and far ahead of Belgium (13.1%)
and France (9.4%). Finally, participating in an environmental demonstration is
most common in France (10. 8%) and Spain (10.6%), and far less common in
other countries (little more than 4%). Interestingly, despite their strong reputa-
tion for having a green attitude, people in Germany and the Nordic countries do
not seem to be more involved in environmental activism than people in France or
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Belgium.
Despite this seemingly chaotic patchwork, there is a general logic in terms
of European geography. Overall, environmental activism is most widespread
in Western and Northern Europe: 28% to more than 40% of citizens, according
to the countries, perform at least one action. The percentages (about 20%) are
lower in Southern and Central Europe (Spain, the Czech Republic, Slovakia,
Croatia and Slovenia), and even lower in far Eastern Europe, particularly in
Turkey and Russia (7.7% to 8.1%). Are these differences a result of the influence
of national cultures?
Economic causality
There is a strong correlation (r = 0.85) between the environmental activism index
and the European country’s GDP (see detailed variables in Table 4.2). For exam-
ple, Bulgaria, with a GDP per capita of US$15,074 a year, has only 12.4% of
people taking part in at least one environmental action, while Switzerland, with a
GDP per capita of US$51,322 has 43.2%.
However, this correlation is far too general to be relevant, and must also be ver-
ified individually. That’s why we crossed the environmental commitment with the
household income (quartiles) of each country. For each of these, the correlation
is confirmed but remains low: Cramer’s V is only 0.13 for the total (Table 4.2).
Traditionally, two theories explain why environmental activism correlates with
wealth. First of all, the thesis of Maslow (2008), which is close to functionalism,
invokes the hierarchy of human needs: once basic needs are satisfied, the higher
demands gradually replacing them become imperious. Thus, environmental val-
ues would spread among individuals wealthy enough to not to have to worry about
economic or security requirements. But Maslow’s theory was heavily criticized:
if ecologically friendly behaviour gradually supplants others during periods of
abundance, this would not be owing to the satisfaction of mysterious basic needs,
but to the decline in the marginal utility of these latter behaviours (Inglehart &
Flanagan, 1987). This microeconomic reasoning is reinforced at the macrolevel by
Kuznets theory, which predicts that developed countries will improve their envi-
ronmental quality, because people have enough resources to mobilize themselves
and implement environmental policies, which explains the correlation with GDP
seen above (Grossman & Krueger, 1995). Economic causality relies mostly on
rational choice. This theory is also widely used by sociologists to explain political
participation (Olson, 1971), and commitment to the environment, and, therefore,
the policies or practices that result (Diekmann & Franzen, 1999). More broadly,
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Table 4.2 ‘Environmental activism index: at least 1 action’ according to socio-demographic variables (ISSP 2010).
GDP by ‘environmental Correlation (Cramer’s V) between ‘environmental activism index: at least one action ‘and . . .
activism index: at least
one action’
= > r = 0.89
GDP** % of . . . quartiles . . . Subjective . . . Post- . . . Years of . . . Social . . . Religious
‘environmental of social class materialism schooling trust belonging
activism index: household placement (4 (3 (Index:
at least 1 income (quartiles) modalities) modalities) q4a + b)
action ’
Austria 41,864 33.0% 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.14 The data do
Belgium 39,142 27.9% 0.18 0.11 0.13 0.19 0.13 not allow the
Bulgaria 15,074 12.4% 0.16 0.19 0.14 0.23 0.14 calculation of
Croatia 18,969 18.3% 0.12 ns 0.17 0.21 0.09 Cramer’s V
Czech Republic 27,051 18.9% 0.13 0.11 0.14 0.19 0.10
Denmark 41,807 29.5% 0.11 ns 0.18 0.07* 0.08*
Finland 38,297 32.5% ns ns ns 0.15 0.12
France 35,867 34.3% 0.11 0.07 0.22 0.15 0.14
Germany 39,612 28.3% 0.16 0.13 0.21 0.17 0.15
Latvia 17,398 9.8% ns 0.11 ns 0.12 ns
Lithuania 20,071 8.6% 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.20 0.17
Norway 58,772 30.6% ns ns 0.11 0.08 0.12
Russia 20,498 8.1% 0.15 0.11 0.16 0.07* ns
Slovak Republic 24,499 19.9% 0.10 0.16 0.15 0.16 ns
Slovenia 27,589 17.0% 0.21 0.13 0.15 0.22 0.17
Spain 32,351 23.4% 0.24 0.14 0.19 0.25 0.16
(continued)
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GDP by ‘environmental Correlation (Cramer’s V) between ‘environmental activism index: at least one action ‘and . . .
activism index: at least
one action’
= > r = 0.89
GDP** % of . . . quartiles . . . Subjective . . . Post- . . . Years of . . . Social . . . Religious
‘environmental of social class materialism schooling trust belonging
activism index: household placement (4 (3 (Index:
at least 1 income (quartiles) modalities) modalities) q4a + b)
action ’
Sweden 41,727 34.1% 0.11 ns 0.15 0.11 0.10
Switzerland 51,322 43.2% 0.14 0.18 0.18 0.22 0.20
Turkey 16,155 7.7% 0.16 0.10 0.13 0.24 ns
United Kingdom 35,855 29.5% 0.12 - 0.10* 0.24 0.11
Total 23.4% 0.13 0.15 0.18 0.19 0.16 0.25
* Significance from 0.05 to 0.10.
** GDP per capita (purchasing-power-parity):Thousands US$ per year in 2010 (source: World Bank)
All other variables are described above in ‘Data and methods’ section.
Explaining environmental activism by culture 99
and class indicator: the subjective social-class placement (Table 4.2). Scholars
explained long ago that it is the middle classes rather than blue-collar workers
who are most involved in green behaviour (Morrison, 1973; Lange & Meier,
2009). This explanation can be considered as a modality of the economic cau-
sality. But overall, the correlations with household income and social class are
fairly low; the logistic regression confirms the weak influence of economic
factors, since the individuals in the highest quartile had only 1.5 more chances
to be involved in an environmental action than those of the lowest quartile
(Table 4.3). Ultimately, the mobilized citizens are the wealthiest, but it is not
really wealth that explains their mobilization.
Theoretically, economic factors do not fall under cultural assumption, in the
sense that rational choice implies a universal and uniform causality, whereas cul-
tures represent the specific choices of each country. However, this argument is not
as definitive as it seems: could the economy exert its influence through culture?
Post-materialism
The answer to that question was provided by Ronald Inglehart (1997). According
to this author, economic abundance has a minimal effect on people’s values in a
direct way, which explains the low correlations relative to economic indicators:
it only has an impact on people who have spent their childhood in a context of
abundance. In short, the economy is a necessity, albeit not a sufficient condition;
in order to determine the values, it must pass through socialization.
The values that lead to environmental activism are already present in indus-
trial societies, but cannot be expressed because of constraints as a result of
economic and security priorities. With the postmodern loosening of these institu-
tional constraints, post-materialist values can come to light; in turn, they become
compelling and, among other consequences, lead citizens to mobilize in order
to promote environmental policies (Inglehart, 1995). Post-materialism consists
of a system of values, concerning mainly the maintainance of order, economic
prosperity, freedom of speech and political participation – all indicators included
in ISSP-2010 (Q3a & b), and homogenous enough to create an index (see ‘Data
and methods’ section).
The overall correlation with post-materialist dimensions is rather strong
(Cramer’s V: 0.18) and found regularly in all countries (Table 4.2). Indeed, only
10% of materialist respondents are engaged in environmental actions, instead of
39% among post-materialist ones. The latter are 2.6 times more likely to mobilize
than the former, as shown by logistic regression (Table 4.3).
100 Jean-Paul Bozonnet
In the end, economic influence has relatively little direct impact, but it is
exerted through socialization, instilling new values linked to individualism. The
process is theoretically universal: for example, it can just as well be observed in
China as in Europe or elsewhere, and as such, we can challenge the fact that it
falls within culture. However, these values, which are produced by socialization,
are experienced personally as an imperious necessity demanded by institutions.
Consequently, they cannot be reduced to a rational calculation, and, in the end,
they may also be considered as part of the cultural heritage.
Cognitive mobilization
The theory of cognitive mobilization (Inglehart, 1970) is a second explanation
commonly cited for the emergence of both environmentalism and new reper-
toires, such as to petition, demonstrate or become a member of an association.
Since these actions consist of intent behaviours – i.e. behaviours governed by
environmental purposes – activists should be fully aware of them. This cogni-
tive dimension is acquired by socialization through family, school, media and
peers. The main indicators of cognitive mobilization are political interest, talk-
ing about politics, media exposure or the education level of the respondent and
their relatives. ISSP-2010 does not provide all these indicators, only the most
important of them: schooling. On this point, the correlation is strong enough
(Cramer’s V = 0.19) between the duration of schooling and environmental activ-
ism (Table 4.2). Logistic regression confirms this strength: respondents with a
higher education level are 2.4 times more likely to engage in activism than those
with primary-level schooling (Table 4.3).
Cognitive mobilization has to do with rational choice: in real life, human
action is often far from purely rational, because it is limited by access to
information in two ways (Simon, 1955). First, it is limited by the degree of
knowledge of the aims of action: for example, some people are not aware of
ecological issues, which are not restricted to local pollution, but affect the
planet as a whole. Cognitive mobilization expresses this planetary conscious-
ness as a form of contemporary civic culture, opposed to the narrow-minded
vision of the ancient parochial community (Almond & Verba, 1989). Second,
cognition involves not only the goals but also the means, including the skills
for mastering social repertoires. Learning how to create a petition, organize a
demonstration or manage an association presupposes specific social techniques
that activists must acquire (Tilly, 1984).
Explaining environmental activism by culture 101
This global knowledge and these practical skills are learned during repeated
contact with certain institutions, especially university (Andersen, 1990): ISSP-
2010 shows that having attended university is a stronger predictor of environmental
mobilization than a primary or secondary study level. Ultimately, cognitive
mobilization is part of the logic of rational choice according to two theories: that
of access to information ;and that of resources required for social movements
(Oberschall, 1994). In this context, it is a universal phenomenon, which does not
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Social capital
Social capital is frequently invoked to explain environmental commitment. It
completes economic abundance and cognitive mobilization factors that are not
enough to trigger environmental political behaviour on their own.
Social capital is a concept that can be defined as the stock of social rela-
tions based on trust in people or institutions, and is specific to a social group.
It has the effect of reducing transaction costs and facilitating action for the col-
lective good that otherwise would not occur (Coleman, 1988). Scholars have
emphasized the strong inequalities of social capital in the different European
countries (Putnam, Leonardi & Nanetti, 1994), and several of them have found
effective links between social capital and environmentalism (Jones, Malesios &
Botetzagias, 2009).
There are many indicators for measuring social capital, such as participation in
networks or citizenship, but the most common, present in the ISSP-2010, is social
trust (Q4a and b). These two questions were used to construct a cumulative index,
and the results show a significant but modest correlation (Cramer’s V of 0.16) in
most European countries (Table 4.2). Logistic regression confirms this low-level
relationship: the highest quartile of social capital is 1.7 times more likely to take
102 Jean-Paul Bozonnet
environmental action than the lowest quartile (Table 4.3). Social capital seems to
be a less decisive factor than cognitive mobilization.
What does social capital have to do with culture? First, this concept was cre-
ated within the framework of rational choice. Based mainly on trust, it introduces
an assurance in the prisoner’s dilemma, furthering reciprocity and thus increasing
the gains from cooperation (Grofman & Pool, 1975); it is more advantageous to
commit oneself to contributing to a public good when you have a guarantee that
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others will do so too (Coleman, 1988). Another way of analysing social capital
is to regard it as a resource for collective action (Paxton, 2002). From this point
of view, social capital is thus a way to overcome the obstacles of free-riding,
as it ensures that there are rewards for altruistic actions. All in all, the social
capital theory adds the concept of trust as an element to the rational choice para-
digm. This process remains entirely within the scope of rational choice, since trust
results from personal experiences of reciprocity.
Nonetheless, trust is not only acquired through personal experience, but
also much more by socialization and the norms enshrined in the minds of peo-
ple, as well as the social structure of the society in which one lives (Coleman,
1988). So, it is impossible to explain by experience alone the huge differences
in the levels of trust between different European countries, such as, for exam-
ple Sweden and Bulgaria. Trust is necessarily inculcated through socialization
during early childhood, by the family and during a person’s youth, through
schooling or by interacting with peers. Although social capital is rooted in
rational choice and the logic of interest, it depends largely on the legacy of
national cultures. Unfortunately, the ISSP-2010 does not provide adequate indi-
cators to determine the respective share of rational choice and cultural heritage
in relation to social capital.
Religion
Although religious affiliation and attendance of religious services are less fre-
quently tested variables, they have a strong influence on environmental
activism.
According to some scholars (Hand & Liere, 1984; Stoll, 2013), religion
affects environmentalism by proposing a cluster of values more or less favour-
able to its emergence and development. This influence works by socializing
individuals from an early age, and exerting a social pressure thereafter on the
worshippers. Thus, the religious factor cannot be explained by instrumental
rationality, but pertains to value rationality and to the concept of culture in its
ethnographical sense.
However, the influence of religion is controversial. A longstanding hypoth-
esis suggests that Judeo-Christianity would be the cause of assaults against
nature (White, 1967), and yes, some scholars found that people who attend
religious services are more anthropocentric (Hand & Liere, 1984). But the most
common theories link environmentalism to Protestantism (Stoll, 2013), based
Explaining environmental activism by culture 103
on the idea that nature would be more prevalent in Protestant theology than in
Catholicism. Unfortunately, the results of surveys contradict this: they found
less environmentalism among Protestants, especially among great readers of the
Bible, in contrast to Catholics, who are more distant from the book (Eckberg
& Blocker, 1989; Greeley, 1993; Guth & Green, 1995). Finally, other schol-
ars found a very weak link between religious affiliation and environmentalism
(Boyd, 1999), or no connection at all (Hornsby-Smith & Procter, 1995; Martin
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& Bateman, 2013). In reality, the relationship between religious affiliation and
environmentalism changes according to the type of indicator; results differ
depending on whether religion is compared to ecocentrism, concern, and a for-
tiori to various environmental behaviours (Sherkat & Ellison, 2007; Bozonnet,
2014). What about environmental activism in ISSP-2010?
Those who attend religious services at least once a week are clearly less likely
to be mobilized: 7% of them have engaged in environmental action compared to
more than 21% for the others. However, the logistic regression reduces this large
difference showing low or not significant correlations (Table 4.3). This blurred
relationship, which is quite low, reflects in reality very different rates across
Europe: in the Latin countries, religious attendance generates less environmental
commitment, but in countries with a Protestant culture, such as Germany, the UK
and Nordic countries, in contrast, it generates more. So this leads us directly to the
influence of religious affiliation.
Significantly, the differences in environmental activism according to religious
affiliation are the strongest encountered so far (Cramer’s V: 0.25; Table 4.2):
about 30% among Protestants and people without religion, and 25% among
Table 4.3 Percentages and binary logistic regression (exp B): ‘at least one environmental
action’ vs. ‘no action’.
(continued)
104 Jean-Paul Bozonnet
most likely with regard to environmental activism, but they also show other inter-
esting results that should be discussed.
Discussion
Why is Protestantism related to environmental activism? What are the social
mechanisms behind this correlation? What exactly are the roles of socialization
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and hysteresis? And, finally, how could they have shaped national cultures?
For a long time, several sociologists proposed an interpretation of the role of
Protestantism, based on John Calvin’s theology (Badie, 1983). Calvinism strongly
rejects the institutional mediation and obedience preached by the Catholic Church.
This rejection leads, on the one hand, to personal responsibility – the constraining
side of individual freedom, as previously examined here – and, on the other, to the
refusal of artificial iconography in favour of the representation of nature, the imme-
diate image of God (Viard, 2012). Creation is a proof of the existence of God and
therefore fosters the faith of believers; moreover, nature suggests a moral purity
to humans deemed as having been corrupted. This view spread among German
Lutherans, British Puritans and later, among American Transcendentalists such
as Thoreau (Stoll, 2013). As a consequence, this theological reasoning places an
emphasis on the two core values of the Protestant Reformation: personal auton-
omy and sensitivity to nature. Thus, Protestant culture is supposed to legitimize
political activism by encouraging individual action, in keeping with the repertoire
of new social movements. In addition, it would promote admiration and respect
for nature, predisposing its adherents to environmentalist commitments.
It is easy to deduce the formation mechanism of this culture, promoting individ-
ualism and love of nature. The believers, exposed to the influence of the Protestant
Church, acquire these values. Moreover, these are rooted in families, which in turn
transmit them to their children, even if they are not churchgoers, but just claim to
belong to the Protestant religion. This is the classic process of socialization. So,
religious affiliation may be considered largely outside the rational choice, since it
is almost always inherited, converts being a tiny minority everywhere. From this
perspective, the religious factor relates to culture.
However, the concept of socialization is not enough to explain why there is
so little difference between Protestants and Catholics today, and a so large gap
with Orthodox Christianity and Islam concerning environmental activism. The
most relevant explanation here seems Durkheim’s (2013) hypothesis about the
more or less high pervasiveness and coercion of religious institutions. We can
therefore see the high level of activism among Catholics as a result of the Roman
institution weakening, which constrains individuals today less than before, and
emphasizes personal responsibility instead. The waning influence of the Roman
Church would contribute to bringing Catholics values closer to Protestant ones.
This assumption also explains the much lower mobilization among Orthodox
Christians and above all among Muslims: these latter religions are much more
demanding, with highly constraining mandatory rituals, and require obedience
106 Jean-Paul Bozonnet
rather than individual initiative, especially with regard to activism. In the end, the
highest rate of the atheists and non-religious people falls under the same logic:
they are largely exempt from the obligations of religious institutions (Bozonnet,
2014). Religious issues help to shed light not only on Protestant environmental
activism, but also on other affiliations’ commitment, even for those who con-
sider themselves outside of religion. Thus, religion is an important dimension of
national culture as a whole, and proves to be a major cultural factor with respect
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to environmental activism.
We can now take stock of the different variables fostering environmental activ-
ism, and present, in a synthetic way, how they pertain to national cultures.
Part of them falls primarily under rational choice motivated by interest, includ-
ing direct economic influence, but this impact turns out to be rather low. Other
variables such as post-materialism, cognitive mobilization and social capital are
mixed: they combine the purposes of self-interest and other values, but the ISSP-
2010 does not measure the share of each of them. A last variable, religion, is highly
discriminating and falls quite exclusively within the cultural field because it does
not depend on rational choice, but is mainly received by inheritance. However, all
these variables involve transnational criteria that do not account for the specificity
of each country. They can be regarded as culture in the sense of immaterial activi-
ties, but not in the peculiar choice of a society such as defined above. What about
specific national cultures?
To answer this question, we must return to the differences between countries:
Do they still exist, ceteris paribus? that is to say, by neutralizing all other fac-
tors that may influence the environmental activism rate. Our approach consists of
grouping together these countries for statistical reasons in homogeneous areas (cf.
Data and methods section), and inserting them into the logistic regression (Table
4.3). Although they are far from completely solving the problem of identifying the
national influence, the results are highly suggestive.
Logistic regression shows huge differences of environmental activism between
European areas, regardless of all other factors. This means that there is an irreduc-
ible residue specific to each country or group of countries (Table 4.3). Moreover,
the remaining differences are higher than the simple percentages, since, for exam-
ple the Swiss are 8.9 times more likely to mobilize for the environment than the
inhabitants of the Baltic countries. Do these large discrepancies prove the exist-
ence of national cultures that are conducive, or not, to environmental activism?
A first hypothesis would attribute this residue only to the possible existence of
other variables not taken into account by the ISSP-2010 questionnaire. For exam-
ple, the crucial importance of the relationship to the State, which results from the
country’s political system, is often highlighted to explain the rate of environmental
activism (Dalton, Recchia & Rohrschneider, 2003). In the Baltic countries,
Lithuania and Latvia, and Central Europe (Slovenia, Slovakia, Czech Republic,
Croatia, Bulgaria) this rate is among the lowest, and even less with logistic regres-
sion (Table 4.3). This could be a result of the previous half-century under the rule
of the Soviet Union, with a ban on political participation from civil society.
Explaining environmental activism by culture 107
that would have an impact, but a legacy of values, derived from religion and
transmitted through socialization to the subsequent generations of the country
as a whole (Bréchon, 2004). But this concept of national culture is only identifi-
able through the correlation with countries, a residue of the logistic regression,
which cannot find alternative explanations; this residue has not been thoroughly
investigated and remains the result of a mysterious mechanism (a ‘black box’).
Yet, this phenomenon fits the model of the hysteresis effect well (Bourdieu,
1979). Bourdieu argues that the class habitus, perfectly adapted to a given period,
may become ineffective when society is changing. This often happens for farmers
or the ‘petty bourgeoisie’ such as shopkeepers, who represent declining classes.
For example, the matrimonial strategies of the peasants of Béarn, resulting from
education that had been transmitted for generations, were once effective, but they
no longer work in the present day, and these farmers cannot get married (Bourdieu,
2002). In short, hysteresis comes from the habitus acquired in family education,
which is inadequate today, but still imposes its social norms on the mind. In this
paper, we resume this definition not in a negative but in a positive way: the inculca-
tion of values, thanks to religious socialization, will persist even in the absence of
religious practices, but it will be adapted to other contemporary situations, such as
political participation and, more specifically, environmental activism. So, behav-
iours and collective action repertoires acquired during childhood remain active in
adulthood thereafter, and are passed on to successive generations, even if they are
not churchgoers. Moreover, the large number of these behaviours permeates the
national community as a whole, through the secondary socialization of the media,
schools and other ideological institutions. Two more accurate pieces of evidences
can be advanced in favour of this hypothesis. The first concerns the environmen-
tal activism gap between Protestants and Catholics: in Germany, Belgium and
Switzerland, where the two religions are widely present, their mobilization rates
are very similar, which would reflect to the impregnation of each one by the effect
of hysteresis. The second proof is to be found in Turkey, were we see that the
high multiplier of logistic regression is much larger than one would expect from
the very low percentage (Table 4.3), since the Turks, all things being equal, are as
likely to mobilize for the environment as Western or Northern Europeans. This is
possible because in the case of this country, unlike in others, religious attendance
is high, and its significant impact on activism is taken fully into account by the
variable religion, so that the effect of hysteresis has little consequence.
The same reasoning can be extended to other key variables: environmental
activism does not only take place among the rich, post-materialists and people
108 Jean-Paul Bozonnet
with high levels of education and social capital. It is also found among the poor
who have had rich or post-materialist parents, and among people who, though
poorly educated or distrustful, are heirs of parents who are highly educated and
confident in others. In either case, these parents have passed on their capac-
ity for political mobilization. These skills could also be acquired through the
media, schools or other ideological institutions. In short, the hysteresis effect
could be applied to all key variables studied above that are subject to socializa-
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tion. This process gives even more to those who already have a lot: Switzerland
is a good example because the Swiss have very high levels of wealth (GDP = US
$ 41,000), post-materialism (= 38%), education (= 38% higher), trust in others
(75% confidence), and Protestant or irreligious culture (58%), leading to by far
the largest multiple in the logistic regression (Table 4.3). Here, we have a typi-
cal example of positive feedback, and this sheds some light on the mechanisms
of hysteresis that work in a systemic way.
Conclusion
The hysteresis effect would be the way in which a specific national culture
becomes favourable, or not, to environmental activism. This process mixes indi-
vidualistic values, political competence and trust in others; all things that are
acquired directly, through inheritance from a family education or through sec-
ondary socialization by institutions such as schools, the media or associations.
Moreover, we have shown that one of the most important variables is probably
the value system derived from a society’s religious heritage. National culture does
not mean, in any way, the existence of an immutable and definitive frame; on
the contrary, it clearly appears as the evolutionary product of the history of each
country. However, in this case, the concept of hysteresis implies the existence of
a form of path dependency.
Finally, these results have the advantage of challenging many prejudices about
the eternal ‘spirit of the people’. The sociologist is a righter of wrongs, who
knocks some European nations off their pedestal and rehabilitates others that are
sometimes poorly judged by public opinion, and tell a story that causes national
cultures to lose some of their mystery, which increases their credibility.
Note
1 To know more about these data, and especially the survey sampling and questionnaire,
go to: http://www.issp.org/
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Chapter 5
Explaining membership in
pro-environmental groups
A comparative European perspective
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Introduction
Environmental activism and other pro-environmental behaviours are emerging
as important forms of civic activity, which engage both experts (social activ-
ists, scientists, politicians) and the public at large. Some research shows that
levels of involvement in pro-environmental activism differ among countries
(Longhofer & Schofer, 2010). However, there is no consensus about factors
which are responsible for this variation. Consequently, this chapter focuses on
studying cross-national variations of membership in pro-environmental groups,
seeking to explain the impact of country-level factors.
The main data source of this chapter is the International Social Survey
Programme (ISSP) module Environment III (ISSP Research Group, 2012).
The sample used in this chapter includes 25,132 respondents from 19 European
countries. The ISSP is one of the best data sources that allows cross-national com-
parison. There are a number of articles that concentrate on analysis of ISSP data,
particularly the thematic module Environment (Franzen, 2003; Hunter, Hatch &
Johnson, 2004; Franzen & Meyer, 2010; Freymeyer & Johnson, 2010; Balzekiene
& Telesiene, 2011; Hadler & Haller, 2011, 2013; Franzen & Vogl, 2013, Reyes,
2013, 2014). Franzen and Meyer (2010) investigated individual as well as cross-
national differences in environmental attitudes, employing Inglehart’s (1989)
theory of post-materialism, Dunlap and Mertig’s (1995) globalization explana-
tion, and the prosperity hypothesis. Hunter, Hatch and Johnson (2004) focused
on cross-national gender variation in environmental behaviours. Freymeyer and
Johnson (2010) investigated contextual and individual factors influencing envi-
ronmental behaviours in 26 countries. Reyes (2014) also took data from the
Environment modules of the ISSP in 1993, 2000 and 2010, and analysed attitudi-
nal dimensions, trends and significant predictors of public and private behaviour
in the Philippines. Balzekiene and Telesiene (2011) have concentrated on the
Lithuanian case and analysed the patterns of environmental behaviour, a statisti-
cal portrait of an environmentally active individual, and what influence the level
of environmental concern and subjectively assessed environmental knowledge
has upon environmental behaviour in Lithuania. Hadler and Haller (2011, 2013)
112 Eglė Butkevičienė and Vaidas Morkevičius
among countries regarding this type of behaviour. Thus this research addresses
the following questions that form the rationale of the chapter:
Theoretical background
Environmental activism can be understood as encompassing different dimen-
sions of actions. From the broader philosophical perspective, behaviours that
have a strong, explicitly expressed environmental orientation can be interpreted
as some sort of environmental activism differing in the levels of involvement.
Thus sometimes the conceptual line between environmental activism versus
pro-environmental behaviour is rather blurred. The literature exhibits a variety
of ways to understand and classify pro-environmental behaviours (Thøgersen,
2006; Fielding, McDonald & Louis, 2008; Lenox & Eesley, 2009; Whitmarsh &
O’Neill, 2010; Dono, Webb & Richardson, 2010; Saphores, Ogunseitan &
Shapiro, 2012). One of the ways to define pro-environmental activism is to focus
on its impact, and analyse behaviour that causes the environmental change either
directly or indirectly, by shaping the context in which choices about the environ-
ment are being made (Stern, 2000).
Membership in pro-environmental groups 113
in protest actions when they support or even defend some ideas. That requires
having higher levels of environmental awareness and knowledge. Alternatively, a
lack of awareness and knowledge about threats to the environment should result
in apathy/neutrality to pro-environmental activities.
Another determinant of membership in environmental groups is pro-
environmental behaviour in general. Analysing data from the 1993 ISSP survey,
Hunter et al. (2004) classified pro-environmental behaviour into two types: pri-
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vate behaviour and public behaviour. Hadler and Haller (2011) in their study
found that public behaviour is quite similar across countries, but private behav-
iour differs significantly and is more dependent on a national context. They also
predict that ‘the homogeneity of public behaviour across countries can also be
interpreted in another way: similarities across countries can be an outcome of
globalization forces, and the homogeneity of public behaviour can be considered
a global behavioural pattern’ (Hadler & Haller, 2011: p. 328).
These considerations lead to the prediction that countries with a higher level of
concern about environmental issues and more developed private and public pro-
environmental behaviours will be more likely to have more intensive membership
of their people in environmental groups.
Considering economic context, one of the most commonly used macrolevel
determinants is the wealth of a nation. The positive correlation between the wealth
of a nation and the acceptance of science and technology was found by Kim,
Choi and Wang (2013). Franzen and Meyer (2010) argue that, according to their
research, more environmental concern is reported in wealthier countries than in
poorer nations. This also supports Ingelhart’s (1995) view that in modern socie-
ties people from wealthier nations display more pro-environmental attitudes than
those from poorer countries. However, Kvaløy, Finseraas and Listhaug (2012),
examining individual and cross-national variation in the perception of the seri-
ousness of the global-warming issue, found that concern for global warming is
relatively evenly distributed among rich and poor countries and no significant
correlation could be found there. Freymeyer and Johnson (2010) investigated con-
textual factors influencing environmental behaviours for 26 countries and found
that respondents living in wealthier countries, no matter the country’s environ-
mental state, join environmental groups more often, sign petitions concerning the
environment, and give money for environmental causes.
As for social movements and active participation in non-governmental organ-
izations (NGOs), the political context is also very important. The quality of
democracy and social inclusiveness could foster active participation in different
associations and NGOs. As emphasized by Hadler and Haller (2011), ‘democ-
ratization, in general, promotes the participatory aspects of social movements’,
and ‘within repressive systems, movements are usually less successful, less
able to attract members, and might not develop at all’ (Hadler & Haller, 2011:
p. 318). There are many indices that measure the level of democracy in a c ountry:
Freedom House Index, Polity IV Index, World Governance Index by the World
Bank, Democracy Barometer Index etc. All these indices are important as they
Membership in pro-environmental groups 115
Further, we proceed with the presentation of our raw data – dependent (outcome)
and independent (explanatory factors or conditions) variables – and definitions of
fuzzification thresholds. Before doing that we note that the particular 19 European
countries were included in our analysis, because, in 2010, the International
Social Survey Programme (ISSP) conducted interviews on Environment III in
Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France,
Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway, Russia, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain,
Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom. The ISSP sample included 25,132
respondents from these countries. This survey is the only one that uses elaborate
measures of different aspects of environmentalism and includes questions on pro-
environmental activism.
We used membership in pro-environmental groups as the dependent variable. In
the ISSP Environment III module (2010) membership in pro-environmental groups
was measured by the question: ‘Are you a member of any group whose main aim
is to preserve or protect the environment?’ (answer categories: ‘Yes/No’). Using
answers to this question we constructed raw dependent variables of the percent-
age of respondents in a country reporting that they are members of a group whose
main aim is to preserve or protect the environment (MemberEnvGr). As we can
see in Fig. 5.1, membership in environmental groups is rather low in all European
countries: on average, just 5% (cross-country median) of the respondents in all 19
countries identified that they are members of some environmental group. Generally,
Membership in pro-environmental groups 117
14 13.5
12
10 9.8
8 7.8 7.9
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6.4
%
0
LVA
BGR
RUS
LTU
SVK
HRV
CZE
ESP
SVN
FIN
NOR
GBR
SWE
DEU
FRA
BEL
AUT
DNK
CHE
Figure 5.1 Membership in environmental groups.
Source: ISSP 2010, Question 21: Are you a member of any group whose main aim is to pre-
serve or protect the environment? (19 countries, N=25,132).
2 4 6 8 10 12
% in country
the most important for [COUNTRY] today?’ (answer options included ‘The
environment’). As we can see in Table 5.1, environmental issues did not get
much attention in all 19 European countries. Rather, issues such as the economy,
poverty, health for respondents’ countries care and education were considered
much more important (figures not reported here). The economy is an issue that is
emphasized by over 30% of populations in both Western countries, such as Spain,
Belgium, Denmark, Finland, and in Central and Eastern-European countries, such
as the Czech Republic, Slovenia, Latvia. In Lithuania and Bulgaria people are the
most concerned about the poverty issue. Northern countries such as Norway and
Sweden concentrate on health care, and Germany, on education. With regard to
the environment, Norway (15.6%) followed by Switzerland (13.5%) exhibit the
highest interest in the environment. The country with the least concerned popula-
tion regarding environmental issues was Lithuania (only 0.9% of the respondents
chose environment as the most important issue for the country). Here, we might
also divide countries into two groups with higher and lower levels of popular
interest in environmental issues: Western countries fall into a group with rela-
tively higher attention to the environment, while the post-communist countries
(like Lithuania, Latvia, Croatia, Bulgaria, Slovak Republic, Slovenia) lag behind
them, with the exception of the Czech Republic (4.8%), which exhibits a higher
score than the United Kingdom and Spain.
The extent of public- and private-sphere environmentally friendly behaviour in
analysed countries was calculated using a technique similar to Hadler and Haller
(2011, 2013). As our indicators, we employed the following eight environmentally
friendly behaviour items included in the ISSP Environment III module (2010):
Membership in pro-environmental groups 119
•• Three for the public sphere: Q22. In the last five years, have you . . . (answer
scale: 0 = ‘No’, 1 = ‘Yes’)
1 ‘signed a petition about an environmental issue?’
2 ‘given money to an environmental group?’
3 ‘taken part in a protest or demonstration about an environmental issue?’
•• Five for the private sphere: Q20. How often do you . . . (answer scale:
0 = ‘Never’; 1 = ‘Sometimes’; 2 = ‘Often’; and 3 = ‘Always’).
1 ‘make a special effort to sort glass, tins, plastic or newspapers, and so on,
for recycling?’
2 ‘make a special effort to buy fruit and vegetables grown without pesti-
cides or chemicals?’
3 ‘cut back on driving a car for environmental reasons?’
4 ‘reduce the energy or fuel you use at home for environmental reasons?’
5 ‘choose to save or re-use water for environmental reasons?’
120 Eglė Butkevičienė and Vaidas Morkevičius
populations in the analysed countries were engaged in during the previous five
years. Only Switzerland appeared as a country where a considerable proportion
of inhabitants (42.1%) was involved in pro-environmental public activities; eve-
rywhere else, it was less than a third of the population; and in countries such as
Lithuania, Latvia and Russia, this part constituted less than 10% of the population.
Again we might discern a pattern that Western-European countries exhibit
higher levels of population involvement in public-sphere environmentally friendly
behaviour than their counterparts in Eastern and Central Europe. With regard to
private-sphere environmentally friendly behaviour the data reveal quite similar
patterns. This type of behaviour is most frequently engaged in by populations in
Germany, France and Switzerland, whereas in Bulgaria, Russia and Latvia people
are less frequently involved in private-sphere environmentally friendly behav-
iour. Once again we see a pattern of the West vs. the East in our data distribution
(see Table 5.1).
For the fuzzification of the three variables reflecting pro-environmental aware-
ness and behaviour, included into the fsQCA as explanatory conditions, we defined
the following thresholds:
to 100, the most inclusive democratic institutions). Croatia and the Czech
Republic are the countries with the lowest scores on our index (36.83 and
37.05, respectively), while Switzerland and Sweden exhibit the highest scores
(63.51 and 64.72, respectively). Interestingly, the distribution of the scores
does not follow the previously observed pattern of the West vs. the East.
Therefore, we might infer that inclusiveness of democratic institutions is not
simply a matter of democratic longevity.
As our measure of public detachment from religious practice in a country
(ReligNoneESS), we used the percentage of people in the country who self-
reportedly do not belong to any religion. The data were retrieved from the European
Social Survey (ESS), which has a question measuring religious affiliation in its
core questionnaire (rlgblg| Do you consider yourself as belonging to any particu-
lar religion or denomination; answer scale: 0 = ‘No’, 1 = ‘Yes’). We averaged the
design weighted percentages of people reporting that they do not belong to any
religion or denomination in Rounds 4, 5 and 6.5 With the averaging procedure we
intended to decrease the possible impact of the measurement error. As we see in
Table 5.2 there is vast variation in the religiosity of populations in the analysed
countries, and ranges from as little as 14.67% of a non-religious population in
Lithuania, to as many as 78.43% people in the Czech Republic reporting that they
do not belong to any religion or denomination. As we see from the extreme cases
they are both from Eastern and Central Europe, which indicates that differences of
religious institutions do not vary along the lines of the West vs. the East.
For the fuzzification of the three variables representing existing societal (eco-
nomic, political and cultural) institutions included into the fsQCA as explanatory
conditions we defined the following thresholds:
Table 5.3 Results of the analysis of necessary conditions for positive outcomes (high
country levels of membership in groups to preserve or protect environment):
impact of pro-environmental awareness and behaviours of population.
two variants of conditions will draw our special attention if and when computing
intermediate solutions for the analysis of sufficient conditions.
Before proceeding to the analysis of sufficient conditions for the positive
outcomes8 the truth table was constructed, which revealed that there are three
groups of countries where a large proportion of the population is involved in pro-
environmental groups (see Table 5.4): 1) Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland,
France, Germany, Switzerland; 2) Norway, Sweden; and 3) the United Kingdom.
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In the first and largest of them all three explanatory factors have high scores. The
situation is a bit different in the two Nordic countries – Norway and Sweden – and
the United Kingdom. Quite surprisingly, in the first two countries people are not
keen on engaging in private-sphere environmentally friendly behaviour, and in
the United Kingdom salience of environmental issues is quite low. On the other
hand, in the rest of the countries, except Slovenia, all three explanatory factors
have low scores. Slovenia is the only country where people relatively frequently
engage in private-sphere environmentally friendly behaviour.
Further analysis of the truth table involves Boolean minimization which helps
to derive three types of logically minimal combinations of sufficient conditions
for the positive outcomes: complex, parsimonious and intermediate. The com-
plex solution, which does not include counter-factual explanatory conditions (the
three rows in the truth table which do not have an outcome value), produced
the formula PublEnvBehaviour * (EnvironmentProblem + PrivEnvBehaviour)
= > MemberEnvGr.9 This formula tells us essentially the same story about the
relations between pro-environmental awareness and behaviours of the popula-
tion and levels of public involvement in pro-environmental groups, that were
discussed when presenting the truth table constructed from the fuzzified data.
However, it provides more detailed and nuanced information about the causal
paths towards the outcome, and states that there are two ways for a country to
have a considerable proportion of its public participating in pro-environmental
groups. Both of these require that there is a large proportion of the population
involved in public-sphere environmentally friendly behaviour. Still, this condi-
tion is not sufficient. In some countries (especially, Norway and Sweden) it also
requires that people perceived environmental issues as important. In others (such
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1.0 CHE
DNK
BEL AUT
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0.8 FRA
Outcome: MEMBERENVGR
DEU
GBR SWE
0.6 NOR
FIN
0.4 SVN
ESP
CZE
0.2
HRV
LTU
SVK
RUS BGR
0.0 LVA
1 0 1 1 0.987 France
1 1 0 1 0.944 Austria, Germany, Switzerland
1 1 1 1 0.933 Belgium, Denmark, Finland,
Norway, Sweden,
United Kingdom
1 0 0 0 0.907 Spain
0 1 1 0 0.739 Latvia, Slovenia
0 1 0 0 0.548 Bulgaria, Slovak Republic
0 0 1 0 0.543 Czech Republic, Russia
0 0 0 0 0.388 Croatia, Lithuania
128 Eglė Butkevičienė and Vaidas Morkevičius
1.0 CHE
DNK
AUT
BEL
0.8
DEU FRA
SWE
MEMBERENVGR
GBR
0.6 NOR
FIN
0.4 SVN
ESP
CZE
0.2
HRV
SVK
RUS LTU
BGR
0.0 LVA
conclude that with regard to the impact of existing societal institutions on the
levels of public involvement in pro-environmental groups the main explanatory
factor seems to be the wealth of a country. It is a necessary factor although it is
not sufficient by itself. Additionally, a country either has to have a rather non-
religious population or inclusive democratic institutions in order for it to have a
large proportion of the population involved in pro-environmental groups.
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Acknowledgements
The article is based on findings from three interrelated research projects, financed
by the Research Council of Lithuania: (1) ‘Monitoring of social problems: imple-
mentation of the International Social Survey Program (ISSP)’, 2010–2011;
(2) ‘International Social Survey Programme: Monitoring of Lithuanian social
problems (ISSP-LT)’, 2012–2013; and (3) ‘International Social Survey Pro
gramme: citizenship, work orientations and social welfare in Lithuania (ISSP
LT-CIWO)’, 2014–2016. The research of V. Morkevičius was also carried out
as part of the activities of the Lithuanian membership of the European Research
Infrastructure Consortium ‘European Social Survey’ funded by the Research
Council of Lithuania (Contract No. MTI-01/14).
Notes
1 Of course, these sources contain explications of the potential pitfalls of applying QCA
in different research situations. However, they also provide ways of avoiding them.
2 Cronbach’s alpha for the included items equals 0.766.
3 As our data source we used the annually updated National Accounts Main Aggregates
database of the Economic Statistics Branch of the United Nations Statistics Division
(see data.un.org/Data.aspx?q=gdp&d=SNAAMA&f=grID%3a101%3bcurrID%3aUS
D%3bpcFlag%3a1; last update: 15 April, 2015).
4 For an elaborate description of conceptualization, operationalization and deriva-
tion of these functions, see www.democracybarometer.org/documentation_en.html.
Russia was assigned a score of 0, as it is not included in the dataset because it is not a
democratic country.
5 For details of measurement, see ESS4 (2008), edition 4.3; ESS5 (2010), edition 3.2;
and ESS6 (2012), edition 2.1 at www.europeansocialsurvey.org/data.
6 Six explanatory variables produce 64 combinations of causal conditions in the truth
table. Since we have only 19 cases to populate it, in the most favourable scenario we
would still have more than two thirds of empty rows in the truth table.
7 We use notation with tilde for writing Boolean expressions introduced into QCA
by Ragin (2000): name of the condition or outcome variable with tilde means its
negation.
8 Truth table and sufficiency analysis for the negative outcomes is not reported in detail
as the results are only complementary to the ones retrieved in the case of positive
outcomes.
9 Inclusion score of the solution: 0.917; coverage of the solution: 0.879.
Membership in pro-environmental groups 131
10 Again, truth table and sufficiency analysis for the negative outcomes is not reported in
detail as the results are only complementary to the ones retrieved in the case of positive
outcomes.
11 Inclusion score of the solution: 0.857; coverage of the solution: 0.927.
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Chapter 6
Introduction
According to Stern (2000) the vast array of pro-environmental behaviours may be
summarized into four major types. The first, labelled ‘environmental activism’,
relates to active involvement in environmental organizations and protests. The
second, ‘non-activist public behaviours’, includes contributing money to envi-
ronmental organizations, signing petitions in favour of environmental protection,
or willingness to pay higher environmental taxes. The next cluster includes
‘private-sphere environmentalism’ relating to ‘the purchase, use, and disposal
of personal and household products with an environmental impact’ (Stern, 2000,
p.409). Finally, the ‘other environmentally significant behaviours’ include the
pro-environmental decisions and actions individuals take in the context of their
professional lives.
Past research has demonstrated that these types (e.g. Dietz, Stern and
Guagnano, 1998; Stern et al., 1999), and to a certain extent even the individual
behaviours within each type (e.g. Urban and Scazny, 2012; Botetzagias, Malesios
and Poulou, 2014; for energy-saving behaviours), depend on a different com-
bination of predictors or factors. Overall, four broad factor categories can be
highlighted (cf. Stern, 2000):
1 ‘attitudinal factors’, including norms, values and beliefs; in short, the socio-
psychological predictors;
2 ‘contextual factors’, such as interpersonal and institutional influences, the
existence of a supportive framework, both physically and politically, the
generic socio-economic context etc.;
3 ‘personal capabilities’ for performing the behaviour, which are related to an
individual’s socio-demographic characteristics to a considerable extent;
4 ‘habit or routine’.
of the available research has grouped these behaviours (in some cases along
with many others) under single, umbrella factors – e.g. ‘intermediate group
environmental collective action’ (Duit, 2010); ‘activism’ (McFarlane and
Hunt, 2006; Marquart-Pyatt, 2011); ‘individual political action’ (Blake, 2001)
– they represent different types of civic engagement for protecting the envi-
ronment, thus they are likely to depend on different predictors. To state the
obvious, the well-meaning individual, who writes concerned letters to their
local MP, or signs a petition on environmental issues, should be a rather differ-
ent beast from the committed activist who takes to the streets, investing their
time or even risking confrontation with the police. Actually, in the few cases
where these behaviours have been examined separately, they were found to
depend on different predictors (e.g. Stern et al., 1999; Wakefield et al., 2006).
Accordingly, this line of research will be taken one step further by studying
each of these behaviours in their exclusivity, focusing on those individuals
who had performed only one of these behaviours. Each of these behaviours
represents a different level of commitment, requires different resources and
entails different costs/benefits for the individual. For this reason, grouping, for
example, person X (who only signed a petition) with person Y (who signed a
petition and contributed to an environmental non-governmental organization;
ENGO) and studying them as two representatives of the same ‘sign a petition’
type of behaviour runs the risk of reaching erroneous results.
Thus, in this chapter we aim to offer further evidence concerning the dis-
tinctiveness of ‘public-sphere’ environmental behaviours. Although it follows
existing research, and in particular, that using ISSP data (e.g. Franzen, 2003;
Freymeyer and Johnson, 2010; Marquart-Pyatt, 2011; Franzen and Vogl, 2013),
our analysis differs from existing research in certain crucial ways. First, we will
study each behaviour in its exclusivity. Second, we will study and compare dis-
tinct behaviours and not a composite factor of ‘environmental concern’, similar
to Freymeyer and Johnson (2010), and unlike Franzen and Vogl (2013), Franzen
(2003) and Marquart-Pyatt (2011). Third, in this comparison we will employ
both micro-(individual; as Freymeyer and Johnson, 2010) and macro-(country)-
level predictors. Fourth, we make use of two ISSP waves – ISSP (2000) and
ISSP (2010) – in order to check for differences over time in the performance
of civic pro-environmental behaviours. Since past research demonstrated that
the influence of the different predictors on ‘environmental concern’ differs
between years (e.g. Dunlap and York, 2008; Botetzagias and Malesios, 2012), it
is important to check whether this is also the case for environmental behaviours
Petitioner, contributor, protester 135
Literature review
In this section we will discuss the available research concerning the relevance of
a number of individual and contextual level variables on the three different types
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Individual-level variables
While it seems tautological that people who worry more about the condition of
the natural environment, and of the possible impacts of its degradation, will be
more active in protecting it, available research has returned varied results. Thus,
Wakefield et al.’s (2006) study of Hamilton, Canada, found that environmental
concern had a positive effect on protesting for the environment yet not on donat-
ing money to environmental NGOs. Greenspan et al. (2012) reported a positive
influence of students’ ‘biospheric’ values on donating money, while Stern et al.
(1999) reported that concern for the environment, expressed in terms of accept-
ance of the New Ecological Paradigm – i.e. the view that humans have important,
adverse effects on a fragile natural environment (Dunlap and Van Liere, 1978;
Dunlap et al., 2000) – has no statistically significant effect on demonstrating
for the environment. However, Botetzagias and Van Schuur (2012) found that
‘post-materialism’ – i.e. the value-disposition which prioritizes quality of life and
civic participation issues over ‘materialistic’ concerns of material, financial and
personal security (cf. Inglehart, 1977) – is not a statistically significant predictor
of Green Party members’ activism (i.e. participating in demonstrations, organ-
izing meetings etc.). Thus the available research suggests that those performing
different public-sphere environmental behaviours will also have different levels
(or intensity) of environmental values/concern.
Regarding the role of environmental awareness and knowledge on environ-
mental activism, conflicting claims are presented in the available literature. Some
scholars have supported the fact that citizens who are aware of and are better
informed about environmental problems and threats tend to be more active (cf.
Stern, 2000; Lubell, 2002). However, higher levels of environmental knowl-
edge do not necessarily imply more engaged citizens (Kempton et al., 1996).
An important parameter in this context is the level of acceptance of scientific
knowledge which seems to determine, to a significant extent, the level of envi-
ronmental knowledge of individuals, and should also be taken into consideration
when exploring environmental activism.
A final note relates to the possible influence of other pro-environmental behav-
iours. Dubbed the ‘behavioural spill-over effect’, the basic idea is that individuals
136 losif Botetzagias et al.
also their level of environmental activism (McFarlane and Hunt, 2006; Wakefield
et al., 2006; Fielding et al., 2008). This can be attributed to the flow of informa-
tion relevant to environmental issues which is higher when someone is member
of an NGO (Jones and Clark, 2014). It can also be related to the fact that several
environmental groups are linked to specific environmental activities, in which their
members are expected to participate (Fielding et al., 2008): this refers both to activ-
ities, such as demonstrations and petitions, but also to the payment of money which
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takes its cue from Inglehart’s (1995) ‘objective problems, subjective values’
hypothesis. In his article, Inglehart claimed that ‘environmental concern’, meas-
ured as an individual’s willingness to incur personal financial costs in order to
protect the environment, would be influenced through two distinct pathways:
on the one hand, a negative one, where poor environmental conditions would
lead to higher environmental concern; on the other, a positive pathway, where
post-material values (typical of affluent nations) are responsible for higher
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environmental concern.
Subsequent research, which again focused predominantly on the willingness
to pay (WTP) for environmental protection, returned contradictory results con-
cerning the influence of environmental conditions and national affluence. At the
national level, Dunlap and Mertig (1995) found that a country’s affluence was
statistically significant and positively correlated with the national-level WTP; a
relation reaffirmed by Diekmann and Franzen (1999) and Kemmelmeier, Krol,
and Kim (2002) for a number of behaviours entailing personal financial sac-
rifices. Nevertheless, later research returned non-statistically significant results
(Franzen, 2003; Dunlap and York, 2008) while, more alarmingly, it pointed
towards a negative correlation between national affluence and the public’s
willingness to accept fiscal costs for the benefit of the environment (Dunlap
and York, 2008). These differences re-emerged when researchers focused on
an individual’s WTP/willingness to incur costs for the environment. While
Kemmelmeier, Krol, and Kim (2002) report a positive relation between national
affluence and an individual’s willingness to sacrifice part of their income for the
environment, Gelissen (2007) found a statistically significant negative correla-
tion, and Mostafa (2011) reports a non-statistically significant relation. As far as
national environmental conditions are concerned, Gelissen (2007) reports mixed
results for different types of environmental pollution, while Nawrotzki (2012)
found a negative, albeit not statistically significant, relation with WTP for the
environment. However, and more relevant to our own research, Freymeyer and
Johnson (2010) found that citizens of wealthier nations, and with better environ-
mental conditions, are more likely to ‘give money to an environmental NGO’.
Concerning the two other ‘public-sphere’ pro-environmental behaviours stud-
ied in this chapter (‘signing a petition’ and ‘demonstrating/protesting’ about an
environmental cause) the available research concerning the influence of macro
variables is quite limited. Freymeyer and Johnson (2010) found that national
affluence and poorer environmental conditions have a positive effect on ‘sign-
ing a petition’, while Botetzagias and Van Schuur (2012), studying Green Party
members, report that better environmental conditions actually increase the odds of
an individual protesting in favour of the environment. It is logical to assume that
national affluence would also have a positive impact on ordinary citizens demon-
strating, since wealthier nations are more likely to possess those socio-economic
characteristics which facilitate environmental political protest (cf. Dalton, 2005;
Dalton, Van Sickle, & Weldon, 2010). A similar finding should be anticipated
as far as political freedoms are concerned (Dalton, 2005; Dalton et al., 2010):
Petitioner, contributor, protester 139
the more open and democratic the political structures in a country, the easier and
more likely it would be for its citizens to become involved in all kinds of ‘public-
sphere’ political actions, such as signing petitions and demonstrating.
Data
For our analysis, the data for European countries was used, originating from the
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ISSP surveys from 2000 and 2010; all the individual-level variables originate
from the ISSP questionnaires.
Dependent variable: Our dependent variable originates from the following
ISSP question: ‘In the last 5 years have you: signed a petition about green issues,
given money to a green group, or taken part in a green protest or demonstration?’
for which the respondent could answer in a simple yes/no format. These behav-
iours will be studied in their ‘pure’ form. Thus, we are interested in individuals
who have, for example, only signed a petition and have not engaged in any of the
other two public-sphere behaviours. Therefore, respondents who have engaged in
more than one of these behaviours are not included in our analyses. The percent-
ages for each country and time period are shown in Table 6.1.
Explanatory variables
For our analyses, we use both single, observed variables, as well as latent items
(factors), which are constructed by combining the single variables readily avail-
able in the ISSP questionnaires. The statements used in the construction of the
latent items are measured, unless stated otherwise, on a five-point Likert scale
ranging from ‘1-Strongly Agree/ very willing/extremely dangerous’ to ‘5-Strongly
disagree/ very unwilling/not at all dangerous’. The option ‘Can’t choose’ was also
offered in the questionnaires, yet these answers were not included in the calcula-
tion of the latent variables.
Individual-level predictors
Apart from the standard demographic variables (age, gender, educational attain-
ment, place of residence and personal income; note that data for ‘income’ are not
available for year 2010), the following predictors were used in our analyses:
‘Environmental attitudes’: 4-item scale (reversed) (Cronbach’s α [year 2000 =
0.700; year 2010 = 0.656]; (To which extent do you agree?: We worry too much
about the future of the environment and not enough about prices and jobs today;
People worry too much about human progress harming the environment; There
are more important things to do in life than protect the environment; Many of the
claims about environmental threats are exaggerated).
‘Environmental risks’: 7-item scale (Cronbach’s α [2000 = 0.710; 2010 = 0.747]);
(How dangerous do you think the following are for the environment?: Air pollu-
tion caused by cars; Air pollution caused by industry; Pesticides and chemicals
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Table 6.1 European citizens’ exclusive engagement in one out of three public-sphere pro-environmental behaviours over the past 5 years
(ISSP 2000; ISSP 2010).
Country/ N of Only signed Only given Only N of Only signed Only given Only
Behaviour respondents petition money protested respondents petition money protested
Macrolevel predictors
All macrolevel predictors refer to individual countries.
‘EPI-Environmental Conditions’: For measuring a country’s objective environ-
mental conditions for years 2000 and 2010, data originating from the Environmental
Performance Index (EPI) were used (YCLP, 2012) and, in particular, the
‘Ecosystems Vitality’ (EV) component. EV assesses a country’s natural environ-
ment conditions and the policies affecting it. It measures the national performance
on 7 environment-related domains (air pollution; water; biodiversity and habitat;
agriculture; forestry; fisheries; and climate), through 18 indicators ranging from
pollutants’ emissions and natural resources’ overexploitation to pesticide regulation
and renewable electricity generation within a given country.
‘Political Freedom’: An index score calculated for years 2000 and 2010, being
the average score of ten ‘political rights’ and fifteen ‘civil liberties’ indicators,
with each indicator scored between 0 (smallest degree of freedom) and 4 (greatest
degree of freedom) (Freedom in the World, 2014).
‘PPP GDP’: The country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita for years
2000 and 2010 converted to international dollars, using purchasing power parity
Petitioner, contributor, protester 143
(PPP) rates. An international dollar has the same purchasing power over GDP as
the US dollar has in the United States (World Bank, 2013).
Methods
A multinomial logistic regression analysis (Agresti, 2002) was conducted in order
to examine which of the scales (exploratory variables) has the greatest power
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Results
Tables 6.2 and 6.3 show the results of the analysis for the years 2000 and 2010,
respectively, including parameter estimates, along with their corresponding
significances (p-values). For increased clarity, in the tables we only report the
parameter estimates of those variables which are statistically significant in dis-
tinguishing between any two of the three public-sphere behaviours. Also, in the
last column of Tables 2 and 3, we present separately the odds ratios (OR) of the
models for each one of the statistically significant predictor variables (i.e. the ratio
of probabilities of the ‘signing petition’ and ‘contributing money to an environ-
mental group’, using as a reference group the ‘demonstrating’ category). An OR
value greater than 1 means that the probability of having performed behaviour X
is greater than having performed the reference behaviour; i.e. ‘Demonstrating’.
Thus, in Table 2 we see that, for the respondents in the year 2000, those who have
‘environmental attitudes’ are 1.339 times more likely to have ‘signed a petition’
than ‘demonstrated’ (and 1.17 times more likely to ‘have signed a petition’ than to
144 losif Botetzagias et al.
Only three predictors seem able to differentiate over time between the behav-
iours under examination. The first is rather straightforward: being a member of
an ENGO makes a person more likely to have contributed money to an environ-
mental group than having signed a petition or demonstrated. The other two are
national-level variables: living in a more affluent country and living in a country
with better environmental conditions both make it more likely that an individual
has signed a petition or donated money to the environment instead of demonstrat-
ing. Moreover, this holds true over time. We will return to the discussion of these
findings in the concluding section of this chapter.
Table 6.3 Discriminant characteristics of European citizens who have engaged
exclusively in one out of three public-sphere environmental behaviours over
the period 2006–2010.
Logistic regression results, Reference group (/behaviour): ‘Demonstrated
for environmental cause’)
Table 6.4 Comparison of 2000 and 2010 profiles of Europeans who have ‘donated money to an environmental group’ vs. ‘signed a petition’
vs. ‘demonstrated/protested for the environment’ over past 5 years.
Variable Respondent’s The 2000 European has . . . The 2010 European has . . .
characteristics
Signed petition Given money to Signed petition Signed petition Given money to Signed petition
instead of group instead of instead of instead of group instead of instead of giving
demonstrating demonstrating giving money to demonstrating demonstrating money to group
group
Membership of Is ENGO No difference Much more Much less Much less Much more Much less
ENGO member likely likely likely likely likely
Post materialism Is post- Much less Much less No difference No difference No difference No difference
materialist likely likely
Governmental Thinks govt. is No difference Much more Much less No difference No difference No difference
Environmental doing ‘about likely likely
Efficacy the right
amount’ in
protecting
global
environment
Environmental Considers a No difference Much more Much less Much less No difference Much less
Risks number of likely likely likely likely
activities
as ‘very
dangerous’
for the
environment
Environmental Recycles & cuts Much more No difference Much more Much more Much more No difference
Attitudes back on car likely likely likely likely
use
(continued)
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Variable Respondent’s The 2000 European has . . . The 2010 European has . . .
characteristics
Signed petition Given money to Signed petition Signed petition Given money to Signed petition
instead of group instead of instead of instead of group instead of instead of giving
demonstrating demonstrating giving money to demonstrating demonstrating money to group
group
Place of Lives in urban Much more Much more No difference No difference No difference No difference
residence area likely likely
Income Has higher Much less No difference Much less Variable is missing
income likely likely
Political Lives in No difference No difference No difference Much more Much more No difference
Freedom country, likely likely
. . . with higher
civil liberties/
rights
EPI . . . with Much more Much more No difference Much more Much more No difference
better envir. likely likely likely likely
conditions/
policies
PPP GDP . . . with higher Much more Much more No difference Much more Much more No difference
GDP likely likely likely likely
Question: In last 5 years have you: signed a petition about an environmental issue, given money to an environmental group or taken part in a green protest or
demonstration?
Petitioner, contributor, protester 149
response response
Node 0 Node 0
Region Region
Adj. P-value = 0.000, Adj. P-value = 0.000,
Chi-square = 100.407, Chi-square = 22.302,
df = 2 df = 2
As a final note, we would like to compare the European findings to other coun-
tries around the world. Using the decision-tree procedure of the SPSS© software,
we compared the two blocks of countries (European vs. rest of the world), con-
cerning the performance of the three public-sphere environmental behaviours for
the years 2000 and 2010. The results, shown in Figure 6.1, show no statistically
significant differences between the two blocks (p-value < 0.001) thus contributing
to the growing evidence that we are witnessing a ‘globalization’ of environmental
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Acknowledgement
The authors would like to thank Philippa Harris for proofreading this chapter.
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Part III
Introduction
The dominant socio-economic model of developed countries which is based
on the imperative of economic growth is leading societies to an unsustain-
able path marked by environmental, social and economic detrimental effects
within this century. A shift to the democratically based degrowth concept,
connected life practices and cultural patterns is a transformational scenario to
avoid a whole-scale collapse. It is important to stress at the outset that the term
‘degrowth’ is a provocative, performative label and not a literal description
of a political-economic strategy focused exclusively on the continued reduc-
tion of the GDP index. It is a call for the liberation of the public debate from
the narrow path of economism, in lieu of creating social structures that will
use fewer natural resources and enable radically different lives (cf. D’Alisa,
Demaria and Kallis 2015).
The main goal of this paper is to explore the extent of environmentally
motivated degrowth potential in Europe at the level of attitudes and behaviour.
Environmental motivations are not the only drivers of degrowth thinking, but
present an important subsection, especially in Europe (Demaria et al. 2013). In
addition, it explores the extent to which this potential is connected to the gen-
eral affluence of selected European countries. We use the ISSP research module
Environment survey data from 2010, comparing findings for 19 European ‘old’
and ‘new’ democracies against the remaining 13 countries participating in the
Environment module (ISSP 2012). Our findings indicate that there is a common
awareness of environmental limits to growth across our sample, but that there are
differences in evaluations of the potential to address these limits between ‘richer’
(core) and ‘poorer’ (semi-peripheral) states.
material use and carbon emissions in energy production (UNEP 2011a, 2011b;
Creech et al. 2014), or completely move the focus away from economic growth,
which has been advocated as the key societal instrument of life improvement
by many political subjects (Jackson 2009; Kallis 2011; Kallis, Kerschner and
Martínez-Alier 2012; Dietz and O’Neill 2013). Whilst the former strategy
also requires a social transition standardly accompanying a major technologi-
cal change (in energy production and distribution, for example; Polanyi 1968;
Pomeranz 2009; Domazet et al. 2014b), it is currently being hampered by a
lack of wide-scale technological replacement for existing material and energy
sources (Tienhaara 2009; Steinberger et al. 2013). But should it ever material-
ize, it promises to require less upheaval to the social structures through which
embodied solar energy is distributed than the latter. For much of the ‘developed
world’s’ population the ‘green economy’ option, decoupled from material use
and carbon emissions, is more akin to a business-as-usual scenario, where the
associated societal transformation is incremental and almost imperceptible. For
much of the ‘developing world’ it is a new name for the aspirational project of
development and technological catch-up, largely constructed out of an increase
in material pressure on the environment, of the type the ‘developed world’ now
takes for granted (Schaffartzik et al. 2014).
The strategy of turning away from economic growth as the necessary instrument
of life improvement – the approach broadly labelled as ‘degrowth’ – involves a
technological change as well, for the current energy-transformation technologies
and material-consumption volumes of individual societies are clearly unsustain-
able (Schaffartzik et al. 2014). A global population would have to dramatically
reduce the use of existing fossil-fuel energy, increase the efficiency and replace
it with renewable energy sources wherever possible (Jackson 2009). However,
such a transition is associated with a much more radical social transformation
than is the case of ‘greening’ the economy, for it conceptually decouples social
and personal development and improvement aspirations from an increase in eco-
nomic production and consumption (material or ‘dematerialized’) within a given
population. In simpler terms, it asks the population to be prepared to do with less
in terms of energy and material products.
Given that current material extraction and resource consumption are already
showing signs of reaching global environmental limits, and the ‘business-
as-usual’ scenario intends to take them to twice their current value within a
couple of decades even without population growth (Krausmann et al. 2009;
Schaffartzik et al. 2014), most present-day societies need a noticeable change
Affluence and democratic degrowth 159
trust in others, party affiliation and post-materialistic values, the connection with
national GDP remains prominent across countries and ISSP findings of 1993,
2000 and 2010. This remains a highly problematic finding for the social trans-
formation required for degrowth and the associated prospect of conserving the
carrying capacity of the planet, as Franzen and Vogl (2013) themselves warn. As
Steinberger et al. conclude ‘[the] idea to grow first and to deal with environmental
issues later has been proven false empirically’ (Steinberger et al. 2013, p. 9).
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Domazet, Ančić and Brajdić Vuković (2014a) and Dolenec, Domazet and
Ančić (2014) disaggregated the complex environmental concern index, used
in justification of the affluence thesis, into several components partially over-
lapping with Franzen and Meyer’s (2010) component measures. Even when
including inequality adjustments in contextual indicators replacing GDP we
found that the affluence thesis was upheld on indices of individual concern and
activation among the European countries analysed (cf. Domazet et al. 2014a).
When describing both their individual awareness of the scope of environmen-
tal problems and efficacy in implementing appropriate lifestyle and behaviour
changes, the European countries’ sample averages correlate strongly with a
measure of national inequality-adjusted income. The correlation is even stronger
between the said income measure and expressed willingness among populations
to commit to material sacrifices and support policies that demand greater mate-
rial investments from them (Domazet et al. 2014a). However, when indicators
focused more on commitments along general societal development trends, rather
than when individuals’ personal values and behaviour are considered against the
same measures of wealth, a deviation away from the linear correlation of afflu-
ence thesis is recorded. It is to these latter indicators we turn to for a more careful
analysis in this text. It is precisely a deeper understanding of differences of these
non-market, political dimensions of commitment to pro-environmental strategies
among European populations that is required for an assessment of democratic
degrowth potential (cf. Meyer and Liebe 2010; Whitmarsh and O’Neill 2010).
The effect of the affluence thesis is undeniably strong in the European sample,
and presents a sizeable problem for a social transformation to stay within environ-
mental limits, and thus the carrying capacity of the planet. But, as stated above, the
degrowth orientation does not consist solely of the immediate willingness to sacri-
fice, regardless of material and social context and collective instruments available
in the overall population. After all, further analyses on the same dataset showed
that inequality is a major obstacle to degrowth transformation within and between
societies (Dolenec, Domazet and Ančić 2014), and that pro-environmental atti-
tudes are present among less prosperous European populations, and are dampened
by a social paradigm combining economic growth and techno-optimism regarding
the transcendence of environmental limits (Brajdić Vuković 2014). Finally, on
the variables deemed as indicative of a potential degrowth orientation among the
sample we compare the national averages of European ISSP samples with those of
the remaining countries in the ISSP. This helps situate the respective populations
into the global context as much as possible within the available dataset.
162 Mladen Domazet and Branko Ančić
Research design
In this chapter we aim to identify the possible sociodemographic predictors
of the degrowth orientation among the European sample surveyed in the ISSP
Environment module, and compare the findings for European ISSP countries
with the findings for the remaining ISSP countries. Whilst individual nation
states are still key political units for enacting transitions to a more sustainable
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structures of the components of which the system consists. What is even more
important is that these interactions affect the changes that occur within the local
structures, and put forth a possible explanation for the differences in processes
of nature-society interactions observed in different varieties of these components
(Chase-Dunn and Hall 1997).
From that perspective it is indubitable that there are regions of core and periph-
ery in contemporary European geography and associated societal metabolisms.
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A core is a region of the world system that dominates the system and consists
of the most complex social groups in the system. Although the contemporary
human population is mostly united in a globalized world system, for historical
and metabolic reasons outlined above, we can focus on Europe as a sufficiently
emergent world system to illustrate the relationships between its components.
Periphery is a region dominated by the core and semi-periphery, and has the
least complex social groups in the system, as well as providing the greater
flow of natural resources to the core-semi-periphery segment than vice versa.
Semi-periphery is an intermediate location in an intersocietal core-periphery
structure, and was added as a further category to Wallerstein’s original world-
system structure by Chase-Dunn and Hall (1997). The core-periphery structure
is the fundamental form of any modern world system and can last longer in time
regardless of national development. It can also be altered by radical develop-
mental turns and that allows for regrouping of societies under categorical labels,
but mostly regions ‘run hard in order to stay in the same place’ within the world-
system structure through the process of historical development (Chase-Dunn
and Hall 1997).
Whilst Chase-Dunn and Hall (1997, p. 37) describe at length the controversy
around the definition of semi-periphery in the modern world system, for our pur-
poses it is significant that a description of societies mixes both core and peripheral
forms of organization and nature-society interaction that can be located between
two or more competing core regions, and that have transformative potential to
influence the core regions in the way that peripheral regions alone do not. This
makes the national populations, labelled as semi-peripheral in this text, poten-
tially transformative for the overall European world system (without normative
determination of the direction of that transformation), as well as mediating
between European core and peripheries in a historical and geographical sense
(e.g. in recent conflict and migration). They transmit material flows between core
and peripheral regions in Europe, and exhibit social and cultural institutional fea-
tures intermediate in form between adjacent core and peripheries (Domazet and
Marinović Jerolimov 2014). For the purposes of this text it is a suggestive label,
not a predictive determinant, at least until further research into a combination
of cultural patterns (e.g. attitudes expressed here) and material flow accounts is
conducted (cf. Schaffartzik et al. 2014).
For the purpose of our analysis we use two composite measures constructed
on the basis of the ISSP dataset, named the Attitudes of Concern and Activation
164 Mladen Domazet and Branko Ančić
(ACA) index and the Attitudes of Material Sacrifice (AMS) index, following
Domazet et al. (2014a), as well as a set of four single variable indicators
of agreement/disagreement with general statements concerning economic
growth-environment trade-off.
The composite measure Attitudes of Concern and Activation (ACA) includes
measures of disagreement with statements (a) through (e)7 in Table 7.1. Higher
performances on this composite indicator suggest a sample with a higher propor-
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tion of individuals who say that they know what effect their lifestyles have on
the environment, as well as how disquieting those effects can be. They also see
themselves as efficacious in implementing appropriate behavioural and lifestyle
changes based on their intrinsic motivation, and are thus willing to activate on
behalf of environmental protection within their society. This activation, nonethe-
less, focuses on individual actions (‘it is not the case that doing something is too
difficult, and it is not the case that there is no point in me doing something if others
won’t’; cf. Table 7.1), nor necessarily on changes in social structures and instru-
ments of material extraction and social metabolism.
Indexes Items
Active Degrowth Q10a ‘And how much do you agree or disagree with
indicators each of these statements?’a
‘We worry too much about the future of the
environment and not enough about prices
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prevalence of individuals within states’ populations, who disagree with the state-
ment that concern for the future of the environment is exaggerated and unjustifiably
prioritized over economic activities and progress. This is linked to considerations
of efficacy at the individual and collective levels, perceptions of which are vital to
one’s willingness to make degrowth commitments concerning economic activity
(Meyer 2010; Ostrom 2010). The second single-variable (attitude) indicator (ISSP
2010 Q11a) measures the normative side of the economy-environment trade-off.9
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Results
All countries included in the ISSP Environment module belong to a group of
countries with very high and high HDI (0.711–0.955) according to the 2011 val-
ues, except for the Philippines and South Africa whose HDI is in the medium
HDI group (0.536–0.710) (UNDP 2011). That makes most (30 out of 32) of the
countries representatives of the group where further increases in GDP tend to
bring comparatively less benefits in human development, and thus countries for
which some form of degrowth is advisable from the perspective of joint action
to protect the global environmental commons (cf. Shue 1999). By the United
Nations Development Programme’s (UNDP) Inequality-adjusted Income Index
(III) values and estimates, the European countries in the sample occupy the top
half of spread of III values for the overall ISSP sample; likewise with values of
ecological footprint (EF; Global Footprint Network 2015). On the whole, viewed
from the comparative position on these indices, European countries are better
suited to a strategic orientation to degrowth than most of those in the group’s
remaining 13 countries.
on the environment and can implement lifestyle changes on the basis of intrinsic
motivation. Being, on average, a more prosperous group (mean III value of 0.700
vs. mean III value of 0.604) it could be expected that their average performance
on the AMS index is also higher. But somewhat surprisingly, especially from
the perspective of the affluence thesis, it is not. The mean value of the European
sample AMS index is 7.67, and for the RoW sample it is 8.12. The difference is
statistically significant (Mann-Whitney test – U = 255411851.500; p<0.001).
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Given that the AMS index measures the diffusion within a population of indi-
viduals self-reporting their willingness to make material sacrifices, and support
polices that demand greater material investments from individuals, this finding
challenges the potential European championing of proactive degrowth globally.
A similar ranking is repeated on items taken to indicate general degrowth attitudes
unrelated to individual sacrifice; our measures of Passive and Active Degrowth.
On the whole RoW group scores higher than or as high as the European group.
The only exception is the denial of direct benefit of growth (ISSP 2010 Q11a) for
successful national environmental protection activities. In that case we see the
trend of ecological modernization in the perceived relationship between national
development attainment and environmental protection within national borders. In
the more developmentally and culturally diverse RoW group countries there is
less explicit disagreement with the statement that further economic growth will
contribute to better environmental protection within the country. Table 7.2 pre-
sents values for Europe and RoW samples.
At first glance this suggests a paradoxical position for the degrowth-attuned
and highly developed European populations, suggesting that even Americans
and South Africans are more degrowth-oriented according to available ISSP
measures. In particular, with respect to Passive Degrowth (Q11b and Q19c)
indicators, Europeans come across as techno-optimists, who do not see a histori-
cal connection between growth and environmental deterioration nor a breach of
environmental limits by unimpeded economic growth, compared to the diverse
sample of the RoW countries. We need to take a closer look at the composi-
tion of the European average values, and note again the great diversity of the
small RoW sample to ascertain what expectations and attitudes might drive this
seeming growth-apologetic trend in Europe. Most importantly, we need to sepa-
rate the growth-optimistic and growth-sceptical national populations in Europe
by a spectrum of degrowth measures developed in this analysis. We know from
related analyses that the European degrowth-compliant population is neither neg-
ligent nor irrelevant in size (Ančić and Domazet 2015), but differs in more and
less affluent European societies on the readiness to lead on degrowth proactive
policies. The distinction between ‘richer’ and ‘poorer’ Europeans in aspirational
choice, between technologically induced ‘green economy’ and socially induced
degrowth, might be driving down the overall European support for degrowth strat-
egies in this dataset.
Based on the support for the affluence thesis trend, established in Domazet
et al. (2014a) on ‘individual’ measures and its weakening on the further
Affluence and democratic degrowth 169
Table 7.2 Mean values of indices and indicators for European and RoW groups of
countries participating in ISSP 2010 Environment module.
environmental protection
Q11b Economic growth:
harms the environment
(M) (M)
degrowth measures, and the dominant size of the European samples within the
overall set of countries participating in ISSP 2010/2011, it is interesting to note
a separation of the European group into a set of countries above the mean III
score (0.700) and those below it. The analyses in Dolenec, Domazet and Ančić
(2014) and Brajdić Vuković (2014) allow for slightly different separations
into subsamples of European countries with GDP above or below US$20,000
per capita; or those with the Low DSP-Low KSI11 combination and the rest.
These different separations to do not yield overall significantly different results
from those according to a simpler separation by above-below mean III score.
We shall thus point to differences in performance between a subsample of 12
European core countries and 7 European semi-peripheral countries, on the basis
of affluence as a proxy instrument of core-periphery hierarchy (Arrighi and
Drangel 1986).
The semi-peripheral European countries’ subsample has a marginally higher
mean III value (0.616) than the RoW sample (0.604), and the same average EF
(3.9gha). Their mean score on the ACA index (15.22) is similar to that of the
mean for RoW sample (15.07), and much lower than that of the core European
170 Mladen Domazet and Branko Ančić
Table 7.3 Mean values of indices and indicators for European subsamples.
Active Passive
Degrowth Degrowth
indicators indicators
(% disagree) (% agree)
environmental protection
Q11b Economic growth:
harms the environment
Q10a Worry too much
subsample (16.47). More importantly, their mean score on the AMS index is much
lower than the mean for the core European subsample (8.16) and the RoW sample
(8.12). In this we might be seeing the affluence thesis trends at work in Europe.
The group of semi-peripheral countries seems to be dragging the European aver-
ages down on indicators of individual activation and willingness for material
sacrifice, despite their comparative affluence from a global perspective.
Whilst the RoW sample may be both too small and too diverse in the inequality-
adjusted national income (III) – not to mention developmental history and cultural
patterns – to provide context for the affluence thesis trends established in the
larger European sample, within the latter even this separation into two subgroups
suggests that money talks when it comes to individual degrowth concerns and
commitments, but with a possible additional proviso that ‘money’ is a relative
term depending on the historical and cultural surroundings to which populations
compare themselves.
With Russia included in that group in this text (elaborated above), the trend
remains unchanged. These are measures not of individuals’ personal values and
behaviour, but their comment on general societal development trends in the trade-
offs between environmental conservation and economic activity. A weak trend
following the affluence thesis expectation can still be seen to exist in support for
an Active Degrowth orientation (Kendall´s tau_b = 0.542, sig .002, Kendall´s
tau_b = 0.549, sig .001; see Figures 7.1 and 7.2), and semi-peripheral European
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countries’ scores differ significantly from those of the core European subsam-
ple (Table 7.3). The correlations with national III are still much weaker than in
the indices mapping individual concern and commitment, but are positive. On
the Passive Degrowth orientation measures the trend is reversed, correlation is
weak and negative, and the semi-peripheral countries’ subsample exhibits as high
or higher means than is the case with the core European countries’ subsample
(Figures 7.3 and 7.4).
When measuring the proportion of national populations that disagrees with
the statement that their country needs economic growth in order to successfully
protect the environment (Active Degrowth: ISSP 2010 Q11a), the subsample of
semi-peripheral European countries records a mean proportion of 22.9%, whilst
the mean for the core countries’ subsample is 39.1%. The scatter of individual
country sample proportions against the measure of national affluence is given in
Figure 7.1. The population supportive of degrowth proactive policies within a
given country might also be expected to disagree with the statement that presently
we worry too much about the future of the environment and not enough about
current prices and jobs (Q10a). The mean proportion of population expressing this
55.0%
Environment: protect by economic growth
FI
50.0% CH
45.0%
40.0%
NO
(% disagree)
35.0%
AT
30.0% FR
ES DK
DE
25.0% BE
GB
20.0% SI SE
HR
15.0% LV CZ
LT
RU SK
10.0% BG
5.0%
0.500 0.550 0.600 0.650 0.700 0.750 0.800 0.850
Inequality-adjusted Income Index
Figure 7.1 III 2011, Q11a (Active Degrowth: Environment: protect by economic growth)
indicators’ scatter of values for individual European country samples
172 Mladen Domazet and Branko Ančić
growth is always harmful to the environment; and (2) agreement with the state-
ment that economic progress in a given country will slow down if better care is not
taken of the environment. People agreeing with such statements might see them as
long-term general truths, but might not apply them to support immediate economic
policies. The reasoning might be summed up as: ‘Growth on the whole is harmful
and will eventually come up against environmental limits, but not right now’.
On the Passive Degrowth orientation greater national affluence in Europe
is, overall, inversely correlated to the proportion of the population supportive
of its measures. A similar trend is observed in the RoW sample of countries
too (Kendall´s tau_b = -0.437, sig .033; Kendall´s tau_b = -0.412, sig .043).
But these correlations are weaker and less significant than those established for
the affluence thesis trends on ACA and AMS indices, and analysed in Domazet
et al. (2014) and Dolenec et al. (2014a). The stronger measure of the Passive
Degrowth orientation, suggesting that progress in a given country will slow down
if the environment is not accorded better protection, again draws large propor-
tions of European populations to express support; the mean of core countries’
subsample stands at 60.9%, and that of the semi-peripheral countries’ subsample
60.0%
Worry too much about environment over jobs
55.0% DK
CH
50.0% NO
DE SE
(% disagree)
45.0% AT
40.0% BG
ES
FI
GB
35.0% CZ
LT BE
HR RU SK FR
30.0% LV SI
25.0%
0.500 0.550 0.600 0.650 0.700 0.750 0.800 0.850
Inequality-adjusted Income Index
Figure 7.2 III 2011, Q10a (Active Degrowth: Worry too much about environment over
jobs) indicators’ scatter of values for individual European country samples.
Affluence and democratic degrowth 173
also see more of a direct link between the environment and prospects for further
progress. Nonetheless, the affluence thesis trend breaks down on this measure
also, and as the scatter of values in Figure 7.4 indicates, affluence as measured
by the rising III value is not a predictor of a greater proportion of population
agreeing with the statement that economic growth is necessarily harmful to the
environment. Most importantly, overall the whole European group of countries
lags behind the RoW mean (Table 7.2) and maximal national scores, especially in
the developing economies of the global South.
We have also tested the correlations between national mean scores on the ACA
and AMS indices and individual indicators of Active and Passive Degrowth, to
examine the echoes of the affluence thesis established between national III scores
and ACA and AMS index mean scores (Table 7.4).
The weakness of correlation coefficients of ACA and AMS indexes with the
selected ISSP variables (Q10a, Q11a, Q11b and Q19c) shows that European
countries with a high average mean score of individual concern for the environ-
ment, or willingness to sacrifice in order to protect the environment, are not
65.0%
Economic progress will slow down without
BG
environmental protection (% agree)
55.0% ES SI
DE
DK
LT RU
45.0% CH
HR LV SE
SK
FI AT
35.0% CZ FR NO
GB
25.0% BE
15.0%
5.0%
0.500 0.550 0.600 0.650 0.700 0.750 0.800 0.850
Inequality-adjusted Income Index
Figure 7.3 III 2011, Q19c (Passive Degrowth: Economic progress will slow down without
environmental protection) indicators’ scatter of values for individual European
country samples.
174 Mladen Domazet and Branko Ančić
45.0%
Economic growth: harms the environment
40.0% CH
BG FI
SI AT
35.0%
LT SK FR
30.0% RU
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DE
(% agree)
CZ
LV ES
25.0%
DK
BE
20.0% HR
15.0% GB
SE NO
10.0%
5.0%
0.500 0.550 0.600 0.650 0.700 0.750 0.800 0.850
Inequality-adjusted Income Index
Figure 7.4 III 2011, Q11b (Passive Degrowth: Economic growth: harms the environment)
indicators’ scatter of values for individual European country samples.
Table 7.4 Correlations between national individual concern (ACA) and sacrifice (AMS)
indices and active and passive degrowth indicators (ISSP 2010: Q10a, Q11a,
Q11b, Q19c).
the commitment to individual sacrifice (cf. Ančić and Domazet 2015), but even
the people from wealthier nations may hope to stay within environmental lim-
its without substantial change to economic institutions and development trends
dominant in the second half of twentieth century (cf. Guiterrez Karp 1996;
Brajdić Vuković 2014).
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Notes
1 The same set of European countries as is presented in this text, excluding Russia. As
later analyses in this text show, Russia does not deviate from these trends.
2 Franzen and Meyer (2010) and Domazet et al. (2014a) use the term ‘prosperity
thesis’, but to align with other texts in this volume ‘affluence thesis’ will be used
throughout without affecting the general sense of the argument based on those and
related references.
178 Mladen Domazet and Branko Ančić
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Environmental concern in
cross-national comparison
Methodological threats and
measurement equivalence
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Jochen Mayerl
Introduction
During the last few decades there has been an increasing and rapidly growing
interest in cross-national differences in environment-related perceptions of peo-
ple around the world. Do perceived environmental problems, values, attitudes
and perceptions of environmental concern, in general, differ across nations,
countries, cultures or contexts?1 Investigational interests in this field differ in
their focus on country-specific causes of environmental concern, correlates of
environmental concern, effects of environmental concern and the extent of quan-
tifiable country-specific levels of environmental concern; i.e. mean values and
ranking of countries.
Another strand of research deals with methodological threats to the validity
of cross-national studies, especially when conducting cross-national surveys.
Results of this research raise doubt over whether or not empirical results on every
kind of latent construct, thus including environmental concern, are even compa-
rable between countries in a valid way. In the context of the Confirmatory Factor
Analysis (CFA) approach, multiple group analyses of different nations, cultures
and social contexts are conducted to investigate measurement equivalence of
latent constructs. Do we measure the same latent construct when specifying a spe-
cific measurement model of environmental concern with the same indicators and
factorial structure all across the world? In a non-technical sense: is the meaning of
these constructs the same for people coming from different countries with more
or fewer differences in cultural background?
When linking these two research frameworks, environmental sociology must
ask whether the shared theoretical and empirical knowledge on cross-national dif-
ferences, related to environmental concern, are biased, misleading or even wrong
when it turns out that the measurement scales of environmental concern do not
share the same meaning for people across the world.
The next section discusses some empirical results in the literature on cross-
national differences related to environmental concern. The following section
then deals with methodological problems of cross-national surveys with a special
focus on measurement equivalence of environmental concern. In the subsequent
Cross-national comparison 183
levels of environmental concern all over the world (Franzen and Meyer, 2004;
Pampel, 2013; Mayerl and Best, 2014).
All in all, these cross-national studies show that empirical results on the causes
of global environmental concern are rather inconsistent, depending on the year of
conducting the survey, the concepts and operationalizations, the level of analy-
sis (macro- vs. microlevel) and the statistical methods adopted. Thus, empirical
results vary strongly across studies depending on single- vs. multiple-indicator
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Social Survey Program, the European Value Study, the European Social Survey,
Eurobarometer etc. offer a great data basis to evolve theoretical, substantive, and
methodological knowledge about causes, effects, extent, dimensionality and meas-
urements of environmental concern in a cross-national comparative perspective.
On the other hand, comparative cross-national survey studies come with a wide
range of methodological challenges and problems. In recent years, the research
on comparative survey research joined forces in the research programme ‘3MC’
(Multicultural, Multinational, and Multiregional Contexts; Harkness et al.,
2010). The following brief description summarizes some of the major methodo-
logical problems that cross-national surveys face. These differences stem from
different sources which are classified into four problem areas: survey design;
sampling issues; country-specific characteristics; and differences in understand-
ing the meaning of concepts (see Bachleitner et al., 2014; Braun, 2014; Harkness
et al., 2010, and Nasif et al., 1991 for a discussion of these and many other issues
in detail).
Survey design
When conducting a cross-national survey with dozens of participating countries
all over the world, it is often difficult to implement the same survey mode in
all countries. Reasons for this may be the coverage of specific communication
media (e.g. Internet connection) or the financial costs of computer-assisted per-
sonal interviews. Some countries implement mixed-mode surveys, while others
conduct mono-mode surveys. Moreover, field time is often not possible to syn-
chronize, thus differences between nations may be biased by different time points
of conducting the survey. In addition, the workload of interviewers may be very
different across countries, which is connected to financial issues, as well as the
availability of skilled interviewers. These differences quickly lead to measure-
ment-error issues. A very serious threat to validity of comparative surveys is
the problem of fabricated data. Blasius and Thiessen (2012, 2015), for instance,
report on fabricated data in international surveys like the World Value Survey
2005–2008 and the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA)
2009. This problem arises mainly as a result of the fact that in some international
survey programmes, countries have to reach specific levels of minimum response
rates which originally were meant to ensure high-quality data in all countries. The
lack of careful documentation in some countries, as well as high variations in data
quality management, are connected to these problems. Even the adequate design
186 Jochen Mayerl
of response scales may be problematic; e.g. some languages are written from left
to right and others from right to left, or depending on cultural values and norms,
bipolar scales may be inappropriate and unipolar scales are preferred (e.g. when
disagreement is socially undesirable).
Sampling Issues
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A big issue is that random sampling cannot be done in the same way in all
countries. Some countries use data from resident registration offices, others use
random walk techniques, random digit dialling, or randomized last-digit tech-
niques via telephone. This variation also means that some countries draw random
samples on an individual level and some on a household level. In the case of the
latter technique, a second random procedure such as the ‘next-birthday method’
must be implemented, but it is not guaranteed that these methods are imple-
mented in all countries. Even worse, some countries do not do random sampling,
but instead use quota sampling or related non-random samples. Countries also
differ in their levels of effort to reduce non-responses (follow-up attempts,
refusal conversion, variation in the dates of contacts), and the number of con-
tacts in case a target person is left out of the sample. Good sample-management
systems (see above) use paradata to enhance these survey sampling methods
(e.g. Olson, 2013). There are also strong differences in the need to make the
effort since countries vary strongly in the overall willingness from residents to
participate in surveys (see Stoop et al., 2010, for the case of the European Social
Survey). Thus, depending on social norms and values within cultural contexts,
there is a high variation in the percentage of unit non-responses across coun-
tries. Last but not least, cross-national surveys should be aware of a selection
bias since countries which take part in an international study are not selected by
random. Nevertheless, inferences are often made towards a population such as
continents, cultural entities, or even ‘the world’, which could be biased owing to
this selection bias. Overall, these issues lead to serious problems with regard to
the representativeness of the data.
Country-specific characteristics
Countries differ in social norms and values, thus leading to country-specific lev-
els of non-response, levels of acquiescence (Franzen and Vogl, 2012), and the
extent of individual tendency towards socially desirable responses, as well as
the extent and direction of trait desirability, meaning that some issues might be
highly sensitive in one country but not in another (e.g. topics like sexuality, alco-
hol etc.). In addition, cross-national surveys are faced with country-specific levels
of literacy and education. This sometimes excludes modes of surveys (e.g. postal
and Internet surveys), but also leads to different education-specific response
styles. Thus answers may highly vary owing to a lack of knowledge regarding
the subject in question.
Cross-national comparison 187
solve these problems, because these translations adhere narrowly to literal transla-
tions of exact wording, and often fail to take into account the semantics of a question
for other languages and cultural backgrounds. This raises the issue of measurement
equivalence: are we measuring the same thing when we are adopting the same sets
of indicators to measure a specific latent construct? Thus, is the meaning of the
indicators and the constructs the same across countries? To answer these ques-
tions, Multiple Group Confirmatory Factor Analyses (MGCFA) are conducted,
which will be the focus of the subsequent sections. In addition more comparative
qualitative work is needed to get a deeper understanding of national differences of
subjective meaning of terms and constructs used in cross-national surveys.
Another even broader distinction of types of functional equivalence in com-
parative research was proposed by Bachleitner et al. (2014), who categorize
equivalence issues into problems of equivalence of basic assumptions (analytical
and theoretical level), content and construct equivalence, method equivalence,
interpretation equivalence and application equivalence. Therefore, how research-
ers deal with results in terms of interpretation and application, as well as which
underlying theoretical understanding of a model is given, should also be consid-
ered. The latter was discussed previously in the section ‘Environmental concern
in Europe and worldwide’, as environmental concern is conceptualized and
operationalized in such different ways in the literature that results of empirical
comparisons may depend heavily on these theoretical assumptions.
Obviously, it is highly risky to assume that survey data from different countries
can be compared validly and reliably. Comparative research tries to find evidence
for substantial differences between countries, but needs to eliminate or control for
the stated methodological threats to valid comparisons. In short, are we compar-
ing incomparable outcomes between countries and come to wrong conclusions
about national differences? Validity of research results greatly depends on how
we deal with these methodological challenges.
Marquardt-Pyatt (2012) reports that metric and scalar invariance are given in her
measures of environmental concern with ISSP 2000.
Overall, it seems that latent constructs related to environmental topics often
reach (partial) metric invariance but seldom scalar invariance. In addition, most
of these studies compared measures of environmental concern with a very limited
number of countries or groups. Therefore, the next section illustrates the test of
measurement invariance of an environmental scale across Europe and worldwide,
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with a higher number of countries using ISSP 2010 data. Is it possible to state that
environmental concern can be measured and compared across a wide range of cul-
tures globally, or at least in Europe? Is it possible to compare aggregated means of
environmental concern across countries?
Franzen and Meyer (2010) and Franzen and Vogl (2013) used a similar set of
nine indicators from ISSP 1993, 2000 and 2010 to operationalize environmental
concern as a sum score index (based on 9 indicators). Most indicators of the
present study are part of this scale (see Table 8.2). Reliability analysis of the
present scale results in a value of Cronbach’s Alpha = 0.72 (based on 7 indica-
tors). This finding is very similar to the reliability measures reported by Franzen
and Meyer (2010) and Franzen and Vogl (2013). Furthermore, when estimating
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reliability separately per country, Cronbach’s Alpha is on average 0.71 (i.e. the
mean of reliabilities of all 32 countries), with the lowest Alpha value of 0.50 in
Taiwan and the highest Alpha value of 0.82 in Great Britain. Thus, the reliability
of the used scale of environmental concern is quite acceptable but varies notably
across countries.
Table 8.2 ISSP 2010 indicators of environmental concern used in this study.
unrealistic and not empirically tested assumptions. First, it assumes that all
indicators are weighted identically within the construct. This could be solved
by classic Principal Component Analysis (sometimes called ‘exploratory fac-
tor analysis’), using the estimated factor loadings as weights, which give the
strength of the relationship between the latent construct and the manifest indi-
cator. This, however, does not solve the subsequent problems. Second, it is
assumed that all indicators are measured with zero measurement error. This is
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and Mayerl, 2014, for more details on fit indices). Goodness-of-fit indices
compare the data from the observed variance-covariance matrix and the model-
based expected variance-covariance matrix (including mean structure). In other
words, they test whether the model fits the data or not. To evaluate the models
of environmental concern across countries, it is a precondition that the model
fit is acceptable. Many goodness-of-fit measures were proposed, but the most
important are CFI (Comparative Fit Index), SRMR (Standardized Root Mean
Square Residual) and RMSEA (Root Mean Square Error of Approximation)
with its 90% confidence interval. Suffice it to say that CFI should be higher
than 0.95 (good fit), or at the very least higher than 0.92 (Hair et al. 2010), and
SRMR and RMSEA should be lower than 0.05 (very good fit) or lower than 0.08
(acceptable fit). In the case of RMSEA, the upper limit of the 90% confidence
interval should be lower than 0.10. But these are only rules of thumb, which of
course vary across the literature.
Another evaluation criterion is the convergent validity of the measurement
model. As a common criterion, factor loadings should be significant and, in terms
of standardized values, at least above 0.5. A composite measure of convergent
validity is the so-called AVE (Average Variance Extracted), which is the mean
of all squared factor loadings of all indicators of the construct. When stating that
standardized factor loadings should be higher than 0.5 − at least the mean of all
factor loadings − the AVE should be at least higher than 0.25.
When adopting these three evaluation criteria − measurement equivalence,
model fit and convergent validity − it is important to note that generally, in prac-
tice, a model is accepted even when equivalence is empirically wrong, as long
as the model fit is still acceptable. This means that we force measurements to be
equal across groups or nations, even when this equality is empirically false, as
long as the model acceptably fits the data.4 It is all about comparability! When
measurement equivalence is not given and the model fit is poor, this simply
leads to bad news: it is no longer possible to compare the results across groups.
When ignoring this, the results of the comparison would be highly susceptible
to complete error, would be misleading and strongly biased. Thus, it is all about
the question of whether or not we are able to compare results related to latent
variables across groups.
Figure 8.1 shows the measurement model of environmental concern which will
be tested empirically with ISSP 2010 data. As can be seen in Figure 8.1a, the basic
measurement model includes seven indicator variables without error correlations.
194 Jochen Mayerl
A modified second model (Figure 8.1b) introduces six error correlations to specify
systematic measurement errors and to gain a better model fit.5 These error cor-
relations were specified in all countries to ensure strict configural equivalence for
comparative cross-national analyses.6
A robust Maximum Likelihood estimator (MLM) was used throughout the sta-
tistical analyses with software Mplus 7.7
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Env.
Conc.
(a) E1 E2 E3 E4 E5 E6 E7
Env.
Conc.
E1 E2 E3 E4 E5 E6 E7
(b)
Model E.2 introduces the error correlations reported in Figure 8.1b, whereas
model E.1 does not include these error correlations (Figure 8.1a). While these
two models are not enough to compare latent means of environmental concern
across countries, they test our basic measurement model, asking whether metric-
measurement equivalence is given in the European subsample.
In terms of model fit, as can be seen in Table 8.3, the fit is poor in model
E.1 (CFI<0.95 (even <0.90); RMSEA>0.08; SRMR>0.05). In contrast, the
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AVE: Mean Mean: 0.300 Mean: 0.273 Mean: 0.264 Mean: 0.271
AVE across Hi: GBritain: Hi: GBritain: Hi: GBritain: Hi: GBritain:
countries; 0.403 0.367 0.360 0.367
highest–lowest Lo: Turkey: Lo: Spain: Lo: Spain: Lo: Turkey:
value; 0.198 0.181 0.168 0.178
amount of AVE<0.25: 5 AVE<0.25: AVE<0.25: AVE<0.25: 7/20
countries with out of 20 7/20 8/20
AVE < 0.25 countries
a
criteria for acceptable model fit: CFI>0.95 (marginal>0.92); RMSEA<0.05 (at least <0.08); SRMR
<0.05 (at least<0.08)
AVE: Mean Mean: 0.279 Mean: 0.251 Mean: 0.242 Mean: 0.248
AVE across Hi: GBritain: Hi: GBritain: Hi: GBritain: Hi: GBritain:
countries; 0.402 0.367 0.360 0.362
highest–lowest Lo: Taiwan: Lo: Taiwan: Lo: Taiwan: Lo: Taiwan:
value; 0.122 0.111 0.080 0.102
amount of AVE<0.25: AVE<0.25: AVE<0.25: AVE<0.25:
countries with 11/32 15/32 17/32 16/32
AVE < 0.25
a
criteria for acceptable model fit: CFI>0.95 (marginal>0.92); RMSEA<0.05 (at least <0.08); SRMR
<0.05 (at least<0.08)
Upon further inspection of the results, model W.4 does not fit in three countries
(each contribution to Chi2>400): Bulgaria, Taiwan, and Japan. By excluding these
three countries (model W.4.1), the model fit is quite acceptable with a marginal fit
in terms of CFI = 0.920, and an acceptable fit according to RMSEA = 0.069 and
SRMR = 0,061. On average, the AVE value is 0.257 and thus acceptable, but 12 out of
29 countries show AVE values lower than 0.25. All in all, model W.4.1 will be used in
the following section for a comparison of latent means across the ISSP 2010 countries.
Results of the worldwide latent mean comparison with model W.4.1 are given
in the following. A separate analysis of European countries reveals very similar
results in terms of ranking within this subgroup of countries (not shown).
When comparing latent means, MGCFA requires the specification of a reference
group. The latent mean of this group is fixed to zero, and the reported latent means
of all other groups (countries) indicate the latent mean difference between each of
these groups and the reference group (including p-values of significance tests of
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Table 8.5 Comparison of mean environmental concern across the world: latent and
manifest approaches (reference group is Austria).
taking the mean estimates seriously or not. In addition, the regional patterns are
quite similar for the latent and manifest approach, but there are also some remark-
able differences between the latent MGCFA and the classic manifest sum score
approach in the classification of some countries (e.g. Spain, Mexico, Turkey,
Russia, Belgium, USA, Chile, Lithuania, Israel, South Korea, Great Britain). The
most extreme differences appear in the ranking of Turkey, Mexico and Russia,
which are strongly underrated in manifest rankings, whereas the USA is strongly
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Conclusion
The aim of this chapter was to discuss threats to validity when comparing
the empirical results on environmental concern across countries, and to con-
duct an empirical application of measurement equivalence as a prerequisite of
cross-national studies. Undoubtedly we need comparable data to gain a deeper
understanding and insight into the rise and fall of worldwide environmentalism.
However, as discussed, comparative research faces very serious methodological
issues, which raise doubts about the validity of comparative conclusions regard-
ing worldwide environmental concern.
Within this context, the chapter’s focus was on why and how to test for measure-
ment equivalence of cross-national survey data. The good news for comparative
environmental research is that the chapter shows empirically that it is possible to
reach measurement models with acceptable goodness of fit for specifications of
configural and full metric invariance of a seven-indicator latent construct of envi-
ronmental concern all over the world, using ISSP 2010 data from 32 countries.
Such a model enables comparisons of causes and effects of environmental con-
cern across countries. Nevertheless, every cross-national study, using its specific
data with a specific measurement model of environmental concern, must recheck
for metric-measurement invariance before interpreting and comparing environ-
mental relationships across countries.
When trying to compare aggregated latent means of environmental concern
across countries, the prerequisite of strict scalar invariance of the indicators was
not given empirically with ISSP data. At least, partial scalar invariance reached
a marginally acceptable level of goodness of fit, thus allowing comparison of
latent means, albeit in tendency. The results showed that northern and western
countries are higher in their mean environmental concern. However, at the lower
end of the ranking, countries from all continents and geographic directions can
be found. Moreover, these results strongly depend on: 1) we accept the partial
scalar invariance model with a marginal fit; and 2) we accept comparability when
only partial scalar invariance is given but not full scalar invariance, thus allowing
a subset of indicators to vary freely across countries in terms of their intercepts.
Cross-national comparison 201
Notes
1 Throughout this chapter, ‘cross-national’, ‘cross-country’, ‘cross-cultural’ and ‘cross-
context’ are treated to be synonymous for the sake of simplicity.
2 Common applications of CFA use at least two latent constructs, thus giving the possibil-
ity to test for convergent as well as discriminant validity. In this study, only one construct
(environmental concern) is studied to avoid problems of model fit owing to problematic
measurement of the second construct, which is not in the focus of this chapter. Therefore,
we centre on the convergent validity of environmental concern and its comparability
across nations.
3 Other possibilities to deal with non-invariance are: 1) use a subgroup of countries that
show equivalence and skip the non-equivalent countries; 2) use a subset of indicators for
which the equivalence assumption holds. This is a good way to deal with the problem
when indicators are indeed interchangeable and the content of the latent construct is not
changed when skipping items; and 3) try to explain the non-invariance with additional
predictor variables, e.g. in a multilevel context using country-level predictors.
4 This means that we use a model when its fit indices indicate an acceptable fit, independ-
ent of whether the equivalence constraints are empirically wrong or not. Equivalence
might indeed be wrong in most cases (indicated by Chi2-difference tests), but as long as
the model fit still is acceptable, one should use the most comparable model, this being
the model with equality constraints (see Urban and Mayerl, 2014, pp. 225f.).
5 These error correlations are based mainly on categorization into affective, cognitive and
conative indicators, but also on other similarities of the wording of the indicators like
exaggeration or perceptions of the dispensability of the environmental topic.
6 Single-country analyses of this measurement model show that model fit is acceptable in
all 32 countries under study (CFI>0.95 in 31 countries; CFI>0.94 in 1 country; RMSEA
<0.05 in 26 countries; RMSEA<0.08 in 6 countries; SRMR<0.05 in all 32 countries).
A test of the tripartite model as a three-dimensional factor (affective, cognitive, conative)
structure showed that model fit is not satisfying (CFI<0.94) and is worse than the fit of the
model with error correlations (Fig. 8.1b). The same is true for a two-factor-solution on
the basis that indicators stem from two different item blocks in the questionnaire design
(question 10 and question 13), but again the model fit was not satisfying (CFI<0.94).
Thus we exclude these alternative models from the subsequent analyses.
202 Jochen Mayerl
7 Reported models are estimated with list-wise deletion, but re-estimations with a Full
Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) estimator lead to similar results of model fit,
showing the results are stable with respect to missing data problems.
References
Bachleitner, R., Weichbold, M., Aschauer, W. and Pausch, M. (2014) Methodik und
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Dunlap, R. E., Van Liere, K. D., Mertig, A. G. and Jones, R. E. (2000) Measuring endorse-
ment of the new ecological paradigm: a revised NEP scale. Journal of Social Issues 56.
pp. 425–442.
Fairbrother, M. (2013) Rich People, Poor People, and Environmental Concern: Evidence
across Nations and Time. European Sociological Review 29 (5). pp. 910–922.
Franzen, A. (2003) Environmental attitudes in international comparison: an analysis of the
ISSP Surveys 1993 and 2000. Social Science Quarterly 84 (2). pp. 297–308.
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Youth environmental
consciousness in Europe
The influence of psychosocial factors
on pro-environmental behaviour
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Leena Haanpää
Introduction
Environmental consciousness is inevitably a matter of knowledge, attitudes and
behaviour. There is an extensive body of research focusing on these relation-
ships regarding adults (e.g. Bamberg & Möser 2007; Diekmann & Preisendörfer
2003; Kollmus & Agyeman 2002; Oreg & Katz-Gerro 2006). However, research
focusing on youth environmental consciousness has been given less attention,
especially in a cross-cultural research setting. Previous studies focus mainly
on individual-level factors within a limited student data in a separate nation
(Levine & Strube 2012), and often on one or two components of environmental
consciousness (Alp et al. 2006; Bruni, Chance & Schultz 2012; Fisman 2005;
Hausbeck, Milbrath & Enright 1992). As pointed out in earlier studies (Levine &
Strube 2012; Oreg & Katz-Gerro 2006), it is important to focus on more than a
single predictor when trying to understand pro-environmental behaviour.
This study addresses the individual conditions of environmental conscious-
ness among European youth by using the well-documented Theory of Planned
Behaviour (TPB; Ajzen 1991). Besides the TPB, Inglehart’s (1997) post-
materialism index of 17 European countries is applied to provide a more complete
picture of cultural context influencing environmental consciousness. Thus, this
study focuses on cultural values, environmental attitudes, intentions and behav-
iours of European youth. The data are drawn from the International Social Survey
Programme 2010 (ISSP 2010; European countries, total sample size 23,513
respondents), focusing on the environment, and the research population is lim-
ited to respondents between the ages of 15 and 29. A special study interest lies
in focusing on the relationships between the various psychosocial elements on
pro-environmental behaviour. These elements can be seen as one of the key com-
ponents in bringing about more a hopeful future for the environment.
essence of sociological thinking on these prevalent world views, of which the most
well-known ones are the human exemptionalism paradigm (HEP) and the new
environmental paradigm (NEP) (Dunlap & Catton 1994).1
The first emphasizes the uniqueness of mankind over the other creatures of the
world, while the second stresses human dependency on other species and natural
resources.
Environmental consciousness is a broad concept that often incorporates
studies related to behavioural orientation and psychological constructs. These
studies underline the multidimensional nature of the concept: cognitive,
affective and evaluative factors influencing pro-environmental behaviour.
Special attention to environment-behaviour relationship was given already
in the 1980s by Buttel (1987), who paid attention to the role of attitudes and
values. Later on, studies have emphasized the strong interconnections among
beliefs, values, attitudes and knowledge affecting pro-environmental behav-
iour (Sánchez & Lafuente 2010; Schultz 2001; Stern & Diaz 1994). Thus,
environmental consciousness is a concept through which the growth of envi-
ronmental significance in Western societies has been explained (Rannikko
1996). The concept ties together socio-psychological aspects with structural
elements which, in this study, are understood as the combination of cognitive
structure of pro-environmental behaviour and attitude-behaviour congruence.
In other words, this study builds upon previous work that has demonstrated
the existence of linkages between value-mediated attitudes and beliefs (world
views) promoting pro-environmental behavioural patterns (e.g. Stern & Diaz
1994). At an individual level, environmental consciousness refers to a personal
commitment to environmental issues, whereas collective-level consciousness
deals with, for example, national environmental movements.
It has been argued that the young generation differs from previous ones
in their environmental consciousness (Kanchanapibul et al. 2014). They are
shown to be more environmentally and socially conscious than older genera-
tions, for example, in their consumption behaviour (Hume 2010). Previous
research on youth environmental attitudes indicates that attitudes have an
influence on pro-environmental behaviour (Alp et al. 2008; Bruni et al. 2012;
Johnson & Manoli 2011; Meinhold & Malkus 2005), although this impact is
often small (Kollmus & Agyeman 2002). Positive environmental attitudes do
not necessarily lead to pro-environmental behaviour because there are other
influencing factors, one of which is behavioural intention, which has a part to
Youth environmental consciousness 207
tion displays the strength of how strongly an individual is willing to try, and how
much effort they need to use in order to carry out some sort of behaviour. The
main rule is that the stronger the intention in question, the more likely the behav-
iour is to be realized.
TPB explains behaviour by means of beliefs, attitudes and intentions. According
to the theory, attitudes or beliefs do not determine behaviour directly, rather they
influence behavioural intentions. TPB enables the prediction and measurement of
the behaviour; for example, saving or reusing water, if a person is willing to make
sacrifices in their own standard of living for environmental reasons (Ajzen 1991).
Behavioural intentions are influenced by attitudes, subjective norms2 and per-
ceived behavioural control. Personal attitudes reflect, for example, how positive
or negative an adolescent is towards the use of public transport instead of private-
car use (cutting back on driving a car). Attitudes, in turn, are formed by world
views and beliefs that a person has towards an issue. The model also contains
factors of perceived behavioural control; internal and external limitations control-
ling an action. These limitations and control factors define how easy or difficult an
action is to accomplish. An adolescent may feel that using public transport is not
an option because it takes too much time. It points out what Ajzen (1991) in his
theory of planned behaviour suggests; cognitive self-regulation plays an impor-
tant part in it, as well as resources and opportunities.
(Jorgenson & Givens 2013). This leads people to show that they care about the
environment and are also capable and willing to pay for it. In other words, wealth
brings, alongside growth, the willingness to protect the environment.
Proponents of the post-material thesis have then shown that environmentalism
is, to a certain extent, ‘a function of actual environmental conditions’ (Abramson
1997, p. 21): people are motivated about environmental protection by direct
experience. Acknowledgement that not only people from affluent countries are
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Post-material Environmental
values concern Pro-
Behaviour
environmental
intention
behaviour
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Risk
perception
Perceived
behavioural
control
Figure 9.1 Model predicting pro-environmental behaviour (cf. Oreg & Katz-Gerro 2006).
not on youth. However, it offers a research setting that is also applicable in this
study when it comes to the combining cultural values at an individual level.
They also pointed out that social context in which the individuals are embed-
ded in should be taken into account in the analysis to demonstrate hypothesized
mediated effects. Although this work does not focus on country-level values,
post-material values are useful at the individual level, as noted above.
This study aims to identify the extent to which individual-level psychoso-
cial factors have an effect on behavioural intentions and pro-environmental
behaviours. Following Figure 9.1, the model suggests that both direct and indi-
rect relationships (which are estimated simultaneously, although not all links
are presented in the figure to keep it simple) exist between psychosocial fac-
tors and pro-environmental behaviour. Furthermore, according to the TPB, the
incoming factor intention itself has a mediator role with regard to behaviour,
while other variables have an indirect influence through it to pro-environmental
behaviour. This model suggests that Ingleharts’s post-materialism index func-
tions as a cultural context, precedes concern for the environment and also has a
mediated effect on pro-environmental behaviour. Behavioural intention – that is,
willingness to pay for the environment – is preceded by individual environmen-
tal attitudes, which in this study are performed by two measures: environmental
concern and risk perception. These two attitudinal elements are expected to have
indirect effects on pro-environmental behaviour. Individual efficacy, the ability
to contribute to environmental protection (i.e., perceived behavioural control),
is, in turn, expected to precede and have a direct effect on intention and pro-
environmental behaviour.
In addition, beyond the hypothesized effects, direct effects between environmen-
tal attitudes (environmental concern and risk perception) and pro-environmental
Youth environmental consciousness 211
behaviour are anticipated. The existence of such effects would reveal the direct
significance of personal attitudes to the very behaviour which is often neglected.
The matter of interest is not to validate or devalue the various existing measures of
environmental concern or endorsement (for more about measures see e.g. Dunlap
et al. 2000), but to add to prevalent models with new knowledge about the condi-
tions of youth environmental consciousness. At the same time, the suitability of
the ISSP questionnaire for this kind of study will be evaluated.
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the environment and not enough about jobs’ and ‘We worry too much about pro-
gress harming the environment’. The original scale varied from 1 (strongly agree)
to 5 (strongly disagree). The items reliability alpha coefficient was 0.55 and their
zero-order correlation was 0.38 (p < 0.01).
Risk perception was measured by seven items which addressed general
threat and the level of concern for the environment. The items in the ques-
tionnaire asked for adolescents’ opinions about the danger to the environment
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from: air pollution caused by cars (pollution from cars’ risk perception); air
pollution caused by industry (pollution from industry risk perception); pesti-
cides and chemicals (pesticides in farming risk perception); rivers, lakes and
streams (pollution in waterways risk perception); a rise in the world’s tempera-
ture caused by climate change (climate-change risk perception); the genetic
modification of certain crops (GM crop risk perception); and nuclear power sta-
tions (nuclear power risk perception). Regarding these items the original scale
varied from positive to negative: 1 (extremely dangerous) to 5 (not dangerous
at all), and was reverse-coded before being included in the analysis. The reli-
ability alpha coefficient of the subscale of general threat was 0.80.
Perceived behavioural control was formed of two items tapping on cognitive
self-efficacy. These were: ‘It is just too difficult for someone like me to do much
about the environment’ and ‘There is no point in doing what I can for the environ-
ment unless others do the same’. The original scale varied from 1 (strongly agree)
to 5 (strongly disagree). The items reliability alpha coefficient was 0.52 and their
zero-order correlation was 0.35 (p < 0.01).
Behavioural intention was assessed by three items measuring adolescents’
willingness to pay higher prices for the environment, willingness to pay higher
taxes for the environment, and willingness to accept cuts in the standard of liv-
ing for the environment. Response options varied between 1 (very willing) and 5
(very unwilling) and were thus reverse-coded. The reliability alpha coefficient of
behavioural intention was 0.83.
Pro-environmental behaviour was measured as follows: the question set con-
sidered private-sphere environmentally friendly behaviour such as recycling
(how often one recycles), buying organic food (buy fruit and vegetables grown
without pesticides or chemicals), energy-saving behaviour (reduce the consump-
tion of energy or fuel at home, save or re-use water) and consumerist behaviour
(avoid buying certain products). One item in this question set was left out; that
is, the one focusing on cutting back on driving a car. This decision was made
because some of the respondents in the data were underage and did not have a
driving licence, so their answers were not comparable with those that had or could
have had a licence based on their age. Again the scale was reverse-coded from
1 (always) to 4 (never). The reliability alpha coefficient of pro-environmental
behaviour items was 0.77.
The analyses, as well as the reliability calculations (Cronbach’s alpha and zero-
order correlations), were conducted with SPSS version 21. The indicators were
all continuous, thus analyses were conducted using Maximum Likelihood (ML)
Youth environmental consciousness 213
ces were used. The adequate fit is defined as CFI>0.9, TLI>0.9, RMSEA<0.08,
and SRMR<0.08 (Byrne 2011).
To perform a SEM, two kinds of models were performed (Byrne 2011). The
first requirement was to specify a measurement model whereby the unmeas-
ured latent variables were scaled onto their related observed indicator variables
(e.g. environmental risk perception, pro-environmental behaviour). All the item
loadings were statistically significant (p <0.001; β ≥ 0.343) for their theoretical
constructs, which allowed their use as indicators in a structural model. In the
full SEM model, regression structures among the latent variables were specified
and the relationships between the latent constructs and single-item variables
were drawn.5
Results
The descriptive statistics are presented as the number of responses, means and
standard deviations for each variable (Table 9.1). The perception of risk concern-
ing air pollution from industry combined the opinions of European youngsters
the most. A third of the respondents (77%) considered pollution from industry at
least very dangerous for the environment. This variable also showed lower stand-
ard deviation than other variables: that is, more consistency among the youth
with respect to other variables. Items measuring pro-environmental behaviour,
on the other hand, show that most of the young people are not prepared to make
environmentally friendly consumption decisions. One-quarter of them (25%)
would often or always avoid buying certain products for environmental reasons.
The results also point out that willingness to make sacrifices for environment is
not self-evident for younger people. The proportion of those fairly or very will-
ing to pay higher taxes is only 20% of the total. In general, the results draw a
picture of youth that are concerned about the environment’s state at their attitu-
dinal level, but do not show special interest in taking a stand for it in their own
consumer behaviour.
Figure 9.2 confirms the estimated, positive links between the tested latent
and single-item indicators and proves all the anticipated and also positive direct
effects on factors of behavioural intention and pro-environmental behaviour. In
addition, a direct effect between risk perception and pro-environmental behav-
iour was confirmed; an effect which was estimated as indirect according to the
theoretical premises. The model fit was acceptable (χ2 = 1,752.892, df = 156;
CFI = 0.923; TLI = 0.906; RMSEA = 0.05; SRMR 0.058).
214 Leena Haanpää
Table 9.1 Number of respondents, means and standard deviations of variables used in
SEM analysis.
Variable N M SD
Post-materialism 3,812 1.28 0.979
Environmental concern
We worry too much about the environment & 3,973 3.08 1.168
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All the reported effects were significant at p < 0.001. As estimated, post-
material values had a quite strong direct effect on environmental concern and a
weak indirect association with pro-environmental behaviour. This indirect effect
was mediated through environmental concern and intentions (β 0.023, p < 0.001).
Youth environmental consciousness 215
Risk 0.15
perception
0.31 0.27
Perceived
behavioural
control
Figure 9.2 SEM results of path model. Values are reported as standardized coefficients.
Discussion
In this study on youth environmental consciousness in Europe, in a sample of more
than 4,100 youngsters between the ages of 15 and 29, representing 19 European
countries, a model built upon the survey questions of ISSP Environment 2010 III
216 Leena Haanpää
data was shown to have an acceptable fit. Studying young people in the context
of quite a wide age range, given that the youngest presumably still live at home,
while other young adults may have already formed their own families, creates
a research setting that places quality requirements on the survey questionnaire.
Bearing this in mind, this study aimed at building a comprehensive model of
the conditions of youth environmental consciousness. In that work theories of
planned behaviour and post-materialism were utilized. Ajzen’s (1991) theory
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was made to conceptualize one component of the TPB; namely, subjective norm.
Inclusion of one possible item to measure subjective norm, however, decreased
the total model fit indices, although the item itself was found to have statistically
significant relationships. This indicates that elaborating empirical constructs of
the secondary data is not always possible.
The utility of the research results lies mainly in the field of environmental
education. As the study results point out, taking a positive stand on environmen-
tal issues in everyday life routines may result in favourable attitudes that further
pro-environmental youth behaviour. In this sense, schools and homes are the most
prominent environments for young people, where such behaviours are possible
to actualize. Questions about lifestyles are also shaped by underlying values.
Contemporary Western consumerism is one obvious manifestation of adolescents’
lifestyles that is often connected to rampant materialism and mass consumption.
Extravagant lifestyles are claimed to have led to excessive and wasteful consump-
tion. Such a viewpoint brings to the fore environmentally harmful elements of
consumption; the fact that consumption has an intrinsic value in people’s life by
becoming a principal activity of leisure time and a search for happiness.
More research is needed to indicate the influence of aggregate-level national
context to youth environmental consciousness. Considering the age group, con-
ventional aggregate-level indicators may not work in predicting environmental
consciousness. Additional studies of the usefulness, for example, of post-material
values at the national level are needed. Do post-material values work in stud-
ies concerning youth as they did in the case of adults (cf. Oreg & Katz-Kerro
2006)? When it comes to adolescents, the evaluation of European environmen-
tal education programmes would form an aggregate-level context to deepen our
understanding of the elements affecting youth environmental consciousness.
Notes
1 See Dunlap 2002 for a more profound discussion on the competing theoretical orientations.
2 Subjective norm was left out of the final model because the ISSP questionnaire does not
contain a well-fitting item to measure it. See also Discussion.
3 Russia was included but Turkey was excluded following the most commonly accepted
geographical extent of Europe (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_
and_dependent_territories_in_Europe).
4 2% (n = 84) of respondents of the sample population were under 18 years.
5 Model fit was revised by freeing specific parameters measuring the same type of behav-
ior or attitudes; e.g. energy-saving behavior or risk perception.
218 Leena Haanpää
References
Abramson, PR 1997, ‘Post-materialism and environmentalism: a comment on an analysis
and a reappraisal’, Social Science Quarterly, vol. 78, no 1, pp. 21–29.
Ajzen, I 1991, ‘The theory of planned behavior’, Organizational Behavior and Human
Decision Processes, vol. 50, no. 2, pp. 179–211.
Ajzen, I, Brown, TC & Carvajal, F 2004, ‘Explaining the discrepancy between intentions
and actions: the case of hypothetical bias in contingent valuation’, Personality and
Downloaded by [University of California, San Diego] at 18:58 11 February 2017
Dilemmas of sustainability
in turbulent times
The Portuguese case in context
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Introduction
This chapter considers a group of data marked by multiple dilemmas and
perplexities that challenge both citizens and decision-makers in troubled times.
The financial crisis which, since 2008, has proved to have social, economic and
ecological effects,1 has given rise to increasing difficulties in bringing together
socio-economic needs (i.e. ensuring or improving quality of life for everyone)
and environmental needs (i.e. ensuring that ecological limits are not exceeded).
Hence we face a double challenge. On the one hand, it is increasingly
acknowledged that the present socio-economic model ‘cannot deliver well-being,
environmental stability and social justice in a world where poverty and hunger
occur simultaneously with overconsumption’ (Leahy, Healy & Murphy 2014,
p. 105). However, ‘the institutional and technological locked-in situation into
which the western path of economic development ( . . . ) has led our societies’
(Van Griethuysen 2009, p. 6) imposes a situation where citizens and decision-
makers are hostages to the market and to growth. On the other hand, in line with
what has been claimed for two decades (WCED 1987), several documents focus-
ing on the sustainable development and green economy narratives have come to
light, pointing to alternative economic solutions capable of safeguarding envi-
ronmental and social values (Bina 2013; Ferrão 2014).
There are thus two distinct narratives – unlimited growth (continuing business as
usual) and sustainable development (investment in renewal and prevention) – that
diverge in a context of socio-economic crisis. Austerity policies have aggravated
social problems (weakening of the welfare state, unemployment, social exclusion).
At the same time, environmental policies and programmes have been relaxed or
neglected. Given these circumstances, present-day societies face difficult dilem-
mas. The urgent ‘needs of the moment’ are seldom confronted without negative
consequences in the present, let alone in the long run and with regard to future
generations.
In the light of this scenario, in which pessimism, disbelief and mistrust go
side by side with a narrative of hope, change and the opportunity for sustain-
ability, it is important to understand the public point of view and the factors that
222 João Guerra et al.
of the state of the environment (worrying or not worrying) and trust in institu-
tions (trust or mistrust).
There is a great amount of information available at present, although it is
complex, contradictory and not always accessible, and demands effort and an
exceptional ability to process and filter in order to turn it into practical knowl-
edge. In this part we will analyse citizens’ ability to evaluate the present situation
(for instance, what do people know about the causes of and solutions to environ-
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mental problems), considering the complexity of the issues and the fact that a lot
of information does not necessarily mean good information.
In the ISSP survey, two questions were considered to measure respondents’
self-assessment of their knowledge of the causes of and solutions to environ-
mental problems. In Portugal respondents tend to concentrate on intermediate
categories: they neither consider themselves totally ignorant nor assume clear
knowledge. However, there is a greater concentration of answers on the cat-
egories corresponding to lower levels of knowledge. At the same time, there
is a tendency to acknowledge knowing more about the causes than about the
solutions (Figure 10.1).
The greater struggle is not so much to understand the causes of a problem but
rather to imagine a possible solution to it. This stems from a complexity of factors
such as the absence of a basic culture or the fragmentation of information pro-
cesses, which generate weakness and uncertainty (Schmidt et al. 2010).
Based on both variables, we have created an ‘Environment Knowledge
Index’ which measures assumed knowledge of the causes of and solutions to
environmental problems. According to Figure 10.2, the Southern-European
countries (average = 2.84) stand out negatively in relation to their Western-
European counterparts (average = 3.27), showing lower levels of knowledge.
The results show greater similarities between the Iberian levels and those of
some of the Eastern-European countries with lower rates (Russia, Slovakia,
Lithuania, and Czech Republic), and also those of Latin-American countries
such as Chile and Argentina.
5.0%
2.1%
3.54
3.45
3.40
3.38
3.33
3.27
3.27
3.24
3.22
3.21
3.19
3.18
3.18
3.18
3.16
3.13
3.11
3.08
3.01
3.01
2.95
2.96
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2.92
2.91
2.90
2.90
2.89
2.84
2.82
2.82
2.81
2.76
2.71
W. Europe
RU
SK
CL
LT
ES
PT
CZ
AR
L. America
US
BG
E. Europe
LV
MX
Total
N. America
BE
IS
GB
NL
DE
HR
AT
SE
DK
CH
FR
CA
SI
FI
NO
S. Europe
Figure 10.2 Environmental knowledge index (causes and solutions) within ISSP countries
(ISSP 2010, N = 35,051).
3.60 NO
Causes of Environmental Problems
FI
CA
3.40
CH
FR
SI
DK
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DE
W.Europe
3.20 SE
N.America NL
AT
TS
HR
LVBE UK
3.00 BG
US E.Europe
AR MX
PT
RU ES CZ L.America
2.80
LT CL S.Europe
SK
2.60
3.40 NO
FI
SI
CA
Environmental Knowledge Index
3.20
FR
DK AT
HR W.Europe CH
SE
3.00 NL
UK DE
TS N.America
MX
LV BE
BG AR
2.80 E.Europe
CZ US
PT
L.America S.Europe
LT SK ES
2.60 CL
RU
2.40
3.4000 NO
FI
Environmental Knowledge Index
CA
3.2000 SI
FR
CH
AT DK SE
HR NL
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W.Europe
3.0000
DE
UK
MX LV N.America
BE IS
E.Europe
L.America
2.8000 PT S.Europe
US
BG AR CZ ES
CL
2.6000 RU LT
SK
2.4000
3.4000 NO
FI
SI
Environmental Knowledge Index
CA
3.2000
FR
W.Europe
DK CH HR
3.0000 NL AT
DE UK
IS
BE LV N.America
E.Europe BG L.America
2.8000
AR
CZ PT S.Europe US
SK CL
2.6000 LT ES RU
2.4000
Figure 10.3 Environmental knowledge by GNI per capita, HDI and inequality within ISSP
countries (ISSP 2010, N = 35,051; UNDP, 2013).
Notes: y = 0.3,16 + −0.02*x; R² = 0.252
228 João Guerra et al.
100% 5
90%
80% 4
4.10
4.07
4.01
4.03
3.91
70%
3.85
3.86
3.84
3.78
3.78
3.74
3.75
3.72
3.67
3.61
3.61
3.65
3.63
3.62
3.62
3.58
3.55
3.53
3.43
3.41
3.41
60% 3.37 3
3.37
3.35
3.25
3.10
50%
2.86
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40% 2
30%
20% 1
10%
0% 0
CZ
SK
HR
LT
SE
DK
IS
E. Europe
NO
AT
RU
MX
UK
LV
NL
CL
BG
W. Europe
DE
FI
FR
L. America
ES
BE
CH
S. Europe
US
N. America
PT
AR
SV
CA
1 Not at all concerned 2 3 4 5 Very concerned Mean
Figure 10.4 General environmental concern by ISSP country and region (ISSP 2010,
N = 35,051).
3.20
FR
W.Europe CH
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HR DK NL
3.00 IS AT DE BE
SE UK
N.America
MX LV
2.80 CZ E.Europe L.America AR
CL US PT
BG
LT S.Europe
SK
2.60 RU ES
2.40
the mediation of the different national contexts does not permit a clear and une-
quivocal trend line.
Nevertheless, it is possible to identify significant statistical evidence of the
correlation between levels of environmental knowledge – r (41.367) = -0.035;
p < 0.001 – and concern with the environmental conditions – r (43.772) = -0.205;
p < 0.001 – when relating them to the level of confidence in the national aptitude to
solve environmental problems.
Figure 10.6 shows clear and widespread evidence of respondents’ criticism
of the performance of each of their states as far as environmental protection is
concerned. The percentage of respondents who make a negative assessment of
national performance on environmental protection exceeds one quarter in almost
every case, except for the Netherlands. In the wider socio-geographical contexts,
we can see that only Western Europe (38.7%) is below the global average (52.3%).
Latin America (72.7%), followed closely by the Iberian countries with 69.2%
(Southern Europe), are the most critical of their states’ environmental protection
actions, whereas Eastern Europe (58.7%), followed by North America (54.8%),
show intermediate levels, but are still above the global average.
If we look at the same data focusing on each country’s results it becomes
apparent that the level of affluence of the country influences the distribution of
230 João Guerra et al.
84.2%
75.7%
72.7%
72.0%
71.8%
71.0%
70.1%
69.2%
66.3%
64.0%
62.9%
61.0%
58.3%
57.8%
56.2%
54.8%
53.5%
52.7%
50.6%
44.7%
43.6%
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40.1%
38.7%
37.1%
36.0%
35.7%
35.8%
32.1%
31.1%
29.9%
27.7%
23.2%
W. Europe
S. Europe
CH
NL
FI
DE
SE
NO
UK
DK
CZ
AT
BE
SK
US
LV
N. America
HR
CA
FR
PT
RU
LT
SV
CL
ES
MX
L. America
AR
BG
IS
E. Europe
Figure 10.6 To protect the environment, this country is doing too little by ISSP country
and region (ISSP 2010, N = 35,051).
Report (WCED 1987). Nevertheless, these two areas are not always perceived
socially as convergent. Former antagonisms seem to re-emerge, especially during
troubled times.
If concern with the environment is presented in an abstract manner – ‘Generally
speaking, how concerned are you about environmental issues?’ – the answer tends
to be straightforward and unrelated to the level of national affluence or the priority
given to environmental issues (Figure 10.7a).
However, the concern-priority correlation changes significantly when pressing
issues such as employment and cost of living mediate concern for the future of the
environment. As shown in Figure 10.7b, Portugal’s position – as well as that of
many other countries – changes dramatically, appearing well below previous con-
cern levels.4 In other words, in the presence of other socio-economic urgencies,
sharpened in times of crisis, high environmental concern lessens quite remark-
ably, especially in less affluent countries.
Let us then go further in our analysis by introducing other variables. Taking
environment and economy to be opposing forces we will now analyse the
respondents’ reaction to the statement ‘economic growth always harms the
environment’. Figure 10.8 shows that the perception of economic growth being
harmful to the environment is greater in Latin America; probably owing to the
still few convincing examples of compatibility between economy and environ-
ment. Portugal (2.95) is near the Eastern-European countries’ average (2.92)
and very far from Western Europe (2.79), and even further from North America
(2.56). In this last region, as in the Nordic countries, the dichotomy of envi-
ronment and economy seems to have faded away, perhaps as the result of a
more successful process of ecological modernization that made the compatibility
hypothesis more credible (Mol, Sonnenfeld & Spaargaren 2009).
Nevertheless, it should be noted that the concurrence average never gets close
to the scale’s highest level (5). This suggests a general and pervasive refusal of
a dichotomist vision that opposes environment and economy in a simplistic way.
This approach has been gradually replaced by the sustainable development per-
spective, exhibiting more moderate principles and integrating both spheres. Thus,
the ideas of sustainable development and the green economy seem to be gain-
ing ground and, despite fleeting reversals, have already won a place in the social
imagination and are likely to extend to several socio-geographical contexts.
Comparing the results of ISSP Environment III (2010–12) with ISSP
Environment II (2000) (see, for instance, Schmidt & Valente 2004) the Portuguese
case is one of the most interesting (Figure 10.9). It is among the Portuguese
General concern versus environmental importance
4.20
CA
AR SI
N.America
General Environmental Concern
PT S.Europe
3.90 CH
L.America US BE
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ES DE
BG UK FR FI
MX
3.60
CL LV RU NL W.Europe
E.Europe AT
LT IS SE NO
3.30 DK
HR
SK
3.00
CZ
SI FR
not enough about prices and jobs
3.20 LT UK
ES RU BE
HR CZ FI
E.Europe SK
3.00 BG US MX NL
S.Europe W.Europe
CL
L.America
2.80 AP IS N.America
PT AT CH
DE NO
SE
CA
2.60
DK
2.40
3.29
3.28
3.22
Minimum 1 – Maximum 5
3.18
3.06
3.04
3.01
3.00
2.96
2.95
2.95
2.94
2.92
2.91
2.90
2.89
2.83
2.82
2.81
2.79
2.75
2.73
2.72
2.67
2.59
2.59
2.56
2.56
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2.55
2.52
2.49
2.31 IS
NO
DK
US
N. America
CA
SE
ES
UK
HR
LV
S. Europe
W. Europe
NL
BE
DE
RU
FR
CZ
E. Europe
FI
PT
AT
LT
CH
SK
SV
AR
BG
L. America
CL
MX
Figure 10.8 Economic growth always harms the environment (ISSP 2010, N = 35,051).
respondents that the most perceptible decrease in agreeing with the statement
‘economic growth always harms the environment’ takes place. This decrease in
agreement – from 60% to 35% – suggests that, at least in Portugal, economic
growth is no longer seen with the former distrust.
Thus, as far as Portugal is concerned, there is a persistent high appraisal of
‘economic growth’ as an increased necessity in a crisis context, which, to a cer-
tain extent, overshadows (but does not deny) the environmental values. Actually,
as several studies have shown, the progress of the sustainable development
and green economy narratives is undoubtedly real. The belief in a new green
economy occurs mainly amongst the younger generations, who have the higher
literacy levels and skills to process the environmental information discussed
above (Ferrão 2014; ed. Schmidt & Delicado 2014).
0.31
0.22
0.10
0.06
0.05
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
−0.01
−0.04
−0.06
−0.07
−0.09
−0.11
−0.14
−0.15
−0.76
PT
RU
US
MX
BG
CHL
NL
ES
SVN
UK
SE
LV
CL
DK
CA
NO
DE
FI
AT
CZ
Figure 10.9 Economic growth harms the environment. Evolution between 2000 and
2010–12 (ISSP 2010, N = 35,051; ISSP 2000, N = 28,389).
234 João Guerra et al.
and Norway, which have already reached economic and environmental well-
being. At the opposite end we find countries such as Bulgaria, Czech Republic,
Russia and Latvia, where the integration of environment and economy is still to be
achieved and where the levels of institutional trust are very low.
In short, present-day experience shows that the population’s disregard for envi-
ronmental problems reflects the economic crisis and poverty. However, in absolute
terms, concern with environmental problems is still high, because the govern-
ment’s lack of investment imposed by austerity measures leads to decisions that
neglect quality of life and the environment. The Portuguese, as with other people
affected by the crisis, feel this situation and exhibit paradoxical positions. On the
one hand, they prioritize the environment and disregard the economy, and on the
other hand, they value the economy and growth as essential means of ensuring
both social and environmental well-being.
In Portugal, as in other countries, the results show a decrease, varying across
generations and social groups, of the perception of the economy as harmful and
increased recognition of its potential to protect the environment. It is the coun-
tries going through economic crisis or with low indicators of development and
affluence, such as the Southern and Eastern-European countries, which stress that
environmental protection depends on economic growth. On the other hand, it is in
Western Europe and in countries with a higher GNI per capita (where the standard
Minimum 1 – Maximum 5
3.66
3.63
3.62
3.60
3.50
3.48
3.47
3.47
3.41
3.40
3.36
3.36
3.35
3.34
3.32
3.32
3.31
3.30
3.24
3.19
3.19
3.18
3.07
3.07
3.04
2.97
2.71
2.70 CH
FI
NO
CA
AT
NL
IS
W. Europe
BE
FR
N. America
CL
SE
DK
UK
DE
L. America
AR
ES
MX
S. Europe
US
HR
LT
SK
PT
E. Europe
LV
RU
CZ
BG
SV
of living is stable) that this perspective is less marked. This means that economic
security is an important condition, although not a sufficient one, for ensuring the
population’s unequivocal support for environmental-protection policies. Despite
a tendency to subscribe to the sustainability and green economy narrative, seen
as a hopeful route, the threat of economic insecurity produces social hesitation,
even though it is known that short-term decisions may have unwanted and lasting
environmental side effects.
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15.1%
22.5% 23.6%
30.6% 29.1% 35.0%
41.9% 45.9%
43.6% 47.5%
57.9%
31.9% 66.3%
18.6%
33.9%
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26.5% 39.8%
26.4%
17.7% 21.8%
39.2% 38.3% 16.6%
46.9% 47.8% 15.3%
37.0% 36.1% 36.2%
31.7% 30.6% 30.6%
23.3%
13.1% 12.8% 16.6%
EE- EE- WE- WE- NA- NA- LA- LA- SE- SE- PT- PT-
Citizens Business Citizens Business Citizens Business Citizens Business Citizens Business Citizens Business
Eastern Europe Western Europe North America Latin America Southern Europe Portugal
Figure 10.11 To protect the environment: best approach for citizens and for businesses
(ISSP 2010, N = 35,051).
support for tax breaks are found in the Western-European and North-American
countries. In these regions, a more conciliatory approach to environmental
protection needs and market needs is apparent. This perspective feeds on the
gradual implementation of green taxation measures and the ensuing tax breaks.
It seems unquestionable that in Portugal and Southern Europe support prevails
for procedures based on increased environmental information and education. This
reveals a greater trust in the power of the dissemination of information and envi-
ronmental knowledge. At the same time, it shows a preference for measures with
less impact on citizens’ budgets.
We endeavoured to assess whether respondents believe that, as far as envi-
ronmental protection policies are concerned, government action should be more
coercive or more tolerant, both for citizens and businesses. According to the
results shown in Figure 10.12 and, to an extent, contradicting the previous
results, more coercive measures for citizens largely surpass the other options
(‘government should pass laws to make ordinary people protect the environ-
ment, even if it interferes with people’s rights to make their own decisions’).
Analysing this seeming contradiction, it is the Southern-European and Latin-
American countries that support tougher governmental action (above 70%).
At the opposite end North American and Western-European responses favour-
ing more coercive measures do not exceed 58.6%. These countries stand out,
on the one hand, for their greater support of free will or citizen responsibility
(‘government should let ordinary people decide for themselves how to protect the
environment, even if it means they don’t always do the right thing’) and, on the
Dilemmas of sustainability 237
3.5%
8.0% 6.8% 7.6% 8.3% 5.0% 6.8%
12.5% 10.7% 11.6%
18.4%
24.8%
NA- NA- WE- WE- EE- EE- LA- LA- PT- PT- SE- SE-
Citizens Business Citizens Business Citizens Business Citizens Business Citizens Business Citizens Business
North America Western Europe Eastern Europe Latin America Portugal Southern Europe
Let citizens and entreprises decide for themselves Pass laws to citizens and entreprises NA/DK
other hand, for their higher percentages of ‘don’t know/no reply’, perhaps reflect-
ing a refusal to concede the dichotomy presented. It may be a way of expressing
an intermediate position, integrating both forms of environmental governance.
Respondents’ attitudes to businesses reveal an acceptance of stricter govern-
mental behaviour: ‘government should pass laws to make businesses protect the
environment, even if this interferes with businesses’ rights to make their own
decisions’. These measures seem to be perceived as a means of protecting the envi-
ronment; an interpretation that cuts across all socio-geographical contexts. It is once
again in Southern Europe where people are more peremptory in defending State
intervention to make businesses act in a way that ensures environmental protection.
We will now take a look at the distribution of respondents when crossing diver-
gent options of environmental governance, such as ‘more information/education
for ordinary people and for business’, and ‘laws that make citizens and businesses
respect the environment’. Figure 10.13 shows that Portuguese respondents stand
out in supporting quite noticeably both more information and stronger laws to
protect the environment. Crossing the ‘more information and education’ option
with GNI per capita shows that responses do not seem to be strongly related to
affluence, even if Eastern-European countries (with a lower GNI per capita) value
information and education the least.
In sum, the best way to intervene for environmental protection seems to be a
hard-to-solve dilemma for most respondents, and especially for the Portuguese.
On the whole, the answers reveal respondents divided between support for
more information and education on the one hand, and reinforcement of stricter
More information/education versus coersive laws
1.20
PT
More information and education
1.00
S.Europe
IS
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NO L.America
AR ES
0.80 US FR
MX CL
DX
SI
N.America SE
FI
0.60 W.Europe
UK NL BE CH
CA
LV LT DE
HR E.Europe
0.40 CZ SK AT
BG
RU
0.20
(a)
0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90
(a) Laws to protect environment
1.00 S.Europe
IS
AR DK NO
0.80 L.America ES FR US
MX SI FI
CL
UK N.America
SE
0.60 LV W.Europe BE NL CH
LT
HR DE
CZ CA
0.40 E.Europe AT
SK
BG RU
0.20
measures on the other. Despite demanding stricter laws and a tougher State to
secure environmental protection, many respondents are unsure about accepting
the higher costs of that protection. Thus, they support more liberal measures
for themselves and stricter measures for others (businesses). This seeming
contradiction cuts across the regions, but is more apparent in more vulnerable
socio-geographical contexts, driven by the effects of the financial crisis. Such is
the case in Portugal, where citizens feel that the imposed solutions to the finan-
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cial crisis result essentially from the sharpening of their subjective and objective
deprivation (Ferreira 2011) on the one hand, and on the other, have little trust in
business leaders, or in political power and its counterparts (Schmidt & Guerra
2010; Schmidt, Nave & Guerra 2006) and therefore feel they cannot do without
laws that are meant to protect the common good.
Concluding Remarks
In the multilayered troubled times experienced in Europe since 2008, the imbal-
ance between economic, social, environmental and political aspects is acutely
challenging. This challenge grows bigger in the face of the failure of the present
growth model – the ‘business as usual’ narrative – in reconciling these aspects, and
the weakness of the alternative model – the sustainability narrative – whose dif-
ficulties of execution have been highlighted by several authors. Michael Redclift
(2005) states that it is the superficial consensus of the debate around sustainable
development, converging on multiple parallel and contradictory discourses, that
actually hampers its progress. After all, it is the ‘white blackbird that no one has
ever seen’ and despite its rhetoric, the ‘decolonization’ process of the social imag-
inary is far from finished (Latouche 2004; 2005). This image postulates economic
growth as an indisputable value, perpetuating misunderstandings and contra-
dictions as reflected in the results presented here. However, successes in some
contexts seem to have increased public support for the alternatives related to sus-
tainable development, including so-called green growth, especially in Northern
Europe, as shown by those countries’ indicators.
As for Eastern and Southern Europe, there is also a wish for a sustainable bal-
ance between the different areas of development. However, at the same time, their
willingness to change is still low. In the Portuguese case, three major factors help
to explain this state of affairs:
1 The crisis and austerity context to which the country has been subjected
since 2010 has centred citizens’ concerns on a daily life marked above all by
economic scarcity. This tends to overshadow the environmental problems,
although it does not do away entirely with concerns about them, partly owing
to the government’s disregard of environmental policies.
2 The lack of environmental information, knowledge and culture leads to
greater difficulty in perceiving an alternative path. It is not understood how to
make sustainability and a green economy a fact and this blocks the citizen’s
240 João Guerra et al.
However, although it is true that accumulated mistrust persists and affects the
ability to think of an alternative future, to many respondents the State continues
to be the necessary assurer of the protection and defence of the environmental
common good. In that sense, confidence in, and the credibility of governmental
institutions emerge as fundamental elements of sustainability; more so because
the socio-economic status quo to which we were accustomed ‘failed in such a
spectacular fashion that it is unclear when, if ever, it will recover in anything like
its previous form’ (Sim 2010, p. x). This global disruption creates new dilemmas
for today’s societies and particularly for the socio-geographical contexts where
the system’s breakdown is greater, and on that account, the environmental dilem-
mas are more important to citizens.
An alternative programme to the present socio-economic model cannot be
easily put in place. We can only hope that the newer generations – with better
education, more information and environmental skills – can create the space to
implement the dynamics of economic, political, environmental and social moder-
nity; in short, dynamics that lead to a sustainable future.
Notes
1 With the ongoing financial crisis, government policy has focused on the need for eco-
nomic growth, and economic hardship has increasingly been used as a justification for
delaying action on critical environmental issues (Tienhaara 2009).
2 The data sets from the Netherlands and Portugal were delivered to the Archive after the
integrated file had already been prepared in 2014. The years in which fieldwork was car-
ried out in these countries vary from 2009 (e.g. Slovak Republic) to 2012 (e.g. Portugal).
3 It is a grouping based on a limited number of available countries, which – as in the case
of Southern Europe – is far from representing the whole region.
4 In order to measure the level of environmental concern, agreement with the sentence
‘worry too much about the future of the environment and not enough about prices and
jobs today’ was inverted. 1 corresponds to the highest degree and 5 to the lowest.
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Index
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behaviours 143, 148; see also Johnson, B.E. 111, 113, 134, 137, 138
affluence Jones, Nikoleta 8, 133–154
individualism 100 Jones, R.E. 183, 190
inequalities 13, 14, 16, 159, 161; Jordan, Andrew 235
Coefficient of Human Inequality 222, Jorgenson, A.K. 59
225, 227; degrowth potential 175
Inequality-adjusted Income Index (III) Kahle, L. 61
166–167, 170 Katz-Gerro, T. 209–210
Inglehart, Ronald xxi, 78, 111, 114, Keller, C. 32, 33
205, 207; factorial invariance 189; Keller, R. 28
materialism 59; objective problems- Kemmelmeier, M. 138
subjective values approach 60, 137–138; Kidd, Q. 209
postmodernization 208; values 57, 92, Kim, S. 114
99, 209, 216 Kim, Y.H. 138
institutions 121–122, 123, 125–129, 130, knowledge: dilemmas of 223–230;
224, 229–230, 240 environmental activism 100–101,
intentions 206–207, 208, 210, 211–215, 113–114, 135; risk/threat perceptions
216 33, 38, 44, 45, 46
intent-oriented behaviours 93 Kraemer, Klaus 7, 13–30
International Social Survey Programme Krol, G. 138
(ISSP) xix, xx, 1, 2, 6, 185, 209, Kuznets theory 96
222; country contexts 33; degrowth Kvaløy, B. 113, 114, 115
potential 157, 161, 162–167, 175, 176;
environment and economy dilemmas Lange, Hellmuth 3
231–235; environmental activism 94, Latin America 222; environment and
106, 111, 114, 116–118; environmental economy dilemmas 231, 232–234;
concern 58, 81, 82, 160–161, 183, environmental knowledge 225–230;
190–200; environmental knowledge policies 235–238; see also South
224–230; measurement equivalence America
8, 190–200; membership of pro- Latvia: degrowth potential 171–174;
environmental groups 112; public- environment and economy dilemmas
sphere environmental behaviours 134, 232–234; environmental activism 95,
139; risk/threat perceptions 14, 17–26, 97, 104, 106, 116–117, 119–121, 124,
27, 31–32, 35–37; social capital 101, 126–128; environmental concern 71,
102; youth environmental consciousness 79, 190, 199; environmental knowledge
211–217 225–230; policies 238; public-sphere
Ippel, L. 189 environmental behaviours 141; risk/threat
Ireland: environmental concern perceptions 19–22, 36, 40, 47, 49–51;
79; public-sphere environmental salience of environmental issues 118
behaviours 140 Leahy, Ann 221
Islam 94, 104, 105–106 Lee, A.R. 209
Israel: environmental concern 71, 79, 190, Lichtenstein, S. 15
199, 200; risk/threat perceptions 18, lifestyle: Attitudes of Concern and
19–22 Activation index 164, 167–168;
Index 249
97, 104, 106, 111, 116–117, 119–121, NAM see norm-activation model
124, 126–128; environmental concern national cultures 8, 92, 94, 106, 108
71, 79, 190, 199, 200; environmental natural resources: degrowth 159;
knowledge 224, 225–230; policies 238; Ecosystem Vitality 35; Environmental
public-sphere environmental behaviours Performance Index 142; risk/threat
141; risk/threat perceptions 19–22, 36, perceptions 17–23
40, 47, 49–51; salience of environmental nature 91, 105
issues 118 Nawrotzki, R.J. 67, 138
Luhmann, Niklas 4–5 Nelson, E. 63
NEP see new environmental paradigm
Macias, T. 63 Netherlands: environment and economy
Malesios, Chrysovalantis 8, 133–154 dilemmas 232–234; environmental
Maloney, M.P. 190 concern 71, 79; environmental
marital status 17–18, 24–26 knowledge 225–230; lifestyles and
Marquart-Pyatt, S.T. 65, 66–67, 81, 134, consumption 3; policies 238; public-
183, 190 sphere environmental behaviours 140;
Marshall, B. 82 risk/threat perceptions 17, 18, 19–22
Martinez-Alier, J. 184 new environmental paradigm (NEP) 2–3,
Marxism 35 135, 206
Maslow, A.H. 96, 208 New Zealand: environmental concern 71,
Mayerl, Jochen 8, 182–204 79, 190, 198; risk/threat perceptions 18,
measurement equivalence 8, 182–183, 184, 20–22
187–200 non-governmental organizations (NGOs)
Mediterranean countries 91, 222; see also 114, 135, 136–137
Southern Europe Nordic countries: environment and
membership of pro-environmental economy dilemmas 231; environmental
groups 8, 93, 95, 111–132, 136–137; activism 96, 104; green model 91;
cognitive mobilization 100; public- religion 103; risk/threat perceptions 51;
sphere environmental behaviours 142, see also Scandinavia
144–147, 149, 150 norm-activation model (NAM) xviii
Mertig, A.G. 111, 138, 183 norms xix, 133; hysteresis 107; sampling
methodological problems 185–190 issues 186, 187; social change 34–35;
Mexico: environment and economy trust 102
dilemmas 232–234; environmental North America 222; awareness, efficacy,
concern 71, 79, 190, 199, 200; and willingness to pay 79; environment
environmental knowledge 225–230; and economy dilemmas 231, 232–234;
policies 238; risk/threat perceptions 18, environmental knowledge 225–230;
19–22 policies 235–238; see also Canada;
Meyer, R. 6, 111, 114, 160, 161, 177n2, United States
191 Norway: degrowth potential 171–174;
MGCFA see Multiple Group Confirmatory environment and economy dilemmas
Factor Analysis 232–234; environmental activism
Milfont, T. 189 95, 97, 104, 116–117, 119, 121, 124,
Morkevičius, Vaidas 8, 111–132 126–128; environmental concern 71,
250 Index
rational choice xix, 94, 96–99, 100, 101, sampling issues 186–187
102 Scandinavia 3; see also Nordic countries
recycling 6, 119; personal interests 62; Ščasný, M. 189
public-sphere environmental behaviours Schaffrin, André 7–8, 56–88
142, 147; youth environmental Schmidt, Luísa 8, 221–242
consciousness 212, 214, 216 Schmidt-Catran, Alexander 7–8, 56–88
Redclift, Michael 239 Schultz, P.W. 61, 189
reflexive modernization 5 Schwartz, Shalom 92
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religion 94, 102–106, 107, 108, 115, science, trust in 33, 37, 44–45, 46
122–123, 126–127 sea-level rises 63
renewable energy 62–63, 65, 70, 158; Seifert, F. 28
awareness, efficacy, and willingness self-interest 57, 99, 106; see also personal
to pay 73, 76, 80; education levels 78; interests
Environmental Performance Index 142 SEM see structural equation
Renn, O. 32 modelling
residence: awareness, efficacy, and semi-peripheral regions 163, 169–170,
willingness to pay 72, 74, 79–80; 171–173, 174–175, 176–177
environmental activism 137; Shue, H. 176
environmental concern 67; public- Sim, Stuart 240
sphere environmental behaviours 144, Slimak, M. 16
145, 148, 149; risk/threat perceptions Slovak Republic: degrowth potential
18, 24–26, 32–33, 37, 42–43, 46 171–174; environment and economy
Reyes, J.A.L. 111 dilemmas 232–234; environmental
risk perception 7, 13–30, 31–55, 207, activism 95–97, 104, 106, 116–117,
210; affluence and EU membership 119, 121, 124, 126–128; environmental
23; CEEs 4; country-level contextual concern 71, 79, 190, 199; environmental
determinants 33–35, 38–39, 45–51, 52; knowledge 224, 225–230; policies 238;
data and methods 17–18; definition of public-sphere environmental behaviours
31; degrowth potential 176; individual 140; risk/threat perceptions 20–22, 36,
differences 15–17, 24–26, 32–33, 40, 47, 49–51; salience of environmental
37–38, 41–44, 51–52; public-sphere issues 118
environmental behaviours 139–142, Slovenia: degrowth potential 171–174;
144, 145, 146, 147, 149, 150; youth environment and economy dilemmas
environmental consciousness 212, 213, 232–234; environmental activism
214, 215, 216 95–97, 104, 106, 116–117, 119, 121,
risk society xxi, 5, 33 124, 126–128; environmental concern
Romano, O. 160 71, 79, 190, 198; environmental
routines 133, 217 knowledge 225–230; policies 238;
Russia: degrowth potential 171–174; public-sphere environmental behaviours
environment and economy dilemmas 140; risk/threat perceptions 20–22, 36,
232–234; environmental activism 40, 47, 49–51; salience of environmental
95–97, 104, 116–117, 119–121, 124, issues 118
126–128; environmental concern 71, Slovic, Paul 15, 22, 31, 41
79, 190, 199, 200; environmental Smelser, N.J. 34
knowledge 224, 225–230; human social capital 101–102, 106, 108
development 162; policies 238; public- social change 34–35
sphere environmental behaviours 141; social class: environmental activism 94,
religion 94; risk/threat perceptions 99; habitus 107; risk/threat perceptions
20–22, 36, 39, 40, 47, 49–51 17, 24–26, 32–33, 37, 42–43, 46, 51–52;
see also socio-economic status
salience of environmental issues 117–118, social context 32, 207, 210
120, 124, 129, 130 social networks 136
252 Index
social trust 37, 44–45, 46; degrowth 221–222, 231, 233, 235, 239–240
potential 177; environmental activism Sweden: degrowth potential 171–174;
94, 101–102, 104, 108, 136; public- democratic institutions 122; environment
sphere environmental behaviours 142, and economy dilemmas 232–234;
143, 149 environmental activism 95, 98, 104,
socialization 92, 99–100, 101, 102, 105, 116–117, 119, 121, 124, 126–128;
107, 108 environmental concern 71, 79, 190, 198;
societal transformation 34–35, 38–39, environmental knowledge 225–230;
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238; public-sphere environmental pollution 17–23, 36, 41, 142, 212, 214;
behaviours 140; religion 103; risk/threat water shortages 17–23, 28
perceptions 20–22, 36, 40, 47, 49–51; wealth see affluence
salience of environmental issues 118 Weber, Max 91, 99
United Nations Development Programme Western Europe 222; awareness,
(UNDP) 167 efficacy, and willingness to pay 79;
United States xvii, xviii, 2–3; degrowth environment and economy dilemmas
potential 168, 175; environment 231, 232–234; environmental activism
and economy dilemmas 232–234; 96, 129; environmental knowledge
environmental concern 71, 79, 190, 225–230; policies 235–238; risk/
199, 200; environmental knowledge threat perceptions 51; salience of
225–230; policies 238; risk/threat environmental issues 118
perceptions 20–22 willingness to pay 7–8, 65–66, 72–82,
Urban, D. 33, 40 115; affluence and 138, 161; Attitudes
Urban, J. 189 of Material Sacrifice index 164, 165,
167–170, 173–174, 175; confirmatory
Valente, Susana 8, 221–242 factor analysis 66–67, 69; degrowth
validity 8, 193, 194–196, 198, 199–200 potential 176; environmental
Value-Belief-Norm (VBN) theory xix, 16 taxes 133; membership of pro-
values xix, 133, 206; cognitive mobilization environmental groups 136–137; youth
101; cultural 92, 209, 216; environmental environmental consciousness 210,
concern 60–64, 65, 66; objective 212, 213, 215, 216
problems-subjective values approach women: awareness, efficacy,
60, 138; post-materialist xix–xx, 56–57, and willingness to pay 72, 74;
59–60, 81–82, 99–100, 184, 208–209, environmental activism 113, 137;
210, 211, 215; Protestant 105; public- risk/threat perceptions 24–26, 42, 43,
sphere environmental behaviours 135; 51–52; see also gender
religious 107, 108; risk/threat perceptions World Values Survey (WVS) xix, xx, 183,
16, 28; sampling issues 186, 187; social 185
change 34–35; social context 207 world-system theory 162–163
Van Griethuysen, Pascal 221
Van Liere, Kent D. 2–3 Xiao, C. 207
Van Schuur, W. 135, 138
VBN see Value-Belief-Norm theory York, R. 56–57, 60
Vogl, D. 59, 67, 134, 160–161, 191 youth environmental consciousness
vulnerability 35, 52–53, 62 205–220
Yuchtman-Ya’ar, E. 56–57
Wachinger, G. 31
Wakefield, S. 135, 137 Zelezny, L. 61
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