Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Le Vu Thanh Thao
School of International Business - Marketing, University of Economics Ho Chi Minh city
KMC01 K45: International Marketing
Lecturer: Ph.D Dinh Tien Minh
November 20th, 2021
TABLE OF CONTENT
A. China's Belt and Road initiative (BRI). 1
I. The basis for forming the China’s Belt and Road initiative (BRI). 1
Economy 1
Society. 2
Foreign Affairs. 3
B. BRI affects maritime trading in the agriculture industry between China and Europe. 6
II. BRI affects maritime trading in the agriculture industry between China and Europe.
11
1. Trend Changes of Agricultural Trade between China and the B&R Countries. 11
Figure 1 11
Figure 2 12
Figure 3 15
TABLE OF TABLES
Table 1 4
Table 2 13
Table 3 15
Table 4 16
Table 5 16
A. China’s Belt and Road initiative (BRI).
I. The basis for forming the China’s Belt and Road initiative (BRI).
1. China's domestic context since the 18th National Congress.
a. Economy
The global financial crisis of 2008-2009 led to the decline of the real estate market, the
decrease in domestic demand and the unstable export industry. Yet, China’s
economy had gradually recovered since 2010 and reached 7.7% since 2012-2013.
In 2012, there were some typical government challenges: Conflict between the
pressure of economic slowdown and overproduction, especially in the steel and
building materials industry; Production and business costs of all kinds increased
while innovation capacity was limited; There are many potential risks in the financial
and banking markets…
In 2013, the structure of high investment imbalance and deficit consumption was
not only not resolved but also increased. While the trend of the world was the
investment/GDP ratio decreased, China’s investment had been at a high level and
continued to increase, consumption had been in short supply, the consumption/GDP
ratio had decreased and the ratio savings/GDP increased.
b. Society.
China was facing a wide range of issues, from growing grievances about evictions
and land seizures to ones related to pollution, labor abuses, food safety, and ethnic
unrest in "autonomous" regions.
Stemming from the tense social situation with ethnic minorities in autonomous
regions, such as: Xinjiang and Tibet, tensions and social contradictions had sparked
protests, bombings, suicide car crashes aimed at destroying the state, demanding
secession, causing more instability and social riots. Besides plotting to wipe out the
pro-democracy faction in Hong Kong, the national government also hatched plans to
retake Taiwan, de facto independent since 1949.
The unbalanced economic development and the widening regional disparity make
the gap between rich and poor in China more obvious. The gap between rich and
poor affects social justice and sustainable development of China, directly affecting
people's rights in the distribution of social benefits.
c. Internal Political Situations.
China's society was quickly developing, and the interaction between civil society and
the country's one-party authoritarian government a critical gauge of change.
Officially becoming the president since March 2013, Mr. Xi Jinping has held three
important positions in the State of China: President, Chairman of the Central Military
Commission and General Secretary of the Communist Party of China.
2. Foreign Affairs.
China was also dealing with a geostrategic problem called the "The Malacca Dilemma”.
Because of the dependence on the Middle East for energy products and having had no
control over the route, any disruption would have an adverse effect on energy security
and China's enduring food.
Along with the deepening globalization process, the US was promoting strategic
investment in the Asia-Pacific region. Being the two big countries in the world meant
both the US and China had to struggle and cooperate in a governing relationship.
II. Content, Objectives, and Plans of the initiative.
1. Content of the initiative.
In 2013, President Xi Jinping officially introduced the initiative with the original name
of One Belt One Road and it later was renamed the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
Table 1
The BRI consists of 2 main components: Belt and Road. “Belt” means “Silk Road
Economic Belt”; “Road” means “21st Century Maritime Silk Road”. The "Silk Road
Economic Belt" is designed with three main branches connecting China through Central
Asia and Russia to Europe; from China through Central Asia, West Asia, the Persian
Gulf to the Mediterranean; from China to Southeast Asia, South Asia and the Indian
Ocean. "The 21st Century Maritime Silk Road" with the basic content is the revival of
the ancient Silk Road at sea, connecting China's seaport system with the main ports in
Southeast Asia and South Asia. Asia, Africa and Europe; incorporate the development
of an economic corridor across the Indian Ocean. The Chinese government also
provided specific gateways from China to economies, including: Xinjiang Autonomous
Region, provinces: Heilongjiang, Guangxi, Yunnan and the Tibetan region.
Actually, there is a hidden but very important component, though it is the soul
component of the BRI, the way of information. This structure is a three-dimensional
structure but is fundamentally interconnected, envisioned as the three prongs of
China's way to the world. In terms of formal mechanics, it is possible that all three are
two-way roads, with going and returning. However, in fact it is a one-way arrow road,
the Chinese arrow goes out, searching for export market, consuming excess products,
creating influence, seeking allies that depend on them and gradually control them,
creating a chain of countries that are influenced and follow China, gradually creating a
new world order led by China and set the rules of the game.
2. Objectives of the initiative.
a. From China's point of view.
The idea comes from the desire to strengthen the connection between China and
many other countries on the route from Asia to Europe. This was convinced to
benefit all residents along the route.
The Chinese authorities believed this transport infrastructure as the first step
towards the creation of an Eurasian "economic corridor" that would allow the
development of Central Asian economies not bordering the sea, as well as their
future integration with European and Asian markets. The new Silk Road was
supposed to reach across Southeast Asia and feature a maritime city extending across
the Indian Ocean to the Persian Gulf and the Mediterranean, too.
Its vision identifies the use of economic industrial zones as a space for
cooperation, and will focus on building “efficient, safe and smooth” sea lanes
connecting major ports on the BRI.
b. From the world's point of view.
Synthesized from many sources, BRI is believed to have 6 main objectives.
First of all, this is a strategy to counter the efforts of the US, EU and partners in
forming trade agreements to keep China out of partnership networks. Because of
being tightened with the Chinese economy, other countries in the BRI network will
be made to “share destiny for all mankind”.
Second, the initiative is an attempt to pull Asian countries to integrate and depend
on China, in order to create a new power system in Asia centered in Beijing as a way
to confront America's "Pivot Strategy 1" to Asia. Obviously, this is an effort by China
to send a message that Asia is its own.
The third goal of the BRI is using economic approaches ranging from support,
direct investment, to exporting national development policies to Asian countries as a
way to relieve maritime and border disputes. By offering economic “carrots” to the
claimants, China wants the countries involved to comply with its sovereignty claims.
Via building infrastructure, taking advantage of existing agreements and
removing tariff barriers, the BRI’s fourth goal is to allow the Chinese economy to
integrate more deeply into other dynamic economies. As a result, the Chinese
economy will increase exports, solving the already redundant production capacity.
Fifthly, the “grand strategy” is a way to improve the social and economic gap
between Chinese coastal and inner provinces. Its infrastructure connectivity helps
connect the central and western inner provinces, where wages are inherently low. In
addition, following the model of "the flying geese model" can promote stronger
economic connections between the coast and inland, creating momentum for the
development of higher-value products in the coastal provinces.
Last but not least, the BRI serves as a way to address the security challenges of the
Western border and the problems of energy security. The economic integration of
China's western provinces with the world's value chain system through trade links
with neighboring partners enhances the ability to fight terrorism, separatism and
extremism religion in the region.
In short, the BRI aims to both promote the sustainable development of China's
domestic economy and establish a new economic system where China stands in the
middle of dominating the economies of other countries around to make them
dependent on the Chinese economy. In addition to avoiding China's isolation on the
world trade arena, such a system also helps China to gain influence to implement
other policies from politics to diplomacy, for example: resolving territorial disputes
or building alliances.
3. Plans of the initiative.
The initiative is not an organization and does not have a coordinating entity. However,
it is a government-led initiative. The BRI Vision Document defines the development of
the initiative as a flexible process, each place is different, and China will work with
other countries along the way to have an appropriate roadmap, and coordinate the
national development program with regional cooperation plans.
1 The "Pivot strategy” is an attempt to enhance Asia's place in US foreign policy. This strategy is primarily to
strengthen America's ties with Asia, not to contain China. But this strategy is also to remind China that the US is
not withdrawing from Asia.
China established three financial institutions to fund the initiative, including the Silk
Road Fund (SRF) (2014) with an initial estimated capital of 40 billion USD, the Bank
Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) with $100 billion in capital and New
Development Bank (NDB) with $50 billion. These financial institutions will provide
capital for the construction and development of fields, such as electricity, energy,
transport, telecommunications,...
Regarding infrastructure projects, President Xi Jinping stepped up investment in
infrastructure construction to the outside, including railway projects, seaports, energy
pipelines, highways and border crossings with streamlined arrangements.
Besides, China planned to promote cultural and population exchanges with
countries along the BRI, through training programs organized by the Ministry of
Culture and Tourism, or organizing cultural events,... The plan also includes
strengthening domestic people's connection with art and cultural activities and events
held at embassies and cultural centers in the participating countries.
Source. Nedopil, Christoph (2021): “Countries of the Belt and Road Initiative''; Shanghai,
Green Finance & Development Center, FISF Fudan University, www.greenfdc.org.
II. BRI affects maritime trading in the agriculture industry between China and
Europe.
1. Trend Changes of Agricultural Trade between China and the B&R Countries.
With a long history of agricultural civilizations and rich natural and market resources,
the B&R countries have become an essential part in world agriculture and an important
partner of China on agricultural products trade and cooperation.
As shown in Figure 3, the agricultural products trade between China and the B&R
countries increased from $5.9 billion in 1995 to $62.1 billion in 2014, with an average
growth rate of 12.5% per year. The first expansion of agricultural products trade
between China and these countries appeared in 2001 and was then interrupted by the
2008-2009 financial crisis. The second expansion came out right after the establishment
of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area in 2010. Though slowed slightly due to the 2012
financial crisis, the trade situation had recently been recovering. In general, regardless
of the disturbance of the two financial crises, the first characteristic of agricultural
products trade between China and the B&R countries turns out to be a steady and
sound growth trend.
Figure 2
The second characteristic of agricultural products trade between China and the B&R
countries is the overall deficit, following Table 2. The volume of import was
approximately twice of that of export. China’s import volume from the B&R countries
rose from $3.4 billion in 1995 to $40.09 billion in 2014, increasing by 12 times and the
proportion had increased from 19% to 25%, with an average growth rate of 13% per
year. China’s export volume of agricultural products to the B&R countries rose from
$2.47 billion to $22.01 billion, increasing by 9 times, and the proportion had increased
from 16% to 30%, with an average growth rate of 12% per year which is below the
import growth rate. The increasing volume and proportion also suggests that China
and the B&R countries were much more interdependent in agricultural products trade.
Table 2
Table 3
Figure 4
Table 4
Table 5
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