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COAL TRADER INTERNATIONAL

Volume 16 / Issue 167 / Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Coal-loadings suspended at Colombia’s Daily prompt physical thermal coal assessments

Cerrejon due to emissions CV (kcal/kg) Window Platts symbol $/mt Chg

Atlantic
Part-loaded ship was permitted to finish loading and depart
„„ CIF ARA 6,000 NAR 15-60 day CSARM01 59.25 +0.95
Company in process of agreeing plan to restart loading
„„ CIF ARA 6,000 NAR 90-day CSABG00 60.50 +1.00
FOB Richards Bay 6,000 NAR 7-45 day CSRBM01 64.50 +1.00
London—Coal-loadings at the Cerrejon-owned Puerto Bolivar in FOB Richards Bay 6,000 NAR 90-day CSACN00 66.10 +0.60
Colombia have been suspended with effect from Friday August 26, FOB Richards Bay 5,500 NAR 7-45 day AAXEX00 53.15 +0.75
the company confirmed Tuesday.
(continued on page 13) Australia
FOB Newcastle 5,500 NAR 7-45 day AAVUW00 60.30 +0.50

Key Drivers/Market Highlights FOB Newcastle Ash Differential AAVVA00 0.50


FOB Newcastle 6,300 GAR 7-45 day CSNCB00 67.75 +1.50
Analysts pinpoint SE Asia for standout import growth
„„
FOB Newcastle 6,300 GAR 90-day CSAGB00 68.25 +0.75
China thermal coal buying slows amid price increases
„„
Well-supported CIF ARA thermal spot up $1
„„ Indonesia
Indonesia miners hold back cargoes amid clouded outlook
„„ FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 4,200 GAR 7-45 day CSBKI00 33.75 +0.25
FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 3,800 GAR 7-45 day CSCKJ00 26.25 +0.25
FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 5,900 GAR 90-day CSAKH00 60.25 +0.25
Inside this issue FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 5,000 GAR 90-day CSAKI00 48.75 +1.00

Thermal coal forward curves


„„ 2 India
Clean dark spreads
„„ 3 CFR India West (Capesize) 6,000 NAR 30-60 day CIIWD00 69.60 -0.05
Recent heards in the thermal coal market
„„ 4 CFR India West (Gearless Panamax) 5,500 NAR 30-60 day CIWCI00 60.25 0.00
Hindustan Newsprint seeks 40,000 mt imported steam coal
„„ 9 CFR India West (Gearless Panamax) 5,000 GAR 30-60 day TCAKP00 55.65 +1.30
India’s Malabar Cements tenders for 20,000 mt
„„ steam coal 9 CFR India West (Gearless Panamax) 4,200 GAR 30-60 day TCAKT00 40.80 +0.55
Coal stocks at China’s key Bohai Sea ports down 3.6% on-week
„„ 10 CFR India West (Geared Supramax) 3,800 GAR 30-60 day TCAKR00 35.05 +0.15
Newcastle PWCS vessel queue falls from 15-month high to 27
„„ 10 CFR India East (Capesize) 6,000 NAR 30-60 day CIIED00 69.90 -0.05
CFR India East (Gearless Panamax) 5,500 NAR 30-60 day CIECI00 60.20 +0.05
CFR India East (Gearless Panamax) 5,000 GAR 30-60 day TCAKJ00 55.15 +1.30
PACIFIC THERMAL COAL KEY PRICE POINTS ($/mt)
CFR India East (Gearless Panamax) 4,200 GAR 30-60 day TCAKU00 40.15 +0.55
CFR India East (Geared Supramax) 3,800 GAR 30-60 day TCAKS00 34.15 +0.35

CIF Japan 6,000 NAR 73.15 CV (kcal/kg) Window Platts symbol $/mt Chg

PCC 1 (FOB Qinhuangdao 5,500 NAR) 75.91 China


PCC 8 (CFR S China 5,500 NAR) 65.75
PCC 1 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,500 NAR 7-45 day PCCQH00 75.91* +1.52

CFR India East 5,500 NAR 60.20 PCC 2 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,000 NAR 7-45 day PCCPN00 69.15* +2.27
CFR India West 5,500 NAR 60.25 PCC 6 (CFR South China) 3,800 NAR 30-60 day PCCPQ00 39.00 +0.15
PCC 7 (CFR South China) 4,700 NAR 30-60 day PCCPP00 54.00 +1.00
PCC 8 (CFR South China) 5,500 NAR 15-60 day PCCSC00 65.75 +1.00
FOB Kalimantan 4,200 GAR 33.75
Yuan/mt
PCC 1 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,500 NAR 7-45 day PCCQG00 505.00*
+10.00
PCC 2 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,000 NAR 7-45 day PCCPM00 460.00*
FOB Newcastle 5,500 NAR 60.30 +15.00
FOB Newcastle 6,300 GAR 67.75
PCC 6 (CFR South China) 3,800 NAR 30-60 day PCCPR00 259.45 +0.94
PCC 6 (VAT included) 3,800 NAR 30-60 day PCCPS00 303.56 +1.10
PCC 7 (CFR South China) 4,700 NAR 30-60 day PCCPO00 359.23 +6.57
PCC 7 (VAT included) 4,700 NAR 30-60 day PCCFB00 420.30 +7.69
Source: Platts PCC 8 (CFR South China) 5,500 NAR 15-60 day PCCSD00 437.40 +6.56
PCC 8 (Duty & VAT included) 5,500 NAR 15-60 day PCCFA00 521.99 +7.83
*Includes VAT at 17%.

www.platts.com www.twitter.com/PlattsCoal COAL


Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Thermal coal market analysts pinpoint Thermal coal forward curves, August 30
Southeast Asia region for standout growth Bid Ask Midpoint* Platts symbol Change* % Change

CIF ARA 6,000 NAR


Perth—Southeast Asian countries including Malaysia, Thailand and Sep-16 60.95 61.25 61.10 CSAM001 +1.20 +2.00
Vietnam are seen as growth markets for the consumption of imported Oct-16 62.20 62.50 62.35 CSAM002 +1.25 +2.05

thermal coal in the years to 2020, as coal-fired electricity is used to Q4-16 62.00 62.30 62.15 CSAQ001 +1.40 +2.30
Q1-17 59.95 60.25 60.10 CSAQ002 +1.35 +2.30
fuel their fast-growing economies, said analysts at the 11th Coaltrans
Q2-17 58.40 58.70 58.55 CSAQ003 +1.40 +2.45
Australia conference in Sydney last week.
Q3-17 57.80 58.10 57.95 CSAQ004 +1.40 +2.48
In a 10-year outlook for the Asia seaborne thermal coal market,
2017 58.35 58.65 58.50 CSAY001 +1.40 +2.45
Mark Gresswell, chief analyst at Australian mining consultancy group 2018 56.90 57.20 57.05 CSAY002 +1.40 +2.52
HDR Salva said three-and-a-half billion people are living on electricity 2019 56.75 57.05 56.90 CSAY003 +1.40 +2.52
consumption below the level in Japan.
FOB Richards Bay 6,000 NAR
“Eight of the most populous countries are in Asia, and 54% of the
Sep-16 66.55 66.85 66.70 CSBM001 -0.20 -0.30
world’s population live in Asia,” he said. Oct-16 66.45 66.75 66.60 CSBM002 +0.50 +0.76
To move these people to Japanese levels of power consumption Q4-16 66.35 66.65 66.50 CSBQ001 +0.90 +1.37
will require an extra 4,300 TW of electricity generation. Q1-17 64.80 65.10 64.95 CSBQ002 +1.45 +2.28
This step change in levels of power generation in Asia will require Q2-17 62.85 63.15 63.00 CSBQ003 +1.35 +2.19
an 80% increase in global coal production. Q3-17 61.80 62.10 61.95 CSBQ004 +0.90 +1.47

Coal-fired power generation is a relatively cheap source of energy 2017 62.65 62.95 62.80 CSBY001 +1.20 +1.95
2018 61.40 61.70 61.55 CSBY002 +1.55 +2.58
at $30/MWh, and is less than half the cost of generating electricity
2019 59.85 60.15 60.00 CSBY003 +1.40 +2.39
from gas at $65/MWh, said Gresswell.
“This is why coal will have a big role to play in Asia,” he said. FOB Newcastle 6,300 GAR

Nuclear electricity generation has come under scrutiny in Asia Sep-16 67.55 68.05 67.80 CSCM001 +1.00 +1.50
Oct-16 67.50 68.00 67.75 CSCM002 +0.75 +1.12
following the tragic accident at Japan’s Fukushima-Daiichi plant in
Q4-16 67.35 67.85 67.60 CSCQ001 +1.00 +1.50
2011, and some Asian nations have lowered their projected share of
Q1-17 66.55 67.05 66.80 CSCQ002 +1.20 +1.83
this fuel in their future generation mix. Q2-17 63.40 63.90 63.65 CSCQ003 +1.00 +1.60
Japan’s long-range plan is to draw 20%-22% of its electricity Q3-17 62.10 62.60 62.35 CSCQ004 +1.00 +1.63
production from nuclear plants, and South Korea has a target for 2017 63.00 64.00 63.50 CSCY001 +1.10 +1.76
nuclear power generation of 30% by 2030, down from 41% previously. 2018 61.50 62.50 62.00 CSCY002 +0.50 +0.81
“Local communities are very concerned about having nuclear 2019 60.90 61.90 61.40 CSCY003 +0.75 +1.24
plants in their backyards,” he said. *Fields are calculated.

And, the only real alternative fuel to nuclear is coal, he stated.


PLATTS FORWARD CURVE COAL
Market in transition ($/mt)
Gresswell characterized 2016 as a year as a year of “transition” for 70
FOB Richards Bay
the seaborne market for thermal coal, as it moves from a supply FOB Newcastle
surplus to a supply deficit that will likely lead to a recovery in prices. CIF ARA
“We are seeing large tonnages of Colombian coal moving to Asia,”
65
said Gresswell, adding this new trade was emblematic of demand
growth in Asia drawing tons to the region.
In China, imported thermal coal is competing strongly with Chinese
coal, and Beijing’s tough stance on capping domestic production is
60
being backed up by mine inspections that could result in some
closures of local mines, he said.
Southeast Asia holds the promise of becoming the next India, in
Gresswell’s eyes, as countries in this region seek to diversify their fuel
55
supply arrangements for electricity generation which is growing at a Sep-16 Oct-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 2017 2018 2019
current rate of 12% per year.
For example, Vietnam’s imports of thermal coal could grow to 147 Graph created using Platts Forward Curve – Coal data.
million mt by 2030 from 63 million mt in 2020, he said. The country is The forward curve in coal will provide nine assessments comprising two prompt months,
aiming to build 46 new coal-fired power stations ranging in size from four prompt quarters and three calendar years.
40 MW to 600 MW in capacity. PFC–Coal is also available in computer-readable Platts Dispatch format. To see a sample
and find information on how to subscribe go to www.risk.platts.com. For questions about
Fully, 50 GW of new coal-fired power capacity is set to come online subscribing, please contact support@platts.com. For questions about the content of
in Southeast Asia in the next few years to 2020, and will require an PFC–Coal, please e-mail coal@platts.com.

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 2
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

additional requirement for the region of 100 million mt of imported Weekly prompt physical thermal coal prices
CV (kcal/kg) Window Platts symbol $/mt Chg
thermal coal, said Gresswell.
Indonesia alone will need to consume an extra 80 million mt of Atlantic

thermal coal for its additional 20 GW of coal-fired power plants by 2020, CIF Turkey 6,000 NAR 90-day CTCMT04 67.00 -1.00
FOB Colombia 6,000 NAR 90-day CSABZ00 57.00 -1.40
and most of this supply could come from the country’s domestic market. FOB Russia Baltic 6,000 NAR 90-day CSAKC00 57.00 -1.40
Given this additional demand growth for thermal coal in Southeast FOB Poland Baltic 6,000 NAR 90-day CSAKB00 57.10 -1.40
Asia in the coming years, it is difficult to see where the region’s FOB Barge ARA* 6,000 NAR 90-day AARCQ04 62.23 -2.50
*Weekly average.
additional requirement for 100 million mt will be sourced from.
Pacific
“There may be some latent tons from the US. Australia is almost
CIF Japan 6,080 NAR 90-day CSAGD00 73.15 -0.85
tapped out,” he said. CIF Korea West 6,080 NAR 90-day CSAGE00 72.00 -1.00
Speaking later in a panel discussion, Gresswell expanded on the FOB Gladstone 6,500 GAR 90-day CSAKE00 69.00 -1.00
theme of supply relating to Australia. FOB Russia Pacific 6,300 GAR 90-day CSAKG00 70.00 -1.00
FOB Qinhuangdao 6,200 GAR 90-day CSAGH00 81.00 +1.00
“There are no new mines being developed [in Australia]. There are
some small expansions, but they are offset by closures,” he said.
“Higher prices will incentivize a few additional tons onto the
market, but it won’t reach 150 million mt,” he said. Clean dark spreads
Platts 35% Platts 45% Platts 35%
More inquiries from SE Asia symbol efficiency symbol efficiency symbol efficiency
CPS*
Also during the panel discussion, Sam Fisher, general manager for
Germany (Eur/MWh)
marketing at Australian coal producer New Hope Coal said: “As a coal
Month ahead CTGTM00 2.00 CCGUM00 6.98
producer in the last 12 months we have seen a lot more inquiries coming Month ahead+1 CCGTM27 1.89 CCGUM27 6.98
from Vietnam, and also some inquiries from the Philippines and Malaysia.” Quarter ahead CCGTQ00 2.21 CCGUQ00 7.28
India was an arbitrage market for Australian thermal coal that Quarter ahead+1 CCGTQ27 2.34 CCGUQ27 7.24
Year ahead CCGTY00 0.32 CCGUY00 5.10
greatly depended on freight differentials, he added. Year ahead+1 CCGTY27 -0.24 CCGUY27 4.41
Gary Vernon, global head of coal trading for Australian bank Year ahead+2 CCGTY28 -1.14 CCGUY28 3.51
Macquarie said: “With a low freight environment, Australian coal UK (GBP/MWh)
competes everywhere.” Month ahead CCUZM00 13.49 CCHZM00 -4.03
There has been a significant increase in South American demand for Month ahead+1 CCUZM27 15.99 CCHZM27 -1.52
Quarter ahead CCUZQ00 20.41 CCHZQ00 2.89
Australian thermal coal because of lower vessel freight rates, he said.
Quarter ahead+1 CCUZQ27 24.42 CCHZQ27 6.91
Matthew Boyle, principal consultant at commodities analysis and Season ahead CCUZS00 23.03 CCHZS00 5.51
consultancy firm CRU said Australian coal exports had stayed relatively UK (Eur/MWh)
flat, possibly as a result of take-or-pay contracts for rail and port Month ahead CCUTM00 15.84 CCHTM00 -4.73
infrastructure used by Australian coal producers. Month ahead+1 CCUTM27 18.79 CCHTM27 -1.78
In China, the central government’s policy to restrict domestic coal Quarter ahead CCUTQ00 23.97 CCHTQ00 3.40
Quarter ahead+1 CCUTQ27 28.68 CCHTQ27 8.11
mines to operating for only 276 days in a calendar year had been a Season ahead CCUTS00 27.05 CCHTS00 6.48
“significant driver” in the recent improvement in prices in the Chinese *The CPS clean dark spreads incorporate the cost of the UK government’s Carbon Price Support
levy at the confirmed rate of GBP18.00/mt from April 1, 2016 to March 31, 2017.
coal market.
“Not only is it being implemented, but at rates we did not expect,”
he said of the production restriction.
But, in driving domestic thermal coal prices higher, Beijing’s Platts Coal Switching Price Indicator (CSPI)
production policy could have an unintended side effect. Platts UK Platts UK Platts Netherlands
“Now, with [domestic] prices getting close to Yuan 500/mt [FOB August 30, 2016 symbol (p/th) symbol (Eur/MWh) symbol (Eur/MWh)

Qinhuangdao for 5,500 kcal/kg NAR thermal coal] there is the potential Month ahead EUKVM00 47.31 EUKTM00 18.96 EDUTM00 10.91
Quarter ahead EUKVQ00 47.81 EUKTQ00 19.16 EDUTQ00 11.08
for some cut production to come back online,” he said. Year ahead EUKVY00 46.17 EUKTY00 18.50 EDUTY00 10.50
China’s domestic coal industry is “massively fragmented” with Efficiency used is 50% for gas plants, 35% for UK coal plants and 40% for Dutch coal plants. Platts
CSPI is the theoretical threshold at which gas is more competitive than coal in power generation.
10,800 individual mines spread over the country, and 7,000 of these When the gas price is higher than the CSPI, CCGTs are more expensive to run than coal-fired plants.
have a capacity of under 300,000 mt/year.
“The smallest mines only make up 10% of production,” he said.
Beijing is aiming to eliminate 500 million mt of production capacity
in China’s domestic coal industry over a three-to-five year period, but
Platts physical thermal coal netbacks, Aug 30
CV (kcal/kg) Basis Sulfur $/mt Chg
even if it was to achieve this outcome, it would not be enough to
CIF ARA CSARM01 6000 NAR 1.0% 59.25 +0.95
improve the sector’s overall profitability, he said. USEC-Rotterdam CDBUR00 Panamax 7.15 -0.10
For Japan, which restarted its fifth nuclear power reactor a couple $/st
of weeks ago, its coal demand is forecast to be 130 million mt by 2020 FOB US East Coast COUSC00 6500 NAR 1.0% 51.74 +1.02

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 3
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Recent heards in the thermal coal market


Date Grade of coal Details
Atlantic
30-Aug-16 DES Amsterdam ACPRSU 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for November at $59.35/mt with EFP via globalCOAL
30-Aug-16 DES AR ACPRSU 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for November at $59.80/mt with EFP via Atlantic Brokers
30-Aug-16 DES Amsterdam ACPRSU 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for October at $57.75/mt with EFP via globalCOAL
30-Aug-16 DES AR ACPRSU 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for October at $58.60/mt with EFP via globalCOAL
30-Aug-16 DES AR ACPRSU 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for October at $61.5/mt with EFP via Atlantic Brokers
26-Aug-16 FOB Richards Bay 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for September at $63.1/mt with EFP via globalCOAL
26-Aug-16 FOB Richards Bay 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for September at $63.1/mt with EFP via globalCOAL
26-Aug-16 FOB Richards Bay 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for September at $63.3/mt with EFP via globalCOAL
26-Aug-16 DES AR ACPRSU 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for October at $60.75/mt with EFP via Atlantic Brokers
26-Aug-16 DES Amsterdam ACPRSU 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for December at $60.50/mt with EFP via globalCOAL
26-Aug-16 FOB Richards Bay 6,000 NAR TRADE: 50,000 mt for October at $65.50/mt via globalCOAL

Pacific
30-Aug-16 CFR S China 5,500NAR BID: 130,000 mt for October at $66/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 5,000 GAR OFFER: Capesize for September or October with less than 0.8% sulfur at $50-$51/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 4,200 GAR OFFER: Supramax for September or October at $34/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 4,200 GAR OFFER: Supramax for end September or October at $34-$34.50/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Newcastle 5,500 NAR OFFER: 130,000 mt for November at $59/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Newcastle 5,500 NAR OFFER: Panamax for October at $58.75/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 4,700 NAR OFFER: Supramax for October at $50/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 3,800 NAR OFFER: Supramax for October at $35-$36/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 3,800 NAR OFFER: Supramax for September at $34-$35/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 5,500 GAR OFFER: Supramax for October at $53-$54/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 3,800 NAR OFFER: Supramax for October at $35/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 5,000 NAR OFFER: Panamax for October at $54-55/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 5,000 NAR OFFER: Panamax for November at $56/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 4,800 NAR OFFER: Panamax for September at $53/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 3,800 NAR OFFER: Supramax for October at $34.70/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 3,400 NAR OFFER: Supramax for October at $29/mt: trader
30-Aug-16 FOB Kalimantan 3,800 NAR TRADE: Panamax for October at $33.50/mt: trader

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Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

and focused mostly on imported fuel with an energy content of more Spot dry bulk freight assessments, Aug 30
Platts symbol $/mt Chg
than 5,700 kcal/kg NAR, said Boyle.
South Korean import demand for thermal coal was seen by Boyle Capesize

as staying relatively steady at around 85 million to 90 million mt/year. Australia-China CDANC00 5.15 -0.05
Queensland-Japan CIGAJ00 5.40 -0.05
Southeast Asia is also viewed by Boyle as a bright spot for thermal
New South Wales-Korea CINAK00 5.40 -0.05
coal demand and the region is expected to require an additional 65 Bolivar-Rotterdam CIBCR00 5.00 -0.05
million mt of higher-grade bituminous thermal coal by 2020. Roberts Bank-Japan CDRKJ00 5.95 -0.05
“We are extremely positive on thermal coal demand in Southeast Richards Bay-Rotterdam CIRBN00 3.85 0.00
Asian countries,” he said. Virtual (CIF ARA-FOB Richards Bay) CSCCC00 -5.25 -0.05
Differential (Rotterdam Capesize-Virtual) CSCCE00 9.10 0.00
“Most of the demand for thermal coal will come from Malaysia and
Thailand and will continue out to 2020,” he stated. Panamax
Richards Bay-India West CSAKL00 7.85 0.00
Kalimantan-India West CSAKP00 6.10 +0.30
China retires old plants
Richards Bay-India East CSAKN00 7.90 +0.15
China is starting to retire some older coal-fired power stations and Kalimantan-India East CSAKR00 5.10 +0.30
for environmental reasons, leading to 137 GW of generating capacity Richards Bay-Rotterdam CIRRN00 6.00 0.00
for this fuel being taken offline by 2020, although the country will add Richards Bay-Spanish Med CIRBT00 5.50 0.00
23 GW of coal-fired electricity generation in 2016 alone, he added. Richards Bay-Jorf Lasfar CIRBJ00 4.00 +0.10
Bolivar-Rotterdam CIBRN00 7.65 -0.10
India’s imports of thermal coal were projected to be 65 million to 70
USEC-India CDBUI00 17.50 0.00
million mt by the year 2020 by Amit Kumar, head of coal sourcing and USEC-Rotterdam CDBUR00 7.15 -0.10
power trading at Jindal Steel & Power. USEC-Brazil CDBUB00 6.50 0.00
Though he said he believed there would be a shift to higher Mobile-Rotterdam CDMAR00 8.65 -0.10
calorific value thermal coal in the years ahead, that would offset Mobile-Taranto CDMAI00 10.15 -0.10
Roberts Bank-Japan CDRBK00 7.35 -0.10
declining trade volumes.
Australia-China CDBFA00 7.10 -0.10
“Sponge iron and cement plants will continue to import coal from Australia-India CDBFAI0 8.10 -0.50
South Africa and Australia,” he said.
Coastal power plants in India with a combined generating capacity of
10 GW to 12 GW will remain dependent on imported cargoes too, he added. Platts physical thermal coal assessments, August 30
— Mike Cooper
CV (kcal/kg) Window Platts symbol $/mt Yuan/mt Chg
Daily prompt prices
CFR South China 5,500 15-60 day AAVSZ00 65.80 +1.00
China thermal coal buying slows FOB Qinhuangdao 5,500 7-45 day AAVTN00 434.00 +10.00
Carbon-Adjusted CIF ARA 6,000 Prompt CSCCC00 70.35 +0.38
amid price increases FOB ARA Barge 6,000 90-day AARCQ00 63.50 +1.00

Heat rate Btu/KWh %


Singapore—Chinese buyers of thermal coal were slowing their
Gas, UK 14,849 22.99
purchasing activities as prices continued to climb, sources said Tuesday. Gas, Germany 8,598 39.71
“We’re being conservative now. If the price looks OK, we’ll consider
it but if not, we let it go,” a trader based in Hong Kong said, noting that
there was no urgency among power plants to buy. Coking coal swaps assessment, August 30
Most of the buying was being done by traders trying to secure Platts symbol $/mt Chg % Chg
cargoes in anticipation of winter restocking, he said. Platts Premium Low Vol FOB Australia
A Fujian-based trader said end-users had lowered their buying Sep-16 MCPLM01 140.000 +2.00 +1.45
price expectations as they had mostly finished stocking up. Oct-16 MCPLM02 136.000 -2.00 -1.45
Nov-16 MCPLM03 135.000 -3.50 -3.50
“It is risky for importers to take positions now,” he said, adding a
Q4-16 MCPLQ01 135.000 -3.50 -2.53
continued rise in seaborne prices hinged on how domestic coal Q1-17 MCPLQ02 135.000 -4.00 -2.88
prices moved. Q2-17 MCPLQ03 136.000 -4.00 -4.00
2017 MCPLY01 137.000 -3.00 -2.14
He was offered an October-loading Supramax cargo of Indonesian
3,400 kcal/kg NAR coal at $28-$29/mt FOB.
Another trader in China received an offer for a prompt-loading
Supramax cargo of 3,400 kcal/kg NAR at $29/mt FOB. Metallurgical coke
He was also offered a Supramax cargo of 3,800 kcal/kg NAR coal at % CSR Platts symbol $/mt Chg % Chg
FOB North China 66/65 MCCNC00 222.00 +6.00 +2.78
$35/mt FOB and a Panamax shipment of 4,800 kcal/kg NAR coal at FOB North China 62 AAWVL00 221.00 +6.00 +2.79
$53/mt FOB, but said end-users might be willing to buy at $34/mt FOB CFR India 62 MCCEI00 231.50 +6.00 +2.66
and less than $50/mt FOB respectively. Yuan/mt
There were also offers heard for October- and November-loading DDP North China (weekly) 62 AAWVJ00 1290.00 +60.00 +4.88

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 5
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

cargoes of 5,000 kcal/kg NAR coal at $54-$56/mt FOB. while the regional government reviews air pollution around the port.
A Singapore-based trader said prices had risen too high, so he “It will support prices in Europe in the short-term, but the market is
preferred to wait and see if prices would ease in the next few weeks generally well-supported,” a European utility trader said.
before purchasing. “Asia is sucking up Colombian [coal], the European market is
October cargoes of 4,700 kcal/kg NAR coal were being offered at balanced — not firm-firm, but balanced,” he added.
$50/mt FOB on a Supramax vessel basis, he added. A second trader felt the effect of Puerto Bolivar’s loading issues on
Offers for September-loading Supramax cargoes of 3,800 kcal/kg European prices would be limited. “They’ve said it won’t affect
NAR coal were at $34-$35/mt FOB and branded October shipments at production or exports. Maybe a touch on sentiment, but not enough.”
$35-$36/mt FOB, he said. The day saw five trades, all 50,000 mt multi-origin cargos with US
A market source in Singapore received a bid for a gearless cargo of optionality and exchange of futures for physical (EFP) terms.
3,800 kcal/kg NAR coal with maximum 0.7% sulfur for loading in H2 Three October-delivery cargoes traded, the first for delivery to
October at $34.70/mt FOB. Amsterdam only for $57.75/mt, and a second for delivery to
The Hong Kong-based trader said he sold a September-loading Amsterdam or Rotterdam for $58.60/mt, both through globalCOAL. A
Panamax cargo of 4,700 kcal/kg NAR coal in the low $50s/mt FOB. third cargo for delivery to Amsterdam or Rotterdam traded through
Atlantic Brokers for $61.50/mt.
Prices rising steeply A November-delivery cargo for delivery to Amsterdam only traded
The Singapore-based trader said a major Australian coal producer for $59.35/mt, through globalCOAL. A second November-delivery
was heard offering a Panamax vessel cargo of 5,500 kcal/kg NAR coal cargo traded through Atlantic Brokers for $59.80/mt.
for September loading at $58.75/mt FOB. After the 1700 GMT close for market assessments, a similar September
He said it has been difficult to lock in cargoes with prices rising steeply. deal went through onscreen for delivery into Amsterdam at $58/mt.
A second Singapore-based trader said he was offering a The Richards Bay FOB market was quiet Tuesday with no reported
November-loading Capesize cargo of Australian 5,500 kcal/kg NAR trades.
coal at $59/mt FOB and bids were at $58-$58.50/mt FOB. Platts assessed the FOB price of Richards Bay physical thermal
According to the China-based trader, trucking costs in China will rise coal basis 6,000 kcal/kg NAR and for delivery within the next 7-45 day
from September 1 due to stricter limitations in hauling volumes per truck. period at $64.50/mt, up $1 on Friday’s close.
“I don’t see any factors that will bring domestic coal prices in the A 50,000 mt parcel for October delivery was bid at $65.90/mt FOB
northern ports down. Prices may continue to rally in the short term,” he said. and offered at $66.50/mt FOB. The same figures for a November-
The Singapore-based trader said he heard power plants were loading cargo were $65.85/mt FOB and $66.50/mt FOB, respectively.
buying spot 5,500 kcal/kg NAR coal at Yuan 510-520/mt FOB.
He noted that power plants have started lowering their capacity as Futures follows physical higher
the temperature starts to fall. CIF ARA thermal coal futures gained over $1 Tuesday, which
The PCC 1 price of domestic thermal coal with a calorific value of 5,500 sources primarily attributed to a stronger physical market.
kcal/kg NAR traded at Qinhuangdao port was assessed at Yuan 505/mt S&P Global Platts assessed the CIF ARA the front-quarter Q4-16
FOB Tuesday, up Yuan 10 from Monday, and the PCC 2 price of 5,000 kcal/ contract at $62.15/mt and the year-ahead Cal-17 at $58.50/mt, both
kg NAR domestic coal FOB Qinhuangdao basis at Yuan 460/mt, up Yuan 15. rising $1.40 from Friday.
The PCC 6 price of 3,800 kcal/kg NAR thermal coal delivered to Sources said low liquidity had once again helped prices make
South China was assessed at $39/mt CFR South China, up 15 cents noticeable jumps during the session.
on-day, and the PCC 7 price of 4,700 kcal/kg NAR imported thermal “Physical supported the entire curve” a Europe-based trader noted,
coal at $54/mt on a delivered China basis, up $1. adding that spreads across the curve had been widening, with deferred
The PCC 8 price of 5,500 kcal/kg NAR thermal coal was assessed futures floundering briefly during the afternoon as crude oil tanked.
up $1 on-day at $65.75/mt CFR South China. “[The] September-October [spread] is being offered to prop up
— Mia Corazon Aureus, Michelle Zhao, Jason Zhou October, which is part of Q4-16, because people are long Q4-16-Cal-17.
Q1-17 is offered reasonably well to keep pressure on the Cal-17,” he added.
The differential between front-quarter and year-ahead contracts
Well-supported CIF ARA closed steady from Friday at $3.65/mt, but had been around $4.05/mt
thermal spot up $1 during the early afternoon.
The Cal-17 had also been marginally stronger than Q4-16 contracts
London—The European-delivered spot market remained fundamentally intraday, but the latter contract soon caught up as they were better bid
well-supported Tuesday, as a combination of loading issues in Colombia and the “spreads got paid,” the European trader noted.
and Asian demand continued to keep prices firm, sources said. Trading started relatively late Tuesday, with the Cal-17 contract
S&P Global Platts assessed the price of CIF ARA physical thermal opening 10 cents higher from Friday’s close at $57.20/mt. It then
coal basis 6,000 kcal/kg NAR and for delivery within the next 15-60 day climbed to $58.25/mt during the afternoon and slipped back down to
period at $59.25/mt, up 95 cents on Friday’s close. $57.60/mt before gaining more towards market close.
Coal-loading at Cerrejon’s Puerto Bolivar in Colombia is suspended Q4-16 futures opened 5 cents lower on the day at $60.70/mt and

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 6
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Platts daily metallurgical coal assessments, Aug 30


Asia-Pacific coking coal ($/mt)
Platts FOB Change Platts CFR Change Platts CFR Change
symbol Australia symbol China symbol India
HCC Peak Downs Region HCCGA00 140.75 +7.25 HCCGC00 147.00 +7.25 HCCGI00 148.85 +6.75
Premium Low Vol PLVHA00 139.50 +7.00 PLVHC00 145.75 +7.00 PLVHI00 147.60 +6.50
HCC 64 Mid Vol HCCAU00 129.15 +6.35 HCCCH00 136.25 +6.25 HCCIN00 137.25 +5.85
Low Vol PCI MCLVA00 89.15 +2.85 MCLVC00 96.25 +2.75 MCLVI00 97.25 +2.35
Mid Tier PCI MCLAA00 86.90 +2.85 MCLAC00 94.00 +2.75 MCVAI00 95.00 +2.35
Semi Soft MCSSA00 83.40 +0.10 MCSSC00 90.50 0.00 MCSSI00 91.50 -0.40

Atlantic coking coal ($/mt)


Platts FOB US
symbol East Coast Change VM Ash S
Low Vol HCC AAWWR00 125.00 +4.00 19% 8% 0.80%
High Vol A AAWWS00 130.00 +5.00 32% 7% 0.85%
High Vol B AAWWT00 115.00 +1.00 34% 8% 0.95%

CFR NW Europe Change VM Ash S


PLV NetForward PLVHE00 146.40 +7.00 21.50% 9.30% 0.50%
Detailed methodology and specifications are found here: http://platts.com/IM.Platts.Content/MethodologyReferences/MethodologySpecs/metcoalmethod.pdf.

PCC Met (Platts China Coal – Metallurgical) (Yuan/mt)*


Platts Ex-washplant Platts Free-on-Rail Platts DDP Tangshan
symbol symbol symbol
PCC Met Shanxi Premium Low Vol PCCMA04 730 PCCMB04 765 PCCMC04 975
PCC Met Shanxi High Sulfur Premium Low Vol PCCMD04 580 PCCME04 615 PCCMF04 825
PCC Met North China Fat Coal — — PCCMG04 810
PCC Met Shanxi PCI PCCMH04 530 PCCMI04 565 PCCMJ04 730
PCC Met Shandong Semi Soft PCCMK04 600 PCCML04 620 —

PCC Met Rail Freight Shanxi – Tangshan PCCMM04 230


PCC Met Truck Freight Shanxi – Tangshan PCCMO04 245
*Weekly (assessed August 24).

North China prompt port stock prices


Platts Ex-stock Jingtang Platts CFR Jingtang
symbol (Yuan/mt, incl VAT) symbol equivalent ($/mt)**
Premium Low Vol* AAWZN00 1090.00 AAWZO00 136.26
HCC 64 Mid Vol* AAWZP00 1020.00 AAWZQ00 127.26
*Weekly (assessed August 26), 20-day delivery from date.
**Ex-stock price, net of port charges, import tax and VAT.

HCC assessed specifications


CSR VM Ash S P TM Fluidity
Premium Low Vol 71% 21.50% 9.30% 0.50% 0.05% 9.70% 500
HCC Peak Downs Region 74% 20.70% 10.50% 0.60% 0.03% 9.50% 400
HCC 64 Mid Vol 64% 25.50% 9.00% 0.60% 0.05% 9.50% 1,700

Penalties & Premia: Differentials ($/mt)


Within Platts % of Premium Low Vol FOB Platts Net Value
Min-Max symbol Australia assessment price symbol ($/mt)
Per 1% CSR 60-71% CPCSA00 0.50% CPCSP00 69.75
Per 1% VM (air dried) 18-27% CPVPA00 0.50% CPVMP00 69.75
Per 1% TM (as received) 8-11% CPTPA00 1.00% CPTMP00 139.50
Per 1% Ash (air dried) 7-10.5% CPAPA00 1.50% CPPAP00 209.25
Per 0.1%S (air dried) 0.3-1% CPSPA00 1.00% CPSPV00 139.50

US low-vol HCC Penalties & Premia; Differentials ($/mt)


Within Platts % of US low-vol HCC FOB Platts Net value
Min-Max symbol USEC assessment price symbol ($/mt)
Per 1% CSR 50-64% CPPBA00 0.25% CPPBB00 0.31
40-49% CPPBC00 0.05% CPPBD00 0.06
Per 0.1% S 0.70-1.05% CPPBE00 0.75% CPPBF00 0.94
1.06-1.25% CPPBG00 0.75% CPPBH00 0.94
Per 1% TM (as received) 6-11% CPPBK00 1.00% CPPBL00 1.25
Per 1% Ash 5-10% CPPBI00 1.75% CPPBJ00 2.19
The assessed price of HCC Peak Downs® originates with Platts and is based on price information for a range of HCCs with a CSR\> 67% normalized to the standard of HCC Peak Downs® (CSR 74%). Peak
Downs® is a registered trade mark of BM Alliance Coal Operations Pty Limited “BMA”. This price assessment is not affiliated with or sponsored by BMA in any way.

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 7
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

peaked at $61.80/mt during the mid-afternoon. They then also “Take China out of the equation and the tightness would go
dwindled slightly before jumping as the session came to a close. away,” he added.
The South African FOB Richards Bay paper market was quiet, with Meanwhile, Chinese buyers had been going very slow, said a
the negative front-quarter implied freight spread narrowing 50 cents Singapore-based source, adding that the pace of rise in prices was
from Friday to minus $4.35/mt. also slowing.
The FOB Richards Bay Q4-16 contract was assessed at $66.50/mt, There were limited offers as some miners were holding back, he
up 90 cents on-day, and the Cal-17 at $62.80/mt, up $1.20. said. An Indonesia-based trader said he expected prices to stabilize at
— Cameron Carswell, Jacqueline Holman current levels.
He said this week and the next would be crucial as they would
determine the strength of the Chinese buying. The second India-based
Indonesia miners hold back cargoes trader noted that prices were unlikely to see any drastic movement in
amid clouded outlook the weeks to come.

Singapore—Indonesian thermal coal miners were holding back offers as Prompt market remains tight
sought clarity on the outlook for forward months, sources said Tuesday. Even Indonesian miners were skeptical about the outlook, thus they
“They don’t want to offer anything beyond one month in advance,” were not offering for forward months yet, he added. The market for the
said an India-based trader. prompt window remained tight, the Indonesia-based trader said.
He had received an offer for a late-September or an early-October The rains earlier this year disrupted production, he said, adding
loading Supramax shipment of 4,200 kcal/kg GAR coal at $34/mt FOB. that a number of mines in Samarinda, East Kalimantan province, were
“Miners these days are not quoting absolute numbers, they prefer still flooded and miners were trying to gradually restore production.
to link it [to an index],” he added. “Miners said that once the rains stop they intend to optimize their
Prices had risen about 10-15% over the past couple of months, production,” he added.
largely driven by Chinese buying, said another India-based trader. Meanwhile, Indian buyers were still struggling to accept the surge

Platts daily Asia Pacific metallurgical coal relativities – August 30, 2016
August 30 Spread Spread
CSR VM TM Ash S P Fluidity Vit % CFR China vs PLV vs HCC 64
ad ar ad ad ad ddpm $/mt

Peak Downs 74 20.50 9.50 10.50 0.60 0.03 400 71 147.00* 100.86%
*Peak Downs FOB Australia (China netback) after accounting for Haypoint-Qingdao Panamax freight = $139.90/mt
Saraji 72 18.50 10.00 10.50 0.60 0.03 160 66 145.75 100.00%
Premium Low Vol 71 21.50 9.70 9.30 0.50 0.045 500 65 145.75** 100.00%
**Premium Low Vol FOB Australia (China netback) after accounting for Haypoint-Qingdao Panamax freight = $138.65/mt
German Creek 70 19.00 10.50 9.50 0.54 0.06 180 70 144.75 99.31%
Illawarra 73 23.50 10.00 9.50 0.45 0.06 2000 58 145.25 99.66%
Moranbah North 68 23.30 10.00 8.50 0.50 0.04 1800 58 144.75 99.31%
Oaky Creek 67 24.50 10.00 9.50 0.60 0.07 4000 80 144.75 99.31%
Goonyella 68 23.40 10.00 8.90 0.52 0.03 1100 62 144.75 99.31%
Goonyella C 70 23.50 10.00 9.80 0.55 0.04 1200 62 143.75 98.63%
Peak Downs North 68 22.80 10.50 9.80 0.51 0.05 900 63 143.50 98.46% 105.32%
Standard 70 22.50 9.00 9.50 0.45 0.06 150 53 140.25 96.23% 102.94%
Premium 70 25.50 9.00 8.80 0.50 0.07 300 56 140.25 96.23% 102.94%
Hail Creek 69 20.50 10.00 10.00 0.30 0.07 300 54 143.50 98.46%
HCC 64 Mid Vol 64 25.50 9.50 9.00 0.60 0.05 1700 55 136.25 93.48% 100.00%
Mavis Downs 63 22.00 10.00 8.00 0.35 0.05 75 136.25 100.00%
Lake Vermont HCC 62 21.50 11.00 7.50 0.44 0.07 120 50 136.25 100.00%
Carborough Downs 58 22.50 11.00 8.00 0.35 0.04 30 44 134.75 98.90%
Middlemount Coking 57 19.00 10.00 10.00 0.50 0.045 50 133.50 97.98%
Poitrel Semi Hard 45 24.00 12.00 8.00 0.43 0.05 300 54 125.00 91.74%
August 30 freight rates. Australia to China: Panamax = $7.10/mt Capesize = $5.15/mt
Notes: ad = air-dried; ar = as received; CSR = coke strength after reaction; ddpm = dial divisions per minute
The Platts Metallurgical Coal Relativities CFR China assessments do not reflect any restrictions or import duties, including duty rebates applied to coals under different import regimes, which may affect the
transacted price of the commodity.
A detailed explanation of the Platts Metallurgical Coal Relativities can be found here: http://www.platts.com/IM.Platts.Content/MethodologyReferences/MethodologySpecs/metcoalmethod.pdf
For further information about this data please contact cokingcoal@platts.com
Source: Platts

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 8
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

in prices, said the first India-based trader. It was still raining in India again lose its edge in the Indian market,” he added.
and power demand has been weak, keeping Indian demand for Offers for spot cargoes of South African 5,500 kcal/kg NAR coal are
thermal coal low. at a discount of $6-$7/mt to the 6,000 kcal/kg NAR price, which is
Offers for Capesize shipments of 5,000 kcal/kg GAR coal with less hovering at $63-$65/mt FOB, the West India-based end-user said.
than 0.8% sulfur were at $50-$51/mt FOB for September or October The price of 6,000 kcal/kg NAR coal has to come down to below
cargoes, he said. However, there was no one willing to buy at this level, $60/mt FOB to trigger any buying interest in India, he said.
at least from India, he added. A Dubai-based trader said Indian buyers were hesitant to buy South
The price of FOB Kalimantan 4,200 kcal/kg GAR coal was assessed African coal because of both the level and volatility of prices.
at $33.75/mt and FOB Kalimantan 3,800 kcal/kg GAR coal at $26.25/mt Mozambique 6,000 kcal/kg NAR coal was hovering at about $53-
Tuesday, up 25 cents from Monday. $54/mt FOB, which was very competitive compared with South
The daily 90-day price of FOB Kalimantan 5,000 kcal/kg GAR coal African material.
was assessed at $48.75/mt, up $1 day on day, and FOB Kalimantan However, logistical issues for Mozambique were deterring deals in
5,900 kcal/kg GAR at $60.25/mt, up 25 cents on-day. India, he said, adding that the loading of some of his shipments were
— Arusha Das also delayed. “Logistics issues are still there in Mozambique. The
suppliers want to fulfill their existing commitments, so they are not
offering,” he added.
High and volatile thermal coal prices The price of 30-60 day CFR India West 5,500 kcal/kg NAR was
keep Indian buyers at bay assessed at $60.25/mt Tuesday, unchanged from Monday, and
30-60 day CFR India East 5,500 kcal/kg NAR at $60.20/mt, up
Singapore—High-priced Indonesian thermal coal and volatility in 5 cents from Monday.
South African prices have kept Indian buyers on the sidelines, sources The price of 30-60 day CFR India West 6,000 kcal/kg NAR was
said Tuesday. assessed at $69.60/mt and 30-60 day CFR India East 6,000 kcal/kg
A West India-based end-user said he was looking to shift from NAR at $69.90/mt Tuesday, both down 5 cents day on day.
South African thermal coal to Indonesian material, but prices had risen — Deepak Kannan, Arusha Das, Mia Corazon Aureus
quite steeply in the recent months.
“Indonesian prices have risen because of China demand and
supply tightness,” he said. However, he expected prices to drop once Hindustan Newsprint seeks 40,000 mt
China slowed its winter restocking activities. imported steam coal
“We expect prices to drop in October or November,” he said, adding
there was talk about China easing its 276-workday policy, which would New Delhi—Indian state-run paper manufacturer Hindustan Newsprint
improve domestic supply. Limited is seeking 40,000 mt of imported steam coal to be delivered to
Offers for Indonesian 5,000 kcal/kg GAR coal were at about $50/mt its paper mill in Kottayam in Kerala, southern India.
FOB, he said, adding that a couple of months back he had bought Hindustan Newsprint wants coal with a heating value of 6,000-
South African coal with similar heating value at $50/mt, but on a 6,200 kcal/kg GAD, maximum 16% total moisture as received,
delivered-India basis. maximum 12% ash air dried, 35-45% volatile matter and maximum 1%
A Dubai-based trader said even buyers in countries like Bangladesh sulfur air dried.
or Thailand were looking at options amid high prices. Bidders can also supply indigenous coal with similar specifications.
“When you give a price, [buyers] look at various options,” he said. The price bids must be quoted on a for destination basis in
“Deal making has become difficult nowadays.” Indian rupees.
Indonesian supply was tight, he said, adding that September Delivery would start within 45 days of the order confirmation over a
cargoes were not available. four-month period. While 15,000 mt will have to be supplied in the first
“Only October cargoes are being offered and that is also getting month, 10,000 mt has to be supplied in each of the second and third
tight,” he said. October-loading Supramax cargoes of Indonesian 5,500 months and the balance of 5,000 mt in the fourth month.
kcal/kg GAR coal were being offered at $53-$54/mt FOB, he said. Bids close on September 23.
— Sapna Dogra
Volatile South African coal price
Owing to current volatility in South African prices, there was not much
interest from Indian buyers, said a west India-based trader. He said offers India’s Malabar Cements tenders
for South African 4,800 kcal/kg NAR coal were at $44-$45/mt FOB. for 20,000 mt imported steam coal
“How can someone show any interest when [prices] keep on
changing?” he asked. New Delhi—Indian state-owned Malabar Cements is seeking 20,000 mt
Another west India-based trader noted that Indonesian prices had of imported steam coal to supply its factory at Walayar at Palakkad in
gone up sharply and were almost on par with South African numbers. Kerala, southern India.
“If there is any drop in South African prices, Indonesian coal will once It is seeking coal with a minimum heating value of 6,300 kcal/kg

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 9
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

GAD, maximum 12% moisture as received, maximum 15% ash may end up a record year for exports from the terminal.
content air dried, 18-30% volatile matter air dried and maximum 1% The Hunter Valley coal rail corridor saw pre-planned maintenance
sulfur air dried. last week from Tuesday to Thursday, and there were four days of strike
Bids can be quoted on a delivered basis to the Walayar factory action from August 3-6.
premises or on a CFR Cochin west coast India basis. Inbound receivals for the week to August 28 were 1.96 million mt,
Delivery must start immediately if the bid is quoted on a delivered down from 3.55 million mt in the week to August 21, HVCCC’s weekly
basis to the Walayar premises, or if on a CFR Cochin port basis, the report said.
successful bidder has to supply the entire quantity promptly in a single Planned delivery rates were 96,000 mt above target with actual
geared vessel shipment of 20,000 mt. inbound performance 21,000 mt above the declared inbound
The last date for bid submissions is September 2. throughput, the coordinator said.
— Sapna Dogra The next major Hunter Valley maintenance works period is
scheduled for October 11-14, the Australian Rail Track
Corporation said.
Coal stocks at China’s key Bohai Sea ports Centennial Coal, Rio Tinto, Peabody Energy and Whitehaven are
down 3.6% on-week among coal shippers that use the Port Waratah coal terminals in the
Australian state of New South Wales.
Hunan, China—Combined coal stocks at China’s key Bohai Sea ports Based on terminal demand, the queue at the end of August at the
— Qinhuangdao, Caofeidian, Jingtang and Tianjin — totaled 10.53 140 million mt/year shipment capacity terminals is expected to be 28
million mt as of August 28, down 3.6% week on week from 10.921 ships, HVCCC said.
million mt, according to data released Monday by port operator Port Waratah coal stocks finished the week at 1.10 million mt, down
Qinhuangdao Port. from 1.34 million mt the previous week, it said.
Jingtang Port held 3.46 million mt of coal on August 28, followed Further north, the Dalrymple Bay Coal Terminal at Hay Point in
by Tianjin Port with 2.80 million mt, Qinhuangdao Port with 2.71 million Queensland had two tankers loading and nine at anchor Monday,
mt, and Caofeidian Port with 1.56 million mt. compared with one loading and 12 at anchor a week ago, DBCT
Coal stocks at Jingtang Port and Tianjin Port rose week on Management said.
week, but stocks at Qinhuangdao Port and Caofeidian Port dropped The RG Tanna coal terminal at the port of Gladstone, also in
from last week, Qinhuangdao Port said, without giving specific Queensland, had three vessels at berth and six at anchor, Gladstone
change rates. Ports Corporation said, which compares to four at berth and eight at
Favorable weather conditions in the Bohai region and strong anchor last Monday.
downstream coal demand have resulted in a rise in southbound coal — Nathan Richardson
shipments in the past week, causing the drop in combined coal stocks,
according to Qinhuangdao Port.
Elsewhere, coal stocks at Huanghua Port, Shenhua Group’s captive China’s coastal coal freight rates
coal port in northern China’s Hebei province, stood at 1.47 million mt as extend fall in week to August 30
of August 28, slightly down from 1.50 million mt a week earlier, figures
from Huanghua Port Authority showed. Hunan, China—Freight rates for shipping coal from northern China’s
— Reggie Le Qinhuangdao port to the other Chinese ports of Zhangjiagang,
Shanghai and Guangzhou in eastern and southern China continued
to fall in the week to August 30, port operator Qinhuangdao Port
Newcastle PWCS coal vessel queue falls said Tuesday.
by two ships from 15-month high to 27 The freight rate from Qinhuangdao to Zhangjiagang in eastern
China’s Jiangsu province for 20,000-30,000 mt capacity vessels fell by
Sydney—The number of ships queuing at the Port Waratah Coal Yuan 2.30 week on week to Yuan 34.90/mt ($5.22/mt) on August 30,
Services terminals at Australia’s Newcastle port remained high in Qinhuangdao Port said.
comparison to recent months this week, easing back by just two ships The rate from Qinhuangdao to Shanghai in eastern China for
from last week’s 15-month high of 29, the logistics coordinator for the vessels with a capacity of 40,000-50,000 mt fell by Yuan 2.80 over the
Hunter Valley coal chain said Monday. week to Yuan 30.30/mt. The rate from Qinhuangdao to Guangzhou in
At 27, the queue as of Sunday is more than double the year-to-date southern China for 50,000-60,000 mt capacity vessels fell by Yuan
average of 13 ships shown weekly in the Hunter Valley Coal Chain 3.20 to Yuan 39.40/mt on August 30.
Coordinator’s reports. Lower coal demand from downstream power plants was the reason
A Port Waratah Coal Services spokesman last week said that a behind the weaker coastal freight market, the port operator said.
surge in demand for coal was the reason for the longer queues, and Meanwhile, coal stocks at Qinhuangdao port stood at 2.62 million mt
not industrial action and maintenance events on the connecting on August 30, down from 3.04 million mt a week ago, port figures show.
Hunter Valley coal rail line throughout August. He also said that 2016 — Reggie Le

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 10
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Adani clears another legal hurdle to build the next one-and-a-half months to meet its targets.
Australia’s largest thermal coal mine Ukraine needs to store at least 2.5 million mt of coal in warehouses
at power plants by October 15, including at least 1 million mt of
Sydney—India’s Adani Mining cleared a second legal hurdle for its anthracite, to survive the six-month high-demand season, according to
Galilee Basin Carmichael thermal coal project in Australia’s the Energy and Coal Ministry.
Queensland, as the Federal Court on Monday dismissed an Australian Ukraine’s largest power and mining group, privately-held DTEK, is
Conservation Foundation case against the mine. considering imports of anthracite coal from South Africa and Australia,
“Adani welcomes today’s decision of the Federal Court, which but also imports of thermal coal from Poland, to secure steady
again reinforces the stringency of the strict, science and evidence- operation of its power plants during the upcoming winter.
based federal environmental approval process governing the “We are holding talks [on Polish coal imports] to ensure
company’s planned mine at Carmichael,” Adani said Monday. sufficient amount of coal at thermal power plants of DTEK
The AFC had claimed that the country’s former environment Zakhidenergo which is bearing increased load,” DTEK CEO Maksym
minister Greg Hunt had failed to comply with environmental Tymchenko said in a statement.
requirements when approving Adani’s proposed construction on the All Ukraine’s anthracite producing coal mines are in the Donetsk
new mine, rail link and associated infrastructure for exporting coal. and Lugansk regions armed conflict areas, and supplies have been
The decision comes less than two weeks after a Native Title legal repeatedly disrupted by the conflict.
challenge against Adani was also dismissed by the Federal Court. DTEK said it will focus on steady supplies of anthracite to its power
The AFC said despite the court decision it will not give up its efforts plants instead of switching its anthracite-burning units to consumption
to stop the mine, which Adani says will be Australia’s largest producer of thermal coal.
of thermal coal. “If we face problems with anthracite, we will put more load on our
thermal-coal burning units, which have predictable supplies of fuel,”
Project may remain on hold amid low prices Tymchenko said.
The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis Monday The coal inventories are now about 508,000 mt lower on the year,
said the Carmichael project will likely remain on hold for the according to UkrEnergo.
foreseeable future due to the low price environment for coal. As of Monday, a total of 35 coal-burning units with total capacity of
“IEEFA estimates the cash cost of Carmichael coal at A$33/mt [A$27/ 6.43 GW were operating in Ukraine.
mt ROM coal with an 80% yield] plus A$6/mt for port [charges], A$10-A$15/ — Alexander Bor
mt for rail [A$10/mt if Adani owns the railway, $15/mt if the Northern
Australia Infrastructure Facility helps finance it as an external/independent
coal infrastructure project], plus A$1.50/mt for marketing. Adding in 7% HCC’s volatile price moves
coal royalties, and the total cash cost is A$56-A$61/mt,” it said. show second-tier coal’s rise
“The current spot price of thermal coal is $66/mt, with the 2022 futures
price at $61.50/mt. Using a currency conversion of 77 cents to the London—The summer increase in coking coal prices has led to greater
Australian dollar, and deducting a 30% discount for exceptionally low- volatility in spreads between grades, as second-tier coals were slow to
energy content (4,950 kcal) and high ash content (26%) of the Carmichael keep up with a surge led by premium coals.
coal [relative to benchmark Australian thermal coal of 6,000 kcal NAR and PCI’s stable contract demand, longer-term pricing, and
12%-14% ash material], means that Adani can expect a revenue of A$56/mt alternatives for injection in China and markets outside may have
using the forward curve, or A$60/mt at current spot price,” the group said. limited spot price gains.
As such, the project would lose A$4 for every mt of coal produced, Second-tier hard coking coal — assessed by S&P Global Platts as
IEEFA said. HCC 64 reflecting weaker CSR than premium coals — saw prices
— Nathan Richardson regain relative strength. This followed sudden daily increases tracked
since last week in the China CFR market.
Price increases for HCC 64 of $3.50 on Monday from Friday, and on
Ukraine’s coal stocks down 0.2% August 23 of $6.25, outpaced those Platts assessed the same day for
on-week at 910,200 mt Premium Low Vol CFR China.
PLV was assessed Tuesday at $145.75/mt CFR China, up $7, and
Kiev—Coal reserves at Ukraine’s coal-burning power plants fell 0.2% HCC 64 at $136.25/mt CFR, up $6.25. Mid-tier PCI at $94/mt CFR, rose
from August 21 to 910,200 mt as of Monday, transmission system $2.75 from Monday.
operator UkrEnergo, reported Tuesday. These moves contributed to HCC 64 valued Tuesday at 5.6% over
Ukraine’s reserves of widely used anthracite coal rose 5.8% to its 30-day trading history with PLV and mid-tier PCI, according to the
352,000 mt over the same period, while reserves of other types of Platts China CFR Met Coal RSI Tracker.
thermal coal fell by 3.7% to 558,200 mt, UkrEnergo said. The tracker generates daily indexes which are indicators of relative
The current levels show Ukraine is lagging far behind schedule in strength and weakness for each coal type compared with peers,
building up coal stocks and needs to accelerate accumulation within against trading history.

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 11
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Meanwhile, mid-tier PCI was 6.9% below on a 30-day basis, while Platts assessed Premium low vol prices up $7 day on day at $139.50/
PLV was pricing accordingly to recent price trends, with the RSI for PLV mt FOB Australia and $145.75/mt CFR China Tuesday. The second-tier
CFR China scoring minus 0.02%, according to the Platts China CFR Met market rose $6.25 over the same period to $136.25/mt CFR China.
Coal RSI Tracker. Europe was seen as the key demand driver for prime hard material.
The trend was more pronounced on a 60-day basis, suggesting HCC Several sources said the demand from Europe had been building for
64 and mid-tier PCI’s developing pricing pattern, at least based on spot weeks and Tuesday’s activity probably indicated buyers there could not
price history over the past three months, has led to more diversion from hold back any longer.
historic relativities. Three fixed price deals were reported in the premium and semi-
The Platts RSI indexes for HCC 64 and mid-tier PCI moving back toward premium segments for October laycans, each for 75,000 mt; for an
historic values will be dependent on sustained similar price spreads and/or Australian premium hard coking coal with above 72% CSR at
price moves reducing intragroup spreads, for one pair or for all three. $140.75/mt, an Australian blended semi-premium coal with 67-70%
CSR at $138.50/mt, and for a premium mid-vol 67-69% CSR HCC
HCC 64 ratio done late Monday at $139.50/mt, all on an FOB Australia basis.
HCC 64 as a proportion of PLV has been strengthened by the recent The deals showed that international steel mills could match
price increases. In the China market, a price premium of 6.51% for PLV Chinese’s insatiable appetite for seaborne coals, a market source said.
over HCC 64 seen Tuesday however supported PLV, after a sustained Asked whether there was a price gap between China and non-China in
trend for Chinese low ash seaborne demand contributed to a PLV price competition for coal, a source said Chinese end-users would not be outbid.
premium over HCC 64 of 4.8% for the year to date. One trader said the fact that end-users were picking such cargoes
Collectively, daily prices for the three imported met coal grades in at such prices indicated the uptick was not a bubble and had “end-
China have not posted a fall in over two months, and PLV’s price user backing.”
premium over HCC 64 has ranged from 3-11% over that time. The futures market followed the strong showing in the physical
The strength in HCC 64 could persist, given Chinese preference for market, with 57,000 mt traded Tuesday in two deals; 15,000 mt at
low ash coals and signs of restocking in the spot market, coupled with $132.50/mt for Q1 2017 in Asian time, a swap between September and
wary contract buyers. Q1 2017 at $133/mt and $129.25/mt respectively for 15,000 mt each side,
Some mills are moving to reduce procurement open for spot and a swap between September and Q1 2017 at $140/mt and $135/mt
volumes, and traditionally exposed second-tier coals more for spot. respectively for 6,000 mt each side.
The market was propped up so far this year by flooding and heavy “There’s real liquidity in swaps right now for Q1 and Q2 2017,” an
rain in Australia and China, and mine capacity closures. international trader said. Another source said Q1 2017 contracts were
It may now find renewed strength sourced more from the demand “popular” and there are “more sellers now” with the steep rise in prices.
side, coming after the last such round stemming from the spring steel Two deals were heard done in the Chinese market, the first for an
price spike. Australian prime HCC with above 72% CSR for end-November laycan,
On an FOB Australia basis, a similar analysis valuing daily met coal’s Panamax size, bought by a Chinese steel mill at a significant premium
relative strength showed Premium Low Vol’s price appeared weaker to a floating price trade for an Australian premium low-vol HCC with
relative to the 15-day through to 60-day history, and similarly HCC 64 73-74% CSR. This was for an end November laycan cargo.
above, and mid-tier PCI below the trading history. The second was for second-tier material of Australian 62-64% CSR
As for PCI, the RSI on CFR China data indicates mid-tier PCI has been HCC at $130/mt FOB Australia. This was for a Capesize cargo for mid-
relatively weak over the two HCC prices since June 1, and its spot price as October laycan.
a proportion of PLV has slipped below 66%, from close to 80% on June 1.
Traders said PCI prices may may claw back strength, and an 81% Semi-hard underperforms
ratio in the Q3 benchmark would lead the contract PCI price to move In the semi-hard market, there was an offer for Russian below 20%
higher from spot levels, whatever the final outcome for the quarterly VM and around 45-50% CSR material at $118/mt CFR China, excluding
HCC benchmark to be agreed for Q4. import duty.
— Hector Forster The semi-hard markets in China and India were underperforming the
rest of the tier-two HCC complex due to end-user reluctance to purchase
lower quality coals of higher ash and weaker CSR, according to sources.
International coking coal prices climb again One major supplier said his Chinese customers were buying similar
as non-Asian buyers enter market quality domestic material at several dollars’ discount to seaborne
alternatives, adding he was finding it difficult to offer in line with tier-
Singapore—International coking coal spot price continued their too HCC prices.
relentless ascent Tuesday with the entry of non-Asian end-users for “China is short of low-ash, second-tier HCC, but there’s plenty of
the first time in this rally. semi-hard material around,” he said.
“There is a global scarcity of material,” a trader said, adding end- In the PCI market, there was a spot offer for Australian 13-14% VM
users from outside of Asia were coming to the market for material at and 8.5-10% ash material at $100/mt FOB Australia. This was for a
high prices. “End-users are desperate,” the source added. Panamax size cargo for October laycan. Indicative bids were at $87-

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 12
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

$88/mt FOB Australia. Coal-loadings suspended at Colombia’s


China’s largest metallurgical coal producer, Shanxi Coking Coal Group, Cerrejon due to emissions ... from page 1
has raised its offers by Yuan 30-95 across a range of products, sources
said Tuesday. This comes after it kept list prices unchanged for August. According to a company statement, a decree issued by the
The latest move, said to be effective September 1, affected a series regional government suspended all loadings at the port while local
of coal brands by varying degrees. airborne emissions levels are reviewed.
The price of the miner’s flagship prime hard coal, Tunlan, with A ship which was part-loaded when the suspension became effective
20-23% VM, less than 10% ash, less than 1% sulfur, more than 75 G-value was permitted to finish loading and leave, a company spokesman said,
and 12-16 Y-value, was raised Yuan 80-90/mt. adding that it expected no impact on annual export volumes.
Fat coal from Ma Lan with 24-28% VM and less than 1.3% sulfur Cerrejon — Colombia’s largest thermal coal miner — said it was
and Shuang Liu with 26-29% VM and under 0.8% sulfur were raised doing everything possible to resolve the matter.
Yuan 90/mt. The company statement said air emissions were below legal
One-third coking coal prices were raised Yuan 90/mt for below 0.6% thresholds and were not harmful to the health of local residents, and
sulfur, 35-37% VM, 9-10% ash Lv Lin company coals. Lean coals from Dong Cerrejon was in the process of agreeing a plan with the authorities to
Qu with 16-20% VM and less than 1.3% sulfur were raised Yuan 50/mt. restart loading.
“Nobody knows how quickly it will come back. [They are] saying
Domestic-seaborne gap they’ll come back quickly, [but] there are definitely no railings going
The increases will narrow the gap between domestic and seaborne on,” a European utility trader said.
coals, but one Northeast China steelmaker said a second price “There [is] no stock at the port,” he added. “Drummond were out
increase could still be on the cards if Chinese supply remained tight. for about a month with a similar issue.”
The domestic Chinese coke market saw its ninth price increase in According to shipping source Deep Blue, in the period January-July
five weeks, by Yuan 70/mt, for a cumulative increase of Yuan 390. 2016, 18.13 million mt of thermal coal had been shipped from Puerto Bolivar.
There was also talk of further, larger increases in the near term. — Cameron Carswell
A coke supplier said coke prices were expected to rise further in
September in the domestic market. “A Yuan 100/mt uptick” was likely
as mills had very little coke inventory, the source said.
Changes to Platts European gas, power, LNG and
Platts assessed Chinese coke 64/62% CSR up $6/mt day on day at
global coal exchange rates
S&P Global Platts is proposing to amend the timestamp and source of the exchange
$221/mt FOB Tianjin Tuesday. Coke prices have surged 99.1% since
rates used to convert Platts European gas, power and LNG assessments and Platts
January 1. global coal assessments into foreign currency equivalents from September 30, 2016.
A rollover in Japanese autosheet prices for the April-September Platts proposes to publish foreign exchange data at 16:30 London time using Platts
half year by Toyota and Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corp could assessments, moving from a 16:00 timestamp with data sourced from Tullett Prebon.
strengthen steelmakers’ demands for a lower-than-expected Q4 term The foreign exchange codes which will be sourced from Platts 16:30
premium coal price, sources said. assessments are:
Rising coking coal prices could take a bite out of mill margins with SFr-Eur AACOT00
auto steel prices seen little changed, according to an Australian mining GBP-Eur AACOW00
GBP-USD AACOO00
company. But a Japanese trader said the Japanese currency’s rapid
SFr-USD AACOK00
climb was beneficial for the import of raw materials.
Eur-USD AACOP00
— Kenneth Foo, Edwin Yeo, Jebsen Seo
Platts will continue to publish the following remaining exchange rates from
Tullett Prebon:
NOK-USD AACOF00
Hard Coking Coal (Premium Low Vol) FOB SKr-USD AACOI00
Australia Assessment Rationale DKK-USD AACOJ00
NOK-Eur AACOQ00
Singapore—Premium low-vol was assessed up $7 day on day at SKr-Eur AACOR00
$139.50/mt FOB Australia Tuesday. A premium low-vol with CSR 73-75% DKK-Euro Spot AACOS00
trade was reported done Monday at $140.75/mt FOB Australia, for Zloty-Eur AARWK00
75,000 mt plus/minus 10% for October 20-30 laycan. This was for a coal TRY-Eur AAXQJ00
assessed at $140.75/mt FOB Australia, $1.25/mt above Platts Premium TRY-USD AAXQI00
Low Vol FOB Australia. A deal was also reported done at $139.50/mt The exchange rates are published on European Power Alert page 99, in European
Gas Daily, European Power Daily, and in Platts Market Data category ET.
FOB for a premium Mid-Vol CSR 67-69% coal on Monday at $139.50/mt
Please send any comments and queries to power@spglobal.com with copy to
FOB Australia, for 75,000 mt plus/minus 10% on a Panamax for October pricemethodology@spglobal.com by September 1, 2016.
laycan. This coal brand was assessed at $139.50/mt, in line with Platts For written comments, please provide a clear indication if comments are not
Premium Low Vol FOB Australia. No data was excluded from this intended for publication by Platts for public viewing.
assessement. The above rationale applies to Platts premium low vol Platts will consider all comments received and will make available comments
not marked as confidential upon request.
FOB Australia assessment, with the associated data code: PLVHA00

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 13
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Subscriber Note: Singapore daily assessments, August 29


Due to the UK Bank Holiday on Monday, August 29, Platts Coal Trader International was not published. However, some thermal coal, metallurgical coal, metallurgical
coke and dry bulk freight daily assessments were conducted in Singapore on that day. The assessments have been published in this issue of Coal Trader International.

Daily prompt physical thermal coal assessments Platts physical thermal coal assessments, August 29
CV (kcal/kg) Window Platts symbol $/mt Chg CV (kcal/kg) Window Platts symbol $/mt Yuan/mt Chg
Atlantic Daily prompt prices
CIF ARA 6,000 NAR 15-60 day CSARM01 NA NA CFR South China 5,500 15-60 day AAVSZ00 64.80 +0.20
CIF ARA 6,000 NAR 90-day CSABG00 NA NA FOB Qinhuangdao 5,500 7-45 day AAVTN00 424.00 +5.00
FOB Richards Bay 6,000 NAR 7-45 day CSRBM01 NA NA Carbon-Adjusted CIF ARA 6,000 Prompt CSCCC00 NA NA
FOB ARA Barge 6,000 90-day AARCQ00 NA NA
FOB Richards Bay 6,000 NAR 90-day CSACN00 NA NA
FOB Richards Bay 5,500 NAR 7-45 day AAXEX00 NA NA Heat rate Btu/KWh %
Gas, UK NA NA
Australia Gas, Germany NA NA
FOB Newcastle 5,500 NAR 7-45 day AAVUW00 59.80 +0.30
FOB Newcastle Ash Differential AAVVA00 0.50 Coking coal swaps assessment, August 29
FOB Newcastle 6,300 GAR 7-45 day CSNCB00 NA NA
Platts symbol $/mt Chg % Chg
FOB Newcastle 6,300 GAR 90-day CSAGB00 NA NA Platts Premium Low Vol FOB Australia
Sep-16 MCPLM01 138.000 +5.00 +3.76
Indonesia
Oct-16 MCPLM02 138.000 +4.00 +2.99
FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 4,200 GAR 7-45 day CSBKI00 33.50 0.00
Nov-16 MCPLM03 138.500 +4.50 +4.50
FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 3,800 GAR 7-45 day CSCKJ00 26.00 0.00
Q4-16 MCPLQ01 138.500 +4.50 +3.36
FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 5,900 GAR 90-day CSAKH00 60.00 +0.50
FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 5,000 GAR 90-day CSAKI00 47.75 -0.25 Q1-17 MCPLQ02 139.000 +5.50 +4.12
Q2-17 MCPLQ03 140.000 +7.00 +7.00
India 2017 MCPLY01 140.000 +7.00 +5.26
CFR India West (Capesize) 6,000 NAR 30-60 day CIIWD00 69.65 -0.50
CFR India West (Gearless Panamax) 5,500 NAR 30-60 day CIWCI00 60.25 +0.15 Metallurgical coke
CFR India West (Gearless Panamax) 5,000 GAR 30-60 day TCAKP00 54.35 -0.35
% CSR Platts symbol $/mt Chg % Chg
CFR India West (Gearless Panamax) 4,200 GAR 30-60 day TCAKT00 40.25 -0.10 FOB North China 66/65 MCCNC00 216.00 +10.00 +4.85
CFR India West (Geared Supramax) 3,800 GAR 30-60 day TCAKR00 34.90 -0.20 FOB North China 62 AAWVL00 215.00 +10.00 +4.88
CFR India East (Capesize) 6,000 NAR 30-60 day CIIED00 69.95 -0.50 CFR India 62 MCCEI00 225.50 +10.00 +4.64
CFR India East (Gearless Panamax) 5,500 NAR 30-60 day CIECI00 60.15 +0.10
Yuan/mt
CFR India East (Gearless Panamax) 5,000 GAR 30-60 day TCAKJ00 53.85 -0.35
CFR India East (Gearless Panamax) 4,200 GAR 30-60 day TCAKU00 39.60 -0.10 DDP North China (weekly) 62 AAWVJ00 1290.00 +60.00 +4.88
CFR India East (Geared Supramax) 3,800 GAR 30-60 day TCAKS00 33.80 -0.20
Spot dry bulk freight assessments, Aug 29
CV (kcal/kg) Window Platts symbol $/mt Chg Platts symbol $/mt Chg
China Capesize
PCC 1 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,500 NAR 7-45 day PCCQH00 74.39* +0.62 Australia-China CDANC00 5.20 -0.10
PCC 2 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,000 NAR 7-45 day PCCPN00 66.88* +0.34 Queensland-Japan CIGAJ00 5.45 -0.10
PCC 6 (CFR South China) 3,800 NAR 30-60 day PCCPQ00 38.85 0.00 New South Wales-Korea CINAK00 5.45 -0.10
PCC 7 (CFR South China) 4,700 NAR 30-60 day PCCPP00 53.00 0.00 Bolivar-Rotterdam CIBCR00 5.05 -0.05
PCC 8 (CFR South China) 5,500 NAR 15-60 day PCCSC00 64.75 +0.25 Roberts Bank-Japan CDRKJ00 6.00 -0.10
Richards Bay-Rotterdam CIRBN00 3.85 -0.05
Yuan/mt
Virtual (CIF ARA-FOB Richards Bay) CSCCC00 NA NA
PCC 1 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,500 NAR 7-45 day PCCQG00 495.00* +5.00
Differential (Rotterdam Capesize-Virtual) CSCCE00 NA NA
PCC 2 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,000 NAR 7-45 day PCCPM00 445.00* +3.00
PCC 6 (CFR South China) 3,800 NAR 30-60 day PCCPR00 258.51 +0.45 Panamax
PCC 6 (VAT included) 3,800 NAR 30-60 day PCCPS00 302.46 +0.53 Richards Bay-India West CSAKL00 7.85 +0.15
PCC 7 (CFR South China) 4,700 NAR 30-60 day PCCPO00 352.66 +0.61 Kalimantan-India West CSAKP00 5.80 -0.10
PCC 7 (VAT included) 4,700 NAR 30-60 day PCCFB00 412.61 +0.71 Richards Bay-India East CSAKN00 7.75 +0.25
PCC 8 (CFR South China) 5,500 NAR 15-60 day PCCSD00 430.84 +2.40 Kalimantan-India East CSAKR00 4.80 -0.10
PCC 8 (Duty & VAT included) 5,500 NAR 15-60 day PCCFA00 514.16 +2.86 Richards Bay-Rotterdam CIRRN00 NA NA
*Includes VAT at 17%. Richards Bay-Spanish Med CIRBT00 NA NA
Richards Bay-Jorf Lasfar CIRBJ00 NA NA
Platts China Coal – Physical Thermal Coal Benchmark Prices Bolivar-Rotterdam CIBRN00 NA NA
August 29 CV (kcal/kg) Basis $/mt Chg Yuan/mt Chg USEC-India CDBUI00 NA NA
PCC 1 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,500 NAR 74.39 0.62 495.00* 5.00 USEC-Rotterdam CDBUR00 NA NA
PCC 2 (FOB Qinhuangdao) 5,000 NAR 66.88 0.34 445.00* 3.00 USEC-Brazil CDBUB00 NA NA
PCC 6 (CFR South China) 3,800 NAR 38.85 0.00 258.51 0.45 Mobile-Rotterdam CDMAR00 NA NA
PCC 6 (VAT included) 3,800 NAR 302.46 0.53
Mobile-Taranto CDMAI00 NA NA
PCC 7 (CFR South China) 4,700 NAR 53.00 0.00 352.66 0.61
PCC 7 (VAT included) 4,700 NAR 412.61 0.71 Roberts Bank-Japan CDRBK00 7.45 -0.20
PCC 8 (CFR South China) 5,500 NAR 64.75 0.25 430.84 2.40 Australia-China CDBFA00 7.20 -0.05
PCC 8 (Duty & VAT included) 5,500 NAR 514.16 2.86 Australia-India CDBFAI0 8.60 -0.25

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 14
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Platts daily metallurgical coal assessments, Aug 29


Asia-Pacific coking coal ($/mt)
Platts FOB Change Platts CFR Change Platts CFR Change
symbol Australia symbol China symbol India
HCC Peak Downs Region HCCGA00 133.50 +1.50 HCCGC00 139.75 +1.50 HCCGI00 142.10 +1.25
Premium Low Vol PLVHA00 132.50 +1.50 PLVHC00 138.75 +1.50 PLVHI00 141.10 +1.25
HCC 64 Mid Vol HCCAU00 122.80 +3.55 HCCCH00 130.00 +3.50 HCCIN00 131.40 +3.30
Low Vol PCI MCLVA00 86.30 +0.55 MCLVC00 93.50 +0.50 MCLVI00 94.90 +0.30
Mid Tier PCI MCLAA00 84.05 +0.55 MCLAC00 91.25 +0.50 MCVAI00 92.65 +0.30
Semi Soft MCSSA00 83.30 +0.05 MCSSC00 90.50 0.00 MCSSI00 91.90 -0.20

Atlantic coking coal ($/mt)


Platts FOB US
symbol East Coast Change VM Ash S
Low Vol HCC AAWWR00 NA NA 19% 8% 0.80%
High Vol A AAWWS00 NA NA 32% 7% 0.85%
High Vol B AAWWT00 NA NA 34% 8% 0.95%

CFR NW Europe Change VM Ash S


PLV NetForward PLVHE00 139.40 +1.45 21.50% 9.30% 0.50%
Detailed methodology and specifications are found here: http://platts.com/IM.Platts.Content/MethodologyReferences/MethodologySpecs/metcoalmethod.pdf.

PCC Met (Platts China Coal – Metallurgical) (Yuan/mt)*


Platts Ex-washplant Platts Free-on-Rail Platts DDP Tangshan
symbol symbol symbol
PCC Met Shanxi Premium Low Vol PCCMA04 730 PCCMB04 765 PCCMC04 975
PCC Met Shanxi High Sulfur Premium Low Vol PCCMD04 580 PCCME04 615 PCCMF04 825
PCC Met North China Fat Coal — — PCCMG04 810
PCC Met Shanxi PCI PCCMH04 530 PCCMI04 565 PCCMJ04 730
PCC Met Shandong Semi Soft PCCMK04 600 PCCML04 620 —

PCC Met Rail Freight Shanxi – Tangshan PCCMM04 230


PCC Met Truck Freight Shanxi – Tangshan PCCMO04 245
*Weekly (assessed August 24).

North China prompt port stock prices


Platts Ex-stock Jingtang Platts CFR Jingtang
symbol (Yuan/mt, incl VAT) symbol equivalent ($/mt)**
Premium Low Vol* AAWZN00 1090.00 AAWZO00 136.26
HCC 64 Mid Vol* AAWZP00 1020.00 AAWZQ00 127.26
*Weekly (assessed August 26), 20-day delivery from date.
**Ex-stock price, net of port charges, import tax and VAT.

HCC assessed specifications


CSR VM Ash S P TM Fluidity
Premium Low Vol 71% 21.50% 9.30% 0.50% 0.05% 9.70% 500
HCC Peak Downs Region 74% 20.70% 10.50% 0.60% 0.03% 9.50% 400
HCC 64 Mid Vol 64% 25.50% 9.00% 0.60% 0.05% 9.50% 1,700

Penalties & Premia: Differentials ($/mt)


Within Platts % of Premium Low Vol FOB Platts Net Value
Min-Max symbol Australia assessment price symbol ($/mt)
Per 1% CSR 60-71% CPCSA00 0.50% CPCSP00 66.25
Per 1% VM (air dried) 18-27% CPVPA00 0.50% CPVMP00 66.25
Per 1% TM (as received) 8-11% CPTPA00 1.00% CPTMP00 132.50
Per 1% Ash (air dried) 7-10.5% CPAPA00 1.50% CPPAP00 198.75
Per 0.1%S (air dried) 0.3-1% CPSPA00 1.00% CPSPV00 132.50

US low-vol HCC Penalties & Premia; Differentials ($/mt)


Within Platts % of US low-vol HCC FOB Platts Net value
Min-Max symbol USEC assessment price symbol ($/mt)
Per 1% CSR 50-64% CPPBA00 NA% CPPBB00 NA
40-49% CPPBC00 NA% CPPBD00 NA
Per 0.1% S 0.70-1.05% CPPBE00 NA% CPPBF00 NA
1.06-1.25% CPPBG00 NA% CPPBH00 NA
Per 1% TM (as received) 6-11% CPPBK00 NA% CPPBL00 NA
Per 1% Ash 5-10% CPPBI00 NA% CPPBJ00 NA
The assessed price of HCC Peak Downs® originates with Platts and is based on price information for a range of HCCs with a CSR\> 67% normalized to the standard of HCC Peak Downs® (CSR 74%). Peak
Downs® is a registered trade mark of BM Alliance Coal Operations Pty Limited “BMA”. This price assessment is not affiliated with or sponsored by BMA in any way.

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 15
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Platts daily Asia Pacific metallurgical coal relativities – August 29, 2016
August 29 Spread Spread
CSR VM TM Ash S P Fluidity Vit % CFR China vs PLV vs HCC 64
ad ar ad ad ad ddpm $/mt

Peak Downs 74 20.50 9.50 10.50 0.60 0.03 400 71 139.75* 100.72%
*Peak Downs FOB Australia (China netback) after accounting for Haypoint-Qingdao Panamax freight = $132.55/mt
Saraji 72 18.50 10.00 10.50 0.60 0.03 160 66 138.75 100.00%
Premium Low Vol 71 21.50 9.70 9.30 0.50 0.045 500 65 138.75** 100.00%
**Premium Low Vol FOB Australia (China netback) after accounting for Haypoint-Qingdao Panamax freight = $131.55/mt
German Creek 70 19.00 10.50 9.50 0.54 0.06 180 70 137.75 99.28%
Illawarra 73 23.50 10.00 9.50 0.45 0.06 2000 58 138.25 99.64%
Moranbah North 68 23.30 10.00 8.50 0.50 0.04 1800 58 137.75 99.28%
Oaky Creek 67 24.50 10.00 9.50 0.60 0.07 4000 80 137.75 99.28%
Goonyella 68 23.40 10.00 8.90 0.52 0.03 1100 62 137.75 99.28%
Goonyella C 70 23.50 10.00 9.80 0.55 0.04 1200 62 136.75 98.56%
Peak Downs North 68 22.80 10.50 9.80 0.51 0.05 900 63 136.50 98.38% 105.00%
Standard 70 22.50 9.00 9.50 0.45 0.06 150 53 133.50 96.22% 102.69%
Premium 70 25.50 9.00 8.80 0.50 0.07 300 56 133.50 96.22% 102.69%
Hail Creek 69 20.50 10.00 10.00 0.30 0.07 300 54 136.50 98.38%
HCC 64 Mid Vol 64 25.50 9.50 9.00 0.60 0.05 1700 55 130.00 93.69% 100.00%
Mavis Downs 63 22.00 10.00 8.00 0.35 0.05 75 130.00 100.00%
Lake Vermont HCC 62 21.50 11.00 7.50 0.44 0.07 120 50 130.00 100.00%
Carborough Downs 58 22.50 11.00 8.00 0.35 0.04 30 44 128.50 98.85%
Middlemount Coking 57 19.00 10.00 10.00 0.50 0.045 50 127.25 97.88%
Poitrel Semi Hard 45 24.00 12.00 8.00 0.43 0.05 300 54 122.75 94.42%
August 29 freight rates. Australia to China: Panamax = $7.20/mt Capesize = $5.20/mt
Notes: ad = air-dried; ar = as received; CSR = coke strength after reaction; ddpm = dial divisions per minute
The Platts Metallurgical Coal Relativities CFR China assessments do not reflect any restrictions or import duties, including duty rebates applied to coals under different import regimes, which may affect the
transacted price of the commodity.
A detailed explanation of the Platts Metallurgical Coal Relativities can be found here: http://www.platts.com/IM.Platts.Content/MethodologyReferences/MethodologySpecs/metcoalmethod.pdf
For further information about this data please contact cokingcoal@platts.com
Source: Platts

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 16
Coal Trader International Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Platts to rationalize Asia-Pacific Thermal Coal Platts to launch arbitrage assessments for China PLV,
market reporting met coke indices
S&P Global Platts is seeking feedback on a proposal to rationalize its thermal S&P Global Platts has decided to launch three arbitrage indicator assessments
coal market reporting in the Asia-Pacific region. Specifically, Platts proposes to based on existing China Premium Low Vol and metallurgical coke indices,
discontinue its existing 5,500 kcal/kg NAR series centered on China which have following market feedback.
been superseded by the launch of Platts PCC series. If discontinued the last Platts will launch the weekly price series from September 21, 2016.
publication in Coal Trader International and Platts Global Coal page 500 and 830,
The weekly assessments are:
would be on October 31, 2016.
1) A Premium Low Vol (PLV) Hard Coking Coal (HCC) CFR China (equivalent)
The affected codes are:
assessment that would be a net-forward from the existing domestic China
Daily CFR South China 5,500 kcal/kg NAR – AAVSZ00 ($/mt), AAVTA00 (Yuan/mt) coking coal assessment, including various costs.
FOB Qinhuangdao 5,500 kcal/kg NAR – AAVTM00 ($/mt), AAVTN00 (Yuan/mt) Following market feedback, Platts has ascertained market demand for greater
Monthly averages visibility on the price differential between the PLV HCC CFR China assessment
CFR South China 5,500 kcal/kg NAR – AAVSZ03 ($/mt), AAVTA03 (Yuan/mt) and its domestic China equivalent.
FOB Qinhuangdao 5,500 kcal/kg NAR – AAVTM03 ($/mt), AAVTN03 (Yuan/mt) Its current domestic price assessment, on a DDP Tangshan basis, is published
every Wednesday, while the seaborne PLV CFR China price assessment is
Please send any comments and queries to PL_AsiaThermalCoal@spglobal.com
published daily.
with copy to pricemethodology@spglobal.com by September 30, 2016.
Platts DDP Tangshan assessment will be normalized to CFR China basis,
For written comments, please provide a clear indication if the comments are
normalizing for payment terms, additional transportation and logistics costs,
not intended for publication by Platts for public viewing.
exchange rate and specifications to reach a port-equivalent value.
Platts will consider all comments received and will make available comments
The assessment will be published on an outright basis and as a price differential
not marked as confidential upon request.
to the PLV HCC CFR China price on Wednesday.
The new assessment will be published on the same day as the weekly domestic
Platts proposes new US thermal coal netbacks China assessment, starting September 21, 2016.
S&P Global Platts is proposing to revise the methodology for the thermal coal 2) A differential between the CFR Jingtang (equivalent) port stocks assessment
netback for FOB US East Coast and plans to launch two new netbacks reflecting and the PLV HCC CFR China assessment.
the value for thermal coal FOB US Gulf Coast and FOB Vancouver.
Following market feedback, Platts has ascertained market demand for greater
For the FOB US East Coast netback (Platts symbol COUSC00), Platts intends to visibility on the price differential between seaborne cargo prices and the port
change the heat content from 6,500 NAR kcal/kg to 12,500 Btu/lb GAR to better stock market.
reflect available US domestic thermal coals for export. In addition, Platts will
The port stock (CFR Jingtang) assessment is published on Fridays, while the
make the heat conversion from the delivered price minus freight. The heat
seaborne PLV CFR China price assessment is published daily.
conversion is currently made from the delivered price.
The new assessment will be published every Friday, starting September 23, 2016.
FOB US Gulf Coast (basis 11,500 Btu/lb GAR, 5 lb SO2/MMBtu) will show the price
of thermal coal compared with CIF ARA coal (basis 6,000 kcal/kg NAR, 1% 3) A metallurgical coke Platts FOB North China (equivalent) assessment that
sulfur) minus the Panamax freight rate from Mobile, Alabama to Rotterdam, would be a net-forward from the existing domestic DDP China coke
adjusted for heat and sulfur and converted to $/st. assessment, including various costs.
The sulfur adjustment will be based on a new daily assessment that will be Platts has ascertained market demand for greater visibility on the price
published alongside the FOB US Gulf Coast netback. The sulfur assessment will difference between domestic coke and China export values.
reflect the value of one tenth of one percent of sulfur per short ton for thermal Platts domestic coke assessment is published on a DDP Tangshan basis
coal destined for Northern Europe. every Thursday.
FOB Vancouver (basis 8,800 Btu/lb GAR, 0.8 lb SO2/MMBtu) will show the price This assessment would be normalized for payment terms, logistics cost,
of thermal coal compared with CIF Japan coal (basis 6,000 kcal/kg NAR, 1% exchange rate and specifications to FOB North China basis.
sulfur) minus the Panamax freight rate from Roberts Bank, British Columbia to
Japan, adjusted for heat and converted to $/st. The assessment will be published on an outright basis and as a price differential
to the Platts 64/62% CSR Metallurgical Coke FOB North China assessment.
The netbacks will publish daily in Coal Trader and Coal Trader International, and
are scheduled to launch October 3. This will be published from September 22, 2016.

Please address any questions or comments by September 2 to coal@platts.com Please send any feedback to annalisa.jeffries@spglobal.com,
and pricegroup@platts.com. edwin.yeo@spglobal.com and pricemethodology@spglobal.com.

For written comments, please provide a clear indication if comments are not For written comments, please provide a clear indication if comments are not
intended for publication by Platts for public viewing. Platts will consider all intended for publication by Platts for public viewing.
comments received and will make comments not marked as confidential Platts will consider all comments received and will make comments not marked
available upon request. confidential available upon request.

© 2016 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 17
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