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PERSON 1: Hello everyone! It’s me, Fherlyn. It’s nice that I have a chance to share something
with you, guys. Are you guys ready? But first, let me ask you a question, have
you ever thought of, “What if you get to know what will happen in advance?”
(Fherlyn video 1)
PERSON 2: Like knowing the answers to your exams for next week(Kianna video 1)
PERSON 3: Knowing the winning numbers in a lottery (Jiana video 1)
PERSON 4: Knowing the comments of your panels in your research defense (Mia video 1)
PERSON 1: But unfortunately, we can’t do that because nothing is certain in life. (Fherlyn
video 2)
PERSON 2: However, Ian Stewart will help us. It is one of the proofs that Mathematics helps us
to better manage the uncertainty that pervades our lives. (Kianna video 2)
PERSON 1: Again, It’s me, Fherlyn and I will be the one to start the discussion. In the 8 th
chapter of Ian Stewart’s book Nature’s Numbers, he challenged Newton’s vision
and Laplace’s idea of determinism. Sir Isaac Newton’s intellectual legacy was a
vision of a clockwork universe. It is an image of the universe as a mechanical
clock. It continues ticking along, as a perfect machine with its gears governed by
the laws of physics, making every aspect of the machine predictable. (Fherlyn
video 3)
Marquis Pierre-Simon de Laplace’s idea of determinism is the belief that the past
completely determines the future. He once stated that we may regard the present
state of the universe as the effect of its past and the cause of its future. These
concepts produce an image of a totally deterministic world- one leaving no room
for the operation of chance. Contrarily, many encounters in our daily lives seemed
purely occurring by chance or lady luck. Such as discovering an old notebook in
your closet, finding a bill on the street, and bumping into your high school crush
in a restaurant. By this, it seems more likely a universe where Dice Play God.
(Fherlyn video 4)
PERSON 2: Thank you, Fherl! Hello everyone! My name’s Kianna and I will discuss something
to you. Let’s start!
This theory claims to have many answers to the questions earlier. Whether it does
or not, it is certainly creating a revolution in the way we think about order and
disorder, law and chance, predictability and ramdomness.
And now, Jiana will be the one to continue the discussion. Here you go, Jiana!
(Kianna video 4)
PERSON 3: Thank you, Kianna! Hello everyone! My name’s Jiana and I will continue the
discussion. Let’s start!
And it was rather startling when it comes to dice as it was one of our favorite
symbols to use for chance. Dice are just cubes, as it is just a tumbling cube should
be no less predictable than orbiting planets as both objects obey the same laws of
mechanical motion. They are both different shapes but equally regular and
mathematical ones. To see how unpredictability can be reconciled with
determinism, think about a much less ambitious system than the entire universe
namely drops of water dripping from a tap.
And now, Mia will be the one to continue the discussion. Here you go, Mia!
(Jiana video 3)
PERSON 4: Thank you, Jiana! Hello everyone! My name’s Mia and I will continue to discuss.
Let’s start!
Okay, now we know about those things they have explained. So, in 1978, a bunch
of iconoclastic young graduate students at the University of California at Santa
Cruz formed the DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS COLLECTIVE. When we began
thinking about this water-drop system, they realized that it’s not as random as it
appears to be. They recorded the dripping noises with a microphone and analyzed
the sequence or intervals between each drop and the next drop. What they found
was short term predictability. For example, if I tell you the timing of three
successive drops then you can predict when the next drop will fall. (Mia video 2)
The point is, that we can never measure the initials state of a system exactly. The
most precise measurements yet made in any physical system are correct to about
ten or twelve decimal places. But Laplace’s statement is correct only if we can
make measurements to infinite precision in infinitely many decimal places. And
of course, there’s no way to do that. Nothing short of total perfection of
measurement will do. This phenomenon is called “SENSITIVITY TO INITIAL
CONDITION” or more informally the butterfly effect. (Mia video 3)
PERSON 1: And that’s it! Do you guys know what a butterfly effect is? If no, then don’t worry
because I’ll be telling you guys what is a butterfly effect. The butterfly effect is
not the phenomenon we encounter when our crush texts us. You know what I
mean, right? The butterflies in your stomach thing, I mean hmm no, that’s not it
guys. The butterfly effect is the idea that small, seemingly trivial events that may
ultimately result in something with much larger consequences. Tiny changes in
initial conditions have big effects. The term butterfly effect comes from an
analogy where a butterfly flaps its wings in Tokyo and then tornado occurs in
Tennessee. The butterfly effect is intimately associated with a high degree of
irregularity of behavior. All the butterfly effect does is to make the system follow
different paths on the same attractor. We used to assume that simple causes must
produce simple effects implying that complex effects must have complex causes.
But now, we know that simple cause can produce complex effects. But sensitivity
to initial conditions renders behavior unpredictable- hence irregular. For this
reason, a system that displays sensitivity to initial conditions is said to be chaotic.
(Fherlyn video 6)
PERSON 2: Now, we heard of the word CHAOS and I assume we all know that. Let’s talk
about it! Chaotic behaviour obeys deterministic laws, but is so irregular that to the
untrained eye it looks pretty much random. Chaos is embedded in nature and
reality whether it is unseen or unrealized by many. It’s creating a revolution in a
way we think of order and disorder, law and chance, predictability and
randomness. Within the apparent irregularities randomness and disorder in
occurring events, there are actually underlying patterns, interconnectedness, and
deterministic laws that are highly sensitive to initial conditions. Small differences
such as errors and miscalculations can yield different highly-affected outcomes.
Chaotic behavior exists in weather and climate even in the stock market or traffic.
As Edward Lorenz said, “Chaos is when the present determines the future but the
approximate present does not approximately determine the future”. (Kianna
video 5)
PERSON 4: In 1975, physicist Mitchell Feigenbaum discovered the number that is associated
with period-doubling cascade. This number is roughly 4.669 and symbolized with
the Greek letter (δ) delta. It became extraordinarily significant in both
mathematics and the natural world, along with pi. Feigenbaum’s number tells us
how the period of the drips relates to the rate of flow of the water and is a
quantitative signature for any period-doubling cascade. (Mia video 4)
This very same number shows up in various experiments on liquid helium,
pendulums, electronic circuits, magnets and such. It is a new universal pattern in
nature, one that we can see only through the eyes of chaos, a quantitative pattern,
a number emerges from a qualitative phenomenon. The Feigenbaum number has
opened the door to a new mathematical world, one that we have only just begun to
explore. Indeed it is one of nature’s numbers. (Mia video 5)
PERSON 1: And that’s it, guys! We hope you learn something! We are now done discussing to
you the Chapter 8 of Ian Stewart’s book Nature’s Number entitled, (Fherlyn
video 7)
ALL : “Do Dice Play God?” (Each of us will have a video saying this question. Please guys
with facial expression) (Fherlyn video 8), (Kianna video 6), (Jiana video 6), (Mia
video 6)