Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Valuation
Net Present Value; Stock Valuation
Concepts of Valuation
• Time Value of Money
• Opportunity Cost
• Simple Interest
• Compound Interest
• Future Value
• Present Value
• Net Present Value (NPV)
• Frequency of Compounding
• Annuities
• Perpetuities
• Multiple Cash Flows
• Uneven Cash Flow Streams
• Bond Valuation
Opportunity Cost
• The cost of an alternative that must be forgone in order
to pursue a certain action.
Why?
• Risk
• Investment Opportunities
Simple Interest
• Simple interest is determined by multiplying the interest
rate by the principal by the number of periods.
Simple interest= P * I * N
Where:
P is the loan amount
I is the interest rate
N is the duration of the loan, using number of periods
Compound Interest
When interest is paid on not only the principal amount
invested, but also on any previous interest earned, this is called
compound interest.
0 1 2 3 4 5
8%
$5,000
FV5
Future Value Solution
Calculation based on general formula:
FVn = PV (1+i)n
FV5 = $5,000 (1+ 0.08)5
= $7,346.64
Present Value
PV = FV / (1+i)n.
0 5 10
6%
$4,000
PV0
Present Value Example
Joann needs to know how large of a deposit to
make today so that the money will grow to $2,500
in 5 years. Assume today’s deposit will grow at a
compound rate of 4% annually.
0 1 2 3 4 5
4%
$2,500
PV0
Present Value Solution
• Calculation based on general formula:
PV0 = FVn / (1+i)n
PV0 = $2,500/(1.04)5
= $2,054.81
Finding “n” or “i” when one knows PV and FV
n: Number of Years
m: Compounding Periods per Year
i: Annual Interest Rate
FVn,m: FV at the end of Year n
PV0: PV of the Cash Flow today
Frequency of Compounding Example
PV = $1,000
i = 12%/4 = 3% per quarter
n = 8 x 4 = 32 quarters
Solution based on formula:
FV= PV (1 + i)n
= 1,000(1.03)32
= 2,575.10
Annuities
An Annuity represents a series of equal
payments (or receipts) occurring over a
specified number of equidistant periods.
0 1 2 3
5%
$500 $600 $10,700
PV0
Multiple Cash Flow Solution
0 1 2 3
5%
$500 $600 $10,700
$476.19
$544.22
$9,243.06
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Balance Sheet Accounts
• Par Value of Common Shares (can ignore for all
practical purposes)
• Retained earnings
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Book Value per Share
• The book value of a company’s assets attributable to each share of
common stock
Common Shares + Retained Earnings
Number of Shares Outstanding
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Common Shareholder Rights
• Right to vote at shareholder meetings.
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Voting for the Board of Directors
• Majority voting
• Each share carries one vote
• Requires more than 50% of the votes to elect a Director
• Cumulative voting
• Each share carries as many votes as there are Directors
to be elected
• Shareholders may cast all votes for one candidate
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Voting by Proxy
• Shareholders may elect to assign their voting rights to someone else.
36
Common Share Features
• Certificate of ownership
• Classes
• Voting vs. non-voting
37
Common Share Features
• Advantages
• Flexible
• Reduces financial risk
• Disadvantages
• Dilute Earnings Per Share
• Most expensive form of financing
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Common Share Transactions
• Cash Dividend
• Firm pays a portion of retained earnings in cash to shareholders based upon
number of shares owned (i.e. $0.60/share)
• Stock Dividend
• Funds transferred from retained earnings to the common share account.
• Shareholders receive certificate for additional shares.
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Common Share Transactions
• Stock Split
• Firm increases the number of shares outstanding by issuing a specific number
of new shares for every old shares outstanding
• Example: stock splits 3 for 1.
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Common Share Transactions
• Stock Repurchases
• Disposition of excess cash
• Repurchased shares are often cancelled
• Earnings power of remaining shares is increased
• Financial restructuring
• Future corporate needs (stock option plans)
• Reduction of takeover risk
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Valuation of Common Shares
42
Dividend Valuation Models
• Zero growth model
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Dividend Valuation Models
• Zero Growth Model
• The cash flow (dividend) is expected to remain the same
over time.
• Identical to model applied to preferred shares
D1
P0 =
ke
D = Dividend at time period 1
k = Required Rate of Return
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Zero Growth: Example
• Firm ABC currently pays a dividend of $1.00 per share. This is
expected to remain the same into the foreseeable future. If
shareholders require a return of 20% to hold the stock, what is each
share worth in the market?
D1 1.00
P0 =
k e 0.20
$5.00
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Dividend Valuation Models
• Constant Growth Model
• The cash flow (dividend) is expected to increase at a
constant rate over time
D1
P0 =
ke - g
D1 = Dividend in Next Period [D1 = D0 x (1+g)]
k = Required Rate of Return
g = constant growth rate
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Constant Growth: Example
• Yesterday, Tinkerbell Corporation paid a dividend of $1.00 per share.
The dividend is expected to grow at a rate of 5% per year for the
foreseeable future. If the shareholders require a 15% return to hold
Tinkerbell shares, what is each share worth in the market?
D1 D0 1 g
P0 =
ke - g ke - g
1.00 1.05
$10.50
0.15 0.05
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Dividend Valuation Models
• Nonconstant Growth Model
• Many firms grow rapidly for period of time. However, eventually, growth
slows to a long-run sustainable constant rate
• To deal with the nonconstant growth example, we simply present value all
dividends back to time period zero
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Nonconstant Growth: Example
• Tiny Toys Inc. is a new firm that is expected to grow at a 20% rate for
3 years. From then on, growth is expected to be 10% per year. The
firm paid a dividend of $1.00 yesterday. The dividend is expected to
grow at the same rate as the firm’s growth rate. If the shareholders
require a 15% return to hold the common stock, what is each share
worth in the market?
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Nonconstant Growth: Solution
• Draw a time line showing the expected cash flows. Each dividend
must be calculated, using the growth rate for the period.
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Nonconstant Growth: Solution
D1= D0 1+g D3= D2 1+g
= 1.00 1.20 = 1.44 1.20
= $1.20 = $1.73
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Nonconstant Growth: Solution
D1 D2 D3 D4 1
P0= + + +
1+K e 1+Ke 2
1+Ke Ke -g 1+Ke
3 3
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Nonconstant Growth: Helpful Hints
• Draw a timeline
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