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KEY IDEAS FROM ELTON, MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY & INVESTMENT ANALYSIS ...................... 3
KEY IDEAS FROM AMENC, PORTFOLIO THEORY AND PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS, CHAPTER 4 ......... 5
Chapter 5. Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
APPENDIX (OPTIONAL):
Elton & Gruber, Chapter 14: Nonstandard Forms of Capital Asset Pricing Models
Grinold & Kahn, Active Portfolio Management: A Quantitative Approach for Producing
Superior Returns & Controlling Risk, Chapter 7: Expected Returns and the Arbitrage
Pricing Theory
2
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Be prepared to solve for the expected return and variance of a two-asset portfolio; i.e.,
Variance(two-asset portfolio) = X(A)^2*variance(A) + X(B)^2*variance(B) +
2*X(A)*X(B)*covariance(A,B), where X(A) is fraction of portfolio held in A
1
P X X 2 X A X B AB
2
A
2
A
2
B
2
B
2
The minimum variance portfolios are the curve of portfolios that represent the minimum
variance conditional on a given return.
o The global minimum variance portfolio (global MVP) is the portfolio of risky
assets with the minimum variance.
o The efficient frontier includes the dominating portfolios on the upper segment,
starting with the global MVP
o The Market Portfolio has the highest Sharpe ratio among the efficient portfolios
on the efficient frontier
After we introduce (add) the riskfree asset, the (straight-line) CML becomes the
efficient frontier
The SML expresses the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The most likely exam
question in this section is an application of the CAPM
Memorize capital asset pricing model (CAPM): E[R(i)] = Rf + Beta (i,M)*[R(M) - Rf],
Ri RF i RM RF
1 Edwin J. Elton, Martin J. Gruber, Stephen J. Brown and William N. Goetzmann, Modern Portfolio Theory and
Investment Analysis, 9th Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2014)
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Key Ideas from Elton, Modern Portfolio Theory & Investment Analysis2 Continued:
o CAPM in English
Expected return = Price of time + Price of risk * quantity of risk,
where MRP (market risk premium) is price of risk,
beta is quantity of risk, or
2
Edwin J. Elton, Martin J. Gruber, Stephen J. Brown and William N. Goetzmann, Modern Portfolio Theory and
Investment Analysis, 9th Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2014)
4
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Jensen’s alpha is “the excess return equated to alpha plus expected systematic return;” but it is
easier to see that it is simply the difference between the portfolio return, R(p), and the return
that CAPM expects for the portfolio:
E ( RP ) RF P P ( E ( RM ) RF )
Among the other metrics, four are most testable. The Sharpe and Treynor have the same
general intent: “excess return per unit of risk.” As such, they are risk-adjusted performance
metrics (RAPMs). The Treynor assumes that beta is risk, so it considers only systematic risk.
The Sharpe assumes volatility is risk, so it considers total risk.
The other two important metrics are tracking error (TE) and information ration (IR).
The information ratio has three possible definitions, depending on whether we use active
or residual risk/return. GARP should be aware of this issue and you can expect the
question to be specific. More here in a forum post by David
http://www.bionicturtle.com/forum/threads/information-ratio-definition.5554/
You should understand the Sortino ratio conceptually, but as a tedious ex post measure, you
unlikely to need to compute it.
3
Noel Amenc and Veronique Le Sourd, Portfolio Theory and Performance Analysis (West Sussex, England: John
Wiley & Sons, 2003)
5
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20.8.1. The plot below illustrates an actual portfolio possibilities curve (PPC, dashed line). Two
prominent portfolios (minimum variance and market portfolio) are also plotted.
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20.8.2. Consider the market portfolio plus three other portfolios (A, B, C) with the following
features while the riskfree rate is 3.0%:
Please note the returns are expected gross returns; e.g., the market's expected return is 9.0%
so that its expected excess return is 6.0%. If we assume the capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
is valid then which of the following statements is TRUE?
a) Portfolio A is mispriced or it cannot exist in equilibrium due to both its beta and standard
deviation
b) Portfolio B is mispriced or it cannot exist in equilibrium due to its standard deviation
c) Portfolio C is mispriced or it cannot exist in equilibrium due to its beta
d) All three portfolios can exist in equilibrium under the CAPM
20.8.3. Assume the riskfree rate is 3.0% while the market portfolio has a return of 13.0% (i.e.,
excess return is 10.0%) with volatility of 15.0%. Further, the following four portfolios are
observed:
Portfolio (A) has an expected return of 11.0% with volatility of 8.0%
Portfolio (B) has an expected return of 7.0% with volatility of 20.0% and its correlation to
the market is 0.30
Portfolio (C) has a beta with respect to the market β(C, M) = 1.50 and its realized return
of +20.0% implies an alpha of +2.0% while its correlation to the market is 0.50
Portfolio (D) has a beta with respect to the market β(C, M) = 0.40 and its realized return
of +9.0% implies an alpha of +2.0% while its correlation to the market is 0.50
Under the conditions of modern portfolio theory (MPT; mean-variance framework) and the
capital asset pricing model (CAPM), each of the above portfolios is valid and plausible EXCEPT
which is not possible?
a) Portfolio A
b) Portfolio B
c) Portfolio C
d) Portfolio D
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Answers:
20.8.1. A. True: the CML is here given by E(R) = 0.040 + 0.511 × σ(P)
The capital market line (CML) must have the y-intercept intercept at the riskfree rate, which was
given as 4.0%. Its tangent is the market portfolio. The slope of the CML is the market portfolio's
Sharpe ratio, which is (11.0% - 4.0%)/13.7%. Therefore, the CML is given by E(R) = 0.040 +
(0.110 - 0.040)/0.1370 × σ(P) = 0.040 + 0.511× σ(P).
20.8.2. C. TRUE: Portfolio C is mispriced or it cannot exist in equilibrium due to its beta
The market's Treynor ratio is (9.0% - 3.0%) / 1.0 = 0.060. But Portfolio C has a Treynor ratio of
(13.0% - 3.0%)/1.4 = 0.0714; it is above the SML, with a Jensen's alpha of α = 13.0% - 3.0% -
1.4 × (9.0% - 3.0%) = +0.40%. As these are expected returns, this is not possible under CAPM
equilibrium. In regard to (A), (B) and (D), each is FALSE:
Portfolio A has a Treynor of 0.060 (i.e., on the SML) and Sharpe ratio of (7.8% - 3.0%) /
30.0% = 0.160
Portfolio B has a Treynor of 0.060 (i.e., on the SML) and Sharpe ratio of (10.2% - 3.0%) /
26.0% = 0.277. It is true that Portfolio B, when compared to Portfolio A, has higher return
and lower standard deviation (as evidenced by it higher Sharpe ratio). Portfolio B is
clearly more efficient than Portfolio A. This is not a violation of CAPM unless a portfolio
has a higher Sharpe than the market portfolio: the market portfolio, being the most
efficient, must have the highest Sharpe ratio. Indeed, the market portfolio's Sharpe ratio
of (9.0% - 3.0%) / 20.0% = 0.30 is the highest.
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20.8.3. A. Portfolio A is unrealistic because it is "more efficient" than the Market portfolio:
it has a Sharpe ratio of 1.0 versus the market portfolio's Sharpe ratio of (13% - 3%)/15% =
0.667.
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20.9.1. The riskfree rate is 3.0% and the market portfolio's expected return is 10.0% (put
another way, the market's excess expected return is 7.0%). Consider two portfolios:
Portfolio A has a high volatility, σ(A) = 50.0% per annum, but its correlation to the market
portfolio is only, ρ(A, M) = 0.30
Portfolio B has a moderate volatility, σ(B) = 30.0% per annum, and its correlation to the
market portfolio is, ρ(B, M) = 0.70
If both portfolios lie on the security market line (SML), and if Portfolio A has an expected return,
ER(A) = 7.20%, then what is the expected return of Portfolio B?
a) 5.100%
b) 7.900%
c) 8.880%.
d) 9.540%
20.9.2. Let Rm(P) denote the monthly return of the portfolio and Rm(B) denote the monthly
return of its benchmark. Over a three-year measurement period, the following statistics are
calculated:
The average monthly return for, respectively, the portfolio and the benchmark was
Rm(P) = 8.50% and Rm(B) = 6.90%; therefore, on average, the portfolio outperformed
its benchmark by +1.60%.
The monthly standard deviation of the difference between the portfolio's and
benchmark's return, σ[Rm(P) - Rm(B)] = 11.80%
A regression of the portfolio's excess return against the benchmark's excess return
produced the sample regression function, ERm(P) = -0.0140 + 1.35 * ERm(B); therefore,
the regression intercept (aka, alpha) is -1.40%
The standard error of the regression (SER), which approximates the volatility of alpha,
σ(α), is 11.0%
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20.9.3. During a 36-month period during which the risk-free rate was 2.0%, consider a
comparison between the market portfolio and two fund managers, Betty and Peter:
The market portfolio's excess return was +6.0% (its gross return was +8.0%) with a
volatility of 24.0% per annum
Peter's portfolio's excess return was +7.0% (his gross return was + 9.0%) with a volatility
of 36.0% per annum and beta, β(P,M) = 0.750
Betty's portfolio's excess return was +11.0% (her gross return was + 13.0%) with a
volatility of 44.0% per annum and beta, β(B,M) = 1.650
If the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is valid, then each of the following statements is true
EXCEPT which is false?
a) If the investor is diversified (or the portfolio represents only a fraction of the investor's
entire wealth), the Treynor (TPI) is a good measure and Peter's TPI is better than Betty's
b) If the investor is not diversified (or the portfolio represents the investor's entire wealth),
the Sharpe (SPI) is a good measure and Betty's SPI is better than Peter's
c) Betty's portfolio already lies on the efficient frontier such that we do not expect her to
sustain further improvement in the reward-to-variability ratio
d) If Betty's and Peter's portfolio belong to different peer groups, Jensen's alpha is a good
measure for ranking them and Betty's (Jensen's) alpha is better than Peter's
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Answers:
If the both portfolios lie on the SML, then ER(A) = Rf + β(A,M) *[ER(M) - Rf] and ER(B) = Rf +
β(B,M) *[ER(M) - Rf]. We can infer Portfolio A's beta: since 7.20% = 3.0% + β(A, M) * 7.0%, β(A,
M) = 0.60. And since β(A, M) = ρ(A, M)*σ(A)/σ(M), we can infer that σ(M) = [ρ(A, M)*σ(A)]/β(A,
M) = [0.30*0.50]/0.60 = 0.25. Then we can compute the beta of portfolio B: β(B, M) = ρ(B,
M)*σ(B)/σ(M) = 0.70*0.30/0.25 = 0.840. The expected return of of portfolio B is given by ER(B)
= 3.0% + 0.840 * 7.0% = 8.880%.
20.9.2. B. True: The (both annualized) active information ratio is +0.470 and the residual
information ratio is -0.441
The active IR = (active return) / (active risk; aka, tracking error) = +1.60% / 11.80% per month,
when annualized is (+1.60% * 12) / [11.80% * sqrt (12)] = +1.60% / 11.80% * sqrt (12) = +0.470
The residual IR = alpha / σ(alpha) = -1.40% / 11.0%, which annualized is given by -1.40% /
11.0% * sqrt(12) = -0.441
20.9.3. D. False, doubly: if the portfolios belong in SIMILAR peer groups (i.e., similar risk
levels), Jensen's alpha is good for ranking and Peter's is better than Betty's
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403.1. Assume the slope of the security market line (SML) is 0.060 while the riskfree rate is
2.0%. What is the Treynor measure of a security with an alpha of 2.40% and beta of 0.30?
a) 0.140
b) 0.280
c) 0.560
d) 1.120
403.2. A portfolio with a volatility of 30.0% has a Treynor measure of 0.080. The portfolio has a
correlation of 0.50 with the market index which itself has a volatility of 20.0%. What is the
portfolio's Sharpe measure?
a) 0.095
b) 0.200
c) 0.330
d) 0.475
403.3. Assume the market index return is 8.0% while the risk-free rate is 3.0%. A portfolio with a
volatility of 12.0% has a Sharpe measure of 0.50 and a Treynor measure of 0.20. What is the
portfolio's alpha?
a) -2.79%
b) 1.16%
c) 3.83%
d) 4.50%
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Answers:
403.1. A. 0.140
The slope of the SML is the market's excess return such that the security's excess return is
4.20% = 0.060*0.30 + 2.40%
403.2. B. 0.200
403.3. D. 4.50%
The portfolio's excess return = Sharpe*volatility = 0.50*12% = 6.0%, such that its beta = (excess
return)/Treynor = 6.0%/0.20 = 0.30.
Portfolio alpha = (portfolio's excess return) - beta*(market premium) = 6.0% - 0.30*5.0% =
4.50%.
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404.1. Over the previous twelve (12) months, Analyst Robert regressed Portfolio (P) excess
returns against the Benchmark (M) excess returns:
As shown above, the regression equation is given by P = 0.0171 + 0.8195*M. Further, the
standard error of the regression (SER) is 0.0180; this SER can be considered the ex ante
tracking error because it is the square root of the variance of the regression's residual
(prediction error). Which is nearest to the residual-based information ratio (IR)?
a) 0.655
b) 0.728
c) 0.833
d) 0.950
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The final two rows show the average and sample standard deviation of the monthly return
statistics. Which is nearest to the annualized ex-post (active-based) information ratio (IR)?
a) 0.404
b) 0.651
c) 0.950
d) 1.237
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Answers:
404.1. D. 0.950. Information ratio (IR) = alpha/[tracking error] = 0.0171/0.0180 = 0.950, as the
regression intercept is alpha.
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61.1. Which of the following is a DIFFERENCE between the capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
and the capital market line (CML)
a) The CML does not include the riskfree asset, but CAPM does
b) CAPM is a special case of the CML, where the portfolio is diversified and efficient
c) In CAPM, risk is systematic (beta) since it can apply to inefficient portfolios; but in CML,
risk is total (volatility) since it only includes efficient portfolios
d) CAPM assumes the portfolio is diversified and efficient, but CML allows for un-diversified
and/or inefficient portfolios
61.2. A security will produce only two cash flows: $100 at the end of the first year, and $100 at
the end of the second year. The riskfree rate is 3.0% and the Market's expected return is 8.0%.
The security's volatility is 24.0% and the Market's volatility is 15.0%; the correlation (rho)
between the security and the Market is 0.70. Under the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) with
annual discounting, what is the present value of the security?
a) $169.01
b) $176.87
c) $185.95
d) $191.35
61.3. During the most recent period, a Portfolio returned 10.3% when the Market return was
only 8.0%. The riskfree rate was 2.0%. The Market's return was 8.0% with volatility of 29.0%.
Finally, the covariance between the portfolio and Market was 0.134560. Under the CAPM, did
the portfolio outperform?
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Answers:
61.1. C. In CAPM, risk is systematic (beta) since it can apply to inefficient portfolios; but
in CML, risk is total (volatility) since it only includes efficient portfolios
In regard to (B), the inverse is true: CML is a special case of SML (CAPM) where the
portfolio is efficient and perfectly correlated to the market portfolio; i.e., ρ(i,M) = 1.0.
61.2. B. $176.87
Beta (i,M) = covariance(i, M)/variance(M) = 24%*15%*0.70/15%^2 = 1.12
CAPM: E[R(i)] = Rf + Beta (i,M)*[R(M) - Rf] = 3% + 1.12*(8%-3%) = 8.60%
PV (annual compounding) = $100/(1.086) + $100/(1.086)^2 = $176.87
61.3. A
The market risk premium = 8% - 2% = 6%.
Beta (i,M) = covariance(i, M)/variance(M) = 0.134560 / 29%^2 = 1.60.
Under CAPM, the E[portfolio return] = Rf + Beta (i,M)*[R(M) - Rf] = 2% + 1.60*6% =
11.60%.
The Jensen's alpha is 10.3% - 11.6% = -1.30%.
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31.1 A portfolio has a correlation of 0.40 with the overall market and produces a Sharpe ratio of
0.2. If the market’s volatility is 20%, what is the portfolio’s Treynor ratio? (take your time...)
a) 4.0%
b) 6.0%
c) 10.0%
d) Not enough information
31.2 Assume the riskfree rate is 3.0% and the price of risk (excess market return) is 5.0%. A
manager’s portfolio produces a return of 9.0% with 30% volatility and a CAPM beta of 0.8 (i.e.,
quantity of risk = 0.8). What is the (ex post or realized) Sharpe ratio?
a) 0.0
b) 0.2
c) 0.4
d) 0.6
31.5 Which is best for RANKING portfolios with the same beta (within peer groups)?
a) Treynor
b) Sharpe
c) Jensen’s
d) None
31.6 Which is BEST for evaluating portfolios that are NOT very well-diversified?
a) Treynor
b) Sharpe
c) Jensen’s
d) None
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Answers:
31.1. C.
Sharpe = Excess return / volatility and Treynor = Excess return / beta.
Since beta = correlation(M,P)*volatility(P)/volatility(M),
Treynor = Excess return / [correlation(M,P)*volatility(P)/volatility(M)], and
Treynor = Excess return * 1/correlation (M,P) * volatility(M)/volatility(P), and
Treynor = Excess return/volatility (P) * volatility(M)/correlation (M,P), such that
Treynor = Sharpe ratio * volatility(M)/correlation (M,P)
31.5. C (Jensen’s)
“The Jensen alpha can be used to rank portfolios within peer groups. Peer groups were
presented in Chapter 2. They group together portfolios that are managed in a similar manner,
and that therefore have comparable levels of risk.”4
31.6. B. If they are not well diversified, then the idiosyncratic risk will not be eliminated to zero;
therefore, volatility (total risk including idiosyncratic) rather than beta (only systemic risk) should
be used.
4
Noel Amenc and Veronique Le Sourd, Portfolio Theory and Performance Analysis (West Sussex, England: John
Wiley & Sons, 2003)
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32.2 IF we would like to be 95% confident that alpha is significant, how many years do we need
to observe?
a) 10
b) 64
c) 125
d) 384
32.4 If a portfolio’s volatility (i.e., annualized standard deviation) was 24%, what is the tracking
error (TE) if the benchmark is cash with a constant return of 2% and no volatility?
a) Less than 24%
b) 24%
c) Greater than 24%
d) Need more information
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Answers:
32.1. A. 0.10
Alpha = 10% - (1.2 beta * 5% ERP) - 3% riskfree rate = 1%.
IR = alpha/TE = 1%/10% = 0.10
... please note that (B) is tempting because alpha of 10% - 8% is tempting. However, that is
active return not residual return (alpha).
32.3. D. 1.6
(10%-2%)/5% = 1.6
32.4 B. 24%
VAR(A - B) = VAR(A) + VAR(B) - 2*COV(A,B), and if VAR(B) = 0, then
VAR (A-B) = VAR(A) + 0 - 0 = VAR(A)
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26.1 Assume the expected return on the market portfolio is 15.0% with volatility of 12.8%. The
risk-free rate is 4%.
a) What is the market portfolio's Sharpe ratio?
b) What is the slope of the CML?
c) What is the Sharpe ratio of a portfolio equally allocated between the riskfree asset (50%)
and the market portfolio (50%)?
d) What is the beta of a portfolio equally allocated between the risk-free asset (50%) and
the market portfolio (50%)?
e) What is the function that characterizes the CML here, in slope-intercept form?
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Answers:
26.1
a) Sharpe = excess return / volatility = (15% - 4%) / 12.8% = ~0.86
b) 0.86, the same as the Sharpe. The slope of CML = rise/run = E(market return) - riskfree
/volatility = ~0.86.
c) 0.86, no calculation is necessary: all the portfolios on the CML have the same Sharpe
ratio. In this case, the 50/50 portfolio has expected return of ~9.5% and volatility of
~6.4% (i.e., 50% * 12.8%) which gives a Sharpe ratio of (9.5-4%)/6.4% = 0.86
d) As beta is a linear combination and the beta of the riskfree asset is zero, the beta is 0.5
(50% * 1). Or, equivalently: E(portfolio return) = riskfree + beta * E(excess market
return), such that, beta = E(excess portfolio return)/E(excess market return), in this case:
beta = (9.5% - 4%) / (15% - 4%) = 0.5
e) CML can be given by: E(portfolio return) = 4% + 0.86*volatility(portfolio)
On the other hand, SML can be given by: E(portfolio return) = 4% + (% invested in
market portfolio)*11%, if the only choice is between market portfolio (beta = 1.0) and
risk-free asset (beta=0) such that (% invested in market portfolio) = beta, since 11% is
the market's excess return.
26.2
a) True. After the addition of the riskfree asset, the (linear) CML is the efficient frontier
b) True! The allocation decision is only between the market portfolio of risky assets and the
riskless asset; under the assumptions, it can be shown that alternative mixes of risky
assets are suboptimal
c) False. All points on the CML have the same Sharpe ratio and are equally efficient, this
mix choice is a matter of individual risk aversion
True! This is the key (unrealistic) assumption required to validate the findings; this is the
condition that justifies a single consensus market portfolio. From Amenc: “Up until now
we have only considered the case of an isolated investor. By now assuming that all
investors have the same expectations concerning assets, they all then have the same
return, variance and covariance values and construct the same efficient frontier of risky
assets. In the presence of a risk-free asset, the reasoning employed for one investor is
applied to all investors. The latter therefore all choose to divide their investment between
the risk-free asset and the same risky asset portfolio M.5”
5
Noel Amenc and Veronique Le Sourd, Portfolio Theory and Performance Analysis (West Sussex, England: John
Wiley & Sons, 2003)
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28.1 Assume the riskfree rate is 4% and the expected (overall) market return is 12% with 20%
volatility. Our portfolio (P) has volatility of 30% and a correlation with the market of 0.4.
According to CAPM, what is the portfolio’s expected return?
a) 6.0%
b) 8.8%
c) 11.2%
d) 12.0%
28.2 CAPM assumptions: Which of the following is NOT an underlying assumption of the CAPM
model?
a) Investors only consider the first two moments of return distribution: the expected return
and the variance
b) All investors have the same forecast return, variance and covariance expectations for all
assets
c) All investors prefer to be fully invested in the market portfolio
d) Markets are perfect: there are no taxes and no transaction costs. All assets are traded
and are infinitely divisible
28.3 CAPM contributions: According to CAPM, what is the expected return of diversifiable
(idiosyncratic) risk?
a) Zero
b) Beta
c) Beta * Excess Market Return
d) Riskless rate + (Beta * Excess Market Return)
28.4 CAPM limitations: In order for CAPM to hold, markets must exhibit the STRONG form of
efficiency; is it NOT enough that markets are weak- or semi-strong efficient. Which assumption
is the key to achieving the strong form market efficiency that supports the CAPM conclusion?
a) Investors are risk averse
b) Investors only care about first two moments
c) All investors make the same forecasts concerning the assets
d) Markets are frictionless, without taxes and transaction costs, with infinitely divisible
assets
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28.1. B. 8.8%
beta = cov(P,M)/variance(M) = (20%*30%*0.4)/20%^2 = 0.6
CAPM says E(P return) = 4% + 0.6*(12%-4%) = 8.8%
The market portfolio is the MOST EFFICIENT mix of risky assets but the CAPM does not restrict
all investors to prefer a beta of 1.0.
28.3 A. Zero
The CAPM is a SINGLE-FACTOR model that says expected return is a function of SYSTEMIC
RISK (beta); in the diversified portfolio, unsystematic risk is eliminated and receives no
compensation. Amenc: “The unsystematic risk, which is also called the diversifiable risk, is not
rewarded by the market. In fact, it can be eliminated by constructing diversified portfolios. The
correct measure of risk for an individual asset is therefore the beta, and its reward is called the
risk premium. The asset betas can be aggregated: the beta of a portfolio is obtained as a linear
combination of the betas of the assets that make up the portfolio. According to the CAPM, the
diversifiable risk component of each security is zero at equilibrium…6”
28.4 C. All investors make the same forecasts concerning the assets
Investor homogeneity is arguably the most important, and unrealistic (!), assumption.
Here is the very crux of CAPM and its Achilles’ heel: “The demonstration of the CAPM is
based on the efficiency of the market portfolio at equilibrium. This efficiency is a consequence of
the assumption that all investors make the same forecasts concerning the assets. They all
construct the same efficient frontier of risky assets and choose to invest only in the efficient
portfolios on this frontier. Since the market is the aggregation of the individual investors’
portfolios, i.e. a set of efficient portfolios, the market portfolio is efficient. In the absence of this
assumption of homogeneous investor forecasts, we are no longer assured of the efficiency of
the market portfolio, and consequently of the validity of the equilibrium model. The theory of
market efficiency is therefore closely linked to that of the CAPM. It is not possible to test the
validity of one without the other. This problem constitutes an important point in Roll’s criticism of
the model. We will come back to this in more detail at the end of the chapter.6”
6
Noel Amenc and Veronique Le Sourd, Portfolio Theory and Performance Analysis (West Sussex, England: John
Wiley & Sons, 2003)
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APPENDIX (OPTIONAL):
Please note: Elton & Gruber’s Chapter 5 (“Delineating Efficient Portfolios”) was
previously assigned in the FRM but removed in 2014. However, we have retained these
practice questions as the concepts continue to be highly relevant. Elton & Gruber’s
Chapter 14 (Nonstandard CAPM), on the other hand, we have relegated to the Appendix:
it was also previously assigned but removed in 2014; however, we do not consider them
highly relevant.
57.1. A portfolio is invested equally in two asset classes: bonds with expected return of 3.0%
per annum and volatility of 18.0%; equities with expected return of 7.0% per annum and
volatility of 26.0%. Their correlation is 0.40. If the portfolio re-allocates from equally weighting to
60% equities and 40% bonds, what is the net change to the portfolio's expected return?
a) No change to portfolio's expected return
b) Increase of 0.4%
c) Increase of 0.8%
d) Increase of 1.2%
57.2. A portfolio is invested equally in two asset classes: 50% in bonds with expected return of
4.0% per annum and volatility of 20.0%; equities with expected return of 9.0% per annum and
volatility of 32.0%. If the portfolio's variance is 0.04520, what is the implied correlation (of
returns) between bonds and equities?
a) zero
b) 0.019
c) 0.300
d) 0.467
57.3. A portfolio is 40% invested in Colonel Motors stock which has a volatility of 18.0% per
annum and 60% invested in Separated Edison which has a volatility of 38.0% per annum. Their
correlation is 0.24. Assuming the mean daily return is zero, what is the 1-day 99% confident
delta-normal value at risk of the portfolio? i.e., the delta-normal VaR with a holding period of one
day and a confidence level of 99%. Assume 250 trading days per year.
a) 1.61%
b) 1.90%
c) 2.65%
d) 3.75%
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Answers:
57.2. C. 0.300
Since variance(portfolio) = X(A)^2*variance(A) + X(B)^2*variance(B) +
2*X(A)*X(B)*covariance(A,B), where X(A) is fraction of portfolio held in A, per Elton & Gruber:
2*X(A)*X(B)*covariance(A,B) = variance(portfolio) - X(A)^2*variance(A) - X(B)^2*variance(B);
covariance(A,B) = [variance(portfolio) - X(A)^2*variance(A) - X(B)^2*variance(B)] /
[2*X(A)*X(B)];
StdDev(A)*StdDev(B)*correlation(A,B) = [variance(portfolio) - X(A)^2*variance(A) -
X(B)^2*variance(B)] / [2*X(A)*X(B)];
correlation(A,B) = [variance(portfolio) - X(A)^2*variance(A) - X(B)^2*variance(B)] /
[2*X(A)*X(B)*StdDev(A)*StdDev(B)]; in this case,
correlation(A,B) = [0.04520 - 50%^2*20%^2 - 50%^2*32%^2] / [2*50%*50%*20%*32%] = 0.30
57.3. D. 3.75%
The annual portfolio volatility = SQRT(40%^2*18%^2 + 60%^2*38%^2 +
2*40%*60%*18%*38%*0.24) = 25.5044%;
The daily portfolio volatility = 25.5044% / SQRT(250) = 1.6130%.
99% VaR = 1.6130% * 2.33 = 3.752%
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59.1. A portfolio contains only two assets. The first asset (a) has volatility of 9.0% and the
second asset (b) has volatility of 16.0%. If the assets are uncorrelated, what is nearest to the
weight in the first asset (a) in the minimum variance portfolio?
a) 43.75%
b) 56.25%
c) 75.96%
d) 100.0%
59.2. The market portfolio (M) contains the optimal allocation of only risky assets and no risky
assets. Let the (S1) be the Sharpe ratio of this market portfolio. There exists a risk-free asset.
Initially, an investor is fully (100%) invested in (M) with a portfolio Sharpe ratio of (S1).
Subsequently, the investor borrows 30% at the risk-free rate, such that she is 130% invested in
the market portfolio (M) where this leverage portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of (S2). After the
leverage (i.e., borrowing at the riskfree rate to invest +30% in M), is the investor still on the
efficient frontier and how do the Sharpe ratios?
59.3. According to Elton & Gruber, which of the following statements is true?
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59.1. C. 75.96%
In this case of zero correlation, the weight allocated to asset (A) in the minimum variance
portfolio = 16%^2/(16%^2 + 9%^2) = 75.9644%.
We can derive this by taking the first partial derivative:
variance(portfolio) = w(a)^2*sigma(a)^2 + w(b)^2*sigma(b)^2 + 0;
variance(portfolio) = w(a)^2*sigma(a)^2 + [1 - w(a)]^2*sigma(b)^2 + 0;
d variance(p) / d w(a) = 2*[w(a)*sigma(a)^2 - sigma(b)^2 + w(a)*sigma(b)^2], setting
equal to zero and solving for w(a):
0 = 2*[w(a)*sigma(a)^2 - sigma(b)^2 + w(a)*sigma(b)^2];
0 = w(a)*sigma(a)^2 - sigma(b)^2 + w(a)*sigma(b)^2;
w(a) = sigma(b)^2/[sigma(a)^2 + sigma(b)^2].
The ability to borrowing or lend morphs the concave/convex efficient frontier into the
linear CML; i.e., the leveraged portfolio is efficient with higher risk and higher return.
All portfolios on the CML have the same Sharpe ratio: the slope of the CML.
7
Edwin J. Elton, Martin J. Gruber, Stephen J. Brown, William N. Goetzmann, Modern Portfolio Theory and
Investment Analysis (John Wiley & Sons, Nov 16, 2009)
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62.1. The standard CAPM makes several unrealistic assumptions (ten, according to Elton!) in
order to prove a general equilibrium relationship. The financial literature includes many analyses
of an equilibrium relationship in the event that some of these restrictive assumptions are relaxed
or violated, including: disallowing short sales; inability to borrow at the riskless rate; the
introduction of capital gains and income (divided) tax rates; the presence of nonmarketable
assets; and heterogeneous expectations. Which of the following statements most nearly
summarizes the viability of relaxing the assumptions of the standard CAPM?
a) The CAPM is "simply not robust" to any relaxation of assumption; even weakly,
equilibrium requires all assumptions
b) The CAPM is "restrictively robust" to the introduction of personal taxes, but equilibrium
"generally fails" if either short sales are disallowed or investors cannot borrow at the
riskfree rate
c) The CAPM is "remarkably robust" (an general equilibrium relationship exists) to the
relaxation (or violation) of any ONE of these assumptions
d) The CAPM is "remarkably robust" (an general equilibrium relationship exists) to the
simultaneous relaxation (and violation) of ALL assumptions
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62.2. One assumption of the standard CAPM is unlimited lending and borrowing at the riskless
rate: "The investor can lend or borrow any amount of funds desired at a rate of interest equal to
the rate for riskless securities.8" If this assumption is eliminated, such that investor can neither
lend nor borrow at the riskfree rate, Elton shows that the zero-beta CAPM follows. Each of the
following is TRUE about the zero-beta CAPM EXCEPT:
a) Zero-beta CAPM still implies a security market line (SML), although the slope and
intercept are different
b) Zero-beta CAPM still has all investors holding the same portfolio in equilibrium
c) In the Zero-beta CAPM the market portfolio is still efficient
d) Although there is no riskless asset in the zero-beta CAPM, theoretically a riskless
portfolio (zero standard deviation) is possible
62.3. The consumption-oriented CAPM is directly analogous to the simple form of the CAPM.
But which of the following most nearly summarizes the key difference?
a) The consumption-oriented CAPM replaces the single common factor, switching the
CAPM's excess return on the market portfolio with the growth rate in per capita
consumption
b) The consumption-oriented CAPM adds an additional factor such that its two common
factors include both the market risk premium (market's price of risk) and per capita
consumption growth
c) The consumption-oriented CAPM exhibits a non-linear relationship between expected
return and per capita consumption growth
d) It is false that the consumption-oriented CAPM is analogous to CAPM
8
Edwin J. Elton, Martin J. Gruber, Stephen J. Brown, William N. Goetzmann, Modern Portfolio Theory and
Investment Analysis (John Wiley & Sons, Nov 16, 2009)
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62.1. C. The CAPM is remarkably robust (an general equilibrium relationship exists) to
the relaxation (violation) of any ONE of these assumptions
As the assumptions are relaxed/violated, the reading generally shows how an alternative
equilibrium model can be derived. However, this is not the case simultaneously.
In regard to (A) and (B), please note the reading makes a point to demonstrate CAPM
is robust to disallowing short sales and the absence of riskfree borrowing/lending.
62.3. A. The consumption-oriented CAPM replaces the single common factor, switching
the CAPM's excess return on the market portfolio with the growth rate in per capita
consumption
In regard to (B), CCAPM still assumes single common factor exposure (a limitation, to
be sure).
In regard to (C), CCAPM posits a linear relationship
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63.1. Each of the following is an assumption of the arbitrage pricing model (APM) EXCEPT for:
a) Homogeneous expectations
b) A security (stock) is linearly related to a set of indexes (factors); i.e., linearity assumption
c) Investors utilize a mean-variance framework
d) Error terms are uncorrelated; i.e., E(e(i),e(j)] = 0
63.2. Your colleague Robert uses a two-factor model in order to estimate the volatility of a
Portfolio. He specifies the covariance matrix as follows:
The Portfolio has the following factor sensitivities (i.e., betas): 0.60 to the Global Equity Factor
and 0.25 to the Global Bond Factor. The volatility of the Portfolio is nearest to which value?
a) 16.44%
b) 18.60%
c) 21.15%
d) 25.30%
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63.3. In order to determine the covariance between Markets A and B, you develop the following
factor covariance matrix using a two-factor model:
Suppose that Market A exhibits the following factor sensitivities: 0.80 to the GDP Factor and
0.10 to the Interest Rate factor. Market B exhibits the following factor sensitivities: 0.70 to GDP
and 0.20 to Interest Rates. Which value is nearest to the covariance between Market A and
Market B? (note: this is a variation on GARP's actual sample question in 2011 Practice Exam,
Part 1, Exam 1, Question 6).
a) 0.0028
b) 0.0075
c) 0.0164
d) 0.1259
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63.1. C. In APT, the CAPM assumption that investors utilize a mean-variance framework
is replace by an assumption of the process generating security returns.
63.2. D. 25.30%
63.3. C. 0.0164
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a) Factor exposure
b) Factor return
c) Factor correlations
d) Specific (idiosyncratic) return
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34.1. C
APT gives expected return (first moment) as a linear combination of factors in which
correlation does not enter; rather, correlation impacts variance/volatility (second
moment).
34.2 True
a) True
b) False. Grinold: "The flexibility of the APT makes it INAPPROPRIATE as a model for
consensus expected returns, but an APPROPRIATE model for a manager's expected
returns.9"
c) True. The APT is flexible in regard to factors. Says Grinold, "the theory doesn't say what
the factors are, how to calculate a stock's exposure to the factors, or what the weights
should be in the linear combination. This is where science steps out and art steps in.9 "
d) False. Although the factors exposures are "weights" on the factor forecasts, they will not
sum to 1.0 exceed by unlikely coincidence
e) False. Consistent with (c) above
f) True (!). CAPM is APT but with only one factor (factor = excess overall market return).
9
Richard Grinold and Ronald Kahn, Active Portfolio Management: A Quantitative Approach for Producing Superior
Returns and Controlling Risk, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw‐Hill, 1999).
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Assume the following set of stocks (adapted from Grinold10 Tables 7.1 and 7.2).
Please note: Two industry classifications: expected excess return is 8.0% for the chemical
industry and 6.0% for all other industries. The factor forecasts are (top row): 2.0% for Growth,
2.5% for Bond, -1.5% for Size, and 0.0% for ROE. The CAPM excess market return (aka, equity
risk premium) is 6.0%.
10
Richard Grinold and Ronald Kahn, Active Portfolio Management: A Quantitative Approach for Producing Superior
Returns and Controlling Risk, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw‐Hill, 1999).
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Answers:
35.1 B.
6% industry + (-0.20 * 2.0%) + (0.80 * 2.5%) + (1.5 * -1.5%) + (-0.60 * 0%) = 5.35%
35.2 A
8% industry + (-0.60 * 2.0%) + (-0.90 * 2.5%) + (0.50 * -1.5%) + (0.20 * 0%) = 3.80%
35.3 A
0.8 beta * 6.0% ERP = 4.80% excess return
35.4 C.
1.1 beta * 6.0% ERP = 6.60% excess return
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36.2 Beta in CAPM is a single-factor analog to the multiple factor exposures (a.k.a., factor
loadings) in APT. What is, respectively, an average beta and an average APT factor exposure
per Grinold’s approach?
a) 0.0 (beta) and 0.0 (factor loading)
b) 0.0 and 1.0
c) 1.0 and 0.0
d) 1.0 and 1.0
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36.1 D.
Both are linear factor models. In regard, to (C), APT can use market-related, macro,
fundamental, firm-specific, and/or statistical factors. But (D) is a key difference: APT
does not require that a market portfolio of all risky assets.
... Recall this requirement is a critical weakness of CAPM Grinold: “The APT is
marvelously flexible. We can concentrate on any desired group of stocks. Among any
group of N stocks, there will be an efficient frontier for portfolios made up of the N risky
stocks11.”
11
Richard Grinold and Ronald Kahn, Active Portfolio Management: A Quantitative Approach for Producing Superior
Returns and Controlling Risk, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw‐Hill, 1999).
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38.1 Assume a manager can forecast expected returns on 40 stocks but she can only forecast
10 APT factors. How much more skill in forecasting the factors is required, relative to skill in
forecasting the stocks, in order to produce the same value add?
a) 1x (same)
b) 2.0x (double)
c) 3.0x
d) 4.0x
a) fundamental, stationary
b) fundamental, non-stationary
c) statistical, stationary
d) statistical, non-stationary
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38.1 B.
Value add = Function [IC^2 * BR] = Function [skill^2 * breadth]
In this case, equivalent value-add is when:
40 breadth * skill ^2 = 10 breadth * (m * skill) ^ 2, such that
40b * s^2 = 10b * m^2 * s^2, and
40b = 10b * m^2,
m = SQRT(4) = 2.0
38.2 A.
Stationary makes the use of backcast more reliable: "The simplest approach to forecasting mk
[the factor] is to calculate a history of factor returns and take their average. This is the forecast
that would have worked best in the past—i.e., a backcast rather than a forecast. If we hope that
the past average helps in the future, we are implicitly assuming an element of stationarity in the
market.12"...
In regard to fundamental versus statistical, "Factor forecasts are easier if there is some
explicit link between the factors and our intuition. Consider, for example, a "bond market beta"
factor. This factor will show how the stock will react as bond prices (i.e., interest rates) change.
A forecast for this factor is in fact a forecast for the bond market. This doesn't mean that
forecasting future interest rates is easy. It means that the knowledge that you are, in fact,
forecasting interest rates should make the task clearer.12 "
12
Richard Grinold and Ronald Kahn, Active Portfolio Management: A Quantitative Approach for Producing Superior
Returns and Controlling Risk, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw‐Hill, 1999).
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39.1 Which of the following type of factors are most likely to appear in a principal component
analysis (PCA)?
a) Macroeconomic
b) Fundamental (e.g., EPS growth, ROE)
c) Market-related (e.g., industry, beta)
d) None of the above
a) MLE
b) BARRA
c) Fama-French three-factor model
d) CAPM
39.3 Assume a BARRA model that starts with the identification of fundamental or market
FACTOR EXPOSURES (e.g., industry, size). What is the most likely next step in the
construction of an APT model?
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39.1 D. The others are all “structural.” PCA is a statistical model in which the factors have no
interpretation.
39.3 C.
Grinold on Structural Model 113: “Given Exposures, Estimate Factor Returns” The BARRA
model, described in detail in Chap. 3, “Risk,” can function as an APT model. As we saw above,
it qualifies with ease, and it is just as easy (i.e., not very) to forecast returns to the BARRA
factors as to any others. The BARRA model takes the factor exposures as given based on
current characteristics of the stocks, such as their earnings yield and relative size. The factor
returns are estimates.”... Per the rest of Grinold, multivariate linear regression is the most likely
approach to estimating the factor returns13.
13
Richard Grinold and Ronald Kahn, Active Portfolio Management: A Quantitative Approach for Producing Superior
Returns and Controlling Risk, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw‐Hill, 1999).
48