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Stock

2020 Q3
Guide
Risk Management:
Fine-Tuning Your Offense and Defense

Feature Article: Interview: Good Trade/ Ask a Portfolio


Risk Management David Ryan Bad Trade Manager
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Stock Guide // 2020 Q3
Risk: Like it or not, it’s an aspect stories about what he learned working
that every investor should become alongside William O’Neil.
comfortable with. It’s natural to feel
emotions when your hard-earned In Good Trade / Bad Trade,
money is on the line, but those same MarketSmith Product Coach Daniel
emotions can cloud your judgment Melgoza opens the books on two of his
and lead to big losses when you recent trades. He practiced patience
pursue strategies based on gut with a “slow and steady” megacap
feelings instead of following your tech stock that ran up for over four
rules. Risk management is one key to months and netted a nice profit. On the
creating a balanced, stable portfolio other side of the ledger, he jumped in
that will keep growing for years to aggressively on a volatile growth stock
come. In this issue’s feature article, with a choppy chart and got shaken
we’ll cover the essential elements of out with a loss. Daniel breaks down
risk management and show you how his buy and sell points plus what he
to minimize your downside on learned from each trade.
every trade.
As always, if you have any questions
For this quarter’s Q&A, we spoke or comments about your investing
with David Ryan, a longtime portfolio research or any MarketSmith features,
manager, three-time U.S. Investing please call one of our product coaches
Champion and founder of his own at (800) 831-2525 or email us at
capital management fund. David reachus@marketsmith.com. We’re
spoke about how risk management here to help you make more money in
strategies differ between professional the market.
and personal portfolios, as well as
how he’s adjusted his appetite for risk Best returns,
over the years. He also spoke about The MarketSmith Team
hedging strategies and shared a few

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 3


Market Chart Nasdaq Composite
Nasdaq Composite

4 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


Table of Contents
Market Chart.................................................................... 4

Feature Article: Risk Management............................. 6

Stock Screen:

Lower Volatility, Higher Stability*............................... 9

Tractor Supply Co (TSCO)..................................... 10

West Pharmaceutical Svcs (WST)...................... 11

Pool Corp (POOL)................................................... 12

Simulations Plus Inc (SLP)................................... 13


Featured on page 6
Q&A: David Ryan............................................................. 14

Good Trade/Bad Trade: Daniel Melgoza................... 18

Stock Screen:

Three Strong Quarters*................................................. 22

Docusign Inc (DOCU)............................................. 23

Zoom Video Comm Cl A (ZM).............................. 24

Chegg Inc (CHGG).................................................. 25

Solaredge Technologies (SEDG).......................... 26

Ask a Portfolio Manager: Irusha Peiris..................... 27

Features Highlight: The New Resources Section.... 28

CONNECT WITH US

*All screen results are computer-generated and were run on July 31, 2020.

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 5


Feature Article 5 Strategies for Effective Risk Management

MARKETSMITH TIP: The blue shaded


area on MarketSmith charts next to a
chart pattern is the buy zone—the price
area within 5% of the pivot. Hover over
any chart pattern with your cursor to
see the exact pivot point. Buy within 5%
of the pivot and don’t chase extended
stocks—there’s always the next time.

Sell rules ensure you don’t lose a


significant amount when a trade doesn’t
With any investment, you need to work. You’ll live to fight another day if
weigh the balance of risk and reward. you keep your losses small, like the 5-8%
Buying stocks is a fantastic way to loss-cutting zone in MarketSmith (the
grow your portfolio, but your relative red shaded area). Never be afraid to cut
risk depends greatly on your investing your losses and move on.
strategy. Here are five tips for managing
downside risk and avoiding giving back 2. Don’t over-diversify, concentrate on
hard-earned gains. quality over quantity.
When it comes to the stock market,
1. Always follow buy and sell rules. sometimes it’s better to put your eggs in
Buy rules help you wait for a proper a few baskets and watch those baskets
entry point where the trade has the very closely. If you own too many
highest likelihood of working. This stocks, you’re unlikely to know any of
is based on years of research that the companies very well, which is a key
shows that the best growth stocks will aspect of identifying the real leaders in
consolidate gains from a strong uptrend the market.
for weeks/months, then break out above
an area of prior resistance and run up in The number of stocks to own at one
price. Waiting for a high-volume breakout time depends on the value of your
from a base gives you the best chance portfolio, but between 5 and 10 is a
of catching these strong, fast runups at smart target for many growth investors.
the ideal time. Enforce this limit by refusing to add a
new stock until you’ve sold one of your
worst-performing stocks.

6 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


5 Strategies for Effective Risk Management Feature Article

That being said, some diversification in the thinking, “I’m buying on sale, my
is warranted. For example, it’s best profits will be bigger!” The truth is this:
not to put more than 35% to 40% of the best stocks can cost more money
your portfolio in any single stock. As but will often bring the best rewards.
far as allocation to one industry group Research shows that stocks reaching
or sector, 25% to 30% might be a a new price high will often continue
reasonable limit for a new investor. As higher, and stocks moving down in price
you gain more experience, you can go will usually fall farther. Strength begets
above this limit. But you must be fast strength in the stock market.
on your feet, always executing strict sell
discipline to protect yourself.
MARKETSMITH TIP: Calculate the
3. Buy a stock in increments as it dollar value of a full position by taking
displays good initial performance. your total portfolio value and dividing
Building a full stock position in several it by the number of positions you feel
purchases can help you reduce risk if comfortable holding.
the trade goes against you. This buying
strategy is called pyramiding, a concept For example, say your portfolio is worth
made famous by legendary investor $100,000 and you feel comfortable with
Jesse Livermore. 8 full positions for 100% exposure. One
eighth of $100,000 is $12,500 – the
Here’s an example of an effective value of a full position.
pyramiding strategy: buy 50% of a full
position at the pivot (or as close as At the pivot point, your first buy would be
possible). When the stock performs 50% of your full position: $6,250.
well and rises, you add 30% more when
it’s 2-2.5% up and a final 20% when it’s At 2-2.5% above the pivot point, your
another 2-2.5% up. You’ve now rewarded second buy would be 30%: $3,750.
a stock that proved its strength and
brought you profits from your initial At 4-5% above the pivot point, your third
buy point. and final buy would be 20%: $2,500.

This idea seems counterintuitive to


some, as people often want to buy
stocks when they’re lower in price—as

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 7


Feature Article 5 Strategies for Effective Risk Management

4. When the overall market shifts, a few hedging strategies that can help
adjust your exposure. protect your gains if the stock were
Three out of every four stocks follow the to falter.
overall market trend. If you’re trying to
pick winning stocks during a downtrend, Index ETFs: Buying index ETFs (like SPY
you’re facing a serious headwind when for the S&P 500 and QQQ for the Nasdaq
75% of stocks are likely to lose value in 100) can be an effective hedge against
the short term until the trend changes. losses in a specific stock or when sector
Don’t take those odds! rotation leaves your current stocks
underperforming.
When the market’s in an uptrend, you
can be 100% invested (or more, if you’re Inverse Index ETFs: If your portfolio is
on margin). But when the market trend long on growth stocks, inverse index
changes to “Uptrend Under Pressure,” ETFs can serve as a hedge if the market
consider reducing your overall exposure trend moves downward. Consider this
by selling your worst-performing stocks. when the market show signs of topping.

If the trend shifts to “Market in Put Options: One hedging strategy


Correction,” consider reducing your involves buying put options on a stock
exposure drastically—perhaps even you own that’s already posted significant
going 100% to cash. There’s no harm in gains. This helps you avoid giving back
sitting on the sidelines with your money profits if it falls, as your put options will
intact and waiting for the next uptrend to increase in value if the stock declines.
begin. That’s when you can start wading If it advances, you’re only out the cost
back in and gradually increasing your of the premium of the put options and
exposure. you’re making money on your initial
long position.
5. Advanced investors: Hedging can
help protect unrealized gains. To learn more about advanced hedging
It’s always nice to have profits on a strategies like these, watch a free
stock, but those profits aren’t real until webinar with IBD’s Chris Gessel and
you decide to sell and lock in your gains. Justin Nielsen at investors.com/
If you find yourself holding a top-quality HowToHedge.
stock and you think it has more gas
in the tank to continue its run, consider

8 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


Lower Volatility, Higher Stability Stock Screen

Title Volatility, Higher Stability


Lower
This screen looks for lower-volatility stocks by selecting for earnings stability,
institutional-grade price and volume, and high Relative Strength ratings.

Screen created by Irusha Peiris, Premium Product Group Manager

COMPANY (SYMBOL) INDUSTRY GROUP COMP RATING

Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) Retail/Whlsle-Bldg Prds 99

West Pharmaceutical Svcs (WST) Medical-Supplies 99

Pool Corp (POOL) Retail-Leisure Products 99

Simulations Plus Inc (SLP) Computer Sftwr-Medical 98

Visit Investors.com/MSStockGuide to load the criteria for this and other


Stock Guide screens directly in to your MarketSmith screener.

*All screen results are computer-generated and were run on July 31, 2020. This screen can also be found on marketsmith.com in
shared screens.

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 9


Stock Screen Lower Volatility, Higher Stability
Tractor Supply Co (TSCO)

10 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


Lower Volatility, Higher Stability Stock Screen
West Pharmaceutical Svcs (WST)

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 11


Stock Screen Lower Volatility, Higher Stability
Pool Corp (POOL)

12 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


Lower Volatility, Higher Stability Stock Screen
Simulations Plus Inc (SLP)

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 13


Q & A A Conversation with David Ryan

A CONVERSATION WITH

David Ryan
David Ryan is a highly successful money
manager and a three-time U.S. Investing
Champion. He developed his investing
skills under IBD founder and investing
legend William O’Neil, who wrote about
Ryan in his bestselling book, How to
Make Money in Stocks. After working as
a portfolio manager, he founded Ryan
Capital Management and continues
to advise investors on maximizing
their returns.

MarketSmith recently sat down with


David to talk about risk management, my stocks have a good run, I usually
hedging, growth vs. value and the sell some of my core positions into
lessons he learned from working with strength and take profits. When stocks
William O’Neil. get overheated like in July, I like to sell
into strength. I hate to wait until the
As a professional money manager, market takes a big hit—July 13 is a good
what’s your approach to managing risk? example–and my portfolio gives back
David Ryan: There are as many weeks’ worth of profits.
approaches to risk management as
there are styles of investing. As a hedge As an individual investor, you have to
fund and mutual fund manager, I had know your personal risk tolerance.
a fiduciary duty to protect my clients’ If you have an entire portfolio of the
assets. It comes down to your approach hottest growth stocks, all it takes is
to the market and what your clients a couple really bad days and you can
expect of you, both in terms of risk and lose a huge chunk of the gains you’ve
reward. I want to avoid giving back hard- made over months. If you don’t like too
earned gains whenever possible. much volatility, consider having a few
aggressive growth stocks and mix them
I am typically fairly aggressive in trading in with large cap, slower-growth names
CAN SLIM®-style stocks. When that won’t have as much volatility when
the market cools off.

14 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


A Conversation with David Ryan Q & A

What kind of hedging strategies do you Bill did one thing really well; better than
favor? How much do they vary based on anyone I’ve ever seen, in fact. He was
market conditions? the only person who could take the
At the beginning of a new uptrend, I find entire market and narrow it down to one
that there’s little reason to hedge. As single stock. He could find the strongest
time goes on and your profits increase, name in the whole market, sit through
I would start to hedge more, especially corrections and take that stock through
when volatility increases. It still takes its entire run. To this day I’ve still never
a little while longer to reach a top— seen anyone else who could do that and
though less time than it used to due to sell very close to the top.
algorithmic trading moving the market
more quickly. For Bill, small details made the big
difference in his stock selection. He
Now, If I felt the market was due to would tell us that you have to study the
correct, I’d consider a few broad hedging charts extremely closely. You have to
strategies. One, I could buy put options train your eye to recognize what a stock
on index ETFs like QQQ or SPY. Two, looks like at the beginning of a move,
I could short double-leveraged index the middle part and at the end. It takes
ETFs like SSO (2x the S&P 500) and years of looking at the biggest winners
QLD (2x the Nasdaq 100). I’d especially to engrain in your mind what those
consider shorting QQQ or QLD if my charts look like, but when you gain that
portfolio were particularly concentrated ability you can look at current stocks
in tech stocks. When the market gets hit in MarketSmith and recognize similar
big and you’re heavy in growth stocks patterns in leading stocks of years past.
(particularly high-flying tech stocks),
your portfolio can correct 1.5x – 2x How do you react during big corrections
what the general market does. You have like this past March – do you take
to be careful when you’re running a money off the table or look for shorting
concentrated high-growth portfolio. opportunities?
In this case, it happened so quickly. On
You worked as a portfolio manager for February 19 we reached a new high
William O’Neil for many years. What did and then it went virtually straight down.
you learn about risk management I hate to ever take a loss, so I started
from him? selling the majority of my positions

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 15


Q & A A Conversation with David Ryan

quickly. You have to take it day by day As an investor who generally favors
and follow your rules: set and obey your growth stocks, do value stocks enter
stop-losses, and don’t rationalize not into your strategy during periods of high
selling by thinking that you’re locking volatility?
in losses. No, I’m never looking at value stocks. I’m
always looking at growth, because that’s
Stick with your stops—the classic rule is where the big money is made. Over
7 to 8 percent below the price you paid many years, growth has been shown to
for the stock. Personally, my stop-losses dramatically outperform value.
are less than that. Once the stock has
moved away from your buy point, you Let me tell you a quick story about when
can use other technical factors like I worked with Bill O’Neil. Every Monday,
moving averages and trend lines to Bill would hold an all-hands-on-deck
help with your sell decisions. A lot of it meeting with his salespeople, who would
depends on an individual stock: Some go all over the world selling institutional
are very fast movers that run up along investors on the O’Neil family of
the 10- or 21-day lines; when they break products and stock research. Every now
below those lines, that’s a sell signal. If and then, one of the salesmen would
you’re in a bigger, slower-moving stock, pipe up and ask Bill if he would finally
maybe you’re looking to sell when it add a product geared toward value
breaks the 50-day or 200-day lines. investors, because some institutional
clients were asking for one. Bill would
It is nice to have some short positions always answer these questions in a
to negate some of the downside. If way that taught a person to never ask
there’s a sector starting to roll over and it again. Growth was the way, and that
underperform, I might short it even if was that.
the broader market is still holding up.
When the market corrects, shorts can If you’re too worried about volatility and
help offset losses in long positions. If the quick moves that come with growth,
the market’s going so strongly that it’s then perhaps you’re too concentrated
starting to get ahead of itself, I’ll start in a specific type of growth name and
selling intro strength. If the market looks you should diversify a little more. There
like it’s going to correct in the near term, aren’t that many people who can have a
I’ll start hedging so I don’t give as much concentrated portfolio of 4-5 stocks (and
back as if I’d remained fully invested. be on margin) and feel comfortable.

16 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


A Conversation with David Ryan Q & A

s Pictured: The Proshares Ultra QQQ (Ticker: QLD), an ETF that seeks performance equal to 2x
daily performance of the Nasdaq 100 index. Note the steep price decline (over 50%) from the
February 19 highs to the March 23 lows. This is an ETF that David would consider shorting if he
felt the markets were going to correct.

Last question: You won the U.S. horse. It was fast and aggressive, the
Investing Championship three times way the early ‘90s Bulls played.
when you were in your twenties. Which
famous three-peat would you say that Now that I’m older, I don’t have the
most resembled: young Michael Jordan stomach or the energy to trade like that.
and the ’90-’93 Chicago Bulls or the These days I rarely go on margin. I’m
“Last Dance” ’95-’98 Bulls? still trading similar stocks, but I’m not as
I would probably say the early ‘90s concentrated. With my age and my risk
Chicago Bulls. When I won those three tolerance, I’ve adjusted my trading style
championships, I was in my late twenties to still stay profitable, but not take the
and I had a “no lose” attitude. Don’t get big swings that I did as a younger man.
me wrong, I was controlling risk—but my
portfolio was concentrated in a total of That being said, I’m still a long way off
3-5 growth stocks at a time, plus I was from my last dance. n
moving my money aggressively to my
strongest performers. At times, 30-40%
of all my capital was allocated in one
stock as it was running. As soon as it got
tired, I’d cut it down to a small position
and move the money into a stronger

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 17


Good Trade/Bad Trade Daniel Melgoza

Good Trade/Bad Trade


software (like the perennial cash cow
THE TRADER
Microsoft Office) are among the largest.

Daniel Melgoza But don’t overlook their aggressive


MarketSmith Coach move into cloud computing. Microsoft’s
Azure is the #2 IaaS (infrastructure-as-a-
In this edition of Good Trade / Bad service) vendor in the world, second only
Trade, MarketSmith Coach Daniel to Amazon’s (AMZN) AWS and ahead
Melgoza shared a couple of his recent of Google (GOOGL) Cloud Platform.
trades—one winner and one loser—and I can see this becoming one of the
told us what he learned from each. Pull biggest future revenue streams for
up the charts for MSFT and AAXN and companies like Microsoft—as it already
follow along to see how you would have has for Amazon.
handled these trades.
Technical Picture: When I’m scouting
GOOD TRADE: a potential buy, I like to focus on
MICROSOFT (MSFT) the weekly chart to look at the long-
term trends. Stocks have their own
The Timeframe: “personalities,” and MSFT is a slow and
September 2019 – February 2020 steady gainer. It’s not a wild IPO that
will shoot up 100% in a few weeks. This
Stock Background: I’m guessing you’re is a stock you can put in your portfolio
familiar with Microsoft. Most people on and hold for big gains over months (or
earth have used a Microsoft product possibly years, if you’re so inclined).
in one form or another; their Windows
operating system runs on one billion Going back to July 2019, MSFT was
devices and counting. So not only do building a relatively shallow second-
they control over 80% of the desktop stage flat base. MarketSmith Pattern
computer OS market, but they also have Recognition showed a pivot of $141.68.
so many additional revenue streams On September 18 it retook its 50-day
it’s hard to keep count: gaming (Xbox), moving average line with a bullish
hardware (tablets and laptops) and closing range of 93%.

18 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


Daniel Melgoza Good Trade/Bad Trade

My Buy Point: September 19, 2019 at position, as the market was starting
$141.25. The following day, the stock to sell off. Take a look at the Nasdaq
broke out to a breakaway gap on the (0NDQC in MarketSmith): MSFT was
news that Microsoft would execute mimicking what the Nasdaq was doing
a $40 billion stock buyback. It briefly right before the worst of the coronavirus
crossed the pivot point but ended up market crash. In hindsight, I was happy
closing below it (not a deal-breaker I used early warning signs and larger
for me). What gave me conviction in market trends to lock in my gains at 26%
this breakout was the fundamentals: on the position. The next day, Microsoft
a strong 94 Composite Rating, an EPS sold off in heavy volume.
Rating of 93 and ROE of 40%. This
stock also had a steadily rising relative My 3 Takeaways:
strength line throughout 2019 and • Microsoft has some of the
accelerating earnings growth quarter strongest institutional ownership
after quarter. of any stock in the game. It’s the
definition of “institutional quality.”
How I Held It: The first week I was a bit This is the kind of stock that
nervous, as the stock tested the 50-day institutional funds hold for 10–15
line on September 24 but bounced back years or more, which provides a
strongly the following day. I knew that very solid floor of price support.
this was a stock that I wanted to hold for • You will not always sell at the top.
the long term, so I tried to ignore daily Even though I was up 34.6% at one
movements and focus more on point, I was more than happy to wait
the weekly chart. for a sell signal and still make 26%,
rather than try to hope the stock
bounces back to its previous high. It
My Sell Point: February 21, 2020 at
didn’t, FYI.
$178. On February 20, 2020, I noticed
that MSFT fell below the 10-day line; the • The only way to make big money is
next day, it crossed below the 21-day by holding stocks and being patient.
This was a great “set it and forget
exponential moving average line (both
it” stock for me—good returns, no
are advanced warning signals). It was
stress, just buy and keep an eye on
time for me to lock in my profits on this
the weekly chart.

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 19


Good Trade/Bad Trade Daniel Melgoza

a pivot of $80.16. The pattern was a


BAD TRADE:
first-stage base, which is good, but
AXON ENTERPRISE (AAXN)
it was somewhat choppy and rather
deep (44%), which are not model book
The Time Frame: attributes. At the time, Axon Enterprise
May 2020 had four straight quarters of increasing
earnings growth, a Composite Rating
Stock Background: Axon was previously of 95 and a #1 ranking in the Security/
called Taser International, and as you Safety industry group.
probably guessed, they were the creators
of the eponymous stun-gun. They are My Buy Point: May 8, 2020 at $84.23.
now called Axon Enterprise (AAXN) and On May 8, AAXN broke out to a
they focus on the Law Enforcement, breakaway gap after huge earnings were
Fire/EMS, Federal and Corrections announced the previous day. They beat
markets, for which they develop and Q1 earnings by 90%. AAXN was added to
manufacturer Tasers, body cameras and the RS Line Blue Dot list in MarketSmith,
cloud services. meaning its relative strength line
had just hit a new 52-week high—an
This stock came on my radar in mid- extremely bullish signal.
February of 2018 as it was forming a cup
with handle. Even though it reached a How I Held It: At the market close on
pivot point on February 15, 2018, I didn’t May 8, AAXN stood at $86.13, so I
buy it; I had not done enough research was already up about 2.2% on the day.
into the company at that time, and Despite the auspicious start, the
earnings were coming up soon. I judged trade didn’t last more than a week. It
that to be too risky a play. The stock did started to drift below the May 8 close
gap up 27.82% after earnings, so I felt a little more each day. On May 14, it
a slight sting, but it’s always better to started to test the 10-day and 21-day
stick to your rules and leave the stock on moving average lines.
your watchlist for another day. There will
always be another opportunity. My Sell Point: May 14, 2020 at $77.61.
At this point, AAXN had reached the -8%
Technical Picture: In May 2020, sell rule for me. I had to take the loss and
Pattern Recognition showed AAXN move on to the next play. You cannot
forming a cup with handle base with let your emotions take you in; you have

20 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


Daniel Melgoza Good Trade/Bad Trade

to get rid of hope, pride, greed and fear.


• Words of wisdom: “We are not
in the predicting game; we are in
The sell rule is there to help keep losses
the interpreting game.” It’s very
small and to preserve capital.
important to understand when
to take losses on a position so
My 3 Takeaways: that your portfolio does not get
• I bought at $84.23, which was hurt overall.
slightly extended from the 5% buy • More words of wisdom: “Missing a
zone. I should have been more train is only painful if you run after
cautious after earnings, especially it.” I shouldn’t have chased the stock
after this huge breakout of 22.5%. and bought it more than 5% above
I could have minimized my risk in the pivot point. That removes your
this trade by pyramiding into the downside buffer and increases the
position instead of buying a full chances that the trade will move
position all at once. I could have against you. n
started with a 25% position, and if
the stock showed strength by
going up, I could have added on
in similar increments.

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 21


Stock Screen Three Strong Quarters

Title Strong Quarters


Three
MarketSmith Coach Daniel Melgoza’s weekend screen selects institutional-quality
stocks with strong fundamentals, ample liquidity and three straight quarters of
20%+ EPS growth.

Screen created by Daniel Melgoza, MarketSmith Coach

COMPANY (SYMBOL) INDUSTRY GROUP RS RATING

Docusign Inc (DOCU) Computer Sftwr-Enterprse 98

Zoom Video Comm Cl A (ZM) Computer Sftwr-Enterprse 98

Chegg Inc (CHGG) Consumer Svcs-Education 97

Solaredge Technologies (SEDG) Energy-Solar 96

Visit Investors.com/MSStockGuide to load the criteria for this and other


Stock Guide screens directly in to your MarketSmith screener.

*All screen results are computer-generated and were run on July 31, 2020. This screen can also be found on marketsmith.com in
shared screens.

22 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


Three Strong Quarters Stock Screen
Docusign Inc (DOCU)

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 23


Stock Screen Three Strong Quarters
Zoom Video Comm Cl A (ZM)

24 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


Three Strong Quarters Stock Screen
Chegg Inc (CHGG)

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 25


Stock Screen Three Strong Quarters
Solaredge Technologies (SEDG)

26 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


Irusha Peiris Ask a Portfolio Manager

Ask a Portfolio Manager


Irusha Peiris is the Manager of the
Premium Product Group at Investor’s
Business Daily as well as the host of
the Investing with IBD podcast. He can
frequently be seen as a co-host of IBD
Live and has spoken throughout the
country at numerous investing workshops
including the prestigious CAN SLIM
Masters Program.
curve. In years past when I had a really
Stock Guide: Managing other people’s nice runup in my portfolio in a short
money is different than managing your amount of time, I would often push it
own. What’s one risk management rule aggressively and let my positions ride.
you learned as a professional portfolio Now I’m much more likely to take some
manager that you’ve applied to your chips off the table and set myself up for
personal account? the next move.

Irusha Peiris: For years, I had essentially The goal: I don’t want to lose too much of
the same approach to my personal my hard-earned profit when the market
portfolio and the ones I managed pulls back. I did this too many times when
professionally—a traditional CAN SLIM I was “riding my winners” and hanging on
strategy that favored leading growth to full positions even after they made
stocks with great fundamentals. I would big gains.
build heavily concentrated positions in
a small number of leading stocks, go on I also spread out my portfolio a little
margin and be aggressive in pursuing more. I find that it’s a lot easier to ride out
big returns. pullbacks and bumps when a position is
7% of your portfolio as opposed to 20-
I’ve changed my approach in the last 25%. It makes it easier to sleep at night,
few years. It started with the assets that’s for sure. n
I managed as part of my job, where I
shifted to a greater focus on reducing
volatility and smoothing out my equity

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 27


MarketSmith The New Resources Section

FEATURES HIGHLIGHT

The New Resources Section


We’ve redesigned the Resources section of the MarketSmith website to make it easier
than ever to sharpen your investing skills! Visit marketsmith.investors.com/resources
for exclusive webinars, educational videos and a library full of investing knowledge. It’s
another great perk of being a MarketSmith member!

The new Resources section is your one-stop hub for educational content. The new
streamlined interface makes it easier to watch webinars and videos, especially on
mobile devices.

Webinars
In the new and improved Webinar page, you’ll see a wide selection of our MarketSmith
investing webinars grouped in categories like MarketSmith University (foundational
lessons), Current Market (monthly "Stay in Step with the Market" videos) and Chart
Analysis. Scroll through the videos and choose one to start streaming instantly. We’ve
upgraded our video streaming technology so you can watch all these webinars on any
phone or mobile device smoothly and without interruption.

You can also register for upcoming webinars with one click; just click on a webinar
name listed at the bottom of the page under “Register for an Upcoming Webinar.”

28 2020 Q3 Stock Guide MarketSmith.com


The New Resources Section MarketSmith

Video Tutorials
Select the Video Tutorial section to see a library of short how-to videos that help you
build your investing skillset. Here you can learn how to use powerful MarketSmith
features or watch videos about broad investing concepts hosted by MarketSmith
coaches.

Stock Guide
Select the Stock Guide page to view current and past issues of the MarketSmith
quarterly Stock Guide. Click any issue to start reading, even on your phone or mobile
device.

MarketSmith.com 2020 Q3 Stock Guide 29


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Risk Management:
Fine-Tuning Your Offense
and Defense

STOCK GUIDE // 2020 Q3

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