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Hybrid Electric Vehicles: Current Concepts and Future Market Trends
Hybrid Electric Vehicles: Current Concepts and Future Market Trends
6
direct drive from the engine and the recaptured AIso, one of the biggest shifts over recent
energy through regenerative braking the energy times has been the increase in the price offuel. In
stored within the batteries will be a sufficientamount fact, since 2001 crude oil prices have doubled [2].
forthe vehicle to operate. With the risinguncertainty in the Middle East, it is
becoming more of an issue to be less reliant on
supplies from this oil stronghold. In contrastto this,
the quick development ofboth Chinaand India has
provoked an increasing demand for crude oí!.
8
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10 E U DJapan G USA (Tier 2: B in 5) I
Figure 2: Emissions Limits Forecasts lor Diesel Engines in Europe (Source: Ricardo Consolatory
vehic1es sold, with themajority beingimportedfrom emissions to 140 g!Km by2008, andreducethese
Europeanmanufacturerssuchas Volkswagen[ll]. still further to 120 g!Km by 2012. The current
average levels ofC02 emissions stand at 162 g/km.
Europe has an established tradition behind
diesel technology, and it is notpossible to follow Clear1y it can be observed that emission
exactly the same approach regarding emissions legislation is becomingmore andmore focused on
regulations as has been done in the USo In Europe, improvingtheenvironmental stateofthe automotive
targets have been set to lower the limits of CO2 industry. Theadoptionofmoreincreasingly stringent
Estimated Large-
No.Of80%
Max.Energy Max.Power scale Production
Battery Type Discharges Before Anode Material Cathode Material
Density (WhIkg) Density (WIkg) Cost
Replacement
~€ l!erkWh}
4.3.Conchision
laws will enable these targets to be met, andhelp to In conclusion, itcan be seen thatthe continual
maintain the healthy state oftheplanet rise in fuel prices during the nineties alongwith the
tax advantage ofdieseIs has had a sigrrificant effect
4.2.4.Health Effects on the sales ofdieseI vehicles, especially in the EU.
However, on the wider scale, it is becoming more
There are a number of health complaints evidentthat global warming and vehicle pollution
which can be caused bythe emissions from vehicles. are factors which need to be controlled better.
Respiratory problems increase a person' s risk of These concems have to date provoked the
cancer-related death, and can also contribute to introduction ofmore hardened emission legislative
birth defects ormake healthy active children 3 to 4 laws, especially fordiesel vehicles. In orderto have
times more likelyto suffer from asthma. These are a lesser dependency on the increased price offuel
justa selectionofproblemswhichcan stemfromthe and to operate a more environmentally friendly
pollutionfrom vehicles, particularlyCO2 emissions. vehicle the technology of HEVs would more
Even experts have forecasted a number of new than help to satis.fy these requirements.
diseases provoked by the high concentration of
CO2 [7]. 5. COMPONENTS
10
--
Honda 's REVs do nothave an electric-only coupled with the gasoline engine. The engine/
mode unlike the ToyotaPrius, though during stop s generator set supplies the electricityrequired bythe
atjunctionsandatlightstheICEautomaticallyshuts batteries, in tum feeding the electric motor. The
off, and only starts again the acceleratoris pressed. coupled generator and engine maintain the efficient
The Honda Civic incorporates Integrated Motor usage ofthe battery system during operation.
Assist (IMA), which couples both the gasoline
engine and the e1ectric motor, to offer boosts in both 5.4. Energy Storage
performance and fuel economy ofthe vehic1e.
5.4.1.Battery Technologies
Studies have gone on in the development of
ICEs for REVsto further optimise the performance The batteries areanintegraI componentwithin
ofthem; one such study has developedan optimised REV s. Electrical energy can be drawn from the
compressednaturalgas (CNG) engine for ahybrid batteries to the electric motor; also this process can
urban bus [12]. Both gasoline and diesel engines do operate in reverse by recapturing energy through
haveanumberofadvantagesoverothercompetitors regenerative braking. The only time there is a
and altemative technologies. One key issue is that large requirement for electrical energy is during
liquidfuelshaveextremelyhigh energy densitiesand electric only mode, the majority ofthe time the
canachievealongdrivingrangeforarelativelysmall electricalloads are easilymanaged within thewhole
storage tank. Another factor is thatthere are fulIy vehicular system. Dueto the high costincrementof
established and functional infrastructures forthese the battery for energy storage, it is far more cost
fuel types; it would cost billions ofeuros to make effective to use the engine as the primary power
changes to the current infrastructure in order to source forthe vehic1e at higher loads, ratherthan
introduce new technology types and altemative increasingthe amountofenergy storage. Continued
fuels. These few advantagesalonemake itadaunting efforts must concentrate on improvingthe existing
taskforany alternative technology suchas fuel-cells battery technologies in order to make them more
to be considered for the short and medium-term efficient, ratherthanjust increasingtheirsizes to gain
solution to amore efficientand emissions free future a greater output. By improving the current battery
fortransport. technologies which exist, the costs ofHEVs will be
keptto aminirnum, preventingthemfrom beingtoo
5.2.Electric Motors high forpotential customers to considero
12
----------~------ -
and a relatively high power density of200 W /kg. NiMHbatteries are perfectly suited to high-power
This technology has sparked interestin thepastwith hybrids, and have been the battery choice for REV
EV developers due to its capability to accept high models released to date, of which ineludes the
charge and discharge rates. Qne problem NilCd ToyotaPrius,Honda Civic and theHondalnsight.
has is that such charge capabilities requiretheuse of The key reasons why NiMH technologies have
a carefully control management system to control been used in the development ofHEVs ratherthan
the battery' s temperature, voltage and time ofcharge lead-acidis they can offer higherenergy and power
and this adds to the cost and weight of a vehic1e densities, reduced size mass, longer cyele life and
designo Ni!Cd batteries sufferproblems when they lower cost ofownership. All ofwhich is illustrated
are not discharged orrecharged fully, as theytend in Table 1.
to remember state-of-charge (SQC) extremes,
meaning they behave as though they have les s e) Lithium-Ion
capacity.
Lithium-ion batteries have an even higher
Due to the increased toxicity of nickel- energy densitythan that ofNiMHbatteries. NiMH
cadmium over lead-acid the technology is poor in batteries can offer a respectable 70 Whlkg, whilst
terrns ofits recyelability. Cadmium products need lithium-ioncan offerrough1ytwo times thatamount
to be elear1y labelled in order to aware people that ranging between 120-150 Whlkg. Lithium-ionhas
theyneed to be recyeled or disposed ofproper1y. If areasonably lowmaintenance, offeringan advantage
this task is not easily achievable then this must be thatmost other battery chemistries cannot. There is
carried out by a professional. This along with a no memory or scheduled cyc1ing requirements in
number ofotherproblems has inhibited the use of orderto pro long the overall1ife ofthe battery.
this battery type and has made other battery types
amoreviablemeans for REVapplications. Despitethe obvious advantages oflithium-
ion technology, a number of current drawbacks
d) Nickel-metaIHybrid(NiMH) prevent the technology replacing other current
chemistries. Lithium-Ion is a fragiletechnology,
Nickel-metal hydride (NiMH) has become whichrequiresaprotection circuitin ordertomaintain
the long-terrnreplacementfornickel-cadmium (Ni! the safe operation of the technology type. The
Cd) batteries, and has appeared in a selection of inelusion ofa protection circuitdoes howeverensure
EVs that have recentIy been developed. NiMH thevoltageandcurrentlimitsrernainwithintheirsafe
batteries maximum energy density of70 Whlkg is limits. Lithium-Ion batteries become susceptibleto
20 Whlkg greaterthan that offered by Ni!Cd types; aging especiallywhennot in use, and are 40 percent
this is a valuable asset as the battery can be ofless moreexpensivetomanufacturethanNi!Cd.Lithium-
weightandstillachievetheperfonnancerequirements Ion is currentlynot a fully matured technology and
ofthe vehic1e. NiMH can cope with over 2,000 the chemistryis changing onacontinual basis. Itstill
80% discharges before needing to be replaced requireshuge developments in cyele life, durability,
whereas Ni/Cd needs to be replaced afier a and cost, before the chemistry could become
maximum of2,000 cyc1es. The other advantage cornmerciallyviable and be inc1uded in REV s.
NiMHhas over Ni/Cd is the fact it is no cheaper
perunit cost (f per kWh), this withoutthe toxicity Thedevelopmentoflithium-ion systernshave
problems ofNi/Cd [18]. NiMH batteries have a already occurred in research attempts ineluding
greaterpower and energy densitythan that oflead- [19]and[20].Lithium-Iontechnologiesarecurrently
acid types. They have been under development used in anumber ofapplications ineluding laptops;
since the 1970s. The energy density ofNiMH is cyele life of the chemistry type is expected to
roughlytwice that oflead-acid batteries, 70 Whlkg improvewithin thenearfuture. Looking atthewider
for NiMH compared to 45 Whlkg for lead-acid scale, lithium-ion maynot be the breakthrough the
[13]. AnotheradvantageisthatNiMHbatteriescan automotiveindustryislookingfor, whichisessentia1ly
be fullyrecharged within about 15 minutes. crucial in order to be able to reduce the cost of
energystorage inREVs.
---
5.4.2. Future Energy Storage however, can be used instead ifthere is a higher
preference for a greater energy densitythan power
There are a number of demands for a REV density. Withina supercapacitorcell the electrolyte
energy storage system, anumber ofwhich inc1ude: is in intimate contact with the electrode ofhigh
high specific energy and powerto be able achieve surfacearea. Thevoltageofthecellislirnitedtojust
range and performance requirements, long cyc1e over one volt in order to avoid any chance of
and calendar life (comparable to that ofthe overall decomposition ofthe water in the dilute e1ectrolyte
life ofthevehic1e), quickrecharge capabilities, high to oxygen andhydrogen.
efficiency, and low cost and maintenance free.
Technologies to date which have been deemed The sole use ofsupercapacitors forthepower
suitable forthis application are lead-acid batteries, requirementsofanelectricvehic1eofanyformseem
nickel-cadrnium batteries, nickel-metal hydride to be a number of years away; due mainly to the
batteries (covered in the previous sections), considerable development requirements of the
supercapacitors, flywheels, andhydrogen storage technology. Supercapacitors wouldhowever be a
in nanofibres andnanotubes. HEVs energystorage more than viable means to operate in combination
technologies can be split up into three main areas: with existing batteries due to their high power
electrochemical buffers, electrical buffers and densities. Supercapacitors can now offer power
hydrogen storage. Accordingtoresearch, the current densitiesupt04kWlkg, whichis 16tirnesthatofthe
electrochemical battery options are being c10sest battery power density of 250WIkg for
implemented and are universally accepted [21]. advancedlead-acid types. The combination ofthe
The batterytechnologies currently leadingthe field two would work well together as batteries tend to
have already been discussed. Further storage have high specific powers but a much lowerpower
devicesotboth electrical bufferandhydrogenstorage density. These benefits alongwith the factthey are
types will therefore be discussed in this section. relatively inexpensive, can be recharged easily
( extemally or through regenerative braking) and
The supercapacitor or ultracapacitor that they require no maintenance because their
( electrical buffer) is a storage technology which deteriorationovertirne is far less than thatofexisting
stores a charge within a cell arrangement. battery technologies; making them a serious
Supercapacitors are more cornrnonly known as consideration when developing such vehic1es.
Electric Double Layer Capacitors (EDLCs).
Energy is stored within a boundary layer that is The jlywheel energy storage system is a
formed between the interfaces of a conductive mechanical device which can be regarded as another
e1ectrode and an electrolyte solution. The interface electrical buffer, which storeskinetic energywithin
ofthee1ectrode/electrolytehasaverysmalldielectric a rapidly rotating wheel rotor. They contain no
thickness (a few Angstroms) and combined with a hazardous chemicals, and are not affected by high
material ofhigh surface area can produce a low- rises in temperatures, unlike sorne batterytechnology
voltage, high-capacitive, energy storage capacitor. types. FIywheels are a technology which has been
around for anumber ofyears, butwith performance
Supercapacitors have a low resistance and capability deve1opments, have recently beenable to
can therefore offer greaterpower and efficiency compete with electrical battery storage systems.
compared to that of pulse batteries. They can be Current1yprototype flywheels are considered too
producedinlargecells, whichmakethemasuitable large andheavyforsmallHEVs, althoughefforts are
technology for automotive applications. current1y being made into being able to produce
Supercapacitors have traditionally been created new lightweight,highstrengthmaterialsfortlywheels.
with carbon electrodes which when treated can However, due to the level ofcomplexity, and the
offer a particular1y large surface area ofup to 2,000 costs in producing an efficient unit may exc1ude
square metres per gramo These electrodes are thereuse inhybrid vehic1es altogether.
typically combined with dilute sulphuric acid
e1ectrolytes. The benefits ofusing an aqueous acid Rydrogen storage technologies are the other
suchasdilutesulphuricacidarethattheyofferhigh keyareainfuture storageoptions.Primary Hydrides
capacitance and power density. A salt solution (the Millennium cel!) are based on the reaction
6.1.1.Regenerative Braking
When considering the frictional10sses within a
REV, there are frictionallosses all throughout the
--
system. There is resistance between the electrons of which have appeared on most parallel hybrid
the atoms moving in the wires between the e1ectric gasoline-electricdrivetrains.
motor and the battery, and through the electric
motoritself. Producedmagnetic fields incurfriction 6.1.2 Planetary Gear Set
in the metallaminations making up the magnetic
circuitwith the electric motor. There is mechanical The Battery Management System (BMS)
frictionbetweeneverymechanicalmovingpartof can be regarded as the brains of a hybrid system,
the system, inc1udinggears, chains and bearings. As but it is the planetary gear set which manages the
mentioned previouslythe by-productoffriction is physical interaction between the engine, electric
heat, and the higherthe frictional force the greater motor andadditional generator. Theplanetary gear
the resultant heat. The consequence ofthe sum of set is a feature which appears only in parallel
the frictionallosses, determines the overall efficiency configuredHEVs; itis notpractical foruse in a series
ofthe vehicle. configurationduetothe coupling ofthe ICE andthe
e1ectric motor/s in theparallel configuredHEV. The
The efficiency oflIEVs is greaterthan that of planetary gear searnlessly hamesses and transmits
conventional vehicles in the respectthat REV s can power from the electric motor (high-speed), thus
rec1aim energy which would once have been lost enabling a more compact and powerful motor. This
through regenerative braking. The inertia ofthe results inamuch longer life, fewerfrictionallosses
vehic1e is the fundamental factor in being able to andquieterdriving.
reclaim the energy backintothe batteries. Instead of
using the full potential ofthe brakes ofthe vehicle, 6.1.3. Continuously Variable
REV s allowthe linkages back to the electric motor Transmission (CVT)
such as the drive shafts, and gears transfer the
torque from the wheels back to the electric motor The Continuously Variable Transmission
shaft. Electric motors can transfer electrical energy (CVT)furtherenhancestheperformanceofaparallel
into mechanical energy and backagain, and in both configuredHEV. A CVT offers the samepotentials
case can be achieved very efficiently. The wayin as a parallel HEV, offeringincreased fuel economy
whichelectricityisreproducedisthrough themagnets and minimising emissions in the process. The
on the shaft ofthe motor moving past the e1ectric combination ofthe two is therefore a sensible and
coils ofthe statorin themotor, passingthemagnetic advantageousoption toemploy. Unlikeconventional
fields ofthe magnets through the coils. Electrical vehic1es which have a fixed gear ratio typically
energy is then fed back into the battery, in tum offering 4 to 6 gear options, the CVT in an HEV
charging up the hybrid batterypack. allows for an infinite number oftransmission gear
ratios within the limits of the device. This is
There are two forms ofregenerative braking advantageous as itmaximises the efficiency ofthe
which are parallel regen and series regen; this is powertrain whilstallowingthe driverto have amuch
not re1ated to parallel and series configuredREVs smoother ride, thanks primarily to jolt-free
(explained later). The forms are dependant on how acceleration. Themainreasons behindmovingfrom
manywheels are beingused to reclaim the energy. manual to CVT is so that the engine will always
The most cornmon approach in vehicles is that the operateatits optimumregime and throttle-positions,
frontwheels arethe onlywheelsreclaiming energy. whilst adapting to the varying road conditions and
Energy is stilllost in this case through the back power demands. Currently, conventional vehicles
whee1s as before through minor heat dissipation, donotmake use ofCVT, one reason forthis is that
unless they are somehow connected back to the its belt-driven orientation limits itapplication with
electric motor. The other key determinant factor is vehic1es of engine sizes over 1.2 litres; making a
the battery state-of-charge (SOC) and how hard number ofconventional vehicles incompatiblewith
the energy is being driven back into the battery. this transmission type. Otherdisadvantages inc1ude
Overall, the regenerative brakingprocess is highly its large size and weight. Rowever, developments
advantageous as it eliminates the need for a large, are aiming to decrease these effects andmake the
on-boardelectrical generating system, liketheones
-
CVT a more viable means oftransmission for all the energy generated during the braking cycle is
vehicle types in the future. recovered for storage in the batteries.
6.1.4.Integrated Motor Assist (IMA) The IMA in the Honda Insight boats an
impressive 24 percent improvement in efficiency,
Thelntegrated Motor Assist (IMA) system which also combines with the fact that the Insight
owes much of its remarkable performance to the also meets Califomia's stringent Ultra-Low
application ofnumerous technologies developed Emissions Vehicle (ULEV) standard. Another
overthe last fourdecades. Honda forexamplehave advantage ofthe IMA system is it' s capabilities for
used their knowledge in lean-bum combustion, long-range driving. Thelnsightcan travel inexcess
low-emissions, variablevalvetiming,highefficiency of600miles; all on a singletankofgasoline (1 0.6
motors, regenerative braking and nickel-metal gallon) [22].
hydride batteryto their advantage in developingthe
IMA system fortheir Insightmodel. Their aim was
to make the world's most fuel-efficient gasoline 6.2. Battery Management System (BMS)
powered automobile. Honda optimised the
performance ofeach ofthetechnologies within their Theprimary goal oftheBattery Management
knowledge base to create an efficient, lightweight System (BMS) is to increase the celllife of the
andcompacthybrid drive system. The advantage of batteries in aHEV. More cornmonlyreferred to as
the Electronic Control Unit (BCU), it manages
• ®
TABLEII
DRIVING RANGES FOR A SELECTION OF CURRENT HEVs
G)
® 0
• 9 , • <~
• ®
•
Figure 4: Parallel Configured HEV
HEV models on the rnarket; satisfyingthe majority vehic1es, but it is far less restrictive than forparallel
of all joumeys. Figure 4 has the same list of REV s. AIso, since the engine speed varies more
components as the series configuration, with the withina parallel configuration the emissions will be
addition of the ICE being able to operate the slightly higherthan whatyou wouldhave ina series
transmissiondirectly. configuredarrangement.
(/')
20
TABLEro
CURRENT AND FUTURE HEVs
BMW X3
Source: Hybrid Electric Vehicles - A General Review, John E W Poxon 2005.
will last longer than those of a comparable strategyfrom thelnsight, andimproved them for
conventional vehic1e; due primarilyto the onboard their Civic model. The Honda Civic, a parallel
regenerative braking. REV incorporates the second generation ofIMA.
The new IMA system combines a 1.3-litre, 4-
The Insight has an 8 year warranty on the cylinder i-DSI (intelligent Dual and Sequential
majorityofthepowertrain,anda3yearwarrantyon Ignition) gasolineenginewitha 1OkW ultra-thin
the rest ofthe caro Both the motors and the batleries permanentmagnet electric motor.
ofthe Insightrequireno maintenance overthe entire
life ofthevehicle. The currentprice ofwhich youcan During 2003 the Honda Cívic Hybrid set
purchase a Honda Insight is $19,085 (15,705 €). consecutive records during March, April and May,
The Honda Insight is not currently available in andsalesduring2003wereupbynearly20percent
Europe, it is only currently selling in the US and compared to those figures obtained during 2002
Japan. through to the endofMay. Work has gone into the
furtherdevelopmentofthepowertrain fortheHonda
8.2. Honda Civic Cívic, by improving the engine; with increased
motortorque, higherefficiency andimproved CVT
TheHonda Civic Hybridwas frrstreleased [28].
in the US in March 2002. TheHondalnsightwas
the firstvehic1e to introduce Honda 's Integrated TheHonda Civic hosts a computer control
Motor Assist (IMATM) system. The IMA system is system which manages the power ofthe motor,
themotorgeneratorsystemwhichpowersthevehicle. charging system andnickel metal hydride (NiMH)
Honda used the lessons learnt in HEV control and
The Honda Civic boosts a 40 percent better Away from the purely hybrid benefits, the
fuel economy than that of a comparable Civic Toyota Prius is considered even more
Sedan; achieving 51 mpg in the city and 46 mpg on environmental1y friendly as it is made from 90
the motorway. The vehicle meets the ultra-low percent recyclable materials. The ICE and the
emissions vehicle (ULEV) standard, by keeping electric motor are connected to the wheels by the
NOx belowrequiredlevels. TokeepNOx emissions sametransmission. The Prius can achieve 52 mpg in
within the ULEV, Honda developed a NOx the city, 45 mpg on the highways and can go from
absorptive catalytic converterwhich usedarnixture 0-60 mph in 14 seconds. However, Consumer
ofplatinum and other metals to attract the NO, reports magazine saythatundertesting the Toyota
molecules to its surfaceduring leancombustion. The Prius itachieved41 mpg [30]. Again, stressingthe
storedNOx is converted into harrnless nitrogen and factofthevariabilityinsuch estimations. Thecurrent
water by regeneratingthe catalyst on a regular basis sales price ofthe T oyota Prius is 25 ,912€ .
by changing the engine fuel strategy to a slightly
richerrun (more fuel andless air). Y ou can drive the 8.4. Current and Future Models
CivicHybridforupto 1,033km(asshownintable
JI) on a single tank ofgas; generating in the process The importantthingto consider forthe latest
50-80 percent feweremissions compared to that of HEV models into the market is the shifttowards the
a standard five-passenger caro The price at which premiumrange ofvehicles (Table III). The inclusion
you can buy a Honda Civic stands at roughly ofthe Lexus RX 400h at the beginning of2005 has
22,200€. made itthe world's firstluxury hybrid vehicle. The
LexusRX 400h wiIl further gotowards breakingthe
8.3. Toyota Prius EV minded vehicle buyers by offering a substantial
268 hp. With increasing movements towards the
The T oyota Prius was in fact the [lIst mass premium end ofthemarket, the commercial success
producedHEV in theworld. During2005, Toyota ofHEVs and 4x4s vehicles as a whole is sure to
has currently imported 1,000 Prius models per grow.
month to the US from Japan, and sales are at their
highest in Southern California and the Pacific In fact, even theEuropean carmanufacturers
Northwest. Themainobjectiveoftheinclusionof suchasAudi, BMW or Porschewho werereluctant
the Prius was to reduce exhaust emissions in urban to develop HEVs, will soon begin to offer this
areas, and in order for Toyota to accomplish this technologyin sorne new mode1s. Volkswagen wiIl
they designed and created a paraIlel hybrid al so develop aHEV forthe Chinese market before
powertrain. It boasts sorne of the benefits that the next Olympic Games (2008) which will be
would be achieved from both a series anda paraIlel celebratedinBeijing.
hybrid; named aptly the Toyota Hybrid System
(THS) [29]. Thesenewplannedmodels wiIl includenovel
solutions such as the supercapacitortechnology in
The Prius uses a power split device which the BMWX3 hybrid. Al so, the integration ofsolar
aIlows the engine to be atits most efficient loadand ceIls into the open sky system (the SUV's large-
speedrange forthe majority ofthetime. The Power format glass sunroot) in thenew Audi Q7 hybrid in
Split Device (PSD) is regarded as the heart ofthe orderto add another source of energy.
22
Since the introduction ofhybrid cars in the
9.HEV MARKET STATUS US rnarket in 1999, sales have had a rapid increase,
as shown in figure 6. These sales have grown by an
The objective ofthis section is to describe the averageannual rateof88 .6% from 2000to 2003 ,
current rnarket status of the European , US and accordingtoMichigan-based R.L. Palk& Ca. In
Japanese rnarkets for HEYs. Figure 6 displays contrast, accordingtoABJ Research, in 2006 REV
graphical representations ofthepredictions foreach sales wiU represent 10% ofthe 2 million rnidsize
rnarket in orderto illustrate the following trends. vehicles sold annually in the US market [31].
Undoubting, looking at figure 6 it is clearto seethat
9.1. European Market this rnarket along w1th the Japanese has the rnost
potential riding on it.
Due to the healthy diesel tradition and the
permissivepolicies in ernission legislation in Europe, 9.3. Japanese Market
HEV sales have not been as substantial as those
currently in the USo Anotherreason forthis is that In2003 , HEYs wereposition thirdinJapan' s
Europeans are not as excepting for hybrids as the Autamotive Emerging Technologies Study [32] ,
US have currently been. Sorne Europeans have basedonconsumerfamiliarity,interestandpurchase
refused to bel ieve in the hype behind this technology; intent. The two features which carne in front of
howeverthis is due to change overthe nextnumber REY s were navigation and night vision systems.
ofyears. For these reasons the European rnarket However, the REV technology leaped to first
will need more time in orderto getthe aggressive position within the same studythe foIlowing year.
incline like the Japanese and US markets have This fact iIlustrates the irnportance that the main
already witnessed (figure 6). Toyota do es hope to Japanese carmanufacturers (Handa and Toyota)
sell between 15 ,000 and 20,000 Prius' in 2005 , have in hybrid vehicles becoming a significant share
aiming to capture 0.11 % ofthe European rnarket. of the worldwide autornotive industry. The
resourceful commÍtment by bothHanda and Toyata
9.2. USA Market has had positive affects on the fmal Japanese
customers, as illustrated in figure 6. Tayata has
even begun to suggest in many congresses that
" 17.5% I
15.5% I
15.4% I
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24
Environmental Council (OEC) did a survey in late
inclusion and development ofbiodiesel. Overthe 2002 and ear1y 2003, expecting to receive the
lifetimeofaHEV the customerwill savemoney on feedback of 596 hybrid owners [37]. The results
fuel expenditure, which help top balance out the that they published are provided in figure 7. The
initialoffsetofcosts concemedand offerincentives results from the Oregon survey couldrepresentthe
into thepurchase ofHEV s. F or example, one can general view ofHEV s in the US; as there is not a
claim $2,000 ifhe buys a hybridcar certified bythe substantial difference with the views ofdrivers in
IRS (for example: Toyota Prius, Honda Insight other states within the USo
and Honda Civic Hybrid) during 2004 and 2005
in USA; this deduction is going to drop to $500 in At a frrst lookfuel savingcould be the most
2006 [34]. On top ofthe offered incentives, there popular answer to the question <<Reasons you
aremany states which offer additional incentives to boughtahybrid?». Thetruthisthatitobtainedan
this state deduction [35]. In [36], it is possible to impressive fourth position witha vote of71 percent.
check the different incentives in Europe. In the Accordingto this survey,pollute the air less, emit
particular, in the Spanish case, the subvention is less climate-changing CO2' appealing technology
reduced to Castilla Leon where it is able to get a are considered the most valuable advantages for
maximumreductionof4,800. hybrid owners. Therefore, the environmental
motivationis the unique hybrid sellingpoint. This in
TABLEV factis a marketing issue ratherthan a technical one
ESTIMATED ADDED RETAlL PRlCE FOR DIESEL ENGINES as the increase in CO2 emissions is equivalentto the
decreaseinfuelconsumption. (C0 2t=> kml- 1 ¡).
Midsize &.
Small Cars
Large Cars
2005 $1,750 $2,300 10.3. Image
2008 $2,280 $2,925
The image or background perception that a
Source: "Future Potential of Hybrid and Diesel Powertrains in the US
Light-Duty Vehicle Market", by David L. Greene, K.G. Duleep, and customerhas ofa prospectiveproductis animportant
Walter McManus, Report to Department of Energy, luly 2004. factor to take into account. In fact, the companies
are investing more and more into improving the
advertisedimage material.
TABLEIV
ADDED RET AlL PRICE FOR HYBRID SYSTEMS
Midsize &.
Hybrid System Small Cars
Large Cars
Stop/Start $600 $640
26
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage4
-Traditional
1/1 fossil fuel
.! -Start & Stop /
el
O -Biodiesel + Hydrogen
'O HEV
, Hydrogen FuetCells
c: .,_.-;' Fuel Cells
.r:; _ '... pptimisation r
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U
....
QI
presenee o/a eata/yst to yie/d mono-al"-y l esters eonfiguration is strongly supported by the Japanese
and gly eerin, wh ieh is removed [41]. There are and US markets [44] .
sorne arguments whieh favour the use ofbiodiesel,
for example: it is the Vo/kswagen option and it is Figure 8 shows the proposed automotive
starting to be used in a small seleetion ofgas petro I teehnologies estimations based on future legislation
stations around the world. However, the major and foreeasts [33 , 43-46]. Itean bedistinguished
disadvantage ofbiodiesel is still the high produetion that there are two time lines in figure 8; one for the
eosts. AIso, thepotential inereased use ofbiodiesel European market and other forthe US and Japanese
requires eautious refleetion of all environmental market. The first stage is justvalid fortheEuropean
impaets. While positive impaets sueh as deerease in marketwhere 12V systems sueh as Start/Stop and
fossil CO 2 emissions atthe eombustion stage are traditional vehicles willlive together [33]. This is a
evident, the indireet impaets sueh as from ferti Iizer transitional stage neeessary forthe European market
produetion, agrieulture, and fuel proeessing are due to a c1ear eornmon legislation absenee in favour
more eomplex to analyse [42]. of full hybrid or biodiesels forthe moment. In faet,
the systems with 12V whieh save sorne petrol and
Another parameter in order to know HEV emissions are the best option for a number of ear
future trends are earmanufaeturer' s opinions about manufaeturers [43]. However, these systerns will
the different requirements that they demand ofthe representaminority(Y¡ % » Y 2%).
batteries. Ford, Jaguar, Land Rover and Valva
managers have expressed the improbable The seeond stage will start around the year
introduetion ofa 42V supply dueto itis notaffordable 2010 for the European market and the next years
as a short-term solution for priee-sensitive forthe US and Japanese market. REV and biodiesel
mainstream passenger ears [43]. In the short-term, will inerease their pereentages on the market (X ¡%
aeeordingto [43] and [33] , the 12V systems sueh r r)
and X, % in this stage appreeiably due to the
as Start/Stop will be introdueed in the short-term restrietive legislation in the European market (e.g.
European ear market. However, the full hybrid Euro 5 [45-46]) and the benefits subventions and
28
fuel-cells. The generatedbrakingenergyis one c1ear [10] Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change.
example of green power which can be taken
[11] M. Walsh, «Global Trends in Diesel Emission
advantage ofwhen the currentdriving conditions Regulation».
are optimised; regardless offuturechoices ofenergy [12] S. Mourad, CI T. Van De Weijer & D.E. Beckman,
storage devices. «Internal combustion engines in hybridvehicles», Joumal
ofIMechE,1998,pp.27-35.
[13] M.H. Westbrook, «TheElectric Car: Development
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
and future of battery, hybrid and júel-cel! cars», The
Institution ofElectrical Engineers (IEE),200 1.
[14] A. Cooper, E. Crowe, M. Kellaway, D. Stone, P.
The authors wish to acknowledge the UK' s Jennings, «The Development and Testing ofa Lead-Acid
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Battery Systemfor a Hybrid Electric Vehicle (RHOLAB -
Council' s supportoftheworkat Warwick University A Foresight Vehicle Project)>>
Proceedings of the Future Transportation Technology
through their Innovative Manufacturing Centre. The
Conference, June 2003, Costa Mesa CA, USA.
authors would also like to thank Dr. Paul Jennings [15] ISOLABProject.
(principal research fellow at forthe Technology & URL: http://www.warwick.ac.uk/atc/tig/whatwedo/
Information Group (TIG) based in the Warwick projects/isolab42.php
Manufacturing Group (WMG)), Adrian Vinsome [16] Advanced Lead-Acid Battery Consortium
(ALABC)
(project Managerforthe Hybrid Vehic1es project
URL: http://www.alabc.orgl
within the Premium Automotive Research & [17] E. Razelli, «Prospectsfor lead-acid batteries in the
Development (P ARD) programme) and Stephen new millennium», Science DirectJoumal ofPower Sources,
Wan (Research fellowforTIG) fortheirencouraging Volume 116,Issues 1-2,pp.2+3,2003.
supportand guidancethroughoutthe developments [18] M.L. Soria, J. Chacón, l C. Hemández, D. Moreno
ofthis papero & A. Ojeda, «Nickel metal hydride batteries for high
power applications», Science Direct Joumal of Power
Sources, Volume 96, Issue l,pp. 68-75,2001.
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