YEAR Enrollees (Y) X X2 X4 XY X2*Y

2016 1259 -4 16 256 -5036 20144

2017 1046 -2 4 16 -2092 4184
2018 1198 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL 3503 -6 20 272 -7128 24328

a= 1120.80769230769 b= -356.4 c= 7.028846

Arithmetic straight Line

YEAR Enrollees (Y) a yi-1 Yc Y-Yc Y-Yc^2

2016 1259 -419.66667 0 0
2017 1046 -419.66667 1259 839.3333 206.6667 42711.11
2018 1198 -419.66667 839.3333 419.6667 778.3333 605802.8
3503
648513.9
a= -419.66666666667 SD= 464.9423

Arithmetic geometric curve

YEAR Enrollees (Y) %INC/DEC Yi+1 (1+r) Yc Yc-Y

2016 1259 0 1.010965 0 -1259
2017 1046 -0.2036329 0 1.010965 0 -1046
2018 1198 0.1268781 0 1.010965 0 -1198
-0.0767548

YEAR Enrollees (Y) X X2 XY a b

2016 1259 1 1 1259 1173.667 2
2017 1064 2 4 2128 1173.667 2
2018 1198 3 9 3594 1173.667 2
TOTAL 3521 6 14 6981 3521 6

a= 1173.667 b= 2
 a b X c X2 Yc Y-Yc (Y-Yc)^2 a
1120.808 -356.4 -4 7.028846 16 2658.869 -1399.869 1959634 1120.808
1120.808 -356.4 -2 7.028846 4 1861.723 -815.7231 665404.1 1120.808
1120.808 -356.4 0 7.028846 0 1120.808 77.19231 5958.652 1120.808
2630997
SD= 936.4822

Yc-Y^2
1585081
1094116
1435204
4114401
1171.096 SD

Yc Yc-Y Yc-Y^2
1175.667 -83.33333 6944.444
1177.667 113.6667 12920.11
1179.667 -18.33333 336.1111
20200.67
SD= 82.05824
 b X c X2 Yc
-356.4 6 7.028846 36 -764.5538
-356.4 8 7.028846 64 -1280.546
-356.4 10 7.028846 100 -1740.308
YEAR Enrollees (Y) X X2 X4 XY X2*Y
2016 1236 -4 16 256 -4944 19776
2017 1041 -2 4 16 -2082 4164
TOTAL 2277 -6 20 272 -7026 23940

a= 976 b= -351.3 c= 16.25

Arithmetic straight Line

YEAR Enrollees (Y) a yi-1 Yc Y-Yc Y-Yc^2

2016 1236 -618 0 0
2017 1041 -618 1236 618 423 178929
2277
178929
a= -618 SD= 299.1062

Arithmetic geometric curve

YEAR Enrollees (Y) %INC/DEC Yi+1 (1+r) Yc Yc-Y

2016 1236 0 1.02676 0 -1236
2017 1041 -0.1873199 0 1.02676 0 -1041
-0.1873199

YEAR Enrollees (Y) X X2 XY a b

2016 1236 1 1 1236 1138.5 1.5
2017 1041 2 4 2082 1138.5 1.5
TOTAL 2277 3 5 3318 2277 3

a= 1138.5 b= 1.5
 a b X c X2 Yc Y-Yc (Y-Yc)^2 a
976 -351.3 -4 16.25 16 2641.2 -1405.2 1974587 976
976 -351.3 -2 16.25 4 1743.6 -702.6 493646.8 976
2468234
SD= 1110.908

Yc-Y^2
1527696
1083681
2611377
1142.667 SD

Yc Yc-Y Yc-Y^2
1140 -96 9216
1141.5 100.5 10100.25
19316.25
SD= 98.27576
 b X c X2 Yc
-351.3 6 16.25 36 -546.8
-351.3 8 16.25 64 -794.4