10/10/21, 11:05 PM * Binomial probability formula (practice) | Khan Academy

Math · AP®︎/College Statistics · Random variables and probability distributions

· Introduction to the binomial distribution

Binomial probability formula

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An online retailer offers next-day shipping for an extra fee. The retailer says that 95% of customers
who pay for next-day shipping actually receive the item the next day, and those who don't are issued
a refund. Suppose we take an SRS of 20 next-day orders, and let X represent the number of these
orders that arrive the next day. Assume that the arrival statuses of orders are independent.

Which of the following would find P (X = 19)?

Choose 1 answer:

INCORRECT

20
( ) (0.95)(0.05)19
19

These exponents suggest that we want 1 success and 19 failures, but we want 19
successes and 1 failures.
Good work!
CORRECT (SELECTED) You got it. Onward!
20
( ) (0.95)19 (0.05)
19

This has the correct binomial coefficient for 19 successes

4 of 4in 20 trials, the correct
Show summary
probabilities for success and failure, and the correct exponents for number of successes
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10/10/21, 11:05 PM * Binomial probability formula (practice) | Khan Academy
and failures.

INCORRECT

95
( ) (0.95)19 (0.05)
20
95
The binomial coefficient ( ) suggests we're looking for 20 successes in 95 trials, but
20
we're looking for 19 successes in 20 trials.

INCORRECT

(0.95)(0.05)19

This is the probability of getting 1 success followed by 19 failures.

INCORRECT

(0.95)19 (0.05)

This is the probability of getting 19 successes followed by 1 failure, but there are more
ways to get 19 successes in 20 trials.

1/4
Probability of 19 successes

We want the probability that there are 19 successes (next day arrivals) in 20 trials
(number of orders), so we're going to need 1 failure (late arrival) as well. The probability of
each success is 0.95 and the probability of each failure is 0.05. Since weGood work!
were told to
assume independence, we can multiply probabilities to find the probability Youofgot
getting 19
it. Onward!
successes followed by 1 failure:

Math AP®︎/College
Statistics Random variables
4 of 4 Show summary
and probability distributions
Introduction to the binomial
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10/10/21, 11:05 PM * Binomial probability formula (practice) | Khan Academy
Introduction to the binomial
distribution P (SS … SF) = (0.95) (0.95) … (0.95) (0.05)
Introduction to the binomial
19
distribution = (0.95) (0.05)

probability distribution
The binomial coefficient ( )
2/4 n
k
Graphing basketball
binomial distribution
Nineteen successes followed by 1 failure isn't the only arrangement that produces 19
successes in 20 trials. For instance, the single failure could occur anywhere in the
Binompdf and binomcdf sequence of 20 trials and still produce the desired outcome. To count how many possible
functions
arrangements there are, we use the binomial coefficient ( ) . It tells us the number of
n
k
Binomial probability possible arrangements for k successes in n trials.
(basic)
In this problem, we want k = 19 successes (next day arrivals) in n = 20 trials (number
20
Practice: Binomial of orders), so we should use the binomial coefficient ( ) .
19
probability formula
[Tell me more about the binomial coefficient.]
Practice: Calculating
binomial probability
3/4 Putting it together

Each arrangement has probability (0.95)19 (0.05) so for our final answer we multiply this
Next lesson probability by the number of possible arrangements:

20
( ) (0.95)19 (0.05)
19

4/4 The answer: Good work!

20 You got it. Onward!
(
Related content ) (0.95)19 (0.05)
19
Binomial probability
example 4 of 4 Show summary
10:24

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10/10/21, 11:05 PM * Binomial probability formula (practice) | Khan Academy

Generalizing k scores in n
attempts
4:13

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Good work!
You got it. Onward!

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