Guidelines Homework 1, Hydrology, 2PAO2020

Hydrological Statistics I (18pts)

Name:
Objective: Practice the methods of hydrological statisctics (normal
distribution), using mean annual discharge data of various rivers in Latin
America. Data source: Global Runoff Data Center (GRDC), Koblenz, Germany.
Tasks:
1. Open the file assigned to every student (table in sidweb).Localize the basin
on a map (Google Earth etc.) – not only the outlet, but localize the entire basin
(topographical divide) (2pts)
BIOBIO BASIN

Fuente: Ministerio de Obras Públicas del Gobierno de Chile

2. Select the mean annual data corresponding to at least 10 months of a year.
Elaborate a basic statistics (mean, standard deviation, skew)(1pt), indicate
outliers and eliminate them (analysis of outliers). (1pt)
Round all numbers up to 1 digit.

[m3/S]
[m3/S]

[m3/S] [m3/S]

There are no outliers in the sample

3. Draw (dibuja) a histogram of the data. Apply a rule (regla) that defines the number of bins
(categorías). (2pts)
Sturges formula
𝑘𝑘 = [log 2 𝑛𝑛] + 1
𝑘𝑘 = [log 2 27] + 1
𝑘𝑘 = 5,75 ≅ 6

[m3/S]
[m3/S]

[m3/S]
[m3/S]

Q [m3/S]
4. Probability analysis: assign teoretical probabilities, compute the theoretical (Gauss) and
real standard normal variables, and cumulative real probabilities. Draw (dibujar) the
probabilities and discharges in a probabilistic paper of the Gauss distribution (similar to Fig.3
in the Spanish book 2b1). The Gauss papers are in the book 2b1. In the description of the
axis (eje) of probability indicate exactly which probability is it (probability to equal or
exceed the value? to not reach (no alcanzar) the value?) (4pt)
Q [m3/S]
5. Perform (Llevar a cabo) a test of goodness of fit, using the Kolmogorov Smirnov AND Chi
square method, for the significance levels of 0.05 and 0.2. Detailed tables of the critical
values of the tests are in the internet. (5pts). Comment on the results. Do you accept or
reject the Zero hypothesis and why? (1pt) Does the Gauss disttibution represent well your
river at both significance levels? Look at the histo gram, at the skew of the distribution and
the results of the tests . Would you recommend other distribution?(2pts).
Ho= The Gauss distribution represent the data.
Kolmogorov Smirnov Method
Chi square method