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HOW TO BE A

SUCCESSFUL
SCALPER

by

S I VA KU M A R
J AYA C H A N D R A N

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WO R L D M A R K E T A N D I T ’ S I M PAC T O N
INDIAN MARKET
Connecting the dots for option Scalping:

• Dow 30 futures • V WAP


• Vix • Super Trend
• OI Spurts 4 quadrants • Volume Candles
• OI Spurts and futures. • RSI
• IV data- 6 strikes • Parabolic SAR.

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WORLD MARKET

• Markets to be tracked:
• US 30 ( in real time) it is called DOW zones in futures.
• You can track DOW futures through out the day.
• S&P 500 and Nasdaq (last night not futures)
• Depending on us 30 (last night) Indian market may open flat or down or up.
• When US futures trade in +VE we can expect our markets also to trade in positive.
• If the previous night US 30 markets have fallen 300 points and today in live market may have just
30-40 points in that case the future may not have a major say and market will follow the last
night live and not future.

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WORLD MARKET

• If the US 30 market closes flat and US futures is trading in positive it will have positive impact on
our market. US 30 future’s will also take into account whats happening across the globe.
• On election results and budget days or on RBI policy announcements ,our market reacts to
domestic clues ignore the US market on those days.
• Other markets to track is DAX, CAC 40 and FTSE 100 in European market
• In Asian market we do track: Nikkei, Hang Seng
• What ever US 30 does in the previous night you will see the same follow up in Nikkei

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WORLD MARKET

• Hang Seng is an emerging market and does


more or less same what Indian market will do.
• SGX nifty we should not track to understand
Indian markets.
• Chinese market will not have major impact on
our market.
Suppose DOW is rising and Nifty has not risen
• If on a particular day our market does not so far it can be a hint to buy depending on
other factors supporting us.
appear to be following DOW, you may We will buy this dip in Nifty when DOW is
going up near the support on the chart.
disregard DOW as a factor for that day alone.

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V I X A S A FA C TO R

• Market moving Higher and VIX cooling down -Bullish


• Market moving lower and VIX stable -Bullish

• Market moving higher and VIX Rising -Bearish


• Market Moving Lower and VIX Rising -Bearish

• Market in sideways & VIX is erratic don’t consider vix as a factor.

India vix is correlating with the nifty 50 Stocks and there will be certain
days where vix will not be a factor

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V I X LOW E R I N G M A R K E T R I S I N G

7
Nest Trading Software Terminal Screen
with Strikes in Bank Nifty-Example.

You should choose the strike price based on the market trend pre opening. If the market is about to
move up then Select from ATM to OTM on call side and on put Side ATM and vice versa.

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TRADING -WITH VOLUMES

• The fall on the charts does not


have volume. That’s why the
VWMA and Super trend will work
here like a support level.

• Buy level is the V wap or super


trend.

• Trail the profit with stop loss.

• Deployed capital is not more than


20 to 30 percent.

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NO TRADE ZONE

• Candle between super trend and V wap


is a no trade zone and it will be a buy if
it comes to V wap with a low volume.
Or goes to Super trend with a low
volume to Short.
• If the volume is large like the three green
candle in the left we should not be keen
on taking the support trade.

10
T R A I L I N G S TO P LO S S
IN NEST

Put the trailing stop


loss above the buy
price. Which is
247.99 in this
example.
So we put the price
to 250 and trigger
price little higher.

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S TO P LO S S S C E N A R I O

Since the volumes are not there in the falling


market you need to build position at different
levels with stop loss being V wap where we
should exit all positions.

Average the position only when market can


take support at the chart indicators as
shown.

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O P T I O N O I S P U RT S - C O N C E P T

Rise in OI Rise in Price Bullish- Long Build 50% Increase in OI 50 Percent Increase in Price
(Quadrant1) up-Be an option
buyer here
Rise in OI Slide in Price Bearish-Short Build 50% Increase in OI 50% Decrease in Price
(Quadrant2) up here-Be an option
seller her
Slide in OI Rise in Price Short Covering and Taking the open interest away
(Quadrant3) Price will go higher from the system either profit
booking or covering loss.
Slide in OI Slide in Price Long Unwinding To be used only to Long Unwinding (Profit Booking)
(Quadrant4) Better to Avoid- Hedge the large
Bearish position

On a Gap up or Gap down day avoid this formula till 10.30 am

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W H AT I S O P E N I N T E R E S T ?

• Open interest is the position created in the future


or option segment to adjust their equity segment
position .
• Most of the positions are created by the sellers.

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WHEN THE INDIA VIX GOES ON
RISING?
• In this chart there is more green bar than a red
bar which means at this point the market is not
headed for a major sell off.
• When there is tough fight happening between the
buyer and the sellers are making more and more
position.
• If the seller is not creating the position VIX will
stay in the level where it is now.
• Market is falling from the higher level indicating
that it’s the buyers who are exiting the position
and not the sellers.
• At this juncture as a buyer also we should not
panic if VIX is not shooting and DOW is not
falling.

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I M P O RTA N C E O F D O W
AT T H E S U P P O R T Z O N E

• If the DOW is falling when the candle of


nifty or bank nifty are at support at
VWAP then we may have some issues as
well and market may fall from support.

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S H O RT S T R A D D L E
S T R AT E G Y

• Say spot future is 32500


• Selling the CE and PE both for the
ATM strike price of 32500 is the
Straddle Strategy.

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E O D D ATA I N T E R P R E TAT I O N

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E O D D ATA I N T E R P R E TAT I O N
• On 26th of April where bank nifty went up to from 32221 to 32302 and approximate 96,950 OI
Change up by 5.85 %, Price up, OI up is Long Build up.
• On 27th of April price went up by 439 Points and OI Reduced by 5.82% it was short
covering.
• On 28th April again price went up and OI went up so it was long build up.
• Once the shorts are covered you are giving a clue to the market that we are not
expecting this market to fall and you are expecting this market to rise. In this
scenario the buyers will come and buy it.
• Based on the EOD We can safely conclude that market is headed for a higher
opening on the 29th of April .

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T R E N D I N G O I D ATA A N A LY S I S

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T R E N D I N G O I D ATA A N A LY S I S

• In the trending data we can see that the


call Side OI is in Negative but the put side
OI is increasing. Which means the trend is
bullish and will remain bullish on the
opening.
• This will trap the people who are selling on
the call side.
• This will hold good unless there are some
major event or development overnight
globally.

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E X P I RY S P E C I A L S T R AT E G Y- D O I T
M O N D AY, T U E S D AY, W E D N E S D AY A N D
T H U R S D AY

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E X P I RY S P E C I A L S T R AT E G Y- D O I T
M O N D AY, T U E S D AY, W E D N E S D AY A N D
T H U R S D AY

We have chosen strike price from 32000 to


33500

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E X P I RY S P E C I A L S T R AT E G Y- D O I T
M O N D AY, T U E S D AY, W E D N E S D AY A N D
T H U R S D AY

▪ This gives us position in


these strike prices on where
the direction is going to be
for a particular strike price
and we can take trades based
on this.

▪ Based on this data we can


take our positions on expiry
and above days.

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E X P I RY S P E C I A L S T R AT E G Y- D O I T
M O N D AY, T U E S D AY, W E D N E S D AY A N D
T H U R S D AY

If you analyse the 33000 CE data you will


realise that long positions are being built on
the call side

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E X P I RY S P E C I A L S T R AT E G Y- D O I T
M O N D AY, T U E S D AY, W E D N E S D AY A N D
T H U R S D AY

If you analyse the 33000 PE data you


will realise that on 27th April there is
a 123.27% increase in OI but almost
44 percent reduction in price , the
premium for 33000 PE was 883 on
26th but on 28th it is 257.15 a huge
drop in Premium.
It is short built up and sellers are
making money. But we will not sell
ATM

At this time Bank nifty was trading at 33000

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E X P I RY S P E C I A L S T R AT E G Y- D O I T
M O N D AY, T U E S D AY, W E D N E S D AY A N D
T H U R S D AY

We would sell OTM and by doing so


we will be able to get lots of
premium.

At this time Bank nifty was trading at 33000

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E X P I RY D AY O I A N A LY S I S

We have taken a wide range of data of 1500 points range in Bank nifty ranging from
33000-34500 as the market moves in wide range these days we want to see where the
big fish has made there positions.

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E X P I RY D AY O I A N A LY S I S

At 34500 strike price Previous close from 5.30 to 16.80 with a high of 27.40, 216% increase
in price and 44.77 % increase in Open Interest.
A bullish Sign.

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E X P I RY D AY O I A N A LY S I S

At 34400 we don’t have massive volume created on the put side but there has been a huge
OI jump on the call side.
When you see the OTM strikes being bought aggressively it’s a bullish sign,

Once you see short covering happening at in the money and at the Money and
building up long positions on the OTM Strikes, the market is expected to move
further and further.

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E X P I RY D AY O I A N A LY S I S

At 34300 , 34400, 34500, all meet our requirement of 50% increase in OI and Price.
Look at the jump it closed from 7 rupees to 34.90 rupees almost a jump of 27 rupees.
At the same time we have not seen major short build up happening on put side at this
strike price , however there is a mild short build up happening at higher level.

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E X P I RY D AY O I A N A LY S I S

At 34000 CE the jump in price is 574 % and a short covering happening. Once 34000 is done they have build up a
position at 34100 with OI jumping from 83,650 to 26,5750 a 217% jump in OI and 515% increase in price.
At the same time on 34000 PE there is a short Build up. With 68% drop and 83 % increased in OI. Which means Put
is being written aggressively.
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E X P I RY D AY O I A N A LY S I S

Now we need to see the data of 34000 CE to know what is happening there. ( option analysis of that particular
strike price) In the last 15 min we see big unwinding happening. When the unwinding is happening you also see
short covering happening.

From the above data we have seen long build up on call side and short build up on put side so we can be bullish view
in this market.

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I M P O RTA N T P O I N T S
• It’s the sellers who create the OI in the market. If sellers are covering
their position it is called it is called Short Covering.
• If the buyers are exiting the position its called long un winding. So long
unwinding is done by Option buyers.

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I V D ATA ( I M P L I E D V O L AT I L I T Y )

• Each and every stock will have an IV.


• Different IV show up in different Strike price.
• We will be looking at 3 strikes above and 3 strikes below the ATM and get an
average.
• Average of IV on the call side is about 38 and on the put side its 43

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I M P L I E D VO L AT I L I T Y I N T E R P R E TAT I O N

CE PE INTERPRETATION

10 10 Low IV good for Trend Play, Lower the IV its better for Option buyer as well as
seller.
10 15 Premium Erosion on high IV if market is against the trend ( This is also called IV
Crash)
20 20 Mostly Premium Erosion

30 20 Bullish on the side higher IV, when 10 point or more difference if market moves on
that direction

40 40 Stay away from markets or play short Straddle

Higher the IV Premium is high, Lower the IV premium is low


We need the IVs to be higher on the side market is moving, so the Premium will go higher along... If not
we will see futures rallying... But not the Options Premium...

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I M P L I E D VO L AT I L I T Y I N T E R P R E TAT I O N

• 2 -3 years back IV level used to be 10 and 10 on both call and put side and premium used to be
very low.
• IV level of 10 and 10 also indicates that there is no demand at all. It means that the sellers are
offering a product and there are no takers even at that premium. IV is similar to vix it indicates
demand and supply.
• If there is more demand IV will be more, if there is less demand the IV will be less. It is indirectly
correlated with vix and the reason is if the vix shoots up higher it triggers the IV also to move
higher because demand will also shoots up.
• The present higher IV is due to unexpected market moves.
• If the sellers are controlling the direction of the market IV will be lower in the direction
of the trend.

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I M P L I E D VO L AT I L I T Y I N T E R P R E TAT I O N

• On Nifty the IV is 20.78 and on


put side it is 26.49
• On call side 14800 is trading at
60.4 Rupees on the call side it is
trading at 84 Rupees on put
side.
• If the spot price is 14775 then
the intrinsic value on the put
side for tomorrow expiry
(14800-14775) will be 25
rupees. ( chips)
• This means something that
should be trading at 25 rupees is
trading at 84
• On the call side entire premium
can go to zero has it is trading
well below 14800 Mark.

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I M P L I E D VO L AT I L I T Y I N T E R P R E TAT I O N

• On the higher IV side that is Put


side the loss of premium is 104
rupees but the gain is only 36.35
rupees on the lower IV side as
the demand is less that side.
• Higher the IV Higher the fall if
the market is against the trend.
• (IV Crash)
• When Market goes in opposite
direction... everyone will try to
exit... Automatically IV will fall &
premium will fall faster👍
• See this data from a sellers
Perspective. If the seller is
controlling a particular direction
naturally the IV will be lower.

IV will increase it gives a clue that buyers are coming in.


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I M P L I E D VO L AT I L I T Y I N T E R P R E TAT I O N
• Increased IV implies that the buyers
are coming in.
• If IV is going to be lower and market
is moving in the direction it means
still it is dominated by the Sellers.
• If buyers are dominating you will see
higher IV on that particular side.
• In this example call side IV is 20.89
and Put Side IV is 27.05. Because still
the buyers are coming and buying on
the put side. Because they believe
that the market has rallied too much
and they expect a fall to be
happening.

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I M P L I E D VO L AT I L I T Y I N T E R P R E TAT I O N

• On the other hand call side IV is only 20.89


because many people are not interested in buying
a call in todays market scenario.
• Also the rise in premium in the call side is not
much compared to the higher IV side.
• Because the buyers are exhausted on the call side
and they feel market may go down.
• However in the 2nd half if the market is not falling
the IV will reduce on the put side which indicates
that they buyers are unwinding their positions.
• Once buyers are exiting premium will crash like
crazy.

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I M P L I E D VO L AT I L I T Y I N T E R P R E TAT I O N

• Premium erosion on the high IV side will be


higher if the market is against the trend.
• So if the other dots are suggesting an up move
and IV is not supporting this up move it only
means that buyers are not there on that side and
move may not be sustainable.
• When the market is moving in a particular
direction and you see the IV higher on that
direction that time you can join the direction but
check the several aspects on the chart. If the RSI
is in overbought zone don’t even bother.

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I M P L I E D VO L AT I L I T Y I N T E R P R E TAT I O N

• In this example we can see that at


33100 the IV is 43.27 on put side loss
of premium is 323.15 compared to gain
of 144.35 gain on the call side.

• You can also see that in deep in the


money the gain is almost 297 rupees at
strike price 32400. So the potential
gain is more on deep in the money .

• Inspite the market moving 800 points


you are able to get only 297.45 points
move.

• When the IV level is same on the call


and put you will see premium erosion
very vey fast.
On Wednesday the IV normally crashes from higher to lower and
Premium erosion is rapid.
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C H A RT S E T T I N G S

Volume
SAR (0.02,0,02,0.2)
VWAP
VWMA (20)
Super Trend ( 10,2) 3
min
RSI 80-20
Open Interest

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C H A RT S E T T I N G S
• Levels at which you can be a buyer or a seller of a future:
• RSI above 50-75 is a buy zone
• RSI of 75-80 is a Profit booking zone no fresh entries to be taken here.
• RSI of 40-25 is a buy zone on a put side
• RSI 25-20 is the profit booking zone.
• RSI 40-50 is a no trade zone.
• To enter the trade in Bank nifty we need two consecutive candle and 50 K volume in a 3 min candle the single direction. (
after 10.30 am) for Nifty it is 125 K volume on a 3 min candle.
• 3rd Candle is the entry and first candle low is the stop loss.
• Also because IV data is same and vix is more than expected. Vix need to cool off for market to move up.
• If vix is rising then it is a sell market on every rise.
• The gap between the Candle and the PSR larger rally can be expected. PSR below the candle is a buy and above the candle is a
sell.
• Buying Decision: If we see on the chart 2 consecutive candle green RSI between 50-75, and its trading above the V wap, the PSR
is giving a buy signal Super trend is giving a buy signal and good volume candle this it’s a 3rd candle buy with stop loss below the
low of first candle. As the market keeps moving up and up you will put previous candle low as a stop loss as positional every 30
min you will have a new high getting created and the low of the new high candle will be the new stop loss.

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R E A D I N G T H E C H A RT

3rd Candle Buy

46
BEST BTST TRADE CONDITION
• Ascending
Volume

• Candle closing
on day high,

• Drop in OI
due to short
covering.

• RSI not in
overbought
Zone

• Take the trade


for next day in
the last candle

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I M P O RTA N C E O F W M A O N A C H A RT
▪ On a non trending day a day of not large move WMA
acts like a small support or resistance and acts like a
first line of defence.

▪ Once WMA is broken the next level of support is


Super trend

▪ Once the super trend is broken the next level of


support is V WAP.

▪ Once V WAP is broken market can go lower and


lower.

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I M P O RTA N C E O F W M A O N A C H A RT

▪ When ever there is a large gap between V wap and


Super trend , 20 period WVMA works like a first line
of defiance.

49
C H A RT S E T T I N G S
• Super trend setting has to be 10, 2 for a 3 min time frame and 7,3 for a 15 min and one hour
time frame.
• PSR dot above the candle is a sell signal and below the candle is a buy signal.
• Super trend above the candle and red colour is a sell and below the candle and green colour is a
buy
• Candles below the V wap is a sell and candles above the V wap is a buy.
• We need to check the other dots to make a buy or sell decision and not on one isolated move
or indicator in order not to get trapped.

50
S U P E R T R E N D M O V I N G O V E R V WA P

A Super trend V Wap cross over like


this can given 200-300 points move.

51
ANOTHER EXAMPLE OF SUPER TREND
A N D V WA P C RO S S OV E R

A Super trend V Wap cross over like this backed up by


good volume it can given easily give
200-300 points move.

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S U P E R T R E N D V WA P M OV I N G TO G E T H E R

If V Wap and Super trend


travel together and the
market falls it can break
both levels at the same
time and go down faster.

53
S U P E R T R E N D V WA P M OV I N G TO G E T H E R

If V Wap and Super trend


travel together and the
market may not give very
big move unless it breaks
on the other side with a
cross over.

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S U P E R T R E N D M OV I N G OV E R V WA P

Super trend crossing V WAP is a


signal that Market will move up.

55
O P P O RT U N I T Y TO B U Y

If the price comes to super trend,


V wap or WMA it’s a buy again.
This is because the DOW is not
falling and the downtrend vix gives
all clues for the market to go up.

56
V O L U M E C O N F I R M AT I O N

When markets are rising the volume


bars are big but when its falling the
volume bar is not big enough.
This is a good situation for buy on dips.

57
N O N T R E N D I N G D AY C H A RT

If the gap in OI data of call and put is not much it will keep playing between V wap and Super trend.

58
E N T RY P O I N T I N T H E T R A D E

The entry point in the trade


which is buy put on rise should
be near the V wap and Super
trend. Keep averaging on these
points. Provided all other data
are supporting the market
down trend, check Vix and
Dow also
In this pic the market is not
moving higher with Volumes.

59
O B S E RV E T H E R S I W H E N M A R K E T
MAKES WILD MOVES

Above 80 RSI is a overbought zone and it indicates small corrections at this level.

60
C H A RT O F A B E A R I S H M O V E

When market is going up its going up with a low


volume but when it falls the volume of fall is
much larger. This is a good sign for a bearish
move.

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P L AY I N G IN THE RANGE MARKET

If the market is trading between V wap and Super trend it’s the most difficult period to trade as we
don’t know if its going to be above the v wap or below the super trend. Either of the zone is to be
broken with a volume to get the trend confirmation.

62
BREAKING THE RANGE

After consolidation the trend is established below the super trend, we will wait for two red candles
with 50 k volume, we will enter at the third candle and 1st candle high will be our stop loss.

63
B U L L I S H T O N E A N D D AY
HIG H C LOS ING

If you see bank nifty in this pattern


on a daily chart last 5 days have
closed in green on a days high
called bullish tone and the market
closes on days high but if there is
some profit booking based on
other parameters its not going to
be a good sign.

64
W H E N N OT TO C H A S E A T R A D E

When RSI already reached 20 level its not worth taking the risk in trade, there is a
strong possibility of trend reversal.

65
D E P L OY I N G C A P I TA L AT E V E RY D I P
30 percent
of capital to
be deployed
at each of
these levels

In the scenario as above, we should use every dip as a buying opportunity. We will be deploying 30% capital only on each buy level. If RSI is
cooling off till 70-75 its good news. But if it suddenly comes to 50 level then it can be a cause of concern. Also the size of the volume candle is
more on the bullish side. If we see few red towers then we need to be worried. We must always buy deep in the Money .
If the market is going into a consolidation mode then no point in holding the trade wait for the breakout to happen and then join
the party. We will follow the above two slides only in the opening trade. ( or else connecting dots)
66
D E P L O Y I N G C A P I TA L

67
OI PULSE AND ITS USES
W E B I N A R C O N D U C T E D
O N 3 R D O F M AY 2 0 2 1

68
DA S H B OA R D

69
DA S H B OA R D
• DOW tells us how the market is going to be. The world markets is corelated with DOW futures
and it goes up and down based on what DOW futures does.
• Our market also gets guided by how the US Market behaved last night.
• When Dow future rallies we can expect India Nifty futures to rally the similar manner.
• ON the India vix we need a trend to emerge. If the trend is negative we can expect market to go
higher and higher.
• Vix will shoot up or down depending on the people getting in on the sell side.
• Crude and USD INR can have a direct co-relation on the nifty and bank Nifty.
• If crude goes up and rupee depreciates it will increase the inflation, and RBI will be forced to
increase the interest rates and it will impact the banks in a negative way.
• It will impact bank Nifty as Bank Nifty has 35 % weightage in the Nifty too.

70
F U T U R E - O I A N A LY S I S

Get the Over all trend on a larger time frame of 60 min. In this example it looks bullish. As the day high is broken
and they are also making new OI of 48100 which is a bullish sign.
If price on the Previous close has increased and also the OI has increased this is a bullish sign.
Between 9.30 to 10.30 am though the volume traded is 9,97,275 but the OI change is only 575 which means
existing positions were traded and not fresh positions were made.
Long Build up means the price on that particular Instrument can keep moving higher

71
F U T U R E - O I A N A LY S I S

Short Covering means some one has covered his sold position and this is why we see the
50 no's of short covering.

72
F U T U R E - O I A N A LY S I S

On a trend day you will see price going up, oi increasing and long build up happening and day high breaking.

73
F U T U R E - O I A N A LY S I S

The shorter time frame are meant for scalpers who want to trade for 10 points and 15 points.

74
A P P L I C AT I O N O F L O N G B U I L D - U P

When market moves on account of long build up it means it can sustain the rally for some time.

75
O I P U L S E F U T U R E A N A LY S I S
On the OI Pulse
future analysis
between 13.30 to
14.30 there is a long
build up with LTP
Change of 142.35 with
OI change of 42,125
on a 60 min time
frame but from 14.30
to 15.30 the LTP
change is only 10.70
with a OI change of
70150,so we will not
carry forward this
position. To know the
reason lets see the
shorter time frame.

76
O I P U L S E F U T U R E A N A LY S I S
This can be checked on a
5 min time frame lot of
long unwinding and short
build up has happened at
the higher level between
2.30 PM and 3.30 PM
It is not closing at days
high with a short covering
or long build-up.
Its closing with a mixed
emotion. So it is not
extremely bullish but
bullish as over all texture
of the market is bullish.
Still with a global market
support we can get a
good gap up.

We can use this feature to analyse all other stocks future to predict its next day behaviour
77
F U T U R E A N A LY S I S - E I C H E R M O T O R S

Towards the fag end there is a


long unwinding happening at the
end of the day. We should not
carry a position in this
situation.

We can use this feature to analyse all other stocks future to predict its next day behaviour

78
S H O RT B U I LT U P F O R S C A L P I N G

This kind of short built up is used by hardcore scalpers to scalp at every possible opportunity.
Not ideal for people who are looking for positional setup.

79
POSITIONAL SETUP

For positional set up don’t change your direction unless the market direction is changed on a
larger time frame. It has strong buying increase OI and increase in price which is all set to be
bullish bias. In this scenario we should not bother much about 5 min or 10 min time frame the
reason is these are the temporary one’s to weed out the weak hands form the system. People
like Shiva will add more trade when market comes in the zone of Vwap and super trend.

80
S O M E M O R E D ATA A N A LY S I S
• In Nifty with just a change of
10875 OI short build up the
price fell down by 26 rupees
but with OI change 8,21,400
the price went up only by
33.85.This is not a good news.
This means for every rupees
some or the other unwinding
keep happening at the higher
level and some one keeps on
buying so price is not moving
up hence not good for going
long on Nifty aggressively.
In an ideal situation there should be 50 rupees price change
with 100000 OI change. Then there will be a demand or else its
more like a supply.

81
S O M E M O R E D ATA A N A LY S I S

• With this kind of short built up the price should have fallen considerably. But since the
stock is highly liquid people will jump in buy and then take the price higher.

Any stock that is operator driven we should stay away.

82
O I S P U RT D ATA O N F U T U R E S

Oi Spurt on future gives the 4 quadrant . In the long built up we expect the price and OI to go up gradually through
out the day for he price to keep moving. Nifty and bank nifty in the long built up suggests that it is a buy on dips
market.
In Short built up some one is shorting the market for it to go lower.
Anything coming in long unwinding quadrant avoid them, as no one is building any position in them, and you will see
premiums eroded.

83
O I C H A RT

OI Charts will give you a clue on how the data has been trending on the future segment.
If the market is going higher along with the OI it is going to be a trending day.
In this market any fall will be a buy as it will give a significant advantage.

84
E X A M P L E O F A T R E N D I N G D AY

On a trending day market keeps making new high and new OI is added every 30 minutes.
Any fall in this market is a buying opportunity. But when market is coming down watch out for
the volume. Volume has to be low.

85
O I C H A RT

OI CHART FOR 10TH MAY 2021-SHORT COVERING TOWARDS THE END OF THE DAY

86
E O D O I A N A LY S E R

Tell exactly what happened on that day and what will happen tomorrow,
also how the big money has positioned them shelves in last one week.

87
OI BUZZ-FUTURES

OI Buzz tells you in one screen which of the futures are making a buzz either on upside or
on downside. Either deep green you can go long on it and it them shelves is deep red short
it.
You can type a specific group or stock on the top search menu to find more details about it.
88
B A N K A N A LY S I S - I N F U T U R E S

6 Prominent bank and their behavior on different time frame can be seen
here.
89
BANKS IN ONE HOUR TIME FRAME

Either there is a long position or there is a short build up.


HDFC and kotak are retail one and SBI, Axis and ICICI are corporate ones they tend to move in opposite direction.
When corporate and retail are moving in opposite direction these are the days of consolidation.
When retail and corporate both participate in a rally that is a very good news for that sector.
90
T R E N D I N G O I A N A LY S I S

If the market is going


higher and the call
prices are going
higher we don’t want
to see the Call OI
should go higher
compared to Put OI

If market is going
higher PUT side OI
will go up and vice
versa.

When the trending OI on Nifty does not have significant gap it is not going to be a day of big moves as the gap in call side and put side
OI is just 4 lakhs, If the call side and put side premium is going to be same in the that case it is just a premium erosion day.

91
OPTION CHAIN

• It gives a clear pic on where the short build up happening and where long build up is
happening. The boxed OI is the maximum OI positions.
• Also we see IV data as it plays a major role in option prices. Higher the IV higher the premium
and if call side and put side IV are travelling together you can see premium erosion.
• 40 and 40 on IV you can play a Short Straddle.

92
OPTION CHAIN COLUMN
S E L E C T I O N F E AT U R E

You can now customize the view of option chain. You can choose which columns to show
and hide in your option chain.

93
WA I T I N G F O R T H E T R E N D TO
E M E RG E

Some days you will find both short and long build up at the same strike price before the
market opens, this can be a sign of premium erosion, however we need to wait till 10 am to
see a clear trend emerging.

94
E X A M P L E O F S H O RT S T R A D D L E

This is the short straddle of 33000 strike price because here the open interest on the call side
was maximum. Don’t go for the short straddle on the trend day. Also choose a strike which has
higher IV

95
TRENDING OI
A N A LY S I S
• Reduction in Trending OI means the people who had taken
the position are taking off their position as the trend is not in
their favor.
• If OI goes into negative on a particular side it means you can
expect more and more short covering to happen on that side.

96
A N A LY S I S O F O I

The Put side OI is reducing and call side OI is increasing which means more calls are being
writing and more puts are being covered. It indicates a bearish potential move in the market.
97
T R E N D I N G O I A N A LY S I S - N I F T Y

OI is increasing from 55 to 75 as call writers are active and more people are writing call ( so market will be
bearish) in call side and on put side it has come down from 55 to 38 because of the market fall option writers
are covering their position , so market is going to be bearish.

98
T R E N D I N G O I A N A LY S I S - B A N K N I F T Y

We wanted the call side OI to be reducing but call side OI is increasing slightly in this case. Put side OI is
reducing which means there is short covering and the price will trigger a larger rally on the upside.
In this situation every rise is getting sold.

99
T R E N D I N G O I A N A LY S I S

The gap between call and Put side OI has reduced from 24 lakhs to 9 lakhs. It means put writers are
covering their posit. We wanted the call OI to be increasing and put OI to reduce in order to have a clear
emerging trend on bearish side. More reduction on Put side OI indicates covering on the Put side. And
increase in call side OI indicates writing on call side.
100
CHECKING THE TRENDING OI
D ATA

Check the trending OI data , if this confirms then there may be one more round of downward move
before punters make their next move.

101
O P T I O N A N A LY S I S O F I N D I V I D U A L S T R I K E P R I C E

First choose a strike price and see the larger time frame, which in this case does not give a clear picture. Initially the trend was not clear between 9.15
to 12.30 but later you see Significant OI build up on the call side which means market is in the direction of moving down and short covering also
supports that market will go down. Plus price is moving lower and lower. So the Put side option seller on the strike price of 14600 are exiting position
and they can take the position on the call side to join the party. The long unwinding on the top also proves that there may not be further upside so the
people who were long on 14600 are booking their position. It confirms the trend. Long unwinding and short covering on higher level both confirms the
market downtrend at this strike price. The price on the options have gone from 71 to 113

102
E N T RY P O I N T I N T H E T R A D E

The entry point in the trade


which is buy put on rise should
be near the V wap and Super
trend. Keep averaging on these
points. Provided all other data
are supporting the market
down trend, check Vix and
Dow also
In this pic the market is not
moving higher with Volumes.

103
O N C E YO U S E E T H E A B OV E C H A RT C H E C K
T H E T R E N D I N G O I DATA AG A I N

It can be see from the data that in last 15 min there is no fresh low break, which means there is a
consolidation going on.

104
ONCE YOU S EE THE ABOV E C HART C HEC K THE
T R E N D I N G O I DATA AG A I N

At around 12.55 the change in call and Put OI were similar. But towards 13.35 the call side OI increased and
put side decreased which means that the market is ready to go down. There should be a steady growth in
the call side for market to fall but in last 15 min or so the change in call side OI is more or less same which
indicates premium erosion may happen.
105
O N A T R E N D I N G D AY T H E T R E N D I N G O I
DATA LO O K S L I K E T H I S

106
P R E M I U M E R O S I O N A N D D ATA

When you see call and put side data more or less same that is the zone of premium erosion

107
CHECKI NG A STRI KE PRI CE TO KNOW I F
T H E M A R K E T C A N FA L L F U RT H E R .

Spot price =14640, we are checking 14500 because ( OTM Strike for Put) If punters want to take the market lower they will be taking some
positions on the OTM Strikes as well. Here we can see that see OTM Strikes on put side getting covered and there is no long build up on the
call side. It Is expected that 14500 call price to fall and we should see a long build up happening on the put side only then there will be a
further momentum on the down side.
As long as long build up is not happening we should not take OTM Strike.

108
LETS CHECK ANOTHER OF IN THE
MONEY( LONGER TIME FRAME)

At 14800 we see long unwinding. It indicates that market is not going to fall further and lets book the profits we should not take fresh positions here. It also
indicates that we may not get any major moves. Only when there is a long build up then the writers will be frightened and the short
covering may start. Today the writers are controlling the market because markets are consolidating.
We know that as whose levels are more or less same on the call and the put.
Only when the buyers are coming on any one side the IV level can increase.

109
O I C H A RT

In this case the call side OI is increasing and PUT side OI is reducing means shorts are covering. We need the
call side OI not to travel in a straight line indicating a consolidation mode. We rather expect it to increase
gradually for market to fall.

110
O I C H A RT

You can also check the Price movement along with OI, here you can check long build up or short build-up

111
O I S P U RT

A 50 % Increase in OI and 50 % increase in Price – long build-up and 50% reduction in Price and
50% increase in OI that is short build up.
Since none of the conditions are met above it also indicates that it is going to be a side ways day.

112
BIG OI MOVEMENTS

Big OI will get updated only where there is any significant action happens on a particular OI.
As you can see at 10 onwards on the call side there is a massive short built up and also about
1 pm we have very high short covering on the put side. As you can see on the call side there
is short build up that means calls are being written which means market will fall and its
bearish sign.

113
W H AT I S B I G O I A L L A B O U T ?

Big OI is all about some one creating a massive position on either side. If some one is building a position on call side at all strike price
ATM , OTM and ITM it’s a clear sign that market may move down. The shorts on the put side is covering not only ATM but also ITM and
OTM strikes that also proves that the market is getting to go down.

114
C O N F I R M AT I O N O F B I G O I M O V E

We also check the trending OI and see that the call side OI is increasing and also Put side OI should
either stay there or reduce.

115
O I S TAT I S T I C S

OI Stat gives us the info on where the writers have got maximum position. On the call side 33000 strike price has been written aggressively. So
you can not expect the market to be going above this point. Unless and until some massive short covering is happening. And 32000 and 32500 is
going to be on the put side. This is a cumulative data. If you want to see the data today. If you see the OI on the Put side bar becoming smaller it
means market may fall more and more.

116
O I S TAT I S T I C S - N I F T Y

On the call side the OI build up is there. Which means that market will fall down. Put writers are not making any fresh positions it means they
are expecting the markets to fall more and more. The cumulative data also tells you the market bias.

117
O I S TAT S
Upper
Lower
range
range

This can give you the maximum resistance on the call ( 34000) and the Put Side (33000). So trend is going
to be between this range. Either side if the range is broken the shorts need to be covered and it will trigger
a rally.

118
O I S TAT S ( E X A M P L E 2 0 - 0 5 - 2 0 2 1 )

Upper
Lower
range
range

In this data we can see that on the call side there has been massive writing at 34000 and on the Put side
there is writing at 33500 and majorly at 33000. On an expiry day we have to be very careful about the
premium play. The market is supposed to play in between 33000 and 34000 as per this data.

119
OPTIONS PREMIUM

If more premium is available on the call side I would be more happy to write the call Option. Provided if dow
futures in falling, vix is rising and Asian markets is falling, so in this case we can short the market as it will not
move up in all probability.
120
OPTIONS PREMIUM AND MARKET DIRECTION

Options premium can also give a direction of the market. It is clear that more and more puts are
written at every strike price and hence the market direction will be up

121
O P T I O N S P R E M I U M A N D E X P I RY D AY

On an Expiry day if the call side premium is 40-50 rupees more than put side premium at 33700 . It is not a good
sign for a call buyer in the morning. imagine a gap down scenario in market it will provide a golden opportunity for
the option writers to eat the premium in the morning.
If the premium is very high as shown its very difficult to catch up this due to time value decay of premium.

122
O P T I O N S P R E M I U M A N D E X P I RY D AY

If you are trying to buy an ATM call as premium is still 136 to be zero for sure you and will be loosing so we must
play in Deep ITM of 300-400 points. When premium on one side it is better for a writer.
123
O P T I O N S P R E M I U M A N D E X P I RY D AY

All the deep ITM on the Put side are trading at a discount which means in case the buyer buys the seller
has to sell out 18.50 rupees from his pocket.

124
A C T I V E S T R I K E F E AT U R E S

This gives you a meter to indicate whether the market will go higher or lower. If it is trading in the positive side
you can get into the positive momentum if not into a negative momentum. We needed to see the sentiment
meter moving above 50 and then keep on going higher. In the Active strike change in OI data both call and Put
travelling together shows the Sideways movement.

125
ACTIVE STRIKE IV
▪ Collated the Active strikes
where the move is
happening and also track the
data on where the buyers
are coming in.
▪ IV has jumped to 42.45 on
the Put side because more
buyers came in. After the
move the IV is coming down
which means the buyers are Premium Erosion zone
exiting now.
▪ Call side IV is getting lower
and the market is getting
lower.
▪ It means buyers are flocking
on the put side.
▪ More the IV more the
buyers less the IV sellers are
making the money.

126
I N T E R V A L W I S E O I D ATA

• It tells where exactly is long


build-up and short build up
happening.
• In last 15 mins all the OI gain
has happened on the call side
means call writing and it is
short build up. So new
positions are happening on
the short side.
• ON the put side in 15 min
there is a short covering
happening. Every rise is to be
sold in the market.

127
VIX AND PRICE
Market
going
Higher vix Market
cooling going
down Lower vix
Going
Higher

More the cross over in a vertical manner more the market will fall or go up depending on the
direction of the cross over.

128
C A P I TA L M A R K E T D ATA

It tells exactly where the cash market volumes are. In this case the FII’s are selling and the DII’s are supporting.

129
D E R I V I T I V E M A R K E T D ATA

Towards the end they have sold some futures and bought some Index Options. They know how to adjust their
positions.

130
D E R I V I T I V E M A R K E T D ATA

If we scroll down we see that they have sold the futures bought the index options
( bought is green , sold is red)

131
P A RT I C I P A N T W I S E O I D ATA

Over all trend


looks very
bearish and it
can be
concluded
from the right
most column.

132
R I S K C A L C U L AT O R

Suppose you have 5 lakhs capital the maximum you can deploy in any trade is 1.5 lakhs. Not more than 30% in a single
trade. Choose your risk Appetite. Normal day 10 % and expiry day upto 30%,Select instrument, expiry date and strike
price. Choose CE or PE, It gives you the higher range or pyramiding of buying. It gives the number of lots, stop loss
and target price automatically.

133
C O N N E C T I N G D OT S

Bank nifty was overall bullish on the larger time frame in the morning. And Last one hour its turning out to
be bearish due to indicators shown above.

134
B A N K A N A LY S I S

In the Future Analysis and bank Analysis if the hourly time frame can showcase that all the
banks are in long build up then you can definitely expect bank nifty to be bullish. But in this
example HDFC Bank is having Short build up.

135
E X P I RY D AY S T R A R E G Y

We will choose strike price 500 points up and down on bank


nifty. Lets see the example of one strike price and analyse. It We will buy a put because the market has
says that the data has fallen from 817.25 to 500.70 to the low rallied from a level of 185 to 500 and the OI
of 254, where the buying came in and it closed at 512.35
has come down from 6.66 to 5.53
OI Jumped from 1.83 lakhs to 7.76 lakhs meaning that at the
lower level buying was emerging. It shows short built up but
buying was emerging at lower level.
Similarly next day from 512 it opened at 690, went high at
758 and now trading at 283.
The OI is from 7.76 to 7.52. Based on this data tomorrow we
will do sell on rise on the call side as a call writer and I will
buy a Put.

136
O N T H E T R E N D I N G O I A N A LY S I S

We see a
reduction in OI
in the call side
and build up on
the put side,
which means
market is likely
to go up
On the call side
we saw a short
covering and
long unwinding.

All the positions are cumulative created positions over time on these strike prices.

137
U N D E R S TA N D I N G T H E N E X T M O V E U S I N G
F I I D I I DATA

In the last 4 days


there has been big
buying in index
options and stock
futures Nifty 50)
which will push
the price.
On 28th they have
sold it at a higher
range that this is
the idea to make
money.

138
O I - E X P I RY S T R AT E G Y

On the expiry day we need to follow the Strike price based on this scenarios. Based on the data we
can either buy a call of 34200 or sell a put of 34200 because the price has moved ahead between 28th
to 29th of April on the call side at strike price of 34300 and 34200.
OI Expiry strategy can be used in all days however it works better on expiry day and a day before.

139
D ATA I N T E R P R E TAT I O N A N D
TA K I N G P O S I T I O N S

From the OI Expiry strategy it is clear the market is there for an up move and once the data proves that,
use the chart as shown in the next slide to take positions.
With this data it is clear that before profit booking there may be another round up move.

140
D E P L O Y I N G C A P I TA L AT E V E RY
DIP
30 percent
of capital to
be deployed
at each of
these levels

In the scenario as above, we should use every dip as a buying opportunity. We will be deploying 30% capital only on each buy level. If RSI is
cooling off till 70-75 its good news. But if it suddenly comes to 50 level then it can be a cause of concern. Also the size of the volume candle is
more on the bullish side. If we see few red towers then we need to be worried. We must always buy deep in the Money .
If the market is going into a consolidation mode then no point in holding the trade wait for the breakout to happen and then join
the party. We will follow the above two slides only in the opening trade. ( or else connecting dots)
141
E X P I RY D AY D ATA C H E C K

On an expiry day on 60 min time frame after the initial long build up we see long unwinding due to positions
being shifted to next week and booking for this week.
142
E X P I RY D AY D ATA C H E C K

Go and check the next series data to understand where the position is being taken by the big money. In this
data the positional setup is still short build up.

143
E X P I RY D AY D ATA C H E C K

In the next series on the shorter time frame thee is a long build up but don’t get fooled you need to see the
over all texture in the trending OI Feature.

144
E X P I RY D AY S T R I K E P R I C E T H AT
I S H E A D I N G F O R Z E RO L E V E L

At 33500 on Bank Nifty there is a call and put but being written aggressively giving us the
clue that it may end up in zero.

145
E X P I RY D AY S T R I K E P R I C E T H AT
I S H E A D I N G F O R Z E RO L E V E L

At 33600 also on Bank Nifty there is a call and put but being written aggressively giving
us the clue that it may end up in zero.

146
E X P I RY D AY S T R I K E P R I C E T H AT
I S H E A D I N G F O R Z E RO L E V E L

At 33800 indicates huge call writing and they are going to be defending this level within
30-40 points.

147
TRENDING OI

It gives the indication of market direction. NO fresh positions are being created in either directions. The small
green between 11.20 to 11.30 is due to short covering and no new low has been broken.

148
TRENDING OI(EXAMPLE)

The Trending OI on the call side sees huge unwinding that indicates a bullish sign
on the 17th of May 2021.
149
TRENDING OI(EXAMPLE)

The Trending OI on the call side sees huge unwinding that indicates a bullish sign on the 18th of May 2021.Also
the gap between call and Put OI has increased during the day and the market opened gap down on this day.

150
TRENDING OI(EXAMPLE)

On 19th of May, Call side and Put side both data is reducing, and there is more positions on the call side, so the
data means there is a bearish inclination, the reduction in OI mean short unwinding as it is Wednesday, one day
to expiry and people don't want to carry over the positions.
151
TRENDING OI(EXAMPLE)

On 19th of May in Nifty we had call writing positions but we had large unwinding happening on the put side so
breaching the 15000 levels will be difficult.

152
WHEN OPEN INTEREST IS INCREASING IN
BOTH C ALL AND PUT

It is clear from the data that open interest is being added on both call and the put in the trending OI. In
this case we will go and check the ITM and ATM Strike prices. ( 33676 spot) see next slide.

153
WHEN OPEN INTEREST IS INCREASING IN BOTH
CALL AND PUT

Lets look at the in the


money strike price of
33600 in the option
analysis of the OI pulse.
The OI in the PUT side
increasing due to long build
up and not short build up.

154
WHEN OPEN INTEREST IS INCREASING IN BOTH
CALL AND PUT

On the OTM Strike of


34000 there is a short build
up.
We need to analyse the
reason for the candle
formation and the detailed
analysis like this helps.

155
FIGHT BETWEEN BULL AND
BEAR

In this case from 9.15 to 9.15 at 33700 there was a long build up on call side and short build up on put side
At 9.30 to 10.30 am there is short build up on call side and short covering on Put side and so on. You can see the
position at this strike price has been continuously changing. It is a game which is being played on both the side.
156
S E L L E R S O N B OT H S I D E

Lets check the round strike of 34000, we can see that 8,32,550 quantity was built up in the opening. Price almost went up from 139 to 456
and now trading at 379.05 on the put side.
On the call side , the position has been built after the opening move. In this case when there are sellers on both the sides no one wants to
take the market higher or lower. When ever you see sellers on both the sides its very difficult for retailers unless and until one side the
seller covers their position.

157
C H E C K I N G T H E DATA C O R R E S P O N D I N G TO
A M OV E O N C H A RT

When we see the candle like this reaching V wap, without Volume, we need to
check for what is causing this move?
158
C H E C K I N G T H E DATA C O R R E S P O N D I N G TO
A M OV E O N C H A RT
1 ST C H E C K T R E N D I N G O I DATA

68,56,000 TO 48,02.825 is the gap between OI for Call and Put, we need to now
check from 64,43875 to 685600 on call side is due to short or a long.
159
C H E C K I N G T H E DATA C O R R E S P O N D I N G TO
A M OV E O N C H A RT
2 ND C H E C K O P T I O N A N A LY S I S

At Strike price of 33900 there is a long build up at call side and short build up at
put side.

160
C H E C K I N G T H E DATA C O R R E S P O N D I N G TO
A M OV E O N C H A RT
2 N D C H E C K O P T I O N A N A LY S I S AT D I F F.
STRIKE PRICES

At Strike price of 34000 also there is a long build up at call side and short build up
at put side.

161
D I V E R G E N C E I N D ATA

Between 9.40 to 9.50 big money has made long position on the call side and short position on the put
side. However on the other hand

162
D I V E R G E N C E I N D ATA

But on the trending OI there are no fresh positions on the call side and what ever buying is happening
from 64 lakhs to 69 lakhs on the call side is because there is some strong element coming and
supporting the market at the lower end.

163
W H E N T O A V O I D T H E M A R K E T-
T H E B I G B OY ’ S G A M E

In the Trending OI data


see the OI increase in
both call and put side.

164
T H E T R A P G A M E - E X P I RY D AY
They are moving higher but without any Volume. They are trying to trap the
people who would have entered late.

Imagine you are a put buyer thinking the fall has started and you would
have bought at 515 now trading at 422 and 245 trading at 138
On a day like this be careful as they are trying to eat your premiums only

165
B R E A K I N G D AY S L O W A N D B U L L T R A P

Bull Trap

Days Low

Market can fall lower and lower if the days low is broken

166
T I P S F O R H E RO O R Z E RO T R A D E

Market is trading at 33661 at 2.15 pm on 29/04/2021. Go and look at 33600 on 60 min time frame in options Analysis in OI Pulse. Both the sides only shorts are
built which is controlling and brining down the premium. It’s a perfect short Straddle day. Now we need to know where they are creating maximum open interest
in terms of writing it. Which is on the call side. So there is every possibility is that this market can fall . The only catch point is that we need to see how they are
going to positioning themselves at 2.45 pm. You are getting to see a new day low break and it keeps on going lower and lower on the call side, and you are able
to see a short covering and a long build up happening on the put side OI then go and check 33500 or 33400 strike price and see whether similar pattern is
emerging.

167
T I P S F O R H E RO O R Z E RO T R A D E

At 33400 strike price similar pattern is emerging and if the price is coming around 10 or 20
rupees we can go and give it a try here. But in order to do that we need to wait till 2.45 pm.
Hero or zero normally happens at around 3 pm.

168
T I P S F O R H E RO O R Z E RO T R A D E

▪ Hero or zero normally happens at around 3 pm.


▪ On the monthly expiry day don’t bother about chart because we are taking intraday positions only but the big money has positions for a longer time .
▪ They will all be unwinding between 2.30 to 3.30 pm.
▪ Whatever the candles show follow that. At around 2.36 at the strike price 33800 there is long build up is happening on the call side and short build up on the put side. So the
hero or zero will happen on the call side and upside.
▪ On hero or zero deploy just 10 % of your profit. The target buy price for buying a for the strike of 33800 should not be more than 20 rupees. Either long buildup or short
covering need to be happening on the call side.
▪ If the direction changes and say you get a long unwinding on the call side and a short covering on the put side with a big volume you need to change your direction as well.

169
T I P S F O R H E RO O R Z E RO T R A D E

▪ At 33700 strike price we see short build up on call side and long build up on put side.

170
S T R A D D L E C H A R T- O P T I O N S T R A T E G I E S

Imagine a market is trading at around 33800 , we should short both call and the Put at around 9.20 am , the price
sum of premium was around 304.95 and the Vwap was at 354.

171
S T R A D D L E C H A R T- O P T I O N S T R A T E G I E S

At around 12.15 pm the same price is now trading at 221.80 . This trade is to be carried until if there is a spike
on any one side and VWAP is broken with volume, then you should exit that direction.
VWAP works like a stop loss in this case.
172
S T R A N G L E C H A R T- O P T I O N S T R A T E G I E S

In this case if would have bought a strangle combined premium is 350.25 and v wap 375.61. The combined
premium never crossed the VWAP. By the end of the day it eneded at 757.

173
OPEN=HIGH

174
OPEN=HIGH: THE CONCEPT

• Usually some large institutions take


some big positions right in the
market opening. If they need to
deploy say 1000 CR in the market.
They will deploy say 100 Cr in the
direction they think to take the
market, higher or lower,

• This Big money not only buys the


future but also some of the strike
price on the call side where they
know definitely that they will take
the market at this level so they will
buy at this price.

175
OPEN=HIGH: THE CONCEPT

• Normally the big money is placing


basket order and they buy at
several strikes.
• They are ready to buy at any price
because they know that they are
going to be pushing the price upto
the Open=High Level.
• After the market open if they are
getting the price at which they
bought they will be happy to buy.
• Because they know that for sure
they will be taking futures market
higher. So that they can hit the
price at which they bought it.

176
OPEN=HIGH: THE CONCEPT

• So they fill the order right at the


open where they feel the market is
giving them opportunity to buy at
the opening itself.

177
OPEN=HIGH: THE CONCEPT

• Look at this trade. The opening price of future was 36402 and the high was also the same.
Its rare that the futures and options open and high matches several times.
• Look at the strike price of 36000 CE it triggered the price of 719 and then went to 673.
• Besides this 5 strike prices were meeting Open = High Criteria.

178
OPEN=HIGH: THE CONCEPT

• In this scenario what we need to look at is that if some one would have bought right at the
open thinking that he is going to be taking the market higher imagine if the market is falling
from that level , as long as it is in his control he will definitely go and touch the open price.
• At this time we will also look at considering the fall has happened is there any follow up
happening. Also check if the vix is rising? If the global markets falling? If it is taking the base
at RSI 20?
• when all these parameters are meeting and they are not adding any significant positions to
take the market lower. How will we know?
179
OPEN=HIGH: THE CONCEPT

• When they are taking significant position on the call side, the price must have gone down by
50 % with 50 % increase in OI as per short build up conditions and on the other hand we
would have got put prices gaining 50% higher. And we also did not see any significant fall in
the future prices.
• All this will give us additional indication about us achieving our targets.

180
OPEN=HIGH: THE CONCEPT

• When they are taking significant position on the call side, the price must have gone down by
50 % with 50 % increase in OI as per short build up conditions and on the other hand we
would have got put prices gaining 50% higher. And we also did not see any significant fall in
the future prices. It went to the low of 36120 and from there it bounced.
• All this will give us additional indication about us achieving our targets.

181
OPEN=HIGH:WHEN SHOULD
YO U TA K E T H E T R A D E ?

• In this case we need to be looking at 36300 CE,why?


• Already the Open=High on 36000 was taken out. And the next index option trading at the
money is 36300.
• We would not be looking at OTM Strikes at this juncture. Why?
• The strike price of OTM 36600 CE Opened at a price of 474.05 but at present its trading at
374 Rupees a gap of 100 Rupees. Which means without pumping additional funds its possible
to take the market higher.

182
W H AT I S P RO B A B I L I T Y O F
SUCCESS?

Whenever you see a


probability of 80-90% it has
very high chances of going and
hitting the target.
If a price is trading at 959.8 it
has 80% probability of hitting
1284.05,
And when the price is trading
at 1840.95 it has 90%
probability of hitting the target
of 2026.9
This also has a artificial
intelligence which marks a red
dot has a higher probability
alongwith the confirmation of 90
% hitting the target.

183
OPEN AND
HIGH
STRIKE
SELECTION

A l w a y s c h o o s e A T M
a n d I T M , O T M s t r i k e s
h a v e g o t l o w
p r o b a b i l i t y o f h i t t i n g
t h e t a r g e t .

184
S T R I K E P R I C E TO LO O K AT

Suppose the Bank Nifty is


trading at 33800 then look for
33200,
33300,
33400,
33500
33600
33700
33800
33900
34000
Don’t go and look in OTMs as
its probability of hitting the
target is very low.

Open and High must Hit the target by 10.30 am to prevent the time decay loss of premium.
185
OPEN=HIGH:WHEN SHOULD
YO U TA K E T H E T R A D E ?

• But we would be taking the trade at 507 at strike price 36300 CE ( Open = 560) . If the
same price was at 450 we will not take this trade but once the momentum starts it goes and
meets the original open price of 560 again by pumping in more funds. Not only this price
was hit other string prices were also hit and target met.
• We would have pocketed from 507 till 560 and would have exited at 550 itself or trailed it
further.
186
O P E N = H I G H : I M P O RTA N T P O I N T S

• Once you are in profit trail it.


• Once the target is achieved in open and high they will go and book the profit. These are the
trades which has been taken by them in the morning and right now they are trading at a
much lower price. Smart money will buy at the present price of 372 ( 36600 CE) and this
will bring their average purchase price lesser than 474 so once they will reach close to 474
to 500 they will go and book the profit.

187
O P E N = H I G H : I M P O RTA N T P O I N T S

• There are reasons for it to keep on going higher. Imagine a person who would have shorted
the market at 474 he would try to short it more and if he is not able to push the price lower
he will cover the position.
• Hence the strike price of 36600 which was trading at 372 went high of 545 and after profit
booking it closed at 219.

188
O P E N = H I G H : S U C C E S S R AT E

• Open=High may work 7 out of 10 times. Why it may fail 3 times?


• Imagine one FII brings 1000 CR and other brings 2000 CR, they will not let the price go
higher and higher. Instead they will keep on selling and take the market lower and lower.

189
OPEN=HIGH:DECODING WITH TRENDING OI

In the morning it was sell on rise market. It was based on previous days data. We did not see significant OI
development in a particular direction. We need to see increase OI in a particular side and price going up or
down on that side. In this data after the initial move we saw an increase of OI on the call side.

190
OPEN=HIGH:DECODING WITH TRENDING OI

In the morning trade open and high gets cleared first. By 10 am if market was rising we should have seen
the PUT OI increasing . Once it started to consolidate we saw a consolidation on both sides.
Trending OI Data must be analysed after 10.30 after the morning market settles down.

191
OPEN=HIGH:DECODING WITH TRENDING OI

It around 11.30 onwards there is a aggressive put side position is being built as shown from the data. No
significant move was expected as the gap between call side and put side data was not significant. Also the IV
Value was lower on the call side than put side so even if the market is going to be bullish the upside is going
to be capped. So don’t be in a hurry to chase it
192
OPEN=HIGH:DECODING WITH TRENDING OI

Real confirmation came at around 1.45 pm.

193
OPEN=HIGH:DECODING WITH TRENDING OI

On a 5 min time frame it confirmed the


perfect bearish move.

194
O P E N = LOW : FA K E R A L LY EXAMPLE

On this particular day market has already rallied big. In this scenario if some one has pumped in the money in the
morning thinking that this market is going to be falling, he was completely fooled, why ? On this particular day of
11-3-2020, the previous day we had a significant fall and the world market was also falling but on this particular
day the world market was super bullish and the vix was falling from morning so in that scenario don’t expect the
open and low to be achieved on this particular day.

Hence on this day this strike price inspite of having open =low closed at 1262.

DO CHECK THE OTHER CONNECTING DOTS BEFORE TAKING THE OPEN HIGH TRADE. PLAY DEEP IN THE
MONEY OR IN THE MONEY STRIKES NOT IN OTM STRIKES

195
O P E N = LOW

Open and Low is to


be used on the Put
Side.
Triggered time is the
time at which the
target is hit.

Open and Low is for the sellers and Open and High is for the Buyers. If Open and High is
getting hit on the call side then we should see open and low on the Put Side and vice versa.

196
O P E N = LOW

In this example it can be seen that Open and Low has hit at most
the strikes.

197
OPEN=HIGH, EXAMPLE

Open and High is formed at about


9.20 am on 20th of May 2021 on the
strikes as shown on the Put side.

At 34100 Strike price presently


trading at 358 has a high potential
of hitting 418. ( Wait for this price
to reach till 370-380 before taking
plunge and check for probability
and the red dot confirmation.
Market trading at 33870.
Since its on put Side its 300 points
ITM.

Don’t always wait for the target to go and hit , you can exit early also if you are in good profit.
198
OPEN=HIGH, EXAMPLE

Now 33600 has gone into 90%


probability with a red dot, present
price of Rs 118, target of 145.9

Don’t always wait for the target to go and hit , you can exit early also if you are in good profit.
199
OPEN=HIGH, ON BOTH C ALL AND
P U T S I D E I N T H E S A M E D AY

Some days you will see the Open and High on the Put side and then you will also see it
on the call side, Once they fulfil one side they quickly move to the other side for
fulfilment as well.
200
O P E N = H I G H , W H E N T O S TAY AWAY ?

If you notice a 50% increase in a call side and 40 % decrease of price on the put side , ( since the Open=High
was activated on the put side. As long as its 20-30% decrease in price on put side its ok,
While taking the trade on this day it was also checked that the global parameters were not supporting an
upwards move.

201
OPEN=HIGH IMPORTANT POINTS
Open and High on an expiry day needed
to hit by 10 am

Open and High works well when other


parameters in place
Yo u s h o u l d n o t e n t e r t h e t r a d e o n c e
the target is it

202
OPTION CHAIN AND OPEN AND HIGH

In the option chain itself the Open and High which are not hit yet are highlighted in green box

203
FA V O R I T E S E T T I N G S

204
CHOOSE PREFERENCE AND SAVE SETTINGS

205
N E W F E AT U R E S I N O I P U L S E

• 3.20 Strategy
• Morning Trade

206
3.20 AND MORNING TRADE
S T R A T E G Y- W H E R E T O F I N D I T

207
O N C E YO U C L I C K O N 3 . 2 0
S T R AT E G Y T H I S I S W H AT YO U S E E

208
3 . 2 0 S T R AT E G Y- N I F T Y S I G N A L

209
TA K E 3 . 2 0
T R A D E O N LY
WITH 10% OF
YO U R D AY S
P RO F I T A N D
N O T C A P I TA L
AS IT’S A
OVERNIGHT
TRADE

210
EXIT SIGNAL
• Exit signal for this strategy is at 50% of your entry price. In the following example the
signal call at 40200 strike @ 480 Rupees

Click on chart to see the chart of the strike price

211
EXIT SIGNAL
• Exit signal for this strategy is at 50% of your entry price. What does this mean?

• Though you can see that the signal has generated more than 300& return but aim for a consistent 5% return , its more than enough

Best is to Keep the low of the opening candle as stop loss


Highest
Tick by of the
tick OI day,
line

Signal Line

Exit
Signal@240 ,
Stop loss Line 50% of entry
price 580

212
A N OT H E R E X A M P L E - T RY TO R E A D T H E C H A RT

213
A N OT H E R E X A M P L E - T RY TO R E A D T H E C H A RT

214
GET OUT OF THIS TRADE BY 10
TO 1 0 . 1 5 A M
• These are all scalping signals.
• Don’t try to hold it.
• It’s aimed at office goers,
• You will get the results by 9.30 to 9.35 itself.
• You can exit the trade by then and at the
most trail till 10 to 10.15 am but not advised
to hold beyond that.
• If they are not able to hit the target y 10-
10.15 they are never going to be coming back
better to exit.

If the price goes lower than entry price and not reached stop loss, don’t
try to average your position.

215
A N OT H E R E X A M P L E

It went to a low of 330 , did


not hit out stop loss, and
later went and hit our target
of 549

216
ANOTHER EXAMPLE-PRICE FIRST GOES LOW AND
BOUNCES WITHOUT HITTING STOP LOSS

217
E X A M P L E O F S TO P LO S S B E I N G H I T

218
MORNING TRADE

If the price of the strike price comes in the


price range then take the trade or else you
can get trapped and the fall can be very steep

Don’t hold your trade beyond 10-10.30 am. Deploy only 10 of your profits not capital. Trail your profits.

219
PRE MARKET OPEN-
AVA I L A B L E AT 9 . 0 8 A M

220
MARKET
MOVERS

221
MARKET MOVERS

Whenever a stock has broken 8 days high or


low it has further leg room to go higher or
lower.

222
223

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