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popular but untenable view of religion since its literature is broad and far re-
as a fading vestige of prescientific moved from the research and profes-
times. The resurgence of evangelical sional interests of most economists. Re-
Christianity in the United States, the ligious economics includes a large body
rise of Islamic fundamentalism in the of writings by self-described “Islamic
Middle East, the explosive growth of economists” who seek to analyze, jus-
Protestantism in Latin America, the re- tify, and implement systems of banking,
ligious ferment in Eastern Europe and taxation, income redistribution, and fi-
the former Soviet Union, the role of re- nance consistent with economic princi-
ligion in political and ethnic conflicts ples derived from the Qur’an and the
worldwide—all testify to religion’s per- Sunna. It also includes the writings of
vasive and continuing importance. In Christian theologians, clerics, and
the United States, where data are most economists spanning centuries—from
detailed, rates of religious belief and medieval Catholic bans on usury, to
behavior show little or no decline over contemporary Catholic pastorals on the
time. Indeed, American rates of church economy; from official pronouncements
membership have actually risen of mainline Protestant denominations
throughout the past two centuries. So- and the National Council of Churches,
cial scientists have little choice but to to the diverse writings of evangelical
take account of religion, because reli- Protestants and self-styled “Christian
gion shows no sign of dying out. Economists.” Some of these writings
Studies of religion and economics can question the very concept of religious
be segregated into three major lines of economics, criticizing its logic, claims,
inquiry. This essay emphasizes the line and assumptions (Kenneth Elzinga
of research that interprets religious be- 1989). Others propose radical critiques
havior from an economic perspective, of capitalism, socialism, taxation, bank-
applying microeconomic theory and ing, and income redistribution. Inter-
techniques to explain patterns of reli- ested readers can consult a variety of
gious behavior among individuals, reviews, including Craig Gay (1991),
groups, and cultures. Studies of the Kuran (1993), Fred Pryor (1990), Mu-
economic consequences of religion form hammad Siddiqi (1981), and A. M. C.
a second line, which I will review in less Waterman (1987).
depth. Finally, a large body of writings Like the work that comes before it,
invoke theological principles and sacred this essay sidesteps questions about the
writings to promote or criticize eco- validity of religious beliefs or authentic-
nomic policies. This last line, which one ity of religious institutions. Insofar as
might call religious economics, is pri- an explicit definition of religion proves
marily of interest to philosophers, theo- necessary (for example, to exclude po-
logians, and economists seeking to litical ideologies and secular philoso-
evaluate economic policies from a reli- phies), it suffices to define a religion as
gious perspective. 4 any shared set of beliefs, activities, and
I will not review religious economics, institutions premised upon faith in su-
pernatural forces. 5 In practice, how-
4 Yet another set of studies includes the small
consulting literature that evaluates religious or- 5 This definition, adapted from Rodney Stark
ganizations from a practical business perspective and William Bainbridge (1985, p. 5), excludes
so as to use resources more efficiently, market purely individualistic spirituality and systems of
more effectively, and stimulate church growth metaphysical thought, including some variants of
(e.g., Robert Stevens and David Loudon 1992). Buddhism, that border on pure philosophy. See
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1467
ever, the analysis cannot remain this 1996). 7 Hundreds of other national sur-
abstract. Because there is little social- veys include basic questions about
scientific research on religion outside of church attendance and denominational
the United States and other developed preference. And hundreds more, spon-
Western countries, this essay is largely sored by denominations, interdenomi-
focused on Judeo-Christian beliefs, ac- national agencies, and philanthropic or-
tivities, and institutions. ganizations, provide highly detailed,
Before proceeding, I must comment though less representative, information
on the empirical basis for religious re- about denominations and their congre-
search. Religious data are, on the one gations, members, and leaders.
hand, limited and unreliable. Govern- Institutional records complement
ments collect few religious statistics and self-reported survey data. Nearly all de-
sponsor little religious research; most nominations track their membership,
religious organizations keep sloppy finan- contributions, expenditures, number of
cial records and overly inclusive mem- congregations, and number of clergy,
bership lists; and many aspects of reli- and many also keep records on bap-
gion are inherently difficult to observe. tisms, conversions, ordinations, mission-
Yet religious data are more abundant ary activity, and attendance. 8 The U.S.
than most academics realize and far government collects some relevant data,
more extensive than those pertaining to including statistics on clergy employ-
many other “nonmarket” activities and ment and church construction and IRS
institutions, such as clubs, friendships, tax records (which, together with survey
recreational activities, self-help groups, data and denominational reports, yield
and most social movements. estimates of religious giving and its de-
Surveys provide a wealth of self-re- terminants). 9 Other useful, though
ported information about religious be- largely neglected, information includes:
liefs, activities, and affiliation.6 Since
7 The Canadian General Social Surveys, World
the late 1930s, the Gallup organization
Values Surveys, International Gallup polls, and
has repeatedly polled people about surveys of the International Social Survey Program
their denominational preference, provide analogous, though less detailed, statistics
church attendance, and religious be- for many other countries.
8 Annual summaries of denominational statistics
liefs. Beginning in 1972, NORC’s Gen- have appeared in the Yearbook of American and
eral Social Surveys provide (nearly) an- Canadian Churches since 1915, and many denomi-
nual responses to many more religious nations publish annual reports and/or almanacs
that provide more detailed information disaggre-
questions (James Davis and Tom Smith gated to the local level. The U.S. government’s de-
cennial Census of Religious Bodies, conducted
from the 1850s through the 1930s, reports a wide
Keith Roberts (1990, pp. 3–26) for other defini- range of church statistics disaggregated to the
tions and a discussion of the differences between level of cities and counties; a series of privately-
“functionalist,” “substantive,” and “phenome- sponsored censuses provide analogous county-
nological” definitions. level membership statistics for 1952, 1971, 1980,
6 As with most survey questions concerning per- and 1990 (Martin Bradley et al. 1992, p. vii).
sonal beliefs and private behavior, it is difficult to 9 See annual editions of the Statistical Abstract
assess the overall accuracy of people’s responses to of the United States and Historical Statistics of the
religious questions. Kirk Hadaway, Penny Marler, United States: Colonial Times to 1970 for these
and Mark Chaves (1993) present evidence that and other data pertaining to religion. Only one
Gallup polls substantially overstate actual rates of U.S. Census Bureau survey, the March 1957 Cur-
church attendance. Working with data from the rent Population Survey, asked people their reli-
1975–76 and 1981 Michigan Time-Use Studies, gious affiliation. Other governments collect more
Jeff Biddle (1992, p. 127) obtains weekly atten- religious data. In Canada, marriage applications
dance rates about 15 percent lower than those re- and population censuses ask people their religion.
ported by Gallup. Swedish church statistics, which include individ-
1468 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
sales of religious books, periodicals, and and technology advance; that individu-
music; church telephone listings; clergy als become less religious and more
salaries; church-school and seminary skeptical of faith-based claims as they
enrollments, and data on religious acquire more education, particularly
broadcasting. more familiarity with science; and that
membership in deviant religious groups
2. The Continuing Importance (so-called “sects, cults, and fundamen-
of Religion talisms”) is usually the consequence of
indoctrination leading to aberrant val-
Psychologists, anthropologists, and
ues, or abnormal psychology due to
sociologists have long viewed religion as
trauma, neurosis, or unmet needs. Most
a category of behavior largely immune
people “know” these statements to be
to the rational calculus. Indeed, for
true, even though decades of research
many nineteenth-century scholars—in-
have repeatedly proved them false.
cluding Marx, Freud, and Comte—in-
As survey, census, and historical data
tense religious commitment sprang
have piled up, the continuing vitality of
from nothing less than outright irration-
religion has become apparent, and no-
ality. From this assumption it was but a
where more so than in the United
small step to the so-called “seculariza-
States. Consider, for example, the fol-
tion thesis,” which came to function as
lowing statistical portrait, gleaned from
the principal paradigm for the social-
a variety of contemporary studies:
scientific study of religion. According to
the prominent sociologist Gerhard Len- (1) American church membership
ski (1963, p. 3), sociology was thus rates have risen throughout most of
“from its inception . . . committed to the past two centuries—from 17 per-
the positivist view that religion in the cent of the population at the time of
modern world is merely a survival from the Revolution, to 34 percent by the
man’s primitive past, and doomed to mid-1800s, to more than 60 percent
disappear in an era of science and gen- today. 10
eral enlightenment.” (2) The fraction of the U.S. popula-
Never mind that the secularization tion employed as clergy has remained
thesis is wrong (Andrew Greeley 1989; around 1.2 per thousand for the past
R. Stephen Warner 1993); it has 150 years. See Figure 1, based on
spawned a body of stylized facts that data from various government re-
few dare question. For example: that re- ports, including the 1850, 1880, and
ligion must inevitably decline as science 1906 Census of Religious Bodies, His-
torical Statistics of the United States:
Colonial Times to 1970, and the Bu-
ual-level records of church participation, date
back to the 17th century (Thorlief Pettersson 10 Working from fairly reliable church-level
1988). British denominational statistics from 1700 sources, including the U.S. government’s Census
through 1970 have been tabulated by Robert Cur- of Religious Bodies, Finke and Stark (1992, p. 16)
rie, Alan Gilbert, and Lee Horsley (1977). David estimate church membership rates from 1776
Barrett (1982) has compiled numerous 20th cen- through 1980. In Gallup polls, rates of self-re-
tury religious statistics for more than 200 coun- ported church membership have declined very
tries. Still other sources include the Human Rela- slightly, from 73 percent in 1937 to 70 percent in
tions Area Files, which code anthropologists’ 1995, and the fraction of respondents claiming no
observations about hundreds of premodern socie- religious preference has increased from 6 percent
ties (Brooks Hull 1994), and volumes of historical in 1947, and about 3 percent throughout the 1950s
statistics concerning the medieval Catholic church and 1960s, to 8 percent in 1995 (though part of
(Robert Ekelund et al. 1996), local congregations, this increase is attributable to changes in question
and religious communes (Murray 1995b). wording).
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1469
14
12
Clergy per 10,000 population
10
0
1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Year
reau of Labor Statistics’ January re- universal spirit” and a large fraction
ports on Employment and Earnings. continue to believe in heaven, hell, an
(3) Since the advent of national opin- afterlife, and the divinity of Jesus. See
ion polls in the late-1930s, the per- Table 1 and also Greeley (1989) for
centage of Americans claiming to attend details.
church in a typical week has re- (5) Total church contributions appear
mained remarkably stable, around 40 to have remained around 1 percent of
percent of the total population. Figure GNP since at least 1955. Religious
2, based on responses to Gallup polls, giving consistently accounts for about
plots attendance trends for self- half of all charitable giving in the
identified Protestants, self-identified United States (approximately 64
Catholics, and all Americans (includ- billion dollars in 1995); religious vol-
ing non-Christians). No real pattern unteer work is more common than
emerges apart from a downward shift any other form of volunteer work
in Catholic attendance immediately (Charles Clotfelter 1985, p. 145); and
following a series of controversial papal the majority of nonprofit institutions
pronouncements in the mid-1960s are or were religiously based.11
(Michael Hout and Greeley 1987).
(4) Surveyed religious beliefs have 11 Compared to other forms of giving, religious
proved nearly as stable as church at- contributions display a relatively low cross-sec-
tendance. For decades, about 95 per- tional income elasticity (between .4 and .6). Clot-
felter (1985, pp. 64–65) summarizes results from
cent of Americans have professed be- three studies that estimate individual-level price
lief in “the existence of God or a and income elasticities for religious giving. J. F.
1470 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
80
70
60
Percent Attending Weekly
50
40
30
20
10
0
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Year
(6) Religion is not the province of the styles of religion do vary with income
poor or uninformed. In numerous and education. Theologically conser-
analyses of cross-sectional survey data, vative denominations (typically
rates of religious belief and religious labeled “fundamentalist,” “Pentecos-
activity tend not to decline with in- tal,” or “sectarian”) draw a dispropor-
come, and most rates increase with tionate share of their members from
education. 12 On the other hand, among the poorer, less educated, and
minority members of society (Stark
Pickering (1985) and Jody Lipford (1995) estimate
corresponding income elasticities across the con- mid-1970s economists have weighed in, estimating
gregations of individual denominations. Giving models more sensitive to nuances of economic
U.S.A. reports annual estimates of religious and theory. Their basic results, however, mirror those
nonreligious giving from 1955 through 1995 (see of the sociologists: education is a weak but gener-
AAFRC Trust for Philanthropy, 1996 and earlier ally positive predictor of religious participation; in-
annual editions). Historical Statistics of the United come is a strong, positive predictor of religious
States: Colonial Times to 1970 (U.S. Bureau of the contributions, but a very weak predictor of most
Census 1975, p. 359) provides analogous statistics other measures of religious activity, such as
for 1930 through 1970. church attendance, church membership, fre-
12 Over the past 40 years, scores of sociological quency of prayer, and rates of religious belief. In-
studies have investigated the empirical relation- come or wage effects are almost always dwarfed by
ship between income and/or education and nu- those of age, gender, and religious upbringing.
merous measures of religiosity—see, for example, See Azzi and Ehrenberg (1975), Ehrenberg
Lenski (1963), Stark (1972), Wade Roof and Wil- (1977), Stephen Long and Russell Settle (1977),
liam McKinney (1987), and Ross Stolzenberg, Holly Ulbrich and Myles Wallace (1983, 1984),
Mary Bair-Loy and Linda Waite (1995). Since the and Biddle (1992).
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1471
TABLE 2
DETERMINANTS OF RELIGIOUS PARTICIPATION
cates whether the respondent is mar- range restrictions (because annual con-
ried to someone who shares his or her tributions are censored below zero dol-
denominational preference. The Tobit lars, and annual attendance rates are
regressions in columns 4 and 8 reesti- censored below zero and above 52
mate these equations, taking account of weeks per year).
1474 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
matters, nor did they seem to under- 1985). 17 More striking are the links be-
stand markets. And like their Catholic tween religiosity and a wide range of
counterparts, most took a dim view of economically important social behavior,
credit and interest. Finally, Samuelsson such as criminal activity, drug and alco-
refutes Weber’s stylized account of hol consumption, physical and mental
European economic history, demon- health, and marriage, fertility, and di-
strating that, across the regions cited by vorce.
Weber, economic progress was uncorre- It is possible, of course, that reli-
lated with religion, or was temporally gion’s statistical “effects” are entirely
incompatible with Weber’s thesis, or ac- spurious. One may readily posit the ex-
tually reversed the pattern claimed by istence of underlying characteristics
Weber. As Delacroix (1995, p. 126) ob- that shape both religious behavior and
serves, “Amsterdam’s wealth was cen- any other behavior. “Good” kids may
tered on Catholic families; the eco- avoid drugs, stay in school, and go to
nomically advanced German Rhineland church. People with liberal values or
is more Catholic than Protestant; all- deviant lifestyles will probably sort
Catholic Belgium was the second coun- themselves out of conservative denomi-
try to industrialize, ahead of a good nations. One must agree with Richard
half-dozen Protestant entities.” Com- Freeman (1986, p. 371) that nothing
paring levels of economic development short of a (probably unattainable)
across the Protestant and Catholic “genuine experiment” will suffice to
countries of Europe, Delacroix (1992) demonstrate religion’s causal impact.
finds no evidence that one group out- Yet one should also recognize that there
performs the other. exist plausible a priori arguments for re-
Still, there is more to the story of re- ligion’s impact and that despite numer-
ligion’s effects than Weber’s thesis. 16 ous attempts to root out spurious corre-
At the level of individuals and house- lation, many religious effects remain
holds, economic behavior and outcomes 17 Reuven Brenner and Nicholas Kiefer (1981)
do correlate with religion. It is, for ex- argue that Jews emphasize education in response
ample, well known that American Jews to centuries of persecution which raised the value
average significantly higher wages and of (portable, non-expropriable) human capital
relative to land and physical capital. Barry
income than non-Jews, a difference Chiswick (1983, 1985), however, finds that Ameri-
largely attributable to their high levels can Jews do not “overinvest” in education as this
of education (Barry Chiswick 1983, argument implies, but instead acquire high levels
of education because of their high rate of return to
schooling. Their high rate of return may be due in
16 One may reject Weber’s thesis about Protes- part to relatively large investments in child quality
tants and Catholics without concluding that all re- (reflected in small average family size and Jewish
ligious traditions are equally conducive to eco- mothers’ tendency to stay out of the labor market
nomic growth or capitalist institutions. Avner when their children are young), but it may also
Greif (1994) combines historical evidence and reflect cognitive differences with a genetic compo-
game-theoretical analysis to argue that “individual- nent. Using data from Canadian censuses and
ist” (as opposed to “collectivist”) cultural beliefs NORC’s General Social Surveys, Nigel Tomes
foster social institutions that encourage anony- (1984, 1985) confirms the high earnings of Jews,
mous exchange, initiative, and innovation which in but finds relatively weak and inconsistent earnings
turn stimulate long-run economic growth. Kuran effects for Protestants versus Catholics. Working
(1997) notes that the economic and intellectual with panel data, Alfred Darnell and Sherkat
development in Islamic countries has lagged that (forthcoming) find that youth with fundamentalist
of the West for most of a millennium, an outcome Protestant beliefs and membership (in 1965) ob-
that many scholars trace to Islam’s “static world- tained significantly less education (in 1973 and
view.” Kuran’s (1995) theory of “preference falsifi- 1980) than non-fundamentalists, even after con-
cation” may help explain the persistence of this trolling for race, region, gender, and parents’ in-
and other economically inefficient cultural norms. come, education, and occupation.
1476 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
substantively large and statistically sig- et al. 1995), suicide (Bainbridge 1989;
nificant. 18 Bernice Pescosolido and Sharon Geor-
Freeman’s (1986, pp. 372–73) own gianna 1989), divorce (Timothy Heaton
study of churchgoing among black male and Edith Pratt 1990), drug and alcohol
youth illustrates this last point. Based use (John Cochran and Ronald Akers
on a careful analysis of NBER and NLS 1989), and nonmarital sex (Arland
survey data, he concludes that Thornton, William Axinn and Daniel
“[c]hurchgoing [favorably] affects the Hill 1992). 20 Studies of teenage delin-
allocation of time, school attendance, quency are particularly abundant, and
work activity, and the frequency of so- typically find that youth raised in highly
cially deviant activity [crime, drugs, and religious homes are less likely to engage
alcohol]” and that “the pattern of statis- in criminal activity, use drugs or alco-
tical results suggests that at least some hol, or engage in premarital sex. These
part of the churchgoing effect is the re- effects are particularly strong for chil-
sult of an actual causal impact.” Other dren raised in strict denominations or
economists—Lipford, Robert McCor- religiously homogeneous communities.
mick, and Tollison (1993) and Hull and For at least two decades, the criminolo-
Frederick Bold (1995)—have obtained gists and sociologists producing this re-
analogous results using aggregate data search have focussed their efforts on
not based on self-reports. Even after identifying and overcoming spurious
controlling for police expenditures and correlation. In so doing they have em-
crime-related socioeconomic variables, ployed sensible theories, sophisticated
they observe significantly lower rates of models, rich and varied data, and nu-
violent and nonviolent crime in states merous controls. The few analogous
and counties with higher rates of reli- economic studies, including Freeman
gious membership. 19 (1986), Lipford, McCormick, and Tol-
There is, in fact, a large empirical lit- lison (1993), and Evelyn Lehrer and
erature on the relationship between re- Carmel Chiswick (1993), have obtained
ligion and different forms of “devi- similar results.
ance,” including crime (T. David Evans Religion seems to affect both mental
18 The argument for genuine impact begins with
and physical health. Despite the
the fact that most religious institutions are forth- nonempirical Freudian tradition that
right and specific about their moral–behavioral in- blames religion for neurosis, prejudice,
junctions and do employ many time-tested meth- and authoritarianism, empirical studies
ods of indoctrination and social control: early
education, parental reinforcement, conditional consistently find that high rates of reli-
status and membership, appeals to tradition and gious commitment and activity are asso-
an all-seeing judge, and collective activities that ciated with mental health, reduced
foster social ties, facilitate monitoring, and raise
the cost of disobedience. Church members in gen- stress, and increased life satisfaction
eral, and parents in particular, do seem to believe (Christopher Ellison 1993). Here again,
that religious training makes a difference, and do research has focused on problems of
invest substantial resources in religious activities
designed to help their children grow up “good.” spurious correlation, and here again re-
Though I know of no attempts to formally model ligious effects tend to persist even after
these effects, the religious household production
framework reviewed in Section IV provides a natu- 20 According to Cochran and Leonard Beeghley
ral place to start. (1991, p. 46), “[e]vidence of direct or indirect ef-
19 These studies replicate the results of a soci- fects of religion and/or religiosity on nonmarital
ologist, Bainbridge (1989), who obtained essen- sexual attitudes or behaviors can be found in more
tially the same religious effect using the same than 80 studies.” Stark and Bainbridge (1997)
data, a somewhat different set of controls, and a summarize the still larger literature on religion
different level of aggregation. and crime.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1477
The preceding sections lend plausi- U = U(Z1, Z2, … , Zn, A). (1)
bility to this enterprise by underscoring Secular consumption in each period is
religion’s continuing appeal in the face a standard household commodity, which
of unprecedented prosperity, education, depends upon household inputs of time,
and freedom. By all accounts, Ameri- T Z, and purchased goods, X Z. Afterlife
cans choose to remain relatively pious rewards depend upon the household’s
and religiously active. They are under entire history of religious activities, R 1,
no compulsion to claim a faith or join a ... R n, which in turn depend upon the
church as many Europeans were in time and purchased goods devoted to
times past; they have access to an im- religious activities in each period.
mense market of more than 1,500 de- Hence,
nominational alternatives (Gordon Mel- Zt = Z(TZt, XZt)
ton 1989); they can, and often do, vary
Rt = R(TRt, XRt)
their level of religious involvement or
move between congregations or de- A = A (R1, …, R n). (2)
nominations (“shopping” for the church Although Azzi and Ehrenberg ac-
that best meets their perceived needs); knowledge that religious activities may
and they readily justify their religious yield utility in the here and now, they
involvement in terms of its perceived structured their model to emphasize
benefits. Although many of these bene- and analyze what they perceive as the
fits might be illusory, or at least un- fundamental feature of religious behavior.
knowable, many others (in the realm of When combined with a standard life-
health, deviance, and family life) stand cycle budget constraint and the assump-
up to methods of inference far more so- tion that the marginal product of reli-
phisticated than those which charac- gious activity does not decrease with age,
terize most personal judgments. the A-E framework leads to the formal
conclusion that religious activity should
4.1 Religious Household Production
increase with age. This age effect arises
Contemporary research on the eco- because resources devoted to afterlife
nomics of religion begins with Azzi and salvation are assumed not to accumu-
Ehrenberg’s (1975) household produc- late interest throughout the life-cycle,
tion model of church attendance and whereas standard investments do. (The
contributions. Within this provocative age effect is partially offset by wage
model, individuals allocate their time growth, leading A-E to predict stronger
and goods among religious and secular age effects for women, whose age-earnings
commodities so as to maximize lifetime profiles tend to be flatter than men’s,
and afterlife utility. Azzi and Ehrenberg and the possibility of declining religious
posit “afterlife consumption” as the pri- activity at young ages when wages rise
mary goal of religious participation, an most rapidly.) The model also predicts
assumption that implies a strong restric- substitution between time and money
tion on the way religious commodities devoted to religion. Thus, standard effi-
enter household utility functions. For- ciency conditions imply that households
mally, households are assumed to maxi- with lower values of time will produce
mize an intertemporal utility function religious commodities in a more time-
which depends upon both (secular) con- intensive manner and that, within a
sumption, Z t, in each period and ex- given household, members with lower
pected afterlife consumption, A; wages (typically, wives) will supply
more time to religious activity.
1480 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
The empirical support for Azzi and relative to rates of church attendance.
Ehrenberg’s predictions is mixed. Their This pattern holds over the life cycle
own analysis of survey data and that of (with participation becoming most
Ehrenberg (1977) tend to confirm their money-intensive in the prime earning
predictions, most notably the predic- years), across households (with higher
tions that women’s age-attendance pro- rates of attendance relative to contribu-
files will be steeper than men’s and that tions in lower-wage households), and
men’s profiles will be U-shaped. 25 across denominations. Denominations
Working with detailed time-use data for whose members average relatively high
Jewish male workers in Israel, Shoshana levels of income and education rely
Neuman (1986) obtains results suppor- more heavily on the services of profes-
tive of the A-E model, including U- sional ministers, teachers, choir directors,
shaped age effects. But surveys ana- and janitors. They also tend to hold
lyzed by Ulbrich and Wallace (1983, fewer and shorter meetings and require
1984) find no evidence that afterlife ex- less time-consuming rituals. (For addi-
pectations cause religious participation tional work emphasizing trade-offs be-
to increase with age, nor that women’s tween time and money, see Amyra
higher rates of religiosity can be ex- Grossbard-Shechtman and Shoshana Neu-
plained in terms of lower alternative man 1986; and C. Chiswick 1995.) It is
wages. Dennis Sullivan’s (1985) simulta- less clear, however, that afterlife ex-
neous equations test of the relationship pectations and interest rates explain
between church contributions and at- religious age trends; and it is virtually
tendance finds weak support for Azzi certain that different values of time do
and Ehrenberg’s model. 26 not account for the large gap between
On balance, it seems clear that the female and male rates of religious activ-
opportunity cost of time does affect re- ity. 27
ligious behavior, leading to variation in Despite its limitations, the A-E
both the level and time intensity of re- model remains important, both as the
ligious activity. Regression analyses of first formal model for religious partici-
survey data consistently find that as pation (within any discipline) and as the
wage rates increase, religious participa- foundation for nearly all subsequent
tion becomes more money-intensive, economic models of religious behavior.
with rates of church contributions rising These later models retain Azzi and
25 Ehrenberg (1977) extends the original A–E
Ehrenberg’s household production
model to take account of both time and money framework, while broadening its as-
inputs to religious household production, and tests sumptions. In particular, they de-em-
his predictions for both using data from the 1969 phasize afterlife expectations, positing
National Jewish Population Study. In a sense,
however, these results provide too much support instead a wide range of payoffs to reli-
for A–E’s afterlife model, because (based on my gious activity (including a sense of
analysis of 1972–90 GSS data) only 30 percent of purpose, moral instruction, group iden-
American Jews claim belief in an afterlife. Even
among Jews who attend religious services monthly tity, social support and status, and
or more, only 36 percent claim to believe, whereas
the corresponding share among Christians is 87 27 The large gap between male and female rates
percent. of self-reported religiosity and religious participa-
26 My own analysis of attendance and contribu- tion has not narrowed over the past few decades,
tions data from the 1986–90 General Social Sur- despite the tremendous increase in women’s labor
veys provides partial support for the A-E model. force participation rates, nor do controls for wage
Religious activity does increase with age, and the rates and employment status account for much of
age is greater for women than men. Neither age the male–female gap in cross-sectional surveys
profile is U-shaped, however. (David de Vaus 1984).
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1481
braker (1993), and Peter Zaleski and religious doctrine, the organizational
Charles Zech (1994) all report a nega- structure of religious institutions, and
tive relationship between congrega- the evolution of religious practices. For
tional size and per-member rates of an- example, Stark and Bainbridge (1985,
nual giving. Zaleski and Zech’s results pp. 171–88) have emphasized the role
are particularly interesting, because of individual entrepreneurship in the
they concern both Protestant and formation of new religions. Richard
Catholic congregations. All recent stud- Dolin, Frank Slesnick, and John Byrd
ies of giving find that even after con- (1989) compare the structure of con-
trolling for income Catholics contribute temporary denominations to those of
much less than Protestants—about two- standard franchises, suggesting that
thirds less in Zaleski and Zech’s data economic theories of franchising can
(and one-half less in the GSS data ana- enhance our understanding of church
lyzed in Table 2). But Zaleski and Zech growth. Drawing upon a raft of histori-
find that the much larger average size cal sources, Finke and Stark (1992) ar-
of Catholic congregations accounts for gue persuasively that the explosive
35 percent of this giving gap, more than growth of the Methodist and Baptist de-
all other variables in their congrega- nominations in nineteenth century
tional data set (which includes mea- America was due to their clergy’s more
sures of income, clergy costs, and lay- effective marketing and superior incen-
leader assessments of the pastoral tives relative to that of the older Con-
staff’s effectiveness and the member- gregational, Presbyterian, and Episco-
ship’s involvement, influence, and mo- palian denominations.
rale). Before advising the Pope, how- To date, the most ambitious work
ever, one must note that Lipford (1995) analyzing churches as firms is Ekelund
estimates a positive relationship be- et al.’s (1996) recent book on the politi-
tween size and giving across a large cal economy of the medieval Catholic
sample of Baptist, Presbyterian, and church. Building from Adam Smith’s
Episcopal congregations in North Caro- ([1776]1965, p. 749) classic insight that
lina. “the clergy of every established church
Because all these contribution studies constitute a great incorporation,”
employ different data and different Ekelund et al. explain numerous fea-
specifications, future research may rec- tures of medieval Catholicism in terms
oncile their results. Additional work is of its monopoly status. They view the
especially needed to address the endo- church as a monopolistic “multi-divi-
geneity of size, specifically the selection sional” firm characterized by a central
bias that occurs if large, poorly financed office that controls overall financial al-
congregations shrink and die more locations and conducts strategic, long-
readily than large, well-financed con- range planning, but allows its (usually
gregations. regional) divisions a high degree of
Churches as firms. Whereas club autonomy in day-to-day operations.
models address the collective side of re- Drawing upon standard theories of mo-
ligious production, other models draw nopoly, rent seeking, and transaction
attention to the differing roles of clergy costs, they offer economic explanations
and lay people. Viewing churches as for interest rate restrictions, marriage
profit-maximizing firms, one may in- laws, the crusades, the organization of
voke standard insights of neoclassical monasteries, indulgences, and the doc-
theory to analyze the development of trines of heaven, hell, and purgatory.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1485
As one example of the approach, con- largely anecdotal and widely scattered
sider Ekelund et al.’s treatment of the over time and space. For the most part,
church’s usury doctrine (analyzed more Ekelund et al. must therefore limit them-
formally in Ekelund, Robert Hébert, selves to interpretations that provide
and Tollison 1989). Here rent seeking is economic rationales for these practices.
seen as the primary motivation for the Nevertheless, they deserve credit for
maintenance of a particular doctrine. opening the door to economic theorizing
The central church’s monopoly position about the content of a religion, and for
allowed it to extract rents from down- motivating other economists to follow
stream producers (the clergy) and from in their path. Other recent contribu-
input suppliers (banks) by controlling tions to the economics of the medieval
the borrowing and lending interest church include Hull (1989) and Dieter
rates. The authors argue that usury Schmidtchen and Achim Mayer (1997).
rules enabled the church to borrow at Still other recent work offers eco-
low rates while lending (through papal nomic explanations for a much broader
bankers) at much higher rates, and they range of religious phenomena: the
cite many sources spanning several cen- Calvinist doctrine of predestination
turies to defend their claims. (Glaeser 1994), the emergence of Ju-
One can, however, tell a very differ- daic monotheism (Alexander Raskovich
ent, though perhaps not mutually exclu- 1996), the distinctive character of reli-
sive, story. Carr and Landa (1983, p. gious texts (Geoffrey Miller 1994),
153) and Edward Glaeser and José cross-cultural and intertemporal vari-
Scheinkman (forthcoming) argue that ation in beliefs about the afterlife (Hull
usury laws acted as a form of social in- and Bold 1994), and the relationship
surance against shocks that were not between different styles of theology and
otherwise insurable. In all societies, but different styles of religious organization
especially simple agrarian ones, indi- (Douglas Allen 1995). The papers by
viduals face the constant threat of bad Glaeser and Scheinkman, Schmidtchen
harvests and other unpredictable disas- and Mayer, Glaeser, and Raskovich il-
ters. Interest rate restrictions can bene- lustrate ways that economists can model
fit the victims of bad shocks (who will doctrines formally and (sometimes) ar-
have high demand for credit) while pe- rive at nonobvious testable predictions.
nalizing those who had experienced
good shocks (and are thus in a position 4.4 Religious Markets
to lend). Glaeser and Scheinkman for-
If individual denominations function
malize this model and derive a variety of
as religious firms, then they collectively
nonobvious predictions, including some
constitute a religious market. Recogniz-
that they test using American data. The
ing this, Adam Smith ([1776]1965, pp.
model’s greatest appeal lies in its ability
740–41) argued that established relig-
to account for the pervasive nature of
ions face the same incentive problems
interest restrictions, which arise in so-
that plague other state-sponsored mo-
cieties and religious traditions far re-
nopolies:
moved from those of medieval Europe.
Testing theories about hell, purga- The teachers of [religion] . . . , in the same
tory, and the crusades is even more dif- manner as other teachers, may either depend
altogether for their subsistence upon the vol-
ficult than testing theories about inter- untary contributions of their hearers; or they
est rate restrictions, particularly when may derive it from some other fund to which
the relevant historical evidence is the law of their country many entitle them.
1486 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
. . . Their exertion, their zeal and industry, Scandinavian countries (where a single,
are likely to be much greater in the former state-run Lutheran church dominates
situation than the latter. In this respect the
teachers of new religions have always had a the market, runs on tax dollars, and
considerable advantage in attacking those an- pays its clergy as civil servants). Indeed,
cient and established systems of which the every available measure of piety, includ-
clergy, reposing themselves upon their bene- ing frequency of prayer, belief in God,
fices, had neglected to keep up the fervour of and confidence in religion, is greater in
the faith and devotion in the great body of
the people . . . countries with numerous competing
churches than in countries dominated
Anderson (1988) reviews Smith’s ar- by a single established church, and
guments in some detail, citing the many these relationships remain strong even
benefits—individual and collective, after controlling for income, education,
moral and economic—that Smith as- or urbanization. It is also true that
cribed to religious competition. Charles within each country the average level of
Leathers and Patrick Raines (1992) dis- religious belief and participation is con-
pute Anderson’s interpretation, arguing sistently lower in the established
that Smith’s own statements are less churches, which enjoy the financial and
clear-cut, but the empirical issue re- regulatory support of the state, than
mains: does competition stimulate lev- among the small denominations operat-
els of religious activity, and do upstart ing at the competitive fringe of the
sects display more vitality than estab- country’s religious market.
lished churches? A correlation between rates of reli-
Confirming evidence has begun to gious diversity and religious participa-
appear on many fronts. Consider, for tion has been observed in many other
example, Figure 3, which graphs the settings, contemporary and historic, re-
strong and striking negative relationship gional and cross-national. Finke and
between church attendance and a Her- Stark’s (1988) analysis of church mem-
findahl-style index of religious concen- bership in turn-of-the-century Ameri-
tration in 12 predominantly Protestant can cities finds higher rates of religious
countries. 31 Weekly church attendance affiliation and Sunday school activity in
rates range from 40 percent of the total cities with higher rates of religious di-
population in the United States (where versity. Finke, Avery Guest, and Stark
the Constitution guarantees religious (1996) replicate this finding for the cit-
competition), to less than 10 percent in ies and towns of New York state, using
detailed data from the 1850s and 60s.
31 The Herfindahl index for the denominations Working with contributions data from
in country j, has the form ΣiS ij2 , where S ij denotes 177 contemporary U.S. congregations,
the share of people in country j belonging to de-
nomination i. The country’s overall attendance Zaleski and Zech (1995) find higher per
rate, A j, will equal the weighted sum Σ iaijSij where capita rates of giving in congregations
a ij denotes denomination i’s attendance rate, and located in areas where their denomina-
if a ij depends (negatively) on S ij, then first-order
approximations yield A j = Σ i(α iSij + β iS ij2 ). Assuming tion enjoys a low market share and
identical parameters, αprot and β prot, for all non- where the overall religious market is
Catholic denominations, one obtains equations more diverse. Even within Sweden, a
suitable for regression analysis: A j = α cathS cath,j
+ α protΣiS ij + βca thS cath,
country known for its lack of religious
j + α protΣ iS ij, where the Σ i’s
2 2
range over all non-Catholic denominations. Ian- activity, Eva Hamberg and Thorlief Pet-
naccone (1991) finds that regressions of this form tersson (1994) find that local religious
explain more than 90 percent of the observed vari-
ance in national rates of church attendance, fre- diversity correlates with local rates of
quency of prayer, and belief in God. religious participation.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1487
45
USA
40
35
Percent Attending Weekly
Canada
30
Netherlands
25 Switzerland
Australia W. Germany
20
New Zealand
15
Britain
10
Norway
5 Sweden Finland
Denmark
0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Protestant Concentration Index
Studies of Catholic religious partici- tion, they must be set against the fact
pation provide partial support for the that church attendance rates are not
“lazy monopoly” model. Analyzing data consistently low where Catholics make
from the 102 Roman Catholic dioceses up a large share of the population.
in the United States, Stark and James Among the predominantly Catholic na-
McCann (1993) find that, relative to the tions of Western Europe, weekly church
total Catholic population, the number attendance rates range from a low of 12
of children attending Catholic schools percent in France to a high of 82 per-
and the number of priestly ordinations cent in the Irish Republic. 32
tend to be higher in regions where It is, of course, risky to infer causa-
Catholics make up a relatively small
fraction of the population. Stark’s 32 Stark (1992) has argued that the traditionally
(1992) analogous cross-national study, high rates of religiosity in Ireland and Poland, two
overwhelmingly Catholic nations, are less anoma-
based on aggregate data from 45 na- lous than they at first seem, because in each case
tions, finds a strong negative correlation the Church has functioned as a vehicle of resis-
between the number of priests per tance to external political domination (from En-
gland and the Soviet Union, respectively). One
Catholic and the percentage of Catho- might thus view these “monopoly” churches as
lics in the total population. Although fiercely competitive institutions within their
both these studies suggest that Catholic broader political markets. The observed decline in
Polish Catholic religious activity following the fall
commitment is lower where Catholics of the Soviet Union provides some support for this
make up a larger share of the popula- interpretation.
1488 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
tion from correlations. But the causal the sociology of religion, which tradi-
story is strengthened by studies that tionally viewed religious pluralism as a
track the effects of increased competi- secularizing threat to faith and fervor.
tion over time. Finke (1990) and Finke Some of the field’s best-known scholars
and Stark (1992) document the impact have, in fact, gone so far as to advocate
of “deregulation” in American religious market models as a “new paradigm” for
history, showing that rates of church the sociology of religion (Warner 1993).
membership rose as the colonial pattern Ironically, however, this new paradigm
of established churches and de facto re- resurrects an old view, shared not only
ligious monopoly gave way to a free by Adam Smith, but also Alexis de Toc-
religious market. Kelley Olds (1994) queville, and even Thomas Jefferson,
provides detailed and statistically so- who once advised that in matters of re-
phisticated evidence that the number ligion “the maxim of civil government”
and wages of preachers in colonial New should be reversed to read “Divided we
England rose in response to the dis- stand, united, we fall.” 33
establishment and privatization of re-
ligion. 5. Policy Implications
Both Finke and Olds find that dises-
Jefferson’s quip is, of course, em-
tablishment produced both winners and
blematic of the radical commitment to
losers, a First Amendment effect dis-
religious freedom and the separation
cussed by Michael McConnell and
of church and state embodied in the
Richard Posner (1989). Despite the
U.S. Constitution’s First Amendment.
substantial increase in overall church
Yet even in the United States, where a
membership, the major denominations
“wall of separation” has characterized
that originally enjoyed state support
church–state relations for more than
suffered severe losses relative to “up-
two centuries, policy debates persist.
start sects.” Thus, from 1776 through
The Waco fiasco, which ended in the
1850, the combined market shares of
fiery deaths of David Koresh and his
the Episcopalian, Congregationalist, and
followers, is but the latest in a long
Presbyterian denominations dropped
string of confrontations concerning the
from 55 percent to 19 percent of all re-
government’s role in regulating deviant
ligious adherents, while the fraction of
religious groups. Though small in mem-
Methodists and Baptists rose from 19
bership, such “sects” and “cults” feature
percent to 55 percent. Nor is this pat-
prominently in media stories, public de-
tern unique to America—similar effects
bates, and legal disputes about the
have been noted in Korea, the Philip-
place of religion in society. One en-
pines, Eastern Europe, the former So-
counters repeated claims that participa-
viet Union, and Japan (Iannaccone,
tion in such groups should not be
Finke, and Stark 1997). Perhaps the
viewed as the exercise of religious free-
most dramatic and colorful case is post-
dom but rather as enslavement to or-
World War II Japan, where the aboli-
ganizations bent on “brainwashing” and
tion of state-Shinto and advent of reli-
exploitation. Indeed, many popular
gious freedom led to a five-year period
writings, psychological articles, and le-
known as “The Rush-Hour of the Gods”
gal decisions have approached cult
during which some 2,000 new sects and
cults were formed. 33 See Robert Healey’s (1984, p. 360) discussion
Studies of religious competition and of this and other Jeffersonian statements concern-
deregulation have caused a stir within ing religious minorities.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1489
membership as a priori evidence of pa- Several studies have found that demo-
thology or coercion. cratic regimes seem more likely to arise
Economic models tend to undermine and survive within Protestant Christian
the presumed validity of these interpre- cultures, a regularity that S. Martin Lip-
tations. As noted in the discussion of set (1993) and others attribute to tradi-
club models, many of the bizarre and tions of tolerance embraced as a matter
apparently pathological practices of de- of political necessity by the members of
viant groups can function as rational, competing Protestant groups. 35
utility-enhancing attempts to promote
solidarity and limit free riding. At the 6. Conclusions
same time, a large body of empirical re-
In the 20 years since Azzi and Ehren-
search from the 1970s and 80s refutes
berg’s pioneering article, the economics
most charges of “brainwashing” and co-
of religion has grown into a sizable body
ercion (Richardson 1991). Theory and
of research. Papers are appearing with
data thus combine to suggest that gov-
ever-greater frequency, and virtually
ernment regulation of religion tends to
every topic familiar to sociologists of re-
reduce individual welfare, stifling reli-
ligion has received some attention: the
gious innovation by restricting choice,
nature of religion; the determinants of
and narrowing the range of religious
individual religiosity and participation
commodities.
rates; conversion, commitment, and re-
Beyond the question of deviant sects
ligious mobility; the emergence and
and cults, one encounters a broader but
evolution of religious institutions; secu-
related set of issues concerning the
larization and pluralism; deviant reli-
overall consequences of regulating re-
gions; the socioeconomic correlates of
ligion. Here again we find Smith claim-
sect membership; church–state issues;
ing that competition would not only
the economic consequences of religion;
generate more religion but also better
and more.
religion: religious laissez-faire is the
How should one judge this work?
best way to satisfy the demand for reli-
Perhaps one should begin by recogniz-
gious instruction, reduce religious con-
ing that the economic approach has set
flict, and promote “pure and rational re-
off a small revolution within the sociol-
ligion, free from every mixture of
absurdity, imposture, or fanaticism.” 34
35 In cross-sectional regressions comparing the
There are, as yet, no direct tests of
economic development, political liberty, and reli-
Smith’s claim that religious competition gious composition of the world’s 150 largest coun-
benefits societies, by providing better tries, Fred Glahe and Frank Vohries (1989) find
religion, less civil strife, and (by exten- that an index of “Judeo–Christian democracy” ex-
plains about 40 percent of the variation in current
sion) more prosperity. But at least one levels of economic development (and 53 percent
relevant empirical regularity does exist. across the subsample of capitalist countries). Their
analysis, however, employs just three variables: (1)
a measure of economic development which com-
34 Smith (1965, pp. 742–43) explicitly rejected bined per capita GNP, average life expectancy, the
the argument of his friend David Hume, who pre- adult literacy rate, and the infant survival rate) in
dicted that religious competition would encourage an equal-weighted additive scale; (2) an index of
fanaticism, superstition, intolerance, and civil un- political liberty deemed reliable by several schol-
rest, and who therefore endorsed an established ars; and (3) the proportion of each country’s popu-
church “to bribe [the] indolence” of the clergy. lation affiliated with a Judeo–Christian denomina-
Jefferson seems to have shared Smith’s view that tion. The “Judeo–Christian Democracy” variable is
religious freedom would soon lead people to adopt defined as each country’s political liberty index
a rational (Unitarian) faith (Healey 1984, pp. 373– multiplied by its proportion of Judeo–Christian in-
74). habitants
1490 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
ogy of religion, a sizable subfield that and the JITE devoted its March 1997
sustains four journals, four associations, issue to papers from a recent confer-
and three annual meetings in the ence on the subject.
United States and Europe. The Interna- The economics of religion is by no
tional Society for the Sociology of Re- means a tightly integrated whole, and
ligion based its 1990 meetings on the most of its contributors have worked in-
theme of “religion and economics” (and dependently. I have tried to present a
subsequently published the plenary pa- fairly systematic overview, emphasizing
pers in the March 1992 issue of Social the connections between different con-
Compass). The Journal for the Scientific tributions and the progression from
Study of Religion devoted most of its households to markets. In the process,
March 1995 issue to economic articles however, I have had to overlook some
and a symposium on the rational choice topics that have, as yet, received little
approach. Papers from a recent special attention, but that may grow increas-
conference on rational choice theories ingly important. In my view (and that of
of religion recently appeared in a vol- the sociologists most critical of rational
ume edited by Lawrence Young (1997). choice), a better treatment of these top-
And, as I have already noted, several ics would fill the most important gaps
prominent sociologists of religion have that now exist in the economics of reli-
gone so far as to characterize market gion, specifically:
models or rational choice theory as (1) Research has tended to sidestep
their field’s “new paradigm.” To be questions concerning the substance of
sure, not all the attention has been posi- religion, taking the demand for religion
tive, but given the disciplinary barriers as given and keeping the character of
separating sociology and economics, the religious commodities loosely defined.
amount of attention is itself remarkable. While this approach avoids narrow for-
Within economics, research in the mulations, it provides little insight into
economics of religion has grown from a the difference between a congregation
trickle in the late 1970s and 1980s to a and a social club, or church attendance
steady stream, though by no means a and bowling. Clearly, one would like to
torrent, in the 1990s. Most AEA confer- do better. Recall that for Azzi and
ences now include one or two sessions Ehrenberg, religion’s distinguishing
on religion, such as the religion and feature is to be found in its promise of
economics session featured in the afterlife rewards. For Stark and Bain-
AER’s May 1996 Papers and Proceed- bridge (and many other sociologists of
ings. Other recent papers on the eco- religion) this definition is broadened to
nomics of religion have appeared in a accommodate a wide range of “super-
variety of journals, including the Jour- natural” commodities. For Schlicht
nal of Political Economy, Economic In- (1995) and many theologians, the criti-
quiry, Explorations in Economic His- cal feature is broader still—a set of be-
tory, Public Choice, the Journal of Law, liefs and behavior that give meaning to
Economics, and Organization, the Jour- life. Others have stressed religion’s ca-
nal of Economic Behavior and Organi- pacity to support collective goods, such
zation, and the Journal of Institutional as property rights and public morality
and Theoretical Economics. These last (Hull and Bold 1989, Anderson and Tol-
two journals also published special col- lison 1992). It is not, as yet, clear how
lections of papers on religion and eco- these broader conceptions can be cap-
nomics, in 1994 and 1995, respectively, tured within formal models.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1491
would end mine with a countervailing ———. 1991. “An Economic Analysis of Philan-
thropy,” in Contemporary Jewish Philanthropy
hope: the economics of religion will in America. Barry A. Kosmin and Paul Ritter-
eventually bury two myths—that of band, eds. Savage, MD: Rowman & Littlefield,
homo economicus as a cold creature pp. 3–15.
Chiswick, Carmel U. 1995. “The Economics of
with neither need nor capacity for pi- American Judaism,” Shofar, 13:4, pp. 1–19.
ety, and that of homo religiosus as a be- Clotfelter, Charles T. 1985. Federal Tax Policy
nighted throwback to pre-rational and Charitable Giving. NBER Monograph.
Chicago, IL: U. Chicago Press.
times. Cochran, John K. and Ronald L. Akers. 1989. “Be-
yond Hellfire: An Exploration of the Variable
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