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An Introduction to the Economics of Religion

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Journal of Economic Literature
Vol. XXXVI (September 1998), pp. 1465–1496

Iannaccone: Economics of Religion

Introduction to the Economics


of Religion
LAURENCE R. IANNACCONE1

1. Introduction new territory within the expanding do-


main of economics. 2
W ITH TWO CENTURIES separating
its first and second publications,
there is no denying that the economics
Studies of religion promise to en-
hance economics at several levels: gen-
erating information about a neglected
of religion got off to a slow start. Yet de-
area of “nonmarket” behavior; showing
spite this leisurely launch, dozens of
how economic models can be modified
economists (and several sociologists)
to address questions about belief,
have now picked up where Adam Smith
norms, and values; and exploring how
([1776] 1965) and Corry Azzi and Ronald
religion (and, by extension, morals and
Ehrenberg (1975) left off. Armed with
culture) affect economic attitudes and
the tools of economic theory and a large
activities of individuals, groups, and so-
body of data, they have written nearly
cieties. At the same time, the studies
200 papers concerning issues that were
promise to influence sociology, particu-
previously confined to other social sci-
larly the sociology of religion, which has
ences—the determinants of religious be-
developed a serious interest in the eco-
lief and behavior, the nature of religious
nomic approach. Because nearly all this
institutions, and the social and economic
work is new and scattered over a variety
impact of religion. If the study of reli-
of journals both in and out of econom-
gion does not yet warrant a JEL classifi-
ics, an introductory survey would seem
cation number, let alone the subfield
to be in order. 3
status that it enjoys within every other
A survey serves also to dispel the
social science, it nevertheless qualifies as
2 The study of religion has enjoyed salience and
1 Santa Clara University. Acknowledgments: I legitimacy within sociology, psychology, anthropol-
am indebted to many colleagues for their com- ogy, history, and (to a lesser extent) political sci-
ments and suggestions, particularly Gary Ander- ence for many decades. Journals that specialize in
son, Christopher Ellison, Ross Emmett, Timur the social–scientific study of religion include the
Kuran, John Murray, John Pencavel, Fred Pryor, Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion, Sociol-
Jonathan Sarna, Darren Sherkat, Jonathan Wright, ogy of Religion (formerly called Sociological
and two anonymous reviewers. My work on this Analysis), the Review of Religious Research, Social
paper was supported by grants from the Lilly En- Compass, and the Journal of Church and State.
3 The survey is not exhaustive. Readers are wel-
dowment (#1996 0184–000) and Santa Clara Uni-
versity’s Leavey School of Business, and was com- come to write to me for a more complete listing of
pleted while I was a Visiting Scholar at the Hoover articles on the economics of religion: LIANNAC-
Institution. CONE@mailer.scu.edu
1465
1466 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

popular but untenable view of religion since its literature is broad and far re-
as a fading vestige of prescientific moved from the research and profes-
times. The resurgence of evangelical sional interests of most economists. Re-
Christianity in the United States, the ligious economics includes a large body
rise of Islamic fundamentalism in the of writings by self-described “Islamic
Middle East, the explosive growth of economists” who seek to analyze, jus-
Protestantism in Latin America, the re- tify, and implement systems of banking,
ligious ferment in Eastern Europe and taxation, income redistribution, and fi-
the former Soviet Union, the role of re- nance consistent with economic princi-
ligion in political and ethnic conflicts ples derived from the Qur’an and the
worldwide—all testify to religion’s per- Sunna. It also includes the writings of
vasive and continuing importance. In Christian theologians, clerics, and
the United States, where data are most economists spanning centuries—from
detailed, rates of religious belief and medieval Catholic bans on usury, to
behavior show little or no decline over contemporary Catholic pastorals on the
time. Indeed, American rates of church economy; from official pronouncements
membership have actually risen of mainline Protestant denominations
throughout the past two centuries. So- and the National Council of Churches,
cial scientists have little choice but to to the diverse writings of evangelical
take account of religion, because reli- Protestants and self-styled “Christian
gion shows no sign of dying out. Economists.” Some of these writings
Studies of religion and economics can question the very concept of religious
be segregated into three major lines of economics, criticizing its logic, claims,
inquiry. This essay emphasizes the line and assumptions (Kenneth Elzinga
of research that interprets religious be- 1989). Others propose radical critiques
havior from an economic perspective, of capitalism, socialism, taxation, bank-
applying microeconomic theory and ing, and income redistribution. Inter-
techniques to explain patterns of reli- ested readers can consult a variety of
gious behavior among individuals, reviews, including Craig Gay (1991),
groups, and cultures. Studies of the Kuran (1993), Fred Pryor (1990), Mu-
economic consequences of religion form hammad Siddiqi (1981), and A. M. C.
a second line, which I will review in less Waterman (1987).
depth. Finally, a large body of writings Like the work that comes before it,
invoke theological principles and sacred this essay sidesteps questions about the
writings to promote or criticize eco- validity of religious beliefs or authentic-
nomic policies. This last line, which one ity of religious institutions. Insofar as
might call religious economics, is pri- an explicit definition of religion proves
marily of interest to philosophers, theo- necessary (for example, to exclude po-
logians, and economists seeking to litical ideologies and secular philoso-
evaluate economic policies from a reli- phies), it suffices to define a religion as
gious perspective. 4 any shared set of beliefs, activities, and
I will not review religious economics, institutions premised upon faith in su-
pernatural forces. 5 In practice, how-
4 Yet another set of studies includes the small
consulting literature that evaluates religious or- 5 This definition, adapted from Rodney Stark
ganizations from a practical business perspective and William Bainbridge (1985, p. 5), excludes
so as to use resources more efficiently, market purely individualistic spirituality and systems of
more effectively, and stimulate church growth metaphysical thought, including some variants of
(e.g., Robert Stevens and David Loudon 1992). Buddhism, that border on pure philosophy. See
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1467

ever, the analysis cannot remain this 1996). 7 Hundreds of other national sur-
abstract. Because there is little social- veys include basic questions about
scientific research on religion outside of church attendance and denominational
the United States and other developed preference. And hundreds more, spon-
Western countries, this essay is largely sored by denominations, interdenomi-
focused on Judeo-Christian beliefs, ac- national agencies, and philanthropic or-
tivities, and institutions. ganizations, provide highly detailed,
Before proceeding, I must comment though less representative, information
on the empirical basis for religious re- about denominations and their congre-
search. Religious data are, on the one gations, members, and leaders.
hand, limited and unreliable. Govern- Institutional records complement
ments collect few religious statistics and self-reported survey data. Nearly all de-
sponsor little religious research; most nominations track their membership,
religious organizations keep sloppy finan- contributions, expenditures, number of
cial records and overly inclusive mem- congregations, and number of clergy,
bership lists; and many aspects of reli- and many also keep records on bap-
gion are inherently difficult to observe. tisms, conversions, ordinations, mission-
Yet religious data are more abundant ary activity, and attendance. 8 The U.S.
than most academics realize and far government collects some relevant data,
more extensive than those pertaining to including statistics on clergy employ-
many other “nonmarket” activities and ment and church construction and IRS
institutions, such as clubs, friendships, tax records (which, together with survey
recreational activities, self-help groups, data and denominational reports, yield
and most social movements. estimates of religious giving and its de-
Surveys provide a wealth of self-re- terminants). 9 Other useful, though
ported information about religious be- largely neglected, information includes:
liefs, activities, and affiliation.6 Since
7 The Canadian General Social Surveys, World
the late 1930s, the Gallup organization
Values Surveys, International Gallup polls, and
has repeatedly polled people about surveys of the International Social Survey Program
their denominational preference, provide analogous, though less detailed, statistics
church attendance, and religious be- for many other countries.
8 Annual summaries of denominational statistics
liefs. Beginning in 1972, NORC’s Gen- have appeared in the Yearbook of American and
eral Social Surveys provide (nearly) an- Canadian Churches since 1915, and many denomi-
nual responses to many more religious nations publish annual reports and/or almanacs
that provide more detailed information disaggre-
questions (James Davis and Tom Smith gated to the local level. The U.S. government’s de-
cennial Census of Religious Bodies, conducted
from the 1850s through the 1930s, reports a wide
Keith Roberts (1990, pp. 3–26) for other defini- range of church statistics disaggregated to the
tions and a discussion of the differences between level of cities and counties; a series of privately-
“functionalist,” “substantive,” and “phenome- sponsored censuses provide analogous county-
nological” definitions. level membership statistics for 1952, 1971, 1980,
6 As with most survey questions concerning per- and 1990 (Martin Bradley et al. 1992, p. vii).
sonal beliefs and private behavior, it is difficult to 9 See annual editions of the Statistical Abstract
assess the overall accuracy of people’s responses to of the United States and Historical Statistics of the
religious questions. Kirk Hadaway, Penny Marler, United States: Colonial Times to 1970 for these
and Mark Chaves (1993) present evidence that and other data pertaining to religion. Only one
Gallup polls substantially overstate actual rates of U.S. Census Bureau survey, the March 1957 Cur-
church attendance. Working with data from the rent Population Survey, asked people their reli-
1975–76 and 1981 Michigan Time-Use Studies, gious affiliation. Other governments collect more
Jeff Biddle (1992, p. 127) obtains weekly atten- religious data. In Canada, marriage applications
dance rates about 15 percent lower than those re- and population censuses ask people their religion.
ported by Gallup. Swedish church statistics, which include individ-
1468 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

sales of religious books, periodicals, and and technology advance; that individu-
music; church telephone listings; clergy als become less religious and more
salaries; church-school and seminary skeptical of faith-based claims as they
enrollments, and data on religious acquire more education, particularly
broadcasting. more familiarity with science; and that
membership in deviant religious groups
2. The Continuing Importance (so-called “sects, cults, and fundamen-
of Religion talisms”) is usually the consequence of
indoctrination leading to aberrant val-
Psychologists, anthropologists, and
ues, or abnormal psychology due to
sociologists have long viewed religion as
trauma, neurosis, or unmet needs. Most
a category of behavior largely immune
people “know” these statements to be
to the rational calculus. Indeed, for
true, even though decades of research
many nineteenth-century scholars—in-
have repeatedly proved them false.
cluding Marx, Freud, and Comte—in-
As survey, census, and historical data
tense religious commitment sprang
have piled up, the continuing vitality of
from nothing less than outright irration-
religion has become apparent, and no-
ality. From this assumption it was but a
where more so than in the United
small step to the so-called “seculariza-
States. Consider, for example, the fol-
tion thesis,” which came to function as
lowing statistical portrait, gleaned from
the principal paradigm for the social-
a variety of contemporary studies:
scientific study of religion. According to
the prominent sociologist Gerhard Len- (1) American church membership
ski (1963, p. 3), sociology was thus rates have risen throughout most of
“from its inception . . . committed to the past two centuries—from 17 per-
the positivist view that religion in the cent of the population at the time of
modern world is merely a survival from the Revolution, to 34 percent by the
man’s primitive past, and doomed to mid-1800s, to more than 60 percent
disappear in an era of science and gen- today. 10
eral enlightenment.” (2) The fraction of the U.S. popula-
Never mind that the secularization tion employed as clergy has remained
thesis is wrong (Andrew Greeley 1989; around 1.2 per thousand for the past
R. Stephen Warner 1993); it has 150 years. See Figure 1, based on
spawned a body of stylized facts that data from various government re-
few dare question. For example: that re- ports, including the 1850, 1880, and
ligion must inevitably decline as science 1906 Census of Religious Bodies, His-
torical Statistics of the United States:
Colonial Times to 1970, and the Bu-
ual-level records of church participation, date
back to the 17th century (Thorlief Pettersson 10 Working from fairly reliable church-level
1988). British denominational statistics from 1700 sources, including the U.S. government’s Census
through 1970 have been tabulated by Robert Cur- of Religious Bodies, Finke and Stark (1992, p. 16)
rie, Alan Gilbert, and Lee Horsley (1977). David estimate church membership rates from 1776
Barrett (1982) has compiled numerous 20th cen- through 1980. In Gallup polls, rates of self-re-
tury religious statistics for more than 200 coun- ported church membership have declined very
tries. Still other sources include the Human Rela- slightly, from 73 percent in 1937 to 70 percent in
tions Area Files, which code anthropologists’ 1995, and the fraction of respondents claiming no
observations about hundreds of premodern socie- religious preference has increased from 6 percent
ties (Brooks Hull 1994), and volumes of historical in 1947, and about 3 percent throughout the 1950s
statistics concerning the medieval Catholic church and 1960s, to 8 percent in 1995 (though part of
(Robert Ekelund et al. 1996), local congregations, this increase is attributable to changes in question
and religious communes (Murray 1995b). wording).
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1469

14

12
Clergy per 10,000 population

10

0
1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Year

Figure 1. U.S. Clergy Employment, 1850–1995.


Source: 1850, 1880: Religious Bodies (U.S. Bureau of Census, 1850 and 1880).
1900-1970: Historical Statistics of the United States: Colonial Times to 1970 (U.S. Bureau of Census 1975, series G458).
1977-1995: Employment and Earnings (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, January issues).

reau of Labor Statistics’ January re- universal spirit” and a large fraction
ports on Employment and Earnings. continue to believe in heaven, hell, an
(3) Since the advent of national opin- afterlife, and the divinity of Jesus. See
ion polls in the late-1930s, the per- Table 1 and also Greeley (1989) for
centage of Americans claiming to attend details.
church in a typical week has re- (5) Total church contributions appear
mained remarkably stable, around 40 to have remained around 1 percent of
percent of the total population. Figure GNP since at least 1955. Religious
2, based on responses to Gallup polls, giving consistently accounts for about
plots attendance trends for self- half of all charitable giving in the
identified Protestants, self-identified United States (approximately 64
Catholics, and all Americans (includ- billion dollars in 1995); religious vol-
ing non-Christians). No real pattern unteer work is more common than
emerges apart from a downward shift any other form of volunteer work
in Catholic attendance immediately (Charles Clotfelter 1985, p. 145); and
following a series of controversial papal the majority of nonprofit institutions
pronouncements in the mid-1960s are or were religiously based.11
(Michael Hout and Greeley 1987).
(4) Surveyed religious beliefs have 11 Compared to other forms of giving, religious
proved nearly as stable as church at- contributions display a relatively low cross-sec-
tendance. For decades, about 95 per- tional income elasticity (between .4 and .6). Clot-
felter (1985, pp. 64–65) summarizes results from
cent of Americans have professed be- three studies that estimate individual-level price
lief in “the existence of God or a and income elasticities for religious giving. J. F.
1470 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
80

70

60
Percent Attending Weekly

50

40

30

20

10

0
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Year

Figure 2. U.S. Church Attendance Rates, 1939–95.


Notes: = all respondents = self-identified Protestants = self-identified Catholics
Source: Gallup opinion poll statistics, reported in annual editions of Religion in America (Princeton Religion Research
Center 1990, 1992/3, 1996) and in Hout and Greeley (1987).

(6) Religion is not the province of the styles of religion do vary with income
poor or uninformed. In numerous and education. Theologically conser-
analyses of cross-sectional survey data, vative denominations (typically
rates of religious belief and religious labeled “fundamentalist,” “Pentecos-
activity tend not to decline with in- tal,” or “sectarian”) draw a dispropor-
come, and most rates increase with tionate share of their members from
education. 12 On the other hand, among the poorer, less educated, and
minority members of society (Stark
Pickering (1985) and Jody Lipford (1995) estimate
corresponding income elasticities across the con- mid-1970s economists have weighed in, estimating
gregations of individual denominations. Giving models more sensitive to nuances of economic
U.S.A. reports annual estimates of religious and theory. Their basic results, however, mirror those
nonreligious giving from 1955 through 1995 (see of the sociologists: education is a weak but gener-
AAFRC Trust for Philanthropy, 1996 and earlier ally positive predictor of religious participation; in-
annual editions). Historical Statistics of the United come is a strong, positive predictor of religious
States: Colonial Times to 1970 (U.S. Bureau of the contributions, but a very weak predictor of most
Census 1975, p. 359) provides analogous statistics other measures of religious activity, such as
for 1930 through 1970. church attendance, church membership, fre-
12 Over the past 40 years, scores of sociological quency of prayer, and rates of religious belief. In-
studies have investigated the empirical relation- come or wage effects are almost always dwarfed by
ship between income and/or education and nu- those of age, gender, and religious upbringing.
merous measures of religiosity—see, for example, See Azzi and Ehrenberg (1975), Ehrenberg
Lenski (1963), Stark (1972), Wade Roof and Wil- (1977), Stephen Long and Russell Settle (1977),
liam McKinney (1987), and Ross Stolzenberg, Holly Ulbrich and Myles Wallace (1983, 1984),
Mary Bair-Loy and Linda Waite (1995). Since the and Biddle (1992).
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1471

TABLE 1 them seriously (James Richardson


POLLS OF RELIGIOUS BELIEFS 1991).
(8) College professors are, on aver-
God Jesus Life Heaven Hell age, somewhat less religious than the
1945 95 76 general public, but it is not at all
1950 99 77 73 72 58 clear that this reflects a fundamental
1955 97 74 tension between faith and science. Ir-
1960 97 74 religion is most pronounced in the
1965 97 75 75 68 54 humanities and the social sciences;
1970 98 73 faculty in the physical sciences and
1975 94 69 professional fields are much more
1980 95 78 71 71 53 likely to attend church, profess faith,
1985 94 76 74 and approve of religion (Robert
1990 84 71 75 60 Wuthnow 1985). It is, in fact, only
1995 96 71 within the social sciences most com-
mitted to the secularization thesis
Notes: Where data are lacking for a given year, but (psychology, anthropology, and, to a
available for one of the two years before or after, the lesser extent, sociology) that one
average of these values is entered.
Source: Gallup polls, reported in “Religion in
finds high levels of antireligious sen-
America” (1985, 1990, 1992/93, 1996). Variables: timent (Stark, Iannaccone, and Finke
God = Percent of “Yes” responses to “Do you 1996). Among leading physicists,
believe in the existence of God or a chemists, and biologists, belief in a
universal spirit?” god who answers prayer is as wide-
Jesus = Percent of “Yes. God” responses to
“Do you believe Jesus Christ ever
spread today as it was in 1916 (Ed-
actually lived? Do you think He was ward Larson and Larry Witham
God or just another leader like 1997).
Mohammed or Buddha?” (9) Throughout the world, fast grow-
Life = Percent of “Yes” responses to “Do you ing religions tend to be strict, sectar-
believe in a life after death?”
Heaven = Percent of “Yes” responses to “Do you
ian, and theologically conservative.
think there is a heaven where people In the United States, such groups
who have led good lives are eternally continue to gain members, even as
rewarded?” theologically liberal Protestant de-
Hell = Percent of “Yes” responses to “Do you nominations (including Episcopalian,
believe there is a hell?”
Methodist, Presbyterian, and United
Church of Christ) struggle with relative
and absolute losses. 13 Mormons and
1972; Roof and McKinney 1987;
Iannaccone 1992). 13 Annual editions of the Yearbook of American
(7) Media hype notwithstanding, most Canadian Churches provide membership figures
members of “extremist sects and for numerous denominations. The growth of con-
servative denominations might seem to contradict
cults” show no signs of deviant per- individual-level data documenting the stability of
sonality, such as neurosis, manic people’s professed religious beliefs. However,
depression, or excessive authoritari- both findings are consistent with a long-recog-
nized tendency for denominations to liberalize and
anism. Charges of forced indoctri- secularize over time (James Montgomery 1996a).
nation, coercive “brainwashing,” and The apparent shift of the population toward more
“mind control” have been so thor- conservative groups is best seen as an individual-
level attempt to stay put (theologically and so-
oughly debunked that few courts cially) in the face of organizational drift (Finke
and even fewer scholars now take and Stark 1992).
1472 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

Jehovah’s Witnesses, long-regarded as can Judaism contains its own spectrum


highly deviant groups, continue to of denominations—Reform, Conserva-
double their membership every 15 to tive, and Orthodox—and Jewish survey
20 years, and now outnumber all but data reveal patterns analogous to those
the largest five or six Protestant de- observed across the spectrum of Chris-
nominations in America. In Latin tian denominations. For example, Or-
America, conservative Christian groups thodox Jews report the highest rates of
(Fundamentalists, Pentecostals, Mor- religious observance and commitment,
mons, and Jehovah’s Witnesses) are and Reform Jews report the lowest
growing so rapidly that they may soon (Bernard Lazerwitz and Michael Harri-
outnumber Catholics in several coun- son 1979; Iannaccone 1994, p. 1196).
tries (David Stoll 1990). The National Opinion Research Cen-
ter’s General Social Surveys provide de-
Rates of growth are not the only tailed self-reported data on Americans’
characteristic that varies across denomi- religious beliefs and behavior. Table 2
nations. Virtually every measure of reports regression results for Christian
religious involvement or commitment— respondents to the 1986 through 1990
beliefs, attendance, and contributions— surveys. 14 In columns 1 and 5, individ-
correlates positively with the denomina- ual rates of church attendance (meas-
tion’s overall level of conservatism, ured in services per year) and religious
strictness, or sectarianism. The result- contributions (measured in dollars per
ing pattern, known as the church-sect year) are regressed onto standard socio-
typology, proves useful for classifying economic variables. Columns 2 and 6
denominations. For example, the mem- introduce a set of denominational dum-
bers of liberal Protestant denominations mies. The dummy variables (Cons_prot,
contribute a relatively small proportion Sect_mem, and Catholic) distinguish
of their income to their churches the members of theologically liberal
(around 1.5 percent), whereas the mem- “mainline” Protestant denominations
bers of conservative Protestant denomi- (the omitted category) from members
nations, such as the Southern Baptists of the Catholic Church, two theologi-
and the Assemblies of God, contribute cally conservative Protestant denomina-
significantly more (between 2 percent tions (Southern Baptists and Missouri
and 4 percent), and Mormon contribu- Synod Lutherans), and a variety of
tions average 6 percent of income. Con- highly conservative sects (including
tributions of time, as measured by rates most fundamentalist groups, Pente-
of church attendance, follow a similar costals, Jehovah’s Witnesses, Advent-
pattern, with liberal Protestant denomi- ists, and Mormons). Columns 3 and 7
nations ranking lowest, conservative add two measures of the respondent’s
Protestants attending more, and sect religious beliefs and a dummy that indi-
members, such as Mormons and Jeho- 14 NORC has conducted the General Social Sur-
vah’s Witnesses, attending still more vey (almost) annually from 1972 through 1996.
(Dean Hoge and Fenggang Yang 1994; Each survey’s data come from face-to-face inter-
Iannaccone 1992, 1994). Measures of views with an independently drawn sample of
about 1,500 English speaking, noninstitutionalized
doctrinal orthodoxy (such as belief in people aged 18 or over (Davis and T. Smith 1996).
the divinity of Jesus, the inerrancy of Table 2 reports results for surveys which bracket
the Bible, and the existence of a literal the three years 1987–89, in which the GSS asked
about religious contributions. Other years, either
heaven and hell) follow the same pat- before 1986 or after 1990, yield essentially the
tern (Roof and McKinney 1987). Ameri- same attendance results.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1473

TABLE 2
DETERMINANTS OF RELIGIOUS PARTICIPATION

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)


Attend Attend Attend Attend Contrib Contrib Contrib Contrib
Education 0.881 1.046 1.311 2.310 63.921 74.458 80.915 110.772
(8.17) (9.82) (9.09) (9.72) (6.67) (7.98) (7.53) (9.85)
Income −.093 −.019 .290 .535 91.494 100.194 113.799 131.991
(0.64) (−.13) (1.56) (1.78) (5.53) (6.08) (5.55) (9.66)
Age .259 .286 .245 .392 12.731 13.654 12.862 18.640
(14.86) (16.67) (10.99) (10.72) (8.82) (9.53) (7.70) (10.75)
Sex 5.900 5.833 5.667 9.365 26.112 22.959 10.848 101.018
(10.10) (10.17) (7.63) (7.68) (0.58) (0.52) (0.22) (1.74)
Married 5.506 5.150 –4.274 –6.282 290.361 237.231 –96.249 –73.139
(8.92) (8.45) (–4.15) (–3.60) (8.26) (7.12) –(1.83) (–0.85)
Black 4.963 4.185 4.720 7.046 191.978 −33.629 −44.915 140.169
(6.35) (4.81) (4.17) (3.57) (3.63) (−0.55) (−0.65) (1.49)
Cons_prot 4.612 1.322 2.508 389.631 295.323 360.862
(5.55) (1.26) (1.44) (5.00) (348) (4.30)
Sect_mem 13.149 9.582 17.776 765.005 697.114 824.169
(13.3) (7.48) (8.51) (7.48) (6.41) (8.71)
Catholic 6.576 6.402 11.242 −70.553 −117.551 −22.726
(9.45) (7.03) (7.54) (−1.82) (−2.63) (−0.32)
Literal 9.140 15.358 267.491 387.335
(11.15) (11.32) (4.90) (6.10)
Postlife 7.639 12.404 208.973 292.794
(8.36) (8.04) (3.58) (3.90)
Marsame 13.233 21.562 498.731 720.986
(13.75) (12.37) (7.44) (8.60)
Cons −5.499 −12.901 −23.775 −52.157 −1302.4 −1587.5 −1893.6 −3192.7
Adj-R2 .07 .10 .20 --- .11 .15 .19 ---
Cases 6105 6105 3339 3339 3223 3223 2530 2530

Source: 1996–90 General Social Surveys, excluding non-Christian respondents.


Notes: T-statistics in parentheses. Table entries in columns (1) through (3) and (5) through (7) report OLS
coefficients for column variables (annual church attendance rate and annual church contributions) regressed onto
row variables; tables (4) and (8) are tobit regressions. Variable definitions: attend = respondent’s (R’s) church
attendance (services/year); contrib = R’s church contributions (in 1990 $/year); education = R’s years of schooling;
income = household income (in 1990 $/year); age = R’s age; sex, married, and black = dummy variables that equal
1 if R is female, black, or married; cons_prot, sect_mem, and marsame = dummy variables that equal 1 if R
belongs to a conservative Protestant denomination (Southern Baptist or Missouri Synod Lutheran), belongs to a
sect (Fundamentalist, Pentecostal, Jehovah’s Witness, Adventist, or Mormon), or has a spouse belonging to the
same denominations; literal and postlife = dummy variables equal to 1 if R believes the Bible is literally true or
believes in life after death.

cates whether the respondent is mar- range restrictions (because annual con-
ried to someone who shares his or her tributions are censored below zero dol-
denominational preference. The Tobit lars, and annual attendance rates are
regressions in columns 4 and 8 reesti- censored below zero and above 52
mate these equations, taking account of weeks per year).
1474 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

The results confirm many of the gen- 3. The Economic Consequences


eralizations noted above. Family in- of Religion
come, for example, has little effect on
Over the past century, scholars have
rates of church attendance but a strong
made many claims about the economic
positive effect on total giving. 15 The ef-
consequences of religion, but none
fect of education is positive and statisti-
grander than those associated with Max
cally significant throughout. Women at-
Weber’s The Protestant Ethic and the
tend church much more than men, an
Spirit of Capitalism ([1905]1958). Pro-
effect that appears in numerous studies
ponents of Weber’s thesis argue that:
and virtually all measures of personal
religiousness. Blacks attend church [t]he Protestant Reformation triggered a
more than whites, and their rates of giv- mental revolution which made possible the
advent of modern capitalism. The worldview
ing are somewhat higher after control- propagated by Protestantism broke with tra-
ling for age, income, and education. ditional psychological orientations through its
Age is an especially strong predictor; emphasis on personal diligence, frugality, and
older people are more religious (and thrift, on individual responsibility, and
this effect remains even after control- through the moral approval it granted to risk-
taking and to financial self-improvement.
ling for period and cohort effects; Hout (Jacques Delacroix 1992, p. 4)
and Greeley 1987, p. 328). Columns 2
and 5 confirm the importance of sec- Despite numerous studies challenging
tarianism. Members of conservative and the empirical validity of this argument,
sectarian denominations attend and the Protestant Ethic thesis lives “as an
give much more than members of article of faith in such varied texts as
liberal denominations even after con- (nearly all) sociology primers, interna-
trolling for socioeconomic differences. tional business textbooks of all stripes,
(Catholics break the pattern, in that [and] the middlebrow press” (Delacroix
they attend substantially more than 1995, p. 126; cf, Shmuel N. Eisenstadt
mainline Protestants but contribute 1968).
substantially less.) The remaining col- Ironically, the most noteworthy fea-
umns show that sectarian effects re- ture of the Protestant Ethic thesis is its
main strong even after introducing absence of empirical support. Econo-
individual-level measures of belief mists tempted to carry Weber’s myth
orthodoxy and religious endogamy, into their work would do well to heed
suggesting that denominational differ- the rebuttals of Anderson and Robert
ences reflect more than the mere Tollison (1992), Delacroix (1992), Rich-
sorting of highly religious people into ard H. Tawney (1926), and especially
theologically conservative denomina- Kurt Samuelsson (1993) who, in the
tions. Despite all these “significant” words of the renowned sociologist
effects, observable factors account for George Homans, does not “just tinker
only a small fraction of the total vari- with Weber’s hypothesis but leaves it in
ance in these (and all) survey data on ruins.”
religious behavior. Samuelsson and Tawney demonstrate
that nearly all the capitalist institutions
emphasized by Weber preceded the
15 I also ran the regressions including a measure Protestant Reformation that he viewed
of wages, but found its effect to be virtually nil in as their cause. Samuelsson further finds
all regressions, including those restricted to em-
ployed respondents, male respondents, and em- that early Protestant theologians were
ployed males. not particularly interested in economic
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1475

matters, nor did they seem to under- 1985). 17 More striking are the links be-
stand markets. And like their Catholic tween religiosity and a wide range of
counterparts, most took a dim view of economically important social behavior,
credit and interest. Finally, Samuelsson such as criminal activity, drug and alco-
refutes Weber’s stylized account of hol consumption, physical and mental
European economic history, demon- health, and marriage, fertility, and di-
strating that, across the regions cited by vorce.
Weber, economic progress was uncorre- It is possible, of course, that reli-
lated with religion, or was temporally gion’s statistical “effects” are entirely
incompatible with Weber’s thesis, or ac- spurious. One may readily posit the ex-
tually reversed the pattern claimed by istence of underlying characteristics
Weber. As Delacroix (1995, p. 126) ob- that shape both religious behavior and
serves, “Amsterdam’s wealth was cen- any other behavior. “Good” kids may
tered on Catholic families; the eco- avoid drugs, stay in school, and go to
nomically advanced German Rhineland church. People with liberal values or
is more Catholic than Protestant; all- deviant lifestyles will probably sort
Catholic Belgium was the second coun- themselves out of conservative denomi-
try to industrialize, ahead of a good nations. One must agree with Richard
half-dozen Protestant entities.” Com- Freeman (1986, p. 371) that nothing
paring levels of economic development short of a (probably unattainable)
across the Protestant and Catholic “genuine experiment” will suffice to
countries of Europe, Delacroix (1992) demonstrate religion’s causal impact.
finds no evidence that one group out- Yet one should also recognize that there
performs the other. exist plausible a priori arguments for re-
Still, there is more to the story of re- ligion’s impact and that despite numer-
ligion’s effects than Weber’s thesis. 16 ous attempts to root out spurious corre-
At the level of individuals and house- lation, many religious effects remain
holds, economic behavior and outcomes 17 Reuven Brenner and Nicholas Kiefer (1981)
do correlate with religion. It is, for ex- argue that Jews emphasize education in response
ample, well known that American Jews to centuries of persecution which raised the value
average significantly higher wages and of (portable, non-expropriable) human capital
relative to land and physical capital. Barry
income than non-Jews, a difference Chiswick (1983, 1985), however, finds that Ameri-
largely attributable to their high levels can Jews do not “overinvest” in education as this
of education (Barry Chiswick 1983, argument implies, but instead acquire high levels
of education because of their high rate of return to
schooling. Their high rate of return may be due in
16 One may reject Weber’s thesis about Protes- part to relatively large investments in child quality
tants and Catholics without concluding that all re- (reflected in small average family size and Jewish
ligious traditions are equally conducive to eco- mothers’ tendency to stay out of the labor market
nomic growth or capitalist institutions. Avner when their children are young), but it may also
Greif (1994) combines historical evidence and reflect cognitive differences with a genetic compo-
game-theoretical analysis to argue that “individual- nent. Using data from Canadian censuses and
ist” (as opposed to “collectivist”) cultural beliefs NORC’s General Social Surveys, Nigel Tomes
foster social institutions that encourage anony- (1984, 1985) confirms the high earnings of Jews,
mous exchange, initiative, and innovation which in but finds relatively weak and inconsistent earnings
turn stimulate long-run economic growth. Kuran effects for Protestants versus Catholics. Working
(1997) notes that the economic and intellectual with panel data, Alfred Darnell and Sherkat
development in Islamic countries has lagged that (forthcoming) find that youth with fundamentalist
of the West for most of a millennium, an outcome Protestant beliefs and membership (in 1965) ob-
that many scholars trace to Islam’s “static world- tained significantly less education (in 1973 and
view.” Kuran’s (1995) theory of “preference falsifi- 1980) than non-fundamentalists, even after con-
cation” may help explain the persistence of this trolling for race, region, gender, and parents’ in-
and other economically inefficient cultural norms. come, education, and occupation.
1476 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

substantively large and statistically sig- et al. 1995), suicide (Bainbridge 1989;
nificant. 18 Bernice Pescosolido and Sharon Geor-
Freeman’s (1986, pp. 372–73) own gianna 1989), divorce (Timothy Heaton
study of churchgoing among black male and Edith Pratt 1990), drug and alcohol
youth illustrates this last point. Based use (John Cochran and Ronald Akers
on a careful analysis of NBER and NLS 1989), and nonmarital sex (Arland
survey data, he concludes that Thornton, William Axinn and Daniel
“[c]hurchgoing [favorably] affects the Hill 1992). 20 Studies of teenage delin-
allocation of time, school attendance, quency are particularly abundant, and
work activity, and the frequency of so- typically find that youth raised in highly
cially deviant activity [crime, drugs, and religious homes are less likely to engage
alcohol]” and that “the pattern of statis- in criminal activity, use drugs or alco-
tical results suggests that at least some hol, or engage in premarital sex. These
part of the churchgoing effect is the re- effects are particularly strong for chil-
sult of an actual causal impact.” Other dren raised in strict denominations or
economists—Lipford, Robert McCor- religiously homogeneous communities.
mick, and Tollison (1993) and Hull and For at least two decades, the criminolo-
Frederick Bold (1995)—have obtained gists and sociologists producing this re-
analogous results using aggregate data search have focussed their efforts on
not based on self-reports. Even after identifying and overcoming spurious
controlling for police expenditures and correlation. In so doing they have em-
crime-related socioeconomic variables, ployed sensible theories, sophisticated
they observe significantly lower rates of models, rich and varied data, and nu-
violent and nonviolent crime in states merous controls. The few analogous
and counties with higher rates of reli- economic studies, including Freeman
gious membership. 19 (1986), Lipford, McCormick, and Tol-
There is, in fact, a large empirical lit- lison (1993), and Evelyn Lehrer and
erature on the relationship between re- Carmel Chiswick (1993), have obtained
ligion and different forms of “devi- similar results.
ance,” including crime (T. David Evans Religion seems to affect both mental
18 The argument for genuine impact begins with
and physical health. Despite the
the fact that most religious institutions are forth- nonempirical Freudian tradition that
right and specific about their moral–behavioral in- blames religion for neurosis, prejudice,
junctions and do employ many time-tested meth- and authoritarianism, empirical studies
ods of indoctrination and social control: early
education, parental reinforcement, conditional consistently find that high rates of reli-
status and membership, appeals to tradition and gious commitment and activity are asso-
an all-seeing judge, and collective activities that ciated with mental health, reduced
foster social ties, facilitate monitoring, and raise
the cost of disobedience. Church members in gen- stress, and increased life satisfaction
eral, and parents in particular, do seem to believe (Christopher Ellison 1993). Here again,
that religious training makes a difference, and do research has focused on problems of
invest substantial resources in religious activities
designed to help their children grow up “good.” spurious correlation, and here again re-
Though I know of no attempts to formally model ligious effects tend to persist even after
these effects, the religious household production
framework reviewed in Section IV provides a natu- 20 According to Cochran and Leonard Beeghley
ral place to start. (1991, p. 46), “[e]vidence of direct or indirect ef-
19 These studies replicate the results of a soci- fects of religion and/or religiosity on nonmarital
ologist, Bainbridge (1989), who obtained essen- sexual attitudes or behaviors can be found in more
tially the same religious effect using the same than 80 studies.” Stark and Bainbridge (1997)
data, a somewhat different set of controls, and a summarize the still larger literature on religion
different level of aggregation. and crime.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1477

controlling for age, income, education, denomination-specific, human capital


gender, race, marital status, place of inputs to household production (Gary
residence, social ties, and previous trau- Becker, Elizabeth Landes, and Robert
matic events (Ellison 1991). Michael 1977; Iannaccone 1990). This
Medical researchers have reported complementarity encourages marriage
statistically significant religious effects within one’s denomination, particularly
in hundreds of epidemiological studies, if it has few close substitutes, and en-
many of which have appeared in leading hances the stability of same-faith mar-
journals such the New England Journal riages. There is strong support for these
of Medicine, JAMA, Lancet, and the predictions, particularly in Lehrer and
American Journal of Epidemiology (Jef- C. Chiswick (1993), the most sophisti-
frey Levin and Harold Vanderpool cated study to date. Lehrer and
1987; Levin 1994). 21 The causal mecha- Chiswick find high rates of “religious
nisms are sometimes clear-cut: Mor- endogamy” within all denominations
mons, Seventh Day Adventists, and and especially high rates among Jews,
members of other strict religious groups Catholics, and Mormons. They also con-
enjoy longer lives and lower rates of firm that interfaith marriages are more
cancer, stroke, hypertension, and heart likely to end in divorce, particularly for
disease because they tend to follow members of exclusive religious groups.
their religions’ strictures governing A Mormon’s marriage to a non-Mormon
smoking, drinking, drug use, and other is thus three times more likely to end in
health-related behavior. 22 Broader cor- divorce than a marriage to another Mor-
relations between health and religiosity mon. Lehrer (1996a, 1996b) also ob-
seem to have many causes, including a serves more subtle intermarriage ef-
negative link between faith and stress or fects, including higher rates of female
a positive link between church involve- employment and lower rates of in-
ment and social support (Levin 1994). tended fertility, which she interprets as
Religious affiliation also affects pat- reduced marriage-specific investment
terns of marriage and marital stability, due to the increased risk of divorce. 23
and it does so in ways consistent with Although the research cited above
economic models of marriage markets demonstrates a relationship between re-
and household production. One may ligion and economically relevant behav-
view the religious commitments of hus- ior, there may be no comparable rela-
band and wife as complementary, but tionship between religion and economic
attitudes. People’s religious affiliation
21 Levin (1994, p. 1477) reports that “A signifi- or degree of religiosity seems not to in-
cant, positive religious effect on health was found fluence their attitudes concerning capi-
in prospective and retrospective studies; in cohort
and case-control studies; in studies of children and talism, socialism, income redistribution,
of older adults; in studies of U.S. White and Black private property, free trade, and gov-
Protestants, European Catholics; Parsis from In- ernment regulation. Within virtually
dia; Zulus from South Africa, Japanese Buddhists
and Israeli Jews, among others; in studies from the
1930s and the 1980s; and in studies of self-limiting 23 Other fertility effects exist only for specific
acute conditions, of fatal chronic diseases and of denominations. Mormons average much higher
illnesses with lengthy, brief, or absent latency pe- than normal fertility, and Jews and people with no
riods, diagnosis and mortality.” religious affiliation have lower than normal fertil-
22 It is less clear why nonmembers fail to adopt ity. Fundamentalists are less likely than others to
equally healthy lifestyles. One might argue that re- use effective methods of contraception, and when
ligions might help people overcome self-control faced with an unwanted pregnancy, are more
problems or that religious strictures cause people likely to choose adoption over abortion (Marshall
to overinvest in health. Medoff 1993).
1478 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

every religious tradition or denomina- belief, whereas others, such as physical


tional grouping (fundamentalist versus health and most forms of deviance, re-
liberal, Protestant versus Catholic, or late more strongly to levels of involve-
Western versus Asian) one finds a be- ment. As Freeman (1986, p. 372) notes,
wildering variety of economic statements this very lack of uniformity argues
emanating from the representative bod- against spurious correlation due to any
ies and leading thinkers of most de- simple form of omitted heterogeneity.
nominational families (Gay 1991; Kuran Religious effects do not reduce to a sin-
1993). It would seem that every reli- gle unobserved factor, such as good-
gious tradition and sacred literature ness, conservatism, credulity, or risk
contains enough ambiguity to justify aversion—a finding that motivates the
any number of economic positions. search for more sophisticated models of
The economic attitudes of a denomi- religious behavior.
nation’s rank-and-file members are
even more diverse than those of its offi- 4. Economic Analyses of Religion
cials. For example, despite media hype
Adam Smith ([1776]1965, pp. 740–
concerning the conservatism of “the Re-
66) laid the foundation for the eco-
ligious Right,” opinion polls consis-
nomic analysis of religion in a largely
tently find that the economic attitudes
ignored chapter of The Wealth of Na-
of evangelical-fundamentalist Protes-
tions. 24 Smith argued that self-interest
tants are no more “conservative” than
motivates clergy just as it does secular
those of other Protestants (Ralph Pyle
producers; that market forces constrain
1993). Indeed, on several dimensions,
churches just as they constrain secular
most notably income redistribution and
firms; and that the benefits of competi-
aid to the poor, they are significantly less
tion, the burdens of monopoly, and the
conservative than the average American
hazards of government regulation are as
(even after controlling for their race, in-
real for religion as for any other sector
come, and education). This is not to say
of the economy.
that conservative Protestants are indis-
For nearly 200 years, Smith’s state-
tinguishable from other Americans, but
ments constituted “almost everything that
that their conservatism revolves around
economists, qua economists have said
a set of theological, moral, and social
on [the] subject” of religion (Kenneth
issues (such as school prayer, abortion,
Boulding 1970, p. 188). But since the
and sexual conduct), which prove
1970s, and especially in the past few years,
largely independent of their economic
economists and sociologists have re-
attitudes. This lack of correlation be-
turned to Smith’s insights. Viewing re-
tween religious and economic thinking
ligious behavior as an instance of ra-
is, of course, just one more blow to
tional choice, rather than an exception
Weber’s “Protestant Ethic” thesis.
to it, they have analyzed religious be-
In sum, religion seems to matter, but
havior at the individual, group, and
its impact is far from uniform. It affects
market level.
some behavioral outcomes (such as
earnings, education, and economic atti- 24 Smith ([1759]1984) addresses religious–moral
tudes) much less than others; many ef- issues more extensively in his Theory of Moral
fects vary across denominations (and Sentiments, noting the consolation and ethical mo-
are often strongest in sectarian groups); tivation provided by belief in a righteous, “all-see-
ing Judge” and “a life to come” (III.2.33–34, pp.
and some effects, such as life satisfac- 131–32). For an extensive discussion of Smith’s re-
tion, relate most strongly to levels of ligious views, see Peter Minowitz (1993).
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1479

The preceding sections lend plausi- U = U(Z1, Z2, … , Zn, A). (1)
bility to this enterprise by underscoring Secular consumption in each period is
religion’s continuing appeal in the face a standard household commodity, which
of unprecedented prosperity, education, depends upon household inputs of time,
and freedom. By all accounts, Ameri- T Z, and purchased goods, X Z. Afterlife
cans choose to remain relatively pious rewards depend upon the household’s
and religiously active. They are under entire history of religious activities, R 1,
no compulsion to claim a faith or join a ... R n, which in turn depend upon the
church as many Europeans were in time and purchased goods devoted to
times past; they have access to an im- religious activities in each period.
mense market of more than 1,500 de- Hence,
nominational alternatives (Gordon Mel- Zt = Z(TZt, XZt)
ton 1989); they can, and often do, vary
Rt = R(TRt, XRt)
their level of religious involvement or
move between congregations or de- A = A (R1, …, R n). (2)
nominations (“shopping” for the church Although Azzi and Ehrenberg ac-
that best meets their perceived needs); knowledge that religious activities may
and they readily justify their religious yield utility in the here and now, they
involvement in terms of its perceived structured their model to emphasize
benefits. Although many of these bene- and analyze what they perceive as the
fits might be illusory, or at least un- fundamental feature of religious behavior.
knowable, many others (in the realm of When combined with a standard life-
health, deviance, and family life) stand cycle budget constraint and the assump-
up to methods of inference far more so- tion that the marginal product of reli-
phisticated than those which charac- gious activity does not decrease with age,
terize most personal judgments. the A-E framework leads to the formal
conclusion that religious activity should
4.1 Religious Household Production
increase with age. This age effect arises
Contemporary research on the eco- because resources devoted to afterlife
nomics of religion begins with Azzi and salvation are assumed not to accumu-
Ehrenberg’s (1975) household produc- late interest throughout the life-cycle,
tion model of church attendance and whereas standard investments do. (The
contributions. Within this provocative age effect is partially offset by wage
model, individuals allocate their time growth, leading A-E to predict stronger
and goods among religious and secular age effects for women, whose age-earnings
commodities so as to maximize lifetime profiles tend to be flatter than men’s,
and afterlife utility. Azzi and Ehrenberg and the possibility of declining religious
posit “afterlife consumption” as the pri- activity at young ages when wages rise
mary goal of religious participation, an most rapidly.) The model also predicts
assumption that implies a strong restric- substitution between time and money
tion on the way religious commodities devoted to religion. Thus, standard effi-
enter household utility functions. For- ciency conditions imply that households
mally, households are assumed to maxi- with lower values of time will produce
mize an intertemporal utility function religious commodities in a more time-
which depends upon both (secular) con- intensive manner and that, within a
sumption, Z t, in each period and ex- given household, members with lower
pected afterlife consumption, A; wages (typically, wives) will supply
more time to religious activity.
1480 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

The empirical support for Azzi and relative to rates of church attendance.
Ehrenberg’s predictions is mixed. Their This pattern holds over the life cycle
own analysis of survey data and that of (with participation becoming most
Ehrenberg (1977) tend to confirm their money-intensive in the prime earning
predictions, most notably the predic- years), across households (with higher
tions that women’s age-attendance pro- rates of attendance relative to contribu-
files will be steeper than men’s and that tions in lower-wage households), and
men’s profiles will be U-shaped. 25 across denominations. Denominations
Working with detailed time-use data for whose members average relatively high
Jewish male workers in Israel, Shoshana levels of income and education rely
Neuman (1986) obtains results suppor- more heavily on the services of profes-
tive of the A-E model, including U- sional ministers, teachers, choir directors,
shaped age effects. But surveys ana- and janitors. They also tend to hold
lyzed by Ulbrich and Wallace (1983, fewer and shorter meetings and require
1984) find no evidence that afterlife ex- less time-consuming rituals. (For addi-
pectations cause religious participation tional work emphasizing trade-offs be-
to increase with age, nor that women’s tween time and money, see Amyra
higher rates of religiosity can be ex- Grossbard-Shechtman and Shoshana Neu-
plained in terms of lower alternative man 1986; and C. Chiswick 1995.) It is
wages. Dennis Sullivan’s (1985) simulta- less clear, however, that afterlife ex-
neous equations test of the relationship pectations and interest rates explain
between church contributions and at- religious age trends; and it is virtually
tendance finds weak support for Azzi certain that different values of time do
and Ehrenberg’s model. 26 not account for the large gap between
On balance, it seems clear that the female and male rates of religious activ-
opportunity cost of time does affect re- ity. 27
ligious behavior, leading to variation in Despite its limitations, the A-E
both the level and time intensity of re- model remains important, both as the
ligious activity. Regression analyses of first formal model for religious partici-
survey data consistently find that as pation (within any discipline) and as the
wage rates increase, religious participa- foundation for nearly all subsequent
tion becomes more money-intensive, economic models of religious behavior.
with rates of church contributions rising These later models retain Azzi and
25 Ehrenberg (1977) extends the original A–E
Ehrenberg’s household production
model to take account of both time and money framework, while broadening its as-
inputs to religious household production, and tests sumptions. In particular, they de-em-
his predictions for both using data from the 1969 phasize afterlife expectations, positing
National Jewish Population Study. In a sense,
however, these results provide too much support instead a wide range of payoffs to reli-
for A–E’s afterlife model, because (based on my gious activity (including a sense of
analysis of 1972–90 GSS data) only 30 percent of purpose, moral instruction, group iden-
American Jews claim belief in an afterlife. Even
among Jews who attend religious services monthly tity, social support and status, and
or more, only 36 percent claim to believe, whereas
the corresponding share among Christians is 87 27 The large gap between male and female rates
percent. of self-reported religiosity and religious participa-
26 My own analysis of attendance and contribu- tion has not narrowed over the past few decades,
tions data from the 1986–90 General Social Sur- despite the tremendous increase in women’s labor
veys provides partial support for the A-E model. force participation rates, nor do controls for wage
Religious activity does increase with age, and the rates and employment status account for much of
age is greater for women than men. Neither age the male–female gap in cross-sectional surveys
profile is U-shaped, however. (David de Vaus 1984).
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1481

mutual aid). 28 Other changes concern due to (rational or myopic) “addiction”


the goods-time production framework rather than afterlife expectations.
which, in its initial formulation, ab- Most religious capital is quite spe-
stracts from the collective side of reli- cific, because doctrine, ritual, and styles
gious activity, suggests statistical models of worship vary greatly from one de-
much like those already employed by nomination to the next. Moreover, most
sociologists, and has little to say about religious experience and training (un-
the strongest predictors of individual like general education and occupational
participation: denomination, personal training) is received directly from par-
belief, and family background. ents and the religious institutions that
they support. This leads to various pre-
4.2 Religious Human Capital
dictions, nearly all of which receive
Intuitively, a person’s capacity to pro- strong empirical support:
duce or appreciate religious commodi- (1) As children mature and begin to
ties will depend not only upon their in- make their own religious decisions, they
puts of time and goods, but also upon gravitate toward the beliefs and de-
religious knowledge, familiarity with nominations of their parents. And even
church ritual and doctrine, and friend- those who switch religions will tend to
ships with fellow worshipers. This sug- choose religions similar to those in
gests a natural extension to Azzi and which they were raised. Hence, the
Ehrenberg’s model: the inclusion of likelihood of conversion between par-
“religious human capital,” S R, which in- ticular religious groups is greater the
dexes the stock of religion-specific ex- more similar the groups, and overall
perience derived from one’s past relig- rates of conversion to and from a par-
ious activities (Iannaccone 1984, 1990; ticular group are lower the more dis-
cf. John Durkin and Greeley 1991). The tinctive the group.
religious commodities produced in pe- (2) Religious switching, like job
riod t then become changing, will tend to occur early in the
Rt = R(TRt, XRt, Srt) (3) life cycle as people search for the best
and increments to religious human capi- match between their skills and the con-
tal arise as a form of “consumption capi- text in which they produce religious
tal” or learning by doing (George Stigler commodities. Over time, the gains from
and Becker 1977). further switching diminish, as the po-
tential improvement in matches dimin-
∆Srt = F(TRt−1, XRt−1, SRt−1) (4) ishes and the remaining years in which
This amounts to a model of religious to capitalize on that improvement de-
habit (or taste) formation, and thus pro- crease, whereas the costs of switching
vides an alternative to Azzi and Ehren- increase, as one accumulates more capi-
berg’s original explanation for age tal specific to a particular context. Con-
trends. Participation can grow over time versions among older people should be
very rare (Iannaccone 1990). 29
28 See, for example, Hull and Bold (1989) who (3) Insofar as the religion of husband
list four distinct benefits associated with religion:
“temporal bliss, social goods, deferred perpetuity, 29 The model also predicts, and data confirm,
and altered fate,” or Ekkehart Schlicht (1995) who that socioeconomic mobility promotes denomina-
emphasizes religion’s capacity to create meaning. tional mobility—people raised in relatively poor
One should also note that, when asked why they (fundamentalist Protestant) denominations are
attend church or maintain a religious affiliation, more likely to switch to relatively rich (mainline
people tend to emphasize concrete, here-and-now Protestant) denominations if they themselves are
benefits. prosperous and well educated.
1482 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

and wife are complementary inputs to tions as a mutual-benefit organization,


household production (and the divorce dedicated to the collective production
statistics suggest that they are very of worship services, religious instruc-
complementary; Lehrer and Chiswick tion, social activities, and other quasi-
1993), the same forces that lead people public “club goods.” Except for a few
to adopt their parents’ religion also lead full-time religious professionals and a
them to marry within their religion. handful of benchwarmers, most mem-
Those who do intermarry will face a bers contribute both to production and
strong incentive to adopt the religion of consumption of these religious com-
their spouse (or vice versa), and the ef- modities.
ficiency gains from such marital realign- Churches as clubs. Club models of re-
ments will tend to be greater when the ligion may be framed as an extension to
less religious spouse does the convert- the household production approach.
ing. The religious commodities that enter a
household’s utility function now depend
4.3 Religious Groups and Institutions
not only upon their own inputs of time,
The preceding models manifest an goods, and capital, but also upon the in-
ironic shortcoming: though designed to puts of fellow church members. So, for
explain church attendance and affili- example, the pleasure and edification
ation, they never really address the ex- that I derive from a worship service
istence of churches. Formally, all reli- does not depend solely on what I bring
gious production occurs at the level of to the service (through my presence, at-
individuals or households. In practice, tentiveness, public singing, and so
however, religious behavior is anything forth); it also depends on how many
but an individual matter.30 Recent work other people attend, how warmly they
in the economics of religion has thus greet me, how well they sing, how en-
shifted its focus from individuals and thusiastically they read and pray, how
households to groups and institutions. deep their commitment, and so forth.
Simple models of isolated utility maxi- Formally, the household’s religious pro-
mizers, constrained only by personal in- duction function becomes
come and commodity prices, have given
R = R(TR , XR , SR ; Q) (5)
way to models that emphasize the role
of specialized firms or clubs in the pro- where Q indexes the quality of the
duction of religious commodities. group, which is in turn a function of the
Though some of this work views religious inputs of the other group mem-
churches as standard, neoclassical firms bers (Iannaccone 1992; see also Jack
in which (priestly) producers “sell” Carr and Janet Landa 1983; B. Chiswick
their religious goods and services to 1991; Sullivan 1985; and Joe Wallis
(lay) consumers, other papers take club 1990).
theory as their starting point. Club In many ways, this model turns the
models are motivated by the observa- standard club story on its head. Rather
tion that, despite its firm-like charac- than emphasize problems of congestion,
teristics, the typical congregation func- it emphasizes the positive externalities
associated with religious participation.
30 The famous sociologist Emile Durkheim In congregational settings, an active
([1915] 1965, p. 62) went so far as to define reli- member (who attends regularly, sings
gion in terms of its collective dimension, and ob-
served that “[i]n all history we do not find a single wholeheartedly, and greets others en-
religion without a Church” (p. 59). thusiastically) increases the utility of
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1483

other members. Conversely, free (or churches. Conversion, apostasy, and


“easy”) riders, who participate less fre- other abrupt shifts in behavior are more
quently and less energetically, threaten common in sectarian groups than main-
to undermine the viability of most reli- line churches because sect membership
gions—a problem well-documented by is a kind of corner solution, requiring
sociologists of religion. total abstinence from many secular
It can be shown, both formally and commodities. With no room for com-
empirically, that apparently gratuitous promise, a member’s optimal response
sacrifices can function to mitigate a re- to a change in the shadow price of these
ligion’s free-rider problems by screen- commodities is discrete: continue ab-
ing out half-hearted members and in- staining and remain a member, or leave
ducing higher levels of participation the group and jump to a standard, non-
among those who remain. Perfectly ra- religious optimum. By restricting access
tional individuals may thus find it in to secular activities and rewards (in-
their interest to join so-called “sects” cluding high-paying jobs and high-
and “cults” that demand stigma, self- status social networks), sects impose es-
sacrifice, and bizarre behavioral stan- pecially high costs on individuals with
dards concerning dress, diet, grooming, high wages and good career prospects.
sexual conduct, entertainment activi- Thus, sect membership is relatively
ties, and social interaction. At the same more attractive to people with limited
time, other people (particularly those secular opportunities. (See Iannaccone
with higher market opportunities) will 1992, pp. 283–89 for details.)
find it optimal to form less demanding Montgomery (1996a) carries the
groups, such as mainstream churches church-sect framework into a dynamic,
(Iannaccone 1988, 1992, 1994; Murray overlapping generations model that cap-
1995a, 1995b). tures the documented tendency for new
Club-theoretic models of high-cost religions to originate as high-cost sects
“sects” and easygoing “churches” ex- but evolve over time into less demand-
plain and integrate a large body of em- ing churches. Within his model, peo-
pirical findings that have fascinated so- ple’s utilities depend on their endow-
ciologists of religion for more than a ments of religious human capital, which
century (and before that Adam Smith bind them to their denominations of
1965, p. 747). The predicted correlates origin, and their (stochastically deter-
of sectarian religion include strict be- mined) secular human capital, which
havioral standards, high rates of church yields higher payoffs in nonsectarian
attendance and giving, small congrega- groups. As the children of low-wage
tions, dramatic conversions, and a rela- sect members regress toward the earn-
tively large number of minority and ings mean, they switch to looser groups
lower-class members. The intuition be- or pressure their sect to moderate its
hind many of these predictions is costly demands. Economic and religious
straightforward. For example, sectarian mobility thus leads to denominational
congregations tend to be small because drift along the church-sect continuum.
each congregation must monitor mem- Insofar as churches function like
bers in order to maintain its behavioral standard economic clubs, one also ex-
requirements. Because monitoring costs pects to find more free riding in larger
increase with group size, sects cannot congregations. Contributions data pro-
exploit economies of scale as fully as vide the most direct test of this predic-
can the larger congregations of mainline tion, and Sullivan (1985), Robert Stone-
1484 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

braker (1993), and Peter Zaleski and religious doctrine, the organizational
Charles Zech (1994) all report a nega- structure of religious institutions, and
tive relationship between congrega- the evolution of religious practices. For
tional size and per-member rates of an- example, Stark and Bainbridge (1985,
nual giving. Zaleski and Zech’s results pp. 171–88) have emphasized the role
are particularly interesting, because of individual entrepreneurship in the
they concern both Protestant and formation of new religions. Richard
Catholic congregations. All recent stud- Dolin, Frank Slesnick, and John Byrd
ies of giving find that even after con- (1989) compare the structure of con-
trolling for income Catholics contribute temporary denominations to those of
much less than Protestants—about two- standard franchises, suggesting that
thirds less in Zaleski and Zech’s data economic theories of franchising can
(and one-half less in the GSS data ana- enhance our understanding of church
lyzed in Table 2). But Zaleski and Zech growth. Drawing upon a raft of histori-
find that the much larger average size cal sources, Finke and Stark (1992) ar-
of Catholic congregations accounts for gue persuasively that the explosive
35 percent of this giving gap, more than growth of the Methodist and Baptist de-
all other variables in their congrega- nominations in nineteenth century
tional data set (which includes mea- America was due to their clergy’s more
sures of income, clergy costs, and lay- effective marketing and superior incen-
leader assessments of the pastoral tives relative to that of the older Con-
staff’s effectiveness and the member- gregational, Presbyterian, and Episco-
ship’s involvement, influence, and mo- palian denominations.
rale). Before advising the Pope, how- To date, the most ambitious work
ever, one must note that Lipford (1995) analyzing churches as firms is Ekelund
estimates a positive relationship be- et al.’s (1996) recent book on the politi-
tween size and giving across a large cal economy of the medieval Catholic
sample of Baptist, Presbyterian, and church. Building from Adam Smith’s
Episcopal congregations in North Caro- ([1776]1965, p. 749) classic insight that
lina. “the clergy of every established church
Because all these contribution studies constitute a great incorporation,”
employ different data and different Ekelund et al. explain numerous fea-
specifications, future research may rec- tures of medieval Catholicism in terms
oncile their results. Additional work is of its monopoly status. They view the
especially needed to address the endo- church as a monopolistic “multi-divi-
geneity of size, specifically the selection sional” firm characterized by a central
bias that occurs if large, poorly financed office that controls overall financial al-
congregations shrink and die more locations and conducts strategic, long-
readily than large, well-financed con- range planning, but allows its (usually
gregations. regional) divisions a high degree of
Churches as firms. Whereas club autonomy in day-to-day operations.
models address the collective side of re- Drawing upon standard theories of mo-
ligious production, other models draw nopoly, rent seeking, and transaction
attention to the differing roles of clergy costs, they offer economic explanations
and lay people. Viewing churches as for interest rate restrictions, marriage
profit-maximizing firms, one may in- laws, the crusades, the organization of
voke standard insights of neoclassical monasteries, indulgences, and the doc-
theory to analyze the development of trines of heaven, hell, and purgatory.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1485

As one example of the approach, con- largely anecdotal and widely scattered
sider Ekelund et al.’s treatment of the over time and space. For the most part,
church’s usury doctrine (analyzed more Ekelund et al. must therefore limit them-
formally in Ekelund, Robert Hébert, selves to interpretations that provide
and Tollison 1989). Here rent seeking is economic rationales for these practices.
seen as the primary motivation for the Nevertheless, they deserve credit for
maintenance of a particular doctrine. opening the door to economic theorizing
The central church’s monopoly position about the content of a religion, and for
allowed it to extract rents from down- motivating other economists to follow
stream producers (the clergy) and from in their path. Other recent contribu-
input suppliers (banks) by controlling tions to the economics of the medieval
the borrowing and lending interest church include Hull (1989) and Dieter
rates. The authors argue that usury Schmidtchen and Achim Mayer (1997).
rules enabled the church to borrow at Still other recent work offers eco-
low rates while lending (through papal nomic explanations for a much broader
bankers) at much higher rates, and they range of religious phenomena: the
cite many sources spanning several cen- Calvinist doctrine of predestination
turies to defend their claims. (Glaeser 1994), the emergence of Ju-
One can, however, tell a very differ- daic monotheism (Alexander Raskovich
ent, though perhaps not mutually exclu- 1996), the distinctive character of reli-
sive, story. Carr and Landa (1983, p. gious texts (Geoffrey Miller 1994),
153) and Edward Glaeser and José cross-cultural and intertemporal vari-
Scheinkman (forthcoming) argue that ation in beliefs about the afterlife (Hull
usury laws acted as a form of social in- and Bold 1994), and the relationship
surance against shocks that were not between different styles of theology and
otherwise insurable. In all societies, but different styles of religious organization
especially simple agrarian ones, indi- (Douglas Allen 1995). The papers by
viduals face the constant threat of bad Glaeser and Scheinkman, Schmidtchen
harvests and other unpredictable disas- and Mayer, Glaeser, and Raskovich il-
ters. Interest rate restrictions can bene- lustrate ways that economists can model
fit the victims of bad shocks (who will doctrines formally and (sometimes) ar-
have high demand for credit) while pe- rive at nonobvious testable predictions.
nalizing those who had experienced
good shocks (and are thus in a position 4.4 Religious Markets
to lend). Glaeser and Scheinkman for-
If individual denominations function
malize this model and derive a variety of
as religious firms, then they collectively
nonobvious predictions, including some
constitute a religious market. Recogniz-
that they test using American data. The
ing this, Adam Smith ([1776]1965, pp.
model’s greatest appeal lies in its ability
740–41) argued that established relig-
to account for the pervasive nature of
ions face the same incentive problems
interest restrictions, which arise in so-
that plague other state-sponsored mo-
cieties and religious traditions far re-
nopolies:
moved from those of medieval Europe.
Testing theories about hell, purga- The teachers of [religion] . . . , in the same
tory, and the crusades is even more dif- manner as other teachers, may either depend
altogether for their subsistence upon the vol-
ficult than testing theories about inter- untary contributions of their hearers; or they
est rate restrictions, particularly when may derive it from some other fund to which
the relevant historical evidence is the law of their country many entitle them.
1486 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)
. . . Their exertion, their zeal and industry, Scandinavian countries (where a single,
are likely to be much greater in the former state-run Lutheran church dominates
situation than the latter. In this respect the
teachers of new religions have always had a the market, runs on tax dollars, and
considerable advantage in attacking those an- pays its clergy as civil servants). Indeed,
cient and established systems of which the every available measure of piety, includ-
clergy, reposing themselves upon their bene- ing frequency of prayer, belief in God,
fices, had neglected to keep up the fervour of and confidence in religion, is greater in
the faith and devotion in the great body of
the people . . . countries with numerous competing
churches than in countries dominated
Anderson (1988) reviews Smith’s ar- by a single established church, and
guments in some detail, citing the many these relationships remain strong even
benefits—individual and collective, after controlling for income, education,
moral and economic—that Smith as- or urbanization. It is also true that
cribed to religious competition. Charles within each country the average level of
Leathers and Patrick Raines (1992) dis- religious belief and participation is con-
pute Anderson’s interpretation, arguing sistently lower in the established
that Smith’s own statements are less churches, which enjoy the financial and
clear-cut, but the empirical issue re- regulatory support of the state, than
mains: does competition stimulate lev- among the small denominations operat-
els of religious activity, and do upstart ing at the competitive fringe of the
sects display more vitality than estab- country’s religious market.
lished churches? A correlation between rates of reli-
Confirming evidence has begun to gious diversity and religious participa-
appear on many fronts. Consider, for tion has been observed in many other
example, Figure 3, which graphs the settings, contemporary and historic, re-
strong and striking negative relationship gional and cross-national. Finke and
between church attendance and a Her- Stark’s (1988) analysis of church mem-
findahl-style index of religious concen- bership in turn-of-the-century Ameri-
tration in 12 predominantly Protestant can cities finds higher rates of religious
countries. 31 Weekly church attendance affiliation and Sunday school activity in
rates range from 40 percent of the total cities with higher rates of religious di-
population in the United States (where versity. Finke, Avery Guest, and Stark
the Constitution guarantees religious (1996) replicate this finding for the cit-
competition), to less than 10 percent in ies and towns of New York state, using
detailed data from the 1850s and 60s.
31 The Herfindahl index for the denominations Working with contributions data from
in country j, has the form ΣiS ij2 , where S ij denotes 177 contemporary U.S. congregations,
the share of people in country j belonging to de-
nomination i. The country’s overall attendance Zaleski and Zech (1995) find higher per
rate, A j, will equal the weighted sum Σ iaijSij where capita rates of giving in congregations
a ij denotes denomination i’s attendance rate, and located in areas where their denomina-
if a ij depends (negatively) on S ij, then first-order
approximations yield A j = Σ i(α iSij + β iS ij2 ). Assuming tion enjoys a low market share and
identical parameters, αprot and β prot, for all non- where the overall religious market is
Catholic denominations, one obtains equations more diverse. Even within Sweden, a
suitable for regression analysis: A j = α cathS cath,j
+ α protΣiS ij + βca thS cath,
country known for its lack of religious
j + α protΣ iS ij, where the Σ i’s
2 2

range over all non-Catholic denominations. Ian- activity, Eva Hamberg and Thorlief Pet-
naccone (1991) finds that regressions of this form tersson (1994) find that local religious
explain more than 90 percent of the observed vari-
ance in national rates of church attendance, fre- diversity correlates with local rates of
quency of prayer, and belief in God. religious participation.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1487
45
USA
40

35
Percent Attending Weekly

Canada
30
Netherlands
25 Switzerland

Australia W. Germany
20
New Zealand

15
Britain

10
Norway
5 Sweden Finland
Denmark
0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Protestant Concentration Index

Figure 3. Market Concentration versus Church Attendance Rates.


Source: Iannaccone (1991). A country’s “Protestant” concentration index is calculated from the 1980 population shares of
the country’s non-Catholic denominations. Weekly church attendance rates come from international Gallup polls
conducted in the late 1970s. See footnote 31 for details.

Studies of Catholic religious partici- tion, they must be set against the fact
pation provide partial support for the that church attendance rates are not
“lazy monopoly” model. Analyzing data consistently low where Catholics make
from the 102 Roman Catholic dioceses up a large share of the population.
in the United States, Stark and James Among the predominantly Catholic na-
McCann (1993) find that, relative to the tions of Western Europe, weekly church
total Catholic population, the number attendance rates range from a low of 12
of children attending Catholic schools percent in France to a high of 82 per-
and the number of priestly ordinations cent in the Irish Republic. 32
tend to be higher in regions where It is, of course, risky to infer causa-
Catholics make up a relatively small
fraction of the population. Stark’s 32 Stark (1992) has argued that the traditionally

(1992) analogous cross-national study, high rates of religiosity in Ireland and Poland, two
overwhelmingly Catholic nations, are less anoma-
based on aggregate data from 45 na- lous than they at first seem, because in each case
tions, finds a strong negative correlation the Church has functioned as a vehicle of resis-
between the number of priests per tance to external political domination (from En-
gland and the Soviet Union, respectively). One
Catholic and the percentage of Catho- might thus view these “monopoly” churches as
lics in the total population. Although fiercely competitive institutions within their
both these studies suggest that Catholic broader political markets. The observed decline in
Polish Catholic religious activity following the fall
commitment is lower where Catholics of the Soviet Union provides some support for this
make up a larger share of the popula- interpretation.
1488 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

tion from correlations. But the causal the sociology of religion, which tradi-
story is strengthened by studies that tionally viewed religious pluralism as a
track the effects of increased competi- secularizing threat to faith and fervor.
tion over time. Finke (1990) and Finke Some of the field’s best-known scholars
and Stark (1992) document the impact have, in fact, gone so far as to advocate
of “deregulation” in American religious market models as a “new paradigm” for
history, showing that rates of church the sociology of religion (Warner 1993).
membership rose as the colonial pattern Ironically, however, this new paradigm
of established churches and de facto re- resurrects an old view, shared not only
ligious monopoly gave way to a free by Adam Smith, but also Alexis de Toc-
religious market. Kelley Olds (1994) queville, and even Thomas Jefferson,
provides detailed and statistically so- who once advised that in matters of re-
phisticated evidence that the number ligion “the maxim of civil government”
and wages of preachers in colonial New should be reversed to read “Divided we
England rose in response to the dis- stand, united, we fall.” 33
establishment and privatization of re-
ligion. 5. Policy Implications
Both Finke and Olds find that dises-
Jefferson’s quip is, of course, em-
tablishment produced both winners and
blematic of the radical commitment to
losers, a First Amendment effect dis-
religious freedom and the separation
cussed by Michael McConnell and
of church and state embodied in the
Richard Posner (1989). Despite the
U.S. Constitution’s First Amendment.
substantial increase in overall church
Yet even in the United States, where a
membership, the major denominations
“wall of separation” has characterized
that originally enjoyed state support
church–state relations for more than
suffered severe losses relative to “up-
two centuries, policy debates persist.
start sects.” Thus, from 1776 through
The Waco fiasco, which ended in the
1850, the combined market shares of
fiery deaths of David Koresh and his
the Episcopalian, Congregationalist, and
followers, is but the latest in a long
Presbyterian denominations dropped
string of confrontations concerning the
from 55 percent to 19 percent of all re-
government’s role in regulating deviant
ligious adherents, while the fraction of
religious groups. Though small in mem-
Methodists and Baptists rose from 19
bership, such “sects” and “cults” feature
percent to 55 percent. Nor is this pat-
prominently in media stories, public de-
tern unique to America—similar effects
bates, and legal disputes about the
have been noted in Korea, the Philip-
place of religion in society. One en-
pines, Eastern Europe, the former So-
counters repeated claims that participa-
viet Union, and Japan (Iannaccone,
tion in such groups should not be
Finke, and Stark 1997). Perhaps the
viewed as the exercise of religious free-
most dramatic and colorful case is post-
dom but rather as enslavement to or-
World War II Japan, where the aboli-
ganizations bent on “brainwashing” and
tion of state-Shinto and advent of reli-
exploitation. Indeed, many popular
gious freedom led to a five-year period
writings, psychological articles, and le-
known as “The Rush-Hour of the Gods”
gal decisions have approached cult
during which some 2,000 new sects and
cults were formed. 33 See Robert Healey’s (1984, p. 360) discussion
Studies of religious competition and of this and other Jeffersonian statements concern-
deregulation have caused a stir within ing religious minorities.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1489

membership as a priori evidence of pa- Several studies have found that demo-
thology or coercion. cratic regimes seem more likely to arise
Economic models tend to undermine and survive within Protestant Christian
the presumed validity of these interpre- cultures, a regularity that S. Martin Lip-
tations. As noted in the discussion of set (1993) and others attribute to tradi-
club models, many of the bizarre and tions of tolerance embraced as a matter
apparently pathological practices of de- of political necessity by the members of
viant groups can function as rational, competing Protestant groups. 35
utility-enhancing attempts to promote
solidarity and limit free riding. At the 6. Conclusions
same time, a large body of empirical re-
In the 20 years since Azzi and Ehren-
search from the 1970s and 80s refutes
berg’s pioneering article, the economics
most charges of “brainwashing” and co-
of religion has grown into a sizable body
ercion (Richardson 1991). Theory and
of research. Papers are appearing with
data thus combine to suggest that gov-
ever-greater frequency, and virtually
ernment regulation of religion tends to
every topic familiar to sociologists of re-
reduce individual welfare, stifling reli-
ligion has received some attention: the
gious innovation by restricting choice,
nature of religion; the determinants of
and narrowing the range of religious
individual religiosity and participation
commodities.
rates; conversion, commitment, and re-
Beyond the question of deviant sects
ligious mobility; the emergence and
and cults, one encounters a broader but
evolution of religious institutions; secu-
related set of issues concerning the
larization and pluralism; deviant reli-
overall consequences of regulating re-
gions; the socioeconomic correlates of
ligion. Here again we find Smith claim-
sect membership; church–state issues;
ing that competition would not only
the economic consequences of religion;
generate more religion but also better
and more.
religion: religious laissez-faire is the
How should one judge this work?
best way to satisfy the demand for reli-
Perhaps one should begin by recogniz-
gious instruction, reduce religious con-
ing that the economic approach has set
flict, and promote “pure and rational re-
off a small revolution within the sociol-
ligion, free from every mixture of
absurdity, imposture, or fanaticism.” 34
35 In cross-sectional regressions comparing the
There are, as yet, no direct tests of
economic development, political liberty, and reli-
Smith’s claim that religious competition gious composition of the world’s 150 largest coun-
benefits societies, by providing better tries, Fred Glahe and Frank Vohries (1989) find
religion, less civil strife, and (by exten- that an index of “Judeo–Christian democracy” ex-
plains about 40 percent of the variation in current
sion) more prosperity. But at least one levels of economic development (and 53 percent
relevant empirical regularity does exist. across the subsample of capitalist countries). Their
analysis, however, employs just three variables: (1)
a measure of economic development which com-
34 Smith (1965, pp. 742–43) explicitly rejected bined per capita GNP, average life expectancy, the
the argument of his friend David Hume, who pre- adult literacy rate, and the infant survival rate) in
dicted that religious competition would encourage an equal-weighted additive scale; (2) an index of
fanaticism, superstition, intolerance, and civil un- political liberty deemed reliable by several schol-
rest, and who therefore endorsed an established ars; and (3) the proportion of each country’s popu-
church “to bribe [the] indolence” of the clergy. lation affiliated with a Judeo–Christian denomina-
Jefferson seems to have shared Smith’s view that tion. The “Judeo–Christian Democracy” variable is
religious freedom would soon lead people to adopt defined as each country’s political liberty index
a rational (Unitarian) faith (Healey 1984, pp. 373– multiplied by its proportion of Judeo–Christian in-
74). habitants
1490 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

ogy of religion, a sizable subfield that and the JITE devoted its March 1997
sustains four journals, four associations, issue to papers from a recent confer-
and three annual meetings in the ence on the subject.
United States and Europe. The Interna- The economics of religion is by no
tional Society for the Sociology of Re- means a tightly integrated whole, and
ligion based its 1990 meetings on the most of its contributors have worked in-
theme of “religion and economics” (and dependently. I have tried to present a
subsequently published the plenary pa- fairly systematic overview, emphasizing
pers in the March 1992 issue of Social the connections between different con-
Compass). The Journal for the Scientific tributions and the progression from
Study of Religion devoted most of its households to markets. In the process,
March 1995 issue to economic articles however, I have had to overlook some
and a symposium on the rational choice topics that have, as yet, received little
approach. Papers from a recent special attention, but that may grow increas-
conference on rational choice theories ingly important. In my view (and that of
of religion recently appeared in a vol- the sociologists most critical of rational
ume edited by Lawrence Young (1997). choice), a better treatment of these top-
And, as I have already noted, several ics would fill the most important gaps
prominent sociologists of religion have that now exist in the economics of reli-
gone so far as to characterize market gion, specifically:
models or rational choice theory as (1) Research has tended to sidestep
their field’s “new paradigm.” To be questions concerning the substance of
sure, not all the attention has been posi- religion, taking the demand for religion
tive, but given the disciplinary barriers as given and keeping the character of
separating sociology and economics, the religious commodities loosely defined.
amount of attention is itself remarkable. While this approach avoids narrow for-
Within economics, research in the mulations, it provides little insight into
economics of religion has grown from a the difference between a congregation
trickle in the late 1970s and 1980s to a and a social club, or church attendance
steady stream, though by no means a and bowling. Clearly, one would like to
torrent, in the 1990s. Most AEA confer- do better. Recall that for Azzi and
ences now include one or two sessions Ehrenberg, religion’s distinguishing
on religion, such as the religion and feature is to be found in its promise of
economics session featured in the afterlife rewards. For Stark and Bain-
AER’s May 1996 Papers and Proceed- bridge (and many other sociologists of
ings. Other recent papers on the eco- religion) this definition is broadened to
nomics of religion have appeared in a accommodate a wide range of “super-
variety of journals, including the Jour- natural” commodities. For Schlicht
nal of Political Economy, Economic In- (1995) and many theologians, the criti-
quiry, Explorations in Economic His- cal feature is broader still—a set of be-
tory, Public Choice, the Journal of Law, liefs and behavior that give meaning to
Economics, and Organization, the Jour- life. Others have stressed religion’s ca-
nal of Economic Behavior and Organi- pacity to support collective goods, such
zation, and the Journal of Institutional as property rights and public morality
and Theoretical Economics. These last (Hull and Bold 1989, Anderson and Tol-
two journals also published special col- lison 1992). It is not, as yet, clear how
lections of papers on religion and eco- these broader conceptions can be cap-
nomics, in 1994 and 1995, respectively, tured within formal models.
Iannaccone: Economics of Religion 1491

(2) However one defines religion and declarations of commitment, sanctions


religious goods, it is clear that religious and status, promises of supernatural re-
activities involve a large amount of risk. wards and punishment, appeals to his-
The promised rewards may never mate- tory and sacred authority, and so forth.
rialize, the beliefs may prove false, the Kuran (1995) has studied the effects of
sacrifices may be for naught. In this re- such pressure in some detail and pro-
spect, religion is the ultimate “credence vides stark examples of “religious pref-
good”—a fact noted by several authors. erence falsification” in Middle Eastern
Hull and Bold (1989) and Iannaccone countries. Models of religious habit for-
(1995) argue that many standard fea- mation, based perhaps on the experi-
tures of religious institutions exist to re- ence effects framework reviewed above,
duce (or at least appear to reduce) the offer a somewhat different approach.
risk of fraud and misinformation (e.g., Montgomery (1996b) advocates a (non-
congregational structures, which limit rational) cognitive-dissonance theory
the need for full-time professionals, and of belief formation, whereas Russell
regular group activities, which augment Hardin (1997) emphasizes the costs and
the supply of product testimonials). For benefits that lead people to favor some
the most part, however, the problem of beliefs and some sources of information
religious uncertainty has received little over others. Each approach remains
attention and scarcely any formal analy- largely undeveloped.
sis. Expected utility models might seem Progress on these topics requires not
like the natural first step, but as just more and better models, but also
Montgomery (1996b) has emphasized, more attention to the large body of em-
objective religious “information” may pirical regularities documented by soci-
simply not exist, leaving no rational way ologists of religion. Without doubt, the
to assign probabilities to most religious sociology of religion has suffered from a
claims. poverty of theory, but it is rich in data,
(3) Although beliefs lie at the core of particularly compared to related areas
every religion, economists have yet to of inquiry (such as the study of gangs,
say much about the formation of be- social clubs, and political movements).
liefs, religious or otherwise, nor have Religious censuses stretch back over
they given much attention to the pro- centuries; religious beliefs and behavior
cess by which religions seek to shape have been documented in great detail
people’s beliefs and values. Although over many years and across many cul-
this issue is important in all economic tures; and much more is known about
settings, religion would seem to be the the membership, finances, and history
ideal testing ground for models of value of churches and denominations than any
change and belief formation. Note, for other type of social organization.
example, that religions are both forth- Economists of religion would do well to
right and specific about the beliefs and study this literature, for the best pros-
values they seek to inculcate, making it pects for progress in the scientific study
relatively easy to estimate their impact of religion rest in the marriage of eco-
through surveys and observation. Note nomic theory and sociological data.
also that religions employ a vast arsenal Nigel Tomes (1985, p. 245) once be-
of weapons in the war to shape souls: gan a paper by observing that “econom-
childhood education, parental rein- ics is fundamentally atheistic. Religious
forcement, selective membership, rites beliefs, practices, and behavior play no
of passage, group monitoring, public role in the life of homo economicus.” I
1492 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVI (September 1998)

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