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Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

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Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/rser

Energy status in Lebanon and electricity generation reform plan


based on cost and pollution optimization
Oussama Ibrahim a,c, Farouk Fardoun a, Rafic Younes b,n, Hasna Louahlia-Gualous c
a
University Institute of Technology, Department GIM, Lebanese University, Saida, Lebanon
b
Faculty of Engineering, Lebanese University, Beirut, Lebanon
c
Université de Caen Base Normandie, LUSAC, IUT de Cherbourg Manche, 50000 Saint Lô, France

a r t i c l e i n f o abstract

Article history: This paper presents a review of the energy status, conventional and renewable, in Lebanon and
Received 4 May 2012 illustrates their problems with the suggested recommendations. In addition, a detailed review of the
Received in revised form principal directorates of the electricity of Lebanon Company (EDL) is also presented all along with the
31 October 2012
existing problems and recommended solutions. An economic, environmental optimization of different
Accepted 5 November 2012
power sources is studied, where three scenarios are introduced based on the fuel source of different
Available online 5 January 2013
CCGT power plants. The results emphasized on the maximum possible use of wind energy and natural
Keywords: gas in electricity generation. Based on the optimization study, a five-year master plan for electricity
Energy generation is modeled. The suggested plan has an investment capital cost of 5553 M$ with the savings
Renewable
and additional incomes being 5900 M$ compared to EDL financial status in the adopted base year, 2009.
EDL
In addition, this plan exceeds the trend to introduce a 12% share of renewable energy in the power
Electricity
Optimization sector by 2020, where the share is supposed to be about 15% out of the total installed capacity before
Reform plan this date. The concluding remarks highlight the role of politics in the development of the energy sector.
& 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Contents

1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256
2. Conventional energy in Lebanon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256
2.1. Coal. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256
2.2. Oil sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256
2.2.1. Fuel oil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257
2.2.2. Diesel oil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257
2.2.3. Gasoline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257
2.2.4. Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258
2.2.5. Kerosene and asphalt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258
2.3. Natural gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258
2.4. Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259
3. Renewable energy in Lebanon. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259
3.1. Tides and waves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259
3.2. Wind energy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259
3.3. Hydropower . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260
3.4. Biomass . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261
3.5. Geothermal energy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261
3.6. Solar energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261
3.6.1. Solar photovoltaic (PV) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261
3.6.2. Solar thermal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261
3.7. Barriers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262
3.8. Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262

n
Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: oibrahim@etu.unicaen.fr (O. Ibrahim),
ffardoun@ul.edu.lb (F. Fardoun), ryounes@ul.edu.lb (R. Younes),
hasna.gualous@unicaen.fr (H. Louahlia-Gualous).

1364-0321/$ - see front matter & 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.11.014
256 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

4. EDL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262
4.1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262
4.2. Historical overview of the development of electricity regulations in Lebanon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263
4.3. Generation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263
4.3.1. Infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263
4.3.2. Problems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264
4.3.3. Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266
4.4. Transmission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266
4.4.1. Infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266
4.4.2. Problems and recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
4.5. Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
4.5.1. Infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
4.5.2. Problems and recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
4.5.3. Services. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
4.6. Administrative status . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269
4.6.1. Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269
4.7. Financial status . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269
4.7.1. Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270
4.8. Tariffs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270
5. Electricity plans for Lebanon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270
6. Optimization of cost and pollution for electricity generation in Lebanon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 272
7. Electricity generation reform plan. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274
7.1. Historical review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274
7.2. Proposed reform plan. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275
8. Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 276
Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277

1. Introduction
shares about 2.5% of the TPES and is mainly consumed by the two
cement factories in Chikka and Siblin.
Lebanon is located on the Eastern edge of the Mediterranean
Sea between the North Latitudes 331 030 3800 and 341 410 3500 and
East Longitudes 351 060 2200 and 361 370 2200 . Its area is about
2.2. Oil sector
10,452 km2, and consists of a narrow coastal strip of land adjacent
to the Mediterranean Sea. Its coastline is about 220 km long. The
Lebanon has no known fossil fuel recourses until now. But it is
climate in Lebanon is Mediterranean; mild to cool with wet
located in an oil producing region and the neighboring bordering
winters and hot, dry summers; with the temperature in the
countries (Syria and Israel) benefit from important oil resources
capital Beirut ranging from 5 1C in winter up to 36 1C in summer.
and thus, from the geological point of view, a high probability of
The Lebanese Mountains experience heavy winter snows. The
finding such energy resources in Lebanon is present. Moreover,
population is around 4 million and it has $4010 per capita GNI
old tests, particularly in the Northern offshore area, have indi-
(Gross national income) [1]. The high population density and
cated positive results [5] and all seismic surveys carried out by US
good standards of living reflect a relatively, large energy demand.
and European countries during the past few years proved the
Lebanon meets nearly all its energy needs from the importation of
existence of oil on the offshore [6]. Recently, on January 4, 2012,
oil products, because it currently lacks the conventional fossil fuel
the government succeeded to endorse the decrees related to oil
energy resources and is not effectively benefiting from the available
and gas, which identify the administration of these resources off
renewable energy resources. In 2008, more than 5 million toe (tons of
the Lebanese coast [6]. This is a good step that would solve a lot of
oil equivalent) were imported, of which 49% were consumed for
the Lebanese socio-economic problems in case of success in
electricity generation. In the same year, renewable energy shared
finding some conventional energy resources. However, the ques-
only about 3.7% of the total primary energy supply (TPES) (Fig. 1(a)).
tion that obviously originates is: Why the prospect will be only
The total primary energy supply (TPES) in 2008, divides among
offshore, knowing that old tests gave positive results onshore?
the different sectors as shown in Fig. 1(b). In addition, a historical
As for the petroleum market, importation and distribution are
development of TPES between 1992 and 2010 is shown in Fig. 2.
being conducted by several private companies, but the specifica-
Knowing that about 49% of oil imports are used for electricity
tions and prices are fixed by MEW. The petroleum invoice has
production and taking into account the losses in the electricity
been continuously increasing over the past years reaching about
system and some other transformations, the total amount of energy
4000 million dollars in 2008 (Fig. 4). This fact imposes a serious
sources left for final consumption is about 3561 ktoe [2] and it is
financial trouble on a developing country that already suffers the
distributed as shown in Fig. 3(a). The total final energy consumption
problem of huge public debt.
is divided among different sectors as shown in Fig. 3(b).
Furthermore, the Lebanese government owns two old, non-
operational refineries in Zahrani and Beddawi, which used to
2. Conventional energy in Lebanon receive crude oil respectively from Saudi-Arabia and Iraq through
two, closed-nowadays pipelines. These refineries are being used
2.1. Coal only as import terminals and storage facilities for refined oil
products [8].
The Lebanese energy market is principally based on oil Lebanon imports six kinds of oil derivatives: fuel oil, diesel/
derivatives. That is why coal is imported in minor quantities. It gas oil, gasoline, kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas, and asphalt.
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 257

Nomenlature LL Lebanese Lira


LNG Liquefied natural gas
AMR Automatic meter reading LPG Liquefied petroleum gas
BOT Built, operate, transfer LSDP Letter of Sectoral Development Policy
CAS Central administration for statistics LV Low voltage
CCGT/CC Combined cycle gas turbine MCM Million cubic meters
CDM Clean development mechanisms MEW Ministry of Energy and Water
CEDRO Country energy efficiency and renewable energy MSW Municipal solid wastes
demonstration project for the recovery of Lebanon MV Medium voltage
CF Capacity factor NCV Net calorific value
CFL Compact fluorescent lamp NEEREA National Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
CHP Combined heat and power Account
CoM Council of Ministers NEMA National Electrical Manufacturers Association
DO Diesel oil NG Natural gas
EE Energy efficiency NGO Non-governmental organization
EDF Électricité de France NGV Natural gas vehicle
EDL Electricity of Lebanon OCGT Open cycle gas turbine
ESCO Energy service company O&M Operating & Maintenance
GB Green buildings ONL National Office of Litani
GHG Green house gas PT Parabolic trough
GISELO Geographic information systems electricity of PV Photovoltaic
Lebanon RE Renewable energy
GNI Gross national income SP Service provision
GO Gas oil ST Steam turbine
GoL Government of Lebanon SWHS Solar water heating system
GT Gas turbine t Time in years
HFO Heavy fuel oil tCO2eq/MW h Tons of CO2 equivalent per MW h
HV High voltage toe Tons of oil equivalent
IGCC Integrated gasification combined cycle TOU Time of use
IPP Independent power producer TPES Total primary energy supply
KPI Key performance indicator TVA Tax on the value added
k.v.a.r.h Kilo volt ampere reactive hour UNDP United Nations Development Program
LCEC Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation US$ United States dollar
LEED Leader ship in energy and environmental design WT Wind turbine
LENCC Lebanese Electricity National Control Center

Fig. 5 shows, for each kind, the amount imported to Lebanon burden on the local environment and participates in mounting up
between 1995 and 2010 in order to fulfill its energy needs. the national health bill. It is used in transport, industry, heating
and electricity generated by the four thermal power plants in
2.2.1. Fuel oil Zahrani, Beddawi, Tyre, and Baalbek, in addition to that generated
Fuel oil has the second highest oil importation rate in Lebanon by back-up private generators that serve as a complement to the
with 24% in 2010 after diesel which amounted to 40% [4]. Fuel oil electricity produced by EDL [9].
is majorly used by the two thermal power plants in Jieh and Zouk
Mikael, in addition to some small generators that serve their
factories and industrial facilities [9]. 2.2.3. Gasoline
Gasoline imports are mainly used in the transport sector. The
2.2.2. Diesel oil government exerts high taxes on this imported product which is
Diesel constitutes the major oil importation rate in Lebanon. very essential and effective in the Lebanese daily life and this is
The imported diesel is of low quantity, which exerts a heavy generating great complaints by the Lebanese.

Residential
Hydro Solar/Wind &
Comb. Commertial
0.61% 0.40% Coal 2.52%
Renewable 13.41% Electricity
& Wastes Electricity 47.22%
2.71% purchase
0.92%

Transport other 0.44%


oil 92.84% 28.83%
Non-Energy
Industry
Use 1.34%
8.76%

Fig. 1. (a) Primary energy supply in Lebanon in 2008 (data source: [2]), (b) TPES distribution by sectors in 2008 (data source: [2]).
258 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

8000
6735 6620
7000
5450 5281 5304 5409
6000 5229 5194 5308 5263
4956 5092 4761 4846
4511 4647
5000
3467 3820

ktoe
4000
2865
3000
2000
1000
0
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Fig. 2. Evolution of TPES between 1992 and 2010 (data source: [3] and [4]).

oil 69.4% Residential Non-Energy


Use 1.97% Industry
&
18.93%
Commertial
36.67%

Comb.
Renewables
& Wastes
3.3%
Electricity
23% Solar/Wind
Coal 3.7% Transport
0.6%
42.43%

Fig. 3. (a) Distribution of total amount of energy sources left for final consumption in 2008 (data source: [2]), (b) distribution of final energy consumption (data source:
[2]).

4,500

4,000

3,500 664

Asphalt
3,000
Fuel oil
Million $

2,500
497
1,652 Kerosene
2,000 354
407
Gas oil
1,500 286 899
948
265 819 Gasoline
1,000 270 634
266 267
217
239 194 351 485 1,180 LPG
500 169 166 338 361 909
247 275 661 759
195 186 179 503
281 403 312 299 370
241 291 225 269
0

Fig. 4. Evolution of petroleum invoice between 1995 and 2008 (data source: [7]).

2.2.4. Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) 2.3. Natural gas


Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) shares a small percentage of the
total oil importation. It is mainly used for domestic and Natural gas is an energy source that is preferred over oil
commercial use. derivatives, because it is significantly cheaper and less environ-
mentally polluting. The Lebanese government has recognized the
importance of this resource and built two thermal power plants
2.2.5. Kerosene and asphalt that use NG (Zahrani and Deir-Ammar), such that Syria is
Kerosene and asphalt share a small percentage of the overall supposed to supply Dier-Ammar plant with NG from Baniyas
oil importation in Lebanon. Kerosene is used in the aviation sector plant. However, after signing the contract and building the pipe-
and asphalt is used in paving roads, highways, and parking lots. line on March 2005, Syria declared that it did not have enough gas
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 259

7,000

6,000

5,000 Asphalt

4,000 Fuel oil


kton
Kerosene
3,000
Gas oil
2,000 Gasoline

LPG
1,000

0
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Fig. 5. Evolution of petroleum products importation between 1995 and 2010 (data source: [10] and [4]).

to supply Lebanon [11]. Another NG source is ‘‘The Arab Pipeline’’ 3.1. Tides and waves
which is supposed to supply Lebanon with the Egyptian natural
gas [9,5,11]. Moreover, Lebanon could import liquefied natural Lebanon has 220 km of shoreline on the eastern side of the
gas (LNG) as it is located near the major LNG producers in the Mediterranean Sea, which is considered relatively long compared
world (Qatar, Iran, Nigeria and Egypt) [11]. It is worth to mention to its area (10452 km2). However, Houri [1] stated that the
that transporting LNG is more secure than that of NG as well as it Mediterranean Sea is almost a closed sea with minimal variation
is cost effective [11], but it needs re-gasification centers on the in tides and relatively small waves for most of the year, which
coast. Furthermore, as in the case of oil, natural gas is supposed to makes it inefficient to invest in such a resource. Another barrier to
be found in Lebanon, according to the geological overview and the exploit in this RE source is the narrow shallow part of the coast
previous positive seismic tests. Roudi Baroudi, a leading energy and the steep slope of the seabed that soon reaches 1.2 m depth,
expert, stated that Lebanon contains a huge gas reserve and that knowing that most of the current technologies for waves and tidal
‘‘the 11th basin off the Lebanese coast is reported to contain 122 energy need wide, shallow water or a deep but flat seabed as
trillion cubic feet of natural gas reserve which is almost three stated by Beheshti [11].
times bigger than Libya’s gas reserve’’ [6]. Therefore, it is the
government’s responsibility now to accelerate the rate of NG 3.2. Wind energy
prospecting.
The potential of wind energy principally depends on wind
speeds whose data, for Lebanon, has long been dependent on
2.4. Recommendations measurements taken by meteorological stations and some
research studies [5,12,13]. Houri [1] and Beheshti [11] reported
 Prospect for oil and natural gas on land and offshore. that significant wind speeds exist in various areas of the country,
 Refurbishment of the two existing old refineries in Zahrani and especially in the North and South. However, all researchers met at
Beddawi. the point that the available wind information is not sufficient to
 Encourage public transport. develop a wind energy project and that a national wind map or
 Encourage the use of hybrid, biodiesel and biogas vehicles. atlas is a prerequisite for trustworthy wind energy study. Effec-
 Develop a rail network among the different Lebanese cities as tively, the Ministry of Energy and Water with the support of the
well as between Lebanon and Syria. United Nations Development Program (UNDP) through the
CEDRO project succeeded in launching the first version of the
3. Renewable energy in Lebanon ‘‘National Wind Atlas for Lebanon’’ on January 25, 2011. It is
believed that this atlas will create a growing momentum in
Renewable energy is the energy produced by a natural energy Lebanon towards strengthening and developing the wind energy
resource such as hydro, solar, wind, biomass, geothermal, tides sector in the country. The atlas estimated a wind potential of at
and waves, etc. These natural resources are free and continuously least 1500 MW [14]; however, most high wind speeds exist in
replenished. However, renewable energy generation systems are remote areas, specifically on top of mountains, where the total
still more expensive than conventional ones and choosing to wind power investment may be very expensive. Mourtada [3]
invest in these systems is a matter of resource availability and indicated an effective potential installed onshore wind power
cost optimization. capacity of 250 MW based on the data given by the wind atlas.
Renewable energy currently plays a marginal role in the This wind potential seems to be more realistic and efficient.
energy balance of Lebanon. It shares less than 5% of the TPES Moreover, the electricity generation in Lebanon is restricted, by
and less than 10% of the electricity production. Hydro power is law, to one public company (EDL) and thus, exploiting wind
the unique renewable source used in electricity generation, energy for power generation is a governmental decision. Average
although Lebanon has the potential to benefit from other wind speeds for each month in different Lebanese zones are
resources, especially solar and wind. Here comes a brief high- presented in Table 1. This table shows low mean wind speeds in
lighting over the renewable energy potential in Lebanon. the majority of zones; however, Fig. 6(a) and (b), which show the
260 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

onshore and offshore wind power density maps of Lebanon at (8600 MCM), coming from rain and snow. However, approxi-
80 m above ground level, reveal the availability of high wind mately, only 20% of the received water is being usefully exploited
potentials in several regions of the country, especially in the north [15]. Hydropower was introduced in Lebanon long ago, where
(onshore and offshore), south and top of mountains. several plants have been installed. In 2009, it shared about 4.5% of
the total generated electrical energy [4]. This generation rate can,
3.3. Hydropower and should, be increased in the near future by constructing new
dams on major rivers. MEW has previously developed a 10-year
Lebanon is popular for its temperate climate and its cold high program (2005–2015) in the aim of making use of available
mountains in an almost desert region. Therefore, it obviously national water resources [5]; however, only 205 MW-capacity
benefits from an important annual amount of water recourses hydropower plants were planned for, because priority was

Table 1
Wind speed data for Lebanon in m/s (data source: [14]).

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Long term mean wind speed

Beirut Airport 3.4 3.7 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.4 3 2.8 3 2.7 3.6 3.2
Beirut Golf 3 3.3 3 3.1 3 3 3.1 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.8
Tripoli 1.9 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.3 2 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.8 2
Sour 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.1 2.9 3 3.1 2.8 2.9 2.6 2.8 2.9 3
Klaiaat Akkar 7.2 6.1 5.1 4.5 3.5 3.3 4.2 2.5 2.8 1.8 3.9 5.4 4.2
Abde 2.4 2.9 3 2.9 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.6
Les Cedres 4.4 4.6 4.2 4.5 4.1 3.5 3.3 3.1 3.3 3.9 3.7 4 3.9
Dahr-el-Baidar 6 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.5 5.3 5.8 5.5 5 4.3 4.3 4.9 5.4
Bayssour 4.2 4 4 3.6 3.3 3.2 3 2.6 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.4
Zahle 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.4 2 1.9 2.5 2.6
Rayak 3.3 3.7 3.8 4.1 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.4 3 3.1 3.6 3.6
Qaraoun 4 4.2 4.2 4 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.7 4 3.8
Faqra 2.7 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.4 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.6 3.1 2.4
Hermel 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.8 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.1 2.9 3.1
Marjayoun 5.9 8.1 7.3 1 1 8.9 9.1 1 1 7.4 6.8 6.4 2
Zahrani 4 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.2 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.9 4 4.1 4

Fig. 6. (a) Wind power density map of Lebanon at 80 m above ground level [14], (b) Offshore wind power density map of the region lying up to 20 km from the coast of
Lebanon at 80 m above ground level [14].
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 261

Table 2 8000
Future hydropower plants [16].
7000

Solar insolation (wh/m2)


River Plant Capacity (MW) Conditioned to dam erection
6000
Litani Bisri 6 No 5000
Khardali 20 Yes
Safa Zibli 4.5 No 4000
Richmaya 4.5 No
3000
Damour 4.5 No
Ibrahim Hneidi 20 No 2000
Jannah 40 Yes
Assi Yammouneh 10 Yes 1000
Hermel 50 Yes
Bared Boumoussa 12 No 0
Hamra 16 No Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Kasim 5 No
Kottine 17.5 No Fig. 7. Average daily solar insolation in Beirut throughout the year (data source:
Abou Ali Bchenine 4 No [21]).
Total 205

assigned to irrigation. Table 2 illustrates the planned, future


hydropower plants.

3.4. Biomass

Biomass is defined as material of recent biological origin, derived


from plant or animal matter. It can be combusted to produce heat
and consequently electrical energy through steam turbines, or it can
be converted into other energy products such as biogas or biodiesel.
Wood in the forests is an important biomass source. Forests used to
cover 35% of the Lebanese area in 1965 but nowadays, it constitutes
no more than 13% [17]. Thus, using wood to produce energy is not Fig. 8. Evolution of annual installed solar thermal system areas in Lebanon [10].
recommended in Lebanon as the available quantity is too small and
is highly law protected [5]. Another biomass source is the municipal
solid wastes (MSW) which are available at a rate of 4300 tons/day The illustrated data for solar insolation in Beirut was found to
[18]. This quantity of MSW could provide about 107 MW of the be in high agreement with the data given by [22].
electricity needs based on an electrical generation rate of 600 kW h/ In the field of renewable energy, solar radiation is usually
ton [19]. However, due to lack of emissions’ control and strong captured and converted into heat (solar thermal) through solar
resistance from locals, this energy resource is being avoided. absorbing panels or into electricity through photovoltaic modules.
Additionally, Houri [1] reported that MSW, in Lebanon, is more
valuable if the raw material is recovered and recycled due to lack in
3.6.1. Solar photovoltaic (PV)
natural resources. Furthermore, biogas – a methane gas produced by
Solar photovoltaic (PV) is used to generate electrical energy by
the fermentation of organic waste materials – and biodiesel – a
converting solar radiation into electrical current. Solar irradiation
plant oil or animal fat, based diesel fuel – are supposed to cover 4%
is readily available in Lebanon; however, adopting this technology
of the Lebanese electrical needs [9].
faces several barriers. For instance, high initial cost, low efficiency
per unit area, lack of PV market and immaturity of technology.
3.5. Geothermal energy
Thus, the photovoltaic solution is recommended to wait for
further technical and economic development. However, at the
Previous investigations revealed the existence of underground
present time, it could be a good solution for isolated areas that
hot water and thermal vents in different regions like Sammaqiye,
suffer from frequent or emergent electrical outages [5].
Qubayat in Akkar and the offshore of Tyre. However, the detected
hot water temperatures are not sufficient for electricity genera-
tion from steam turbines, but they can cover some of water 3.6.2. Solar thermal
heating or space heating loads [9]. It is worth to mention that Solar water heating systems (SWHSs) represent about 3% of
some regions of Lebanon (extreme north and extreme southeast) total installed residential water heaters in Lebanon [23]. This
used to be volcanic [20]. This fact reflects a high probability for percent share is considered very small relative to the annual
the existence of important geothermal energy in the country. available solar radiation that is capable of producing more than
Thus, future researches and investigations are supposed to clarify one million toe using solar thermal technology, as reported by Abi
the truth and remove all doubts. Said [5]. Fig. 8 illustrates the evolution of annual installed area of
solar thermal systems between 1994 and 2007. It clearly reveals
3.6. Solar energy an increasing installation trend, which reflects more awareness,
acceptance and observed savings among the Lebanese.
Lebanon is rich in solar irradiation during almost 300 days It is well known that most Lebanese households are equipped
per year, resulting in an average daily solar insolation of with electrical water heaters. Table 3 presents the percentage
4.8kw h\m2 [3]. Fig. 7 illustrates measured average daily insolation distribution of various domestic water heating systems in Leba-
for each month. The graph clearly shows wide variations between non obtained from different studies. It is clear that most residents
summer and winter months. rely on electric heaters for hot water production and this adds an
262 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

Table 3
Water heater distribution by type.

Data Source Electric (%) Gas (%) Oil (%) Wood (%) Solar (%)

[24] 60 8 (þWood) 31 8 (þGas) 1


[25] 82 15.2 (þ Oil and wood) 15.2 (þ Gas and wood) 15.2 (þ Gas and oil) 2.8
[5] 70 10 10 5 1
Study by Saint Joseph University [9] 70 5 (þwood and solar) 25 5 (þgas and solar) 5 (þ gas and wood)
[23] 75 22 (þ oil and wood) 22 (þgas and wood) 22 (þgas and wood) 3

unsustainable burden on the Lebanese electricity sector. There-  Exonerate RE-imported systems and components from custom
fore, an important portion of the residential electrical consump- duties [28].
tion may be saved by the adoption of SWHSs especially if their use  Develop and implement RE certification directive, which
is extended to cover space heating. LCEC – Lebanese Center for includes standards and procedures for RE technology produc-
Energy Conservation – reported that 1000 GW h of conventional tion and use [9], such as US LEED.
electricity generation could be saved by increasing solar collector  Oblige the use of EE and RE applications in new constructions.
area [26]. Economically, it is indicated that the average payback  Achieve the grid connection for RE systems [28].
period of the installed solar hot water system is around 4–5 years  Create an EE and RE department in the Ministry of Energy and
[9], if it is supposed to replace an electric water heater. Another Water.
study conducted by LCEC, reported a maximum payback period of  Develop the EE and RE market.
3 years [27]. Recently, solar water heater loans came to the  Encourage the private sector to invest in the RE sector (SWHS,
financial markets in Lebanon and several banks have started to PV, wind etc.).
offer funding opportunities for such systems as to motivate the  Enhance customers to move towards EE and RE appliances by
solar thermal market. Despite this analysis, urban Lebanese areas finding the necessary loans with low interests and revealing
consist of multi-floor apartments and thus, the free space is very the real operating costs and payback periods according to
restricted. This could be a limiting factor concerning solar water specialized studies.
heating system installations in the country.  Encourage and support EE and RE education and research
Concerning the electricity generation using the solar thermal, studies [3, 9].
concentrating solar power (CSP) systems are usually utilized.
These systems use mirrors to concentrate the direct solar radia-
tion (beam) and produce steam which, in turn, is used to produce 4. EDL
electrical energy through steam turbines. CSP systems need large
free flat portions of land; however, this requirement is limited in a 4.1. Introduction
small size and mountainous country like Lebanon.
Electricity of Lebanon (EDL—Electricité du Liban) is a public
3.7. Barriers institution with an industrial and commercial vocation under the
control of the Ministry of Energy and Water (MEW). It was
 No regulations for EE or RE existing until now. founded by Decree No. 16878 dated July 10, 1964, and mandated
 Energy auditing is not obligatory yet. the responsibility of the generation, transmission, and distribu-
 Absence of official EE or RE agencies. tion of electrical energy in Lebanon. Thus, the electricity sector is
 High initial cost of EE and RE devices. monopolized by EDL that, currently, controls over 90% of the
 Lack of financial incentives (loans, tax breaks, subsidies, TVA formal Lebanese electricity sector (including the Kadisha conces-
exceptions, import tax reductions etc.). sion in North Lebanon) [29]. Other participants in the sector
 Low competition due to the current low electricity tariffs include hydroelectric power plants owned by the Litani River
(electricity tariffs do not reflect the real cost). Authority (public company), concessions for hydroelectric power
 Lack of adequate advertisement about EE and RE. plants owned by Ibrahim and Al Bared (private companies) that
 Lack of public awareness to the benefits of using EE and RE sell their electrical production to EDL, and distribution conces-
devices. sions in Zahle, Jbeil, Aley, and Bhamdoun, which are provided
 Lack of reliable data for solar and water resources [28]. with electrical energy by EDL at cheap prices (50 to 75 LL/kW h as
 Lack of the necessary studies for some RE technologies such as compared to the real cost of 255 LL/kW h [30]).
wind, geothermal, solar PV etc. Before 1975, 11 major power plants, linked in a common
 Absence of good energy studies that reflect the real long-term distribution network, supplied most of the country’s electricity.
cost of EE and RE applications. In 1974, EDL generated 1700 GW h constituting about 85% of all
 Domestic expertise are not sufficiently considered [3] generated electricity [31]. However, during the civil war (1975–1990),
 No current national plans exist to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) the electricity sector infrastructure was subjected to a great
emissions, where such plans motivate the EE and RE market. damage and ignore. After that, an emergency ‘‘Power Sector Master
 Monopoly of EDL that obstructs the participation of the private Plan’’ was launched between 1992 and 2002. It involved the
sector in the electricity generation. rehabilitation of the existing power plants along with the transmis-
 The absence of a political will in favor of motivating RE sion and distribution networks, increasing of the generating capacity
technology. and extension of the transmission network. However, this plan
proved to be insufficient and deficient as the demand still exceeds
3.8. Recommendations the supply, and daily rationing is common all around the country. It is
worth to mention that the rationing differs from one region to
 Develop EE and RE regulations which enforce energy audits, another, where the Capital Beirut (excluding suburbs) is subjected
taxes on conventional electrical equipment, energy intensity to the least rationing period (only 3 h); while some other regions
labeling etc. [9] suffer from a daily of 12–13 h blackouts [23]. Back-up self-generation
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 263

is estimated to represent up to 30% of all electricity generated [32] industry, 12% for administrative buildings, 5% for concessions, and
and plays an informal complementary role that is participating in 15% for technical losses [5]. Houri and Korfali [35] reported that the
assuring nearly 100% electrification together with EDL. Thus, the residential sector consumes 65–73% of the electricity produced and
Lebanese are paying a double electrical bill, one for EDL and the other when combined with the commercial sector, together consume
for the back-up self-generation which is almost twice the EDL bill 80% as stated by Houri [36]. Furthermore, a document of the World
[23]. Considering this fact, the Lebanese are compelled to pay a high Bank stated that electricity is divided equally between the resi-
monthly electricity bill as compared with other countries in the dential and business sectors from one side and the industrial,
region [34], while suffering from a low quality service. administrative buildings, and concessions from the other side [34].
Losses on the grid are reported amounting to 40%, 15% of which Administratively, the current number of employees at EDL is
corresponding to technical losses and the remaining are non- around 1700 [37], where it should normally be 5020 employees
technical losses [30]. It is worth to mention that non-technical according to EDL that is serving more than 1100,000 subscribers
losses have been significantly reduced during the last decade when of low, medium, and high voltage [29].
they were estimated to be approximately 48% [33]. Non-technical Financially, the current electricity tariff has been derived from
losses are attributed either to illegal aggressions or unbilled con- an average oil price of 25 US$/barrel in 1996 and has not changed
sumption due to the shortcomings in the billing system. Fig. 9 until now [34]. Actually, this tariff is not capable of covering EDL
shows the Lebanese electricity sector profile in 2009. expenditures even if the institution was assumed to be operating
Electricity, in Lebanon, is principally generated through thermal effectively and consequently, EDL is falling deeply into debt and is
power plants, in addition to small amount that comes from renew- depending more and more on the governmental subsidies (Fig. 10)
able energy resources through the several, long-ago established which keep it under the mercy and the will of the politicians in
hydropower plants. However, no other indigenous resources (solar, order to provide more credits. Thus, a direct adjustment of the tariff
wind, biomass etc.) have been exploited in this sector until now and to better reflect the cost of electricity is needed.
the share of hydroelectric power has severely reduced. In 1974,
41.5% of the total generated electricity was hydroelectric [31] 4.2. Historical overview of the development of electricity regulations
compared to 4.5% in 2009 [30]. A research conducted by CAS in Lebanon
(Central Administration for Statistics) reported that 5–12% of
electricity production in Lebanon comes from hydropower energy Table 4 presents an overview for historical development of
depending on rainfall and thermal plants productivity [9]. regulations concerning the Lebanese electricity sector.
The distribution of electricity among different sectors is: 45% for
residential and business sectors (i.e., low-voltage demand), 23% for 4.3. Generation

4.3.1. Infrastructure
Currently, power generation plants in Lebanon (Fig. 11) are
divided into two categories: thermal and hydraulic. EDL operates
six thermal power plants:

 Two combined cycle gas turbine plants (CCGT), Deir-Ammar


and Zahrani. Designed to operate using natural gas, these two
plants are using gas oil/diesel instead [41].
 Two steam turbine plants, Zouk and Jieh, which operate using
heavy fuel oil (HFO) [41].
 Two open cycle gas turbine plants, Baalbek and Tyre, which
designed to operate using natural gas, they are using gas oil/
diesel instead [41].

Fig. 9. Lebanon electricity sector: generation, transmission, distribution (data In addition, there is a steam turbine power plant, Alhreesha,
source: [30]). which is owned by Kadisha (Property Company of EDL) and uses HFO.

2500
22003

2000
Subsidies to EDL (M$)

16101
15002,3
1500

9811
1
1000 910
1
553
3261
500 350
190 82751
200 1901 1
148 110 135 100 62 105 200
80
0 50 20 30 10 5 30 20 22
0
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008

2010
2009

Fig. 10. Subsidies to EDL between 1982 and 2010 (data source: [34], 1[38], 2[30] and 3[4]).
264 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

The total installed capacity of these thermal power plants is factor (ratio of actual energy output to rated output), thermal
2038 MW distributed as shown in Table 5. efficiency and total cost/KW h sent out, is summarized in Table 6
As the key performance indicators (KPIs) reflect the real electricity for the six EDL thermal power plants between 2006 and 2008.
sector, the data of the generation KPIs, i.e., availability factor (ratio of The hydraulic power plants are divided into Litani River
available output energy to maximum possible (rated) output), load Authority (public company), Al-Bared and Ibrahim (private com-
panies), and Kadisha (property company of EDL) power plants.
These hydro-power plants have a total installed capacity of
273.6 MW distributed as shown in Table 7.
Fig. 12 shows the evolution of electricity production according
to the energy source between 1974 and 2010. It is noticed that
hydraulic power plants have a small contribution to the total
electrical production. Moreover, it could be noticed that both
thermal and hydraulic power plants do not have fixed electrical
production and change from one year to another.

4.3.2. Problems

 There is a serious deficit in the generation capacity which is


not being able to meet demand. Fig. 13 reveals the current and
forecasting shortage of the power production. It is noticed that
the demand increases versus a decreasing rate of supply and
this fact increases the shortage gap and exerts large pressures
on the government and society.
 There is a limitation and clear aging of two out of four major
thermal groups (Zouk and Jieh). This limitation has led to an
increase in the technical problems, daily cost of maintenance
and severe decrease in thermal efficiencies.
 Despite the fact that four of the generation plants were
designed to use natural gas, they are being fuelled by expen-
sive gas oil (diesel) which causes high generation costs. This is
because natural gas has not been not yet effectively available.
 In most cases, low quality fuel is used.
 Absence of periodic preventive maintenance [41].
 Load factors are low, thus leading to a decrease in the overall
generation capacity [41].
 The generation cost is overestimated because thermal efficien-
Fig. 11. Power plants in Lebanon (data source: [29] and [41]). cies of power plants are generally below the normal values [41].

Table 4
Historical regulations overview for electricity sector in Lebanon (data source: [39]).

1907 A concession was granted to a private company, ‘‘Nahr Ibrahim’’, for the purpose of irrigation and hydropower generation from the river
‘‘Ibrahim’’.

1923 The private company ‘‘Tramways et Eclairage de Beyrouth’’ was established in order to construct tramways in Beirut and lighten the city
Between 1924 and ‘‘Kadisha’’ electricity private company was granted five different concessions to generate, transport, and distribute electricity in cities and
1936 villages of North Lebanon
1946 ‘‘Bared’’ concession was granted to generate electric power from the Bared River for 75 years
1954  Ratification the Beirut Electricity Company Protocol leading to nationalization
 Launching a law creating the electricity and public transport authority
 Launching a law creating the National Office of Litani river (ONL) which is a public authority responsible for taking care of the irrigation
schemes and hydropower generation

1964 Establishment of ‘‘Electricity of Lebanon’’ (EDL), a public company, which was mandated the responsibility of the generation, transmission and
distribution of electrical energy in Lebanon
1972 Issuance of the general order for the public authorities which governed both Litani River Authority and EDL
1985 Recuperation of the Kadisha Electricity Company
1995  Enabling EDL to invest $1.29 billion in several electrical activities
 Taking over the hydropower company of Nahr Ibrahim

1996 The Lebanese Government was allowed, by law no. 621, to contract for loans with international funding agencies for the 220 kV electric
transmission system expansion
1997 Launching the Penal Law no. 632 that stated that electricity and illegal connections are crimes penalized by imprisonment
1998 First proposal of the new electricity law
2000  Launching the privatization law no. 228 that covered privatization procedures and conditions
 Approve of the draft law for the organization of the electric sector by the Government and transferring it to the Lebanese Parliament

2001 A draft concerning the new electricity law was sent to the Parliament
2002 Launching of the new electricity law no. 462 [40]
2011 Forming a ministerial committee to study the necessary modifications for the law 462
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 265

Table 5
Installed capacity of thermal power plants (data source: 1. [29], 2. [5], 3. [34]).

Thermal plant name Installed capacity (MW) Available capacity in 2008 (MW) Commissioning date Date of retirement Type of fuel

Zouk (ST) 6071 3653 1984–19872 20152 HFO


Jieh (ST) 3461 1873 1971–19812 20102 HFO
Alhreesha (ST) 751 602n 19832 20102 HFO
Tyre (GT) 701 703 19962 20212 DO or NG
Baalbek (GT) 701 703 19962 20212 DO or NG
Zahrani (CC) 4351 4353 1997–19992 2025–20302 DO or NG
Deir-Ammar (CC) 4351 4353 1997–19992 2025–20302 DO or NG
Total 2038

n
Available capacity in 2003.

Table 6
Generation KPIs of power plants (data source: [42,43], and n[41]].

KPI Availability factor (%) Load factor (%) Thermal efficiency (%) Total cost/kW h sent out (US$)

Year 2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008
Zouk 52.0 54.0 53.0 44.0 40.4 53.0 34.2 36.0 33.2 9.1n 0.11 0.19
Jieh 62.0 74.4 74.0 53.0 54.0 63.0 29.7 28.9 30.3 10.42n 0.13 0.20
Deir-Ammar 64.4 96.0 97.0 59.5 53.0 82.3 44.4 46.0 47.7 11.64n 0.13 0.21
Zahrani 77.9 92.0 91.0 50.8 73.0 76.3 44.9 46.0 46.1 11.4n 0.13 0.21
Tyre 44n 80.0 NA 20.8 24.1 43.4 26.8 28.7 28.1 19.2n 0.22 0.32
Baalbeck 44n 97.6 NA 22.9 64.5 42.7 28.4 28.0 28.1 18.2n 0.20 0.32
System Average 62.0 78.0 77.0 47.8 49.8 60.0 39.6 38.8 40.0 NA 0.13 0.20

NA: Not available.

Table 7
Installed hydropower plants (data source: [29,9]).

River Hydropower plant name Installed capacity (MW) Installation date Owner

Litani Awali 108 1965 Litani River Authority (Public company)


Joun 48 1968
Abed Al 34 1961
Al-Bared Al-Bared1 13.5 1954 Private
Al-Bared2 3.7 1962
Safa Safa/Richmaya 13.4 1932 Litani River Authority (Public company)
Kadisha Balouza 8.4 1961 Kadisha (Property company of the EDL)
Abu Ali 7.4 1933
Mar Lichaa 3.1 1952
Bacharre 1.6 1929
Ibrahim Ibrahim 1 15 1962 Private
Ibrahim 2 12.5 1956
Ibrahim 3 5 1950
Total 273.6

Fig. 12. Evolution of electricity production by source [4].


266 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

 Lack of computerized maintenance management system  Implement computerized maintenance management systems
(CMMS) [44]. (CMMS).
 Lack of proper and clear administrative orders to request fuel  Establish regional electricity interconnections with the neigh-
shipment on time. Moreover, oil installations (Zahrani and Tripoli) boring countries (Syria, Jordan, Egypt, Turkey) [30,45].
were forced to provide EDL with the stock market prices and the  Diversify the power supply system in order to cope with
transfer of fuel in tanks, leading to additional losses. insecurities in power supply (by sources of energy, suppliers,
plant types, operators, etc.) [30,46,47].
 Allow the private investment in the RE-electricity generation
4.3.3. Recommendations by implementing of a decentralized strategy for energy gen-
eration [9,47].
 The immediate substitution of diesel oil by Natural Gas for  Legalize the private generator businesses for a transition phase
operating Deir-Ammar and Zahrani thermal power plants as a part of an electricity strategic plan [32,47].
[30,34,45].
 Rehabilitation of the existing power plants in Jieh and Zouk
4.4. Transmission
[30,46].
 Develop new hydro [30] and thermal power plants [30,45,46]
4.4.1. Infrastructure
 Periodic preventive maintenance is required.
EDL transmission network consists of four types of high
voltage power lines: 66, 150, 220 and 400 kV, noting that the
latter lines serve to connect the 400 kV station in Ksara with the
Syrian 400 kV network. This regional electrical interconnection is
not operational until now due to the lack in the infrastructure of
Ksara substation [30]. The HV lines have a total length of about
1427 km [30]. Furthermore, EDL owns 58 major power substa-
tions converting power from high voltage to medium voltage [29].
The Transmission Directorate, within EDL, is mandated the responsi-
bility of constructing, managing, controlling, dispatching, monitoring
and maintaining all transmission networks in Lebanon. Fig. 14 shows
an organigram of the Directorate.
Tables 8 and 9 summarize the transmission substation assets
and transmission lines and cables across EDL in 2006. Table 10
shows the transmission loss rates for years 2006, 2007 and 2008.
Fig. 15(a), (b) and (c) show the 220, 150 and 66 kV transmis-
Fig. 13. Forecasting of the power shortage (data source: [37]). sion lines maps of Lebanon, respectively.

Fig. 14. Organigram of Transmission Directorate [41].

Table 8
EDL-Transmission substations, lines and cables in 2006 (data source: [41]).

Voltage 220 kV 150 kV 66 kV

Type of substation 2201506624 22015024 2206624 22024 1506624 1506611 6624 6620 6615 6611
No. of substations 2 1 7 2 3 1 31 4 5 3
Total 12 4 43
Transmission lines (km) 466 164.19 530.77
Transmission cables (km) 59.98 27.94 92.03
Total 526 192 623
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 267

Table 9 maintenance and planning, public-lighting maintenance and


Private utilities network transmission lines in 2006 (data source: [41]). studies, metering, billing, collection and customer services are
the major functions handled by these directorates. Fig. 16 shows
Description Voltage Total Length (km)
an organigram of the two Distribution Directorates.
Kadisha 66 kV 96.7 Tables 11 and 12 summarize the Distribution Substation assets
Litani Office 66 kV 69.5 across EDL and Table 13 illustrates the distribution loss rates
Ibrahim 66 kV 13.6 between 2006 and 2008.
Bared 66 kV 104.5
Total 66 kV 284.3

4.5.2. Problems and recommendations


Problems Recommendations
Table 10
 Existence of uncollected  Reduce the unpaid
Transmission loss rate (data source: [48]).
electrical consumption bills consumption of electricity.
Year 2006 2007 2008 (  5% in 2009 [30]).  Install a modern and
 High non-technical losses efficient billing and
Transmission Loss Rate (%) 4.0 4.0 3.5
(  20%) [30]. metering system [30,45].
 No planned maintenance of  Reduce the electricity theft
the MV/LV substation assets and illegal connections by
exist and problems arising application of the penal law
4.4.2. Problems and recommendations are dealt with on a ‘‘action- No. 632.
reaction’’ basis [41].  Improve and develop the
Problems Recommendations
 37% of the MV/LV distribution network
 High technical losses  Prioritize network transformers have exceeded [30,45].
( 15%) [30]. improvement through the their average lifetime [41].  Prioritize network
 Approximately 11% of the implementation of a  Substations and equipment improvement through the
transformers are out of age network disturbance/fault are classified as very old and implementation of a
[41]. analysis [41]. poor [41]. distribution network
 Lack of computerized  Establish management  Lack of safety equipment continuity analysis [41].
management information control and information that the staff need [42].  Set organized, planned
systems [40,43]. systems [40,43].  The vehicles of the maintenance programs [41].
 The 220 kV tension line  Complete the 220 kV line distribution Directorate are  Carry out planning studies.
network has not which, if accomplished very old and poorly  Improve and develop the
completed yet. would reduce the technical maintained, and this is assets.
 HV porcelain lines and glass losses and ensure the obstructing the job rate  Purchase safety tools for
HV insulators have negative network reliability [30], [40,41]. the staff.
environmental effects [41]. [45].  Lack of good contractor  Purchase new vehicles.
 Standby power capacity is  Many HV lines require workmanship.  Initiate of remedial actions
negatively affected by replacement [41].  Lack of computerized such as inspecting and
operating HV transformers  Atmospheric pollution management information recording defects, fault
at high load factors [41]. motivate the replacement of systems [40,43]. monitoring, etc [41].
 ‘‘Load shedding occurs HV porcelain lines and glass  Complexity of material  Implement Geographic
throughout the year, mainly HV insulators with purchasing is delaying the Information Systems for
during the day, and much composite types across the work programs [40,41]. Electricity of Lebanon
less during the night’’ [41]. networks.  No financial independency (GISEL) [49] that would
 Complexity of material  Allocation of a sufficient within the Directorate, to provide EDL with the tools
purchasing is delaying the budget for the Transmission ensure good functionality. for collection, monitoring
work programs [40,41]. Directorate in order to and management, and
 No financial independency enhance its financial consequently reduce the
within the Directorate to independency, at least for non-technical losses and aid
ensure good functionality. the procurement of low cost the Distribution staff in
materials. their work.
 Allocate a sufficient budget
for the Distribution
Directorate in order to
4.5. Distribution enhance its financial
independency, at least for
4.5.1. Infrastructure the procurement of low cost
The distribution network consists of substations that convert materials.
power from medium to low voltage, using more than 18,000
transformers [30]. The distribution networks are primarily sup-
plied at 11, 15 and 20 kV with the nominal low voltage (LV) being
380/220 V [41]. Two Distribution Directorates, ‘‘Beirut and Mount 4.5.3. Services
Lebanon Directorate’’ and ‘‘Regions Directorate’’, are mandated The Distribution directorates of EDL are responsible for the
the responsibility for managing the distribution networks in services job. This job includes metering, billing, collection and
Lebanon, each within its geographical remits. Network customer service. The services job is suffering from several
268 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

Fig. 15. Map Transmission lines (a) 220 kV; (b) 150 kV; (c) 66 kV [28].

problems such as non-qualified staff, manual billing and collection recommended that the staff be a part of EDL employees and train
system, reliance on individual contractors (collectors) for reading them well, adopt an updated billing and collection system and test
the meters and collection of bills and absence of periodic tests and the meters periodically. Table 14 shows the collection rate per
checks on the installed meters at the customer’s sites. Thus, it is region for LV and MV metered customers in 2007.
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 269

Fig. 16. Organigram of Distribution Directorates [41].

Table 11 Table 14
EDL-substation age profile at the end of 2006 (data source: [41]). Collection rate for LV and MV in 2007 (data source: [48]).

Service No. of 0–10 10–20 20–40 Over 40 Beirut Mount Lebanon Bekaa North South
area substation years years years years
LV Collection Rate (%) 97.54 83.46 87.15 84.03 84.19
Beirut 4,956 1,207 1,092 2,272 385 MV Collection Rate (%) 99.92 98.62 97.24 93.81 97.80
Mt 4,243 1,306 1,813 1,031 93
Lebanon
North 1,612 575 656 333 48
South 3,945 958 1,699 1,199 89
 Loss of the institution’s independence due to the ongoing
Bekaa 2,084 544 800 699 41 political interference in the work of administration, adminis-
EDL (total) 16,840 4,590 6,060 5,534 656 trative appointments, and employments.
% 100 27 36 33 4  Absence of computerization and need for information technol-
ogy (IT) equipment.
 Lack of operational studies and absence of clear operational
Table 12
planning.
Number of substations at each voltage level at end of 2006 (data source: [41]).  Lack of knowledge in the field of financial and technical
administrative oversight of the authorities concerned.
Service area No. of substations 5 kV 11 kV 15 kV 20 kV  Absence of transparent financial and non-financial reports
represented in non-auditing of the accounts since 2001 [45].
Beirut 4,956 – 4,029 729 198
Mt Liban 4,243 96 14 3,533 600
North 1,612 32 – 1,460 120
South 3,945 – – 3,771 174
4.6.1. Recommendations
Bekaa 2084 – – 2,075 9
EDL (Total) 16,840 128 4,043 11,568 1,101  Appointment of well-qualified young employees having high
% 100 0.8 24 68.7 6.5 technical and managerial skills to improve EDL tasks and
support the introduction of renewable energy sources.
 An overhang of the currently retired staff for more few years
Table 13 could be beneficial in order to pass their expertise to the new
Distribution technical loss rate (data source: [48]). generation and help in the restructuring of EDL.
 Encourage collectors to be more productive in work by
2006 2007 2008
providing them financial incentives [50].
Distribution technical loss rate (%) 11 11 9  Adoption of a document backup software to save files and
improve the existing archive system.
 Activate the administrative links between the General Direc-
torate and other Directorates.
4.6. Administrative status
Fig. 17 illustrates a forecasting of the EDL staff shortage
 The average age of the employees in EDL is about 52 years [30] between 2009 and 2015. It reveals a current huge staff shortage,
with a huge shortage that reaches more than 60% of the which is expected to reach more than 72% in 2015.
supposed existing staff as a result of non-employment govern-
mental policy [42]. 4.7. Financial status
 The adopted recurrent administrative configurations is assign-
ing non-qualified people and transferring skilled engineers to  Tariffs are much lower than the actual cost of the produced
small departments. This fact negatively affects the system electricity. The average cost of electrical production in 2009
work efficiency. was 255 LL/kW h (0.17 US$/kW h) [30] compared to an
270 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

Table 15
Tariffs of electric consumption in Lebanon [29].

Tension Type of subscription Consumption (kW h/month) Tariff (LL/kW h)

Low 1-Lighting, home and commercial use Up to 100 35


Between 100 and 300 55
Between 300 and 400 80
Between 400 and 500 120
Above 500 200
2-Streets Lighting, public establishments, free medical care centers, hospitals, For each kW h/month 140
mosques, churches, cinemas, charity groups and hotels
3-Industry, craftsmen, agriculture, water treatment and pumping stations For each kW h/month 115
Medium 1-Industry, craftsmen, agriculture Active energy (for each 130
kW h/month)
Reverse energy (for each 50
k.v.a.r.h/month)
2-The rest of subscribers Active energy (for each 140
kWh/month)
Reverse energy (for each 50
k.v.a.r.h/month)
High - Active energy (for each 115
kW h/month)

Note that all the charity organizations, free medical care centers, and hotels have the right to choose for one final time between the tariff in category 1 and that in category
2 of Low tension [29].

 Absence of a computerized accounting system that links all the


institution accounts [42].

4.7.1. Recommendations

 Adjust the tariff to better reflect the cost of electricity produc-


tion, transmission and distribution [47,38].
 The basis of the electricity tariffs has to be improved, as low
power consumers induce higher costs for production, trans-
mission and distribution than that of high power consumers.
 Reduce the production cost by changing the preparation of fuel
tenders in order to make them more transparent and fit the
Fig. 17. EDL man power forecasting (data source: [37]).
international standards [50].
 Establish a feed-in law that allows local energy producers,
through renewable installations, to sell the generated electri-
city to public or private sectors.
average bill of 141 LL/kW h (0.094 US$/kW h) [34]. Thus, EDL
is losing with each kW h sold and the losses will increase as it 4.8. Tariffs
sells more.
 The current electricity tariff has been derived from an average oil In Lebanon, the total electricity consumed is divided into
price of 25 US$/barrel in 1996 and has not changed till now [34]. several subsections. Tables 15 and 16 illustrate, in details, the
 Bad investment in new plants added additional losses instead tariff for each subsection according to the type of both tension
of increasing the revenues (OCGT instead of CCGT in Tyre and and subscription (e.g., home, public, industry etc.). These tariffs
Baalbek power plants). have been implemented since August 1, 1994.
 EDL is falling deeply into debt and depending more and more
on the governmental subsidies ( 2200 M$ in 2010) which
keeps it under the mercy and the will of the politicians to 5. Electricity plans for Lebanon
provide more credits.
 The contribution of the fuel bill to EDL total budget was This section presents a summary of the last three official
around 1450 M$ (75%) and 1165 M$ (62%) in 2008 and 2009, reform plans for electricity sector in Lebanon. They were pro-
respectively. This reveals the high price of fuel that is nega- posed by the ministers: Mohammad Fneish in 2006, Alain
tively affecting the financial status of EDL. Tabourian in 2008 and Jebran Bassil in 2010.
 Inability of the company to prosecute the aggressors to the Table 17 reveals large similarities among the recommenda-
network. Note that most of electrical thefts are covered by the tions suggested in plans of ministers Fneish and Bassil, as both
political leaders. plans present a panoramic reform view concerning the electricity
 Lack of seriousness in bill collections and the weakness of sector. Nevertheless, Fniesh was distinctive at the level of
follow-up mechanisms that resulted in an increase of arrears, administration when he suggested the auditing and computer-
which amounted to hundreds of billions LL. ization as well as the appointment of new board of directors. In
 Lack of an internal auditing system which negatively affects addition to that, he was the only one who handled the mitigation
the accuracy of institution’s financial accounts [42]. of GHG emissions through the suggestion of ratifying the Kyoto
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 271

Table 16
Industrial electrical consumption tariff in Lebanon [29].

Seasonal duration Hourly duration Tariff (LL/kW h/month)

Summer duration (from April 1st till September 30) At night (From hour 0 till hour 7) 80
At Day (From hour 7 till hour 18:30) 112
At Peak (From 18:30 till 21:30) 320
At Night (From hour 21:30 till hour 23) 112
At Night (From hour 23 till hour 24) 80
Winter duration (from October 1st till March 30) At Night (From hour 0 till hour 7) 80
At day (From hour 7 till hour 16:30) 112
At Peak (From 16:30 till 20:30) 320
At Night (From hour 20:30 till hour 23) 112
At Night (From hour 23 till hour 24) 80

Table 17
Summary of electricity reform plans ([30], [45] and [46]).

Plan of Minister Mohammad Plan of Minister Alain Plan of Minister Jebran


Recommendations
Fneish Tabourian Bassil

Generation
Use NG/LNG for operating Deir-Ammar/Zahrani plants 2 2
Rehabilitate or upgrade existing plants 2 2
Build new public CCGT plants 2 2 2
Build new IPP-CCGT plants 2 2
Build new coal power plants 2
Convert/build most power plants on natural gas 2 2
Install generators for the short term 2 2
Diversify energy sources 2 2
Build new capacities in the field of renewable energy 2 2
Allow private generation 2 2
Build new public or private hydro power plants 2
Build new IPP-wind power plants (private sector) 2
Build new ‘‘waste to energy’’ power plants 2
Conduct pre-feasibility studies on Photovoltaic (PV) farms 2
Build a gas pipeline along the coast 2
Build LNG marine station(s) 2 2
Transmission
Complete the 220 kV network 2 2
Complete the 400 kV Ksara station 2 2
Establish the Electricity National Control left 2 2
Build regional substations 2
Distribution
Implement Automatic Meter Reading (AMR) schemes or remote control
2 2
meters
Encourage the private sector to invest in and develop the distribution
2 2
networks
Administration and finance
Increase the human resource capacity 2 2
Activate the financial and administrative computerization 2
Accounting and financial auditing 2
Energy auditing 2
Appoint a new board of directors 2
Corporatization of EDL 2 2
Increase the tariff 2
Implement Time Of Use (TOU) tariffs 2
Legislation
Amend the Law 462 2 2
Adopt an energy conservation law 2
Resolve the problems with the current concessions 2
Ratify the Kyoto protocol 2
Adopt a Law that encourages all forms of public private partnership at the
2
level of generation
Energy efficiency
Encourage the adoption of solar thermal energy (SWH) 2 2
Encourage the use of compact fluorescent Lamp 2
Encourage the use of energy saving public lighting 2

protocol. On the other hand, Bassil provided detailed suggestions uncaring all political concerns. As for the plan of minister
at the level of generation and recommended the installation of a Tabourian, it focused only on the electricity generation sector
gas pipeline all along the coast. In addition, he was very and suggested a distinctive recommendation represented in
distinctive at the level of energy efficiency by encouraging the building new coal power plants. In brief, it can be noticed that
use of residential Compact Fluorescent Lamps and energy saving the plan of 2006 was a basis of the more effective and compre-
public lighting. Moreover, he suggested tariff increase and hensive one of 2010, while the plan of 2008 mainly highlighted
adjustment and dared to display the problems of concessions on the electricity generation issue.
272 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

6. Optimization of cost and pollution for electricity 7) Construction of new hydro power plants.
generation in Lebanon 8) Construction of coal fired IGCC.
9) Construction of solar-PV power plants.
The predominant rates of annual electricity demand growth 10) Construction of solar thermal, PT power plants.
found in the literature vary between 2.5% and 8% [51]. Adopting
an average annual demand growth of 5% between the base year
2009 and the year 2027, the demand is supposed to reach Table 18 illustrates the technical data for different power plant
36,100 GW h (Fig. 18). options stated above and Table 19 shows the net calorific values,
Based on EDL generated electrical energy in 2009 costs and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of different fuels used
(10,406 GW h) [30] and aiming to set a 5-year generation master in this study.
plan that could meet all the demand until the year 2027 Solar-PV and solar-thermal for electricity generation are sub-
(36,100 GW h), EDL is assumed to preserve the amount of jected to rapid technical evolution as well as their current
electricity generated in 2009 and be able to generate additional levelized costs (Table 18) are not competitive and thus, they will
25,700 GW h by the end of 2016. To achieve this, the following 10 be disregarded in this optimization problem.
options are studied: An optimization problem is formulated in order to find the
needed installation capacity (xi) from each power option corre-
1) Construction of new CCGT power plants. sponding to the optimum cost and pollution. It is stated as follows:
2) Rehabilitation of the existing plants in Zouk and Jieh. First, define the function ‘‘f1’’ for cost and ‘‘f2’’ for pollution as
3) Upgrading Deir-Ammar and Zahrani CCGT power plants. follow:
4) Adding CC to the OCGT plants in Baalbek and Tyre. f 1 ¼ Sðlevelized cost  CF  8760  t Þ  xi ð1Þ
5) Construction of wind farms for electricity generation.
6) Construction of MSW power plants. where xi : installed capacity of each power option; 1 oio8.

Electricity Demand in GWh

40000
36099
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
15000
10000
5000
0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027

Fig. 18. Forecast of the electricity demand up to 2027 with 5% growth per year.

Table 18
Technical data (data source: 1. [30], 2. [3], 3. [52], 4. [53], 5. [54], 6. [55], 7. [56], 8. [57], 9. [58], 10. [59], 11. [60], 12. [34], 13. [61], 14. [62], 15. [63], 16. [19], 17. [64], 18.
[65], 19. [66] and 20. [44]).

Power Investment grams of Levelized cost


Economic Life Fixed O&M Variable O&M Capacity could Capacity Efficiency Construction
source cost CO2eq/ ($/MW h/year)
cycle (years) cost ($/MW) cost ($/MW h) be added (MW) factor (%) (%) time (years)
options (M$/MW) kW h-el

62.3 (NG)
1 (CCGT) 1.251 2517,19 11,9365 2.055 open – 855 488,9 2.517
203.3 (GO)
1 8
Zouk 70 38 159.4
2 (ST) 0.231 1012 11,936 2.05 – 7020 0.5
Jieh 301 338 182
45.5 (NG)
3 (CCGT) 0.1141 2517,19 11,9365 2.055 751 – 855 488 0.5
186 (GO)
52.9 (NG)
4 (CCGT) 0.621 2517,19 11,9365 2.055 701 – 855 488 0.5
194 (GO)
1 19 5 2 3 5
5 (WT) 1.95 20 30,921 0 250 13 34 359 219 87.3
6 (MSW) 1.91 2018,19 100,00018n 107 604 686 229,16 21,16,19 94.25
7 (Hydro) 47 307 35,0007 0 205 43 507 959 57 104.8
8 (Coal
3.713 2513,19 39,4595 2.985 open 75010,13 855,13 4510 410,13 81.8
IGCC)
9 (Solar-PV) 515 2515 11,9265 0 NA 1053 215 1615 NA 305.9
10 (Solar-
514 4014 57,9415 0 NA 9011 315 1414 NA 209.6
PT)

n
Includes fixed and variable O&M costs in $/MW/year; NA: Not available.
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 273

The levelized cost is a worldwide method used in the cost Three scenarios are studied:
comparison studies of different power plants. The details of this
method can be found in [69]. 1. All CCGT plants operate using gas oil except the new ones
 which use NG.
f 2 ¼ S tCO2eq =MW h  CF  8760  t  xi ð2Þ
2. All CCGT plants operate using GO.
Second, define the function ‘‘g’’ which combines both functions 3. All CCGT operate using NG.
above:
 
g ¼ a  f 1=maxcost þ ð1aÞ  f 2=maxpollution ð3Þ
Matlab software [70] was used to solve the suggested optimi-
where 0 o a o 1 zation problem. The results of the suggested scenarios are illu-
strated in Figs. 19–21. The intersection between normalized cost
and normalized pollution curves is considered to be the optimum
Table 19 solution.
Characteristics of fuels (data source: 1. [41], 2. [58], 3. [42], 4. [67], 5. [34], 6. [68]). The overall investment capital cost of the first scenario is
4677.5 M$. Using this scenario, an added pollution of 11.6 MtCO2eq
Fuel type NCV (MJ/kg) Cost ($/ton) GHG (tCO2eq/ton)
will be obtained in 2027 due to the installed new capacities.
HFO 40.61 6403 3.72046 The investment cost of the second scenario is 5312.75 M$.
GO 42.51 10273 3.72216 Using this scenario, an added pollution of 15.4 MtCO2eq will be
Hard coal 34.12 804 – obtained in 2027 due to the installed new capacities.
NG 37.92n 5.655nn 60.966nnn The investment cost of the third scenario is 4548.2 M$. Using
n
MJ/m3. this scenario, an added pollution of 11.6 MtCO2eq will be obtained
nn
$/MMBTU. in 2027 due to the installed new capacities. Noting that, in this case,
nnn
gCO2eq/MJ. the overall GHG emissions is decreased further more compared to

1.05 4000
Installed capacity (MW)

3352
1
3000
0.95
0.9 2000

0.85 1000
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 250
0 0 0 0 0 0
alpha 0
normalized cost normalized pollution X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8

Fig. 19. (a) Variation of normalized cost and normalized GHG emissions in function of the weighting factor (alpha); (b) installed capacity to be added from different power
options.

3500
Installed capacity (MW)

1.5 3000
3000
1 2500

0.5 2000
1500
0 1000
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 500 250 107 205
0 75 70 0
alpha 0
normalized cost normalized pollution X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8

Fig. 20. (a) Variation of normalized cost and normalized GHG emissions in function of the weighting factor (alpha); (b) installed capacity to be added from different power
options.

1.05 3500
Installed capacity (MW)

3207
3000
1
2500
0.95 2000
0.9 1500
1000
0.85
500 250
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0 75 70 0 0 0
0
alpha X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8
normalized cost normalized pollution

Fig. 21. (a) Variation of normalized cost and normalized GHG emissions in function of the weighting factor (alpha); (b) installed capacity to be added from different power
options.
274 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

the preceding scenarios as the emissions of the existing CCGT constitute 6.9% of the total electricity generated by 2020. The
plants will be reduced due to the use of NG instead of GO. World Bank study [34] performed a detailed analysis about the
Based on cost and pollution optimization, it could be con- Lebanese electricity sector, in which an 8-year-proposed reform
cluded from the above studied scenarios that the maximum plan was suggested. Based on this plan, 1500 MW of additional
potential of wind energy should be utilized. Moreover, the fossil electrical capacity are required to meet the demand by 2015.
fuel power plants (new and existing) should use natural gas as However, this plan has an important drawback since it assumes
maximum as possible. that EDL is supposed to share about 67% of the sector, leaving the
rest for informal private generation. Other drawbacks include the
absence of RE investments and unextending of the capacity target
7. Electricity generation reform plan beyond its time limit (2015), which means that the electricity
supply is deficient again in 2016 as a result of the annual demand
7.1. Historical review increase. Moreover, it proves that large gas-fired CCGT and coal-
fired steam power plants are the best economic options for
Several studies handled the electricity problem in Lebanon. Lebanon contrary to CCGT using LNG or gas oil. Concerning the
Some of them proposed reform plans and others merely analyzed required tariff adjustment, four scenarios were introduced and
the problem and recommended certain measures. analyzed revealing that a one-off tariff increase of 99.2% in 2010
Few articles dealt with the electricity plans at the level of yields the best results. Dagher and Ruble [50] examined the
supply. Chedid et al. [71] studied different scenarios at the level of evolvement of the backup sector and its related CO2 emissions
pollution reduction without taking into consideration the eco- in a base line scenario. They compared it to an alternative wind-
nomic analysis and concluded that mitigation is better with RE RE scenario that keeps the backup generation constant. The
technologies than that with NG. Karaki et al. [72] studied the obtained results indicated that the RE scenario cost investment
optimal additions of generating units; however the study was is approximately half that of the base line and CO2 emissions are
limited to conventional generating units using fossil fuel without less by 37% in 2025. However, this alternative scenario needs
analyzing RE technologies. El-Fadel et al. [12] studied different 2133 MW of wind turbines which is a very large amount knowing
RE-scenarios for mitigating GHG emissions related to electricity that the estimated wind power potential is almost 1500 MW [14]
generation in Lebanon. Wind energy was excluded in the study and is mostly located on top of mountains where the total
because the wind speed data at that time did not support its use investment (needed infrastructure: roads, transmission lines,
for electricity generation. As for Biomass, gas recovery from large etc.) may be huge and unreasonable. El-Fadel et al. [74] presented
MSW landfills is recommended and due to the lack of such an evaluation study of the Lebanese electricity sector in terms of
landfills, biomass energy was also excluded. Thus, only solar its sustainability. The study indicates that substantial net cost and
and hydro resources were investigated showing that 35% of the environmental benefits can be obtained from improving the
total annual GHG emitted by the electric sector could be reduced transmission and distribution networks, upgrading existing con-
if these resources were exploited properly. Abi Said [5], in 2005, ventional plants to their design standards, and shifting to natural
analyzed the electricity profile in Lebanon and found that the gas. Also, it indicates that Lebanon needs to build up 8 new,
electric sector suffers from technical, administrative and financial 600 MW power plants by 2030, and that renewable energy
problems. Several recommendations were concluded such as the sources are competitive alternatives now. Ruble and Nader [47]
priority to reduce technical and non-technical losses, collection of presented the current challenges and the recent move towards
all bills, shifting to NG for thermal power plants, increasing tariffs renewable energy and energy efficiency in the Lebanese energy
etc. Furthermore, he stated that for an electricity reform plan to sector. Many policy recommendations concerning the electricity
succeed, three main parties, namely: MEW, private sector as an sector reform were introduced. The most important are: diversi-
operating partner, and regulatory body, should play their roles in fying energy sources and suppliers, achieving the regional grid-
the best way. Houri [73] studied several scenarios for the future of interconnection, authorizing decentralization and privatization of
hydropower in Lebanon. The study concluded a decreasing electricity production, transmission and distribution, preventing
percentage share of hydropower in the Lebanese electric genera- theft, collecting all bills, adjusting tariffs, and legalizing renew-
tion system for all scenarios, due to the limited supply of water able energy for power production. The authors concluded that a
and increasing electricity demand. Moreover, according to the market approach based on releasing monopolization and legaliz-
best-studied scenario, the percent share of hydropower would ing private investments along with government setting the policy

Table 20
Proposed electricity generation reform plan.

Capacity added by time Annual savings (M$)


Description Investment (M$)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016

Rehabilitation of Zouk and Jieh 180 – 100 – – – – 56 56 56 56


Upgrading of Deir-Ammar(NG) & Zahrani(GO) 108 – 75 – – – – 477 477 477 477
Adding CC to Tyre and Baalbek 130 – 70 – – – – 69 69 69 69
Increase the tariff by 50% – – 2 – – – – 174.8 264.9 – –
MSW 203 – – 107 – – – – – – –
WT 487 – – 250 – – – – – – –
New CCGT(NG) 1250 – – – 1000 – – – – – –
End electricity purchasing – – – – 2 – – – – 197.5 197.5
Increase the tariff by 30% – – – – 2 – – – – 1328.8 1328.8
New CCGT (GO or NG) 2375 – – – – – 1900 – – – –
Hydro 820 – – – – – 205 – – – –
Total 5553 – 245 375 1000 – 2105 – – 5900 –
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 275

framework would thrive the Lebanese energy sector. Dagher and Accordingly, the available power capacity will increase from 1650
Ruble [75] modeled three possible future paths for Lebanon’s (2010) [37] to 5375 MW (2017).
electricity using LEAP (Long range Energy Alternatives Planning The plan is considered to start at the beginning of 2012 and all
System) software; however, the study didn’t reflect a possible savings and added incomes compared to EDL status in the base year
forecast for electricity generation as the percent-share dispatch 2009 are calculated. Several assumptions are considered as follow:
rule was used based on the percent share of fuels in 2006.
Abosedra et al. [76] investigated the dynamic causal relationship  EDL will preserve the capability of generating the same
between electricity consumption and economic growth for Leba- amount of electricity produced in 2009.
non. Results confirmed the absence of a long-term equilibrium  O&M costs are almost the same for existing power plants.
relationship between electricity consumption and economic  68% of the total produced electricity is billed (3% improvement
growth in Lebanon but the existence of unidirectional causality from the base year 2009, assuming that EDL would reduce its
running from electricity consumption to economic growth. Based non-technical losses by 3% as the case achieved during 2004–
on their findings, the authors present several recommendations 2005 [34]).
for energy policy makers, such as prioritizing the building  All billed electrical energy is collected.
capacity and infrastructure development of the electric power  The Egyptian NG could be secured for 1000 MW CCGT power
sector, getting rid of illegal connections and encouraging research plants through the Arab gas pipe line.
studies in the field of energy policy. However, Dagher and  The Syrian NG pipeline is ready to feed Deir-Ammar CCGT
Yacoubian [77] concluded different results for the same study. power plant.
They revealed strong evidence of a bidirectional relationship both
in the short-run and in the long-run, indicating that energy is a Based on the stated assumptions as well as on the results of
limiting factor to economic growth in Lebanon. The authors the second and third scenarios illustrated in Section 6, the
interpret the difference in results to the application of standard following actions are suggested:
causality tests without explicitly testing the ‘‘stationarity’’ of the
employed variables by Abosedra et al. [76]. Based on their I. Immediate actions
updated results, the authors advise energy policy makers to revise  Use of NG in Deir-Ammar CCGT power plant as it is ready to
the latest energy policy that calls for a 5% energy conservation do so [80].
target. The new policy should aim at increasing the restriction of  Rehabilitation of the power plants in Zouk and Jieh.
energy consumption, reducing the dependence on external  Upgrading Deir-Ammar and Zahrani power plants
energy sources by emphasizing the development of domestic  Adding CC to Tyre and Baalbek power plants.
energy resources (hydro, wind, solar, geothermaly) and prior-
itizing the relaxation of the current electrical capacity shortage. The stated work is estimated to be achieved in six months
Hamdan et al. [78] assessed the latest official electrical energy costing about 418 M$ [30]. As a result, 245 MW will be added to
policy for Lebanon, which was proposed by the MEW in 2010. The the actual installed capacity which would generate 1693 GW h.
authors used the Load Modification Technique (LMT) to assess the Additional 1600 GW h are generated from the pre-existing
impact of policy implementation on energy production, overall power plants due to the increase of capacity factors (assuming
cost, technical losses and reliability. A baseline scenario for a 70% load factor for Jieh and Zouk and 85% for the others) as a
study period extending from 2010 to 2015, with a base year 2009, result of upgrading and rehabilitation of existing plants. As a
was developed. The results of this scenario were compared to whole, EDL would be able to produce about 14800 GW h (with
those obtained by the policy implementation scenario. Results purchased amounts) and reduce the deficit from an expected
revealed the effectiveness of the adopted energy policy for 11 h/day to about 4 h/day in 2013.
Lebanon. Additionally, the proposed evaluation methodology is Additionally, the following actions are also performed
useful as a guiding approach for power system planning appraisal immediately:
for developing countries having similar deteriorating conditions  Start building 205 MW hydro power plants (820 M$) that
in the electricity sector. Najjar et al. [79] investigated the are expected to be completed by the end of 2016.
feasibility and reliability of implementing hybrid-renewable dis-  Start building 107 MW MSW-plants (203 M$) and 250 MW
tributed energy systems in Lebanon either by individuals or by WT-plants (487 M$). They are expected to be completed by
government. This idea is supposed to reduce technical losses since the end of 2013.
the power will be generated near the grid and consequently  Start building 1000 MW CCGT (NG) plants (1250 M$),
increase the grid stability and save operating costs and environ- which are expected to be completed by the end of 2014.
mental pollution. To achieve this goal, the authors recommend II. Additional actions
that EDL buys excess energy generated by renewable resources  The great decrease in rationing, stated above, would find a
and that the government provides economic incentives to indivi- valid ground for increasing the current low electricity tariff
duals implementing such systems. because it may motivate the Lebanese citizens to leave the
low-quality private generation sector which is the actual case
existing in Beirut nowadays. Accordingly, a tariff increase of
7.2. Proposed reform plan about 100%.over two stages is suggested. This suggestion is
based on the average cost of electricity (17.14 b/kW h) in 2009
This section provides a suggested five-year reform plan for the [30], thus raising the overall average tariff from 9.4 b/kW h
Lebanese electricity sector at the level of generation. It is based on currently [34] to 14.1 b/kW h in the beginning of 2013 ( 50%
economic and technical data found in previous studies and on the increase) and then to 18.3 b/kW h in the beginning of 2015
optimization study illustrated in Section 6. ( 30% increase from the last tariff).
In 2009, EDL generated 10,406 GW h electrical energy [30].  In 2014, Start building 1900 MW CCGT plants that could
The proposed five-year reform plan aims to meet all the demand operate using either NG or GO (2375 M$) and which are
until the year 2027 (36100 GW h). Assuming that EDL will expected to be completed by the end of 2016.
preserve the generated amount of electricity in 2009, it is devoted  In 2015, stop purchasing electricity from Syria as the new
to be able to generate additional 25,700 GW h by the end of 2016. built plants will be able to cover the entire deficit.
276 O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278

40000
35000
30000
25000

GWh
20000
15000
10000
5000
0 2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
EDL purchase private deficit Demand

Fig. 22. Electricity generation between 2009 and 2027 according to the proposed reform plan.

The economic benefits resulting from the application of the was entirely established till now due to the large political conflicts.
illustrated plan are as follow: A comparison among these plans is conducted, where the results
 The overall savings achieved due to the improved efficien- showed that the plan of 2006 was a basis of the more effective and
cies of existing plants and the use of NG in Deir-Ammar will comprehensive one of 2010, while the plan of 2008 mainly high-
be about 602 M$/year. lighted on the electricity generation issue.
 An added net income of 174.8 M$ is expected in 2013 due Currently, electricity has become one of the social security
to the application of the new tariff (368 M$ from the old needs and living priorities for all citizens and thus, meeting the
capacityþ315.8 M$ from the new capacity—509 M$ the electricity demand must be a priority for the Lebanese govern-
cost of the new generated energy). As a result, the deficit is ment. However, in the approach to meet the demand, several
reduced by 776.8 M$ in 2013 (602 M$þ 174.8 M$). power source options exist. For this reason, an economical–
 An added net income of 264.9 M$ is expected in 2014 environmental optimization of different power sources is studied
(compared with the base year) due to the introduction of such that EDL will be able to meet all the electricity demand until
additional power plants (MSW and WT plants). the year 2027, starting from EDL generation status in 2009. Three
 An added net income of 1328.8 M$/year is expected in 2015 scenarios are introduced based on the fuel source of different
and 2016 (compared with the base year) due to the second- CCGT power plants. The first scenario considers that only new
stage tariff increase. CCGT use NG while the second considers that all CCGT use GO and
 An added net income of 197.5 M$/year is expected in 2015 the third considers that all CCGT use NG. The results prove that
and 2016 (compared with the base year) due to ending of the third scenario is the best economically and environmentally
the electricity purchase from Syria. followed by the first one. Additionally, It is concluded that the
maximum potential of wind energy should be utilized and that
The electricity generation reform plan is summarized in fossil fuel power plants (new and existing) should utilize natural
Table 20. Fig. 22 shows the electricity generation evolution gas as maximum as possible.
between 2009 and 2027 based on the suggested plan. Although the third scenario proved to be the best; only a part of
the installed capacity of CCGT plants ( 1500 MW) will be able to
use NG. Thus, both the second and third scenarios are chosen as
8. Conclusion bases in formulating a new generation plan for Lebanon. This is due
to the fact that securing NG for all thermal plants is currently
This study presents a detailed review of conventional energy difficult. Based on this proposition, a five-year master plan for
status in Lebanon. It reveals that the country is currently a major electricity generation is modeled. This plan suggests an additional
oil importer ( 93% of TPES); despite the evidence for the existence temporary solution (rehabilitation of Jieh and Zouk) that helps
of oil and natural gas in the Lebanese onshore and offshore. reducing the electrical shortage in a way that informal private
Therefore, prospecting for these resources must be a priority for generation could be abandoned starting from the second year. It
the government. Moreover, a detailed review of the renewable also suggests an increase in the tariff by 100%, split into two stages,
energy potential is conducted, revealing a great potential of solar to make EDL able to meet its different costs. It is worth to note that
and wind energy resources, a considerable potential of MSW– the tariff increase needs a detailed analysis to decide the new
biomass resource, in addition to an important annual amount of effective equitable basis. This plan is quite reasonable as the savings
water resources that could effectively be more exploited in and additional incomes (5900 M$) will be more than the investment
electricity generation. Besides, the main barriers to the develop- cost (5553 M$) as well as it exceeds the trend to introduce a 12%
ment of RE sector in Lebanon are discussed all along with the share of renewable energy in the power sector by 2020 [30], where
recommended solutions. Furthermore, a detailed review of the the share is supposed to be about 15% out of the total installed
unique official electricity provider ‘‘EDL’’ is carried out, displaying capacity before this date. The proposed plan will also assure the
that the institution suffers huge technical (generation, transmis- diversification of energy resources (NG, GO, wind, waste, hydro etc.).
sion and distribution), administrative and financial problems. Finally, Lebanon is an indebted country that depends, for the
These problems are discussed separately and several recommenda- moment, on oil imports to meet its various energy needs. Seeking
tions are suggested. In the aim of resolving the electricity sector to reduce its debt, meet the growing energy demand and reduce
problem, three official reform plans have been developed by the the environmental pollution, an overall energy strategy should be
ministry of energy and water (MEW) since 2006; however, no one adopted to enhance energy efficiency and renewable energy at
O. Ibrahim et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 20 (2013) 255–278 277

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