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ViolenceAgainstWomen 2005 Clay Warner 150 76
ViolenceAgainstWomen 2005 Clay Warner 150 76
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JODY CLAY-WARNER
CALLIE HARBIN BURT
University of Georgia
Using data from the National Violence Against Women Survey, the authors examine
whether rapes committed after reforms were more likely to be reported to police than those
committed before reforms. The authors also consider whether the gap between the report-
ing of simple versus aggravated rape has narrowed. They find that rapes committed after
1990 were more likely to be reported than rapes occurring before 1974. Aggravated rape
continues to be more likely to be reported than simple rape, however, and this effect is sta-
ble over time. The authors conclude by discussing the implications of these findings for
evaluating the success of rape reform statutes.
AUTHORS’ NOTE: Data used in this article were obtained through the Inter-
University Consortium for Political and Social Research housed at the University of
Michigan.
VIOLENCE AGAINST WOMEN, Vol. 11 No. 2, February 2005 150-176
DOI: 10.1177/1077801204271566
© 2005 Sage Publications
150
CHANGES IN REPORTING
METHOD
DATA
Data from the NVAW Survey were analyzed (Tjaden & Thoennes,
1999). The NVAW Survey is a national telephone survey jointly
supported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and
the National Institute of Justice. Participants were chosen through
random-digit dialing of residential telephone numbers. To ensure
that a nationally representative sample was obtained, the sample
was stratified by region, as defined by the U.S. Census Bureau
(Tjaden & Thoennes, 1999). Once contact was made with a house-
hold resident, eligible adults were identified (those at least 18
years of age). In households in which more than one adult was eli-
gible, the adult with the most recent birthday (day and month)
was asked to participate. Thus, there was only one respondent per
household. Both men and women were eligible for participation,
although the current study analyzes data only from the female
participants. The participation rate for women was 72.1% (n =
8,000).7 Because this was a telephone-based survey, individuals
without telephones, those residing in group facilities or institu-
tions, and homeless persons are not represented.
A goal of the NVAW Survey was to determine lifetime preva-
lence rates of violent victimizations including sexual assault,
physical assault, stalking, and intimate partner violence. Respon-
dents were asked behaviorally specific questions to determine
whether they had experienced specific forms of violence. If vic-
timization was reported, the interviewer asked respondents
detailed questions about the incident and the perpetrator, and a
separate report was filed for each incident. In the case of multiple
victimizations by the same perpetrator, women were asked these
same questions about the most recent victimization by this
perpetrator.
For purposes of this research, we are interested in incidents of
completed and attempted rape perpetrated by men against
women. Incidents of both forced vaginal, anal, or oral penetration
(rape) and attempts at such forced penetration (attempted rape)
are included in our analyses. We also include only rapes and
MEASURES
RESULTS
The first question asks whether rapes committed after the pas-
sage of reform statutes were more likely to be reported than those
committed before the reforms. To address this question, a series of
multivariate logistic regression models were constructed. The
first model contains only the control variable, whereas the second
model adds the aggravated rape variable. The third model also
contains the dummy-coded variables for time (see Table 1).
As seen in the first model, the control variables contributed rel-
atively little to the prediction of reporting. The model was statisti-
cally significant, χ2 = 14.74, p < .05, although the Nagelkerke R2
value of .03 indicates that this set of variables is only weakly asso-
ciated with reporting. The only significant variable was for victim
drug use, which indicates that, controlling for all other variables
in the equation, victims who were using drugs and/or alcohol at
the time of the assault were less likely to report to police than were
victims who were not using drugs or alcohol. When the variable
for aggravated rape was added (see Table 1, Model 2), the explan-
atory power of the model increases significantly, –2 log likelihood
χ2(1, n = 824) = 93.21, p < .001. The odds ratio associated with the
aggravated rape variable (Exp β = 7.38) indicates that women
who were victims of aggravated rape were more than seven times
more likely to report than were victims of simple rape.
The addition of the two dummy-coded variables for year of the
assault also resulted in a significantly better fitting model, –2 log
likelihood χ2(2, n = 824) = 9.74, p < .01. Μost importantly, the vari-
able for the modern reform period was statistically significant,
indicating that rapes occurring during the modern reform period
(1990-1996) were more likely to be reported than rapes occurring
prior to reforms (see Table 1, Model 3). A rape occurring in the
modern reform period was 88% more likely to be reported than a
rape occurring prior to 1975 (Exp β= 1.88, p < .05). A sexual assault
that occurred in the middle reform period (1975-1989), however,
was no more likely to be reported than one occurring before the
enactment of reforms (Exp β = 0.91, p = .71).
In the full model, the variable for aggravated rape remains sig-
nificant (p < .001). This indicates that aggravated rapes were sig-
nificantly more likely to be reported than were simple rapes even
when taking into account the effects exerted by the time variables.
The additive model cannot tell us, however, whether the variable
for aggravated rape was more predictive of reporting prior to
reforms than in the periods following reforms. In other words,
has the gap between the reporting of simple and aggravated rape
narrowed over time? Answering this question requires the inclu-
sion of an interaction term, as detailed below.
Victim African American 0.17 0.29 1.19 0.39 0.32 1.47 0.29 0.33 1.33
Age at time of assault 0.02 0.01 1.02 0.02 0.01* 1.02 0.02 0.01 1.02
Attended college –0.09 0.19 0.92 –0.19 0.21 0.83 –0.18 0.21 0.83
Assaulted outside 0.21 0.25 1.23 0.11 0.27 1.12 0.19 0.27 1.21
Perpetrator drugs/alcohol 0.29 0.20 1.33 0.16 0.21 1.17 0.19 0.22 1.21
Victim drugs/alcohol –0.75 0.29* 0.47 –0.66 0.30* 0.52 –0.69 0.31 0.50
Completed rape 0.16 0.20 1.17 –0.25 0.21 0.78 –0.22 0.22 0.80
Aggravated rape 2.00 0.23*** 7.38 1.99 0.23*** 7.28
Early reform (1975-1989) –0.10 0.26 0.91
Modern reform (1990-present) 0.63 0.29* 1.88
Constant –2.21 0.35*** 0.11 –3.11 0.41*** 0.04 –3.13 0.43*** 0.04
–2 log-likelihood 736.31 643.10 633.36
2
χ 14.74* 107.95*** 117.68***
DISCUSSION
RECONCILING FINDINGS
WITH PREVIOUS RESEARCH
TABLE 2
Interaction Model Predicting Rape Reporting (N = 824)
SE Exp β
rapes is evidence that not all goals of rape reform have been
attained.
NOTES
1. Some states redefined the charge previously termed rape as criminal sexual conduct,
criminal sexual penetration, sexual battery, gross sexual imposition, or sexual abuse.
2. The Wisconsin Supreme Court in Brown v. State (1906) reversed a rape conviction on
the grounds that the woman had not resisted enough, although she both struggled and
screamed. The court’s reasoning was that “there must be the most vehement exercise of
every physical means or faculty within the woman’s power to resist the penetration of her
person, and this must be shown to persist until the offense is consummated” (p. 538).
3. Some states did retain a corroboration requirement for statutory rape (Kadish &
Schulhofer, 1995).
4. Controversy surrounds these statistics, as the number of reported rapes per 100,000
declined somewhat from 42.8 in 1992 to 39.2 in 1994.
5. The comparison was made to ascertain the impact of the law reforms rather than fac-
tors affecting rape reporting trends, such as the increasing efficacy or punitiveness of the
criminal justice system as a whole (Bachman & Paternoster, 1993).
6. Interestingly, Lizotte (1985) found that weapon use and the presence of multiple vic-
tims, however, increased the probability of reporting in nonsexual assaults, whereas no
significant effects were found for the reporting of rape.
7. The participation rate was “the number of completed interviews, including those
that were screened out as ineligible, divided by the total number of completed interviews,
screened-out interviews, refusals, and terminated interviews” (Tjaden & Thoennes, 1999,
p. 6).
8. These dummy-coded categories are also preferable to a continuous measure of time
(such as the year in which the rape occurred), because it may be many years after the
reforms that evidence of their effects on reporting can be seen. Rape reform can only affect
reporting to the extent that the general public is aware of the reforms and trusts in their
effectiveness. Thus, it is unlikely that rape reporting will increase in a linear fashion. As a
result, the use of a continuous measure of time would be inappropriate.
9. The National Violence Against Women Survey does not distinguish between assaults
occurring inside of a home and those occurring in the yard adjacent to the home. Therefore,
assaults occurring in a residential yard are necessarily coded as inside.
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