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Injury 51 (2020) 1693–1695

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Injury
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/injury

Editorial

Radiographic Long Bone Fracture Healing Scores: Can they predict


non-union?

Fracture healing is usually uneventful. However, non-union re- of the RUST score was substantial for IMN but moderate for plate
mains the most common post fracture fixation complication with fixation. Furthermore, animal studies show that RUST scores cor-
an incidence of 5-10% of patients [1], adding a significant burden relates with callus volumes [17] and with biomechanical strength
to society [2], and dramatically decreasing quality of life [3]. The [18]. In a retrospective case-control study of 323 patients, [19], at
prerequisite for fracture healing is the close interaction of appro- 6 weeks following IMN of tibial shaft fractures, a RUST score of
priate biology (osteoinduction, osteoconduction, osteogenesis) with more than 10, predicted 100% union, an intermediate score of 6-
a sound mechanical environment as outlined in the diamond con- 9 predicted 75% union, whereas a low RUST score, i.e. less than
cept [4,5]. There are multiple etiological factors associated with 6 predicted 69% of nonunion. In 155 tibial fracture patients from
the development of a non-union [5]. The unique injury charac- the SPRINT and FLOW randomized trials who had IMN and lack of
teristics, including fracture locations with tenuous blood supply radiographic evidence of healing at the 3-month mark [20], com-
such as the femoral neck, open fractures with extensive soft-tissue pared to a score of greater than 6, scores of 4 and 5-6 were asso-
damage, presence of compartment syndrome, infection, amounts ciated with a 47% and 23% of absolute risk increase of nonunion in
of displacement (pre and post-op), amount of comminution and a greatly heterogenous group of patients.
bone loss are all critical. Patient factors include sex, age, nutri-
tional status, obesity, diabetes and other endocrinopathies includ- Modified RUST (mRUST) scores
ing vitamin D deficiency, bone mineral density, peripheral vascular
disease, smoking, alcohol, drugs and presence of multiple injuries Litrenta et al. [16] in 2015 modified the RUST score to further
[1,6,7]. Surgeon factors addressing biology including respect of the subdivide the RUST when callus is present to either “present” or
soft-tissues, adequate debridement, use of bone grafting as well as “bridging”, i.e. each cortex was scored as follows: 1 = callus absent,
optimizing the mechanical environment (method of reduction and 2 = callus present, 3 = callus bridging, 4 = remodeled, with minimal
stability) are also of paramount importance [8,9]. value of 4 and maximal value of 16. They assessed it in metadia-
Predicting fracture union is challenging [10], and the progress physeal fractures (distal femur and proximal tibia) fixed with nails
of healing is usually analyzed by assessing radiological features of or plates and showed higher inter-observer agreement than the
bone repair [11]. As it would be tremendously helpful to be able to standard RUST [11]. However, it has not yet been applied in pre-
discriminate early the patients that will progress to union versus dicting nonunions.
the ones that will develop non-union, it would therefore be useful
to examine whether available radiological scoring systems could be RUSH (Radiographic Union Score in Hip Fractures)
used in this respect (Table 1).
The RUSH consists of a checklist resulting in a score ranging
RUST (Radiographic Union Scale for Tibia) Score from 10 to 30 [21]. In 250 patients with a femoral neck fracture
treated with cancellous screws or sliding hip screw a RUSH of less
The Radiographic Union Scale for Tibia (RUST) was the first than 18 at the 6 month mark successfully predicted non-union
scoring system to be introduced by Whelan et al. in 2010 [10]. It with a 100% specificity and 100% positive predictive value and a
consists of scoring the anterior, posterior, lateral and medial cor- 10-fold increased probability of undergoing a revision surgery [22].
tices of a set of orthogonal radiographs by giving a score of 1 if However, the RUSH score has only fair levels of inter-observer re-
the fracture line is visible and there is absence of callus, a score liability, which is improved if the time radiographs are taken is
of 2 if the fracture line is visible and there is callus present and a known, instead of evaluation at an unknown point in time. Notably,
score of 3 if the fracture line is not visible and callus is present. 6 out of 7 radiographs taken within 2 weeks after surgery had
The minimum score is 4, whereas the maximum score is 12. Orig- been initially been judged as healed fractures, which is impossible
inally developed for diaphyseal tibial fractures treated with in- [21]. A recent large multicentre study of 734 patients [23] showed
tramedullary nailing (IMN), several studies have shown that RUST for a RUSH score at 3-months and 6-months post femoral neck
has substantial inter-observer and intra-observer agreement in this fracture was predictive of re-operation within 24-months for a
setting [12–15]. Litrenta et al. [16] studied metaphyseal tibial frac- variety of causes, including infection, non-union, delayed healing,
tures treated with either nail or plate and found that the reliability avascular necrosis and implant failure. At 3-months, a lower RUSH

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.injury.2020.07.024
0020-1383/© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1694 Editorial / Injury 51 (2020) 1693–1695

Table 1
Radiographic Scores for Predicting Nonunions.

Non-union prediction Advantages Limitations

RUST [15] Score at 6 weeks [19]: Substantial inter-/intra-observer reliability Further studies needed to validate
[12–15] prediction scores
> 10 100% union, 6–9: 75% union, Prediction limited to tibial fractures
<6 31% union treated with IMN.
Metaphyseal tibial fractures treated with
plate have moderate
inter-/intra-observer reliability [16]
mRUST [16] Unknown Higher inter-/intra-observer reliability No prediction data available
than RUST [16]
RUSH [21] At 6 months: Score<18 predicts Applies to both femoral neck [21,22] and Fair inter-observer reliability [21]
non-union [22] intertrochanteric fractures [24]
No threshold to predict nonunion earlier
than 6 months.
RUST for diaphyseal At 12-weeks: RHUM <7 predicts Substantial to near-perfect Applies only to fractures treated
humeral fractures nonunion whereas RHUM >8 predicts inter-/intra-observer reliability conservatively [25–28]
(RHUM/RUSHU) [25–28] union [26] [25,27,28]
At 6-weeks: RUSH <8 predicts nonunion
with 80% specificity and 75% sensitivity
[27]
RUSS [29] Unknown (all fractures united) [29] Substantial inter-/intra-observer reliability Superimposed hardware interferes with
[29] scoring [29]

score predicted increased probability of reoperation and for every nonunion and all fractures in this cohort were considered “healed”
1 unit, 2 units and 5 units decrease in RUSH score, the probabil- after 100 days. Therefore, it is questionable if such a system may
ity increased by 8%, 16% and 45% respectively. Similarly, for the 6- be useful in terms of predicting nonunion, but rather, it may be
month mark, for every 1, 2 and 5 units the increased probability rather used for objectively following fracture healing and for re-
of reoperation was 2%, 5% and 14%. In both cases, these were inde- search purposes.
pendent of fracture displacement or age. The RUSH score has been
applied to intertrochanteric fractures [24] and there was increased
inter-observer agreement between orthopedic surgeons and radiol- Conclusion
ogists. However, no prediction thresholds were reported.
Historically, the radiographic determination of bone healing has
RUST score for diaphyseal humerus fractures: Also known as been problematic. The advent of radiographic scoring systems is
RHUM [25,26] or RUSHU [27] certainly an important advancement which shows promise. Most
of them have substantial inter- and intra-observer reliabilities.
The RUST score has been applied to diaphyseal humerus frac- However, there are still significant challenges (Table 1). There are
tures treated conservatively [25–28], and has also been named very few studies that have established thresholds to predict future
“RHUM” [25,26] or “RUSHU” [27] score, with a substantial to near- nonunion, and these are not provided for all scoring systems devel-
perfect interobserver and intraobserver agreements [25,27,28]. A oped to date. Further research, with large cohorts is needed to con-
RHUM score of 10 had an excellent probability for any observer firm them and establish newer thresholds at different time-points.
to consider the fracture healed [25]. In 36 patients with humeral Most studies look at one method of fixation and reliabilities have
shaft fractures treated conservatively, chosen at a 3:1 ratio of not been established for other fixation methods. Some studies look
union/nonunion, matched for age and gender, a RHUM score at 12 at heterogenous patient populations and therefore results may be
weeks of less than 7 predicted nonunion in all cases. Intermedi- prone to bias and conclusions may be difficult to extract for a par-
ate scores of 7-8 had a 43% chance of healing, whereas all patients ticular group of patients, secondary to those limitations. Future en-
with RHUM scores higher than 8 healed. Another study showed deavors may be directed towards developing scores for other com-
that at 6 weeks, there was substantial to near-perfect intra- and monly encountered fractures, particularly areas that are notorious
inter-observer agreement and using ROC curves they showed that for their tenuous blood supply including the scaphoid, talus, nav-
a cut-off of <8 showed a specificity of 0.80 and sensitivity of 0.75 icular, and proximal fifth metatarsal. Finally, as far as predicting
for predicting union [27]. non-union, the above systems should be further investigated and
validated and their use in that respect should be cautious and be
RUSS (Radius Union Scoring System) supplemented by clinical judgement and laboratory data on a case-
by-case basis.
Looking at distal radius fractures non-union, treated conserva-
tively versus volar plating, Patel and al. [29] developed the RUSS
score which is the sum of 4 cortical scores obtained through AP Declaration of Competing Interest
and lateral radiographs. For each cortex: A score of zero indicates
a visible fracture line and no callus; 1 point if there is callus but No benefits in any form have been received or will be received
the fracture line is visible, and 2 points if there is bridging callus from a commercial party related directly or indirectly to the sub-
and no fracture line visible. Therefore, the minimum score is 0 and ject of this article.
the maximum is 8. There was substantial intra-observer reliabil-
ity, however the inter-observer reliability was substantial and mod-
erate for non-operative and operative fractures respectively and George D. Chloros, MD
hardware obscuring the cortices was interfering with the scoring. Academic Department of Trauma and Orthopaedics,
It can be argued that the distal radius is not a common site of School of Medicine, University of Leeds, United Kingdom
Editorial / Injury 51 (2020) 1693–1695 1695

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