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Financial Markets I Final Project Rubric: Need Improvement Meets Expectations Exceptional
Financial Markets I Final Project Rubric: Need Improvement Meets Expectations Exceptional
Forecast Oil Price 1. Download data about oil price 1. Download data about oil 1. Download data about oil
Evolution evolution from Quandl. price evolution from Quandl. price evolution from
Download in Excel format. Download in Excel format Quandl. Download in Excel
2. Make an Excel graph with oil 2. Make an Excel graph with oil format.
price evolution price evolution 2. Make an Excel graph with
3. Identify a possible trend 3. Identify a possible trend oil price evolution
150 pts 4. Calculate MIN, MAX and 4. Calculate MIN, MAX and 3. Identify a possible trend
AVERAGE oil price AVERAGE oil price 4. Calculate MIN, MAX and
5. Incorrect or incomplete 5. Factors that influenced oil AVERAGE oil price
information about factors that price evolution 5. Factors that influenced oil
influenced oil price evolution 6. Strategy for oil trading price evolution
6. Incomplete strategy for 7. Provides forecasts based on 6. Strategy for oil trading
projecting oil price evolution its expert judgement 7. Provides forecasts based on
7. Does not provide forecasts 8. Forecasts oil price evolution its expert judgement
based on his expert judgement using Excel. Implements a 8. Forecasts oil price
8. Does not provide a final regression, moving average, evolution using Excel.
forecast using Excel models or trendline or other statistical Implements a regression,
functions methods moving average, trend line
9. The final forecast is far from 9. 0.10< ((forecasted value – or other statistical methods
the real value. real value)/forecasted value) 9. ((forecasted value – real
10. ((forecasted value – real < 0.25 value)/forecasted value) <
value)/forecasted value) > 0.10
0.25 10. Combines with success its
expert judgment and Excel
forecasts
11. Forecasts oil price using
VBA