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Financial Markets I Final Project Rubric

% Pts <69% 70- 89% >90%

Need Improvement Meets Expectations Exceptional


Option Pricing Black Scholes Model Black Scholes Model Black Scholes Model
in Excel 1. Basic knowledge about Excel 1. Basic knowledge about Excel 1. Basic knowledge about
(open/close/save a file). Excel
2. Introduce data into the Excel
2. Introduce data into the Excel file 2. Introduce data into the
file Excel file
3. Introduce data about the
150 pts 3. Introduce data about the parameters of Black-Scholes 3. Introduce data about the
parameters of Black-Scholes model: stock price, exercise parameters of Black-
model: stock price, exercise price, volatility, risk free rate Scholes model: stock price,
price, volatility, risk free rate and maturity exercise price, volatility,
and maturity risk free rate and maturity
4. Obtain d1 and d2 parameters
4. Obtain d1 and d2 parameters dynamically by using a 4. Obtain d1 and d2
dynamically by using a formula that includes the parameters dynamically by
formula that includes the following Excel functions: using a formula that
following Excel functions: LN, LN, SQRT, / and +. includes the following
SQRT, / and +. Excel functions: LN, SQRT,
5. Obtain N(d1), N(d2), N(-d1)
/ and +.
5. Incorrect or incomplete and N(-d2) parameters using
information about N(d1), NORM.S.DIST Excel function 5. Obtain N(d1), N(d2), N(-
N(d2), N(-d1) and N(-d2). d1) and N(-d2) parameters
6. Obtain the call and put
Does not know NORM.S.DIST using NORM.S.DIST Excel
option prices by applying the
Excel function function
formula in Excel. Know how
6. Incorrect or incomplete to use EXP function. 6. Obtain the call and put
formulas about call and put option prices by applying
option prices. 7. Search Microsoft stock price the formula in Excel. Know
information on Yahoo how to use EXP function.
7. Search Microsoft stock price Finance
information on Yahoo Finance 7. Search Microsoft stock
8. Introduce the specified
price information on Yahoo
8. Introduce the specified parameters in Excel (point 2)
Finance
parameters in Excel (point 2)
9. Obtain the call and put
8. Introduce the specified
9. Incorrect or incomplete option prices as required in parameters in Excel (point
information about call and put point 2
2)
option price
9. Obtain the call and put
option prices as required in
point 2
Binomial Option Pricing
Binomial Option Pricing Model Model in Excel 10. Provides other solution for
implementing Black-
in Excel Scholes Model than the one
indicated the example file

1. Introduce the parameters of 11. Implements Black Scholes


1. Introduce the parameters of BOPM in Excel: stock price, Model in VBA
BOPM in Excel: stock price, exercise price, volatility, risk
exercise price, volatility, risk free rate and maturity
free rate and maturity
2. Calculate upward movement Binomial Option Pricing
2. Calculate upward movement (u) and downward movement
(u) and downward movement (d) using EXP, SQRT and / Model in Excel
(d) using EXP and SQRT and / functions.
functions.
% Pts <69% 70- 89% >90%
3. Calculate probability of 3. Calculate probability of
upward movement (Pu) and upward movement (Pu) and 1. Introduce the parameters
of BOPM in Excel: stock
probability of downward probability of downward
price, exercise price,
movement (Pd) using EXP, * movement (Pd) using EXP, *
volatility, risk free rate and
and – functions and - functions
maturity
4. Calculate the simulated stock 4. Calculate the simulated stock
2. Calculate upward
price considering the upward price considering the upward
movement. Use EXP function movement. Use EXP function movement (u) and
downward movement (d)
5. Calculate the simulated stock 5. Calculate the simulated stock using EXP, SQRT and /
price considering downward price considering downward functions.
movement. movement.
3. Calculate probability of
6. Calculate payoffs. Use MAX 6. Calculate payoffs. Use MAX upward movement (Pu)
function function and probability of
downward movement (Pd)
7. Incorrect or incomplete call 7. Obtain call and put option using EXP, * and -
and put option price according price using BOPM functions
to BOPM model
8. 4. Calculate the simulated
stock price considering the
upward movement. Use
EXP function
5. Calculate the simulated
stock price considering
downward movement.
6. Calculate payoffs. Use
MAX function
7. Obtain call and put option
price using BOPM
8. Implements BOPM in VBA
% Pts <69% 70- 89% >90%

Forecast Oil Price 1. Download data about oil price 1. Download data about oil 1. Download data about oil
Evolution evolution from Quandl. price evolution from Quandl. price evolution from
Download in Excel format. Download in Excel format Quandl. Download in Excel
2. Make an Excel graph with oil 2. Make an Excel graph with oil format.
price evolution price evolution 2. Make an Excel graph with
3. Identify a possible trend 3. Identify a possible trend oil price evolution
150 pts 4. Calculate MIN, MAX and 4. Calculate MIN, MAX and 3. Identify a possible trend
AVERAGE oil price AVERAGE oil price 4. Calculate MIN, MAX and
5. Incorrect or incomplete 5. Factors that influenced oil AVERAGE oil price
information about factors that price evolution 5. Factors that influenced oil
influenced oil price evolution 6. Strategy for oil trading price evolution
6. Incomplete strategy for 7. Provides forecasts based on 6. Strategy for oil trading
projecting oil price evolution its expert judgement 7. Provides forecasts based on
7. Does not provide forecasts 8. Forecasts oil price evolution its expert judgement
based on his expert judgement using Excel. Implements a 8. Forecasts oil price
8. Does not provide a final regression, moving average, evolution using Excel.
forecast using Excel models or trendline or other statistical Implements a regression,
functions methods moving average, trend line
9. The final forecast is far from 9. 0.10< ((forecasted value – or other statistical methods
the real value. real value)/forecasted value) 9. ((forecasted value – real
10. ((forecasted value – real < 0.25 value)/forecasted value) <
value)/forecasted value) > 0.10
0.25 10. Combines with success its
expert judgment and Excel
forecasts
11. Forecasts oil price using
VBA

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