Global Capital is back

2022 Global Investor Outlook Report

Global Capital Markets

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS
Global capital is back
The key trends shaping global real estate
investment markets in the year ahead include:
as pandemic-related Investing with intent. Social and environmental trends
are a clear priority, increasingly woven into long-term
uncertainty and travel
investment strategies and performance targets. We expect
environmental attributes and asset performance to drive
market turnover as investors re-calibrate their assets
restrictions remain in flux. under management. Three quarters of investors surveyed
globally are taking action, with at least 25% in advanced
planning stages on whether to hold or dispose assets. Social
trends point to affordable housing as a significant growth
In 2021, real assets - across all property asset classes - played an increasingly
opportunity globally when expertly managed.
prominent role in global investment strategies in a show of impressive
resilience. Looking ahead, property will continue to demonstrate a strong The race to core assets. As investors upgrade and
investment trajectory amid less-than-ideal conditions, with investment future-proof their portfolios, the race to core will impact
volumes set to match the 5 year average. asset pricing. An estimated 1% of global office assets meet
Net Zero standards, yet core-plus offices in major cities top
As investors race to deploy capital in 2022, they face an increasingly complex the global strategy pick, with 60% of investors confirming
and competitive marketplace, buoyed by multiple growth opportunities in this as preference. This investment-demand versus supply
expanding economies and populations. New regulations and legislation - imbalance correlates with the consensus that core offices
will increase in value up to, or more than 10% over the next
particularly regarding ESG – will continue to shape the investment
12 months. Current yield/cap rates for offices in many major
landscape and decision-making process.
cities price them at a discount to other asset types, making
offices a compelling route to deploy capital at scale. Tier-1
global markets of London, New York, Tokyo, and Paris top
the wish-list.
How low can you go? As competition for core assets heat
Tony Horrell Damian Harrington
up, investors should not be surprised to be outbid. The
Head of Global Capital Markets Director, Head of Research,
& CEO UK & Ireland Global Capital Markets & EMEA recalibration of portfolios will also likely result in a wave
of non-conforming assets coming to market creating an
Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report
CONTACT US 2
impetus for investors to dispose early before discounted
prices take hold. Yet to be seen is how deeply prices will be
discounted and how the cost of retro-fitting will accentuate
a shift in pricing. Large bid-ask spreads is likely to diminish
market activity short-term, but we expect markets to
reconcile on pricing by 2023.
Rising construction costs the primary market
constraint. In addition to impacting cost and the ability
to retro-fit, the constrained supply of materials and labour
creates positive and negative impacts. On a negative note, it
will delay production of new supply and product. On a more
positive note, it will limit space availability just as occupier
demand is expanding, strengthening core and core-plus
asset values in particular. It will also accelerate modern
methods of construction, adding an extra dimension to the
race to create the new core and stimulate joint venture and
M&A activity.
Partnership is key to diversified portfolios.
Investors are looking for more ways to fortify and
diversify their portfolios, turning to specialised assets like
data centres, life science facilities, affordable and student
housing. The path to success for investors will come from
effective joint ventures with partners that have operational
knowledge, local expertise and skills in related sectors and
assets.
We look forward to extending partnerships with our
clients throughout the year ahead, applying our knowledge
and expertise to ensure the success of their strategies as
the property investment landscape is redefined.
 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 3

Background
The second edition of our annual outlook for global property investors is again based on a focused
survey undertaken by 300+ investors across the globe and in-depth interviews with our regional Capital
Markets leaders. The findings and opinions featured in this report are shaped by their responses.

1.5%
In what regions is your
8.2% How do you manage company considering new
and deploy capital?* investment in 2022?
10.8%

Direct
What is your 90.3%
41.6%
11.9% company type? Indirect
31.2%

Platform: Joint Venture EMEA

33%
12.6%
29.9% Americas
13.4%

Separate Accounts 32% APAC

35%
Investment Manager 22.8%
Other (e.g. Developer) Platform: Mergers & Acquisitions
Listed Property Company (e.g. REIT)
13.8%
Institution (e.g. Pension Fund, Insurance Company, Sovereign Wealth Fund)
Private Equity
*This chart represents how often each selection was chosen relative to total responses provided.
Private Investor / Family Office / Family Trust For each selection, the % figure indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this
specific selection, whereby each investor could choose multiple answers.
Lender (e.g. Bank, Debt Fund)

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 Global View
2022 Global Key Themes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 02

Global Capital Markets Regional Views

2022 Investor Outlook
Asia Pacific Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13

What’s
Europe, Middle East, Africa Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

The Americas Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

inside? Recommendations
Key Takeaways . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41

Colliers Contacts
Contact Us . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 2

2022 Global Key Themes

Report Contributors

Tony Horrell Chris Pilgrim Damian Harrington

Head of Global Capital Markets Director, Director, Head of Research,
& CEO UK & Ireland Global Capital Markets Global Capital Markets & EMEA
INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 3

Across the globe, investors are bullish

on economic growth prospects for 2022
2022 is likely to be a benchmark year for the industry as global capital activity increases and economies stabilise and expand.

Investors are markedly positive on property market fundamentals, supporting high real estate allocations across the Americas, Asia Pacific (APAC), and
Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA). This demonstrates the continued allure of the asset class, enabling 2022 investment volumes to at least
match those of 2021. There has been a rapid acceleration in the number of transactions closing in Q3, that is expected to continue well into 2022.

“Global capital is back and 2022 should be turbocharged in terms of dry

powder looking to act. Both domestically and cross border we’re going to
see real growth of major transactions across all key sectors.”
- Tony Horrell, Head of Global Capital Markets & CEO UK & Ireland

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 4

Global Challenges
Positive vs. Negative

_ _ _
+ + +

Economic Rental Rising Rising Construction COVID-19 Travel

Growth Growth Inflation Costs Return to Workplace Restrictions
Uncertainty

Rising construction costs, travel and mobility restrictions top the list of challenges.

The rising cost of construction is the major global
concern, cited by 80% of investors. This was ahead of city
mobility and travel restrictions resulting from the COVID-19
pandemic, which featured as a major negative factor for
60% of investors.
Given the strong appetite for development, and the
growing need to retrofit and repurpose existing stock,
rising construction costs are clearly weighing heavily
on investors minds. However, tightening supply side
conditions should reinforce existing values, particularly
for core assets. Equally, existing bottlenecks should drive
the acceleration of modern methods of construction as a
means of bringing more sustainable, energy efficient and
emission compliant product to market.
While construction costs topped the list of concerns, rising
rates of core inflation was viewed with more positivity.
This reflects the ability of standing assets to act as an
inflation hedge. That said, a strong number of investors
were concerned that rising interest rates would impact the
cost of debt.
Government policy and regulations were also high on
the list of concerns, covering a range of factors from local
lockdown protocols to tax hikes.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 5

Growing focus beyond financials:

sustainability no longer a “nice to have”
Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG)
considerations, particularly environmental ones,
are prominent on the investor agenda, with three
quarters of investors integrating Environmental
factors into their strategies.
Some 21% are in the consideration stage, with
only 4% considering it as not applicable to them.
Investors are also largely unconvinced so far that
ESG-compliant assets are likely to command a
significant (i.e. over 5%) price premium, except in reporting,” says Damian Harrington, Director, Head
the office segment, where expectations are higher. of Research for Global Capital Markets & EMEA.
“But a lot more technical clarity is needed in
Sentiment is clear that more progress is needed
terms of asset characteristics. That should come
on standards and performance metrics for ESG
by mid-2022 in Europe which is at the sharp-end
integration to reach the next stage. “More explicit
of this, but we expect global markets to become
rules and standards are key to driving further ESG
more aligned in due course. Clarity will give the
adoption, particularly among smaller investors,
markets more certainty in terms of the CAPEX
as the major institutional investors are already
required and impact on values, driving activity.”
quite advanced when it comes to integration and

Does your ESG strategy alter by region? Specified Focus: 6% 14% 14%
29%
Yes 11% Strong focus
39% 15% The
APAC EMEA
Americas
Some focus
56%
71%
No 89%
No focus 57%
 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 6

Do you expect ESG compliant assets to achieve a value If you answered I don’t
premium over the next three years in the following sectors? know, please explain why:

40%

35%

30% 28%
25%
20%
25% 17%

11%
20%

15%

10% There are no clear guidelines determining

what ESG compliant assets are or need to be

5%
There is no effective benchmarking
system in the markets in which I operate
0%
20% + 15 to 20% 10 to 15% 5 to 10% 0 to 5% No diffe rence I don't know I don’t think there is a need to
categorise assets as ESG compliant

I expect to see a discount on

non-compliant ESG assets
Industrial Multifamily
Office Retail Hotel
& Logistics / BTR
Other

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 7

Environmental Factors Social Factors Governance

Are you taking action on the
environmental performance of your assets?
A capital improvement, disposal and
acquisition strategy is in place to meet
environmental asset performance targets
10%
To what degree does the health and How well established is the Governance in
wellness profile of your assets factor your company, to manage and integrate
into investment decisions?  E&S factors into your overall strategy?
We always consider certifications such as WELL ESG Governance benchmarks, disclosure and
or Fitwell to benchmark and manage our assets reporting in place

All assets have been assessed in terms of their 17% 48%

energy efficiency and emissions performance
We are beginning to make measurements on Only a consideration, yet to decide on benchmarks
30% this topic to adopt to drive our ESG Governance

Currently being integrated, with new protocols 38% 43%

& performance benchmarks established
Only a consideration, yet to be integrated into Not applicable
34% investment decisions
9%
Only a consideration, yet to be integrated into 35%
business operations 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Not applicable
21%
10% Percentage (%)

Not applicable
4% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Percentage (%)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Percentage (%)

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 8

Alternatives edge further into the mainstream

In a low-yield environment, investor appetite for specialised assets such as data centres, social
housing and life science facilities is set to rise as investors venture further in search of product and
yield. Investors are bullish on these assets because of their connection to demographic and economic
trends. However, activity is likely to be limited by the specialised knowledge and strategic alliances needed
to invest successfully in these sectors, which also tend to cluster geographically around key nodes of
expertise and infrastructure. Successfully deploying capital tends to be dependent on strong local
partnerships, M&A activity or relationships with best-in-class operators.

Big deals, platforms and local JVs in favour

A major potential growth constraint to activity in 2022 is a lack of product, as there’s still too much
money chasing too few deals. This tends to favour consolidation, development and larger players, and
there is a belief that M&A activity will expand in real estate as investors look to get scale quickly.

Engaging with local expertise in specific sectors is also proving effective to source product and
enhance returns, and the survey highlights that this strategy as a means to deploy capital is clearly
on the rise.

“We expect to see an increase in both capital

consolidation and JV platform investment globally in
2022. The huge demand for AUM growth, means there
will be an insatiable appetite for consolidation within
the REIT and fund management market.”
- Chris Pilgrim, Director, Global Capital Markets

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 9

Industrial and logistics shines

Industrial and Logistics (I&L) is the sector attracting the most investor
attention overall, and the survey indicates the sector is competing with,
or even outpacing, offices as the top target of investors in economic hubs
such as New York, Tokyo, Amsterdam and Sydney.

Appetite for this asset class is intimately connected to the ongoing digitalisation of consumption, and increasingly
the best-shoring of global supply chains. This means there are ample opportunities in the sector despite
concerns about capital overcrowding, although too much capital appears to be oriented towards last-mile.

“The UK is ahead of the curve as a market in terms of its e-commerce penetration, which means there’s a
huge amount of growth that’s still coming across global locations. A lot of it is going to be related to how
logistics rebalances with retail, and the extent to which retail assets are going to be used for fulfilment.“

- Damian Harrington, Director, Head of Research, Global Capital Markets & EMEA

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 10

Office sector retains allure

“Offices have effectively been
Core office assets in tier-1 cities like London, New York and Paris continue to be
subjected to the greatest the top pick of investors in these deep and diverse, global cities, as recently evidenced
by the resurgence in the trading of trophy assets and developments. This underlines
modern-day experiment that that agile work policies won’t reduce demand for office space overall, especially at the
upper end of the market where occupational densities have been tight.
could have been created in
the laboratory. Companies Residential diversification
will occupy offices in different There is also notable optimism surrounding the broader range of residential
opportunities differentiated by cities’ varying demographic, economic and policy
ways, but that doesn’t mean conditions. From student housing to single-family rentals and senior living, the
sector offers investors several routes to market.
in our view that any less space As more people opt to rent rather than buy homes, multifamily/BTR residential

is needed, and the long-term is emerging as another clear zone of potential, with the survey showing robust
appetite for both core/core-plus and development projects in major urban centres.

trend for offices is still positive.” “In the U.S. over the last 12 months, this sector is around 40% of all volumes,
and that’s a highly developed market relative to places like the UK and
- Tony Horrell, Head of Global Capital Markets & CEO UK & Ireland Australia,” Pilgrim explains. “That points to huge future growth potential.
It’s seen more and more as an institutional-grade investment.”

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 11

Retail repositioning
Appetite for retail is bifurcated. Food/grocery anchored convenience assets are proving to be the
most sought-after asset type across all three global regions. Recent market activity also demonstrates
that e-resilient luxury-backed assets are helping to satisfy investor demand across the globe, with
Australia recently witnessing some of the biggest high-end retail destination deals in its history.
Activity is likely to be concentrated at these opposing ends of the retail spectrum, but with growing interest
in repositioning existing mainstream retail assets that are more vulnerable to e-commerce.

“There are compelling repurposing opportunities available in retail –

for example from malls into last-mile logistics, or even mixed-use
assets combining medical services and flexible offices.”
- Tony Horrell, Head of Global Capital Markets & CEO UK & Ireland

Hotels behind on the comeback trail

Though investor sentiment for hotels is viewed as less positive overall, recovery
expectations and investment activity is already evident in some markets and
segments with prices perceived as closer to fair-value levels.

Activity in 2022 is likely to be concentrated in markets where domestic consumption

and a travel rebound is already evident, such as Europe and the U.S.

“At the beginning of the year there was a real spread in the bid-ask; what investors wanted to
pay and what vendors wanted to sell for,” says Harrington. “That’s started to move into more
realistic levels, which suggests more transactional activity going into 2022.”

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 12

Top 20 locations by popularity

Alternate destinations on the radar, 20% n odnoL

London
16% sDallas
allaD

even with tier-1 markets back in favour

15% kNew
roY wYork
eN

15% A L Angeles
Los
15% m adretsmA
Amsterdam
14% sParis
iraP

14% K U oUK
r/o /r
Although investors continue to focus on well-established centres like London, n ilreB
14% Berlin
New York, Tokyo and Sydney, fast-growing metropolitan areas such as Dallas 14% hcinuM
Munich
14% o ykoT
Tokyo
are moving up the rankings.
13% notsoB
Boston
12% tFrankfurt
rufknarF
Cities like Dallas present a stack of sector opportunities. Demographics and 12% ySydney
endyS

growth are driving record volumes in the Southeast and Southwest U.S., 12% eSingapore
ropagniS

12% n arFnFrancisco
San aS
amid significant migration to the Sunbelt. Dallas in particular is also 12% eMelbourne
nruobleM

a notable U.S. hotspot for investors pursuing core and development 12% yr/o
namGermany
reG o/r

12% Copenhagen
negahnepoC
strategies for big-box and light industrial/flex assets. It has also 11% Washington,
C D notgnihsaWD.C.

become a preferred location for multifamily. 11% Stockholm

m lohkcotS

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 13

APAC Outlook
Report Contributors

Terence Tang John Marasco Nicholas Wilson

Managing Director, Capital Markets Managing Director, Capital Markets Director, Head of Research
& Investment Services, Asia & Investment Services, Australia & New Zealand Capital Markets & Investment Services, Asia
 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 14

Tokyo, Japan is the

#1 location to invest

Unprecedented year expected

in during 2022

as pent-up demand unleashed

2022 is likely to be a standout year for the APAC region, according to Colliers experts, with more investors prepared
to put ambitious plans into action after a year in which there was less progress on reopening than expected.

“2022 will be the year investors start to make big decisions around asset classes and whether they diversify,” The top three sectors investors are
says John Marasco, Managing Director, Capital Markets & Investment Services, Australia & New Zealand. most likely to invest in during 2022*

“While 2021 was strong in terms of turnover, it was disappointing in that there were higher expectations for the
return of travel and business activity. Once borders open up and more people return to the office it will be easier to
70% 62% 34%
determine demand – and that will drive investment... 2022 will be a redefining year, because it will set new standards,
and see increased global capital flows. Organisations can then start to make decisions for the medium term.”
Industrial & Office Multifamily
Logistics / BTR

“With pent-up demand from investors, buoyed by ample liquidity in the markets *These charts represents how often each asset class was chosen relative to
total responses provided. For each asset class, the % figure indicates the
such as South Korea and Singapore, demand for commercial assets will continue, percentage of investors surveyed who chose this specific sector, whereby
each investor could choose multiple asset classes.

with investment activities picking up and improving throughout 2022.”

- Terence Tang, Managing Director, Capital Markets & Investment Services, Asia

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 15

“2022 will be a redefining year, because it will

set new standards, and see increased global
capital flows. Organisations can then start to
make decisions for the medium term.”
- John Marasco, Managing Director, Capital Markets & Investment Services, Australia & New Zealand

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 16

I&L assets are the most sought-after in APAC overall, according to the survey, with sky-high
expectations for appreciation. Over 20% of investors anticipate 10-20% capital value gains in value-add Industrial & logistics interest by risk profile*
I&L assets this year, versus 9% expecting the same in value-add offices, with I&L growth supported by
Core-Plus 58%
tailwinds and large-scale economic transformation.
Development 54%

Core
Diving into development 53%

Value-Add 43%
While the focus on I&L is on core/core-plus assets, investors are also increasingly eyeing development
Opportunistic 21%
opportunities, with over half of likely I&L investors keen to explore this category - particularly in the
Debt 10%
big-box/last-mile distribution sectors as these are closely tied to e-commerce trends. “The surge in
e-commerce globally, with Asia Pacific leading this growth, as a result of a burgeoning consumer *This chart represents how often each risk profile was chosen relative to total responses provided. For each
risk profile, the % figure indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this specific risk profile,
class in the region connecting and transacting online, has created new opportunities for growth whereby each investor could choose multiple profiles.

and property investment in many key gateway cities,” says Tang.

Types of industrial & logistics assets investors intend to invest in during 2022, in APAC.*

Last-Mile Distribution
Last-Mile Distribution 78%

Big-Box
Big Box // Warehouse
Warehouse 75%

Cold // Dark
Cold DarkStorage
Storage 52%

Light Industrial
Light Industrial//Flex
Flex 30%

Industrial Park Industrial Park /

/ Manufacturing 30%
Manufacturing

Container
Container Terminal Terminal
(Truck Park) 10%
(Truck Park)

Other (Please Specify)

Other 3%

*The chart represents how often each I&L asset was chosen relative to total responses provided. For each I&L asset, the % figure indicates
the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this specific I&L asset, whereby each investor could choose multiple assets.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 17

Notwithstanding surging appetite for I&L assets, significant interest continues to Office interest by risk profile*
surround core-plus offices, which remain the most popular asset class for regional Core-Plus
63%
investors in tier-1 cities like Singapore, Sydney and Tokyo, with 63% of respondents
Core
planning to invest in these assets versus 54% last year. This signals confidence in
Four most popular 60%
locations for office*
both the stability and capital growth prospects of these markets, despite growing Value-Add
experimentation with remote and hybrid working models. 53%
Development
Marasco notes a major flight to quality is evident in markets like Australia, with 31%
ESG becoming a more important consideration. More investors are also following Opportunistic
the shift to decentralised offices, business parks and flex/coworking spaces. “Many 30%
Debt
office building owners/landlords are working closely with coworking platforms
7%
to cater to a growing demand for flex space,” says Tang. “In cities such as
Shanghai, Hong Kong and Singapore, we’ve also seen growing demand for business
Multifamily/BTR interest
parks. Overall it’s a remarkably resilient asset class.” by risk profile*
Core

“BTR is essentially following the development of new 57%

Development
infrastructure, which is a strategy we recommend across all 49%
Tokyo Singapore
asset classes,” Marasco says. “You need to look at what and Core-Plus

31% 29% where governments are building, the fundamentals of the Value-Add
46%

land and invest in assets you can repurpose if required.” 44%

Opportunistic
19%
Sydney Melbourne
Multifamily/BTR is also an increasingly sought-after asset class, with investors
29% 26% targeting both core and development projects. Nicholas Wilson, Director and Head
Debt
10%
of Research, Capital Markets, Asia, believes this trend is connected to the different
*These charts represents how often each risk
propositions presented by markets like Japan, where the sector is well-established profile was chosen relative to total responses
provided. For each risk profile, the % figure
*This figure shows the percentage of survey respondents who expressed a preference for the Office and has long attracted foreign core capital, and Australia, where it’s an emerging indicates the percentage of investors surveyed
asset class in the four most popular cities. Since the respondents were free to express a preference who chose this specific risk profile, whereby each
for Offices in more than one city, it does not represent the percentage of total preferences expressed. asset class with development opportunities. investor could choose multiple profiles.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 18

Retail is a target Hotels are also an opportunistic target, with 38% of investors looking at
this sector. Tang highlighted that both hotel and retail sectors offer good

for opportunistic
opportunities in cities with large domestic markets, like Japan, Australia and
Korea. “However, bid-ask spreads still need to narrow a bit,” says Wilson.

investments
The tougher approach to the pandemic adopted by many
APAC markets is likely to remain a headwind for retail in 2022.
However the survey shows investors see significant potential
for appreciation and repurposing of retail assets. Around a
third of the investors mulling retail allocations are targeting
opportunistic (including change of use) investments.

Grocery / Supermarkets / Convenience

56%

Out of Town Shopping Centres / Malls

48%

Reposition / Change of Use

48%

CBD / High Street Retail

44%

Retail Park / Power Centre

19%

*The chart represents how often each retail asset was chosen relative to total responses provided.
For each retail asset, the % figure indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this
specific retail asset, whereby each investor could choose multiple assets.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 19

Interest in specialised assets by type Specialised assets, particularly data centres, life sciences in most Asian markets, as investors seek new avenues of
and healthcare, are expected to help boost investment growth and returns amid the changes brought about by
Data Centres
volumes in 2022, with student housing also poised for a ongoing technological evolution and healthcare needs,”
17%
comeback as Australia, the region’s main market, opens up he says. “However, investors would need to work closely
Student Housing to international visitors. “2022 will also be a benchmark year with operators and relevant experts to identify the right
14%
for healthcare, which is the only sector where we’re seeing opportunities in order to extract returns from these
Life Sciences / Lab really long-term leasing commitments,” Marasco notes. specialised asset classes, which will be expected to become
12% highly competitive.”
Tang notes these assets can require a different approach.
Senior Housing / Retirement Living
“This interest in alternative assets will continue to grow
9%

Self Storage

8%

Secondary Healthcare (Hospitals)

8%

Primary Healthcare (Doctors / Pharmacy)

8% Specialised assets,
Education particularly data centres,
7%
life sciences and healthcare,
Affordable / Social Housing are expected to help boost
7%
investment volumes in 2022.
Build-to-Sell Residential

5%

Single-Family Rental

4%

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 20

“Optimism across the Asia Pacific region continues to

gather momentum and investors have a clear appetite
to expand their portfolios. Transaction volumes are
recovering back to their pre-COVID highs, and asset
operating performances remain in a cyclical upswing.”
- Terence Tang, Managing Director, Capital Markets & Investment Services, Asia

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 21

ESG has become a strong focus in APAC as in Europe, according

to Marasco it’s increasingly seen as a means of future-proofing
assets, and will soon be a priority in the office sector as
government and corporate tenants pressure owners to get their
ratings up. Wilson notes sustainability could also impact the
way investors look at the alternatives space.

“There’s a dilemma in
the sense that some of
the best performing
asset classes, like data
centres, are extremely
resource intensive,”
Wilson says.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 22

The research found investors to be sanguine when it comes
to economic risks, with the vast majority expecting economic
growth to be a positive rather than a negative factor, and
inflation also viewed more positively than negatively.
“Investors have realised the pandemic is at heart a
health, not an economic, crisis,” says Marasco.
That said, with many regional borders still closed, pandemic-
related issues remain a significant concern. Travel
restrictions and return to work uncertainty are cited as
the biggest risk factors next year. Rising construction costs
and a shortage of viable product are also flagged as issues,
reflecting the depth of capital waiting to be deployed.
These worries also speak to bottled-up demand and delayed “2022 will be an exciting year, and we are
transactions that will translate into momentum throughout confident investment volumes will pick up across
2022. “In Australia cross border investment is still roughly in almost all major markets and sectors, as capital
line with previous years, but we’re likely to see it return in a
flowing into real estate asset strategies continue
big way to markets where it’s declined noticeably, like China
to increase.”
and Korea,” says Wilson.
- Terence Tang, Managing Director, Capital Markets & Investment
“Global economic recovery is expected to pick up further
Services, Asia
momentum in the new year,” says Tang. “Investors,
bolstered by improving sentiment, swelling amounts of
Click here to view the full APAC 2022 Investor Survey Results
liquidity in the market, low interest rates and confidence
in governments who are proactively supporting economic
growth and infrastructure development, will be looking to
an array of viable opportunities.”

Macro Factors Positive Impact No Impact Negative Impact Market Factors

84% 86%
80% 74% 74% 80%
63%
60% 54% 53% 60% 56% 54%
47%
41% 39% 38% 38% 33% 40%
40% 35% 36% 35% 40% 33% 34%
32% 32%
27%
24% 21% 24% 24%
19% 19% 21%
20% 20% 15% 14% 13%
10% 12% 11%
8% 9% 8% 8%
3%
0% 0%
Rising Inflation Currency Economic Growth Travel Restrictions COVID-19 / Return Government Market liquidity Availability of Tenant solvency Rental growth Availability of Cost of debt Asset Rising
Rising Currency
Fluctuation Economic Travel COVID-19 / Return
to Office Government
Policies & Market Availability
product Tenant Rental Availability
debt Cost Asset
sustainability Rising
construction
Inflation Fluctuation Growth Restrictions toUncertainty
Workplace Policies &
Regulations Liquidity of Product Solvency Growth of Debt of Debt compliance Construction
Sustainability costs
Uncertainty Regulations Compliance Costs
The % figure represents the percentage of investors surveyed who chose
these specific response as a key market and macro challenge.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 23

EMEA Outlook
Report Contributors

Luke Dawson Richard Divall Andrew Thomas Christian Kadel Damian Harrington
Managing Director, EMEA Director, EMEA Head of International Head of Capital Markets, Director, Head of Research,
Cross Border Capital Markets Cross Border Capital Markets Capital Markets, London Germany Global Capital Markets & EMEA
INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 24

Optimism surrounds
prospects for property,
despite broader macro London, UK is the
#1 location to invest
in during 2022

uncertainty
Despite the sporadic pace of reopening and recovery, 2021 proved to be a resilient "On a European level, we’re seeing a lot of buyers
year for the EMEA market, particularly for trophy assets in prime locations.
looking to build up a platform, so that when they
Further growth in volumes and activity is expected in 2022 as work and travel edge
back towards pre-pandemic normality, even if this progress is at times fitful. reach the next level of maturity they're in a position
where they can almost see a premium return just
The top three
sectors investors are Industrial & Multifamily
by virtue of their scale."
most likely to invest 69% Logistics
57% Office 40% / BTR
in during 2022* - Luke Dawson, Managing Director, EMEA Cross Border Capital Markets

*These charts represents how often each asset class was chosen relative to total responses provided. For each asset class, the % figure
indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this specific sector, whereby each investor could choose multiple asset classes.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES
Great expectations for Industrial & Logistics (I&L)
Investor interest in I&L is exceeding interest in
offices in major European economic hubs such
as Amsterdam, Frankfurt and Madrid, and the
asset class remains in high demand in UK markets
outside of London.
Overall, investors have high capital appreciation
expectations for the I&L segment in 2022 -
ahead of all other sectors. Over one-third (35%)
of those interested in I&L expect gains of at least
10% in the core and core-plus categories, with
almost the same proportion (28%) expecting the
same for value-add.
Given the low vacancy rates across European
markets are now below 5% on average, coupled
with growing demand and a lack of available
APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 25
product for sale values are expected to rise. Take- “Although expensive and highly competitive, logistics has the
up is on the rise across locations, driving positive strongest fundamentals in terms of supply/demand dynamics.
net absorption in 2021, and this marks a shift It offers long, secure income and lower capital expenditure
in strategy from the stability and diversification requirements compared to other asset types.”
drivers that have encouraged investment into the - Richard Divall, Director, EMEA Cross Border Capital Markets
sector of late.
Types of industrial & logistics assets investors intend
Investor appetite is being driven by the to invest in during 2022, in EMEA.*
shortage of availability, and the expectation of a
Last-Mile Distribution 88%
nationalisation of UK distribution that’s emerged Big Box / Warehouse 79%
from the pandemic and changes resulting from Cold / Dark Storage 48%
Brexit. Everyone realises that they need to de-risk Light Industrial / Flex 40%
Industrial Park / Manufacturing 27%
supply chains by bringing more activity back on Container Terminal (Truck Park) 10%
shore, and reduce reliance on the global network. Other 2%
The UK is predicted to see the strongest rental
*The chart represents how often each I&L asset was chosen relative to total responses provided. For each I&L asset, the
growth in logistics across Europe in 2022. % figure indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this specific I&L asset, whereby each investor could
choose multiple assets.
Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report
 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 26

“People still accept the logic of the office as a central place, certainly Four most popular locations for offices*

in the key gateway markets. We’re seeing real evidence that a lot of
investors are looking at offices as a potential area where they can
London Paris

45% 30%
actually see returns versus the market.”
- Christian Kadel, Head of Capital Markets, Germany
Berlin Munich

Tier-1 offices are back

30% 30%
European offices remain compelling to investors, with a high degree of confidence in their performance,
especially quality assets in leading cities such as London, Berlin and Paris. Colliers’ experts perceive clear
momentum in the return of staff to offices, notwithstanding a possible winter pandemic surge in some
European countries. Mental health considerations have been playing an important part in winding down remote
working. City mobility has been rising in the second half of 2021, with staffing levels back to 80% of
their pre-pandemic levels in major European cities. Although utilisation densities are likely to soften amid
the advent of agile working, very high office densities that preceded this shift means this will not correspond
to a reduction in space required. It translates into a need for better, higher quality and flexible office space
footprints that meet evolving occupier demands. As evidenced by activity in 2021, multiple office transactions
have, despite the myriad of travel restrictions, taken place. This bodes well for growth in activity in 2022.

“What surprised me was the number of office deals that were concluded *This figure shows the
percentage of survey
respondents who expressed

throughout 2021 without travel. If you were in the right location, with a preference for the Office
asset class in the four most
popular cities. Since the

the right asset, it traded, even though people were buying blind.” respondents were free to
express a preference for Offices
in more than one city, it does
not represent the percentage of
- Andrew Thomas, Head of International Capital Markets, London total preferences expressed.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 27

Multifamily/BTR interest by risk profile*

Expansion of residential options
Core
57%
Multifamily assets are gaining appeal, and to-core strategies are also clearly very popular,
Development
interest is expanding beyond the core German, as the availability of product remains restricted. 52%

Benelux and UK markets. Of particular interest to Value-Add

Outside of the multifamily block, investors 46%
investors are the Nordics and Southern Europe,
are increasingly looking at other forms of Core-Plus
and traditional homeowners’ markets such as 41%
residential. In markets like the UK and Germany,
Poland are attracting significant interest as Opportunistic
there’s a growing trend towards providing for the 24%
social and economic trends point to more people Debt
socially underserved, which is increasingly starting
renting. The preferred route to market continues to 22%
to feature in investor strategies.
be for core assets, but build-to-rent and develop- *This chart represents how often each risk profile was chosen relative to total responses provided. For
each risk profile, the % figure indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this specific risk
profile, whereby each investor could choose multiple profiles.

Multifamily/BTR pricing expectations* Core/Core-Plus Value-Add

40% “Single-family rentals has developed strongly as a theme
35% during the last 12 months, and we can see this featuring
35%
as an emerging strategy. Families are turning to rentals
31%
30%
for affordability and mobility reasons. They tend to
stay for longer than younger renters, increasing their
25%
25% 24% attractiveness to investors.”

20% - Richard Divall, Director, EMEA Cross Border Capital Markets

17%
15%
15%
12%
11%
10%
6%
5% 3%
2%
1% 1% 1%
0 0%
0%
+20% +10% to +20% 0 to +10% No change 0 to -10% -10% to -20% -20%+ I don't know

*This charts represents how often each asset type and capital value was chosen relative to total responses provided. For each asset
type and capital value, the % figure indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this specific asset type and capital value,
whereby each investor could choose multiple options.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 28

Is now the time to buy hotels? Grocery led retail still top of the menu
Europe’s hotel sector is once again on the investor radar thanks to a The situation facing the retail sector is more nuanced. “You’ve got to look at
nascent revival of travel and tourism. shopping centres very differently to grocery-anchored retail, or to high street retail,”
notes Dawson. According to the survey, some investors expect price increases
Although the staycation model continues to feature heavily, the rapidity of the
in retail, mostly around luxury hotspots, convenience and food-anchored assets.
turnaround in overseas leisure travel late summer has encouraged a rebound
Although the grocery segment is stable, traditional shopping centres will likely
in activity, particularly in the Spanish market. In some cases prime hotel prices
undergo a period of transition, with the ongoing repositioning of department
have rebounded, reflecting the anticipated rise in RevPAR levels as the industry
stores a potential prelude to near and mid-term trends.
recovers and travel rebounds. Yet RevPAR remained at 70% of pre-pandemic
levels on average across Europe at the start of Q4 2021, highlighting the risk
Retail assets investors intend to invest in during 2022 in EMEA*
of pricing in further improvements in value on the basis of international travel
returning in earnest. Grocery / Supermarkets / Convenience

63%
Equally, many full service hotels have been left struggling to return to standard
levels of service, which has protracted investor uncertainty around the sector.
Retail Park / Power Centre

“Reflecting this, repurposing hotels remains a trend that is attracting 48%

value-add players, says Christian Kadel, Head of Capital Markets Germany.

CBD / High Street Retail

37%

Reposition / Change of Use

26%

Out of Town Shopping Centres / Malls

4%

*The chart represents how often each retail asset was chosen relative to total responses provided. For each retail asset, the % figure
indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this specific retail asset, whereby each investor could choose multiple assets.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 29

The attractiveness of alternatives

The alternatives segments attracting the most attention in Europe are life sciences, student
housing, affordable housing and data centres. Colliers experts point out that in general the life
science market in Europe isn’t as mature as it is in the U.S., nor is the data centre market as mature as
it is in Asia. This means it can be difficult to secure income-producing assets at scale, as they are limited
and cluster-specific. This is a key driver of investment into JV platforms and partnerships as a way to
access the sector, and also into development. For specialised assets, investors have clearly chosen the
core and development strategies as their preferred route to market.

20%
Popularity of specialised assets

Life Sciences / Lab

Life 16%

Student Housing
Student 14%

Data Centres 14%

Senior Housing /
Senior Housing / Retirement
Retirement Living
Living 12%

Affordable /
Affordable / Social
Social Housing
Housing 11%

Build-to-Sell Residential
Build-to-Sell 10%

Self-Storage
Self Storage 6%

Education
Education 5%

Single-Family
Single-Family Rental
Residential 5%

Primary Healthcare
Primary Healthcare (Doctors/Pharmacy)
(Doctors/Pharmacy) 5%

Secondary Healthcare
Secondary Healthcare (Hospitals) 4%
(Hospitals)

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 30

Assessing the bigger picture

In evaluating prospective risks and opportunities, survey respondents and Colliers experts are positive
“Although economic growth rates will
on the economic growth prospects for 2022.
generally be lower than the rebound
Investors are broadly neutral on the impact of rising inflation in the region. “I do think interest rates will
go up, but not significantly,” says Harrington. “Most real estate is index-linked anyway, so even if there is rates witnessed in 2021, we’re still
core inflation we’re hedged against it, which would reflect this balanced view.”
looking at GDP rising by over 6% for
The biggest potential macro downsides identified by survey respondents were COVID-19 and its
impact on workplaces, unsurprisingly given tightening restrictions in parts of Europe amid surging
major European economies. That is
winter caseloads. From a market perspective, rising construction costs were cited as a negative translating into occupier expansion
factor by 80% of the investors surveyed, limiting the ability of investors into development strategies
and curtail the speed and cost-effectiveness at which they can retro-fit assets. Conversely, however,
and jobs growth.”
this will underpin existing rents and values, especially as vacancy rates continue to diminish. - Damian Harrington, Director, Head of Research, Global Capital Markets & EMEA

Macro Factors Positive Impact No Impact Negative Impact Market Factors

81% 80%
80% 80%
67% 68%
57% 58% 58% 57%
60% 53% 60%
44% 46% 38%
38% 41% 38% 39% 39%
35% 35% 38% 37%
40% 33% 40% 38%
27% 29% 27%
23%
20% 18% 20% 18% 18%
20% 20% 16%
10% 9% 13% 11%
8% 6% 9%
4% 3%
0% 0%
Rising Inflation Currency Economic Growth Travel Restrictions COVID-19 / Return Government Market liquidity Availability of Tenant solvency Rental growth Availability of Cost of debt Asset Rising
Rising Currency
Fluctuation Economic Travel COVID-19 / Return
to Office Government
Policies & Market Availability
product Tenant Rental Availability
debt Cost Asset
sustainability Rising
construction
Inflation Fluctuation Growth Restrictions to Workplace
Uncertainty Policies &
Regulations Liquidity of Product Solvency Growth of Debt of Debt Sustainability
compliance Construction
costs
Uncertainty Regulations Compliance Costs
The % figure represents the percentage of investors surveyed who chose
these specific response as a key market and macro challenge.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 31

Europe leads the way on ESG

Europe is a pioneer in terms of environmental and social standards, with the European Union’s
(EU) Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation coming into effect in March 2021 and likely to further
intensify focus on ESG, according to Colliers research. The region’s investors are similarly ahead of the
curve. However, even in the EU, there are still no clear technical standards for what qualifies
as a “green” building, obscuring the costs of future compliance, Harrington notes.

The social aspect of ESG could also prove costly, given increasing political attention on the
affordability of multifamily assets, and mounting planning opposition to highly automated
logistics facilities that generate relatively few jobs to offset the traffic and air quality concerns
surrounding their operations.

These complexities have done little to dampen the enthusiasm surrounding European
property going into the new year, amid expectations for a solid economic recovery and
interest rates that will remain low by historic standards.

“There’s a huge sense of positivity amongst

investors. 2022 is the year for action and
the market is already preparing itself
for a bullish start.”
- Luke Dawson, Managing Director, EMEA Cross Border Capital Markets

Click here to view the full EMEA 2022 Investor Survey Results

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 32

The Americas Outlook

Report Contributors

David Amsterdam Aaron Jodka Hal Collett Emeka Mayes Leo Lee
President, U.S. Capital Director of Research, Chief Operating Officer, Partner, Head of Capital Director, National Research
Markets & Northeast Region U.S. Capital Markets Colliers Mortgage Markets Brokerage, Canada Operations, Canada
INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 33

Investment activity
set to scale new heights Dallas, Texas, U.S.
is the #1 location to
The prospects for real estate investment look bright for the Americas. The U.S. is expected to post invest in during 2022

a record year for volumes in 2021, even without major coastal markets fully recovering, and 2022 could
be even stronger according to David Amsterdam, President, U.S. Capital Markets and Northeast Region.
In Canada low interest rates and private investment continue to drive the market.

The top three

sectors investors are Industrial & Multifamily
most likely to invest 67% Logistics
53% / BTR 45% Office
in during 2022*

“With strong capital flows and political and tax policy uncertainties,
*These charts represents how often each asset
2021 should be a historic year from an investment sales perspective.” class was chosen relative to total responses
provided. For each asset class, the % figure
indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who
- David Amsterdam, President, U.S. Capital Markets and Northeast Region chose this specific sector, whereby each investor
could choose multiple asset classes.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 34

Industrial remains red hot

As was the case last year, industrial was a sector of major interest among survey respondents,
with a solid majority targeting investment in the sector and predicting positive performance in 2022.
Big-box and light industrial/flex assets in major cities across North America are attracting capital, with
Dallas, Texas a notable hotspot.

Four most popular

locations for Office*
Office is gaining momentum
While the survey indicates slightly lower expectations for the office sector relative to industrial,
optimism about office investment is growing, with more companies urging their staff to return to
New York
physical locations. Offices remain the most sought-after asset class in key markets within the
28% U.S. such as New York and Boston, while Toronto and Vancouver were most popular in Canada.

Industrial interest by type*

Boston Light Industrial / Flex

20% Big-Box / Warehouse

83%

81%
Last-Mile Distribution

*This figure shows the Washington D.C. 48%

19%
percentage of survey
respondents who expressed Industrial Park / Manufacturing
a preference for the Office
asset class in the four most
44%
popular cities. Since the Cold / Dark Storage
respondents were free to
express a preference for 35%
Offices in more than one
city, it does not represent Container Terminal (Truck Park)
the percentage of total Los Angeles
21%
18%
preferences expressed.
Other
2%

*The chart represents how often each I&L asset was chosen relative to total responses provided. For each I&L asset, the % figure indicates the percentage of investors
surveyed who chose this specific I&L asset, whereby each investor could choose multiple assets.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 35

Multifamily residential is another major driver of growth

A lack of supply is driving up rents and propelling investor demand.

“Foundationally, the real driver has been the sustained,

low interest rate environment,” says Hal Collett, Chief
Operating Officer of Colliers Mortgage. “The resiliency
of multifamily has been outstanding.”
The survey identified rental growth as one of the factors likely to drive the market in 2022,
with 72% citing it as a positive.

There is a relatively equal focus on core/core-plus and development opportunities, and

demographics and growth are driving record volumes particularly in the Southeast and
Southwest U.S., amid significant migration to the Sunbelt. Multifamily has also become
a preferred asset class in markets such as Dallas. Declining vacancy rates in central urban
markets also made New York, Toronto, and Montreal popular choices.

Multifamily interest by risk profile*

Value-Add 58%

Core 51% *This chart represents how

often each risk profile was
Core-Plus 51% chosen relative to total
responses provided. For
Development 47% each risk profile, the % figure
indicates the percentage of
Opportunistic investors surveyed who chose
28% this specific risk profile, whereby
each investor could choose
Debt 23% multiple profiles.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 36

Retail market stabilising

Most investors are still neutral to negative on the capital appreciation potential of retail,
though some segments, such as grocery, are doing well and the pace of store closures is easing.
“Overall, the retail market is stabilising,” notes Aaron Jodka, Director of Research, U.S. Capital Markets.
“Retailers are figuring out what omnichannel really means, mixing in-store experiences with curbside
pick-up and online ordering, appealing to consumers and capturing spending.”

Retail assets investors intend to invest in during 2022 in the Americas*

Grocery / Supermarkets / Convenience
65%
CBD / High Street Retail
50%
Retail Park / Power Centre
35%
Reposition / Change of Use
35%
Out of Town Shopping Centres / Malls
25%
*The chart represents how often each retail asset was chosen relative to total responses provided. For each retail asset, the % figure
indicates the percentage of investors surveyed who chose this specific retail asset, whereby each investor could choose multiple assets.

Hotels offer opportunities

The hotel sector, which like retail saw extensive disruption as a result of the pandemic, is benefiting from
a pickup in business and leisure travel in North America and the return of convention activity, although
RevPAR may take some time to recover fully. Recent deals are pricing at, or above 2019 levels.
Investors are betting on a return to normalcy, and we expect to see increased sales activity as a result.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 37

Alternative asset classes continue to gain appeal for investors

Demand for self-storage facilities is rising as North Americans seek additional room for their
possessions, creating ‘sticky’ rents. There is also strong appetite for highly specialised segments
like life sciences and cold storage.

“You’re going to see further reallocation to alternatives, and that will continue to be a focus for us in
the years to come,” says Amsterdam. “It’s not a 2022 event, it’s the next 20 years, and it won’t just be
an industrial conversation - it’s going to be a myriad of alternatives that will capture interest.”

Alternative (Specialised Assets By Type)

20%
Life Science / Lab
15%
Data Centres
14%
Affordable / Social Housing
13% “People are looking for new ways to deploy
Self-Storage
12% capital, and that’s translated into specialists
Student Housing
12%
who really understand the alternatives market.
Single-Family Rental More people are educating themselves and
10%
Senior Housing / Retirement Living really understanding the drivers of the long-
8%
Secondary Healthcare (Hospitals)
term value of those assets. You’re seeing
6% experts now that can explain those fields
Build-to-Sell Residential
5% where before you didn’t have that knowledge.”
Primary Healthcare (Doctors/Pharmacy)
4% - Emeka Mayes, Partner, Head of Capital Markets Brokerage, Canada
Education
0%

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 38

Investors beginning to grapple with ESG

One potential near-term challenge is the mounting significance
of ESG factors. Currently, only around a third of investors see
this as being a major focus, but environmental awareness
is rising up the agenda in the Americas, driven by large
corporates and banks rather than by private investors.

“Public companies and institutional

investors are asking our teams:
what are your ESG policies?”
notes Leo Lee, Director, National
Research Operations, Canada.

Investors, occupiers and developers are looking

for guidance from Europe.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 39

Survey respondents are broadly split over whether inflation will be positive or negative
for investment strategies in 2022, except in the specific case of rising construction costs,
which are widely viewed as a significant risk. Nevertheless, confidence in the growth
picture is strong, with investment funds outstripping available supply and placing
a premium on new builds.
“More and more groups are combining forces to engage in development in order to
deploy capital, because they can’t get at assets through acquisitions the way that they
did in the past,” says Mayes.
Tax, regulation and pandemic-related uncertainties remain the other most likely
drags on activity in 2022. Positive performance driven by demographic and consumer
trends, and a continued shift to specialised assets, are expected to be the major trends
supporting activity in the Americas, with a massive amount of capital sitting on the sidelines
waiting to be deployed into property. “We’re going to be flying with clear skies in 2022
compared to 2021,” says Amsterdam.
Click here to view the full Americas 2022 Investor Survey Results

Macro Factors Positive Impact No Impact Negative Impact Market Factors

100% 100%
87%

80% 80%
72% 72% 74%

62% 63% 62%

58%
60% 60%
47% 47%
43% 43% 42% 41%
37% 39% 38%
40% 33% 34% 33% 40% 36%
38% 33% 26%

25% 26%
24%
20%
20% 20% 17% 16% 14% 14% 16%
11% 12% 11%
8% 9% 8%
5% 5% 4%

0% 0%
Rising Inflation Currency Economic Growth Travel Restrictions COVID-19 / Return Government Market liquidity Availability of Tenant solvency Rental growth Availability of Cost of debt Asset Rising
Rising Currency Economic Travel COVID-19 / Return Government Market Availability
product Tenant Rental Availability
debt Cost Asset
sustainability Rising
construction
Fluctuation to Office Policies &
Inflation Fluctuation Growth Restrictions to Workplace Policies & Liquidity of Product Solvency Growth of Debt of Debt Sustainability
compliance Construction
costs
Uncertainty Regulations
Uncertainty Regulations Compliance Costs

The % figure represents the percentage of investors surveyed who chose

these specific response as a key market and macro challenge.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 40

“Investors are optimistic about today’s market

liquidity, with many commenting on the incredible
levels currently available. After a record-setting
2021, 2022 is lining up to be even stronger.”
- David Amsterdam, President, U.S. Capital Markets & Northeast Region

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 41

Key Takeaways
1 2 3 4 5

Social and environmental Tier-1 global markets of As competition for core Rising construction Partnership is key for
trends are a clear London, New York, Tokyo assets heat up, investors costs is the primary investors as both a buying
priority for investors in and Paris are at the top of should not be surprised market constraint strategy and to diversify
2022 and beyond. investors’ wish-list. to be outbid. for 2022. portfolios.

Colliers Global Capital Markets 2022 Investor Outlook Report

 INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 42

Questions? Please contact us.

Tony Horrell Chris Pilgrim Damian Harrington Alison Hunter
Global Capital Markets Head of Global Capital Markets & Director, Director, Head of Research, Head of Operations,
CEO, UK & Ireland Global Capital Markets Global Capital Markets & EMEA Global Capital Markets
+44 20 7935 4499 +44 20 7487 1691 +44 20 7487 1691 +44 7892 781 471
tony.horrell@colliers.com chris.pilgrim@colliers.com damian.harrington@colliers.com alison.hunter@colliers.com

Terence Tang John Marasco John Howald Nicholas Wilson

APAC Managing Director, Managing Director, Executive Director, Director, Head of Research,
Capital Markets & Investment Capital Markets & Investment Head of International Capital, Capital Markets & Investment
Services, Asia Services, Australia & New Zealand Asia Pacific Services, Asia
+65 6531 8565 +61 9612 8830 +81 3 4540 8602 +65 6531 8568
terrence.tang@colliers.com john.marasco@colliers.com john.howald@colliers.com nicholas.wilson@colliers.com

Luke Dawson Richard Divall Andrew Thomas Christian Kadel

EMEA Managing Director, EMEA Cross Director, EMEA Cross Border Head of International Capital Head of Capital Markets,
Border Capital Markets Capital Markets Markets, London Germany
+44 7821 636 148 +44 7831 254 673 +44 7793 808 181 +49 151 6885 0231
luke.dawson@colliers.com richard.divall@colliers.com andrew.thomas@colliers.com christian.kadel@colliers.com

David Amsterdam Aaron Jodka Hal Collett Emeka Mayes Leo Lee
The Americas President, U.S. Capital Markets Director of Research, Chief Operating Officer Partner, Head of Capital Director of National Research
& Northeast Region U.S. Capital Markets Colliers Mortgage Markets Brokerage, Canada Operations, Canada
U.S. CANADA +1 212 716 3556 +1 617 330 8059 +1 214 326 5417 +1 514 764 2822 +1 416 620 2839
david.amsterdam@colliers.com aaron.jodka@colliers.com hal.collett@colliers.com emeka.mayes@colliers.com leo.lee@colliers.com

To view the full regional survey results, please click on the links below:

APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS

INTRODUCTION KEY THEMES APAC EMEA THE AMERICAS KEY TAKEAWAYS CONTACT US 43

$4.0B 65 2B 54,000 $46B 18,000

Annualised Established in Square Feet Lease/Sale Assets Under Professionals
Revenue Countries Managed Transactions Management

All statistics are for 2020, are in US dollars and include affiliates

2022 Global Investor Outlook

Colliers Global Capital Markets

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