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Yet the task of building stable, prosperous societies remains immense. Nothing
highlights this more graphically than the challenge of meeting the targets set by
the international community for achieving the Millennium Development Goals
(MDGs). These include halving poverty and hunger, arresting diseases and environ-
mental degradation, helping newborn babies survive infancy and educating them
in childhood. In what follows, we will argue that the key to attaining stability
and prosperity in the continent lies in overcoming key obstacles hampering
Africa’s progress towards meeting the MDG targets. This article identifies four
key challenges standing in the way of achieving these targets: ensuring peace
and security; fostering good governance; tackling the HIV/AIDS pandemic and
other diseases; and achieving gender equality and the empowerment of women.
In other words, only by formulating and executing policies that explicitly address
the mutuality of developmental security challenges will the human potential of
Africa be released.
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cultural basis of the new state. In other states, an artificial creation was decreed
and all traditional nations were dissolved in it; those who could or would not fit
were excluded. The Ivoirité of President Henri Konan Bedié defined a new nation
of essentially southern ethnic groups ‘native’ to the land within Côte d’Ivoire’s
boundaries and the rest were decreed non-nationals and non-citizens.1 In other
cases, the creation of political ‘fronts’ leading to single-party regimes—FRELIMO
in Mozambique, or the MPLA of Angola—was an attempt to subsume ethnic–
linguistic, regional and ideological differences under a single leadership coloured
by the banner of Afro-Marxism.
The resulting compromises have made it difficult for states in Africa to claim
the legitimate monopoly of force in the Weberian sense, as both the osten-
sible monopoly and the legitimacy are contested—a process well captured by
Mohammed Ayoob’s ‘third world security predicament’. Hence there are large
areas where legitimacy is challenged by rebellion and internal lawlessness in
Senegal, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, Chad, Sudan,
Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Democratic Republic of Congo, Zimbabwe
and perhaps others. In all these states, though government may be accepted, the
political institutions through which its powers are exercised are often treated with
remarkable indifference by large sections of the citizenry. And if this is the case
where state structures and institutions are present, the fact is that in large tracts
of Africa the state is entirely absent—in physical presence as well as in the provi-
sion of basic services to the population, including of course security and develop-
ment. While passive acceptance might not be problematic in other contexts (one
often hears about the disfranchised or disenchanted electorate in western Europe
and North America), in the African context it serves to deepen insecurities by
alienating people from the apparatus of the state. At worst, in areas where the
state is entirely absent not only is there no palpable, visible relation between the
individual and the state, but the local population is left entirely at the mercy of
unscrupulous political and economic entrepreneurs.
Both an obstacle to the development of a sense of citizenship and a result of the
weak capacity of states, this segmentation of society has impeded the many attempted
reforms of political and socio-economic structures while exacerbating tensions in
many countries in Africa. The obvious manifestation of this is the long litany of
conflicts strung across the continent. Between 1968 and 2006, more than 42 wars
were fought in Africa, the vast majority of them intrastate in origin. The continuing
conflicts over the remains of Sudan provide a poignant reminder of the plight of
ordinary folk who are without protection from any state—some falling prey to
the remnants of the very state that was supposed to be their protector. Similarly,
the fragility of several war-to-peace transitions—in Sierra Leone, Côte d’Ivoire,
Liberia, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)—and the distinct possibility
that a number of countries on the continent—Chad, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Guinea
and Zimbabwe, to mention but a few—may degenerate into conflict demonstrates
1
See Zartman I. William, ‘The African states’, in Nana K. Poku and Jeggan Senghor, Towards Africa’s renewal
(London: Ashgate Press, 2007).
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in the most dramatic way the exposure of vast numbers of people not only to the
dangers of violence from marauding hordes of warriors and bandits, in a manner
reminiscent of medieval times, but to hunger and disease on a cataclysmic scale.
Against this background, the slow but progressive development by African
states of a cooperative approach to tackling the problems of security and develop-
ment in the continent is a welcome, albeit gradual, trend. And in this, the creation
and strengthening of the AU and related structures and institutions—in particular
the African Peace and Security Architecture (APSA)—may offer some hope. To
be sure, the deployment of a fully fledged APSA, comprising (as will be discussed
below) a conflict prevention, management and resolution capability at the AU and
within the RECs, will take some years to materialize fully. Yet, the fact that this
new approach to tackling conflicts and insecurity stems from, in fact originates in,
a notion of security that fully embraces the responsibility to protect constitutes
in and of itself a radical, noteworthy shift. It is well documented that issues of
territorial integrity and the protection of sovereignty transfixed the AU’s prede-
cessor, the Organization of African Unity (OAU). For almost 30 years the OAU
sought to legitimize state policies with respect to citizens by placing the domestic
domain beyond the bounds of concern; what happens to the state matters, what
happens to the people within is of secondary importance. The process of estab-
lishing the AU set it along a significantly different path with respect to security
where, constitutionally at least, the responsibility to protect may supplant state
sovereignty. The OAU separated social and economic challenges from the tradi-
tional security challenges of intra- and interstate conflict. However, the AU’s
constitutional, institutional and policy formation explicitly reflects the influence
of the more holistic human security perspective, and the AU Commission actively
disseminates this approach to Africa’s political elites, as well as—equally impor-
tantly—to the subregional level of the RECs that constitute fundamental pillars
of the APSA.2
The AU has taken a different approach by acknowledging that, in Africa, state
security is often threatened not by conventional threats of armed attack from other
countries, but by more insidious dangers, many of which arise from the weakness
of the African state itself. In recognizing this reality, the 2004 Non-Aggression
and Common Defence Pact of the AU offers the following definition of security
in the African context:
[In Africa] security means the protection of individuals with respect to the satisfaction of
the basic needs of life; it also encompasses the creation of the social, political, economic,
military, environmental and cultural conditions necessary for survival, including the
protection of fundamental freedoms, access to education, healthcare, and ensuring that
each individual has opportunities and choices to fulfil his/her own potential.3
2
Thomas Kwasi Tieku, ‘African Union promotion of human security in Africa’, African Security Review 16: 2,
2007, pp. 26–37.
3
Draft text as adopted by the first meeting of the African ministers of defence and security on the establish-
ment of the African Standby Force and the Common African Defence and Security Policy, 20–22 Jan. 2004,
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. The text was adopted during the African Union summit of the same year.
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The AU peace and security framework seeks therefore to relocate the security
discourse in Africa from the post-colonial obsession with sovereignty and
non-interference to the socio-economic realities of the continent. Clearly, the
APSA is a relatively new initiative; yet it is one that has already borne some fruit,
as evidenced by the relatively successful AU mission in Burundi (AMIB), the devel-
opment of the planning elements of several of the regional brigades that will form
the African Standby Force, or the creation in close cooperation with the RECs of
an early warning and prevention system, the Continental Early Warning System
(CEWS). Nevertheless, one should not forget that this is work in progress: the
initial consensus underpinning the acceptance of an approach to security challenges
informed by concerns for human security and development remains somewhat
tentative and so far substantially untested by issues of core national interest. Some
observers have suggested that ‘the jury is out . . . on whether the AU would be able
to institutionalise human security in Africa effectively’.4
Although the framework is not the first statement of a collective response by
African leaders to the region’s development challenges (that distinction belongs to
the 1980 Lagos Plan of Action), its chances of successful implementation appear
better than its predecessors, for at least two reasons. First, while some official
development assistance (ODA) continues to be given in furtherance of geopolitical
considerations (recent Chinese investment in Africa being a good case), there is a
marked shift to allocations based on good policies driven by the practical develop-
ment needs of Africans. This evolving new thrust of aid reflects a much greater
understanding and recognition of the conditions required for aid to be effective,
and of what works and doesn’t work in domestic policy reform. Second, the
changes are largely endorsed by civil society. Recent Afrobarometer surveys and
the World Values Survey show that large majorities of Africans believe democracy
is good for the economy and prefer democratic political systems to authoritarian
alternatives.5 The African public expects democracy to deliver access to the basic
necessities of life like food, water, shelter and education.
About 75 per cent of the respondents agreed that African governments were
changing for the better, and there are strong signs that the transformations are
taking roots. Political participation, for example, has improved more in Africa
during the past decades than in other regions. In 1982, only 10 per cent of
sub-Saharan African countries and 20 per cent of developing countries in four
other regions had chief executives selected via competitive multiparty elections.
As late as 1991, Africa showed virtually no improvement, while the proportion
in other developing countries had doubled to 40 per cent. By 1995, however, the
gap was nearly closed, despite continuing increases in other regions; and in 2006,
Africa was ahead of the other regions by about 8 percentage points.
The double-digit inflation characteristic of unstable macroeconomic conditions
in the early 1990s has been reduced to single-digit levels (with the exception of
Zimbabwe). This improvement has resulted from a combination of significantly
4
Tieku, ‘African Union promotion of human security in Africa’, p. 27.
5
World Value Survey (2000–6) wave, 6 countries; Afrobarometer survey, 2001–3, 12 countries.
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stronger fiscal controls across a wide range of countries, with a shift by central
banks towards a focus on price stability as the primary goal. As a result, gains on
the macroeconomic level are evident. According to the World Bank, since the
mid-1990s 15 African countries have had annual GDP growth in excess of 5 per
cent. For several of these countries—including Uganda, Mozambique, Tanzania,
Ghana and Senegal—higher growth has been accompanied by diversification of
their economies and exports. Significantly, some of the fastest-growing countries
have also performed relatively well in terms of poverty reduction. During the last
ten years a group of eight low-income African countries, which grew at an average
per capita rate of 2.9 per cent per year, succeeded in reducing poverty at an annual
rate of 1.5 percentage points, well on course to meet the MDG target of halving
income poverty by 2015.
Figure 1: The gap between the Millennium Development Goals and projected
levels in Africa, given current trends
70 61
MDG
60
50 Projection
MDG gap, %
38 36
40 33
30 33
16
20 26
22
10
0 6
0
Poverty % of children % of people % of people child mortality
headcount without without access without access
primary to pipe water to improved
education sanitation
Source: World Bank/IMF, Global Monitoring Report 2005 (Washington DC: World Bank/IMF
2005).
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Table 1: The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and targets
Goals Targets
Goal 1 Target 1: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of
Eradicate extreme people whose income is less than $1 a day
poverty and Target 2: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of
hunger people who suffer from hunger
Goal 2 Target 3: Ensure that by 2015 children everywhere, boys and
Achieve universal girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary
primary education schooling
Goal 3 Target 4: Eliminate gender disparity in primary and
Promote gender secondary education, preferably by 2005 and in all levels of
equality and education not later than 2015
empower women
Goal 4 Target 5: Reduce by two-thirds between 1990 and 2015 the
Reduce child under-five mortality rate
mortality
Goal 5 Target 6: Reduce by three-quarters between 1990 and 2015
Improve maternal the maternal mortality ratio
health
Goal 6 Target 7: Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the
Combat HIV/ spread of HIV/AIDS
AIDS, malaria and
other diseases
Goal 7 Target 8: Integrate the principles of sustainable development
Ensure into country policies and reverse the loss of environmental
environmental resources.
sustainability Target 9: Halve proportion of people without sustainable
access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation.
Goal 8 Target 10: Develop further an open, rule based, predictable
Develop a global and non-discriminatory trading and financial system.
partnership for Target: 11: Address the special needs of the least developed
development countries.
Target 12: Deal comprehensively with the debt problems of
developing countries.
Source: Adapted from UN Millennium Project, 2005.
2003—and most countries have not yet moved to the consistently higher growth
needed to achieve the MDGs.
The remaining countries on the continent have made very little progress in
eradicating hunger and malnutrition. Indeed, the number of people suffering
malnutrition has increased to well over 200 million in recent decades and the
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problem is especially severe in central, east and southern Africa, where almost half
of the population of 360 million is estimated as being undernourished. Women and
children are particularly vulnerable to food insecurity and malnutrition, with the
latter being especially important as a cause of mortality among the under-fives.
Trends were actually reversed during the 1990s in those countries most affected by
adverse growth in GDP and by the effects of HIV/AIDS. The UN Development
Programme and UNICEF recently concluded that ‘during the 1990s, the spread
of HIV/AIDS had a devastating effect on families and communities. The loss of
productive capacity among families affected by HIV/AIDS had a major impact on
food production and on nutritional well-being.’9
Across the continent the HIV/AIDS epidemic manifests itself both as an
immediate crisis and as a systemic condition. It is a crisis because of the pace and
intensity of transmission (in most regions the epidemic has more than quadrupled
in the past decade); and it is a systemic condition because HIV/AIDS impacts
most heavily on the most productive sectors of African population, depriving the
economy of scarce skills, children of their parents, and a country of a generation
in the prime of their working lives. As a result, the epidemic deepens poverty
and exacerbates the many social challenges resulting from weak states. While the
macroeconomic impacts are not immediately clear, we can make an educated guess
that reductions in life expectancy of the type noted in figure 2 will eventually
adversely affect economic output, particularly in countries where HIV preva-
lence is higher than 10 per cent among the adult population. We can also expect a
non-linear impact of HIV/AIDS on economic growth: the longer the high HIV
prevalence persists, the more difficult and costly recovery will become.
9
UNDP 2006.
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Improving governance
Many of the socio-economic challenges facing Africa are associated with bad
governance. In particular, corruption hinders economic growth and investment
by increasing transaction costs, and thus diverting public funds from their planned
allocations. In addition, corruption feeds on government policies that generate
rent-seekers and allow some members of the society to capture ‘unjustified profits’
by bribing government officials. Corruption can also lead to the misallocation of
public resources in violation of the law and of budgetary rules and regulations.
By diverting resources from development and increasing inequality, corruption
becomes a major obstacle to development. More than 40 African states have ratified
the UN Convention Against Corruption. However, the problem has deeper roots.
To tackle corruption, African governments ought to proceed with public sector
reforms, including ensuring appropriate pay for civil servants and enhancing
accountability of all public administrators. They could also remove import and
export quotas, some tax exemptions, non-targeted subsidies, and other policies
that grant privileges to special interest groups. Anti-corruption efforts should
include increased public–private collaboration as well as increased transparency
through improved data collection and analysis.
There is a growing consensus on what the key elements of governance reforms
in Africa should be. They include creating or strengthening institutions that foster
predictability, accountability and transparency in public affairs; promoting a free
and fair electoral process; restoring the capabilities of state institutions, especially
those in states emerging from conflict; anti-corruption measures; and enhancing
the capacity of public service delivery systems. Addressing South Africa’s National
Assembly in 2001, President Thabo Mbeki made clear his vision of NEPAD in the
following terms:
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This is a programme premised on African ownership, African control of the projects and
programmes, with African leaders accepting openly and unequivocally that they will play
their part in ending poverty and bringing about sustainable development . . . we have to
deal with corruption and be accountable to one another for all our actions. Clearly these
measures of ensuring democracy, good governance and the absence of wars and conflicts,
are important both for the well-being of the people of Africa and for the creation of
positive conditions for investment, economic growth and development.11
11
President Thabo Mbeki, address to the joint sitting of the National Assembly and the National Council on the
New Partnership for Africa’s Development, 31 Oct. 2001.
12
World Bank, 2000, p. 235.
13
At the 2002 Kananaskis summit G8 leaders declared: ‘Each of us will decide, in accordance with our respec-
tive priorities and procedures, how we will allocate the additional money we have pledged. Assuming strong
African policy commitments, and given recent assistance trends, we believe that in aggregate half or more of
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The bright spots of private inflows illustrate both what is possible and their
limits. In 2002 foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows amounted to $11 billion, a
drop of $6 billion compared to the previous year.14 Outside the extractive sector,
the bulk of recent private flows have been for the purchase of privatized public
assets rather than investment in new enterprises, and the 2002 slowdown is directly
tied to trends in privatization.15 The few African countries, such as Lesotho, that
have recently attracted FDI outside privatization and the extractive sector have
mainly done so in labour-intensive, low value-added manufacturing, mainly
textiles. There is likely to be an expansion in this phenomenon as countries eligible
under the US Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) attract capital, seeking
to take advantage of the preferential US market access offered under the scheme.
The opportunities under AGOA are, however, circumscribed by two factors. The
first is the ending of the Agreement on Textile and Clothing, with its quota limits,
on 1 January 2005, which will open the US market to all lower-cost developing
country manufacturers. The second, closely related to the first, is the evidence of
the limits of such labour-intensive manufacturing in the form of declining terms
for such exports.16 Even if exports of labour-intensive manufactures from Africa
should expand, thereby creating jobs and incomes, commodity markets and prices
would need to stabilize to allow millions of Africans to participate effectively in
the global economy.
Zambia.17 The total amount of debt relief committed (for the 14 completion and
the 13 decision point countries) under the original HIPC initiative and the enhanced
HIPC initiative (launched in 1999) was $54 billion in nominal terms, equivalent to
a reduction of $32 billion in net present value (NPV) terms. In 2003 NPV terms
the outstanding debt stock of the 27 countries was expected to fall from about $80
billion to $26 billion after the delivery of traditional debt relief by bilateral credi-
tors, assistance under the HIPC initiative, and additional bilateral forgiveness.
As argued in the MDG report, the appropriate amount of debt reduction should
be measured against explicit development objectives, such as those enshrined in
the MDGs themselves. The amount of debt relief would then be determined on
the basis of expected development assistance and the need to avoid a new debt
overhang. An approach along the same lines was taken by the US General Account-
ability Office (GAO), which had calculated the amount of overall additional assis-
tance needed to help achieve economic growth and sustainable debt targets for
HIPC countries. Similarly, the Commission for Africa reports that criteria for
relief should be similar to those applied for aid, focusing on the use of the resources
released for poverty reduction and growth. In line with the growing consensus on
the need for significant debt reduction for African countries, as evidenced by the
widespread support given to the proposals of the UK government, the interna-
tional community should endorse, in the context of the MDGs, a comprehensive
debt reduction to benefit all heavily indebted countries in sub-Saharan Africa, and
a substantial debt relief for middle-income countries. In the past, as in the case
of the debt write-offs for Egypt ($29 billion), Jordan ($1.4 billion), and Poland
($2.7 billion), similar relief has been provided to support countries on their path to
economic restructuring and resumed growth.
17
IMF/World Bank, ‘Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative: status of implementation’ (Washing-
ton DC: IMF/World Bank, 20 Aug. 2004), p. 7.
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Confronting HIV/AIDS
Across Africa, the dominant mode of HIV transmission is heterosexual contact.
Yet many people, particularly among the high-level leadership, are reluctant to
admit openly that the continent faces a crisis of shattered tradition, where poverty,
social alienation and political disaffection mean that sexuality is no longer guided
by traditional norms. Moreover, historical reluctance to speak openly about sex
and sexuality has resulted in political and religious leaders struggling to acknowl-
edge the deeper cultural crisis at the root of Africa’s AIDS epidemic. Leadership in
this area has consequently been narrowly defined as simply making references to
the epidemic in speeches and passing laws which are neither monitored nor consis-
tently enforced for efficacy. Yet, effective as laws are in offering the perception of
protection, they do not stop generalized epidemics.
Advocacy is needed to ensure political leaders include the fight against AIDS
among their primary responsibilities, as well as to mobilize and support those
willing to speak out against stigma and discrimination. More also needs to be
done to tackle HIV-related stigma and discrimination in relation to other forms
of inequality and exclusion through the promotion of multisectoral action, for
example by means of broad-based alliances between organizations working in
HIV prevention and care and those working in other fields such as gender equality,
sustainable development and rights. There is evidence that many NGOs are slowly
but surely beginning to bring HIV/AIDS into the mainstream of their work, but
governments need to do more. In the struggle against HIV/AIDS, leaders are
challenged to use their capacity to influence their people in a positive way—to
create a national social environment that hinders the spread of the disease and cares
for people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA).
There are two further elements which go some way to providing an answer to
the question of how Africa’s HIV/AIDS crisis might best be addressed. The first is
the provision of treatment for PLWHA on the continent. The reduction in the cost
of anti-retroviral (ARV) and other drugs has significantly changed the possibilities
for such treatment. As treatment sustains the health and prolongs the lives of those
infected, increased access to treatment has the potential to reduce the socio-economic
cost of the epidemic on the continent. The real costs of the epidemic to societies and
economies are much greater than those usually quantified by economists, and so the
benefits from treating people will also be greater, once there is a full accounting for
the losses. These costs are to a significant degree socio-economic, and are largely
avoidable through increasing access to treatment. Thus the costs of inactivity in
conditions of weak access to treatment are much greater than the UNAIDS estimate
of losses of 2.6 per cent of GDP annually, once all of the direct and indirect costs
of the epidemic are factored into the analysis. There is a separate and powerful case
to be made in respect of access to ARV therapies for pregnant women, which can
substantially reduce HIV transmission from mother to child through programmes
that are relatively inexpensive and clearly beneficial to both mothers and infants.
The benefits are, of course, not confined to the direct beneficiaries but also accrue to
society as a whole.
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The second element is human capacity planning. In the face of HIV/AIDS,
national policy-makers must sustain and improve the pool of human resources. In
most countries it is still the case that most workers are free of HIV infection and are
productively employed. It follows that keeping the labour force free of HIV infec-
tion through an expansion of prevention activities must become a priority every-
where. It should not be assumed by the national planning process that public services
can continue to be supported with the present establishments, and innovative ways
of delivering educational, health and other services that make less intensive use of
human resources must be developed. It is clear that responding to the present losses of
skilled and professional labour through an expansion of existing training programmes
will rapidly become too costly for national budgets. New ways of delivering essen-
tial public services need to be developed and implemented, and less costly ways of
meeting the needs for skilled and professionally qualified labour need to be identified
and delivered.
Conclusion
Redefining security in Africa is fundamentally a problem of sustainable develop-
ment. It is a classic ‘catch-22’: chronic underdevelopment in Africa has generated
the conflicts that have merely served to intensify the conditions of underdevelop-
ment and the economic and social injustices that lead to further conflict. Where to
break the cycle? In the past the answers were sought at the level of the state. But,
as is often noted in commentaries, the state in Africa has been much less part of
the solution and rather more a major part of Africa’s security problems. The signs
of a shift in perspective to a people-centred approach, embodied in the emergent
structures and agencies of the AU institutional framework, in civil societal initia-
tives and in the discourses engaged in by Africa’s intelligentsia hold out some
promise. But the challenges within sub-Saharan Africa to the tentative consensus
of support for the current human developmental security focus clearly remain
substantial and threaten to unravel the process of positive change. Pan-Africanism,
redefined in contemporary terms, is promoting positive change. But this can only
take the process so far. The international community’s role in providing sustained
support to the initiatives being promoted in Africa by Africans, grounded in the
developmental needs of everyday existence faced by millions of Africans, there-
fore remains critical and inescapable.
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