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CME Eurodollar Futures - An Introduction: CME Interest Rate Products
CME Eurodollar Futures - An Introduction: CME Interest Rate Products
Proprietary traders
Hedge funds
• New Developments:
Over 80% of Eurodollar futures volume is
electronic
• Outrights
Years 1 – 10, quarterly
• Spreads
Simultaneous purchase and sale of contracts in
different months
Spread traders provide the bulk of liquidity in the
front eight Eurodollar contracts
• Strips
The purchase or sale of two or more consecutive
quarterly futures expirations
Bundles
• 2-10 year packages of consecutive futures contracts
• Always begin with the front quarterly contract
• Quoted in ¼ basis point (.25) price increments
• Priced on the basis of average net change of each individual contract
from previous day’s settlement price
Packs
• 10 specific packages of 4 consecutive futures contracts
• Quoted in ¼ basis point (.25) price increments
• Priced similarly to Bundles
• Designated by color codes that correspond to their position on the
yield curve: White, Red, Green, Blue, Gold, Purple, Pink, Silver and
Copper
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
© Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. All rights reserved.
7
D
ec
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94.50
94.75
95.00
95.25
95.50
95.75
96.00
M 5
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Ju 6
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-
Se 06
p-
06
D
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M 6
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Ju 7
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4.25
4.50
4.75
5.00
5.25
5.50
M 05 p-
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Se 06
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D 06 Ju 8
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-0
Yield
Se 08
M 6 p-
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Ju 7 D
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-
Se 07 M 8
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Forward 3mo
D 07 Ju 9
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- -
M 07 Se 09
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09
Ju 8 D
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Se 08 M 9
p- ar
E$ Price
D 08 -1
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M 8 -1
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Ju 9 10
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Deriving Eurodollar Forward Rates
Solve for R:
1. 1 + .040248 x 182/360 = (1 +.0378 x 91/360)(1 + R x 91/360)
3. 1.010690 = (1 + R x 91/360)
Implied
90-Day 180-Day Forward
Rate Rate Rate
Steep Yield Curve 3.75 % 4.00 % 4.21 %
Inverted Yield Curve 3.75 % 3.50 % 3.22 %
Flat Yield Curve 3.75 % 3.75 % 3.71 %
Buy Sell
Mar ‘05 Mar ‘09
Eurodollar Eurodollar Spread
Date (Price) (Price) Difference
01/30/04 97.52 94.48 304 b.p.
03/30/04 98.06 94.80 326 b.p.
+0.54 - 0.32 +22 b.p.
Sell Buy
Mar ‘05 Mar ‘09
Eurodollar Eurodollar Spread
Date (Price) (Price) Difference
03/31/04 98.13 94.88 325 b.p.
06/30/04 97.03 94.26 277 b.p.
+1.10 -0.62 - 48 b.p.
350
Federal Reserve tightens
on June 30
From Mar 31 to Jun 30,
325 Curve has Flattened
300
From Jan 30 to
Mar 30, Release of strong
March 2004
Yield Curve has Employment data on
275 Steepened April 2
Some believe Expect Fed tightening
Fed might Ease
to 0.75%
250
01/28/04 02/22/04 03/18/04 04/12/04 05/07/04 06/01/04 06/26/04 07/21/04
60 False Alarm!
Fed tightens for 11th time
Mid July - Greenspan
on Sep 20
says flattening y.c.
50 is not “foolproof Fed Funds at 3.75%
indicator of
economic
weakness”
40
30
Early June –
Greenspan says
20 U.S. economy on
“reasonably firm
footing”
10 Flattening continues
Hurricane Katrina
Is tightening over?
0
05/02/05 05/27/05 06/21/05 07/16/05 08/10/05 09/04/05 09/29/05
• Ratio is 1:2:1
First Wing - 1 contract – first Eurodollar expiration
Body - 2 contracts – second Eurodollar expiration
Second Wing - 1 contract – third Eurodollar expiration
• Long Butterfly
Buy the nearby wing (1 time) / Sell body (2 times) / Buy the
deferred wing (1 time)
Gains if the spread widens or gets more positive (less
negative)
• Short Butterfly
Sell the nearby wing (1 time) / Buy body (2 times) / Sell the
deferred wing (1 time)
Gains if the spread narrows or gets less positive (more
negative)
-10.0
05/02/05 05/27/05 06/21/05 07/16/05 08/10/05 09/04/05 09/29/05
35
Mid July - Greenspan False Alarm!
says flattening y.c.
Fed tightens for 11th time
is not “foolproof
on Sep 20
30 indicator of
economic Fed Funds at 3.75%
weakness”
25
20
15
Early June –
Greenspan says
U.S. economy on
10 “reasonably firm
footing”
Flattening continues
5
Hurricane Katrina
Is tightening over?
0
05/02/05 05/27/05 06/21/05 07/16/05 08/10/05 09/04/05 09/29/05
35 2
Butterfly (EDZ6-EDZ7-EDZ8)
25
-2
20
-4
15
-6
10
-8
5
0 -10
5/2/2005 6/7/2005 7/13/2005 8/17/2005 9/22/2005
35 2
Butterfly (EDZ6-EDZ7-EDZ8)
25
-2
20
-4
15
-6
Calendar (EDZ6-EDZ8) >
10
-8
5
0 -10
5/2/2005 6/7/2005 7/13/2005 8/17/2005 9/22/2005
Fixed Fixed
Payments Payments
Fixed Floating
Rate @ offer rate Dealer @ bid rate
Rate
Payer Floating Floating
Payer
Payments Payments
• Pricing an IRS
• Fair value of a swap is such that present values of fixed and
floating payments are balanced … PVfixed=PVfloating
4 [ (0.9900)(0.0392)(93/360) + (0.9805)(0.0413)(84/360) +
(0.9694)(0.0423)(98/360) + (0.9590)(0.0428)(91/360) + (0.9487)(0.0431)(91/360)
Rfixed = + (0.9384)(0.0434)(91/360) + (0.9282)(0.0435)(91/360) +
(0.9180)(0.0437)(91/360) ] ÷ [0.9900 + 0.9805 + 0.9694 + 0.9590 + 0.9487 + 0.9384
+ 0.9282 + 0.9180 ]
= 4.297% (4.297033628%)
BPV ≈ ∆Value
• May be used to find “Hedge Ratio” (HR) or # of futures needed to offset risk
associated with spot instrument
• EXAMPLE: Find # of CME Eurodollar futures needed to match with $25 million
180-day LIBOR investment
• BPV of investment equals $1,250 [=$25,000,000 x (180/360) x 0.01%]
• Sell 50 CME Eurodollar futures to hedge risk of rising rates and falling values
• EXAMPLE: Find BPV of 2-year IMM-dated swap with a $10 million principle amount as
discussed above
• Compare original swap value with NPP=$0 to swap value calculated assuming
yields advances by 1 basis point (0.01%)
Discount Discount
Payment Fixed PV of Fixed Floating PV of Floating
Factor Factor
Date Payments Payments Payments Payments
(PV) (PV)
* First payment in December 2005 is fixed as of date on which the transaction was concluded in
September. Thus, there is no change in floating payment and no risk associated with first
set of cash flows.
(7)
(2) (5) (8)
(1) (3) (4) (6) Diff in
Payment PV of PV of Hedge
PV of Fixed Float-Fixed PV of Fixed Float-Fixed Cash
Dates Floating Floating Ratio
Payments (2)-(1) Payments (5)-(4) Flows
Payments Payments (7)÷$25
(6)-(3)
12/21/05
$106,348.88 $100,251.45 -$6,097.43 $106,346.16 $100,248.89 -$6,097.27 $0.16 0.0