You are on page 1of 13

Modernizing Pension Eligibility

for the U.S. Military


JOHN A. TURNER AND BRUCE W. KLEIN

JOHN A. T URNER The military retirement system is arguably the best age requirements for the military shortly
is the director of the retirement deal around. Unlike most retirement plans, after World War II. In 1950, a man aged 40
Pension Policy Center the Armed Forces offer a pension, with benefits, that could expect to live 30.9 more years, based
in Washington, DC.
jaturner49@aol.com
starts the day you retire, no matter how old you are. on period life tables, while in 2010, that man
That means you could start collecting a regular retire- could expect to live 37.5 years, an increase
BRUCE W. K LEIN ment pension as early as 37 years old. in life expectancy of nearly 7 years over a
is a senior research Military.com [2015] 60-year period (Bell and Miller [2005]).
associate at the Pension A man retiring in 2010 at age 40 after 20 years

D
Policy Center in
espite a reform in 2015, taking in the military would expect to receive mili-
Washington, DC.
brucewklein@aol.com effect in 2018,1 the U.S. mili- tary pension benefits for nearly twice as many
tary pension system has unusual years as he had served in the military.
features that make it an ineffi- Military personnel costs are not just an
cient, expensive, and inequitable way of pro- issue of hypothetical or academic concern;
viding retirement benefits. It is unfair to most they currently consume about half of the
enlisted personnel, and thus it is unfair to the Defense Department budget. If they con-
young men and women who fight America’s tinue to grow at the rate they have grown
wars. In particular, two aspects of the retire- since 2001, while the military budget grows
ment benefit eligibility requirements—the at the rate of inf lation, personnel costs will
vesting requirement and the length-of- consume the entire military budget by 2039
service requirement that determine the age at (U.S. House of Representatives [2013]).
which benefits can be received—are outdated One measure of the expense of military
and should be modernized. Vesting requires pensions is the “normal cost”—the term actu-
20 years of service, at which point retire- aries use for the accrual of pension costs asso-
ment benefits can be received regardless of ciated with a person working an additional
age. Congress has not changed the pension year. For a military pension, the normal cost
eligibility requirements for U.S. military per- is 44% of basic pay.2 This figure compares to
sonnel for nearly 70 years. a normal cost to the federal government for
The cost entailed by the current mili- the Federal Employees Retirement System
tary retirement benefit eligibility require- (FERS) basic annuity for employees hired
ments has increased over time because of after 2013 of 9.6% of pay (Isaacs [2014]).3
increases in life expectancy. Life expectancy Thus, military pensions as a rough approxi-
has risen more than one year per decade since mation are more than four times as expensive
Congress enacted the current retirement relative to pay as civilian federal government

116 MODERNIZING P ENSION ELIGIBILITY FOR THE U.S. M ILITARY WINTER 2016

JOR-Turner.indd 116 20/01/16 1:40 pm


pensions. However, because only 17% of enlisted persons For example, it could be that military pensions are high
stay in the service for the 20 years necessary to receive relative to wages to compensate for low wages, and that
a pension, for the great majority of enlisted personnel, the total compensation is reasonable. For example, the
the value of their pension is zero. For those receiving a Tenth Quadrennial Review of Military Compensation
military pension, the value of the pension may exceed [2008] argues that military compensation would be
the lifetime value of their pay. more efficient, meaning more highly valued by most
This article analyzes policy issues relating to the military personnel, if pay were higher and pensions
retirement benefit eligibility requirements for members lower. The current approach results in a large differ-
of the U.S. military. It focuses on the earliest age at ence in total compensation per year of service between
which members of the military are eligible to collect service personnel who receive a pension and those who
retirement benefits, but it also considers vesting, two do not. As well as being inefficient, this difference is
aspects of the military pension system not addressed by unfair between service personnel who do multiple tours
the 2015 reform. The article examines both the costs of duty in war zones but do not stay in the military for
and the benefits of raising the military retirement benefit 20 years, compared to other personnel who may not
eligibility requirements and changing vesting require- spend any time in a war zone but stay in the military
ments. To provide evidence on the feasibility of a higher for 20 years and receive a pension.
retirement age, it examines international experience Whatever the appropriate mix of current and
relating to military retirement ages. deferred compensation may be, the high normal cost
The article is structured as follows. It first provides per person serving in the military translates into a high
a more detailed discussion of the cost of military pen- aggregate cost. In 2012, spending on military retire-
sions. It then describes the current eligibility require- ment benefits for current retirees was $52.9 billion,
ments for the U.S. military pension, other aspects of the nearly as large as the spending on military pay for cur-
current military pension system, and the latest reform. rent active duty members of the military, which was
To provide evidence on retirement ages that are fea- $57.5 billion, or 0.4% of gross domestic product (GDP),
sible in a modern military, it surveys retirement ages for and 1.6% of federal government expenditure. That
military in other countries with similar military com- year, the military services contributed $21.9 billion
mitments. It then presents an analysis of the costs and toward the payment of future benefits, and the Trea-
benefits of a policy change that would raise the age at sury Department contributed $70.1 billion, for a total
which military pensions can be received. The last section contribution of $92.0 billion (Department of Defense,
summarizes the article. Office of the Actuary, [2014b]). This was not much less
than the spending of $110 billion (in 2013) on procuring
THE COST OF MILITARY PENSIONS weapons (Hegseth [2014]).
The contributions toward future pensions are
The normal cost calculation for military pensions almost twice as much as the pay received by the mili-
of 44% of basic pay is an average for all military per- tary, in part because the contributions from the Treasury
sonnel, including those who will not receive a pen- Department include the amortization of unfunded
sion. The Department of Defense estimates that 49% of liabilities, ref lecting insufficient contributions in past
officers and 17% of enlisted personnel currently in the years. To our knowledge, the military pension plan has
military will receive pension benefits (Department of the largest unfunded liability of any employer-provided
Defense [2011]). For the nearly half of the officers who pension plan in the United States. The unfunded lia-
receive a pension, the expected lifetime value to them bility for military pensions, as valued by the Depart-
exceeds the total value of their pay. Thus, the pension ment of Defense actuaries, is nearly a trillion dollars
is exceedingly generous for those who receive it, and ($934 billion in 2012) (Department of Defense, Office
that generosity is largely due to the low age at which it of the Actuary [2014b]).4
can be received. By way of comparison, the combined unfunded
Ultimately, the relevant analysis relating to the liability for the Civil Service Retirement System and
generosity of compensation would be at the level of the FERS, the two systems that cover most federal
total compensation, rather than the replacement rate. government civilian employees, was $789.8 billion in

WINTER 2016 THE JOURNAL OF R ETIREMENT 117

JOR-Turner.indd 117 20/01/16 1:40 pm


2012—also substantial, but less than for the military pension credit is 3.0% of their military pay. Military
(Office of Personnel Management [2014]). The larger service can be credited toward a civilian pension only
unfunded liability for the military pension is not due to if the person is not eligible for a military pension based
the difference in the number of employees; the Federal on that service (Isaacs [2014]).
government currently has about 2.7 million employees Members of the military have contributed to Social
versus 1.5 million full-time military personnel. Security since 1957. They can receive Social Security
For further comparison, the unfunded liability for benefits at age 62, just like other workers.
all multiemployer plans in 2013 in the United States was Regular military compensation is a better mea-
$490 billion (Schilling and Wiese [2015]). Yet despite sure of compensation for comparing military replace-
its large amount of underfunding, the military retire- ment rates to those in the private sector than is basic
ment system has received relatively little attention in the pay (Department of Defense, Office of the Actuary
economics and public policy literature. [2014a]). It is the sum of: (1) basic pay, (2) the housing
allowance, (3) the subsistence allowance, and (4) the tax
CURRENT RETIREMENT AGE AND PENSION advantages accruing to these and some other allowances,
PLAN FOR U.S. MILITARY because they are not subject to federal income tax. For
a person retiring after 20 years of service, basic pay is
The current 20-year requirement for eligibility for approximately 66.5% of regular military compensation.
retirement was enacted during the demobilization of Consequently, a member who retires with 20 years of
military personnel after World War II, almost 70 years service and is entitled to 50% of basic pay would receive
ago. The requirement implies that a person who joins 33.25% of his or her final three years of regular military
the military at age 18 has a benefit eligibility age of 38. compensation, while a member with 30 years of service
The military retirement system applies to mem- would receive 50%.
bers of the Army, Navy, Marine Corps, Air Force, and As a comparison, federal civilian employees par-
Coast Guard, all of whom are covered by a defined ticipating in the FERS who retire at age 62 with 20 years
benefit pension plan. Those who entered the military of service would receive a replacement rate of 22% of the
after August 1, 1986, qualify for benefits equal to 50% average of their highest three years of basic pay (Office
of the three highest years of base pay after 20 years of of Personnel Management [2015]). They would also
service.5 The benefit increases by 2.5 percentage points receive a benefit from the Thrift Savings Plan (TSP),
per year of additional service, so that a person serving in which is the 401(k)-type plan for federal government
the military for 40 years receives 100% of the average of employees. The Federal government contributes an
his or her three highest years of base pay (Department automatic 1% of pay for all employees, and for employees
of Defense [2014b]). contributing 5% of pay, it matches for an additional 4%.
U.S. Army Reserve and Army National Guard Including the TSP contributions of employees and the
personnel and Reserve personnel in the other branches government would affect the comparison of the amount
of the military can receive a retirement pension when of retirement benefits received.
they have accrued 20 qualifying years of service and This comparison suggests that the military pension
reached age 60 (Department of Defense [2011]). Thus, system is generous for those officers who receive a ben-
members of the military who leave active-duty status efit from it. For example, for those retiring from active
and enter the National Guard or Reserves can still duty in the Army in Fiscal Year 2013, the average annual
qualify for a pension, but at an age roughly 20 years retirement benefit for nondisabled commissioned officers
older than had they stayed on active duty. was approximately $64,020, while it was approximately
Veterans of active-duty military service hired $28,980 for nondisabled enlisted personnel (calculations
into civilian federal employment after September 30, from Department of Defense, Office of the Actuary
1982, can receive civil service retirement credit for post- [2014a]).6 These benefits would be received from the
1956 military service if they pay the government an point of retirement from the military, which generally
amount covering the pension credits for their military would be when the service member was in his or her
service. Employees hired in 1984 or later participate in early 40s.
the FERS. For them, the required payment to receive

118 MODERNIZING P ENSION ELIGIBILITY FOR THE U.S. M ILITARY WINTER 2016

JOR-Turner.indd 118 20/01/16 1:40 pm


The retirement benefits are price-indexed, so they and officers. To enter the military, a person must be at
keep pace with inf lation. Survivor benefits are automati- least age 17 and have a high school diploma or General
cally provided but require the payment of a monthly Educational Development certificate. An enlisted person
premium once the service member is retired, and they thus could enter the military at age 17 and retire at age
can only be waived with the agreement of the spouse. 37, receiving a pension benefit for the remainder of his or
Since 2001, members of the military have been her life. For most officers, the earliest age at which they
able to participate in the TSP. While the federal govern- can retire is a few years higher because civilians entering
ment contributes to the TSP accounts of civilian per- Officer Candidate School must have a four-year college
sonnel in the Federal Employees Retirement System, degree. Thus, most officers would be able to retire as
it has not contributed to the TSP accounts of military early as age 41 or 42.
personnel in the past. Most people who serve in the military do not
The 2015 reform increases the role of the TSP receive a military pension; less than 19% of people
while reducing the generosity of the defined benefit (including both enlisted personnel and officers) who
plan, with new recruits receiving 40% of final pay from enter the military meet the 20-year vesting requirement
that plan after 20 years of service, instead of the current and receive a pension (Department of Defense [2014a]).
50%. The 2016 Defense Authorization Act containing As noted earlier, the percentage varies greatly, however,
the military pension reform passed both the House and between officers and enlisted personnel. The Depart-
Senate in late 2015 and was signed into law by President ment of Defense estimates that 49% of officers and 17% of
Obama. enlisted personnel currently in the military will receive
The provisions of the law are mandatory for new pension benefits (Department of Defense [2011]).
recruits; current military personnel can opt into the Thus, assuming that combat veterans do not serve
new system if they have less than 12 years of service longer on average than other personnel, most military
as of January 1, 2018. Starting then, new recruits will personnel who serve in combat do not ultimately receive
automatically have 3% of pay deducted and contributed a retirement pension. Officers are nearly three times
to the TSP, with the government also contributing 1% more likely than enlisted personnel to receive a pension.
of pay. The default investment is an age-appropriate This arrangement, which so disproportionately benefits
life-cycle fund. New recruits have the option of opting higher-paid personnel, would be considered abusive in
out, but will be re-enrolled after one year. They will a private-sector plan and would not pass the nondis-
vest in their own contributions immediately and vest in crimination tests that are designed to protect lower-paid
the government’s contributions after two years. After workers.
two years, the government match will rise to 5% of pay For those who leave the military with a pension,
for service members contributing 5% (Stars and Stripes the average age at retirement in Fiscal Year 2013 for
[2015]). These plan features are similar, but not iden- active duty nondisabled personnel was 46.9 for officers
tical, to the features of the TSP for most civilians cur- and 43.1 for enlisted personnel (Department of Defense,
rently joining government service (i.e., in the Federal Office of the Actuary [2014a]). The median age, which
Employees Retirement System). is not available, would be a more telling statistic, because
Workers accrue pensions as part of compensation it is not affected by outliers retiring at substantially older
while working. The new law will provide most enlisted ages. Thus, the median age would be expected to be
personnel with an annual government pension contribu- lower, suggesting that a fairly large share of military
tion of a few percentage points of basic pay, at most 5%. personnel retire close to the earliest possible date. The
By comparison, the roughly half of officers ultimately average number of years of service at retirement in Fiscal
receiving both defined contribution and defined benefit Year 2013 for active-duty nondisabled retirees was 23.9
pension benefits will likely receive an annual compensa- for officers and 22.6 for enlisted personnel. Here again,
tion value of retirement benefits roughly equal to 100% the median would be lower, and would probably indicate
of basic pay. that most enlisted personnel retire once they’ve served
Although there is no minimum retirement age as for 20 years.
such, in practice a minimum retirement age is deter- The military also has regulations that determine
mined by the standard entry ages for enlisted personnel mandatory retirement ages. Mandatory retirement ages

WINTER 2016 THE JOURNAL OF R ETIREMENT 119

JOR-Turner.indd 119 20/01/16 1:40 pm


for officers are higher at higher ranks, but they start at EXHIBIT 1
28 years of service. Mandatory retirement for permanent Minimum Benefit Eligibility Ages for Enlisted
professors at Service schools, such as the Naval Academy, Personnel and Officers and Percentage of GDP
is age 64. Generals in the Army and senior officers in Spent on Military, Selected Countries, 2015
other branches of the military also have mandatory retire-
ment at age 64. Military Service Secretaries can defer the
mandatory retirement age for health professionals and
military chaplains to age 68 (RAND [2011]). Thus, in
its retirement-age policies, the military recognizes differ-
ences by rank and job category in the age of mandatory
retirement. This practice could be carried over to poli-
cies concerning the earliest age for receipt of retirement
benefits, as is done, as shown later, in other countries.

INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE

While police and firefighters also have dangerous


and physically demanding jobs and generally have older
retirement ages than the military, arguably the best com-
parison group for evaluating the feasibility of higher Note: For many countries, this exhibit is a simplification of the actual
rules of the military pension regime. When no age requirement is set, so
retirement ages would be the military in other countries. that the minimum age reported in this exhibit is determined by the years-
The group we select is NATO allies that have military of-service requirement, it is assumed that the person entered the military
forces that have shared responsibilities with the U.S. at age 18. The eligibility age for officers in the United States that is listed
military. The experience of these countries provides evi- in the exhibit is based on the requirement of college graduation.
dence as to retirement ages that are feasible in a modern Sources: Text and references; World Bank (2015) for expenditure data.
military.
In Exhibit 1, we provide data on a range of coun-
Comparable Countries tries, not just those with relatively high military expen-
ditures. For the six countries in the exhibit with military
In comparing the military retirement ages of other expenditures less than 2% of GDP—Canada, Belgium,
countries to the retirement ages in the United States, we Ireland, Poland, Sweden, and Germany—the average
consider the military commitments of different NATO eligibility ages for enlisted personnel and for officers are
countries. We take the ratio of military expenditure to 53.5 and 54.8. The eligibility ages for the six country
GDP as a rough indicator of the military commitments group are actually somewhat higher than those for the
of a country (Exhibit 1). On that basis, we have selected four countries with military commitments deemed
the criterion for countries with substantial military similar to those of the United States. The difference
expenditures as being those with military expenditures might ref lect the inf luence of the strength of military
of at least 2% of GDP. Most countries in NATO spend commitments on pension policy, but it remains the case
less, while the United States spends more. that both groups of countries have eligibility ages that
The comparison countries in Exhibit 1 with mili- typically are 10 or more years higher than those of the
tary expenditures greater than 2% of GDP are France, United States.
the United Kingdom, Portugal and China (not in While we have screened the countries we compare
NATO). The average eligibility ages for military pen- in an attempt to find countries where the military argu-
sions for enlisted personnel and officers in those four ably has similar responsibilities to the U.S. military, some
countries are 49.5 and 52, respectively. Thus, in those analysts may believe that the combat responsibilities of
countries, which have somewhat similar military com- the U.S. military are unique, and that international com-
mitments as the United States, the average eligibility parisons for the point of evaluating military retirement
age for retirement benefits is roughly 10 years higher. ages are thus not useful. A full analysis of that hypothesis

120 MODERNIZING P ENSION ELIGIBILITY FOR THE U.S. M ILITARY WINTER 2016

JOR-Turner.indd 120 20/01/16 1:40 pm


is beyond the scope of this article. Nonetheless, a fur- receive a pension. We do not discuss other aspects that
ther indicator we examine concerning comparability of do not affect eligibility for retirement, such as benefit
military responsibility is the ratio of a country’s military levels.
deaths in Afghanistan to the size of the country’s mili- France. Privates enlist usually for a maximum of
tary. In this respect, we compare the United States to the three or five years, but they can renew. Until recently, if
United Kingdom and Canada (Exhibit 2). they had less than 15 years’ service, they did not acquire
The first point to note is that military deaths pension rights in the military pension. Instead, they
cumulated over the course of the Afghanistan conf lict acquired pension rights in the social security pension,
are less than 0.5% relative to current levels of military which is less generous. In particular, they can retire
personnel in all three countries. The second point is that at age 60 or older. If they reach 15 years of service,
the U.S. military is not unique with respect to military they can retire immediately with a military pension.
deaths; the risk of death is actually marginally higher in Noncommissioned officers usually enlist for 15 years
the military in the United Kingdom. While this indi- and can retire under the same conditions. Officers
cator can be criticized as imperfect, it nonetheless is usually enlist for 25 years and can retire after 25 years
suggestive that experience in other countries, such as of service.
the United Kingdom, may be relevant. Since a reform in 2010, the retirement require-
ments have been increased by two years: the requirement
International Survey is now 17 years of service for noncommissioned officers
and 27 years for officers. The condition of 15 years of
To obtain more detailed information about retire- service for vesting has been reduced to two years. If mili-
ment ages for military personnel in other countries, tary personnel serve fewer years (but more than two),
we surveyed experts in the European Network for they can receive a reduced pension at age 60.
Research on Supplementary Pensions, as well as pen- Portugal. The benefit eligibility age for members
sion experts in other countries, and researched infor- of the Portuguese army is age 60, independent of the
mation available on the Internet. The four countries years of military service. However, they can become
surveyed, with expenditure ratios that exceed 2% of “in reserve” at age 55 with 36 years of service and
GDP, form a convenient sample survey composed receive retirement benefits. To be in reserve means the
of China and three NATO countries. The survey is person can leave active service but may be called back
intended to provide examples of policies in other high- if needed.
income countries rather than to be representative of any The United Kingdom. In 1975, the United
group of countries. Kingdom instituted a military pension system that
The pension system for military personnel in each provided an immediate pension for a person retiring
country tends to be complex. This survey focuses on the with 16 years of service as an officer or 22 years as a
age and length-of-service requirements to be eligible to non-officer. Persons with two or more years of service
who did not meet those requirements for an immediate
pension could receive a deferred pension at age 60
EXHIBIT 2 (United Kingdom Government [2008]). In 2005, the
Military Deaths in Afghanistan, Selected Countries United Kingdom closed that plan and instituted a new
one, under which a person leaving military service at
age 55 with at least two years of service is eligible for
an immediate pension. Some groups, such as doctors,
have a higher eligibility age. A person who leaves before
age 55 can receive a reduced pension at age 65 (United
Kingdom Government [2012]).
In 2012, the United Kingdom again announced
Note: Military deaths since the start of the conflict in 2001 after the changes in the age of retirement for its military, starting
September 11 attacks, as of May 24, 2015. in 2015. Under the new arrangement, members of the
Source: Wikipedia (2015a, b). military are able to claim a reduced pension at age 55

WINTER 2016 THE JOURNAL OF R ETIREMENT 121

JOR-Turner.indd 121 20/01/16 1:40 pm


with 20 years of service, and a full pension at age 67 EXHIBIT 3
(Harding [2012]). Year of Last Change in Military Pension Eligibility
The new U.K. pension legislation also includes Age, Selected Countries, 2015
early-departure payments for persons who leave the
military at age 40 or later but before their normal retire-
ment age and have at least 20 years of service. These
are monthly payments, but are not classified as pension
payments (United Kingdom Ministry of Defense [2014]).
China. Though not a NATO country, China is
included in this survey because it has the world’s largest
military, with approximately 3 million members (Leckie
[2011]), compared to 1.5 million active-duty and full-
time reservists in the United States (Department of
Defense, Office of the Actuary [2014a]). Regulations
enacted in 1981 provide that military personnel can Sources: See text and Acknowledgments.
retire at age 55 for men and 50 for women, or after
30 years of service, if that is earlier.
The survey of the four countries, as well as the date of the last change in the benefit eligibility age for
summary statistics of Exhibit 1 for other countries, show the military pension in selected countries. Among the
that, with the exception of enlisted personnel in France, military programs listed in the exhibit, the U.S. military
the United States has the lowest benefit eligibility ages pension has by far the longest period since the retire-
of the countries surveyed. The difference between the ment age was raised, with a number of countries having
United States and most of the other countries is striking. raised the retirement age for military pensions since the
Among these countries, while nearly all have benefit eli- year 2000.
gibility ages for the military that are substantially higher
than in the United States, most have eligibility ages that COSTS AND BENEFITS OF RAISING THE
are younger than age 60. Raising the benefit eligibility RETIREMENT AGE FOR THE U.S. MILITARY
age in the United States to age 50, for example, would
still place the United States in the bottom half of the Before turning to the specific issue of the retire-
countries of Exhibit 1. ment age, we review a number of high-level commis-
Several lessons can be gained from the interna- sions and independent studies that have proposed changes
tional survey. First, a number of countries have reformed to the system of military pensions, beginning with the
their military pensions, raising the ages at which a pen- Grace Commission, formally known as the President’s
sion can be received. Second, a number of countries Private Sector Survey on Cost Control [1984], which
have established retirement eligibility ages that are sub- was established by President Reagan. The Grace Com-
stantially higher than those of the United States. Third, mission report recommends that the eligibility age for
some countries have higher retirement eligibility ages military benefits be raised to age 55 for reduced benefits
for commissioned officers than for lower-ranking per- and age 62 for unreduced benefits—the earliest age at
sonnel, presumably in recognition of the differing phys- which Social Security old-age benefits can be received.
ical demands at different ranks. Leonard [1988] analyzes the incentive effects of the
military retirement system on recruitment and reten-
LENGTH OF TIME SINCE THE RETIREMENT tion of military personnel. He stresses that proposals
AGE WAS RAISED for retirement benefit eligibility should be evaluated
in terms of their effects on recruitment and retention
As we noted earlier, it has been nearly 70 years since as well as their cost. He finds that the military retire-
Congress enacted a change in the eligibility require- ment system is expensive, and he questions whether
ments for military pensions. Since that time, life expec- the expenditure is cost-effective in terms of its effects
tancy has increased substantially. Exhibit 3 provides the on recruitment and retention of military personnel.

122 MODERNIZING P ENSION ELIGIBILITY FOR THE U.S. M ILITARY WINTER 2016

JOR-Turner.indd 122 20/01/16 1:40 pm


Howe and Jackson [1999] argue that raising military We analyze the effects of an increase in the retirement
pay would be more effective than the current military benefit eligibility requirements, while maintaining
pension system in encouraging recruitment and reten- other aspects of the military retirement system, such as
tion. Christian [2006] provides an overview of previous the 20-year vesting. For example, the benefit eligibility
proposals for military reform, including ones that argued age could be raised to age 50, or a more complex system
for raising the benefit eligibility age and lowering the would be to raise it to age 55 for people with less than
vesting requirements. 20 years of service, and to age 50 for people with 20 or
Asch, Hosek, and Mattock [2014] analyze a pro- more years of service.
posal under which a smaller defined benefit plan for the We also consider an increase in the retirement ben-
military would be combined with the TSP. Military efit eligibility requirements along with a reduction in the
retirees would be able to claim benefits from the smaller vesting requirement to 10 years. Because we do not have
defined benefit plan at the same age as under the current an actuarial model for analyzing the costs and benefits,
system. The TSP benefits could be collected at age 59½. we provide primarily a qualitative analysis, but we also
This change would thus push back the age at which part refer to cost studies for similar proposals.
of military pensions could be received.
Mackin [2014], among others, argues that reform Costs
of the military pension system is needed to promote
equity so that more people entering the military will As noted, only 17% of enlisted personnel ulti-
receive a pension, to control costs, and to encourage mately receive a pension. Attrition of military personnel
longer tenure for personnel in highly technical areas that is fairly noticeable during the first few years of service,
require extensive training. He proposes 10-year vesting but between 10 and 20 years of service relatively few
and a benefit eligibility age of 55. people leave the military (Macklin [2014]). If all those
Every four years, the Department of Defense com- who entered military service could accurately predict the
missions a complete review of military compensation, length of their military service, only 17% of enlisted per-
including pensions. The Military Compensation and sonnel would expect to be affected by an increase in the
Retirement Modernization Commission [2014, 2015], retirement age. Since relatively few enlisted personnel
which is the latest quadrennial commission, released its ultimately receive a pension, it would appear likely that
final report in January 2015. The report recommends most would consider the pension a benefit designed pri-
major pension changes that would improve the equity of marily for officers and would not have entered the mili-
the treatment of enlisted personnel, but does not address tary with the expectation of receiving a pension. Thus,
the issue of the age at which the defined benefit pension we argue that raising the retirement benefit eligibility
can be received. The proposals in its final report are requirements would have relatively little effect on the
similar to Asch, Hosek, and Mattock [2014], in that they recruitment and retention of enlisted personnel.
recommend that the TSP be made an automatic part of The analysis is different for officers. Currently,
the retirement benefits of the military by providing a 49% of officers entering the military ultimately receive
small automatic government contribution. The report a pension. Raising the retirement benefit eligibility
formed the basis for the 2015 reform. requirements could have two effects for officers. First,
In the rest of this section, we focus specifically it could encourage some officers to stay in the military
on the costs and benefits of raising the retirement ben- longer. Second, because the pension would be received
efit eligibility requirements and lowering the vesting for fewer years, it would be less generous in terms of
requirements for the U.S. military. We consider both the lifetime benefits. The pension, however, would still be
costs and benefits for the Defense Department and for generous relative to wages compared with civilian pen-
military personnel. In evaluating the costs and benefits sions. We argue that the high degree of generosity of the
of a change in the benefit eligibility requirements for military pension that would remain under a reformed
military retirement, at least two possible consequences system would still provide a substantial incentive for
of reform should be considered: first, the effect on com- recruitment and retention. Further, if officers stayed in
pensation, and second, the effect on the ability of the the military longer, with more years of service, their
military to recruit and retain the personnel it needs. annual pension benefit would be increased.

WINTER 2016 THE JOURNAL OF R ETIREMENT 123

JOR-Turner.indd 123 20/01/16 1:40 pm


With the current system of 20-year vesting, a capital gained from training and experience, resulting in
change in the promised start date of a pension presum- the need for training for replacement personnel. Though
ably has relatively little effect on military personnel more difficult to quantify, the cost in lost human cap-
with 10 to 15 years or more until vesting because of ital to the military may substantially increase the eco-
the discounting of distant future events. A tendency nomic cost of the early military retirement age, and thus
to discount the future significantly may explain why, increase the benefit of raising it.
because of problems retaining drone pilots, the Air Force Though not a cost borne by the military, the early
in 2015 started a program providing a $15,000 annual age at which retirement benefits can be received also
bonus to drone pilots with at least six years of service results in a cost for the government and the economy.
who agree to an additional five-to-nine-year commit- While many in the military have second careers, to the
ment (McGarry [2015]). This program is designed to extent that people collecting a military pension stop
encourage the retention of these officers and is presum- working, they do not benefit the economy and the
ably necessary because the length of time to vesting nation through productive activity, and they are not
causes a future pension to provide relatively little incen- paying as much in income taxes and Social Security
tive to stay in the military. A change to 10-year vesting contributions as they would if they were working.
would increase the incentive for these officers to stay in In addition to changing the age at which benefits
the military for at least 10 years. can be received, a decrease in vesting would increase the
If the retirement benefit eligibility age require- chances that enlisted personnel, most of whom do not
ments increased, for some people who serve in the now qualify for a pension, would achieve some degree of
military but leave before the higher age, work in the financial security in retirement. If vesting were reduced
federal government in law enforcement would become to 10 years, more enlisted personnel presumably would
an option. The Transportation Security Administra- remain in the military that long in order to qualify for
tion, for example, advertises that many of its employees a military pension.
formerly served in the military. Military personnel in It is not possible to provide budget-quality cost
the federal government receive preferential treatment in estimates of the types of changes discussed here without
hiring. However, for federal law enforcement jobs, there an actuarial model and full specification of the changes.
is a maximum age at entry of 37 (Department of Justice Costs would depend not only on the details of a spe-
[2012]), making it impossible under 20-year vesting cific proposal but also on the effects of that proposal
to qualify for a military pension before entering those on the recruitment and retention of personnel (Mackin
jobs. A decrease in the years for vesting in the military [2014]). Nonetheless, some studies have costed similar
pension and an increase in the maximum entry age for proposals. One estimate of the steady state cost savings
federal law enforcement would facilitate post-military for a proposal that would include vesting after 10 years
employment. and benefit eligibility at age 60 for those with less than
20 years of service, and age 57 for those with 20 or
Benefits more years of service, is a 7% reduction in pension costs
once the system is fully in place. Personnel with 20 or
The policy benefits to the Defense Department more years of service would be eligible for a pension
of raising the military retirement benefit eligibility at younger ages, with the benefit amount reduced by
requirements are primarily the cost savings that would 5% for each year the retirement age falls below age 57.
be incurred, but also the correction of the incentive for That proposal was calibrated so as to replicate the cur-
some people to retire from the military in their early 40s. rent force structure in terms of personnel retention rates
Alternatively, if the cost savings were used to finance (Tenth Quadrennial Review of Military Compensation
the cost of earlier vesting, there would be no net cost [2008]).
savings to the pension plan, but the policy would still be Simulations of a similar proposal to reduce vesting
desirable because it would correct the incentives associ- to 10 years and raise the benefit eligibility age to 57 for
ated with receiving a retirement benefit at an early age. those with 20 or more years of service, and 60 for those
In addition, the retirement from the military of with less than 20 years of service, suggest that the per-
persons in their early 40s results in the loss of human centages of military personnel staying until 10 years and

124 MODERNIZING P ENSION ELIGIBILITY FOR THE U.S. M ILITARY WINTER 2016

JOR-Turner.indd 124 20/01/16 1:40 pm


20 years would decline. However, that decline could The eligibility requirements for receipt of a mili-
be reversed if the reform package also included special tary pension in the United States have not been adjusted
service bonuses of 50% of basic pay that would be paid for nearly 70 years. Over this time period, life expec-
after 10, 15, 25, and 30 years of service. This proposal tancy has increased substantially, raising the cost of pro-
would slightly increase the average length of service, viding military pensions. This situation of policy inertia
reducing the number of people the military would need contrasts with that in a number of countries that have
to recruit, reducing recruiting and training costs (Tenth reformed their military pensions over this period.
Quadrennial Military Retirement Commission [2008]). The United States now provides military pensions
at younger ages than many other NATO countries—
ENACTMENT STRATEGY by more than a decade in the case of some countries.
Thus, the experience from other job environments with
Typically, when a pension system reform raises the similar requirements suggests that the retirement benefit
age at which benefits can be received, the changes are eligibility requirements for the U.S. military could be
phased in over time (Turner [2007]). While a phase-in raised. Higher requirements would affect relatively few
has the disadvantage of postponing the cost savings, it enlisted personnel because few receive a pension. The
also has the advantage that groups with similar retire- effect would be more significant for officers because they
ment dates are not treated substantially differently, which have a much higher probability of receiving a pension.
would raise questions of fairness in the treatment of dif- A further problem with the military pension system
ferent cohorts of workers. If a phase-in approach were is that it is unfair to enlisted personnel. The 20-year
adopted, the earliest age at which a pension could be vesting requirement for the defined benefit pension, and
received could be raised over time for new recruits from the resulting effect that officers are nearly three times as
37 to, say, 50 by one year of age per year of time. Thus, if likely as enlisted personnel to receive a pension, would
this change were enacted in 2016, it would not take effect be considered abusive for any other pension plan, and
fully until 2029. While this was happening, a reduction would violate vesting and nondiscrimination rules that
in the vesting requirement, for example, to 10 years, apply to private sector pensions. Raising the retirement
could also be phased in. However, because this is an benefit eligibility requirements, and using the cost sav-
improvement in benefits, an alternative would be that the ings to reduce the number of years required for vesting,
reduction in vesting would take effect immediately and would raise compensation for workers who currently
would also apply to people already serving in the military. would not receive a pension but after this change would
vest and ultimately receive one.
CONCLUSION This change would provide a more valuable option
for most new recruits than the current arrangement, and
Military pensions in the United States are expen- thus could be effective as a recruitment tool. It would
sive. At the same time, they are unfair to enlisted per- provide more equitable treatment for the enlisted men
sonnel. In part because of their high normal cost, the and women who serve in the military. While the 2015
military pension plan has the largest unfunded liability of reform assures that most people entering the military will
any employer-provided pension plan in the United States. receive at least a small 401(k)-type pension, it still leaves
Nonetheless, the military pension plan has received rela- in place a military pension system that is highly inequi-
tively little attention in the economics literature. table in its treatment of enlisted personnel compared to
The problem of the expense of the system results officers, and is highly inefficient in its effect of causing
from the suboptimal pension design, whose high cost retirement from the military at relatively young ages.
is due to a large extent to the age at which benefits
are first received. With current life expectancies, U.S.
ENDNOTES
military personnel retiring at age 42 with 20 years of
service can expect to receive a pension for nearly twice We have received valuable input concerning military
as many years as they served. This statistic presents the retirement systems from Tianhong Chen, Johannes Hagen, and
essence of the argument for why the military retirement from the following country experts in the European Network
age should be raised. for Research on Supplementary Pensions: Arnauld d’Yvoire,

WINTER 2016 THE JOURNAL OF R ETIREMENT 125

JOR-Turner.indd 125 20/01/16 1:40 pm


Noriyasu Watanabe, Heinz-Dietrich Steinmeier, Adam Sam- ——. “Military Compensation: Retirement.” 2014b, http://
borski, Michelle Maher, Paul Roels, Eskil Wadsenjo, and militarypay.defense.gov/retirement/.
Maria Clara Murteira. Sandy Mackenzie, Benjamin Jones,
and David McCarthy have provided valuable comments. Department of Defense, Office of the Actuary. “Statistical
1
The reform is contained in the 2016 National Defense Report on the Military Retirement System: Fiscal Year 2013.”
Authorization Act. 2014a, http://actuary.defense.gov/Portals/15/Documents/
2
The normal cost is calculated based on the aggregate statbook13.pdf.
entry age cost method.
3
This does not include the cost to the federal govern- ——. “Valuation of the Military Retirement System,
ment of its contributions to the Thrift Savings Plan for fed- September 30, 2012.” 2014b, http://actuary.defense.gov/
eral government employees. The compensation base for the Portals/15/Documents/MRF_ValRpt2_2012.pdf.
military does not include a housing allowance.
4
The discount rate used is 5.5%. Department of Justice. “Maximum Entry Age and Manda-
5
The Congressional Budget Office (2012) provides a tory Retirement of Law Enforcement Officers.” 2012, http://
more detailed explanation of the complexities of the calcula- www.justice.gov/jmd/hr/hrorder/chpt1-6.htm.
tion of retirement benefits.
6
Including beneficiaries receiving disability pensions Harding, T. “Armed Services to Serve Longer But Still Earn
and reserve retirements would lower the averages. Smaller Pension.” The Telegraph, August 1, 2012, http://www.
telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/9442343/Armed-services-to-
REFERENCES serve-longer-but-still-earn-smaller-pension.html.

Asch, B.J., J. Hosek, and M.G. Mattock. Toward Meaning ful Hegseth, P. “Military Pension Reform 2.0.” Opinion, Wall
Military Compensation Reform: Research in Support of DOD’s Street Journal, March 23, 2014, http://online.wsj.com/news/
Review. RAND Corporation, 2014, http://www.rand.org/ articles/SB10001424052702304747404579447021723232080.
content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR500/RR501/
RAND_RR501.pdf. Howe, N., and R. Jackson. “Holding the Line on Military
Pensions.” The Concord Coalition, Vol. 5, No. 4 (February 25,
Bell, F.C., and M.L. Miller. “Life Tables for the United States 1999).
Social Security Area, 1900-2100.” Social Security Actuarial
Study No. 120, 2005, http://www.ssa.gov/oact/NOTES/ Isaacs, K.P. “Credit for Military Service under Civilian
as120/LifeTables_Body.html. Federal Employee Retirement Systems.” Congressional
Research Service, March 27, 2014, http://fas.org/sgp/crs/
Christian, J. “An Overview of Past Proposals for Military misc/R40428.pdf.
Retirement Reform.” Rand National Defense Research
Institute, 2006, http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/ Leckie, S.H. “Civil Service and Military Service Pensions in
pubs/technical_reports/2006/RAND_TR376.pdf. China.” Hermes-IR. Paper presented at Workshop on Civil Ser-
vice and Military Pension Arrangements in Selected Countries
Congressional Budget Office. “Costs of Military Pay and in Asia-Pacific, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi
Benefits in the Defense Budget.” November 2012, http:// University, Tokyo, Japan, 2011, http://hermes-ir.lib
www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/11-14- .hit-u.ac.jp/rs/bitstream/10086/18939/1/pie_dp505.pdf.
12-MilitaryComp_0.pdf.
Leonard, H.B. “Investing in the Defense Workforce: The
Department of Defense. “Eligibility for Military Retire- Debt and Structure of Military Pensions.” In Public Sector
ment Pay.” 2011, http://www.dfas.mil/retiredmilitary/plan/ Payrolls, edited by David A. Wise. Chicago: University of
eligibility.html. Chicago Press, 1998, pp. 47-78, http://www.nber.org/
chapters/c7149.pdf.
——. “Concepts for Modernizing Military Retirement.”
March 6, 2014a, http://www.mcrmc.gov/public/docs/library/ Mackin, P. “Expanding Access While Saving Money in
payretire/20140306-DoD-Concepts-for-Modernizing- the Military Retirement System.” American Enterprise
Military-Retirement-White-Paper.pdf. Institute, May 7, 2014, https://www.aei.org/wp-content/
uploads/2014/05/-expanding-access-while-saving-money-
in-the-military-retirement-system_103923460983.pdf.

126 MODERNIZING P ENSION ELIGIBILITY FOR THE U.S. M ILITARY WINTER 2016

JOR-Turner.indd 126 20/01/16 1:40 pm


McGarry, B. “U.S. Air Force Announces $15K Yearly Bonus Turner, J.A. “Social Security Pensionable Ages in OECD
to Retain More Drone Pilots.” Military.com, 2015, http:// Countries: 1949-2035,” International Social Security Review,
www.military.com/daily-news/2015/07/15/us-air-force- Vol. 60 No. 1 (2007), pp. 81-99.
announces-15k-yearly-bonus-retain-more-drone-pilots.
html?comp=7000023431425&rank=1. United Kingdom Government. “AFPS75: Your Pension Scheme
Explained.” April 2008, https://www.gov.uk/government/
Military.com. “The Military Retirement System.” 2015, uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/f ile/252573/
http://www.militar y.com/benef its/militar y-pay/the- afps75_mmp106_your_pension_scheme_explained.pdf.
military-retirement-system.html.
——. “Armed Forces Pension Scheme 2005.” 2012, https://www
Military Compensation and Retirement Modernization .gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_
Commission. “Interim Report.” June 2014, http://www. data/file/341323/01_JSP764_Part1_July14_amd6.pdf.
mcrmc.gov/public/docs/reports/MCRMC-Interim-Report-
Final-HIRES-L.pdf. United Kingdom Ministry of Defense. “Regulations for the
Armed Forces Early Departure Payments Scheme 2015 (A Sum-
——. “Final Report.” January 29, 2015, http://mldc.whs. mary).” 2014, https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/
mil/public/docs/report/MCRMC-FinalReport-29JAN15- system/uploads/attachment_data/file/320805/20140616-
LO.pdf. EDP-Regs-Summary.pdf.

Office of Personnel Management (OPM). “Civil Service U.S. House of Representatives, House Budget Committee.
Retirement and Disability Fund: Annual Report, Fiscal Year “The Need to Reform Military Compensation.” December
Ended September 30, 2013.” February 2014, https://www.opm. 10, 2013, http://budget.house.gov/news/documentsingle.
gov/about-us/budget-performance/other-reports/2013-civil- aspx?DocumentID=364048.
service-retirement-and-disability-fund-annual-report.pdf.
Wikipedia. “Coalition Causalities in Afghanistan.” 2015a,
——. “FERS Information.” 2015, https://www.opm.gov/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coalition_casualties_in_
retirement-services/fers-information/computation/. Afghanistan.

President’s Private Sector Survey on Cost Control. A Report ——. “List of Countries by Number of Military and Paramil-
to the President. January 1984. itary Personnel.” 2015b, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_
of_countries_by_number_of_military_and_paramilitary_
RAND. “Retirement for Age and Years of Service.” 2011, personnel.
http://dopma-ropma.rand.org/retirement-for-years-of-
service.html. World Bank. “Military Expenditure.” 2015, http://data.
worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS.
Schilling, L.A., and P. Wiese. “Multiemployer Plan Stress
Metrics.” Society of Actuaries, 2015, https://www.soa.org/
f iles/research/projects/research-2015-08-stress-metrics- To order reprints of this article, please contact Dewey Palmieri
report.pdf. at dpalmieri@ iijournals.com or 212-224-3675.

Stars and Stripes. “Military Retirement Overhaul Set to


Roll Out During Next Two Years.” November 11, 2015,
http://www.military.com/daily-news/2015/11/11/military-
retirement-overhaul-set-to-roll-out-during-next-two-
yea.html.

Tenth Quadrennial Review of Military Compensation.


“Report of the Tenth Quadrennial Review of Military Com-
pensation, Volume 2—Deferred and Noncash Compensa-
tion.” July 2008, http://militarypay.defense.gov/Portals/107/
Documents/Reports/10th_QRMC_2008_Vol_II.pdf.

WINTER 2016 THE JOURNAL OF R ETIREMENT 127

JOR-Turner.indd 127 20/01/16 1:40 pm


Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without
permission.

You might also like