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OVARIAN CANCER

Incidence and Case-Control Study


JOHN PHD, H. STROM,MD, DAVIDG. DECKEK,
F. ANNEGEKS, MD,
MD,'k A N D W. MICHAEI.
MALXOLMB. DOCKEKIY, PHD
O'FAL.I.ON,

The incidence of ovarian cancer in Rochester, Minnesota over the 40-year


period 1935 through 1974 was determined; and risk factors for epithelial
ovarian cancer occurring in Rochester from 1945 to 1974 were examined in
116 patients and 464 controls. Among the characteristics studied, only nul-
liparity was found to be a significant risk factor-relative risk 1.8. Other
suspected risk factors-including hypertension, obesity, age at menopause,
prior therapeutic pelvic radiation, and prior exposure to exogenous estro-
gen-were found not to differ significantly between patients and controls.
The ovarian cancer patients were found to have a significantly lower fre-
quency of prior hysterectomy and of unilateral oophorectomy than the con-
trol group. Thus our data show that hysterectomy, even when one or both
ovaries are preserved, is associated with a lower risk of subsequent ovarian
cancer.
Cancer 43:723-729, 1979.

0 VARIAN C A N C E R is both common and


highly fatal. In the United States, it
causes some 12,000 deaths per year. Although
MATERIALSA N D METHODS
Our basic resources were the medical
there are wide international variations in records and retrieval system of the Rochester
ovarian cancer incidence rates, the rates are Project at the Mayo Clinic, which have been
very similar among the industrialized nations utilized in the study of many diseases.8
of northern Europe and the United States.
Also, in these countries the incidence rates of Cases
ovarian cancer appear to have been stable for
as long as there have been adequate tumor Records of all Rochester residents with a
registry data. The fact that incidence rates are diagnosis of ovarian cancer from 1935
relatively low in southern Europe and South through 1974 were reviewed. These included
America and very low in Japan suggests en- records at the Mayo Clinic and at other medi-
vironmental factor^,^ although differences in cal facilities serving the local population. All
diagnosis and reporting cannot be entirely dis- autopsy diagnoses of ovarian cancer were re-
missed. In addition, migrant studies show that viewed also; and three cases first diagnosed
the rates among Oriental immigrants to the at autopsy, satisfying the pathologic criteria,
United States approach those of Caucasian were included in the series. It should be noted
Americans after a generation or two. In that the autopsy rate in the Rochester popu-
Israel, rates are high among immigrants from lation is very high (65%).
Europe and low among immigrants from For the incidence study, a total of 151 cases
Asiaz1 We are aware of only four case-con- met the residential, diagnostic, and pathologic
trol studies of ovarian cancer.6*9*'9~21 These criteria. Sections of the pathologic material
studies have not consistently found any were available from all but four cases and
suspected risk factors to be of significance. were reviewed by the same pathologist
(M.B.D.). In the four cases without such ma-
From the Mayo Clinic a n d Mayo Foundation, terial, the recorded clinical indications of
Rochester, Minnesota. ovarian cancer were strong; and these cases
Supported in part by N I H Grant GM 14231. were included in the series. The distribution
* Emeritus staff. of cell types (Table 1) is similar to that
Address for reprints: J. F. Annegers, PhD, c/o Section
of Medical Statistics, Mayo Clinic, 200 First Street SW, found in various reported series of ovarian
Rochester, MN 55901. cancer cases.
Accepted for publication April 28, 1978. T h e case-control study was limited to the
0008-543X1791020010723 $0.85 0 American Cancer Society
723
724 CANCER
February 1979 Vol. 43

TABLE I . Histologic Types of Ovarian Cancer in first medical record to the index date was
Incidence Study (Rochester MN, 1935- 1974)
greater than 30 years; and for the vast ma-
Cell type No. cases jority of subjects the records encompassed at
least 10 years of prior medical care in the
Epithelial 138 community.
Serous 49
Mu ci n ou s 17
Mixed serous-mucinous 3 Statistical Methods
Endometroid 28
Mesonephric 4 The relative risks (RR) of ovarian cancer
Anaplastic 36 associated with various risk factors were esti-
Adenocarcinoma unclassified 1 mated by the matched-quintuplets method of
Miscellaneous 9 Miettinen13 when the value of the factor was
Teratoma (malignant) 3
Granulosa theca 3
known for all patients and controls. When two
Teratoma with adenocarcinoma and risk factors were being studied simultaneously
malignant melanoma and or when some data were lacking, we ig-
fibrosarcoma 1 nored the matching characteristic of the con-
Carcinosarcoma 1 trols and estimated the RR by the odds
Ovarian remnant 1
(Clinical diagnosis only) (4)
ratio, using the correction factor discussed by
TOTAL 151 Flei~s.~

INCIDENCE RATES
116 patients with a diagnosis of epithelial The incidence rates of ovarian cancer in
ovarian cancer during the years 1945 through Rochester over the 40-year period, 1935
1974. through 1974, are presented in Fig. 1 and
Table 2. As has been demonstrated many
Controls times, the incidence rates rise sharply until
about age 60 and then plateau in the older
For each of the 116 patients, 4 controls were
age groups. Since women with a prior bilateral
selected. These were women age-matched
(within 2 years) to the patient and resident oophorectomy are not at risk to ovarian can-
cer, the proportion of the population at risk
in Rochester at the time when the diagnosis
is less than one. The prevalence of such
was made. Since every patient had at least
some ovarian tissue at the time of diagnosis previous oophorectomy was determined
of ovarian cancer, the same requirement was among 820 women from Olmsted County
made of the controls. Review of the control whose admissions to the local medical facilities
over the period 1945-1974 could be re-
group revealed that the usual occasions for
viewed. In the first decade (1945-1954),
their being seen at the medical facilities
from which they were selected were emer- about 4% of the postmenopausal population
gency-room visits and general medical, were without ovaries, and in the succeeding
ophthalmologic, and dental examinations. two decades 10% and 8%, respectively. The
So far as we know, the control group was adjustment for this variable slightly increases
the incidence rate among those at risk to
free of a selection bias for any specific medi-
cal condition. ovarian cancer (Table 2).
When compared with results from other
studies, two aspects of the Rochester data are
Previous Circumstances
of interest. First, the age-adjusted incidence
For the period before the diagnosis of rates among the Rochester population are
ovarian cancer (index date), information was somewhat higher than those reported else-
collected on each patient and the controls where, even when compared to the highest
matched to her. These data included parity, rates from Connecticut (see Fig. 1) and
height, weight, blood pressure, use of exog- Scandinavia.3 It is not known to what ex-
enous estrogen, age at and type of meno- tent this is due to completeness of diagnbsis
pause, therapeutic pelvic radiation, and pelvic and case ascertainment or to characteristics of
surgery. An important aspect of the medical the Rochester population. Second, the age-
'
records linkage system of the Rochester Proj- adjusted incidence rate among the Rochester
ect is the period of medical-records coverage population has declined in the last two
of Rochester residents. For more than half of decades, even with correction for the popula-
the patients and controls, the interval from tion at risk. The incidence rate in the first
No. 2 CANCER. Annegers et al.
OVARIAN 725

2. Incidence of Ovarian Cancer (Rochester M N , 1935-1974): Rates per 100,000


TABLE

1935-1944 1945-1954 1955-1964 1965-1974 1935-1974

Age (yr) No. Rate No. Rate No. Rate No. Rate No. Rate

15-34 3 5.1 2 3.5 2 2.9 4 3.9 11 3.8


35-44 3 15.6 4 18.9 5 21.1 4 14.3 16 17.4
45-54 6 41.8 11 58.0 7 32.2 10 39.5 34 42.3
54-64 7 70.2 13 90.2 13 69.1 11 47.6 44 66.4
65-74 5 79.2 6 63.0 8 60.0 6 32.8 25 52.7
75+ 2 68.7 2 38.0 7 79.4 10 64.9 21 64.8
Total 26 38 42 45 151
Age-adjusted 22.6 24.6 20.7 16.5 20.3
(95% CI*) (13.9-3 1.3) (17.0-32.2) (14.6-26.9) (1 1.6-21.4) (17.1-23.5)
Adjusted for
population at risk t 25.0 22.9 17.8

* Confidence interval. t Data on prior surgery were not collected for 1935-
1944 interval.

decade (1935- 1944) could be an under- Case-Control Study


estimate, in that it is possible that a number Table 3 presents highlights of the four
of cases with ovarian cancer were not diag- previous ovarian cancer case-control studies.
nosed and at death were recorded as "ab- It should be noted that only in the study by
dominal carcinomatosis." Lau et aL9 was there a general-population con-
The Rochester population apparently dif- trol: the others used hospitalized patients,
fers from the national population in having and t w o of them used patients with specific
a high percentage of nulliparous women, diseases. Reports of clinical series have indi-
and this difference was greatest during the cated that a high proportion of women with
first decades of our study. Of our con- ovarian cancer are nulliparous and also that
trol group the nulliparous women comprised therapeutic pelvic radiation-particularly
38% in 1945-1954, 34% in 1955-1964, and radiation given to induce menopause-may
21% in 1965-1974. In the United States, be a risk factor.
24.7% of the white female population aged Further, many have considered the use of
45 and over were never married or nul- exogenous estrogen to be a possible risk
liparous in 1960 and 21.1% in 19'70 (US factor in ovarian cancer.1° In a cohort of
Census)." Thus, the high proportion of nullip- 908 women who had taken conjugated estro-
arous women in the Rochester population gen for at least 6 months, studied by Hoover
prior to 1965 could possibly account for both et u . L . , ~ the estimated relative risk of 2.4,
the high incidence and the recent decline. with a 95% confidence interval from 1.0 to
4.8, was barely significant. Indeed, if account
Association with Breast Cancer
is taken of the estimated 10% of the popula-
It has been reported that women with tion without ovaries-as in the Rochester
breast cancer are twice as likely as those population-the expected numbers are ad-
without to develop ovarian cancer later, and justed upward and the lower limit of the con-
that those with ovarian cancer are four times fidence interval becomes 0.9, an even more
as likely as those without to develop breast borderline situation. West,Ig Wynder et al.,"
cancer later.16 Of our 151 patients, 5 had de- and Lau et ~ 1 all. evaluated
~ the prior use of
veloped breast cancer earlier. The expected exogenous estrogen and found no significant
number of prior breast cancer cases, based differences in exposure between their patients
upon age-specific prevalence rates of breast and controls.
cancer in the local population, is 2.9. One The studies by Westlg and Lau et aLy did
patient had subsequent breast cancer, for not reveal association with prior pelvic radia-
which the expected number is 1.4. Thus, in tion. However, Lau et al. found a relative-
this series there is no significant excess of risk measurement of the association between
association between breast cancer and ovarian hypertension and ovarian cancer to be of
cancer-observed, 6; expected, 4.3. How- borderline significance. The risk associated
ever, the sample size is too small to contradict with obesity was studied by Wynder et al.,"
the relationship found by others. who found it only slightly greater among
726 February 1979
CANCER Vol. 43

FIG. 1. Ovarian cancer in-


cidence rates in Rochester MN
and in Connecticut, with 95%
confidence intervals of Rochester
rates.

I 1 I 1 I I I I

1940 1950 1960 1970

ovarian cancer patients than among controls. and with various other indices of low fertility.
A negative relationship between mumps and An analysis of the Third National Cancer
ovarian cancer was reported by Westlg but Survey data, by Weiss et al.,ls revealed that
was not duplicated by Wynder et al. Wynder never-married women have an incidence rate
et al. reported an increased risk with past 1.5 times that of ever-married women (95%
history of dysmenorrhea among his ovarian confidence interval, 1.4- 1.7).
cancer cases.
Parity, long thought to be strongly as- RESULTS
sociated with ovarian cancer, was not found to
be significant by West,lg Wynder et al.,21 or Among our 116 patients with epithelial
Lau et aL9 Joly et al.,6 however, found a low ovarian cancer and 464 controls, nulliparity
but significant risk associated with nulliparity was the only significant risk factor (Table 4).
3. Case Control Studies of Ovarian Cancer
TABLE

Conditions at or before diagnosis

Exog-
No. Pelvic enous
No. con- radia- estro- Hyper- Other
Source pts trols Source of controls tion gen tension Obesity Parity associations

West,Ig 97 97 Benign ovarian NS NS 0 0 NS Negative for


1966 tumors mumps
Wynder 150 300 Hospitalized 0 NS 0 NS 0.8 Positive for
PL n1.,21 dysmenor-
1969 rhea

I
JO~Y 399 395 Non-neoplastic
et ~ l . , ~ disease
1974
362 Colon-rectal 0 0 0 0 1.5 Positive for
cancer (1.1- 1.9) various in-
dices of
low fertility
396 Breast cancer
Lau 149 149 General population NS NS 1.5 0 1.4
et al.,9 receiving x-rays ( 1.O- 2.4) (0.8- 2.2)
1977

0 = not studied; NS = not significant.


No. 2 CANCER
OVARIAN Annegers et al. 727

Parity and 164 (35%)of the controls. The difference,


again, was not of statistical significance.
We found nulliparity in 44% of our ovarian
cancer patients and in 30% of the controls. Prior Pelvic Radiation
The relative risk of 1.8 was significant. Among
the parous, 38% of the patients and 51% of There were 12 patients and 24 controls who
the controls were para three or more. had a history of prior therapeutic pelvic
radiation. Most of the irradiation was done
Age at Menopause between 1920 and 1945. These treatments
were usually for infertility, dysmenorrhea, or
Among those ovarian cancer patients who induction of menopause. The relative risk of
had a normal last menstrual period, it oc- 1.8 (95% confidence interval, 0.9-3.5) was not
curred at or before 52 years of age in 49 statistically significant.
and later in 18 women. Among the controls,
the last normal menstrual period occurred Prior Exogenous Estrogen
at or before age 52 in 196 and later in 65. All indications of estrogen use 6 months or
Thus there was essentially no difference be- more prior to the index date were recorded.
tween the two groups in frequency of early Such indications were found for 25 (22%) of
or late menopause. Both Wynder et aL2' and the 116 patients and 148 (32%) of the 464
Lau et al.,9 in their studies, found a slight controls. Thus estrogen exposure of any type
association between early menopause and and any duration was significantly less
ovarian cancer. frequent among the patients. This difference
Obesity probably is due to the greater parity of the
controls, because there was considerably more
Obesity was defined as weight 30% or more estrogen use associated with pregnancy and
above the upper limit of the ideal weight lactation suppression among the controls. Es-
for given height and medium frame12 at the trogen use of long duration-and specifically
time of diagnosis-or, for controls, the meas- use of conjugated estrogen-did not differ
urement nearest to that date. Among subjects significantly between patients and controls.
for whom data were available, obesity was This is in contrast to our finding in endo-
present in 15% of the patients and 12% of the metrial cancer of a strong relationship with use
controls. of estrogen-and especially use of conjugated
estrogen for more than 6 months."
Hypertension
Prior Surgery
Hypertension, defined as blood pressure
160/95 mm Hg at the time of initial diagnosis, The patients and controls were found to
was tabulated for 35 (30%) of the patients differ greatly in the frequency of prior hys-
4. Risk Factors for Ovarian Cancer (Rochester MN, 1945-1974)
TABLE

Patients Controls

KR 95% CI Pos Neg Pos Neg


Nulliparity 1.8 I .2-2.8 51 64 139 32 1
Menopause, normal at age
5 5 2 yr 1.1 0.6-2.0 49 196
53+ 18 65
Obesity 1.4 0.8-2.5 17 96 52 399
Hypertension 0.8 0.5- 1.2 35 81 164 296
Prior treatment
Pelvic radiation 1.8 0.9-3.5 12 104 24 440
Estrogen
Exogenous:
all 0.5 0.3-0.9 25 91 148 316
2 6 mo 1.o 0.5-1.9 13 103 33 43 1
Conjugated:
all 0.9 0.4- 1.8 9 107 40 424
2 6 mo 0.7 0.2-1.8 3 113 16 448

,,,,-odds ratio estimate of RR; CI-confidence interval.


728 CANCER
February 1979 Vol. 43

TABLE
5. Surgery Prior to Ovarian Cancer: ovarian cancer who had a prior hysterectomy
Genital Status at Diagnosis ranges from 3.6 to 11.7. Since the prevalence
Pa- Con- of intact uteri in that proportion of the popu-
tients trols KH (95% CI) lation at risk to ovarian cancer is not known,
it is not possible to state whether these
Rochester M N , frequencies of prior hysterectomy differ from
1945-1974
Uterus with
those in the general population. The largest
2 ovaries 110 358 1 of the studies is that by Counseller et al. ,2 who
1 ovary 2 26 0.3 (0.08-1.14) found that 4.5% of 1,500 patients with ovarian
N o uterus cancer diagnosed from 1930 through 1952 at
2 ovaries 4 53 0.36 (0.10-0.73) the Mayo Clinic had had prior hysterectomy.
1 ovary 0 27 0.06 (0.004-0.975)
Wynder rt al. This percentage is on the same order as ours,
(1 Y69)2' but most of the patients in Counseller's study
Prior hyster- were diagnosed at an earlier period, and also
ectomy 24 68 0.7 (0.4-1.0) there may be some bias related to referral.
Unilateral
oophorec-
There are few cohort studies wherein a
tomy 3 17 0.4 (0 1-1.2) series of patients who had hysterectomy or
'rOTAL 150 299* unilateral oophorectomy, or both, were
followed up to determine their experience
* One controlhad prior bilateral oophorectomy. with ovarian cancer. Randall et al.I5 studied a
RK-oddsratio estimate of RR; C1-confidence interval
cohort of 345 patients who had had one ovary
removed because of benign ovarian cyst. The
terectomy or unilateral oophorectomy, or mean age of the patients was 40 years and
both (Table 5): such prior treatment had been they were followed up for an average of 15
carried out in only 6 (5%)of the patients but years from the time of their unilateral oopho-
in 106 (23%) of the controls. These data show rectomy. During this period, ovarian cancer
a possible protective effect of prior hysterec- was observed in four patients. Although the
tomy and oophorectomy. The relationship be- number of person-years of follow-up is not
tween prior hysterectomy and ovarian cancer known, the number of ovarian cancers is prob-
was independent of that of parity (Table 6). ably on the order of what one would expect
The study by Wynder et ~ 1 also . supplied
~ ~ in such a group of women in a period of
data on prior surgery. In their report it is that length.
not possible to distinguish subgroups with In another cohort study, Randall14followed
prior hysterectomy, unilateral oophorectomy , 288 women who had had hysterectomy and
and both. However, both prior hysterectomy unilateral oophorectomy and 627 who had
and prior oophorectomy were more frequent had hysterectomy with both ovaries pre-
(though not significantly so) in the controls served. The mean follow-up of both groups
than in the patients (Table 5 ) . was 20 years. He observed only one case of
Over the years there has been considerable subsequent ovarian cancer in each group.
interest in the risk of ovarian cancer sub- Thus, in the hysterectomized group, the
sequent to a hysterectomy or unilateral frequency of subsequent ovarian cancer ap-
oophorectomy, or both. The numerous re- pears to be low, but since the age-specific
ports of the frequency of prior hysterectomy years of follow-up is not known, it is not
among patients with ovarian cancer have been possible to determine the expected number.
summarized by Christ et al.' and Kofler.' In In a similar study, WhitelawZ0identified
these studies the percentage of women with 1,215 women who had had hysterectomy with
I'ABLF
6. Relative Risk of Ovarian Cancer: Prior Hysterectomy vs. Parity (Rochester M N , 1945- 1974)

Cases Controls RR 95% CI


Parous
Without prior hysterectomy 61 257 1
With prior hysterectomy 3 64 0.2 (0.02-0.6)
Nulliparous
Without prior hysterectomy 50 123 1.7 (1.1-2.6)
With prior hysterectomy 1 16 0.4 (0.1-2.1)
RR-OddSratio estimate of relative risk; CI-confidence interval.
No. 2 OVARIAN
CANCER * Annegers et al. 729

one or both ovaries left intact. He observed no was not found to be associated with ovarian
cases of subsequent ovarian cancer; however, carcinoma in a population where a study
the duration and extent of follow-up are not utilizing the same methodology did find a
known. Thus, although the data are far from highly significant association between endo-
satisfactory, available information seems to metrial carcinoma and long-term use of
support the results of our case-control study, conjugated estrogen. Prior hysterectomy with
in that women who have had a hysterectomy or without unilateral oophorectorny was
but retain at least one intact ovary appear, forfound to be far less common in our cases than
some reason, to be at lower risk to subsequent in our controls. Our data and those of others
ovarian cancer than those who have not had suggest that hysterectomy, even with preser-
hysterectomy. vation of one or both ovaries, may reduce the
risk of subsequent ovarian cancer.
DISCUSSION T h e incidence rates of ovarian cancer in
Rochester were found to be higher than those
In this, as in other case-control studies of reported from Connecticut and other parts of
ovarian cancer, no major risk factors have the world with high rates of ovarian cancer.
been identified. With the exception of a slight It is also noted that, at least for the last
risk increment associated with nulliparity, three decades, there has been a slight decline
there were no positive associations between in the incidence of ovarian cancer in the
ovarian cancer and suspected risk factors. Rochester population. It is possible that both
Prior therapeutic radiation, obesity, age at of these phenomena are due to the high pro-
menopause, and prior use of exogenous estro- portion of Rochester women, especially in the
gen were not found to be significant risk fac- earlier decades of our study, who were
tors. Long-term use of conjugated estrogen nulliparous.

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