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Research in Brazil:

Funding excellence
Analysis prepared on behalf of CAPES
by the Web of Science Group
Contents

5
How does Brazilian
research perform?

8
International comparisons

18
Identifying excellence
in Brazilian research

30
Appendix 1

40
Appendix 2

This analysis has been prepared for


CAPES by the Web of Science Group.

It provides a high-level overview of Brazilian


research performance describing recent trends.

We are grateful to Professor Carlos Henrique


de Brito Cruz, the scientific director of the
São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP)
and Mr. Abel Packer, director and co-
founder of the Scientific Electronic Library
Online (SciELO) for their contributions.

2
Executive summary
This analysis provides a snapshot of Brazilian research in a global context and
highlights the significance of international and industry collaborations on research
impact and visibility. Using bibliometrics to analyze data on Brazilian research papers
published between 2013 and 2018, illustrative examples of analyses and evidence
describe the research landscape and provide an indication of the potential impact of
Brazilian research and science policy. The data are drawn from the Web of Science –
the world’s most trusted and largest publisher neutral citation index.

Productivity Collaboration: International


Brazil ranks 13th in the world in terms of its Between 2013 and 2018, Brazilian
output of research articles and reviews researchers collaborated with
indexed in the Web of Science. researchers from 205 countries.

In 2018 alone, Brazilian researchers Approximately a third of Brazil’s


published more than 50,000 papers. research papers are co-authored with
researchers from other countries.
The growth in output is 30% over
this six year period observed and Growth in the % of papers with an
is twice the global average. international co-author has slowed from and
increase of 17.5% between 2013 and 2015 to
There are pockets of excellence, in an increase of 1.8% between 2016 to 2018.
terms of citation impact, in Brazilian
research, in the life sciences, physical Collaboration: Industry
sciences and engineering. Strategies to promote university-industry
research collaborations are bearing fruit in
Citation Impact terms of the number of papers published.
The percentage of Brazilian papers in
the world’s top one percent of most 81% of the joint university industry
highly cited papers is consistently publications for the period 2015-2017 where
more than one percent during the collaborations between public universities
six-year period, 2013-2018. and industry.

The Category Normalized Citation Impact Universities and Research Institutes


(CNCI) of this research is below the Public universities are the main source
world average, but steadily improving. of research publications in Brazil.

Peer Comparisons The 15 universities with the highest


Compared to other BRICS countries, research output, all public, produce
Brazil’s research output, in terms of over 60% of the total research output.
the number of papers indexed in
the Web of Science is average.

Compared to neighboring countries


in Latin America, Brazil’s research
output has a lower CNCI.

3
Background The 2017 report documented the state
In the last decade, Brazil has seen of research output indexed in the Web
sizable growth in its research enterprise, of Science. In this analysis we explore
maintaining its status as one of the Web of Science data4 with a focus on
BRICS countries, alongside Russia, international and university-industry
India, China, and South Africa, and as collaborations and the research output
an emerging economy demonstrating of universities and research institutes to
rapidly growing scientific productivity offer illustrative examples of how different
and influence measured through analyses can generate evidence to help
bibliometrics. Brazil is the fifth most inform policy and decision-making.
populous country in the world, and
remains in the top 10 world economies, We also examine some results from
despite recent economic turmoil. the Scientific Electronic Library Online
(SciELO), which was created and
In this updated analysis the 2017 research implemented in Brazil in 1998 to strengthen
profile of Brazil is revisited1 to examine research infrastructure by developing
where Brazilian researchers continue to be scholarly communication capacity. SciELO
active and to identify areas of excellence. currently includes 296 Brazilian journals,
Over the last decade there has been a of which 99 are high quality, influential
growing interest in Brazil’s research output journals indexed in the Web of Science.
focused on both the national level2 and on
specific fields of research.3 Remarking on When studying the scientific output of
the rapidly changing research landscape a country such as Brazil, it is advisable
in Brazil, Leta, Thijs, and Glänzel (2013) to focus bibliometric analysis on
note that “The huge growth in the Brazilian documents within the Web of Science
production of publications constitutes the that are classified as articles or reviews
greatest potential that goes far beyond the as these are peer-reviewed publications
Latin American region.” that reflect mature research findings.

1
https://www.capes.gov.br/images/stories/download/diversos/17012018-CAPES-InCitesReport-Final.pdf accessed August1,
2019. Adams J. and King C. (2009) Global Research Report: Brazil - Research and Collaboration in the New Geography of Science.
https://www.slideshare.net/nielsleidecker/grr-brazil-jun09-1
2
Glänzel, W., Leta, J. Thijs, B. (2006) Science in Brazil Part 1: A macro-level comparative study. Scientometrics, 67 (1), 67–86. Leta, J,
Thijs, B, & Glänzel, W. (2013) A macro level study of science in Brazil: seven years later. Bibli Encounters: Electronic Journal of Library
and Information Science [Online], accessed 25 Aug. 2019
3
Leta, J., Glänzel, W., Thijs, B. (2006), Science in Brazil. Part 2: Sectorial and institutional research profile. Scientometrics, 61 (1), 87-105.
Andrade Vargas, R.; de Souza Vanz, S.A; Chittó Stumpf, I.R. (2015) Brazilian agricultural research in the Web of Science: a bibliometric
study of scientific output and collaboration (2000-2011). Em Questão, 21 (3), 296-318.
4
Throughout this document, the analysis is restricted to articles and reviews, indexed in the Science Citation Index Expanded
(SCIE), the Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI) and the Arts & Humanities Citation Index (AHCI) of the Web of Science. Whenever
4 mentioned, additional analyses are based on the Brazilian collection of SciELO Citation Index, hosted on the Web of Science platform.
How does Brazilian
research perform?

5
An overview of Brazilian research
performance in recent years
How many research papers India (10th) and South Korea (12th),
does Brazil produce? and ahead of Russia (15th) and South
Africa (21st) (Figure 1). It is worth
noting that despite changing economic
Brazil was ranked 13th in the world in conditions, the growth in Brazilian
terms of its output of research papers research output has been consistently
between 2013 - 2018, just behind strong over this six-year period.

Figure 1

1. USA 2,658,867

2. China 1,810,725

3. UK 812,718

4. Germany 697,608

5. Japan 496,152

6. France 475,964

7. Canada 445,330

8. Italy 435,277

9. Australia 413,301

10. India 403,141

11. Spain 374,281

12. South Korea 352,551

13. Brazil 280,912

14. Netherlands 260,736

15. Russia 217,595

16. Switzerland 197,416

17. Iran 196,272

18. Turkey 178,300

19. Sweden 176,610

20. Poland 172,975

21. South Africa 86,992

0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000

Number of Papers

Papers added to Web of Science, 2013 – 2018.

6
This growth, 30% over this six-year percent of most highly cited papers, and
period, has been twice that of the global the right panel shows the percentage of
average (15%). In 2018 alone, Brazilian papers published by Brazil that are in the
researchers published over 50,000 world’s top ten percent. When looking
papers indexed in the Web of Science. at the top ten percent of highly cited
work, Brazil is below the world average
In addition to the 280,912 papers indexed and the decrease in recent years seems
in the Web of Science (2013-2018), Brazilian more prominent. This seeming drop is
authors published more than sixty thousand not unique to Brazil as larger drops in this
articles and reviews indexed in SciELO measure are seen in recent data from
journals that are not covered in the Web countries that have extensive research
of Science. Bibliometric studies often outputs. It is important to emphasize that
use the world’s top one and ten percent care be exercised in the interpretation of
of most highly cited papers as proxy recent citation counts from 2018, which
indicators for the production of excellent tend to be volatile and the apparent
research. In Figure 2, the left panel shows deviations from the norm may be artefacts
the percentage of papers published of recency of the data rather than dramatic
by Brazil that are in the world’s top one departures from persistent trends.5

Figure 2

1.4 10
World Average

1.2
8
World Average
1.0
% Papers in world's top 10%
% Papers in world's top 1%

6
0.8

0.6
4

0.4

2
0.2

Brazil Brazil
0.0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Percentage of Brazilian papers in the top one percent and top ten percent of most highly cited papers,
2013 – 2018 (world average denoted by the dotted line).

7 5
Adams, J. (2018) Information and misinformation in bibliometric time-trend analysis. Journal of Informetrics 12(4):1063-1071
International
comparisons

8
What is the citation impact proportional increase in publications
of Brazilian research? and high impact publications from China
masks effects in other countries.

As Brazil’s research output grew between This downturn in 2017 is not due to a
2013-2016 the impact of its research, change in the coverage of Brazilian journals
as indicated by the number of citations in the Web of Science. One potential
received, also grew steadily. Figure 3 explanation for the decrease in CNCI
presents a selective global perspective is the reduced growth in the number of
on the distribution of the Category papers with one or more international
Normalized Citation Impact (CNCI)6. co-authors. It is widely recognized that
international collaborations enhance the
Brazil’s annual CNCI reached a peak citation impact of an article10. In the three
in 2016 at 0.91, compared to a world years, 2013 to 2015, the percentage of
average of 1.0. There is an observed papers with an international co-author
drop however, in Brazil’s CNCI in 2017. increased by 17.5%, in the most recent
three years 2016 to 2018 there has only
Other Latin American7 countries also exhibit been 1.8% growth. As mentioned above,
this trend. This trends it is not replicated in a more likely explanation of this seeming
developed8 countries. This trends it is not downturn in Brazilian CNCI is that it is an
replicated in the BRICS9 as the dramatic artefact of the volatility of recent data.

Figure 3

World Average Brazil


1.3

1.2

1.1

1.0
CNCI

0.9

0.91 0.91 0.91


0.88 0.88 0.88
0.8 0.87 0.87 0.87

0.81 0.81 0.81


0.79 0.79 0.79
0.7

0.6
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Latin America Developed BRICS

Category Normalized Citation Impact (CNCI) for Brazil11 and comparator countries by groups, 2013 – 2017.

6
See the appendix for additional details regarding the computation of the CNCI.
7
Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Mexico
8
Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Spain
9
Russia, India, China, South Africa
Katz, J.S. & Hicks, D. Scientometrics (1997) 40: 541. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02459299, accessed August 21, 2019.
10

Adams, J. & Loach, T. (2015). Comment: A well-connected world. Nature. 527. S58-S59.
9 11
The diamonds and the numbers above the diamond indicate Brazil’s CNCI
How does Brazilian impact across countries to gain insight
research compare into the relationship between these
factors and research outputs. For
internationally? instance, China’s recent investments in
higher education and research have led
Several factors, such as the strength of to exponential growth in the quantity
the economy, level and focus of research and quality, as measured by the number
funding, international collaborations and of citations, of research output.
the caliber of educational and research
institutions, can affect the quantity In this analysis of Brazil and its comparator
and influence of a country’s research countries, China, which has published
output. Different countries vary in their at least three times more papers than
approaches to science and technology Brazil or any other comparator country,
policy, so although it is difficult to tease is an extreme outlier, which distorts the
out the individual contribution of any visualization of the data. China data is
of these factors, it could be instructive included in the analysis but excluded
to compare productivity and research from the visualisation Figure 4.

Figure 4

1.6 Canada
Germany
South Africa
1.4 Colombia

France
1.2 Spain
Chile

1.0
World Average Impact
Japan
CNCI

0.8

Brazil
Mexico India
0.6
Argentina
Russia

0.4

0.2

0.0
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000

PAPERS

Output and Category Normalized Citation Impact (CNCI) of all comparator countries excluding China.
The diameter of the circles is proportional to the percentage of papers in the world’s one percent most highly-cited papers, 2013 - 2018.

10
Compared to the other BRICS countries Figure 4 also shows that Brazil publishes
Brazil’s research output is average, with many more papers than other Latin
more publications than those from American countries, though the other
South Africa and Russia and a higher countries have higher citation impact
citation impact than Russia and India. and proportion of papers in the top one
China has higher citation impact, percent of papers worldwide. The higher
above the world average, and vastly citation impact is probably derived from
greater output of peer reviewed papers. international collaboration. Chile and
Compared to developed countries Colombia produce most of their research,
Brazil has a lower citation impact. Brazil’s 67% and 67.5% respectively, in collaboration
research impact is only slightly behind with researchers from other nations while
Japan’s which is the only comparator this percentage for Brazil is 36% over the
developed country with a below world same period. Additional analyses of trends
average citation impact (Figures 3, on would provide useful insights into Brazil’s
page 9 and figure 4, on page 10). relative position and how it has evolved
over time with respect to other countries.

International collaboration
and its citation impact
Who does Brazil collaborate impacts are associated with publications
with internationally? with partners in fellow BRICS countries,
such as China and India, where research
output has been growing rapidly in recent
Brazilian researchers collaborate with years. Here again, a more detailed analysis
scholars from all over the world. Over the of the papers with multiple co-authors
six-year period, 2013-2018, they co-authored suggests a qualitative difference between
papers with researchers from 205 countries, collaborations that arise out of work
which represented approximately a third conducted at hyper-collaborative research
of all the papers in the Web of Science with institutions such as CERN where papers with
Brazilian authors. These collaborations hundreds of co-authors garner thousands of
included established research-intensive citations versus papers that are the outcome
nations such as the G7, neighboring of small groups of researchers working
countries in Latin America, as well as collaboratively on relatively small projects.
fellow BRICS countries. As mentioned
earlier, international collaborations Brazil is also developing more regional
usually have a higher citation impact. collaborations within Latin America as
noted in the Global Research Report on
The highest number of international Brazil (Adams & King, 2009)12. Investments
co-authored papers are published with in projects such as the Brazilian synchrotron
authors in the United States, although these light laboratory, the only source of
papers do not deliver the highest citation synchrotron light in Latin America, enhance
impact. Some of the highest citation opportunities for international collaborations.

12
Adams J. and King C. (2009) Global Research Report: Brazil - Research and Collaboration in the New Geography of Science.
11 https://www.slideshare.net/nielsleidecker/grr-brazil-jun09-1
This laboratory is the research home for Linguistics, Literature and Arts, Humanities
approximately 1,200 Brazilian and foreign and Social Sciences, Applied Social
researchers involved in hundreds of Sciences and Multidisciplinary are
projects and co-authored publications13. excluded from this analysis. The distribution
of the number of papers in each of the
Detailed analyses of Brazilian research remaining five categories is shown by the
output from international collaborations size of the bars in the middle. The flows
is presented in our 2017 CAPES report14. from the middle bars to the countries on
An alternative analysis and visualization of the right are proportional to the number of
international collaborations is demonstrated papers with international co-authors from
in Figure 5, showing the proportion the countries on the right-hand side. There
of papers published betweeen 2013 is some double counting in these flows
and 2018 in a select subset of the nine because several papers have co-authors
CAPES research categories relative to from multiple countries. The size of the
international co-authors countries of origin. rectangles is proportional to the number
of co-authored papers, showing Spain with
The bar on the left represents all papers the most co-authored papers, which is
published in this six-year period in five notable as it has a smaller overall output of
of the nine CAPES research categories papers compared to the other developed
with the largest numbers of publications. countries and some of the BRICS.

Figure 5

Exact and Earth Sciences


China

Russia BRICS
India

South Africa
Health Sciences

France

Germany
Brazil Developed
Biological Sciences Spain

Canada

Japan
Engineering
Argentina

Chile
Latin America
Columbia
Agricultural Sciences
Mexico

International collaboration with select countries by different research area

13
https://www.lnls.cnpem.br/the-lnls/about/ - accessed August 17, 2019.
12 14
https://www.capes.gov.br/images/stories/download/diversos/17012018-CAPES-InCitesReport-Final.pdf - accessed August 17, 2019
Among these comparator countries, Across all research areas, Japan has the
developed countries have the largest number lowest number of papers in collaboration
of collaborations with Brazil. However, the with Brazil. These low numbers are consistent
number of collaborative papers does not with Japan’s lower overall percentage
seem proportional to the partner country’s of papers with international co-authors
total publication output. If this were so, (31.8%) compared to the other developed
it would be expected that China would partners which have 50% or more.
have the most collaborative papers. It
appears that the number of collaborations Latin American countries have lower
depends upon existing research networks numbers of collaborative papers compared
and with researchers in partner countries to Brazil’s partner countries from other parts
with a history of excellence in science. of the world. Argentina collaborates most
frequently with Brazil in Agricultural Sciences
In proportional terms, the fewest (439 papers) and Biological Sciences (1,762).
collaborations are in Agricultural Sciences Across the region, the most collaborations
and the most in Exact and Earth Sciences. are in Exact and Earth Sciences and Health
For each partner country, Exact and Earth Sciences and the least in Engineering.
Sciences is usually the most productive
research area, with at least 1,000 papers In SciELO, international collaborations have
per partnership. The highest number grown steadily over the past few years and
of papers are with European countries, are close to 10% of all publications in 2018.
with France collaborating on 6,381 The most frequent collaborations, indexed
papers in Exact and Earth Sciences, the in SciELO, are with researchers in USA,
most papers in a single discipline. Portugal, China, Argentina, Spain and Turkey.

A large proportion of collaborations in BRICS countries collaborate infrequently in


Health Sciences and Biological Sciences Agricultural Sciences and Biological Science.
tend to be with the US (40 to 50%) followed There is greater collaboration by China
by European countries and Argentina, with and Russia in Exact and Earth Sciences and
BRICS countries playing a much smaller role. with China and India in Health Sciences.

13
What is the citation impact of international collaborations?
The citation impact of papers with Sciences (Colombia, 0.72) and Engineering
international co-authors is generally (Argentina, 0.91). The lowest CNCI
higher than that of papers published by numbers are in Agricultural Sciences
only Brazilian authors.15 For papers with where they range between 0.72 and 3.17
Brazilian and international co-authors (Russia). Even in Agricultural Sciences,
this number is consistently high (Figure CNCI is extremely high for BRICS
6), and above the world average of 1.0. collaborations. Papers published in
The few exceptions where the CNCI Health Sciences have the highest citation
is below 1.0 are for collaborations with impact ranging from 4.13 (Spain) to the
Latin American countries in Agricultural remarkably high score of 15.51 (Russia).

Figure 6

Agricultural Sciences Biological Sciences

3
4

2 3

2
1
1

0 0
China

Russia

South Africa

Germany

Japan

Spain

Columbia

China

Russia

South Africa

Germany

Japan

Spain

Columbia
Brazil

Chile
India

Canada

France

Argentina

Mexico

Brazil

India

Canada

France

Argentina

Chile

Mexico
Engineering Exact and Earth Sciences

2 4

1.5 3

1 2

0.5 1

0 0
China

Russia

South Africa

Germany

Japan

Spain

Columbia

China

Russia

South Africa

Germany

Japan

Spain

Columbia
Brazil

Chile
India

Canada

France

Chile

Mexico

Argentina

Mexico
Argentina

Brazil

India

Canada

France

Health Sciences

15

10

0
China

Russia

South Africa

Germany

Japan

Spain

Columbia
Brazil

India

Canada

France

Argentina

Chile

Mexico

Category Normalized Citation Impact (CNCI) of Brazilian papers with co-authors from select countries by research area

These high citation impact numbers should guidelines or global impact of diseases.
be treated with caution. The publications These papers are often cited thousands of
underlying these numbers include several times. Brazilian citation impact tends not to
hyper-collaborative papers with many be driven by regional collaboration; rather
authors and many affiliated countries it is concentrated in papers with co-authors
reporting on topics such as particle from further afield, such as the United
physics experiments, astronomy, medical States, Europe, and other parts of the world.

15
The link between co-authorship and citation impact is a phenomenon that has been widely observed,
14 and is discussed in Moed, H. (2005) Citation Analysis in Research Evaluation. Dordrecht: Springer pp285-290.
University – industry collaboration
How has university-industry The number of publications co-authored
research collaboration in by researchers in universities and industry
offers a window into ideas that were jointly
Brazil changed in 37 years? created and developed by researchers in
the two sectors indicating a higher level
University-industry interaction has been of engagement than mere consultation,
a central objective of Brazilian Science contract research and development or
and Technology policy for many decades. research support and donations. Figure
Paradoxically, very few measurements of 7 shows the evolution of these research
the quantity and intensity of this interaction interactions since 1980, by counting
have been performed. Here we contribute the number of Web of Science items (all
an analysis based on the number of categories) that have at least one author
scientific and technical publications from a university in Brazil and a co-author
that display co-authorship between from industry, anywhere in the world.
researchers in universities in Brazil and
researchers in industry16 (for a discussion Figure 8 shows the evolution of co-
of the methods, see the Appendix 2). In authorship between universities in Brazil
order to provide a broader context for and industrial sector authors since 1980 for
these university-industry collaborations, the ten universities with the largest number
a longer-term view, going back to 1980 of joint publications. The ten universities
is informative, rather than the six-year shown - all public - account for 81% of the
window used in the rest of this anlysis. joint publications for the period 2015-2017.

Figure 7

1600

1400
Number of Items with University-Business Co-Authorship

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0
1995
1983

1987

1989

1991

1993

1997

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011
1999

2013

2015

2017
1980
1981
1982

1984
1985
1986

1988

1900

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Number of Web of Science items with at least one author in a university in Brazil and at least one co-author from industry.

16
The data presented here on university-industry collaboration includes a set of corporate entities which is much larger than that presently considered
at the Web of Science or Incites. These data were obtained by performing an enhanced search procedure which included reclassifying the nature of
15 entities in the list of publications with authors in Brazil and also searching for entities that have suffixes associated with industry.
Which universities co-author more with industry?

Figure 8

450 Universidade de Sao Paulo


400 Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro
Universidade Estadual de Campinas
350
Universidade Federal de Sao Paulo (UNIFESP)

300 Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul


Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
250 Universidade Estadual Paulista
Universidade Federal do Parana
200
Universidade Federal de Vicosa
150 Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC)

100

50

1995
1983

1987

1989

1991

1993

1997

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011
1999

2013

2015

2017
1980
1981
1982

1984
1985
1986

1988

1900

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016
Number of Web of Science items with at least one author in a university in Brazil and at least
one co-author from industry for the ten universities with the largest number of items in 2017.

Figure 9

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
1985 - 1987 1995 - 1997 2005 - 2007 2015 - 2017

Agricultural Sciences Biological Sciences Health Sciences Engineering Exact and Earth Sciences

Classification of the publications in co-authorship between universities


in Brazil and companies according to the ‘Fields of Research’ defined by CAPES.

The distribution of the university-industry Literature and Arts, Humanities and Social
co-authored publications among five Sciences, Applied Social Sciences and
of the nine fields of research defined by Multidisciplinary categories. The distribution
CAPES is shown in Figure 9, for four three- which was strongly dominated by the
year periods: 1985-87, 1995-97, 2005-07, Exact and Earth Sciences 30 years ago
and 2015-17. Only five of the nine CAPES has evened out over time across the five
categories are shown here because of the categories, especially, between the life and
small number of collaborations in Linguistics, physical sciences for the 2015-17 period.

16
14%
Which companies co-publish
with universities in Brazil?

Petrobras, which has a strong program


for developing research collaborations Petrobas participated in 14%
with academia, dominates the landscape of all university-industry
of university-industry collaboration
in Brazil (Figure 10). In the period collaborative output.
2015-2017, with 543 publications, the
company participated in 14% of all
university-industry collaborative output.

Figure 10

Petrobras Novartis Vale Pfizer


543 77 66 60

IBM Embraer Agilent Roche


54 37 37 36

Sanofi Dow Fibria Itaipu


36 Agrosciences 28 24
31

GSK
48
Monsanto Genentech Ericsson
Eletrobras 24 22 22
35

Eli Lilly Suzano Braskem


24 20 19
AstraZeneca
39 Bayer
35
Merck IPEF Whirlpool /
23 20 Embraco
19

The 25 companies that had the largest number of publications in co-authorship with universities in Brazil from 2015-2017.

Of the 50 companies with the highest levels The creation of the Science and Technology
of co-authorship with academia, 17 are of Sector Funds, to finance domestic
Brazilian origin and 33 are multinationals. research, development, and innovation
There is a predominance of companies spurred green economy developments
from the pharmaceutical sector (18 of 50), and university-industry bio-ethanol and
followed by the agricultural sector (12 of 50). bio-pharma research collaboration.17

Financial Times Confidential Research, (2015) Brazil – Biopharma seeking a pick-me-up, http://www.scienceforbrazil.com/wp-content/
17

uploads/2015/12/Brazil-%E2%80%93-Biopharma-seeking-a-pick-me-up.pdf accessed August 22, 2019. Corteza, LAB, Nogueirab, LAH, Lealc,
MRVL, Junior, RB. 40 Years of the Brazilian Ethanol Program (Proálcool): Relevant Public Policies and Events Throughout Its Trajectory and
17 Future Perspectives http://bioenfapesp.org/gsb/lacaf/documents/papers/05_ISAF_2016_Cortez_et_al.pdf accessed August 22, 2019.
Identifying excellence
in Brazilian research

18
How does Brazilian Partly because of the small numbers,
research in different Brazilian research output has a high citation
impact, above world average, in Applied
research areas compare? Social Sciences and Humanities and Social
Sciences (Figure 11). Because the CNCI
To focus on research excellence, is a weighted average, the highly cited
between 2013-2018, analysis of the papers in sub-categories of Theology (145
nine categories defined by CAPES papers with an average CNCI of 2.37),
is insightful. Excellence in this Archaeology (224 papers with a CNCI of
context is measured by the Category 1.24) and Anthropology (393 papers with
Normalized Citation Impact (CNCI). a CNCI of 1.36) raise the overall research
impact above the world benchmark of
Among these nine CAPES categories, 1.0. Theology is notable in another sense
most papers by Brazilian researchers are in that only 18.6% of the papers have an
published in life and physical sciences international co-author even though its
and engineering. The main mode for CNCI is the highest of any of the CAPES
the dissemination of research results 121 sub-categories. Thus, the excellence is
in these fields are journals, which driven by domestic strength in the field.
are well represented in the Web of
Science database. In contrast, in the As shown in Figure 11, more than a third
arts, humanities and social sciences of the papers in Biological Sciences and
researchers are more likely to write almost half in Exact and Earth Sciences have
books or policy documents, which are foreign collaborators, which, as previously
less well represented in this database. noted, contributes to a higher CNCI.

Figure 11

% International
Research Area Papers CNCI
Collaborations

Health Sciences 82,406 0.96 34.7

Biological Sciences 75,717 0.74 37.0

Exact and Earth Sciences 71,214 0.90 45.1

Agricultural Sciences 46,222 0.71 21.7

Engineering 42,506 0.76 37.1

Multidisciplinary 30,190 0.82 39.5

Applied Social Sciences 14,229 1.03 30.1

Humanities and Social Sciences 9,581 1.00 30.5

Linguistics, Literature and Arts 953 0.68 19.1

Output and Category Normalized Citation Impact (CNCI) of Brazilian papers


published between 2013 and 2018 in nine CAPES research categories

19
Delving deeper into the CAPES 121 sub-
categories provides some insight into how
Figure 12 this growth came about. For a long time
within Engineering, Materials Sciences and
16,000
Metallurgy has been a highly productive
area that has seen rapid growth in recent
years. There has also been considerable
growth in the closely aligned area of Exact
14,000
and Earth Sciences (chemistry, physics,
etc.). Brazil’s wide range of expertise
and skills in these two related areas, and
12,000
multidisciplinary research that bridges the
two seem to have fueled this rapid growth.

10,000 Bibliometric analysis can be used to


determine research areas that demonstrate
strength, weakness, potential for
8,000 opportunity, or areas that are under
threat in a research portfolio. Figure 13
maps Brazil’s research in the nine CAPES
6,000 categories along two indices benchmarked
on global output and citation impact.

4,000
The horizontal axis measures relative
proportional output which is a ratio
representing the proportion of a nation’s
research output relative to that research
2,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 area’s proportion of the world output. For
instance, if Biology’s share of research
Health Sciences Multidisciplinary
output in Brazil is 4.5% and the global share
Biological Sciences Applied Social Sciences
Exact and Earth Sciences Humanities and Social Sciences
of Biology research indexed in Web of
Agricultural Sciences Linguistics, Literature and Arts Science is 1.5% then Biology’s score along
Engineering
the horizontal axis would be 3. The vertical
axis is the Category Normalized Citation
Impact (CNCI). Thus, research areas located
Trends in the number of papers published annually in different
CAPES research categories between 2013 and 2018. in the top right-hand quadrant where the
relative output and citation impact are both
above 1.0 are considered areas of strength.
Brazilian research focus has evolved over six Research areas located in the top left-hand
years (Figure 12). There has been increased quadrant where the output is relatively low,
output in all research areas except for but citation impact is high are deemed
Linguistic, Literature and Arts. The smallest potential opportunities. A research area is
increases have been in Health Sciences, considered weak if it is in the bottom left
(18.7%) and Agricultural Sciences (21.9%). quadrant where both relative output and
Although not insubstantial, these increases citation impact are below world averages.
seem small compared to Engineering, which Research areas in the bottom right-hand
has grown by nearly two-thirds, surpassing quadrant with relatively large output but
the output of Agricultural Sciences in 2018. low citation impact are under threat.

20
Areas of strength be considered weak research areas.
and opportunity However, as already noted, Linguistics,
Literature, and Arts its location in the
bottom left might be an artefact of
Health Science with its six-year relative how “counting” is done in the Web of
output slightly above 1.0 and CNCI at Science. Much of this research may
0.91 can be an area of potential strength, be in Portuguese with a limited global
especially because papers published readership and therefore, low coverage
since 2015 have had above world average in the Web of Science. Thus, in global
citation impact. In the bottom right, terms, this area is likely to appear
threatened areas are Biological Sciences “weak” because of its specialized
and Agricultural Sciences, as Brazil does nature and small research community.
proportionately more research in these
areas than the global average. Brazil is With Sirius18 , the new Brazilian
3.5 times more productive than the world synchrotron light source, coming
average in Agricultural Sciences though on line, more opportunities for
these papers have below average citation Brazilian research exist in the Exact
impact for the world and Brazil. However, and Earth Sciences, where citation
agricultural research which is often of impact is above average for Brazil, but
tremendous local importance does not internationally it does proportionally
always garner international attention. less well than other research areas.
A low CNCI, as a measure of global
citation impact, does not account for the On the other hand, additional analysis
impact of regionally relevant research. must be conducted to ascertain whether
the scores associated with Applied Social
Linguistic, Literature and Arts, and Sciences and Humanities and Social
Engineering in the bottom left might Sciences are artefacts of their small size.

Figure 13

CNCI
1.1
Applied Social
Sciences
Humanities and
Social Sciences

1.0
World Average Impact
Health Sciences
Exact and
Earth Sciences

0.9

Multidisciplinary Relative Output

0.0 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0

Engineering
Biological
0.7 Sciences
Agricultural
Sciences
Linguistics,
Literature and Art

0.6

Strength, weakness, opportunity and threat analysis in Brazilian research aggregated by CAPES research area.

21 18
https://www.lnls.cnpem.br/sirius-en/ - accessed August 19, 2019.
Further analyses of CAPES sub-category
data could suggest strategies for
Figure 14 enhancing research growth, citation
impact or some combination of both. For
3,000
instance, the proportion of Agricultural
Sciences research in Brazil is over
three times the global proportion and
continues to be a highly productive
2,500 area. Its citation impact is persistently
below world averages, locating it under
“threat” in the bottom right of Figure
13. However, a detailed analysis of the
2,000
sub-categories that make up the field
could suggest a different story and
different strategies for attaining Brazil’s
research objectives for this field.
1,500

The Agricultural Sciences’ low CNCI


can be attributed to Agronomy (CNCI of
1,000 0.46), which accounts for over a third of all
papers in this research category (Figure
14). But the field is changing. There has
been rapid growth in historically less
500 productive research areas that have
achieved or are approaching world
average citation impact. The number
of papers has grown by 60% in Food
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Science and Technology, which has
a CNCI of 1.11. There has also been
Agronomy (0.55) a 78% growth in Fishing Resources
Food Science and Technology (1.11) and Fishing Engineering papers
Veterinary Medicine (0.72)
whose citation impact has recently
Fishing Resources and Fishing Engineering (0.91)
Zootechnics (0.87)
exceeded the world average. The
Forest Resources and Forestry (0.49) level of international collaborations in
Agricultural Engineering (0.47) Agricultural Sciences is low and below
average for Brazil at 21.7%. Efforts to
increase international collaborations
Six-year trend in the number of papers published annually in
each CAPES Agriculture sub-category. Category Normalized
could enhance both international
Citation Impact (CNCI) included in parentheses. visibility and potentially, the CNCI.

22
Where is this
research conducted?
Which are the leading The relative intensity of research in
research organizations different disciplines is similar across
Brazil and most universities. Usually
in Brazil and where do the most productive areas of research
they excel? for a university are the areas with the
highest output across Brazil; that is,
Examining the five most productive Health Sciences, Biological Sciences,
CAPES research categories comparisons and Exact and Earth Sciences. However,
can be drawn between the institutional there appear to be universities that
output and the citation impact of papers do proportionally more Agriculture
published between 2013 and 2018. The Sciences and Engineering research.
analysis is divided into two organizational
categories: universities and specialized Figure 15 shows the numbers of papers
research institutes. The most productive 15 in five CAPES categories published
universities and 10 research institutes are from these 15 Brazilian universities
examined. While the universities have areas with the largest output in the Web of
of emphasis, most of them conduct research Science between 2013 and 2018. The
in each of five CAPES research categories. shading indicates level of research
In contrast, the research institutions, with output, that is, darker shades indicate
two notable exceptions, were established to institutions with higher output within
focus on specific research areas, which are a CAPES research category. These
evident from the distribution of their research 15 universities produce more than
output across the five CAPES categories. half of all research output in Brazil.

23
Universidad de São Paulo dominates Science, and perhaps to a lesser extent in
among the universities, producing Engineering is the distribution of research
more than twice the total number of output more evenly distributed across
publications compared to Universidade other universities producing papers in
Estadual Paulista, which is the second numbers that are comparable to the
most productive university in terms of number of papers published by researchers
research output. Only in Agricultural affiliated with Universidade de São Paulo.

Figure 15

Exact and Earth Sciences

Agricultural Sciences
Biological Sciences
Health Sciences

Engineering

All Research
Universidade de Sao Paulo 21,912 17,025 14,536 6,476 6,819 58,899
Universidade Estadual Paulista 5,283 6,948 5,336 5,908 2,914 22,868
Universidade Estadual de Campinas 5,719 4,416 6,571 1,989 3,941 19,317
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro 4,672 5,351 5,503 981 3,038 17,484
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul 5,199 4,009 3,960 2,168 2,599 15,860
Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais 5,233 4,349 3,293 1,809 2,108 14,904
Universidade Federal de Sao Paulo (UNIFESP) 7,372 3,186 1,212 358 724 11,228
Universidade Federal do Parana 2,133 3,333 2,486 2,190 1,628 9,995
Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC) 2,473 1,974 2,468 1,358 2,284 9,162
Universidade Federal de Pernambuco 1,778 2,302 2,391 662 1,082 7,098
Universidade de Brasilia 1,756 2,039 2,023 895 892 7,056
Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro 2,110 1,315 3,046 281 1,030 7,039
Universidade Federal de Sao Carlos 977 1,727 2,643 670 2,072 6,980
Universidade Federal de Vicosa 602 2,726 940 3,064 441 6,893
Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM) 1,247 1,809 1,425 2,522 782 6,670

Research output of 15 top universities in five CAPES categories and All Research accross the 9 categories.

24
Figure 16

Exact and Earth Sciences

Agricultural Sciences
Biological Sciences
Health Sciences

Engineering

All Research
Universidade Federal do ABC (UFABC) 1.06 0.74 1.95 - 0.95 1.68
Universidade Federal de Sao Joao del-Rei 0.65 0.61 2.53 1.29 0.95 1.54
Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora 0.96 0.66 1.89 1.03 0.69 1.30
Universidade Federal de Sergipe 2.68 0.74 0.70 0.71 0.73 1.28
Universidade Federal de Pelotas 1.72 0.68 1.59 0.58 0.85 1.15
Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC) 1.98 0.84 0.87 0.98 0.72 1.13
Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro 0.91 0.72 1.37 0.63 1.09 1.06
Universidade Federal de Sao Paulo (UNIFESP) 1.17 0.94 0.73 0.68 0.87 1.06
Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais 1.56 0.90 0.80 0.93 0.79 1.03
Universidade Estadual de Campinas 0.86 0.94 1.23 0.87 0.74 1.03
Universidade de Sao Paulo 1.18 0.91 1.10 0.59 0.67 1.02
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul 1.50 0.78 0.97 0.88 0.82 1.02
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte 0.81 0.81 1.43 0.87 0.85 1.02
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro 0.96 0.87 1.24 0.55 0.81 0.98
Universidade de Brasilia 1.50 0.86 0.64 0.59 0.87 0.90

Category Normalized Citation Impact of the 15 universities with highest impact


in 5 subject categories and All Research Impact accross the 9 CAPES categories.

Figure 16 with citation impact shows which are the highest impact fields across
that the most productive universities Brazil. The exceptions are above world
do not always produce the most highly average impact in Agricultural Sciences
cited research. Darker shades in Figure at Universidade Federal de São Joao
16 indicate a field with higher CNCI and del-Rei and Engineering at Universidade
lighter shades indicate lower CNCI at that do Estado do Rio de Janeiro.
university. A university with a negligible
number of papers in an area is indicated Smaller to medium sized universities are
by a “–”. Universidade Federal do ABC doing well in terms of citation impact.
(UFABC) is the only one in this list that Universities in São Paulo State do not
has too few publications in Agricultural dominate this list of universities ranked
Sciences to compute a CNCI. by overall CNCI shown on the right in
Figure 16. As mentioned above, high
Generally, universities have one or two research output is not associated with high
areas of high citation impact that is citation impact. The top three universities
above the Brazilian or world average. in research output (Figure 15) are in the
Most frequently these areas are Health bottom half of the universities in this
Science and Exact and Earth Sciences citation impact ranking (Figure 16).

25
Figure 17

Exact and Earth Sciences

Agricultural Sciences
Biological Sciences
Health Sciences

Engineering

All Research
Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuaria (Embrapa) 325 3,737 1,089 5,451 504 9,598
Fundacao Oswaldo Cruz 5,264 4,983 663 560 138 9,195
Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Fisicas 16 26 1,969 4 233 2,097
Institute Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazonia 84 1,438 205 387 28 1,898
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 25 161 1,406 95 338 1,817
Comissao Nacional de Energia Nuclear (CNEN) 272 153 738 37 801 1,435
Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein 1,142 278 23 19 28 1,345
Instituto Butantan 450 1,046 90 99 31 1,294
Comando-Geral de Tecnologia Aeroespacial (CTA) 30 17 656 4 570 1,063
Instituto Tecnologico de Aeronautica (ITA) 25 14 648 4 555 1,039

Research output of 10 Research Institutes in five CAPES categories and All Research accross 9 categories.

Figure 17 shows the numbers of papers Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE).


in five CAPES categories obtained Physics and engineering are the focus
from the Web of Science published by of ComisSão Nacional de Energia
researchers affiliated with these 10 research Nuclear (CNEN), Comando-Geral de
institutes between 2013 and 2018. In Tecnologia Aeroespacial (CTA), and
spite of their specialization in one or at Instituto Tecnologico de Aeronautica
most two research areas, the research (ITA) (Figure 17). While Agricultural
capacity of the research institutes is much Sciences papers account for more than
smaller than that of the universities. The half the output of Empresa Brasileira de
research output of the most productive Pesquisa Agropecuaria (Embrapa), it is
research institution, Empresa Brasileira also a substantial producer of research
de Pesquisa Agropecuaria (Embrapa), in Biological Sciences and to a lesser
is less than one sixth the research extent in Earth and Exact Sciences. No
output of Universidade de São Paulo. other research institute seems to have
a major focus Agricultural Sciences,
As might be expected, physics dominates except for the Instituto Nacional de
the research output of Centro Brasileiro Pesquisas da Amazonia, where it is the
de Pesquisas Fisicas and Instituto second largest research category.

26
Figure 18

Exact and Earth Sciences

Agricultural Sciences
Biological Sciences
Health Sciences

Engineering

All Research
Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Fisicas - - 2.23 - 0.80 2.21
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) - 1.49 2.52 0.54 0.95 2.19
Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein 1.75 1.09 - - - 1.62
Fundacao Oswaldo Cruz 1.21 0.98 0.75 0.68 0.86 1.07
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazonia 0.70 0.83 1.62 0.71 - 0.91
Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuaria (Embrapa) 1.17 0.75 1.06 0.62 1.08 0.72
Instituto Butantan 0.80 0.70 0.58 0.66 - 0.68
Instituto Tecnologico de Aeronautica (ITA) - - 0.78 - 0.60 0.65
Comando-Geral de Tecnologia Aeroespacial (CTA) - - 0.78 - 0.60 0.65
Comissao Nacional de Energia Nuclear (CNEN) 0.47 0.67 0.62 - 0.87 0.58

Category Normalized Citation Impact (CNCI) of 10 top research institutions in five CAPES categories

In Figure 18 the research institutions are where the highest CNCI is 1.68. However, in
ranked by their overall CNCI. Both of the two terms of citation impact, the universities have
most productive research institutes, Centro greater depth, where 13 of the 15 universities
Brasileiro de Pesquisas Fisicas and Instituto have overall CNCI above the world average
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), of 1.0, while only four of the ten research
focus on Exact and Earth Sciences with institutions score above 1.0. In common
CNCI of 2.23 and 2.52 respectively. Their with the universities, the research institutes
overall CNCI of 2.24 and 2.1919 is significantly with the highest number of publications
higher than that of any of the universities, do not have the highest citation impacts.

It is likely that these high citation impacts are distorted because they include several massively multi-authored papers.
19

27 For instance, there are 95 papers published with authors from INPE whose CNCI is 24.
How does Brazil support
research infrastructure?
How does Brazil enhance Coordination for the Improvement of
research communication? Higher Education Personnel (CAPES) and
the National Council for Scientific and
Technological Development (CNPq).
In addition to contributing to the
expansion of the arts, humanities, With multilingualism21 as a key feature,
engineering and scientific knowledge the SciELO network covers and indexes
base and training and educating the research output in Portuguese, Spanish,
workforce for the next generation, and English from Latin America, Portugal,
institution building and supporting the Spain, and South Africa. A distinguishing
scientific infrastructure are also valuable feature of SciELO is its emphasis on
contributions to the scientific enterprise. open access and that that all journals in
In 1998, Brazil launched the Scientific its collection be indexed in the Directory
Electronic Library Online (SciELO)20, of Open Access Journals (DOAJ).
developed by São Paulo Research
Foundation (FAPESP) in partnership While there is some overlap between
with BIREME, the Latin American and SciELO and the Web of Science Core
Caribbean Center on Health Sciences Collection, access to SciELO can
Information. It continues to flourish also be obtained through the Web of
with additional support from the Science regional hosted collections.

20
https://scielo.org/, http://www.scielo.br/ accessed August 21, 2019
21
Meneghini, R, Packer, A.L. (2007). Is there science beyond English? Initiatives to increase the quality and visibility of non-English publications might help
28 to break down language barriers in scientific communication. EMBO Reports, 8(2): 112–116. Available at http://bit.ly/2Mn43I5, accessed August 21, 2019
Findings and conclusions
During the six-year window, 2013-2018, projects such as Sirius, the new Brazilian
the volume of Brazil’s research output has synchrotron light source, not only promote
continued to grow. Brazil has maintained international collaboration but can also
its position as the 13th largest producer attract international research funding.
of research publications globally. Among
the BRICS countries, this level of output is Policies that foster university-industry
below that of China and India and above collaborations have borne fruit, resulting
that of Russia and South Africa. Gross in exponential growth in papers co-
Domestic Expenditures on Research authored with researchers from industry.
and Development (GERD) as a percent A third of these collaborations are
of Brazil’s Gross Domestic Product with Brazilian companies and the rest
(GDP) has ranged between 1.1 and 1.4% with multinationals. Petrobras is the
according to the most recent (2012- strongest collaborator with universities
2016) data22 available, which has not kept and the pharmaceutical industry also
up with expectations of a decade ago has a long history of collaboration.
that it might reach two percent. Except Public universities are at the forefront
for the potentially volatile numbers of these collaborations with industry.
for the most recent two years, the
percentage of Brazilian papers among Public organizations are also doing well in
the top one percent of cited papers in terms of research output and its citation
the world has exceeded one percent. impact (CNCI). The 15 most productive -
all of them public - organizations include
The make-up of Brazilian research reveals 13 universities and two specialized
activity and excellence concentrated in research institutes. Of these 15, 11 have a
fields which have received targeted sector CNCI above the Brazil average and eight
investment. For instance, although the have a CNCI above the world average.
Agricultural Sciences as a research field
has low citation impact, disaggregating In addition to promoting scholarly research
that into its constituent components shows and education, Brazilian public policy also
rapid growth in sub-categories that have supports scholarly communication, which
above world-average citation impact. has yielded SciELO, the electronic library
Additional investments in such areas that has grown beyond Brazil to 13 other
would enhance international visibility and countries and will soon include scholarly
citation impact. Similarly, investments in publications from a total of 17 countries.

29 22
http://data.uis.unesco.org/index.aspx?queryid=74 accessed on August 21, 2019
Appendix 1

Bibliometrics and ‘cite’ earlier work relevant to the material


citation data being reported. New papers are cited
in their turn. Papers that accumulate
more citations are thought of as having
Bibliometrics are about publications greater ‘impact’, which is interpreted as
and their citations. The academic field significance or influence on their field.
emerged from ‘information science’ and Citation counts are therefore recognized as
now usually refers to the methods used a measure of impact, which can be used to
to study and index texts and information. index the excellence of the research from
a particular group, institution or country.
Publications cite other publications. These
citation links grow into networks, and their The origins of citation analysis as a tool that
numbers are likely to be related to the could be applied to research performance
significance or impact of the publication. can be traced to the mid-1950s, when
The meaning of the publication is Eugene Garfield proposed the concept
determined from keywords and content. of citation indexing and introduced
Citation analysis and content analysis the Science Citation Index, the Social
have therefore become a common part Sciences Citation Index and the Arts &
of bibliometric methodology. Historically, Humanities Citation Index, produced
bibliometric methods were used to trace by the Institute of Scientific Information
relationships amongst academic journal (now part of Clarivate Analytics).
citations. Now, bibliometrics are important
in indexing research performance. We can count citations, but they are
only ‘indicators’ of impact or quality
Bibliometric data have particular – not metrics. Most impact indicators
characteristics of which the user should use average citation counts from
be aware, and these are considered here. groups of papers, because some
individual papers may have unusual
Journal papers (publications, sources) or misleading citation profiles. These
report research work. Papers refer to or outliers are diluted in larger samples.

30
Data source The Web of Science Group has extensive
experience with databases on research
The data used in this analysis came from inputs, activities and outputs and
the Web of Science database which give has developed innovative analytical
access not only to journals but also to approaches for benchmarking and
conference proceedings, books, patents, interpreting international, national
websites, and chemical structures, and institutional research impact.
compounds and reactions. Web of Science
has a unified structure that integrates
all data and search terms together and

22
therefore provides a level of comparability
not found in other databases. It is widely
acknowledged to be the world’s leading
source of citation and bibliometric data.
The Web of Science focuses on research
published in journals, conferences
and books in science, medicine, arts, There are 22 fields in Essential
humanities and social sciences. Science Indicators and 254
The Web of Science was originally created fields in Web of Science.
as an awareness and information retrieval
tool, but it has acquired an important
primary use as a tool for research
evaluation, using citation analysis and Database categories
bibliometrics. Data coverage is both
current and retrospective in the sciences, The source data can be grouped in various
social sciences, arts and humanities, in classification systems. Most of these are based
some cases back to 1900. Within the on groups of journals that have a relatively high
research community this data source was cross-citation linkage and naturally cluster
previously referred to by the acronym ‘ISI’. together. Custom classifications use subject
maps in third-party data such as the OECD
Unlike other databases, the Web of categories set out in the Frascati manual.
Science and underlying databases are
selective, that is: the journals abstracted The Web of Science Group frequently
are selected using rigorous editorial uses the broader field categories in the
and quality criteria. The authoritative, Essential Science Indicators system
multidisciplinary content covers over and the finer journal categories in the
18,000 of the highest impact journals Web of Science. There are 22 fields in
worldwide, including Open Access Essential Science Indicators and 254
journals, and over 180,000 conference fields in Web of Science. In either case,
proceedings. The abstracted journals our bibliometric analyses draw on the full
encompass the majority of significant, range of data available in the underlying
frequently cited scientific reports and, database, so analyses in our reports will
more importantly, an even greater differ slightly from anything created ‘on
proportion of the scientific research the fly’ from data in the web interface.
output which is cited. This selective
process ensures that the citation counts Most analyses start with an overall view
remain relatively stable in given research across the data, then move to a view across
fields and do not fluctuate unduly from broad categories and only then focus in at
year to year, which increases the usability a finer level in the areas of greatest interest
of such data for performance evaluation. to policy, program or institutional purpose.

31
Assigning papers to addresses
A paper is assigned to each country and each institution whose address
appears at least once for any author on that paper. One paper counts
once and only once for each assignment, however many address variants
may occur for the country or institution. No weighting is applied.

For example, a paper has five authors, thus:

Author Institution Country

Gurney, KA Univ Leeds UK Counts for Univ Leeds Counts for UK

Adams, J Univ Leeds UK No gain for Univ Leeds No gain for UK

Kochalko, D Univ C San Diego USA Counts for UCSD Counts for USA

Munshi, S Gujarat Univ India Counts for Gujarat Univ Counts for India

Pendlebury, D Univ Oregon USA Counts for Univ Oregon No gain for USA

So this one paper with five authors by institution and country makes little
would be included once in the tallies difference to the conclusions of an analysis
for each of four universities and once in at an aggregate level. Such fractional
the tallies for each of three countries. analysis can introduce unforeseen errors
in the attempt to create a detailed but
Work carried out within the Web of uncertain assignment. Partitioning credit
Science Group, and research published would make a greater difference at a
elsewhere, indicates that fractional detailed, group level but the analysis
weighting based on the balance of authors can then be manually validated.

32
Citation counts Other papers can be very highly cited:
hundreds, even thousands of times.
A publication accumulates citation Again, there are multiple reasons for
counts when it is referred to by more this. Most frequently cited work is being
recent publications. Some papers get recognized for its innovative significance
cited frequently and many get cited and impact on the research field of
rarely or never, so the distribution which it speaks. Impact here is a good
of citations is highly skewed. reflection of quality: it is an indicator of
excellence. But there are other papers
Why are many papers never cited? which are frequently cited because their
significance is slightly different: they
Certainly, some papers remain uncited describe key methodology; they are a
because their content is of little or no thoughtful and wide-ranging review of
impact, but that is not the only reason. a field; or they represent contentious
It might be because they have been views which others seek to refute.
published in a journal not read by
researchers to whom the paper might be Citation analysis cannot make value
interesting. It might be that they represent judgments about why an article is
important but ‘negative’ work reporting uncited nor about why it is highly
a blind alley to be avoided by others. The cited. The analysis can only report the
publication may be a commentary in an citation impact that the publication
editorial, rather than a normal journal has achieved. We normally assume,
article and thus of general rather than based on many other studies linking
research interest, or it might be that the bibliometric and peer judgments, that
work is a ‘sleeping beauty’ that has yet high citation counts correlate on average
to be recognized for its significance. with the quality of the research.

700

600

500
Frequency

400

200

100

Uncited Citation at end of 2013 for UK cell biology papers published in 2009 Maximum

The figure shows the skewed distribution of more or less frequently cited papers
from a sample of UK authored publications in cell biology. The skew in the
distribution varies from field to field. It is to compensate for such factors that actual
citation counts must be normalized, or rebased, against a world baseline.

33
We do not seek to account separately for the journal category Materials Science,
the effect of self-citation. If the citation Biomaterials. Papers less than eight years
count is significantly affected by self- old are, on average, still accumulating
citation then the paper is likely to have additional citations. The citation count goes
been infrequently cited. This is therefore on to reach a plateau for older sources.
only of consequence for low impact
activity. Studies show that for large samples The graph shows that the percentage
at national and institutional level, the of papers that have never been cited
effect of self-citation has little or no effect drops over about five years. Beyond
on the analytical outcomes and would five years, between 5% and 10% or
not alter interpretation of the results. more of papers remain uncited.

Account must be taken of these time


factors in comparing current research
Time factors with historical patterns. For these reasons,
it is sometimes more appropriate to
Citations accumulate over time. Older use a fixed five-year window of papers
papers therefore have, on average, more and citations to compare two periods
citations than more recent work. The than to look at the longer-term profile
graph below shows the pattern of citation of citations and lack of citations for a
accumulation for a set of 33 journals in recent year and an historical year.

40 60

30 45
Impact (citations end 2013/number of papers)

Percentage of papers uncited at the end 2013


20 30

10 15

0 0
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2003
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Year of publication Citations/paper 2013
Uncited papers

34
Discipline factors Some journals may be considered
to be part of the publication record
Citation rates vary between disciplines for more than one research field.
and fields. For the UK science base as As the example below illustrates,
a whole, ten years produces a general the journal Acta Biomaterialia is
plateau beyond which few additional assigned to two journal categories:
citations would be expected. On the Materials Science, Biomaterials
whole, citations accumulate more rapidly and Engineering, Biomedical.
and plateau at a higher level in biological
sciences than physical sciences, and Very few papers are not assigned to
natural sciences generally cite at a any research field and as such will
higher rate than social sciences. not be included in specific analyses
using normalized citation impact data.
Papers are assigned to disciplines (journal The journals included in the Web of
categories or research fields) by the Web Science databases and how they are
of Science, bringing cognate research selected are detailed here: clarivate.
areas together. Before 2007, journals were com/webofsciencegroup/solutions/
assigned to the older, well established webofscience-core-collection-
Current Contents categories which were editorial-selection-process/
informed by extensive work by Thomson
and with the research community since Some journals with a very diverse
the early 1960s. This scheme has been content, including the prestigious journals
superseded by the 254 Web of Science Nature and Science were classified as
journal categories which allow for greater Multidisciplinary in databases created
disaggregation for the growing volume of prior to 2007. The papers from these
research which is published and abstracted. Multidisciplinary journals are now re-
assigned to more specific research fields
Papers are allocated according to the using an algorithm based on the research
journal in which the paper is published. area(s) of the references cited by the article.

35
Normalized Citation Impact cited more frequently than an article in
the same field, but editorials and meeting
Because citations accumulate over time abstracts are rarely cited and citation rates
at a rate that is dependent upon the field for conference proceedings are extremely
of research, all analyses must take both variable. The most common normalization
field and year into account. In other words, factors are the average citations per
because the absolute citation count paper for (1) the year and (2) either the
for a specific article is influenced by its field or the journal in which the paper
field and by the year it was published, was published. This normalization is also
we can only make comparisons of referred to as ‘rebasing’ the citation count. 
indexed data after normalizing with
reference to these two variables. Impact is therefore most commonly
analysed in terms of ‘normalized citation
We only use citation counts for reviews and impact’, or nci. The following schematic
articles in calculations of impact, because illustrates how the normalized citation
document type influences the citation impact is calculated at the paper
count. For example, a review will often be level and journal category level.

Design of scaffolds for blood vessel tissue engineering


using a multi-layering electrospinning technique (2005)
Acta Biomaterialia 1: 575-582

Materials Science, Biomaterials Engineering, Biomedical


Impact normalized to world average Impact normalized to world average
citations/paper in the Materials Science, citations/paper in the Engineering,
Biomaterials in 2005 = 5.6 Biomedical journal category in 2005 = 6.5

This article in the journal Acta Biomaterialia Most papers (nearly two-thirds) are assigned
is assigned to two journal categories: to a single journal category while a minority
Materials Science, Biomaterials and of them are assigned to more than five.
Engineering, Biomedical. The world average
baselines for, as an example, Materials The average (normalized) citation impact
science, Biomaterials are calculated by can be calculated at an individual paper
summing the citations to all the articles level where it can be associated with
and reviews published worldwide in the more than one journal category. It can
journal Acta Biomaterialia and the other 32 also be calculated for a set of papers
journals assigned to this category for each at any level from a single country to an
year and dividing this by the total number individual researcher’s output. In the
of articles and reviews published in the example above, the average citation
journal category. This gives the category- impact of the Acta Biomaterialia paper
specific normalized citation impact (in can be expressed as ((5.6 + 6.5)/2) = 6.1.
the above example the category-specific
nciF for Materials Science, Biomaterials World average impact data are sourced
is 5.6 and the category-specific nciF for from the Web of Science National Science
Engineering, Biomedical is higher at 6.5). Indicators baseline data for 2015.

36
Mean Normalized of relative citation rates, normalized
Citation Impact (rebased) to world average.23 An Impact
Profile enables an examination and
analysis of the strengths and weaknesses
Research performance has historically been of published outputs relative to world
indexed by using average citation impact, average and relative to a reference profile.
usually compared to a world average that This provides much more information
accounts for time and discipline. As noted, about the basis and structure of research
however, the distribution of citations performance than conventionally
amongst papers is highly skewed because reported averages in citation indices.
many papers are never cited while a few
papers accumulate very large citation Papers which are “highly cited” are often
counts. That means that an average may be defined in our reports as those with an
misleading if assumptions are made about average citation impact greater than
the distribution of the underlying data. or equal to 4.0, i.e. those papers which
have received greater than or equal to
In fact, almost all research activity metrics are four times the world average number
skewed: for research income, PhD numbers of citations for papers in that subject
and publications there are many low activity published in that year. This differs from the
values and a few exceptionally high values. database of global highly cited papers,
In reality, therefore, the skewed distribution produced by the Web of Science which
means that average impact tends to be are the top one percent most frequently
greater than and often significantly different cited for their field and year. The top
from either the median or mode in the percentile is a powerful indicator of
distribution. This should be borne in mind leading performance but is too stringent a
when reviewing analytical outcomes. threshold for most management analyses.

The proportion of uncited papers in


a dataset can be compared to the
Impact Profiles benchmark for the UK, the USA or any
other country. Overall, in a typical ten-year
We have developed a bibliometric sample, around one-quarter of papers
methodology that shows the proportion of have not been cited within the 10-year
papers that are uncited and the proportion period; the majority of these are, of course,
that lie in each of eight categories those that are most recently published.

37 23
Adams J, Gurney K & Marshall S (2007) Profiling citation impact: A new methodology. Scientometrics 72: 325-344
The Impact Profile histogram can be presented
in several ways which are illustrated below.

A B
25 25

20 20

Percentage of output [insert years to – from]

Percentage of output [insert years to – from]


15 15

10 10

5 5

0 0

RBI ≥ 0.5 < 1

RBI ≥ 0.5 < 1


uncited

RBI > 0 < 0.125

RBI ≥ 0.125 < 0.25

RBI ≥ 0.25 < 0.5

RBI ≥ 1 < 2

RBI ≥ 2 < 4

RBI ≥ 4 < 8

RBI ≥ 8

uncited

RBI > 0 < 0.125

RBI ≥ 0.125 < 0.25

RBI ≥ 0.25 < 0.5

RBI ≥ 1 < 2

RBI ≥ 2 < 4

RBI ≥ 4 < 8

RBI ≥ 8
C D
25 25

20 20
Percentage of output [insert years to – from]

Percentage of output [insert years to – from]


15 15

10 10

5 5

0 0
RBI ≥ 0.5 < 1

RBI ≥ 0.5 < 1


uncited

RBI > 0 < 0.125

RBI ≥ 0.125 < 0.25

RBI ≥ 0.25 < 0.5

RBI ≥ 1 < 2

RBI ≥ 2 < 4

RBI ≥ 4 < 8

RBI ≥ 8

uncited

RBI > 0 < 0.125

RBI ≥ 0.125 < 0.25

RBI ≥ 0.25 < 0.5

RBI ≥ 1 < 2

RBI ≥ 2 < 4

RBI ≥ 4 < 8

RBI ≥ 8
A: is used to represent the total output histograms where the eye is drawn to the
of an individual country, institution or data most offset to the right, but can be
researcher with no benchmark data. less easy to interpret as categorical data.
Visually it highlights the numbers of
uncited papers (weaknesses) and D: illustrates the complexity of data
highly cited papers (strengths). which can be displayed using an Impact
Profile. These data show research
B & C: are used to represent the output in defined journal categories
total output of an individual country, against appropriate benchmarks:
institution or researcher (client) against
an appropriate benchmark dataset client, research field X;
(benchmark). The data are displayed as client, research field Y;
either histograms (B) or a combination client, research field Z;
of histogram and profile (C). Version benchmark, research field X+Y;
C prevents the ‘travel’ which occurs in benchmark, research field, Z.

38
Impact Profiles enable an examination and We cannot tell why papers are not cited. It is
analysis of the balance of published outputs likely that a significant proportion of papers
relative to world average and relative to a remain uncited because they are reporting
reference profile. This provides much more negative results which are an essential
information about the basis and structure of matter of record in their field but make
research performance than conventionally the content less likely to be referenced
reported averages in citation indices. in other papers. Inevitably, other papers
are uncited because their content is
An Impact Profile shows what proportion trivial or marginal to the mainstream.
of papers are uncited and what proportion However, it should not be assumed that
are in each of eight categories of relative this is the case for all such papers.
citation rates, normalized to world average
(which becomes 1.0 in this graph). There is variation in non-citation between
Normalized citation rates above 1.0 indicate countries and between fields. For example,
papers cited more often than world relatively more engineering papers tend
average for the field in which that journal is to remain uncited than papers in other
categorized and in their year of publication. sciences, indicative of a disciplinary
factor but not a quality factor. While
Attention should be paid to: there is also an obvious increase in the
likelihood of citation over time, most
• The proportion of uncited papers papers that are going to be cited will be
on the left of the chart cited within a few years of publication.

• The proportion of cited papers


either side of world average (1.0)
What is the threshold
• The location of the most common for “highly cited”?
(modal) group near the center

• The proportion of papers in the The Web of Science Group has


most highly cited categories to the traditionally used the term “Highly
right, (≥4 x world, ≥8 x world). Cited Paper” to refer to the world’s one
percent of most frequently cited papers,
considering year of publication and
field. After reviewing the outcomes of a
What are uncited papers? number of analyses, we have chosen a
more relaxed definition for our descriptive
It may be a surprise that some journal and analytical work. We deem papers
papers are never subsequently cited after that are in the world’s top 10% of most
publication, even by their authors. This frequently cited papers, considering year
accounts for about half the total global of publication and field, to be relatively
output for a typical, recent 10-year period. highly cited for national comparisons.

39
Appendix 2

University- industry (>300,000 records), then analyzing the


collaboration methodology organizations to which the authors were
affiliated (>22,000), and then classifying
among these the ones which were in the
The analysis presented here uses business sector. In the end we had more
data from the Web of Science, than four thousand organizations. At this
obtained through searches point we ran a search looking for items in
performed at the normal WoS which the authors were in one of the 4,000+
interface available to researchers. business sector organizations and each and
any university (obtained in a separate list).
While the database InCites carries data for
the percentage of articles with industry co- Obtaining complete data is challenging.
authorship, their data is incomplete as the The Web of Science (and Scopus) has an
database is not yet able to classify correctly incomplete classification of business sector
the nature of a large number of business organizations, so that their indicator on
organizations in Brazil (and elsewhere, for co-authorships between universities and
that matter). To obtain the data shown here industry undercounts the real size of the
we devised a search routine especially collaborations. The presently accessible
built to unveil the business sector in Brazil. database categorizes as “industry”
The procedure involved obtaining the mostly multinational companies and has
data for all scientific documents in the weak (or no) categorization of medium
database with at least one author in Brazil and small Brazilian companies24.

24
This fact should not be construed as a criticism to the bibliometric bases. If anything, we might have criticism towards the way the databases are
frequently used. These databases were initially developed to assist the Science Community in finding useful references to use in their work. They are heirs
to the tradition initiated by the Science Citation Index, created by Eugene Garfield, as a database of information on publications, classified by sector,
author, topic. Many of us scientists will remember the trips to the library to consult the Science Citation Index (and the Current Abstracts) to try and keep
abreast of the new publications in our fields. Part of the challenge here is that the databases were not built to be ranking instruments. Still, they can assist
40 ranking or science policy studies, if used with due care.
The Web of Science offers, however, search (e.g. companies funded by FAPESP’s
tools that can be used to compensate Small Business Innovative Research
for the lack of categorization. We Program, companies listed on the
used the following methodology: newspaper Valor Econômico’s list of
most innovative companies in Brazil).
1. We started with a search for all This allowed us to add more than 200
items with addresses in “Brazil” organization names to the search string.
(or “Brasil”), obtaining a list of
approximately 700,000 items. 6. Finally, we added the names of all entities
considered by InCites as companies.
2. Then we used the “Analysis Tools” to
obtain the list of institutions mentioned in 7. The list of entities had more than
the “Address” field of each publication. 4,000 items at this point.
This list had 22,000 entities.
8. Then it was necessary to eliminate
3. The list of entities was analyzed line by redundancies to comply with the
line to identify the ones belonging to restriction of the search tool for the Web
the business sector that were then used of Science that limits the number of
to compose a search string applied search terms to about 6,000, apparently
to the field “Organization Name”. considering the boolian operators in the
calculation. Many companies appear
4. In addition to the list of search terms under similar names. In other cases, it
obtained in (3) we added to the search was necessary to consolidate names:
string items ending in terminations that for example, works from Petrobras
characterize business sector entities CENPES appear under several entity
such as LTDA, LLC, SpA, LTD, BV, INC names such as ‘Leopoldo Miguez’,
and others, using wildcards for the initial Cenpes Petrobras, ‘Centro Leopoldo
portion of the organization name. M’, and other combinations.

5. We added to the resulting list of search 9. Then the search string was built
terms the names of organizations in with the companies’ names and the
Brazil known for having R&D activities names of the universities in Brazil.

41
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