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While RBI had started the calendar year 2021 with a plan for norm alization of
liquidity, it had to provide additional support during most of the year in order
to support the smooth conduct of the planned borrowings. However, domestic
and global developments especially on the inflation front, have forced the RBI
to tolerate higher yields and start addressing the massive liquidity surplus in
the banking system. As a result, interest rates have moved up across the board
during Q3-FY22.
The launch of the RBI Retail Direct Scheme on November 12, 2021 has brought
the Indian government bond market closer to a wide and stable pool of
investors. Throughout the year 2021, RBI supported the large borrowings with
conventional tools like OMOs along with unconventional measures like the G -
SAP and differentiated auction methodology. While interest rates continued to
rise gradually over the quarter, primary auctions have once again become the
platform for RBI to signal its discomfort with high yields to the market through
devolvement and complete rejection of bids while the negative mood
prevailing in the market has been conveyed to RBI through the spike in
underwriting commissions charged by Primary Dealers (PDs).
The economic impact of the local and global response to the new variants of the virus is going to be the major
headwind to swift and broad-based economic recovery.
1 C CI L D e b t M ar k e t Qu a rt er l y Oc to b er - D ec e m b er 2 0 2 1
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Market Borrowings
Rising yields and uncertainty in the secondary market sentiments pose the biggest challenge to the smooth
conduct of the massive borrowing plans of the Central and State Governments.
Auction Details
Overall the Central Government borrowed ₹295000 crore during the quarter through a mix of fixed (92% of
total issuances) and FRBs (8% of total issuances). New 2, 5, 7, 30 and 40 year securities were issued.
2 C CI L D e b t M ar k e t Qu a rt er l y Oc to b er - D ec e m b er 2 0 2 1
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Auction Bidding
The market participants’ rising wariness over inflation and high borrowings amid RBI’s liquidity normalization
and the spread of the Omicron variant resulted in the auctions held over the last fortnight of December 2021
witnessing the first devolvement and complete rejection of bids since July 2021. The swift turn in sentiments
was evident in the cut-offs for commissions in the underwriting auctions for PDs for the 10Y benchmark which
increased from the quarter’s low of 0.33 paise on December 3, 2021 to the quarter’s high of 9.23 paise for the
auction scheduled on December 31, 2021 where RBI eventually rejected all bids.
Distribution of Issuances
10Y bonds accounted for 26% of issuances followed by 18% in the 14Y tenor. The share of short term
issuances in the 0-5 year bucket declined to 16%, while the very long bonds accounted for 21% of issuances.
Trading activity was concentrated in the 5-15 year maturity bucket led by the 10Y.
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Short Term Borrowings
Due to RBI’s liquidity normalization operations, shorter duration rates inched up during Q3 -FY22. The spread
of the cut-offs for 364 day T-Bill over the LAF Repo rate turned positive for the first time since April 8, 2020 in
the auction held on October 27, 2021 and have stayed in the positive territory since then.
Detailed analysis of market borrowings by the State Governments is covered in the CCIL SDL Quarterly report
available at: https://www.ccilindia.com/Research/CCILPublications/QuarterlyReports/Pages/IndiaSDLQuarterly.aspx
4 C CI L D e b t M ar k e t Qu a rt er l y Oc to b er - D ec e m b er 2 0 2 1
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Liquidity
RBI, while reiterating its stance to remain accommodative as long as necessary to revive and sustain growth
on a durable basis, commenced normalizing liquidity conditions by discontinuing its G -SAP operations and
resuming its longer term variable reverse repo auctions (VRRR ).
5 C CI L D e b t M ar k e t Qu a rt er l y Oc to b er - D ec e m b er 2 0 2 1
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Real Rates
Despite an overall increase in interest rates, real rates witnessed significant erosion during Q3 -FY22 as CPI
readings maintained an uptrend.
Yield Movement
The sovereign yield curve flattened further during the quarter with the spreads narrowing between the
medium to long term rates. Unwinding of RBI’s liquidity support led to a rise in the short term rates.
Indices Movement
Table 9: CCIL Principal Return Index (Month-over-month Returns (%))
TBILL (LIQ
Period BROAD LIQUID CASBI TENOR 1 TENOR 2 TENOR 3 TENOR 4 TENOR 5 SDL
WEIGHT)
Dec-20 0.01% -0.08% 0.23% -0.10% 0.11% -0.10% 0.00% 0.59% 0.83% 0.14%
Jan-21 -0.53% -0.63% -0.33% -0.92% -0.73% -0.66% 0.28% 0.04% -1.10% 0.11%
Feb-21 -2.41% -2.52% -3.27% -1.24% -2.73% -3.37% -4.30% -3.84% -3.32% 0.18%
Mar-21 0.32% 0.33% 0.68% 0.04% 0.18% 0.30% 0.97% 1.03% 1.34% 0.19%
Apr-21 0.59% 0.93% 0.37% 0.33% 0.43% 0.43% 0.61% 0.07% 0.39% 0.14%
May-21 0.21% -0.08% -0.39% 0.10% 0.34% 0.40% -0.53% -0.95% 0.90% 0.13%
Jun-21 -0.45% -0.62% -1.17% -0.65% -0.79% -0.96% -0.89% -1.79% -0.72% 0.19%
Jul-21 -0.20% -0.20% -0.67% 0.33% -0.07% -0.63% -1.32% -1.40% -1.74% 0.24%
Aug-21 0.62% 0.44% 0.85% 0.29% 0.77% 0.79% 0.86% 0.95% 1.03% 0.20%
Sep-21 0.29% 0.11% 0.77% -0.37% 0.12% 0.40% 1.46% 1.57% 0.38% 0.13%
Oct-21 -0.54% -0.71% -1.06% -0.52% -0.71% -1.08% -1.00% -1.43% -1.12% 0.14%
Nov-21 0.64% 0.89% 0.92% 0.17% 0.53% 0.79% 0.15% 1.46% 0.46% 0.18%
Dec-21 -1.13% -1.09% -1.10% -0.87% -1.03% -0.79% -0.59% -1.35% -0.77% 0.20%
6 C CI L D e b t M ar k e t Qu a rt er l y Oc to b er - D ec e m b er 2 0 2 1
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Spread Behavior
While interest rates increased across the curve throughout Q3 -FY22, spreads narrowed mirroring RBI's
increased tolerance for higher yields in the 10 -year benchmark. Short-term spreads narrowed in line with the
RBI's liquidity draining measures. Overall, the yield curve flattened in the medium to longer term. The India -
US spread was steady as the rise in domestic yields was higher than the rise in US yields.
India – US Spread
Surging inflation triggered by their massive liquidity infusion measures prompted most central banks in
advanced economies to announce or signal tapering of these programmes coupled with interest rate hikes
throughout December 2021 despite the rapid spread of the omicron variant. These developments triggered a
sell-off in foreign investments in Indian debt instruments.
WACR
Money market rates inched up during the quarter as RBI stopped infusing fresh liquidity through G-SAP and
OMO operations while resuming its liquidity draining variable-rate reverse repo (VRRR) auctions.
7 C CI L D e b t M ar k e t Qu a rt er l y Oc to b er - D ec e m b er 2 0 2 1
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Market Activity
Trading activity was subdued in the secondary market throughout the quarter as sentiments deteriorated
rapidly due to rising inflation prompting central banks across the globe including the RBI to start unwinding
pandemic-era stimulus measures. The swift spread of the Omicron variant added further to the uncertainty on
economic recovery. The 10-year benchmark yield witnessed a sustained rise over the quarter.
Bid-Ask Spread
On an average basis, the bid-ask spread for liquid securities remained steady at 0.02 bps during the quarter
and also compared to the spreads in Q2-FY22. The average spreads widened to 0.16 bps for semi -liquid
securities compared to 0.11 bps in the previous quarter, while it remained unchanged at 0.22 bps for illiquid
securities.
Corporate Borrowings
Primary market issuances increased further in Q3-FY22. Issuances were broad-based with all categories of
entities accessing the primary market, although nearly 60% of the issuances were from finance companies.
The two major issuers in Q3-FY22 were - National Highways Authority of India and Housing Development
Finance Corporation Limited.
8 C CI L D e b t M ar k e t Qu a rt er l y Oc to b er - D ec e m b er 2 0 2 1
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Short-term Corporate Borrowings (CDs & CPs)
Fundraising through Certificates of Deposit (CDs) saw an uptrend of nearly 80% during the quarter with 211 issuances
amounting to ₹47845 crore. CD issuances hit a nine-month high in December 2021 with issuances amounting to ₹33300
crore as banks took recourse to the short-term debt market to meet the increasing credit demand on account of an uptick
in business activity amid the festive season and as surplus liquidity declined due to tax payments. The weighted average
cost of borrowing stood at 4.30%. Private banks were the main issuers of CDs in Q3-FY22, with the major issuers being
Axis Bank Limited and HDFC Bank Limited.
There was a slowdown in short-term debt raising through commercial papers (CPs) during the quarter because of
relatively lower issuances by non-banking financial companies and housing finance companies. In Q3-FY22, there were
3242 issuances amounting to ₹648540 crore against 3320 issuances amounting to ₹621493 crore in Q2-FY22. The
weighted average cost of borrowing increased by 40 bps over the previous quarter to 4.6%. Top issuers during the quarter
were – Bajaj Finance Limited and Aditya Birla Finance Limited.
Secondary market activity in the CD market increased by 13%, while activity in the CP market slowed down by 31% in
Q3-FY22. Rates firmed up by 15-20 bps in the CD market, while it remained range bound in the CP market due to low
issuances. Activity in the corporate bond repo market which picked up pace in Q1-FY22, moderated in Q2-FY22 and
almost halved in Q3-FY22.
9 C CI L D e b t M ar k e t Qu a rt er l y Oc to b er - D ec e m b er 2 0 2 1
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Corporate Bond Spreads
Yields on corporate bonds were confined to a narrow range amid muted trading activity owing to the slump in crude oil
prices and US Treasury yields due to the resurgence of coronavirus in Europe, and the uncertainty over the impact of the
new strain of COVID-19 weighed on yields. The spreads on AAA rated corporate bonds of five-year and 10-year maturities
over corresponding maturity government bonds was at 25 bps and 60 bps, same levels as in Q2-FY22, while yields on
bonds of 1-year maturities widened by nearly 10 bps to 57 bps during the quarter. The yield spreads across tenors
moderated during the quarter for bonds of PSU, FI and Banks and NBFCs, while it remained high in case of Corporates.
OIS Spreads
Spreads remained negative at the longer end of the curve, with the average OIS-G-sec spread for the 5-year segment at 40
bps, although narrower by 20 bps compared to spreads in Q2-FY22. Short-term spreads widened by 5 bps to 20 bps during
the quarter.
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
RBI Actions during Q3-FY22
Date Action
Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.
Disclaimer
This document contains information relating to the operations of The Clearing Corporation of India Ltd. (CCIL), its
Members and the Reserve Bank of India. While CCIL has taken every care to ensure that the information and/or data
provided are accurate and complete, CCIL does not warrant or make any representation as to the accuracy and
completeness of the same. Accordingly, CCIL assumes no responsibility for any errors and omissions in any section or sub-
section of this document. CCIL shall not be liable to any member or any other person for any direct, consequential or
other damages arising out of the use of this document.
Authors
Payal Ghose
Priyanka Shiraly
Published by Economic Research Department, CCIL. Suggestions and feedback are welcome at –
E-mail: research@ccilindia.co.in |Website: www.ccilindia.com
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Unless otherwise mentioned, the report is based on calculations by Economic Research Department, CCIL using information publicly available on the
websites of the Reserve Bank of India, CCIL, Clearcorp, SEBI, FIMMDA, FBIL and MOSPI.