Target Number vs roll bonus

Routine Easy Average Challenging Hard Formidable Imposing Nigh Impossible

| Mod | TN7 | TN9 | TN11 | TN13 | TN15 | TN17 | TN19 | TN21 | TN 23**

| -3 | 62.5 | 37.5 | 16.2 | 4.63 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0

| -2 | 74.1 | 50.0 | 25.9 | 9.26 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
| -1 | 83.8 | 62.5 | 37.5 | 16.2 | 4.63 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | 0
| 0 | 90.7 | 74.1 | 50.0 | 25.9 | 9.26 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 | 0
| +1 | 95.4 | 83.8 | 62.5 | 37.5 | 16.2 | 4.63 | 0.46 | 0 | 0
| +2 | 98.2 | 90.7 | 74.1 | 50.0 | 25.9 | 9.26 | 1.85 | 0 | 0
| +3 | 99.5 | 95.4 | 83.8 | 62.5 | 37.5 | 16.2 | 4.63 | 0.46 | 0
| +4 | 100 | 98.2 | 90.7 | 74.1 | 50.0 | 25.9 | 9.26 | 1.85 | 0
| +5 | 100 | 99.5 | 95.4 | 83.8 | 62.5 | 37.5 | 16.2 | 4.63 | 0.46
| +6 | 100 | 100 | 98.2 | 90.7 | 74.1 | 50.0 | 25.9 | 9.26 | 1.85
| +7 | 100 | 100 | 99.5 | 95.4 | 83.8 | 62.5 | 37.5 | 16.2 | 4.63
| +8 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 98.2 | 90.7 | 74.1 | 50.0 | 25.9 | 9.26
| +9 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 99.5 | 95.4 | 83.8 | 62.5 | 37.5 | 16.2
| +10 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 98.2 | 90.7 | 74.1 | 50.0 | 25.9
| +11 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 99.5 | 95.4 | 83.8 | 62.5 | 37.5
| +12 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 98.2 | 90.7 | 74.1 | 50.0

So the chance of a certain die roll is based on the total bonus.

So if I have a 5 as an ability and the “first” bonus I have a +7 to the roll. Trying to hit a “Defense” of
17 means that in have 62.5% chance of getting that Target Number.

According to the Core book a TN of 11 is average and 13 is challenging; and 15 is hard.

With an “Ability” Cap at 7 and should the character or creature have the second focus bonus of (+3)
then that is a total of +10 and should achieve the Hard task about 98.2% of the time. If you noticed
this means that the person is achieving the Nigh Impossible TN of 21 50% of the time, impressive.

Dropping the permanent ability cap to 6 means that as a +9 they will still achieve the Nigh Impossible
37.5% of the time.

This is how I used the numbers and set the Ability cap in my game.

** It is also possible to adjust the TN by 2 points and shift the table right by one column.