1 17208417.

CLAIMS

1. A production facility monitoring system comprising:

a feature amount acquisition unit (111) configured to acquire values of plural
5 types of feature amounts that are calculated from operating state data (121) indicating
an operating state of a production facility that produces a product, for both a normal
time at which the production facility produces the product normally and a defective
time at which a defect occurs in the product that is produced, the feature amount
showing a feature of the production facility.
10 characterized in that a prediction model creation apparatus (1) further comprises:
a feature amount selection unit (112) configured to select a feature amount
effective in predicting the defect that occurs in the product that is produced from
among the acquired plural types of feature amounts, based on a predetermined
algorithm that specifies a degree of association between the defect and the types of
15 feature amounts, from the values of the types of feature amounts acquired at the
normal time and the defective time,
wherein the feature amount selection unit is configured to select that feature
amount having the highest degree of association between the defect and the selected
feature amount out of the acquired plural types of feature amounts or that feature
20 amount being designated by a user;
a prediction model construction unit (113) configured to construct a prediction
model (123) for predicting occurrence of the defect, using the selected feature amount;
and
a monitoring apparatus configured to acquire operating state data from the
25 production facility during operation, calculate a value of the feature amount used in the
prediction model from the acquired operating state data, and determine whether there
is an indication of defect occurrence in a product that the production facility produces,
by applying the calculated value of the feature amount to the prediction model.

30 2. The production facility monitoring system according to claim 1, wherein the

feature amount acquisition unit is further configured to divide the operating state data
into frames every tact time period, which tact time period is the time taken to produce a
predetermined number of pieces of the product.
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3. The production facility monitoring system according to claim 1 or 2, wherein the

feature amount selection unit (112) is configured to specify the degree of association
between the defect that occurs in the product that is produced and the types of feature
5 amounts, utilizing one of a Bayesian network, a decision tree, logistic regression analysis
and a neural network as the predetermined algorithm, and select a feature amount
effective in predicting the defect from among the acquired plural types of feature
amounts, based on the specified degree of association.

10 4. The production facility monitoring system according to any one of claims 1 to 3,

wherein the prediction model (123) is one of a conditional probability table in which the
selected feature amount is a random variable, a decision tree that utilizes the selected
feature amount as a branch, a logistic regression model that utilizes the selected feature
amount, a determination condition for determining occurrence of the defect based on
15 an outlier that is calculated utilizing the selected feature amount, and a determination
condition for determining occurrence of the defect based on a Mahalanobis distance
that is calculated utilizing the selected feature amount.

5. The production facility monitoring system according to any one of claims 1 to 4,

20 wherein the monitoring apparatus (2), in a case where it is determined that there is
indication of defect occurrence in the product that the production facility produces, is
configured to notify an administrator of the production facility that there is the
indiciation of defect occurrence.

25 6. A production facility monitoring method comprising:

acquiring (S101) values of plural types of feature amounts that are calculated
from operating state data indicating an operating state of a production facility that
produces a product, for both a normal time at which the production facility produces
the product normally and a defective time at which a defect occurs in the product that is
30 produced; characterized in that the method further comprises
selecting (S102) a feature amount effective in predicting the defect that occurs in
the product that is produced from among the acquired plural types of feature amounts,
based on a predetermined algorithm that specifies a degree of association between the
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defect and the types of feature amounts, from the values of the types of feature
amounts acquired at the normal time and the defective time,
wherein the feature amount having the highest degree of association between
the defect and the selected feature amount is selected out of the acquired plural types
5 of feature amounts or is designated by a user;
constructing (S103) a prediction model for predicting occurrence of the defect, using the
selected feature amount;
acquiring (S201) operating state data from the production facility during
operation;
10 calculating (S202) a value of a feature amount used in the prediction model from
the acquired operating state data; and
determining (S204) whether there is an indication of defect occurrence in the
product that the production facility produces, by applying the calculated value of the
feature amount to the prediction model.
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