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Journal of Product & Brand Management, Vol. 14 Iss 3 pp. 170-186 http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/10610420510601049
Begoña Alvarez Alvarez, Rodolfo Vázquez Casielles, (2005),"Consumer evaluations of sales promotion: the effect on brand
choice", European Journal of Marketing, Vol. 39 Iss 1/2 pp. 54-70 http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/03090560510572016
Chun Wah Lee, (2002),"Sales promotions as strategic communication: the case of Singapore", Journal of Product & Brand
Management, Vol. 11 Iss 2 pp. 103-114 http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/10610420210423473
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subject to less retail influence. Also, brands with higher budget allocations to advertising,
relative to sales promotion, tend to have more favorable consumer attitudes, stronger
brand equity, and higher market share increases and profits. Managerial implications
and areas for future study are discussed.
The addictive power of promotion is such that manufacturers must devote ever
larger proportions of their marketing budgets to this ``short-term fix'' and ever
smaller proportions to the long-term health of their brands (Kahn and McAlister,
1997, p. 20).
Risks of high spending Research showing evidence of the risks of high sales promotion spending is
starting to appear (e.g. Mela et al., 1997; Papatla and Krishnamurthi, 1996),
as managers in many grocery products firms try to reduce their mammoth
sales promotion budgets. Procter & Gamble led the way by cutting trade
promotion spending dramatically and adopting an everyday-low-price
strategy (Reitman, 1992). P&G and other companies are now trying to wean
consumers off coupons (Narisetti, 1997; Schrage, 1996).
Despite these and other, less-publicized efforts to cut the billions spent on sales
promotions every year, manufacturers continue to allocate almost 75 per cent of
their marketing communications budgets to these short-term activities (Tenser,
1996). A.C. Nielsen estimates that trade promotion spending increased to 58
percent of total advertising and sales promotion expenditures in 1995, compared
with 50 per cent in 1991 (Mathews, 1996). It is surprising that brand managers
continue to allocate such a large proportion of their marketing budgets to sales
promotion at the expense of advertising even as the potential problems
associated with this strategy are becoming more widely known.
The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support from the Marketing
Science Institute, the College of Business at the University of Colorado-Boulder, and
the Charles Tandy American Enterprise Center at Texas Christian University. In
addition, they appreciate the encouragement and helpful comments of David Olson
(Leo Burnett Advertising), Katherine Jocz, Rick Staelin, and Paul Root (MSI) and
David Cravens (TCU).
The current issue and full text archive of this journal is available at
http://www.emerald-library.com
JOURNAL OF PRODUCT & BRAND MANAGEMENT, VOL. 9 NO. 6 2000, pp. 389-414, # MCB UNIVERSITY PRESS, 1061-0421 389
Budget an important issue Previous empirical research on advertising and sales promotion budgeting
has examined the relationship between product and market characteristics
and advertising/sales ratios (Farris, 1977; 1978; Lancaster, 1986), promotion/
sales ratios (Quelch et al., 1984), and advertising-and-promotion/sales ratios
(Balasubramanian and Kumar, 1990; Fader and Lodish, 1990; Farris and
Albion, 1980; Farris and Buzzell, 1979). The amount budgeted to advertising
and promotion relative to sales is an important issue. The findings from this
research indicate that a variety of product and market factors (such as market
growth rates, market share, competitive activity, and a product's relative
price) are significantly related to advertising and/or sales promotion
spending levels. However, none of these studies examines the firm's relative
allocation to advertising versus sales promotion. The relative allocation issue
is critical for many brand managers today whose budgets are flat or
declining, and who must make trade-offs in deciding how to best allocate
scarce marketing communications resources. For example, according to 1998
national US media spending figures, ten of the largest packaged goods
advertisers actually decreased their overall advertising spending vs 1997
(Advertising Age, 1999). These included national brand manufacturers
Procter and Gamble (±3.4 per cent), Philip Morris (±4.1 per cent), Bristol-
Myers Squibb (±22.3 per cent), Johnson and Johnson (±11.3 per cent), Mars
Inc. (±11 per cent), Kellogg Co. (±19.7 per cent), Hershey Foods (±7.4 per
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cent), Colgate-Palmolive (±4.7 per cent), Quaker Oats Co. (±5.1 per cent),
and Nabisco (±3.9 per cent). Mantrala et al. (1992, p. 173) suggest that sales
and profit are more sensitive to the way a budget is allocated than to its
overall level; they comment that ``more behavioral research on how
marketing organizations approach allocation decisions as opposed to
investment-level decisions is needed''. Surprisingly, this call for research on
allocation decisions has gone largely unheeded.
Two significant issues As stated earlier, most prior research on the advertising and sales promotion
budget issue has focused on understanding factors that are related to the ratio
of marketing communications spending to sales. In our analysis of this
research, two significant issues arose. First, many extant advertising and
sales promotion studies have emphasized market growth rates and market
share as predictors of advertising and sales promotion spending
(Balasubramanian and Kumar, 1990). Indeed, the recent series of articles on
this topic (Ailawadi et al., 1994; 1997; Balasubramanian and Kumar, 1997a;
1997b) focused more on technical issues of data analysis than on substantive
questions about the underlying theoretical framework and managerial issues.
Lost in this dialogue is a potentially important suggestion:
Efforts would be better spent searching for other variables [in addition to market
share and market growth rates] that can do a better job of explaining advertising-
and-promotion/sales ratios (Ailawadi et al., 1994, p. 97).
Our review of the relevant literature suggests that research is needed on
variables which are actionable by management, since market share and
growth, for the most part, are not. Commenting on past research on
advertising and promotion budgeting decisions, Stewart (1996) called for the
inclusion of more decision-making variables such as stage of the product life
cycle. Stewart further suggested that the firm- and SBU-level PIMS and
Compustat data used in previous studies lead to potentially misleading
conclusions ± the appropriate unit of analysis should be the brand.
A second crucial issue in understanding brand-level advertising and sales
promotion budgets is the fact that the perspective of the people who make the
allocation decision ± brand managers ± has mostly been left out of prior
Outcomes of trade An increasing number of studies are investigating the outcomes of trade
promotion promotion. Because trade promotions frequently take the form of price
reductions, the result is increased unit sales and market share (Hardy, 1984).
In addition, information providers such as IRI and Nielsen have used
sophisticated modeling techniques and single-source data to show that trade
promotions increase unit sales (Honnold, 1992). Quelch (1983) suggests that
the relationship between the use of trade promotion and market share is so
basic that the success of trade promotions should be measured by the
resulting share increase. Managers are more likely to respond to a
competitor's increased trade promotion activity compared to increased
advertising activity since trade promotion has a more immediate impact
on market share, an important standard for many brand managers. They rely
on trade promotions because they expect to see an immediate increase in
market share. Conversely, recent studies have consistently concluded that
excessive use of trade promotion decreases brand loyalty, increases price
sensitivity, and reduces baseline sales for a brand (Mela et al., 1997; 1998;
Papatla and Krishnamurthi, 1996). These studies point to the negative
potential impact of sales promotion spending on profits, consumer attitudes,
and brand equity.
Effects of relative allocation to advertising vs sales promotion. Based on
the review of the individual effects of advertising and sales promotion
discussed above, we expect that when budgets are allocated so that relatively
more funds are spent on advertising and relatively fewer on sales
promotions, consumer attitudes, brand equity, and profit will be higher, and
market share will be lower compared to brands with relatively fewer funds
allocated to advertising and more to sales promotion. Accordingly, we
predict that:
H8: High relative advertising and low relative sales promotion budget
allocations are associated with perceptions of:
(a) higher consumer attitudes;
(b) higher brand equity;
(c) lower market share; and
(d) higher profit.
Brand managers as agents Hence, we focused on brand managers as agents for their brands. Our intent
was to understand better the decision process factors and potential biases
involved in the allocation of marketing communications budgets from their
perspective. Furthermore, brand managers are the individuals in packaged
goods companies most likely to know brand-level advertising and sales
promotion budgets and to be familiar with the antecedents and outcomes of
the allocation.
We developed a national sampling frame of product/brand managers and
group or category product/brand managers of packaged goods firms
(consumer goods manufacturers who typically distribute products via
grocery stores and mass merchandisers) in the USA using three sources.
First, we screened all the names in the American Marketing Association
membership directory; 50 names were identified as brand managers in
consumer products firms, so we included all of these in our sample frame.
Second, packaged goods member companies of the Marketing Science
Institute were invited to participate in the study; 20 brand managers were
identified from this source. Third, a list of 538 brand, product, group, and
category managers in US packaged goods firms was purchased from a trade
marketing magazine, for a total sample frame of 608 product/brand managers
or group product/brand managers. Given the small number of brand
managers we were able to identify, we did not randomly select a subset from
this sampling frame, but included them all in our study.
Enhancing response rates In order to enhance response rates for our mail survey, the techniques
advocated by Dillman (1978) were followed. Personalized cover letters
accompanied the questionnaire. These letters explained the purpose and
importance of the study, emphasized that responses would be anonymous,
and offered a summary of the results to those who included a business card.
In addition, a new one dollar bill was included with each questionnaire as an
incentive. Postage-paid return envelopes were enclosed to make responding
easier. A follow-up mailing was sent three weeks later, consisting of a
reminder letter, return envelope, and another copy of the survey. Of the 608
questionnaires sent, 120 were returned as undeliverable to the addressee,
reducing the original sample to 488. Of these, 165 completed, useable
Scale purification
Multi-item scales assessed The multi-item scales were assessed for reliability and validity using
confirmatory factor analysis (LISREL VII) and standard reliability analysis.
The overall confirmatory factor analysis fit (each multi-item scale loading on
separate latent constructs) was acceptable, with a GFI of 0.87, AGFI of 0.77,
chi-square of 115.37 with 32 degrees of freedom. The coefficient alpha for
short-term perspective was 0.89, for perceived consumer attitudes, 0.70, and
for perceived brand equity, 0.78. Means, standard deviations, coefficient
alphas, and correlations appear in Table I.
Product/market factors
H1 predicted a negative relationship between stage of a brand's product life
cycle and the planned allocation to advertising vs sales promotion. The
400
Mkt. Stage L.Y. Short- Dec. Adv. Mkt.
Coeff. gr. of Brand Rel. mkt term Retail maker sales Adv./ Cons. Brand share
Meana SD alpha Co. size rate PLC type price share persp. infl. exper. pro. alloc. att. eq. change Profit
Covariates
Company size 4.52 2.02 ± 1.00
Market growth rateb 4.85 1.34 ± 0.09 1.00
Product/market
Stage of brand PLCc ± ± ± ±0.02 ±0.22** 1.00
Brand typed ± ± ± 0.00 0.01 ±0.04 1.00
Relative price 4.18 2.04 ± 0.11 ±0.05 ±0.06 ±0.05 1.00
L.Y. market share (%) 19.91 19.43 ± 0.20* ±0.02 0.17 0.01 0.18* 1.00
Organizational/managerial
Short-term perspectivee 12.01 4.95 0.89 ±0.12 ±0.06 ±0.07 0.12 ±0.02 ±0.06 1.00
Retail influence 4.09 1.67 ± ±0.13 ±0.03 0.03 ±0.17* ±0.17* ±0.21* 0.18* 1.00
Decision maker exper.f 7.47 6.62 ± ±0.01 ±0.08 0.16* ±0.01 ±0.08 0.07 ±0.02 0.04 1.00
Budget allocation
Adv/sales promo ratio 0.50 0.15 ± ±0.03 0.02 ±0.21* 0.23** 0.16* ±0.02 0.02 ±0.20* 0.19* 1.00
L.Y. adv. alloc'n (%) 28.24 25.68 ± 0.03 0.02 ±0.11 0.17* 0.14 ±0.01 0.01 ±0.11 0.15 0.84** 1.00
Outcomes
Consumer attitudesg 20.99 3.82 0.70 0.14 0.14 ±0.08 0.15 0.08 0.16 ±0.11 ±0.03 0.10 0.05 0.12 1.00
Brand equityh 14.20 4.14 0.78 0.24** ±0.02 0.14 ±0.09 0.12 0.28** ±0.25** ±0.09 0.15 0.18* 0.25** 0.38** 1.00
Market share changei 101.14 4.29 ± ±0.04 0.11 ±0.18 0.02 0.08 ±0.07 ±0.07 ±0.12 ±0.10 0.17 0.27** 0.32** 0.11 1.00
Profit 5.00 1.67 ± 0.05 0.11 ±0.08 0.10 0.06 0.10 ±0.19* ±0.07 0.18* 0.21** 0.27** 0.33** 0.24** 0.18 1.00
a b
Notes: * p < 0.05 (two-tailed); ** p < 0.01 (two-tailed); All items on a seven-point scale, unless otherwise noted. Multi-item scales are summed as indicated; The categories for the
seven-point scale were: Decreasing over 10 per cent; ±6-10 per cent; ±1-5 per cent; Stable no growth; Increasing 1-5 per cent; +6-10 per cent; Growing over 10 per cent; c Categorical:
Introductory (n = 9); Growth (n = 77); Maturity (n = 63); Decline (n = 10); d Categorical: Family brand (n = 93); Single product brand (n = 29); Group of single product brands (n =
35); Other (n = 8); e Three items; f Number of years; g Four items; h Three items; i Index number
Table II. Beta coefficients from multiple regression analysis for antecedent
hypotheses: dependent variable = advertising percentage/(consumer percentage
+ trade percentage)
multiple regression results indicate that brands in the later phases of the
product life cycle (maturity) tend to have lower budget allocations to
advertising relative to sales promotions than brands in the earlier phases of the
product life cycle (introductory and growth). The beta coefficient is negative
and statistically significant (b = ±0.20, p < 0.01). Hence, H1 is supported.
Positive relationship H2 proposed a positive relationship between brand type (family brands coded
as ``1'' and single brands coded as ``2'') and the budget allocated to
advertising as compared to the budget allocated to sales promotion. The
regression results support this hypothesis (b = 0.19, p < 0.05). Single brands,
on average, have a higher budget percentage allocated to advertising than to
sales promotion compared to family brands.
Organizational/managerial factors
Consumer and trade H5-H7 predicted the relationship between organizational or decision-maker
promotion factors and managers' allocations of marketing communications budgets to
advertising relative to consumer and trade promotion. Table II also presents
the regression results testing these hypotheses. Two of the three
hypothesized relationships are supported by the data.
H5 states that when senior management in the firm is perceived as being
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Outcomes
H8 addressed the relationships between the budget allocation and consumer
attitudes, brand equity, market share change, and profit. A positive
relationship was predicted between the advertising allocation and perceived
consumer attitudes (H8a), brand equity (H8b), and profit (H8d), and a negative
relationship was predicted between the advertising allocation and market
share (H8c). In order to test these hypotheses, we used a median split based
on the previous year's actual budget percentage allocated to advertising to
form two groups of respondents. (Using the prior year's budget allocation
with the current year's outcomes allows us to isolate the lagged relationship
between prior decisions and current outcomes.)
The median for the previous year's actual advertising allocation was 20 per
cent. The high advertising allocation respondents (greater than 20 per cent,
n = 56) had lower average sales promotion allocations, whereas the low
advertising allocation respondents (less than or equal to 20 per cent, n = 57)
had greater average sales promotion allocations. (The total does not equal
165 because of missing data for the multivariate analysis.) This median split
Discussion
A primary objective of this study was to understand how bounded rationality
could contribute to an increased understanding of the continued emphasis on
sales promotion in the marketing communications budget allocation in the
face of concerns about its harmful effects. We examined the relationships
between product/market heuristics and organizational/decision-maker biases
and brand managers' allocations to advertising vs sales promotion. Our study
provides additional insight to the budget allocation decision process by
focusing on brand-level budget allocations, and by including variables that
capture the contextual realities of organizational decision-making. In
addition, we extend existing research by investigating the impact of
communications budget allocations on perceptions of brand outcomes. In the
following sections, we discuss the key findings of our study, suggesting
managerial implications, study limitations, and directions for future research.
Managerial implications
Why do managers continue to spend heavily on sales promotions relative to
advertising, despite emerging evidence that such allocations may lead to
undesirable consequences? By investigating the budget allocation decision
process from the hands-on perspective of brand managers who are at the
heart of the decision, our findings support the bounded rationality predictions
that a combination of product/market and organizational/decision-maker
factors relate to the allocation. Some of these factors are controllable by
management and therefore have direct implications.
Commonly used decision As brands progress through the product life cycle, managers plan to allocate
rules proportionately less of their marketing communications budget to
advertising, and more to consumer and trade promotions. In addition, lower
relative price brands and family brands typically receive an allocation that
emphasizes sales promotion relative to advertising. These product/market
factors appear to be commonly used decision rules that managers rely on in
making their allocation decisions. Given the preponderance of mature
packaged goods brands, low price strategies, and look-alike brand extensions
(Kahn and McAlister, 1997), the continued high sales promotion allocations
are not surprising. Managers looking to increase advertising allocations
404
Multivariate effects Univariate effects ± outcomes
Brand equity Consumer attitudes Profit Share change
Wilks'
Lambda F Eta2 Beta F Eta2 Beta F Eta2 Beta F Eta2 Beta F Eta2
Covariates
Company size 0.88 3.63** 0.12 0.23 10.43** 0.09 0.11 5.04* 0.04 0.07 3.39 0.03 ±0.05 0.47 0.00
Market growth rate 0.89 3.13* 0.11 ±0.06 0.82 0.01 0.10 7.93** 0.07 0.09 2.08 0.02 0.10 1.32 0.01
Main effect
Relative advertising 0.83 5.54*** 0.17 0.23 10.39** 0.09 0.17 9.78** 0.08 0.22 10.79** 0.09 0.21 4.56* 0.04
allocation
Notes:
* p < 0.05
** p < 0.01
*** p < 0.001
Table IV. MANCOVA results: effects of advertising vs sales promotion allocation on outcomes
are making consumers less brand loyal and more price sensitive ±
overshadowing the perceived benefits of the brands and reducing overall
category sales (Mela et al., 1998; Papatla and Krishnamurthi, 1996). It is also
well known that many retailers use trade promotions simply as a way to
increase their profits ± they do not pass the savings on to consumers at all
(Kahn and McAlister, 1997). Dollars might be shifted to advertising in order
to build loyalty, while increasing the efficiency and effectiveness of a
reduced sales promotion budget (Buzzell et al., 1990).
and outcomes in a different way than traditional media and sales promotions.
Relevant consumer-based characteristics such as brand loyalty and deal
proneness might also affect allocation decisions. Another extension of this
study could examine moderating relationships among antecedent variables. For
example, it may be that in early stages of a product's life cycle, when category
growth is generally a more important objective, there may be a different set of
factors driving advertising or sales promotion spending than in later stages of a
brand's life cycle, when brand development becomes the dominant goal.
Marketing managers struggle with the need to support short-term market share
and simultaneously build long-term brand equity and profitability for their
brands. Marketing communications budget allocation decisions epitomize this
struggle, one that short-term sales promotions appear to be dominating. The
relative allocation between advertising and sales promotion is particularly
important in today's environment of flat marketing budgets where an
increased allocation to one communications tool typically comes at the
expense of another. Despite the importance and timeliness of this allocation
decision, it is poorly understood, particularly from the perspective of brand
managers who are faced with making and implementing budget allocations. In
order to address this lack of knowledge, we adopted a bounded rationality
perspective and conducted a study of the antecedents and outcomes of brand
managers' budget allocations to advertising and sales promotion. Our findings
identify some of the decision heuristics and biases that help explain why brand
managers continue to allocate much of their budget to sales promotions,
despite the potential benefits of shifting some of it to advertising. A greater
understanding of these issues offers managers and researchers alike the
opportunity to improve the way this important decision is made.
Notes
1. The categories for brand type were coded using 1 for family brand, 2 for single product
brand, 3 for a group of single product brands, and 4 for ``other''. The first three categories
made sense to code in a linear fashion, as each brand type increased in uniqueness and
complexity. We determined that coding the ``other'' cases as a 4 was appropriate after
looking closely at the eight cases in this category and noting that these exceptions were a
step higher in complexity and uniqueness of brand type.
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This is a:
Family brand (one brand name/multiple products, i.e. Dole products) (n = 93).
A single product brand (i.e. Cracklin' Bran cereal, which comes in multiple sizes and
flavors) (n = 29).
A group of single product brands (n = 35). Other (specify): (n = 8)[1].
Relative price. (Seven-point Likert scale, strongly agree, strongly disagree anchors.)
Relative to my competitors, my brand's retail selling price is higher.
Market share. (Seven-point Likert scale.)
Relative to my competitors, the volume market share for my brand is quite a bit lower. (R)[2].
Stage of brand's product life cycle.
Which of the following best describes the product life cycle stage of your brand:
Introductory, Growth, Maturity, Decline
[Because of the nature of our hypothesis, which compared earlier stages of the PLC ±
introductory and growth ± to maturity, respondents in the introductory or growth stage were
coded as ``1'' (cf. Sethuraman and Tellis, 1991), while respondents in the mature stage were
coded as ``2.'' The ``other'' or ``decline'' cases (n = 10) were coded as missing for this
variable.]
Organizational factors
Retail influence. (Seven-point Likert scale.)
Retailers have no influence in how funds are allocated to the various marketing tools for my
brand. (R)
Short-term perspective. (Seven-point Likert scale) (Coefficient alpha = 0.89).
Top managers repeatedly tell employees that this business unit's survival depends on its short-
term performance.
According to senior managers here, short-term performance is the most important measure of
our business unit's success.
This organization's management is satisfied achieving short-range goals and objectives.
Decision-maker's experience.
Please specify the number of years that you have worked in this company.
Outcomes
Consumer attitudes. (Seven-point Likert scale) (Coefficient alpha = 0.70).
Consumer attitudes, in general, for my brand are very positive.
Consumer attitudes towards my brand, relative to my key competitor(s), are more favorable.
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Relative to last year, consumer attitudes for my brand are more positive.
Consumers feel better now about my brand than they have in the past.
Brand equity. (Seven-point Likert scale) (Coefficient alpha = 0.78)
When it comes to brand equity, I would say my brand does pretty well.
My brand's equity is not as strong as I would like it to be (R).
Relative to my major competitors, my brand's equity is solid.
Current market share
The current monthly volume market share for my brand nationally is: (please fill in per cent).
Last year's market share.
My brand's monthly volume market share nationally a year ago was: (please fill in per cent).
(Change in market share computed as the difference between current year's share +100 and last
year's share + 100, to produce an index number.)
Profit
Relative to other brands in my company, my brand's profit performance has been very good
lately. (Seven-point Likert scale.)
Covariates
Market growth rate[6].
Compared to last year, the annual volume sales growth for this brand's product category is:
Decreasing more than 10 per cent/±6 to ±10 per cent/±1 to ±5 per cent/Stable-no growth/
Increasing 1 to 5 per cent/+ 6 to +10 per cent/ Growing over 10 per cent.
Company size
Please circle the one number which best describes the size of your company relative to other
competitors in your industry. (Seven-point scale, anchored by 1 = ``relatively small'',
7 = ``relatively large,'' 4 labeled ``about the same''.)
&
gave those retailers the ability to focus on increasing their own overall
margins through own label products and, at least in the UK, by developing
their own brands through advertising.
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