Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Roland Stull
Practical Meteorology
An Algebra-based Survey of
Atmospheric Science
ROLAND STULL
The University of British Columbia
Vancouver, Canada
Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmospheric Science
ISBN-13: 978-0-88865-176-1
•
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull. Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmospheric Science.
Contents
Contents Summary
Preface XIII
Chapter 1 • Atmospheric Basics 1
Introduction 1
Chapter 1 • Atmospheric Basics 1
Meteorological Conventions 2
Chapter 2 • Solar & Infrared Radiation 27
Earth Frameworks Reviewed 3
Chapter 3 • Thermodynamics 53 Cartography 4
Chapter 4 • Water Vapor 87 Azimuth, Zenith, & Elevation Angles 4
Chapter 5 • Atmospheric Stability 119 Time Zones 5
Chapter 6 • Clouds 159 Thermodynamic State 6
Temperature 6
Chapter 7 • Precipitation Processes 185
Pressure 7
Chapter 8 • Satellites & Radar 219 Density 10
Chapter 9 • Weather Reports & Map Analysis 267 Atmospheric Structure 11
Chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds 289 Standard Atmosphere 11
Chapter 11 • General Circulation 329 Layers of the Atmosphere 13
Atmospheric Boundary Layer 13
Chapter 12 • Fronts & Airmasses 389
Equation of State– Ideal Gas Law 14
Chapter 13 • Extratropical Cyclones 425
Hydrostatic Equilibrium 15
Chapter 14 • Thunderstorm Fundamentals 481
Hypsometric Equation 17
Chapter 15 • Thunderstorm Hazards 545
Process Terminology 17
Chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones 603
Pressure Instruments 19
Chapter 17 • Regional Winds 645
Review 19
Chapter 18 • Atmospheric Boundary Layer 687
Tips 20
Chapter 19 • Pollutant Dispersion 723
Homework Exercises 21
Chapter 20 • Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) 745 Broaden Knowledge & Comprehension 21
Chapter 21 • Natural Climate Processes 793 Apply 22
Chapter 22 • Atmospheric Optics 833 Evaluate & Analyze 24
Synthesize 25
Orbital Factors 27
Planetary Orbits 27
Orbit of the Earth 27
Seasonal Effects 30
Daily Effects 32
Sunrise, Sunset & Twilight 33
Flux 34
“Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey
Radiation principles 36
of Atmospheric Science” by Roland Stull is licensed
under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCom- Propagation 36
mercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. View this license at Emission 36
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ . This work is Distribution 39
available at http://www.eos.ubc.ca/books/Practical_Meteorology/ .
III
IV Contents
Index 881
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull. Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmospheric Science.
Preface
I designed this book for students and profession- in one term, so instructors should select the subset
als who want to understand and apply basic me- of chapters to cover.
teorological concepts, but who don’t need to derive I intentionally limited the number of large color
equations. photographs and maps in this book, partly to allow
To make this book accessible to more people, I it to be inexpensively printed/copied, and partly be-
converted the equations into algebra. With algebraic cause most readers can access color images via the
approximations to the atmosphere, you can see the internet.
physical meaning of each term and you can plug in
numbers to get usable answers. Acknowledgements. I am indebted to the fol-
No previous knowledge of meteorology is needed lowing experts for their suggestions to this book:
— I start from the basics. Your background should Phil Austin, Susan Allick Beach, William Beasley,
include algebra, trig, and classical physics. This Larry Berg, Allan Bertram, Brian Black, Bob Born-
book could serve the fields of Atmospheric Science, stein, Horst Böttger, Dominique Bourdin, John Cas-
Meteorology, Environmental Science, Engineering, sano, Brian Cheng, Judy Curry, Luca Delle Mona-
Air Quality, Climatology, and Geography. che, Xingxiu Deng, Dennis Driscoll, C. Dale Elifrits,
Readers like you asked to see solved examples, to David Finley, Jon Foley, Maria Furberg, Charlotte
enhance your understanding and speed your ability Gabites, Paul Greeley, Josh Hacker, Kit Hayden, Jim
to apply the concepts to your own situations. To fill Hoke, Ed Hopkins, Dave Houghton, William Hsieh,
this need, I added “Sample Application” boxes for Phoebe Jackson, Katelyn Janzen, Chris Jeffery, Ali-
almost every equation in the book. son Jolley, Jon Kahl, Scott Krayenhoff, Ian Lumb,
This book is designed to be both a textbook and Mankin Mak, Jon Martin, Paul Menzel, Stephanie
a reference. As a textbook, the end of each chapter Meyn, Doug McCollor, Mathias Mueller, Laurie
includes extensive homework exercises in categories Neil, Lorne Nelson, Thomas Nipen, Robert Nissen,
inspired by Bloom’s taxonomy of learning actions: Tim Oke, Anders Persson, Richard Peterson, Chris
“Broaden Knowledge & Comprehension”; “Apply”; Pielou, Robert Rabin, Curt Rose, Alyson Shave, Scott
“Evaluate & Analyze”; and “Synthesize”. Shipley, Robert Sica, David Siuta, Zbigniew Sorbjan,
Although a hand calculator can be used for some John Spagnol, Gert-Jan Steeneveld, David Stensrud,
of the homework exercises, other exercises are best Haizhen Sun, George Taylor, Bruce Thomson, Greg
solved on a computer spreadsheet such as Excel or Tripoli, Pao Wang, Greg West, Dave Whiteman, May
using a mathematical program such as MATLAB, R, Wai San Wong, Yongmei Zhou, and Jeff Zong. I
Mathematica, or Maple. I used Excel for my Sample apologize for any names that I forgot.
Applications and most of my graphs. Many students have used earlier drafts, allowing
As a reference, I included in this book many ta- me to fix typos thanks to their careful scrutiny. Any
bles, figures and graphs, and have a detailed index. remaining errors are my own.
Also, appendices include values of key constants I thank the faculty and staff at the University of
and conversion factors. Wisconsin - Madison and the University of British
The body of the text runs mostly in the inside Columbia - Vancouver, who were very supportive
columns of each page. The outside columns on while I wrote earlier drafts during my tenures as
each page contain the supporting figures, graphs, professor. Storm photographs are reproduced with
tables, and sample applications. Other special boxes permission of the copyright holders: Warren Faidley,
in these outside columns include supplementary Gene Moore, and Gene Rhoden. The Space Science
“Info” and “A Scientific Perspective”. At the request and Engineering Center (SSEC) at the University
of some readers, I added “Higher Math” boxes that of Wisconsin - Madison granted permission to use
use calculus, differential equations and other ad- their wonderful satellite images. Other images are
vanced techniques, but you may safely ignore these publicly available from US Government and other
boxes if you wish. sources.
For instructors, I inserted a bullet next to the I especially thank my wife Linda for her patience
most important equations, to help focus the learn- and understanding.
ing. The book contains too much material to cover – Roland Stull
XIII
XIV Preface
1 atmospheric Basics
Introduction
chapter 1 • atmospheric Basics
Sketch: 7 .
360°
α= ·atan2(V , U ) + 180° (1.2b)
C Use eq. (1.1):
M = [ U2 + V2 ] 1/2
[CAUTION: in the C and C++ programming languages, = [ (3 m s–1)2 + (4 m s–1)2 ]0.5 6
= (9 + 16)0.5 ·[(m s–1)2]0.5 B
you might need to switch the order of U & V.]
= (25)0.5 m s–1 = 5 m s–1.
Some calculators, spreadsheets or computer Use eq. (1.2a):
functions use angles in degrees, while others use α = 90° – (360°/C)·arctan(V/U) + 180°
radians. If you don’t know which units are used, = 90° – (360/360)·arctan[(4 m s–1)/(3 m s–1)]+180°
compute the arccos(–1) as a test. If the answer is 180, = 90° – tan–1(1.333) + 180°
then your units are degrees; otherwise, an answer of = 90° – 53.13° + 180° = 216.87°.
3.14159 indicates radians. Use whichever value of C
is appropriate for your units. Check: Units OK. Sketch OK. Values physical.
Exposition: Thus, the wind is from the south-south-
Conversion to U and V: west (SSW) at 5 m s–1.
U = − M·sin(α ) •(1.3) 8
V = − M·cos(α ) •(1.4) /
In three dimensions, cylindrical coordinates B
(M, α, W) are sometimes used for velocity instead of . &
Cartesian (U, V, W), where horizontal velocity com-
ponents are specified by direction and speed, and
Figure 1.3
the vertical component remains W (see Fig. 1.3). Notation used in cylindrical coordinates for velocity.
Most meteorological graphs are like graphs in
other sciences, with dependent variables on the
ordinate (vertical axis) plotted against an inde-
pendent variable on the abscissa (horizontal axis).
However, in meteorology the axes are often switched
when height (z) is the independent variable. This
axis switching makes locations higher in the graph
1 L1B
[ LN
Earth Frameworks Reviewed
5 ,
OT
NFSJEJB QBSBMMFMT (except for understanding Coriolis force in the Forc-
/ es & Winds chapter).
FRVBUPS
Cartography
8 8 & & Recall that north-south lines are called merid-
4 ians, and are numbered in degrees longitude. The
prime meridian (0° longitude) is defined by inter-
FBSUISPUBUJPO national convention to pass through Greenwich,
4
Great Britain. We often divide the 360° of longitude
4
Absolute units such as Kelvin (K) must be used Table 1-2. Characteristics of gases in the air near the
for temperature in all thermodynamic and radiative ground. Molecular weights are in g mole –1. The vol-
laws. Kelvin is the recommended temperature unit. ume fraction indicates the relative contribution to air in
For everyday use, and for temperature differences, the Earth’s lower atmosphere. EPA is the USA Environ-
you can use degrees Celsius (°C). mental Protection Agency.
[Caution: degrees Celsius (°C) and degrees Fahr- Symbol Name Mol. Volume
enheit (°F) must always be prefixed with the degree symbol Wt. Fraction%
(°) to avoid confusion with the electrical units of coulombs
Constant Gases (NASA 2015)
(C) and farads (F), but Kelvins (K) never take the degree
symbol.] N2 Nitrogen 28.01 78.08
At absolute zero (T = 0 K = –273.15°C) the mol- O2 Oxygen 32.00 20.95
Ar Argon 39.95 0.934
ecules are essentially not moving. Temperature con-
Ne Neon 20.18 0.001 818
version formulae are:
He Helium 4.00 0.000 524
Kr Krypton 83.80 0.000 114
T°F = [(9 / 5)·T°C ] + 32 •(1.6a) H2 Hydrogen 2.02 0.000 055
Xe Xenon 131.29 0.000 009
T°C = (5 / 9)·[T°F − 32] •(1.6b)
Variable Gases
TK = T°C + 273.15 •(1.7a) H2O Water vapor 18.02 0 to 4
CO2 Carbon dioxide 44.01 0.040
CH4 Methane 16.04 0.00017
T°C = TK − 273.15 •(1.7b)
N2O Nitrous oxide 44.01 0.00003
For temperature differences, you can use ΔT(°C) EPA National Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS. 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. Rules through 2011)
= ΔT(K), because the size of one degree Celsius is the
same as the size of one unit of Kelvin. Hence, only CO Carbon monoxide 28.01
in terms involving temperature differences can you (8 h average) 0.0009
arbitrarily switch between °C and K without need- (1 h average) 0.0035
SO2 Sulfur dioxide 64.06
ing to add or subtract 273.15.
(3 h average) 0.00000005
Standard (average) sea-level temperature is (1 h average) 0.0000075
T = 15.0°C = 288 K = 59°F. O3 Ozone (8 h average) 48.00 0.0000075
Actual temperatures can vary considerably over the NO2 Nitrogen dioxide 46.01
course of a day or year. Temperature variation with (annual average) 0.0000053
height is not as simple as the curves for pressure and (1 h average) 0.0000100
density, and will be discussed in the Standard At- Mean Condition for Air
mosphere section a bit later.
air 28.96 100.0
Pressure
Pressure P is the force F acting perpendicular Table 1-3. Standard (average) sea-level pressure.
(normal) to a surface, per unit surface area A:
Value Units
101.325 kPa kiloPascals (recommended)
P = F / A •(1.8)
1013.25 hPa hectoPascals
101,325. Pa Pascals
Static pressure (i.e., pressure in calm winds) is
101,325. N·m–2 Newtons per square meter
caused by randomly moving molecules that bounce 101,325 kgm·m–1·s–2 kg-mass per meter per s2
off each other and off surfaces they hit. In a vacuum 1.033227 kgf·cm–2 kg-force per square cm
the pressure is zero. 1013.25 mb millibars
In the International System of Units (SI), a 1.01325 bar bars
Newton (N) is the unit for force, and m2 is the unit 14.69595 psi pounds-force /square inch
for area. Thus, pressure has units of Newtons per 2116.22 psf pounds-force / square foot
square meter, or N·m–2. One Pascal (Pa) is defined 1.033227 atm atmosphere
to equal a pressure of 1 N·m–2. The recommended 760 Torr Torr
unit for atmospheric pressure is the kiloPascal Measured as height of fluid in a barometer:
(kPa). The average (standard) pressure at sea level 29.92126 in Hg inches of mercury
is P = 101.325 kPa. Pressure decreases nearly expo- 760 mm Hg millimeters of mercury
nentially with height in the atmosphere, below 105 33.89854 ft H2O feet of water
km. 10.33227 m H2O meters of water
chapter 1 • atmospheric Basics
B
While kiloPascals will be used in this book, stan-
dard sea-level pressure in other units are given in
Table 1-3 for reference. Ratios of units can be formed
to allow unit conversion (see Appendix A). Although
meteorologists are allowed to use hectoPascals
(as a concession to those meteorologists trained in
C
the previous century, who had grown accustomed
$PNQPOFOUTQBSBMMFMUPUIFTVSGBDF
to millibars), the prefix “hecto” is non-standard. If
you encounter weather maps using millibars or hec-
1S
PS
/PSNBM
FT
DPNQ
DU
toPascals, you can easily convert to kiloPascals by
T
7F
VS
F
F
FT
PS
1S
Check: Units OK. Physically reasonable. where Hp = 7.29 km is called the scale height for
Exposition: This is quite a large force, and explains pressure. Mathematically, Hp is the e-folding dis-
why picture tubes are made of such thick heavy glass. tance for the pressure curve.
For comparison, a person who weighs 68 kg (150
pounds) is pulled by gravity with a force of about 667
N (= 0.667 kN). Thus, the picture tube must be able to
support the equivalent of 28 people standing on it!
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology
[ LN
[ LN
1 L1B
1 L1B
Figure 1.8
Height z vs. pressure P in the atmosphere, plotted on linear (left) and semi-log (right) graphs. See Appendix A for a review of relation-
ships and graphs.
Z
only in one direction, even though the rate of change P
C
YE YD Y
(a) Use eq. (1.9a):
P=(101.325kPa)·exp[(–0.0342K m–1)·(104m)/250K] In the example above, both curves (c) and (d) are
P = 25.8 kPa exponentials, but they drop off at different rates,
where xc and xd are their respective e-folding distanc-
(b) P=(101.325kPa)·exp[(–0.0342K m–1)·(104m)/300K] es. Generically, these curves are of the form:
P = 32.4 kPa
− x/ xefold
y / yo = e = exp(− x / xefold )
Check: Units OK. Physically reasonable.
Exposition: Pressure decreases slower with height in Another useful characteristic is that the area A un-
warmer air because the molecules are further apart. der the exponential curve is A = yo·xefold.
10 chapter 1 • atmospheric Basics
Use eq. (1.11): ∆m = [(1 m2)/(9.8 ms–2)]·(80 – 30 kPa)· where A is horizontal cross-section area. Similarly,
[(1000 kg·m–1·s–2 )/(1 kPa)] = 5102 kg between two different pressure levels is mass
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Magnitude OK.
Exposition: About 3 times the mass of a car. ∆m = (A/|g|)·(Pbottom – Ptop) (1.11)
Density
Table 1-4. Standard atmospheric density at sea lev- Density ρ is defined as mass m per unit volume
el, for a standard temperature 15°C.
Vol.
Value Units
1.2250 kg·m–3. kilograms per cubic meter ρ = m / Vol •(1.12)
(recommended)
0.076474 lbm ft–3 pounds-mass per cubic foot Density increases as the number and molecular
1.2250 g liter–1 grams per liter weight of molecules in a volume increase. Average
0.001225 g cm–3 grams per cubic centimeter air density at sea level is given in Table 1-4. The rec-
ommended unit for density is kg·m–3 .
Because gases such as air are compressible, air
Sample Application
density can vary over a wide range. Density de-
At sea level, what is the mass of air within a room
of size 5 m x 8 m x 2.5 m ?
creases roughly exponentially with height in an at-
mosphere of uniform temperature.
Find the Answer
Given: L = 8 m room length, W = 5 m width ρ = ρo ·e −( a/T )·z (1.13a)
H = 2.5 m height of room or
− z/ H ρ (1.13b)
ρ = 1.225 kg·m-3 at sea level ρ = ρo ·e
Find: m = ? kg air mass )
where a = 0.040 K m–1, and where average sea-level
The volume of the room is
-
8 density is ρo = 1.2250 kg·m–3, at a temperature of
Vol = W·L·H = (5m)·(8m)·(2.5m) = 100 m3. 15°C = 288 K. The shape of the curve described by
Rearrange eq. (1.12) and solve for the mass: eq. (1.13) is similar to that for pressure, (see Fig. 1.9).
m = ρ·Vol. = (1.225 kg·m-3)·(100 m3) = 122.5 kg.
The scale height for density is Hρ = 8.55 km.
Although the air is quite thin at high altitudes,
Check: Units OK. Sketch OK. Physics OK.
it still can affect many observable phenomena: twi-
Exposition: This is 1.5 to 2 times a person’s mass.
light (scattering of sunlight by air molecules) up to
Sample Application
What is the air density at a height of 2 km in an
atmosphere of uniform temperature of 15°C?
Find the Answer
Given: z =2000 m, ρo =1.225 kg m–3 , T =15°C =288.15 K
[ LN
Find: ρ = ? kg m–3
Use eq. (1.13):
ρ=(1.225 kg m–3)· exp[(–0.04 K m–1)·(2000 m)/288 K]
ρ = 0.928 kg m–3
Check: Units OK. Physics reasonable.
Exposition: This means that aircraft wings generate S LHN
24% less lift, and engines generate 24% less thrust be- Figure 1.9
cause of the reduced air density. Density ρ vs. height z in the atmosphere.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 11
where the average radius of the Earth is Ro = 6356.766 |g| = |go| · [ Ro / (Ro + z) ]2
km. An air parcel (a group of air molecules mov-
ing together) raised to geometric height z would Geopotential height H is defined as the work per
have the same potential energy as if lifted only to unit mass to lift an object against the pull of gravity,
height H under constant gravitational acceleration. divided by the gravitational acceleration value for sea
By using H instead of z, you can use |g| = 9.8 m s–2 level:
z
1
as a constant in your equations, even though in real-
H=
go ∫ g · dZ
ity it decreases slightly with altitude. Z=0
The difference (z – H) between geometric and Plugging in the definition of |g| from the previous
geopotential height increases from 0 to 16 m as paragraph gives:
height increases from 0 to 10 km above sea level. z
∫ ( Ro + Z ) dZ
−2
Sometimes g and H are combined into a new H = Ro 2 ·
variable called the geopotential, Φ: Z=0
This integrates to
z
Φ = g ·H (1.15) − Ro 2
H=
Ro + Z
Z=0
Geopotential is defined as the work done against
After plugging in the limits of integration, and put-
gravity to lift 1 kg of mass from sea level up to height
ting the two terms over a common denominator, the
H. It has units of m2 s–2.
answer is:
H = Ro ·z /(Ro + z) (1.14a)
12 chapter 1 • atmospheric Basics
Sample Application
Find the geopotential height and the geopotential 5IFSNPTQIFSF
at 12 km above sea level.
) LN
P = (5.4749kPa)·(216.65K/T) 34.16319 20 ≤ H ≤ 32 km
Sample Application
Is eq. (1.9a) a good fit to standard atmos. pressure?
P= (0.868kPa)·(228.65K/T) 12.2011 32 ≤ H ≤ 47 km
Find the Answer
P = (0.1109kPa)·exp[–0.1262·(H–47 km)] Assumption: Use T = 270 K in eq. (1.9a) because it min-
47 ≤ H ≤ 51 km imizes pressure errors in the bottom 10 km.
Method: Compare on a graph where the solid line is
These equations are a bit better than eq. (1.9a) be- eq. (1.9a) and the data points are from Table 1-5.
cause they do not make the unrealistic assumption
of uniform temperature with height.
Knowing temperature and pressure, you can cal-
culate density using the ideal gas law eq. (1.18).
) LN
Layers of the Atmosphere
The following layers are defined based on the
nominal standard-atmosphere temperature struc-
ture (Fig. 1.10). 1 L1B
Thermosphere 84.9 ≤ H km Exposition: Over the lower 10 km, the simple eq.
Mesosphere 47 ≤ H ≤ 84.9 km (1.9a) is in error by no more than 1.5 kPa. If more ac-
Stratosphere 11 ≤ H ≤ 47 km curacy is needed, then use the hypsometric equation
Troposphere 0 ≤ H ≤ 11 km (see eq. 1.26, later in this chapter).
Mesopause H = 84.9 km
Stratopause H = 47 km
Tropopause H = 11 km
USPQPTQIFSF
å5
SE
å
[
[ LN
UN
QI
FS
F
sphere.
Sample Application
What is the average (standard) surface temperature Equation of State– Ideal Gas Law
for dry air, given standard pressure and density?
Because pressure is caused by the movement of
Find the Answer: molecules, you might expect the pressure P to be
Given: P = 101.325 kPa, ρ = 1.225 kg·m-3 greater where there are more molecules (i.e., greater
Find: T = ? K
density ρ), and where they are moving faster (i.e.,
greater temperature T). The relationship between
Solving eq. (1.18) for T gives: T = P / (ρ·ℜd)
pressure, density, and temperature is called the
101.325 kPa
T= Equation of State.
(1.225 kg·m )·(0.287 kPa·K -1 ·m 3 ·kg -1 )
-3
Different fluids have different equations of state,
= 288.2 K = 15°C depending on their molecular properties. The gas-
es in the atmosphere have a simple equation of state
Check: Units OK. Physically reasonable. known as the Ideal Gas Law.
Exposition: The answer agrees with the standard For dry air (namely, air with the usual mix of
surface temperature of 15°C discussed earlier, a cool gases, except no water vapor), the ideal gas law is:
but pleasant temperature.
P = ρ·ℜd ·T
•(1.18)
Sample Application where ℜd = 0.287053 kPa·K–1·m3·kg–1
What is the absolute humidity of air of temperature
= 287.053 J·K–1·kg–1 .
20°C and water vapor pressure of 2 kPa?
Find the Answer: ℜd is called the gas constant for dry air. Absolute
Given: e = 2 kPa, T = 20°C = 293 K temperatures (K) must be used in the ideal gas law.
Find: ρv = ? kg water vapor ·m-3 The total air pressure P is the sum of the partial
pressures of nitrogen, oxygen, water vapor, and the
Solving eq. (1.19) for ρv gives: ρv = e / (ℜv·T) other gases.
ρv = ( 2 kPa ) / ( 0.4615 kPa·K–1·m3·kg–1 · 293 K ) A similar equation of state can be written for just
= 0.0148 kg water vapor ·m-3 the water vapor in air:
Find the Answer: For moist air (normal gases with some water va-
Given: T = 35°C, r = 30 g water vapor/kgdry air por),
Find: Tv = ? °C
P = ρ·ℜ·T (1.20)
First, convert T and r to proper units
T = 273.15 + 35 = 308.15 K.
where density ρ is now the total density of the air.
r =(30 g water/kg air)·(0.001 kg/g) = 0.03 g water/g air
A difficulty with this last equation is that the “gas
Next use eq. (1.21): constant” is NOT constant. It changes as the humid-
Tv = (308.15 K)·[ 1 + (0.61 · 0.03) ] ity changes because water vapor has different mo-
= 313.6 K = 40.6°C. lecular properties than dry air.
To simplify things, a virtual temperature Tv
Check: Units OK. Physically reasonable. can be defined to include the effects of water vapor:
Exposition: Thus, high humidity reduces the density
of the air so much that it acts like dry air that is 5°C
Tv = T·[1 + ( a·r)]
warmer, for this case. •(1.21)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 15
where g = – 9.8 m·s–2 is the gravitational accelera- Check: Units OK. Sketch OK. Physics OK.
tion. (See Appendix B for variation of g with lati- Exposition: The negative sign means the person is
tude and altitude.) Negative g implies a negative pulled toward the Earth, not repelled away from it.
16 chapter 1 • atmospheric Basics
Check: Units OK. Sketch OK. Physics OK. The term hydrostatic is used because it de-
Exposition: This answer should not be extrapolated scribes a stationary (static) balance in a fluid (hydro)
to greater heights. between pressure pushing up and gravity pulling
down. The negative sign indicates that pressure
decreases as height increases. This equilibrium is
valid for most weather situations, except for vigor-
ous storms with large vertical velocities.
To derive eq. (1.26) from the ideal gas law and the (Continuation)
hydrostatic equation, one must use calculus. It can-
not be done using algebra alone. However, once the where |g|/ℜd is pulled out of the integral on the RHS
equation is derived, the answer is in algebraic form. because it is constant.
The derivation is shown here only to illustrate the
need for calculus. Derivations will NOT be given for The left side of that equation integrates to become
most of the other equations in this book. Students a natural logarithm (consult tables of integrals).
can take advanced meteorology courses, or read ad-
vanced textbooks, to find such derivations. The right side of that equation is more difficult,
because we don’t know the functional form of the
Derivation of the hypsometric equation: vertical temperature profile. On any given day, the
Given: the hydrostatic eq: profile has a complex shape that is not conveniently
described by an equation that can be integrated.
dP Instead, we will invoke the mean-value theorem
= – ρ· g (1.25c)
dz of calculus to bring Tv out of the integral. The overbar
and the ideal gas law: denotes an average (over height, in this context).
That leaves only dz on the right side. After inte-
grating, we get:
P = ρ·ℜd ·Tv
(1.23)
Then substitute this into (1.25c): Plugging in the upper and lower limits gives:
dP P· g g 1
=– ln( P2 ) − ln( P1 ) = – · · ( z2 − z1 )
dz ℜd ·Tv ℜd Tv
One trick for integrating equations is to separate
variables. Move all the pressure factors to one side, But the difference between two logarithms can be
and all height factors to the other. Therefore, multi- written as the ln of the ratio of their arguments:
ply both sides of the above equation by dz, and divide
both sides by P.
P g 1
ln 2 = – · · ( z2 − z1 )
dP g P1 ℜd Tv
=– dz
P ℜd ·Tv
Recalling that ln(x) = –ln(1/x), then:
Compared to the other variables, g and ℜd are rela-
tively constant, so we will assume that they are con-
P g 1
stant and separate them from the other variables. ln 1 = · ·( z2 − z1 )
However, usually temperature varies with height: P2 ℜd Tv
T(z). Thus:
P2 dP g z2 dz
∫P1 P
=–
ℜd
· ∫z 1 Tv ( z)
Atmospheric-pressure sensors are called Pressure, temperature, and density describe the
barometers. Almost all barometers measure the thermodynamic state of the air. These state variables
pressure difference between atmospheric pressure are related to each other by the ideal gas law. Change
on one side of the sensor, and a reference pressure one, and one or both of the others must change too.
on the other side. This pressure difference causes Ambient pressure decreases roughly exponentially
a net force that pushes against a spring or a weight. with height, as given by the hypsometric equation.
For most barometers, the reference pressure is a The vertical pressure gradient is balanced by the
vacuum (zero pressure). pull of gravity, according to the hydrostatic eq.
Aneroid barometers use a corrugated metal- Density variation is also exponential with height.
lic can (the aneroid element) with a vacuum in- Temperature, however, exhibits three relative max-
side the can. A spring forces the can sides outward ima over the depth of the atmosphere, caused by
against the inward-pushing atmospheric-pressure absorption of radiation from the sun. Thermody-
force. The relative inflation of the can is measured namic processes can be classified. The standard
with levers and gears that amplify the minuscule atmosphere is an idealized model of atmospheric
deflection of the can, and display the result as a vertical structure, and is used to define atmospheric
moving needle on a barometer or a moving pen on layers such as the troposphere and stratosphere. At-
a barograph (a recording barometer). The scale on mospheric pressure is measured with mercury, an-
an aneroid barometer can be calibrated to read in eroid, or electronic barometers.
any pressure units (see Table 1-3).
Mercury (Hg) barometers (developed by
Evangelista Torricelli in the 1600s) are made from
a U-shaped tube of glass that is closed on one end.
The closed end has a vacuum, and the other end is
open to atmospheric pressure. Between the vacuum
and the air is a column of mercury inside the tube,
the weight of which balances atmospheric pressure.
Atmospheric pressure is proportional to the
height difference ∆z between the top of the mercury
column on the vacuum side, and the height on the
side of the U-tube open to the atmosphere. Typical
∆z scales are millimeters of mercury (mm Hg),
centimeters of mercury (cm Hg), or inches of
mercury (in Hg). To amplify the height signal,
contra-barometers (developed by Christiaan Huy-
gens in the 1600s) use mercury on one side of the
U-tube and another fluid (e.g., alcohol) on the other.
Because mercury is a poison, modern Torricelli
(U-tube) barometers use a heavy silicon-based fluid
instead. Also, instead of using a vacuum as a ref-
erence pressure, they use a fixed amount of gas in
the closed end of the tube. All Torricelli barometers
require temperature corrections, because of thermal
expansion of the fluid.
Electronic barometers have a small can with
a vacuum or fixed amount of gas inside. Deflec-
tion of the can can be measured by strain gauges,
or by changes in capacitance between the top and
bottom metal ends of an otherwise non-conductive
can. Digital barometers are electronic barometers
that include analog-to-digital circuitry to send pres-
sure data to digital computers. More info about all
weather instruments is in WMO-No. 8 Guide to Me-
teorological Instruments and Methods of Observation.
20 chapter 1 • atmospheric Basics
ρ = 0.928 kg m–3
(1.13a), where
Check: Units OK. Physics reasonable. 0.040
Exposition: (ρo – ρ)/ρo ≈ 0.24. This means that aircraft 0.928
wings generate 24% less lift, aircraft engines generate
24% less power, and propellers 24% less thrust be-
cause of the reduced air density. This compounding
effect causes aircraft performance to decrease rapidly 0.928/ 1.225 = 76%
with increasing altitude, until the ceiling is reached
where the plane can’t climb any higher.
Fig. 1.13 shows the Find the Answer of this prob-
lem on a computer spreadsheet.
Figure 1.13
Example of a spreadsheet used to solve a numerical problem.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 21
A SCIENTIFIC PERSPECTIVE • Give Credit B9. Access from the web weather maps showing
thickness between two pressure surfaces. One of
Part of the ethic of being a good scientist or engineer is the most common is the 1000 - 500 mb thickness
to give proper credit to the sources of ideas and data, chart (i.e., the 100 - 50 kPa thickness chart). Com-
and to avoid plagiarism. Do this by citing the author
ment on how thickness varies with temperature (the
and the title of their book, journal paper, or electronic
content. Include the international standard book num-
most obvious example is the general thickness de-
ber (isbn), digital object identifier (doi), or other identi- crease further away from the equator).
fying info.
22 chapter 1 • atmospheric Basics
A7. Find the virtual temperature (°C) for air of: P = 50 kPa and T = –30 °C ?
a. b. c. d. e. f. g. i. What is the temperature (°C) of air, given
T (°C) 20 10 30 40 50 0 –10 P = 50 kPa and ρ = 0.5 kg·m–3 ?
r (g/kg) 10 5 0 40 60 2 1 j. What is the pressure (kPa) of air, given
T = –25°C and ρ = 1.2 kg·m–3 ?
A8. Given the planetary data in Table 1-7.
(i). What are the escape velocities from a planet A11. At a location in the atmosphere where the air
for each of their main atmospheric components? density is 1 kg m–3, find the change of pressure (kPa)
(For simplicity, use the planet radius instead of the you would feel if your altitude increases by ___ km.
“critical” radius at the base of the exosphere.). a. 2 b. 5 c. 7 d. 9 e. 11 f. 13 g. 16
(ii). What are the most likely velocities of those h. –0.1 i. –0.2 j. –0.3 k. –0.4 l. –0.5
molecules at the surface, given the average surface
temperatures given in that table? Comparing these A12. At a location in the atmosphere where the aver-
answers to part (i), which of the constituents (if any) age virtual temperature is 5°C, find the height dif-
are most likely to escape? a. Mercury b. Venus ference (i.e., the thickness in km) between the fol-
c. Mars d. Jupiter e. Saturn lowing two pressure levels (kPa):
f. Uranus g. Neptune h. Pluto a. 100, 90 b. 90, 80 c. 80, 70 d. 70, 60
e. 60, 50 f. 50, 40 g. 40, 30 h. 30, 20
Table 1-7. Planetary data. i. 20, 10 j. 100, 80 k. 100, 70 l. 100, 60
m. 100, 50 n. 50, 30
Planet Radius Tsfc Mass Main
(km) (°C) relative gases in A13. Name the isopleths that would be drawn on a
(avg.) to Earth atmos. weather map to indicate regions of equal
Mercury 2440 180 0.055 H2, He a. pressure b. temperature
Venus 6052 480 0.814 CO2, N2 c. cloudiness d. precipitation accumulation
Earth 6378 8 1.0 N2, O2 e. humidity f. wind speed
g. dew point h. pressure tendency
Mars 3393 –60 0.107 CO2, N2
Jupiter 71400 –150 317.7 H2, He A14. What is the geometric height and geopotential,
Saturn 60330 –185 95.2 H2, He given the geopotential height?
Uranus 25560 –214 14.5 H2, He a. 10 m b. 100 m c. 1 km d. 11 km
Neptune 24764 –225 17.1 H2, He What is the geopotential height and geopotential,
given the geometric height?
Pluto* 1153 –236 0.0022 CH4, N2, CO
e. 500 m f. 2 km g. 5 km h. 20 km
* Demoted to a “dwarf planet” in 2006.
A15. What is the standard atmospheric tempera-
A9. Convert the following temperatures:
ture, pressure, and density at each of the following
a. 15°C = ?K b. 50°F = ?°C
geopotential heights?
c. 70°F = ?K d. 15°C = ?°F
a. 1.5 km b. 12 km c. 50 m d. 8 km
e. 303 K = ?°C f. 250K = ?°F
e. 200 m f. 5 km g. 40 km h. 25 km
g. 2000°C = ?K h. –40°F = ?°C
A16. What are the geometric heights (assuming a
A10. a. What is the density (kg·m–3) of air, given
standard atmosphere) at the top and bottom of the:
P = 80 kPa and T = 0 °C ?
a. troposphere b. stratosphere
b. What is the temperature (°C) of air, given
c. mesosphere d. thermosphere
P = 90 kPa and ρ = 1.0 kg·m–3 ?
c. What is the pressure (kPa) of air, given
A17. Is the inverse of an average of numbers equal to
T = 90°F and ρ = 1.2 kg·m–3 ?
the average of the inverses of those number? (Hint,
d. Give 2 combinations of pressure and density
work out the values for just two numbers: 2 and 4.)
that have a temperature of 30°C.
This question helps explain where the hypsometric
e. Give 2 combinations of pressure and density
equation given in this chapter is only approximate.
that have a temperature of 0°C.
f. Give 2 combinations of pressure and density
A18(§). Using the standard atmosphere equations,
that have a temperature of –20°C.
re-create the numbers in Table 1-5 for 0 ≤ H ≤ 51 km.
g. How could you determine air density if you
did not have a density meter?
h. What is the density (kg·m–3) of air, given
24 chapter 1 • atmospheric Basics
Evaluate & Analyze E1. What are the limitations of the “standard atmo-
These questions require more thought, and are sphere”?
extensions of material in the chapter. They might
require you to combine two or more equations or E2. For any physical variable that decreases expo-
concepts from different parts of the chapter, or from nentially with distance or time, the e-folding scale
other chapters. You might need to critically evaluate is defined as the distance or time where the physical
an approach. Some questions require a numerical variable is reduced to 1/e of its starting value. For
answer — others are “short-answer” essays. the atmosphere the e-folding height for pressure de-
They often require you to make assumptions, be- crease is known as the scale height. Given eq. (1.9a),
cause insufficient data is given to solve the problem. what is the algebraic and numerical value for atmo-
Whenever you make assumptions, justify them first. spheric scale height (km)?
A sample solution to such an exercise is shown be-
low. E3(§). Invent some arbitrary data, such as 5 data
points of wind speed M vs. pressure P. Although
P is the independent variable, use a spreadsheet to
plot it on the vertical axis (i.e., switch axes on your
Sample Application – Evaluate & Analyze (E) graph so that pressure can be used as a surrogate
What are the limitations of eq. (1.9a), if any? How measure of height), change that axis to a logarithmic
can those limitations be eliminated? scale, and then reverse the scale so that the largest
value is at the bottom, corresponding to the greatest
Find the Answer pressure at the bottom of the atmosphere.
Eq. (1.9a) for P vs. z relies on an average tempera-
Now add to this existing graph a second curve of
ture over the whole depth of the atmosphere. Thus, eq.
(1.9a) is accurate only when the actual temperature is different data of M vs. P. Learn how to make both
constant with height. curves appear properly on this graph because you
As we learned later in the chapter, a typical or will use this skill repeatedly to solve problems in fu-
“standard” atmosphere temperature is NOT constant ture chapters.
with height. In the troposphere, for example, tempera-
ture decreases with height. On any given day, the real E4. Does hydrostatic equilibrium (eq. 1.25) always
temperature profile is likely to be even more compli- apply to the atmosphere? If not, when and why not?
cated. Thus, eq. (1.9a) is inaccurate.
A better answer could be found from the E5. a. Plug eqs. (1.1) and (1.2a) into (1.3), and use trig
hypsometric equation (1.26b):
to show that U = U. b. Similar, but for V = V.
z − z1
P2 = P1 · exp − 2 with a = 29.3 m K–1.
a·Tv E6. What percentage of the atmosphere is above a
By iterating up from the ground over small increments height (km) of : a. 2 b. 5 c. 11 d. 32
Δz = z2 – z1, one can use any arbitrary temperature pro- e. 1 f. 18 g. 47 h. 8
file. Namely, starting from the ground, set z1 = 0 and
P1 = 101.325 kPa. Set z2 = 0.1 km, and use the average E7. What is the mass of air inside an airplane with a
virtual temperature value in the hypsometric equation cabin size of 5 x 5 x 30 m, if the cabin is pressurized
for that 0.1 km thick layer from z = 0 to 0.1 km. Solve to a cabin altitude of sea level? What mass of outside
for P2. Then repeat the process for the layer between z air is displaced by that cabin, if the aircraft is flying
= 0.1 and 0.2 km, using the new Tv for that layer. at an altitude of 3 km? The difference in those two
Because eq. (1.9a) came from eq. (1.26), we find oth-
masses is the load of air that must be carried by the
er limitations.
aircraft. How many people cannot be carried be-
1) Eq. (1.9a) is for dry air, because it uses temperature
rather than virtual temperature. cause of this excess air that is carried in the cabin?
2) The constant “a” in eq. (1.9a) equals = (1/29.3) K m–1.
Hence, on a different planet with different gravity and E8. Given air of initial temperature 20°C and density
different gas constant, “a” would be different. Thus, of 1.0 kg m–3.
eq. (1.9a) is limited to Earth. a. What is its initial pressure?
Nonetheless, eq. (1.9a) is a reasonable first-order b. If the temperature increases to 30°C in an
approximation to the variation of pressure with alti- isobaric process, what is the new density?
tude, as can be seen by using standard-atmosphere P c. If the temperature increases to 30°C in an
values from Table 1-5, and plotting them vs. z. The re- isobaric process, what is the new pressure?
sult (which was shown in the Sample Application after
d. For an isothermal process, if the pressure
Table 1-5) is indeed close to an exponential decrease
changes to 20 kPa, what is the new density?
with altitude.
e. For an isothermal process, if the pressure
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 25
Y = a1 ·R 3/2 (2.1)
1MVUP &SJT
(a)
(b) 1MVUP
.FSDVSZ
7FOVT
&BSUI
.BST /FQUVOF
6SBOVT
: &BSUI%BZT
/FQUVOF 4BUVSO
+VQJUFS
: &BSUI%BZT
.BST
6SBOVT
&BSUI
+VQJUFS
7FOVT
4BUVSO
.FSDVSZ
3 (N
3 (N
%BZJO+BOVBSZ 65$
B
1FSJIFMJPO C
"QIFMJPO
%BZJO+VMZ 65$
:FBS :FBS
Figure 2.3
Dates (UTC) of the (a) perihelion and (b) aphelion, & their
Because the Earth is rotating around the Earth- trends (thick line). From the US Naval Observatory. http://
moon barycenter while this barycenter is revolv- aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/EarthSeasons.php
ing around the sun, the location of the center of the
Earth traces a slightly wiggly path as it orbits the
sun. This path is exaggerated in Fig. 2.2 (thick line). Sample Application(§)
Define a relative Julian Day, d, as the day of the Use a spreadsheet to find the true anomaly and
year. For example, 15 January corresponds to d = sun-Earth distance for several days during the year.
15. For 5 February, d = 36 (which includes 31 days in
January plus 5 days in February). Find the Answer
The angle at the sun between the perihelion and Given: dp = 4 Jan. P = 365.25 days.
the location of the Earth (actually to the Earth-moon Find: ν = ?° and R = ? Gm.
barycenter) is called the true anomaly ν (see Fig.
Sketch: (same as Fig 2.2)
2.2). This angle increases during the year as the day
For example, for 15 Feb, d = 46
d increases from the perihelion day (about dp = 4; Use eq. (2.2):
namely, about 4 January). According to Kepler’s M = (2 · 3.14159)·(46–4)/ 365.256363 = 0.722 radians
second law, the angle increases more slowly when Use eq. (2.3b):
the Earth is further from the sun, such that a line ν =0.722 +0.0333988·sin(0.722) + 0.0003486·sin(1.444)
connecting the Earth and the sun will sweep out + 0.000005·sin(2.166) = 0.745 radians
equal areas in equal time intervals. Use eq. (2.4):
An angle called the mean anomaly M is a sim- R = (149.457Gm)·(1 – 0.01672)/[1+0.0167·cos(0.745)]
ple, but good approximation to ν. It is defined by: = (149.457Gm) · 0.99972 / 1.012527 = 147.60 Gm
/PSUI1PMF WFSOBMFRVJOPY
TVNNFSTPMTUJDF
ř.BSDI
ř+VOF
"SDUJD$
JSDMF
BQIFMJPO FBSUI QFSJIFMJPO
5SPQJD ř+VMZ
TVO ř+BOVBSZ
PG$B
ODFS
'S XJOUFSTPMTUJDF
DFOUFSPGTVOUP BVUVNOBMFRVJOPY ř%FDFNCFS
&RVBUP
S DFOUFSPGFBSUI ř4FQUFNCFS
5SPQJD ET
PG$BQ
SJDPSO
"OUBSD Figure 2.5
UJD$JSD Dates (UTC) of northern-hemisphere seasons relative to Earth’s
MF
orbit.
4PVUI1PMF
The distance R between the sun and Earth (actu-
ally to the Earth-moon barycenter) as a function of
Figure 2.4
Relationship of declination angle δs to tilt of the Earth’s axis, for
time is
a day near northern-hemisphere summer. 1 − e2
R = a· (2.4)
1 + e · cos( ν)
Seasonal Effects
The tilt of the Earth’s axis relative to a line per-
Table 2-1 . Dates and times (UTC) for northern hemi-
pendicular to the ecliptic (i.e., the orbital plane of
sphere equinoxes and solstices. Format: dd hhmm
gives day (dd), hour (hh) and minutes (mm). From the the Earth around the sun) is presently Φr = 23.44° =
US Naval Observatory. http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/ 0.409 radians. The direction of tilt of the Earth’s axis
EarthSeasons.php is not fixed relative to the stars, but wobbles or pre-
cesses like a top with a period of about 25,781 years.
Year Spring Summer Fall Winter
Although this is important over millennia (see the
Equinox Solstice Equinox Solstice
Climate chapter), for shorter time intervals (up to a
(March) (June) (Sept.) (Dec.)
century) the precession is negligible, and you can as-
2015 20 2245 21 1638 23 0820 22 0448 sume a fixed tilt.
2016 20 0430 20 2234 22 1421 21 1044 The solar declination angle δs is defined as
2017 20 1028 21 0424 22 2002 21 1628 the angle between the ecliptic and the plane of the
2018 20 1615 21 1007 23 0154 21 2222 Earth’s equator (Fig. 2.4). Assuming a fixed orienta-
tion (tilt) of the Earth’s axis as the Earth orbits the
2019 20 2158 21 1554 23 0750 22 0419
sun, the solar declination angle varies smoothly as
2020 20 0349 20 2143 22 1330 21 1002 the year progresses. The north pole points partially
2021 20 0937 21 0332 22 1921 21 1559 toward the sun in summer, and gradually changes
2022 20 1533 21 0914 23 0104 21 2148 to point partially away during winter (Fig. 2.5).
2023 20 2124 21 1458 23 0650 22 0327 Although the Earth is slightly closer to the sun
in winter (near the perihelion) and receives slightly
2024 20 0306 20 2051 22 1244 21 0921
more solar radiation then, the Northern Hemisphere
2025 20 0901 21 0242 22 1819 21 1503 receives substantially less sunlight in winter be-
cause of the tilt of the Earth’s axis. Thus, summers
are warmer than winters, due to Earth-axis tilt.
The solar declination angle is greatest (+23.44°) on
about 20 to 21 June (summer solstice in the North-
ern Hemisphere, when daytime is longest) and is
most negative ( –23.44°) on about 21 to 22 December
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 31
&MFWBUJPO"OHMF
cos(φ)· sin(ζ)
where ζ = C/4 – Ψ is the zenith angle. After noon, .BS
the azimuth angle might need to be corrected to be
α = C – α, so that the sun sets in the west instead
of the east. Fig. 2.6 shows an example of the eleva-
tion and azimuth angles for Vancouver (latitude = %FD
49.25°N, longitude = 123.1°W) during the solstices
and equinoxes.
Sunrise, Sunset & Twilight "[JNVUI"OHMF
Table 2-2. Elevation angles for diurnal events. Approximate (sundial) time-of-day correspond-
ing to these events can be found by rearranging eq.
Event Ψ (°) Ψ (radians) (2.6): (2.8a)
Sunrise & Sunset:
Geometric 0 0 td sin φ · sin δ s − sin Ψ
tUTC = · λ e ± arccos
Apparent –0.833 –0.01454 C cos φ · cos δ s
Twilight: where the appropriate elevation angle is used from
Civil –6 –0.10472 Table 2-2. Where the ± sign appears, use + for sun-
Military –12 –0.20944 rise and – for sunset. If any of the answers are nega-
tive, add 24 h to the result.
Astronomical –18 –0.31416
To correct the time for the tilted, elliptical orbit of
the earth, use the approximate Equation of Time:
INFO • Astronomical Values for Time
∆ ta ≈ − a ·sin( M ) + b·sin(2 M + c) (2.8b)
The constants a = 2·e/ωE , b = [tan2(ε/2)]/ωE , and
c = 2·ϖ in the Equation of Time are based on the fol-
lowing astronomical values: ωE = 2π/24h = 0.0043633 where a = 7.659 minutes, b = 9.863 minutes, c = 3.588
radians/minute is Earth’s rotation rate about its axis, radians = 205.58°, and where the mean anomaly M
e = 0.01671 is the eccentricity of Earth’s orbit around from eq. (2.2) varies with day of the year. This time
the sun, ε = 0.40909 radians = 23.439° is the obliquity correction is plotted in the Sample Application. The
(tilt of Earth’s axis), ϖ = 4.9358 radians = 282.8° is the corrected (mechanical-clock) time teUTC is:
angle (in the direction of Earth’s orbit around the sun)
between a line from the sun to the vernal (Spring) teUTC = tUTC – ∆ta (2.8c)
equinox and a line drawn from the sun to the moving
perihelion (see Fig. 2.5, and Fig. 21.10 in Chapter 21). which corrects sundial time to mechanical-clock
time. Don’t forget to convert the answer from UTC
to your local time zone.
Sample Application (§)
Plot time correction vs. day of the year.
respectively. A flux in the positive x-direction (east-
'FC
The reason for sometimes expressing fluxes in Check: Units OK. Sketch OK. Physics OK.
kinematic form is that the result is given in terms Exposition: The kinematic flux is equivalent to a very
of easily measured quantities. For example, while light wind speed of less than 1 m s–1 blowing through
the doorway, yet it transports quite a large amount of
most people do not have “Watt” meters to measure
mass each minute.
the normal “dynamic” heat flux, they do have ther-
mometers and anemometers. The resulting temper-
ature times wind speed has units of a kinematic heat
flux (K·m·s–1). Similarly, for mass flux it is easier to Sample Application
measure wind speed than kilograms of air per area If the heat flux from the sun that reaches the Earth’s
per time. surface is 600 W m–2, find the flux in kinematic units.
Heat fluxes can be caused by a variety of pro-
cesses. Radiative fluxes are radiant energy (elec- Find the Answer:
Given: FH = 600 W m–2
tromagnetic waves or photons) per unit area per
Find: FH = ? K·m s–1
unit time. This flux can travel through a vacuum.
Assume: sea level.
Advective flux is caused by wind blowing through
an area, and carrying with it warmer or colder Use eq. (2.11)
temperatures. For example a warm wind blowing FH = (600 W m–2) / [1231 (W·m–2) / (K·m·s–1) ]
toward the east causes a positive heat-flux compo- = 0.487 K·m s–1
nent FHx in the x-direction. A cold wind blowing
toward the west also gives positive FHx. Turbulent Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
fluxes are caused by eddy motions in the air, while Exposition: This amount of radiative heat flux is
conductive fluxes are caused by molecules bounc- equivalent to an advective flux of a 1 m s–1 wind blow-
ing into each other. ing air with temperature excess of about 0.5°C.
36 chapter 2 • Solar & Infrared Radiation
Sample Application
Red light has a wavelength of 0.7 µm. Find its Radiation principles
frequency, circular frequency, and wavenumber in a
vacuum.
Propagation
Find the Answer Radiation can be modeled as electromagnetic
Given: co = 299,792,458 m s–1, λ = 0.7 µm waves or as photons. Radiation propagates through
Find: ν = ? Hz, ω = ? s–1 , σ = ? m–1 . a vacuum at a constant speed: co = 299,792,458 m·s–1.
For practical purposes, you can approximate this
Use eq. (2.12), solving for ν: speed of light as co ≈ 3x108 m·s–1. Light travels slight-
ν = co/λ = (3x108 m s–1) / (0.7x10 –6 m cycle –1) ly slower through air, at roughly c = 299,710,000 m·s–1
= 4.28x1014 Hz. at standard sea-level pressure and temperature, but
the speed varies slightly with thermodynamic state
ω = 2π·ν = 2·(3.14159)·(4.28x1014 Hz)
of the air (see the Optics chapter).
= 2.69x1015 s–1.
Using the wave model of radiation, the wave-
σ = 1/λ = 1 / (0.7x10 –6 m cycle –1) length λ (m·cycle–1) is related to the frequency, ν
= 1.43x10 6 m–1. (Hz = cycles·s–1) by:
Emission
Objects warmer than absolute zero can emit ra-
diation. An object that emits the maximum possible
radiation for its temperature is called a blackbody.
Sample Application Planck’s law gives the amount of blackbody mono-
Find the blackbody monochromatic radiant exi-
chromatic (single wavelength or color) radiant flux
tance of green light of wavelength 0.53 µm from an
leaving an area, called emittance or radiant exi-
object of temperature 3000 K.
tance, Eλ*:
Find the Answer c1
Eλ * = •(2.13)
Given: λ = 0.53 µm, T = 3000 K λ · [ exp(c2 / (λ · T )) − 1]
5
Find: Eλ* = ? W·m–2· µm–1 .
Use eq. (2.13): where T is absolute temperature, and the asterisk in-
dicates blackbody. The two constants are:
c1
Eλ * = 5 c1 = 3.74 x 108 W·m–2 · µm4 , and
λ · [ exp(c2 /(λ · T )) − 1] c2 = 1.44 x 104 µm·K.
(3.74x108 Wm -2 µm 4 )/(0.53µm)5 Eq. (2.13) and constant c1 already include all di-
Eλ * = rections of exiting radiation from the area. Eλ* has
exp (1.44x10 4 Kµm)/(0.53µm · 3000K) − 1
units of W·m-2 µm–1 ; namely, flux per unit wave-
= 1.04 x 10 6 W·m–2· µm–1 length. For radiation approaching an area rather
than leaving it, the radiant flux is called irradi-
Check: Units OK. Physics reasonable. ance.
Exposition: Because 3000 K is cooler than the sun, Actual objects can emit less than the theoreti-
about 50 times less green light is emitted. The answer cal blackbody value: Eλ = eλ·Eλ* , where 0 ≤ eλ ≤ 1 is
is the watts emitted from each square meter of surface emissivity, a measure of emission efficiency.
per µm wavelength increment.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 37
Y 4VO
&BSUI
5,
5,
&M 8pNmpNm
&M 8pNmpNm
Y
Y
Y
8BWFMFOHUI N
8BWFMFOHUI N
The Planck curve (eq. 2.13) for emission from a Table 2-3. Ranges of wavelengths λ of visible colors.
blackbody the same temperature as the sun (T = Approximate center wavelength is in boldface. For
5780 K) is plotted in Fig. 2.8. Peak emissions from more info, see Chapter 22 on Atmospheric Optics.
the sun are in the visible range of wavelengths (0.38
Color λ (µm)
– 0.74 µm, see Table 2-3). Radiation from the sun is
called solar radiation or short-wave radiation.
Red 0.625 - 0.650 - 0.740
The Planck curve for emission from a blackbody Orange 0.590 - 0.600 - 0.625
that is approximately the same temperature as the Yellow 0.565 - 0.577 - 0.590
whole Earth-atmosphere system (T ≈ 255 K) is plot- Green 0.500 - 0.510 - 0.565
ted in Fig. 2.9. Peak emissions from this idealized Cyan 0.485 - 0.490 - 0.500
average Earth system are in the infrared range 8 to Blue 0.460 - 0.475 - 0.485
18 µm. This radiation is called terrestrial radia- Indigo 0.425 - 0.445 - 0.460
tion, long-wave radiation, or infrared (IR) radia- Violet 0.380 - 0.400 - 0.425
tion.
The wavelength of the peak emission is given by
Wien’s law: Sample Application
What is the total radiant exitance (radiative flux)
a emitted from a blackbody Earth at T = 255 K, and what
λ max = (2.14)
T is the wavelength of peak emission?
where a = 2897 µm·K.
Find the Answer
The total amount of emission (= area under
Given: T = 255 K &BSUI
Planck curve = total emittance) is given by the Ste- Find: E* = ? W·m–2 , λmax = ? µm
fan-Boltzmann law: Sketch:
Use eq. (2.15):
E*= (5.67x10 –8 W·m–2·K–4)·(255 K)4 = 240 W·m–2.
E* = σ SB · T 4 •(2.15) Use eq. (2.14):
λmax = (2897 µm·K) / (255 K) = 11.36 µm
where σSB = 5.67x10 –8 W·m–2·K–4 is the Stefan-
Boltzmann constant, and E* has units of W·m–2. Check: Units OK. λ agrees with peak in Fig. 2.9.
More details about radiation emission are in the Sat- Exposition: You could create the same flux by plac-
ellites & Radar chapter in the sections on weather ing a perfectly-efficient 240 W light bulb in front of a
satellites. parabolic mirror that reflects the light and IR radiation
into a beam that is 1.13 m in diameter.
For comparison, the surface area of the Earth is
about 5.1x1014 m2, which when multiplied by the flux
gives the total emission of 1.22x1017 W. Thus, the Earth
acts like a large-wattage IR light bulb.
38 chapter 2 • Solar & Infrared Radiation
Distribution
Radiation emitted from a spherical source de- 4PMBSSBEJBUJPOSFBDIJOH
creases with the square of the distance from the cen- &BSUITPSCJU
&M 8pNmpNm
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. where Ψ is the elevation angle (the angle of the
Exposition: During N. Hemisphere winter, solar ra- sun above the surface). In kinematic form, this is
diative forcing is up to 50 W·m–2 larger than average.
E
Frad = · sin(Ψ )
ρ· Cp •(2.20)
Check: Units OK. Sketch OK. Physics OK. where So =1366 W m–2 is the solar irradiance, a =
Exposition: Because the solar radiation is striking 149.457 Gm is Earth’s semi-major axis length, R is
the parking lot at an angle, the radiative flux into the the actual distance for any day of the year, from eq.
parking lot is half of the solar irradiance.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 41
(2.4). In eq. (2.21), ho’ is the sunset and sunrise hour +BO 'FC .BS "QS .BZ +VO +VM "VH 4FQ 0DU /PW %FD
angle in radians.
The hour angle ho at sunrise and sunset can be
found using the following steps:
α = − tan(φ)·tan(δ s ) (2.22a)
β = min[1, (max( −1, α )] (2.22b)
-BUJUVEF
8N
ho = arccos(β) (2.22c)
Eq. (2.22b) truncates the argument of the arccos to
be between –1 and 1, in order to account for high m
latitudes where there are certain days when the sun
never sets, and other days when it never rises.
m
[CAUTION. When finding the arccos, your answer
might be in degrees or radians, depending on your calcu-
lator, spreadsheet, or computer program. Determine the m
units by experimenting first with the arccos(0), which will
either give 90° or π/2 radians. If necessary, convert the 3FMBUJWF+VMJBO%BZ
hour angle to units of radians, the result of which is ho’.]
Fig. 2.11 shows the average incoming solar radia- Figure 2.11
tion vs. latitude and day of the year, found using Average daily insolation E (W m–2) over the globe.
eq. (2.21). For any one hemisphere, E has greater
difference between equator and pole during winter
than during summer. This causes stronger winds
and more active extratropical cyclones in the winter Sample Application
hemisphere than in the summer hemisphere. Find the average daily insolation over Vancouver
during the summer solstice.
Some substances such as dark glass are semi- (1368 W·m -2 ) 149Gm 2
E= · ·
transparent (i.e., some radiation passes through). π 151.892 Gm
A fraction of the incoming (incident) radiation might [2.098·sin( 49.25°)·sin(23.45°) +
also be reflected (bounced back), and another por- cos( 49.25°)·cos(23.45°)·sin(120.23°)]
tion might be absorbed. Thus, you can define the
efficiencies of reflection, absorption, and transmis- E = (1327 W m–2)·[2.098(0.3016)+0.5174]
sion as:
= 486 W m–2
Eλ reflected
rλ = = reflectivity (2.24)
Eλ incident Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Agrees with Fig. 2.11.
Exposition: At the equator on this same day, the av-
erage daily insolation is less than 400 W m–2 .
E
aλ = λ absorbed = absorptivity (2.25)
Eλ incident
42 chapter 2 • Solar & Infrared Radiation
Ereflected •(2.29)
Find the Answer A=
Given: Eλ incoming = 500 W m–2 , Eincoming
Eλ transmitted = 100 W m–2 , Eλ reflected = 150 W m–2
Find: aλ = ? , eλ = ? , rλ = ? , and tλ = ? The average global albedo for solar radiation reflect-
ed from Earth is A = 30% (see the Climate chapter).
Use eq. (2.26): tλ = (100 W m–2) / (500 W m–2) = 0.2 The actual global albedo at any instant varies with
Use eq. (2.24): rλ = (150 W m–2) / (500 W m–2) = 0.3
ice cover, snow cover, cloud cover, soil moisture, to-
Use eq. (2.27): aλ = 1 – 0.2 – 0.3 = 0.5
pography, and vegetation (Table 2-5). The Moon’s
Use eq. (2.23): eλ = aλ = 0.5
albedo is only 7%.
Check: Units dimensionless. Physics reasonable. The surface of the Earth (land and sea) is a very
Exposition: By definition, translucent means part- strong absorber and emitter of radiation.
ly transparent, and partly absorbing.
Table 2-5. Typical albedos (%) for sunlight. Table 2-5 (continuation). Typical albedos (%).
Surface A (%) Surface A (%) Surface A (%) Surface A (%)
alfalfa 23-32 forest, decid. 10-25 rice paddy 12 soil, red 17
buildings 9 granite 12-18 road, asphalt 5-15 soil, sandy 20-25
clay, wet 16 grass, green 26 road, dirt 18-35 sorghum 20
clay, dry 23 gypsum 55 rye winter 18-23 steppe 20
cloud, thick 70-95 ice, gray 60 sand dune 20-45 stones 20-30
cloud, thin 20-65 lava 10 savanna 15 sugar cane 15
concrete 15-37 lime 45 snow, fresh 75-95 tobacco 19
corn 18 loam, wet 16 snow, old 35-70 tundra 15-20
cotton 20-22 loam, dry 23 soil, dark wet 6-8 urban, mean 15
field, fallow 5-12 meadow, green 10-20 soil, light dry 16-18 water, deep 5-20
forest, conif. 5-15 potatoes 19 soil, peat 5-15 wheat 10-23
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 43
where ρ is the density of air, and k has units of Use eq. (2.32): γ = (107 m–3)·(10 –9 m2) = 0.01 m–1
m2 gair–1 . The total extinction across the whole path
can be quantified by a dimensionless optical thick- (a) Use eq. (2.31a)
ness (or optical depth in the vertical), τ , allowing Etran = 1366 W·m–2 · exp[ –(0.01 m–1)·(20 m)]
Beer’s law to be rewritten as: = 1366 W·m–2 · exp[–0.2] = 1118 W·m–2
E =E · e−τ (2.31c)
transmitted incident (b) Rearrange eq. (2.31c):
τ = ln(Ein/Etransmitted) = ln(1366/1118) = 0.20
To simplify these equations, sometimes a volume
extinction coefficient γ is defined by (c) Rearrange eq. (2.31a): ∆s = [ln(Eincident/Etrans)]/γ .
V = ∆s = [ln(1/0.02)]/0.01 m–1 = 0.391 km
γ = n·b = k·ρ (2.32)
Check: Units OK. Sketch OK. Physics OK.
Visual range (V, one definition of visibility) is Exposition: Not much attenuation through this small
the distance where the intensity of transmitted light smoke plume; namely, 1366 – 1118 = 248 W·m–2 was ab-
has decreased to 2% of the incident light. It estimates sorbed by the smoke. However, if this smoke fills the
the max distance ∆s (km) you can see through air. air, then visibility is very poor.
44 chapter 2 • Solar & Infrared Radiation
*m Surface Radiation Budget
'MVY 8N
K ↓ = − So · Tr ·sin(Ψ ) (2.34)
&BSUI
BUNPTQ
Find the Answer where cloud-cover fractions for high, middle, and
Given: Tr = 0.8, So = 1366 W m–2 , A = 0.5. low clouds are σH, σM, and σL, respectively. These
I↑ = 400 W m–2 , I↓ = 350 W m–2 cloud fractions vary between 0 and 1, and the
Find: F* = ? W m–2 transmissivity also varies between 0 and 1.
Of the sunlight reaching the surface, a portion
Use eq. (2.34): might be reflected:
K↓ =–(1366 W m–2)·(0.8)· (0.3) = –381 W m–2
Use eq. (2.36): K↑= –(0.5)·(–381 W m–2)= 164 W m–2
K ↑ = − A· K ↓ (2.36)
Use eq. (2.33): F* =(–381)+(164)+(–350)+(400) W m–2
F* = –167 W m–2
where the surface albedo is A.
Check: Units OK. Magnitude and sign OK.
Exposition: Negative sign means net inflow to the
surface, such as would cause daytime warming.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 45
= I* nighttime •(2.40b)
4PMBSSBEJBUJPOSFBDIJOH
&BSUITPSCJU
Actinometers
&M 8pNmpNm
Sensors designed to measure electromagnetic &BSUIT
SBEJBUJPO
radiative flux are generically called actinometers
or radiometers. In meteorology, actinometers are
usually oriented to measure downwelling or up-
welling radiation. Sensors that measure the differ-
ence between down- and up-welling radiation are
called net actinometers.
Special categories of actinometers are designed M N
measured and related to the spectral intensities. B2. Access “web cam” camera images from a city,
These are also sometimes called Fourier-trans- town, ski area, mountain pass, or highway near you.
form spectrometers, because of the mathematics Use visible shadows on sunny days, along with your
used to extract the spectral information from the knowledge of solar azimuth angles, to determine the
spacing of the fringes. direction that the camera is looking.
You can learn more about radiation, including
the radiative transfer equation, in the weather-satel- B3. Access from the web the exact time from mili-
lite section of the Satellites & Radar chapter. Satel- tary (US Navy) or civilian (National Institute of Stan-
lites use radiometers and spectrometers to remotely dards and Technology) atomic clocks. Synchronize
observe the Earth-atmosphere system. Other satel- your clocks at home or school, utilizing the proper
lite-borne radiometers are used to measure the glob- time zone for your location. What is the time dif-
al radiation budget (see the Climate chapter). ference between local solar noon (the time when the
sun is directly overhead) and the official noon ac-
cording to your time zone. Use this time difference
to determine the number of degrees of longitude that
you are away from the center of your time zone.
Review
B4. Access orbital information about one planet
The variations of temperature and humidity that
(other than Earth) that most interests you (or a plan-
you feel near the ground are driven by the diurnal
et assigned by the instructor). How elliptical is the
cycle of solar heating during the day and infrared
orbit of the planet? Also, enjoy imagery of the planet
cooling at night. Both diurnal and seasonal heating
if available.
cycles can be determined from the geometry of the
Earth’s rotation and orbit around the sun. The same
B5. Access runway visual range reports from sur-
orbital mechanics describes weather-satellite orbits,
face weather observations (METARs) from the web.
as is discussed in the Satellites & Radar chapter.
Compare two different locations (or times) having
Short-wave radiation is emitted from the sun and
different visibilities, and calculate the appropriate
propagates through space. It illuminates a hemi-
volume extinction coefficients and optical thickness.
sphere of Earth. The portion of this radiation that is
Also search the web to learn how runway visual
absorbed is the heat input to the Earth-atmosphere
range (RVR) is measured.
system that drives Earth’s weather.
IR radiation from the atmosphere is absorbed at
B6. Access both visible and infrared satellite pho-
the ground, and IR radiation is also emitted from the
tos from the web, and discuss why they look differ-
ground. The IR and short-wave radiative fluxes do
ent. If you can access water-vapor satellite photos,
not balance, leaving a net radiation term acting on
include them in your comparison.
the surface at any one location. But when averaged
over the whole globe, the earth-atmosphere system
B7. Search the web for information about the sun.
is approximately in radiative equilibrium.
Examine satellite-based observations of the sun
Instruments to measure radiation are called ac-
made at different wavelengths. Discuss the struc-
tinometers or radiometers. Radiometers and spec-
ture of the sun. Do any of the web pages give the
trometers can be used in remote sensors such as
current value of the solar irradiance (i.e., the solar
weather satellites.
constant)? If so, how has it varied recently?
A9(§). Plot the duration of evening civil twilight (dif- b. Using the average solar irradiance, plot the ra-
ference between end of twilight and sunset times) diative flux (reaching the Earth’s surface through a
vs. latitude between the south and north poles, for perfectly clear atmosphere) vs. latitude. Assume lo-
the following date: cal noon.
a. 22 Dec b. 5 Feb c. 21 Mar d. 5 May
e. 21 Jun f. 5 Aug g. 23 Sep h. 5 Nov A19(§). For the city of exercise A1, plot the average
daily insolation vs. Julian day.
A10. On 15 March for the city listed from exercise
A5, at what local standard time is: A20. What is the value of IR absorptivity of:
a. geometric sunrise a. aluminum b. asphalt c. cirrus cloud
b. apparent sunrise d. conifer forest e. grass lawn f. ice
c. start of civil twilight g. oak h. silver i. old snow
d. start of military twilight j. urban average k. concrete average
e. start of astronomical twilight l. desert average m. shrubs n. soils average
f. geometric sunset
g. apparent sunset A21. Suppose polluted air reflects 30% of the incom-
h. end of civil twilight ing solar radiation. How much (W m–2) is absorbed,
i. end of military twilight emitted, reflected, and transmitted? Assume an in-
j. end of astronomical twilight cident radiative flux equal to the solar irradiance,
given a transmissivity of:
A11. Calculate the Eq. of Time correction for: a. 0 b. 0.05 c. 0.1 d. 0.15 e. 0.2 f. 0.25
a. 1 Jan b. 15 Jan c. 1 Feb d. 15 Feb e. 1 Mar g. 0.3 h. 0.35 i. 0.4 j. 0.45 k. 0.5 l. 0.55
f. 15 Mar g. 1 Apr h. 15 Apr i. 1 May j. 15 May m. 0.6 n. 0.65 o. 0.7
A12. Find the mass flux (kg·m–2·s–1) at sea-level, giv- A22. What is the value of albedo for the following
en a kinematic mass flux (m s–1) of: land use?
a. 2 b. 5 c. 7 d. 10 e. 14 f. 18 g. 21 a. buildings b. dry clay c. corn d. green grass
h. 25 i. 30 j. 33 k. 47 l. 59 m. 62 n. 75 e. ice f. potatoes g. rice paddy h. savanna
i. red soil j. sorghum k. sugar cane
A13. Find the kinematic heat fluxes at sea level, giv- l. tobacco
en these regular fluxes (W·m–2):
a. 1000 b. 900 c. 800 d. 700 e. 600 A23. What product of number density times absorp-
f. 500 g. 400 h. 300 i. 200 j. 100 tion cross section is needed in order for 50% of the
k. 43 l. –50 m. –250 n. –325 o. –533 incident radiation to be absorbed by airborne volca-
nic ash over the following path length (km)?
A14. Find the frequency, circular frequency, and a. 0.2 b. 0.4 c. 0.6 d. 0.8 e. 1.0 f. 1.5 g. 2
wavenumber for light of color: h. 2.5 i. 3 j. 3.5 k. 4 l. 4.5 m. 5 n. 7
a. red b. orange c. yellow d. green
e. cyan f. blue f. indigo g. violet A24. What fraction of incident radiation is transmit-
ted through a volcanic ash cloud of optical depth:
A15(§). Plot Planck curves for the following black- a. 0.2 b. 0.5 c. 0.7 d. 1.0 e. 1.5 f. 2 g. 3
body temperatures (K): h. 4 j. 5 k. 6 l. 7 m. 10 n. 15 o. 20
a. 6000 b. 5000 c. 4000 d. 3000 e. 2500
f. 2000 g. 1500 h. 1000 i. 750 j. 500 A25. What is the visual range (km) for polluted air
k. 300 l. 273 m. 260 n. 250 h. 240 that has volume extinction coefficient (m-1) of:
a. 0.00001 b. 0.00002 c. 0.00005 d. 0.0001
A16. For the temperature of exercise A15, find: e. 0.0002 f. 0.0005 g. 0.001 h. 0.002
(i) wavelength of peak emissions i. 0.005 j. 0.01 k. 0.02 l. 0.05
(ii) total emittance (i.e., total amount of emis-
sions) A26. (i) What is the value of solar downward direct
radiative flux reaching the surface at the city from
A17. Estimate the value of solar irradiance reaching exercise A5 at noon on 4 July, given 20% coverage of
the orbit of the planet from exercise A1. cumulus (low) clouds.
(ii) If the albedo is 0.5 in your town, what is the
A18(§). a. Plot the value of solar irradiance reaching reflected solar flux at that same time?
Earth’s orbit as a function of relative Julian day.
50 chapter 2 • Solar & Infrared Radiation
(iii) What is the approximate value of net E10. a. On a clear day at your location, observe and
longwave radiation at that time? record actual sunrise and sunset times, and the du-
(iv) What is the net radiation at that time, given ration of twilight.
all the info from parts (i) - (iii)? b. Use that information to determine the day of
the year.
A27. For a surface temperature of 20°C, find the c. Based on your personal determination of the
emitted upwelling IR radiation (W m–2) over the length of twilight, and based on your latitude and
surface-type from exercise A20. season, is your personal twilight most like civil, mil-
itary, or astronomical twilight?
Evaluate & Analyze E11. Given a flux of the following units, convert it to
E1. At what time of year does the true anomaly
a kinematic flux, and discuss the meaning and/or
equal:
advantages of this form of flux.
a. 45° b. 90° c. 135° d. 180° e. 225°
a. Moisture flux: g water·m–2·s–1
f. 270° g. 315° h. 360°
b. Momentum flux: (kgair· m·s–1)·m–2·s–1
c. Pollutant flux: gpollutant·m–2·s–1
E2(§) a. Calculate and plot the position (true anom-
aly and distance) of the Earth around the sun for the
E12. a. What solar temperature is needed for the
first day of each month.
peak intensity of radiation to occur at 0.2 microm-
b. Verify Kepler’s second law.
eters?
c. Compare the elliptical orbit to a circular orbit.
b. Remembering that humans can see light only
between 0.38 and 0.74 microns, would the sun look
E3. What is the optimum angle for solar collectors
brighter or dimmer at this new temperature?
at your town?
E13. A perfectly black asphalt road absorbs 100% of
E4. Design a device to measure the angular diam-
the incident solar radiation. Suppose that its result-
eter of the sun when viewed from Earth. (Hint, one
ing temperature is 50°C. How much visible light
approach is to allow the sun to shine through a pin
does it emit?
hole on to a flat surface. Then measure the width
of the projected image of the sun on this surface di-
E14. If the Earth were to cool 5°C from its present
vided by the distance between the surface and the
radiative equilibrium temperature, by what percent-
pin hole. What could cause errors in this device?)
age would the total emitted IR change?
E5. For your city, plot the azimuth angle for appar-
E15(§). Evaluate the quality of the approximation to
ent sunrise vs. relative Julian day. This is the direc-
Planck’s Law [see eq. (a) in the “ A Scientific Perspec-
tion you need to point your camera if your want to
tive • Scientific Laws — the Myth” box] against the
photograph the sunrise.
exact Planck equation (2.13) by plotting both curves
for a variety of typical sun and Earth temperatures.
E6. a. Compare the length of daylight in Fairbanks,
AK, vs Miami, FL, USA.
E16. Find the solar irradiance that can pass through
b. Why do vegetables grow so large in Alaska?
an atmospheric “window” between λ1 = 0.3 µm and
c. Why are few fruits grown in Alaska?
λ2 = 0.8 µm. (See the “ A Scientific Perspective •
Seek Solutions” box in this chapter for ways to do
E7. How would Fig. 2.6 be different if daylight (sum-
this without using calculus.)
mer) time were used in place of standard time dur-
ing the appropriate months?
E17. How much variation in Earth orbital distance
from the sun is needed to alter the solar irradiance
E8(§). Plot a diagram of geometric sunrise times
by 10%?
and of sunset times vs. day of the year, for your loca-
tion.
E18. Solar radiation is a diffuse source of energy,
meaning that it is spread over the whole Earth rath-
E9(§). Using apparent sunrise and sunset, calculate
er than being concentrated in a small region. It has
and plot the hours of daylight vs. Julian day for your
been proposed to get around the problem of the
city.
inverse square law of radiation by deploying very
large mirrors closer to the sun to focus the light as
collimated rays toward the Earth. Assuming that
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 51
E23. Use Beer’s law to determine the relationship S7. Derive eq. (2.6) from basic principles of geometry
between visual range (km) and volume extinction and trigonometry. This is quite complicated. It can
coefficient (m–1). (Note that extinction coefficient be done using plane geometry, but is easier if you
can be related to concentration of pollutants and use spherical geometry. Show your work.
relative humidity.)
S8. What if the perihelion of Earth’s orbit happened
E24(§). For your city, calculate and plot the noontime at the summer solstice, rather than near the winter
downwelling solar radiation every day of the year, solstice. How would noontime, clear-sky values of
assuming no clouds, and considering the change in insolation change at the solstices compared to now?
solar irradiance due to changing distance between
the Earth and sun. S9. What if radiative heating was caused by the
magnitude of the radiative flux, rather than by the
E25. Consider cloud-free skies at your town. If 50% radiative flux divergence. How would the weather
coverage of low clouds moves over your town, how or the atmospheric state be different, if at all?
does net radiation change at noon? How does it
change at midnight? S10. Linearize Planck’s Law in the vicinity of one
temperature. Namely, derive an equation that gives
E26. To determine the values of terms in the surface a straight line that is tangent to any point on the
net-radiation budget, what actinometers would you Planck curve. (Hint: If you have calculus skills, try
use, and how would you deploy them (i.e., which di- using a Taylor’s series expansion.) Determine over
rections does each one need to look to get the data what range of temperatures your equation gives rea-
you need)? sonable answers. Such linearization is sometimes
used retrieving temperature soundings from satel-
lite observations.
3 Thermodynamics
53
54 chapter 3 • Heat Budgets
5 $MJRVJE
$
L+ LHp$
Sensible Energy Possessed
The sensible energy (J) possessed by the total
mass m of all the molecules in an object (such as air
$JDF molecules contained in a finite volume) is mair· Cv ·
m L+ LHp$
)0 T , where T is absolute temperature of the air. The
constant of proportionality Cv is called the specific
heat at constant volume. Its value depends on the
m material. For dry air, Cvd air = 717 J kg–1 K–1.
Again, we are interested more in the change of
&OFSHZ L+LH
sensible energy possessed. We might suspect that
it should be proportional to the change in tempera-
Figure 3.1 ture ∆T, but there is a complication that is best ap-
Sensible and latent energy for water. proached using the First Law of Thermodynamics.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 55
OE&EJUJPO
5BC TPOJBO
MF
O
F JB
CM PO
4N
5B JUIT
4UVMM
#PISFO 9
"MCSFDIU By tradition, meteorologists often use the word
sensible heat in place of the word enthalpy. This
,ZMF
Apply eq. (3.4b): This form is useful in meteorology. When rising air
∆QH = mair·Cpd·∆T parcels experience a decrease in surrounding atmo-
= (3 kg)·(1004. J·kg–1·K–1)·(–10°C) = –30.12 kJ spheric pressure, the last term is non-zero.
The change of sensible-heat (∆QH) possessed
Check: Physics & units are reasonable. by air mass mair changing its temperature by ∆T is
Exposition: On a hot day, this is the energy your air thus:
conditioner must extract from the air in your car. ∆ QH = mair · Cp ·∆ T (3.4b)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 57
D
E
The sum of forces from all molecules that bounce off 1JTUPO
a wall of area A results in an air pressure Po.
If you add B
C
1JTUPO 1JTUPO
∆q thermal en-
ergy to air in
the box, the
temperat u re
rises to T2 (rep-
resented by
longer arrows
in Fig. 3I.2b). Fig. 3I.2. Molecules in a fixed volume.
Fig. 3I.3. Molecules in a constant-pressure chamber.
Also, when
each molecule bounces off a wall, it imparts a greater
Hence, this is an isobaric process (determined by
force because it is moving faster. Thus, the pressure
the weight of the piston in this contrived example).
P2 will be larger. This is expected from the ideal gas
The ideal gas law for constant pressure says:
law under constant density, for which
ρo · To = ρ1 · T1 = constant = P /ℜ (3I.6)
Po/To = P2/T2 = constant = ρ·ℜ (3I.4)
If you know how much thermal energy ∆q you
Different materials warm by different amounts
added per kilogram of material, and you measure the
when you add heat. If you know how much thermal
resulting increase in temperature T1 – To, then you
energy ∆q you added per kilogram of material, and
can empirically determine the specific heat at con-
you measure the resulting increase in temperature T2
– To, then you can empirically determine the specific
stant pressure:
heat at constant volume:
Cp = ∆q/(T1 – To) (3I.7)
Cv = ∆q/(T2 – To) (3I.5)
which is about Cp = 1004 J·kg–1·K–1 for dry air.
which is about Cv = 717 J·kg–1·K–1 for dry air.
Cp vs. Cv
Thus, in a constant pressure situation, the addi-
Cp — Specific Heat at Constant Pressure
tion of ∆q thermal energy results in less warming
For a different scenario, consider a box (Fig. 3I.3c)
[ (T1 – To) < (T2 – To) ] than at constant volume. The
with a frictionless moveable piston at the top. The
reason is that, for constant pressure, some of the ran-
weight of the stationary piston is balanced by the
dom microscopic kinetic energy of the molecules is
pressure of the gas trapped below it. If you add ∆q
converted into the macroscale work of expanding the
thermal energy to the air, the molecules will move
air and moving the piston up against the pull of grav-
faster (Fig. 3I.3d), and exert greater pressure against
ity. Such conservation of energy is partly described
the piston and against the other walls of the chamber.
by the First Law of Thermodynamics.
But the weight of the piston hasn’t changed, so the in-
In the atmosphere, the pressure at any altitude
creased pressure of the gas causes the piston to rise.
is determined by the weight of all the air molecules
But when any molecule bounces off the piston and
above that altitude (namely, the “piston” is all the air
helps move it, the molecule loses some of its micro-
molecules above). If you add a small amount of ther-
scopic kinetic energy. (An analogy is when a billiard
mal energy to air molecules at that one altitude, then
ball bounces off an empty cardboard box sitting in the
you haven’t significantly affected the number of mol-
middle of the billiard table. The box moves a bit when
ecules above, hence the pressure is constant. Thus,
hit by the ball, and the ball returns more slowly.) The
for most atmospheric situations it is appropriate to
result is that the gas temperature T1 in Fig. 3I.3e is not
use Cp , not Cv , when forecasting temperature chang-
as warm as in Figs. 3I.2b or 3I.3d, but is warmer than
es associated with the transfer of thermal energy into
the initial temperature; namely, To < T1 < T2 .
or from an air parcel.
(continues in next column)
58 chapter 3 • Heat Budgets
Lapse-rate Definition
Define the lapse rate, Γ, as the amount of tem-
perature decrease with altitude:
Figure 3.2
T2 − T1 ∆T Internal and external processes affecting air-parcel temperature.
Γ=− =− (3.6)
z2 − z1 ∆z
BJS
FTT
QBSDFM QBSDFM
JSPO
ℜ d /Cp
P •(3.12)
θ = T · o
P
Sample Application
What is the virtual potential temperature of air
where ℜd/Cp = 0.28571 (dimensionless) and where having potential temperature 15°C, mixing ratio 0.008
temperatures must be in Kelvin. A reference pres- g water vapor/gair , and liquid water mixing ratio of:
sure of Po = 100 kPa is often used, although some a) 0 ; b) 0.006 gliq.water/gair ?
people use the local surface pressure instead. In this
book we will assume that the surface pressure equals Find the Answer
the reference pressure of Po = 100 kPa and will use z Given: θ =15°C = 288 K, r = 0.008 g water vapor/gair ,
= 0 at that surface, unless stated otherwise. a) rL = 0 ; b) rL =0.006 gliq.water/gair .
Both eqs. (3.11) and (3.12) show that θ = T at z = 0 Find: θv = ? °C
or at P = Po. Thus θ is the actual temperature that an Abbreviate “water vapor” with “wv” here.
air parcel potentially has if lowered to the reference
a) Apply eq (3.13): θv = (288K)·
level adiabatically. [1 + (0.61 gair/g wv ) · ( 0.008 g wv/gair ) ] .
A virtual potential temperature θv for humid Thus, θv = 289.4 K. Or subtract 273 to
air having water-vapor mixing ratio r but containing get Celsius: θv = 16.4 °C.
no solid or liquid water is defined as:
a) Apply eq (3.14): θv = (288K)·
θ v = θ ·[1 + ( a · r )] (3.13) [1 + (0.61 gair/g wv ) · ( 0.008 g wv/gair ) –
0.006 gliq./gair ] = 287.7 K.
where a = 0.61 gair/gwater vapor . If the air contains Subtract 273 to get Celsius: θv = 14.7°C.
ice crystals, cloud drops, or rain drops, then virtual
potential temperature is given by: Check: Physics and units are reasonable.
Exposition: When no liquid water is present, virtual
θ v = θ ·[1 + ( a · r ) − rL − rI ] •(3.14) pot. temperatures are always warmer than potential
temperatures, because water vapor is lighter than air.
However, liquid water is heavier than air, and
where rL is the liquid-water mixing ratio and rI = ice has the opposite effect. This is called liquid-water
mixing ratio. Mixing ratio is described in the Wa- loading, and makes the air act as if it were colder.
62 chapter 3 • Heat Budgets
1 Diagram select the “XY scatter”, and then select the option that
L1B
draws straight line segments without data points.
Under the Chart, Source Data menu, select Series.
JTPCBS Then manually switch the columns for the X and Y
ES data for each series — this does an axis switch. On
ZB
EJB the graph, click on the vertical axis to get the Format
CB
U Axis dialog box, and select the Scale tab. Check the
Logarithmic scale box, and the Values in Reverse Or-
QPUFOUJBM der box. A bit more tidying up will yield a graph with
UFNQFSBUVSF 3 curves similar to Fig. 3.4. Try adding more curves.
R$
Figure 3.4 (at left)
Simplified thermo diagram, showing isotherms (vertical
green lines of constant temperature) and isobars (horizontal
green lines of constant pressure). Isobars are plotted logarithmi-
m m
cally, but with the scale reversed so that the highest pressure is
at the bottom of the graph, corresponding to the bottom of the at-
m m m mosphere. Dry adiabats are thick orange lines, showing the tem-
5 $
perature variation of air parcels rising or sinking adiabatically.
64 chapter 3 • Heat Budgets
Putting this into eq. (3.21) and then that eq. into eq.
Advection of Heat (3.17) yields:
The AMS Glossary of Meteorology (2000) defines
advection as transport of an atmospheric property ∆T/∆t = – 1.99x10 –4 K·s –1.
by the mass motion of the air (i.e., by the wind).
Temperature advection transports heat. Faster Check: Physics & units are reasonable.
winds blowing hotter air causes greater advective Exposition: The cube does not get warmer, it gets
heat flux: colder at a rate of about 0.72°C/hour. The reason is
Fx adv = U · T (3.23) that more heat is leaving than entering, which gave a
positive value for the flux gradient.
Fy = V ·T What happens if either of the two fluxes are nega-
adv (3.24)
tive? That means that heat is flowing from north to
south. So the sign is critical in helping us determine
Fz adv = W · T (3.25) the movement and convergence of heat.
66 chapter 3 • Heat Budgets
Sample Application B
C
D
NPMFDVMBS
tion. At the surface this effective flux is entirely due
to molecular conduction, and above about 5 mm al-
titude the effective flux is mostly due to turbulence.
FGG
.PMFDVMBS
FD
Instead of using eq. (3.32) to calculate molecular
UJWF
-BZFS
SC
surface heat fluxes, most meteorologists approxi-
UV
Atmospheric Turbulence
Superimposed on the average wind are some-
what-random faster and slower gusts. This turbu- Sample Application
lence is caused by eddies in the air that are con- Given an effective surface kinematic heat flux of
stantly being created, changing, and dying. They 0.67 K·m·s–1 , find the Deardorff velocity for a dry, 1 km
exist as a superposition of many different size swirls thick boundary layer of temperature 25°C
(3 mm to 3 km). One eddy might move a cold blob of
air out of any fixed Eulerian region, but another eddy Find the Answer
Given: FH = 0.67 K·m·s–1 , zi = 1 km = 1000 m ,
might move air that is warmer into that same region.
Tv = T (because dry) = 25°C = 298 K.
Although we don’t try to forecast the heat transport- Find: w* = ? m s–1
ed by each individual eddy (an overwhelming task),
we instead try to estimate the net heat flux caused Apply eq. (3.39):
by all the eddies. Namely, we resort to a statistical w* = [ (9.8 m·s–2)·(1000m)·(0.67 K·m·s–1)/(298K)]1 3
description of the effects of turbulence. = 2.8 m s–1
Turbulence in the air is analogous to turbulence
in your teacup when you stir it. Namely, turbulence Check: Physics & units are reasonable.
tends to blend all the ingredients into a uniform ho- Exposition: Over land on hot sunny days, warm
mogenous mixture. In the atmosphere, the mixing buoyant thermals often rise with a speed of the same
homogenizes individual variables such as potential order of magnitude as the Deardorff velocity.
temperature, humidity, and momentum (wind). The
mixing rate depends on the strength of the turbu-
lence, which can vary in space and time. We will fo-
cus on mixing of heat (potential temperature) here.
by the thick green line in Fig. 3.7. This line has a val-
Sample Application
ue at the bottom of the ABL as given by the effective
Given the Sample Application at the top of the pre-
vious page, what is the value for vertical flux diver- surface flux (Fz bottom = FH), and at the top has a value
gence for this calm, sunny ABL? of (Fz top ≈ –0.2·FH) on less windy days. Thus, the
flux-divergence term for turbulence (during sunny
Find the Answer fair weather, within domain 0 < z < zi ) is:
Given: FH = 0.83 K·m·s–1, zi = 3000 m ∆Fz turb ≈ Fz top − Fz bottom (3.40)
Find: ∆Fz turb/∆z = ? (K s–1) ∆z zi
Apply eq. (3.41): ∆Fz turb −1.2 · FH
≈ (3.41)
∆Fz turb −1.2 · FH ∆z zi
≈
∆z zi
for an ABL depth zi of 0.2 to 3 km.
∆Fz turb −1.2 ·(0.83 K · m/ss)
≈ When no storm clouds are present, the air at z >
∆z 3000m zi is often not turbulent during daytime:
= –0.000332 K·s –1
∆Fz turb (3.42)
≈0 above ABL top; for fair weather
Check: Physics and units are reasonable. ∆z
Exposition: Recall from eq. (3.17) that a negative ver-
tical gradient gives a positive warming with time — During clear nights of fair weather, turbulence can
appropriate for a sunny day. The amount of warming be very small over most of the lower 3 km of tropo-
is about 1.2°C/h. You might experience this warming sphere, except in the very lowest 100 m where wind
rate over 10 hours on a hot sunny day. shears can still create occasional turbulence.
Stormy Weather
Sometimes horizontal advection can move warm
air under colder air. This makes the atmosphere
statically unstable, allowing thunderstorms to form.
These storms try to undo the instability by over-
turning the air — allowing the warm air to rise and
cold air to sink. But the result is so violently turbu-
lent that much mixing also takes place. The end re-
sult can sometimes be an atmosphere with a vertical
gradient close to that of the standard atmosphere,
as was discussed in Chapter 1. Namely, the atmo-
[ sphere experiences moist convective adjustment,
TUSBUPTQIFSF
LN
USPQPQBVTF
to adjust the initial less-stable lapse rate to one that
is more stable.
DPMEFS
TUE
GJO BUN
DBVTFE
JOJ –∆T/∆z ) is 6.5 K km–1. Suppose that the initial lapse
T
QS U BMPGU CZXBSN
F JBM BJSSJTJOH rate before the thunderstorm forms is Γps (= –∆T/∆z).
TUP
SN XBSNFS DPMEBJS
The amount of heat flux that is required to move the
UIBOTUE TJOLJOHJO
BUIVOEFS warm air up and cold air down during a storm life-
CFMPX
USPQPTQIFSF
TUPSN time of ∆t (≈1 h) is:
∆Fz turb zT 1 z
≈ · Γ ps − Γ sa · − (3.43)
m '
NBY ∆z ∆t 2 zT
5FNQFSBUVSF $
)FBU'MVY
where the troposphere depth is zT (≈11 km). An ini-
Figure 3.8 tially unstable environment gives a positive value
If a deep layer of cold air lies above a deep layer of warm air, such for the factor enclosed by square brackets.
as in a pre-thunderstorm environment, then the air is statically Because thunderstorm motions do not penetrate
unstable. This instability creates a thunderstorm, which not below ground, and assuming no flux above the top
only causes overturning of tropospheric air, but also mixes the of the storm, then the vertical turbulent heat flux
air. The final result can differ from storm to storm, but here we must be zero at both the top and bottom of the tro-
assume that the storm dies when the atmosphere has been mixed posphere, as was sketched in Fig. 3.8. The parabolic
to the standard (std.)-atmosphere lapse rate of 6.5°C/km.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 71
Structure Novice Expert where a = 0.33 K (mm of rain)–1, and RR has units
Perception [(mm of rain) s–1]. Divide by 3600 for RR in mm h–1.
Cues about the missed recognized
structure are ... and trigger
new lines of Simplified Eulerian Net Heat Budget
thought You can insert the flux-gradient approximations
from the previous subsections into eqs. (3.17 or 3.18)
Disparate separately recognized
classified as having the
for the first law of thermo. Although the result looks
instances are...
based on same underly- complicated, you can simplify it by assuming the fol-
surface ing structure lowing are negligible within a fixed air volume: (1)
features vertical temperature advection by the mean wind;
Tasks are before think- after data is (2) horizontal turbulent heat transport; (3) molecu-
performed... ing about the organized to lar conduction; (4) short-wave heating of the air; (5)
organization find structure constant IR cooling.
Theories that are used identify ideas
don’t agree with without ripe for
data ... revision revision
(Paraphrased from Wendy Adams, Carl Wieman, Dan Schwartz, & Kathleen Harper.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 73
' m
B
%BZ
C
/JHIU
FG = molecular heat conduction to/from deeper
NPJTU IVNJEBJS below the surface (e.g., Ground, oceans).
TVSGBDF The surface balance for dynamic heat-fluxes (in
units of W m–2) is:
'&
0 = FF * + FF H + FFE − FFG •(3.52)
'
')
') If you divide by ρair·Cp to get the balance in kine-
'& matic form (in units of K m s–1), the result is:
m
m
0 = F * + FH + FE − FG •(3.53)
'( '( The first 3 terms on the right are fluxes between the
m
surface and the air above. The last term is between
the surface and the Earth below (hence the – sign).
Examples of these fluxes and their signs are
sketched in Fig. 3.9 for different surfaces and for day
D
%BZ
E
%BZ
'& vs. night. For an irrigated lawn or crop, the typical
' m
') ESZ IPUESZ
diurnal cycle (daily evolution) of surface fluxes is
'
EFTFSU XJOE sketched in Fig. 3.10. Essentially, net radiation F* is
PWFS an external forcing that drives the other fluxes.
m
FFG ≈ X · FF * (3.54)
')
m
with a corresponding kinematic heat flux of:
'&
F ≈ X·F * (3.55)
ř G
and the negative sign says that the heat flux flows
Sample Application
down the local gradient (from hot toward cold air).
If the net radiation is –800 W·m–2 at the surface over
An analogous expression for effective surface a desert, then find sensible, latent, and ground fluxes.
moisture flux is FE = –KE·∆r/∆z , where mixing ra-
tio r is defined in the next chapter as mass of water Find the Answer
vapor contained in each kg of dry air. If you ap- Given: F* = –800 W·m–2
proximate the eddy diffusivity for moisture, KE, as B = 10 for arid regions
equaling that for heat and if the vertical gradients Find: FH, FE and FG = ? W·m–2
are measured across the same air layer ∆z, then you
can write the Bowen ratio as: Because negative F* implies daytime, use X = 0.1 in eq.
(3.54): FG = 0.1· F* = 0.1· (–800 W·m–2 ) = –80 W·m–2
∆θ
B= γ· (3.57)
∆r Eqs. (3.52 & 3.56) can be manipulated to give:
FE = (FG – F*) / (1 + B)
for a psychrometric constant defined as γ = Cp/Lv
FH = B·(FG – F*) / (1 + B)
= 0.4 (gwater vapor/kgair)·K–1. Thus,
Eq. (3.57) is appealing to use in field work because FE= (–80 + 800 W·m–2) / (1 + 10)
the difficult-to-measure fluxes have been replaced = 65.5 W·m–2
by easy-to-measure mean-temperature and humid-
ity differences. Namely, if you erect a short tower in FH= 10·(–80 + 800 W·m–2) / (1 + 10)
the surface layer and deploy thermometers at two = 654.5 W·m–2
different heights and mount hygrometers (for mea-
suring humidity) at the same two heights (Fig. 3.11), Check: Physics and units are reasonable. Also, we
then you can compute B. Don’t forget to convert the should confirm that the result gives a balanced energy
temperature difference to potential-temperature dif- budget. So apply eq. (3.52):
ference: ∆θ = T2 – T1 + (0.0098 K m–1)·(z2 – z1) .
0 = F* + FH + FE – FG ???
With a bit of algebra you can combine eqs. (3.57,
0 = –800 + 654.5 + 65.5 + 80 W·m–2 True.
3.56, 3.54, and 3.52) to yield effective surface sensible
heat flux in dynamic units (W m–2) as a function of Exposition: Although typical values for the Bowen
net radiation: ratio were given on the previous page, the actual value
−0.9 · FF * for any given type of surface depends on so many fac-
FF H = (3.58)
∆r tors that it is virtually useless when trying to use the
+1 Bowen ratio method to predict surface fluxes. How-
γ · ∆θ
ever, the field-measurement approach shown in the
or kinematic units (K m s–1): figure below and in eqs. (3.58 - 3.63) does not require
an a-priori Bowen ratio estimate. Hence, this field ap-
−0.9 · F * proach is quite accurate for measuring surface fluxes,
FH =
∆r except near sunrise and sunset.
+1 (3.59)
γ · ∆θ
A bit more algebra yields the latent heat flux (W
WFOUJMBUFEPSBTQJSBUFE
m–2) caused by movement of water vapor to or from JOTUSVNFOUTIFMUFST
[
the surface: BUIFJHIUTJOTGDMBZFS
−0.9 · FF *
FFE = (3.60)
γ · ∆θ
+1 [ 5 S
OFU
∆r
SBEJPNFUFS
or in kinematic units (K m s–1):
XJOE
−0.9 · F * UPNUBMM
FE = (3.61)
γ · ∆θ NBTUPSUPXFS
+1 [ 5 S
∆r
The next chapter shows how to convert latent heat-
flux values into waver-vapor fluxes.
If you have found sensible heat flux from eqs.
(3.58 or 3.59), then the latent heat flux is easily found Figure 3.11
from: Field set-up for getting surface effective sensible and latent heat
FFE = −0.9 · FF * − FF H (3.62) fluxes using the Bowen-ratio method. (T, r) are (thermometers,
or hygrometers) that are shielded from sunlight using ventilated
FE = −0.9 · F * − FH (3.63) instrument shelters. The net radiometer measures F*.
76 chapter 3 • Heat Budgets
Sample Application
A Bowen-ratio field site observes the following: Apparent Temperature Indices
index z (m) T (°C) r (g vapor/kgair)
2 15 16 7 . Warm-blooded (homeothermic) animals in-
1 1 20 12 . cluding humans generate heat internally via metab-
with, F* = –650 W·m–2 . Find all surface fluxes.
olism of the food we eat with the oxygen we breath.
But we also rely on heat transfer with the environ-
Find the Answer
ment to help maintain an internal core temperature
Given: info above.
Find: surface dynamic fluxes (W·m–2) FE , FH , FG = ? of about 37°C (= 98.6°F). (Our skin is normally
cooler — about 33.9°C = 93°F). Heat transfer occurs
First step is to find ∆θ: both via sensible heat fluxes (temperature difference
∆θ = T2 – T1 + (0.0098 K m–1)·(z2 – z1) between air and our skin or lungs) and latent heat
= 16 K – 20 K + (0.0098 K m–1)·(15m – 1m) fluxes (evaporation of moisture from our lungs and
= –4 K + 0.137 K = –3.86 K of perspiration from our skin).
Apply eq. (3.58) The temperature we “feel” on our skin depends
−0.9 ·( −650 W · m −2 ) on the air temperature and wind speed (as they both
FF H = control the bulk heat transfer between our skin and
( −5g vap /kg air )
+1 the environment) and on humidity (is it affects how
[0.4(g vap /kg air )· K −1 ]·( −3.86K )
rapidly perspiration evaporates to cool us).
FH = 138 W·m–2 Define a reference state as being a person walk-
ing at speed Mo = 4.8 km h–1 through calm, moder-
Next, apply eq. (3.62): ately dry air. The actual air temperature is defined
FE = –0.9·F* – FH to be the temperature we “feel” for this reference
= –0.9·(–650 W·m–2) – 138. W·m–2 state.
= 447 W·m–2 The apparent temperature is the temperature
of a reference state that feels the same as it does for
Finally, apply eq. (3.54): FG = 0.1·F* = –65 W m–2 . non-reference conditions. For example, faster winds
in winter make the temperature feel colder (wind
Check: Physics & units are reasonable. Also, all the chill) than the actual air temperature, while higher
flux terms sum to zero, verifying the balance.
humidities in summer make the air feel warmer
Exposition: The resulting Bowen ratio is B = 138/447 (humidex or heat index).
= 0.31, which suggests the site is irrigated farmland.
Wind-Chill Temperature
The wind-chill temperature index is a mea-
sure of how cold the air feels to your exposed face.
The official formula, as revised in 2001 by the USA
Sample Application and Canada, for wind chill in °C is:
If wind speed is 30 km h–1 and actual air tempera-
ture is –25°C, find the wind-chill index. 0.16
M
Twind chill = ( a · Tair + T1 ) + ( b · Tair − T2 ) ·
Find the Answer Mo
Given: M = 30 km h–1, Tair = –25°C,
for M > Mo (3.64a)
Find: Twind chill = ? °C.
and
Apply eq. (3.64a): Twind chill = Tair for M ≤ Mo (3.64b)
Twind chill = [ 0.62 ·( −25°C) + 13.1°C ] +
where a = 0.62, b = 0.51, T1 = 13.1°C, and T2 =
0.16
14.6°C. M is the wind speed measured at the official
[ 0.51·(−25°CC) − 14.6°C ]· 430.8km/h
km/h anemometer height of 10 m. For M < Mo, the wind
chill equals the actual air temperature. This index
= [–2.4°C] +[–27.4°C]·(1.34) = –39.1°C applies to non-rainy air.
Fig. 3.12 and Table 3-3 show that faster winds and
Check: Physics and units are reasonable. Agrees colder temperatures make us “feel” colder. The data
with a value interpolated from Table 3-1.
used to create eq. (3.64) was from volunteers in Can-
Exposition: To keep warm, consider making a fire ada who sat in refrigerated wind tunnels, wearing
by burning pages of this book. The book is easier to
warm coats with only their face exposed.
replace than your fingers, toes, ears, or nose.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 77
At wind chills colder than –27°C, exposed skin Table 3-3. The wind-chill-index temperature (°C).
can freeze in 10 to 30 minutes. At wind chills colder
Wind Speed Actual Air Temperature (°C)
than –48°C: WARNING, exposed skin freezes in 2 to
5 min. At wind chills colder than –55°C: DANGER, km· m·s -1 –40 –30 –20 –10 0 10
h-1
exposed skin freezes in less than 2 minutes. In this
danger zone is an increased risk of frostbite (fin- 60 16.7 –64 –50 –36 –23 –9 5
gers, toes, ears and nose numb or white), and hypo- 50 13.9 –63 –49 –35 –22 –8 6
thermia (drop in core body temperature). 40 11.0 –61 –48 –34 –21 –7 6
30 8.3 –58 –46 –33 –20 –6 7
Humidex and Heat Index 20 5.6 –56 –43 –31 –18 –5 8
On hot days you feel warmer than the actual air 10 2.8 –51 –39 –27 –15 –3 9
temperature when the air is more humid, but you
0 0 –40 –30 –20 –10 0 10
feel cooler when the air is drier due to evaporation of
your perspiration. In extremely humid cases the air
is so uncomfortable that there is the danger of heat
stress. Two apparent temperatures that indicate
this are humidex and heat index.
The set of equations below approximates Stead- $ m$ m$ m$
man’s temperature-humidity index of sultriness (i.e.,
a heat index): m$ m$ m$
8JOE4QFFE LNIm
p
RH · es (3.65a)
Theat index (°C) = TR + [T − TR ] ·
%BO
100 · eR
HFS
where eR = 1.6 kPa is reference vapor pressure, and
8B
T (°C) = 0.8841· T + (0.19°C) (3.65b)
SOJO
R
H
p = (0.0196°C −1 )· T + 0.9031 (3.65c)
1 1
es (kPa) = 0.611 ·exp 5423 −
273.15 (T + 273.15) m m m m
"DUVBM"JS5FNQFSBUVSF $
(3.65d)
Figure 3.12
For any wind speed M and actual air temperature T read the
The two input variables are T (dry bulb temperature wind-chill temperature index (°C) from the curves in this
in °C), and RH (the relative humidity, ranging from graph.
0 for dry air to 100 for saturated air). Also, TR (°C),
and p are parameters, and es is the saturation vapor
pressure, discussed in the Water Vapor chapter. Eqs.
Table 3-4. Heat-index apparent temperature (°C).
(3.65) assume that you are wearing a normal amount
of clothing for warm weather, are in the shade or
Rel. Actual Air Temperature (°C)
Hum.
indoors, and a gentle breeze is blowing.
The dividing line between feeling warmer vs. (%) 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
feeling cooler is highlighted with the bold, under- 100 21 29 41 61
lined heat-index temperatures in Table 3-4. 90 21 29 39 57
In Canada, a humidex is defined as 80 21 28 37 52
70 20 27 35 48
Thumidex (°C) = T (°C) + a ·(e − b) (3.66a)
60 20 26 34 45 62
where T is air temperature, a = 5.555 (°C kPa–1),
b= 50 19 25 32 41 55
1 kPa, and 40 19 24 30 38 49 66
(3.66b) 30 19 24 29 36 44 56
1 1
e(kPa) = 0.611·exp 5418 − 20 18 23 28 33 40 48 59
273.16 [Td (°C) + 273.16] 10 18 23 27 32 37 42 48
0 18 22 27 31 36 40 44
78 chapter 3 • Heat Budgets
Apply
A1. Find the change in sensible heat (enthalpy) (J) A7. Find the final temperature (°C) of an air parcel
possessed by 3 kg of air that warms by __°C. with the following initial temperature and height
a. 1 b. 2 c. 3 d. 4 e. 5 f. 6 g. 7 change, for an adiabatic process.
h. 8 i. 9 j. 10 k. 11 m. 12 Tinitial (°C) ∆z (km)
a. 15 0.5
A2. Find the specific heat Cp of humid air having b. 15 –1.0
water-vapor mixing ratio (g vapor/gdry air) of: c. 15 1.5
a. 0.010 b. 0.012 c. 0.014 d. 0.016 e. 0.018 d. 15 –2.0
f. 0.020 h. 0.022 i. 0.024 j. 0.026 k. 0.028 e. 15 2.5
m. 0.030 f. 15 –3.0
g. 5 0.5
A3. Find the change in latent heat (J) for condensa- h. 5 –1.0
tion of ___ kg of water vapor. i. 5 1.5
a. 0.2 b. 0.4 c. 0.6 d. 0.8 e. 1.0 f. 1.2 g. 1.4 j. 5 –2.0
h. 1.6 i. 1.8 j. 2.0 k. 2.2 m. 2.4 k. 5 2.5
m. 5 –3.0
A4. Find the temperature change (°C) of air given
the following values of heat transfer and pressure A8. Using the equations (not using the thermo dia-
change, assuming air density of 1.2 kg m–3. gram), find the final temperature (°C) of dry air at a
∆q (J kg–1) ∆P (kPa) final pressure, if it starts with the initial temperature
a. 500 5 and pressure as given. (Assume adiabatic.)
b. 1000 5 Tinitial (°C) Pinitial (kPa) Pfinal(kPa)
c. 1500 5 a. 5 100 80
d. 2000 5 b. 5 100 50
e. 2500 5 c. 5 80 50
f. 3000 5 d. 5 80 100
g. 500 10 e. 0 60 80
h. 1000 10 f. 0 60 50
i. 1500 10 g. 0 80 40
j. 2000 10 h. 0 80 100
k. 2500 10 i. –15 90 80
m. 3000 10 j. –15 90 50
k. –15 70 50
A5. Find the change in temperature (°C) if an air m. –15 70 100
parcel rises the following distances while experienc-
ing the heat transfer values given below. A9. Same as previous question, but use the thermo
∆q (J kg–1) ∆z (km) diagram Fig. 3.4.
a. 500 0.5
b. 1000 0.5 A10. Given air with temperature and altitude as
c. 1500 0.5 listed below, use formulas (not thermo diagrams) to
d. 2000 0.5 calculate the potential temperature. Show all steps
e. 2500 0.5 in your calculations.
f. 3000 0.5 z (m) T (°C)
g. 500 1 a. 400 30
h. 1000 1 b. 800 20
i. 1500 1 c. 1,100 10
j. 2000 1 d. 1,500 5
k. 2500 1 e. 2,000 0
m. 3000 1 f. 6,000 –50
g. 10,000 –90
A6. Given the following temperature change ∆T h. –30 35
(°C) across a height difference of ∆z = 4 km, find the i. 700 3
lapse rate (°C km–1): j. 1,300 –5
a. 2 b. 5 c. 10 d. 20 e. 30 f. 40 g. 50 k. 400 5
h. –2 i. –5 j. –10 k. –20 m. –30 m. 2,000 –20
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 81
e. –1 2 3
A11. Same as the previous exercise, but find the f. –1 2 –3
virtual potential temperature for humid air. Use a g. –1 –2 3
water-vapor mixing ratio of 0.01 gvapor/gdry air if the h. –1 –2 –3
air temperature is above freezing, and use 0.0015
gvapor/gdry air if air temperature is below freezing. A17. Given the wind and temperature gradient, find
Assume the air contains no ice or liquid water. the value of the kinematic advective flux gradient
(°C h–1).
A12. Given air with temperature and pressure as V (m s–1) ∆T/∆y (°C 100 km)
listed below, use formulas (not thermo diagrams) to a. 5 –2
calculate the potential temperature. Show all steps b. 5 2
in your calculations. c. 10 –5
P (kPa) T (°C) d. 10 5
a. 90 30 e. –5 –2
b. 80 20 f. –5 2
c. 110 10 g. –10 –5
d. 70 5 h. –10 5
e. 85 0
f. 40 –45 A18. Given the wind and temperature gradient, find
g. 20 –90 the value of the kinematic advective flux gradient
h. 105 35 (°C h–1).
i. 75 3 W (m s–1) ∆T/∆z (°C km–1)
j. 60 –5 a. 5 –2
k. 65 5 b. 5 2
m. 50 –20 c. 10 –5
d. 10 –10
A13. Same as previous exercise, but use the thermo e. –5 –2
diagram Fig. 3.4. f. –5 2
g. –10 –5
A14. Instead of equations, use the Fig 3.4 to find the h. –10 –10
actual air temperature (°C) given:
P(kPa) θ (°C) A19. Find the value of the conductive flux Fz cond (W
a. 100 30 m–2) given a change of absolute temperature with
b. 80 30 height (T2 – T1 = value below) across a distance (z2
c. 60 30 – z1 = 1 m):
d. 90 10 a. –1 b. –2 c. –3 d. –4 e. –5 f. –6 g. –7
e. 70 10 h. 1 i. 2 j. 3 k. 4 m. 5 n. 6 o. 7
f. 50 10
g. 80 –10 A20. Find the effective surface turbulent heat flux
h. 50 –10 (°C·m s–1) over a forest for wind speed of 10 m s–1, air
i. 20 50 temperature of 20°C, and surface temperature (°C)
of
A15(§). Use a spreadsheet to calculate and plot a a. 21 b. 22 c. 23 d. 24 e. 25 f. 26 g. 27
thermo diagram similar to Fig. 3.4 but with: iso- h. 19 i. 18 j. 17 k. 16 m. 15 n. 14 o. 13
therm grid lines every 10°C, and dry adiabats for
every 10°C from –50°C to 80°C. A21. Find the effective kinematic heat flux at the
surface on a calm day, for a buoyant velocity scale
A16. Find the rate of temperature change (°C h–1) in of 50 m s–1, a mixed-layer potential temperature of
an Eulerian coordinate system with no internal heat 25°C, and with a surface potential temperature (°C)
source, given the kinematic flux divergence values of:
below. Assume ∆x = ∆y = ∆z = 1 km. a. 26 b. 28 c. 30 d. 32 e. 34 f. 36 g. 38
∆Fx (K·m s–1) ∆Fy (K·m s–1) ∆Fz (K·m s–1) h. 40 i. 42 j. 44 k. 46 m. 48 n. 50
a. 1 2 3
b. 1 2 –3 A22. Find the effective kinematic heat flux at the
c. 1 –2 3 surface on a calm day, for a Deardorff velocity of 2
d. 1 –2 –3
82 chapter 3 • Heat Budgets
collection of molecules that frequently collide with S10. Suppose you were on a train moving in a
each other, and how they interact on average with straight line at constant speed. You make measure-
their surroundings. Can this same macro thermo- ments of the surrounding environmental air as the
dynamics be used in the exosphere, where individ- train moves down the track.
ual air molecules are very far apart (i.e., have a large a) If the environmental air was calm, do you
mean-free path) and rarely interact? Why? Also, think your measurements are Eulerian, Lagrangian,
explain if how heat budgets can be used in the exo- or neither? Explain.
sphere. b) If the environmental air was moving in any
arbitrary speed or direction, do you think your mea-
S6. Could there be situations where environmental surements are Eulerian, Lagrangian or neither? Ex-
and process lapse rates are equal? If so, give some plain.
examples. c) Try to create a heat budget equation that works
in the framework, given your constant speed of
S7. Suppose that the virtual potential temperature translation of Mo.
was not affected by the amount of solid or liquid
water in the air. How would weather and climate S11. Describe how atmospheric structure, climate,
change, if at all? and weather would change if the troposphere were
completely transparent to all IR radiation, but was
S8. The background of the thermo diagram of Fig. mostly opaque to solar radiation.
3.4 is an orthogonal grid, where the isotherms are
plotted perpendicular to the isobars. Suppose you S12. Describe how errors in surface sensible and la-
were to devise a new thermo diagram with the dry tent heat flux estimates would increase as the tem-
adiabats perpendicular to the isobars. On such a perature and humidity differences between the two
diagram, how would the isotherms be drawn? To measurement levels approached zero.
answer this, draw a sketch of this new diagram,
showing the isobars, adiabats, and isotherms. (Do S13. The wind-chill concept shows how it feels cold-
this as a conceptual exercise, not by solving equa- er when it is winder. For situations where the wind
tions to get numbers.) chill is much colder than the actual air temperature,
to what temperature will an automobile engine
S9. Describe changes to Earth’s surface heat balance cool after it is turned off? Why? (Assume the car is
if the geological crust was 1 km thick aluminum parked outside and is exposed to the wind.)
(an excellent conductor of heat) covering the whole
Earth.
86 chapter 3 • Heat Budgets
Sample Application
[This sample applies to eqs. 3.1 and 3.3, but was put here
on the last page of the chapter because there was no room for
it earlier in the chapter.]
How much dew must condense on the sides of a
can of soda for it to warm the soda from 1°C to 16°C?
Hints: Neglect the heat capacity of the metal can.
The density of liquid water is 1000 kg·m–3. Assume
the density of soda equals that of pure water. Assume
the volume of a can is 354 ml (milliliters), where 1 l =
10 –3 m3.
4 Water Vapor
FE
BU
tration in air) controls the rate of condensation.
VS
BU
Warmer liquid temperatures cause greater evap-
ST
FE
QF
U
VS
FE
BU
posite is true for colder temperatures. For a situa-
VS
BU
tion where the air and liquid water temperatures
OT
6
S
UF EX urated. Further cooling forces some water vapor to
VSB VOTBUVSBUFEXSUMJRVJE
TBU TVQFSTBUVSBUFEXSUJDF condense into liquid, creating clouds and rain and
releasing latent heat. Hence, the Clausius-Clapeyron
TBUVSBUFEXSUJDF
equation is important for understanding storms.
In the atmosphere it is possible for liquid water
to remain unfrozen at temperatures down to –40°C.
Such unfrozen cold water is said to be supercooled.
The difference between saturation values of water
FT vapor over supercooled liquid water and ice is plot-
E
VJ
L1B
SU
MJR
E
JD
Figure 4.2
Ice & liquid saturation vapor pressures. (wrt = with respect to).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 89
es = ρv·ℜv·T
de s L ·e
Sample Application ≅ v s
How do the vapor pressure values from Tetens’
dT ℜv · T 2
formula differ from those of the Clausius-Clapeyron
This equation admits a solution if you separate the
equation, as a function of temperature?
variables to put all terms involving T on the right, and
all those involving es on the left:
Find the Answer
Use a spreadsheet to solve eqs. (4.1a) and (4.2) . de s Lv dT
≅
es ℜv T 2
Next, integrate between some known condition (eo at
FT
OT To) to any arbitrary values of saturation vapor pres-
L1B
UF
5F sure (es) and temperature (T):
O
Z SP es
de s Lv
T
dT
QF
∫ es
≅
ℜv ∫ T2
MB
eo To
$
T
TJV
e L 1 1
ln s ≅ − v −
o
e ℜ T To
v
OT
UF
5F
ε·e ε·e e
q= = ρv =
Pd + ε · e P − e ·(1 − ε) (4.10)
ℜv · T
Relationship to Vapor ε·e
Pressure: r= (4.4) e· ε · ρd e
P−e ε·e (4.7) ρv = ≈ · ε · ρd
q≈ P−e P
P (4.11)
ε · es es
qs = ρvs = (4.12)
Pd + ε · es ℜv · T
ε · es (4.8)
If Saturated: rs = es · ε · ρd es
P − es (4.5) ρvs = ≈ · ε · ρd
ε · es ε · es P − es P
qs = ≈
P − es ·(1 − ε) P (4.13)
Key Constants: ε = ℜd/ℜv ε = ℜd/ℜv ℜv = 4.61x10 –4
= 0.622 g vapor gdry air –1 = 0.622 g vapor gdry air –1 kPa·K–1·m3·g–1
= 622 g kg –1 = 622 g kg –1 ε = 622 g kg–1
Typical Values: See Table 4-1. See Table 4-1. See Table 4-1.
Relevance: • r is conserved in unsatu- • q is conserved in unsatu- • easy to measure using ab-
rated air parcels that move rated air parcels that move sorption of infrared, ultravi-
without mixing with their without mixing with their olet, or microwave radiation
environment. environment. as a function of path length
• not affected by heating, • not affected by heating, through the air.
cooling, pressure changes. cooling, pressure changes. • is the concentration of wa-
• used in thermo diagrams. ter vapor in air.
Notes: Derivation of eq. (4.4): Given Derivation of eq. (4.7) is • Eq. (4.10) is the ideal gas
eq. (4.3), divide numerator similar to that for eq. (4.4). law for water vapor.
and denominator by vol- • Eq. (4.11) uses the ideal gas
ume. But m/Volume is den- law for dry air to replace
sity. Use ideal gas laws for temperature T.
water vapor and for dry air, • T must be in Kelvin.
assuming a common T.
92 chapter 4 • Water Vapor
Sample Application
Find the Answer
Given: r = 0.01 g vapor gair–1, P = 80 kPa, T = 20°C
S
HLH
3) Find: Td = ? °C, and RH% = ? %
8FU#VMC%FQSFTTJPO 5m5XFU
$ 8FU#VMC%FQSFTTJPO 5m5XFU
$
S HLH
3FMBUJWF)VNJEJUZ
5XFU
5XFU 3FMBUJWF
$
$
)VNJEJUZ
m m
S HLH
m m
Figure 4.4 Figure 4.5
Psychrometric graph, to find mixing ratio r from wet and dry- Psychrometric graph, to find relative humidity from wet and
bulb temperatures. Based on P = 101.325 kPa. Caution, the dry-bulb temperatures. Based on P = 101.325 kPa. Caution,
darker vertical lines mark scale changes along the abscissa. the darker vertical lines mark scale changes along the abscissa.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 95
According to Normand’s Rule: where the dry lapse rate is Γd = 9.8 K km–1 and the
First, use eq. (4.16): moist (saturated) lapse rate is Γs (magnitude varies,
zLCL = (0.125 km °C–1)·(25 – 18°C) = 0.875 km.
as explained later in this chapter). If you hypotheti-
Next, use eq. (4.20):
cally lift an air parcel to its lifting condensation lev-
TLCL = 25 – (9.8 K km–1)·(0.875 km) = 16.43 °C.
Finally, use eq. (4.21): el, then its new temperature is TLCL. The wet-bulb
Tw = 16.43 + (4.42 °C km–1)·(0.875 km) = 20.3°C. temperature is always constrained between the dry-
bulb temperature and the dewpoint: Td ≤ Tw ≤ T.
Check: Physics and units are reasonable. Normand’s rule is easy to implement on a thermo
Exposition: The resulting wet-bulb depression is diagram. Although isohumes and moist adiabats
(T – Tw) = 4.7°C. on thermo diagrams are not introduced until later
in this chapter, I demonstrate Normand’s rule here
for future reference. Follow a dry adiabat up from
the given dry-bulb temperature T, and follow an
S HLH
isohume up from the given dew point Td (Fig. 4.6).
At the LCL (where these two isopleths cross), follow
a moist adiabat back down to the starting pressure
to give the wet-bulb temperature Tw.
-$-
1 L1B
ES
ZB Converting Between Humidity Variables
JTPIVN
CB
JBC
JTU
U equations:
F
r
q= (4.22)
m 1+ r
5 $
5E 5X 5
ρv (4.23)
q=
ρd + ρv
Figure 4.6
Demonstration of Normand’s rule on a thermo diagram.
q = ε·eo ·exp L · 1 − 1
It shows how to find wet-bulb temperature Tw, given T and Td.
(4.24)
P
ℜ v To Td
Total Water
ρLWC (4.31)
rL =
ρair
rT = r + rL + ri •(4.32a)
Apply eq. (4.33) for the bottom and top segments of the Precipitable Water
column of tropospheric air, and sum the result. Consider an air column between (top, bottom)
altitudes as given by their respective air pressures
dW = [(9.8 m·s–2)·(1000 kg water·m–3)]–1 · (PT, PB). Suppose all the water molecules within that
{ (0.010 kg water kgair–1)·[100 – 50 kPa] + column were to fall to the bottom of the column and
(0.002 kg water kgair–1)·[50 – 20 kPa] } form a puddle. The depth of this puddle (namely,
= [1.02x10 –4 m2 s2 kg water–1] ·
the precipitable water) is
{(0.5 + 0.06) kPa·kg water·kgair–1}
= 5.71x10 –5 m2 s2 kPa kgair–1 . rT
To convert the units, use Appendix A info: dW = ·( PB − PT ) •(4.33)
1 kPa = 1000 kgair·m·s–2
g · ρliq
Thus, dw = [(1000 kgair·m·s–2)/(1 kPa)] ·
(5.71x10 –5 m2 s2 kPa kgair–1) = 0.057 m where the magnitude of gravitation acceleration
is|g|= 9.8 m·s–2 , the liquid-water density is ρliq =
Check: Physics and units are reasonable. 1000 kg·m–3, and a column-average of the total-wa-
Exposition: The puddle depth of 5.7 cm is large be- ter mixing ratio is rT . For a column where rT varies
cause the total water mixing ratios were large.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 99
ST HLH
PSS HLH
Figure 4.7
Isohumes are dotted blue diagonal
lines, isobars are green horizontal
1 lines, and isotherms are green verti-
L1B
cal lines on this thermo diagram.
m m m m m m
5 $
PS5E $
where To = 273.15 K, eo = 0.6113 kPa, ℜv/L = 0.0001844 = [ (0.003661 K–1) – (0.0001844 K–1)·ln{1.035}]–1
K–1, and ε = 0.622 g g–1. This eq. requires that rs be in = [0.003655 K–1]–1 = 273.6 K ≈ 0.5°C
g g–1 (not g kg–1 ). T has units of Kelvin.
Thus, pick any fixed rs to plot. Then, for a range Check: Physics and units are reasonable.
of P from the bottom to the top of the atmosphere, Exposition: You could have saved a lot of time and
solve eq. (4.36) for the corresponding T values. Plot effort by just looking up the answer in Fig. 4.7. Name-
these T vs. P values as the isohume line on a thermo ly, find the point where the 10 g kg–1 mixing-ratio di-
diagram. Use a spreadsheet to repeat this calculation agonal line intersects the 40 kPa isobar, and then read
for other values of rs, to plot the other isohumes. vertically straight down to find Td.
We would have found the same numerical answer
Eqs. (4.36) with (4.15b) are similar. Thus, you can
if we asked for the temperature corresponding to air at
use isohumes of T(P, rs) to also represent isohumes
40 kPa that is saturated with rs = 10 g kg–1 with rL = 0.
of Td(P, r). Namely, you can use isohumes to find the For this situation, we would have used eq. (4.36).
saturation state rs of the air at any P and T, and you
can also use the isohumes to describe the process
of how Td changes when an air parcel of constant r
rises or descends to an altitude of different P.
Heat Conservation for Saturated Air The converse occurs for adiabatic descent, where
cooling from evaporating liquid-water droplets par-
Moist Adiabatic Lapse Rate tially offsets warming due to adiabatic compres-
Saturated air is air that is foggy or cloudy, with sion.
an amount of water vapor equal to the maximum For air rising across height increment ∆z, a satu-
amount that air can hold given the parcel’s tempera- rated parcel has less temperature decrease ∆T than
ture. The air parcel contains both vapor and small does a dry (unsaturated) parcel. Conversely, for air
suspended liquid water droplets or ice crystals. descending across height increment ∆z, a saturated
Consider an adiabatic process for which: (1) the par- parcel has less temperature increase ∆T than does a
cel does not mix with its surroundings; (2) there is dry parcel.
no transfer of heat to/from the parcel from outside; While we previously saw that the dry adiabatic
and (3) no liquid (or solid) water falls out of or into lapse rate was constant ( Γs = –∆T/∆z = 9.8 °C km–1
the parcel. ), we are not so lucky for the saturated lapse rate,
An air parcel rising adiabatically has two com- which varies with altitude and air temperature.
peting processes that affect its temperature. As for A saturated air parcel that rises adiabatically has
the unsaturated parcel, the saturated parcel expands a temperature decrease with increasing height of
into regions of lower pressure, doing work on the at- –∆T/∆z = Γs , where Γs saturated (or moist) adia-
mosphere at the expense of thermal energy stored batic lapse rate. This rate is given by:
in the parcel. But the colder air parcel can hold less
water vapor at saturation than it carried up from the rs · Lv
g 1 + ℜ · T
altitude below. So more of the vapor condenses, for d
Γ = ·
which: (1) the latent heating partially offsets the ex- s Cp (4.37a)
Lv · rs · ε
2
pansion cooling; and (2) the amount of condensed 1+
water droplets or ice increases.
Cp · ℜ d · T 2
102 chapter 4 • Water Vapor
RX
one of the curves in Fig. 4.8.
$
To get other curves, start over
with a different initial value of T m m m m
at P = 100 kPa, as shown in Fig. 4.8.
Each of those curves is identified by
its initial T at the reference pressure
of 100 kPa. The next section shows m m m m m m
that these labels are called wet-bulb 5 $
INFO • Create Your Own Thermo Dia- INFO • Moist Adiabats (continuation)
gram — Part 2: Moist Adiabats
In row 3 column A, enter the pressure at the top of
As for the dry adiabats, it is useful to see how moist the atmospheric column of interest: 10.0 (kPa), shown
adiabats can be calculated using a computer spread- in red in this example. In row 4 column A type the
sheet. The following example is for the moist adiabat next pressure 10.2 (kPa), which is the starting pres-
that starts at T = 30°C at P = 100 kPa. sure plus increment ∆P = 0.2 kPa. Then use automatic
series generating methods in your spreadsheet to ex-
A B C D E tend this series down to the point where the pressure
1 P (kPa) T (°C) es (kPa) rs (g/g) ∆T/∆P is 100.0 (kPa), (on row 453 in my spreadsheet).
Next, in row 453 column B, type in the starting tem-
2 eq: (4.39) (4.1a) (4.5) (4.38b)
perature of 30 (°C) for this moist adiabat. In (row, col)
3 10.0 –70.98 0.0006 0.0000 5.7176 = (453, C), use the Clausius-Clapeyron eq. (4.1a) to cal-
4 10.2 –69.86 0.0007 0.0000 5.6297 culate the saturation vapor pressure for the pressure
5 10.4 –68.75 0.0008 0.0000 5.5440 in column A, and don’t forget to convert temperature
6 10.6 –67.66 0.0009 0.0001 5.4603 to Kelvin in your spreadsheet equation. Similarly, use
··· ··· ··· ··· ··· ··· eq. (4.5) to calculate the saturation mixing ratio in cell
450 99.4 29.82 4.3114 0.0282 0.3063 (453, D). Use eq. (4.38b) to find the moist-adiabat slope
451 99.6 29.88 4.3270 0.0282 0.3056 in cell (453, E). Again, use Kelvin in your eqs.
452 99.8 29.94 4.3426 0.0283 0.3050 For the next row up, but only in cell (452,B), use
eq. (4.39) to find the new temperature along the moist
453 100.0 30.00 4.3582 0.0283 0.3043
adiabat. Be sure to check that the sign is correct (i.e.,
In row 1, label the variables at the top of the 5 col- that temperature is decreasing, not increasing). Then,
umns as I have done here. In row 2, identify which use the “fill-up” spreadsheet command to fill the eqs.
equation numbers you are using, as documentation for from cells (453, C through E) up one row. Finally, use
you or others who use your calculations later. the fill-up command to fill the eqs. from cells (452, B
through E) up to the top pressure level in row 3.
(continues in next column)
Check: Agrees with Fig. 4.8 for θw = 30°C.
104 chapter 4 • Water Vapor
Sample Application
Wet-Bulb, Equivalent, and Liquid-Water
What lines do dry & saturated air parcels follow on Potential Temperatures
a thermo diagram if they start at P= 100 kPa, T= 40°C? Recall from the Thermodynamics chapter that
potential temperature θ is conserved during un-
Find the Answer saturated adiabatic ascent or descent. However,
Given:
P = 100 kPa, T = 40°C initially. if an air parcel containing water vapor is lifted
Plot adiabatic process lines for θ = 40°C & θw = 40°C. above its LCL, then condensation will add latent
Copying the lines from Figs. 3.3 & 4.8. heat, causing θ to increase. Similarly, if the air con-
1
tains liquid water such as cloud drops, when it de-
TB
L1B
scends some of the drops can evaporate, thereby
UV CBU
BE
cooling the air and reducing θ.
SB
JB
UF
BE ESZ However, we can define new variables that are
E
JB
CB conserved for adiabatic ascent or descent, regardless
R X
U
$
R
$
of any evaporation or condensation that might occur.
One is the equivalent potential temperature θe:
L ·θ L •(4.40)
θe ≈ θ + v · r ≈ θ + v · r
m m m m m m
Cp · T Cpd
5 $
Exposition: Even starting with the same temperature, Another is liquid water potential temperature,
a rising saturated air parcel becomes warmer than an θL:
unsaturated parcel due to latent-heat release.
L ·θ L
θL ≈ θ − v · rL ≈ θ − v · rL •(4.41)
C ·
p T C pd
Sample Application
Air at pressure 80 kPa and T = 0°C is saturated, &
holds 2 g kg–1 of liquid water. Find θe and θL. where Lv = 2.5x106 J·kg–1 is the latent heat of vapor-
ization, Cp is the specific heat at constant pressure
Find the Answer: for air (Cp is not constant, see the Thermodynamics
Given: P = 80 kPa, T = 0°C = 273.15K , rL = 2 g kg–1. chapter), T is the absolute temperature of the air, and
Find: θe = ? °C, θL = ? °C mixing ratios (r and rL) have units of (g water gair–1).
The last approximation in both equations is very
First, do preliminary calculations shared by both eqs: rough, with Lv/Cpd = 2.5 K·(gwater/kgair)–1.
Rearrange eq. (3.12) to give: Both variables are conserved regardless of wheth-
(θ/T) = (Po/P)0.28571 = (100kPa/80kPa) 0.28571 = 1.066 er the air is saturated or unsaturated. Consider un-
Thus, θ = 291K ≈ 18°C saturated air, for which θ is conserved. In eq. (4.40),
At 80 kPa and 0°C, solve eq. (4.5) for rs = 4.7 g kg–1 water-vapor mixing ratio r is also conserved during
Then use eq. (3.2):
ascent or descent, so the right side of eq. (4.40) is con-
Cp = Cpd·(1 +1.84·r) = (1004.67 J·kg–1·K–1)
stant, and θe is conserved. Similarly, for unsaturated
·[1+1.84·(0.0047 g g–1)] = 1013.4 J·kg–1·K–1.
Thus, Lv/Cp = 2467 K/(g water gair–1) air, liquid water mixing ratio rL = 0, hence θL is also
and (Lv/Cp)·(θ/T) ≈ 2630 K/(g water gair–1) conserved in eq. (4.41).
For saturated air, θ will increase in a rising air
Use eq. (4.40): parcel due to latent heating, but r will decrease as
θe = (18°C) + (2630 K/(gwater gair–1))·(0.0047) some of the vapor condenses into liquid. The two
= 30.4 °C terms in the right side of eq. (4.40) have equal but
opposite changes that balance, leaving θe conserved.
Use eq. (4.41): Similarly, the two terms on the right side of eq. (4.41)
θL = (18°C) – (2630 K/(gwater gair–1))·(0.002) balance, due to the minus sign in front of the rL term.
= 12.7 °C Thus, θL is conserved.
By subtracting eq. (4.41) from (4.40), we can see
Check: Physics, units, & magnitude are reasonable. how θe and θL are related:
Exposition: The answers are easier to find using a
thermo diagram (after you’ve studied the Stability L ·θ
(4.42)
chapter). For θe , find the θ value for the dry adiabat θe ≈ θL + v · rT
that is tangent at the diagram top to the moist adiabat. Cp ·T
For θL, follow a moist adiabat down to where it crosses
for a total-water mixing ratio (in g g–1) of rT = r + rL.
the (2 + 4.7 = 6.7 g kg–1) isohume, and from there follow
a dry adiabat to P = 100 kPa. Although θe and θL are both conserved, they are not
equal to each other.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 105
1 L1B
N
PJT
bel the moist adiabat with this value (Fig. 4.9).
$
UB
An alternative label starts from same saturated $ ES
EJB
ES ZB
ZB
RX
air parcel at P = 100 kPa, but conceptually lifts it to
CB
EJB EJB
CB
R -
the top of the atmosphere (P = 0). All of the water CB U
U
vapor will have condensed out at that end point,
heating the air to a new potential temperature. The
$
potential temperature of the dry adiabat that is tan- m m m
gent to the top of the moist adiabat gives θe (Fig. 4.9). 5 $
N
PJ
ing temperature T and dew-point Td at initial pres-
TU
B
EJ
sure P, and plot these points on a thermo diagram. R
BC
Next, from the T point, follow a dry adiabat up, and
BU
$
from the Td point, follow an isohume up. Where ES
-$- ZB
they cross is the lifting condensation level LCL. EJB
CB
From that LCL point, follow a saturated adiabat U
5E 5X 5
back down to the starting altitude, which gives the 1
wet-bulb temperature Tw. If you continue to fol-
low the saturated adiabat down to a reference pres- m m m RX
sure (P = 100 kPa), the resulting temperature is the 5 $
wet-bulb potential temperature θw (see Fig. 4.10).
Namely, θw equals the θL label of the moist adiabat Figure 4.10
that passes through the LCL point. Labeling moist Thermo diagram showing how to use Normand’s Rule to find
wet-bulb potential temperature θw , and how it relates to θe.
adiabats with values of wet-bulb potential tempera-
ture θw is analogous to the labeling of dry adiabats
with θ, which is why I use θw here.
To find θe(K) for a moist adiabat if you know its
θw(K), use:
θe = θw ·exp( a3 ·rs / θw )o (4.43a)
where a3 = 2491 K·kgair kgvapor–1, and rs is initial sat-
uration mixing ratio (kg vapor kgair–1) at T = θw and RF ,
the moist adiabat passing through the LCL equals Figure 4.11
this θw. Approximate relationship between θw and θe.
106 chapter 4 • Water Vapor
r
Sample Application
For a moist adiabat of θw = 14°C , find its θe.
TB
First get rs from Fig. 4.7 at P = 100 kPa and T = 14°C: 1 UV
VNF
SB
rs = 10 g kg–1 = 0.010 kg kg–1. L1B
ES UF
ZB E
BE
Next, use eq. (4.43a): EJB JB
CB CB
θe = (287K) · exp[2491(K·kgair kg vapor–1) · U U
(0.010 kg vapor kgair–1) / (287K) ] = 313K
X
Check: Units are reasonable. Agrees with Fig. 4.11.
Exposition: This θe = 40°C. Namely, if a saturated
air parcel started with θw = T = 14°C, and then if all the
m m m m m m T
water vapor condensed, the latent heat released would d Tw T
warm the parcel to T = 40°C. 5 $
PS5E $
where the wind speed at 10 m above the surface is Find the Answer
M, and the water-vapor mixing ratio in the air at 2 m Given: M = 15 m s–1, rair = 5 g kg–1 , Tsfc = 14°C
above the surface is rair.. The bulk-transfer coef- Find: Fwater = ? (kg water kgair–1)·(m·s–1)
ficient for water vapor is roughly the same as the
The farm field is probably not perfectly smooth, so let’s
one for heat, CH, which ranges between 2x10 –3 (for
assume CH ≈ 5x10 –3 (dimensionless). But assume the
smooth surfaces) to 2x10 –2 (for rough surfaces). recent rain left the soil nearly saturated with water.
In calmer conditions with sunny skies, convec-
tive thermals of warm rising air can form, which To apply eq. (4.51), we need to estimate rsfc ≈ rs(Tsfc) =
are effective at transporting moisture in the vertical. rs (14°C) = 10.0 g kg–1 from eqs (4.1) & (4.5). Thus, eq.
The resulting kinematic water-vapor flux is: (4.51) is:
and mixes it with air just below the ML top (at zi–),
å[JS5 å[JR
see Fig. 4.12. That entrainment is driven by thermals
[J associated with the effective surface heat flux FH
[J 'MVY[[J
[Jm DBQQJOH
(in kinematic units of K m s–1) and is modulated by
JOWFSTJPO
the strength of the capping temperature inversion
S5 R ∆ziθ, where ∆zi = ( )zi+ – ( )zi– . Thus,
$POWFDUJWF.JYFE-BZFS .-
(4.54)
∆Fz turb (rT ) 0.2 ⋅ ( ∆ z rT / ∆ z θ) ⋅ FH + Fwater
'MVY[ =− i i
∆z zi
åTS5 åTR
Also in eq. (4.54) is Fwater, the effective surface
Figure 4.12 water-vapor flux [units kinematic (kg water kgair–1)·
Idealized vertical profiles of potential temperature ∆θ and to-
(m s–1) ], which can be rewritten using the psychro-
tal water mixing ratio ∆rT across the turbulent boundary layer
metric constant [γ = 0.4 (gwater kgair–1)·K–1] in terms
(known as a mixed layer; shaded brown in this figure). The
differences (jumps: ∆) of these values at the top (zi) and bottom of the latent heat flux FE (eq. 4.48), at the surface:
(s) of the mixed layer can be used to estimate turbulent vertical (4.55)
fluxes in those regions. ∆Fz turb (rT ) 0.2 ⋅ ( ∆ zi rT / ∆ zi θ) ⋅ FH + γ ⋅ FE
=−
∆z zi
Sample Application The effective surface sensible and latent heat flux-
Winds are light and solar heating is strong, creat- es in the eq. above can be parameterized using the
ing a convective mixed layer (ML) having depth 1.5 convective transport coefficient (bH, see the Thermo-
km and convective transport of bH·wB = 0.03 m s–1. dynamics chapter) and the buoyancy velocity scale
The potential temperature jump near the surface is wB (see eq. 3.38):
7°C while the corresponding jump near the top of the (4.56)
ML is 4°C. The jumps of total water mixing ratio are 6
and –3 g kg–1, respectively. (a) Find the turbulent flux
∆Fz turb (rT )
∆z
b ⋅w
( )∆ θ
= − H B 0.2 ⋅ ∆ zi rT ⋅ s + ∆ s rT
zi ∆ zi θ
divergence of rT. (b) If that was the only process active,
then at what rate does total water increase in the ML?
where ∆s( ) = ( )surface – ( )mid mixed-layer.
Find the Answer Any one of the four eqs. above can be used to
Given: zi = 1.5 km = 1500 m, bH·wB = 0.03 m s–1. find moisture-flux divergence for 0 < z < zi. Above
|∆sθ| = 7°C, |∆ziθ| = 4°C, the convective ML (at z > zi ) where turbulence is
|∆srT| = 6 g kg–1, ∆zirT = –3 g kg–1, weak or nonexistent:
No other processes acting.
∆Fz turb (rT )
Find: (a) ∆Fz turb(rT)/∆z = ? (g kg–1)/s, ≈0 (4.57)
(b) ∆rT/∆t = ? (g kg–1)/s, ∆z
During night, turbulence is often weak at most
(a) Apply eq. (4.56):
heights (except very close to the surface), allowing
b ·w you to use eq. (4.57) as a reasonable approximation
∆Fz turb (rT )
∆z zi
( ) ∆ θ
= − H B 0.2 · ∆ zi rT · s + ∆ s rT
∆ zi θ
at z > 0.
Next, consider a different type of mixed layer
(0.03m/s) g 7°C g — one that is mixed mechanically by wind shear on
=− 0.2 · −3 · + 6
(1500m) kg 4°C kg windy days (not by thermals on calm sunny days).
Further, suppose that there is such a strong capping
= –9.9x10 –5 (g kg–1)/s temperature inversion at the top of this layer (at
height zi) that there is negligible entrainment (thus
(b) Apply eq. (4.44): near zero moisture flux) into the top of this ML. For
∆rT/∆t = – ∆Fz turb(rT)/∆z = 9.9x10 –5 (g kg–1)/s this case, the turbulent moisture flux divergence is
= 0.36 (g kg–1)/hour
driven solely by Fwater, the flux at the Earth’s surface:
∆Fz turb(rT)/∆z ≈ – Fwater/zi. For example, in winter a
Check: Physics and units are reasonable.
humid ML might lose moisture due to condensation
Exposition: Entrainment is bringing dry air down
of water onto a cold snow-covered landscape. Or a
into the mixed layer [F(rT) = – ], but that drying rate
is offset by moisture flux entering the ML from the cool dry ML might gain moisture by evaporation
Earth’s surface, leading to increase of rT with time. from a warm lake.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 111
Thunderstorms are deep convective storms that (Figs. 4.4 & 4.5) to determine the humidity. These
turbulently mix air over the whole depth of the instruments are extremely slow response, but rela-
troposphere. The fuel for such storms is humidity tively simple. Modern psychrometers replace the
in the prestorm mixed layer. When this ML air is liquid-in-glass thermometers with electronic ther-
drawn into the storm via the storm updrafts, water mometers such as thermistors.
vapor condenses and falls out as rain. Meanwhile, In old radiosondes (balloon-borne weather in-
drier air from the mid-troposphere is often brought struments), the electrical resistance across a carbon-
down towards the surface to create a new, but dri- coated glass slide was measured. In more humid
er, post-storm atmospheric boundary layer (ABL). air, this carbon-film hygrometer becomes more
Some of the falling rain can evaporate into this drier resistive. Modern radiosondes often measure the
ML, increasing the humidity there. capacitance across a very thin dielectric plastic that
is coated on both sides with a porous metallic grid.
Both approaches are small and light enough to be
carried aloft, but both sensors can be easily contami-
nated by chemical vapors that change their electri-
Humidity Instruments cal properties.
Microwave refractometers draw air into a
Instruments that measure humidity are called
small chamber filled with microwaves. The refrac-
hygrometers. Don’t confuse the word with “hy-
tion (bending) of these microwave beams depends
drometers”, which are used to measure specific
on humidity (see the radar section of the Satellites
gravity of fluids such as battery acid.
& Radar chapter), and can be measured. These are
Dew-point hygrometers, also known as
very fast-response sensors.
chilled-mirror hygrometers, reflect a beam of
Spectral absorption hygrometers, also known
light off a tiny metal mirror. When the mirror is
as optical hygrometers, transmit frequencies of
cooled to the dew-point temperature, dew forms
electromagnetic radiation that are strongly absorbed
on the mirror and the light beam scatters instead of
by water vapor. By passing the beam of radiation
reflecting into a detector. Electronics in the instru-
across a short path of air to a detector, the amount
ment cool or heat the mirror to maintain the surface
of attenuation can be measured to allow calculation
precisely at the dew point temperature, which is pro-
of the absolute humidity. One such instrument, the
vided as an output. These are accurate instruments
Lyman-alpha hygrometer, uses ultraviolet light
with relatively slow response. For cold temperatures
of wavelength 0.121567 µm, corresponding to an ab-
and low humidities, frost-point hygrometers are
sorption/emission line of hydrogen. Another, the
used instead.
krypton hygrometer, uses emissions at 0.12358
Hair hygrometers use organic fibers such as
µm, generated by glow tube filled with the noble
long hairs, anchored at one end and attached at the
gas krypton. Other instruments use absorption of
other end by amplifying levers to a dial that reads
infrared light (infrared hygrometers). These are
out relative humidity. As the RH increases, the hairs
all fast-response instruments. See the Satellites &
get longer, causing the dial to turn. These are inac-
Radar chapter for absorption spectra across the at-
curate, but are inexpensive and are the most com-
mosphere.
mon hygrometers for home use. Other hygrometers
Some lidars (laser radars) have been developed
use other materials that also change their dimen-
to transmit two neighboring wavelengths of elec-
sions when they absorb water molecules.
tromagnetic radiation, one of which is affected by
Psychrometers are instruments with two liq-
water vapor and the other which is not. Such dif-
uid-in-glass thermometers attached to a board or
ferential absorption lidars (DIAL) can remotely
frame. The bulb of one thermometer is surrounded
measure humidity along vertical or slant paths, and
by a sleeve or wick of cloth that is saturated with
can scan the atmosphere to measure the humidity in
distilled water, while the other bulb remains dry.
a volume or in a plane.
After both thermometers are actively ventilated [by
Weather radars and other microwave profilers
whirling the instrument through the air on a hand-
can be used to measure profiles of humidity in the
held axel (sling psychrometer), or by using a
atmosphere, because the speed and/or polarity of
spring or electrically driven fan to blow air past the
microwaves through air depends on humidity.
thermometers (aspirated psychrometer)], the two
Some sensors measure path-averaged humid-
thermometers are read to give the wet and dry-
ity. One example is the water-vapor channel on
bulb temperatures. The wet-bulb is cooler than
weather satellites, which measures infrared emis-
the dry, because of the latent heat absorbed when
sions from water vapor in the air. As discussed in
water evaporates. This thermodynamic informa-
the Satellites & Radar chapter, such emissions come
tion can be used with psychrometric tables or charts
112 chapter 4 • Water Vapor
A11. Given the following temperatures and dew- A18. What is the value of relative humidity (%) for
point temperatures, use the equations of Normand’s air with the following state:
Rule to calculate the wet-bulb temperature. T (°C), Td (°C), P (kPa) T (°C), Td (°C), P (kPa)
T, Td T, Td a. 15, 10, 90 g. 25, 20, 100
a. 15, 12 g. 5, 4 b. 15, 10, 90 h. 25, 15, 100
b. 15, 10 h. 5, 0 c. 15, 5, 80 i. 25, 10, 90
c. 15, 8 i. 5, –5 d. 10, 0, 80 j. 20, 15, 90
d. 10, 8 j. 20, 15 e. 10, 0, 70 k. 20, 10, 80
e. 10, 5 k. 20, 10 f. 10, –5, 70 m. 20, 5, 70
f. 10, 2 m. 20, 5
A19. Calculate the saturated adiabatic lapse rate (°C
A12. Same as the previous exercise, but you may use km–1) at the temperatures and pressures given be-
a thermo diagram to apply Normand’s rule. low. Use the equations, not the thermo diagram.
T (°C), P (kPa) T (°C), P (kPa)
A13. For air at sea level, find the total-water mixing a. 15, 90 g. 25, 100
ratio for a situation where: b. 15, 90 h. 25, 100
a. T = 3°C, rL = 3 g kg–1 c. 15, 80 i. 25, 90
b. r = 6 g kg–1, rL = 2 g kg–1 d. 10, 80 j. 20, 90
c. T = 0°C, rL = 4 g kg–1 e. 10, 70 k. 20, 80
d. T = 12°C, rL = 3 g kg–1 f. 10, 70 m. 20, 70
e. r = 8 g kg–1, rL = 2 g kg–1
f. r = 4 g kg–1, rL = 1 g kg–1 A20. Same as the previous exercise, but use equa-
g. T = 7°C, rL = 4 g kg–1 tions to find the saturated adiabatic lapse rate as a
h. T = 20°C, rL = 5 g kg–1 change of temperature with pressure (°C kPa–1).
A14. Given air with temperature (°C) and total wa- A21. For air parcels with initial state as given below,
ter mixing ratio (g kg–1) as given below. Find the use the thermo diagram (Fig. 4.8) to find the final
amount of liquid water suspended in the air: rL (g air-parcel temperature after it is lifted to an altitude
kg–1). Assume sea-level. where P = 50 kPa. Assume the air parcels are satu-
T, rT T, rT rated at all times.
a. 15, 16 g. 25, 30 T (°C), P (kPa) T (°C), P (kPa)
b. 15, 14 h. 25, 26 a. 15, 80 g. 25, 90
c. 15, 12 i. 25, 24 b. 15, 70 h. 25, 90
d. 10, 12 j. 20, 20 c. 15, 60 i. 25, 80
e. 10, 11 k. 20, 18 d. 10, 70 j. 20, 80
f. 10, 10 m. 20, 16 e. 10, 60 k. 20, 70
f. 10, 60 m. 20, 60
A15. If the mixing ratio is given below in (g kg–1),
then use equations (not figures or graphs) find the A22. For air parcels with initial state as given in
dew point (°C), assuming air at P = 80 kPa. the previous exercise, use the thermo diagram (Fig.
a. 28 b. 25 c. 20 d. 15 e. 10 f. 5 g. 3 4.8) to find the final air-parcel temperature after it is
h. 2 i. 1 j. 0.5 k. 0.3 l. 0.2 m. 0.1 n. 0.05 lowered to an altitude where P = 100 kPa. Assume
the air parcels are saturated at all times.
A16. Same as the previous exercise, but you may use
Fig. 4.7. A23. Using Fig. 4.8 and other figures for dry adiabats
in the Thermodynamics chapter, determine the val-
A17. Given an air parcel starting at 100 kPa with ues of the liquid-water potential temperature and
dewpoint (°C) given below, use Fig. 4.7 to find the equivalent potential temperature for the initial air
parcel’s final dewpoint (°C) if it rises to a height parcel of exercise A21.
where P = 60 kPa.
a. 40 b. 35 c. 30 d. 25 e. 20 f. 15 g. 10 A24. Same as the previous exercise, except use equa-
h. 5 i. 0 j. –5 k. –10 l. –15 m. –20 n. –25 tions instead of the thermo diagram.
E7(§). On a graph of T vs. Td, plot curves for different E14(§). Do eqs. (4.20) and (4.21) give the same results
values of RH. as using Normand’s Rule graphically on a thermo
diagram (Fig. 4.6)? Confirm for a few different ini-
E8. Why is it important to keep thermometers dry tial air-parcel states.
(i.e., placing them in a ventilated enclosure such as
a Stevenson screen) when measuring outside air E15. Derive eqs. (4.23) through (4.27) from eqs. (4.4,
temperature? 4.7, and 4.10).
E9(§). For any unsaturated air-parcel, assume you E16. Rain falls out of the bottom of a moving cloudy
know its initial state (P, T, r). Recall that the LCL air parcel. (a) If no rain falls into the top of that air
is the height (or pressure) where the following two parcel, then what does eq. (4.35) tell you? (b) If rain
lines cross: the dry adiabat (starting from the known falls out of the bottom at the same rate that it falls
P, T) and the isohume (starting from the known P, into the top, then how does this affect eq. (4.35).
r). Given the complexity of the equations for the dry
adiabat and isohume, it is surprising that there is E17(§). Create a thermo diagram using a spreadsheet
such a simple equation (4.16a or b) for the LCL. to calculate isohumes (for r = 1, 3, 7, 10, 30 g kg–1) and
Confirm that eq. (4.16) is reasonable by starting dry adiabats (for θ = –30, –10, 10, 30 °C), all plotted on
with a variety of initial air-parcel states on a thermo the same graph vs. P on an inverted log scale similar
diagram, lifting each one to its LCL, and then com- to Figs. 3.3 and 4.7.
paring this LCL with the value calculated from the
equation for each initial parcel state. Comment on E18. Start with Tetens’ formula to derive equation
the quality of eq. (4.16). (4.36). Do the same, but starting with the Clausius-
Clapeyron equation. Compare the results.
E10. Some of the humidity variables [vapor pressure,
mixing ratio, specific humidity, absolute humidity, E19. It is valuable to test equations at extreme val-
relative humidity, dew-point temperature, LCL, and ues, to help understand limitations. For example,
wet-bulb temperature] have maximum or minimum for the saturated adiabatic lapse rate (eq. 4.37b), what
limits, based on their respective definitions. For is the form of that equation for T = 0 K, and for T ap-
each variable, list its limits (if any). proaching infinity?
E11. A swamp cooler is a common name for an air- E20(§). Create your own thermo diagram similar to
conditioning system that lowers the air temperature Fig. 4.8 using a spreadsheet program, except calcu-
to the wet-bulb temperature by evaporating liquid late and plot the following saturated adiabats (θw =
water into the air. But this comes with the side-ef- –30, –10, 10, 30°C).
fect of increasing the humidity of the air. Consider
the humidex as given in the Thermodynamics chap- E21(§). Create a full thermo diagram spanning the
ter, which states that humid air can feel as uncom- domain (–60 ≤ T ≤ 40°C) and (100 ≤ P ≤ 10 kPa). This
fortable as hotter dry air. Suppose each cell in Table spreadsheet graph should be linear in T and loga-
3-5 represents a different initial air state. For which rithmic in P (with axes reversed so that the highest
subset of cells in that table would a swamp cooler pressure is at the bottom of the diagram). Plot
take that initial air state and change it to make the • isobars (drawn as thin green solid lines) for
air feel cooler. P(kPa) = 100, 90, 80, 70, 60, 50, 40, 30, 20
• isotherms (drawn as thin green solid lines) for
T(°C) = 40, 20, 0, –20, –40 °C.
E12. We know that Tw = T for saturated air. For • dry (θ, solid thick orange lines) and moist
the opposite extreme of totally dry air (r = 0), find adiabats (θw, dashed thick orange lines) for the
an equation for Tw as a function of (P, T). For a few same starting temperatures as for T.
sample initial conditions, does your equation give • isohumes (thin dotted orange lines) for
the same results you would find using a thermo dia- r (g kg–1) = 50, 20, 10, 5, 2, 1, 0.5, 0.2
gram?
E22. T and θ are both in Kelvins in eqs. (4.40 and
E13(§). Create a table of Td as a function of (T, Tw). 4.41). Does this mean that these two temperatures
Check that your results are consistent with Figs. 4.4 cancel each other? If not, then what is the signifi-
and 4.5. cance of θ/T in those equations?
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 117
E24. For each of the saturated adiabats in Fig. 4.8, S3. Consider the spectral-absorption hygrometers
calculate the corresponding value of θe (the equiva- described earlier (e.g., optical hygrometers, Lyman-
lent potential temperature). Why is it always true alpha hygrometer, krypton hygrometer, infrared
that θe ≥ θL? hygrometers). What principle(s) or law(s) from the
Solar and IR Radiation chapter describe the funda-
E25. a. By inspection of the horizontal advection mental way that these instruments are able to mea-
terms in eq. (4.44), write the corresponding term for sure humidity?
vertical advection. b. Which term of that equation
could account for evaporation from a lake surface, if S4. Describe the shape (slope and/or curvature) of
the Eulerian cube of air was touching the lake? moist adiabats in a thermo diagram if water-vapor
condensation released more latent heat than the
E26. Based on the full (un-simplified) Eulerian heat cooling associated with adiabatic expansion of the
budget equation from the Thermodynamics chapter, air parcel. Describe any associated changes in cli-
create by inspection a full water-balance equation mate and weather.
similar to eq. (4.44) but without the simplifications.
S5. What if the evaporation rate of water from the
E27. Why does the condensation-caused latent heat- surface was constant, and did not depend on surface
ing term in the Eulerian heat balance equation (see humidity, air humidity, wind speed, or solar heating
the Thermodynamics chapter) have a different form (i.e., convection). Describe any associated changes
(or purpose) than the precipitation term in the water in climate and weather.
balance eq. (4.44)?
S6. a. Describe the depth of liquid water in rain
E28(§). Plot curves kinematic latent flux vs. evapora- gauges at the ground if all the water vapor in the
tion rate for different altitudes. troposphere magically condensed and precipitation
out. Assume a standard atmosphere temperature
E29. The flux of heat and water due to entrain- profile, but with a relative humidity of 100% initially
ment at the top of the mixed layer can be written as (before rainout), and with no liquid or solid water
FH zi = we·∆ziθ and Fwater zi = we·∆zirT, respectively. initially suspended in the atmosphere.
Also, for free convection (sunny, calm) conditions b. Oceans currently cover 70.8% of the Earth’s
in the mixed layer, a good approximation is FH zi = surface. If all the water from part (a) flowed into the
0.02·FH. If the entrainment velocity is we, then show oceans, describe the magnitude of ocean-depth in-
how the info above can be used to create eq. (4.54). crease.
c. Do a similar exercise to (a) and (b), but for a
E30. Derive eq. (4.56) from (4.55). saturated standard-atmosphere stratosphere (ignor-
ing the troposphere).
E31. Which humidity sensors would be best suited
for measuring the rapid fluctuations of humidity in S7. The form of Clausius-Clapeyron equation pre-
the turbulent boundary layer? Why? sented near the beginning of this chapter included
both To and T as arguments of the exponential func-
tion.
a. Use algebra to separate To and T into separate
exponential functions. Once you have done that,
your equation should look like: es = C·exp[–(L/
ℜv)·(1/T)], where C contains the other exponential.
Write the expression for C.
118 chapter 4 • Water Vapor
5 Atmospheric Stability
119
120 chapter 5 • Atmospheric Stability
(a) (d)
*TPUIFSNT .PJTU"EJBCBUT
*TPCBST
1 L1B
1 L1B
R X
$
m m m m
m m m m m m
5 $
5 $
1 L1B
1 L1B
m m m m m m
5 $
5 $
(c)
Figure 5.1
%SZ"EJBCBUT Components of an Emagram thermo diagram.
(a) Isobars (green thin horizontal lines with logarithmic spac-
ing) and isotherms (green thin vertical lines) are used on all
R these charts as a common background.
$ (b) Isohumes (from the Water Vapor chapter) are dotted light-
1 L1B
blue lines.
(c) The dark-orange solid lines are dry adiabats.
(d) The dark-orange dashed lines are moist adiabats.
(e) Thermo diagram formed by combining parts (a) through (d).
m m The variables are: pressure (P), temperature (T), mixing ratio
(r), saturated mixing ratio (rs), potential temperature (θ), and
wet-bulb potential temperature (θw).
m m m
5 $
(a) (c)
STPSS HLH
STPSS HLH
JTP IVNF
SN
JTPUIFSN
4,&85
UI F
&."(3".
JT P
-0(1
JTPI
JTPCBS JTPCBS
ESZ
V
BE
NF
JBC
NP
1 L1B
BU
ES
NP
JTU
1 L1B
Z
B
BE
JTUB
EJB
JB
CB
CB
EJBC
U
U
BU
R R- 5 R R- 5
m m m m m m
5 $
5 $
(b) (d)
STPSS HLH
STPSS HLH
JTP IVNF
N
45¾7&PS
FS
5&1)*(3".
JTPUIFSN
JTP
UI
QTFVEPBEJBCBUJD
JTPCBS
ESZ JTPCBS
ES
BE ZB
NP
1 L1B
JTPI
1 L1B
JBC EJB
JTU
BU CB
NP
VNF
m U
BEJ
JTU
BCB
BE
JBC
U
BU
R R- 5 R R- 5
m m m m m
5 $
5 $
(e)
R;%*"(3".
DPOUPVS
Figure 5.3
B
[ LN
adiabats, and thick dashed dark-orange are moist adiabats. Solid
JTU
SN
UIF
NP
perature. Isohumes are thin dotted blue lines. In addition, the JTP
θ-z diagram has height contours (z) as thin horizontal dashed
grey lines. R-
R 5
m m
RPS5 $
(a)
More on the Skew-T
SN
4,&85-0(1
UIF
JTPCBSTJTPUIFSNT Because of the popularity of the Skew-T, we
JTP
dissect it in Fig. 5.4, to aid in its interpretation.
JTPCBS Tephigram users should find this equally useful,
because the only noticeable difference is that the
1 L1B
4,&85-0(1 4,&85-0(1
NP
JTPIVNFT NPJTUBEJBCBUT
JTU
JTPI
BE
JBC
BU
LH
H
1 L1B
1 L1B
RX
m m $
m m m m m m
5 $
5 $
1 L1B
1 L1B
B
EJ
BC
B
U
m
m
m m m m m m
5 $
5 $
Fig. 5.4
(a)-(d) Components of a Skew-T diagram, drawn to the same scale so they can be superimposed as a learning aid. The state of the air:
(a) isobars and isotherms; (b) isohumes as thin dotted lines. Processes: (c) dry adiabats; (d) moist adiabats. (e) Full Skew-T Log-P,
shaded lighter to make it easier to write on. The “Skew-T Log-P” diagram is often called a “Skew-T” for short.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 125
Sample Application
&."(3". Create a Skew-T diagram with one isotherm (T = 20°C),
TLFXFE
one dry adiabat (θ = 20°C), one moist adiabat (θw =
20°C), and one isohume (r = 5 g/kg). Use as input the
1 L1B
NF
BE
1 L1B
IV
SN
F
UI
P
Sample Application
For each thermo diagram numbered below, iden- Guide for Quick Identification of
tify its name.
Thermo Diagrams
1) STPSS HLH
If you receive a thermo diagram via the internet
without any labels identifying the diagram type,
use the following procedure to figure it out:
and straight, then Skew-T,
b) else if the strongly curved lines (moist
adiabats) asymptotically approach vertical
near the top of the diagram, then θ-Z,
c) else Tephigram,
m m m 2) else either Emagram or Stüve .
5 $
a) if dry adiabats are slightly curved,
then Emagram,
b) else Stüve (including Pseudoadiabatic version
2) of Stüve).
When you encounter an unfamiliar thermo
1 L1
B
diagram, you can take steps to help segregate and
identify the various lines. First, identify the isobars,
which are horizontal and straight, or nearly so, on
[ LN
virtually all diagrams. Isobars are usually spaced
roughly logarithmically with height, and are labeled
STPSS HLH
as either 100, 90, 80, 70 kPa etc., or as 1000, 900, 800,
700 mb or hPa etc. These serve as a surrogate mea-
sure of height.
m m
Next, identify the dry and moist adiabats. These
RPS5 $
These lines cross each other at a small angle, and 4)
extend from the bottom to the top of the graph. The
isohumes always tilt to the left of the isotherms with
increasing height. The isotherms increment linearly
(e.g., 0, 10, 20 , 30, °C etc.), while the isohumes usually
increment logarithmically (e.g., 1, 2, 5, 10, 20 g kg–1,
1 L1B
etc.). Isotherms are either vertical, or tilt upward to
the right.
Thermo-diagram Applications m m m
5 $
STPSS HLH
VNF
4,&85-0(1
1 L1B
JTPI
JTPCBS
1 L1B
ES
Z
BE
5 $
CB
SN
U
UBEJB
UIF
JTP
B
6OTBUVSBUFE Thermodynamic State
STPSS HLH
You need three points on a thermodynamic dia-
gram to indicate air-parcel state (pressure, tempera-
4,&85-0(1 ture, humidity). For this one air parcel at one height,
all three points are always plotted on the same iso-
bar (P).
One point represents T, the actual air temperature
(red dot; red filled circle in Fig. 5.7). Its coordinates
in the thermo diagram are given by (P, T, rs). Note
1 L1B
that rs is redundant, because it can be determined
from P and T. But we include it for convenience, be-
cause we use the rs value for many calculations.
Another point represents Td, the dew-point tem-
1
5E
SS5
1
5
ST
perature (blue circle outline; no fill). Its coordinates
9 are (P, Td, r). Again, r is redundant.
The third point gives rT, the total water mixing
m m m ratio in the air parcel (designated by “X” on the
5 $
thermo diagram). Its coordinates are (P, rT).
Often, two of these three points coincide. One
example is for unsaturated air (Fig. 5.7a) with no rain
falling through it. For this case, the temperature and
C
4BUVSBUFE dew-point circles are plotted as described above.
STPSS HLH
However, the X is plotted inside the dew-point circle
because the total water in the air parcel equals the
4,&85-0(1 water-vapor mixing ratio (rT = r), which is fully spec-
ified by the dew point. Namely, the isohume that
passes through the dew-point circle indicates the ac-
tual amount of water vapor in the air, and there are
no other phases of water in that air parcel.
1 L1B
1
5E
S
OFX 1
5
ST
OFX Check: Physics and units are reasonable.
Exposition: Although the air was extremely dry ini-
9 tially, as the air parcel was lifted its relative humid-
1
5E
S
PME 1
5
ST
PME ity increased. How did this happen, even though the
amount of water in the air (r = 2 g kg–1) did not change?
9 The reason was that after the air parcel was lifted to
its new altitude, it was much colder, and cold air has a
m 1IZTJDBM
m m smaller capacity to hold water vapor (rs decreased).
4JUVBUJPO 5 $
If you were to continue lifting the parcel, eventu-
Figure 5.8 ally it would cool to the point where rs = r, meaning
Example of the three points (red filled circle for T, open blue that the air is saturated. The altitude where this hap-
circle for Td, and “X” for rT) on a skew-T diagram representing pens indicates cloud base for convective clouds (clouds
the initial (old) state of the air, and how that state changes as the created by local updrafts of air).
air parcel moves up to a new (lower) pressure level. Note that You can get more accurate answers using larger
rs has changed because the air parcel cooled, but r is unchanged thermo diagrams at the end of this chapter.
because the air parcel is unsaturated.
130 chapter 5 • Atmospheric Stability
STPSS HLH
Saturated (Moist) Lifting & Liquid Water
Notice in Fig. 5.8 that the temperature and dew-
point curves for the air parcel get closer to each
1
55E
SST
OFX S5
VODIBOHFE other as the parcel rises. Eventually the dry adiabat
9 and isohume lines cross. The pressure or altitude
where they cross (see Fig. 5.9) is defined as the LCL
(lifting condensation level), which marks cloud
1 L1B
STPSS HLH
Sample Application
What if ice crystals falling out of the cloud-top air,
S5
OFX S5
PME as illustrated in Fig. 5.10, reduced the total-water mix-
ing ratio from 2 to 0.5 g kg–1. (a) What is its new ther-
9 9 modynamic state at P = 30 kPa? (b) What is its new
$MPVE
PLCL if it were to then descend?
3BJOPS
1 L1B
S5
VODIBOHFE
base is warmer than the cloud, then there will be
more IR radiation absorbed by the cloud base than
is re-emitted, and the cloud-base warms. At night, if
the ground is colder than cloud base, then the cloud
will emit more IR towards the ground than it ab-
sorbs, preventing the ground from cooling as much
as it would under clear skies, but cooling cloud
m m m 1IZTJDBM
base.
The atmosphere above the cloud is usually colder 5 $
4JUVBUJPO
than the cloud, and the cloud also “sees” the near-ab- Figure 5.11
solute zero temperatures of outer space. Thus, cloud Infrared (IR) radiation to space from cloud top can cool the
top cools by IR radiation all the time (night and day, cloud-top air. Such cooling lowers the saturation mixing ratio
see Fig. 5.11). Such cooling creates cold “thermals” and forces more water vapor to condense, thus increasing the
amount of condensate.
132 chapter 5 • Atmospheric Stability
Sample Application
Suppose an air parcel has an initial state of (P, T, Td) = (95 kPa, 26°C, 3°C). It rises to an altitude where P = 35 kPa,
which represents cloud top. While there, precipitation removes water amount ∆rT = 4 g kg–1, and IR cooling lowers the
temperature by ∆T = –18°C. If the air parcel then returns back to its original pressure, what is its final thermodynamic
state? Use the full-size skew-T from the end of this chapter for this exercise. Explain all steps.
[1] The red dot and blue circle show the initial temperature and dew-point of the air parcel, respectively. Interpolating
between the 4 and 6 g kg–1 isohumes, it appears that the initial dew point corresponds to roughly r ≈ 5 g kg–1 , which
is plotted as the line with large blue dots with upward arrow.
[2] From [1] follow the dry adiabat for T (solid orange line), and follow the isohume for Td (dotted blue line). They cross
at an LCL of about PLCL ≈ 68 kPa (given by the horizontal black line through that LCL point, and interpolating between
the horizontal green lines to find the pressure). This is cloud base for ascending air.
[3] As the air parcel continues to rise to cloud top at P = 35 kPa, the temperature and dew-point follow the saturated
adiabat (dashed orange line). Thus, at cloud top, T = Td ≈ –38°C (which is the isotherm (diagonal green line) that goes
through temperature point [3] at the tip of the upward arrowhead. The total-water mixing ratio is conserved and still
follows the 5 g kg–1 isohume.
[4] Precipitation removes 4 g kg–1 from the parcel, leaving rT = 5 –4 = 1 g kg–1 as indicated by the dotted blue isohume.
But the parcel air temperature is unchanged from point [3].
[5] Infrared (IR) radiative cooling decreases the temperature by 18°C, causing a new cloud-top temperature of T = Td
≈ –38 – 18 = – 56°C. The corresponding rs value is so small that it is below 0.1 g kg–1 . But the total water content is
unchanged from point [4].
[6] As this air is saturated (because rs < rT), the descent follows a saturated adiabat (dashed orange line) down to where
the saturated adiabat crosses the isohume (dotted blue line). This intersection marks the LCL for descending air,
which is at about PLCL = 60 kPa (interpolate between the horizontal green line to the black line through this point).
[7] Below this cloud base, T follows the dry adiabat (solid orange line), ending with T ≈ 14°C at P = 95 kPa. The dew-
point follows the 1 g kg–1 isohume (dotted blue line), giving a final Td ≈ –17°C. (P, T, Td )final = (95 kPa, 14°C, –17°C)
.JYJOH3BUJP HLH
4LFX5-PH1%JBHSBN
$PQZSJHIU¥CZ3PMBOE4UVMM
'SFFDPQJFTPGUIJTQBHFQFSNJUUFE
GSPN
i1SBDUJDBM.FUFPSPMPHZ"O"MHFCSBCBTFE4VSWFZ
PG"UNPTQIFSJD4DJFODFu
.PJTU"EJBCBUR8
R R8 5
$
$
$
$
$
r4UBUFMJOFTBSFUIJO $
r1SPDFTTMJOFTBSF %
UIJDL
BOEBSFMBCFMFE SZ
XJUIUFNQFSBUVSFXIFSF
"
UIFZDSPTT1L1B
EJB
R8XFUCVMCQPUFOUJBMUFNQ
$
CB
U
R
*3DPPMJOH QSFDJQJUBUJPO
$
m
$
1SFTTVSF L1B
m
)FJHIU LN
$
-$-EPXO
m
5
-$-VQ
N
FS
UI
TP
J
$
m
H
LH
9
Sample Application
Suppose you made a sounding by releasing a ra- An Air Parcel & Its Environment
diosonde balloon, and it reported the following data.
Plot it on a skew-T log-P diagram. Consider the column of air that is fixed (Eulerian
P (kPa) T (°C) Td (°C) framework) over any small area on the globe. Let
20 –36 –80 this air column represent a stationary environment
through which other things (aircraft, raindrops, air
30 –36 –60
parcels) can move.
40 –23 –23 For an air parcel that moves through this en-
50 –12 –12 vironment, we can follow the parcel (Lagrangian
70 0 –20 framework) to determine how its thermodynamic
80 8 –10 state might change as it moves to different altitudes.
As a first approximation, we often assume that there
90 10 10
is no mixing between the air parcel and the sur-
100 10 10 rounding environment.
TUSBUJGPSNDMPVE
with built-in radio transmitter that can be attached
to a platform that moves up or down through the
air column to measure its environmental state.
Helium-filled latex weather balloons carry radio-
sondes to measure thermodynamic state (P, T, Td)
GPH or carry rawinsondes measure (z, P, T, Td, U, V)
m m m by also utilizing GPS or other navigation signals.
5 $
Rocketsondes are lofted by small sounding rock-
ets, and dropsondes are dropped by parachute
Check: Sketches OK. Also, dew point is never greater from aircraft. Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)
than temperature, as required. and conventional aircraft can carry weather sensors.
Exposition: There are two levels where dew-point Radar and satellites are remote sensors that can
temperature equals the actual air temperature, and also measure portions of soundings.
these two levels correspond to saturated (cloudy) air. The sounding represents a snapshot of the state
We would call the bottom layer fog, and the elevated of the air in the environment, such as in the Sample
one would be a mid-level stratiform (layered) cloud. Application on this page. The plot of any dependent
In the Clouds chapter you will learn that this type of variable vs. height or pressure is called a vertical
cloud is called altostratus. (Note, from the sounding it
profile. The negative of the vertical temperature
is impossible to diagnose the detailed structure of that
gradient (–∆Te/∆z) is defined as the environmental
cloud, so it could be altocumulus.)
There are also two layers of dry air, where there lapse rate, where subscript e means environment.
is a large spread between T and Td. These layers are Normally, temperature and dew point are plot-
roughly 80 to 60 kPa, and 35 to 20 kPa. ted at each height. Other chemicals such as smoke
particles or ozone can also be plotted as a sound-
ing. It is difficult to measure density, so instead its
value at any height is calculated from the ideal gas
law. For cloudy air, the Td points coincide with the T
points. Most sondes have some imprecision, so we
infer clouds in any layer where Td is near T.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 135
FOWJSPONFOUBMTPVOEJOH
ESZ
force pulls upward. Negatively buoyant objects
FOW
BEJ
(F = negative) are pulled downward, while neutral-
DPOTUBOURGPSBJSQBSDFM
JSPO
BCB
ly buoyant objects have zero buoyant force.
NFO
UGP
Recall that weight is the force caused by gravity
SBJ
acting on a mass (F = m·g). Since buoyancy changes
UBM
SQB
the net force (makes the weight less), the net effect
TPV
on the object is that of a reduced gravity (g’) as
SDF
OEJ
M
defined in eq. (5.2). Thus F = m·g’.
OH
Identify the air parcel (subscript p) as the object,
5QBSDFM
and the environment (subscript e) as the surround- $
ing fluid. Because both air parcels and the sur-
rounding environment are made of air, use the ideal 5 $
R $
å5W åRW
C
JSPO
FOWJSPO
Brunt-Väisälä Frequency
QBSDFMGPMMPXTESZBEJBCBU
QB
FOW
)FJHIU
)FJHIU
JSPO
FOW
B
STPSS HLH
Flow Stability
4,&85-0(1
Stability is a characteristic of how a system reacts
to small disturbances. If the disturbance is damped,
the system is said to be stable. If the disturbance
causes an amplifying response (irregular motions
1 L1B
1 L1B
4UBUJDBMMZ4UBCMF 4 4
Step 3: Do a similar exercise at every apex, but
hypothetically displacing the air parcel downward 4UBUJDBMMZ/FVUSBM / /
(Fig. 5.14c). If the parcel is cooler than its environment
4UBUJDBMMZ4UBCMF 4
at its displaced height and experiences a downward 4
5VSCVMFOU/POMPDBMMZ
force, then it is locally unstable, so write “U” just be- 6
4UBUJDBMMZ6OTUBCMF 6
low that apex. If the parcel is the same temperature 4
4UBCMF 4
as the environment at its displaced height, write “N”
m m m
just below the apex. If the parcel is warmer than the
environment at its displaced height, then write “S” 5 $
S HLH
S HLH
Layer Method for Static Stability
Sometimes a whole layer of environmental air is
"CTPMVUFMZ4UBCMF
4BUVSBUFE/FVUSBM lifted or lowered by an outside process. Synoptic-
1 scale warm and cold fronts (see the Fronts & Air-
(T masses chapter) and coherent clusters of thunder-
L1B
(E H (E (THT
storms (mesoscale convective complexes, see
the Thunderstorm chapters) are examples of layer-
-BZFS lifting processes. In these cases we cannot use the
parcel method to determine static stability, because
it assumes a quasi-stationary environment.
γ = −∆T / ∆z (5.8)
S HLH
S HLH
H
Table 5-2. Layer static stability, where Γd = 9.8°C km–1
is the dry adiabatic lapse rate, and Γs is the saturated
adiabatic lapse rate. Γs is always ≤ Γd .
Name Layer Lapse Rate
1) absolutely stable γ < Γs
2) saturated neutral γs = Γs
$PQZSJHIU¥
Conditional Stability: One of the types of layer sta- STPSS HLH
1 L1B
XJOE
Sample Application XBSNFS MBNJOBS
For the following sounding, determine the regions -$-
UVSC UVSCVMFOU
of turbulence. [
z (km) T (°C) U (m s–1) V (m s–1) Y DPPMFS MBNJOBS
XJOE
2 0 15 0 TIFBS
B
4JEFWJFX WFDUPS
1.5 0 12 0
1.2 2 6 4
0.8 2 5 4 C
0CMJRVFWJFX VE VE
DMP DMP
0.1 8 5 2 MPX MPX
0 12 0 0 CJM CJM
XBSN
BJS WFSUJDBM
Find the Answer:
Given: The sounding above. TIFBSPG
SN IPSJ[POUBM
Find: a) Static stability (nonlocal parcel apex method), DPMEBJS XB PME
SJTJOHBJS D XJOE
b) dynamic stability, & (c) identify turbulence.
Assume dry air, so T = Tv. Figure 5.17
(a) Side view of Kelvin-Helmholtz waves growing in a dynami-
Method: Use spreadsheet to compute θ and Ri. Note cally unstable region: wind shear across a statically stable layer.
that Ri applies to the layers between sounding levels. (b) View showing parallel cloud bands called billow clouds
STPSS HLH
Finding Tropopause Height and
4,&85 JTPUIFSNBM 4USBUPTQIFSF
Mixed-layer Depth
USPQPQBVTF
Tropopause
Recall from Chapter 1 (Fig 1.10) that the stan-
1 L1B
Real soundings are more complex than the sim- Figure 5.18
ple standard atmosphere, and can have many differ- Sample atmospheric sounding having two isothermal layers and
ent stable layers (and isothermal layers) at different one temperature inversion.
heights (Fig. 5.18). Nonetheless, if the radiosonde bal-
loon rises high enough before bursting, then it often
can enter the stratosphere. To locate the tropopause, Sample Application
we just need to look for the bottom of the very thick What is the tropopause height (or pressure) in the
isothermal layer that is near a pressure altitude of 40 sounding of Fig. 5.18, and how is it identified?
to 20 kPa.
Strong static stability can be found by regions Find the Answer
where potential-temperature lines (isentropes) are Given: the plotted sounding.
Find: PTrop = ? kPa
packed close together. The strongly stable strato-
sphere has tighter packing of isentropes than the The base of the deep isothermal layer near the top of
less-stable troposphere, such as sketched in the ide- this sounding is at PTrop ≈ 28 kPa. The other isother-
alized vertical cross section of Fig. 5.19. Thus, you mal and inversion layers are too low, and too thin.
can locate the tropopause at the bottom of the region
of tight isentrope packing, as sketched in Fig. 5.19. Check: Sketch OK.
[CAUTION: The tropopause usually does NOT follow Exposition: The tropopause is lower near the poles
any single isentrope.] and higher near the equator. It is lower in winter,
To illustrate the relationship between stability higher in summer (see Table 6-1 in the Cloud chapter),
and isentrope spacing, suppose a rawinsonde (i.e., but varies considerably from day to day.
a helium-filled weather balloon) is released from
near the ground and rises along the orange line in
4USBUPTQIFSF
Fig. 5.19. While it rises, it measures temperature and
[
pressure of the surrounding environment, allowing
LN
5SPQPQB
one to calculate the vertical profile of potential tem- VT F
perature θ.
It starts in cold air near the ground, where the
5SPQPTQIFSF
spacing indicates weaker stability. Starting at about ,
10 km altitude the sonde enters a region of close / / /
spacing of isentropes, indicating that the sonde has -BUJUVEF
entered the stratosphere. The bottom of this strong- Figure 5.19
Idealized vertical cross section. Isentropes (connecting points
ly stable region is the tropopause.
of equal θ) are dark blue. Frontal inversion is dotted brown.
Tropopause is dashed green. Red arrow indicates rawinsonde.
144 chapter 5 • Atmospheric Stability
5SPQPTQIFSF
parcel at 30°N illustrated in Fig. 5.20 has a potential
temperature of θ = 270 K, so it would try to stay on
the 270 K isentrope (dark blue line in that figure).
JPO If it were to stray slightly [above, below] that sur-
*O WFST
B M face, it would be surrounded by air that has [warm-
OU
er, cooler] potential temperature, causing a buoyant
R P
'S
force that would tend to [lower, raise] the parcel back
,
to the altitude of the 270 K isentrope. Isentropic
/ / / analysis is a method of plotting weather variables
-BUJUVEF
on constant θ surfaces as a way to estimate dynam-
Figure 5.20 ics under adiabatic conditions.
Same as Fig. 5.19, but now the cyan sphere represents an air
parcel of potential temperature θ = 270 K, which rides along the
environmental 270 K isentrope as the parcel is advected toward Mixed-Layer
the North Pole (90°N). Thick green dashed line indicates the When the sun heats the ground to be warmer
tropopause. Thin blue dashed line shows the air-parcel path. than the adjacent air, or when cold air advects over
warmer ground, some of the heat is conducted into
the thin layer of air touching the ground (see the
Thermodynamics chapter). This warm near-surface
Sample Application air wants to rise as bubbles or vertical plumes called
Plot the following sounding on a Skew-T diagram.
If the ground heats an air parcel to the following state
thermals. You can sometimes see birds soaring in
[P=100 kPa, T = 25°C], then find the pressure of the the updrafts of these thermals.
mixed-layer top. Sounding: [P (kPa), T (°C)] = [100,22] , The thermals create vertical convective circula-
[99,19] , [85,7] , [80,5] , [75,5] , [60,–5] , [50,–10] , [30,–40] , tions that stir the bottom portion of the troposphere
[20,–40] . into a well-mixed layer. This convective mixed
layer is evidence of nonlocal static instability in the
Find the Answer boundary layer — the bottom 300 to 3000 m of the
Given: the data above. troposphere.
Find: Pi (pressure in kPa at mixed-layer top zi) The mixed layer (ML) is usually capped by a
See Skew-T below. Red dot and arrow represent the statically stable layer or temperature inversion
heated near-surface air parcel. Black line is the plotted (where temperature increases with height), which
environmental sounding.
prevents the thermals from rising through it and
traps pollutants below it. Thus, the ML depth zi is
STPSS HLH
important for air-quality studies.
4,&85-0(1
To find zi from a sounding, use the nonlocal
methods discussed earlier in this chapter. (1) Draw
the measured sounding on a thermo diagram. (2)
Estimate the temperature of the near-surface air
parcel and plot it on the same diagram. (3) Lift this
1 L1B
1 L1B
has a link to a legend that defines those terms. If so, STPSS HLH
use that legend to interpret the stability indices on b.
1 L1B
the layer to calculate these variables. (2) Ignore any
moisture indicated by the sounding, and assume Tv
≈ T].
m m m
B10. Use the internet to acquire a plotted sounding 5 $
bility effects, how warm would the near-surface air
parcel need to become later that day in order for it
STPSS HLH
to be positively buoyant (dry below the LCL, satu-
rated above the LCL) up to a height where P = 60
m m
kPa? Draw that air-parcel path on the sounding dia- RPS5 $
gram, and discuss where cloud base and cloud top STPSS HLH
B12. Use the internet to acquire images of Kelvin- m m m
5 $
A2. On copies of ALL 5 thermo diagrams from A1, iii) wet-bulb temperature
find and label one of the: iv) wet-bulb potential temperature
a. dry adiabats b. isohumes c. isobars v) saturation mixing ratio
d. isentropes e. saturated adiabats vi) LCL
f. isotherms g. moist adiabats vii) relative humidity
viii) equivalent potential temperature
A3(§). Use a spreadsheet to create the Skew-T, as
given in the Sample Application in the Skew-T sec- A7. Same as A6, but use only an Emagram or Stüve.
tion of this Chapter, except do it for isopleths listed
below. Describe the results of your experiments A8. Starting with one assigned air-parcel with state
with different values of the coefficient K, which de- from question A4:
termines the amount of skewness. i) lower it to a pressure of 100 kPa, and find its new
T, θ, & θw (°C) r (g kg–1) temperature and dew point. Use only a tephigram
a. 30 50 or Skew-T.
b. 25 20 ii) lower it to a pressure of 100 kPa, and find its
c. 15 10 new temperature and dew point. Use only a Stüve or
d. 10 2 Emagram.
e. 5 1 iii) raise it to a pressure of 20 kPa, and find its new
f. 0 0.5 temperature and dew point. Use only a tephigram
g. –5 0.2 or Skew-T.
h. –10 0.1 iv) raise it to a pressure of 20 kPa, and find its
i. –15 15 new temperature and dew point. Use only a Stüve
j. –20 25 or Emagram.
A4. Make a copy of the page holding the thermo A9. Which thermo diagrams from Fig. 5.3 have
diagrams for exercise A1. Then, on all these dia- a. straight isobars?
grams, plot the one thermodynamic state given be- b. straight dry adiabats?
low. (Note: these are single air parcels, not compo- c. straight moist adiabats?
nents of a sounding.) d. have the greatest angle between isotherms and
P(kPa) T(°C) Td(°C) dry adiabats?
a. 50 0 –15 e. moist adiabats that asymptotically approach
b. 80 –5 –10 dry adiabats near the top of the diagram?
c. 35 –25 –30 f. moist adiabats that asymptotically approach
d. 75 25 16 dry adiabats near the left of the diagram?
e. 60 15 –10
f. 90 20 10 A10. Use the data below as an air-parcel initial state,
g. 65 –25 –40 and plot it on the specified large end-of-chapter
h. 85 –10 –30 thermo diagram. Assume this air parcel is then lift-
i. 70 10 5 ed to a final height where P = 25 kPa. Find the final
j. 80 15 10 values of the following variables Td, rs, T, rL, and rT.
k. 55 –10 –15 P(kPa) T(°C) Td(°C) Thermo Diagram
a. 95 30 15 Stüve
A5. Using thermodynamic state of the air parcel b. 95 30 25 Tephigram
given in the previous exercise, plot it on the end-of- c. 95 20 10 Skew-T
chapter large thermo diagram specified by your in- d. 95 15 –5 Skew-T
structor (if none specified, use the skew-T diagram). e. 100 25 10 Emagram
Hint: Use a copy of a blank thermo diagram so you f. 100 25 5 Tephigram
can keep the master copy clean. g. 100 30 20 Emagram
h. 100 15 5 Stüve
A6. Plot the one thermodynamic state from exer- i. 90 20 5 Tephigram
cise A4 on one large thermo diagram specified by j. 90 15 5 Emagram
your instructor (if none specified, use the skew-T). k. 90 5 –5 Skew-T
For that plotted point, use the thermo diagram (not l. 90 10 0 Stüve
equations) to find the values of the following items:
i) mixing ratio A11. Using the same thermo diagram as specified in
ii) potential temperature exercise A10, find the pressure at the LCL for an air
148 chapter 5 • Atmospheric Stability
parcel that started with the conditions as specified temperature vs. pressure, using linear scales for
in that exercise. both graph axes.
b. Use the result from (a) and the humidity in-
A12. Starting with the FINAL state of the air parcel formation from the sounding data to find virtual
specified from exercise A10, allow all of the liquid potential temperature, and then plot it vs. pressure
water to rain out (except if the liquid water from the using linear scales for both axes.
final state of A10 was greater than 1 g kg–1, then al-
low only 1 g kg–1 of liquid water to rain out). Then A16. Given the sounding data. Suppose that you
lower the air parcel back to its starting pressure, and create an air parcel at the pressure-level (kPa) indi-
determine its new temperature and new dewpoint. cated below, where that parcel has the same initial
Use the specified thermo diagram from A10. thermodynamic state as the sounding at that pres-
sure. Then move that parcel up through the envi-
A13. Starting with the FINAL state of the air parcel ronment to the next higher significant level (i.e., next
specified from exercise A10, allow radiative cooling lower pressure). What is the value of the buoyant
to change the air parcel temperature by ∆T = –8°C. force/mass acting on the parcel at its new level?
Then lower the air parcel back to its starting pres- a. 100 b. 99 c. 90 d. 80 e. 70 f. 50 g. 45
sure, and determine its new temperature and dew h. 40 i. 30
point. Use the specified thermo diagram from A10.
A17. Given the sounding data. Find NBV and PBV
for an air parcel that starts in the middle of the layer
Sounding Data. The data here gives environmen- indicated below, and for which its initial displace-
tal conditions (i.e, the ambient sounding). Use this ment and subsequent oscillation is contained within
sounding for the questions that follow. Given V = 0. that one layer. Use the layer with a bottom pressure-
P(kPa) T(°C) Td(°C) U (m s–1) level (kPa) of:
20 –25 –55 45 a. 90 b. 80 c. 70 d. 50 e. 45 f. 40 g. 30
30 –25 –50 50
40 –20 –20 44 A18. Using the sounding data such as plotted for
45 –15 –15 40 exercise A14, using the apex parcel method to find
50 –10 –24 30 static stability for the one environmental layer,
70 12 –20 30 where the bottom of that one layer is at P (kPa) =
80 19 3 20 a. 100 b. 98 c. 87 d. 80 e. 70 f. 60 g. 40
90 21 15 7 For this exercise you may assume the air is dry.
99 29 17 7 Also, the stability in any one layer could depend on
100 33 20 2 nonlocal effects from other layers.
Definitions: Significant levels are altitudes where
the sounding has a bend or kink. In between signifi- A19. Same as A18, but find the layer stability using
cant levels you must draw straight lines. the sounding data.
Layers are the regions of air that are in between
two neighboring levels. A20. Using the sounding data, calculate Richardson
number, which you can then use to find a layer’s dy-
A14. Using the end-of-chapter large thermo dia- namic stability, for the layer that has a layer base at
gram specified below, plot the sounding data from level P (kPa) =
the previous column on that diagram. For tempera- a. 100 b. 98 c. 87 d. 80 e. 70 f. 60 g. 40
tures, use solid filled circles (red if available), and
then connect those temperature-sounding points A21. Indicate which portions of the sounding above
from bottom to top of the atmosphere with straight are likely to be turbulent, and explain why.
line segments. For dewpoints, use an open circles
(blue perimeter if possible), and connect those points A22. Using the sounding data:
with dashed straight line segments. a. Does the sounding data indicate the presence
a. Emagram b. Tephigram c. Skew-T of a mixed layer near the ground? What is its cor-
d. θ-Z diagram e. Stüve responding depth, zi ?
b. Determine the height of the tropopause.
A15. a. For each pressure and temperature pair in c. Locate any layer (stratiform) clouds that might
the sounding data, calculate the corresponding po- be present in the environment.
tential temperature. Then plot a graph of potential
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 149
c. What is the value of Richardson number for an E26(§). Use a spreadsheet to reproduce Fig. 5.2, using
air layer with no wind shear? What does this value the relationship for potential temperature as a func-
imply about turbulence? tion of T and P as given in the Heat chapter.
E18. Although the large thermo diagrams at the E27. All the dry adiabats in a Stüve diagram con-
end of this chapter include pressures greater than verge to a point above the top left of the diagram.
100 kPa, most of the smaller diagrams earlier in the Explain why or why not the dry adiabats in an
chapter have a max pressure of 100 kPa at the bot- Emagram converge to a point.
tom of the diagram. For these smaller diagrams,
what methods can you use to plot pressures that are E28. Suppose that turbulent mixing in a dynami-
more than 100 kPa? cally unstable, but statically stable, environment
causes both ∆T/∆z and ∆U/∆z to be reduced by the
E19. If mixing ratio is conserved in an unsaturated same fraction, b. Show how the Richardson number
rising air parcel, why isn’t saturated mixing ratio increases as b decreases. Use this to explain why
conserved? turbulence acts to reduce the dynamic instabilities
that caused it, analogous to LeChatelier’s principle.
E20(§). (This exercise is lengthy.) (Hint: Assume V = 0 for simplicity.)
For pressures in the range of 100 to 10 kPa, use a
computer spreadsheet to create a: E29. Fig. 5.10 indicates state changes due to fallout
a. Stüve diagram. [Hint: use (Po/P)ℜd/Cpd as ver- of precipitation.
tical coordinate.] a. Can the opposite happen? Namely, can precip-
b. Skew-T diagram. itation fall INTO an air parcel, with all of the water
c. Tephigram. [Hint: plot it in tilted form, as in staying in the air? If so, give an example and show
Fig. 5.2, but with moist adiabats and isohumes add- how that process would be plotted on a thermo dia-
ed to the other lines in that figure. This is a very gram.
difficult exercise.] b. What happens if rain from above falls through
d. θ-Z diagram. [Hint, plot all the isopleths ex- an air parcel with zero or partial evaporation?
cept the isobars.] Namely, the rainfall does not change during its
passage through the air parcel. Indicate this on a
E21(§). Use a computer spreadsheet to create an thermo diagram.
Emagram for a wider range of pressures (120 kPa
to 5 kPa) than I had plotted in my small thermo
diagrams. Plot only 1 dry adiabat (θ = 0°C) and 1
Synthesize
isohume (r = 10 g kg–1) for this exercise.
S1. What if you multiply the numerator and denom-
inator of equation (5.9c) by 0.5·m, where m is air-par-
E22. How would the air parcel line in Fig. 5.12 be
cel mass. Describe how the numerator and denomi-
different if the rising parcel entrains a small amount
nator could be interpreted as potential energy and
of environmental air as it rises? Sketch this new
kinetic energy, respectively.
path on a similar diagram.
S2. Use the internet to uncover a brief history of Ar-
E23. For a layer of isothermal air, what is the sign of
chimedes. Where did he live? What discoveries did
the Richardson number?
he make, and which were relevant to meteorology?
What is he most famous for? What was his role in
E24. How are the gradient, bulk, and flux Richardson
the wars that were waged at that time?
numbers related? The chapter on the Atmospheric
Boundary Layer defines the flux Richardson num-
S3. What if water-vapor condensation caused cooling
ber, and also describes K-theory, a tool you might
instead of warming. Describe any possible changes
find useful in answering this question.
in climate and weather. Draw a rough thermody-
namic diagram by eye for this physical situation.
E25. Create a new conceptual algorithm different
from the “Guide” in this chapter to help you identify
S4. Describe any possible changes in climate and
different thermo diagram types. Test it to ensure
weather if buoyancy force was a function of only
that it doesn’t falsely identify some diagrams.
air-parcel temperature and not on temperature dif-
ference?
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 151
Mo
International License.
ist
• State lines are thin.
Ad
• Process lines are θ θW T
ia
thick, and are labeled
ba
with temperature where
they cross P = 100 kPa.
t θW
(θW = wet-bulb potential temp.) °C
=5
12
0°C
Dry
Ad
30 iab
at 11
θ=
15
0°C
10
130 9
40 °C
8
Pressure
Height
(kPa) 110 (km)
°C 7
50
6
90°
C
5
60
4
70°
70 C
3
2.5
80 2
50°
C 1.5
90 1
0.5
100 0
Dry
A dia
dia
b
bat
9
at
θ=
130
40 °C
θW
8
=4
5°C
110
°C 7
50
6
Pressure (kPa)
90°
C
Height (km)
5
60
4
70°
70 C
3
2.5
80 2
50 1.5
°C
90 1
0.5
100 0
Temperature (°C)
Mixing Ratio (g/kg)
Skew-T Log-P Diagram
6
80
90
70
10
60
International License.
50°
0°
°C
°C
C
T
°C
θ θW
°C
• State lines are thin.
C
• Process lines are
Dr
thick, and are labeled
8
°C
Moist Adiabat θW
θ
10
10
30
C
9
0°
–9
15
8
40
20
C
0°
7
–8
25
50 6
Height (km)
Pressure (kPa)
30
C
5
0°
–7
60
T
4
rm
he
ot
40
70
is
3
C
0°
2.5
–6
)
5
80
kg
2
(g/ 0
1.5
90 1
0.5
100 0
Moist A
Dr
thick, and are labeled yA
with temperature where dia
they cross P = 100 kPa. ba
(θW = wet-bulb potential temp.) °C t
20 θ=
C
diabat θW
50
0°
°C
12
–9
11
30
10
C
0°
30
–8
9
C
40
0°
40
–7
7
rm
50
he
6
Pressure (kPa)
g/kg
Height (km)
iso
50
C
0°
5
–6
=
T
60 4
70 3
2
80
90 1
100 0
–50 –40 –30 –20 –10 0 10 20 30 40 50
Temperature (°C)
Mixing Ratio (g/kg) = 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 30
Theta - Z Diagram
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull. 40
Free copies of this page permitted, from “Practical
Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmos. 50
Sci.”, via Creative Commons CC-BY-NC-SA/4.0
14 International License. 70
• State lines are thin.
• Process lines are θ θW T 30
thick, and are labeled 100
with temperature where
they cross P = 100 kPa. kPa 150
(θW = wet-bulb potential temp.) °C 20
12 P=
200
300
40
°C 500
10 40
–1 700
rm 1000
the
iso (g/kg)
°C
1 20 50
8 –
= r e
T Pressu
(k Pa )
Height Z (km)
6 C 60
0 0°
–1
70
4 C
0°
–8
80
2 C
0°
–6 90
0 100
–40 –20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Potential Temperature θ (°C)
Mixing ratio (g/kg)
Skew-T Log-P Diagram (ABL)
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull. 1.5 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 15 20 25 30
Free copies of this page permitted, from “Practical
70 Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmos.
Sci.”, via Creative Commons CC-BY-NC-SA/4.0
International License. θ θW T 3
• State lines are thin.
• Process lines are
thick, and are labeled
with temperature where
they cross P = 100 kPa.
adiabat
2.5
θ=
50°
θW = 35°C m
C
80
erm
2
θ=
4
i s oth
5°C
°C
d
–25
ry a
ume
di
1.5
T=
isoh
85
aba
t
Height (km)
kg
g
Pressure (kPa)
0.6 g/
40 g/k
90 1
kg/
0.5
95
0.8 g
/kg
1.0 g
100 0
105
–20 –10 0 10 20 30 40
Temperature (°C)
Mixing Ratio (g/kg)
Theta - Z Diagram (ABL) 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 2 3 4 5 7 10 15 20
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull.
Free copies of this page permitted, from “Practical 70 kPa
Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmos. Z = 3.0 km
Sci.”, via Creative Commons CC-BY-NC-SA/4.0
International License.
• State lines are thin. 2.8 km
• Process lines are θ θW T
thick, and are labeled
with temperature where
they cross P = 100 kPa.
2.6 km
(θW = wet-bulb potential temp.) °C
2.4
g
C
0°
g/k
2.2
–3
30
80
θW = –10°C
2.0
Pressure
(kPa)
g
1.8
C
g/k
5°
40
–2
1.6
Moist Adiabat
Height 1.4
Z
g
°C
(km)
0
g/k
1.2
er
–2
h
50
ot
is
1.0 90
C
5°
–1
0.8
=
T
g
0.6
g/k
70
0.4
0.2
0.0 100
–10 –5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Potential Temperature θ (°C)
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull. Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmospheric Science.
6 Clouds
∆T = Td − T (6.1)
159
160 chapter 6 • Clouds
NPJTUVSJ[JOH
GPHHZ
O
UJP
Whether this condition is met can be determined by
FT L1B
SB
U V
TB using the moisture budget to find the actual humid-
ity change (see the Water Vapor chapter).
"
DPPMJOH In the real atmosphere, sometimes both cooling
and moisturizing happen simultaneously. Sche-
VOTBUVSBUFE
matically, this would correspond to an arrow from
parcel A diagonally to the saturation line of Fig. 6.1.
5 $
Clouds usually form by adiabatic cooling of ris-
ing air. Air can be rising due to its own buoyancy
Figure 6.1 (making cumuliform clouds), or can be forced up
Unsaturated air parcel “A” can become saturated by the addi- over hills or frontal boundaries (making stratiform
tion of moisture, or by cooling. The curved line is the saturation clouds). Once formed, infrared radiation from cloud
vapor pressure from the Water Vapor chapter. top can cause additional cooling to help maintain
the cloud.
Sample Application
Air at sea level has a temperature of 20°C and a
mixing ratio of 5 g kg–1. How much cooling OR mois-
turizing is necessary to reach saturation?
# Mixing
DMPVEZPS Mixing of two unsaturated parcels can result in a
GPHHZ saturated mixture, as shown in Fig. 6.2. Jet contrails
and your breath on a cold winter day are examples
FT L1B
Cumuliform
Clouds that form in updrafts are called
cumuliform clouds. The small and medium-size
ones look like cotton balls, turrets on castles, or cau-
liflower. The largest cumuliform clouds — thunder-
storms — have tops that look like an anvil or like
the mushroom cloud of an atom bomb. Cumuliform
clouds of all sizes have an aspect ratio of about one;
namely, the ratio of cloud diameter to distance of
cloud top above ground is roughly one.
Thicker clouds look darker when viewed from
underneath, but when viewed from the side, the
cloud sides and top are often bright white during
daytime. The individual clouds are often surround-
ed by clearer air, where there is compensating sub-
[ LN
/BNF "QQFBSBODF
sidence (downdrafts).
DVNVMVT DVNVMPOJNCVT
Cumulus clouds frequently have cloud bases DPOHFTUVT
within 1 or 2 km of the ground (in the boundary lay- DVNVMVT
er). But their cloud tops can be anywhere within the NFEJPDSJT
troposphere (or lower stratosphere for the strongest DVNVMVT TUSBUP
thunderstorms). Cumuliform clouds are associated IVNJMJT DVNVMVT
with vertical motions.
Cumuliform clouds are named by their thick-
ness, not by the height of their base (Fig. 6.3). Start- Figure 6.3
ing from the largest (with highest tops), the clouds Cloud identification: cumuliform. These are lumpy clouds
are cumulonimbus (thunderstorms), cumu- caused by convection (updrafts) from the surface.
162 chapter 6 • Clouds
in small areas or along narrow paths on the ground cloud, because stratiform clouds don’t form from air
called swaths (e.g., hail swaths or snow swaths). that rises from near the Earth’s surface. For altocu-
Smooth-looking, non-turbulent stratiform clouds mulus and cirrocumulus clouds, don’t let the suffix
include stratus (low-altitude, thick, you cannot see “cumulus” in fool you — these clouds are still pri-
the sun through it), altostratus (mid-altitude, mod- marily advective, layer clouds.
est thickness, you can see the sun faintly through
this cloud) and cirrostratus (high altitude, diffuse,
Stratocumulus
allows bright sunlight to cause shadows). None of
Stratocumulus clouds are low-altitude layers
these clouds (even the lowest ones) are associated
of lumpy clouds, often covering 5/8 or more of the
with thermals rising from the Earth’s surface.
sky (Fig. 6.3). They don’t fit very well into either the
For most stratiform clouds, the external
stratiform or cumuliform categories. They are often
forcing is horizontal advection (movement by the
turbulently coupled with the underlying surface.
mean wind), where humid air is blown up the gen-
Thus, their cloud bases can be estimated using the
tly sloping surface of a warm front. The source of
LCL of near-surface air.
these air parcels are often 1000 km or more from
Air circulations in “stratocu” can be driven by:
the clouds. In these warm-frontal regions the air
1) wind-shear-generated turbulence (known as
is often statically stable, which suppresses verti-
forced convection),
cal motions. Because these clouds are not driven by
2) IR radiative cooling from cloud top that creates
their own positive buoyancy, we consider them to be
blobs of cold air that sink (free convection), and
passive clouds.
3) advection of cool air over a warmer surface.
This process is illustrated in Fig. 5.20. Let the cir-
cle in that figure represent a humid air parcel with
potential temperature 270 K. If a south wind were Others
tending to blow the parcel toward the North Pole, There are many beautiful and unusual clouds that
the parcel would follow the 270 K isentrope like a do not fit well into the cumuliform and stratiform
train on tracks, and would ride up over the colder categories. A few are discussed here: castellanus,
surface air in the polar portion of the domain. The lenticular, cap, rotor, banner, contrails, fumulus, bil-
gentle rise of air along the isentropic surface creates low clouds, pyrocumulus, pileus, and fractus. You
sufficient cooling to cause the condensation. can find pictures of these using your web browser.
Stratiform clouds can be inferred from sound- Other clouds associated with thunderstorms are
ings, in the layers above the boundary layer where described in the Thunderstorm chapters. These in-
environmental temperature and dew point are clude funnel, wall, mammatus, arc, shelf, flanking
equal (i.e., where the sounding lines touch). Due to line, beaver tail, and anvil.
inaccuracies in some of the sounding instruments,
sometimes the T and Td lines become close and par- Clouds in unstable air aloft
allel over a layer without actually touching. You can Two types of clouds can be found in layers of
infer that these are also stratiform cloud layers. statically or dynamically unstable air not associated
However, you cannot estimate cloud base alti- with the ground: castellanus and billow clouds.
tude by the LCL of near-surface air from under the Castellanus clouds look like a layer of small-
diameter castle turrets (Fig. 6.4). When a layer of
S HLH
relatively warm air advects under a layer of cooler
air, the interface between the two layers aloft can
become statically unstable. [The advection of air
from different sources at different altitudes is called
differential advection.]
1 L1B
Anthropogenic Clouds
The next two clouds are anthropogenic (man-
made). These are contrails and fumulus.
Fumulus is a contraction for “fume cumulus”.
INFO • Strato- & Mesospheric Clouds They form in the tops of thermal plumes rising from
Although almost all our clouds occur in the tro- cooling towers or smokestacks (Fig. 6.8). Modern
posphere, sometimes higher-altitude thin stratiform air-quality regulations often require that industries
(cirrus-like) clouds can be seen. They occur poleward scrub the pollutants out of their stack gasses by first
of 50° latitude during situations when the upper at- passing the gas through a scrubber (i.e., a water
mosphere temperatures are exceptionally cold. shower). Although the resulting effluent is much
These clouds are so diffuse and faint that you can- less polluted, it usually contains more water vapor,
not see them by eye during daytime. These clouds and thus can cause beautiful white clouds of water
are visible at night for many minutes near the end droplets within the rising exhaust plume. Similarly,
of evening twilight or near the beginning of morn-
cooling towers do their job by evaporating water to
ing twilight. The reason these clouds are visible is
because they are high enough to still be illuminated
help cool an industrial process.
by the sun, even when lower clouds are in the Earth’s Contrail is a contraction for “condensation trail”,
shadow. and is the straight, long, narrow, horizontal pair of
Highest are noctilucent clouds, in the meso- clouds left behind a high-altitude aircraft (Fig. 6.8).
sphere at heights of about 85 km. They are made of Aircraft fuel is a hydrocarbon, so its combustion in a
tiny H2O ice crystals (size ≈ 10 nm), and are nucle- jet engine produces carbon dioxide and water vapor.
ated by meteorite dust. Noctilucent clouds are polar Contrails form when water vapor in the exhaust of
mesospheric clouds (PMC), and found near the high-altitude aircraft mixes with the cold environ-
polar mesopause during summer. mental air at that altitude (see mixing subsection
Lower (20 to 30 km altitude) are polar strato- earlier in this chapter). If this cold air is already
spheric clouds (PSC). At air temperatures below nearly saturated, then the additional moisture from
–78°C, nitric acid trihydrate (NAT-clouds) can con-
dense into particles. Also forming at those tempera-
the jet engine is sufficient to form a cloud. On drier
tures can be particles made of a supersaturated mix- days aloft, the same jet aircraft would produce no
ture of water, sulphuric acid, and nitric acid (causing visible contrails.
STS clouds). Regardless of the number of engines on the air-
For temperatures colder than –86°C in the strato- craft, the exhaust tends to be quickly entrained into
sphere, pure H2O ice crystals can form, creating PSCs the horizontal wing-tip vortices that trail behind
called nacreous clouds. They are also known as the left and right wing tips of the aircraft. Hence, jet
mother-of-pearl clouds because they exhibit contrails often appear initially as a pair of closely-
beautiful iridescent fringes when illuminated by the spaced, horizontal parallel lines of cloud. Further
sun. These stratospheric clouds form over mountains, behind the aircraft, environmental wind shears of-
due to mountain waves that propagate from the tropo-
ten bend and distort the contrails. Turbulence breaks
sphere into the stratosphere, and amplify there in the
lower-density air. They can also form over extremely
apart the contrail, causes the two clouds to merge
intense tropospheric high-pressure regions. into one contrail, and eventually mixes enough dry
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 167
DFMMT
Y
Figure 6.9
Organized boundary-layer clouds, such as are seen in a satellite
image. Grey = clouds.
168 chapter 6 • Clouds
Species
Cloud Classification Subdividing the genera are cloud species. Table
6-3 lists the official WMO species. Species can ac-
Clouds are classified by their shapes (i.e., their count for:
morphology). The classification method intro- • forms (clouds in banks, veils, sheets, layers, etc.)
duced in 1803 by Luke Howard is still used today, as • dimensions (horizontal or vertical extent)
approved by the World Meteorology Organization • internal structure (ice crystals, water droplets, etc.)
(WMO). • likely formation process (orographic lift, etc.)
WMO publishes an International Cloud Atlas with
photos to help you identify clouds. As mentioned, Species are also mutually exclusive. An exam-
you can easily find similar photos for free by point- ple of a cloud genus with specie is “Altocumulus
ing your web search engine at “cloud classification”, castellanus (Ac cas)”, which is a layer of mid-level
“cloud identification”, “cloud types”, or “Internation- lumpy clouds that look like castle turrets.
al Cloud Atlas”.
The categories and subcategories of clouds are
broken into: Table 6-3. WMO cloud species. (Ab. = abbreviation)
• genera - main characteristics of clouds Specie Ab Description
• species - peculiarities in shape & structure the top of a deep Cu or Cb that
• varieties - arrangement and transparency calvus cal is starting to become fuzzy, but
• supplementary features and accessory no cirrus (ice) anvil yet
clouds - attached to other (mother) clouds Cb having well defined streaky
• mother clouds - clouds with attachments capillatus cap
cirrus (ice) anvil
• meteors - precipitation (ice, water, or mixed)
small turrets looking like a
Most important are the genera.
crenellated castle. Turret height
castellanus cas
> diameter. Can apply to Ci, Cc,
Genera Ac, Sc.
The ten cloud genera are listed in Table 6-2, very deep Cu filling most of tro-
along with their official abbreviations and symbols posphere, but still having crisp
as drawn on weather maps. These genera are mutu- congestus con cauliflower top (i.e., no ice an-
ally exclusive; namely, one cloud cannot have two vil). Often called Towering
genera. However, often the sky can have different Cu (TCU).
genera of clouds adjacent to, or stacked above, each nearly straight filaments of Ci
fibratus fib
other. or Cs.
small tufts (lumps) of clouds,
often with virga (evaporating
floccus flo
precip.) falling from each tuft.
Table 6-2. Cloud genera.
Applies to Ci, Cc, Ac, Sc.
Abbre- WMO USA
Genus shredded, ragged, irregular,
viation Symbol Symbol fractus fra torn by winds. Can apply to Cu
cirrus Ci and St.
Cu of small vertical extent.
cirrostratus Cs humilis hum
Small flat lumps.
Check: Units OK. Physics almost OK, but the sum of
all f should equal 1.0, representing 100% of the clouds.
The reason for the error is that we should have con-
sidered clouds even larger than 4950 m, because of the
tail on the right of the distribution. Also smaller ∆X
would help.
where X is the cloud diameter or depth, ∆X is a small by children, and newspaper used for packing card-
range of cloud sizes, f(X) is the fraction of clouds of board boxes.
sizes between X–0.5∆X and X+0.5∆X, Lx is a loca- A straight line (Fig. 6.11a) has fractal dimension D
tion parameter, and Sx is a dimensionless spread = 1; namely, it is one-dimensional both in the Euclid-
parameter. These parameters vary widely in time ian and fractal geometry. When toddlers draw with
and location. crayons, they fill areas by drawing tremendously
According to this distribution, there are many wiggly lines (Fig. 6.11b). Such a line might have frac-
clouds of nearly the same size, but there also are tal dimension D ≈ 1.7, and gives the impression of
a few clouds of much larger size. This causes a almost filling an area. Older children succeed in fill-
skewed distribution with a long tail to the right (see ing the area, resulting in fractal dimension D = 2.
Fig. 6.10). A different example is a sheet of newspaper.
While it is flat and smooth, it fills only two-dimen-
sional area (neglecting its thickness), hence D = 2.
However, it takes up more space if you crinkle it, re-
sulting in a fractal dimension of D ≈ 2.2. By fully
Fractal Cloud Shapes wadding it into a tight ball of D ≈ 2.7, it begins to be-
have more like a three-dimensional object, which is
Fractals are patterns made of the
handy for filling empty space in cardboard boxes.
superposition of similar shapes having a
range of sizes. An example is a dendrite
snow flake. It has arms protruding from the center.
Each of those arms has smaller arms attached, and B
C
D
Fractal Dimension
Euclidian geometry includes only integer di-
mensions; for example 1-D, 2-D or 3-D. Fractal ge-
ometry allows a continuum of dimensions; for ex-
ample D = 1.35 . Figure 6.11
Fractal dimension is a measure of space-fill- (a) A straight line has fractal dimension D = 1. (b) A wiggly line
ing ability. Common examples are drawings made has fractal dimension 1 < D < 2. (c) The zero-set of the wiggly
line is a set of points with dimension 0 < D < 1.
INFO • Cloud and Sky Photography using High Dynamic Range (HDR)
Most people take photos with their cell
phone or tablet. You cannot easily add
special lenses and filters to these devices.
Instead, to take better cloud photos, use
special software on your device to capture
high dynamic range (HDR) images.
When you take an HDR photo, your
camera takes three photos in rapid succes-
sion of the same scene. One photo uses a
good average exposure for the whole scene
(1.N). Another is underexposed (1.U), but
captures the sky and clouds better. The
third is overexposed (1.O), to capture dark-
er ground and shadows. The software au-
tomatically combines the best parts of the
three photos into one photo (2). Finally,
after you enhance the saturation, contrast,
and sharpness, the image (3) is much better
than the normal photo (1.N).
172 chapter 6 • Clouds
is the slope of the best fit straight line through the
%
Sample Application
Fog Fog formation: A layer of air adjacent to the surface
(where P = 100 kPa) is initially at temperature 20°C and
relative humidity 68%. (a) To what temperature must
Types this layer be cooled to form radiation or advection
Fog is a cloud that touches the ground. The main fog? (b) To what altitude must this layer be lifted to
types of fog are: form upslope fog? (c) How much water must be
• upslope evaporated into each kilogram of dry air from falling
• radiation rain drops to form frontal fog? (d) How much evapo-
• advection ration (mm of lake water depth) from the lake is nec-
• precipitation or frontal essary to form steam fog throughout a 100 m thick
layer? [Hint: Use eqs. from the Water Vapor chapter.]
• steam
They differ in how the air becomes saturated.
Find the Answer
Upslope fog is formed by adiabatic cooling in
Given: P = 100 kPa, T = 20°C, RH = 68%, ∆z = 100 m
rising air that is forced up sloping terrain by the Find: a) Td=?°C, b) zLCL=?m, c) rs=?g kg–1 d) d=?mm
wind. Namely, it is formed the same way as clouds.
As already discussed in the Water Vapor chapter, air Using Table 4-1: es = 2.371 kPa.
parcels must rise or be lifted to their lifting conden- Using eq. (4.14): e = (RH/100%)·es
sation level (LCL) to form a cloud or upslope fog. = (68%/100%)·( 2.371 kPa) = 1.612 kPa
Radiation fog and advection fog are formed
by cooling of the air via conduction from the cold (a) Knowing e and using Table 4-1: Td = 14°C.
ground. Radiation fog forms during clear, nearly-
calm nights when the ground cools by IR radiation (b) Using eq. (4.16):
zLCL = a· [T – Td] = (0.125 m K–1)·
to space. Advection fog forms when initially-un-
[(20+273)K – (14+273)K] = 0.75 km
saturated air advects over a colder surface.
Precipitation fog or frontal fog is formed by (c) Using eq. (4.4), the initial state is:
adding moisture, via the evaporation from warm r = ε·e/(P–e) = 0.622 · (1.612 kPa) / (100 kPa
rain drops falling down through the initially-un- – 1.612 kPa) = 0.0102 g g–1 = 10.2 g kg–1
saturated cooler air below cloud base. The final mixing ratio at saturation (eq. 4.5) is:
Steam fog occurs when cold air moves over rs = ε·es/(P–es) = 0.622·(2.371 kPa) / (100 kPa
warm humid surfaces such as unfrozen lakes during – 2.371 kPa) = 0.0151 g g–1 = 15.1 g kg–1.
early winter. The lake warms the air near it by con- The amount of additional water needed is
duction, and adds water by evaporation. However, ∆r = rs – r = 15.1 – 10.2 = 4.9 g water kgair–1
this thin layer of moist warm air near the surface is
(d) Using eqs. (4.11) & (4.13) to find absolute humidity
unsaturated. As turbulence causes it to mix with
ρv = ε · e· ρd / P
the colder air higher above the surface, the mixture
= (0.622)·(1.612 kPa)·(1.275 kg·m–3)/(100 kPa)
becomes saturated, which we see as steam fog. = 0.01278 kg·m–3
ρvs = ε · es· ρd / P
Idealized Fog Models = (0.622)·(2.371 kPa)·(1.275 kg·m–3)/(100 kPa)
= 0.01880 kg·m–3
By simplifying the physics, we can create math-
The difference must be added to the air to reach
ematical fog models that reveal some of the funda-
saturation: ∆ρ = ρvs – ρv =
mental behaviors of different types of fog. ∆ρ = (0.01880–0.01278) kg·m–3 = 0.00602 kg·m–3
But over A =1 m2 of surface area, air volume is
Advection Fog Volair =A · ∆z = (1 m2)·(100 m) = 100 m3.
For formation and growth of advection fog, sup- The mass of water needed in this volume is
pose a fogless mixed layer of thickness zi advects m = ∆ρ · Volair = 0.602 kg of water.
with speed M over a cold surface such as snow cov- But liquid water density ρliq = 1000 kg·m–3: Thus,
ered ground or a cold lake. If the surface potential Volliq = m / ρliq = 0.000602 m3
temperature is θsfc, then the air potential tempera- The depth of liquid water under the 1 m2 area is
ture θ cools with downwind distance according to d = Volliq / A = 0.000602 m = 0.602 mm
zi
or s C
ln = − H ⋅ x 'PHHZ
so zi 5E
Taking the antilog of each side (i.e., exp): 55
E
5TGD
s C
= exp − H ⋅ x
so zi
Upon rearranging, and substituting for s:
C %JTUBODF
Y LN
west blows over the cooler “Alaska current” coming &BSMZ -BUFS
from further north in the Pacific Ocean.
Advection fog, once formed, experiences radia- [ [
tive cooling from fog top. Such cooling makes the
fog more dense and longer lasting as it can evolve
into a well-mixed radiation fog, described in the
next subsection.
Dissipation of advection fog is usually controlled
by the synoptic and mesoscale weather patterns. If
the surface becomes warmer (e.g., all the snow melts, GPH
or there is significant solar heating), or if the wind
5EP 5T
53- 5T 5EP 53-
changes direction, then the conditions that origi-
nally created the advection fog might disappear. At 5FNQFSBUVSF 5FNQFSBUVSF
that point, dissipation depends on the same factors
that dissipate radiation fog. Alternately, frontal pas- Figure 6.13
sage or change of wind direction might blow out the Stable-boundary-layer evolution at night leading to radiation
fog onset, where Ts is near-surface air temperature, Tdo is origi-
advection fog, and replace the formerly-foggy air
nal dew-point temperature, and TRL is the original temperature.
with cold dry air that might not be further cooled by
Simplified, because dew formation on the ground can decrease
the underlying surface. Td before fog forms, and cold-air downslope drainage flow can
remove or deposit cold air to alter fog thickness.
Radiation Fog
For formation and growth of radiation fog, as-
sume a stable boundary layer forms and grows, as
given in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer chap-
ter. For simplicity, assume that the ground is flat, Sample Application
so there is no drainage of cold air downhill (a poor Given a residual layer temperature of 20°C, dew
assumption). If the surface temperature Ts drops to point of 10°C, and wind speed 1 m s–1. If the surface
the dew-point temperature Td then fog can form (Fig. kinematic heat flux is constant during the night at
6.13). The fog depth is the height where the noctur- –0.02 K·m s–1, then what is the onset time and height
evolution of radiation fog?
nal temperature profile crosses the initial dew-point
temperature Tdo.
Find the Answer
The time to between when nocturnal cooling
Given: TRL = 20°C, Td = 10°C, M = 1 m s–1
starts and the onset of fog is FH = –0.02 K·m s–1
Find: to = ? h, and z vs. t.
a2 ⋅ M 3/2 ⋅ (TRL − Td )2
to = (6.10) Use eq. (6.10):
(− FH )2
(0.15m1/ 4 ⋅ s1/ 4 )2 ⋅ (1m/s)3/2 ⋅ (20 − 10°C)2
to =
where a = 0.15 m1/4·s1/4 , TRL is the residual-layer (0.02°C ⋅ m/s)2
temperature (extrapolated adiabatically to the sur- = 1.563 h
face), M is wind speed in the residual layer, and FH
The height evolution for this wind speed, as well as for
is the average surface kinematic heat flux. Faster
other wind speeds, is calculated using eq. (6.11):
winds and drier air delay the onset of fog. For most
cases, fog never happens because night ends first.
Once fog forms, evolution of its depth is approxi-
mately
'PH%FQUI[ N
. NT
z = a ⋅ M 3/ 4 ⋅ t1/2 ⋅ ln (t / to )
1/2 (6.11)
where to is the onset time from the previous equa-
tion. This equation is valid for t > to.
Liquid water content increases as a saturated air U I
parcel cools. Also, visibility decreases as liquid wa-
Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
ter increases. Thus, the densest (lowest visibility)
Exposition: Windier nights cause later onset of fog,
but stimulates rapid growth of the fog depth.
176 chapter 6 • Clouds
B
C
part of the fog will generally be in the coldest air,
which is initially at the ground.
[ [
Initially, fog density decreases smoothly with
height because temperature increases smoothly
with height (Fig. 6.14a). As the fog layer becomes
optically thicker and more dense , it reaches a point
where the surface is so obscured that it can no lon-
GPH GPH ger cool by direct IR radiation to space.
Instead, the height of maximum radiative cool-
GPH GPH ing moves upward into the fog away from the sur-
5 5 face. Cooling of air within the nocturnal fog causes
air to sink as cold thermals. Convective circulations
then turbulently mix the fog.
Figure 6.14 Very quickly, the fog changes into a well-mixed
(a) Stratified fog that is more dense and colder at ground. (b) fog with wet-bulb-potential temperature θW and
Well-mixed fog that is more dense and colder at the top due to total-water content rT that are uniform with height.
IR radiative cooling. During this rapid transition, total heat and total wa-
ter averaged over the whole fog layer are conserved.
As the night continues, θW decreases and rL increas-
es with time due to continued radiative cooling.
In this fog the actual temperature decreases with
height at the moist adiabatic lapse rate (Fig. 6.14b),
and liquid water content increases with height.
Continued IR cooling at fog top can strengthen and
maintain this fog. This fog is densest near the top of
the fog layer.
Sample Application
Dissipation of Well-Mixed (Radiation and
Initially, total water is constant with height at 10
g kg–1, and wet-bulb potential temperature increases
Advection) Fogs
with height at rate 2°C/100m in a stratified fog. Later, a During daytime, solar heating and IR cooling are
well-mixed fog forms with depth 100 m. Plot the total both active. Fogs can become less dense, can thin,
water and θW profiles before and after mixing. can lift, and can totally dissipate due to warming by
the sun.
Find the Answer Stratified fogs (Fig. 6.14a) are optically thin
enough that sunlight can reach the surface and
[ [ warm it. The fog albedo can be in the range of A =
N
0.3 to 0.5 for thin fogs. This allows the warm ground
to rapidly warm the fog layer, causing evaporation
of the liquid drops and dissipation of the fog.
For optically-thick well-mixed fogs (Fig. 6.14b),
albedoes can be A =0.6 to 0.9. What little sunlight is
not reflected off the fog is absorbed in the fog itself.
However, IR radiative cooling continues, and can
S5 HLH
R8 $
compensate the solar heating. One way to estimate
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. whether fog will totally dissipate at time t in the
Exposition: Dashed lines show initial profiles, solid future is to calculate the sum QAk of accumulated
are final profiles. For θW, the two shaded areas must cooling and heating (see the Atmospheric Boundary
be equal for heat conservation. This results in a tem- Layer chapter) during the time period (t – to) since
perature jump of 1°C across the top of the fog layer for the fog first formed:
this example. Recall from the Water Vapor and At-
mospheric Stability chapters that actual temperature (6.12)
within the saturated (fog) layer decreases with height QAk = FH .night ⋅ (t − to ) +
at the moist adiabatic lapse rate (lines of constant θW).
FH . max ⋅ D π ⋅ (t − tSR )
(1 − A) ⋅ ⋅ 1 − cos
π D
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 177
B10. Search the web for satellite images that show A4. Given the following descriptions of ordinary
fog. (Hints: Try near San Francisco, or try major clouds. (i) First classify as cumuliform or stratiform.
river valleys in morning, or try over snowy ground (ii) Then name the cloud. (iii) Next, draw both the
in spring, or try over unfrozen lakes in Fall). For the WMO and USA symbols for the cloud. (iv) Indicate
fog that you found, determine the type of fog (radia- if the cloud is made mostly of liquid water or ice
tion, advection, steam, etc.) in that image, and justify (or both). (v) Indicate the likely altitude of its cloud
your decision. base and top. (vi) Finally, sketch the cloud similar to
those in Figs. 6.3 or 6.5.
B11. a. Search the web for very high resolution a. Deep vertical towers of cloud shaped like a gi-
visible satellite images of cumulus clouds or cloud gantic mushroom, with an anvil shaped cloud
clusters over an ocean. Display or print these im- on top. Flat, dark-grey cloud base, with heavy
ages, and then trace the edges of the clouds. Find precipitation showers surrounded by non-
the fractal dimension of the cloud edge, similar to precipitating regions. Can have lightning,
the procedure that was done with Fig. 6.12. thunder, hail, strong gusty winds, and torna-
does. Bright white cloud surrounded by blue
B12. Search the web for a discussion about which sky when viewed from the side, but the cloud
satellite channels can be used to discriminate be- diameter is so large that when from directly
tween clouds and fog. Summarize your findings. underneath it might cover the whole sky.
b. Sheet of light-grey cloud covering most of sky,
B13. Search the web for methods that operational with sun or moon faintly showing through it,
forecasters use to predict onset and dissipation casting diffuse shadows on ground behind
times of fog. Summarize your findings. (Hint: Try buildings and people.
web sites of regional offices of the weather service.) c. Isolated clouds that look like large white cotton
balls or cauliflower, but with flat bases. Lots
of blue sky in between, and no precipitation.
Diameter of individual clouds roughly equal
Apply to the height of their tops above ground.
A1. Given the following temperature and vapor
d. Thin streaks that look like horse tails, with lots
pressure for an air parcel. (i) How much moisture ∆e
of blue sky showing through, allowing bright
(kPa) must be added to bring the original air parcel
sun to shine through it with crisp shadows
to saturation? (ii) How much cooling ∆T (°C) must
cast on the ground behind trees and people.
be done to bring the original parcel to saturation?
e. Thick layer of grey cloud with well poorly-de-
Original [T (°C) , e (kPa) ] =
fined cloud base relatively close to the ground,
a. 20, 0.2 b. 20, 0.4 c. 20, 0.6 d. 20, 0.8 e. 20, 1.0
and widespread drizzle or light rain or snow.
f. 20, 1.5 g. 20, 2.0 h. 20, 2.2 i. 10, 0.2 j. 10, 0.4
No direct sunlight shining through, and no
k. 10, 0.6 l. 10, 0.8 m. 10, 1.0 n. 30, 1.0 o. 30, 3.0
shadows cast on the ground. Gloomy.
f. Isolated clouds that look like small, white cot-
A2. On a winter day, suppose your breath has T =
ton balls or popcorn (but with flat bases), with
30°C with Td = 28°C, and it mixes with the ambient
lots of blue sky in between. Size of individual
air of temperature T = –10°C and Td = –11°C. Will
clouds roughly equal to their height above
you see your breath? Assume you are at sea level,
ground.
and that your breath and the environment mix in
g. Thin uniform veil covering most of sky show-
proportions of (breath : environment):
ing some blue sky through it, with possibly
a. 1:9 b. 2:8 c. 3:7 d. 4:6 e. 5:5
a halo around a bright sun, allowing crisp
f. 6:4 g. 7:3 h. 8:2 i. 9:1
180 chapter 6 • Clouds
shadows cast on the ground behind trees and is its virtual temperature, and how would it compare
people. to the virtual temperature with no liquid water?
h. Layer of grey cloud close to the ground, but [T(°C), rL(g kg–1)] = a. 20, 1 b. 20, 2 c. 20, 5
lumpy with some darker grey clouds dis- d. 20, 10 e. 10, 1 f. 10, 3 g. 10, 7 h. 10, 12
persed among thinner light grey or small i. 0, 2 j. 0, 4 k. 0, 8 l. 0, 15 m. 5, 1
clear patches in a patchwork or chessboard n. 5, 2 o. 5, 4 p. 5, 6 q. 5, 8 r. 5, 10
pattern. Not usually precipitating.
i. Thin veil of clouds broken into very small A7. On a large thermo diagram from the end of the
lumps, with blue sky showing through, allow- Atmospheric Stability chapter, plot a hypothetical
ing bright sun to shine through it with crisp sounding of temperature and dew-point that would
shadows cast on the ground behind trees and be possible for the following clouds.
people. a. cirrus b. cirrostratus c. cirrocumulus
j. Sheet of cloud covering large areas, but bro- d. altostratus e. altocumulus f. stratus
ken into flat lumps, with sun or moon faintly g. nimbostratus h. fog
showing through the cloudy parts but with
small patches of blue sky in between the A8. Name these special clouds.
lumps, casting diffuse shadows behind build- a. Parallel bands of clouds perpendicular to the
ings and people. shear vector, at the level of altocumulus.
k. Deep towers of cloud with bright white sides b. Parallel bands of cumulus clouds parallel to
and top during daytime, but grey when the wind vector in the boundary layer.
viewed from the bottom. Clouds shaped like c. Two, long, closely-spaced parallel cloud lines
stacks of ice-cream balls or turrets of cotton at high altitude.
balls with tops extending high in the sky, but d. Clouds that look like flags or pennants at-
with flat bases relatively close to the ground. tached to and downwind of mountain peaks.
Usually no precipitation. e. Look like altocumulus, but with more verti-
l. Thick layer of grey cloud with well defined cal development that causes them to look like
cloud base relatively close to the ground. No castles.
direct sunlight shining through, and no shad- f. Clouds that look like breaking waves.
ows cast on the ground. No precipitation. g. Look like cumulus or cumulus mediocris, but
relatively tall and small diameter causing
A5. Use a thermo diagram to plot the following en- them to look like castles.
vironmental sounding: h. Clouds that look lens shaped when viewed
P (kPa) T (°C) from the side, and which remain relatively
20 –15 stationary in spite of a non-zero wind.
25 –25 i. A low ragged cloud that is relatively stationary
35 –25 and rotating about a horizontal axis.
40 –15 j. Ragged low scattered clouds that are blowing
45 –20 rapidly downwind.
55 –15 k. Low clouds that look like cotton balls, but
70 0 forming above industrial cooling towers or
80 9 smoke stacks.
85 6 l. A curved thin cloud at the top of a mountain.
95 15 m. A curved thin cloud at the top of a rapidly ris-
Determine cloud activity (active, passive, fog, none), ing cumulus congestus.
cloud-base height, and cloud-top height, for the con-
ditions of near-surface (P = 100 kPa) air parcels given A9. Discuss the difference between cloud genera,
below: [T (°C) , Td (°C)] = species, varieties, supplementary features, accessory
a. 20, 14 b. 20, 7 c. 20, 17 d. 20, 19 clouds, mother clouds, and meteors.
e. 15, 15 f. 30, 0 g. 30, 10 h. 30, 24
i. 25, 24 j. 25, 20 k. 25, 16 l. 25, 12 A10. Given the cloud genera abbreviations below,
m. 25, 10 n. 25, 6 o. 15, 10 p. 22, 22 write out the full name of the genus, and give the
WMO and USA weather-map symbols.
A6. The buoyancy of a cloudy air parcel depends on a. Cb b. Cc c. Ci d. Cs e. Cu
its virtual temperature compared to that of its envi- f. Sc g. Ac h. St i. As j. Ns
ronment. Given a saturated air parcel of temperature
and liquid-water mixing ratio as listed below. What
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 181
A11. For the day and time specified by your instruc- cause radiation fog?
tor, fully classify the clouds that you observe in the Given the following initial state of the air
sky. Include all of the WMO-allowed classification [T (°C) , RH (%) ] =
categories: genera, specie, variety, feature, accessory a. 10, 20 b. 10, 40 c. 10, 60 d. 10, 80 e. 10, 90
cloud, and mother cloud. Justify your classification, f. 20, 20 g. 20, 40 h. 20, 60 i. 20, 80 j. 20, 90
and include photos or sketches if possible. k. 0, 20 l. 0, 40 m. 0, 60 n. 0, 80 o. 0, 90
[HINT: When you take cloud photos, it is often use-
ful to include some ground, buildings, mountains, A17(§). In spring, humid tropical air of initial tem-
or trees in the photo, to help others judge the scale perature and dew point as given below flows over
of the cloud when they look at your picture. Try to colder land of surface temperature 2 °C. At what
avoid pictures looking straight up. To enhance the downwind distance will advection fog form? Also
cloud image, set the exposure based on the cloud plot the air temperature vs. distance. Assume zi =
brightness, not on the overall scene brightness. Also, 200 m, and CH = 0.005 .
to make the cloud stand out against a blue-sky back- The initial state of the air is [T (°C), Td (°C)] =
ground, use a polarizing filter and aim the camera a. 20, 15 b. 20, 10 c. 20, 5 d. 20, 0 e. 20, –5
at right angles to the sunbeams. Telephoto lenses f. 20, –10 g. 20, –15 h. 10, 8 i. 10, 5 j. 10, 2
are extremely helpful to photograph distant clouds, k. 10, 0 l. 10, –2 m. 10, –5 n. 10, –8 o. 10, –10
and wide-angle lenses help with widespread nearby
clouds. Many cloud photographers use zoom lens- A18(§). Given FH = –0.02 K·m·s–1 . (i) When will ra-
es that span a range from wide angle to telephoto. diation fog form? (ii) Also, plot fog depth vs. time.
Also, always set the camera to focus on infinity, and Given residual-layer initial conditions of
never use a flash.] [T (°C) , Td (°C) , M (m s–1)] =
a. 15, 13, 1 b. 15, 13, 2 c. 15, 13, 3 d. 15, 13, 4
A12. Draw the cloud coverage symbol for weather e. 15, 10, 1 f. 15, 10, 2 g. 15, 10, 3 h. 15, 10, 4
maps, and write the METAR abbreviation, for sky i. 15, 8, 1 j. 15, 8, 2 k. 15, 8, 3 l. 15, 8, 4
cover of the following amount (oktas). m. 15, 5, 1 n. 15, 5, 2 o. 15, 5, 3 p. 15, 5, 4
a. 0 b. 1 c. 2 d. 3 e. 4
f. 5 g. 6 h. 7 i. 8 j. obscured A19(§). (i) When will a well-mixed fog dissipate?
Assume: albedo is 0.5, fog forms 6 h after sunset,
A13.(§). Use a spreadsheet to find and plot the frac- and daylight duration is 12 h. (ii) Also, plot the cu-
tion of clouds vs. size. Use ∆X = 100 m, with X in mulative heat vs. time.
the range 0 to 5000 m. Given the following values of surface kinematic
(i) For fixed Sx = 0.5, plot curves for LX (m) = heat flux: [ FH.night (K·m s–1) , FH.max day (K·m s–1) ] =
a. 200 b. 300 c. 400 d. 500 e. 700 f. 1000 g. 2000 a. –0.02, 0.15 b. –0.02, 0.13 c. –0.02, 0.11
(ii) For fixed LX = 1000 m, plot curves for SX = d. –0.02, 0.09 e. –0.02, 0.07 f. –0.02, 0.17
h. 0.1 i. 0.2 j. 0.3 k. 0.4 l. 0.5 m. 0.6 n. 0.8 g. –0.015, 0.15 h. –0.015, 0.13 i. –0.015, 0.11
j. –0.015, 0.09 k. –0.015, 0.07 l. –0.015, 0.17
A14. In Fig. 6.12, divide each tile into 4 equal quad-
rants, and count N vs. M for these new smaller tiles
to add data points to the solved-example figure for Evaluate & Analyze
measuring fractal dimension. Do these finer-resolu- E1. What processes in the atmosphere might simul-
tion tiles converge to a different answer? Do this taneously cool and moisturize unsaturated air, caus-
box-counting for Fig. 6.12 part: ing it to become saturated?
a. (a) b. (b) c. (c) d. (d)
E2. Cumulus humilis clouds often have flat bases
A15. Use the box counting method to determine the at approximately a common altitude over any loca-
fractal dimensions in Fig. 6.11b. Use M = tion at any one time. Cumulus fractus clouds do not
a. 4 b. 5 c. 6 d. 7 e. 8 f. 9 have flat bases, and the cloud-base altitudes vary
g. 10 h. 12 i. 14 j. 16 k. 18 l. 20 widely over any location at one time. What causes
this difference? Explain.
A16. For air starting at sea level:
(i) How high (km) must it be lifted to form E3. Can you use darkness of the cloud base to esti-
upslope fog? mate the thickness of a cloud? If so, what are some
(ii) How much water (gliq kgair–1) must be of the errors that might affect such an approach? If
added to cause precipitation fog? not, why not?
(iii) How much cooling (°C) is necessary to
182 chapter 6 • Clouds
E4. Fig. 6.4 shows that the LCL computed from cloud distribution, referring to these parameter
surface air conditions is a good estimate of cloud- cells.
base altitude for cumulus humilis clouds, but not b. Next, change the values of each of these pa-
for cloud-base altitude of altocumulus castellanus. rameters to see how the shape of the curve changes.
Why? Can you explain why LX is called the location pa-
rameter, and SX is called the spread parameter? Is
E5. What methods could you use to estimate the al- this consistent with an analytical interpretation of
titudes of stratiform clouds by eye? What are the the factors in eq. (6.6)? Explain.
pitfalls in those methods? This is a common prob-
lem for weather observers. E14. The box-counting method can also be used
for the number of points on a straight line, such as
E6. Should stratocumulus clouds be categorized as sketched in Fig. 6.11c. In this case, a “box” is really
cumuliform or stratiform? Why? a fixed-length line segment, such as increments on a
ruler or meter stick.
E7. List all the clouds that are associated with tur- a. Using the straight line and dots plotted in Fig.
bulence (namely, would cause a bumpy ride if an 6.11c, use a centimeter rule to count the number of
airplane flew through the cloud). non-overlapping successive 1 cm segments that con-
tain dots. Repeat for half cm increments. Repeat
E8. What do pileus clouds and lenticular clouds with ever smaller increments. Then plot the results
have and common, and what are some differences? as in the fractal-dimension Sample Application, and
calculate the average fractal dimension. Use the
E9. Cloud streets, bands of lenticular clouds, and zero-set characteristics to find the fractal dimension
Kelvin-Helmholtz billows all consist of parallel rows of the original wiggly line.
of clouds. Describe the differences between these b. In Fig. 6.11c, draw a different, nearly vertical,
clouds, and methods that you can use to discrimi- straight line, mark the dots where this line crosses
nate between them. the underlying wiggly line, and then repeat the dot-
counting procedure as described in part (a). Repeat
E10. The discrete cloud morphology and altitude this for a number of different straight lines, and
classes of the official cloud classification are just then average the resulting fractal dimensions to get
points along a continuum of cloud shapes and al- a more statistically-robust estimate.
titudes. If you observe a cloud that looks halfway
between two official cloud shapes, or which has an E15. a. Crumple a sheet of paper into a ball, and care-
altitude between the typical altitudes for high, mid- fully slice it in half. This is easier said than done. (A
dle, or low, clouds, then what other info can you use head of cabbage or lettuce could be used instead.)
as a weather observer to help classify the cloud? Place ink on the cut end using an ink pad, or by dip-
ping the paper wad or cabbage into a pan with a thin
E11 (full term project). Build your own cloud chart layer of red juice or diluted food coloring in the bot-
with your own cloud photos taken with a digital tom. Then make a print of the result onto a flat piece
camera. Keep an eye on the sky so you can try to of paper, to create a pattern such as shown in Fig.
capture as many different cloud types as possible. 6.11b. Use the box counting method to find the frac-
Use only the best one example of each cloud type tal dimension of the wiggly line that was printed.
corresponding to the clouds in Figs. 6.3 and 6.5. Using the zero-set characteristic, estimate the fractal
Some clouds might not occur during your school dimension of the crumpled paper or vegetable.
term project, so it is OK to have missing photos for b. Repeat the experiment, using crumpled paper
some of the cloud types. wads that are more tightly packed, or more loosely
packed. Compare their fractal dimensions.
E12. List all of the factors that might make it dif- (P.S. Don’t throw the crumpled wads at the instruc-
ficult to see and identify all the clouds that exist tor. Instructors tend to get annoyed easily.)
above your outdoor viewing location. Is there any-
thing that you can do to improve the success of your E16. Can precipitation fog form when cold raindrops
cloud identification? fall through warmer air? Explain.
E13(§). a. On a spreadsheet, enter the cloud-size pa- E17. A fog often forms near large waterfalls. What
rameters (SX, LX, ∆X) from the Sample Application type of fog is it usually, and how does it form?
into separate cells. Create a graph of the lognormal
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 183
E18. In this chapter we listed some locations and sea- • Mars: water
sons where advection fog is likely. Describe 3 other • Jupiter: ammonia, sulfur, water
situations (locations and seasons) when advection • Saturn: ammonia, ammonia hydrosulfide, water
fog would be likely. (If possible, use locations close • Uranus & Neptune: methane.
to home.) Would the clouds on these other planets have shapes
different than the clouds on Earth? If so, then devel-
E19. Derive eq. (6.10), based on the exponential tem- op a cloud classification for them, and explain why.
perature profile for a stable boundary layer (see the If not, why not?
Atmospheric Boundary Layer chapter). State and
justify all assumptions. [This requires calculus.] S5. Utilize the information in (a) and (b) below to
Be critical of any simplifications that might not be explain why cloud sizes might have a lognormal
appropriate for real fogs. distribution.
a. The central-limit theorem of statistics states
E20. Derive eq. (6.11) from (6.10), and justify all as- that if you repeat an experiment of adding N random
sumptions. Be critical of any simplifications that numbers (using different random numbers each time),
might not be appropriate for real fogs. then there will be more values of the sum in the mid-
dle of the range than at the extremes. That is, there
E21. Derive eq. (6.12) using info from the Atmo- is a greater probability of getting a middle value for
spheric Boundary Layer chapter, and justify all as- the sum than of getting a small or large value. This
sumptions. Be critical of any simplifications that probability distribution has the shape of a Gauss-
might not be appropriate for real fogs. ian curve (i.e., a bell curve or a “normal” distri-
bution; see the Air Pollution chapter for examples).
E22. Use the data in the Sample Application for fog For anyone who has rolled dice, this is well
dissipation, but find the critical albedo at which fog known. Namely, if you roll one die (consider it to be
will just barely dissipate. a random number generator with a uniform dis-
tribution) you will have an equal chance of getting
E23. During possible frost events, some orchard any of the numbers on the die (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6).
and vineyard owners try to protect their fruit from However, if you roll two dice and sum the num-
freezing by spraying a mist of water droplets or bers from each die, you have a much greater chance
burning smudge pots to make smoke in and above of getting a sum of 7 than of any other sum (which is
their plants. Why does this method work, and what exactly half way between the smallest possible sum
are its limitations? of 2, and the largest possible sum of 12). You have
slightly less chance of rolling a sum of 6 or 8. Even
less chance of rolling a sum of 5 or 9, etc.
Synthesize The reason is that 7 has the most ways (6 ways) of
S1. What if the saturation curve in Fig. 6.1 was con-
being created from the two dice (1+6, 2+5, 3+4, 4+3,
cave down instead of concave up, but that saturation
5+2, 6+1). The sums of 6 and 8 have only 5 ways of
vapor pressure still increased with increasing tem-
being generated. Namely, 1+5, 2+4, 3+3, 4+2, and 5+1
perature. Describe how the cooling, moisturizing,
all sum to 6, while 2+6, 3+5, 4+4, 5+3, 6+2 all sum to
and mixing to reach saturation would be different.
8. The other sums are even less likely.
b. The logarithm of a product of numbers equals
S2. Suppose that descending (not ascending) air
the sum of the logarithms of those numbers.
cools adiabatically. How would cloud shapes be dif-
ferent, if at all? Justify.
S6. Build an instrument to measure relative sizes of
cumulus clouds as follows. On a small piece of clear
S3. Cloud classification is based on morphology;
plastic, draw a fine-mesh square grid like graph pa-
namely, how the cloud looks. A different way to clas-
per. Or take existing fine-mesh graph paper and
sify clouds is by the processes that make the clouds.
make a transparency of it using a copy machine.
Devise a new scheme to classify clouds based on
Cut the result to a size to fit on the end of a short
cloud processes; name this scheme after yourself;
tube, such as a toilet-paper tube.
and make a table showing which traditional cloud
Hold the open end of the tube to your eye, and
names fall into each category of your new scheme,
look through the tube toward cumulus clouds.
and justify.
[CAUTION: Do NOT look toward the sun.] Do this
over relatively flat, level ground, perhaps from the
S4. Clouds in the atmospheres of other planets in
roof of a building or from a window just at tree-top
our solar system have various compositions:
• Venus: sulfuric acid
184 chapter 6 • Clouds
level. Pick clouds of medium range, such that the S8. For advection fog, eq. (6.8) is based on a well-
whole cloud is visible through the tube. mixed fog layer. However, it is more likely that
For each cloud, record the relative diameter (i.e., advection fog would initially have a temperature
the number of grid lines spanned horizontally by profile similar to that for a stable boundary layer
the cloud), and the relative height of each cloud base (Atmospheric Boundary Layer chapter). Derive a
above the horizon (also in terms of number of grid substitute equation in place of eq. (6.8) that includes
lines). Then, for each cloud, divide the diameter by this better representation of the temperature profile.
the cloud-base height to give a normalized diameter. Assume for simplicity that the wind speed is con-
This corrects for perspective, assuming that cumu- stant with height, and state any other assumptions
lus cloud bases are all at the same height. you must make to get an answer. Remember that
Do this for a relatively large number of clouds any reasonable answer is better than no answer, so
that you can see during a relatively short time inter- be creative.
val (such as half an hour), and then count the clouds
in each bin of normalized cloud diameter. S9. Suppose that fog was transparent to infrared
a. Plot the result, and compare it with the lognor- (longwave) radiation. Describe how radiation fog
mal distribution of Fig. 6.10. formation, growth, and dissipation would be differ-
b. Find the LX and SX parameters of the log- ent (if at all) from real radiation fogs?
normal distribution that best fit your data. (Hint:
Use trial and error on a spreadsheet that has both S10. Suppose that clouds were transparent to solar
your measured size distribution and the theoretical radiation, and couldn’t shade the ground. Describe
distribution on the same graph. Otherwise, if you and explain the possible differences in cloud mor-
know statistics, you can use a method such a Maxi- phology, coverage, duration, and their effects on
mum Likelihood to find the best-fit parameters.) weather and climate, if any.
S7. Suppose that you extend Euclidian space to 4 S11. Find a current weather map (showing only
dimensions, to include time as well as the 3 space fronts and winds) for your continent. Use your
dimensions. Speculate and describe the physical na- knowledge to circle regions on the map where you
ture of something that has fractal dimension of 3.4 . expect to find different types of fog and different
types of clouds, and label the fog and cloud types.
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull. Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmospheric Science.
7 Precipitation Processes
Apply 211
Evaluate & Analyze 214 ESJ[[MF 3N
Synthesize 217 TNBMMSBJO 3N
UZQJDBMSBJO 3N
“Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey
of Atmospheric Science” by Roland Stull is licensed
MBSHFSBJO 3N
under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCom-
mercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. View this license at
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ . This work is Figure 7.1
available at http://www.eos.ubc.ca/books/Practical_Meteorology/ .
Drop volumes and radii, R.
185
186 chapter 7 • Precipitation Processes
S HLH
1IZTJDBM
S HLH
4JUVBUJPO
Supersaturation and Water
BE N
JB PJT
Availability
CB U
1 U S&
L1B
ST 9 S5
Supersaturation
When there is more water vapor in the air than it
can hold at equilibrium, the air is said to be super-
saturated. Supersaturated air has relative humid-
-$-
ES
ity RH greater than 100%. Define this excess relative
BJS
JTPIV
U
S = RH – 1 •(7.1)
9
m m or as a supersaturation percentage S%:
5 $
S&
rs rs
1
M
5ZQJDB
As hydrometeors grow and remove water vapor, r L1B
becomes less than rT, and S becomes less than SA. S&
Droplets and ice crystals stop growing by condensa- UJD
JB CB
tion and deposition when they have consumed all "E
the available supersaturation (i.e., when r → rs and
S → 0). BJS
The adiabatic estimate of rE increases with QBSDFM
SJTF
height above the LCL, as sketched in Figs. 7.2 and
7.3. However, in many real clouds, diabatic (i.e.,
non-adiabatic) processes such as entrainment and
mixing of clear drier air into the top and sides of
the cloud cause the total-water mixing ratio to not be S& HLH
B
)PNPHFOFPVTOVDMFBUJPO
XBUFSWBQPS Nucleation of Liquid Droplets
NPMFDVMF
Nucleation (the creation of new droplets) in
JODJQJFOU clean air is called homogeneous nucleation (Fig.
ESPQMFU 7.4a). We will show that homogeneous nucleation is
virtually impossible in the real atmosphere and can
be neglected. Nucleation of cloud droplets by water
vapor condensing on tiny dust particles in the air is
called heterogeneous nucleation (Fig. 7.4b). Even
N
with heterogeneous nucleation, there is a barrier to
droplet formation that must first be overcome.
por molecules merge (Fig. 7.4a). The resulting drop- Figure 7.6
let has extremely small radius (≈0.001 µm), causing it Curvature effect, showing the relative humidity (RH) needed
in air for a droplet of radius R to grow. The curve is given by
to evaporate quickly, given the typical humidities in
Kelvin’s equation, for pure water at 0°C. Shaded region high-
clouds of ≈101% (grey shaded band in Fig. 7.6). How-
lights the range of RH typically found in clouds.
190 chapter 7 • Precipitation Processes
Table 7-1. Properties of some solutes. Ms is molecular ever, for heterogeneous nucleation the small number
weight, i is approximate ion count. of water molecules can coat the outside of the aero-
sol particle (Fig. 7.4b), with a resulting radius that is
Solute Chemistry Ms i
relatively large. Droplets formed by heterogeneous
salt NaCl 58.44 2 nucleation grow and remove water-vapor molecules
ammonium sulfate (NH4)2SO4 132.13 3 from the air, thereby lowering the RH and eliminat-
hydrogen peroxide H2O2 34.01 2 ing the chance for homogeneous nucleation.
sulfuric acid H2SO4 98.07 3
Solute Effect
nitric acid HNO3 63.01 2
Solutions (i.e., water containing dissolved
chemicals) evaporate water molecules at a slower
rate than does pure water. Solutions occur when
condensation occurs on impurities such as certain
Sample Application cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) that dissolve in the
Find the equilibrium relative humidity over a nascent water droplet. This can partially compen-
droplet of radius 0.2 µm, temperature 20°C, containing
sate the curvature effect.
10 –16 g of ammonium sulfate.
Recall that the saturation vapor pressure es over
a flat surface of pure water was given in the Water
Find the Answer
Given: R = 0.2 µm, T = 293 K, ms = 10 –16 g Vapor chapter by the Clausius-Clapeyron equation.
Find: RH% = 100%·(es*/es) = ? % The two opposing effects of curvature and solute
can be combined into one equation (Köhler equa-
From Table 7-1 for ammonium sulfate: tion) for the ratio of actual saturation vapor pres-
Ms = 132.13, and i = 3. sure es* in equilibrium over a solution with a curved
Use eq. (7.11): surface, to vapor pressure over a flat surface of pure
0.3338K · µm water es:
exp c
es* (293K )·(0.2µm) * exp 1
≈ e T ·R •(7.11)
es ( 4.3 × 1012 µm 3 · g −1 )· 3 ·(10 −16 g) RH = s ≈
1+ c
es 1 + 2 · i · ms
(132.13)·(0.2µm)3
Ms · R 3
= 1.00571 / (1+0.00122) = 1.00448
RH% = 100%·(es*/es) = 100.448% where RH is the relative humidity fraction, T is ab-
solute temperature, R is drop radius, i is number of
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. ions per molecule in solution (called the van’t Hoff
Exposition: Fig. 7.7b gives a value of about 100.49% factor), ms is mass of solute in the droplet, and Ms is
for a temperature of 0°C. Thus, warmer temperatures molecular weight of solute. The two parameters are:
require less supersaturation of water vapor in the air c1 = 0.3338 K·µm, and c2 = 4.3x1012 µm3·g–1. Table 7-1
to prevent the droplet from vaporizing. gives properties for common atmospheric solutes.
In eq. (7.11) the relative humidity RH can be
greater than 1, corresponding to a relative-humidity
percentage (RH% = 100%·es*/es) that is greater than
100%. Similar to eq. (7.3), supersaturation relative
Sample Application
to the hydrometeor can be defined as a fraction:
In fog at 10°C, the vapor pressure is 1.4 kPa. Find
the supersaturation fraction and percentage.
S = (es*/es) – 1 •(7.12)
Find the Answer
Given: T = 10°C , es* = 1.4 kPa or as a percentage, S% = 100% · S :
Find: S = ? , and S% = ?
S% = 100%·[(es*/es) – 1] •(7.13)
First, use Table 4-1 in the Water Vapor chapter to find
the saturation vapor pressure at 10°C: es = 1.233 kPa. Thus, the left hand side of eq. (7.11) can be easily re-
Next, use eq. (7.12): written as supersaturation.
S = (1.4 kPa / 1.233 kPa) – 1 = 1.135 – 1 = 0.135 The numerator of eq. (7.11) describes the curva-
S% = 100% · S = 13.5%
ture effect, and together with the left hand side is
the Kelvin equation. The denominator describes
Check: es* is indeed > es, thus supersaturated.
the solute effect of impurities in the water. Eq. (7.11)
Exposition: Unrealistically large, given typical su-
was solved in a spreadsheet to produce the Köhler
persaturations in clouds and fog of order S%=1%.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 191
IZESPQFSPYJEF
TVMGVSJDBDJE
OJUSJDBDJE $ 3)G
SP N
QVSFXBUFS # ES 3)PGBJS
PQ
3)
MFU
%
"
3 N
Figure 7.7a
Köhler curves, showing equilibrium relative humidities over
droplets of different radius with various solutes. T = 0°C. Sol-
ute mass = 10 –16 g.
3 N
IQ m
co-exist in an environment with neighboring solu-
m tion droplets, because of the low supersaturation
BT remaining in the air after much of the vapor has
TBMU IQ BT condensed out onto the solution droplets. That is
TBMU
another reason why homogeneous nucleation can be
neglected for practical purposes.
Fourth, although not shown in these curves, the
3 N
equations allow droplets to form at lesser supersat-
urations if the mass of dissolved solute is greater.
Hence, larger CCN can grow into droplets earlier
Figure 7.8 and can grow faster than smaller CCN.
Critical values of supersaturation S* vs. critical drop radius R*,
for various solute masses and chemicals. a.s. = ammonium sul-
fide, salt = sodium chloride, h.p. = hydrogen peroxide. Nitric Critical Radius
acid and sulfuric acid are near the salt data points. The location of the peak of the Köhler curves
marks the barrier between the larger, activated
droplets that can continue to grow, from the smaller
haze droplets that reach an equilibrium at small
size. The drop radius R* at this peak is called the
critical radius, and the corresponding critical
supersaturation fraction is S* = es*/es – 1. They are
Sample Application given by:
Find the critical radius and supersaturation value
for 10 –15 g of ammonium sulfate at 0°C. c3 · i · ms · T
R* = •(7.14)
Ms
Find the Answer
Given: ms = 10 –15 g, T = 273 K and
Find: R* = ? µm, S%* = ? %.
c 4 · Ms
S* = •(7.15)
Use eq. (7.14) & Table 7-1. R* = i · ms · T 3
(3.8681 × 1013 K −1 · g −1µm2 )· 3 ·(10 −15 g )·(273 K ) where c3 = 3.8681x1013 µm2·K–1·g–1, and
132.13 c4 = 1.278x10 –15 K3·g. For critical supersaturation as
R* = 0.49 µm a percentage, use S%* = 100%·S*.
Critical conditions are plotted in Fig. 7.8 for vari-
Use eq. (7.15) & Table 7-1. S* = ous masses of different chemicals. Obviously S* is
inversely related to R*, so as solute mass increases,
(1.278 × 10 −15 K 3 ·g)· 132.13 smaller supersaturations are necessary to reach the
S* = = 0.00166 critical point, and at that point the droplets will be
3 ·(10 −15 g)·(273K )3
larger. Also, notice that different chemicals will
grow to different sizes, which is one factor causing a
S%* = 0.166%
range of drop sizes in the cloud.
Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
Exposition: Agrees with the point (white square) Haze
plotted in Fig. 7.8 for “a.s.”. Thus, the larger mass nu- For conditions left of the peak on any Köhler
cleus needs less supersaturation to become activated. curve (i.e., R < R*), CCN rapidly grow into small
For a parcel of rising air with increasing droplets that stop growing at an equilibrium size
supersaturation, the larger nuclei will become acti- determined by the humidity, temperature, and sol-
vated first, followed by the smaller nuclei if the parcel
ute (see previous INFO box). These small droplets
keeps cooling and if the excess vapor is not removed
by the larger nuclei first.
are called haze droplets. Thus, tiny droplets can ex-
ist even at relative humidities below 100%.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 193
Activated Nuclei 3 · c2 T · i · ms
R2 ≅ ·
For conditions to the right of the peak on any c1 Ms
Köhler curve (i.e., R > R*), CCN are activated and
can continue growing. There is no equilibrium that Define c3 = 3·c2 /c1, set R = R*, and take the square root
of both sides to get the final answer:
would stop their growth, assuming sufficient water
vapor is present. These droplets can become larger c3 · i · ms · T (7.14)
than haze droplets, and are called cloud droplets. R* ≅
Ms
Because atmospheric particles consist of a va-
riety of chemicals with a range of masses, we an-
ticipate from the Köhler curves that different CCN
will become activated at different amounts of
194 chapter 7 • Precipitation Processes
Find the Answer but varies widely. In maritime air, c ≈ 1x108 m–3 and
Given: S = 0.005 k ≈ 0.7. In continental air c ≈ 6x108 m–3 and k ≈ 0.5.
Find: nCCN = ? particles m–3, The number of activated nuclei is in the range of 108
Vol = ? mm3, x = ? mm. to 109 m–3, which is usually just a small fraction of
the total number of particles in the air.
(a) Use eq. (7.16): The distance x between cloud droplets is on the
nCCN = (6x108 m–3)·(0.5)0.5 = 4.24x10 8 m–3
order of 1 mm, and is given by
(b) Also:
Vol = 1/nCCN = 2.36 mm3 droplet–1
(c) Using eq. (7.17): x = Vol1/3 = 1.33 mm. x = nCCN–1/3 (7.17)
TVQFS
Heterogeneous freezing nucleation can oc-
DPPMFE cur a variety of ways (Fig. 7.9b-d), but all require an
N TVQFSDPPMFE JDF
DMPVEESPQMFU
DMPVEESPQMFU impurity (Table 7-2), which is generically called an
OVDMFVT
ice nucleus. These processes are described next.
Deposition nucleation (Fig. 7.9b) occurs when
Figure 7.9 water vapor deposits directly on a deposition nu-
Sketch of (a) homogeneous, and (b-d) heterogeneous ice nucle- cleus. While the solute effect was important for liq-
ation processes.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 195
uid droplet nucleation, it does not apply to ice nucle- Table 7-2. Listed are the warmest ice nucleation thresh-
ation because salts are excluded from the ice-crystal old temperatures (°C) for substances that act as ice nu-
lattice as water freezes. Thus, the size and crystal clei. Processes are: 1 contact freezing, 2 condensation
structure of the ice nucleus is more important. De- freezing, 3 deposition, and 4 immersion freezing.
position is unlikely on particles of size 0.1 µm or less. (x = not a process for this substance.)
Colder temperatures and greater supersaturation in- Substance Process
creases deposition nucleation.
1 2 3 4
Immersion freezing (Fig. 7.9c) occurs for those
liquid drops already containing an undissolved ice silver iodide –3 –4 –8 –13
nucleus called a freezing nucleus. Each nucleus cupric sulfide –6 x –13 –16
has a critical temperature below 0°C at which it trig- lead iodide –6 –7 –15 x
gers freezing. Thus, as external processes cause cadmium iodide –12 x –21 x
such a contaminated drop to cool, it can eventually
metaldehyde –3 –2 –10 x
reach the critical temperature and freeze.
Larger drops contain more freezing nuclei, and 1,5-dihydroxynaphlene –6 –6 –12 x
have a greater chance of containing a nucleus that phloroglucinol x –5 –9 x
triggers freezing at warmer temperatures (although kaolinite –5 –10 –19 –32
still below 0°C). To freeze half of the drops of radius
R, the temperature must drop to T, given statistically
by
T ≈ T1 + T2 · ln(R/Ro) (7.18) Sample Application
What cloud temperature is needed to immersion-
where Ro = 5 µm, T1 = 235 K, and T2 = 3 K. freeze half of the droplets of 100 µm radius?
Condensation freezing is a cross between de-
position nucleation and immersion freezing. In this Find the Answer
scenario, which occurs below 0°C, nuclei are more Given: R = 100 µm. Find: T=?K
attractive as condensation nuclei than as deposi- Use eq. (7.18)
T = 235K + (3K)·ln(100µm/5µm) = 244K = –29°C
tion nuclei. Thus, supercooled liquid water starts to
condense around the nucleus. However, this liquid
Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
water immediately freezes due to the immersion-
Exposition: Smaller droplets can remain unfrozen at
nucleation properties of the nucleus.
much colder temperatures than larger drops, which
Contact freezing (Fig. 7.9d) occurs when an are thus available to participate in the WBF precipita-
uncontaminated supercooled liquid drop happens tion growth process described later.
to hit an external contact nucleus. If the droplet
is cooler than the critical temperature of the ice nu-
cleus, then it will freeze almost instantly. This also
happens when (supercooled) freezing rain hits
and instantly freezes on trees and power lines. Ice
O
crystals in the air are also good contact nuclei for JDF
N
supercooled water.
Ice Nuclei
4JDF
Only substances with similar molecular struc-
∆x
where r is water-vapor mixing ratio, and kinemat-
ic flux F has units of mixing ratio times velocity
[(kg water kgair–1)·(m s–1)]. Larger gradients cause
larger fluxes, which cause droplets to grow faster.
The mixing ratio gradient is ∆r/∆x . This is re-
lated to the supersaturation gradient ∆S/∆x by:
Y N
7BQPS
EFOESJUF
4PMJE
7BQPS%FOTJUZ&YDFTT HN
1
TFDUPSQMBUF
L1B
OFFEMF
TIFBUI
XI Ic Ih TIFBUI
QMBUF
UIJO
-JRVJE QMBUF
IPMMPX
III IPMMPXDPMVNO UIJDLQMBUF
IX II DPMVNO
V
VI
VIII
VII DPMVNO WFSZUIJDLQMBUF DPMVNO
X
m m m m m m
m m 5FNQFSBUVSF $
5 $
(a) Use eq. (7.26). The factor in parenthesis is where c2 = 5.09 (dimensionless). For 1-D growth
(ρv 3/ρi)1/2 = [(1.68x10 –3 kg m–3)3/(916.8 kg m–3)]1/2 of needles and sheaths of constant diameter, the
= 2.27x10 –6 kg m–3 growth equation is
and the term in square brackets of eq. (7.26) is
[ ] = [(1.5x10 –5 m2 s–1)·(0.157)·(3600s)]3/2
(7.28)
[ ] = (8.478x10 –3 m2)3/2 = 7.8x10 –4 m3 m ∝ exp (D · S · t)1/2
Figure 7.14
Relative growth rates of crystals of different habits.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 201
a lower saturation vapor pressure than liquid water
at the same temperature. Fig. 7.15 shows an enlarge-
JE
ment of the saturation vapor-pressure curves for liq- MJRV
JDF
uid water and ice.
m m m m m
Suppose that initially (time 1, on the time line 5 $
4VQFSTBUVSBUFE
grow as the excess water vapor diffuses toward the F
UJN
droplets. As the air parcel rises and cools within
the cloud, some ice nuclei might become activated at
time 2, causing ice crystals to form and grow. The
excess water vapor now deposits on both the liquid
and solid hydrometeors.
Both the ice crystals and liquid droplets continue
to grow, because both are in a supersaturated envi- FT
ronment (time 3). However, the ice crystal grows a L1B
bit faster because it is further from its ice saturation
E
line (i.e., more supersaturated) than the liquid drop- VJ
MJR
let is from liquid saturation line.
As both hydrometeors grow, water vapor is re-
moved from the air, reducing the supersaturation.
Eventually, near point 4 on the time line, so much JDF 6OTBUVSBUFE
vapor has been consumed that the relative humid-
ity has dropped below 100% with respect to liquid m m m
water. Hence, the liquid droplet begins to evaporate 5 $
into the unsaturated air. However, at point 4 the ice Figure 7.15
crystal continues to grow because the air is still su- Enlargement of part of the saturation curve from Fig. 4.2, il-
persaturated with respect to ice. lustrating the WBF (cold-cloud) ice-growth process in a rising,
The net result is that the ice crystals grow at the cooling air parcel. Shown are saturation vapor pressure (es) vs.
expense of the evaporating liquid droplets, until the temperature (T) over liquid water and ice. Spheres represent
cloud droplets, and hexagons represent ice crystals. Small grey
liquid droplets disappear (point 5). This is called the
arrows indicate movement of water vapor toward or away from
Wegener-Bergeron-Findeisen (WBF) process. the hydrometeors. Thick black arrow indicates time evolution.
The difference between ice and liquid satura-
tion vapor pressures is greatest in the range –8°C
to –16°C, as shown in Fig. 7.16 (from the insert in Fig.
4.2). This is the temperature range where we expect
the maximum effect from the WBF growth process,
FT<XBUFS>mFT<JDF> L1B
Cloud Droplets
For particles of radius R < 40 µm, which includes
Sample Application most cloud droplets and aerosols, Stokes Drag
What updraft wind is needed to keep a typical
cloud droplet (R = 10 µm) from falling?
Law gives the terminal velocity wT as
Rain Drops
Rain drops are sufficiently large and fall fast
enough that Stokes drag law is not appropriate. If TMPQF
F
raindrops were perfect spheres, then TMPQ
1/2
ρ
wT ≈ − k2 · o · R (7.30) ]X5]
ρair
NT
QF
TMP
where k2 = 220 m1/2·s–1, ρo = 1.225 kg·m–3 is air den-
sity at sea level, and ρair is air density at the drop
altitude. Again, the negative sign in the equation
means a downward velocity.
However, the larger raindrops become flattened
as they fall due to the drag (see polarimetric radar
section of the Satellites & Radar chapter). They do 3 N
Sample Application
Plot the terminal velocity of hailstones vs. equiva- Hailstones
lent diameter (0.01 to 0.1 m) at 5 km altitude. The terminal velocity wT of a hailstone relative to
the air is approximated by:
Find the Answer
Given: z = 5 km 1/2
g ρi
Find: wT (m s–1) vs. D (m), where D = 2·R . wT = − 8 R •(7.32)
3 CD ρair
Assume: std. atmosphere. Thus ρair = 0.7361 kg m–3
at z = 5 km, from Chapter 1. where |g| = 9.8 m s–2 is gravitational acceleration
Assume: CD = 0.55, and ρi = 900 kg m–3 , calm air. magnitude, CD ≈ 0.55 (dimensionless) is a drag co-
Use a spreadsheet to solve eq. (7.32).
efficient of the hailstone through air, ρi ≈ 900 kg
m–3 is the density of the hailstone, ρair is air density,
and R is hailstone radius. The negative sign means
the hailstone falls downward.
m85 NT
The drag coefficient varies between 0.4 and 0.8,
because hailstones have different shapes, surface
roughnesses, and tumblings. The hailstone ice
density can be less than the density of pure ice, be-
cause of varying amounts of imbedded air bubbles.
% N
Air density decreases with increasing altitude (see
Chapter 1); hailstones fall faster in thinner air. For
Check: Magnitudes agree with plot in the Thunder- non-spherical hailstones, R is taken as the equiva-
storm chapters. Sign is negative (implying downward lent radius of a sphere that has the same volume as
fall).
the actual hailstone.
Exposition: Massive hailstones falling at these fast Large hailstones form only in thunderstorms
velocities can kill people, strip foliage and small
with strong updrafts. Thus, the hailstone terminal
branches off trees, destroy crops, and kill animals.
velocity relative to the ground is the sum of the air
updraft speed (a positive number) and the hailstone
terminal velocity relative to the air (a negative num-
ber).
$PMMJTJPO&GGJDJFODZ
Collection & Aggregation Processes
Warm-cloud Process
The merging of two liquid droplets (Fig. 7.17c)
is called coalescence. This is the only process for
making precipitation-size hydrometeors that can
happen in warm clouds (clouds warmer than 0°C),
and is thus called the warm-cloud process.
N When droplets of different size approach each
other, they do not always merge. One reason is that
the smaller droplet partly follows the air as it flows
# around the larger droplet, and thus may not collide
with the larger drop (Fig. 7.19). This is quantified by
" a collision efficiency (E), which is small (0.02 < E <
0.1) when the smaller droplet is very small ( 2 < R <
5 µm). But if both droplets are relatively large (such
as when the smaller droplet has R > 10 µm, and the
larger droplet has R > 30 µm), then efficiencies can
be 0.5 ≤ E ≤ 1.
Figure 7.19 Even if two droplets collide, they might not
Smaller droplets A & B are both in the path of the falling larger merge because a thin layer of air can be trapped be-
drop. Relative to the large drop, small droplet A is pushed aside tween the two droplets (Fig. 7.20b). For this situa-
by the air flowing around the large drop, and does not collide.
tion, the two droplets bounce off of each other and
But droplet B, closer to the centerline of the larger drop, does
collide.
do not coalesce. The coalescence efficiency (E’) is
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 205
Cold-cloud Processes
When ice particles collide and stick to other ice
particles (Fig. 7.17a), the process is called aggrega-
tion. Such aggregation is aided if the colliding par-
ticles are dendrites, for which the snowflake arms
can interlock. Also, if the ice particles are warmer
than –5°C, then the ice surface becomes sticky, al-
N N
lowing multiple ice crystals to aggregate into soft
little irregular clumps of snow.
The growth of ice particles by collection and in-
Figure 7.20
stant freezing of supercooled liquid droplets (Fig.
Colliding small droplets in (a) coalesce into a single drop. Col-
7.17b) in mixed-phase clouds is called accretion liding larger droplets in (b) do not coalesce, because of a film of
or riming. Hydrometeors that become so heavily air trapped between them that cannot completely escape before
rimed as to completely cover and mask the original the two droplets bounce off of each other.
habit are called graupel. Graupel has the consisten-
cy of a sugar cube (i.e., many separate solid grains
stuck together), but often in the shape of a cone or
a sphere. For an aggregate to be called graupel, it’s
diameter must be no larger than 5 mm.
If the collected water does not freeze instantly
upon contacting the ice particle, but instead flows
around it before freezing, then hail can form.
Graupel contains a lot of air trapped between the
frozen droplets on the graupel, and thus is often
softer and less dense than hail. See the Thunder-
storm chapters for more information about hail. INFO • Meteors and Meteorology
Ancient Greeks defined “meteors” as anything in
Precipitation Formation the sky. They were particularly concerned about mis-
siles the gods might toss down, such as bits of rock,
ice, or lightning bolts.
Warm Clouds Only much later did scientists discriminate
How do terminal velocity and collection efficien- between missiles from space (bits of rock called
cy relate to the formation of large, precipitation-size meteoroids) and missiles from the atmosphere
particles in warm clouds? Recall that: (1) the atmo- (bits of just about anything else from the sky). But by
sphere has an excessively large number of CCN; (2) then “meteorology” was firmly entrenched as the
this causes the available condensate in a rising cool- name for atmospheric science.
ing air parcel to be partitioned into a large number According to the Glossary of Meteorology, meteo-
of small droplets (droplets too small to rain out); rologists study the following meteors:
(3) droplets tend to become monodisperse (nearly
the same size) due to diffusion; (4) droplets of the • hydrometeors – wet: clouds, rain, snow, fog,
dew, frost, etc.
same size have the same terminal velocity, and thus
• lithometeors – dry: dust, sand, smoke, haze
would be unlikely to collide with each other as they • igneous meteors – lightning, corona
are kept aloft in the updraft; and (5) with no colli- • electrometeors – lightning (again), thunder
sions we would not expect larger precipitation drops • luminous meteors – rainbows, halos, etc.
to form in warm clouds.
Yet warm-cloud rain happens quite nicely in the Except for “hydrometeors”, these terms are seldom
real atmosphere, especially in the tropics. Why? used any more.
Five factors can help make warm-cloud rain:
206 chapter 7 • Precipitation Processes
Cold Clouds
In cold clouds (T < 0°C), the smaller number of
ice nuclei in the atmosphere allows the available
condensate to deposit onto a small number of larg-
er ice particles. Even in mixed-phase clouds, the
WBF process can remove water molecules from the
large number of droplets and deposit them onto a
small number of ice crystals. Thus, the ice crystals
are larger, and can fall as precipitation. Also, the
crystals often have a wide range of sizes and shapes
so they can collide and aggregate easily, which also
m$ creates large-enough particles to fall as precipita-
tion.
Cumuliform clouds including thunderstorms can
be deep enough to have their bases in warm air and
their tops in cold air (Fig. 7.21). Thus, ice particles
can grow to large size (order of 1-5 mm) via the WBF
process, aggregation, and riming in the cold part of
the cloud, and then melt into large raindrops as they
$
pass through warmer air closer to the ground. Most
rain from mid-latitude thunderstorms forms this
[ way. See the Thunderstorm chapters for more infor-
mation about heavy rain.
Also, on those rare occasions when thunder-
storms can be triggered in late Fall or early Spring,
Y boundary-layer temperatures can be cold enough
to allow snow from thunderstorms to reach the
Figure 7.21 ground as large snow clusters (snow balls) without
Thunderstorms can have cold-cloud tops and warm-cloud bases, totally melting, accompanied by lightning and thun-
allowing efficient growth of ice precipitation that can melt into
large raindrops on the way down.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 207
/ N
or aggregated/rimed snow.
Beware that these curves vary significantly
from storm to storm. Many thunderstorms have
5PUBM7PMVNF
their generation of rain, causing a patchiness in the )FBWZ3BJO NNI
Table 7-3. Rain intensity criteria (from USA Fed. Me- Rainfall Rates
teor. Handbook No. 1, Sep 2005), and their corresponding Sometimes rainfall rate (i.e., precipitation
weather-map symbols and Meteorological Aviation Re- intensity) is classified as light (or slight), mod-
port (METAR) codes for continuous, non-freezing rain. erate, or heavy. Different countries set different
Symbol thresholds for these rainfall categories. Table 7-3
Rainfall rate shows rainfall intensity criteria used in the USA to
Rain on Map
Intensity determine weather symbols in station plots on sur-
METAR
inches h–1 ≈mm h–1 face weather maps. A trace amount of precipita-
code
tion is a very small amount of rain that might wet
• the ground, but is too small to be detected in a rain
••
heavy > 0.30 > 7.6 • gauge (i.e., < 0.1 mm). See the Thunderstorm chap-
+RA ters for more information about very heavy rain and
downpours from thunderstorms.
•
•• Drizzle is precipitation of very small drops (di-
moderate 0.11 – 0.30 2.6 – 7.6
ameter < 0.5 mm) that are closely spaced and uni-
RA
form. Although precipitation rates (mm h–1) from
light 0* – 0.10 0* to 2.5 •• drizzle are usually very small, drizzle can reduce
–RA visibility (Table 7-4).
trace < 0.005 <0.1 World-record rainfall total accumulated depth
dmax.rain in a rain gauge over any storm period Prain
is approximately contained under the following en-
Sample Application velope:
1/2
Is the record rainfall envelope valid for these other dmax.rain = a · Prain (7.34)
actual observations: (a) 206 mm/20 min at Curtea-de-
Arges, Romania on 7 July 1889; (b) 304.8 mm/42 min at where a = 363 mmrain·h–1/2 . For example, on 25 May
Holt, MO, USA on 22 July 1947? 1920 Fussen, Germany received 126 mm in 8 min-
utes. On 18 July 1942 Smethport, PA, USA received
Find the Answer 780 mm in 6 hours. On 15 March 1952, Cilaos, La
Given: (a) dobs = 206 mm, Prain = 20 minutes = 0.333 h
Re Union Island received 1,830 mm in 1 day. Cher-
(b) dobs = 304.8 mm , Prain = 42 min = 0.7 h
Find: if dobs is approx. equal or less than dmax rain
rapunji, India received 2,493 mm in 48 h on 15-16 Jun
1995, and 9,300 mm for the month of July 1861, and
Use eq. (7.34): (a) dmax rain = 209.6 mm received 26,470 mm in the year ending 31 July 1861.
(b) dmax rain = 303.7 mm
Snowfall Rates & Snow Accumulation
Exposition: Yes, envelope is approx. valid for both.
Snowfall rates in the US are classified using the
same visibility criterion as drizzle (Table 7-4). Low
Table 7-4. Drizzle and snow intensity criteria (from visibility due to heavy snowfall or blowing loose
USA Fed. Meteor. Handbook No. 1, Sep 2005), and their snow, when accompanied by strong winds, is classi-
weather-map symbols and Meteorological Aviation Re- fied as a blizzard if it persists for 3 to 4 hours (Table
port (METAR) codes for continuous precipitation. 7-5). If you are outside in a blizzard, you could easily
Precip. Visibility (xv) Symbol on Map get disoriented and not be able to return to a shelter,
Intensity because of white-out conditions, where the snow
METAR Code makes the ground and sky look uniformly white so
miles ≈km Drizzle Snow you cannot discern any features or landmarks.
, ,, , ****
When it is snowing, the precipitation rate is usu-
ally measured as liquid-water equivalent in units
heavy xv ≤ 0.25 xv ≤ 0.4 of mm h–1. Namely, it is the precipitation rate after
+DZ +SN all precipitation is melted. Heated rain gauges ac-
,,,
complish this.
You can also estimate the snowfall rate by peri-
moderate
0.25 < xv
≤ 0.5
0.4 < xv
≤ 0.8
*** odically measuring the depth of snow on the ground
using a meter stick or other metric. However, melt-
DZ SN
,,
ing of the snow on warm ground, and compression
of snow by the weight of snow above cause large er-
light xv > 0.5 xv > 0.8 ** rors in these estimates. Thus, liquid-water equiva-
–DZ –SN lent is used instead as a more accurate measure.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 209
New fallen snow has a density roughly 10% of Table 7-5. Blizzard criteria.
that of liquid water. Thus, a rough first guess is that
new-fallen snow depth is about 10 times the liquid- Weather Criteria (all must be met)
water equivalent depth. Condition USA Canada
Actual snow densities vary widely, as listed in visibility ≤ 0.25 mile ≤ 1 km
Table 7-6. The density of freshly falling dry snow wind speed ≥ 35 mi h–1 ≥ 40 km h–1
is very small because of the air between branches of
duration ≥3h ≥4h
each ice crystal, and because of air trapped between
ice crystals as they accumulate on the ground. Af-
ter snow has fallen, metamorphosis takes place
where the tips of the crystals evaporate and rede-
posit near the crystal centers. Such snow gradually Table 7-6. Snow density.
changes into snow grains (similar to sugar grains), Density Characteristics
and becomes more compact and dense. Snow can be (kg m–3)
further modified by partial melting and refreezing 50 - 100 Fresh falling snow.
(on a diurnal cycle, and also on an annual cycle for New top snow. Uncompacted. Called
glacier snow). The weight of additional snow on top 100 - 200
“powder” by skiers.
can further compact deeper older snow.
Settled snow on ground. Self-compacted
Piste is the name for a ski run where the snow 200 - 300
after several days.
has been compacted by grooming machines. Den-
sity and strength can be increased by mechanically Compacted snow by grooming ma-
chines. Some target densities (kg m–3) for
chopping and compacting the snow, by adding liq-
groomed ski slopes are: 450 for cross-
uid water (that later freezes), and by adding chemi-
country (nordic) tracks, 530-550 for
cals such as nitrate fertilizers or urea. 300 - 500
snowboard and downhill (alpine) runs,
and 585 - 620 for slalom.
Precipitation Distribution Also forms naturally in deep layers of
Combining rain-gauge data over land with sat- snow, such as during glacier formation.
ellite observations over oceans gives the annual Called “névé”. Snow that has been par-
500 - 550
precipitation distribution shown in Fig. 7.24. The tially melted, refrozen, & compacted.
heaviest rain is in the tropics, where the warm sea Called “firn”. Naturally compacted
surface causes copious amounts of evaporation (Fig. and aged over 1 year. A form of ice still
550 - 830
7.25), where the warm air can hold a large amount containing air channels, observed during
of precipitable water, and where the general circu- glacier formation.
lation contains updrafts. Rain is suppressed at 30° Ice with bubbles, typical in the top 1000 m
north and south due to extensive regions of down- 830 - 917
of old glaciers.
draft in the Hadley-cell circulation. This circulation 917 Solid ice (no bubbles). Typical of glacier
is discussed in the General Circulation chapter. ice below 1000 m depth.
/ bucket from the other end of the lever. Each tip can
be counted digitally, and the frequency of tips dur-
ing an hour gives the rainfall rate.
/ An evaporative rain gauge has two metal
plates, one above the other, each oriented horizon-
&WBQPSBUJPO tally (one facing up, and the other facing down).
/
Each plate is heated electrically to maintain the
same specified temperature warmer than ambient
-BUJUVEF
1SFDJQJUBUJPO
air. Precipitation falling on the hot top plate evapo-
rates quickly, thereby removing heat from that plate.
&WBQPSBUJPO
By measuring the amount of extra electricity needed
4 to keep the top plate at the same temperature as the
bottom, and knowing the latent heat of vaporiza-
tion, the rainfall rate can be determined.
4
Attenuation rain gauges have a light beam
that shines horizontally across an open air path ex-
4 posed to precipitation. The attenuation of the light
beam is related to precipitation intensity, but errors
NNEBZ
can be due to air pollution, fog, and different absorp-
tion cross-sections of liquid vs. solid precipitation.
Figure 7.25 A disdrometer measures size distribution of
Zonally averaged rates of evaporation (light grey with dotted
rain drops via the momentum imparted to a hori-
outline) and precipitation (dark grey with solid black outline).
Estimated from a combination of satellite observations, numeri- zontal plate by each falling drop. Another method
cal simulations, and surface observations. Spread of the grey is a particle imager that sends light from an array of
areas indicates uncertainty (disagreement among the different light-emitting diodes to an array of tiny photodetec-
methods). Data courtesy of NASA GSFC and the Global Pre- tors. Each hydrometeor casts a shadow that can be
cipitation Climatology Project (plotted as the thick black line). detected, where the size and the shape of the shad-
ows are used together to estimate precipitation rate,
hydrometeor type and size. A Knollenberg probe
uses this imaging method, and can be mounted on
aircraft flying through clouds and precipitation.
Precipitation Measurement A liquid-water content (LWC) probe consists
of an electrically heated wire. When mounted on an
The simplest precipitation instrument is a rain aircraft flying through a cloud, the rain and cloud
gauge, which is a cylindrical bucket into which the droplets evaporate upon hitting the hot wire. By
rain falls. By using a measuring stick to manual- measuring the electrical power needed to maintain
ly read the water depth in the bucket at successive a constant wire temperature against the evaporative
times such as every hour, you can determine rainfall cooling, the LWC can be inferred.
rate. For greater sensitivity, a funnel can be placed Snow amount on the ground can be measured
over the bucket to collect rain faster, but the depth of by placing a liquid antifreeze-filled thin-skin metal
water in the bucket must be reduced by the ratio of snow pillow on the ground before the winter snow
the horizontal cross-section areas of the bucket to the season. As snow accumulates during the season, the
funnel opening. To get the liquid-water equiva- weight of the snow squeezes the pillow and displac-
lent of the snowfall, some rain gauges are heated to es some of the fluid. Pressure sensors measure the
melt snow, and others are painted black to passively weight of the displaced fluid to infer snow weight.
melt snow by absorbing sunlight. Some gauges are Downward-pointing ultrasonic snow-depth
surrounded by a segmented wind shield to reduce sensors mounted on a tall pole measure the trav-
errors due to blowing precipitation. el time for an emitted pulse of sound to reach the
Automated rain gauges exist. Weighing rain ground and echo back to the sensor on the pole.
gauges weigh the rain-filled bucket over successive This gives the distance between the top of the snow
intervals, inferring rain accumulation by weight in- and the sensor, which can be subtracted from the
crease, knowing the density of liquid water. sensor height above bare ground to give the snow
Tipping-bucket rain gauges direct the cap- depth. Similar sensors use travel time for IR or vis-
tured rain into a tiny bucket on one side of a lever. ible light pulses.
When the bucket gets full, it tips the lever like a Remote sensors (see the Satellites & Radar chap-
seesaw (teeter-totter), emptying that bucket while ter) can also be used to measure rain rate or accu-
simultaneously moving under the funnel an empty
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 211
A7. If c = 5x106 µm3·m–3, use the Junge distribution A14. Find the average separation distances (µm) be-
to estimate the number density of CCN (# m–3) with- tween cloud droplets for the previous problem.
in a ∆R = 0.2 µm range centered at R (µm) of:
a. 0.2 b. 0.3 c. 0.4 d. 0.5 e. 0.6 f. 0.8 g. 1.0 A15. What temperature is needed to immersion-
h. 2 i. 3 j. 4 k. 5 l. 6 m. 8 n. 10 freeze half the droplets of radius (µm)
a. 10 b. 20 c. 30 d. 40 e. 50 f. 60 g. 70
A8. For pure water at temperature –20°C, use Kel- h. 80 i. 90 j. 125 k. 150 l. 200 m. 200 n. 300
vin’s equation to find the equilibrium RH% in air
over a spherical droplet of radius (µm): A16. Estimate the number density of active ice nu-
a. 0.005 b. 0.006 c. 0.008 d. 0.01 e. 0.02 clei for the following combinations of temperature
f. 0.03 g. 0.04 h. 0.05 i. 0.06 j. 0.08 and supersaturation [T(°C), Sice(%)].
k. 0.09 l. 0.1 m. 0.2 n. 0.3 o. 0.5 a. –5, 3 b. –5, 5 c. –10, 5 d. –10, 10
e. –15, 10 f. –10, 12 g. –15, 12 h. –20, 13
A9 (§). Produce Köhler curves such as in Fig. 7.7b, i. –15, 18 j. –20, 20 k. –25, 20 l. –20, 23
but only for salt of the following masses (g) at 0°C: m. –25, 23 n. –23, 25
a. 10 –18 b. 10 –17 c. 10 –16 d. 10 –15 e. 10 –14
f. 10 –13 g. 10 –12 h. 10 –11 i. 5x10 –18 j. 5x10 –17
k. 5x10 –16 l. 5x10 –15 m. 5x10 –14 n. 5x10 –13
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 213
A17. For a supersaturation gradient of 1% per 2 µm, A23. What crystal habit could be expected for the
find the kinematic moisture flux due to diffusion. following combinations of [ ρve (g m–3) , T(°C) ]:
Given T = –20°C, and P = 80 kPa. Use D (m2·s–1) of: a. 0.22, –25 b. 0.22, –20 c. 0.22, –13
a. 1x10 –6 b. 2x10 –6 c. 3x10 –6 d. 4x10 –6 d. 0.22, –8 e. 0.22, –5 f. 0.22, –2
e. 5x10 –6 f. 6x10 –6 g. 7x10 –6 h. 8x10 –6 g. 0.12, –25 h. 0.12, –20 i. 0.12, –13
i. 9x10 –6 j. 1x10 –5 k. 3x10 –5 l. 4x10 –5 j. 0.12, –8 k. 0.12, –5 l. 0.12, –2
m. 5x10 –5 n. 6x10 –5 o. 7x10 –5 p. 8x10 –5 m. 0.08, –25 n. 0.08, –20 o. 0.08, –13
p. 0.08, –8 q. 0.08, –5 r. 0.08, –2
A18 (§). Compute and plot supersaturation (%) vs.
distance (µm) away from drops of the following ra- A24. Suppose the following ice crystals were to in-
dii , given a background supersaturation of 0.5% crease mass at the same rate. Find the rate of increase
a. 0.15 µm containing 10 –16 g of salt with time of the requested dimension.
b. 0.15 µm containing 10 –16 g of ammon.sulfate a. effective radius of column growing in 3-D
c. 0.15 µm containing 10 –16 g of sulfuric acid b. diameter of plate growing in 2-D
d. 0.15 µm containing 10 –16 g of nitric acid c. length of needle growing in 1-D
e. 0.15 µm containing 10 –16 g of hydrogen perox.
f. 0.3 µm containing 10 –16 g of salt A25 (§). Given D = 2x10 –5 m2·s–1 and ρv = 0.003
g. 0.3 µm containing 10 –16 g of ammon.sulfate kg·m–3, plot ice-crystal mass (g) vs. time (minutes)
h. 0.3 µm containing 10 –16 g of sulfuric acid for 3-D growth such as a hexagonal column. Use the
i. 0.3 µm containing 10 –16 g of nitric acid following supersaturation fraction:
j. 0.3 µm containing 10 –16 g of hydrogen perox. a. 0.001 b. 0.002 c. 0.003 d. 0.004 e. 0.005
k. 0.5 µm containing 10 –16 g of salt f. 0.006 g. 0.007 h. 0.008 i. 0.009 j. 0.01
l. 0.5 µm containing 10 –16 g of ammon.sulfate k. 0.012 l. 0.014 m. 0.016 n. 0.018 o. 0.020
m. 0.5 µm containing 10 –16 g of sulfuric acid
n. 0.5 µm containing 10 –16 g of nitric acid A26 (§). Same as the previous problem, but for 2-D
o. 0.5 µm containing 10 –16 g of hydrogen perox. growth of a thin flat plate of thickness 10 µm.
p. 2 µm containing 10 –16 g of salt
q. 1 µm containing 10 –16 g of ammon.sulfate A27 (§). Use the Clausius-Clapeyon equation from
r. 1 µm containing 10 –16 g of sulfuric acid the Water Vapor chapter to calculate the saturation
s. 1 µm containing 10 –16 g of nitric acid vapor pressure over liquid water and ice for –50 ≤ T
t. 1 µm containing 10 –16 g of hydrogen perox. ≤ 0°C, and use that data to calculate and plot the dif-
ference. Namely, reproduce Fig. 7.16 with your own
A19. Find the diffusivity (m2·s–1) for water vapor, calculations.
given [ P(kPa) , T(°C) ] of:
a. 80, 0 b. 80, –5 c. 80, –10 d. 80, –20 A28. Find the terminal velocity of cloud droplets of
e. 70, 0 f. 70, –5 g. 70, –10 h. 70, –20 radius (µm): a. 0.2 b. 0.4 c. 0.6 d. 0.8
i. 60, 0 j. 60, –5 k. 60, –10 l. 60, –20 e. 1.0 f. 2 g. 3 h. 4 i. 5 j. 7
m. 50, 0 n. 50, –5 o. 50, –10 p. 50, –20 k. 10 l. 15 m. 20 n. 30 o. 40 p. 50
A20 (§). For the previous exercise, plot droplet ra- A29. Find the terminal velocity of rain drops of ra-
dius (µm) vs. time (minutes) for diffusive growth. dius (µm): a. 100 b. 150 c. 200 d. 300
e. 400 f. 500 g. 600 h. 700 i. 800
A21. What phase (I - XIV) of ice is expected at the j. 900 k. 1000 l. 1200 m. 1500 n. 2000
following locations in a standard atmosphere?
a. Earth’s surface b. mid-troposphere A30. Calculate the terminal velocity of hailstones of
c. tropopause d. mid stratosphere radius (cm): a. 0.25 b. 0.5 c. 0.75 d. 1 e. 1.25
e. stratopause f. mid-mesosphere f. 1.5 g. 1.75 h. 2 i. 2.5 j. 3 k. 3.5
g. mesopause l. 4 m. 4.5 n. 5 o. 5.5 p. 6
A22. What phase (I - XIV) of ice is expected for the A31. What type of “meteor” is:
following conditions of [ P(kPa) , T(°C) ]? a. a rainbow b. lightning c. corona
a. 1, –250 b. 1, –150 c. 1, –50 d. 1, 50 d. dust e. a cloud f. a halo g. sand
e. 103, –250 f. 103, –150 g. 103, –50 h. 103, 50 h. rain i. smoke j. snow k. fog
i. 5x105, –250 j. 5x105, –150 k. 5x105, –30 l. haze m. dew n. frost
l. 5x105, 50 m. 107, –250 n. 107, –50 o. 107, 50
214 chapter 7 • Precipitation Processes
A32. For a Marshall-Palmer rain-drop size distribu- E4. Fig. 7.3 applies to cumulus clouds surrounded
tion, if the rainfall rate is by clear air. Would the curves be different for a uni-
(i) 10 mm h–1, or (ii) 20 mm h–1, form stratus layer? Why?
how many droplets are expected of radius (µm)
greater than: E5. An air parcel contains CCN that allow 109 m–3
a. 100 b. 200 c. 300 d. 400 e. 500 hydrometeors to form. If the air parcel starts at P =
f. 700 g. 1000 h. 1200 i. 1500 j. 2000 100 kPa with T = 20°C and Td = 14°C, find the average
radius of cloud droplets due to condensation only,
A33. What is the rain intensity classification and the after the air parcel rises to P (kPa) of:
weather map symbol for rainfall rates (mm h–1) of: a. 85 b. 82 c. 80 d. 78 e. 75 f. 72 g. 70
a. 0.02 b. 0.05 c. 0.1 d. 0.2 e. 0.5 h. 67 i. 63 j. 60 k. 58 l. 54 m. 50 n. 45
f. 1.0 g. 2 h. 3 i. 4 j. 5 Hint. Use a thermo diagram to estimate rE.
k. 6 l. 7 m. 8 n. 9 o. 10
E6. Derive eq. (7.8), stating and justifying all as-
A34. For precipitation in the form of sumptions. (Hint: consider the volume of a spheri-
(i) drizzle, or (ii) snow, cal drop.)
what is the precipitation intensity classification and
weather map symbol for visibility (km) of: E7. Rewrite eq. (7.8) for hydrometeors that form as
a. 0.1 b. 0.2 c. 0.3 d. 0.4 e. 0.5 f. 0.6 g. 0.7 cubes (instead of spheres as was used in eq. 7.8). In-
h. 0.8 i. 0.9 j. 1.0 k. 1.2 l. 1.5 m. 2 n. 5 stead of solving for radius R, solve for the width s of
a side of a cube.
A35. For a liquid-water equivalent precipitation val-
ue of 5 cm, find the snow depth if the snow density E8. In Fig. 7.5, consider the solid curve. The number
(kg m–3) is: a. 50 b. 75 c. 100 d. 150 e. 200 density (# cm–3) of CCN between any two radii R1
f. 250 g. 300 h. 350 i. 400 j. 450 k. 500 and R2 is equal to the average value of n/∆R within
l. 550 m. 600 n. 650 o. 700 p. 800 q. 900 that size interval times ∆R (=R2 – R1). This works
best when R1 and R2 are relatively close to each oth-
A36. Find the mean annual precipitation for the fol- er. For larger differences between R1 and R2, just
lowing locations, given their longitudes, latitudes: sum over a number of smaller intervals. Find the
a. 120°W, 50°N b. 120°W, 25°N c. 120°W, 10°N number density of CCN for droplets of the following
d. 120°W, 10°S e. 120°W, 30°S f. 60°W, 0°N ranges of radii (µm):
g. 60°W, 20°N h. 60°W, 40°N i. 0°W, 50°N a. 0.02 < R < 0.03 b. 0.03 < R < 0.04
j. 0°W, 25°N k. 0°W, 5°N l. 0°W, 20°S c. 0.04 < R < 0.05 d. 0.05 < R < 0.06
m. 120°E, 25°S n. 120°E, 0°N o. 120°E, 30°N e. 0.06 < R < 0.08 f. 0.08 < R < 0.1
g. 0.2 < R < 0.3 h. 0.3 < R < 0.4
A37. What are the values of zonally averaged evapo- i. 0.4 < R < 0.5 j. 0.5 < R < 0.6
ration and precipitation rates at latitude: k. 0.6 < R < 0.8 l. 0.8 < R < 1
a. 70°N b. 60°N c. 50°C d. 40°N e. 30°N m. 0.1 < R < 0.2 n. 1 < R <2
f. 20°N g. 10°N h. 0° i. 10°S j. 20°S o. 0.1 < R < 1 p. 0.1 < R < 10
k. 30°S m. 40°S n. 50°S o. 60°S p. 70°S q. 0.02 < R < 0.1 r. 0.02 < R < 10
to determine the value and units of parameter c in c. mass of solute in the incipient droplet.
the CCN number density eq. (7.9)
b Plot the curve resulting from this calibrated eq. E15. Consider a Köhler curve such as plotted in
(7.9) on a linear graph, and on a log-log graph. the INFO box on Droplet Growth. But let the RH =
c. Repeat (a) and (b), but for R = 0.1 µm. 100.5% for air. Starting with an aerosol with char-
d. Repeat (a) and (b), but for R = 0.01 µm. acteristics of point A on that figure, (a) discuss the
e. Why does eq. (7.9) appear as a straight line evolution of drop size, and (b) explain why haze
in Fig. 7.5? What is the slope of the straight line in particles are not possible for that situation.
Fig. 7.5? [Hint: for log-log graphs, the slope is the
number of decades along the vertical axis (ordinate) E16. Considering Fig. 7.7, which type of CCN
spanned by the line, divided by the number of de- chemical would allow easier formation of cloud
cades along the horizontal axis (abscissa) spanned droplets: (a) a CCN with larger critical radius but
by the line. Decade means a factor of ten; namely, lower peak supersaturation in the Köhler curve; or
the interval between major tic marks on a logarith- (b) a CCN with smaller critical radius but higher
mic axis.] supersaturation? Explain.
f. For number densities less than 1 cm–3, what
does it mean to have less than one particle (but E17. What is so special about the critical radius, that
greater than zero particles)? What would be a better droplets larger than this radius continue to grow,
way to quantify such a number density? while smaller droplets remain at a constant radius?
g. As discussed in the Atmospheric Optics chap-
ter, air molecules range in diameter between rough- E18. The Kelvin curve (i.e., the Köhler curve for pure
ly 0.0001 and 0.001 mm. If the dashed line in Fig. water) has no critical radius. Hence, there is no bar-
7.5 were extended to that small of size, would the rier droplets must get across before they can grow
number density indicated by the Junge distribution from haze to cloud droplets. Yet cloud droplets are
agree with the actual number density of air mole- easier to create with heterogeneous nucleation on
cules? If they are different, discuss why. solute CCN than with homogeneous nucleation in
clean air. Explain this apparent paradox.
E11. Show how the Köhler equation reduces to the
Kelvin equation for CCNs that don’t dissolve. E19. In air parcels that are rising toward their LCL,
aerosol swelling increases and visibility decreases
E12 (§). Surface tension σ for a cloud droplet of pure as the parcels get closer to their LCL. If haze par-
water squeezes the droplet, causing the pressure in- ticles are at their equilibrium radius by definition,
side the droplet to increase. The resulting pressure why could they be growing in the rising air parcel?
difference ∆P between inside and outside the drop- Explain.
let can be found from the Young-Laplace equa-
tion (∆P = σ·dA/dV, where A is surface area and V E20. How high above the LCL must air be lifted to
is volume of the droplet). For a spherical droplet of cause sufficient supersaturation to activate CCN for
radius R this yields: liquid-droplet nucleation?
∆P = 2·σ / R
Plot this pressure difference (kPa) vs. droplet ra- E21. Suppose a droplet contained all the substances
dius over the range 0.005 ≤ R ≤ 1 µm. listed in Table 7-2. What is the warmest temperature
(°C) that the droplet will freeze due to:
E13. a. Using the equation from the previous exer- a. contact freezing b. condensation freezing
cise, combine it with Kelvin’s equation to show how c. deposition freezing d. immersion freezing
the equilibrium relative humidity depends on the
pressure excess inside the droplet. E22. Discuss the differences in nucleation between
b. If greater pressure inside the drop drives a liquid water droplets and ice crystals, assuming the
greater evaporation rate, describe why RH greater air temperature is below freezing.
than 100% is needed to reach an equilibrium where
condensation from the air balances evaporation E23. Discuss the differences in abundance of cloud
from the droplet. vs. ice nuclei, and how this difference varies with
atmospheric conditions.
E14. Using the full Köhler equation, discuss how
supersaturation varies with: E24. Can some chemicals serve as both water and
a. temperature. ice nuclei? For these chemicals, describe how cloud
b. molecular weight of the nucleus chemical.
216 chapter 7 • Precipitation Processes
particles would form and grow in a rising air par- temperature of the air containing the droplets re-
cel. mains constant. Does the droplet still grow with the
square root of time?
E25. If droplets grow by diffusion to a final average
radius given by eq. (7.8), why do we even care about E28. If ice particles grew as spheres, which growth
the diffusion rate? rate equation would best describe it? Why?
E26. In the INFO box on Cubic Ice, a phase diagram E29. Verify that the units on the right sides of eqs.
was presented with many different phases of ice. (7.26) and (7.27) match the units of the left side.
The different phases have different natural crystal
shapes, as summarized in the table below. In the E30. Manipulate the mass growth rate eq. (7.26)
right column of this table, draw a sketch of each of to show that the effective radius of the ice particle
the shapes listed. (Hint, look in a geometry book or grows as the square root of time. Show your work.
on the internet for sketches of geometric shapes.)
E31. Considering the different mass growth rates
Table 7-7. Crystal shapes for ice phases. of different ice-crystal shapes, which shape would
grow fastest in length of its longest axis?
Shape Phases Sketch
E32. If the atmosphere were to contain absolutely
no CCN, discuss how clouds and rain would form,
hexagonal Ih if at all.
E33. In Fig. 7.15 the thick black line follows the state
of a rising air parcel that is cooling with time. Why
does that curve show es decreasing with time?
cubic Ic, VII, X
E34. If both supercooled liquid droplets and ice
crystals were present in sinking cloudy air that is
warming adiabatically, describe the evolutions of
III, VI, VIII, both types of hydrometeors relative to each other.
tetragonal IX, XII
E35. On one graph similar to Fig. 7.18, plot 3 curves
for terminal velocity. One for cloud droplets (Stokes
Law), another for rain drops, and a third for hail.
Compare and discuss.
rhombic II, IV E36. Can ice crystals still accrete smaller liquid wa-
ter droplets at temperatures greater than freezing?
Discuss.
E27. The droplet growth-rate equation (7.24) con- E39. Compare CCN size spectra with raindrop size
siders only the situation of constant background spectra, and discuss.
supersaturation. However, as the droplet grows,
water vapor would be lost from the air causing E40. For warm-cloud precipitation, suppose that
supersaturation to decrease with time. Modify eq. all 5 formation factors are working simultaneously.
(7.24) to include such an effect, assuming that the Discuss how the precipitation drop size distribution
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 217
will evolve with time, and how it can create precipi- Discuss the physics behind such weather modifica-
tation. tion.
E41. Is it possible to have blizzard conditions even S6. What if all particles in the atmosphere were hy-
with zero precipitation rate? Discuss. drophobic (i.e., repelled water). How would the
weather and climate be different, if at all?
E42. Precipitation falling out of a column of atmo-
sphere implies that there was net latent heating in S7. What if the concentration of cloud nuclei that
that column. Use the annual mean precipitation of could become activated were only one-millionth
Fig. 7.24 to discuss regions of the world having the of what currently exists in the atmosphere. How
greatest latent heating of the atmosphere. would the weather and climate change, if at all?
E43. According to Fig. 7.25, some latitudes have an S8. Eq. (7.29) indicates that smaller droplets and
imbalance between evaporation and precipitation. aerosol particles fall slower. Does Stoke’s law apply
How can that be maintained? to particles as small as air molecules? What other
factors do air molecules experience that would af-
E44. Suppose that a disdrometer gives you informa- fect their motion, in addition to gravity?
tion on the size of each hydrometeor that falls, and
how many of each size hydrometer falls per hour. S9. What if Stoke’s law indicated that smaller par-
Derive an equation to relate this information to total ticles fall faster than larger particles. Discuss the
rainfall rate. nature of clouds for this situation, and how Earth’s
weather and climate might be different.
Apply 261
Evaluate & Analyze 263
Synthesize 266
B
USBOTQBSFOU C
PQBRVF
FNJUUJOH
BUNPTQIFSF BUNPTQIFSF Radiative Transfer for Satellites
Signals
Weather satellites have sensors called radiom-
eters that passively measure upwelling electromag-
netic radiation from the Earth and atmosphere. In-
frared (IR, long-wave) and microwave radiation
are emitted by the Earth, atmosphere, clouds, and
the sun (see the Radiation chapter). Visible light
D
QBSUJBMMZBCTPSCJOH E
QBSUJBMMZFNJUUJOH (short-wave or solar radiation) is emitted by the
BUNPTQIFSF BCTPSCJOHBUNPTQIFSF sun and reflected and absorbed by the Earth system.
Additional portions of the electromagnetic spec-
trum are useful for remote sensing.
What the satellite can “see” in any one wave-
length depends on the transparency of the air at that
wavelength. A perfectly transparent atmosphere al-
lows the upwelling radiation from the Earth’s sur-
face or highest cloud top to reach the satellite. Thus,
wavelengths for which the air is transparent (Fig.
F
USBOTQBSFOU
G
FNJUUJOH
BCTPSCJOH
8.2a) are good for observing clouds and land use.
TDBUUFSJOHBUNPTQIFSF TDBUUFSJOHBUNPTQIFSF If air molecules strongly absorb upwelling radia-
tion at another wavelength, then none of the signal
at that wavelength from the Earth and clouds will
reach the satellite (i.e., an opaque atmosphere). But
according to Kirchhoff’s law (see the Radiation chap-
ter), absorptivity equals the emissivity at that wave-
length. This atmosphere will emit its own spectrum
of radiation according to Planck’s law, causing the
34UVMM
atmosphere to glow like an infrared light bulb (Fig.
8.2b). Wavelengths with this characteristic are good
Figure 8.2 for observing the top of the atmosphere, but are bad
Illustration of visibility of the Earth and atmosphere as viewed for remote sensing of the Earth and clouds.
by satellite. Figure (d) is overly simplistic, because variations in For other wavelengths, the atmosphere partially
atmospheric constituents in the mid and upper atmosphere will absorbs the upwelling radiation, causing the Earth
cause atmospheric emissions (glowing) to be uneven.
and clouds to look dimmer (Fig. 8.2c). But this usu-
ally never happens alone, because Kirchhoff’s law
says that the atmosphere will also partially emit in
the same wavelengths. The result is a dim view of
the Earth, partially masked by a dimly glowing at-
mosphere (Fig. 8.2d).
TIPVMEFS
Fig.
8.4a.
5SBOTNJUUBODF
SJOH
)0
UUF
DB
ST
DVMB )0 )0
NPMF )0 )0
)0
0 0 )0
8BWFMFOHUI N
SBZT VMUSBWJPMFU VW
$#" WJPMFU SFE OFBS
(0&4JNBHFSDIBOOFMT WJTJCMF
(0&4TPVOEFSDIBOOFMT
Fig.
8.4b.
NBOZ
)0
MJOFT
5SBOTNJUUBODF
)0
/0
VW WJT OFBSJOGSBSFE *3
(0&4JNBHFS
(0&4TPVOEFS
8BWFMFOHUI N
Fig.
8.4c.
5SBOTNJUUBODF
/0
)0
0 $0 )0 )0
$)
8BWFMFOHUI N
*OGSBSFE *3
(0&4JNBHFS
(0&4TPVOEFS
8BWFMFOHUI N
Fig. 100%
8.4d.
80%
)0
Transmittance
0
60%
40%
20% )0
)0
0
)0
0%
0.003 0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Wavelength (cm)
Radar Bands: Ka Ku X C S L P
#M 8NmNmTSm
Figure 8.5
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Planck’s law emissions vs. brightness temperature.
Exposition: 10.9 µm is an IR wavelength in an at-
mospheric window region of the spectrum (Fig. 8.4).
Thus, these emissions from the cloud would be ab-
sorbed only little by the intervening atmosphere, and (of radius r) that encompasses an area of r2 on the
could be observed by satellite. surface of the sphere; 4π sr cover the whole surface.
Fig. 8.5 shows Planck’s law plotted differently;
namely, blackbody radiance vs. temperature. Black-
body radiance increases monotonically with in-
creasing temperature. Hotter objects emit greater
Sample Application radiation (assuming a blackbody emissivity of 1.0).
A satellite measures a radiance of 1.1 W·m–2·µm–1 You can also use Planck’s law in reverse. Plug a
·sr–1 at wavelength 6.7 µm. What is the brightness measured radiance into eq. (8.1), and solve for tem-
temperature? perature. This temperature is called the bright-
ness temperature (T B), which is the temperature
Find the Answer of a hypothetical blackbody that produces the same
Given: Bλ(T)= 1.1 W·m–2·µm–1·sr–1, λ = 6.7 µm radiance as the measured radiance:
Find: T B = ? K
c2 / λ
TB = •(8.2)
Use eq. (8.2) : c1B ·λ −5
ln 1 +
(1.44x10 4 µm·K) / (6.7 µm) Bλ
TB =
1.191x108 W·m −2 µm 4 sr −1 ·(6.7 µm)−5
ln 1 +
1.1W·m −2 µm −1sr −1 Radiative Transfer Equation
Recall from Fig. 8.2 that surface emissions might
= 239 K be partially or totally absorbed by the atmosphere
before reaching the satellite. The atmosphere emits
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. its own radiation, some of which might also be lost
Exposition: 6.7 µm is an IR wavelength in a water-va- by absorption before reaching the satellite.
por absorption (=emission) part of the spectrum (Fig.
These effects are summarized by the radiative
8.4). The atmosphere is partly opaque in this region, so
the radiation received at the satellite was emitted from
transfer equation:
the air. This brightness temperature is about –34°C. n
Such temperatures are typically found in the upper Lλ = Bλ (Tskin )·τˆ λ , sfc + ∑ eλ (z j )·Bλ (Tj )·τˆ λ , j (8.3)
troposphere. Thus, we can infer from the standard j =1
atmosphere that this satellite channel is “seeing” the
upper troposphere. where Lλ is the radiance at wavelength λ that ex-
its the top of the atmosphere and can be observed
by satellite. Tskin is the temperature of the top few
molecules of the Earth’s surface, NOT the standard
meteorological “surface” temperature measured 2 m
above ground. τ̂ is transmittance; e is emissivity.
This equation is called Schwarzschild’s eq.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 225
B
C
Weighting Functions
In eq. (8.4) the factor ∆ τ̂ within the sum acts as
a weight that determines the relative contribution of
each layer to the total radiance out the top of the at-
[ mosphere at that wavelength. Use the symbol Wλ,j
LN
for these weights (i.e., Wλ,j = ∆ τ̂ λ,j ). With this trivial
notation change, the radiative transfer equation
is: n
Lλ = Bλ (Tskin )·τˆ λ , sfc + ∑Bλ (Tj )·Wλ , j •(8.5)
j =1
where Σj Wj = 1 for any one wavelength.
For the toy profile of Fig. 8.7a, the corresponding
U| 8 vertical profile of weights, called the weighting
function, is shown in Fig. 8.7b. The weights are
Figure 8.7
proportional to the slope of the transmittance line.
Hypothetical transmittance τ̂ and weighting function W (z) .
(Any vertical line segment in Fig. 8.7a has zero slope,
remembering that the independent height variable
is along the ordinate in this meteorological graph).
B
C
In reality, the weighting function for any wave-
length is a smooth curve. Fig. 8.8 shows the curve at
λ = 6.7 µm, for which water vapor is the emitter.
In essence, the weighting function tells you the
[ dominant height-range seen by a satellite channel.
LN
Figure 8.9. Weight-
4PVOEFS ing functions W for
GOES IR sounder
$IBOOFM
channels, not includ-
ing ozone channel 9.
[ [ [
LN
LN
LN
4PVOEFS
$IBOOFM
4PVOEFS
$IBOOFM
8 SFMBUJWFTDBMF
8 SFMBUJWFTDBMF
8 SFMBUJWFTDBMF
Sample Application
Weather Satellites At what (a) distance above the Earth’s center, & (b)
altitude above the Earth’s surface, must a geostationary
satellite be parked to have an orbital period of exactly
Orbits one sidereal day? Use Appendix B for Earth constants.
Artificial satellites such as weather satellites or-
biting the Earth obey the same orbital mechanics Find the Answer
as planets orbiting around the sun. For satellites in Given: torbit = 23.934 469 6 h = 86,164 s = sidereal day.
near-circular orbits, the pull by the Earth’s gravity M = 5.973 6 x 1024 kg
fG balances centrifugal force fC : G = 6.674 28 x 10 –11 m3·s–2·kg–1
Find: (a) R = ? km, (b) z = ? km
G· M·m
fG = •(8.6)
R2 (a) Rearrange eq. (8.8):
R = ( torbit / 2π ) 2/3 · (G · M) 1/3 = 42,167.5 km
2
2π (b) From this subtract Earth radius at equator
fC = ·m·R •(8.7)
torbit ( Ro = 6,378 km ) to get height above the surface:
z = R – Ro = 35,790 km
where R is the distance between the center of the
Earth and the satellite, m is the mass of the satellite, Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
M is the mass of the Earth (5.9742x1024 kg), and G is Exposition: Compares well with real satellites. As of
the gravitational constant (6.6742x10 –11 N·m2·kg–2 ). 2 July 2012, the GOES-15 satellite was at R = 42,168.07
See Appendix B for lists of constants. km. It was slightly too high, orbiting slightly too
Solve for the orbital time period torbit by setting slowly, causing it to gradually get behind of the Earth’s
fG = fC: rotation. Namely, it drifts 0.018°/day toward the west
2 π·R 3/2 relative to the Earth.
t orbit = Such drift is normal for satellites, which is why
G· M •(8.8)
they carry propellant to make orbital adjustments, as
commanded by tracking stations on the ground.
Orbital period does not depend on satellite mass,
For a calendar day (24 h from sun overhead to sun
but increases as satellite altitude increases.
overhead), the Earth must rotate 360.9863°, because the
Weather satellite orbits are classified as either position of the sun relative to the fixed stars changes as
polar-orbiting or geostationary (Fig. 8.10). Polar- the Earth moves around it.
orbiters are low-Earth-orbit (LEO) satellites.
Geostationary Satellites
Geostationary satellites are in high Earth orbit
(FPTUBUJPOBSZ4BUFMMJUF
over the equator, so that the orbital period matches
LNBMUJUVEF
the Earth’s rotation. Relative to the fixed stars, the IPSCJUBMQFSJPE
Earth rotates 360° in 23.934 469 6 h, which is the du- 1BSLFEPWFSFRVBUPS
ration of a sidereal day. With this orbital period, BUGJYFEMPOHJUVEF
$JSDVMBSPSCJU
geostationary satellites appear parked over a fixed
point on the equator. From this vantage point, the
satellite can take a series of photographs of the same
location, allowing the photos to be combined into a 1PMBSPSCJUJOH4BUFMMJUF
repeating movie called a satellite loop. UPLNBMUJUVEF
Disadvantages of geostationary satellites include: UPNJOPSCJUBMQFSJPE
distance from Earth is so great that large magni- $JSDVMBSTVOTZODISPOPVTPSCJU
fication is needed to resolve smaller clouds; many BTDFOEJOH
satellites must be parked at different longitudes for
imagery to cover the globe; imaging is interrupted
FBSUI
during nights near the equinoxes because the solar SPUBUJPO /
panels are in darkness — eclipsed by the Earth; and 1PMF
polar regions are difficult to see.
Satellites usually have planned lifetimes of about
3 to 5 years, so older satellites must be continually re- TVOMJHIU
placed with newer ones. Lifetimes are limited part- EFTDFOEJOH
ly because of the limited propellant storage needed Figure 8.10
to make orbital corrections. Satellites are also hurt Sketch (to scale) of geostationary and polar-orbiting weather
by tiny meteoroids that frequently hit the satellite satellite orbits.
228 chapter 8 • Satellites & Radar
- 8pNmpNmpTSm
# 8pNmpNmpTSm
*NBHF4IBEJOH
— for example: 7.6 W·m–2·µm–1·sr–1, as shown by the
dashed line. The picture element (pixel) in the im-
N
age that corresponds to this location is shaded dark-
er (b) for greater L values, mimicking photographic
M
film that becomes darker when exposed to more
light. Not knowing the emissivity of the emitting
object viewed at this spot, you can (c) assume a black
body, and then use the Planck curve (d) for this IR
channel to infer (e) brightness temperature T B ( =
283 K in this example). But for any normal tempera-
ture profile in the troposphere, such as the standard 5# ,
F
TUB
the darker shading (from b, redrawn in h) corre-
OE
BS
sponds to lower clouds (i). Similarly, following the
[ LN
EB
.JEEMF
dotted curve, lesser values of observed radiance cor-
UN
$MPVET
PT
respond to colder temperatures and higher clouds,
QI
and are shown as whiter pixels.
FS
F
Water-vapor (WV) -PX
Water-vapor images are obtained by picking a $MPVET
wavelength (channel 3) that is NOT in a window. In
this part of the spectrum, water (as vapor, liquid, or J
I
H
5# ,
G
Figure 8.16a
Visible satellite
e image.
c
f To aid image
t
i g2 interpretation,
n d letter labels
u g3 a-z are added
b b to identical
locations in
all 3 satellite
g1 w
v images.
a
h b
x z
s b
r
y
Figure 8.16b
e Infrared (IR)
c
satellite
f image.
t
i g2
n d
u g3
b b
g1 w
v
a
h b
x z
s b
[Images a-c
courtesy of
m Space Science
& Engineering
Center, Univ.
r
of Wiscon-
y
sin-Madison.
Valid time for
images: 00
UTC on 16
June 2004.]
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 233
Figure 8.16c
Water-vapor
satellite image.
e
c
f
t
i g2
n d
u g3
b b
g1 w
v
a
h b
x z
s b
r
y
Figure 8.16d
Interpretation of the /
satellite images. (On
same scale as the images; - )
Jet
Symbols and
acronyms will / )
Po
be explained
in later
chapters. -
t
Je
a l
p ic
t ro /
b
8
Su ITCZ
8
However, for future reference, Fig. 8.16d shows Table 8-3. Sounder channels on GOES weather satel-
my interpretation of the previous satellite photos. lites. (Also see Fig. 8.4.)
This particular interpretation shows only some of
the larger-scale features. See the Fronts, Cyclones, Channel Center Channel Center
and General Circ. chapters for symbol definitions. # Wave- # Wave-
length length
(µm) (µm)
Sounder 1 14.7 11 7.0
The sounder radiometer measures radiances at 2 14.4 12 6.5
different wavelength channels (Table 8-3) that have 3 14.0 13 4.6
different weighting functions (Fig. 8.9), in order to 4 13.7 14 4.5
estimate vertical temperature profiles (i.e., tempera- 5 13.4 15 4.4
ture soundings). These weighting functions peak at 6 12.7 16 4.1
different altitudes, allowing us to estimate a sound- 7 12.0 17 4.0
ing (temperatures at different altitudes). We will ex- 8 11.0 18 3.8
amine the basics of this complex retrieval process. 9 9.7 19 0.6
10 7.5
There is a limit to our ability to retrieve sounding
data, as summarized in two corollaries. Corollary
1 is given at right. To demonstrate it, we will start
with a simple weighting function and then gradual-
ly add more realism in the subsequent illustrations.
Consider the previous idealized transmittance
profile (Fig. 8.7), but now divide the portion between
z = 5 and 10 km into 5 equal layers. As shown in Fig.
8.17a, the change in transmittance across each small
Retrieval Corollary 1: The sounder can retrieve
layer is ∆ τ̂ = 0.2 (dimensionless); hence, the weight (at most) one piece of temperature data per channel.
(Fig. 8.17b) for each layer is also W = 0.2 . Assume The temperature it gives for that channel is the average
that this is a crude approximation to sounder chan- brightness temperature weighted over the depth of the
nel 3, with central wavelength of λ = 14.0 µm. weighting function.
Suppose the “actual” temperature of each layer,
from the top down, is T = –20, –6, –14, –10, and 0°C,
as illustrated by the data points and thin line in Fig.
8.17c. (We are ignoring the portions of the sounding
below 5 km and above 10 km, because this weighting
function cannot “see” anything at those altitudes, as
previously discussed.)
Using Planck’s Law (eq. 8.1), find the blackbody
radiance from each layer from the top down: B =
3.88, 4.82, 4.27, 4.54, and 5.25 W·m–2·µm–1·sr–1. Weight
each by W = 0.2 and then sum according to radiative
B
C
D
B
C
Illustration of Retrieval Corollary 1
(Non-overlapping Weighting Functions)
$I Consider a slightly more realistic illustration
of a perfect (idealized) case where the weighting
functions do not overlap vertically between differ-
[ LN
For this forward example, suppose the tempera- $I $I $I $I
tures for each layer (from the top down) are T = –40,
–60, –30, and +20°C, as plotted in Fig. 8.21. Namely, [ -BZFS
LN
we are using a coarse-resolution T profile, because
we already know from Corollary 1 that retrieval
-BZFS
methods cannot resolve anything finer anyway.
For each channel, we can write the radiative
transfer equation (8.5). To simplify these equations,
-BZFS
use λ = 1, 2, 3, 4 to index the wavelengths of sounder
channels 1, 2, 3, 4. Also, use j = 1, 2, 3, 4 to index the
four layers of our simplified atmosphere, from the -BZFS
top down. The radiative transfer equation for our
simple 4-layer atmosphere, without the skin term,
is:
4 8 8 8 8
L =
λ ∑ B (T )·W
λ j λ, j
(8.9)
Figure 8.20
j =1 Idealized weighting functions for sounder channels Ch. 1 – 4 .
After expanding the sum, this equation can be
written for each separate channel as:
Table 8-4. Idealized sounder weights W λ , j .
L1 = (8.10a)
Vec- Channel Layer in Atmosphere (j)
B1(T1)·W1,1 + B1(T2)·W1,2 + B1(T3)·W1,3 + B1(T4)·W1,4 tor (λ) 1 2 3 4
(top) (bottom)
L2 = (8.10b) A 1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
B2(T1)·W2,1 + B2(T2)·W2,2 + B2(T3)·W2,3 + B2(T4)·W2,4 B 2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
C 3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2
D 4 0 0.1 0.3 0.6
L3 = (8.10c)
B3(T1)·W3,1 + B3(T2)·W3,2 + B3(T3)·W3,3 + B3(T4)·W3,4
L 4 = (8.10d) [
-BZFS
B4(T1)·W4,1 + B4(T2)·W4,2 + B4(T3)·W4,3 + B4(T4)·W4,4 LN
j: layer 1 layer 2 layer 3 layer 4 Figure 8.21 -BZFS
Hypothetical atmospheric
Because of the wide vertical spread of the weights, temperature profile.
the radiance in each channel depends on the tem- -BZFS
perature at many levels, NOT just the one level at
the peak weight value. But the radiative transfer
equations are easy to solve; namely, given T and W, -BZFS
it is straight forward to calculate the radiances L, be-
cause we need only solve one equation at a time. I m m m
did this on a spreadsheet — the resulting radiances 5 $
K
inner (dot •) products show how much information 8
from one vector is contained in (projected on) the oth- K 8" 8# "
weighting functions for two channels, A and B, which K 8" 8#
are represented as vectors in the last Fig. of that row.
K 8" 8# #OFX
For this special case of non-overlapping weighting "
Weather Radars
[ QMF Fundamentals
4BN NF Weather radars are active sensors that emit pulses
7PMV
å% of very intense (250 - 1000 kW) microwaves generat-
SBEBS
åC ed by magnetron or klystron vacuum tubes. These
å3 transmitted pulses, each of ∆t = 0.5 to 10 µs duration,
are reflected off a parabolic antenna dish that can
rotate and tilt, to point the train of pulses toward
E
any azimuth and elevation angle in the atmosphere.
Pulse repetition frequencies (PRF) are of order
3BOHF 3 .63 50 to 2000 pulses per second.
The microwaves travel away from the radar at
Figure 8.22 the speed of light through the air (c ≈ 3x108 m s–1),
Radar beam. MUR is maximum unambiguous range. focused by the antenna dish along a narrow beam
(Fig. 8.22). The angular thickness of this beam,
called the beamwidth Δβ, depends on the wave-
length λ of the microwaves and the diameter (d) of
the parabolic antenna:
Δβ = a·λ/d (8.13)
Sample Application
Also, the azimuth and elevation angles to the tar-
A 5 cm wavelength radar with 5 m diameter anten-
get are known from the direction the radar dish na dish transmits 1000 pulses per second, each pulse
was pointing when it sent and received the signals. lasting 1 µs. (a) What are the sample-volume dimen-
Thus, there is sufficient information to position each sions for a pulse received 100 µs after transmission?
target in 3-D space within the volume scanned. (b) Is the range to this sample volume unambiguous?
Weather radar cannot “see” each individual rain
or cloud drop or ice crystal. Instead, it sees the av- Find the Answer:
erage energy returned from all the hydrometeors Given: λ = 5 cm, d = 5 m, PRF = 1000 s–1,
within a finite size pulse subvolume. This is analo- ∆t = 1 µs, t = 100 µs.
gous to how your eyes see a cloud; namely, you can Find: (a) ∆R = ? m, and ∆D = ? m. (b) Rmax = ? km.
see a white cloud even though you cannot see each
individual cloud droplet. (a) Use eq. (8.14): ∆R = (3x108m/s)·(10 –6s)/2 = 150 m.
Weather radars look at three characteristics of To use eq. (8.15) for ∆D, we first need R and Δβ .
From eq. (8.13): Δβ = (71.6°)·(0.05m)/(5m) = 0.72°
the returned signal to help detect storms and other
From eq. (8.16): R = (3x108m/s)·(10 –4s)/2 = 15 km.
conditions: reflectivity, Doppler shift, and po-
Use eq. (8.15): ∆D = (15000m)·(0.72°)·π/(180°)= 188 m.
larization. These will be explained in detail, after
first covering a few more radar fundamentals. (b) Use eq. (8.17): Rmax=(3x108m/s)/[2·1000 s–1]=150km
But R = 15 km from (a).
Maximum Range Yes, range IS unambiguous because R < Rmax .
The maximum range that the radar can “see” is
limited by both the attenuation (absorption of the Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
microwave energy by intervening hydrometeors) Exposition: If the range to the rain shower had been
and pulse-repetition frequency. In heavy rain, so R = 160 km, then the target would have appeared on
much of the radar energy is absorbed and scattered the radar display at an erroneous range of R – Rmax
that little can propagate all the way through (recall = 160 – 150 km = 10 km from the radar, and would be
Beer’s Law from the Radiation chapter). The re- superimposed on any echoes actually at 10 km range.
sulting radar shadows behind strong targets are
“blind spots” that the radar can’t see.
Even with little attenuation, the radar can “listen”
for the return echoes from one transmitted pulse
only up until the time the next pulse is transmitted.
For those radars where the microwaves are gener-
ated by klystron tubes (for which every pulse has
exactly the same frequency, amplitude, and phase),
any echoes received after this time are erroneously
assumed to have come from the second pulse. Thus, [ Z
any target greater than this maximum unambig- SBEBS
Z
uous range (MUR, or Rmax) would be erroneously
displayed a distance Rmax closer to the radar than it Y
actually is (Fig. 8.35). MUR is given by:
Figure 8.23
Rmax = c / [ 2 · PRF ] •(8.17) Scan surfaces at different elevation angles ψ .
Scan and Display Strategies one data set, the result is called a volume scan. The
Modern weather radars are programmed to auto- radar repeats these volume scans roughly every 5 to
matically sweep 360° in azimuth α, with each succes- 10 minutes to sample the air around the radar.
sive scan made at different elevation angles ψ (called Data from volume scans can be digitally sliced
scan angles). For any one elevation angle, the radar and displayed on computer in many forms. Anima-
samples along the surface of a cone-shaped region of tions of these displays over time are called radar
air (Fig. 8.23). When all these scans are merged into loops. Typical 2-D displays are:
242 chapter 8 • Satellites & Radar
Radar Bands
In the microwave portion of the electromagnetic
spectrum are wavelength (λ) bands that have been
assigned for use by radar (Fig. 8.4d). Each band is
given a letter designation:
• L band: λ = 15 to 30 cm. Used in air traffic
control and to study clear-air turbulence
B
3)*
(CAT).
• S band: λ = 7.5 to 15 cm. Detects precipitation
particles, insects, and birds. Long range
(roughly 500 km) capabilities, but requires a
[ large (9 m diameter) antenna dish.
SBEBS • C band: λ = 3.75 to 7.5 cm. Detects precipitation
B
Z SBEJBM particles and insects. Shorter range (roughly
Y 250 km because the microwave pulses are more
quickly attenuated by the precipitation), but
requires less power and a smaller antenna dish.
C
"7$4 • X band: λ = 2.5 to 3.75 cm. Detects tiny cloud
droplets, ice crystals and precipitation. Large
attenuation; therefore very short range. The
radar sensitivity decreases inversely with the
4th power of range.
[ • K band is split into two parts:
SBEBS Ku band: λ = 1.67 to 2.5 cm
Z
Ka band: λ = 0.75 to 1.11 cm.
Y Detects even smaller particles, but has even
shorter range. (The gap at 1.11 to 1.67 cm is due to
Figure 8.25 very strong absorption by a water-vapor line,
(a) Range Height Indicator (RHI) display. (b) Arbitrary Verti- causing the atmosphere to be opaque at these
cal Cross Section (AVCS) display. wavelengths; see Fig. 8.4d).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 243
Beam Propagation
A factor leading to erroneous signals is ground
clutter. These are undesired returns from fixed
objects (tall towers, trees, buildings, mountains). Penn.
Usually, ground clutter is found closest to the radar Maryland
where the beam is still low enough to hit objects, al-
though in mountainous regions ground clutter can
occur at any range where the beam hits a mountain.
Ground-clutter returns are often strong because Figure 8.26
these targets are large. But these targets do not CAPPI display of radar reflectivity (related to rainfall inten-
move, so they can be identified as clutter and filtered sity) of a violent squall line of thunderstorms (dark curved line
out. However, swaying trees and moving traffic on through center of image) sweeping across Pennsylvania in 2003.
a highway can confuse some ground-clutter filters. [Courtesy of the US National Weather Service.]
In a vacuum, the radar pulses would propagate
at the speed of light in a straight line. However, in
the atmosphere, the denser and colder the air, the Sample Application
slower the speed. A measure of this speed reduction Find the refractivity and speed of microwaves
through air of pressure 90 kPa, temperature 10°C, and
is the index of refraction, n:
relative humidity 80%.
B
N the polarization of microwaves by water vapor (po-
S CFB larization is discussed later). The parameters in this
SBEB 3 [
formula have been updated to include current levels
of CO2 (order of 375 ppm) in the atmosphere.
[ &BSUI
Although small, the change in propagation speed
through air is significant because it causes the mi-
crowave beam to refract (bend) toward the denser,
C
colder air. Recall from chapter 1 that density de-
creases nearly exponentially with height, which re-
sults in a vertical gradient of refractive index ∆n/∆z.
This causes microwave beams to bend downward.
&BSUI
But the Earth’s surface also curves downward rela-
tive to the starting location. When estimating the
beam height z above the Earth’s surface at slant
D
range R, you must include both effects.
One way to estimate this geometrically is to as-
sume that the beam travels in a straight line, but that
&BSUI the Earth’s surface has an effective radius of curva-
ture Rc of
Ro
Figure 8.27 Rc = = k e ·Ro (8.21)
1 + Ro ·(∆ n / ∆ z)
(a) Standard refraction of radar beam centerline in Earth’s atmo-
sphere. (b) Ducting or trapping over a smooth sea-surface. (c) where Ro = 6371 km is the average Earth radius. The
Trapping over a rough surface. height z of the center of the radar beam can then be
found from the beam propagation equation:
Sample Application(§) z = z1 − Rc + R 2 + Rc 2 + 2 R·Rc ·sin ψ (8.22)
For a radar on a 10 m tower, plot the centerline
height of the beam vs. range for standard refraction,
for a 1° elevation angle. knowing the height z1 of the radar above the Earth’s
surface, and the radar elevation angle ψ.
Find the Answer: In the bottom part of the atmosphere, the verti-
Given: ∆N/∆z = –39 km–1, z1 = 10 m = 0.01 km, cal gradient of refractive index is roughly ∆n/∆z =
Ro = 6371 km –39x10 –6 km–1 (or ∆N/∆z = –39 km–1) in a standard
Find: z (km) vs. R (km) atmosphere. The resulting standard refraction of
the radar beam gives an effective Earth radius of ap-
∆N/∆z = –39 km–1. Thus ∆n/∆z = –39x10 –6 km–1 . proximately Rc ≈ (4/3)·Ro (Fig. 8.27a). Thus, ke = 4/3
Use eq. (8.21): in eq. (8.21) for standard conditions.
Rc = (6371 km) / [1+(6356.766 km)(–39x10 –6 km–1)] Superimposed on this first-order effect are sec-
= (6371 km) · 1.33 = 8473 km ond-order effects due to temperature and humidity
Use eq. (8.22): z = 0.01 km – 8473 km variations that cause changes in refractivity gradi-
+ [ R 2 +(8473 km)2 + 2·R·(8473 km)·sin(1°) ]1/2
ent (Table 8-7). For example, when a cool humid
For example, z = 2.35 km at R = 100 km. Using a
boundary layer is capped by a hot dry temperature
spreadsheet for many different R values gives:
inversion, then conditions are right for a type of
anomalous propagation called superrefraction.
This is where the radar beam has a smaller radius
of curvature than the Earth’s surface, and thus will
[ bend down toward the Earth.
LN
Table 8-7. Radar beam propagation conditions.
3 LN
∆N/∆z (km–1) Refraction
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Graph reasonable. >0 subrefraction
Exposition: Why does the line curve up with increas- 0 to –79 normal range
–39 standard refraction
ing range? Although the radar beam bends down-
–79 to –157 superrefraction
ward, the Earth’s surface curves downward faster.
< –157 trapping or ducting
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 245
Z=
∑ D6 •(8.24)
PR = [constant] · [radar characteristics] · [atmos. char.]
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. where this is a common logarithm (base 10). Al-
Exposition: With so little power coming back to the though dBZ is dimensionless, the suffix “dBZ” is
radar, very sensitive detectors are needed. WSR-88D added after the number (e.g., 35 dBZ).
radars can detect signals as weak as PR ≈ 10 –15 W. dBZ can be calculated from radar measurements
Normal weather radars use the same parabolic an- of PR/PT by using the log form of the radar eq.:
tenna dish to receive signals as to transmit. But such •(8.28)
an intense pulse is transmitted that the radar antenna
electrically “rings” after the transmit impact for 1 µs, P R K
dBZ = 10 log R + 2 log − 2 log − lo
og(b)
where this “ringing” sends strong power as a false sig- PT R1 La
nal back toward the receiver. To compensate, the radar
must filter out any received energy during the first 1 µs
before it is ready to detect the weak returning echoes Although the R/R1 term compensates for most of the
from true meteorological targets. For this reason, the decrease echo strength with distance, atmospheric
radar cannot detect meteorological echoes within the attenuation La still increases with range. Thus dBZ
first 300 m or so of the radar. still decreases slightly with increasing range.
Even when looking at the same sample volume of Reflectivity or echo intensity is the term used
rain-filled air, the returned power varies considerably by meteorologists for dBZ, and this is what is dis-
from pulse to pulse. To reduce this noise, the WSR- played in radar reflectivity images. Typical val-
88D equipment averages about 25 sequential pulses ues are –28 dBZ for haze, –12 dBZ for insects in clear
together to calculate each smoothed reflectivity value
air, 25 to 30 dBZ in dry snow or light rain, 40 to 50
that is shown on the radar display for each sample vol-
dBZ in heavy rain, and up to 75 dBZ for giant hail.
ume.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 247
Bright Band
Sample Application
Ice crystals scatter back to the radar only about
(continuation)
20% of the energy scattered by the same amount of
DB=[6·(0.003kg)/(π·5000·(103 kg m–3)]1/3 liquid water (as previously indicated with the |K|2
= 0.00105 m = 1.05 mm factor in the radar equation). However, when ice
crystals fall into a region of warmer air, they start
Use eq. (8.24), but using N·D6 in the numerator: to melt, causing the solid crystal to be coated with
ZA = 1000·(1.79 mm)6 /(1 m3) = 3.29x104 mm6 m–3 a thin layer of water. This increases the reflectivity
ZB = 5000·(1.05 mm)6 /(1 m3) = 6.70x103 mm6 m–3 of the liquid-water-coated ice crystals by a factor of
5, causing a very strong radar return known as the
Use eq. (8.27): bright band. Also, the wet outer coating on the ice
dBZA = 10·log[ (3.29x104 mm6 m–3)/(1 mm6 m–3) ]
crystals cause them to stick together if they collide,
= 45.2 dBZ
resulting in a smaller number of larger-diameter
dBZB = 10·log[ (6.70x103 mm6 m–3)/(1 mm6 m–3) ]
= 38.3 dBZ snowflake clusters that contribute to even stronger
returns.
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. As the ice crystals continue to fall and completely
Exposition: Thus, the same amount of liquid water melt into liquid drops, their diameter decreases and
(3 g kg–1) in each parcel would lead to substantially their fall speed increases, causing their drop density
different radar reflectivities. This is the difficulty of and resulting reflectivity to decrease. The net result
Z-R relationships. But not all is lost -- the polarization is that the bright band is a layer of strong reflectiv-
radar section shows how more accurate rainfall esti- ity at the melting level of falling precipitation. The
mates can be made using radar. reflectivity in the bright band is often 15 to 30 times
greater than the reflectivity in the ice layer above it,
and 4 to 9 times greater than the rain layer below it.
[ Thus, Z-R relationships fail in bright-band regions.
In an RHI display of reflectivity (Fig. 8.29) the
bright band appears as a layer of stronger returns.
JDF In a PPI display the bright band is donut shaped — a
CSJHIUCBOE NFMUJOH hollow circle of stronger returns around the radar,
JDF with weaker returns both inside and outside the
circle.
SBJO
Hail
3BOHF
Figure 8.29 Hail can have exceptionally high radar reflec-
RHI sketch of the bright band in two precipitation cells. tivities, of order 60 to 75 dBZ, compared to typical
maxima of 50 dBZ for heavy rain. Because hailstone
size is too large for microwave Rayleigh scattering to
apply, the normal Z-R relationships fail. Some radar
Illinois algorithms diagnose hail for reflectivities > 40 dBZ
at altitudes where the air is colder than freezing,
with greater chance of hail for reflectivities ≥ 50 dBZ
at altitudes where temperature ≤ –20°C.
.
Doppler Radar SBEBS
Large hydrometeors include rain drops, ice
crystals, and hailstones. Hydrometeor velocity is
the vector sum of their fall velocity through the air C
Radial Velocities .
SBEBS
Radars transmit a microwave signal of known
frequency ν. But after scattered from moving .UBO
hydrometeors, the microwaves that return to the ra-
.S
dar have a different frequency ν + ∆ν. Hydrometeors E
Figure 8.33
Phase shift distance is twice the distance moved by the air par- Maximum Unambiguous Velocity
cel. The phase-shift method imposes a maximum
unambiguous velocity Mr max the radar can mea-
sure, given by:
PS
For (– 2Mr max) < Mr < (–Mr max) : D
-BUFS
QPTJUJPO
QBSDFM
Mr false = Mr + 2 Mr max (8.36b) NPWJOH
508"3%
1IBTFTIJGU
Speeds greater than 2|Mr max| fold twice.
Figure 8.34
For greater max velocities Mr max , you must op- Air movement of distance equal to quarter a wavelength toward
erate the Doppler radar at greater PRF (see eq. 8.35). and away from the radar can yield identical phase shifts, making
However, to observe storms at greater range Rmax, velocity interpretation ambiguous (i.e., erroneous).
you need lower PRF (see eq. 8.17). This trade-off is
called the Doppler dilemma (Fig. 8.35). Opera-
tional Doppler radars use a compromise PRF.
Sample Application
A C-band radar emitting 2000 microwave pulses
per second illuminates a target moving 30 m s–1 away
from the radar. What is the displayed radial velocity?
B
m.SNBY .SNBY .S
But Mr > Mr max, therefore velocity folding.
Use eq. (8.36a): Figure 8.35
Mr false = (30 m s–1) – 2·(25 m s–1) = –20 m s –1 , (a) Reflectivity targets at ranges A and B from the radar appear
where the negative sign means toward the radar. in their proper locations. Target C, beyond the max unambigu-
ous range (Rmax), is not displayed at its actual location, but ap-
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. pears as a false echo C on the radar display closer to the radar.
Exposition: This is a very large velocity in the wrong (b) Air parcels with negative or positive radial velocities A and B
direction. Algorithms that automatically detect tor- are displayed accurately. Parcel C with positive velocity greater
nado vortex signatures (TVS), look for regions than Mr max is falsely displayed C with large negative velocity.
of fast AWAY velocities adjacent to fast TOWARD ve-
locities. However, this Doppler velocity-folding error
produces false regions of adjacent fast opposite veloci-
ties, causing false-alarms for tornado warnings.
252 chapter 8 • Satellites & Radar
B
4DFOBSJP Velocity Azimuth Display (VAD)
B A plot of radial velocity Mr (at a fixed elevation
NFBOXJOE angle and range) vs. azimuth angle α is called a ve-
locity-azimuth display (VAD), which you can
.BWH SBEBS use to measure the mean horizontal wind speed
Z and direction within that range circle. Fig. 8.36a il-
Y
lustrates a steady mean wind blowing from west to
C
7"%
east through the Doppler radar sweep area. The re-
.S sulting radial velocity component measured by the
radar is a sine wave on the VAD (Fig. 8.36b).
.BWH Mean horizontal wind speed Mavg is the ampli-
tude of the sine wave relative to the average radial
B velocity Mr avg (=0 for this case), and the meteoro-
logical wind direction is the azimuth at which the
VAD curve is most negative (Fig. 8.36b). Repeating
XJOEEJSFDUJPO this for different heights gives the winds at differ-
Figure 8.36
(a) Scenario of mean winds relative to radar. (b) Velocity-azi- ent altitudes, which you can plot as a wind-profile
muth display (VAD) of radial wind component. sounding or as a hodograph (explained in the Thun-
derstorm chapters). The measurements at different
heights are made using different elevation angles
Sample Application and ranges (eq. 8.22).
From a 1 km thick layer of air near the ground, the You can also estimate mean vertical velocity
average radial velocity is –2 m s–1 at range 100 km from using horizontal divergence determined from the
the radar. What is the vertical motion at the layer top? VAD. Picture the scenario of Fig. 8.37a, where there
is convergence (i.e., negative divergence) superim-
Find the Answer: posed on the mean wind. Namely, west winds exist
Given: R = 100 km , ∆z = 1 km , Mr avg = –2 m s–1. everywhere, but the departing winds east of the ra-
Find: w = ? m s–1 at z = 1 km. dar are slower than the approaching winds from the
Assume: wbot = 0 at the ground (at z = 0).
west. Also, the winds have a convergent north-south
component. When plotted on a VAD, the result is a
Use eq. (8.37): ∆w = –2·(–2 m s–1) · (1 km) / (100 km)
∆w = +0.04 m s–1. sine wave that is displaced in the vertical (Fig. 8.37b).
But ∆w = wtop – wbot . Thus: wtop = +0.04 m s –1 Averaging the slower AWAY radial winds with the
faster TOWARD radial winds gives a negative aver-
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. age radial velocity Mr avg, as shown by the dashed
Exposition: This weak upward motion covers a broad line in Fig. 8.37b. Mr avg is a measure of the diver-
100 km radius circle, and would enhance storms. gence/convergence, while Mavg still measures mean
wind speed.
Due to mass continuity (discussed in the Atmo-
B
4DFOBSJP
spheric Forces & Winds chapter), an accumulation of
air horizontally into a volume requires upward mo-
B
XJOE tion of air out of the volume to conserve mass (i.e.,
mass flow in = mass flow out). Thus:
SBEBS
−2· Mr avg
Z ∆w = ·∆z (8.37)
R
Y
C
7"%
where ∆w is change in vertical velocity across a lay-
.S er of thickness ∆z, and R is range from the radar at
B which the radial velocity Mr is measured.
.BWH
Upward vertical velocities (associated with hori-
.SBWH zontal convergence and negative Mr avg) enhance
cloud and storm development, while downward
vertical velocities (subsidence, associated with
NFBOXJOEEJSFDUJPO horizontal divergence and positive Mr avg) sup-
Figure 8.37 presses clouds and provides fair weather. Knowing
(a) Scenario of mean winds AND horizontal convergence. that w = 0 at the ground, you can solve eq. (8.37) for
(b) Velocity-azimuth display (VAD) of radial wind component.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 253
[FS
radial component of velocity. However, if the scan F
CMV
PJT
CMVF WPSUFY
regions of two nearby Doppler radars overlap, then Z Z
SPUBUJPO
PEP
in theory the horizontal wind field can be calculated Y EJSFDUJPO Y
Q
from this dual-Doppler information, and the full
3-D winds can be inferred using mass continuity. D
%PXOCVSTU
SBEBS
[FSP
Identification of Storm Characteristics JTPEPQ HVTU GSPOU
While the VAD approach averages the winds
within the whole scan circle, you can also use the
smaller scale patterns of winds to identify storm %
characteristics. For example, you can use Doppler CMVF
information to help detect and give advanced warn- Z
SFE
ing for tornadoes and mesocyclones (see the Y
Thunderstorm chapters). Doppler radar cannot see
the whole rotation inside the thunderstorm — just Figure 8.38
the portions of the vortex with components mov- PPI or CAPPI radar image interpretation. The white circle in-
ing toward or away from the radar. But you can use dicates the radar location. Hatched shaded regions represent
this limited information to define a tornado vortex red, and indicate wind components AWAY from the radar.
signature (TVS, Fig. 8.38b) with the brightest red Other shaded regions represent blue, and indicate TOWARD
and blue pixels next to each other, and with the zero the radar. Darker shadings represent more vivid colors, and
isodop line passing through the tornado center and mean faster radial winds. Actual wind directions are shown by
the black arrows. (a) Uniform mean wind in the domain. (b)
following a radial line from the radar.
Hurricanes also exhibit these rotational charac- O
Tornado T vortex, surrounded by weaker mesocyclone vortex
teristics, as shown in Fig. 8.39. Winds are rotating at the leading edge of outflow air.
O
(large circle). (c) Downburst D and gust front (dashed line)
m /s
10
s
m/
20
KMLB 20 m/s
>25 m/s
toward
Figure 8.39
Radar images of Hurricane Francis at 0300 UTC on 5 September 2004 as the eye is approaching the coast of Florida, USA. Hurricane
intensity at this time was category 2 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, although it had been category 4 before reaching the coast. The Mel-
bourne, FL, radar KMLB is in the center of the radar image. (a) PPI image where darker shading represents greater reflectivity (dBZ).
(b) Doppler radial velocities (in the original image velocities toward the radar were colored blue, and away velocities were red). In this
black and white image, the AWAY winds are shown with white hatching superimposed. [Adapted from US National Weather Service
data as displayed by the Research Applications Program division of the US National Center for Atmospheric Research.]
Use eq. (8.39): LDR = 10·log(0.3 dBZ/1000 dBZ) LDR = 10·log(ZVH/ZHH) •(8.39)
= –35.2 dB
Typical values: > –10 dB for ground clutter
(b) Discussion: The positive value of ZDR indicates a –15 dB for melting snowflakes.
hydrometeor with greater horizontal than vertical di- –20 to –26 dB for melting hail
mension, such as large, oblate rain drops. The very < –30 dB for rain
small value of LDR supports the inference of rain, rath- Useful for estimating micrometeor type or habit.
er than snow or hail.
Can also help remove ground clutter, and
identify the bright band.
(c) I would expect KDP = 2 to 4 °/km, because of large
oblate rain drops.
• Specific Differential Phase: KDP
I would also expect ρHV = 0.95 , because rain intensity (unit: degrees of phase shift per 1 km path)
is light to moderate, based on eq. (8.27): Relative amount of phase shift (shift of the
dBZ = 10·log(ZHH/Z1) crests of the electromagnetic waves) in the
= 10·log(1000dBZ/1dBZ) returned echoes from the horizontally vs.
= 30 dBZ, which is then used to find the inten- vertically transmitted pulses.
sity classification from Fig. 8.28. Typical values: –1 to +6 °/km, where positive
values indicate oblate (horizontally dominant)
Check: Units OK. Results reasonable for weather. hydrometeors. Tumbling hail appears
Exposition: See item (b) above. symmetric on average, resulting in KDP = 0.
In eq. (8.27) I used ZHH because the horizontal
Improves accuracy of rain rate estimate, and
drop dimension is the one that is best correlated with
helps to isolate the portion of echo associated
the mass of the drop, as illustrated in Fig. 8.41.
with rain in a rain/hail mixture.
E
Fig. 8.42a) as viewed from above. On one side of
the building are an array of microwave transmitters
(black dots in the Fig). When any transmitter fires, it C
emits a wave front shown by the thin semicircle. If
all transmitters fire at the same time, then the super- Z
position of all the waves yield the most energy in an
effective wave front (thick gray line) that propagates Y
perpendicularly away from the transmitter build- Figure 8.42
ing, as shown by the gray arrow. For the example in Phased array radar concept.
Fig. 8.42a, the effective wave front moves east.
But these transmitters can also be made to fire se-
quentially (i.e., slightly out of phase with each other)
instead of simultaneously. Suppose transmitter 1
fires first, and then a couple nanoseconds later trans-
mitter 2 fires, and so on. A short time after transmit-
ter 5 fires, its wave front (thin semicircle) has had
time to propagate only a short distance, however the
wave fronts from the other transmitters have been
propagating for a longer time, and are further away
from the building (Fig. 8.42b). The superposition of
258 chapter 8 • Satellites & Radar
z (km)
rections (Fig. 8.43). The fixed zenith angle of the
slightly-tilted beams is on the order of ζ = 14° to 24°.
The radial velocities Meast and Mwest measured
8
in the east- and west-tilted beams, respectively, are
affected by the U component of horizontal wind and
by vertical velocity W. Positive W (upward motion;
thick gray vector in Fig. 8.44) projects into positive
(away from wind profiler) components of radial ve- 6
locity for both beams (thin gray vectors). However,
positive U (thick black vector) wind contributes pos-
itively to Meast, but negatively (toward the profiler)
to Mwest (thin black vectors).
4
Assume the same average U and W are measured
by both beams, and design the profiler so that all
tilted beams have the same zenith angle. Thus, the
two radial velocities measured can be subtracted
and added to each other, to yield the desired two 2
wind components:
09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01
Meast − Mwest
U= •(8.42a) Time (UTC) on 31 July 2004
2·sin ζ
Figure 8.45
Wind profiler observations for Wolcott, IN. Arrow shows hori-
M + Mwest •(8.42b) zontal wind direction. Each short wind barb = 5 m/s, long = 10
W = east m/s, & pennant = 50 m/s. (E.g., wind at z = 10 km, t = 02 UTC
2·cos ζ
is 45 m/s from southwest.) Courtesy of US National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Admin. (NOAA) Profiler Network (NPN).
Use similar equations with radial velocities from the
north- and south-tilted beams to estimate V and W.
Fig. 8.45 shows sample wind-profiler output. Sample Application
A wind profiler with 20° beam tilt uses the Doppler
shift to measure radial velocities of 3.326 m s–1 and
–3.514 m s–1 in the east- and west-tilted beams, respec-
tively, at height 4 km above ground. Find the vertical
and horizontal wind components at that height.
B12. Search the internet for weather radar imagery B23. Search the web for photos of phased-array ra-
at your location or for a radar location assigned by dars and wind profilers. Compare and discuss.
your instructor).
a. List the range of products provided by this B24. Search the web for locations in the world hav-
site. Does it include reflectivity, Doppler velocity, ing “wind profiler” sites. Examine and discuss real-
polarimetric data, derived products? time data from whichever site is closest to you.
b. Are the radar images fresh or old?
c. Does the site show sequences of radar reflec- B25. Compare high-resolution satellite images from
tivity images (i.e., radar loops)? If so, compare the Earth-observing satellites (Aqua, Terra, and newer)
movement of the whole line or cluster of storms with with present-generation weather satellite imagery.
the movement of individual storm cells.
[ B
[ C
[ D
[ E
LN
LN
LN
LN
LN
LN
LN
LN
at a range of 30 km for a 10 cm radar with 5 m diam-
eter antenna dish and pulse duration (µs) of:
a. 0.1 b. 0.2 c. 0.5 d. 1.0 e. 1.5 f. 2 g. 3 h. 5
A16(§). Calculate and plot the microwave refractivity
U U U U
vs. height using P and T of a standard atmosphere,
λ (µm): (e) 11.0 , (f) 2.6 , (g) 6.5 , (h) 4.4 but with vapor pressures (kPa) of:
a. 0 b. 0.05 c. 0.1 d. 0.2 e. 0.5
A6. For the transmittances of the previous exercise, f. 1.0 g. 2 h. 5 i. 10 j. 20
plot the weighting functions. [Note: Ignore supersaturation issues.]
A7. For the following altitudes (km) above the A17(§). For the previous exercise, plot the vertical
Earth’s surface, find the satellite orbital periods: gradient ∆n/∆z of refractive index vs. height within
a. 40,000 b. 600 c. 800 d. 2,000 e. 5,000 the troposphere; determine the average vertical gra-
f. 10,000 g. 15,000 h. 20,000 i. 30,000 j. 50,000 dient in the troposphere; find the radius of curva-
ture of the radar beam; and find the ke beam curva-
A8. What shade of grey would the following clouds ture factor.
appear in visible, IR, and water-vapor satellite im-
ages? a. cirrus b. cirrocumulus c. cirrostratus A18(§). For a radar with 0.5° elevation angle mount-
d. altocumulus e. altostratus ed on a 10 m tower, calculate and plot the height of
f. stratus g. nimbostratus h. fog the radar-beam centerline vs. range from 0 to 500
i. cumulus humilis j. cumulus congestus km, for the following beam curvature factors ke, and
k. cumulonimbus l. stratocumulus name the type of propagation:
a. 0.5 b. 0.8 c. 1.0 d. 1.25 e. 1.33
A9(§). Do an OSSE to calculate the radiances ob- f. 1.5 g. 1.75 h. 2 i. 2.5 j. 3
served at the satellite, given the weighting functions
of Fig. 8.20, but with the following atmospheric tem- A19. Use the simple Z-R relationship to estimate the
peratures (°C): Layer 1 = –30, Layer 2 = –70, Layer 3 rainfall rate and the descriptive intensity category
= –20, and Layer 4: used by pilots and air traffic controllers, given the
a. 40 b. 35 c. 30 d. 25 e. 20 f. 15 g. 10 h.5 following observed radar echo dBZ values:
a. 10 b. 35 c. 20 d. 45
A10. Find the beamwidth angle for a radar pulse e. 58 f. 48 g. 52 h. 25
for the following sets of [wavelength (cm) , antenna
dish diameter (m)]: A20. Find reflectivity dBZ for rain 10 km from a
a. [ 20, 8] b. [20, 10] c. [10, 10] d. [10, 5] e. [10, 3] WSR-88D, if received power (in 10 –14 W) is: a. 1 b.2
f. [5, 7] g. [5, 5] h. [5, 2] i. [5, 3] j. [3, 1] c. 4 d. 6 e. 8 f. 10 g. 15 h. 20 i. 40 j. 60 k. 80
A11. What is the name of the radar band associated A21. Estimate the total rainfall accumulated in 1
with the wavelengths of the previous exercise? hour, given the radar reflectivity values below:
Time (min) dBZ Time (min) dBZ
A12. Find the range to a radar target, given the 0 - 10 15 29 - 30 50
round-trip (return) travel times (µs) of: 10 - 25 30 30 - 55 18
a. 2 b. 5 c. 10 d. 25 e. 50 25 - 29 43 55 - 60 10
f. 75 g. 100 h. 150 i. 200 j. 300
A22. For an S-band radar (wavelength = 10 cm),
A13. Find the radar max unambiguous range for what is the magnitude of the Doppler frequency
pulse repetition frequencies (s–1) of: shift, given radial velocities (m s–1) of:
a. 50 b. 100 c. 200 d. 400 e. 600 a. –110 b. –85 c. –60 d. –20
f. 800 g. 1000 h. 1200 i. 1400 j. 1600 e. 90 f. 65 g. 40 h. 30
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 263
LN
LN
LN
LN
E15(§). Re-do the temperature sounding retrieval E23. Hong Kong researchers have found that Z =
exercise of Table 8-6 and its Sample Application. It- a3·RRa4, where a3 = 220 ±12 and a4 = 1.33 ±0.03, for
erate through each layer 3 times, and save your an- RR in mm h–1 and Z in mm6 m–3. Find the corre-
swer as a baseline result. Start with the same initial sponding equation for RR as a function of dBZ.
temperature (–45 °C) guess at all heights.
Then repeat the process with the following er- E24. Why (and under what conditions) might a
rors added to the radiances before you start iterat- weather radar NOT detect cells of heavy rain, assum-
ing, and discuss the difference between these new ing that the radar is in good working condition?
results and the results from the previous paragraph.
What is the relationship between radiance error E25. How might the bright band look in the vertical
measured by satellite and temperature sounding er- velocities measured with a wind profiler? Why?
ror resulting from the data inversion?
a. Channel 1, add 5% error to the radiance. E26. Given an RHI radar display showing a bright
b. Channel 1, subtract 5% error from radiance. band (see Fig. a below). If the radar switches to a PPI
c. Channel 2, add 5% error to the radiance. scan having elevation angle ψ shown in (a), sketch
d. Channel 2, subtract 5% error from radiance. the appearance of this bright band in Fig. b. Assume
e. Channel 3, add 5% error to the radiance. the max range shown in (a) corresponds to the range
f. Channel 3, subtract 5% error from radiance. circle drawn in (b).
g. Channel 4, add 5% error to the radiance.
h. Channel 4, subtract 5% error from radiance. B
3)* C
11*
[
E16(§). For Doppler radar, plot a curve of Rmax vs.
Mr max for a variety of PRFs between 100 and 2000
s–1 , identify the problems with the interpretation of
velocities and ranges above and below your curve, Z
L
N
and discuss the Doppler dilemma. Use the follow-
ing Doppler radar wavelengths (cm) for your calcu- SBOHF LN
E20. Derive eq. (8.31) using the geometry of a spheri- E29(§). Create a table of rainfall rate values, where
cal drop. each column is a different KDP value (within typical
range), and each row is a different ZDR value. Draw
E21. For radar returns, explain why is the log(range) the isohyets by hand in that table (i.e., draw lines
includes a factor of 2 in eq. (8.28). connecting points of equal rainfall rate).
E22. By what amount does the radar reflectivity fac- E30. Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of
tor Z change when dBZ increases by a factor of 2? using larger zenith angle for the beams in a wind
profiler.
266 chapter 8 • Satellites & Radar
D
E
S9. Devise a method to eliminate both the max-un-
ambiguous range and max-unambiguous velocity of
SBEBS Doppler radar.
CMVF
Sample Application
Phoenix Arizona (elevation 346 m MSL) reports Meteorological Reports & Ob-
dry air with T = 36°C now and 20°C half-a-day ago.
Pstn = 96.4 kPa now. Find PMSL (kPa) at Phoenix now. servations
Find the Answer One branch of the United Nations is the World
Given: T(now) = 36°C, T(12 h ago) = 20°C, Meteorological Organization (WMO). Weath-
zstn = 346 m, P(now) = 96.4 kPa. Dry air. er-observation standards are set by the WMO. Also,
Find: PMSL = ? kPa the WMO works with most nations of the world to
coordinate and synchronize weather observations.
Tv ≈ T, because air is dry. Use eq. (9.2) : Tv* = Such observations are made simultaneously at spec-
= 0.5·[ (36°C) + (20°C) + (0.0065 K m–1)·(346 m)] ified Coordinated Universal Times (UTC) to al-
= 29.16·°C (+ 273.15) = 302.3 K
low meteorologists to create a synoptic (snapshot)
Use eq. (9.1):
picture of the weather ( see Chapter 1).
PMSL = (96.4 kPa)·exp[(346 m)/((29.3 m K–1)·(302.3 K))]
= (96.4 kPa)·(1.03984) = 100.24 kPa Most manual upper-air and surface synoptic ob-
servations are made at 00 and 12 UTC. Fewer con-
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Magnitude OK. tries make additional synoptic observatios at 06 and
Discus.: PMSL can be significantly different from Pstn 18 UTC
Weather Codes
Sample Application One of the great successes of the WMO is the
Interpret the following METAR code: international sharing of real-time weather data via
METAR KSJT 160151Z AUTO 10010KT 10SM TS the Global Telecommunication System (GTS).
FEW060 BKN075 28/18 A2980 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT To enable this sharing, meteorologists in the world
ALQDS TSB25 SLP068 T02780178
have agreed to speak the same weather language.
Hint: see the METAR section later in this chapter.
This is accomplished by using Universal Obser-
Find the Answer:
vation Codes and abbreviations. Definitions of
Weather conditions at KSJT (San Angelo, Texas, USA) some of these codes are in:
observed at 0151 UTC on 16th of the current month by World Meteorological Organization: 1995
an automated station: Winds are from the 100° at 10 (revised 2014): Manual on Codes. International
knots. Visibility is 10 statute miles or more. Weather Codes Vol. 1.1 Part A - Alphanumeric Codes.
is a thunderstorm. Clouds: few clouds at 6000 feet WMO No. 306 (http://www.wmo.int/pages/
AGL, broken clouds at 7500 feet AGL. Temperature prog/www/WMOCodes.html )
is 28°C and dewpoint is 18°C. Pressure (altimeter) is Federal Meteorological Handbook No. 1
29.80 inches Hg. REMARKS: Automated weather sta- (Sept 2005): Surface Weather Observations and
tion type 2. Distant (> 10 statute miles) lightning in Reports. FCM-H1-2005 (http: www.ofcm.gov/
all quadrants. Thunderstorm began at 25 minutes past
fmh-1/fmh1.htm ).
the hour. Sea-level pressure is 100.68 kPa. Tempera-
Sharing of real-time data across large distances
ture more precisely is 27.8°C, and dewpoint is 17.8°C.
became practical with the invention of the electric
Exposition: As you can see, codes are very concise telegraph in the 1830s. Later developments included
ways of reporting the weather. Namely, the 3 lines the teletype, phone modems, and the internet. Be-
of METAR code give the same info as the 12 lines of cause weather codes in the early days were sent and
plain-language interpretation. received manually, they usually consisted of hu-
You can use online web sites to search for station man-readable abbreviations and contractions.
IDs. More details on how to code or decode METARs Modern table-driven code formats (TDCF) are
are in the Federal Meteor. Handbook No. 1 (2005) and increasingly used to share data. One is CREX (Char-
various online guides. The month and year of the ob- acter form for the Representation and EXchange of
servation are not included in the METAR, because the data). Computer binary codes include BUFR (Bi-
current month and year are implied.
nary Universal Form for the Representation of me-
I am a pilot and flight instructor, and when I access
teorological data) and GRIB (Gridded Binary).
METARs online, I usually select the option to have the
computer give me the plain-language interpretation. However, there still are important sets of alpha-
Many pilots find this the easiest way to use METARs. numeric codes (letters & numbers) that are hu-
After all, it is the weather described by the code that man writable and readable. Different alphanumeric
is important, not the code itself. However, meteorolo- codes exist for different types of weather observa-
gists and aviation-weather briefers who use METARs tions and forecasts, as listed in Table 9-1. We will
every day on the job generally memorize the codes. highlight one code here — the METAR.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 269
Table 9-1. List of alphanumeric weather codes. Table 9-1 (continued). Alphanumeric codes.
Name Purpose Name Purpose
SYNOP Report of surface observation from a fixed WINTEM Forecast upper wind and temperature for
land station aviation
SHIP Report of surface observation from a sea TAF Aerodrome forecast
station ARFOR Area forecast for aviation
SYNOP Report of surface observation from a mo- ROFOR Route forecast for aviation
MOBIL bile land station
RADOF Radiological trajectory dose forecast (de-
METAR Aviation routine weather report (with or fined time of arrival and location)
without trend forecast)
MAFOR Forecast for shipping
SPECI Aviation selected special weather report
(with or without trend forecast) TRACK- Report of marine surface observation
OB along a ship’s track
BUOY Report of a buoy observation
BATHY Report of bathythermal observation
RADOB Report of ground radar weather observa-
tion TESAC Temperature, salinity and current report
from a sea station
RADREP Radiological data report (monitored on a
routine basis and/or in case of accident) WAVEOB Report of spectral wave information from
a sea station or from a remote platform
PILOT Upper-wind report from a fixed land sta- (aircraft or satellite)
tion
HYDRA Report of hydrological observation from a
PILOT Upper-wind report from a sea station hydrological station
SHIP
HYFOR Hydrological forecast
PILOT Upper-wind report from a mobile land sta-
MOBIL tion CLIMAT Report of monthly values from a land sta-
tion
TEMP Upper-level pressure, temperature, hu-
midity and wind report from a fixed land CLIMAT Report of monthly means and totals from
station SHIP an ocean weather station
TEMP Upper-level pressure, temperature, hu- NACLI, Report of monthly means for an oceanic
SHIP midity and wind report from a sea station CLINP, area
SPCLI,
TEMP Upper-level pressure, temperature, hu- CLISA,
DROP midity and wind report from a dropsonde INCLI
released by carrier balloons or aircraft
CLIMAT Report of monthly aerological means from
TEMP Upper-level pressure, temperature, hu- TEMP a land station
MOBIL midity and wind report from a mobile
land station CLIMAT Report of monthly aerological means from
TEMP an ocean weather station
ROCOB Upper-level temperature, wind and air SHIP
density report from a land rocketsonde
station SFAZI Synoptic report of bearings of sources of
atmospherics (e.g., from lightning)
ROCOB Upper-level temperature, wind and air
SHIP density report from a rocketsonde station SFLOC Synoptic report of the geographical loca-
on a ship tion of sources of atmospherics
CODAR Upper-air report from an aircraft (other SFAZU Detailed report of the distribution of
than weather reconnaissance aircraft) sources of atmospherics by bearings for
any period up to and including 24 hours
AMDAR Aircraft report (Aircraft Meteorological
DAta Relay) SAREP Report of synoptic interpretation of cloud
data obtained by a meteorological satellite
ICEAN Ice analysis
SATEM Report of satellite remote upper-air sound-
IAC Analysis in full form ings of pressure, temperature and humid-
IAC Analysis in abbreviated form ity
FLEET SARAD Report of satellite clear radiance observa-
GRID Processed data in the form of grid-point tions
values SATOB Report of satellite observations of wind,
GRAF Processed data in the form of grid-point surface temperature, cloud, humidity and
values (abbreviated code form) radiation
270 chapter 9 • Weather Reports & Map Analysis
METAR and SPECI Clouds: when layer first appears below 1000 feet.
METAR stands for Meteorological Aviation Volcanic eruption: starts.
Report. It contains a routine (hourly) observations
of surface weather made at a manual or automatic Details of METAR / SPECI Data Blocks
weather station at an airport. It is formatted as a text Corrected: COR if this is a corrected METAR.
message using codes (abbreviations, and a specified Weather Station ICAO Code is a 4-letter ID specified
ordering of the data blocks separated by spaces) that by the Internat. Civil Aviation Organization.
concisely describe the weather. Day, Time: 2-digit day within current month, 4-dig-
Here is a brief summary on how to read METARs. it time, 1-letter time zone (Z = UTC. Chapter 1).
Grey items below can be omitted if not needed. Type: AUTO=automatic; (blank)=routine; NIL= missing.
Wind: 3-digit direction (degrees relative to true north,
Format rounded to nearest 10 degrees). VRB=variable.
[METAR or SPECI] [corrected] [weather station 2- to 3-digit speed. (000000=calm). G prefixes gust
ICAO code] [day, time] [report type] [wind di- max speed. Units (KT=knots, KMH=kilometers
rection, speed, gusts, units] [direction variability] per hour, MPS=meters per second).
[prevailing visibility, units] [minimum visibility, Direction Variability only if > 60°. Example: 010V090,
direction] [runway number, visual range] [current means variable direction between 010° and 090°.
weather] [lowest altitude cloud coverage, altitude Prevailing Visibility: 4 digits in whole meters if
code] [higher-altitude cloud layers if present] [tem- units left blank. If vis < 800 m, then round down
perature/dewpoint] [units, sea-level pressure code] to nearest 50 m. If 800 ≤ vis < 5000 m, then round
[supplementary] RMK [remarks]. down to nearest 100 m. If 5000 ≤ vis < 9999 m,
then round down to nearest 1000 m. Else “9999”
Example (with remarks removed): means vis ≥ 10 km. In USA: number & fraction,
METAR KTTN 051853Z 04011G20KT 1 1/4SM with SM=statute miles. NDV = no directional
R24/6200FT VCTS SN FZFG BKN003 OVC010 variations.
M02/M03 A3006 RMK... Minimum Visibility: 4 digits in whole meters if
units are blank & 1-digit (a point from an 8-point
Interpretation of the Example Above compass)
Routine weather report for Trenton-Mercer Air- Runway Visual Range (RVR): R, 2-digit runway iden-
port (NJ, USA) made on the 5th day of the current tifier, (if parallel runways, then: L=left, C=center,
month at 1853 UTC. Wind is from 040° true at 11 R=right), / , 4-digit RVR. Units: blank=meters,
gusting to 20 knots. Visibility is 1.25 statute miles. FT=feet. If variable RVR, then append optional:
Runway visual range for runway 24 is 6200 feet. 4 digits, V, 4 digits to span the range of values.
Nearby thunderstorms with snow and freezing fog. Finally, append optional tendency code: U=up
Clouds are broken at 300 feet agl, and overcast at 1000 (increasing visibility), N=no change, D-down
ft agl. Temperature minus 2°C. Dewpoint minus (decreasing visibility).
3°C. Altimeter setting is 30.06 in. Hg. Remarks... Weather: see Tables in this chapter for codes. 0 to 3
groups of weather phenomena can be reported.
SPECI Clouds: 3-letter coverage abbreviation (see Table 9-
If the weather changes significantly from the last 10), 3-digit cloud-base height in hundreds of feet
routine METAR report, then a special weather ob- agl. TCU=towering cumulus congestus, CB =
servation is taken, and is reported in an extra, un- cumulonimbus. If no clouds, then whole cloud
scheduled SPECI report. The SPECI has all the same block replaced by CLR=clear or by SKC=sky
data blocks as the METAR plus a plain language ex- clear. NSC= no significant clouds below 5000 ft
planation of the special conditions. (1500 m) with no thunderstorm and good visibil-
The criteria that trigger SPECI issuance are: ity. NCD if no clouds detected by an automated
Wind direction: changes >45° for speeds ≥ 10 kt. system.
Visibility: changes across threshold: 3 miles, 2 miles, Higher Cloud Layers if any: 2nd lowest clouds re-
1 mile, 0.5 mile or instrument approach minim. ported only if ≥ SCT. 3rd lowest only if ≥ BRN.
Runway visual range: changes across 2400 ft. Note: if visibility > 10 SM and no clouds below
Tornado, Waterspout: starts, ends, or is observed. 5,000 ft (1500 m) agl and no precipitation and no
Thunderstorm: starts or ends. storms, then the visibility, RVR, weather, & cloud
Hail: starts or ends. blocks are omitted, and replaced with CAVOK,
Freezing precipitation: starts, changes, ends. which means ceiling & visibility are OK (i.e., no
Ceiling: changes across threshold: 3000, 1500, 1000, problems for visual flight). (Not used in USA.)
500, 200 (or lowest approach minimum) feet. Temperature/Dew-point: rounded to whole °C. Pre-
fix M=minus.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 271
Weather-Observation Locations
Several large governmental centers around the
world have computers that automatically collect, test
data quality, organize, and store the vast weather
data set of coded and binary weather reports. For
example, Figs. 9.2 to 9.12 show locations of weather
observations that were collected by the computers
at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather
Forecasts (ECMWF) in Reading, England, for a six-
hour period centered at 00 UTC on 30 Mar 2015.
The volume of weather data is immense. There
are many millions of locations (manual stations, Figure 9.3
automatic sites, and satellite obs) worldwide that Surface data locations for temperature and winds collected by
report weather observations near 00 UTC. At EC- drifting and moored BUOYs. Valid: 00 UTC on 30 Mar 2015.
MWF, many hundreds of gigabytes (GB) of weather- Number of observations: 9114 drifters + 716 moored = 8830
observation data are processed and archived every buoys. (From ECMWF.)
day. The locations for some of the different types of
weather-observation data are described next.
Figure 9.7
Upper-air data locations for winds collected by geostationary sat-
ellites (SATOB) from the USA (GOES), Europe (METEOSAT),
and others around the world. Based atmospheric motion vectors Figure 9.8
(AMV) of IR cloud patterns. Similar satellite observations are Surface-wind estimate locations from microwave scatterometer
made using water vapor and visible channels. Valid: 00 UTC measurements of sea-surface waves by the polar-orbiting satel-
on 30 Mar 2015. Number of observations: 442475. (From EC- lites. Valid: 00 UTC on 30 Mar 2015. Number of observations:
MWF.) 526159. (From ECMWF.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 273
B
C
[D 33
• P is the 3 least-significant digits of a 4- or 5-digit
metric mean sea-level pressure value. To the left of Figure 9.14
the 3 digits, prefix either “9” or “10”, depending on Station plot model. (a) Fixed fields (see tables). (b) Total cloud
which one gives a value closest to standard sea-level coverage represented by partially filled circle, and wind direc-
pressure. For kPa, insert a decimal point two places tion and speed. The circle represents the station location. Nor-
from the right. For hPa, insert a decimal point one mally, (a) and (b) are plotted superimposed.
place from the right.
Example: 041 means 100.41 kPa, or 1004.1 hPa.
New example: 986 means 99.86 kPa, or 998.6 hPa. Table 9-2. Past or recent weather glyphs and codes
[CAUTION: Some organizations report P in inch- (past wx).
es of mercury (in. Hg.) instead of hPa. PMSL (in. Hg.) Glyph Meaning METAR
is an altimeter setting, used by aircraft pilots.]
Drizzle DZ
Shower(s) SH
• wx is a glyph for present weather (at time of the
weather observation). Tables 9-3 show the common- Thunderstorm (thunder is
ly used weather glyphs. Examples: heard or lightning detected, TS
even if no precipitation)
means snow shower; means thunder- Fog (with visibility < 5/8
storm with moderate rain. FG
statute mile)
Sand Storm SS
Dust Storm DS
• vis is the code for visibility (how far you can see
objects). Drifting snow DRSN
In the USA, visibility is in statute miles. Blowing snow BLSN
(a) if visibility ≤ 3 1/8 miles, then vis can include a
fraction.
(b) if 3 1/8 < visibility < 10 miles, then vis does not
include a fraction.
(c) if 10 ≤ visibility, then vis is left blank.
Example: 2 1/4 means visibility is 2 1/4 statute
7JTJCJMJUZ LN
Table 9-3a. Basic weather (wx) symbols and codes. Table 9-3b. Weather-code modifiers.
Glyph Meaning METAR Glyph Meaning METAR
Precipitation: prefix
Intensity, Proximity, or Recency:
Drizzle ‡ DZ (Grey box is placeholder for a precipitation glyph
from Table 9-3a. For example, means light drizzle.)
Rain ‡ RA
Light –
Snow ‡ SN
Moderate (blank)
Hail (large, diameter ≥ 5
GR
mm)
Graupel (snow pellets, small Heavy +
GS
hail, size < 5 mm)
Ice Pellets (frozen rain, called Intermittent and (no code
PL ; ;
sleet in USA) light ; moderate ; heavy for inter-
Ice Crystals (“diamond mittent)
IC
dust”) In the vicinity. In sight,
( ) but not at the weather stn.
VC
Snow Grain SG
Virga (precip. in sight, but
VIRGA
not reaching the ground).
Ice Needles
Table 9-4. High Clouds (CldH). Table 9-5. Mid Clouds (CldM).
Glyph Meaning Glyph Meaning
Cirrus (scattered filaments, “mares tails”,
Altostratus (thin, semitransparent).
not increasing).
Cirrus (dense patches or twisted sheaves
Altostratus (thick), or nimbostratus.
of filament bundles).
Cirrus (dense remains of a thunderstorm
Altocumulus (thin).
anvil).
Cirrus (hook shaped, thickening or Altocumulus (thin, patchy, changing,
spreading to cover more sky). and/or multi-level).
Cirrus and cirrostratus increasing cover- Altocumulus (thin but multiple bands or
age or thickness, but covering less than spreading or thickening).
half the sky. Altocumulus (formed by spreading of
Cirrus and cirrostratus covering most cumulus).
of sky, and increasing coverage or thick-
Multiple layers of middle clouds (could
ness.
include altocumulus, altostratus, and/or
Cirrostratus veil covering entire sky. nimbostratus).
Altocumulus castellanus (has turrets or
Cirrostratus, not covering entire sky. tuffs).
Altocumulus of chaotic sky (could in-
Cirrocumulus (with or without smaller clude multi-levels and dense cirrus).
amounts of cirrus and/or cirrostratus).
B
C
• a is a glyph representing the pressure change
$ME) (barometric tendency) during the past 3 hours (Ta-
ble 9-8). It mimics the trace on a barograph.
5 $ME. 1
WJT XY å1 B
• ∆tR is a single-digit code that gives the number of
5E $ME- /I QBTU
XY åU3 hours ago that precipitation began or ended.
0 means no precipitation
[D 33 1 means 0 to 1 hour ago
2 means 1 to 2 hours ago
3 means 2 to 3 hours ago
Figure 9.14 (again)
4 means 3 to 4 hours ago
Station plot model.
5 means 4 to 5 hours ago
6 means 5 to 6 hours ago
7 means 7 to 12 hours ago
Table 9-7. Codes for cloud-base height (zc).
8 means more than 8 hours ago
Code meters agl feet agl
0 0 to 49 0 to 149
1 50 to 99 150 to 299 • RR is the accumulated precipitation in past 6
hours. In the USA, the units are hundredths of inch-
2 100 to 199 300 to 599
es. For example: 45 means 0.45 inches.
3 200 - 299 600 to 999
4 300 - 599 1,000 to 1,999
5 600 to 999 2,000 to 3,499 • wind is plotted as a direction shaft with barbs to
6 1,000 to 1,499 3,500 to 4,999 denote speed (Fig. 9.14b). Table 9-9, reproduced from
the Forces & Winds chapter, explains how to inter-
7 1,500 to 1,999 5,000 to 6,499
pret it.
8 2,000 to 2,499 6,600 to 7,999
9 ≥ 2,500 ≥ 8,000
• total clouds is indicated by the portion of the sta-
tion plot circle that is blackened (Fig. 9.14b). Table
9-10, reproduced from the Cloud chapter, explains
Table 9-8. Symbols for pressure change (barometric
its interpretation.
tendency) during the past 3 hours. (a)
Glyph Meaning
In the next subsection you will learn how to ana- Table 9-10. Sky cover. Oktas=eighths of sky covered.
lyze a weather map. You can do a hand analysis
(manual analysis) by focusing on just one meteoro- Sky Sky
Sym-
logical variable. For example, if you want to analyze Cover Name Abbr. Cover
bol
temperatures, then you should focus on just the tem- (oktas) (tenths)
perature data from the station plot for each weather Sky
0 SKC 0
station, and ignore the other plotted data. This is Clear
illustrated in Fig. 9.16, where I have highlighted the 1 1
temperatures to make them easier to see. Few* FEW*
[CAUTION: Do not forget that the plotted tempera- Clouds
2 2 to 3
ture represents the temperature at the station location
(namely, at the plotted station circle), not displaced from 3 4
the station circle as defined by the station plot model.] Scattered SCT
4 5
5 6
6 Broken BKN 7 to 8
7 9
8 Overcast OVC 10
B
4UBUJPO1MPU&YBNQMF C
.&5"3
29 193
.&5"3$::# 10 292 9 +10 34 168
9 +10
10 +1
;,5 4 0 24 0
23 205 32
4.543"#3 10 +7
19
#,/07$ 36
31 147 10 −17
"3., 22 208 1 −14 32
4'4$$# 3/4 +8 28 6
18 4 37 152
"40$5%13&4 10
39 109
−26
6 −21
34 0
6/45%:4-1 38 097 31 0
10 0
44 101
33 0 3 45 132
23 202 4 −9
10 +37 44 129
21 3 47 078 42 35
10 −5 47 090
D
5SBOTMBUJPOPG.&5"3 *OGPGSPN4UO1MPUVOEFSMJOFE
42 12 9 −23
43 126 47 132
3 +42 41 0
41 10 10 −14
.FUFPSPMPHJDBM"WJBUJPO3FQPSUGPS/PSUI#BZ $::#
50 068 41
7 +1
0/
$BOBEBPOUIEBZPGUIFNPOUIBU65$ 48 32 9
53 091
+40
8JOEGSPNUSVFBULOPUT 47 0 57 124
49 108 10 −9
7JTJCJMJUZTUBUVBUFNJMFT LN
9 +39 43 10
46 16
1SFTFOUXFBUIFSJTUIVOEFSTUPSNXJUINPEFSBUFSBJO 56 068 61 085
10 +13 10 −13
BOENJTU 54 15 51
$MPVEDPWFSBHFCSPLFODMPVETXJUICBTFBUGFFU
BCPWFHSPVOE
PWFSDBTUXJUICBTFBUGFFU
5FNQFSBUVSFJT$
BOEEFXQPJOUJT$ Figure 9.16
"MUJNFUFSJTJODIFTPGNFSDVSZ A surface weather map with temperatures highlighted. Units: T
and Td (°F), visibility (miles), speed (knots), pressure and 3-hour
3FNBSLT
tendency (see text), 6-hour precipitation (hundredths of inches).
4USBUVTGSBDUVTDMPVETXJUIDPWFSBHF
BOE
Extracted from a “Daily Weather Map” courtesy of the US
4USBUPDVNVMVTDMPVETXJUIDPWFSBHF
CPUI
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
BTTPDJBUFEXJUIDVNVMPOJNCVT
National Weather Service (NWS), National Centers for Envi-
4FBMFWFMQSFTTVSFJTVOTUFBEZL1B
ronmental Prediction (NCEP), Hydrometeorological Prediction
<"EEJUJPOBMJOGPJOTUBUJPOQMPU
CVUOPUJO.&5"3QBTU
Center (HPC). The date/time of this map is omitted to discour-
XFBUIFSXBTUIVOEFSTUPSNQSFTTVSFGJSTUEFDSFBTFE
age cheating during map-analysis exercises, and the station lo-
UIFOJODSFBTFEXJUIOFUJODSFBTFPGL1BJOIS>
cations are shifted slightly to reduce overlap.
280 chapter 9 • Weather Reports & Map Analysis
B
Map Analysis, Plotting & Isoplething
OPSUI
OPSUI
OPSUI
D
$PME E
$PME
GSP GSPOUBM
GSP OUB
OUB $PM NPWFNFOU
M[ E'S M[
PO POU PO
F F
GSPOUBM
NPWFNFOU 8B
SN
'S
8BSN PO
8BSN U
TPVUI
TPVUI
Figure 9.17
Weather map analysis: a) temperature field, with temperature in (°C) plotted on a Cartesian map; b) isotherm analysis; c) frontal
zone analysis; d) frontal symbols added. [Note: The temperature field in this figure is for a different location and day than the data
that was plotted in Fig. 9.16.]
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 281
Review
Hundreds of thousands of weather observations
are simultaneously made around the world at stan-
dard observation times. Some of these weather ob-
servations are communicated as alphanumeric codes
such as the METAR that can be read and decoded
by humans. A station-plot model is often used to
plot weather data on weather maps. Map analysis is
routinely performed by computer, but you can also
draw isopleths and identify fronts, highs, lows, and
airmasses by hand.
282 chapter 9 • Weather Reports & Map Analysis
i. KEET 022309Z AUTO 05003KT 3SM -RA BR BB BC BD BE BF BG
SCT024 BKN095 23/23 A3005
RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N AND E AND SW
BH BI BJ BK BL BM
j. KCKC 022314Z AUTO 20003KT 2SM DZ
OVC003 13/11 A3009 RMK AO2
BN BO BP BQ BR BS
k. CYQT 022300Z 20006KT 20SM BKN026 OVC061
16/11 A3006 RMK SC5AC2 SLP185
BT BU BV BW BX BY
l. CYYU 022300Z 23013KT 15SM FEW035 BKN100
BKN200 BKN220 23/08 A3013 RMK
CU2AS2CC1CI1 WND ESTD SLP207 BZ B[ CB CC CD CE
(b) 29 193
10 292 9 +10 34 168
9 +10
10 +1
4 0 24 0
(a) 23 205 32 (c)
(d) 10 +7
19
(g) 36
(e) (f) 31 147 10 −17
22 208 1 −14 32
3/4 +8 28 6
18 4 (j) 37 152
39 109 6 −21
10 −26 34 0
(h) 38 097 (i) 31 0
10 0
44 101
(k) 23 202 33 0 (m) 3 (n) 45 132
10 +37 44 129 4 −9
21 3 (l) 47 078 42 35
10 −5 47 090
(o) 43 126
42 12 9 −23
3 +42 (p) 41 0 47 132
41 10 10 −14
50 068 (q) 41
7 +1
53 091
(r) 48 32 9 +40 (t) 57 124
(u) (s) 47 0 10 −9
49 108 43 10
9 +39
46 16 (v) 56 070 (w) 61 085
10 +13 10 −13
54 15 51
Figure 9.19
USA surface weather map. Units: T and Td (°F), visibility (miles), speed (knots), pressure and 3-hour tendency (see text), 6-hour
precipitation (hundredths of inches). Extracted from a “Daily Weather Map” courtesy of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA), National Weather Service (NWS), National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), Hydrometeoro-
logical Prediction Center (HPC). The date/time of this map is omitted to discourage cheating during map-analysis exercises, and the
station locations are shifted slightly to reduce overlap.
(a)
(c)
(d)
(b)
(e)
(f)
(g)
(h) (i)
(j) (m)
(n) (k)
(l)
(o) (p)
(q)
(r)
(t) (u)
(s)
(v)
(z)
Figure 9.20
Canadian weather map courtesy of Environment Canada. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/analysis/index_e.html
Figure 9.21
(see previous page)
286 chapter 9 • Weather Reports & Map Analysis
50°N
2 160
9 −39
−7 0 0 234
13 186 10 −2
9 +15 15 198 −6
8 0 0 115 −24
15 −10 25 235
−12 10 048 9 0 15 +6
6 046 15 −34 18 0
−18 −6 0
−2 0 19 092
12 054 5/8
−43 31 181
9 +4 21 995 16 2421 0843/4 −14
3 4 19 951 1 1/2
−63 −28 29 11
13 976 3 −19 19 8 17 18
1 −4 12 36 136
20 073 9 1 25 872 4 −26 40°N
7 +5 1/2 −30 31 044 34 2641 115
16 0 24 29 32 882 2 33
−34 082 5 −31
21 888 34 948
19 972 2 −5 37 2 −6 8 −43 29 35 3 −35 38 7
21 046 1 −1 16 6 −20 30 16 34 904 32 54 31 52
2 +3 15 0 30 32 839 5 −23 925
34
17 3 3 −10 33 516 +21 54 987
27 797 28 1 34 31 38 944
3 −7 6 2
−31 −71
25 860
24 4 36 48 51 160
3 +3
22 982
22 12 27 818 30 863 34 911 56 951
18 043 2 +15 29 8163 −510 6 −46
19 092 4 1/2
+2 0 +14
36 950 53 82
23 8 3 −4 26 0 27 9
+2 12 0 19 23 3 10 +2240 964
10 0 28 26 010 +45
5 32 27 54 92357 958
21 062 33 921 3 10 −45
10 +3 22 974 21 10 +3 37 969 54 40 55 45
11 3/4 +2 28 886 24 0 10 +17 44 989
18 1 25 937 4 +11 10 +43
3/4 +8 21 0 26 0 63 941
26 998 33 950 37 17 2 62 970
25 069 6 +4 22 0 +5 36 977 38 020 6 −22
+9 17 31 950 10 60 33 60 21
10 +2 28 971 10 23 10 +510 +28 53 990
17 +10 25
10 +10
21 27 10 +44
67 016
18 39 002 39 24 4 −15
0 30 054 30 030 36 994 10 +3 66 974 63 21
23 091 10 +4 10 +13 10 +15 38 003 23 10 +25
10 +7 19 20 19 10 +4 62 81
10 25
38 027 57 011 71 012
−7 10 +1 36 072 10 +53 9 −2
30 091 33 071 33 040 25 34 056 10 +25 48 94 66 30
10 +8 10 +13 10 +2 10 +2 28
−5 14 19 22 23 36 082
10 +18
28 55 057 66 043 73 082
39 066 10 +23 −4
34 072 10 0 42 078 10 +45
62 15 68 30°N
39 092 10 +27 42 15
10 +4 36 072 27 40 099 25 60 061
24 112 10 +11 24 7 −5
10 −1 13 10 +20 10 +47
5 23 32 56 24
47 101
10 +23
63 075
37 107 38 5 75 118
42 096 38 093 10 +11 61 58 +18
10 +14 10 +6 32 59 094 70
41 120 25 28 10 +26
10 +22 50 108 47 78
30 111 8 40 112 10 +21
10 +4 72 104
9 10 +20 34 9 +15
28 55 117 67
10 65 093 71 098
28 120 44 129 +16 62 096 +30 1 +21
10 +12 43 12410 +8 32 +27 49 69
10 10 +8 39
35 74 111 75 143
38 124 6 +21 75 122 11
10 +9
71 6 +17 73 0
22 71
64 118 79 072
51 124
124 +8 +8 76 116
50 12710 +8 43 74 4 +15
10 +12 38 0 72
29 66 110 72 086
+6 +12
Figure 9.22
A surface weather map of central and eastern N. America. Units: T and Td (°F), visibility (miles), speed (knots), pressure and 3-hour
tendency (see text), 6-hour precipitation (hundredths of inches). Extracted from a “Daily Weather Map” courtesy of the US National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Weather Service (NWS), National Centers for Environmental Predic-
tion (NCEP), Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC). The date/time of this map is omitted to discourage cheating during
map-analysis exercises.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 287
A10. Both of the weather maps of Fig. 9.21 corre- S2 What if there were no satellite data? How would
spond to the same weather. Do the following work our ability to analyze the weather change?
on a photocopy of these charts:
a. Draw isotherms and identify warm and cold S3. What if only satellite data existed? How would
centers. Label isotherms every 2°C. our ability to analyze the weather change?
b. Draw isobars every 0.2 kPa and identify high
and low pressure centers. S4. a. Suppose that all the weather observations over
c. Add likely wind vectors to the pressure chart. land were accurate, and all the ones over oceans had
d. Identify the frontal zone(s) and draw the large errors. At mid-latitudes where weather moves
frontal boundary on the temperature chart. from west to east, discuss how forecast skill would
e. Use both charts to determine the type of front vary from coast to coast across a continent such as
(cold, warm), and draw the appropriate N. America.
frontal symbols on the front. b. How would forecast skill be different if ob-
f. Indicate likely regions for clouds and suggest servations over oceans were accurate, and over land
cloud types in those regions. were inaccurate?
g. Indicate likely regions for precipitation.
h. For which hemisphere are these maps? S5. Pilots flying visually (VFR) need a certain mini-
mum visibility and cloud ceiling height. The ceil-
ing is the altitude of the lowest cloud layer that has
a coverage of broken or overcast. If there is an ob-
scuration such as smoke or haze, the ceiling is the
Evaluate & Analyze vertical visibility from the ground looking up.
E1. Are there any locations in the world where you
Use the web to access pilot regulations for your
could get a reasonable surface weather map without
country to learn the ceiling and visibility needed to
first reducing the pressure to mean sea level? Ex-
land VFR at an airport with a control tower. Then
plain.
translate those values into the codes for a station plot
model, and write those values in the appropriate box
E2. What aspects of mean sea level reduction are
relative to a station circle.
physically unsound or weak? Explain.
S6. In Fig. 9.4, notice that west of N. America is a
E3. One of the isoplething instructions was that an
large data-sparse region over the N.E. Pacific Ocean.
isopleth cannot end in the middle of the map. Ex-
This region, shown in Fig. 9.23 below, is called the
plain why such an ending isopleth would imply a
Pacific data void. Although there is buoy and
physically impossible weather situation.
ship data near the surface, and aircraft data near the
tropopause, there is a lack of mid-tropospheric data
E4. Make a photocopy of the surface weather map
in that region.
(Fig. 9.22) on the next page, and analyze your copy
Although Figs. 9.2 - 9.12 show lots of satellite data
by drawing isobars (solid lines), isotherms (dashed
over that region, satellites do not have the vertical
lines), high- and low-pressure centers, airmasses,
coverage and do not measure all the meteorological
and fronts.
variables needed to use as a starting point for accu-
rate weather forecasts.
Suppose you had an unlimited budget. What in-
Synthesize struments and instrument platforms (e.g., weather
S1. Suppose that you wanted to plot a map of thick- ships, etc.) would you deploy to get dense spatial
ness of the 100 to 50 kPa layer (see the General Circu- coverage of temperature, humidity, and winds in the
lation chapter for a review of thickness maps). How- Pacific data void? If you had a limited budget, how
ever, in some parts of the world, the terrain elevation would your proposal be different?
is so high that the surface pressure is lower than 100 [Historical note: Anchored weather ships such
kPa. Namely, part of the 100 to 50 kPa layer would as one called Station Papa at 50°N 145°W were
be below ground. formerly stationed in the N.E. Pacific, but all these
Extend the methods on sea-level pressure reduc- ships were removed due to budget cutbacks. When
tion to create an equation or method for estimat- they were removed, weather-prediction skill over
ing thickness of the 100 to 50 kPa layer over high large parts of N. America measurably decreased, be-
ground, based on available surface and atmospheric cause mid-latitude weather moves from west to east.
sounding data. Namely, air from over the data void regions moves
over North America.]
288 chapter 9 • Weather Reports & Map Analysis
TPVUI
XFTU FBTU
“Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey
of Atmospheric Science” by Roland Stull is licensed
under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCom-
mercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. View this license at Figure 10.1
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ . This work is Winds (arrows) around a low-pressure center (L) in the N.
available at http://www.eos.ubc.ca/books/Practical_Meteorology/ .
Hemisphere. Lines are isobars of sea-level pressure (P).
289
290 chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds
B
1
Winds and Weather Maps
[ L1B Heights on Constant-Pressure Surfaces
LN
Pressure-gradient force is the most important
[
force because it is the only one that can drive winds
LN in the horizontal. Other horizontal forces can alter
an existing wind, but cannot create a wind from
calm air. All the forces, including pressure-gradient
XFTU FBTU force, are explained in the next sections. However,
to understand the pressure gradient, we must first
understand pressure and its atmospheric variation.
We can create weather maps showing values
C
[
of the pressures measured at different horizontal
locations all at the same altitude, such as at mean-
L1B sea-level (MSL). Such a map is called a constant-
height map. However, one of the peculiarities of
meteorology is that we can also create maps on oth-
er surfaces, such as on a surface connecting points
UI
OPS
OPSUI
TPVUI
Items (1) and (5) are less important these days, be-
cause modern radiosondes use GPS (Global Posi-
Table 10-1. Interpretation of wind barbs.
tioning System) to determine their (x, y, z) position.
Symbol Wind Speed Description So they report all meteorological variables (including
calm two concentric circles pressure) as a function of z. Also, some of the modern
weather forecast models do not use pressure as the
1 - 2 speed units shaft with no barbs vertical coordinate. Perhaps future weather analyses
5 speed units a half barb (half line) and numerical predictions will be shown on constant-
height maps.
10 speed units each full barb (full line)
50 speed units each pennant (triangle)
• The total speed is the sum of all barbs and pennants.
8
For example, indicates a wind from the west at
speed 75 units. Arrow tip is at the observation location.
-/
• CAUTION: Different organizations use different
8
Look for a legend to explain the units. When in doubt, /
/
(b) 30 knots = 3 full barbs L1B)FJHIUT LN
8JOET LOPUT
65$
4FQ
B
C
Horizontal Forces
(10.7b)
Fy net Fy AD Fy PG Fy CN Fy CF FyTD
= + + + +
m m m m m m
Fy PG 1 ∆P •(10.9b)
=− ·
m ρ ∆y Sample Application
Minneapolis (MN, USA) is about 400 km north
where ∆P is the pressure change across a distance of of Des Moines (IA, USA). In (Minneapolis , Des Moines)
either ∆x or ∆y, and ρ is the density of air. the pressure is (101, 100) kPa. Find the pressure-gradi-
ent force per unit mass? Let ρ = 1.1 kg·m–3.
Z L1B 1L1B
Find the Answer
/PSUIFSO)FNJTQIFSF
tive), R is radius of curvature, and s is a sign factor
from Table 10-2 as determined by the hemisphere
(North or South) and synoptic pressure center (Low
E
E
E
JO
JO
JO
JO
X
X
or High).
X
'$' '$' '$' '$'
Centrifugal force magnitude is proportional to
wind speed squared:
'$' '$' '$'
4PVUIFSO)FN
'$'
FCN M2 (10.14)
=
E
E
m R
E
JO
JO
JO
JO
X
X
X
Coriolis Force
Figure 10.6
An object such as an air parcel that moves relative
Coriolis force (FCF) vs. latitude, wind-speed, and hemisphere.
to the Earth experiences a compound centrifugal
force based on the combined tangential velocities of
the Earth’s surface and the object. When combined Sample Application (§)
with the non-vertical component of gravity, the re- a) Plot Coriolis parameter vs. latitude.
b) Find FCF/m at Paris, given a north wind of 15 m s–1.
sult is called Coriolis force (see the INFO box on the
next page). This force points 90° to the right of the
Find the Answer:
wind direction in the Northern Hemisphere (Fig.
a) Given: ϕ = 48.874°N at Paris.
10.6), and 90° to the left in the S. Hemisphere.
Find fc (s–1) vs. ϕ(°) using eq. (10.16). For example:
The Earth rotates one full revolution (2π radians) fc = (1.458x10 –4 s–1)·sin(48.874°) = 1.1x10 –4 s–1.
during a sidereal day (i.e., relative to the fixed stars,
Psidereal is a bit less than 24 h, see Appendix B), giving
an angular rotation rate of -BUJUVEF
SPUBUJPO
BYJTPG
speed Mtan along a curved path having radius of cur-
vature R, centrifugal force was shown earlier in
this chapter to be FCN/m = (Mtan)2/R. In Fig 10.a the
object is represented by the black dot, and the center
of rotation is indicated by the X.
Figure 10.c. Horizontal & vertical force components.
.UBO Split the vectors of true gravity into local vertical
FGV and horizontal FGH components. Do the same
'$/N
for the centrifugal force (FCNV , FCNH) of Earth’s rota-
.UBO
3 tion (Fig. 10.c). Total centrifugal force FCN is parallel
3 to the equator (EQ). Thus, for an object at latitude ϕ ,
you can use trig to show FCNH ≈ FCN·sin(ϕ).
9
'$/
EF
1
SB J
UV
BU
B
) MMFM
DPOTUM
Figure 10.d.
&BSUI XJUI '(
FYBHHFSBUFE '&(
Looking down on the
PCMBUFOFTT
North Pole (NP), for an
&RVBUPS &2
object at rest on Earth’s surface.
Objects Moving East or West relative to Earth
Suppose an object moves with velocity M due east
relative to the Earth. This velocity (thin white arrow
41
in Fig. 10.e) is relative to Earth’s velocity, giving the
4PVUI1PMF object a faster total velocity (grey arrow), causing
Figure 10.b. Earth cross section (exaggerated). greater centrifugal force and greater FCNH. But FGH is
(continues in next column) constant. (continues in next column)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 299
Horizontal force FCNH does NOT balance FGH. FGH = FCNH ≡ FCNHR (C1)
The thick white arrow (Fig. 10.e) shows that the force
difference FCF is to the right relative to the object’s and Mtan rest = Ω · R (C2)
motion M. FCF is called Coriolis force.
The opposite imbalance of FCNH and FGH occurs From Fig. 10.e, Coriolis force for an eastward-mov-
for a westward-moving object (thin white arrow), ing object is defined as
because the object has slower net tangential veloc-
ity (grey arrow in Fig. 10.f). This imbalance, Coriolis FCF ≡ FCNH – FGH
force FCF, is also to the right of the relative motion M.
Apply eq. (C1) to get
'$/) The first term is usually much larger than the last,
'$/)OT allowing the following approximation for Coriolis
force per mass:
FCF /m ≈ 2·Ω·sin(ϕ) · M (10.18)
'$/)FX &BSUI
. Define a Coriolis parameter as fc ≡ 2·Ω·sin(ϕ) . Thus,
'$'
FCF /m ≈ fc · M
MBU
JUVE
3
FMJOF QBSBMM
[ Turbulent-Drag Force
Surface elements such as pebbles, blades of grass,
GSFF
BUNPTQIFSF crops, trees, and buildings partially block the wind,
XJOE and disturb the air that flows around them. The
[J combined effect of these elements over an area of
BUNPTQIFSJD ground is to cause resistance to air flow, thereby
'5%
CPVOEBSZ slowing the wind. This resistance is called drag.
DF
UIFSNBM
UVSCVMFO
MBZFS "#-
At the bottom of the troposphere is a layer of air
roughly 0.3 to 3 km thick called the atmospheric
boundary layer (ABL). The ABL is named because
it is at the bottom boundary of the atmosphere. Tur-
. ( Y
bulence in the ABL mixes the very-slow near-surface
FEEJFTDBVTFECZ air with the faster air in the ABL, reducing the wind
TIFBSUVSCVMFODF
speed M throughout the entire ABL (Fig. 10.7).
Figure 10.7 The net result is a drag force that is normally only
Wind speed M (curved black line with white highlights) is slow- felt by air in the ABL. For ABL depth zi the drag is:
er than geostrophic G (vertical dashed line) because of turbulent
drag force FTD in the atmospheric boundary layer. Fx TD
U •(10.19a)
= − wT ·
m zi
Fy TD V •(10.19b)
= − wT ·
m zi
(a) Plugging eq. (10.21) into eq. (10.19a) gives: where dimensionless factor bD = 1.83x10 –3. The
FxTD U (15m/s)2 buoyancy velocity scale, wB, is of order 10 to 50 m
= −CD · M · = −(0.02)·
m zi 1500m s–1, as is explained in the Heat Budget chapter.
For statically neutral conditions where strong
= –3x10 –3 m·s–2.
winds M and wind shears (changes of wind di-
(b) Plugging eq. (10.22) into eq. (10.19a) gives: rection and/or speed with height) create eddies and
Fx TD mechanical turbulence near the ground (Fig. 10.7),
U
= −bD · wB · the transport velocity is
m zi
(15m/s)
= −(0.00183)·(50m/s)· wT = CD · M (10.21)
1500m
= –9.15x10 –4 m·s–2. where the drag coefficient CD is small (2x10 –3
dimensionless) over smooth surfaces and is larger
Check: Physics and units are reasonable. (2x10 –2) over rougher surfaces such as forests.
Exposition: Because the wind is positive (blowing In fair weather, turbulent-drag force is felt only
toward the east) it requires that the drag be negative in the ABL. However, thunderstorm turbulence
(pushing toward the west). Shear (mechanical) tur-
can mix slow near-surface air throughout the tro-
bulence and convective (thermal/buoyant) turbulence
can both cause drag by diluting the faster winds high-
posphere. Fast winds over mountains can create
er in the ABL with slower near-surface winds. mountain-wave drag felt in the whole atmosphere
(see the Regional Winds chapter).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 301
Summary of Forces
pressure from high to low FPG ∆z the only force that can drive
2 = g· V&H
gradient pressure m ∆d horizontal winds
*Horizontal is the direction we will focus on. However, Coriolis force has a small vertical component for zonal winds. Turbulent drag
can exist in the vertical for rising or sinking air, but has completely different form than the boundary-layer drag given above. Cen-
trifugal force can exist in the vertical for vortices with horizontal axes. Note: units N kg–1 = m·s –2.
Combining the forces from eqs. (10.7, 10.8, 10.9, The terms on the right side of eqs. (10.23) can all
10.17, and 10.19) into Newton’s Second Law of Mo- be of order 1x10 –4 to 10x10 –4 m·s–2 (which is equiva-
tion (eq. 10.5) gives simplified equations of horizon- lent to units of N kg–1, see Appendix A for review).
tal motion: However, some of the terms can be neglected under
•(10.23a) special conditions where the flow is less compli-
cated. For example, near-zero Coriolis force occurs
∆U ∆U ∆U ∆U 1 ∆P U
= −U −V −W − · + fc · V − wT · near the equator. Near-zero turbulent drag exists
∆t ∆x ∆y ∆z ρ ∆x zi above the ABL. Near-zero pressure gradient is at
low- and high-pressure centers.
•(10.23b) Other situations are more complicated, for which
additional terms should be added to the equations of
∆V ∆V ∆V ∆V 1 ∆P V horizontal motion. Within a few mm of the ground,
= −U −V −W − · − fc ·U − wT ·
∆t ∆x ∆y ∆z ρ ∆y zi molecular friction is large. Above mountains
during windy conditions, mountain-wave drag is
}
}
}
}
}
1 ∆P
0 = − · − f c · U (10.25b)
ρ ∆y
Sample Application
Find geostrophic wind components at a location
where ρ = 1.2 kg m–3 and fc = 1.1x10 –4 s–1. Pressure Define U ≡ Ug and V ≡ Vg in the equations above,
decreases by 2 kPa for each 800 km of distance north. and then solve for these wind components:
Z å[åE NLN
åE
åE
XJ XJ XJ XJ XJ XJ
OE OE OE OE OE OE
(
NT
MBUJUVEF
1L1B
Y
Figure 10.9
Isobars (black lines) that are more closely spaced (i.e., tightly
packed) cause stronger geostrophic winds (arrows), for N.
Hemisphere.
g ∆z •(10.29b)
Vg = + ·
f c ∆x
INFO • Approach to Geostrophy
where the Coriolis parameter is fc , and gravitational
acceleration is |g| = 9.8 m·s–2. The corresponding How does an air parcel, starting from rest, ap-
magnitude of geostrophic wind on an isobaric chart proach the final steady-state geostrophic wind speed
is: G sketched in Fig. 10.8?
Start with the equations of horizontal motion (10.23),
g ∆z and ignore all terms except the tendency, pressure-
G= · •(10.29c) gradient force, and Coriolis force. Use the definition of
fc ∆ d
continues on next page
304 chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds
-
L1B
L1B
)
B
L 1
1
1 L1B
B
L1
'$'
'1(
L
1 B
BU
M
DF
Q
BS I PG
Q BJ B
G BJ S SQ L1
P BSDF
L1 'OFU QBUI .UBO M 'OFU
B (
.UBO (
B
L '$' L1
1B '1(
Z
Z
Y ) Y -
Figure 10.11 Figure 10.12
Forces (dark arrows) that cause the gradient wind (solid grey Forces (dark arrows) that cause the gradient wind (solid grey
arrow, Mtan) to be slower than geostrophic (hollow grey arrow) arrow, Mtan) to be faster than geostrophic (hollow grey arrow)
when circling around a low-pressure center (called a cyclone in for an air parcel (grey sphere) circling around a high-pressure
the N. Hem.). The short white arrow with black outline shows center (called an anticyclone in the N. Hemisphere).
centripetal force (the imbalance between the other two forces).
Centripetal force pulls the air parcel (grey sphere) inward to
L1B
force the wind direction to change as needed for the wind to turn
Z
along a circular path.
.UBO
(
By re-arranging eq. (10.32) and plugging in the
definition for geostrophic wind speed G, you can get
an implicit solution for the gradient wind Mtan:
(
M 2 (10.33) .UBO
Mtan = G ± tan
fc · R
(
In this equation, use the + sign for flow around high-
pressure centers, and the – sign for flow around lows .UBO 1L1B
(Fig. 10.13).
Y
Figure 10.13
Comparison of gradient winds Mtan vs. geostrophic wind G for
flows around low (L) and high (H) pressures. N. Hemisphere.
Sample Application
What radius of curvature causes the gradient wind to equal the geostrophic wind?
Check: Eq. (10.33) still balances in this limit. Exposition: Infinite radius of curvature is a straight line, which (in
the absence of any other forces such as turbulent drag) is the condition for geostrophic wind.
306 chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds
G
· 1 − ( 1 − 4 · Roc ) (10.36b)
1/2
Mtan =
2 · Roc
'BTU (
i4MPXFS
BSPVOE-PXTu
Canada .UBO
5VSCVMFOU%SBH
Europe ."#-(
8JOE
Atlantic 4QFFE
Ocean .UBO
5VSCVMFOU%SBH
i'BTUFS
."#-( BSPVOE)JHITu
Figure 10.15 4MPX (
Illustration of strong pressure gradients (closely-spaced isobars)
around the low-pressure center (L) over eastern Canada, and -PX )JHI
weak pressure gradients (isobars spaced further apart) around 1SFTTVSF$FOUFS
the high (H) over the NE Atlantic Ocean. NCEP reanalysis
of daily-average mean sea-level pressure (Pa) for 5 Feb 2013. Figure 10.16
Pressures in the low & high centers were 96.11 & 104.05 kPa. Relative magnitudes of different wind speeds around low- and
Pressure variation along the dotted line is similar to that plotted high-pressure centers. G = geostrophic wind, Mtan = gradient
in the previous figure. [Courtesy of the NOAA/NCEP Earth wind speed, M ABLG = atmospheric-boundary-layer gradient
Systems Research Laboratory. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/ wind speed. G is smaller in highs than in lows, because it is not
data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis.html ] physically possible to have strong pressure gradients to drive
strong steady-state winds at high centers.
where the center pressure in the high (anticyclone) is
Pc , or for an isobaric surface the center height is zc,
the Coriolis parameter is fc , |g| is gravitational ac-
celeration magnitude, ρ is air density, and the radius
from the center of the high is R (see Fig. 10.14).
Figs. 10.14 and 10.15 show that pressure gradi-
ents, and thus the geostrophic wind, can be large
near low centers. However, pressure gradients, and
thus the geostrophic wind, must be small near high
centers. This difference in geostrophic wind speed
G between lows and highs is sketched in Fig. 10.16.
The slowdown of gradient wind Mtan (relative to
geostrophic) around lows, and the speedup of gra-
1L1B
-
dient wind (relative to geostrophic) around highs
is also plotted in Fig. 10.16. The net result is that
'1(
gradient winds, and even atmospheric boundary-
."#-
layer gradient winds M ABLG (described later in this
L1B
chapter), are usually stronger (in an absolute sense)
around lows than highs. For this reason, low-pres- B (
sure centers are often windy. '5%
L1B
Atmospheric-Boundary-Layer Wind
If you add turbulent drag to winds that would have '$' Z
been geostrophic, the result is a subgeostrophic
(slower-than-geostrophic) wind that crosses the iso- L1B
bars at angle (α) (Fig. 10.17). This condition is found
in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) where the ) Y
JSQBSDFM
1 L1B
layer (ABL), there is an imbalance of the following
forces: Coriolis, pressure-gradient, and drag. This
IPGB
imbalance is a centripetal force that makes ABL air
spiral outward from highs and inward toward lows '1(
L
QBU
1B
(Fig. 10.18). An example was shown in Fig. 10.1. ."#-(
If we devise a centrifugal force equal in mag-
nitude but opposite in direction to the centripetal 'OFU .UBO
L1 B
force, then the equations of motion can be written B (
for spiraling flow that is steady over any point on '5%
the Earth’s surface (i.e., NOT following the parcel):
'$'
L
1B
1 ∆P U V·M Z
0 = − · + f c · V − wT · + s · (10.43a)
ρ ∆x zi R
1 ∆P V U·M
Y
)
0 = − · − f c · U − wT · − s · (10.43b)
ρ ∆y zi R Figure 10.18
Imbalance of forces (black arrows) yield a net centripetal force
(Fnet) that causes the atmospheric-boundary-layer gradient
}
}
}
}
pressure turbulent wind (M ABLG, solid grey arrow) to be slower than both the
Coriolis centrifugal
gradient drag gradient wind (Mtan) and geostrophic wind (G). The resulting
air-parcel path crosses the isobars at a small angle α toward low
pressure.
We can anticipate that the ABLG winds should
be slower than the corresponding gradient winds,
and should cross isobars toward lower pressure at
some small angle α (see Fig. 10.19). Z
Lows are often overcast and windy, implying that
JTP
the atmospheric boundary layer is statically neutral. CB
S Y
For this situation, the transport velocity is given by:
T
wT = CD · M = CD · U 2 + V 2 (10.21 again)
1 1B
become faster than geostrophic (supergeostrophic),
L
'1(
leading to a low-altitude phenomenon called the
nocturnal jet. See the Atmospheric Boundary
L
Layer chapter for details. 'OFU
1B
M
DF
BS
SQ
Cyclostrophic Wind P G BJ
Winds in tornadoes are about 100 m s–1, and in L1 QBUI .
B DT
waterspouts are about 50 m s–1. As a tornado first
forms and tangential winds increase, centrifugal '$'
force increases much more rapidly than Coriolis
force. Centrifugal force quickly becomes the domi-
nant force that balances pressure-gradient force (Fig. Figure 10.20
10.20). Thus, a steady-state rotating wind is reached Around tornadoes, pressure gradient force FPG is so strong that
at much slower speeds than the gradient wind it greatly exceeds all other forces such as Coriolis force FCF.
speed. The net force (Fnet) pulls the air around the tight circle at the
If the tangential velocity around the vortex is cyclostrophic wind speed (Mcs).
steady, then the steady-state force balance is:
1 ∆P V·M (10.45a)
0 = − · + s ·
ρ ∆x R
Sample Application
0 = − 1 · ∆P − s · U · M (10.45b) A 10 m radius waterspout has a tangential velocity
ρ ∆y R of 45 m s–1. What is the radial pressure gradient?
}
}
pressure
Find the Answer
gradient
centrifugal Given: Mcs = 45 m s–1, R = 10 m.
Find: ∆P/∆R = ? kPa m–1.
You can use cylindrical coordinates to simplify
Assume cyclostrophic wind, and ρ = 1 kg m–3.
solution for the cyclostrophic (tangential) winds
Rearrange eq. (10.46):
Mcs around the vortex. The result is:
∆P ρ 2 (1kg/m 3 )·( 45m/s)2
= · Mcs =
R ∆P (10.46) ∆R R 10m
Mcs = ·
ρ ∆R ∆P/∆R = 202.5 kg·m–1·s–2 / m = 0.2 kPa m–1.
where the velocity Mcs is at distance R from the vor- Check: Physics & units are reasonable.
tex center, and the radial pressure gradient in the Exposition: This is 2 kPa across the 10 m waterspout
vortex is ∆P/∆R. radius, which is 1000 times greater than typical synop-
tic-scale pressure gradients on weather maps.
312 chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds
zi · fc ·G Sample Application
Ma = (10.50)
In a 1 km thick convective boundary layer at a loca-
wT
tion where fc = 10 –4 s–1, the geostrophic wind is 5 m s–1.
The turbulent transport velocity is 0.02 m s–1. Find the
For free-convective boundary layers, wT = bD·wB is antitriptic wind speed.
not a function of wind speed, so Ma is proportional
to G. However, for windy forced-convection bound- Find the Answer
ary layers, wT = CD·Ma, so solving for Ma shows it to Given: G = 5 m s–1, zi = 1000 m, fc = 10 –4 s–1,
be proportional to the square root of G. wT = 0.02 m s–1
This wind would be found in the atmospheric Find: Ma = ? m s–1
boundary layer, and would occur as an along-valley
component of “long gap” winds (see the Regional Use eq. (10.50):
Ma = (1000m)·(10 –4 s–1)·(5m s–1) / (0.02 m s–1)
Winds chapter). It is also sometimes thought to be
= 25 m s –1
relevant for thunderstorm cold-air outflow and for
steady sea breezes. However, in most other situa-
Check: Magnitude is too large. Units reasonable.
tions, Coriolis force should not be neglected; thus,
Exposition: Eq. (10.50) can give winds of Ma > G for
the atmospheric boundary-layer wind and BL Gra- many convective conditions, for which case Coriolis
dient winds are much better representations of na- force would be expected to be large enough that it
ture than the antitriptic wind. should not be neglected. Thus, antitriptic winds are
unphysical. However, for forced-convective bound-
ary layers where drag is proportional to wind speed
Summary of Horizontal Winds squared, reasonable solutions are possible.
Table 10-5 summarizes the idealized horizontal
winds that were discussed earlier in this chapter.
On real weather maps such as Fig. 10.23, isobars
or height contours have complex shapes. In some
regions the height contours are straight (suggesting
that actual winds should nearly equal geostrophic
or boundary-layer winds), while in other regions the
height contours are curved (suggesting gradient or
boundary-layer gradient winds). Also, as air parcels INFO • The Rossby Number
move between straight and curved regions, they are
sometimes not quite in equilibrium. Nonetheless, The Rossby number (Ro) is a dimensionless ratio
when studying weather maps you can quickly esti- defined by
mate the winds using the summary table. M M
Ro = or Ro =
fc ·L fc ·R
where M is wind speed, fc is the Coriolis parameter,
L is a characteristic length scale, and R is radius of
- curvature.
In the equations of motion, suppose that advection
- terms such as U·∆U/∆x are order of magnitude M2/L,
and Coriolis terms are of order fc·M. Then the Rossby
$BOBEB "UMBOUJD0DFBO number is like the ratio of advection to Coriolis terms:
(M2/L) / (fc·M) = M/(fc·L) = Ro. Or, we could consider
&VSPQF the Rossby number as the ratio of centrifugal (order of
[LN
M2/R) to Coriolis terms, yielding M/(fc·R) = Ro.
Use the Rossby number as follows. If Ro < 1, then
) Coriolis force is a dominant force, and the flow tends
to become geostrophic (or gradient, for curved flow).
If Ro > 1, then the flow tends not to be geostrophic.
Figure 10.23 For example, a midlatitude cyclone (low-pressure
One-day average geopotential heights z (thick lines in km, thin system) has approximately M = 10 m s–1, fc = 10 –4 s–1,
lines in m) on the 20 kPa isobaric surface for 5 Feb 2013. Close and R = 1000 km, which gives Ro = 0.1 . Hence, mid-
spacing (tight packing) of the height contours indicate faster latitude cyclones tend to adjust toward geostrophic
winds. This upper-level chart is for the same day and location balance, because Ro < 1. In contrast, a tornado has
(Atlantic Ocean) as the mean-sea-level pressure chart in Fig. roughly M = 50 m s–1, fc = 10 –4 s–1, and R = 50 m,
10.15. [Courtesy of NOAA/NCEP Earth System Research Lab. which gives Ro = 10,000, which is so much greater
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanaly- than one that geostrophic balance is not relevant.
sis.html ]
314 chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds
Horizontal Motion
}
}
}
}
pressure turbulent
tendency advection Coriolis
gradient drag
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 315
NJDSPTDBMF
to be similar to a pancake. However, phenomena NJDSPC TVSGBDFMBZFSUVSCVMFODF
N
with smaller horizontal scale can have aspect ratios NJDSPH
N JOFSUJBMTVCSBOHFUVSCVMFODF
(width/height) of about one; namely, their character-
NN
istics are isotropic. NJDSPE
NN GJOFTDBMFUVSCVMFODF
Larger-scale meteorological phenomena tend to
NN
exist for longer durations than smaller-scale ones. WJTDPVT EJTTJQBUJPOTVCSBOHF
N
Fig. 10.24 shows that time scales τ and horizontal NFBOGSFFQBUICFUXFFONPMFD
N NPMFDVMBS
length scales λ of many meteorological phenomena NPMFDVMFTJ[FT
nearly follow a straight line on a log-log plot. This
/PUF%JTBHSFFNFOUBNPOHEJGGFSFOUPSHBOJ[BUJPOT
implies that 4ZOPQUJD".4LN8.0LN
τ/τo = (λ/λo)b (10.53) .FTPTDBMF".4LN8.0LN
.JDSPTDBMF".4LN8.0DNLN
where τo ≈ 10 –3 h, λo ≈ 10 –3 km, and b ≈ 7/8. XIFSF".4"NFSJDBO.FUFPSPMPHJDBM4PDJFUZ
BOE8.08PSME.FUFPSPMPHJDBM0SHBOJ[BUJPO
In the next several chapters, we cover weather
phenomena from largest to smallest horiz. scales:
• Chapter 11 General Circulation (planetary)
• Chapter 12 Fronts & Airmasses (synoptic)
• Chapter 13 Extratropical Cyclones (synoptic)
EFDBEF
• Chapter 14 Thunderstorm Fundam. (meso β) HMPCBM
DJSDVMBUJPO
• Chapter 15 Thunderstorm Hazards (meso γ) DMJNBUF
ZFBS
• Chapter 16 Tropical Cyclones (meso α & β) WBSJBUJPOT
we cover thunderstorms first because they are the GSPOUT DZDMPOFT
MPDBM
tude cyclones often contain fronts, so fronts are cov- XJOET .$4
UIFSNBMT &BSUI$JSDVNGFSFODF
UVSCVMFODF
QSPEVDUJPO
Vertical Forces and Motion
NJOVUF
UVSCVMFODF
DBTDBEF
Forces acting in the vertical can cause or change
vertical velocities, according to Newton’s Second
Law. In an Eulerian framework, the vertical com- )PSJ[POUBM4DBMF LN
}
}
}
S LHNm
where the vertical acceleration given in the left side
of the equation is determined by the sum of all
forces/mass acting in the vertical, as given on the
right. For Cartesian directions (x, y, z) the velocity
components are (U, V, W). Also in this equation are
air density (ρ), pressure (P), vertical turbulent-drag
force (Fz TD), mass (m), and time (t). Magnitude of
gravitational acceleration is |g| = 9.8 m·s–2. Coriolis
TUSBUPTQIFSF
[ force is negligible in the vertical (see the INFO box
LN
on Coriolis Force in 3-D, earlier in this chapter), and is
not included in the equation above.
Recall from Chapter 1 that our atmosphere has
an extremely large pressure gradient in the verti-
cal, which is almost completely balanced by gravity
USPQPTQIFSF (Fig. 10.25). Also, there is a large density gradient
in the vertical. We can define these large terms as a
mean background state or a reference state of
1 L1B
the atmosphere. Use the overbar over variables to
indicate their average background state. Define this
Figure 10.25 background state such that it is exactly in hydro-
Background state, showing change of mean atmospheric pres- static balance (see Chapter 1):
P = P +and
sure ρ = ρ +with
P ' mean density ρ′ height z, based on a standard
atmosphere from Chapter 1. ∆P (10.55)
= −ρ · g
∆z
1 ∆P
− −ρ g (10.56)
Sample Application ρ ∆z
Suppose your neighborhood has a background en-
vironmental temperature of 20°C, but at your particu- But total density ρ can be divided into background
lar location the temperature is 26°C with a 4 m s–1 west ρ =( ρ )+ and ρ = ρ +( ρ′ ) components: ρ = ρ + ρ′ . Do
ρ′ deviation
wind and no vertical velocity. Just 3 km west is an 5 m the same for pressure: P = P + P ' . Thus, eq. (10.56)
s–1 updraft. Find the vertical acceleration. can be expanded as:
Find the Answer
Given: Te = 273+20 = 293 K, ∆θ = 6°C, U= 4 m s–1 1 ∆ P ∆ P′
− ∆z − ∆ z − ρ g − ρ′ g (10.57)
∆W/∆x= (5 m s–1 – 0) / (–3,000m – 0)
Find: ∆W/∆t = ? m·s–2
( )
ρ + ρ′
Assume: Because W = 0, there is zero drag. Because
the air is dry: Tv = T. Given no V info, assume zero. The first and third terms in square brackets in eq.
(10.57) cancel out, due to hydrostatic balance (eq.
Apply eq. (10.59): ∆W ∆W θ p − θe 10.55) of the background state.
= −U + ·g
∆t ∆x Te In the atmosphere, density perturbations ρ = ρ +( ρ′ ) are
∆W/∆t = –(4 m s–1)·(–5m·s–1/3,000m)+(6/293)·(9.8m·s–2) usually much smaller than mean density. Thus densi-
= 0.0067 + 0.20 = 0.21 m·s –2 ty perturbations can be neglected everywhere except
in the gravity term, where ρ′ g / ( ρ + ρ′ ) ≈ ( ρ′ / ρ ) · g .
Check: Physics & units are reasonable. This is called the Boussinesq approximation.
Exposition: Buoyancy dominated over advection for Recall from the chapters 1 and 5 that you can use
this example. Although drag was zero initially be-
virtual temperature (Tv) with the ideal gas law in
cause of zero initial vertical velocity, we must include
place of air density (but changing the sign because
the drag term once the updraft forms.
low virtual temperatures imply high densities):
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 317
1 ∆ P ′ θv p − θv e Fz TD
− + ·g −
ρ ∆z Tve m 8å8
Continuity Equation Use eq. (10.60), with U = W = 0 because the other walls,
For a fixed Eulerian volume, the mass budget roof, and floor prevent winds in those directions:
equation (i.e., the continuity equation) is: ∆ρ V − VS.entr . kg ( −60 − 0)m/s
(10.60) = −ρ N .entr . = − 1.2 3
∆t ∆ ytunnel m (20)m
∆ρ ∆ρ ∆ρ ∆ρ ∆U ∆V ∆W ∆ρ/∆t = +3.6 kg·m–3·s–1 .
= −U −V −W − ρ + +
∆t ∆x ∆y ∆z ∆x ∆y ∆z
Check: Physics & units are reasonable.
The terms in curly braces { } describe advection. Exposition: As air density increases, so will air pres-
sure. This pressure might be sufficient to blow open
With a bit of calculus one can rewrite this equation
the other door at the south end of the pedestrian tun-
as:
nel, allowing the density to decrease as air escapes.
318 chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds
Figure 10.28
In this approximation, you must use a Brunt-Väisälä
Application of atmospheric boundary-layer gradient winds
frequency NBV that is valid for the statically stable VABLG to estimate the vertical velocity WABL due to atmospher-
air in the troposphere above the top of the statically ic boundary-layer pumping around a low-pressure center (L).
neutral atmospheric boundary layer. For this spe- G = geostrophic wind.
cial approximation: b = { 1 – 0.5·[CD·NBV/fc]}. A re-
quired condition for a physically realistic solution is
[CD·NBV/fc] < 1.
You can interpret eq. (10.66) as follows. Stronger
pressure gradients (which cause larger geostrophic
wind G), larger drag coefficients, and smaller radii
of curvature cause greater atmospheric boundary-
layer pumping WABL.
Although the equations above allow a complete
approximate solution, we can rewrite them in terms
of a geostrophic relative vorticity:
2· G
ζg = (10.68)
R
which indicates air rotation. Vorticity is introduced
later in this chapter, and is covered in greater detail
in the General Circulation chapter.
320 chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds
∆U ∆ V (10.72)
D= +
∆x ∆y
∆ V ∆U (10.73)
ζr = −
∆x ∆y
Z
The sign is positive for counterclockwise rotation
(i.e., cyclonic rotation in the N. Hemisphere), and
negative for clockwise rotation. Vorticity is dis-
Y
cussed in greater detail in the General Circulation
chapter. Neither divergence nor vorticity vary with
rotation of the axes — they are rotationally in-
variant.
C
7PSUJDJUZ
Two types of deformation are stretching defor-
mation and shearing deformation (Figs. 10.29c & d).
Stretching deformation, F1, is given by:
∆U ∆ V (10.74)
F1 = −
∆x ∆y Z
∆ V ∆U (10.75)
F2 = +
∆x ∆y
Measuring Winds
anemometer has a propellor mounted on a hori- If all the forces vector-sum to zero, then there
zontal axel that is attached to a wind vane so it al- is no net force and winds blow at constant speed.
ways points into the wind. For these anemometers, Theoretical winds based on only a small number
the rotation speed of the axel can be calibrated as a of forces are given special names. The geostrophic
wind speed. wind occurs when pressure-gradient and Coriolis
Other ways to measure wind speed include a hot- forces balance, causing a wind that blows parallel
wire or hot-film anemometer, where a fine metal to straight isobars. For curved isobars around lows
wire is heated electrically, and the power needed to and highs, the imbalance between these two forces
maintain the hot temperature against the cooling turns the wind in a circle, with the result called the
effect of the wind is a measure of wind speed. A gradient wind. Similar winds can exist in the atmo-
pitot tube that points into the wind measures the spheric boundary layer, where turbulent drag of the
dynamic pressure as the moving air stagnates in a air against the Earth’s surface slows the wind and
dead-end tube. By comparing this dynamic pres- causes it to turn slightly to cross the isobars toward
sure with the static pressure measured by a differ- low pressure.
ent sensor, the pressure difference can be related to Waterspouts and tornadoes can have such strong
wind speed. winds that pressure-gradient force is balanced by
Sonic anemometers send pulses of sound back centrifugal force, with the resulting wind speed
and forth across a short open path between two op- known as the cyclostrophic wind. In oceans, cur-
posing transmitters and receivers of sound. The rents can inertially flow in a circle.
speed of sound depends on both temperature and The two most important force balances at mid-
wind speed, so this sensor can measure both. Trac- latitudes are hydrostatic balance in the vertical, and
ers such as smoke, humidity fluctuations, or clouds geostrophic balance in the horizontal.
can be tracked photogramatically from the ground Conservation of air mass gives the continuity
or from remote sensors such as laser radars (lidars) equation, for which an incompressible approxima-
or satellites, and the wind speed then estimated tion can be used in most places except in thunder-
from the change of position of the tracer between storms. Mechanisms that cause motion in one di-
successive images. rection (horizontal or vertical) will also indirectly
Measurements of wind vs. height can be made cause motions in the other direction as the air tries
with rawinsonde balloons (using a GPS receiver to maintain continuity, resulting in a circulation.
in the sonde payload to track horizontal drift of the Kinematics is the word that describes the be-
balloons with time), dropsondes (like rawinsondes, havior and effect of winds (such as given by the con-
only descending by parachute after being dropped tinuity equation) without regard to the forces that
from aircraft), pilot balloons (carrying no payload, cause them. The word dynamics describes how
but being tracked instead from the ground using forces cause winds (as given by Newton’s 2nd law).
radar or theodolites), wind profilers, Doppler
weather radar (see the Satellites & Radar chapter),
and via anemometers mounted on aircraft.
Homework Exercises
B2. Get 50 kPa height contour maps (i.e., 500 hPa the altitude of the storm (ie., a map for any pressure
heights) over any portion of the Northern Hemi- level between 85 to 60 kPa). At the eye-wall location,
sphere. In 2 locations at different latitudes hav- use the height-gradient to calculate the cyclostrophic
ing straight isobars, compute the geostrophic wind wind speed. Compare this with the observed hur-
speed. In 2 locations of curved isobars, compute ricane winds at that same approximate location, and
the gradient wind speed. How do these theoreti- discuss any differences.
cal winds compare with wind observations near the
same locations? B10. Get a 500 hPa (= 50 kPa) geopotential height
contour map that is near or over the equator. Com-
B3. Similar exercise B2, but for 2 locations in the pute the theoretical geostrophic wind speed based
Southern Hemisphere. on the height gradients at 2 locations on that map
where there are also observed upper-air wind
B4. a. Using your results from exercise B2 or B3, plot speeds. Explain why these theoretical wind speeds
the geostrophic wind speed vs. latitude and pres- disagree with observed winds.
sure gradient on a copy of Fig. 10.10. Discuss the
agreement or disagreement of your results vs. the
Apply
lines plotted in that figure.
A1. Plot the wind symbol for winds with the follow-
b. Using your results from exercise B4 or B5,
ing directions and speeds:
show that gradient winds are indeed faster than
a. N at 5 kt b. NE at 35 kt c. E at 65 kt
geostrophic around high-pressure centers, and
d. SE at 12 kt e. S at 48 kt f. SW at 105 kt
slower around low-pressure centers.
g. W at 27 kt h. NW at 50 kt i. N at 125 kt
B5. Discuss surprising insights regarding Isacc
A2. How fast does an 80 kg person accelerate when
Newton’s discoveries on forces and motion.
pulled with the force given below in Newtons?
a. 1 b. 2 c. 5 d. 10 e. 20 f. 50
B6. Get a map of sea-level pressure, including isobar
g. 100 h. 200 i. 500 j. 1000 k. 2000
lines, for a location or date where there are strong
low and high-pressure centers adjacent to each
A3. Suppose the following force per mass is applied
other. On a printed copy of this map, use a straight
on an object. Find its speed 2 minutes after starting
edge to draw a line connecting the low and high
from rest.
centers, and extend the line further beyond each
a. 5 N kg–1 b. 10 m·s–2
center. Arbitrarily define the high center as location
c. 15 N kg–1 d. 20 m·s–2
x = 0. Then, along your straight line, add distance
e. 25 N kg–1 f. 30 m·s–2
tic marks appropriate for the map scale you are us-
g. 35 N kg–1 h. 40 m·s–2
ing. For isobars crossing your line, create a table
i. 45 N kg–1 j. 50 m·s–2
that lists each pressure P and its distance x from the
high. Then plot P vs. x and discuss how it compares
A4. Find the advective “force” per unit mass given
with Fig. 10.14. Discuss the shape of your curve in
the following wind components (m s–1) and hori-
the low- and high-pressure regions.
zontal distances (km):
a. U=10, ∆U=5, ∆x=3
B7. Which animations best illustrate Coriolis Force?
b. U=6, ∆U=–10, ∆x=5
c. U=–8, ∆V=20, ∆x=10
B8. a. Get a map of sea-level pressure isobars that
d. U=–4, ∆V=10, ∆x=–2
also shows observed wind directions. Discuss why
e. V=3, ∆U=10, ∆y=10
the observed winds have a direction that crosses the
f. V=–5, ∆U=10, ∆y=4
isobars, and calculate a typical crossing angle..
g. V=7, ∆V=–2, ∆y=–50
b. For regions where those isobars curve around
h. V=–9, ∆V=–10, ∆y=–6
cyclones or anticyclones, confirm that winds spiral
into lows and out of highs.
A5. Town A is 500 km west of town B. The pressure
c. For air spiraling in toward a cyclone, estimate
at town A is given below, and the pressure at town B
the average inflow radial velocity component, and
is 100.1 kPa. Calculate the pressure-gradient force/
calculate WBL based on incompressible continuity.
mass in between these two towns.
a. 98.6 b. 98.8 c. 99.0 d. 99.2 e. 99.4
B9. For a typhoon or hurricane, get a current or past
f. 99.6 g. 99.8 h. 100.0 i. 100.2 j. 100.4
weather map showing height-contours for any one
k. 100.6 l. 100.8 m. 101.0 n. 101.2 o. 101.4
isobaric level corresponding to an altitude about 1/3
324 chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds
A6. Suppose that U = 8 m s–1 and V = –3 m s–1, and a. pressure gradient b. Coriolis
latitude = 45° Calculate centrifugal-force compo- c. centrifugal d. drag
nents around a:
a. 500 km radius low in the N. hemisphere A12. Given the pressure gradient magnitude
b. 900 km radius high in the N. hemisphere (kPa/1000 km) below, find geostrophic wind speed
c. 400 km radius low in the S. hemisphere for a location having fc = 1.1x10 –4 s–1 and ρ = 0.8 kg
d. 500 km radius high in the S. hemisphere m–3.
a. 1 b. 2 c. 3 d. 4 e. 5
A7. What is the value of fc (Coriolis parameter) at: f. 6 g. 7 h. 8 i. 9 j. 10
a. Shanghai k. 11 m. 12 n. 13 o. 14 p. 15
b. Istanbul
c. Karachi A13. Suppose the height gradient on an isobaric sur-
d. Mumbai face is given below in units of (m km–1). Calculate
e. Moscow the geostrophic wind at 55°N latitude.
f. Beijing a. 0.1 b. 0.2 c. 0.3 d. 0.4 e. 0.5
g. São Paulo f. 0.6 g. 0.7 h. 0.8 i. 0.9 j. 1.0
h. Tianjin k. 1.1 m. 1.2 n. 1.3 o. 1.4 p. 1.5
i. Guangzhou
j. Delhi A14. At the radius (km) given below from a low-
k. Seoul pressure center, find the gradient wind speed
l. Shenzhen given a geostrophic wind of 8 m s–1 and given fc =
m. Jakarta 1.1x10 –4 s–1.
n. Tokyo a. 500 b. 600 c. 700 d. 800 e. 900
o. Mexico City f. 1000 g. 1200 h. 1500 i. 2000 j. 2500
p. Kinshasa
q. Bangalore A15. Suppose the geostrophic winds are Ug = –3 m
r. New York City s–1 with Vg = 8 m s–1 for a statically-neutral bound-
s. Tehran ary layer of depth zi = 1500 m, where fc = 1.1x10 –4 s–1.
t. (a city specified by your instructor) For drag coefficients given below, what is the atmos.
boundary-layer wind speed, and at what angle does
A8. What is the magnitude and direction of Coriolis this wind cross the geostrophic wind vector?
force/mass in Los Angeles, USA, given: a. 0.002 b. 0.004 c. 0.006 d. 0.008 e. 0.010
U (m s–1 ) V (m s–1) f. 0.012 g. 0.014 h. 0.016 i. 0.018 j. 0.019
a. 5 0
b. 5 5 A16. For a statically unstable atmos. boundary layer
c. 5 –5 with other characteristics similar to those in exercise
d. 0 5 A15, what is the atmos. boundary-layer wind speed,
e. 0 –5 at what angle does this wind cross the geostrophic
f. –5 0 wind vector, given wB (m s–1) below?
g. –5 –5 a. 75 b. 100 c. 50 d. 200 e. 150
h. –5 5 f. 225 g. 125 h. 250 i. 175 j. 275
A9. Same wind components as exercise A8, but find A17(§). Review the Sample Application in the “At-
the magnitude and direction of turbulent drag force/ mospheric Boundary Layer Gradient Wind” section.
mass in a statically neutral atmospheric boundary Re-do that calculation for MABLG with a different
layer over an extensive forested region. parameter as given below:
a. zi = 1 km b. CD = 0.003 c. G = 8 m s–1
A10. Same wind components as exercise A8, but find d. fc = 1.2x10 –4 s–1 e. R = 2000 km
the magnitude and direction of turbulent drag force/ f. G = 15 m s–1 g. zi = 1.5 km h. CD = 0.005
mass in a statically unstable atmospheric boundary i. R = 1500 km j. fc = 1.5x10 –4 s–1
layer with a 50 m/s buoyant velocity scale. Hint: Assume all other parameters are unchanged.
A11. Draw a northwest wind of 5 m s–1 in the S. A18. Find the cyclostrophic wind at radius (m) given
Hemisphere on a graph, and show the directions below, for a radial pressure gradient = 0.5 kPa m–1:
of forces acting on it. Assume it is in the boundary a. 10 b. 12 c. 14 d. 16 e. 18
layer. f. 20 g. 22 h. 24 i. 26 j. 28 k 30
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 325
A20. Find the antitriptic wind for the conditions of E4. We know that winds can advect temperature
exercise A15. and humidity, but how does it work when winds
advect winds? Hint, consider eqs. (10.8).
A21. Below is given an average inward radial wind
component (m s–1) in the atm. boundary layer at ra- E5. For an Eulerian system, advection describes the
dius 300 km from the center of a cyclone. What is influence of air that is blown into a fixed volume. If
the average updraft speed out of the atm. boundary- that is true, then explain why the advection terms
layer top, for a boundary layer that is 1.2 km thick? in eq. (10.8) is a function of the wind gradient (e.g.,
a. 2 b. 1.5 c. 1.2 d. 1.0 ∆U/∆x) instead of just the upwind value?
e. –0.5 f. –1 g. –2.5 h. 3 i. 0.8 j. 0.2
E6. Isobar packing refers to how close the isobars
A22. Above an atmospheric boundary layer, assume are, when plotted on a weather map such as Fig.
the tropospheric temperature profile is ∆T/∆z = 0. 10.5. Explain why such packing is proportional to
For a midlatitude cyclone, estimate the atm. bound- the pressure gradient.
ary-layer thickness given a near-surface geostrophic
wind speed (m s–1) of: E7. Pressure gradient has a direction. It points to-
a. 5 b. 10 c. 15 d. 20 e. 25 f. 30 ward low pressure for the Northern Hemisphere.
g. 35 h. 40 i. 3 j. 8 k. 2 l. 1 For the Southern Hemisphere, does it point toward
high pressure? Why?
A23(§). For atm. boundary-layer pumping, plot
a graph of updraft velocity vs. geostrophic wind E8. To help you interpret Fig. 10.5, consider each hor-
speed assuming an atm. boundary layer of depth izontal component of the pressure gradient. For an
0.8 km, a drag coefficient 0.005 . Do this only for arbitrary direction of isobars, use eqs. (10.9) to dem-
wind speeds within the valid range for the atmos. onstrate that the vector sum of the components of
boundary-layer pumping eq. Given a standard at- pressure-gradient do indeed point away from high
mospheric lapse rate at 30° latitude with radius of pressure, and that the net direction is perpendicular
curvature (km) of: to the direction of the isobars.
a. 750 b. 1500 c. 2500 d. 3500 e. 4500
f. 900 g. 1200 h. 2000 i. 3750 j. 5000 E9. For centrifugal force, combine eqs. (10.13) to
show that the net force points outward, perpendicu-
A24. At 55°N, suppose the troposphere is 10 km lar to the direction of the curved flow. Also show
thick, and has a 10 m s–1 geostrophic wind speed. that the magnitude of that net vector is a function of
Find the internal Rossby deformation radius for an tangential velocity squared.
atmospheric boundary layer of thickness (km):
a. 0.2 b. 0.4 c. 0.6 d. 0.8 e. 1.0 E10. Why does fc = 0 at the equator for an air parcel
f. 1.2 g. 1.5 h. 1.75 i. 2.0 j. 2.5 that is stationary with respect to the Earth’s surface,
even though that air parcel has a large tangential ve-
A25. Given ∆U/∆x = ∆V/∆x = (5 m s–1) / (500 km), locity associated with the rotation of the Earth?
find the divergence, vorticity, and total deformation
for (∆U/∆y , ∆V/∆y) in units of (m s–1)/(500 km) as E11. Verify that the net Coriolis force is perpendicu-
given below: lar to the wind direction (and to its right in the N.
a. (–5, –5) b. (–5, 0) c. (0, –5) d. (0, 0) e. (0, 5) Hemisphere), given the individual components de-
f. (5, 0) g. (5, 5) h. (–5, 5) i. (5, –5) scribed by eqs. (10.17).
E13. Verify that the net drag force opposes the wind wind against the more exact iterative solutions to
by utilizing the drag components of eqs. (10.19). the implicit form in eq. (10.39).
Also, confirm that drag-force magnitude for stati-
cally neutral conditions is a function of wind-speed E26. No explicit solution exists for the neutral atmo-
squared. spheric boundary layer winds, but one exists for the
statically unstable ABL? Why is that?
E14. How does the magnitude of the turbulent-
transport velocity vary with static stability, such as E27. Plug eqs. (10.42) into eqs (10.38) or (10.39) to con-
between statically unstable (convective) and stati- firm that the solution is valid.
cally neutral (windy) situations?
E28(§). a. Create your own spreadsheet that gives
E15. Show how the geostrophic wind components the same answer for ABLG winds as in the Sample
can be combined to relate geostrophic wind speed Application in the ABLG-wind section.
to pressure-gradient magnitude, and to relate b. Do “what if” experiments with your spread-
geostrophic wind direction to pressure-gradient di- sheet to show that the full equation can give the gra-
rection. dient wind, geostrophic wind, and boundary-layer
wind for conditions that are valid for those situa-
E16. How would eqs. (10.26) for geostrophic wind be tions.
different in the Southern Hemisphere? c. Compare the results from (b) against the re-
spective analytical solutions (which you must com-
E17. Using eqs. (10.26) as a starting point, show your pute yourself).
derivation for eqs. (10.29).
E29. Photocopy Fig. 10.13, and enhance the copy
E18. Why are actual winds finite near the equator by drawing additional vectors for the atmospheric
even though the geostrophic wind is infinite there? boundary-layer wind and the ABLG wind. Make
(Hint, consider Fig. 10.10). these vectors be the appropriate length and direc-
tion relative to the geostrophic and gradient winds
E19. Plug eq. (10.33) back into eqs. (10.31) to confirm that are already plotted.
that the solution is valid.
E30. Plug the cyclostrophic-wind equation into eq.
E20. Plug eqs. (10.34) back into eq. (10.33) to confirm (10.45) to confirm that the solution is valid for its spe-
that the solution is valid. cial case.
E21. Given the pressure variation shown in Fig. 10.14. E31. Find an equation for cyclostrophic wind based
Create a mean-sea-level pressure weather map with on heights on an isobaric surface. [Hint: Consider
isobars around high- and low-pressure centers such eqs. (10.26) and (10.29).]
that the isobar packing matches the pressure gradi-
ent in that figure. E32. What aspects of the Approach to Geostrophy INFO
Box are relevant to the inertial wind? Discuss.
E22. Fig. 10.14 suggests that any pressure gradient is
theoretically possible adjacent to a low-pressure cen- E33. a. Do your own derivation for eq. (10.66) based
ter, from which we can further infer that any wind on geometry and mass continuity (total inflow = to-
speed is theoretically possible. For the real atmo- tal outflow).
sphere, what might limit the pressure gradient and b. Drag normally slows winds. Then why does
the wind speed around a low-pressure center? the updraft velocity increase in eq. (10.66) as drag
coefficient increases?
E23. Given the geopotential heights in Fig. 10.3, c. Factor b varies negatively with increasing drag
calculate the theoretical values for gradient and/or coefficient in eq. (10.66). Based on this, would you
geostrophic wind at a few locations. How do the ac- change your argument for part (b) above?
tual winds compare with these theoretical values?
E34. Look at each term within eq. (10.69) to justi-
E24. Eq. 10.39 is an “implicit” solution. Why do we fy the physical interpretations presented after that
say it is “implicit”? equation.
E35. Consider eq. (10.70). For the internal Rossby S8. Suppose that wind speed M = c·F/m, where c =
deformation radius, discuss its physical interpreta- a constant, m = mass, and F is force. Describe the
tion in light of eq. (10.71). resulting climate and weather.
E36. What type of wind would be possible if the S9. What if Earth’s axis of rotation was pointing di-
only forces were turbulent-drag and Coriolis. Dis- rectly to the sun. Describe the resulting climate and
cuss. weather.
E37. Derive equations for Ekman pumping around S10. What if there was no limit to the strength of
anticyclones. Physically interpret your resulting pressure gradients in highs. Describe the resulting
equations. climate, winds and weather.
E38. Rewrite the total deformation as a function of S11. What if both the ground and the tropopause
divergence and vorticity. Discuss. were rigid surfaces against which winds experience
turbulent drag. Describe the resulting climate and
weather.
Synthesize
S1. For zonal (east-west) winds, there is also a verti-
S12. If the Earth rotated half as fast as it currently
cal component of Coriolis force. Using your own di-
does, describe the resulting climate and weather.
agrams similar to those in the INFO box on Coriolis
Force, show why it can form. Estimate its magni-
S13. If the Earth had no rotation about its axis, de-
tude, and compare the magnitude of this force to
scribe the resulting climate and weather.
other typical forces in the vertical. Show why a ver-
tical component of Coriolis force does not exist for
S14. Consider the Coriolis-force INFO box. Create
meridional (north-south) winds.
an equation for Coriolis-force magnitude for winds
that move:
S2. On Planet Cockeyed, turbulent drag acts at right
a. westward b. southward
angles to the wind direction. Would there be any-
thing different about winds near lows and highs on
S15. What if a cyclostrophic-like wind also felt drag
Cockeyed compared to Earth?
near the ground? This describes conditions at the
bottom of tornadoes. Write the equations of mo-
S3. The time duration of many weather phenomena
tion for this situation, and solve them for the tan-
are related to their spatial scales, as shown by eq.
gential and radial wind components. Check that
(10.53) and Fig. 10.24. Why do most weather phe-
your results are reasonable compared with the pure
nomena lie near the same diagonal line on a log-log
cyclostrophic winds. How would the resulting
plot? Why are there not additional phenomena that
winds affect the total circulation in a tornado? As
fill out the relatively empty upper and lower tri-
discoverer of these winds, name them after your-
angles in the figure? Can the distribution of time
self.
and space scales in Fig. 10.24 be used to some ad-
vantage?
S16. What if F = c·a, where c = a constant not equal
to mass, a = acceleration, and F is force. Describe the
S4. What if atmospheric boundary-layer drag were
resulting dynamics of objects such as air parcels.
constant (i.e., not a function of wind speed). De-
scribe the resulting climate and weather.
S17. What if pressure-gradient force acted parallel
to isobars. Would there be anything different about
S5. Suppose Coriolis force didn’t exist. Describe the
our climate, winds, and weather maps?
resulting climate and weather.
S18. For a free-slip Earth surface (no drag), describe
S6. Incompressibility seems like an extreme simpli-
the resulting climate and weather.
fication, yet it works fairly well? Why? Consider
what happens in the atmosphere in response to
S19. Anders Persson discussed issues related to
small changes in density.
Coriolis force and how we understand it (see Weath-
er, 2000.) Based on your interpretation of his paper,
S7. The real Earth has locations where Coriolis force
can Coriolis force alter kinetic energy and momen-
is zero. Where are those locations, and what does
tum of air parcels, even though it is only an apparent
the wind do there?
force? Hint, consider whether Newton’s laws would
328 chapter 10 • Atmospheric Forces & Winds
11 General Circulation
Contents A spatial imbalance between radiative inputs
and outputs exists for the earth-ocean-atmosphere
Key Terms 330 system. The earth loses energy at all latitudes due
A Simplified Description of the Global Circulation 330 to outgoing infrared (IR) radiation. Near the trop-
Near the Surface 330 ics, more solar radiation enters than IR leaves, hence
Upper-troposphere 331 there is a net input of radiative energy. Near Earth’s
Vertical Circulations 332 poles, incoming solar radiation is too weak to totally
Monsoonal Circulations 333 offset the IR cooling. The net result is differential
Radiative Differential Heating 334 heating, creating warm equatorial air and cold po-
North-South Temperature Gradient 335 lar air (Fig. 11.1a).
Global Radiation Budgets 336 This imbalance drives the global-scale general
Radiative Forcing by Latitude Belt 338 circulation of winds. Such a circulation is a fluid-
General Circulation Heat Transport 338
dynamical analogy to Le Chatelier’s Principle of
Pressure Profiles 340 chemistry. Namely, an imbalanced system reacts
Non-hydrostatic Pressure Couplets 340 in a way to partially counteract the imbalance. The
Hydrostatic Thermal Circulations 341
continued destabilization by radiation causes a gen-
Geostrophic Wind & Geostrophic Adjustment 343 eral circulation of winds that is unceasing.
Ageostrophic Winds at the Equator 343 You might first guess that buoyancy causes air
Definitions 343
in the warm regions to rise, while cold air near
Geostrophic Adjustment - Part 1 344
the poles sink (Fig. 11.1b). Instead, the real general
Thermal Wind Effect 345 circulation has three bands of circulations in the
Definition of Thickness 346
Northern Hemisphere (Fig. 11.1c), and three in the
Thermal-wind Components 346
Case Study 348
Southern. In this chapter, we will identify charac-
Thermal Wind & Geostrophic Adjust. - Part 2 349 teristics of the general circulation, explain why they
exist, and learn how they work.
Explaining the General Circulation 350
Low Latitudes 350
High Latitudes 352 B
DPPM C
DPPM
Mid-latitudes 352
Monsoon 356
Jet Streams 357
XBSN
XBSN
XBSN
XBSN
Baroclinicity & the Polar Jet 359
Angular Momentum & Subtropical Jet 360
Types of Vorticity 362
Relative-vorticity Definition 362
Absolute-vorticity Definition 363 DPPM DPPM
Potential-vorticity Definition 363
Isentropic Potential Vorticity Definition 364 D
DPPM
1PMBSDFMM
Horizontal Circulation 365
3PTTCZXBWFT
Extratropical Ridges & Troughs 367
Barotropic Instability 367 )BEMFZDFMM
Baroclinic Instability 371 XBSN XBSN
OPSUIQPMF
/
Key Terms
QPMBS IJHIMBUJUVEFT Lines of constant latitude are called parallels,
MBUJUVEF and winds parallel to the parallels are identified as
TVCQPMBS
PX
/ zonal flows (Fig. 11.2). Lines of constant longitude
MGM
O
JEJB
FYUSBUSPQJDBM
MBUJUVEFT
NFS
MBUJUVEFT
ricanes are in the tropics. Low-pressure centers
HJ U
8
TVCQPMBS
F
MB S+
F
winds are quite variable in time and space due to the 1P
sum of the westerlies plus the transient circulations SJEH
around the highs and lows. )) )) 4VCUSPQJDBM+FU )) )) /
Near 60° latitude are belts of low surface pres-
sure called subpolar lows. Along these belts are
light to calm winds, upward air motion, clouds, cool
temperatures, and precipitation (as snow in winter). ))) ))) ))) )))
Near each pole is a climatological region of high
pressure called a polar high. In these regions
are often clear skies, cold dry descending air, light
winds, and little snowfall. Between each polar high )) )) 4VCUSPQJDBM+FU )) )) 4
(at 90°) and the subpolar low (at 60°) is a belt of weak
SJE
1P
easterly winds, called the polar easterlies. MBS
HF
+FU
USP
VH
4
I
Upper-troposphere
The stratosphere is strongly statically stable, and -
acts like a lid to the troposphere. Thus, vertical cir- 1PMBS-PX
culations associated with our weather are mostly
trapped within the troposphere. These vertical
circulations couple the average near-surface winds
with the average upper-tropospheric (near the Figure 11.3
tropopause) winds described here (Fig. 11.3b). Simplified global circulation in the troposphere: (a) near the
surface, and (b) near the tropopause. H and L indicate high
In the tropics is a belt of very strong equatorial
and low pressures, and HHH means very strong high pressure.
high pressure along the tops of the ITCZ thunder-
White indicates precipitating clouds.
332 chapter 11 • General Circulation
1PMBS
$FMM B
+VOF
+VMZ
"VHVTU
storms. Air in this belt blows from the east, due to
] 4FQUFNCFS easterly inertia from the trade winds being carried
'F
SS F upward in the thunderstorm convection. Diverging
M$
FM from this belt are winds that blow toward the north
M
in the N. Hemisphere, and toward the south in the
]
S. Hemisphere. As these winds move away from the
)
B
4VNNFS equator, they turn to have an increasingly westerly
EMF
HIU
)FNJTQIFSF TVOMJ component as they approach 30° latitude.
Z$
Near 30° latitude in each hemisphere is a persis-
FMM
tent belt of strong westerly winds at the tropopause
])BEMFZ$
*5$; called the subtropical jet. This jet meanders north
and south a bit. Pressure here is very high, but not
as high as over the equator.
In mid-latitudes at the tropopause is another belt
of strong westerly winds called the polar jet. The
FM M.
FM
m troughs, and poleward portions are known as
$
MM . F
m ]
high-pressure ridges. These ridges and troughs are
1P
MBS$ very transient, and generally shift from west to east
FMM 1PMB relative to the ground.
S]
'
FS
SF Near 60° at the tropopause is a belt of low to me-
dium pressure. At each pole is a low-pressure cen-
M
]
generally blowing from the west causing a cyclonic
BEMF
C
"QSJM
.BZ circulation around the polar low. Thus, contrary
Z])BEMFZ
Vertical Circulations
'
m
FS
SF
m
M
1PMBS
]
1P Vertical circulations of warm rising air in the
$F
MBS
MM] tropics and descending air in the subtropics are
'F
SSF
called Hadley cells or Hadley circulations (Fig.
M $ 11.4). At the bottom of the Hadley cell are the trade
F
winds. At the top, near the tropopause, are divergent
MM .
)FNJTQIFSF
in the troposphere causes a high tropopause (15 - 18
BEMF
JHIU
m )FNJTQIFSF
$ Z
FMM
]
FS
m SF
M$ Vertical cross section of Earth’s global circulation in the tropo-
m
FMM
] D
%FDFNCFS
sphere. (a) N. Hemisphere summer. (b) Transition months. (c)
MBS$
1P +BOVBSZ
'FCSVBSZ
S. Hemisphere summer. The major (subscript M) Hadley cell is
FMM .BSDI shaded light grey. Minor circulations have no subscript.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 333
Monsoonal Circulations
Monsoon circulations are continental-scale
circulations driven by continent-ocean temperature Figure 11.5
Idealized seasonal-average monsoon circulations near the sur-
contrasts, as sketched in Figs. 11.5. In summer, high-
face. Continents are shaded dark grey; oceans are light grey. H
pressure centers (anticyclones) are over the relative-
and L are surface high- and low-pressure centers.
334 chapter 11 • General Circulation
*ODPNJOH
4PMBS
3BEJBUJPO Radiative Differential Heating
&BSUI
The general circulation is driven by differential
heating. Incoming solar radiation (insolation)
nearly balances the outgoing infrared (IR) radiation
when averaged over the whole globe. However, at
different latitudes are significant imbalances (Fig.
11.6), which cause the differential heating.
Recall from the Solar & Infrared Radiation chap-
Figure 11.6
Annual average incoming solar radiation (grey dashed arrows)
ter that the flux of solar radiation incident on the top
and of outgoing infrared (IR) radiation (solid black arrows), of the atmosphere depends more or less on the cosine
where arrow size indicates relative magnitude. [Because the of the latitude, as shown in Fig. 11.7. The component
Earth rotates and exposes all locations to the sun at one time or of the incident ray of sunlight that is perpendicular
another, the incoming solar radiation is sketched as approaching to the Earth’s surface is small in polar regions, but
all locations on the Earth’s surface.] larger toward the equator (grey dashed arrows in
Figs. 11.6 and 11.7). The incoming energy adds heat
to the Earth-atmosphere-ocean system.
Heat is lost due to infrared (IR) radiation emitted
from the Earth-ocean-atmosphere system to space.
Since all locations near the surface in the Earth-
/1 ocean-atmosphere system are relatively warm com-
pared to absolute zero, the Stefan-Boltzmann law
G
from the Solar & Infrared Radiation chapter tells
us that the emission rates are also more or less uni-
TPMBSSBEJBUJPO form around the Earth. This is sketched by the solid
G black arrows in Fig. 11.6.
Thus, at low latitudes, more solar radiation is ab-
&BSUI sorbed than leaves as IR, causing net warming. At
TPMBSSBEJBUJPO
high latitudes, the opposite is true: IR radiative loss-
es exceed solar heating, causing net cooling. This
FRVBUPS differential heating drives the global circulation.
The general circulation can’t instantly eliminate
Figure 11.7 all the global north-south temperature differences.
Of the solar radiation approaching the Earth (thick solid grey ar- What remains is a meridional temperature gradient
rows), the component (dashed grey arrow) that is perpendicular
— the focus of the next subsection.
to the top of the atmosphere is proportional to the cosine of the
latitude ϕ (during the equinox).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 335
-BUJUVEF
and those near the poles are colder (Fig. 11.8a). One
equation that roughly approximates the variation of
zonally-averaged surface temperature T with lati- &RVBUPS
tude ϕ is:
3
T ≈ a + b · cos 3 φ · 1 + ·sin 2 φ (11.1) m
2
where a ≈ –12°C and b ≈ 40°C = 40 K.
The equation above applies only to the surface. m
At higher altitudes the north-south temperature dif-
ference is smaller, and even becomes negative in the
stratosphere (i.e., warm over the poles and cold over m 4
the tropics). To account for this altitude variation, b m
cannot be a constant. Instead, use: 5 $
å5åZ $LN
d) Plug equations (b) and (c) back into eq. (a):
∂T 15 1
-BUJUVEF
= −b · · ·sin 3 φ ·cos 2 φ (d)
∂y 2 R
8N
Define:
15 1 15 1
c= · = · = 1.177 × 10 −3 km −1
2 R 2 6371km
m
Thus, the final answer is:
m
∆ T ∂T
= −b · c ·sin 3 φ ·cos 2 φ
≈ (11.4)
∆ y ∂y m
Check: Fig. 11.8 shows the curves that were calcu- 3FMBUJWF+VMJBO%BZ "WH*OTPMBUJPO
lated from eqs. (11.1) and (11.4). The fact that the sign 8N
and shape of the curve for ∆T/∆y is consistent with the Figure 11.9
curve for T(y) suggests the answer is reasonable. (a) Solar radiation (W m–2) incident on the top of the atmo-
sphere for different latitudes and months (copied from the Solar
Alert: Eqs. (11.4) and (11.1) are based on a highly ide- & Infrared Radiation chapter). (b) Meridional variation of in-
alized “toy model” of the real atmosphere. They were solation, found by averaging the data from the left figure over
designed only to illustrate first-order effects. all months for each separate latitude (i.e., averages for each row
of data).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 337
&PVU
around latitude belts) by the Stefan-Boltzmann law
(see the Solar & Infrared Radiation chapter):
Eout ≈ ε · σ SB · Tm4 (11.7) &OFU
%F
U
JDJ
GJD
%F
JU
a parallel (a constant latitude circle) is smaller near
the poles than near the equator. ϕ is latitude and the
average Earth radius REarth is 6371 km.
4 / The solution is to multiply eqs. (11.6 - 11.8) by the
-BUJUVEF
UPUBM UPUBM
BUNPT
5S 5S QIFSF
18
18
PDFBO
PDFBO
m m
BUNPT
m m QIFSF
UPUBM UPUBM
m m
m m m m m m
4 / 4 /
-BUJUVEF
-BUJUVEF
as explained next.
Horizontal Convergence/Divergence
If external forcings cause air near the ground to
converge horizontally, then air molecules accumu-
OFBSTVSGBDF late. As density ρ increases according to eq. (10.60),
Q{m
the ideal gas law tells us that p’ will also become
positive (Fig. 11.16a).
1 L1B
Positive p’ does two things: it (1) decelerates the
air that was converging horizontally, and (2) acceler-
ates air vertically in the column. Thus, the pressure
Figure 11.15
perturbation causes mass continuity (horizontal
Background hydrostatic pressure (solid line), and non-hydro-
static column of air (dashed line) with pressure perturbation p’ inflow near the ground balances vertical outflow).
that deviates from the hydrostatic pressure Phydrostatic at most Similarly, an externally imposed horizontal di-
heights z. In this example, even though p’ is positive (+) near vergence at the top of the troposphere would lower
the tropopause, the total pressure in the column (Pcolumn = Phy- the air density and cause negative p’, which would
drostatic + p’) at the tropopause is still less than the surface pres- also accelerate air in the column upward. Hence, we
sure. The same curve is plotted as (a) linear and as (b) semilog.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 341
J
*OJUJBM$POEJUJPOT JJ
JJJ
JW
1 L1B
) -
Z Z Z
Figure 11.17
Formation of a thermal circulation. The response of two columns of air that are heated differently is that the warmer air column de-
velops a low pressure perturbation at the surface and a high pressure perturbation aloft. Response of the cold column is the opposite.
Notation: H = high pressure perturbation, L = low; black dots represents air parcels; thin arrows are winds.
The hypsometric equation (see Chapter 1) says gain as many air molecules as they lose; hence, they
that pressure decreases more rapidly with height in are in mass equilibrium.
cold air than in warm air. Thus, although both col- This equilibrium circulation also transports heat.
umns have the same surface pressure because they Air from the warm air column mixes into the cold
contain the same number of molecules, the higher column, and vice versa. This intermixing reduces
you go above the surface, the greater is the pres- the temperature contrast between the two columns,
sure difference between warm and cold air. In Fig. causing the corresponding equilibrium circulations
11.17ii, the printed size of the “H” and “L” indicate to weaken. Continued destabilization (more latent
the relative magnitudes of the high- and low-pres- heating or radiative cooling) would be needed to
sure perturbations p’. maintain the circulation.
The horizontal pressure gradient ∆P/∆y aloft be-
tween the warm and cold air columns drives hori- The circulations and mass exchange described
zontal winds from high toward low pressure (Fig. above can be realized at the equator. At other lati-
11.17iii). Since winds are the movement of air mol- tudes, the exchange of mass is often slower (near the
ecules, this means that molecules leave the regions surface) or incomplete (aloft) because Coriolis force
of high pressure-perturbation and accumulate in turns the winds to some angle away from the pres-
the regions of low. Namely, they leave the warm sure-gradient direction. This added complication,
column, and move into the cold column. due to geostrophic wind and geostrophic adjust-
Since there are now more molecules (i.e., more ment, is described next.
mass) in the cold column, it means that the surface
pressure must be greater (H) in the cold column (Fig.
11.17iv). Similarly, mass lost from the warm column
results in lower (L) surface pressure. This is called a
thermal low.
A result (Fig. 11.17iv) is that, near the surface,
high pressure in the cold air drives winds toward
the low pressure in warm air. Aloft, high pressure-
perturbation in the warm air drives winds towards
low pressure-perturbation in the cold air. The re-
sulting thermal circulation causes each column to
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 343
/
Geostrophic Wind & Geostrophic /
Adjustment ) -
/
Ageostrophic Winds at the Equator
Air at the equator can move directly from high
(H) to low (L) pressure (Fig. 11.18 - center part) un-
) -
der the influence of pressure-gradient force. Zero
Coriolis force at the equator implies infinite geo-
strophic winds. But actual winds have finite speed,
and are thus ageostrophic (not geostrophic). 4
Because such flows can happen very easily and
quickly, equatorial air tends to quickly flow out of ) -
highs into lows, causing the pressure centers to neu- 4
tralize each other. Indeed, weather maps at the equa- 4
tor show very little pressure variations zonally. One
exception is at continent-ocean boundaries, where
continental-scale differential heating can continual- Figure 11.18
ly regenerate pressure gradients to compensate the At the equator, winds flow directly from high (H) to low (L)
pressure centers. At other latitudes, Coriolis force causes the
pressure-equalizing action of the wind. Thus, very
winds to circulate around highs and lows. Smaller size font for
small pressure gradients can cause continental-scale H and L at the equator indicate weaker pressure gradients.
(5000 km) monsoon circulations near the equator.
Tropical forecasters focus on winds, not pressure.
If the large-scale pressure is uniform in the hori-
zontal near the equator (away from monsoon circu-
lations), then the horizontal pressure gradients dis-
appear. With no horizontal pressure-gradient force,
no large-scale winds can be driven there. However,
winds can exist at the equator due to inertia — if the
winds were first created geostrophically at nonzero
latitude and then coast across the equator.
But at most other places on Earth, Coriolis force
deflects the air and causes the wind to approach geo-
strophic or gradient values (see the Forces & Winds
chapter). Geostrophic winds do not cross isobars, so
they cannot transfer mass from highs to lows. Thus,
significant pressure patterns (e.g., strong high and
low centers, Fig. 11.18) can be maintained for long
periods at mid-latitudes in the global circulation. A SCIENTIFIC PERSPECTIVE •
The Scientific Method Revisited
“Like other exploratory processes, [the scientific
Definitions method] can be resolved into a dialogue between fact
A temperature field is a map showing how tem- and fancy, the actual and the possible; between what
peratures are spatially distributed. A wind field is could be true and what is in fact the case. The pur-
a map showing how winds are distributed. A mass pose of scientific enquiry is not to compile an inven-
field represents how air mass is spatially distribut- tory of factual information, nor to build up a totali-
ed. But we don’t routinely measure air mass. tarian world picture of Natural Laws in which every
In the first Chapter, we saw how pressure at any event that is not compulsory is forbidden. We should
one altitude depends on (is a measure of) all the air think of it rather as a logically articulated structure
mass above that altitude. So we can use the pres- of justifiable beliefs about a Possible World — a story
which we invent and criticize and modify as we go
sure field at a fixed altitude as a surrogate for the
along, so that it ends by being, as nearly as we can
mass field. Similarly, the height field on a map of
make it, a story about real life.”
constant pressure is another surrogate.
But the temperature and mass fields are cou- - by Nobel Laureate Sir Peter Medawar (1982) Pluto’s
pled via the hypsometric equation (see Chapter 1). Republic. Oxford Univ. Press.
Namely, if the temperature changes in the horizon-
344 chapter 11 • General Circulation
B
tal (defined as a baroclinic atmosphere), then pres-
- 1L1B sures at any fixed altitude much also change in the
horizontal. Later in this chapter, we will also see
'1( how the wind and temperature fields are coupled
.P
(via the thermal wind relationship).
LN (P
'$'
Z Geostrophic Adjustment - Part 1
Y 1L1B The tendency of non-equatorial winds to ap-
) proach geostrophic values (or gradient values
for curved isobars) is a very strong process in the
Earth’s atmosphere. If the actual winds are not in
C
- '1(
1L1B
geostrophic balance with the pressure patterns,
then both the winds and the pressure patterns tend
. '1(
to change to bring the winds back to geostrophic
(another example of Le Chatelier’s Principle). Geo-
strophic adjustment is the name for this process.
'$' (
LN Picture a wind field (grey arrows in Fig. 11.19a)
Z '$' initially in geostrophic equilibrium (Mo = Go) at alti-
tude 2 km above sea level (thus, no drag at ground).
Y
) 1L1B
We will focus on just one of those arrows (the black
arrow in the center), but all the wind vectors will
march together, performing the same maneuvers.
D
Next, suppose an external process increases the
- 1L1B
horizontal pressure gradient to the value shown in
'1( Fig. 11.19b, with the associated faster geostrophic
. wind speed G1. With pressure-gradient force FPG
( greater than Coriolis force FCF, the force imbalance
LN '$' turns the wind M1 slightly toward low pressure and
Z accelerates the air (Fig. 11.19b).
1L1B The component of wind M1 from high to low
Y ) pressure horizontally moves air molecules, weaken-
ing the pressure field and thereby reducing the theo-
Figure 11.19 retical geostrophic wind (G2 in Fig. 11.19c). Namely,
Example of geostrophic adjustment in the N. Hemisphere (not the wind field changed the mass (i.e., pressure)
at equator). (a) Initial conditions, with the actual wind M (thick field. Simultaneously the actual wind accelerates to
black arrow) in equilibrium with (equal to) the theoretical geo- M2. Thus, the mass field also changed the wind
strophic value G (white arrow with black outline). (b) Transi- field. After both fields have adjusted, the result is
tion. (c) End result at a new equilibrium. Dashed lines indicate M2 > Mo and G2 < G1, with M2 = G2. These changes
forces F. Each frame focuses on the region of disturbance. are called geostrophic adjustments.
Defined a “disturbance” as the region that was
initially forced out of equilibrium. As you move
further away from the disturbance, the amount of
Sample Application
Find the internal Rossby radius of deformation in a geostrophic adjustment diminished. The e-folding
standard atmosphere at 45°N. distance for this reduction is
N BV ·ZT
Find the Answer λR = •(11.12)
fc
Given: ϕ = 45°. Standard atmosphere from Chapter 1:
T(z = ZT =11 km) = –56.5°C, T(z=0) = 15°C. where λR is known as the internal Rossby defor-
Find: λR = ? km mation radius. The Coriolis parameter is fc, tropo-
spheric depth is ZT, and the Brunt-Väisälä frequency
First, find fc = (1.458x10 –4 s–1)·sin(45°) = 1.031x10 –4 s–1 is NBV (see eq. on page 372). λR is roughly 1300 km.
Next, find the average temperature and tempera- Use eq. (11.12) as follows. If size or wavelength
ture difference across the depth of the troposphere:
λ of the initial disturbance is large (> λR), then the
Tavg = 0.5·(–56.5 + 15.0)°C = –20.8°C = 252 K
wind field experiences the greatest adjustment. For
∆T = (–56.5 – 15.0) °C = –71.5°C across ∆z = 11 km
(continued on next page) smaller scales, the pressure and temperature fields
experience the greatest adjustment.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 345
SN
XB UIJDLOFTT
7H
Thermal Wind Effect
L1B
PM 1
Recall that horizontal temperature gradients P
D M
7H
SN
cause vertically varying horizontal pressure gradi-
P L1B XB
ents (Fig. 11.17), and that horizontal pressure gra-
DP M 1 7H å[
dients drive geostrophic winds. We can combine P åY
B SN
those concepts to see how horizontal temperature [
DP M1 å[X
gradients drive vertically varying geostrophic P åY
winds. This is called the thermal wind effect. DP 1 7H
This effect can be pictured via the slopes of iso- Y
baric surfaces (Fig. 11.20). The hypsometric equation Figure 11.20
from Chapter 1 describes how there is greater thick- Isobaric surfaces are shaded brown. A zonal temperature gra-
ness between any two isobaric (constant pressure) dient causes the isobaric surfaces to tilt more and more with
surfaces in warm air than in cold air. This causes increasing altitude. Greater tilt causes stronger geostrophic
the tilt of the isobaric surfaces to change with alti- winds, as plotted with the black vectors for the N. Hemisphere.
tude. But as described by eq. (10.29), tilting isobaric Geostrophic winds are reversed in S. Hemisphere.
surface imply a pressure-gradient force that can
drive the geostrophic wind (Ug, Vg).
The relationship between the horizontal tem-
perature gradient and the changing geostrophic Sample Application
wind with altitude is known as the thermal wind While driving north a distance of 500 km, your car
effect. After a bit of manipulation (see the Higher thermometer shows the outside air temperature de-
Math box on the next page), one finds that: creasing from 20°C to 10°C. How does the theoretical
geostrophic wind change with altitude?
where the Coriolis parameter is fc, virtual absolute Apply eq. (11.13a):
temperature is Tv, and gravitational acceleration ∆U g −(9.8m/s 2 ) ( −10°C)
magnitude is |g| = 9.8 m·s–2. Thus, the meridional ≈ · = 6.81 (m s–1)/km
∆z (288K )·(10 −4 s −1 ) (500km)
temperature gradient causes the zonal geostrophic
winds to change with altitude, and the zonal tem-
Check: Physics & units reasonable. Agrees with Fig.
perature gradient causes the meridional geostrophic
Exposition: Even if the wind were zero at the ground,
winds to change with altitude.
the answer indicates that a west wind will increase in
Above the atmospheric boundary layer, actual speed by 6.81 m s–1 for each 1 km of altitude gained.
winds are nearly equal to geostrophic or gradient Given no info about temperature change in the x
winds. Thus, eqs. (11.13) provide a first-order esti- direction, assume uniform temperature, which im-
mate of the variation of actual winds with altitude. plies ∆Vg/∆z = 0 from eq. (11.13b). Namely, the south
wind is constant with altitude.
346 chapter 11 • General Circulation
$BOBEB
HIGHER MATH • Thermal Wind Effect 5IJO DPME
Problem: Derive Thermal Wind eq. (11.13a).
U g · fc ℜ d ∂P g ℜ ∂P
=− and =− d UPL1B5IJDLOFTT LN
65$
'FC
Tv P ∂y Tv P ∂z
Figure 11.21
Use (1/P)·∂P = ∂ln(P) from calculus to rewrite both:
Thickness chart based on a US National Weather Service 24-
U g · fc g hour forecast. The surface cyclone center is at the “X”.
∂ ln( P) ∂ ln( P)
= −ℜ d and = −ℜ d
Tv ∂y Tv ∂z
Differentiate the left eq. with respect to z: Definition of Thickness
In Fig. 11.20, focus on two isobaric surfaces, such
∂ U g · fc ∂ ln( P) as P = 90 kPa (dark brown in that figure), and P =
= −ℜ d
∂z Tv ∂y ∂z 80 kPa (medium brown). These two surfaces are at
different altitudes z, and the altitude difference is
and the right eq. with respect to y:
called the “thickness”. For our example, we focused
∂ g ∂ ln( P) on the “90 to 80 kPa thickness”. For any two isobaric
= −ℜ d
∂y Tv ∂y ∂z surfaces P1 and P2 having altitudes z and z , the
P1 P2
thickness is defined as
But the right side of both eqs are identical, thus we
can equate the left sides to each other: TH = z –z •(11.14)
P2 P1
∂ U g · fc ∂ g The hypsometric equation from Chapter 1 tells us
=
∂z Tv ∂y Tv
that the thickness is proportional to the average ab-
solute virtual-temperature within that layer. Colder
Next, do the indicated differentiations, and rearrange
air has thinner thickness. Thus, horizontal changes
to get the exact relationship for thermal wind:
in temperature must cause horizontal changes in
thickness.
∂U g g ∂Tv U g ∂Tv
=− + Weather maps of “100 to 50 kPa thickness” such
∂z Tv · fc ∂y Tv ∂z as Fig. 11.21 are often created by forecast centers.
Larger thickness on this map indicates warmer air
The last term depends on the geostrophic wind speed within the lowest 5 km of the atmosphere.
and the lapse rate, and has magnitude of 0 to 30% of
the first term on the right. If we neglect the last term,
we get the approximate thermal wind relationship: Thermal-wind Components
Suppose that we use thickness TH as a surrogate
∂U g g ∂Tv for absolute virtual temperature. Then we can com-
≈− (11.13a) bine eqs. (11.14) and (10.29) to yield:
∂z Tv · fc ∂y
g ∆TH
Exposition: A barotropic atmosphere is when the UTH = UG 2 − UG1 = −
geostrophic wind does not vary with height. Using fc ∆y •(11.15a)
the exact equation above, we see that this is possible
only when the two terms on the right balance.
g ∆TH •(11.15b)
VTH = VG 2 − VG1 = +
fc ∆x
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 347
Sample Application. For Fig. 11.22, what are the thermal-wind components. Assume fc = 1.1x10 –4 s–1.
Find the Answer. Given: TH2 = 4 km, TH1 = 5 km, ∆y = 1000 km from the figure, fc = 1.1x10 –4 s–1.
Find: UTH = ? m s–1, V TH = ? m s–1
− g ∆TH −(9.8ms −2 )·( 4 − 5)km
Apply eq. (11.15a): UTH = = = 17.8 m s–1
fc ∆y (1.1 × 10 −4 s −1 )·(5000km)
Check: Physics & units are reasonable. Positive sign for UTH indicates wind toward positive x direction, as in Fig.
Exposition: With no east-to-west temperature gradient, and hence no east-to-west thickness gradient, we would
expect zero north-south thermal wind;, hence, V TH = 0.
348 chapter 11 • General Circulation
/
B
1.4- L1B
Thermal-wind magnitude is stronger where the
65$.BZ thickness gradient is greater. Thus, regions on a
weather map (Fig. 11.23) where thickness contours
/ are closer together (i.e., have tighter packing) indi-
cates faster thermal winds. The relationship between
- # thermal winds and thickness contours is analogous
to the relationship between geostrophic winds and
/
) height contours. But never forget that no physically
" ( realistic wind can equal the thermal wind, because
the thermal wind represents the difference or shear
/ between two geostrophic winds.
Nonetheless, you will find the thermal-wind
concept useful because it helps you anticipate how
/ geostrophic wind will change with altitude. Actual
8 8 8 8 winds tend towards being geostrophic above the at-
mospheric boundary layer, hence the thermal-wind
concept allows you to anticipate real wind shears.
/
$PME C
5)L1B LN
65$.BZ Case Study
Figs. 11.24 show how geostrophic winds and ther-
/ mal winds can be found on weather maps, and how
to interpret the results. These maps may be copied
# onto transparencies and overlain.
.5)
/ Fig. 11.24a is a weather map of pressure at sea
$PPM
level in the N. Hemisphere, at a location over the
" northeast Pacific Ocean. As usual, L and H indicate
/ low- and high-pressure centers. At point A, we can
qualitatively draw an arrow (grey) showing the the-
8BSN oretical geostrophic (G1) wind direction; namely, it is
parallel to the isobars with low pressure to its left.
/
Recall that pressures on a constant height surface
8 8 8 8 (such as at height z = 0 at sea level) are closely related
to geopotential heights on a constant pressure sur-
face. So we can be confident that a map of 100 kPa
/ D
[L1B LN
heights would look very similar to Fig. 11.24a.
65$.BZ Fig. 11.24b shows the 100 - 50 kPa thickness map,
valid at the same time and place. The thickness be-
/ tween the 100 and the 50 kPa isobaric surfaces is
about 5.6 km in the warm air, and only 5.4 km in the
# cold air. The white arrow qualitatively shows the
-
/ thermal wind MTH, as being parallel to the thick-
(
ness lines with cold temperatures to its left.
" Fig. 11.24c is a weather map of geopotential
heights of the 50 kPa isobaric surface. L and H in-
/
dicate low and high heights. The black arrow at A
shows the geostrophic wind (G2), drawn parallel to
) the height contours with low heights to its left.
/ If we wished, we could have calculated quantita-
8 8 8 8 tive values for G1, G2, and MTH, utilizing the scale
that 5° of latitude equals 555 km. [ALERT: This scale
does not apply to longitude, because the meridians get
Figure 11.24 closer together as they approach the poles. However, once
Weather maps for a thermal-wind case-study. (a) Mean sea- you have determined the scale (map mm : real km) based
level pressure (kPa), as a surrogate for height of the 100 kPa on latitude, you can use it to good approximation in any
surface. (b) Thickness (km) of the layer between 100 kPa to 50
direction on the map.]
kPa isobaric surfaces. (c) Geopotential heights (km) of the 50
kPa isobaric surface.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 349
-
Thermal Wind & Geostrophic Adjust- $
ment - Part 2 0 8
As geostrophic winds adjust to pressure gradi-
- "3
ents, they move mass to alter the pressure gradients. % .
Eventually, an equilibrium is approached (Fig. 11.25)
)
based on the combined effects of geostrophic ad- -
justment and the thermal wind. This figure is much L 1B
more realistic than Fig. 11.17(iv) because Coriolis
force prevents the winds from flowing directly from Y
high to low pressure.
Z
With these concepts of:
• differential heating, Figure 11.25
• nonhydrostatic pressure couplets due to Typical equilibrium state of the pressure, temperature and wind
horizontal winds and vertical buoyancy, fields after it has adjusted geostrophically. Isobaric surfaces are
• hydrostatic thermal circulations, shaded with color, and recall that high heights of isobaric sur-
• geostrophic adjustment, and faces correspond to regions of high pressure on constant altitude
• the thermal wind, surfaces. Black arrows give the geostrophic wind vectors.
Consider the red-shaded isobaric surface representing P =
we can now go back and explain why the global cir-
60 kPa. That surface has high (H) heights to the south (to the
culation works the way it does.
right in this figure), and low (L) heights to the north. In the
Northern Hemisphere, the geostrophic wind would be parallel
to a constant height contour in a direction with lower pressure
to its left. A similar interpretation can be made for the purple-
shaded isobaric surface at P = 90 kPa. At a middle altitude in
this sketch there is no net pressure gradient (i.e., zero slope of an
isobaric surface), hence no geostrophic wind.
350 chapter 11 • General Circulation
B
C
/
Low Latitudes
IPU IPU IPU IPU Differential heating of the Earth’s surface warms
- - - )
IPU IPU IPU IPU the tropics and cools the poles (Fig. 11.26a). The
warm air near the equator can hold large amounts of
4
water vapor evaporated from the oceans. Buoyancy
force causes the hot humid air to rise over the equa-
4
tor. As the air rises, it cools and water vapor con-
DPME DPME denses, causing a belt of thick thunderstorm clouds
around the equator (Fig. 11.26a) with heavy tropical
precipitation.
D
E
The buoyantly forced vertical motion removes air
DPME DPME molecules from the lower troposphere in the tropics,
and deposits the air near the top of the troposphere.
The result is a pressure couplet (Fig. 11.26b) of very
high perturbation pressure p’ (indicated with HHH
or H3 on the figures) near the tropopause, and low
perturbation pressure (L in the figures) at the sur-
IPU IPU
- - - ) ) ) ) face.
IPU IPU The belt of tropical high pressure near the
tropopause forces air to diverge horizontally, forcing
some air into the Northern Hemisphere and some
into the Southern (Fig. 11.26c). With no Coriolis force
at the equator, these winds are driven directly away
DPME DPME from the high-pressure belt.
But as these high-altitude winds move away
from the equator, they are increasingly affected by
Figure 11.26 Coriolis force (Fig. 11.26d). This causes winds mov-
Application of physical concepts to explain the general circula- ing into the Northern Hemisphere to turn to their
tion (see text). White-filled H and L indicate surface high and right, and those moving into the Southern Hemi-
low pressure regions; grey-filled H and L are pressure regions sphere to turn to their left.
near the tropopause. (continued on next pages) But as the winds move further and further away
from the equator, they are turned more and more to
the east, creating the subtropical jet (Fig. 11.26e) at
about 30° latitude. Coriolis force prevents these up-
A SCIENTIFIC PERSPECTIVE • Model
Sensitivity per-level winds from getting further away from the
equator than about 30° latitude (north and south),
CAUTION: Whenever you find that a model has so the air accumulates and the pressure increases in
high sensitivity (i.e., the output result varies by those belts. When simulations of the general circu-
large magnitude for small changes in the input pa- lation impose a larger Coriolis force (as if the Earth
rameter), you should be especially wary of the results.
spun faster), the convergence bands occur closer to
Small errors in the parameter could cause large errors
in the result. Also, if the real atmosphere does not
the equator. For weaker Coriolis force, the conver-
share the same sensitivity, then this is a clue that the gence is closer to the poles. But for our Earth, the air
model is poorly designed, and perhaps a better model converges at 30° latitude.
should be considered. This pressure perturbation p’ is labeled as HH or
Models are used frequently in meteorology — for H2 in Fig. 11.26e, to show that it is a positive pressure
example: numerical weather prediction models (Chap- perturbation, but not as strong as the H3 perturba-
ter 20) or climate-change models (Chapter 21). Most tion over the equator. Namely, the horizontal pres-
researchers who utilize models will perform care- sure gradient between H3 and H2 drives the upper-
ful sensitivity studies (i.e., compute the output level winds to diverge away from the equator.
results for a wide range of parameter values) to help The excess air accumulated at 30° latitudes can-
them gauge the potential weaknesses of the model.
not go up into the stratosphere in the face of very
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 351
ther poleward because of Coriolis force. And the air DPME DPME
cannot move equatorward in the face of the strong
upper-level winds leaving the equator. The only )
remaining path is downward at 30° latitude (Fig.
)
) TVCUSPQJDBMKFU ) ) )
11.26f) as a nonhydrostatic flow. As air accumulates ID
near the ground, it causes a high-pressure pertur-
bation there — the belt of subtropical highs labeled ) ) ) - - - )
with H.
The descending air at 30° latitude warms dry- ID
adiabatically, and does not contain much moisture ) TVCUSPQJDBMKFU ) ) )
because it was squeezed out earlier in the thunder- ) )
storm updrafts. These are the latitudes of the sub-
tropical deserts (Fig. 11.26h), and the source of hot DPME DPME
airmasses near the surface.
Finally, the horizontal pressure gradient between
the surface subtropical highs near 30° latitude and
the equatorial lows near 0° latitude drives the sur- H
I
face winds toward the equator. Coriolis force turns DPME DPME
these winds toward the west in both hemispheres
(Fig. 11.26g), resulting in the easterly trade winds
(winds from the east) that converge at the ITCZ. ) ) ) ESZ ESZ /
The total vertical circulation in the tropics and USBEFXJOET IPU IPU
subtropics we recognize as the Hadley Cell (labeled IPU IPU
h.c. in Fig. 11.26f). This vertical circulation (a ther- - - - SBJO SBJO
mally-direct circulation) is so vigorous in its verti- IPU IPU
USBEFXJOET IPU IPU
cal mixing and heat transport that it creates a deeper
) ) ) ESZ ESZ 4
troposphere in the tropics than elsewhere (Fig. 11.4).
Also, the vigorous circulation spreads and horizon-
tally mixes the radiatively warmed air somewhat
uniformly between ±30° latitude, as sketched by the DPME DPME
flattened temperature curve in Fig. 11.8a.
Figure 11.26 (continuation)
Explanation of low-latitude portion of the global circulation.
The dashed line shows the tropopause. The “x” with a circle
around it (representing the tail feathers of an arrow) indicates
the axis of a jet stream that goes into the page.
DMFBSTLJFT
Figure) creates a lid to the tropical convection below TVCTJEFODF
it. The inversion base is lowest (order of 500 m) in the BCPWFUIF
USBEFJOWFSTJPO
subtropics, and is highest (order of 2,500 m) near the
ITCZ. Fair-weather cumulus clouds (trade cumuli)
between the lifting condensation level (LCL) and the
trade inversion are shallowest in the subtropics and USBEFJO IPU
ESZ
WFSTJPO
deeper closer to the ITCZ. -$-
USBEFDVNVMJ
By capping the humid air below it, the trade inver- DPPM
IVNJE
sion allows a latent-heat fuel supply to build up, which
*5$;
can be released in hurricanes and ITCZ thunderstorms. MBUJUVEF
352 chapter 11 • General Circulation
High Latitudes
- B
C
As sketched in Fig. 11.8a, air temperature is very
DPME ) DPME cold at the poles, and is cool at 60° latitude. The tem-
) DPPM
-
) DPPM perature difference between 60° and 90° latitudes
- -
creates opposite north-south pressure gradients and
winds at the top and bottom of the troposphere, due
) ) ) ) ) ) to the thermal circulation effect (Fig. 11.17). A ver-
tical cross section of this thermal circulation (Fig.
11.27a) shows a weak polar cell. Air generally rises
near 60°N and descends near the pole.
At the poles are surface high-pressure centers,
) ) ) ) ) ) and at 60° latitudes are belts of subpolar lows at the
surface. This horizontal pressure gradient drives
-
- - equatorward winds, which are turned toward the
) DPPM ) DPPM west in both hemispheres due to Coriolis force (Fig.
DPME ) DPME
11.27b). Namely, the winds become geostrophic, and
-
are known as polar easterlies.
At the top of the shallow (6 to 8 km thick) tropo-
Figure 11.27 sphere are poleward winds that are turned toward
Explanation of high-latitude portion of general circulation. the east by Coriolis force. These result in an upper-
level westerly flow that circulates around the upper-
level polar low (Fig. 11.3b).
Mid-latitudes
Recall that the Hadley cell is unable to mix heat
beyond about ±30° latitude. This leaves a very strong
meridional temperature gradient in mid-latitudes
B
C
(Fig. 11.8) throughout the depth of the troposphere.
DPPM Namely, the temperature change between the equa-
- - tor (0°) and the poles (90°) has been compressed to a
XBSN latitude band of about 30 to 60° in each hemisphere.
Between the subtropical high-pressure belt near
) ) ) ) ) )
30° latitude and the subpolar low-pressure belt near
60° latitude is a weak meridional pressure gradient
near the Earth’s surface. This climatological-aver-
age pressure gradient drives weak boundary-lay-
) ) ) ) ) ) er winds from the west in both hemispheres (Fig.
11.28a), while the drag of the air against the surface
XBSN
causes the wind to turn slightly toward low pres-
- - sure.
DPPM
- -
temperature contrast between pole and equator. In
the Southern Hemisphere, the cold Antarctic con- )
tinent maintains a strong meridional temperature ) ) ) IPU
contrast all year.
Larger pressure gradients at higher altitudes
drive stronger winds. The core of fastest westerly
winds near the tropopause (where the pressure-gra-
) ) ) IPU
dient is strongest) is called the polar jet stream, and
is also discussed in more detail later in this chapter. )
Thus, the climatological average winds throughout
- -
the troposphere at mid-latitudes are from the west DPPM )
(Fig. 11.30a) in both hemispheres.
Although the climatological average polar-jet-
stream winds are straight from west to east (as in Figure 11.29
Fig. 11.30a), the actual flow on any single day is un- Isobaric surfaces (thin solid black lines) are spaced further apart
stable. Two factors cause this instability: the varia- in hot air than in cool air. Regions of steeper slope of the isobars
tion of Coriolis parameter with latitude (an effect have stronger pressure gradient, and drive faster winds. The
that leads to barotropic instability), and the in- jet-stream axis is shown with .
crease in static stability toward the poles (an effect
that leads to baroclinic instability). Both of these
instabilities are discussed in more detail later.
These instabilities cause the jet stream to me-
ander meridionally (north-south) as it continues to
blow from the west (Fig. 11.30b). The meanders that
form in this flow are called Rossby waves. Re- B
C
sure extends poleward. The locations of Rossby-
wave troughs and ridges usually propagate toward
the east with time, as will be explained in detail later
in this chapter.
Recall that there is a subtropical jet at roughly 30° ) ) ) ) ) ) TVC
latitude associated with the Hadley Cell. Thus, in ) ) USPQJDBM
each hemisphere are a somewhat-steady subtropi- KFU
) ) ) )
cal jet and an unsteady polar jet (Fig. 11.30b). Both ) ) QPMBSKFU
of these jets are strongest in the winter hemisphere,
where there is the greatest temperature gradient be-
tween cold poles and hot equator. Figure 11.30
Troughs and ridges in the jet stream are crucial Mid-latitude flow near the top of the troposphere. The thick
in creating and killing cyclones and anticyclones black arrow represents the core or axis of the jet stream: (a)
near the Earth’s surface. Namely, they cause the ex- average, (b) snapshot. (See caption in previous two figures for
tremely large weather variability that is normal for legend.)
mid-latitudes. The field of synoptic meteorology
comprises the study and forecasting of these vari-
able systems, as discussed in the Airmasses, Fronts,
and Extratropical Cyclone chapters.
Figs. 11.31 and 11.32 show actual global pressure
patterns at the bottom and top of the troposphere.
The next section explains why the patterns over the
oceans and continents differ.
354 chapter 11 • General Circulation
B
+BOVBSZ
"MFVUJBO-PX *DFMBOE-PX 4JCFSJBO)JHI
/ )
-
)
/ - -
- ) -
) )
/ )
)
/ -
- )
- -
)
-
- -
4 -
-
) ) )
4 ) )
4 - - - - -
4 ) ) ) ) )
8 8 8 8 & & & &
C
+VMZ #FSNVEB)JHI
)BXBJJBO)JHI PS"[PSFT)JHI
5JCFUBO-PX
/
)
- ) -
- -
/ -
-
)
/ ) - ) ) )
) -
- -
/
-
- -
- -
4
) )
) ) ) ) )
4
-
4 - -
- -
-
4 ) ) )
)
8 8 8 8 & & & &
Figure 11.31
Mean sea-level pressure (kPa) for (a) January 2001, and (b) July 2001. [European Centre for Medium Range Weather forecasts (EC-
MWF) ERA-40 data used in this analysis have been provided by ECMWF, and have been obtained from the ECMWF data server.]
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 355
B
+BOVBSZ
/ - - - -
-
-
/ -
/
/
)
-
) ) )
4 ) )
4
4
-
4
- - - -
8 8 8 8 & & & &
C
+VMZ
/
- - - -
-
/
/
) )
/ ) ) )
) ) ) )
4 -
- - -
Figure 11.32
Geopotential height (km) of the 20 kPa isobaric surface (near the tropopause) for (a) January 2001, and (b) July 2001. [ECMWF ERA-
40 data used in this analysis have been provided by ECMWF, and have been obtained from the ECMWF data server.]
356 chapter 11 • General Circulation
/PSUI1PMF
Jet Streams U
S KF
QPMB
In the winter hemisphere there are often two
strong jet streams of fast west-to-east moving air
TVCUSPQJDBMKFU
near the tropopause: the polar jet stream and the
subtropical jet stream (Figs. 11.34 & 11.35).
The subtropical jet is centered near 30° latitude in
the winter hemisphere. This jet: (1) is very steady; (2)
meanders north and south a bit; (3) is about 10° latitude
wide (width ≈1,000 km); and (4) has seasonal-average
speeds of about 45 m s–1 over the Atlantic Ocean, 55 TVCUSPQJDBMKFU
to 65 m s–1 over Africa and the Indian Ocean, and 60
QP
to 80 m s–1 over the western Pacific Ocean. The core MBS
KF
of fast winds near its center is at 12 km altitude (Fig. U
Figure 11.34
11.35). It is driven by outflow from the top of the
Sketch of jet streams, 4PVUI1PMF
Hadley cell, and is affected by both Coriolis force representing a snapshot.
and angular-momentum conservation.
The polar jet is centered near 50 to 60° latitude
in the winter hemisphere. The polar jet: (1) is ex-
tremely variable; (2) meanders extensively north and
B
8JOUFS)FNJTQIFSF
south; (3) is about 5° latitude wide; and (4) has wide- 1 L1B
TVCUSPQJDBM
— driven by thermal-wind effects due to the strong KFU
horizontal temperature contrast across the front.
QPMBS
When meteorological data are averaged over a KFU
month, the subtropical jet shows up clearly in the )BEMFZ
data (e.g., Fig. 11.36) because it is so steady. How- DFMM .
ever, the polar jet disappears because it meanders 'FSSFM
DFMM 1PMBS
and shifts so extensively that it is washed out by DFMM
the long-term average. Nonetheless, these transient
meanders of the polar jet (troughs and ridges in the
Rossby waves) are extremely important for mid-lati- -BUJUVEF
QPMBS USPQPQBVTF
tude cyclone formation and evolution (see the Extra- GSPOU GPME
tropical Cyclone chapter).
In the summer hemisphere both jets are much
weaker (Figs. 11.35b and 11.36), because of the much C
4VNNFS)FNJTQIFSF
1 L1B
B
'FCSVBSZ
/
/
-
/
/
4
4
4
4
8 8 8 8 & & & &
C
"VHVTU
/
/
/
/
)
m m
4
4
4
4
8 8 8 8 & & & &
Figure 11.36
Zonal (U) component of winds (m s –1) at 20 kPa isobaric surface (near the tropopause) for (a) February, and (b) August 2001. Contour
interval is 10 m s –1. All negative (east) winds are lightly hatched, and are indicated with white arrows. Positive (west) winds are in-
dicated with black arrows, and are shaded at 40, 60, and 80 m s –1. February and August are shown because the jets are stronger than
during January and July, respectively. In 2001, polar easterlies were observed at 20 kPa, contrary to the longer-term climate average
of polar westerlies as sketched in Fig. 11.3b. [ECMWF ERA-40 data used in this analysis have been provided by ECMWF, and have
been obtained from the ECMWF data server.]
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 359
[ LN
[ LN
(11.17)
g · c · b1 z 2 2
U jet ≈ ·z·1 − · cos (φ)· sin (φ)
2 Ω · Tv 2 · zT Figure 11.37
Vertical cross sections through the atmosphere on January
where ϕ is latitude, |g| = 9.8 m s–2, Ug has been rela- 2003. (a) isotherms T (°C), (b) isobars P (kPa), (c) isotachs of the
beled as Ujet, Tv is average absolute virtual tempera- zonal wind U (m s –1). The tropopause is indicated by a heavy
solid line. For this Northern Hemisphere case, the jet-stream
ture, b1 ≈ 40 K, c = 1.18x10 –3 km–1, zT ≈ 11 km is aver-
winds in (c) are from the west (i.e., toward the reader). You can
age depth of the troposphere, and assuming Ujet = 0
superimpose copies of these three figures to see the relationship
at z = 0. The factor 2·Ω = 1.458x10 –4 s–1 comes from between the temperature field, mass field (i.e., pres-
the Coriolis-parameter definition fc = 2·Ω·sinϕ. sures), and wind field.
360 chapter 11 • General Circulation
m · (U s + U Es ) · Rs = m · (U d + U Ed ) · Rd •(11.18)
Sample Application
For air starting at the equatorial tropopause, what
would be its zonal velocity at 20°N if angular momen-
6E NT
B
UJNF UJNF UJNF
Types of Vorticity
å6åZ
m
Z 6
Relative-vorticity Definition
Counterclockwise rotation about a local vertical
Y
Figure 11.42 axis defines positive vorticity. One type of vorticity
Flower blossoms dropped into a river ζr, called relative vorticity, is measured relative to
illustrate positive relative vorticity both the location of the object and to the surface of
C
(counterclockwise rotation) caused the Earth (also see the Forces & Winds chapter).
UJNF by river-current shear as the blos- Picture a flower blossom dropped onto a straight
soms translate downstream. river, where the river current has shear (Fig. 11.42).
As the floating blossom drifts (translates) down-
stream, it also spins due to the velocity shear of the
B
current. Both Figs. 11.42a & b show counterclock-
wise rotation, giving positive relative vorticity as
UJNF defined by:
UJNF ∆V ∆U
ζr = −
∆x ∆y •(11.20)
å7å9 for (U, V) positive in the local (x, y) directions.
Next, consider a flower blossom glued to a solid
C
Z
7 Fig. 11.43b. Solid-body rotation requires vectors that
å.
3
Y . start on the dotted line and end on the dashed line.
But in a river (or atmosphere), currents can have ad-
UJNF ditional radial shear of the tangential velocity. Thus,
Figure 11.43 relative vorticity can also be defined as:
(a) Vorticity associated with solid-body rotation, illustrated
∆M M
with a flower blossom glued to a solid turntable at time 1. ζr = + •(11.21)
(b) Vorticity caused by radial shear of tangential velocity M. ∆R R
/
/
m
/PSUI
"UMBOUJD
/
m 0DFBO
/PSUI
"NFSJDB
/ m
m
m
m
/
m
m m
/
8 8 8 8
Figure 11.44
Weather map example of relative vorticity (contour lines, with units of 10 –5 s –1) near the tropopause (at the 20 kPa isobaric surface) at
12 UTC on 5 January 2001. White arrows show jet stream axis of fastest winds over North America and the Atlantic Ocean. Shad-
ing gives wind speeds every 10 m s –1 from 30 m s –1 (lightest grey) to over 80 m s –1 (darkest grey). (Based on NCEP/NCAR 40-year
reanalysis data, utilizing the plotting tool by Christopher Godfrey, the Univ. of Oklahoma School of Meteorology.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 363
.
Given: U2 =100 m s–1, U1 =50 m s–1, ∆ϕ =4°lat. V =0
For solid-body rotation,
å.
Find: ζr = ? s–1 , ζa = ? s–1
∆M/∆R exactly equals M/R,
as is illustrated in the . UJNF (a) Use eq. (11.20): Appendix A: 1°latitude = 111 km
figure at right. Hence:
ζr = – (100 – 50 m s–1) / (4.4x105 m) = –1.14x10 –4 s–1
ζr = ( M − 0) + M = 2 M
R R R (b) Average ϕ = 48°N. Thus, fc = (1.458x10 –4 s–1)·sin(48°)
fc = 1.08x10 –4 s–1. then, use eq. (11.23):
which is eq. (11.22).
ζa = (–1.14x10 –4) + (1.08x10 –4) = –6x10 –6 s–1 .
ζr + fc ∆θ ζ a ∆θ (11.26)
ζ IPV = · = ·
ρ ∆z ρ ∆z
or
∆θ
ζ IPV = − g ·(ζr + fc )· (11.27)
/ ∆p
where air pressure is p, air density is ρ , gravitation-
al acceleration magnitude is |g|, and ∆θ/∆z indicates
the static stability.
Define a potential vorticity unit (PVU) such
that 1 PVU = 10 –6 K·m2·s–1·kg–1. The stratosphere
has lower density and greater static stability than
the troposphere, hence stratospheric air has IPV val-
ues that are typically 100 times larger than for tropo-
spheric air. Typically, ζIPV > 1.5 PVU for stratospher-
ic air (a good atmospheric cross-section example is
/PSUI"NFSJDB shown in the Extratropical Cyclone chapter).
For idealized situations where the air moves
"UMBOUJD adiabatically without friction while following a con-
0DFBO stant θ surface (i.e., isentropic motion), then ζIPV is
conserved, which means you can use it to track air
motion. Also, stratospheric air does not instantly
8 lose its large IPV upon being mixed downward into
the troposphere.
Figure 11.45
Example of isentropic potential vorticity on the 315 K isentropic Thus, IPV is useful for finding tropopause folds
surface, at 00 UTC on 5 January 2001. Units are PVU. Values and the accompanying intrusions of stratospheric
greater than 1.5 are in stratospheric air. Because the tropopause air into the troposphere (Fig. 11.45), which can bring
is at lower altitude near the poles than at the equator, the 315 down toward the ground the higher ozone concen-
K potential temperature surface crosses the tropopause; so it is trations and radionuclides (radioactive atoms from
within the troposphere in the southern part of the figure and in former atomic-bomb tests) from the stratosphere.
the stratosphere in the northern part. Tropopause folds are evi- Because isentropic potential vorticity is con-
dent by the high PVU values just west of the Great Lakes, and served, if static stability (∆θ/∆z) weakens, then eq.
just east of the North American coastline. (Based on NCEP/ (11.26) says absolute vorticity must increase to main-
NCAR 40-year reanalysis data, with initial plots produced us-
tain constant IPV. For example, Fig. 11.46 shows
ing the plotting tool by Christopher Godfrey, the University of
isentropes for flow from west to east across the
Oklahoma School of Meteorology.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 365
&R
V
Extratropical Ridges & Troughs 8BSN"JS
BU
PS
+FU4
The atmosphere is generally warm near the equa- USF
tor and cool near the poles. This meridional tem- $PME"JS
BN
perature gradient drives a west-to-east wind having
increasing speed with increasing altitude within the /PSUI
troposphere, as described by the thermal-wind ef- 1PMF
fect. The resulting fast wind near the tropopause is
called the jet stream. To first order, we would expect
this jet stream to encircle the globe (Fig. 11.49a) along
the zone between the warm and cool airmasses, at
roughly 50 to 60° latitude in winter.
However, this flow is unstable, allowing small
disturbances to grow into large north-south mean-
ders (Fig. 11.49b) of the jet stream. These meanders
are called Rossby waves or planetary waves. C
&R
V
Typical wavelengths are 3 - 4 Mm. Given the cir- 8BSN"JS
BU
PS
cumference of a parallel at those latitudes, one typi-
cally finds 3 to 13 waves around the globe, with a
normal zonal wavenumber of 7 to 8 waves. +F
U4
The equatorward region of any meander is called $PME"JS USF
BN
a trough (pronounced like “troff”) and is associated /PSUI
with low pressure or low geopotential height. The 1PMF
poleward portion of a meander is called a ridge,
and has high pressure or height. The turning of
winds around troughs and ridges are analogous to
the turning around closed lows and highs, respec-
tively. The trough center or trough axis is labeled Figure 11.49
with a dashed line, while the ridge axis is labeled (a) Jet stream in the
with a zig-zag symbol (Fig. 11.49b). N. Hemisphere on a
Like many waves or oscillations in nature, Ross- world with no instabilities. (b) Jet stream with barotropic or
by waves result from the interplay between inertia baroclinic instabilities, creating a meandering jet. Troughs are
(trying to make the jet stream continue in the direc- marked with a black dashed line, and ridges with a white zig-zag
line.
tion it was deflected) and a restoring force (acting
opposite to the deflection). For Rossby waves, the /PSUI1PMF
restoring force can be explained by the conservation
of potential vorticity, which depends on both the å[
Coriolis parameter and the layer thickness (related Zh /
to layer static stability). Baroclinic instability C
"
considers both restoring factors, while barotropic :P B D BN
TUSF
instability is a simpler approximation that consid- E KFU
ers only the Coriolis effect. /
Barotropic Instability
Consider tropospheric air of constant depth ∆z (≈
11 km). For this situation, the conservation of poten- M
FSF
M M (11.34)
NP
R + fc = + fc
R &BSUI
BU
initial later
where the displacement distance of the Rossby wave
Z from Yo (its starting latitude) is y’ . Let x’ be the east-
LN
ward distance from the start of the wave. The posi-
m tion of the wave crests move at phase speed c with
m
m respect to the Earth. The wavelength is λ and its
amplitude is A (see Fig. 11.50). The primes indicate
Y LN
the deviations from a mean background state.
Figure 11.a. Barotropic Rossby waves of the jet stream have
Jet-stream path (blue) and associated vorticity (thick red). wavelengths of about λ ≈ 6000 km and amplitudes
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 369
Given typical values for Uo, the total phase speed c ∂fc 2·Ω y
β= = · cos
relative to the ground is positive. Such movement to- ∂y Rearth Rearth
ward the east is indeed observed on weather maps.
Barotropic Rossby waves can have a range of Finally, use the second equation above to give:
different wavelengths. But eq. (11.37) says that dif- 2·Ω
ferent wavelength waves move at different intrinsic β= · cos φ
Rearth •(11.35)
phase speeds. Thus, the different waves tend to
move apart from each other, which is why eq. (11.37) For a small range of latitudes, β is nearly constant.
is known as a dispersion relationship. Some theoretical derivations assume constant beta,
Short waves have slower intrinsic phase speed which has the same effect as assuming that the earth
toward the west, causing the background wind to is shaped like a cone. The name for this lamp-shade
blow them rapidly toward the east. Long waves, shaped surface is the beta plane.
with their faster intrinsic phase speed westbound
end up moving more slowly toward the east relative /PSUI
to the ground, as illustrated in Fig. 11.51. 1PMF
Z
MBUJUVEF
G
CFUBQMBOF
B
4IPSU8BWFT
D DP
6P
C
-POH8BWFT
D DP
Figure 11.51 (at left)
Sum of large background west wind Uo with smaller intrinsic
6P Rossby-wave phase speed co from the east gives propagation
speed c of Rossby waves relative to the ground.
370 chapter 11 • General Circulation
UI
m
m
m
Y LN
m
Check: Physics & units are reasonable. Y LN
Baroclinic Instability å[
/PSUI1PMF
Fig. 11.52 illustrates baroclinic instability using a
toy model with thicker atmosphere near the equator /
and thinner atmosphere near the poles. This mimics C
N
the effect of static stability, with cold strongly stable å[ B D
TU SFB
air near the poles that restricts vertical movement of E K FU
air, vs. warm weakly stable air near the equator that /
is less limiting in the vertical (see Fig. 5.20 again).
Qualitative View
As before, use potential-vorticity conservation: M
SF
QIF
f c + ( M / R) f + ( M / R) (11.39)
= c
PT
∆z ∆z
later &BSUI
N
initial
BU
where M is wind speed, the Coriolis parameter is fc,
and the radius of curvature is R. You must include
the atmospheric thickness ∆z because it varies south
to north.
For baroclinic waves, follow the jet stream as you Figure 11.52
Illustration of baroclinic instability, where the effect of static
had done before for barotropic waves, from location
stability is mimicked with at atmosphere that is thicker near the
a to location d. All the same processes happen as equator and thinner near the poles. The thickness change is ex-
before, but with an important difference. As the air aggerated in this figure..
moves toward location b, not only does fc increase,
but ∆z decreases. But ∆z is in the denominator,
hence both fc and ∆z tend to increase the potential
vorticity. Thus, the curvature M/R must be even
more negative to compensate those combined effect.
This means the jet stream turns more sharply.
Similarly, at location d, fc is smaller and ∆z in the
denominator is larger, both acting to force a sharper
cyclonic turn. The net result is that the combined re- 4USBUPTQIFSF
storing forces are stronger for baroclinic situations, [
causing tighter turns that create a shorter overall
wavelength λ than for barotropic waves.
UI
Apply eq. (11.42):
c = ( 40 – 2.21 )m s–1 = 37.8 m s–1
Y LN
UI
Check: Physics & units are reasonable.
Exposition: The Rossby wave at z = 12 km is indeed
180° out of phase from that at the surface. Namely,
an upper-level ridge is above a surface trough. In the Y LN
Baroclinic waves perturb many variables relative Any atmospheric variable can be reconstructed as
to their average background states. Represent the the sum of its background and perturbation values;
perturbation by e’ = e – ebackground for any variable e. for example: U = Ubackground + u’. Background states
Variables affected include: are defined as follows.
y’ = meridional streamline displacement north, Ubackground = Ug is the geostrophic (jet-stream) wind.
(u’, v’, w’) = wind components, V background = W background = 0.
θ’ = potential temperature, Pbackground decreases with increasing height
p’ = pressure, and according to the hydrostatic equation (Chapter 1).
η’ = vertical displacement. θbackground increases linearly as altitude increases as
Independent variables are time t and east-west dis- was assumed to create a constant value of NBV.
placement x’ relative to some arbitrary location. Ybackground corresponds to the latitude of zero-
Let: perturbation flow, which serves as the reference
a = π · z / ZT latitude for calculation of fc and β.
(11.44)
Background state for η is the altitude z in eq. (11.44).
b = 2 π ·( x '− c · t) / λ (11.45) All variables listed at left interact together to de-
Thus: scribe the wave. The result is sketched in Fig. 11.53.
y′ = Yˆ · cos( a)· cos(b) Although the equations at left look complicated, they
are based on a simplified description of the atmo-
η′ = ˆ · sin( a)· cos(b)
η sphere. They neglect clouds, turbulence, latent heat-
ing, meridional wave propagation, and nonlinear
θ′ = −θˆ · sin( a)· cos(b) effects. Nonetheless, the insight gained from this
simple model helps to explain the behavior of many
(11.46) of the synoptic weather patterns that are covered in
p′ = Pˆ · cos( a)· cos(b) the Extratropical Cyclones chapter.
"
FBTU
- ) -
VQQFSMFWFM VQQFSMFWFM
ˆ · sin( a)· sin(b)
w ′ = −W USPVHI USPVHI
m
TPVUI
Each of the equations above represents a wave
having amplitude is indicated by the factor with the
caret (^) over it, where the symbols with carets are al- USPQPQBVTF
ways positive. For Northern Hemispheric baroclinic - ) -
waves, the amplitudes are:
TVCTJEJOHBJS DMFBS
TVCTJEJOHBJS DMFBS
C
SJTJOHBJS DMPVEZ
;5 7FSUJDBM R DP
OTU
Yˆ = A $SPTT
XFTU
FBTU
A · π · fc ·( − co ) 1
ˆ =
η · 2
ZT N BV
A · π · fc ·( − co ) θo ) - )
θˆ = ·
&BSUITTVSGBDF
ZT g
(11.47)
Pˆ = A · ρo · fc ·( − co ) OPSUI
2 TVSGBDF TVSGBDF
A · 2 π ·( − co ) 1 Z
Uˆ = · A · f
IJHI IJHI
XFTU
FBTU
λ " ) - )
c
TVSGBDF
A · 2 π ·( − co ) D
4VSGBDF MPX
Vˆ = m $IBSU
λ TPVUI
YhM
ˆ = A · 2 π ·( − co ) · π ·( − co ) · fc
W
λ ZT · N BV2 Figure 11.53
Characteristics of a N. Hemisphere baroclinic wave, based
where ρo is average density of air at height z, and on quasi-geostrophic theory. H & L are high and low pres-
intrinsic phase speed co is a negative number. A (= sure. Circle-dot and circle-X are flow out-of and into the
north-south displacement) depends on the initial dis- page, respectively. (after Cushman-Roisin, 1994: “Intro. to
turbance. (continues in next column) Geophysical Fluid Dynamics”. Prentice Hall.)
374 chapter 11 • General Circulation
NJEMBUJUVEFT
m
)PU )PU
-BUJUVEF
4
)FBU
FRVBUPS
KFU
m
'ZXBWFT m
$PME $PME 4
4 m
NJEMBUJUVEFT
Figure 11.54 m
Sketch of how Rossby waves (thick black lines) transport heat m
poleward in midlatitudes. Fy is the meridional heat transport. IFBUUSBOTQPSU IFBUUSBOTQPSU
UPXBSETPVUI UPXBSEOPSUI 4JHOPG
$VSWBUVSF
'ZXBWFT ,NTm
PG'ZXBWFT
Figure 11.55
Heat flux (magenta line) toward the poles due to Rossby waves
Green icons show whether the curvature of the heat-flux line is
positive or negative.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 375
Fy waves = (1/N)·Σ(v’·T’)
.PNFOUVN
KFU
the Earth’s surface, the fact that the Earth is rotating
implies that the air is also moving toward the east. /
Latitude circles near the equator have much larger GBTU6 GBTU6
circumference than near the poles, hence air near
the equator must be moving faster toward the east.
As Rossby waves move some of the tropical air
poleward (positive v’ in N. Hem.; negative v’ in S.
Hem.), conservation of U angular momentum re- .PNFOUVN
GBTU6 GBTU6
quires the speed-up (positive U-wind perturba- 4
tion: u’) as the radius from Earth’s axis decreases.
Similarly, polar air moving equatorward must move KFU
slower (negative u’ relative to the Earth’s surface). VhWh m
4
TMPX6
The north-south transport of U momentum is
called the average kinematic momentum flux u ' v ' : 4
starting from 30° has much larger magnitude |a·U’|
FRVBUPS
m than does air starting from 60°. (ALERT: Angular-
momentum conservation gives unrealistically large ve-
locities, but is qualitatively informative.)
The change of weighted Rossby-wave momen-
m NJEMBUJUVEFT tum flux with latitude is
m
m MG = ∆ u ' v ' / ∆y (11.49)
m .(
Bp6 NTm
where MG is the north-south gradient of zonal mo-
Figure 11.57 mentum. From Fig. 11.57 we infer that MG is (nega-
Weighted zonal velocity for air that arrives at midlatitude des- tive, positive) in (N., S.) Hemisphere midlatitudes.
tination 45° from different source latitudes, where the weight is This meridional gradient implies that excess zonal
proportional to the amount of air in the source region. momentum from the tropics is being deposited at
midlatitudes by the Rossby waves.
Rossby waves that transport U momentum pole-
ward have a recognizable rounded-sawtooth shape,
/ QPMBS
DFMM as sketched in Figs. 11.56 & 11.58. Specifically, the
U /
equatorward-moving portions of the jet stream are
FEEJFT KF FEEJFT
MBS aligned more north-south (i.e., are more meridional),
XBWFT
QP XBWFT
circulation ∝ radiation + wave-heat + wave-momentum = total CC = 1.493x10 –9 + 2.564x10 –9 s–1 = 4.06x10 –9 s–1
CCpolar ∝ positive + positive + positive = positive
CCmidlat ∝ positive + negative +negative = negative Check: Physics & units are reasonable.
CCtropics∝ positive + positive + positive = positive Exposition: Both terms contribute positively to the
circulation of the major Hadley cell during Northern
Hemisphere winter.
378 chapter 11 • General Circulation
m
m
u 2
z π
m U = * water1/2 · e z/D ·cos − (11.52a)
m ( K · fc ) D 4
[mN
7
NTm
u 2
z π
m V = * water1/2 · e z/D ·sin − (11.52b)
( K · fc ) D 4
ρair
u* water 2 = · u* air 2 (11.53)
Figure 11.61 ρwater
Example of an Ekman spiral in the ocean. Blue arrows show
ocean currents at different depths (numbers in green). U cur- where the density ratio ρair/ρwater ≈ 0.001195 for sea
rent direction is aligned with the near-surface wind direction.
water. The friction velocity (m s–1) for air can be ap-
Red arrow shows the wind direction, but speed is much greater.
proximated using Charnock’s relationship:
This example is based on a 10 m s –1 wind at 45° latitude.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 379
Sample Application
u* air 2 ≈ 0.00044 · M 2.55 (11.54)
For an east wind of 14 m/s at 30°N, graph the Ek-
man spiral.
where M is near-surface wind speed (at z = 10 m) in
units of m s–1. Find the Answer
The Ekman-layer depth scale is Given: M = 14 m·s–1, ϕ = 30°N
Find: [U , V ] (m s–1) vs. depth z (m)
2· K (11.55)
D=
fc Using a relationship from the Forces and Winds chap-
ter, find the Coriolis parameter: fc = 7.29x10 –5 s–1 .
where K is the ocean eddy viscosity (a measure of
ability of ocean turbulence to mix momentum). One Next, use Charnock’s relationship. eq. (11.54):
u*air2 = 0.00044 (14 2.55) = 0.368 m2 s–2 .
approximation is K ≈ 0.4 |z| u*water . Although K
varies with depth, for simplicity in this illustration
Then use eq. (11.53):
I used constant K corresponding to its value at z = u*water2 = 0.001195 · (0.368 m2 s–2) = 0.00044 m2 s–2
–0.2 m, which gave K ≈ 0.001 m2 s–1.
The average water-mass transport by Ekman Estimate K at depth 0.2 m in the ocean from
ocean processes is 90° to the (right, left) of the near- K ≈ 0.4 · (0.2 m) ·[0.00044 m2 s–2]1/2 = 0.00168 m2 s–1
surface wind in the (N., S.) Hemisphere (Fig. 11.61).
This movement of water affects sea-level under hur- Use eq. (11.55):
ricanes (see the Tropical Cyclone chapter). D = [2 · (0.00168 m2 s–1) / (7.29x10 –5 s–1) ]1/2 = 6.785 m
TVSGBDFXJOE
lating Ferrel cell in midlatitudes. Near the poles is
a weak direct-circulation cell. Ocean currents can
be driven by the overlying winds in the atmosphere. m
All these ceaseless global circulations in both the
Check: Physics & units are reasonable.
atmosphere and the ocean can move enough mo-
Exposition: Net transport of ocean water is toward
mentum and heat to keep our planet in near equilib- the north for this East wind case.
rium.
380 chapter 11 • General Circulation
B11. Search the web for sites where you can plot “re-
Homework Exercises analysis data”, such as the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis
or any of the ECMWF reanalyses. Pick a month dur-
Broaden Knowledge & Comprehension ing late summer from some past year in this data-
B1. From hemispheric weather maps of winds near base, and plot the surface pressure map. Explain
the tropopause (which you can access via the inter- how this “real” result relates to a combination of the
net), identify locations of major global-circulation “idealized” planetary and monsoonal circulations.
features including the jet stream, monsoon circula-
tions, tropical cyclones and the ITCZ. B12. Same as B11, but for monthly average vertical
cross sections that can be looped as movies. Display
B2. Same as the previous exercise, except using wa- fields such as zonal wind, meridional wind, and ver-
ter-vapor or infrared image loops from geostation- tical velocity, and see how they vary over a year.
ary satellites to locate the features.
B13. Capture a current map showing 85 kPa temper-
B3. From the web, find a rawinsonde sounding at a atures, and assume that those temperatures are sur-
location in the trade-wind region, and confirm the rogates for the actual average virtual temperature
wind reversal between low and high altitudes. between 100 and 70 kPa. Compute the thermal wind
magnitude and direction for a location assigned by
B4. Use a visible, whole-disk image from a geosta- your teacher, and see if this theoretical relationship
tionary satellite to view and quantify the cloud-cov- successfully explains the wind shear between 100
er fraction as a function of latitude. Speculate on and 70 kPa. Justify your reasoning.
how insolation at the Earth’s surface is affected.
B14 Capture a current map showing the thickness
B5. Download a series of rawinsonde soundings for between 100 and 50 kPa, and estimate the thermal
different latitudes between the equator and a pole. wind direction and magnitude across that layer.
Find the tropopause from each sounding, and then
plot the variation of tropopause height vs. latitude. B15. Use rawinsonde soundings from stations that
cross the jet stream. Create your own contour plots
B6. Download a map of sea-surface temperature of the jet-stream cross section for (a) heights of key
(SST), and discuss how SST varies with latitude. isobaric surfaces; (b) potential temperature; and (c)
wind magnitude. Compare your plots with ideal-
B7. Most satellite images in the infrared show greys ized sketches presented in this chapter.
or colors that are related to brightness temperature
(see the legend in whole-disk IR images that you ac- B16. What are the vertical and horizontal dimen-
quired from the internet). Use these temperatures sions of the jet stream, based on weather maps you
as a function of latitude to estimate the correspond- acquire from the internet.
ing meridional variation of IR-radiation out. Hint,
consider the Stefan-Boltzmann law. B17. Acquire a 50 kPa vorticity chart, and determine
if the plotted vorticity is isentropic, absolute, rela-
B8. Download satellite-derived images that show tive, or potential. Where are positive-vorticity max-
the climatological average incoming and outgoing ima relative to fronts and foul weather?
radiation at the top of the atmosphere. How does it
relate to the idealized descriptions in this chapter? B18. Calculate the values for the four types of
vorticity at a location identified by your instructor,
B9. Download satellite-derived or buoy & ship-de- based on data for winds and temperatures. Namely,
rived ocean currents for the global oceans, and dis- acquire the raw data used for vorticity calculations;
cuss how they transport heat meridionally, and why do not use vorticity maps captured from the web.
the oceanic transport of heat is relatively small at
mid to high latitudes in the N. Hemisphere. B19. For the 20 kPa geopotential heights, use the
wavy pattern of height contours and their rela-
B10. Use a satellite image to locate a strong portion tive packing to identify ridges and troughs in the
of the ITCZ over a rawinsonde site, and then down- jet stream. Between two troughs, or between two
load the rawinsonde data. Plot (compute if needed) ridges, estimate the wavelength of the Rossby wave.
the variation of pressure with altitude, and discuss Use that measured length as if it were the dominant
how it does or doesn’t deviate from hydrostatic. wavelength to estimate the phase speed for baro-
clinic and barotropic waves.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 381
B20. Confirm that the theoretical relationship be- A6. Using the results from the previous two exer-
tween horizontal winds, temperatures, vertical ve- cises, find the net radiation magnitude (W m–2) that
locities, and heights for baroclinic waves is consistent is input to the atmosphere at latitude:
with the corresponding weather maps you acquire a. 90° b. 85° c. 80° d. 75° e. 70° f. 65° g. 60°
from the internet. Explain any discrepancies. h. 55° i. 50° j. 45° k. 40° l. 35° m. 30° n. 25°
o. 20° p. 15° q. 10° r. 5° s. equator
B21. Confirm the three-band nature of the global
circulation using IR satellite image movie loops. In A7. Using the results from the previous exercise, find
the tropics, compare the motion of low (warm) and the latitude-compensated net radiation magnitude
high (cold) clouds, and relate this motion to the trade (W m–2; i.e., the differential heating) at latitude:
winds and Hadley circulation. In mid-latitudes, find a. 90° b. 85° c. 80° d. 75° e. 70° f. 65° g. 60°
the regions of meandering jet stream with its corre- h. 55° i. 50° j. 45° k. 40° l. 35° m. 30° n. 25°
sponding high and low-pressure centers. In polar o. 20° p. 15° q. 10° r. 5° s. equator
regions, relate cloud motions to the polar cell.
A8. Assuming a standard atmosphere, find the in-
B22. Are the ocean-surface current directions consis- ternal Rossby deformation radius (km) at latitude:
tent with near-surface wind directions as observed a. 90° b. 85° c. 80° d. 75° e. 70° f. 65° g. 60°
in maps or animations acquired from the internet, h. 55° i. 50° j. 45° k. 40° l. 35° m. 30° n. 25°
given the dynamics describe for the Ekman spiral? o. 20° p. 15° q. 10° r. 5° s. equator
A3. Estimate the annual average insolation (W m–2) A10. Find the thermal wind (m s–1) components,
at the following latitude: given a 100 to 50 kPa thickness change of 0.1 km
a. 90° b. 85° c. 80° d. 75° e. 70° f. 65° g. 60° across the following distances:
h. 55° i. 50° j. 45° k. 40° l. 35° m. 30° n. 25° ∆x(km) = a. 200 b. 250 c. 300 d. 350
o. 20° p. 15° q. 10° r. 5° s. equator e. 400 f. 450 g. 550 h. 600 i. 650
∆y(km) = j. 200 k. 250 l. 300 m. 350
A4. Estimate the annual average amount of incom- n. 400 o. 450 p. 550 q. 600 r. 650
ing solar radiation (W m–2) that is absorbed in the
Earth-ocean-atmosphere system at latitude: A11. Find the magnitude of the thermal wind (m
a. 90° b. 85° c. 80° d. 75° e. 70° f. 65° g. 60° s–1) for the following thickness gradients:
h. 55° i. 50° j. 45° k. 40° l. 35° m. 30° n. 25° ∆TH(km) / ∆x(km) & ∆TH(km) / ∆y(km)
o. 20° p. 15° q. 10° r. 5° s. equator a. –0.2 / 600 and – 0.1 / 400
b. –0.2 / 400 and – 0.1 / 400
A5. Using the idealized temperature near the mid- c. –0.2 / 600 and + 0.1 / 400
dle of the troposphere (at z = 5.5 km), estimate the d. –0.2 / 400 and + 0.1 / 400
outgoing infrared radiation (W m–2) from the atmo- e. –0.2 / 600 and – 0.1 / 400
sphere at the following latitude: f. –0.2 / 400 and – 0.1 / 400
a. 90° b. 85° c. 80° d. 75° e. 70° f. 65° g. 60° g. –0.2 / 600 and + 0.1 / 400
h. 55° i. 50° j. 45° k. 40° l. 35° m. 30° n. 25° h. –0.2 / 400 and + 0.1 / 400
o. 20° p. 15° q. 10° r. 5° s. equator
382 chapter 11 • General Circulation
E15. Just before idealized eq. (11.6), I mentioned my E24. a. Redraw Figs. 11.16 for downdraft situations.
surprise that E2 was approximately constant with b. Figs. 11.16 both show updraft situations, but
latitude. I had estimated E2 by subtracting my toy- they have opposite pressure couplets. As you al-
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 385
ready found from part (a) both pressure couplets can by only a small amount compared to their magni-
be associated with downdrafts. What external in- tude, and which factors vary more (and are thus
formation (in addition to the pressure-couplet sign) more important in the equations)?
do you always need to decide whether a pressure
couplet causes an updraft or a downdraft? Why? E32. In Fig. 11.20, how would it change if the bottom
isobaric surface were tilted; namely, if there were al-
E25. a. For the thermal circulation of Fig. 11.17(iv), ready a horizontal pressure gradient at the bottom?
what needs to happen for this circulation to be main-
tained? Namely, what prevents it from dying out? E33. Draw a sketch similar to Fig. 11.20 for the thermal-
b. For what real-atmosphere situations can ther- wind relationship for the Southern Hemisphere.
mal circulations be maintained for several days?
E34. In maps such as Fig. 11.21, explain why thick-
E26. a. Study Fig. 11.18 closely, and explain why the ness is related to average temperature.
wind vectors to/from the low- and high-pressure
centers at the equator differ from the winds near E35. Redraw Fig. 11.22 for the case cold air in the
pressure centers at mid-latitudes. west and warm air in the east. Assume no change
b. Redraw Fig. 11.5a, but with continents and to the bottom isobaric surface.
oceans at the equator. Discuss what monsoonal
pressures and winds might occur during winter E36. Copy Fig. 11.24. a. On your copy, draw the
and summer, and why. G1 and G2 vectors, and the MTH vector at point B.
Confirm that the thermal wind relationship is quali-
E27. a. Redraw Fig. 11.19, but for the case of geo- tatively satisfied via vector addition. Discuss why
strophic wind decreasing from its initial equilibrium point B is an example of veering or backing.
value. Discuss the resulting evolution of wind and b. Same as (a) but calculate the actual magni-
pressure fields during this geostrophic adjustment. tude of each vector at point B based on the spacing
b. Redraw Fig. 11.19, but for flow around a low- between isobars, thickness contours, or height con-
pressure center (i.e., look at gradient winds instead tours. Again, confirm that the thermal wind rela-
of geostrophic winds). Discuss how the wind and tionship is satisfied. (1° latitude = 111 km)
pressure fields adjust when the geostrophic wind is
increased above its initial equilibrium value. E37. Using a spreadsheet, start with an air parcel at
rest at the tropopause over the equator. Assume a
E28. How would the vertical potential temperature realistic pressure gradient between the equator and
gradient need to vary with latitude for the “internal 30° latitude. Use dynamics to solve for acceleration
Rossby radius of deformation” to be invariant? As- of the parcel over a short time step, and then iterate
sume constant troposphere depth. over many time steps to find parcel speed and posi-
tion. How does the path of this parcel compare to
E29. In the Regional Winds chapter, gap winds and the idealized paths drawn in Fig. 11.26d? Discuss.
coastally-trapped jets are explained. Discuss how
these flows relate to geostrophic adjustment. E38. In the thunderstorms at the ITCZ, copious
amounts of water vapor condense and release la-
E30. At the top of hurricanes (see the Tropical Cy- tent heat. Discuss how this condensation affects the
clones chapter), so much air is being continuously average lapse rate in the tropics, the distribution of
pumped to the top of the troposphere that a high- heat, and the strength of the equatorial high-pres-
pressure center is formed over the hurricane core sure belt at the tropopause.
there. This high is so intense and localized that it
violates the conditions for gradient winds; namely, E39. Summarize in a list or an outline all the gen-
the pressure gradient around this high is too steep eral-circulation factors that make the mid-latitude
(see the Forces & Winds chapter). weather different from tropical weather.
Discuss the winds and pressure at the top of a
hurricane, using what you know about geostrophic E40. Explain the surface pressure patterns in Figs.
adjustment. Namely, what happens to the winds 11.31 in terms of a combination of idealized mon-
and air mass if the wind field is not in geostrophic soon and planetary circulations.
or gradient balance with the pressure field?
E41. Figs. 11.31 show mid-summer and mid-winter
E31. In the thermal-wind relationship (eqs. 11.13), conditions in each hemisphere. Speculate on what
which factors on the right side are constant or vary the circulation would look like in April or October.
386 chapter 11 • General Circulation
What about for air parcels that move from the east at
E42. Compare Figs. 11.32 with the idealized plan- typical trade wind speeds?
etary and monsoon circulations, and discuss simi-
larities and differences. E53. At the equator, air at the bottom of the tropo-
sphere has a smaller radius of curvature about the
E43. Based on Figs. 11.32, which hemisphere would Earth’s axis than at the top of the troposphere. How
you expect to have strong subtropical jets in both significant is this difference? Can we neglect it?
summer and winter, and which would not. What
factors might be responsible for this difference? E54. Suppose that air at 30° latitude has no east-
west velocity relative to the Earth’s surface. If that
E44. For the Indian monsoon sketched in Fig. 11.33, air moves equatorward while preserving its angular
where are the updraft and downdraft portions of momentum, which direction would it move relative
the major Hadley cell for that month? Also, what to the Earth’s surface? Why? Does it agree with real
is the relationship between the trade winds at that winds in the general circulation? Elaborate.
time, and the Indian monsoon winds?
E55. Picture a circular hot tub of 2 m diameter
E45. What are the dominant characteristics you see with a drain in the middle. Water is initially 1.2 m
in Fig. 11.34, regarding jet streams in the Earth’s at- deep, and you made rotate one revolution each 10 s.
mosphere? Where don’t jet streams go? Next, you pull the plug, allowing the water depth to
stretch to 2.4 m as it flows down the drain. Calcu-
E46. In Figs. 11.35, indicate if the jet-stream winds late the new angular velocity of the water, neglect-
would be coming out of the page or into the page, for ing frictional drag. Show your steps.
the: a) N. Hemisphere, (b) S. Hemisphere.
E56. In eq. (11.20), why is there a negative sign on
E47. Although Figs. 11.36 are for different months the last term? Hint: How does the rotation direc-
than Figs. 11.32, they are close enough in months to tion implied by the last term without a negative sign
still both describe summer and winter flows. compare to the rotation direction of the first term?
a. Do the near-tropopause winds in Figs. 11.36
agree with the pressure gradients (or height gradi- E57. In the Thunderstorm chapters, you will learn
ents) in Figs. 11.32? that the winds in a portion of the tornado can be
b. Why are there easterly winds at the tropopause irrotational. This is surprising, because the winds
over/near the equator, even though there is negligi- are traveling so quickly around a very tight vortex.
ble pressure gradient there? Explain what wind field is needed to gave irrota-
tional winds (i.e., no relative vorticity) in air that
E48. Describe the mechanism that drives the polar is rotating around the tornado. Hint: Into the wall
jet, and explain how it differs from the mechanism of a tornado, imagine dropping a neutrally-buoyant
that drives the subtropical jet. small paddle wheel the size of a flower. As this flow-
er is translated around the perimeter of the tornado
E49. In Fig. 11.37b, we see a very strong pressure funnel, what must the local wind shear be at the
gradient in the vertical (indicated by the different flower to cause it to not spin relative to the ground?
isobars), but only small pressure gradients in the Redraw Fig. 11.43 to show what you propose.
horizontal (indicated by the slope of any one isobar).
Yet the strongest average winds are horizontal, not E58. Eq. (11.25) gives names for the different terms
vertical. Why? that can contribute toward vorticity. For simplicity,
assume ∆z is constant (i.e., assume no stretching).
E50. Why does the jet stream wind speed decrease On a copy of Fig. 11.44, write these names at appro-
with increasing height above the tropopause? priate locations to identify the dominant factors af-
fecting the vorticity max and min centers.
E51. a. Knowing the temperature field given by the
toy model earlier in this chapter, show the steps E59. If you were standing at the equator, you would
needed to create eq. (11.17) by utilizing eqs. (11.2, be rotating with the Earth about its axis. However,
11.4 and 11.13). b. For what situations might this jet- you would have zero vorticity about your vertical
wind-speed equation not be valid? c. Explain what axis. Explain how that is possible.
each term in eq. (11.17) represents physically.
E60. Eq. (11.26) looks like it has the absolute vorticity
E52. Why does an air parcel at rest (i.e., calm winds) in the numerator, yet that is an equation for a form of
near the equator possess large angular momentum?
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 387
potential vorticity. What other aspects of that equa- the greatest; (b) potential-temperature deviation the
tion make it like a potential vorticity? greatest; and (c) vertical displacement the greatest?
E61. Compare the expression of horizontal circula- E74. In Figs. 11.51 and 11.53 in the jet stream, there is
tion C with that for vertical circulation CC. just as much air going northward as there is air going
southward across any latitude line, as required by
E62. Relate Kelvin’s circulation theorem to the con- mass conservation. If there is no net mass transport,
servation of potential vorticity. Hint: Consider a how can there be heat or momentum transport?
constant Volume = A·∆z .
E75. For the Southern Hemisphere: (a) would a di-
E63. The jet stream sketched in Fig. 11.49 separates rect circulation cell have positive or negative CC?
cold polar air near the pole from warmer air near the (b) for each term of eq. (11.51), what are their signs?
equator. What prevents the cold air from extending
further away from the poles toward the equator? E76. Compare definitions of circulation from this
chapter with the previous chapter, and speculate on
E64. If the Coriolis force didn’t vary with latitude, the relevance of the static stability and Earth’s rota-
could there be Rossby waves? Discuss. tion in one or both of those definitions.
E65. Are baroclinic or barotropic Rossby waves fast- E77. Consider a cyclonic air circulation over an ocean
er relative to Earth’s surface at midlatitudes? Why? in your hemisphere. Knowing the relationship be-
tween ocean currents and surface winds, would you
E66. Compare how many Rossby waves would ex- anticipate that the near-surface wind-driven ocean
ist around the Earth under barotropic vs. baroclinic currents are diverging away from the center of the
conditions. Assume an isothermal troposphere at cyclone, or converging toward the center? Explain,
50°N. and use drawings. Note: Due to mass conserva-
tions, horizontally diverging ocean surface waters
E67. Once a Rossby wave is triggered, what mecha- cause upwelling of nutrient-rich water toward the
nisms do you think could cause it to diminish (i.e., to surface, which can support ocean plants and ani-
reduce the waviness, and leave straight zonal flow). mals, while downwelling does the opposite.
S8. Describe the equilibrium general circulation for S17. Describe the equilibrium general circulation
an Earth with polar ice caps that extend to 30° lati- for an Earth where no heat was transported meridi-
tude. onally by ocean currents.
S9. About 250 million years ago, all of the continents S18. Describe the equilibrium ocean currents for an
had moved together to become one big continent Earth with no drag between atmosphere and ocean.
called Pangaea, before further plate tectonic move-
ment caused the continents to drift apart. Pangaea S19. Suppose there was an isolated small continent
spanned roughly 120° of longitude (1/3 of Earth’s that was hot relative to the surrounding cooler ocean.
circumference) and extended roughly from pole Sketch a vertical cross section in the atmosphere
to pole. Also, at that time, the Earth was spinning across that continent, and use thickness concepts
faster, with the solar day being only about 23 of our to draw the isobaric surfaces. Next, draw a plan-
present-day hours long. Assuming no other changes view map of heights of one of the mid-troposphere
to insolation, etc, how would the global circulation isobaric surfaces, and use thermal-wind effects to
have differed compared to the current circulation? sketch wind vectors on this same map. Discuss how
this approach does or doesn’t explain some aspects
S10. If the Earth was dry and no clouds could form, of monsoon circulations.
how would the global circulation differ, if at all?
Would the tropopause height be different? Why? S20. If the Rossby wave of Fig. 11.50 was displaced so
that it is centered on the equator (i.e., point (1) starts
S11. Describe the equilibrium general circulation for at the equator), would it still oscillate as shown in
an Earth with tropopause that is 5 km high. that figure, or would the trough of the wave (which
is now in the S. Hem.) behave differently? Discuss.
S12. Describe the equilibrium general circulation for
an Earth where potential vorticity isn’t conserved. S21. If the Earth were shaped like a cylinder with
its axis of rotation aligned with the axis of the real
S13. Describe the equilibrium general circulation Earth, could Rossby waves exist? How would the
for an Earth having a zonal wind speed halfway be- global circulation be different, if at all?
tween the phase speeds of short and long barotropic
Rossby waves. S22. In the subtropics, low altitude winds are from
the east, but high altitude winds are from the west.
S14. Describe the equilibrium general circulation for In mid-latitudes, winds at all altitudes are from the
an Earth having long barotropic Rossby waves that west. Why are the winds in these latitude bands dif-
had slower intrinsic phase speed than short waves. ferent?
S15. Describe the nature of baroclinic Rossby waves S23. What if the Earth did not rotate? How would
for an Earth with statically unstable troposphere. the Ekman spiral in the ocean be different, if at all?
Figure 12.1
Idealized surface weather map (from the Weather Reports &
Map Analysis chapter) for the N. Hemisphere showing high
(H) and low (L) pressure centers, isobars (thin lines), a warm
“Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey front (heavy solid line with semicircles on one side), a cold front
of Atmospheric Science” by Roland Stull is licensed
under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCom-
(heavy solid line with triangles on one side), and a trough of low
mercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. View this license at pressure (dashed line). Vectors indicate near-surface wind. cP
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ . This work is indicates a continental polar airmass; mT indicates a maritime
available at http://www.eos.ubc.ca/books/Practical_Meteorology/ .
tropical airmass.
389
390 chapter 12 • Fronts & AirMasses
B
1B C
L
Anticyclones or Highs
1
Five mechanisms support the formation of highs trough has fast-moving air entering from the west,
at the Earth’s surface: but slower air leaving to the east. Thus, horizontal
convergence of air at the top of the troposphere adds
• Global Circulation: Planetary-scale, semi-per- more air molecules to the whole tropospheric col-
manent highs predominate at 30° and 90° latitudes, umn at that location, causing a surface high to form
where the global circulation has downward motion east of the upper-level ridge.
(see the General Circulation chapter). The subtrop- West of surface highs, the anticyclonic circula-
ical highs centered near 30° North and South lati- tion advects warm air from the equator toward the
tudes are 1000-km-wide belts that encircle the Earth. poles (Figs. 12.2a & 12.3b). This heating west of the
Polar highs cover the Arctic and Antarctic. These surface high causes the thickness between isobaric
highs are driven by the global circulation that is re- surfaces to increase, as explained by the hypsometric
sponding to differential heating of the Earth. Al- equation. Isobaric surfaces near the top of the tro-
though these highs exist year round, their locations posphere are thus lifted to the west of the surface
shift slightly with season. high. These high heights correspond to high pres-
sure aloft; namely, the upper-level ridge is west of
• Monsoons: Quasi-stationary, continental- the surface high.
scale highs form over cool oceans in summer and The net result is that high-pressure regions tilt
cold continents in winter (see the General Circula- westward with increasing height (Fig. 12.3b). In the
tion chapter). They are seasonal (i.e., last for several Extratropical Cyclone chapter you will see that deep-
months), and form due to the temperature contrast ening low-pressure regions also tilt westward with
between land and ocean. increasing height, at mid-latitudes. Thus, the mid-lat-
itude tropospheric pressure pattern has a consistent
• Transient Rossby waves: Surface highs form at phase shift toward the west as altitude increases.
mid-latitudes, east of high-pressure ridges in the jet
stream, and are an important part of mid-latitude
weather variability (see the General Circulation and
Extratropical Cyclone chapters). They often exist for
Airmasses
several days.
An airmass is a widespread (of order 1000 km
• Thunderstorms: Downdrafts from thunder-
wide) body of air in the bottom third of the tropo-
storms (see the Thunderstorm chapters) create
sphere that has somewhat-uniform characteristics.
meso-highs roughly 10 to 20 km in diameter at the
These characteristics can include one or more of:
surface. These might exist for minutes to hours.
temperature, humidity, visibility, odor, pollen con-
centration, dust concentration, pollutant concentra-
• Topography/Surface-Characteristics: Meso-
tion, radioactivity, cloud condensation nuclei (CCN)
highs can also form in mountains due to blocking
activity, cloudiness, static stability, and turbulence.
or channeling of the wind, mountain waves, and
Airmasses are usually classified by their temper-
thermal effects (anabatic or katabatic winds) in the
ature and humidity, as associated with their source
mountains. Sea-breezes or lake breezes can also cre-
regions. These are usually abbreviated with a two-
ate meso-highs in parts of their circulation. (See the
letter code. The first letter, in lowercase, describes
Regional Winds chapter.)
the humidity source. The second letter, in upper-
The actual pressure pattern at any location and
time is a superposition of all these phenomena. Sample Application
A “cA“ airmass has what characteristics?
Vertical Structure
The location difference between surface and up- Find the Answer
Given: cA airmass.
per-tropospheric highs (Fig. 12.3b) can be explained
Find: characteristics
using gradient-wind and thickness concepts.
Because of barotropic and baroclinic instability, Use Table 12-1: cA = continental Arctic
the jet stream meanders north and south, creating Characteristics: Dry and very cold.
troughs of low pressure and ridges of high pressure,
as discussed in the General Circulation chapter. Check: Agrees with Fig. 12.4.
Gradient winds blow faster around ridges and Exposition: Forms over land in the arctic, under the
slower around troughs, assuming identical pressure polar high. In Great Britain, the same airmass is la-
gradients. The region east of a ridge and west of a beled as Ac.
392 chapter 12 • Fronts & AirMasses
Table 12-1. Airmass abbreviations. Boldface indi- case, describes the temperature source. Table 12-1
cates the most common ones. shows airmass codes. [CAUTION: In Great Britain,
the two letters are reversed.]
Abbr. Name Description
Examples are maritime Tropical (mT) air-
c continental Dry. Formed over land. masses, such as can form over the Gulf of Mexico,
m maritime Humid. Formed over ocean. and continental Polar (cP) air, such as can form in
A Arctic Very cold. Formed in the po- winter over Canada.
lar high. After the weather pattern changes and the air-
mass is blown away from its genesis region, it flows
E Equatorial Hot. Formed near equator.
over surfaces with different relative temperatures.
M Monsoon Similar to tropical. Some organizations append a third letter to the end
P Polar Cold. Formed in subpolar of the airmass code, indicating whether the moving
area. airmass is (w) warmer or (k) colder than the under-
S Superior A warm dry airmass having lying surface. This coding helps indicate the likely
its origin aloft. static stability of the air and the associated weather.
T Tropical Warm. Formed in the sub- For example, “mPk” is humid cold air moving over
tropical high belt. warmer ground, which would likely be statically
k colder than the underlying surface unstable and have convective clouds and showers.
w warmer than the underlying surface
Special (regional) abbreviations. Creation
An airmass can form when air remains stagnant
AA Antarctic Exceptionally cold and dry.
over a surface for sufficient duration to take on char-
r returning As in “rPm” returning Polar acteristics similar to that surface. Also, an airmass
maritime [Great Britain]
can form in moving air if the surface over which it
Note: Layered airmasses are written like a fraction, moves has uniform characteristics over a large area.
with the airmass aloft written above a horizontal line Surface high-pressure centers favor the formation
and the surface airmass written below. For example,
of airmasses because the calm or light winds allow
just east of a dryline you might have:
long residence times. Thus, many of the airmass
cT genesis (formation) regions (Fig. 12.4) correspond
mT to the planetary- and continental-scale high-pres-
sure regions described in the previous section.
/ D1 D1
N1
N1 N1
/
D5
N5 D5 N5
/ N5
4
D5
N5 N5 D5 N5
4 N1 N1 N5
4 N1 N1
Figure 12.4
Airmass formation regions (symbols are defined in Table 12-1). Some meteorologists change all “mE” to “mT”, and “cAA” to “cA”.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 393
* (13)
θ ML = θ ML + γ ·∆ zie
H UåU
With this new ML temperature, we can update the
surface temperature difference
* (8)
[J XT ∆θ s = θ sfc − θ ML
Knowing the large-scale divergence, we can also up-
EJWFSH EJWFSHFODF date the potential temperature profile in the air above
%RT the ML: γ = γ ·exp(β·t) (6)
o
R
RP .- R
TGD R All that remains is to update the time variable:
t = t* + ∆t (5)
Suppose that a cool, statically stable layer of air
initially (subscript o) has a near-surface temperature You might have noticed that some of the equations
of θo and a linear potential-temperature gradient γo = above are initially singular, when the ML has zero
γ = ∆θ/∆z before it comes to rest over a warm surface depth. So, for the first small time step (∆t ≈ 6 minutes
of temperature θsfc (see Fig. above). We want to pre- = 360 s), you should use the following special equa-
dict the time evolution of the depth (zi) and potential tions in the following order:
temperature (θML) of this new airmass. Because this
airmass is an ABL, we can use boundary-layer equa- t = ∆t (1)
tions to predict zi (the height of the convective mixed-
layer ,ML), and θML (the ML potential temperature). (2)
∆θ s = θ sfc − θo
ML depth increases by amount ∆zie during a
time interval ∆t due to thermodynamic encroach- 2/3
2·b·∆ t g 1/2
ment (i.e., warming under the capping sounding). zi = ∆ θ s · ·
γ o θo
(3)
This is an entrainment process that adds air to the
ML through the ML top. Large scale divergence θ ML = θo + γ o ·zi (4)
β = ∆ U / ∆ x + ∆ V / ∆ y removes air horizontally from
the ML and causes a subsidence velocity of magni- Then, for all the subsequent time steps, use the
tude ws at the ML top: * (7)
ws = β·zi set of equations (5 to 13 in the order as numbered) to
find the resulting ML evolution. Repeat eqs. (5 to 13)
Thus, a change in ML depth results from the competi- for each subsequent step. As the solution begins to
tion of these two terms: change more gradually, you may use larger time steps
* (12)
zi = zi + ∆ zie − ws ·∆ t ∆t. The result is a toy model that describes warm air-
mass formation as an evolving convective boundary
where the asterisk * indicates a value from the previ- layer.
ous time step. The Sample Application on the next page shows
The amount of heat ∆Q (as an incremental accu- how this can be done with a computer spreadsheet.
mulated kinematic heat flux) transferred from the First, you need to specify the imposed constants γo ,
warm surface to the cooler air during time interval ∆t θo, β and θsfc. Next, initialize the values of: γ = γo , zi
under light-wind conditions depends on the tempera- = 0, and θML = θo at t = 0 . Then, solve the equations
ture difference at the surface ∆θs and the intensity of for the first step. Finally, continue iterating for subse-
turbulence, as quantified by a buoyancy velocity scale quent time steps to simulate warm airmass genesis.
wb: (10)
∆ Q = b·wb ·∆ θ s ·∆ t These simulations show that greater divergence
causes a shallower ML that can warm faster. Greater
where b = 5x10 –4
(dimensionless) is a convective heat static stability in the ambient environment reduces
transport coefficient (see the Heat chapter). the peak ML depth.
(continues in next column)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 395
For the first time step of ∆t = 6 min (=360 s), use eqs. (1 to 4 from the INFO Box on the previous page). For subsequent
steps, repeatedly use eqs. (5 to 13 from that same INFO Box).
t t γ ws ∆θs wb ∆Q ∆zie zi θML
(s) (d) (K m–1) (m s –1) (°C) (m s –1) (K·m) (m) (m) (°C)
0 0.000 0 10
360 0.004 10 74 10.2
720 0.008 0.00330 0.00007 9.75 5.0 8.8 29.8 104 10.3
1080 0.013 0.00330 0.00010 9.66 5.9 10.3 26.4 131 10.4
1440 0.017 0.00330 0.00013 9.57 6.6 11.3 24.0 155 10.5
...
259200 3.00 0.00428 0.00179 2.41 12.0 104.3 13.6 1789 17.7
270000 3.13 0.00432 0.00179 2.35 11.9 150.8 19.4 1789 17.7
280800 3.25 0.00437 0.00179 2.26 11.7 142.8 18.2 1788 17.8
...
1684800 19.50 0.01779 0.00057 0.14 1.6 4.9 0.5 542 19.9
1728000 20.00 0.01858 0.00054 0.13 1.5 4.4 0.4 519 19.9
Sample results from the computer spreadsheet are shown above. The final answer is plotted in Fig. 12.5.
X
lence that distributes the cooling over a deeper layer.
FFL
[ LN
XFFLT Turbulent entrainment of air from above cloud top
down into the cloud allows the cloud top to rise, and
JOJU
deepens the incipient airmass (Fig. 12.6).
JBM
JDF The ice crystals within this cloud are so few and
GBMM
far between that the weather is described as cloud-
less ice-crystal precipitation. This can create some
PVU
spectacular halos and other optical phenomena in
sunlight (see the Atmospheric Optics chapter), in-
cluding sparkling ice crystals known as diamond
m m m dust. Nevertheless, infrared radiative cooling in
5 $
this cloudy air is much greater than in clear air, al-
lowing the cooling rate to increase to 3°C day–1 over
Figure 12.6 a layer as deep as 4 km.
Genesis of a continental-polar air mass over arctic ice. The During the two-week formation of this conti-
cloud/fog regions are shaded. nental-polar or continental-arctic airmass, most
of the ice crystals precipitate out leaving a thin-
ner cloud of 1 km depth. Also, subsidence within
the high pressure also reduces the thickness of the
cloudy airmass and causes some warming to par-
åY tially counteract the radiative cooling.
QF Above the final fog layer is a nearly isothermal
å[ TMP layer of air 3 to 4 km thick that has cooled about
DPMEBJS B
ESBJOBHF
30°C. Final air-mass temperatures are often in the
BOUBSDUJDDPOUJOFOU LN
range of –30 to –50 °C, with even colder tempera-
tures near the surface.
While the Arctic surface consists of relatively
4PVUI1PMF
flat sea-ice (except for Greenland), the Antarctic has
mountains, high ice-fields, and significant surface
Figure 12.7
Cold katabatic winds draining from Antarctica.
topography (Fig. 12.7). As cold air forms by radia-
tion, it can drain downslope as a katabatic wind
(see the Regional Winds chapter). Steady winds of
10 m s–1 are common in the Antarctic interior, with
speeds of 50 m s–1 along some of the steeper slopes.
As will be shown in the Regional Winds chap-
Sample Application ter, the buoyancy force per unit mass on a surface of
Find the slope force per unit area acting on a
slope ∆z/∆x translates into a quasi-horizontal slope-
katabatic wind of temperature –20°C with ambient air
force per mass of:
temperature 0°C. Assume a slope of ∆z/∆x = 0.1 .
PDDBTJPOBM
SBJOZ SBJOT ESZ
m m EBNQ
5 $
IFBWZ
SBJOT ESZ
Results, where Index = circled numbers in Fig above.
Index z (km) T (°C) Td (°C) RH (%)
0 0 5 5 100
1 1 –1 –1 100 0MZNQJD $BTDBEF 3PDLZ
2 0 9 1 55 .UOT .UOT .PVOUBJOT
3 1.5 –4 –4 100
4 0.5 6 –2 54 1BDJGJD 1VHFU (SFBU (SFBU
5 2 –7 –7 100 0DFBO 4PVOE #BTJO 1MBJOT
6 1 2 –6 53
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Figure OK. XFTU FBTU
Exposition: The airmass has lost its maritime iden- Figure 12.9
tity by the time it reaches the Great Plains, and little
Modification of a Pacific airmass by flow over mountains in the
moisture remains. Humidity for rain in the plains
northwestern USA. (Numbers are used in the Sample Applica-
comes from the southeast (not from the Pacific).
tion.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 399
XBSNGSPOUPHFOFTJT
Surface Fronts
DPMEGSPOUPHFOFTJT
Surface fronts mark the boundaries between air-
masses at the Earth’s surface. They usually have the XBSNGSPOUPMZTJT
following attributes:
DPMEGSPOUPMZTJT
• strong horizontal temperature gradient
• strong horizontal moisture gradient
• strong horizontal wind gradient ESZMJOF
• strong vertical shear of the horizontal wind
• relative minimum of pressure TRVBMMMJOF
• high vorticity
• confluence (air converging horizontally)
USPVHIBYJT
• clouds and precipitation
• high static stability
• kinks in isopleths on weather maps SJEHFBYJT
In spite of this long list of attributes, fronts are usu- Figure 12.10
ally labeled by the surface temperature change as- Glyphs for fronts, other airmass boundaries, and axes (copied
sociated with frontal passage. from the Weather Reports and Map Analysis chapter). The suf-
Some weather features exhibit only a subset of at- fix “genesis” implies a forming or intensifying front, while “ly-
tributes, and are not labeled as fronts. For example, sis” implies a weakening or dying front. A stationary front is a
frontal boundary that doesn’t move very much. Occluded fronts
a trough (pronounced like “trof”) is a line of low
and drylines will be explained later.
pressure, high vorticity, clouds and possible precipi-
tation, wind shift, and confluence. However, it often
does not possess the strong horizontal temperature
INFO • Bergen School of Meteorology
and moisture gradients characteristic of fronts.
Another example of an airmass boundary that is During World War I, Vilhelm Bjerknes, a Norwe-
often not a complete front is the dryline. It is dis- gian physicist with expertise in radio science and
cussed later in this chapter. fluid mechanics, was asked in 1918 to form a Geo-
physical Institute in Bergen, Norway. Cut-off from
Recall from the Weather Reports and Map Anal-
weather data due to the war, he arranged for a dense
ysis chapter that fronts are always drawn on the
network of 60 surface weather stations to be installed.
warm side of the frontal zone. The frontal symbols Some of his students were C.-G. Rossby, H. Solberg, T.
(Fig. 12.10) are drawn on the side of the frontal line Bergeron, V. W. Ekman, H. U. Sverdrup, and his son
toward which the front is moving. For a stationary Jacob Bjerknes.
front, the symbols on both sides of the frontal line Jacob Bjerknes used the weather station data to
indicate what type of front it would be if it were to identify and classify cold, warm, and occluded fronts.
start moving in the direction the symbols point. He published his results in 1919, at age 22. The term
Fronts are three dimensional. To help picture “front” supposedly came by analogy to the battle
their structure, we next look at horizontal and verti- fronts during the war. He and Solberg also later ex-
cal cross sections through fronts. plained the life cycle of cyclones.
400 chapter 12 • Fronts & AirMasses
1 L1B
8JOET 8FBUIFS
- -
TDBUUFSFE DVNVMVT
PSTUSBUPDVNVMVT
FT
LJ
ST
FB
DM
E
SF NT
B UUF TUPS
TD EFS
Z VO
UI F
MJO
M XBSN
BM
Y TRV BOEIB[Z
Figure 12.11 (both columns) Cold front horizontal structure (maps can be overlain).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 401
GSP
not be strong, any clouds and convection that do
OU
BM
form can often rise to relatively high altitudes be-
[
PO
cause of weak static stabilities throughout the warm
F
airmass.
1 L1B
8FBUIFS 8JOET
DJS
BM
- SBJ
-
UP
SVT
OC TU
TU
BO SB
SB
DMP
E UV
UV
OJN T
T
DMP
VE
DMP
SB CP VE
T
JO TU
VE
CB SBU T
T
OE VT
GPH
ES
J[
[MF
XBSN
BOEIB[Z
Figure 12.12 (both columns) Warm front structure (maps can be overlain).
402 chapter 12 • Fronts & AirMasses
9
10 292
+10 9
29 193
24 0
+10
10
34 168
+1
)
9
10 292
+10 9
29 193
+10
10
34 168
+1
4 0 32 4 0 24 0
23 205 23 205 32
10 +7 10 +7
19 19
36
31 147 10 −17 31 147 10
36
−17
22 208 1 −14 32 22 208 1 −14 32
3/4 +8 28 6 3/4 +8 28 6
18 4 37 152 18 4 37 152
39 109 6 −21 39 109 6 −21
10 −26 34 0
38 097 31 0 10 −26 34 0
38 097 31 0
10 0
44 101 10 0
33 0 45 132 33 0 44 101
23 202 3 23 202 3 45 132
10 +37 44 129 4 −9 4 −9
42 35 10 +37 44 129
21 3 47 078 21 3 47 078 42 35
10 −5 47 090 10 −5
42 12 42 12 47 090
43 126 9 −23 9 −23
43 126
-
3 +42 41 0 47 132 41 0 47 132
10 −14 3 +42
10 −14
41 10
50 068 41 41 10 50 068 'SP 41
53 091 ; OUBM
7 +1
53 091 7 +1
48 32 9 +40 48 32 9 POF 57 124
47 0 57 124 +40
49 108 10 −9 47 0 10 −9
43 10 49 108 43 10
9 +39 9 +39
46 16 56 070 46 16
10 +13 10
61 085
−13
56 070 61 085
10 +13 10 −13
54 15 51 54 15 51
Next, analyze it for pressure. Recall that the plot- Check: Looks reasonable.
ted pressure is abbreviated. We need to prefix 9 or 10 Exposition: Winds are generally circulating counter-
to the left of the pressure code, and insert a decimal clockwise around the low center (except the very light
point two places from the right (to get kPa). Choose winds, which can be sporadic). Overcast skies cover
between 9 and 10 based on which one results in a pres- most of the region, with some thunderstorms and rain
sure closest to standard sea-level pressure 101.3 kPa. north of the warm front, and snow further northwest
(continues in next column) of the low where the air is colder.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 403
Vertical Structure [ B
UFNQFSBUVSFT 5
Suppose that radiosonde observations (RAOBs) LN
$
$
B
the cold front, where the front moves toward the
$PME'SPOU warm airmass (Fig. 12.14a). Retreating cold air de-
GSPOUBMJO XBSNBJS fines the warm front, where the front moves to-
[ WFSTJPO
ward the cold airmass (Fig. 12.14b).
DPMEBJS Above the frontal inversion, if the warm air flows
Y down the frontal surface, it is called a katafront,
^
GSPOUBM while warm air flowing up the frontal surface is
[POF an anafront (Fig. 12.15). It is possible to have cold
katafronts, cold anafronts, warm katafronts, and
warm anafronts.
C
Frequently in central N. America, the cold fronts
8BSN'SPOU
XBSNBJS are katafronts, as sketched in Fig. 12.16a. For this sit-
GSPOUBMJO
[ WFSTJPO uation, warm air is converging on both sides of the
DPMEBJS frontal zone, forcing the narrow band of cumuliform
clouds that is typical along the front. It is also com-
Y
^
GSPOUBM
mon that warm fronts are anafronts, which leads
[POF to a wide region of stratiform clouds caused by the
warm air advecting up the isentropic surfaces (Fig.
Figure 12.14 12.16b).
Vertical structure of fronts, based on cold air movement. A stationary front is like an anafront where the
cold air neither advances nor retreats.
XBSNBJS LBUBGSPOU
SUI
/P
*OJUJBM'MPX
where fc is the Coriolis parameter and |g| = 9.8 m s–2
I
is gravitational acceleration magnitude.
VU
4P
The geostrophic wind Ug in the cold air at the ) RW RWåRW
Z
surface is greatest at the front (neglecting friction),
and exponentially decreases behind the front:
) -
y + a
U g = − g · H ·( ∆θ v / Tv ) ·exp − •(12.6)
a
C
'JOBM
for –a ≤ y ≤ ∞ . The depth of the cold air h is: [
Y
y + a
h = H · 1 − exp − •(12.7)
SUI
a 6H
/P
4P OU
P
I
which smoothly increases to depth H well behind
GS
VU
the front (at large y). Z ) I
Figs. 12.17 are highly idealized, having airmasses
of distinctly different temperatures with a sharp in-
terface in between. For a fluid with a smooth contin- ) mB
-
uous temperature gradient, geostrophic adjustment
occurs in a similar fashion, with a final equilibrium Figure 12.17
state as sketched in Fig. 12.18. The top of this dia- Geostrophic adjustment of a cold front. (a) Initial state. (b)
Final state is in dynamic equilibrium, which is never quite at-
gram represents the top of the troposphere, and the
tained in the real atmosphere.
top wind vector represents the jet stream.
This state has high surface pressure under the cold
air, and low surface pressure under the warm air (see
the General Circulation chapter). On the cold side,
isobaric surfaces are more-closely spaced in height
than on the warm side, due to the hypsometric re- VQ -
lationship. This results in a pressure reversal aloft,
)
E
PM N
BS
with low pressure (or low heights) above the cold air
and high pressure (or high heights) above the warm
$ 1 8
E
air. PM
Horizontal pressure gradients at low and high $ 1L1B
E
altitudes create opposite geostrophic winds, as in- PM N
dicated in Fig. 12.18. Due to Coriolis force, the air $ BS
E 8
represented in Fig. 12.18 is in equilibrium; namely, PM ) 1
-
the cold air does not spread any further.
$
TPVUI
This behavior of the cold airmass is extremely
significant. It means that the planetary-scale flow,
Figure 12.18
which is in approximate geostrophic balance, is un-
Final dynamic state after geostrophic adjustment within an envi-
able to complete the job of redistributing the cold air ronment containing continuous temperature gradients. Arrows
from the poles and warm air from the tropics. Yet represent geostrophic wind. Shaded areas are isobaric surfaces.
some other process must be acting to complete the H and L indicate high and low pressures relative to surrounding
job of redistributing heat to satisfy the global energy pressures at the same altitude. Dot-circle represents the tip of
budget (in the General Circulation chapter). an arrow pointing toward the reader, x-circle represents the tail
feathers of an arrow pointing into the page.
406 chapter 12 • Fronts & AirMasses
'S
PO
increase with height, reaching a maximum near the [
UBM
tropopause. DPMEBJS
;
1L1B
PO
Thus, jet streams are associated with frontal
F
zones. The jet blows parallel to the frontal zone, /PSUI Z LN
4PVUI
with greatest wind speeds on the warm side of the
frontal zone. If the cold air is advancing as a cold
front, then this jet is known as a pre-frontal jet. Figure 12.19
This is illustrated in Fig. 12.19. Plotted are Vertical section across a cold front in the N. Hemisphere. Thick
isentropes, isobars, isotachs, and the frontal zone. lines outline the frontal zone in the troposphere, and show the
The cross-frontal direction is north-south in this fig- tropopause in the top of the graph. Medium black lines are
ure, causing a pre-frontal jet from the West (blowing isobars. Thin grey lines are isentropes. Shaded areas indicate
into the page, in this diagram). isotachs, for a jet that blows from the West (into the page).
Frontal Vorticity
Combining the cold-air-side winds from Fig.
12.17b and warm-air-side winds from Fig. 12.19 into
[
a single diagram yields Fig. 12.20. In this sketch, the
warm air aloft and south of the front has geostroph-
ic winds from the west, while the cold air near the 8BSN"JS
ground has geostrophic winds from the east.
Thus, across the front, ∆Ug/∆y is negative, which $PME
means that the relative vorticity (eq. 11.20) of the "JS 6H
geostrophic wind is positive (ζr = +) at the front
(grey curved arrows in Fig. 12.20). In fact, cyclonic &BTU [S
SUI
I
VU
Also, stronger density contrasts across fronts cause
greater positive vorticity. [S 4P
Also, frontogenesis (strengthening of a front) is ) 6H
OU
DPME Kinematics
BJSNBTT Kinematics refers to motion or advection, with
/ no regard for driving forces. This class of processes
cannot create potential-temperature gradients, but it
QPMBS / can strengthen or weaken existing gradients.
GSP
åZ
XFTU FBTU
TPVUI Y
∆θ
åR Frontal Strength = FS = •(12.9)
∆x
åY
Figure 12.21 The change of frontal strength with time due to
Vertical and horizontal slices through a volume of atmosphere, advection is given by the kinematic frontogenesis
showing initial conditions prior to frontogenesis. The thin hori- equation:
zontal dashed lines show where the planes intersect.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 409
•(12.10) $POGMVFODF å6 m
åY
∆( FS) ∆θ ∆U ∆θ ∆V ∆θ ∆W 6
= − · − · − ·
∆t ∆x ∆x ∆y ∆x ∆z ∆x OPSUI
Z OPSUI *OJUJBM Z -BUFS
Strengthening Confluence Shear Tilting
Confluence
FBTU
,
XFTU
FBTU
XFTU
Suppose there is a strong west wind U approach-
ing from the west, but a weaker west wind depart-
R
ing at the east (Fig. 12.22 top). Namely, the air from
the west almost catches up to air in the east.
For this situation, ∆U/∆x = – , and ∆θ/∆x = + in TPVUI åR
Y TPVUI åR Y
eq. (12.10). Hence, the product of these two terms,
åY åY
when multiplied by the negative sign attached to
Figure 12.22
the confluence term, tends to strengthen the front
Confluence strengthens the frontal zone (shaded) in this case.
[∆(FS)/∆t = + ]. In the shaded region of Fig. 12.22, the Arrow tails indicate starting locations for the isotherms.
isentropes are packed closer together; namely, it has
become a frontal zone.
Shear 4IFBS å7
Suppose the wind from the south is stronger åY
on the east side of the domain than the west (Fig. 7
12.23 top). This is one type of wind shear. As the Z OPSUI Z OPSUI
*OJUJBM -BUFS
isentropes on the east advect northward faster than
those on the west, the potential-temperature gradi-
ent is strengthened in-between, creating a frontal
zone.
FBTU
,
XFTU
FBTU
XFTU
ward temperature gradient is negative (∆θ/∆y = – ).
R
R
FBTU
XFTU
FBTU
XFTU
,
Sample Application
Deformation
Given an initial environment with ∆θ/∆x = 0.01°C The previous figures presented idealized kine-
km–1, ∆θ/∆y = –0.01°C km–1, and ∆θ/∆z = 3.3°C km–1. matic scenarios. Often in real fronts the flow field
Also, suppose that ∆U/∆x = – 0.05 (m/s) km–1, ∆V/∆x = is a more complex combination of scenarios. For ex-
0.05 (m/s) km–1, and ∆W/∆x = 0.02 (cm/s) km–1. Find ample, Fig. 12.25 shows a deformation (change of
the kinematic frontogenesis rate. shape) flow field in the cold air, with confluence (
→ ← coming together horizontally) of air perpen-
Find the Answer dicular to the front, and diffluence ( ← → hori-
Given: (see above) zontal spreading of air) parallel to the front.
Find: ∆(FS)/∆t = ? °C·km–1·day–1 In such a flow field both convergence and shear
affect the temperature gradient. For example, con-
Use eq. (12.10):
sider the two identical deformation fields in Figs.
∆( FS) °C m/s °C 12.26a & b, where the only difference is the angle
= − 0.01 · −0.05 − −0.01 ·
∆t km km km of the isentropes in a frontal zone relative to the
m/s °C m/s axis of dilation (the line toward which confluence
0.05 − 3.3 · 0.0002
km km km points, and along which diffluence spreads).
= +0.0005 + 0.0005 – 0.00066 °C·m·s–1·km–2 For initial angles less than 45° (Fig. 12.26a
= +0.029 °C·km–1·day–1 & a’), the isentropes are pushed closer together
(frontogenesis) and tilted toward a shallower angle.
Check. Units OK. Physics OK. For initial angles greater than 45°, the isentropes are
Exposition: Frontal strength ∆θ/∆x nearly tripled in spread farther apart (frontolysis) and tilted toward
one day, increasing from 0.01 to 0.029 °C km–1. a shallower angle. Using this info to analyze Fig.
12.25 where the isentropes are more-or-less paral-
lel to the frontal zone (i.e., initial angle << 45°), we
would expect that flow field to cause frontogenesis.
/PSUI
B
, B
,
R R
$PME
"JS
Z Z
F
8FTU
&BTU
PO
M;
Y Y
UB
PO
'S
8BSN C
C
"JS
4PVUI
,
Figure 12.25
Z Z
R
at a frontal zone. Y Y
Figure 12.26
Black arrows are wind, and grey arrows are isentropes. Dashed
line is the axis of dilation. (a) and (a’) are initial and final states
for shallow initial angle, showing frontogenesis. The shaded
area in (a’) highlights the strengthened frontal zone. (b) and (b’)
are initial and final states for steep initial angle, showing front-
olysis. (after J. Martin, 2006: “Mid-Latitude Atmospheric Dy-
namics: A First Course. Wiley.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 411
Thermodynamics
The previous kinematic examples showed adia-
batic advection (potential temperature was con-
served while being blown with the wind). However,
diabatic (non-adiabatic) thermodynamic processes
can heat or cool the air at different rates on either
side of the domain. These processes include radia-
tive heating/cooling, conduction from the surface,
turbulent mixing across the front, and latent heat re-
lease/absorption associated with phase changes of
water in clouds. Sample Application
Define the diabatic warming rate (DW) as: A thunderstorm on the warm side of a 200 km wide
front rains at 2 mm h–1. Find the frontogenesis rate.
∆θ •(12.11)
Diabatic Warming Rate = DW =
∆t Find the Answer
Given: RR = 0 at x = 0,
If diabatic heating is greater on the warm side of and RR = 2 mm h–1 at x = 200 km
Find: ∆(FS)/∆t = ? °C·km–1·day–1
the front than the cold side, then the front will be
strengthened:
From the Heat chapter:
∆θ/∆t = (0.33°C mm–1)·RR = 0.66°C h–1.
∆( FS) ∆(DW )
= •(12.12) Combine eqs. (12.11) & (12.12): ∆(FS)/∆t = ∆(∆θ/∆t)/∆x
∆t ∆x
∆(FS)/∆t = [(0.66°C h–1)·(24 h day–1) – 0] / [200 km – 0]
In most real fronts, turbulent mixing between = (15.84°C day–1)/(200km) = 0.079 °C·km–1·day–
1
the warm and cold sides weakens the front (i.e.,
causes frontolysis). Conduction from the surface
also contributes to frontolysis. For example, behind Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Magnitude good.
a cold front, the cold air blows over a usually-warm- Exposition: This positive value indicates thermody-
er surface, which heats the cold air (i.e., airmass namic frontogenesis.
modification) and reduces the temperature contrast
across the front. Similarly, behind warm fronts, the
warm air is usually advecting over cooler surfaces.
Over both warm and cold fronts, the warm air is
often forced to rise. This rising air can cause con-
densation and cloud formation, which strengthen
fronts by warming the already-warm air.
Radiative cooling from the tops of stratus
clouds reduces the temperature on the warm side of
the front, contributing to frontolysis of warm fronts. [
Radiative cooling from the tops of post-cold frontal
stratocumulus clouds can strengthen the front by ME SN
cooling the already-cold air. $P 8B
ME
$P
Dynamics ME SN
$P 8B
Kinematics and thermodynamics are insufficient Z
to explain observed frontogenesis. While kinematic PME
$
frontogenesis gives doubling or tripling of frontal Y
strength in a day (see previous Sample Applica- GSPOUBM[POF
tions), observations show that frontal strength can
increase by a factor of 15 during a day. Dynamics
can cause this rapid strengthening. Figure 12.27
Because fronts are long and narrow, we expect Isobaric surfaces near a hypothetical front, before being altered
by dynamics. Vectors show equilibrium geostrophic winds, ini-
along-front flow to tend toward geostrophy, while
tially (state “o”). Dot-circle (1) represents the tip of an arrow
across front flows could be ageostrophic. We can pointing toward the reader; x-circle (2) represents the tail feath-
anticipate this by using the Rossby number (see ers of an arrow pointing into the page.
412 chapter 12 • Fronts & AirMasses
XBSN
DPME
XBSN
pressure gradients and geostrophic winds exist only
DPME
D
gradient tighten, but the pressure gradient also in-
DP creases due to the hypsometric relationship.
ME The increased pressure gradient implies a differ-
Y ent, increased geostrophic wind. However, initial-
ly, the actual winds are slower due to inertia, with
magnitude equal to the original geostrophic speed.
Figure 12.28 While the actual winds adjust toward the new
Vertical cross section showing dynamic strengthening of a geostrophic value, they temporarily turn away from
front. The frontal zone is shaded; lines are isobars; and arrows the geostrophic direction (Fig. 12.29) due to the im-
are ageostrophic winds. D and C are regions of horizontal di-
balance between pressure-gradient and Coriolis
vergence and convergence. (a) Initial state (thin dashed lines)
modified (thick lines) by confluence (arrows). (b) Ageostrophic
forces. During this transient state (b), there is a
circulation, called a Sawyer-Eliassen circulation. (c) Final equi- component of wind in the x-direction (Fig. 12.28b).
librium state. This is called ageostrophic flow, because there is
no geostrophic wind in the x-direction.
Because mass is conserved, horizontal conver-
BH gence and divergence of the U-component of wind
cause vertical circulations. These are thermally di-
rect circulations, with cold air sinking and warm air
rising and moving over the colder air. The result is
U a temporary cross-frontal, or transverse circula-
P
B
C
D
tion called a Sawyer-Eliassen circulation. The
U
updraft portion of the circulation can drive convec-
tion, and cause precipitation.
The winds finally reach their new equilibrium
value equal to the geostrophic wind. In this final
BH
state, there are no ageostrophic winds, and no cross-
-FHFOE frontal circulation. However, during the preceding
Z QSFTTVSF
$PSJPMJT transient stage, the ageostrophic cross-frontal cir-
HSBEJFOU
GPSDF culation caused extra dynamic confluence near the
GPSDF
Y surface, which adds to the original kinematic con-
DPPSEJOBUFT HFPTUSPQIJD XJOE fluence to strengthen the surface front. The trans-
GPSWFDUPST XJOETQFFE WFDUPS verse circulation also tilts the front (Fig. 12.28c).
In summary, a large and relatively steady geo-
Figure 12.29 strophic wind blows parallel to the front (Fig. 12.27).
Time lines labeled 1 & 2 are for the vectors 1 & 2 in Fig. 12.27. A weak, transient, cross-frontal circulation can be
Initial state (o) is given by Fig. 12.27. Later states (a)-(c) corre- superimposed (Fig. 12.28b). These two factors are
spond to Figs. 12.28(a)-(c). The ageostrophic wind (ag) at time also important for upper-tropospheric fronts, as de-
(b) is also indicated. States (o) and (c) are balanced. scribed later.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 413
the cold advancing air behind the cold front and the
cold retreating air ahead of the warm front.
Occluded Fronts and Mid-
Fig. 12.30 shows a cold front occlusion, where
tropospheric Fronts very cold air that is very statically stable catches up
to, and under-rides, cooler air that is less statically
When three or more airmasses come together, stable. The warm air that was initially between
such as in an occluded front, it is possible for one or these two cold airmasses is forced aloft. Most oc-
more fronts to ride over the top of a colder airmass. clusions in interior N. America are of this type, due
This creates lower- or mid-tropospheric fronts that to the very cold air that advances from Canada in
do not touch the surface, and which would not be winter.
signaled by temperature changes and wind shifts at Observers at the surface would notice stratiform
the surface. However, such fronts aloft can trigger clouds in advance of the front, which would nor-
clouds and precipitation observed at the surface. mally signal an approaching warm front. However,
Occluded fronts occur when cold fronts catch instead of a surface warm front, a surface occluded
up to warm fronts. What happens depends on the front passes, and the surface temperature decreases
temperature and static-stability difference between like a cold front. The trailing edge of cool air aloft
marks the warm front aloft.
B
4VSGBDF.BQ # B
4VSGBDF.BQ %
DPPM DPME
5308"
- - -
" $
XBSN
XBSN
DPME DPPM
$PME'SPOU Z 8BSN'SPOU Z
0DDMVTJPO 0DDMVTJPO
Y Y
C
7FSUJDBM$SPTT4FDUJPO C
7FSUJDBM$SPTT4FDUJPO
[
[ XBSNBJS
XBSNBJS XBSNBJS DCDMPVET
XBSNBJS
DVNVMP
5308"-
TUSBUJGPSN OJNCVT TUSBUJGPSNDMPVET DPPMBJS
DMPVET DMPVET TUSBUVT
DPMEBJS ET DPMEBJS
DPPMBJS SNDMPV
TUSBUJGP
" # $ %
XBSN
ESZBJS Drylines
EFTFSU D5
F
MJO
SFHJPO Z boundary between warm humid air to the east, and
ES
5FYBT warm dry air to the west (Fig. 12.35). This boundary
XBSN 64" is called the dryline. Because the air is hot on both
IVNJE sides of the boundary, it cannot be labeled as a warm
BJS N5
or cold front. The map symbol for a dryline is like a
warm front, except with open semicircles adjacent to
each other, pointing toward the moist air.
Moist air on the east side comes from the Gulf
of Mexico, while the dry air comes from the semi-
(VMGPG arid plateaus of Mexico and the Southwestern USA.
.FYJDP Drylines are observed during roughly 40 to 50% of
all days in spring and summer, in that part of the
world. Similar drylines are observed in other parts
of the world.
Figure 12.35 During midday through afternoon, convective
Typical location of dryline in the southwestern USA. clouds are often triggered along the drylines. Some
of these cloud bands grow into organized thunder-
storm squall lines that can propagate east from the
dryline.
Drylines need not be associated with a wind
[ shift, convergence, vorticity, nor with low pressure.
B
TUBCMZTUSBUJGJFEUSPQPTQIFSF Hence, they do not satisfy the definition of a front.
However, sometimes drylines combine with troughs
XJOE ESZ to dynamically contribute to cyclone development.
SFTJEVBMMBZFS Drylines tend to move eastward during the
morning, and return westward during evening.
TUBCMFMBZFS
QMBUFBV This diurnal cycle is associated with the daily devel-
NPJTU opment of a convective mixed layer, interacting with
BJS the sloping terrain, via the following mechanism.
Over the high plateaus to the west, deep hot tur-
ESZMJOF R bulent mixed layers can form in the late afternoon.
By night and early morning, after turbulence de-
cays, this thick dry layer of hot air over the plateau
[ becomes a non-turbulent residual layer with nearly
C
USPQPTQIFSF adiabatic lapse rate (Fig. 12.36a). Westerly winds
advect this dry air eastward, where it overrides
XJOE ESZ ESZ cooler, humid air at lower altitudes. Between that
NJYFE SFTJEVBMMBZFS
UDV elevated residual layer and the moister air below is a
MBZFS
strong stable layer such as a temperature inversion.
TUBCMFMBZFS
QMBUFBV After sunrise, the warm ground causes a convec-
NJYF NPJTU
EM tive mixed-layer to form and grow. The mixed-layer
BZFS BJS [J
depth is shown by the dashed line in Fig. 12.36b. Be-
cause the ground is higher in the west, the top of the
XFTU ESZMJOF FBTU R mixed layer is able to reach the dry residual-layer
air in the west earlier than in the east. When this
dry air is entrained downward into the air below, it
Figure 12.36
causes the surface humidity to drop.
Idealized vertical cross section through a dryline (indicated by
white arrow). Winds are indicated with black arrows. (a) Early Meanwhile, further east, the top of the mixed lay-
morning. (b) Mid afternoon, with a convective mixed layer of er has yet to reach the dry air aloft, so the humidity
thickness zi. tcu = towering cumulus clouds. At right of each is still high there. The dryline separates this moist
figure is the potential temperature θ sounding for the east side surface air in the east from the dry air to the west.
of the domain.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 417
∆x ∆zi / ∆t QAk = FH · ∆t
= (12.13)
where ∆t is time since sunrise.
∆t s
where s = ∆z/∆x is the terrain slope. Thus, eq. (12.15) can be rewritten as:
Suppose the early morning stable boundary lay-
er has a linear profile of potential temperature γ = 1/2
1 2 · FH · ∆t
∆θ/∆z, then the mixed-layer growth proceeds with ∆x = ·
s γ
the square-root of accumulated daytime heating
1/2
QAk (see the Atmospheric Boundary Layer chapter): 400 2 ·(0.2 K · m/s)· ∆t
= ·
1 (0.01K/m)
1/2
2 · QAk (12.14)
zi =
γ Plotting this with a spreadsheet program:
As a result, the distance ∆x that a dryline moves
eastward as a function of time is: åY
LN
1/2
1 2 · QAk (12.15)
∆x = ·
s γ
Time is hidden in the cumulative heat term QAk.
åUUJNFBGUFS4VOSJTF I
more-or-less along the wind direction. Show how for the whole Hemisphere. Draw the location of the
the sounding evolves as the air flows over each ma- polar front around the globe.
jor mountain range. How does this relate to airmass
modification? B16. Access weather maps from the web that show
a strengthening cold or warm front. Use the other
B9. Access upper air soundings for a line of RAOB weather data on this map to suggest if the strength-
stations across a front. Use this data to draw vertical ening is due mostly to kinematic, thermodynamic,
cross-sections of: or dynamic effects.
a. pressure or height b. temperature
c. humidity d. potential temperature B17. Access a sequence of weather maps that shows
the formation and evolution of an occluded front.
B10. Same as previous exercise, but identify the Determine if it is a warm or cold occlusion (you
frontal inversions (or frontal stable layers) aloft in might need to analyze the weather map data by
the soundings. hand to help you determine this).
B11. Access a sequence of weather maps that cover a B18. Use the web to access a 3-D sketch of a TROW-
large spatial area, with temporal coverage every 6 or AL. Use this and other web sites to determine other
12 h for a week. Find an example of a front that you characteristics of TROWALs.
can follow from beginning (frontogenesis) through
maturity to the end (frontolysis). Discuss how the B19. Download upper-air soundings from a station
front moves as it evolves, and what the time scale for under or near the jet stream. Use the data to see
its evolution is. if there is a tropopause fold. [Hint: assuming that
you don’t have measurements of radioactivity or
B12. Print from the web a weather map that shows isentropic potential vorticity, use mixing ratio or po-
both the analyzed fronts and the station plot data. tential temperature as a tracer of stratospheric air.]
On this map, draw your own analysis of the data to
show where the frontal zones are. Discuss how the B20. Search the web for surface weather maps that
weather characteristics (wind, pressure, tempera- indicate a dryline in the S.W. USA. If one exists, then
ture, weather) across these real fronts compare with search the web for upper-air soundings just east and
the idealized sketches of Figs. 12.11 and 12.12. just west of the dryline. Plot the resulting soundings
of potential temperature and humidity, and discuss
B13. Access a sequence of surface weather maps how it relates to the idealized sketch of a dryline in
from the web that show the movement of fronts. this textbook.
Do you see any fronts that are labeled as stationary
fronts, but which are moving? Do you see any fronts
labeled as warm or cold fronts, but which are not
Apply
moving? Are there any fronts that move backwards
A1. Identify typical characteristics of the following
compared to the symbology labeling the front (i.e.,
airmass:
are the fronts moving opposite to the direction that
a. cAA b. cP c. cT d. cM e. cE
the triangles or semicircles point)? [Hint: often
f. mA g. mP h. mT i. mM j. mE
fronts are designated by how they move relative to
k. cEw l. cAk m. cPw n. mPk o. mTw
the low center. If a cold front, for example, is advanc-
ing cyclonically around a low, but the low is moving
A2. List all the locations in the world where the fol-
toward the west (i.e., backwards in mid-latitudes),
lowing airmasses typically form.
then relative to people on the ground, the cold front
a. cAA b. cA c. cP d. mP e. mT
is retreating.]
f. cT g. mE
B14. Access weather map data that shows a strong
A3.(§) Produce a graph of warm airmass depth zi
cold front, and compare the winds on both sides of
and airmass potential temperature θML as a func-
that front to the winds that you would expect using
tion of time, similar to Fig. 12.5. Use all the same
geostrophic-adjustment arguments. Discuss.
conditions as in that figure (γ = 3.3 K km–1, β = 10 –6
s–1, initial ∆θs = 10°C; see the Sample Application on
B15. For a wintertime situation, access a N. (or S.)
the subsequent page) for genesis of a warm airmass,
Hemisphere surface weather map from the web, or
except with the following changes:
access a series of weather maps from different agen-
a. initial ∆θs = 5°C b. initial ∆θs = 15°C
cies around the world in order to get information
c. initial ∆θs = 20°C d. initial ∆θs = 15°C
420 chapter 12 • Fronts & AirMasses
e. β = 0 s–1 f. β = 10 –7 s–1
g. β = 5 x 10 –7 s–1 h. β = 5 x 10 –6 s–1 A10. A thunderstorm on the warm side of a 300 km
i. β = 10 –5 s–1 j. γ = 5 K km–1 wide front rains at the following rate (mm h–1). Find
k. γ = 4 K km–1 l. γ = 3 K km–1 the thermodynamic contribution to frontogenesis.
m. γ = 2 K km–1 n. γ = 1 K km–1 a. 0.2 b. 0.4 c. 0.6 d. 0.8 e. 1.0 f. 1.2 g. 1.4
h. 1.6 i. 1.8 j. 2.0 k. 2.5 l. 3.0 m. 3.5 n. 4.0
A4. Same as the previous exercise, but find the time
scale τ that estimates when the peak airmass depth A11. Plot dryline movement with time, given the
occurs for warm airmass genesis. following conditions. Surface heat flux is constant
with time at kinematic rate 0.2 K·m s–1. The verti-
A5. For the katabatic winds of Antarctica, find the cal gradient of potential temperature in the initial
downslope buoyancy force per unit mass for this lo- sounding is γ. Terrain slope is s = ∆z/∆x.
cation: γ (K km–1) s γ (K km–1) s
Location ∆z/∆x ∆θ (K) Te (K) a. 8 1/500 b. 8 1/400
a. Interior 0.001 40 233 c. 8 1/300 d. 8 1/200
b. Interior 0.002 35 238 e. 12 1/500 f. 12 1/400
c. Interior 0.003 30 243 g. 12 1/300 h. 12 1/200
d. Intermediate 0.004 27 245 i. 15 1/500 j. 15 1/400
e. Intermediate 0.005 25 248
f. Intermediate 0.006 24 249
g. Intermediate 0.007 23 250
h. Coast 0.008 22 251
Evaluate & Analyze
E1. Would you expect there to be a physically- or
i. Coast 0.009 21 252
dynamically-based upper limit on the number of
j. Coast 0.010 20 253
warm fronts and cold fronts that can extend from a
k. Coast 0.011 19 254
low-pressure center? Why?
A6.(§) An Arctic airmass of initial temperature
E2. Sketch a low with two fronts similar to Fig. 12.1,
–30°C is modified as it moves at speed 10 m s–1 over
but for the Southern Hemisphere.
smooth warmer surface of temperature 0°C. As-
sume constant airmass thickness. Find and plot the
E3. What are the similarities and differences be-
airmass (mixed-layer) temperature vs. downwind
tween a ridge and a high-pressure center? Also, on
distance for an airmass thickness (m) of:
a weather map, what characteristics would you look
a. 100 b. 200 c. 300 d. 400 e. 500
for to determine if a weather feature is a ridge or a
f. 600 g. 700 h. 800 i. 900 j. 1000
trough?
k. 1200 l. 1400 m. 1500
E4. In high-pressure centers, is the boundary-lay-
A7. Find the external Rossby radius of deformation
er air compressed to greater density as subsidence
at 60° latitude for a cold airmass of thickness 500 m
pushes down on the top of the mixed layer? Ex-
and ∆θ (°C) of:
plain.
a. 2 b. 4 c. 6. d. 8 e. 10 f. 12 g. 14
h. 16 i. 18 j. 20 k. 22 l. 24 m. 26 n. 28
E5. In Fig. 12.3b, use the hypsometric relationship to
Assume a background potential temperature of
explain why the ridge shifts or tilts westward with
300K.
increasing altitude. Hint: consider where warm and
cold air is relative to the surface high.
A8.(§) Find and plot the airmass depth and geo-
strophic wind as a function of distance from the
E6. How would Fig. 12.3b be different, if at all, in
front for the cases of the previous exercise. Assume
Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. Hint: Con-
a background potential temperature of 300 K.
sider the direction that air rotates around a surface
high, and use that information to describe which
A9. Suppose that ∆θ/∆x = 0.02°C km–1, ∆θ/∆y =
side of the high (east or west) advects in warm air
0.01°C km–1, and ∆θ/∆z = 5°C km–1. Also suppose
and which advects in colder air.
that ∆U/∆x = – 0.03 (m/s) km–1, ∆V/∆x = 0.05 (m/s)
km–1, and ∆W/∆x = 0.02 (cm/s) km–1. Find the kine-
E7. Consider the global-circulation, monsoon, and
matic frontogenesis contributions from:
topographic mechanisms that can form high-pres-
a. confluence b. shear c. tilting
sure regions. Use information from the chapters
d. and find the strengthening rate.
on General Circulation, Extratropical Cyclones,
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 421
and Regional Winds to identify 3 or more regions the vertical throughout the depth zi of the ML, caus-
in the world where 2 or more of those mechanisms ing the airmass to warm.
are superimposed to help create high-pressure re- Yet at any time, such as 10 days into the forecast,
gions. Describe the mechanisms at each of those 3 the amount of additional heat contained in the ML
locations, and suggest how high-pressure formation (which equals its depth times its temperature in-
might vary during the course of a year. crease since starting, see Fig. 12.5) is less than the
accumulated heat put into the ML from the surface
E8. Out of all the different attributes of airmasses, (which is the sum of all the ∆Q from time zero up to
why do you think that the airmass abbreviations 10 days).
listed in Table 12-1 focus on only the temperature That discrepancy is not an error. It describes
(i.e., AA, A, P, T, M, E) and humidity (c, m)? In other something physical that is happening. What is the
words, what would make the relative temperature physical process that explains this discrepancy, and
and humidity of airmasses be so important to weath- how does it work?
er forecasters? Hint: consider what you learned
about heat and humidity in earlier chapters. E14. In the Sample Application on warm airmass
genesis, I iterate with very small time step at first, but
E9. Fig. 12.4 shows the genesis regions for many later take larger and larger time steps. Why would I
different airmasses. At first glance, this map looks need to take small time steps initially, and why can I
cluttered. But look more closely for patterns and increase the time step later in the simulation? Also,
describe how you can anticipate where in the world if I wanted to take small time steps for the whole
you might expect the genesis regions to be for a par- duration, would that be good or bad? Why?
ticular airmass type.
E15. Suppose that cold air drains katabatically from
E10. In this chapter, I described two very different the center of Antarctica to the edges. Sketch the
mechanisms by which warm and cold airmasses are streamlines (lines that are parallel to the flow direc-
created. Why would you expect them to form differ- tion) that you would anticipate for this air, consider-
ently? Hint: consider the concepts, not the detailed ing buoyancy, Coriolis force, and turbulent drag.
equations.
E16.(§) Assume the katabatic winds of Antarctica
E11. Fig. 12.5 shows how initially-cold air is trans- result from a balance between the downslope buoy-
formed into a warm airmass after it becomes parked ancy force, Coriolis force (assume 70°S latitude), and
over a warm surface such as a tropical ocean. It is turbulent drag force at the surface (assume neutral
not surprising that the airmass temperature θML as- boundary layer with CD = 0.002). The surface is
ymptotically approaches the temperature of the un- smooth and the depth of the katabatic layer is 100 m.
derlying surface. Also not surprising: depth zi of the Neglect entrainment drag at the top of the katabatic
changed air initially increases with time. flow. The slope, potential temperature difference,
But more surprising is the decrease in depth of and ambient temperature vary according to the ta-
the changed air at longer times. Conceptually, why ble from exercise N5. Find the katabatic wind speed
does this happen? Why would you expect it to hap- at the locations in the table from exercise N5.
pen for most warm airmass genesis?
E17. Where else in the world (Fig. 12.8) would you
E12. Using the concept of airmass conservation, for- anticipate orographic airmass modification process-
mulate a relationship between subsidence velocity at es similar to those shown in Fig. 12.9? Explain.
the top of the boundary layer (i.e., the speed that the
capping inversion is pushed down in the absence of E18. For airmass modification (i.e., while an airmass
entrainment) to the radial velocity of air within the is blowing over a different surface), why do we de-
boundary layer. (Hint: use cylindrical coordinates, scribe the heat flux from the surface using a bulk
and look at the geometry.) transfer relationship (CH ·M·∆θ), while for warm air-
mass genesis of stationary air we used a buoyancy-
E13. For the toy model in the INFO Box on Warm velocity approach (b ·wb·∆θ)?
Airmass Genesis, ∆Q is the amount of heat (in ki-
nematic units) put into the mixed layer (ML) from E19. The Eulerian heat budget from the Heat chap-
the surface during one time step. By repeating over ter shows how air temperature change ∆T is related
many time steps, we gradually put more and more to the heat input over time interval ∆t. If this air is
heat into the ML. This heat is uniformly mixed in also moving at speed M, then during that same time
interval, it travels a distance ∆x = M·∆t. Explain how
422 chapter 12 • Fronts & AirMasses
you can use this information to get eq. (12.3), and on a thermo diagram (See the Atmos. Stability chap-
why the wind speed M doesn’t appear in that eq. ter for blank thermo diagrams that you can photo-
copy for this exercise. Use a skew-T diagram, unless
E20. Look at Fig. 12.9 and the associated Sample Ap- your instructor tells you otherwise). Describe how
plication. In the Sample Application, the air passes the frontal zone shows up in the soundings.
twice through the thermodynamic state given by
point 1 on that diagram: once when going from E26. Draw isentropes that you might expect in a
point 0 to points 2, and the second time when going vertical cross-section through a warm front.
from points 2 to point 3.
Similarly, air passes twice through the thermo- E27. Other than drylines, is it possible to have fronts
dynamic state at point 3 on the thermo diagram, and with no temperature change across them? How
twice through point 5. would such fronts be classified? How would they
But air can achieve the same thermodynamic behave?
state twice only if certain physical (thermodynamic)
conditions are met. What are those conditions, and E28. What clouds and weather would you expect
how might they NOT be met in the real case of air with a cold anafront?
traversing over these mountain ranges?
E29. Why should the Rossby radius of deformation
E21. Background: Recall that a frontal zone sepa- depend on the depth of the cold airmass in a geo-
rates warmer and cooler airmasses. The warm air- strophic adjustment process?
mass side of this zone is where the front is drawn on
a weather map. This is true for both cold and warm E30. For geostrophic adjustment, the initial outflow
fronts. of cold air turns, due to Coriolis force, until it is par-
Issue: AFTER passage of the cold front is when allel to the front. Why doesn’t it continue turning
significant temperature decreases are observed. BE- and point back into the cold air?
FORE passage of a warm front is when significant
warming is observed. E31. For geostrophic adjustment, what is the nature
Question: Why does this difference exist (i.e., of the final winds, if the starting point is a shallow
AFTER vs. BEFORE) for the passage of these two cylinder of cold air 2 km thick and 500 km radius?
fronts?
E32. Starting with Fig. 12.18, suppose that ABOVE
E22. Overlay Fig. 12.11 with Fig. 12.12 by aligning the bottom contoured surface the temperature is
the low-pressure centers. Do not rotate the images, horizontally uniform. Redraw that diagram but
but let the warm and cold fronts extend in different with the top two contoured surfaces sloped appro-
directions from the low center. Combine the infor- priately for the new temperature state.
mation from these two figures to create a new, larger
figure showing both fronts at the same time, extend- E33. By inspection, write a kinematic frontogenesis
ing from the same low. On separate copies of this equation (similar to eq. 12.10), but for an east-west
merged figure, draw: aligned front.
a. isotherms b. isobars c. winds d. weather
E34. Figs. 12.22 - 12.24 presume that temperature
E23. Suppose you saw from your barometer at home gradients already exist, which can be strengthened
that the pressure was falling. So you suspect that by kinematic frontogenesis. Is that presumption
a front is approaching. What other clues can you valid for Earth’s atmosphere? Justify.
use (by standing outside and looking at the clouds
and weather; NOT by looking at the TV, computer, E35. For the fronts analyzed in the Sample Appli-
or other electronics or weather instruments) to de- cation in the section on Surface Fronts – Horizontal
termine if the approaching front is a warm or cold Structure, estimate and compare magnitudes of any
front. Discuss, along with possible pitfalls in this kinematic, thermodynamic, and dynamic processes
method. that might exist across those fronts, based on the
plotted weather data (which includes info on winds,
E24. Draw new figures (a) - (d) similar to (a) - (d) in precipitation, etc.). Discuss the relative importance
Figs. 12.11 and 12.12, but for an occluded front. of the various mechanisms for frontogenesis.
E25. Use the columns of temperature data in Fig. E36. Speculate on which is more important for dy-
12.13a, and plot each column as a separate sounding namically generating ageostrophic cross-frontal cir-
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 423
E39. What types of weather would be expected with S7. What if airmasses remained stationary over the
an upper-tropospheric front that does not have an genesis regions forever? Could there be fronts and
associated surface front? [Hint: track movement of weather? Explain.
air parcels as they ride isentropic surfaces.]
S8. Would it be possible for an airmass to become
E40. Draw a sketch similar to Fig. 12.34 showing the so thick that it fills the whole troposphere? If so, ex-
transverse circulations, but for a vertical cross-sec- plain the conditions needed for this to occur.
tion in the Southern Hemisphere.
S9. What if boundary-layer processes were so slow
E41. Would you expect drylines to be possible in that airmasses took 5 times longer to form compared
parts of the world other than the S.W. USA? If so, to present airmass formation of about 3 to 5 days?
where? Justify your arguments. How would the weather and global circulation be
different, if at all?
modify air masses by this process. How would S20. The boxes at the top of Figs. 12.22 - 12.24 show
weather and climate be different from now, if at all? the associated sign of key terms for kinematic
frontogenesis. If those terms have opposite signs,
S15. A really bad assumption was made in eq. (12.3); draw sketches similar to those figures, but showing
namely, zi = constant as the airmass is modified. A frontolysis associated with:
better assumption would be to allow zi to change a. confluence b. shear c. tilting.
with time (i.e., with distance as it blows over the new
surface). The bad assumption was made because it S21. Suppose that condensation of water vapor
allowed us to describe the physics with a simple eq. caused air to cool. How would the thermodynamic
(12.3), which could be solved analytically to get eq. mechanism for frontogenesis work for that situa-
(12.4). This is typical of many physical problems, tion, if at all? How would weather be near fronts,
where it is impossible to find an exact analytical so- if at all?
lution to the full equations describing true physics
(as best we know it). S22. Suppose that ageostrophic motions were to ex-
So here is a philosophical question. Is it better to perience extremely large drag, and thus would tend
approximate the physics to allow an exact analytical to dissipate quickly. How would frontogenesis in
solution of the simplified problem? Or is it better to Earth’s atmosphere be different, if at all?
try to get an approximate (iterated or graphical solu-
tion) to the exact, more-complicated physics? Weigh S23. After cold frontal passage, cold air is moving
the pros and cons of each approach, and discuss. over ground that is still warm (due to its thermal
inertia). Describe how static stability varies with
S16. For a (a) cold front, or a (b) warm front, create height within the cold airmass 200 km behind the
station plot data for a weather station 100 km ahead cold front. Draw thermo diagram sketches to illus-
of the front, and for another weather station 100 km trate your arguments.
behind the front. Hint: use the sketches in Figs. 12.11
and 12.12 to help decide what to plot. S24. Suppose a major volcanic eruption injected a
thick layer of ash and sulfate aerosols at altitude 20
S17. Suppose the width of frontal zones were in- km. Would the altitude of the tropopause adjust to
finitesimally small, but their lengths remained un- become equal to this height? Discuss.
changed. How would weather be different, if at all?
S25. Suppose the slope of the ground in a dryline
S18. What if turbulence were always so intense that situation was not as sketched in Fig. 12.36. Instead,
frontal zones were usually 1000 km in width? How suppose the ground was bowl-shaped, with high
would weather be different, if at all? plateaus on both the east and west ends. Would
drylines exist? If so, what would be their character-
S19. Does the geostrophic adjustment process affect istics, and how would they evolve?
the propagation distance of cold fronts in the real
atmosphere, for cold fronts that are imbedded in the
cyclonic circulation around a low-pressure center?
If this indeed happens, how could you detect it?
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull. Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmospheric Science
13 Extratropical cyclones
OU
425
426 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
LN
TFDUPS
PV
EC
DPMEBJS
BO
TFDUPS
- dropping 2.4 kPa or more over a 24-hour period),
the process is called explosive cyclogenesis (also
Z nicknamed a cyclone bomb). This can occur when
multiple conditions listed above are occurring at
Y TUSBUJGPSN the same location (such as when a front stalls over
1 L1B
DMPVETIJFME the Gulf Stream, with a strong amplitude Rossby-
wave trough to the west). During winter, such cy-
Figure a. clone bombs can cause intense cyclones just off the
Sketch of mid-latitude cyclone in the Southern Hemi- east coast of the USA with storm-force winds, high
sphere. waves, and blizzards or freezing rain.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 427
Cyclone Evolution
Although cyclones have their own synoptic-scale
winds circulating around the low-pressure center,
this whole system is blown toward the east by even DPPMBJS 5$ B
larger-scale winds in the general circulation such as
1B
the jet stream. As a study aid, we will first move
ET
L
V
DMP
with the cyclone center as it evolves through its 1-
day to 2-week life cycle of cyclogenesis and cycloly-
1
sis. Later, we will see where these low centers form
and move due to the general circulation.
One condition that favors cyclogenesis is a
baroclinic zone — a long, narrow region of large
temperature change across a short horizontal distance
near the surface. Frontal zones such as stationary
T
VE
fronts (Fig. 13.2a) are regions of strong baroclinicity.
DMP
Above (near the tropopause) and parallel to this
baroclinic zone is often a strong jet stream (Fig. 13.2b),
Z
driven by the thermal-wind effect (see the chapters XBSN
on General Circulation, and Fronts & Airmasses). If BJS Y
conditions are right (as discussed later in this chap-
ter), the jet stream can remove air molecules from
a column of air above the front, at location “D” in
Fig. 13.2b. This lowers the surface pressure under C
DPPMBJS
location “D”, causing cyclogenesis at the surface.
BN
1B
Namely, under location “D” is where you would ex-
USF
L
UT
pect a surface low-pressure center to form.
KF
The resulting pressure gradient around the sur-
1
face low starts to generate lower-tropospheric winds
that circulate around the low (Fig. 13.3a, again near
the Earth’s surface). This is the spin-up stage — so
named because vorticity is increasing as the cyclone %
intensifies. The winds begin to advect the warm
air poleward on the east side of the low and cold
air equatorward on the west side, causing a kink in
the former stationary front near the low center. The BN
SF
kinked front is wave shaped, and is called a frontal UTU
KF Z XBSN
wave. Parts of the old front advance as a warm front,
BJS
and other parts advance as a cold front. Also, these Y
winds begin to force some of the warmer air up over
the colder air, thereby generating more clouds.
If jet-stream conditions continue to be favorable,
then the low continues to intensify and mature (Fig. Figure 13.2
13.3b). As this cyclogenesis continues, the central Initial conditions favoring cyclogenesis in N. Hemisphere.
pressure drops (namely, the cyclone deepens), and (a) Surface weather map. Solid thin black lines are isobars.
winds and clouds increase as a vortex around the Dashed grey lines are isotherms. The thick black lines mark
the leading and trailing edges of the frontal zone. Grey shading
low center. Precipitation begins if sufficient mois-
indicates clouds. Fig. 13.3 shows subsequent evolution. (b) Up-
ture is present in the regions where air is rising. per-air map over the same frontal zone, where the dashed black
The advancing cold front often moves faster than arrow indicates the jet stream near the tropopause (z ≈ 11 km).
the warm front. Three reasons for this are: (1) The The grey lines are a copy of the surface isobars and frontal zone
Sawyer-Eliassen circulation tends to push near-sur- from (a) to help you picture the 3-D nature of this system.
face cold air toward warmer air at both fronts. (2)
Circulation around the vortex tends to deform the
frontal boundaries and shrink the warm-air region
to a smaller wedge shape east and equatorward of
the low center. This wedge of warm air is called the
warm-air sector (Fig. 13.1). (3) Evaporating precipi-
428 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
B E
DPPM
-
BJS
-
XBSNBJS
XBSN DPPM
BJS BJS
B
B
Z
L1
L1
Y
1
Y
1
C F
DPPM
BJS
-
-
XBSN DPPM
DPPMBJS BJS BJS
B
XBSN
B
L1
Z BJS
L1
Z
1
1
Y Y
D DPPMBJS G
-
-
XBSNBJS
DPPM
BJS
L1
Z
B
Z
1
L1
Y
Y XBSNBJS
1
Figure 13.3
Extratropical cyclone evolution in the N. Hemisphere, including cyclogenesis (a - c), and cyclolysis (d - f). These idealized surface
weather maps move with the low center. Grey shading indicates clouds, solid black lines are isobars (kPa), thin arrows are near-surface
winds, L is at the low center, and medium grey lines in (a) bound the original frontal zone. Fig. 13.2a shows the initial conditions.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 429
Cyclone Tracks
Extratropical cyclones are steered by the global
circulation, including the prevailing westerlies at
mid-latitudes and the meandering Rossby-wave pat-
tern in the jet stream. Typical storm tracks (cyclone
paths) of low centers are shown in Fig. 13.5. Multi-
year climate variations (see the Climate chapter) in
Figure 13.5 (below)
Climatology of extratropical cyclone tracks (lines with arrows)
the global circulation, such as associated with the El
for (a) January and (b) July. Other symbols represent genesis Niño / La Niña cycle or the North Atlantic Oscilla-
and decay regions, as explained in the text. Circled symbols tion (NAO), can alter the cyclone tracks. Mid-lati-
indicate stationary cyclones. tude cyclones are generally stronger, translate faster,
/ B
+BOVBSZ
H-B/JÒ
/ EVSJO B 0
( ( N
/" B
/JÒ
/ N X X -B
EVSJOH m
/"0 X
X X
EVSJOH&M/JÒP X X &M/JÒP
/
4 5- X 5-
N 5-
N
4
N N
4 (
( LX ( LX LX ( LX (
LX
( LX (
4 LX
/ C
+VMZ
-
/ N
N
/ 5-
X 5-
/ 5- 5-
4
5- N
4 N
N
4 (
( LX ( LX LX ( LX (
LX
( LX (
4 LX
#B
chapter). Other cyclogenesis regions are over warm
GGJ
/
O
:5
*T
ocean boundary currents along the western edge -BCSBEPS
MB
OE
(VMGPG /6 4FB
of oceans (shown by the symbol “w” in the figure), "MBTLB /5
/
such as the Gulf Stream current off the east coast )VETPO
3PDLZ
#BZ /-
of N. America, and the Kuroshio Current off the /-
$BOBEB
.
east coast of Japan. During winter over such cur- #$
1BEJGJD0DFBO
"#
PVOUBJO
4, .# 1&2$
rents are strong sensible and latent heat fluxes from
0/ /#
8
1SBJSJFT /4
the warm ocean into the air, which adds energy to 8" .&
T
(S /FX&OHMBOE
developing cyclones. Also, the strong wintertime 03 .5 /% ./ FB
U- 75 /) ." /
BLF
3PDLZ
contrast between the cold continent and the warm /:
"UMBOUJD0DFBO
*% T 3*
4% 8*
1MBJOT
8: .* $5
ocean current causes an intense baroclinic zone that 1" /+
.
/7 *" .JEXFTU 0) %&
/&
drives a strong jet stream above it due to thermal-
PVOUBJO
$" 65 *- */ 87 7" .%
$0
USFBN
wind effects. ,4 .0 ,: %$
64" /$
Cyclones are often strengthened in regions un- 5/
8
(VMG4
"; 0, "3 4$
/
/.
der the jet stream just east of troughs. In such re- .4 "- ("
gions, the jet stream steers the low center toward the 59
-"
east and poleward. Hence, cyclone tracks are often '- #BIBNBT
toward the northeast in the N. Hemisphere, and to- .FYJDP (VMGPG
ward the southeast in the S. Hemisphere. .FYJDP
8
$VCB
8
Cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere typically
/
OPSUI
-PXIFJHIUTBU
LN
USPQPQBVTF
1
DPME
BJS
DP
IU
By definition, a low has lower central pressure than
IFJH the surroundings, because fewer air molecules are
%
XBSN flow will always move air molecules toward surface
BJS lows (Fig. 13.6). As a low fills with air, its pressure
rises and it stops being a low. Such filling is quick
1L1B enough to eliminate a low in less than a day, unless a
FM compensating process can remove air more quickly.
JTPCB TF BMFW Such a compensating process often occurs if the
STBU TPVUI
axis of low pressure tilts westward with increasing
XFTU FBTU
height (Fig. 13.7). Recall from the gradient-wind
MPDBUJPOPGMPX MPDBUJPOPGMPX
discussion in the Atmospheric Forces and Winds
BUUSPQPQBVTF BUTFBMFWFM
chapter that the jet stream is slower around troughs
than ridges. This change of wind speed causes di-
vergence aloft; namely, air is leaving faster than it is
C
7FSUJDBMDSPTTTFDUJPO 1L1B arriving. Thus, with the upper-level trough shifted
west of the surface low (L), the divergence region (D)
[ USPQPQBVTF is directly above the surface low, supporting cyclo-
USPVHI % SJEHF
genesis. Details are explained later in this Chapter.
But for now, you should recognize that a westward
tilt of the low-pressure location with increasing
[J height often accompanies cyclogenesis.
DPME XBSN
Conversely, when the trough aloft is stacked
XFTU FBTU vertically above the surface low, then the jet stream
Figure 13.7
(a) Two N. Hemisphere weather maps superimposed: (thin black lines) sea-level pressure, and (grey lines) 30 kPa heights. Jet-stream
winds (thick grey arrows) follow the height contours (b) East-west vertical cross section through middle of (a). Heavy dashed line is
trough axis. L indicates low center at surface, and D indicates divergence aloft. (Pressure and height variations are exaggerated.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 433
is not pumping air out of the low, and the low fills
due to the unrelenting boundary-layer flow. Thus,
vertical stacking is associated with cyclolysis.
BDFOEJOH
Other Characteristics XBSN
IVNJEBJS
Low centers often move parallel to the direction
of the isobars in the warm sector (Fig. 13.1). So even EFTDFOEJOH
without data on upper-air steering-level winds, you DPPM
ESZ -
BJS
can use a surface weather map to anticipate cyclone
movement.
Movement of air around a cyclone is three-di-
XBSN
mensional, and is difficult to show on two-dimen- B UJPO
N ODF BJS
sional weather maps. Fig. 13.8 shows the main GPS
EF JGGMVF DPOWFZPS Z
streams of air in one type of cyclone, corresponding E CFMU
to the snapshot of Fig. 13.3b. Sometimes air in the
warm-air conveyor belt is moving so fast that it Y
is called a low-altitude pre-frontal jet. When this Figure 13.8
humid stream of air is forced to rise over the cool- Ascending and descending air in a cyclone. Thin black lines
er air at the warm front (or over a mountain) it can with numbers are isobars (kPa). Thick black lines are fronts.
dump heavy precipitation and cause flooding.
Behind the cold front, cold air often descends
from the mid- or upper-troposphere, and sometimes
comes all the way from the lower stratosphere. This
dry air deforms (changes shape) into a diffluent
(horizontally spreading) flow near the cold front.
To show the widespread impact of a Spring mid-
latitude cyclone, a case-study is introduced next.
(1) 50 kPa Heights (m). Valid 00 UTC 3 Apr 2014 (2) 50 kPa Heights (m). Valid 12 UTC 4 Apr 2014
Figure 13.10a
Evolution of geopotential height contours (m) of the 50 kPa isobaric surface (known as “50 kPa heights”) during a day and a half for the
case-study cyclone. Height contour interval is 60 m. “X” marks the surface-low location at the valid times of the two different maps.
The thick dashed line shows the axis of the low-pressure trough (i.e., the “trough axis”).
$PME'SPOU
L L
(1) Sea-level Pressure (kPa). Valid 00 UTC 3 Apr 2014 (2) Sea-level Pressure (kPa). Valid 12 UTC 3 Apr 2014
L
L
(3) Sea-level Pressure (kPa). Valid 00 UTC 4 Apr 2014 (4) Sea-level Pressure (kPa). Valid 12 UTC 4 Apr 2014
Figure 13.10b
Evolution of mean-sea-level (MSL) pressure (kPa) and surface fronts every 12 hours during a day and a half, from 00 UTC 3 April to
12 UTC 4 April 2014. Isobar contour interval is 0.4 kPa. “L” marks the location of the surface low-pressure center of the case-study
cyclone. The central pressure of the low every 12 hours in this sequence was: 99.4, 99.9, 100.0, and 99.7 kPa. Image (1) also shows a
dry line in Texas, and image (4) shows a squall line (of thunderstorms) in the southeast USA ahead of the cold front.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 435
Figure 13.11
Surface weather map,
valid 6 AM CDT
(12 UTC) on 4 April
2014. A higher reso-
lution surface weather
map for the same time
is on the last page of
this chapter as Fig.
13.56.
Figure 13.12.
Radar reflectivity, valid at
roughly 6 AM CDT (12
UTC) on 4 April 2014.
Left: Overview map from
the US Univ. Corp. for
Atmos. Research (UCAR),
based on US government
radar data. Right: Com-
posite of zoomed maps
from the US Storm Pre-
diction Center.
436 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
Figure c Thickness
A set of weather maps for different altitudes helps you gain Now picture two different isobaric surfaces over
a 3-D perspective of the weather. MSL = mean sea level. the same region, such as sketched a the top of Fig. c.
An example is 100 kPa heights and 50 kPa heights.
At each location on the map, you could measure the
height difference between these two pressure surfac-
Height es, which tells you the thickness of air in that layer.
Mean-sea-level (MSL) maps represent a uniform
After drawing isopleths connecting points of equal
height of z = 0 relative to the ocean surface. For most
thickness, the resulting contour map is known as a
land areas that are above sea level, these maps are cre-
“100 to 50 kPa thickness” map.
ated by extrapolating atmospheric conditions below
You learned in the General Circulation chapter
ground. (A few land-surface locations are below sea
that the thermal-wind vectors are parallel to thick-
level, such as Death Valley and the Salton Sea USA, or
ness contours, and that these vectors indicate shear in
the Dead Sea in Israel and Jordan).
the geostrophic wind. That chapter also showed that
Meteorologists commonly plot air pressure (re-
the 100-50 kPa thickness is proportional to average
duced to sea level) and fronts on this uniform-height
temperature in the bottom half of the troposphere.
surface. These are called “MSL pressure” maps.
(continues on next page)
(continues in next column)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 437
LN
[
LN
LN
LN
[
OPSUI
[
LN
LN
LN
LN
[
Surface
LN
[
LN
FBTU
Rules
Figure d It is impossible to have two different pressures,
Lines of uniform potential temperature (thin black lines) or two different potential temperatures, at the same
are sketched in the background of the 3-D diagram at top. point in space at any instant. For this reason, isobaric
Each line has a corresponding isentropic surface that goes surfaces cannot cross other isobaric surfaces (e.g., the
through it, such as sketched for θ = 310 K in both figures 70 kPa and 60 kPa isobaric surfaces cannot intersect).
(shaded in blue). The heights (z) of this surface above MSL Similar rules apply for isentropic surfaces. But iso-
are plotted as contour lines in the isentropic chart at bot- baric surfaces can cross isentropes, and they both can
tom. The thick grey arrow represents a hypothetical wind intersect the ground surface.
vector.
(continues in next column)
438 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
X X
20 kPa Heights (m). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 20 kPa Wind Vectors. Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
X X
50 kPa Heights (m). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 50 kPa Wind Vectors. Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
X X
85 kPa Heights (m). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 85 kPa Wind Vectors. Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
L L
100 kPa Heights (m). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 10 m Wind Vectors. Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
Figure 13.13. Geopotential heights (left column) and wind vectors (right). Maps higher on the page are for higher in the atmos.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 439
X X
20 kPa Temperature (°C). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 20 kPa Isotachs (m s–1). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
X X
50 kPa Temperature (°C). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 50 kPa Abs.Vorticity (10 –5 s–1). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
X X
85 kPa Temperature (°C). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 85 kPa Abs. Vorticity (10 –5 s–1). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
A
L L
A’
2 m Equiv.. Pot. Temperature (K) at 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 2 m Mixing Ratio (g kg–1). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
Figure 13.14. Temperature (left column) and other variables (right). “L” and “X” indicate location of the surface low center.
440 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
X X
20 kPa Streamlines. Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 20 kPa Divergence (10 –5 s–1). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
X X
70 kPa Heights (m). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 70 kPa Temperature (°C). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
L
L
Precipitable water (mm). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 MSL P (kPa), 85 kPa T (°C) & 1 h Precip.(in) at 13 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
Figure 13.15. Maps higher on the page are for higher in the atmosphere. “L” and “X” indicate location of surface low-pressure cen-
ter.
Figure 13.16.
Thickness (m) between the
100 kPa and 50 kPa isobaric
surfaces.
100 - 50 kPa Thickness. Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 441
[ LN
(a)
R, 4USBUPTQIFSF
5SPQPQBVTF
5SPQPTQIFSF
6
5
'
S
PO
U
$P
ME
'
X
SP
OU
R,
" OPSUI TPVUI "h
XFTU LN
FBTU
(b)
Fig. 13.17
Tropopause pressure (hPa), valid 4 Apr 2014 from NCEP opera-
tional analysis. “X” indicates surface-low location. Thanks to
NOAA Earth System Research Lab. [ 100 hPa = 10 kPa. ]
A
X
Fig. 13.18 (below)
Hemispheric plot of 20 kPa height contours (unit interpretation:
1220 = 12.2 km), valid 4 Apr 2014 from NCEP operational A’
analysis. The North Pole is at the center of the map. Thanks to
NOAA Earth System
Research Lab.
Weather-map Discussion for this Case kPa Absolute Vorticity chart shows a bulls-eye
As recommended for most weather discussions, of positive vorticity just west of the surface low.
start with the big picture, and progress toward the
details. Also, start from the top down. 70 kPa Charts — (z ≈ 3 km MSL)
The second row of charts in Fig. 13.15 shows a
Hemispheric Map - Top of Troposphere closed low on the 70 kPa Height chart, just west
Starting with the planetary scale, Fig. 13.18 shows of the surface low. At this altitude the warm air
Hemispheric 20 kPa Geopotential Height advection poleward and cold-air advection equator-
Contours. It shows five long Rossby-wave troughs ward are even more obvious east and west of the low,
around the globe. The broad trough over N. Amer- respectively, as shown on the 70 kPa Temperature
ica also has two short-wave troughs superimposed chart.
— one along the west coast and the other in the
middle of N. America. The jet stream flows from 85 kPa Charts — (z ≈ 1.4 km MSL)
west to east along the height contours plotted in this Focus on the third row of charts in Figs. 13.13
diagram, with faster winds where the contours are - 13.14. The 85 kPa Height chart shows a deep
packed closer together. closed low immediately to the west of the surface
Next, zoom to the synoptic scale over N. Ameri- low. Associated with this system is a complete coun-
ca. This is discussed in the next several subsections terclockwise circulation of winds around the low, as
using Figs. 13.13 - 13.15. shown in the 85 kPa Wind Vector chart.
The strong temperature advection east and west
20 kPa Charts — Top of Troposphere (z ≈ of the low center are creating denser packing of iso-
11.5 km MSL) therms along the frontal zones, as shown in the 85
Focus on the top row of charts in Figs. 13.13 - kPa Temperature chart. The cyclonically rotating
13.15. The thick dashed lines on the 20 kPa Height flow causes a large magnitude of vorticity in the 85
contour map show the two short-wave trough axes. kPa Absolute Vorticity chart.
The trough over the central USA is the one associat-
ed with the case-study cyclone. This trough is west 100 kPa and other Near-Surface Charts
of the location of the surface low-pressure center Focus on the last row of charts in Figs. 13.13-13.14.
(“X”). The 20 kPa Wind Vector map shows gen- The approximate surface-frontal locations have also
erally westerly winds aloft, switching to southwest- been drawn on most of these charts. The 100 kPa
erly over most of the eastern third of the USA. Wind Height chart shows the surface low that is deep
speeds in the 20 kPa Isotach chart show two jet relative to the higher pressures surrounding it. The
streaks (shaded in yellow) — one with max winds 10 m Wind Vectors chart shows sharp wind shifts
greater than 70 m s–1 in Texas and northern Mexico, across the frontal zones.
and a weaker jet streak over the Great Lakes. Isentropes of 2 m Equivalent Potential Tem-
The 20 kPa Temperature chart shows a “bulls- perature clearly demark the cold and warm frontal
eye” of relatively warm air (–50°C) aloft just west zones with tightly packed (closely spaced) isentropes.
of the “X”. This is associated with an intrusion of Recall that fronts on weather maps are drawn on the
stratospheric air down into the troposphere (Fig. warm sides of the frontal zones. Southeast of the
13.19). The 20 kPa Divergence map shows strong low center is a humid “warm sector” with strong
horizontal divergence (plotted with the blue contour moisture gradients across the warm and cold fronts
lines) along and just east of the surface cold front as is apparent by the tight isohume packing in the 2
and low center. m Water Vapor Mixing Ratio chart.
Next, focus on row 3 of Fig. 13.15. The high hu-
50 kPa Charts — Middle of Troposphere (z midities also cause large values of Precipitable
≈5.5 km MSL) water (moisture summed over the whole depth
Focus on the second row of charts in Figs. 13.13 of the atmosphere), particularly along the frontal
- 13.14. The 50 kPa Height chart shows a trough zones. So it is no surprise to see the rain showers in
axis closer to the surface-low center (“X”). This low- the MSL Pressure, 85 kPa Temperature and 1-h
pressure region has almost become a “closed low”, Precipitation chart.
where the height contours form closed ovals. 50 kPa
Wind Vectors show the predominantly westerly 100 to 50 kPa Thickness
winds turning in such a way as to bring colder air Fig. 13.16 shows the vertical distance between the
equatorward on the west side of the low, and bring- 100 and 50 kPa isobaric surfaces. Namely, it shows
ing warmer air poleward on the east side of the low the thickness of the 100 to 50 kPa layer of air. This
(shown in the 50 kPa Temperature chart). The 50 thickness is proportional to the average temperature
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 443
B
[ Stationary Rossby Waves
Consider a wind that causes air in the troposphere
LN USPQPQBVTF to blow over the Rocky mountains (Fig. 13.20). Con-
vective clouds (e.g., thunderstorms) and turbulence
å[5B å[5C å[5D can cause the Rossby wave amplitude to decrease
8JOE 8JOE further east, so the first wave after the mountain (at
location c in Fig. 13.20) is the one you should focus
å[NUO on.
LN These Rossby waves have a dominant wave-
3PDLZ.UOT length (λ) of roughly
B C D Y
1/2
M (13.1)
λ ≈ 2·π·
β
C
Z M
where the mean wind speed is M. As you have seen
OPSUI 8JOE SJEHF SJEHF in an earlier chapter, β is the northward gradient of
"
the Coriolis parameter (fc):
OE
XJ
3C
3D
USPVHI ∆fc 2·Ω
β = = · cos φ •(13.2)
3PDLZ MFF ∆y Rearth
TPVUI .UOT USPVHI
XFTU B C D FBTU Y Factor 2·Ω = 1.458x10 –4 s–1 is twice the angular rota-
tion rate of the Earth. At North-American latitudes,
Figure 13.20
β is roughly 1.5 to 2x10 –11 m–1 s–1.
Cyclogenesis to the lee of the mountains. (a) Vertical cross sec-
tion. (b) Map of jet-stream flow. “Ridge” and “trough” refer to Knowing the mountain-range height (∆zmtn) rela-
the wind-flow pattern, not the topography. tive to the surrounding plains, and knowing the ini-
tial depth of the troposphere (∆zT), the Rossby-wave
amplitude A is:
Sample Application fc ∆zmtn
What amplitude & wavelength of terrain-triggered A≈ · (13.3)
β ∆zT
Rossby wave would you expect for a mountain range
at 48°N that is 1.2 km high? The upstream depth of the
troposphere is 11 km, with upstream wind is 19 m s–1. Because β is related to fc, we can analytically find
their ratio as fc/β = REarth·tan(ϕ), where the average
Find the Answer radius (REarth) of the Earth is 6371 km. Over North
Given: ϕ = 48°N, ∆zmtn = 1.2 km, ∆zT = 11 km, America the tangent of the latitude ϕ is tan(ϕ) ≈ 1.
M = 19 m s–1. Thus:
Find: A = ? km , λ = ? km ∆z
A ≈ mtn · Rearth
∆zT (13.4)
Use eq. (13.4):
A = [ (1.2 km) / (11 km) ] · (6371 km) = 695 km
where 2A is the ∆y distance between the wave trough
Next, use eq. (13.2) to find β at 48°N: and crest.
β = (2.294x10 –11 m–1·s–1) · cos(48°) = 1.53x10 –11 m–1·s–1 In summary, the equations above show that
north-south Rossby-wave amplitude depends on
Finally, use eq. (13.1): the height of the mountains, but does not depend on
1/2 wind speed. Conversely, wind speed is important
19m · s −1
λ ≈ 2· π· −11 −1 −1
= 6990 km in determining Rossby wavelength, while mountain
1.53 × 10 m · s
height is irrelevant.
Check: Physics and units are reasonable.
Exposition: Is this wave truly a planetary wave? Potential-vorticity Conservation
Yes, because its wavelength (6,990 km) would fit 3.8 Use conservation of potential vorticity as a tool
times around the Earth at 48°N (circumference = to understand such mountain lee-side Rossby-wave
2·π·REarth·cos(48°) = 26,785 km). Also, the north-south triggering (Fig. 13.20). Create a “toy model” by as-
meander of the wave spans 2A = 12.5° of latitude. suming wind speed is constant in the Rossby wave,
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 445
( M / R) + f c
ζp = = constant •(13.5)
∆z
For this toy model, consider the initial winds to be Sample Application
Picture a scenario as plotted in Fig. 13.20, with 25 m
blowing straight toward the Rocky Mountains from
s–1 wind at location “a”, mountain height of 1.2 km, tro-
the west. These initial winds have no curvature at posphere thickness of 11 km, and latitude 45°N. What
location “a”, thus R = ∞ and eq. (13.5) becomes: is the value of the initial potential vorticity, and what
is the radius of curvature at point “b”?
fc. a (13.6)
ζp =
∆zT .a Find the Answer
Given: M = 25 m s–1, ∆zmtn = 1.2 km, Rinitial = ∞,
where ∆zT.a is the average depth of troposphere at ∆zT = 11 km, ϕ = 45°N.
point “a”. Because potential vorticity is conserved, Find: ζp.a = ? m–1·s–1, Rb = ? km
we can use this fixed value of ζp to see how the Ross-
by wave is generated. Assumption: Neglect wind shear in the vorticity cal-
Let ∆zmtn be the relative mountain height above culation.
the surrounding land (Fig. 13.20a). As the air blows
Eq. (10.16) can be applied to get the Coriolis parameter
over the mountain range, the troposphere becomes fc = (1.458x10 –4 s–1)·sin(45°) = 1.031x10 –4 s–1
thinner as it is squeezed between mountain top and
the tropopause at location “b”: ∆zT.b = ∆zT.a – ∆zmtn. Use eq. (13.6):
But the latitude of the air hasn’t changed much yet,
so fc.b ≈ fc.a. Because ∆z has changed, we can solve 1.031 × 10 −4 s −1
ζp = = 9.37x10 –9 m–1 s–1
eq. (13.5) for the radius of curvature needed to main- 11km
tain ζp.b = ζp.a.
Next, apply eq. (13.7) to get the radius of curvature:
−M −(25m/s)
Rb = Rb = = –2223. km
fc.a ·( ∆zmtn / ∆zT .a ) (13.7)
(1.031 × 10 −4 s −1 )·(1.2 km / 11km)
USPQPQBVTF
Spin-up of Cyclonic Rotation
VQXBSE
NPUJPO Cyclogenesis is associated with upward motion,
SPUBUJPO
decreasing surface pressure, and increasing vorticity
WPSUJDJUZ
- EFDSFBTJOH
TVSGBDFQSFTTVSF [
with vorticity.
The equation that forecasts change of vorticity
with time is called the vorticity tendency equa-
TVSGBDF Z
tion. We can investigate the processes that cause cy-
Y
clogenesis (spin up; positive-vorticity increase) and
Figure 13.22
cyclolysis (spin down; positive-vorticity decrease)
Attributes of cyclogenesis. Updrafts remove air molecules from
near the ground, which lowers surface pressure. The pressure
by examining terms in the vorticity tendency equa-
gradient drives winds, which rotate due to Coriolis force. tion. Mountains are not needed for these processes.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 447
∆U ∆W ∆V ∆W ∆W ∆W ∆W M
+ · − · − · +ζr −CD ζr C
%JWFSHFODF
∆z ∆y ∆z ∆x ∆x ∆y ∆z zi
PS4USFUDIJOH MBSHF8
_tilting_(A)_______(B)________(C)_ stretching turbulent
of rel. vort. drag
[ DPOWFSHFODF
GDPS[S
Positive vorticity tendency indicates cyclogenesis. å8å[
Vorticity Advection: If the wind blows air of
greater vorticity into your region of interest, then TNBMM8
this is called positive vorticity advection (PVA).
Negative vorticity advection (NVA) is when
lower-vorticity air is blown into a region. These ad-
vections can be caused by vertical winds and hori-
zontal winds (Fig. 13.23a). D
#FUB&GGFDU
TNBMM[S
Stretching: Consider a short column of air that is Z
spinning as a vortex tube. Horizontal convergence IJHIMBUJUVEF
MBSHFGD
of air toward this tube will cause the tube to become åGDåZ
7m
taller and more slender (smaller diameter). The tall-
er or stretched vortex tube supports cyclogenesis MPXMBUJUVEF
TNBMMGD
(Fig. 13.23b). Conversely, horizontal divergence MBSHF[S
shortens the vortex tube and supports cyclolysis
or anticyclogenesis. In the first and second lines of
eq. (13.9) are the stretching terms for Earth’s rota-
tion and relative vorticity, respectively. Stretching E
5JMUJOH
means that the top of the vortex tube moves upward MBSHF8
away from (or moves faster than) the movement of
the bottom of the vortex tube; hence ∆W/∆z is posi- å8åZ
tive for stretching.
MBSHF6
Beta Effect: Recall from eq. (11.35) in the Gener- TNBMM8
al Circulation chapter that we can define β = ∆fc/∆y.
Beta is positive in the N. Hemisphere because the
å6å[
Coriolis parameter increases toward the north pole [ TNBMM6
(see eq. 13.2). If wind moves air southward (i.e.,
V = negative) to where fc is smaller, then relative
Z
vorticity ζr becomes larger (as indicated by the nega- Y
tive sign in front of the beta term) to conserve poten-
tial vorticity (Fig. 13.23c).
Tilting Terms: (A & B in eq. 13.9) If the hori-
zontal winds change with altitude, then this shear F
5VSCVMFOU%SBH
causes vorticity along a horizontal axis. (C in eq. [ [S
13.9) Neighboring up- and down-drafts give hori-
[J
zontal shear of the vertical wind, causing vorticity
along a horizontal axis. (A-C) If a resulting horizon- .
tal vortex tube experiences stronger vertical velocity %SBHGPSDFPQQPTFT
on one end relative to the other (Fig. 13.23d), then the
UIFSPUBUJPO
tube will tilt to become more vertical. Because spin-
ning about a vertical axis is how we define vorticity, Figure 13.23
we have increased vorticity via the tilting of initially Illustration of processes that affect vertical vorticity (see eq.
horizontal vorticity. 13.9). An additional drag process is shown in the next column.
448 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
G
5VSCVMFOU%SBH QBSU
Quasi-Geostrophic Approximation
Above the boundary layer (and away from fronts,
jets, and thunderstorms) the terms in the second line C
of the vorticity equation are smaller than those in
the first line, and can be neglected. Also, for syn- X
optic scale, extratropical weather systems, the winds
C D
are almost geostrophic (quasi-geostrophic).
These weather phenomena are simpler to ana- D
lyze than thunderstorms and hurricanes, and can be
well approximated by a set of equations (quasi-geo-
strophic vorticity and omega equations) that are less
complicated than the full set of primitive equa-
tions of motion (Newton’s second law, the first law 85 kPa Divergence (10 –6 s–1). Valid 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014
of thermodynamics, continuity, and ideal gas law).
As a result of the simplifications above, the Figure 13.26
Horizontal divergence (D = ∆U/∆x + ∆V/∆y) for the case-study
vorticity forecast equation simplifies to the follow-
storm. C = horizontal convergence (= – D).
ing quasi-geostrophic vorticity equation:
•(13.10)
∆ζ g ∆ζ g ∆ζ g ∆fc ∆W
= −U g − Vg −Vg + fc Sample Application
∆t ∆x ∆y ∆y ∆z Suppose an initial flow field has no geostrophic
spin-up horizontal advection beta stretching relative vorticity, but there is a straight north to south
geostrophic wind blowing at 10 m s–1 at latitude 45°.
where the relative geostrophic vorticity ζg is defined Also, the top of a 1 km thick column of air rises at 0.01
similar to the relative vorticity of eq. (11.20), except m s–1, while its base rises at 0.008 m s–1. Find the rate
using geostrophic winds Ug and Vg: of geostrophic-vorticity spin-up.
curvature. Namely, the JTPC Air is departing faster than entering. This imbal-
BSJ DF
Laplacian of |g|·z is positive, DTVSGB ance (divergence) draws air up from below. Hence,
hence, ζg is positive. Thus, a Y
W increases from near zero at the ground to some
low has positive vorticity. Figure f. positive updraft speed at 50 kPa. This stretching
helps to spin-up the cyclone.
The beta term, however, contributes to spin-
OPSUI down because air from lower latitudes (with smaller
Coriolis parameter) is blowing toward the location
UZ of the surface cyclone. This effect is small when the
J
WPSUJD
M
SJEHF
LN
of the cyclone.
IUT POJD In real cyclones, contours are often more closely
JH ZDM S
ET IF spaced in troughs, causing relative maxima in jet
BOUJD
XJO
FM UJDJU
Ascent
or
∆U ∆ V (13.16)
20 kPa Heights (m) & Isotachs (m s–1) 12 UTC, 4 Apr 2014 Wmid = + ·∆ z
∆ x ∆ y
Figure 13.30 or
Over the surface cyclone (X) is a region (box) with faster jet-
∆M
stream outflow than inflow (arrows). Isotachs are shaded. Wmid = · ∆z (13.17)
∆s
Sample Application where the distance between outflow and inflow lo-
Jet-stream inflow winds are 50 m s–1, while out- cations is ∆s, wind speed is M, the thickness of the
flow winds are 75 m s–1 a distance of 1000 km further upper air layer is ∆z, and the ascent speed at 50 kPa
downstream. What updraft is induced below this 5 (mid tropospheric) is Wmid.
km thick divergence region? Assume air density is 0.5 Fig. 13.30 shows this scenario for the case-study
kg m–3.
storm. Geostrophic winds are often nearly parallel
to the height contours (solid black curvy lines in Fig.
Find the Answer
Given: Min = 50 m s–1, Mout = 75 m s–1, ∆s = 1000 km,
13.30). Thus, for the region outlined with the black/
∆z = 5 km. white box drawn parallel to the contour lines, the
Find: Wmid = ? m s–1 main inflow and outflow are at the ends of the box
(arrows). The isotachs (shaded) tell us that the in-
Use eq. (13.17): flow (≈ 20 m s–1) is slower than outflow (≈50 m s–1).
Wmid = [Mout - Min]·(∆z/∆s)
= [75 - 50 m s–1]·[(5km)/(1000km)] = 0.125 m s–1 We will focus on two processes that cause hori-
zontal divergence of the jet stream:
Check: Units OK. Physics unreasonable, because the • Rossby waves, a planetary-scale feature for which
incompressible continuity equation assumes constant the jet stream is approximately geostrophic; and
density — a bad assumption over a 5 km thick layer. • jet streaks, where jet-stream accelerations cause
Exposition: Although this seems like a small num- non-geostrophic (ageostrophic) motions.
ber, over an hour this updraft velocity would lift air
about 450 m. Given enough hours, the rising air might
reach its lifting condensation level, thereby creating a
cloud or enabling a thunderstorm.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 453
Rossby Waves
From the Forces and Winds chapter, recall that USPQPQBVTF
the gradient wind is faster around ridges than BN
E 4USF
T
+FU
YJ
"
troughs, for any fixed latitude and horizontal pres-
T
I
YJ
H
"
V
SP
F
sure gradient. Since Rossby waves consist of a train
H
5
JE
3
of ridges and troughs in the jet stream, you can an- å[ 8
T
ticipate that along the jet-stream path the winds are
YJ
- )
"
T
I
YJ
increasing and decreasing in speed.
"
V
SP
F
[
H
5
One such location is east of troughs, as sketched
JE
M
3
Z
in Fig. 13.31. Consider a hypothetical box of air at the TVSGBDF Y
jet stream level between the trough and ridge. Hori-
zontal wind speed entering the box is slow around Figure 13.31
the trough, while exiting winds are fast around the Sketch showing how the slower jet-stream winds at the trough
ridge. To maintain mass continuity, this horizontal (thin lines with arrows) are enhanced by vertical velocity (W,
divergence induces ascent into the bottom of the dotted lines) to achieve the mass balance needed to support the
hypothetical box. This ascent is removing air mol- faster winds (thick lines with arrows) at the ridge. (N. Hem.)
ecules below the hypothetical box, creating a region
of low surface pressure. Hence, surface lows (extra-
tropical cyclones) form east of jet-stream troughs.
Sample Application
We can create a toy model of this effect. Sup- Suppose a jet stream meanders in a sine wave pat-
pose the jet stream path looks like a sine wave of tern that has a 150 km north-south amplitude, 3000
wavelength λ and amplitude ∆y/2. Assume that the km wavelength, 3 km depth, and 35 m s–1 mean geo-
streamwise length of the hypothetical box equals strophic velocity. The latitude is such that fc = 0.0001
the diagonal distance between the trough and ridge s–1 . Estimate the ascent speed under the jet.
1/2
∆s = d = (λ / 2)2 + ∆y 2 (13.18) Find the Answer
Given: ∆y = 2 · (150 km) = 300 km, λ = 3000 km,
Knowing the decrease/increase relative to the geo- ∆z = 3 km, G = 35 m s–1, fc = 0.0001 s–1
strophic wind speed G of the actual gradient wind M Find: Wmid = ? m s–1
around troughs/ridges (from the Forces and Winds
Apply eq. (13.20):
chapter), you can estimate the jet-stream wind-speed
increase as: 1 (3000km)2 = 1520 km
R= ·
(13.19) 2π 2 (300km)
4·G 4·G
∆M = 0.5 · fc · R · 2 − 1 − − 1+ Simplify eq. (13.19) by using the curvature Rossby
f c · R f c ·R
number from the Forces and Winds chapter:
For a simple sine wave, the radius-of-curvature R of G 35m/s
the jet stream around the troughs and ridges is: = Roc = −1 = 0.23
fc · R (0.0001s )·(1.52 × 106 m)
1 λ2
R= 2
· (13.20)
2π ∆y Next, use eq. (13.19), but with Roc:
35m/s
∆M = · 2 − 1 − 4(0.23) − 1 + 4(0.23)
Combining these equations with eq. (13.17) gives 2(0.23)
a toy-model estimate of the vertical motion: = 76.1(m/s)·[2 – 0.283 – 1.386] = 25.2 m s–1
(13.21)
Apply eq. (13.18):
fc · ∆z · λ 2 8 π 2G · ∆y 8 π 2G · ∆y d = [ (1500km)2 + (300km)2 ]1/2 = 1530 km
2 − 1 − − 1 +
4 π 2 · ∆y fc · λ 2 fc · λ 2
Wmid = Finally, use eq. (13.17):
[(λ / 2)2 + ∆y 2 ]1/2
25.2 m/s = 0.049 m s–1
Wmid = · 3km
1530km
For our case-study cyclone, Fig. 13.30 shows a
short-wave trough with jet-stream speed increasing Check: Physics, units, & magnitudes are reasonable.
from 20 to 50 m/s across a distance of about 1150 km. Exposition: This ascent speed is 5 cm s–1, which
seems slow. But when applied under the large area of
This upper-level divergence supported cyclogenesis
the jet stream trough-to-ridge region, a large amount
of the surface low over Wisconsin (“X” on the map). of air mass is moved by this updraft.
454 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
B
Jet Streaks
; - The jet stream does not maintain constant speed
LN in the jet core (center region with maximum speeds).
% Instead, it accelerates and decelerates as it blows
around the world in response to changes in horizon-
tal pressure gradient and direction. The fast-wind
D regions in the jet core are called jet streaks. The
$
response of the wind to these speed changes is not
instantaneous, because the air has inertia.
E Suppose the wind in a weak-pressure-gradient
region had reached its equilibrium wind speed as
Z
given by the geostrophic wind. As this air coasts
Y LN ) into a region of stronger pressure gradient (i.e.,
tighter packing of the isobars or height contours), it
finds itself slower than the new, faster geostrophic
C
wind speed. Namely, it is ageostrophic (not geo-
; - MFGUFYJU
RVBESBOU
strophic) for a short time while it accelerates toward
LN the faster geostrophic wind speed.
MFGUFOUSBODF % ( BH When the air parcel is too slow, its Coriolis force
RVBESBOU (which is proportional to its wind speed) is smaller
$ than the new larger pressure gradient force. This
BH D temporary imbalance turns the air at a small angle
SJHIUFYJU toward lower pressure (or lower heights). This is
( RVBESBOU what happens as air flows into a jet streak.
E The opposite happens as air exits a jet streak and
SJHIUFOUSBODF flows into a region of weaker pressure gradient. The
Z
RVBESBOU wind is temporarily too fast because of its inertia,
Y LN ) so the Coriolis force (larger than pressure-gradient
force) turns the wind at a small angle toward higher
pressure.
Figure 13.32 For northern hemisphere jet streams, the wind
Horizontal divergence (D = strong, d = weak) and convergence
vectors point slightly left of geostrophic while ac-
(C = strong, c = weak) near a jet streak. Back arrows represent
winds, green shading indicates isotachs (with the fastest winds
celerating, and slightly right while decelerating. Be-
having the darkest green), thin curved black lines are height cause the air in different parts of the jet streak have
contours of the 20 kPa isobaric surface, L & H indicate low & different wind speeds and pressure gradients, they
high height centers. Geostrophic (G) winds are parallel to the deviate from geostrophic by different amounts (Fig.
isobars, while (ag) indicates the ageostrophic wind component. 13.32a). As a result, some of the wind vectors con-
Tan dashed lines parallel and perpendicular to the jet axis divide verge in speed and/or direction to make horizontal
the jet streak into quadrants. convergence regions. At other locations the winds
cause divergence. The jet-stream divergence regions
drive cyclogenesis near the Earth’s surface.
Sample Application For an idealized west-to-east, steady-state jet
A west wind of 60 m s–1 in the center of a jet streak stream with no curvature, the U-wind forecast equa-
decreases to 40 m s–1 in the jet exit region 500 km to the tion (10.51a) from the Atmospheric Forces and Wind
east. Find the exit ageostrophic wind component. chapter reduces to:
Check: Physics and units are reasonable. Sign OK. Plugging these into eq. (13.22) gives for a jet
Exposition: Negative sign means Vag is north wind. stream from the west:
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 455
Sample Application
Wmid ≅
−2 · ∆z
MTH
(
∆ ζ g + ( f c / 2) )
•(13.29)
The 100 to 50 kPa thickness is 5 km and fc = 10 –4 s–1.
A west to east thermal wind of 20 m s–1 blows through
fc ∆s a region where avg. cyclonic vorticity decreases by
10 –4 s–1 toward the east across a distance of 500 km.
Use the omega eq. to find mid-tropospheric upward
where s is distance along the thermal wind direc- speed.
tion, and MTH is the thermal-wind speed.
Regardless of the form, the terms in square brack- Find the Answer
ets represent the advection of vorticity by the ther- Given: UTH = 20 m s–1, V TH = 0, ∆z = 5 km,
mal wind, where vorticity consists of the geostroph- ∆ζ = –10 –4 s–1 , ∆x = 500 km, fc = 10 –4 s–1.
ic relative vorticity plus a part of the vorticity due to Find: Wmid = ? m s–1
the Earth’s rotation. The geostrophic vorticity at the
Use eq. (13.28):
85 kPa or the 70 kPa isobaric surface is often used to
approximate the average geostrophic vorticity over −2 ·(5000m) ( −10 −4 s −1 )
Wmid ≅ (20m/s) + 0 + 0 = 0.4 m
the whole 100 to 50 kPa layer. (10 −4 s −1 ) (5 × 105 m)
s–1
A physical interpretation of the omega equation
is that greater upward velocity occurs where there is Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
greater advection of cyclonic (positive) geostrophic Exposition: At this speed, an air parcel would take
vorticity by the thermal wind. Greater upward ve- 7.6 h to travel from the ground to the tropopause.
locity favors clouds and heavier precipitation. Also,
[
by moving air upward from the surface, it reduces OPSUI
the pressure under it, causing the surface low to LN
move toward that location and deepen. B
Weather maps can be used to determine the loca-
tion and magnitude of the maximum upward mo-
tion. The idealized map of Fig. 13.36a shows the
height (z) contours of the 50 kPa isobaric surface, -
of air between the 100 and 50 kPa isobaric surfaces. DPME
Thickness lines are often nearly parallel to surface
fronts, with the tightest packing on the cold side
of the fronts. Recall that thermal wind is parallel -
to the thickness lines, with cold air to the left, and
with the greatest velocity where the thickness lines
are most tightly packed. Thermal wind direction is
represented by the arrows in Fig. 13.36b, with longer
arrows denoting stronger speed. XBSN
Advection is greatest where the area between FBTU
crossing isopleths is smallest (the INFO Box on the
next page explains why). This rule also works for Figure 13.36
(a) Weather at three different pressure heights: (1) 50 kPa heights
advection by the thermal wind. The dotted lines
(solid lines) and trough axis (thick dashed line); (2) surface low
represent the isopleths that drive the thermal wind.
pressure center (L) and fronts; (3) 70 kPa vorticity (shaded).
In Fig. 13.36 the thin black lines around the shaded (b) Trough axis, surface low and fronts, and vorticity shading are
areas are isopleths of vorticity. The solenoid at the identical to Fig. (a). Added are: 100 to 50 kPa thickness (dotted
smallest area between these crossing isopleths indi- lines), thermal wind vectors (arrows), and region of maximum
cates the greatest vorticity advection by the thermal positive vorticity advection by the thermal wind (rectangular
wind, and is outlined by a rectangular box. For this box). It is within this box that the omega equation gives the
greatest updraft speed, which support cyclogenesis.
458 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
5$
Upon integrating over pressure from p = 100 to 50
kPa:
∂ω −2 → →
∂p
= (
· V TH • ∇ p ζ g + ( fc / 2)
fo
)
where the definition of thermal wind V TH is used, 1
along with the mean value theorem for the last term.
The hydrostatic eq. is used to convert the LHS: L1B
∂ω / ∂p = ∂W / ∂z . The whole eq. is then integrated
over height, with W = Wmid at z = ∆z (= 100 - 50 kPa
thickness) and W = 0 at z = 0.
This gives Wmid =
TPVUI
−2 · ∆z
UTH
(
∆ ζ g + ( f c / 2) )
+ VTH
(
∆ ζ g + ( f c / 2) )
fc ∆x ∆y XFTU FBTU
Fig. h. Solid lines are isobars. Grey dashed lines are iso-
But fc varies with y, not x. The result is eq. (13.28). therms. Greatest temperature advection is at shaded tile.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 459
"UMBOUJD
0DFBO
particular example, the greatest updraft would be
expected within this box. 1BDJGJD 5IJDL
0DFBO .FYJDP (VMGPG.FYJDP XBSN
Such updrafts would create bad weather (clouds and s t r o p h i c LN - å[
precipitation), and would encourage cyclogenesis in wind in $PME
Fig. i(a) is
the region outlined by the white box. LN
advecting NT
Near the surface low center (marked by the X in
slower
Fig. 13.37) is weak negative vorticity advection. This w i n d +FU
st roph ic
scale regions of updraft and the associated cyclogen-
wind by LN
[ - å[
esis, cloudiness and precipitation. However, in the $PME
the geo-
derivation of the omega equation (which we did not LN
st roph ic
cover in this book), we neglected components that w i n d
describe the role of ageostrophic motions in helping seems to 9 +FU
to maintain geostrophic balance. The INFO box on undo geo-
the Geostrophic Paradox describes the difficulties st roph ic
of maintaining geostrophic balance in some situa- balance at 8BSN
tions — motivation for Hoskin’s Q-vector approach “X”.
described next. Z )
Y
B
/PSUI C
Q-Vectors
2Z 2WFDUPS Q-vectors allow an alternative method for di-
$ $ $
agnosing vertical velocity that does not neglect as
many terms.
2Y % % %
Defining Q-vectors
8FTU
&BTU
$
∆Vg is the magnitude of the geostrophic difference
vector from the previous paragraph. Thus, greater Z
5
changes of geostrophic wind in stronger baroclinic Y
zones have larger Q-vectors. Furthermore, Q-vector
magnitude increases with the decreasing pressure P
PM
$
7H
found at increasing altitude.
FO
E
Using Q-vectors / Forecasting Tips
Different locations usually have different Q-vec-
åT
N
tors, as sketched in Fig. 13.40 for a 1994 event. In-
BS
8
terpret Q-vectors on a synoptic weather map as fol-
lows: 7H
TU
(Fig. 13.41 gives an example for the 1994 event).
BS
U
• Subsidence (downward motion) occurs where Q- 7HTUBSU
7HFOE
vectors diverge.
• Frontogenesis occurs where Q-vectors cross
isentropes (lines of constant potential tempera- Z
2WFDUPS
ture) from cold toward warm. Y
• Updrafts in the TROWAL region ahead of a warm
occluded front occur during cyclolysis where the Figure 13.39
along-isentrope component of Q-vectors con- Illustration of natural coordinates for Q-vectors. Dashed grey
verge. lines are isotherms. Aircraft flies along the isotherms with cold
air to its left. Black arrows are geostrophic wind vectors. Grey
Using the tricks for visually recognizing patterns arrow indicates Q-vector direction (but not magnitude).
of vectors on weather maps (Fig. 13.38b), you can iden-
tify by eye regions of convergence and divergence
in Fig. 13.40. Or you can let the computer analyze
the Q-vectors directly to plot Q-vector convergence
and divergence (Fig. 13.41). Although Figs. 13.40 and
13.41 are analysis maps of current weather, you can
instead look at Q-vector forecast maps as produced
automatically by numerical weather prediction
models (see the NWP chapter) to help you forecast
regions of updraft, clouds, and precipitation.
Remember that Q-vector convergence indicates
regions of likely synoptic-scale upward motion and
associated clouds and precipitation. Looking at Fig.
13.41, see a moderate convergence region running
from the western Gulf of Mexico up through eastern
Louisiana and southern Mississippi. It continues
as a weak convergence region across Alabama and
Georgia, and then becomes a strong convergence
region over West Virginia, Virginia and Maryland.
A moderate convergence region extend northwest
toward Wisconsin.
This interpretation agrees with the general loca-
tions of radar echoes of precipitation for this 1994
event. Note that the frontal locations need not cor-
respond to the precipitation regions. This demon- 65$
strates the utility of Q-vectors — even when the up- 'FC
drafts and precipitation are not exactly along a front, L1B2WFDUPST TDBMFYmNpTmpLHm
you can use Q-vectors to anticipate the bad-weather
regions. Figure 13.40 (Not the 2014 case study.)
Weather map of Q-vectors. (o means small magnitude.)
462 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
Fall
Tendency of Sea-level Pressure
Mass Budget
Because sea-level pressure depends on the weight
of all the air molecules above it, a falling surface
pressure must correspond to a removal of air mol-
ecules from the air column above the surface. An
accounting of the total number of molecules in an
air column is called a mass budget.
Imagine a column of air over 1 m2 of the Earth’s B
C
PVU PVU
surface, as sketched in Fig. 13.43a. Suppose there is a
weightless leaf (grey rectangle in that figure) that can SDPOTU So
move up and down with velocity Wmid in response
to movement of air molecules in the column. Pick 8 NJE m 8 NJE m
two arbitrary heights above and below the leaf, and
consider the air densities at these heights. Because SDPOTU So
air is compressible, the density (ρ2) below the leaf is 9
greater than the density (ρ1) above the leaf. But we JO PGG
1TGDDPOTU 1TGDo
will focus mostly on how the densities at these fixed
altitudes change for the following scenarios.
D
E
B
C
D
Latent Heating
)JHI )JHI
Water vapor might condense into drops or de-
posit into ice crystals at some heights within an air 1
L1B
'1( '1(
column — releasing latent heat and warming the
column. If some of these precipitation particles
DPPM
DPPM
DPPM
XBSN
∆Tv a Lv ρliq
= · · · RR (13.38)
∆t ∆z Cp ρair
Figure 13.44
Illustration of diabatic heating. (a) Initial condition of cool air
where RR is rainfall rate (mm h–1), Tv is average air- in the column. Green lines are isobars. (b) A deep cloud causes
column virtual temperature, a = 10 –6 km mm–1, ∆z warming in the center of the air column due to latent heating,
is depth of the air column (km), the ratio of latent with precipitation falling out of the bottom of the column (repre-
heat of vaporization to specific heat of air is Lv/Cp = sented by black rain drops). But the outside of the air column is
2500 K·kgair /kgliq, and where (ρair , ρliq ) are air and not heated (contains no clouds) and remains cool. The thickness
liquid-water densities, respectively, with ρliq = 1000 between isobaric surfaces is thicker in warm air than cool. This
causes pressure gradient forces (FPG, purple arrows) from warm
kg m–3).
to the cold air. These forces drive winds that remove air mol-
But the hypsometric equation relates pressure
ecules from high pressure into lower pressure. (c) The resulting
changes to temperature changes (Fig. 13.44). Thus, reduction of air mass in the warm core reduces sea-level pres-
eq. (13.38) and the hypsometric equation can be sure (Low; i.e., cyclogenesis), and adds mass into the cool-air
merged to give: regions (creating sea-level highs).
466 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
$BOBEB
∆Ps g L
= − · v · ρliq · RR •(13.39)
∆t Tv Cp
L
for an air column with average virtual temperature
(Kelvin) of Tv (≈ 300 K), and where gravitational ac-
celeration magnitude is |g| = 9.8 m·s–2. Although
latent heating and cooling might occur at different
"UMBOUJD
0DFBO
heights within the air column, eq. (13.39) describes
the net column-average effect.
For a typical value of Tv , eq. (13.39) reduces to:
1BDJGJD
.FYJDP
0DFBO (VMGPG.FYJDP
∆Ps
≈ −b · RR •(13.40)
1SFDJQJUBUJPO NNI
BDDVNCZ65$
"QS ∆t
Figure 13.45 g Lv
with factor b = · ·ρliq ≈ 0.082 kPa mmrain–1 .
Precipitation (liquid equivalent) measured with rain gauges. Tv Cp
You can estimate rainfall rate with weather radar,
or you can measure it with rain gauges. Fig. 13.45
shows measured precipitation liquid-equivalent
Sample Application depth (after melting any snow) for the case-study
For the maximum contoured precipitation rate for storm.
the case-study storm (in Fig. 13.45), find the diabatic
heating contribution to sea-level pressure tendency.
Net Pressure Tendency
Find the Answer The previous heuristic models for horizontal
Given: RR = 60 mm/24 h advection (horiz. adv.) and boundary-layer pump-
Find: ∆Ps/∆t = ? kPa h–1 ing (B.L.Pumping) and upper-level divergence
(U.L.Diverg.) and latent heating can be combined
First, convert RR from 24 h to 1 hr:
within the framework of Fig. 13.46 to give an equa-
RR = 2.5 mm h–1
tion for sea-level net pressure tendency:
Use eq. (13.40): •(13.41)
∆Ps/∆t = –(0.082 kPa/mmrain)·(2.5 mm h–1) ∆Ps ∆P
= –0.205 kPa h–1 = − Mc s + g · ρBL · WBL − g · ρmid · Wmid − b·RR
∆t ∆s
Check: Physics, magnitude & units are reasonable. tendency = horiz. adv. & B.L.Pumping & U.L.Diverg. & heating
Exposition: This deepening rate corresponds to 4.9
kPa day–1 — large enough to be classified as a cyclone where (ρBL, ρmid) and (WBL, Wmid) are the average air
“bomb”. densities and vertical velocities at boundary-layer
top and mid-troposphere, respectively. The air-col-
umn horizontal translation speed is Mc (defined as
[ positive for the average movement direction along
path s). RR is rainfall rate at the surface, |g| = 9.8
KFUTUSFBNEJWFSHFODF m·s–2 is gravitational-acceleration magnitude, and
% b ≈ 0.082 kPa/mmrain. Cyclogenesis occurs when
∆Ps/∆t is negative.
VQXBSE We can create a toy model of cyclone evolution
NPUJPO using the equation above. Initially (time A in Fig.
13.47a) there is no extratropical cyclone. But if there
CPVOEBSZ is a Rossby wave in the jet stream, then we can an-
$
MBZFSQVNQJOH ticipate horizontal divergence aloft (at the altitude of
Y
the tropopause) at a horizontal location east of the
- upper-level trough. As this upper-level divergence
Figure 13.46 removes air molecules from the air column under-
Sketch of coupling between convergence (C) in the boundary
neath it, sea-level pressure begins to decrease (time
layer and divergence (D) in the upper atmosphere. Arrows rep-
B in Fig. 13.47).
resent winds. L is location of low-pressure center at surface.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 467
JUBUJPO Condensation
OPSUI QSFDJQ
SFHJPO As discussed in the quasi-geostrophic vorticity
subsection, divergence of the upper-level winds east
X
HF
PM
Temperature Advection
Cyclone intensification can also occur when
warm air exists slightly west from the Rossby-wave
ridge axis, as sketched in Fig. 13.49. For this situa-
8BSN tion, warm air advects into the region just west of
the upper-level ridge, causing ridge heights to in-
crease. Also cold air advects under the upper-level
DPMEBJS XBSNBJS FBTU trough, causing heights to fall there.
BEWFDUJPO BEWFDUJPO
Figure 13.49
50 kPa chart showing a temperature field (shaded) that is 1/4
wavelength west of the wave in the height contours (solid lines).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 469
OPSUI
X
USPVH
OF
I
PME
OFX
PME
OFX
SJEHF
E
PM
B
7HFOE
$PME
FBTU
Figure 13.50
50 kPa chart showing the westward shift and intensification of ) - )
north-south wave amplitude caused by differential temperature
advection.
Z 7HTUBSU 8BSN
Y
The net result is intensification of the Rossby-
C
B
$PME B
Z
Y
-
) - ) EFTDFOEJOHDPPM
ESZBJS
8BSN
5$
DF
Z FO
G MV
EJ G
Y
C
UJPO
$PME GPS NB
EF
) - )
Y
-
In addition, convergence into lows pulls the iso-
EFTDFOEJOHDPPM
therms closer together, while divergence around
ESZBJS
highs tends to push isotherms further apart. The
combination of rotation and convergence/diver- 2WFDUPS
gence tends to pack the isotherms into frontal zones
near lows, and spread isotherms into somewhat ho- 2WFDUPS
mogeneous airmasses at highs (Fig. 13.52b).
EPXO
Much of the first part of this chapter showed
2
(grey shaded in Fig. 13.54), with the cold front, occlud- cools adiabatically, clouds and orographic precipita-
ed front, and a short stub of a warm front. tion form over the mountains (indicated by “m” in
As the cyclone translates further eastward, its Fig. 13.54). Sometimes the cold front stalls (stops ad-
translation speed often slows and the low center vancing) while the pre-frontal jet continues to pump
turns northward toward the cold waters in the Gulf moisture toward the mountains. This atmospheric-
of Alaska — a cyclone graveyard where lows go to river situation causes extremely heavy precipitation
die. In the late occluded phase, satellite images show and flooding.
a characteristic “cinnamon roll” cloud structure, such Fig. 13.55 shows an expanded view of the Van-
as sketched with grey shading for cyclone L2. couver, Seattle, Victoria region (corresponding to the
For cyclone L2, when the cold front progresses lower-right “m” from Fig. 13.54). Low-altitude winds
over the complex mountainous terrain of the Pacific split around the Olympic Mountains, only to con-
Northwest (British Columbia, Washington, Oregon), verge (thick dashed line) in a region of heavy rain or
the front becomes much more disorganized and dif-
snow called the Olympic Mountain Convergence
ficult to recognize in satellite and surface weather
Zone (also known as the Puget Sound Conver-
observations (as indicated with the dashed line over
British Columbia). gence Zone in the USA). The windward slopes of
The remaining portion of L2’s cold front still over mountain ranges often receive heavy orographic pre-
the Pacific often continues to progress toward the cipitation (dotted ovals), while in between is often a
southeast as a “headless” front (seemingly detached rain shadow of clearer skies and less precipitation.
from its parent cyclone L2).
$P $BOBEB
BT
U.
/ 3B 3B UOT
JO JO
4
) /
7B
OD
IB
EP
PV
WF X $BOBEB
/ 3B S
JO *T r7BODPVWFS
MB
OE
-
N
64"
- N
7JDUPSJBr
$BTDBEF.UOT
/ /
0MZNQJD
) POTIPSF
.UOT r4FBUUMF
GMPX
64"
8 8 8
8
8
/
)VNJE
8
) ) Figure 13.55
Zoomed view of the Pacific Northwest. Pacific Ocean,
Figure 13.54 sounds, and straits are white, while higher terrain is shaded
Sketch of occluding mid-latitude cyclones approaching the darker. Arrows represent low-altitude wind.
Pacific Northwest coast of N. America.
(continues in next column)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 473
B4. Find weather maps of common cyclogenesis lo- B14. Get a map of isotachs for the 20 or 30 kPa iso-
cations and storm tracks. baric surface. Label the quadrants of relative to the
jet-streak axis. Suggest locations where cyclogenesis
B5. Get weather maps that display how a cyclone is favored. At one of those regions, calculate verti-
is affected as it moves over large mountain ranges, cal velocity in the mid-troposphere that would be
such as the North American Coast Range, Rocky caused by divergence in the jet-streak winds.
Mountains, Cascade Mountains, or other significant
range in the world (as assigned by your instructor). B15. Get a map of geopotential height on an iso-
baric surface of 20 or 30 kPa. Comment on how the
B6. Draw on a map the path of a cyclone center, packing of heights changes as the jet stream flows in
and encircle regions on that map experiencing bad troughs and ridges.
weather (heavy rains, blizzards, windstorms, etc.).
B16. Capture a radar reflectivity image (perhaps
B7. Get maps showing cyclone bombs, and discuss a composite from many radars) that show the dis-
their life cycle. tribution of dBZ around an extratropical cyclone.
Comment on the amount of sea-level pressure ten-
B8. Get upper-air weather maps (such as at 30 or 20 dency due to latent-heating in different parts of the
kPa) showing wind isotachs or geopotential height cyclone.
contours. Use these maps to identify Rossby wave
lengths and amplitudes. B17. The case-study in this textbook showed weather
maps of typical variables and fields often employed
B9. Using the maps from exercise B8, measure the by meteorologists. Get and comment on the value
radius-of-curvature of troughs, and combine with of weather maps of other types of fields or variables,
wind-speed information to calculate vorticity. as you can acquire from national weather services or
weather research centers.
B10. Get geopotential height and temperature maps
for the 70 or 85 kPa isobaric surfaces. Use the meth- B18. Find a web site that produces maps of Q-vec-
od of crossing isopleths to identify which point on tors or Q-vector divergence. Print this map and a
the map has the largest temperature advection. normal surface weather map with fronts, and dis-
cuss how you would anticipate the cyclone to evolve
B11. Get geopotential height and vorticity maps on based on a Q-vector analysis.
the 50 kPa isobaric surface. Identify points on the
map that have the largest positive vorticity advection
474 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
A15. Using Fig. 13.15, find the most extreme value A23. Use the ageostrophic right-hand rule to find
horizontal divergence (10 –5 s–1) at 20 kPa over the the ageostrophic wind direction for the data of the
following USA state: previous problem.
a. MI b. WI c. IL d. IN e. TN f. GA
g. MS h. AB i. KY j. PA k. NY l. SC A24. Using the data from A22, find the updraft
speed (m s–1) into a 4 km thick layer at the top of
A16. Find the vertical velocity (m s–1) at altitude 9 the troposphere, assuming the half-width of the jet
km in an 11 km thick troposphere, if the divergence streak is 200 km.
(10 –5 s–1) given below occurs within a 2 km thick
layer within the top of the troposphere. A25. Suppose that the thickness of the 100 - 50 kPa
a. 0.2 b. 1 c. 1.5 d. 2 e. 3 f. 4 g. 5 h. 6 layer is 5.5 km and the Coriolis parameter is 10 –4 s–1.
i. –0.3 j.–0.7 k. –1.8 l. –2.2 m. –3.5 n. –5 A 20 m s–1 thermal wind from the west blows across
a domain of x dimension given below in km. Across
A17. Jet-stream inflow is 30 m s–1 in a 4 km thick lay- that domain in the x-direction is a decrease of cy-
er near the top of the troposphere. Jet-stream out- clonic relative vorticity of 3x10 –4 s–1. What is the
flow (m s–1) given below occurs 800 km downwind value of mid-tropospheric ascent velocity (m s–1),
within the same layer. Find the vertical velocity (m based on the omega equation?
s–1) at the bottom of that layer a. 200 b. 300 c. 400 d. 500 e. 600
a. 35 b. 40 c. 45 d. 50 e. 55 f. 60 g. 65 f. 700 g. 800 h. 900 i. 1000 j. 1100
h. 70 i. 30 j. 25 k. 20 l. 15 m. 10 n. 5 k. 1200 l. 1300 m. 1400 n. 1400
A18. Find the diagonal distance (km) from trough to A26. On the 70 kPa isobaric surface, ∆Ug/∆x = (4 m
crest in a jet stream for a wave of 750 km amplitude s–1)/(500 km) and ∆T/∆x = ___°C/(500 km), where the
with wavelength (km) of: temperature change is given below. All other gradi-
a. 1000 b. 1300 c. 1600 d. 2000 e. 2200 ents are zero. Find the Q-vector components Qx, Qy,
f. 2500 g. 2700 h. 3000 i. 3100 j. 3300 and the magnitude and direction of Q.
k. 3800 l. 4100 m. 4200 n. 4500 a. 1 b. 1.5 c. 2 d. 2.5 e. 3 f. 3.5 g. 4
h. 4.5 i. 5 j. 5.5 k. 6 l. 6.5 m. 7 n. 7.5
A19. Given the data from the previous exercise, find
the radius (km) of curvature near the crests of a si- A27. Find Q-vector magnitude on the 85 kPa isobaric
nusoidal wave in the jet stream. surface if the magnitude of the horizontal tempera-
ture gradient is 5°C/200 km, and the magnitude of
A20. Find the gradient-wind speed difference (m s–1) the geostrophic-wind difference-vector component
between the jet-stream speed moving through the (m s–1) along an isotherm is __ /200 km, where __
anticyclonic crest of a Rossby wave in the N. Hemi- is:
sphere and the jet-stream speed moving through the a. 1 b. 1.5 c. 2 d. 2.5 e. 3 f. 3.5 g. 4
trough. Use data from the previous 2 exercises, and h. 4.5 i. 5 j. 5.5 k. 6 l. 6.5 m. 7 n. 7.5
assume a geostrophic wind speed of 75 m s–1 for a
wave centered on latitude 40°N. A28. Find the mass of air over 1 m2 of the Earth’s
surface if the surface pressure (kPa) is:
A21. Given the data from the previous 3 exercises. a. 103 b. 102 c. 101 d. 99 e. 98 f. 97 g. 96
Assuming that the gradient-wind speed difference h. 95 i. 93 j. 90 k. 85 l. 80 m. 75 n. 708
476 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
A29. Assume the Earth’s surface is at sea level. Find E8. Why are there no extratropical cyclone tracks
the vertical velocity (m s–1) at height 3 km above from east to west in Fig. 13.5?
ground if the change of surface pressure (kPa) dur-
ing 1 hour is: E9. Contrast the climatology of cyclone formation
a. –0.5 b. –0.4 c. –0.3 d. –0.2 e. –0.1 f. 0.1 and tracks in the Northern vs. Southern Hemisphere
g. 0.2 h. 0.4 i. 0.6 j. 0.8 k. 1.0 l. 1.2 m. 1.4 (using the info in Fig. 13.5), and explain why there
is a difference in behaviors based on the dynamical
A30. Given the rainfall (mm) accumulated over a principles in the last half of the chapter.
day. If the condensation that caused this precipita-
tion occurred within a cloud layer of thickness 6 km, E10. Justify why the tank illustration in Fig. 13.6 is a
then find the virtual-temperature warming rate (°C good analogy to atmospheric flow between cyclones
day–1) of that layer due to latent heat release. and anticyclones.
a. 1 b. 50 c. 2 d. 45 e. 4 f. 40 g. 5
h. 35 i. 7 j. 30 k. 10 l. 25 m. 15 n. 20 E11. Fig. 13.7 shows the axis of low pressure tilting
westward with increasing height. Explain why this
A31. For the data in the previous exercise, find the tilt is expected. (Hints: On which side of the cy-
rate of decrease of surface pressure (kPa) per hour, clone do you expect the warm air and the cold air?
assuming an average air temperature of 5°C. The hypsometric equation in Chapter 1 tells us how
fast pressure decreases with height in air of differ-
ent temperatures.)
Evaluate & Analyze E12. Redraw Fig. 13.7 a & b for the Southern Hemi-
E1. Compare the similarities and differences be-
sphere, by extending your knowledge of how cy-
tween cyclone structure in the Northern and South-
clones work in the Northern Hemisphere.
ern Hemisphere?
E13. Regarding stacking and tilting of low pressure
E2. In the Cyclogenesis & Cyclolysis section is a list
with altitude, make a photocopy of Fig. 13.3, and on
of conditions that favor rapid cyclogenesis. For any
this copy for Figs. b and e draw the likely position
3 of those bullets, explain why they are valid based
of the trough axis near the top of the troposphere.
on the dynamical processes that were described in
Justify your hypothesis.
the last half of the chapter.
E14. Fig. 13.8 shows a warm-air conveyor bring air
E3. For a cyclone bomb, are the winds associated
from the tropics. Assuming this air has high hu-
with that cyclone in geostrophic equilibrium? Hints:
midity, explain how this conveyor helps to strength-
consider the rate of air-parcel acceleration, based on
en the cyclone. Using dynamical principles from the
Newton’s 2nd Law. Namely, can winds accelerate
last half of the chapter to support your explanation.
fast enough to keep up with the rapidly increasing
pressure gradient?
E15. Fig. 13.10a has coarse temporal resolution when
it shows the evolution of the case-study cyclone.
E4. Make a photocopy of Fig. 13.3. For each one of
Based on your knowledge of cyclone evolution,
the figure panels on this copy, infer the centerline
draw two weather maps similar to Fig. 13.10a, but
position of the jet stream and draw it on those dia-
for 12 UTC 3 Apr 2014 and 00 UTC 4 Apr 2014.
grams.
E16. Speculate on why the hail reports in Fig. 13.9
E5. Create a 6-panel figure similar to Fig. 13.3, but
are mostly in different regions than the wind-dam-
for cyclone evolution in the Southern Hemisphere.
age reports.
E6. Justify the comment that cyclone evolution obeys
E17. From the set of case-study maps in Figs. 13.9
Le Chatelier’s Principle.
through 13.19, if you had to pick 3 maps to give you
the best 5-D mental picture of the cyclones, which 3
E7. Refer back to the figure in the General Circu-
would you pick? Justify your answer.
lation chapter that sketches the position of moun-
tain ranges in the world. Use that information to
E18. Of the following isosurfaces (height, pressure,
hypothesize favored locations for lee cyclogenesis in
thickness, and potential temperature), which one
the world, and test your hypothesis against the data
seems the most peculiar (unusual, illogical) to you?
in Fig. 13.5.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 477
What questions would you want to ask to help you E28. Considering the terrain height changes, would
learn more about that one isosurface? anticyclones be triggered upwind of mountain rang-
es, analogous to lee-side cyclogenesis? Justify your
E19. Starting with a photocopy of the 4 height charts answer, and discuss how you can confirm if this
in the left column of Figs. 13.13, use a different color happens in the real atmosphere.
pen/pencil for each isobaric surface, and trace all
the height contours onto the same chart. Analyze E29. Suppose that all of North America is nearly at
the tilt with height of the axis of low pressure, and sea level, except for a 2 km deep valley that is 500
explain why such tilt does or does not agree with the km wide, running north-south across the center of
state of cyclone evolution at that time. North America (assume the valley is not filled with
water). Explain what Rossby waves would be trig-
E20. Compare and contrast the 85 kPa temperature gered, and the associated weather downwind.
map of Fig. 13.14 with the thickness map of Fig. 13.16
for the case-study storm. Why or why not would E30. Summer tropopause height is higher, and jet-
you expect them to be similar? stream winds are slower, than in winter. Explain
the seasonal differences you would expect in ter-
E21. Compare the wind vectors of Fig. 13.13 with rain-triggered Rossby waves, if any.
the heights in Fig. 13.13. Use your understanding of
wind dynamics to explain the relationship between E31. If extratropical cyclones tend to propagate
the two maps. equatorward on the lee side of mountain ranges, is
there any geographic feature that would cause these
E22. In the vertical cross section of Fig. 13.19a, why storms to propagate poleward? Justify.
are the isentropes packed more closely together in
the stratosphere than in the troposphere? Also, why E32. Fig. 13.22 highlights 3 important attributes of
is the tropopause higher on the right side of that cyclones that are discussed in greater detail in the
figure? [Hints: Consider the standard atmosphere last half of the chapter. Speculate on why we study
temperature profile from Chapter 1. Consider the these attributes separately, even though the caption
General Circulation chapter.] to that figure discusses how all 3 attributes are re-
lated.
E23. Describe the relationship between the surface
values of isentropes in Fig. 13.19a and the tempera- E33. For cyclogenesis we focused on three attributes:
ture values along cross-section A - A’ in Fig. 13.14 vertical velocity, vorticity, and pressure-tendency at
(bottom left). sea level. What attributes would you want to focus
on to anticipate cyclolysis? Explain.
E24. In Fig. 13.20, how would lee cyclogenesis be af-
fected if the tropopause perfectly following the ter- E34. Three vorticity tilting terms are given in eq.
rain elevation? Explain. (13.9), but just the first tilting term was illustrated in
Fig. 13.23d. Draw figures for the other two terms.
E25. In Fig. 13.20, speculate on why the particular
set of Rossby waves discussed in that section are E35. Except for the last term in the full vorticity ten-
known as “stationary” waves. dency equation, all the other terms can evaluate to
be positive or negative (i.e., gain or loss of relative
E26. Can “stationary” Rossby waves such as in Fig. vorticity). What is it about the mathematics of the
13.20 occur near the equator? If so, what are their turbulent drag term in that equation that always
characteristics? make it a loss of relative vorticity?
E27. Given zonal flow of the whole troposphere (12 E36. Based on what you learned from Fig. 13.24,
km depth) hitting a semi-infinite plateau at 32°N what tips would you teach to others to help them
latitude. Use math to explain the flow behavior over easily find regions of PVA and NVA.
the plateau, assuming a 2 km plateau height above
sea level. Assume the tropopause height doesn’t E37. Make a diagram that shows vertical advection
change. Would the triggering of cyclones, and the of vorticity, similar to the drawing in Fig. 13.23a.
wavelength of planetary waves be different? Why?
Can you relate your answer to weather over the Ti- E38. If drag were the only non-zero term on the right
betan Plateau? side of eq. (13.9), then how would vorticity change
478 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
with time if initially the flow had some amount of E50. Consider a steady, straight jet stream from west
positive vorticity? to east. Instead of a jet streak of higher wind speed
imbedded in the jet stream, suppose the jet streak
E39. Devise a tilting term for vertical vorticity that has lower wind speed imbedded in the jet stream.
is tilted into horizontal vorticity. For the right and left entrance and exit regions to
this “slow” jet streak, describe which ones would
E40. For what situations might the quasi-geostroph- support cyclogenesis at the surface.
ic approximation be useful, and for what situations
would it be inappropriate? E51. Does the “Ageostrophic right-hand rule” work
in the Southern Hemisphere too? Justify your an-
E41. The quasi-geostrophic vorticity equation in- swer based on dynamical principles.
cludes a term related to vorticity advection by the
geostrophic wind. The omega equation has a term E52. Eq. (13.25) was for a west wind, and eq. (13.26)
related to vorticity advection by the thermal wind. was for a south wind. What method would you use
Contrast these terms, and how they provide infor- to estimate ageostrophic wind if the wind was from
mation about cyclogenesis. the southwest?
E42. Employ Figs. 13.9 - 13.19 to estimate as many E53. Fig. 13.34 suggests low-altitude convergence of
vorticity-tendency terms as reasonably possible for air toward cyclones (lows), rising motion, and high-
that case study event, on the 50 kPa isobaric surface altitude divergence. Is this sketch supported by the
at the location of the “X”. case-study data from Figs. 13.15, 13.25, and 13.26?
E43. Create a “toy model” similar to Fig. 13.27, but E54. The green arrows showing near-surface winds
focus on the vorticity effects east of the ridge axis. are plotted in Fig. 13.34 as a component of the sec-
Use this to help explain anticyclogenesis. ondary circulation. What drives these near-surface
winds? (Hint: Recall that winds are driven by forc-
E44. If nothing else changes except latitude, explain es, according to Newton.)
the relationship between Rossby-wave radius-of-
curvature and latitude. E55. a. Use Figs. 12.12 from the Fronts & Airmasses
chapter to find the location where horizontal tem-
E45. Why does jet-stream curvature contribute to perature advection is greatest near a warm front. b.
surface cyclogenesis east of the jet trough axis rather Similar questions but using Fig. 12.11 for cold fronts.
than west of the trough axis? Hint: Use the technique shown in the INFO box for
max advection in Chapter 13.
E46. In the Forces and Winds chapter you saw that
the horizontal pressure gradient and wind speeds E56. Discuss how Fig. 13.37 relates to the omega
are weak. Does this physical constraint influence equation, and how the figure and equation can be
the possible strength of the jet-stream curvature ef- used to locate regions that favor cyclogenesis.
fect for cyclogenesis?
E57. Create a new form for the omega equation,
E47. At the “X” in Fig. 13.30, use the information based on:
plotted on that map to estimate how the jet-stream a. the change of geostrophic wind with height;
curvature and jet-streak processes influence changes b. the temperature change in the horizontal.
to sea-level pressure and ascent speed in the middle Hint: The horizontal-temperature gradient is relat-
of the troposphere. ed to the geostrophic-wind vertical gradient by the
thermal-wind relationship.
E48. Make a photo copy of Fig. 13.18. Using the jet-
stream curvature and jet-streak information that E58. What steps and assumptions must you make to
you can estimate from the height contours, draw on change eq. (13.28 into eq. (13.29)?
your copy the locations in the Northern Hemisphere
where cyclogenesis is favored. E59. Would the omega equation give any verti-
cal motion for a situation having zero temperature
E49. For the jet-streak illustration of Fig. 13.32b, ex- gradient in the horizontal (i.e., zero baroclinicity)?
plain why two of the quadrants have weaker conver- Why?
gence or divergence than the other two quadrants.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 479
E60. What role does inertia play in the “geostrophic E71. Use Fig. 13.52 to explain why fronts are associ-
paradox”? ated with cyclones and not anticyclones. The same
figure can be used to explain why airmasses are as-
E61. Suppose that the 85 kPa geostrophic wind vec- sociated with anticyclones. Discuss.
tors are parallel to the height contours in Fig. 13.13
for the case-study storm. Use that information along E72. If global baroclinicity is absent (e.g., no air-
with the 85 kPa isotherms in Fig. 13.14 to estimate temperature gradient between the equator and the
the direction of the Q-vectors at the center of the fol- poles), could there be cyclogenesis? Why?
lowing USA state:
a. IL b. IA c. MO d. KS e. AR E73. Explain how the up- and down-couplet of air
motion in Fig. 13.53c (as diagnosed using Q-vectors),
E62. Use the Q-vector approach to forecast where works in a way to strengthen and propagate the cold
cyclogenesis might occur in the Pacific Northwest front.
USA (in the upper left quadrant of Figs. 13.40 and
13.41). E74. Use a Q-vector analysis to speculate on the dy-
namics needed to cause warm fronts to strengthen
E63. In Fig. 13.43 we showed have the vertical speeds and propagate.
of the “leaf” in the air column could be a surrogate
for changes in mass and surface pressure. Discuss E75. Synthesize a coherent description of the dy-
the pros and cons of that approach. namics of the case-study cyclone, based on informa-
tion from the weather maps that help you estimate
E64. If rainfall rate (RR) affects surface pressure, ascent, spin-up, and sea-level pressure tendency.
and weather-radar echo intensity (dBZ) can be used
to estimate rainfall rate, then devise an equation for E76. Compare and contrast the Pacific cyclones of
surface-pressure change as a function of dBZ. Fig. 13.54 with the case-study cyclone of Figs. 13.13
- 13.15.
E65. Considering surface-pressure tendency, what
cyclogenesis information can be gained from Dop-
pler velocities measured by weather radar? State the
Synthesize
limitations of such an approach.
S1. Consider Fig. 13.6. What if frictional drag is zero
at the bottom of the atmosphere (in the boundary
E66. Are there situations for which cyclolysis (quan-
layer). Describe differences in the resulting climate
tified by sea-level pressure tendency) might be
and weather.
caused by latent heating. Justify your arguments.
S2. What if the case-study cyclone of Figs. 13.9 - 13.19
E67. In Fig. 13.47, describe the dynamics that makes
occurred in February rather than April, what broad
the time of maximum convergence in the boundary
aspects of the storm data would change, if at all?
layer occur after the time of maximum divergence in
the jet stream, during cyclone evolution.
S3. What if there were no mountain ranges oriented
south-north in North America. Describe differences
E68. Suppose that the temperature wave in Fig. 13.49
in the resulting climate and weather.
was a quarter of a wavelength east of the height
wave. Would the flow differ from that sketched in
S4. What if all south-north mountain ranges disap-
Fig. 13.50? Speculate on how likely it is that the tem-
peared in North America, and were replaced by one
perature wave is shifted this way.
west-east mountain range. Describe differences in
the resulting climate and weather.
E69. Do you think that anticyclones could self de-
velop? Explain what processes could make this hap-
S5. Suppose western North America was cold, and
pen.
eastern North America was warm. Describe the
orientation of baroclinicity, the jet stream, and dif-
E70. Explain why the Q-vector analysis of Fig. 13.51
ferences in resulting climate and weather relative to
indicates the propagation of cyclones is toward the
our actual climate and weather.
east. Also explain why this relates to self-propaga-
tion rather than relating to cyclogenesis driven by
S6. Describe changes to Rossby waves and cyclo-
the jet-stream flow.
genesis for an Earth that rotates twice as fast as the
real Earth.
480 chapter 13 • Extratropical cyclones
S7. How would you numerically solve (iterate) the S9. Describe changes in climate and weather that
quasi-geostrophic omega and vorticity equations to might be expected of stratospheric static stability ex-
step forward in time to forecast those variables. tended all the way to the Earth’s surface.
Next, describe how you could use those forecasts
to estimate the corresponding temperature and S10. Describe possible changes to climate and
wind. Finally, describe the pros and cons of using weather if there were no mid-latitude cyclones.
these quasi-geostrophic equations instead of using
the forecast equations for momentum, heat, water, S11. Suppose the sun turned off, but radioactive de-
continuity, and the ideal gas law (as is done in mod- cay of minerals in the solid earth caused sufficient
ern numerical weather prediction). heat to keep the Earth-system temperature the same
as now. Describe resulting changes to the jet stream,
S8. Accelerations and direction changes of the jet Rossby waves, and weather.
stream create regions of horizontal convergence and
divergence that support cyclogenesis and anticyclo- S12. Re-read this chapter and extract all the forecast-
genesis. What if this happened on a planet where ing tips to create your own concise synoptic-weather
the tropospheric and stratospheric static stability forecast guide.
were nearly the same. Describe the resulting dif-
ferences of climate and weather on that planet com-
pared to Earth.
Fig. 13.56.
Surface weather map for the case-study cyclone, from www.hpc.
ncep.gov/dailywxmap/ .
14 Thunderstorm Fundamentals
Contents
Thunderstorm Characteristics 481 Thunderstorm characteristics, formation, and
Appearance 482 forecasting are covered in this chapter. The next
Clouds Associated with Thunderstorms 482 chapter covers thunderstorm hazards including
Cells & Evolution 484 hail, gust fronts, lightning, and tornadoes.
Thunderstorm Types & Organization 486
Basic Storms 486
Mesoscale Convective Systems 488
Supercell Thunderstorms 492
INFO • Derecho 494
Thunderstorm Formation 496 Thunderstorm Characteristics
Favorable Conditions 496
Key Altitudes 496 Thunderstorms are convective clouds
INFO • Cap vs. Capping Inversion 497 with large vertical extent, often with tops near the
High Humidity in the ABL 499 tropopause and bases near the top of the boundary
INFO • Median, Quartiles, Percentiles 502 layer. Their official name is cumulonimbus (see
Instability, CAPE & Updrafts 503 the Clouds Chapter), for which the abbreviation is
Convective Available Potential Energy 503 Cb. On weather maps the symbol represents
Updraft Velocity 508 thunderstorms, with a dot •, asterisk *, or triangle
Wind Shear in the Environment 509 ∆ drawn just above the top of the symbol to indicate
Hodograph Basics 510 rain, snow, or hail, respectively. For severe thunder-
Using Hodographs 514 storms, the symbol is .
Shear Across a Single Layer 514
Mean Wind Shear Vector 514
Total Shear Magnitude 515
Mean Environmental Wind (Normal Storm Mo-
tion) 516
Supercell Storm Motion 518
Bulk Richardson Number 521
Triggering vs. Convective Inhibition 522
Convective Inhibition (CIN) 523
Triggers 525
Thunderstorm Forecasting 527
Outlooks, Watches & Warnings 528
INFO • A Tornado Watch (WW) 529
Stability Indices for Thunderstorms 530
Review 533
Homework Exercises 533
Broaden Knowledge & Comprehension 533 © Gene Rhoden / weatherpix.com
481
482 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
B
Appearance
BOWJM A mature thunderstorm cloud looks like a mush-
VQESBGU room or anvil with a relatively large-diameter flat
UPXFS top. The simplest thunderstorm (see Figs. 14.1 &
[ SBJO 14.2) has a nearly vertical stem of diameter roughly
EPXOESBGU equal to its depth (of order 10 to 15 km). The large
top is called the anvil, anvil cloud, or thunder-
Y
head, and has the official name incus (Latin for
USPQPQBVTF anvil). The anvil extends furthest in a direction as
VQQFSMFWFM VQESBGU BOWJM
blown by the upper-tropospheric winds.
XJOET
CVCCMF If the thunderstorm top is just starting to spread
out into an anvil and does not yet have a fibrous or
C
streaky appearance, then you identify the cloud as
DMPVEZ
XBLF WJSHB cumulonimbus calvus (see the Clouds Chapter).
[
For a storm with a larger anvil that looks strongly
DMPVE
CBTF BSDDMPVE
glaciated (i.e., has a fibrous appearance associated
BSDDMPVE with ice-crystal clouds), then you would call the
HVTUGSPOU HVTUGSPOU
QSFDJQJUBUJPO Y
cloud a cumulonimbus capillatus.
Within the stem of a mature thunderstorm is the
cloudy main updraft tower topped by an updraft
Z bubble (Fig. 14.2b). When this rising air hits the
BOWJM tropopause, it spreads to make the anvil. Also in
the stem is a downdraft with precipitation. When
D
U
The most violent thunderstorms are called
FN SN
FE
FO
JM
PW UP
supercell storms (Figs. 14.3 & 14.4), and usu- OW
. 4
"
ally have a quasi-steady rotating updraft (called a
mesocyclone). The main thunderstorm updraft 'PSXBSE'MBOL
%PXOESBGU
in supercells sometimes has curved, helical cloud
striations (grooves or ridges) on its outside similar 3BJO ''% 3BJO #FBWFS5BJM
to threads of a screw (Fig. 14.4a). Supercells can pro-
duce intense tornadoes (violently rotating columns
of air), which can appear out of the bottom of an iso-
3FBS'MBOL 5
%PXOESBGU .BJO
lated cylindrical lowering of the cloud base called a 3'% 6QESBGU
wall cloud. The portion of the tornado made vis- 0VUGMPX
5
ible by cloud droplets is called the funnel cloud,
-JOF
#PVOEBSZ
which is the name given to tornadoes not touching -BZFS
8JOET $V
H
DPO
#PVOEBSZ
BO
and most supercell storms do not have tornadoes. SPOU NFE 8JOET
Attached to the base of the wall cloud is some- ( VTU'
times a short, horizontal cloud called a tail cloud, /PSUI
which points towards the forward flank precipi-
tation area. Ragged cloud fragments called scud &BTU LN WJFXQPJOU
(cumulus fractus) often form near the tip of the tail
Figure 14.4b
cloud and are drawn quickly into the tail and the
Plan view (top down) sketch of a classic supercell thunder-
wall cloud by strong winds. storm. T indicates possible tornado positions; RFD = Rear
The wall cloud and tornado are usually near Flank Downdraft; FFD = Forward Flank Downdraft. Regions
the boundary between cold downdraft air and the of updraft are hatched with grey; downdrafts are solid black;
low-level warm moist inflow air, under a somewhat rain is solid light grey. Low surface pressure is found under the
rain-free cloud base. In mesocyclone storms, you updrafts (especially near the “T” locations), and high pressure
can see the wall cloud rotate by eye, while rotation under the downdrafts. Vectors are near-surface winds: cold are
black, warm are grey. From the view point you see Fig. 14.4a.
484 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
Y
Basic Storms
Single-cell Thunderstorms. An airmass thun-
Figure 14.7
Airmass thunderstorm in its mature stage during summer. Grey
derstorm (Figs. 14.1, 14.2 & 14.7) is often a single-
shading represents cloud droplets (except above the –40°C iso- cell thunderstorm with evolution very similar to Fig.
therm, where all hydrometeors are frozen), black dots represent 14.6. It can form in the middle of a warm humid air-
rain, white dots are graupel, dendrite shapes are snow, and small mass, usually in late afternoon. Satellite images of
white rectangles are small ice crystals. Arrows show winds, and airmass thunderstorms show that several often exist
dashed lines give air temperature. at the same time, all with somewhat symmetric an-
vils, and scattered within the airmass analogous to
mushrooms in a meadow. These storms can be trig-
gered by thermals of rising warm air (heated at the
Earth’s surface) that happen to be buoyant enough to
break through the capping inversion at the bound-
ary-layer top.
The lifetime of airmass thunderstorms are
DFMM DFMM about the same as that of an individual cell (30 to
60 minutes), but they can spawn daughter storms as
USPQPQBVTF
WJTJCMFDMPVE sketched in Fig. 14.6. Each can produce a short-dura-
DFMM
tion (15 minutes) rain shower of moderate to heavy
intensity that covers an area of roughly 5 - 10 km
radius. Airmass thunderstorms that produce short-
duration severe weather (heavy precipitation, strong
TUSP
DFMM N
winds, lightning, etc.) during the mature stage are
N
OH
XFBL
PE
WJTJCMFDMPVE [
Multicell Thunderstorms. Most thunderstorms
in North America are multicell storms (Fig. 14.8).
Within a single cloud mass that by eye looks like a
thunderstorm, a weather radar can see many (2 to 5)
48 /& separate cells (Fig. 14.9) by their precipitation cores
and their winds. In a multicell storm, the different
cells are often in different stages of their life cycle.
Figure 14.8
Multicell thunderstorm. Cell 1 is the oldest cell, and is in the
Given weak to moderate wind shear in the environ-
dissipating stage. Cell 2 is mature. Cell 3 is in the cumulus ment, the downburst and gust front from one of the
stage. Cell 4 is the newest and smallest, in an early cumulus mature cells (cell 2 in Fig. 14.8) can trigger new adja-
stage. Shaded regions indicate where we would see clouds and cent cells (namely, cells 3 and 4).
rain by eye. Medium, dark, and very dark shading indicate In central North America where warm humid
weak, moderate (m.), and strong radar echoes inside the clouds, boundary-layer winds often blow from the south-
which generally correspond to light, moderate, and heavy pre- east in the pre-storm environment, new cells often
cipitation. Arrows show low-altitude winds.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 487
Figure 14.10
Figure 14.9. Diagram of multicell thunderstorm motion. Grey shading indi-
Radar reflectivity PPI image of a multicell thunderstorm in cates visible clouds and radar echoes corresponding to Fig. 14.8.
south-central USA, 28 June 2001. Darkest grey indicates > Black arrows show tracks of individual cells. Double-arrow in
50 dBZ; namely, the heaviest precipitation. Cells are circled. grey shows motion of the multicell cloud mass. Each light-grey
Courtesy of the US National Weather Service, NOAA. large oval shows position of the cloud mass every 15 min.
USPQPQBVTF
USBJMJOH
TUSBUJGPSNDMPVET WJSHB
XBSNBJS QSFDJQGSPN
WJSHB BOWJM
TOPX DPOWFDUJWF TUPSN
SFHJPO NPUJPO
SFBSJOGMPXKFU $C
SBJO [
DPMEBJSQPPM
Figure 14.12
Vertical cross section of a mesoscale convective system (MCS).
Mesoscale Convective Systems
Another type of multicell-storm organization is a
mesoscale convective system (MCS). This often
has a narrow line of thunderstorms with heavy pre-
cipitation, followed by additional scattered thunder-
storm cells (Figs. 14.12 & 14.13). The anvils from all
these thunderstorms often merge into a single, large
stratiform cloud shield that trails behind. This
trailing stratiform region has widespread light to
moderate precipitation that contributes about 1/3 of
the total MCS rainfall.
These systems can be triggered by the terrain
Michigan (many form just east of the Rocky Mountains), by
synoptic systems (such as cold fronts), or by the gust
fronts from a smaller number of thunderstorms. To
survive, they need large convective instability and
WI
large wind shear over a deep layer of the environ-
ment. MCSs are responsible for 30 to 70% of pre-
cipitation over central N. America during the warm
Lake season. Some MCSs reach their peak intensity about
Michigan midnight.
Ice crystals falling from the trailing stratiform
clouds melt or partially sublime, and the resulting
rain then continues to partially evaporate on the
way down. This produces a broad region of chilled
Ohio air (due to latent heats of melting, sublimation, and
IL evaporation) that descends to the ground and accu-
Indiana
100 km mulates as a cold-air pool at the surface. The ex-
tra weight of the cold air produces a mesoscale high
pressure (meso-high) at the surface in this region
Figure 14.13. (Fig. 14.14).
Radar reflectivity PPI image of a mesoscale convective system Meanwhile, warm humid boundary-layer air
(MCS) in southern Michigan, USA, on 4 Oct 2002. Dark shad- ahead of the MCS is drawn into the storm by the
ing indicates a line of heavy thunderstorm rain associated with combined effects of buoyancy and wind shear. This
radar reflectivities > 50 dBZ. Ahead and behind this squall line air rises within the imbedded thunderstorm cells,
are broad regions of lighter, stratiform precipitation with im-
and releases latent heat as the water vapor con-
bedded convective cells. Courtesy of the US National Weather
Service, NOAA.
denses. The resulting heating produces a layer of
relatively warm air at mid and upper levels in the
MCS (Fig. 14.14). The top of the anvil is cooled by IR
radiation to space.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 489
DPMEBJS
Sample Application. (Continuation)
)JHI1SFTTVSF For this standard atmosphere outside the MCS,
XBSNBJS use hypsometric eq. (1.26b) to find P vs. z by iterating
upward in steps of ∆z = 250 m from P1 = Psfc = 101.325
-PX kPa at z1 = 0. Assume Tv avg = Tavg = 0.5 ·(T1 + T2) in eq.
SFBSJOGMPXKFU 1SFTTVSF (1.26b) for simplicity (since no humidity information
was given in the problem). Thus (with a = 29.3 m·K–1):
[ DPMEBJS P2 = P1·exp[ (z1 – z2) / (a· 0.5 ·(T1 + T2) ] (1.26b)
)JHI1SFTTVSF
Y (b) Plot ∆T vs. z, from data given in the problem.
TUSBUJ
(a) Assume a standard atmosphere in the environ- GPSN
ment outside the MCS, and calculate Pstd.atm. vs. z. MBZFS
(b) Inside the MCS, assume the temperature TMCS
differs from the Tstd.atm. by: DPME
–12 K for 9 < z ≤ 11 km due to rad. cooling at anvil top; QPPM
+8 K for 4 ≤ z ≤ 9 km due to latent heating in cloud;
–12 K for 0 ≤ z ≤ 2 km in the cold pool of air; m m m
0 K elsewhere. Use Psfc = 101.8 kPa in the MCS. å5 ,
å1 L1B
U
FN SN
FO
F boundary layer increases, the thunderstorms within
WJM
PW UP
"O
. 4
MCSs often weaken and die. Thunderstorms are
more difficult to trigger then, because cold noctur-
'PSXBSE'MBOL
%PXOESBGU nal boundary-layer air resists rising. Also, above the
nocturnal layer is a thin residual layer that has only
3BJO ''% 3BJO #FBWFS5BJM
a small capacity to hold the fuel supply of warm hu-
mid air from the previous day’s mixed layer. As the
3FBS'MBOL 5 MCS rains itself out, all that is left by the next morn-
%PXOESBGU .BJO ing are mid-level stratiform clouds.
3'% 6QESBGU However, the mid-tropospheric mesoscale low-
0VUGMPX
5 pressure region (Fig. 14.14) in the MCS has existed
-JOF
#PVOEBSZ for about half a day by this time, and has developed
-BZFS cyclonic rotation around it due to Coriolis force.
8JOET $V
H
LJO
OU -BZFS
U'SP
NFE
8JOET is called a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV).
(VT The stable boundary layer beneath the MCV reduc-
/PSUI es surface drag, allowing the rotation to persist for
many more hours around the weak low.
LN
&BTU Although these weakly rotating systems are
not violent and often don’t have a circulation at the
Figure 14.18 surface, they can be tracked by satellite during the
Plan view (top down) sketch of a classic supercell in the N. morning and early afternoon as they drift eastward.
Hemisphere (copied from Fig. 14.4b). T indicates possible tor- They are significant because they can enhance new
nado positions; RFD = Rear Flank Downdraft; FFD = Forward thunderstorm formation via weak convergence and
Flank Downdraft. Regions of updraft are hatched with grey; upward motion. Thus, by evening the dying MCV
downdrafts are solid black; rain is solid light grey. Low surface
can change into a new MCS.
pressure is found under the updrafts (especially near the “T”
locations), and high pressure under the downdrafts. Vectors are
surface winds: cold are black, warm are grey. Supercell Thunderstorms
A violent thunderstorm having a rotating updraft
and persisting for hours is called a supercell storm
/PSUI
LN (Figs. 14.3 & 14.4). Its downdraft and surface features
U
FN SN
FO
&BTU
. 4
NEU SBJO
IFBWZ SBJO the whole depth of the thunderstorm.
JM
IB Supercell storms are responsible for the most
WBVMU violent tornadoes (EF3 - EF5, as defined in the next
chapter) and hail, and can have damaging straight-
JOH 5
Q JOH FS SF line winds and intense rain showers causing flash
JN VQQ QIF JOGMPX floods. To support supercells, the pre-storm envi-
T
QP JOE CPVOEBSZ
ronment must have a deep layer of convectively un-
USP X MBZFSXJOET
3'% stable air, and strong wind shear in the bottom 6 km
PVUGMPX of the troposphere.
# Although supercells can have a wide range of
Figure 14.19 characteristics, they are classified into three catego-
Plan view of classic (CL) supercell in the N. Hemisphere. Low ries: low-precipitation (LP) storms, medium pre-
altitude winds are shown with light-grey arrows, high-altitude cipitation or classic (CL) supercells, and high-pre-
winds with black arrows, and ascending/descending air with cipitation (HP) storms. Storms that fall between
short-dashed lines. T indicates tornado location. these categories are called hybrid storms.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 493
F
Also, if strong environmental wind shear causes a
EH
SBJO
F
strongly tilted updraft, then incipient precipitation NEUSBJO
WJ M
PSIBJM
BO
particles are blown downwind away from the rich
''%
supply of smaller supercooled cloud droplets in the
updraft, and thus can’t grow large by collection/ac-
.BJO
cretion. Most of the hydrometeors that form in these 6QESBGU
storms evaporate before reaching the ground; hence 3'%
the name low-precipitation (LP) supercells.
/PSUI
With fewer surrounding low clouds to block the
view, LP storms often look spectacular. You can of-
&BTU LN
ten see the updraft, and can see evidence of its rota-
tion due to cloud striations, curved inflow bands and
possibly a rotating wall cloud. If present, the beaver
Figure 14.20
tail is easily visible. Although rainfall is only light Low-precipitation (LP) supercell thunderstorm in the N. Hemi-
to moderate, LP storms can produce great amounts sphere. FFD = forward flank downdraft; RFD = rear flank
of large-diameter hail. Those LP supercells having downdraft. Often little or no precipitation reaches the ground.
exceptionally strong updrafts produce anvils that The hatched grey region indicates updrafts.
look like a mushroom cloud from a nuclear bomb
explosion.
U
FN SN
FO
striations on the updraft that you can see from a dis-
PW UP
NPEFSBUF
. 4
tance. Also, the smooth-looking beaver-tail clouds SBJO
are most common for HP storms, near the forward-
flank gust front. Much more of the surrounding ''%
IFBWZSBJO
sky is filled with low and mid-level clouds, which IBJM
together with low visibilities makes it difficult to get
CFBWFSUBJM
good views of this storm. 5
3'%
Thunderstorm Formation
Favorable Conditions
Four environmental (pre-storm) conditions are
5SPQPQBVTF needed to form the strong moist convection that is
'BTU8JOE a severe thunderstorm:
$PME"JS"MPGU 1) high humidity in the boundary layer,
8JOE4IFBS
2) nonlocal conditional instability,
3) strong wind shear,
%SZ"JSBU.JE-FWFMT 4) a trigger mechanism to cause lifting of
8JOE4IFBS atmospheric boundary-layer air.
$BQQJOH4UBCMF-BZFS 5SJH [ Fig. 14.22 illustrates these conditions. Meteorolo-
)PU
)VNJE"UN#PVOEBSZ-BZFS HFS gists look for these conditions in the pre-storm en-
Y vironment to help forecast thunderstorms. We will
examine each of these conditions in separate sec-
Figure 14.22 tions. But first, we define key convective altitudes
Atmospheric conditions favorable for formation of strong thun- that we will use in the subsequent sections to better
derstorms. understand thunderstorm behavior.
Key Altitudes
The existence and strength of thunderstorms de-
pends partially on layering and stability in the pre-
storm environment. Thus, you must first obtain an
atmospheric sounding from a rawinsonde bal-
loon launch, numerical-model forecast, aircraft,
dropsonde, satellite, or other source. Morning or
early afternoon are good sounding times, well be-
fore the thunderstorm forms (i.e., pre-storm). The
environmental sounding data usually includes tem-
perature (T), dew-point temperature (Td), and wind
speed (M) and direction (α) at various heights (z) or
pressures (P).
STPSS HLH
&."(3".
[ LN
4USBUPTQIFSF
5SPQPQBVTF [ LN
1 L1B
5SPQPTQIFSF
1 L1B
5
5E
$BQQJOH*OWFSTJPO
.-
m m m
5 $
m m m
5 $
Plot the environmental sounding on a thermo STPSS HLH
[ LN
N
FO
PJ
WJS
TU
circles connected with a thick black solid line, and
B
PO
E
N
Td is plotted as white-filled circles connected with a
JB
FO
1 L1B
C
BU
UB
thick black dashed line. The mixed layer (ML; i.e., TP
M
VO
EJO
the daytime turbulently well-mixed boundary lay- H
er), capping inversion, and tropopause are identified -'$
in Fig. 14.24 using the methods in the Atmospheric
Stability chapter. -$-
[J BE ESZ
Daytime solar heating warms the Earth’s surface. JBC
B
JTPIVNF U
The hot ground heats the air and evaporates soil
moisture into the air. The warm humid air parcels
m m m
rise as thermals in an unstable atmospheric bound-
5 $
[ LN
ing parcel first crosses the environmental sounding LFC that opposes or inhibits the rise of the air parcel,
(Fig. 14.25). In pressure coordinates, use symbol Pi and which must be overcome by the external forcing
to represent the ML top. mechanism. See the section later in this chapter on
If the air parcel were to rise a short distance “Triggering vs. Convective Inhibition” for more de-
above zi, it would find itself cooler than the sur- tails.
rounding environment, and its negative buoyancy
would cause it sink back down into the mixed layer. FO
N
1 L1B
WJS
On many such days, no thunderstorms ever form,
PJ
PO
TU
T
B
OE
JB
JOH
CB
PJ
WJS
UIVOEFSTUPSN
B
ONP
E
JB parcel can become warmer than the surrounding
1 L1B
FO
CBU
UB
VO
EJO
H process. The name of this height is the level of
-'$ free convection (LFC). On a thermo diagram, this
height is where the moist adiabat of the rising air
-$- parcel crosses back to the warm side of the environ-
[J BE
JBCESZ
BU
mental sounding.
JTPIVNF
Above the LFC, the air parcel is positively buoy-
m m ant, causing it to rise and accelerate. The positive
5 $
buoyancy gives the thunderstorm its energy, and if
Figure 14.26 large enough can cause violent updrafts.
From Fig. 14.25, we infer that a thunderstorm could form with Because the cloudy air parcel rises following a
cloud top and base as sketched, if successfully triggered. Thun- moist adiabat (Fig. 14.25), it eventually reaches an
derstorm air parcels follow the thin diagonal solid and dashed altitude where it is colder than the surrounding air.
lines, while the surrounding air is shown with the thick line. This altitude where upward buoyancy force becomes
zero is called the equilibrium level (EL) or the
limit of convection (LOC). The EL is frequently
Sample Application near (or just above) the tropopause (Fig. 14.24), be-
Plot this sounding on P (kPa) T (°C) Td (°C) cause the strong static stability of the stratosphere
a full-size skew-T diagram 100 30 20. impedes further air-parcel rise.
(Atm. Stab. chapter), and esti- 96 25 . Thus, thunderstorm cloud-base is at the LCL,
mate the pressure altitudes of 80 10 . and thunderstorm anvil top is at the EL (Fig. 14.26).
the ML top , LCL, LFC, and EL 70 15 .
In very strong thunderstorms, the rising air parcels
for an air parcel rising from 50 –10 .
near the surface. 30 –35 .
are so fast that the inertia of the air in this updraft
20 –35 . causes an overshooting dome above the EL be-
Find the Answer fore sinking back to the EL. The most severe thun-
Given: Data in the table above. derstorms have tops that can penetrate up to 5 km
Find: Pi = ? kPa (= ML top), PLCL = ? kPa, above the tropopause, due to a combination of the
PLFC = ? kPa, PEL = ? kPa. EL being above the tropopause (as in Fig. 14.26) and
STPSS HLH
inertial overshoot above the EL.
For many thunderstorms, the environmental air
4,&85-0(1
between the EL and the LFC is conditionally un-
&- stable. Namely, the environmental air is unstable if
it is cloudy, but stable if not (see the Atmospheric
Stability chapter). On a thermo diagram, this is re-
1 L1B
Sample Application
/P5IVOEFSTUPSN
How much energy does an air-mass thun-
derstorm release? Assume it draws in atmospheric
FO
N
boundary layer (ABL, or BL) air of Td = 21°C & depth
WJS
PJ
TU
PO
B
∆zBL = 1 km (corresponding roughly to ∆PBL = 10 kPa),
NF
JB
and that all water vapor condenses. Approximate the
1 L1B
CB
OUB
U
cloud by a cylinder of radius R = 5 km and depth ∆z =
TPM
10 km with base at P = 90 kPa & top at P = 20 kPa.
V OE
JO
H
Find the Answer
-$- Given: R = 5 km, ∆z = 10 km, Td = 21°C,
[J BE
JBCESZ ∆zBL = 1 km, ∆PBL = 10 kPa,
JTPIVNF BU ∆Pstorm = 90 – 20 = 70 kPa
Find: ∆QE = ? (J)
m m
5 $
Use eq. (3.3) with Lv = 2.5x106 J·kg–1, and eq. (4.3)
∆QE = Lv · ∆mwater = Lv · r · ∆mair (a)
Figure 14.27 where r ≈ 0.016 kg water·kgair–1 from thermo diagram.
An environmental sounding that does not favor thunderstorms,
because the environmental air aloft is too warm. But eq. (1.8) ∆P = ∆F/A and eq. (1.24) ∆F = ∆m·g give:
∆mair = ∆P·A/g (b)
where A = surface area = πR 2.
In many situations, no LFC (and also no EL) ex- For a cylinder of air within the ABL, but of the same
ists for an air parcel that is made to rise from the sur- radius as the thunderstorm, use eq. (b), then (a):
face. Namely, the saturated air parcel never becomes ∆mair = (10 kPa)·π·(5000m)2/(9.8 m s–2)= 8x108 kgair
warmer than the environmental sounding (such as ∆QE=(2.5x106 J·kg–1)(0.016 kg water·kgair–1)·
Fig. 14.27). Such soundings are NOT conducive to (8x108 kgair) = 3.2x1015 J
thunderstorms.
Given the depth of the thunderstorm (filled with air
from the ABL) compared to the depth of the ABL, we
find that ∆Pstorm = 7·∆PBL (see Figure).
the main energy source for the storm (see the Sample
Application). Thus, the ABL is the fuel tank for the
storm. In general, stronger thunderstorms form in CPVOEBSZMBZFS
moister warmer ABL air (assuming all other fac- Y
tors are constant, such as the environmental sound-
ing, wind shear, trigger, etc.). Check: Physics OK. Units OK. Values approximate.
The dew-point temperature Td in the ABL is Exposition: A one-megaton nuclear bomb re-
leases about 4x1015 J of heat. This hypothetical thun-
a good measure of the low-altitude humidity. High
derstorm has the power of 5.6 one-megaton bombs.
dew points also imply high air temperature, because Actual heat released in a small thunderstorm is
T ≥ Td always (see the Water Vapor chapter). Higher about 1% of the answer calculated above. Reasons in-
temperatures indicate more sensible heat, and high- clude: Td < 21°C; storm entrains non-ABL air; and not
er humidity indicates more latent heat. Thus, high all of the available water vapor condenses. However,
dew points in the ABL indicate a large fuel supply supercells continually draw in fresh ABL air, and can
in the ABL environment that can be tapped by thun- release more heat than the answer above. Energy re-
derstorms. Thunderstorms in regions with Td ≥ 16°C leased differs from energy available (CAPE). For an-
can have heavy precipitation, and those in regions other energy estimate, see the “Heavy Rain” section of
with Td ≥ 21°C can have greater severity. the next chapter.
500 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
$PME
$PME
%SZ
)VNJE
8BSN
%SZ
%SZ )VNJE
)VNJE
4VQFSDFMMXJUITJHOJGJDBOU &'&'
UPSOBEP
Similar to previous figure, but for precipitable water in cm.
4VQFSDFMM
CVUOPUPSOBEP
.BSHJOBMTVQFSDFMM
)JHI
Figure 14.33
Statistical relationship between storm category (as labeled along
the horizontal lines) and the mean-layer lifting condensation
level (ML-LCL). A marginal supercell is one with weak (< 20 m
s –1) or short-duration (< 30 min) cyclonic shear. EF is the En-
hanced Fujita scale tornado intensity. Thick line is median (50
percentile) of about 500 observed thunderstorms in the central
-PX USA. Dark grey spans 25 through 75 percentiles (i.e., the inter-
quartile range), and light grey spans 10 through 90 percentiles.
Lower ML-LCL values generally correspond to greater storm
intensities. Caution: There is significant overlap of ML-LCLs
for all storm categories, implying that ML-LCL cannot sharply
Figure 14.32
discriminate between storm severities.
Similar to previous figure, but for mean-layer lifting condensa-
See the INFO box on the next page to learn about the me-
tion level (ML-LCL) heights in km above ground level. Lower
dian, interquartile range, and percentiles.
ML-LCL heights (suggesting more intense storms) are shaded.
502 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
N
FO
PJ
WJS
T
ancy associated with latent-heat release when wa-
UB
$ FOUB
PO
"
EJ
N
1& M
ter vapor condenses. The Convective Available
BC
1 L1B
BU
Potential Energy (CAPE) is a way to estimate this TP
VO
EJO
energy using a thermo diagram. CAPE is propor- H
tional to the shaded area in Fig 14.34; namely, the -'$
area between LFC and EL altitudes that is between
the environmental sounding and the moist adiabat -$-
[J BE
JBCESZ
of the rising air parcel. BU
JTPIVNF
To explain this, use the definition of buoyancy
force per unit mass F / m = g ·(Tvp − Tve )/ Tve that m m m
was covered in the Atmospheric Stability chapter. 5 $
N
PJ
ant energy. Both are important for thunderstorms,
TU
$ JSPO JOH
B
"
EJ
FO V O
but are often difficult to determine.
1&
BC
TP
W E
BU
Instead, you can use the approximation Tv ≈ T,
1 L1B
^å[
which gives:
5F 5Q -'$ ∆E ∆z·(Tp − Te )
≅ g = g ·( Increm. Area ) / Te (14.2)
m Te
-$-
BE
JBCESZ
JTPIVNF BU
where Tp is air-parcel temperature, Te is environmen-
m m m tal temperature, and the incremental area (Increm.
5 $
Area) is shown Fig. 14.35 as the dark-grey rectangle.
Adding all the incremental rectangles between
the LFC and the EL gives a total area (light shading
Figure 14.35 in Fig. 14.35) that is proportional to CAPE.
Dark shaded rectangle of incremental height ∆z and width
Tp – Te shows the portion of total CAPE area associated with
just one thin layer of air.
CAPE ≅ g ·(Total. Area)/ Te (14.3)
or
EL
CAPE ≅ g ∑ (Tp − Te )·∆z / Te •(14.4)
LFC
Sample Application
For the sounding in Fig 14.36, estimate the CAPE.
Each tile has size ∆T = 5°C by ∆z = 1000 m. The area of &-
each tile is 5,000 °C·m, and there are 10 tiles. The total
area is: Area = 10 x 5000 °C·m = 50,000 K·m ,
[where I took advantage of ∆T(°C) = ∆T(K) ].
By eye, the average Te in the CAPE region is about
1 L1B
–25°C = 248 K. Use eq. (14.3):
CAPE = [ 9.8 m·s–2 / 248K ]·(50,000 K·m) =
= 1976 m2·s–2 = 1976 J·kg–1.
-'$
Check: Physics and units OK. Figure OK.
Exposition: This is a moderate value of CAPE that -$-
could support supercell storms with tornadoes.
m m m
On many thermo diagrams such as the emagram 5 $
a weather map and then draw isopleths connecting Another way is to average the conditions in the
lines of equal CAPE, such as shown in Fig. 14.38. bottom 1 km (roughly 10 kPa) of the environmental
Other parcel-origin assumptions work better in sounding to better estimate ABL conditions. Thus,
other situations. If the pre-storm sounding is from the initial conditions for the rising air parcel repre-
earlier in the morning, then the forecast max surface sents the mean layer (ML) conditions, or the mixed-
temperature for that afternoon (along with the dew layer (ML) conditions (Fig. 14.40). CAPE calculated
point forecast for that time) is a better choice for the this way is called Mean Layer CAPE (MLCAPE).
rising air-parcel initial conditions (Fig. 14.39). This Fig. 14.41 shows a case-study example of MLCAPE.
is also a type of SBCAPE.
&-
N
FO
PJ
. ONF
WJS
TU 1& 5
-$ OU
P
BE
" BM
JB
1 L1B
C BU
FO
WJ
SP
ON
FO
UB -'$
M
5
E
-$-
.JYFE-BZFS .-
PS.FBO-BZFS
m m m
5 $
&-
N
FO
PJ
WJS
TU
$
B
PO
"
EJ
N
1& M5
BC
1 L1B
FO
BU
FO
U B
WJ
SP
ON
FO
UB -'$
M
5
E
-$-
m m m
5 $
Early studies of thunderstorm occurrence vs. Table 14-1. Thunderstorm (CB) intensity guide.
MLCAPE lead to forecast guidelines such as shown
MLCAPE Stability Thunderstorm
in Table 14-1. However, MLCAPE is not a sharp dis-
(J·kg–1) Description Activity
criminator of thunderstorm intensity, as shown by
0 - 300 mostly stable little or none
the large overlap of storm categories in Fig. 14.42.
marginally
Yet another way is to calculate many different 300 - 1000 weak CB
unstable
CAPEs for air parcels that start from every height
moderately moderate CB likely;
in the bottom 30 kPa of the pre-storm environmen- 1000 - 2500
unstable severe CB possible
tal sounding, and then select the one that gives the
very severe CB likely,
greatest CAPE values. This is called the Most Un- 2500 - 3500
unstable possible tornado
stable CAPE (MUCAPE). This method works even 3500 extremely severe CB,
if thunderstorm updrafts are triggered by an elevat- & greater unstable tornadoes likely
ed source, and also works for pre-storm soundings
from any time of day. Although it is too tedious to
compute these multiple CAPEs by hand, it is easily 4VQFSDFMMXJUITJHOJGJDBOU &'&'
UPSOBEP
automated on a computer (Figs. 14.43 & 14.44). MU-
CAPE is always ≥ SBCAPE.
4UPSN$BUFHPSZ
4VQFSDFMMXJUIXFBL &'&'
UPSOBEP
4VQFSDFMMXJUITJHOJGJDBOU &'&'
UPSOBEP
4VQFSDFMM
CVUOPUPSOBEP
4UPSN$BUFHPSZ
4VQFSDFMMXJUIXFBL &'&'
UPSOBEP
/POTVQFSDFMMUIVOEFSTUPSN
4VQFSDFMM
CVUOPUPSOBEP
.6$"1& +LH
Figure 14.42
Statistics of thunderstorm intensity vs. MLCAPE, based on
several hundred paired soundings and thunderstorms in central Sample Application
N. America. Dark line is median (50 percentile); dark shading Assume a thunderstorm forms at the dot in Fig.
spans the interquartile range (25 to 75 percentiles); light shading 14.43, where MUCAPE ≈ 2700 J·kg–1. Estimate the pos-
spans the 10 to 90 percentile range. sible intensity of this storm. Discuss the uncertainty.
.6$"1& +LH
The shape of the CAPE area gives some informa-
tion about the storm. To aid shape interpretation, a
normalized CAPE (nCAPE) is defined as
CAPE •(14.6)
nCAPE =
zEL − zLFC
where zEL is height of the equilibrium level, zLFC is
height of the level of free convection, and the units of
nCAPE are m·s–2 or J·(kg·m)–1. Tall, thin CAPE areas
(i.e., nCAPE ≤ 0.1 m·s–2) often suggest heavy precipi-
tation, but unlikely tornadoes. Short, wide CAPE
area (i.e., nCAPE ≥ 0.3 m·s–2) in the mid to lower part
of the sounding can result in thunderstorms with
strong, low-altitude updrafts, which cause vertical
stretching of the air, intensification of rotation, and
greater chance of tornadoes. See Fig. 14.45.
Figure 14.45 A word of caution. CAPE gives only an estimate
Weather map similar to Fig. 14.38 over the USA, but for nor-
of the strength of a thunderstorm if one indeed
malized CAPE (nCAPE) in m·s –2.
forms. It is a necessary condition, but not a sufficient
condition. To form a thunderstorm, there must also
be a process that triggers it. Often no thunderstorms
form, even in locations having large CAPE. If thun-
derstorms are triggered, then larger CAPE indicates
greater instability, stronger updrafts, and a chance
for more violent thunderstorms. It is a useful, but
not perfect, forecast tool, as evident by the lack of
sharpness in the statistics (Figs. 14.42, & 14.44).
Sample Application
For the sounding in Fig. 14.36 (CAPE = 1976 J·kg–1) Updraft Velocity
find thunderstorm intensity, normalized CAPE, max You can also use CAPE to estimate the updraft
updraft velocity, and likely updraft velocity.
speed in thunderstorms. Recall from basic physics
that kinetic energy per unit mass is KE/m = 0.5·w2,
Find the Answer
Given: Fig. 14.36, with CAPE = 1976 J·kg–1
where w is updraft speed. Suppose that all the con-
Find: Intensity = ? , nCAPE = ? m·s–2, vective available potential energy could be convert-
wmax & wmax likely = ? m s–1 ed into kinetic energy; namely, CAPE = KE/m. Com-
bining the two equations above gives
a) From Table 14-1, moderate thunderstorms.
wmax = 2·CAPE (14.7)
b) By eye using Fig. 14.36, the bottom and top of the
CAPE region are zLFC ≈ 4.2 km, and zEL = 9.6 km. which gives unrealistically large speed because it
Use eq. (14.6): neglects frictional drag. Studies of actual thunder-
nCAPE=(1976 J·kg–1)/[9600–4200m]=0.37m·s–2. storm updrafts find that the most likely max updraft
speed is
c) Use eq. (14.7):
wmax = [2 · (1976 m2 s–2) ]1/2 = wmax = 63 m s–1 .
wmax likely ≈ wmax / 2 •(14.8)
∆ V V2 − V1
= (14.10)
∆z z2 − z1
or
1/2
(∆ U )2 + (∆ V )2
Shear Magnitude = (14.11a)
∆z
Shear Direction:
Sample Application
360° ∆V Given a horizontal wind of (U, V) = (1, 2) m s–1 at 2
α shear = 90° − arctan + αo
C ∆ U (14.11b)
km altitude, and a wind of (5, –3) m s–1 at 3 km, what
are the wind-difference & shear magnitudes & direc-
where subscript 2 is the layer top, and subscript 1 is tion?
layer bottom. Eq. (1.2) was used to find the direction
α of the shear vector, but with ∆U in place of U, and Find the Answer:
∆V in place of V. αo = 180° if ∆U > 0, but is zero other- Given: (U, V) = (1, 2) m s–1 at z = 2 km
wise. C is the angular rotation in a circle (360° or 2π (U, V) = (5, –3) m s–1 at z = 3 km
radians, depending on the output from “arctan”). Find: ∆M = ? (m s–1), α = ? (°)
For thunderstorm forecasting, meteorologists Shear Magnitude = ? (s–1),
look at shear across many layers at different heights [LN
in the atmosphere. To make this easier, you can use
7 NT
TI
FB
S
( )
∆ M = ∆ U 2 + ∆ V 2 1/2 (14.12) which is the direction that the wind shear is coming
from.
has units of wind speed (m s–1).
Layer thickness is ∆z = 3 km – 2 km = 1 km = 1000 m.
Thunderstorms can become intense and long- Use eq. (14.11a) to find shear magnitude, rewritten as:
lasting given favorable wind shear in the lower at- Shear Mag.= ∆M/∆z = (6.4 m s–1)/(1000 m) = 0.0064 s –1
mosphere. Under such conditions, humid bound-
ary-layer air (thunderstorm fuel) can be fed into the Check: Units OK. Magnitude & direction agree with
moving storm (Fig. 14.47). Another way to picture figure.
this process is that wind shear causes the storm to Exposition: There is both speed shear and
move away from locations of depleted boundary- directional shear in this example. It always helps
layer fuel into locations with warm, humid bound- to draw a figure, to check your answer.
510 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
STPSS HLH
4VQFSDFMM5IVOEFSTUPSN
[ LN
TUPSN
XJOETIFBS NPUJPO
1 L1B
[
DPMEBJS SBJO #PVOEBSZ-BZFS
Y
Figure 14.47
Wind shear allows long-lasting strong thunderstorms, such as
supercell storms and bow-echo thunderstorm lines.
ary layers. The storm behaves similar to an
muprightm m
vacuum cleaner, sucking up fresh boundary-layer
5 $
Hodograph Basics
One way to plot upper-air wind vs. height is to
draw wind symbols along the side of a thermo dia- [LN
gram (Fig. 14.48). Recall from the Atmospheric Forc-
es and Winds chapter that wind direction is from
the tail end (with the feathers) toward the other end
of the shaft, and more barbs (feathers or pennants)
indicate greater speed. The tip of the arrow is at the
[LN
altitude of that wind.
Another way to plot winds is to collapse all the
wind vectors from different heights into a single po-
lar graph, which is called a hodograph. For exam-
ple, Fig. 14.49 shows winds at 1 km altitude blowing
from the southeast at 15 m s–1, winds at 3 km alti-
tude blowing from the south at 25 m s–1, and winds Figure 14.49
at 5 km altitude blowing from the southwest at 35 m Projection of wind vectors (black arrows) from different alti-
s–1. Both directional shear and speed shear ex- tudes onto the bottom plane (grey arrows). These wind vectors
ist. correspond to the wind vectors in the previous figure.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 511
B
/PSUI
Sample Application
LN Use the table of winds below to plot a hodograph.
LN
z dir. M z dir. M
(km) (°) (m s –1) (km) (°) (m s –1)
[LN 0 0 0 4 190 15
1 130 5 5 220 20
8FTU &BTU 2 150 10 6 240 30
3 170 13
[LN
LN
Check: The wind at 6 km, for example, is from the
west southwest (240°), implying that the tip of the
wind vector would be pointing toward the east north-
Figure 14.50 east. This agrees with the location of the 6 km dot.
(a) Using the projected vectors from the previous figure, draw Exposition: This profile shows both speed and direc-
dots at the end of each vector, and connect with straight lines. tional shear. Also, these winds veer (turn clockwise)
When that line and dots are plotted on polar graph paper (b), the with increasing altitude. From the thermal wind Ex-
result is a hodograph. position in Chapter 11, recall that veering winds are
associated with warm-air advection, which is useful
for bringing warmer air into a thunderstorm.
6
m m m m m
7 7
m m
m m
m m
m m
m m
m m m m m
6
Figure 14.51
Blank hodograph for you to copy and use. Compass angles are From “Practical Meteorology”
direction winds are from. Speed-circle labels can be changed for Copyright © 2014 by Roland Stull
different units or larger values, if needed. Free copies of this page permitted.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 513
6
m m m m m Sample Application
For the hodograph of Fig. 14.52, find the (U, V) Car-
tesian coordinate for each of the 3 data points.
Find the Answer
Given: Hodograph Fig. 14.52 with data points at
7 7 z = 1, 3, and 5 km.
LN LN
Find: (U, V) = ? (m s–1) for each point.
[LN
Hint: The hodograph has the U velocities labeled at
both top and bottom to make it easier to draw perfectly
vertical lines thru any data point. For the same reason,
V velocities are labeled at both left and right.
m m
m m
Method: Draw horizontal and vertical lines through
each data point, and then pick off the U and V values
m m by eye. Results:
( )
= 90° – 30° + 180° = 240° 1/2
∆ Mms = ∆ U ms 2 + ∆ Vms 2 (14.15)
Check: Units OK. Agrees with Fig. 14.53 black arrow.
Exposition: The only reason the mean shear direc- 360°
tion equaled the wind direction at 6 km was because
α ms = 90°– ·arctan ( ∆ Vms / ∆ U ms ) + α o (14.16)
C
the surface wind was zero. Normally they differ.
R.
NT
Stull • Practical Meteorology 515
LN
Sample Application(§)
Mathematically calculate the total shear magni-
tude for the hodograph of Fig. 14.53 (i.e., using data
table from the Sample Application 4 pages ago).
Find the Answer
Given: The data table from 4 pages ago, copied below.
LN
Find: TSM = ? m s–1
LNUPUBMTIFBSNBHOJUVEF
Use a spreadsheet to do these tedious calculations:
Figure 14.54 First, use eqs. (1.3) and (1.4) to find U and V compo-
Example of total shear magnitude (black line), found as the sum nents of the winds. Next, find the wind differences
of the shear magnitudes from the individual layers (grey line ∆U = Ui – Ui–1 , and ∆V = Vi – Vi–1 . Finally, use these
segments) between 0 to 6 km altitude. Vector wind differences in eq. (14.17).
are used as surrogates for shear. All speed and surrogate-shear units below are (m
s–1) except for direction α (degrees) and height z (km).
where C = 360° or 2π radians (depending on the units
returned by your calculator or spreadsheet), and αo z α M U V ∆U ∆V Shear
= 180° if ∆Ums > 0, but is zero otherwise. As before, 6 240 30 26.0 15.0 13.1 -0.3 13.1
these wind-difference values are surrogates for the 5 220 20 12.9 15.3 10.3 0.5 10.3
true shear. 4 190 15 2.6 14.8 4.9 2.0 5.2
3 170 13 -2.3 12.8 2.7 4.1 5.0
Total Shear Magnitude 2 150 10 -5.0 8.7 -1.2 5.4 5.6
The total shear magnitude (TSM) across many 1 130 5 -3.8 3.2 -3.8 3.2 5.0
layers, such as between 0 to 6 km, is the algebraic 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 Sum=TSM= 44.2
sum of the lengths of the individual line segments
in the hodograph. For a simple graphic method that Check: Units OK.
gives a good estimate of TSM, conceptually lay flat Exposition: The graphical estimate of 45 m s–1 by
the grey line from Fig. 14.54 without stretching or eye from Figure 14.54 was very close to the calculated
shrinking any of the line segments. The length of value here.
the resulting straight line (black line in Fig. 14.54) in-
dicates the total shear magnitude. For this example,
the total shear magnitude is roughly 45 m s–1, com-
paring the length of the black line to the wind-speed
circles in the graph. Again, wind difference is used
as a surrogate for shear. 6
m
To find the total shear magnitude mathemati-
cally, sum over all the individual layer shear magni-
tudes (assuming layers of equal thickness):
n 7
(U − U )2 + (V − V )2
1/2 LN[
TSM = ∑ i i−1 i i − 1
•(14.17)
i=1
LN[
where n is the total number of layers, and subscripts
i and i–1 indicate top and bottom of the ith layer. For
the Fig. 14.54 example, n = 6, and each layer is 1 km
thick.
Although two different environments might
have the same total wind shear (TSM), the distribu- Figure 14.55
tion of that shear with height determines the types Two lines on this hodograph have exactly the same total length
of storms possible. For example, Fig. 14.55 shows which means they have the same total shear magnitude. But
two hodographs with exactly the same total shear that shear distributed differently with depth z for each line.
516 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
4VQFSDFMMXJUITJHOJGJDBOU &'&'
UPSOBEP magnitude, but the solid line has most of that shear
in the bottom 3 km (as seen by the spacing between
4VQFSDFMMXJUIXFBL &'&'
UPSOBEP height (z) points along the hodograph), favoring
4UPSN$BUFHPSZ
squall lines and bow echoes. The dashed line
4VQFSDFMM
CVUOPUPSOBEP has evenly distributed shear through the bottom
6 km, favoring supercells. Fig. 14.56 verifies that
.BSHJOBMTVQFSDFMM greater TSM values support supercells.
LN
[
NT
Figure 14.57
Wind vectors (black) associated with points on a hodograph.
Y
Sample Application
How many fence posts are needed to support a
straight fence with 6 sections?
Only for straight hodographs (Fig. 14.62a) are Hodographs that curve counterclockwise (Fig.
the right and left-moving supercells expected to 14.62c) favor left-moving supercells (Fig. 14.63c),
exist simultaneously with roughly equal strength with the right-moving storm often dissipating. In
(Fig. 14.63a). Hodographs that curve clockwise (Fig. the plains/prairies of North America, most hodo-
14.62b) with increasing height favor right-moving graphs curve clockwise (as in Figs. 14.61 and 14.62b),
supercell thunderstorms (Fig. 14.63b). For this situa- resulting in right-moving supercell thunderstorms
tion, the left-moving storm often dissipates, leaving that are about ten times more abundant than left-
only a right-moving supercell. moving storms. The opposite is true in the S. Hemi-
sphere for midlatitude thunderstorms.
6
m In summary, supercell thunderstorms often do
not move in the same direction as the mean envi-
ronmental (steering-level) wind, and do not move
at the mean wind speed. The methods that were
B
#PUI3JHIUBOE-FGUNPWJOH4VQFSDFMMT discussed here are useful to forecast movement
7 of storms that haven’t formed yet. However, once
storms form, you can more accurately estimate their
LN
motion by tracking them on radar or satellite. Re-
gardless of the amounts of shear, CAPE, and mois-
ture in the pre-storm environment, thunderstorms
won’t form unless there is a trigger mechanism.
Triggers are discussed in the next main section (af-
ter the Bulk Richardson Number subsection).
6
m
Y
6 C
3JHIUNPWJOH
m
TUFFSJOHMFWFM
NFBO
XJOE
Z
D
'BWPST-FGUNPWJOH4VQFSDFMMT 7
Y
D
-FGUNPWJOH
LN
TUFFSJOHMFWFM
Z NFBO
XJOE
Y
Figure 14.63
Figure 14.62 Sketch of sequence of radar reflectivity echoes over time (left to
Shapes of hodograph that favor right and left-moving supercell right) for: (a) symmetric supercell split; (b) dominant right-mov-
thunderstorms: (a) straight hodograph; (b) hodograph showing ing supercells; and (c) dominant left-moving supercells. Note
clockwise curvature with increasing height; (c) hodograph show- the different orientation of the hook echo in the left-moving su-
ing counter-clockwise curvature with increasing height. percell. The steering-level wind is the “normal” wind.
520 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
LN
LN
LN 3
UPUBMTIFBSLN
(g) Left-moving supercells are favored, because the
(b) The 0 to 6 km shear vector is shown with the white hodograph curves counterclockwise with increasing
arrow. Dividing by 6 gives a mean layer shear (black height. This storm moves faster than the mean wind
arrow) of about 7 m s –1 from the west northwest. (i.e., faster than the “normal” thunderstorm steering-
level wind).
(c) The total shear magnitude, shown at the bottom of
the hodograph above, is about 42 m s –1. Exposition: This hodograph shows veering winds
(winds turning clockwise with increasing altitude),
(d) Supercells are favored, because shear is evenly dis- implying warm-air advection according to the ther-
tributed throughout the bottom 6 km of atmosphere. mal-wind relationship. Even though the wind vectors
Also, the total shear magnitude is greater than 25 m veer clockwise, the hodograph curvature is counter-
s–1, as required for supercells. clockwise (implying dominant left-moving supercell
storms), so be careful not to confuse these two char-
(e) The answer is a vector, drawn from the origin to acteristics.
the “X” (see hodograph in next column). Namely, the Winds alone are not sufficient to forecast whether
mean wind is from about 250° at 10 m s –1. Vector thunderstorms will occur. Other key ingredients are
method roughly agrees with center-of-mass method, instability and abundant moisture, as previously dis-
done by eye. cussed. Also needed is sufficient lifting by a trigger
(Continues in next column.) mechanism to overcome the capping inversion.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 521
Sample Application
where For the previous Sample Application, assume the
∆U = U , –VUSL (14.22a) associated CAPE = 3000 J·kg–1. (a) Find the BRN shear.
(b) Find the BRN. (c) Are tornadic supercells likely?
∆VU=, V – VSL (14.22b)
Find the Answer
Eqs. (14.22) are the shear components between the Given: CAPE = 3000 J·kg–1
mean wind (U , V ) in the 0 to 6 km layer, and the hodograph = previous Sample Application
surface-layer winds (USL, VSL) estimated as an aver- Find: BRN shear = ? m2·s–2
age over the bottom 0.5 km of the atmosphere. Fig. BRN = ? (dimensionless)
14.64 shows how to estimate this shear magnitude Yes/no: thunderstorms? supercells? tornadoes?
from a hodograph.
(a) On the hodograph from the previous Sample Ap-
plication, put the tail of a vector (solid black arrow) a
quarter of the way from the z = 0 point to the z = 1
NT
å.
Y
LN
4VQFSDFMMXJUITJHOJGJDBOU &'&'
UPSOBEP
Table 14-3. If supercell thunderstorms form, then the
bulk-Richardson-number shear (BRN Shear) suggests
4VQFSDFMMXJUIXFBL &'&'
UPSOBEP whether they might have tornadoes.
4UPSN$BUFHPSZ
BRN Shear (m2·s–2) Tornadoes
4VQFSDFMM
CVUOPUPSOBEP
25 - 50 possible, but less likely
.BSHJOBMTVQFSDFMM 50 - 100 more likely
/POTVQFSDFMMUIVOEFSTUPSN
#3/4IFBS NT
N
FO
PJ
WJS
TU
B
P
ON
EJB
1 L1B
FO
C
BU
UB
TP
M
VO
EJO
H
-'$
$*/
-$-
[J BE
JBCESZ
JTPIVNF BU
&-
m m m
5 $
N
FO
PJ
WJS
TU
B
PO
E
N
JB
1 L1B
FO
C
'PSFDBTU
BU
FO
UB
WJ
M
SP NJYFEMBZFS
5
ON
Convective Inhibition (CIN)
FO
UPQ
Between the mixed-layer top zi and the level of UB -'$
M
5
free convection LFC, an air parcel lifted from the E
-$- $*/
surface is colder than the environment. Therefore, it [J
is negatively buoyant, and does not want to rise. If
forced by a trigger mechanism to rise above zi , then
the trigger process must do work against the buoy- m m m
ant forces within this cap region. 5 $
PJ
TU
WJS
LFC B
g
PO
EJ
CIN = ∑ (Tvp − Tve )·∆z BC
N
•(14.24)
1 L1B
FO
Tve BU
FO
UB
zi WJ
M
SP
5
ON -'$
FO
where Tv is virtual temperature, subscripts p and e UB
M
5
indicate the air parcel and the environment, |g| = E
9.8 m·s–2 is the magnitude of gravitational accelera-
$*/
tion, and ∆z is a height increment. Otherwise, CIN
-$-
is usually found by summing between the surface (z
= 0) and the LFC (Fig. 14.69). m m m
5 $
LFC
g
CIN = ∑Tve
(Tvp − Tve )·∆z (14.25) Figure 14.69
z=0 CIN between the surface and the LFC, for an early morning
pre-storm sounding.
524 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
.-$*/ +LH
Table 14-4. Convective Inhibition (CIN)
CIN Value Interpretation
(J·kg–1)
>0 No cap. Allows weak convection.
0 to –20 Weak cap. Triggering easy. Air-mass
thunderstorms possible.
–20 to –60 Moderate cap. Best conditions for CB.
Enables fuel build-up in boundary lay-
er. Allows most trigger mechanisms to
initiate storm.
–60 to –100 Strong cap. Difficult to break. Need ex-
ceptionally strong trigger.
Figure 14.70 < –100 Intense cap. CB triggering unlikely.
Weather map similar to Fig. 14.38 over USA, but for magnitude
of mean-layer convective inhibition energy (ML CIN) in J·kg–1.
^å[
LN
(Table 14-4) smaller than about 60 J·kg–1 are usually
-'$ small enough to allow deep convection to form if
triggered, but large enough to trap heat and humid-
$* ity in the boundary layer prior to triggering, to serve
/ as the thunderstorm fuel. CIN is the cap that must
[J SJT be broken to enable thunderstorm growth.
JOH Storms that form in the presence of large CIN are
QB
FO SDF less likely to spawn tornadoes. However, large CIN
WJS M
PO can sometimes be circumvented if an elevated trig-
ger mechanism forces air-parcel ascent starting well
^
BJS
OH
[
perature needed for this to happen is called the con-
SJTJ
SJTJ
UB [
M does not change much during the day. Namely, de-
-$--'$$$- termine if the forecast high temperature for the day
will exceed the convective temperature.
MPH 1
ES Often several triggering mechanisms work in
ZB
JTPIVN
[ LN
FO
low the isohume up until it hits the sounding to find
WJS
PO
the CCL. Thus: PCCL ≈ 63 kPa ( or zCCL ≈ 3.7 km).
N
FO
1 L1B
UB
TP
M
VO
Step 2: Follow the dry adiabat down to the surface,
EJO
H
and read the temperature from the thermo diagram.
Tneeded ≈ 47 °C is the convective temperature $$-
BE ESZ
JBC
BU
Check: Values agree with figure.
JTPIVNF
Exposition: Typical high temperatures in the prairies
of North America are unlikely to reach 47°C. 5E
m m m
5 $
5OFFEFE
(continues in next column)
Thunderstorm Forecasting
' 8N
B
thunderstorm with its gust front? Will high clouds
happen to move over a region, shading the ground
and thereby reducing the instability?
DPPMJOH
TVOSJTF
TVOSJTF
TVOTFU
TVOTFU
thunderstorms and with the environment and ter-
rain, and can trigger new thunderstorms.
Luckily, most thunderstorms over land have a
very marked diurnal cycle, because atmospheric
2" +N
C
instability is strongly modulated by heating of the
ground by the sun. Thunderstorms usually form
UIVOEFSTUPSNUISFTIPME in mid to late afternoon, are most frequent around
BDDVNVMBUFEIFBU
TVOSJTF
TVOTFU
TVOTFU
Table 14-5. Alphabetical listing of some thunder- The convective outlooks include a general
storm (CB) stability indices, compiled from both this statement about the level of risk that severe weather
chapter and the next chapter. will occur in broad regions spanning roughly 350 x
350 km, many hours or days into the future. These
Abbr. Full Name Use to
risk levels are:
anticipate
BRN Bulk Richardson CB type • Slight (SLGT): well-organized severe thunder-
Number
storms are expected in small numbers and/or low
BRN Bulk Richardson tornado coverage. Specifically: 5 to 29 reports of hail ≥ 2.5 cm,
Shear Number Shear likelihood and/or 3 to 5 tornadoes, and/or 5 to 29 wind events.
CAPE Convective Available CB intensity
Potential Energy • Moderate (MDT): a greater concentration of se-
(SB=surface based; vere thunderstorms, and in most situations, greater
ML = mean layer; magnitude of severe weather. Details: ≥ 30 reports of
MU = most unstable)
hail ≥ 2.5 cm, or 6 to 19 tornadoes, or numerous wind
CIN Convective Inhibi- strength of cap events (30 that might be associated with a squall line,
tion bow echo or derecho).
DCAPE Downdraft CAPE downburst and
gust front intensity • High (HIGH): a major severe-weather outbreak is
EHI Energy Helicity supercell intensity expected, with great coverage of severe weather and
Index tornado intensity enhanced likelihood of extreme weather (i.e., violent
ML LCL Mean-layer Lifting moisture availabil- tornadoes or extreme convective wind events over
Condensation Level ity & CB intensity a large area). Details: ≥ 20 tornadoes with at least
S Swirl Ratio multi-vortex two rated ≥ EF3, or an extreme derecho causing ≥ 50
tornadoes widespread high wind events with numerous higher
winds ( ≥ 35 m s–1) and structural damage reports.
SCP Supercell Composite supercell & tornado
Parameter intensity
SHIP Significant Hail large-hail Stability Indices for Thunderstorms
Parameter likelihood As you have already seen, meteorologists have
SRH Storm-Relative Helic- mesocyclone devised a wide variety of indices and parameters to
ity rotation help forecast thunderstorm existence, strength, and
STP Significant Tornado tornado intensity type. Table 14-5 summarizes indices that were dis-
Parameter cussed earlier in this chapter as well as indices from
the next chapter. Many of these indices integrate
over large portions of the environmental sounding
or hodograph, and are automatically calculated by
computer programs for display next to the comput-
er-plotted sounding.
Because no single index has proved to be the best,
new indices are devised, modified, and tested every
year. Some day a single best index might be found.
The use of indices to aid severe weather forecast-
ing has a long tradition. Many older indices were
devised for calculation by hand, so they use data at
a few key altitudes, rather than integrating over the
whole sounding. Table 14-6 lists some of the older
indices, and Table 14-7 give the associated forecast
guidelines.
Table 14-8 compares the values of the different
indices with respect to the forecasted weather ele-
ments. Beware that this table is highly simplified,
and that the boundaries between different sever-
ity of storm are not as sharp as the table suggests.
Nonetheless, you can use it as a rough guide for
interpreting the index values that are often printed
with plotted soundings or weather maps.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 531
Table 14-6. Definition of some older thunderstorm Table 14-7. Interpretation of older thunderstorm sta-
stability indices. Notation: bility indices. Notation: CB = thunderstorms.
T = environmental temperature (°C); Abbr. Full Values & Interpretation
Td = environmental dew-point temperature (°C);
Name
Tps->e = final temperature of an air parcel that started
with average conditions at height s, and which rose to < 20 CB unlikely
ending height e following dry adiabat up to LCL, and K or 20 to 30 Chance of scattered CB
K Index
moist adiabat above. M = wind speed (m s–1). α = wind KI 30 to 40 Many CB; heavy rain
direction (degrees). Subscripts give pressure altitude. > 40 CB; very heavy rain
Abbr. Full Values & Interpretation >2 CB unlikely
Name 0 to 2 CB only if strong trigger
Lifted
LI -3 to 0 Weak CB possible
K or K = T85kPa + Td85kPa + Td70kPa Index
K Index -6 to -3 Moderate CB probable
KI – T70kPa – T50kPa < -6 Severe CB likely
Lifted LI = T50kPa – Tp95->50kPa >3 CB unlikely
LI Sho-
Index 1 to 3 Weak showers possible
walter
Sho- SSI = T50kPa – Tp85->50kPa SSI -3 to 0 Severe CB possible
Stability
walter -6 to -4 Severe CB probable
SSI Index
Stability < -6 Severe CB likely
Index < 300 CB unlikely
Severe
SWEAT = 12·Td85kPa + 20·(TT – 49) 300-400 Chance isolated severe CB
Severe Weather
+ 4·M85kPa + 2·M50kPa SWEAT 400-500 Severe CB likely; &
Weather Threat
SWEAT + 125·[0.2 + sin(α50kPa – α85kPa)] tornado possible
Threat Index
where TT = total totals index. 500-800 Severe CB & tornado likely
Index
Note: more rules set some terms=0 < 45 CB unlikely
Total
Total TT = T85kPa + Td85kPa – 2·T50kPa 45 to 50 Scattered CB possible
TT Totals
TT Totals 50 to 55 CB likely; some severe
Index
Index 55 to 60 Severe CB likely; tornado
Table 14-8. Approximate relationship between storm indices and storm intensity.
Thunderstorm (CB) & Tornado (EF0 - EF5) Severity
Index No CB Ordinary Marginal Supercell, Supercell Supercell Units
CB Supercell no tornado & EF0-EF1 & EF2-EF5
BRN 150 70 30 30 30
BRN Shear 7 30 45 55 70 m2 s–2
CAPE (ML) 950 1205 1460 1835 2152 J·kg–1
CAPE (MU) 1750 1850 1950 2150 2850 J·kg–1
CIN 18 35 12 J·kg–1
EHI (ML 0-1km) 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.1
K 15 25 35 45 °C
LCL (ML) 1.75 1.47 1.34 1.18 1.00 km
LI +1.5 –1.5 –4.5 –7.5 °C
SCP 0 1.1 3.5 5.9 11.1
Shear (0-6km) 8 15 22 23 24 m s–1
SRH (0-1km) 20 70 115 155 231 m2 s–2
SRH-effective 16 60 117 166 239 m2 s–2
SSI +4.5 +1.5 –1.5 –4.5 –7.5 °C
STP 0 0 0.4 0.9 2.7
SWEAT 300 350 400 450 500
TT 42 47 52 57 62 °C
532 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
Figure 14.79
All storm reports during 24 May 2006 of damaging wind, hail,
and tornadoes in the central USA.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 533
B4. Search the internet for (and print the best exam-
ples of) satellite images of:
a. airmass thunderstorms
b. multicell thunderstorms
c. squall line thunderstorms
d. mesoscale convective systems
e. dry lines
Do this for visible, IR, and water vapor channels.
Discuss the features of your resulting image(s) with
respect to information you learned in this chapter.
storms. (Hint: To find regions where thunderstorms B12. Same as the previous exercise, but for a sound-
are likely, first search the web for a weather radar ing just ahead of a severe thunderstorm location.
image showing where the thunderstorms are. Al-
ternately, find via web search the regions where the B13. Search the internet for a “storm spotter glos-
weather service has issued thunderstorm watches.) sary”, and list 10 new thunderstorm-related terms
and their definitions that were not discussed in this
B6. Search the internet for plotted hodographs. chapter, but which you feel are important. Justify
(Hint: Some sites plot hodographs along with plotted your choice of terms.
soundings, while others have separate hodograph
plots.) Find a web site that also shows key wind- B14. Search the internet for (& print good examples
shear parameters associated with the hodograph, of) new research that is being done on thunderstorms
and perhaps also gives expected storm motion and/ or any of the topics discussed in this chapter.
or storm-relative winds. Do this for a location into
which thunderstorms are moving (see hint from B15. Search the internet for four key storm compo-
previous exercise). Print and discuss the results. nents that spotters analyze to estimate thunderstorm
strength, type, and stage of evolution.
B7. Search the internet for (and print the best exam-
ples of) real-time weather-map analyses or forecasts B16. Search the internet to explain the difference be-
(from numerical models) showing plotted fields of tween “storm chasers” and “storm spotters”.
the four conditions needed for convective storm for-
mation. (Hint, you might find these 4 conditions on B17. Search the internet to find which agency or
4 separate maps, so you should print and discuss all agencies within your own country are responsible
4 maps.) Discuss. for making the national forecasts of severe thunder-
storms. Print their web address, along with basic
B8. Search the internet for maps showing real-time information about their mission and location. Also,
thunderstorm and tornado watches. Print and dis- find and print a list of qualifications they want in
cuss the results. If you also did the previous exer- new meteorologists that they hire.
cise, then discuss the amount of agreement of the
watch areas with the regions that satisfy the condi- B18. For the following country, where on the inter-
tions for thunderstorms. net can you find up-to-date tornado/thunderstorm
watches/warnings?
B9. Use the internet to find thunderstorm tutorials. a. Canada b. Japan c. China
(Hints: some elementary tutorials are at the “uni- d. Australia e. Europe f. USA
versity of Illinois online meteorology guide” site. g. or a teacher-assigned country?
More advanced tutorials are at the “ucar meted” site.
Much miscellaneous info is at the “wikipedia” site.)
After reading the tutorial, print and discuss one new
Apply
aspect of thunderstorms that wasn’t in this textbook,
A1(§). Plot the pressure difference (∆P = PMCS – Pstd.
but which you find interesting and/or important.
atm.) vs. height within a mesoscale convective sys-
tem (MCS), given the temperature differences (∆T
B10. Search the web for newer thunderstorm indi-
= TMCS – Tstd.atm.) below. Also plot the given tem-
ces than were discussed in this chapter. Summa-
perature difference vs. height. The surface pressure
rize and print key information (e.g., definitions for,
PMCS sfc under the MCS is also given below. For the
equations governing, advantages compared to older
standard atmosphere (std. atm.), assume the surface
indices) for one of these new indices, and if possible
pressure is 101.325 kPa. Use a vertical resolution of
show a real-time map of the values of this index.
∆z = 250 m.
B11. Search the internet for a recent sounding close Exercise Part a. b. c. d.
to your present location. Get and print this sound- ∆T (K)
ing data in text form. Then manually plot the tem- 0 ≤ z < 2 (km) –10 –8 –13 –15
peratures and dew points on a thermo diagram, and
2 ≤ z < 4 (km) 0 0 0 0
plot the winds on a hodograph. Manually calculate
a few key thunderstorm indices, and make your own 4 ≤ z < 9 (km) +6.5 +5 +10 +9
forecast about whether thunderstorms are likely. 9 ≤ z < 11 (km) –10 –7.7 –15 –13
11 ≤ z ≤ 12 (km) 0 0 0 0
PMCS sfc (kPa) 101.8 101.7 101.9 102.05
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 535
A3. Given the following prestorm sounding. Plot A9. For the sounding from exercise A3, find the val-
it on a thermo diagram (use a skew-T, unless your ue of mean-layer CAPE. Assume Tv ≈ T. For the air
instructor specifies a different one). Find the mixed- parcel that you conceptually lift, assume its initial
layer height, tropopause height, lifting condensation temperature equals the average temperature in the
level, level of free convection, and equilibrium level, bottom 1 km of the sounding, and its initial dew-
for an air parcel rising from the surface. Use a sur- point is the average dew-point temperature in the
face (P = 100 kPa) dew-point temperature (°C) of: bottom 1 km of the sounding (assuming that the
a. 22 b. 21 c. 20 d. 19 e. 18 f. 17 g. 16 mixing ratio is constant with height in this 1 km
h. 15 i. 14 j. 13 k. 12 l. 11 m. 10 n. 9 mixed layer).
o. 8 p. 7 q. 6 r. 5 s. 4
Sounding: A10. Using the result from the previous exercise,
P (kPa) T (°C) forecast the intensity of thunderstorms and possibly
20 –45 tornadoes that are likely, and indicate the uncertain-
25 –45 ty (i.e., the range of possible storm intensities) in this
30 –40 forecast, given the MLCAPE you found.
40 –30
50 –19 A11. Forecast the thunderstorm and/or tornado in-
70 +5 tensity, and indicate the uncertainty (i.e., the range
80 15 of possible storm intensities) in this forecast, given a
88 21 ML CAPE (J·kg–1) value of:
92 21 a. 1000 b. 1250 c. 1500 d. 1750 e. 2000
98 26 f. 2250 g. 2500 h. 2750 i. 3000 j. 3250
100 30 k. 3500 l. 250 m. 500 n. 750
A4. Using the result from the previous exercise,
forecast the intensity (i.e., category) of thunderstorm A12. Given the sounding from exercise A3, except
and possibly tornadoes that are likely, given the lift- with a surface temperature of T = 24°C at P = 100
ing condensation level you found. kPa. Assume the surface dew point from exercise
A3 defines a mixing ratio that is uniform in the bot-
A5. Find the median and interquartile range for the tom 2 layers of the sounding.
following data sets: Find the most unstable CAPE considering air
a. 6 3 9 7 2 1 6 0 8 parcels that start their rise from just the bottom two
b. 8 5 9 8 1 1 3 2 6 8 4 9 7 0 levels of the sounding (i.e., for air parcels that start
c. 3 5 2 7 9 4 7 7 at P = 100 and 98 kPa). Assume Tv ≈ T.
d. 9 6 8 0 9 1 3 2 9 7 8
e. 5 8 2 2 1 6 4 3 7 9 A13. Using the result from the previous exercise,
f. 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 forecast the intensity (i.e., category) of thunderstorm
g. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 and possibly tornadoes that are likely, given the
h. 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 MUCAPE you found, and indicate the uncertainty
i. 0 0 0 0 3 6 8 3 4 8 9 0 6 (i.e., the range of possible storm intensities) in this
forecast.
A6. Find the mean and standard deviation for the
data set from the previous exercise. A14. Forecast the thunderstorm and/or tornado in-
tensity, and indicate the uncertainty (i.e., the range
A7. For the sounding from exercise A3, find the val- of possible storm intensities) in this forecast, given a
ue of surface-based CAPE, using: MU CAPE (J·kg–1) value of:
(1) the height (z) tiling method. a. 1000 b. 1250 c. 1500 d. 1750 e. 2000
536 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
A21. Graphically, using your hodograph plot from A31. Using your result from exercise A28 for normal
exercise A18, plot the local shear vector (m s–1) across storm motion (based on exercise A18), and assum-
the z = 2 to 3 km layer. ing CAPE = 2750 J·kg–1:
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 537
(1) calculate the shear ∆M (m s–1) between the f. supercell with EF2 - EF5 tornado
mean (0-6 km) environment winds and the average
winds at z = 0.5 km. A39. What value of the Bulk Richardson Number,
(2) calculate the bulk Richardson number shear BRN-Shear, ML CAPE, MU CAPE, CIN, Energy He-
(BRN shear) in m2·s–2. licity Index, Lifting Condensation Level, Supercell
(3) calculate the bulk Richardson number (BRN). Composite Parameter, 0-6 km Shear, Storm-Relative
(4) forecast the thunderstorm likelihood, thun- Helicity, effective Storm-Relative Helicity, and Sig-
derstorm type, and tornado intensity. nificant Tornado Parameter would you anticipate for
the following intensity of thunderstorm (CB)?
A32. Given the following value of bulk Richardson a. no CB b. ordinary CB
number, determine the likely thunderstorm type: c. marginal supercell
a. 7 b. 12 c. 17 d. 22 e. 27 f. 32 g. 37 d. supercell with no tornado
h. 42 i. 47 j. 52 k. 57 l. 62 m. 67 n. 72 e. supercell with EF0 - EF1 tornado
f. supercell with EF2 - EF5 tornado
A33. Given the following value of bulk Richardson
number (BRN) shear (m2·s–2), determine the likely
thunderstorm and tornado intensity:
Evaluate & Analyze
a. 5 b. 10 c. 20 d. 30 e. 40 f. 45 g. 50
E1. Identify as many thunderstorm features as you
h. 55 i. 60 j. 65 k. 70 l. 75 m. 80 n. 90
can, from the photo below. (Image “wea00106” cour-
tesy of NOAA photo library).
A34. Given the sounding from exercise A3, calculate
the value of the convective inhibition (CIN) in J·kg–1
for an air parcel lifted from the surface. Assume Tv
≈ T. Also, shade or color the CIN area on the plotted
sounding.
b. Why are thunderstorm tops usually NOT ex- Normally, meteorologists need use only one of
actly at the tropopause. the humidity metrics to get the info they need on
moisture availability. Which one moisture variable
E20. Based on tropopause info from earlier chap- would you recommend using, and why?
ters, how would you expect thunderstorm depth to
vary with: E30. Look up the definitions of the residual layer
a. latitude and nocturnal stable layer from the Atmospheric
b. season Boundary Layer chapter. Consider atmospheric
conditions (temperature, humidity) in the residual
E23. Same as the previous exercise, but for the layer, relative to the conditions in the mixed layer
sounding given in the Sample Application after Fig. from the afternoon before. Use this information to
14.26. explain why strong thunderstorms are possible at
night, even after the near-surface air temperature
E24. Fig. 14.22 shows schematically the information has cooled significantly.
that is in Fig. 14.25. Explain how these two figures
relate to each other. E31. Often statistical data is presented on a box-
and-whisker diagram, such as sketched below.
E25. Consider Fig. 14.22. Why is the following en-
8IJTLFST #PY 8IJTLFST
vironmental condition conducive to severe thunder-
storms?
a. cold air near the top of the troposphere
b. dry air near the middle of the troposphere
c. a stable cap at the top of the boundary layer NBYJNVN
d. a warm humid boundary layer QFSDFOUJMF
e. wind shear VQQFSRVBSUJMF QFSDFOUJMF
4VQFSDFMMXJUITJHOJGJDBOU ''
UPSOBEP
a. 17 b. 16 c. 15 d. 14 e. 13 f. 12 g. 11
h. 18 i. 19 j. 20 k. 22 l. 23 m. 24 n. 25
Create box-and-whisker diagrams, using data in E40. a. Is wind shear a vector or scalar quantity?
this textbook for: Why?
a. ML CAPE b. Is it possible to have non-zero shear between
b. MU CAPE two altitudes where the winds have the same speed?
c. TSM Explain.
d. BRN Shear
e. 0-1 km SRH E41. Suppose that Fig. 14.47 gives the winds rela-
f. 0-1 km EHI tive to the ground. Redraw that figure showing the
storm-relative winds instead. Also, explain why
E32. Look at a blank thermo diagram. At colder tem- storm-relative winds are important for thunder-
peratures, the moist adiabats don’t deviate far from storm dynamics.
the dry adiabats. Use this characteristic to help ex-
plain why CAPE is smaller for colder environments, E42. On a hodograph, why is it important to list the
and thus why strong thunderstorms are less likely. altitude of the winds next to each wind data point?
E33. Thunderstorms are much more prevalent in E43. Draw a hodograph showing an environment
the tropics than near the poles. Use all the info from where winds ____ with height. a. veer b. back
this chapter to help explain this. Also relate it to
info in other chapters, such as: radiation, global cir- E44. On blank hodographs such as Fig. 14.51, why
culation, boundary layers etc. are the printed wind directions 180° out of phase
with the normal compass directions?
E34. If you were given a file of ASCII text data of
temperature and dew point vs. height in a sounding, E45. In Fig. 14.52, notice that the dark vertical and
show schematically (i.e., with a flow chart) a com- horizontal lines don’t look straight. This is an opti-
puter program that you could write to compute the cal illusion caused by the background circles of the
CAPE. Don’t actually write the program, just show hodograph. In fact, they are straight, as you can see
the main steps, procedures, and/or data structures by tilting the page so you are looking almost edge-
that you would use. (Hint: the method in Fig. 14.35 on, sighting down each line. Based in this info,
might be easier than the method in Fig. 14.36, espe- discuss why you should never draw the vertical or
cially for very small ∆z.) horizontal lines by eye, when trying to determine U
a. Do this based on eq. (14.2) [gives an approxi- and V components of wind.
mate answer]
b. Do this based on eq. (14.1) [this is more accu- E46. Three different types (i.e., ways of measuring)
rate] of shear vectors are shown in Fig. 14.53. Explain and
contrast them.
E35. Describe all the factors in a plotted sounding
that could contribute to larger CAPE values. E47. Create a table listing all the different types of
shear that are discussed in this chapter, and add
E36. Compare and contrast the different parcel-ori- a column to the table that indicates what thunder-
gin methods for computing CAPE (SB, forecast SB, storm characteristics can be estimated from each
ML, and MU). Recommend which methods would shear type.
be best for different situations.
E48. A thunderstorm index or parameter is useful
E37. Derive eq. (14.5) from eq. (14.4) by using the only if it can discriminate between different storm
hypsometric equation. Show your steps. types or intensities. Using Fig. 14.56, critically eval-
uate the utility of TSM in estimating storm and tor-
E38. Critically analyze eq. (14.6). Discuss the behav- nado intensity.
ior of the equation as the height difference between
the LFC and EL approaches zero. E49. Explain the difference between the mean shear
vector (as in Fig. 14.53) and the mean wind vector (as
E39. Consider CAPE in a prestorm sounding. in Fig. 14.58), and discuss their significance.
a. Can all the CAPE be consumed by the storm?
b. Do the CAPE eqs. have limitations? Discuss. E50. In Fig. 14.59, the mean wind is estimated as the
c. Are there reasons why thunderstorm vertical center of mass of the shaded area. Is the actual mean
velocity might not get as large as given in eq. (14.8)? wind exactly at the center of mass of the shaded
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 541
area, or only close? [Hint, to help think about this derstorms need nonlocally conditionally unstable
question, create some very simple hodographs with air to exist. These seems contradictory. Explain
simple shapes for the shaded area [such as a rect- how it might be possible.
angle] for which you can calculate the exact center
of mass. Then see if you can extend your argument E58. Fig. 14.75 shows a way to estimate Tneeded for
to more complex, or arbitrary shapes. This scientific convection, given T and Td from a sounding earlier
approach is called inductive reasoning (see p107).] in the day. Although this is an easy method, it has
a major flaw. Critically discuss this method. (Hint:
E51. Using information from Fig. 14.61, identify what was assumed in order to use this method?)
where in Fig. 14.60 are the right and left moving
mesocyclones. E59. Step back from the details of thunderstorms,
and look at the big picture. After the thunderstorm
E52. Although Fig. 14.62c shows a hodograph that has occurred, some precipitation has fallen out, and
is concave up, the whole curve is above the origin. there has been net heating of the air. Explain how
Suppose that, on a different day, the hodograph has these two processes affect the overall stability and
the same shape, but is shifted to be all below the ori- entropy (in the sense of randomness) in the tropo-
gin. Assume N. Hemisphere, mid-latitudes. sphere.
Would such a hodograph still favor left-moving
supercell storms? Justify your answer. E60. Re-draw Fig. 14.76, but for a winter case over
mid-latitude land where nocturnal cooling is longer
E53. Both the bulk Richardson number (BRN) and duration than daytime heating, and for which the
the Supercell Composite Parameter (SCP) include total accumulated heating during the day (because
CAPE and shear. However, BRN is CAPE/shear, the sun is lower in the sky) is less than the accumu-
while SCP is CAPE·shear (times a third factor that lated cooling at night. Use you resulting figure to
we can ignore for this Exposition). Which (BRN or discuss the likelihood of thunderstorms in winter.
SCP) would you anticipate to give the best storm in-
tensity forecasts, and which is most physically justi- E61. Recall from other chapters that the ocean has
fied? Explain. a much large heat capacity than land, and thus has
less temperature change during day and night. Re-
E54. Figs. 14.67 - 14.69 show 3 different ways to cal- draw Fig. 14.76 for a location at a tropical ocean, and
culate CIN. Discuss the advantages and disadvan- discuss how the resulting figure relates to thunder-
tages of each, and for which conditions each method storm occurrence there.
is most appropriate.
E62. Some of the older stability indices in Table 14-6
E55. Table 14-4 relates CIN to the difficulty in trig- are very similar in basis to some of the newer indices
gering thunderstorms. For the “strong” and “in- in Table 14-5, as described throughout this chapter.
tense” cap categories, can you think of a trigger The main differences are often that the old indices
mechanism that would be powerful enough to trig- consider meteorological conditions at just a few lev-
ger thunderstorms? Explain. els, whereas the newer indices integrate (sum) over
many levels. Create a table matching as many old
E56. Figs. 14.71 and 14.73 show how thunderstorms indices to as many new indices as possible.
can be triggered by warm, humid air forced to rise
over an obstacle (cold air, or a mountain). In both E63. Based on what you learned so far, which sub-
situations, sometimes after the thunderstorms are sets of indices from Table 14-8 would you prefer to
triggered and develop to maturity, environmental utilize in your own storm forecasting efforts, to fore-
wind shear causes them to move away from the trig- cast:
gering location. After they have moved away, what a. hail
is needed in order for the supercell thunderstorm to b. heavy rain
continue to exist (i.e., not to die immediately after c. lots of lightning
moving away from the triggering area)? Do you d. tornadoes
think this is possible in real life, and if so, can you e. strong straight-line winds
give an example? f. downbursts
Justify your choices.
E57. Consider Fig. 14.74. The Regional Winds chap-
ter states that buoyancy (gravity) waves need stati-
cally stable air to exist without damping. But thun-
542 chapter 14 • thunderstorm Fundamentals
S4. Why do thunderstorms have flat, anvil-shaped S13. If there was never a cap on the atmospheric
tops, while cumulus congestus do not? Both reach boundary layer, explain how thunderstorms would
their equilibrium level. differ from those in our real atmosphere, if at all.
S5. Suppose that N. Hemisphere mid-latitude thun- S14. Start with the sounding in Fig. 14.24. Modify
derstorms exist in an environment that usually has the dew point in the mid troposphere to create a new
the same lower-tropospheric geographic arrange- sounding that would support a layer of altocumulus
ment of heat and humidity relative to the storm as castellanus (accus) clouds.
our real atmosphere, but for which the winds aloft
are from the east. How would thunderstorms differ, S15. Suppose that thunderstorm downdrafts could
if at all? never penetrate downward through the cap at the
top of the boundary layer. Explain how thunder-
S6. Suppose that thunderstorms never move relative storms would differ, if at all?
to the ground. Could long-lasting supercells form
and exist? Explain. S16. Suppose that shading of the ground by clouds
would cause the Earth’s surface to get warmer, not
S7. In multicell storms, new cells usually form on cooler during daytime. How would thunderstorms
the south side of the storm complex, closest to the and climate differ, if at all?
supply of warm humid boundary-layer air. What
changes in the environment or the thunderstorm S17. Suppose the atmospheric sounding over your
might allow new cells to form on the north side of town showed conditions nearly, but not quite, favor-
the storm? Assume N. Hemisphere. able for the existence of thunderstorms. If you could
cause the surface energy balance over land to be
S8. If orographic thunderstorms need the mountain- partitioned differently between sensible and latent
triggered lifting to be initiated, why can the storms heat, how would you partition it in order to generate
persist after being blown away from the mountain? a thunderstorm? Note that given a fixed input of en-
ergy from the sun, increasing either the temperature
S9. If the Earth’s surface were smooth (i.e., no moun- or the humidity would decrease the other variable.
tain ranges), then describe changes in the nature of
thunderstorms. Could this alter the weather in your S18. When water vapor condenses in thunderstorms,
region? Explain. suppose that the air cools instead of warms. Would
thunderstorms occur? If so, describe their behavior.
S10. Suppose a 100 km diameter circular region of
warm humid boundary layer air existed, surround- S19. In the Exposition of rising air parcels in a
ing by much colder air. If the cold air all around nonlocally conditionally unstable environment, we
the circle started advancing toward the center of the assumed that the surrounding environment was
circle and thunderstorms were triggered along this not changing. But if there are many air parcels ris-
circular cold front, then describe the evolution of the ing in a thunderstorm updraft, then there must be
thunderstorms. compensating subsidence in the environment that
advects downward the temperature and moisture
S11. In Fig. 14.14 showing a vertical slice through layers. How would this alter our description of the
a mesoscale convective system, the arrows show evolution of thunderstorms?
winds being drawn in toward low pressure in the
mid troposphere, and other arrows blowing out- S20. Under what conditions would the median of
ward from high-pressure in the upper troposphere. a distribution exactly equal the mean? Under what
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 543
15 Thunderstorm Hazards
TVCTJEFODF VQ
ESBGU
TVO SBJO
TVO [
CFB SBJOCPX
N
nimbostratus clouds, that create smaller-size driz- • Second, the vertical stacking of the deep cloud al-
zle drops (0.2 - 0.5 mm) and small rain drops (0.5 lows precipitation forming in the top of the storm
- 2 mm diameter) in widespread regions (namely, re- to grow by collision and coalescence or accretion as
gions hundreds by thousands of kilometers in size, it falls through the middle and lower parts of the
ahead of warm and occluded fronts) of light to mod- cloud, as already mentioned, thus sweeping out a lot
erate rainfall rate that can last for many hours over of water in a short time.
any point on the ground. • Third, long lasting storms such as supercells or
Why do thunderstorms have large-size drops? orographic storms can have continual inflow of hu-
Thunderstorms are so tall that their tops are in very mid boundary-layer air to add moisture as fast as it
cold air in the upper troposphere, allowing cold- rains out, thereby allowing the heavy rainfall to per-
cloud microphysics even in mid summer. Once a sist. As was discussed in the previous chapter, the
spectrum of different hydrometeor sizes exists, the heaviest precipitation often falls closest to the main
heavier ice particles fall faster than the smaller ones updraft in supercells (see Fig. 15.5).
and collide with them. If the heavier ice particles Rainbows are a by-product of having large
are falling through regions of supercooled liquid numbers of large-diameter drops in a localized re-
cloud droplets, they can grow by riming (as the liq- gion surrounded by clear air (Fig. 15.1). Because
uid water instantly freezes on contact to the outside thunderstorms are more likely to form in late after-
of ice crystals) to form dense, conical-shaped snow noon and early evening when the sun angle is rela-
pellets called graupel (< 5 mm diameter). Alter- tively low in the western sky, the sunlight can shine
nately, if smaller ice crystals fall below the 0°C level, under cloud base and reach the falling raindrops.
their outer surface partially melts, causing them to In North America, where thunderstorms generally
stick to other partially-melted ice crystals and grow move from the southwest toward the northeast, this
into miniature fluffy snowballs by a process called means that rainbows are generally visible just after
aggregation to sizes as large as 1 cm in diameter. the thundershowers have past, so you can find the
The snow aggregates and graupel can reach the rainbow looking toward the east (i.e., look toward
ground still frozen or partially frozen, even in sum- your shadow). Rainbow optics are explained in
mer. This occurs if they are protected within the more detail in the last chapter.
cool, saturated downdraft of air descending from Any rain that reached the ground is from wa-
thunderstorms (downbursts will be discussed lat- ter vapor that condensed and did not re-evaporate.
er). At other times, these large ice particles falling Thus, rainfall rate (RR) can be a surrogate measure
through the warmer boundary layer will melt com- of the rate of latent-heat release:
pletely into large raindrops just before reaching the
ground. These rain drops can make a big splat on H RR = ρL ·Lv ·RR (15.1)
your car windshield or in puddles on the ground.
Why scattered showers in thunderstorm? Of- where HRR = rate of energy release in the storm over
ten large-size, cloud-free, rain-free subsidence re- unit area of the Earth’s surface (J·s–1·m–2), ρL is the
gions form around and adjacent to thunderstorms density of pure liquid water, Lv is the latent heat of
due to air-mass continuity. Namely, more air mass vaporization (assuming for simplicity all the pre-
is pumped into the upper troposphere by thunder- cipitation falls out in liquid form), and RR = rainfall
storm updrafts than can be removed by in-storm rate. Ignoring variations in the values of water den-
precipitation-laden downdrafts. Much of the re- sity and latent heat of vaporization, this equation
maining excess air descends more gently outside the reduces to:
storm. This subsidence (Fig. 15.1) tends to suppress
other incipient thunderstorms, resulting in the orig- HRR = a · RR •(15.2)
inal cumulonimbus clouds that are either isolated
(surrounded by relatively cloud-free air), or are in where a = 694 (J·s–1·m–2) / (mm·h–1) , for rainfall rates
a thunderstorm line with subsidence ahead and be- in mm h–1.
hind the line. The corresponding warming rate averaged over
Why do thunderstorms often have heavy rain- the tropospheric depth (assuming the thunderstorm
fall? fills the troposphere) was shown in the Heat chapter
• First, the upper portions of the cumulonimbus to be:
cloud is so high that the rising air parcels become ∆T/∆t = b · RR (15.3)
so cold (due to the moist-adiabatic cooling rate) that
virtually all of the water vapor carried by the air is where b = 0.33 K (mm of rain)–1.
forced to condense, deposit, or freeze out. From the Water Vapor chapter recall that pre-
cipitable water, dw, is the depth of water in a rain
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 547
USPQPQBVTF
BOWJM Sample Application
A thunderstorm near Holt, Missouri, dropped 305
mm of rain during 0.7 hour. How much net latent heat
energy was released into the atmosphere over each
square meter of Earth’s surface, and how much did it
[ warm the air in the troposphere?
Z
Hail
Hailstones are irregularly shaped balls of ice
larger than 0.5 cm diameter that fall from severe
thunderstorms. The event or process of hailstones
falling out of the sky is called hail. The damage
path on the ground due to a moving hail storm is
called a hail swath.
Table 15-1. TORRO Hailstone Size Classification.
Most hailstones are in the 0.5 to 1.5 cm diameter
Size Max. Diam- Description range, with about 25% of the stones greater than 1.5
Code eter (cm) cm. While rare, hailstones are called giant hail (or
0 0.5 - 0.9 Pea large or severe hail) if their diameters are between
1 1.0 - 1.5 Mothball 1.9 and 5 cm. Hailstones with diameters ≥ 5 cm are
2 1.6 - 2.0 Marble, grape
called significant hail or enormous hail (Fig.
15.3) One stone of diameter 17.8 cm was found in
3 2.1 - 3.0 Walnut
Nebraska, USA, in June 2003. The largest recorded
4 3.1 - 4.0 Pigeon egg to golf ball hailstone had diameter 20.3 cm and weighed 878.8 g
5 4.1 - 5.0 Pullet egg — it fell in Vivian, S. Dakota, USA on 23 July 2010.
6 5.1 - 6.0 Hen egg Hailstone diameters are sometimes compared to
standard size balls (ping-pong ball = 4 cm; tennis
7 6.1 - 7.5 Tennis ball to cricket ball
ball ≈ 6.5 cm). They are also compared to nonstan-
8 7.6 - 9.0 Large orange to soft ball dard sizes of fruit, nuts, and vegetables. One such
9 9.1 - 10.0 Grapefruit classification is the TORRO Hailstone Diameter rela-
10 > 10.0 Melon tionship (Table 15-1).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 549
Hail Damage
5FSNJOBM7FMPDJUZ.BHOJUVEF NT
Hail Formation
Two stages of hail development are embryo for-
mation, and then hailstone growth. A hail embryo /PSUI
is a large frozen raindrop or graupel particle (< 5 LN
U
FN SN
FO
mm diameter) that is heavy enough to fall at a dif-
PW UP
&BTU
. 4
ferent speed than the surrounding smaller cloud
droplets. It serves as the nucleus of hailstones. Like " PVUGMPX
BOWJM
all normal (non-hail) precipitation, the embryo first XJOET
F
MJHIU
collision and accretion, as discussed in the Precipi-
BO
NEU SBJO
IFBWZ SBJO
tation chapter) to begin falling back toward Earth. JM
While an embryo is being formed, it is still so IB
WBVMU
small that it is easily carried up into the anvil and
out of the thunderstorm, given typical severe thun- H
derstorm updrafts of 10 to 50 m s–1. Most potential J O HJOS F 5
Q F S
embryos are removed from the thunderstorm this JN VQQ QIF JOGMPX
T
QP JOE CPVOEBSZ
way, and thus cannot then grow into hailstones. USP X MBZFSXJOET
The few embryos that do initiate hail growth are 3'%
formed in regions where they are not ejected from PVUGMPX
the storm, such as: (1) outside of the main updraft #
in the flanking line of cumulus congestus clouds or
in other smaller updrafts, called feeder cells; (2) in
a side eddy of the main updraft; (3) in a portion of Figure 15.5
the main updraft that tilts upshear, or (4) earlier in Plan view of classic (CL) supercell in the N. Hemisphere (cop-
the evolution of the thunderstorm while the main ied from the Thunderstorm chapter). Low altitude winds are
updraft is still weak. Regardless of how it is formed, shown with light-grey arrows, high altitude with black, and
it is believed that the embryos then move or fall into ascending/descending with dashed lines. T indicates tornado
the main updraft of the severe thunderstorm a sec- location. Precipitation is at the ground. Cross section A-B is
ond time. used in Fig. 15.10.
550 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
Sample Application
&- What is the largest size hailstone that could be sup-
FO VOEJO
ported in a thunderstorm having CAPE = 1976 J kg–1?
TP
N EJBC $"
WJS H
PJ B
B
TU U
Also give its TORRO classification.
PO
Find the Answer
1 L1B
1&
Given: CAPE = 1976 J kg–1.
Find: dmax = ? cm (max hailstone diameter)
-'$
From Appendix A, note that units J kg–1 = m2 s–2.
First, use eqs. (14.7) and (14.8) from the Thunderstorm
-$-
BE
JBCESZ chapter to get the likely max updraft speed. This was
JTPIVNF BU already computed in a Sample Application near those
eqs:
m m m wmax likely = 31 m s–1
m m 5 $
Assume that the terminal fall velocity of the largest
Figure 15.7 hailstone is just balanced by this updraft.
Shaded grey is the portion of CAPE area between altitudes wT = –wmax likely = –31 m s–1
where the environment is between –10 and –30°C. Greater ar- where the negative sign implies downward motion.
eas indicate greater hail likelihood. Then use Fig. 15.4 to find the diameter.
dmax ≈ 3.1 cm
M
VQF
is found in the central and southern plains, centered
SB
in Oklahoma (averaging 6 to 9 giant-hail days yr–1),
JO BOE H
SBJO
MJHIUSBJO
and extending from Texas north through Kansas #8&3
and Nebraska (3 or more giant-hail days yr–1). Hail
NPEFSBUF
is also observed less frequently (1 to 3 giant-hail days $
IFBWZSB
IBJM
yr–1) eastward across the Mississippi valley and into [
the southern and mid-Atlantic states.
Although hail is less frequent in Canada than in
the USA, significant hail falls are found in Alberta " LN #
between the cities of Calgary and Edmonton, par- /PSUIXFTU 4PVUIFBTU
ticularly near the town of Red Deer. Hail is also
found in central British Columbia, and in the south-
Figure 15.10
ern prairies of Saskatchewan and Manitoba.
Vertical cross section through a classic supercell thunderstorm
In the S. Hemisphere, hail falls often occur over along slice A-B from Fig. 15.5. Thin dashed line shows visible
eastern Australia. The 14 April 1999 hailstorm over cloud boundary, and shading indicates intensity of precipitation
Sydney caused an estimated AUS$ 2.2 billion in as viewed by radar. BWER = bounded weak echo region of su-
damage, the second largest weather-related damage percooled cloud droplets. White triangle represents graupel on
total on record for Australia. Hailstorms have been the upshear side of the storm, which can fall (dotted line) and
observed over North and South America, Europe, re-enter the updraft to serve as a hail embryo. Thick dashed line
Australia, Asia, and Africa. is the tropopause. Isotherms are thin solid lines. Curved thick
black lines with arrows show air flow.
Hail Mitigation
Attempts at hail suppression (mitigation) have
generally been unsuccessful, but active hail-sup-
pression efforts still continue in most continents to
try to reduce crop damage. Five approaches have
been suggested for suppressing hail, all of which in-
volve cloud seeding (adding particles into clouds
to serve as additional or specialized hydrometeor
nuclei), which is difficult to do precisely:
ded microbursts.
Acceleration of downburst velocity w is found by
applying Newton’s 2nd law of motion to an air par-
IHVTU cel:
&OWJSPO
NFOUBM "#-
∆w 1 ∆P ′ θ′ C P′
8JOET %PXO BJS ≈− + g · v − v •(15.5)
CVSTU ∆t ρ ∆z θ ve Cp Pe
[ 1b
Y 0VUGMPX8JOET
Term: (A) (B) (C)
LN ) (VTU
'SPOU where w is negative for downdrafts, t is time, ρ is
air density, P’ = Pparcel – Pe is pressure perturbation
Figure 15.11
Vertical slice through a thunderstorm downburst and its associ-
of the air parcel relative to the environmental pres-
ated gust front. Grey shading indicates the rain-cooled air. Be- sure Pe, z is height, |g| = 9.8 m s–2 is the magnitude
hind the gust front are non-tornadic (i.e., straight-line) outflow of gravitational acceleration, θv’ = θv parcel – θve is the
winds. H indicates location of meso-high pressure at the sur- deviation of the parcel’s virtual potential tempera-
face, and isobars of positive pressure perturbation P’ are dashed ture from that of the environment θve (in Kelvin),
lines. Dotted lines show precipitation. ABL is the warm, humid and Cv/Cp = 0.714 is the ratio of specific heat of air at
environmental air in the atmospheric boundary layer. constant volume to that at constant pressure.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 555
Equation (15.5) says that three forces (per unit (a) Because the parcel air is saturated, rparcel = rs. Us-
mass) can create or enhance downdrafts. (A) Pres- ing a thermo diagram (because its faster than solving
sure-gradient force is caused when there is a differ- a bunch of equations), rs ≈ 9.5 g kg–1 at P = 80 kPa and
ence between the pressure profile in the environ- T = 10°C. Also, from the thermo diagram, θparcel ≈ 28°C
ment (which is usually hydrostatic) and that of the = 301 K. Thus, using the first part of eq. (15.6):
parcel. (B) Buoyant force combines the effects of θv parcel ≈ (301 K)·[1 + 0.61·(0.0095 g g–1)] ≈ 302.7 K
temperature in the evaporatively cooled air, precipi-
For the environment, also θ ≈ 28°C = 301 K, but r =
tation drag associated with falling rain drops or ice
4 g kg–1. Thus, using eq. (15.7):
crystals, and the relatively lower density of water
θve ≈ (301 K)·[1 + 0.61·(0.004 g g–1)] ≈ 301.7 K
vapor. (C) Perturbation-pressure buoyancy force is Use eq. (15.5):
where an air parcel of lower pressure than its sur- Term(Bdue to T & r) = |g|·[ ( θv parcel – θve ) / θve ]
roundings experiences an upward force. Although = (9.8 m s–2)·[ (302.7 – 301.7 K) / 301.7 K ]
this last effect is believed to be small, not much is = 0.032 m s–2 = 0.032 N kg–1.
really known about it, so we will neglect it here.
Evaporative cooling and precipitation drag are (b) Because rI was not given, assume rI = 0 every-
important for initially accelerating the air down- where, and rL = 0 in the environment.
ward out of the cloud. We will discuss those fac- Term(Bdue to r & r ) = –|g|·[ (rL + rI)parcel – (rL + rI)e].
L I
tors first, because they can create downbursts. The = – (9.8 m s–2)·[ 0.01 g g–1 ] = –0.098 N kg–1.
vertical pressure gradient becomes important only
(c) Assume initial vertical velocity is zero.
near the ground. It is responsible for decelerating
Use eq. (15.5) with only Term B:
the downburst just before it hits the ground, which ( wfinal – winitial )/ ∆t = [Term(BT & r) + Term(Br & r )]
we will discuss in the “gust front” subsection. wfinal = (60 s)·[ 0.032 – 0.098 m s–2 ] ≈ –4 m s –1.
L I
F
N
It descends into surroundings having different vir-
IV
tual potential temperature than the environment
JTP
where it started. As a result of these changes to both
the air parcel and its environment, the θv’ term in eq.
[ LN
ESZBEJBCBU
(15.5) changes.
To account for all these changes, find term B from
1&
BU
eq. (15.5) at each depth, and then sum over all depths
JBC
%$"
to get the accumulated effect of evaporative cooling
BE
JTU
and precipitation drag. This is a difficult calcula-
NP
tion, with many uncertainties.
An alternative estimate of downburst strength
is via the Downdraft Convective Available Po-
tential Energy (DCAPE, see shaded area in Fig.
15.13):
RW $
zLFS
θ vp − θ ve
DCAPE = ∑ g·
θ ve
·∆ z •(15.9) Figure 15.13
z=0
Thermo diagram (Theta-z diagram from the Stability chapter)
example of Downdraft Convective Available Potential energy
where |g| = 9.8 m s–2 is the magnitude of gravita- (DCAPE, shaded area). Thick solid line is environmental
tional acceleration, θvp is the parcel virtual potential sounding. Black dot shows virtual potential temperature after
temperature (including temperature, water vapor, top of environmental sounding has been modified by liquid-wa-
and precipitation-drag effects), θve is the environ- ter loading caused by precipitation falling into it from above.
ment virtual potential temperature (Kelvin in the Three scenarios of rain-filled air-parcel descent are shown: (a) no
denominator), ∆z is a height increment to be used evaporative cooling, but only constant liquid water loading (thin
solid line following a dry adiabat); (b) an initially saturated air
when conceptually covering the DCAPE area with
parcel with evaporative cooling of the rain (dashed line following
tiles of equal size. a moist adiabat); and (c) partial evaporation (thick dotted line)
The altitude zLFS where the precipitation laden with a slope between the moist and dry adiabats.
air first becomes negatively buoyant compared to
the environment is called the level of free sink
(LFS), and is the downdraft equivalent of the level
of free convection. If the downburst stays negatively
buoyant to the ground, then the bottom limit of the
sum is at z = 0, otherwise the downburst would stop
at a downdraft equilibrium level (DEL) and not
be felt at the ground. DCAPE is negative, and has m
units of J kg–1 or m2 s–2.
By relating potential energy to kinetic energy, m
8E NT
Figure 15.14
Downburst velocity wd driven by DCAPE
558 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
1&
Figure 15.15
Example of downdraft DCAPE magnitude (J kg–1) for 22 UTC
%$"
.HVTU
3 Outflow Winds & Gust Fronts
&OWJSPO S
Driven by the pressure gradient from the meso-
NFOUBM ) %PXO
CVSTU
0VUGMPX8JOET high, the near-surface outflow air tends to spread
8JOET out in all directions radially from the downburst. It
1b
Z can be enhanced or reduced in some directions by
PO
U
bugs &
bats
LN LN
′
∆ M 1 Pmax Sample Application
= •(15.13)
∆t ρ r For a mesohigh of max pressure 0.5 kPa and radius
5 km, how fast will the outflow winds become during
where ∆M is change of outflow wind magnitude 1 minute of acceleration?
over time interval ∆t , ρ is air density, P’max is the
pressure perturbation strength of the mesohigh, Find the Answer
and r is the radius of the downburst (assuming it Given: P’max = 0.5 kPa, r = 5 km, ∆t = 60 s
roughly equals the radius of the mesohigh). Find: ∆M = ? m s–1
The horizontal divergence signature of air from
a downburst can be detected by Doppler weather ra- Solve eq. (15.13) for M. Assume ρ = 1.225 kg m–3.
dar by the couplet of “toward” and “away” winds, as (60 s) (0.5 kPa)
was shown in the Satellites & Radar chapter. Figs. ∆M = · = 4.9 m s –1
(1.225 kg/m 3 ) (5 km)
15.18 and 15.19 show a downburst divergence signa-
ture and gust front.
Check: Physics OK. Units OK. Magnitude OK.
The intensity of the downburst (Table 15-2) can
Exposition: In real downbursts, the pressure gradi-
be estimated by finding the maximum radial wind
ent varies rapidly with time and space. So this answer
speed Mmax observed by Doppler radar in the diver- should be treated as only an order-of-magnitude es-
gence couplet, and finding the max change of wind timate.
speed ∆Mmax along a radial line extending out from
the radar at any height below 1 km above mean sea
level (MSL).
Gust front is the name given to the leading edge
of the cold outflow air (Figs. 15.11 & 15.17). These
fronts act like shallow (100 to 1000 m thick) cold Table 15-2. Doppler-radar estimates of thunderstorm-
cell downburst intensity based on outflow winds.
fronts, but with lifetimes of only several minutes
to a few hours. Gust fronts can advance at speeds Intensity Max radial-wind Max wind dif-
ranging from 5 to 15 m s–1, and their length can be speed (m s–1) ference along a
5 to 100 km. The longer-lasting gust fronts are of- radial (m s–1)
ten associated with squall lines or supercells, where Moderate 18 25
downbursts of cool air from a sequence of individu- Severe 25 40
al cells can continually reinforce the gust front.
At fixed weather stations, temperature drops of 1
to 3 °C can be recorded as the gust front passes over.
As this cold, dense air plows under warmer, less-
dense humid air in the pre-storm environmental at-
mospheric boundary layer (ABL), the ABL air can be
pushed up out of the way. If pushed above its LCL,
clouds can form in this ABL air, perhaps even trig-
gering new thunderstorms (a process called propa-
gation). The new thunderstorms can develop their
own gust fronts that can trigger additional thunder-
storms, resulting in a storm sequence that can span
large distances.
Greater gust front speeds are expected if faster
downbursts pump colder air toward the ground.
The continuity equation tells us that the vertical
inflow rate of cold air flowing down toward the
ground in the downburst must balance the hori-
zontal outflow rate behind the gust front. If we also
approximate the outflow thickness, then we can es-
timate the speed Mgust of advance of the gust front
relative to the ambient environmental air as
1/3
0.2·r 2 · wd · g·∆ Tv
M gust = (15.14)
R·Tve
562 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
B
C
5IVOEFS 5IVOEFS
TUPSN TUPSN
Z Z
EPXOCVSTU EPXOCVSTU
[ [
BSDDMPVE
IBCPPC
Y Y
LN LN CPVOEBSZ
MBZFSBJS
Figure 15.20
Sketches of (a) a haboob (dust storm) kicked up within the outflow winds, and (b) an arc cloud in the boundary-layer air pushed above
the leading edge of the outflow winds (i.e., above the gust front). Haboobs occur in drier locations, while arc clouds occur in more
humid locations.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 563
BOWJM the wings and less lift, allowing gravity to pull the
USPQP aircraft down even faster. The pilot increased pitch
TQIFSF and engine power, but the turbine engines took a few
*$ seconds to reach full power. The inertia of the heavy
5m$
m mm QPTJUJWF
aircraft caused its speed to increase too slowly. The
mm m
QPMBSJUZ
$( slow airspeed and downward force of the downburst
m
5m$ caused the aircraft to crash short of the runway.
BJS
5m$ EJTDIBSHF
That crash motivated many meteorological field
[ experiments to enable better detection and forecasts
OFHBUJWF of downbursts and gust fronts. Airports have spe-
QPMBSJUZ$( cial equipment (anemometers and Doppler radar)
Y to detect dangerous wind shears; air-traffic control-
lers have a protocol to alert pilots and direct them to
Figure 15.21 safety; and pilots are trained to carry extra speed and
Types of lightning. Grey rectangles represent the thunderstorm make earlier missed-approach decisions.
cloud. (Vertical axis not to scale.)
564 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
mm %BSU
might take hundreds of steps, and take 50 ms du-
ration. For the most common (negative polarity)
4UFQQFE -FBEFS
-FBEFS lightning from the middle of the thunderstorm, this
[ stepped leader carries about 5 C of negative charge
3FUVSO downward.
4USPLF
4USFBNFS When it is within about 30 to 100 m of the ground
or from the top of any object on the ground, its strong
Y
negative charge repels free electrons on the ground
under it, leaving the ground strongly positively
charged. This positive charge causes ground-to-air
Figure 15.23 discharges called streamers, that propagate upward
Sequence of events during lightning. (a) Stepped leader (1 to 7) as very brief, faintly glowing, ionized paths from the
moving rapidly downward from thunderstorm, triggers upward tops of trees, poles, and tall buildings. When the top
streamer (8) from objects on ground. (b) Intense return stroke of a streamer meets the bottom of a stepped leader,
transferring negative charge from the bottom of the thunder- the conducting path between the cloud and ground
storm to the ground. (c) Dart leader of negative charge follow-
is complete, and there is a very strong (bright)
ing old ionized path toward ground, followed by another return
stroke (not shown).
return stroke from the ground to the cloud. Dur-
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 567
Lightning Detection
During a lightning stroke, the changing flow of
-JHIUOJOH TJNVMBUFE
electricity along the lightning channel creates and
broadcasts electromagnetic waves called sferics. A
broad range of frequencies is transmitted, including
radio waves that you hear as static or snaps on AM
radio. Detectors on the ground receive these radio
signals and accurately measure their strength and
time of arrival. Other types of lightning sensors are
based on magnetic direction finders.
To pinpoint the location of each lightning strike,
a continent-wide array of multiple ground stations
observe signals from the same lightning discharge.
These ground stations either have direction-finding
capability or relative time-of-arrival capability (to
infer the range of the strike from the station). Re-
gardless of the station capabilities, the strike is locat-
ed by triangulating directions or ranges from all the
stations that received the signal. All the strike loca-
./ Great Lakes tions during a time interval (5 minutes to a hour)
m
m are then plotted on a map (Fig. 15.24). Such an array
m
m mm 8* mm of detectors on the Earth’s surface and associated
mm mmm m
mmm m m mm
m m
m mm communication and computer equipment is called a
mmm
m mmmmm
m mm .* lightning detection network (LDN).
m Some of the sferics are generated at very low fre-
m
m m mm
mm
*" m m quencies (VLF). Some LDN systems measure these
m mm mm
*- mmm mmm VLF at a frequency of about 10 kHz (wavelength ≈ 30
m mm
m km). The advantage of these VLF waves is that they
mm mmmmmm */ can travel large distances — trapped in a waveguide
m mmm m
mmm
.0 mmmm between the ionosphere and the ground.
mmmm When a VLF wave from lightning passes over
m
m
mm m an LDN ground station, it modulates the electric
field near the station (see the INFO on “Electricity
LN in a Volume”). When multiple stations measure the
Figure 15.24 same wave, the distance D (m) between the light-
Map of negative (–) and positive (+) lightning strikes over the
ning and the stations can be estimated, and the peak
US Midwest from a (simulated) lightning detection network, for
electric field E (V m–1) measured at any one station
the 24 May 2006 case.
m
mmmm
m
mmm
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 569
ln (( I + I o )/ I1 )
2
Prob = exp −0.5· (15.18)
s1
sion, cardiac arrhythmias, and vascular instability.
Later problems include sleep disturbances, anxiety 4IPDL
attacks, peripheral nerve damage, pain syndromes, 3BEJVT
N
sb = as · (Tb)1/2 (15.23)
TIPDLGSPOU
FOUSBJOFE
PS5FNQFSBUVSF where as = 20 (m s–1)·K–1/2 is a constant for air, and
BJS
1BPME
5BPME
1SFTTVSF
using the ideal gas law with Pb as background air Find the Answer
pressure, and Tb as background air temperature (in Given: Pb = 100 kPa, Tb = 300 K, Mb = 0 m s–1.
Kelvin). Immediately behind the shock front, the en- Ta = 15,000 K
trained air has higher density and pressure, but this Find: C = ? m s–1 , Me = ? m s–1
is compensated by lower-density lower-pressure air
The shock speed equation requires the Mach speed
closer to the lightning axis, resulting in constant av-
and the speed of sound, which must be calculated first.
erage density as shown above.
Mach speed, in turn, depends on the initial pressure
Finally, the average pressure Pa of all air enclosed ratio. Use eq. (15.30) to find the pressure ratio:
by the shock circle is found using the ideal gas law Pa/Pb = Ta/Tb = (15000 K)/(300 K) = 50
with constant density:
Next, use eq (15.21) to find the Mach speed of the shock
Pa / Pb = Ta / Tb •(15.30) front through the background air:
Ma = {[(50)·6 + 1 ]/ 7}1/2 = 6.56
where Ta = Ta.new . Equations (15.20) through (15.30) The background speed of sound from eq. (15.23) is:
can be solved iteratively to find how conditions sb = [20 (m s–1)·K–1/2] · (300 K)1/2 = 346.4 m s–1
change as the shock evolves. Namely, Pa can be used Thus, using eq. (15.24):
C = 6.56 · (346.4 m s–1) = 2,271.6 m s–1
back in eq. (15.20), and the calculations repeated.
This assumes that the background thermodynamic
The equation for wind speed behind the shock requires
state Tb and Pb of the undisturbed air is known. the temperature behind the shock. Use eq. (15.27):
To iterate, you need the initial conditions. Start Te = (300 K)· { [5 + 6.562]·[7· 6.562 – 1] / (36 · 6.562) }
with rold = radius of the ionized lightning channel, = (300 K)·{ 48 · 300 / 1548 } = 2791 K
although there is evidence that the incandescent re-
gion of air is about 10 to 20 times larger radius than Finally, using eq. (15.31):
this (so you could try starting with this larger value). Me = (2,271.6 m s–1) – [ (2,271.6 m s–1)2 –
Because of the isopycnal nature of lightning, if you 2·(1005 m2 s–2 K–1)·( 2791K – 300 K) ]1/2
know the initial lightning temperature Ta in Kelvin, = 2,271.6 – 392.3 m s–1 = 1,879.3 m s–1
use eq. (15.30) to find the initial pressure ratio Pa/Pb,
as sketched in Fig. 15.30. Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
An iterative approach is demonstrated in a Sam- Exposition: Both the initial shock front and the initial
wind behind the shock are supersonic, but the wind is
ple Application, the results from which were used
slower than the shock front.
to create Fig. 15.27. The background air state was Tb
Nonetheless, the initial shock-front speed (about
= 300K and Pb = 100 kPa, giving ρb = 1.1614 kg m–3. 2.3x103 m s–1) is still much slower than the speed of light
For the lightning, I used initial conditions of rold = (3x108 m s–1). Hence, we will see the lightning before
1.5 cm = 0.015 m, Ta.old = 30,000 K, Pa = 10,000 kPa. we hear the thunder (except if lightning strikes you).
Anyone who has been very close (within 1 m or
less) of a lightning strike (but not actually hit by the
lightning itself) feels a tremendous force that can in-
*OJUJBM.BDI/VNCFS
stantly throw your body (or your car if you are driv-
ing) many meters horizontally (as well as rupturing
your ear drums). This is the combined effect of the
pressure difference across the shock front as it pass-
es your body or your car, and the dynamic effect of
a supersonic wind in the thin layer of entrained air
immediately behind the shock front.
Assuming a normal shock, the extremely brief, 1 L1B
outward-directed wind Me in the entrained air im- 5 ,
mediately behind the shock is: Figure 15.30
Higher temperature T in the lightning channel creates higher
Me = C – [C2 – 2·Cp·(Te – Tb)]1/2 (15.31) pressure P, which generates a shock front that initially moves
with greater Mach number. (Mach 1 is the speed of sound).
574 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
Sound
By about 0.1 s after the lightning stroke, the shock
wave has radius 35 m, and has almost completely
slowed into a sound wave. Because this happens so
quickly, and so close to the lightning channel, ignore
the initial shock aspects of thunder in this subsec-
tion, and for simplicity assume that the sound waves
BUI
$PPMFS
are coming directly from the lightning channel.
1
BZ
The speed of sound relative to the air depends on
3
XB
air temperature T — sound travels faster in warmer GSP F
W
OE
V
air. But if the air also moves at wind speed M, then 4P OU
the total speed of sound s relative to the ground is [
8BSNFS
Y
1/2
T
s = so · + M·cos(φ) •(15.32) ]YNBY]
To
*OBVEJCMF "VEJCMF
where so = 343.15 m s–1 is a reference sound speed at
To = 293 K (i.e., at 20°C), and ϕ is the angle between Figure 15.31
Wave fronts, ray paths, and audible range of thunder.
the direction of the sound and the direction of the
wind. Namely, a head-wind causes slower propaga-
tion of sound waves.
Because light travels much faster than sound, you
can estimate the range to a lightning stroke by tim- Sample Application
You see a thunderstorm approaching from the
ing the interval ∆t between when you see lightning
southwest. It is warm out (T = 35°C). Facing toward
and hear thunder. Because sound travels roughly the storm, you see a lightning flash and hear the thun-
1/3 km/s, divide the time interval in seconds by 3 to der 12 s later, and you feel a 10 m s–1 wind on your
estimate the range in km. For range in statute miles, back. What is the distance to the lightning stroke?
divide the time interval by 5 instead. These approxi-
mations are crude but useful. Find the Answer
Because sound wave speed depends on tem- Given: With the wind at your back, this means that
perature, the portion of a wave front in warmer air the wind blowing opposite to the direction that
will move faster than the portion in cooler air. This sound must travel to reach you; hence, ϕ = 180°.
causes the wave front to change its direction of ad- Also, ∆t = 12 s, T = 35°C = 308 K, M = 10 m s–1.
vance. Thus, its propagation path (called a ray path) Find: ∆x = ? km
will bend (refract).
Light speed is so fast that it is effectively instantaneous.
Consider horizontal layers of the atmosphere
So the time interval between “flash” and “bang” de-
having different temperatures T1 and T2. If a sound pends on sound speed:
wave is moving through layer one at elevation angle Use eq. (15.32):
α1, then after passing into layer two the new ray el- s = (343.15 m s–1)·[308K/293K]1/2 + (10 m s–1)·cos(180°)
evation angle will be α2. = 351.8 – 10.0 = 341.8 m s–1
To quantify this effect, define an index of re- But speed is distance per time (s = ∆x/∆t). Rearrange:
fraction for sound in calm air as: ∆x = s·∆t = (341.8 m s–1)·(12 s) = 4.102 km
Tornadoes B
C
DPOF 7
Tornadoes are violently rotating, small-diameter [ TIBQFE
columns of air in contact with the ground. Diam- XFEHF
eters range from 10 to 1000 m, with an average of
about 100 m. In the center of the tornado is very low
pressure (order of 10 kPa lower than ambient). DMPVECBTF
Tornadoes are usually formed by thunderstorms, G
(for P∞ ≥ P ). At Ro, match the inner and outer tan-
gential wind speeds, and match the inner and outer
pressure deficits:
Core Region (R < Ro):
Mtan R
= •(15.40) $- 33P
Mtan max Ro
2
∆P 1 R
∆ P = 1− •(15.41) Figure 15.33
max 2 Ro A Rankine-combined-vortex (RCV) model for tornado tangen-
tial velocity and pressure. The pressure deficit is plotted with re-
versed ordinate, indicating lower pressure in the tornado core.
578 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
∆P = 0.5·(10 kPa) · [(20 m)/(50 m)]2 = 0.8 kPa. where ρ is air density. This equation, derived from
the Bernoulli equation, Mtan max can also be de-
Check: Physics OK. Units OK. Agrees with Fig. 15.33. scribed as a cyclostrophic wind as explained in
Exposition: 10 kPa is quite a large pressure deficit the Forces & Winds chapter (namely, it is a balance
in the core — roughly 10% of sea-level pressure. How- between centrifugal and pressure-gradient forces).
ever, most tornadoes are not this violent. Typical tan- Forecasting these maximum values is difficult.
gential winds of 60 m s–1 or less would correspond to Near the Earth’s surface, frictional drag near the
core pressure deficits of 3.6 kPa or less. ground slows the air below the cyclostrophic speed.
Thus there is insufficient centrifugal force to bal-
ance pressure-gradient force, which allows air to be
sucked into the bottom of the tornado. Further away
from the ground, the balance of forces causes zero
net radial flow across the tornado walls; hence, the
tornado behaves similar to a vacuum-cleaner hose.
One tornado damage scale was devised by the lapse inward, or failure of porch or carport, then
Tornado and Storm Research Organization in Eu- EF0 - EF2.
rope, and is called the TORRO scale (T). Another • If entire house shifts off foundation, or large sec-
scale was developed for North America by Ted Fu- tions of roof structure removed (but most walls
jita, and is called the Fujita scale (F). remain standing), then EF1 - EF3.
In 2007 the Fujita scale was revised into an • If exterior walls collapse, then EF2 - EF3.
Enhanced Fujita (EF) scale (Table 15-3), based on • If most walls collapse, except small interior rooms,
better measurements of the relationship between then EF2 - EF4.
winds and damage for 28 different types of struc- • If all walls collapse, then EF3 - EF4.
tures. It is important to note that the EF intensity • If total destruction & floor slabs swept clean, then
determination for any tornado is based on a damage EF4 - EF5.
survey AFTER the tornado has happened. Similar damage descriptions for the other 27 types
For example, consider modern, well-built single- of structures (including trees) are available from the
family homes and duplexes, typically built with USA Storm Prediction Center.
wood or steel studs, with plywood roof and outside For any EF range (such as EF = 4), the lower
walls, all covered with usual types of roofing, sid- threshold of maximum tangential 3-second-gust
ings, or brick. For this structure, use the following wind speed Mmax is approximately:
damage descriptions to estimate the EF value:
Mmax = Mo + a · (EF) 1.2 (15.46)
• If threshold of visible damage, then EF0 or less.
• If loss of gutters, or awnings, or vinyl or metal sid- where Mo = 29.1 m s–1 and a = 8.75 m s–1.
ing, or less than 20% of roof covering material, The “derived” gust thresholds listed in Table
then EF0 - EF1. 15-3 are often converted to speed units familiar to
• If broken glass in doors and windows, or roof lift- the public and then rounded to pleasing integers of
ed up, or more than 20% of roof covering miss- nearly the correct value. Such a result is known as
ing, or chimney collapse, or garage doors col- an Operational Scale (see Table 15-3).
Table 15-3. Enhanced Fujita scale for tornado-damage intensity. (Derived-scale speeds from NOAA Storm Prediction Center.)
Scale Derived Operational Scales Damage Classification Description Relative
Max (from the old Fujita F scale) Frequency
Tangential USA Canada
3 s Gust EF Scale Old
Speed (stat. F Scale
(m/s) miles/h) (km/h)
EF0 29.1 – 38.3 65 – 85 64 – 116 Light damage; some damage to chimneys, TV antennas; 29% 45%
breaks twigs off trees; pushes over shallow-rooted trees.
EF1 38.4 – 49.1 86 – 110 117 – 180 Moderate damage; peels surface off roofs; windows broken; 40% 29%
light trailer homes pushed or turned over; some trees up-
rooted or snapped; moving cars pushed off road.
EF2 49.2 – 61.6 111 – 135 181 – 252 Considerable damage; roofs torn off frame houses leaving 24% 21%
strong upright walls; weak buildings in rural areas demol-
ished; trailer houses destroyed; large trees snapped or up-
rooted; railroad boxcars pushed over; light object missiles
generated; cars blown off roads.
EF3 61.7 – 75.0 136 – 165 253 – 330 Severe damage; roofs and some walls torn off frame houses; 6% 4%
some rural buildings completely destroyed; trains over-
turned; steel-framed hangars or warehouse-type structures
torn; cars lifted off of the ground; most trees in a forest up-
rooted or snapped and leveled.
EF4 75.1 – 89.3 166 – 200 331 – 417 Devastating damage; whole frame houses leveled leaving 2% 1%
piles of debris; steel structures badly damaged; trees de-
barked by small flying debris; cars and trains thrown some
distance or rolled considerable distances; large wind-blown
missiles generated.
EF5 ≥ 89.4 > 200 418 – 509 Incredible damage; whole frame houses tossed off founda- < 1% 0.1%
tion and blown downwind; steel-reinforced concrete struc-
tures badly damaged; automobile-sized missiles generated;
incredible phenomena can occur.
580 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
Appearance
Two processes can make tornadoes visible: wa-
ter droplets and debris (Fig. 15.35). Sometimes these
processes make only the bottom or top part of the XBMM
tornado visible, and rarely the whole tornado is in- DMPVE
visible. Regardless of whether you can see the tor-
nado, if the structure consists of a violently rotating
column of air, then it is classified as a tornado.
Debris can be formed as the tornado destroys
things on the Earth’s surface. The resulting smaller UPSOBEP
DPOEFOTBUJPO
fragments (dirt, leaves, grass, pieces of wood, bugs,
GVOOFM
building materials and papers from houses and
barns) are drawn into the tornado wall and upward,
EFCSJT
creating a visible debris cloud. (Larger items such [ DMPVE
as whole cars can be lifted by the more intense tor-
nadoes and tossed outward, some as much as 30 m.)
If tornadoes move over dry ground, the debris cloud Y
LN
can include dust and sand. Debris clouds form at Figure 15.35
the ground, and can extend to various heights for Condensation funnel and debris cloud.
different tornadoes, including some that extend up
to wall-cloud base.
The water-condensation funnel is caused by low
pressure inside the tornado, which allows air to ex- 1 1
L1B
XBMMDMPVE L1B
associated with the “R” in Fig. 14.61 of the previous
chapter (i.e., do not use the “X”). B
NT
C
Uj ’ = Uj – Us •(15.49)
Vj ’ = Vj – Vs •(15.50)
LN
where (Uj, Vj) are the wind components at height in-
dex j, and the storm motion vector is (Us, Vs). For a su- JWF
9 SFMBU
percell that moves with the 0 to 6 km mean wind: (Us,
TUPSNUPST
WFD
Vs) = (U , V ) from the previous chapter. The vertical
component of storm-relative winds Wj ’ = Wj, because
the thunderstorm does not translate vertically.
3
X
locity that develop near the ground where cool pre-
cipitation-induced downdrafts are adjacent to warm NFTPDZDMPOF
updrafts. The result is vorticity about a nearly hori-
zontal axis (Fig. 15.42b), which can be tilted towards
vertical by the downdraft air near the ground.
DZDMPOJD
Two other theories utilize thunderstorm up-
WFSUJDBMWPSUJDJUZ
drafts to stretch existing cyclonic vertical vorticity.
One suggests that the precipitation-cooled down-
draft will advect the mesocyclone-base downward, TUSFBNXJTF
thereby stretching the vortex and causing it to spin IPSJ[POUBM
∆W ∆V ∆W ∆U
H = U avg · − + Vavg · − + + NFTP
∆y ∆z ∆x ∆z UPSOBEP
DZDMPOF WPSUFY
∆V ∆U [S
Wavg · − UPSOBEP [
∆x ∆y (15.52) Z
B
C
Y
where Uavg = 0.5·(Uj+1 + Uj) is the average U-compo- LN
nent of wind speed between height indices j and j+1. Figure 15.43
Vavg and Wavg are similar. ∆U/∆z = (Uj+1 – Uj)/(zj+1 (a) Sketch of a supercell thunderstorm showing both mesocyclone
–zj), and ∆V/∆z and ∆W/∆z are similar. Helicity units rotation (white arrow) and updraft (black arrow). (b) Cross-sec-
tion showing helical motions (white arrows) in the mesocyclone
are m·s–2, and the differences ∆ should be across
and smaller-diameter but faster rotation of the tornado vortex
very small distances.
(black helix). ζr is relative vorticity, and w is vertical velocity.
588 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
SRH = ∑ H '·∆z
“X”
N −1
Y
=
∑
(V ' j ·U ' j + 1 ) − (U ' j ·V ' j + 1 )
•(15.57)
j=0
where N is the number of layers. j = 0 is the bottom
wind observation (usually at the ground, z = 0), and
3 j = N is the wind observation at the top of the inflow
m region of air. Normally, the inflow region spans all
6 NT
the atmospheric layers from the ground to 1 or 3 km
Figure 15.44 altitude. Units of SRH are m2·s–2.
Storm-relative helicity (SRH) between the surface and z = 3 km
On a hodograph, the SRH is twice the area swept
is twice the shaded area. (a) For “normal” storm motion “X”,
by the storm-relative wind vectors in the inflow re-
based on hodograph of Figs. 14.61 & 15.40a. (b) For right-mov-
ing storm motion “R”, based on the hodograph of Fig. 14.61. gion (Fig. 15.44).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 589
&'
&' UPLN
5PSOBEP4USFOHUI
UPLN
43)
43)
&'
&'
&'
&'
4VQFS
DFMM
4UPSN$BUFHPSZ
supercells have both large CAPE (suggesting strong
updrafts) and large SRH (suggesting strong rota-
4VQFSDFMM
CVUOPUPSOBEP
tion). A composite index called the Energy Helic-
ity Index (EHI) combines these two variables: .BSHJOBMTVQFSDFMM
/POTVQFSDFMMUIVOEFSTUPSN
CAPE · SRH
EHI = •(15.58)
a
&)*LN
where a = 1.6x105 m4·s–4 is an arbitrary constant de- Figure 15.48
signed to make EHI dimensionless and to scale its Statistics of thunderstorm intensity vs. energy helicity index
(EHI) across the 0 to 1 km layer of air. For several hundred
values to lie between 0 and 5 or so. Large values of
storms in central N. America, the black line is the median (50
EHI suggest stronger supercells and tornadoes. percentile); dark grey shading spans 25 to 75 percentiles (the
CAPE values used in EHI are always the positive interquartile range); and light grey spans 10 to 90 percentiles.
area on the sounding between the LFC and the EL.
MLCAPE SRH values can be either for the 0 to 1 km
layer in the hodograph, or for the 0 to 3 km layer.
Table 15-5. Energy Helicity Index (0-3 km EHI) as an
For this reason, EHI is often classified as 0-1 km EHI indicator of possible tornado existence and strength.
or 0-3 km EHI. Also, EHI can be found either from
actual rawinsonde observations, or from forecast EHI Tornado Likelihood
soundings extracted from numerical weather pre- < 1.0 Tornadoes & supercells unlikely.
diction models. 1.0 to 2.0 Supercells with weak, short-lived torna-
Table 15-5 indicates likely tornado strength in does possible. Non-supercell tornadoes
North America as a function of 0-3 km EHI. Cau- possible (such as near bow echoes).
tion: the EHI ranges listed in this table are only 2.0 to 2.5 Supercells likely. Mesocyclone-induced
approximate. If 0-1 km EHI is used instead, then tornadoes possible.
significant tornadoes can occur for EHI as low as 1 2.5 to 3.0 Mesocyclone-induced supercell torna-
or 2, such as shown in Fig. 15.48. To illustrate EHI, does more likely.
Fig. 15.49 shows a forecast weather map of EHI for 24 3.0 to 4.0 Strong mesocyclone-induced tornadoes
May 2006. (EF2 and EF3) possible.
> 4.0 Violent mesocyclone-induced tornadoes
(EF4 and EF5)
&)* possible.
Sample Application
Suppose a prestorm environmental sounding is
analyzed, and shows that the convective available po-
tential energy is 2000 J kg–1, and the storm relative he-
licity is 150 m2 s–2 in the bottom 1 km of atmosphere.
Find the value of energy helicity index, and forecast
the likelihood of severe weather.
Find the Answer:
Given: CAPE = 2000 J kg–1 = 2000 m2 s–2,
SHR0-1km = 150 m2 s–2
Find: EHI = ? (dimensionless)
Use eq. (15.58):
EHI = (2000 m2 s–2) · (150 m2 s–2) / (1.6x105 m4 s–4)
= 1.88
Check: Units dimensionless. Value reasonable.
Exposition: Using this value in Fig. 15.48, there is a
good chance for a tornadic supercell thunderstorm,
Figure 15.49
Map of energy helicity index (EHI) over the 0 to 1 km layer,
and the tornado could be significant (EF2 - EF5). How-
for the 23 UTC case on 24 May 2006, over the USA. Dimen-
ever, there is a slight chance that the thunderstorm will
sionless values greater than 1 are shaded, and suggest stronger
be non-tornadic, or could be a marginal supercell.
supercell storms with greater likelihood of tornadoes.
592 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
B
C
D
where Mrad is the inflow speed (i.e., radial velocity
4 4 4 component,) R MC is the radius of the mesocyclone,
and the zi is the depth of the atmospheric boundary-
[ layer. For the special case of R MC ≈ 2·zi , then:
F
Wind speeds and damage are greatest in these FS
U JT
small suction vortices. The individual vortices not D FO BY
U
only circulate around the perimeter of the parent QBU I C VST
P XO
tornado, but the whole tornado system translates O BE EP
U PS
over the ground as the thunderstorm moves across
the land. Thus, each vortex traces a cycloidal pat-
tern on the ground, which is evident in post-tornado
aerial photographs as cycloidal damage paths to
/PSUI
Review
Supercell thunderstorms can create tornadic front. Dust storms (haboobs) and arc clouds are
winds, straight-line winds, downbursts, lightning, sometimes created by gust fronts.
heavy rain, hail, and vigorous turbulence. As ice crystals and graupel particles collide they
Larger hail is possible in storms with stronger each transfer a small amount of charge. Summed
updraft velocities, which is related to CAPE. When over billions of such collisions in a thunderstorm,
precipitation falls into drier air, both precipitation sufficient voltage gradient builds up to create light-
drag and evaporative cooling can cause acceleration ning. The heat from lightning expands air to create
of downdraft winds. When the downburst wind the shock and sound waves we call thunder. Hori-
hits the ground, it spreads out into straight-line zontal wind shear can be tilted into the vertical to
winds, the leading edge of which is called a gust create mesocyclones and tornadoes.
594 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
B2. Search the web for (and print the best examples B12. Search the web for private companies that pro-
of) radar reflectivity images of vide storm-chasing tours/adventures/safaris for
a. hook echoes paying clients. List 5 or more, including their web
b. gust fronts addresses, physical location, and what they special-
c. tornadoes ize in.
Discuss the features of your resulting image(s) with
respect to information you learned in this chapter. B13. Blue jets, red sprites, and elves are electrical
discharges that can be seen as very brief glows in
B3. Search the web for (and print the best example the mesosphere. They are often found at 30 to 90 km
of) real-time maps of lightning locations, as found altitude over thunderstorms. Summarize and print
from a lightning detection network or from satellite. info from the internet about these discharges, and
Print a sequence of 3 images at about 30 minute in- included some images.
tervals, and discuss how you can diagnose thunder-
storm movement and evolution from the change in B14. Search the web for, and print one best example
the location of lightning-strike clusters. of, tornadoes associated with hurricanes.
B4. Search the web for discussion of the health ef- B15. Search the web for a complete list of tornado
fects of being struck by lightning, and write or print outbreaks and/or tornado outbreak sequences.
a concise summary. Include information about how Print 5 additional outbreaks that were large and/or
to resuscitate people who were struck. important, but which weren’t already included in
this chapter in the list of outbreaks. Focus on more-
B5. Search the web for, and summarize or print, rec- recent outbreaks.
ommendations for safety with respect to:
a. lightning b. tornadoes B16. With regard to tornadoes, search the web for
c. straight-line winds and derechoes info to help you discuss the relative safety or dan-
d. hail gers of:
e. flash floods a. being in a storm shelter
f. thunderstorms (in general) b. being in an above-ground tornado safe room
c. being in a mobile home or trailer
B6. Search the web (and print the best examples of) d. hiding under bridges and overpasses
maps that show the frequency of occurrence of: e. standing above ground near tornadoes
a. tornadoes & tornado deaths
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 595
A15. Given a lightning discharge current (kA) below A21(§). If lightning heats the air to the temperature
and a voltage difference between the beginning to (K) given below, then plot (on a log-log graph) the
end of the lightning channel of 1010 V, find (1) the speed (Mach number), pressure (as ratio relative to
resistance of the ionized lightning channel and (2) background pressure), and radius of the shock front
the amount of charge (C) transferred between the vs. time given ambient background pressure of 100
cloud and the ground during the 20 µs lifetime of kPa and temperature 20°C.
the lightning stroke. a. 16,000 b. 17,000 c. 18,000 d. 19,000
a. 2 b. 4 c. 6 d. 8 e. 10 f. 15 g. 20 e. 20,000 f. 21,000 g. 22,000 h. 23,000
h. 40 i. 60 j. 80 k. 100 l. 150 m. 200 n. 400 i. 24,000 j. 25,000 k. 26,000 l. 27,000
m. 28,000 n. 29,000 o. 30,000
A16. To create lightning in (1) dry air, and (2) cloudy
air, what voltage difference is required, given a A22. What is the speed of sound in calm air of tem-
lightning stroke length (km) of: perature (°C):
a. 0.2 b. 0.4 c. 0.6 d. 0.8 e. 1 f. 1.2 g. 1.4 a. –20 b. –18 c. –16 d. –14 e. –12
h. 1.6 i. 1.8 j. 2.0 k. 2.5 l. 3 m. 4 n. 5 f. –10 g. –8 h. –6 i. –4 j. –2
k. 0 l. 2 m. 4 n. 6 o. 8
A17. For an electrical potential across the atmo- p. 10 q. 12 r. 14 s. 16 t. 18
sphere of 1.3x105 V km–1, find the current density if
the resistivity (Ω·m) is: A23(§). Create a graph with three curves for the
a. 5x1013 b. 1x1013 c. 5x1012 d. 1x1012 e. 5x1011 time interval between the “flash” of lightning and
f. 1x1011 g. 5x1010 h. 1x1010 i. 5x109 j. 1x109 the “bang” of thunder vs. distance from the light-
k. 5x108 l. 1x108 m. 5x107 n. 1x107 o. 5x106 ning. One curve should be zero wind, and the other
two are for tail and head winds of magnitude (m s–1)
A18. What is the value of peak current in a lightning given below. Given Tenvironment = 295 K.
stroke, as estimated using a lightning detection net- a. 2 b. 4 c. 6 d. 8 e. 10 f. 12 g. 14
work, given the following measurements of electri- h. 16 i. 18 j. 20 k. 22 l. 24 m. 26 n. 28
cal field E and distance D from the ground station.
–E (V m–1) D (km)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 597
E10. A raindrop falling through unsaturated air E16. At the end of the INFO box about “Electricity
will cool to a certain temperature because some of in a Channel” is given an estimate of the energy dis-
the drop evaporates. State the name of this tempera- sipated by a lightning stroke. Compare this energy
ture. to:
a. The total latent heat available to the thunder-
E11. Suppose that an altocumulus (mid-tropospher- storm, given a typical inflow of moisture.
ic) cloud exists within an environment having a b. The total latent heat actually liberated based
linear, conditionally unstable, temperature profile on the amount of rain falling out of a storm.
with height. Rain-laden air descends from this little c. The kinetic energy associated with updrafts
cloud, warming at the moist adiabatic rate as it de- and downbursts and straight-line winds.
scends. Because this warming rate is less than the d. The CAPE.
conditionally unstable lapse rate of the environment,
the temperature perturbation of the air relative to E17. Look at both INFO boxes on electricity. Relate:
the environment becomes colder as it descends. a. voltage to electrical field strength
But at some point, all the rain has evaporated. b. resistance to resistivity
Descent below this altitude continues because the c. current to current density
air parcel is still colder than the environment. How- d. power to current density & electrical poten-
ever, during this portion of descent, the air parcel tial.
warms dry adiabatically, and eventually reaches an
altitude where its temperature equals that of the en- E18. If the electrical charging process in thunder-
vironment. At this point, its descent stops. Thus, storms depends on the presence of ice, then why is
there is a region of strong downburst that does NOT lightning most frequently observed in the tropics?
reach the ground. Namely, it can be a hazard to
aircraft even if it is not detected by surface-based E19. a. Lightning of exactly 12 kA occurs with what
wind-shear sensors. probability?
Draw this process on a thermo diagram, and b. Lightning current in the range of 8 to 12 kA
show how the depth of the downburst depends on occurs with what probability?
the amount of liquid water available to evaporate.
E20. How does the shape of the lightning surge
E12. Demonstrate that eq. (15.10) equates kinetic en- curve change with changes of parameters τ1 and τ2?
ergy with potential energy. Also, what assumptions
are implicit in this relationship? E21. Show why eqs. (15.22) and (15.32) are equivalent
ways to express the speed of sound, assuming no
E13. Eqs. (15.12) and (15.13) show how vertical ve- wind.
locities (wd) are tied to horizontal velocities (M) via
pressure perturbations P’. Such coupling is generi- E22. Do you suspect that nuclear explosions behave
cally called a circulation, and is the dynamic process more like chemical explosions or like lightning, re-
that helps to maintain the continuity of air (namely, garding the resulting shock waves, pressure, and
the uniform distribution of air molecules in space). density? Why?
Discuss how horizontal outflow winds are related
to DCAPE. E23. The equations for shock wave propagation from
lightning assumed an isopycnal processes. Critique
E14. Draw a graph of gust-front advancement speed this assumption.
and thickness vs. range R from the downburst cen-
ter. Do what-if experiments regarding how those E24. In Earth’s atmosphere, describe the conditions
curves change with needed for the speed of sound to be zero relative to
a. outflow air virtual temperature? a coordinate system fixed to the ground. How likely
b. downburst speed? are these conditions?
E15. Fig. 15.21 shows large accumulations of elec- E25. What might control the max distance from
trical charge in thunderstorm clouds. Why don’t lightning that you could hear thunder, if refraction
the positive and negative charge areas continually was not an issue?
discharge against each other to prevent significant
charge accumulation, instead of building up such E26. Show how the expression of Snell’s law in an
large accumulations as can cause lightning? environment with gradually changing temperature
600 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
(eq. 15.36) is equivalent to, or reduces to, Snell’s law the RCV, to explain the differences between the two
across an interface (eq. 15.35). curves.
E27. Show that eq. (15.39) for Snell’s Law reduces to E31. For the Rankine combined vortex (RCV), both
eq. (15.34) in the limit of zero wind. the tangential wind speed and the pressure deficit
are forced to match at the boundary between the tor-
E28. Use Bernoulli’s equation from the Regional nado core and the outer region. Does the pressure
Winds chapter to derive the relationship between gradient also match at that point? If not, discuss any
tornadic core pressure deficit and tangential wind limitations that you might suggest on the RCV.
speed. State all of your assumptions. What are the
limitations of the result? E32. Suppose a suction vortex with max tangential
speed Ms tan is moving around a parent tornado of
E29(§). Suppose that the actual tangential velocity tangential speed Mp tan, and the parent tornado is
in a tornado is described by a Rankine combined translating at speed Mtr . Determine how the max
vortex (RCV). Doppler radars, however, cannot speed varies with position along the resulting cy-
measure radial velocities at any point, but instead cloidal damage path.
observe velocities averaged across the radar beam
width. So the Doppler radar sees a smoothed ver- E33. The TORRO scale is related to the Beaufort
sion of the Rankine combined vortex. It is this wind scale (B) by:
smoothed tangential velocity shape that is called a
tornado vortex signature (TVS), and for which B = 2 · (T + 4) (15.63)
the Doppler-radar computers are programmed to
recognize. This exercise is to create the tangential The Beaufort scale is discussed in detail in the Hur-
velocity curve similar to Fig. 15.34, but for a TVS. ricane chapter, and is used to classify ocean storms
Let ∆D be the diameter of radar beam at some and sea state. Create a graph of Beaufort scale vs.
range from the radar, and Ro be the core radius of TORRO scale. Why cannot the Beaufort scale be
tornado. The actual values of ∆D and Ro are not used to classify tornadoes?
important: instead consider the dimensionless ratio
∆D/Ro. Compute the TVS velocity at any distance R E34. Volcanic eruptions can create blasts of gas that
from the center of the tornado as the average of all knock down trees (as at Mt. St. Helens, WA, USA).
the RCV velocities between radii of [(R/ Ro)–(∆D/2Ro)] The air burst from astronomical meteors speeding
and [(R/ Ro )+(∆D/2Ro)], and repeat this calculation through the atmosphere can also knock down trees
for many values of R/Ro to get a curve. This process (as in Tunguska, Siberia). Explain how you could
is called a running average. Create this curve for use the TORRO scale to classify these winds.
∆D/Ro of:
a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0 E35. Suppose that tangential winds around a tor-
h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 0.9 k. 0.8 l. 0.7 m. 0.6 n. 0.5 nado involve a balance between pressure-gradient
Hint: Either do this by analytically integrating the force, centrifugal force, and Coriolis force. Show that
RCV across the radar beam width, or by brute-force anticyclonically rotating tornadoes would have fast-
averaging of RCV values computed using a spread- er tangential velocity than cyclonic tornadoes, given
sheet. the same pressure gradient. Also, for anticyclonic
tornadoes, are their any tangential velocity ranges
E30(§). For tornadoes, an alternative approximation that are excluded from the solution of the equations
for tangential velocities Mtan as a function of radius (i.e., are not physically possible)? Assume N. Hem.
R is given by the Burgers-Rott Vortex (BRV) equa-
tion: E36. Does the outside edge of a tornado condensa-
tion funnel have to coincide with the location of fast-
Mtan R est winds? If not, then is it possible for the debris
= 1.398· o ·1 − e −(1.12·R/Ro )
2
Mtan max R (15.62) cloud (formed in the region of strongest winds) ra-
dius to differ from the condensation funnel radius?
where Ro is the core radius. Discuss.
Plot this curve, and on the same graph replot the
Rankine combined vortex (RCV) curve (similar to E37. Given a fixed temperature and dew point, eq.
Fig. 15.33). Discuss what physical processes in the (15.48) gives us the pressure at the outside edge of
tornado might be included in the BRV that are not in the condensation funnel.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 601
a. Is it physically possible (knowing the govern- Then use inductive reasoning and generalize your
ing equations) for the pressure deficit at the tornado approach to arbitrary wind vectors.)
axis to be higher than the pressure deficit at the vis-
ible condensation funnel? Why? E44. What are the advantages and disadvantages of
b. If the environmental temperature and dew eSRH and EHI relative to SRH?
point don’t change, can we infer that the central
pressure deficit of a large-radius tornado is lower E45. Suppose the swirl ratio is 1 for a tornado of
than that for a small-radius tornado? Why or why radius 300 m in a boundary layer 1 km deep. Find
not? the radial velocity and core pressure deficit for each
tornado intensity of the
E38. Gustnadoes and dust devils often look very a. Enhanced Fujita scale. b. TORRO scale.
similar, but are formed by completely different
mechanisms. Compare and contrast the processes E46. One physical interpretation of the denomina-
that create and enhance the vorticity in these vor- tor in the swirl ratio (eq. 15.60) is that it indicates the
tices. volume of inflow air (per crosswind distance) that
reaches the tornado from outside. Provide a similar
E39. From Fig. 15.40a, you see that the winds at 1 km interpretation for the swirl-ratio numerator.
above ground are coming from the southeast. Yet,
if you were riding with the storm, the storm relative E47. The cycloidal damage sketched in Fig. 15.51
winds that you would feel at 1 km altitude would shows a pattern in between that of a true cycloid and
be from the northeast, as shown for the same data a circle. Look up in another reference what the true
in Fig. 15.40b. Explain how this is possible; namely, cycloid shape is, and discuss what type of tornado
explain how the storm has boundary layer inflow behavior would cause damage paths of this shape.
entering it from the northeast even though the ac-
tual wind direction is from the southeast.
Synthesize
E40. Consider Fig. 15.42.
S1. Since straight-line outflow winds exist sur-
a. What are the conceptual (theoretical) differenc-
rounding downbursts that hit the surface, would
es between streamwise vorticity, and the vorticity
you expect similar hazardous outflow winds where
around a local-vertical axis as is usually studied in
the updraft hits the tropopause? Justify your argu-
meteorology?
ments.
b. If it is the streamwise (horizontal axis) vorticity
that is tilted to give vorticity about a vertical axis,
S2. Suppose that precipitation loading in an air par-
why don’t we see horizontal-axis tornadoes forming
cel caused the virtual temperature to increase, not
along with the usual vertical tornadoes in thunder-
decrease. How would thunderstorms differ, if at
storms? Explain.
all?
E41. Compare eq. (15.51) with the full vorticity-ten-
S3. If hailstones were lighter than air, discuss how
dency equation from the Extratropical Cyclone chap-
thunderstorms would differ, if at all.
ter, and discuss the differences. Are there any terms
in the full vorticity equation that you feel should not
S4. If all hailstones immediately split into two when
have been left out of eq. (15.51)? Justify your argu-
they reach a diameter of 2 cm, describe how hail
ments.
storms would differ, if at all.
E42. Show that eq. (15.57) is equivalent to eq. (15.56).
S5. Are downbursts equally hazardous to both
(Hint: use the average-wind definition given imme-
light-weight, small private aircraft and heavy fast
diately after eq. (15.55).)
commercial jets? Justify your arguments?
E43. Show mathematically that the area swept out
S6. Suppose that precipitation did not cause a
by the storm-relative winds on a hodograph (such as
downward drag on the air, and that evaporation of
the shaded area in Fig. 15.44) is indeed exactly half
precipitation did not cool the air. Nonetheless, as-
the storm-relative helicity. (Hint: Create a simple
sume that thunderstorms have a heavy precipitation
hodograph with a small number of wind vectors
region. How would thunderstorms differ, if at all?
in easy-to-use directions, for which you can easily
calculate the shaded areas between wind vectors.
602 chapter 15 • thunderstorm Hazards
16 Tropical Cyclones
100 km
Tropical Cyclone Structure
eye
Figure 16.3
Hurricane Isabel as viewed from the International Space Station on 13 Sep 2003. The hurricane eye is outlined with the thin black
oval, while the outflow from the eyewall thunderstorms fills most of this image. For scale comparison, the white circle outlines a nearby
thunderstorm of depth and diameter of roughly 15 km. [Image courtesy of NASA - Johnson Spaceflight Center.]
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 605
USPQPQBVTF
DJSSVTPVUGMPX
HFOUMF HFOUMF
TVCTJEFODF FZF TVCTJEFODF
[
4U 4U
Figure 16.5
Vertical slice through a tropical cyclone. Green, yellow, orange,
and red colors suggest the moderate to heavy rainfall as seen by
radar. Light blue represents stratiform (St) clouds. The lighter
rain that falls from the lower stratiform cloud deck of real tropi-
cal cyclones is not shown here. Tropopause altitude ≈ 15 km.
Tropical-cyclone width ≈ 1500 km. Fair-weather trade-wind
cumulus (Cu) clouds are sketched with grey shading. Arrows
show radial and vertical wind directions.
Figure 16.4
NOAA GOES satellite -derived 3-D rendering of hurricane
Floyd at 2015 UTC on 15 Sep 1999, showing asymmetric out-
flow of this Category 4 storm extending 1000s of km north, past
the Great Lakes into Canada. The eye is in the NW Atlantic just
to the east of the Georgia-Florida border, USA. The sea-surface
temperature for this storm is in Fig. 16.51 at the end of this
chapter. [Image by Hal Pierce is courtesy of the Laboratory for
Atmospheres, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center.]
Table 16-2. Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale — Description of Expected Damage — Examples.
Cate- Concise Statement
gory Damage Expected
Examples
1 Very dangerous winds will produce some damage.
People, livestock, and pets struck by flying or falling debris could be injured or killed. Older (mainly pre-1994 construction) mobile homes
could be destroyed, especially if they are not anchored properly as they tend to shift or roll off their foundations. Newer mobile homes that
are anchored properly can sustain damage involving the removal of shingle or metal roof coverings, and loss of vinyl siding, as well as dam-
age to carports, sunrooms, or lanais. Some poorly constructed frame homes can experience major damage, involving loss of the roof cover-
ing and damage to gable ends as well as the removal of porch coverings and awnings. Unprotected windows may break if struck by flying
debris. Masonry chimneys can be toppled. Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof shingles, vinyl siding, soffit panels,
and gutters. Failure of aluminum, screened-in, swimming pool enclosures can occur. Some apartment building and shopping center roof
coverings could be partially removed. Industrial buildings can lose roofing and siding especially from windward corners, rakes, and eaves.
Failures to overhead doors and unprotected windows will be common. Windows in high-rise buildings can be broken by flying debris. Fall-
ing and broken glass will pose a significant danger even after the storm. There will be occasional damage to commercial signage, fences, and
canopies. Large branches of trees will snap and shallow rooted trees can be toppled. Extensive damage to power lines and poles will likely
result in power outages that could last a few to several days.
Hurricane Dolly (2008) brought Category 1 winds and impacts to South Padre Island, Texas.
2 Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage.
There is a substantial risk of injury or death to people, livestock, and pets due to flying and falling debris. Older (mainly pre-1994 construc-
tion) mobile homes have a very high chance of being destroyed and the flying debris generated can shred nearby mobile homes. Newer
mobile homes can also be destroyed. Poorly constructed frame homes have a high chance of having their roof structures removed especially
if they are not anchored properly. Unprotected windows will have a high probability of being broken by flying debris. Well-constructed
frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Failure of aluminum, screened-in, swimming pool enclosures will be common.
There will be a substantial percentage of roof and siding damage to apartment buildings and industrial buildings. Unreinforced masonry
walls can collapse. Windows in high-rise buildings can be broken by flying debris. Falling and broken glass will pose a significant danger
even after the storm. Commercial signage, fences, and canopies will be damaged and often destroyed. Many shallowly rooted trees will be
snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near-total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to weeks.
Potable water could become scarce as filtration systems begin to fail.
Hurricane Frances (2004) brought Category 2 winds and impacts to coastal portions of Port St. Lucie, Florida.
3 Devastating damage will occur.
There is a high risk of injury or death to people, livestock, and pets due to flying and falling debris. Nearly all older (pre-1994) mobile homes
will be destroyed. Most newer mobile homes will sustain severe damage with potential for complete roof failure and wall collapse. Poorly
constructed frame homes can be destroyed by the removal of the roof and exterior walls. Unprotected windows will be broken by flying
debris. Well-built frame homes can experience major damage involving the removal of roof decking and gable ends. There will be a high
percentage of roof covering and siding damage to apartment buildings and industrial buildings. Isolated structural damage to wood or steel
framing can occur. Complete failure of older metal buildings is possible, and older unreinforced masonry buildings can collapse. Numerous
windows will be blown out of high-rise buildings resulting in falling glass, which will pose a threat for days to weeks after the storm. Most
commercial signage, fences, and canopies will be destroyed. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity
and water will be unavailable for several days to a few weeks after the storm passes.
Hurricane Ivan (2004) brought Category 3 winds and impacts to coastal portions of Gulf Shores, Alabama.
4 Catastrophic damage will occur.
There is a very high risk of injury or death to people, livestock, and pets due to flying and falling debris. Nearly all older (pre-1994) mobile
homes will be destroyed. A high percentage of newer mobile homes also will be destroyed. Poorly constructed homes can sustain complete
collapse of all walls as well as the loss of the roof structure. Well-built homes also can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof
structure and/or some exterior walls. Extensive damage to roof coverings, windows, and doors will occur. Large amounts of windborne
debris will be lofted into the air. Windborne debris damage will break most unprotected windows and penetrate some protected windows.
There will be a high percentage of structural damage to the top floors of apartment buildings. Steel frames in older industrial buildings can
collapse. There will be a high percentage of collapse to older unreinforced masonry buildings. Most windows will be blown out of high-
rise buildings resulting in falling glass, which will pose a threat for days to weeks after the storm. Nearly all commercial signage, fences,
and canopies will be destroyed. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate
residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Long-term water shortages will increase human suffering. Most of
the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
Hurricane Charley (2004) brought Category 4 winds and impacts to coastal portions of Punta Gorda, Florida.
5 Catastrophic damage will occur.
People, livestock, and pets are at very high risk of injury or death from flying or falling debris, even if indoors in mobile homes or framed
homes. Almost complete destruction of all mobile homes will occur, regardless of age or construction. A high percentage of frame homes
will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Extensive damage to roof covers, windows, and doors will occur. Large amounts
of windborne debris will be lofted into the air. Windborne debris damage will occur to nearly all unprotected windows and many protected
windows. Significant damage to wood roof commercial buildings will occur due to loss of roof sheathing. Complete collapse of many older
metal buildings can occur. Most unreinforced masonry walls will fail which can lead to the collapse of the buildings. A high percentage
of industrial buildings and low-rise apartment buildings will be destroyed. Nearly all windows will be blown out of high-rise buildings
resulting in falling glass, which will pose a threat for days to weeks after the storm. Nearly all commercial signage, fences, and canopies will
be destroyed. Nearly all trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential
areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Long-term water shortages will increase human suffering. Most of the area will
be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
Hurricane Andrew (1992) brought Category 5 winds and impacts to coastal portions of Cutler Ridge, Florida.
From an online report “The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale”, National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, NOAA. 2010.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 607
T (°C): 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 27 30
Figure 16.8
Sea surface temperatures (°C) at 00 UTC on 27 Sep 2003.
[Courtesy of the USA Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Ocean-
ography Center (FNMOC).] cyclones continue to turn toward the northeast as
they proceed further into the mid-latitudes and en-
counter west winds in the global circulation.
A striking observation in Fig. 16.7 is that no trop-
ical cyclones form at the equator. Also, none cross
the equator. The next section explains why.
Evolution
-BUJUVEF
5FNQFSBUVSF
5ISFTIPME
eye, causing pressure to increase towards ambient m
values. The result is that the low pressure would ]GD]
disappear, winds would die, and the tropical cy-
clone would cease to exist in less than a day. This is
m
what happens to tropical cyclones that approach the
equator (Fig. 16.10).
But with Coriolis force, winds in the bottom half 445 $
PS]GD] mTm
of the troposphere are forced around the eye at gra- Figure 16.10
dient- or cyclostrophic-wind speeds. Namely, most Approximate zonal average sea-surface temperature SST (°C,
of the air is flowing tangentially around the eye thick solid line) averaged around the globe during 3 Aug 2009.
rather than flowing radially into it. Only close to the Also shown is the max SST (°C, thin dashed line) on that day
ground does drag change the winds into boundary- at each latitude. The magnitude of the Coriolis parameter fc
layer gradient winds, resulting in a small amount (10 –5 s –1) is the thin solid line. Dotted line is the SST threshold
of convergence toward the eye. Thus, the tropical of 26.5°C for tropical cyclones. Those latitudes that exceed the
temperature threshold and have Coriolis parameter that is not
cyclone can persist for many days.
near zero are favored locations for tropical cyclones (shaded me-
dium grey). Tropical cyclones can also occur in limited regions
Nonlocal Conditional Instability (shaded light grey) at other latitudes where the max SST exceeds
Because tropical cyclones are made of thunder- the threshold. “Excluded latitudes” are those for which Coriolis
storms, the tropical environment must have suf- force is too small.
ficient nonlocal conditional instability to support As the seasons progress, the location of peak SST shifts,
deep thunderstorm convection. Namely, there must causing the favored latitudes to differ from this particular Au-
be a stable layer (i.e., a cap) above a warm humid gust example.
boundary layer, and the mid-troposphere must be
relatively cool compared to the boundary layer.
The warm humid boundary layer is achieved via
strong heat and moisture fluxes from the warm sea Note that this differs from mid-latitude thunder-
surface into the air. The cap is the trade-wind inver- storms, where a drier mid-troposphere allows more
sion that was discussed in the General Circulation violent thunderstorms. When dry environmental
chapter. These conditions, combined with a cool air is entrained into the sides of mid-latitude thun-
mid troposphere, lead to large values of convective derstorms, some of the storm’s hydrometeors evapo-
available potential energy (CAPE), as was thorough- rate, causing the strong downdrafts that define su-
ly explained in the Thunderstorm chapter. Hence, percell storms and which create downbursts, gust
large values of CAPE imply sufficient nonlocal con- fronts, and can help trigger tornadoes.
ditional instability for tropical cyclones. In the tropics, such downbursts from any one
thunderstorm can disrupt neighboring thunder-
High Humidity in the Mid-troposphere storms, reducing the chance that neighboring thun-
In a deep layer of air centered at roughly 5 km derstorms can work together in an incipient eyewall.
above sea level, humidity must be high. Otherwise, Also, the cold downburst air accumulates at the bot-
the incipient thunderstorms cannot continue to grow tom of the troposphere, thereby increasing static sta-
and become organized into tropical cyclones. bility and reducing deep convection.
610 chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones
ITCZ
*5$; The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ,
&2
see General Circulation chapter) is the region where
*5$; the northeasterly trade winds from the Northern
Hemisphere meet the southeasterly trade winds
from the Southern Hemisphere. This convergence
zone shifts between about 10°N during August and
41 41
September (end of N. Hemisphere summer, Fig.
Figure 16.11. Sketch of the Earth showing the Intertropical 16.11), and 10°S during February and March (end of
Convergence Zone (ITCZ, double solid line) for the early Au-
S. Hemisphere summer). During these months of
tumn tropical-cyclone seasons during (a) August and (b) Febru-
maximum asymmetry in global heating, the ITCZ
ary. NP = North Pole. SP = South Pole. EQ = equator.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 611
)JHIMBOET
&UIJPQJBO
"&+FU 4BIFM
Peninsula are even hotter. This temperature excess $BQF
7FSEF 4VEBO
is within an atmospheric boundary layer that can *TMBOET
reach 5 km depth by late afternoon, although aver- $POHP
Dh
age depth over 24 h is about 3 km. Thus, along the
4PVUI
southern edge of the Sahara and the Arabian Penin- "UMBOUJD "GSJDB
sula is a strong temperature gradient (Fig. 16.12). 0DFBO
As explained in the thermal-wind section of the
General Circulation chapter, a north-south tempera- 4
ture gradient creates a north-south pressure gradi-
ent that increases with altitude (up to the top of the 8 & &
boundary layer for this scenario). For Africa, higher
pressure aloft is over the Sahara Desert and lower
pressure aloft is further south over the Sudan and C
Congo.
[ 1L1B
This pressure gradient drives a geostrophic wind LN
from the east over the African Sahel (at about 15°N).
These winds reach maximum speeds of 10 to 25 m "&+FU
s–1 at an altitude of about 3 km in late summer. This )05
is called the African Easterly Jet (AEJ).
CPVOEBSZ
Like the subtropical and mid-latitude jets, the
AEJ is barotropically and baroclinically unstable. MBZFS
This means that the jet tends to meander north and D 4BIBSB 4BIFM 4VEBO Dh
south while blowing from east to west. The moun-
/PSUI 4PVUI
tains in eastern Africa (Ethiopia Highlands and
Darfur Mountains) can trigger such oscillations.
The oscillations in this low-altitude jet are called Figure 16.12
waves, and are known as Easterly Waves because African Easterly (A.E.) Jet. (a) Map of Africa. (b) Vertical
the wave troughs and crests move from the east at cross section along c - c’ in (a), where thin black ovals represent
isotachs around the core of the AEJ. Grey area indicates hot air.
speeds of 7 to 8 m s–1. These waves have wavelength
Note the low altitude of this A.E. jet.
of about 2,000 to 2,500 km, and have a wave period
of 3 to 4 days. Although these waves are created
over Africa, they continue to propagate west across
the tropical North Atlantic, the Caribbean, central
America, and finally into the tropical Northeast Pa-
cific (Fig. 16.13).
Easterly waves can trigger tropical cyclones be-
cause of the low-altitude convergence that occurs
/"UMBOUJD
east of the wave troughs. These waves are found /"NFSJDB
predominantly in a latitude band between 10°N and / )JHI1SFTTVSF
30°N, where there is lower pressure to the south
and the subtropical high-pressure belt to the north. -PX1SFT 1L1B
Thus, a trough of low pressure in an easterly wave
4"NFSJDB 4 "GSJDB
corresponds to a region where the isobars meander "UMBOUJD
to the north (Fig. 16.14) in the N. Hemisphere.
Because the pressure gradient is weak and some- 8 8 8 8 &
times difficult to analyze from sparsely spaced
weather stations in this region, tropical meteorolo- Figure 16.13
gists will often look at the streamlines instead of iso- Easterly waves near the bottom of the troposphere. Wavelength
bars. Streamlines are weather-map lines that are ev- is roughly 20° to 25° of longitude (≈ 2000 to 2500 km). Isobars
erywhere parallel to the flow at any instant in time of sea-level pressure are solid lines with arrows. Wave troughs
propagate toward the west.
612 chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones
B
/PSUI )JHI (see the Regional Winds chapter). They more-or-less
)JHI L1B
follow the isobars. Thus, regions where streamlines
$ $ for low-altitude winds meander to the north can also
$ $
be used to locate troughs in the easterly waves.
Recall that mid-latitude cyclones are favored in
TUS $ $ the updrafts under divergence regions in the polar
FB
NMJOFT jet (centered at the top of the troposphere). However,
$ $
for tropical cyclogenesis we also look for updrafts
8FTU
-PX
&BTU
-PX
L1B
above the convergence regions of the jet near the
4PVUI
bottom of the troposphere (Fig. 16.15a).
Where are these convergence regions in easter-
/PSUI ly waves? According to the Atmospheric Forces &
C
'BWP HFOFTJT
around troughs, and faster around ridges. This
rule continues to hold in the tropics and subtropics.
I
I
USPVH
USPVH
SFE
SFE
ZDMP
ZDMP
SJEHF
SJEHF
JDBM$
JDBM$
TUS
FBN JOFT
slow outflow is east of the trough axis (Fig. 16.14a).
M
5SPQ
5SPQ
TUTT 64"
TUTT stands for Tropical Upper Tropospheric )
Trough. This is a high-altitude cold-core low-pres-
OU
sure system that can form in the subtropics. East of $
GSP
'-
M
E
the TUTT axis is a region of horizontal divergence DP
aloft, which creates upward motion below it in or- $
(VMGPG $
der to satisfy air mass continuity (Fig. 16.15b). This .FYJDP
upward motion can help trigger thunderstorms as
precursors to tropical cyclones.
Figure 16.17
Life Cycle Lower tropospheric convergence (C) along a cold front over
Florida (FL), USA.
At locations where all of the necessary conditions
are met (including any one trigger), the incipient
tropical cyclones usually progress through the fol-
lowing intensification stages: tropical disturbance,
tropical depression, tropical storm, tropical cyclone. near the top of the troposphere in the region of this
cluster.
Tropical Disturbance
The US National Hurricane Center defines a Tropical Depression (TD)
tropical disturbance as “a discrete tropical weath- The high-pressure aloft begins to create a thermal
er system of apparently organized convection - gen- circulation (see General Circulation chapter), where
erally 200 to 600 km in diameter — originating in the air aloft is driven horizontally outward — down the
tropics or subtropics, having a nonfrontal migratory pressure gradient toward the lower pressure outside
character, and maintaining its identity for 24 hours of the cluster. This diverging air aloft also starts to
or more.” Namely, it is a cluster of thunderstorms rotate anticyclonically.
that stay together as they move across the ocean. The outward moving air aloft removes air mol-
This thunderstorm cluster is visible by satellite ecules from the thunderstorm cluster region of the
as consisting distinct thunderstorms with their own troposphere, thereby lowering the surface pressure
anvils and separate precipitation regions. There is under the cluster. The “depressed” pressure at sea
no eye, and little or no rotation visible. Some tropi- level is why this stage gets its name: tropical de-
cal disturbances form out of Mesoscale Convec- pression. Tropical depressions are given an identi-
tive Systems (MCSs), particularly those that de- fication number, starting with number 1 each year.
velop a Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV, see As this weak surface low forms, it creates a pres-
the Thunderstorm chapter). Some are identified as sure gradient that starts to suck winds horizontally
the thunderstorm clusters that move with easterly toward the center of the low. This inflowing air be-
waves. gins rotating cyclonically due to Coriolis force. The
Most tropical disturbances do not evolve into surface low pressure is usually too weak to measure
tropical cyclones. Hence, tropical disturbances are directly. However, this tropical depression stage is
not usually named or numbered. However, tropical defined by measurable near-surface winds of 17 m s–
meteorologists watch them carefully as they evolve, 1 or less (Table 16-4) turning cyclonically as a closed
as potential future tropical cyclones. circulation around the cluster. There is still no eye
As condensation and precipitation continue in at this stage, however the thunderstorms are becom-
this thunderstorm cluster, more and more latent ing aligned in spiral rain bands (Fig. 16.18). Most
heat is released in those storms. Namely, the mid- tropical depressions do not strengthen further.
tropospheric air near this cluster becomes warmer However, for the few storms that do continue to
than the surrounding ambient air. According to the strengthen, the near-surface winds are boundary-
hypsometric relationship, pressure decreases more layer gradient winds that spiral in towards the cen-
slowly with increasing altitude in this warm region. ter of the cluster. This radial inflow draws in more
Thus, a synoptic-scale high-pressure starts to form warm humid boundary-layer air, thereby refueling
614 chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones
USA
(c)
N.E. Pacific
Ocean Mexico W. Atlantic
Gulf of Ocean
Mexico
Figure 16.19
Visible satellite image at 17:45 UTC on 15 Sep 2004, showing four tropical systems. From left to right: (a) Hurricane Isis, (b) Hur-
ricane Javier, (c) Hurricane Ivan, (d) Tropical Storm Jeanne. This image covers the eastern N. Pacific Ocean, Central America, Gulf of
Mexico, Caribbean Ocean, and western N. Atlantic. (Image courtesy of University of Wisconsin–Madison CIMSS/ SSEC.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 615
8
Tropical Cyclone (Hurricane, Typhoon)
Roughly half of the tropical storms in the Atlan- Figure 16.20
tic continue to strengthen into tropical cyclones. By Monsoon sea-level pressure (kPa) pattern for July (copied from
the General Circulation chapter), with isobars as thin black
this stage there is a well defined eye surrounded by
lines. Winds and average tropical cyclone tracks (dark arrows)
an eyewall of thunderstorms. Max wind speeds are
tend to follow the isobars around the monsoon highs, although
33 m s–1 or greater in a closed circulation around actual tracks are quite variable.
the eye. The central dense overcast usually has a
cloud-free eye. The weather map symbol for a tropi-
cal cyclone is .
There is heavy precipitation from the eyewall lantic might never hit N. America. Other tracks can
thunderstorms, and the core of the storm is signifi- be along the East Coast of North America, causing
cantly warmer than the environment outside the significant damage to coastal cities. Yet other tracks
storm. Sea-level pressure decrease in the eye is mea- continue further westward across the Caribbean
surable and significant, and a rise of sea level into a Sea and into the Gulf of Mexico before reaching the
storm surge is possible. The storm organization al- mainland.
lows it to persist for days to weeks as it moves across
ocean basins (Fig. 16.19a-c). Extratropical Transition
As the monsoon circulations move the tropical
cyclones poleward, the cyclones leave the tropics
Movement/Track and subtropics and enter the mid-latitudes. Here,
Steering by the General Circulation prevailing winds are from the west in the global
Tropical cyclones are moved by the larger-scale circulation. Also, winds on the poleward side of
winds near them. These winds are variable, causing the monsoon highs are from the west. Thus, many
a wide variety of hurricane tracks and translation tropical cyclone tracks eventually turn towards the
speeds. However, by focusing on the climatological east at midlatitudes.
average trade winds and the monsoon circulations Extratropical transition is the name given to
(Figs. 16.7 & 16.20), we can then anticipate average the movement of tropical cyclones out of the trop-
movement of tropical cyclones. ics and into the midlatitudes. At these latitudes
During late Summer and early Fall, monsoon the storms are generally moving over colder water,
high-pressure regions form over the oceans, as was causing them to rapidly die. Nonetheless, these for-
discussed in the General Circulation chapter. Winds mer tropical cyclones can change into extratropical
rotate (clockwise; counterclockwise) around these cyclones and still cause damaging floods, wind, and
highs in the (Northern; Southern) Hemisphere. waves if over coastal areas. Even dying tropical cy-
Equatorward of the high center the monsoon winds clones well away from a coastline can influence mid-
are in the same direction as the trade winds — from latitude weather downwind by pumping copious
east to west. Thus, average tropical cyclone tracks in amounts of moisture into the air. This humid air
the eastern and central longitudes of an ocean basin can later serve as the fuel for mid-latitude cyclones
are usually zonal — from east to west. thousands of kilometers downwind, creating heavy
However, near the west sides of the ocean basins, rain and possible flooding.
the monsoon winds turn poleward (Fig. 16.20), and
thus steer the tropical cyclones away from the equa-
tor. Many of these tropical cyclones travel along the
east coast of continents in a poleward direction. The
tracks vary from year to year, and vary within any
one year (Fig. 16.20). Some of the tracks in the At-
616 chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones
Tropical Cyclolysis
x &$ Tropical cyclones can exist for weeks because
x &$ they have the ability to create their own fuel sup-
5% ply of warm humid boundary-layer air. They create
64" this fuel by tapping the heat and water stored in the
5%
54 upper ocean. Tropical cyclones die (tropical cy-
54 "UMBOUJD
clolysis) when they move to a location where they
cannot create their own fuel, or if they are destroyed
0DFBO
by larger-scale weather systems, as described next.
54
Movement over Land
(VMGPG 54
5% If the global circulation steers a tropical cyclone
.FYJDP over land, it begins to die rapidly because it is un-
$VCB
able to tap the warm ocean for more fuel (Fig. 16.21).
If the land is a small island or narrow isthmus, then
Figure 16.21 the weakened tropical cyclone can possibly re-inten-
Track of hurricane Katrina, showing its intensity during 23 - 31 sify when it again moves over warm ocean water.
Aug 2005. 1 to 5 is Saffir-Simpson category. TS = tropical
storm. TD = tropical depression. EC = extratropical cyclone.
Movement over Cold Water
If the global circulation steers a tropical cyclone
over water colder than 26.5°C, then it is unable to
create new warm humid air as fast the eyewall thun-
-B
-BCSBEPS
This often happens when tropical cyclones are
$
VSSFO
Subsequent Spin-up
As the winds accelerate around a strengthening Sample Application
tropical cyclone, centrifugal force increases. Recall Suppose that air at a latitude of 12° initially has no ro-
from the Atmospheric Forces & Winds chapter that tation as it is drawn toward a low-pressure center 500
the equation for gradient-wind in cylindrical coor- km away. When the air reaches 200 km from the low
dinates (eq. 10.32) is: center, what will be its relative tangential velocity?
) UPQPGFZF
)
1 L1B
)
S
CB
JTP
'$'
.
3 LN
'OFU
'1( Fig. 16.b. Horizontal pressure gradients at the top of a
Z
tropical cyclone. R = distance from cyclone center, P = at-
M
Q G
DF
BJS UIP
BS
Figure 16.25
Isobars on a constant height surface near the top of a tropical
cyclone. Grey ring represents the eyewall thunderstorms. H
and L are high and low pressure. M is non-equilibrium wind
speed. FCF is Coriolis force, FPG is pressure-gradient force, and
Fnet is the vector sum of forces.
620 chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones
)
FZF Thermodynamics
WFSZNPJTU
Figure 16.26
The intake system in the bottom of a tropical cyclone. As bound- Fuel Creation and Intake
ary-layer winds accelerate, they cause larger ocean waves that In midlatitudes, thunderstorms can last for
add more moisture (darker grey indicates higher humidity) to hours. However, tropical cyclones (which are made
the inflowing air (thick arrows). L is the low-pressure center of thunderstorms) can last for weeks. Why the dif-
at sea level. Air is exhausted out of the top of the storm in the ference it longevity?
central dense overcast composed of thunderstorm anvils. The main reason is that mid-latitude thunder-
storms use warm humid air from only the nearby
boundary layer, and after this nearby fuel is con-
sumed the thunderstorms die. Even supercells and
INFO• Tropical Cyclone Condensation squall-line storms rely on an existing fuel supply
Energy of warm humid air, which they can utilize as they
move across the countryside.
One way to estimate the energy of tropical cy- However, tropical cyclones create their own fuel
clones is by the amount of latent heat released during
of warm humid boundary-layer air. They do this via
condensation. Rainfall rate is a measure of the net
condensation.
the fast near-surface winds that create large ocean
An average Atlantic Hurricane produces about 1.5 waves (Fig. 16.26). These violent waves break and
cm of rain day–1, which when accumulated over the foam, causing rapid evaporation of sea-spray water
area (of radius 665 km) covered by hurricane rain is into the air, and efficient transfer of heat from the
equivalent to 2.1x1010 m3 day–1. ocean surface to the air. By the time this air reaches
This converts to 6x1014 W (= 5.2x1019 J day–1). the base of the eyewall, it has an air temperature
Namely, it is about 200 times the daily electricity gen- nearly equal to the sea-surface temperature and a
eration capacity of the whole world. relative humidity of nearly 100%.
Namely, tropical cyclones extract heat from the
ocean. The ocean is a giant heat reservoir that has
been absorbing sunlight all Summer and early Fall.
This is the reason why warm, deep sea-surface tem-
peratures are needed for tropical cyclones.
Exhaust
The large volume of inflowing boundary-layer air
is good and bad for the tropical cyclone. It is good
because this air carries the sensible- and latent-heat
fuel for the storm. It is bad because it also brings
massive amounts of other air molecules (nitrogen,
oxygen) into the core of the storm.
The problem is that if these air molecules were to
accumulate in the center of the storm, their weight
Figure 16.27 would cause the sea-level air pressure to rise. This
Exhaust system at the top of a tropical cyclone, where H is the would weaken the surface low pressure, which
high-pressure center near the tropopause and arrows are outflow would reduce the radial pressure gradient near sea
winds. Computer-enhanced 3-D satellite image of Hurricane level, causing the inflow winds and waves to dimin-
Katrina over the Gulf of Mexico, taken 28 Aug 2005 at 1545 ish. With reducing inflow, the eyewall thunder-
UTC. Visible satellite imagery is mapped into a 3-D surface
storms would run out of fuel and die, causing the
of cloud-top altitudes estimated from satellite IR data. (Image
tropical cyclone to disintegrate in half a day or so.
courtesy of US DOC/NOAA.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 621
the eye of the tropical cyclone near the top of the Figure 16.29
tropopause almost directly above the eye near the Blue dotted line: hydrostatic pressure decrease for cool air outside
surface [Fig. 16.c(a)]. Intense latent heating in the the tropical cyclone. Red solid line: hydrostatic vertical pressure
tropical cyclone warms the whole depth of the tropo- gradient in the warm core. The core has higher pressure relative
sphere near the core, causing high pressure aloft be- to its environment near the top of the storm, even though the
cause warm layers of air have greater thickness than core has lower pressure near sea level (z = 0), as explained by the
cold. This high aloft causes air to diverge horizon- hypsometric eq. Additional nonhydrostatic P variation (green
tally at the top of the tropical cyclone, which is why dashed line between two x’s) in the horizontal is due to strong
visible and IR satellite loops show cirrus and other updrafts in eyewall thunderstorms, removing low-altitude air
high clouds flowing away from the tropical cyclone and depositing it at storm top. This can cause non-hydrostatic
center. descent of warm air in the eye. (This is a semi-log graph.)
Extratropical lows are not vertically stacked, but
have low pressure that tilts westward with increasing
height [Fig 16.c(b)]. As the surface circulation around titudes, but spiral anticyclonically near the top of
the cyclone advects in cold, polar, boundary-layer air the troposphere well away from the eye. Hence, the
on the west side of the cyclone, the small thicknesses tangential velocity must decrease with altitude and
in that sector cause pressure to decrease more rapidly eventually change sign. The ideal gas law can be
with height. The net result is an upper-level trough used with the gradient wind eq. (16.3) to show how
west of, and a ridge east of, the surface low. A jet tangential wind component Mtan varies with alti-
stream meandering through this trough-ridge system tude z :
would cause horizontal divergence (D), as was shown
in the Extratropical Cyclone chapter. 2 · Mtan ∆Mtan g ∆T
+ fc · = · •(16.6)
R ∆z T ∆R
B
8BSN$PSF)VSSJDBOF
USPQP
)JHI QBVTF Sample Application
[
Suppose at a radius of 40 km the tangential velocity
decreases from 50 m s–1 at the surface to 10 m s–1 at 10
DPME XBSN DPME km altitude. Find the radial temperature gradient at
a latitude where the Coriolis parameter is 0.00005 s –1.
[J Assume |g|/T = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1 .
-PX
XFTU FBTU Find the Answer
Given: R = 40 km, Mtan = 50 m s–1 at z = 0,
Mtan = 10 m s–1 at z = 10 km, fc = 0.00005 s–1 ,
C
$PME$PSF-PX
|g|/T = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1
USPQP Find: ∆T/∆R = ? K km–1
[ -PX % )JHI QBVTF Use eq. (16.6):
g ∆T 2 ·(30m/s) (10 − 50m/s)
· = + 0.00005s −1 ·
T ∆R 40, 000m (10, 000m)
[J = – 6.2x10 –6 s–2 .
DPME -PX XBSN −6 −2
Thus, ∆T = −6.2 × 10 s = – 0.19 K km–1.
XFTU FBTU
∆R 0.0333m · s −2 · K −1
Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
Figure 16.c. Exposition: From the center of the eye, the tempera-
Vertical cross section of (a) warm, and (b) cold core cy- ture decreases about 7.4 K at a radius of 40 km, for this
clones. Thin lines are isobars, and zi is ABL top. example. Indeed, the core is warm.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 623
Then, using PB.eye = PB ∞ – ∆PB , collecting the exponential terms that are multiplied by PB ∞ , and finally using a
first-order series approximation for those exponentials, one gets eq. (16.5), where
a = exp[ − g · zmax / (ℜ · Teye )] ≈ 0.15 ,
b = −( g · zmax · PB∞) / (ℜ · Teye · T∞) ≈ 0.7 kPa K–1,
|g| = 9.8 m·s–2 is gravitational acceleration magnitude, and
ℜ = 287.04 m2·s–2·K–1 is the gas constant for dry air.
HIGHER MATH • Warm Core Winds HIGHER MATH • Warm Core Winds 2
2 Mtan ∂Mtan ∂ 1 ∂P ∂ 1 ∂P g ∂T
= · (c)
∂z ρ ∂R T ∂R
(b)
R + fc · ∂z = ∂z ρ ∂R
L1B
es the low-pressure eye. Evaporation from the sea
ZB
JTPIVNF
NP
EJB
JTU
BE
crease to s2 ≈ 361 J·kg–1·K–1. This evaporation is the
JB
From Point 2, air rises moist adiabatically to
Point 3 in the thunderstorms of the eye wall. The
moist-adiabatic process conserves entropy (s3 = 366
DPOUPVS J·kg–1·K–1 , within the accuracy of the thermo dia-
gram, thus s2 ≈ s3). During this process, temperature
drops to T ≈ –18°C and mixing ratio decreases to
5 $
about r ≈ 3.7 g kg–1. However, the decrease of pres-
sure (P = 90 to 25 kPa) in this rising air compensates
Figure 16.30 to maintain nearly constant entropy.
(a) Circulation of air through the tropical cyclone. (b) Ther- Once the cloudy air reaches the top of the tro-
modynamic diagram showing tropical cyclone processes for the posphere at Point 3, it flows outward to Point 4 at
same numbered locations as in (a). Solid lines show the tem-
roughly constant altitude. (Sorry, the thermo dia-
perature changes, dashed lines show dew point temperature
grams at the end of the Atmospheric Stability chap-
changes.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 625
"OJUB4FQ
Pressure Distribution
,BUF/PW
Eye pressures of 95 to 99 kPa at sea level are com-
mon in tropical cyclones, although a pressure as low
as Peye = 87 kPa has been measured. One measure
of tropical cyclone strength is the pressure differ-
ence ∆Pmax between the eye and the surrounding
FZFXBMM
1 R 4
å1NBY · for R ≤ Ro
∆P 5 Ro (16.11)
=
∆Pmax
4 Ro
1 − · or R > Ro
fo
5 R
.NBY
NT
where ∆P = P(R) – Peye , and R is the radial distance
from the center of the eye. This pressure distribu-
tion is plotted in Fig 16.31, with data points from two
tropical cyclones.
Ro is the critical radius where the maximum
tangential winds are found. In the tropical cyclone
model presented here, Ro is twice the radius of the
eye. Eyes range from 4 to 100 km in radius, with
1FZF L1B
average values of 15 to 30 km radius. Thus, one an-
Figure 16.32 ticipates average values of critical radius of: 30 < Ro <
Maximum sustained winds around a tropical cyclone increase 60 km, with an observed range of 8 < Ro < 200 km.
as sea-level pressure in the eye decreases.
Tangential Velocity
Sample Application To be classified as a tropical cyclone, the sus-
What max winds are expected if the tropical cy- tained winds (averaged over 1-minute) must be 33 m
clone eye has surface pressure of 95 kPa? s–1 or greater near the surface. While most anemom-
eters are unreliable at extreme wind speeds, maxi-
Find the Answer mum tropical cyclone winds have been reported in
Given: PB eye = 95 kPa, Assume PB ∞ = 101.3 kPa
the 75 to 95 m s range–1.
Find: Mmax = ? m s–1.
As sea-level pressure in the eye decreases, maxi-
Assume translation speed can be neglected.
mum tangential surface winds Mmax around the eye
Use eq. (16.12): wall increase (Fig. 16.32). An empirical approxi-
Mmax = [20 (m s–1)·kPa–1/2]·(101.3–95kPa)1/2 = 50 m mation for this relationship, based on Bernoulli’s
s –1 equation (see the Regional Winds chapter), is :
Mtan ( R / Ro )
2
for R ≤ Ro
= (16.13)
Mmax
( Ro / R )1/2 for R > Ro
FZFXBMM
FZF
from a few tropical cyclones. 33P
For the tropical cyclones plotted in Fig. 16.33,
the critical radius of maximum velocity was in the
range of Ro = 20 to 30 km. This is a rough definition Figure 16.33
of the outside edge of the eye wall for these tropi- Tangential winds near the surface at various radii around tropi-
cal cyclones, within which the heaviest precipitation cal cyclones. Model is eq. (16.13).
falls. The maximum velocity for these storms was
Mmax = 45 to 65 m s–1.
Winds in Fig. 16.33 are relative to the eye. How-
ever, the whole tropical cyclone including the eye is
often moving. tropical cyclone translation speeds
(movement of the center of the storm) can be as slow
as Mt = 0 to 5 m s–1 as they drift westward in the
tropics, and as fast as 25 m s–1 as they later move
poleward. Average translation speeds of the tropi-
cal cyclone over the ocean are Mt = 10 to 15 m s–1. .UBONT
/PSUI
The total wind speed relative to the surface is the /
$BSPMJOB
vector sum of the translation speed and the rotation
speed. On the right quadrant of the storm relative
to its direction of movement in the Northern Hemi-
sphere, the translation speed adds to the rotation
speed. Thus, tropical cyclone winds are fastest in /
the tropical cyclone’s right quadrant (Fig. 16.34). On
the left the translation speed subtracts from the tan-
gential speed, so the fastest total speed in the left
quadrant is not as strong as in the right quadrant
(Fig. 16.35). /
Total speed relative to the surface determines
ocean wave and surge generation. Thus, the right
quadrant of the storm near the eye wall is most dan-
gerous. Also, tornadoes are likely there.
/ "UMBOUJD
Radial Velocity 0DFBO
For an idealized tropical cyclone, boundary-layer
air is trapped below the top of the boundary layer as 8 8 8 8
the air converges horizontally toward the eye wall.
Horizontal continuity in cylindrical coordinates re- Figure 16.34
Max 1-minute total sustained surface winds (m s–1) around
quires:
Hurricane Isabel, 0730 UTC 18 Sep 2003. Mmax total = 42 m s–
Mrad · R = constant (16.14) 1, and P
eye ≈ 95.7 kPa. Arrow shows translation toward 325° at
5.5 m s–1. The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is based
where Mrad is the radial velocity component, negative on the fastest total sustained wind (rotational + translational)
for inflow. Thus, starting from far outside the tropi- found anywhere in the hurricane.
628 chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones
Vertical Velocity
At radii less than Ro, the converging air rapidly
FZF piles up, and rises out of the boundary layer as thun-
8 FZF
XBMM derstorm convection within the eye wall. The verti-
.NBY cal velocity out of the top of the boundary layer, as
found from mass continuity, is
(16.16)
z R 3 Ws
i + for R < Ro
W
= Ro Ro Mmax
Mmax
33P 0 for R > Ro
Figure 16.37 For simplicity, we are neglecting the upward motion
Vertical velocity at various radii around tropical cyclones, out of
that occurs in the spiral rain bands at R > Ro.
the top of the boundary layer. Ws = –0.2 m s–1 in the eye.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 629
FZFXBMM
maximum upward velocity is 1.8 m s–1 in this case,
FZF
which represents an average around the eye wall.
Updrafts in individual thunderstorms can be much
faster.
Subsidence in the eye is driven by the non-hydro- 33P
static part of the pressure perturbation (Fig. 16.29). Figure 16.38
Namely, the pressure gradient (shown by the dashed Temperature distribution, averaged over a 15 km thick tropical
line between X’s in that Fig.) that pushes air upward cyclone, showing the warm core.
is weaker than gravity pulling down. This net im-
balance forces air downward in the eye.
; DMPVET
Temperature ;NBY SBJO
Suppose that pressure difference between the eye
and surroundings at the top of the tropical cyclone
is equal and opposite to that at the bottom. From eq.
(16.5) the temperature T averaged over the tropical
cyclone depth at any radius R is found from:
å1
∆T (R) = c · [ ∆Pmax − ∆P(R)] (16.17) å1NBY
where c = 1.64 K kPa–1,
the pressure difference at
.UBO
the bottom is ∆P = P(R) – Peye, and the temperature
difference averaged over the whole tropical cyclone .NBY
depth is ∆T(R) = Teye – T(R). When used with eq.
(16.11), the result is:
4
1 R
1 − · for R ≤ Ro 8
∆T 5 Ro
= (16.18) .NBY
∆Tmax 4 Ro
· for R > Ro
5 R
.SBE
where ∆Tmax = Teye – T∞ = c · ∆Pmax , and c = 1.64 K
kPa–1. This is plotted in Fig. 16.38. .NBY
m
Composite Picture å5
A coherent picture of tropical cyclone structure å5NBY
can be presented by combining all of the idealized
models described above. The result is sketched in
Fig. 16.39. For real tropical cyclones, sharp cusps in m m m m m
the velocity distribution would not occur because of 33P
vigorous turbulent mixing in the regions of strong Figure 16.39
shear. Composite tropical cyclone structure based on the idealized
model. Pressure differences are at sea level. All horizontal
velocities are in the boundary layer, while vertical velocity is
across the top of the boundary layer. Temperature differences
are averaged over the whole tropical cyclone depth. Grey verti-
cal bands indicate eyewall locations.
630 chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones
3JWFSEFMUB
LN force per area pushing on the top of the water is less.
This allows the water to rise in the eye until the ad-
Figure 16.41 ditional head (weight of fluid above) of water com-
Simulated storm surge [rise (m) in sea level] associated with a pensates for the reduced head of air (Fig. 16.42).
hypothetical landfalling hurricane. (After NOAA/HRD). The amount of rise ∆z of water in the eye is
∆Pmax
∆z =
BNCJFOU FZF ρliq · g •(16.19)
1L1B L1B
the drag coefficient, fc is the Coriolis parameter, ρair Table 16-7. Storm surge height S and sea-level pres-
= 1.225 kg·m–3 is the air density at sea level, and sure Peye, from the old Saffir-Simpson classification.
ρwater = 1025 kg·m–3 is sea-water density. CAUTION: Actual storm-surge heights can vary signif-
As a tropical cyclone approaches the eastern coast icantly from these typical values. This is one of the rea-
of continents, the winds along the front edge of the sons why the new Saffir-Simpson scale doesn’t use S.
tropical cyclone are parallel to the coast, from north Category Peye (kPa) S (m)
to south in the Northern Hemisphere. Hence, there
1 ≥ 98.0 1.2 - 1.6
is net Ekman transport of water directly toward the
shore, where it begins to pile up and make a storm 2 97.9 - 96.5 1.7 - 2.5
surge (Fig. 16.43). 3 96.4 - 94.5 2.6 - 3.9
If the tropical cyclone were to hover just offshore 4 94.4 - 92.0 4.0 - 5.5
for sufficient time to allow a steady-state condition 5 < 92.0 > 5.5
to develop, then the Ekman transport toward the
shore would be balanced by downslope sloshing of
the surge. The surge slope ∆z/∆x for that hypotheti-
cal equilibrium is: Sample Application
For tropical cyclone-force winds of 40 m s–1, over a
2 continental shelf portion of ocean of depth 50 m, find
∆z ρ C ·V
≈ air · D (16.22) the volume transport rate and equilibrium surge slope.
∆x ρwater g · H Assume CD = 0.01 .
the beach area. Also, the surge rapidly diminishes
by 10 to 15 km inland from the coast.
For wind speeds M up to tropical cyclone force,
the maximum-possible wave height (for unlimited
fetch and duration) can be estimated from:
3/ 2
M (16.25)
h = h2 ·
8JOE4QFFE NT
M2
Figure 16.45
Wave height of surface wind-generated waves. Solid line is eq. where h2 = 4 m and M2 = 10 m s–1. Wave heights are
(16.25) for unlimited fetch and duration. Data points are ocean plotted in Fig. 16.45.
observations with different fetch. As winds increase beyond tropical cyclone force,
the wave tops become partially chopped off by the
winds. Thus, wave height does not continue to in-
crease according to eq. (16.25). For extreme winds of
"WFSBHF8BWFMFOHUI N
XBWFUPQT
INFO • Beaufort Wind-Scale History
In 1805, Admiral Beaufort of the British Navy de-
TUPSNTVSHF
vised a system to estimate and report wind speeds
IJHIUJEF based on the amount of canvas sail that a full-rigged
[
-BOE OPSNBMTFBMFWFM frigate could carry. It was updated in 1874, as listed in
Y 0DFBO Table 16-8 for historical interest. Modern descriptors
for the Beaufort wind scale are in Table 16-9.
Figure 16.47
Tides, storm surge, and waves are additive. Table 16-8. Legend: B = Beaufort number; D =
modern classification; M = wind speed in knots (2
knots ≈ 1 m s–1), S1 = speed through smooth water
The longest wavelength waves are called swell, of a well-conditioned man-of-war with all sail set,
and clean full; S2 = sails that a well-conditioned
and can propagate large distances, such as across
man-of-war could just carry in chase, full and by;
whole oceans. Hence, a tropical cyclone in the mid-
S3 = sails that a well-conditioned man-of-war could
dle tropical Atlantic can cause large surf in Florida scarcely bear.
well before the storm reaches the coast.
Wind and waves as affect mariners are classi- B D M (kt) Deep Sea Criteria
fied according to the Beaufort scale. The INFO Box 0 Calm 0-1 S1 = Becalmed
with Table 16-8 gives an historical description of the 1 Light Air 1-3 S1 = Just sufficient to
Beaufort scale, and the modern description is in Ta- give steerageway
ble 16-9. 2 Slight 4-6 S1 = 1 - 2 knots
Breeze
Tides, storm surges, and wind waves are addi- 3 Gentle 7 - 10 S1 = 3 - 4 knots
tive (Fig. 16.47). Namely, if the storm surge and high Breeze
waves happen to occur during high tide according
4 Moderate 11 - 16 S1 = 5 - 6 knots
to routine astronomic tide tables, then the coastal Breeze
destruction is likely to be greatest.
For safety, houses at coasts threatened with storm 5 Fresh 17 - 21 S2 = Royals, etc.
Breeze
surges and tsunami are usually built on top of con-
crete or steel piles. These piles are driven very deep 6 Strong 22 - 27 S2 = Topgallant sails
into the land to survive wave scour and erosion of Breeze
the land. While the floor deck is above expected 7 High 28 - 33 S2 = Topsails, jib, etc.
storm-surge plus high tide levels in this figure, the Wind
waves can still batter and damage the structure. 8 Gale 34 - 40 S2 = Reefed upper
topsails and courses
9 Strong 41 - 48 S2 = Lower topsails
Gale and courses
Sample Application 10 Whole 49 - 55 S3 = lower main topsail
Find the maximum possible wave height (assum- Gale and reefed foresail
ing unlimited fetch) and wavelength for tropical cy-
clone force winds of 35 m s–1. 11 Storm 56 - 65 S3 = storm staysails
12 Hurricane > 65 S3 = no canvas
Find the Answer
Given: M = 35 m s–1
Find: h = ? m, λ = ? m .BJO
3PZBM 'PSFNBTU
.J[[FO 3PZBM
Use eq. (16.25): .BJO
3PZBM
3/2 5PQHBMMBOU 'PSFNBTU
35m/s = 26.2 m 4BJM 5PQHBMMBOU
h = ( 4m)· .J[[FO
10m/s 5PQHBMMBOU 4BJM
4BJM .BJO
5PQTBJM 'PSFNBTU
Use eq. (16.26): 1.8 5PQTBJM 'MZJOH
+JC
35m/s = 334 m .J[[FO
λ = (35m)· 5PQTBJM +JC
10m/s .BJO
$PVSTF 'PSF
.J[[FO4BJM 'PSF 5PQNBTU
'PSFNBTU
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Agrees with Figs. PS%SJWFS
PS4QBOLFS $PVSTF
4UBZTBJM 4UBZTBJM
Table 16-9. Beaufort wind scale. B = Beaufort Number. (See INFO Box for historical info.)
B Descrip- Wind Speed Wave Sea Land
tion (km/h) (m/s) Height Conditions Conditions
(m) (in deep ocean)
0 Calm <1 < 0.3 0 Flat. Calm. Smoke rises vertically.
1 Light 1-5 0.3 - 1.5 0 -00.2 Ripples without crests. Wind motion visible in smoke.
Air
2 Light 6 - 11 1.5 - 3.3 0.2 - 0.5 Small wavelets. Crests of glassy Wind felt on exposed skin.
Breeze appearance, not breaking. Leaves rustle.
3 Gentle 12 - 19 3.3 - 5.5 0.5 - 1 Large wavelets. Crests begin to Leaves and smaller twigs in con-
Breeze break; scattered whitecaps. stant motion.
4 Moderate 20 - 28 5.5 - 8.0 1-2 Small waves with breaking crests. Dust and loose paper raised.
Breeze Fairly frequent white horses. Small branches begin to move.
5 Fresh 29 - 38 8.0 - 11 2-3 Moderate waves of some length. Branches of a moderate size
Breeze Many white horses. Small move. Small trees begin to sway.
amounts of spray.
6 Strong 39 - 49 11 - 14 3-4 Long waves begin to form. White Large branches in motion. Whis-
Breeze foam crests are very frequent. tling heard in overhead wires.
Some airborne spray is present. Umbrella use becomes difficult.
Empty plastic garbage cans tip
over.
7 High 50 - 61 14 - 17 4 - 5.5 Sea heaps up. Some foam from Whole trees in motion. Effort
Wind, breaking waves is blown into needed to walk against the wind.
Moderate streaks along wind direction. Swaying of skyscrapers may be
Gale, Near Moderate amounts of airborne felt, especially by people on up-
Gale spray. per floors.
8 Gale, 62 - 74 17 - 20 5.5 - 7.5 Moderately high waves with Some twigs broken from trees.
Fresh breaking crests forming spin- Cars veer on road. Progress on
Gale drift. Well-marked streaks of foot is seriously impeded.
foam are blown along wind di-
rection. Considerable airborne
spray.
9 Strong 75 - 88 21 - 24 7 - 10 High waves whose crests some- Some branches break off trees,
Gale times roll over. Dense foam is and some small trees blow over.
blown along wind direction. Construction/temporary signs
Large amounts of airborne spray and barricades blow over. Dam-
may begin to reduce visibility. age to circus tents and canopies.
10 Storm, 89 - 102 25 - 28 9 - 12.5 Very high waves with overhang- Trees are broken off or uprooted,
Whole ing crests. Large patches of foam saplings bent and deformed.
Gale from wave crests give the sea a Poorly attached asphalt shingles
white appearance. Considerable and shingles in poor condition
tumbling of waves with heavy peel off roofs.
impact. Large amounts of air-
borne spray reduce visibility.
11 Violent 103 - 117 29 - 32 11.5 - 16 Exceptionally high waves. Very Widespread vegetation dam-
Storm large patches of foam, driven be- age. Many roofing surfaces are
fore the wind, cover much of the damaged; asphalt tiles that have
sea surface. Very large amounts curled up and/or fractured due
of airborne spray severely reduce to age may break away complete-
visibility. ly.
12 Hurricane ≥ 118 ≥ 33 ≥14 Huge waves. Sea is completely Very widespread damage to
white with foam and spray. Air is vegetation. Some windows may
filled with driving spray, greatly break; mobile homes and poorly
reducing visibility. constructed sheds and barns are
damaged. Debris may be hurled
about.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 637
B3. What names will be used for tropical cyclones in A4. For the previous problem, find the value of cy-
the next tropical cyclone season, for the ocean basin clostrophic wind (m s–1 and km h–1).
assigned by your instructor?
A5. Plot pressure vs. radial distance for the max
B4. How many NWP models are available for fore- pressure gradient that is admitted by gradient-wind
casting tropical cyclone track, & how are they used? theory at the top of a tropical cyclone for the lati-
tudes (°) listed below. Use z = 17 km, Po = 8.8 kPa.
B5. What is the long range forecast for the number a. 5 b. 7 c. 9 d. 11 e. 13 f. 17 g. 19
of tropical cyclones for the upcoming season, for an h. 21 i. 23 j. 25 k. 27 m. 29 n. 31 o. 33
ocean basin assigned by your instructor. (Or, if the
season is already in progress, how are actual num- A6. At sea level, the pressure in the eye is 93 kPa
bers and intensities comparing to the forecast.) and that outside is 100 kPa. Find the corresponding
pressure difference (kPa) at the top of the tropical
B6. Find maps of “tropical cyclone potential”, “tropi- cyclone, assuming that the core (averaged over the
cal cyclone energy”, “intensity”, or “sea-surface tem-
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 641
A10. Starting with saturated air at sea-level pres- A18. Find the Ekman transport rate [km3/(h·km)]
sure of 90 kPa in the eye wall with temperature of and surge slope (m km–1) if winds (m s–1) of:
26°C, calculate (by equation or by thermo diagram) a. 10 b. 20 c. 30 d. 40
the thermodynamic state of that air parcel as it e. 50 f. 60 g. 70 h. 80
moves to: in advance of a tropical cyclone are blowing parallel
a. 20 kPa moist adiabatically, and thence to to the shore, over an ocean of depth 50 m. Use CD =
b. a point where the potential temperature is the 0.005 and assume a latitude of 30°.
same as that at 100 kPa at 26°C, but at the
same height as in part (a). Thence to A19. What is the Kelvin wave speed (m s–1 and km
c. 100 kPa dry adiabatically and conserving h–1) in an ocean of depth (m):
humidity. Thence to a. 200 b. 150 c. 100 d. 80
d. Back to the initial state. e. 60 f. 40 g. 20 h. 10
e to h: Same as a to d, but with initial T = 30°C.
A20. For the previous problem, find the growth rate
A11. Given the data from Table 16-5, what would of the Kelvin wave amplitude (m h–1) if the tropi-
be the mechanical energy (J) available if the average cal cyclone tracks south parallel to shore at the same
temperature at the top of the tropical cyclone were speed as the wave.
a. –18 b. –25 c. –35 d. –45
e. –55 f. –65 g. –75 h. –83 A21. Find the wind-wave height (m) and wavelength
(m) expected for wind speeds (m s–1) of:
A12. For the previous problem, find the minimum a. 10 b. 15 c. 20 d. 25
possible eye pressure (kPa) that could be supported. e. 30 f. 40 g. 50 h. 60
A13. Use P∞ = 100 kPa at the surface. What maxi- A22. For the previous problem, give the:
mum tangential velocity (m s–1 and km h–1) is ex- (i) Beaufort wind category, and give a modern
pected for an eye pressure (kPa) of: description of the conditions on land and sea
a. 86 b. 88 c. 90 d. 92
642 chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones
(ii) Saffir-Simpson tropical cyclone Wind catego- E11. Compare and contrast a TUTT with mid-lati-
ry, its tude cyclone dynamics as was discussed in the Ex-
corresponding concise statement, and tratropical Cyclone chapter.
describe the damage expected.
E12. Consider Fig. 16.16. If a typhoon in the Southern
Hemisphere was blown by the trade winds toward
Evaluate & Analyze the Northern Hemisphere, explain what would hap-
E1. In Fig. 16.2, if the thin ring of darker shading
pen to the tropical cyclone as it approaches the equa-
represents heavy precipitation from the eyewall
tor, when it is over the equator, and when it reaches
thunderstorms, what can you infer is happening in
the Northern Hemisphere. Justify your reasoning.
most of the remainder of the image, where the shad-
ing is lighter grey? Justify your inference.
E13. Fig. 16.17 suggests that a cold front can help cre-
ate a tropical cyclone, while Fig. 16.23 suggests that
E2. Thunderstorm depths nearly equal their diame-
a cold front will destroy a tropical cyclone. Which
ters. Explain why tropical cyclone depths are much
is correct? Justify your answer. If both are correct,
less than their diameters. (Hint, consider Fig. 16.3)
then how would you decide on tropical cyclogenesis
or cyclolysis?
E3. If you could see movie loops of satellite images
for the same storms shown in Figs. 16.1 and 16.4 in
E14. In the life cycle of tropical cyclones, Mesoscale
the Northern Hemisphere, would you expect these
Convective Systems (MCSs) are known to be one of
satellite loops to show the tropical cyclone clouds to
the possible initial stages. But MCSs also occur over
be rotating clockwise or counterclockwise? Why?
the USA, as was discussed in the Thunderstorm
chapter. Explain why the MCSs over the USA don’t
E4. Speculate on why tropical cyclones can have
become tropical cyclones.
eyes, but mid-latitude supercell thunderstorms do
not?
E15. Based on the visible satellite image of Fig. 16.19,
compare and contrast the appearance of the tropical
E5. If a tropical cyclone with max sustained wind
cyclone at (c) and the tropical storm at (d). Name-
speed of 40 m s–1 contains tornadoes that do EF4
ly, what clues can you use from satellite images to
damage, what Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale category
help you decide if the storm has reached full tropi-
would you assign to it? Why?
cal cyclone strength, or is likely to be only a tropical
storm?
E6. Why don’t tropical cyclones or typhoons hit the
Pacific Northwest coast of the USA and Canada?
E16. What are the other large cloud areas in Fig.
16.19 that were not identified in the caption? Hint,
E7. The INFO box on tropical cyclone-induced Cur-
review the Satellites & Radar chapter.
rents in the ocean shows how Ekman transport can
lower sea level under a tropical cyclone. However,
E17. The Bermuda High (or Azores High) as shown
we usually associate rising sea level with tropical
in Fig. 16.20 forms because the ocean is cooler than
cyclones. Why?
the surrounding continents. However, tropical cy-
clones form only when the sea-surface temperature
E8. Consider Fig. 16.12. Should there also be a jet
is exceptionally warm. Explain this contradiction.
along the north edge of the hot Saharan air? If so,
explain its characteristics. If not, explain why.
E18. If global warming allowed sea-surface tem-
peratures to be warmer than 26.5°C as far north as
E9. Fig. 16.14a shows wind moving from east to
60°N, could Atlantic tropical cyclones reach Europe?
west through an easterly wave. Fig. 16.14b shows
Why?
the whole wave moving from east to west. Can both
these figures be correct? Justify your answer.
E19. Could a tropical cyclone exist for more than a
month? Explain.
E10. In the Extratropical Cyclone chapter, troughs
were shown as southward meanders of the polar
E20. a. What is the relationship between angular
jet stream. However, in Fig. 16.14 the troughs are
momentum and vorticity?
shown as northward meanders of the trade winds.
b. Re-express eq. (16.1) as a function of vorticity.
Explain this difference. Hint, consider the General
Circulation.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 643
E21. From the Atmospheric Forces & Winds chapter, E31. What factors might prevent a tropical cyclone
recall the equation for the boundary-layer gradient from being perfectly efficient at extracting the maxi-
wind. Does this equation apply to tropical cyclone mum possible mechanical energy for any given ther-
boundary layers? If so what are it’s limitations and modynamic state?
characteristics.
E32. For the tropical cyclone model given in this
E22. The top of Fig. 16.24 shows weak low pressure chapter, describe how the pressure, tangential veloc-
in the eye surrounding by high pressure in the eye- ity, radial velocity, vertical velocity, and temperature
wall at the top of the storm. Explain why the storm distribution are consistent with each other, based on
cannot have high pressure also in the eye. dynamic and thermodynamic relationships. If they
are not consistent, quantify the source and magni-
E23. Fig. 16.25 shows the wind vector M parallel to tude of the discrepancy, and discuss the implica-
the acceleration vector Fnet. Is that realistic? If not, tions and limitations. Consider the idealizations of
sketch the likely vectors for M and Fnet. Explain. the figure below. (ABL = atmos. boundary layer.)
[
E24. The words “supergradient winds” means USPQPQBVTF
winds faster that the gradient wind speed. Are the FZF FZF
outflow winds at the top of a tropical cyclone super- XBMM XBMM
gradient? Justify your answer.
8T
E25.(§) Using relationships from Chapter 1, plot an
environmental pressure profile vs. height across the
"#-
troposphere assuming an average temperature of
273 K. Assume the environmental sea-level pres- 3P
sure is 100 kPa. On the same graph, plot the pres- Figure 16.50 3
sure profile for a warm tropical cyclone core of aver- Idealized tropical cyclone.
age temperature (K): a. 280 b. 290 c. 300
assuming a sea-level pressure of 95 kPa. Discuss. Hints: a. Use the cyclostrophic relationship to
show that tangential velocity is consistent with the
E26. Suppose that the pressure-difference magni- pressure distribution.
tude between the eye and surroundings at the tropi- b. Use mass conservation for inflowing air
cal cyclone top is only half that at the surface. How trapped within the boundary layer to show how ra-
would that change, if at all, the temperature model dial velocity should change with R, for R > Ro.
for the tropical cyclone? Assume the sea-level pres- c. Assuming wave drag causes radial velocity
sure distribution is unaltered. to be proportional to tangential velocity squared,
show that the radial velocity and tangential velocity
E27. Create a table that has a column listing attri- equations are consistent. For R < Ro, use the follow-
butes of mid-latitude cyclones, and another column ing alternate relationship based on observations in
listing attributes of tropical cyclones. Identify simi- tropical cyclones: Mtan/Mmax = (R/Ro)2 .
larities and differences. d. Rising air entering the bottom of the eye wall
comes from two sources, the radial inflow in the
E28. The circles in Fig. 16.29 illustrate the hypso- boundary layer from R > Ro, and from the subsiding
metric situation applied to the warm core of a tropi- air in the eye, which hits the ground and is forced
cal cyclone. Why cannot the hypsometric equation to diverge horizontally in order to conserve mass.
explain what drives subsidence in the eye? Combine these two sources of air to compute the av-
erage updraft velocity within the eye wall.
E29. In Fig. 16.30b, why does the Td line from Point e. Use mass continuity in cylindrical coordinates
1 to Point 2 follow a contour that slopes upward to to derive vertical velocity from radial velocity, for R
the right, even though the air parcel in Fig 16.30a is < Ro. (Note, for R > Ro, it was already assumed in
moving horizontally, staying near sea level? part (a) that air is trapped in the ABL, so there is zero
vertical velocity there.)
E30. a. Re-express eq. (16.7) in terms of potential f. Use the hypsometric relationship, along with
temperature. the simplifications described in the temperature
b. Discuss the relationship between entropy and subsection of the tropical cyclone model, to relate
potential temperature. the radial temperature distribution (averaged over
the whole tropical cyclone depth) to the pressure
distribution.
644 chapter 16 • Tropical Cyclones
Synthesize
S1. What if the Earth rotated twice as fast. Describe
changes to tropical cyclone characteristics, if any.
17 Regional Winds
Apply 681
Evaluate & Analyze 684 0.1
Synthesize 686
0.05
0
“Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
of Atmospheric Science” by Roland Stull is licensed
under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCom- M (m/s)
mercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. View this license at Figure 17.1
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ . This work is Wind-speed M probability (relative frequency) for a Weibull dis-
available at http://www.eos.ubc.ca/books/Practical_Meteorology/ .
tribution with parameters α = 2 and Mo = 5 m s –1.
645
646 chapter 17 • Regional Winds
-
reason, as dictated by property boundaries and ob-
stacles).
3
Fig. 17.3 shows that the runways at Vancouver 5FSNJOBM
Airport are appropriate for the wind climatology of #VJMEJOH
the previous figure. The end of each runway is la- /USVF
/NBHOFUJD
beled with the magnetic compass direction (in tens
of degrees; e.g., 12 means 120° magnetic) towards
which the aircraft is flying when approaching that .BHOFUJD
3
7BSJBUJPO&
end of the runway from outside the airport. Thus,
aircraft will use runway 30 for winds from 300°.
-
Parallel runways are labeled as left (L) or right (R).
Figure 17.3
Plan view of runways at Vancouver International Airport
(CYVR), Canada.
Wind-Turbine Power Generation
0VUQVU1PXFS .8
SBUFE
tracted by the turbine is the difference between in-
coming and outgoing kinetic energies:
Energy = 0.5·m·Min2 – 0.5·m·Mout2 (1)
Figure 17.5
Plug this into the previous eq. and divide by ∆t to
Typical power-output curve for a 1 MW wind turbine as a func-
get the power that the turbine can produce:
tion of wind speed M.
Power = 0.25 ·ρ ·A ·(Min + Mout) ·( Min2 – Mout2 ) (3)
[
Sample Application
[J Find the steady-state updraft speed in the middle
8
of (a) a thermal in a boundary layer that is 1 km thick;
5Q and (b) a thunderstorm in a 11 km thick troposphere.
[J The virtual temperature excess is 2°C for the thermal
and 5°C for the thunderstorm, and |g|/ Tve = 0.0333
Y m·s–2·K–1 .
Figure 17.6
Thermals in a convective mixed layer of depth zi. Black arrows Find the Answer
show W updrafts in each thermal, and Tp is temperatue of the Given: |g|/ Tve = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1 ,
thermal. Grey arrows show free-atmosphere air being entrained (a) zi = 1000 m, Tvp – Tve = 2°C
down into the convective mixed layer between the thermals. (b) zi = 11,000 m, Tvp – Tve = 5°C,
Find: W = ? m s–1
[ ∆P ∆T
"
# − ≈ g ·∆ z·
ρ Te
5
Divide both sides by ∆x to give the horizontal pres-
sure-gradient force per unit mass Fx PG/m :
Fx PG 1 ∆P ∆T ∆ z
å[ =− = g· ·
" # m ρ ∆x Te ∆ x
E
Substituting ∆z/∆x = tan(α) gives the desired eq. (17.5),
SFG
where α is the mountain slope angle.
åMO 1 Y
Fx PG 1 ∆P ∆T
=− = g ·tan(α ) (17.5)
MO 1
MO 1
MO 1
MO 1
m ρ ∆x Te
Fig. 17.c. Change of pressure with height, as given by the
hypsometric equation for cool air in column B and warm air Also, in Fig. 17.c, d = z(P1 at B) – z(P1 at A) is the deflec-
in column A. (not to scale) tion distance of the near-mountain end of isobar P1
(continues in next column) in Fig. 17.b.
652 chapter 17 • Regional Winds
where |g| = 9.8 m·s–2, Tve is absolute temperature Use eq. (17.9) to find final equilibrium value:
1/2
in the environment at the height of interest, α is the (9.8m · s −2 )·( −10°C) (20m)
U eq = · ·sin(10°)
mountain slope angle, and s is distance downslope. 283K 0.005
The average katabatic wind eventually approach- |Ueq| = 15.5 m s –1
es an equilibrium where drag balances buoyancy:
Use eq. (17.8) for the initial variation.
1/2
∆θ h
U eq = g· v · · sin(α ) (17.9) ]6FR]
]6] NT
Tve CD
where CD is the total drag against both the ground
and against the slower air aloft, and h is depth of the
katabatic flow.
Y LN
Night
At night, the katabatic winds from the bottom of
the slopes drain into the valley, where they start to
accumulate. This pool of cold air is often stratified
like a layer cake, with the coldest air at the bottom
and less-cold air on top. Katabatic winds that start
higher on the slope often do not travel all the way
to the valley bottom (Fig. 17.10). Instead, they either
spread out at an altitude where they have the same
buoyancy as the stratified pool in the valley, or they
end in a turbulent eddy higher above the valley
floor. This leads to a relatively mild thermal belt
of air at the mid to upper portions of the valley walls M
B LBUBCBUJD
— a good place for vineyards and orchards because SN
UIF MU XJOET
of fewer frost days. CF
Meanwhile, the cold pool of air in the valley
bottom flows along the valley axis in the same di-
rection that a stream of water would flow. As this
[
cold air drains out of the valley onto the lowlands,
it is known as a mountain wind. This is part of
NPVO Z
an along-valley circulation. A weak return flow UBJO Y
aloft (not drawn), called the anti-mountain wind, XJOET
flows up-valley, and is the other part of this along-
valley circulation.
Figure 17.10
Katabatic winds are cross-valley flows that merge into the along-
valley mountain winds draining down valley. Relatively warm
air can exist in the “thermal belt” regions.
654 chapter 17 • Regional Winds
Day
During anabatic conditions, there is often a weak
cross-valley horizontal circulation (not drawn)
from the tops of the anabatic updrafts back toward
the center of the valley. Some of this air sinks (sub-
sides) over the valley center, and helps trap air pol-
lutants in the valley.
BOBCBUJD During daytime, the upslope anabatic winds
XJOET along the valley walls remove air from the valley
floor. This lowers the pressure very slightly near
the valley floor, which creates a pressure gradient
that draws in replacement air from lower in the val-
ley. These upstream flowing winds are called val-
WBMMFZ [
Z
ley winds (Fig. 17.11), and are part of an along-val-
XJOET Y
ley circulation. A weak return flow aloft (heading
down valley; not drawn in Fig. 17.11) is called the
anti-valley wind.
Figure 17.11
Anabatic winds are warm upslope flows that are resupplied with Transitions
air by valley winds flowing upstream. Because the sun angle relative to the mountain
slope determines the solar heating rate of that slope,
the anabatic winds on one side of the valley are of-
ten stronger than on the other. At low sun angles
near sunrise or sunset, the sunny side of the valley
might have anabatic winds while the shady side
might have katabatic winds.
INFO • On Naming Local Winds
Local winds are often named by where they come Sea breeze
from. Winds from the mountains are called moun- A sea breeze is a shallow cool wind that blows
tain winds. Winds from the valley are called valley onshore (from sea to land) during daytime (Fig.
winds. A breeze from the sea is called a sea-breeze. 17.12). It occurs in large-scale high-pressure regions
The opposite is a land breeze. of weak or calm geostrophic wind under mostly
clear skies. Similar flows called lake breezes form
along lake shorelines, and inland sea breezes
form along boundaries between adjacent land re-
gions with different land-use characteristics (e.g.,
irrigated fields of crops adjacent to drier land with
less vegetation).
The sea breeze is caused by a 5 °C or greater tem-
perature difference between the sun-heated warm
[ DMPVET land and the cooler water. It is a surface manifes-
LN
tation of a thermally driven mesoscale circulation
called the sea-breeze circulation, which often in-
cludes a weak return flow aloft from land to sea.
For warm air over land, the hypsometric equa-
4#) tion states that hydrostatic pressure does not de-
,)8 XBSN
crease as rapidly with increasing height as it does
DPPM BJS
5*#- in the cooler air over the sea (Fig. 17.13). This creates
BJS a pressure gradient aloft between higher pressure
DPMEXBUFS TFB over land and lower pressure over the sea, which ini-
Y DPBTU XBSN
MBOE CSFF[F tiates a wind aloft. This wind moves air molecules
GSPOU from over land to over sea, causing surface pressure
over the warm land to decrease because fewer total
Figure 17.12 molecules in the warm-air column cause less weight
Vertical cross section through a sea-breeze circulation. KHW
of air at the base of the column. Similarly, the sur-
= Kelvin-Helmholtz waves. SBH = sea-breeze head. TIBL =
thermal internal boundary layer.
face pressure over the water increases due to mol-
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 655
F
FF[
age) synoptic-scale surface wind are additive. If the
TF
CS
synoptic-scale wind in the above example is blow-
&BTU
8FTU
OPPO
B
NJEOJHIU
CS
ing, say, from the north, the surface wind speed will
MBOE
FF
tend to be higher around sunset when the mean
[F
wind and the diurnal component are in the same di-
rection, than around sunrise when they oppose each 1.
other. 1.
Many coasts have complex shaped coastlines 1.
with bays or mountains, resulting in a myriad of
interactions between local flows that distort the sea
breeze and create regions of enhanced convergence 4PVUI
and divergence. The sea breeze can also interact with
boundary-layer thermals, and urban circulations, Figure 17.14
Idealized hodograph of surface (z = 10 m) wind vectors during a
causing complex dispersion of pollutants emitted
diurnal cycle for a sea breeze. Assumes Northern Hemisphere
near the shore. If the onshore synoptic-scale geo-
latitude of Europe, and fair-weather anticyclonic conditions of
strophic wind is too strong, only a TIBL develops light to calm large-scale winds. (In this hodograph, compass di-
with no sea-breeze circulation. rections show the direction toward which the wind blows. Also,
In regions such as the west coast of the Americas, the vectors are for different times, not different altitudes.)
where major mountain ranges lie within a few hun-
dred kilometers of the coast, sea breezes and terrain-
induced winds appear in combination. B
C
[ [
Open-Channel Hydraulics å5
XBSN åR XBSN
DPME DPME
Sometimes a dense cold-air layer lies under a less-
dense warmer layer, with a relatively sharp temper- 5 R
ature discontinuity (∆T = ∆θ) between the two layers
(Fig. 17.15a and b). This temperature jump marks
the density interface between the two layers. Ex- D
E
[ [
amples of such a two-layer system include arctic
air advancing behind a cold front and sliding under
XBSN
warmer air, cold gust fronts from thunderstorms,
and cool marine air moving inland under warmer
[
å5å[
å
åR
[
M
Wave Speed
XBSNBJS Waves (vertical oscillations that propagate hori-
zontally on the density interface) can exist in air (Fig.
I
DSFTU 17.16), and behave similarly to water waves. For hy-
EFOTF DPME
BJS USPVHI
draulics, if water in a channel is shallow, then long-
Y
wavelength waves on the water surface travel at the
Figure 17.16 intrinsic “shallow-water” phase speed co of:
Sketch of waves on the interface between cold and warm air lay-
ers. λ is wavelength, and h is average depth of cold air. co = g ·h (17.14)
Sample Application
under the assumptions of negligible changes in air
If a 20 km wide band of winds of 5 m s–1 must
contract to pass through a 2 km wide gap, what is the density ρ. Thus, the flow must become faster in the
wind speed in the gap. narrower valley.
Similarly, suppose air is flowing downhill
Find the Answer through a valley of constant-width D. Cold air of
Given: Ds = 20 km, Dd = 2 km, Ms = 5 m s–1. initial speed Ms might accelerate due to gravity to
Find: Md = ? m s–1 speed Md further down the slope. Air-mass conser-
vation requires that the depth of the flow hd in the
Use eq. (17.23): Md = [(20km)/(2km)]·(5m s–1) = 50 m s –1 high speed region be less than the initial depth hs in
the lower-speed region.
Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
M
Exposition: The actual winds would be slower, be- hd = s · hs (17.24)
cause turbulence would cause significant drag. Md
Hydraulic Jump
'S Consider a layer of cold air flowing supercriti-
cally in a channel or valley. If the valley geometry
or slope changes at some downstream location and
TVQFS
DSJUJDBM allows wind speed M to decrease to its critical value
(Fr = 1), there often occurs a sudden increase in flow
TVC
DSJUJDBM depth h and a dramatic increase in turbulence. This
transition is called an hydraulic jump. Down-
stream of the hydraulic jump, the wind speed is
Y
slower and the flow is subcritical.
[ XBSN In Fig. 17.18, you can consider the hydraulic jump
IZESBVMJDKVNQ
Fraser
Va
Gap Winds
nc
R
ou
iver
eo
ve
rg
r
Basics
ia
Is
St
la
During winter in mountainous regions, some-
ra
nd
• Van-
it
times the synoptic-scale weather pattern can move couver
very cold air toward a mountain range. The cold Ju
a nd Salish
air is denser than the warm overlying air, so buoy- eF Sea
uc
ancy opposes rising motions in the cold air. Thus, a •
Cascade Mtns.
Pacific St Victoria
the mountain range is a barrier that dams cold air ra i
Ocean t
behind it (Fig. 17.20).
und
However, river valleys, fjords, straits, and passes Olympic
(Fig. 17.19) are mountain gaps through which the Mtns.
P uge t S o
Seattle•
cold air can move as gap winds (Fig. 17.20). Gap
North
wind speeds of 5 to 25 m s–1 have been observed,
with gusts to 40 m s–1. Temperature jumps at the
100 km
top of the cold-air layer in the 5 to 10°C range are
typical, while extremes of 15°C have been observed.
Figure 17.19
Gap flow depths of 500 m to over 2 km have been
Geography of southwestern British Columbia, Canada, and
observed. In any locale, the citizens often name the northwestern Washington, USA, illustrating mountain gaps.
gap wind after their town or valley. Higher elevations are shown as darker greys, with the highest
The cold airmass dammed on one side of the peaks 3,000 to 4,000 m above sea level. Ocean and very-low-
mountain range often has high surface pressure (H), elevation-land areas are white. Lower-elevation fjords, straits,
as explained in the Hydrostatic Thermal Circulation and river valleys (i.e., gaps) appear as filaments of white or
section of the General Circulation chapter. When light-grey across the dark-shaded mountain range. In winter,
synoptic low-pressure centers (L) approach the op- sometimes very cold arctic air can pool in the Interior Plateau
posite side of the mountain range, a pressure gradi- northeast of the Coast Mountains.
ent of order (0.2 kPa)/(100 km) forms across the range
that can drive the gap wind. Gap winds can also be
driven by gravity, as cold air is pulled downslope
through a mountain pass.
Divide gap flow into two categories based on
the gap geometry: (1) short gaps, and (2) long gaps. HBQXJOE
"h
Long gaps are ones with a gap width (order of 2 - 20
km) that is much less than the gap length (order of NPVO
UBJO
100 km). Coriolis force is important for flow through UPQ
long gaps, but is small enough to be negligible in "
short gaps.
[ JS
Short-gap Winds EB
DPM
Use open-channel hydraulics for short gaps, and
neglect Coriolis force. Although the gap-wind speed Z
Y
could range from subcritical to supercritical, obser-
vations suggest that one or more hydraulic jumps
Figure 17.20
(Fig. 17.21) are usually triggered in the supercritical
Cold air flow through a short gap.
662 chapter 17 • Regional Winds
Sample Application
Cold winter air of virtual potential temperature Long-gap Winds
–5°C and depth 200 m flows through an irregular For long gaps, examine the horizontal forces (in-
short mountain pass. The air above has virtual poten- cluding Coriolis force) that act on the air. Consider a
tial temperature 10°C. Find the max likely wind speed situation where the synoptic-scale isobars are nearly
through the short gap. parallel to the axis of the mountain range (Fig. 17.22),
causing a pressure gradient across the mountains.
Find the Answer For long narrow valleys this synoptic-scale cross-
Given: ∆θv = 15°C = 15K, h = 200 m. mountain pressure gradient is unable to push the
Find: Mgap max = ? m s–1 cold air through the gap directly from high to low
pressure, because Coriolis force tends to turn the
For a 2-layer air system, use eq. (17.25):
wind to the right of the pressure gradient. Instead,
Mgap max = [(9.8 m·s–2)·(15K)·(200m)/(267K)]1/2
the cold air inside the gap shifts its position to en-
= 10.5 m s–1
able the gap wind, as described next.
Check: Units OK. Magnitude OK. Fig. 17.23 idealizes how this wind forms in the
Exposition: Because of the very strong temperature N. Hemisphere. Cold air (light grey in Fig. 17.23a)
jump across the top of the cold layer of air and the cor- initially at rest in the gap feels the synoptically im-
respondingly faster wave group speed, faster gap flow posed pressure-gradient force FPGs along the valley
speeds are possible. Speeds any faster than this would axis, and starts moving at speed M (shown with the
cause an hydraulic jump, which would increase turbu- short dark-grey arrow in Fig. 17.23a’) toward the im-
lent drag and slow the wind back to this wind speed. posed synoptic-scale low pressure (L) on the oppo-
site side of the gap. At this slow speed, both Coriolis
force (FCF) and turbulent drag force (FTD) are corre-
spondingly small (Fig. 17.23a’). The sum (black-and-
[ white dotted arrow) of all the force vectors (black)
XBSN causes the wind to turn slightly toward its right in
LN åR BJS [ the N. Hemisphere and to accelerate into the gap.
)
1 DPMEBJS This turning causes the cold air to “ride up” on
L1B R the right side of the valley (relative to the flow direc-
tion, see Fig. 17.23b). It piles up higher and higher
as the gap wind speed M increases. But cold air is
NPVOUBJO Z
OE
-
XJ Y denser than warm. Thus slightly higher pressure
HBQ SBOHF
N
where ∆z/∆x is the cross-valley slope of the top of than the opposing turbulent drag force FTD, allow-
the cold-air layer, ∆Pm/∆x is the mesoscale pressure ing the air to continue to accelerate along the valley,
gradient across the valley, ∆θv is the virtual potential reaching its maximum speed near the valley exit.
temperature difference between the cold and warm The antitriptic wind results from a balance of drag
air, Tv is an average virtual temperature (Kelvin), and synoptic-scale pressure-gradient forces. Simi-
|g| = 9.8 m·s–2 is the magnitude of gravitational ac- lar gap winds are sometimes observed in the Juan
celeration, and ρ is the average air density. de Fuca Strait (Fig. 17.19), with the fastest gap winds
When this new pressure gradient force is vector- near the west exit region of the strait.
added to the larger drag and Coriolis forces associ- In the cross-valley direction, Coriolis force FCF
ated with the moderate wind speed M, the resulting nearly balances the mesoscale pressure gradient
vector sum of forces (dotted white-and-black vector; force FPGm. These last two forces define a mesoscale
Fig. 17.23b’) begins to turn the wind to become al- “gap-geostrophic wind” speed Gm parallel to the
most parallel to the valley axis. valley axis:
Gap-wind speed M increases further down the g ∆ θv ∆ z (17.27)
Gm = · ·
valley (Fig. 17.23c and c’), with the gap-wind cold air fc Tv ∆ x
hugging the right side of the valley. In the along-
valley direction (the –y direction in Figs. 17.23), the The actual gap wind speeds are of the same order of
synoptic pressure gradient force FPGs is often larger magnitude as this gap-geostrophic wind.
'5%
(
'$'
B
B
.
XBSN
Z
DPME
'1(T
Z Y
Y
[
C
XBSN '5%
C
DPME '$'
'1(N Z
. .
) - Z -
) -
Y
Y .
'1(T
) -
[
D
XBSN
DPME D
åY .
å[ .
) - Z
) - Y
'5%
) -
Z
.
Y
'$'
Figure 17.23 '1(N
An enlargement of just the mountain gap portion of the previ-
ous figure. (a)-(c) Oblique view showing evolution of the cold ) -
air (light grey) in the gap. (a’)-(c’) Plan view (looking down '1(T
from above) showing the corresponding forces acting on a cold
.
air parcel as a gap wind forms (see text for details).
664 chapter 17 • Regional Winds
Figure 17.25
Without a layer of cold air near the surface, the cross-valley Coastally Trapped Low-level
component of synoptic-scale geostrophic wind can create turbu-
lent corkscrew motions and channeling of wind in the valley. (Barrier) Jets
Coriolis force is also important in locations such
as the eastern Pacific Ocean, where low-altitude
Sample Application wind jets form parallel to the west coast of N. Amer-
What long-gap wind speed can be supported in ica. The dynamics describing these jets are very
a strait 10 km wide through mountains 0.5 km high? similar to the dynamics of long-gap winds.
The cold air is 4°C colder than the overlying 292 K air. Consider situations where synoptic-scale low-
pressure systems reach the coast of N. America and
Find the Answer encounter mountain ranges. Behind the approach-
Given: h = ∆z = 0.5 km, ∆x = 10 km, ∆θv = 4°C = 4 K, ing cyclone is cold air, the leading edge of which is
Tv = 0.5·(288K + 292K) = 290K. the cold front (Fig. 17.26a). The cold air stops advanc-
Find: Gm = ? m s–1
Assume: fc = 10 –4 s–1.
Use eq. (17.27): B
C
Gm = |(9.8 m·s–2/ 10 –4 s–1)·(4K/290K)·(0.5km/10km)|
= 67 m s –1.
TUBUJPOB
OU
DPME
GSP
BJS
Check: Units OK. Magnitude seems too large.
ME
SZGSPOU
1
Exposition: The unrealistically large magnitude
DP
L1B
might be reached if the strait is infinitely long. But in
a finite-length strait, the accelerating air would exit the
.UO
Z [ .UO
strait before reaching this theoretical wind speed. PDFBO
3BOHF 3BOHF
We implicitly assumed that the air was relatively Y
dry, allowing Tv ≈ T, and ∆θv ≈ ∆θ. If humidity is larg-
er, then you should be more accurate when calculat-
ing virtual temperatures. Also, as the air accelerates
Figure 17.26
(a) Precursor synoptic conditions, as a low L center approaches
within the valley, mass conservation requires that the
a coastal mountain (Mtn.) range in the N. Hemisphere. Curved
air depth ∆z decreases, thereby limiting the speed ac-
lines are isobars at sea level. (b) Conditions later when the low
cording to eq. (17.27).
reaches the coast, favoring coastally trapped low-level jets.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 665
8JOE
g · h · ∆ θ v / Tv (17.28)
M+FU
λR =
fc
E
Sample Application
The influence of the coast mountains extends how Mountain Waves
far to the west of the coastline in Fig. 17.28? The cold
air has virtual potential temperature 8°C colder than [
the neighboring warm air. The latitude is such that
the Coriolis parameter is 10 –4 s–1. Mountain height is M
[
2000 m.
)
XJOE
Find the Answer 8
Given: h = 2000 m, ∆θv = 8°C = 8 K, fc = 10 –4 s–1 .
Find: λR = ? km, external Rossby deformation radius Y
Assume: |g|/Tv = 0.03333 m·s–2·K–1
The region of influence extends a distance equal to the Figure 17.29
Rossby deformation radius. Thus, use eq. (17.28): Mountain-wave characteristics.
λR = [(0.03333 m·s–2·K–1)·(2000 m)·(8 K)]1/2 /(10 –4 s–1)
= 231,000 m = 231 km
Natural Wavelength
Check: Units OK. Magnitude OK. When statically stable air flows with speed M
Exposition: Even before fronts and low-pressure over a hill or ridge, it is set into oscillation at the
centers hit the coastal mountains, the mountains are Brunt-Väisälä frequency, NBV. The natural wave-
already influencing these weather systems hundreds length λ is
of kilometers offshore.
2π · M •(17.30)
λ=
N BV
Lenticular Clouds
m In the updraft portions of mountain waves, the
m rising air cools adiabatically. If sufficient moisture is
m
present, clouds can form, called lenticular clouds.
Y LN
The first cloud, which forms over the mountain crest,
is usually called a cap cloud (see Clouds chapter).
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Sketch OK. The droplet sizes in these clouds are often quite
Exposition: Glider pilots can soar in the updraft por- uniform, because of the common residence times
tions of the wave, highlighted with white boxes. of air in the clouds. This creates interesting optical
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 667
[ N
λ m
Fr3 = •(17.32)
Y LN
2 ·W
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Sketch OK.
Exposition: Most clouds are blown with the wind,
where W is the hill width, and λ is the natural wave- but standing-lenticular clouds are stationary while
length. Fr3 is dimensionless. the wind blows through them!
For strong static stabilities or weak winds, Fr3
<< 1. The natural wavelength of air is much shorter
than the width of the mountain, resulting in only a B
'S [
little air flowing over the top of the hill, with small
waves (Fig. 17.30a). If H is the height of the hill (Fig.
[
17.29), then wave amplitude z1 < H/2 for this case.
Most of the air is blocked in front of the ridge, or
flows around the sides for an isolated hill.
For moderate stabilities where the natural wave-
length is nearly equal to twice the hill width, Fr3 ≈
C
'S
1. The air resonates with the terrain, causing very
intense waves (Fig. 17.30b). These waves have the
greatest chance of forming lenticular clouds, and
SPUPST
pose the threat of violent turbulence to aircraft. Ex-
tremely fast near-surface winds on the downwind
(lee) side of the mountains cause downslope wind
storms that can blow the roofs off of buildings.
Wave amplitude roughly equals half the hill height: D
[ XBWF B
DSFTUT
Sample Application
IX For a natural wavelength of 10 km and a hill width
of 15 km, describe the type of waves.
Mountain-wave Drag
Sample Application For Fr3 < 1, wave crests tilt upwind with increas-
For Fr3 = 0.8, find the angle of the wave crests and
ing altitude (Fig. 17.31). The angle α of tilt relative to
the wave drag force over a hill of height 800 m. The
Brunt-Väisälä frequency is 0.01 s–1, and the waves fill vertical is
the 11 km thick troposphere.
cos(α ) = Fr3 (17.33)
Find the Answer
Given: Fr3 = 0.8 , H = 800 m, NBV = 0.01 s–1. For this situation, slightly lower pressure devel-
Find: α = ?°, Fx WD/m = ? m·s–2 ops on the lee side of the hill, and higher pressure on
the windward side. This pressure gradient opposes
Use eq. (17.33): α = cos–1(0.8) = 36.9° the mean wind, and is called wave drag. Such wave
Use eq. (17.34): drag adds to the skin drag. The wave drag (WD)
FxWD [(800m)·(0.01s −1 )]2 force per unit mass near the ground is:
=− · 0.8 ·[1 − (0.8)2 ]1/2
m 8 ·(11, 000m)
= 3.5x10 –4 m·s–1 . FxWD H 2 · N BV 2 1/2
=− · Fr3 · 1 − Fr32 (17.34)
m 8 · hw
Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
Exposition: This is of the same order of magnitude
as the other forces in the equations of motion. where hw is the depth of air containing waves.
Not surprisingly, higher hills cause greater wave
drag. The whole layer of air containing these waves
feels the wave drag, not just the bottom of this layer
B
"EBQUFEGSPN
B$0-"*(&4 that touches the mountain.
XFCQSPEVDU
Bernoulli’s Equation
Principles
Consider a steady-state flow (flow that does Sample Application
not change with time), but which can have different Environmental air outside a hurricane has sea-level
velocities at different locations. If we follow an air pressure 100 kPa. Find the rise in sea level at the eye,
parcel as it flows along a streamline, its velocity can where sea-level pressure is 90 kPa. Neglect currents
change as it moves from one location to another. For and wind waves.
wind speeds M ≤ 20 m s–1 at constant altitude, the
air behaves as if it is nearly incompressible (namely, Find the Answer
constant density ρ). Given: Penv = 100 kPa, zenv = 0 m, Peye = 90 kPa, M≈ 0
Find: zeye = ? m , where z is height of sea level.
Incompressible Flow
For the special case of incompressible, steady- Consider a streamline in the water at the sea surface.
ρ = 1025 kg m–3 for sea water.
state, laminar (nonturbulent) motion with no drag,
the equations of motion for an air parcel following Use Bernoulli’s eq. (17.35) to find CB for the environ-
a streamline can be simplified into a form known as ment, then use it for the eye:
Bernoulli’s equation:
Env: 0.5·(0m s–1)2 + (100,000Pa)/(1025kg m–3) +
(9.8 m s–2)·(0m) = CB = 97.6 m2 s–2
1 2 P
M + + g · z = CB •(17.35)
2 ρ Eye: 0.5·(0m s–1)2 + (90,000Pa)/(1025kg m–3) +
(9.8 m s–2)·(zeye) = CB = 97.6 m2 s–2
energy: kinetic + flow + potential = constant
where M is the total velocity along the streamline, P zeye = {(97.6 m2 s–1)–[(90,000Pa)/(1025kg m–3)]}/
(9.8 m s–2)
is static air pressure, ρ is air density, |g| = 9.8 m·s–2 is
= 1.0 m.
gravitation acceleration magnitude, and z is height
above some reference. Check: Units OK. Magnitude OK.
CB is an arbitrary constant called Bernoulli’s Exposition: Such a rise in sea level is a hazard called
constant or Bernoulli’s function. CB is constant the storm-surge.
670 chapter 17 • Regional Winds
DP
ME IZESBVMJD some downstream location (point 2) along the same
B
[ JS KVNQ streamline use eq. (17.36) again, but with the known
FB
TUS [
Y
. value of CB from point 1. The following equation is
an expression of this procedure of equating final to
Find the Answer
Given: M1 = 10 m s–1, M2 = 2 m s–1, ∆T = 10K, z1 = 0. initial flow states:
Find: z2 = ? m above the initial z. •(17.37)
1 P ∆θ v 1 P ∆θ v
Assume: ∆θv = ∆T and |g|/Tv = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1. P ≈ M2 2 + 2 + g · z2 = M12 + 1 + g · z1
2 ρ Tv 2 ρ Tv
constant on a streamline along the top of the cold air.
Use eq. (17.36), noting that CB – P/ρ is constant :
• At point 1: 0.5 ·(10m s–1)2 + 0 = CB – P/ρ = 50 m2 s–2 Another way to consider eq. (17.36) is if any one
• At 2: 0.5·(2m s–1)2+(0.0333m·s–2·K–1)·(10K)·z2 or two terms increase in the equation, the other
=50 m2 s–2 term(s) must decrease so that the sum remains con-
Solve for z2: z2 = [M12 – M22] ·Tv/(2·|g|·∆θv) = 144 m
stant. In other words, the sum of changes of all the
terms must equal zero:
Check: Units OK. Magnitude OK.
Exposition: Hydraulic jumps are very turbulent and
would dissipate some of the mechanical energy into
heat. So the actual jump height would be less.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 671
Sample Application
where ℜd = 287 m2·s–2·K–1 is the ideal gas constant Air with pressure 100
for dry air, and where CB is constant during the pro- kPa is initially at rest. It [
cess (i.e., initial CB = final CB). is accelerated over a flat BJS GBO
0°C snow surface as it is TOPXDPWFSFEHSPVOE
For adiabatic (isentropic; no heat transfer) flow, sucked toward a house- Y
the Bernoulli equation is hold ventilation system. If the final speed is 10 m s–1,
what is the air pressure at the fan entrance?
(•17.42)
Sample Application
A short distance behind the engine of a jet aircraft 1 ∆θ v 1 ∆θ v
M2 2 + Cp ·T2 + g ·z2 = M12 + Cp ·T1 + g ·z1
flying in level flight, the exhaust temperature is 400 °C 2 Tv 2 Tv
and the jet-blast speed is 200 m s–1. After the jet exhaust
decelerates to zero, what is the final exhaust air tem-
perature, neglecting conduction & turbulent mixing. where subscript 2 denotes final state, and subscript
1 denotes initial state. Equation (17.41) is also some-
Find the Answer times written as
Given: M1 = 200 m s–1, T1 =400°C = 673K, M2 = 0, ∆z=0
Find: T2 = ? °C. Assume adiabatic process.
1 2 P ∆θ v
M + Cv ·T + + g · z = CB (17.43)
Rearrange eq. (17.42): T2 = T1 + M12/(2Cp) 2 ρ Tv
T2 = (673K) + (200m s–1)2/(2· 1004 m2·s–2·K–1) energy: kinetic + internal + flow + potential = constant
= 673K + 19.9K = 693 K = 420°C
Again, CB is constant during the adiabatic process.
Check: Units OK. Magnitude OK.
Exposition: Jet exhaust is turbulent and mixes quick-
ly with the cooler ambient air, so it is not appropriate to Energy Conservation
use Bernoulli’s equation. See the “dynamic warming” Because these several previous equations also
section later in this chapter for more info. consider temperature, we cannot call them Ber-
noulli equations. They are energy conservation
equations that consider mechanical and thermal
Sample Application energies following a streamline.
A 75 kW electric wind machine with a 2.5 m ra- If we extend this further into an energy budget
dius fan is used in an orchard to mix air to reduce frost equation, then we can add the effects of net addi-
damage on fruit. The fan horizontally accelerates air tion of thermal energy (heat per unit mass) ∆q via
from 0 to 5 m s–1. Find the temperature change across radiation, condensation or evaporation, conduction,
the fan, neglecting mixing with environmental air.
combustion, etc. We can also include shaft work
per unit mass ∆SW done on the air by a fan, or
Find the Answer
work extracted from the air by a wind turbine.
Given: Power = 75 kW = 75000 kg·m2·s–3, R = 2.5 m,
M1 = 0, M2 = 5 m s–1, ∆z = 0 (17.44)
Find: ∆T = ? °C 1 P ∆θ
∆ M 2 + ∆ + ∆ [ Cv ·T ] + ∆ g · v · z = ∆ q + ∆ SW
Assume that all the electrical energy used by the fan
2 ρ Tv
motor goes into a combination of heat and shaft work. or
The mass flow rate through this fan is: •(17.45)
ρ·M2·π·R 2 = (1.225kg m–3)·(5m s–1)·π·(2.5m)2 =120 kg s–1 1 2 ∆θ
Thus: ∆q + ∆SW = Power/(Mass Flow Rate) = 624 m2·s–2 ∆ M + ∆ Cp ·T + ∆ g · v
· z = ∆ q + ∆ SW
2 Tv
Use eq. (17.45): ∆T = (1/Cp)·[∆q +∆SW –0.5·(M22 –M12)]
= (1/1004 m2·s–2·K–1)·[(624 m2·s–2) – 0.5·(5m s–1)2]
= 0.61 K = 0.61°C
sure Po, and the associated dynamic temperature is
given the symbol To. Think of subscript “o” as indi-
cating zero wind speed relative to the obstacle.
å1
To find the dynamic effects at stagnation, use the L1B
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. which can be combined with eq. (17.23) to give the
Exposition: This is a measurable drop in atmospheric Venturi pressure decrease:
pressure. The pressure measured at weather stations
in such gaps should be compensated for this venturi D 2
effect to calculate the effective static pressure, such as ρ
Pd − Ps = · Ms 2 · 1 − s (17.52)
could be used in analyzing weather maps. 2 Dd
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 675
[ )
#PSB
Y
Downslope Winds Figure 17.36
Cold Bora winds, during synoptic weather patterns where strong
Consider a wintertime situation of a layer of winds are forced toward the ridge from upstream. Thin lines are
cold air under warm, with a synoptic weather pat- streamlines. Thick dashed line is a temperature inversion.
tern forcing strong winds toward a mountain range.
Flow over ridge-top depends on cold-air depth, and
on the strength of the temperature jump between Sample Application
For the Bora situation of Fig. 17.36, the inversion of
the two layers. If conditions are right, fast winds,
strength 6°C is 1200 m above the upstream lowland.
generically called fall winds, can descend along Ridge top is 1000 m above the valley floor. If upstream
the lee slope. Sometimes these downslope winds winds are 10 m s–1, find the Bora wind speed in the lee
are fast enough to cause significant destruction to lowlands.
buildings, and to affect air and land transportation.
Downslope wind storms can be caused by moun- Find the Answer
tain waves (previously discussed), bora winds, and Given: H = 1 km, zi = 1.2 km, ∆θv = 6°C,
foehns. Ms = 10 m s–1. Assume |g|/Tv = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1
Find: MBora = ? m s–1
[P
Cities
The collection of buildings and trees that make
up a city is sometimes called an urban canopy.
These obstacles cause an average canopy-flow wind
. NT
similar to that for forests and crops (Fig. 17.40a).
Solve eq. (17.53) for Mc at z = hc = 2 m: However, winds at any one location in the city
Mc = [(0.53m s–1)/0.4] · ln[(2–1.3m)/0.2] = 1.66 m s–1 can be quite different. For example, the street corri-
Use eq. (17.54) to find M for a range of heights be- dors between tall buildings can channel flow similar
low hc, and use eq. (17.53) for heights above hc:
to the flow in narrow valleys. Hence these corridors
are sometimes called urban canyons. Also, taller
buildings can deflect down to the surface some of
the faster winds aloft. This causes much greater
[ wind speeds and gusts near the base of tall build-
N
be enhanced by orographic precipitation and latent B3. Find on the web climatological maps giving lo-
heating. Hydraulic jumps occur downstream of bora cations of persistent, moderate winds. These are fa-
winds and in some gap flows as the flow re-adjusts vored locations for wind turbine farms. Also search
to hydrostatic equilibrium. the web for locations of existing turbine farms.
Wind and temperature instruments are con-
structed to minimize dynamic pressure and heating B4. Search the web for a weather map showing ver-
errors. Wind speed is reduced inside plant and ur- tical velocities over your country or region. Some-
ban canopies. The urban-heat-island effect of cities times, these vertical velocities are given as omega
can induce local circulations. (ω) rather than w, where ω is the change of pressure
with time experienced by a vertically moving parcel,
and is defined in the Extratropical Cyclone chapter.
What is the range of vertical velocities on this par-
ticular day, in m s–1?
Homework Exercises
B5. Search the web for the highest resolution (hope-
Broaden Knowledge & Comprehension fully 0.5 km or better resolution) visible satellite
B1. Search the web for wind-rose graphs for a loca- imagery for your area. Which parts of the country
tion (weather station or airport) near you, or other have rising thermals, based on the presence of cu-
location specified by your instructor. mulus clouds at the top of the thermals?
B2. Search the web for wind-speed distributions for B6. Search the web for lidar (laser radar) images of
a weather station near you. Relate this distribution thermals in the boundary layer.
to extreme or record-breaking winds.
B7. Search the web for the highest resolution (hope-
fully 0.5 km or better resolution) visible satellite im-
agery for your area. Also search for an upper-air
A SCIENTIFIC PERSPECTIVE • Simple sounding (i.e., thermo diagram) for your area. Does
is Best the depth of the mixed layer from the thermo dia-
Fourteenth century philosopher William of Occam gram agree with the diameter of thermals (clouds)
suggested that “the simplest scientific explanation is visible in the satellite image? Comment.
the best”. This tenant is known as Occam’s Razor,
because with it you can cut away the bad theories and B8. Access IR high resolution satellite images over
complex equations from the good. cloud-free regions of the Rocky Mountains (or Cas-
But why should the simplest or most elegant be the cades, Sierra-Nevada, Appalachians, or other signifi-
best? There is no law of nature that says it must be so. cant mountains) for late night or early morning dur-
It is just one of the philosophies of science, as is the
ing synoptic conditions of high pressure and light
scientific method of Descartes. Ultimately, like any
philosophy or religion, it is a matter of faith.
winds. Identify those regions of cold air in valleys,
as might have resulted from katabatic winds. Some-
I suggest an alternative tenant: “a scientific times such regions can be identified by the fog that
relationship should not be more complex forms in them.
than needed.” This is motivated by the human
body — an amazingly complex system of hydraulic, B9. Search the web for weather station observations
pneumatic, electrical, mechanical, chemical, and oth- at the mouth of a valley. Plotted meteograms of
er physical processes that works exceptionally well. wind speed and direction are best to find. See if you
In spite of its complexity, the human body is not more can find evidence of mountain/valley circulations
complex than needed (as determined by evolution). in these station observations, under weak synoptic
Although this alternative tenant is only subtly dif-
forcing.
ferent from Occam’s Razor, it admits that sometimes
complex mathematical solutions to physical prob-
lems are valid. This tenant is used by a data-analy- B10. Same as the previous problem, but to detect a
sis method called computational evolution (or sea breeze for a coastal weather station.
gene-expression programming). This ap-
proach creates a population of different algorithms B11. Search the web for satellite observations of the
that compete to best fit the data, where the best al- sea breeze, evident as changes in cloudiness parallel
gorithms are allowed to persist with mutation into to the coastline.
the next generation while the less-fit algorithms are
culled via computational natural selection.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 681
B12. Search the web for information on how tsuna- 30 kPa). Also access from the web weather maps that
mi on the ocean surface travel at the shallow-water plot the actual upper air winds from rawinsonde ob-
wave speed as defined in this chapter, even when servations, valid at the same time and altitude as the
the waves are over the deepest parts of the ocean. streamline map. Compare the instantaneous winds
Explain. with the streamlines.
B13. Search the web for images of hydraulic jump in B21. From the web, access a sequence of weather
the atmosphere. If you can’t find any, then find im- maps of streamlines for the same area. Locate a
ages of hydraulic jump in water instead. point on the map where the streamline direction has
changed significantly during the sequence of maps.
B14. Access images from digital elevation data, Assume that smoke is emitted continuously from
and find examples of short and long gaps through that point. On the last map of the sequence, plot the
mountain ranges for locations other than Western streakline that you would expect to see. (Hint, from
Canada. the first streamline map, draw a path line for an air
parcel that travels until the time of the next stream-
B15. Search the web for news stories about danger- line map. Then, using the new map, continue find-
ous winds along the coast, but limit this search to ing the path of that first parcel, as well as emit a new
only coastally-trapped jets. If sufficient information second parcel that you track. Continue the process
is given in the news story, relate the coastal jet to the until the tracks of all the parcels end at the time of
synoptic weather conditions. the last streamline map. The locus of those parcels
is a rough indication of the streakline.)
B16. Access visible high-resolution satellite photos of
mountain wave clouds downwind of a major moun- B22. Access from the web information for aircraft
tain range. Measure the wavelength from these im- pilots on how the pitot tube works, and/or its cali-
ages, and compare with the wind speed accessed bration characteristics for a particular model of air-
from upper air soundings in the wave region. Use craft.
those data to estimate the Brunt-Väisälä frequency.
B23. Access from the web figures that show the
B17. Access from the web photographs taken from amount of destruction for different intensities of
ground level of lenticular clouds. Also, search for tornado winds. Prepare a table giving the dynamic
iridescent clouds on the web, to find if any of these pressures and forces on the side of a typical house
are lenticular clouds. for each of those different wind categories.
B18. Access from the web pilot reports of turbu- B24. Access from the web news stories of damage
lence, chop, or mountain waves in regions down- to buildings or other structures caused by Boras,
wind of mountains. Do this over several days, and mountain waves, or downslope windstorms.
show how these reports vary with wind speed and
static stability. B25. Access from the web data or images that in-
dicate typical height of various mature crops (other
B19. Access high-resolution visible satellite imag- than the ones already given at the end of the Nu-
es from the web during clear skies, that show the merical exercises).
smoke plume from a major source (such as Gary,
Indiana, or Sudbury, Ontario, or a volcano, or a for- B26. Access from the web the near-surface air tem-
est fire). Assume that this image shows a streakline. perature at sunrise in or just downwind of a large
Also access the current winds from a weather map city, and compare with the rural temperature.
corresponding roughly to the altitude of the smoke
plume, from which you can infer the streamlines. B27. Use info from the web to estimate the urban
Compare the streamlines and streaklines, and spec- canopy H/W aspect ratio for the city center nearest
ulate on how the flow has changed over time, if at to you. Then use Fig. 17.42 to estimate ∆TUHI_max.
all. Also, draw on your printed satellite photo the
path lines for various air parcels within the smoke
Apply
plume.
A1.(§) Plot the probability of wind speeds using a
Weibull distribution with a resolution of 0.5 m s–1,
B20. From the web, access weather maps that show
and Mo = 8 m s–1, for α =
streamlines. These are frequently given for weather
a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0
maps of the jet stream near the tropopause (at 20 to
h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 5.5 k. 6.0 m. 7 n. 8 o. 9
682 chapter 17 • Regional Winds
A2. A wind turbine of blade radius 25 m runs at 35% A12. Assume |g|/Tv = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1. For a cold
efficiency. At sea level, find the theoretical power layer of air of depth 50 m under warmer air, find the
(kW) for winds (m s–1) of: surface (interfacial) wave phase speed (m s–1) for a
a. 1 b. 2 c. 3 d. 4 e. 5 f. 6 g. 7 h. 8 virtual potential temperature difference (K) of:
i. 9 j. 10 k. 11 m. 12 n. 13 o. 14 p. 15 a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0
h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 5.5 k. 6.0 m. 7 n. 8 o. 9
A3. Find the equilibrium updraft speed (m s–1) of a
thermal in a 2 km boundary layer with environmen- A13. For the previous problem, find the value of
tal temperature 15°C. The thermal temperature (°C) the Froude number Fr1. Also, classify this flow as
is: a. 16 b. 16.5 c. 17 d. 17.5 e. 18 f. 18.5 subcritical, critical, or supercritical. Given M = 15
g. 19 h. 19.5 i. 20 j. 20.5 k. 21 m. 21.5 m s–1.
A4. Anabatic flow has a temperature excess of 4°C. A14. Assume |g|/Tv = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1. Find the in-
Find the buoyant along-slope pressure gradient force ternal wave horizontal group speed (m s–1) for a sta-
per unit mass for a slope of angle (°): bly stratified air layer of depth 400 m, given ∆θv/∆z
a. 10 b. 15 c. 20 d. 25 e. 30 f. 35 g. 40 (K km–1) of:
h. 45 i. 50 j. 55 k. 60 m. 65 n. 70 o. 75 a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0
h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 5.5 k. 6.0 m. 7 n. 8 o. 9
A5(§). Plot katabatic wind speed (m s–1) vs.
downslope distance (m) if the environment is 20°C A15. For the previous problem, find the value of the
and the cold katabatic air is 15°C. The slope angle Froude number Fr2. Also, classify this flow as sub-
(°) is: critical, critical, or supercritical.
a. 10 b. 15 c. 20 d. 25 e. 30 f. 35 g. 40
h. 45 i. 50 j. 55 k. 60 m. 65 n. 70 o. 75 A16. Winds of 10 m s–1 are flowing in a valley of 10
km width. Further downstream, the valley narrows
A6. Find the equilibrium downslope speed (m s–1) to the width (km) given below. Find the wind speed
for the previous problem, if the katabatic air is 5 m (m s–1) in the constriction, assuming constant depth
thick and the drag coefficient is 0.002. flow.
a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0
A7. Find the depth (m) of the thermal internal h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 5.5 k. 6.0 m. 7 n. 8 o. 9
boundary layer 2 km downwind of the coastline, for
an environment with wind speed 8 m s–1 and γ = 4 K A17. Assume |g|/Tv = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1. For a two-
km–1. The surface kinematic heat flux (K·m s–1) is layer atmospheric system flowing through a short
a. 0.04 b. 0.06 c. 0.08 d. 0.1 e. 0.12 gap, find the maximum expected gap wind speed
f. 0.14 g. 0.16 h. 0.18 i. 0.2 j. 0.22 (m s–1). Flow depth is 300 m, and the virtual poten-
tial temperature difference (K) is:
A8. Assume Tv = 20°C. Find the speed (m s–1) of a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0
advance of the sea-breeze front, for a flow depth of h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 5.5 k. 6.0 m. 7 n. 8 o. 9
700 m and a temperature excess ∆θ (K) of:
a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0 A18. Find the long-gap geostrophic wind (m s–1) at
h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 5.5 k. 6.0 m. 7 n. 8 o. 9 latitude 50°, given |g|/Tv = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1 and ∆θv
= 3°C, and assuming that the slope of the top cold-
A9. For the previous problem, find the sea-breeze air surface is given by the height change (km) below
wind speed (m s–1) at the coast. across a valley 10 km wide.
a. 0.3 b. 0.4 c. 0.5 d. 0.6 e. 0.7
A10. For a sea-breeze frontal speed of 5 m s–1, find f. 0.8 g. 0.9 h. 1.0 i. 1.1 j. 1.2
the expected maximum distance (km) of advance of k. 2.4 m. 2.6 n. 2.8 o. 3
the sea-breeze front for a latitude (°) of
a. 10 b. 15 c. 20 d. 25 e. 80 f. 35 g. 40 A19. Find the external Rossby radius of deformation
h. 45 i. 50 j. 55 k. 60 m. 65 n. 70 o. 75 (km) for a coastally trapped jet that rides against a
mountain range of 2500 m altitude at latitude (°) giv-
A11. What is the shallow-water wave phase speed en below, for air that is colder than its surroundings
(m s–1) for a water depth (m) of: by 10°C. Assume |g|/Tv = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1.
a. 2 b. 4 c. 6 d. 8 e. 10 f. 15 g. 20 a. 80 b. 85 c. 20 d. 25 e. 30 f. 35 g. 40
h. 25 i. 30 j. 40 k. 50 m. 75 n. 100 o. 200 h. 45 i. 50 j. 55 k. 60 m. 65 n. 70 o. 75
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 683
A25. Cold air flow speed 12 m s–1 changes to 3 m A32. Find the speed of sound (m s–1) and Mach
s–1 after a hydraulic jump. Assume |g|/Tv = 0.0333 number for Mair = 100 m s–1, given air of tempera-
m·s–2·K–1. How high can the hydraulic jump rise if ture (°C):
the exit velocity (m s–1) is a. –50 b. –45 c. –40 d. –35 e. –30
a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0 f. –25 g. –20 h. –15 i. –10 j. –5
h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 5.5 k. 6.0 m. 7 n. 8 o. 9 k. 0 m. 5 n. 10 o. 15 p. 20
A26. Assuming standard sea-level density and A33. Water flowing through a pipe with speed 2 m
streamlines that are horizontal, find the pressure s–1 and pressure 100kPa accelerates to the speed (m
change given the following velocity (m s–1) change: s–1) given below when it flows through a constric-
a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0 tion. What is the fluid pressure (kPa) in the constric-
h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 5.5 k. 6.0 m. 7 n. 8 o. 9 tion? Neglect drag against the pipe walls.
a. 6 b. 6.5 c. 7 d. 7.5 e. 8 f. 8.5 g. 9
A27. Wind at constant altitude decelerates from 12 h. 9.5 i. 10 j. 10.5 k. 11 m. 12 n. 13 o. 14
m s–1 to the speed (m s–1) given below, while passing
through a wind turbine. What opposing net pres- A34. For the bora Sample Application, redo the cal-
sure difference (Pa) would have caused the same de- culation assuming that the initial inversion height
celeration in laminar flow? (km) is: a. 1.1 b. 1.15 c. 1.25 d. 1.3 e .
a. 1.0 b. 1.5 c. 2.0 d. 2.5 e. 3.0 f. 3.5 g. 4.0 1.35
h. 4.5 i. 5.0 j. 5.5 k. 6.0 m. 7 n. 8 o. 9 f. 1.4 g. 1.45 h. 1.5 i. 1.55 j. 1.6
k. 1.65 m. 1.7 n. 1.75 o. 1.8 p. 1.85
A28. Air with pressure 100 kPa is initially at rest.
It is accelerated isothermally over a flat 0°C snow
684 chapter 17 • Regional Winds
A35. Use a thermodynamic diagram. Air of ini- tions, such as Gaussian (symmetric, bell shaped), ex-
tial temperature 10°C and dew point 0°C starts at a ponential, or others.
height where the pressure (kPa) is given below. This
air rises to height 70 kPa as it flows over a mountain, E3. Why was an asymmetric distribution such as
during which all liquid and solid water precipitate the Weibull distribution chosen to represent winds?
out. Air descends on the lee side of the mountain
to an altitude of 95 kPa. What is the temperature, E4. What assumptions were used in the derivation
dew point, and relative humidity of the air at its fi- of Betz’ Law, and which of those assumptions could
nal altitude? How much precipitation occurred on be improved?
the mountain? [Hint: use a thermo diagram.]
a. 104 b. 102 c. 100 d. 98 e. 96 f. 94 g. 92 E5. To double the amount of electrical power pro-
h. 90 i. 88 j. 86 k. 84 m. 82 n. 80 duced by a wind turbine, wind speed must increase
by what percentage, or turbine radius increase by
A36. Plot wind speed vs. height, for heights between what percentage?
0.25 hc and 5 hc, where hc is average plant canopy
height. Given: E6. For the Weibull distribution as plotted in Fig.
Plant hc(m) u*(m s–1) attenuation coef. 17.1, find the total wind power associated with it.
a. Wheat 1.0 0.5 2.6
b. Wheat 1.0 0.75 2.6 E7. In Fig. 17.5, what determines the shape of the
c. Soybean 1.0 0.5 3.5 wind-power output curve between the cut-in and
d. Soybean 1.0 0.75 3.5 rated points?
e. Oats 1.5 0.5 2.8
f. Oats 1.5 0.75 2.8 E8. List and explain commonalities among the equa-
g. Corn 2.0 0.5 2.7 tions that describe the various thermally-driven lo-
h. Corn 2.0 0.75 2.7 cal flows.
i. Corn 2.5 0.5 2.2
j. Corn 2.5 0.75 2.2 E9. If thermals with average updraft velocity of W
k. Sunflower 2.75 0.5 1.3 = 5 m s–1 occupy 40% of the horizontal area in the
m. Sunflower 2.75 0.75 1.3 boundary layer, find the average downdraft veloc-
n. Pine 3.0 0.5 1.1 ity.
o. Pine 3.0 0.25 1.1
p. Orchard 4.0 0.5 0.4 E10. What factors might affect rise rate of the ther-
q. Orchard 4.0 0.25 0.4 mal, in addition to the ones already given in this
r. Forest 20. 0.5 1.7 chapter?
s. Forest 20. 0.25 1.7
E11. Anabatic and lenticular clouds were described
A37. Estimate the max urban heat island tempera- in this chapter. Compare these clouds and their for-
ture excess compared to the surrounding rural mation mechanisms. Is it possible for both clouds to
countryside, for a city with urban-canyon aspect ra- occur simultaneously over the same mountain?
tio (H/W) of:
a. 0.5 b. 0.75 c. 1.0 d. 1.25 e. 1.5 f. 1.75 E12. Is the equation describing the anabatic pres-
g. 2.0 h. 2.25 i. 2.5 j. 2.75 k. 3.0 m. 3.25 sure gradient force valid or reasonable in the limits
of 0° slope, or 90° slope. Explain.
E18. For stronger land-sea temperature contrasts, E33. Compare and contrast the 3 versions of the
which aspects of the sea-breeze would change, and Froude number. Do they actually describe the same
which would be relatively unchanged? Why? physical processes? Why?
E19. At 30° latitude, can the sea-breeze front advance E34. Is there any max limit to the angle a of moun-
an infinite distance from the shore? Why? tain wave crests (see Fig. 17.31)? Comment.
E20. In the Southern Hemisphere, draw a sketch of E35. If during the course of a day, the wind speed is
the sea-breeze-vs.-time hodograph, and explain it. constant but the wind direction gradually changes
direction by a full 360°, draw a graph of the resulting
E21. For what situations would open-channel hy- streamline, streakline, and path line at the end of the
draulics NOT be a good approximation to atmo- period. Assume continuous emissions from a point
spheric local flows? Explain. source during the whole period.
E22. Interfacial (surface) wave speed was shown to E36. Identify the terms of Bernoulli’s equation that
depend on average depth of the cold layer of air. Is form the hydrostatic approximation. According to
this equation valid for any depth? Why? Bernoulli’s equation, what must happen or not hap-
pen in order for hydrostatic balance to be valid?
E23. In deriving eq. (17.17) for internal waves, we
focused on only the fastest wavelengths. Justify. E37. Describe how the terms in Bernoulli’s equation
vary along a mountain-wave streamline as sketched
E24. In what ways is the Froude number for incom- in Fig. 17.29.
pressible flows similar to the Mach number for com-
pressible flows? E38. If a cold air parcel is given an upward push in a
warmer environment of uniform potential tempera-
E25. If supercritical flows tend to “break down” to- ture, describe how the terms in Bernoulli’s equation
ward subcritical, then why do supercritical flows ex- vary with parcel height.
ist at all in the atmosphere?
E39. For compressible flow, show if (and how) the
E26. Is it possible to have supercritical flow in the Bernoulli equations for isothermal and adiabatic
atmosphere that does NOT create an hydraulic jump processes reduce to the basic incompressible Ber-
when it changes to subcritical? Explain? noulli equation under conditions of constant den-
sity.
E27. Contrast the nature of gap winds through short
and long gaps. Also, what would you do if the gap E40. In the Sample Application for the pressure
length were in between short and long? variation across a wind turbine, hypothesize why
the actual pressure change has the variation that
E28. For gap winds through a long gap, why are was plotted.
they less likely to form in summer than winter?
E41. In Fig. 17.34, would it be reasonable to move the
E29. Can coastally trapped jets form on the east static pressure port to the top center of the darkly
coast of continents in the N. Hemisphere? If so, ex- shaded block, given no change to the streamlines
plain how the process would work. drawn? Comment on potential problems with a
static port at that location.
686 chapter 17 • Regional Winds
E43. In Fig. 17.34, speculate on how the streamlines S7. Why does the cycling in a sea-breeze hodograph
would look if the approaching flow was supersonic. not necessarily agree with the timing of the pendu-
Draw your streamlines, and justify them. lum day?
E44. Comment on the differences and similarities S8. What local circulations would disappear if air
of the two mechanisms shown in this Chapter for density did not vary with temperature? Justify.
creating Foehn winds.
S9. Can a Froude number be defined based on deep-
E45. For Bora winds, if the upwind cold air was over water waves rather than shallow-water waves? If so,
an elevated plateau, and the downwind lowland write an equation for the resulting Froude number,
was significantly lower than the plateau, how would and suggest applications for it in the atmosphere.
Bora winds be different, if at all? Why?
S10. What if waves could carry no information and
E46. If the air in Fig. 17.38 went over a mountain but no energy. How would the critical nature of the flow
there was no precipitation, would there be a Foehn change, if at all?
wind?
S11. If the Earth did not rotate, compare the flow
E47. Relate the amount of warming of a Foehn wind through short and long gaps through mountains.
to the average upstream wind speed and the precipi-
tation rate in mm h–1 . S12. If no mountains existing along coasts, could
there ever be strong winds parallel to the coast?
E48. How sensitive is the solution for wind speed
above a plant canopy? [Hint: see the Sample Ap- S13. If mountain-wave drag causes the winds to be
plication in the canopy flow section.] Namely, if you slower, does that same drag force cause the Earth to
have a small error in estimating displacement dis- spin faster? Comment.
tance d, are the resulting errors in friction velocity u*
and roughness length zo relatively small or large? S14. Suppose that mountain-wave drag worked op-
positely, and caused winds to accelerate aloft. How
would the weather & climate be different, if at all?
Synthesize S15. Is it possible for a moving air parcel to not be
S1. Suppose that in year 2100 everyone is required
traveling along a streamline? Comment.
by law to have their own wind turbine. Since wind
turbines take power from the wind, the wind be-
S16. Suppose that Bernoulli’s equation says that pres-
comes slower. What effect would this have on the
sure decreases as velocity decreases along a stream-
weather and climate, if any?
line of constant height. How would the weather and
climate be different, if at all? Start by commenting
S2. If fair-weather thermals routinely rose as high
how Boras would be different, if at all.
as the tropopause without forming clouds, comment
on changes to the weather and climate, if any.
S17. Suppose you are a 2 m tall person in a town
with average building height of 8 m. How would
S3. Suppose that katabatic winds were friction-
the winds that you feel be different (if at all) than the
less. Namely, no turbulence, no friction against the
winds felt by a 0.2 m tall cat in a young corn field of
ground, and no friction against other layers of air.
average height 0.8 m?
Speculate on the shape of the vertical wind profile of
the katabatic winds, and justify your arguments.
S18. If human population continued to grow until
all land areas were urban, would there be an urban
S4. If a valley has two exists, how would the moun-
heat island? Justify, and relate to weather changes.
tain and valley winds behave?
Explanation
Static stability controls formation of the ABL, and
affects ABL wind and temperature profiles. Here is
a quick review of information from the Atmospheric
Stability chapter.
If a small blob of air (i.e., an air parcel) is warm-
“Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey er than its surroundings at the same height or pres-
of Atmospheric Science” by Roland Stull is licensed sure, the parcel is positively buoyant and rises. If
under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCom-
mercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. View this license at cooler, it is negatively buoyant and sinks. A parcel
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ . This work is
available at http://www.eos.ubc.ca/books/Practical_Meteorology/ .
687
688 chapter 18 • Atmospheric Boundary Layer
Rules of Thumb for Stability in the ABL INFO • Engineering Boundary Layers
Because of the daily cycle of radiative heating
and cooling, there is a daily cycle of static stability In wind tunnel experiments, the layer of air that
in the ABL. ABL static stability can be anticipated turbulently “feels” frictional drag against the bottom
as follows, without worrying about air parcels for wall grows in depth indefinitely (Fig. 18.a). This en-
gineering boundary-layer thickness h grows propor-
now.
tional to the square root of downstream distance x,
Unstable air adjacent to the ground is associ- until hitting the top of the wind tunnel.
ated with light winds and a surface that is warmer On an idealized rotating planet, the Earth’s rota-
than the air. This is common on sunny days in fair- tion imposes a dynamical constraint on ABL depth
weather. It can also occur when cold air blows over (Fig. 18.b). This maximum depth is proportional to the
a warmer surface, day or night. In unstable condi- ratio of wind drag (related to the friction velocity u*,
tions, thermals of warm air rise from the surface to which is a concept discussed later in this chapter) to
heights of 200 m to 4 km, and turbulence within this Earth’s rotation (related to the Coriolis parameter fc,
layer is vigorous. as discussed in the Atmos. Forces & Winds chapter).
At the other extreme are stable layers of air, as- This dynamic constraint supersedes the turbulence
sociated with light winds and a surface that is cooler constraint.
For the real ABL on Earth, the strong capping in-
than the air. This typically occurs at night in fair-
version at height zi makes the ABL unique (Fig. 18.c)
weather with clear skies, or when warm air blows compared to other fluid flows. It constrains the ABL
over a colder surface day or night. Turbulence is thickness and the eddies within it to a maximum size
weak or sometimes nonexistent in stable layers adja- of order 200 m to 4 km. This stratification (thermo-
cent to the ground. The stable layers of air are usu- dynamic) constraint supersedes the others. It means
ally shallow (20 - 500 m) compared to the unstable that the temperature structure is always very impor-
daytime cases. tant for the ABL.
In between these two extremes are neutral con-
ditions, where winds are moderate to strong and
B
&OHJOFFSJOH#PVOEBSZ-BZFST
there is little heating or cooling from the surface.
[
These occur during overcast conditions, often asso-
ciated with bad weather. IuY
#PVOEBSZ
. -BZFS
Y
Boundary-layer Formation
C
#PVOEBSZ-BZFSTPOB3PUBUJOH1MBOFU
Tropospheric Constraints [
Because of buoyant effects, the vertical tempera-
ture structure of the troposphere limits the types IuVGD
of vertical motion that are possible. The standard
atmosphere in the troposphere is not parallel to the .
dry adiabats (Fig. 18.2), but crosses the adiabats to- Y
ward warmer potential temperatures as altitude in-
creases.
That same standard atmosphere is replotted as D
#PVOEBSZ-BZFSTJO&BSUIhT4USBUJGJFE"UNPTQIFSF
the thick dotted grey line in Fig. 18.3, but now in [ [
terms of its potential temperature (θ) versus height
(z). The standard atmosphere slopes toward warmer
potential temperatures at greater altitudes. Such a I[J
slope indicates statically stable air; namely, air that
.
opposes vertical motion. R Y
The ABL is often turbulent. Because turbulence
causes mixing, the bottom part of the standard at- Figure 18.a-c
mosphere becomes homogenized. Namely, within Comparison of constraints on boundary layer thickness, h.
the turbulent region, warmer potential-temperature M is mean wind speed away from the bottom boundary, θ
air from the standard atmosphere in the top of the is potential temperature, z is height, and x is downwind
ABL is mixed with cooler potential-temperature air distance.
from near the bottom. The resulting mixture has a
690 chapter 18 • Atmospheric Boundary Layer
VQESBGUT
EFFQ
culate counterclockwise and spiral in toward lows TVCTJEFODF DMPVET
(Fig. 18.6). See the Dynamics chapter for details on
winds.
The outward spiral of winds around highs is [J
called divergence, and removes ABL air horizon- UPQ S
tally from the center of highs. Conservation of air PGCPVOEBSZMBZF
mass requires subsidence (downward moving air) [
over highs to replace the horizontally diverging air EJWFSHFODF DPOWFSHFODF
(Fig. 18.5). Although this subsidence pushes free
atmosphere air downward, it cannot penetrate into
Y
the ABL because of the strong capping inversion. )JHI -PX
Instead, the capping inversion is pushed downward 1SFTTVSF 1SFTTVSF
closer to the ground as the ABL becomes thinner.
Figure 18.5
This situation traps air pollutants in a shallow ABL, Influence of synoptic-scale vertical circulations on the ABL.
causing air stagnation and air-pollution episodes.
Similarly, horizontally converging ABL air
around lows is associated with upward motion (Fig.
18.5). Often the synoptic forcings and storms as-
sociated with lows are so powerful that they easily
lift the capping inversion or eliminate it altogether.
This allows ABL air to be deeply mixed over the
whole depth of the troposphere by thunderstorms
and other clouds. Air pollution is usually reduced
during this situation as it is diluted with cleaner air
from aloft, and as it is washed out by rain.
Because winds in high-pressure regions are rela- Z
tively light, ABL air lingers over the surface for suf-
ficient time to take on characteristics of that surface.
These characteristics include temperature, humidity, Y
pollution, odor, and others. Such ABL air is called
an airmass, and was discussed in the chapter on Figure 18.6
Airmasses and Fronts. When the ABLs from two Synoptic-scale horizontal winds (arrows) in the ABL near the
different high-pressure centers are drawn toward surface. Thin lines are isobars around surface high (H) and low
(L) pressure centers.
each other by a low center, the zone separating those
two airmasses is called a front.
At a frontal zone, the colder, heavier airmass acts
like a wedge under the warm airmass. As winds
blow the cold and warm air masses toward each [
other, the cold wedge causes the warm ABL to peel USPQPQBVTF
UIVOEFSTUPSN
away from the ground, causing it to ride up over the DMPVET
colder air (Figs. 18.7a & b). Also, thunderstorms can
vent ABL air away from the ground (Figs. 18.7a &
b). It is mainly in these stormy conditions (statically
stable conditions at fronts, and statically unstable GSPOUBM DMPV
JOWF ET
conditions at thunderstorms) that ABL air is forced STJPO
[J
away from the surface. [J
XBSNBJS
Although an ABL forms in the advancing air- DPME "#-
"#-
mass behind the front, the warm humid air that was BJS
pushed aloft is not called an ABL because it has lost
contact with the surface. Instead, this rising warm GSPOUBM
[POF
air cools, allowing water vapor to condense and
make the clouds that we often associate with fronts. Figure 18.7a
Idealized ABL modification near a frontal zone.
692 chapter 18 • Atmospheric Boundary Layer
B
%": 1.
C
/*()5 ".
[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [
'" '"
[J &; [J $*
.- 3-
4#-
4-
5 R S .#- ( . 5 R S ( .
Figure 18.9
Typical vertical profiles of temperature (T), potential temperature (θ), mixing ratio (r, see the Water Vapor chapter), and wind speed
(M) in the ABL. The dashed line labeled G is the geostrophic wind speed (a theoretical wind in the absence of surface drag, see the
Atmos. Forces & Winds chapter). MBL is average wind speed in the ABL. Shading corresponds to shading in Fig. 18.8, with white
being statically unstable, and black very stable.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 693
')
Temperature %BZUJNF /JHIUUJNF
The capping inversion traps in the ABL any heat- ')NBY 5JNFUSFMBUJWFUP
ing and water evaporation from the surface. As a re- XIFODPPMJOHTUBSUFE
sult, heat accumulates within the ABL during day, or
whenever the surface is warmer than the air. Cool-
ing (actually, heat loss) accumulates during night, or
whenever the surface is colder than the air. Thus,
U U %
the temperature structure of the ABL depends on
5JNFUSFMBUJWFUPXIFO
the accumulated heating or cooling.
IFBUJOHTUBSUFE
Nighttime
During clear nights over land, heat flux from the
air to the cold surface is relatively constant with time
(dark shaded portion of Fig. 18.10). If we define t as HIGHER MATH • Cumulative Heating
the time since cooling began, then the accumulated
cooling per unit surface area is: Derivation of Daytime Cumulative Heating
Assume that the kinematic heat flux is approxi-
QA = FH night · t (18.1a) mately sinusoidal with time:
FH = FH max · sin( π · t / D)
For night, QA is a negative number because FH is
negative for cooling. QA has units of J m–2.
with t and D defined as in Fig. 18.10 for daytime. Inte-
Dividing eq. (18.1a) by air density and specific
grating from time t = 0 to arbitrary time t :
heat (ρair·Cp) gives the kinematic form
t t
GSFF
GSFF BUNPTQIFSF (a) Day, 3 PM (b) Night, 3 AM
BUNPTQIFSF z (m) z (m)
DBQQJOH 100 100
JOWFSTJPO
FOUSBJO[POF
SFTJEVBM 80 80
MBZFS
NJYFE 60 60
MBZFS TUBCMF
CPVOEBSZ 40 40
MBZFS
20 20
5 $
5 $
0 0
10 15 20 5 10 15
Figure 18.11 5 $
5 $
Above the stable ABL is the residual layer. It has During winter at mid- and high-latitudes, more
not felt the cooling from the ground, and hence cooling occurs during the long nights than heat-
retains the adiabatic lapse rate from the mixed layer ing during the short days, in fair weather over land.
of the previous day. Above that is the capping tem- Stable ABLs dominate, and there is net temperature
perature inversion, which is the nonturbulent rem- decrease over 24 hours (Figs. 18.13 c & d). Any non-
nant of the entrainment zone. frontal clouds present are typically stratiform or fog.
Any residual layer that forms early in the night is
Seasonal Differences quickly overwhelmed by the growing stable ABL.
During summer at mid- and high-latitudes, days Fig. 18.14 shows the corresponding structure of
are longer than nights during fair weather over land. the ABL. Although both the mixed layer and re-
More heating occurs during day than cooling at sidual layer have nearly adiabatic temperature pro-
night. After a full 24 hours, the ending sounding is files, the mixed layer is nonlocally unstable, while
warmer than the starting sounding as illustrated in the residual layer is neutral. This difference causes
Figs. 18.13 a & b. The convective mixed layer starts pollutants to disperse at different rates in those two
shallow in the morning, but rapidly grows through regions.
the residual layer. In the afternoon, it continues to If the wind moves ABL air over surfaces of dif-
rise slowly into the free atmosphere. If the air con- ferent temperatures, then ABL structures can evolve
tains sufficient moisture, cumuliform clouds can ex- in space, rather than in time. For example, suppose
ist. At night, cooling creates a shallow stable ABL the numbers along the abscissa in Fig. 18.14b repre-
near the ground, but leaves a thick residual layer in sent distance x (km), with wind blowing from left to
the middle of the ABL. right over a lake spanning 8 ≤ x ≤ 16 km. The ABL
4VNNFS B
%BZ C
/JHIU B
4VNNFS
[ [ [
'SFF"UNPTQIFSF '"
LN
LN
LN
3FTJEVBM
3- -BZFS
.JYFE 3-
-BZFS
.-
4#-
4#-
R R
8JOUFS D
%BZ E
/JHIU C
8JOUFS
[
[ [
LN
LN
LN
'"
4#- 4#-
4UBCMF $*
#PVOEBSZ
3-
&;
-BZFS
4#-
4#-
.-
R R
-PDBM5JNF
Figure 18.13 Figure 18.14
Evolution of potential temperature θ profiles for fair-weather Daily evolution of boundary-layer structure by season, for fair
over land. Curves are labeled with local time in hours. The weather over land. CI = Capping Inversion. Shading indicates
nighttime curves begin at 18 local time, which corresponds to static stability: white = unstable, light grey = neutral (as in the
the ending sounding from the previous day. RL), darker greys indicate stronger static stability.
696 chapter 18 • Atmospheric Boundary Layer
Assume: flat prairie. To plot profile, need He & ∆θs. ∆θ( z) = ∆θ s · e − z/ H e (18.3)
Use eq. (18.4):
where ∆θ(z) = θ(z) – θRL is the potential temperature
H e ≈ (0.15m1/4 · s1/4 )·(10m · s −1 )3/ 4 ·( 43200s)1/2 difference between the air at height z and the air in
(a) He = 175 m the residual layer. ∆θ(z) is negative.
The value of this difference near the ground is
H e ≈ (0.15m1/4 · s1/4 )·(5m · s −1 )3/ 4 ·( 43200s)1/2
defined to be ∆θs = ∆θ(z=0), and is sometimes called
(b) He = 104 m the strength of the stable ABL. He is an e-folding
height for the exponential curve. The actual depth
Use eq. (18.5):
h of the stable ABL is roughly h = 5·He.
(a) ∆θs = (–1000K·m)/(175) = –5.71 °C
Depth and strength of the stable ABL grow as the
(b) ∆θs = (–1000K·m)/(104) = –9.62 °C
Use eq. (18.3) in a spreadsheet to compute the potential cumulative cooling QAk increases with time:
temperature profiles, using He and ∆θs from above:
H e ≈ a · MRL 3/ 4 · t1/2 (18.4)
QAk
∆θ s = (18.5)
He
[ N
where a = 0.15 m1/4 ·s1/4 for flow over a flat prairie,
and where MRL is the wind speed in the residual
layer. Because the cumulative cooling is propor-
tional to time, both the depth 5·He and strength ∆θs
of the stable ABL increase as the square root of time.
åR ,
Thus, fast growth of the SBL early in the evening
decreases to a much slower growth by the end of the
Check: Units OK, Physics OK. Graph OK. night.
Exposition: The windy case (thick line) is not as cold
near the ground, but the cooling extends over a greater
depth than for the less-windy case (thin line).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 697
JOH
for forecasting daytime temperature profiles. In real
PVOE
atmospheres, the sounding might not be a smooth [J
exponential as idealized in the previous subsection.
H4
BUU
R U
OJO
initial potential temperature profile. R U
PS
MZ.
A graphical solution is easiest. First, plot the &BS R U
early-morning sounding of θ vs. z. Next, determine R R
the cumulative daytime heating QAk that occurs R.- R.-
between sunrise and some time of interest t1, us- BUU BUU
ing eq. (18.2b). This heat warms the air in the ABL;
Figure 18.16
thus the area under the sounding equals the accu-
Evolution of the mixed layer with time, as cumulative heating
mulated heating (and also has units of K·m). Plot a increases the areas under the curves.
vertical line of constant θ between the ground and
the sounding, so that the area (hatched in Fig. 18.16a)
under the curve equals the cumulative heating.
This vertical line gives the potential temperature
of the mixed layer θML(t1). The height where this Sample Application
vertical line intersects the early-morning sounding Given an early morning sounding with surface
defines the mixed-layer depth zi(t1). As cumulative temperature 5°C and lapse rate ∆θ/∆z = 3 K km–1. Find
heating increases with time during the day (Area2 = the mixed-layer potential temperature and depth at 10
total grey-shaded region at time t2), the mixed layer AM, when the cumulative heating is 500 K·m.
becomes warmer and deeper (Fig. 18.16a). The re-
Find the Answer
sulting potential temperature profiles during the
Given: θsfc = 5°C, ∆θ/∆z = 3 K km–1,
day are sketched in Fig. 18.16b. This method of QAk =0.50 K·km
finding mixed layer growth is called the encroach- Find: θML = ? °C, zi = ? km
ment method, or thermodynamic method, and Sketch:
explains roughly 90% of typical mixed-layer growth [
on sunny days with winds less than 10 m s–1. [J
LN
$
Entrainment
As was mentioned earlier, the turbulent mixed $ R.- R
layer grows by entraining non-turbulent air from
the free atmosphere. One can idealize the mixed The area under this simple sounding is the area of a
triangle: Area = 0.5·[base]·(height) ,
layer as a slab model (Fig. 18.17a), with constant po-
Area = 0.5·[(∆θ/∆z)·zi]·(zi)
tential temperature in the mixed layer, and a jump 0.50 K·km = 0.5·(3 K km–1)·zi2
of potential temperature (∆θ) at the EZ. Rearrange and solve for zi:
Entrained air from the free atmosphere has zi = 0.577 km
warmer potential temperature than air in the mixed
layer. Because this warm air is entrained downward, Next, use the sounding to find the θML:
it corresponds to a negative heat flux FH zi at the top θML = θsfc + (∆θ/∆z)·zi
of the mixed layer. The heat-flux profile (Fig. 18.17b) θML = (5°C) + (3°C km–1)·(0.577 km) = 6.73 °C
is often linear with height, with the most negative
value marking the top of the mixed layer. Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Sketch OK.
The entrainment rate of free atmosphere air into Exposition: Arbitrary soundings can be approxi-
the mixed layer is called the entrainment veloc- mated by straight line segments. The area under such
ity, we, and can never be negative. The entrainment a sounding consists of the sum of areas within trap-
ezoids under each line segment. Alternately, draw the
velocity is the volume of entrained air per unit hori-
early-morning sounding on graph paper, count the
zontal area per unit time. In other words it is a vol- number of little grid boxes under the sounding, and
ume flux, which has the same units as velocity. multiply by the area of each box.
698 chapter 18 • Atmospheric Boundary Layer
[
Wind LN
k2 (18.12)
CD =
ln 2 ( zR / zo )
[ N
u* z z
M( z) = ln + 6 Sample Application (§)
•(18.15)
k zo L For a friction velocity of 0.3 m s–1, aerodynamic
roughness length of 0.02 m, average virtual tempera-
where M is wind speed at height z, k = 0.4 is the von ture of 300 K, and kinematic surface heat flux of –0.05
Kármán constant, zo is the aerodynamic roughness K·m s–1 at night, plot the wind-speed profile in the sur-
length, and u* is friction velocity. As height increas- face layer. (Compare profiles for statically stable and
es, the linear term dominates over the logarithmic neutral conditions.)
term, as sketched in Fig. 18.20.
An Obukhov length L is defined as: Find the Answer
Given: u* = 0.3 m s–1, zo = 0.02 m,
Tv = 300 K, FHsfc = –0.05 K·m s–1
− u* 3 Find: M(z) = ? m s–1
L= •(18.16)
k ·( g / Tv )· FHsfc
Use eq. (18.16):
L = –(0.3m s–1)3/[0.4·(9.8m·s–2)·(–0.05K·m s–1)/(300K)]
where |g| = 9.8 m s–2
is gravitational acceleration = 41.3 m
magnitude, Tv is the absolute virtual temperature,
and FHsfc is the kinematic surface heat flux. L has Use eq. (18.14a) for M in a neutral surface layer.
units of m, and is positive during statically stable For example, at z = 50 m:
conditions (because FHsfc is negative then). The M = [(0.3m s–1)/0.4] · ln(50m/0.02m) = 5.9 m s–1
Obukhov length can be interpreted as the height in
the stable surface layer below which shear produc- Use eq. (18.15) for M in a stable surface layer.
tion of turbulence exceeds buoyant consumption. For example, at z = 50 m: M = [(0.3m s–1)/0.4] ·
[ln(50m/0.02m) + 6·(50m/41.3m)] = 11.3 m s–1
Profile in the Convective Radix Layer Use a spreadsheet to find M at the other heights:
For statically unstable ABLs with vigorous con- z (m) M(m s–1)n eutral M (m s–1)stable
vective thermals, such as occur on sunny days over 0.02 0.0 0.0
land, wind speed becomes uniform with height a 0.05 0.7 0.7
short distance above the ground. Between that uni- 0.1 1.2 1.2
0.2 1.7 1.7
form wind-speed layer and the ground is the radix
0.5 2.4 2.5
layer (RxL). The wind speed profile in the radix 1 2.9 3.0
layer is: 2 3.5 3.7
•(18.17a)
( ) ( )
A 5 4.1 4.7
M( z) = MBL · ζ*D ·exp A · 1 − ζ*D for 0 ≤ ζ* ≤ 1.0 10 4.7 5.7
20 5.2 7.4
and (18.17b) 50 5.9 11.3
M(z) = MBL for 1.0 ≤ ζ* 100 6.4 17.3
where ζ* = 1 defines the top of the radix layer. In
the bottom of the RxL, wind speed increases faster /FVUSBM
with height than given by the log wind profile for
4UBCMF
the neutral surface layer, but becomes tangent to the
uniform winds MBL in the mid-mixed layer (Fig.
18.20). [ N
.
/0GFFECBDL
. NT
. NT
σ u = 2 · u* · [ 1 − ( z / h)]3/ 4 (18.24a) Use eqs. (18.24c and 18.25c). For example, for z = 100m:
Stable:
σw = 1.73·(0.5m s–1)·[1–(100m/300m)]0.75 = 0.638 m s–1
Neutral:
σ v = 2.2 · u* · [ 1 − ( z / h)]3/ 4 (18.24b)
σw = 1.25·(0.5m s–1)·[1–0.5·(100m/300m) = 0.521 m s–1
[ N
Check: Units OK. Magnitudes OK.
σ w = 1.25 · u* · [ 1 − 0.5 ·( z / h)] (18.25c) Exposition: Turbulence diminishes rapidly with in-
creasing height for statically stable conditions.
For statically unstable air:
Sample Application (§)
(
σ u = 0.032 · wB · 1 + [ 1 − ( z / zi )]
6
) (18.26a) For a 1 km thick unstable ABL, compare the verti-
cal profiles of σu & σw. Assume wB = 30 m s–1.
valid only within the boundary layer (i.e., from z = 100 0.843 0.615 TV TX
0 up to h or zi ). 200 0.638 0.521
300 0.514 0.469
500 0.379 0.417
Isotropy 800 0.266 0.365
If turbulence has nearly the same variance in all 1000 0.0 0.313
three directions, then turbulence is said to be iso- T NT
∆TKE
= A + S + B + Tr − ε •(18.29)
∆t
Science Graffito
where A is advection of TKE by the mean wind, S
“Big whirls have little whirls that feed on their veloc-
ity, and little whirls have lesser whirls and so on to is shear generation, B is buoyant production or con-
viscosity – in the molecular sense.” sumption, Tr is transport by turbulent motions and
– L.F. Richardson, 1922: “Weather Prediction by Nu- pressure, and ε is viscous dissipation rate. For sta-
merical Process”. p66. tionary (steady-state) turbulence, the tendency term
on the left side of eq. (18.29) is zero.
Mean wind blows TKE from one location to an-
other. The advection term is given by:
ε≈
(TKE)3/2
(18.33)
{
TKE = Lε · a · M 3 + ( g / Tv )· FH sfc }
2/3
{
= (50m)·
Lε 2/3
3
9.8ms −2
(
s
)
−4 −1 m
2 × 10 m 5 +
298K
( −0.02 Km/s)
where Lε ≈ 50 m is a dissipation length scale.
The ratio of buoyancy to shear terms of the TKE = {1.25 – 0.033 m3 s–3 }2/3 = 1.14 m2 s–2
equation is called the flux Richardson number,
Rf: Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
Exposition: This turbulence intensity is weak, as is
– B −( g / Tv )· FH sfc typical at night when heat fluxes are negative. Also,
Rf = ≈ (18.34a)
S ∆M eq. (18.31b) for S is not accurate for statically stable con-
u* 2 ·
∆z ditions.
710 chapter 18 • Atmospheric Boundary Layer
N TJU DF 4 −( g / Tv )· FH sfc
4IFBS(FOFSBUJPO R f ≈ (18.34b)
& UFO MFO
a · M3
Z
pT m
3BUF NpTm
5, *O SCV
5V
Free and Forced Convection
G
T
WF
SFF
m
#
3G
VO
XB
D
TUB
ture of pollutant dispersion, changes with the rela-
POW
MF
CMF
TUBC
FD
"
UJPO
terms of interest are the shear S and buoyancy B
3Gŗ 3Gmŗ
terms.
m When |B| < |S/3|, the atmosphere is said to be
# in a state of forced convection (Fig. 18.24). These
%JTQFSTJPO*TPUSPQZ #VPZBOU NpTm
conditions are typical of windy overcast days, and
'MVY3JDIBSETPO/VNCFS (FOFSBUJPO3BUF are associated with near neutral static stability.
4UBUJD4UBCJMJUZ Turbulence is nearly isotropic. Smoke plumes dis-
1BTRVJMM(JGGPSE5VSCVMFODF5ZQF
'MPX perse at nearly equal rates in the vertical and lateral,
which is called coning. The sign of B is not impor-
Figure 18.24 tant here — only the magnitude.
Rate of generation of TKE by buoyancy (abscissa) and shear When B is positive and |B| > |3·S|, the atmo-
(ordinate). Shape and rates of plume dispersion (dark spots or sphere is said to be in a state of free convection.
waves). Dashed lines separate sectors of different Pasquill-Gif- Thermals of warm rising air are typical in this situ-
ford turbulence type (A - G). Isopleths of TKE intensity (dark ation, and the ABL is statically unstable (in the
diagonal lines). Rf is flux Richardson number. SST is stably- nonlocal sense; see the Stability chapter). These con-
stratified turbulence. ditions often happen in the daytime over land, and
during periods of cold-air advection over warmer
surfaces. Turbulence is anisotropic, with more en-
Sample Application ergy in the vertical, and smoke plumes loop up and
For the previous Sample Application, determine down in a pattern called looping.
the nature of convection (free, forced, etc.), the Pas- When B is negative and |B| > |S|, static stabil-
quill-Gifford (PG) turbulence type, and the flux Rich- ity is so strong that turbulence cannot exist. Dur-
ardson number. Assume no clouds.
ing these conditions, there is virtually no disper-
sion while the smoke blows downwind. Buoyancy
Find the Answer
Given: (see previous Sample Application)
waves (gravity waves) are possible, and appear as
Find: S = ? m2 s–3 , B = ? m2 s–3 , Rf = ? , PG = ? waves in the smoke plumes. For values of |B| ≈ |S|,
breaking Kelvin-Helmholtz waves can occur (see
Use eq. (18.31b): the Stability chapter), which cause some dispersion.
3 For B negative but |B| < |S|, weak turbulence is
( )
m
S ≈ 2 × 10 −4 m −1 5 = 0.025 m2 s–3
s
possible. These conditions can occur at night. This
is sometimes called stably-stratified turbulence
Use eq. (18.32): (SST). Vertical dispersion is much weaker than
9.8ms −2 lateral, causing an anisotropic condition where
B= ( −0.02 Km/s) = –0.00066 m2 s–3 smoke spreads horizontally more than vertically, in
298K
a process called fanning.
Because the magnitude of B is less than a third of that
Fig. 18.24 shows the relationship between differ-
of S, we conclude convection is forced.
Use eq. (18.34): Rf = –(–0.00066) / 0.025 = 0.0264 ent types of convection and the terms of the TKE
and is dimensionless. equation. While the ratio of B/S determines the na-
Use Fig. 18.24. Pasquill-Gifford Type = D (but on ture of convection, the sum S + B determines the in-
the borderline near E). tensity of turbulence. A Pasquill-Gifford turbulence
type (Fig. 18.24) can also be defined from the relative
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. magnitudes of S and B, and is used in the Air Pollu-
Exposition: The type of turbulence is independent of tion to help estimate pollution dispersion rates.
the intensity. Intensity is proportional to S+B.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 711
N
1
var(w) =
N
∑ (Wk − W )·(Wk − W ) (18.35)
k =1
= w ′θ ′
where the overbar still denotes an average. Namely,
one over N times the sum of N terms (see middle
line of eq. 18.36) is the average of those items. Com-
paring eqs. (18.35) with (18.36), we see that variance
is just the covariance between a variable and itself.
Covariance indicates the amount of common
variation between two variables. It is positive where
both variables increase or decrease together. Covari-
ance is negative for opposite variation, such as when
one variable increases while the other decreases.
Covariance is zero if one variable is unrelated to the
variation of the other.
B
4UBUJDBMMZVOTUBCMF C
4UBUJDBMMZTUBCMF
The correlation coefficient ra,b is defined as the
ŒRŒ[ ŒRŒ[
covariance between a and b normalized by the stan- [ [
dard deviations of the two variables a and b. Using
vertical velocity and potential temperature for illus- Rh m
R Rh
XhRh R
}
tration: X hRh
}
m
w ′θ ′
rw , θ = •(18.37)
σ w · σθ
Xh Xh
By normalized, we mean that –1 ≤ ra,b ≤ 1. A cor-
m
m
Rh m
HIGHER MATH • Turbulence Terms But this contains yet another unknown w ' w ' θ ' . A
forecast equation for w ' w ' θ ' would yield yet anoth-
Why does a turbulence covariance term appear in er unknown. Hence, we need an infinite number of
the forecast equation for average temperature, T ? To equations just to forecast air temperature. Or, if we
answer, consider the vertical advection term (3.31) in use only a finite number of equations, then we have
the heat-budget equation (3.17) as an example: more unknowns than equations.
∂T ∂θ Hence, this set of equations is mathematically
=· · ·− W
∂t ∂z not closed, which means they cannot be solved. To
be a closed system of equations, the number of
For each dependent variable (T, W, θ), describe them
unknowns must equal the number of equations.
by their mean plus turbulent parts:
One reason for this closure problem is that it
∂(T + T ') ∂(θ + θ ') is impossible to accurately forecast each swirl and
= · · · − (W + w ')
∂t ∂z eddy in the wind. To work around this problem,
or meteorologists parameterize the net effect of all
∂T ∂T ' ∂θ ∂θ ' ∂θ ∂θ '
+ =· · ·− W −W − w' − w' the eddies; namely, they use a finite number of equa-
∂t ∂t ∂z ∂z ∂z ∂z
tions, and approximate the unknowns as a func-
Next, average the whole equation. But the average tion of known variables. Such an approximation is
of a sum is the same as the sum of the averages: called turbulence closure, because it mathemati-
∂T ∂T ' ∂θ ∂θ ' ∂θ ∂θ ' cally closes the governing equations, allowing use-
+ =· · ·− W −W − w' − w' ful weather forecasts and engineering designs.
∂t ∂t ∂z ∂z ∂z ∂z
[Aside: Let A be any variable. Expand into mean and
Turbulence Closure Types
turbulent parts: A = A + a ' , then average the whole eq:
A = A + a ' . But the average of an average is just the
For common weather situations with mean
original average: A = A + a ' . This equation can be temperature, wind and humidity that are nearly
valid only if a ' = 0 . Thus, the average of any term horizontally uniform, turbulent transport in any
containing a single primed variable (along with any horizontal direction nearly cancels transport in
number of unprimed variables) is zero. ] the opposite direction, and thus can be neglected.
Thus the heat budget becomes: But vertical transport is significant. Medium and
large size turbulent eddies can transport air parcels
∂T ∂θ ∂θ '
=· · ·− W − w' from many different source heights to any destina-
∂t ∂z ∂z
tion height within the turbulent domain, where the
The term on the left and the first term on the right are smaller eddies mix the parcels together.
average of averages, and can be rewritten by just the
Different approximations of turbulent transport
original averages. The last term can be transformed
into flux form using the turbulent continuity equa-
consider the role of small and large eddies different-
tion (which works if you apply it to the turbulent ly. Local closures, which neglect the large eddies,
advection in all 3 directions, but which is not shown are most common. This gives turbulent heat fluxes
here). The end result is: that flow down the local gradient of potential tem-
perature, analogous to molecular diffusion or con-
∂T ∂θ ∂w ' θ '
=· · ·− W − duction (see the Heat and Air Pollution chapters).
∂t ∂z ∂z
One such turbulence closure is called K-theory.
This says that to forecast the average temperature, A nonlocal closure alternative that accounts for
you need to consider not only the average advection the superposition of both large and small eddies is
by the mean wind (first term on the right), but you also called transilient turbulence theory (T3). While
need to consider the turbulence flux divergence (last
this is more accurate, it is also more complicated.
term on the right).
Similar terms appear for advection in the x and y
There are many other closures that have been pro-
directions. Also, similar terms appear in the forecast posed. K-theory is reviewed here.
equations for moisture and wind. Thus, the effects of
turbulence cannot be neglected. K-Theory
To simplify the notation in almost all of this book, One approximation to turbulent transport con-
the overbar is left off of the terms for mean tempera- siders only small eddies. This approach, called K-
ture, mean wind, etc. Also, earlier in this chapter, and theory, gradient transport theory, or eddy-dif-
in other chapters, the turbulence flux divergence term fusion theory, models turbulent mixing analogous
has already been parameterized directly as a function to molecular diffusion Using heat flux FH for ex-
of non-turbulent (average) wind, temperature, humid- ample:
ity, etc. Such parameterizations are turbulence closure
F = w ′θ ′ = − K · ∆θ •(18.41a)
approximations. H
∆z
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 715
[ LN
B
[ C
[ D
K-theory has difficulty for convective ABLs and
should not be used there. Figs. 18.27a and b illus-
trate these difficulties, giving typical values in the
atmosphere, and the resulting K values backed out
using eq. (18.42). Negative and infinite K values are
mŗ
unphysical.
VOEFGJOFE
ŗ Nonlocal Closure
Instead of looking at local down-gradient trans-
port as was done in K-theory, you can look at all
mŗ ŗ ranges of distances across which air parcels move
XhRh
during turbulence (Fig. 18.28). This is an approach
R )FBU'MVY , called nonlocal closure, and is useful for a stati-
cally unstable ABL having free convection.
Figure 18.27
For heat flux at the altitude of the dashed line in
The value (c) of K needed to get (b) the observed heat flux FH
from (a) the observed potential temperature θ over a forest for
Fig. 18.28, K-theory (small-eddy theory) would uti-
an unstable (convective) ABL. lize the local gradient of θ at that altitude, and con-
clude that the heat flux should be downward and of
a certain magnitude. However, if the larger-size ed-
dies are also included (as in nonlocal closure), such
Sample Application as the parcel rising from tree-top level, we see that
Instruments on a tower measure θ = 15°C and M = it is bringing warm air upward (a positive contribu-
5 m s–1 at z = 4 m, and θ = 16°C and M = 8 m s–1 at z = tion to heat flux). This could partially counteract,
10 m. What is the vertical heat flux? or even overwhelm, the negative contribution to flux
caused by the local small eddies.
Find the Answer: As you can probably anticipate, a better approach
Given: z (m) θ (°C) M (m s–1)
would be to consider all size eddies and nonlocal
10 16 8
4 15 5
air-parcel movement. One such approach is called
Find: FH = ? K·m s–1 transilient turbulence theory (T3). This ap-
proach uses arrays to account for eddies of each dif-
First, use eq. (18.42), at average z = (10+4)/2 = 7 m ferent size, and combines them to find the average
∆M (8 − 5)m/s effect of all eddy sizes. It is more complex, and will
K = k 2 · z2 · = [0.4·(7 m)]2 = 3.92 m2 s–1 not be described here.
∆z (10 − 4)m
Next, use eq. (18.41):
FH = –K(∆θ/∆z) = –(3.92 m2 s–1)·(16–15°C)/(10–4m)
= –0.65 K·m s–1
Review
Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
Exposition: The negative sign means a downward We live in a part of the atmosphere known as the
heat flux, from hot to cold. This is typical for statically boundary layer (ABL), the bottom 200 m to 4 km of
stable ABL. the troposphere. Tropospheric static stability and
turbulence near the Earth’s surface combine to cre-
ate this ABL, and cap it with a temperature inver-
sion.
Above the boundary layer is the free atmosphere,
U
JFO
[ FOWJSPONFOU
which is not turbulently coupled with the ground
BE
HS
lar to Fig. 18.8, but for your real conditions. Consider A2 (§). Calculate and plot the increase of cumulative
seasonal affects, such as in Figs. 18.13 & 18.14. kinematic heat during the day, for a case with day-
time duration of 12 hours, and maximum kinematic
B9. Access a rawinsonde sounding for nighttime, heat flux (K·m s–1) of:
and find the best-fit parameters (height, strength) a. 0.2 b. 0.5 c. 0.1 d. 0.4 e. 0.3
for an exponential potential temperature profile that f. 0.6 g. 0.7 h. 1.0 i. 0.9 j. 0.8
best fits the sounding. If the exponential shape is a
poor fit, explain why. A3(§). For a constant kinematic heat flux of –0.02
K·m s–1 during a 12-hour night, plot the depth and
B10. Get an early morning sounding for a rawin- strength of the stable ABL vs. time. Assume a flat
sonde site near you. Calculate the anticipated accu- prairie, with a residual layer wind speed (m s–1) of:
mulated heating, based on the eqs. in the Solar & a. 2 b. 5 c. 8 d. 10 e. 12
IR Radiation & Heat chapters, and predict how the f. 15 g. 18 h. 20 i. 22 j. 25
mixed layer will warm & grow in depth as the day
progresses. A4(§). For the previous problem, plot the vertical
temperature profile at 1-h intervals.
B11. Compare two sequential rawinsonde sound-
ings for a site, and estimate the entrainment velocity A5. Find the entrained kinematic heat flux at the top
by comparing the heights of the ABL. What assump- of the mixed layer, given a surface kinematic heat
tions did you make in order to do this calculation? flux (K·m s–1) of
a. 0.2 b. 0.5 c. 0.1 d. 0.4 e. 0.3
B12. Access the wind information from a rawinsonde f. 0.6 g. 0.7 h. 1.0 i. 0.9 j. 0.8
site near you. Compare the wind speed profiles be-
tween day and night, and comment on the change of A6. Find the entrainment velocity for a surface heat
wind speed in the ABL. flux of 0.2 K·m s–1, and a capping inversion strength
of (°C): a. 0.1 b. 0.2 c. 0.3 d. 0.5 e. 0.7
B13. Access the “surface” wind observations from a f. 1.0 g. 1.2 h. 1.5 i. 2.0 j. 2.5
weather station near you. Record and plot the wind
speed vs. time, using wind data as frequent as are A7. For the previous problem, calculate the increase
available, getting a total of roughly 24 to 100 obser- in mixed-layer depth during a 6 h interval, assum-
vations. Use these data to calculate the mean wind, ing subsidence of – 0.02 m s–1.
variance, and standard deviation.
A8. Calculate the surface stress at sea level for a fric-
B14. Same as the previous exercise, but for T. tion velocity (m s–1) of:
a. 0.1 b. 0.2 c. 0.3 d. 0.4 e. 0.5
B15. Same as the previous exercise, except collect f. 0.6 g. 0.7 h. 0.8 i. 0.9 j. 1.0
both wind and temperature data, and find the cova-
riance and correlation coefficient. A9. Find the friction velocity over a corn crop dur-
ing wind speeds (m s–1) of:
B16. Search the web for eddy-correlation sensors, a. 2 b. 3 c. 4 d. 5 e. 6 f. 7 g. 8
scintillometers, sonic anemometers, or other h. 9 i. 10 j. 12 k. 15 m. 18 n. 20 o. 25
instruments used for measuring vertical turbulent
fluxes, and describe how they work. A10. Find the roughness length and standard drag
coefficient over: a. sea b. beach
B17. Search the web for eddy viscosity, eddy diffu- c. tundra d. low crops e. hedgerows
sivity, or K-theory values for K in the atmosphere. f. orchards g. village h. city center
A13. Find the drag coefficients for problem A12. A23(§). Using the data given in the long Sample Ap-
plication in the “Turbulent Fluxes and Covariances”
A14(§). For a neutral surface layer, plot wind speed section of this Chapter:
against height on linear and on semi-log graphs a. Find the mean & variance for mixing ratio r.
for friction velocity of 0.5 m s–1 and aerodynamic b. Find the mean and variance for U .
roughness length (m) of: c. Find the covariance between r and W.
a. 0.001 b. 0.002 c. 0.005 d. 0.007 e. 0.01 d. Find the covariance between U and W.
f. 0.02 g. 0.05 h. 0.07 i. 0.1 j. 0.2 e. Find the covariance between r and U.
k. 0.5 m. 0.7 n. 1.0 o. 2.0 p. 2.5 f. Find the correlation coefficient between r & W.
g. Find the correlation coef. between u & W.
A15. An anemometer on a 10 m mast measures a h. Find the correlation coefficient between r & U.
wind speed of 8 m s–1 in a region of scattered hedge-
rows. Find the wind speed at height (m): A24(§). Plot the standard deviations of U, V, and W
a. 0.5 b. 2 c. 5 d. 30 with height, and determine if and where the flow is
e. 1.0 f. 4 g. 15 h. 20 nearly isotropic, given u* = 0.5 m s–1, wB = 40 m s–1, h
= 600 m, and zi = 2 km, for air that is statically:
A16. The wind speed is 2 m s–1 at 1 m above ground, a. stable b. neutral c. unstable
and is 5 m s–1 at 10 m above ground. Find the rough- Hint: Use only those “given” values that apply to
ness length. State all assumptions. your stability.
A17. Over a low crop with wind speed of 5 m s–1 at A25(§). Same as exercise A24, but plot TKE vs. z.
height 10 m, find the wind speed (m s–1) at the height
(m) given below, assuming overcast conditions: A26(§). Plot wind standard deviation vs. height, and
a. 0.5 b. 1.0 c. 2 d. 5 e. 15 f. 20 determine if and where the flow is nearly isotropic,
g. 25 h. 30 i. 35 j. 40 k. 50 m. 75 for all three wind components, for
a. stable air with h = 300 m, u* = 0.1 m s–1
A18. Same as previous problem, but during a clear b. neutral air with h = 1 km, u* = 0.2 m s–1
night when friction velocity is 0.1 m s–1 and surface c. unstable air with zi = 2 km, wB = 0.3 m s–1
kinematic heat flux is –0.01 K·m s–1. Assume |g|/Tv
= 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1. A27(§). Plot the turbulence kinetic energy per unit
mass vs. height for the previous problem.
A19(§). Plot the vertical profile of wind speed in a
stable boundary layer for roughness length of 0.2 m, A28. Given a wind speed of 20 m s–1, surface kine-
friction velocity of 0.3 m s–1, and surface kinematic matic heat flux of –0.1 K·m s–1, TKE of 0.4 m2 s–2, and
heat flux (K·m s–1) of: |g|/Tv = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1, find
a. –0.02 b. –0.05 c. – 0.01 d. –0.04 e. –0.03 a. shear production rate of TKE
f. – 0.06 g. – 0.07 h. –0.10 i. –0.09 j. –0.08 b. buoyant production/consumption of TKE
Assume |g|/Tv = 0.0333 m·s–2·K–1. c. dissipation rate of TKE
d. total tendency of TKE (neglecting advection
A20. For a 1 km thick mixed layer with |g|/Tv = and transport)
0.0333 m·s–2·K–1, find the Deardorff velocity (m s–1) e. flux Richardson number
for surface kinematic heat fluxes (K·m s–1) of: f. the static stability classification?
a. 0.2 b. 0.5 c. 0.1 d. 0.4 e. 0.3 g. the Pasquill-Gifford turbulence type?
f. 0.6 g. 0.7 h. 1.0 i. 0.9 j. 0.8 h. flow classification
A21§). For the previous problem, plot the wind A29. Given the following initial sounding
speed profile, given u* = 0.4 m s–1, and MBL = 5 m z (m) θ (°C) M (m s–1)
s–1. 700 21 10
500 20 10
A22(§). For the following time series of tempera- 300 18 8
tures (°C): 22, 25, 21, 30, 29, 14, 16, 24, 24, 20 100 13 5
a. Find the mean and turbulent parts Compute the
b. Find the variance a. value of eddy diffusivity at each height.
c. Find the standard deviation b. turbulent heat flux in each layer, using
K-theory
c. the new values of θ after 30 minutes
720 chapter 18 • Atmospheric Boundary Layer
sounding, compute and plot how the potential tem- S7. Suppose that for some reason, the actual 2 km
perature and depth of the mixed layer evolve during thick ABL in our troposphere was warm enough to
the morning. Assume that D = 12 hr, and FHmax = 0.1 have zero capping inversion on one particular day,
K·m s–1. (Hint: In the spirit of the “Seek Solutions” but otherwise looked like Fig. 18.3. Comment on the
box in a previous chapter, feel free to use graphical evolution of the ABL from this initial state. Also,
methods to solve this without calculus. However, if how might this initial state have occurred?
you want to try it with calculus, be very careful to
determine which are your dependent and indepen- S8. If the ABL were always as thick as the whole
dent variables.) troposphere, how would that affect the magnitude
of our diurnal cycle of temperature?
S2. Suppose that there was no turbulence at night.
Assume, the radiatively-cooled surface cools only S9. It was stated in this chapter that entrainment
the bottom 1 m of atmosphere by conduction. Given happens one way across the capping inversion, from
typical heat fluxes at night, what would be the re- the nonturbulent air into the turbulent air. Suppose
sulting air temperature by morning? Also describe that the capping inversion was still there, but that
how the daytime mixed layer would evolve from both the ABL below the inversion and the layer of air
this starting point? above the inversion were turbulent. Comment on
entrainment and the growth of the mixed layer.
S3. On a planet that does not have a solid core, but
has a gaseous atmosphere that increases in density S10. Suppose that TKE was not dissipated by viscos-
as the planet center is approached, would there be a ity. How would that change our weather and cli-
boundary layer? If so, how would it behave? mate, if at all?
S4. What if you were hired by an orchard owner to S11. Suppose that wind shear destroyed TKE rath-
tell her how deep a layer of air needs to be mixed er than generated it. How would that change our
by electric fans to prevent frost formation. Create a weather and climate, if at all?
suite of answers based on different scenarios of ini-
tial conditions, so that she can consult these results S12. Suppose there were never a temperature inver-
on any given day to determine the speed to set the sion capping the ABL. How would that change our
fans (which we will assume can be used to control weather and climate, if at all?
the depth of mixing). State and justify all assump-
tions. S13. Suppose that the winds felt no frictional drag
at the surface of the Earth. How would that change
S5. What if the Earth’s surface was a perfect conduc- our weather and climate, if at all?
tor of heat, and had essentially infinite heat capacity
(as if the Earth were a solid sphere of aluminum, but S14. Verify that K-theory satisfies the rules of pa-
had the same albedo as Earth). Given the same solar rameterization.
and IR radiative forcings on the Earth’s surface, de-
scribe how ABL structure and evolution would dif- S15. Positive values of K imply down-gradient trans-
fer from Fig. 18.8, if at all? port of heat (i.e., heat flows from hot to cold, a process
sometimes called the Zeroth Law of Thermodynam-
S6. What if all the air in the troposphere were satu- ics). What is the physical interpretation of negative
rated & cloudy. How would the ABL be different? values of K?
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull. Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmospheric Science.
19 Pollutant Dispersion
TPVSDFPS DFOUFSMJOF
TUBDLIFJHIU IFJHIU
[$-
In this chapter, we will assume that the mean Table 19-1. Air quality concentration standards for
wind is known, based on either weather observa- the USA (US), Canada (CAN), and The European Union
tions, or on forecasts. We will focus on the plume (EU) for some of the commonly-regulated chemicals, as
rise and dispersion of the pollutants, which allows of Oct 2015. Concentrations represent averages over the
us to determine the concentration of pollutants time periods listed. For Canada, both the 2015 and 2020
downwind of a known source. standards are shown.
Avg. US CAN EU
Time
Sulfur Dioxide (SO2)
Air Quality Standards 1 day 125 µg m–3
3h 1300 µg m–3
To prevent or reduce health problems associated
or 0.5 ppm
with air pollutants, many countries set air quality
standards. These standards prescribe the maximum 1h 75 ppb 350 µg m–3
average concentration levels in the ambient air, as al- Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2)
lowed by law. Failure to satisfy these standards can 1 yr 100 µg m–3 40 µg m–3
result in fines, penalties, and increased government or 53 ppb
regulation. 1h 100 ppb 200 µg m–3
In the USA, the standards are called National
Carbon Monoxide (CO)
Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS).
In Canada, they are called Canadian Ambient Air 8h 10,000 µg m–3 10,000
Quality Standards (CAAQS). The European Union or 9 ppm µg m–3
(EU) also sets Air Quality Standards. Other coun- 1h 40,000 µg m–3
tries have similar names for such goals. Table 19–1 or 35 ppm
lists standards for a few countries. Governments Ozone (O3)
can change these standards. 8h 0.070 ppm 63 -> 62 ppb 120 µg m–3
In theory, these average concentrations are not
to be exceeded anywhere at ground level. In prac- Fine Particulates, diameter < 10 µm (PM10)
tice, meteorological events sometimes occur, such as 1 yr 40 µg m–3
light winds and shallow ABLs during anticyclonic 1 day 150 µg m–3 50 µg m–3
conditions, that trap pollutants near the ground and Very Fine Particulates, diam. < 2.5 µm (PM 2.5)
cause concentration values to become undesirably
1 yr 12 µg m–3 10->8.8 µg m–3 25 µg m–3
large.
Also, temporary failures of air-pollution control 1 day 35 µg m–3 28->27 µg m–3
measures at the source can cause excessive amounts Lead (Pb)
of pollutants to be emitted. Regulations in some of 1 yr 0.5 µg m–3
the countries allow for a small number of concentra- 3 mo 0.15 µg m–3
tion exceedances without penalty.
To avoid expensive errors during the design of Benzene (C6H6)
new factories, smelters, or power plants, air pollu- 1 yr 5 µg m–3
tion modeling is performed to determine the likely Arsenic (As)
pollution concentration based on expected emission 1 yr 6 ng m–3
rates. Usually, the greatest concentrations happen
near the source of pollutants. The procedures pre- Cadmium (Cd)
sented in this chapter illustrate how concentrations 1 yr 5 ng m–3
at receptors can be calculated from known emission Nickel (Ni)
and weather conditions. 1 yr 20 ng m–3
By comparing the predicted concentrations
against the air quality standards of Table 18–1, en- PAH (Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons)
gineers can modify the factory design as needed to 1 yr 1 ng m–3
ensure compliance with the law. Such modifications
can include building taller smoke stacks, removing
the pollutant from the stack effluent, changing fuels
or raw materials, or utilizing different manufactur-
ing or chemical processes.
726 chapter 19 • Pollutant Dispersion
Turbulence Statistics
This works for nearly horizontal plumes that 4UBUJDBMMZ TUBCMF OFVUSBM VOTUBCMF
have known vertical thickness. For the remainder of
this chapter, we will use just one overbar (or some-
times no overbar) to represent an average over both
time (index i), and vertical plume depth (index k).
The coordinate system is often chosen so that the
x-axis is aligned with the mean wind direction, av-
eraged over the whole smoke plume. Thus,
M =U (19.4)
Y Y Y
There is no lateral (crosswind) mean wind ( V ≈ 0)
in this coordinate system. The mean vertical veloc- *TPUSPQZ BOJTPUSPQJD JTPUSPQJD BOJTPUSPQJD
ity is quite small, and can usually be neglected ( W #FIBWJPS GBOOJOH DPOJOH MPPQJOH
≈ 0, except near hills) compared to plume dispersion
4UE%FWJBUJPOT T[TZ T[TZ T[TZ
rates. However, u’ = U – U , v’ = V – V , and w’ = TXTW TXTW TXTW
W – W can be non-zero, and are all important.
Recall from the ABL chapter that variance σA2
of any quantity A is defined as Figure 19.2
Isotropic and anisotropic dispersion of smoke plumes. The
N N shapes of the ends of these smoke plumes are also sketched in
1 1
σ A2 =
N
∑ ( Ak − A)2 = N ∑ (a ′ 2 ) = a ′ 2 (19.5) Fig. 19.3, along the arc labeled “dispersion isotropy”.
k =1 k =1
Z
pT m
5, *O SCV
5V
NpTm
DPOWFDUJPO
Isotropy (again) GPSDFE
%
Recall from the ABL chapter that turbulence is
5 &
said to be isotropic when: 44 '
OFVUSBM $
3G
σ u2 = σ v 2 = σ w 2 (19.7)
GS
T
WF
m #
3G
FF
G
VO
XB
D
POW
MF
CMF
sion depends on the velocity variance. Thus, if tur-
TUBC
FD
bulence is isotropic, then a smoke puff would tend "
to expand isotropically, as a sphere; namely, it would 3Gŗ 3Gmŗ UJPO
expand equally in all directions. m
There are many situations where turbulence is #
anisotropic (not isotropic). During the daytime %JTQFSTJPO*TPUSPQZ #VPZBOU NpTm
over bare land, rising thermals create stronger verti- 'MVY3JDIBSETPO/VNCFS (FOFSBUJPO3BUF
cal motions than horizontal. Hence, a smoke puff 4UBUJD4UBCJMJUZ
would loop up and down and disperse more in the 1BTRVJMM(JGGPSE5VSCVMFODF5ZQF
'MPX
vertical. At night, vertical motions are very weak,
while horizontal motions can be larger. This causes
smoke puffs to fan out horizontally at night, and for Figure 19.3
Rate of generation of TKE by buoyancy (abscissa) and shear
other stable cases.
(ordinate). Shape and rates of plume dispersion (dark spots or
Similar effects operate on smoke plumes formed
waves). Dashed lines separate sectors of different Pasquill-Gif-
from continuous emissions. For this situation, only ford turbulence type. Isopleths of TKE intensity (dark diagonal
the vertical and lateral velocity variances are rele- lines). Rf is flux Richardson number. SST is stably-stratified
vant. Fig. 19.2 illustrates how isotropy and anisot- turbulence. (See the Atmospheric Boundary Layer chapter for
ropy affect average smoke plume cross sections. turbulence details.)
728 chapter 19 • Pollutant Dispersion
Table 19-2a. Pasquill-Gifford turbulence types for Pasquill-Gifford (PG) Turbulence Types
Daytime. M is wind speed at z = 10 m. During weak advection, the nature of convection
and turbulence are controlled by the wind speed, in-
M Insolation (incoming solar radiation)
coming solar radiation (insolation), cloud shading,
(m s–1) Strong Moderate Weak and time of day or night. Pasquill and Gifford (PG)
<2 A A to B B suggested a practical way to estimate the nature of
2 to 3 A to B B C turbulence, based on these forcings.
3 to 4 B B to C C They used the letters “A” through “F” to denote
4 to 6 C C to D D different turbulence types, as sketched in Fig. 19.3
>6 C D D (reproduced from the ABL chapter). “A” denotes free
convection in statically unstable conditions. “D” is
Table 19-2b. Pasquill-Gifford turbulence types for forced convection in statically neutral conditions.
Nighttime. M is wind speed at z = 10 m. Type “F” is for statically stable turbulence. Type “G”
M Cloud Coverage was added later to indicate the strongly statically
(m s–1) stable conditions associated with meandering, wavy
≥ 4/8 low cloud ≤ 3/8
plumes in otherwise nonturbulent flow. PG turbu-
or thin overcast
lence types can be estimated using Tables 19-2.
<2 G G Early methods for determining pollutant disper-
2 to 3 E F sion utilized a different plume spread equation for
3 to 4 D E
each Pasquill-Gifford type. One drawback is that
4 to 6 D D
>6 D D
there are only 7 discrete categories (A – G); hence,
calculated plume spread would suddenly jump when
the PG category changed in response to changing
Sample Application atmospheric conditions.
Determine the PG turbulence type during night Newer air pollution models do not use the PG
with 25% cloud cover, and winds of 5 m s–1. categories, but use the fundamental meteorological
conditions (such as shear and buoyant TKE genera-
Find the Answer tion, or values of velocity variances that are continu-
Given: M = 5 m s–1, clouds = 2/8 . ous functions of wind shear and surface heating),
Find: PG = ? which vary smoothly as atmospheric conditions
Use Table 18–2b. PG = “D”
change.
Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
Exposition: As wind speeds increase, the PG catego-
ry approaches “D” (statically neutral), for both day and
night conditions. “D” implies “forced convection”. Dispersion Statistics
B
[ Snapshot vs. Average
Snapshots of smoke plumes are similar to what
you see with your eye. The plumes have fairly-
well defined edges, but each plume wiggles up and
TNPLF
TUBDL
BEJ
ESZ
BCB
A similar center of mass can be found for the [
U
crosswind (lateral) location, assuming measure- C
D
1/2
K
∑ c k ·( zk − z )2
m
σz = k =1 K •(19.9)
m
∑ ck
k =1
DpT[
where z = zCL is the average height found from the 2
Figure 19.5
previous equation.
Gaussian curve.
A similar equation can be defined for lateral Each unit along the ordinate corresponds to one standard devia-
standard deviation σy. The vertical and lateral dis- tion away from the center. Nominal 1-D plume width is d.
730 chapter 19 • Pollutant Dispersion
Refer to Atmospheric Boundary Layer chapter to Dispersion Near & Far from the Source
calculate the info needed in the eqs. for Taylor’s statis- Close to the source (at small times after the start
tical theory. of dispersion), eq. (19.13a) reduces to
Use Table 18-1 for rough surface of varied crops:
aerodynamic roughness length is zo = 0.25 m x
σy ≈ σv · •(19.14)
Use this zo in eq. (18.13) to get the friction velocity: M
u* = [0.4·(10m s–1)] / ln(100m/0.25m) = 0.668 m s–1
Use this u* in eq. (18.25b) to get the velocity variance
σv = 1.6·(0.668m s–1)·[1 – 0.5·(100m/500m)] = 0.96 m s–1 while far from the source it can be approximated
Similarly, use eq. (18.25c): σw = 0.75 m s–1 by:
x 1/2
Use σv and σw in eqs. (19.13a & b) in a spreadsheet σ y ≈ σ v · 2 · tL · •(19.15)
to calculate σy and σz , and plot the results on graphs: M
Eqs. (19.14) & (19.15) for the near and far approxima- Plume Rise
tions are plotted as the thin solid lines. Ground-level concentration generally decreases
as plume-centerline height increases. Hence, plume
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Sketch OK. rise above the physical stack top is often desirable.
Exposition: Plume spread increases with distance The centerline of plumes can rise above the stack top
downwind of the smoke stack. σy ≈ σz at any x, giving due to the initial momentum associated with exit ve-
the nearly isotropic dispersion expected for statically locity out of the top of the stack, and due to buoy-
neutral air. The cross-over between short and long ancy if the effluent is hot.
time limits is at x ≈ 2·M·tL = 1.2 km.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 733
A buoyancy length scale, lb, is defined as: Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Sketch OK.
Exposition: In neutral conditions, the plume contin-
Wo · Ro 2 · g ∆θ •(19.18) ues to rise with downwind distance. However, real
lb ≈ ·
M3 θa plumes usually hit an elevated inversion & stop rising.
Use a thermo diagram to locate the inversions aloft.
where |g| = 9.8 m s–2 is gravitational acceleration
magnitude, ∆θ = θp – θa is the temperature excess of Sample Application
the effluent, θp is the initial stack gas potential tem- Same as previous example, but for a stable bound-
ary layer with ∆θa/∆z = 5°C km–1. Find zCLeq .
perature at stack top, and θa is the ambient potential
temperature at stack top. lb can be interpreted as a
Find the Answer
ratio of vertical buoyancy power to horizontal pow-
Given: Wo = 20 m s–1, Q = 250 g s–1, zs = 75 m, M =
er of the ambient wind. 5 m s–1 , θp = 474 K, θa = 293 K, ∆θa/∆z = 5°C km–1
Find: ∆zCLeq = ? m , then plot zCLeq vs. x
Stable Boundary Layers
In statically stable situations, the ambient poten- Use eq. (5.4b) to find the Brunt-Väisälä frequency2:
tial temperature increases with height. This lim- NBV2 = [(9.8m·s–2)/293K]·[5K/1000m] =1.67x10 –4 s–2
its the plume-rise centerline to a final equilibrium Use eq. (19.19):
(3.87 m)·(5m/s)2
1/3
height zCLeq above the ground: zCLeq = (75m) + 2.6 · −4 −2
1.67 × 10 s
1/3 zCLeq = zs + ∆zCL eq = 75 m + 216.7 m = 291.75 m
l · M2
zCLeq = zs + 2.6 · b 2 •(19.19) See dashed line in the previous Sample Application.
N BV
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. Sketch OK.
where the Brunt-Väisälä frequency NBV is used as a Exposition: The actual plume centerline does not
reach the equilibrium height instantly. Instead, it ap-
measure of static stability (see the Atmospheric Sta-
proaches it a bit slower than the neutral plume rise
bility chapter).
curve plotted in the previous solved ex.
734 chapter 19 • Pollutant Dispersion
(b) Similarly, for a higher plume centerline: The pattern of concentration at the ground is called
a footprint.
The above two equations assume that the ground
Z HN
is flat, and that pollutants that hit the ground are
LN
“reflected” back into the air. Also, they do not work
for dispersion in statically unstable mixed layers.
To use these equations, the turbulent velocity
[$- N variances σv2 and σw2 are first found from the equa-
m
tions in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer chapter.
Y LN
Next, plume spread σy and σz is found from Tay-
lor’s statistical theory (eqs. 19.13). Plume centerline
Check: Units OK. Physics OK.
heights zCL are then found from the previous sub-
Exposition: These plots show the pollutant foot-
prints. Higher plume centerlines cause lower con- section. Finally, they are all used in eqs. (19.20) or
centrations at the ground. That is why engineers (19.21) to find the concentration at a receptor.
design tall smoke stacks, and try to enhance buoyant Recall that Taylor’s statistical theory states that
plume rise. the plume spread increases with downwind dis-
Faster wind speeds also cause more dilution. Be- tance. Thus, σy , σz, and zCL are functions of x, which
cause faster winds are often found at higher altitudes, makes concentration c a strong function of x, in spite
this also favors tall stacks for reducing surface concen- of the fact that x does not appear explicitly in the
trations. two equations above.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 735
1/3
g · zi · FH
; $- [ $-[ J
w* = = Deardorff velocity (m s–1)
T v (19.22)
≈ 0.08·wB , where wB is the buoyancy velocity.
zi = depth of the convective mixed layer (m)
YpX
9
Dimensionless Scales: [ J p.
These are usually denoted by uppercase symbols Figure 19.7
(except for M and Q, which have dimensions). Height of the averaged pollutant centerline zCL with downwind
distance x, normalized by mixed-layer scales. Dimensionless
c · zi 2 · M source heights are Zs = zs/zi = 0.025 (thick solid line); 0.25
C= = dimensionless concentration •(19.23) (dashed); 0.5 (dotted); and 0.75 (thin solid). The plume is neu-
Q
trally buoyant.
c y · zi · M
Cy = = dimensionless crosswind-
Q integrated concentration (19.24)
x · w*
X= = dimensionless downwind distance The centerline tends to move down from elevat-
z
i ·M of receptor from source •(19.25) ed sources, which can cause high concentrations
at ground level (see Fig. 19.7). Then further down-
Y = y / zi = dimensionless crosswind (lateral) wind, they rise a bit higher than half the mixed-lay-
distance of receptor from centerline (19.26) er depth, before reaching a final height at 0.5·zi. For
buoyant plumes, the initial downward movement of
Z = z / zi = dimensionless receptor height (19.27) the centerline is much weaker, or does not occur.
[[ J
heights.
Concentration
Cy Y
2
C= exp −0.5 · •(19.37)
(2 π)1/2 · σ yd σ
yd
C
[[ J
where b = 0.5 .
At large downwind distances (i.e., at X ≥ 4), the
dimensionless crosswind integrated concentration
D
Review
Pollutants emitted from a smoke stack will blow
downwind and disperse by turbulent mixing with
ambient air. By designing a stack of sufficient height, E
pollutants at ground level become sufficiently dilute [[ J
as to not exceed local environmental air-quality
standards. Additional buoyant plume rise above the
physical stack top can further reduce ground-level
concentrations.
Air-quality standards do not consider instanta-
neous samples of pollutant concentration. Instead,
they are based on averages over time. For such aver-
ages, statistical descriptions of dispersion must be YpX
9
used, including the center of mass (plume centerline) [ J p.
and the standard deviation of location (proportional
to plume spread). Figure 19.8 (at right)
For emissions in the boundary layer, the amount Isopleths of dimensionless crosswind-integrated concentration
Cy = cy·zi·M / Q in a convective mixed layer, where cy is cross-
of dispersion depends on the type of turbulence.
wind integrated concentration, zi is depth of the mixed layer,
This relationship can be described by Taylor’s statis- M is mean wind speed, and Q is emission rate of pollutants.
tical theory. Source heights are Zs = zs/zi = (a) 0.75, (b) 0.5, (c) 0.25, (d)
During daytime conditions of free convection, 0.025, and are plotted as the large black dot at left.
thermals cause a peculiar form of dispersion that
often brings high concentrations of pollutants close
to the ground. At night, turbulence is suppressed in
the vertical, causing little dispersion. As pollutants
remain aloft for this case, there is often little hazard Science Graffito
at ground level. Turbulent dispersion is quite aniso- “The service we render to others is really the rent
tropic for these convective and stable cases. we pay for our room on the Earth.”
– Sir Wilfred Grenfell.
738 chapter 19 • Pollutant Dispersion
Broaden Knowledge & Comprehension B13. Search the web for information to help you dis-
B1. Search the web for the government agency of cuss the relationship between “good” ozone in the
your country that regulates air pollution. In the stratosphere and mesosphere, vs. “bad” ozone in the
USA, it is the Environmental Protection Agency boundary layer.
(EPA). Find the current air pollution standards for
the chemicals listed in Table 19-1. B14. For some of the major industry in your area,
search the web for information on control technolo-
B2. Search the web for an air quality report for your gies that can, or have, helped to reduce pollution
local region (such as town, city, state, or province). emissions.
Determine how air quality has changed during the
past decade or two. B15. Search the web for satellite photos of emis-
sions from major sources, such as a large industrial
B3. Search the web for a site that gives current air complex, smelter, volcano, or a power plant. Use
pollution readings for your region. In some cities, the highest-resolution photographs to look at lateral
this pollution reading is updated every several min- plume dispersion, and compare with the dispersion
utes, or every hour. If that is the case, see how the equations in this chapter.
pollution reading varies hour by hour during a typi-
cal workday. B16. Search the web for information on forward or
backward trajectories, as used in air pollution. One
B4. Search the web for information on health effects example is the Chernobyl nuclear accident, where ra-
of different exposures to different pollutants. dioactivity measurements in Scandinavia were used
with a back trajectory to suggest that the source of
B5. Air-pollution models are computer codes that the radioactivity was in the former Soviet Union.
use equations similar to the ones in this chapter, to
predict air-pollution concentration. Search the web B17. Search the web for information on chemical re-
for a list of names of a few of the popular air-pollu- actions of air pollutants in the atmosphere.
tion models endorsed by your country or region.
B18. Search the web for satellite photos and other in-
B6. Search the web for inventories of emission rates formation on an urban plume (the pollutant plume
for pollutants in your regions. What are the biggest downwind of a whole city).
polluters?
B19. To simplify the presentation of air-quality data
B7. Search the web for an explanation of emissions to the general public, many governments have cre-
trading. Discuss why such a policy is or is not good ated an air-quality index that summarizes with a
for industry, government, and people. simple number how clean or dirty the air is. For
your national government (or for the USA if your
B8. Search the web for information on acid rain. own government doesn’t have one), search the web
What is it? How does it form? What does it do? for info about the air-quality index. How is it de-
fined in terms of concentrations of different pollut-
B9. Search the web for information on forest death ants? How do you interpret the index value in terms
(waldsterben) caused by pollution or acid rain. of visibility and/or health hazards?
A14.(§) For the previous problem, plot the plume A22. Source emissions of 300 g s–1 of SO2 occur at
centerline height vs. distance if the physical stack height 200 m. The environment is statically unsta-
height is 100 m and the atmosphere is statically neu- ble, with a Deardorff convective velocity of 1 m s–1,
tral. and a mean wind speed of 5 m s–1.
Find the concentration at the ground at distances
A15. For buoyant length scale of 5 m, physical stack 1, 2, 3, and 4 km downwind from the source, directly
height 10 m, environmental temperature 10°C, and beneath the plume centerline. Assume the mixed
wind speed 2 m s–1, find the equilibrium plume layer depth (km) is:
centerline height in a statically stable boundary lay- a. 0.5 b. 0.75 c. 1.0 d. 1.25 e. 1.5 f. 1.75
er, given ambient potential temperature gradients of g. 2.0 h. 2.5 i. 3.0 j. 3.5 k. 4.0 m. 5.0
∆θ/∆z (K km–1): (Hint: Interpolate between figures if needed, or de-
a. 1 b. 2 c. 3 d. 4 e. 5 f. 6 g. 7 rive your own figures.)
h. 8 i. 9 j. 10 k. 12 m. 15 n. 18 o. 20
g. Suggest why these different variables are cluding location and thickness of components of the
related to each other. boundary layer (surface layer, stable BL or convective
mixed layer, capping inversion or entrainment zone,
E3. Fig. 19.3 shows how dispersion isotropy can free atmosphere). Speculate whether it is daytime
change as the relative magnitudes of the shear and or nighttime, and whether it is winter or summer.
buoyancy TKE production terms change. Also, the For daytime situations, calculate the mixed-layer
total amount of spread increases as the TKE inten- depth. This depth controls pollution concentra-
sity increases. Discuss how the shape and spread tion (shallow depths are associated with periods of
of smoke plumes vary in different parts of that fig- high pollutant concentration called air-pollution
ure, and sketch what the result would look like to a episodes, and during calm winds to air stagna-
viewer on the ground. tion events). [Hint: Review how to nonlocally de-
termine the static stability, as given in the ABL and
E4. Eq. (19.8) gives the center of mass (i.e., plume Stability chapters.]
centerline height) in the vertical direction. Create z (m) a. T (°C) b. T (°C) c. T (°C) d. T (°C)
a similar equation for plume center of mass in the 2500 –11 8 –5 5
horizontal, using a cylindrical coordinate system 2000 –10 10 –5 0
centered on the emission point. 1700 –8 8 –5 3
1500 –10 10 0 5
E5. In eq. (19.10) use Q1 = 100 g m–1 and z = 0. Plot 1000 –5 15 0 10
on graph paper the Gaussian curve using σz (m) = 500 0 18 5 15
a. 100 b. 200 c. 300 d. 400 100 4 18 9 20
Compare the areas under each curve, and discuss 0 7 15 10 25
the significance of the result.
E11. For the ambient sounding of the previous ex-
E6. Why does a “nominal” plume edge need to be ercise, assume that a smoke stack of height 100 m
defined? Why cannot the Gaussian distribution be emits effluent of temperature 6°C with water-vapor
used, with the definition that plume edge happens mixing ratio 3 g kg–1. (Hint, assume the smoke is an
where the concentration becomes zero. Discuss, air parcel, and use a thermo diagram.)
and support your arguments with results from the (i). How high would the plume rise, assuming
Gaussian distribution equation. no dilution with the environment?
(ii). Would steam condense in the plume?
E7. The Lagrangian time scale is different for differ-
ent size eddies. In nature, there is a superposition E12. For plume rise in statically neutral conditions,
of turbulent eddies acting simultaneously. Describe write a simplified version of the plume-rise equation
the dispersion of a smoke plume under the influence (19.16) for the special case of:
of such a spectrum of turbulent eddies. a. momentum only b. buoyancy only
Also, what are the limitations and range of applica-
E8. While Taylor’s statistical theory equations give bility of the full equation and the simplified equa-
plume spread as a function of downwind distance, tions?
x, these equations are also complex functions of the
Lagrangian time scale tL. For a fixed value of down- E13. For plume rise in statically stable conditions,
wind distance, plot curves of the variation of plume the amount of rise depends on the Brunt-Väisälä fre-
spread (eq. 19.13) as a function of tL. Discuss the quency. As the static stability becomes weaker, the
meaning of the result. Brunt-Väisälä frequency changes, and so changes
the plume centerline height. In the limit of extreme-
E9. a. Derive eqs. (19.14) and (19.15) for near-source ly weak static stability, compare this plume rise
and far-source dispersion from Taylor’s statistical equation with the plume rise equation for statically
theory equations (19.13). neutral conditions. Also, discuss the limitations of
b. Why do the near and far source dispersion each of the equations.
equations appear as straight lines in a log-log graph
(see the Sample Application near eq. (19.15)? E14. In eq. (19.20), the “reflected” part of the Gauss-
ian concentration equation was created by pretend-
E10. Plot the following sounding on the boundary- ing that there is an imaginary source of emissions
layer θ – z thermo diagram from the Atmospheric an equal distance underground as the true source is
Stability chapter. Determine the static stability vs. above ground. Otherwise, the real and imaginary
height. Determine boundary-layer structure, in-
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 743
sources are at the same horizontal location and have S3. What if tracers were not passive, but had a spe-
the same emission rate. cial magnetic attraction only to each other. Describe
In eq. (19.20), identify which term is the “reflec- how dispersion would change, if at all.
tion” term, and show why it works as if there were
emissions from below ground. S4. What if a plume that is rising in a statically neu-
tral environment has buoyancy from both the ini-
E15. In the Sample Application in the Gaussian tial temperature of the effluent out of the top of the
Concentration Distribution subsection, the concen- stack, and also from additional heat gained while it
tration footprints at ground level have a maximum was dispersing.
value neither right at the stack, nor do concentrations A real example was the black smoke plumes from
monotonically increase with increasing distances the oil well fires during the Gulf War. Sunlight was
from the stack. Why? Also, why are the two figures strongly absorbed by the black soot and unburned
in that Sample Application so different? petroleum in the smoke, causing solar warming of
the black smoke plume.
E16. Show that eq. (19.20) reduces to eq. (19.21) for Describe any resulting changes to plume rise.
receptors at the ground.
S5. Suppose that smoke stacks produced smoke
E17. For Gaussian concentration eq. (19.21), how does rings, instead of smoke plumes. How would disper-
concentration vary with: sion be different, if at all?
a. σy b. σz c. M
S6. When pollutants are removed from exhaust gas
E18. Give a physical interpretation of crosswind in- before the gas is emitted from the top of a smoke
tegrated concentration, using a different approach stack, those pollutants don’t magically disappear.
than was used in Fig. 19.6. Instead, they are converted into water pollution (to
be dumped into a stream or ocean), or solid waste
E19. For plume rise and pollution concentration in (to be buried in a dump or landfill). Which is bet-
a statically unstable boundary layer, what is the rea- ter? Why?
son for, or advantage of, using dimensionless vari-
ables? S7. Propose methods whereby life on Earth could
produce zero pollution. Defend your proposals.
E20. If the Deardorff velocity increases, how does
the dispersion of pollutants in an unstable bound- S8. What if the same emission rate of pollutions oc-
ary layer change? curs on a fair-weather day with light winds, and an
overcast rainy day with stronger winds. Compare
E21. In Fig. 19.8, at large distances downwind from the dispersion and pollution concentrations at the
the source, all of the figures show the dimensionless surface for those situations. Which leads to the least
concentration approaching a value of 1.0. Why does concentration at the surface, locally? Which is better
it approach that value, and what is the significance globally?
or justification for such behavior?
S9. Suppose that all atmospheric turbulence was
extremely anisotropic, such that there was zero dis-
persion in the vertical , but normal dispersion in the
Synthesize horizontal.
S1. Suppose that there was not a diurnal cycle, but
a. How would that affect pollution concentra-
that the atmospheric temperature profile was steady,
tions at the surface, for emissions from tall smoke
and equal to the standard atmosphere. How would
stacks?
local and global dispersion of pollutants from tall
b. How would it affect climate, if at all?
smoke stacks be different, if at all?
S10. What if ambient wind speed was exactly zero.
S2. In the present atmosphere, larger-size turbulent
Discuss the behavior of emission plumes, and how
eddies often have more energy than smaller size
the resulting plume rise and concentration equa-
one. What if the energy distribution were reversed,
tions would need to be modified.
with the vigor of mixing increasing as eddy sizes
decrease. How would that change local dispersion,
S11. What if pollutants that were emitted into the
if at all?
atmosphere were never lost or removed from the
744 chapter 19 • Pollutant Dispersion
atmosphere. Discuss how the weather and climate S13. Divide the current global pollutant emissions
would be different, if at all? by the global population, to get the net emissions
per person. Given the present rate of population in-
S12. If there were no pollutants in the atmosphere crease, discuss how pollution emissions will change
(and hence no cloud and ice nuclei), discuss how the over the next century, and how it will affect the qual-
weather and climate would be different, if at all. ity of life on Earth, if at all.
Copyright © 2015 by Roland Stull. Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey of Atmospheric Science.
20 Numerical Weather
Prediction (NWP)
Contents
Most weather forecasts are made by computer,
Scientific Basis of Forecasting 746 and some of these forecasts are further enhanced
The Equations of Motion 746
by humans. Computers can keep track of myriad
Approximate Solutions 749
Dynamics, Physics and Numerics 749
complex nonlinear interactions among winds, tem-
Models 751 perature, and moisture at thousands of locations
and altitudes around the world — an impossible
Grid Points 752
Nested and Variable Grids 752
task for humans. Also, data observation, collection,
Staggered Grids 753 analysis, display and dissemination are mostly au-
tomated.
Finite-Difference Equations 754
Notation 754
Fig. 20.1 shows an automated forecast. Produced
Approximations to Spatial Gradients 754 by computer, this meteogram (graph of weather vs.
Grid Computation Rules 756 time for one location) is easier for non-meteorologists
Time Differencing 757 to interpret than weather maps. But to produce such
Discretized Equations of Motion 758 forecasts, the equations describing the atmosphere
Numerical Errors & Instability 759 must first be solved.
Round-off Error 759
Truncation Error 760
Numerical Instability 760
The Numerical Forecast Process 762
Balanced Mass and Flow Fields 763
Data Assimilation and Analysis 765 (a)
Forecast 768
Case Study: 22-25 Feb 1994 768
Post-processing 770 (b)
Nonlinear Dynamics And Chaos 773
Predictability 773
Lorenz Strange Attractor 773 (c)
Ensemble Forecasts 776
Probabilistic Forecasts 777
Forecast Quality & Verification 777 (d)
Continuous Variables 777
Binary / Categorical Events 780
Probabilistic Forecasts 782 (e)
Cost / Loss Decision Models 784
Review 786
Homework Exercises 787 (f)
Broaden Knowledge & Comprehension 787
Apply 788 Local Time 00 06 12 18 00 06 12
Evaluate & Analyze 790 31 Oct | 1 Nov 2015 | 2 Nov
Synthesize 791
Figure 20.1
Two-day weather forecast for Jackson, Mississippi USA, plot-
“Practical Meteorology: An Algebra-based Survey ted as a meteogram (time series), based on initial conditions
of Atmospheric Science” by Roland Stull is licensed
under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCom-
observed at 12 UTC on 31 Oct 2015. (a) Temperature & dew-
mercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. View this license at point (°F), (b) winds, (c) humidity, precipitation, cloud-cover, (d)
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ . This work is rainfall amounts, (e) thunderstorm likelihood, (f) probability of
available at http://www.eos.ubc.ca/books/Practical_Meteorology/ .
precipitation > 0.25 inch. Produced by US NWS.
745
746 chapter 20 • Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
m
m
m
m
is plotted.
Fig. 20.B1. m m m m M
-POHJUVEF
QSJNF
NFSJEJPO Y
(b) Polar Stereographic Grid:
Hint: In Excel, don’t forget to convert from (°) to (radians).
To demonstrate the Excel calculation for the first coor-
dinate (near Vancouver): ϕ = 50° , λ = –125° :
L = (6371 km)·[1 + sin(60°·π/180°)] = 11,888 km.
r = (11888 km)·tan[0.5·(90°– 50°)·π/180°] = 4327 km
x = (4327 km)·cos(–125°·π/180°) = – 2482 km
y = (4327 km)·sin(–125°·π/180°) = – 3545 km
S
That point is circled on the maps above and below:
QSPKFDUJPO
QMBOF
Z
LN
B
GP
G
m
&BSUI
m
- 3P
m
m
m
4PVUI
1PMF
m m
Fig. 20.B2 Y LN
Fig. 20.C. Polar stereographic map projection.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 749
Unfortunately, no one has yet succeeded in solv-
S LHN
ing the full governing equations analytically. An
analytical solution is itself an algebraic equa-
tion or number that can be applied at every loca-
tion in the atmosphere. For example, the equation [ LN
Approximate Solutions
To get around this difficulty of no analytical so-
lution, three alternatives are used. One is to find
an exact analytical solution to a simplified (approxi-
mate) version of the governing equations. A second MBUJUVEF
B
ent, we must make compromises to our description
of the atmosphere.
Numerics: The main compromise is the process
HSJEDFMM of discretization, where:
(1) we split the continuum of space into a finite num-
ber of small volumes called grid cells (Fig. 20.3a),
within which we forecast average conditions;
(2) we approximate the smooth progression of time
C
%ZOBNJDT with finite time steps; and
(3) we replace the elegant equations of motion with
IPU
GBTU
DPME numerical approximations.
TMPX
IVNJE ESZ These topics are generically known as numerics, as
will be discussed in detail later. Numerics also in-
clude the domain being forecast, the mapping and
HSJEDFMM coordinate systems, and the representation of data.
[
Z The word “dynamics” refers to the governing
Y
equations. It applies to only the resolved portions
of motions, thermodynamic states, and moisture
D
1IZTJDT states (Fig. 20.3b) for the particular discretization
*3 *3 used. A variable or process is said to be resolved
3BEJBUJPO 3BE if it can be represented by the average state within
UP UP a grid cell. The dynamics described by eqs. (20.1 -
IPU N N 20.7) depend on sums, differences, and products of
FEEZ these resolved grid-cell average values.
DPME The word “physics” refers to other processes
(Fig. 20.3c and Table 20-1) that:
IPU
(1) are not forecast by the equations of motion, or
FEEZ (2) are not well understood even though their effects
can be measured, or
DPME (3) involve motions or particles that are too small to
HSJEDFMM resolve (called subgrid scale), or
*3 (4) have components that are too numerous (e.g., in-
3BEJBUJPO
UP
dividual cloud droplets or radiation bands), or
N SBJO (5) are too complicated to compute in finite time.
However, unresolved processes can combine to pro-
duce resolved forecast effects. Because we cannot
neglect them, we parameterize them instead.
A parameterization is a physical or statistical
Figure 20.3 approximation to a physical process by one or more
(a) The forecast domain (the portion of atmosphere we wish known terms or factors. Parameterization rules are
to forecast) is split into discrete grid cells, such as the shaded given in an “A SCIENTIFIC PERSPECTIVE” box in
one. The 3-D grid cells are relatively thin, with sizes on the the Atmos. Boundary Layer chapter. In NWP, the
order of 10s m in the vertical, and 10s km in the horizontal. “knowns” are the resolved state variables in the grid
(b) Enlargement of the shaded grid cell, illustrating one dy- cells, and any imposed boundary conditions such
namics process (advection in the x-direction). Namely, the as solar radiation, surface topography, land use, ice
resolved U wind is blowing in hot, fast, humid air from the up- coverage, etc. Empirically estimated factors called
wind neighboring grid cell, and is blowing out colder, slower,
parameters tie the knowns to the approximated
drier air into the downwind neighboring cell. Simultaneously,
advection could be occurring by the V and W components of
physics.
wind (not shown). Not shown are other resolved forcings, such
as Coriolis and pressure-gradient forces.
(c) Further enlargement, illustrating physics such as turbulence, radiation, and precipitation. Turbulence is causing a net heat flux
into the left side of the grid cell in this example, even though the turbulence has no net wind (i.e., the wind-gust arrows moving air into
the grid cell are balanced by gusts moving the same amount of air out of the grid cell). Two of the many radiation bands are shown,
where infrared (IR) wavelengths in the 2.0 to 2.5 µm “window” band shine through the grid cell, while wavelengths in the 2.5 to 2.7
band are absorbed by water vapor and carbon dioxide (see the Satellites & Radar chapter), causing warming in the grid cell. Some
liquid water is falling into the top of the grid cell from the cell above, but even more is falling out the bottom into the grid cell below,
suggesting a removal of water and net latent heating due to condensation.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 751
<4LJMMPGB%BZ1.4-'PSFDBTUJO>
these average values as being physically located at
'PSFDBTU1FSJPE EBZT
GPSXIJDI4LJMM
a grid point (Fig. 20.6A) in each cell. The distance
between grid points is the same as the grid-cell size:
∆X, ∆Y, ∆Z. More closely spaced grid points have fin-
5SBOTJTUPS$PVOU
er resolution (see a later INFO Box on Resolution).
Finer resolution requires more grid cells to span
.PPSFT your forecast domain. Each cell requires a certain
-BX number of numerical calculations to make the fore-
cast. Thus, more cells require more total calcula-
tions. Hence, finer resolution forecasts take longer
4LJMM to compute, but often give more accurate forecasts.
Thus, your choice of domain and grid size is a
compromise between forecast timeliness and ac-
curacy, based on the computer power available. As
:FBS
computer power has improved over the past 6 de-
Fig. 20.D. Moore’s Law and forecast skill vs. time. cades, so have weather-forecast resolution and skill
(see INFO Box on Moore’s Law and Forecast Skill).
Skill is the forecast improvement relative to some
reference such as climatology.
[ (SJE$FMM "HSJE
Z å;
Y
å;
å:
(SJE1PJOU
4ZNCPMT
1
5
S5
6
7
8 å9
UFSSBJO
Y
(SJE$FMM #HSJE
Figure 20.5 å;
Illustration of variable grid increments (∆Z) in the vertical.
(SJE1PJOU å:
An alternative to discrete nested grids in the hor- 4ZNCPMT
izontal is a variable-mesh grid (Fig. 20.4b), which 1
5
S5
uses smoothly varying grid spacings. Again, the å9
6
7
8
finer mesh is positioned over the region of interest.
In the vertical, fine resolution (i.e., small ∆Z) is
needed near the Earth’s surface and in the boundary
layer, because of important small-scale motions and
strong vertical gradients. To reduce the computa-
tion time, coarse resolution (i.e., larger ∆Z) is accept- (SJE$FMM $HSJE
å;
able higher above the surface — in the stratosphere
and upper troposphere. Variable mesh vertical grids
(i.e., smoothly changing ∆Z values) are often used (SJE1PJOU
for this reason (Fig. 20.5). For models using pres- å:
4ZNCPMT
sure or sigma as a vertical coordinate, ∆P or ∆σ var-
1
5
S5 å9
ies smoothly with height. As an alternative, some
NWP models use discrete vertical nests. 6 7 8
Staggered Grids
You could represent all the cell-average variables
at the same grid point, as in Fig. 20.6A (called an A-
Grid). But this has some undesirable characteristics: (SJE$FMM %HSJE
å;
wavy motions do not disperse properly, some wave
energy gets stuck in the grid, and some weather
variables oscillate about their true value. (SJE1PJOU å:
Instead, grid points are often arranged in a stag- 4ZNCPMT
gered grid arrangement within the cell, with dif- 1
5
S5
ferent variables being represented by points at dif- å9
ferent locations in the grid (Fig. 20.6 Grids B - E). 6 7 8
Staggered Grid D has many of the same problems
as unstaggered Grid A. Grids B and C have fewer
problems.
&HSJE
Figure 20.6 (in right column)
(SJE1PJOU
Akio Arakawa (1972) identified 5 grid arrangements. Grid A
is an unstaggered grid (where all variables are at the same grid 4ZNCPMT
point). All the others are staggered grids. Only 2 dimensions 1
5
S5 Z
are shown for grid E, which is a rotated version of Grid B. Grids
6
7 Y
C and D differ in their locations of the U and V winds.
754 chapter 20 • Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Finite-Difference Equations
Notation
Cells are identified by a set of indices (i, j, k) that
å9 indicate their (x, y, z) positions within the domain.
Fig. 20.7 shows a two-dimensional example. By us-
ing these indices as subscripts, we can specify any
å:
variable at any grid-point location. For example, T3,2
is the temperature in the center of the shaded grid
cell, at x-location i = 3 , and y-location j = 2. For a 3-D
7
6 grid, you can use 3 indices or subscripts.
1
5
S5
[CAUTION: Throughout this book, we have used ratios
of differences (such as ∆T/∆x) instead of derivatives (∂T/∂x)
to represent the local slope or local gradient of a variable.
KHSJE
Z JOEFY
While this allowed us to avoid calculus, it causes problems
in this chapter because ∆x now has two conflicting mean-
Y JHSJEJOEFY ings: (1) ∆x is an infinitesimal increment of distance, such
as used to find the local slope of a curve at point i in Fig.
20.8. (2) ∆X is a finite distance between grid points, such
Figure 20.7 as between points i and i+1 in Fig. 20.8.
Arrangement and indexing of grid cells for a 2-dimensional C- To artificially discriminate between these two mean-
Grid. Each variable in the shaded cell has indices i = 3, j = 2. ings, we will use lower-case “x” in ∆x to represent an in-
For variables located at grid-cell edges, some models use whole- finitesimal distance increment, and upper-case “X” in ∆X
index numbering, as shown by the grey numbers. Other models to represent a finite distance between grid points.]
use half indices, as in Fig. 20.9.
Z
KHSJE
JOEFY
{
−U ·
∆T
}
∆ x 3, 2
≈ −
U 3 1 2 , 2 + U 2 1 2 , 2 T4, 2 − T2 , 2
2 · 2·∆ X
where the ½ grid index numbering method was
Y JHSJEJOEFY
used for values at the edges of the grid cell (Fig. 20.9).
Figure 20.9 The parentheses hold the average U, and the square
Sketch of a two-dimensional C grid. Consider the computa- brackets hold the centered second-order difference
tion of temperature advection by the U wind, as contributes to approximation for the local T gradient.
the temperature tendency at the one grid point centered in the Similarly, for any grid point (i,j), the result is:
shaded cell. The grid points needed to make that calculation are (20.13)
{ }
outlined with the dotted line, and their arrangement is called a +
∆T U
i+ 1 2, j U i − 1 2 , j Ti + 1, j − Ti − 1, j
stencil. −U · ≈ − ·
∆ x i, j 2 2 ·∆ X
Sample Application The spatial arrangement of all grid points used in
What is the warming rate at grid point (i=3, j=2) in Fig. any calculation is called a stencil. Fig. 20.9 shows
20.9 due to temperature advection in the x-direction, the stencil for eq. (20.13). Different grid arrange-
given T2,2 = 22°C, T3,2 = 23°C, T4,2 = 24°C, U2½,2 = –5 m ments (Grids A - E) and different approximation or-
s–1, U3½,2 = –7 m s–1, ∆X = 10 km? ders will result in different stencils.
Significantly, the forecast for any one grid point
Find the Answer (such as i,j) depends on the values at other nearby
Given: T and U values above. ∆X = 10 km grid points [such as (i–1,j) , (i–½,j) , (i+½,j) , (i+1,j) ].
Find: ∆T/∆t = –U·∆T/∆x = ? °C h–1 .
In turn, forecasts at each of these points depends on
Use eq. (20.12):
values at their neighbors. This interconnectivity is
∆T/∆t ≈ –0.5·(–7–5 m s–1) · [ 0.5·(24 – 22°C)/(104m) ] summarized as NWP Corollary 1, at left.
≈ (6 m s–1) · [ 1°C/(104m) ] · (3600 s h–1) = 2.16 °C h–1 For grid points near the edges of the domain, spe-
cial stencils using one-sided difference approxima-
Check: Units OK. Sign OK. Magnitude OK. tions must be used, to avoid referencing grid points
Exposition: Winds are advecting in warmer air from that don’t exist because they are outside of the do-
the East, causing advective warming. main. Alternately, a halo of ghost-cell grid points
outside the forecast domain can be specified using
values found from a larger coarser domain or from
imposed boundary conditions (BCs; i.e., the state
NWP Corollary 1: The forecast at any one point is of the air along the edges of the forecast domain).
affected by ALL other points in the forecast domain.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 757
Time Differencing
The smooth flow of time implied by the left side
of the equations of motion can be approximated by a
sequence of discrete time steps, each of duration ∆t. UmåU U UåU UåU UåU UåU UJNF
For example, the temperature tendency term on the
left side of eq. (20.4) can be written as a centered time
difference: Figure 20.10
∆T T (t + ∆t) − T (t − ∆t) Time line illustrating the “leapfrog” time-differencing scheme.
≈ (20.14)
∆t 2 · ∆t
When combined with the right side of eq. (20.4),
the result gives the temperature at some future time
as a function of the temperatures and winds at ear- INFO • Time Differencing Methods
lier times:
(20.15) The prognostic equations of motion (20.1 - 20.6)
T3, 2 (t + ∆t) = T3, 2 (t − ∆t) + 2 ∆t · [ RHS of eq. 20.4 ] can be written in a generic form:
∆A/∆t = f[A, x, t] ,
Typical time-step durations ∆t are on the order of a
few seconds to tens of minutes, depending on the where A = any dependent variable (e.g., U, V, W, T,
grid size (see the section on numerical stability). etc.), f is a function that describes all the dynamics and
The equation above is a form of the leapfrog physics of the equations of motion, and x represents
scheme. It gets its name because the forecast starts all other independent variables (x, y, z) as indicated by
from the previous time step (t–∆t) and leaps over the grid-point indices (i, j, k). Knowing present (at time t)
present step (t) to make a forecast for the future (t+∆t). and all past values at the grid points, how do we make
Although it leaps over the present step, it utilizes the a small time step ∆t into the future?
present conditions to determine the future condi-
tions. Fig. 20.10 shows a sketch of this scheme.
One of the simplest methods is called the Euler
The two leapfrog solutions (one starting at t–∆t
method (also known as the Euler-forward method):
and the other starting at t, illustrated above and be-
low the time line in Fig. 20.10) sometimes diverge A(t+∆t) = A(t) + ∆t · f[A(t), x, t]
from each other, and need to be occasionally aver- But this is only first-order accurate, and is never used
aged together to yield a consistent forecast. Without because errors accumulate so quickly that the numer-
such averaging the solution would become unstable, ical forecast often blows up (forecasts values of ±
and would numerically blow up (see next section). infinity) causing the computer to crash (premature
There are other numerical solutions that work termination due to computation errors).
better than the leapfrog method. One example is the
Runge-Kutta method, described in the INFO Box.
By combining eqs. (20.12 & 20.15), we get a tem- The leapfrog method was already given in the
text, and is second-order accurate.
perature forecast equation that includes only the U-
advection forcing: A(t+∆t) = A(t–∆t) + 2∆t · f[A(t), x, t]
(20.16) Higher-order accuracy has less error.
T3, 2 (t + ∆t) = T3, 2 (t − ∆t) +
B
åUT<åY6> Truncation Error
Truncation error was already discussed, and
refers to the neglect (i.e., truncation) of higher-order
5 terms in a Taylor series approximation to local gra-
$
dients. If we retain more terms in the Taylor series,
then the result is a higher-order solution that is more
accurate, but which takes longer to run because
there are more terms to compute. If we truncate the
series at lower order, the numerical solution is faster
BEW but less accurate. In NWP, time and space difference
schemes are chosen as a compromise between accu-
racy and speed.
Numerical Instability
C
åUT<åY6> Numerical instability causes forecasts to blow
up. Namely, the numerical solution rapidly diverges
from the true solution, can have incorrect sign, and
5 can approach unphysical values (±∞). Truncation er-
$
ror is one cause of numerical instability.
Numerical instability can also occur if the wind
speeds are large, the grid size is small, and the time
step is too large. For example, eq. (20.16) models
advection by using temperature in neighboring
BEWFDUJPO grid cells. But what happens if the wind speed is so
strong that temperature from a more distant location
in the real atmosphere (beyond the neighboring cell)
can arrive during the time step ∆t? Such a physical
situation is not accounted for in the numerical ap-
proximation of eq. (20.16). This can create numerical
D
åUT<åY6>
errors that amplify, causing the model to blow up
(see Fig. 20.11).
Such errors can be minimized by taking a small
5 enough time step. The specific requirement for sta-
$
bility of advection processes in one dimension is
∆X
∆t ≤ •(20.18)
U
with similar requirements in the y and z direc-
tions. This is known as the Courant-Friedrichs-
Lewy (CFL) stability criterion, or the Courant
condition. When modelers use finer mesh grids
with smaller ∆X values, they must also reduce ∆t to
preserve numerical stability. The combined effect
greatly increases model run time on the computer.
E
åUT<åY6> For example, if ∆X and ∆Y are reduced by half, then
5
$
Figure 20.11 (at left)
Examples of numerical stability for advection, with ∆X = 3 km
and U = 10 m s –1. Thick black line is initial condition, and
the forecast after each time step is shown as lighter grey, with
the last (6th) step dotted. A temperature signal of wavelength
10·∆X is numerically stable for time steps ∆t of (a) 100 s and (b)
250 s, but (c) = 450 s exceeds the CFL criterion, and the solution
blows up (i.e., the wave amplitude increases without bound).
(SJE*OEFY (d) A 2·∆X wave does not advect at all (i.e., is unphysical).
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 761
'
) PSF
%Z
#
-T
tion forecasts over larger domains with more accu-
OBNJDT
DV GD
racy and greater lead time. Speed-up can also be SBEJBUJPO
UJNFTUFQQJOH
achieved computationally by making the dynamics
ZTJDT
and physics subroutines run faster, by utilizing more NJDSPQIZTJDT
1I
EJGG
processor cores, and by utilizing special computer
BEWFDU
JODPSQ
chips such as Graphics Processing Units (GPUs). UFOE
VWX
However, tremendous speed-up of a few subroutines
might cause only a small speed-up in the overall run
time of the NWP model, as explained by Amdahl’s Fig. 20.F. Portion of total run time of the
Law (see INFO Box). WRF model for some of the major components.
“incorp. tend.” = incorporation of tendencies.
The actual duration of phases (A) through (F)
“diff.” = diffusion.
vary with the numerical forecast center, depending
“uvw advect.” = advection of U, V, and W wind
on their data-assimilation method, model numerics, components.
domain size, grid resolution, and computer power. “microphysics” = hydrometeor parameterizations.
Details of the forecast phases are explained next. “cu” = parameterizations for convective clouds.
“ABL & sfc.” = boundary layer and surface
parameterizations.
Balanced Mass and Flow Fields
Over the past few decades it was learned by hard
experience that numerical models give bad forecasts For example, if graphics-processing units
if they are initialized with the raw observed data. (GPUs) speed-up the microphysics 20 times and
One reason is that the in-situ observation network speedup scalar advection by 1.8 times (i.e., an 80%
has large gaps, such as over the oceans and in much speedup), and the remaining 60.6% of WRF has no
of the Southern Hemisphere. Also, while there are speedup, then overall:
many observations at the surface, there are fewer in-
situ observations aloft. Remote sensors on satellites SALL = [0.163/20 + 0.231/1.8 + 0.606/1]–1 = 1.35
do not observe many of the needed dynamic vari-
Namely, even though the microphysics portion of the
ables (U, V, W, T, rT, ρ) directly, and have very poor
model is sped up 2000%, the overall speedup of WRF
vertical resolution. Observations can also contain
is 35% in this hypothetical example.
errors, and local flow around mountains or trees can
cause observations that are not representative of the
larger-scale flow.
The net effect of such gaps, errors, and inconsis-
tencies is that the numerical representation of this
initial condition is imbalanced. By imbalanced,
we mean that the observed winds disagree with the
theoretical winds, where theoretical winds such as
764 chapter 20 • Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
σ o2 σf2
A = F· + O· (20.20)
Sample Application σ f 2 + σ o2 σ f 2 + σ o2
A drifting buoy observes a wind of M = 10 m s–1,
while the first guess for the same location gives an 8
m s–1 wind with 2 m s–1 likely error. Find the analysis where A, F, O , and σ all apply to the same one
wind speed. weather element, such as pressure, temperature, or
wind. If the observation has larger errors than the
Find the Answer first guess, then the analysis weights the observa-
Given: MO = 10 m s–1, M F = 8 m s–1, σf = 2 m s–1 tion less and the first-guess more.
Find: M A = ? m s–1 The equation above can be used to define a cost
function J:
Use Table 20-2 for Wind Errors: Drifting buoy:
σo = 6 m s–1
1 ( F − A)2 (O − A)2
J ( A) = + (20.21)
Use eq. (20.20) for wind speed M: 2 σ 2f σ 2o
σ o2 σf2
M A = MF · + M ·
σ f 2 + σ o2
O
σ f 2 + σ o2 where the optimum analysis from eq. (20.20) gives
the minimum cost for eq. (20.21).
(6m/s)2 (2 m/s)2
M A = (8m/s)· + (10m/s)· Optimum interpolation is “local” in the sense
(2 m/s)2 + (6m/s)2 (2 m/s)2 + (6m/s)2
that it considers only the observations near a grid
= (8 m s–1)·(36/40) + (10 m s–1)·(4/40) = 8.2 m s –1 point when producing an analysis for that point.
Optimum interpolation is not perfect, leaving some
Check: Units OK. Physics OK. imbalances that cause atmospheric gravity waves to
Exposition: Because the drifting buoy has such a form in the subsequent forecast. A normal-mode
large error, it is given very little weight in producing initialization modifies the analysis further by re-
the analysis. If it had been given equal weight as the moving the characteristics that might excite gravity
first guess, then the average of the two would have
waves.
been 9 m s–1. It might seem disconcerting to devalue a
real observation compared to the artificial value of the
first guess, but it is needed to avoid startup problems.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 767
4LJMMGVM
'PSFDBTU3BOHF EBZT
Figure 20.14
Range of horizontal scales having reasonable forecast skill (shad-
ed) for various forecast durations. [from the European Centre
for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), 1999]
Figure 20.15a
Analysis of 85 kPa temperature and mean-sea-level pressure,
valid 00 UTC 24 Feb 94. (Courtesy of ECMWF.)
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 769
Figs. 20.15b-e give the weather forecasts valid for the same time, but initialized 1.5, 3.5, 5.5, and 7.5 days
earlier. For example, Fig. 20.15b was initialized with weather observations from 12 UTC on 22 Feb 94, and the
resulting 1.5 day forecast valid at 00 UTC on 24 Feb 94 is shown in the figure. Fig. 20.15c was initialized from
12 UTC on 20 Feb 94, and the resulting 3.5 day forecast is shown in the figure. Thus, each succeeding figure is
the result of a longer-range forecast, which started with earlier observations, but ended at the same time.
Y
Z CJBT
values of the NWP grid points. PPM uses observations as predic-
Secondary thermodynamic variables include: (b) Use MOS to correct the forecast: T = ao + a1 · Tfcst .
potential temperature, virtual potential tempera- T = (2.52°C) + 1.17·(15°C) = 20.1 °C.
ture, liquid-water or equivalent potential tempera-
ture, wet-bulb temperature, near-surface (z = 2 m) Check: Units OK. Line fits data nicely.
temperature, surface skin temperature, surface heat Exposition: The predictor (x) and predictand (y) need
fluxes, surface albedo, wind-chill temperature, static not have the same units. For example, MOS could be
stability, short- and long-wave radiation, and vari- trained to use model forecasts of relative humidity (%)
ous storm-potential indices such as CAPE. to estimate observed values of visibility (km).
Secondary moisture variables include: relative If you draw a vertical line from each data point
to the regressed line, then the length of each line is a
humidity, cloudiness (altitudes and coverage), pre-
measure of the error between the data and the regres-
cipitation type and amount, visibility, near-surface
sion. Square each error value and sum them to give
dew-point (z = 2 m), soil wetness, and snowfall. the total error. Linear regression is a “best fit” in the
sense of finding the “least squared error”.
772 chapter 20 • Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
–20 < C < 20, –30 < L < 30, 0 ≤ M < 50.
- which implies that the solution will always remain
physically reasonable. Third, the solution (M vs.
C) appears to flip back and forth between two fa-
vored regions, (i.e., the separate wings of the butter-
m fly). These wings tend to attract the solution toward
them, but in a rather strange way.
Hence, they are called strange attractors.
m Fourth, the exact solution is very dependent on the
initial conditions, as illustrated in the Sample Ap-
plications next. Yet, the eventual solution remains
m attracted to the same butterfly.
m m
The atmosphere has many more degrees of free-
$
dom (i.e., is more complex) than the simple Lorenz
model. So we anticipate that the atmosphere is in-
Figure 20.18 trinsically unpredictable due to its nonlinear
“Butterfly” showing evolution of the solution to the Lorenz chaotic nature. In other words, there is a limit to
equations in phase space. Solid dot indicates initial condition. how well we can predict the weather.
(a) M vs. C. (b) L vs. C.
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 775
Science Graffiti
Sensitive Dependence on Initial Conditions
Probabilistic Forecasts
Due to the inherent unpredictability of the atmo- Forecast Quality & Verification
sphere, we cannot confidently make deterministic
forecasts such as “the temperature tomorrow at NWP forecasts can have both systematic error
noon will be exactly 19.0°C”. However, it is possible and random error (see Appendix A). By making
to routinely create probabilistic forecasts similar ensemble forecasts you can reduce random errors
to “there is a 60% chance the temperature tomorrow caused by the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. By
at noon will be between 17°C and 21°C, and an 80% postprocessing each ensemble member using Model
chance the it will be between 14 and 24°C.” Output Statistics, you can reduce systematic errors
Ensemble forecasts are increasingly used to cre- (biases) before computing the ensemble average.
ate probabilistic forecasts. Various methods can be After making these corrections, the forecast is still
used to convert the distribution of ensemble mem- not perfect. How good is the forecast?
bers into calibrated probabilistic forecasts, such as Verification is the process of determining the
illustrated in Fig. 20.20. quality of a forecast. Quality can be measured in
The spread of the probability distribution (i.e., different ways, using various statistical definitions.
the uncertainty in the forecast) depends on the sea- One of the least useful measures of quality is fore-
son (greater spread in winter), the location (greater cast accuracy. For example, in Vancouver, Canada,
spread downwind of data-void regions), the climate clouds are observed 327 days per year, on average.
(greater spread in parts of the globe where weather If I forecast clouds every day of the year, then my
is more variable), and on the accuracy of the NWP accuracy (= number of correct forecasts / total num-
models. A perfect forecast would have no spread. ber of forecasts) will be 327/365 = 90% on the aver-
Often probability forecasts are given as a cumu- age. Although this accuracy is quite high, it shows
lative probability CP that some threshold will be no skill. To be skillful, I must beat climatology to
met. In Fig. 20.20, the lowest solid line represents a successfully forecast which days will be cloudless.
cumulative probability of CP = 10% (there is a 10% Skill measures forecast improvement above
chance that the observed temperature will be colder some reference such as the climatic average, persis-
than this forecast temperature) and the highest solid tence, or a random guess. On some days the forecast
black line is for CP = 90% (there is a 90% chance that is better than others, so these measures of skill are
the observation will be colder than this forecast). usually averaged over a long time (months to years)
For example, using Fig. 20.20 we could tell a farm- and over a large area (such as all the grid points in
er that there is 35% chance the low temperature will the USA, Canada, Europe, or the world).
be below freezing (Tthreshold = 0°C) on 6 - 7 Jan 2011. Methods to calculate verification scores and skills
for various types of forecasts are presented next.
Continuous Variables
An example of a continuous variable is tempera-
ture, which varies over a wide range of values. Oth-
er variables are bounded continuous. For example,
precipitation is bounded on one side — it cannot be
less than zero. Relative humidity is bounded on
two sides — it cannot be below 0% nor greater than
100%, but otherwise can vary smoothly in between.
First, define the terms. Let:
A = initial analysis (based on observations)
V = verifying analysis (based on later obs.)
F = deterministic forecast
Figure 20.20 C = climatological conditions
Calibrated probabilistic forecast for the minimum temperature n = number of grid points being averaged
(Tmin °C) at Vancouver Airport (CYVR) for 2 to 17 Jan 2011.
The thin white line surrounded by black is the median (50% of
An anomaly is defined as the difference from
the observations should fall below this line, and 50% above).
The black, dark grey, medium grey, and light grey regions span climatology at any instant in time. For example
±10%, 20%, 30%, and 40% of cumulative probability around F – C = predicted anomaly
the median. The dashed lines are ±49% around the median A – C = persistence anomaly
— namely, 98% of the time the observations should fall between V – C = verifying anomaly
the dashed lines. The dots are the raw forecasts from each of the
42 members of the North American Ensemble Forecast System.
778 chapter 20 • Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
HPPE
( F − C) − ( F − C) · (V − C) − (V − C)
CBE (20.33)
2 2
( F − C) − ( F − C) · (V − C) − (V − C)
1FSTJTUFODF
anomaly correlation coef. for persistence =
$MJNBUPMPHZ
( A − C) − ( A − C) · (V − C) − (V − C)
(20.34)
'PSFDBTU%BZ 2 2
( A − C) − ( A − C) · (V − C) − (V − C)
Figure 20.22
NWP forecast skill (thick line) of 50-kPa heights for a hypotheti-
cal forecast model. A persistence forecast (thin line) is one where Fig. 20.22 compares hypothetical persistence
the weather is assumed not to change with time from the initial and NWP-forecast anomaly correlations for 50-kPa
conditions. A value of 100% is a perfect forecast, while a value geopotential height. One measure of forecast skill
of 0 is no better than climatology (dotted line). is the vertical separation between the forecast and
persistence curves in Fig. 20.22.
This figure shows that the forecast beats persis-
tence over the full 10 days of forecast. Also, using
60% correlation as an arbitrary measure of quality,
we see that a “good” persistence forecast extends out
B
to only about 2 days, while a “good” NWP forecast
0CTFSWBUJPO
is obtained out to about 6 days, for this hypotheti-
:FT /P
cal case for 50 kPa geopotential heights. For other
:FT )JU 'BMTF"MBSN weather elements such as precipitation or surface
'PSFDBTU
$
$
many of the forecasts verified (noj, for which the cor- forecast probability is p3 = 10%, but heavy rain was
responding observation satisfied the threshold). observed, so o3 = 1. After making ensemble fore-
For example, if you use bins of size ∆p = 0.1, then casts every day for a month, suppose the results are
create a table such as: as listed in the left three columns of Table 20-4.
An end user might need to make a decision to
bin index bin center fcst. prob. range n j noj take action. Based on various economic or political
j = 0 pj = 0 0 ≤ pk < 0.05 n0 no0 reasons, the user decides to use a probability thresh-
j = 1 pj = 0.1 0.05 ≤ pk < 0.15 n1 no1 old of pthreshold = 40%; namely, if the ensemble model
j = 2 pj = 0.2 0.15 ≤ pk < 0.25 n2 no2 forecasts a 40% or greater chance of daily rain ex-
etc. . . . . . . . . . ... ceeding 10 mm, then the user will take action. So
j = 9 pj = 0.9 0.85 ≤ pk < 0.95 n9 no9 we can set forecast flag f = 1 for each day that the
j = 10 = J pj = 1.0 0.95 ≤ pk ≤ 1.0 n10 no10 ensemble predicted 40% or more probability, and f =
0 for the other days. These forecast flags are shown
A plot of the observed relative frequency (noj/nj) on in Table 20-4 under the pthreshold = 40% column.
the ordinate vs. the corresponding forecast probabil- Other users might have other decision thresh-
ity bin center (pj) on the abscissa is called a reliabil- olds, so we can find the forecast flags for all the other
ity diagram. For perfect reliability, all the points probability thresholds, as given in Table 20-4. For
should be on the 45° diagonal line. an N member ensemble, there are only (100/N) + 1
A Brier skill score for relative reliability discrete probabilities that are possible. For our ex-
(BSSreliability) is: ample with N = 10 members, we can consider only 11
different probability thresholds: 0% (when no mem-
J
2 bers exceed the rain threshold), 10% (when 1 out of
∑ (n j ·p j ) − noj the 10 members exceeds the threshold), 20% (etc.), . .
j=0
BSSreliability = (20.48) . 90%, 100%.
N N For each probability threshold, create a 2x2 con-
∑ o ·
k
k =1
N − ∑ ok
tingency table with the elements a, b, c, and d as
k =1
shown in Fig. 20.23b. For example, for any pair of
where BSSreliability = 0 for a perfect forecast. observation and forecast flags (oj, fj) for Day j, use
a = count of days with hits (oj, fj) = (1, 1).
ROC Diagram b = count of days with false alarms (oj, fj) = (0, 1).
A Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC) c = count of days with misses (oj, fj) = (1, 0).
diagram shows how well a probabilistic forecast can d = count of days: correct rejection (oj, fj) = (0, 0).
discriminate between an event and a non-event. For our illustrative case, these contingency-table ele-
For example, an event could be heavy rain that causes ments are shown near the bottom of Table 20-4.
flooding, or cold temperatures that cause crops to Next, for each probability threshold, calculate the
freeze. The probabilistic forecast could come from hit rate H = a/(a+c) and false alarm rate F = b/(b+d),
an ensemble forecast, as illustrated next. as defined earlier in this chapter. These are shown
Suppose that the individual NWP models of an in the last two rows of Table 20-4 for our example.
N = 10 member ensemble made the following fore- When each (F, H) pair is plotted as a point on a graph,
casts of 24-h accumulated rainfall R for Day 1: the result is called a ROC diagram (Fig. 20.24).
NWP model R (mm) NWP model R (mm)
Model 1 8 Model 6 4
Model 2 10 Model 7 20
QUI
Model 3 6 Model 8 9
Model 4 12 Model 9 5
QUI
Model 5 11 Model 10 7
Consider a precipitation threshold of 10 mm. "SFB
The ensemble above has 4 models that forecast 10 )
QUI
mm or more, hence the forecast probability is p1 =
4/N = 4/10 = 40%. Supposed that 10 mm or more of
precipitation was indeed observed, so the observa-
tion flag is set to one: o1 = 1.
On Day 2, three of the 10 models forecast 10 mm
or more of precipitation, hence the forecast probabil-
'
ity is p2 = 3/10 = 30%. On this day precipitation did
NOT exceed 10 mm, so the observation flag is set Figure 20.24
ROC diagram plots hit rate (H) vs. false-alarm rate (F) for a
to zero: o2 = 0. Similarly, for Day 3 suppose the
range of probability thresholds (pth).
784 chapter 20 • Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Table 20-4. Sample calculations for a ROC diagram. Forecast flags f are shown under the probability thresholds.
Probability Threshold pthreshold (%)
Day o p (%)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
1 1 40 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 30 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 1 10 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 1 50 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 60 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
6 0 30 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 0 40 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 1 80 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
9 0 50 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
10 1 20 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 1 90 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
12 0 20 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 0 10 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 0 10 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 1 70 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
16 0 70 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
17 1 60 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
18 1 90 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
19 1 80 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
20 0 80 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
21 0 20 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 0 10 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
25 1 70 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
26 0 10 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
27 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
28 1 90 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
29 0 20 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
30 1 80 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
a= 13 13 12 11 11 10 9 8 6 3 0
Contingency b= 17 14 10 7 5 4 3 2 1 0 0
Table Values c= 0 0 1 2 2 3 4 5 7 10 13
d= 0 3 7 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 17
Hit Rate: H = a/(a+c) = 1.00 1.00 0.92 0.85 0.85 0.77 0.69 0.62 0.46 0.23 0.00
False Alarm Rate: F=b/(b+d) 1.00 0.82 0.59 0.41 0.29 0.26 0.18 0.12 0.06 0.00 0.00
The area A under a ROC curve (shaded in Fig. Cost / Loss Decision Models
20.24) is a measure of the overall ability of the prob- Weather forecasts are often used to make deci-
ability forecast to discriminate between events and sions. For example, a frost event might cause L
non-events. Larger area is better. The dashed curve dollars of economic loss to a citrus crop in Florida.
in Fig. 20.24 illustrates perfect discrimination, for However, you could save the crop by deploying or-
which A = 1. A random probability forecast with no chard fans and smudge pots, at a cost of C dollars.
ability to discriminate between events has a curve Another example: A hurricane or typhoon might
following the thick diagonal line, for which A = 0.5. sink a ship, causing L dollars of economic loss. How-
Since this latter case represents no skill, a ROC ever, you could save the ship by going around the
skill score SSROC can be defined as storm, but the longer route would cost C dollars in
extra fuel and late-arrival fees.
SSROC = (2·A) – 1 (20.49) No forecast is perfect. Suppose the event is fore-
cast to happen. If you decide to spend C to mitigate
where SSROC = 1 for perfect skill, and SSROC = 0 for the loss by taking protective action, but the forecast
no discrimination skill. was bad and the event did not happen, then you
Although a smooth curve is usually fit through wasted C dollars. Alternately, suppose the event is
the data points in a ROC diagram, we can nonethe- NOT forecast to happen, so you decide NOT to take
less get a quick estimate of the area by summing the protective action. But the forecast was bad and the
trapezoidal areas under each pair of data points. For event actually happened, causing you to lose L dol-
our illustration, A ≈ 0.84, giving SSROC ≈ 0.68 . lars. How do you decide which action to take, in
consideration of this forecast uncertainty?
R. Stull • Practical Meteorology 785
Suppose you did NOT have access to forecasts of Define a cost/loss ratio rCL as
future weather, but did have access to climatological
records of past weather. Let o be the climatologi- rCL = C / L (20.54)
cal (base-rate) frequency (0 ≤ o ≤ 1) that the event oc-
curred in the past, where o = 0 means it never hap- Different people and different industries have dif-
pened, and o = 1 means it always happened. ferent protective costs and unmitigated losses. So
Assume this same base rate will continue to oc- you should estimate your own cost/loss ratio for
cur with that frequency in the future. If your C ≤ o·L, your own situation.
then it would be most economical to always miti- The economic-value equation can be rewritten
gate, at cost C. Otherwise, it would be cheaper to using hit rate H, false-alarm rate F, and the cost/loss
never mitigate, causing average losses of o·L. The net ratio rCL:
result is that the expense based only on climate data (20.55)
is min(rCL , o) − [ F · rCL ·(1 − o)] + [ H ·(1 − rCL )· o ] − o
Eclimate = min(C , o·L) (20.50) V=
min(rCL , o) − o · rCL
But you can possibly save money if you use weath-
er forecasts instead of climatology. The expected You can save even more money by using probabi-
(i.e., average) expense associated with a sometimes- listic forecasts. If the probabilistic forecasts are per-
incorrect deterministic forecast Eforecast is the sum of fectly calibrated (i.e., are reliable), then you should
the cost of each contingency in Fig. 20.23c times the take protective action whenever the forecast prob-
relative frequency that it occurs in Fig. 20.23b: ability p of the event exceeds your cost/loss ratio:
a b c
E forecast = C+ C+ L (20.51) p > rCL (20.56)
n n n
The forecast probability of the event is the portion
This assumes that you take protective action (i.e., of cumulative probability that is beyond the event-
try to mitigate the loss) every time the event is fore- threshold condition. For the frost example, it is the
cast to happen. For some of the individual events portion of the cumulative distribution of Fig. 20.20
the forecast might be bad, causing you to respond below a Tthreshold = 0°C.
inappropriately (in hindsight). But in the long run
(over many events) your taking action every time
the event is forecast will result in a minimum over-
all expense to you.
If forecasts were perfect, then you would never
have any losses because they would all be mitigat- Sample Application
ed, and your costs would be minimal because you Given forecasts having the contingency table from
the Sample Application 4 pages ago. Protective cost is
take protective action only when needed. On aver-
$75k to avoid a loss of $200k. Climatological frequency
age you would need to mitigate at the climatological of the event is 40%. Find the value of the forecast.
frequency o, so the expenses expected with perfect
forecasts are Find the Answer:
Eperfect = o · C (20.52) Given: a=90, b=50, c=75, d=150, C=$75k, L=$200k, o=0.4
Find: Eclim = $?, Efcst = $?, Eperf = $?, V = ?
Combine these expenses to find the economic
value V of deterministic forecasts relative to clima- Use eq. (20.50): Eclim = min( $75k, 0.4·$200k) = $75k.
tology: Use eq. (20.35): n = 90+50+75+150 = 365.
Use eq. (20.51):
Eclimate − E forecast Efcst =(90+50)·$75k/365 + (75/365)·$200k = $70k
V= (20.53)
Eclimate − Eperfect Use eq. (20.52): Eperf = 0.4 · $75k = $30k.
Use eq. (20.53): V = ($75k – $70k)/($75k – $30k) = 0.11
V is an economic skill score, where V = 1 for a per-
Check: Units are OK. Values are consistent.
fect forecast, and V = 0 if the forecasts are no bet-
Exposition: The forecast is slightly more valuable
ter than using climatology. V can be negative if the than climatology.
forecasts are worse than climatology, for which case rCL = $75k/$200k = 0.375 from eq. (20.54).
your best course of action is to ignore the forecasts If you are lucky enough to receive probabilistic fore-
and choose a response based on the climatological casts, then based on eq. (20.56) you should take protec-
data, as previously described. tive action when p > 0.375 .
786 chapter 20 • Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)