Professional Documents
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Title Page
TVansrnittal Letter
Table of Contents
I. Overview and Summary
II. Intelligence Community Management
III. Intelligence Requirements Process
IV. Collection Synergy
V. SIGINT Signals Intelligence
VI. I MI NT: Imagery Intelligence
VII. MASIHT: Measurement and Signatures Intelligence
VIII. Collection Launch
IX. Clandestine Service
X. Intelligence Community "Surge" Capability
XI. Intelligence Support to Military Operations
XII. Intelligence Centers
>011. Intelligence and Law Enforcement
XIV. Intelligence Communications
XV. Congressional Oversight
Appendices
Figures
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STAFF STUDY
PERMANENT SELECT
COMMITTEE ON INTELLIGENCE
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
O N E H U N D R E D FO URTH C O N G R E S S
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives on the United States
Government Printing Office web site.
Transmittal Letter
U.S. HOUSE OF
REPRESENTATIVES
P E R M A N E N T S E L E C T CO M M ITTEE
ON IN T E L L IG E N C E
W A SH IN G TO N , DC 20515-6415
April 9. 1996
Staff members of this Committee recently completed a study entitled IC21: The
Intelligence Community in the 21st Century. This study has been carefully edited in
consultation with the appropriate agencies to remove any classified information. The
study represents the observations and conclusions of the staff. It does not represent the
views of all Members of the Committee.
Sincerely.
Larry Combe st
Chairman
This document is sponsored by the US. House of Representatives on the United States
Government Printing Office web site.
D u r i n g t h e 1 0 4 th C o n g r e s s , t h e P e rm a n e n t S e l e c t C o m m it t e e on
I n t e l l i g e n c e h a s u n d e r t a k e n a m a j o r r e v ie w o f t h e r o le , f u n c t io n s
a n d s t r u c t u r e o f t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m u n ity , T h i s r e v ie w h a s b e e n
c a l l e d T h e I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m un ity i n t h e 2 1 st C e n tu ry , o r IC 2 1 .
T h i s t i t l e c o n n o t e s o ne o f t h e m a j o r p r e m is e s o f t h e s t u d y :
t h a t t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m u n ity ( IC ) h a s b e e n l a r g e l y , a n d p e r h a p s
i n e v i t a b l y , s h a p e d b y t h e C o ld War s t r u g g l e w i t h t h e S o v i e t U n io n .
T h i s s t r u g g l e g a v e s h a p e t o a s p e c i f i c s e t o f " i n t e l l i g e n c e n o r m s ,"
i . e . , o r g a n i z a t i o n s , p r o d u c t s , p r a c t i c e s , r e l a t i o n s h i p s a n d ways o f
d o in g b u s in e s s t h a t e x te n d t h r o u g h o u t t h e IC . Some o f t h e s e
i n t e l l i g e n c e norms a r e l i k e l y t o be f a i r l y s t a b l e , r e g a r d l e s s o f
U.S. n a t i o n a l s e c u r i t y p o l i c y o r t h e i n t e r n a t i o n a l p o l i t i c a l
e n v ir o n m e n t . O t h e r s may be o u t d a t e d a n d no l o n g e r r e s p o n s i v e t o
U.S. n a t i o n a l s e c u r i t y r e q u ir e m e n t s as we e n t e r t h e 2 1 s t c e n t u r y .
IC21 s e e k s t o d e t e r m i n e w h i c h o f t h e s e i n t e l l i g e n c e norm s a r e s t i l l
r e l e v a n t , w h ic h n e e d t o b e e i t h e r r e v i s e d o r r e p l a c e d , and what
a l t e r n a t i v e s t h e r e a r e t o be a d d e d .
II. G u id in g C o nce p ts
The U n i t e d S t a t e s c o n t i n u e s t o n e e d a s t r o n g , h i g h l y c a p a b le
and i n c r e a s i n g l y f l e x i b l e I C . T h is need has n ot d im in is h e d
w i t h t h e e n d o f t h e C o ld War. In d e e d , t h e c u r r e n t
i n t e r n a t i o n a l s i t u a t i o n i s , i n many ways, m ore c o m p le x and
more d i f f i c u l t t o d e a l w i t h t h a n was t h e r e l a t i v e l y s t a b l e
b i - p o l a r C o ld War. T h u s, a l t h o u g h we f i n d o u r n a t i o n a l
s e c u r i t y l e s s t h r e a t e n e d , t h e demands f o r i n t e l l i g e n c e r e m a in .
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I. Overview and Summary
t h e E x e c u t iv e , t h e r e i s no n a t u r a l c o n s t it u e n c y fo r
i n t e l l i g e n c e i n t h e U n it e d S t a te s .
F i n a l l y , t h e f o c u s m ust b e o n w h e re t h e I C n e e d s t o b e i n th e
n e x t 10-15 y e a r s , n o t a s n a p s h o t o f w h e r e we a r e t o d a y .
III. M e t h o d o lo g y
A f t e r much p r e l i m i n a r y s t a f f s t u d y — a i d e d b y a s e t o f
d e t a i l e d q u e s t i o n s s e n t o u t t o o v e r 40 f o r m e r a n d c u r r e n t o f f i c i a l s
w i t h n a t i o n a l s e c u r i t y e x p e r i e n c e , a c a d e m ic s , a n d I C v e t e r a n s —
t h e C o m m it t e e u n d e r t o o k IC21 w i t h t h e v ie w t h a t i t w o u ld b e most
p r o f i t a b l e t o lo o k a t t h e IC l a r g e l y i n te rm s of f u n c t io n s a c ro s s
th e bo a rd, r a t h e r th a n agency-by-agency. I t was f e l t t h a t a n
a g e n c y - b y - a g e n c y a p p r o a c h w o u ld l e a d t o e i t h e r a c o n f i r m a t i o n o r
r e j e c t i o n of t h e s t a t u s quo w it h o u t p r o v id in g a b a s is f o r
p r o j e c t i n g f u t u r e i n t e l l i g e n c e n e e d s a n d how b e s t t o meet them.
T h i s f u n c t i o n a l c o n c e p t h a s b e e n p u r s u e d a l o n g a n um b e r o f p a r a l l e l
p a th s.
F ig u r e 1 i n d ic a t e s t h e m a jo r IC f u n c t io n s as d e f in e d i n th e
IC21 s t u d i e s . T hey a r e a g g r e g a t e d i n t o t h r e e b r o a d g r o u p s :
m anagem ent, e x e c u t i o n a n d i n f r a s t r u c t u r e .
R II.
NCTIU.WLFLUW
M A NAG EM ENT
El NOTIONS
t t ♦
_____ ♦
IN F R A S T R U C T U R E S U P P O R T F U N C T IO N S
F ig u r e 1: IC F u n c t io n a l F lo w
S e c o n d , t h e C o m m it t e e h a s h e l d s i x f u l l c o m m it t e e h e a r i n g s
d e v o t e d t o IC21 i s s u e s ( s e e A p p e n d ix A f o r a l i s t o f h e a r i n g s a n d
w it n e s s e s ) . A l l b u t one of t h e s e h e a r in g s have be e n h e ld i n open
s e s s i o n , i n k e e p i n g w i t h t h e e n v i s i o n e d r o l e o f IC21 as a means of
b u ild in g a s tro n g p u b lic consensus f o r in t e llig e n c e .
T h i r d , C o m m it t e e s t a f f u n d e r t o o k t h e 14 s t u d i e s p r e s e n t e d i n
t h i s v o lu m e . As F i g u r e 2 i n d i c a t e s , t h e s e s t u d i e s encom pass i s s u e s
w i t h i n t h e b r o a d a r e a s o f d i r e c t i o n o f t h e IC ; i n t e l l i g e n c e
r e q u ir e m e n t s ; a n d c o l l e c t i o n , a n a l y s i s a n d o p e r a t i o n s . T here a re
no s t a f f s t u d i e s s p e c i f i c a l l y o n i n t e l l i g e n c e p r o d u c t s , a l t h o u g h
t h e s e p r o d u c t s c l e a r l y w o u ld b e a f f e c t e d by t h e r e c o m m e n d a t io n s i n
th e s t a f f s t u d ie s .
Fi0jr«2 C21S(tStiilK
F ig u r e 2: IC21 S ta ff S t u d ie s
F o u r t h , C o m m it t e e s t a f f h a s h e l d 12 f o r m a l s t a f f p a n e l s w i t h
v a r i o u s e x p e r t w i t n e s s e s as p a r t o f t h e b a c k g r o u n d w ork o n t h e
s t u d ie s . C o m m it t e e s t a f f a l s o c o n d u c t e d n u m e ro u s i n t e r v i e w s w i t h
n a t io n a l s e c u r it y , i n t e l l i g e n c e and t e c h n o lo g y s p e c i a l i s t s i n and
We believe that the IC has served the nation well, but that
given the opportunity we now have to review the functioning of the
IC, we can take steps to rationalize some of its functions, to
remove some redundancies, to give it greater flexibility and
responsiveness to policy maker needs and, above all, to give it a
coherence that it has not had.
and covert action. But none of these, with the exception of covert
action, is carried out exclusively by one agency. Nor does the
senior responsible official, the Director of Central Intelligence
(DCI), directly control — either across the IC or even within its
non-military portion — all of those agencies that contribute to
these three functions. Ultimately, the components of the IC become
internecine competitors. This is most often seen in debates over
budgets, but it also becomes apparent in competition among the
three functions and within each of them as well.
The role of the DCI is central to this debate. There are two
stark choices that would remedy this situation: (1) admit that the
concepts of a DCI, of central intelligence and of competitive
analysis have not worked and return to a more fractionated
intelligence establishment in which components serve their
individual policy customers; or (2) attempt to strengthen the
central aspects of the IC without losing those facets of individual
intelligence service that remain vital. It is the strong
conclusion of IC21 that this second choice, attempting to buttress
stronger central features while retaining important independent
functions, is the right answer.
The National Security Act states that the DCI is the head of
the IC and the President's principal intelligence adviser. Neither
of these designations for the DCI is the same as meaningful
control. If the IC is to achieve a greater degree of centrality
and corporate identity, then the role of the DCI has to be changed.
The glaring gap between his responsibilities and his authorities
has to be closed to the greatest extent possible. The DCI should
be viewed as a chief executive officer (CEO) of the IC, with
purview over all of its major functions and a greater degree of
control over budgets, resources and major policy issues that are
common to all agencies. To do this in a more coherent and more
meaningful manner, the DCI needs managerial resources dedicated to
the operations of the entire IC — a strengthened Community
Management Staff (CMS) — and more authorities than are available
to him today.
People are the key element of the IC. All of the collection
capabilities are machines unless there are dedicated people behind
them — building them, operating them, processing the data,
analyzing it. In the area of personnel management we find, again,
that there are gaps between the D C I 's responsibility and his
current authority. At present, only the personnel at CIA are under
his control. If he sees an intelligence need that can best be
filled elsewhere, he can ask for those people, but he cannot be
assured of getting them. In an era in which much greater emphasis
is being put on multi-disciplinary analysis and on the use of IC
centers (see below), this lack of authority becomes debilitating.
The DCI should have authority over all NFIP agency personnel,
including the right to assign them where they are most needed.
DCI.
Confirming this role for the CIA is not meant to diminish the
importance of DIA to its Defense customers. DIA consistently plays
three key roles in the Defense intelligence process: as an all
source analytical and production capability providing products
tailored to Defense officials' needs and in support of military
operations; as part of the larger IC competitive analyses; and
management of Defense intelligence production so as to reduce
unnecessary duplication. DIA's significant all-source role argues
strongly that it, like CIA, should include second- and third-tier
Nor should this role for the CIA diminish the role played by
other departmental intelligence entities for their specific
consumers. They are also necessary to the concept of competitive
analysis, which we believe is useful to decision-makers throughout
the government. Moreover, each of these offices also contributes
to IC-wide analyses, such as National Intelligence Estimates.
The observation about the DO being the place that most often
lands the DCI in trouble rings very true. It should be made into
a separate service and brought under the DC I 's direct control.
This single Clandestine Service (CS) should include those
components of the Defense HUMINT Service (DHS) that undertake
clandestine collection as well. We do not believe that this
division is of utility in terms of collection. We are especially
concerned that the Defense Department is unlikely to give DHS the
kind of authorities, attention, resources and career development
incentives that it will need to become a truly capable clandestine
human collection enterprise. Just as intelligence struggled for
years to be recognized as a career speciality within the armed
forces, DHS faces the same challenge.
Having said that, we are also aware that this continuing view
of intelligence as something extraordinary also puts pressures on
intelligence oversight that are unique. All oversight is a mixture
of two roles: investigator and advocate. Being an advocate for
intelligence may be more difficult than for other government
functions not only because of the secrecy that is involved, which
limits what can be said, but also because of the ongoing suspicion
about intelligence agencies and activities in some quarters.
Several former DCIs pointed out that intelligence, unlike other
federal programs, has no natural constituency. Therefore, if
Congress is not prepared to act as an advocate when that role is
proper and necessary, no one else will. This aspect of oversight
is especially important if the IC and its necessary activities are
to enjoy even a minimal amount of public support.
These five groups have not developed evenly and are not
managed in similar manners. Ideally, they should provide an array
of information, allowing analysts to confirm intelligence gleaned
from one discipline by comparing it with that gathered from others
— creating a true synergy. Each discipline has particular
strengths and weaknesses, working better or worse than others
against particular intelligence problems. Together, it is hoped
that they will minimize uncertainty and amplify that which is
known.
D efense f o r I n t e l l i g e n c e , r e p o r t i n g d i r e c t l y to th e
Deputy S e c r e t a r y of D efense.
F i g u r e 3: IC21 O b j e c t i v e Community
IC F U N C T IO N S
COMMAND
IC EVALUATIONS
TASKING ICftmubm
Figure 4: IC Functions
1 NSC*
<T. 1 ____ ____ SECDEE
S T A T K /1 N R
FBI
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Printing Office web site.
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II. Intelligence Community Management
I. Approach
II. Introduction/Assumptions
At the most basic level, there have been, and remain, two
diverging views of the appropriate role of intelligence in the
United States. One view maintains that intelligence provides
impartial and objective information to policy-makers; intelligence
is a truth-seeking profession and the policy community is a
customer who does not and should not influence the product. The
other, and less widely held, view is that intelligence is in fact
an instrument of policy and should be used to both shape and
further policy goals: the intelligence and policy communities must
act as partners. The question of whether intelligence informs
policy or serves it is truly a chicken-or-the-egg issue — we
believe it must do both at different times. Tending too far in
either of these directions threatens lack of relevance on the one
hand, and politicization on the other. The challenge for the IC is
to maintain a balance of objectivity and involvement, a goal that
can only be met with the cooperation and understanding of the
policy community. This study assumes that the basic structure of
the United States government, including its policy apparatus, will
remain relatively stable at the departmental level, but that the
policy community may be influenced positively by recommended
changes in its formal relationship to the IC.
The National Security Act states that the DCI is the head of
the IC and the President's principal intelligence adviser. Neither
of these designations for the DCI is the same as meaningful
control. If the IC is to achieve a greater degree of coherence and
corporate identity, then the role of the DCI has to be changed.
The glaring gap between his responsibilities and his authorities
has to be closed to the greatest extent possible. The DCI should
be viewed as a chief executive officer of the IC, with purview over
all of its major functions and a greater degree of control over
budgets, resources and major policy issues that are common to all
agencies. However, the testimony of former DCIs and other former
senior IC officials all concur that the DCI needs an agency
"of his own" — i.e., the CIA — if he is to have any real power
within the IC.
The National Security Act also places the DCI under the
direction of the National Security Council (NSC). The NSC is
composed of four officials: the President, the Vice President, and
the Secretaries of State and Defense. The IC is a service
organization. It has no meaning without its relationship to policy
makers. Thus, the DCI must have regular contact with the NSC
members. However, it is not reasonable to expect that they can
give the DCI and, through him, the IC, the kind of regular
executive guidance that was envisioned by the National Security
Act. Indeed, in each successive Administration, there has been
some sort of sub-NSC group created to deal with intelligence,
reflecting the shortcomings of the NSC itself to carry out this
role.
Infrastructure Management
Recommendations:
Recommendations:
CIA and DIA, largely left to their own devices by the CMS
but questioned by Congress repeatedly over a period of years for
duplication of analysis and production, have made a great deal of
progress in coordinating and deconflicting their analytical efforts
and scheduled production. The fact that scheduled production
represents a smaller and smaller percentage of total intelligence
product in no way minimizes this achievement, but also shows that
this process is a moving target. The coordination of finished
products also does not address the issue of the community's other
analytical products, which are not (theoretically) all-source —
SIGINT and IMINT reports.
Recommendations:
The JMIP and TIARA budgets differ mostly in how they are
constructed. Both are aggregates of MFP II programs, but while
TIARA is merely the compilation of those intelligence and
these activities are subject to OMB review. DoD has gained no new
powers or authorities through this new process, only more
visibility into some intelligence programs. As resources continue
to be constrained, having DoD "buy-in" to the intelligence budget
is not a bad thing. And, as has always been the case, in the final
analysis the DCI has recourse to the President if he views the
results of the process as unfair or inadequate.
Recommendations:
The Jehn report states that in the course of the task force's
review of current personnel systems in the IC, "four principal
problems emerged:
Recommendations:
Recommendations:
systems.
FOOTNOTES
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives on the United States Government Printing Office web
site.
F i n d i ngs
The I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m u n ity , w i t h a l l i t s c o m p o n e n ts a n d
d i s c i p l i n e s , needs a n o v e r a r c h in g c o n c e p t f o r c o o r d in a t in g
C o m m u n ity r e q u i r e m e n t s , e s p e c i a l l y when f a c e d w i t h d e c l i n i n g
r e s o u r c e s a n d i n c r e a s i n g l y d i v e r s e r e q u ir e m e n t s .
The N e e d s P r o c e s s
W it h i t s f o c u s o n P r e s i d e n t i a l D e c i s i o n D i r e c t i v e - 35 (PDD-35),
t h e N a t i o n a l N eeds P r o c e s s i s a n i m p o r t a n t s t e p t o w a r d s
d e a lin g e f f e c t i v e l y w it h n e a r- te rm , h i g h - p r i o r i t y cu sto m er
r e q u i r e m e n t s , b u t i t may be i n a d e q u a t e f o r m e e t in g lo n g - t e r m ,
w o r l d w i d e i n t e l l i g e n c e n e e d s , p r i m a r i l y b e c a u s e PDD-35 h a s b e g u n t o
d r i v e c o l l e c t i o n and a n a ly s i s a t t h e e x p e n s e of lo w e r t i e r is s u e s .
D e f in in g F u tu re In t e llig e n c e N eeds
The I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m u n it y h a s , c o r r e c t l y , c h a n g e d i t s f o c u s
an d t a r g e t i n g s i n c e t h e e n d o f t h e C o l d War, b u t i t c a n n o t l i n k
l o n g - t e r m r e s o u r c e p l a n n i n g t o f u t u r e n e e d s u n t i l i t d e f i n e s w hat
i t s f u t u r e i n t e l l i g e n c e n e e d s w i l l l i k e l y be.
The I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m u n ity c a n n o t b a s e i t s l o n g - r a n g e p l a n n i n g
p r i m a r i l y on h i g h - l e v e l p o l i c y m a k e r - d e f in e d r e q u ir e m e n t s b e c a u s e
p o l i c y m a k e r s , by t h e i r v e r y n a t u r e , t e n d t o c o n c e n t r a t e o n
im m e d i a t e p r o b le m s a n d d o n o t t h i n k lo n g - t e r m .
F o c u s o n T op T i e r Is s u e s — C r e a t in g In t e llig e n c e Gaps?
Budgetary Authority
"Cross-INT" Coordination
Requirements Committees
Recommendations
Community-Wide Approach
Cross-INT Coordination
Scope of Paper
Introduction
Findings
and targeting since the end of the Cold War. It cannot however,
hope to link long-term resource planning to future needs until it
has a corporate understanding of what future intelligence needs
will likely be and how its resources currently are used to meet
intelligence requirements. Although there is disagreement about
what will constitute a threat to U.S. national security in the
future, the Community must, at a minimum, be capable of dealing
with issues such as foreign denial and deception, proliferation of
weapons of mass destruction, terrorism, ethnic and regional
conflict, and economic competitiveness. Throughout the Cold War,
the Intelligence Community could design systems aimed at
country-specific targets, (i.e., "denied areas"), but the national
security needs of the future do not allow us to look at resources on a
strictly nation-state basis. Indeed, the Community must still plan
for meeting requirements on "enduring" hard targets, such as North
Korea. However, the Community also must design, invest, and plan
its future systems and capabilities around "types" of threats, such
as proliferation, rather than around specific threats necessarily
tied to a particular country or region.
Policy Detail
Budgetary Authority
"Cross-INT" Coordination
Requirements Committees
Recommendations
Community-Wide Approach
with the ability and will to harm U.S. interests), the Community
must focus on how to collect against systemic threats (i.e., those
which derive from anomalies or instabilities in economic, political
or social systems) and against new vulnerabilities, such as
information warfare. Based on this strategic plan, the CMS
requirements office, with input from senior intelligence customers
and all-source analysts, should formulate Community-wide
requirements and devise a collection strategy to meet those needs.
By preparing a strategic plan for the future, the Intelligence
Community can assist policy makers in prioritizing their own needs.
Cross-INT Coordination
FOOTNOTES
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Printing Office web site.
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H om e
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IV. Collectiw i Synei^y
T h is s t u d y a d d r e s s e s how e f f i c i e n t l y o u r c o l l e c t o r s w o rk
t o g e t h e r ( " s y n e r g y " ) , t h e b u d g e t a r y b a la n c e b e tw e e n c o lle c t io n and
"d o w n s tre a m " a c t i v i t i e s , a n d ways t o r e d u c e c o l l e c t i o n c o s t s ,
p r im a r ily i n t h e s a t e l l i t e a re a .
R e g a r d in g c o l l e c t i o n s y n e r g y , t h e s t u d y c o n c lu d e s t h a t we a r e
o n ly b e g in n in g t o lo o k a t how d i f f e r e n t fo rm s o f t e c h n ic a l, human
a n d o p e n c o l l e c t i o n c o u ld b e d e v e lo p e d , b u d g e t e d a n d o p e r a t e d t o
w o rk t o g e t h e r c o h e s iv e ly a n d e f f i c i e n t l y . I f we p r o c e e d a s now
p la n n e d , p r o g r e s s w i l l b e v e r y s lo w . R e c o m m e n d a tio n s , t h e r e f o r e ,
in c l u d e o p t in g f o r a " r e v o lu t io n a r y " r a t h e r t h a n e v o lu t io n a r y
a p p ro a c h . We s h o u ld d e v e lo p t e c h n ic a l w o r k - a r o u n d s f o r e x is t i n g
s y s te m s , a n d t h r o u g h a n in d e p e n d e n t b o d y e s t a b l i s h a s s o o n a s
p o s s ib le t h e common s t a n d a r d s an d p r o t o c o ls t o p r o v id e f o r i n t r a -
a n d c r o s s - IN T i n t e r o p e r a b i l i t y , b a s e d a s m uch a s p o s s ib le o n
c o m m e r c ia l s t a n d a r d s . T h e r e s h o u ld b e m uch g r e a t e r a t t e n t io n t o
c r o s s - c u e in g o u r c o l l e c t i o n t h r o u g h in t e g r a t e d c o l l e c t i o n
m anagem ent u s in g im p r o v e d , common d a t a b a s e s . We m ust a ls o b e t t e r
m anage t h e b a la n c e b e tw e e n c r i s i s a n d lo n g e r - t e r m t a r g e t
p r io r it ie s .
S in c e t h e f a l l o f t h e B e r l i n W a ll a n d d e s p it e t h e e x p l o i t a t i o n
a n d d is s e m in a t io n p r o b le m s r e v e a le d d u r in g t h e G u lf W ar,
c o l l e c t i o n , e s p e c i a l l y s a t e l lit e - b a s e d c o l l e c t i o n , i s t a k in g a n
in c r e a s in g s h a r e o f t h e b u d g e t . We s h o u ld b e s h i f t i n g m ore money
i n t o p r o c e s s in g , e x p l o it a t io n / a n a ly s is a n d d is s e m in a t io n . T h is i s
p o s s ib le w it h o u t s a c r i f i c i n g c o l l e c t i o n c a p a b i l i t y a n d e v e n a s we
make g r e a t e r e f f o r t s t o o v e rc o m e d e n ia l a n d d e c e p t io n , b e c a u s e
COLLECTION SYNERGY
Scope
Issue Summary
Collection Management
Thus far, the N R O 's reaction to rising costs has been the
opposite of what we have recommended. Acknowledging that space
system costs were becoming prohibitively expensive, the NRO
accepted the recommendations of a 1992 panel to reduce the number
of spacecraft on orbit by nearly half, compensating for this by
loading up still more investment and capabilities on the remaining
upgraded platforms. The theory behind this was that after initial
investments, constellation costs would come down. Instead,
however, it appears that, at best, expenditures would level out at
higher levels that previously. In effect, we have roughly doubled
our costs per spacecraft, as well as increasing our vulnerability
to denial and deception and to accident or attack.
the NRP, and have not been delineated well for outside or
Congressional scrutiny.
groups of multiple users who might share the bill. Once the system
was operational, collection management would be geared to satisfy
those who had paid the bills, in order to sustain their support for
the existing system and maintain consumer trust for future budget
decisions; utilization for other unforeseen customers could be
directed by the DCI or his collection deputy. As in a true market
system, the DCI and other users would be free to trade informally
some of their own chits/votes, as they saw fit.
Recommendations
Collection-Downstream Balance
16) Especially if the NRO does not move toward a far more
distributed, robust architecture than now is planned, the military
should consider developing inexpensive and possibly reusable
"tactical satellites" to supplement national collection over denied
areas during crises.
23) A m uch c h e a p e r s y s te m o f r e l i a b l e s p a c e c r a f t la u n c h
s h o u ld b e d e v e lo p e d ( c f . C o lle c t io n : La u n ch s t a f f s tu d y .)
24) P ro g ra m m a n a g e rs b u i l d i n g i n t e l l i g e n c e p la t f o r m s ,
e s p e c i a l ly s p a c e c r a f t , s h o u ld im m e d ia t e ly e m b ra c e t h e S e c r e t a r y o f
D e f e n s e ' s d i r e c t i v e t o a d o p t c o m m e r c ia l s t a n d a r d s f o r e x i s t i n g a n d
new c o n t r a c t s , m in im iz in g u s e o f m i l i t a r y s p e c if i c a t i o n s a n d
s ta n d a rd s .
25) A c q u is it io n t im e lin e s , p e r s o n n e l a n d p a p e r w o r k m u s t b e
r e d u c e d c o n s id e r a b ly , t o g e t a v a i l a b l e new t e c h n o lo g y o n l i n e
r a p id ly and t o re d u c e c o s ts .
26) T h e r e s h o u ld b e a c o n c e r t e d e f f o r t t o e d u c a t e u s e r s o n
t h e u t i l i t y o f lo w e r c o s t o p e n s o u r c e a n d HUMINT in f o r m a t io n , a n d
t h i s m a t e r ia l ( w it h p r o p e r s a f e g u a r d s f o r s e n s i t i v e c la n d e s t in e
HUMINT m a t e r ia l) s h o u ld b e r a p i d l y c o m m u n ic a b le o v e r t h e sam e
d is s e m in a t io n s y s te m u s e d b y o t h e r c o l le c t o r s .
27) T he b u r g e o n in g a v a i l a b i l i t y o f o p e n s o u r c e m a t e r ia l
p r e s e n t s b o t h p r o b le m s a n d o p p o r t u n it ie s . In o r d e r t o ta k e f u l l
a d v a n t a g e o f o p e n s o u r c e s , t h e IC m ust c o n t in u e t o d e v e lo p im p r o v e d
means o f c o l l e c t i n g , e x p l o i t i n g a n d p r o c e s s in g o p e n s o u r c e
i n f o r m a t io n .
This document is sponsored by the U S. House of Representatives on the United States Government
Printing Office web site.
T he S IG IN T s ta ff s tu d y r e lie d h e a v il y on th e f o u n d a t io n of th e
C o m m it t e e ' s o v e r s ig h t a n d e v a l u a t io n o f b o t h t h e N a t io n a l S e c u r it y
A g e n c y (NSA) a n d t h e U n it e d S t a t e s S IG IN T S y s te m (USSS) f o r t h e
p a s t s e v e r a l y e a r s , t o i n c l u d e r e c e n t h e a r in g s d e d ic a t e d t o S IG IN T
p r o g r a m m anag e m e n t a n d t h e G lo b a l N e tw o rk I n i t i a t i v e . T h is was
a u g m e n te d w it h tw o p a n e ls , o n e c o m p o s e d o f t h e D i v i s i o n C h ie f s
w i t h i n M SA's D ir e c t o r a t e o f O p e r a t io n s (D O ), a n d o n e o f t h e C h ie f s
o f t h e S e r v ic e C r y p t o lo g ic E le m e n t s (S C E s); a v a r i e t y o f f o c u s e d
in t e r v ie w s ; a n d a s e r i e s o f q u e s t io n s f o r t h e r e c o r d .
T h e s t u d y s t a t e s a t t h e o u t s e t t h a t NSA i s a n e x t r e m e ly
s u c c e s s f u l o r g a n iz a t io n a n d t h a t t h e r e c o m m e n d a t io n s c o n t a in e d i n
t h e s t u d y a r e in t e n d e d t o im p r o v e a n a g e n c y a n d a f u n c t i o n a l s y s te m
t h a t h a v e p r o v id e d i n v a l u a b l e s u p p o r t t o t h e n a t io n ' s p o l i c y
m a k e rs . A lt h o u g h t h e s t u d y g r o u p d o e s n o t b e l ie v e t h a t t h e
c r a d le - t o - g r a v e a p p r o a c h t o a d i s c i p l i n e i s n e c e s s a r ily t h e m o s t
c o n s t r u c t iv e a p p r o a c h f o r t h e f u t u r e , i t h a s s e r v e d t h e n a t io n w e ll
i n t h e p a s t a n d c e r t a i n e le m e n t s o f t h e NS A m o d e l a r e w o r t h y o f
e m u la t io n b y t h e r e s t o f t h e t e c h n ic a l i n t e l l i g e n c e c o m m u n ity .
T h e s u c c e s s o f t h e S IG IN T s y s t e m h a s b e e n i n l a r g e p a r t d u e t o
N SA 's f o r m a lly e s t a b lis h e d t e c h n i c a l c o n t r o l o v e r t h e d i s c i p l i n e ,
w h ic h h a s r e s u l t e d i n t h e d e v e lo p m e n t o f a c o h e r e n t a r c h it e c t u r e
f o r c o l l e c t i o n , p r o c e s s in g , e x p l o i t a t i o n , a n a ly s is a n d r e p o r t in g .
H o w e v e r, t h i s v e r y s t r e n g t h h a s b e co m e a ls o a w e a k n e s s , a s t h e
r e s o u r c e s r e q u ir e d t o m a in t a in t h e C o n s o lid a t e d C r y p t o lo g ic P r o g r a m
to w a rd t h e 2 1 st c e n tu ry .
I n k e e p in g w it h o u r r e c o m m e n d a t io n s i n t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e
C o m m u n ity M anagem ent s t a f f s t u d y , we b e l i e v e t h a t t h e r e s t o f t h e
t e c h n ic a l c o l l e c t i o n comm u n i t y w o u ld b e n e f i t f r o m t h e a p p l i c a t i o n
of a v a r ia n t o f t h e D IR N S A ’ s ( D ir e c t o r o f NS A) t e c h n i c a l c o n t r o l
o v e r S IG IN T . We a l s o b e l i e v e t h a t t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e Comm u n i t y ( IC )
a n d t h e n a t io n w o u ld b e n e f i t f r o m p r o g r a m m in g a n d b u d g e t in g
d e c is io n s t h a t w e re b a s e d o n a c r o s s - d i s c i p l i n e a n a ly s is o f
c o l l e c t i o n , p r o d u c t io n a n d i n f r a s t r u c t u r e r e q u ir e m e n t s a n d
c a p a b ilit ie s , r a t h e r t h a n a r t i f i c i a l t r a d e - o f f s w it h in p ro g ra m s o r
s p e c if ic d is c ip l in e s . O u r p r o p o s a ls f o r im p r o v e d c o m m u n it y
m anag e m e n t o f R&D in v e s t m e n t a n d , i n p a r t i c u l a r , c o n s o l i d a t io n a n d
r e f o r m o f p e r s o n n e l m anag e m e n t s h o u ld a ls o p r o v e o f s i g n i f i c a n t
b e n e f i t t o t h e S IG IN T c o m m u n it y . T h is s t u d y h i g h l i g h t s t h e n e e d
f o r im p r o v e d m anag e m e n t a n d f o c u s o f S IG IN T R&D t o e n s u r e t h a t
c r i t i c a l a r e a s a r e a d e q u a t e ly f u n d e d a n d t h e n e e d t o r e s h a p e t h e
w o rk fo rc e f o r t h e 2 1 st c e n tu ry .
I n a m o re c e n t r a l iz e d s t r u c t u r e , t h e S IG IN T " s t o v e p ip e " w o u ld
s t i l l e x i s t , a lt h o u g h i d e a l l y w it h m uch g r e a t e r p e r m e a b ilit y a t a l l
l e v e l s , t o c a p i t a l i z e o n t h e p r o f e s s io n a l is m a n d e x p e r t is e o f t h e
c r y p t o l o g ic w o r k f o r c e . H o w e v e r, we b e l ie v e t h a t m u ch o f t h e
a n a ly s is t h a t i s c o n d u c t e d a t NS A t o d a y i s m o re p r o p e r ly d o n e u n d e r
t h e a u s p ic e s o f a n a l l - s o u r c e c o l l e c t i o n a g e n c y s u c h a s D e f e n s e
I n t e l l i g e n c e A g e n c y (D IA ) a n d C e n t r a l I n t e l l i g e n c e A g e n c y ( C IA ) ,
a lt h o u g h t h i s r e s u b o r d in a t io n c o u ld b e d o n e e l e c t r o n i c a l l y r a t h e r
t h a n p h y s ic a lly . We a ls o b e l ie v e t h a t t h e r e a r e s p e c i f i c a r e a s o f
t h e S IG IN T s y s t e m t h a t r e q u ir e im p r o v e m e n t o r m o re m anagem ent
a t t e n t io n ; t h e s e a r e d e t a i l e d i n t h e c l a s s i f i e d s t u d y .
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives on the United States Government
Printing Office web site.
Im a g e ry I n t e l l i g e n c e ( I MI NT) w i l l b e a m a in s t a y o f t h e
I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m un ity ( IC ) i n t h e 2 1 s t c e n t u r y . T h e I MI NT
c o m m u n ity (IMC) t o d a y i s made up o f a d iv e r s e s e t o f u s e r s
i n c l u d i n g m i l i t a r y , n a t io n a l, and c i v i l i a n . We a n t ic ip a t e t h a t t h e
num b e rs a n d t y p e s o f im a g e r y u s e r s w i l l c o n t in u e t o g ro w
d r a m a t ic a lly i n t h e f u t u r e , p e r h a p s i n t o o t h e r a r e a s n o t y e t
im a g in e d . T h u s , i t i s e x t r e m e ly im p o r t a n t t h a t o u r im a g e r y s y s te m
be f l e x i b l e t o s u p p o r t t h e s e c h a n g in g n e e d s .
E x p l o i t a t i o n w i l l be t h e c h o k e p o in t f o r t h e im a g e r y c o m m u n ity .
G iv e n p r e s e n t t r e n d s , t h e n um b e r o f im a g e s c o lle c t e d w i l l c o n t in u e
t o o u tp a c e o u r a b i l i t y t o a n a ly z e them . C o lle c t i o n c o s t s c o n t in u e
t o r i s e a t t h e e x p e n s e o f p r o c e s s in g a n d e x p l o it a t io n . Im a g e ry
a n a ly s t s a r e w o r k in g w it h a r c h a ic t o o ls and t h e c u r r e n t a c q u i s i t i o n
p r o c e s s d o e s n o t f a c i l i t a t e t h e t im e ly i n f u s i o n o f new t e c h n o lo g y .
T h is i s d u e i n p a r t t o t h e f r a g m e n t a t io n o f t h e im a g e r y c o m m u n ity ,
w it h in f r a s t r u c t u r e and r e s e a r c h a n d d e v e lo p m e n t b e in g p u r s u e d by
n um erous o r g a n iz a t io n s w it h l i t t l e t o no c o o r d in a t io n . C o m m e rc ia l
im a g e r y n e e d s t o b e c o n s id e r e d as a n a d j u n c t t o n a t io n a l s y s te m s
and p la n s m ust be p u t i n p la c e t o f a c i l i t a t e i t s u s e . T he IC
c o n t in u e s t o move t o a d ic h o t o m y i n im a g e r y r e q u ir e m e n t s : u s e rs
w ant im a g e s i n n e a r - r e a l- t im e y e t a ls o w ant d e t a i le d a n a ly s is .
The im a g e r y c o m m u n ity h a s n o t y e t r e c o n c ile d how t o s a t is f y t h e s e
c o n f l i c t i n g r e q u ir e m e n t s c o n c u r r e n t ly . Im a g e ry d is s e m in a t io n t o
t h e m i l i t a r y b e lo w t h e J o in t T a sk F o r c e l e v e l s t i l l r e m a in s an
is s u e a n d , f i n a l l y , f o r e ig n d e n ia l and d e c e p t io n a c t i v i t i e s
c o n t in u e t o b e a p r o b le m and m ust b e t a k e n i n t o a c c o u n t i n f u t u r e
p la n n in g .
http://vw vw .a ccess.g po.go v.tong ressfrio usefintelfic2 1flc21006.htmI (1 o f 24) [56£003 9:19:54 AM)
VI.IMINT: Imagery Intelligence
Thus, there is much in store for the IMC; however, it will not
come for free. Funding must be increased to set up the central
infrastructure needed to support the diversity of analysts, to
bring those analysts the tools they need to help alleviate the
exploitation chokepoint, and to increase and focus the R&D efforts
to bring new technology to bear in a more rapid manner. Collection
costs must be reduced so next generation systems and exploitation
advances can occur. If these things do not occur, the IMC will not
be able to satisfy 21st century requirements.
Overview
Thus, there is much in store for the IMC; however, it will not
come for free. Funding must be increased to set up the central
infrastructure needed to support the diversity of analysts, to
bring those analysts the tools they need to help alleviate the
exploitation chokepoint, and to increase and focus the R&D efforts
to bring new technology to bear in a more rapid manner. Collection
costs must be reduced so next generation systems and exploitation
advances can occur. If these things do not occur, the IMC will not
be able to satisfy 21st century requirements.
Organization
The main problem areas we see with the current structure are
imagery program management/planning, research and development
(R&D), collection, processing, dissemination, and standards. A
single, strong policy arm is needed for coherent end-to-end
planning. Several key functions should be centralized: standards,
protocols, and communications interfaces. A strong R&D oversight
structure must be included to ensure that new technologies are
responsive to customer requirements and that R&D funds are spent
efficiently, according to an overall plan instead of each
organization funding bits and pieces as is done today. The IC21
Intelligence Community Management staff study presents an IC that
will solve these deficiencies through the needed centralization of
certain functions while preserving those areas that work well.
Requirements
Collection
Only one solution has been offered so far that shows major
promise in reducing costs while maintaining capabilities: small
satellites (smallsats) acquired through streamlined acquisition
practices. A distributed architecture made of smaller, single
function satellites, will provide the flexibility and
responsiveness required for the customers of the next century.
Technology is now available that would allow the IC to shrink its
satellite size, thus reducing costs, both for the satellite and the
launch vehicle, but also from an organization infrastructure point
of view. Also, by using streamlined acquisition, this approach
allows new technology to get on-orbit more quickly. Multispectral
sensing satellites can be added to supplement this architecture.
Best commercial practices must be incorporated.
Smallsats have also been proposed for point targets that need
high resolution collection. These Narrow Field of View (NFOV)
satellites, while more complex than the Wide Field of View (WFOV),
offer an exciting opportunity to maintain capability but at much
reduced cost. Unfortunately, because many people believe smallsats
are only capable of fulfilling narrow, niche missions, these types
of satellites will never be considered seriously until this
technology is proven on-orbit. (It appears that it is more widely
accepted that the WFOV mission can be done than the NFOV mission).
Therefore, we must build and fly a NFOV small imager to convince
the skeptics that we do not need to spend billions per satellite to
have equivalent capability. Thus, we must act now. As stated
earlier, smallsats will not be considered as a viable alternative
unless there is an on-orbit demonstration showing their worth. It
is imperative that the small NFOV satellite be built as quickly as
possible in order for this technology to be a serious contender.
The same "clean sheet" argument can be made for the command
and control and ground processing segments for imagery. New
commercial satellite architectures will be required to control on
the order of hundreds of satellites. Can we leverage off of the
work they are doing? New processing advancements are being made in
the commercial sector that should be incorporated quickly. This
appears to be only one of many examples where contractors have
conveniently made themselves indispensable, at the expense of the
government.
Exploitation/Information Processing
context cues).
achieve.
Classification
Dissemination
Commercial Systems
v e r s io n o f o u r im a g e r y s a t e l l i t e s y s te m . T h e s e s y s te m s w o u ld b e
e x em p t fr o m t h e c u r r e n t " s h u t t e r c o n t r o l" m a n d a te d b y P r e s id e n t ia l
D e c is io n D ir e c t iv e (PDD-23). The r a t i o n a le f o r t h i s p r o p o s a l ste m s
fro m a c o n c e r n a b o u t t h e US b e in g a b le t o m a in t a in i t s le a d i n t h i s
t e c h n o lo g y a r e a b e c a u s e o f r e d u c e d USG f u n d in g . T h ro u g h th e s e
s a le s , we w o u ld h a v e m ore f u n d in g a v a i l a b le t o in v e s t i n f u t u r e
s y s te m s w h ile g e t t in g in c r e a s e d c o v e r a g e fro m t h e s e a d d it io n a l
s y s te m s . T h is p r o p o s a l seems t o c o n t r a d ic t i t s e l f ; o n t h e o n e h a n d ,
p r o m o t in g c o m m e r c ia l s y s te m s i s a p r i o r i t y w h ile o n t h e o t h e r h a n d ,
i t a d v o c a te s b u i l d i n g a USG s y s te m f o r f o r e ig n m i l i t a r y s a le s (FMS)
t h a t w o u ld d i r e c t l y c o m p e te w it h t h o s e same c o m m e r c ia l s y s te m s . We
a r e a ls o c o n c e r n e d a b o u t g iv in g away o u r t e c h n o lo g ic a l a d v a n t a g e i n
t h i s a re a . We b e lie v e t h a t t h e s h u t t e r c o n t r o l p o l i c y i s a
n e c e s s it y to d a y . H ow ever, we m ust assum e t h a t e v e n t u a lly s y s te m s
w i l l be p r o l i f e r a t e d w it h no s u c h e n c u m b ra n e e s a n d s h o u ld lo o k t o
r e a s s e s s t h e p o l i c y a t t h a t t im e . We a ls o b e lie v e t h a t o u r WFOV
s m a ll s a t e l l i t e p ro g ra m w i l l n o t c o m p e te w it h c o m m e r c ia l p ro g ra m s
o r g iv e a n y m ore u n f a i r a d v a n t a g e t o o n e p ro g ra m o v e r a n o t h e r . T he
f o u r lic e n s e d p ro g ra m s h a v e a l l made t h e d e c is io n t o go a h e a d a n d
d e v e lo p t h e s e s y s te m s w it h o u t g o v e rn m e n t f u n d in g . F u r th e r , th e
c o m m e r c ia l s y s te m s w o u ld be c o m p le m e n ta ry . By a p p ly in g a d e q u a t e
c o l l e c t i o n m anagem ent, o f f lo a d in g r e q u ir e m e n t s t o t h e c o m m e r c ia l
s y s te m s i s a s m a rt move o n o u r p a r t . T h is w o u ld f r e e u p o u r
s y s te m s t o c o l l e c t o t h e r p r i o r i t i e s . T h e b ig g e s t d if f e r e n c e
b e tw e e n o u r WFOV a n d t h e one d is c u s s e d e a r l i e r i s t h a t o u r s w o u ld
n o t b e made a v a i l a b l e f o r g o v e r n m e n t- to - g o v e r n m e n t s a le s . We w o u ld
e n c o u ra g e s a le s o f a v a i l a b le c o m m e r c ia l s y s te m s .
RECOMMENDATION: S e t up a n a c c o u n t f o r t h e e a s y p u r c h a s e
o f c o m m e r c ia l im a g e r y , d o n e u n d e r t h e common U. S .
g o v e rn m e n t lic e n s e s . A c e n t r a l r e p o s it o r y a n d in d e x in g
s y s te m s h o u ld b e c r e a t e d f o r e a s y a c c e s s b y a l l u s e r s .
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives on the United States Government
Printing Office web site.
As p a r t o f t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m u n ity o f t h e 2 1 s t C e n t u r y
s t u d y ( IC 2 1 ) , t h e C o m m itte e r e v ie w e d t h e M e a su re m e n t a n d S ig n a t u r e s
I n t e l l i g e n c e (MASINT) d i s c i p l i n e f o r i t s r e le v a n c e i n t h e
I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m u n ity 's ( IC ) f u t u r e . T he r e s u l t s o f t h e s t u d y
r e a f f ir m e d some lo n g h e ld b e l ie f s a b o u t t h e r e l a t i v e l y
u n p r e d ic t a b le f u t u r e — e s p e c i a l ly i n te rm s o f s p e c if i c
t e c h n o lo g ie s t h e C o m m u n ity w i l l h a v e t o f a c e . One t r u is m t h a t
seems t o h o ld i s t h a t t h e s o p h i s t i c a t i o n o f t h e t e c h n o lo g ie s
e m p lo y e d i n t h e f u t u r e w eapon s y s te m ( t h r e a t s t h a t t h e IC w i l l be
t a s k e d a g a in s t ) w i l l b e r a d i c a l l y im p r o v e d , a n d p e r h a p s e v e n m ore
r a d i c a l l y d i f f e r e n t t h a n t h o s e we a t t e m p t t o u n d e r s t a n d to d a y . T he
r e s u l t i n g n e e d f o r a m ore s o p h is t ic a t e d IC c o l l e c t i o n c a p a b i l i t y i s
c le a r . C le a r a ls o , i s t h e n e e d t o u n a m b ig u o u s ly i d e n t i f y t h e s e
s p e c if i c w eapons o r c a p a b i l i t i e s — o f t e n b e f o r e t h e y a r e e v e r
used. L e s s c le a r , b u t u n d o u b t e d ly t r u e , i s t h e v i t a l r o l e
c o n v e n t io n a l t e c h n ic a l i n t e l l i g e n c e d i s c i p l i n e s ( I MI NT, S IG IN T ,
e t c . ) w i l l c o n t in u e t o p la y i n t h e i d e n t i f i c a t i o n a n d l o c a t io n o f
t h e m ore d y n a m ic t a r g e t s . H ow ever, as t h e s o p h i s t i c a t i o n o f t h e s e
t a r g e t s in c r e a s e s , o r a s c o u n t r ie s ( o r t r a n s n a t io n a l p la y e r s )
e m p lo y e f f e c t i v e d e n ia l a n d d e c e p t io n t e c h n iq u e s , we w i l l n e e d t o
e m p lo y new c a p a b i l i t i e s t o e n s u r e we c a n c o n t in u e t o a n s w e r t h e
c o n s u m e rs ' q u e s t io n s . One s u c h c a p a b i l i t y i s MASINT. T h is s t u d y
c o n c lu d e s t h a t MASINT w i l l t a k e o n a m o re im p o r t a n t r o l e t h a n i t
d o e s to d a y i n p r o v id in g c r i t i c a l in f o r m a t io n o n t h e s e f u t u r e
th re a ts . A c c o r d in g ly , t h i s d i s c i p l i n e m ust b e f o c u s e d and w e ll- m a n a g e d
t o e n s u r e t h e C o m m un ity c a n p r o v id e t h e n e c e s s a r y in f o r m a t io n t o i t s
v a r io u s u s e r s .
Study Purpose
Study Approach
Background
General Conclusions
realized.
Specific Conclusions/Findings
Findings/Recommendations
Findings/Recommendations
Findings/Recommendations
Findings/Recommendations
Findings/Recommendations
Additional Thoughts
Conclusion
t h e MASINT p r o d u c t c a n p r o v id e f o r t h e f u t u r e b a t t l e f i e l d o r f o r
n a t io n a l o b j e c t iv e s i s im p e r a t iv e . S t r o n g le a d e r s h ip i s n e c e s s a r y
to s t e e r t h is " in t e llig e n c e d is c ip lin e o f t h e f u t u r e " in t o t h e
n e x t c e n tu ry .
FOOTNOTES
/I/M A S IN T p a n e l #3 d is c u s s io n s ; in d iv id u a l re s p o n s e s t o MASINT
q u e s t io n n a ir e
/4/MASINT P a n e l #2 a n d #3 d is c u s s io n s , a n d w it h CMO
/5/USAF MASINT b r i e f i n g
/8/CMO f ig u r e s .
/9/MASINT p a n e ls 1, 2, a n d 3 a n d p e r s o n a l in t e r v ie w s .
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Printing Office web site.
H IlftSl
Page #IC21007 June 5. 1996
S p a c e b o rn e c o l l e c t i o n a s s e t s a r e u s e le s s i f t h e y c a n n o t b e p u t
in t o o r b it . H e n c e , la u n c h v e h ic le s w i l l r e m a in a c r i t i c a l
c o m p o n e n t o f t h e US i n t e l l i g e n c e c o l l e c t i o n a r c h it e c t u r e . T it a n
IV , t h e p r im a r y la u n c h v e h ic l e u s e d by t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e Commu n it y
( IC ) , i s p r o h i b i t i v e l y e x p e n s iv e . I n o r d e r t o m eet t h e n e e d s o f
a l l u s e r s , t h e US n e e d s t o move t o s im p le , r e l i a b l e , a f f o r d a b le
la u n c h v e h ic le s . T h o u g h we b e l ie v e t h e US m ust u lt im a t e l y d e v e lo p
a new la u n c h v e h ic l e , i n t e r i m s o lu t io n s r e q u ir e t h e i n f u s i o n o f new
ways o f d o in g b u s in e s s a n d d e c r e a s in g t h e I C ' s r e l ia n c e o n t h e
T it a n IV . T h e f o llo w in g re c o m m e n d a tio n s r e f l e c t t h i s a p p ro a c h .
I f t e c h n i c a l l y f e a s ib l e , a l l IC p a y lo a d s s h o u ld b e t a k e n
o f f o f t h e T it a n IV . No T it a n I Vs s h o u ld b e p u r c h a s e d b y
t h e IC a f t e r t h e 1997 b u y , a n d e v e n t h a t s h o u ld be
r e c o n s id e r e d .
- The U .S . s h o u ld e x a m in e t h e v i a b i l i t y o f a d v a n c e d
t e c h n o lo g ie s t o re d u c e t h e s iz e o f s a t e llit e s .
The A i r F o r c e s h o u ld m o d if y i t s E v o lv e d E x p e n d a b le L a u n c h
V e h ic le (EELV) p ro g ra m t o f o c u s s o l e l y o n t h e h e a v y l i f t
p ro b le m . The US g o v e rn m e n t s h o u ld t a k e a d v a n t a g e o f t h e
M edium L a u n c h V e h ic le ( MLV) c o m p e t it io n b e tw e e n M c D o n n e ll
D o u g la s a n d L o c k h e e d M a r t in i n o r d e r t o k e e p MLV c o s t s
low.
A l l IC p a y lo a d s s h o u ld move t o t h e " s h ip a n d s h o o t "
a p p r o a c h ( i . e . , p a y lo a d s a r r i v e a t t h e la u n c h s i t e r e a d y
f o r la u n c h , w i t h n o o n - s it e a s s e m b ly , t e s t in g , e t c ) .
COLLECTION: LAUNCH
We believe the IC should not purchase any more TIVs after the
1997 buy and that even this buy should be reconsidered. If the IC
goes ahead with the 1997 buy, it will have bought, by 2000, all of
the TIVs it needs for its approved programs, and then some. As
part of the initial block buy, at least two TIVs were procured for
spacecraft that have since been cancelled. There may be more TIVs
available if other programs discussed earlier are downsized.
Thus, the IC has a surplus of TIV vehicles. Based on new designs
implemented by Lockheed Martin, a satellite program is not locked
into a specific TIV configuration but can use any TIV vehicle.
This greatly increases the I C 's flexibility in using its surplus
TIVs. (These surplus vehicles could be used for the remaining heavy
lift program to protect a launch capability if the heavy lift
portion of EELV cannot support this program.) Therefore, there is
no need for the IC to procure more TIVs, including the 1997 buy,
other than protection of the industrial base.
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Printing Office web site.
hnp://vwvw.acc8SS.gpo.go vfcong ressfrio useA ntel rtc21 Ac2100S.htmI (8 of 8) [5.6£003 9:20:06 AM]
EX. Clandestine S ervice
IK Clandestine Service
E x e c u t i v e Summary
The p u r p o s e o f t h i s s t u d y i s t o p r e s e n t i d e a s a b o u t t h e f u t u r e
r o l e s , o r g a n i z a t i o n , a n d management o f a c l a n d e s t i n e s e r v i c e as
t h e y w ere d e v e lo p e d by t h e S t u d y G ro u p i n t h e c o u r s e o f i t s
" I n t e l l i g e n c e C om m unity i n t h e 2 1 st C e n t u r y " (I C 21) s t u d y . The
body of t h e p a p e r c o n s is t s o f e x p l i c a t i o n s of t w e lv e p r i n c i p a l
" f in d in g s " c o n c e r n in g t h i s c la n d e s t in e s e r v ic e . Some o f t h e s e
f i n d i n g s r e p r e s e n t r a d i c a l d e p a r t u r e s f r o m t h e s t a t u s quo. O the rs
s im p ly r e a f f ir m and r e v a lid a t e e x is t i n g a rra n g e m e n ts t h a t have been
u n d e r q u e s t io n .
W h i le t h i s s t u d y s t a n d s o n i t s own, i t s o b s e r v a t i o n s an d
c o n c l u s i o n s a r e c o m p a t i b l e w i t h t h e o t h e r IC21 s t u d i e s . M o re o v e r,
when l o o k e d a t i n t h e c o n t e x t o f t h e C o m m it t e e ' s e x a m i n a t i o n o f t h e
I n t e l l i g e n c e C om m unity ( IC ) as a w h o le , t h e f o l l o w i n g f i n d i n g s an d
re c o m m e n d a t io n s h a v e b e e n e x t r a c t e d f r o m t h i s s t u d y f o r i n c l u s i o n
i n l e g i s l a t i v e p r o p o s a l s t o r e o r g a n i z e a n d b e t t e r d i r e c t t h e IC i n
th e fu tu re :
F i n d i ngs
The U.S. r e q u i r e s a c l a n d e s t i n e s e r v i c e of t h e h ig h e s t
p r o f e s s i o n a l s t a n d a r d s a n d c o m p e te n c e .
C l a n d e s t i n e c o l l e c t i o n must be f o c u s e d p r i n c i p a l l y on
s e l e c t , h i g h p r i o r i t y n a t i o n a l a n d m i l i t a r y r e q u ir e m e n t s .
Y e t, i t i s n e c e s s a r y t o h a v e a t l e a s t a m in im a l
c l a n d e s t i n e p r e s e n c e i n most c o u n t r i e s (a " g l o b a l
p r e s e n c e " ) so a s t o m a i n t a i n a b r o a d e r b a s e - l i n e
c o n t in g e n c y c a p a b i l i t y a n d t o r e s p o n d t o t r a n s n a t i o n a l
collection requirements.
Recommendations
CLANDESTINE SERVICE
The twelve SIRS prepared at the DCI's request and under the
auspices of the National Intelligence Council in May 1994,
identified 376 intelligence "needs" and rated the value of the
contribution of the various intelligence disciplines (HUMINT,
IMINT, SIGINT, MASINT, and open source) in meeting those needs. An
example of such a need is "International terrorist organization X's
plans to attack US persons, facilities, and interests." In
aggregate, the SIRs clearly identify HUMINT as the most important
source of intelligence for the subjects treated./5/ Specifically,
HUMINT was judged to make a "critical" contribution towards 205 of
the 376 intelligence needs identified. That is more than half
again as much as the next greatest contributor (SIGINT) and more
than twice that of the third (open source).
increased by the fact that in the CS great successes are rare and
failure is routine. Months of work can go into implanting a
listening device in an office of a high-level diplomat from a
"rogue" state who is close to his president, only to have him die
and be replaced by a nonentity. Weekend after weekend can be spent
attempting to win the confidence of an apparently disgruntled
hostile intelligence officer, only to find out that he has been
"dangled" before the case officer. Case officers can inflict on
their families innumerable, inconvenient early morning walks in a
park in the vain hope of being able to bump into and strike up a
friendship with a targeted code clerk who is known to take his
children for walks there on occasion. Frustrations can mount and
the desire to succeed or, at least, sense forward motion also
becomes more intense. Under such circumstances, the temptation is
great to lower sights and work an easier but less important target.
If given in to, this results in a system that measures success by
the numbers of operations rather than their quality — a charge
that was frequently leveled against the DO, particularly in the
1980's when it was expanding in size. A small CS, under pressure
to produce results against the hard targets and constantly forced
to make hard choices on how to allocate limited human resources, is
less likely to fall for this expedient.
There are two parts to this finding. They build upon existing
DCI and COS authorities.
the DHS (which had itself been created to better manage diverse
military intelligence operations).
or utility.
the world and appropriate during the Cold War, the management of
DHS (into which the military collectors have been consolidated) has
made initial efforts at upgrading the quality of military
operations without abandoning a commitment to support the tactical
commander. This represented a major step forward; however, the
quality of most DHS assets still appears to fall well below the
appropriate threshold. This appears to result, at least in part,
from an as yet incomplete understanding or acceptance within the
DoD of the limitations and strengths of clandestine operations in
supporting the military.
The following are a few of the arguments for the most direct
and proximate DCI control possible.
2) For the President and the DCI to feel confident that the
benefits of having a functioning CS outweigh the risks, they must
feel confident that the reporting chain is direct and personally
accountable to them. Without this confidence, the CS will not be
trusted and it will inevitably come under an inexpert, risk-averse
bureaucratic review process, with each layer comfortable with
rejecting and questioning operational opportunities but reluctant
logic behind it, and, indeed, until recently, great care was taken
to keep these two activities separate. Although there are strong
arguments supporting an increase in cooperation between operations
and analysis, such as currently advancing in the CIA under the
banner of "DO-DI Partnership" (see Finding Eight), there is no
reason the two activities must exist as elements of the same IC
entity.
Most of the changes that have been made to date have involved
efforts to reform defective systemic or process problems. There
have been so many changes in the complementary areas of personnel
management, accountability, personnel security, and
counterespionage that it would take several pages to list them.
Their number and the rapidity with which they have been promulgated
has stretched the ability of the DO to incorporate them and make
them part of the fabric of the C S . No doubt, some will turn out to
be more successful than others, and it may be that some of them
will result in unforeseen problems of their own. In this regard,
those seeking to change the DO must be cautious not to damage those
features of the "culture" that are not only good but essential to
any successful CS. Sociological studies have amply proved that,
just as in attempting to "improve" an ecosystem, efforts to improve
or reform seemingly discrete aspects of a culture will frequently
have unforeseen and unintended consequences.
comparison with all peers. Moreover, the DO, like the rest of the
CIA, is excellent in training its personnel in specific skills and
subjects, as, for example, in languages or tradecraft skills. Yet,
neither the personnel system nor training form part of a coherent
program of career development for managers.
and by definition will have numerous false starts and failures for
each major success, it is essential to have a single independent,
authoritative, professionally competent, and timely system of
reviewing questions of professional judgment. None of the current
systems meets all these criteria.
Personnel
Conclusion
FOOTNOTES
/ 1 9 / In c a s e s w h e re t h e D i r e c t o r o f t h e C S 's p r o f e s s i o n a l
ju d g m e n t may be a n i s s u e , t h e DCI s h o u l d h a v e t h e o p t i o n o f
h i m s e l f c h o o s in g t h e m e m b e r s h ip o f a S p e c i a l P R B .
/ 2 0 / In DoD, t h e i n v e s t i g a t i o n s a n d d e li b e r a t i o n s o f p a n e ls
a r e n o t t r a n s p a r e n t t o t h e IG . In d e e d , t h e r e i s no r e g u l a r
s h a r i n g of f i n d i n g s w i t h t h e I G , e x c e p t when t h e p a n e l b e l i e v e s
i t has u n co v ere d p o s s ib ly f r a u d u le n t o r c r im in a l a c t iv it y .
/21/The IC21 I n t e l l i g e n c e C e n t e r s s t a f f s t u d y , p r o p o s e s t h a t
t h i s C e n t e r r e m a in w i t h i n t h e CS p e r f o r m in g t h e same f u n c t i o n s i t
does a t p r e s e n t .
/ 2 2 / I t i s u n f o r t u n a t e t h a t t h e ADDO/MA p o s i t i o n a n d o f f i c e
w e re a b o l i s h e d i n 1995 a n d t h e r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s d i v i d e d b e tw e e n
s e v e r a l new p o s i t i o n s a s p a r t o f t h e DO r e s t r u c t u r i n g .
C h a r a c t e r i s t i c a l l y , t h i s was d o n e w i t h o u t c o n s u l t a t i o n w i t h t h e
m i l i t a r y c o n s u m e rs who, s o f a r as we h a v e b e e n a b l e t o l e a r n , had
b e e n e x t r e m e ly p l e a s e d w i t h s u p p o r t f r o m t h e ADDO/MA a n d h i s
of f i c e .
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T h e I n t e l l i g e n c e Commu n i t y ( IC ) i n t h e 2 1 st C e n t u r y w i l l f a c e
a w o r ld t h a t p r e s e n t s d i f f e r e n t , more d i v e r s e n a t i o n a l s e c u r i t y
c h a l l e n g e s t h a n t h o s e p r e s e n t e d d u r i n g t h e C o ld War. A t t h e same
t im e , many o f t h e i s s u e s and i n t e l l i g e n c e p r o b le m s t h a t w ere
spawned f r o m t h e C o l d War r e m a in , a n d t h e I C i s e x p e c t e d t o a d d r e s s
t h e new a n d t h e o l d c h a l l e n g e s w i t h r e s o u r c e s t h a t h a v e d e c r e a s e d
s i g n i f i c a n t l y s i n c e t h e e n d o f t h e C o ld War. A m b a ss a d o r R o b e r t
K im m it t , f o r m e r U n d e r S e c r e t a r y o f S t a t e f o r P o l i t i c a l A f f a i r s , i n
t e s t i m o n y t o t h e C o m m itte e , s u g g e s t e d t h a t w h e t h e r t h e IC r e m a in s
r e l e v a n t a n d e f f e c t i v e may w e l l d e p e n d o n i t s a b i l i t y t o b e an
" in c h deep" i n e v e r y t h in g , w it h t h e a b i l i t y t o h a v e a " m ile s w o rth
o f d e p t h " o n a s p e c i f i c s u b j e c t a t a moments n o t i c e . C r e a t in g s u c h
a r e s p o n s i v e IC w i l l r e q u i r e i n c r e a s e d i n t e r n a l o p e r a t i n g
e f f i c i e n c i e s ; a more c o l l e c t i v e , c o r p o r a t e a p p r o a c h t o w a r d
u t i l i z a t i o n o f r e s o u r c e s ; a n d s t r u c t u r e d p ro g r a m s t h a t p r o v i d e
c o n t in u o u s r e s o u r c e a u g m e n t a t io n a n d " s u r g e " c a p a b i l i t y .
T h i s " s u r g e " c a p a b i l i t y n e e d s t o b e f l e x i b l e , d y n a m ic an d
w e l l - p l a n n e d — o n e t h a t c a n b e r e l i e d u p o n b o t h d a y - t o - d a y and
d u r in g c r is e s . " S u r g e " c a n be d e f i n e d v e r y b r o a d l y , i n c l u d i n g t h e
a b i l i t y to: move r e s o u r c e s q u i c k l y t o a d d r e s s im m e d ia t e , u s u a l l y
ad h o c , n eeds; augm ent e x i s t i n g r e s o u r c e s f r o m o u t s i d e t h e IC ; and,
im p r o v e r e s p o n s i v e n e s s o f r e s o u r c e s by b u i l d i n g i n more f l e x i b l e
o p t io n s f o r c o l l e c t i o n and a n a ly s is . Taken t o g e t h e r , t h e s e
c a p a b i l i t i e s s h o u l d p r o v i d e f o r t h e d e v e lo p m e n t a n d m a in t e n a n c e o f
some l e v e l o f k n o w le d g e o n a l l c o u n t r i e s / i s s u e s — a n i n t e l l i g e n c e
"b a se." T h i s " b a s e " o f k n o w le d g e i s c r i t i c a l f o r p r o v i d i n g
p r e d ic t iv e , t im e ly and r e le v a n t a n a ly t ic a l s u p p o rt to p o lic y
m a ke rs, p a r t i c u l a r l y p r i o r t o and d u r i n g f a s t - b r e a k i n g c r i s i s
Scope
Most would argue that the "downsizing" was necessary and will
be good for the IC in the long run. Many who have to deal with the
IC, especially from the "outside," would agree that the bureaucracy
tends to impede the efficiency of intelligence operations. Under
the current system, evaluations of the success of national-level
collection is primarily left up to those who operate the collectors
and base their judgements on the amount of information collected by
a particular system and in what time period the information was
collected, rather than on whether the intelligence questions were
answered.
Since the end of the Cold War, the IC has had to deal with
increasingly diverse policy maker requirements. At the same time,
its resources have shrunk considerably. Unfortunately for the IC,
it cannot take the position that it "can't do everything," because
policy makers simply expect the IC to be able to respond to a
variety of requirements regardless of resource constraints. The
dilemma facing the IC was summed up well during an IC21 hearing by
Ambassador Robert Kimmitt, former Under Secretary of State for
Political Affairs. Ambassador Kimmitt testified that the challenge
for the IC in the future is that it has to be an "inch deep" in a
thousand things all the time while also being able, when a
particular issue arises, to have a "mile's worth of depth" on that
subject. If true, and apparently borne out since 1989, the ability
to build extensive data bases and conduct more "predictive" and
"warning" analysis for all areas of the world will be key to IC
effectiveness in the future, as will be the ability to redirect
assets — collectors and analysts — very quickly to new and in
some cases, unanticipated problem areas.
Approach
"Surge" in Today's IC
Collection
Tasking/Exploitation
Analytic Tools
RECOMMENDATION: An I C - w i d e c i v i l i a n r e s e r v e p r o g r a m
s h o u l d b e e s t a b l i s h e d , whose p a r t i c i p a n t s c a n p r o v i d e
o n g o in g t r e n d s a n d w a r n in g i n f o r m a t i o n a n d c a n be
u t i l i z e d t o " s u r g e " a s p a r t o f t h e I C , t h u s a u g m e n t in g
e x i s t i n g IC a s s e t s , e s p e c i a l l y d u r i n g c r i s e s .
S i m i l a r l y , b e t t e r u s e s h o u l d be made of m i l i t a r y i n t e l l i g e n c e
r e s e r v e c o m p o n e n ts . C u r r e n t ly , re s e r v e u n it s a re u n d e r t h e c o n t r o l
o f m i l i t a r y s e r v i c e r e s e r v e c h i e f s who a r e r e s p o n s i b l e f o r e n s u r i n g
n e ce s s a ry u n it s a re a v a ila b le f o r m o b iliz a t io n . By t r e a t i n g
i n t e l l i g e n c e u n i t s s t r i c t l y as m o b i l i z a t i o n a s s e t s , t h e s e u n i t s
h a v e b e e n s u b j e c t e d t o r e s o u r c e c u t s a n d c o n s t r a i n t s as a r e any
o th e r re s e rv e u n it s . A d d it io n a lly , any c o n s id e r a t io n of u t i l i z i n g
i n t e l l ig e n c e r e s e r v e u n it s d u r in g n o n - c r is is p e r io d s has evoked
c r i e s o f T i t l e 10 a u t h o r i t i e s and e n d a n g e r m e n t o f m i l i t a r y
r e a d in e s s . B u t i n t e l l i g e n c e i s m ost e f f e c t i v e f o r n a t i o n a l
s e c u r i t y when i t c a n d e l i v e r p r e d i c t i v e a n a l y s i s a n d w a r n in g w e l l
ahead of a c r i s i s . T h u s, i t seems somewhat s h o r t - s i g h t e d t o h o a r d
c a p a b i l i t y t h a t m ig h t b e u s e d t o b o t h p r e v e n t a c r i s i s and
c e r t a i n l y t o p r e p a r e f o r a c r i s i s , f o r t h e s a k e o f o w n e r s h ip o r
c o n t r o l. C o n s e q u e n t ly , t h e S t u d y Team b e l i e v e s t h a t t h e SECDEF
s h o u l d c a p i t a l i z e o n t h o s e e f f o r t s t h a t a r e m e n t io n e d i n t h i s p a p e r
t o c r a f t a n a rra n g e m e n t betw een t h e s e r v ic e r e s e r v e c h ie f s and t h e
D i r e c t o r o f M i l i t a r y I n t e l l i g e n c e ( DM I) t o b e t t e r u t i l i z e m i l i t a r y
in t e llig e n c e re s e rv e re so u rc e s. T h i s w o u ld r e s u l t i n a l l o w i n g t h e
DMI a n d DoD t o make b e t t e r u s e o f i n t e l l i g e n c e r e s e r v e s i n n o n - c r i s i s
s it u a t io n s , t h u s a d d in g a n a d d i t i o n a l " s u r g e " c a p a b i l i t y t o
t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e Com m unity.
RECOMMENDATION: B e t t e r u t i l i z a t i o n of e x i s t i n g
m i l i t a r y r e s e r v e c o m p o n e n ts i s a l s o r e q u i r e d .
C o n s i d e r a t i o n s h o u l d be g i v e n t o p l a c i n g some o f t h e s e
c o m p o n e n ts u n d e r t h e DMI f o r b e t t e r u t i l i z a t i o n d u r i n g
t i m e o f need.
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Printing Office web site.
S u p p o r t t o m i l i t a r y o p e r a t i o n s (SMO) i s o ne o f t h e m a j o r r o l e s
of i n t e l l i g e n c e . Some a r g u e t h a t i t i s t h e m a j o r r o l e of
in t e llig e n c e . The C l i n t o n a d m i n i s t r a t i o n — b o t h p o l i c y m a k e rs a n d
s e n i o r i n t e l l i g e n c e m anag e rs — h a s s t a t e d t h a t SMO i s t h e t o p
p r io r it y f o r in t e llig e n c e . C r i t i c s q u e s t i o n why t h i s s t a t e m e n t i s
n e c e s s a r y , g i v e n t h a t m uch o f t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m u n it y ' s ( I C ' s )
e f f o r t h a s a lw a y s b e e n s h a p e d a r o u n d t h i s s p e c i f i c i n t e l l i g e n c e
r o l e and t h a t , i n t h e p o s t - C o l d War w o r ld , U. S. n a t i o n a l s e c u r i t y
i s a c t u a l l y l e s s t h r e a t e n e d t h a n a t a n y t i m e s i n c e 1940.
T h i s d e b a t e o v e r SMO i s i m p o r t a n t a s i t g o e s t o t h e h e a r t of
b o t h r e q u ir e m e n t s a n d r e s o u r c e s . I n t e llig e n c e i s not an e a s ily
expanded re s o u rc e . As n o t e d i n t h e d i s c u s s i o n o n t h e I C ' s a b i l i t y
t o s u r g e (See t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e Commu n i t y " S u r g e " C a p a b i l i t y s t a f f
s t u d y ) , c o v e r i n g c u r r e n t r e q u ir e m e n t s a n d t a k i n g s t e p s t o a d d r e s s
u n e x p e c te d ones i s d i f f i c u l t a t b e s t . T he more r e s o u r c e s d e v o t e d
t o any one a r e a , t h e fe w e r t h e r e a r e l e f t t o a d d re s s o t h e r s . The
i s s u e i s n o t w h e t h e r t h e I C s h o u l d d e v o t e r e s o u r c e s t o SMO, b u t
r a t h e r how much SMO i s r e a s o n a b l e g i v e n o t h e r , c o m p e t in g dem ands o n
a f i s c a l l y c o n s t r a i n e d IC .
SMO i s , t o some e x t e n t , a c o n t i n g e n t n e e d . At le a s t th ro u g h
t h e C o ld War, U.S. d e f e n s e p o l i c y h a d b e e n s h a p e d a r o u n d t h e i d e a
o f d e t e r r i n g c o m b a t, o f u s i n g f o r c e as a l a s t r e s o r t . O t h e r , non-SMO,
p o l i c y n e e d s a r e c u r r e n t — d i p lo m a c y , n a r c o t i c s , t e r r o r i s m ,
p r o lif e r a t io n . T h u s , a b a l a n c e n e e d s t o be s t r u c k . U r g i n g an
i n c r e a s e d e m p h a s is o n SMO w i t h o u t l o o k i n g a c r o s s t h e b o a r d a t a l l
I C r e q u ir e m e n t s r u n s t h e r i s k o f l e a v i n g many o t h e r o n g o i n g p o l i c y
needs p a r t i a l l y o r c o m p le t e ly u n f u l f i l l e d .
Scope
Approach
Along with the issues and questions raised above, the effect
of the trends coming out of Desert Storm and the historical
evolution of SMO, especially in terms of budgets, programs,
operations and service equities, were studied as we assessed the
I C 's future challenges in this area.
What is SMO?
One of the questions from the beginning of the study was the
definition of SMO. The role of SMO and, thus, defense intelligence
is defined with variance, depending upon the forum. For some, it
is solely an issue of support for the operational commander in a
tactical wartime setting. Certainly, most of the discussions
related to SMO since DESERT STORM (and, arguably, most of the
emphasis) are aimed at improving our capabilities to support a
similar effort in the future. In fact, some believe that the
priority for reorganization of our intelligence capabilities should
be to plan for capabilities that would support the military
requirement to be able to engage in two, near-simultaneous "major
regional contingencies" (MRCs). However, the continued growth of
so-called "other military operations" (0M0) — peacekeeping,
peacemaking, humanitarian efforts, etc. — that are putting U.S.
personnel into harms way much as if they were in combat, call for
different intelligence priorities overall and clearly indicates
that the two MRCs concept is not an adequate planning tool for the
IC.
especially important for the next 10-15 years. The Study Team
believes that today's efforts in the Foreign Materials Acquisition
and Exploitation (FMA/FME) areas — currently managed under Office
of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) and the Defense Intelligence
Agency (DIA) — are not as effective as they could be in order to
assure that we capitalize on upcoming opportunities. The current
FMA and FME programs tend to be piecemeal — especially in terms of
funding — an issue that the Committee will continue to monitor
with the FY97 budget submission.
t h e i r e f f ic ie n c y and e f f e c t iv e n e s s a re d im in is h e d . On t h e
b a t t l e f i e l d , t h e a b i l i t y t o fu s e i n t e l l ig e n c e d a ta and p r o v id e a
r e a l- t im e p ic t u r e of l e g it i m a t e t a r g e t s i s a n e c e s s it y . Such a
c a p a b i l i t y may n o t b e o b t a i n a b l e w i t h o u t s i g n i f i c a n t a d v a n c e s i n
a u t o m a t io n t o a s s i s t i n a r e a s s u c h as bomb damage a s s e s s m e n t .
T o d a y , s y s t e m s d e v e lo p m e n t i n t h e a r e a s o f I S R a r e p r i m a r i l y
i n t h e h a n d s o f c o l l e c t i o n p r o g r a m m a n a g e rs i n t h e NRO and t h e
a c q u i s i t i o n c o m p o n e n ts o f e a c h i n d i v i d u a l s e r v i c e and OSD. I f th e
I C i s t o meet t h e n e e d s o f t h e m i l i t a r y i n t h e f u t u r e , a m ore
" c o r p o r a t e , " e n d - t o - e n d o u t l o o k a n d m anagement s t r u c t u r e f o r t h e I C
as a w h o le w i l l b e n e e d e d . I n t h e 2 1 s t C e n t u r y , t h e I C m ust a t t a i n
a " d o m in a n t a w a r e n e s s " o f w o r ld w i d e a c t i v i t i e s , w i t h o u t w a i t i n g t o
be a s k e d , i f i t i s t o p r o v id e t h e p r e d i c t i v e and p r o a c t iv e ty p e of
i n t e l l i g e n c e t h a t w i l l make i t r e l e v a n t t o t h e p o l i c y m a k e r and t h e
m i l i t a r y commander.
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Printing Office web site.
ITZ1EEEI
The p u r p o s e o f t h i s s t u d y i s t o e x a m in e t h e s e v e n e x i s t i n g
I n t e ll ig e n c e C e n te rs , a sse ss t h e i r e f f e c t iv e n e s s , th e need f o r
th e s e C e n te rs i n t h e f u t u r e , and w h e th e r t h e C e n te rs "c o n c e p t" can
be a d a p t e d as a w o r k in g m o d e l f o r f u t u r e I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m un ity
o r g a n iz a t io n . The s t u d y w i l l a l s o make r e c o m m e n d a t io n s o n how t o
im p r o v e t h e f u n c t i o n i n g o f t h e C e n t e r s .
T here a re seven c e n te rs : t h e C o u n t e r t e r r o r is t C e n te r, th e
C o u n t e r in t e ll ig e n c e C e n te r, t h e N a t io n a l C o u n t e r in t e ll ig e n c e
C e n t e r , t h e C r im e a n d N a r c o t i c s C e n t e r , t h e N o n p r o l i f e r a t i o n
C e n t e r , t h e Arms C o n t r o l I n t e l l i g e n c e S t a f f a n d t h e C e n t e r f o r
S e c u r it y E v a lu a t io n . A l l t h e C e n te rs a r e lo c a t e d i n t h e C e n t r a l
I n t e l l i g e n c e A gency h e a d q u a r t e r s b u i l d i n g s i n L a n g le y , V i r g i n i a .
The C e n t e r s w e re e s t a b l i s h e d t o s e r v e as "C o m m u n ity " o r g a n i z a t i o n s .
I n r e a l i t y , t h e y h a v e a d i s t i n c t " C IA " i d e n t i t y . They a re
p r e d o m i n a n t l y s t a f f e d b y C IA e m p lo y e e s , a n d a r e d e p e n d e n t u p o n t h e
C IA f o r a d m i n i s t r a t i v e s u p p o r t a n d f u n d i n g — o f t e n c o m p e t in g w i t h
o t h e r C IA p ro g r a m s f o r r e s o u r c e s . T h i s f a c t h a s made i t d i f f i c u l t
f o r t h e C e n t e r s t o b e a c c e p t e d as "C o m m u n ity " e n t i t i e s .
At t h e o u t s e t . C e n t e r s m ust o v e rc o m e b u r e a u c r a t i c im p e d im e n t s
and r e q u i r e a s i g n i f i c a n t p e r i o d o f t i m e t o m a t u r e as o r g a n i z a t i o n s
and e s t a b l i s h t h e m s e l v e s as f u l l p l a y e r s i n t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e
C o m m unity. Much o f t h e s u c c e s s o f C e n t e r s c a n b e a t t r i b u t e d t o t h e
q u a l i t y l e a d e r s h i p t h e C IA h a s s e l e c t e d f o r s e r v i c e i n t h e C e n t e r s .
I n t h i s s t u d y , we c o n s i d e r e d w h e r e t h e C e n t e r s s h o u l d b e l o c a t e d i n
t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m u n ity . A l s o e x a m in e d w e re t h e f a c t o r s t h a t
h a v e made t h e C e n t e r s s u c c e s s f u l , a n d t h e p r o b le m s t h a t c o n t i n u e t o
t r o u b l e th e m — g e o g r a p h i c b a r r i e r s , b u r e a u c r a t i c i n e r t i a a n d
p e r s o n n e l management im p e d im e n t s .
INTELLIGENCE CENTERS
When Leo Hazelwood says that the best thing about the Centers
is that they are CIA centers, he means that of the entire
Intelligence Community, the CIA has been the one intelligence
agency willing to make the resource investment in these "Community"
Centers. The Centers were initiated by the CIA and have been
staffed primarily by its personnel. With the exception of ACIS,
CSE and NACIC, the Centers are located in the Operations or
Looking Forward
Looking Forward
The need for time to become established, the need for good
leadership, and the ability to change are essentials that are
required now for Centers and will be in the future as well. Again,
looking into the future, there are some factors that may diminish
Task Forces
Management
Personnel
10. Not only do the Centers find it hard to fill Community staff
positions, they also face the perception — and sometimes fact —
that service on Centers is not career enhancing. As detailed by
the study, there are reforms to Community personnel management
practices that would benefit the Centers. The Centers need
assistance in getting qualified and productive detailees from
within and without the CIA, and a means to assure that the
detailees are fairly evaluated and their promotion rates are not
adversely affected by Center service. It is important that the
evaluation process be revised to more fairly and accurately
evaluate the contributions of the Center detailees and other
detailees who serve outside their home office.
in t e llig e n c e e m p lo y e e s w o r k i n g o u t s i d e t h e ir home o f f i c e s .
This document is sponsored by the U S. House of Representatives on the United States Government
Printing Office web site.
rmiEi
Page #IC21012 June 5. 1996
F o r y e a r s , t h e i n t e l l i g e n c e a n d la w e n f o r c e m e n t c o m m u n i t ie s
h a v e m a in t a in e d a n u n e v e n , a n d a t t im e s a n a n t a g o n is t ic
r e la t io n s h ip . T h is i s d u e p a r t l y t o d if f e r e n c e s i n t h e r o le s and
c u l t u r e s o f t h e tw o c o m m u n i t i e s , a s b o t h h a v e d i f f e r e n t
r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s and o b j e c t iv e s , as w e ll as e x p e c t a t io n s r e g a r d in g
i n f o r m a t i o n a c q u i s i t i o n a n d m a n a g e m e n t, a n d b e c a u s e o f d i f f e r i n g
end u se s f o r t h a t in f o r m a t io n . T here have been o th e r fa c to r s th a t
h a v e a f f e c t e d t h e i n t e r a c t i o n b e t w e e n la w e n f o r c e m e n t a n d
in t e llig e n c e . D u r i n g t h e 1 970' s , i n v e s t i g a t i o n s i n t o i m p r o p e r
d o m e s t ic i n t e l l i g e n c e a c t i v i t i e s u n c o v e r e d some d e g r e e o f
o v e r r e a c h in g o f i n t e l l i g e n c e i n t o d o m e s t ic a r e a s . One o f t h e
r e s u l t s o f t h e s e i n v e s t i g a t i o n s was t h a t t h e t w o comm u n i t i e s t e n d e d
t o f u r t h e r d is t a n c e t h e m s e lv e s fro m o ne a n o t h e r o v e r c o n c e r n a b o u t
f u r t h e r i n a d v e r t e n t m is s t e p s . T h e n , b e g i n n i n g i n t h e l a t e 1 9 8 0 's,
tw o b a n k i n g s c a n d a l s ( B C C I — B a n k o f C r e d i t a n d Com m erce
I n t e r n a t i o n a l — a n d BNL — B a n c a N a z i o n a l e d e l L a v o r o ) h i g h l i g h t e d
d e f i c i e n c i e s i n i n f o r m a t i o n m an a g e m e n t w i t h i n a n d b e t w e e n t h e tw o
c o m m u n i t ie s . In v e s t ig a t o r s fro m C o n g re ss and t h e I n t e l l i g e n c e
C o m m u n it y i t s e l f re c o m m e n d e d t h a t p r o b l e m s r e l a t i n g t o c o o r d i n a t i o n
a n d i n f o r m a t i o n m a n a g e m e n t b e r e m e d ie d .
S e v e r a l o t h e r phenom ena ha v e f o c u s e d t h e a t t e n t io n of t h e
C o m m it t e e a n d o t h e r s o n t h e f u t u r e r e l a t i o n s h i p b e t w e e n t h e tw o
c o m m u n i t ie s . O v e r t h e p a s t 10 y e a r s , a n u m b e r o f s t a t u t e s h a v e
been e n a c te d t h a t expand th e e x t r a t e r r it o r ia l r e s p o n s ib ilit ie s of
U. S . la w e n f o r c e m e n t a g e n c i e s . F r e q u e n t ly , t h e s e la w s r e q u i r e FBI
Changing Scenarios
Although, some have argued that the end of the Cold War should
have reduced the problems facing law enforcement and intelligence;
in fact, the opposite is true. For example, the collapse of the
Soviet Union about the breakdown of a degree of authoritarianism
that had suppressed to a certain level the corruption and
lawlessness in that country and its Eastern Bloc neighbors. These
changes, as well as technological developments that have
revolutionized processes for transferring information, goods and
money, have helped to provide a fertile operational field for the
transnational criminal.
Parameters of Law
BCCI and BNL Cases: The Need for Better Intelligence and Law
Enforcement Cooperation
In the late 1980's and early 1990's, there were two notable
financial scandals of international dimension that highlighted
problems with intelligence and law enforcement information
The first task force was begun in 1993, at the behest of then
Director of Central Intelligence James Woolsey and Acting Attorney
the end of the Cold War. There have also been changes in law
responding to transnational criminal activities that are
increasingly affecting the United States.
Liaison/Coordination of Assets
Searches of Files
Reporting Requirements
Tasking
The JICLE task force has been meeting for months on the
tasking issue and has concluded that both communities must steer
away from tasking as much as possible. According to the report of
the task force, "One way to minimize risks and ensure that
case-specific collection is undertaken in a manner consistent with
pertinent legal authorities is for law enforcement to provide
target-specific lead information to Intelligence Community
agencies. These agencies would determine if collection against
that target would produce foreign intelligence. If the collection
is done, the resulting information is to be disseminated to all
interested consumers, as well as the law enforcement agency that
provided the impetus for the collection." We believe this is the
correct approach to take.
Training
Oversight Issues
There are two other oversight issues that were brought out by
the JICLE pertaining to the provision of information to Congress.
Sections 501 and 502 of the National Security Act of 1947, as
amended, require the President and the DCI to keep the House and
Senate Intelligence Committees "fully and currently informed of all
intelligence activities . . . including any significant anticipated
intelligence activity." There is no formal regulation that
defines the circumstances when the Intelligence Community may
discuss ongoing criminal investigations with its oversight
committees. The Law Enforcement Community has concerns that in
meeting the statutory oversight requirements, the Intelligence
Community will feel compelled to disclose information pertaining to
law enforcement investigations. The JICLE has recommended that the
Intelligence Community coordinate with the Law Enforcement
Community before it briefs Congress on any subject matter with law
enforcement implications. A December 1995 DCI Directive (DCID
2/13-1) confirms that the Justice Department will be informed
before there is congressional notification on intelligence matters
that have law enforcement information. The Directive establishes
procedures to ensure advance coordination and resolution of
disagreements between the intelligence and law enforcement
communities on the amount of information that may be provided
without adversely affecting a criminal investigation or
prosecution.
Recommendations
Legislation
Resources
Coordination
9. Some have suggested that the FBI routinely act as the lead law
enforcement agency for the purpose of coordinating law enforcement
activities in a foreign country with the Ambassador. Because there
may be other U.S. law enforcement entities in country that are not
Justice Department organizations, designating the Justice
Department as their representative, at least in a coordinating
role, is too cumbersome and unrealistic.
o v e r o t h e r n a t io n a l s e c u r it y is s u e s , s i m i l a r in t e r a g e n c y
d i s c u s s i o n s i n c o u n t r y a l s o w o u ld s e r v e t o i m p r o v e c o o r d i n a t i o n a n d
in f o r m a t io n s h a r in g . I n c a s e s w here d if f e r e n c e s a r i s e t h a t c a n n o t
b e r e s o l v e d i n c o u n t r y , b e f o r e i n v e s t i g a t i o n s o r o t h e r la w
e n fo rc e m e n t a c t i v i t i e s a r e i n i t i a t e d , o r S t a t e D e p a rtm e n t o r
i n t e l l ig e n c e a c t i v i t i e s a r e u n d e rta k e n t h a t i t i s b e lie v e d c o u ld
a d v e r s e l y a f f e c t a l a w e n f o r c e m e n t a c t i o n . We b e l i e v e t h e c o n f l i c t
s h o u ld be r e s o lv e d a t t h e h ig h e s t n e c e s s a ry le v e l s of g o v e rn m e n t i n
Was h i n g t o n .
11. Some h a v e a r g u e d t h a t o n l y U . S . l a w e n f o r c e m e n t s h o u l d c o n d u c t
l i a i s o n w i t h f o r e i g n la w e n f o r c e m e n t e n t i t i e s . We d i s a g r e e w i t h
t h i s p r e m i s e , a s s e t f o r t h i n a s e r i e s o f p o i n t s made e a r l i e r i n
th e body o f t h i s s tu d y . T h e C IA s h o u l d b e p e r m i t t e d t o c o l l e c t
i n f o r m a t i o n f r o m a n y f o r e i g n i n d i v i d u a l o r e n t i t y d e e m e d b y t h e DC I
o r h i s d e s ig n a t e d r e p r e s e n t a t iv e t o be o f i n t e l l i g e n c e in t e r e s t .
M o re o v e r, f o r t h e p u rp o s e s o f c o o r d in a t io n , t h e C h ie f of S t a t io n
s h o u ld b e k e p t f u l l y a d v is e d o f t h e la w e n f o r c e m e n t l i a i s o n
a c t i v i t i e s o f a l l la w e n f o r c e m e n t a g e n c ie s i n c o u n t r y w h e re
i n t e l l i g e n c e a n d la w e n f o r c e m e n t i n t e r e s t s o v e r l a p . T h is le v e l of
c o o r d i n a t i o n s h o u l d i n n o way r e q u i r e t h e u n a u t h o r i z e d d i s c l o s u r e
t o t h e C h i e f o f S t a t i o n o f r e s t r i c t e d la w e n f o r c e m e n t i n v e s t i g a t o r y
in f o r m a t io n o r c e d e t o t h e C h ie f of S t a t io n a n y p r o s e c u t o r ia l
a u t h o r it y .
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives on the United States Government
Printing Office web site.
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XIV. Intem&ace C o n v o c a tio n s
S i n c e O p e r a t i o n DESERT STORM, t h e r e h a v e b e e n i n c r e a s i n g c a l l s
f o r i m p r o v e d a n d m o re t i m e l y d e l i v e r y o f i n f o r m a t i o n p r o d u c t s fr o m
th e i n t e ll ig e n c e p ro d u c e rs t o th e end u s e rs . Commu n i c a t i o n s h a s
o f t e n b e e n d e s c r i b e d as t h e c r i t i c a l n e e d t o , a n d p r o b le m i n ,
" m o v in g " i n f o r m a t i o n i n a t i m e l y f a s h i o n . Because a s i g n i f i c a n t
am ount o f I n t e l l i g e n c e C o m m un ity ( IC ) f u n d i n g g o e s i n t o t h e
d e l i v e r y o f p r o d u c t s , t h e C o m m it t e e , a s p a r t o f t h e IC21 p r o c e s s ,
r e v ie w e d t h e I C ' s r o l e i n p r o v i d i n g c o m m u n ic a t io n s as p a r t o f i t s
t a s k t o d i s s e m i n a t e r e l e v a n t i n f o r m a t i o n t o i t s c u s t o m e r a u d ie n c e .
C r i t i c a l t o t h i s r e v ie w was t h e C o m m it t e e ' s n a r r o w l y d e f i n e d
d i f f e r e n c e s b e t w e e n " c o m m u n ic a t io n s , " t h e f o c u s o f t h e p a p e r , a n d
" d is s e m in a t io n . " S p e c i f i c a l l y we d e f i n e d " c o m m u n ic a t io n s " a s t h e
c o n d u i t ( s ) f o r m o v in g d a t a f r o m o n e p o i n t t o a n o t h e r . T h is
i n c l u d e s t h e s t a n d a r d s n e c e s s a r y t o i n t e r f a c e h a r d w a r e and s o f t w a r e
t o t h e c o m m u n ic a t io n s c o n d u i t s . A lt e r n a t e ly , t h e te rm
’ d i s s e m i n a t i o n ’ i s d e f i n e d i n t h i s p a p e r as t h e p r o c e s s o f m o v in g
d a t a f r o m o ne p l a c e t o a n o t h e r . I t in c lu d e s th e f u n c t io n s of
p r o v id in g in f o r m a t io n c o n t e n t , f o r m a t t in g i t , s e c u r in g i t ,
t r a n s m i t t i n g i t ( i n w h a t e v e r f o r m ) , a n d when n e c e s s a r y i n t e r p r e t i n g
i t a t t h e r e c e iv in g end. W it h in t h e s e d e f i n i t i o n a l b o u n d a r ie s , t h e
s t u d y ' s c o n c l u s i o n s p r o v i d e t h r e e m a in th e m e s .
F i r s t , t h e I C i s f u l l y r e s p o n s i b l e f o r t i m e l y d i s s e m i n a t i o n of
i t s p ro d u c ts. How ever, t h e I C s h o u l d n o t b e r e s p o n s i b l e , as a c o r e
c o m p e te n c y , f o r d e v e l o p i n g , p r o c u r i n g , m a n a g in g o r m a i n t a i n i n g t h e
c o m m u n ic a t io n s r e q u i r e d f o r t h o s e d i s s e m i n a t i o n f u n c t i o n s . These
a r e c o r e c o m p e t e n c ie s f o r t h e c o m m u n ic a t io n s c o m m u n it ie s s u c h a s
t h e D e f e n s e I n f o r m a t i o n S y s te m s A g en c y ( D IS A ) , a n d D i p l o m a t i c
T e le c o m m u n ic a t io n s S e r v i c e P r o g r a m O f f i c e (DTSPO) and o t h e r s .
The full study goes into detail on each of the above themes.
INTELLIGENCE COMMUNICATIONS
Study Purpose
Study Approach
General Conclusions
Findings/Recommendations
level.
It is also largely in part due to the fact that the IC can not
possibly prepare for every unknown situation. However, there
is still a need for the IC to exercise its communications
systems, particularly those in the theaters outside the
continental United States, regularly to validate their
architectures and designs, and to ensure that stated user
requirements, in the continuum from peace through war, can be
met.
Findings/Recommendations
Findings/Recommendations
Findings/Recommendations
10) The IC should only budget and pay for those unique
communications hardware and software capabilities necessary
for IC systems to develop and "ship" their data/information,
receive others data/information or for which such unique
requirements exist (e.g., clandestine communications) that
would preclude the CC from satisfying requirements. This
would mean that the IC would pay for the ability of its
systems to collection, analyze, prepare, and ship to a
communications point for dissemination. It also would mean
that the IC pays for radios, transmitters, etc. necessary as
part of an overall weapon system's (i.e., a UAV, a field site,
or a reconnaissance aircraft) development.
Conclusions
A. T he v e r y o b v io u s t h r u s t o f t h i s a s s e s s m e n t i s t o g e t t h e
IC o u t o f t h e commu n i c a t io n s b u s in e s s . T h is i s n o t t o s a y t h e
IC c a n n o t b e a b u i l d e r , b u t i t i s t o s a y t h e IC s h o u ld n o t b e t h e
a r c h it e c t . As t h e IC " b a c k s away" fr o m o r g a n ic a ll y s a t is f y i n g
i t s own c o m m u n ic a tio n s r e q u ir e m e n t s , tw o s p e c if i c p a r a d ig m s h i f t s
w i l l ha ve t o o c c u r. F i r s t , t h e t r u s t f a c t o r b e tw e e n t h e IC a n d
t h e CC w i l l h a v e t o im p r o v e . T h a t i s , t h e IC w i l l h a v e t o
u n d e r s t a n d , a n d b e lie v e , t h a t i t s r e q u ir e m e n t s a r e n o t ,
g e n e r a lly , s o u n iq u e , t h a t t h e y c a n n o t b e s a t i s f i e d by t h e
c o m m u n ic a to rs . S e c o n d ly , t h e IC w i l l h a v e t o b e h e ld a c c o u n t a b le
f o r i d e n t i f y i n g i t s r e a l c o m m u n ic a t io n s n e e d s , a n d t h e CC w i l l
h a v e t o b e h e ld a c c o u n t a b le f o r s a t is f y i n g t h o s e r e q u ir e m e n t s .
C o m m u n ic a tio n s c a n n o t b e t a k e n f o r g r a n t e d . T h e y a r e t h e b a s is
f o r m a k in g in f o r m a t io n a v a i l a b le t o t h e r i g h t u s e r , a t t h e r i g h t
t im e . H ow ever, t h e IC s h o u ld f o c u s n o t o n t h o s e is s u e s , b u t
r a t h e r o n t h e c o r e m is s io n o f e n s u r in g t h e p r o p e r c o l l e c t i o n ,
e v a lu a t io n , p r o d u c t io n and p r e s e n t a t io n o f in f o r m a t io n .
B. A l l o f t h e a b o v e o b s e r v a t io n s a n d re c o m m e n d a tio n s ( e v e n
i f a d o p te d ) d o n o t e n s u r e c o m m u n ic a tio n . T h a t i s , we c a n b u i l d
c o m p a t ib le c o m m u n ic a tio n s in f r a s t r u c t u r e s a n d s t i l l n o t b e a b le
t o move in f o r m a t io n b e c a u s e o f t h e ways we d is p la y , s t o r e , o r
in t e n d t o m ake k n o w le d g e o f t h a t in f o r m a t io n . S p e c i f i c a l l y , we
c a n , a n d d o , h a v e d a t a b a s e s t h a t a r e n o t a c c e s s ib le d u e t o t h e i r
u n iq u e d e s ig n s , o r m e s s a g e / d is p la y f o r m a t s t h a t a r e n o t
c o m p r e h e n s ib le t o t h e in t e n d e d u s e r . T h e r e f o r e , i t n e e d s t o be
u n d e r s t o o d t h a t t h e s t a n d a r d s d is c u s s io n p r o v id e d a b o v e a r e f o r
t h e communi c a t io n s p a t h s a n d p ip e s t h e m s e lv e s . R e m e m b e rin g t h a t
c o m m u n ic a t io n o n ly o c c u r s w hen a n in t e n d e d m essage i s s e n t , i s
r e c e iv e d by t h e in t e n d e d r e c i p ie n t , a n d t h e in t e n t io n s a r e
u n d e rs to o d . T h e r e f o r e , i t m ust b e u n d e r s t o o d t h a t t h e
d is c u s s io n s a b o v e e x t e n d o n ly t o t h e c o m m u n ic a t io n s m eans, n o t
t o t h e "m e ssa g e " c o n v e y e d t h r o u g h t h o s e means. T h is l a t e r
s u b j e c t c o u ld e a s i l y be t h e is s u e o f a n o t h e r ( f u l l le n g t h ) s t u d y .
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives on the United States Government
Printing Office web site.
4 Back A GPO
Wofr* I
F in d in g s
A dv o ca cy f o r o v e r s e e n a g e n c ie s i s le g it im a t e a n d t o some
e x te n t n e c e s s a ry . T h is h a s n o t b e e n a n a c c e p t e d s t a n c e
f o r t h e i n t e l l i g e n c e c o m m itte e s . We a g r e e w it h t h e v ie w
o f fo rm e r D C Is t h a t i n t e l l i g e n c e i s s u c h a r e s t r ic t e d
is s u e t h a t C o n g re s s m ust b e m ore a c t iv e i n b u i l d i n g t h e
n e c e s s a ry p o l i t i c a l co n se n su s.
T he c u r r e n t o v e r s ig h t sy ste m h a s b e e n la r g e ly e f f e c t iv e ,
a n d c le a r l y h a s re s p o n d e d t o th o s e p r o b le m s t h a t p ro m p te d
t h e c r e a t io n o f t h e c u r r e n t c o m m itte e s .
T h e r e i s no c o m p e llin g r e a s o n t o c o n v e r t th e c u r r e n t
sy ste m t o a j o i n t c o m m itte e . C o n g r e s s ' s r e c o r d r e g a r d in g
s a f e g u a r d in g h i g h l y c l a s s i f i e d in f o r m a t io n i s n o t p e r f e c t ,
b u t does n o t w a rra n t t h is s te p . C r e a t in g a j o i n t
c o m m itte e w o u ld a ls o r e q u ir e e i t h e r th e H ouse o r t h e
S e n a te t o a l t e r i t s c u r r e n t a rr a n g e m e n ts f o r i n t e l l i g e n c e
o v e r s ig h t , w h ic h h a s n o t h a d s i g n i f i c a n t s u p p o r t i n t h e
p a s t. F i n a l l y , and m ost im p o r t a n t ly , c r e a t in g a j o i n t
Recommendations
CONGRESSIONAL OVERSIGHT
A Joint Committee
Jurisdiction
appropriate.
The second issue derives from the fact that the intelligence
budget remains classified and is "hidden" within the larger defense
budget for both authorization and appropriation. HNSC divides the
budget into functional categories: procurement, research and
development, etc. None of these is a "logical" place to house the
intelligence budget. In actuality, the defense and intelligence
authorization processes move along parallel but unrelated tracks.
When the intelligence budget is completed, it is then hidden within
HNSC Subcommittee budgets. As these National Security functions
then move through the congressional budget process they inevitably
come under pressure for a variety of reasons. If, for example, the
dominant view becomes that the research and development budget is
too high — and intelligence is hidden within that budget function
— then intelligence must take its "fair share" of reductions for
reasons entirely extraneous to the merits of the intelligence
programs. Moreover, as the entire intelligence budget is hidden in
this manner, all programs are liable to such cuts, not just TIARA.
Findings
Recommendations
on t h e C o m m itte e .
The House s h o u l d s e e k t o b e t t e r p r o t e c t I n t e l l i g e n c e
Com m unity e q u i t i e s by e r e c t i n g le g is la t iv e " f ir e w a lls "
b e tw e e n HPSCI and HNSC d u r i n g t h e a u t h o r i z a t i o n phase;
s i m i l a r l y , e f f o r t s s h o u l d b e made t o e s t a b l i s h m ec h a nism s
f o r b e t t e r l e g i s l a t i v e c o n s u lt a t io n and c o o r d in a t io n w it h
t h e House A p p r o p r i a t i o n s C o m m itte e d u r i n g t h e
a p p r o p r ia t io n s phase.
E s t a b l i s h a s e m i- a n n u a l s t r a t e g i c i n t e l l i g e n c e r e v ie w
m e e t in g b e tw e e n t h e new C o m m itte e on F o r e i g n I n t e l l i g e n c e
( C F I ) a n d t h e i n t e l l i g e n c e c o m m it t e e s .
FOOTNOTES
/ I/ T h e m o s t - o f t c i t e d e x a m p le o f t h e p r o b le m was t h e q u o t e
fro m S e n a t o r L e v e r e t t S a l t o n s t a l l , a member o f t h e Armed S e r v i c e s
C o m m itte e , w h i c h was r e s p o n s i b l e f o r i n t e l l i g e n c e o v e r s i g h t .
When a s k e d by S e n a t o r M ik e M a n s f i e l d why t h e r e h a d o n l y b e e n two
c o m m it te e m e e t in g s w i t h t h e C IA i n t h e p a s t y e a r . S e n a t o r
S a lt o n s t a ll r e p lie d : " . . . i t i s n o t a q u e s t i o n o f r e l u c t a n c e on
t h e p a r t o f t h e C IA o f f i c i a l s t o sp e a k t o u s . In s t e a d , i t i s a
q u e s t i o n o f o u r r e l u c t a n c e , i f y o u w i l l , t o s e e k i n f o r m a t i o n and
k n o w le d g e on s u b j e c t s w h i c h I p e r s o n a l l y , a s a Member o f C o n g r e s s
and a s a c i t i z e n , w o u ld r a t h e r n o t h a v e , u n l e s s I b e l i e v e d i t t o
be my r e s p o n s i b i l i t y t o h a v e i t b e c a u s e i t m ig h t i n v o l v e t h e
l i v e s o f A m e r ic a n c i t i z e n s . " C o n g r e s s i o n a l R e c o r d , A p r i l 9,
1956, p. 5924.
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives on the United States Government Printing
Office web site.
W it n e s s e s
The H o n o r a b l e R i c h a r d H e lm s
The H o n o r a b l e Jam es S c h l e s i n g e r
The H o n o r a b l e W i l l i a m E . C o lb y
The H o n o r a b l e S t a n s f ie ld T u rn e r
The H o n o r a b l e W i l l i a m H . W eb ste r
The H o n o r a b l e R. Jam es W o o ls e y
J u ly 13, 1995: F u tu re of T e c h n o lo g y
W it n e s s e s
Mr. B i l l R i c h a r d s o n , D i r e c t o r A d v a n c e d T e c h n o l o g i e s O f f i c e , D C I ' s
C o m m u n it y M an age m e nt S t a f f
D r. L e e B u c h a n a n , D i r e c t o r D e f e n s e S c ie n c e s O f f i c e , A d v a nce d R e s e a r c h
P r o j e c t s Agency
D r . C u r t i s R. C a r l s o n , E x e c u t i v e V i c e P r e s i d e n t , D a v i d S a r n o f f
R e se a rc h C e n te r
W it n e s s e s
L ie u t e n a n t G e n e r a l B r e n t S c o w c r o ft, F o rm e r N a t io n a l S e c u r it y A d v is o r
A m b a s s a d o r R o b e r t K i m m i t t , F o r m e r A m b a s s a d o r t o G erm any a n d U n d e r
S e c re ta ry o f S ta te f o r P o l i t i c a l A f f a ir s
D r . J o s e p h M a s s e y , F o r m e r A s s i s t a n t U .S . T r a d e R e p r e s e n t a t i v e
W it n e s s e s
The H o n o r a b l e P a u l G. K a m i n s k i , U n d e r S e c r e t a r y o f D e f e n s e f o r
A c q u i s i t i o n a n d T e c h n o lo g y
Mr. N orm an A u g u s t i n e , P r e s i d e n t o f L o c k e e d - M a r t i n C o r p o r t a t i o n
Mr. E d w a rd M c C r a c k e n , C h a ir m a n a n d CEO o f S i l i c o n G r a p h i c s
In c o r p o ra t e d
W it n e s s e s
Mr. J o h n N. McMahon, F o r m e r D e p u t y D i r e c t o r o f C e n t r a l I n t e l l i g e n c e
Mr. R i c h a r d J . K e r r , F o r m e r D e p u t y D i r e c t o r o f C e n t r a l I n t e l l i g e n c e
L i e u t e n a n t G e n e r a l Jam es R. C l a p p e r ( R e t i r e d ) F o r m e r D i r e c t o r o f
t h e D e fe n s e I n t e l l i g e n c e Agency
W it n e s s
The H o n o r a b l e J o h n M. D e u t c h , D ir e c t o r of C e n tra l In t e llig e n c e
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives on the United States Government
Printing Office web site.
S IG IN T : S ig n a ls In t e llig e n c e
IM IN T : Im a g e ry In t e llig e n c e
PANEL 1: P a r t ic ip a n t s in c lu d e d r e p r e s e n t a t iv e s fro m t h e N a t io n a l
P h o t o g r a p h ic I n t e r p r e t a t i o n C e n t e r ( N P IC ) , D e f e n s e I n t e l l i g e n c e
Agency (D IA ), and D e fe n se M a p p in g Agency (DMA).
PANEL 2: P a r t ic ip a n t s in c lu d e d r e p r e s e n t a t iv e s fro m th e U .S . A ir
F o rc e , U .S . A rm y, U .S . Navy, U .S . M a r in e C o rp s, th e m ilit a r y
s e r v ic e J -2 s, th e o f f ic e o f th e S e c re t a ry o f D e fe n se (O S D ), a n d
th e o f f ic e o f th e A s s is t a n t S e c re ta ry o f D e fe n se f o r Command,
C o n t r o l, C o m m u n ic a t io n s and In t e llig e n c e ( A S D / C 3 I) .
PANEL 3: P a r t ic ip a n t s in c lu d e d r e p r e s e n t a t iv e s fro m th e N a t io n a l
In f o r m a t io n D is p la y L a b o r a t o r y , N a t io n a l E x p lo it a t io n L a b o ra to ry ,
and A dvanced R e s e a rc h P ro g ra m s Agency.
PANEL 3: P a r t ic ip a n t s in c lu d e d r e p r e s e n t a t iv e s fro m th e O f f ic e
of Naval In t e llig e n c e ( O N I) , D e p a rtm e n t o f th e A r m y / M ilit a r y
I n t e l l i g e n c e ( D A M I) , A rm s C o n t r o l a n d D i s a r m a m e n t A g e n c y ( AC DA) ,
C o m m u n it y R e q u i r e m e n t s a n d E v a l u a t i o n S t a f f ( C IA / C R E S ) , C e n t r a l
M ASINT O f f i c e ( D IA / C M O ) , N a t io n a l S e c u r it y Agency (NSA), U .S .
M a r in e C o r p s , U .S . A ir F o rc e , and th e o f f ic e of th e S e c re ta ry of
D e fe n se f o r Command, C o n t r o l, C o m m u n ic a t io n s and In t e llig e n c e
( 0 S D / C 3 I).
C la n d e s t in e S e r v ic e
PANELS: T h re e p a n e ls w e re h e ld w it h p r e s e n t and fo rm e r
C IA / D ir e c t o r a t e of O p e r a t io n s (DO) case o f f ic e r s and o th e r
in t e llig e n c e o f f ic ia ls .
PANEL: P a r t ic ip a n t s in c lu d e d r e p r e s e n t a t iv e s fro m th e N a t io n a l
M ilit a r y In t e llig e n c e P r o d u c t io n C e n te r (NM IPC) and th e
D ir e c t o r a t e of In t e llig e n c e ( C IA / D I) .
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives on the United States
R i c h a r d A. B e s t , J r .
A n a ly s t i n N a t io n a l D e fe n s e
and
H e r b e r t A n dre w B o e r s t l i n g
R e s e a rc h A s s is t a n t
F o r e ig n A f f a ir s and N a t io n a l D e fe n s e D iv is io n
F e b ru a ry 28, 1996
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................... 1
PART I ............................................................................................................................. 4
I n t e l l i g e n c e R e f o r m P r o p o s a l s Made b y C o m m is s io n s
and M a jo r L e g i s l a t i v e I n i t i a t i v e s .............................................................. 4
T he T ru m a n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n , 1945-1953.......................................................4
T he F i r s t H o o v e r C o m m is s io n , 1949 ...................................................... 5
I n t e l l i g e n c e S u rv e y G ro u p ( D u lle s - J a c k s o n - C o r r e a R e p o r t ) ,
1949 ............................................................................................................ 7
Summary o f t h e T ru m a n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n I n t e l l i g e n c e
I n v e s t i g a t i o n s .................................................................................. 9
T he E i s e n h o w e r A d m i n i s t r a t i o n , 1953-1961 .............................................. 9
S e c o n d H o o v e r C o m m is s io n , 1955................................................................... 9
PART I I ................................................................ 35
Advantages and Disadvantages of Major Proposals..................... 35
Role of the D C I ................................................. 37
Role of the CIA Operations Directorate......................... 39
Disclosing the Intelligence Budget............................. 41
C o n c l u s i o n ............................................................43
SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION
With the end of the Cold War, and in the wake of the Aldrich
Ames espionage case, both the executive and legislative branches
are currently undertaking studies to determine the future roles,
capabilities, management, and structure of the Intelligence
Community. These studies include such issues as the need to
maintain the CIA as a separate entity, the extent and competence
of U.S. counterintelligence (Cl) efforts, and the managerial
structure of intelligence components in the armed services and
the Department of Defense (DOD). A comprehensive examination
of the D C I 's roles, responsibilities, authorities, and status
is also being undertaken. In an era of budgetary constraints
and shifting policy concerns, these studies are also examining
personnel issues, allocation of resources, duplication of
services, expanded use of open source Intelligence (OSCINT),
and the need for maintaining a covert action (CA) capability.
PART I
lives. '741/
Staff./51/
the Agency.
In the late 1940s and throughout the 1950s, there had been
widespread public agreement on the need for an effective
national security structure to confront Soviet-led Communist
expansion. However, by the late 1960s, the war in Vietnam had
begun to erode public consensus and support for U.S. foreign
policy. The controversy surrounding the Watergate
Investigations after 1972, and subsequent revelations of
questionable CIA activities involving domestic surveillance,
provided a backdrop for increasing scrutiny of government
policies, particularly in such fields as national security and
intelligence.
Between 1975 and 1976, this led the Ford Administration and
Congress to conduct three separate investigations that examined
the propriety of intelligence operations, assessed the adequacy
of intelligence organizations and functions, and recommended
corrective measures. A fourth panel, convened earlier to look
more broadly at foreign policy, also submitted recommendations
for intelligence reform.
Attention was given to the role of the DCI within the entire
Intelligence Community. The committee recommended that the DCI
be recognized by statute as the President's principal foreign
intelligence advisor and that he should be responsible for
establishing national intelligence requirements, preparing the
national intelligence budget, and for providing guidance for
intelligence operations.
The two jobs, head of the CIA and head of the Intelligence
Community, conflict. One person cannot do justice to both and
fulfill the D C I 's responsibilities to the President, the
Congress, and the public as well./95/
Boren-McCurdy, 1992
PART II
Conclusion
FOOTNOTES
/9/Eberstadt Report, p. 3.
/18/Darling, p. 297.
/19/Darling, p. 289.
/49/Grose, p. 447.
/51/Grose, p. 532.
/59/Ranelagh, p. 380.
/61/Evan Thomas, The Very Best Men, Four Who Dared: The
Early Years of the CIA, (New York: Simon & Schuster, 1995), p.
268. Thomas was given special permission to review the report
for use in his book even though it remains classified.
/65/Schlesinger Report, p. 9.
/87/Lowenthal, p. 107.
/92/Lowenthal, p. 107.
/103/U.S. C o n g r e s s , H o u se o f R e p r e s e n t a t i v e s , 102d C o n g r e s s ,
2d s e s s i o n . P e r m a n e n t S e l e c t C o m m it t e e o n I n t e l l i g e n c e , H. R.
4165, N a t i o n a l S e c u r i t y A c t o f 1992, H e a r i n g s , P a r t I , M a r c h 4,
a n d 11, 1992, e s p e c i a l l y p p . 38-39, 191-192.
/ I 05/ F o r a d d i t i o n a l b a c k g r o u n d , s e e R i c h a r d A. B e s t , J r . a n d
E l i z a b e t h B. B a z a n , I n t e l l i g e n c e S p e n d in g : S h o u l d T o t a l Am ounts
Be Made P u b l i c ? , CRS R e p o r t 94-26I F , M a r c h 22, 1994.
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Printing Office web site.