Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1, 1940, pp 125-153
voting behavior. Among its effects are greater attitude stability, greater ideological
consistency, and greater support for a nation's "mainstream" values. Yet there
exists no comprehensive explanation of why political awareness has the pervasive
effects that it has. Nor is there agreement on how the concept of political awareness
First, it draws on ideas from voting, belief-system, and other studies to develop
a general theory of the effects of awareness. This account centers on how citizens
use cues and other information from
political elites translate their
general value
to
orientations into support for particular polices. Second, the article argues that,
on both theoretical and empirical grounds, political awareness is best measured
125
126 ZALLER
one
way or the other. Considerations compound of cognition
are a
defense
spending. The cognitive element in this consideration is the
belief that the
Pentagon wastes money; the implied evaluation of the
belief is
negative. Although more could be said about considerations,
particularly their possible role in guiding perception, the present spare
concept suffices for the tasks of this article.
Finally, there are two types of political communications per
suasive
messages and cueing messages. Persuasive messages are rea
sons tor
taking a position or point of view; if internalized by a person,
they become, by the definition just given, considerations.
Cueing messages consist of claims about the ideological or partisan
implications of a persuasive message. Sometimes a persuasive message
will carry its own cue, as when a
political party promulgates a platform
urging a series of policies. In such cases, almost everyone who en
counters the
original message will become aware of its partisan im
plications. But in other cases, the
partisan implications of a
message
may be obscure, perhaps deliberately so, as when a president urges
a
policy "for the good of the nation." In such cases, individuals may
need a
cueing message to perceive partisan or ideological implications
in the persuasive message.
The axioms of the model may now be stated. Each is stated first
as a
general theoretical posture and then operationalized or elaborated
in more
precise terms.
Al. Reception Axiom. The greater a person's level of attention to an
issue, the more likely he or she is to be exposed to and comprehend in a
word, to receive political messages concerning that issue.
The messages to which people are exposed may be persuasive
come
uickly to mind, people answer by averaging across available
considerations.
general, more
politically aware will be generally attentive to politics
and issues, thus bringing Axiom Al into play. A3 also implies awareness
effects because people who are high on political awareness will think
more often about issues,
thereby increasing the availability of con
siderations. If, moreover, more-aware persons have learned a larger
number of cueing messages and have these messages more available
for use in processing incoming messages, it follows from A2 that they
will also be more resistant to messages that are inconsistent with their
values. Framing the model in terms of attentiveness to particular
issues rather than awareness allows individuals who pay attention to
one or two issues of special personal interest to experience the effects
of political awareness.
there is a
large amount of individual variability, most individuals
devote little attention
politics (Kinder & Sears, 1985; Luskin, 1987).
to
From this two
things follow. First, if people pay little attention to
politics, they will be unlikely to possess the cueing messages (via Al)
for
selecting critically (via A2) among the persuasive messages they
encounter. Thus,
they will often end up accepting competing or op
posing considerations (Deduction 1 Dl ); in less technical terms, they
will often find themselves ambivalent and unable to decide
firmly
between opposing positions.
Although few surveys are designed to detect the existence of
ambivalence, the available evidence supports Dl. Zaller and Feldman
(1989) found that, when interviewers invited respondents to discuss
the issues in survey uestions as a prelude to answering the
uestions,
well over half of the sample in a national survey raised
conflicting
considerations that is, reasons both to favor and oppose the issue.
Hochschild (1981) provides ualitative evidence of the same phenom
enon.
versely, more
likely to offer
responses (D2). Krosnick and
no
opinion
Milburn (this issue) review the considerable evidence supporting this
deduction.
If people are uncritical about the ideas they accept as considerations,
and if their attitude statements depend on whatever ideas happen to
be at the top of the head at the moment of response, we should expect
a fair amount of variability people's responses to survey uestions
in
or use a
multiplicative term of which awareness is one
component.
In these situations, one can
normally test only one
operationalization
at a time. This creates a need to have strong "out of sample" precon
ceptions on how awareness is best measured. One aim of this article
is to establish such preconceptions, both theoreticallv and empirically.
Political awareness is most appropriately conceptualized in light
of the role it plays in the sampling model. As has become apparent,
awareness is
important to the model because it is associated (via Al)
POLITICAL AWARENESS 131
with reception of political messages and (via A3) with the availability
of these
messages in memory.
Past research has used education, level of
political participation,
level of political interest, media to
exposure and
politics, political
information of On a priori grounds,
as measures
political awareness.
each would seem to havestrengths and weaknesses.
For example,
people who develop the abstract learning skills that
are
supposedly imparted by education would seem likely, by that
account, to be more skilled at
comprehending the political messages
they encounter. Yet education is correlated with media exposure (as
measured below) at the level of
only .37, which suggests that many
educated people have little interest in
politics and may therefore fail
to develop much political awareness. Meanwhile, there are
probably
some
people who regularly scan the newspaper and watch the television
news but who lack the skills to fully absorb the ideas they
cognitive
encounter. Similarly, it is easy to
imagine that some individuals describe
themselves as "interested" in politics because they are fascinated by
the glitter of politics rather than because they understand much about
it. Thus, neither education nor interest nor media exposure would
seem ideal measures ofpolitical awareness.
Political participation has similar weaknesses as a measure of
awareness. Besides
having the weaknesses of self-report measures,
there exist practical difficulties a city garbage collector who must
contribute work or money to the party machine in order to keep his
job would be indistinguishable on most political participation measures
from an activist in an issue-oriented political club, even though their
differences in political awareness (as defined here) could be very great.
It is, moreover, easily possible for a person to achieve very high levels
of political awareness without ever giving money to candidates, working
for parties, or otherwise participating in politics.
This brings us to political information, a measure that, to a greater
extent than any of the others, captures political learning that has
actually occurred that is, political ideas that have been encountered
and comprehended and remain available for use. This is exactly what,
according to the model, we should be trying to measure.
Information is preferable on other theoretical grounds as well.
Alone among the five rival measures of awareness, tests of political
information are relatively immune to social desirability response set.
Tests of information are probably relatively immune to response effects,
such as Bishop, Oldendick, & Tuchfarber's (1984) demonstration that
surveys.
The items used to operationalize the five measures of awareness
in this dataset are briefly summarized below; fuller descriptions may
be found in the Appendix.
Political Information. The 1972 component of the panel study carries
a sufficiently rich selection of information tests that there is no need
tests (e.g., which party controls Congress, the term of office of a U.S.
istration and voting items, which were set aside as criterion variables.
Altogether, the scale has 22 items, all scored 0-1, and an alpha reliability
of .81. The measure is
highly skewed, with 20 of the sample scoring
0 and 5
scoring 10 or more of a possible 22 points.
Media Exjiosure. This index measures use of media newspapers,
newsmagazines, TV, and radio that carry political information. Items
were culled from all waves of the panel study. Altogether, the index
has 16 items and an
alpha reliability of .86.
Interest Politics. This scale contains five items but attains
in
only
an
alpha reliability of .811 There are two kinds of items, one asking
whether the respondent
generally follows politics (all waves) and the
other asking about attention to the recent
campaign (presidential years
only). The scale has marked skew, one third of the
a with about sample
scoring 13 higher scale sixth
or on a
15-point and only one scoring 5
or below.
Education. Scored as years in school, education has a retest reliability
of .95.
Note that all five measures of awareness have high and roughly
comparable alpha reliabilities. This will make it difficult to attribute
large differences in performance to differences in reliabilities. High
levels of alpha reliability can, however, be very misleading. If some
persons exaggerate their levels of interest, media exposure, or par
ticipation across all items, and others are just as consistently modest
in these matters, it would produce misleadingly high levels of alpha
reliability. Similarly, large cross-individual differences in standards of
judgment would artificially inflate measured levels of alpha reliability.
To ensure that the five measures of awareness
capture more than
correlated error, each was
separately tested for its ability to predict
voter turnout, a variable that was measured in 1976 from official
records, thereby eliminating the possibility of overstated reports by
respondents. A probit regression was performed in which this be
havioral measure of political involvement was the dependent variable
and the given awareness measure was an independent variable (in
addition to controls for age, race, and region of residence). All estimated
awareness relationships were statistically significant. Coefficients from
to calculate the turnout rates
these regressions were then used shown
in Table 1. As the table shows, all five awareness variables have large
effects on turnout. The effect is strongest for participation, a result
that should be expected, because turnout is similar to other behaviors
measured in the participation scale. More interestingly, interest and
media exposure also outperform information as predictors of turnout.
Because the sampling model has no implications for voting turnout,
the data in Table 1 indicate nothing about the comparative performance
134 ZALLER
TABLE 1
Political Awareness and Vote Turnout
Information 48 60 82 86 26 pts
Education 50 61 81 86 25 pts
a
Participation 58 85 93 36 pts
Media exposure 49 59 85 90 31 pts
Interest in politics 44 60 84 87 27 pts
Note Cell entries are estimated percentage of respondents who voted in the 1976 election, as
validated by NES.
a209r of all respondents scored in the lowest participation category; hence there exists no 5th
of the five measures in the model. Table 1 has been included only as
a
reliability check on the rival measures. The conclusion to draw from
it is that, despite the concern over correlated error, the measures of
interest, media exposure, and participation are measuring something
uitereal. Thus if, as anticipated, information performs in later tests
as the best measure of political awareness, the results in Table 1 will
make it difficult to claim that information's success is due to the
weakness of the competing measures.
ATTITUDE CRYSTALLIZATION
As shown, the model implies that more politically aware persons will
be more likely to express opinions (D2) and more likelv to be stable
in their attitude reports (D6). In these particular senses, more-aware
sample the three-wave NES survey. The estimates are shown sep
on
of the several awareness scales had higher error variances on all six
issues that did persons scoring in the top third of these scales.
As expected, information outperformed the other measures of
awareness in the sense that it produced larger high-low differences
in response variability than did any other measure. Education was,
however, very close second, producing an average reduction in error
a
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136
POLITICAL AWARENESS 137
if there cueing
messages to alert that the
were no
people policy was
suasive and cueing messages favoring the liberal position and the
other sponsoring messages in support of the conservative position.
FIGURE 1
An illustration of the mainstream and polarization models.
1964
Conservatives
80
Liberals
Percent
70
Supporting
-
American
Involvement go -
In Vietnam
50
1970
Conservatives
86 179 153
140 ZALLER
try to end the fighting," which was the administration position Gelb
with Betts, 1979 , or that the United States should take a
stronger
stand by invading North Vietnam.)
The key idea here is that political awareness has different effects
on mass attitudes, depending on whether elites are united on a main
stream policy or divided over
partisan policies. To test this idea more
Party platforms were used not because they were assumed to be the
most important source of elite cues on these issues but because
they
a convenient means of
represented measuring the extent of elite agree
ment or disagreement on issues. The research assistant was unaware
of my expectations and did the ratings on the basis of instructions
that were conveyed in writing. I expected that both
parties would
explicitly endorse the policies I had identified as mainstream policies
and would take sharply opposing positions on policies I had
judged
POLITICAL AWARENESS 141
as
partisan policies. These expectations were largely confirmed. The
one
exception involved an item about whether the federal government
should guarantee blacks the treatment in hotels and
right e ual to
restaurants. A provision accommodations was a key part of
e ual on
1964 Civil
RightsAct, which, Senator Barry Goldwater notwithstanding,
passed the Congress with majority support from both the Democratic
and Republican
parties. The Democratic platform, as expected, explicitly
endorsed this
policy, but the Republican party, although expressing
general support for e ual rights, made no direct reference to it. I
continue, in light of the bipartisan
history of the Civil Rights Act, to
consider e ual accommodations in hotels and restaurants a mainstream
government policy.
The model used to estimate the effect of awareness on each of
these items is
Prob.(Lib. Opinionation)
That is, the probability of a liberal response is the probability of offering
any opinion at all, times the probability of making a liberal response,
given that opinion has been offered. The two parts of the model
an
expectation strongly
is confirmed. The Ideology Awareness term
x
author.)
expectation, concerning the effect of awareness on
The second
support for mainstream policies, was difficult to confirm because of
the presence of multicollinearity. For all five mainstream policies, the
estimated coefficient for awareness was correlated with the estimated
coefficient for Awareness Ideology at the level of .95 or higher.
x
FIGURE 2
The effect of awareness on
political attitudes.
Liberals
Probability 0 50
-
ol Liberal
Response
Political Awarness
Probability
ol Liberal
Response
Political Awareness
closely resemble the results for the item on admission of China to the
United Nations, shown in the
figure.
Of the mainstream issues,
only the women's role item poses any
problem for the model, which is that, despite the mainstream norm,
ideology clearly has
important effect on people's attitudes. Note,
an
That is, the direct effects of awareness on support for the mainstream
issues, and the interactive effects of awareness on the partisan issues,
were larger when an information scale was used than when other
measures were used.
To construct a test of the statistical significance of these performance
differences, I reasoned as follows If information has the same true
effect as given
a alternative measure, the residual sums of s uares
from the eight e uations should be roughly e ually large, whether
one is using information or an alternative measure of awareness. This
will be the null hypothesis. In light of the theoretical reasons adduced
earlier, the alternative hypothesis will be that the residual sums of
s uares are smaller across the eight
issue e uations when information
is used as the measure of awareness. Assuming independence across
144 ZALLER
the eight items, simple t test can be used to decide between the
a
pearance of attitude constraint that is, the tendency for persons who
are liberal (or conservative) on one issue to be similarly liberal (or
is, to call to the "top of the head" a larger than usual number of
considerations and to form their survey response by averaging across
thislarger set of ideas. Given that, as the polarization argument con
tends, they are sampling from a fairly ideologically homogeneous
pool, the effect
ought to be to make their attitude reports more reliable
indicators of their underlying ideology because multi-element samples
have less random variance than one-element
samples. The effect of
extra time on the attitudes of less-aware
persons, however, should
be different. Because less-aware the
persons possess, according to
model, an ideologically heterogeneous pool of considerations, averaging
should not make their
responses more ideologically reliable.
Extra time to form
survey responses, in sum, should make the
attitude statements of
politically aware persons more ideologically
consistent but should have less effect on attitude consistency among
the less-aware (D12).
This deduction from the model has been confirmed in two ex
ALTERNATIVE E PLANATIONS
narrowly on
particular substantive example, Stouffer
problems. For
(1954) argues that better-educated persons are more supportive of
civil liberties because they are more likely to give a "sober second
elite values.
In a careful of work, ackman (1978) notes that education
piece
is associated with liberalism on some race items (e.g., "strict segregation"
of the races) but not on others (e.g., busing). She concludes from this
that, contrary to much past research, education promotes onlv "su
perficial" learning of democratic values rather than genuine commitment
to them. The alternative argument of this article, of course, is that
the first type of item taps a mainstream policy and the second a
partisan policy.
There also exist alternative explanations for attitude constraint.
Most stress the internal sources of attitude constraint that is, as
instability and uestion order effects). The greatest value of the sampling
model, I believe, is that it takes concrete steps toward redressing this
dominant practice.
The model, however, has the vice of its virtues Breadth and
important difficulties.
The assertion in Al that greater attention to an issue is associated
with greater reception of messages concerning that issue would seem
1987; Lodge, McGraw, & Stroh, 1989; McGraw & Pinney, this issue).
That is,
people update their evaluations "on line" as they encounter
new
information, storing the updated evaluation in long-term memory
but
discarding most of the information that was used for the update.
When asked to
express an attitude, people simply retrieve their updated
evaluation and report it. As Hastie and Park maintain, on-line attitude
formation is the norm in social
cognition.
Notwithstanding all of this, the response axiom used here is
defensible as a first
approximation of how political attitude statements
are made. First, researchers do not contend that on-line
judgments
occur
automatically; they occur
only when a
person is personally
involved in a
subject and interested in forming attitudes about it. The
uestion thus arises how important is it to most citizens to maintain
updated attitudes on the extensive range of subjects on which pollsters
routinely in uire To judge by what leading political researchers say
about the centrality of politics in the public mind, it would seem not
very likely (Kinder & Sears, 1985). The attitudes of most people on
most political issues almost
certainly fall into a category of personal
unimportance a category to which the on-line model is not especially
applicable.
Second, the impetus to the current emphasis on on-line processing
was the
repeated disappointment in finding negligible or even negative
correlations between what people could recall from memory at the
moment of judgment and the judgments actually expressed. This and
other evidence caused researchers to conclude that people were for
getting most of the information on which judgments were made, so
that what was later remembered bore no particular relation to the
attitude. But, contrary to this general pattern, correlations between
attitude statements and recalled ideas in the domain of political attitudes
are neither
negative nor negligible. According to the available evidence,
they range between about .40 and about .80, depending on how
they are assessed (Zaller & Feldman, 1989).
But although the memory-based judgment process embodied in
A4 is defensible, it is defensible only as a first approximation of what
must actually occur. It seems likely that people engage in what might
be called bounded on-line processing of political information; that is,
they make on-line evaluations of limited subjects but do not integrate
each updated evaluation into a fresh global evaluation. So if, for
example, people encounter information about third-generation welfare
families, they make an on-line update of their judgment of the value
of social spending for the alleviation of poverty. If, sometime later,
they encounter information about the needs of homeless persons,
they update their judgment on the unmet welfare needs of the nation.
150 ZALLER
A draft of this article presented at the Third Annual Meetings of the Political
was
oel Aberbach, Larry Bartels, Stanely Feldman, Barbara Geddes, ohn ackson, Robert
Luskin, Dwaine Marvick, ohn Petrocik, on Krosnick, and Lee Sigelman. I would also
like to thank Hiroaki Minato and Matt Lyons for excellent research assistance. I alone
am
responsible for any errors the article may contain. Data for the article were originally
collected by the National Election Studies and were made available through the Inter-
University Consortium for Political and Social Research at the University of Michigan
and the Institute for Social Research at UCLA. Correspondence should be addressed
to ohn Zaller, Department of Political Science, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90024.
NOTES
1. Variables measuring concern with election outcomes scale poorly with the interest
items and are too few to form their own scale. Hence, I do not analvze them.
2. The model has very strong implications about the effect of awareness on attitude
change for cases in which thepolitical environment is unstable. This effect, however,
is strongly nonlinear and so cannot be captured bv the stabilitv coefficients in the
Wiley-Wiley (1970) model. Space precludes the examination of these effects in the
present article.
3. For the interest and participation measures, there unexpectedlv strong tendency'
was an
assistant to classify cover stories on Vietnam in Newsweek and Time. In 1964, prowar
POLITICAL AWARENESS 151
5. It is not because
permissible to do a
parallel test omitting the direct awareness term
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APPENDI
AWARENESS MEASURES
policy self-placement scale and two variables asking the respondent to place
a
group or candidate on the same scale. In order to be counted correct, a
POLITICAL AWARENESS 153
respondent must state an opinion and also locate the two candidates or groups
in
appropriate left- right order.
The location tests common to both forms are McGovern Nixon on pro
gressive tax scale (vl79 and vl80, or v662 and v663, depending on form of
interview); McGovern Wallace on aid to minorities (v632 and v631); Democrats
Republicans school busing (v207 and v206); McGovern Nixon on job guar
on
antees (v614 and v615, or vl73 and vl74); McGovern Nixon on rights of
accommodation (v622 and v623); McGovern Nixon on Vietnam (vl85 and
vl86, or v591 and v592); McGovern Nixon on liberal-conservative scale (v653
and v654); Wallace Democrats on liberalism- conservatism (v655 and v656).
On the last three tests,
respondents had to place the candidates at least two
unitsapart in order to receive credit for a correct answer.
The additional Form I items are of (i.e., willingness to rate)
recognition
Henry "Scoop" ackson (v259) and Pete McClosky (v263) (dk 0, else 1);
which party is more conservative (v500); how times a
president can be
many
reelected (v943); terms of U.S. senator and representative (v944 and v949);
party control of Congress prior to and after recent election (v950, v951); recall
names of House candidates (based on v945 and v946). The additional Form
II items were China's form of government (v59) and China's UN status (v60);
The final scales were created by adding up all 0-1 variables, averaging
across
missing data in the standard way.
Participation Scale. The variables are v392, v396, v468 through v472, v474,
v475; v2195 through v2199; v3529, v3530, v3532 through v3535, v3537, v3538.
Media Exposure Scale. The media exposure scale contains 16 items, each
coded to a 0-3 range. All but three of these items are based on two separate
variables the first asking whether an individual attends to a particular medium,
and the second, asked only of those replying affirmatively to the first, in uiring
how much attention is paid to that medium. The item pairs are v456 and v457;
v459 and v460; v461 and v462; v463 and v464; v2036 and v2037; v2046 and
each of v2050, v2053, v2056; v3600 and v3601; v3602 and v3603; v3604 and
v3605; v3606 and v3607; v3639 and v3646. The following items were used
individually v2031, v3648, and v3651.
Political Interest Scale. The variables are vl63, v476, v2027, v3031, v3599.