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MBAZC416
Sajin John
2020HB58042
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 0 SAJIN JOHN
TABLE OF CONTENTS
MODULE 1 – THE NATURE AND SCOPE OF MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS ........................................................................... 4
BASIC CONCEPTS AND PRINCIPLES ..................................................................................................................................................................... 4
Introduction to Economics & its terminologies.................................................................................................................................................... 4
What is Managerial Economics .................................................................................................................................................................................... 4
Basic Economics concepts & principles for managers ...................................................................................................................................... 4
Basic process of decision making................................................................................................................................................................................. 6
Application of Managerial Economics ...................................................................................................................................................................... 7
Application of concepts using case studies ............................................................................................................................................................. 7
OVERVIEW OF MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS .......................................................................................................................................................... 8
Positive and Normative economics ............................................................................................................................................................................. 8
Time Period ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 8
Opportunity costs ................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 8
Profit ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 8
Ten Economic Principles for Managers .................................................................................................................................................................... 8
MODULE 2 - THEORY OF THE FIRM AND RELATED CONCEPTS ....................................................................................... 10
THEORY OF THE FIRM: NEOCLASSICAL AND OTHERS .......................................................................................................................................10
The Nature of the firm .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
FIRMS : Areas of economic theories ........................................................................................................................................................................ 10
TR, AR AND MR .................................................................................................................................................................................................12
The Basic Profit – Maximizing Model ..................................................................................................................................................................... 12
Measurement of Profit .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12
TOTAL Revenue .................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 12
Marginal Revenue ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 12
Average Revenue ............................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12
MODULE 3 – DEMAND ANALYSIS AND ELASTICITIES OF DEMAND ................................................................................ 13
BASICS OF DEMAND, DETERMINANTS OF DEMAND .........................................................................................................................................13
The Circular Flow of Economic Activity ................................................................................................................................................................ 13
Demand in Product/Output markets...................................................................................................................................................................... 13
Supply of Product .............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 17
Market Equilibrium ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 17
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND ....................................................................................................................................................................................18
Price Elasticity of demand ............................................................................................................................................................................................ 18
Income elasticity of Demand ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 19
Cross elasticity of demand ............................................................................................................................................................................................ 19
Household choice in output markets ...................................................................................................................................................................... 19
MODULE 4 – ECOMOMIC FORECASTING ................................................................................................................................. 21
DEMAND FORECASTING ......................................................................................................................................................................................21
Qualitative Method........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 21
Quantitative Method ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 22
Limitations of Demand Forecasting ........................................................................................................................................................................ 24
MODULE 5 – PRODUCTION ANALYSIS .................................................................................................................................... 26
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS ..................................................................................................................................................................................26
Production Functions...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 26
Law of Diminishing Returns ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 27
TOTAL, MARGINAL, AVERAGE PRODUCT (TP, MP, AP) ................................................................................................................................28
Stages of Production........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 28
ISOQUANTS AND MRTS .....................................................................................................................................................................................30
ISOQUANTS .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 30
MRTS ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 30
ISOCOSTS ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 31
Equilibrium of the producer ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 31
ECONOMIC REGION OF PRODUCTION, EXPANSION PATH ...............................................................................................................................32
Expansion Path................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 32
DETERMINANTS OF DEMAND
Price of the product
o Single most important determinant
o Negative effect on demand
Income of the consumer
o Normal goods: demand increases with increase
in consumer’s income
o Inferior goods: demand falls as income rises
Price of related goods Interdependence between demand for a product and its
o Substitutes determinants can be shown in a mathematical
If the price of a commodity increases, functional form
demand for its substitute rises. Dx = f(Px, Y, Py, T, A, N) …….. [Multivariate fx]
o Complements Independent variables: Px, Y, Py, T, A, N
If the price of a commodity increases, Dependent variable: Dx
quantity demanded of its complement falls. Px: Price of x
Tastes and preferences Y: Income of consumer
o Very significant in case of consumer goods Py: Price of other commodity
Expectation of future price changes T: Taste and preference of
o Gives rise to tendency of hoarding of durable consumer
goods A: Advertisement
o If the Consumers expect that there will be a rise N: Macro variable like inflation, population growth,
in prices in future, he may buy more at the economic growth
present price and so his demand increases. Example: Demand Curve
Population
o Size, composition and distribution of
population will influence demand
Advertisements and salesmanship
o Very important in case of competitive markets
o In modern markets the demand for a product
can be created through appropriate
advertisements and salesmanship.
Climatic conditions
CLASSIFICATION OF GOODS
Normal goods
Goods for which demand goes up when income
Complements or Complementary goods
is higher and for which demand goes down when
Goods that “go together”; a decrease in the price
income is lower.
of one result in an increase in demand for the other and
vice versa.
Inferior goods
Goods for which demand tends to fall when
income rises.
Survey
Customer Survey o Experts’ may involve some amount of bias.
Method Sample Survey o With external experts, risk of loss of
confidential information to rival firms.
Exponential
End-Use Survey
Smoothing
B. MARKET SIMULATION
Time Series
• Firms create “artificial market”, consumers are
Moving Averages
instructed to shop with some money. “Laboratory
experiment” ascertains consumers’ reactions to
Quantitative changes in price, packaging, and even location of the
Method Index Number
product in the shop.
Regression Analysis • Grabor-Granger test (1960s)
• Merits
Econometric
Models
o Market experiments provide information on
consumer behaviour regarding a change in any
Input-Output
Analysis of the determinants of demand.
o Experiments are very useful in case of an
absolutely new product.
QUALITATIVE METHOD • Demerits
• Qualitative (or Subjective) approach seeks to obtain o People behave differently when they are being
information about intentions of the spender. observed.
• Such method relies on human judgment and
opinion. C. TEST MARKETING
• Such approach leads to short term Demand • Involves real markets in which consumers actually
Forecasting. buy a product without the consciousness of being
observed.
A. EXPERT OPINION METHOD • Product is actually sold in certain segments of the
• Advice is obtained from experienced experts in the market, regarded as the “test market”.
field of the product • Choice and number of test market(s) and duration
• This panel consensus provided reliable forecast. of test are very crucial to the success of the results.
• Merits
7. INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS
• This method is based on a set of tables that explain
interrelationship among the variables or various
components of economy.
• The analysis helps us to understand the inter-
industry relationships to provide information about
the total impact on all industries as a result of
changes in demand forecast.
So, the regression equation is:
𝑌𝑡 = 11.9 + 0.394𝑡
LIMITATIONS OF DEMAND FORECASTING
This equation suggests, that if “t” changes by 1 unit then
Opinion survey are simple; but they are Y (i.e. Electricity demand) changes by 0.394 million unit.
subjective. R2 = 53% 53% of the total variation is explained by
Surveys are expensive; samples selected may the regression equation
not be representative. Using this equation, we can forecast the future
Time series analysis is used to forecast cyclical demands.
fluctuations. These cycles have different
intensities and timings. Example 2:
There is difference between field experiments Bicycle Demand Regression Analysis:
and laboratory observations.
Sales
Lack of Experienced Experts
Year (in millions)
Change in Fashion
Consumers’ Psychology 2006 61.63
Lack of Past Data 2007 67.97
2008 69.63
Example 1: 2009 71.49
Electricity Demand Regression Output 2010 89.01
Data – 2011 96.61
Period Time Electricity (million kwh) 2012 108.62
Q1FY12 1 11 2013 111.53
Q2FY12 2 15 2014 115
Q3FY12 3 12 2015 119.6
Q4FY12 4 14
Q1FY13 5 12 Plotting Scatter Plot and adding Linear & Polynomial
Q2FY5 6 17 Trend Line using Excel:
Q3FY5 7 13
Q4FY5 8 16
Q1FY6 9 14
Q2FY6 10 18
Q3FY6 11 15
Q4FY6 12 17
Q1FY7 13 15
Q2FY7 14 20
Q3FY15 15 16
Q4FY15 16 19
Plotting Scatter Plot and adding Linear Trend Line using
excel:
STAGE 3
This is also called the stage of negative returns to the
factor.
It starts from where total product after having reached
its maximum starts decreasing. In this stage:
o Total product decreases. (𝑻𝑷 ↓)
o Marginal product is negative. (𝑴𝑷 ↓/−)
o Average product is also decreasing but is positive.
(𝑨𝑷 ↓/+)
This is the stage, where a rational producer will never
operate because the efficiency of labour and land are
decreasing.
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
Elasticity of substitution between two factors is a
measure of the degree to which one factor can substitute
the other.
Thus, it is proportionate change in the factor
proportions of between the ratio of the two factors
divided by proportionate change in the marginal rate of
technical substitution
𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝐾 ⁄𝐿
𝐸𝑠 =
𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝑆𝐿𝐾
∆(𝐾 ⁄𝐿) o The efficient range is separated from the inefficient
(𝐾 ⁄𝐿) range by the ridge lines.
𝐸𝑠 =
∆(𝑀𝑅𝑇𝑆𝐿𝐾 ) o Ridge lines are the locus of points formed by the
𝑀𝑅𝑇𝑆𝐿𝐾 isoquants on which the marginal product of the
∆(𝑲⁄𝑳) 𝑴𝑹𝑻𝑺𝑳𝑲 factors is zero.
𝑬𝑺 =
∆(𝑴𝑹𝑻𝑺𝑳𝑲 ) (𝑲⁄𝑳) o There are two ridge lines:
Upper ridge line is formed by points like b, d and f.
At these points and other such points, the
marginal product of capital is zero (or MPK = 0).
This implies that capital has been utilized to its
intensive margin.
Thus,
COMPARISONS OF COSTS
Type of Cost Relevant to Relevant to
Accountant? Decision
Maker?
Fixed Cost Yes No
Sunk Cost Yes No
Variable Cost Yes Yes
Opportunity Cost No Yes
EXTERNAL DISECONOMIES
These diseconomies occur because of the
growth of the industry as a whole leading to an increase LEARNING CURVE
in the per-unit costs. A learning curve is a concept that graphically
They are generated from outside the firm and the depicts the relationship between the cost and output over
disadvantages are faced by all the firms in the industry. a defined period of time, normally to represent the
It is due to these external diseconomies that the long- repetitive task of an employee or worker.
run average cost curve shifts upwards. T A steeper slope indicates initial learning
hey include: translates into higher cost savings, and subsequent
learnings result in increasingly slower, more difficult
INCREASE IN THE PRICE OF THE FACTORS OF cost savings.
PRODUCTION:
o Due to the growth of the industry, there is an
increase in the demand for the factors of production
leading to an increase in their price.
o Thus, there in an increase in costs of production.
INFRASTRUCTURAL PROBLEMS:
o The expansion of the industry in a particular area
puts pressures on the transport and
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 40 SAJIN JOHN
MODULE 7 – PROFIT AND REVENUE MAXIMIZATION
PROFIT MAXIMIZATION
o Total profit for small and large quantity production o Basic profit-maximizing model:
is negative with two zero crossing. 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑀𝐶
o Total Profit is maximum when the two slopes of o We start by defining,
both TR and TC curves are equal and parallel. 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 = 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒 − 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡
o Slope of the TC curve = Marginal Cost 𝑇𝜋 = 𝑇𝑅 − 𝑇𝐶
o Slope of the TR curve = Marginal Revenue o Profit is at a maximum when its first derivative with
o When both are equal, slope of the total profit is zero. respect to Q is equal to zero
o It states that additional revenue generated from a 𝒅𝑻𝝅 𝒅𝑹 𝒅𝑪
= − =𝟎
unit of output must be equal to the additional cost 𝒅𝑸 𝒅𝑸 𝒅𝑸
of producing it. 𝑴𝑹 − 𝑴𝑪 = 𝟎
𝑴𝑹 = 𝑴𝑪
o And second derivative is negative.
𝒅𝟐 𝑻𝝅 𝒅𝑴𝑹 𝒅𝑴𝑪
= − <𝟎
𝒅𝑸𝟐 𝒅𝑸 𝒅𝑸
Example:
Q P TR TC Tπ MR MC Mπ
0 200 0 200 -200 - - -
5 190 950 1200 -250 190 200 -10
10 180 1800 2050 -250 170 170 0
15 160 2400 2450 -50 120 80 40
20 140 2800 2700 100 80 50 30
25 120 3000 2850 150 40 30 10
30 105 3150 2950 200 30 20 10
35 93 3255 3055 200 21 21 0
40 80 3200 3180 20 -11 25 -36
o Here, there are two points where MR=MC so as per
Profit maximization rule the second derivative is
negative. i.e. at Q=35 will be considered.
EXAMPLE:
A yoga centre, has a contract to rent space that costs
$10,000/month & marginal cost of hiring yoga teachers
is $15,000/month.
So, here FC = 10000, VC=15000
Scenario 1: No client available.
- If shutdowns now, then he has to pay only the
rent.
- In this case profit,
Profit = TR – (FC + VC) = 0 – 10000 = -$10,000
- Loss of $10,000
Scenario 2: Earns revenue of $10,000/month
- In this case profit,
Profit = 10000 – (10000 + 15000) = -$15,000
- Loss of $15,000
- He has to shut down temporarily as he revenue
is not able to cover the variable cost.
- If he continuous, then the loss keep on
increasing
Scenario 3: Earns revenue of $20,000/month
- In this case profit,
Profit = 20000 – (10000 + 15000) = -$5000
- He should continue the business as the profit is
able to cover the average variable cost and
some part of fixed cost.
- In long run, he will be able to recover the costs
and start earning profit.
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 43 SAJIN JOHN
MODULE 8 – PERFECT COMPETITION AND MONOPOLY
PERFECT COMPETITION: MARKET DEMAND AND FIRM DEMAND
No. Freedo
Type No.
Nature of of m of
of of Examples
TYPE OF MARKET STRUCTURE & PRICING market firms
product buye entry &
rs exit
PERFECT COMPETITION
differentiated
Homogeneou
competition
Unrestricted
Very Large
Very Large
There are a large number of buyers and sellers Agricultural
Perfect
(un-
commodities,
of the good. The price of a good is determined in the
)
unskilled labor
market by the demand and the supply. The firm does
not have any discretion in fixing the price of the good.
Differentiated
Monopolistic
competition
Unrestricted
MONOPOLY Retail stores,
Many
Many
There is a single seller of the good in the market FMCG
with no close substitutes for the good. There is very
little competition with the firm exercising a great deal
of control over the price of the good.
differentiated
differentiated
Oligopoly
Restricted
Automobiles,
Many
Few
Un-
MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION computers,
or
universities
There are a large number of firms, which are
involved in the production of similar goods. Each firm
has some discretion in fixing the price of its product.
Monopoly
Restricted
Indian
Unique
Single
Many
OLIGOPOLY Railways,
There are a few large firms selling similar or Microsoft, Intel
differentiated goods.
There is intense competition between the firms
differentiated
differentiated
Monopsony
Arms
applicable
and often they form cartels with the aim of controlling
Single
Many
manufacturers
Un-
Not
or
the markets. and Defense
Each firm has a control over the price of the industry
Number of buyers
One Many
Bilateral
One Monopoly
Number of
suppliers
Monopoly
A few Oligopoly
Monopolistic /
Many Monopsony
Perfect Competition
Firm A
o This is particularly important in an Oligopoly, since
there are only a few firms in the industry, and the Don't
Advertise
2, 5 3, 2
actions of a particular firm can potentially
adversely impact the other firms o Here, Firm A can select ‘Advertise’ irrespective of
o Strategic Behavior: the plan of action or behavior what Firm B selects (as, 4>2 & 5>3).
of an oligopolist, after taking into consideration all o Similarly, Firm B can select ‘Advertise’ irrespective
possible reactions of its competitors of what Firm B selects (as 3>1, 5>2)
o Strategies: changes to product pricing, quantity of
product produced, level of advertising, etc. A dominant strategy equilibrium (DSE) occurs if each
player in a game chooses its dominant strategy.
Example: Selecting (4, 3) in above instance.
GAME THEORY
Game theory was developed by Von Neumann and A Nash equilibrium occurs if every player’s strategy is
Oskar Morgenstern in 1944. optimal given its competitors’ strategies.
It is a mathematical technique, which helps in Firm B
examining the interdependence among the oligopoly Don't
firms and also the uncertainty involved in their decision Advertise
Advertise
making. Advertise 4, 3 5, 1
Firm A
Firm
A
prove them guilty is not sufficient. Do not Enter 8, 10 7, 7
o There is no communication between the two
suspects. Each is interrogated alone and told:
If both the suspects confess, each will go to jail COOPERATIVE GAMES
for five years. o Situation where decisions are made collectively by
If both the suspects do not confess, each will be two or more players
charged with a lesser crime and will go to jail o However, in most countries antitrust laws prohibit
for two years. collusion in decisions relating to pricing, market
If one of the suspects alone confesses, then his share, etc.
sentence will be reduced to just one year while o But the OPEC cartel is an example of a cooperative
the other who does not confess will get a 10 game where there is explicit collusion
year sentence.
REPEATED GAMES
o In many business situations games are not one shot
games but rather played over and over again
o This is particularly true in advertising and pricing
decisions
Given the above situation, it is obvious that there are o In situations where the game may be repeated over
two options before a prisoner: to confess or not confess. and over again (infinitely), a form of collusion called
o Prisoner A might try to reason out that if he does “tacit collusion” may spontaneously occur.
not confess (and if prisoner B confesses), he will go Firm B
to jail for 10 years and if he confesses he will go to High Price Low Price
jail for five years (if prisoner B confesses) and for High Price 20, 20 -20, 60
Firm
A
one year (if prisoner B does not confesses). Low Price 60, -20 0, 0
o Thus, prisoner A might find it best to confess.
o Similarly, prisoner B might arrive at the same o The Nash equilibrium (one shot) is for both firms to
conclusion and confess to the crime. charge a low price
o By confessing, each prisoner is trying to get the best o However, if both agree to charge a High price then
out of the worst possible outcomes. they will make huge profits (this cannot be done
o Actually, the better strategy for the two would be to explicitly)
not confess as then both get a sentence of just two o However, there is an incentive to defect but since
years. the game is repeated the defector will be penalized
in the next period due to the presence of a credible
threat
CAUSES OF INFLATION
INFLATION o Excess Money Supply.
o Demand Pull Inflation.
o It is a state of “too much money chasing too few
Increase in money supply
goods”.
Increase in disposable income
o Two broad categories:
Increase in aggregate spending
price inflation
Increase in population of the country
money inflation
o Cost Push Inflation: An increase in price of any of
o Both have cause and effect relationship, i.e. money
the inputs, will increase in the cost of production.
inflation leads to price inflation.
Any inflationary pressure created i.e. prices
o Money inflation is increase in the amount of
pushed up by cost.
currency in circulation.
o Low Increase in Supply: if supply falls short of
Foreign exchange inflows in the form of capital,
demand, prices will increase.
tourism and other incomes from abroad.
Obsolete technology
Deficient machinery
CONCEPTS OF INFLATION Scarcity of resources
Natural calamities
HEADLINE INFLATION Industrial disputes and external aggressions
Measure of the total inflation within an economy o Built in Inflation: Built in inflation is a type of
o Affected by the areas of the market which may inflation that has resulted from past events and
experience sudden inflationary spikes such as food persists in the present.
or energy. It is also known as hangover inflation.
o Inflationary Spikes occurs when a particular section
of the economy experiences a sudden price rise,
possibly due to external factors.
HYPERINFLATION
Prices increase at such a speed that the value of
money erodes drastically and the economy is trapped
between rising prices and wages.
o This is also known as galloping inflation or runaway
inflation.
STAGFLATION
A typical situation when stagnation and inflation
coexist.
SUPPRESSED INFLATION
When inflationary conditions exist, but the government
makes such policies which temporarily keep prices under
check
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 65 SAJIN JOHN
INFLATION AND DECISION MAKING MEASURING INFLATION
A price index is a numerical measure designed to
IMPACT ON CONSUMERS:
help to compare how the prices of some class of goods
o Increase in price of one commodity affects
and/or services, taken as a whole, differ between time
purchase decisions for many other things of daily
periods or geographical locations.
need. 𝑪𝒖𝒓𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒀𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒔 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆
o Changes in consumer prices upset daily budget. 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 𝑰𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙 = × 𝟏𝟎𝟎
o Increase in price of eatables may force a cut down 𝑩𝒂𝒔𝒆 𝒀𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒔 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆
VARIOUS MEASURES
on purchase of many other items.
o Producer Price Index (PPI): measures average
IMPACT ON PRODUCERS (OR SUPPLIERS): changes in prices received by domestic producers
o Higher the prices, higher are their profits. for their output.
o The critical aspect is that producers gain as sellers o Wholesale Price Index (WPI): inflation is calculated
of the final (or intermediate) goods but when they on the basis of wholesale prices of a wide variety of
have to buy raw material, hire workforce, buy goods (including consumer and capital goods),
technology or machine, they are adversely affected o Consumer Price Index (CPI): measures the price of a
by inflation. selection of goods purchased by a "typical
consumer.”
IMPACT ON GOVERNMENT:
o Cost of Living Indices (COLI): are similar to the CPI;
o Government is committed to take the economy to
these are often used to adjust fixed incomes and
higher levels of growth by encouraging production
contractual incomes to maintain the real value of
and investment,
such incomes.
o It is duty bound to see that taxpayers’ money is not
o Service Price Index (SPI): With the growing
eroded by hyperinflation.
importance of service sector across the world,
o It acts as the balancing force between consumers
many countries have started developing services
and sellers.
price indices (SPI).
INDEXATION: 𝑰𝒏𝒇𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 𝑹𝒂𝒕𝒆
o It is automatic linkage between monetary 𝑳𝒂𝒔𝒕 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒔 𝑰𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙 − 𝑪𝒖𝒓𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒀𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒔 𝑰𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙
= × 𝟏𝟎𝟎
obligations and price levels. 𝑪𝒖𝒓𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒀𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒔 𝑰𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙
o It applies to wages, interest and taxes.