Date Of Share share ESTIMATED ERROR

Price X price(Y) XY X2 (Ŷ) ERROR *ERROR

12/15/2017 1 171.60 171.60 1.00 187.21 -15.61
### 243.6721
12/22/2017 2 175.95 351.90 4.00 181.49 -5.54
### 30.6916
12/29/2017 3 171.40 514.20 9.00 175.78 -4.38
### 19.1844
1/5/2018 4 176.00 704.00 16.00 170.06 5.94
### 35.2836
1/12/2018 5 174.20 871.00 25.00 164.35 9.85
### 97.0225
1/19/2018 6 176.40 1058.40 36.00 158.64 17.76
### 315.4176
1/26/2018 7 180.90 1266.30 49.00 152.92 27.98
### 782.8804
2/2/2018 8 161.85 1294.80 64.00 147.21 14.64
### 214.3296
2/9/2018 9 156.80 1411.20 81.00 141.50 15.30
### 234.09
2/16/2018 10 125.55 1255.50 100.00 135.78 -10.23
### 104.6529
2/23/2018 11 113.45 1247.95 121.00 130.07 -16.62
### 276.2244
3/1/2018 12 101.05 1212.60 144.00 124.35 -23.30
### 542.89
3/9/2018 13 95.60 1242.80 169.00 118.64 -23.04
### 530.8416
3/16/2018 14 98.85 1383.90 196.00 112.93 -14.08
### 198.2464
3/23/2018 15 93.15 1397.25 225.00 107.21 -14.06
### 197.6836
3/30/2018 16 95.30 1524.80 256.00 101.50 -6.20
### 38.44
4/6/2018 17 102.15 1736.55 289.00 95.79 6.36
### 40.4496
4/13/2018 18 101.30 1823.40 324.00 90.07 11.23
### 126.1129
4/20/2018 19 93.60 1778.40 361.00 84.36 9.24
### 85.3776
4/27/2018 20 93.40 1868.00 400.00 78.64 14.76
### 217.8576
4331.35

Calculation
SLOPE(B) -5.713835
value of A 192.9203

MEAN ERROR 0

MAE(MEAN
ABSOLUTE
ERROR 12.09636 K32E28:K3the share price of PNB is lying below forcasted value of share , s

MSE(MEAN
SQUARE
ERROR) 393.7589 the absolute difference found while forcasting share price of PNB

MEAN
ABSOLUTE
PERCENTAGE
ERROR -24.25 this tool is relevent in this case (because our mean error is zero)
the method of least square is appropriate.
 PERCENTAG
E ERROR
-9.0967366 Estimated & Actual Data
200.00
-3.14862177
-2.5554259 180.00
3.375
160.00
5.65442021
10.0680272 140.00
15.4671089
120.00
9.04541242
9.75765306 100.00
-8.14814815
80.00
-14.6496254
-23.0578921 60.00
-24.1004184
40.00
-14.2438037
-15.0939345 20.00
-6.50577125
0.00
6.22613803 X 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
11.0858835
9.87179487
15.8029979
-24.25 share price(Y) ESTIMATED (Ŷ)

elow forcasted value of share , so the forcast is set under forcast.

hile forcasting share price of PNB is around 12

(because our mean error is zero).

Date Of Share Y=share
Price X price XY X2 ESTIMATED ERROR
2011 1 1186.00 1186.00 1.00 1199.67 -13.67
2012 2 1220.00 2440.00 4.00 1215.69 4.31 1400.00
2013 3 1235.00 3705.00 9.00 1231.71 3.29
2014 4 1251.00 5004.00 16.00 1247.73 3.27 1350.00
2015 5 1267.00 6335.00 25.00 1263.75 3.25
2016 6 1283.00 7698.00 36.00 1279.77 3.23 1300.00
2017 7 1299.00 9093.00 49.00 1295.79 3.21
2018 8 1314.00 10512.00 64.00 1311.81 2.19 1250.00
2019 9 1327.00 11943.00 81.00 1327.83 -0.83
Axis Title
2020 10 1341.00 13410.00 100.00 1343.85 -2.85 1200.00
2021 11 1355.00 14905.00 121.00 1359.87 -4.87
14078.00 86231.00 506.00 14077.52 0.48 1150.00
16.02 7839.18 46.00
1183.65
1100.00
EY=NA+EXB 14078.00 1057.32 1183.70

1050.00
1
 Chart
SGST Title
26165

1400.00

1350.00

1300.00

ESTIMATED
1250.00
Y=share price
Axis Title
1200.00

1150.00

1100.00

1050.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
TIMATED
share price