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STATEMENTS’S ANALYSIS
Group 3:
Members:
1. Lê Hữu Phúc Thành - Student ID: 11206870
2. Đặng Hà My - Student ID: 11202610
3. Trần Thị Thanh Vân - Student ID: 11208441
4. Nguyễn Thị Thu Hằng - Student ID: 11201324
5. Lê Đình Cường - Student ID: 11200687
6. Nguyễn Việt Anh - Student ID: 11204468
7. Phạm Ngọc Khánh - Student ID: 11201945
Duty Roster
- The inventory turnover ratio of Walmart has increased slightly over the 5
years, and in the year 2020-2021, it has the highest increase (
approximately 5.3%). The higher the inventory turnover ratio over years
indicates that the company is selling goods quickly, and there is
considerable demand for their products.
- Compared with Costo, we can see that the DSO of Costco was lower
than Walmart. The only time it was higher was in 2018 (4.1-4.3). It shows
that Walmart was struggling in collecting debt from customers more than
Costco.
- Compared with the industry, the DSO ratio of Walmart was higher than
the industry average, however, in 2021, the ratio was lower. Even though
the average time to collect cash after sales of Walmart has improved
slightly, it is still higher than the industry average. It can make a huge
impact on their cash flow, liquidity as well as the funds to pay bank loans,
and other payments. It warns that customers are dissatisfied with the
company’s product or service, or they have to offer longer payment terms
to generate sales.
4. Net fixed assets turnover ratio
- The net fixed asset turnover ratio looks at how efficiently the company
uses its fixed assets, like plant and equipment, to generate sales
𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
- Formula: NFA turnover = 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑓𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
𝑋
- The net fixed assets turnover ratio of Walmart has gradually improved
over the past 5 years. During 2020-2021 it has the highest increase (
approximately 21.7%). A higher turnover ratio is indicative of greater
efficiency in managing fixed-asset investments
- In comparison with Costco, the NFA turnover ratio was much lower,
which means that Costco has invested in their fixed assets more
intensively and effectively than Walmart. As a result, one dollar invested
in Walmart’s fixed assets could generate fewer sales than Costco.
- In comparison with the industry average, the NFA turnover was slightly
lower during 2017-2020 and higher than the average of the industry in
2021. It shows that Walmart has used its fixed assets at least as
intensively as other firms in the industry in 2021. Therefore, it seems to
have about the right amount of fixed assets relative to its sales. However,
when looking at the whole period, we can see that Walmart has been
over-invested in its fixed assets and could not generate sales as efficiently
as other companies. There could be Walmart has bought too many fixed
assets or their assets were old, and can not operate effectively.
5. Total assets turnover ratio
- This shows how efficiently your assets, in total, generate sales.
- The summary ratio for all the other asset management ratios. If there is a
problem with inventory, receivables, or fixed assets, it will show up in the
total asset turnover ratio.
𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
- Formula: TA turnover = 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
𝑋
31/01/2017 31/01/2018 31/01/2019 31/01/2020 31/01/2021
Walmart Inc. 2.4 2.42 2.33 2.2 2.2
- Walmart Inc.’s total asset turnover ratio deteriorated from 2019 to 2020
but then slightly improved from 2020 to 2021. The peak of their TA
ratio was in 2018 with 2.42X. As the TA turnover ratio increases in
2017-2018, it shows that Walmart has efficiently used its assets to
generate sales. However, Walmart slowly loses its ability to manage its
assets and make sales since its TA turnover ratio has declined over time
- The ratio of Walmart was higher, nearly double the industry ratio.
Although the consumer staples have the highest average asset turnover
ratio (relatively small asset bases but have high sales volume), the very
high TA turnover ratio of Walmart in comparison with the industry
average indicates that the company does not invest intensively in their
total assets, especially current assets: inventories are low while the
receivables and fixed assets are quite higher than other firms in the
industry.
- Let’s see the the first ratio, Debt to asset ratio, which shows the degree to
which a company has used debt to finance its assets in the form of total
debt relative to total assets
- Over years: Looking back at these five years, Walmart's total debt / total
assets peaked in January 2019 at 26% that splitted the growth into two
periods: 2017-2019 was an upward slope, whereas 2019-2021 had a
downward trend, but it‘s also quite steady. The company’s financial risk
profile was improving, and was willing or able to pay down its debt,
which could indicate a default in the future.
- Compared to the industry average, Walmart kept the ratio growth in the
same with IA, and a little bit higher than IA that illustrated the business
was operating stably and has great internal resources.
- Compared to Costco, which had a downward sloping over time, it seems
to be that Walmart did prefer to use financial leverage over Costco.
3. Debt to equity ratio
- For a large-cap retailer such as Walmart (WMT), Debt to equity ratio is
more reliable than almost. It indicates how much debt and how much
equity a business uses to finance its operations.
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒𝑏𝑡
- Formula: Debt to equity ratio = 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠' 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
- From the table, it can be seen that Walmart used a quite large level of debt
to finance for the asset purchase, but still less than equity (because all
figures over the years were under 100%). There were also two periods of
growth like the debt to asset ratio, which went up from 2017-2019 and
went down in the 2019-2021 series. The increase in 2019 due to the
revenue expenditure for hiring employees (over 200.000 new ones) and
expanding e-commerce in relation to increase in demand for shopping for
essentials and household items during the Covid-19 pandemic season.
- Actually, the trend of Walmart’s debt to equity ratio was always close to
the industry average. These were healthy figures that had remained
remarkably steady over time. its debt management practices had not
wavered for several years, and the company refrained from using excess
debt even during an economically turbulent period.
- Compared to Costco, which had a D/E ratio stood at an impressive figure
and was more stable. It is difficult to evaluate which company managed
the debt better. Both Costco and Walmart did a good job of keeping risk
to a minimum but, Walmart was more kind of financial leverage than
Costco
=> Walmart has been prospected to be in a solid financial position and can
pay creditors back in full.
4. TIE
- Time interest earned presents how many times a company can pay the
interest on its outstanding debt with its current earnings
𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇
- Formula: TIE = 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒
1. Definitions:
- A group of indicators that show the combined effect of liquidity, asset
management, and debt management on operating results.
2. Operating margin:
- It shows us how well the company manages the operating cost.
𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇
- Formula: Operating margin = 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
Comparing to Costco:
- When compared to its competitor, Costco, we see Walmart outperforming all
years, thus proving Walmart's ability to manage operating costs is better.
3. Profit margin:
- Show how well the company manages the total cost (including operating
cost). If PM is high → low level of cost → company manages the total
cost well
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
- Formula: Profit margin = 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
- Note too that while a high return on sales is good, we must also be concerned
with turnover. If a firm sets a very high price on its products, it may earn a high
return on each sale but fail to make many sales. It might generate a high profit
margin but realize low sales, and hence experience a low net income. We will
see shortly how, through the use of the DuPont equation, profit margins, the use
of debt, and turnover ratios interact to affect overall stockholder returns.
We continue to compare Walmart's PM with its competitor, Costco
- This index of Costco has increased uniformly, which proves their ability to
manage cost very well. Looking at their balance sheets we see that clearly. On
the other hand, they do not use debt as high as Walmart so their Net income is
not low, which is the main reason for their higher PM than Walmart.
- It is possible that in the years when Walmart increased its leverage, its ROA
dropped significantly and was much lower than the industry average, Walmart
soon returned and was at a level close to the industry average. (In 2021,
Walmart's ROA is 5.43% compared to the industry average of 5.81%) - a good
signal.
Comparing to Costco:
- Costco has an outstanding ROA above all (higher than the industry average
and also Walmart). But the reason behind this is because Costco's debt usage is
not too high,and the cost management policies of Costco are too good, which
keeps Costco’s high net income, leading to its higher ROA than WAlmart and
the industry average.
6. Return on common equity:
- The ratio of net income to common equity; it measures the rate of return on
common stockholders’ investment.
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
- Formula: ROE = 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
- As analyzed above, with the increased use of financial leverage since 2018,
Walmart has had an impressive ROE.
- However, the question is, why is the ROE of 2019 so low?
- The reason is that Walmart's Normalized Income in 2019 is only half of that of
2018, so even with efforts to use more financial leverage, it cannot make up for
the low Income. The root cause of the sharp drop in Income was the Covid-19
shock and some drama which had a bad impact on Walmart’s reputation. And
the fact that thanks to the recovery of the world economy Walmart is back with
a stable ROE just a year later, and by 2021 the numbers are very positive.
- Walmart's ROE is approximately the industry average in 2021, and it's a
positive sign that the company has taken the right steps.
- We see that when we compare Walmart's ROE with Costco's, Costco's
numbers are outnumbered even though Costco's leverage is not high. The reason
is because Costco is a company with a much smaller scale than Walmart,
Costco's administrative expenses are very low. Besides, it has a better marketing
campaign than Walmart and with a fall in reputation of Walmart in recent years
and that helps Costco's sales skyrocket, making its ROE very, very high.
- ROIC differs from ROA in two ways. First, its return is based on total invested
capital rather than total assets. Second, in the numerator it uses after-tax
operating income (NOPAT) rather than net income. The key difference is that
net income subtracts the company’s after-tax interest expense and therefore
represents the total amount of income available to shareholders, while NOPAT
is the amount of funds available to pay both stockholders and debtholders
- Compared to the industry average, Walmart's ROIC is actually very weak,
which indicates that the company needs to improve its operating activities to
increase NOPAT, and give the market a more solid ROIC. Walmart has the
potential to do that because it is itself a reputable company with great potential,
what Walmart needs to do is to manage costs well and increase revenue to
deserve its position.
- Compared to Walmart's competitor Costco, Costco has an impressive array of
metrics with ROICs that far exceed the industry and Walmart averages. That
shows that Costco's business is extremely efficient and its cost management
policies are also very good. This is really a big competitor of Walmart.
V. MARKET VALUE RATIO
1. P/E
● Price/Earnings ratio measures how much investors are willing to pay per
share for 1$ of earnings. It means that a company with a high P/E ratio
has so much potential in the market and investors are willing to pay a
high price for a company’s share with the expectation to gain high
earnings in the future or maybe the company is performing ineffectively
and it is overvalued compared to its true value that it has
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒
● Formula: 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒
● The next one, we will see how the P/E ratio of Walmart changes and
fluctuates overtime.
● So, we can see from the table, it is showing the Walmart P/E ratios from
2017 to 2021. Because the P/E ratio is created by the stock price and
Earnings per share, I have added these two factors to make it easier to
understand why the P/E ratios have changed
● We can see from this line chart, Walmart stock price tends to go up over
time. In 2017, stock price was only about 60 dollars but it has increased
continuously for 5 years and it was recorded to be 138 in January 2021.
However, the earnings per share are not stable and very volatile within 5
years. This problem causes the P/E ratio also to fluctuate overtime. So,
let’s find out why the P/E ratios fluctuate like that
● In the fiscal year ended 2019, the EPS decreased suddenly because the
net income dropped down in 2019, not because of sales ability. Walmart’s
total sales in 2019 was still higher than the total sales in 2018 but this
firm had to bear a larger amount of operating costs and interest expenses.
So that’s the reason why the earnings per share went down suddenly in
2019. Earnings per share went down but the stock price was still
increasing, so the P/E ratio has increased to 39 in 2019. However, since
2020, Walmart has been performing very well, net income in 2020
doubled compared to net income in 2019 and it made earnings per share
grow faster than the stock price and this is the reason why the P/E ratio
dropped down in 2020. The decrease in P/E indicates that Walmart is
performing well and bringing more value for its shareholders.
31.1.2017 31.1.2018 31.1.2019 31.1.2020 31.1.2021
Stock Price ($) 60.08 98.43 90.58 110.41 137.76
EPS 4.39 3.27 2.28 5.19 4.73
P/E 13.69 30.10 39.73 21.27 29.13
Next, I’m gonna compare Walmart’s P/E ratios with Costco - one of the biggest
competitors in the supermarket retailing industry. Let’s look at the line charts.
The red line is Cosco, the blue one is Walmart and the other one is industry
average. Because Walmart and Costco are two leading companies in the US
supermarket retailing industry, the shares of the two companies are overvalued
in the market. However, Costco's P/E is more stable than Walmart’s. We can
see easily that the red one has a tendency to go up overtime but the blue one is
so volatile, going up and down unexpectedly. It indicates that currently,
investors are valuing Cosco’s stock higher than Walmart because they believe
that Costco will bring them more earnings in the future
● Compare to Costco:
𝐸𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑒 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
● Formula = 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇𝐷𝐴
𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 + 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒𝑏𝑡𝑠 − 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠
= 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇𝐷𝐴
Profit margin increases => every sale will bring more money to a company’s
bottom line, resulting in a higher overall return on equity.
Asset turnover increases, a company will generate more sales per asset owned,
resulting in a higher overall return on equity.
Focuses on expense control (PM), asset utilization (TATO), and debt utilization
(equity multiplier).
As can be seen from the table and the previous part, the overall profit margin
figure of Walmart is slightly lower compared to its competitor, Costco.
Meanwhile, the total assets turnover of Walmart stayed lower than Costco
during the 5-year period.
However, the total asset turnover is considered low during the time period.
→ Hence, the equity multiplier must be higher with regard to raising the return
on equity ratio.
In general, investors look for companies with a low equity multiplier because
this indicates the company is using more equity and less debt to finance the
purchase of assets. Companies that have a high debt burden could be financially
risky. This is particularly true if the company begins to experience difficulty in
generating the cash flow from operating activities (CFO) needed to repay the
debt and the associated servicing costs, such as interest and fees.
→ Walmart needs to maintain its return on equity along with the total asset
turnover at an average level and raise its profit margin. Even though a high
return on sales is good, we must also take turnover into consideration. A firm
can earn a high return on each sale by setting a very high price, but by that
means it can fail to make many sales. A high-profit margin may be generated
but the sales are low, thereby can lead to a low net income.