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Introduction
Financial markets couldn’t develop without basic elements which are essential for
the economy of developed countries (Brealy, Myers, Marcus, 2004). The complicated
system of financial markets’ infrastructure is formed from these elements. They didn’t
exist in administrative type soviet economy in Russia and appeared only during
transition period. Very interesting processes of financial markets’ infrastructure
development could be observed in Russian economy. Several empirical examples are
discussed in the paper. Effective banking services, developed system of investment
trusts, mechanisms of companies’ valuation and appraisal, financial lease schemes are
connected tightly with financial markets’ infrastructure. These particular segments were
studied under our research. We don’t pretend that they are crucial or most important.
They are very different but each of them characterizes the level of financial markets’
infrastructure. It seems interesting to compare these segments.
Research Methodology
The processes of real industrial markets emergence occur in Russian economy. In
some cases real Russian markets confirm economic theory, but very often they
demonstrate controversial characteristics. Anyway there are enough data necessary for
the research of real Russian industrial markets.
It is necessary to pay attention to the industrial market as an economic category
which is very important for economic analysis. Industrial market structures, cooperation
of its participants, dependence or independence of their behavior, dominance of definite
firms determine the character and profitability of firms operation (Scherer, Ross, 1991).
According to the old Russian economic approach the enterprise considered to be the
main economic agent. Certainly it is extremely important to study each enterprise, but
now under the development of integration processes, existence of many complex
contracting procedures the decisions of the firm are determined greatly by industrial
market type and structure. Some researchers consider now that industry and industrial
market are the main parts of the whole economic system. They should be studied and
analyzed.
The broad descriptive model of the relations mentioned above was conceived by
Edward Mason and developed by Joe Bain. It is called The Structure – Conduct –
Performance Paradigm (Scherer, Ross, 1991). The idea of research methodology is
based on this approach. According to the paradigm performance in particular industries
or markets is said to depend on the conduct of sellers and buyers in many matters.
Conduct in turn depends on the structure of the relevant market, characterized by the
number and size of distribution of sellers and buyers, the degree of products
+ - Non sustainable;
Sustainability; Sets’ Non stable
Stability intersectio leadership
of Leadership n
Lease market
Developed financial markets are related to variety of investment alternatives. Lease
finance is one of them.
The level of leasing development in Russia is considered to be insufficient, though
this market is extremely dynamic.
Below come some basic characteristics of current lease market in Russia (Raexpert,
2004, 2005):
- Annual rate of growth is very high within national lease market during last
four years. In 2003 the volume of lease finance increased in two times. The
figures of later years (2004-2006) are not so impressive but remain very high.
We consider that this fact reflects institutional environment development from
one side and changes in firms’ (leasers and lessees) performance from the
other.
80
2001
60
2002
40 2003
2004
20
0
CR4 CR6 CR8 CR10 CR20
100
80
60 2002
40 2003
20
0
CR4 CR6 CR8 CR10 CR20
100
90
80
70
60 2002
50 2003
40 2004
30
20
10
0
CR4 CR6 CR8 CR10 CR20
Table 4
General Regression Characteristics for 2003 (initial variant)
Standard
Coefficients deviation t-statistics P-Meaning
Y-intersection 9422,026644 3769,405224 2,499605663 0,0143
Variable Z 1 -0,677736266 0,84529416 -0,80177564 0,4248
Variable Z 2 -1201,259138 850,942547 -1,411680662 0,1616
Variable Z 3 -0,758223984 0,256651932 -2,954289016 0,0040
Variable Z4 1,208981531 0,156735726 7,713503232 0,0000
Variable Z 5 5,569683058 8,238349483 0,67606783 0,5008
Variable Z 6 0,238289833 0,070083618 3,40007893 0,0010
Variable Z7 -0,67897117 2,244983093 -0,302439324 0,7630
Variable Z8 -1,143289085 1,279674127 -0,893422052 0,3741
Variable Z9 1,453673824 1,279051401 1,136524946 0,2588
Variable Z10 0,059527985 0,043776193 0,9652
1
0,9
0,8
0,7
0,6
2005
0,5
2006
0,4
0,3
0,2
0,1
0
CR2 CR4 CR10 CR20
In general the level of concentration is moderate (first line in the table). There are
no great differences between firms in number of employees. This means that this
parameter is not connected with leading position. It is interesting to estimate
concentration on different market segments, reflecting firms’ specialization. Very high
level of concentration could be observed for business valuation segment. Market power
90
80
70
60
2004 год
50 2005 год
40 2006 год
30
20
10
0
CR2 CR4 CR6 CR8
This market is the youngest among all analyzed examples. It has very clear high
concentrated structure. Positions of market leaders are very strong and their dominance
increases. Competition is not significant. In general such structure could not be valued
Concentration indexes
Indicator – basis for
calculation CR2 CR4 CR10 CR20 HHI
If Sberbank data are excluded from analysis the structure is changed significantly.
In this case market structure would be close to competitive and maximum HHI would
be reached for profit level. However such assumption seems unreal because it is
Sberbank who controls the main part of the market.
Except existence of one leader which makes the structure close to monopoly there
are other strong banks which have market power. Sustainability of leadership is
illustrated below in table 15.
Table 15
Sustainability of leadership on banking services market
Criteria of leaders’ sets formation Number of firms in General number of selected
each group firms / possible maximum
number of firms
- Sales volume in 2005 10 12/20
- Sales volume in 2004
- Sales volume in 2005 10 14/30
- Sales volume in 2004
- Assets value on 1.01.2006
- Sales volume in 2005 10 13/20
- Assets value on 1.01.2006
- Sales volume in 2004 10 13/20
- Assets value on 1.01.2006
- Sales volume in 2005 10 21/40
- Sales volume in 2004
- Assets value on 1.01.2006
- Annual sales growth rate
Comparison of data for two years shows stability of leadership. Comparison of sales
and assets value indicators shows relatively high sustainability of leadership. However
leadership characteristics are changed when we take into account growth rates. These
rates influence to some extent future positions. So it is possible to predict some market
structure changes in future.
In general market is high concentrated. Its structure is determined currently by
small group of sustainable leaders with clear dominance of one bank. Such type of
General conclusions
New industrial markets are developing in Russian economy. Many of them form
infrastructure of financial markets. Their tendencies, type of structure, typical models of
behavior etc. have great influence for the character and effectiveness of this
infrastructure. Our analysis showed that all markets are characterized by the existence
of distinguished leaders. However in the case of lease market these leaders’ dominance
co-exists with competitive segment emergence. This tendency could be interpreted as a
positive signal and in general promotes effective financial markets’ infrastructure
development. Other examples – Unit Investment Funds’ market and market for
business valuation and appraisal – are far from being competitive. Controversial
tendencies could be observed here. They are passing the early stage of development
now and their contribution to financial markets’ infrastructure is not clear. While the
fact of such markets existence after years of administrative economy should be
recognized positively. Banking services market which was also analyzed plays curial
role in financial markets’ infrastructure. This market appeared at the very beginning of
transition period. Our results show that is structure is characterized by dominance and
great market power of one super leader. Many changes in banking system should take
place in order to promote effective financial markets’ infrastructure.
References